This reader needs JavaScript for search, threads and tags. Recent tweets from @sfwtrades:
- 2026-06-12 — I guess we should wait to short $SPCX until June 29 or the trading day before ↗
- 2026-06-12 — And then I bought back higher once and got called away on the rest and it all went downhill from there ↗
- 2026-06-12 — @frenchiestocks Yep, 24/5, that’s the business. I miss when I just owned $APP, and would sell calls and call it a day ↗
- 2026-06-12 — I see trump has joined our @team3dstocks I wonder what I should hold through the weekend. The reversal was planned for Thu, but that doesn’t say anything about what will happen Monday (the “fundamental”/“news-based” reason = we don't know whether the deal will be signed or not) ↗
- 2026-06-12 — Welcome to the life of a SanDisk holder. We’re on a first-name basis with the cardiac department ↗
- 2026-06-11 — I failed my great grandchildren. I paper handed my leveraged SanDisk for a loss. ↗
- 2026-06-11 — So I was long about 350% Marvell by day close. I don’t like Adobe, so should I just close out after hours on this news that they’re changing CFO?
$MRVL $ADBE ↗
- 2026-06-11 — See if you can find the point where Trump opened his mouth lol ↗
- 2026-06-11 — But Iran and Qatar are a bit suspicious of Trump after yesterday’s strikes ↗
- 2026-06-11 — Wow, that was truly fantastic to see. ↗
- 2026-06-11 — TXN looks intraday explosive. But I don’t have any money to buy it with. I spent it all at 305 ↗
- 2026-06-11 — Goldman Sachs broke a thousand per share? I completely didn’t see that ↗
- 2026-06-11 — Ironic that my two biggest skaters from today cost the same amount now per share: $265
Marvell’s at 230B market cap
Credo’s at 50B market cap ↗
- 2026-06-11 — Latest report from Canadian Atrium Research: $ESAU.CN
Which presumably implies further downside from here
https://mcusercontent.com/4bc421505c66d079778a0d0be/files/7aeb4330-4eea-dc07-ca72-458ebb64ee66/20260611_Atrium_ESAU_Furnace.pdf ↗
- 2026-06-11 — I’ve had one person recommend it to me. He works for Morgan Stanley… ↗
- 2026-06-10 — Google mixed shelf plans to sell unknown amount at these elevated prices. Wow, AI costs must be hitting hyper scalers hard ↗
- 2026-06-10 — Citadel saying we are being SO heavily subsidized it’s insane.
Not like I didn’t know this already ↗
- 2026-06-10 — While I'll leave it up to you and @grok to verify the claims, the premise behind this tweet is exactly what I assumed. He's just a pretty boy, great face for a fund. Strange how he doesn't even have a Series 7 or Series 65, yet "his" fund controls billions in capital ↗
- 2026-06-09 — (media) ↗
- 2026-06-09 — Can you imagine how bad of a trader you must be to be red on SanDisk today? Long? $SNDK ↗
- 2026-06-09 — Latest interview by @patrick_oshag explains the part that I didn't understand. The reason that I can own so much $ DELL is because, for this AI driven world that I imagine to become reality, we need way more compute. We don't have nearly enough computers and servers and graphics cards and CPUs ↗
- 2026-06-09 — I’m back in and with leverage this time. ↗
- 2026-06-09 — -18k, -20k
Ouch. ↗
- 2026-06-09 — Cleaned up. Everything at a loss
VIAV, BB, DLLL, PENG, MRVL, CRDO, TE, SOC, MX
Almost closed GOOGL, switched to doubling the position instead. I was a couple seconds late, so it hasn't filled yet. ↗
- 2026-06-08 — Measured from the high on the 11th:
$NOW +21%
$NVO -10.5%
$LLY +16.9%
That’s assuming the worst possible execution that day.
Now, I don’t have enough money to have just made a portfolio with 50/30/20 in these, so my returns are completely different since, but that’s another story.
My current allocation is dumber. I’ve lowered my ServiceNow allocation and modified (several times) my Lilly allocation.
I think I’ve also decreased my Novo Nordisk allocations. ↗
- 2026-06-08 — If you have >$1m that you need stored somewhere, Lilly’s a good place to keep it. You get qualified dividends at roughly the same rate as treasuries, except you don’t have to pay federal taxes either because they’re qualified, while participating in the rerating of the company into an AI company (which increases your capital) ↗
- 2026-06-08 — Anyone else ready for CAR to explode again? lol ↗
- 2026-06-08 — I see Jensen has been spending some time with Trump ↗
- 2026-06-08 — Now I understand why. It’s being repriced in real time. Going from legacy healthcare company to AI darling. And I happen to agree. ↗
- 2026-06-07 — At the same time, credit where it’s due. This article email was a good read. ↗
- 2026-06-07 — Have you had to file a 13H yet? @rubicon59
With all these layups, you’ve definitely made a lot. ↗
- 2026-06-07 — I don’t understand this at all. I have two people know referencing this paper. You purchase a leading stock, eg APP, and then you sell calls against it intraday. Best of both worlds. ↗
- 2026-06-07 — Arm and SanDisk and DigitalOcean still to 8x? ↗
- 2026-06-07 — "I have nothing against Black people. In fact, I think everyone should own one."
