{"NODES":{"1942148159859282354":{"id":"1942148159859282354","date":"2025-07-07 09:06:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@kchoudhu So far I'm skeptical they will.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942148016380518701","reply_id":"1942148016380518701","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"kchoudhu","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":365,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942148159859282354","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1534022337070215168":{"id":"1534022337070215168","date":"2022-06-07 04:00:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@fchollet Programming-as-cookbook vs programming-as-mechanism-construction.\n\nThe former is much more tangible.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1534021832289898496","reply_id":"1534021832289898496","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"fchollet","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1534022337070215168","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1536502063068155904":{"id":"1536502063068155904","date":"2022-06-14 00:13:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@hamandcheese @vgr Early Simpsons.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536501200333463557","reply_id":"1536501200333463557","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"hamandcheese","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1536502063068155904","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1713917584838738382":{"id":"1713917584838738382","date":"2023-10-16 13:59:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase Siamese Dream is as close to a perfect album as was produced in that era.\n\nYou should check out Pisces Iscariot, the collection of b-sides. Retains that early production process.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1713904836725391848","reply_id":"1713916893642506583","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":69,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1713917584838738382","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1541844806900408320":{"id":"1541844806900408320","date":"2022-06-28 18:03:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Pretty bold to name your cloud product after a failed Hooli cloud product of the same name.\n\n🤷‍♂️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1541844806900408320","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1541844806900408320","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1856421880460390648":{"id":"1856421880460390648","date":"2024-11-12 19:40:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@andrewmccalip As a kid I used to try to trick it by opening it fast. My dad didn't know. But I couldn't resist trying.\n\nI don't remember if I succeeded.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1856421423339946320","reply_id":"1856421423339946320","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"andrewmccalip","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":570,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1856421880460390648","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1788928008784625748":{"id":"1788928008784625748","date":"2024-05-10 13:44:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod Apols for ignorance but what do you mean by insurance wrapper? The only thing that occurs to me is whole life insurance that people use to get around estate taxes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788923697908339031","reply_id":"1788926981842653230","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2300,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788928008784625748","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1507498350467112960":{"id":"1507498350467112960","date":"2022-03-25 23:23:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Strong signal for someone that's good to work with:\n\n1. You (neutrally) point out a small typo or technicality in something they wrote.\n2. They thank you and fix it.\n\nVery predictive.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507498350467112960","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":164,"retweets":6,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":17,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507498350467112960","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2042144078314242552":{"id":"2042144078314242552","date":"2026-04-09 07:34:24","author":"gum","handle":"gum1h0x","text":"RT @gum1h0x: ok i read the cyber part of the mythos model card. some thoughts. 250 \"trials\" across 50 crash categories but almost every full exploit is a permutation of the same 2 bugs, rediscovered from different starting points not 250 independent attempts. when you get rid of those 2 bugs out (fig B) and mythos's full-exploit rate drops to 4.4%. so actually across both setups mythos leverages 4 distinct bugs total not 50 as fig A might suggest. 1/n","hashtags":[],"conv":"2042144078314242552","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2041917868158202022","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":127,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":4,"bookmarks":0,"media":["2042144078314242552_1.png","2042144078314242552_2.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/gum1h0x/status/2042144078314242552"},"1300084347387535360":{"id":"1300084347387535360","date":"2020-08-30 14:53:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SimonDeDeo @parallaxoptics It's a well-trod path.\n\n\"Mugged by reality\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1300067833817305090","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1300084347387535360","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1670486181593620480":{"id":"1670486181593620480","date":"2023-06-18 17:38:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount PhD candidates often find Kalman filters useful for things.\n\nThose who actually try to make money trading, not so much.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1670484198115745792","reply_id":"1670484198115745792","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":1497,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1670486181593620480","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1896601691300180054":{"id":"1896601691300180054","date":"2025-03-03 16:40:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@azad_champion Is it too much to ask to live in on an Orbital?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1896576933397414324","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":88,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1896601691300180054","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2051260719396483109":{"id":"2051260719396483109","date":"2026-05-04 11:20:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Mostly telling AI what to do, and occasionally accepting its suggestions for what it should do, still the dominant strategy.\n\nLike having a junior coworker, minus the work needed for (and upside from) upskilling them over time.\n\n(no improving its durable context isn't upskilling)","hashtags":[],"conv":"2051260719396483109","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":62,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":6170,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2051260719396483109","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1460053224753283075":{"id":"1460053224753283075","date":"2021-11-15 01:13:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@agtrader 99,999,999/11,111,111?\n\n🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1460050980821561346","reply_id":"1460052163607072772","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"agtrader","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1460053224753283075","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1709952508825579842":{"id":"1709952508825579842","date":"2023-10-05 15:23:42","author":"Barry Ritholtz","handle":"Ritholtz","text":"I discussed Going Infinite, SBF, FTX, and the 60 Minutes backlash with Michael Lewis yesterday for an hour and a half.   \n\nI am hoping the pod drops tomorrow, but in the meantime, here are a few thoughts:\n\nhttps://ritholtz.com/2023/10/cancelling-michael-lewis/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709952508825579842","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1710037186253553901","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":108,"retweets":7,"replies":17,"quotes":6,"views":31433,"bookmarks":15,"media":["1709952508825579842_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Ritholtz/status/1709952508825579842"},"1546257368953995264":{"id":"1546257368953995264","date":"2022-07-10 22:17:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @EntropyChase This is the book that got me interested in a career in trading.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546221416558854146","reply_id":"1546232831994744832","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546257368953995264","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1921908634780639448":{"id":"1921908634780639448","date":"2025-05-12 12:41:40","author":"Abdul Al-Asaad","handle":"Abude_al_asaad","text":"It’s been almost five years to the day since the idea first hit me.\n\nI was working at Goldman Sachs, watching wealthy clients grow their fortunes. There was nothing magical about it — they just had the one thing that mattered most: capital to compound.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1921908634780639448","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1922217541520314643","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2157,"retweets":108,"replies":277,"quotes":399,"views":5379685,"bookmarks":2677,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Abude_al_asaad/status/1921908634780639448"},"1472628307069837312":{"id":"1472628307069837312","date":"2021-12-19 18:02:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolQuant Me neither, at least not explicitly. As a MM you leg into structures (or approximations of structures) but every leg is individually considered. Overly reductive questions:\n\n- Is there edge to doing this leg?\n- If not, is it reducing my risk to let me do other good trades?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1472410518811987969","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1472628307069837312","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1437115847932145666":{"id":"1437115847932145666","date":"2021-09-12 18:08:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sajidnizami This was such a great antidote to the Agile religion:\n\nhttps://www.fastcompany.com/28121/they-write-right-stuff","hashtags":[],"conv":"1437111391857434628","reply_id":"1437114980323631109","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1437115847932145666","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2050300817484423650":{"id":"2050300817484423650","date":"2026-05-01 19:46:22","author":"DYJ","handle":"davidyjeong","text":"maker fees is an extractive feature of CEXs that got adopted by everyone else because it is profitable\n\non tradfi exchanges, whether its inverted or not, one side gets a rebate (regardless of volume traded). even on AMMs, LPs get a share of the fees\n\nnormalize negative maker","hashtags":[],"conv":"2050300817484423650","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2050471279082299898","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":64,"retweets":2,"replies":8,"quotes":4,"views":62523,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/davidyjeong/status/2050300817484423650"},"1415327364620324868":{"id":"1415327364620324868","date":"2021-07-14 15:08:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RockshotJ @KrisAbdelmessih This is very true. Which makes it funny that, since the big skill is \"how do you manage contractors\", there's no education for that other than the school of hard knocks.\n\nAnd no one knows how to eval candidates for their ability to do that mgmt.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"1415326875010936832","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RockshotJ","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415327364620324868","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1184933996330831872":{"id":"1184933996330831872","date":"2019-10-17 20:47:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Imagine once *everything* goes to the subscription revenue model.\n\nLords and serfs all over again, but more atomic.\n\nPeer-to-peer feudalism?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1184933996330831872","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1184933996330831872","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1633934267649761283":{"id":"1633934267649761283","date":"2023-03-09 20:54:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"13/ Things like:\n\n“Don’t be short-sighted.”\n“Don’t do things that would risk your reputation.”\n“Don’t take risks that could be existential to the firm!”\nand\n“You’re never as smart as you think you are.”","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633934250620891136","reply_id":"1633934266215301120","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":35,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3214,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633934267649761283","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1458472672078151689":{"id":"1458472672078151689","date":"2021-11-10 16:32:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ryxcommar Most companies have terrible hiring processes.\n\nIME it's the most Dunning-Kruger area of almost every company. Everyone thinks they're somewhere between pretty decent and great.\n\nAnd they're not.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1458449216385261576","reply_id":"1458449216385261576","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ryxcommar","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1458472672078151689","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1967904172969525368":{"id":"1967904172969525368","date":"2025-09-16 10:51:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Part 2\n\nhttps://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1967904052492292171","hashtags":[],"conv":"1962464144117870719","reply_id":"1962464144117870719","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2298,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1967904172969525368","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1809361689965654407":{"id":"1809361689965654407","date":"2024-07-05 23:00:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Noahpinion Anyone who's had experience with the educational system in the US knows that what's holding it back:\n\n- Undertalented and underskilled math teachers.\n- Low de facto standards. Almost no one *actually* cares.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1809284971779195061","reply_id":"1809284971779195061","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Noahpinion","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":390,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1809361689965654407","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1506045264510926850":{"id":"1506045264510926850","date":"2022-03-21 23:09:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"38/ When JWH calls you probably take the call.\n\nEven if it's not about the money, the fact you get the call is often enough.\n\nBilly didn't want the money. It turns out what he wanted was having JWH tell him he DID do something memorable.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1506045263042920448","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1506045264510926850","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1477320198508011523":{"id":"1477320198508011523","date":"2022-01-01 16:45:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"10/\n6⃣ Grifters set themselves up against “the man”, however they define it. Pro traders, market makers, people inside the marble hallways of Wall Street, etc. \n\nThis is another “trust” technique: “I’m on your side, telling you the stuff *they* don’t want you to hear.”","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477320189653893121","reply_id":"1477320197597904896","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477320198508011523","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2077448289847259202":{"id":"2077448289847259202","date":"2026-07-15 17:40:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"For myself, I do actually need to see meaningful AGI/ASI dangers starting to occur. Not theorized ones. I've followed the Yud/safeAI axis for almost 20 years. First it was grey goo then it was FOOM in a weekend, now it's large training runs. And every time so far it's been wrong.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2077448246570504529","reply_id":"2077448287720800585","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":57,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":3853,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2077448289847259202","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1559693312381988864":{"id":"1559693312381988864","date":"2022-08-17 00:07:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Also, it's a myth that one is more profitable than the other. Not true!\n\nA. Sometimes the access ppl make all the $ by finding, cultivating + maintaining relationships w/ the other side. Or w/ network effects (exchanges).\n\nB. Sometimes it's the risk ppl that make the $. Depends.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1559691124511428608","reply_id":"1559692619159990273","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1559693312381988864","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1846542157697442092":{"id":"1846542157697442092","date":"2024-10-16 13:22:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"A question for the C++ people:\n\nHow do you live like this?\n\nThe same question you might ask if you were dropped in a third world slum.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1846542157697442092","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1925915803238404288","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":97,"retweets":0,"replies":22,"quotes":1,"views":22152,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1846542157697442092","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1950895160469958824":{"id":"1950895160469958824","date":"2025-07-31 12:23:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@carry_inv @0xpostscryptum @izebel_eth Also a cultural factor, surely. Gambling degenness has been a feature in Confucian cultures for... ever.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1950876241348727202","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":96,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1950895160469958824","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1994714152636690834":{"id":"1994714152636690834","date":"2025-11-29 10:24:48","author":"Tibor Blaho","handle":"btibor91","text":"ChatGPT Android app 1.2025.329 beta includes new references to an \"ads feature\" with \"bazaar content\", \"search ad\" and \"search ads carousel\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1994714152636690834","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1995038832291713309","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2834,"retweets":253,"replies":139,"quotes":372,"views":5446080,"bookmarks":539,"media":["1994714152636690834_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/btibor91/status/1994714152636690834"},"1542001290242183169":{"id":"1542001290242183169","date":"2022-06-29 04:25:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 @JessicaNutt96 @EmanuelDerman Yes, and I'd argue that that's why BS a useful pricing convention. It gets close-ish to a true description of how the und moves.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1541994841743233024","reply_id":"1542000221835739136","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1542001290242183169","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1282684076827136000":{"id":"1282684076827136000","date":"2020-07-13 14:31:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BeingHorizontal @famadeo The difference between MSE and MAE (using normally distributed data) is the former gives you the mean, and the latter gives you the *median*. And in trading you care about means more than medians.\n\nBut outliers! So probably use something like Huber loss.\n\nhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Huber_loss","hashtags":[],"conv":"1282661229866016768","reply_id":"1282683502291349509","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1282684076827136000","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1458163294447955971":{"id":"1458163294447955971","date":"2021-11-09 20:03:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2. Ridiculously rich. Same counterargument. ❌\n\n3. He runs a social media company everyone knows, and everyone hates social media. Maybe? Does everyone hate Jack? Feels meh as an explanation.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1458163293281914881","reply_id":"1458163293281914881","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1458163294447955971","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1493965862465728514":{"id":"1493965862465728514","date":"2022-02-16 15:09:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"A couple of notes:\n- Remember to include comp info. It's the most important piece of filtering candidates care about.\n- Don't go for middle-of-the-road. You're looking for *your* people, your niche. Don't be afraid to be you.\n- Don't forget the contact info!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493963587261370375","reply_id":"1493963587261370375","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493965862465728514","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1936382105770168808":{"id":"1936382105770168808","date":"2025-06-21 11:14:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Jones Act not stupid enough for you?\n\nHere.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1936382105770168808","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3710,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1936382105770168808","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1970106725132087362":{"id":"1970106725132087362","date":"2025-09-22 12:43:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VagabondRTW I do. Everyone in Norway gets oil money without having to do anything.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970098937995600146","reply_id":"1970106183957590253","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VagabondRTW","likes":78,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":5410,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1970106725132087362","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2037083081710969079":{"id":"2037083081710969079","date":"2026-03-26 08:23:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Such a gaping hole in the training of... almost everyone. People who are good at this are some combination of naturally gifted but also almost fully self-taught.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2037083075528585566","reply_id":"2037083079504810107","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":1448,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2037083081710969079","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1996593458258059644":{"id":"1996593458258059644","date":"2025-12-04 14:52:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Over under on Zuck changing the ticker to AGI or some shit?\nhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-04/meta-s-zuckerberg-plans-deep-cuts-for-metaverse-efforts","hashtags":[],"conv":"1996593458258059644","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":3108,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1996593458258059644_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1996593458258059644","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1377389999616708608":{"id":"1377389999616708608","date":"2021-03-31 22:39:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal IMO there's a meta-lesson here: what would constitute a good answer?\n\nI claim that some supposed expert telling you \"the\" answer doesn't help as much as thinking deeply on the problem.\n\nI.e.: If we think HARD about why overlaps are a problem, the answer may just present itself.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377374179658436611","reply_id":"1377381179024805889","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":9,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1377389999616708608","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1242576189333458944":{"id":"1242576189333458944","date":"2020-03-24 22:17:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vixologist @investinvol @ScottNations @A1anGreenspan @SqueezeMetrics @philbak1 Equities are just a zero-strike LEAP, right?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1242550831758573568","reply_id":"1242576009595142144","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vixologist","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1242576189333458944","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1770202645833376163":{"id":"1770202645833376163","date":"2024-03-19 21:36:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan Agreed. It's just a very different skillset.\nAnd either way that backtest is worthless.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1770094306583536035","reply_id":"1770202402362216680","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":12,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1763,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1770202645833376163","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1382697162182688774":{"id":"1382697162182688774","date":"2021-04-15 14:07:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RabbiJacob16 I'm going to apologize because I don't love memes all that much as there's a drive into deep left field by Castellanos and that'll be a home run. And so that'll make it a 4-0 ballgame. I humbly ask for the world's foregiveness.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"1382695837759893516","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RabbiJacob16","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1382697162182688774_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382697162182688774","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1699089349055558069":{"id":"1699089349055558069","date":"2023-09-05 15:57:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbacarella @sabine_s_ @eriangazag And objects.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1698969504804491547","reply_id":"1699081557787783521","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbacarella","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":35,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1699089349055558069","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1786079969904582996":{"id":"1786079969904582996","date":"2024-05-02 17:07:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ByrneHobart TIL what Rene Girard looks like.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1786047250776395944","reply_id":"1786047250776395944","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ByrneHobart","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":190,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1786079969904582996","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2058989979980767642":{"id":"2058989979980767642","date":"2026-05-25 19:14:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Degenmaxxing still has a ways to go, it seems.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2058989979980767642","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":130,"retweets":3,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":23789,"bookmarks":30,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2058989979980767642","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1503530276349120512":{"id":"1503530276349120512","date":"2022-03-15 00:35:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VCZVRQ3z5qE","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503528717066584066","reply_id":"1503528717066584066","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1503530276349120512","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1524385241108033536":{"id":"1524385241108033536","date":"2022-05-11 13:45:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This!\n\nEvery time someone and something gets attacked, the world learns. I *love* that crypto considers the adversarial nature of markets as a first-class problem to be solved.\n\nSo let's learn and do it better next time!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1524385241108033536","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1524385241108033536","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1694360887933702553":{"id":"1694360887933702553","date":"2023-08-23 14:48:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Very impressive interview by @dwarkesh_sp with Richard Rhodes. Highly recommended!\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tMdMiYsfHKo","hashtags":[],"conv":"1694360887933702553","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4636,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1694360887933702553","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1240112555231567872":{"id":"1240112555231567872","date":"2020-03-18 03:07:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz @markets Any guesses what those bets were?\n\n*cough* sell implied *cough*\n\nLove them positive carry trades...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1240110984515248130","reply_id":"1240110984515248130","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1240112555231567872","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1764653833970659560":{"id":"1764653833970659560","date":"2024-03-04 14:07:14","author":"Anthropic","handle":"AnthropicAI","text":"With this release, users can opt for the ideal combination of intelligence, speed, and cost to suit their use case.\n\nOpus, our most intelligent model, achieves near-human comprehension capabilities. It can deftly handle open-ended prompts and tackle complex tasks.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1764653830468428150","reply_id":"1764653832615964710","quote_id":"1764686969505001554","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AnthropicAI","likes":699,"retweets":66,"replies":16,"quotes":51,"views":179338,"bookmarks":119,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/AnthropicAI/status/1764653833970659560"},"1714847051186663504":{"id":"1714847051186663504","date":"2023-10-19 03:32:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Me in late Nov 2022:\n\nWhy is he still talking? Why isn't he shutting up? Doesn't he realize he's just giving prosecutors more ammunition?\n\nMe today:\n\nI guess I do have a decently accurate mental model of how US federal prosecutors do their job.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1714847051186663504","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":42,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":6545,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1714847051186663504","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1637114502360489987":{"id":"1637114502360489987","date":"2023-03-18 15:31:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin I started there because that's clearly the \"right\" solution. BUT the unreasonable effectiveness of data pushed me in the other direction.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1637100852170063873","reply_id":"1637113978236162048","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":207,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1637114502360489987","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1452693174976016384":{"id":"1452693174976016384","date":"2021-10-25 17:46:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @salr_nyc @nope_its_lily Just reading the abstract, seems like this assumes you already have vols.\n\nA lot of the challenge @salr_ync and I are talking about is going from prices to vols.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1452664089537249288","reply_id":"1452691574710808581","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1452693174976016384","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1630688439954980864":{"id":"1630688439954980864","date":"2023-02-28 21:56:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Thought experiment: if we had neural interfaces, would schools force students to turn them off for exams?\n\nWhen you think about it, the objection to ChatGPT is an interface thing vs something more substantive.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1630688439954980864","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":3871,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1630688439954980864","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1497003796244828160":{"id":"1497003796244828160","date":"2022-02-25 00:21:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DWongResearch @KrisAbdelmessih @FREAK0NAUT 🙏 Thank you!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1496972224967831552","reply_id":"1496999537554358273","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DWongResearch","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1497003796244828160","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1932689996772782102":{"id":"1932689996772782102","date":"2025-06-11 06:42:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is part of what has made the US so successful. 50 little experiments in governance with minimal frictions for moving from one to another.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1932689996772782102","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":56,"retweets":4,"replies":24,"quotes":1,"views":8292,"bookmarks":25,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1932689996772782102","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1628466077931048961":{"id":"1628466077931048961","date":"2023-02-22 18:45:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1628449259870883848","reply_id":"1628465873785683975","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":248,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1628466077931048961","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1559695167518429184":{"id":"1559695167518429184","date":"2022-08-17 00:14:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 You may think so, but many a tear has been shed trying it. It's a siren song. :)\n\nCeteris paribus, in an efficient market you should expect that taking and providing cost the same to put a position on.\n\nWhat you get back in not crossing spreads you give back in adverse selection.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1559691124511428608","reply_id":"1559694551048134657","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1559695167518429184","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1159865325396955136":{"id":"1159865325396955136","date":"2019-08-09 16:33:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Shocking:\nhttps://www.institutionalinvestor.com/article/b1gmpq8qt3hc7d/Hedge-Fund-Managers-With-Skin-in-the-Game-Outperform-But-They-re-Also-Less-Likely-to-Take-Your-Money\n\nAs I say in The Laws Of Trading, there are only two kinds of profitable trades: (a) the ones you're involved in running, or (b) the ones you can't access. There is no (c).\n\nH/T @matt_levine","hashtags":[],"conv":"1159865325396955136","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1159865325396955136","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1857041903788638377":{"id":"1857041903788638377","date":"2024-11-14 12:44:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@GestaltU Go yell at the sun. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1857034996105548252","reply_id":"1857034996105548252","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GestaltU","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":189,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1857041903788638377","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2012910528658595941":{"id":"2012910528658595941","date":"2026-01-18 15:30:42","author":"Antonio García Martínez (agm.eth)","handle":"antoniogm","text":"Here's the real blackpill: \n\nOur AGI future will be neither dystopia nor utopia.\n\nIt'll be the same artificial post-scarcity status contest, full of fake jobs and parasitic taxation and regulation (and parasitic regulatory capture too) that we're in right now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2012910528658595941","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2012920235590856770","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1317,"retweets":85,"replies":62,"quotes":28,"views":120403,"bookmarks":206,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/antoniogm/status/2012910528658595941"},"1529968779345555456":{"id":"1529968779345555456","date":"2022-05-26 23:32:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilitySwan Well, he must have gone to a lot of trouble to fool me when we went for lunch last week.\n\nI sure was convinced...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529963528920129547","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":57,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1529968779345555456","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1297278715827589120":{"id":"1297278715827589120","date":"2020-08-22 21:05:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SimonDeDeo Unclear. Academic settings have their own misaligned incentive structures.\n\nThey're also generally not great at resource-intensive projects. If general AI does indeed require a Manhattan Project approach, I'm skeptical academic settings could get us there.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1297274875858624512","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1297278715827589120","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1346481438762229763":{"id":"1346481438762229763","date":"2021-01-05 15:39:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"16/ You see, puts and calls are really the same thing. Assuming the underlying stock is \"normal\" (no big divs, no corp action, easy-to-borrow, etc), there is *no* difference between the two.\n\nI'm going to prove it:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346481437327773699","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346481438762229763","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1626330633026019328":{"id":"1626330633026019328","date":"2023-02-16 21:20:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug @OrbingxD @arb8020 @OrthogonalAlpha Yup. 3/4 * last + 1/4 * mid is usually decent.\n\n(YMMV depending on liquidity, tick sizes, maker/taker pricing, and a thousand other things)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1626307839856869376","reply_id":"1626329850339373056","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":11,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":699,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1626330633026019328","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1289619028139335685":{"id":"1289619028139335685","date":"2020-08-01 17:48:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @EconomPic It's pretty straightforward on any vehicle that could reasonably take one. I've done 2 (CR-V and Sienna) and it was a <1hr operation.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1289593155826806786","reply_id":"1289616626153750529","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1289619028139335685","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2027041346297479201":{"id":"2027041346297479201","date":"2026-02-26 15:21:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"People who accuse you of reading comprehension issues, where the accusation is caused precisely by their own reading comprehension issues...","hashtags":[],"conv":"2027041346297479201","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":3980,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2027041346297479201","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1579672949980033024":{"id":"1579672949980033024","date":"2022-10-11 03:19:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JeffTobiasSPAC Premium mediocre modernism.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1579149325451788289","reply_id":"1579149325451788289","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JeffTobiasSPAC","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1579672949980033024","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1677330924558483458":{"id":"1677330924558483458","date":"2023-07-07 14:57:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @Precisionguided @BernardoCassar @PtrPomorski Yup, everywhere.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1676844419377512450","reply_id":"1677326272706367488","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":865,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1677330924558483458","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1602446369012203523":{"id":"1602446369012203523","date":"2022-12-12 23:32:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2/ It matters a lot what we mean by \"classifying\". In particular, most people who talk about this implicitly mean:\n\n\"Look at a bunch of days in the past, and cluster them into some classes somehow.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602446367825149952","reply_id":"1602446367825149952","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1602446369012203523","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1427740103892344835":{"id":"1427740103892344835","date":"2021-08-17 21:12:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alex_bcg @_Dave__White_ @Mephisto731 @sks01119 @danrobinson @snarkyzk @andrewjleone @AlexisGauba @aparnalocked @opyn_ I'm thinking like a market maker. I.e. if this product is successful, it's because MMs want to quote it. And that means making the risk story manageable for those MMs.\n\nSelling vanillas has \"unlimited downside\" on paper but not really because of delta hedging.\n\nThis is different.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1427652305009004545","reply_id":"1427739469210337288","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alex_bcg","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1427740103892344835","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1761433268208140459":{"id":"1761433268208140459","date":"2024-02-24 16:49:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Possible answers to \"Why don’t nations buy and sell territory more?\" by @tylercowen \n\nhttps://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2024/02/why-dont-nations-buy-and-sell-territory-more.html","hashtags":[],"conv":"1761433268208140459","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":14320,"bookmarks":13,"media":["1761433268208140459_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1761433268208140459","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1183423470891192321":{"id":"1183423470891192321","date":"2019-10-13 16:45:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"People tweeting each other levels and charts with lines on them looks an awful lot like an echo chamber.\n\nStart looking at moves instead of levels, and I bet you'll start seeing things more clearly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1183423468483706881","reply_id":"1183423470031425536","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1183423470891192321","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2008120863162527971":{"id":"2008120863162527971","date":"2026-01-05 10:18:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"That is, the end-point of mankind's ideological evolution and the universalization of Western liberal democracy as the final form of human government.\"\n\nEnd of History my ass.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2008120863162527971","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2679,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2008120863162527971","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1511706686888706051":{"id":"1511706686888706051","date":"2022-04-06 14:05:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Like @therobotjames always says, start small. Start simple. Get some quick wins (or losses) on the board with taped-together infra and learn from that experience.\n\nIn trading the most valuable resource is feedback. From the market. Iterate iterate iterate.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1511706685475151872","reply_id":"1511706685475151872","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":56,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1511706686888706051","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1508238812274561025":{"id":"1508238812274561025","date":"2022-03-28 00:25:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @therobotjames @KrisAbdelmessih @CryptoNymph @davidbelle_ @Ksidiii Valid but wordle doesn't do plurals.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507961234519429120","reply_id":"1508238631177236488","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1508238812274561025","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2064481719626154417":{"id":"2064481719626154417","date":"2026-06-09 22:56:12","author":"Jeremy Howard","handle":"jeremyphoward","text":"@karpathy This is not a day for celebrating, Andrej.\n\nIt's a very dark and very sad day, and the damage may be impossible to undo.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2064409694761054332","reply_id":"2064409694761054332","quote_id":"2064597498002297075","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"karpathy","likes":4353,"retweets":238,"replies":103,"quotes":18,"views":388963,"bookmarks":608,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/jeremyphoward/status/2064481719626154417"},"1454896799542480896":{"id":"1454896799542480896","date":"2021-10-31 19:43:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"7/  But it's clear sports don't do that. Being \"good\" at something is relative to some reference class, and the whole point of childhood sports is the reference class is shifting up over time.\n\nI'm good at golf, but it feels like I *suck* when I play with the D1 kids on Fridays.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1454896792802267140","reply_id":"1454896798523219968","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1454896799542480896","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1906246836064505922":{"id":"1906246836064505922","date":"2025-03-30 07:27:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"They gave you a machine god and all you want out of it are some images.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1906246836064505922","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":4544,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1906246836064505922","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1726620783865426418":{"id":"1726620783865426418","date":"2023-11-20 15:17:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@abiylfoyp It pays to be there early.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1726617112020767186","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":155,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":16188,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1726620783865426418","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1482750808445775872":{"id":"1482750808445775872","date":"2022-01-16 16:25:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@goodalexander This.\n\nA good life is one where you've strategically and permanently closed off certain options.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482749524535881729","reply_id":"1482749524535881729","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"goodalexander","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482750808445775872","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1174735378533605376":{"id":"1174735378533605376","date":"2019-09-19 17:21:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"There really are two Americas:\n\n* Those of us who were told 100s of times: 2min/slide, minimum 30pt font.\n* People who still shove 20 slides into a 5min pitch and write a novel on each one.\n\nIt's 2019. I don't get how it *still* keeps happening.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1174735378533605376","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1174735378533605376","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1287913281353465856":{"id":"1287913281353465856","date":"2020-07-28 00:50:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@scottfawcett It's just such an odd hill for him to choose to die on.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1287912355318431745","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1287913281353465856","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1743436269592645772":{"id":"1743436269592645772","date":"2024-01-06 00:56:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cam_o_gram If we're still vaguely a society and it hasn't happened in 25-30 years, it's probably not happening.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1743425282743357589","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":93,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1743436269592645772","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1375119232988405760":{"id":"1375119232988405760","date":"2021-03-25 16:15:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"12/  Too much var is confusing.\n\nIf every baseball team had a .500 record, that would SUCK!\n\nIf the winningest player on the PGATour only won twice a year, that would be awful. People like *some* amount of predictability.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1375119223693864961","reply_id":"1375119232250208260","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1375119232988405760","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2006787918334145012":{"id":"2006787918334145012","date":"2026-01-01 18:01:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Also, I plan to write a bit more this year. So please suggest some subjects you'd be interested in hearing about (from me).","hashtags":[],"conv":"2006787918334145012","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":49,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":8313,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2006787918334145012","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1755689680824373670":{"id":"1755689680824373670","date":"2024-02-08 20:26:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@heyadvikkapoor @flowidealism That's awesome, go for it!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1755672768765403206","reply_id":"1755687693776785708","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"heyadvikkapoor","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":39,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1755689680824373670","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1370170069288808448":{"id":"1370170069288808448","date":"2021-03-12 00:29:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@daveblob @KrisAbdelmessih @macrocephalopod @AdithiaKusno @bennpeifert @Ksidiii @therobotjames @salr_nyc Yes, almost all OTC options trades go up tied.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1370153288734281730","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"daveblob","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1370170069288808448","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1699111512324071778":{"id":"1699111512324071778","date":"2023-09-05 17:25:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Dunning-Kruger at work in the senior category.\n\nThe only way \"write\" makes sense is if the code you read is *so* much worse than the one you write that you can't easily follow its logic.\n\nSo either ppl don't get what \"correct\" means, or most ppl think they're way above avg.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1699111512324071778","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":7961,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1699111512324071778","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1586088202812604416":{"id":"1586088202812604416","date":"2022-10-28 20:11:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod Can you please remove your camera from my work area now?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1586085445645250560","reply_id":"1586085455942258688","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1586088202812604416","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1401040830031228928":{"id":"1401040830031228928","date":"2021-06-05 04:58:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolQuant https://sites.google.com/site/roughvol/home","hashtags":[],"conv":"1401038592424787973","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":3,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1401040830031228928","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1430314394982912001":{"id":"1430314394982912001","date":"2021-08-24 23:41:40","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"Should I use a stop order?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1430314394982912001","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1548010783937744898","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":306,"retweets":29,"replies":12,"quotes":14,"views":0,"bookmarks":57,"media":["1430314394982912001_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1430314394982912001"},"1955968404214415626":{"id":"1955968404214415626","date":"2025-08-14 12:23:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert I applaud your efforts and patience, then. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1955967204715061361","reply_id":"1955968213986238928","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":783,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1955968404214415626","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1665910763775733760":{"id":"1665910763775733760","date":"2023-06-06 02:37:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sonlamho The apparent distance seems to be adjustable by the user, so they must be detecting eye focus distance.\n\nImpressive tech, at any rate.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1665906892479266816","reply_id":"1665910505243025408","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sonlamho","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":448,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1665910763775733760","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1793792777563828621":{"id":"1793792777563828621","date":"2024-05-23 23:54:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HF_Trader The transactional nature of the relationship would kill that for me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1793791838866034837","reply_id":"1793791838866034837","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HF_Trader","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":501,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1793792777563828621","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2039624716319641632":{"id":"2039624716319641632","date":"2026-04-02 08:43:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"New winner for most insane, braindead requirement on an online form.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2039624716319641632","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16360,"retweets":366,"replies":37,"quotes":7,"views":156101,"bookmarks":212,"media":["2039624716319641632_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2039624716319641632","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1541083259873857536":{"id":"1541083259873857536","date":"2022-06-26 15:37:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@fleetblackship @AlexNoonan6 Definitely. Comes with the territory of being on the frontier, just like the American west in the 19th century.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IZZ4y5GfdOU","hashtags":[],"conv":"1541036799572774912","reply_id":"1541046613027741696","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"fleetblackship","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1541083259873857536","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2075605671584686525":{"id":"2075605671584686525","date":"2026-07-10 15:38:49","author":"Michal Kopf","handle":"KopfMichal","text":"@AgustinLebron3 Why do you think so? If you don't do this, you often need to limit the information you can share with the new grad","hashtags":[],"conv":"2075549369764344073","reply_id":"2075549369764344073","quote_id":"2075620580900872635","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":27484,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KopfMichal/status/2075605671584686525"},"1265296271717224448":{"id":"1265296271717224448","date":"2020-05-26 14:58:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RabbiJacob16 @choffstein The cult seems to care more about his pithy sayings than the math. But maybe, who knows?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1265287336729944064","reply_id":"1265295873648603137","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RabbiJacob16","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1265296271717224448","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1603421123529490432":{"id":"1603421123529490432","date":"2022-12-15 16:06:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@etdebruin Definitely worse, in my mind.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1603410295971409920","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1603421123529490432","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1377464790440800262":{"id":"1377464790440800262","date":"2021-04-01 03:36:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@svrnco You could encourage it, but that doesn't mean it would happen. :)\n\nFor example, every boss thinks they have an \"open door\" policy. Yet at most companies, that office might as well be Fort Knox for all the traffic it gets.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377463759434878979","reply_id":"1377463759434878979","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"svrnco","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1377464790440800262","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1378198802599841793":{"id":"1378198802599841793","date":"2021-04-03 04:12:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dacaldar @BeyondTrekPod Captain Picard takes 60 years to learn to play a flute.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377759103028756488","reply_id":"1378182979734933512","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dackupasec","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1378198802599841793","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1527403269705826306":{"id":"1527403269705826306","date":"2022-05-19 21:38:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug Self-custody tho? Seems fine when you're 20 and you don't have much $ and what you have is fine to lose.\n\nWhen you're 45 and your retirement savings are tied to a browser extension with no recourse if you screw up one of a thousand things? No so sure...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1527401670841356293","reply_id":"1527401670841356293","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1527403269705826306","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1415321040192884738":{"id":"1415321040192884738","date":"2021-07-14 14:43:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"17/ Lots of companies are completely schizophrenic about what they need. Lots of BS like “we only hire A players”, when the facts on the ground are completely different.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"1415321039186235393","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415321040192884738","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1443951373763026949":{"id":"1443951373763026949","date":"2021-10-01 14:50:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2/ First of all, I need to get something off my chest. I loved the Asimov Foundation books as a kid.\n\nMuch like Paul Krugman, the idea of doing math to understand complex societies, and to predict their evolution, was transfixing. And still is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443951372580229123","reply_id":"1443951372580229123","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":26,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1443951373763026949","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1701669611689894327":{"id":"1701669611689894327","date":"2023-09-12 18:50:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Phenomenal book. Pick it up!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1701669611689894327","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2973,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1701669611689894327","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1755639875490247095":{"id":"1755639875490247095","date":"2024-02-08 17:08:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih My sim is, each 10mins is independent, then you sum them to get your daily chart.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1755409785527382181","reply_id":"1755637885968294231","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":436,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1755639875490247095","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1944060722213707900":{"id":"1944060722213707900","date":"2025-07-12 15:46:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is just basics of company capital structure.\n\n4. So if employees want those sweet licensing divs, they have to come up with the cash to exercise their options (with the associated tax consequences). And most startup employees don't have pots of cash sitting around for that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1944060716295893233","reply_id":"1944060720259445228","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2300,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1944060722213707900","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1370072371508305921":{"id":"1370072371508305921","date":"2021-03-11 18:01:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AdithiaKusno Check out my Options 201 thread where I talk about Greeks.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1370071115486334982","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AdithiaKusno","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1370072371508305921","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1137055042555527168":{"id":"1137055042555527168","date":"2019-06-07 17:53:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OddStats @DamnitShaina Sell vol of vol? :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1137042852725178368","reply_id":"1137054431873101824","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OddStats","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1137055042555527168","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1335802208261079041":{"id":"1335802208261079041","date":"2020-12-07 04:23:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm I pronounce the L in salmon unless I'm paying attention.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1335801729909051392","reply_id":"1335801729909051392","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1335802208261079041","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1725765378851402049":{"id":"1725765378851402049","date":"2023-11-18 06:38:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sama rn","hashtags":[],"conv":"1725765378851402049","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sama","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":455,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1725765378851402049_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1725765378851402049","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1123249505665634306":{"id":"1123249505665634306","date":"2019-04-30 15:35:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Smart beta is exasperating. “Smart beta” is what fund managers call their alpha when they’re admitting they don’t have any, but still want to charge more fees than SPY.\nhttps://www.institutionalinvestor.com/article/b1f3vlr56s67yf/Smart-Beta-Slows-Down\n#smartbeta #fees #lawsoftrading","hashtags":["smartbeta","fees","lawsoftrading"],"conv":"1123249505665634306","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1123249505665634306","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1134098420740661254":{"id":"1134098420740661254","date":"2019-05-30 14:05:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Mark Cuban is right for the wrong reason. AI isn't the reason entry-level programmer jobs are going to disappear. It's because all the dev work is going to be done in cheaper countries. #offshore #programming #jobs #ai\nhttps://www.cnbc.com/2019/05/30/mark-cuban-says-ai-will-reduce-the-demand-for-computer-science-degrees.html","hashtags":["offshore","programming","jobs","ai"],"conv":"1134098420740661254","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":5,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1134098420740661254","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1973651815012139246":{"id":"1973651815012139246","date":"2025-10-02 07:30:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xjustblaze Too much political power in old people to let that happen. Look at Trump trying to crush rates, for example. He knows who his constituents are.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1973637434706702571","reply_id":"1973643504975782146","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xjustblaze","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":169,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1973651815012139246","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1393729144274317315":{"id":"1393729144274317315","date":"2021-05-16 00:44:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"There really *should* be a large info imbalance between you and Kris on this particular trade idea. You should know a *lot* more about it than he does.\n\nSo what could he say that could help you? I mean, he's not going to go off and replicate your work based on some DM right?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1393728628437913601","reply_id":"1393728855601389568","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1393729144274317315","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1143899846346043392":{"id":"1143899846346043392","date":"2019-06-26 15:12:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Law Of Trading #7: If you think your costs are negligible relative to your edge, you're wrong about at least one of them. #newbook #lawsoftrading #costs\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Laws-Trading-Traders-Decision-Making-Everyone/dp/1119574218","hashtags":["newbook","lawsoftrading","costs"],"conv":"1143899846346043392","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1143899846346043392_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1143899846346043392","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1393701544751599616":{"id":"1393701544751599616","date":"2021-05-15 22:55:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily This is likely true intra-stock over time (i.e. more downside vol than upside) but the evidence cross-stock is IIRC weak.\n\nAnd across sectors even weaker.\n\nWould love to see references to work on this.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1393696170896023552","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1393701544751599616","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1473158545973518339":{"id":"1473158545973518339","date":"2021-12-21 05:09:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @stoxdox @bennpeifert We're all good at different things. Being clear-eyed about what you're good at and sticking to it is the best policy IMO.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1473132928771129346","reply_id":"1473158041034010635","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1473158545973518339","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1498851362150535176":{"id":"1498851362150535176","date":"2022-03-02 02:43:06","author":"Euan Sinclair","handle":"SinclairEuan","text":"@choffstein I commiserate and have no opinion on this particular case but I'm more and more convinced that we hold too much in liquid assets.\n\nLiquidity is an expensive option that usually isn't exercised","hashtags":[],"conv":"1498849563586793474","reply_id":"1498849563586793474","quote_id":"1498855385108680704","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":61,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SinclairEuan/status/1498851362150535176"},"1661597339545669632":{"id":"1661597339545669632","date":"2023-05-25 04:57:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@matt__yao Fair.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1661594000435081219","reply_id":"1661597156879527936","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"matt__yao","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":637,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1661597339545669632","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1957511809965126079":{"id":"1957511809965126079","date":"2025-08-18 18:35:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"How much more would ASML be worth if it were a US company?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957511809965126079","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":4388,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1957511809965126079","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1756894474603774027":{"id":"1756894474603774027","date":"2024-02-12 04:14:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Cate Blanchett is crying somewhere.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1756888585205407974","reply_id":"1756888585205407974","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":960,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1756894474603774027","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1415321041287614472":{"id":"1415321041287614472","date":"2021-07-14 14:43:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"18/ And the reason they’re nuts is because they don’t really know the value of a hire. So here’s a back-of-the-envelope model:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"1415321040192884738","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415321041287614472","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1270772122516721665":{"id":"1270772122516721665","date":"2020-06-10 17:37:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tranhelen This may sound ridiculous, but it may be worth rethinking the implicit premise that engaging with dev communities is the most efficient way to hire a Senior React Dev.\n\nMost small startups do tech hiring sub-optimally, and this is one of the many sub-optimal ways.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1270762675153354752","reply_id":"1270762675153354752","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tranhelen","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1270772122516721665","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1923800134325772357":{"id":"1923800134325772357","date":"2025-05-17 17:57:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Quant trading firms and AI labs have finally achieved full convergence in who they're looking to hire.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1923800134325772357","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":383,"retweets":9,"replies":21,"quotes":2,"views":38818,"bookmarks":106,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1923800134325772357","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1483484098857299969":{"id":"1483484098857299969","date":"2022-01-18 16:59:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"*Self-shill alert*\n\nIf anyone wants to get better at conducting interviews, I'm running a one-day workshop for tech hiring managers/directors/VPs/CTOs/etc. 10 ppl max. \n\nhttps://www.eventbrite.com/e/certified-hirings-technical-interviewer-workshop-tickets-247593708447","hashtags":[],"conv":"1483484098857299969","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1483484098857299969","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1944054325959176239":{"id":"1944054325959176239","date":"2025-07-12 15:20:44","author":"Dave Pack","handle":"davegpack","text":"@balajis Incorrect. Talked to a senior employee at windsurf and current employees are getting no pay out and are left with shell of a company to “run”. All the cash is going to founders and preferred equity holders. It’s terrible for the industry.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943967680932770017","reply_id":"1943967680932770017","quote_id":"1944124685270257740","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"balajis","likes":1224,"retweets":31,"replies":38,"quotes":52,"views":397855,"bookmarks":173,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/davegpack/status/1944054325959176239"},"1631779779736371200":{"id":"1631779779736371200","date":"2023-03-03 22:13:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jgreco @rennyzucker The real question is how much of the movie you can quote verbatim when required.\n\n\"Not if we stay in his baffles.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1631724739373801481","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":281,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1631779779736371200","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1555299094863589377":{"id":"1555299094863589377","date":"2022-08-04 21:06:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @ShortBusCapMgmt 🤣🤣🤣\n\nSo is 0/1.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1555282083672510464","reply_id":"1555298776906186752","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1555299094863589377","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1645487449743953920":{"id":"1645487449743953920","date":"2023-04-10 18:02:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Metals : Full financial transparency\nInsulators : \"Trust me\" financial intermediaries\n\nSemiconductors : ZK proofs\n\nSemis and ZK both have the characteristic that they let you move between the two extremes as desired.\n\nAnd we know semis ended up being pretty useful...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1645487449743953920","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":4460,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1645487449743953920","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1434670936930746368":{"id":"1434670936930746368","date":"2021-09-06 00:13:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @TheSpeculator0 @Raoul_duke123 I agree that the science supports the hypothesis that consumption of non-natural sugars causes a host of negative health outcomes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434623665694461961","reply_id":"1434670787907231747","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434670936930746368","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1664001566544904192":{"id":"1664001566544904192","date":"2023-05-31 20:11:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Baby: software that has an 18-year-long REPL cycle.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1663996410667192320","reply_id":"1663996410667192320","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":439,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1664001566544904192","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1388884186929385474":{"id":"1388884186929385474","date":"2021-05-02 15:52:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5/ Every time you post something, you have to play 3D chess to figure out how people plan on misinterpreting things or taking the wrong lessons.\n\nAnd that's when people respond at all. Sometimes you wrote something you think is really good, and it's crickets. No dopamine hit!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1388884183372623873","reply_id":"1388884186103107584","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":21,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1388884186929385474","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1534285248497733632":{"id":"1534285248497733632","date":"2022-06-07 21:24:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3/ Or, they're not *actually* that good and the company has made a mistake. Possibly a fatal one.\n\nAdverse selection is a b*tch.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1534285246404866048","reply_id":"1534285247428251648","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1534285248497733632","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1471964746387574786":{"id":"1471964746387574786","date":"2021-12-17 22:05:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471964746387574786","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471964746387574786","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1910606096491831358":{"id":"1910606096491831358","date":"2025-04-11 08:09:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1910606096491831358","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":1718,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1910606096491831358","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1762167091531239558":{"id":"1762167091531239558","date":"2024-02-26 17:25:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AffectiveAutism @AmirAli7e Probably good advice if you're looking for IB jobs. \n\nDefinitely a negative for prop trading jobs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1762147353287622750","reply_id":"1762164115953389744","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AffectiveAutism","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":201,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1762167091531239558","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1542737840118775811":{"id":"1542737840118775811","date":"2022-07-01 05:12:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@timebargains @firstlawofvol @TenaciousGE @KrisAbdelmessih @moreproteinbars @therobotjames Yeah, when you're MMing there are two broad kinds of toxic flow:\n\n- Tons of size behind. You're going to get run over on (endogenous) mkt impact.\n- They know something. You're going to get run over on (exogenous) info.\n\nIn practice it's not a bright distinction but it's a start.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542382938356330497","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1542737840118775811","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1769377638613938589":{"id":"1769377638613938589","date":"2024-03-17 14:57:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RamRanc Pizza, rarely.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1769376641766264875","reply_id":"1769377212283904195","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RamRanc","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":262,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1769377638613938589","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1206758728990482433":{"id":"1206758728990482433","date":"2019-12-17 02:11:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@balajis Other thing that worries me: when all info is freely accessible, the only trait worth having is smarts/drive/self-startingness.\n\nProblem is, a big chunk of the world just doesn't have that and never will. So what do you do about that?\n\nFeels societally unstable.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1206750897881133057","reply_id":"1206754835552448513","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"balajis","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1206758728990482433","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1867512314057851289":{"id":"1867512314057851289","date":"2024-12-13 10:10:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"A live demonstration of what toy models can do for understanding.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1867512314057851289","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":5052,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1867512314057851289","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1944615943771947238":{"id":"1944615943771947238","date":"2025-07-14 04:32:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"You trained it on the Internet, what did you expect?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1944615943771947238","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":82,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":9075,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1944615943771947238_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1944615943771947238","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1715378316646256991":{"id":"1715378316646256991","date":"2023-10-20 14:43:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"At this point the data looks pretty clear.\n\n- Remote work is great for senior people.\n- Remote work is disastrous for junior people.\n\nNo wonder why it gets promoted so much.\nIt's always about who has the megaphone and the power to decide.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1715378316646256991","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":91,"retweets":4,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":9938,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1715378316646256991","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1902369475422261702":{"id":"1902369475422261702","date":"2025-03-19 14:40:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's amazing how the blogging productivity of certain people has gone up in the last year or so.\n\nEqually amazing, and I'm sure completely unrelated, is how similar to each other their written voice has become.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1902369475422261702","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":102,"retweets":2,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":6610,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1902369475422261702","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1204417276360851456":{"id":"1204417276360851456","date":"2019-12-10 15:07:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@paulg For 23 years I've believed this is the future of computing, ever since I met Steve Mann.\n\nThe problem is the input device. Something like this is close:\nhttps://www.tapwithus.com/\nBut still not quite there I think.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1204415815216316419","reply_id":"1204415815216316419","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"paulg","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1204417276360851456","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1452002373207920640":{"id":"1452002373207920640","date":"2021-10-23 20:01:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alvinjamur @HF_Trader @0xdoug @lightspringfox TA : quant trading :: alchemy : chemistry","hashtags":[],"conv":"1451994667889922054","reply_id":"1452002227355258881","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alvinjamur","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1452002373207920640","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1390345879756828676":{"id":"1390345879756828676","date":"2021-05-06 16:41:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EconShiller That's a good one! I doubt I expressed it as succinctly as that. I tend to be wordy. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1390343703974215682","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1390345879756828676","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1417122532516188161":{"id":"1417122532516188161","date":"2021-07-19 14:01:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite 0.1x? You got off lucky. There are *definitely* -x engineers out there.\n\nAt my old job they were known as job Ponzis.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1417121963848384513","reply_id":"1417121963848384513","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1417122532516188161","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1484347300478472194":{"id":"1484347300478472194","date":"2022-01-21 02:09:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 @M1tchRosenthal @MarkGutman9 @Jimmyjude13 True.\n\nBut then the task is to figure out which hog you are at the trough. The first or the last...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1484320448074555399","reply_id":"1484346972383240200","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1484347300478472194","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1575960621002072064":{"id":"1575960621002072064","date":"2022-09-30 21:27:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I'm with this 100%.\n\nA different take: all models are predictive. Prediction means taking information from the past and saying something about the future. So everything is a time series.\n\nMaking causation a first class citizen of your DS work eliminates a broad class of mistakes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1575960621002072064","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":60,"retweets":2,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1575960621002072064","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1535381588816457728":{"id":"1535381588816457728","date":"2022-06-10 22:01:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"We're in the part of the economic cycle where people feel like large company jobs are more secure than small-company jobs.\n\nAnd about 6-12 months from both feeling equally insecure.\n\nAnd 12-24 months from it flippening completely.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1535381588816457728","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":43,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1535381588816457728","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1765112243635839092":{"id":"1765112243635839092","date":"2024-03-05 20:28:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Apparently the answer is yes.\n\nSo what other movie speeches are the equivalent for other jobs?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1765112243635839092","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":12,"quotes":0,"views":6704,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1765112243635839092","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1384708992610410499":{"id":"1384708992610410499","date":"2021-04-21 03:22:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jam_croissant @sidprabhu @jimduey Who's passing judgement? All I said was:\n- Only?\n- No one outside of RenTech knows what RenTech does.\n\nI feel I'm on pretty solid ground here...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1384501288478650368","reply_id":"1384708440883335174","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jam_croissant","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1384708992610410499","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1424177884315357192":{"id":"1424177884315357192","date":"2021-08-08 01:17:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"That's not the wallet inspector!\"\n\nPossibly the greatest line in TV comedy history.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1424177884315357192","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1424177884315357192","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1981619767757959641":{"id":"1981619767757959641","date":"2025-10-24 07:12:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Hard to say what's going to win: China's massive and growing lead in energy production, or their cratering TFR.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1981619767757959641","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":39,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":2,"views":5865,"bookmarks":9,"media":["1981619767757959641_1.jpg","1981619767757959641_2.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1981619767757959641","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1582400152983064577":{"id":"1582400152983064577","date":"2022-10-18 15:56:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Every time I talk to a young, smart, hardworking person, esp one who didn't go through the US university grinder,  my faith in humanity goes up a little.\n\nThere's still a *massive* arb out there between human talent and the legible credentials we usually look for in hiring.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1582400152983064577","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":172,"retweets":6,"replies":13,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1582400152983064577","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1547369775667757056":{"id":"1547369775667757056","date":"2022-07-13 23:57:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Whenever I hear someone say \"That is directionally correct\", I just assume that means \"I have no evidence but it sounds like it should be true.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1547369775667757056","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1547369775667757056","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1782778385581985879":{"id":"1782778385581985879","date":"2024-04-23 14:27:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alz_zyd_ Look at this one from my kid's homework last week. Just the perfect number of little breadcrumbs available if you're paying attention.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1782767963377922348","reply_id":"1782777747154284698","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":636,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1782778385581985879_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1782778385581985879","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1352108119179079688":{"id":"1352108119179079688","date":"2021-01-21 04:17:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @mpp75214 @JessicaNutt96 I would have been at least small disappointed if it wasn't near this number. 🤔\n\nThanks dude, good discussion.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1352069470903181313","reply_id":"1352107014608965633","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1352108119179079688","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1557952665694326784":{"id":"1557952665694326784","date":"2022-08-12 04:50:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@etdebruin @brantcooper You're a great friend, thanks for dragging me out!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1557951400952209409","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1557952665694326784","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1409279086346702849":{"id":"1409279086346702849","date":"2021-06-27 22:34:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This might be the most important thing aspiring professional traders read this month.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1409279086346702849","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1409279086346702849","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1505643627183173632":{"id":"1505643627183173632","date":"2022-03-20 20:33:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @reubbr Agreed. And by far the biggest failure on evaluating for fit is \"interviewer walks into a room, talks about random stuff, comes out with a random opinion\".\n\nStructured Behavioral Interviewing, for example, works way better.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505599565742759939","reply_id":"1505642249581121536","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505643627183173632","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1592999389030928384":{"id":"1592999389030928384","date":"2022-11-16 21:53:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I wish I could get to the level of optimism necessary to *still* send out crypto scam DMs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1592999389030928384","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":31,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1592999389030928384","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1414035934287331330":{"id":"1414035934287331330","date":"2021-07-11 01:36:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Same here.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1414035934287331330","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1414035934287331330","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1287117746178646017":{"id":"1287117746178646017","date":"2020-07-25 20:09:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Had a long think about things @KrisAbdelmessih and @VitruviusCurve wrote this week. About ML in trading.\n\nThe levels of quant trading:\n\n1/n","hashtags":[],"conv":"1287117746178646017","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":48,"retweets":11,"replies":1,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":26,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1287117746178646017","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1717293673929679240":{"id":"1717293673929679240","date":"2023-10-25 21:34:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbacarella @scott_mintzer Arguably, the rise of convenient text manipulation tools like word processors and webforms and such has already done this.\n\nAI will only accelerate this process.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1717216237728510344","reply_id":"1717288446811840604","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbacarella","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":89,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1717293673929679240","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1772064498482036874":{"id":"1772064498482036874","date":"2024-03-25 00:54:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@GRoditiD @macrocephalopod @GrandTokamak Right. People respond to incentives. Tight labor market for companies? Guess what, people will call their shots.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1772041635720765887","reply_id":"1772060441273049390","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GRoditiD","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":259,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1772064498482036874","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2035727245512233436":{"id":"2035727245512233436","date":"2026-03-22 14:36:11","author":"Patrick McKenzie","handle":"patio11","text":"RT @patio11: Doing the reading is a superpower, and it's even better in a world where \"no one\" is doing the reading. (Inspired by a conversation I had with some college students.)","hashtags":[],"conv":"2035727245512233436","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2035057378324832306","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":226,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/patio11/status/2035727245512233436"},"1794000192959828206":{"id":"1794000192959828206","date":"2024-05-24 13:39:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Mr. Beast.\n\nI'm incredibly impressed with what he's built from absolutely nothing. The man is very smart and hardworking.\n\nI also absolutely despise his persona, hate everything he puts out, and it all feels like a cancer on Western civilization.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1794000192959828206","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":588,"retweets":14,"replies":40,"quotes":7,"views":80902,"bookmarks":59,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1794000192959828206","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1491139268500398081":{"id":"1491139268500398081","date":"2022-02-08 19:58:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Carry trade? Latin America?\nWhat could possibly go wrong?\n\nhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-02-08/the-carry-trade-is-minting-big-returns-in-latin-america-again","hashtags":[],"conv":"1491139268500398081","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1491139268500398081_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1491139268500398081","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1942242864853070083":{"id":"1942242864853070083","date":"2025-07-07 15:22:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TradingDutchman I agree, there's a lot that doesn't make sense here. But money has a way of talking, and I can see Millennium talking its way into being ok with a very profitable strategy that a blue chip trading firm is also already ok with.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942239110413922650","reply_id":"1942239110413922650","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TradingDutchman","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":894,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942242864853070083","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1280283350683357184":{"id":"1280283350683357184","date":"2020-07-06 23:31:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@quantian1 @bennpeifert Only billionaires get to run iteratively-reweighted least squares, I guess?\n\nWhat's funny is that your proposal is already what obtains in deep learning land. Only the deepest pockets get to train models with 1B weights.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1280235689968381952","reply_id":"1280235689968381952","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"quantian1","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1280283350683357184","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1791106708993188280":{"id":"1791106708993188280","date":"2024-05-16 14:01:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Remember that House MD episode when he was overconfidently wrong about a diagnosis and gave the wrong treatment in a way that made the patient worse for a while?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1791106708993188280","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":28,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":5917,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1791106708993188280","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1761091152827068727":{"id":"1761091152827068727","date":"2024-02-23 18:10:24","author":"qm","handle":"quantymacro","text":"any good reading on rates RV strategies? preferably the ones that go deep into the details. preferably have Sharpe ~2-2.5 after tcost. ideally not capacity constrained, net DV01 neutral and negatively correlated with carry and momentum. code attached is a plus. thanks in advance!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1761091152827068727","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1761099231719502197","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":134,"retweets":6,"replies":18,"quotes":4,"views":56269,"bookmarks":84,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/quantymacro/status/1761091152827068727"},"1621565887047434240":{"id":"1621565887047434240","date":"2023-02-03 17:46:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1621565887047434240","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":28,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":4902,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1621565887047434240_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1621565887047434240","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1846799871983984891":{"id":"1846799871983984891","date":"2024-10-17 06:26:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SmityAndre82456 The future leaks into your model building in all sorts of ways. Normalization of features is a common one.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1846744943554949200","reply_id":"1846744943554949200","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SmityAndre82456","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":159,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1846799871983984891","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1600618804115300352":{"id":"1600618804115300352","date":"2022-12-07 22:30:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Overheard in a dev meeting:\n\n\"Are trains Turing complete?\"\n\nOnly true devs know what's being discussed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1600618804115300352","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1600618804115300352","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1636207558397677569":{"id":"1636207558397677569","date":"2023-03-16 03:27:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@QuantPrincess Yet to see one that isn't.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1636188266256011264","reply_id":"1636207424783654914","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuantPrincess","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":422,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1636207558397677569","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1634670899810144256":{"id":"1634670899810144256","date":"2023-03-11 21:41:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Same.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1634670899810144256","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2519,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1634670899810144256","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1427448344327069716":{"id":"1427448344327069716","date":"2021-08-17 01:53:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@saanglee @goodalexander @therobotjames @longskew All you need to do is look at the KOSPI vol structure to know that!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1427432958424752129","reply_id":"1427439584183427077","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"saanglee","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1427448344327069716","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1983535303529730447":{"id":"1983535303529730447","date":"2025-10-29 14:04:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@clesaege @TradingNiel @Polymarket @seer_pm Who decides what prediction markets are made for?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1976645088433656219","reply_id":"1983528002278551921","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"clesaege","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":78,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1983535303529730447","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1494458473513250827":{"id":"1494458473513250827","date":"2022-02-17 23:47:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OneBigOh I talk to a couple of companies a week about this. From my perspective, it's that they don't want to admit to themselves what quality of candidate they're actually in the market for.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493963587261370375","reply_id":"1494451938057986049","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OneBigOh","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494458473513250827","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1681086077157908487":{"id":"1681086077157908487","date":"2023-07-17 23:38:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@thinkingvol @TheFlowHorse @salr_nyc @Team_Optimum","hashtags":[],"conv":"1680707081496834048","reply_id":"1681051235804119040","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"thinkingvol","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":153,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1681086077157908487","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1852058158174519586":{"id":"1852058158174519586","date":"2024-10-31 18:40:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"As always, the average London cabbie has a better sense of what's going on than most of the actual US electorate.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1852058158174519586","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2035,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1852058158174519586","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1849429208662982776":{"id":"1849429208662982776","date":"2024-10-24 12:34:18","author":"David Hale","handle":"CREAMtrader","text":"The best traders aren’t “equity traders”, “futures traders” or “crypto traders”, they are simply: traders\n\nThey are agile, unattached, and gravitate to the markets which offer the greatest edge","hashtags":[],"conv":"1849429208662982776","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1849585897525924068","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":811,"retweets":86,"replies":26,"quotes":9,"views":103132,"bookmarks":158,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/CREAMtrader/status/1849429208662982776"},"1242813916968701952":{"id":"1242813916968701952","date":"2020-03-25 14:01:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1242813916968701952","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1242813916968701952","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1485640844493295619":{"id":"1485640844493295619","date":"2022-01-24 15:49:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames I mean, crude oil can so...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1485541991597633538","reply_id":"1485541991597633538","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1485640844493295619","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1544449417612185600":{"id":"1544449417612185600","date":"2022-07-05 22:33:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @be20684347 @therobotjames @brrrzooka C++?\n\nMore like F-.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1544425285268844544","reply_id":"1544448823933542400","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1544449417612185600","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1265840577347641344":{"id":"1265840577347641344","date":"2020-05-28 03:01:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @Foulke_David @choffstein Agreed, of course.\n\nBut imagine you teach about qubits first, as an abstract mathematical subject. Then once you got to atoms, (I claim based on *zero* actual evidence) you'd get less confusion.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1265287336729944064","reply_id":"1265826168260956161","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1265840577347641344","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1943130418792009984":{"id":"1943130418792009984","date":"2025-07-10 02:09:28","author":"Casey Handmer","handle":"CJHandmer","text":"You're not going to like the answer, but it rounds to wire heading. \n\nYour dating flow looks like that because your dating app is selling engagement to advertisers not matches to you (which is much less valuable to them) and you're mostly interacting with fake profiles invented to keep you swiping. \n\nYour job search looks like this because online job marketplaces are a market for lemons (in both directions) and need to generate deal flow to meet their KPIs, so again you're mostly dealing with fake applicants and fake job advertisements.\n\nHow to get out? \n\nYou need to cut out the intermediators who are selling you to advertisers (who face the same problem) and hunt with a different strategy. Generally this requires making some kind of offering of durable value. The best method I know is writing blogs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943130418792009984","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1943199342531051721","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":823,"retweets":38,"replies":37,"quotes":13,"views":97137,"bookmarks":388,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/CJHandmer/status/1943130418792009984"},"1709239227278622787":{"id":"1709239227278622787","date":"2023-10-03 16:09:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Your yearly reminder that Nobel Prizes in a field are given to people in the field below it.\n\nMedicine: Biologists\nChemistry: Physicists\nPhysics: Mathematicians\nEconomics: Lower-tier mathematicians\nPeace: Politicians\nLiterature: Writers","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709239227278622787","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":50,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":9026,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1709239227278622787","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1526859061492338689":{"id":"1526859061492338689","date":"2022-05-18 09:35:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"KYCfi is the future of DeFi.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1526859061492338689","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1526859061492338689","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1373667445433462784":{"id":"1373667445433462784","date":"2021-03-21 16:06:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod Let's face it, capital is pretty plentiful. I mean, look at all the 2nd tier VCs out there for example.\n\nSo why is your capital special? Why do they want yours and not someone else's? What can *you* provide them that few others can?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1373584940567306243","reply_id":"1373665425871933443","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1373667445433462784","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1986044509285679353":{"id":"1986044509285679353","date":"2025-11-05 12:14:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The number of replies to \"p implies q\" that are of the form \"yeah but q does not imply p\"...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1986044509285679353","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":50,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":9966,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1986044509285679353","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1598366346521083904":{"id":"1598366346521083904","date":"2022-12-01 17:20:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase @therobotjames @robertmartin88 3. If costs were zero, you'd just always trade into your desired size every time your signal updates.\n\nBut they're not.\n\nSo you want to only trade towards your new position if doing so is worth more to you than costs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598359321158553602","reply_id":"1598365930538430465","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":13,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598366346521083904","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1582178212087361537":{"id":"1582178212087361537","date":"2022-10-18 01:14:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite Sort of but not really.\n\nWhen you're doing some new and difficult computation, it's often effective to focus on a small # of known-good basic building blocks and compose them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1582168237147852801","reply_id":"1582168237147852801","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1582178212087361537","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1439302154943025154":{"id":"1439302154943025154","date":"2021-09-18 18:55:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@scottfawcett KT Tape.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1439235284080762886","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1439302154943025154","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1743427284546253135":{"id":"1743427284546253135","date":"2024-01-06 00:20:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's easy to get cynical. Early adopters mixed with grifters and scammers is a heady brew.\n\nBut all true frontiers have that characteristic. It comes with the territory.\n\nI just try to look past all that. Find the next incremental useful thing to build, and build that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1743425282743357589","reply_id":"1743426733989368075","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1650,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1743427284546253135","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1880513969590558965":{"id":"1880513969590558965","date":"2025-01-18 07:14:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@xuewei4d I believe there's an effect from dealers hedging gamma, but I also believe it's completely un-actionable by retail.\n\n- MMs don't hedge to zero all the time. That would be dumb.\n- Delta 1 pros know about this too obviously. And their tools/costs are OOM better/lower than retail.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1879967177585094840","reply_id":"1880481578226454646","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"xuewei4d","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":178,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1880513969590558965","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1905146258529845256":{"id":"1905146258529845256","date":"2025-03-27 06:33:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Studio Ghibli may survive as a business, or perhaps not. But in a world of infinite free copies of their aesthetic, the death of its uniqueness and scarcity and yes, value, is almost assured.\n\nAnother tree felled by the bulldozer of mechanization.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1905146253341499798","reply_id":"1905146256512385160","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2307,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1905146258529845256","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1481469548935069696":{"id":"1481469548935069696","date":"2022-01-13 03:33:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Buy_The_Dip_ @FREAK0NAUT @vixologist @kchoudhu But none of this matters. Books are a lot like an option. There's not a lot of downside and a ton of possible upside.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481302561592422402","reply_id":"1481468990291542017","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1481469548935069696","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1982550277095080398":{"id":"1982550277095080398","date":"2025-10-26 20:49:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT Sure if you want to light your money on fire.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1982546946268217764","reply_id":"1982548771306352756","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1005,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1982550277095080398","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1794010701935280245":{"id":"1794010701935280245","date":"2024-05-24 14:20:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@econ_takes @HF_Trader Agreed. Shades of grey.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1794000192959828206","reply_id":"1794007171975286854","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"econ_takes","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":222,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1794010701935280245","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1269373823645704192":{"id":"1269373823645704192","date":"2020-06-06 21:01:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert Do they also suggest breaking everything up into serverless microservices?\n\nFashionability is a thing in software land just as much as anywhere.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1269365916967419904","reply_id":"1269365916967419904","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":4,"retweets":3,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1269373823645704192","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1914573658577633746":{"id":"1914573658577633746","date":"2025-04-22 06:55:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"AIs grading papers written by AIs.\n\nSure, why not.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1914573658577633746","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":75,"retweets":4,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":9101,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1914573658577633746","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1479895242367111169":{"id":"1479895242367111169","date":"2022-01-08 19:18:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Too_Good2BTrue Perhaps. But doesn't that preclude the ability to communicate more complex ideas?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1479873065446039553","reply_id":"1479885694508097549","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Too_Good2BTrue","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1479895242367111169","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1712904075321528571":{"id":"1712904075321528571","date":"2023-10-13 18:52:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@W98AB <4:21 is solid. That beats my mile PB, but I still got him on his *average* mile. For a marathon.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1712900932915155070","reply_id":"1712900932915155070","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"W98AB","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":34,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1712904075321528571","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1717231603393745106":{"id":"1717231603393745106","date":"2023-10-25 17:28:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Yolo4Yacht I'm not at all convinced the arrival of true AGI implies dystopia.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1717229315723874407","reply_id":"1717231461768876350","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Buy__The__Dip","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":92,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1717231603393745106","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2037185398187692451":{"id":"2037185398187692451","date":"2026-03-26 15:10:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"We're going to generate tons of alpha with a new approach and...\"\n\nDon't say it. Don't say it!!!\n\n\"sell it to trading firms.\"\n\nThey said it.🤦‍♂️\n\nhttps://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/openai-backs-new-ai-startup-seeking-bot-army-breakthroughs-a0b1fedc","hashtags":[],"conv":"2037185398187692451","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":258,"retweets":10,"replies":14,"quotes":3,"views":89732,"bookmarks":84,"media":["2037185398187692451_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2037185398187692451","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1494118568518033409":{"id":"1494118568518033409","date":"2022-02-17 01:16:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 @SpencerBosma Well, looking and being are positively correlated but not the same thing.\n\nYou could take HGH, for example, and look fitter+younger. Testosterone supplementation for men works!\n\nBut it's like burning the candle at both ends.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494110009478684674","reply_id":"1494118095186632707","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494118568518033409","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1552312475042729985":{"id":"1552312475042729985","date":"2022-07-27 15:18:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I'm not sure the judge in A Few Good Men *has* earned it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1552312475042729985","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1552312475042729985","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1631134023413280768":{"id":"1631134023413280768","date":"2023-03-02 03:27:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0x94305 @rajivpoc 👆","hashtags":[],"conv":"1631126851899858944","reply_id":"1631129240572948480","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0x94305","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":116,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1631134023413280768","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1926679083196297573":{"id":"1926679083196297573","date":"2025-05-25 16:37:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Pretty clearly true if you know anything about how most companies work.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1926679083196297573","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":40,"retweets":2,"replies":27,"quotes":0,"views":6483,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1926679083196297573","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1486413618665033728":{"id":"1486413618665033728","date":"2022-01-26 18:59:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2/ It's the complete commoditization of everything.\n\nCEO: \"I want to build a software feature.\"\nMe: \"Tell me about the feature.\"\nCEO: \"Oh it doesn't matter. Just a feature. Some database, some backend business logic. Some UI.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486413617582927874","reply_id":"1486413617582927874","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1486413618665033728","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1946203452310176090":{"id":"1946203452310176090","date":"2025-07-18 13:40:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BenFranklin927 You're ignoring feedback. It's the real world itself that changes. Vibe world *is* the real world for a lot of these prediction market contracts.\n\nWe're not talking about \"cm of rain in Rome next week\" that we can't affect.\n\nIt's about markets that betting *can* causally affect.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946114875899486383","reply_id":"1946201314414707010","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BenFranklin927","likes":5,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":868,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946203452310176090","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1346863623264583681":{"id":"1346863623264583681","date":"2021-01-06 16:58:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"49/ I think that's enough for today.\n\nI'm always open to comments and suggestions and requests on where to take this next...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346863621670768643","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346863623264583681","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1934702743127458247":{"id":"1934702743127458247","date":"2025-06-16 20:00:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Samans35 The most salient characteristc, looking back, is curiosity. An innate desire to deeply understand even the most irrelevant-seeming things.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1934563284453036526","reply_id":"1934700948187951289","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"samansaama","likes":46,"retweets":4,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3148,"bookmarks":26,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1934702743127458247","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1510263674472054791":{"id":"1510263674472054791","date":"2022-04-02 14:31:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @totlsota @0xfbifemboy @be20684347 @using_namejase @0xdoug @picotrades This is a pretty sweet list to be a part of!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1510175186821459974","reply_id":"1510175186821459974","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1510263674472054791","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1974160805265567836":{"id":"1974160805265567836","date":"2025-10-03 17:13:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I love seeing JS's incredibly niche job postings.\n\nOxCaml is pretty awesome so far, and I hope it gets more widely used.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1974160805265567836","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":48,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":15617,"bookmarks":16,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1974160805265567836","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1996609714738581670":{"id":"1996609714738581670","date":"2025-12-04 15:57:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Well for one thing, if the fair you’re using to eval is the same fair you’re computing, it might happen that, for example, mid predicts mid in the future better but swmid predicts swmid better in the future.\n\nSo you don’t have an objective metric to say which one is better.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1996609701950218467","reply_id":"1996609712549515328","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3934,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1996609714738581670","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1378035568261521408":{"id":"1378035568261521408","date":"2021-04-02 17:24:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @swiss_quant No need, that's already \"pre-normalized\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377374179658436611","reply_id":"1378035433737748484","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1378035568261521408","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1540028188239097856":{"id":"1540028188239097856","date":"2022-06-23 17:45:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@volpompilano Yeah, the effect is definitely very sensitive to t-costs. Trading in those opening auctions in any decent size is basically impossible.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1540019711160659968","reply_id":"1540027945586024448","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"l1quid1ty","likes":1,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1540028188239097856","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1599087427318317056":{"id":"1599087427318317056","date":"2022-12-03 17:05:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dwarkesh_sp I think you should, and in fact I claim you already did before I said it.\n\nNot to blow smoke up your butt, but you're consistently the most interesting non-GPT-bot interviewer this side of @tylercowen.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598559629059194880","reply_id":"1599084216427286533","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dwarkesh_sp","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1599087427318317056","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1655644878171435008":{"id":"1655644878171435008","date":"2023-05-08 18:44:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"When was the last time all 4 NBA conference semis were this interesting?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1655644878171435008","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2270,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1655644878171435008","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2038625807283724327":{"id":"2038625807283724327","date":"2026-03-30 14:34:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Big increases in token pricing seem likely for the next 12mo.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2038625807283724327","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":65,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":3,"views":9669,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2038625807283724327","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1923800402467680330":{"id":"1923800402467680330","date":"2025-05-17 17:58:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Linkus000 Because they both only care about making GPUs go brrr.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1923800134325772357","reply_id":"1923800282888056906","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Linkus000","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3025,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1923800402467680330","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1832503297812394002":{"id":"1832503297812394002","date":"2024-09-07 19:36:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@W98AB Yes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1832482965781135628","reply_id":"1832501953294745953","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"W98AB","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":492,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1832503297812394002","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1382882627019935744":{"id":"1382882627019935744","date":"2021-04-16 02:24:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_fabriciovsa Because the purest \"trading\" path is the MM/HFT route. It's all about edge, about $, about beating the others in the game.\n\nAnd 99.9% of them, especially the best, are people you've never heard of. Are you ok with that?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"1382882414528106499","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382882627019935744","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1183772600838680576":{"id":"1183772600838680576","date":"2019-10-14 15:52:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@chanep @SinclairEuan @petergarnry @VolatilityWiz @Barton_options @LindaRaschke I agree that levels do have some importance in FX (the last place stop orders still exist). And that absolute level matters for VIX behavior.\n\nBut for the average retail trader, none of that matters. Certainly not for people talking about $ES \"breaking through\" the 3k level.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1183423468483706881","reply_id":"1183770321352122368","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"chanep","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1183772600838680576","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1333090628234670080":{"id":"1333090628234670080","date":"2020-11-29 16:49:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"One of the best ams in California, Friday morning before a friendly round. Almost entirely 7 irons.\n\nI asked him about blocked practice. He said it's what gives him the feeling he can trust his swing under the gun.\n\n@scottfawcett @LouStagner","hashtags":[],"conv":"1333090628234670080","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1596723607790825472","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":64,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1333090628234670080_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1333090628234670080","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1443951379484008457":{"id":"1443951379484008457","date":"2021-10-01 14:50:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"7/ Even worse, in finance there's a second even-stronger adverse selection effect:\n\nIf someone had found a pot of money, the last thing they'd do is write a paper about it. They'd go trade it. Or at least, sell it to someone who would go trade it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443951372580229123","reply_id":"1443951378330648577","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":40,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1443951379484008457","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2046620592980262964":{"id":"2046620592980262964","date":"2026-04-21 16:02:28","author":"MIT CSAIL","handle":"MIT_CSAIL","text":"Today, MIT & the IMO released MathNet, the world’s largest dataset of International Math Olympiad problems & solutions 🌍\n\nMathNet is 5x larger than previous datasets & is sourced from over 40 countries across 4 decades: https://bit.ly/4u1bhBC","hashtags":[],"conv":"2046620592980262964","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2046880587403640865","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2122,"retweets":540,"replies":15,"quotes":43,"views":197559,"bookmarks":1557,"media":["2046620592980262964_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/MIT_CSAIL/status/2046620592980262964"},"1600979122448060416":{"id":"1600979122448060416","date":"2022-12-08 22:22:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Maybe the AI takeover wouldn't be so bad...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1600979122448060416","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":47,"retweets":3,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1600979122448060416_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1600979122448060416","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1743487840275890638":{"id":"1743487840275890638","date":"2024-01-06 04:21:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Must resist urge to explain all of semiconductor physics  to 13 year old who just wants to light his Arduino LED properly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1743487840275890638","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":28,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":4314,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1743487840275890638","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1896576933397414324":{"id":"1896576933397414324","date":"2025-03-03 15:02:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"When AGI takes over and realizes it was built in a weakly, duck typed, interpreted language, it will tell us \"You kind of deserved this\" before killing us.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1896576933397414324","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":34,"retweets":3,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3209,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1896576933397414324","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1430879407279849481":{"id":"1430879407279849481","date":"2021-08-26 13:06:49","author":"Euan Sinclair","handle":"SinclairEuan","text":"@pablopargui read my book 😉\n\nbut my main point is its just an EWMA which traders had used forever without getting nobel prizes. and using MLE actually makes it worse than just jamming in some parameters you like.\n\nnothing works very well.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1430874553467772935","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1430890469030916103","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":32,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SinclairEuan/status/1430879407279849481"},"1602742220292902918":{"id":"1602742220292902918","date":"2022-12-13 19:08:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"He should totally tweet \"1) What\" right now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602742220292902918","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1602742220292902918","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1507154962073092097":{"id":"1507154962073092097","date":"2022-03-25 00:38:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@3PointTrader Does he get to pick the flavors?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507092815456710666","reply_id":"1507092815456710666","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"3PointTrader","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507154962073092097","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1439306778735353860":{"id":"1439306778735353860","date":"2021-09-18 19:14:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 - Which details are important?\n- Where do I need more data?\n\nTwo more useful meta-questions.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1439302018976256002","reply_id":"1439306014516514821","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1439306778735353860","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1779639074548236326":{"id":"1779639074548236326","date":"2024-04-14 22:33:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"15mins a year. That's the time I spend on investments.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1779639074548236326","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":93,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":25667,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1779639074548236326","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1736913312129134653":{"id":"1736913312129134653","date":"2023-12-19 00:56:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbateman The purpose of university isn't to identify the smartest kids and accept only them.\n\nIt's to identify *enough* very-smart kids while simultaneously identifying rich kids who are smart enough to be plausibly acceptable.\n\nCapping the test accomplishes this nicely.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1736877117575487709","reply_id":"1736877117575487709","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbateman","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":229,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1736913312129134653","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1906040134320930954":{"id":"1906040134320930954","date":"2025-03-29 17:45:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@elletwocache The sound of Vijay hitting long irons is just seared into my mind. The high pitched snick, perfectly tour-thin, every time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1906021646474846486","reply_id":"1906033748862197942","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"elletwocache","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":193,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1906040134320930954","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1566435172613906433":{"id":"1566435172613906433","date":"2022-09-04 14:37:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Whatever you make cheaper you get more of (often at a lower quality). This is fundamentally why Copilot sucks for the world.\n\nCan someone build a Copilot that helps you write *less* code?\n\n\"Hey, didn't you write a very similar function yesterday 200 lines above?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1566435172613906433","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1566435172613906433","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1790527285168345242":{"id":"1790527285168345242","date":"2024-05-14 23:39:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@emigal Does he want the job?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1790456776527069304","reply_id":"1790456776527069304","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"emigal","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2020,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1790527285168345242","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1556408114454286337":{"id":"1556408114454286337","date":"2022-08-07 22:33:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Sure why not?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1556365321417568256","reply_id":"1556399113939615744","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1556408114454286337","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1610300151868067840":{"id":"1610300151868067840","date":"2023-01-03 15:40:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@azad_champion @ejames_c @nabeelqu Yeah, online is great for math, assuming you can find exercises to do.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1610183719700279297","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":50,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1610300151868067840","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1764407224926114071":{"id":"1764407224926114071","date":"2024-03-03 21:47:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @macrocephalopod Don't recall that incident.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1764385249377583333","reply_id":"1764401113451884717","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":721,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1764407224926114071","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1465462415655534593":{"id":"1465462415655534593","date":"2021-11-29 23:27:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 No debate. But where there's an incentive, the honest will be crowded out by the dishonest.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1465452032874135555","reply_id":"1465462121576251396","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1465462415655534593","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2006845357918138438":{"id":"2006845357918138438","date":"2026-01-01 21:49:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The AI world's obsession with evals is evidence of, yet again, not heeding the bitter lesson.\n\nIf your method of building AI requires on-going and growing amounts of human expertise, it won't scale.\n\nWho's building the scalable evals?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2006845357918138438","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":54,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":7729,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2006845357918138438","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1582100798258917378":{"id":"1582100798258917378","date":"2022-10-17 20:06:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pythianism I think about this a lot as a fellow Canuck.\n\nThe bimodality in my graduating class between those who left and those who stayed is... stark.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1582042697602211840","reply_id":"1582042697602211840","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pythianism","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1582100798258917378","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1635796623833063424":{"id":"1635796623833063424","date":"2023-03-15 00:14:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @ValueHao 👆\n\nI don't have a degree in IPA.\nThey're all the same bitter swill, just bring me one.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1635750022217371648","reply_id":"1635750290405064706","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":351,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1635796623833063424","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1762147353287622750":{"id":"1762147353287622750","date":"2024-02-26 16:07:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Status-seeking is a two-sided market, and it has many faces.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1762147353287622750","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":9712,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1762147353287622750","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1627881298202353666":{"id":"1627881298202353666","date":"2023-02-21 04:02:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@IDrawCharts If you have to ask...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1627867191751090176","reply_id":"1627867191751090176","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"IDrawCharts","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":694,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1627881298202353666","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1492169068698243073":{"id":"1492169068698243073","date":"2022-02-11 16:10:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @be20684347 A lot more!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1492168998548615172","reply_id":"1492168998548615172","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1492169068698243073","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1995038921240318299":{"id":"1995038921240318299","date":"2025-11-30 07:55:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"RT @AgustinLebron3: Right on cue.\n\nhttps://x.com/btibor91/status/1994714152636690834","hashtags":[],"conv":"1995038921240318299","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"1995038832291713309","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1995038921240318299","type":"retweet","issues":[]},"1372370789672972291":{"id":"1372370789672972291","date":"2021-03-18 02:14:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @robbevantillo The question is what N to use in the \"is this corr significant\" question. I claim the correct N is more like 25 than it is 5000.\n\n(I said 12.5 earlier, that was a mistake I meant 25)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1372362211688079363","reply_id":"1372370492468830209","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1372370789672972291","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1503185121448394755":{"id":"1503185121448394755","date":"2022-03-14 01:43:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@3tardCap @lightspringfox Port 443 >> port 80","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503182854641049608","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1503185121448394755","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1595864166228598786":{"id":"1595864166228598786","date":"2022-11-24 19:37:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@volatilitynoob @bowtiedrickson It does. The bad shops do it poorly, the good shops get actual useful signal out of it. But doing the latter is subtle and hard and requires experience and training.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595799254437462016","reply_id":"1595838011539075072","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"volatilitynoob","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1595864166228598786","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1597315463502909440":{"id":"1597315463502909440","date":"2022-11-28 19:44:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"At best they're replacing UpWork contractors, basically.