This reader needs JavaScript for search, threads and tags. Recent tweets from @rubicon59:
- 2026-06-15 — SKHynix +7% in Korea. ↗
- 2026-06-15 — Compute & memory alone improve AI performance by orders of magnitude. ↗
- 2026-06-15 — "Meaningful (memory) supply doesn't start ramping until 2028." (Meanwhile demand moons because models and context.) $MU $KXIAY $SNDK SKHynix ↗
- 2026-06-15 — $EDU.AX +2x in 7mos since tweet ↗
- 2026-06-15 — My translation: load up on no-brainers only. Otherwise, money-market funds. ↗
- 2026-06-15 — Kioxia +10% in Japan ↗
- 2026-06-15 — “The way to build long term returns is through the preservation of capital and home runs.” ↗
- 2026-06-14 — GPU compute, CPU compute, Memory. We ain’s seen nothin’ yet. ↗
- 2026-06-12 — Priceless ↗
- 2026-06-12 — That’s because he never moved beyond his original circle of competence. ↗
- 2026-06-12 — SpaceX may have launched, but $NVDA will get to Mars first. ↗
- 2026-06-12 — Why overpay for SoaceX when you can k
own $INTC ↗
- 2026-06-12 — $SNDK +3x in 3 mos since tweet, and HBF hasn’t even started. 😱😱 ↗
- 2026-06-12 — Aaa….nd another one - $12.4m $NXSN ↗
- 2026-06-12 — Frankly looks like Sampras at peak >> Jokovic ↗
- 2026-06-11 — +20% for $KXIAY. We weren’t bombing Japan, were we? ↗
- 2026-06-11 — Was the bombing of $KXIAY plants cancelled? +17%? ↗
- 2026-06-11 — Why markets up so much all of a sudden? ↗
- 2026-06-11 — Kioxia +11% & moving to #1 market cap in Japan. 🚀 ↗
- 2026-06-11 — Patience is waiting for inference to spill out of HBM & start consuming HBF (which technically does not yet exist). $KXIAY $SNDK ↗
- 2026-06-11 — $INTC +10% on this BoA upgrade? ↗
- 2026-06-11 — It is as if $NXSN was expanding into a blue-sky drone-camera market. ↗
- 2026-06-11 — $MU re-rate? Really? Who could have possibly imagine that. ↗
- 2026-06-11 — $ORCL business was (IMHO) at its best when i used to ship software on CDs. I know, your opinions may differ. ↗
- 2026-06-11 — Tripling capacity will surely not keep
up with AI-driven momory demand (not even close) but should do wonders for SKHynix revenues/profits. ↗
- 2026-06-11 — Has anyone noticed the memory business transforming from historically C-yclical to now S-yclical? ↗
- 2026-06-11 — $NXSN starts June with a $9.6m order. The order sizes and cadence are on a whole new level this year. ↗
- 2026-06-11 — SkHynix is +9% in Europe and Kioxia, +7% overnight in Japan. FUD can keep
memories down, but for how long when tbe actual businesses are in the initial stages of an S curve? ↗
- 2026-06-11 — Baupost Group (Seth Klarman’s fund) has significantly underperformed major indexes in recent years, especially since around 2014. http://bloomberg.com ↗
- 2026-06-09 — I didn't like the "gaming slowdown" message $APP delivered today on their Jeffries conference presentation. :-(( ↗
- 2026-06-09 — “Around 1900–1901 (125 years ago), the horse and carriage industry largely viewed the emerging car (or “horseless carriage”) industry with skepticism, ridicule, dismissal as a passing fad or “foolish contraption,” and some active resistance. “ ↗
- 2026-06-09 — Like that famous clock, perma tech bears could be right one day I suppose. But not today. ↗
- 2026-06-09 — Poets write. Investors invest. ↗
- 2026-06-08 — For those into nitpicking, this is just a directional $INTC datapoint. ↗
- 2026-06-08 — TSMC is 20x revenue now. FWIW, at 10x of this revenue estimate, $INTC foundry business would be worth $1T ↗