The "Employee" Variation
"Employees are great. I think everyone should own some." ↗
- 2026-06-07 — Suddenly, I feel better about getting called away in the low 200s on $SOXL ↗
- 2026-06-07 — Should’ve held these ↗
- 2026-06-05 — F. I guess we’re going lower. ↗
- 2026-06-05 — Dang it, should’ve held the short ↗
- 2026-06-05 — So it looks like the way to win:
1. Determine the life expectancy/speed of the vehicle
2. Use that to inform your timeframe of choice: minutes, days, weeks
3. Open (buy/short) at 200-[timeframe], cut (sell/cover) as close to 3:59:59 as you can accounting for infrastructure delays
Try to buy with microstructure-assistance and at order flow bottoms.
And continually adjust for adverse selection if you need more money. But you don’t need more money at some point. You just need more time. ↗
- 2026-06-05 — Ironically, $CAR is holding up well. Note: I’m biased because I’m long. ↗
- 2026-06-05 — On the flip side, he prints money, so he can spend it freely ↗
- 2026-06-05 — LOL. Yeah, Michael @saylor has held through things most people can’t imagine. That’s why nearly no one can understand his bitcoin conviction.
Even if you have conviction yourself, you haven’t experienced anything near the volatility he has. So using him as an example of anything is difficult, as most people can’t understand. ↗
- 2026-06-05 — Shucks, I was actually out. And I still managed to lose money today ↗
- 2026-06-05 — RT @SFWTrades: Was I wrong to short MU at 900? ↗
- 2026-06-05 — This is why you shouldn't close trades, folks. Turns out I was actually long 100 shares (closed the short but didn't close the long) of MRVL, so a -2k added bonus. On top of DOCN dropping today. ↗
- 2026-06-05 — PENG* ↗
- 2026-06-05 — I was also short 300 MRVL ↗
- 2026-06-05 — I did it again. I had 1,400 shares of $STI and I closed it due to risk. It went up $20 last night. That would’ve been +$30k.
Oh well. ↗
- 2026-06-05 — OK, it looks like paying is going to be a runner. A BIG runner. I have refrain from getting into it, but I think I was wrong. I should put money into penguin and MXL and go back to what I was doing ↗
- 2026-06-04 — hey @grok, please check out ed zitron's holdings. He's probably right in terms of profitability, but he's wrong in principle. "ai" IS a panacaea, just not for margins ↗
- 2026-06-04 — Yes, that’s definitely a downside of all these grifters. they make their money through marketing. if I were good enough to make my money through marketing, I wouldn’t have to trade either. From Citrini/Burry (research) to the Pelosi tracker (integration). But they have marketing in common to monetize the passion
Also, this is great. I was hoping I’d get exactly this opportunity sometimes from tomorrow through next week, and it came much sooner than I expected ↗
- 2026-06-04 — So Australia’s raising rates. (?) ↗
- 2026-06-03 — And a few questions that I had that maybe @Grok can answer, aside from answering the questions in the previous tweet as to what those are,
THSDFSLLC heal diverse, but who is it?
Juggernaut fund, which he’ll also diverse made $5 million in 2025
TPG Inc. and LLY paid honoraria ↗
- 2026-06-03 — Kevin Warsh watchlist
Estée Lauder EL
JTSXX
SPY
JTFXX
EFA iShares MSCI EAFE? ETF
VWO Vanguard emerging markets ETF
XIU S&P/TSX 60 index?
Bessemer securities LLC?
@standuquesne family office, naturally ↗
- 2026-06-03 — To save $5*300=$1,500.00, I missed out on MRVL 315.
(315-99)*300=64,800
Because I wanted to save $1500
Because I can’t bring myself to spend $3 on a water bottle when I could get it for $0.25 at the vending machine at Costco or $0.22 if I buy it there in bulk. Because I’m always afraid of not having enough money in the future.
At the end, it all ties back to not having enough in the past, even though I now have enough. ↗
- 2026-06-03 — Finally closing main Bitcoin position, because I’m tired of seeing daily losses. Might open it back up later, but it’s truly annoying. It tops the closed positions losing list:
$FBTC, total loss: -34.56%
This is what it looks like when you don’t give up and have conviction ↗
- 2026-06-03 — Thanks for the financial advice Grok. Pharma biotech companies to look at: $RXRX $SDGR $ABCL $ABSI ↗
- 2026-06-03 — Why is T1 getting pumped so hard on here? Is it really going to triple (again) before it falls apart? ↗
- 2026-06-03 — Shoutout to @CharlesSchwab. Thank you for making it possible for retail traders to win. I think I get ~$300–500 worth of extra value from them that I don’t pay for myself (and their marginal cost per user for all of this is amortized to probably about $50 to pay for me) ↗
- 2026-06-03 — Also shoutout to all those people who subsidize this infrastructure via commissions payments ↗
- 2026-06-03 — I think the only company I’m buying today is IBM. I was talking about it on Sunday, but I didn’t want to buy. I hope they have a 2x- or 3x-leveraged liquid ETF. ↗
- 2026-06-03 — Hello 530 $AMD
Is Intel the only possible remaining play, as @jfsrev said? Add approximately here? I keep waiting for 80s, but I’m not sure whether I’ll get it… ↗
- 2026-06-03 — RGTI PENG BRUN INTC ALAB (this one hurts—could have been a 10-bagger in <5 mo.) ↗
- 2026-06-03 — Intel’s still waiting for 80s, which is preventing AMD from 530->613 ↗
- 2026-06-02 — Blackberry’s just gonna keep going up until I finally give in and buy at the top, right? $BB ↗
- 2026-06-02 — My biggest losers this year:
$SOXS $MUU $LABX $APPX $ZM $MCK $SOLT $CONL $WSM $NVOX $IWFL $BITX $CEG & $CRWV (and falling, can’t sell this one yet)
Long-only account (hence SOXS — but this one hedged my AMD win, so it was sort of like buying puts in the effect it had on my psyche) ↗
- 2026-06-02 — What’s Vipay Precision Group?