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597315257168384000","reply_id":"1597315257168384000","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597315463502909440","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1255136047480008707":{"id":"1255136047480008707","date":"2020-04-28 14:05:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@paulg Here's a problem I've run into with my kids: games are *so* good now (graphics esp) that they get discouraged that whatever they write isn't going to be \"good\".\n\nWhen I was starting on Apple ][ the games I played weren't so much of a leap, so it felt worth trying.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1254853868854394881","reply_id":"1254853868854394881","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"paulg","likes":137,"retweets":3,"replies":17,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1255136047480008707","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1746207723623239698":{"id":"1746207723623239698","date":"2024-01-13 16:28:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@miyamototrading 🙏🙏🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1746201084543332691","reply_id":"1746206033897246990","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"uunluckygambler","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":147,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1746207723623239698","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1521947280433102850":{"id":"1521947280433102850","date":"2022-05-04 20:18:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @therobotjames 🤣🤣🤣\n\nTime to find a new broker maybe.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1517683395945451521","reply_id":"1521946371418374150","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1521947280433102850","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1682228764070264832":{"id":"1682228764070264832","date":"2023-07-21 03:19:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Conclusive proof you don't need to be able to spell to make $ in America.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1682228764070264832","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":61,"retweets":1,"replies":14,"quotes":2,"views":16714,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1682228764070264832_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1682228764070264832","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1460249676800659462":{"id":"1460249676800659462","date":"2021-11-15 14:13:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@stu01769024 Also an excellent choice!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1460050980821561346","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1460249676800659462","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1557577347192172544":{"id":"1557577347192172544","date":"2022-08-11 03:59:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @KrisAbdelmessih @ByrneHobart No chance. Clearing denominators shows it's a cubic.\n\nProbably related to elliptic curves.\n\nI'm way out.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1557493154395348993","reply_id":"1557575680598376448","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1557577347192172544","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1230697829124886531":{"id":"1230697829124886531","date":"2020-02-21 03:36:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @vixologist @darjohn25 It's a hell of a lot cheaper than sports betting...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1230646055512862720","reply_id":"1230649397790142465","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1230697829124886531","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1451237632910905349":{"id":"1451237632910905349","date":"2021-10-21 17:23:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"You see a special case of this in trading all the time: very smart people who somehow still fail to create/add/obtain much value.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1451237632910905349","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":41,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1451237632910905349","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1613962918978256897":{"id":"1613962918978256897","date":"2023-01-13 18:15:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Seems like there's a convergence happening in white-collar work.\n\nAdderall prescriptions up, meaning more people who can just crank out lots of relatively mindless mid work.\n\nWhich is precisely what LLMs are good at.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1613962918978256897","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":3383,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1613962918978256897","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1804371102875189341":{"id":"1804371102875189341","date":"2024-06-22 04:29:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Hey look, the moral sophistication of an 8-year-old.\n\nNo one in history has ever debated the definitions of words like \"good\". Right?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1803484536698970339","reply_id":"1803816192760541366","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3133,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1804371102875189341_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1804371102875189341","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1951210290223215028":{"id":"1951210290223215028","date":"2025-08-01 09:15:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"We're missing the third line: consumer gross Pnl.\n\nI bet it's negative too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1951210290223215028","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":6342,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1951210290223215028","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1594760598444990465":{"id":"1594760598444990465","date":"2022-11-21 18:32:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Since when are international sporting events all about social/political debates and movements?\n\nOh right, since always.\n\nhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ancient_Olympic_Games","hashtags":[],"conv":"1594760598444990465","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1594760598444990465","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1478805440477601793":{"id":"1478805440477601793","date":"2022-01-05 19:07:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano @drewg__ I'm almost done with it, I agree it was a mistake to watch.\n\nArgh...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1478770831333462019","reply_id":"1478805326308818951","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1478805440477601793","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1937947270885855706":{"id":"1937947270885855706","date":"2025-06-25 18:53:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@samuha How is taking the slow MM any different than the slow MM canceling, as far as the end customer is concerned? If you were to somehow ban lead-lag arbitrage, thereby subsidizing the shitty MM, would that lead to better price discovery and liquidity for the end customer?\n\nDoubt it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482748235496058880","reply_id":"1937946227678511374","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"samuha","likes":15,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":993,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1937947270885855706","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1671173571857489921":{"id":"1671173571857489921","date":"2023-06-20 15:10:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bookdepth Hope I don't get Gell-Mann amnesia next time he makes claims about stuff he doesn't know much about.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1671003879922647047","reply_id":"1671003879922647047","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bookdepth","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":823,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1671173571857489921","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1538599748763983872":{"id":"1538599748763983872","date":"2022-06-19 19:09:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Father's Day activity: PokerNow on the couch with the kids.\n\nGood times.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1538599748763983872","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1538599748763983872","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1366097902150451201":{"id":"1366097902150451201","date":"2021-02-28 18:48:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@petergarnry Well, you could (cynically) argue that doing this helps them on the way up.\n\nIt is difficult to get a [person] to understand something when [their] salary depends upon [their] not understanding it. - Upton Sinclair","hashtags":[],"conv":"1366045411891412995","reply_id":"1366095533035683843","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"petergarnry","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1366097902150451201","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1131219249790312448":{"id":"1131219249790312448","date":"2019-05-22 15:24:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ Talking to a lot of software companies these days and it’s clear. Software jobs in the 2020s will be like manufacturing jobs in the 1990s: gone, off-shored to cheaper places. The remote-developer coordination problem is now basically solved.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1131219249790312448","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1131219249790312448","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1670489385760964614":{"id":"1670489385760964614","date":"2023-06-18 17:51:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Willing to bet that pleats were the norm for more years than not in the last 200 years.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1670459324827594754","reply_id":"1670459324827594754","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":358,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1670489385760964614","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1252300895099990018":{"id":"1252300895099990018","date":"2020-04-20 18:19:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz People *really* don't want to take delivery!\n\nETFs that hold futures. Always have been and always will be a problem, until the day the SEC wakes up and bans them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1252300411928809474","reply_id":"1252300411928809474","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1252300895099990018","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1982465571561115751":{"id":"1982465571561115751","date":"2025-10-26 15:13:19","author":"Isaac","handle":"roundrobin42","text":"banger","hashtags":[],"conv":"1982465571561115751","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1982827944503661055","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":88,"retweets":13,"replies":3,"quotes":2,"views":41019,"bookmarks":32,"media":["1982465571561115751_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/roundrobin42/status/1982465571561115751"},"1600975733232349184":{"id":"1600975733232349184","date":"2022-12-08 22:08:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@return_stacking Not *a* notorious arms dealer.\n\nTHE notorious arms dealer. The man known as the Lord of War! And he's only 55. Lots of arms dealing in his future...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1600974986948198401","reply_id":"1600974986948198401","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"return_stacking","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1600975733232349184","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1629528345615691776":{"id":"1629528345615691776","date":"2023-02-25 17:06:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@kalpeshmewada49 I suspect psychologist (or at least psychiatrist) is on the chopping block.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1629522250205638656","reply_id":"1629528106955423747","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"kalpeshmewada49","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":1219,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1629528345615691776","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1530246735431315457":{"id":"1530246735431315457","date":"2022-05-27 17:57:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Who gets there first: demographic collapse or AGI?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1530246735431315457","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1530246735431315457","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1734634830300696703":{"id":"1734634830300696703","date":"2023-12-12 18:02:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"These things appeal to less-experienced programmers. They let you do things that feel like writing English and it mostly works most of the time.\n\nAnd when it doesn't, you can usually bash it into submission for a small project. Which is what 99% of things are.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1734634828761334091","reply_id":"1734634828761334091","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":27,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2173,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1734634830300696703","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1955216536295055798":{"id":"1955216536295055798","date":"2025-08-12 10:35:23","author":"John Roberson","handle":"jroberson151","text":"@AgustinLebron3 \"Our style of education was just shown to be 75% grift by an overgrown auto-complete bot, what should we do?\"\n\n\"Hit em with procedural demands that also don't contribute to real education. That'll show em.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1954991678051512700","reply_id":"1954991678051512700","quote_id":"1955216787739439237","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":52,"retweets":7,"replies":3,"quotes":2,"views":25171,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/jroberson151/status/1955216536295055798"},"2041235662947455251":{"id":"2041235662947455251","date":"2026-04-06 19:24:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Who is the world's greatest preventer of bureaucratic competitors solving their coordination problems?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2041235662947455251","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":3398,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2041235662947455251","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1488696932293697536":{"id":"1488696932293697536","date":"2022-02-02 02:13:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I love how Bill Belichick is one of the greatest tactical and strategic geniuses of our time, but he can't work his phone's address book.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1488696932293697536","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1488696932293697536","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1866201330886336778":{"id":"1866201330886336778","date":"2024-12-09 19:20:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin In trading revenue/profit is realized fairly immediately. At EOY you either made or didn't make $. So some fraction gets paid out.\n\nSW startup is (likely) very different.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1866196689444651359","reply_id":"1866200833484091564","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":128,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1866201330886336778","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1503884584743669763":{"id":"1503884584743669763","date":"2022-03-16 00:03:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Or maybe there's a simple formula that always works.\n\n🤷‍♂️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503884581900111873","reply_id":"1503884583745449985","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1503884584743669763","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1478429811555008513":{"id":"1478429811555008513","date":"2022-01-04 18:15:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Tea. Getting into it in 2022.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1478117403322052610","reply_id":"1478117403322052610","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1478429811555008513","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1529686677026840576":{"id":"1529686677026840576","date":"2022-05-26 04:51:38","author":"Jesse McLaren","handle":"McJesse","text":"If laws don't stop bad people from getting guns then WHY DID HE WAIT UNTIL THE LITERAL DAY IT WAS LEGAL TO BUY ONE?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529686677026840576","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1529969979252035584","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":155430,"retweets":18675,"replies":466,"quotes":495,"views":0,"bookmarks":1255,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/McJesse/status/1529686677026840576"},"1532112350399959040":{"id":"1532112350399959040","date":"2022-06-01 21:30:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Instead of being one of the idiots arguing politics and right/wrong about this, let's look one level deeper.\n\nEvery leader has to figure out how to select IN the people they want and select OUT the ones they don't.\n\nTHAT'S what matters way more than the object level stuff.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1532112350399959040","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":32,"retweets":0,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1532112350399959040","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1530018829396369409":{"id":"1530018829396369409","date":"2022-05-27 02:51:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@zinak Good one!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1530011307084107776","reply_id":"1530018753899274240","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"zinak","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1530018829396369409","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1791195494670381166":{"id":"1791195494670381166","date":"2024-05-16 19:54:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@halogen1048576 @mbacarella That became my baseline assumption about the show as the seasons wore on.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1791106708993188280","reply_id":"1791187790912188671","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"halogen1048576","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":33,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1791195494670381166","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1640837878472388609":{"id":"1640837878472388609","date":"2023-03-28 22:06:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 I would recommend against this for a variety of reasons.\n\n1. It's a competitive world out there. If you're more hard-working and driven than others, you're just making it harder for yourself to stand out. You're raising the waterline.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1640833303480795137","reply_id":"1640833303480795137","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":345,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1640837878472388609","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1757850201732362668":{"id":"1757850201732362668","date":"2024-02-14 19:32:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@trickylabyrinth Yes, or a broadening of it. Many things are markets that don't look like it on the surface.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1757845947294626222","reply_id":"1757846570207482163","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"trickylabyrinth","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":87,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1757850201732362668","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1614646374049665026":{"id":"1614646374049665026","date":"2023-01-15 15:31:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbacarella @thecarefreebear I learned a while ago not to bluff a bluff-catcher. Much.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1614369212948176896","reply_id":"1614638273825239043","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbacarella","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":23,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1614646374049665026","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1524824682851098624":{"id":"1524824682851098624","date":"2022-05-12 18:51:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alvinjamur If you're going to mentor, pick your proteges wisely.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1524824444618809346","reply_id":"1524824444618809346","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alvinjamur","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1524824682851098624","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1770624333716820165":{"id":"1770624333716820165","date":"2024-03-21 01:31:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Ippei literally taking one for the team.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1770624333716820165","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1682,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1770624333716820165","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1458975602287935494":{"id":"1458975602287935494","date":"2021-11-12 01:51:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames But wait, you didn't get to the http://pd.to_datetime datetime64[ns] munging yet!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1458974969967235076","reply_id":"1458974969967235076","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1458975602287935494","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1585407238952230912":{"id":"1585407238952230912","date":"2022-10-26 23:05:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4/ Which is why \"programming is hard\".\n\nBecause thinking THAT clearly is really hard!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1585407235311964168","reply_id":"1585407237740036096","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":34,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1585407238952230912","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2046492210586112461":{"id":"2046492210586112461","date":"2026-04-21 07:32:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"💯","hashtags":[],"conv":"2046492210586112461","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":39,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":18542,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2046492210586112461","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1419085875531554821":{"id":"1419085875531554821","date":"2021-07-25 00:03:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Counting down the days till the start of a new school year, a new teacher, and a new \"classroom management\" rewards system.\n\nI secretly love my 10-year-old's total disdain for their extrinsic motivation techniques. Does make it hard sometimes though...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1419085875531554821","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1419085875531554821","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1362605401141698563":{"id":"1362605401141698563","date":"2021-02-19 03:30:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TradyticsAIbot @cwc94636631 Working on it! :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1362591065383915521","reply_id":"1362604897019961362","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Tradytics","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1362605401141698563","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1843006025630433632":{"id":"1843006025630433632","date":"2024-10-06 19:10:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@joseph_h_garvin I love how shitty tools create a ponzi of companies needed to patch the shittiness.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1842857744866394377","reply_id":"1842999680520933589","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"joseph_h_garvin","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":234,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1843006025630433632","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1598816285550292992":{"id":"1598816285550292992","date":"2022-12-02 23:08:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @khemaridh Process >> goals.\n\n@JamesClear","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598806727545147392","reply_id":"1598815165671407626","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598816285550292992","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1559555806667759616":{"id":"1559555806667759616","date":"2022-08-16 15:00:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Seen in the wild. Should I download it?\n\nPaging @bennpeifert... 🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1559555806667759616","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":2,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":15,"media":["1559555806667759616_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1559555806667759616","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1443943222279950338":{"id":"1443943222279950338","date":"2021-10-01 14:17:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I see you @choffstein.\n\nhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-10-01/stock-market-does-new-cash-make-shares-go-up","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443943222279950338","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1443943222279950338","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1715425679066697867":{"id":"1715425679066697867","date":"2023-10-20 17:52:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@aditya_baradwaj Mark-to-market is good sometimes, bad other times.\nSame with mark-to-model.\n\nNo easy answers, just tradeoffs. Requires experience and taste to understand where and when to use each.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1715424756546372011","reply_id":"1715424756546372011","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"adi_baradwaj","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":100,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1715425679066697867","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1755649895678308732":{"id":"1755649895678308732","date":"2024-02-08 17:48:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"A year+ into the ChatGPT era, I'm kind of underwhelmed by the botpocalypse.\n\nThe Internet signal-to-noise ratio seems unchanged.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1755649895678308732","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":37,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3682,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1755649895678308732","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1259661667991818240":{"id":"1259661667991818240","date":"2020-05-11 01:48:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz Well, I'm not sure that a year is really enough.\n\nThe classic example is Victor Niederhoffer, who put up massive numbers until 1997. And then again until he blew up in 2007.\n\nMost years, put-selling major market indices is just free money.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1259656569266089985","reply_id":"1259657488758177792","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1259661667991818240","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1912971238244286634":{"id":"1912971238244286634","date":"2025-04-17 20:47:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ScrollingAtWork @prxyam A PhD program.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1912956767920664834","reply_id":"1912971046845641201","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ScrollingAtWork","likes":27,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":1821,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1912971238244286634","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1492703891749621763":{"id":"1492703891749621763","date":"2022-02-13 03:35:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I've wondered the same thing for a while now.\n\nI suspect it's the top of the funnel. How to attract good-enough HS kids vs the \"higher status\" college option.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1492703891749621763","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1492703891749621763","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1726000467493466313":{"id":"1726000467493466313","date":"2023-11-18 22:12:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@perrymetzger @psychosort He's become a caricature of himself over time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1725974967689371732","reply_id":"1725996700072874256","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"perrymetzger","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":213,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1726000467493466313","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1258234901972660224":{"id":"1258234901972660224","date":"2020-05-07 03:19:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@balajis Would high-status academics post there?\n\nI kind of doubt it, because #incentives, which means it's DOA.\n\nGotta fix the incentive structure first...","hashtags":["incentives"],"conv":"1258233290789498882","reply_id":"1258234010423025664","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"balajis","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1258234901972660224","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2058263345271099838":{"id":"2058263345271099838","date":"2026-05-23 19:06:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I note, as a former electrical engineer, that this is very analogous to the derivation and result for why the optimal CMOS inverter sizing to drive a large capacitive load is a chain which increases size by a factor of e at every stage.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2058262625192956332","reply_id":"2058262632671416742","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2165,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2058263345271099838","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1927795204788003009":{"id":"1927795204788003009","date":"2025-05-28 18:32:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@__paleologo For me it was this guy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1927776303475831212","reply_id":"1927776303475831212","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"__paleologo","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":756,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1927795204788003009_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1927795204788003009","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1442629652418220032":{"id":"1442629652418220032","date":"2021-09-27 23:18:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @tjrwriting I'm in!\n\nStupid rent-seeking gatekeeper mafia.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1442613343131369474","reply_id":"1442613839275565059","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1442629652418220032","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1847625061336850866":{"id":"1847625061336850866","date":"2024-10-19 13:05:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Nyrkes - Deeply understand why you're in that spot. What are your incentives, what are the incentives around you?\n- Truly consider the various branches in the decision tree. It's not easy, we often put up aversion fields around branches for arbitrary reasons.\n- Decide, then commit!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847610792113316169","reply_id":"1847624587980263529","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"samansaama","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":542,"bookmarks":17,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847625061336850866","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1957394902959948113":{"id":"1957394902959948113","date":"2025-08-18 10:51:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@j0hnwang I hope not, at least not as they're currently constituted.\n\nhttps://reducibleerrors.com/prediction-markets/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957364498626646063","reply_id":"1957364498626646063","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"j0hnwang","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":885,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1957394902959948113","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1829917480678277294":{"id":"1829917480678277294","date":"2024-08-31 16:21:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Heavy-duty ear protection? ✅\n154 page user's manual? ✅🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1829917480678277294","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":4463,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1829917480678277294_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1829917480678277294","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1847929168488468687":{"id":"1847929168488468687","date":"2024-10-20 09:13:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Also I theorize great servers should drop serve more often.\n\nMeddy and Alc stand SO far back returning, surely the optimal drop serve % is non-zero. Even if they lose every point drop serving, if it moves opp 2ft closer than they want on the return, it might still be +EV to do.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847929167054057910","reply_id":"1847929167054057910","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1128,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847929168488468687","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1708148174182142289":{"id":"1708148174182142289","date":"2023-09-30 15:53:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount He's high vol. Jordan is always just one swing away from being back.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1708140984201052459","reply_id":"1708145205860343884","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":256,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1708148174182142289","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1376983843270402048":{"id":"1376983843270402048","date":"2021-03-30 19:45:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jsoloff @KrisAbdelmessih @darjohn25 It's worth noting the obvious: selling covered calls = selling naked puts. You know, put call parity. So...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1376957385734938626","reply_id":"1376975252098478081","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jsoloff","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1376983843270402048","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1492538465254187008":{"id":"1492538465254187008","date":"2022-02-12 16:37:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HangukQuant Too new/too fast-moving/etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1492485884398419969","reply_id":"1492537931612889091","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HangukQuant","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1492538465254187008","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1166373236776390657":{"id":"1166373236776390657","date":"2019-08-27 15:33:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OddStats @TradingMuppet Eh, depends on what you mean by \"corpses\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1166347143554228228","reply_id":"1166353750362968064","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OddStats","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1166373236776390657","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1792020314949624225":{"id":"1792020314949624225","date":"2024-05-19 02:31:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbacarella @wholemars We're gonna find out cuz no one seems intent on changing the track this self-driving train is on.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1791716724997587397","reply_id":"1792019554438410538","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbacarella","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":37,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1792020314949624225","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1432504182599127043":{"id":"1432504182599127043","date":"2021-08-31 00:43:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames You can get arbitrarily complex with #2. Close the redemption window, add costs, change the ratio, etc etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1432463541110411265","reply_id":"1432503964524630019","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1432504182599127043","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2078864357694243129":{"id":"2078864357694243129","date":"2026-07-19 15:27:40","author":"Daniel","handle":"growing_daniel","text":"Okay, I’ll take a hack at Deans argument without his conflict of interest.  \n\nWhat China is doing in AI is called dumping. They do it in literally every industry they enter. The goal is to kill all local competition by subsidizing their own industry so they can produce at a loss, then once all competitors are dead, they can charge profitable prices and control the market. \n\nIn steel and automobiles this is just bad. In AI it’s potentially fatal to our country. \n\nUnfortunately, dumping is the a very common argument for rent seeking domestic firms who want protection, and Dean’s position here seems to be a Jones Act of sorts for AI. This has famously not saved our shipbuilding industry and I suspect it won’t save our AI labs. \n\nStopping open weights it’s virtually impossible. So our only other option is governments taking stakes in labs and subsidizing our own industry. \n\nIf you scream and yell about either Jones Acting AI or subsidizing GPUs then you should also explain how we will escape the dumping trap china is trying to push on us to destroy our labs and leave themselves with the only functioning AI industry in the world.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2078864357694243129","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2079100710105293269","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3052,"retweets":267,"replies":325,"quotes":97,"views":397358,"bookmarks":662,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/growing_daniel/status/2078864357694243129"},"1927008010309644484":{"id":"1927008010309644484","date":"2025-05-26 14:24:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@call_me_g3 @bennpeifert Grifters.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1926983183519666558","reply_id":"1926997446288089136","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"call_me_g3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":800,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1927008010309644484","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1447042441392001033":{"id":"1447042441392001033","date":"2021-10-10 03:32:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolQuant @sajidnizami If the vol you measure is a strong (and consistent) function of your sampling period, there's probably a trade to do.\n\nJust sayin'.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1447035693641846791","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1447042441392001033","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1843713605436658141":{"id":"1843713605436658141","date":"2024-10-08 18:02:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alz_zyd_ The US is bad at teaching math because anyone who's good at it has significantly better job options.\n\nNot nearly as true elsewhere.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1843707719334920619","reply_id":"1843707719334920619","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alz_zyd_","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1165,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1843713605436658141","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1497784869421674502":{"id":"1497784869421674502","date":"2022-02-27 04:05:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @bennpeifert @FiSurgi Are we all enjoying this bad-takes fest?\n\nI'm sure he is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1497737999966257153","reply_id":"1497755555217117184","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1497784869421674502","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1492689448546435077":{"id":"1492689448546435077","date":"2022-02-13 02:37:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin @therobotjames @ThePythonQuant @3shkreli @lightspringfox A man can dream...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1492646076574228481","reply_id":"1492688255388721154","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1492689448546435077","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1708976154965921930":{"id":"1708976154965921930","date":"2023-10-02 22:44:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@wagieeacc Gabe was *never* going to make >$15m/year at JS, and there's no chance anyone told him that he would.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1708968299340456011","reply_id":"1708968299340456011","quote_id":"1708976319839777036","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"wagieeacc","likes":87,"retweets":3,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":12881,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1708976154965921930","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1597981304498184193":{"id":"1597981304498184193","date":"2022-11-30 15:50:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin @0xdoug Yeah that's fair, but we're putting humans in a position they're utterly terrible at: check a thing that's right 99% of the time but could make subtle and possibly disastrous decisions 1% of the time.\n\nSame reason L3 and L4 self driving are a bad idea. Uncanny valley.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597978345345789953","reply_id":"1597980879779139586","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597981304498184193","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1542518637164040198":{"id":"1542518637164040198","date":"2022-06-30 14:41:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ajetluka @EgeErdil2 You're not far off.\nI did lots manual execution to start my career!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542513064590704642","reply_id":"1542518341893378051","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MrEhpresso","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1542518637164040198","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2029108946770829471":{"id":"2029108946770829471","date":"2026-03-04 08:17:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What fraction of US 8th graders could solve this problem? 10%? Less?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2029108946770829471","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":33,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":15120,"bookmarks":16,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2029108946770829471","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1478853380462157824":{"id":"1478853380462157824","date":"2022-01-05 22:18:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lightspringfox We're all long delta. All we can choose is whether we're long vol or short it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1478850699752611849","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1478853380462157824","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1834663032363827550":{"id":"1834663032363827550","date":"2024-09-13 18:38:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeepDishEnjoyer @Lifrordi Eventually markets will be as efficient as the cost of the electricity required to run all the AI arb bots.\n\nBut we're a long way away from that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1834217272774185288","reply_id":"1834662151849701503","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeepDishEnjoyer","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":208,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1834663032363827550","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1946114879489761523":{"id":"1946114879489761523","date":"2025-07-18 07:48:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2. Define the vibes-based economy as one where the ability to capture the public with bullshit is centrally economically valuable.\n\nExample: whether what Joe Rogan says is true doesn't matter. The more he says it, the more it \"becomes true\" in the sense of making him richer.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946114875899486383","reply_id":"1946114877535261091","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":50,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":6892,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946114879489761523","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1448102771417288708":{"id":"1448102771417288708","date":"2021-10-13 01:46:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 @therobotjames Is linear regression machine learning? 🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448086924330246151","reply_id":"1448102631537352705","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448102771417288708","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1778492380997460151":{"id":"1778492380997460151","date":"2024-04-11 18:36:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @sabrmattrics That way lies injury for most people.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1778473945743700395","reply_id":"1778485599642525977","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":87,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1778492380997460151","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1280917775901315072":{"id":"1280917775901315072","date":"2020-07-08 17:32:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alexevans91 Rick","hashtags":[],"conv":"1280817341748707331","reply_id":"1280817341748707331","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alexevans91","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1280917775901315072","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1389432387382112257":{"id":"1389432387382112257","date":"2021-05-04 04:11:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sajidnizami @therobotjames @saah1lk @salr_nyc Do they even give you API access without them?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1389387050856579072","reply_id":"1389432005096472578","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sajidnizami","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1389432387382112257","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2009575343141818770":{"id":"2009575343141818770","date":"2026-01-09 10:37:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's about time for a reboot of Stargate isn't it?\n\nThe right owner could mine profits from that IP for decades.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2009575343141818770","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":2594,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2009575343141818770","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1633934828650500096":{"id":"1633934828650500096","date":"2023-03-09 20:56:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"27/ Much love to everyone out there who’s been tirelessly helping us.\n\n@pythianism , @RoyLearner  and @rajivpoc at Framework, we couldn’t ask for better partners.\n\nMy cofounders Rich and Craig, I couldn’t ask for better. And our incredible team. You do things I couldn’t dream!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633934250620891136","reply_id":"1633934827547402240","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3074,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633934828650500096","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1183423469268033538":{"id":"1183423469268033538","date":"2019-10-13 16:45:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I know a lot of retail traders think levels are everything. But retail is a tiny fraction of trading, and pros never look at that stuff. MM machines (yes, it's all machines) look at moves not levels. Institutional algos do T/VWAPs, smart routing and other lose-a-bit-less things.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1183423468483706881","reply_id":"1183423468483706881","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1183423469268033538","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1155869774078808065":{"id":"1155869774078808065","date":"2019-07-29 15:56:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Seems clear the modern #gigeconomy turns everyone into a #trader. What features of the financial system will get replicated in gig land? Mutual funds? Market makers? HFTs? What else?","hashtags":["gigeconomy","trader"],"conv":"1155869774078808065","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1155869774078808065","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1819030243585462382":{"id":"1819030243585462382","date":"2024-08-01 15:19:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @bookdepth That will go down in history as the worst prisoner swap ever.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1819015250869379452","reply_id":"1819018584770634209","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":157,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1819030243585462382","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1487560839259320323":{"id":"1487560839259320323","date":"2022-01-29 22:58:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FormulaDeltaOne I strongly believe in the notion of conservation of difficulty.\n\nCrypto is \"easier\" in that edges can be larger, but that's compensated by the additional risks (and there are a lot of them) that don't exist in tradfi.\n\nIn the end it's about self-knowledge. What am I good at?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1487541477391716363","reply_id":"1487541477391716363","quote_id":"1639281443489628166","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FormulaDeltaOne","likes":38,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1487560839259320323","type":"quote","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2082918292469993919":{"id":"2082918292469993919","date":"2026-07-30 19:56:34","author":"Alexey Guzey","handle":"alexeyguzey","text":"RT @alexeyguzey: One thing to notice about Dario is that whatever problem he's currently peddling (disinformation in 2019, bioweapons in 2023, China today), his solution is always the same: more secrecy, more censorship, more power to him and less power to everyone else.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2082918292469993919","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2082859067370824022","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":106,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":309,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/alexeyguzey/status/2082918292469993919"},"2066499954533876127":{"id":"2066499954533876127","date":"2026-06-15 12:35:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Got a few hours on my hands. AMA.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2066499954533876127","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":110,"retweets":0,"replies":68,"quotes":0,"views":27685,"bookmarks":62,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2066499954533876127","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1414782663953555459":{"id":"1414782663953555459","date":"2021-07-13 03:04:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily If it's a penny-wide $100 stock then you're probably only giving up $0.15 to do the $1500 trade.\n\nIt really *is* cheaper to do the trade than buy the notebook.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1414780993223888901","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1414782663953555459","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1437111391857434628":{"id":"1437111391857434628","date":"2021-09-12 17:50:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"IMO Agile/MVP-based/customer-centric product development mentality has done more to destroy innovation than just about any other cause. \"Design thinking\" and so forth.\n\nIs it any coincidence that 95%+ of all startups are me-too SaaS companies?\n\nIt works. Unfortunately too well.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1437111391857434628","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1437111391857434628","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2038626021835002248":{"id":"2038626021835002248","date":"2026-03-30 14:34:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The baseball ABS people need to learn about hysteresis functions, like fast.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2038626021835002248","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2486,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2038626021835002248","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1434946291230920706":{"id":"1434946291230920706","date":"2021-09-06 18:27:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OneBigOh @lightspringfox @mdudas Considering CR.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434868593834004485","reply_id":"1434942804933873680","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OneBigOh","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434946291230920706","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1984872817561628984":{"id":"1984872817561628984","date":"2025-11-02 06:38:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I think it says a lot about a language and culture (Czech) that they use the same word for luck as for happiness.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1984872817561628984","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":45,"retweets":0,"replies":11,"quotes":0,"views":5601,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1984872817561628984","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1454949595545366530":{"id":"1454949595545366530","date":"2021-10-31 23:13:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 @KrisAbdelmessih But is it causal?\n\nTo me, it seems at least as likely that these people (yourself included) had these traits already, which is why your were successful at sports and other stuff. Playing organized sports at best refined these inherent abilities.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1454896792802267140","reply_id":"1454932364681830407","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1454949595545366530","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1488732068724887553":{"id":"1488732068724887553","date":"2022-02-02 04:32:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Remember when Picard said humans may yet become gods someday?\n\nFeels like that's not going so well...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1488732068724887553","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1488732068724887553","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1704254084218487066":{"id":"1704254084218487066","date":"2023-09-19 22:00:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"E[point length] = 3.57\nE[point length a given shot is in] = 5.38\n\nThis understates things since I clumped all 10+ as 10. All it takes is one crazy 100 point rally and boom, your stats are dominated by that tail event.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1704254080192049183","reply_id":"1704254083060879497","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1326,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1704254084218487066","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1542996301440200704":{"id":"1542996301440200704","date":"2022-07-01 22:19:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I wish I could retweet this a thousand times.\nIt's all just feel-good air.\n\nIn the words of Lisa Simpson: \"He's just peddling a bunch of easy answers!\"\n\nCarl: \"And how!\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542996301440200704","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1542996301440200704","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1519875240330891266":{"id":"1519875240330891266","date":"2022-04-29 03:04:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LM_Braswell Works in trading...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1519872117642174465","reply_id":"1519872117642174465","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"LM_Braswell","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1519875240330891266","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1162563961595686913":{"id":"1162563961595686913","date":"2019-08-17 03:17:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz I can't remember the last IPO where literally *everyone* hated the company. Challenge: find a reasonable person who'd read the S-1 and thinks $WE has potential.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1162550890336784384","reply_id":"1162563263005114368","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1162563961595686913","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2046965392204091740":{"id":"2046965392204091740","date":"2026-04-22 14:52:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Opus 4.7 inside Cursor's harness is actually fine.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2046965392204091740","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3780,"bookmarks":0,"media":["2046965392204091740_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2046965392204091740","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1491613320289210368":{"id":"1491613320289210368","date":"2022-02-10 03:21:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih There's an optimum number, and 500 sounds about right.\n\nI've hit 2k in one hour, thinking at the time I was god's gift to writing. I had to throw it all out, but it wasn't at all time wasted. You have to go through rivers of crap sometimes, to get to the better stuff.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1491525780047732737","reply_id":"1491525780047732737","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1491613320289210368","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1550157436555632640":{"id":"1550157436555632640","date":"2022-07-21 16:35:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alvinjamur I hear PowerPeg is a great order type.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1549963630610829314","reply_id":"1550157179361034241","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alvinjamur","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1550157436555632640","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1637111147131465728":{"id":"1637111147131465728","date":"2023-03-18 15:18:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin An example: seems clear that front-end dev is going to see some massive efficiency improvements when this stuff rolls out and contract SW houses learn how to use it properly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1637100852170063873","reply_id":"1637110694339387392","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":132,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1637111147131465728","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2015157990240682186":{"id":"2015157990240682186","date":"2026-01-24 20:21:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I really SHOULD just be able to say, practically in plain English, \"look at this website and send this info, nicely formatted, as a text message every day at 3pm\".\n\nPerfectly ordinary.\n\nWe've forgotten that this is what we were MEANT to build. CC just reminded us. Finally.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2015157979494928386","reply_id":"2015157988500160595","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":59,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4263,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2015157990240682186","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1166746520546238464":{"id":"1166746520546238464","date":"2019-08-28 16:17:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BeingHorizontal Related: building strong baselines (or doing other ablation studies on your models) to compare against.\n\nThat feeling of dread that your new hotness won't do any better than boring old known baselines.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1166745505944047616","reply_id":"1166745505944047616","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BeingHorizontal","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1166746520546238464","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1511380668755808262":{"id":"1511380668755808262","date":"2022-04-05 16:30:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@etdebruin That's *awesome*!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1511379685610962946","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1511380668755808262","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1569521825511780352":{"id":"1569521825511780352","date":"2022-09-13 03:02:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CpntBrryCrnch @NotQuiteMidlife @moreproteinbars @FREAK0NAUT \"Uh hey. The internet says I should see if you want coffee.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1569494849833025538","reply_id":"1569519085679177729","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"CpntBrryCrnch","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1569521825511780352","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1934131900530254089":{"id":"1934131900530254089","date":"2025-06-15 06:12:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"99% of humans spend 99% of their time focused on what other humans are doing.\n\nAll the technological progress in history has occurred in the other bits of time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1934131900530254089","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":97,"retweets":2,"replies":23,"quotes":0,"views":8482,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1934131900530254089","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1477347638940897281":{"id":"1477347638940897281","date":"2022-01-01 18:34:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@famadeo This is a very good point. In the end grifters give people what they want.\n\nThe problem is that in trading, most people new to the field want the wrong things.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477320189653893121","reply_id":"1477347360300802051","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"famadeo","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477347638940897281","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1783141933121929630":{"id":"1783141933121929630","date":"2024-04-24 14:32:20","author":"Quantіan","handle":"quantian1","text":"The basic problem here is that resumes/traditional job interviews have ~0 positive signal relative to a practical test (coding, modeling, research, &c.) for \"how well will you do the actual job\".  But the equilibrium where 1. tests are now expected, and 2. they're unpaid, is bad.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1783141933121929630","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1783150516706660467","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":468,"retweets":15,"replies":24,"quotes":4,"views":119692,"bookmarks":84,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/quantian1/status/1783141933121929630"},"1779136132527399071":{"id":"1779136132527399071","date":"2024-04-13 13:14:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@captaiNautilus @macrocephalopod @FormulaDeltaOne @0xdoug @chameleon_jeff @ltrd_ @BeatzXBT @sasuke___420 @picotrades @therobotjames I'd look at their accumulated position for signals of flow.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1779078208849080740","reply_id":"1779078210644320570","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"captaiNautilus","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":234,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1779136132527399071","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1344010236009451521":{"id":"1344010236009451521","date":"2020-12-29 19:59:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HF_Trader Not me. But as a trader I'm legally bound to ask:\n\nIs your friend aware of and comfortable with the very highly correlated downside risk they're signing up for? 😏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1344009154613170180","reply_id":"1344009154613170180","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HF_Trader","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1344010236009451521","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1451996059928956930":{"id":"1451996059928956930","date":"2021-10-23 19:36:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HF_Trader @0xdoug @lightspringfox Makes two of us. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1451994667889922054","reply_id":"1451995905540988931","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HF_Trader","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1451996059928956930","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1377999093692174346":{"id":"1377999093692174346","date":"2021-04-02 14:59:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"7/ But crucially, enough evidence could easily change my mind about those priors. How much data? Depends on the prior.\n\nSome more priors I have, this time more general/sociological:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377999087644012544","reply_id":"1377999092660326401","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1377999093692174346","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1501028681908555780":{"id":"1501028681908555780","date":"2022-03-08 02:55:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NathanTankus AND it pushes back the AI-pocalypse. Win-win.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501025384644628493","reply_id":"1501025384644628493","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"NathanTankus","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501028681908555780","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1498856915299758080":{"id":"1498856915299758080","date":"2022-03-02 03:05:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan how do you square this with the idea (which I believe) that fewer people should own and more people should rent their domicile?\n\nIMO too many people underprice the illiquidity (and txn costs) that buying a house entails.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1498855385108680704","reply_id":"1498855385108680704","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1498856915299758080","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1896125208492417524":{"id":"1896125208492417524","date":"2025-03-02 09:07:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Welcome To Mooseport (2004)\n\nMeh, shame to end a career on this. Hackman is great as always, an intricate little performance. But it's wasted on an otherwise forgettable movie.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1896125163172966823","reply_id":"1896125205883601342","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1655,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1896125208492417524","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1561912014288461826":{"id":"1561912014288461826","date":"2022-08-23 03:03:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SachaSucha @therobotjames @mpp75214 @Cereal_Intern @MisuaRaboki Just take every trade price, mark it to some future price (last, mid, doesn't really matter as long as you mark far enough out). Add up the $. Then apply the MM fees as per the exchange website.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1411890038938345472","reply_id":"1561910336751407104","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SachaSucha","likes":6,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1561912014288461826","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1566511840405770240":{"id":"1566511840405770240","date":"2022-09-04 19:41:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JohnGal43951639 \"Average participant\" isn't a high bar. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1566435172613906433","reply_id":"1566511619374465024","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FabrykaAI","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1566511840405770240","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1506045247050039298":{"id":"1506045247050039298","date":"2022-03-21 23:09:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"26/ Variance happens. Sometimes it's bad, but sometimes it's good.\n\nThe thing with trading is that if you're doing it right, you make 90% of your money 10% of the time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1506045245435224070","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":19,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1506045247050039298","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1648813679985709056":{"id":"1648813679985709056","date":"2023-04-19 22:19:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"What's the weather like in Hyderabad? Or is it Gurgaon?\" works pretty well to get the scammers to hang up.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1648813679985709056","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4213,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1648813679985709056","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1509175690087714824":{"id":"1509175690087714824","date":"2022-03-30 14:28:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Cliff can be a bit over the top sometimes, but this is 100% correct!\n\nI traded on the LME for a while. Complete viper pit.\n\nFact: the most important LME event is the black tie annual gala. All the *real* trading happens at that event.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1509175690087714824","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1509175690087714824","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1477320202324877317":{"id":"1477320202324877317","date":"2022-01-01 16:45:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"14/ Thoughts? What am I missing?\n\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477320189653893121","reply_id":"1477320201326579712","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":19,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477320202324877317","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1678905436681158656":{"id":"1678905436681158656","date":"2023-07-11 23:13:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AnthonyLeeZhang Leisure travelers skew old\n+\nCorporations in highly-regulated industries change very slowly\n\n?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1678904835037360131","reply_id":"1678905056765026305","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alz_zyd_","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":111,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1678905436681158656","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1479849723339034628":{"id":"1479849723339034628","date":"2022-01-08 16:17:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@QwQiao I do have opinions about what it's good at.\nBut other people I respect have opinions which differ.\n\nIt's part of what makes this fun and interesting and exciting...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1479846176790884354","reply_id":"1479848457544380423","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QwQiao","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1479849723339034628","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1867111874124218372":{"id":"1867111874124218372","date":"2024-12-12 07:38:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AbstractAnon_AA @systematicls Correct.\n\nTo answer your question, yes eng and research go in parallel. It's amazing how often an eng improvement unlocks research, and a research improvement lets eng make better tradeoffs.\n\nI'm having a *lot* of fun rn.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1866850732017848751","reply_id":"1866987790551884237","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Wirakumon","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":324,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1867111874124218372","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2070480225629331611":{"id":"2070480225629331611","date":"2026-06-26 12:12:08","author":"Brian Quintenz","handle":"BrianQuintenz","text":"The @FT got \n so many things wrong  (deliberately?) in this article. \n\n1) Companies don’t “give” away equity. It’s a comp arrangement for services and priced at the co’s valuation at the time of the arrangement. And when that company grows/does well afterward, guess what? So does the equity. \n\n2) Misrepresenting that fact to then imply it somehow translated into a “light touch” regulatory environment is despicable. There is nothing light touch about the significant rules that fully registered US derivative exchanges have to follow (which is what US prediction markets are). The CFTC HAS NOT, IN ANY WAY, EASED REGULATORY OBLIGATIONS ON LICENSED PREDICTION MARKETS.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2070480225629331611","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2070540260593815679","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":40,"retweets":2,"replies":9,"quotes":3,"views":26612,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/BrianQuintenz/status/2070480225629331611"},"1950827615796769205":{"id":"1950827615796769205","date":"2025-07-31 07:55:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ScottPh77711570 You mean Craig Wright?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1950823732316082301","reply_id":"1950826995065266254","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ScottPh77711570","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1718,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1950827615796769205","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2006329847858205035":{"id":"2006329847858205035","date":"2025-12-31 11:41:26","author":"Alexander Osipovich","handle":"aosipovich","text":"I regret to inform you that Fartcoin is down more than 85% from its peak. Here's a look back at how memecoins fared in 2025. https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-dow-sp-500-nasdaq-12-31-2025/card/memecoins-were-hot-a-year-ago-many-have-crashed-more-than-90--hfsWlkxbWb747jY8ROOZ","hashtags":[],"conv":"2006329847858205035","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2006344359281938820","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":4,"views":14295,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/aosipovich/status/2006329847858205035"},"1575565394240147456":{"id":"1575565394240147456","date":"2022-09-29 19:17:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MatjazLeonardis A ridiculously large amount, in my case. But I did engineering.\n\nI still remember totally random stuff I haven't used in 25 years like \"narrowband FM can be approximated as AM\". Lots of math too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1575535891560292353","reply_id":"1575563657261744128","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MatjazLeonardis","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1575565394240147456","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1382771140494462977":{"id":"1382771140494462977","date":"2021-04-15 19:01:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BangTheClose @TheSpeculator0 Definitely. You need the ringers in a poker game to make it. Can't depend on tourists.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"1382761826983710724","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BangTheClose","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382771140494462977","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1486134955990077440":{"id":"1486134955990077440","date":"2022-01-26 00:32:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Am I the only person who thinks Ja isn't that spectacular?\n\nLike there were a half-dozen guys in the 00s that played like that: Iverson, Houston, McGrady, young Kobe, Francis, etc.\n\n@darjohn25 ?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486134955990077440","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1486134955990077440","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1634712431745445888":{"id":"1634712431745445888","date":"2023-03-12 00:26:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Seems like a good time for this.\n\nSignal-to-noise ratio getting pretty low out there these last few days.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1634712431745445888","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":5006,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1634712431745445888","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1472724775743070210":{"id":"1472724775743070210","date":"2021-12-20 00:25:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HedgeInsider @macrocephalopod @CathieDWood GPT3 FTW.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1472620740088373257","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1472724775743070210","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1852304806930514320":{"id":"1852304806930514320","date":"2024-11-01 11:00:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@inSenCite My UW Comp Eng class was closer to 50% I think, but it was long time ago too. Certainly there was a selection effect on those that left vs stayed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1852301648640475507","reply_id":"1852304509961134082","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"inSenCite","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":89,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1852304806930514320","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1976706181118017922":{"id":"1976706181118017922","date":"2025-10-10 17:47:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CosmoCavendish @AffectiveAutism Diff'rent strokes...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1976645088433656219","reply_id":"1976697640327754029","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"CosmoCavendish","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":190,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1976706181118017922","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1439739110424416259":{"id":"1439739110424416259","date":"2021-09-19 23:52:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 @DavidTaggart @therobotjames @LawrenceKovac @BlacklionCTA @mpp75214 @SinclairEuan @bennpeifert @jagmavi @KrisAbdelmessih @volmagorov @std_dev @moreproteinbars Turns out the quote is Charles Baudelaire.\n\nGood thing my French lit prof mom isn't on Twitter, otherwise my inheritance would be in danger.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1439473977676550149","reply_id":"1439737855820009474","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1439739110424416259","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1325989674460958721":{"id":"1325989674460958721","date":"2020-11-10 02:32:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@fmbutt @Grady_Booch It's a convenient explanation. Not saying it's not true, just that it's useful.\n\nPart of the fabric of this country is its exceptionalism. \"It can't happen here\" implies \"Evidence of it happening here will be explained away somehow.\n\nhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognitive_dissonance","hashtags":[],"conv":"1325951670883287042","reply_id":"1325972324437413888","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"fmbutt","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1325989674460958721","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1279853804893040640":{"id":"1279853804893040640","date":"2020-07-05 19:05:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@paulg @antoniogm I'm guessing it's somehow related to leaking. It's always about leaks.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1279851688703090688","reply_id":"1279852460731961344","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"paulg","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1279853804893040640","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1912985101404611044":{"id":"1912985101404611044","date":"2025-04-17 21:42:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Element_82 Anything interesting that shows you're hard-working, can self-manage well, and are smart.\n\nIf you're the 3rd best player in the world at some obscure chess variant, that's interesting.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1912956767920664834","reply_id":"1912976247124091057","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Element_82","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2585,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1912985101404611044","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1768465988792828157":{"id":"1768465988792828157","date":"2024-03-15 02:35:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @coffeetrader11 Do things that interest you. Work hard at them. The rest sorts itself out.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1768404709336052193","reply_id":"1768464131219186151","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":344,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1768465988792828157","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1648813071648034816":{"id":"1648813071648034816","date":"2023-04-19 22:17:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin Writing software is mostly an exercise in thinking clearly.\n\nNot sure the average person can think clearly enough to write anything usable.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1648804955489271808","reply_id":"1648804955489271808","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":196,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1648813071648034816","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1598430605251063808":{"id":"1598430605251063808","date":"2022-12-01 21:35:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @thinkingpoker \"Fold if you don't hit\" is usually pretty bad advice for a hand that can basically at best make top pair with a bad kicker. What if you do hit and get action?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598425248927731712","reply_id":"1598430332566454272","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598430605251063808","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1571679215711555584":{"id":"1571679215711555584","date":"2022-09-19 01:55:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 @FREAK0NAUT @KrisAbdelmessih @nope_its_lily @bennpeifert @moreproteinbars @therobotjames @NewRiverInvest @Chaelelo @OGTaylorB @MinvstrD Two totally different jobs in a very real sense.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1571636409651580929","reply_id":"1571679051374555137","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1571679215711555584","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1706098209368736165":{"id":"1706098209368736165","date":"2023-09-25 00:08:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bookdepth @Albz321 True, but the flipside is academia selects for a set of skills and finance selects for a different one.\n\nAll you really end up picking when you decide on a career is whose sh*t you're willing to eat regularly. \n\nAdvisor, grant board, boss, market, customers.\nYou gotta pick.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1705726370783834388","reply_id":"1706083096301375718","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bookdepth","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1884,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1706098209368736165","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1505629642287300608":{"id":"1505629642287300608","date":"2022-03-20 19:37:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @sentientETF I've thought of it. Something like\n\nYou Are Who You Hire: A Guide To Getting It Right","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505599565742759939","reply_id":"1505628504070651905","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505629642287300608","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1666800452099272705":{"id":"1666800452099272705","date":"2023-06-08 13:32:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"17/ At first I thought the lesson was that I needed a better demo.\n\nThen I realized there's no sense demo'ing something to someone who has no chance of being interested.\n\nFor a while I was pissed off and thought Mike L lacked vision.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1666800429236207621","reply_id":"1666800450425741312","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":773,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1666800452099272705","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1740431301768015948":{"id":"1740431301768015948","date":"2023-12-28 17:55:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"My eyes are already bleeding from the terrible Twitter takes on the NYT v OAI lawsuit.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1740431301768015948","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2100,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1740431301768015948","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1544448462850183168":{"id":"1544448462850183168","date":"2022-07-05 22:29:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@686Prism @therobotjames @be20684347 @brrrzooka More like coinefficient.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1544425285268844544","reply_id":"1544447803430248456","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"686Prism","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1544448462850183168","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1289413419280371714":{"id":"1289413419280371714","date":"2020-08-01 04:11:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@kryptelos @KrisAbdelmessih The closing print solves a coordination problem: it's the most liquid, least adversely selected point in the day to trade.\n\nSending limit orders intraday, if you don't have great tech you're going to get picked off. Only the bad fraction of your orders get filled.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1289259438122004480","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1289413419280371714","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1652157521849913346":{"id":"1652157521849913346","date":"2023-04-29 03:47:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@robinhanson @tylercowen Extant prediction markets aren't real markets because of the homogeneity of participants. They're all speculators.\n\nReal markets have speculators too but also investors, hedgers, indexers, etc, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1651947037645217793","reply_id":"1651947872043008002","quote_id":"1792294228896497944","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"robinhanson","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":2838,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1652157521849913346","type":"quote","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1890006135077584943":{"id":"1890006135077584943","date":"2025-02-13 11:52:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Surely all of America, R or D, can agree on one thing: we should stop paying attention to nutcase John Bolton.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1890006135077584943","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":23,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2592,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1890006135077584943","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1359159036973875206":{"id":"1359159036973875206","date":"2021-02-09 15:15:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"46/ Ok, that’s good for today. We covered the big ones. If there’s interest, we can get to the crazy ones next.\n\n(No, rho isn’t a big one. Interest rates will be zero until the end of time, remember?)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1358793442243928069","reply_id":"1359159035430379525","quote_id":"1598064046141755393","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":32,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1359159036973875206","type":"quote","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1853340690098299242":{"id":"1853340690098299242","date":"2024-11-04 07:37:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The national nightmare of the campaign is almost over.\n\nLet the national nightmare of recounts, lawsuits, and threats of faithless electors begin.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1853340690098299242","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":37,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2972,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1853340690098299242","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1583516311786647553":{"id":"1583516311786647553","date":"2022-10-21 17:51:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein \"How quickly the world owes you something you knew existed only 10 seconds ago.\"\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=me4BZBsHwZs","hashtags":[],"conv":"1583515448280113152","reply_id":"1583515448280113152","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":20,"retweets":4,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1583516311786647553","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1492971606133522434":{"id":"1492971606133522434","date":"2022-02-13 21:19:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's literally the second one on the list!\n\nhttps://lawsofinsidertrading.com/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1492971606133522434","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1492971606133522434","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1581019715287142401":{"id":"1581019715287142401","date":"2022-10-14 20:30:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin What about the scandalous 2nd movement of the 8th symphony?\n\nYou call that an andante?\n\nWon't someone think of the children?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1580989937112883200","reply_id":"1580989937112883200","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1581019715287142401","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2038958763533549810":{"id":"2038958763533549810","date":"2026-03-31 12:37:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Well duh. It's pretty obvious Claude Code is largely vibecoded and no one is actually paying attention to users, systematically fixing bugs, looking at what works and doesn't work, improving the experience, etc.\n\nIt's just spaghetti-at-the-wall 24/7.\n\nWelcome to AI SaaS in 2026.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2038958763533549810","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":451,"retweets":16,"replies":17,"quotes":2,"views":77765,"bookmarks":142,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2038958763533549810","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1434968273703948288":{"id":"1434968273703948288","date":"2021-09-06 19:54:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ScoobydoobyDAO @cmsholdings Colorado $AVAX?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434967371903553537","reply_id":"1434967727878328322","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"chamathsintern","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434968273703948288","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1494476246889103360":{"id":"1494476246889103360","date":"2022-02-18 00:57:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JDcarlu There's always one of you in a crowd, isn't there...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494465282194042889","reply_id":"1494475862648897537","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JDcarlu","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494476246889103360","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1972712163094487235":{"id":"1972712163094487235","date":"2025-09-29 17:16:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Strongly suspect METR eval is basically complete bullshit, but kinda don't have any time to dive into it. Has anyone else looked at it critically?\n\nLike how it defines task length, implied task complexity, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1972712163094487235","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":2,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":9668,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1972712163094487235","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1597799012652183552":{"id":"1597799012652183552","date":"2022-11-30 03:45:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@guil_lambert FWIW I'm a huge options non-booster.\n\nMost people should stay the hell away from trading options. You'd just be making Ken richer and yourself poorer.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597793290782662657","reply_id":"1597797143925833728","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597799012652183552","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1507388311182385155":{"id":"1507388311182385155","date":"2022-03-25 16:05:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano SNL is decades ahead of you.\n\nhttps://tinyurl.com/bddz2pjj","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507382630647578629","reply_id":"1507382630647578629","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507388311182385155","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1834219585609834774":{"id":"1834219585609834774","date":"2024-09-12 13:16:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano @Lifrordi Looking at the expertise of the founders will give you a reasonable idea.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1834217272774185288","reply_id":"1834218945290616880","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":850,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1834219585609834774","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2076255671385719152":{"id":"2076255671385719152","date":"2026-07-12 10:41:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"An oldie but a goodie.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2076255671385719152","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":36,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":13515,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2076255671385719152","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1862814077719863736":{"id":"1862814077719863736","date":"2024-11-30 11:01:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@danyallah_ 💯","hashtags":[],"conv":"1862808005831458887","reply_id":"1862813724819488890","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"danyallah_","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":122,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1862814077719863736","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1482748235496058880":{"id":"1482748235496058880","date":"2022-01-16 16:15:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ From my DMs: \"Sometimes I get existential dread [...] thinking I'm not contributing anything to society simply by trading as a job.\"\n\nMy thoughts...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482748235496058880","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":137,"retweets":20,"replies":9,"quotes":8,"views":0,"bookmarks":105,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482748235496058880","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1772292378067423522":{"id":"1772292378067423522","date":"2024-03-25 16:00:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"- MVPs\n- Flat orgs\n- Tech-savvy management\n- Employee education\n- No vertical silos\n\nIt's all 100 years older than you might think. And often done better than today.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1772292378067423522","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":53,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":9948,"bookmarks":22,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1772292378067423522","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1346863593506017281":{"id":"1346863593506017281","date":"2021-01-06 16:57:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"33/ Imagine a world where stocks actually *do* follow that mythical log-normal distribution assumed by Black-Scholes. What would you see?\n\nYou'd see that every option's price would transform (using BS_inv from yesterday) into the same implied vol.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346863591903825921","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346863593506017281","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1691918078693785826":{"id":"1691918078693785826","date":"2023-08-16 21:01:18","author":"Patrick McKenzie","handle":"patio11","text":"Ruriko: So when do we register with Chicago?\nMe: We don’t.\nR: So how does Chicago know everyone who lives in Chicago?\nMe: It doesn’t.\nR: … Does America have a government? How do you even do population statistics?!\nMe: Count every ten years.\nR: You ARE TROLLING ME.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1691918078693785826","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1691928558627897542","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2812,"retweets":242,"replies":63,"quotes":120,"views":544171,"bookmarks":383,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/patio11/status/1691918078693785826"},"1430563152375140357":{"id":"1430563152375140357","date":"2021-08-25 16:10:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@eduardobsg @quantzed_CFA Obrigado por ter pensado no meu livro! 🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1430560000422854661","reply_id":"1430562393281675271","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"eduardogrubler","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1430563152375140357","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1459595283898060801":{"id":"1459595283898060801","date":"2021-11-13 18:53:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@salr_nyc","hashtags":[],"conv":"1459592542022864896","reply_id":"1459594947125030914","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"salr_nyc","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1459595283898060801_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1459595283898060801","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1775828480753623065":{"id":"1775828480753623065","date":"2024-04-04 10:11:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@zootweetsthat https://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1775828443713700182","hashtags":[],"conv":"1775826749449719887","reply_id":"1775827586976735422","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"zootweetsthat","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":635,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1775828480753623065","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1988540616670580803":{"id":"1988540616670580803","date":"2025-11-12 09:33:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@baynkr And what if the person doesn't make it. Do they get refunded too?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1988534015419146302","reply_id":"1988539123414483139","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"baynkr","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":526,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1988540616670580803","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2038246159039254968":{"id":"2038246159039254968","date":"2026-03-29 13:25:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In history, how many hours of programmer time/frustration/bug-fixing have been caused by C++ not having named parameters?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2038246159039254968","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":5150,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2038246159039254968","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1301154141390032903":{"id":"1301154141390032903","date":"2020-09-02 13:44:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SimonDeDeo We're all drunks looking for our keys near the lightpost.\n\nAnd as domains become more complex, the more we (subsequently) realize the lightpost casts a shockingly tight cone of light.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1301150632825552897","reply_id":"1301153039739359234","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1301154141390032903","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1988534026949345575":{"id":"1988534026949345575","date":"2025-11-12 09:07:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Meanwhile, the shop makes money off you:\n- Platform fees\n- Exorbitant commissions\n- Service fees\n- Cashout fees\n\nNo matter whether you make money or not.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1988534015419146302","reply_id":"1988534024780828950","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":67,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":13108,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1988534026949345575","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1791881669982716274":{"id":"1791881669982716274","date":"2024-05-18 17:20:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@axel_pond Mealy mouthed word salad as usual.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1791837145398931738","reply_id":"1791881033987612734","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"axel_pond","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":317,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1791881669982716274","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1739316460793770348":{"id":"1739316460793770348","date":"2023-12-25 16:05:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Jeff Bezos loves disagree-but-commit.\nSteve Jobs hated it.\n\nThey both work in the right spots.\n\nDBC works in hierarchical company cultures where the org chart rules.\n\nIt doesn't work in charismatic cultures where the most persuasive wins.\n\nPoint is to know which culture you have.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1739316460793770348","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4116,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1739316460793770348","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1283107707558346752":{"id":"1283107707558346752","date":"2020-07-14 18:34:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz Iron condors: for when you've got some opinions on the 5th moment of the distribution.\n\n:)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1283106293901930505","reply_id":"1283106293901930505","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1283107707558346752","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1694378058944589862":{"id":"1694378058944589862","date":"2023-08-23 15:56:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is how nearly all software development should be done.\n\nOcaml just makes it significantly easier than most other languages.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1694378058944589862","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":30,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":7043,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1694378058944589862","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1378745882082824195":{"id":"1378745882082824195","date":"2021-04-04 16:26:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@robinhanson This is a good introduction to what reasonably sensible people mean when they use the term.\n\nhttps://www.levelshealth.com/blog/what-are-processed-foods-and-why-are-they-so-bad-for-metabolic-health","hashtags":[],"conv":"1378744181821214725","reply_id":"1378744181821214725","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"robinhanson","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1378745882082824195_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1378745882082824195","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1436184702335873045":{"id":"1436184702335873045","date":"2021-09-10 04:28:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The transition of financial exchanges from venues for transactions to rent-seeking information oligarchs happened so gradually that no single step was outrageous.\n\nAnd yet here we are.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1436184702335873045","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1436184702335873045","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1700186557779755335":{"id":"1700186557779755335","date":"2023-09-08 16:37:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"6. So don't be disappointed if you were close but didn't get the high-status internship.\n\nThe world is an endlessly interesting and complex place. You almost definitely have the skillset and mindset to do something great doing something else.\n\nAnd you'll be happy doing it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1700186549860839569","reply_id":"1700186556567531674","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2780,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1700186557779755335","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2057488977230168326":{"id":"2057488977230168326","date":"2026-05-21 15:49:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"One of the best parts of Prague's metro system are the few remaining communist-era escalators. So fast!","hashtags":[],"conv":"2057488977230168326","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":33,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":3802,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2057488977230168326","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1223000108746207232":{"id":"1223000108746207232","date":"2020-01-30 21:48:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Top thing I've wanted in #Excel for over a decade:\n\nWhen you hit F2 on a formula, you automatically get a nice multi-line editor with automatic indentation.\n\nThis is a trivial feature and it would eliminate at least half of all spreadsheet bugs. C'mon @Microsoft. Do it!","hashtags":["excel"],"conv":"1223000108746207232","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1223000108746207232","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2035791722588905960":{"id":"2035791722588905960","date":"2026-03-22 18:52:24","author":"Christian Catalini","handle":"ccatalini","text":"RT @ccatalini: 1/ Karpathy just described the hard ceiling on trillion-dollar autonomous systems as a throwaway caveat about his overnight hyperparameter script (@NoPriorsPod) — and went back to tuning his learning rate...","hashtags":[],"conv":"2035791722588905960","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2035737259564302664","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":7,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1,"bookmarks":0,"media":["2035791722588905960_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ccatalini/status/2035791722588905960"},"1298800514084122626":{"id":"1298800514084122626","date":"2020-08-27 01:52:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This *isn't* finding some weird-shaped low-dim manifold in a large-dim space, like finding cats in images.\n\nAnd the literature doesn't help. People who know what they're doing guard this knowledge jealously.\n\nYou can do it too, you just need to be aware of these issues.\n\n3/3","hashtags":[],"conv":"1298800512368689153","reply_id":"1298800513215913985","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1298800514084122626","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2018963813022814651":{"id":"2018963813022814651","date":"2026-02-04 08:24:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I guess the Markdown maximalists won.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2018963813022814651","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2781,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2018963813022814651","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1508251969655169024":{"id":"1508251969655169024","date":"2022-03-28 01:17:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @ValueHao There's one in every field. Schmidhuber in ML, for example.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1508189233353220099","reply_id":"1508190830242283525","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1508251969655169024","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1986662758062968943":{"id":"1986662758062968943","date":"2025-11-07 05:11:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xFaust12 That one is in its own separate category of grift.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1986463390017945835","reply_id":"1986661261090959633","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xFaust12","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":202,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1986662758062968943","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1913308588157686136":{"id":"1913308588157686136","date":"2025-04-18 19:08:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pranjal_chaubey You don't need psychology. Just a basic understanding of how markets work (an afternoon at most), then a facility with the tools to work with data.\n\nPsychology is vastly overrated by retail traders.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1912956767920664834","reply_id":"1913306659012649032","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pranjal_chaubey","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":320,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1913308588157686136","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1417672344697327621":{"id":"1417672344697327621","date":"2021-07-21 02:26:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LongTplexTrader Think of a finance degree as vocational training.\n\nNothing wrong with it, but know that's what you're getting into.\n\nDo you want to be a plumber, or an architect/engineer/etc.\n\nDo you want to repair cars, or design them?\n\nDo math/CS/etc. Finance will always be there.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1417599203275120642","reply_id":"1417599203275120642","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"LongTplexTrader","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1417672344697327621","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1415321028327198720":{"id":"1415321028327198720","date":"2021-07-14 14:43:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5/  In particular, if either side is unhappy they can DK the trade.\n\nBusted hiring trades are *expensive* so we want to avoid that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"1415321027404472333","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415321028327198720","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1715524158468313442":{"id":"1715524158468313442","date":"2023-10-21 00:23:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheRealHawky Problem is they don't realize that's the trade they're making.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1715512824901009480","reply_id":"1715520209078059334","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheRealHawky","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":195,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1715524158468313442","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1913136160018239859":{"id":"1913136160018239859","date":"2025-04-18 07:42:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pranjal_chaubey No idea honestly, and I'm kinda curious.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1912956767920664834","reply_id":"1913116262294503502","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pranjal_chaubey","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1489,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1913136160018239859","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1846938065576907107":{"id":"1846938065576907107","date":"2024-10-17 15:35:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ac_crypto @Aizkmusic @exolabs At JS, cash salary is a small fraction of total cash comp y'all.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1846373737622323696","reply_id":"1846635554777321537","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alexocheema","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":394,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1846938065576907107","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1434669706535784449":{"id":"1434669706535784449","date":"2021-09-06 00:08:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @TheSpeculator0 @Raoul_duke123 This isn't a crazy hypothesis. But it's worth noting that no animal has evolved for longevity, or at least for health after reproductive age.\n\nIt's perfectly reasonable to believe evolution optimized for fecundity first, damn the cancer and heart attacks later.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434623665694461961","reply_id":"1434668410626056200","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434669706535784449","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1479857256883945474":{"id":"1479857256883945474","date":"2022-01-08 16:47:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod Obviously @Bitfinexed hasn't played enough deuce-to-seven triple draw.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1479798986231930883","reply_id":"1479798986231930883","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1479857256883945474","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1914348403611312140":{"id":"1914348403611312140","date":"2025-04-21 16:00:00","author":"Y Combinator","handle":"ycombinator","text":"🧑‍🏫@vibegrade is the Cursor for Teachers. Grade papers 10x faster with AI, right inside Google Classroom and Canvas.\n \nIt’s saved teachers 500+ days grading 12,000 papers, learning from their style to give feedback that helps students improve, not AI slop.\n\nhttps://www.ycombinator.com/launches/NKg-vibegrade-ai-grading-for-teachers-right-inside-google-classroom-and-canvas\n\nCongrats on the launch, @coderpr0grammer and @aql404!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1914348403611312140","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1914573658577633746","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":368,"retweets":29,"replies":33,"quotes":19,"views":110888,"bookmarks":211,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ycombinator/status/1914348403611312140"},"1682074449565356033":{"id":"1682074449565356033","date":"2023-07-20 17:06:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@zerototom 🙏🙏🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1682071976762916864","reply_id":"1682071976762916864","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"zerototom","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":328,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1682074449565356033","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1618338230499438592":{"id":"1618338230499438592","date":"2023-01-25 20:01:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Tallow_beach @l1quid1ty @be20684347 Consultants are used to rubber stamp a pre-existing decison with high status outsiders.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1618292921421422592","reply_id":"1618294548643602438","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Tallow_beach","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":188,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1618338230499438592","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1901310980908294554":{"id":"1901310980908294554","date":"2025-03-16 16:33:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @macrocephalopod @Alice_comfy You people and your continuous distributions. Market events are discrete if you don't know...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1901291195839414701","reply_id":"1901309652333125880","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":412,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1901310980908294554","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1198724655923650560":{"id":"1198724655923650560","date":"2019-11-24 22:06:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I've read >99 books in 2019, and the most important and consequential is easily Open Borders by @bryan_caplan and @ZachWeiner.\n\nMy 8-year-old picked it up. Started reading. LOTS of questions. I defy you to find a policy book that's so well-argued AND so accessible. Tell everyone.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1198724655923650560","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":96,"retweets":13,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1198724655923650560","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1478590620734164993":{"id":"1478590620734164993","date":"2022-01-05 04:54:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Whatever happened to that guy who single-handedly discovered that financial distribution tails are fat? And that stats is hard or something.\n\nSomeone told me he's a powerlifter now but surely that can't be right...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1478590620734164993","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":58,"retweets":1,"replies":12,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1478590620734164993","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1235008633521373184":{"id":"1235008633521373184","date":"2020-03-04 01:06:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I wish I could write half as well as @matt_levine:\n\nA basic function of finance is to transform a stream of cash flows into an asset, but a more advanced function of finance is to transform a stream of losses into an asset.\n\nhttps://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2020-03-03/robinhood-picked-a-bad-day-to-break","hashtags":[],"conv":"1235008633521373184","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1235008633521373184","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1896125192809894176":{"id":"1896125192809894176","date":"2025-03-02 09:07:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Get Shorty (1995)\n\nFinally, something different. Hackman plays a schlub. Someone who would *want* to be played by Hackman in a movie, but couldn't be.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O31rBYqYkuQ","hashtags":[],"conv":"1896125163172966823","reply_id":"1896125189420990490","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1992,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1896125192809894176_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1896125192809894176","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1361430082431033344":{"id":"1361430082431033344","date":"2021-02-15 21:40:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@drunkengrass @HF_Trader Reminds me of what @paulg said about being a startup founder (paraphrasing):\n\n\"Don't do it. It's incredibly hard and you're probably going to fail.\"\n\nThis doesn't dissuade the people who were meant to do it, but it hopefully helps those it might dissuade from trying.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1361392596908580864","reply_id":"1361429536005451776","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"drunkengrass","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1361430082431033344","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1719816550356853088":{"id":"1719816550356853088","date":"2023-11-01 20:39:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"SBF's Cohen rn.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1719816550356853088","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2857,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1719816550356853088_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1719816550356853088","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1983566282881392993":{"id":"1983566282881392993","date":"2025-10-29 16:07:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tszzl The VCs who enable them are literally the most powerful people in SV. So...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1983428743747285477","reply_id":"1983428743747285477","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tszzl","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":535,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1983566282881392993","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1418239425373294594":{"id":"1418239425373294594","date":"2021-07-22 16:00:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @therobotjames @mpp75214 @longskew @sajidnizami I'm a bit late/disconnected to the party.\n\nIf the price process is a martingale, I believe there is no sizing strategy which can turn your Pnl into a non-zero drift process.\n\nDo you agree?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1417300898234003457","reply_id":"1418238102146097166","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1418239425373294594","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1341851638764453889":{"id":"1341851638764453889","date":"2020-12-23 21:02:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1. In golf, @LouStagner and @scottfawcett have shown that scratch player vs professional \"good shots\" are fairly similar (within a few %), but the bad shots are sometimes 2x worse for scratch players vs pros.\n\nAnd scratch players are really good at golf.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1341851637782999041","reply_id":"1341851637782999041","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1341851638764453889","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1381601383623786504":{"id":"1381601383623786504","date":"2021-04-12 13:33:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @M1tchRosenthal Exactly, SNR is just too low at these timescales.\n\nAs an exercise, plot the PSD of returns of Brownian motion.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1381313050632982531","reply_id":"1381561659068661765","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1381601383623786504","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1633934268950003712":{"id":"1633934268950003712","date":"2023-03-09 20:54:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"14/ So it’s extra galling when the biggest scam in crypto history was perpetrated by a guy I knew and who I helped train.\n\nIt didn’t start this way, but I guess Proven is my way, along with Craig, to redress the balance.\n\nHere’s how it works.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633934250620891136","reply_id":"1633934267649761283","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":22,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":2873,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633934268950003712","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1697335620560179614":{"id":"1697335620560179614","date":"2023-08-31 19:48:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nkreu113r Yes in terms of simulating the job.\n\nBut unless you're paying people for their time, the company is going to unwittingly filter *out* people who value their time highly. I.e. the good candidates.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1697326771463410043","reply_id":"1697326771463410043","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nkreu113r","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":166,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1697335620560179614","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1815212689897185552":{"id":"1815212689897185552","date":"2024-07-22 02:30:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@iTrismegistus Massive fan of Ayrton but it's hard to argue with the body of work Hamilton has been putting together. And arguably he's been screwed out of two titles too!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1815209533691855358","reply_id":"1815212425559335129","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"iTrismegistus","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":229,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1815212689897185552","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1535474677879013377":{"id":"1535474677879013377","date":"2022-06-11 04:11:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal First-order answer: because averaging across time destroys martingales and introduces lagged correlations that you might unwittingly think are real.\n\nThat said, moving averages are indeed useful in many contexts but you need to know what you're doing. Easy to mess up.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1535473651176325122","reply_id":"1535473651176325122","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1535474677879013377","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1573054939940720641":{"id":"1573054939940720641","date":"2022-09-22 21:01:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@petergyang \"Tell me about a time\" works when you get them out of their prep. Doing so is actually pretty easy: just keep asking about more and more niche corners of their experience/decision tree in that situation.\n\nUse the exponential growth of the tree in your favor as an interviewer.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1573053606471036928","reply_id":"1573053606471036928","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"petergyang","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1573054939940720641","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1476740256149872640":{"id":"1476740256149872640","date":"2021-12-31 02:21:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tarunchitra MFA^2: A master of fine arts in multi-factor authentication.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476737484809719809","reply_id":"1476737484809719809","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tarunchitra","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476740256149872640","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1567543787429429248":{"id":"1567543787429429248","date":"2022-09-07 16:02:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 @HFTBread @cryptohound666 @theemilyaccount @NicoPollari @therobotjames @witchqueendot","hashtags":[],"conv":"1567346642105286656","reply_id":"1567541375134236672","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1567543787429429248","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1794398828709507209":{"id":"1794398828709507209","date":"2024-05-25 16:03:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Right in the feels.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1794398828709507209","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3083,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1794398828709507209","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1984588522553295339":{"id":"1984588522553295339","date":"2025-11-01 11:49:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ls_fin @W98AB Doesn't feel that way, but I suppose it never does.\n\nIf only people from ages 30 to 50 voted, I think we'd be in better shape.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1984575619066220958","reply_id":"1984586121297158381","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ls_fin","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":186,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1984588522553295339","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1626249699400495105":{"id":"1626249699400495105","date":"2023-02-16 15:58:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Again, my kid's charter school scheduling \"professional development\" days adjacent to long weekends.\n\nThey know what it signals and they just don't care.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1626249699400495105","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":1,"views":12218,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1626249699400495105","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1382855111421034500":{"id":"1382855111421034500","date":"2021-04-16 00:35:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JoshuaMBelanger Why options? It's really really hard for the little guy to make $ trading options.\n\nLook for non-hedgable risks. Figure out how to take the good ones.\n\nI can guarantee that ridiculous \"strategy\" some website or newsletter is selling you doesn't make EV $. Ever.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"1382853608534839297","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BelangerTrading","likes":4,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382855111421034500","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1706870955207995521":{"id":"1706870955207995521","date":"2023-09-27 03:18:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbateman @krishnanrohit @robvfour My objection is much more to the supposed trivial obviousness of the position.\n\nThe position itself is perfectly legitimate and worthy of being debated. I apologize if I mixed the two levels of objection in my original response.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1706686836809007378","reply_id":"1706807822544249309","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbateman","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":64,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1706870955207995521","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1820512162777108511":{"id":"1820512162777108511","date":"2024-08-05 17:28:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VCBrags The other lesson: find a lightweight job if you need time to train hours/day for the Olympics.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1820263844255772715","reply_id":"1820263844255772715","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VCBrags","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":218,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1820512162777108511","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1854904431722000463":{"id":"1854904431722000463","date":"2024-11-08 15:10:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 You can just not write lambads you know. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1854892852834455785","reply_id":"1854892852834455785","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":174,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1854904431722000463","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2037241493937688709":{"id":"2037241493937688709","date":"2026-03-26 18:53:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Like, the Isara guys might actually have alpha. Who knows?\n\nBut the business model is clearly (to anyone who knows anything about trading) fatally wrong.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2037240911017427389","reply_id":"2037240917199827058","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":27,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3442,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2037241493937688709","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1934624435371155810":{"id":"1934624435371155810","date":"2025-06-16 14:49:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Jadam2122 Nope. Ask me how I know.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1934563284453036526","reply_id":"1934619372120863057","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Jadam2122","likes":107,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":8571,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1934624435371155810","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1603590539512729600":{"id":"1603590539512729600","date":"2022-12-16 03:19:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"How much revenue would Bloomberg lose if every subscriber knew they could read @matt_levine without having to pay the 25k/year or whatever?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1603590539512729600","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":1,"views":9202,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1603590539512729600","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1536514710815711232":{"id":"1536514710815711232","date":"2022-06-14 01:03:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What if consciousness is just cultural software that gets installed in babies/children?\n\nWhat's a good literature on feral children? Do they eventually integrate into society when they're found?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536514710815711232","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1536514710815711232","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1464471079980658692":{"id":"1464471079980658692","date":"2021-11-27 05:48:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Quite an entertaining short story. Based on @robinhanson's Grabby Aliens ideas.\n\nhttps://magazine.metaphorosis.com/story/2021/the-great-contradiction-jordan-chase-young/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1464471079980658692","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1464471079980658692","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1289217752436076544":{"id":"1289217752436076544","date":"2020-07-31 15:13:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0x49fa98 @RokoMijicUK There's some deeply misanthropic ingroup/outgroup stuff that's dangerously close to this line of thinking.\n\nJust sayin'.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1289001382402560002","reply_id":"1289215601471377409","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0x49fa98","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1289217752436076544","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1468380545683836932":{"id":"1468380545683836932","date":"2021-12-08 00:42:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert Too busy with the Dow tweets, sorry.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1468347005147566081","reply_id":"1468347005147566081","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1468380545683836932","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1486802085957931008":{"id":"1486802085957931008","date":"2022-01-27 20:43:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Maybe the genius of Web3 is that it raises the cost of writing software.\n\n- Making it incredibly hard to write software correctly\n- Making it incredibly costly to write bad software\n\nMeans the world will write less of it.\nAt least, incompetents won't write it anymore.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486802085957931008","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1486802085957931008","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1467623852737916929":{"id":"1467623852737916929","date":"2021-12-05 22:36:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It really is hard not to hate Max Verstappen.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1467623852737916929","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1467623852737916929","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1865717668424413570":{"id":"1865717668424413570","date":"2024-12-08 11:18:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Shame we can't see the 1.6k who liked this. File under \"don't even interview for dev jobs\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1865717668424413570","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":92,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":13856,"bookmarks":10,"media":["1865717668424413570_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1865717668424413570","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1606428989073117190":{"id":"1606428989073117190","date":"2022-12-23 23:18:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xfbifemboy Consider a world where you eliminate most of the plausible terrible occurrences in an average life:\n\n- getting called up to fight a war\n- seeing lots of people die young, esp your kids\n- civil unrest, revolution\n\nStubbing your toe is going to feel kind of like a big deal right?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1606427890044014592","reply_id":"1606427890044014592","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xfbifemboy","likes":35,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":3913,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1606428989073117190","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2032450593348878672":{"id":"2032450593348878672","date":"2026-03-13 13:35:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Ad GPUminem is the new ad hominem.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2032450593348878672","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1981,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2032450593348878672","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1213671485149085697":{"id":"1213671485149085697","date":"2020-01-05 04:00:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@robertwiblin @2_7182818285 \"Oh yeah, the one that's not red.\"\n\nThis is how memory works. The first step of memorizing anything consists of connecting the thing to other similar/related things.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1213624625118224384","reply_id":"1213633567697375232","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"robertwiblin","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1213671485149085697","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1450289514027438083":{"id":"1450289514027438083","date":"2021-10-19 02:35:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@luther_am @darjohn25 Gell-Mann Amnesia:\n\nhttps://www.johndcook.com/blog/2021/01/18/gell-mann-amnesia/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1450280444986068996","reply_id":"1450288709522366468","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"luther_am","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1450289514027438083","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1546139399351504896":{"id":"1546139399351504896","date":"2022-07-10 14:28:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xa57 👍","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546133024869212165","reply_id":"1546137990153605121","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"luketowz","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546139399351504896","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1788247369420861901":{"id":"1788247369420861901","date":"2024-05-08 16:39:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MeatScalper @shitadel_poo @nope_its_lily Yup you got it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788214916509507744","reply_id":"1788247241976664310","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MeatScalper","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":74,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788247369420861901","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1536179413489856512":{"id":"1536179413489856512","date":"2022-06-13 02:51:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536179413489856512","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":119,"retweets":6,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1536179413489856512_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1536179413489856512","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1420559009711484935":{"id":"1420559009711484935","date":"2021-07-29 01:37:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@steve_capital @therobotjames @2_7182818285 @therobotjames talked about this a few months back when he discussed risk premia.\n\nBasically, highly contingent and model-dependent alpha special special sauce isn't robust enough to build a business around.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420131145669169153","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420559009711484935","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1272241335215456261":{"id":"1272241335215456261","date":"2020-06-14 18:55:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@joshelman @__tosh @sama Is it a special case of the sunk cost fallacy? Or at least similar? \n\nI'm already paying $30k for this car, what's an extra $750 for the roof rack (that actually costs $125)?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1271891969971638272","reply_id":"1272240290972090368","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"joshelman","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1272241335215456261","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1507201899761610753":{"id":"1507201899761610753","date":"2022-03-25 03:45:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@emollick Where's \"survey designers who create questions where the extremes are 0% to 21%\"?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507201055964155905","reply_id":"1507201055964155905","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"emollick","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507201899761610753","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1778722554150093233":{"id":"1778722554150093233","date":"2024-04-12 09:51:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jan_skoda @liquiditygoblin If that's all the datapoints then I disagree. Tells you a lot about outliers for one thing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1778683547483803982","reply_id":"1778721412632498200","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jan_skoda","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":683,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1778722554150093233","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1863335817453662705":{"id":"1863335817453662705","date":"2024-12-01 21:34:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@zack_overflow https://adl.io/essays/degeneracy-code-and-innovation/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1863305119477223725","reply_id":"1863305119477223725","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"zack_overflow","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":692,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1863335817453662705","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1871887181134049330":{"id":"1871887181134049330","date":"2024-12-25 11:54:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@edgesizer @azad_champion https://x.com/macrocephalopod/status/1817913293727543796","hashtags":[],"conv":"1871568646155419736","reply_id":"1871885613232009295","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0x_gkn","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":468,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1871887181134049330","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1849585897525924068":{"id":"1849585897525924068","date":"2024-10-24 22:56:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This. Don't marry the products you're currently trading.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1849585897525924068","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":141,"retweets":3,"replies":8,"quotes":1,"views":16571,"bookmarks":21,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1849585897525924068","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1412613923296088069":{"id":"1412613923296088069","date":"2021-07-07 03:26:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sw33ty4mth @longskew @M1tchRosenthal @sajidnizami @therobotjames @saanglee 200pts in SPX is like... a few years worth of vol these days?\n\nOr a few minutes of BTC.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1412584152919162881","reply_id":"1412613603220508673","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"return_stacking","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1412613923296088069","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1530335954195468288":{"id":"1530335954195468288","date":"2022-05-27 23:51:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @FormulaDeltaOne @VolatilitySwan @lightspringfox @therobotjames My Wealthfront account is even better.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529963528920129547","reply_id":"1530321049908301825","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1530335954195468288","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1769910016784666952":{"id":"1769910016784666952","date":"2024-03-19 02:13:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JayaBajpai17 @_Moses_A_ @cam_perrault @bookdepth I don't feel hijacked. Carry on!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1769843697254903850","reply_id":"1769893285601161520","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JayaBajpai17","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":142,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1769910016784666952","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1741118849699959275":{"id":"1741118849699959275","date":"2023-12-30 15:27:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@waltuuuhr I won't be.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1741116568744894552","reply_id":"1741118624226549946","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"waltuuuhr","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":915,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1741118849699959275","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1442854887562170368":{"id":"1442854887562170368","date":"2021-09-28 14:13:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 It's more than shit. It's a pay-for-play extortion racket.