- 2026-06-07 — This means SKhynix will likely earn its entire current MC before memory proces ever turn down. ↗
- 2026-06-07 — $INTC owns one of the three most precious AI bottlenecks - leading edge fabs, especially on China-safe soil. ↗
- 2026-06-07 — It was indeed $CRDO ↗
- 2026-06-07 — Only took 1 quarter tp double from the panic selloff in March. $CRDO ↗
- 2026-06-07 — Patience. $INTC ↗
- 2026-06-07 — $NXSN is +4x since. How did all that other tech hotness do? ↗
- 2026-06-07 — $APP stock has beaten $XYZ by a wide margin since. ↗
- 2026-06-07 — Analyst handholding should appear in about a month post IPO. ↗
- 2026-06-07 — IDK what happens Monday, but I’ll bet before long memory doomers will once again be unpleasantly surprised. ↗
- 2026-06-07 — The main reason a 37% revenue growth produced a +2.5x rise in adjusted FCF is that $LFTO true earning power has been masked by high interest payments. The other reason, OFC, is operating leverage. ↗
- 2026-06-07 — I don’t want to be harsh in disagreeing, but who knows. We shall see, I guess.🤷♂️ ↗
- 2026-06-07 — $NVDA stock has been mediocre since, but still ahead of $AAPl ↗
- 2026-06-07 — $BRO down almost in half, while $APP + 6x ↗
- 2026-06-07 — Well, $PSIX fell flat on its face, but most notable is $VRT’s high return even from a very high multiple. ↗
- 2026-06-07 — Interestingly, $MRVL ouperformed by a mile. 👀👀 ↗
- 2026-06-07 — A year later, $APP crushed $SNAP, OFC ↗
- 2026-06-06 — My guess is $EVC should outperform $APP & $LFTO by a wide margin in the NTM. We shall see. ↗
- 2026-06-06 — $PSIX , a disappointment & presumably a shitco, still crushed the $NVDA stock, a business darling. (Price matters.) ↗
- 2026-06-06 — The weighing machine is ahead so far. $APP 🏆 vs. $HIMS 😩 ↗
- 2026-06-06 — The race is over.. $IESC has crushed $TVK.TO which tanked 😜 ↗
- 2026-06-06 — $LfTO margins are expanding nicely, closing in on Applovin’s with room. ↗
- 2026-06-06 — $LFTO has no consensus number and no analyst coverage yet. I guess Mr. Market needs hamndholding. The lead banks were Goldman Sachs, Jefferies, and Morgan Stanley, with several additional co-managers. ↗
- 2026-06-05 — Today panic reminds me of the great 30% memory selloff of March ‘26. Memory stocks are, OFC, +2.5x since. 😱 ↗
- 2026-06-05 — $LFTO, along with $APP and $EVC is one of the purest AI application "plays". Aside from coding, it is hard to find a more natural near term AI beneficiary, and coding AIs aren't publicly traded. (And if they were, valuations would be silly, I am sure.) ↗
- 2026-06-05 — Last year's $LFTO business & growth was great, and this Q1 they really held back general & admin expenses while revenue hyper-growth continued, leading to a sharp margin spike. A 37% revenue growth produced a +2.5x rise in adjusted (by my calcs) FCF. Who knows if such operating leverage will continue? ↗
- 2026-06-05 — No large-customer concentration, and the $LFTO business is far more diversified than $APP beyond gaming on both supply and demand sides, though Applovin growth and margins remain superior. ↗
- 2026-06-05 — It looks to me like a slew of confusing adjustments and a large pre-IPO debt/interest expenses are confusing investors as to the true earning power of the $LFTO business. Or I could be wrong, of course. ↗