@grok ↗
- 2026-06-02 — Oh come on! I got rid of $SHOP from my order flow view list yesterday, but I didn't close the position. ↗
- 2026-06-02 — I think I sold everything at the bottom today. ↗
- 2026-06-02 — Yesterday’s pnl was truly dizzying. But I didn’t close dell, and in fact added on HP’s earnings… oops. I’m guessing today will be a little red 🤕 ↗
- 2026-06-02 — “we need to give the public confidence that the 2% inflation target is real”
It's not, though ↗
- 2026-06-02 — @grok ↗
- 2026-06-02 — > As of March, the unemployment rate for recent college graduates was 5.6%, compared to 4.3% for all workers.
Am I considered unemployed? How do you calculate unemployment? If I’ve never managed to acquire a job, at what point do I drop off the grid and not get counted? If I was ever counted in the first place ↗
- 2026-06-02 — Agreed. I moved into large caps years ago, because I have more edge there, ironically, but the point stands. You can make plenty of money in small caps, if all you need is 7 figures over the course of your lifetime (which is more than enough for most people) ↗
- 2026-06-02 — > Nvidia ($NVDA): Prosecutors pointed to an instance where Left tweeted, "Citron buys $NVDA... We see $165 before we see $120." At the time, the stock was trading around $143.64. Less than two hours later, while the stock was trading at approximately $151, Left sold his entire position, netting a profit of roughly $960,000.
Wow. So he was convicted for piking? ↗
- 2026-06-02 — Lol, REBOUNDS?
At its lowest point, it was just barely below my cost basis when I first bought it.
Granted, it would’ve been nice if I’d had my bids in, since I don’t have any shares anymore (silly me, finding better uses for my limited capital), but it has never been below where it rerated to after Adam May was shown right.
By the way, why did it drop? Just because the results weren’t as good as hoped? It’s true that it was priced for perfection. ↗
- 2026-06-01 — Dang, I got rid of too much for too little thanks to fear. Trusted the market over my instincts (thankfully, because this can save you from blowing up some days). I’ll probably pick up some more tomorrow ↗
- 2026-06-01 — Still long digital ocean, and it’s nice to see everyone else catching up 50% later (450% later on my first call).
After an 11.22% gain today, my shares are up 9.91% total since open.
I had something else to say here, so I didn’t hit send earlier, but I forgot what ↗
- 2026-06-01 — What are the chances my CAR call options will ever go up again before expiry? I bought a little too early (plus the massive theta decay), so they’re a bit in the red from further IV crush ↗
- 2026-06-01 — > The sources explicitly define tracking error (TE) as "deviations from the benchmark".
> A purely passive index fund is designed to blindly copy the market, meaning it takes no active bets and therefore has a tracking error of "N/A". However, an active manager's goal is to beat the benchmark (generate pre-tax alpha), which requires them to actively hold a different portfolio of stocks than the index.
Well, not necessarily @NotebookLM. You could hold the same portfolio as the index just with different allocations. Still working through this paper. Finally got a chance to read it. I’m on page 6.
Paper by Sosner et al under @CliffordAsness ↗
- 2026-06-01 — We haven’t had an “im about to puke” day in over two months
Just an observation ↗
- 2026-06-01 — +1% today. Today’s one of those strange days when the stocks that are going up went up and the stocks that are going down went down (so far). Properly sized, I should’ve been up closer to 5%. ↗
- 2026-06-01 — I had an Intel buy execute today, probably near the bottom, but I don’t know whether to buy more or to close it and short, because I don’t have proper Market Data available at the moment ↗
- 2026-06-01 — Someone’s finished selling $NOW. What we don’t know is who it was or why. If someone wiser than myself figures it out, feel free to let me know ↗
- 2026-06-01 — Someone remind me of this. Over. And over.
Tomorrow’s the day you (no, not you, reader, I mean I), should buy more NOW, and more APPX. Not the day to trim or fear because I lost data access. Or wait for people to sell if I dare and then buy on a pullback ↗
- 2026-06-01 — Had sold 9% on a bigger account after hours on Friday just so I wouldn’t get an itchy trigger finger in case it went up today like it did. I’m not checking the account, but I’m so itching to sell some now on the accounts that have 24-hr overnight boats trading ↗
- 2026-06-01 — ing. It would’ve been nice to see when I wrote this, so I’d know if I put it right before Intel rushed from 90 to 130, or if I wrote it at 130 when it was too late. ↗
- 2026-05-31 — yes, that runon was on purpose. you could have stopped reading after "just like hpe," at which point it switched to stream-of-consciousness. ↗
- 2026-05-31 — "When I see a bubble forming, I rush in to buy, adding fuel to the fire." — Reflexivity INTC
The key to Soros's success isn't just "throwing fuel," but knowing when the "fire" has consumed all available oxygen. He exits the moment he senses the trend is no longer self-reinforc ↗
- 2026-05-31 — "Like Wile E. Coyote"
while I found it interesting (negative) that he said "I think it's Ecclesiastes" when quoting "there's nothing new under the sun," I won't dwell on that and will focus on this instead.