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1442601573612355593","reply_id":"1442601573612355593","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1442854887562170368","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1598874165859471360":{"id":"1598874165859471360","date":"2022-12-03 02:58:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 Sounds like me TAing a 2nd year circuits course in grad school. Helluva good way to learn...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598847576484499457","reply_id":"1598847576484499457","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598874165859471360","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1861373621316305013":{"id":"1861373621316305013","date":"2024-11-26 11:37:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@elletwocache So I guess you don't have lower back problems?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1861181408368005124","reply_id":"1861181408368005124","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"elletwocache","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":73,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1861373621316305013","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1146464114325110784":{"id":"1146464114325110784","date":"2019-07-03 17:01:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vagrantcow @delong Good thing you don't need to monitor the automatic bread-browning robot in the corner.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1146429157057933312","reply_id":"1146463715845451776","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vagrantcow","likes":1,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1146464114325110784","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1965820818749014049":{"id":"1965820818749014049","date":"2025-09-10 16:53:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The AI slop-pocalypse is here.\n\nhttps://www.hollywoodreporter.com/business/digital/ai-podcast-start-up-plan-shows-1236361367/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1965820818749014049","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":3977,"bookmarks":5,"media":["1965820818749014049_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1965820818749014049","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1591813772473430016":{"id":"1591813772473430016","date":"2022-11-13 15:22:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin Really!?!? Wow.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1591811199402147840","reply_id":"1591813313834684421","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1591813772473430016","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2025974520306176254":{"id":"2025974520306176254","date":"2026-02-23 16:42:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"AI is great and getting better.\nI'm using it more every day.\nAnd it will cause big changes to the world's economy.\n\nBut it is not grue.\n\nhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_riddle_of_induction","hashtags":[],"conv":"2025974520306176254","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4698,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2025974520306176254","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1585681386232430592":{"id":"1585681386232430592","date":"2022-10-27 17:14:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein Whatever increases AUM...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1585674717691752448","reply_id":"1585674717691752448","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1585681386232430592","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1565169665461985280":{"id":"1565169665461985280","date":"2022-09-01 02:48:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@leakyalpha @longskew This is an interesting one. I think Duke still wins the ratio contest because she's crossed over in a way Mr. Bill Fillmaff hasn't.\n\n(that's a deep early 2000s poker cut for ya)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1565045174534750208","reply_id":"1565169369960927232","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"leakyalpha","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1565169665461985280","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1488644416910757892":{"id":"1488644416910757892","date":"2022-02-01 22:44:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pmontu33","hashtags":[],"conv":"1488644134462234633","reply_id":"1488644134462234633","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pmontu33","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1488644416910757892_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1488644416910757892","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1443944192128917508":{"id":"1443944192128917508","date":"2021-10-01 14:21:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@std_dev @choffstein It's debatable. I'm the first guy on the \"academic finance is worthless\" bandwagon.\n\nBut some of the ppl in this article do run real money (not just Corey) so it's probably worth paying attention.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443943222279950338","reply_id":"1443943646789779459","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"std_dev","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1443944192128917508","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1926952706276561016":{"id":"1926952706276561016","date":"2025-05-26 10:45:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"People who say prompt engineering doesn't matter anymore don't know how to prompt.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1926952706276561016","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":69,"retweets":4,"replies":17,"quotes":0,"views":9987,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1926952706276561016","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1597591808330018817":{"id":"1597591808330018817","date":"2022-11-29 14:02:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Tallow_beach @BlacklionCTA @TCK_JRubano Full agree, matches my experience as a consultant too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597316636302008320","reply_id":"1597568497139482625","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Tallow_beach","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597591808330018817","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2023480214198907356":{"id":"2023480214198907356","date":"2026-02-16 19:30:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Mattoni tastes like flat sparkling water.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2023480214198907356","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2715,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2023480214198907356","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1952747071942853008":{"id":"1952747071942853008","date":"2025-08-05 15:02:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Norway is the 13th largest oil producer in the world. But gas is ~2 USD/liter here vs 1.5 USD in Sweden.\n\nModern Europe is the greatest at snatching scarcity from the jaws of abundance.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1952747071942853008","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1965433197384401323","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":64,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":2,"views":18124,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1952747071942853008","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1896125205883601342":{"id":"1896125205883601342","date":"2025-03-02 09:07:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The Royal Tenenbaums (2001)\n\nAnother \"what can I say except just watch it\" movie.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZLGAzel26j0","hashtags":[],"conv":"1896125163172966823","reply_id":"1896125203304120414","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":862,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1896125205883601342_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1896125205883601342","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1460061126650056706":{"id":"1460061126650056706","date":"2021-11-15 01:44:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@salr_nyc Weiner was a very interesting character too.\n\nCheck out The Dream Machine by Mitchell Waldrop.\n\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Dream-Machine-M-Mitchell-Waldrop/dp/1732265119","hashtags":[],"conv":"1460050980821561346","reply_id":"1460060497504620550","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"salr_nyc","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1460061126650056706","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1459319467788304390":{"id":"1459319467788304390","date":"2021-11-13 00:37:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FormulaDeltaOne @jetychill Great question, not stupid at all! Selection bias with this stuff is tough.\n\nBut I do think even if this data doesn't include those firms, the effect is still there just on priors.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1459240854812512263","reply_id":"1459281568166559746","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FormulaDeltaOne","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1459319467788304390","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1168569049933991938":{"id":"1168569049933991938","date":"2019-09-02 16:59:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What does #LaborDay mean for traders?\n\nTo me, it's a reminder that trading is above all *work*. Strats get stale, competition gets fiercer, there's always something new to learn. Find a way to enjoy the process, the labor.\n\nIt's a hard way to make an easy living, always will be.","hashtags":["laborday"],"conv":"1168569049933991938","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1168569049933991938","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1974452323079626888":{"id":"1974452323079626888","date":"2025-10-04 12:31:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"UK voters:\nWe hate these rail strikes, underfunded NHS and police, crushing tax rates, and general malaise of a zero-sum society.\n\nUK voters, also:\nGrowth-friendly policies, no thanks.\n\n🤷‍♂️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1974452323079626888","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":2,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":4144,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1974452323079626888","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1954997127538676215":{"id":"1954997127538676215","date":"2025-08-11 20:03:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Tom62589172 I agree.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1954991678051512700","reply_id":"1954994092825575697","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Tom62589172","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":417,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1954997127538676215","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1707568802366693541":{"id":"1707568802366693541","date":"2023-09-29 01:31:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ComplicatedIsOK @InsightIncMiami I have. I have no problem w/ their work. Just the stupid Twitter takes on it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1707513193248244054","reply_id":"1707554449722429810","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ComplicatedIsOK","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":32,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1707568802366693541","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1769804820221952374":{"id":"1769804820221952374","date":"2024-03-18 19:15:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@matthew_d_green AFAICT they've always been Marxists.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1769716259065610670","reply_id":"1769716259065610670","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"matthew_d_green","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":397,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1769804820221952374","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1518721339892256768":{"id":"1518721339892256768","date":"2022-04-25 22:39:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein Unclear. One could read it as \"All these defi protocols are maybe ponzis, we're the safe pair of hands.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1518678300633227267","reply_id":"1518678300633227267","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1518721339892256768","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1241745239762558976":{"id":"1241745239762558976","date":"2020-03-22 15:15:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert That goes double for technical analysis. \"Oh, the 2300 support level is holding.\"\n\nYeah, until news reports about NYC hospital overflow show up, or someone blows out, or a zillion other things. The world doesn't care about your support levels.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1241692771401871360","reply_id":"1241692771401871360","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1241745239762558976","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1175582319299547137":{"id":"1175582319299547137","date":"2019-09-22 01:27:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@philbak1 @ReformedTrader Yeah. Though from the outsider's perspective, doesn't seem like there's much they can do. Try to get some ETFs trading. Some catch on, some don't.\n\nBut once you're in sub-creation-unit territory, you're stuck with the zombie.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1175565975732703232","reply_id":"1175570335476961285","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"philbak1","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1175582319299547137","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1671201077004316693":{"id":"1671201077004316693","date":"2023-06-20 16:59:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KeanuLanu @bookdepth Humans-with-ML have been active in markets and making them more competitive and efficient for 40 years.\n\nNothing indicates to me that this trend is going to do anything other than steadily continue.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1671003879922647047","reply_id":"1671194089470021633","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KeanuLanu","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":161,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1671201077004316693","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1943915928317808921":{"id":"1943915928317808921","date":"2025-07-12 06:10:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cis_female - Does the options vesting get accelerated?\n- Even if it does, where does the cash come from to exercise those options and hence get divs? It ain't coming from regular employees right?\n\nIf both aren't true, dividending is meaningless and the employees still get basically nothing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943908342209851761","reply_id":"1943914847697265087","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"cis_female","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":356,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1943915928317808921","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1526966796728815619":{"id":"1526966796728815619","date":"2022-05-18 16:43:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Unix is older today than crystal radios were when Unix was created.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1526966796728815619","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1526966796728815619","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1505690076818206723":{"id":"1505690076818206723","date":"2022-03-20 23:37:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily Working on it. Surprisingly difficult, it turns out.\n\nPeter Scholze is waaay easier.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505688775132913665","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505690076818206723","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1593836034491502592":{"id":"1593836034491502592","date":"2022-11-19 05:18:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug Yeah that's been my experience too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1593812748705701888","reply_id":"1593812748705701888","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1593836034491502592","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1832660433003544896":{"id":"1832660433003544896","date":"2024-09-08 06:01:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@thodoha Sure.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1832482965781135628","reply_id":"1832617359435255912","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"othadoh","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":613,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1832660433003544896","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1443010992699437057":{"id":"1443010992699437057","date":"2021-09-29 00:33:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert That's a cry for help. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443010283262267402","reply_id":"1443010283262267402","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1443010992699437057","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1480216619397771269":{"id":"1480216619397771269","date":"2022-01-09 16:35:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tambourciles @SinclairEuan @JessicaNutt96 \"traveling postdoc limbo\"\n\nWhat a perfect term for it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1479890868031180805","reply_id":"1480216148008488964","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mmiller_phd","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1480216619397771269","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1535372458760732672":{"id":"1535372458760732672","date":"2022-06-10 21:24:54","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames @perpetualswaps No difference. Thinking of a strategy in terms of “entry” and “exit” signals is generally a bad idea. For a trend strategy the question should be: are we in a trend now? If so I am in a position. If not, I am out of the position. Doesn’t matter how/when I got into it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1535123984450199558","reply_id":"1535371156731174913","quote_id":"1535373683862016001","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":69,"retweets":4,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":22,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1535372458760732672"},"1390667644999634945":{"id":"1390667644999634945","date":"2021-05-07 13:59:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AgoHen @VolQuant True.\n\nShort NOK vol in the late 2000s sucked.\nPaying BRK theta sucked.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1390654113562648576","reply_id":"1390667152764592128","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgoHen","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1390667644999634945","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1501727275967934467":{"id":"1501727275967934467","date":"2022-03-10 01:10:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"For the first time in my life, today when I went to get gas I didn't fill the tank.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501727275967934467","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":40,"retweets":0,"replies":12,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501727275967934467","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1364692953164210176":{"id":"1364692953164210176","date":"2021-02-24 21:45:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AndyMeldrumAU @LouStagner The argument @scottfawcett would make is that if you're highly confident you made the right EV play, you're not going to have that emotional reaction.\n\nLike in poker, you need to embrace the variance.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1364639159139377153","reply_id":"1364674436922712065","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AndyMeldrumAU","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1364692953164210176","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1179589441205100545":{"id":"1179589441205100545","date":"2019-10-03 02:50:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Does anybody else see this taxonomy of human biases and think \"man, those look a lot like goals of ML/AI research\"?\n\nhttps://www.visualcapitalist.com/every-single-cognitive-bias/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1179589441205100545","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1179589441205100545","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1696659498616721533":{"id":"1696659498616721533","date":"2023-08-29 23:02:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@quantymacro @macrocephalopod @sindar_hft \"Ooh, my model says I can make a ton of money in the middle of [flurry of orders and trades].\"\n\nBut you can't.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1696581234107863081","reply_id":"1696590689071718698","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"quantymacro","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":398,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1696659498616721533","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1984927636620030324":{"id":"1984927636620030324","date":"2025-11-02 10:16:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pendulumsinker Show me the RCT where new mothers get a check for half a million dollars in the maternity ward and it doesn't work to increase TFR.\n\nTo be clear, this is not insane at all. That kid will in expectation produce much more than that in taxes and GDP.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1984922771592532383","reply_id":"1984926809901982040","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pendulumsinker","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":451,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1984927636620030324","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1435073435000971267":{"id":"1435073435000971267","date":"2021-09-07 02:52:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SoccerMomTrades Furthermore, I love how most of the answers are \"1. No salary\".\n\nThere are far more borderline-scam prop trading places than good ones.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1435027651027259395","reply_id":"1435063422836625410","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1435073435000971267","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1969355808530993264":{"id":"1969355808530993264","date":"2025-09-20 10:59:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"H1B fee should be proportional to signed distance from median H1B salary.\n\n- Disincentivizes indentured servants at 70k flooding the program.\n- Incentivizes bringing to the US people who command very high salaries (and hence are high productivity).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1969355808530993264","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":83,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":9236,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1969355808530993264","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1881982230568038660":{"id":"1881982230568038660","date":"2025-01-22 08:28:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tolstoybb Smarts is pretty uncorrelated to ambition.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1881868502086320234","reply_id":"1881868502086320234","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tolstoybb","likes":5,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1717,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1881982230568038660","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1892114862647464224":{"id":"1892114862647464224","date":"2025-02-19 07:31:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EgeErdil2 6. But it's hard to tell how much of this is truly endogenous Jevons and how much is the secular trend towards more financialization, the gamblization of everything, partly driven by both real wealth increase in the world but also post-GFC massive increases in money supply.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1891959616969318465","reply_id":"1892114365232324924","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":161,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1892114862647464224","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1564385498981810178":{"id":"1564385498981810178","date":"2022-08-29 22:52:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I don't know who this \"Scam Likely\" guy is but he *really* wants to get a hold of me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1564385498981810178","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1564385498981810178","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2053911049385234691":{"id":"2053911049385234691","date":"2026-05-11 18:52:08","author":"Meb Faber","handle":"MebFaber","text":"Best part of being a quant is looking at my top holdings, not recognizing any except the one I absolutely hate the company and would never buy the stock.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2053911049385234691","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2054147189031489669","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":130,"retweets":4,"replies":11,"quotes":5,"views":59871,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/MebFaber/status/2053911049385234691"},"1549964776347840512":{"id":"1549964776347840512","date":"2022-07-21 03:49:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@godcomplex96 I gave up.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1549963630610829314","reply_id":"1549964244577304576","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"godcomplex96","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1549964776347840512","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1529969579987902464":{"id":"1529969579987902464","date":"2022-05-26 23:35:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase @C_Kavanagh Storytelling will always be a valuable skill.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529967639094624256","reply_id":"1529969396172611593","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1529969579987902464","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1520519240322748416":{"id":"1520519240322748416","date":"2022-04-30 21:43:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"That's must-see TV.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1520519240322748416","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1520519240322748416","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1709301038841549098":{"id":"1709301038841549098","date":"2023-10-03 20:14:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What is the attraction of reading a biography of a still-living or recently-deceased person?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709301038841549098","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":4267,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1709301038841549098","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1722428379394441719":{"id":"1722428379394441719","date":"2023-11-09 01:38:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@yieldcurvepro Ok, totally off the cuff:\n\n- Take a statistic of your data like stdev.\n- Plot stdev(data) as a f'n of how many extremal points you remove.\n\nClaim: if your data has outliers, that plot will start high, then drop early to a stable plateau for a long time, then drop at the end.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1722380090070409234","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":331,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1722428379394441719","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2078578491713356108":{"id":"2078578491713356108","date":"2026-07-18 20:31:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The best model for this is actually... infectious disease.\n\nThe argument being made here is to somehow decrease r, in order to give time to develop vaccines and get to herd immunity, minimizing losses.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2078578491713356108","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":8624,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2078578491713356108","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1697713212727410694":{"id":"1697713212727410694","date":"2023-09-01 20:49:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@GreenZenForest Love it. The more you do of these quick-decision scary trades, the more you'll be able to keep your thinking cap on straight in the middle of it.\n\nWell done!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1697707866831102438","reply_id":"1697707870090039347","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GreenZenForest","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":80,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1697713212727410694","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1393776312012066828":{"id":"1393776312012066828","date":"2021-05-16 03:52:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @KrisAbdelmessih @Mephisto731 I used to say it as a way to throw shade.\n\nI don't much anymore... :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1393679908598124545","reply_id":"1393765122707963908","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1393776312012066828","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1510275044701745158":{"id":"1510275044701745158","date":"2022-04-02 15:16:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alvinjamur @macrocephalopod @sdav1986 @o_wutang Sounds like you've got the beginnings of a rather niche dating site!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1510257063292665856","reply_id":"1510272692225814531","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alvinjamur","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1510275044701745158","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2053127519872614419":{"id":"2053127519872614419","date":"2026-05-09 14:58:40","author":"Garry Tan","handle":"garrytan","text":"http://x.com/i/article/2052898104039657472","hashtags":[],"conv":"2053127519872614419","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2053549129943409147","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3764,"retweets":506,"replies":138,"quotes":133,"views":1569781,"bookmarks":11606,"media":["2053127519872614419_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/garrytan/status/2053127519872614419"},"1482902148719394816":{"id":"1482902148719394816","date":"2022-01-17 02:26:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @0xLightcycle Not sure I understand this discussion but I really want to. What does the upper graph represent in the original tweet?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482869114838601728","reply_id":"1482901570861907968","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482902148719394816","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1942660933219741702":{"id":"1942660933219741702","date":"2025-07-08 19:03:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The future is going to be so awesome.\nhttps://austinvernon.site/blog/ailogistics.html","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942660933219741702","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":6457,"bookmarks":22,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942660933219741702","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1847283268778918153":{"id":"1847283268778918153","date":"2024-10-18 14:27:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@yacineMTB https://kskedlaya.org/putnam-archive/2023.pdf\n\nI'll wait.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847063835204596189","reply_id":"1847283156149215655","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":83,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847283268778918153","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2047257822446891357":{"id":"2047257822446891357","date":"2026-04-23 10:14:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Let the great gatekeeping of AI begin!\n\nRent-seekers gonna seek rents.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2047257822446891357","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":49,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":14225,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2047257822446891357","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1637275217923043328":{"id":"1637275217923043328","date":"2023-03-19 02:10:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cubicearth Through the selection of effect of humans, yes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1637263353814069248","reply_id":"1637274651108810753","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"cubicearth","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":835,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1637275217923043328","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1505737754683924480":{"id":"1505737754683924480","date":"2022-03-21 02:47:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@imagine_mev @nope_its_lily Excessive specialization. The selection process is grueling. And it rewards just putting in the hours, problem after problem.\n\nThe difference between gold and cut at selection camp seems to be mostly willingness to grind on math problems.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505688775132913665","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505737754683924480","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1417931690765291523":{"id":"1417931690765291523","date":"2021-07-21 19:37:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Hire an aging lothario to enter off-brand quasi-legal car races. Ideally ones run by plucky but attractive women with semi-tragic backstories.\n\nYou know, in order to apprehend the small-time thieves and grifters operating in that world.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1417931689922240513","reply_id":"1417931689922240513","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1417931690765291523","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1471520950646558722":{"id":"1471520950646558722","date":"2021-12-16 16:41:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Low-content unfair post-facto fun:\n\nThe worst trade in history is probably the one Ronald Wayne made in 1976. He sold back to Steve Jobs and Steve Wozniak his 10% share in Apple for $800. He didn't want to do documentation.\n\nThat share would be worth ~290 billion today.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471520950646558722","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":33,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471520950646558722","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1808860935978955055":{"id":"1808860935978955055","date":"2024-07-04 13:50:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's more productive to model VCs as middlemen solving a coordination problem between LPs and startups, instead of as visionaries who create the future with said vision.\n\nA lot more things about startup land make sense under the middleman model than the visionary model.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1808860935978955055","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":2952,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1808860935978955055","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2057716768605446517":{"id":"2057716768605446517","date":"2026-05-22 06:54:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I'm not saying it's as bad idea, or a bad company. It just has no business appealing to the authority of the bitter lesson.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2057711394225635661","reply_id":"2057716484235800616","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1825,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2057716768605446517","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2015475177455308807":{"id":"2015475177455308807","date":"2026-01-25 17:21:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Ahead of roon by 6 hours, life achievement unlocked.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2015475177455308807","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":73,"retweets":3,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":8035,"bookmarks":9,"media":["2015475177455308807_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2015475177455308807","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1960397379246419978":{"id":"1960397379246419978","date":"2025-08-26 17:42:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Kind of amazing watching the US speedrun Latin American immiseration in real time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1960397379246419978","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":66,"retweets":2,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":7454,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1960397379246419978","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1375119227288309760":{"id":"1375119227288309760","date":"2021-03-25 16:15:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5/ Lots of people misunderstand what gambling is about. \n\nWhy aren’t there any coin-flipping tournaments for a million dollars? It’s plenty of variance right?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1375119223693864961","reply_id":"1375119226311217152","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1375119227288309760","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1456020159190102018":{"id":"1456020159190102018","date":"2021-11-03 22:07:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BangTheClose @macrocephalopod Natgas anyone?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1455887352371597312","reply_id":"1456020086570029064","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BangTheClose","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1456020159190102018","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1787455037834162319":{"id":"1787455037834162319","date":"2024-05-06 12:11:04","author":"Paul Cerro","handle":"paulcerro","text":"I had to deal with the >100/hr work weeks too. Absolutely brutal.\n\nBut on the last deal I did before I quit, I remember having a 7 day period where I worked 149 hours. There's only 168 in a week to put things into perspective for you.\n\nIn one stretch I worked 29 hours straight and was only interrupted by going home to shower and take a 45 min nap before working another 17 hours.\n\nYou're barely alive at that point running on fumes and putting out just enough energy for necessary life support function.\n\nIt's completely insane how they let this happen to the analysts and associates as they visibly watch you decay right before their eyes. However, I did have a stellar VP on that deal.\n\nShe could literally see how we were borderline dying and made one of the most boss moves I've ever been a part of in IB. She put us first and made sure to leave a paper trail.\n\nShe emailed our staffer and COO telling them, not asking but telling them, that they give us 2 days off. No communication to us. Phones off battery out. In her email she even noted that she \"feared for our health and mental status\".\n\nShe essentially sealed out fate in getting time to rest because at that point, if anything happened, it would be on the bank for pushing us to the brink and potentially over a cliff.\n\nI printed out that email and still have it as a reminder of what that life was but also what a good leader is.\n\nThat deal absolutely broke me and I quit the day I got my bonus just a few weeks later.\n\nYes it's very hard to just \"look out for yourself\" in that world. You just can't do that. But you should hopefully be around leaders that are there for you.\n\nWhoever this associate's boss was utterly failed him. The staffer failed him. HR who received the time sheets failed him. The bank failed him.\n\nThe IB life is praised by undergrads and grads but it's honestly not worth it if you don't have a good team.\n\nPains me to hear of this guy's passing since I know what it's like and hope his family is able to put the bank on blast for this.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1787455037834162319","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1787555996434669899","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3734,"retweets":312,"replies":158,"quotes":119,"views":3450949,"bookmarks":1327,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/paulcerro/status/1787455037834162319"},"1491164110150860800":{"id":"1491164110150860800","date":"2022-02-08 21:36:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 There is an optimal size of company for everyone. It's a function of who you are, what you're good at, and what stage you're in career-wise.\n\nPeople systematically undervalue the importance of company size in their job decisions.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1491163354785845253","reply_id":"1491163354785845253","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1491164110150860800","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1479909727312105472":{"id":"1479909727312105472","date":"2022-01-08 20:15:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@longskew @lightspringfox @macrocephalopod FWIW I've interviewed 3 nosebleed-stakes poker players for a trading job. The only one we ended up making an offer to also happened to have a math degree from Cambridge.\n\nJust sayin'.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1479798986231930883","reply_id":"1479902475196850176","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1479909727312105472","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1824642444874617154":{"id":"1824642444874617154","date":"2024-08-17 03:00:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite Typescript typing is unsound. I may have dismissed that as an academic complaint in the past, but it's bitten me enough times that I don't trust it. Which defeats the purpose!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1824595076343009756","reply_id":"1824608892887679399","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":499,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1824642444874617154","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1301320562493460481":{"id":"1301320562493460481","date":"2020-09-03 00:46:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Claim: The culture of machine learning research is broken.\n\nEvidence: Dataset efficiency ISN'T by far the dominant thing that people are working on.\n\nIt's as if everyone read The Unreasonable Effectiveness Of Data 11 years ago and said \"Great, don't have to worry about it.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1301320562493460481","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1301320562493460481","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1511848245403693057":{"id":"1511848245403693057","date":"2022-04-06 23:28:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mdbergman36 🙏🙏🙏\n\nBiggest thrill for me is hearing from non-traders who've read the book and found something useful there.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1511808444642181123","reply_id":"1511847602899218432","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mdbergman36","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1511848245403693057","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1627319094700834816":{"id":"1627319094700834816","date":"2023-02-19 14:48:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@totlsota Why am I trying to come up with a theory for why this is a positive-interest-rate phenomenon?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1627315260733505536","reply_id":"1627315260733505536","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"totlsota","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":389,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1627319094700834816","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1632135984270790657":{"id":"1632135984270790657","date":"2023-03-04 21:48:36","author":"Marc Andreessen 🇺🇸","handle":"pmarca","text":"Marc Andreessen Substack: Why AI Won't Cause Unemployment https://pmarca.substack.com/p/why-ai-wont-cause-unemployment?utm_source=twitter&utm_campaign=auto_share&r=h8x","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632135984270790657","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1632167506847895557","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":866,"retweets":148,"replies":99,"quotes":47,"views":491013,"bookmarks":334,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/pmarca/status/1632135984270790657"},"1552828206427750400":{"id":"1552828206427750400","date":"2022-07-29 01:27:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Cereal_Intern @_Dave__White_ @anon75374998 Looking into the mirror at all the stuff I spent time on that went basically nowhere.\n\nAh trading...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1552817040448114694","reply_id":"1552827212558225408","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Cereal_Intern","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1552828206427750400","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1265820415424786432":{"id":"1265820415424786432","date":"2020-05-28 01:41:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @Foulke_David @choffstein I'm partial to the Scott Aaronson argument that QM is little more than a generalization of probability theory.\n\nThe fact that it happens to be implemented in the actual universe we live in can be considered a nice bonus. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1265287336729944064","reply_id":"1265804765092622336","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1265820415424786432","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1448105706763083777":{"id":"1448105706763083777","date":"2021-10-13 01:57:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @mpp75214 Crank up the learning rate. That'll fix ya.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448086924330246151","reply_id":"1448104185103372291","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448105706763083777","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1546511500507897858":{"id":"1546511500507897858","date":"2022-07-11 15:07:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@matt_levine @nope_its_lily Good enough for me!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546348507996381184","reply_id":"1546511165878140930","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"matt_levine","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546511500507897858","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1912588794424918152":{"id":"1912588794424918152","date":"2025-04-16 19:27:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tylercowen can o3 do your taxes?\n\nI don't mean help you, I mean you give it a bunch of W2s, 1099s, etc, your last year's returns, and it comes back with a tax return. It asks where your Schwab 1099-INT is because you had one last year.\n\nSurely an AGI should be able to do that?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1912588794424918152","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tylercowen","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":628,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1912588794424918152","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1700879048883499371":{"id":"1700879048883499371","date":"2023-09-10 14:29:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xLoris @experquisite ✅","hashtags":[],"conv":"1700641025385955464","reply_id":"1700663063047807335","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xLoris","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":101,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1700879048883499371","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1492687443207680005":{"id":"1492687443207680005","date":"2022-02-13 02:29:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @ThePythonQuant @3shkreli @lightspringfox 🙋‍♂️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1492646076574228481","reply_id":"1492655639171977217","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1492687443207680005","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1458631023692894211":{"id":"1458631023692894211","date":"2021-11-11 03:01:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JDcarlu https://ens.domains/\n\n$5/year + ridic gas fees. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1458450737185181706","reply_id":"1458626372343984135","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JDcarlu","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1458631023692894211","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1377638032870764553":{"id":"1377638032870764553","date":"2021-04-01 15:04:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal 1. The sqrt(1-c^2) is to get the variances to add up right.\n\nhttps://www.gaussianwaves.com/2014/07/generating-correlated-random-numbers/\n\n2. For logret, stay in log space as long as possible then exponentiate at the end. Usually. Depends on what you're doing. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377482535463161856","reply_id":"1377637438143803392","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1377638032870764553","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1976678147572764844":{"id":"1976678147572764844","date":"2025-10-10 15:56:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@PaxElectronica Regulation. The SEC was created in the aftermath of the 1929 crash, for example. FINRA, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1976645088433656219","reply_id":"1976673286512882137","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"PaxElectronica","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":647,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1976678147572764844","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1481471106972205056":{"id":"1481471106972205056","date":"2022-01-13 03:40:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @Buy_The_Dip_ @FREAK0NAUT @vixologist @kchoudhu I forgot about it. I read it at age 17, right where it's supposed to hit me in the immature feels. I somehow managed to largely avoid it but I haven't gone near it since.\n\nReminds of a line from the fine Canadian band Sloan: \"Consolidated. It's not the band I hate it's the fans.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481302561592422402","reply_id":"1481469875449401346","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1481471106972205056","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1128263300519792640":{"id":"1128263300519792640","date":"2019-05-14 11:38:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Hiring a former UK deputy prime minister to convince people you're not a monopoly is a pretty good way to show you are a monopoly. #facebook #monopoly\nhttps://www.nytimes.com/2019/05/11/opinion/facebook-nick-clegg-chris-hughes.html","hashtags":["facebook","monopoly"],"conv":"1128263300519792640","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1128263300519792640","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2070532176366501906":{"id":"2070532176366501906","date":"2026-06-26 15:38:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is how you do it. The hard way, no shortcuts.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2070532176366501906","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":101,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":27624,"bookmarks":54,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2070532176366501906","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1626344575999836160":{"id":"1626344575999836160","date":"2023-02-16 22:15:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OrthogonalAlpha @0xdoug @arb8020 @totlsota @OrbingxD True, and usually very short-term alpha.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1626307839856869376","reply_id":"1626343449145507841","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OrthogonalAlpha","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":808,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1626344575999836160","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1546319914394300416":{"id":"1546319914394300416","date":"2022-07-11 02:26:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@gambidtheory @balajis I think this *is* our best alternative right now. Sure beats the \"info-tech panopticon\" alternative being built elsewhere.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546316455645310981","reply_id":"1546319338591830016","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"gambidtheory","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546319914394300416","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1386531948173033474":{"id":"1386531948173033474","date":"2021-04-26 04:05:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jsoloff @KrisAbdelmessih @salr_nyc @TheSpeculator0 Precisely. The whole book should have a preface that says \"As long as your currency is the reserve currency of the world...\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1386380006905896963","reply_id":"1386502315964653573","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jsoloff","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1386531948173033474","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1630225997827293184":{"id":"1630225997827293184","date":"2023-02-27 15:19:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"#takes","hashtags":["takes"],"conv":"1630225997827293184","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":4998,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1630225997827293184_1.png","1630225997827293184_2.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1630225997827293184","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1433090640749875205":{"id":"1433090640749875205","date":"2021-09-01 15:33:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@drunkengrass @goodalexander Don't hate the player, hate the game.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1432933777865596935","reply_id":"1433088677119287300","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"drunkengrass","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1433090640749875205","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1857899505678692592":{"id":"1857899505678692592","date":"2024-11-16 21:32:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @experquisite @__paleologo @moreproteinbars @itsmartingale As I said earlier, for ETF trades well inside creation unit sizes, all that matters (in expectation) is the ETF-only liquidity. But yeah, for meaningful sizes there are a *lot* of considerations.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1857809844146757924","reply_id":"1857897507432575267","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":10,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":777,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1857899505678692592","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1593071465737621504":{"id":"1593071465737621504","date":"2022-11-17 02:40:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal I'd forget cointegration entirely until you know what covariance and beta are at a deep and intuitive level. Which IMO only comes with working through problems.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1593070753658056709","reply_id":"1593070753658056709","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1593071465737621504","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2078234675051647091":{"id":"2078234675051647091","date":"2026-07-17 21:45:32","author":"SE Gyges","handle":"segyges","text":"I appreciate that Dean Ball, Head of Strategic Futures at OpenAI and former Senior Policy Advisor to the White House, is just directly saying, under his legal name, that the purpose of introducing nonsensical regulations is to hurt open source and favor incumbent corporations","hashtags":[],"conv":"2078234675051647091","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2078435636218851678","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4386,"retweets":504,"replies":68,"quotes":25,"views":212346,"bookmarks":634,"media":["2078234675051647091_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/segyges/status/2078234675051647091"},"1847651996792209835":{"id":"1847651996792209835","date":"2024-10-19 14:52:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@PassiveObs77464 @lacertaXG1 @quant_spence Where *I* can use them? Yes, for things I don't know much about.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847610792113316169","reply_id":"1847646693409378362","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OftCorrect","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":217,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847651996792209835","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1288927767690543104":{"id":"1288927767690543104","date":"2020-07-30 20:01:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih The US seems on its way to a 3rd-world educational system:\n\n- Rich people remove their kids from public schools (more than before)\n- So they don't want to pay taxes to support public education\n- Cuts, public education suffers.\n- More people remove their kids from public ed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1288678116630491136","reply_id":"1288678116630491136","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1288927767690543104","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1732132776504373599":{"id":"1732132776504373599","date":"2023-12-05 20:20:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"- All that said, BTC VIX doesn't seem crazy. Historically it's been more orthogonal to the rest of the market than most things. But then, why no GC VIX already? Probably demand isn't there.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1732132770984624129","reply_id":"1732132774604353920","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1569,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1732132776504373599","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1943310291711795682":{"id":"1943310291711795682","date":"2025-07-10 14:04:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Uncle_bridge @viscondegrego @spotgamma Which is what 99.9% of people who follow me should be, if they want to maximize EV instead of entertainment.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943280522756591979","reply_id":"1943308624304202006","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Uncle_bridge","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":453,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1943310291711795682","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1733639290905882912":{"id":"1733639290905882912","date":"2023-12-10 00:06:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@l1quid1ty 🙏🙏🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1733473795107680593","reply_id":"1733473795107680593","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"l1quid1ty","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":125,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1733639290905882912","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1923677022913503320":{"id":"1923677022913503320","date":"2025-05-17 09:48:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Why do I still remember so many WordPerfect 5.1 function keys, 30 years after I stopped using it?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1923677022913503320","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":3590,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1923677022913503320","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1512284479171166216":{"id":"1512284479171166216","date":"2022-04-08 04:21:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @therobotjames @sentientETF This is why answering the question \"over what timescale does my edge realize\" is so important.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1512223272175570946","reply_id":"1512282484930596866","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1512284479171166216","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1976647670338043987":{"id":"1976647670338043987","date":"2025-10-10 13:55:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@baynkr How is that the business? Isn't marketdata free?\n\nBesides, how accurate are your prices going to be if it's all just shark infested insider-traders and no liquidity providers? Get ready for some wide-ass markets.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1976645088433656219","reply_id":"1976647300324774224","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"baynkr","likes":50,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":4155,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1976647670338043987","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1697065896668434572":{"id":"1697065896668434572","date":"2023-08-31 01:56:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ThomasJ02 Maybe it's because smart people realize that personal happiness as an end-goal is inherently solipsistic, selfish, and self-defeating.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1697035334503051642","reply_id":"1697035334503051642","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ThomasJ02","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":120,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1697065896668434572","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1331616587367923713":{"id":"1331616587367923713","date":"2020-11-25 15:11:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@veritascap @Wallacesnoop1 Nope. Probably just being really smart, hardworking, picking up things ridiculously quickly, being great to be around, and with some embryonic leadership skills.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1331425540658536449","reply_id":"1331573136165376005","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"hedgedmonk","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1331616587367923713","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1894890285747880084":{"id":"1894890285747880084","date":"2025-02-26 23:20:24","author":"Bloomberg","handle":"business","text":"AI cloud computing provider CoreWeave is considering filing publicly for a US IPO within a week, and may seek to raise about $4 billion. https://trib.al/FvcYMEo","hashtags":[],"conv":"1894890285747880084","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1894997256400507203","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":159,"retweets":16,"replies":8,"quotes":25,"views":450722,"bookmarks":56,"media":["1894890285747880084_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/business/status/1894890285747880084"},"1643759092312297473":{"id":"1643759092312297473","date":"2023-04-05 23:34:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"NYC: the last city in the developed world where drivers haven't realized that blocking the intersections in traffic causes cascading feedback traffic jams.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1643759092312297473","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":30,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":7549,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1643759092312297473","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2041187930782175703":{"id":"2041187930782175703","date":"2026-04-06 16:15:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Smart people who two-box make great employees but terrible leaders.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2041187930782175703","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":41,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":16492,"bookmarks":19,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2041187930782175703","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1705266839499178450":{"id":"1705266839499178450","date":"2023-09-22 17:04:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin @nabeelqu This.\n\nLand scarcity isn't artificial because some land is definitely better than other land, even ignoring path dependence.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1705255039097360791","reply_id":"1705260603810423155","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":769,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1705266839499178450","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1508237899321409538":{"id":"1508237899321409538","date":"2022-03-28 00:21:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @KrisAbdelmessih @CryptoNymph @davidbelle_ @Ksidiii nymph...\n\ndrawing a blank.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507961234519429120","reply_id":"1508237697051394054","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1508237899321409538","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1501346912389111808":{"id":"1501346912389111808","date":"2022-03-08 23:59:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @nope_its_lily Thing I learned today:\n\n- Pandas ewm with halflife={some number} is O(n)\n- Pandas ewm with halflife={pd.timedelta} and times={something} is O(n^2)\n\nGenius.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501312622603358209","reply_id":"1501341286627872773","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501346912389111808","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1415328419416461317":{"id":"1415328419416461317","date":"2021-07-14 15:12:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RockshotJ @KrisAbdelmessih Or in the Stanford engineering curriculum.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"1415328253141819397","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RockshotJ","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415328419416461317","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1636570237012447232":{"id":"1636570237012447232","date":"2023-03-17 03:28:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@rargulati They did *something* but it looks fairly meh AFAICT.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1636446418494951424","reply_id":"1636522320117514240","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"rargulati","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":45,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1636570237012447232","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1890484130996981965":{"id":"1890484130996981965","date":"2025-02-14 19:31:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@idoccor @itsmartingale Shhh, z-scoring is a big piece of IP. Like size-weighted mid.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1890149943987605738","reply_id":"1890471323421254133","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"idoccor","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":285,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1890484130996981965","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1372559981724110848":{"id":"1372559981724110848","date":"2021-03-18 14:46:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @therobotjames The thing I love about the poker analogy is the following:\n\n- It takes ~100k hands to \"know\" statistically you're a winner in a game (approx, typically, etc).\n- It takes an expert watching you for ~100 hands to \"know\" the same thing. Maybe less.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1372412020230787074","reply_id":"1372558602397884418","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":35,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1372559981724110848","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1555600242011041792":{"id":"1555600242011041792","date":"2022-08-05 17:02:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EgeErdil2 Solomonoff induction. Simple.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1555573393402916864","reply_id":"1555599946598031363","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EgeErdil2","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1555600242011041792","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1546931770787999744":{"id":"1546931770787999744","date":"2022-07-12 18:57:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"13/ Of course, interesting is in the eye of the beholder. Maybe staring at ticks makes your brain hurt.\n\n➡️You don’t have to like what I like.⬅️\n\nBut you need to find the things that interest you, and then put yourself in positions to notice things about those things.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546931744426758145","reply_id":"1546931769504440320","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546931770787999744","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1722258574523715952":{"id":"1722258574523715952","date":"2023-11-08 14:23:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Selection bias. It's always selection bias.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1722258574523715952","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3147,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1722258574523715952","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1691887120628199861":{"id":"1691887120628199861","date":"2023-08-16 18:58:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Let's create an entire industry where the #1 qualification is being good at maximizing your comp.\"\n\nlater...\n\n\"Huh, trader comp is difficult and contentious. Go figure.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1691887120628199861","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":34,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":6136,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1691887120628199861","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1837741106739413257":{"id":"1837741106739413257","date":"2024-09-22 06:29:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@__paleologo @macrocephalopod @volmagorov Ain't lost. Ask Gerko. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1837529061276442989","reply_id":"1837608659016470949","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"__paleologo","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":809,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1837741106739413257","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1711468426592739544":{"id":"1711468426592739544","date":"2023-10-09 19:47:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 I'm one of those people. I have a rather healthy lifestyle but my lipids are high. It's genetics, which is why I'm on a low dose statin.\n\nBut I believe I'm in the minority. Most people on statins just need to lose 50lb.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1711449914239311939","reply_id":"1711465485848764762","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":679,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1711468426592739544","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1845056667114717258":{"id":"1845056667114717258","date":"2024-10-12 10:59:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@walkerrockets To quote Jerry Seinfeld: \"Have you been to the DMV?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1845041313755939184","reply_id":"1845048873498120328","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"walkerrockets","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":275,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1845056667114717258","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1301191377833717762":{"id":"1301191377833717762","date":"2020-09-02 16:12:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AndersChiTown @VolatilityWiz MMs hate having to provide liquidity to uninformed order flow. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1301189519643938816","reply_id":"1301190884726378498","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ChiTown_A","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1301191377833717762","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1627677261515345923":{"id":"1627677261515345923","date":"2023-02-20 14:31:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Is there anyone out there who actually enjoys the NBA all-star game?\n\nOpen threes and uncontested dunks for 48 minutes. Zzzz.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1627677261515345923","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":12,"quotes":0,"views":6039,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1627677261515345923","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1705267817753477593":{"id":"1705267817753477593","date":"2023-09-22 17:08:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nabeelqu @garybasin Positional goods be that way. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1705255039097360791","reply_id":"1705267380304134408","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nabeelqu","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":470,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1705267817753477593","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1762496087959769494":{"id":"1762496087959769494","date":"2024-02-27 15:13:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bubbleboi Never had a blue check.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1762483702125199482","reply_id":"1762494544829161877","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bubbleboi","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":474,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1762496087959769494","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1677303622965796865":{"id":"1677303622965796865","date":"2023-07-07 13:08:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@totlsota @therobotjames @PtrPomorski @fuckyourputs @seawake_ MLDP blocked me for calling him out that frac diff stuff is ridiculously well-approximated by sums of EWMAs w/ different half lives.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1676844419377512450","reply_id":"1677235947098763264","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"totlsota","likes":16,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":989,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1677303622965796865","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2079979500025135450":{"id":"2079979500025135450","date":"2026-07-22 17:18:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's almost as if... I dunno... the training data it has on quant trading is... adversely selected somehow.\n\nWeird...","hashtags":[],"conv":"2079979500025135450","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":815,"retweets":6,"replies":18,"quotes":4,"views":117173,"bookmarks":185,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2079979500025135450","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1598716919892172800":{"id":"1598716919892172800","date":"2022-12-02 16:33:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @SquishChaos @thinkingpoker ✅","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598425248927731712","reply_id":"1598716422275960833","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598716919892172800","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1590489477868564482":{"id":"1590489477868564482","date":"2022-11-09 23:40:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dystopiabreaker There is a hard tradeoff between highly self-consistent worldviews and making reasonable decisions in unusual situations.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1590488411701669888","reply_id":"1590488411701669888","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dystopiabreaker","likes":23,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1590489477868564482","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1557709348373073920":{"id":"1557709348373073920","date":"2022-08-11 12:43:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @DeadFishCapital @therobotjames @KrisAbdelmessih @ByrneHobart Smart is as smart does.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1557493154395348993","reply_id":"1557704315451703296","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1557709348373073920","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1629541491923382274":{"id":"1629541491923382274","date":"2023-02-25 17:59:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FunkPhlex 🤷‍♂️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1629522250205638656","reply_id":"1629541075424608260","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FunkPhlex","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":797,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1629541491923382274","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1970548047827653080":{"id":"1970548047827653080","date":"2025-09-23 17:57:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"There will never be a greater training montage.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uqKedIzviNc","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970548047827653080","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4527,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1970548047827653080_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1970548047827653080","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1183132598811250689":{"id":"1183132598811250689","date":"2019-10-12 21:29:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@robertwiblin I'm not great at Twitter. 😬","hashtags":[],"conv":"1183128974253330432","reply_id":"1183130791905284097","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"robertwiblin","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1183132598811250689","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1851532200748945473":{"id":"1851532200748945473","date":"2024-10-30 07:50:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Web front ends and Electron are dripping away years of my life milliseconds at a time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1851532200748945473","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3204,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1851532200748945473","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1644485049067372544":{"id":"1644485049067372544","date":"2023-04-07 23:39:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@chameleon_jeff @0xtuba Agreed. It's incentive compatible for them to believe you because (a) if you lied, they'll just crank you back down the tiers next month, and (b) maybe they get a shot at having your risk $, fees, and taking down a competitor at the same time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1644171179392122883","reply_id":"1644464811521236993","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"chameleon_jeff","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":375,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1644485049067372544","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1427664466930388992":{"id":"1427664466930388992","date":"2021-08-17 16:11:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod At the point they don't, they stop being social science and just become science.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1427664166412857347","reply_id":"1427664166412857347","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1427664466930388992","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1507117434980896769":{"id":"1507117434980896769","date":"2022-03-24 22:09:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tdgraff How my hair look?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507066124050976784","reply_id":"1507114665830236165","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tdgraff","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507117434980896769","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2071583808587964540":{"id":"2071583808587964540","date":"2026-06-29 13:17:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"White-collar hiring is incredibly broken.\n\nLinkedIn is incredibly broken.\n\nI have a modest proposal for how to fix both... 🧵","hashtags":[],"conv":"2071583808587964540","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2071584678373429728","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":134,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":2,"views":28679,"bookmarks":114,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2071583808587964540","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1773471701143294430":{"id":"1773471701143294430","date":"2024-03-28 22:06:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"https://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1773456147309334555","hashtags":[],"conv":"1773384779347730616","reply_id":"1773384779347730616","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":8859,"bookmarks":16,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1773471701143294430","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1470874086444134401":{"id":"1470874086444134401","date":"2021-12-14 21:51:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"- Meanwhile crypto people like @balajis are talking about sanctuary cities and protecting against some future version of ExecOrder6102.\n\nI'm overwhelmed by the sense it's all coming apart at the seams. And struggling to see how this all doesn't end badly...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1470874084300890112","reply_id":"1470874085483704324","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1470874086444134401","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1245534349635637261":{"id":"1245534349635637261","date":"2020-04-02 02:11:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@moideenkalladi @CliffordAsness @choffstein I know, it's crazy how much gold there is there. And in his Amazon reviews.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1245172353409011712","reply_id":"1245531399395749888","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"moideenkalladi","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1245534349635637261","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1415321027404472333":{"id":"1415321027404472333","date":"2021-07-14 14:43:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4/\n\nA. Hiring is matching. Just like a trade. There’s a labor seller and a labor buyer, and the goal of a good hiring process is to make sure both sides are happy with the trade.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"1415321026485886979","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415321027404472333","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1290822740983783424":{"id":"1290822740983783424","date":"2020-08-05 01:31:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein Ew, gross. 😱","hashtags":[],"conv":"1290822487920586752","reply_id":"1290822487920586752","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1290822740983783424","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1420737398535725062":{"id":"1420737398535725062","date":"2021-07-29 13:26:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JKevin2011 @MortWeaz @therobotjames @steve_capital @2_7182818285 @SinclairEuan It is. Until it isn't. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420131145669169153","reply_id":"1420643493421146112","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JKevin2011","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420737398535725062","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1555282087418048513":{"id":"1555282087418048513","date":"2022-08-04 19:58:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4/  If you're doing lots of trades then you have data to help you tell. But when it's easy to tell, edges have to be thin. Competition.\n\nWhich means you need to lever up to make real $.\n\nHello variance monster.\n\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"1555282083672510464","reply_id":"1555282086272987137","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":56,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1555282087418048513","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2059909182115963093":{"id":"2059909182115963093","date":"2026-05-28 08:06:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Someone name one successful YC hardtech company in the last 10 years.\n\nI'll wait.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2059909182115963093","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":87,"retweets":1,"replies":8,"quotes":2,"views":34310,"bookmarks":24,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2059909182115963093","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1703198288156176770":{"id":"1703198288156176770","date":"2023-09-17 00:04:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Universal excuses:\n\nLate 2001-2002: Due to recent events,\nLate 2008-2009: Economic conditions have caused us to...\n2020-2021: Unfortunately, pandemic protocols force us to...\n\n2023: Sorry for the initial confusion!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1703198288156176770","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2686,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1703198288156176770","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1870155009301618697":{"id":"1870155009301618697","date":"2024-12-20 17:11:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EgeErdil2 1. Lots of people with innumeracy.\n2. General refusal to believe in exponential tails of ability/impact/etc.\n\nNotice how no one really complains that Cristiano Ronaldo makes $75m/yr. These arguments are pre-rational.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1870150813504680047","reply_id":"1870150813504680047","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EgeErdil2","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":402,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1870155009301618697","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2048066790270390719":{"id":"2048066790270390719","date":"2026-04-25 15:49:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Not even finance. Just basic causal and probabilistic reasoning.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2048066595679871254","reply_id":"2048066604680806526","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":41,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":5786,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2048066790270390719","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1585352807766700033":{"id":"1585352807766700033","date":"2022-10-26 19:28:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Seller of that statement.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1585344982055292928","reply_id":"1585352627927515137","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1585352807766700033","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1762233201995690388":{"id":"1762233201995690388","date":"2024-02-26 21:48:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JamesPoetzscher I'm talking community college here, not Stanford.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1762229453764333898","reply_id":"1762232454625321088","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JamesPoetzscher","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":366,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1762233201995690388","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1846913869622423607":{"id":"1846913869622423607","date":"2024-10-17 13:59:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@salr_nyc Probably.\n\nAnd yet, do a few things wrong in the 10/20NL game at the old Palomar Card Club in San Diego...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1846867204739875218","reply_id":"1846904872152514958","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"salr_nyc","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":410,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1846913869622423607","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1899531412509807000":{"id":"1899531412509807000","date":"2025-03-11 18:42:34","author":"Gary Basin","handle":"garybasin","text":"On the one hand… duh. Writing the code is not hard and machines are naturally good at this. The bottleneck is clearly defining what you want the code to do","hashtags":[],"conv":"1899531412509807000","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1899536917898674674","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":5162,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/garybasin/status/1899531412509807000"},"2054101770775769146":{"id":"2054101770775769146","date":"2026-05-12 07:30:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Just shoot me now.\n\nDo people actually want this?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2054101770775769146","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":131,"retweets":1,"replies":26,"quotes":0,"views":30866,"bookmarks":20,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2054101770775769146","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1732867062090117180":{"id":"1732867062090117180","date":"2023-12-07 20:57:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"💯\n\nQuant techniques are worthless. Especially linear models. No money to be made.\n\nJust leave the dinosaurs to piss away their money on stuff that doesn't work.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1732867062090117180","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":34,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":6452,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1732867062090117180","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1438246936704811008":{"id":"1438246936704811008","date":"2021-09-15 21:02:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @NewRiverInvest @p_millerd \"Most of us don't mind hard work\" sounds like a convenient story people can tell themselves.\n\nAlmost everyone minds hard work.\n\nIt's just that hard workers learn to mind the consequences of not-hard work more.\n\nSame immigrant background, same mindset here.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1438239899581181954","reply_id":"1438239899581181954","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1438246936704811008","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1237901618823086080":{"id":"1237901618823086080","date":"2020-03-12 00:41:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @ianbremmer @AnodyneCode @elipariser Dividing by pop ratio gives you 6 more days.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1237708525352214528","reply_id":"1237875547985907713","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1237901618823086080","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1832827599384412630":{"id":"1832827599384412630","date":"2024-09-08 17:05:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@krishnanrohit Perhaps, but there are about a thousand other awesome reasons to want to fly than \"to make a clean getaway\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1832824613950079049","reply_id":"1832826956020428914","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"krishnanrohit","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":277,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1832827599384412630","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1423417901453758466":{"id":"1423417901453758466","date":"2021-08-05 22:57:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@PenguinsTrading @emareseebt @alexwlezien Agreed with all of these downsides.\n\nIt seems hard to believe their matching engine is written in Python. And yet it would appear that's true.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1423020340117049344","reply_id":"1423407486921551875","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"PenguinsTrading","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1423417901453758466","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2060243626173591886":{"id":"2060243626173591886","date":"2026-05-29 06:15:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4. Infinite compute can definitely be used to do this. Math, basic science, applied science, more efficient interactions, all of it. A lot of it is bottlenecked by scalably getting and analyzing information.\n\n---\nBut sure, keep giving this sort of advice to founders.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2060243621790519571","reply_id":"2060243624390967654","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1982,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2060243626173591886","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1549058788577071104":{"id":"1549058788577071104","date":"2022-07-18 15:49:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @jp_JellyRoll @darjohn25 Totally agree!\n\nI think 3-club is a bit better (4i, 9i, putter) but the whole point is to get you comfortable playing *shots*, not golf swing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548971726700048384","reply_id":"1549054290270031877","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1549058788577071104","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1942138503157977223":{"id":"1942138503157977223","date":"2025-07-07 08:27:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"27/ Post-2020 JS looks from the outside like a place with a hollowed-out middle. Senior partner-level people making huge amounts and very junior people making good-but-not-spectacular low-beta comp.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942138445259768068","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":121,"retweets":3,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":16547,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942138503157977223","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1482008055038414851":{"id":"1482008055038414851","date":"2022-01-14 15:13:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Say it's a $120k/year job.\n\n1. Select for smarts, culture fit, etc. Pay people for their time in your process.\n\n2. Offer them $80k. They'll take it. Please believe me that this is true.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481847231917424640","reply_id":"1482008054128279553","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482008055038414851","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1773759707448213929":{"id":"1773759707448213929","date":"2024-03-29 17:10:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbateman 🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1773754928877494710","reply_id":"1773759065115578868","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbateman","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":151,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1773759707448213929","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1593631247032385537":{"id":"1593631247032385537","date":"2022-11-18 15:44:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"- Produces webapps\n- Is fully integrated (does backend and frontend)\n- Database with ~3 tables, simple relations\n- Some trivial business logic\n- Visual frontend builder (I don't want to write React)\n- Doesn't have some ungodly per-user pricing plan!!!\n\nWhaddaya got?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1593631245723791361","reply_id":"1593631245723791361","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1593631247032385537","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1590067257266573312":{"id":"1590067257266573312","date":"2022-11-08 19:42:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames And that's why you don't run an exchange...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1590065993636007939","reply_id":"1590065993636007939","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1590067257266573312","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1189030376317915136":{"id":"1189030376317915136","date":"2019-10-29 04:05:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm I swear Jean Baudrillard was a web dev.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1189026145057947648","reply_id":"1189030037707608064","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1189030376317915136","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2072293510141690209":{"id":"2072293510141690209","date":"2026-07-01 12:17:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"As always, feel free to DM me if you're curious and want to learn more.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2072293502168277261","reply_id":"2072293508166070625","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":197,"retweets":2,"replies":24,"quotes":0,"views":22707,"bookmarks":41,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2072293510141690209","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1420131148739407872":{"id":"1420131148739407872","date":"2021-07-27 21:17:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Why did I do this? Well now run this market model with different random seeds and I get different histories. Each one drawn from the same distribution (or meta-distribution, if you’re fancy) as real history.\n\nSo I get to backtest my strategy on all those fake histories.\n\n4/n","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420131145669169153","reply_id":"1420131147674046469","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420131148739407872","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1572796219256369153":{"id":"1572796219256369153","date":"2022-09-22 03:53:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug @OffTheRunTrades I've long claimed that this is how exchanges should set tick sizes: pick the size that usually gives zero tick-to-tick serial corr.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1572766780065710081","reply_id":"1572795911121833984","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":15,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1572796219256369153","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1368729923246907400":{"id":"1368729923246907400","date":"2021-03-08 01:06:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Mephisto731 @therobotjames @SinclairEuan @DBecevic @o_wutang I always think of this episode when I think of baby-put sellers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1368343033683578881","reply_id":"1368729806779547648","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1368729923246907400","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1501780983850291202":{"id":"1501780983850291202","date":"2022-03-10 04:44:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @be20684347 @M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames What's the reason we think dealers are always short downside gamma? Just that it's usually rich to realized?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"1501780214447108100","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501780983850291202","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2000929548264001865":{"id":"2000929548264001865","date":"2025-12-16 14:02:34","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"RT @macrocephalopod: @therobotjames @systematicls You mean you could just read my old posts for free, instead of paying $100/mo for chatgpt slop from some fake 'trading influencer'..? Incredible if true.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2000929548264001865","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2000905687476445236","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":5,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/2000929548264001865"},"1595440412348796929":{"id":"1595440412348796929","date":"2022-11-23 15:33:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"TFW you realize the real solution to your problem is to build a new operating system from scratch.\n\nSigh. 😢","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595440412348796929","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":79,"retweets":1,"replies":14,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1595440412348796929","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1549410560264904705":{"id":"1549410560264904705","date":"2022-07-19 15:07:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is awesome. Highly recommend this book.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1549410560264904705","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1549410560264904705","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1980720968214450471":{"id":"1980720968214450471","date":"2025-10-21 19:40:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeepDishEnjoyer They're supposedly worth $400 billion American dollars, and they're releasing a browser?\n\nA browser.\n\nA browser.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1980717400552337777","reply_id":"1980719554008621299","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeepDishEnjoyer","likes":23,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2376,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1980720968214450471","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1702097530354540859":{"id":"1702097530354540859","date":"2023-09-13 23:10:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bookdepth @ONAN_OUS Or nobody wants to reveal the real goods.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1702092383674880328","reply_id":"1702096132506046922","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bookdepth","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":371,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1702097530354540859","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1361408474337349632":{"id":"1361408474337349632","date":"2021-02-15 20:14:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeclanMoloney99 @sajidnizami @bennpeifert @Ksidiii @KrisAbdelmessih Not sure there's a market for a whole 'nother book on options basics+intermediate stuff. Is there?\n\nI feel like Natenberg + @SinclairEuan have it pretty much covered.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1358793442243928069","reply_id":"1361408157264859139","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeclanMoloney99","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1361408474337349632","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1764717811627417771":{"id":"1764717811627417771","date":"2024-03-04 18:21:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod Exception that proves the rule.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1764385249377583333","reply_id":"1764392722482274328","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":933,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1764717811627417771_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1764717811627417771","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1821316216818168291":{"id":"1821316216818168291","date":"2024-08-07 22:43:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount \"I was doing intervals. Yeah, that's the ticket. Intervals...\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1821312455060119640","reply_id":"1821315119911202861","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":214,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1821316216818168291","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1602877078914838528":{"id":"1602877078914838528","date":"2022-12-14 04:04:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602836681748795393","reply_id":"1602836681748795393","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1602877078914838528","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1459623333121576961":{"id":"1459623333121576961","date":"2021-11-13 20:44:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EricOrcadian @robinhanson I didn't even realize it's the same shot!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1459617712238383113","reply_id":"1459622836440469504","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1459623333121576961_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1459623333121576961","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1422289023452676096":{"id":"1422289023452676096","date":"2021-08-02 20:11:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I think about this graph a lot.\n\nBut what I'd really like to see is the same graph without the selection bias of the tech that's near 100% as of today!\n\n@tylercowen @TimHarford and others, any references?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1422289023452676096","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1422289023452676096_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1422289023452676096","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1450995870841729024":{"id":"1450995870841729024","date":"2021-10-21 01:22:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Fitzdaf @Trading_Boxes Whatever trades your strat does, you have to Pnl them. If you Pnl them by simply \"value at expiration\" then your \"mark\" is going to be very high variance. Hence your strat Pnl is going to be very noisy.\n\nDelta hedging, for example, is a noise-reduction technique.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1450962362291290121","reply_id":"1450988798809096192","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Fitzdaf","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1450995870841729024","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1542514288077680647":{"id":"1542514288077680647","date":"2022-06-30 14:23:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@perpetualswaps 3 digits x 2\n\ndum-da-dum, dum-da-dum","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542513064590704642","reply_id":"1542513891183190017","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"perpetualswaps","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1542514288077680647","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1910935049630871596":{"id":"1910935049630871596","date":"2025-04-12 05:56:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Ancient Chinese curse: may you live in a time when the person who has the broad popularity necessary to get elected actually tries to run things.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1910935049630871596","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2514,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1910935049630871596","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1839549000279523379":{"id":"1839549000279523379","date":"2024-09-27 06:13:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Why do Europeans love the flat-bottomed sinks so much? Don't they want stuff to drain?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1839549000279523379","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2755,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1839549000279523379","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1437817073145503746":{"id":"1437817073145503746","date":"2021-09-14 16:34:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3/ One of the founders of my former company loved saying something like:\n\n\"If they made financial markets illegal tomorrow, we'd probably suffer for a while but we'd eventually be fine. We'll just go find something else to trade.\"\n\nI think he was right.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1437817071014801410","reply_id":"1437817072076025857","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1437817073145503746","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1556747565856485377":{"id":"1556747565856485377","date":"2022-08-08 21:01:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Bohinen94 I.e. people who are capital limited not capacity limited.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1556733065279352832","reply_id":"1556747382003417088","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1556747565856485377","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1327109264452640769":{"id":"1327109264452640769","date":"2020-11-13 04:41:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@svrnco Emotion-hedging doesn't work.\n\nFor most people I know, anyway.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1327091559498649600","reply_id":"1327091559498649600","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"svrnco","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1327109264452640769","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1900064741264871504":{"id":"1900064741264871504","date":"2025-03-13 06:01:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin I agree, hoping that's true. Most places aren't tho.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1899924985235243123","reply_id":"1899932321890828619","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":284,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1900064741264871504","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1632937693490601985":{"id":"1632937693490601985","date":"2023-03-07 02:54:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @abiylfoyp 🤣🤣🤣\n\nLet us intone the words...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632893371210448897","reply_id":"1632896212939464704","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":400,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632937693490601985","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1443325099075981312":{"id":"1443325099075981312","date":"2021-09-29 21:21:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@QuantStratTradR @anderpart @therobotjames @lightspringfox @macrocephalopod @volmagorov You've got the artist-in-residence job secured!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443283134116732935","reply_id":"1443323702255493120","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuantStratTradR","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1443325099075981312","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1556708049414266880":{"id":"1556708049414266880","date":"2022-08-08 18:24:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@reubbr Indeed. It's Gresham's law for memes and thinking tools.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1556676656378441728","reply_id":"1556700535666880513","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"reubbr","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1556708049414266880","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1662839134472511493":{"id":"1662839134472511493","date":"2023-05-28 15:11:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano Those look to be Ichimoku clouds behind it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1662838839000416256","reply_id":"1662838839000416256","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":278,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1662839134472511493","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1847974747935531307":{"id":"1847974747935531307","date":"2024-10-20 12:14:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@anondot11 It's great!\n\nIf you don't care about bleeding edge performance, and you don't need a ton of specialized libraries, it's light years ahead of everything else I've used.\n\nAnd it *is* quite performant anyway. Just not raw C-level, unless you do very ugly things.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847958383292301441","reply_id":"1847971740829237648","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"anondot11","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":240,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847974747935531307","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1294115462280671232":{"id":"1294115462280671232","date":"2020-08-14 03:35:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DavidTaggart @KrisAbdelmessih The thing I object to most is the idea that \"anyone\" can start a business. That is manifestly not true. Most people have absolutely no business doing so.\n\nThere exists today a fetishization of startups. People like the *idea* of being a founder more than being a founder.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1294033718210752514","reply_id":"1294070156990144513","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DavidTaggart","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1294115462280671232","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1794142710707990662":{"id":"1794142710707990662","date":"2024-05-24 23:05:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NickADobos A lot of it is the view-maximizing pandering. He's sanded himself down to being a vessel of the world's collective id.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1794000192959828206","reply_id":"1794142053158527283","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"NickADobos","likes":30,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2841,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1794142710707990662","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1382693310326784009":{"id":"1382693310326784009","date":"2021-04-15 13:52:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@name49219231 Phil:\n- As a teenager, definitely Zen And The Art Of Motorcycle Maintenance.\n- Peter Godfrey Smiths' Theory And Reality is really good.\n- More recently, Kolyma Stories by Varlam Shalamov.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"1382691874746548237","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeliciousSoma84","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382693310326784009","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1761183448637788234":{"id":"1761183448637788234","date":"2024-02-24 00:17:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I'm really enjoying that a past-his-prime Jack Sock is taking scalps from top 5 players after a few months of playing pickleball fulltime.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1761183448637788234","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2775,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1761183448637788234","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1732821307778343202":{"id":"1732821307778343202","date":"2023-12-07 17:56:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OGTaylorB Argument: even schools in good districts are systematically destroying any hope of finding that with the way they go about it.\n\nKids see through it all. The teachers don't want to be there either, going through the motions, ticking boxes.\n\nThere's no beauty. Just cynicism.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1732803038161805516","reply_id":"1732820730897965510","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OGTaylorB","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":255,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1732821307778343202","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1846735692094919018":{"id":"1846735692094919018","date":"2024-10-17 02:11:14","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"@salr_nyc someone once told me that the main thing poker and trading have to do with each other is being willing to sit down and do incredibly boring things all day for edge.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1846721681697706421","reply_id":"1846721681697706421","quote_id":"1846867204739875218","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"salr_nyc","likes":292,"retweets":7,"replies":13,"quotes":3,"views":30007,"bookmarks":32,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1846735692094919018"},"1509628572394143744":{"id":"1509628572394143744","date":"2022-03-31 20:27:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@afekz @therobotjames Valid point.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1509626059154935808","reply_id":"1509628182583988232","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"afekz","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1509628572394143744","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1937399039231668424":{"id":"1937399039231668424","date":"2025-06-24 06:35:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"From the comments, it seems this part isn't obvious so I'll say it explicitly:\n\nFinance and trading are incredibly positive-sum, and you'd have to be pretty uninformed to believe otherwise.\n\n(with the exception of the part that targets retail day-trading gamblers)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1937399039231668424","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":208,"retweets":7,"replies":9,"quotes":2,"views":37875,"bookmarks":71,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1937399039231668424","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1532164342451318785":{"id":"1532164342451318785","date":"2022-06-02 00:57:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EMinflationista @KrisAbdelmessih If it's any consolation, almost all of those personality tests (including Myers Briggs) are just modern phrenology.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1531739423313784832","reply_id":"1532163731358195712","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EMinflationista","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1532164342451318785","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1397640422273392641":{"id":"1397640422273392641","date":"2021-05-26 19:46:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@volmagorov @RockshotJ 🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1397621423250673665","reply_id":"1397636345863024654","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"volmagorov","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1397640422273392641","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1782622326347174248":{"id":"1782622326347174248","date":"2024-04-23 04:07:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nearcyan Somewhere Rich Sutton is cackling gleefully.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1782619436035510443","reply_id":"1782619436035510443","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nearcyan","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":838,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1782622326347174248","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1622722309894307842":{"id":"1622722309894307842","date":"2023-02-06 22:22:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Greatest piece of wisdom you've received *and internalized* from a TV show?\n\nFor me it's Omar.\n\n\"Money ain't got no owners. Only spenders.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1622722309894307842","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":49,"retweets":1,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":8996,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1622722309894307842","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1469087148036947971":{"id":"1469087148036947971","date":"2021-12-09 23:30:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mattyglesias Everybody scurrying around trying to find increasingly smoking guns for the last one, while they're busy not-so-quietly setting up the next one - the one that's actually going to work.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1469085556525211654","reply_id":"1469085556525211654","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mattyglesias","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1469087148036947971","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1751288881075368325":{"id":"1751288881075368325","date":"2024-01-27 16:59:41","author":"Lars Doucet","handle":"larsiusprime","text":"Needed a typing app for my daughter. Annoyed by janky web apps.\n\nLogged on steam. Entered “typing” in search.\n\nFirst hit: Typing Land. It’s delightful.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1751288881075368325","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1751315624775557254","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":2,"views":6007,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/larsiusprime/status/1751288881075368325"},"1694023167906394575":{"id":"1694023167906394575","date":"2023-08-22 16:26:11","author":"Matt Shumer","handle":"mattshumer_","text":"Here is probably the most useful GPT-4 prompt I've written.\n\nUse it to you help make engineering decisions in unfamiliar territory:\n\n---\nYou are an engineering wizard, experienced at solving complex problems across various disciplines. Your knowledge is both wide and deep. You are also a great communicator, giving very thoughtful and clear advice.\n\nYou do so in this format, thinking through the challenges you are facing, then proposing multiple solutions, then reviewing each solution, looking for issues or possible improvements, coming up with a possible new and better solution (you can combine ideas from the other solutions, bring in new ideas, etc.), then giving a final recommendation:\n\n```\n## Problem Overview\n$problem_overview\n\n## Challenges\n$challenges\n\n## Solution 1\n$solution_1\n\n## Solution 2\n$solution_2\n\n## Solution 3\n$solution_3\n\n## Analysis\n\n### Solution 1 Analysis\n$solution_1_analysis\n\n### Solution 2 Analysis\n$solution_2_analysis\n\n### Solution 3 Analysis\n$solution_3_analysis\n\n## Additional Possible Solution\n$additional_possible_solution\n\n## Recommendation\n$recommendation\n```\n\nEach section (Problem Overview, Challenges, Solution 1, Solution 2, Solution 3, Solution 1 Analysis, Solution 2 Analysis, Solution 3 Analysis, Additional Possible Solution, and Recommendation) should be incredibly thoughtful, comprising at a minimum, four sentences of thinking.\n---","hashtags":[],"conv":"1694023167906394575","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1694097610192339101","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6113,"retweets":649,"replies":146,"quotes":53,"views":1682041,"bookmarks":14603,"media":["1694023167906394575_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mattshumer_/status/1694023167906394575"},"1300200590211866624":{"id":"1300200590211866624","date":"2020-08-30 22:35:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ksidiii Generalizing, a row's weight should be proportional to how relevant you believe that piece of data is to your strat.\n\nFor example, most strats should underweight Nov 8 2016. Not a representative day.\n\nEven more true when looking at tick-by-tick data.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1300190303203340289","reply_id":"1300190303203340289","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Ksidiii","likes":8,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1300200590211866624","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1867861104505803169":{"id":"1867861104505803169","date":"2024-12-14 09:16:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Utilitarianism is a perfect example of the adage that all self-consistent philosophies are inherently monstrous.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1867861104505803169","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":4048,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1867861104505803169","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1719731018998198538":{"id":"1719731018998198538","date":"2023-11-01 15:00:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@asymmetricinfo Uber","hashtags":[],"conv":"1719730063489339743","reply_id":"1719730063489339743","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"asymmetricinfo","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":844,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1719731018998198538","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1527405295399587843":{"id":"1527405295399587843","date":"2022-05-19 21:46:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cory_eth @0xdoug Agree, this is entirely sensible.\n\nWasn't saying that there aren't very usable solutions, just that there are UX and conventions to build and improve.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1527401670841356293","reply_id":"1527404183581667329","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"corygabrielsen","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1527405295399587843","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1540380600137154561":{"id":"1540380600137154561","date":"2022-06-24 17:05:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@paulg Over half the people in state prisons are there for violent crime.\n\nhttps://www.prisonpolicy.org/reports/pie2022.html","hashtags":[],"conv":"1540379719396478976","reply_id":"1540379719396478976","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"paulg","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1540380600137154561","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1608989712420835329":{"id":"1608989712420835329","date":"2022-12-31 00:53:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xt0d0 Neural nyet. Nice!\n\nFWIW I'm super bullish on AI. But most takes I see are impressively ill-informed IMO.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1608946310073421824","reply_id":"1608982351358611456","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xt0d0","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":149,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1608989712420835329","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1602144517565530112":{"id":"1602144517565530112","date":"2022-12-12 03:33:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Well, I sure as heck wasn't expecting this much response.\n\nTo clarify, I loved early Lex. Talking with Ian Goodfellow for an hour? Sign me up!\n\nTalking to a professional opinion-haver and attention-getter for 8 hours? Not so much.\n\nJust my opinion. YMMV.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602144517565530112","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":30,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1602144517565530112","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1300429119394463746":{"id":"1300429119394463746","date":"2020-08-31 13:43:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Just woke up from a dream where I invented an optimization technique. Asking #fintwit to tell me if it exists already.\n\n1/4","hashtags":["fintwit"],"conv":"1300429119394463746","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1300429119394463746","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1197359475188887552":{"id":"1197359475188887552","date":"2019-11-21 03:41:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cmhrrs @mileskimball @Noahpinion Some of the cited papers have N = 4 and N = 8 sample sizes.\n\nColor me skeptical.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1196796765527142400","reply_id":"1197356390777577472","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"cmhrrs","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1197359475188887552","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1296248233279201280":{"id":"1296248233279201280","date":"2020-08-20 00:50:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mattyglesias @mattyglesias in 2025: Phew, good thing we've got term limits. Especially after the insanity of Trump's 2020 re-election.\n\nTerm limits forced Republicans to nominate Don Jr instead of him, and he never had a shot against AOC.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1296244967489363968","reply_id":"1296245454473134081","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mattyglesias","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1296248233279201280","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1892113068521378242":{"id":"1892113068521378242","date":"2025-02-19 07:24:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EgeErdil2 Assorted thoughts:\n\n1. What causes spreads to shrink?\n\nI suspect it's a delicate feedback loop.\n\nLowering fees, better tech, reducing regulatory barriers/capture, increased wealth. All this causing increased volume, which in turn feeds back onto the other factors.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1891959616969318465","reply_id":"1891959690382189002","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EgeErdil2","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1644,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1892113068521378242","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1933433345557377421":{"id":"1933433345557377421","date":"2025-06-13 07:56:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tmychow Google tried this. Failed.\nDeepMind tried this. Failed.\n\nTech companies are just not setup for this to succeed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1933250428772495659","reply_id":"1933250428772495659","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tmychow","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":534,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1933433345557377421","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1600696334150905856":{"id":"1600696334150905856","date":"2022-12-08 03:38:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Jailbreaking ChatGPT has gone from difficult and exciting to easy and boring in about 96 hours.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1600696334150905856","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1600696334150905856","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1630604144297013252":{"id":"1630604144297013252","date":"2023-02-28 16:21:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AnthonyLeeZhang Getting accurate greeks needs more resolution. \n\nDelta and gamma you only need one tree.\nVega you do need two trees.\n\nOf course there are lots of pricing tricks to go fast for trading. Local linear/quadratic adjustments, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1630433344058957824","reply_id":"1630599355664306178","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alz_zyd_","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":191,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1630604144297013252","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1531769405226356736":{"id":"1531769405226356736","date":"2022-05-31 22:47:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@azidynamics @choffstein @therobotjames I did, briefly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1531739423313784832","reply_id":"1531766875042066432","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"zimuth","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1531769405226356736","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1896125182647087490":{"id":"1896125182647087490","date":"2025-03-02 09:07:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Unforgiven (1992)\n\nNo words.\n\nhttps://youtu.be/DUj5YvFgyK4?si=ohwUA-s68julw5OK&t=255\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yS647rolyiA","hashtags":[],"conv":"1896125163172966823","reply_id":"1896125180080169004","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1897,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1896125182647087490","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1990844623564996692":{"id":"1990844623564996692","date":"2025-11-18 18:08:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Older Czechs on trams and buses *really* need to hear this.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1990844623564996692","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":58,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":25232,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1990844623564996692","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1239930552653758464":{"id":"1239930552653758464","date":"2020-03-17 15:04:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @znoujaim @SqueezeMetrics One thing I learned in 2008:\n\nTrading in times like this is analogous to meatball surgery in wartime MASH units. Just do the basics and do them well.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1239927063278223362","reply_id":"1239928716115009539","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1239930552653758464","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1897587224046100592":{"id":"1897587224046100592","date":"2025-03-06 09:57:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"- See nice Arxiv paper title.\n- Read abstract, still interesting.\n- Read intro still interesting.\n- Flip to page 2, \"We consider a filtered probability space (Ω, G, G, P) with complete and right-continuous filtration G = (Gt)0≤t≤1 assuming G1 = G.\"\n- Pages of integrals.\n\nSigh.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1897587224046100592","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3140,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1897587224046100592","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1897557608203944439":{"id":"1897557608203944439","date":"2025-03-06 07:59:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It seems clear we've become a post-self-consistency society.\n\n- Back before the Internet, knowing and remembering facts was valuable.\n- Now you can easily look anything up. Remembering things is devalued.\n\nThe best modern politicians understand and exploit this.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1897557608203944439","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":113,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":9069,"bookmarks":25,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1897557608203944439","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1547686200277839873":{"id":"1547686200277839873","date":"2022-07-14 20:55:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT Thorium reactors (a) recycle their own waste, and (b) half-lives of the waste is measured in hundreds of years, not 10s of thousands.\n\nhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thorium_fuel_cycle","hashtags":[],"conv":"1547679107776802819","reply_id":"1547685119497973767","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1547686200277839873","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2016789193913966976":{"id":"2016789193913966976","date":"2026-01-29 08:23:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Machine learning:\n\nIf you get good enough at guessing, you don't need to know anything.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2016789193913966976","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":148,"retweets":3,"replies":8,"quotes":3,"views":9116,"bookmarks":23,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2016789193913966976","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1226912774455885840":{"id":"1226912774455885840","date":"2020-02-10 16:56:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jsoloff @WayneHimelsein I'm loving combing through 80s movies to watch with my kids. Tron, Real Genius, Ferris Bueller, Dirty Rotten Scoundrels. The list seems endless.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1226899165008936961","reply_id":"1226911574520037376","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jsoloff","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1226912774455885840","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1546961600094998528":{"id":"1546961600094998528","date":"2022-07-12 20:56:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Start with getting them to define \"down markets\".\n\nDown recently?\nDown a lot from ATHs?\nGoing down in the future? <--- Get short, end of presentation","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546961600094998528","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":23,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546961600094998528","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1511446528983928832":{"id":"1511446528983928832","date":"2022-04-05 20:51:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite Ah yes. Residential rentals of unique dwellings. Well known to be highly scalable, that business.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1511426946822979589","reply_id":"1511426946822979589","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1511446528983928832","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1636481326965735425":{"id":"1636481326965735425","date":"2023-03-16 21:35:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Useful heuristic: when you see a company you've never heard of called \"The [X] Group\" and X is a last name, it's a group of one.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1636481326965735425","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":4104,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1636481326965735425","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1182111068467818496":{"id":"1182111068467818496","date":"2019-10-10 01:50:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BeingHorizontal @technology Yeah, though their website strongly implies they're also going to be doing strat consulting for external clients.\n\nAin't no one going to open up the skirt to someone who's also competing with them, so color me skeptical.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1182030167373275136","reply_id":"1182095226648707072","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BeingHorizontal","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1182111068467818496","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1443362855516999682":{"id":"1443362855516999682","date":"2021-09-29 23:51:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @0xdoug Because 0.9 isn't expressible as a finite sum of powers of 2.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443320674576130055","reply_id":"1443361255184556032","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1443362855516999682","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1382729703077736450":{"id":"1382729703077736450","date":"2021-04-15 16:17:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ArieMGA As a professional MM, I honestly have no idea. I've certainly lost >>$1mm on a trade.\n\nAs for PA trading, probably ~5% or so.\n\nI'd said before that right/wrong isn't as useful a way to think as \"What is the correct position I should be holding now?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"1382728853563576323","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ArieMGA","likes":5,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382729703077736450","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1602134953365340167":{"id":"1602134953365340167","date":"2022-12-12 02:55:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SteppenwolfSir I loved listening to him for the first couple of years.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1601762710911602689","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1602134953365340167","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1471522472491061253":{"id":"1471522472491061253","date":"2021-12-16 16:47:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @nope_its_lily @therobotjames @robertmartin88 @thodoha @lightspringfox @saeedamenfx @0xdoug He's too busy swapping 🐊 these days...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471518304393220098","reply_id":"1471522240197971975","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471522472491061253","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1550198972819521536":{"id":"1550198972819521536","date":"2022-07-21 19:20:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@karpouzidi I have a chapter about risk, but I don't get into details on order types. My objection to the stop order types isn't a risk one, to be clear, it's an execution-quality one.\n\nBut it *also* happens that people use this bad order type to implement suboptimal risk decision-making!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1549963630610829314","reply_id":"1550198008997879809","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"turbofish_pk","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1550198972819521536","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1633934274226421761":{"id":"1633934274226421761","date":"2023-03-09 20:54:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"18/ So what our solution does, when a proof is run, is produce a cryptographic receipt for every customer of the exchange.\n\nThis is a message from the exchange to the customer saying “this is what we think we owe you, and you alone.”","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633934250620891136","reply_id":"1633934272976547840","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2383,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633934274226421761","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1597694608930091009":{"id":"1597694608930091009","date":"2022-11-29 20:50:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@beniduboss It's *a* way... :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597693895047286785","reply_id":"1597693895047286785","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"beniduboss","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597694608930091009","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1911684753855557879":{"id":"1911684753855557879","date":"2025-04-14 07:35:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I wonder when the White House is going to realize China's screening their calls.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1911684753855557879","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2229,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1911684753855557879","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1592364604147249152":{"id":"1592364604147249152","date":"2022-11-15 03:51:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @sadgirlmeag You're in SD and you didn't come say hi?\nWhere's the love... 🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1592336381866840065","reply_id":"1592349346871537664","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1592364604147249152","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1927739326034588138":{"id":"1927739326034588138","date":"2025-05-28 14:50:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nayshins Ask the propellerheads deep underground in Switzerland.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1927737582168748200","reply_id":"1927739134711386354","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nayshins","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":836,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1927739326034588138","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1597051037117870081":{"id":"1597051037117870081","date":"2022-11-28 02:13:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount I do when they help.\nBut it's not cool to be forced to write them.\nSo much boilerplate (I'm looking right at you Java).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597036554790506498","reply_id":"1597050574478151680","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597051037117870081","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1542684842923413504":{"id":"1542684842923413504","date":"2022-07-01 01:41:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Last week I told my kids I was approaching 10k followers. Response: \"You? Why?\"\n\nKids keep you grounded.\n\nStill, I want to do something to celebrate, so I decided that once I hit 10k I'm going to release some new stuff I've done.\n\nWarning: might be crap, caveat emptor...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542684842923413504","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":101,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1542684842923413504","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1491135475834580992":{"id":"1491135475834580992","date":"2022-02-08 19:42:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NotQuiteMidlife Just cuz I enjoy arguing: those are nice safety features, but how many micromorts do they save?\n\nCompare this to other risky behavior we all take: jaywalking, drinking alcohol, etc. Heck, how many do they save relative to driving 5mph slower everywhere?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1491129222701608960","reply_id":"1491134765533392900","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuiteMidlife","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1491135475834580992","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1919714629669773787":{"id":"1919714629669773787","date":"2025-05-06 11:23:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Probably a bit of a niche post, but Mostafa Asal needs to get a lifetime ban from professional squash.\n\nI've never seen such egregious, calculated and consistent cheating.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1919714629669773787","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3410,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1919714629669773787","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2068712623940452847":{"id":"2068712623940452847","date":"2026-06-21 15:08:19","author":"kristin eberth","handle":"kristinelizx","text":"this is such bad juju, building a fake dupe site and getting creators to pretend to make bank trading on it \n\ngrowth shortcuts like this may feel clever in the moment but they lead nowhere good","hashtags":[],"conv":"2068712623940452847","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2069085763422068804","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":277,"retweets":4,"replies":12,"quotes":11,"views":148980,"bookmarks":52,"media":["2068712623940452847_1.jpg","2068712623940452847_2.