- 2026-06-05 — None of the large shareholders are selling shares in the IPO. The entire $437m fundraise is going to reducing $LFTO debt. ↗
- 2026-06-05 — Donwe have another ridiculous “Deep Seek-like” FUD moment? ↗
- 2026-06-05 — $LFTO that IPOed yesterday looks very attractive IMHO. A similar business to $APP at essentially half the fcf multiple.”( my imperfect calcs). Also makes $EVC even more of a no-brainer by comparison. ↗
- 2026-06-05 — The losers mocking Jensen & $NVDA CPUs will learn their lessson in due time. ↗
- 2026-06-05 — Got to love Mr. Grinches. Give it time for them to embarass themselves. ↗
- 2026-06-04 — “Vera CPU performance is about a 2x of any other x86 CPUs.” $NVDA ↗
- 2026-06-04 — Optics is the future, but optics semi stock prices look silly (at least to me). ↗
- 2026-06-04 — Maybe it is not obvious, but $NVDA is a recurring revenue business. ↗
- 2026-06-04 — $AVGO is 2x $NVDA multiple and $NVDA is a superior business. ↗
- 2026-06-04 — The more I run the numbers, the more $NVDA looks like a no-brainer at these prices. ↗
- 2026-06-04 — What? No TPUs? ↗
- 2026-06-04 — They used to scream about memory top cycle because single digot multiples. Are we good now in low teens? ↗
- 2026-06-04 — They will learn eventually. $NvDA ↗
- 2026-06-03 — At almost $0.6T MC now with business momentum, a $1T $INTC doesn’t seem so far fetched, does it? ↗
- 2026-06-03 — Significantly expands NAND TAM. $KXIAY $SNDK ↗
- 2026-06-02 — Is mr. Market paying attention? $NVDA ↗
- 2026-06-02 — This is quite transformative if $NVDA pulls it off. ↗
- 2026-06-02 — A big ++ for $INTC foundry services. ↗
- 2026-06-02 — I’ll be darned. $KXIAY has leapfrogged in NAND 😱👀 ↗
- 2026-06-01 — Rumor is that #SKHynix and Kioxia US ADRs will include liquid cooling. ↗
- 2026-06-01 — I don't take analysts too seriously, but FWIW, GS on $MU:
"The market will start to put a more "normal" multiplle on the stock, and MU will continue to re-rate hgher."
Upped EPS estimates to peak @ $167 in FY'28, but nobody really knows... ↗
- 2026-06-01 — $MU is now in the $1T club with the $1.2T MC ↗
- 2026-06-01 — Well. Closer to 9x after today. $HPQ ↗
- 2026-06-01 — Intel inference GPU revenue & the only supplier with its own geo-risk-free fabs - not priced in. $INTC ↗
- 2026-06-01 — “The number of software engineers is actually increasing. Talk about AI reducing jobs is complete nonsense.” JH @ GTC Taiwan ↗
- 2026-06-01 — They should rename Kioxia to Pyroxia. +15% today. $KXIAY ↗
- 2026-06-01 — Korea now has two >$1T MC company, and a Korean founder runs Japan’s biggest MC business ↗
- 2026-06-01 — If AI PCs take off, $HPQ may fly from a current 8x FCF multiple. ↗
- 2026-06-01 — Mucho updido still $DELL ↗
- 2026-06-01 — $KXIAY +50% in 15 days? ↗
- 2026-06-01 — $MU bear thesis: “Should have sold at $300 two month ago so that not to face a cyclical drop from $1,000 later.” ↗
- 2026-06-01 — Has $MU rerated yet after 2x in a month? ↗
- 2026-06-01 — Total Recall ↗
- 2026-06-01 — What if a brand new PC supercycle like in the 90’s? ↗
- 2026-06-01 — $NXSN +$9.6m order ↗
- 2026-06-01 — $DELL price run-up looks scary, but I see mucho upsido still. ↗
- 2026-06-01 — Fire also broke out at #Kioxia in Japan. I mean with the stock price, and they can't bring it under control. ↗
- 2026-05-30 — A +20% gain for $NXSN US holders on the currency exchange rate on top of the +3x constant-currency gain. ↗