That's a great example! I was always using the egg man joke to explain liquidity, and yet I didn't see it in my own trades. This is also the first time it clicked as to why I've lost so much money in Micron over the years, as I buy the top and there are just no more incremental buyers, even though I've always been right, and just haven't had the stomach to hold through the lows, since I buy too high. ↗
- 2026-05-31 — I left a ton on the table yesterday. I should've shorted NVDA at 3:30 (technically, at 3:45 would be best, but that's hindsight bias--3:30 for the main position and 3:45 for pyramiding once proven right).
My head was spinning from the Dell win, and I completely missed the free money that I should have gotten. I could easily have doubled yesterday's profits with 0DTE/7DTE options, or at least heavily increased them further even with a straight short.
Thanks to @markflowchatter in this below post, with a little bit of common sense and another screen, I could have made a killing if I were watching. Had too much other stuff going on, and my mind was occupied. Missed out on a golden opportunity.
https://x.com/markflowchatter/status/2059637253240913982?s=20 ↗
- 2026-05-31 — so, the todo list: $alab $labx, $sndk $snxx, $samsung $ewy $koru, $app $appx, $dell $dlll, $lly $llyx.
don't follow me, but this is my "mega caps which are billionaire baby toys" watchlist
nvda nvdl/nvdu/nvdx/etc. and amd amdl/amuu and intc intw are separate
and asts/hood (sold early), $rklb (never touched) maybe
maybe even $nvo $nvox, $lmt $lmtl can join the billionaire baby index
no, this is not my current portfolio, not by a long shot. but it probably should be. ↗
- 2026-05-31 — i wonder how long before aschenbrenner busts.
($15b is a lot, but not enough to move all markets. what's really moving markets are the people following- and/or people controlling him, not the baby-faced billionaire himself. how long until they get bored, or is he just... right) ↗
- 2026-05-31 — idk about the ai crap, but I did pay them 20 bucks this month when I found out what they can do. ↗
- 2026-05-31 — I've been in this one for a bit. Idk why it's not included in the reset. If I had to buy one stock for the next few months, it would probably be this one, regardless of the price.
Just because memory mania™ hasn't hit it yet
I think I own ~200 shares of the ADR. Not a major holding yet. ↗
- 2026-05-31 — $ibm 350 july 17 calls. remember to get out when you feel comfortable. i think i'll probably be staying in $dell, as it'll be the market leader, but ibm will be a nice tail play. just like hpe. can't believe I sold hpe @ 37 after a rocket, then bought back @ 46 overnight. and i couldn't even sell at 42 for a loss because it would be a daytrade and I wouldn't be able to trade anymore on that account. ↗
- 2026-05-31 — @stockplaymaker1 that's not what he said. he said "I'm sure you're [the ceo of ibm] gonna say it's gonna go up a lot more, right?" ↗
- 2026-05-31 — There was a time when I thought this guy was respectable. He was warning us of things, and he was sharing his mind. And then I joined his newsletter, and started getting so much "buy my shit" spam that I began to lose respect, little by little, one email at a time.
Yesterday, I got a clickbait title that made the value go down greatly in my eyes, sort of like a stock that drops a bit at a time until a catalyst pushes it further (e.g. DUOL 1/26/26*). I remember a literal feeling of disgust pass through me as I skimmed that in my notifications. :/
Granted,
(1) I'm sure he's a decent analyst, but you should value your research properly. If you turn it into an annual subscription @ $100/yr. product, I'll treat you like one.
(2) I shouldn't be feeling this. This feeling tells me a lot about myself as well. While I expected us to have temporarily topped about a month ago, which is why it's so unreal watching what's happening now, it just sounds so clickbaity.
===
WARNING: Stream-of-consciousness beginning.
I think this is also a catalyst. I'll probably start selling my insights. I already have a substack, but it's not monetized nor shared. I'll just add an option to pay there, so people can pay if they want to. People who know me might get some for free. I mostly share the how.
<soc>
Sharing the what is stupid, although it's the way to sell things. You share the what and you share the why and you package those and turn them into sales material. But you never mention the how in the free material. I remember reading that somewhere.
And then what you sell is the how.
</soc>
People who follow me? I'll charge $10k/mo., which might come with 11 months free so it's $10k/yr. It'll basically be the same thing I share publicly. People don't really value free things, although we really should. People like Sandeman52 and Yeah_Dave and Tradr_G are great examples of those who don't charge and yet provide services that are worth, well, millions. They actually show how much it's worth in real time. Yet how much do we really value the free services? Meanwhile, others, like citrini are valued a lot because they make people pay for their services. And Citrini makes more money on selling his services probably even than from trading, if you exclude the stocks they buy and then pump in their aforementioned sold services. I was going to tag Dave and Sandeman, but then I remembered that (on top of being a promotional post) this is a post slamming someone for selling services, and I don't want to tag people when I'm deprecating someone.