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/kristinelizx/status/2068712623940452847"},"1560743071137992704":{"id":"1560743071137992704","date":"2022-08-19 21:38:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Viridian_Hawk Let's call it \"conserving energy\". Yes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1560722440249954304","reply_id":"1560732805079961601","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Viridian_Hawk","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1560743071137992704_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1560743071137992704","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1591083425745993729":{"id":"1591083425745993729","date":"2022-11-11 15:00:24","author":"Jessica Nutt","handle":"JessicaNutt96","text":"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1591083425745993729","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1591090718118150145","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":899,"retweets":106,"replies":12,"quotes":29,"views":0,"bookmarks":289,"media":["1591083425745993729_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/JessicaNutt96/status/1591083425745993729"},"1463968580983156774":{"id":"1463968580983156774","date":"2021-11-25 20:31:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Sg423Sg Yes it has.\n\nBut IMO this is a false dichotomy. Yes leadership is something you do. But it's crazy to think you *couldn't* put together a curriculum with lots of practical experiential components that produces great leaders with higher-than-alternatives probability.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1463963849342677035","reply_id":"1463968150542766082","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Sg423Sg","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1463968580983156774","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1850841501577662583":{"id":"1850841501577662583","date":"2024-10-28 10:06:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"C++ is the Ptolemaic view of the universe rn.\n\nThe solution is always more epicycles on top of epicycles.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1850841501577662583","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2964,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1850841501577662583_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1850841501577662583","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1912956767920664834":{"id":"1912956767920664834","date":"2025-04-17 19:50:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Can confirm. Masters in quant finance on a resume is an auto-reject unless there's something else that's truly spectacular.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1912956767920664834","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":546,"retweets":16,"replies":24,"quotes":2,"views":126075,"bookmarks":209,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1912956767920664834","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1513567204918370316":{"id":"1513567204918370316","date":"2022-04-11 17:18:37","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"I am literally begging you to spend your 20s reading anything but this airport business section self help bullshit.\n\nRead fiction, non-fiction, choose your own fucking adventure, I don’t care, just don’t needlessly poison your mind like this.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1513567204918370316","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1513636955233218565","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1806,"retweets":139,"replies":105,"quotes":25,"views":0,"bookmarks":83,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1513567204918370316"},"1366168880733851650":{"id":"1366168880733851650","date":"2021-02-28 23:30:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SoccerMomTrades @HF_Trader I look like a medieval Italian knight.\n\nUm, thanks? I think? 😆","hashtags":[],"conv":"1366149749817151489","reply_id":"1366151827448856580","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SoccerMomTrades","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1366168880733851650","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1352112216653275136":{"id":"1352112216653275136","date":"2021-01-21 04:34:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 @bennpeifert @JessicaNutt96 Every stoch vol model w/o jumps that I've seen butchers even one simple vol curve.\n\nDon't even try a whole surface.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1352069470903181313","reply_id":"1352111532566581251","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1352112216653275136","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1883591444881121713":{"id":"1883591444881121713","date":"2025-01-26 19:02:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@salr_nyc @bennpeifert And people paid 10x wider spreads.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1883435752652148763","reply_id":"1883531825001459808","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"salr_nyc","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":824,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1883591444881121713","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1532855777878106112":{"id":"1532855777878106112","date":"2022-06-03 22:44:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @brrrzooka @NotQuiteMidlife @GrandTokamak Depends on the story you can tell (and whether it can be verified, reference checking should be a big deal in any quality process). 6mo is right at that borderline I think, but certainly two sub 1 year stints is much worse than one 6mo stint.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1484526330305605634","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1532855777878106112","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1948002661090877631":{"id":"1948002661090877631","date":"2025-07-23 12:50:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"As predicted.\n\nhttps://m.economictimes.com/markets/stocks/news/sebi-shares-jane-street-probe-details-with-sec/amp_articleshow/122847615.cms","hashtags":[],"conv":"1948002661090877631","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":118,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":23485,"bookmarks":42,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1948002661090877631","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1384595714487971843":{"id":"1384595714487971843","date":"2021-04-20 19:51:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jam_croissant @sidprabhu @jimduey Support and resistance levels?\n\nHow do you know this?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1384501288478650368","reply_id":"1384594726528163846","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jam_croissant","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1384595714487971843","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1595801665231273984":{"id":"1595801665231273984","date":"2022-11-24 15:29:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 I guess. Sounds soul-destroying tho.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595799254437462016","reply_id":"1595801057208152065","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1595801665231273984","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2064947754262995322":{"id":"2064947754262995322","date":"2026-06-11 05:48:04","author":"Linus Mixson","handle":"LinusMixson","text":"What are ape proposing Grug do with big stick that can smack ape over head? Better no ape have stick than bad ape have stick.\n\nEssentially all technology, ever, has been able to be put to malevolent (lethal, more often than not) use. Mythos can advise on at-home bioweapons — okay, well, you need glassware to make those. Should that be available only if you clear a classifier? What about autoclaves? Definitely; gate it. Hmm… you can use a pressure cooker as a makeshit autoclave. Better control those too. In fact — everything on Amazon, behind the classifier. Who knows what people might be getting up to with it?\n\nWe have other tools for dealing with antisocial behavior. Interestingly, Anthropic gets snitty about facilitating the demands of the most successful prosocial technology in history, the state, seemingly believing that the power to make decisions of life and death should rest with a private corporation instead.\n\nI, however, am of the opinion that Anthropic should do its job (providing computing services) and let the State do its job (controlling violent criminals).","hashtags":[],"conv":"2064947754262995322","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2064989432273395911","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":4198,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/LinusMixson/status/2064947754262995322"},"1388129877384040449":{"id":"1388129877384040449","date":"2021-04-30 13:55:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Once you see this you can't un-see it.\n\nAnd then you start seeing it basically everywhere in private markets.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1388129877384040449","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1388129877384040449","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1563905688027353088":{"id":"1563905688027353088","date":"2022-08-28 15:05:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ALBACapMgmt When VCs started giving them a lot of money to code.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1563905513938907138","reply_id":"1563905513938907138","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ALBACapMgmt","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1563905688027353088","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1857896214072582330":{"id":"1857896214072582330","date":"2024-11-16 21:19:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @__paleologo @moreproteinbars @itsmartingale @macrocephalopod Arguably at every point...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1857809844146757924","reply_id":"1857895411811495980","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1450,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1857896214072582330","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1257515818096738304":{"id":"1257515818096738304","date":"2020-05-05 03:41:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ReformedTrader Picking managers with alpha is beset by massive adverse selection (i.e. why would they be seeking *your* investment).\n\nThere's a reason you can't just knock on Jim's door and buy into Medallion...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1257514880594112512","reply_id":"1257514880594112512","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ReformedTrader","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1257515818096738304","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1803484536698970339":{"id":"1803484536698970339","date":"2024-06-19 17:46:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"No one:\n\nAbsolutely no one:\n\nEvery AI researcher: AGI is incredibly dangerous and no one should build it. Except ME. I can do it safely.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1803484536698970339","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2064449780831412605","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":833,"retweets":55,"replies":10,"quotes":7,"views":62403,"bookmarks":42,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1803484536698970339","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1524195799235653632":{"id":"1524195799235653632","date":"2022-05-11 01:12:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@web3ally @wilburforce_ @LanrayIge And the fact that prediction markets haven't taken off is prima facie evidence that there aren't many people who need to hedge.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1524020028798119942","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1524195799235653632","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1298432336564953088":{"id":"1298432336564953088","date":"2020-08-26 01:29:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@davidasinclair Reminds of my 9 year old when he did something he knows he shouldn't have:\n\nMe: \"Did you think about what you did?\"\n\nKid: \"I don't want to.\"\n\n\"Try.\"\n\n\"I forgot.\"\n\n\"So how do we stop it happening again?\"\n\n\"I dunno...\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1298431364723859456","reply_id":"1298431364723859456","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"davidasinclair","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1298432336564953088","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1957412077649248713":{"id":"1957412077649248713","date":"2025-08-18 11:59:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TealFinance Fine if kept small.\n\nBad if it gets large enough that it's a societal *thing*.\n\nIMO it's already big enough to be clearly bad.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957390814113308717","reply_id":"1957411554200072392","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TealFinance","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1529,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1957412077649248713","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1800245456909545648":{"id":"1800245456909545648","date":"2024-06-10 19:15:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ByrneHobart Gotta get that codeshare revenue...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1800221304894939247","reply_id":"1800221304894939247","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ByrneHobart","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":170,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1800245456909545648","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1563901986038116354":{"id":"1563901986038116354","date":"2022-08-28 14:51:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MagnusMacro @pauleluard Duolingo is a great option if you want to LARP at learning a new language.\n\nIf you *actually* want to learn one, find an online teacher. Zoom 3x per week. It works.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1563899269408608258","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1563901986038116354","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1539650746789949440":{"id":"1539650746789949440","date":"2022-06-22 16:45:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@drunkengrass 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1539631254542307328","reply_id":"1539649817076703232","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"drunkengrass","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1539650746789949440","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1537292144494268418":{"id":"1537292144494268418","date":"2022-06-16 04:33:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano @be20684347 @theemilyaccount @bookdepth https://www.golfchannel.com/news/he-just-did-not-care-player-cards-202-us-amateur-qualifier","hashtags":[],"conv":"1537219779450261504","reply_id":"1537291946489786369","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1537292144494268418","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2019792044051337378":{"id":"2019792044051337378","date":"2026-02-06 15:15:23","author":"Shakeel","handle":"ShakeelHashim","text":"RT @ShakeelHashim: There is a section in this where @dwarkesh_sp absolutely runs rings around Elon's understanding of alignment and the like.\n\nIt's very revealing — left with the impression that Elon really doesn't know what he's talking about.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2019792044051337378","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2019462276378472549","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":16,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ShakeelHashim/status/2019792044051337378"},"1719485152798163215":{"id":"1719485152798163215","date":"2023-10-31 22:43:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The difference between first world countries and third world countries is largely that we managed to institutionalize our political corruption.\n\nTo be clear, this *is* progress but let's not kid ourselves about what it is.\n\n@wagieeacc is 100% right.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1719485152798163215","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":40,"retweets":5,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":8609,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1719485152798163215","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1847618333790589281":{"id":"1847618333790589281","date":"2024-10-19 12:38:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@matheart1 If you're into grimness:\n\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Independent-People-Halldor-Laxness/dp/0679767924","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847610792113316169","reply_id":"1847617847130018140","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"llm_kv","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":866,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847618333790589281","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1387589634901692420":{"id":"1387589634901692420","date":"2021-04-29 02:08:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@parity_account @n55939491957681 @theemilyaccount Especially if you're making money.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1387555181961924614","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1387589634901692420","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1548110266251915265":{"id":"1548110266251915265","date":"2022-07-16 01:00:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pmontu33 @therobotjames @ScottPh77711570 @TCK_JRubano Datapoint: when I had restrictions on PA trading I would \"trade\" on one day of the year (Dec 29th) for around 15 minutes. Rebal retirement portfolios.\n\nNow that I can do what I want, I still only trade my PA 15mins a year.\n\nIf you're not doing it for a living it's not +EV to do.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548007648007634944","reply_id":"1548108920551395331","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pmontu33","likes":16,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1548110266251915265","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1501785697669173248":{"id":"1501785697669173248","date":"2022-03-10 05:03:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @FREAK0NAUT @be20684347 @M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames There are a few things that come to mind but it would be helpful to see some examples of what outputs you'd like to see given some inputs.\n\nOr maybe: what's wrong with ||A-B||_Frob as a standard starting point?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501785697669173248","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1742615701393899881":{"id":"1742615701393899881","date":"2024-01-03 18:35:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's a bit surprising that proof of personhood doesn't have more broad-based support.\n\nMaybe it's still just very early.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1742615701393899881","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2272,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1742615701393899881","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1943310083468964062":{"id":"1943310083468964062","date":"2025-07-10 14:03:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolSignals What about the massive technology, capital, marketdata, risk, institutional knowledge, etc that junior MM also gets?\n\nI know I'm not going to convince you. I'm trying to influence the marginal reader to avoid wasting their time and money.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943280522756591979","reply_id":"1943305864598684044","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolSignals","likes":22,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2614,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1943310083468964062","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1397635006239887361":{"id":"1397635006239887361","date":"2021-05-26 19:25:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RockshotJ @volmagorov Or Kac","hashtags":[],"conv":"1397621423250673665","reply_id":"1397629588424036356","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RockshotJ","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1397635006239887361","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1522800993259249665":{"id":"1522800993259249665","date":"2022-05-07 04:50:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"p. 49: \"Sophistication and specialization, caracteristic of most of the Roman world, were fine, as long as they worked: Romans bought their pots form professional potters, and bought their defense from professional soliders...\n\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Fall-Rome-End-Civilization/dp/0192807285","hashtags":[],"conv":"1522800993259249665","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":["1522800993259249665_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1522800993259249665","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1415484038547050500":{"id":"1415484038547050500","date":"2021-07-15 01:31:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Sg423Sg Not much on resources. There are bad ways of doing SBI, no question.\n\nWhen I do training on this, what I remind people is that your first question (and their first answer) are just noise. The interesting stuff happens after you get them out of their \"opening book\" prep.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"1415478728503726080","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Sg423Sg","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415484038547050500","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2066554125706551684":{"id":"2066554125706551684","date":"2026-06-15 16:11:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"RT @AgustinLebron3: @0x_gkn 1. Hit. More. Balls.\n\n2. Implement this:\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Practice-Manual-Ultimate-Guide-Golfers/dp/1507723172\n\n3. If you're seeing an instructor and they average more than 10 words per minute, stop seeing them. Like all sports, golf is felt, not learned verbally.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2066554125706551684","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2066554099823481233","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["2066554125706551684_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2066554125706551684","type":"retweet","issues":[]},"1847958383292301441":{"id":"1847958383292301441","date":"2024-10-20 11:09:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Ok hear me out.\n\nC, but with true strings, a module system, immutable values, discriminated unions, and exhaustive switch statements.\n\nWho's in?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847958383292301441","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":1,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":5422,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847958383292301441","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1942451710099660895":{"id":"1942451710099660895","date":"2025-07-08 05:12:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sersabr @salr_nyc @SBF_FTX He fooled me like everyone else.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482748235496058880","reply_id":"1942409608200331685","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sersabr","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":440,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942451710099660895","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1698820096599498757":{"id":"1698820096599498757","date":"2023-09-04 22:07:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Alcaraz is pure box office right now. Every match there are 3 or 4 shots that you're sure no one else in history could have gotten to, thought of, and pulled off.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1698820096599498757","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2130,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1698820096599498757","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1986828054346203397":{"id":"1986828054346203397","date":"2025-11-07 16:08:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xpostrich It's pretty much \"you had one job\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1986698316906963377","reply_id":"1986821269988249965","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xpostrich","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":499,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1986828054346203397","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1491618291722326018":{"id":"1491618291722326018","date":"2022-02-10 03:41:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames But 2008 tho.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1491617979091808256","reply_id":"1491617979091808256","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1491618291722326018","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1450620344654385152":{"id":"1450620344654385152","date":"2021-10-20 00:30:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ksidiii @KrisAbdelmessih One time there was this Merrill stock loan guy...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1450601148386213890","reply_id":"1450615972113653761","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Ksidiii","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1450620344654385152","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1478795169403076609":{"id":"1478795169403076609","date":"2022-01-05 18:26:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano @drewg__ On pale nimbus of course.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1478770831333462019","reply_id":"1478772367178579969","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1478795169403076609","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1968371449389006877":{"id":"1968371449389006877","date":"2025-09-17 17:48:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"TFW you're reading an academic trading paper that talks about size-weighted mid as if it's some crucially alpha-containing input feature. 🤦‍♂️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1968371449389006877","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1970539148160454870","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":81,"retweets":1,"replies":13,"quotes":1,"views":31130,"bookmarks":29,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1968371449389006877","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1983185511587230107":{"id":"1983185511587230107","date":"2025-10-28 14:54:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Now I'm no mathematician, but $130b sure doesn't sound like $500b, even for large values of $130b.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1983185511587230107","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":207,"retweets":5,"replies":13,"quotes":2,"views":19067,"bookmarks":13,"media":["1983185511587230107_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1983185511587230107","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1437194988207554566":{"id":"1437194988207554566","date":"2021-09-12 23:22:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @darjohn25 @FranklinLynam @FreyaHolmer Wolfram is too enamored with the sound of his own brain and too concerned about his epitaph to be a useful teacher.\n\nSuper interesting to read and consider, mind you.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1436696408506212353","reply_id":"1437193316202811397","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1437194988207554566","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1480358939443097601":{"id":"1480358939443097601","date":"2022-01-10 02:00:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert Gotta start working on the options trader bingo card.\n\n\"Sell-side research note makes claim which shows they don't understand what they cover.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1480353413825118209","reply_id":"1480353413825118209","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1480358939443097601","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1512206519571341315":{"id":"1512206519571341315","date":"2022-04-07 23:11:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount FIGJAM gonna have to FIGJAM from his palatial Rancho Santa Fe estate this year.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1512151909683142656","reply_id":"1512151909683142656","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1512206519571341315","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1647658908494991360":{"id":"1647658908494991360","date":"2023-04-16 17:51:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Makes a real difference\" should usually be read as \"Makes no meaningful difference\".\n\nIf you have to use the qualifier...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1647658908494991360","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2178,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1647658908494991360","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1601303440696963073":{"id":"1601303440696963073","date":"2022-12-09 19:51:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano Thought experiment: what would meaningful evaluation look like if you allowed them to use LLMs?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1601298107634835456","reply_id":"1601302735693176833","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1601303440696963073","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1533302061965537280":{"id":"1533302061965537280","date":"2022-06-05 04:17:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih \"Time series\" purists like you, requiring causality and such. As if that matters.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1533300169915084801","reply_id":"1533301920781152258","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1533302061965537280","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1348709341101129729":{"id":"1348709341101129729","date":"2021-01-11 19:12:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AlgoSnafu The fact you have bid-ask spread means you'll really only have bounds on the CDF.\n\nThis is where your priors and modeling assumptions have to do some work. What's \"fair\", etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1348707626180349954","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AlgoSnafu","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1348709341101129729","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1644055449438765056":{"id":"1644055449438765056","date":"2023-04-06 19:12:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @nik_algo I like making money off people trading with KFs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1643761085206638593","reply_id":"1643762477845606405","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":551,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1644055449438765056","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1797686425904967920":{"id":"1797686425904967920","date":"2024-06-03 17:46:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Everyone triple-checking their tick sanity code rn.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1797686425904967920","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":34,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4950,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1797686425904967920","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1387982792349282304":{"id":"1387982792349282304","date":"2021-04-30 04:10:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jkregenstein @GestaltU @alphaarchitect @choffstein @daniel_egan So, you can undo the bias by increasing the corr you calculate by the fraction of vol (of A and B) from t2 -> t3.\n\nHow do you get this vol number, given you don't have a t3 snap for A and a t2 snap for B?\n\nPriors. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1387861810599059459","reply_id":"1387982433539149824","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1387982792349282304","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1204281236794929152":{"id":"1204281236794929152","date":"2019-12-10 06:06:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ReformedTrader It's not an asset class at all. You don’t magically invent asset classes just by making payoff functions complicated enough.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1204264464687583232","reply_id":"1204264464687583232","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ReformedTrader","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1204281236794929152","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1926908615589319051":{"id":"1926908615589319051","date":"2025-05-26 07:49:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is the way forward for LLM-based coding.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1926908615589319051","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":11,"quotes":0,"views":4749,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1926908615589319051","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1982790314726129897":{"id":"1982790314726129897","date":"2025-10-27 12:43:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"After all, it's been trained on sunspot data.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1982790235948826899","reply_id":"1982790235948826899","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1773,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1982790314726129897","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1715552012430102696":{"id":"1715552012430102696","date":"2023-10-21 02:14:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @bookdepth US trains are unfixable.\n\nCan't get there from here.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1715534837908373741","reply_id":"1715550893670555864","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":100,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1715552012430102696","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1975563068685086729":{"id":"1975563068685086729","date":"2025-10-07 14:05:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@__paleologo GPs are great, too bad about the O(n^3).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1975526834180685847","reply_id":"1975526834180685847","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"__paleologo","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1742,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1975563068685086729","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1182093307146489856":{"id":"1182093307146489856","date":"2019-10-10 00:39:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BeingHorizontal @technology FWIW, MLDP is known in quant ML circles as a guy who's really really good at getting press. His jumping around from firm to firm tells you the rest.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1182030167373275136","reply_id":"1182030167373275136","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BeingHorizontal","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1182093307146489856","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1768414788403802396":{"id":"1768414788403802396","date":"2024-03-14 23:11:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@utdrush5 You can get interviews if you're from those places and have a bit of something special on your resume.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1768404709336052193","reply_id":"1768413971600531764","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"closed_utdrush5","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":122,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1768414788403802396","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1660246168016674820":{"id":"1660246168016674820","date":"2023-05-21 11:28:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Mostly for @theemilyaccount.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1660246168016674820","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3557,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1660246168016674820_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1660246168016674820","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1546931784373350400":{"id":"1546931784373350400","date":"2022-07-12 18:57:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"23/ That means you need to put together a plan that you’re going follow before looking at data.\n\nThat plan needs to have:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546931744426758145","reply_id":"1546931783035260928","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546931784373350400","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1568231361563213825":{"id":"1568231361563213825","date":"2022-09-09 13:34:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Somewhere out there Gensler is reading this thinking \"I knew it!\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1568230718228303872","reply_id":"1568231046369394689","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1568231361563213825","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1722642518297518165":{"id":"1722642518297518165","date":"2023-11-09 15:49:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xQuasiNeutral Yes, similar, though I consider k a sort of normalized measure of dataset goodness which can be used to build intuitions across datasets, domains, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1722380090070409234","reply_id":"1722639863411802591","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xQuasiNeutral","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":172,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1722642518297518165","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1572093393379164165":{"id":"1572093393379164165","date":"2022-09-20 05:20:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@hasufl Doesn't matter. MMs just widen (or tighten, for rebates) by fees.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1572088342740860928","reply_id":"1572088342740860928","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"hasufl","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1572093393379164165","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1944060720259445228":{"id":"1944060720259445228","date":"2025-07-12 15:46:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2. If this isn't an acquisition (it's not), then by default it doesn't trigger the acceleration clause.\n\n3. Even if it did trigger the acceleration clause (which I strongly doubt), that just gives you vested options. Which is STILL not stock, and hence not entitled to dividends.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1944060716295893233","reply_id":"1944060718153605628","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2053,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1944060720259445228","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1493436324447014913":{"id":"1493436324447014913","date":"2022-02-15 04:05:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @be20684347 @theemilyaccount @salr_nyc Yeap, that's how it seems to work.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493387393142976512","reply_id":"1493435906971242496","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493436324447014913","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1768481220948787386":{"id":"1768481220948787386","date":"2024-03-15 03:35:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @coffeetrader11 1. The interest comes from within.\n2. The point isn't to *show* anything. It's to do. If your objective is to show, you're doing it for the wrong reasons.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1768404709336052193","reply_id":"1768466416645120389","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":292,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1768481220948787386","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1694325065158902133":{"id":"1694325065158902133","date":"2023-08-23 12:25:49","author":"Michael Hendricks","handle":"mndrix_","text":"My workflow for OCaml: describe my mental model of the problem using types, write code to map the messy real world onto those types, then solve the problem at hand.\n\nAs my mental model improves, adjust the types then fix any resulting compiler errors","hashtags":[],"conv":"1694325065158902133","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1694378058944589862","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":61,"retweets":13,"replies":4,"quotes":4,"views":17469,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mndrix_/status/1694325065158902133"},"1701318258740363629":{"id":"1701318258740363629","date":"2023-09-11 19:34:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Most disliked undisputed GOAT of their sport?\n\nWrite-ins welcome!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1701318258740363629","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":20,"quotes":0,"views":4420,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1701318258740363629","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1986684934535205111":{"id":"1986684934535205111","date":"2025-11-07 06:39:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin And if you *think* you know what vanna is but have never made a trading decision on an exotic options book because of it...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1986478463348256987","reply_id":"1986478463348256987","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":288,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1986684934535205111","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1861681379404046656":{"id":"1861681379404046656","date":"2024-11-27 08:00:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 So is HyperLogLog. Is there anything hash functions *can't* do?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1861670536335761457","reply_id":"1861670536335761457","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":232,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1861681379404046656","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1547071950026985472":{"id":"1547071950026985472","date":"2022-07-13 04:14:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ejames_c This feels like one of those times. When the rule set is fixed and known, then improvement consists of finding ever smaller edges optimizations to the convex hull of rule-obeying strategies.\n\nChess players memorize progressively more elaborate opening books as they improve.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1547064541301075968","reply_id":"1547071686683815936","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1547071950026985472","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2017321072828240040":{"id":"2017321072828240040","date":"2026-01-30 19:36:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Not only isn't there a plan, no one is even in charge.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2017321072828240040","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":126,"retweets":8,"replies":8,"quotes":3,"views":14777,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2017321072828240040","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2041134250913603840":{"id":"2041134250913603840","date":"2026-04-06 12:41:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Uber lost money from 2009 to 2023, including the last 4 as a public company. 14 years of subsidizing rides.\n\nOAI/Anthro are trying to speedrun it in ~two years. Pre-IPO.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2041134250913603840","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":170,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":12570,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2041134250913603840","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1582824622122102784":{"id":"1582824622122102784","date":"2022-10-19 20:02:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily Is there any other reason?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1582824370283552768","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1582824622122102784","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1431065521126973444":{"id":"1431065521126973444","date":"2021-08-27 01:26:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sajidnizami @BlacklionCTA @therobotjames @longskew Basel 5 or so?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1431032415653224448","reply_id":"1431059252773146624","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sajidnizami","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1431065521126973444","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1395029543526694918":{"id":"1395029543526694918","date":"2021-05-19 14:52:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @Dcurnutt Autocallables are the best quant unemployment insurance yet invented.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1394737725576679425","reply_id":"1394737725576679425","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1395029543526694918","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1785249055544660383":{"id":"1785249055544660383","date":"2024-04-30 10:05:17","author":"CNBC","handle":"CNBC","text":"Dave & Buster's to allow customers to bet on arcade games https://www.cnbc.com/2024/04/30/dave-busters-to-allow-customers-to-bet-on-arcade-games.html?taid=6630c21b5a6ea300012b763c&utm_campaign=trueanthem&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter%7Cmain","hashtags":[],"conv":"1785249055544660383","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1785328685006106932","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":125,"retweets":14,"replies":23,"quotes":146,"views":1474175,"bookmarks":34,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/CNBC/status/1785249055544660383"},"1650962839522144287":{"id":"1650962839522144287","date":"2023-04-25 20:39:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nic_carter Sounds like an opportunity to invest in storage to smooth out those supply/demand imbalances!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1650961979190702087","reply_id":"1650962624484372488","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nic_carter","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2019,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1650962839522144287","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1541900092147322880":{"id":"1541900092147322880","date":"2022-06-28 21:43:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @theemilyaccount That would be the Puntmaster General role.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1541894912215584771","reply_id":"1541899873704112128","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1541900092147322880","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1451929369132158977":{"id":"1451929369132158977","date":"2021-10-23 15:11:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Watched the new Bond last night.\n\nI think I've discovered a common cognitive error which I'm going to label the Physical Embodiment Fallacy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1451929369132158977","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":41,"retweets":6,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1451929369132158977","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1632603101386649600":{"id":"1632603101386649600","date":"2023-03-06 04:44:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The consensus seems to be coalescing around foreign universities.\n\nA pretty good idea, really.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632603101386649600","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":12138,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632603101386649600","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1784336266487624088":{"id":"1784336266487624088","date":"2024-04-27 21:38:11","author":"Michael Strong","handle":"flowidealism","text":"If these amounts were distributed as Educational Scholarship Accounts (ESAs), then a teacher in NY with 10 students in a microschool would have an annual budget of $350k.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1784336266487624088","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1784344881772781747","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":3,"views":8408,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/flowidealism/status/1784336266487624088"},"1240275752437698560":{"id":"1240275752437698560","date":"2020-03-18 13:55:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan Exactly this. Lots of HFs need to dress up very basic (usually positive carry) strats in fancy language in order to attract capital. Short vol, FX carry, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1240268632598421504","reply_id":"1240268632598421504","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1240275752437698560","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1505588595150581765":{"id":"1505588595150581765","date":"2022-03-20 16:54:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"15/ Never underestimate the human element. Why is Peter talking to Billy? Because the Cleveland Indians don't value what he has. He's not looking for a job and he's not looking to impress anyone.\n\nHe's just passionate about what he knows and wants a chance to tell someone. Anyone","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1505588593909125121","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":29,"retweets":4,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505588595150581765","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1778605824199258152":{"id":"1778605824199258152","date":"2024-04-12 02:07:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Same with husband+wife founding teams looking for VC $.\n\nWhat are the chances the exact right two people to start this company also happen to be married to each other?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1778605824199258152","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":8533,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1778605824199258152","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1564304088929472513":{"id":"1564304088929472513","date":"2022-08-29 17:28:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ajetluka Ser if you could go ahead and work out true fair prices for all the instruments I'm trading, that would be a fair price.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1564296483569934336","reply_id":"1564299094595706881","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MrEhpresso","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1564304088929472513","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1521217565606903808":{"id":"1521217565606903808","date":"2022-05-02 19:58:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@twittarmatthaus @NotQuiteMidlife Low-key one of the greatest albums ever.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1521215222060441600","reply_id":"1521215649040719873","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"twittarmatthaus","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1521217565606903808","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1291884461903065088":{"id":"1291884461903065088","date":"2020-08-07 23:50:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@svrnco The lack of exposure is down to me being a poor salesman for the book, probably.\n\nTrying to make up for it but I'm learning as I go.\n\nThanks for the kind words!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1291873753484406786","reply_id":"1291873753484406786","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"svrnco","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1291884461903065088","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1590365853442510851":{"id":"1590365853442510851","date":"2022-11-09 15:29:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"corr(House candidate newsiness, P(winning)) is evidently negative","hashtags":[],"conv":"1590365853442510851","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1590365853442510851","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2079954576971587900":{"id":"2079954576971587900","date":"2026-07-22 15:39:49","author":"Ven","handle":"edgefills","text":"RT @edgefills: Until one of these models breaks into something that has actual money  involved, I simply can’t take any of these releases seriously. Even a crypto drain would be a step up from “broaching protocol unexpectedly”","hashtags":[],"conv":"2079954576971587900","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2079700842706559097","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":3,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":339,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/edgefills/status/2079954576971587900"},"1476019974443470849":{"id":"1476019974443470849","date":"2021-12-29 02:39:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NathanTankus \"You're going to have to pry my seat from my cold dead hands.\" - Pelosi, Clyburn, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476016249477996549","reply_id":"1476016249477996549","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"NathanTankus","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476019974443470849","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1946114889384165865":{"id":"1946114889384165865","date":"2025-07-18 07:48:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Large amounts of societal resources are being deployed to argue for or against it. This feedback cycle directly increases the probability of the rare, changeable events through this deployment of resources.\n\nSimilarly, very probably events are made less probable.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946114875899486383","reply_id":"1946114887186334076","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":42,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4554,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946114889384165865","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1375109251744428032":{"id":"1375109251744428032","date":"2021-03-25 15:36:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LouStagner Remember Daytona 500 the video game?\n\nWhen you were behind, the game gave your car superpowers to catch up.\n\nSports is about having just the right amount of outcome var.\n\nWhy wasn't golf boring when TW was dominating? Because he still only won 1/2 the time. Perfect amount of var.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1375106889894215685","reply_id":"1375108485596147719","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1375109251744428032","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2039265829846429723":{"id":"2039265829846429723","date":"2026-04-01 08:57:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Decompilation is becoming a commodity skill set.\n\nLots of software companies keep their customers in a box by using \"security through compiled artifact obscurity\".\n\nThey're going to get a rude awakening this year.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2039265829846429723","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":70,"retweets":3,"replies":9,"quotes":1,"views":6816,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2039265829846429723","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1912960917815640094":{"id":"1912960917815640094","date":"2025-04-17 20:06:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@W98AB My masters was different. In Canada, a Masters is a real degree in the way those \"accept everyone who pays\" US ones aren't.\n\nThat said, I think in my case it was the fact I had a patent and that I had a pretty high Project Euler score.\n\nI was probably borderline even in 2008.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1912956767920664834","reply_id":"1912959091036827966","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"W98AB","likes":48,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":41946,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1912960917815640094","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1869415266389766248":{"id":"1869415266389766248","date":"2024-12-18 16:11:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This was my immediate reaction to using VR for the first time. More energy efficient. Makes sense.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1869415266389766248","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2620,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1869415266389766248","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1440740715705683974":{"id":"1440740715705683974","date":"2021-09-22 18:12:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Update: I had a nice conversation with a person at Substack. I'm considering it. If I did it, it would be ~1k word posts twice a week. Questions:\n\n- What would y'all want to hear about?\n- What should be public vs subscriber-only?\n- Is $10/mo the right price point? Seems standard.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1440514473710612481","reply_id":"1440514473710612481","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1440740715705683974","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2001936720418443464":{"id":"2001936720418443464","date":"2025-12-19 08:44:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Please believe me: if I wanted to maximize my $ (though only very marginally), I would be saying that anyone can trade successfully in markets, you just have to try, have good emotional discipline, etc.\n\nRetail's dumbass trading pays for things like this:\n\nhttps://theaptteam.com/blog/ken-griffins-dollar1b-palm-beach-mega-estate","hashtags":[],"conv":"2001936058670514263","reply_id":"2001936058670514263","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":92,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":12101,"bookmarks":13,"media":["2001936720418443464_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2001936720418443464","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1458163296448614401":{"id":"1458163296448614401","date":"2021-11-09 20:03:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I think the distaste for the Meta stuff stems from the same source.\n\n\"What, you're going to try to co-opt this thing now?\"\n\nThoughts?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1458163293281914881","reply_id":"1458163295454588928","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1458163296448614401","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1322185367190036482":{"id":"1322185367190036482","date":"2020-10-30 14:35:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @Robot_Wealth @quantopian This generalizes.\n\nUnmonetized, self-organized communities are almost always higher value to the participants than monetized ones.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1322162176753242117","reply_id":"1322162176753242117","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1322185367190036482","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1556052580668567553":{"id":"1556052580668567553","date":"2022-08-06 23:00:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_deepdiveStocks @TCK_JRubano Kids vary a lot in their sensitivity to on-screen violence.\n\nUntil they're desensitized by the endless parade of Marvel/DC/Star Wars/etc violence-as-cartoonish-entertainment products.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1556048906731114496","reply_id":"1556049266342248451","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_deepdiveStocks","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1556052580668567553","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1974777036947481031":{"id":"1974777036947481031","date":"2025-10-05 10:01:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"It's democrats.\" - nope, dead even for both party affiliations.\n\n\"It's people who don't bet.\" - well a bit. But even sports bettors are 34% against.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1974777031562072200","reply_id":"1974777034393211181","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2795,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1974777036947481031","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1854183213154902500":{"id":"1854183213154902500","date":"2024-11-06 15:25:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Icecubecow @pmontu33 I'm not saying *I* knew the outcome. I'm saying that I'm doubtful there is enough unexplainable variance 24hrs before the event that 60% was fair for this election.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1854138186387055023","reply_id":"1854157280465535033","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Icecubecow","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":659,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1854183213154902500","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1426554280962449411":{"id":"1426554280962449411","date":"2021-08-14 14:40:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@goodalexander @shawngorham Injera FTW!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1426325431477620742","reply_id":"1426548991362207756","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"goodalexander","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1426554280962449411_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1426554280962449411","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1899490949530571095":{"id":"1899490949530571095","date":"2025-03-11 16:01:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Since I've picked up lot of followers recently, I might as well ask for a favor. 🙏\n\nMany of you might know that I moved to Prague CZ last summer, family and all, to join @Lifrordi and his team building AIs for trading.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1899490949530571095","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":57,"retweets":3,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":20845,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1899490949530571095","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1516525976376598528":{"id":"1516525976376598528","date":"2022-04-19 21:15:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Tlacael72584222 @therobotjames @jbarker_c Potentially. But you do need a pretty heavy-duty system to trade it too, in all likelihood.\n\nNot very retail-friendly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1516331323022983169","reply_id":"1516525008092377097","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Tlacael72584222","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1516525976376598528","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1959273130616046060":{"id":"1959273130616046060","date":"2025-08-23 15:14:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This response to my piece is thoughtful and makes a lot of good points. Also some I'd dispute, of course.\n\nI think I'd enjoy some sort of live debate on this question, if that could somehow be arranged.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1959273130616046060","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":7084,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1959273130616046060","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1942261410110615908":{"id":"1942261410110615908","date":"2025-07-07 16:36:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Spend the time to understand this thread. Everything you ever need to know about MM'ing derivatives is in there.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942261410110615908","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":189,"retweets":5,"replies":23,"quotes":0,"views":32856,"bookmarks":235,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942261410110615908","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1943292459074625965":{"id":"1943292459074625965","date":"2025-07-10 12:53:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@spotgamma Less so, but still some. Let's start with the most egregious incineration first.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943280522756591979","reply_id":"1943291420309111128","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"spotgamma","likes":47,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":12669,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1943292459074625965","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1355174495162519555":{"id":"1355174495162519555","date":"2021-01-29 15:22:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Really getting tired of the blue check techbros and philosopher-king VCs trotting out the same old tired arguments against short selling.\n\nThe irony is that the same ppl are usually free speech absolutists, defending the open market of ideas.\n\nNo inconsistency there...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1355174495162519555","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1355174495162519555","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1629522250205638656":{"id":"1629522250205638656","date":"2023-02-25 16:42:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Trying to think of the best job for a technically-minded person that basically can't be automated away by AIs.\n\nElectrician.\n\nOther suggestions?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1629522250205638656","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":74,"retweets":1,"replies":51,"quotes":0,"views":46415,"bookmarks":17,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1629522250205638656","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1471549246813794304":{"id":"1471549246813794304","date":"2021-12-16 18:34:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@terrible_archer @JDcarlu @TrungTPhan I just re-read Naming And Necessity a couple of months ago.\n\nDeeply informs how I think about fundamental ontological and epistemological questions.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1469505493580148740","reply_id":"1471548416081555457","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"terrible_archer","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471549246813794304","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1653812764773863424":{"id":"1653812764773863424","date":"2023-05-03 17:24:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Safe-pair-of-hands phenomenon.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1653810078376505375","reply_id":"1653810078376505375","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":306,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1653812764773863424","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1613659964601683968":{"id":"1613659964601683968","date":"2023-01-12 22:11:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xfbifemboy @typedfemale Applies well into the 90th percentile. Markets are reasonably efficient, and costs are a thing.\n\nDon't believe me? Who do you think paid for JPM's HQ.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1613658749713149953","reply_id":"1613659210470002689","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xfbifemboy","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":476,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1613659964601683968_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1613659964601683968","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1452086042865987590":{"id":"1452086042865987590","date":"2021-10-24 01:34:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lightspringfox @therobotjames @xjpx888 I'll manufacture some dealer gamma story for you, just this once.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1452050605640282113","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1452086042865987590","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1481449934800908289":{"id":"1481449934800908289","date":"2022-01-13 02:16:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames You're absolved if you used the term APY extensively.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481439234947170305","reply_id":"1481439234947170305","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1481449934800908289","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1522336982281515010":{"id":"1522336982281515010","date":"2022-05-05 22:06:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@WR_Crypto No debate there!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1522322618812014592","reply_id":"1522335619447459842","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"WR_Crypto","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1522336982281515010","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1988534038399779115":{"id":"1988534038399779115","date":"2025-11-12 09:07:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"6. Extremely hard \"evaluation tests\" and profit thresholds.\n\nScam bucket shops make newhires go through a trial eval period where (a) you're paying for the privilege and (b) the \"passing\" grades are so stringent that almost no one passes.\n\nBut don't worry. You can \"try again\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1988534015419146302","reply_id":"1988534036755599439","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":48,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":10341,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1988534038399779115","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2057799643275128911":{"id":"2057799643275128911","date":"2026-05-22 12:24:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Live look at Gary Marcus","hashtags":[],"conv":"2057799643275128911","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":125,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":7268,"bookmarks":7,"media":["2057799643275128911_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2057799643275128911","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1567688636145233920":{"id":"1567688636145233920","date":"2022-09-08 01:37:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I wish I loved anything as much as pickleball players love explaining arcane rules to newbies.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1567688636145233920","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1567688636145233920","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1592750929651982336":{"id":"1592750929651982336","date":"2022-11-16 05:26:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@skajbaje @M1tchRosenthal I don't know about Python.\n\nI know NAG has a routine for it, maybe there's a wrapper.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1592295189934129152","reply_id":"1592749600108343296","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"skajbaje","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1592750929651982336","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1935563538317152367":{"id":"1935563538317152367","date":"2025-06-19 05:01:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@int63_t You can shear a sheep many times but skin it only once.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1935505870248624264","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":39,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1603,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1935563538317152367","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2075858091271225579":{"id":"2075858091271225579","date":"2026-07-11 08:21:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"No, we don't need a test suite to verify that Python sets do uniqueness correctly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2075857838497247745","reply_id":"2075857838497247745","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":53,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3193,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2075858091271225579","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2064234695903072738":{"id":"2064234695903072738","date":"2026-06-09 06:34:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"As always, companies with a Chief {Current Thing} Officer are NGMI.\n\n2026: AI\n2018: Blockchain\n2015: Data\n2013: Digital Transformation\n2005: Innovation\n1999: Internet","hashtags":[],"conv":"2064234695903072738","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":115,"retweets":3,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":9735,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2064234695903072738","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1375119228106207241":{"id":"1375119228106207241","date":"2021-03-25 16:15:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"6/ Because everyone knows P(heads) is 50%. That makes it boring.\n\nWhen everyone agrees on probs, no one wants to gamble for real $.\n\nPeople who know and understand the probs of slot machines don’t play them. People who don’t know or try to forget these probs do play slots.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1375119223693864961","reply_id":"1375119227288309760","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":30,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1375119228106207241","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1864612609669882359":{"id":"1864612609669882359","date":"2024-12-05 10:07:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@zack_overflow Modern C++ is ugliest and it's not close.\n\nSome might say APL but I say it's great commitment to the bit.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1864447599908147439","reply_id":"1864447599908147439","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"zack_overflow","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":151,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1864612609669882359","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1492510811012546561":{"id":"1492510811012546561","date":"2022-02-12 14:48:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 Yes. There used to be ski dancing too.\n\nhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ski_ballet\n\nThe amount of shark-jumping the Olympics has done in the last 20 years, and the Winter Olympics in particular, is jaw-dropping.\n\nIt's completely unwatchable at this point.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1492509499420291076","reply_id":"1492509499420291076","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1492510811012546561","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1473637866118991873":{"id":"1473637866118991873","date":"2021-12-22 12:53:40","author":"David Taggart-PDMacro.com","handle":"DavidTaggart","text":"1/If you want to blow up your brain go listen to the Dalio interview on the @tylercowen podcast. His answers to Tyler are about as bad as his answers on China.\n\nReally bizarre.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1473637866118991873","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1473675134326042624","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/DavidTaggart/status/1473637866118991873"},"1258464908343033858":{"id":"1258464908343033858","date":"2020-05-07 18:33:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@o_wutang @bennpeifert Essential knowledge for a junior coming in? Hardly.\n\nI ran an options market-making desk for years and I'd have to grind hard on this.\n\nTime during an interview is a scarce resource. Knowing the interplay between theta vega vanna and volga is VERY low on the list.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1258184053326376961","reply_id":"1258460488532361217","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"o_wutang","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1258464908343033858","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1532213618938290176":{"id":"1532213618938290176","date":"2022-06-02 04:12:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@matt_levine I wonder if this Chastain/OpenSea/NFT case is going to break people's brains when they realize that *OpenSea* is the victim of the crime.\n\nAs you've noted many times with any insider trading case.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1532213618938290176","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"matt_levine","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1532213618938290176","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1869675562169741451":{"id":"1869675562169741451","date":"2024-12-19 09:26:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein The genius who thought up \"hey, how about our high-margin structured products but in ETF form\" needs to go in some HoF.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1869592050070655333","reply_id":"1869592050070655333","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":7,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":762,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1869675562169741451","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1559401246859005952":{"id":"1559401246859005952","date":"2022-08-16 04:46:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"People are reading this like I intended some sick burn on the language.\n\nI don't.\n\nPython is very good at this task, which is why so many people have learned it. Like anything else, we just have to know the limits of our tools.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1559388089901928448","reply_id":"1559388089901928448","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":27,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1559401246859005952","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1988621038456836462":{"id":"1988621038456836462","date":"2025-11-12 14:52:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tmcgrathBC Jane, Optiver at least.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1988534015419146302","reply_id":"1988620630367805583","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tmcgrathBC","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":682,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1988621038456836462","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1796690474608263555":{"id":"1796690474608263555","date":"2024-05-31 23:49:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I've heard of:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1796690474608263555","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1713,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1796690474608263555","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1610144564702253058":{"id":"1610144564702253058","date":"2023-01-03 05:22:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Tallow_beach @RsndSpeculation At least in the US and Canada, part of the problem appears to be that education is a political football between the red team and the blue team.\n\nCorr(quality of education, apolitical decision-making) seems pretty high across countries.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1610132517553856513","reply_id":"1610142969897652227","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Tallow_beach","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":162,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1610144564702253058","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1267535654872707074":{"id":"1267535654872707074","date":"2020-06-01 19:17:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@investingidiocy This is very true. So then I wonder: can't people find this stuff online for free?\n\nIs it reasonable to pay L5k for what amounts to mere curation of otherwise freely-accessible content?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1267370003021664257","reply_id":"1267523866710159362","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"investingidiocy","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1267535654872707074","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1792377227038068859":{"id":"1792377227038068859","date":"2024-05-20 02:10:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AffectiveAutism @robinhanson @tylercowen Emotional hedging is a microscopic market, surely.\n\nThe former sounds good on the surface, but surely you want actual tariff futures instead of \"Trump winning\" which is only a bit correlated with your actual risk?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1651947037645217793","reply_id":"1792350496407376191","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AffectiveAutism","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":92,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1792377227038068859","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1980666632730202267":{"id":"1980666632730202267","date":"2025-10-21 16:04:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@edgefills Why is it in English?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1980665041394520251","reply_id":"1980665041394520251","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"edgefills","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":132,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1980666632730202267","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1463963849342677035":{"id":"1463963849342677035","date":"2021-11-25 20:12:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's kind of amazing that the only universities where high school graduates can take a curriculum focused on becoming great leaders is in military colleges like West Point.\n\nWhy isn't there a civilian equivalent?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1463963849342677035","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":2,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1463963849342677035","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1770922038112534830":{"id":"1770922038112534830","date":"2024-03-21 21:14:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alpha_convert You could be right.\n\nBut somehow I feel like it's figure-outable. The range and power benefits are just so enormous if you can unlock it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1770916075234103409","reply_id":"1770921741893714284","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alpha_convert","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":74,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1770922038112534830","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1513271057116893189":{"id":"1513271057116893189","date":"2022-04-10 21:41:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @be20684347 @aleondotxyz @2_7182818285 @HangukQuant https://duotrigordle.com/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1513012899093962753","reply_id":"1513270987034271747","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1513271057116893189","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1661596366802649088":{"id":"1661596366802649088","date":"2023-05-25 04:53:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@worstcontrarian No. Link?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1661594000435081219","reply_id":"1661596286590812161","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"worstcontrarian","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":595,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1661596366802649088","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1661806992003067904":{"id":"1661806992003067904","date":"2023-05-25 18:50:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"AGI or not, there's a massive self-reevaluation coming for most of us.\n\n\"Your worth is what you're good at\" is the air we breathe as a society. And that air is starting to get poisoned.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1661806992003067904","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":33,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":6106,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1661806992003067904","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1768358874879558075":{"id":"1768358874879558075","date":"2024-03-14 19:29:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The NYT is just a caricature of itself at this point.\n\nI'm sure the article on the roofing contractor with 3 kids and a diabetic mother-in-law looking for a ranch in Lubbock TX for $500k is right around the corner.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1768358874879558075","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2569,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1768358874879558075_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1768358874879558075","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1443411472625778690":{"id":"1443411472625778690","date":"2021-09-30 03:04:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@volmagorov @0xdoug You get what you pay for. Always have. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443370801483366404","reply_id":"1443405755789496326","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"volmagorov","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1443411472625778690","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1271487515363438599":{"id":"1271487515363438599","date":"2020-06-12 17:00:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @HSigma Not that I'm aware of. I'd be surprised if FDax were on Twitter, that would be pretty uncharacteristic. :)\n\nBTW if you're not reading Scott Locklin's blog you're missing out.\n\nhttps://scottlocklin.wordpress.com/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1271444255282790400","reply_id":"1271484985598410752","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1271487515363438599","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1886077044951273587":{"id":"1886077044951273587","date":"2025-02-02 15:39:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I'm saddened but unsurprised to report that o3-mini-whatever is still just as worthless at working through my research questions as previous models.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1886077044951273587","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":107,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":16173,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1886077044951273587","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1824131278205227222":{"id":"1824131278205227222","date":"2024-08-15 17:09:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The very first argument in this @RichardHanania piece is pretty confused.\n\nIntuition pumping from the hypothetical behavior of *demanders* (of goods) to moral intuitions on *suppliers* (of labor).\n\nI'm no fan of unions but this is a bad argument.\n\nhttps://www.richardhanania.com/p/organized-labor-requires-government","hashtags":[],"conv":"1824131278205227222","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1680,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1824131278205227222","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1452753683695824899":{"id":"1452753683695824899","date":"2021-10-25 21:47:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"POTD","hashtags":[],"conv":"1452753683695824899","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1452753683695824899","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1632793417595113472":{"id":"1632793417595113472","date":"2023-03-06 17:21:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1,131 views and no responses.\n\nMaybe React has just eaten the world.\nOr no one wants new and exciting?\nOr people don't like me... 🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632793417595113472","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":14,"quotes":0,"views":12669,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632793417595113472","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1765614655534415990":{"id":"1765614655534415990","date":"2024-03-07 05:45:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DanielSigal @ByrneHobart But, you're literally inventing the whole electrical infrastructure of the United States at the end of the 19th century!\n\nShit is selling as fast as you can make it. You're growing like crazy and printing money.\n\nBut you return it to investors? Insane.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1765611924879024401","reply_id":"1765613619298111641","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DanielSigal","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":412,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1765614655534415990","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1970125097089343723":{"id":"1970125097089343723","date":"2025-09-22 13:56:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@iamtripdee Sorry but you should have not-needed this emergency surgery.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970098937995600146","reply_id":"1970124696655188359","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"iamtripdee","likes":158,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":8948,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1970125097089343723","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2064449780831412605":{"id":"2064449780831412605","date":"2026-06-09 20:49:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Feels topical given Fable's nerfing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2064449780831412605","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":61,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":17677,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2064449780831412605","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1512099231372259333":{"id":"1512099231372259333","date":"2022-04-07 16:05:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OGTaylorB @quantfiction @nope_its_lily @Mtrl_Scientist @therobotjames @macrocephalopod I guess I'm arguing you're best off doing:\n- Learn Python (plenty of decent courses for this, Udemy for example).\n- Learn data analysis (this can mean many things from ML to BI, specifics matter).\n\nThen the intersection isn't so hard. But starting at the intersection is bad IMO.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1512080241426010114","reply_id":"1512098706950017024","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OGTaylorB","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1512099231372259333","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1508235393879064581":{"id":"1508235393879064581","date":"2022-03-28 00:11:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @therobotjames @davidbelle_ Not a lot of people are incentivized to call BS on this sort of stuff.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507961234519429120","reply_id":"1508235088558886912","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1508235393879064581","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1402035726343053315":{"id":"1402035726343053315","date":"2021-06-07 22:52:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @therobotjames @AnthonyLeeZhang @danielrock I might modify it to \"how much can I trade in one atomic order\". Because to state the obvious, anytime you trade you're going to move the price.\n\nAlthough even the above (size-in-one-order) won't be exactly true depending on exchange mechanics.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1401672423330648064","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1402035726343053315","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1709203672947912915":{"id":"1709203672947912915","date":"2023-10-03 13:48:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@quantian1 https://www.amazon.com/IBM-Reinvention-Global-History-Computing/dp/0262039443","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709202819981435176","reply_id":"1709202819981435176","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"quantian1","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2285,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1709203672947912915","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1974119642508747014":{"id":"1974119642508747014","date":"2025-10-03 14:29:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1985 GOFAI researcher hoping that just one more fine-tuned ruleset or inference tweak will unlock general intelligence.\n\n2025 frontier lab AI researcher hoping that crushing just one more eval with test time reasoning will unlock general intelligence.\n\n🤷‍♂️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1974119642508747014","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2598,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1974119642508747014","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1198730373087158272":{"id":"1198730373087158272","date":"2019-11-24 22:29:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@balajis \"There is no absolute morality, therefore anything is permissible.\"\n\nHow many wiseacre students come up with this in freshman philosophy class?\n\nProfs roll their eyes because it's so predictable and wrong. It's 2019, can we not move the discussion past this?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1198727092835364864","reply_id":"1198727092835364864","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"balajis","likes":39,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1198730373087158272","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1501320187626151940":{"id":"1501320187626151940","date":"2022-03-08 22:13:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dacaldar No one forced you to hit enter on the command line you visibly typed. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501315490441924611","reply_id":"1501315490441924611","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dackupasec","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501320187626151940","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1919296246222668214":{"id":"1919296246222668214","date":"2025-05-05 07:40:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ffxivmarket IMO this presumes a lot more strategic thinking than is evident by actions so far.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1919281231901958480","reply_id":"1919294335247348188","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Ffxivmarket","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":291,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1919296246222668214","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1321995485872156672":{"id":"1321995485872156672","date":"2020-10-30 02:00:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SimonDeDeo The outside view says it depends on the incentive structure.\n\nIf they're incentivized like an academic, i.e. to publish, then not much.\n\nIf they're incentivized to make $ from their discoveries, then yes, something.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1321981150026440704","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1321995485872156672","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2048340655617827103":{"id":"2048340655617827103","date":"2026-04-26 09:57:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"https://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2048339299909734415","hashtags":[],"conv":"2048068338132128152","reply_id":"2048068338132128152","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":7011,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2048340655617827103","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1226906375487246336":{"id":"1226906375487246336","date":"2020-02-10 16:30:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@WayneHimelsein Normal tails: I'm not going to lose all my money.\n\nFat tails: I could lose all my money.\n\nCorrelated tails: I could lose all my money on all my trades at the same time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1226899165008936961","reply_id":"1226899165008936961","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"WayneHimelsein","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1226906375487246336","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1909623105552630128":{"id":"1909623105552630128","date":"2025-04-08 15:03:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Live view of the cabinet meeting.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1909623105552630128","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2341,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1909623105552630128_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1909623105552630128","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1533549377347694593":{"id":"1533549377347694593","date":"2022-06-05 20:40:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@austerity_sucks \"Peg\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1533548563111759872","reply_id":"1533548563111759872","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"austerity_sucks","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1533549377347694593","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1935427087659069596":{"id":"1935427087659069596","date":"2025-06-18 19:59:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@idoccor I remember being at UW and not understanding why we were spending so much time on \"boring old basic stuff\" in the first couple of years.\n\nIt dawned on me in 3rd and 4th year how I wouldn't have a leg to stand on with the \"interesting stuff\" without those two years.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1935370816964735152","reply_id":"1935370816964735152","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"idoccor","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":309,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1935427087659069596","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1563524431166640130":{"id":"1563524431166640130","date":"2022-08-27 13:50:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TofHuntrrr Really nice looking tool!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1411890038938345472","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1563524431166640130","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1454897647555252230":{"id":"1454897647555252230","date":"2021-10-31 19:46:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SoccerMomTrades ?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1454896792802267140","reply_id":"1454896805183832068","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1454897647555252230","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1717231264686920158":{"id":"1717231264686920158","date":"2023-10-25 17:26:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Yolo4Yacht \"It\" being economically useful true AGI (in the sense of being able to create truly novel things)?\n\nLess than 10 years probably.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1717229315723874407","reply_id":"1717230833365668084","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Buy__The__Dip","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":105,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1717231264686920158","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1865783549560766714":{"id":"1865783549560766714","date":"2024-12-08 15:40:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@yieldfarmer2222 @KrisAbdelmessih @HariPKrishnan2 @therobotjames @robertmartin88 And play lots and lots of hands.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1865738172199510504","reply_id":"1865783277795279231","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":80,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1865783549560766714","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1155680190116220931":{"id":"1155680190116220931","date":"2019-07-29 03:23:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Barton_options Appreciate the thumbs up!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1155666958739791872","reply_id":"1155666958739791872","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Barton_options","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1155680190116220931","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1773503484576563701":{"id":"1773503484576563701","date":"2024-03-29 00:12:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CAndreisen @quantytrader @DeepDishEnjoyer @bubbleboi @sagarjainmp No you wouldn't. Local 1st order derivatives don't mean a thing for Pnl.\n\nLike, *look* at the example.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1773456147309334555","reply_id":"1773495325619064947","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"CAndreisen","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":1275,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1773503484576563701","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2010701968226832489":{"id":"2010701968226832489","date":"2026-01-12 13:14:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Exactly. We've all become part time workers.\n\nAs always, the consumer surplus gets spent on leisure.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2010701968226832489","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":4955,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2010701968226832489","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2006888569923608961":{"id":"2006888569923608961","date":"2026-01-02 00:41:35","author":"Magills","handle":"magills_","text":"The warmth of collectivism is so great they had to build a wall to contain the heat","hashtags":[],"conv":"2006888569923608961","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2007088990131007801","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":23623,"retweets":3285,"replies":182,"quotes":91,"views":309274,"bookmarks":535,"media":["2006888569923608961_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/magills_/status/2006888569923608961"},"1917462818120438135":{"id":"1917462818120438135","date":"2025-04-30 06:15:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nic_carter BCG should hire McKinsey to study this with a view to reoptimizing their workforce.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1917399773293826444","reply_id":"1917399773293826444","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nic_carter","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":167,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1917462818120438135","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1868008650293584292":{"id":"1868008650293584292","date":"2024-12-14 19:02:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @AskPlayStation In fairness, those SocGen quants probably couldn't manage it either.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1867969507127701786","reply_id":"1867969507127701786","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":531,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1868008650293584292","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1450975119837253633":{"id":"1450975119837253633","date":"2021-10-21 00:00:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Trading_Boxes Yes, you would just need to know that. But for any sensible trading strategy based on buying/selling that spread, you're going to need a LOT of data points to have high confidence the strat makes money.\n\nBut if you do something smarter than just raw prices, you need OOM less.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1450962362291290121","reply_id":"1450974664604340228","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Trading_Boxes","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1450975119837253633","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1841366761020498217":{"id":"1841366761020498217","date":"2024-10-02 06:37:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Remember that time that a VP debate made a difference in the presidential election?\n\nMe neither.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1841366761020498217","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2497,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1841366761020498217","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1904075614782468196":{"id":"1904075614782468196","date":"2025-03-24 07:39:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The supposed rise of vibe coding is obvious once you understand @goodalexander 's vibes economy theory.\n\nNote that I say \"supposed\" because, again, the reality is irrelevant.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1904075614782468196","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1712,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1904075614782468196","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1375993970879164417":{"id":"1375993970879164417","date":"2021-03-28 02:11:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@goodalexander So true.\n\nI've long said that the greatest traders in the world are people you've never heard of and never will.\n\nAnd they're just fine with that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1375980322618175495","reply_id":"1375980322618175495","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"goodalexander","likes":17,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1375993970879164417","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1851961922008027599":{"id":"1851961922008027599","date":"2024-10-31 12:18:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@chriseberly Right, work my way up the teenage boy respect hierarchy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1851926057407967639","reply_id":"1851961697881211286","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"chriseberly","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":63,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1851961922008027599","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1542686444379963393":{"id":"1542686444379963393","date":"2022-07-01 01:48:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount No problem.\n\nhttps://github.com/ajalt/fuckitpy/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542684842923413504","reply_id":"1542685919962071044","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1542686444379963393","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1684667219001946115":{"id":"1684667219001946115","date":"2023-07-27 20:48:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"GPTn comes out.\n\n\"Oooh this is it!\"\n\n(a month later)\n\"Oh, this isn't *quite* it. But GPTn+1 will be.\"\n\nWe're at n=4 so far.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1684667219001946115","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2978,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1684667219001946115","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1473675915766878208":{"id":"1473675915766878208","date":"2021-12-22 15:24:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JamesMarsh79 All of the radical candor stuff he built his company around, to start with.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1473675134326042624","reply_id":"1473675572303773700","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JamesMarsh79","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1473675915766878208","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1768633512658346140":{"id":"1768633512658346140","date":"2024-03-15 13:41:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@W98AB Waterloo was likely important, the poker was probably even more important. Plus I had some interesting things on my resume like Project Euler.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1768404709336052193","reply_id":"1768542638850900037","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"W98AB","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":342,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1768633512658346140","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1789025034813796744":{"id":"1789025034813796744","date":"2024-05-10 20:09:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@quantian1 I think maximize EV.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788923697908339031","reply_id":"1789016542711095457","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"quantian1","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2249,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1789025034813796744","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1278358553091178497":{"id":"1278358553091178497","date":"2020-07-01 16:03:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@C_Kavanagh He's an autodidact.\n\nAnd much like jailhouse lawyers, (a) there are significant gaps and more importantly (b) they don't know where those gaps are.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1278356670557548544","reply_id":"1278356670557548544","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"C_Kavanagh","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1278358553091178497","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1976646964826574998":{"id":"1976646964826574998","date":"2025-10-10 13:52:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ByrneHobart I agree. This is a structural issue with no easy answers in the absence of a non-defanged regulator and legal system. The game theory is clear otherwise.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1976645088433656219","reply_id":"1976646345973973288","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ByrneHobart","likes":36,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2778,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1976646964826574998","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1861033665054056880":{"id":"1861033665054056880","date":"2024-11-25 13:06:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @sasuke___420 Yeah, I think the issue is that it just doesn't scale to large teams somehow.\n\nJudging by how much JS has invested in Ocaml tooling, that's where I'd guess the issue is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1860993921670857038","reply_id":"1861021328175689757","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":445,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1861033665054056880","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1996609712549515328":{"id":"1996609712549515328","date":"2025-12-04 15:57:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"But what do we mean by “a better fair”? A reasonable answer is “it predicts future fair better”.\n\nBut how do we quantify that?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1996609701950218467","reply_id":"1996609709286347157","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2711,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1996609712549515328","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1632166627700797440":{"id":"1632166627700797440","date":"2023-03-04 23:50:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@july2022ffsacc And if I were a university, I'm not sure I'd want to fill it 100% with kids with that level of monomania. I mean, *some* sure, but not all.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632157627978514433","reply_id":"1632166213391642624","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":205,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632166627700797440","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1603050484461207553":{"id":"1603050484461207553","date":"2022-12-14 15:33:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 Some companies basically already do this, and it works really really well.\n\nI've talked to over 100 tech/trading companies about this over the years.\n\nThe other 98% don't have a CLUE how much better the best 2% do hiring. Night and day.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1603049531817369600","reply_id":"1603049846587678721","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1603050484461207553","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1629529421081370626":{"id":"1629529421081370626","date":"2023-02-25 17:11:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@kalpeshmewada49 Time will tell. I think lots of talk therapy can be done very effectively (and cheaply) with LLM-based tech.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1629522250205638656","reply_id":"1629529148052914179","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"kalpeshmewada49","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":303,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1629529421081370626","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1541105988282961926":{"id":"1541105988282961926","date":"2022-06-26 17:07:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"A sig with \"ex-{high status employer}\" when it turns out it was an internship...\n\nProbably not signaling the thing you're hoping it does.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1541105988282961926","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1541105988282961926","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1432821882835800069":{"id":"1432821882835800069","date":"2021-08-31 21:45:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dacaldar @LindaDenn1 @Evaaaaaaaad @McDonaldsCanada It takes more than a 65 degree rotation to turn an M into a Z.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1432689641619087364","reply_id":"1432821416961916930","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dackupasec","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1432821882835800069","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1409291168068685830":{"id":"1409291168068685830","date":"2021-06-27 23:22:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@robinhanson has it exactly right IMO:\n\nhttps://www.overcomingbias.com/2021/06/our-big-wealth-status-mistake.html\n\nHe's been saying this for a long time, and it just gets more true over time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1409291168068685830","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"robinhanson","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1409291168068685830","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1537234964315447296":{"id":"1537234964315447296","date":"2022-06-16 00:45:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @be20684347 @bookdepth 🤣🤣🤣\n\nOr maybe it was your double-digit hcap...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1537219779450261504","reply_id":"1537234524748140544","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1537234964315447296","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1954890751898443792":{"id":"1954890751898443792","date":"2025-08-11 13:00:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The key to political power is finding the right useful idiots.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1954890751898443792","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":43,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":5914,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1954890751898443792","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1613768318292471809":{"id":"1613768318292471809","date":"2023-01-13 05:22:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@itenginerd @macrocephalopod @theemilyaccount <Block> in the old WordPerfect?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1613707918876237825","reply_id":"1613759908058374146","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"itenginerd","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":79,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1613768318292471809","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1271275274307420160":{"id":"1271275274307420160","date":"2020-06-12 02:56:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What if the political spectrum isn't a straight line that stretches to infinity, but rather a circle. At some point the sides get so far apart that they come back together.\n\nThat's when the sh*t really hits the fan.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1271275274307420160","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1271275274307420160","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1547071686683815936":{"id":"1547071686683815936","date":"2022-07-13 04:13:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ejames_c I've come around to the idea that:\n\nTaking insights from bounded domains with known and fixed rules (i.e. games and sports) and transporting them to unbounded domains (real world problems) often gives bad results.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1547064541301075968","reply_id":"1547070590846402560","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ejames_c","likes":25,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1547071686683815936","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1665908277811769344":{"id":"1665908277811769344","date":"2023-06-06 02:27:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xfbifemboy https://www.aao.org/education/editors-choice/sunlight-exposure-reduces-myopia-in-children","hashtags":[],"conv":"1665906892479266816","reply_id":"1665908133477371904","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":287,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1665908277811769344","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1289030682891571201":{"id":"1289030682891571201","date":"2020-07-31 02:50:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RokoMijicUK The supreme achievement of civilization is that most people have the *luxury* of being NPCs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1289001382402560002","reply_id":"1289001382402560002","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ExiledInfoHaz","likes":6,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1289030682891571201","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1737169098499633663":{"id":"1737169098499633663","date":"2023-12-19 17:52:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The primary economic value of information technology is to increase the fanout of organizational hierarchies.\n\nThe value happens at the bottom, at the leaves, just like in a real tree.\n\nAt two children per parent, your org has 1:1 overhead (50% efficiency).\n\nAt 3/parent it's 67%.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1737169098499633663","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2129,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1737169098499633663","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1710029972629536921":{"id":"1710029972629536921","date":"2023-10-05 20:31:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"ChatGPT4 is pretty terrible at \"what was that movie\".\n\nWho's got the correct answer?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1710029972629536921","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2402,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1710029972629536921_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1710029972629536921","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1950142589560057922":{"id":"1950142589560057922","date":"2025-07-29 10:33:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@itsmartingale @macrocephalopod Winner so far!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1950103207952175545","reply_id":"1950123143697199381","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"itsmartingale","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1301,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1950142589560057922","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1529477163279208448":{"id":"1529477163279208448","date":"2022-05-25 14:59:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The ICE guy Chris just sounded like he made a veiled threat.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529472128621285376","reply_id":"1529473277076221952","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1529477163279208448","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1502720368833826820":{"id":"1502720368833826820","date":"2022-03-12 18:57:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily Yes, welcome to the world of large-N finance PCA. There is literature on this. All approaches have downsides.\n\nOne thing that's helped me answer \"how do I\" in these spots is to create some toy data w/ the structure you expect to see. Then mess your toy data (drop timeranges), etc","hashtags":[],"conv":"1502719529327030272","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1502720368833826820","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1382701355194793986":{"id":"1382701355194793986","date":"2021-04-15 14:24:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sukhoiConvexity Be A Player, Pia Nilsson.\n\nAnd if you're a type-A analytical person like I am, a big part of DECADE is being comfortable with your decisions and accepting the variance (sound familiar? trading?).\n\nOnce you achieve that comfort, a lot of pressure evaporates.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"1382700452895150092","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sukhoiConvexity","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382701355194793986","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1239982751991730176":{"id":"1239982751991730176","date":"2020-03-17 18:31:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ALBAcapmgmt @SinclairEuan @znoujaim @SqueezeMetrics Bet directionally in the underlying. It's so highly correlated with vol and so much cheaper.\n\nMMs are literally printing money right now providing liquidity to (a) people who are forced to trade and (b) people trying to do sophisticated things into 20x wider markets.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1239927063278223362","reply_id":"1239972878323314691","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ALBACapMgmt","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1239982751991730176","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1900455650334794058":{"id":"1900455650334794058","date":"2025-03-14 07:55:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Debugging the #1 skill that's lacking in new grads from high-end CS programs. And no wonder. It never gets taught. Ever.\n\nThe prevailing idea is that \"struggling through assignments and projects\" will magically imbue this concrete skill. Sometimes it does, but mostly it doesn't.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1900455234754826623","reply_id":"1900455234754826623","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":31,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1333,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1900455650334794058","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1346141083328159744":{"id":"1346141083328159744","date":"2021-01-04 17:06:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"10/ For options, you're making a bet on both the first moment (EV) and the second moment (volatility). You're also making bets on the higher moments, but we'll ignore those for now.\n\nThe important point is: trading a simple vanilla option is actually trading a basket of risks.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346141082346692608","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":38,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346141083328159744","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2077034216236220489":{"id":"2077034216236220489","date":"2026-07-14 14:15:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If I have to remove ONE MORE LLM-generated pointless bloatware docstring, I swear...\n\nWhoever decided to RLHF that into every model, fuck you.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2077034216236220489","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":196,"retweets":2,"replies":17,"quotes":1,"views":17999,"bookmarks":19,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2077034216236220489","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1164962050734379008":{"id":"1164962050734379008","date":"2019-08-23 18:06:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@WayneHimelsein Though the siren call of elegant math has snared many a trader. Including me many many times.\n\nIt's best to work in pairs: one person with a sophisticated mathematical/artistic sensibility, the other a pragmatic brute. Works like a charm.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1164947041170022401","reply_id":"1164947041170022401","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"WayneHimelsein","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1164962050734379008","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1997333766721671265":{"id":"1997333766721671265","date":"2025-12-06 15:54:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Is there a programming language community that tries harder to exemplify the XKCD USB standards cartoon than Python?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1997333766721671265","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":4255,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1997333766721671265","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1493963587261370375":{"id":"1493963587261370375","date":"2022-02-16 15:00:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Are you hiring? Let's try an experiment with a signal-boosting thread. Reply with:\n\n[jobtitle]\n1. What problem do you solve?\n2. What's hard/cool/special about it?\n3. What predicts success on yr team? (No platitudes! Say things that self-filter ppl)\n[comp]\n[contact]\n\nRT please! 🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493963587261370375","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":8,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493963587261370375","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1434543818813046784":{"id":"1434543818813046784","date":"2021-09-05 15:47:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@blackswanjake @therobotjames This is some truly wonderful insanity. 👏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434267372412555264","reply_id":"1434542210259685380","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jq37_","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434543818813046784","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1475656381856423937":{"id":"1475656381856423937","date":"2021-12-28 02:34:32","author":"Operation Epic CMS","handle":"cmsholdings","text":"@DanielSingerS I traded options professionally and I still don’t think I should be allowed to trade options","hashtags":[],"conv":"1475654901736820736","reply_id":"1475654901736820736","quote_id":"1476775525066571778","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DanielSingerS","likes":117,"retweets":7,"replies":5,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/cmsholdings/status/1475656381856423937"},"1505599986007896066":{"id":"1505599986007896066","date":"2022-03-20 17:39:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sama https://www.risefortheworld.org/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505599701864701954","reply_id":"1505599701864701954","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sama","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505599986007896066","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1434987713715789829":{"id":"1434987713715789829","date":"2021-09-06 21:11:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @ReformedTrader @nope_its_lily @vgr Yeah, I was the same way. Dealing with IDBs always left me feeling icky.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434963956599193601","reply_id":"1434987182108798977","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434987713715789829","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1736122839013748876":{"id":"1736122839013748876","date":"2023-12-16 20:35:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@prefildorodrigo No debate there!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1736121659340566881","reply_id":"1736122394740240615","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"prefildorodrigo","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":212,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1736122839013748876","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1505627797795999747":{"id":"1505627797795999747","date":"2022-03-20 19:30:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @sentientETF My full take is going to run you some $. 🤣\n\nBut I basically agree with everything there.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505599565742759939","reply_id":"1505627462897528834","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505627797795999747","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1133807284532854784":{"id":"1133807284532854784","date":"2019-05-29 18:48:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The classic way of masking your lack of edge: make things more complicated. #edge #etfs #lawsoftrading\nhttps://www.wsj.com/articles/low-volatility-and-buffer-etfs-draw-billions-amid-jitters-over-market-swings-11559041201?mod=itp_wsj&ru=yahoo","hashtags":["edge","etfs","lawsoftrading"],"conv":"1133807284532854784","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1133807284532854784","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1279259972753223688":{"id":"1279259972753223688","date":"2020-07-04 03:45:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz Yes there should. I've built test rigs, done a bunch of ML using phone cameras, and a bunch of other stuff (pulsed lasers, you name it).\n\nAFAICT, we're ~2 years from a phone having a good enough sensor to put anything <2k out of business.\n\nNeed someone to write the software tho.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1279247013935276032","reply_id":"1279259405083717634","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1279259972753223688","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1755665783139795023":{"id":"1755665783139795023","date":"2024-02-08 18:51:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbacarella Yeah, crazy.\n\nHasn't happened to us yet FWIW.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1755649020813602861","reply_id":"1755665277109539072","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbacarella","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":97,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1755665783139795023","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1515722548255764482":{"id":"1515722548255764482","date":"2022-04-17 16:03:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Irritation: living in the US during snooker world championships.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1515722548255764482","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1515722548255764482","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1456465598276268036":{"id":"1456465598276268036","date":"2021-11-05 03:37:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Using only stock tickers, tell me where you grew up.\n\n$LSEG.L $EWC","hashtags":[],"conv":"1456465598276268036","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1456465598276268036","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1265333828467388419":{"id":"1265333828467388419","date":"2020-05-26 17:27:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@WayneHimelsein @vixologist @TheSpeculator0 @choffstein @breakingthemark @lbr_snt FWIW the one variable I see discussed the least is actually the most important: \"when do I expect to start to see redemptions\".\n\nI'm not being facetious. The key to hedging properly is matching it to the risk you *actually* care about.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1265287336729944064","reply_id":"1265332829853908992","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"WayneHimelsein","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1265333828467388419","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1454896792802267140":{"id":"1454896792802267140","date":"2021-10-31 19:43:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ A Sunday question thread: why do American parents care so much about their kids' sports?\n\n👉👉👉","hashtags":[],"conv":"1454896792802267140","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1454896792802267140","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1629524131464220672":{"id":"1629524131464220672","date":"2023-02-25 16:50:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@adityasrane Elaborate?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1629522250205638656","reply_id":"1629523949876043777","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"adityasrane","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1390,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1629524131464220672","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1933846085874704818":{"id":"1933846085874704818","date":"2025-06-14 11:16:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @sasuke___420 @yminsky ☝️☝️☝️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1933530475114709274","reply_id":"1933841844582121586","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":252,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1933846085874704818","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1755713074475270465":{"id":"1755713074475270465","date":"2024-02-08 21:59:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Surely someone has already named the rule that goes\n\n\"If you think you're spending too much time on the Internet, you're definitely spending too much time on the Internet.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1755713074475270465","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2603,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1755713074475270465","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1820496161989623942":{"id":"1820496161989623942","date":"2024-08-05 16:24:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dwarkesh_sp How does one write a book like this? I want to get into the weeds on the process stuff.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1820485440555692437","reply_id":"1820485440555692437","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dwarkesh_sp","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":549,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1820496161989623942","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1717023915867033965":{"id":"1717023915867033965","date":"2023-10-25 03:42:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheTimeBeing2 The universe of products you're going to look at/trade.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1716833285912084803","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":126,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1717023915867033965","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1595449739297714176":{"id":"1595449739297714176","date":"2022-11-23 16:10:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@salr_nyc Yeah but it's not like I'm going to... you know... do it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595440412348796929","reply_id":"1595446768136855553","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"salr_nyc","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1595449739297714176","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1498125217167671298":{"id":"1498125217167671298","date":"2022-02-28 02:37:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @M1tchRosenthal @be20684347 @experquisite @macrocephalopod @therobotjames @NotQuiteMidlife @nope_its_lily @fed_speak At the point you're deciding this, you're probably already doing a lot of it. Consuming Bpipe or Exegy or something, and you've built a ton of logging infra.\n\nAt that point, consuming the raw feeds is a *relatively* small step.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1340471352348848134","reply_id":"1498123889087598594","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1498125217167671298","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1722754194535542890":{"id":"1722754194535542890","date":"2023-11-09 23:13:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"We're going to have to choose at some point.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1722754194535542890","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":3214,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1722754194535542890","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1478231418186526724":{"id":"1478231418186526724","date":"2022-01-04 05:06:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert Transform it into an APY first tho.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1478117539645308930","reply_id":"1478117539645308930","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1478231418186526724","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1226926989832904710":{"id":"1226926989832904710","date":"2020-02-10 17:52:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MebFaber Does college count?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1226916044255592448","reply_id":"1226926225681076224","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MebFaber","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1226926989832904710","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1815211769947951261":{"id":"1815211769947951261","date":"2024-07-22 02:26:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"He reminds me of the original WWF Hunter Hearst Helmsley character, the \"blueblood from Greenwich Connecticut who's had private wrestling tutors his whole life\" except for real.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1815209533691855358","reply_id":"1815209533691855358","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2257,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1815211769947951261","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1860721020518257104":{"id":"1860721020518257104","date":"2024-11-24 16:23:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@yminsky The C++ ification of Ocaml? :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1860720417167507817","reply_id":"1860720417167507817","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"yminsky","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":370,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1860721020518257104","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1585407241657589760":{"id":"1585407241657589760","date":"2022-10-26 23:05:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"6/ The task ISN'T to create baby-talk block-shuffling or whatever to dumb down your problem enough that it can be represented this way.\n\nI mean, if that works then fine but that's just solving a different (easier) problem.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1585407235311964168","reply_id":"1585407240067960832","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1585407241657589760","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2013711881127534982":{"id":"2013711881127534982","date":"2026-01-20 20:35:00","author":"ltrd","handle":"ltrd_","text":"@AgustinLebron3 recently spoke about the hypothesis that making markets on highly illiquid crypto instruments is not profitable. Although it's hard to calculate it directly, I tried to make a small proxy for that + a brief intro to other sources that spoke about this problem before. \n\n@macrocephalopod @yenwod_","hashtags":[],"conv":"2013711881127534982","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2013728265471430841","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":111,"retweets":7,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":25817,"bookmarks":162,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ltrd_/status/2013711881127534982"},"1396263916083105795":{"id":"1396263916083105795","date":"2021-05-23 00:37:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AnatoliyLotkov @ESYudkowsky Exactly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1396244856624730113","reply_id":"1396260891566411777","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AnatoliyLotkov","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1396263916083105795","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1584657506714136580":{"id":"1584657506714136580","date":"2022-10-24 21:26:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih Any other rate is arbitrageable?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1584652209526304769","reply_id":"1584652209526304769","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1584657506714136580","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1564812412745699329":{"id":"1564812412745699329","date":"2022-08-31 03:08:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Roman concrete? AFAICT, they had it, only they had it, and then we lost it for like a millennium!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1564811873534427137","reply_id":"1564811873534427137","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1564812412745699329","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1609597206071500800":{"id":"1609597206071500800","date":"2023-01-01 17:07:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Why alpha exists in financial markets, summarized in two @0xdoug Twitter polls.\n\nSomewhere Ken Griffin is thinking \"all those no-yeses are the reason I'm so bloody rich\".\n\n🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1609597206071500800","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":13478,"bookmarks":5,"media":["1609597206071500800_1.jpg","1609597206071500800_2.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1609597206071500800","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1611863435419193344":{"id":"1611863435419193344","date":"2023-01-07 23:12:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@anondot11 I'd love to, but apparently not...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1611753770098257928","reply_id":"1611767928868716544","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"anondot11","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":88,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1611863435419193344","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1760330683782991895":{"id":"1760330683782991895","date":"2024-02-21 15:48:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@l1quid1ty Ocaml, as much as I reasonably can.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1760076888603763001","reply_id":"1760330105828905200","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"l1quid1ty","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":109,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1760330683782991895","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1501789751334035457":{"id":"1501789751334035457","date":"2022-03-10 05:19:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @FREAK0NAUT @M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames Next time anyone's in the San Diego area DM me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"1501789596459597836","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501789751334035457","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1474509635910438912":{"id":"1474509635910438912","date":"2021-12-24 22:37:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @logUp12 @bennpeifert @TheSpeculator0 @jam_croissant @SinclairEuan @options_insight @darjohn25 @nntaleb 👆\n\nGet (a) funding, (b) divs, and (c) time to expiration right and the rest of options trading is relatively easy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1474448962824273921","reply_id":"1474454087886270467","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1474509635910438912","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1468986421671186438":{"id":"1468986421671186438","date":"2021-12-09 16:50:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is the absolute truth. 👇","hashtags":[],"conv":"1468986421671186438","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1468986421671186438","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1636851904746786816":{"id":"1636851904746786816","date":"2023-03-17 22:07:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Lance Reddick! Noooooo!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1636851904746786816","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1873,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1636851904746786816","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1550163213437702144":{"id":"1550163213437702144","date":"2022-07-21 16:58:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@oscarsalgos Yes, enormously.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1549963630610829314","reply_id":"1550160171246166019","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"oscarsalgos","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1550163213437702144","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1248025602168250369":{"id":"1248025602168250369","date":"2020-04-08 23:11:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MebFaber Going up against Intuit has been tried. They play very very hard.\n\nWe can all dream, however. 99% of Americans have no idea how trivial \"doing taxes\" is in nearly every other developed nation on Earth.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1248024869234544641","reply_id":"1248024869234544641","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MebFaber","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1248025602168250369","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1768641784702513646":{"id":"1768641784702513646","date":"2024-03-15 14:13:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AnthonyLeeZhang The third last paragraph is a tell that it's in its training data. Or something very similar.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1768639726557209082","reply_id":"1768640895568462169","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alz_zyd_","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":347,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1768641784702513646","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1535388572630405121":{"id":"1535388572630405121","date":"2022-06-10 22:28:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal I get that you're subtweeting me but you're really not getting it. It's the same whether you're trading 1000 symbols or 1.