- 2026-05-30 — What if a brand new PC supercycle like in the 90’s? ↗
- 2026-05-30 — In my humble tourist opinion, NAND is yet to have its full day in the AI sun. #kioxia $sndk ↗
- 2026-05-29 — https://x.com/knockouttrader/status/2060029185117082069?s=46 ↗
- 2026-05-29 — Kioxia at ATH in Japan ↗
- 2026-05-29 — $DELL with blowout earnings and +40% AH. But strangely still looks attractively priced. ↗
- 2026-05-27 — My money is on $CGEH exit liquidity ↗
- 2026-05-27 — It was a good day to add to $KXIAY ↗
- 2026-05-27 — Mr. Market was dumping $APP a week ago, but lovin it now. #efficient ↗
- 2026-05-27 — I wonder if $APP is still interested in $U ↗
- 2026-05-27 — Worth. repeating $APP ↗
- 2026-05-27 — That’s a hell of a PT raise $SNDK ↗
- 2026-05-27 — When DEI meets math & science….. ↗
- 2026-05-27 — As discussed, $MU (and ilk) reratiing is under way. ↗
- 2026-05-27 — The YouTube numbers look suspiciously low here, but the point remains. $APP serves a massive number of highly-engaged gaming DAUs - more engaged than Meta users even. ↗
- 2026-05-26 — Assuming the comp numbers presented are true, but they sound about right. ↗
- 2026-05-26 — That's 2x of Snap, YouTube, and Reddit combinded and way above TikTok's 1b DAUs. $APP ↗
- 2026-05-26 — Indeed.
">Memory at lows relative to massive growth vs. power/cooling/optical priced for perfection can't both be right. The AI stack is cross-sectionally inefficient." ↗
- 2026-05-26 — Does anyone remember the great TurboQuant memory panic of April ‘26? $MU >2x since 😱 ↗
- 2026-05-26 — Kioxia ADR in the US hits an ATH. $KXIAY ↗
- 2026-05-26 — In celebration of the Memorial day? $MU +17%, $KXIAY +14%, $SNDK +7.5% ↗
- 2026-05-26 — I see what I did here. ↗
- 2026-05-26 — #Memory. $MU $SNDK #skhynix #kioxia ↗
- 2026-05-26 — Is this why $APP is +9% this AM? ↗
- 2026-05-26 — How long before Kioxia ATH in Japan? ↗
- 2026-05-26 — SKHynix hits ATH in Korea #memory ↗
- 2026-05-23 — Profiled here last summer along with $INTC as "Two bright dumpster fires", $MRVL is +3x since, while $INTC +6x, far outpacing $AVGO. Lessons learned? https://irrationalanalysis.substack.com/p/marvell-and-intel-catch-up-note?r=w0ow9&utm_medium=ios&triedRedirect=true ↗
- 2026-05-23 — "Unprecedented memory supercycle." $MU #SKHynix #Kioxia $SNDK #SamsungE. ↗
- 2026-05-23 — As Moore's law and chip oversizing run out of steam, packaging is the new AI semis performance frontier. $INTC ↗
- 2026-05-23 — This time, pulling the trigger. ↗
- 2026-05-23 — Note that $FCEL is working with at least three serious datacenter partners bidding on at least 1.2GW of datacebter business n Q1 alone, while $BE seems severely backlogged. ↗
- 2026-05-23 — In many ways this reminds of the no-growth-busines-masking-hypergrowth-business Applovin set up two years ago.
In this case, though, the $EVC’s money-losing no-growth media bisiness could be worth more than the current MC because spectrum. ↗
- 2026-05-22 — Don’t forget that $FCEL is running the largest (60MW) fuel cell plant in the world in Korea, and is collaborating in another 100MW deal. ↗
- 2026-05-22 — The 60mw $FCEL deal out for the county approval is highly likely just one of many in the works. ↗
- 2026-05-22 — Another huge shot on $APP goal. There is no downside. ↗
- 2026-05-22 — I’ve seen the recent posts detailing all the shortcomings of $FCEL.
While technically correct, it is missing the forrest for the trees, IMHO.