Nothing against QTR, but this post just really rubbed me the wrong way yesterday.
* not the other drops, 11/6/2025 & 2/27/2026, which I'm guessing by looking just at a Yahoo! Finance chart are earnings days, but this one. A random catalyst, unrelated to anything major and that one wouldn't expect to have any effect, that doesn't completely devalue the object in the viewers' eyes ↗
- 2026-05-31 — Maybe I should still buy as soona s I clear out my portfolio.
https://x.com/SFWTrading/status/2060927283599212747?s=20 ↗
- 2026-05-31 — It's been a crazy couple years.
This is the swing/day options/shares long/short account
and the tiny (but growing!) "I'm smarter than the market so stop fucking bailing on positions" account. If I hadn't sold (read "bailed on") nearly all my $APPX at a 20% loss on 04/29 (literally the bottom day at the beginning of its ascent, although I think I sold it above VWAP of that day) and had just moved it all into the smaller (Hidden) account instead, that May performance would have been closer to 90% instead of 50%.
Note below. ↗
- 2026-05-29 — I shorted almost the $NBIS bottom ↗
- 2026-05-29 — Shorted $NBIS at the bottom ↗
- 2026-05-29 — $HPE 51B + $HPQ 23B = 75B
$DELL 205B at least it was… yesterday ↗
- 2026-05-29 — Cough cough $DELL $MU $AMD
To be fair, there were no multi trillion dollar companies in the past. $NVDA ↗
- 2026-05-29 — Buy high, sell low. Am I doing this right?
$AMD
I missed today’s MASSIVE $AMD run, even though I’ve been waiting for it for months. I had 400 shares today, and I sold them early, around 495. In fact, I sold them for a loss (E*Trade’s accounting is good, so they were recorded as a gain, but that’s not important). Should have been +$10k on this position alone ↗
- 2026-05-28 — Thanks Trump. I only have 10 shares from earlier, I think, but it was on my radar. DELL. Better than “expected” ↗
- 2026-05-28 — Long micron/short SanDisk (I know I’m stupid for this) currently ↗
- 2026-05-28 — My mother called. I closed the short. It’s cost me $500 so far. Expensive phone call. ↗
- 2026-05-28 — I can’t take it. $MU just went up too high today and I haven’t covered yet but I really want to, and it’s making it hard to focus on work ↗
- 2026-05-28 — It’s so hard not closing the short ↗
- 2026-05-28 — I was bleeding between 14 and 18 on that ETF. Finally let it go too early ↗
- 2026-05-28 — Really, listening to this video
Recently short $MU and $SNDK. I actually basically told you the point I shorted Micron
Been in $LLY and $DELL, but these are the 4 volatile positions I’m watching in case I’m wrong. ↗
- 2026-05-28 — Listening to this now, thanks @patrick_oshag for the interview ↗
- 2026-05-28 — Watching this, as I’m short MU and SNDK and long LLY and DELL ↗
- 2026-05-28 — This could have been 10% or more today
Separately, I think we start rolling over now ↗
- 2026-05-28 — I’m just sitting in DOCN while the things I sold rip higher. What a life! ↗
- 2026-05-28 — On a larger account, I took some SNXX at 1590… and I think I sold it at around 1610. ↗
- 2026-05-28 — AMD just broke the high. I have no business trading. The accounts without trading? Probably doing pretty well today. ↗
- 2026-05-28 — At the top, naturally. And filled at 223.95 ↗
- 2026-05-28 — Replaced it with a Cloudflare buy ↗
- 2026-05-28 — Smaller (margin) account:
I currently have a 48% allocation in digital ocean and a 13% allocation in service now. And 9% in each of DRAM and Cisco.
Going into today, I was also 107% allocated to AMD, which has now dropped to 0% for now. Will probably be back in by the end of the day. ↗
- 2026-05-28 — It really hurts how much pain I went through holding $NEBX call as the market ignored it, only to sell shorter dated, higher strike to pick up upside. May call essentially called away my shares. And I had the timing exactly right for the other option, too. It was set to June 2026 ↗
- 2026-05-28 — $now we’re talkin’ ↗
- 2026-05-27 — No idea about this company, but this is exactly what led me to DigitalOcean. DOCN makes it easy to spin up a droplet and run what I need to on a 24/7 server, so my computer doesn’t slow down and heat up and so it doesn’t pause when I close the screen ↗
- 2026-05-27 — Congrats @Sandeman52! If only we all had your conviction ↗
- 2026-05-27 — $MU 🚀 ↗
- 2026-05-27 — Okay, getting there ↗
- 2026-05-27 — Yay ↗
- 2026-05-27 — Is this the one? ↗
- 2026-05-27 — Dang, missed this short. Should’ve been easy.