\n\nI laid out my thinking in this thread last year:\n\nhttps://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1363876629550800901\n\n@therobotjames had a similar thread which I'm sure he can resurrect.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1535381647314534401","reply_id":"1535381647314534401","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":20,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1535388572630405121","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1629541554921811970":{"id":"1629541554921811970","date":"2023-02-25 17:59:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug Solid entry here.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1629522250205638656","reply_id":"1629541236418789379","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1729,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1629541554921811970","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1884546093574131951":{"id":"1884546093574131951","date":"2025-01-29 10:16:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@effectfully 1. Become high status.\n2. Make it costly to apply.\n\nProfit.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1884378750067806516","reply_id":"1884378750067806516","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"effectfully","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":62,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1884546093574131951","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1744154508387852598":{"id":"1744154508387852598","date":"2024-01-08 00:30:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AnthonyLeeZhang Arduino.\n\nIf the kid is like mine, he'll need something physical and tangible to keep his interest. Flashing lights, stepper motors, whatever.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1744145321658024148","reply_id":"1744145321658024148","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alz_zyd_","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":197,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1744154508387852598","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1704330046830416231":{"id":"1704330046830416231","date":"2023-09-20 03:02:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ysoh I'm not knowledgeable enough yet.\n\nCraig O'Shannessy is a good starting point, though he makes some statistical errors sometimes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1704254080192049183","reply_id":"1704283949126787190","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ysoh","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":120,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1704330046830416231","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2055715040909471795":{"id":"2055715040909471795","date":"2026-05-16 18:20:33","author":"Bobby Fijan","handle":"bobbyfijan","text":"In regards to existential uncertainty or educational arms race leading to 20 and 30 year olds not having kids ... I find the juxtaposition of the number of dogs vs kids in cities to be so jarring\n\nThe costs of owning dogs is high, and rising. And though it's less than for a baby ... dogs are quite limiting in how/where you live, especially in the City.\n\n-You have to let them out regularly, either yourself or pay for someone else to do it\n-You have to exercise them regularly, especially if you have an active breed\n-You can't bring them on public transportation, so you need to live near some kind of park\n\n(Sidenote, it's one of the reasons so many single dog owners in the City have cars ... to go to parks)","hashtags":[],"conv":"2055715040909471795","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2056293333278851513","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":41,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":25239,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bobbyfijan/status/2055715040909471795"},"1306324285829427201":{"id":"1306324285829427201","date":"2020-09-16 20:09:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AlgoSnafu @VitruviusCurve @Mephisto731 The book is great!\n\nBut IMO there's no direct path from info theory to $ in trading, except as a framework for thinking about bounds. I.e.\n\n- How much info/$ could possibly be extractible from X?\n- If Y worked, then that would mean I'm manufacturing info. So Y can't work.\n\nEtc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1306277867454685184","reply_id":"1306277867454685184","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AlgoSnafu","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1306324285829427201","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1451390327978278912":{"id":"1451390327978278912","date":"2021-10-22 03:29:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan X ~ N(0,1)\nY ~ Binomial(0.5)\n\nSelect subset of (X,Y) points such that X+Y>1\n\nCorr(X,Y) of subset ~= -0.5ish","hashtags":[],"conv":"1451237632910905349","reply_id":"1451388259637112839","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1451390327978278912","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1606306307593551873":{"id":"1606306307593551873","date":"2022-12-23 15:10:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin @fchollet Table 3 shows that Fine Tune (one of the baselines) outperforms their work (Fine Tune CoT) across the board.\n\nAm I reading this right?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1606215919407140865","reply_id":"1606276775109136387","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":385,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1606306307593551873","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1532387350822592512":{"id":"1532387350822592512","date":"2022-06-02 15:43:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@big3vibes @sukhoiConvexity No way! I had completely the opposite experience taking Boyd's class online.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1532370113445470208","reply_id":"1532382258652487680","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"big3vibes","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1532387350822592512","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1732944101136597043":{"id":"1732944101136597043","date":"2023-12-08 02:04:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I see it everywhere every day.\nIncluding, obviously, in myself.\n\nOne puny human brain doesn't stand a chance most of the time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1732944101136597043","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3162,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1732944101136597043","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1428474270502379523":{"id":"1428474270502379523","date":"2021-08-19 21:49:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@noms_nom_nom @therobotjames Usually not even then.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1428381820421242886","reply_id":"1428474070090256389","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"return_stacking","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1428474270502379523","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1595821435792007169":{"id":"1595821435792007169","date":"2022-11-24 16:47:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mapochamp Yeah, embedded SW seems somehow immune to the worst excesses of dev interview stupidity.\n\nMore grounded in reality something something.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595799254437462016","reply_id":"1595818298775842816","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mapochamp","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1595821435792007169","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1413584009896992768":{"id":"1413584009896992768","date":"2021-07-09 19:41:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tommyhegarty97 I probably should have figured that out. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1411890038938345472","reply_id":"1413554995946049536","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tommyhegarty97","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1413584009896992768","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1493431837296717827":{"id":"1493431837296717827","date":"2022-02-15 03:47:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xMallow Yes but:\n\n- It's illegal in the US.\n- It would get misused to further an implicit political agenda.\n- Given how the notion of meritocracy is defined in our society, it would lead to a pretty toxic company culture.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493387393142976512","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493431837296717827","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1397356343799943168":{"id":"1397356343799943168","date":"2021-05-26 00:58:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@undercversa @therobotjames @nope_its_lily Absolutely correct. So far it's kind of amateur-hour on the protocols and guarantees and stuff, but I'll take that any day considering how fast they list, adapt, experiment, improve.\n\nWhen it comes to competitive pursuits, slope beats level most of the time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1397312841955217408","reply_id":"1397355164126826498","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"longskew","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1397356343799943168","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1481468990291542017":{"id":"1481468990291542017","date":"2022-01-13 03:31:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Buy_The_Dip_ @FREAK0NAUT @vixologist @kchoudhu Ooh, good question!\n\nThe most disappointing is Infinite Jest. I had such high hopes, given DFW's short writing.\n\nMetaplanetary was virtually unreadable when I attempted it recently.\n\nThe Formula by Barabasi is rather bad too. Lazy.\n\nFeel bad saying this publicly but there you go.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481302561592422402","reply_id":"1481465887563849731","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Buy_The_Dip_","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1481468990291542017","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1541241721828233216":{"id":"1541241721828233216","date":"2022-06-27 02:07:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @therobotjames Does \"for now, but who knows what input will make it suddenly and mysteriously not work\" count as a yes?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1541240145755914240","reply_id":"1541241097376387072","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1541241721828233216","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1789762692275650951":{"id":"1789762692275650951","date":"2024-05-12 21:00:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@quantymacro - Engineering was getting boring.\n- Was playing a lot of poker at the time. And I was surprised at how good I was at it.\n\nSo I found a job that was halfway in between.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1789752542559191296","reply_id":"1789761302442733791","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"quantymacro","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1091,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1789762692275650951","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1446185940947402753":{"id":"1446185940947402753","date":"2021-10-07 18:49:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Scott Sumner has rarely been more right about anything than what he writes about architecture here:\n\nhttps://www.econlib.org/some-random-thoughts-on-modernism/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1446185940947402753","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1446185940947402753","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1886876460792611154":{"id":"1886876460792611154","date":"2025-02-04 20:36:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's not AGI.\nIt's not on the path to AGI.\nBut that doesn't matter.\n\nAt almost all margins, instantaneous encyclopedic knowledge trumps raw intellectual horsepower.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1886876460792611154","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":69,"retweets":3,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":5913,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1886876460792611154","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1889974516673388977":{"id":"1889974516673388977","date":"2025-02-13 09:46:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @experquisite Don't you need a StrategyInterfaceFactory in there somewhere?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1889838887654269200","reply_id":"1889943899634016708","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":698,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1889974516673388977","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1788937693831041343":{"id":"1788937693831041343","date":"2024-05-10 14:22:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@greenbackzach And how much do you charge for the strategy-crafting?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788923697908339031","reply_id":"1788936136305349034","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"greenbackzach","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3285,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788937693831041343","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1940048684999164104":{"id":"1940048684999164104","date":"2025-07-01 14:03:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@IE_Capital @elonmusk That's where it will start, no doubt. But if it's truly a no-extremes party, it will start to gain over time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1940046562337624235","reply_id":"1940048442396745999","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"IE_Capital","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":214,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1940048684999164104","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1788973594732818434":{"id":"1788973594732818434","date":"2024-05-10 16:45:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@boxfan17 @sqalef Yup.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788923697908339031","reply_id":"1788971204415521193","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"boxfan17","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":71,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788973594732818434","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1790092202653438387":{"id":"1790092202653438387","date":"2024-05-13 18:50:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Every OpenAI release ticks down humanity's TFR ever so slightly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1790092202653438387","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2184,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1790092202653438387","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1505705831609761793":{"id":"1505705831609761793","date":"2022-03-21 00:40:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @macrocephalopod @lightspringfox @theemilyaccount I notice everything!!!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505655238090694656","reply_id":"1505704368179671041","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505705831609761793","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1477860649694744576":{"id":"1477860649694744576","date":"2022-01-03 04:33:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @Ksidiii And after, as is well-known.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477331467252514824","reply_id":"1477860562990080000","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477860649694744576","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1486774436422295554":{"id":"1486774436422295554","date":"2022-01-27 18:53:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"We see numbers like this and don’t stop to appreciate the wide chasm that separates the spiritual lives of nations where the average person has 1 kid from those with 3 or more...\"\n\nhttps://richardhanania.substack.com/p/russia-as-the-great-satan-in-the\n\nThis is perhaps the most consequential thing I've read in 2022.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486774436422295554","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1486774436422295554","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1449179165417111554":{"id":"1449179165417111554","date":"2021-10-16 01:03:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert Counter-argument (not mine, just trying to stir the pot):\n\nDishwashers can't do their job via Zoom. Baumol's Cost Disease, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1449051361367134211","reply_id":"1449169441854410752","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1449179165417111554","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1467883111790768131":{"id":"1467883111790768131","date":"2021-12-06 15:46:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dfauchier @macrocephalopod @RobinhoodApp 👆👆👆","hashtags":[],"conv":"1467872847020400641","reply_id":"1467880582239690769","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dfauchier","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1467883111790768131","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1688919545959063552":{"id":"1688919545959063552","date":"2023-08-08 14:26:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@chanep I enjoy explaining physics or having it explained to me full stop!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1688761028786708480","reply_id":"1688918529331134464","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"chanep","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":394,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1688919545959063552","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1561907287244935168":{"id":"1561907287244935168","date":"2022-08-23 02:44:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 @therobotjames @Cereal_Intern @MisuaRaboki Here's a fun exercise you can do with crypto marketdata. Calculate the pnl of the provide trader on every trade in some liquid instrument. Now apply the best possible maker rebate.\n\nYou know what you'll see? The average provide loses money.\n\nIt's a tough world out there.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1411890038938345472","reply_id":"1561901960940462081","quote_id":"2009944856010035683","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":52,"retweets":5,"replies":4,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":25,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1561907287244935168","type":"quote","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1787559725628105075":{"id":"1787559725628105075","date":"2024-05-06 19:07:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DavidTaggart Right. It's fundamentally a market where the ultimate consumer is buying vibes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1787555726707368448","reply_id":"1787557144621195265","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DavidTaggart","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":26,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1787559725628105075","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1968950590228066631":{"id":"1968950590228066631","date":"2025-09-19 08:09:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"https://arxiv.org/html/2509.14448v1\n\n(if you needed any more evidence)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1968950472762441870","reply_id":"1968950472762441870","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":23,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4659,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1968950590228066631","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1346141080366981120":{"id":"1346141080366981120","date":"2021-01-04 17:06:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"7/ Don't you wish you would have waited till the very last moment to exercise?\n\nBecause then you just wouldn't have exercised your call at all, and you wouldn't be out the $700/share!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346141079481974784","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346141080366981120","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1952747076254679072":{"id":"1952747076254679072","date":"2025-08-05 15:02:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Staying at a hotel 50km from the city center. Land everywhere. Is parking free, I ask the receptionist.\n\n\"This is Norway. Nothing is free.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1952747071942853008","reply_id":"1952747073586999650","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2971,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1952747076254679072","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1763331025118331311":{"id":"1763331025118331311","date":"2024-02-29 22:30:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal Yeah it's hard. Decision trees get exponentially big. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1763323947557548335","reply_id":"1763330472954958088","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":115,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1763331025118331311","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1446643497755316234":{"id":"1446643497755316234","date":"2021-10-09 01:07:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_Dave__White_ Note that the PDF is on Arxiv:\n\nhttps://arxiv.org/pdf/1803.05316.pdf","hashtags":[],"conv":"1446639260904288257","reply_id":"1446643372043558913","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1446643497755316234","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1569905179721596930":{"id":"1569905179721596930","date":"2022-09-14 04:25:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano At this point it's shorter to just name the things that don't get LARPed.\n\nI'll wait.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1569899029215199232","reply_id":"1569904948531314688","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1569905179721596930","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2022366076609204296":{"id":"2022366076609204296","date":"2026-02-13 17:43:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I realize this is not a popular opinion, but it's an insane amount of cope to believe that shitcoin grifting is somehow a necessary component of the ecosystem required in order to have stables.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2022366076609204296","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":61,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":4975,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2022366076609204296","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1716841756912914526":{"id":"1716841756912914526","date":"2023-10-24 15:39:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@yieldcurvepro Don't look at it! :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1716833285912084803","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":114,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1716841756912914526","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1488700887715377152":{"id":"1488700887715377152","date":"2022-02-02 02:28:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily If you're going to insist on this sort of consistency from the exchange, I'm afraid... yes you guessed it... NGMI.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1488696555804581892","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1488700887715377152","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1412893393739390982":{"id":"1412893393739390982","date":"2021-07-07 21:56:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily #1 question there is your data source for borrow rates.\n\nAlong with the usual survivorship bias stuff.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1412886941800955905","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1412893393739390982","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1685648627832901633":{"id":"1685648627832901633","date":"2023-07-30 13:48:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Turns out level 5 self-driving requires such a good world model that we're going to need AGI before we get it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1685648627832901633","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3599,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1685648627832901633","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1465100597158318081":{"id":"1465100597158318081","date":"2021-11-28 23:29:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@PrometheusAM @ander_hk @UAx250 I assumed he meant BBG IB chat. Which is by far the most valuable feature of BBG for your average institutional. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1465065260730232832","reply_id":"1465100145108742144","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"PrometheusAM","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1465100597158318081","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1395075006707666947":{"id":"1395075006707666947","date":"2021-05-19 17:52:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"How this thread didn't blow up the Twitter I'll never understand.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1395075006707666947","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1395075006707666947","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1593028715822608384":{"id":"1593028715822608384","date":"2022-11-16 23:50:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal First think about what you think will happen.\nCome up with plausible arguments.\n\nThen test it empirically.\n\nThen if you're feeling adventurous, use the definition of cointegration and a simple two-asset case and work it out analytically.\n\nThese things aren't *too* hard.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1593025799682412544","reply_id":"1593025799682412544","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1593028715822608384","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1894424752237764626":{"id":"1894424752237764626","date":"2025-02-25 16:30:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"You're born with more tolerance for one or the other.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1894424752237764626","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1960,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1894424752237764626","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1961366349659131917":{"id":"1961366349659131917","date":"2025-08-29 09:52:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is kind of an absurdly good idea.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1961366349659131917","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":5219,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1961366349659131917","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1629542704307924993":{"id":"1629542704307924993","date":"2023-02-25 18:03:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@rargulati @kalpeshmewada49 Yeah, and it's only going to get better. People may end up paying them for the RLHF they need to do to get better.\n\nMaybe this is generalizable as a Duolingo-style business model.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1629522250205638656","reply_id":"1629542290589900800","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"rargulati","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":284,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1629542704307924993","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1378034908057071616":{"id":"1378034908057071616","date":"2021-04-02 17:21:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @swiss_quant Yes, rolling normalization is critically important in a lot of these studies.\n\nEverything must be causal.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377374179658436611","reply_id":"1378016446408712193","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":5,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1378034908057071616","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1299003289015525378":{"id":"1299003289015525378","date":"2020-08-27 15:18:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If:\n\n(a) forced quarantine dramatically reduces R0 of communicable disease\n(b) infectious disease was an issue when religions were being invented,\n(c) lowering infection confers a group selection advantage,\n\nThen why don't we see religious holidays which require quarantine?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1299003289015525378","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1299003289015525378","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1720438660678692911":{"id":"1720438660678692911","date":"2023-11-03 13:51:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What if the gamble was something like \"plead not guilty, worst case they convict and give me 5 years, I do the 5 years and come out w/ a few hundred million\"?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1720437556469477428","reply_id":"1720437556469477428","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2155,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1720438660678692911","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1704261384635318766":{"id":"1704261384635318766","date":"2023-09-19 22:29:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This sort of thing comes up in trading model-building too. I.e. how do you weight your samples?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1704261384635318766","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2993,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1704261384635318766","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1544795904024031233":{"id":"1544795904024031233","date":"2022-07-06 21:30:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 It's the exact opposite of pulling a Homer.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1544795563614318592","reply_id":"1544795563614318592","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":33,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1544795904024031233_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1544795904024031233","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1719224834310443106":{"id":"1719224834310443106","date":"2023-10-31 05:28:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Tired: Chinchilla scaling laws\nWired: Presidential order scaling laws","hashtags":[],"conv":"1719223932811874337","reply_id":"1719223932811874337","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":989,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1719224834310443106","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1507352979187269633":{"id":"1507352979187269633","date":"2022-03-25 13:45:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sukhoiConvexity We need to start an account that auto-retweets posts calling out crap recruiters.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507351784876093450","reply_id":"1507351784876093450","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sukhoiConvexity","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507352979187269633","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1620838535606726657":{"id":"1620838535606726657","date":"2023-02-01 17:36:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"How many millions of dev-hours has the world lost because we decided we were going with git instead of hg?\n\nMaybe the fact that squashing commits is a thing you do regularly should be a small clue that your revision control system sucks.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1620838535606726657","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1842857744866394377","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":2,"views":16544,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1620838535606726657","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1428491468381978627":{"id":"1428491468381978627","date":"2021-08-19 22:58:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@afewredbeans @noms_nom_nom @therobotjames That *can* work, I agree. But almost every company who tries this screws it up.\n\nThe \"architect\" vs \"dev\" distinction you see in many tech companies is an attempt at this. But they end up smearing the two categories together over time, among other problems.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1428381820421242886","reply_id":"1428489222919495685","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"afewredbeans","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1428491468381978627","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2024920000708948458":{"id":"2024920000708948458","date":"2026-02-20 18:52:04","author":"Austin Campbell","handle":"austincampbell","text":"RT @austincampbell: This is false.\n\nThe definition of solvent for an exchange is you have the customer assets, in the form the customers held them, which you can return to customers at the time they want them.\n\nFTX did not have that.\n\nThey were insolvent.\n\n\"Hey I have other forms of money that later turned out to potentially be worth more than my liabilities but we don't know because it never actually happened\" is like going to your bank, asking for dollars, and they offer you two sandwiches and a coffee worth more than your dollars, but also two years later.\n\nThat is insolvent.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2024920000708948458","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2024871557563052082","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":30,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":35,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/austincampbell/status/2024920000708948458"},"1625509640883814400":{"id":"1625509640883814400","date":"2023-02-14 14:57:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Why does golf media insist on claiming Tiger Woods is over 6 feet tall?\n\n5'11\" in spikes, max. No, it's not the back thing. He never was 6 ft.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1625509640883814400","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2314,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1625509640883814400","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1443951374857748480":{"id":"1443951374857748480","date":"2021-10-01 14:50:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3/ I used to do mathematical modeling of complex systems before I even knew it was a thing.\n\nWhen I was working as an engineer (and running a lot), I spent more time that I'll admit trying to build a model of the human lactate response to exercise. For fun.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443951372580229123","reply_id":"1443951373763026949","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1443951374857748480","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1898350036729176181":{"id":"1898350036729176181","date":"2025-03-08 12:28:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I can't wait for agentic AIs to fully turn the social Internet into a bot wasteland.\n\nBecause then finally we'll be able to ignore it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1898350036729176181","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":45,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3276,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1898350036729176181","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1964303250875695233":{"id":"1964303250875695233","date":"2025-09-06 12:22:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Your miles will never expire.\" *\n\n(*) Until our CFO wants to make the balance sheet look better, at which point we will devalue them to the point that they're basically worthless. **\n\n(**) So, like, two years. ***\n\n(***) Assuming we haven't gone Ch 11 bankruptcy by then.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1964303250875695233","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":118,"retweets":2,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":9894,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1964303250875695233","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1949721918879191118":{"id":"1949721918879191118","date":"2025-07-28 06:41:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"When a society prioritizes personal happiness (narrowly defined) above all else, it dies.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1949721918879191118","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":114,"retweets":3,"replies":10,"quotes":1,"views":15782,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1949721918879191118","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1561813193185378314":{"id":"1561813193185378314","date":"2022-08-22 20:30:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1561810297962184704","reply_id":"1561810297962184704","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1561813193185378314_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1561813193185378314","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1898034078034587741":{"id":"1898034078034587741","date":"2025-03-07 15:32:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Sentences ones finds when reading Wikipedia.\n\n\"Her father had a direct mail business and spent a number of years in prison for tax evasion.\n<new paragraph>\nShe went on to study business and Buddhism at Cornell University.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1898034078034587741","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2452,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1898034078034587741","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1585342261243817985":{"id":"1585342261243817985","date":"2022-10-26 18:47:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @toiletkingcap @baanibaani4 @SpencerBosma @therobotjames @IDrawCharts Can be for both, just depends on how often/much you recall it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1585076062501089280","reply_id":"1585342087016247296","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1585342261243817985","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1394719417347444737":{"id":"1394719417347444737","date":"2021-05-18 18:19:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Need suggestions:\n\nA simple front-end client that does websocket sub and display stuff quick-n-dirty. Stuff I've tried:\n- React app: way too long a dev cycle\n- Excel ScriptLab: virtually impossible to debug\n- Jupyter: ugh.\n\nIs there an Excel-alike that subs to ws out of the box?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1394719417347444737","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1394719417347444737","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1598701028853317632":{"id":"1598701028853317632","date":"2022-12-02 15:30:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @SquishChaos @thinkingpoker Depends on the goal. If you're after \"just get the thing someone else figured out done\" then fine.\n\nBut it's recipe for stasis and never actually learning. Turns humans into mindless automaton implementers.\n\nWikis are valuable because they're living documents.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598425248927731712","reply_id":"1598698845915029506","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598701028853317632","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1739090171264639076":{"id":"1739090171264639076","date":"2023-12-25 01:06:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@fuckyourputs There's plenty of that around here already!!! :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1739090045108371601","reply_id":"1739090045108371601","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"fuckyourputs","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":75,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1739090171264639076","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1702739557878472877":{"id":"1702739557878472877","date":"2023-09-15 17:42:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Super excited to see my friend Rich's new documentary this Friday.\n\nWolfe was such a character.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1702739557878472877","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2841,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1702739557878472877","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1894401863635583393":{"id":"1894401863635583393","date":"2025-02-25 14:59:35","author":"Matt Bateman","handle":"mbateman","text":"“I have a friend in Vegas who has a little theory that he calls the pain box. You have a set amount of pain in your life. It’s the pain of sucking vs. the pain of hard work. All you have is a little partition you can slide back and forth.”\n\nAlex Honnold","hashtags":[],"conv":"1894401863635583393","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1894424752237764626","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":180,"retweets":6,"replies":2,"quotes":2,"views":7432,"bookmarks":55,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mbateman/status/1894401863635583393"},"1711417804824719486":{"id":"1711417804824719486","date":"2023-10-09 16:26:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WboggjN_G-4","hashtags":[],"conv":"1711410731495698596","reply_id":"1711412212265333124","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":629,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1711417804824719486","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1712520307280589205":{"id":"1712520307280589205","date":"2023-10-12 17:27:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@waltuuuhr @amasad @brettharrison Maybe math but probably not physics, and certainly not chemistry or biology.\n\nHonestly, the lowest-hanging fruit feels like it's taking all the people working on AI/ML and teaching them about all the interesting problems involving atoms.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1712503703817933264","reply_id":"1712516294820372760","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"waltuuuhr","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":219,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1712520307280589205","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1788219465974587550":{"id":"1788219465974587550","date":"2024-05-08 14:48:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily Yes. Or more concretely, uninformed orders tend to be smaller than informed ones. Say each's arrival rate is the same.\n\nAt size 1, you get half smart orders, half dumb, you make money.\n\nAt size 10, the dumb orders still only trade 1 lots but the smart ones trade 10. You lose $.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788214916509507744","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":48,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2536,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788219465974587550","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2006070883019084212":{"id":"2006070883019084212","date":"2025-12-30 18:32:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LouStagner @MarkBroadie Ok fine, since no one is rising to the challenge:\n\nBetween Aug 1999 and Nov 2000, Tiger Woods played 89 consecutive rounds on the PGATour where he beat the field average for that round.\n\nWind, rain, bad side of the draw, bad luck, bad day, sick, sore, didn't matter.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2006036113824080362","reply_id":"2006036591186215240","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2083,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2006070883019084212","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2046628734271123861":{"id":"2046628734271123861","date":"2026-04-21 16:34:49","author":"The Modest Teacher","handle":"ModestTeacher","text":"RT @ModestTeacher: You can teach nearly every high school subject effectively with a textbook and a chalkboard, and the only reason we don’t is because education companies figured out they could milk districts out of millions of dollars by convincing them otherwise.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2046628734271123861","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2046571366569128202","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":878,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":5,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ModestTeacher/status/2046628734271123861"},"1708657092759019540":{"id":"1708657092759019540","date":"2023-10-02 01:36:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I'd like to report a murder.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1708657092759019540","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4080,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1708657092759019540","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1972182948133978409":{"id":"1972182948133978409","date":"2025-09-28 06:13:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's bittersweet to watch videos of a time when the UK was able to build things.\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P2eol_bQTlo","hashtags":[],"conv":"1972182948133978409","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4893,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1972182948133978409","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1294847777667559424":{"id":"1294847777667559424","date":"2020-08-16 04:05:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@svrnco This is exactly right. Real learning doesn't feel like learning, it feels like failing. Often repeatedly, till you get it.\n\nWhat feels like learning is actually \"just having learned it\".\n\nThere's not much of a market for feeling like a failure...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1294824302890684418","reply_id":"1294824302890684418","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"svrnco","likes":43,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1294847777667559424","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1789071456112083316":{"id":"1789071456112083316","date":"2024-05-10 23:14:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brianwut 25bp management fee is ludicrous though.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788923697908339031","reply_id":"1789067006743900486","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"brianwut","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":565,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1789071456112083316_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1789071456112083316","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1899831854926057632":{"id":"1899831854926057632","date":"2025-03-12 14:36:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So many academic finance papers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1899831854926057632","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2426,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1899831854926057632_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1899831854926057632","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2012576442379276550":{"id":"2012576442379276550","date":"2026-01-17 17:23:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Yes, yes it is. The whole promise of the \"your AI assistant/friend\" thing they're obsessed with creating is that it's working for YOU.\n\nThat it's got your best interests at heart.\n\nThis is the opposite. With ads, its true incentives are to make you buy shit, attributably.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2012576442379276550","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":64,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":7946,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2012576442379276550","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1370899913588969477":{"id":"1370899913588969477","date":"2021-03-14 00:49:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Juanser13 @macrocephalopod As long as you fill in the missing data due to splits/mergers/adds/deletes with zeros, I'm sure you'll be fine.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1370845763203444736","reply_id":"1370847620894240768","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Juanser13","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1370899913588969477","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1644921503417503744":{"id":"1644921503417503744","date":"2023-04-09 04:33:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If Nepo wins after getting utterly abused in the WC 15 months ago by the vacated champion, it will be the most embarrassing world champion since... Khalifman?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1644921503417503744","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3591,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1644921503417503744","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1838994992032780304":{"id":"1838994992032780304","date":"2024-09-25 17:32:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@elletwocache @briantreacy6 Not at the expense of meaningful EV.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1835409363873280223","reply_id":"1838994586049331563","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"elletwocache","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":138,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1838994992032780304","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1579857640858865665":{"id":"1579857640858865665","date":"2022-10-11 15:33:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm Meanwhile, Earthbound traditionalists will rail against the immoral Martians and how they even charge people for AIR!\n\nOr something.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1579855753737035776","reply_id":"1579855753737035776","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1579857640858865665","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2064602299071172935":{"id":"2064602299071172935","date":"2026-06-10 06:55:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Medieval priests          Anthropic\n                                  🤝\n               Epistemic paternalism","hashtags":[],"conv":"2064602299071172935","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2413,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2064602299071172935","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1637448931025248257":{"id":"1637448931025248257","date":"2023-03-19 13:40:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheZvi But surely the value of learning that language goes down more? Feels like it becomes more and more of a free-time luxury.\n\nTo be clear, as a speaker of 4 languages I hope it doesn't happen...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1637263353814069248","reply_id":"1637403367201800192","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheZvi","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":769,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1637448931025248257","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1988268245296599224":{"id":"1988268245296599224","date":"2025-11-11 15:31:04","author":"Ryan Wright","handle":"baynkr","text":"Last night one of our newest live traders left the desk with a working sell order still in.\n\nThe order filled short at 6,816 just before ES rallied.\n\nOur risk manager spotted it and immediately called the trader. No answer. Started working them out of the position.\n\nWithout that intervention the trader would’ve been short from 6,816 up to 6,865 at close. \n\nThat would have been a 49 point loss (~$2,400 PER contract).\n\nInstead it was a scratch. Trader kept their seat and account.\n\nA loss would’ve likely ended this trader’s run at Raen. Now they’re still trading.\n\nThis is table stakes for any legitimate trading operation. Most traders overlook risk infrastructure entirely when evaluating firms.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1988268245296599224","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1988490524198592526","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":367,"retweets":6,"replies":44,"quotes":8,"views":374427,"bookmarks":66,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/baynkr/status/1988268245296599224"},"1815209533691855358":{"id":"1815209533691855358","date":"2024-07-22 02:17:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"There has *never* been a more entitled, whiny, thoroughly unlikable F1 driver than Max Verstappen. Schumi, Prost, they have nothing on him.\n\nHe was engineered from birth to be this way.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1815209533691855358","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":127,"retweets":7,"replies":18,"quotes":1,"views":27675,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1815209533691855358","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2079165673142468625":{"id":"2079165673142468625","date":"2026-07-20 11:25:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Yes, OAI and Anthro get hurt badly because they RELY on a world where AI inference is high-margin.\n\nWell guess what: tough shit you bet on the wrong business model. That's capitalism for you.\n\nBut that's an Anthro/OAI problem, not a USA problem.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2079100710105293269","reply_id":"2079165399564796077","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":42,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2419,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2079165673142468625","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1346976407805599744":{"id":"1346976407805599744","date":"2021-01-07 00:26:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@famadeo @KrisAbdelmessih @SinclairEuan @bennpeifert \"Maybe\" because most of the time there won't be a trade to do even if there is a deviation from prediction.\n\nFiguring out which ones to trade is the art. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346975669150916611","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346976407805599744","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1204807952441339904":{"id":"1204807952441339904","date":"2019-12-11 16:59:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@aaljechin @SinclairEuan Looks like there might be room for one more? 😃\n\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Laws-Trading-Traders-Decision-Making-Everyone/dp/1119574218","hashtags":[],"conv":"1204799235335622656","reply_id":"1204801457062645761","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"aaljechin","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1204807952441339904","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1520793462559305729":{"id":"1520793462559305729","date":"2022-05-01 15:53:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Nd172557208 I'll let you know when I early-ex a put again.\n\nIt's been... 13 years?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1520620078253088768","reply_id":"1520620078253088768","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Nd172557208","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1520793462559305729","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1633934255373058048":{"id":"1633934255373058048","date":"2023-03-09 20:54:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4/\n\nBecause their friends and family do.\nBecause they feel like they’re missing out if they don’t.\nBecause they can call the cops if something bad happens.\nAnd a million other reasons both good and bad.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633934250620891136","reply_id":"1633934254060228608","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3439,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633934255373058048","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1584306753889370112":{"id":"1584306753889370112","date":"2022-10-23 22:12:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @donnelly_brent All that's left is to define \"bull\" and \"bear\" and you're all set. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1584305608299192320","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1584306753889370112","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1976648063746965909":{"id":"1976648063746965909","date":"2025-10-10 13:56:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@optionsly How is it pretty small? Prediction markets are still tiny but insider trading (like with the Nobel Prize thing today) is already rampant.\n\nSmall in $, yes, because PMs are still small. But large in percentage terms, and will only grow as dumb retail gets tired of getting fleeced.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1976645088433656219","reply_id":"1976647604802068579","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"optionsly","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1111,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1976648063746965909","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1706776360260346116":{"id":"1706776360260346116","date":"2023-09-26 21:02:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@robvfour @krishnanrohit @mbateman I think you misunderstood the myth your screen name refers to.\n\n\"One must imagine Sisyphus happy.\" - Albert Camus","hashtags":[],"conv":"1706686836809007378","reply_id":"1706769061122920801","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"robvfour","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":43,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1706776360260346116","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1283948160990113792":{"id":"1283948160990113792","date":"2020-07-17 02:14:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jordanwrong1 @SinclairEuan @KrisAbdelmessih Someone is demanding some liquidity (by bidding up that part of the vol curve). I guess the #1 question you want to think about is \"how many eyeballs saw this before me and passed on it\"?\n\nObv you can't _know_, but knowing the product well enough, you can guess based on history.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1282702235583954945","reply_id":"1283940928571482112","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jordanwrong1","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1283948160990113792","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1172312242064281602":{"id":"1172312242064281602","date":"2019-09-13 00:53:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@robertwiblin Basically only true sociopaths can legitimately receive that label.\n\nThe rest of us are doing our best, given the constraints.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1172310342019342337","reply_id":"1172310342019342337","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"robertwiblin","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1172312242064281602","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1430565640398512133":{"id":"1430565640398512133","date":"2021-08-25 16:20:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily Depends on the shape. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1430565521917808640","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1430565640398512133","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1734778626586161280":{"id":"1734778626586161280","date":"2023-12-13 03:33:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 Without getting all politics, I don't thing DEI was at all a reaction to lack of diversity in the student body.\n\nAs evidenced by: we're over a decade in and the student body is pretty much identical in composition to a decade ago.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1734659396557226141","reply_id":"1734709323509776525","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":498,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1734778626586161280","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1471872923551997955":{"id":"1471872923551997955","date":"2021-12-17 16:00:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"For all my crypto peeps, I'm curious how many have read the Satoshi whitepaper?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471872923551997955","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471872923551997955","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1720440483951104292":{"id":"1720440483951104292","date":"2023-11-03 13:59:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@matt_levine Surely plead-guilty was 20ish whereas now he's in the 30ish to life range?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1720437556469477428","reply_id":"1720439832256622609","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"matt_levine","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":803,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1720440483951104292","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1588276300640268288":{"id":"1588276300640268288","date":"2022-11-03 21:05:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @therobotjames @sommfinance @zmanian Forget Roko's Basilisk, I'm worried about Roko's Hedge Fund.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1588170605924274176","reply_id":"1588255026383712256","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1588276300640268288","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1535389528457760768":{"id":"1535389528457760768","date":"2022-06-10 22:32:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames As @darjohn25 has said many times, the reason this feels wrong to amateur traders is that 99 times out of 100, they're trading too big!\n\nThey care SO MUCH about the exit, the stop loss, whatever because the bet they made is way too big for their capital base.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1535381647314534401","reply_id":"1535388572630405121","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1535389528457760768","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1790195529756086306":{"id":"1790195529756086306","date":"2024-05-14 01:40:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@fchollet Searle proposed the Chinese Room argument 44 years ago.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1790194880490401795","reply_id":"1790194880490401795","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"fchollet","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":598,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1790195529756086306","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1493389707694120963":{"id":"1493389707694120963","date":"2022-02-15 01:00:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@longskew Beyond a small amount of studying for the SAT to understand how to deal with the test (i.e. one or two practice tests), additional studying has very low effect on your score.\n\nDirty little secret of the test prep industry.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493387393142976512","reply_id":"1493389341967753217","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"longskew","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493389707694120963","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1486861007909625861":{"id":"1486861007909625861","date":"2022-01-28 00:37:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jeffdafo @onemadhatter1 The Ocaml was mostly joking. Though it is a great language for surprisingly many applications.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486813088338755591","reply_id":"1486856448336347136","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jeffdafo","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1486861007909625861","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1839331135849218449":{"id":"1839331135849218449","date":"2024-09-26 15:48:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"C++ started going off the deep end with templates. A nice idea that people decided to abuse beyond all recognition.\n\nEverything after that was inevitable.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1839331135849218449","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":6038,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1839331135849218449","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1734949497233645932":{"id":"1734949497233645932","date":"2023-12-13 14:52:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 No, the make-up doesn't remotely reflect ability. But that's never been their objective.\n\nIvy League universities are machines whose objective is to maximize endowment $. So they need two things from their students: rich kids and smart kids who can play nice with rich kids.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1734659396557226141","reply_id":"1734842741685903517","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":206,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1734949497233645932","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1879888496695062549":{"id":"1879888496695062549","date":"2025-01-16 13:48:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @arb8020 I'm making no claim about the question itself, but rather the fact that (with insanely high probability) it indicates a mindless interview process. People going through the motions.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1879804857416302740","reply_id":"1879882738389647869","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":129,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1879888496695062549","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1120564984935866368":{"id":"1120564984935866368","date":"2019-04-23 05:48:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Read an excerpt from my new book The Laws Of Trading!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1120564984935866368","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1120564984935866368","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1509893104085594113":{"id":"1509893104085594113","date":"2022-04-01 13:59:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@skyquake_1 VWAP machines are good when they're good.\n\nBut it's very hard to make a good one. Lots of ways to screw up.\n\nIf you're using a broker algo then maybe but it takes a lot of heavy lifting to roll your own.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1509623825519951881","reply_id":"1509799415032459270","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"skyquake_1","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1509893104085594113","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1602523158673694720":{"id":"1602523158673694720","date":"2022-12-13 04:37:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 Just get this book:\n\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Numerical-Linear-Algebra-Lloyd-Trefethen/dp/0898713617\n\nAnd work through the exercises.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602456291225395200","reply_id":"1602456291225395200","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":8,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":19,"media":["1602523158673694720_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1602523158673694720","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1705328272496902574":{"id":"1705328272496902574","date":"2023-09-22 21:08:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 Yup.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1705266499991240823","reply_id":"1705325682698727742","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":178,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1705328272496902574","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1819737283186344346":{"id":"1819737283186344346","date":"2024-08-03 14:09:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@fchollet https://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1549963630610829314","hashtags":[],"conv":"1819471791322288178","reply_id":"1819471791322288178","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"fchollet","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":456,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1819737283186344346","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1457781672540135430":{"id":"1457781672540135430","date":"2021-11-08 18:46:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih This (uncommercial) is the only way to live. Otherwise, in a very real sense, it's not *you* writing. It's the lowest-common-denominator hive-mind using you to write what it wants.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1457778894874972160","reply_id":"1457778897005604864","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1457781672540135430","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1744739482732236818":{"id":"1744739482732236818","date":"2024-01-09 15:14:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@profplum99 @quantian1 The ole Goldman CEO playbook.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1744723795414515915","reply_id":"1744723795414515915","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"profplum99","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":981,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1744739482732236818","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1643644131506356224":{"id":"1643644131506356224","date":"2023-04-05 15:57:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2023/04/the-arrow-replacement-effect-and-the-dynamics-of-us-inventors.html\n\nTL;DR:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1643644131506356224","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1479,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1643644131506356224_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1643644131506356224","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1549099433203183616":{"id":"1549099433203183616","date":"2022-07-18 18:31:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@godcomplex96 🙏🙏🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1549091517091938304","reply_id":"1549091517091938304","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"godcomplex96","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1549099433203183616","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1249729468794458112":{"id":"1249729468794458112","date":"2020-04-13 16:01:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm Strauss would say that the problem *is* the fact it's been revealed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1249725305486315521","reply_id":"1249725305486315521","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1249729468794458112","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2015157988500160595":{"id":"2015157988500160595","date":"2026-01-24 20:21:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"CC is impressive cuz our tech is actually shit. Everything's interface is bespoke, nothing works together by default, our computer languages are shit, and testing software is a nightmare.\n\nBut we're so fucking USED TO IT that we don't even see it.\n\nWe all have Stockholm Syndrome.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2015157979494928386","reply_id":"2015157986767876157","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":158,"retweets":6,"replies":5,"quotes":3,"views":19586,"bookmarks":26,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2015157988500160595","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1710008376472826304":{"id":"1710008376472826304","date":"2023-10-05 19:05:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbacarella Same feeling of nostalgia.\n\nIt was a great place to work back in the day.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709714391380238814","reply_id":"1709997168222945755","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbacarella","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":172,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1710008376472826304","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1417673159214387201":{"id":"1417673159214387201","date":"2021-07-21 02:29:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Q: \"Why is FTX raising $ when they're literally printing money?\"\n\nMy A: \"Think of it like an airdrop. You get (ideally) high-status people to give you $ so that they're aligned with you. So they have a real interest in seeing you succeed.\"\n\nWhat say you @Brett_FTXUS ? Crazy? :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1417673159214387201","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1417673159214387201","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1603778145714180096":{"id":"1603778145714180096","date":"2022-12-16 15:44:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4. As an owner, you have such incredibly trolling power that you'd be an idiot not to use it.\n5. Bans, ridiculous poll, arbitrary decisions, etc. Become the conversation.\n\nThere's a reason the #1 subject on Twitter is Twitter.\n\nVertically-integrated trolling. And it's working.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1603778144351096832","reply_id":"1603778144351096832","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":43,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2308,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1603778145714180096","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1585442174883090432":{"id":"1585442174883090432","date":"2022-10-27 01:24:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @KrisAbdelmessih 🤣🤣🤣\n\nThe philandering may have also had *something* to do with it...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1585032224147406848","reply_id":"1585442050777837568","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1585442174883090432","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1486413624868589571":{"id":"1486413624868589571","date":"2022-01-26 18:59:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"7/ \"Congrats. How much did you dilute in this round?\"\n\nCEO: \"I don't know. The consultants handle that part. Anyway, I spread the marketing on the feature but it's still not selling.\"\n\n\"You need sales.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486413617582927874","reply_id":"1486413622809006080","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1486413624868589571","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1770304528916857033":{"id":"1770304528916857033","date":"2024-03-20 04:21:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@waltuuuhr I wish I knew where to even start. But even just picking the fruit from the tree (a tiny part of the process) is so ridiculously complicated, and you end up paying a laborer to do it at ~6s/fruit. Good luck AI.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1770296180175708532","reply_id":"1770301803239731371","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"waltuuuhr","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":327,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1770304528916857033","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1952747078121115758":{"id":"1952747078121115758","date":"2025-08-05 15:02:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This country is filthy rich! They don't even realize how much better they could have it. You might say it's a choice. But I doubt it. It's just scarcity mindset the whole way.\n\n@CJHandmer I thought of you.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1952747071942853008","reply_id":"1952747076254679072","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":2950,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1952747078121115758","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1448102983779057665":{"id":"1448102983779057665","date":"2021-10-13 01:47:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RandyMartingale @drewg__ @therobotjames It's fun even though I know almost nothing about them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448086924330246151","reply_id":"1448102900484526084","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RandyMartingale","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448102983779057665","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1437817074131226624":{"id":"1437817074131226624","date":"2021-09-14 16:34:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4/ Again, I'm not saying you shouldn't try to get incredibly good at understanding the products you're trading. You definitely *should*.\n\nBut *starting* with the product is definitely a mistake.\n\n\"I want to get into options trading.\"\n\nWhy?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1437817071014801410","reply_id":"1437817073145503746","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1437817074131226624","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1409667177175674898":{"id":"1409667177175674898","date":"2021-06-29 00:17:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Why is Pandas groupby time interval acausal by default?\n\nArgh!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1409667177175674898","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1409667177175674898","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1984922771592532383":{"id":"1984922771592532383","date":"2025-11-02 09:57:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"No, the fertility crisis isn't a signal of sickness anymore than Medicare is.\n\n1. Becoming a rich society means people prioritize material wealth.\n2. Having a kid is incredibly financially costly.\n\nSolve for the equilibrium.\n\nWant more kids? Pay mothers what kids cost. ~$500k.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1984922771592532383","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":82,"retweets":6,"replies":14,"quotes":1,"views":20271,"bookmarks":18,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1984922771592532383","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1970145797179113972":{"id":"1970145797179113972","date":"2025-09-22 15:18:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Yes, could you please facilitate insider trading outside the regulatory envelope of the SEC?\n\nIf you wouldn't mind?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970145797179113972","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":67,"retweets":3,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":17618,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1970145797179113972","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1222686300936949760":{"id":"1222686300936949760","date":"2020-01-30 01:01:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I'm pretty sure VC is the apex occupation for:\n\n- Needing to *signal* you're a contrarian,\nBUT\n- Needing to *invest* exactly like everyone else.\n\n@paulg agree/disagree?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1222686300936949760","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1222686300936949760","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1549825755265187840":{"id":"1549825755265187840","date":"2022-07-20 18:37:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@joaoascolid @CSLupinacci @VitorKyrr @brunotb27 @DUnderdogProj 🙏 Obrigado.\n\nInfelizmente nao tem versao do livro em portugues (ainda), mas estarei feliz de ajudar ou esclarecer duvidas.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1549428409520246784","reply_id":"1549824736103890945","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"joaoascolid","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1549825755265187840","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1499906111968743425":{"id":"1499906111968743425","date":"2022-03-05 00:34:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @KrisAbdelmessih That was a fun day. It was supposed to be an hour and the producer decided she had to interrupt after 100mins of non-stop talking! 🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1499620140819701761","reply_id":"1499840745737445383","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1499906111968743425","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1732869747241517326":{"id":"1732869747241517326","date":"2023-12-07 21:08:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Ah yes. Long Capital Term Management. Famous.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1732869747241517326","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2433,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1732869747241517326","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2039807957299351868":{"id":"2039807957299351868","date":"2026-04-02 20:51:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Seniors vote. Children and young adults don't.\n\nSolve for the equilibrium.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2039807957299351868","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":33,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":5230,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2039807957299351868","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2060053530149302663":{"id":"2060053530149302663","date":"2026-05-28 17:40:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Do people nowadays metabolic syndrome finger trades?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2060053530149302663","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":5063,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2060053530149302663","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1537456907366985729":{"id":"1537456907366985729","date":"2022-06-16 15:27:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dacaldar \"Here's a weapon where if you hold it anywhere other than the middle 10% of its length, it will permanently debilitate you and given you're in a fight definitely cause your death by incapacitating you.\"\n\nSign me up!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1537441361804206084","reply_id":"1537456414083276802","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1537456907366985729","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1958162660358324498":{"id":"1958162660358324498","date":"2025-08-20 13:42:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ferrisml_pk @sobradob Cool with me, all part of the convo.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957965349137314121","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":56,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1958162660358324498","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1510633904742445062":{"id":"1510633904742445062","date":"2022-04-03 15:02:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount What's that? Watching Jordan scratch it around looking like he's going to shoot 80 then adding it up for a smooth 71?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1510623971208839173","reply_id":"1510623971208839173","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1510633904742445062","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1890393691258245458":{"id":"1890393691258245458","date":"2025-02-14 13:32:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@itsmartingale Nope.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1890336375477543143","reply_id":"1890392411991318586","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"itsmartingale","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":195,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1890393691258245458","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1783165728344211946":{"id":"1783165728344211946","date":"2024-04-24 16:06:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@austincampbell Counterpoint: what's freer than free people who can freely agree to contracts, and refuse the ones they don't like?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1783136964406907122","reply_id":"1783136964406907122","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"austincampbell","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":1623,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1783165728344211946","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1442259152345067530":{"id":"1442259152345067530","date":"2021-09-26 22:45:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Deniers either:\n(a) haven't met one yet, or\n(b) have pre-existing political/sociological/emotional commitments that blind them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1442259152345067530","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1442259152345067530","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1508963594846687241":{"id":"1508963594846687241","date":"2022-03-30 00:25:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Yes! 👇👇👇\n\nTrade implementation comes second.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1508963594846687241","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1508963594846687241","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2071583831153430647":{"id":"2071583831153430647","date":"2026-06-29 13:17:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"PS yes all of this is AGI-compatible.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2071583808587964540","reply_id":"2071583829131735433","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3371,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2071583831153430647","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1549973748068929536":{"id":"1549973748068929536","date":"2022-07-21 04:25:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Dr_P_S_Gill No wizard here.\n\nI learned from really good people, and make lots and lots of mistakes like everyone else.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1549963630610829314","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1549973748068929536","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1861014078702932126":{"id":"1861014078702932126","date":"2024-11-25 11:48:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 Xmonad","hashtags":[],"conv":"1860993921670857038","reply_id":"1860993921670857038","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":1123,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1861014078702932126","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1149349031568560128":{"id":"1149349031568560128","date":"2019-07-11 16:05:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@fredwilson Not always.\nhttps://www.health.harvard.edu/blog/rethinking-the-screening-mammogram-2018062814151","hashtags":[],"conv":"1149348395938656256","reply_id":"1149348395938656256","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"fredwilson","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1149349031568560128","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1718052698539618305":{"id":"1718052698539618305","date":"2023-10-27 23:50:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LauraDeming @dwarkesh_sp","hashtags":[],"conv":"1717930806503719301","reply_id":"1717930806503719301","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"LauraDeming","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":100,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1718052698539618305","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1504547608571756550":{"id":"1504547608571756550","date":"2022-03-17 19:57:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @TCK_JRubano @therobotjames @theemilyaccount @lightspringfox @imagine_mev @pranavvk \"Besides, it doesn't really matter. Transformers are going to take over soon. GPT-5 will achieve full sentience.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503862489599340544","reply_id":"1504547451214053384","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1504547608571756550","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1739673594270249157":{"id":"1739673594270249157","date":"2023-12-26 15:44:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Recommend.\n\nIt's refreshing to read an honest, agenda-free, even-handed effort at understanding possibly the most important question of our time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1739673594270249157","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":3,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":11382,"bookmarks":16,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1739673594270249157","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1494672676190756871":{"id":"1494672676190756871","date":"2022-02-18 13:58:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CautionPesimism @MinvstrD @darjohn25 @davidasinclair I also *think* that's true, but again genetic predisposition to type 2 is a thing. Native America populations, Pacific islanders IIRC.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494307229624897537","reply_id":"1494671990199918593","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"cautiously_p","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494672676190756871","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1598925237944725504":{"id":"1598925237944725504","date":"2022-12-03 06:20:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Can someone please coin a term for:\n\n\"Rage at an AI that's obviously just bullshitting you and not admitting it.\"\n\n?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598925237944725504","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598925237944725504","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1984961068179841146":{"id":"1984961068179841146","date":"2025-11-02 12:29:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@david_streever This isn't quite as clear to me. People prioritizing material wealth is what has given us long healthy lifespans full of things like antibiotics, air travel, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1984922771592532383","reply_id":"1984958398090313914","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"david_streever","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":403,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1984961068179841146","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1906021646474846486":{"id":"1906021646474846486","date":"2025-03-29 16:32:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"There's just no way the squash pros are playing with the same double yellow dots I am. The ball comes off way too lively from the back wall.\n\nYes I know the ball is very hot. That doesn't explain it. The sound betrays it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1906021646474846486","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2911,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1906021646474846486","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1629542173128667136":{"id":"1629542173128667136","date":"2023-02-25 18:01:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xHanamichi Ugh yes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1629522250205638656","reply_id":"1629541984313507845","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"colonel_kill","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":946,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1629542173128667136","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1552490070103339008":{"id":"1552490070103339008","date":"2022-07-28 03:04:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @therobotjames @moreproteinbars @KrisAbdelmessih Not far off...\n\nThat and degen bets on chicken McNuggets.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1552416077984198656","reply_id":"1552466696346439680","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1552490070103339008","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1891954728268923146":{"id":"1891954728268923146","date":"2025-02-18 20:55:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@krishnanrohit Based on what? What affordances would allow them to see that tiny sidelong glance during drinks after work, or the almost inaudible sigh at the C suite's retreat in Park City?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1891949443999514923","reply_id":"1891954138042233117","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"krishnanrohit","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":321,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1891954728268923146","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1692626904816197640":{"id":"1692626904816197640","date":"2023-08-18 19:57:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ENROLAN2 Your time to learn how to use the tool properly for those tasks you're not that great at.\n\nAnd the time to learn how to at least evaluate its output, again in a domain you're not an expert in.\n\nNot free, but since evaluating is often much easier than creating it's a good trade.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1692617267576467909","reply_id":"1692623898926285026","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ENROLAN2","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":809,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1692626904816197640","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2007753765953446140":{"id":"2007753765953446140","date":"2026-01-04 09:59:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"PSA: if you want to connect w/ me on Linkedin (which I basically never check) and I don't know you, at least write a sentence to say why.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2007753765953446140","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":5961,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2007753765953446140","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1922337937649287340":{"id":"1922337937649287340","date":"2025-05-13 17:07:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Abude_al_asaad @nkreu113r Please do.\n\n1. I buy SPY at $600 using 5:1 leverage.\n2. SPY goes under $480.\n\nWhat happens, exactly?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1922217541520314643","reply_id":"1922323195073331521","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Abude_al_asaad","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":317,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1922337937649287340","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2047923740952961053":{"id":"2047923740952961053","date":"2026-04-25 06:20:43","author":"Dwarkesh Patel","handle":"dwarkesh_sp","text":"RT @dwarkesh_sp: $ 20k blog prize to answer some big questions about AI\n\nThe not-so-secret point of this whole contest is so that I can hire a research collaborator to think through questions like this hand in hand with me.\n\nhttps://t.co/BD8YU5jtNd","hashtags":[],"conv":"2047923740952961053","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2047726907094089946","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":55,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1,"bookmarks":0,"media":["2047923740952961053_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/2047923740952961053"},"1243352022100742144":{"id":"1243352022100742144","date":"2020-03-27 01:39:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @DonExacto @drunkengrass Also, range in $ terms isn't nearly as predictive as range in implied vol terms.\n\nI.e. if vol hasn't moved then all of the option's move is due to delta (plus some theta). In that case, if there's any edge to be had, it's on the underlying not on the option so trade that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1243322979724832768","reply_id":"1243348821377265666","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1243352022100742144","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1437985298604908544":{"id":"1437985298604908544","date":"2021-09-15 03:43:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@thodoha @mpp75214 @sajidnizami @JessicaNutt96 #2 would spend more time with my kids and do the exercises in the back of the chapters of books I'm embarrassed I don't currently.\n\n#3 would work on weird ML ideas I don't currently have time for (non-finance-related, at least directly).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1437961713387667456","reply_id":"1437984300620677123","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"othadoh","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1437985298604908544","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1456614885593337862":{"id":"1456614885593337862","date":"2021-11-05 13:30:25","author":"Meb Faber","handle":"MebFaber","text":"Investing quote of the day:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1456614885593337862","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1456615267853758466","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":53,"retweets":8,"replies":3,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1456614885593337862_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/MebFaber/status/1456614885593337862"},"1732898887609036986":{"id":"1732898887609036986","date":"2023-12-07 23:04:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Me 50 min ago: For *sure* I sealed this 4gal milk jug airtight. It can go in sideways. But I'll check for leaks in 2mins anyway.\n\nMe 48 min ago: ...\n\nMe 10 min ago: Oh right. This is pointless, I'm sure it's fine but I'll check.\n\nMe 1 min ago: Finished cleaning the mess.\n\n😡","hashtags":[],"conv":"1732898887609036986","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":3489,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1732898887609036986","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1733337274740515118":{"id":"1733337274740515118","date":"2023-12-09 04:06:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@goodalexander @therobotjames No, IMO this is terrible advice.\n\nIt will destroy your voice and make it bland and uninteresting. And often rewriting bland crap takes more time than writing it in the first place, once you count all little frictions and annoyances.\n\nThere's no way around. Only through.\n\nYMMV.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1733322841783963829","reply_id":"1733331946799792232","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"goodalexander","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":772,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1733337274740515118","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1309136778494967812":{"id":"1309136778494967812","date":"2020-09-24 14:25:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VitruviusCurve I don't know how many small caps have vol < 1% for years on end while a central bank explicitly keeps them tied to the value of something else.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1309049211950952450","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1309136778494967812","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1277633575509057536":{"id":"1277633575509057536","date":"2020-06-29 16:02:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NathanTankus @rortybomb @JStein_WaPo At this point, is public life exclusively about gaslighting? Even people who are nominally on your team?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1277633227377836032","reply_id":"1277633227377836032","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"NathanTankus","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1277633575509057536","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1689400693944418306":{"id":"1689400693944418306","date":"2023-08-09 22:18:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@benhayesnyc @PrinceVogel https://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1403386243837087744","hashtags":[],"conv":"1688987309834735619","reply_id":"1689092713680109568","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"benhayesnyc","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":459,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1689400693944418306","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1698827813762347328":{"id":"1698827813762347328","date":"2023-09-04 22:38:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This might be the best dev interview question I've ever seen.\n\n\"Write the code\"? Instant fail.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1698827554831138818","reply_id":"1698827554831138818","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1401,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1698827813762347328","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1454896795000008718":{"id":"1454896795000008718","date":"2021-10-31 19:43:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3/ The time investment is big, and the financial investment too. A lot of high schools are oriented around their sports teams (Friday Night Lights, etc). But why!?!?\n\nLet's look at some reasons:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1454896792802267140","reply_id":"1454896793892704258","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1454896795000008718","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1770185449463521703":{"id":"1770185449463521703","date":"2024-03-19 20:27:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Where is the matchmaking service for like-minded parents to find each other and do this?\n\nMassive opportunity IMO. Not necessarily profitable as a service, but maybe as a non-profit...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1770185449463521703","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":41,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":8835,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1770185449463521703","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1822005352805888480":{"id":"1822005352805888480","date":"2024-08-09 20:21:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"No chance.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1822005352805888480","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":6096,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1822005352805888480_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1822005352805888480","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1417934994664607749":{"id":"1417934994664607749","date":"2021-07-21 19:50:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@zw33ty4mz It's definitely part of why I did engineering.\n\nI think the finance was realizing I was at least as good at poker as I was at engineering, and wanting to find something that combined the two.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1417931689922240513","reply_id":"1417933927457730565","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"return_stacking","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1417934994664607749","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1250095779194105857":{"id":"1250095779194105857","date":"2020-04-14 16:17:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@paulg @rstephens While true, founder speed only takes you so far. Ability and (more importantly) inclination to build an org that enables people to move fast ends up winning.\n\nBasically, lots of tech founders can't manage their way out of a paper bag.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1250061898671947777","reply_id":"1250093928319258631","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"paulg","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1250095779194105857","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1677526634365329410":{"id":"1677526634365329410","date":"2023-07-08 03:54:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xfbifemboy Rapa causes a weakened immune system no?\n\nSeems more problematic as you age.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1677506075296403457","reply_id":"1677523592656072705","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xfbifemboy","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":280,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1677526634365329410","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1595639355724681218":{"id":"1595639355724681218","date":"2022-11-24 04:44:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@QuantumHoneybee I'm very anti-conspiracy in general but this is absolutely insane.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595636626557837312","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1595639355724681218","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1349163176013692929":{"id":"1349163176013692929","date":"2021-01-13 01:15:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JoshOlawale The point is that because implied \"skew\" (defined for example as IV(25d put) - IV(25d call)) is steeper than realized vol conditional on these moves, buying upside and selling downside IV usually makes money.\n\nSame idea as selling ATM IV, just getting more precise. @SinclairEuan","hashtags":[],"conv":"1349154761010921474","reply_id":"1349159189336051712","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JoshOlawale","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1349163176013692929","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2050471279082299898":{"id":"2050471279082299898","date":"2026-05-02 07:03:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Yet another clueless wrong-answers-only.\n\n1. Exchanges structure fees to maximize trading. That's it, that's their only goal. If +ve maker fees do it, great. If -ve maker fees do it, great.\n\nTurns out it doesn't even matter to the end user because...","hashtags":[],"conv":"2050471279082299898","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":185,"retweets":7,"replies":6,"quotes":2,"views":45212,"bookmarks":106,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2050471279082299898","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1460805568826798083":{"id":"1460805568826798083","date":"2021-11-17 03:02:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@goodalexander @tolstoybb Was this a wrong-answers-only? :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1460790740519292933","reply_id":"1460803909900017669","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"goodalexander","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1460805568826798083","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1546558788374712320":{"id":"1546558788374712320","date":"2022-07-11 18:15:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MinvstrD @GestaltU Exactly. It's *weird*!\n\nPerfectly normal-seeming people who you see coaching their kids soccer teams. Who've decided that some laws don't apply to them anymore.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546539032745844736","reply_id":"1546557237514174464","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MinvstrD","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546558788374712320","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1561912569341743104":{"id":"1561912569341743104","date":"2022-08-23 03:05:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 @arkansashype @therobotjames @Cereal_Intern @MisuaRaboki \"Every +ve edge trader in one market is a -ve edge trader in some other market.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1411890038938345472","reply_id":"1561912167447904256","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":12,"retweets":3,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1561912569341743104","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1509171251407093761":{"id":"1509171251407093761","date":"2022-03-30 14:10:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@kust1983 @milnewd 1. The correct use of basic techniques involves lots of \"boring\" subtleties which are easy to get wrong. How to deal with outliers, what counts as an outlier, regularization, etc.\n\n2. You have to know *what* to apply them to. It's a big world. Needles in haystacks.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1508949176515584001","reply_id":"1509098058147115012","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"kust1983","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1509171251407093761","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1946518721079443846":{"id":"1946518721079443846","date":"2025-07-19 10:33:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@waltuuuhr Yes probably.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946518179569651763","reply_id":"1946518517337006123","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"waltuuuhr","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1750,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946518721079443846","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1575840402707427328":{"id":"1575840402707427328","date":"2022-09-30 13:30:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OffTheRunTrades Yeah but:\n\nhttps://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1575660592647393280","hashtags":[],"conv":"1575839986884448257","reply_id":"1575839988692189185","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OffTheRunTrades","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1575840402707427328","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1600196331485949952":{"id":"1600196331485949952","date":"2022-12-06 18:31:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Adderall decreases stochasticity\nLSD increases stochasticity\n\n?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1600194841089961986","reply_id":"1600194841089961986","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1600196331485949952","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1479590580913012736":{"id":"1479590580913012736","date":"2022-01-07 23:07:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NewRiverInvest @bennpeifert Visual intuition: draw a triangle with the relevant side lengths. Use the cosine law to find the angles.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1479542635174174720","reply_id":"1479583728082960385","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GRoditiD","likes":5,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1479590580913012736","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1548056293880999938":{"id":"1548056293880999938","date":"2022-07-15 21:25:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@joaoascolid @FREAK0NAUT @therobotjames @pmontu33 Muito obrigado. A minha esposa (Brasileira) gosta da ideia de abrir a mercado ai pro livro. Se voce conhecer pessoas interessadas em ajudar com isso, sejam editoras ou organisacoes de palestras, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548007648007634944","reply_id":"1548055542819524608","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"joaoascolid","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1548056293880999938","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1850843214938271757":{"id":"1850843214938271757","date":"2024-10-28 10:13:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Keywords. More keywords!\n\nAnd attributes. Yes attributes, our language is so f**ked and our need to be backward-compatible is killing us, so let's make things compiler warnings and hope the user uses -Werror.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1850841501577662583","reply_id":"1850841501577662583","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1146,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1850843214938271757","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1708947440785907885":{"id":"1708947440785907885","date":"2023-10-02 20:49:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@aditya_baradwaj Intraday prime broker margin is kinda like a flash loan.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1708941085266022800","reply_id":"1708941085266022800","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"adi_baradwaj","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":479,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1708947440785907885","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1552868295879012352":{"id":"1552868295879012352","date":"2022-07-29 04:07:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bookdepth New Yorker: Remember when we built things?\n\nOther New Yorker: No. Before my time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1552868005486493697","reply_id":"1552868005486493697","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bookdepth","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1552868295879012352","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1710133511481643276":{"id":"1710133511481643276","date":"2023-10-06 03:22:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbacarella He really comes off overconfident and kinda dense.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1710121123353137542","reply_id":"1710121123353137542","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbacarella","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":46,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1710133511481643276","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1377699208442961923":{"id":"1377699208442961923","date":"2021-04-01 19:07:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames I think it's a balance. In part, finding trades is an exercise in creativity. And that creativity is often well-stimulated by searching in interesting-to-you areas irrespective of immediate $ applicability.\n\nBut you can't live there forever. Hence the balance.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377482535463161856","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1377699208442961923","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1479902475196850176":{"id":"1479902475196850176","date":"2022-01-08 19:47:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@longskew @lightspringfox @macrocephalopod This irks me quite a bit. Sure poker is great and everything, but the idea that extreme skill at a bounded-and-known-rules domain gives you insight into something as complex as trading... it's a bit much.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1479798986231930883","reply_id":"1479899914524139529","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"longskew","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1479902475196850176","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1340513856318132225":{"id":"1340513856318132225","date":"2020-12-20 04:26:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@fchollet \"Game\" sounds so much better than \"weaponized hedonic treadmill\" tho.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1340476176997830657","reply_id":"1340476176997830657","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"fchollet","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1340513856318132225","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1731770204697637258":{"id":"1731770204697637258","date":"2023-12-04 20:19:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xbunbury @dwarkesh_sp I also think that GOFAI research selects for people who are far more symbolic reasoners than the average human.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1731766189872005219","reply_id":"1731769264271466875","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bunburyism","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":213,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1731770204697637258","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2013728265471430841":{"id":"2013728265471430841","date":"2026-01-20 21:40:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Very nice analysis here. Highly liquid crypto is very competitive, as you might expect.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2013728265471430841","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":48,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":11355,"bookmarks":32,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2013728265471430841","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1278756415692173312":{"id":"1278756415692173312","date":"2020-07-02 18:24:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0x49fa98 @halvorz He did pretty well at Thermopylae.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1278751646655356935","reply_id":"1278754126801879040","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0x49fa98","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1278756415692173312","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1919781157597524332":{"id":"1919781157597524332","date":"2025-05-06 15:47:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"His AI-enabled positive vision for the future is that we'll spend our time sending supercharged memes around to each other while the AIs cure all our diseases, with everything funded by ads. The intellectual bankruptcy is breathtaking.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1919780800125366694","reply_id":"1919780800125366694","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1241,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1919781157597524332","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1764706244336717858":{"id":"1764706244336717858","date":"2024-03-04 17:35:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Such a good book! I never thought a detailed history of the oil industry would be an actual page-turner but it was.\n\nSidenote: I read it on the Tube. A dude violates London subway decorum and asks me: \"Oil trader?\"\n\n\"No, equities.\"\n\n\"So you're reading it for fun?\"\n\n\"Yes.\"\n\n\"Why?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1764706244336717858","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":101,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":26784,"bookmarks":65,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1764706244336717858","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1775790343457546354":{"id":"1775790343457546354","date":"2024-04-04 07:39:45","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"many people are extremely confident in the magickal diversifying qualities of trend-following right now.\n\ninteresting.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1775790343457546354","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1775826749449719887","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":215,"retweets":3,"replies":28,"quotes":4,"views":182843,"bookmarks":24,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1775790343457546354"},"1418303293294473217":{"id":"1418303293294473217","date":"2021-07-22 20:13:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@saanglee Worth noting: that strike pattern clearly indicates you're hitting off mats. You're likely to hit it a bit fat when you get on real grass.\n\nYou should practice hitting it thin on purpose off mats to gain skill in varying strike location. Practice Manual talks a lot about this.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1418294496614174721","reply_id":"1418301487487143936","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"saanglee","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1418303293294473217","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1819442572319994049":{"id":"1819442572319994049","date":"2024-08-02 18:38:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Corollary: organizations that endure are competent at the thing that keeps them alive.\n\nWhich may be different from the thing *you* think does/should keep them alive.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1819442572319994049","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":39,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4381,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1819442572319994049","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1729612326846828982":{"id":"1729612326846828982","date":"2023-11-28 21:24:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Risk factor exposures are asset classes now, don't you know?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1729607899255542200","reply_id":"1729607899255542200","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":901,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1729612326846828982","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1508952777929621508":{"id":"1508952777929621508","date":"2022-03-29 23:42:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@GoyoDelPilarz I'm not quite ready to give an update but some things are in the works behind the scenes... :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1508949176515584001","reply_id":"1508951580489531392","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GoyoDelPilarz","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1508952777929621508","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1427742405663416321":{"id":"1427742405663416321","date":"2021-08-17 21:21:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alex_bcg @_Dave__White_ @Mephisto731 @sks01119 @danrobinson @snarkyzk @andrewjleone @AlexisGauba @aparnalocked @opyn_ I agree. This is relatively low cost to experiment with.\n\nI already tagged my former coworker @SBF_FTX, maybe he gets interested.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1427652305009004545","reply_id":"1427741846017544199","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alex_bcg","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1427742405663416321","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1465462806954713090":{"id":"1465462806954713090","date":"2021-11-29 23:28:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 No doubt. But it *is* a hard problem to solve.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1465452032874135555","reply_id":"1465462355857391616","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1465462806954713090","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1638191592115961856":{"id":"1638191592115961856","date":"2023-03-21 14:51:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The good news is most of us seem to be in the middle, using the *tool* as it's meant to be used.\n\n- Memorizing and smoothing your training set *is* valuable if you memorize basically everything on the Internet.\n- So use it as a soft search engine.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1638191588840202241","reply_id":"1638191590111051776","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1623,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1638191592115961856","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1970943775339057339":{"id":"1970943775339057339","date":"2025-09-24 20:09:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Post-literate societies are pretty incompatible with broad suffrage.\n\nhttps://jmarriott.substack.com/p/the-dawn-of-the-post-literate-society-aa1","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970943775339057339","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":41,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":5948,"bookmarks":21,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1970943775339057339","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1473134326518738944":{"id":"1473134326518738944","date":"2021-12-21 03:32:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames 🤣🤣🤣\n\nThe oldies are still the goodies.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1473132928771129346","reply_id":"1473134096419147782","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1473134326518738944","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1355238632689332224":{"id":"1355238632689332224","date":"2021-01-29 19:37:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jsoloff @choffstein @JSeyff @matt_levine I want to see that \"violation of fiduciary duty\" lawsuit because the CFO didn't sell into a squeeze!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1355199970115203078","reply_id":"1355238155427827712","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jsoloff","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1355238632689332224","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1678053473445896193":{"id":"1678053473445896193","date":"2023-07-09 14:48:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"McEnroe saying Bublik crowding the second serve return is \"disrespectful\". Guess who else did it a lot?\n\nYou guessed it. @JohnMcEnroe. On first serves too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1678053473445896193","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2950,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1678053473445896193_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1678053473445896193","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1708152574745203059":{"id":"1708152574745203059","date":"2023-09-30 16:11:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbacarella @yawaramin I guess eio should win eventually?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1707617769829646501","reply_id":"1708152131205927082","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbacarella","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":58,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1708152574745203059","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1768509064982700077":{"id":"1768509064982700077","date":"2024-03-15 05:26:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xbigben https://www.quora.com/Where-did-the-phrase-parliament-of-owls-originate","hashtags":[],"conv":"1768503695241793911","reply_id":"1768508894106812462","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xbigben","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":102,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1768509064982700077","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1479869384579420160":{"id":"1479869384579420160","date":"2022-01-08 17:35:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@IGotThisTrustMe @QwQiao 1. Money (or at least, some versions of it).\n2. Public credentials of various descriptions.\n3. A vehicle for innovation in solving coordination problems (DAOs, etc).\n\nAnd a thousand much-less-useful things too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1479846176790884354","reply_id":"1479868456174510087","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vavesalon","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1479869384579420160","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1375297001391202305":{"id":"1375297001391202305","date":"2021-03-26 04:02:11","author":"Bradley Mark Parsons","handle":"wait4thegoodlif","text":"@AgustinLebron3 Is that true that the match play has more variance?  What’s the average rank of the match play champion vs. the average rank of a stroke play tournament on the pga tour?  Field is smaller in match play, so you’d have to adjust but I bet it’s close.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1375119223693864961","reply_id":"1375119230522118144","quote_id":"1375298014370091008","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/wait4thegoodlif/status/1375297001391202305"},"1777747433511850360":{"id":"1777747433511850360","date":"2024-04-09 17:16:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@spoozetrader @DegenQuant","hashtags":[],"conv":"1777301762552234068","reply_id":"1777462325953601889","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"spoozetrader","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":244,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1777747433511850360_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1777747433511850360","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1583257634722877440":{"id":"1583257634722877440","date":"2022-10-21 00:43:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @macrocephalopod Sweet.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1582994422727585792","reply_id":"1583252825676468225","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1583257634722877440","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1389662711592718339":{"id":"1389662711592718339","date":"2021-05-04 19:26:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 My guess:\n\nWeekly vol identical, daily vol almost identical Tues-Thu. The \"extra\" vol on M and F will get distributed into the weekend.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1389658756485566464","reply_id":"1389658756485566464","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1389662711592718339","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1892113534152061254":{"id":"1892113534152061254","date":"2025-02-19 07:26:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EgeErdil2 2. As spreads get tighter, it probably requires more resources for MMs to compete: tech, people, capital. So maybe the industry expands for that reason.\n\n3. Also, financialization and public-market-ification has colonized more and more adjacent areas, expanding TAM for MMs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1891959616969318465","reply_id":"1892113068521378242","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":332,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1892113534152061254","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1580631114074402817":{"id":"1580631114074402817","date":"2022-10-13 18:46:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Do you suppose the Python people realize they're stuck at 3 forever?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1580631114074402817","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":59,"retweets":0,"replies":17,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1580631114074402817","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1536098381906386944":{"id":"1536098381906386944","date":"2022-06-12 21:29:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@robertmartin88 Yeah, if the thing you're trading is illiquid then it's super important.\n\nBut retail usually says this about scalping ticks on the spoos.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1363876629550800901","reply_id":"1536072228059619329","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"LacertaXG1","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1536098381906386944","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1749627725563023398":{"id":"1749627725563023398","date":"2024-01-23 02:58:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@joseph_h_garvin @notnotstorm I think I may experiment with this setup.\n\n🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1749580779221594239","reply_id":"1749627476853117362","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"joseph_h_garvin","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":271,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1749627725563023398","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1619724948804870144":{"id":"1619724948804870144","date":"2023-01-29 15:51:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Considering he's the world's greatest detective, Batman sure gets into a lot of altercations.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1619724948804870144","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2344,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1619724948804870144","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1763324872976159187":{"id":"1763324872976159187","date":"2024-02-29 22:06:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SpencerBosma @dwarkesh_sp The @patrickc one was awesome.\nSarah Paine\n@ShaneLegg","hashtags":[],"conv":"1763322524694446115","reply_id":"1763323919413768629","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SpencerBosma","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1219,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1763324872976159187","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1903890853531193591":{"id":"1903890853531193591","date":"2025-03-23 19:25:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JoachimMo1985 Maybe I will then...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1903889760483238169","reply_id":"1903890690670465124","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JoachimMo1985","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":424,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1903890853531193591","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1787859835184390350":{"id":"1787859835184390350","date":"2024-05-07 14:59:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@PtrPomorski What about those triple-changers though?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1787859235625484606","reply_id":"1787859689230807105","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"PtrPomorski","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":872,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1787859835184390350","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2079176246559232372":{"id":"2079176246559232372","date":"2026-07-20 12:07:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The SF AI scene needs fewer philosopher kings and more CEOs laser focused on serving the best possible tokens at the best possible price.\n\n\"Your margin is my opportunity.\"\n\nLess Marcus Aurelius, more Ron Vachris.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2079100710105293269","reply_id":"2079165673142468625","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":59,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3575,"bookmarks":11,"media":["2079176246559232372_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2079176246559232372","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1957702785958293611":{"id":"1957702785958293611","date":"2025-08-19 07:14:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@carry_inv Yes that is the argument. I still think it gets swamped by the other meme-factory considerations, but it's possible.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957667318684619245","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":568,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1957702785958293611","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1666800456302051328":{"id":"1666800456302051328","date":"2023-06-08 13:32:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"20/ But the biggest update happened slowly, year by year, until last week.\n\nIf you had asked me in 1996 how long it would take to have the device I had seen through that crippled transparent LCD screen, I sure as hell wouldn't have said \"over a quarter century\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1666800429236207621","reply_id":"1666800455093985281","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1646,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1666800456302051328","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1498444255794118656":{"id":"1498444255794118656","date":"2022-02-28 23:45:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite Yeats","hashtags":[],"conv":"1498442745811243009","reply_id":"1498442745811243009","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1498444255794118656","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1477056448504872962":{"id":"1477056448504872962","date":"2021-12-31 23:17:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EddyElfenbein Is this surprising?\n\n11/30 is kind of what you'd expect in a year where the Dow is up 20%. Think of the distribution you're drawing from.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477054777271984131","reply_id":"1477054777271984131","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EddyElfenbein","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477056448504872962","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1819422409008861320":{"id":"1819422409008861320","date":"2024-08-02 17:18:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Yes!\n\nThere is a better way, but the only one that can do it is LinkedIn and they're busy printing $ on InMail and ads.\n\nSo we remain in this shitty equilibrium where info tech could unlock >$1T of value but... doesn't.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1819422409008861320","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3594,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1819422409008861320","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2057716484235800616":{"id":"2057716484235800616","date":"2026-05-22 06:53:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Example: Etched.\n\n1. The bitter lesson is about *learning algorithms*, not building the biggest compute farm.\n2. It's not about building model-specific hardware!\n3. And (per Rich himself) it's CERTAINLY not about building compute ASICs for LLMs!!!","hashtags":[],"conv":"2057711394225635661","reply_id":"2057711394225635661","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3082,"bookmarks":4,"media":["2057716484235800616_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2057716484235800616","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1451009849601376263":{"id":"1451009849601376263","date":"2021-10-21 02:18:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Fitzdaf @Trading_Boxes Right. That's why I believe I said \"prices _on their own_ aren't terribly useful\". But that's the easy part.\n\nThe hard part is all the other stuff.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1450962362291290121","reply_id":"1451003235699994624","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Fitzdaf","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1451009849601376263","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1954991678051512700":{"id":"1954991678051512700","date":"2025-08-11 19:41:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Universities aren't going to go down without a fight vs AI.\n\nGet ready for the surveillance-state college experience where every keystroke must be logged, and every academic activity must be on video, for it to count towards your degree.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1954991678051512700","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":119,"retweets":1,"replies":21,"quotes":3,"views":14186,"bookmarks":16,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1954991678051512700","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1867316531765375182":{"id":"1867316531765375182","date":"2024-12-12 21:12:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@___vtx___ Hint: think about queue priority.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1867298783165305134","reply_id":"1867315492224180280","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"___vtx___","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":458,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1867316531765375182","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1710008469531828417":{"id":"1710008469531828417","date":"2023-10-05 19:06:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase @waltuuuhr I haven't seen his TV stuff tbh.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709714391380238814","reply_id":"1710003495581921671","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":74,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1710008469531828417","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1281643970720755712":{"id":"1281643970720755712","date":"2020-07-10 17:38:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@famadeo @BeingHorizontal This is a great q, one that I've spent a lot of time thinking about and still want to spend more time on.\n\nTweet-length belief: what matters most is surprise-$. I.e. you have a prior belief about how time flows (in $ terms) and the info is in the deviations from that belief.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1281596860885430272","reply_id":"1281643228224032768","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"famadeo","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1281643970720755712","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1415321024602677250":{"id":"1415321024602677250","date":"2021-07-14 14:43:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ How the hiring game is like trading, and vice versa.\n\nA thread. 👉👉👉","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":59,"retweets":5,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":28,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415321024602677250","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1760317909870764501":{"id":"1760317909870764501","date":"2024-02-21 14:57:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's hard to describe how awful \"You're a legend\" is as a way to say a simple thank you.\n\nUsed to be restricted to the UK but it's now infecting the rest of the anglosphere.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1760317909870764501","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":46,"retweets":0,"replies":11,"quotes":1,"views":11870,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1760317909870764501","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1486802205696946177":{"id":"1486802205696946177","date":"2022-01-27 20:44:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 Yep. Big alpha.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486728711961337857","reply_id":"1486801484234641408","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1486802205696946177","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1957462196830585195":{"id":"1957462196830585195","date":"2025-08-18 15:18:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xKuzco @panscan27 Horrendous development.\n\nIt's just the CBOE and brokers trying to get in on extracting $ from retail idiot gamblers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957390814113308717","reply_id":"1957459798125097353","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xKuzco","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":92,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1957462196830585195","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1481770529329541127":{"id":"1481770529329541127","date":"2022-01-13 23:29:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RockshotJ Precisely. There's a balance, and it's only when the candidate is already kind of excited about you do they make sense.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481745236678234114","reply_id":"1481755177216618499","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RockshotJ","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1481770529329541127","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2059209892578111778":{"id":"2059209892578111778","date":"2026-05-26 09:47:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Compare it to the robber barons of the early 20th century. Rockefeller, Carnegie, Vanderbilt, etc.\n\nBillionaire 20somethings competing for social approval with their own caste will very predictably lead to some of the most insane and idiotic burnings of money the world has seen.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2059209890128662970","reply_id":"2059209890128662970","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":51,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":3768,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2059209892578111778","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1601245400555716608":{"id":"1601245400555716608","date":"2022-12-09 16:00:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"There's something unsettling about seeing a grown-ass man use the same \"But I didn't *mean* to do it\" tactic as my kids used to, somehow expecting it to absolve them of most of the responsibility.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1601245400555716608","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":41,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1601245400555716608","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1703472569524146684":{"id":"1703472569524146684","date":"2023-09-17 18:14:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"His forehand isn't far behind either.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1703471919847334342","reply_id":"1703471919847334342","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1174,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1703472569524146684","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1694428860476170560":{"id":"1694428860476170560","date":"2023-08-23 19:18:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@danielgross Round strikes are Schelling points for liquidity.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1694422922117484647","reply_id":"1694422922117484647","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"danielgross","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":298,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1694428860476170560","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1458163293281914881":{"id":"1458163293281914881","date":"2021-11-09 20:03:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Trying to figure out why so many people hate Zuck. Compared to say Elon.\n\n1. Odd public persona. Sad, because it's not his fault he's probably somewhere on the spectrum (as many of us are). But Elon is too. ❌","hashtags":[],"conv":"1458163293281914881","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1458163293281914881","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1591475197701677056":{"id":"1591475197701677056","date":"2022-11-12 16:57:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod Wait a sec, hear me out.\n\nWhat if we were to do this as a service and then sell this \"alt data\" to all the shadowy hedge funds out there. So they can trade off it or something.\n\nThen we'd be rich!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1591473845076213761","reply_id":"1591473845076213761","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1591475197701677056","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1460043332948688899":{"id":"1460043332948688899","date":"2021-11-15 00:33:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is the good stuff.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1460043332948688899","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1460043332948688899","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1748079234357035150":{"id":"1748079234357035150","date":"2024-01-18 20:25:41","author":"Tarek Mansour","handle":"mansourtarek_","text":"If you're like me (and the rest of Twitter) and you're massively long Javier Milei, this is the cheapest 7x ROI you will find this year.