$FCEL is $1.4b with a $1.5b pipeline and partners, while $BE is $80b as fuel cells suddenly emerge as the sweet spot for datscenter power. ↗
- 2026-05-22 — 1. SRAM then 2. DRAM/HBM (hot now.) 3. Next: NAND/HBF $SNDK #Kioxia (much cheaper) ↗
- 2026-05-22 — Applovin new social media app, Gist is live in the Appstore (limited access, apparently). 👁️👁️ "Speak softly and carry a big stick." $APP ↗
- 2026-05-22 — $NVDA one of the fastest and best positioned is one of the cheapest right now. I rest my case. ↗
- 2026-05-22 — #Kioxia also happened to be the cheapest memory name at the moment. ↗
- 2026-05-22 — As agentic AI shifts the bottleneck toward persistent storage and long-term context retention, NAND and high-capacity flash storage have yet to experience the full wave of AI-driven demand (IMHO). $SNDK #Kioxia ↗
- 2026-05-22 — They pretty much nail it re $FCEL thesis on this podcast. https://x.com/daniel_koss/status/2057467469309108718/video/1?s=46 ↗
- 2026-05-21 — With T5 - a major datacenter developer of 22 datacenters and a 1.7GW (T5, not $FCEL) pipeline. ↗
- 2026-05-21 — Looks like $FVEL closed a major 60MW data center order via a partner pending local county approval. ↗
- 2026-05-21 — $EVC DSP business alone is worth 2x the current MC even san the one concentrated customer. And then there is more. ↗
- 2026-05-21 — The biggest, baddest, most liquid stock now has microcap-like price potential. $NVDA ↗
- 2026-05-21 — Pre earnings $NVDA consensus EPS was $8.41. I bet to be upgraded~$11 soon ↗
- 2026-05-21 — "This is the market we never addressed before". $NVDA ↗
- 2026-05-21 — "Expect the 2nd category (non hyperscalers) to be larger in the next several years." "And btw, $NVDA is nearly 100% share in that 2nd category." ↗
- 2026-05-21 — "$20b is just for the stand-alone Vera CPU" ↗
- 2026-05-21 — "We are gaining share tremendously fast in inference". $NVDA ↗
- 2026-05-21 — "We should be growing faster than hyperscaler capex". $NVDA 👀👓 ↗
- 2026-05-21 — $NVDA: "Vera CPU opens a brand-new $200 billion TAM for NVIDIA. We have visibility to nearly $20 billion in total CPU revenue this year, setting us up to become the world's leading CPU supplier." ↗
- 2026-05-21 — $NVDA : "Our share of frontier AI models will grow significantly." ↗
- 2026-05-21 — No wonder $INTC is +7.5% today after LBT’s talk at the JPM conference. ↗
- 2026-05-21 — LBT: “ $INTC is going after ASIC business (in a unique way)” ↗
- 2026-05-21 — LBT: “ $INTC EMIB-T packaging is $ billions in the next few years. Customers are now prepaying substrate commitments.” 👀👀 ↗
- 2026-05-21 — “Good news. $INTC 14A risk production is 2028 and volume 2028 is about the same as A14 for TSMC.” ↗
- 2026-05-21 — LBT outlines AI strategy (paraphrasing for clarity:
In CPU, going after ASIC market, in inference, teaming up with SambaNova to leapfrog performance in “some” areas. Pursuing some kind of memory play. ↗
- 2026-05-21 — “I hired a guy (ex Qualcom), and we ($INTC ) are going after physical AI.” ↗
- 2026-05-21 — LBT on $INTC in AI: “I back low-power (GPU) wafer scaling. I was in Cerebras series A, and I backed SambaNova. SambaNova and Intel can win cloud infrastructure play with much lower power requirements.” ↗
- 2026-05-21 — Lip-Bu Tan appears to be hinting at a much closer strategic relationship between $INTC and Google. Suggests collaboration around AI infrastructure silicon, not just ordinary enterprise computing. ↗
- 2026-05-21 — “Lip-Bu, we (customers) are going to fo big time with you, and we’re going to announce a couple of areas that we are working together. So stay tuned.” ↗