I made sure I didn’t have a position in it, but I didn’t think to short it ↗
- 2026-05-27 — I have a better idea: long $X/short $SPCX ↗
- 2026-05-27 — “Or we’ll have to blow them up” 😂 ↗
- 2026-05-27 — Bessent says that the stimulus check, I mean TRUMP account, will be coming out tomorrow morning. 6 million stinky checks ↗
- 2026-05-27 — I keep waiting, and it keeps not going up ↗
- 2026-05-27 — Ok, I think we’re getting somewhere. Now just 2–3 more hours of sitting on my hands ↗
- 2026-05-27 — When will $MU be a short? I failed short last night and went long this morning ↗
- 2026-05-27 — I’ve placed my bets. Now I just have to sit on my hands and not get out too early (and ideally cut where I was wrong) ↗
- 2026-05-27 — At this rate, I might blow up my account today ↗
- 2026-05-27 — Now I’m currently still long biased, but we just broke the bottom on Nvidia. I bought some at 210. I’m going to start buying up everything, to sell later ↗
- 2026-05-27 — Bottom in 3… 2… 1… ↗
- 2026-05-27 — Dang, I guess I have to buy now
At this point, it looks like the thesis is squeeze the shorts and make Léopold rich, and no one cares about $TE anymore, meme stock, And then it crashes and we ride it back down. But I can’t ride it back down if I don’t ride it up first, or I’ll miss it. Same goes for you, anon ↗
- 2026-05-27 — Phew. Glad I got out of that short. 957… ↗
- 2026-05-26 — Not gonna lie, I didn’t think that micron would hit 1 trillion before Intel and AMD did ↗
- 2026-05-26 — I closed my 75–68 buy at 82 and called it a win. Had a huge position relative to a smaller account size. ↗
- 2026-05-26 — Was I wrong to short MU at 900? ↗
- 2026-05-26 — What a day. ↗
- 2026-05-26 — Wow, that was not on my bingo card. North Korean—South Korean War this year (still seems like a stretch, even if the SK military claims NK has fired missiles!) ↗
- 2026-05-25 — $NQ 32000 ↗
- 2026-05-24 — $AAPL financial engineering analysis is ready. It examines the mechanical forces levitating Apple’s stock price, including the ~$850B buyback program since 2012, passive index flows via the Gabaix-Koijen multiplier, dealer gamma/vanna hedging dynamics, the $149B structured notes market and autocallable complex, JPMorgan’s Hedged Equity collar ($JHEQX) transmission effects, and dispersion trades. The report covers reflexive downside risks, the May 2025 buyback cut counter-example, and provides a staged tactical framework with quantitative triggers, concrete options structures, and caveats around data inference and fundamental dependencies. ↗
- 2026-05-24 — “I've known five of my predecessors in this job, some of them quite well. But Chairman Greenspan was the first to tell me and show me what this role demands,” Warsh said during a ceremony in the East Room. “Like Alan, I intend to fill the role of chairman with energy and purpose, just the way Chairman Mao did.”
I mean Greenspan. See Friedman’s free lunch myth, which I’ll attach below later ↗
- 2026-05-24 — I missed the blackberry pump this time. I have an order in that hasn’t been filled.
Note: unlike everyone else probably does the same thing it doesn't say so, I'll let you know period I haven't bothered to read the screenshots. I had Gemini create a PDF (and then I took screenshots because Twitter doesn't let me post PDFs) ↗
- 2026-05-24 — Just checked my Twitter bio.
No, it hasn’t been updated since 2024. Yes, I’m still long $CELH.
I have now round tripped most of my LEAPs from ~26 to 65 and back to 30. I have picked up (harvested) some premium over these last two years. I’m sure I posted in here when I sold calls. I probably also posted on here when I couldn’t stand it and thought we’d hit escape velocity and bought more calls.
Accounting for theta, and not accounting for the realized premium, I’m now down ~30% on the remaining position. And why am I not accounting for the realized premium? Because I'd rather imagine that I'm green than verify that position. This is purely psychological; in this company, I approximated the top; I approximated the bottom; and I missed the top. And this company has been an imagined cornerstone of my success, holding a high beta, high volatility toy with leverage while I think the market remains crazy. Monster did well; Celsius can🥫, too.
Tangent: Looking back, if I’d bought $MNST instead on the date I bought this, and managed to hold through a 20% drop (would have been a ~60–95% drop on my calls, which would've gone from expected upside positioning likely bought near the ask to “expected downside” positioning), instead of buying Celsius, and held, I would’ve returned 57% intrinsic, or close to 85-30=55/call intrinsic value. Since the calls would have been about $2k each, that’s 275% by now. Moral: buy the liquid leader, not the beta-to-beta. It was the right one to short, the wrong one to buy, even if it had a cult following. Buying Celsius in November 2024 (actually, the ideal would've been to wait until December 2024 anyway) was like buying Ethereum in December 2023.