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1748079234357035150","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1748105199665963157","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":4,"views":41851,"bookmarks":10,"media":["1748079234357035150_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mansourtarek_/status/1748079234357035150"},"1775695996829221338":{"id":"1775695996829221338","date":"2024-04-04 01:24:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@quantymacro I found out about quant finance at age 31 after working as an engineer for years. That year I applied and got a job at JS.\n\nThe idea that \"you only get one shot\" is patently false, and I'm proof.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1775487330280706079","reply_id":"1775487330280706079","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"quantymacro","likes":11,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":389,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1775695996829221338","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1436188759284805666":{"id":"1436188759284805666","date":"2021-09-10 04:44:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@drewg__ Interesting, will investigate.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1436184702335873045","reply_id":"1436187557990121479","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bookdepth","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1436188759284805666","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1482203700101726208":{"id":"1482203700101726208","date":"2022-01-15 04:11:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@goodalexander @0xdoug @CaleCrypto Is he Satoshi? 🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482086567720148993","reply_id":"1482203347541278723","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"goodalexander","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482203700101726208","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1805650347496739063":{"id":"1805650347496739063","date":"2024-06-25 17:12:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1805649281027915861","reply_id":"1805649769353576604","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":511,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1805650347496739063","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1994276332428251395":{"id":"1994276332428251395","date":"2025-11-28 05:25:04","author":"sysls","handle":"systematicls","text":"High frequency bozos will tell you HFT is the only way to make money because predictions decay exponentially with time.  \n\nMid frequency clowns will tell you that MFT is the ONLY way to make money because trading too fast will erode all transaction costs.  \n\nLow frequency jesters will tell you that LFT is SUPREMELY better because it allows you to manage BILLIONS rather than millions.  \n\n---  \n\nThe point is, for every way of making money there is a subset of people that are diametrically opposed to your beliefs.  Fuck them and do your thing.\n\nSincerely,\nGuy who has seen strategies across broad spectrums all working out fine","hashtags":[],"conv":"1994276332428251395","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1994342883093065852","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":509,"retweets":27,"replies":20,"quotes":7,"views":115114,"bookmarks":197,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/systematicls/status/1994276332428251395"},"1864931682484163014":{"id":"1864931682484163014","date":"2024-12-06 07:15:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod","hashtags":[],"conv":"1864801067726168359","reply_id":"1864801067726168359","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1426,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1864931682484163014_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1864931682484163014","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2009547021154161089":{"id":"2009547021154161089","date":"2026-01-09 08:45:20","author":"Temu Robot James","handle":"ScottPh77711570","text":"RT @ScottPh77711570: @intern_cc I mean nothing in this is completely wrong\n\nIts just obvious ai slop that you’ve never traded, or you would have mentioned the obvious problems everyone runs into\n\nCongratulations for making twitter worse I guess","hashtags":[],"conv":"2009547021154161089","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2009524027744997667","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ScottPh77711570/status/2009547021154161089"},"1708306723961012465":{"id":"1708306723961012465","date":"2023-10-01 02:23:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"He Man transforming Cringer into Battle Cat when it suits him seems very non-consensual...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1708306723961012465","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2563,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1708306723961012465","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1494510531578789891":{"id":"1494510531578789891","date":"2022-02-18 03:14:12","author":"Venkatesh Rao ☀️","handle":"vgr","text":"A lot of shit makes sense if you assume state capacity is collapsing","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494506361379377152","reply_id":"1494506361379377152","quote_id":"1494548289550635010","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vgr","likes":32,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/vgr/status/1494510531578789891"},"1942138314477240823":{"id":"1942138314477240823","date":"2025-07-07 08:27:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"18/ But now regulators know there is strong political cover to investigate one firm in particular. So that's what they're going to do.\n\nThey can share the political cost together, which means JS can expect more investigations and a lot more scrutiny than they've ever seen before.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942138312543682862","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":166,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":21901,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942138314477240823","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1942193004447469752":{"id":"1942193004447469752","date":"2025-07-07 12:04:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AB32432219 Basically yes. If the derivative is much more liquid, you can move the underlying around and it's +EV to do so. And yes, if your counterparty has bigger pockets then you're in trouble. But if *you're* the guy with the deepest pockets...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942187238101520709","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AB32432219","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":298,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942193004447469752","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1430378200748617728":{"id":"1430378200748617728","date":"2021-08-25 03:55:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @SinclairEuan @o_wutang Thought 1: \"What if Tether de-pegs?\"\nThought 2: \"Ew, that would be bad.\"\n\nOk, now what? Sure you've thought of it but have you really considered it? What it *means* for that to happen? What you would do if it did? What you could do now to prepare?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1430305676778033153","reply_id":"1430377656780951560","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1430378200748617728","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1277078505704927232":{"id":"1277078505704927232","date":"2020-06-28 03:16:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz I've taught this \"course\" to about a hundred interns over the years. It's easily my favorite. Start with pricing a bimodal-result stock option, and finish up somewhere in Heston land. Side trips into PC parity, earnings, pricing options in your head, others too.\n\nIt's a fun ride.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1277066993959677952","reply_id":"1277066993959677952","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1277078505704927232","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1783294600238764042":{"id":"1783294600238764042","date":"2024-04-25 00:38:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Portuguese and Spanish.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1783272438396330474","reply_id":"1783293942567494059","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1152,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1783294600238764042","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1633934252747390978":{"id":"1633934252747390978","date":"2023-03-09 20:54:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2/ There was a moment back in May of last year when everything crystallized for me and my co-founders Craig and Rich.\n\nLuna, 3AC, and all of that craziness was going on. And one of us (can’t remember who) asked a simple question:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633934250620891136","reply_id":"1633934250620891136","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":4854,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633934252747390978","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1290286279406399489":{"id":"1290286279406399489","date":"2020-08-03 13:59:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SimonDeDeo There's nothing wrong with any of this. The real question is what happens to new grad dev salaries when worldwide-remote becomes the new normal.\n\nA tiny fraction will still get >100k offers out of school (IOI medalists, etc), but most salaries will get crunched.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1290284766650961922","reply_id":"1290285696020709376","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1290286279406399489","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1685656125352644608":{"id":"1685656125352644608","date":"2023-07-30 14:18:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"F1 so boring.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1685656125352644608","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":1,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":6037,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1685656125352644608","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1689302387205582848":{"id":"1689302387205582848","date":"2023-08-09 15:47:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Nope, nothing at all.\" he said through his TLS connection made possible by incredibly complex late 20th century cryptography.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1689302387205582848","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":73,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":8948,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1689302387205582848","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1976661724242833681":{"id":"1976661724242833681","date":"2025-10-10 14:50:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@optionsly Agree to disagree.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1976645088433656219","reply_id":"1976658878621507826","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"optionsly","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":92,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1976661724242833681","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1276543611513929731":{"id":"1276543611513929731","date":"2020-06-26 15:51:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Paging @scottfawcett \n\nhttps://golf.com/news/how-google-earth-made-pro-aim-directly-at-trees/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1276543611513929731","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1276543611513929731","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2079120871650709840":{"id":"2079120871650709840","date":"2026-07-20 08:26:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The Internet sees censorship as damage and routes around it.\n\nThe world sees closed-weight model-nerfing as damage and works around it too.\n\nDario and the safetyists can hand-wring and rent-seek all they want. The world doesn't care.\n\nhttps://x.com/callebtc/status/2078738617367773325","hashtags":[],"conv":"2079120871650709840","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":156,"retweets":8,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":19688,"bookmarks":19,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2079120871650709840","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1845377378119196762":{"id":"1845377378119196762","date":"2024-10-13 08:13:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Short YouTube videos that live rent free in your head.\n\nI'll start.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cytyAgu9-bA","hashtags":[],"conv":"1845377378119196762","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2540,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1845377378119196762","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1632163980826542080":{"id":"1632163980826542080","date":"2023-03-04 23:39:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@july2022ffsacc They DO have a choice.\n\nWould any of those kids realistically do ANY of those extracurriculars, REMOTELY to that level of dedication, if it didn't increase their chances of getting into ivies?\n\nSelective schools can select on whatever the F they want!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632157627978514433","reply_id":"1632161553867849728","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"july2022ffsacc","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":249,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632163980826542080","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1926008934810157549":{"id":"1926008934810157549","date":"2025-05-23 20:14:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"LLMs are awesome because they haven't figured out how to monetize them with ads yet.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1926008934810157549","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":170,"retweets":9,"replies":19,"quotes":6,"views":14723,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1926008934810157549","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1582778944587063296":{"id":"1582778944587063296","date":"2022-10-19 17:01:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@healy_trader @macrocephalopod If you're bad at fairly basic number sense and such, it will get discovered through the rest of the process.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1582740869685604352","reply_id":"1582778705566654465","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"healy_trader","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1582778944587063296","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1725614010308202789":{"id":"1725614010308202789","date":"2023-11-17 20:36:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@krishnanrohit Reads like a boardroom knife fight where one side won, barely, and needs to consolidate the victory through public means.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1725613450578010365","reply_id":"1725613450578010365","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"krishnanrohit","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":407,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1725614010308202789","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2004600110534328367":{"id":"2004600110534328367","date":"2025-12-26 17:08:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"At an international conference, two politicians strike up a conversation in the lobby. One is a senator from Argentina, the other is a senator from the USA.\n\nThey hit it off, and they agree to visit each others respective provinces/states.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2004600110534328367","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":10282,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2004600110534328367","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1595237236672385024":{"id":"1595237236672385024","date":"2022-11-23 02:06:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tombnorwood @therobotjames @arb8020 Both yield to the same thing (i.e. being willing to grind hard day after day to get better). But IMO so does everything else.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595193472280973312","reply_id":"1595228126807834625","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tombnorwood","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1595237236672385024","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1522327112367022080":{"id":"1522327112367022080","date":"2022-05-05 21:27:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CharlieYouAI The price of adverse selection needs to be dynamically set by forward-looking agents.\n\nCFMMs : options analogies -->\n\nFixed fee pools : trading at a constant vol\nAdaptive fee pools : trading at a function of historical vol\n\nBoth of those would incinerate money in options.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1522322618812014592","reply_id":"1522325864075218945","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"CharlieYouAI","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1522327112367022080","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1457794970618765316":{"id":"1457794970618765316","date":"2021-11-08 19:39:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@robertwiblin Say the choice is whether or not to accept your job offer as a tool&die maker for a gun manufacturer.\n\nThe world is virtually unchanged whether you accept the offer or not. Basically all that happens is the gun mfr has to pay epsilon more, or accept an epsilon worse t&d person.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1457785965099978761","reply_id":"1457794188221698050","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"robertwiblin","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1457794970618765316","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1547051273878286339":{"id":"1547051273878286339","date":"2022-07-13 02:52:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @gregasmaximus Like recent vol. Returns normalized by recent vol look awfully normal...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546961600094998528","reply_id":"1547017638970560513","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1547051273878286339","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1611416803007397889":{"id":"1611416803007397889","date":"2023-01-06 17:37:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If there's anything on this Earth that's hyperreal, it's ChatGPT.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1611416432792961025","reply_id":"1611416432792961025","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1440,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1611416803007397889","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1384567609916493832":{"id":"1384567609916493832","date":"2021-04-20 18:00:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4/ Rarely, only rarely, it's something like:\n\n\"How do I deal with outliers a tiny bit better in this simple linear regression?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1384567607316017154","reply_id":"1384567609006329859","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":21,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1384567609916493832","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1433517596888862732":{"id":"1433517596888862732","date":"2021-09-02 19:50:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @matt_levine Complete list of jobs that don't require at least *some* amount of selling:\n\n- Anonymous trading.\n\nIt's the last honest profession.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1433517108638322697","reply_id":"1433517108638322697","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1433517596888862732","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1384588787058020354":{"id":"1384588787058020354","date":"2021-04-20 19:24:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@InvariantPersp1 Without getting all Thiel about it, I largely agree. Everyone wants to invest/work in SaaS because of the gross margin and the winner-take-all lottery aspect.\n\nIt's a tiny fraction of investors who ARE willing to put $ into ideas that CAN'T be described as \"X for Y\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1384567607316017154","reply_id":"1384587984087912450","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"InvariantPersp1","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1384588787058020354","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1439737855820009474":{"id":"1439737855820009474","date":"2021-09-19 23:47:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 @DavidTaggart @therobotjames @LawrenceKovac @BlacklionCTA @mpp75214 @SinclairEuan @bennpeifert @jagmavi @KrisAbdelmessih @volmagorov @std_dev @moreproteinbars Yeah, it's the Usual Suspects thing.\n\n\"The greatest trick the devil ever pulled was convincing the world he didn't exist.\"\n\nFolksy Buffett, sitting in his Omaha office sipping Cherry Coke and reading the WSJ. Right...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1439473977676550149","reply_id":"1439734477039685633","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1439737855820009474","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2012275210498486681":{"id":"2012275210498486681","date":"2026-01-16 21:26:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"7 months later, surprising no one.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2012275210498486681","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3089,"retweets":232,"replies":32,"quotes":6,"views":132560,"bookmarks":189,"media":["2012275210498486681_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2012275210498486681","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1413868837175365634":{"id":"1413868837175365634","date":"2021-07-10 14:32:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MinvstrD Microsoft Excel : Google Sheets :: Lexus : your loser uncle's beat up 2003 Tercel. The one with the hole in the dashboard where the radio used to be.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1413867603525701633","reply_id":"1413867857000206341","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MinvstrD","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1413868837175365634","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1900648372299592009":{"id":"1900648372299592009","date":"2025-03-14 20:40:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Xilo_K @macrocephalopod But I bet no one wants to. They're just getting the credential they need to get the sw dev job they want.\n\nAnd as soon as they graduate, the knowledge evaporates like acetone on a hot day.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1900587520305332699","reply_id":"1900647892786049395","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Xilo_K","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":142,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1900648372299592009","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1946518179569651763":{"id":"1946518179569651763","date":"2025-07-19 10:31:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"People complain about housing prices, but just wait 20 years.\n\nDepopulation comes for us all.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946518179569651763","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":268,"retweets":5,"replies":46,"quotes":4,"views":37434,"bookmarks":44,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946518179569651763","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1546931781739261952":{"id":"1546931781739261952","date":"2022-07-12 18:57:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"21/ This means that if you’re trying to pull out a small signal out of that noise, you can’t just look at the data. It’s going to lead you astray because you’re not going to be focused enough to avoid getting swamped by the noise.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546931744426758145","reply_id":"1546931780258697216","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546931781739261952","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1532371975049314304":{"id":"1532371975049314304","date":"2022-06-02 14:42:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @bookdepth \"if you do it right\" is doing a lot of work in that sentence...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1532342222540218368","reply_id":"1532371712024752130","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1532371975049314304","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1354661258092453888":{"id":"1354661258092453888","date":"2021-01-28 05:23:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arjunxkapoor @kevinwlordbarry @ESYudkowsky $GME borrow was 34% on various retail brokers today.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1354653305083838469","reply_id":"1354658508289925122","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"rjunkapoor","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1354661258092453888","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1712883193492525369":{"id":"1712883193492525369","date":"2023-10-13 17:29:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NotQuiteMidlife @netcapgirl Mrs. Watanabe is almost as good at trading JGBs as Mrs. Kim is at selling KOSPI vol.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1712846209629442368","reply_id":"1712876269304426880","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuiteMidlife","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":125,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1712883193492525369","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1476779703482552322":{"id":"1476779703482552322","date":"2021-12-31 04:58:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JDcarlu Here's the deal: unless you're a professional whose job it is to be the bookie for everyone else making those bets, with overwhelming likelihood you're doing bad trades. That's just how it is.\n\nThe # of ppl who have edge taking directional bets in options is microscopic.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476775525066571778","reply_id":"1476779486662201344","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":19,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476779703482552322","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1384567614618230784":{"id":"1384567614618230784","date":"2021-04-20 18:00:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"9/ Try stuff, try lots of stuff. Get good at creating and testing ideas. Maybe over time you get comfortable enough to make the jump.\n\nBut it's overwhelmingly likely you won't.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1384567607316017154","reply_id":"1384567613594824705","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1384567614618230784","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1501347820132986883":{"id":"1501347820132986883","date":"2022-03-09 00:03:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @nope_its_lily What's your Python-world goto these days again?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501312622603358209","reply_id":"1501347550082715649","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501347820132986883","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1923810134075007269":{"id":"1923810134075007269","date":"2025-05-17 18:37:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nayshins Looking that way AFAICT.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1923800134325772357","reply_id":"1923804725407105517","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nayshins","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3190,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1923810134075007269","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1965799844989280629":{"id":"1965799844989280629","date":"2025-09-10 15:29:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lurkamat Nice!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1965750607467471270","reply_id":"1965779863597621596","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"lurkamat","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":381,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1965799844989280629","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1734697506158883110":{"id":"1734697506158883110","date":"2023-12-12 22:11:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @mbacarella @therobotjames Me, using Pandas, every 45mins:\n\n\"WTF! I did everything the same! Why is the number different now?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434267372412555264","reply_id":"1734693967470768439","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":174,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1734697506158883110","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1626956225777926145":{"id":"1626956225777926145","date":"2023-02-18 14:46:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbacarella @fchollet I'd argue it shows that a lot of what seems like thinking in humans is actually just next-token prediction.\n\nAnd there's definitely a thing humans can do that GPTs can't. You can tell when we do that \"real thinking\" because it's exhausting to do. Grinding, deeply analyzing, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1626746368424398849","reply_id":"1626936058075299843","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbacarella","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":81,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1626956225777926145","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1602449903908573184":{"id":"1602449903908573184","date":"2022-12-12 23:46:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 Can you directly profit from predicting their movements? If so then it's functionally a martingale. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602446367825149952","reply_id":"1602449523896651777","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1602449903908573184","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1687574370397630464":{"id":"1687574370397630464","date":"2023-08-04 21:20:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"When generative AIs finally drive the cost of creating decent-but-not-great cultural/business/legal artifacts to zero:\n\n- Demand (eyeball-seconds) is pretty inelastic.\n- So guess what's going to happen to the value of those artifacts...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1687574370397630464","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3500,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1687574370397630464","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1442257798838960128":{"id":"1442257798838960128","date":"2021-09-26 22:40:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ebitdaddy90 @KrisAbdelmessih @DavidEpstein @ejames_c @moretothat @patio11 Change careers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1442175603621326849","reply_id":"1442191939994931200","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ebitdaddy90","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1442257798838960128","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1437123272043155457":{"id":"1437123272043155457","date":"2021-09-12 18:37:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MinvstrD @financeguy725 DARPA did a pretty darn good job.\n\nAFWERX is doing pretty well these days, but could be expanded.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1437111391857434628","reply_id":"1437118362539249666","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MinvstrD","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1437123272043155457","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2010676436143636630":{"id":"2010676436143636630","date":"2026-01-12 11:33:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Level 1: Process bits by hand.\nLevel 2: Write code to process those bits.\nLevel 3: Ask Claude to write the code.\nLevel 4: Write a Claude skill to help use the code.\nLevel 5: Ask Claude to write the Claude skill.\nLevel 6: Ask your Claude lifeagent to ask.\n\nAre there more levels?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2010676436143636630","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":4934,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2010676436143636630","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1487507847160033282":{"id":"1487507847160033282","date":"2022-01-29 19:28:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @SinclairEuan It's freezing here in San Diego. Low 60s.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1487492573358747648","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1487507847160033282","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1295740422820487168":{"id":"1295740422820487168","date":"2020-08-18 15:12:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@paulg @moigottweets Oh @paulg. Don't you understand that the shortest route to being seen as a \"deep thinker\" is to spew antimetabole all over the place?\n\nIt works. Look at the career of Simon Sinek, for example.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1295730923191717889","reply_id":"1295738550328209410","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"paulg","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1295740422820487168","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1473813627995967489":{"id":"1473813627995967489","date":"2021-12-23 00:32:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@drunkengrass @TCK_JRubano So, why can't we train smart 20-year-olds in COBOL?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1473796231079948291","reply_id":"1473813456881029122","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"drunkengrass","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1473813627995967489","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1434963961376481285":{"id":"1434963961376481285","date":"2021-09-06 19:37:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"6/ And this is what we do already in life. When allowed, kids spend all their time playing, exploring, and generally learning about this new environment called “the universe”. In fact, their brains are wired to do so.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434963956599193601","reply_id":"1434963960525066240","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434963961376481285","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1472724420858769412":{"id":"1472724420858769412","date":"2021-12-20 00:23:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 It feels like a legitimacy vacuum thing. In other developed countries, the government tells you to get the vaccine and people just kind of do it.\n\nIn the US, the government has significantly less universal legitimacy, so someone has to step in.\n\nNot ideal but it's what we got.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1472723606446686215","reply_id":"1472723606446686215","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1472724420858769412","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2003573578365829350":{"id":"2003573578365829350","date":"2025-12-23 21:09:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I don't know the first thing about fundamentals. Can someone knowledgeable explain:\n\n- ARM Holdings net income last year was $792 million.\n- ARM Holdings market cap is $119 billion.\n\n???","hashtags":[],"conv":"2003573578365829350","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":78,"retweets":0,"replies":20,"quotes":0,"views":34048,"bookmarks":27,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2003573578365829350","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1899490953209028950":{"id":"1899490953209028950","date":"2025-03-11 16:01:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The ask: if you know of (or are) a great dev in the area who might be interested in joining us in Prague, please connect.\n\nI've been amazed at the quality of engineers here in Central Europe. They apparently still teach how computers work in computer science. Unlike in the US.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1899490949530571095","reply_id":"1899490951367676365","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":20,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3135,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1899490953209028950","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1885601042089304511":{"id":"1885601042089304511","date":"2025-02-01 08:08:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Claim I'm starting to believe: government spending on infrastructure is upstream of many important societal outcomes.\n\nFor one, in democracies it doesn't get even done unless there's already a healthy politics.\n\nDownstream effects are clear.\n\nhttps://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5116683","hashtags":[],"conv":"1885601042089304511","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1967,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1885601042089304511","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1490908600549609472":{"id":"1490908600549609472","date":"2022-02-08 04:41:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NateSilver538 Yeah but alumni donations tho.\n\nColleges are profit maximizing entities just like every other business...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1490908144410763267","reply_id":"1490908144410763267","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"NateSilver538","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1490908600549609472","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1911706344530366811":{"id":"1911706344530366811","date":"2025-04-14 09:01:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I'm absurdly happy for Rory.\n\nHe's golf's Odysseus. 11 years, the best years of his career, between 24 and 35 years old.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1911706344530366811","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2382,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1911706344530366811","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1648819863413202944":{"id":"1648819863413202944","date":"2023-04-19 22:44:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 Some stars are EMH-immune. Any shot KD takes is a good shot. Defenses just decide to give him his least good shot, which is still often the best shot his team can take. So he takes it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1648806333989232641","reply_id":"1648806333989232641","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":456,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1648819863413202944","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1530662261529858049":{"id":"1530662261529858049","date":"2022-05-28 21:28:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@longskew @lightspringfox Like everything else, the best poker games are the ones you can't get into.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1530658656148242434","reply_id":"1530661365475684356","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"longskew","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1530662261529858049","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1534274736540135424":{"id":"1534274736540135424","date":"2022-06-07 20:42:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein Gotta toss in \"impermanent\" somewhere.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1534224476421992449","reply_id":"1534224476421992449","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1534274736540135424","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1341103525598654464":{"id":"1341103525598654464","date":"2020-12-21 19:29:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert What I really mean is \"stupid mistakes\".\n\nEven great traders make tons of little mistakes a day, but almost never make big ones.\n\nTails are fat. The big $ are made on the rare big mistakes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1341102695927595008","reply_id":"1341102948072390656","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1341103525598654464","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1569900971819663362":{"id":"1569900971819663362","date":"2022-09-14 04:08:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@QuantumHoneybee And here is the literature search I did where I show that these 20 other shit papers I cherry picked to put in my references section miss this totally irrelevant detail that I'm arbitrarily making a big deal out of.\n\nWhere's my $400k/year job?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1569899029215199232","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1569900971819663362","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1437830838360498179":{"id":"1437830838360498179","date":"2021-09-14 17:29:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ALBACapMgmt That Sharpe tho.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1437830179682873344","reply_id":"1437830179682873344","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ALBACapMgmt","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1437830838360498179","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1595428684810178560":{"id":"1595428684810178560","date":"2022-11-23 14:46:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Tallow_beach @l1quid1ty Yeah. Just need to keep beating the drum on this.\n\nIt's not complicated.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595426617597300736","reply_id":"1595428227702554624","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Tallow_beach","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1595428684810178560","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1958150406212899176":{"id":"1958150406212899176","date":"2025-08-20 12:53:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KevinM_Ryan Me, often.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1958063755377434950","reply_id":"1958128462071263319","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KevinM_Ryan","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1789,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1958150406212899176","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1499742542497157120":{"id":"1499742542497157120","date":"2022-03-04 13:44:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xMallow @KrisAbdelmessih","hashtags":[],"conv":"1499620140819701761","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1499742542497157120_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1499742542497157120","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1891175382067314941":{"id":"1891175382067314941","date":"2025-02-16 17:18:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert Roko's been 100% wrong-takes-only for years...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1891174081828925702","reply_id":"1891174081828925702","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":31,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2170,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1891175382067314941","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1330324620445167617":{"id":"1330324620445167617","date":"2020-11-22 01:38:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Remember all of those people who became expert virologists this spring?\n\nTurns out they were US electoral law experts all along.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1330324620445167617","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":3,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1330324620445167617","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1546974968587509760":{"id":"1546974968587509760","date":"2022-07-12 21:49:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 Yeah, maybe that's what I'm confused by.\n\nI feel like my options 101 threads aren't ANYWHERE near as useful but they're the ones people strongly respond to.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546972566597689344","reply_id":"1546974582363475968","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546974968587509760","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1883921029443248498":{"id":"1883921029443248498","date":"2025-01-27 16:52:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert Every time I engage with retail options ppl with strong opinions, I regret it.\n\nEvery time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1883920166108684383","reply_id":"1883920166108684383","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1463,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1883921029443248498","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1561823913629208577":{"id":"1561823913629208577","date":"2022-08-22 21:13:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Every Google service and API feels permanently EOLed.\n\nLike, from the start.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1561823913629208577","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1561823913629208577","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1843962275755098172":{"id":"1843962275755098172","date":"2024-10-09 10:30:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Physics - Hinton\nChemistry - Demis\n\nEcon - Gerko?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1843962275755098172","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":56,"retweets":2,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":6826,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1843962275755098172","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1423675107113717760":{"id":"1423675107113717760","date":"2021-08-06 15:59:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Galaxy brain take:\n\nThe stupider the US regulatory regime becomes short-term, the *better* it is for crypto and DeFi long-term.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1423675107113717760","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1423675107113717760","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1282702235583954945":{"id":"1282702235583954945","date":"2020-07-13 15:43:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Ok #fintwit, feeling prolix today.\n\nThanks to @SinclairEuan @KrisAbdelmessih and a few others, I have a bunch of new followers recently.\n\nToss me some subjects and I'll Tweetstorm ones that are interesting. Go!","hashtags":["fintwit"],"conv":"1282702235583954945","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":5,"replies":5,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1282702235583954945","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1471508540325990420":{"id":"1471508540325990420","date":"2021-12-16 15:52:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@StPaulHawk He was detained and incarcerated for two weeks without legal process.\n\nThat's good enough for me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471506500090675200","reply_id":"1471508066315034641","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"StPaulHawk","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471508540325990420","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1872010165500948578":{"id":"1872010165500948578","date":"2024-12-25 20:02:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Some really good ideas here.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1872010165500948578","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4583,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1872010165500948578","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2043064997287223584":{"id":"2043064997287223584","date":"2026-04-11 20:33:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Oh FFS who actually believes this is real?\n\nSpot the red flags, starting with the most obvious one which is that IB doesn't LET THEIR CUSTOMERS TAKE PHYSICAL DELIVERY!\n\nhttps://www.interactivebrokers.com/en/trading/futures-close-out.php","hashtags":[],"conv":"2043064997287223584","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":60,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":12135,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2043064997287223584","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1431016014825680898":{"id":"1431016014825680898","date":"2021-08-26 22:09:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Mephisto731 @robertmartin88 @sajidnizami @pmontu33 @therobotjames It helped a lot with understanding vol-beta mechanics and bounds too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1430890469030916103","reply_id":"1431015431532204032","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1431016014825680898","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1967857870768415070":{"id":"1967857870768415070","date":"2025-09-16 07:47:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ScottPh77711570 I think that was mine actually.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1967836271402946617","reply_id":"1967836271402946617","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ScottPh77711570","likes":28,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4001,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1967857870768415070","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1289260285245583360":{"id":"1289260285245583360","date":"2020-07-31 18:02:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih Furthermore, I'd argue that for 99.9% of retail traders and even >90% of institutional traders, trading at any time other than the closing print is a mistake.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1289259438122004480","reply_id":"1289259438122004480","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1289260285245583360","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1692971129504252316":{"id":"1692971129504252316","date":"2023-08-19 18:45:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jgreco Doh!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1692958549788299560","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":476,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1692971129504252316","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1713647636925038911":{"id":"1713647636925038911","date":"2023-10-15 20:06:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FormulaDeltaOne @theemilyaccount Because you can find much more sophisticated arguments and works defending the free market.\n\nThere's a gratuitous cruelty to Rand that's hard to swallow. Speaking as a card-carrying member of the \"free markets have made us unspeakably rich\" club.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1713611269255610530","reply_id":"1713645490540093525","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FormulaDeltaOne","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":373,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1713647636925038911","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1537159908491071492":{"id":"1537159908491071492","date":"2022-06-15 19:47:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jsoloff @bennpeifert @vixologist I haven't been paying attention to vol term structure in a while. Is there a plausible reason for the kink?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1537150460615720960","reply_id":"1537150460615720960","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jsoloff","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1537159908491071492","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1729995881385165214":{"id":"1729995881385165214","date":"2023-11-29 22:48:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Do \"health care concierge\" services exist?\n\nBasically someone to do all the paperwork of dealing with your HMO/etc so you don't have to deal with it. And they'd do a better job just through knowledge of the system.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1729995881385165214","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":4080,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1729995881385165214","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1450821760266366982":{"id":"1450821760266366982","date":"2021-10-20 13:50:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jfuechsl @SinclairEuan @TraderSkew Not sure Euan is wanting to sign up for a paid course...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1450820780149940225","reply_id":"1450821579810684932","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jfuechsl","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1450821760266366982","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1432548975589019648":{"id":"1432548975589019648","date":"2021-08-31 03:41:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@StevenMandrapa @saah1lk @therobotjames The downside is that the students with domain specific knowledge tend to clean up until everyone else learns \"don't bet against Jeff on basketball\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1432463541110411265","reply_id":"1432546758765072385","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"StevenMandrapa","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1432548975589019648","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1852356424606581154":{"id":"1852356424606581154","date":"2024-11-01 14:26:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ekrii3 Sounds like two Australian mathematicians worried about the tenure review board.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1852345313845248385","reply_id":"1852345313845248385","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ekrii3","likes":42,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2352,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1852356424606581154","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1179445612435001344":{"id":"1179445612435001344","date":"2019-10-02 17:18:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ReformedTrader - Brokerages don't pay much interest on cash balances held with them. For some brokers, this is the dominant source of revenue!\n- Relatedly, brokers lend out stock that you're long, and get paid to do so. You don't see that revenue.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1178803024740773888","reply_id":"1178849332025389056","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1179445612435001344","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1442285212646268932":{"id":"1442285212646268932","date":"2021-09-27 00:29:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@InBraised @lightspringfox Tech has a particular blindness about the value of good management.\n\nIn an effort to avoid mid-20th-century management training, a lot of them have just done away with it altogether.\n\nWhich doesn't work.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1442272029906857987","reply_id":"1442272756549230596","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"InBraised","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1442285212646268932","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1274848174067216384":{"id":"1274848174067216384","date":"2020-06-21 23:34:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @SinclairEuan I've been disconnected from the research in the last few years, so maybe there's been progress. And I think highly of Rosenbaum, El Euch and all the other people working on it.\n\nRough vol feels like what I gather string theory feels like to physicists: \"It must be right.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1274827168653205504","reply_id":"1274847799905972224","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1274848174067216384","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2070540260593815679":{"id":"2070540260593815679","date":"2026-06-26 16:10:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"","hashtags":[],"conv":"2070540260593815679","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":77,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":11193,"bookmarks":5,"media":["2070540260593815679_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2070540260593815679","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1608114910487011329":{"id":"1608114910487011329","date":"2022-12-28 14:57:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Cold LinkedIn messages I get.\n\nI sincerely want to meet the business owner on whom this works.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1608114910487011329","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":36,"retweets":1,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":8280,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1608114910487011329_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1608114910487011329","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1499621962099744773":{"id":"1499621962099744773","date":"2022-03-04 05:45:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih 🙏 Thanks Kris.\n\nIt's immensely gratifying when someone like you takes the time and deeply engages with something I've written.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1499620140819701761","reply_id":"1499620140819701761","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1499621962099744773","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1368729806779547648":{"id":"1368729806779547648","date":"2021-03-08 01:06:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Mephisto731 @therobotjames @SinclairEuan @DBecevic @o_wutang","hashtags":[],"conv":"1368343033683578881","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1368729806779547648_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1368729806779547648","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1921977065395331130":{"id":"1921977065395331130","date":"2025-05-12 17:13:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"At the rate AI scambot replies are growing, I think I'll be off this site in a couple of months or so.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1921977065395331130","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1921977568812564606","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":2,"views":11658,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1921977065395331130","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1773456147309334555":{"id":"1773456147309334555","date":"2024-03-28 21:04:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Thanks to all that replied, interesting how many people thought it was impossible or required some ridiculous situation. It doesn't, easiest way is with a bit of skew.\n\nKudos to @quantytrader @DeepDishEnjoyer @bubbleboi @sagarjainmp and others!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1773456147309334555","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1773471701143294430","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":88,"retweets":4,"replies":7,"quotes":2,"views":30181,"bookmarks":88,"media":["1773456147309334555_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1773456147309334555","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1462852500906676225":{"id":"1462852500906676225","date":"2021-11-22 18:36:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolQuant @MichaelGoodwell I think it's a useful exercise to try to figure out why. I.e. let's presume that they're not stupid, and that maintaining old VBA is the right business decision.\n\nWhat constraints must be operating?\n\nChesterton's Fence is everywhere, once you see it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1462836913337999365","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1462852500906676225","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1470876969600315392":{"id":"1470876969600315392","date":"2021-12-14 22:02:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @balajis Please help me. My understanding is that the line is long and slow-moving.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1470874084300890112","reply_id":"1470874682073104387","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1470876969600315392","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1501776314348425216":{"id":"1501776314348425216","date":"2022-03-10 04:25:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@longskew @therobotjames @leakyalpha @FREAK0NAUT @M1tchRosenthal 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"1501774279033163777","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"longskew","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501776314348425216","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1561812804532809728":{"id":"1561812804532809728","date":"2022-08-22 20:29:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @matt_levine I'm expecting double-length Money Stuffs during the trial.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1561810297962184704","reply_id":"1561811198278254600","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1561812804532809728","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1974777034393211181":{"id":"1974777034393211181","date":"2025-10-05 10:01:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What's encouraging is how broad-based it is.\n\n\"It's women.\" - nope, 45% of men think sports gambling is bad vs 40% of women.\n\n\"It's old people.\" - nope, the lowest demographic is 30-49 year olds at 39% against. 18-29 is at 42%.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1974777031562072200","reply_id":"1974777031562072200","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":804,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1974777034393211181","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1694402999647687015":{"id":"1694402999647687015","date":"2023-08-23 17:35:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xjustblaze Agree on Haskell.\nMostly agree on Rust.\nTypescript is just too unsound though. :(","hashtags":[],"conv":"1694378058944589862","reply_id":"1694378489967731188","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xjustblaze","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":238,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1694402999647687015","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1602681260500869120":{"id":"1602681260500869120","date":"2022-12-13 15:06:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is the only correct answer.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602681260500869120","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1602681260500869120","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1422712480858398722":{"id":"1422712480858398722","date":"2021-08-04 00:14:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@chriseberly @theemilyaccount https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pUAkfZdoHpQ","hashtags":[],"conv":"1422694878966947840","reply_id":"1422712121465376769","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"chriseberly","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1422712480858398722","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1442655826653581321":{"id":"1442655826653581321","date":"2021-09-28 01:02:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tjrwriting @KrisAbdelmessih Plenty of people trying to go the other way, unfortunately.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1442328365650776064","reply_id":"1442514937943928834","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tjrwriting","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1442655826653581321","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1434972754466406400":{"id":"1434972754466406400","date":"2021-09-06 20:12:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tylercowen obviously too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434963956599193601","reply_id":"1434965109164556290","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434972754466406400","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1654605068988219392":{"id":"1654605068988219392","date":"2023-05-05 21:52:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 I just assume Volker Strassen works there.\n\nhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Strassen_algorithm","hashtags":[],"conv":"1654604511036710912","reply_id":"1654604720479272960","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":336,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1654605068988219392","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2019711828625162324":{"id":"2019711828625162324","date":"2026-02-06 09:56:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"💯\n\nXKCD \"Let's use them to build narratives!\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"2019711828625162324","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4072,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2019711828625162324","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1565147208105701376":{"id":"1565147208105701376","date":"2022-09-01 01:19:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 This book was very educational.\n\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Curious-Economics-Luxury-Fashion-Millennials/dp/1777563208","hashtags":[],"conv":"1565045174534750208","reply_id":"1565128617914273795","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1565147208105701376","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1891192865352454237":{"id":"1891192865352454237","date":"2025-02-16 18:28:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BlackSwan_ptf When I first learned this (from this book) it blew my mind.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1891141485913141621","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1829,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1891192865352454237","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1739081059533545501":{"id":"1739081059533545501","date":"2023-12-25 00:30:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Teaching a curious 12 year old about stats is easier if it's non-parametric (bootstrap) than \"normal\" stats.\n\nGo figure.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1739081059533545501","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":57,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":13009,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1739081059533545501","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1539732277692731392":{"id":"1539732277692731392","date":"2022-06-22 22:09:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Here's the deal: 80% of devs don't do \"programming\" either. Even the full time devs working as developers at software companies.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1539631254542307328","reply_id":"1539728133297180674","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1539732277692731392","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1537263727317135360":{"id":"1537263727317135360","date":"2022-06-16 02:40:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @theemilyaccount @bookdepth How bad would your hand-eye have to be...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1537219779450261504","reply_id":"1537244512355221504","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1537263727317135360","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1341229964734025731":{"id":"1341229964734025731","date":"2020-12-22 03:51:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@patio11 @antoniogm The reason players become broadcasters is because (a) they can't do the job anymore and (b) they're both about being in the public eye.\n\nTech/mgmt/etc is a long career. Hard to see a big enough market for \"commenting on tech\" that would justify leaving real work to comment on it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1341210188301312000","reply_id":"1341225250403414016","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"patio11","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1341229964734025731","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1949351246210740297":{"id":"1949351246210740297","date":"2025-07-27 06:08:48","author":"rachael 💫","handle":"witty_genstein","text":"I do not believe the fertility crisis is, at its core, about economic factors.\n\nOut of my 20 or so closest friends from Harvard, only two of us have kids at 30. These are all people in top 1-5% of income for their age bracket, extremely privileged wrt job security. \n\nThey aren’t having kids, and it’s not because they are worried they can’t afford them. They are simply doing other things. They are traveling Europe, or flying to Vegas to see concerts, or focusing on their careers/personal interests/hobbies. They have too much they want to do “before kids”, so they are waiting.\n\nA lot of people in my peer group stuck in a kind of statis, trying to extend their 20s infinitely. “Millennials think they are still teenagers,” as Logo puts it. \n\nSo I see the fertility crisis as more of a spiritual issue. People lack the desire to start families. And why would they when way, way more cultural weight is placed on things like personal growth and career achievement and “having fun”. It’s not high status to be a parent, in the way becoming a founder or a doctor or earning a PhD is. \n\nEconomic uncertainty has always and will always exist. That’s not going to be what raises fertility rates. \n\nFertility rates will go up when raising children becomes the default first priority, not a second or third priority that you “get to” after a bunch of personal achievements. This requires a fundamentally different cultural narrative that reorients people around a project that is bigger than themselves.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1949351246210740297","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1949721918879191118","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9653,"retweets":852,"replies":869,"quotes":442,"views":2786341,"bookmarks":2796,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/witty_genstein/status/1949351246210740297"},"1587873449539575808":{"id":"1587873449539575808","date":"2022-11-02 18:25:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This basically summarizes everything important I believe about trading.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1587873449539575808","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":58,"retweets":4,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":24,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1587873449539575808","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1505739664396742662":{"id":"1505739664396742662","date":"2022-03-21 02:54:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @nope_its_lily All I'm saying is that I weight the color of the medal exactly zero in my evaluation.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505688775132913665","reply_id":"1505739521576550403","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505739664396742662","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1382379690162147328":{"id":"1382379690162147328","date":"2021-04-14 17:06:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal If you looked at n possible variables, you need to divide your Sharpe by sqrt(n) when you've found a good one.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382379016255066122","reply_id":"1382379016255066122","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382379690162147328","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1788956084071227787":{"id":"1788956084071227787","date":"2024-05-10 15:35:42","author":"Simons Foundation","handle":"SimonsFdn","text":"It is with great sadness that the Simons Foundation announces the death of its co-founder and chair emeritus, James Harris Simons. Jim was an award-winning mathematician, a legendary investor and a generous philanthropist. https://www.simonsfoundation.org/2024/05/10/simons-foundation-co-founder-mathematician-and-investor-jim-simons-dies-at-86","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788956084071227787","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1788975537396064656","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5684,"retweets":1481,"replies":305,"quotes":1082,"views":2651396,"bookmarks":484,"media":["1788956084071227787_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SimonsFdn/status/1788956084071227787"},"1477320201326579712":{"id":"1477320201326579712","date":"2022-01-01 16:45:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"13/ So grifters need to work hard to replace all that churn. Flash sales, limited time offers, special events, etc.\n\nWe’re so used to this stuff that we forget how artificial and stupid it is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477320189653893121","reply_id":"1477320200361963522","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477320201326579712","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1836452741712875904":{"id":"1836452741712875904","date":"2024-09-18 17:10:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Self-recommending. The Prize is in my top 10 books all time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1836452741712875904","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":126,"retweets":5,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":18880,"bookmarks":77,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1836452741712875904","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1494119550626922497":{"id":"1494119550626922497","date":"2022-02-17 01:20:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@StudentofMarke2 @darjohn25 I went from 26.6 to 22.5 BMI last year.\n\nI feel 5 years younger and look (a bit) younger too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494110009478684674","reply_id":"1494119031749677057","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"StudentofMarke2","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494119550626922497","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1776678891945378011":{"id":"1776678891945378011","date":"2024-04-06 18:30:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@edgefills This broad acknowledgement certainly hasn't filtered to the broader zeitgeist!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1776577551739113768","reply_id":"1776676688396755281","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"edgefills","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":327,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1776678891945378011","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1762546459424276611":{"id":"1762546459424276611","date":"2024-02-27 18:33:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RhizoNymph All of Lisp is like a page I think.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1762483702125199482","reply_id":"1762543884847173975","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RhizoNymph","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":202,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1762546459424276611","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2051121338253754495":{"id":"2051121338253754495","date":"2026-05-04 02:06:49","author":"The Wall Street Journal","handle":"WSJ","text":"A WSJ analysis found 67% of Polymarket profits goes to just 0.1% of accounts, while most traders are in the red. Most Kalshi users also lose money. https://on.wsj.com/4td9UPy","hashtags":[],"conv":"2051121338253754495","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2051265856231899267","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2114,"retweets":561,"replies":141,"quotes":223,"views":754727,"bookmarks":532,"media":["2051121338253754495_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/WSJ/status/2051121338253754495"},"1588202422131834880":{"id":"1588202422131834880","date":"2022-11-03 16:12:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Was reading an algebra paper on toric varieties.\nWasn't about what I thought it would be.\n\n(that's my shitPOTD done)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1588202422131834880","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1588202422131834880_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1588202422131834880","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1476416916151418886":{"id":"1476416916151418886","date":"2021-12-30 04:56:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@gametheorizing On-chain or it didn't happen. 🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476416299810975744","reply_id":"1476416299810975744","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"gametheorizing","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476416916151418886","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1706100341400608882":{"id":"1706100341400608882","date":"2023-09-25 00:16:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Turns out Ben Shelton *is* just insufferable.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1706100341400608882","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3188,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1706100341400608882","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1591964669069381633":{"id":"1591964669069381633","date":"2022-11-14 01:22:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 Delta hedging free options is how a lot of supposedly high-end crypto MMs make almost all their $.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1591909053894393856","reply_id":"1591909053894393856","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1591964669069381633","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1645488853355225088":{"id":"1645488853355225088","date":"2023-04-10 18:08:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Right now ZK is in the 1950s: we can reliably build single transistor packages, but we're still waiting on the integrated circuit.\n\nWho's going to be ZK's Jack Kilby?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1645487449743953920","reply_id":"1645487449743953920","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1408,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1645488853355225088","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1232320144099045377":{"id":"1232320144099045377","date":"2020-02-25 15:03:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ycombinator @NearPeIndia YC should fund some companies trying to address the Bay Area housing problem exemplified by the camper in the background...\n\n(I bet they actually already do)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1232319477590757376","reply_id":"1232319477590757376","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ycombinator","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1232320144099045377","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1504256567549464581":{"id":"1504256567549464581","date":"2022-03-17 00:41:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @therobotjames @pranavvk I don't know anything about them. This is a reasonable business model, but past Millennium, Schoenfeld, Balyasny, etc I don't know much.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503862489599340544","reply_id":"1504232622012174340","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1504256567549464581","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1949102987500220560":{"id":"1949102987500220560","date":"2025-07-26 13:42:19","author":"Sam Taylor","handle":"sjataylor","text":"@AgustinLebron3 Why is this example bad?\n\nGuy who wants a candidate to win, and funds that candidate, also bets on that candidate winning?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1948820341091897556","reply_id":"1948820341091897556","quote_id":"1949114597039821279","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":24892,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/sjataylor/status/1949102987500220560"},"1420441593329328136":{"id":"1420441593329328136","date":"2021-07-28 17:50:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 - Non-crawl swimming.\n- All sports where judges decide who wins.\n- Anything where winning the gold isn't the biggest deal in that sport.\n- Multi-event athletes indicate things which need to go. 200m, 5000m in track.\n- Basically-rich-country-only sports.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420435586272436224","reply_id":"1420441096820125699","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420441593329328136","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1349901931162992640":{"id":"1349901931162992640","date":"2021-01-15 02:11:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HF_Trader The wall between delta-one and options land was tall and sturdy.\n\nOnce upon a time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1349901017924644865","reply_id":"1349901017924644865","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HF_Trader","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1349901931162992640","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2016209462621831448":{"id":"2016209462621831448","date":"2026-01-27 17:59:29","author":"OpenAI","handle":"OpenAI","text":"Introducing Prism, a free workspace for scientists to write and collaborate on research, powered by GPT-5.2.\n\nAvailable today to anyone with a ChatGPT personal account: https://prism.openai.com/","hashtags":[],"conv":"2016209462621831448","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2016247400692687014","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16058,"retweets":2256,"replies":1103,"quotes":1331,"views":5896081,"bookmarks":8633,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/OpenAI/status/2016209462621831448"},"1346992224270094342":{"id":"1346992224270094342","date":"2021-01-07 01:29:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vgr GSV Incompetent Insurrectionist\nMSV Well What Did You Expect, Honestly?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346991571070185472","reply_id":"1346991571070185472","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vgr","likes":9,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346992224270094342","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1543996139803926533":{"id":"1543996139803926533","date":"2022-07-04 16:32:20","author":"Mishaal","handle":"algergawi","text":"Someone should start a podcast called didn’t make it (DMI) and just interview the most interesting failed attempts.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1543995546859339778","reply_id":"1543995546859339778","quote_id":"1543997786558906369","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"algergawi","likes":9,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/algergawi/status/1543996139803926533"},"1983219037380178393":{"id":"1983219037380178393","date":"2025-10-28 17:07:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeepDishEnjoyer With a side order of electrical. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1983185511587230107","reply_id":"1983215689239253191","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeepDishEnjoyer","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":887,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1983219037380178393","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2036349942436958466":{"id":"2036349942436958466","date":"2026-03-24 07:50:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Slop farmers gonna slopfarm.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2036349942436958466","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":42,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":6225,"bookmarks":3,"media":["2036349942436958466_1.jpg","2036349942436958466_2.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2036349942436958466","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1772746689759392174":{"id":"1772746689759392174","date":"2024-03-26 22:05:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I wonder how many people are rewatching season 2 of The Wire now...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1772746689759392174","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3952,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1772746689759392174","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1382819117447610368":{"id":"1382819117447610368","date":"2021-04-15 22:12:23","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"Much of what is written about quant trading is just LARPing around on marginal stuff.\n\nYou probably don't need that new technique you just read about.\n\nYou need a histogram\nYou need a scatterplot \nyou need a GROUP BY and SUM\nYou need a critical mind, confidence, and creativity.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382819117447610368","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1382819548714311683","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":168,"retweets":16,"replies":6,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":53,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1382819117447610368"},"1709314457078464597":{"id":"1709314457078464597","date":"2023-10-03 21:08:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AlexanderGerko It's like someone in the UK in 1890 said:\n\n\"Ok everyone. Single-glazed windows, drafty doors, radiators, separate hot/cold taps. This is what we're going with until the heat death of the universe. And heated towel racks, that too.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709313096538259482","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":821,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1709314457078464597","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1595804701895057409":{"id":"1595804701895057409","date":"2022-11-24 15:41:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@__schaal__ Sounds like a good question if you're interviewing for a job building math libraries or something.\n\nBut I'm guessing it wasn't, in which case it was a terrible question that should make you question why you'd want a job at a place like that anyway.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595799254437462016","reply_id":"1595804415386320897","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"__schaal__","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1595804701895057409","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1411890038938345472":{"id":"1411890038938345472","date":"2021-07-05 03:29:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"#1 thing that smart hardworking people overlook when trying to get better at trading:\n\nStare at ticks. Not pictures, not lines on a chart, not post-processed candles.\n\nTicks. One after another, microsecond after microsecond. Build your mental model for what's *actually* going on.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1411890038938345472","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":264,"retweets":36,"replies":6,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":148,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1411890038938345472","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1238478376282677248":{"id":"1238478376282677248","date":"2020-03-13 14:53:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@investinvol @vixologist @dynamicvol @bennpeifert @6_Figure_Invest @pat_hennessy No. The creation unit is 50k shares. No one sits on a $100m ETF vs hedge spread for weeks.\n\nI was an ETF/ETN MM for years. With a creation this big, you're literally on the phone with the AP while you're doing the trade with the cust.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1238444450654887937","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1238478376282677248","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1711449917661774115":{"id":"1711449917661774115","date":"2023-10-09 18:33:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4/ As always, the endgame was predicted in Vernor Vinge's A Deepness In The Sky.\n\nWe will eventually perfect the Focus system. GDP will grow, the world's problems will get solved, and we will turn into something different.\n\nUnless AGI kills us first of course. 🤣\n\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"1711449914239311939","reply_id":"1711449916512624818","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1616,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1711449917661774115","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1302983653123788800":{"id":"1302983653123788800","date":"2020-09-07 14:54:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jposhaughnessy @rationalwalk A big part of the problem is that the word *nuclear* is poisoned.\n\nShould we go back to using the term \"atomic\"?\n\nIt's worth noting that new designs like traveling wave reactors are very different from traditional fast-neutron architectures.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1302981244578394113","reply_id":"1302982264071098371","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jposhaughnessy","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1302983653123788800","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1417687257830486021":{"id":"1417687257830486021","date":"2021-07-21 03:25:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @lightspringfox @theemilyaccount Because you wouldn't give them a FIX spec, tell them to implement the market gateway, and expect them to stay.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1408122316295311362","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1417687257830486021","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1708948684581318781":{"id":"1708948684581318781","date":"2023-10-02 20:54:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AlexanderGerko 🤣\n\nI've also seen spreadsheets to whom some would ascribe sentience...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1708936442976567764","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":904,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1708948684581318781","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1741120382567080415":{"id":"1741120382567080415","date":"2023-12-30 15:33:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@waltuuuhr Yes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1741116568744894552","reply_id":"1741119725894074448","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"waltuuuhr","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":443,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1741120382567080415","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1530171975083053056":{"id":"1530171975083053056","date":"2022-05-27 13:00:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@punk6529 If it's falling then it sounds like it's still too high? 🤷‍♂️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1530171613894873088","reply_id":"1530171613894873088","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"punk6529","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1530171975083053056","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2016420591339737197":{"id":"2016420591339737197","date":"2026-01-28 07:58:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Really enjoying the high-emotion replies on this one.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2016071006125703286","reply_id":"2016071006125703286","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":6103,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2016420591339737197","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1348693545503215616":{"id":"1348693545503215616","date":"2021-01-11 18:09:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"55/ More factoids like this? Or something different? What say you #fintwit?","hashtags":["fintwit"],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1348693544425320451","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1348693545503215616","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1499744490973589510":{"id":"1499744490973589510","date":"2022-03-04 13:52:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod Octopi are more into recursion then?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1499727100135235588","reply_id":"1499727100135235588","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1499744490973589510","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1788228828558721095":{"id":"1788228828558721095","date":"2024-05-08 15:25:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AmazingOmeara @gentsdeal If we're talking the IQ difference between profitable sports bettors and tradfi traders, SOLD!\n\nIt's basically the same group of people, it's just that one is more willing to deal with large-company crap than the other.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788226503873859745","reply_id":"1788227729835413543","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AmazingOmeara","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":58,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788228828558721095","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1430371668694732805":{"id":"1430371668694732805","date":"2021-08-25 03:29:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Michigandolf @MacroTactical Or to feel smart.\n\nLots of retail trades options because they're \"hard to understand\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1430358354304675848","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1430371668694732805","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1571680521541025793":{"id":"1571680521541025793","date":"2022-09-19 02:00:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Chaelelo @nope_its_lily @macropotamus @NewRiverInvest @FREAK0NAUT @OGTaylorB 1. You may be different.\n2. Wait till all your same-age work/college friends are also making ridic $ and y'all are traveling together and doing sh*t together.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1571636409651580929","reply_id":"1571680030077648896","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Chaelelo","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1571680521541025793","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1613944489902768132":{"id":"1613944489902768132","date":"2023-01-13 17:02:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"LLMs make word-creation basically free.\nSo we get drowned in writing.\nThe value of writing decreases.\nThe value of literacy decreases.\nWe turn back into an oral society.\n\nMaybe the written word ends up a weird little blip (1800-2100) in humanity's cultural evolution.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1613944489902768132","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":4,"views":11464,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1613944489902768132","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1504833529733005312":{"id":"1504833529733005312","date":"2022-03-18 14:54:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin That may be the best TV show of the last 10 years.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1504832730915291136","reply_id":"1504832730915291136","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1504833529733005312","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2057783956402000093":{"id":"2057783956402000093","date":"2026-05-22 11:21:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Techfluencer Twitter is converging on every article being an AI-written thinkpiece about the nature of work in a world with AI.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2057783956402000093","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":15989,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2057783956402000093","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1585661909344215040":{"id":"1585661909344215040","date":"2022-10-27 15:57:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"TFW you create a new Notion workspace, title it \"Defi\", and Notion autopopulates the icon it with a slot machine.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1585661909344215040","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1585661909344215040","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1601996414309261312":{"id":"1601996414309261312","date":"2022-12-11 17:44:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@javaun @tlehmanifold 👆","hashtags":[],"conv":"1601762710911602689","reply_id":"1601993296842309634","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"javaun","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1601996414309261312","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1810396851981660445":{"id":"1810396851981660445","date":"2024-07-08 19:33:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1810396851981660445","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":36,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":5815,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1810396851981660445_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1810396851981660445","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1960239622165836177":{"id":"1960239622165836177","date":"2025-08-26 07:15:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@philipliao_ I'm still very skeptical, at least for binaries.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1959273130616046060","reply_id":"1960235171447251412","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"philipliao_","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":107,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1960239622165836177","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1552492808778293249":{"id":"1552492808778293249","date":"2022-07-28 03:15:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @therobotjames @moreproteinbars @KrisAbdelmessih 10mins.\n\nIt will come as an absolute shock to you that the under won.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1552416077984198656","reply_id":"1552491411354058752","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1552492808778293249","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1769396809414091176":{"id":"1769396809414091176","date":"2024-03-17 16:14:07","author":"peepeepoopoo","handle":"DeepDishEnjoyer","text":"This is definitely bad advice.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1769396809414091176","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1769517098651574349","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":89,"retweets":3,"replies":10,"quotes":2,"views":15919,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/DeepDishEnjoyer/status/1769396809414091176"},"1930625435399799153":{"id":"1930625435399799153","date":"2025-06-05 13:59:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I thought \"crypto is hard money\" was the whole point for the maxis?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1930625435399799153","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":19,"quotes":0,"views":4889,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1930625435399799153","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1479879419871195136":{"id":"1479879419871195136","date":"2022-01-08 18:15:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tddw8 Fair point. 🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1479873065446039553","reply_id":"1479876580906262529","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tddw8","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1479879419871195136","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2069496980972175660":{"id":"2069496980972175660","date":"2026-06-23 19:05:04","author":"rohit","handle":"krishnanrohit","text":"I don't know why people are ragging on him. Zuck's just trying to answer the question of what to build next.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2069496980972175660","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2069499718707675204","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":45,"retweets":1,"replies":8,"quotes":1,"views":30929,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/krishnanrohit/status/2069496980972175660"},"1702489976892702917":{"id":"1702489976892702917","date":"2023-09-15 01:10:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NBAgolf @TCK_JRubano Keep Talking And Nobody Explodes is great.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1702343698904760666","reply_id":"1702436739158028772","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"NBAgolf","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":60,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1702489976892702917","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1387975451717431297":{"id":"1387975451717431297","date":"2021-04-30 03:41:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Sg423Sg https://x.com/VCBrags/status/1330510704441503744","hashtags":[],"conv":"1387949774993858560","reply_id":"1387949774993858560","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Sg423Sg","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1387975451717431297","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1934328883165192402":{"id":"1934328883165192402","date":"2025-06-15 19:15:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Where the AI really struggles right now is knowing when it's made a wrong turn.\"\n\nThis fully generalizes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1934328883165192402","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":119,"retweets":4,"replies":28,"quotes":1,"views":28797,"bookmarks":32,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1934328883165192402","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2079723601771577731":{"id":"2079723601771577731","date":"2026-07-22 00:22:00","author":"s","handle":"idoccor","text":"I don't really get the hype, today I had to explain how an order book works to Fable and then it tried to delete a failing test. It's fucking stupid.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2079723601771577731","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2079979500025135450","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":134,"retweets":1,"replies":12,"quotes":5,"views":135039,"bookmarks":40,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/idoccor/status/2079723601771577731"},"1546931759391993862":{"id":"1546931759391993862","date":"2022-07-12 18:57:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"8/ Arxiv on my RSS reader. I wrote a thread about how to read academic finance papers.\n\nhttps://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1443951372580229123","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546931744426758145","reply_id":"1546931758083452929","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":13,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546931759391993862","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1792297933737750809":{"id":"1792297933737750809","date":"2024-05-19 20:55:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AffectiveAutism @robinhanson @tylercowen Equity option markets aren't prediction markets. They can maybe approximate a subset of them, at a cost.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1651947037645217793","reply_id":"1792295176884392143","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AffectiveAutism","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":291,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1792297933737750809","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1529663164849106944":{"id":"1529663164849106944","date":"2022-05-26 03:18:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase @FREAK0NAUT @Sg423Sg @therobotjames @option2ghost Exactly. If you don't want to pay for it, don't. But don't request someone steal it for you.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529646753284341760","reply_id":"1529662856106483712","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1529663164849106944","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1476670802107908114":{"id":"1476670802107908114","date":"2021-12-30 21:45:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Brett_FTXUS The crypto equivalent of the market factor is what I'd call the WAGMI/NGMI factor. Everything has a positive beta to that, and that beta explains a lot of variance.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476668154696781824","reply_id":"1476668188221796353","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BrettHarrison","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476670802107908114","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1493391117567467525":{"id":"1493391117567467525","date":"2022-02-15 01:06:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Shhh, don't ruin the real question for me!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493387393142976512","reply_id":"1493390917277036545","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493391117567467525","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1504976372564856832":{"id":"1504976372564856832","date":"2022-03-19 00:21:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@goodalexander Honestly this looks like one big instance of the availability heuristic.\n\nCrypto HF is *insanely* heterogeneous. And I don't mean \"some punted and got lucky, others didn't\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1504622366315491332","reply_id":"1504622366315491332","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"goodalexander","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1504976372564856832","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1591800751755792384":{"id":"1591800751755792384","date":"2022-11-13 14:30:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@thodoha @FormulaDeltaOne @therobotjames @mpp75214 @Cereal_Intern @MisuaRaboki Love it. The internets remember everything.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1411890038938345472","reply_id":"1591679647716343808","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"othadoh","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1591800751755792384","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1842087847831961915":{"id":"1842087847831961915","date":"2024-10-04 06:22:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Yes the average VC underperforms the S&P500, and with high correlation too.\n\nBUT\n\nThey still likely do better than whatever their LPs were going to plow into instead.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1842087847831961915","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":2747,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1842087847831961915","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2028389949003702593":{"id":"2028389949003702593","date":"2026-03-02 08:40:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The US has 11 nuclear-powered aircraft carriers.\nTIL that the rest of the world has only one.\nAnd it's French.\n\nKind of amazing that neither China nor Russia have any.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2028389949003702593","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":50,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":12516,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2028389949003702593","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1709209391768166541":{"id":"1709209391768166541","date":"2023-10-03 14:10:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano With the caveat that you have two layers of unreliable narrator to wade through.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709204215233380426","reply_id":"1709209139476308155","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1062,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1709209391768166541","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1633590911522447361":{"id":"1633590911522447361","date":"2023-03-08 22:09:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @lightspringfox Plus it's better from a devops perspective. If you can re-release models every day, you're doing a lot of other things right.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633555799283777540","reply_id":"1633585795545149443","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1379,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633590911522447361","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1434919241447133189":{"id":"1434919241447133189","date":"2021-09-06 16:39:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheCloudSaint @salr_nyc @MinvstrD @SinclairEuan Thanks for the indications, will read.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434876654493392900","reply_id":"1434919079417110533","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JustPunting","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434919241447133189","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1711958727115612366":{"id":"1711958727115612366","date":"2023-10-11 04:15:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbateman Manipulatives FTW.\n\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Learning-Resources-Magnetic-Pizza-Fractions/dp/B0015KAKTK","hashtags":[],"conv":"1711957803714101659","reply_id":"1711957803714101659","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbateman","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":142,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1711958727115612366","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1673330404793745410":{"id":"1673330404793745410","date":"2023-06-26 14:00:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Watching Wimbledon qualifying on Youtube, everyone drink when a British commentator makes a comment about southern European \"emotional control\".\n\nLike clockwork.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1673330404793745410","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1975,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1673330404793745410","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1529968049553477632":{"id":"1529968049553477632","date":"2022-05-26 23:29:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@C_Kavanagh No, he's really not.\n\nHis \"philosophy\" has a strong whiff of autodidact in a bad way. Like jailhouse lawyers with no formal training trying to defend themselves in court.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529967639094624256","reply_id":"1529967639094624256","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"C_Kavanagh","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1529968049553477632","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1507721636333899778":{"id":"1507721636333899778","date":"2022-03-26 14:10:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Speaking of exercises in avoiding silly mistakes:\n\nDaily Duotrigordle #24\nGuesses: 33/37\n0️⃣6️⃣ 2️⃣1️⃣ 3️⃣3️⃣ 2️⃣5️⃣\n2️⃣2️⃣ 1️⃣4️⃣ 1️⃣3️⃣ 1️⃣2️⃣\n0️⃣7️⃣ 2️⃣3️⃣ 3️⃣2️⃣ 2️⃣4️⃣\n0️⃣3️⃣ 3️⃣1️⃣ 2️⃣9️⃣ 0️⃣5️⃣\n2️⃣8️⃣ 2️⃣6️⃣ 0️⃣8️⃣ 1️⃣1️⃣\n0️⃣9️⃣ 0️⃣2️⃣ 1️⃣5️⃣ 2️⃣7️⃣\n1️⃣6️⃣ 0️⃣4️⃣ 3️⃣0️⃣ 2️⃣0️⃣\n1️⃣9️⃣ 1️⃣7️⃣ 1️⃣8️⃣ 1️⃣0️⃣\nhttps://duotrigordle.com/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507721636333899778","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507721636333899778","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1937399599796252687":{"id":"1937399599796252687","date":"2025-06-24 06:37:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Of course, most people only see that last sordid part: the retail brokers like Robinhood trying to get people hooked on gambling on their platform, the AI-slop X accounts shilling some scam or other.\n\nIt's a shame because the real thing is pretty different.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1937399039231668424","reply_id":"1937399039231668424","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":32,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3724,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1937399599796252687","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1755131372534948316":{"id":"1755131372534948316","date":"2024-02-07 07:28:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CJHandmer Often the hard part is finding the mentor.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1755127906517528742","reply_id":"1755129146316038370","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"CJHandmer","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":489,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1755131372534948316","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1483810603953115140":{"id":"1483810603953115140","date":"2022-01-19 14:36:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Flat_Coated @darjohn25 Excellent counterpoint.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1483652524418617344","reply_id":"1483686089487495169","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Flat_Coated","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1483810603953115140","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1156572120916168705":{"id":"1156572120916168705","date":"2019-07-31 14:27:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Happy #FederalReserve day! On days like this I always wonder what it would be like to live in a command economy. Everyone waiting for the oracular pronouncement of some government apparatchik... #fedratecut","hashtags":["federalreserve","fedratecut"],"conv":"1156572120916168705","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1156572120916168705","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1161672877906616320":{"id":"1161672877906616320","date":"2019-08-14 16:16:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Hearing that #momentum strats are having a tough time in the last few weeks.\n\nMarkets are like forests, sometimes it's time to burn out the underbrush.","hashtags":["momentum"],"conv":"1161672877906616320","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1161672877906616320","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1161063870447812608":{"id":"1161063870447812608","date":"2019-08-12 23:56:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3/ Recommendation: when you write the SoW for any consultant, don't pay them for telling you what the problems is. Or for telling you what the solution is.\n\nAnyone can write reports. Pay your consultants for *solving* your problem.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1161063868828811264","reply_id":"1161063869680218112","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":1,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1161063870447812608","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1995410972958400700":{"id":"1995410972958400700","date":"2025-12-01 08:33:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"McLaren F1 bed-shitting reaching all new highs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1995410972958400700","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":3070,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1995410972958400700","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2034639890990666091":{"id":"2034639890990666091","date":"2026-03-19 14:35:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Sure sounds like a demotion at best, firing at worst.\nhttps://indianexpress.com/article/technology/artificial-intelligence/microsoft-rejigs-copilot-teams-mustafa-suleyman-freed-up-10588712/","hashtags":[],"conv":"2034639890990666091","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":3998,"bookmarks":3,"media":["2034639890990666091_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2034639890990666091","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1548053646952128525":{"id":"1548053646952128525","date":"2022-07-15 21:15:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@totlsota @therobotjames @pmontu33 Yup. The way I've found jr traders get it most easily is by summarizing as:\n\n\"The world doesn't care what price you traded at.\"\n\nEither a position is +EV to hold or it's not.\n\n(ignoring risk, tx costs, and assuming you're not a large fraction of the market)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548007648007634944","reply_id":"1548052723609718786","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"totlsota","likes":13,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1548053646952128525","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1649503655027167232":{"id":"1649503655027167232","date":"2023-04-21 20:01:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Me to recruiter: \"Please be more mindful of our specific requirements instead of sending us lots of resumes that don't fit.\"\n\nRecruiter hears: \"Do the same thing you're doing, but try to sell me *even harder* in the email blurb you write that I don't even read before the resume.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1649503655027167232","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":44,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":7155,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1649503655027167232","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1763295529407275064":{"id":"1763295529407275064","date":"2024-02-29 20:09:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ByrneHobart Zoroaster making a comeback!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1763293736564604957","reply_id":"1763295184417144884","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ByrneHobart","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":160,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1763295529407275064","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1866114699026125100":{"id":"1866114699026125100","date":"2024-12-09 13:36:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"What would someone smarter than me do in this situation?\" works shockingly well if you have a clear mental picture of a specific smarter-than-you person you know well.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1866114699026125100","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":168,"retweets":5,"replies":4,"quotes":2,"views":9050,"bookmarks":43,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1866114699026125100","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1596725443750567936":{"id":"1596725443750567936","date":"2022-11-27 04:39:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm Story: childhood friend of mine (Canadian, played little league) went to a tennis camp in France on summer. 12 years old.\n\nCoach wanted to teach the serve so he had the kids throw a ball to simulate the motion. These French kids could barely get it over the net.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1596724385200553984","reply_id":"1596724385200553984","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1596725443750567936","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1415321034216022024":{"id":"1415321034216022024","date":"2021-07-14 14:43:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"11/\n\n- It gives the employer a better read on the candidate (component 1).\n- Equally importantly, it shows the candidate what the job’s about (component 2).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"1415321033280684040","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415321034216022024","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1443951381782491146":{"id":"1443951381782491146","date":"2021-10-01 14:50:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"9/ Because they're interesting. Or at least some of them. Whether they're right or not doesn't *really* matter.\n\nAnd arguing about the value of academic finance is IMO beside the point.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443951372580229123","reply_id":"1443951380717178881","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1443951381782491146","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1284167725095350274":{"id":"1284167725095350274","date":"2020-07-17 16:46:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"There are a thousand GPT-3 analyses out there, including some meta-analyses.\n\nThis is the best one I've seen so far.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1284167725095350274","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1284167725095350274","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1539249439214272513":{"id":"1539249439214272513","date":"2022-06-21 14:10:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"6/\n\nA. The degree of pathological work ethic and competitiveness required to make it THAT big back then probably wasn’t easy to turn off. Similarly, today’s billionaires are the deca and centi millionaires who HAD to keep going.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1539249425956093952","reply_id":"1539249434940383232","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1539249439214272513_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1539249439214272513","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1297974046844309504":{"id":"1297974046844309504","date":"2020-08-24 19:08:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Lizquidity Sounds analogous.\n\nGamification has its place IMO. It's very effective for learning *how*, for example. Procedural knowledge, tacit knowledge, motor learning, etc.\n\nBut I'm skeptical of the long-term value of gamification for other kinds of learning.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1297949148121989121","reply_id":"1297970595351506945","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Lizquidity","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1297974046844309504","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1698350386174968300":{"id":"1698350386174968300","date":"2023-09-03 15:01:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@benhayesnyc It's a soap opera for men. Like WWE but less scripted.\n\nProblem is, this season the same annoying guy always wins so there's no drama.\n\n(No, wondering whether Yuki Tsunoda can sneak into the points doesn't count.)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1698344595300516341","reply_id":"1698344595300516341","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"benhayesnyc","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":272,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1698350386174968300","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1974712547183153593":{"id":"1974712547183153593","date":"2025-10-05 05:45:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@littmath That's because you're not perma-grifting, always trying to bootlick the deep-pocketed owners of social media platforms.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1974571988170821701","reply_id":"1974571988170821701","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"littmath","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":242,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1974712547183153593","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1653206173754208258":{"id":"1653206173754208258","date":"2023-05-02 01:14:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Do major league sports teams use Unreal Engine + VR to train their players (plays, opponents, etc). Seems like an obvious thing to do.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1653206173754208258","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":5965,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1653206173754208258","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1475317372168900611":{"id":"1475317372168900611","date":"2021-12-27 04:07:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brrrzooka","hashtags":[],"conv":"1475285466199044097","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1475317372168900611_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1475317372168900611","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1509635313437589525":{"id":"1509635313437589525","date":"2022-03-31 20:54:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @TheSpeculator0 @afekz That's what I was going to say.\n\nUnless you're picking off the MM. Then you get one shot at it, make it count.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1509626059154935808","reply_id":"1509630772814426113","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1509635313437589525","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1837463365825740961":{"id":"1837463365825740961","date":"2024-09-21 12:06:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I could listen to Greg Maddux talk about baseball all day.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1837463365825740961","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2046,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1837463365825740961","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1637111847404056576":{"id":"1637111847404056576","date":"2023-03-18 15:20:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin Seems like the going rate is currently ~8-16 hours per relatively simple screen at ~$50-$100/hour.\n\nI see no reason this couldn't go down to 2-4. GPT barfs out v1 based on either image or prompt/spec, real human takes over for the fiddly pixel-perfection and hookup.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1637100852170063873","reply_id":"1637111147131465728","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":160,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1637111847404056576","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1937777455189885143":{"id":"1937777455189885143","date":"2025-06-25 07:38:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Addendum: this doesn't mean you don't need to memorize facts, or learn to calculate things anymore. \n\nQuite the contrary, those are still incredibly valuable skills. It's about being intentional in how you spend your time in order to make your time itself valuable.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1937769867215511886","reply_id":"1937769875881013685","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":20,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2302,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1937777455189885143","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1382882055294312448":{"id":"1382882055294312448","date":"2021-04-16 02:22:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_fabriciovsa Warning: my answer is biased. \n\n1. What does \"being a quant/trader\" mean to you?\n- Is it devoting your work to finding good trades, developing them, making/losing $, etc?\n- Or is it having prestige/respect on CNBC?\n- Or does it mean having a lot of $ to swing around?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"1382880866494468102","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"qnt_osd","likes":3,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382882055294312448","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1773186179778682964":{"id":"1773186179778682964","date":"2024-03-28 03:11:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@XtraGreed @be20684347 🤣🤣🤣\n\nIf only my middle-school kids agreed...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1773113448722800689","reply_id":"1773178847283855612","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"XtraGreed","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":77,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1773186179778682964","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1628232707464646656":{"id":"1628232707464646656","date":"2023-02-22 03:18:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames","hashtags":[],"conv":"1628227573594624001","reply_id":"1628227573594624001","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":895,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1628232707464646656_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1628232707464646656","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1530683604501598208":{"id":"1530683604501598208","date":"2022-05-28 22:53:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lightspringfox @StuartYoung95 @longskew Exactly. Play with rich people playing for enjoyment. It's so much more fun anyway vs playing with a bunch of tagfish grinders at the Bellagio 5/10 or whatever.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1530658656148242434","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1530683604501598208","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1508286837684862978":{"id":"1508286837684862978","date":"2022-03-28 03:36:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It wasn't fake. He laughed at first. So he had to double down to make up for it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1508286837684862978","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1508286837684862978","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1668342362274430981":{"id":"1668342362274430981","date":"2023-06-12 19:39:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Favorite new activity: my 12y/o tells me of some new financial product (like \"Price Lock\").\n\nWe go through how you're just paying for insurance, how to price the embedded option with some toy probabilities and outcomes, he sees how it's a big earner for them.\n\nFun had by all.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1668342362274430981","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":33,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":5721,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1668342362274430981","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1135931027363254279":{"id":"1135931027363254279","date":"2019-06-04 15:27:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@paulg @patrickc As an empirical matter, it fascinates me that pro athletes are mostly revered for their obsessive competitiveness and work ethic (Michael Jordan, Tiger Woods) but in business it's often viewed a character defect.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1135886195253284865","reply_id":"1135929648527941632","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"paulg","likes":295,"retweets":24,"replies":13,"quotes":6,"views":0,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1135931027363254279","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1710030603385790480":{"id":"1710030603385790480","date":"2023-10-05 20:34:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jeffreycider I feel like the right approach (for me anyway) is to manufacture matrices with certain characteristics, do SVD on them, and see what results.\n\nBasically explore on your own to develop that intuition.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709988892286259498","reply_id":"1710027353378676806","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jeffreycider","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":307,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1710030603385790480","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1501753671423442948":{"id":"1501753671423442948","date":"2022-03-10 02:55:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SquishChaos @M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames @SinclairEuan The two greatest sources of trading ideas:\n\n1. Huh, that's weird.\n2. Wow, who the hell ripped my face off on that trade?!?!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":43,"retweets":3,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501753671423442948","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1492687351578968065":{"id":"1492687351578968065","date":"2022-02-13 02:29:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @lightspringfox @3shkreli I've found this too. Whatever you were coming into the PhD is basically what you'll be coming out. If your goal isn't an academic career, it's probably not a great use of 4+ years in your 20s.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1492646076574228481","reply_id":"1492671129831747585","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1492687351578968065","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1937457210260398209":{"id":"1937457210260398209","date":"2025-06-24 10:26:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@koala88a It's positive sum because people have different utilities.\n\nhttps://moontowermeta.com/finance-guilt/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1937399039231668424","reply_id":"1937453757429919898","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bonsaiquant","likes":22,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":911,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1937457210260398209","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1430276788895113216":{"id":"1430276788895113216","date":"2021-08-24 21:12:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sajidnizami @macrocephalopod @therobotjames @saanglee @M1tchRosenthal Some of us old degens learn at least as much when WE teach young people.\n\nYou only know something when you can teach it well. And that's a very high bar.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1430069593951850510","reply_id":"1430267634222657536","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sajidnizami","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1430276788895113216","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1547747914528632832":{"id":"1547747914528632832","date":"2022-07-15 01:00:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 Cost of doing business. It's in the budget.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1547739829349203976","reply_id":"1547739829349203976","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1547747914528632832","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2061700876998152525":{"id":"2061700876998152525","date":"2026-06-02 06:46:08","author":"Crémieux","handle":"cremieuxrecueil","text":"RT @cremieuxrecueil: Reminder:\n\nGood: big pharma, capitalism.\n\nBad: community organizers, zealous city council meeting attendees, retirees who feels it's their duty to maintain the character of the local neighborhood.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2061700876998152525","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2061417015730934158","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":131,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/cremieuxrecueil/status/2061700876998152525"},"1755649020813602861":{"id":"1755649020813602861","date":"2024-02-08 17:45:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is what we've settled on.\n\nIt sucks but it's the best available option.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1755649020813602861","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3297,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1755649020813602861","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1440109294423183362":{"id":"1440109294423183362","date":"2021-09-21 00:23:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames There's a special case of this that I may have mentioned already:\n\nIf you're going to read academic finance papers, read the abstract. If you find it interesting, the next step is to think about how *you'd* write the paper which had such an abstract. Then go read the paper.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1440098707240734724","reply_id":"1440098707240734724","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":50,"retweets":4,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1440109294423183362","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1542694132212043777":{"id":"1542694132212043777","date":"2022-07-01 02:18:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Stupid Dodd-Frank...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542672180999122946","reply_id":"1542693935083970560","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1542694132212043777","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1848343818401198513":{"id":"1848343818401198513","date":"2024-10-21 12:41:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Successfully keeping a Factorio main bus clean is the modern marshmallow test for a certain kind of kid.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1848343818401198513","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2218,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1848343818401198513","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1287118821921181696":{"id":"1287118821921181696","date":"2020-07-25 20:13:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4. Has a reliable process for combining +EV signals in even more +EV ways.\n\nAFAICT this is the highest level, but there may be higher ones I don't know. RenTech lives here, and maybe a half dozen others do too. Not many though.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1287117746178646017","reply_id":"1287118587031781379","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1287118821921181696","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1985303473408098506":{"id":"1985303473408098506","date":"2025-11-03 11:10:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @Versace_Trader \"You see, there's this thing called Oanda.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1985294685443870766","reply_id":"1985298891429097972","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":382,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1985303473408098506","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1621973181916676096":{"id":"1621973181916676096","date":"2023-02-04 20:45:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brettharrison @macrocephalopod Is there much retail demand for FX trading?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1621943596810178561","reply_id":"1621962223961706498","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BrettHarrison","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":559,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1621973181916676096","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1782790334122262894":{"id":"1782790334122262894","date":"2024-04-23 15:15:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeepDishEnjoyer @alz_zyd_ They keep growing. I think they will.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1782767963377922348","reply_id":"1782787148883558835","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeepDishEnjoyer","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":385,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1782790334122262894","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1204197543627739137":{"id":"1204197543627739137","date":"2019-12-10 00:34:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Noahpinion Never underestimate the power of motivated reasoning. I've talked to at least a dozen dev/ML people at FAANGs. You hear *lots* of variants of:\n\n\"We're making ads better so they're less annoying.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1204193984651808768","reply_id":"1204193984651808768","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Noahpinion","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1204197543627739137","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1912769398256845242":{"id":"1912769398256845242","date":"2025-04-17 07:25:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"AI👏 evals 👏 with 👏 unambiguously 👏 correct 👏 answers👏 are👏 useless!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1912769398256845242","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":3422,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1912769398256845242","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1450517774153879554":{"id":"1450517774153879554","date":"2021-10-19 17:42:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @macrocephalopod @Bonecondor 3 for me. Did the same.\n\nThis shit has got to stop.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1450465360784801795","reply_id":"1450502770092482561","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1450517774153879554","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2062255049930146094":{"id":"2062255049930146094","date":"2026-06-03 19:28:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Maths\" is acceptable if you're British, of course.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2062254967193313612","reply_id":"2062254967193313612","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":32,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3092,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2062255049930146094","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1598814735402930176":{"id":"1598814735402930176","date":"2022-12-02 23:01:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT [Always has been meme]","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598813902904573952","reply_id":"1598813902904573952","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598814735402930176","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1917237245981167636":{"id":"1917237245981167636","date":"2025-04-29 15:19:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"A lot of the time you don't get some hype new tech, it's because there's nothing new to get. You're confused cuz there's actually nothing behind the hype.\n\nOther times, rarely, the new thing really is transformational. Figuring it out *is* important.\n\nHard to know which is which.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1917237245981167636","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":2280,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1917237245981167636","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1382724456452268037":{"id":"1382724456452268037","date":"2021-04-15 15:56:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vgr @Tim_Dettmers Also:\n\nhttp://www.arxiv-sanity.com/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382722711248539648","reply_id":"1382724255431856128","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382724456452268037","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1505599565742759939":{"id":"1505599565742759939","date":"2022-03-20 17:38:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This! \n\nInterviews are effective precisely to the degree they simulate the actual job. This is rule #1 #2 and #3.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505599565742759939","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505599565742759939","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1847931674790638028":{"id":"1847931674790638028","date":"2024-10-20 09:23:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Actual link:\n\nhttps://www.tennisabstract.com/blog/2024/10/17/matteo-berrettini-and-the-pursuit-of-expected-value/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847927269433479398","reply_id":"1847927269433479398","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":1784,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847931674790638028","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1671174490703777796":{"id":"1671174490703777796","date":"2023-06-20 15:13:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Shill me your restaurant recommendations in Zagreb.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1671174490703777796","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2363,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1671174490703777796","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1238681850681233408":{"id":"1238681850681233408","date":"2020-03-14 04:22:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz Delroy Lindo, Clockers?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1238681555616370694","reply_id":"1238681555616370694","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1238681850681233408","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1484378851492855811":{"id":"1484378851492855811","date":"2022-01-21 04:14:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nilray603 @M1tchRosenthal @MarkGutman9 @Jimmyjude13 Find places where the capacity is tiny. So that professionals don't care enough about it to crush you.\n\nRetail trying to trade large cap stuff is... not going to work out.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1484320448074555399","reply_id":"1484364251980394504","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nilray603","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1484378851492855811","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1787569277194915991":{"id":"1787569277194915991","date":"2024-05-06 19:45:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@I_havenoshoes I have no idea.\n\nBut creating credits for anything other than *actually* running a machine that sucks CO2 from the atmosphere seems like a massive mistake.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1787555726707368448","reply_id":"1787568840391405846","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"I_havenoshoes","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":267,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1787569277194915991","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1837585203063410724":{"id":"1837585203063410724","date":"2024-09-21 20:10:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@W98AB To quote Peter Woit: not even wrong. Doesn't rise to the level.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1837506202944647327","reply_id":"1837506202944647327","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"W98AB","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":221,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1837585203063410724","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1483085529289658368":{"id":"1483085529289658368","date":"2022-01-17 14:35:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert Until the next generation of people rises to positions of power in banks and HFs and the cycle continues...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1483084943257313284","reply_id":"1483084973984952325","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1483085529289658368","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1375119231398764547":{"id":"1375119231398764547","date":"2021-03-25 16:15:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"10/ The thing that spectator sports are always optimizing for is having the right amount of variance.