- 2026-05-21 — LBT on $INTC 14A: “0.9 PDK, the holy grail, coming in October. Multiple customers are engaged.” ↗
- 2026-05-21 — It would be a lot better for the memory makers to increase capacity and keep prices in check. ↗
- 2026-05-21 — That memory cost in the VR rack is insane. ↗
- 2026-05-21 — I second that opinion. $FCEL ↗
- 2026-05-21 — Unlike with most SaaS, $NVDA SBC is a rounding error. ↗
- 2026-05-20 — $NVDA smashes estimates again. Revenue + 85% YOY, NI +135%. Guiding 94% revenue growth. Looks like ~20x PE on this FY eps. Eventually, the weighing machine will make the voting machine look dumb. ↗
- 2026-05-20 — $FCEL + 15% on $BE Nebius deal. They don’t even need any sales, LOL. ↗
- 2026-05-19 — You can choose to beleieve or not, but LBT is telling you the $INTC 14A node will be on par with TSMC’s (and packaging tech will be ahead.). + The US Gov will make sure TSMC is not the main supplier, leaving Intel in the driver seat. ↗
- 2026-05-19 — Is that t not plainly clear that TSMC can not be a long term advanced chip supplier? $INTC ↗
- 2026-05-18 — If so, why was the trial allowed? ↗
- 2026-05-18 — Kioxia stock in Japan halted because buy order imbalance? Is that true? I see bids ~15% above Friday close & earnings but no volume. #memory ↗
- 2026-05-17 — $INTC The only game in town now? ↗
- 2026-05-17 — When (and if) HBF hits, those two will be the major beneficiaries. ↗
- 2026-05-16 — Kioxia along with SK Hynix is now the cheapest of the memory companies at ~7x this FY earnings. ↗
- 2026-05-16 — 13F's are like OnlyFans for investors. ↗
- 2026-05-16 — Neither have yet scored a DC power order, but $CGEH has many times bigger available capacity, and its valuation is a fraction of $FCEL’s. ↗
- 2026-05-15 — $FCEL makes another ATH 🤷♂️ ↗
- 2026-05-15 — “Give me your tired, your poor, Your huddled masses yearning to breathe free.” - $CGEH Exit Liquidity ↗
- 2026-05-15 — I thought Mr. Market said SaaS was dead not too long ago? ↗
- 2026-05-15 — $EVC looks promising to me here, even as many would be put off by a sharp recent run up, insider sales, and a big single-customer concentration. ↗
- 2026-05-15 — Just algos having fun? ↗
- 2026-05-15 — That hands down beats $BE’s +2.2x over the same 40 day period. ↗
- 2026-05-15 — Nvidia Vera Rubin ramp in H2 2026 should turbo-charge $MU unit/volume growth via HBM shipments. #SecondWind ↗
- 2026-05-15 — I guess the price was right? ↗
- 2026-05-15 — $VSNT, a melting ice cube , +33% since tweet, nasty comments notwithstanding. ↗
- 2026-05-14 — $DLO earnings were OK but kind of meh. ↗
- 2026-05-14 — $FCEL +3x in 40 days since. 🤷♂️ ↗
- 2026-05-14 — Warsh is starting as the new Fed chair Friday? ↗
- 2026-05-14 — There’s money in that thar exit liquidity. ↗
- 2026-05-14 — Intel is still the US #1 strategic asset. $INTC ↗
- 2026-05-14 — What if the $CGEH exit liquidity will have the last laugh? ↗
- 2026-05-14 — Ha ha…just get popcorn ready ↗
- 2026-05-14 — A 10%+ uplift to $NVDA revenue? Does anybody have estimates? ↗
- 2026-05-14 — $APP -7% yesterday, +7% today. Respect the market, they say :-(( ↗
- 2026-05-14 — It’s only been 10 days since… $NVDA ↗
- 2026-05-14 — $APP now is a pure play on agentic commerce.
Did Mr. Market not notice just yet because busy chasing #AI dreams with no history of success but amazing theoretical future? ↗
- 2026-05-14 — The sun never sets on the SK Hynix trading “empire”. ↗
- 2026-05-13 — AI agents creating and placing ads on the Applovin network. It is a whole new AI tailwind for $APP ↗
See @rubicon59 on X →