https://x.com/sfwtrades/status/1856410154318868626?s=46&t=0ijc72CYyIh16-69fU_FPA ↗
- 2026-05-24 — (Context: While searching through my Celsius tweets, I saw one that I made in the past that I couldn't reply to. I wanted to figure out why. Turns out I’m blocked)
This is the day @bucketshopcap blocked me. He must’ve lost a ton and I made fun of him for being a jackass. ↗
- 2026-05-24 — Two years ago. Still a decent synthesis. The difference I see between then and now? The market just caught up by now. ↗
- 2026-05-24 — Tonight’s watchlist, videos I’m watching: ↗
- 2026-05-24 — At the same time, F me. I sold $INFQ on Monday, mere days before the trump announcement and I didn’t buy it back. I didn’t touch the accounts at all yesterday, but I could’ve picked up shares on Thursday ↗
- 2026-05-24 — This is always so nice to see. My trade LITERALLY top ticked $HPE. And HPQ/HPE is just getting started imo. But I think I get to buy it back lower before it goes ↗
- 2026-05-21 — Nokia now owns rapidapi. What a turn of events converging to tell me to go long a company that I was short with much conviction earlier. If only I'd flipped when I got out ↗
- 2026-05-21 — FINALLY a break! I think this is the one ↗
- 2026-05-21 — Interesting. Might check this out later ↗
- 2026-05-21 — South Korea Ministry of finance: South Korea will begin 24 hour trading beginning July 6 in its dollar-won spot market ↗
- 2026-05-21 — Is anyone else not up 300% YTD on a sizable account? ↗
- 2026-05-20 — $AMD was dropping. lol.
18000 share buy. ↗
- 2026-05-20 — This one hurt me in 2021, and I haven’t touched it since ↗
- 2026-05-20 — $SPCX, not $X??? ↗
- 2026-05-20 — 155,000 share buy $AMD ↗
- 2026-05-20 — Told you. $INTU ↗
- 2026-05-20 — Not holding SanDisk. It’s not its day today. Maybe tomorrow. About to close MU. Closed AMD too fast ↗
- 2026-05-20 — Deleting this post right $now. It’s at the same price after a bit of fluctuation over the last half hour, but I don’t want people following me into a trade while my account is public, without knowing whether I owned shares earlier or whether I was possibly even short before or what this purchase means to me. Can close the trade at this time. ↗
- 2026-05-20 — I also own some Japanese Kioxia. I figure they’ll be the primary catch up beneficiary ↗
- 2026-05-20 — I should’ve held my $ARM short. I wanted the long buy at 250, so why was I closing my short at 253 just to free up capital? ↗
- 2026-05-20 — LOL. I told you, it’s either degeneracy or just Barron. Don’t put much stock in these headlines ↗
- 2026-05-20 — “If”
lowering rates soon
“and they and several generally observed Middle East conflict significant risk” ↗
- 2026-05-20 — AMD’s up $30, 7%+. Not enough. Give me a clean 450–452 today. That will be enough for me this week and I can go home happy ↗
- 2026-05-20 — $SNDK
Been holding and waiting ↗
- 2026-05-20 — Someone just bought. A lot. ↗
- 2026-05-20 — $INTC is ~80-coded, but people know it can be 150 or 200 soon, so they’re buying it and not letting it breathe. ↗
- 2026-05-20 — Ironically, my sandisk profit today is greater than zero whereas my micron is at a loss ↗
- 2026-05-20 — And that’s on the account I’m watching ↗
- 2026-05-20 — Down 4K from a couple hours ago. I’m bad at this game. I should go back to chess. ↗
- 2026-05-20 — *** @etrade. Now, sub 300, they let us short $CBRS. Did @MorganStanley force a 6-day lockup on you? Everyone else had locates ↗
- 2026-05-20 — And… We're back! This is insane 😂
What a day
$MU $FICO not so much SNDK.
That’s been doing worse for me, maybe I’m just not seeing it right.
And $AMD it would be $1 trillion ↗
- 2026-05-20 — Long again ↗
- 2026-05-20 — I think $CBRS is directly competing with $MU. If no-memory wins, Cerebras wins. If memory wins, Micron/SK Hynix/Kyoxia/Samsung win. Either way, SanDisk wins (HBF is currently the expected way of storing data next to your graphics card)
$SNDK is in a league of its own, so it just bobs with memory names on its way to $7.5k pre-split (there’ll be a split in there somewhere). And instead of just holding SNDK, I’m trying to compound and make money myself like a dumbass
$NVDA is the winner, putting $AMD second
$INTC is a beneficiary as ~people~ data centers need computers and chips need packaging, putting $AMD second (in CPUs, others not on the tip of my tongue second in packaging)
There was more I would write here, but I’ve been delaying this tweet by 45 min to 1.5 hours already. ↗
- 2026-05-20 — Wow the scam companies sign agreements with each other! Circlejerk ad infinitum ↗
- 2026-05-20 — If you want to join Jay’s channel
https://www.tradewithtitans.com/get-access?checkout=1&plan=premium-annual
Promo code: gray2green
Or you can use: https://www.tradewithtitans.com/greenpill
GreenIsGood makes the first month free. And you can message him for the first free month using some ticket system. He suggests that if you don’t make enough money during the first month to cover the sub, then unsubscribe.