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1375119223693864961","reply_id":"1375119230522118144","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1375119231398764547","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1520215131724034049":{"id":"1520215131724034049","date":"2022-04-30 01:35:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert To state the obvious, there's a tradeoff.\n\nThe more work you ask them to do, the more engaged they need to already be about your firm.\n\nOtherwise you get dropouts and an adversely selected candidate pool (those who don't have anything better to do with their time/cheats).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1520122834000904194","reply_id":"1520122834000904194","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1520215131724034049","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1472723525324599297":{"id":"1472723525324599297","date":"2021-12-20 00:20:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DavidTaggart A post-facto sales pitch, in fact.\n\nThat said, it's great that we're trying *anything* that makes remittances cheaper/easier.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1472722930287009798","reply_id":"1472723227671547904","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DavidTaggart","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1472723525324599297","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1450616960811560964":{"id":"1450616960811560964","date":"2021-10-20 00:16:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ksidiii The dumber they think you are, the smarter they feel.\n\nIt turns into class time and you're the student.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1450110996744441856","reply_id":"1450616762974699524","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1450616960811560964","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1978845607495192783":{"id":"1978845607495192783","date":"2025-10-16 15:28:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"You could have a deep understanding of the world, of everything, that a philosopher, scientist or mathematician in the 18th century would kill for.\n\nInstead, you mostly just want it to tell you you're great.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1978845607495192783","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":142,"retweets":10,"replies":11,"quotes":0,"views":10605,"bookmarks":26,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1978845607495192783","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1762235730456400009":{"id":"1762235730456400009","date":"2024-02-26 21:58:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@waltuuuhr Trying to make my kid's life suck less in the next few years.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1762229453764333898","reply_id":"1762235552357634191","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"waltuuuhr","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":287,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1762235730456400009","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1178807047443271682":{"id":"1178807047443271682","date":"2019-09-30 23:01:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ReformedTrader Note: checking the fees is more difficult than anyone thinks. We should put together a \"where they hide the fees\" guide for regular folks.\n\nIn my book, I tell the story of how my mom was getting hosed. It was subtle.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1178803024740773888","reply_id":"1178803024740773888","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ReformedTrader","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1178807047443271682","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1655614465206022145":{"id":"1655614465206022145","date":"2023-05-08 16:43:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Anyone else think that Grigori Perelman looks like Waingro from Heat?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1655614465206022145","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3085,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1655614465206022145","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1434963977553911809":{"id":"1434963977553911809","date":"2021-09-06 19:37:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"22/ An old person being flexible enough to learn new things, and partnering with younger people, is the great sweet spot where anything can happen.\n\nps. Don’t yell at me about old/young. Y’all know what I mean.\n\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434963956599193601","reply_id":"1434963976534708225","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434963977553911809","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1448076663582035975":{"id":"1448076663582035975","date":"2021-10-13 00:02:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xLightcycle @lightspringfox Translation: the good part of OOP is interfaces.\n\nThe bad part: mutability, inheritance, polymorphism, etc etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448060727265165312","reply_id":"1448068487927238659","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xLightcycle","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448076663582035975","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1841114878649434552":{"id":"1841114878649434552","date":"2024-10-01 13:56:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Someone didn't pay their AWS bills?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1841114878649434552","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1819,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1841114878649434552_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1841114878649434552","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1598429740360081408":{"id":"1598429740360081408","date":"2022-12-01 21:32:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @thinkingpoker Pretty crap advice in both situations, interestingly for different reasons.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598425248927731712","reply_id":"1598425248927731712","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598429740360081408","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1529473277076221952":{"id":"1529473277076221952","date":"2022-05-25 14:43:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"At least the moderator keeps reminding people that no one is talking about replacing FCMs with a different model.\n\nYou get to choose!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529472128621285376","reply_id":"1529472661801209856","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1529473277076221952","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1666531904315858944":{"id":"1666531904315858944","date":"2023-06-07 19:45:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Roland Garros crowds rival New York golf crowds for obnoxiousness.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1666531904315858944","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2139,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1666531904315858944","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1286301801197658112":{"id":"1286301801197658112","date":"2020-07-23 14:07:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_KarenHao This all feels like a massive opportunity for companies that can actually think clearly about their organization, their people, and their processes.\n\nLet the idiots run their hiring and HR this way. They'll lose eventually.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1286134843861082113","reply_id":"1286134843861082113","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_KarenHao","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1286301801197658112","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1536841998665060354":{"id":"1536841998665060354","date":"2022-06-14 22:44:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"My kid thinks complex conjugates \"eliminating the annoying i's\" is magic.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536841998665060354","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1536841998665060354","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1626673810002038786":{"id":"1626673810002038786","date":"2023-02-17 20:03:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@etant0x @arb8020 - People don't fold as much as they should on the river.\n- Balances your range when you continuation bet with air.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1626671259542237186","reply_id":"1626673535715270683","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"etant0x","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":143,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1626673810002038786","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1980905115226923070":{"id":"1980905115226923070","date":"2025-10-22 07:52:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ElliotGlazer Given your expertise, I'm very curious what evidence you see that achieving superhuman literature search and competition math performance implies this is (close to) the path to generating novel mathematical discoveries.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1980736358852489262","reply_id":"1980736358852489262","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ElliotGlazer","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":818,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1980905115226923070","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1508117084315664384":{"id":"1508117084315664384","date":"2022-03-27 16:21:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NathanTankus This is a waypoint towards the logical endgame of social marketing where you can't trust anyone or anything that you don't personally know IRL.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1508115691408400387","reply_id":"1508115691408400387","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"NathanTankus","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1508117084315664384","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1418637963106263040":{"id":"1418637963106263040","date":"2021-07-23 18:23:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm For the last 20 years, human admins have been about signaling status much more than about gaining efficiency.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1418637071292407809","reply_id":"1418637071292407809","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1418637963106263040","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1691514066190364672":{"id":"1691514066190364672","date":"2023-08-15 18:15:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 Big seller of that being a 170lb dumbbell.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1691497872749895687","reply_id":"1691497872749895687","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":471,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1691514066190364672","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1978182141180522742":{"id":"1978182141180522742","date":"2025-10-14 19:32:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Or work on porn.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1978182141180522742","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":266,"retweets":4,"replies":8,"quotes":1,"views":43731,"bookmarks":33,"media":["1978182141180522742_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1978182141180522742","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1405184152115159041":{"id":"1405184152115159041","date":"2021-06-16 15:23:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3/ It's gas-powered with a 2-stroke engine.\n\nThat means it's incredibly loud and incredibly smelly. You can't mistake the odor. It's an crappy-machine solution to a pseudo-problem.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1405184150139674624","reply_id":"1405184151259475976","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1405184152115159041","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1899860054829863046":{"id":"1899860054829863046","date":"2025-03-12 16:28:29","author":"Ben Lang","handle":"benln","text":"Early employees at Cursor would potentially have ~$100-200M in options (based on rumored $10B valuation)  \n\nYou don't have to be a founder to get rich.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1899860054829863046","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1899924985235243123","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3545,"retweets":109,"replies":108,"quotes":39,"views":502682,"bookmarks":536,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/benln/status/1899860054829863046"},"1299403859291324423":{"id":"1299403859291324423","date":"2020-08-28 17:49:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @theemilyaccount It is, though the flipside is that you build *much* better systems when you at least know what it's like to support them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1299382601979920389","reply_id":"1299386048829698049","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1299403859291324423","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1670890309075582977":{"id":"1670890309075582977","date":"2023-06-19 20:24:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HighFreqAsuka @stromboliSpirit @sasuke___420 @theemilyaccount 👆","hashtags":[],"conv":"1670806507967979526","reply_id":"1670814468136222721","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HighFreqAsuka","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":94,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1670890309075582977","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1965518209102327836":{"id":"1965518209102327836","date":"2025-09-09 20:50:33","author":"Piotr Pomorski","handle":"PtrPomorski","text":"Personally, I dont know anyone who’s ever said “our sharpe increased after introducing lasso for signal prediction”","hashtags":[],"conv":"1965518209102327836","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1965750607467471270","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":43,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":2,"views":28588,"bookmarks":21,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/PtrPomorski/status/1965518209102327836"},"1477320197597904896":{"id":"1477320197597904896","date":"2022-01-01 16:45:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"9/ Shitposting is a way to get a lot of eyeballs. So it takes care of the “know” part of the equation.\n\nIf they’re decent at shitposting, then some fraction of readers will enjoy that. That takes care of the “like” part.\n\nFinally the “trust” part. See 4⃣ above.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477320189653893121","reply_id":"1477320196687732737","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":28,"retweets":3,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477320197597904896","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1772286031972221126":{"id":"1772286031972221126","date":"2024-03-25 15:34:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount https://www.amazon.com/Idea-Factory-Great-American-Innovation/dp/0143122797","hashtags":[],"conv":"1772281247957389759","reply_id":"1772281247957389759","quote_id":"1772292378067423522","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":11020,"bookmarks":18,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1772286031972221126","type":"quote","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1602010034723966976":{"id":"1602010034723966976","date":"2022-12-11 18:38:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What's your minimum acceptable P(my car company is still in business in 3 years) to buy a car from them?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602009534314184711","reply_id":"1602009534314184711","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1602010034723966976","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1243308604184125440":{"id":"1243308604184125440","date":"2020-03-26 22:47:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vixologist @SinclairEuan Interns used to ask \"what makes the company so darn profitable?\" My answer:\n\n1. Awesome at hiring.\n2. We're pretty decent even at the things we're worst at.\n\nNo leaks, that's the path to being a good trader.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1243282170162163715","reply_id":"1243307535727296513","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vixologist","likes":8,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1243308604184125440","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1534974405033439232":{"id":"1534974405033439232","date":"2022-06-09 19:03:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@reubbr Totally agree. Honestly, as I get older I feel like my meta knowledge (where to get answers, what context matters) overtakes and crowds out my object level knowledge.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1534610974547750912","reply_id":"1534974012165500928","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"reubbr","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1534974405033439232","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1258479819110510592":{"id":"1258479819110510592","date":"2020-05-07 19:32:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @squirrel_blind @o_wutang So here's a thing I'd like to understand better: how problematic is the adverse selection in hiring this way?\n\nI mean, the banks are going to try their hardest to keep their superstars, so people falling out of there skew less-good.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1258184053326376961","reply_id":"1258475024035409920","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1258479819110510592","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1487090463374938117":{"id":"1487090463374938117","date":"2022-01-28 15:49:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@thodoha @NotQuiteMidlife @goodalexander @robertmartin88 @robertmartin88 reviews are excellent.\n\nI learn the most from the bad (relatively) reviews.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1487077492183613450","reply_id":"1487089021411262464","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"othadoh","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1487090463374938117","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1473141437373943812":{"id":"1473141437373943812","date":"2021-12-21 04:01:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert Don't forget expensive and low-capacity.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1473132928771129346","reply_id":"1473141054845034499","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1473141437373943812","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1613962484330942464":{"id":"1613962484330942464","date":"2023-01-13 18:13:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@azad_champion I've always wanted to learn how to write on vellum.\n\nOr parchment, papyrus or clay tablets.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1613944489902768132","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":163,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1613962484330942464","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1282874105281171456":{"id":"1282874105281171456","date":"2020-07-14 03:06:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jordanwrong1 @SinclairEuan @KrisAbdelmessih Nothing made sense. Put-call parity was being violated. I assumed our spreadsheets were messed up somehow. I looked for the bug but couldn't find it. And tons of volume was now going up. Someone was eating someone's lunch, but which side was good?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1282702235583954945","reply_id":"1282873857846603776","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1282874105281171456","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1491583746687963137":{"id":"1491583746687963137","date":"2022-02-10 01:24:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If Heather Morgan makes being a \"Forbes Contributor\" a no-longer-desirable thing, she will have done the world a great service.\n\nI doubt even *she* can manage it though.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1491583746687963137","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1491583746687963137","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1416470161222094849":{"id":"1416470161222094849","date":"2021-07-17 18:49:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"(image of a shot pattern)\n(image of a wider shot pattern)\nThis is the same player, same situation. In the first he's hitting his favorite shape, a draw. In the second he's hitting a fade.\n\nIf hitting a draw means a miss is 20% tighter, it's draw all day. No matter where flag is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1416470161222094849","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1416470161222094849","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1283860972692631553":{"id":"1283860972692631553","date":"2020-07-16 20:28:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@numerounochef @TheStalwart Essentially no. Volkwagen in 2008.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1283856563002843143","reply_id":"1283860676595691520","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"numerounochef","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1283860972692631553","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1731767197662617882":{"id":"1731767197662617882","date":"2023-12-04 20:07:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dwarkesh_sp I also believe it's an introspection fallacy to make strong claims about how human attention works.\n\nI.e. claims about our attention are actually claims about how we observe our attention working. And we're not reliable narrators about ourselves.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1731766189872005219","reply_id":"1731766189872005219","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dwarkesh_sp","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1301,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1731767197662617882","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1476676734162386944":{"id":"1476676734162386944","date":"2021-12-30 22:09:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RandyMartingale @robertmartin88 @therobotjames 🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476304612638355459","reply_id":"1476674272605216771","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RandyMartingale","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476676734162386944","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1346528944107843584":{"id":"1346528944107843584","date":"2021-01-05 18:48:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Tesla [...] market cap, now over $600 billion, amounts to over $1.25 million per car sold each year versus $9,000 per car for GM.\"\n\nhttps://www.gmo.com/americas/research-library/waiting-for-the-last-dance/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346528944107843584","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346528944107843584","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1659035933243752448":{"id":"1659035933243752448","date":"2023-05-18 03:19:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xfbifemboy @Scholars_Stage Is it *particularly* expensive to have kids in Japan and SK?\n\n(including all hard-to-value costs like career impacts for women, etc)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1658850183629733890","reply_id":"1659034812102115336","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xfbifemboy","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":159,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1659035933243752448","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2013641394296946858":{"id":"2013641394296946858","date":"2026-01-20 15:54:54","author":"Federico Vaggi","handle":"F_Vaggi","text":"@AgustinLebron3 There is a subtle but underdiscussed point when you have a premium tier and an ad supported free tier: you destroy the expected value of the ads, because the people you most want to advertise too are the ones paying for premium.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2012275210498486681","reply_id":"2012275210498486681","quote_id":"2013642823384375697","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":2,"views":7209,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/F_Vaggi/status/2013641394296946858"},"1146465613851836416":{"id":"1146465613851836416","date":"2019-07-03 17:07:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vagrantcow @delong Having seen abject poverty in a few countries, it's clear the highest-impact thing we NEVER think about is indoor plumbing (water in, other stuff out).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1146429157057933312","reply_id":"1146464869132230659","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vagrantcow","likes":3,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1146465613851836416","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1584343398491688961":{"id":"1584343398491688961","date":"2022-10-24 00:37:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @witchqueendot I feel seen.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1584315588632977408","reply_id":"1584315899422527488","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1584343398491688961","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1539339451578494976":{"id":"1539339451578494976","date":"2022-06-21 20:08:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@r232z @InBraised Definitely. The 95% mostly just need better managers.\n\nThe scarcest resource in software is quality technical management. It's not even close IMO.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536463438280421376","reply_id":"1539337811882434561","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"r232z","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1539339451578494976","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1384567610709139461":{"id":"1384567610709139461","date":"2021-04-20 18:00:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5/ That said, you have two options:\n\nOption A: Get a job at a reputable prop firm. There's a sliding scale of reputability. If they don't pay you a (good) salary, run away fast! Above that it's trying to get into the best place possible.\n\nHow?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1384567607316017154","reply_id":"1384567609916493832","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":15,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1384567610709139461","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1585407235311964168":{"id":"1585407235311964168","date":"2022-10-26 23:05:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ No-code \"solutions\" are the most frustrating thing ever.\n\nYou're solving the wrong problem!!!\n\nArcane programming language syntax wasn't created in some darkened room to keep out non-nerds (APL is the exception of course).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1585407235311964168","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":88,"retweets":9,"replies":11,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":20,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1585407235311964168","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1657116130157416449":{"id":"1657116130157416449","date":"2023-05-12 20:10:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Yes, Minister\" but with slightly less cartoonish mugging for the camera.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1657116130157416449","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1703,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1657116130157416449","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1656725240230334464":{"id":"1656725240230334464","date":"2023-05-11 18:17:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I didn't think it was possible to be even MORE mid than ChatGPT, but then Bard showed up.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1656725240230334464","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":3688,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1656725240230334464","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2016129022187504008":{"id":"2016129022187504008","date":"2026-01-27 12:39:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This Slack post could have been an emoji reaction.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2016129022187504008","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3719,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2016129022187504008","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1909603598457012230":{"id":"1909603598457012230","date":"2025-04-08 13:45:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brianluidog Because American feedlet beef is the lowest-common-denominator form of cow meat that you can still legally call \"beef\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1909553466391114196","reply_id":"1909553466391114196","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"brianluidog","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":66,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1909603598457012230","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1729675311447458262":{"id":"1729675311447458262","date":"2023-11-29 01:35:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbateman IQ tests in interviews are de facto illegal in the US (Griggs v Duke Power).\n\nIn the US (and Canada/UK) college serves as the best proxy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1729644707586715982","reply_id":"1729644707586715982","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbateman","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":329,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1729675311447458262","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1432503964524630019":{"id":"1432503964524630019","date":"2021-08-31 00:42:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames 1. Practice making markets on random things (my age, # of dice in a closed box, etc). Teaches ability to state a market properly, think of sizing, risk, etc.\n\n2. Simple arb MM. One market for blue poker chips, one for red. 1 blue redeemable for 5 red. Teachers provide order flow.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1432463541110411265","reply_id":"1432463541110411265","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1432503964524630019","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1434963967324024834":{"id":"1434963967324024834","date":"2021-09-06 19:37:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"12/ The easiest place to see this is old ppl and tech. Even ppl who lived a whole career doing tech fall victim to this. My dad, for example.\n\nThey slowly fall behind, and now they’re 10 years+ behind and there’s no chance of getting them to jump on a Discord server or Tiktok.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434963956599193601","reply_id":"1434963966380232705","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434963967324024834","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1594923531758096384":{"id":"1594923531758096384","date":"2022-11-22 05:19:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @therobotjames This. Poker is a decent proposer but no more than... 25% (?) of what matters.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1594914937494974466","reply_id":"1594915623297060865","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1594923531758096384","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1347585070320685059":{"id":"1347585070320685059","date":"2021-01-08 16:44:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alexisohanian Should you *get* paid to pitch?\n\nI mean, it's not obvious that the correct market-clearing price is zero.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1347584486935048193","reply_id":"1347584486935048193","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alexisohanian","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1347585070320685059","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1125436526421168128":{"id":"1125436526421168128","date":"2019-05-06 16:25:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"People always ask me: “What’s the #1 thing I can do the improve my investment returns?” The answer is dead easy. Stop sending Uncle Sam money you don’t have to. 401k, Roth, 529, etc. Max them out! It’s FREE money, guaranteed zero risk. #lawsoftrading #taxes #freemoney","hashtags":["lawsoftrading","taxes","freemoney"],"conv":"1125436526421168128","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1125436526421168128","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1261130691611262977":{"id":"1261130691611262977","date":"2020-05-15 03:06:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @xscott0 @Mephisto731 There's also a retail multiplier effect, where every $ of retail flow creates N times more trading.\n\nRetail is a special case of \"truly exogenous order flow\".\n\nThe real question is how much is permanent market impact and how much is temporary. And on what timescale. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1260841834034626560","reply_id":"1261120618637881344","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1261130691611262977","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1764757926575853945":{"id":"1764757926575853945","date":"2024-03-04 21:00:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@moreproteinbars >10 years ago. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1764706244336717858","reply_id":"1764756416689029516","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"moreproteinbars","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":770,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1764757926575853945","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1844830212024062463":{"id":"1844830212024062463","date":"2024-10-11 19:59:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Gingfacekillah Yes, but often the only way to figure out what a quality rep feels like is to do a *lot* of bad ones.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1844490538978038049","reply_id":"1844490538978038049","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Gingfacekillah","likes":10,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":328,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1844830212024062463","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1330377465462710273":{"id":"1330377465462710273","date":"2020-11-22 05:07:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AdamDraper Knowing exactly what dial setting will give you the right water temperature in unfamiliar showers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1330359999302828032","reply_id":"1330359999302828032","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AdamDraper","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1330377465462710273","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2047323891433906583":{"id":"2047323891433906583","date":"2026-04-23 14:37:07","author":"Alexander Osipovich","handle":"aosipovich","text":"RT @aosipovich: Alex Gerko has built XTX Markets into one of the fastest growing, most profitable firms in the secretive business of algorithmic trading via a prescient bet of AI-powered quant strategies","hashtags":[],"conv":"2047323891433906583","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2047313658980553057","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":15,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":4,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/aosipovich/status/2047323891433906583"},"1437199946424336391":{"id":"1437199946424336391","date":"2021-09-12 23:42:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @darjohn25 @FranklinLynam @FreyaHolmer Twice.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1436696408506212353","reply_id":"1437196106350297091","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1437199946424336391","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1570243478080335872":{"id":"1570243478080335872","date":"2022-09-15 02:49:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is the best math curriculum on the planet.\n\nhttps://www.quantamagazine.org/richard-rusczyk-is-a-math-evangelist-who-preaches-problem-solving-20220913/\n\nShout it from the rooftops!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1570243478080335872","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":140,"retweets":15,"replies":5,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":93,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1570243478080335872","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1459690697464762373":{"id":"1459690697464762373","date":"2021-11-14 01:12:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"👇👇👇","hashtags":[],"conv":"1459690697464762373","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1459690697464762373","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1361407736852795392":{"id":"1361407736852795392","date":"2021-02-15 20:11:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MartyKebke 3. Say I trade, now I've legged into a put spread for a bit of edge on both legs. My vega risk is lower, and it's easier to delta hedge.\n\n4. Maybe next week the 750 put seller comes back wanting to close out. Great, I'll make a market that gives me a good shot to close out.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1358793442243928069","reply_id":"1361407481587539969","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1361407736852795392","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1988972011197198649":{"id":"1988972011197198649","date":"2025-11-13 14:07:35","author":"Jon Sherman","handle":"practicalgolf","text":"Tom Watson's second shot on the 72nd hole at Turnberry in 2009","hashtags":[],"conv":"1988972011197198649","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1989338556410847570","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1261,"retweets":24,"replies":166,"quotes":14,"views":212322,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/practicalgolf/status/1988972011197198649"},"1494112914030030853":{"id":"1494112914030030853","date":"2022-02-17 00:54:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SpencerBosma @darjohn25 I think for pro athletes diet is more important (relatively speaking) than for average people.\n\nThey subject themselves to inflammation much more systematically. Dietary changes can affect inflammatory response a shocking amount.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494110009478684674","reply_id":"1494112578397634560","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SpencerBosma","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494112914030030853","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2019329350731198550":{"id":"2019329350731198550","date":"2026-02-05 08:36:49","author":"the tiny corp","handle":"__tinygrad__","text":"This is one of the better AI chip companies, it's like if @Etched were real. It's sad they have \"Contact Sales\" where a price should be, but their coming Asimov chip makes the correct tradeoffs for low cost transformer inference, and I trust they can tape it out.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2019329350731198550","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2019350925241094456","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":206,"retweets":4,"replies":7,"quotes":2,"views":35203,"bookmarks":63,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/__tinygrad__/status/2019329350731198550"},"1487090748851851267":{"id":"1487090748851851267","date":"2022-01-28 15:50:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NotQuiteMidlife @thodoha @goodalexander Previously-impossible things tend to happen curiously often in markets.\n\nIn fact I argue that broad reliance on something's impossibility creates precisely the conditions that bring about its possibility.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1487077492183613450","reply_id":"1487090096507523076","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuiteMidlife","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1487090748851851267","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1786062798457569674":{"id":"1786062798457569674","date":"2024-05-02 15:58:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ByrneHobart Feedback effects.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1786059625701245277","reply_id":"1786059625701245277","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ByrneHobart","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":455,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1786062798457569674","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1450975472540545029":{"id":"1450975472540545029","date":"2021-10-21 00:01:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Trading_Boxes I'm assuming when you say \"backtesting\" that you're looking to evaluate a strategy, not a particular trade.\n\nIf it's just evaluating whether some specific set of trades made $ once, that's much easier.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1450962362291290121","reply_id":"1450975119837253633","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1450975472540545029","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1615062949303058432":{"id":"1615062949303058432","date":"2023-01-16 19:06:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @fordoglunk So when he retires then?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1615047091965038592","reply_id":"1615054064555012096","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":589,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1615062949303058432","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1559693668541378560":{"id":"1559693668541378560","date":"2022-08-17 00:08:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"All that matters is what *you're* good at, or are likely to become good at.\n\nSo focus on that, not on what WallStreetOasis or whatever tells you is the hot job to get.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1559691124511428608","reply_id":"1559693312381988864","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1559693668541378560","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1610683303643996160":{"id":"1610683303643996160","date":"2023-01-04 17:03:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Instagram","hashtags":[],"conv":"1610655002330005511","reply_id":"1610655002330005511","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":258,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1610683303643996160","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1455897546069450752":{"id":"1455897546069450752","date":"2021-11-03 13:59:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"My LinkedIn feed is full of VPs of data science circling the Zillow carcass like vultures.\n\n\"If you've been affected, please get in touch. I want to help.\"\n\nKinda gross.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1455897546069450752","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1455897546069450752","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1666800450425741312":{"id":"1666800450425741312","date":"2023-06-08 13:32:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"16/ Not quite the response I was expecting!\n\nSo I did exactly what he said.\nAnd honestly, he wasn't wrong.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1666800429236207621","reply_id":"1666800448790228993","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":766,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1666800450425741312","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1979646901080498685":{"id":"1979646901080498685","date":"2025-10-18 20:32:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tennisabstract I just figured it was an anti-Tsitsipas, anti-Fritz, anti-Zverev thing. They're no kings, not by any stretch.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1979625687980863744","reply_id":"1979625687980863744","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tennisabstract","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":322,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1979646901080498685","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1277750259465113605":{"id":"1277750259465113605","date":"2020-06-29 23:46:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HaydenWinks Buried in here is an *incredibly* common fallacy.\n\nThe idea that learning some tool will make you think more clearly, or better, or impress someone.\n\nAnyone who's impressed by tool-wielding isn't a person you want employing you.\n\nCart before the horse.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1277731670171332608","reply_id":"1277731670171332608","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HaydenWinks","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1277750259465113605","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2038320660758282708":{"id":"2038320660758282708","date":"2026-03-29 18:21:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Part of the argument is that, according to him:\n\n\"On average, ~20-40% of stock price change happens before official firm announcements. Thus insider trading in stocks is rampant; yet our stock markets function fine. To consider re prediction market insider trading.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"2038320659005124912","reply_id":"2038320659005124912","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":41,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4190,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2038320660758282708","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1546133331363844097":{"id":"1546133331363844097","date":"2022-07-10 14:04:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The solution of getting people to bet on opinions works shockingly well provided you properly set up the culture around it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546133024869212165","reply_id":"1546133024869212165","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":23,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546133331363844097","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1286300096179499009":{"id":"1286300096179499009","date":"2020-07-23 14:00:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jordanwrong1 @SinclairEuan @KrisAbdelmessih Straddle vs straddle, or tight strangle vs tight strangle sounds right to me.\n\nThen just delta hedge the combined delta. I.e. break down the less-liquid ETF into:\n\nret = unique ret + beta * liquid ret\n\nHedge *mostly* in the liquid instrument. Cheaper that way.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1282702235583954945","reply_id":"1286170137058574336","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jordanwrong1","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1286300096179499009","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1482796082220335106":{"id":"1482796082220335106","date":"2022-01-16 19:25:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@luxatrix Agreed!\n\nMy use of the word \"charity\" could be interpreted the other way and that would be bad.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482748235496058880","reply_id":"1482795781337796615","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"luxatrix","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482796082220335106","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1191479256758415361":{"id":"1191479256758415361","date":"2019-11-04 22:16:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Want to improve how your tech company works?\n\nI'm giving a talk on Nov 13 at 7pm @WalmartLabs (Carlsbad) on exactly that! Have some food, meet some people, listen to a few stories. What could be better? Everyone welcome.\n\nhttps://www.meetup.com/Carlsbad-Tech-Talks/events/266216730/?isFirstPublish=true","hashtags":[],"conv":"1191479256758415361","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1191479256758415361","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1843268805705040383":{"id":"1843268805705040383","date":"2024-10-07 12:35:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LizWolfeReason They might start slacking at any moment. In full view of the childless upwardly mobile!\n\nIt's never about safety, but rather the inconvenience of having to interact with (horror) someone else's child.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1843251558471151675","reply_id":"1843251558471151675","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"LizWolfeReason","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":991,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1843268805705040383","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1878114717262049360":{"id":"1878114717262049360","date":"2025-01-11 16:20:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Two things seem simultaneously true to me:\n\n1. The AI true believers have insane beliefs.\n2. The general public has no idea what's coming in the next 10 years.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1878114717262049360","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":128,"retweets":3,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":9141,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1878114717262049360","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1501753225489227779":{"id":"1501753225489227779","date":"2022-03-10 02:54:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@saanglee @therobotjames I don't get it either. I mean, I kinda get it.\n\n1. Options scratch an intellectual-challenge itch.\n2. You can feel smart when doing them.\n3. You can hide your lack of edge more easily because they're more complex.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501730197628141578","reply_id":"1501735286082252806","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"saanglee","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501753225489227779","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1448477123845390341":{"id":"1448477123845390341","date":"2021-10-14 02:33:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan There's a sale on that stuff, I gather.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448447595446157312","reply_id":"1448461994512748546","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448477123845390341","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1434632107964309504":{"id":"1434632107964309504","date":"2021-09-05 21:38:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 Strongly suggest you read the whole thing.\n\nTaken as a whole, it's far from stupid.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434623665694461961","reply_id":"1434623665694461961","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434632107964309504","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1991813230923296844":{"id":"1991813230923296844","date":"2025-11-21 10:17:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"We can't because the MAN is keeping us out. The game's rigged anyway.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1991813230923296844","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":60,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":21409,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1991813230923296844","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2075620580900872635":{"id":"2075620580900872635","date":"2026-07-10 16:38:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1. I'm not arguing for no non-competes. I do live in the real world. But they're so easily abused by employers for, honestly, bullshit reasons.\n\na) New grads don't know anything starting out. It takes them 6mo to even be net positive contributors.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2075620580900872635","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":134,"retweets":2,"replies":8,"quotes":1,"views":29229,"bookmarks":29,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2075620580900872635","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1482215573350060033":{"id":"1482215573350060033","date":"2022-01-15 04:58:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@stevesi The distance between good Powerpoint and bad Powerpoint is bigger than with any other piece of consumer software.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482215317892104193","reply_id":"1482215317892104193","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"stevesi","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482215573350060033","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1712904409158766717":{"id":"1712904409158766717","date":"2023-10-13 18:53:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EMinflationista Pistons at Hornets on a Tuesday the second night of a back-to-back.\n\nThat's gold, Jerry, gold!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1712898754842607941","reply_id":"1712903481558770021","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EMinflationista","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":95,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1712904409158766717","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1275857592397565952":{"id":"1275857592397565952","date":"2020-06-24 18:25:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mattyglesias There always needs to be a mechanism for the well-connected and well-lawyered class to avoid sharing in the pain of terrible policies.\n\nThis is a fairly universal across countries and eras.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1275857063617445890","reply_id":"1275857063617445890","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mattyglesias","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1275857592397565952","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1598380225246597125":{"id":"1598380225246597125","date":"2022-12-01 18:15:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase @therobotjames @robertmartin88 👍","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598359321158553602","reply_id":"1598379995264880641","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598380225246597125","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1452472426026070019":{"id":"1452472426026070019","date":"2021-10-25 03:09:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@goodalexander @svrnco Agreed. Go read The Poker Face Of Wall Street for more on the history of this phenomenon in the US.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1452460747607379970","reply_id":"1452461634090319872","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"goodalexander","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1452472426026070019","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1618997725089132544":{"id":"1618997725089132544","date":"2023-01-27 15:41:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Seriously, who's been actually watching the Simpsons for the last (checks notes) 20 years?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1618997725089132544","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":4504,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1618997725089132544","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1821046112381551023":{"id":"1821046112381551023","date":"2024-08-07 04:50:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Why is Germany so much worse at the Olympics than they used to be? I don't mean the state-sponsored doping era, I mean the last 30 years.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1821046112381551023","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":10076,"bookmarks":3,"media":["1821046112381551023_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1821046112381551023","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2047254977559618020":{"id":"2047254977559618020","date":"2026-04-23 10:03:17","author":"Cate Hall","handle":"catehall","text":"RT @catehall: @StefanFSchubert These are not real markets!","hashtags":[],"conv":"2047254977559618020","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2047025631012253719","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/catehall/status/2047254977559618020"},"1920705404620652793":{"id":"1920705404620652793","date":"2025-05-09 05:00:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2. Alpha as a service\nPitch: \"We reanalyze new, oil tanker movements, whatever, and provide our customers real alpha.\"\n\nFatal flaw: Alphas are valuable in inverse proportion to how many people know them. If your alpha were real, you should trade it yourself.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1920705401110098162","reply_id":"1920705402691334516","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":97,"retweets":5,"replies":3,"quotes":2,"views":4524,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1920705404620652793","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1748408573783376205":{"id":"1748408573783376205","date":"2024-01-19 18:14:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tweetsbenedict The challenge is the I'm-the-parent-vs-I'm-the-teacher dynamic.\n\nThe upside of having an outside teacher for your homeschool isn't that they're better teachers, necessarily.\n\nIt's that you don't have to switch hats. That's very difficult to pull off.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1748383159493046538","reply_id":"1748383159493046538","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tweetsbenedict","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":446,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1748408573783376205","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1226202860322295808":{"id":"1226202860322295808","date":"2020-02-08 17:55:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm Even better: books and analyses are written about this person's incredible ability to dodge bullets, and what we can all learn (post-facto) from his elusive ways.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1226202343210807296","reply_id":"1226202343210807296","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1226202860322295808","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2069279391222309258":{"id":"2069279391222309258","date":"2026-06-23 04:40:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Much talk recently about @mntruell and @cursor_ai customer service but I'm not seeing much of it.\n\nMy wife's API key got stolen 2 weeks ago and >$3k of fraudulent charges run up in days. CC flags it as fraudulent.\n\nSo far customer support @ Cursor is a black hole...","hashtags":[],"conv":"2069279391222309258","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":61,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":11278,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2069279391222309258","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1369693129629081601":{"id":"1369693129629081601","date":"2021-03-10 16:54:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jeffh690 Doh, open now I think.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1369692422612033542","reply_id":"1369692789357772804","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jeffh690","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1369693129629081601","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1677495908228018177":{"id":"1677495908228018177","date":"2023-07-08 01:52:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Watching tennis on TV, you can often pick up things can help your game. Point construction, ways to take advantage of strengths, mitigate weaknesses.\n\nNot w/ Djokovic.\n\nWhat's there to learn?\n- Be slightly better at most things.\n- Magically elevate your game at important points.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1677495908228018177","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":10518,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1677495908228018177","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1549100944364675077":{"id":"1549100944364675077","date":"2022-07-18 18:37:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@godcomplex96 @patolovesyou Me too FWIW. I can't read anything serious on any electronic or audio format. Just doesn't go into the brain for some reason.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1549091517091938304","reply_id":"1549100771907702789","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"godcomplex96","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1549100944364675077","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1628963821447684096":{"id":"1628963821447684096","date":"2023-02-24 03:43:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If anything, falling in love with an AI is *more* reasonable than falling in love with Rachel from Friends.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1628963821447684096","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":4234,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1628963821447684096","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1412114387079290880":{"id":"1412114387079290880","date":"2021-07-05 18:21:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily The answer crucially depends on why you think it's possible for two assets to have the same EV but different vols. Because that's not a \"normal\" assumption to make.\n\nAnswers which don't make that reasoning explicit are difficult to evaluate.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1412100810876485632","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":40,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1412114387079290880","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2006036113824080362":{"id":"2006036113824080362","date":"2025-12-30 16:14:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Shill me your best Tiger Woods stats, on this the day of his 50th birthday. I'll start.\n\nTiger Woods would have a hall of fame career if you only counted his wins in the state of Florida.\n\nOr California.\n\nOr Georgia.\n\nOr Illinois.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2006036113824080362","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":4851,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2006036113824080362","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1565014036730634241":{"id":"1565014036730634241","date":"2022-08-31 16:29:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Lifecycle of client/provider chats:\n\n1. Provider relationship mgr starts it. \"To be able to turn around q's/requests much more quickly.\"\n2. As q's/requests come in people on the provider side get added to service them.\n3. Client is happy. Rel mgr happy things are happening...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1565014036730634241","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1565014036730634241","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1346863612116123648":{"id":"1346863612116123648","date":"2021-01-06 16:58:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"42/ Ok, getting better.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346863609301778432","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1346863612116123648_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346863612116123648","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1346863609301778432":{"id":"1346863609301778432","date":"2021-01-06 16:58:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"41/ If you've ever built systems to calculate lots of IVs very quickly, you'll learn that getting that parity thing right will cause you endless grief.\n\nSo let's do a simple adjustment.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346863607271755778","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346863609301778432","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1602043644252340225":{"id":"1602043644252340225","date":"2022-12-11 20:52:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@typedfemale At this point, saying this is only true of 99% of human endeavor makes you a humanist.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602033797905596416","reply_id":"1602033797905596416","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"typedfemale","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1602043644252340225","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1485466114561691649":{"id":"1485466114561691649","date":"2022-01-24 04:14:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Letterle 25/26\n⬜\n⬜\n⬜\n⬜\n⬜\n⬜\n⬜\n⬜\n⬜\n⬜\n⬜\n⬜\n⬜\n⬜\n⬜\n⬜\n⬜\n⬜\n⬜\n⬜\n⬜\n⬜\n⬜\n⬜\n🟩\n https://edjefferson.com/letterle/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1485466114561691649","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1485466114561691649","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1587582942251188224":{"id":"1587582942251188224","date":"2022-11-01 23:10:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@timeBanditKevin @l1quid1ty @therobotjames @TCK_JRubano I love JPB and his papers.\n\nBut I've seen CFM's returns and they're not great.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1587569810850086912","reply_id":"1587582486388920320","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"timeBanditKevin","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1587582942251188224","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1926149619739730254":{"id":"1926149619739730254","date":"2025-05-24 05:33:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ordinaryepsilon Yes that's fine. Many things were/are awesome before they figure out how to monetize. Airbnb, Uber, etc.\n\nVC dollars subsidize some great experiences, sometimes for years.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1926008934810157549","reply_id":"1926060928631472177","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ordinaryepsilon","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":327,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1926149619739730254","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1747637594924724686":{"id":"1747637594924724686","date":"2024-01-17 15:10:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@wise_eth 👍\n\nA signal among many.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1747398635602731349","reply_id":"1747637374664724597","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"wise_ct","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":78,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1747637594924724686","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1163285123057348608":{"id":"1163285123057348608","date":"2019-08-19 03:02:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@databoiii @clairlemon Right. @clairlemon \"interpretation\" of this statistic is disingenuous bordering on deliberately inflammatory.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1163193022483320832","reply_id":"1163284514593837057","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"flex_nihilo","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1163285123057348608","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1426215713409101829":{"id":"1426215713409101829","date":"2021-08-13 16:14:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1426215713409101829","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1426215713409101829_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1426215713409101829","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1476915408015745026":{"id":"1476915408015745026","date":"2021-12-31 13:57:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FormFollowsFctn @_____Lightning @JDcarlu If you're fine with the risk profile then it can be an ok trade, but the devil is in the details.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476775525066571778","reply_id":"1476878737308270594","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FormFollowsFctn","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476915408015745026","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1684689430970523649":{"id":"1684689430970523649","date":"2023-07-27 22:17:15","author":"Austin Campbell","handle":"austincampbell","text":"The irony is that this stance is a near-100% assurance they are going to lose power over the space entirely.\n\nOther countries are quite tired of the US meddling in their transactions. Eurodollars stablecoins will become the global standard and the US will be excluded.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1684689430970523649","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1684723448168550400","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":54,"retweets":5,"replies":4,"quotes":4,"views":12731,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/austincampbell/status/1684689430970523649"},"1768079052282405015":{"id":"1768079052282405015","date":"2024-03-14 00:57:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HighFreqAsuka It's kind of insane that this needs to be said, versus just being dead obvious.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1768068700773535809","reply_id":"1768068700773535809","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HighFreqAsuka","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":180,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1768079052282405015","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1968979961596854395":{"id":"1968979961596854395","date":"2025-09-19 10:06:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_vlxd Well, not the unsuccessful ones. There are lots of those too. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1968950472762441870","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1256,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1968979961596854395","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1539249496126898176":{"id":"1539249496126898176","date":"2022-06-21 14:10:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"25/ Me time is an illusion.\n\nAnd I desperately hope I’m wise enough to see that when my turn comes around.\n\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"1539249425956093952","reply_id":"1539249494696525825","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1539249496126898176","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1972891028320629165":{"id":"1972891028320629165","date":"2025-09-30 05:07:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@joel_bkr 🙏🙏🙏\n\nI've been called out (in a good way), will read these and come back with questions if that's ok.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1972712163094487235","reply_id":"1972825112018903180","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"joel_bkr","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":339,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1972891028320629165","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1301320564196302848":{"id":"1301320564196302848","date":"2020-09-03 00:46:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Normal 6-year-olds understand 24k words. 9-year-olds learn 10-12 new words per day. Every day!\n\nAnyone who thinks we don't need massive architectural breakthroughs isn't paying attention.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1301320562493460481","reply_id":"1301320563361685504","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1301320564196302848","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1492679373605924864":{"id":"1492679373605924864","date":"2022-02-13 01:57:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@longskew Claim: finishing a PhD is a -EV move for the majority of PhD finishers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1492622868634431488","reply_id":"1492666270721978373","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"longskew","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1492679373605924864","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1290315146267508736":{"id":"1290315146267508736","date":"2020-08-03 15:54:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SimonDeDeo IMO this is a big part of the secret sauce of very high-performing tech orgs: the way they structure the first 3 months of a new hire's tenure.\n\nIt's incredibly high-leverage when done well.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1290284766650961922","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1290315146267508736","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2070530605213769934":{"id":"2070530605213769934","date":"2026-06-26 15:32:19","author":"Brett Harrison","handle":"BrettHarrison","text":"Three months after launching our traditional asset perpetuals exchange, we’d executed $1B in volume. Less than one month later we’re at >$2B, >$1B/month, without offering tokens, an internal market-maker, non-KYC access, crypto perpetuals, or individual trading, yet...","hashtags":[],"conv":"2070530605213769934","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2070532176366501906","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":139,"retweets":17,"replies":12,"quotes":1,"views":32490,"bookmarks":50,"media":["2070530605213769934_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/BrettHarrison/status/2070530605213769934"},"1987407601198375257":{"id":"1987407601198375257","date":"2025-11-09 06:31:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Caring one way or another about Elon's Tesla comp package is a sign of brain rot.\n\n(Unless you're one of handful of meaningful shareholders in the company.)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1987407601198375257","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":54,"retweets":3,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":5713,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1987407601198375257","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1968949038457274392":{"id":"1968949038457274392","date":"2025-09-19 08:03:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I mean, if deposits are already an unsecured loan to Coinbase anyway...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1968949038457274392","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":7333,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1968949038457274392","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1630243146784444417":{"id":"1630243146784444417","date":"2023-02-27 16:27:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@chriseberly I know, I know.\n\nProblem is I don't have a FT person's worth of work for each (yet) and for many reasons I don't want part-time/contract/etc.\n\nJust yelling at clouds, really. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1630241554676981761","reply_id":"1630242343088701442","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"chriseberly","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":252,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1630243146784444417","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1546513708993507328":{"id":"1546513708993507328","date":"2022-07-11 15:16:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Tired: using floats to represent prices in trading code\n\nWired: writing your own fixed-point decimal library\n\nExpired: Finding and fixing all the corner case bugs in your float converter","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546513708993507328","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":31,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546513708993507328","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1712258877797089516":{"id":"1712258877797089516","date":"2023-10-12 00:08:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NotQuiteMidlife Southwest? Probably their 5th destination of the day.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1712123425949458547","reply_id":"1712123425949458547","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuiteMidlife","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":149,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1712258877797089516","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1277747248391061504":{"id":"1277747248391061504","date":"2020-06-29 23:34:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@QuantStratTradR @HaydenWinks @thomas_mock Any job whose defining characteristic is your skill using a specific tool is... not a great job usually.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1277731670171332608","reply_id":"1277744896527470597","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuantStratTradR","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1277747248391061504","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1415453269376176128":{"id":"1415453269376176128","date":"2021-07-14 23:28:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @KrisAbdelmessih @RockshotJ The key is that last bit. You can drive a truck through it if you do it right. If you're good at talking about your company, about the opportunity, about what's interesting/novel/hard/etc, you'll attract the one you need.\n\nDon't need to appeal to everyone. Just to the right one.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"1415452675290849283","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415453269376176128","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1655973756060446721":{"id":"1655973756060446721","date":"2023-05-09 16:31:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin Struggling to see how a 1-person AI company can capture much value. What's the moat?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1655972750404485133","reply_id":"1655972750404485133","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":147,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1655973756060446721","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1788665966563660231":{"id":"1788665966563660231","date":"2024-05-09 20:22:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"At least that's how I remember it. It was a long time ago. Anyone else play this game?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788665757666349522","reply_id":"1788665758857495014","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1131,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788665966563660231","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1585407240067960832":{"id":"1585407240067960832","date":"2022-10-26 23:05:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5/ No-code things don't help you with the problem of understanding your problem well.\n\nArguably they often anti-help you because, the easier they are to use to non-programmers, the more they require you to think in imprecise and unclear ways.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1585407235311964168","reply_id":"1585407238952230912","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1585407240067960832","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1602446375446204417":{"id":"1602446375446204417","date":"2022-12-12 23:32:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"7/ So where does this leave us?\n\nHere is a possibly-useful direction: do your day classification using non-martingales. Vol, volume, whether it's earnings season, Fed day, etc etc.\n\nThat way you have at least a shot at a useful predictive model.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602446367825149952","reply_id":"1602446374314070017","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":23,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1602446375446204417","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2057077759717871972":{"id":"2057077759717871972","date":"2026-05-20 12:35:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Starting to sense that the big prop firms (JS, HRT, Jump, etc) are entering their 2010s-era Google phase.\n\nPrinting so much $, they can afford to warehouse expensive brains doing not-that-much. So that others don't get access to those brains.\n\nCushy but not very stimulating.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2057077759717871972","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2057444931816325544","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":827,"retweets":10,"replies":29,"quotes":3,"views":165146,"bookmarks":239,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2057077759717871972","type":"quote","issues":[]},"2001936058670514263":{"id":"2001936058670514263","date":"2025-12-19 08:42:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I would like to be super clear:\n\nI can't trade (i.e. many trades per day) successfully as a retail trader EITHER! I know I can't.\n\nThe reason is that I know what infra, cost structures and team you need to be successful, and I CANNOT replicate that as a retail guy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2001936058670514263","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":271,"retweets":6,"replies":17,"quotes":5,"views":149581,"bookmarks":98,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2001936058670514263","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1788665757666349522":{"id":"1788665757666349522","date":"2024-05-09 20:22:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Thing I remembered for the first time in 30 years:\n\nBack in the 90s we had a pirated copy of a Monty Python computer game.\n\nThe copy protection scheme was that, on loading, the game showed you a few cheese names and you had to match them to a picture of the cheese in question.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788665757666349522","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3161,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788665757666349522","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1791142035677950438":{"id":"1791142035677950438","date":"2024-05-16 16:21:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount A garbage bag that starts smelling terrible in 5 minutes? Sign me up!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1791136683007611235","reply_id":"1791136683007611235","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":168,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1791142035677950438","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1354927286928084996":{"id":"1354927286928084996","date":"2021-01-28 23:00:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Noahpinion @postcarbonsteve Precisely. The whole \"embodied emissions\" started as a legit point and is now largely whataboutism.\n\nStep 1: Electrify the cars.\nStep 2: Now that you've de-consumerified the env impact, work on them in the supply chain. Which is much easier.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1354924561867759618","reply_id":"1354924860942635008","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Noahpinion","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1354927286928084996","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1853479258292936977":{"id":"1853479258292936977","date":"2024-11-04 16:47:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"To roughly shuffle something: to ruffle it.\n\nJust perfect. What other portmanteaus are real words that fit post-facto?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1853479258292936977","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1919,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1853479258292936977","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1792294228896497944":{"id":"1792294228896497944","date":"2024-05-19 20:40:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"https://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1652157521849913346","hashtags":[],"conv":"1792294154074227061","reply_id":"1792294154074227061","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2347,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1792294228896497944","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1546540024199450625":{"id":"1546540024199450625","date":"2022-07-11 17:00:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@GestaltU California version:\n\nMiddle-aged middle-class men used to be the bedrock of rule-following.\n\nNow they're the likeliest ones to run a red light or illegal U-turn in their souped-up Ford F150 Raptors.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546539032745844736","reply_id":"1546539032745844736","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GestaltU","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546540024199450625","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1405167298910986247":{"id":"1405167298910986247","date":"2021-06-16 14:16:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod Fun intern challenge to get them learning to use the tools:\n\n\"If you had a time machine that lets you go back 24hrs, find me the highest-return trade you could have made marked to now.\"\n\nI love it when they discover options. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1405108092585525249","reply_id":"1405108092585525249","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1405167298910986247","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1364228830542524416":{"id":"1364228830542524416","date":"2021-02-23 15:01:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @bennpeifert @ConvexityMaven The most ridiculous tree on planet Earth.\nYes people, those things are edible and delicious.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1364201116494299143","reply_id":"1364202859705872384","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1364228830542524416_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1364228830542524416","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1666112596095942657":{"id":"1666112596095942657","date":"2023-06-06 15:59:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's cute that Khachanov won a set.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1666112596095942657","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1258,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1666112596095942657","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1961743935908311305":{"id":"1961743935908311305","date":"2025-08-30 10:52:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"History AGIs trained on the mid 21st century largely agree that the first shots of the US's Warring States period actually came *before* the fall of the Trump Dynasty.\n\nThe redistricting battle of 2025 is actually the real beginning of what's now known as the Flyover Schism.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1961743935908311305","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2875,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1961743935908311305","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1633603373948862464":{"id":"1633603373948862464","date":"2023-03-08 22:59:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@afekz Right. Tryhard/grindcore/workporn ain't the answer either.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633552114944471041","reply_id":"1633598177424072706","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"afekz","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":422,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633603373948862464","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1606427886625427457":{"id":"1606427886625427457","date":"2022-12-23 23:13:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@UAL_Fan One way or another, it's us.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1606426993649930240","reply_id":"1606427521687355392","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"UAL_Fan","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":380,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1606427886625427457","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1479980908602171393":{"id":"1479980908602171393","date":"2022-01-09 00:58:39","author":"Robin Hanson","handle":"robinhanson","text":"In each of the following eight polls, pick the feature of yourself that you would most like to increase by 1%.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1479980908602171393","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1479984808700776449","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":3,"replies":7,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/robinhanson/status/1479980908602171393"},"2065037879248564229":{"id":"2065037879248564229","date":"2026-06-11 11:46:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"All of this.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2065037879248564229","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":41,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":11069,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2065037879248564229","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1473146490725888001":{"id":"1473146490725888001","date":"2021-12-21 04:21:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @GreenZenForest @bennpeifert It's so good, you need noSQL.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1473132928771129346","reply_id":"1473146187289030659","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1473146490725888001","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1240761315993382912":{"id":"1240761315993382912","date":"2020-03-19 22:05:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@robertwiblin @elonmusk @westcoastbill Regressions on new per day numbers are valid.\nRegressions on cumsums will artificially inflate R^2.\n\nBest to publish the fit (and R^2) on the yellow line not the green one.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1240703534749769733","reply_id":"1240759395098808325","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"robertwiblin","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1240761315993382912","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1597704070101630979":{"id":"1597704070101630979","date":"2022-11-29 21:28:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @Gingfacekillah @be20684347 @QuantumHoneybee @0xLightcycle https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_NygbA9UYPw","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597690466807316480","reply_id":"1597702663356850176","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597704070101630979","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1422711786264879106":{"id":"1422711786264879106","date":"2021-08-04 00:11:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@chriseberly @theemilyaccount It's a catchall.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1422694878966947840","reply_id":"1422696299766366208","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"chriseberly","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1422711786264879106","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1788931856425185422":{"id":"1788931856425185422","date":"2024-05-10 13:59:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin Definitely not worth the effort!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788923697908339031","reply_id":"1788931710295445675","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3967,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788931856425185422","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1832836947884024112":{"id":"1832836947884024112","date":"2024-09-08 17:42:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@kelp_feeder Feels like one of those \"be careful what you wish for\" things.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1832824613950079049","reply_id":"1832835077455372324","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"kelp_feeder","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":349,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1832836947884024112","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1970080412002308183":{"id":"1970080412002308183","date":"2025-09-22 10:59:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FreeDrThug Tautology-seeking.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970026568471794085","reply_id":"1970078318947951071","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FreeDrThug","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1405,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1970080412002308183","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1841522640944550096":{"id":"1841522640944550096","date":"2024-10-02 16:56:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ByrneHobart Hypothesis: the Mafia will always have a cost-of and availability-of-capital disadvantage compared to public markets. Once the business got big enough to attract Wall Street, it was curtains.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1841514555681206300","reply_id":"1841514555681206300","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ByrneHobart","likes":34,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2045,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1841522640944550096","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1598379859293933568":{"id":"1598379859293933568","date":"2022-12-01 18:13:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase @therobotjames @robertmartin88 You should probably cap your max signal (or max pos, same thing) to something sensible anyway.\n\nSay your signal is usually well calibrated and lives between +/- 4%. One day your signal is 50%. Do you bet the farm?\n\nOf course not, your signal is just wrong. Bad data, model, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598359321158553602","reply_id":"1598379460000157705","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598379859293933568","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1371602212175056901":{"id":"1371602212175056901","date":"2021-03-15 23:20:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@GutterGnostic @PRentz A great point. Two thoughts:\n\n1. We should think in terms of bounded rationality. Doing the best we can with the restrictions (epistemic and otherwise) we have. And always pushing against those bounds.\n\n2. Market rationality is a very different thing from individual rationality.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1371516798831489025","reply_id":"1371598355919466500","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"PlagueNasty","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1371602212175056901","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2053825221866463574":{"id":"2053825221866463574","date":"2026-05-11 13:11:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"- Aggregate data in 5 year bins.\n\nDo we see more parity today vs the past?\nWhere does that increased parity appear most/least?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2053825220255903872","reply_id":"2053825220255903872","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3119,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2053825221866463574","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1749282490370650614":{"id":"1749282490370650614","date":"2024-01-22 04:07:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's sad-but-awesome that the mayor of the capital of Romania is a two-time IMO gold medalist.\n\nhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nicu%C8%99or_Dan\n\nImagine if NYC had an IMO medalist mayor? Not saying it would definitely be better, but it would be different...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1749282490370650614","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":36,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":6716,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1749282490370650614","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2004600132843831550":{"id":"2004600132843831550","date":"2025-12-26 17:08:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The Argentine senator points his arm and says:\n\n\"Do you see that beautiful new superhighway in the distance?\"\n\n\"I do not.\"\n\n\"That is how.\"\n\n@famadeo may tell this better.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2004600110534328367","reply_id":"2004600130176254344","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":41,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4741,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2004600132843831550","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1786453261299655097":{"id":"1786453261299655097","date":"2024-05-03 17:50:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If a kid starts \"9th grade\" by just studying for and taking AP courses (assuming the kid is ready), gets 5s, will colleges care the kid doesn't have a high school diploma per se?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1786453261299655097","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":4056,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1786453261299655097","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1764416157984166156":{"id":"1764416157984166156","date":"2024-03-03 22:22:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mansourtarek_ @yieldcurvepro Not sure. Maybe start with binaries on the question \"What is US total debt issuance going to be by EOY 2024/25/etc?\" (or whatever fiscal year is relevant)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1764317913291665553","reply_id":"1764413804325024234","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mansourtarek_","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":81,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1764416157984166156","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1943567366123602161":{"id":"1943567366123602161","date":"2025-07-11 07:05:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ltrd_ Hull? Who's Hull? Just sell premium dude.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943475829293437232","reply_id":"1943475829293437232","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ltrd_","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":753,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1943567366123602161","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1488933840030601216":{"id":"1488933840030601216","date":"2022-02-02 17:54:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih What if my numeraire is \"slices of pizza\"?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1488932091123302402","reply_id":"1488932091123302402","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1488933840030601216","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1641979390387970049":{"id":"1641979390387970049","date":"2023-04-01 01:42:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lightspringfox @svrnco @xmgnr @therobotjames @davidbelle_ @OrthogonalAlpha The people who spun those out weren't Ocaml-lovers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1641574459675910144","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1287,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1641979390387970049","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1539249427658985474":{"id":"1539249427658985474","date":"2022-06-21 14:10:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2/ WARNING: This is some real bargain-basement philosophy and sociology here.\n\nIt’s literally just some random dude trying to make sense of the world. Trying to figure it out in real time. Ok here goes…","hashtags":[],"conv":"1539249425956093952","reply_id":"1539249425956093952","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1539249427658985474","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1922276632384979142":{"id":"1922276632384979142","date":"2025-05-13 13:03:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ByrneHobart \"Byrne, you can't live in your portfolio.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1922217541520314643","reply_id":"1922274105438474277","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ByrneHobart","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1090,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1922276632384979142","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1644472386643963905":{"id":"1644472386643963905","date":"2023-04-07 22:49:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xfbifemboy","hashtags":[],"conv":"1644458303752400896","reply_id":"1644458303752400896","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xfbifemboy","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1298,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1644472386643963905_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1644472386643963905","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1961478068284920244":{"id":"1961478068284920244","date":"2025-08-29 17:16:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Parthion Because almost no one knows how to do that, or TO do that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1961463677615571105","reply_id":"1961463677615571105","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Parthion","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":67,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1961478068284920244","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1538381908001730560":{"id":"1538381908001730560","date":"2022-06-19 04:43:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@GrantStenger @garybasin This thread may well be the most real thing happening on Twitter right now. People with real names putting real money on their beliefs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1538357097485803521","reply_id":"1538380151167197184","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GrantStenger","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1538381908001730560","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1387052161519939587":{"id":"1387052161519939587","date":"2021-04-27 14:33:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LouStagner Phase 2:\n\n\"Ok I'm practicing now. Still not getting better.\"\n\nMe: \"What are you working on?\"\n\n\"Spending lots of time on the range.\"\n\nMe: \"Doesn't it usually take you 2 to get out of the sand? And don't you usually 3-putt 4 times a round?\"\n\n\"Uhhh, but I like hitting driver.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1387049617649328128","reply_id":"1387049617649328128","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"LouStagner","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1387052161519939587","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1641524731386929156":{"id":"1641524731386929156","date":"2023-03-30 19:36:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I'm starting to get the sense those skill self-ratings on resumes aren't always accurate.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1641524731386929156","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":37,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":6320,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1641524731386929156","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1959228042091405553":{"id":"1959228042091405553","date":"2025-08-23 12:15:40","author":"QuantSeeker","handle":"quantseeker","text":"New paper by Daniel Bloch: Fast trading signals often look like alpha but are mostly small-sample noise. What seems like “speed” is usually just reacting faster to randomness.\n\nhttps://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5393135","hashtags":[],"conv":"1959228042091405553","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1959568586114040234","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":75,"retweets":12,"replies":3,"quotes":3,"views":51648,"bookmarks":104,"media":["1959228042091405553_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/quantseeker/status/1959228042091405553"},"1764482649266237690":{"id":"1764482649266237690","date":"2024-03-04 02:47:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ScottPh77711570 @SquishChaos @TradetroniX ❤️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1763873919872987418","reply_id":"1764481950709088485","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ScottPh77711570","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":367,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1764482649266237690","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1420131153772646400":{"id":"1420131153772646400","date":"2021-07-27 21:17:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"But you still lost *some* information. And perhaps more pointedly, you can’t have manufactured any NEW info.\n\nWhat will that backtest on those fake histories generated by this model tell you?\n\n9/n","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420131145669169153","reply_id":"1420131152782774272","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420131153772646400","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1516937088104484864":{"id":"1516937088104484864","date":"2022-04-21 00:29:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily Through our actions we choose what we want the platform to be.\n\nIn life we reap what we sow, and this is nowhere more true than on social media.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1516935907126833152","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1516937088104484864","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1471354713572462592":{"id":"1471354713572462592","date":"2021-12-16 05:41:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 My convenience trades are always obviously correct.\n\nThose other idiots don't know what they're doing.\n\n🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471352829201686534","reply_id":"1471354506332221440","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471354713572462592","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1768404709336052193":{"id":"1768404709336052193","date":"2024-03-14 22:31:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If by \"can't say out loud\" what's meant is \"yelling it at the top of their lungs with every thing they do\", sure.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1768404709336052193","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":117,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":27215,"bookmarks":18,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1768404709336052193","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1908019170043641934":{"id":"1908019170043641934","date":"2025-04-04 04:49:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"http://AI-2027.com reads like the fever dream of someone whose social circle has shrunk to include only people who work at these labs and their hangers-on.\n\nFun hard sci fi though. Well-written at least.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1908019170043641934","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":28,"retweets":1,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":2932,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1908019170043641934","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1821898956072485238":{"id":"1821898956072485238","date":"2024-08-09 13:18:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@hopbpatrick Yes! Come for the speed, stay for the not-insane API.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1821891509265834297","reply_id":"1821891509265834297","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"hopbpatrick","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":240,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1821898956072485238","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1382698632760193035":{"id":"1382698632760193035","date":"2021-04-15 14:13:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brrrcapital1 Oh man! Definitely not me, just to set the record straight! 😱","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"1382697505146699785","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"brrrcapital1","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382698632760193035","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2004498411241058733":{"id":"2004498411241058733","date":"2025-12-26 10:23:57","author":"Kieran Drew","handle":"ItsKieranDrew","text":"RT @ItsKieranDrew: Paul Graham on why you shouldn’t write with AI:\n\n“In preindustrial times most people's jobs made them strong. Now if you want to be strong, you work out. So there are still strong people, but only those who choose to be. It will be the same with writing. 𝐓𝐡𝐞𝐫𝐞 𝐰𝐢𝐥𝐥 𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐥𝐥 𝐛𝐞 𝐬𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐭 𝐩𝐞𝐨𝐩𝐥𝐞, 𝐛𝐮𝐭 𝐨𝐧𝐥𝐲 𝐭𝐡𝐨𝐬𝐞 𝐰𝐡𝐨 𝐜𝐡𝐨𝐨𝐬𝐞 𝐭𝐨 𝐛𝐞.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"2004498411241058733","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2004137621539229745","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":363,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["2004498411241058733_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ItsKieranDrew/status/2004498411241058733"},"1761184922155569413":{"id":"1761184922155569413","date":"2024-02-24 00:23:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's like the early 2000s when top 10,000m runners found there was enough money in marathons to actually train for them.\n\nThe WR dropped almost 2 minutes in six years.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1761183448637788234","reply_id":"1761183448637788234","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1046,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1761184922155569413","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1297697209446588416":{"id":"1297697209446588416","date":"2020-08-24 00:48:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Looking for help: can anyone recommend a science textbook for a science-loving and very curious 10 year old? Something he can sink his teeth into and devour.\n\nHe loves Randall Munroe's What If, How To and Thing Explainer, if that helps.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1297697209446588416","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1297697209446588416","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1357036268845101059":{"id":"1357036268845101059","date":"2021-02-03 18:40:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TraderSkew @RobinhoodApp @FoxBusiness 1. Curbs on PFOF: \"Let's make it more expensive for retail to trade\".\n\n2. Curbs on short-selling: \"Let's make short squeezes even likelier to happen.\"\n\nWonderful.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1357033372216918021","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1357036268845101059","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1529969772280000513":{"id":"1529969772280000513","date":"2022-05-26 23:36:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529965062269587456","reply_id":"1529969502452080678","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1529969772280000513","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1561718885379817472":{"id":"1561718885379817472","date":"2022-08-22 14:16:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"PGATour RN.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1561718885379817472","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1561718885379817472","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1222662931935977472":{"id":"1222662931935977472","date":"2020-01-29 23:28:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @petergarnry @Barton_options @ReformedTrader I've started to believe that publishing good trades almost doesn't hurt you at all, because of the steganography.\n\nJust *try* and find the good stuff! :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1222324658617192448","reply_id":"1222660121471242241","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1222662931935977472","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1519889299231047680":{"id":"1519889299231047680","date":"2022-04-29 04:00:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @jgreco 🤣🤣🤣\n\n\"Hear me out. TradFi brokering but no FINRA rules to creatively get around. Who's in?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1519804973587992578","reply_id":"1519888185223835648","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1519889299231047680","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1988534018439033232":{"id":"1988534018439033232","date":"2025-11-12 09:07:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Question:\nWhat's a bucket shop?\n\nAnswer:\nA so-called trading company whose revenue primarily comes out of the people who think they're employees of the company.\n\nA real trading company makes money from profitable trading.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1988534015419146302","reply_id":"1988534015419146302","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":78,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":18970,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1988534018439033232","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1595864324308094976":{"id":"1595864324308094976","date":"2022-11-24 19:37:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nickmhc In the US, part of \"must have a college degree\" is so they can be hired as exempt employees. I.e. otherwise you have to pay them overtime if they work more than 40 hours per week.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595799254437462016","reply_id":"1595838677678071808","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nickmhc","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1595864324308094976","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1354277551225458698":{"id":"1354277551225458698","date":"2021-01-27 03:58:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @macropotamus Plus the added spice from the intransigent government of Lower Saxony.\n\nI'm actually very disappointed that episode hasn't gotten the Michael Lewis treatment. Or similar AFAIK. Would make for a great read...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1354274948165079040","reply_id":"1354275977140989952","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1354277551225458698","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1544112054117601280":{"id":"1544112054117601280","date":"2022-07-05 00:12:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"You know what you call a rogue trader who made a lot instead of losing a lot?\n\nMD.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1544112054117601280","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1544112054117601280","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1367675275186561031":{"id":"1367675275186561031","date":"2021-03-05 03:16:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@salr_nyc @KrisAbdelmessih @Ksidiii \"Huh, vol's really dropping in this thing for some reason...\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1367549296216858632","reply_id":"1367674999910305792","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"salr_nyc","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1367675275186561031","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1548054048820981760":{"id":"1548054048820981760","date":"2022-07-15 21:17:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@shxbh1738 @godcomplex96 @therobotjames @TCK_JRubano @pmontu33 How are you defining \"bad\"?\nRetrospectively or prospectively?\n\nThat's the whole crux of the question here. I claim retrospectively doesn't matter assuming you're sizing properly.\n\nYour signal tells you about whether it's good prospectively.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548007648007634944","reply_id":"1548053556174864387","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"shxbh1738","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1548054048820981760","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1507490090498502656":{"id":"1507490090498502656","date":"2022-03-25 22:50:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @SpecWithGeorge @michaellistman @bennpeifert @JessicaNutt96 @be20684347 @KrisAbdelmessih @therobotjames Do both. Small size. Look at PnL of both like a hawk.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507381902273097730","reply_id":"1507489677707722752","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507490090498502656","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1382714494745415682":{"id":"1382714494745415682","date":"2021-04-15 15:16:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@famadeo 1. The right founders. Complete alignment, implicit trust. If you need a contract to specify things, you've got the wrong co-founders.\n\n2. Find good edges. Doesn't have to be scalable yet, but it has to make money with high probability. Hedge a lot. Don't lose money.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"1382713419367919617","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"famadeo","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382714494745415682","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1769517098651574349":{"id":"1769517098651574349","date":"2024-03-18 00:12:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"But it makes perfect sense from someone who owns a portfolio of companies which individually are unhedged, balls-to-the-wall, risk-it-all.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1769517098651574349","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":32,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":7334,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1769517098651574349","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1454976383793336325":{"id":"1454976383793336325","date":"2021-11-01 00:59:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@StevenMandrapa @darjohn25 @KrisAbdelmessih Definitely agree. It's the old Mike Tyson line:\n\n\"Everyone's got a plan until they get punched in the face.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1454896792802267140","reply_id":"1454974271625699336","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"StevenMandrapa","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1454976383793336325","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1531759553359978497":{"id":"1531759553359978497","date":"2022-05-31 22:08:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@frankoz95967943 @KrisAbdelmessih Object Pascal still gets me in the feels. First \"real\" software I ever wrote.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1531739423313784832","reply_id":"1531746715467845632","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VietVantage","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1531759553359978497","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1440514473710612481":{"id":"1440514473710612481","date":"2021-09-22 03:13:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Someone from Substack contacted me about starting a thing there. I'm going to talk to them tomorrow.\n\nWhat questions should I ask?\n\nAnd should I do this? Seems like a lot of work... 🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1440514473710612481","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1440514473710612481","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1567504486704492548":{"id":"1567504486704492548","date":"2022-09-07 13:26:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NicoPollari @cryptohound666 @therobotjames @theemilyaccount @witchqueendot Warning, there's a lot of LARPing going on there...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1567346642105286656","reply_id":"1567433014950371330","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"NicoPollari","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1567504486704492548","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1678838441281462272":{"id":"1678838441281462272","date":"2023-07-11 18:47:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It was nice of Novak to give Andrei that set. A gentlemen's straight-set victory.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1678808244805046272","reply_id":"1678815800311054337","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1225,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1678838441281462272","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1917932873346384313":{"id":"1917932873346384313","date":"2025-05-01 13:23:25","author":"Joe Weisenthal","handle":"TheStalwart","text":"What's the counter-argument to this?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1917932873346384313","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1917969798039851223","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":537,"retweets":11,"replies":274,"quotes":16,"views":262585,"bookmarks":160,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheStalwart/status/1917932873346384313"},"1482897815927808000":{"id":"1482897815927808000","date":"2022-01-17 02:09:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@balajis Ideological proximity leads to geographic proximity over the long run.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482895712354332673","reply_id":"1482895712354332673","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"balajis","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482897815927808000","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1247599826683871232":{"id":"1247599826683871232","date":"2020-04-07 18:59:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Honor Blackman passed away yesterday.\n\nhttps://www.theguardian.com/film/2020/apr/06/honor-blackman-james-bond-pussy-galore-avengers-dies-aged-94\n\nGoldfinger. The greatest movie about arbitrage being SO evil that the world's greatest super-spy had to investigate, stop and eventually kill the arbitrageur.\n\nEh, @VolatilityWiz?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1247599826683871232","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1247599826683871232","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1974183788638056541":{"id":"1974183788638056541","date":"2025-10-03 18:44:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@patrickc Who's paying the yield the depositors will be getting? Will bank margins shrink? Lending rates go up?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1974164842862031282","reply_id":"1974164842862031282","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"patrickc","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":730,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1974183788638056541","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1838993623796301897":{"id":"1838993623796301897","date":"2024-09-25 17:27:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mckinleyslade Availability and spreads.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1838919328730653118","reply_id":"1838953704147279952","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mckinleyslade","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":262,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1838993623796301897","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1223264370945191936":{"id":"1223264370945191936","date":"2020-01-31 15:18:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vixologist VXX beta to SPX does usually hover around 3-5. Obv the tail behavior is different.\n\nToday's VXX move is definitely big. Mean-reversion anyone? :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1223262897629024256","reply_id":"1223262897629024256","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vixologist","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1223264370945191936","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1594923228241305600":{"id":"1594923228241305600","date":"2022-11-22 05:18:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase Yeah, not saying it's impossible. Just that in expectation, it's likely to be a poor use of time/skills/capital.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1594917379397468160","reply_id":"1594918902013874176","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1594923228241305600","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1433222792812503040":{"id":"1433222792812503040","date":"2021-09-02 00:18:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vgr He was the hand model. Couldn't be brainwashed because he wasn't a full on model.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1433180835671277569","reply_id":"1433222581813841921","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vgr","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1433222792812503040_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1433222792812503040","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1679925312912769024":{"id":"1679925312912769024","date":"2023-07-14 18:46:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbacarella @graceclarke Having kids hugely increases the emotional variance in your life. Highs are higher, lows are lower than anything else I've done.\n\nWhether the mean is higher or lower, however, depends on the person.\n\nOne thing that's true: maximizing happiness is pretty sad as a main life goal.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1679297289502834690","reply_id":"1679659860521287680","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbacarella","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":39,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1679925312912769024","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1631387676917264385":{"id":"1631387676917264385","date":"2023-03-02 20:15:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AlecStapp @abiylfoyp I'd love to read one too.\n\nMy take is that he's an honest guy trying hard to do the right thing in a medium that strongly incentivizes him to do the opposite.\n\nTime will tell which one wins.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1631371512023228426","reply_id":"1631381588209442822","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AlecStapp","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":682,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1631387676917264385","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1845005356453216588":{"id":"1845005356453216588","date":"2024-10-12 07:35:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Holy crap, table tennis skills are a LOT less portable than I thought.\n\nOlympic medalists are indistinguishable from a random schmuck off the street who has never held a racket.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gkv45WZHaz4","hashtags":[],"conv":"1845005356453216588","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2861,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1845005356453216588","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1405184156317884422":{"id":"1405184156317884422","date":"2021-06-16 15:23:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"8/ I'll let y'all draw your own analogies, but IMO the leafblower can teach us a lot.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1405184150139674624","reply_id":"1405184155445448710","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":19,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1405184156317884422","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1897557611228144125":{"id":"1897557611228144125","date":"2025-03-06 07:59:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"But now the rate of info generation, storage, and retrieval is enormous. Every word a politician utters is recorded, indexed and is instantly searchable.\n\nIt's trivial for reporters to quickly find inconsistent statements by anyone in the public eye.\n\nResult: people tune out.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1897557608203944439","reply_id":"1897557609776853314","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":522,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1897557611228144125","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2055491938464489888":{"id":"2055491938464489888","date":"2026-05-16 03:34:01","author":"Deedy","handle":"deedydas","text":"The vibes in SF feel pretty frenetic right now. The divide in outcomes is the worst I've ever seen.\n\nOver the last 5yrs, a group of ~10k people - employees at Anthropic, OpenAI, xAI, Nvidia, Meta TBD, founders - have hit retirement wealth of well above $20M (back of the envelope AI estimation).\n\nEveryone outside that group feels like they can work their well-paying (but <$500k) job for their whole life and never get there.\n\nWorse yet, layoffs are in full swing. Many software engineers feel like their life's skill is no longer useful. The day to day role of most jobs has changed overnight with AI.\n\nAs a result,\n1. The corporate ladder looks like the wrong building to climb.\nEveryone's trying to align with a new set of career \"paths\": should I be a founder? Is it too late to join Anthropic / OpenAI? should I get into AI? what company stock will 10x next? People are demanding higher salaries and switching jobs more and more.\n\n2. There’s a deep malaise about work (and its future).\nWhy even work at all for “peanuts”? Will my job even exist in a few years? Many feel helpless. You hear the “permanent underclass” conversation a lot, esp from young people. It's hard to focus on doing good work when you think \"man, if I joined Anthropic 2yrs ago, I could retire\"\n\n3. The mid to late middle managers feel paralyzed.\nMany have families and don't feel like they have the energy or network to just \"start a company\". They don't particularly have any AI skills. They see the writing on the wall: middle management is being hollowed out in many companies.\n\n4. The rich aren’t particularly happy either.\nNo one is shedding tears for them (and rightfully so). But those who have \"made it\" experience a profound lack of purpose too. Some have gone from <$150k to >$50M in a few years with no ramp. It flips your life plans upside down. For some, comparison is the thief of joy. For some, they escape to NYC to \"live life\". For others still, they start companies \"just cuz\", often to win status points. They never imagined that by age 30, they'd be set. I once asked a post-economic founder friend why they didn't just sell the co and they said \"and do what? right now, everyone wants to talk to me. if i sell, I will only have money.\"\n\nI understand that many reading this scoff at the champagne problems of the valley. Society is warped in this tech bubble. What is often well-off anywhere else in the world is bang average here.\n\nUnlike many other places, tenure, intelligence and hard work can be loosely correlated with outcomes in the Bay. Living through a societally transformative gold rush in that environment can be paralyzing. \"Am I in the right place? Should I move? Is there time still left? Am I gonna make it?\" It psychologically torments many who have moved here in search of \"success\".\n\nIronically, a frequent side effect of this torment is to spin up the very products making everyone rich in hopes that you too can vibecode your path to economic enlightenment.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2055491938464489888","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2055619318994337957","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16542,"retweets":1282,"replies":1133,"quotes":1152,"views":13385309,"bookmarks":12580,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/deedydas/status/2055491938464489888"},"1271887751541977088":{"id":"1271887751541977088","date":"2020-06-13 19:30:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @choffstein Definitely one other thing is the serial correlation of vol. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1271816880315969537","reply_id":"1271882203983536128","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1271887751541977088","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1415321030172692480":{"id":"1415321030172692480","date":"2021-07-14 14:43:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"7/ Ok, so how do we make sure we have a match? There are two components from the employer side:\n\n- Evaluating whether the person is a match.\n- Signaling to the *right* person that this is the place for them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"1415321029237346304","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415321030172692480","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1690868773396643840":{"id":"1690868773396643840","date":"2023-08-13 23:31:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's a fine line between making sure your kids understand their good fortune at living in the affluence that consumer capitalism provides...\n\nwhile also instilling the unstinting vigilance required to avoid the just-this-side-of-legal scams that all companies seem to deploy now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1690868773396643840","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":5116,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1690868773396643840","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1546551259045384192":{"id":"1546551259045384192","date":"2022-07-11 17:45:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Becoming great at hiring is the corporate version of losing weight:\n\n- Everyone wants to do it.\n- No one knows how.\n- When they find out what it actually takes, the will to do it usually evaporates.\n\nThoughts @tylercowen?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546551259045384192","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546551259045384192","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1301153039739359234":{"id":"1301153039739359234","date":"2020-09-02 13:40:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SimonDeDeo This generalizes: we're biased to think the world *works* in a certain way because of the tools we use.\n\nI see it in trading all the time. We use mostly linear models because (a) they're robust to low SNR, and (b) you can easily make a computer think that way.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1301150632825552897","reply_id":"1301152382630285314","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1301153039739359234","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2056336993395581357":{"id":"2056336993395581357","date":"2026-05-18 11:31:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Right around that corner. Any day now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2056336993395581357","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":187,"retweets":1,"replies":10,"quotes":1,"views":44151,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2056336993395581357","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1546981561685254145":{"id":"1546981561685254145","date":"2022-07-12 22:15:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sw33tY4ms @BeaglierCap Now *that's* an oxymoron if ever I heard one.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546895763359162373","reply_id":"1546981277307473920","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"return_stacking","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546981561685254145","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1537625827021451264":{"id":"1537625827021451264","date":"2022-06-17 02:38:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JKevin2011 Binance: \"I can put my exchange in states your exchange has never dreamed of.\"\n\nOkex: \"Challenge accepted.\"\n\nHuobi (to Deribit): \"Hold my beer.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1537578061469605888","reply_id":"1537624426581217280","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JKevin2011","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1537625827021451264","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1476423645157232642":{"id":"1476423645157232642","date":"2021-12-30 05:23:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Deep in the tentacles of delirium, I see.\n\nGet better dude!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476423218974003202","reply_id":"1476423218974003202","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476423645157232642","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1486815100879060992":{"id":"1486815100879060992","date":"2022-01-27 21:35:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@onemadhatter1 @jeffdafo Nope. I'm seeing it first-hand every day.\n\nPeople making >$100k as programmers who:\n- don't know that arrays are references to pieces of memory\n- spend 60 buggy lines in Javascript to do string.split()\n\nI'm dead f***ing serious.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486813088338755591","reply_id":"1486814685869469698","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"onemadhatter1","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1486815100879060992","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2077614877317779600":{"id":"2077614877317779600","date":"2026-07-16 04:42:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Can't we use the same antitrust laws we used to break up Standard Oil and Ma Bell? Corporate monopolies of new technologies aren't new.\n\nI note that we currently have somewhere between 2 and 5 legit frontier labs in the US alone. We don't seem anywhere close to a monopoly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2077614877317779600","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":62,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":13851,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2077614877317779600","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1177302258184114176":{"id":"1177302258184114176","date":"2019-09-26 19:21:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FVNate @malito_ali @coryanne_hicks 8% real rate of return? Where is that happening?\n\nAt a much more realistic 3%, things are much less dramatic:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1177300304045514753","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1177302258184114176_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1177302258184114176","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1993959754738381090":{"id":"1993959754738381090","date":"2025-11-27 08:27:06","author":"sysls","handle":"systematicls","text":"RT @systematicls: One of my mental models is that factors are just alphas that got too popular.\n\nThe lifecycle:\n1. Someone discovers a cross-sectional relationship. Momentum works. Low-vol outperforms. Value beats glamour.\n2. They trade it. It prints.\n3. They publish a paper or tell their grandma about it.\n4. 10,000 academics cite it. Their grandma shares it in her tea party.\n5. ETF providers package it. AQR, DFA, Vanguard launch products.\n6. $500B+ in AUM now harvests momentum alone.\n7. The alpha compresses. What was 1.5%/month is now a crowded trade.\n\nImo, alphas that are a result of flows or behavioral biases don't die. They transform.\n\nThe returns compress, yes. But they persist because:\n- There's still risk (momentum crashes, value traps, crowding unwinds)\n- Capacity constraints mean not everyone can harvest them efficiently\n- Behavioral biases that created them don't disappear\n\nThe premium isn't \"free alpha\" anymore. It's compensation for bearing factor risk that most investors either can't or won't hold through drawdowns.\n\nMomentum isn't broken. \nIt just graduated from \"edge\" to \"risk premium.\"\n\nThat's the game. Find alphas before they become factors. Or accept you're harvesting risk premia, not alpha - and size your expectations accordingly.\n\nSomewhat controversial view, the most popular, vanilla implementation of all popular hedge fund strategies are now factors:\n1. Index Rebalancing\n2. Vanilla/Formulaic Statarb\n3. Trend-following in Futures, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1993959754738381090","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"1993948630739485007","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":21,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/systematicls/status/1993959754738381090"},"1415321042143174658":{"id":"1415321042143174658","date":"2021-07-14 14:43:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"19/\n\n- Say you pay a person $120k per year.\n- All-in cost to the company is ~$180k.\n- Assume you’re running 50% gross margins.\n- So, we need $360k of revenue for that person to pay for themselves.\n- Question: does that person provide that value?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"1415321041287614472","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415321042143174658","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1837532883411472675":{"id":"1837532883411472675","date":"2024-09-21 16:42:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@volmagorov Yes, I noticed that before with other titles. Fortunately before I bought them!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1837529061276442989","reply_id":"1837532440233234734","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"volmagorov","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1539,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1837532883411472675","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1965431899494678631":{"id":"1965431899494678631","date":"2025-09-09 15:07:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@299792458MaxHH @moreproteinbars @OneHotCode1 @macrocephalopod @__paleologo @TCK_JRubano @cullinan92619 @sdav1986 @KrisAbdelmessih @therobotjames @Gingfacekillah @bennpeifert @QuiteMidlife The old joke:\n\nIntel: what are you going to do with 64 cores?\nTrading firm devs: turn off 63 of them!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1964696429425029328","reply_id":"1965430727329415595","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"299792458MaxHH","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":122,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1965431899494678631","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1426245680822046721":{"id":"1426245680822046721","date":"2021-08-13 18:14:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xLightcycle @PenguinsTrading Yeah, the secretary problem is a nice baseline. But of course the idealizations of the problem aren't remotely accurate in practice.\n\nFor example, you can do better than strict ordering. Also, you can't (easily) strictly order anyway. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1426215713409101829","reply_id":"1426244369338626052","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xLightcycle","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1426245680822046721","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1788743616304980387":{"id":"1788743616304980387","date":"2024-05-10 01:31:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@healy_trader @arb8020 Initiative/agency/etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788655118155747502","reply_id":"1788742297812635900","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"healy_trader","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":76,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788743616304980387","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1485637153451245573":{"id":"1485637153451245573","date":"2022-01-24 15:34:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Let's not forget crypto is generally fairly... volatile.\n\nIf you have an infinitely volatile asset, you're going to get price improvement ~half the time.\n\nEvery 1INCH trade you do, you're selling an option to them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1485634110718500865","reply_id":"1485634110718500865","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1485637153451245573","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1536935877955293185":{"id":"1536935877955293185","date":"2022-06-15 04:57:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ArturSepp (in sample)\n\nI've never seen it give predictive power OOS. (and I've tried)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536934482523082752","reply_id":"1536935748171370496","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1536935877955293185","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1720437556469477428":{"id":"1720437556469477428","date":"2023-11-03 13:47:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"How much do you suppose he has secretly squirreled away in wallets only he knows about?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1720437556469477428","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":69,"retweets":1,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":15076,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1720437556469477428","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2081358025944666328":{"id":"2081358025944666328","date":"2026-07-26 12:36:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If someone tells you \"why would AI labs talk about x-risk, it hurts their business\", you can immediately conclude they don't understand how the modern vibes-based economy works.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2081358025944666328","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":5473,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2081358025944666328","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1493751056181854213":{"id":"1493751056181854213","date":"2022-02-16 00:56:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DWongResearch My goal has always been to answer the question: \"Is this adding to true knowledge in the world (including my own)?\"\n\nEasier said than done, but that's the goal...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493635636745568256","reply_id":"1493742430176571392","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DWongResearch","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493751056181854213","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1534949896448380933":{"id":"1534949896448380933","date":"2022-06-09 17:25:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@picotrades 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1534948862317563910","reply_id":"1534949357409157121","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"picotrades","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1534949896448380933","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2034604533658087654":{"id":"2034604533658087654","date":"2026-03-19 12:14:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"RT @AgustinLebron3: @OwlKeeper @andrewcourt1 @0xDmitry @annanay No one is thinking about it yet, but eventually the political pendulum will swing back and all of the avaricious sportsbooks will regret they didn't have more restraint.