Way too expensive for me. Even with the code, etc., I can’t justify spending $2.2k/yr. on other people’s bots. I build my own infra with that, even less, money. Just requires thinking. If you’re not thinking, you’re not winning anyway, so you can just as well donate $5k to me if you’re gonna pay for these guys. Even though he does make for decent background noise, minus the insults. ↗
- 2026-05-20 — Software > semiconductors today
Semiconductors doing well today too ↗
- 2026-05-20 — Honestly, the fact that Trump made 3000+ trades last quarter is more reassuring to me than screaming corruption. Had he placed 25 trades that resulted in a net profit of 250%, that would’ve been bad. But placing 3000 trades just makes him (or his son Barron) as much of a degenerate as everyone else here. ↗
- 2026-05-20 — This is why I’m long $INTC and $AMD as my biggest positions. ↗
- 2026-05-20 — $KORU’s about to be an absolute game. Insane game. Are you ready? ↗
- 2026-05-20 — This is why I got shaken out. I knew enough to buy, assuming that it would be going up, and I bought roughly around the same point Venu did around the 380 volatility (although I think I was adding more around the 400 level), but I didn’t know where it would bottom. So I didn’t manage to hold it like a 100x trader, instead stopping out for fear of losing all my capital ↗
- 2026-05-20 — What I’m watching tonight: Two Sigma AI team lead, Mike Schuster ↗
- 2026-05-19 — Oh, I had the wrong parameters. There was only one sweep, and that was a seller sweep around 2:50, 5 minutes AFTER I’d noticed it dropping. Yet, I’m still holding and losing money, because I don’t expect the drop is much relative to the gain when it will go up ↗
- 2026-05-19 — LOTS of $AMD buyer sweeps coming through the tape. But it’s still heavy. I wonder if that means I should call it quits, or keep holding. ↗
- 2026-05-19 — Which I then proceeded to sell in favor of 15 shares, which went up ~$250 as the call went up $1200… and which FURTHER proceeded to sell at 1360 and missed I jump within minutes to 1369. Nice! ↗
- 2026-05-19 — I'm so good at this trading thing. I closed my $MU call at 36–the bid is now 51.35–to replace it with $SNDK, which dropped quite a bit before finally rising from 62 to currently 65 WITH A NEARLY $1000 SPREAD ↗
- 2026-05-19 — We can get momo in oil. And beaten down software. And somehow $ASTS because I sold omg ↗
- 2026-05-19 — That’s pretty much what I was saying a long time ago. I was saving cheap useless computers. But this is just incredibly bullish for $DOCN, as I’ve come to realize that a cheap droplet is actually cheaper than a 24/7 computer. And you can turn agents on and off. The very definition of economies of scale ↗
- 2026-05-19 — Incredible… no, actually very credible. The word I’m looking for is, “fascinating.”
The narrative while it was going up? War is brewing. The narrative as it drops? Anduril, etc. is better and defense is allocating capital away from LMT. Interesting how there’s always a reason. ↗
- 2026-05-19 — What does the options positioning say re: $INTC for this week and next week and the next up through the monthly opex for next month?
For INTC, spot in the chain is ~$108.17. OI data timestamp: May 19, 2026 01:34 UTC.
5/22 — this week
Read: pinned/choppy around 109–110 unless it breaks hard.
• Max pain: 109
• Put/call OI ratio: 1.78 — puts dominate
• Put walls/supports: 100P 11.7k, 98P 10.8k, 95P 15.1k, 90P 17.9k
• Sticky put wall above spot: 109P 10.2k, 114P 8.8k, 115P 6.0k
• Call walls above: 120C 9.5k, 125C 8.2k, 130C 11.5k
Translation: 109 is the magnet. Below that, 105 → 100/98 → 95 → 90. Upside gets harder at 115, then 120, then 125/130.
5/29 — next week
Read: max pain drops to 105, still put-heavy.
• Max pain: 105
• PCR: 1.56
• Supports: 100P 6.3k, 90P 8.5k, 88P 10.5k
• Call walls: 110C 4.3k, 120C 7.1k, 130C 5.6k
• Oddly large 115P 7.4k above spot — could be sticky if price rallies.
Translation: If it doesn’t reclaim/hold 110–115, next week’s positioning leans toward 105/100.
6/5
Read: lighter OI, still centered near 109.
• Max pain: 109
• PCR: 1.50
• Call walls: 110C 3.3k, 125C 2.6k, 130C 4.2k
• Supports: 100P 3.7k, then bigger lower walls at 80/75
Translation: Less decisive, but 110 and 130 are the key upside markers.
6/12
Read: much lighter / less useful.
• Max pain: 109
• PCR: 0.92
• Call walls: 140C 2.7k, 150C 1.2k, 165/170C
• Supports: 100P 1.5k, 90P 1.3k
Translation: Not enough OI to anchor much.
6/18 monthly OPEX
Friday 6/19 is Juneteenth, so monthly expiry is Thu 6/18.
Read: huge OI, but the raw max pain is distorted by old/deep strikes.
• Max pain prints: 57.5 — I would not use this literally.
• PCR: 0.79 — calls dominate
• Big real battlefield:
• 95: 16.8k C / 9.4k P
• 100: 11.0k C / 13.0k P
• 105: 15.4k C / 14.2k P
• 110: 10.3k C / 9.9k P
• 120: 16.5k C / 5.0k P
• 130: 17.8k C / 5.5k P
• 150C: 13.9k
Bottom line:
Near-term positioning says pin around 109–110, with downside shelves at 105/100/95/90. Upside needs to clear 115, then 120, with the real top wall this week at 130. Into June monthly, the setup becomes more call-heavy: if INTC can stay over 110 and especially 120, the OI map opens toward 130, then 150. ↗
See @sfwtrades on X →