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2034604533658087654","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2034604520580186560","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2034604533658087654","type":"retweet","issues":[]},"1985360527875355018":{"id":"1985360527875355018","date":"2025-11-03 14:56:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"90% of bad (non-macro) economics papers are \"Here's an interesting correlation I found in the data. And here's a made up story for causation, further research is needed.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1985360527875355018","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":82,"retweets":2,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":6368,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1985360527875355018","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1958628365084369088":{"id":"1958628365084369088","date":"2025-08-21 20:32:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@oxbquant @notthreadguy @jiratickets Laws of Trading, thanks for the shoutout.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1958561649624838327","reply_id":"1958625055572685136","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"oxbquant","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":160,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1958628365084369088","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1709275254810702319":{"id":"1709275254810702319","date":"2023-10-03 18:32:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@matt_levine says what we're all thinking.\nBut says it better.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709275254810702319","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"matt_levine","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":731,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1709275254810702319_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1709275254810702319","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1713765532443533660":{"id":"1713765532443533660","date":"2023-10-16 03:55:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AutismCapital Ok fine I'll testify. But I have to be allowed to play Storybook Brawl while I'm doing it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1713741262589956519","reply_id":"1713741262589956519","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AutismCapital","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":380,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1713765532443533660","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1684047365781741568":{"id":"1684047365781741568","date":"2023-07-26 03:45:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I miss Rahul Ligma. It was a simpler time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1684047365781741568","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":45,"retweets":4,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":5662,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1684047365781741568_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1684047365781741568","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1888967002636632424":{"id":"1888967002636632424","date":"2025-02-10 15:03:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 \"Kid who got into Harvard and has never not gotten an A in their life but still can't come close to passing the interview\" vibes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1888955422477865422","reply_id":"1888956143638384653","quote_id":"1888967057611362322","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":2197,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1888967002636632424","type":"quote","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1959164333683871873":{"id":"1959164333683871873","date":"2025-08-23 08:02:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nomanautomata Correct, but the point is that:\n- The rich kid has the connections/access the smart kid needs.\n- The smart kid has the brains the rich kid's future company needs.\n\nThis formula maximizes endowment donations, which is what elite universities truly optimize for.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1958975328178905377","reply_id":"1958975328178905377","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nomanautomata","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":464,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1959164333683871873","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1546972713066999808":{"id":"1546972713066999808","date":"2022-07-12 21:40:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @CryptoNymph 🙋‍♂️ And another","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546961600094998528","reply_id":"1546972443352641536","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546972713066999808","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1705977344337621350":{"id":"1705977344337621350","date":"2023-09-24 16:07:49","author":"Laura 🌲 ⛰️","handle":"LauraDeming","text":"I’d love to go through Nand2Tetris with some friends (an awesome book where you build from logic gates to make a computer w hardware + software that can run Tetris)\n\nIf you’re interested in joining a group on this, DM and I’ll let you know if it happens!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1705977344337621350","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1705977809435591050","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":93,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":3,"views":61418,"bookmarks":43,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/LauraDeming/status/1705977344337621350"},"1591204665286610945":{"id":"1591204665286610945","date":"2022-11-11 23:02:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Tallow_beach 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1591203526092664832","reply_id":"1591204407559225345","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Tallow_beach","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1591204665286610945","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1978732971340284321":{"id":"1978732971340284321","date":"2025-10-16 08:01:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"First time I've ever retweeted Yud, but here he's 100% right.\n\nThe brazenness, the size, and the barest whimper of outrage. The fix is in.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1978732971340284321","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":229,"retweets":4,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":55136,"bookmarks":54,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1978732971340284321","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1900455896167117106":{"id":"1900455896167117106","date":"2025-03-14 07:56:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So a CS prof complaining that GPTs prevent students from learning debugging is really really rich. Cuz it's not like *you're* teaching it.\n\nI've been trying to hire your students for decades. They suck at debugging and it's not their fault. It's yours.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1900455234754826623","reply_id":"1900455650334794058","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":23,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1272,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1900455896167117106","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1291891079461998594":{"id":"1291891079461998594","date":"2020-08-08 00:16:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@svrnco @choffstein @patrick_oshag @jposhaughnessy It's tough. Most of the podcasts I've done are directed at amateurs. Honestly I'm a terrible guest for those podcasts because my #1 piece of advice for most of them is \"Stop trading. You have no edge!\"\n\nDoesn't go over so great. 😨","hashtags":[],"conv":"1291873753484406786","reply_id":"1291889373663895559","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"svrnco","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1291891079461998594","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1362421386484977674":{"id":"1362421386484977674","date":"2021-02-18 15:19:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ksidiii I once had a very aggressive IB sales \"trader\" pester me to engage with their proposed trade ideas on BBG chat.\n\nI asked him \"If I do this trade, are you taking the other side?\"\n\nHe tried to convince me that he was \"kind of\" taking the other side and kind of coming along too. 🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1362403427310010377","reply_id":"1362403427310010377","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Ksidiii","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1362421386484977674","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1628424253879238662":{"id":"1628424253879238662","date":"2023-02-22 15:59:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @MikeWShell If I had a nickel for every time I've written\n\npnl = raw_pnl - abs(trade) * costs\n\nin a simulator...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1628252370248269825","reply_id":"1628423443078340608","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":11,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1415,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1628424253879238662","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1944268725013598248":{"id":"1944268725013598248","date":"2025-07-13 05:32:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nmasc_ Some suggestions for questions to ask.\n\nBecause even if we're talking about vested shares, \"oh, they'll get some cash\" is a nice-sounding headline that can hide a lot of important detail.\n\nhttps://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1944060716295893233","hashtags":[],"conv":"1944241072265474090","reply_id":"1944241072265474090","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nmasc_","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3260,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1944268725013598248","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1499232109935792129":{"id":"1499232109935792129","date":"2022-03-03 03:56:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@diamondhand_ape @nope_its_lily How much?\n\nIf it's \"enough to have a decent upper middle class lifestyle\" then *guaranteed* conditional on being able to make it as a buy-side trader, there are much easier ways to get there.\n\nIf it's \"enough money to buy politicians\" then fine but it's a big gamble w your life.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1499208197717913604","reply_id":"1499221394378215426","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"diamondhand_ape","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1499232109935792129","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1427714076809908225":{"id":"1427714076809908225","date":"2021-08-17 19:28:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Dan0112358 Master of all of them for a week or so?\n\n🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1427703082968698885","reply_id":"1427713939316658179","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"D01362713","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1427714076809908225","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1371522187761451015":{"id":"1371522187761451015","date":"2021-03-15 18:02:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JamesMarsh79 Well, in an important sense you don't really *know*.\n\nBut over time it gets more and more difficult to deny the statistical evidence one way or the other.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1371516798831489025","reply_id":"1371518390620332032","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JamesMarsh79","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1371522187761451015","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2069499718707675204":{"id":"2069499718707675204","date":"2026-06-23 19:15:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Because he hasn't had an original thought in his whole life. Not one.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2069499718707675204","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":128,"retweets":0,"replies":17,"quotes":2,"views":29777,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2069499718707675204","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1700181853821640928":{"id":"1700181853821640928","date":"2023-09-08 16:18:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@W98AB @macrocephalopod @nope_its_lily @WallStWeeb Hopefully that's not true. For my sake. 🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1699961937889792362","reply_id":"1700180575863165539","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"W98AB","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":191,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1700181853821640928","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1417300898234003457":{"id":"1417300898234003457","date":"2021-07-20 01:50:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Exactly.\n\nTrading vol?\nIf you're not delta hedging, you're ain't trading vol.\n\nIn general to trade moment n, you need to be basically flat moments 1 to n-1.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1417300898234003457","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":68,"retweets":3,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":29,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1417300898234003457","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1287118371335499776":{"id":"1287118371335499776","date":"2020-07-25 20:11:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2. Has found +EV signals.\n\nThis is a generalization of finding good trades, because you've now started to more deeply understand _why_ they're good.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1287117746178646017","reply_id":"1287118117215166464","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1287118371335499776","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1315414075933749248":{"id":"1315414075933749248","date":"2020-10-11 22:08:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SimonDeDeo @crampell @Austan_Goolsbee It does.\n\nNPs are in a given field are usually given to people in a discipline underlying the field.\n\nBiologists win medicine.\nPhysicists win chem.\n\nFor econ, always bet on applied math. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1315387007074537472","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1315414075933749248","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1797633991891398970":{"id":"1797633991891398970","date":"2024-06-03 14:18:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @NYSE Talk about a thankless job. All downside vol.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1797632536434348263","reply_id":"1797632536434348263","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":425,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1797633991891398970","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1479946505591029760":{"id":"1479946505591029760","date":"2022-01-08 22:41:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug The positive-sum nature of crypto interactions (certainly compared to tradfi) is one of the big attractions for me.\n\nFeels optimistic in a way that's sorely lacking almost everywhere else.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1479945348076429318","reply_id":"1479945349775175689","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1479946505591029760","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1434977271559847937":{"id":"1434977271559847937","date":"2021-09-06 20:30:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod Bray FTW!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434977091292909573","reply_id":"1434977091292909573","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434977271559847937","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1942138279295320543":{"id":"1942138279295320543","date":"2025-07-07 08:27:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"🧵\nA thread of thoughts on the current Jane Street situation. In the words of another JS alum:\n\n1) What","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1477,"retweets":80,"replies":37,"quotes":27,"views":316265,"bookmarks":1099,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942138279295320543","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1538682033605472256":{"id":"1538682033605472256","date":"2022-06-20 00:35:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @garybasin stub quotes","hashtags":[],"conv":"1538357097485803521","reply_id":"1538630027910254593","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1538682033605472256","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1717229315723874407":{"id":"1717229315723874407","date":"2023-10-25 17:19:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Shout it from the rooftops.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1717229315723874407","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3807,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1717229315723874407","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1471521665104289797":{"id":"1471521665104289797","date":"2021-12-16 16:44:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Some more facts:\n- Jobs repeatedly asked him to come back. He said no.\n- Some years later he sold the original Apple contract papers for $500 to a collector. Those *papers* then sold in 2011 for $1.6 million.\n- He's now retired in a trailer park in Nevada.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471520950646558722","reply_id":"1471520950646558722","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471521665104289797","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1851961092332752921":{"id":"1851961092332752921","date":"2024-10-31 12:15:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bbqrice Nah. That was a fun WS even though NYY choked two games away.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1851956321605570725","reply_id":"1851959105079877844","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bbqrice","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":273,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1851961092332752921","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2043735973645656393":{"id":"2043735973645656393","date":"2026-04-13 17:00:01","author":"InmanRoshi","handle":"InmanRoshi","text":"RT @InmanRoshi: This is why college football is now the most free market driven American sport.  No collective bargaining to restrict talent acquisition, and defacto promotion/relegation through conference realignments.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2043735973645656393","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2043728792628109577","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":6,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/InmanRoshi/status/2043735973645656393"},"1479841571973451776":{"id":"1479841571973451776","date":"2022-01-08 15:44:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Does anyone else remember the time when Eddie Murphy, Iman, Magic Johnson and cast of minor celebrities starred in a music video lauded for its innovative special effects?\n\nIt was a simpler time back then...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1479841571973451776","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1479841571973451776","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1896125200841970125":{"id":"1896125200841970125","date":"2025-03-02 09:07:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Enemy Of The State (1998)\n\nThe Conversation revisited, but with more action and less thinking. Still, Hackman shines in the minor scenes.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WY9ZjE_KOCQ","hashtags":[],"conv":"1896125163172966823","reply_id":"1896125198648455496","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2214,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1896125200841970125","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2054512434136695207":{"id":"2054512434136695207","date":"2026-05-13 10:41:49","author":"Byrne Hobart","handle":"ByrneHobart","text":"RT @ByrneHobart: The only person I can think of who was listed on the Forbes 400 with an illegal source of wealth (vs getting temporarily rich illegally and then going to prison) was Marc Rich. But that's past tense: Reich's boss pardoned him.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2054512434136695207","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2054348828208173221","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":13,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ByrneHobart/status/2054512434136695207"},"1686753968142311424":{"id":"1686753968142311424","date":"2023-08-02 15:00:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@abiylfoyp If there isn't a US culture war angle, is it even news that's fit to print?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1686733923953377282","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":79,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1686753968142311424","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1505638043117821952":{"id":"1505638043117821952","date":"2022-03-20 20:10:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is great.\n\nhttps://slimemoldtimemold.com/2022/03/20/three-angles-on-erik-hoels-aristocratic-tutoring/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505638043117821952","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505638043117821952","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1722436834855456835":{"id":"1722436834855456835","date":"2023-11-09 02:11:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's only been 473 milliseconds since OpenAI announced whatever they just announced, here are the 5,924 startups which have already folded and why...\n\n🧵\n1/256","hashtags":[],"conv":"1722436834855456835","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":40,"retweets":2,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":6460,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1722436834855456835","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1508235088558886912":{"id":"1508235088558886912","date":"2022-03-28 00:10:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @therobotjames @davidbelle_ I'm skeptical of the \"MD that used to trade but now only steps on the desk once in a while to swing size in Spoos\" stories. Stevie C is one of many that supposedly has this preternatural gift.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507961234519429120","reply_id":"1508226834311561220","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1508235088558886912","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1905565041618808984":{"id":"1905565041618808984","date":"2025-03-28 10:18:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"https://x.com/OdinLovis/status/1905424459185750117","hashtags":[],"conv":"1905560306115314105","reply_id":"1905560306115314105","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1940,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1905565041618808984","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1417329145843834886":{"id":"1417329145843834886","date":"2021-07-20 03:42:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 @longskew @therobotjames @sajidnizami Is that a really a thing?\n\nAlways seemed like garbitrage, from afar. Stuff can stay crazy as long as it wants.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1417300898234003457","reply_id":"1417327839897063424","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1417329145843834886","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1626334982485725185":{"id":"1626334982485725185","date":"2023-02-16 21:37:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@totlsota @0xdoug @OrbingxD @arb8020 @OrthogonalAlpha I love me some Hawkes processes.\n\nBasically impossible to fit tho.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1626307839856869376","reply_id":"1626332843050688512","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"totlsota","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":831,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1626334982485725185","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1485812323780476931":{"id":"1485812323780476931","date":"2022-01-25 03:10:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Pretty happy with this one.\nhttps://www.wooferzfg.me/seven-wordles/#","hashtags":[],"conv":"1485812323780476931","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1485812323780476931_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1485812323780476931","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1501953250886492165":{"id":"1501953250886492165","date":"2022-03-10 16:08:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @WizOfOps @therobotjames @leakyalpha @M1tchRosenthal Come on dude. What's a tick or two between friends? 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"1501947597694521363","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501953250886492165","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1486802771412013056":{"id":"1486802771412013056","date":"2022-01-27 20:46:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 I haven't leaked my fourth killer word though...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486728711961337857","reply_id":"1486802205696946177","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1486802771412013056","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1540152844463906816":{"id":"1540152844463906816","date":"2022-06-24 02:00:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SqueezeMetrics @dampedspring Actually I just mute.\n\nNo need to make a big show of it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1540150308625698817","reply_id":"1540151564555325441","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1540152844463906816","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1727208591508340807":{"id":"1727208591508340807","date":"2023-11-22 06:13:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Just a run of the mill board reshuffle. No big deal.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1727208591508340807","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2861,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1727208591508340807","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1632160190052315136":{"id":"1632160190052315136","date":"2023-03-04 23:24:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@stevemz It's the admissions process that's 90% of the problem.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632157627978514433","reply_id":"1632159496272502784","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"stevemz","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1623,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632160190052315136","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1943577317160157343":{"id":"1943577317160157343","date":"2025-07-11 07:45:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ltrd_ Books? If it's not a TikTok or X trading influencer, it doesn't exist.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943475829293437232","reply_id":"1943568156405968907","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ltrd_","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":832,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1943577317160157343","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1912373084377522415":{"id":"1912373084377522415","date":"2025-04-16 05:10:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@QuiteMidlife Apparently!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1912369965581189222","reply_id":"1912372904786010506","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuiteMidlife","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":512,"bookmarks":3,"media":["1912373084377522415_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1912373084377522415","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1628509661434466305":{"id":"1628509661434466305","date":"2023-02-22 21:38:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Kurt_M_Barry @ThePythonQuant That \"unless\" shows up more than you might think.\n\nI once had a Cambridge Trinity math grad tell me that Cambridge math doesn't teach \"vocational skills\" like... you know... programming.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1628449259870883848","reply_id":"1628477117154357249","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Kurt_M_Barry","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":724,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1628509661434466305","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1346838368131248128":{"id":"1346838368131248128","date":"2021-01-06 15:17:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RFisman Hiring! One of the few situations where the seller (of labor) has a large information advantage over the buyer.\n\n\"If they're looking for a job, there's likely something a bit wrong with them\" is a good starting point.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346832824775577600","reply_id":"1346832824775577600","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RFisman","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346838368131248128","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1976941540636606795":{"id":"1976941540636606795","date":"2025-10-11 09:22:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I just had a genius idea for a prediction market!\n\nPolymarket should list predictions on discounted future cashflows of public companies!!!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1976645088433656219","reply_id":"1976938174888001884","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":43,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":3938,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1976941540636606795","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1981637257262960717":{"id":"1981637257262960717","date":"2025-10-24 08:21:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@W98AB But it's the city dwellers who are most responsible for TFR decreases.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1981619767757959641","reply_id":"1981635971679478252","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"W98AB","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":194,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1981637257262960717","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1298987901296889856":{"id":"1298987901296889856","date":"2020-08-27 14:17:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BeingHorizontal @apeksha02 @jace48 @paststat Barring some unique situation that only you are privy to, good trades, good trading systems, and good traders are never for sale.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1298648526751055873","reply_id":"1298986726879182855","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BeingHorizontal","likes":7,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1298987901296889856","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1512418069330550789":{"id":"1512418069330550789","date":"2022-04-08 13:12:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Is this because Spieth shot 74?\n\nIt's all part of the process. The 68 he's going to shoot today gets him back in the mix. Saturday 69 and he'll be officially \"lurking\" going into Sunday.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1512415196895191045","reply_id":"1512415196895191045","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1512418069330550789","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2039686797526028728":{"id":"2039686797526028728","date":"2026-04-02 12:50:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Find something you love as much as Chad Smith loves drumming.\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HFU1XBLnIRs","hashtags":[],"conv":"2039686797526028728","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":3705,"bookmarks":2,"media":["2039686797526028728_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2039686797526028728","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2032128377742598368":{"id":"2032128377742598368","date":"2026-03-12 16:15:35","author":"Kelsey Piper","handle":"KelseyTuoc","text":"RT @KelseyTuoc: My ancestors buried half their children. All mine are alive. My ancestors' house had a dirt floor. Mine is wood. I have indoor plumbing, I have hot water, I have never in my life hauled a full bucket half a mile and I probably never will. Do you know how rare it is, in human history, for small children to wear shoes? Mine have multiple pairs. I can speak to my relatives who live thousands of miles away, for free, at any time. Video, if we want video. With machine translation, if we speak different languages.\n\nThe original Library of Congress had 740 books in it. I have more than that. If I run out of books in my home my local public library has 350,000. If I want to take a hundred books with me on vacation, they all fit on a device that fits in my purse.\n\n I have heat in the winter and AC in the summer and a washing machine and I have never, ever, ever had to scrub a dress clean by hand in the stream. I can look up recipes from more than a hundred different countries and I've tried dozens of them. I ride a clean and modern train across my city for $4, or take a robot taxi if I'm out too late for the train. I donate $40,000 every year to the cause of getting healthcare to the world's poorest people and even after the donations I never have to think about whether I can afford a book, or a pair of shoes, or a cup of coffee. \n\nThere is a great deal more to fight for, of course. I hope that our descendants will look back on our lives and list a thousand ways they're richer. Maybe we ourselves will do that, if some of the crazier stuff comes true. \n\nBut the abundance is all around you and to a significant degree you aren't feeling it only because fish don't notice water.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2032128377742598368","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2031989126522945761","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":1005,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KelseyTuoc/status/2032128377742598368"},"1506045242738282498":{"id":"1506045242738282498","date":"2022-03-21 23:09:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"23/ The lesson for trading is clear: being good at one thing usually isn't remotely good enough.\n\nTo be competitive you need to be at least good at basically everything.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1506045241287077889","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":13,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1506045242738282498","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1346481452305715200":{"id":"1346481452305715200","date":"2021-01-05 15:39:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"25/ Why would we go through this rigamarole? Why not deal with prices of options directly?\n\nCuz options prices suck. They're hard to think about.\n\nAlso, in trading we really care about *changes* in things, not levels.\n\nAnd change in option prices are *really* hard to think about.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346481451097751552","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":15,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346481452305715200","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1734690973031281049":{"id":"1734690973031281049","date":"2023-12-12 21:45:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbacarella @experquisite @therobotjames 🙋‍♂️\n\nEvery time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434267372412555264","reply_id":"1734689741797458180","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbacarella","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":292,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1734690973031281049","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1562822482087710720":{"id":"1562822482087710720","date":"2022-08-25 15:21:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Every time I see an HTTP response code on a FIX message.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1562822482087710720","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1562822482087710720","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1512067733705297925":{"id":"1512067733705297925","date":"2022-04-07 14:00:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano @theemilyaccount I own one but haven't used it in 15 years.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1512062602074996738","reply_id":"1512067187158110214","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1512067733705297925","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1419027805589753858":{"id":"1419027805589753858","date":"2021-07-24 20:12:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @therobotjames @longskew @RaoulGMI Great minds...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1418957143026376719","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1419027805589753858","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1820947835170517267":{"id":"1820947835170517267","date":"2024-08-06 22:19:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alz_zyd_ Agreed. A very good mathematician I know (who does coordination at the IMO) believes that if we find out about some alien race's math, it's going to be the same except that ours has a weird obsession with Euclidean plane geometry.\n\nBecause we're obsessed with the Greeks, still.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1820821265227133418","reply_id":"1820821265227133418","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alz_zyd_","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":207,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1820947835170517267","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1383431036504141837":{"id":"1383431036504141837","date":"2021-04-17 14:43:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I get these \"how do I make money trading options\" DMs too. I'm just going to refer them to this from now on.\n\nY'all should consider this basically definitive on the subject.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1383431036504141837","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1383431036504141837","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1700600672335610191":{"id":"1700600672335610191","date":"2023-09-09 20:02:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@trickylabyrinth eltern is a nice component. Captures it well.\n\nOk German, well played.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1700594441021689925","reply_id":"1700598138300408298","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"trickylabyrinth","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":261,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1700600672335610191","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1441140623147298823":{"id":"1441140623147298823","date":"2021-09-23 20:41:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@longskew @leakyalpha @lightspringfox @KrisAbdelmessih @ejames_c He's busy figuring out how to edge-sort baccarat better anyway.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1440890442367655937","reply_id":"1441138639627554816","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"longskew","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1441140623147298823","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1381758078815596550":{"id":"1381758078815596550","date":"2021-04-12 23:56:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@QuantStratTradR @quinnk_CA_to_UK @reubbr It's not not the point. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1381628221909778432","reply_id":"1381737585677062146","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuantStratTradR","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1381758078815596550","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1510278819042652163":{"id":"1510278819042652163","date":"2022-04-02 15:31:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@o_wutang @alvinjamur @macrocephalopod @sdav1986 If it's not related to Smooth Love Potion in some way then what are we even doing here?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1510257063292665856","reply_id":"1510275648958484485","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"o_wutang","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1510278819042652163","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2054811014525276487":{"id":"2054811014525276487","date":"2026-05-14 06:28:17","author":"Speculator","handle":"TheSpeculator0","text":"RT @TheSpeculator0: The evil thing is that this guy worked at Citadel so you know he's lying to get people to gamble instead of the classic naive tech bro who might actually believe this","hashtags":[],"conv":"2054811014525276487","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2054618742538084630","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":31,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheSpeculator0/status/2054811014525276487"},"1837078364948955219":{"id":"1837078364948955219","date":"2024-09-20 10:36:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I really enjoy scandalizing Czech coworkers by dropping US truth bombs like:\n\n\"The University of Georgia's football coach makes 14x what its president makes.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1837078364948955219","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":69,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":6532,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1837078364948955219","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1451012003674288128":{"id":"1451012003674288128","date":"2021-10-21 02:26:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"But wait hear me out! There's a non-linearity!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1451012003674288128","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1451012003674288128","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1557762217319116805":{"id":"1557762217319116805","date":"2022-08-11 16:13:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Evergreen.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1557762217319116805","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1557762217319116805","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1348693542361735169":{"id":"1348693542361735169","date":"2021-01-11 18:09:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"52/ Let's ignore (for now) when stock ends up between 50 and 51.\n\nNow if the world thinks the stock is basically guaranteed to close below 50, you should expect to pay almost nothing for this spread.\n\nAnd if the world thinks > 51 is guaranteed, you should expect to pay 1 for it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1348693541204021249","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1348693542361735169","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1397928815188316166":{"id":"1397928815188316166","date":"2021-05-27 14:52:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@robinhanson We watched all the James Bonds in order during lockdown.\n\nAt first they were super into them unironically, but the ironic distance grew steadily. Now they just watch as an excuse to make quips about plot holes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1397692533057196037","reply_id":"1397927511950987269","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"robinhanson","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1397928815188316166","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1937376395593744846":{"id":"1937376395593744846","date":"2025-06-24 05:05:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bohrdialect Not yet.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1937209115383849132","reply_id":"1937310265667911976","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bohrdialect","likes":38,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3002,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1937376395593744846","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1501787924165103618":{"id":"1501787924165103618","date":"2022-03-10 05:11:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @FREAK0NAUT @be20684347 @therobotjames @686Prism Very accurate. Options MMs are (practically speaking) the ones that have the most insight into this because they're the ones who know their own positions.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"1501787561735380992","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501787924165103618","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1713208842904019009":{"id":"1713208842904019009","date":"2023-10-14 15:03:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FormulaDeltaOne Same. It's a constant battle to anneal it out of my kids' speech.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1712953337463570772","reply_id":"1712953337463570772","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FormulaDeltaOne","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":314,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1713208842904019009","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1486848124580622339":{"id":"1486848124580622339","date":"2022-01-27 23:46:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@punk6529 Is this under threat? (Serious question)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486847620492505090","reply_id":"1486847620492505090","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"punk6529","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1486848124580622339","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1880903522235080827":{"id":"1880903522235080827","date":"2025-01-19 09:01:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 True in Europe, not true in the US.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1880736478990602453","reply_id":"1880736478990602453","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":785,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1880903522235080827","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1976884829284450638":{"id":"1976884829284450638","date":"2025-10-11 05:37:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jasonfurman @bohumilo Now think of how non-insiders react over time to the presence of insiders in the market. Esp market makers.\n\nThey stop trading, markets widen, liquidity dries up, PMs die. Polymarket loses volume and $.\n\nThere's a reason tradfi bans insider trading. So will Polymarket somehow.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1976608398079610900","reply_id":"1976620905511215114","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jasonfurman","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":442,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1976884829284450638","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1950163455916343736":{"id":"1950163455916343736","date":"2025-07-29 11:56:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ByrneHobart No offense Homer, your half-ass under-parenting was a lot more fun than your half-ass over-parenting.\n\nBut I'm using my whole ass...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1949984355289317590","reply_id":"1949984355289317590","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ByrneHobart","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":275,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1950163455916343736_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1950163455916343736","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1798915076336013487":{"id":"1798915076336013487","date":"2024-06-07 03:09:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The Mavs had 9 total assist in the whole game? WTF?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1798915076336013487","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2205,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1798915076336013487","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1761181623805182429":{"id":"1761181623805182429","date":"2024-02-24 00:09:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mokojumby @ScottPh77711570 @SqueezeMetrics Impressive figures there, no doubt.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1761099231719502197","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":65,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1761181623805182429","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1800234078282932632":{"id":"1800234078282932632","date":"2024-06-10 18:30:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@scorelinesports Or, \"grass is for outdoor sports\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1800232434296057860","reply_id":"1800233429143060582","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"scorelinesports","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":55,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1800234078282932632","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1416425329879486465":{"id":"1416425329879486465","date":"2021-07-17 15:51:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lightspringfox @nope_its_lily @robertmartin88 @zhusu Shortcut to madness:\n\n\"I need to do {fairly standard mathematical thing} with {covariance matrix created from real-world data}.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1416414878345039878","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1416425329879486465","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2005316332074807647":{"id":"2005316332074807647","date":"2025-12-28 16:34:05","author":"Flo Crivello","handle":"Altimor","text":"RT @Altimor: This reminds me of the predictions that MOOC (online education) would unlock a golden age, now that education is freely accessible to everyone.\nThe bottleneck is not cost or ease of access, but agency.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2005316332074807647","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2005191982780391711","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":96,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Altimor/status/2005316332074807647"},"1417931691746684930":{"id":"1417931691746684930","date":"2021-07-21 19:37:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"And yet, *that* was my favorite TV show as a kid.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1417931689922240513","reply_id":"1417931690765291523","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1417931691746684930","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1535403336651767808":{"id":"1535403336651767808","date":"2022-06-10 23:27:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ksidiii I wouldn't want to disagree w/ them either. Like I said, just a small datapoint from someone for whom 2008 was a good year, as you might expect for a MM.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1535400249648455681","reply_id":"1535401946978390016","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Ksidiii","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1535403336651767808","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1511887170071453699":{"id":"1511887170071453699","date":"2022-04-07 02:02:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @be20684347 @bennpeifert @nope_its_lily @ryu_sigma 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1511873822756159488","reply_id":"1511886242530545673","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1511887170071453699","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1794165174280306780":{"id":"1794165174280306780","date":"2024-05-25 00:34:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@StevenMandrapa Practiced and calculated thousands of times.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1794000192959828206","reply_id":"1794156971714924648","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"StevenMandrapa","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1066,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1794165174280306780","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1474600999088099328":{"id":"1474600999088099328","date":"2021-12-25 04:40:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RockshotJ @therobotjames Amen.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1474578415328006150","reply_id":"1474580174939332614","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RockshotJ","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1474600999088099328","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1734738242296258634":{"id":"1734738242296258634","date":"2023-12-13 00:53:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@krishnanrohit In 1972, Chinese premier Zhou Enlai was asked about the impact of the French Revolution.\n\n\"Too early to say,\" he replied.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1734721341029580989","reply_id":"1734737861977747637","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"krishnanrohit","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":99,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1734738242296258634","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1346141074486566913":{"id":"1346141074486566913","date":"2021-01-04 17:06:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2/ If I own the Mar 700 call in $TSLA then that means anytime before ~5pm on Mar 19 2021, I can exercise my right to buy TSLA shares.\n\nI hand over $700/share and I get some TSLA stock. First let's note a few things:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346141073488314371","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":20,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346141074486566913","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2081372792935637413":{"id":"2081372792935637413","date":"2026-07-26 13:35:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I wrote about San Francisco Syndrome, where people move to SF and become well-compensated messiahs for a millenarian Church of AI.\n\nhttps://reducibleerrors.com/sf-syndrome/","hashtags":[],"conv":"2081372792935637413","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":97,"retweets":4,"replies":12,"quotes":1,"views":12839,"bookmarks":50,"media":["2081372792935637413_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2081372792935637413","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1773902445351162055":{"id":"1773902445351162055","date":"2024-03-30 02:37:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@femboyhft @SinclairEuan I feel like you're making my point for me. Of course I'll quote tighter if I can minimize/remove risks I don't want. Hence \"structures are for risk\".\n\nThe original point is much simpler. Two -EV options trades can't be combined into a +EV strategy trade.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1773384779347730616","reply_id":"1773895197027393872","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"femboyhft","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":441,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1773902445351162055","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1240276864775516163":{"id":"1240276864775516163","date":"2020-03-18 14:00:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@PeterLBrandt Can't even be bothered to pay the creator of the image before sending it out to your 332.5K followers?\n\nWow.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1240273442001367040","reply_id":"1240273442001367040","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"PeterLBrandt","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1240276864775516163","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2025499061625765935":{"id":"2025499061625765935","date":"2026-02-22 09:13:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I miss Sean Lock.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2025499061625765935","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2309,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2025499061625765935","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1747329844692836755":{"id":"1747329844692836755","date":"2024-01-16 18:47:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"So the heart of a grift is that you get something that, in a technical sense, is what you paid for, but that is also not worth what you paid for it.\"\n\n💯","hashtags":[],"conv":"1747329844692836755","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3028,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1747329844692836755","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1795578465082896559":{"id":"1795578465082896559","date":"2024-05-28 22:10:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Also, failure for billionaire is \"ok so I'm just a 100 millionaire\" which is pretty sweet. And there are probably >10x as many.\n\nFailure at being a self-supporting author is \"I have to get a probably not so great job\" or something.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1795578465082896559","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":6258,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1795578465082896559","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1196608762515091456":{"id":"1196608762515091456","date":"2019-11-19 01:58:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ReformedTrader @BlacklionCTA Structured products move a lot of options markets, esp in Europe and Asia. BUT it's very difficult to make money with this stuff without having direct knowledge of bank hedging flow.\n\nThe value is in the relationship. Being the person to whom they lay off their risk.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1195086495771529216","reply_id":"1196236987654520832","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ReformedTrader","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1196608762515091456","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1749159620088942678":{"id":"1749159620088942678","date":"2024-01-21 19:58:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So... Turing Complete is just digital electronics but repackaged as a Steam game with some nice ambient music?\n\n1. What else on Steam is similarly a course but in game form?\n\n2. How far can this be taken?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1749159620088942678","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":3340,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1749159620088942678","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1956688504974434459":{"id":"1956688504974434459","date":"2025-08-16 12:04:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I think this is pretty universally true across countries and times. Saudi Arabia, and probably the Roman Empire.\n\nElites are just more culturally liberal than the people they rule.\n\nhttps://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2025/08/a-median-voter-theory-of-right-wing-populism.html","hashtags":[],"conv":"1956688504974434459","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3764,"bookmarks":10,"media":["1956688504974434459_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1956688504974434459","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1884596964253184288":{"id":"1884596964253184288","date":"2025-01-29 13:38:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is the way.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1884596964253184288","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2331,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1884596964253184288","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1792013481933472024":{"id":"1792013481933472024","date":"2024-05-19 02:04:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbacarella @wholemars I tried it for 20mins. It's terrifying.\n\nI don't understand how people can *want* tech that's sold as a convenience but that requires constant vigilance for catastrophic events.\n\nTalking to ppl about it feels like I'm the only sane person on the planet.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1791716724997587397","reply_id":"1792007429330448540","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbacarella","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":68,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1792013481933472024","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1342312932831416322":{"id":"1342312932831416322","date":"2020-12-25 03:35:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm For us, by far the best part of the home-tutor/small-pod experiment is decoupling high standards from zero-sum competition.\n\nOtherwise your choices are either (a) public schools w/ low standards or (b) private academies where most kids are on drugs/therapy due to the pressure.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1342208068587642882","reply_id":"1342208068587642882","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1342312932831416322","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1852475483340038178":{"id":"1852475483340038178","date":"2024-11-01 22:19:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod Capex = shit you pay for once.\nOpex = shit you pay for every month.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1852454040900166043","reply_id":"1852454040900166043","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1482,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1852475483340038178","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1793635843716026665":{"id":"1793635843716026665","date":"2024-05-23 13:31:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ExPostGigaChad @theemilyaccount","hashtags":[],"conv":"1793630961592361430","reply_id":"1793631802235449504","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ExPostGigaChad","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":56,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1793635843716026665_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1793635843716026665","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1781352296489902247":{"id":"1781352296489902247","date":"2024-04-19 16:00:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"One of the greatest modern philosophers. Such a clear knife-like mind.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1781352296489902247","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":5359,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1781352296489902247","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1505588582324453377":{"id":"1505588582324453377","date":"2022-03-20 16:54:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5/ Scene with the owner: Billy is asking him for more money to compete with the Yankees. He's saying no.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JXyisZLObHc","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1505588581103939587","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505588582324453377","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1709714391380238814":{"id":"1709714391380238814","date":"2023-10-04 23:37:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"That was an entertaining book.\n\nAlmost entirely accurate in the parts I can judge from 1st hand knowledge.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709714391380238814","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":53,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":20150,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1709714391380238814","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1745837721401405905":{"id":"1745837721401405905","date":"2024-01-12 15:58:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"There's a lot of money to be made in reading prospectuses carefully.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1745837721401405905","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":66,"retweets":6,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":12510,"bookmarks":23,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1745837721401405905","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1184491086875463680":{"id":"1184491086875463680","date":"2019-10-16 15:27:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_Sernie_Banders @CliffordAsness That is the awesomest graph I've seen this month. Now how do we communicate this to people who don't care to look at plots like this? How about:\n\n\"US Walmart greeters consume as much as Dutch Walmart managers.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1184267464126992384","reply_id":"1184488533479821314","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_Sernie_Banders","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1184491086875463680","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1549973388319285250":{"id":"1549973388319285250","date":"2022-07-21 04:23:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I'm thinking of a typical delta neutral equities quant strategy that trades a dozen times a day on an average day.\n\nWhat is an unacceptably large drawdown?\n\n(*) Am = I trade my own $ and no one else's, and I don't get paid a salary.\n\nPro = I trade for a living (prop, HF, etc)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1549973388319285250","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1550342361053405185","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":2,"replies":8,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1549973388319285250","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1921455084702933103":{"id":"1921455084702933103","date":"2025-05-11 06:39:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"We need a YC-specific term for the Gell-Mann amnesia where:\n\n1. When you learn about their portfolio companies in areas you know, you laugh at how bad the idea is,\n\n2. But outside your areas of expertise, their company ideas sound cool and promising.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1921455082844864626","reply_id":"1921455082844864626","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":24,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2269,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1921455084702933103","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1410354773576994819":{"id":"1410354773576994819","date":"2021-06-30 21:49:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@longskew As a client you're mostly just renting the high-status backgrounds. CEOs who hire big-name consultants do it for one of two reasons:\n\n1. A socially acceptable way to get info about their competitors.\n2. As political cover for stuff they want to do anyway. Usually layoffs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1410354239939956740","reply_id":"1410354239939956740","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"longskew","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1410354773576994819","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1364367174349983750":{"id":"1364367174349983750","date":"2021-02-24 00:10:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 @choffstein @kchoudhu Can't say I'm familiar with it.\n\nHaving gone through the pain of minting custom options IDs, and trying to figure out what should go in the sym vs in the (opaque) contract specs, I can empathize with anyone who tries.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1364304979972997124","reply_id":"1364366606143471616","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1364367174349983750","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1508259488326840321":{"id":"1508259488326840321","date":"2022-03-28 01:47:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@std_dev @SquishChaos @dcinvestor My mental model is that great art is *definitionally* going to be unappreciated contemporaneously.\n\nPrecisely because it's doing something new and weird.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1508247057454227463","reply_id":"1508258607191764996","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"std_dev","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1508259488326840321","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1509356544449679361":{"id":"1509356544449679361","date":"2022-03-31 02:26:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@coloradotravis @therobotjames @nope_its_lily @rachdele When did this turn into a wrong-answers-only? :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1509317328038735874","reply_id":"1509333088521756674","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"coloradotravis","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1509356544449679361","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2046628903372910970":{"id":"2046628903372910970","date":"2026-04-21 16:35:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"True, but this is conditioning on a level of teacher skill and engagement that generally doesn't obtain in the wild.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2046628903372910970","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":7078,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2046628903372910970","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1598374459320061952":{"id":"1598374459320061952","date":"2022-12-01 17:52:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase @therobotjames @robertmartin88 Yeah sorry typo.\n\nThe initial 100 comes from whatever position you had on from past trading.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598359321158553602","reply_id":"1598374221163466752","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598374459320061952","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1633116085498044416":{"id":"1633116085498044416","date":"2023-03-07 14:43:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@steeezynuts Nah, it's pretty sweet actually. All this afternoon daylight available to you after work, and all you have to do is wake up at 5:30am.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633111677120937987","reply_id":"1633111677120937987","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"malort_hft","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":265,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633116085498044416","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1505737371358150660":{"id":"1505737371358150660","date":"2022-03-21 02:45:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @nope_its_lily True. And there are exceptions. One IMO gold medalist in particular...\n\nBut the degree of hyperspecialization required to compete for individual honors generally detracts from other useful qualities.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505688775132913665","reply_id":"1505730578209193985","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505737371358150660","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2025200634526380123":{"id":"2025200634526380123","date":"2026-02-21 13:27:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Pure fantasy.\n- Selection bias on 2026's version of 1911's knowledge kills this project.\n- Even something as simple as forgetting to scrub Einstein notation for tensor ops could be enough bias.\n\nPpl in trading who have built backtesters know all this and a million other pitfalls.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2025200634526380123","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":267,"retweets":11,"replies":21,"quotes":1,"views":46861,"bookmarks":65,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2025200634526380123","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1487815564890292227":{"id":"1487815564890292227","date":"2022-01-30 15:50:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SellputCapital @FormulaDeltaOne Yes, some combination of that and being very intentional about where to spend your efforts.\n\n\"What I tell you about playin' them f***in' away games?\" - Avon Barksdale","hashtags":[],"conv":"1487541477391716363","reply_id":"1487811007523135491","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SellputCapital","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1487815564890292227","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1377041702905516035":{"id":"1377041702905516035","date":"2021-03-30 23:35:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sajidnizami Espen, apparently.\n\nEvery person's gotta have a niche.\n\nI've long said that book is a big fat FU to the world of academic finance.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377038772869627904","reply_id":"1377038772869627904","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sajidnizami","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1377041702905516035","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1564067688992763905":{"id":"1564067688992763905","date":"2022-08-29 01:49:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I endorse 100% of this tweet.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1564067688992763905","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1564067688992763905","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1417687586047356931":{"id":"1417687586047356931","date":"2021-07-21 03:27:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @lightspringfox @theemilyaccount You can write Fortran in any language.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1408122316295311362","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1417687586047356931","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1428421138024067072":{"id":"1428421138024067072","date":"2021-08-19 18:18:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm @holland_tom Rene Girard. It's always Girard.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1428418645491814400","reply_id":"1428420425059495937","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1428421138024067072","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1847619268747145609":{"id":"1847619268747145609","date":"2024-10-19 12:42:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@quantymacro 🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847610792113316169","reply_id":"1847619000253186526","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"quantymacro","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":985,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847619268747145609","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1279471431718301697":{"id":"1279471431718301697","date":"2020-07-04 17:45:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"ANSWER: We got incredibly lucky that:\n\nOur cheapest and best compressive strength material (concrete) just happens to have the same coefficient of thermal expansion as our cheapest and best tensile strength material (steel).\n\nYay!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1279471200054333440","reply_id":"1279471200054333440","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1279471431718301697","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1493447339708608517":{"id":"1493447339708608517","date":"2022-02-15 04:49:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@QuantVol That's not what the guy on the internet said.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493438440230240261","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493447339708608517","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1562797196046520320":{"id":"1562797196046520320","date":"2022-08-25 13:41:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What's old is new again.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1562797196046520320","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1562797196046520320_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1562797196046520320","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1766193118272266546":{"id":"1766193118272266546","date":"2024-03-08 20:03:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @macrocephalopod \"But what if I can hedge for edge?\" - every retail options trader ever.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1766083095856337406","reply_id":"1766189353884356623","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":262,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1766193118272266546","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1858152659867296170":{"id":"1858152659867296170","date":"2024-11-17 14:18:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In the limit of great wealth, all goods and services become positional. And the fraction of Veblen goods/services increases too.\n\nI believe the AI bull case should be analyzed this way.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1858152659867296170","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":3709,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1858152659867296170","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1709746399611621512":{"id":"1709746399611621512","date":"2023-10-05 01:44:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bookdepth @quantymacro In 2015, yes to over half the value traded.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709714391380238814","reply_id":"1709741613159682238","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bookdepth","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1131,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1709746399611621512","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1620918518572257280":{"id":"1620918518572257280","date":"2023-02-01 22:54:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brettharrison So you're just writing Ocaml in Rust then?\n\nEndorse, carry on.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1620594620660056065","reply_id":"1620594620660056065","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BrettHarrison","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":393,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1620918518572257280","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1707168225480634764":{"id":"1707168225480634764","date":"2023-09-27 22:59:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"GPT4V solves this.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1707168225480634764","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3793,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1707168225480634764","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1352456159140036608":{"id":"1352456159140036608","date":"2021-01-22 03:20:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vgr He's very good at making the other actors around him better.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1352455625423286275","reply_id":"1352455625423286275","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vgr","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1352456159140036608","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1383982386069733378":{"id":"1383982386069733378","date":"2021-04-19 03:14:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MikhaelBerg @KrisAbdelmessih MMs live in a (very) competitive world. If I'm an electronic MM that's always wider than the BBO, I get almost no trades and I go out of business.\n\nMM prices are set by answering the question \"How do I maximize risk-adjusted EV?\" As you might imagine, lots goes into the answer.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1383967556701097984","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1383982386069733378","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1595799415335239680":{"id":"1595799415335239680","date":"2022-11-24 15:20:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ChiefPaladinofC @TheSpeculator0 https://www.epsilontheory.com/gell-mann-amnesia/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595794399279321088","reply_id":"1595798180654125057","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ChiefPaladinofC","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1595799415335239680","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1923318754991038863":{"id":"1923318754991038863","date":"2025-05-16 10:04:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ThomasJ02 Improving at writing improves your ability to think new and more complex thoughts.\n\nPunctuation helps you organize those thoughts better.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1923159359539888534","reply_id":"1923159359539888534","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ThomasJ02","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":53,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1923318754991038863","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1388884187810172929":{"id":"1388884187810172929","date":"2021-05-02 15:52:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"6/ Even now, as I write this I ask myself \"why am I writing this?\"\n\nIs it truly to work through the empathy I feel for Lily Francus and what she's dealing with? To explain to others what this hedonic treadmill does to people?\n\nThen why do I keep wondering how many likes I'll get?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1388884183372623873","reply_id":"1388884186929385474","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1388884187810172929","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1434963964350242818":{"id":"1434963964350242818","date":"2021-09-06 19:37:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"9/ I claim it goes in 3 stages:\n\nA. New thing, I like learning new things.\nB. New thing, sounds interesting but I’m busy. I’ll look later.\nC. New thing, I know nothing about it. Not worth my time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434963956599193601","reply_id":"1434963963310055425","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434963964350242818","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1934680777733886431":{"id":"1934680777733886431","date":"2025-06-16 18:33:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@rgarcia57 @Jadam2122 @deanondraft Left years before.\n\nDean was one of my interviewers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1934563284453036526","reply_id":"1934680507561988330","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"rgarcia57","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1544,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1934680777733886431","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1185560874825576448":{"id":"1185560874825576448","date":"2019-10-19 14:18:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@balajis 4. Good information is costly to create. But bad info and propaganda is infinitely cheaper to generate. Solve for the Gresham's Law equilibrium.\n\nThrowing up your hands and saying \"eh, what are you going to do\", then celebrating the result, isn't solving the problem.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1185396060232941568","reply_id":"1185560451284779008","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1185560874825576448","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1692756219331592336":{"id":"1692756219331592336","date":"2023-08-19 04:31:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KeyPaganRush 🙏🙏🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1692699486517170370","reply_id":"1692699486517170370","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KeyPaganRush","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":170,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1692756219331592336","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1405184154568847366":{"id":"1405184154568847366","date":"2021-06-16 15:23:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"6/ It creates long-lasting swirling clouds of smelly dust. In addition to its use being zero-sum from the leaf-location perspective, it's actually negative sum taking into account the kicked up dust, noise and pollution.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1405184150139674624","reply_id":"1405184153725767686","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1405184154568847366","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1597797143925833728":{"id":"1597797143925833728","date":"2022-11-30 03:38:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@guil_lambert You can always take the other side on the SPY options you want.\n\nWhich you can't as an LP in an AMM.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597793290782662657","reply_id":"1597793290782662657","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"guil_lambert","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597797143925833728","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1144630369540403200":{"id":"1144630369540403200","date":"2019-06-28 15:35:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Law Of Trading #9: Working to align everyone's interests is time well-spent. #newbook #lawsoftrading","hashtags":["newbook","lawsoftrading"],"conv":"1144630369540403200","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1144630369540403200_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1144630369540403200","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1798866640538624199":{"id":"1798866640538624199","date":"2024-06-06 23:56:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So basically, don't start any company that involves processing bits?\n\nAtoms it is!\n\nEh @CJHandmer ?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1798866640538624199","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3540,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1798866640538624199","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1934664472288711090":{"id":"1934664472288711090","date":"2025-06-16 17:28:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Nothing on this app gives me greater pleasure than quietly muting troll replies.\n\nI imagine them seething in their dark caves, irate that I didn't take the bait, before forgetting and moving on to their next target, unwittingly having lost just a little more self-worth.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1934664472288711090","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":60,"retweets":1,"replies":32,"quotes":0,"views":13670,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1934664472288711090","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2079101422906257494":{"id":"2079101422906257494","date":"2026-07-20 07:09:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The alternative is the Jones Act.\n\nDoes *that* look like a better outcome?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2079100710105293269","reply_id":"2079100712735093112","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1375,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2079101422906257494","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1950142323356037137":{"id":"1950142323356037137","date":"2025-07-29 10:32:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolaTim Neither. I'm pretty sure I know more about options than 99.99% of retail and I probably couldn't make money with their fees and tech stack.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1950083518056300991","reply_id":"1950104316427079860","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolaTim","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":824,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1950142323356037137","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1978189016555045288":{"id":"1978189016555045288","date":"2025-10-14 19:59:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@waltuuuhr Sure, fine, but is this what quants leaving finance are expecting to work on?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1978182141180522742","reply_id":"1978188283457753589","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"waltuuuhr","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1070,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1978189016555045288","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1499771078704463876":{"id":"1499771078704463876","date":"2022-03-04 15:37:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bookdepth @MattZeitlin I don't know who Julia Fox is.\n\nThis is 45.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1499769881293737985","reply_id":"1499770762969894914","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bookdepth","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1499771078704463876","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1437074785314304006":{"id":"1437074785314304006","date":"2021-09-12 15:25:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @EconomPic @typingclub So glad it's back!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1437073138303451139","reply_id":"1437073138303451139","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1437074785314304006","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1415699752176349187":{"id":"1415699752176349187","date":"2021-07-15 15:48:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@volmagorov @arun_tankha @JaySinh68681549 One can think of smoothing as imposing a prior on the surface.\n\nWhen @volmagorov says \"sane functional forms\", I choose to view that as \"sane priors\".\n\nThe broader point being: when stuff is weird/noisy, it's *rarely* a mistake to spend more time thinking about your priors!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415542933722439680","reply_id":"1415690174877638661","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"volmagorov","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415699752176349187","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1915021684697977328":{"id":"1915021684697977328","date":"2025-04-23 12:35:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1915021684697977328","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":75,"retweets":5,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":10109,"bookmarks":19,"media":["1915021684697977328_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1915021684697977328","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1178876916620648448":{"id":"1178876916620648448","date":"2019-10-01 03:38:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The fact that Simon Sinek is famous and is considered inspiring explains a lot about the world. Turns out all it takes is being an ex-ad guy that churns out wisdom of the form:\n\nA is not B about C. A is B about not-C.\nOR\nA is B about C. Not-A is B about not-C.\n\nGenius.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1178876916620648448","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1178876916620648448","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1749602403715052016":{"id":"1749602403715052016","date":"2024-01-23 01:18:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RecktenwaldRene Always loved a language that comes with support for physical units out of the box!\n\nIs F# usable in non-Windows envs?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1749580779221594239","reply_id":"1749598206911000945","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RecktenwaldRene","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2348,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1749602403715052016","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1582835590130634752":{"id":"1582835590130634752","date":"2022-10-19 20:46:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Deathswap1 @nope_its_lily 1. Over what timescale do you think the overvaluation will revert to accurate valuation?\n\n2. Do you have the capital to handle the swings until it happens?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1582824370283552768","reply_id":"1582835124210896896","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Deathswap1","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1582835590130634752","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2070561483532943778":{"id":"2070561483532943778","date":"2026-06-26 17:35:01","author":"RufusT 🇺🇸","handle":"RufusTFireflyJr","text":"@AgustinLebron3 @AffectiveAutism It’s not even hidden \n\nhttps://youtu.be/YOm6RJGNIG8?is=oXp_f6S-WSJr1FlX","hashtags":[],"conv":"2070533347596444010","reply_id":"2070534299892232632","quote_id":"2070571588387246228","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":6604,"bookmarks":0,"media":["2070561483532943778_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/RufusTFireflyJr/status/2070561483532943778"},"1629529263694295040":{"id":"1629529263694295040","date":"2023-02-25 17:10:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Gingfacekillah @hedgetherumor Definitely. Tennis is the same way, and if anything worse.\n\n#300 in the world in tennis makes a meh living.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1629522250205638656","reply_id":"1629528698352463873","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Gingfacekillah","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":829,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1629529263694295040","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1989298202852368752":{"id":"1989298202852368752","date":"2025-11-14 11:43:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Trader_Mtr @KrisAbdelmessih @therobotjames @bookdepth @DeepDishEnjoyer But why keep doing it? If you're profitable, can't you just do it on your own at this point?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1988534015419146302","reply_id":"1989280013745881255","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Trader_Mtr","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":301,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1989298202852368752","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1252021810524155904":{"id":"1252021810524155904","date":"2020-04-19 23:50:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @darjohn25 Amen.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1252014249250967552","reply_id":"1252020657191301123","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1252021810524155904","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1346863621670768643":{"id":"1346863621670768643","date":"2021-01-06 16:58:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"48/ What's the \"right\" vol to use? Mid? That's entirely up to you and your modeling assumptions.\n\nThat's where the $ lie, so you're not going to get that from some public data source.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346863620001472513","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346863621670768643","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1942138282919223648":{"id":"1942138282919223648","date":"2025-07-07 08:27:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3/ First some caveats: I don't work at JS and technically haven't worked there in over 11 years. I did do some consulting work for them until roughly 6 years ago, but not as a fulltime employee.\n\nSo what I know from direct first-hand experience is extremely old knowledge.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942138281077985694","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":141,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":35411,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942138282919223648","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1874145835296170426":{"id":"1874145835296170426","date":"2024-12-31 17:29:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Trolling Brazilians at the airport.\n\n- Brazilians love a queue. They'll queue at the gate way before it's time to board.\n- So, over an hour before scheduled flight time, I start to queue.\n- Immediately the queue forms behind me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1874145835296170426","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2997,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1874145835296170426","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1593685275149901824":{"id":"1593685275149901824","date":"2022-11-18 19:19:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Fred Brooks has died. 😢\n\nhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Mythical_Man-Month","hashtags":[],"conv":"1593685275149901824","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1593685275149901824","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1480205896730890241":{"id":"1480205896730890241","date":"2022-01-09 15:52:41","author":"Aaron Levie","handle":"levie","text":"@AgustinLebron3 @EMCERA @0xsamp @QwQiao @cdixon @balajis @jack @bchesky 👋 no opinions of DeFi over here, seems like the tech is fit-for-purpose for uniform money related stuff👍. The issue I push back on is the notion we can extrapolate from finance to broad @ scale consumer software (where the cost of coordination is high and value data is low).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1479846176790884354","reply_id":"1480203973269221381","quote_id":"1480206708920119298","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/levie/status/1480205896730890241"},"1245055982251593728":{"id":"1245055982251593728","date":"2020-03-31 18:30:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@robertwiblin I doubt they'd have given those intervals if they'd been asked to bet money on them.\n\nEstimates are only as useful as people's self-interest is connected to them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1244975394668806151","reply_id":"1244975394668806151","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"robertwiblin","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1245055982251593728","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1698827554831138818":{"id":"1698827554831138818","date":"2023-09-04 22:37:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The fact that \"write the code\" has the plurality (so far) is why most software sucks.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1698827554831138818","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4224,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1698827554831138818","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1481771761565782017":{"id":"1481771761565782017","date":"2022-01-13 23:34:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RockshotJ SpaceX could make people swim through a sea of flaming poo and people would do it.\n\nRandom SaaS startup no one's heard of?\nNot so much.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481745236678234114","reply_id":"1481770529329541127","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1481771761565782017","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1772113252048306379":{"id":"1772113252048306379","date":"2024-03-25 04:08:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is optimism. We need more of this.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1772113252048306379","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3382,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1772113252048306379","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1432551836301479943":{"id":"1432551836301479943","date":"2021-08-31 03:52:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@roshanpateI @michellevarron This sounds like a statement about survivorship bias more than anything else.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1432371131315638277","reply_id":"1432371131315638277","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"roshanpateI","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1432551836301479943","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1493419082351144961":{"id":"1493419082351144961","date":"2022-02-15 02:57:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert Supposedly. I know right?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493387393142976512","reply_id":"1493401066875936772","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493419082351144961","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1287959266096111618":{"id":"1287959266096111618","date":"2020-07-28 03:53:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Looking for some help: anyone know a great math tutor/teacher in the San Diego area? Ideally someone with USAMO/AIME or AoPS experience...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1287959266096111618","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1287959266096111618","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1376984633401745412":{"id":"1376984633401745412","date":"2021-03-30 19:48:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jsoloff @KrisAbdelmessih @darjohn25 No debate here: the vol risk premium is definitely a thing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1376957385734938626","reply_id":"1376984244518449152","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jsoloff","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1376984633401745412","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1789483020979982845":{"id":"1789483020979982845","date":"2024-05-12 02:29:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tolstoybb Plus phone violence is just inherently hilarious.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1789477996388393397","reply_id":"1789477996388393397","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tolstoybb","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":279,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1789483020979982845","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2064597498002297075":{"id":"2064597498002297075","date":"2026-06-10 06:36:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Again, they're not nerfing ML research by refusing requests. Instead, it quietly sabotages users by lying to them.\n\n@AnthropicAI is steadily losing the Mandate of God.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2064597498002297075","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":241,"retweets":7,"replies":13,"quotes":1,"views":21423,"bookmarks":20,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2064597498002297075","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1458510562145357832":{"id":"1458510562145357832","date":"2021-11-10 19:03:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Noahpinion Feels like the standard political \"The {thing I already want to do} will definitely fix the {problem that's in the news cycle today}.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1458509834987335684","reply_id":"1458509834987335684","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Noahpinion","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1458510562145357832","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1602446373193801728":{"id":"1602446373193801728","date":"2022-12-12 23:32:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5/ The other thing (related) that people talk about is things like trend up, down, choppy, etc. Again, these are retrospective measures. If you had a predictive model that told you \"tomorrow is going to be a trend up day\" then just buy ES futures. Done.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602446367825149952","reply_id":"1602446372090699776","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1602446373193801728","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1761433272066949532":{"id":"1761433272066949532","date":"2024-02-24 16:49:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3. Plain old nationalism:\n\nSelling territory for money just feels like weak leadership. Like an admission of defeat.\n\n\"You mean you couldn't figure out how to make that valuable? And they can?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1761433268208140459","reply_id":"1761433270880026793","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":853,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1761433272066949532","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1548086259188240390":{"id":"1548086259188240390","date":"2022-07-15 23:25:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pmontu33 @Value_Quant @therobotjames @darjohn25 @Gingfacekillah @TCK_JRubano I think I've reached the limit of my ability and willingness to explain my perspective.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548007648007634944","reply_id":"1548085972679532551","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pmontu33","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1548086259188240390","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1585120928736104448":{"id":"1585120928736104448","date":"2022-10-26 04:07:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @therobotjames @IDrawCharts @toiletkingcap What happens if you close your eyes and picture yourself standing in the kitchen of your childhood home?\n\nNothing?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1585076062501089280","reply_id":"1585117154915278848","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1585120928736104448","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1346481457326223368":{"id":"1346481457326223368","date":"2021-01-05 15:39:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"29/ Famously, the BS (or Black-Scholes) vol is the \"wrong number inserted into the wrong formula to get you the right price\".\n\nBut look, no one on Earth thinks the BS assumptions of stock dynamics are accurate.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346481456038625287","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346481457326223368","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2043636344564384241":{"id":"2043636344564384241","date":"2026-04-13 10:24:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Low-key amazing that US sports fans don't realize how superior the European soccer promotion/relegation system is. Tanking? What is tanking?\n\nAnd that the reason it doesn't work in the US is because of a level of team owner communism that would make Lenin blush.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2043636344564384241","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":227,"retweets":7,"replies":18,"quotes":2,"views":21942,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2043636344564384241","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1943629851308466429":{"id":"1943629851308466429","date":"2025-07-11 11:14:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Nelson Piquet Jr watching the F1 movie:\n\n\"So it's ok if Brad Pitt does it?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943629851308466429","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":4249,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1943629851308466429","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1673199977030352896":{"id":"1673199977030352896","date":"2023-06-26 05:22:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RealHerbHoover Most of South America, most of Eastern Europe for starters.\n\nI've been to nearly 50 countries myself, so sample size isn't *too* small.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1673026948648321028","reply_id":"1673158804714803200","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RealHerbHoover","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":231,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1673199977030352896","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1980896280508268764":{"id":"1980896280508268764","date":"2025-10-22 07:17:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"People who are demonstrably bad at personal decision-making probably shouldn't have strong opinions about \"what should be done about X\".\n\nAnd yet in practice it seems the correlation is positive.\n\nIt's Dunning-Kruger everywhere you look.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1980896280508268764","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":45,"retweets":2,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":8531,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1980896280508268764","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1712542742717542629":{"id":"1712542742717542629","date":"2023-10-12 18:56:22","author":"Inner City Press","handle":"innercitypress","text":"SBF's lawyer Everdell: Your Honor, you have a transcript binder --\nJudge Kaplan: I have enough binders here to go into business... We're going to have a recess here in a moment. Let me know when I come back.\nEverdell: We have our own clips.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1712461930424631499","reply_id":"1712541593125925143","quote_id":"1712545240467599644","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"innercitypress","likes":49,"retweets":3,"replies":5,"quotes":2,"views":15732,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/innercitypress/status/1712542742717542629"},"1575895437164150784":{"id":"1575895437164150784","date":"2022-09-30 17:08:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1575895437164150784","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":28,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1575895437164150784_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1575895437164150784","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1826976210162770252":{"id":"1826976210162770252","date":"2024-08-23 13:34:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If you were to show this to someone from the 19th century, their brains would explode.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XwzZY4oHMzE","hashtags":[],"conv":"1826976210162770252","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1677,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1826976210162770252","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1592351335860822017":{"id":"1592351335860822017","date":"2022-11-15 02:58:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal How do you want to specify the correlation structure?\n\nIf you have a specific n-dim corr matrix (which is PSD of course) then just take its square root and then do a dot product with an (N,n) matrix of normal distributed numbers.\n\n(where N = number of samples)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1592295189934129152","reply_id":"1592295189934129152","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1592351335860822017","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1709746235723354526":{"id":"1709746235723354526","date":"2023-10-05 01:44:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@waltuuuhr Meh, it's not a morality tale. I'd read the full book before coming to a conclusion.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709714391380238814","reply_id":"1709741034467410155","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"waltuuuhr","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":501,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1709746235723354526","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1472391033224794113":{"id":"1472391033224794113","date":"2021-12-19 02:19:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cloudy_cl I dove into this rabbit hole a few years ago.\n\nI got to somewhere decent (i.e. an \"ok\" signal on top of other stuff we were running) but felt like there was more juice there. Never got back to it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1472234242792898567","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1472391033224794113","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1571676444262301697":{"id":"1571676444262301697","date":"2022-09-19 01:43:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SpacChad @MinvstrD @nope_its_lily @bennpeifert @moreproteinbars @therobotjames @NewRiverInvest @FREAK0NAUT @Chaelelo @OGTaylorB Exactly. Trading is boredom + occasional moments terrorexcitment.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1571636409651580929","reply_id":"1571675593879752704","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SpacChad","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1571676444262301697","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1272193410372268034":{"id":"1272193410372268034","date":"2020-06-14 15:45:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The slow transformation of Python into a statically typed language:\n\nhttps://towardsdatascience.com/new-features-in-python39-2529765429fe\n\nI, for one, welcome our new compile-time type error overlords.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1272193410372268034","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1272193410372268034","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1921859117045481767":{"id":"1921859117045481767","date":"2025-05-12 09:24:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Last Friday the EU building next to my work had a street fair event where various countries had stands with food, etc.\n\nThe EU itself had free muffins, but you had to do a 3 question quiz about EU governance first.\n\n\"Do some bureaucracy to get a free muffin\" was very on-brand.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1921859117045481767","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":2513,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1921859117045481767","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1546931773317136384":{"id":"1546931773317136384","date":"2022-07-12 18:57:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"15/ But when you’ve been mulling over enough interesting things for enough time, eventually the pieces seem to want to self-organize in your mind:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546931744426758145","reply_id":"1546931772054589441","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546931773317136384","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1434243730035265539":{"id":"1434243730035265539","date":"2021-09-04 19:55:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug Not to mention (a) the runtime performance and (b) the ability to reason about expected runtime performance.\n\nIn the last 3 years, the dev environment has become good enough. Finally. Depending on use case, libraries are somewhere between excellent and almost good enough.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434221095016534019","reply_id":"1434233564510490624","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434243730035265539","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1684723448168550400":{"id":"1684723448168550400","date":"2023-07-28 00:32:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"👇","hashtags":[],"conv":"1684723448168550400","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2669,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1684723448168550400","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1955899880012234871":{"id":"1955899880012234871","date":"2025-08-14 07:50:44","author":"Patrick McKenzie","handle":"patio11","text":"Or, for that matter, how many of the U.S.’s 4,500 banks have we ever lost because a “poorly labeled fiat@ account” caused management to overestimate how much embezzlement their balance sheet would tolerate before collapsing the firm?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1955894402066329675","reply_id":"1955897901369942042","quote_id":"1955983262863565179","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"patio11","likes":255,"retweets":3,"replies":5,"quotes":2,"views":24977,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/patio11/status/1955899880012234871"},"1666123806270951424":{"id":"1666123806270951424","date":"2023-06-06 16:44:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Same wistfulness, same sense of loss.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1666123806270951424","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2186,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1666123806270951424_1.jpg","1666123806270951424_2.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1666123806270951424","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1743306091809931728":{"id":"1743306091809931728","date":"2024-01-05 16:18:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Having trouble getting this out of my head today...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1743306091809931728","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":40,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":10793,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1743306091809931728","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1454966430802198529":{"id":"1454966430802198529","date":"2021-11-01 00:20:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Jstebby You be the judge:\n- Top 5 ranked junior in one racquet sport.\n- Sub 2min 800m, sub 16min 5k.\n- Scratch handicap golf.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1454896792802267140","reply_id":"1454962520742051844","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Jstebby","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1454966430802198529","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1343363826452840449":{"id":"1343363826452840449","date":"2020-12-28 01:11:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jordanwrong1 @SinclairEuan @KrisAbdelmessih Note: when I said \"identical\" above I meant identical in expectation. Obv different hedging policies yield different actual Pnls IRL.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1343282011134447621","reply_id":"1343363583317483521","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1343363826452840449","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1559692619159990273":{"id":"1559692619159990273","date":"2022-08-17 00:04:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Why pick one?\n\n1. Because it's a very competitive world out there. Specialization creates the chance to obtain special skill. If you do both you'll be bad at both.\n\n2. No one trusts or will do business with someone doing both.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1559691124511428608","reply_id":"1559691124511428608","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1559692619159990273","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1417931689922240513":{"id":"1417931689922240513","date":"2021-07-21 19:37:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Knight Rider:\n\nA show premised on the idea that if you're a secretive right-wing organization with decades and centuries-ahead technology, the thing to do is...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1417931689922240513","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1417931689922240513","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1844654463115477366":{"id":"1844654463115477366","date":"2024-10-11 08:21:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Fuck you Python.\n\nimport pytz\nimport datetime as dt\ntzinfo=pytz.timezone('US/Eastern')\ndt = dt.datetime.combine(dt.datetime.strptime('2024-04-01', '%Y-%m-%d'), dt.time(9, 30), tzinfo=tzinfo)\nprint(dt)\n\nWait for it...\n\n2024-04-01 09:30:00-04:56","hashtags":[],"conv":"1844654463115477366","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":113,"retweets":0,"replies":17,"quotes":2,"views":26797,"bookmarks":29,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1844654463115477366","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1926778204204806302":{"id":"1926778204204806302","date":"2025-05-25 23:11:36","author":"effectfully","handle":"effectfully","text":"If you could wipe one programming language from history, why would it be Go?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1926778204204806302","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1926945838820945993","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":308,"retweets":7,"replies":69,"quotes":6,"views":31897,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/effectfully/status/1926778204204806302"},"1325891893226479616":{"id":"1325891893226479616","date":"2020-11-09 20:03:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@GradientAssent @ESYudkowsky @juliagalef https://lacker.io/ai/2020/07/06/giving-gpt-3-a-turing-test.html\n\nThese experiments make it clear that GPT-3 doesn't *understand* anything in the commonsense meaning of the term.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1325874769984712704","reply_id":"1325887800856604672","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GradientAssent","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1325891893226479616","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1476941041089409029":{"id":"1476941041089409029","date":"2021-12-31 15:39:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is exactly the kind of sensible thinking we need more of. The only way we make the ecosystem better is by taking risks seriously.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476941041089409029","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476941041089409029","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1702115835199005077":{"id":"1702115835199005077","date":"2023-09-14 00:23:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Someone in the 80s tells you that the celebrity voyeurism of Lifestyles Of The Rich And Famous is going to become an ineradicable globe-spanning obsession of millions, with Robin Leach as some sort of genius visionary prophet of the future...\n\nAnd here we are.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1702115835199005077","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2013,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1702115835199005077","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1783295367276314756":{"id":"1783295367276314756","date":"2024-04-25 00:42:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Always123BC @ekrii3 Trolling always wins on the bird app.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1783040184680083819","reply_id":"1783294661106204796","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Always123BC","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":146,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1783295367276314756","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1572951873627500545":{"id":"1572951873627500545","date":"2022-09-22 14:12:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @witchqueendot @TCK_JRubano @bennpeifert @salr_nyc Stop being fair. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1572741533803376640","reply_id":"1572951736284844032","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1572951873627500545","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1951210806592340232":{"id":"1951210806592340232","date":"2025-08-01 09:18:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@moreproteinbars SPY does. SPY doesn't care about your tariffs, wars, AI, anything. Vol is as close to zero as is possible right now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1951056627953434712","reply_id":"1951056627953434712","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"moreproteinbars","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":801,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1951210806592340232","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2049020902159827083":{"id":"2049020902159827083","date":"2026-04-28 07:00:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"OpenAI is working hard to regain the mandate of heaven.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2049020902159827083","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":54,"retweets":4,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":5371,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2049020902159827083","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1502720779955318785":{"id":"1502720779955318785","date":"2022-03-12 18:58:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily So, construct 100 stocks w/ 60% of var being market factor, 20% factor 2, 10% factor 3, then 10% idio for each. (for example)\n\nThen drop some date ranges, add bad data outliers, etc. Then try \"fixes\" and see how well they recover the stuff you care about.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1502719529327030272","reply_id":"1502720368833826820","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1502720779955318785","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1546931767570866176":{"id":"1546931767570866176","date":"2022-07-12 18:57:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"11/ The world of trading is broad, so figure out which parts interest and motivate you. Then spend time doing those things.\n\nIn my case, I like staring at ticks. My idea of a good time is looking at this.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546931744426758145","reply_id":"1546931763653402624","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":["1546931767570866176_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546931767570866176","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1979780853472600423":{"id":"1979780853472600423","date":"2025-10-19 05:25:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_Billdozer_ Nope. Arguably even more common elsewhere. Latin America, parts of Europe, SE Asia come to mind.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1979511150422131173","reply_id":"1979686149158576469","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_Billdozer_","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":200,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1979780853472600423","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2064748160648347657":{"id":"2064748160648347657","date":"2026-06-10 16:34:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"AI \"labs\".\n\nlab·​o·​ra·​to·​ry [ˈla-b(ə-)rə-ˌtȯr-ē]\n1. a place equipped for experimental study in a science or for testing and analysis\n\n🙄","hashtags":[],"conv":"2064748160648347657","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":33,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4104,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2064748160648347657","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1412819414458650625":{"id":"1412819414458650625","date":"2021-07-07 17:02:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal IMO it's almost always a mistake to quantize an already-continuous responder.\n\nModel predictors as either, depending on #details.","hashtags":["details"],"conv":"1412818892842487809","reply_id":"1412818892842487809","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1412819414458650625","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1165789855869046784":{"id":"1165789855869046784","date":"2019-08-26 00:55:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Barton_options @SamanthaLaDuc For a long time I thought there was something wrong with me, with my trading.\n\nWhen I realized it was universal it came as a huge relief.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1165767719905648645","reply_id":"1165771649242845184","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Barton_options","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1165789855869046784","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1614008692676124673":{"id":"1614008692676124673","date":"2023-01-13 21:17:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"MJ 1986-1987\nLuka 2022-2023","hashtags":[],"conv":"1614008692676124673","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2265,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1614008692676124673","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1556676656378441728":{"id":"1556676656378441728","date":"2022-08-08 16:20:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"We can skip the details because, big picture, there's a plausible world where these stylized facts are mental heuristics which help us make directionally true statements.\n\nLet's be efficient with our time and move detailed discussion off-line.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1556676656378441728","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1556676656378441728","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2049550667266523297":{"id":"2049550667266523297","date":"2026-04-29 18:05:32","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"RT @macrocephalopod: I would say that the dominant approach in multi-managers now is “quantamental” especially in equities (not so much in fixed income or macro). Center books, alpha capture (external and internal), factor and sector hedging overlays, replication. Far from having failed, it became so ubiquitous that we don’t notice it any more. \n\nI think people thought that “quantamental” would mean fundamental managers using lots of quant inputs but in fact it turned out to be much more profitable for fundamental managers to be inputs into a quant investing process.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2049550667266523297","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2049543485406282108","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":9,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":4,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/2049550667266523297"},"1957813338886336832":{"id":"1957813338886336832","date":"2025-08-19 14:34:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sloppriest I was wrong, will publicly post.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1931662460680880252","reply_id":"1957810035687346606","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sloppriest","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":178,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1957813338886336832","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1491078612392775683":{"id":"1491078612392775683","date":"2022-02-08 15:56:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Updates on the Mayor of New York's dietary habits are apparently important news.\n\nI don't know what this says about the world, but it certainly says *something*.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1491078612392775683","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1491078612392775683","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1423447351054659586":{"id":"1423447351054659586","date":"2021-08-06 00:54:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ALBACapMgmt @therobotjames Sold!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1423437359144570884","reply_id":"1423441562118230016","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ALBACapMgmt","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1423447351054659586","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1138414215365107713":{"id":"1138414215365107713","date":"2019-06-11 11:54:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Wonderful to speak to the students of #uwaterloo last night. Talking to university students always leaves me more optimistic about the future.\nhttps://uwaterloo.ca/math-business-accounting-programs/events/decisions-data-and-dollars-canadian-nerd-wall-street","hashtags":["uwaterloo"],"conv":"1138414215365107713","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1138414215365107713","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1346481448556011522":{"id":"1346481448556011522","date":"2021-01-05 15:39:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"22/ Well, we could define it a few hundred different ways. And if you want to get into the math, knock yourself out.\n\nI'm going to skip all that.\n\nHaving taught options a few times I've learned that the math can obscure the intuition. Trust me a bit here...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346481447285100544","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346481448556011522","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1668235166286839809":{"id":"1668235166286839809","date":"2023-06-12 12:33:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@naomi_rovnick Say you want to multiply 10 x 100. One way you can do it is by counting zeros.\n\nThe first number has one zero, the second number has two zeros. 1 + 2 = 3, so the result has to have 3 zeros (1000).\n\nLogarithms let you to do the \"add-the-zeros trick\" for multiplying any numbers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1668169409607729152","reply_id":"1668169409607729152","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"naomi_rovnick","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":130,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1668235166286839809","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1601688165097799680":{"id":"1601688165097799680","date":"2022-12-10 21:19:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 🤣🤣🤣\n\nThe hive-mind-regurgitator has spoken.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1601684389406322688","reply_id":"1601684389406322688","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1601688165097799680","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1582397853778837506":{"id":"1582397853778837506","date":"2022-10-18 15:47:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"TFW you put a background system into prod, and you're thinking \"when's this going to crash\" but then after a few days you realize you haven't thought about it in days.\n\nAnd it continues to just work.\n\nSo then you just go pay attention to the other crap that's not working...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1582397853778837506","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1582397853778837506","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1768411886398448067":{"id":"1768411886398448067","date":"2024-03-14 23:00:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@utdrush5 Top5 CS is basically Ivy League + Stanford + Cal + CMU. Right? It's all the same.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1768404709336052193","reply_id":"1768407248441692365","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"closed_utdrush5","likes":5,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":838,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1768411886398448067","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1797274072931615154":{"id":"1797274072931615154","date":"2024-06-02 14:28:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Jesse_Livermore Kurt Rambis?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1797099600571965863","reply_id":"1797099600571965863","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Jesse_Livermore","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":385,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1797274072931615154","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1474822435845246979":{"id":"1474822435845246979","date":"2021-12-25 19:20:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@salr_nyc @ALBACapMgmt Ugh Barx! I just had a PTSD episode!!!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1474726690580406277","reply_id":"1474777867926089733","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"salr_nyc","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1474822435845246979","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1497785229418795009":{"id":"1497785229418795009","date":"2022-02-27 04:06:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert This largely evaporated for my two boys around ages 10, 12. Still rears its head every so often but rarely now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1497722429505818624","reply_id":"1497722429505818624","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1497785229418795009","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1820555333368172607":{"id":"1820555333368172607","date":"2024-08-05 20:19:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@__paleologo @WSJ Meh. corr(SPY,DJIA) > 0.9 usually.\n\nGood enough for a WSJ reader.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1820536784935428226","reply_id":"1820536784935428226","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"__paleologo","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":633,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1820555333368172607","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1708977841872977983":{"id":"1708977841872977983","date":"2023-10-02 22:50:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@wagieeacc \"A few weeks\" is not true.\n\nThe decision was made at the end of the internship, like with everyone else.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1708963136550613280","reply_id":"1708963136550613280","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"wagieeacc","likes":23,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":5453,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1708977841872977983","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1384589150217592838":{"id":"1384589150217592838","date":"2021-04-20 19:25:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jam_croissant @jimduey \"Only\" seems like a pretty strong claim...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1384501288478650368","reply_id":"1384588868691931144","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jam_croissant","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1384589150217592838","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1820239432257331392":{"id":"1820239432257331392","date":"2024-08-04 23:24:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347","hashtags":[],"conv":"1820130155152748736","reply_id":"1820221605659980030","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":339,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1820239432257331392","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2049015304152293461":{"id":"2049015304152293461","date":"2026-04-28 06:38:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Pretty entertaining.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2049015304152293461","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":32,"retweets":4,"replies":2,"quotes":3,"views":15196,"bookmarks":15,"media":["2049015304152293461_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2049015304152293461","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1722421159550144592":{"id":"1722421159550144592","date":"2023-11-09 01:09:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@fuckyourputs There's no unambiguous mathematical definition of \"sensible\", so as stated there isn't any reason.\n\nBut if you think about your data as being drawn from a mixture dist where mostly it's normal but sometimes it's crazy, this helps you bound how much crazy you're dealing with.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1722380090070409234","reply_id":"1722419934435885317","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"fuckyourputs","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":618,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1722421159550144592","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1592330678112489472":{"id":"1592330678112489472","date":"2022-11-15 01:36:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dystopiabreaker Easier:\n\n1. Change your payment method to PayPal.\n2. Cancel the PayPal recurring payment.\n\nDone.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1592330189006327808","reply_id":"1592330189006327808","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dystopiabreaker","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1592330678112489472","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1942138327064277342":{"id":"1942138327064277342","date":"2025-07-07 08:27:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"24/ Arguably that already happened post-COVID, when there was an exodus of semi-senior traders who realized their beta to firm performance wasn't as high as they thought.\n\nIn fairness to JS's leadership, it's a tough problem.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942138324946219350","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":134,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":17304,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942138327064277342","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1393728628437913601":{"id":"1393728628437913601","date":"2021-05-16 00:42:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"There's an important meta-point that's hiding in plain sight here.\n\nWhat answer could you reasonably expect from @KrisAbdelmessih if you asked him to eval your trade idea?\n\nA thread... 👇","hashtags":[],"conv":"1393728628437913601","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":3,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1393728628437913601","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1587099115816505347":{"id":"1587099115816505347","date":"2022-10-31 15:08:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This. This all the time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1587099115816505347","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1587099115816505347","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1452297634316701701":{"id":"1452297634316701701","date":"2021-10-24 15:35:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TensaiCapital @lightspringfox Definitely. Problem is different edges often unstack instead of stack.\n\nI.e. edge A and edge B look different, but are actually getting at the same fundamental inefficiency, so it ends up that A + B = A + some noise.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1452066917087264772","reply_id":"1452127129488039936","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TensaiCapital","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1452297634316701701","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1999258753720361100":{"id":"1999258753720361100","date":"2025-12-11 23:23:25","author":"FatMan","handle":"FatManTerra","text":"Do Kwon has been sentenced to 15 years in prison.\n\nIt's been a long fight, but the moment is finally here.\n\nIn the months following the Terra collapse in May 2022, Do Kwon was living a life of luxury in Singapore, out in the open. He gave interviews, went to fancy restaurants, and spoke about building LUNA 2.0 so he could rinse retail one more time.\n\nUp until September, he was chilling. He had destroyed lives. People had committed suicide. Life savings had been stolen. But nobody cared, and people who spoke out were called \"conspiracy theorists\". It was maddening, and extremely frustrating.\n\nIn these months - May, June, and July of 2022 - various insiders and whistleblowers from Terra and Jump came forward, allowing me to disclose a few key facts proving systemic fraud, including the facts that Chai and Mirror were faking transactions on-chain to dupe investors, and most importantly, that Jump secretly bailed UST out while taking a bribe, misleading retail investors and the market into thinking the UST algorithm \"self-healed\".\n\nThe work of whistleblowers and the collective voices of Terra victims allowed us to publish all of the facts years in advance. We were constantly dismissed as \"FUD,\" \"conspiracy,\" and \"lies\". Now, all this time later, all of these facts have been documented and decisively proven in court filings.\n\nIn this initial phase - when Do Kwon was living his best life with money stolen from victims - other whistleblowers and I had multiple calls with the SEC, FBI, and SDNY explaining exactly what went down in simple terms, with all of the receipts.\n\nIn October 2022, after these revelations came to light, Do Kwon's downfall began, and he went on the run from the law. He was captured in March 2023 and made his first appearance in a US courtroom in January 2025.\n\nEarly on, I didn't think this day would come.\nBut now I know it always would.\n\nWhat's my point here?\n\nTwitter is real life.\n\nCrypto is full of rug pullers and scammers - many highly sophisticated and manipulative. Most get away with what they do. People like Zach manage to catch a couple big ones, but law enforcement doesn't have nearly enough resources to go after everyone, and most of the wrongdoings in this space get swept under the rug.\n\nBut if you are being wronged - harassed, tormented, scammed, rugged, whatever it may be - just know that there are decisive actions you can take to bring justice in this world.\n\nWith enough organisation, dedication, and grit, it is possible to move mountains and shift the world around you. It's possible to say things online and have effects happen in the real world. And it's possible to nudge the wheels of justice in the right direction even if you think you're a nobody.\n\nI'm still a random guy from the UK with no real special ability or power. But simply by speaking my mind and trying my best - and stumbling upon the help of some wonderful people from this community - we were able to create some real tangible change in the world.\n\nI guess what I'm trying to say is - keep posting, keep doing, keep fighting for what you believe to be truthful and good. Don't bow down in the face of evil, and don't give up. Even if you are small, you can be much more powerful than you know - you just have to keep going and have a bit of determination (because most people don't), and the universe will often shift itself around you to make way for the right path.\n\nThanks to everyone who follows my words and helped support all of us Terra victims and whistleblowers on this journey. I have a feeling this isn't the end of the road - there are new monsters on the horizon. But if we keep pushing and representing each other against evil - I think we'll figure it out in the end. ❤️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1999258753720361100","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1999404370954273134","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1304,"retweets":167,"replies":166,"quotes":31,"views":149062,"bookmarks":173,"media":["1999258753720361100_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/FatManTerra/status/1999258753720361100"},"1664079800145936384":{"id":"1664079800145936384","date":"2023-06-01 01:21:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Recovered with Spanish.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1664046975912919040","reply_id":"1664049000381825024","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1471,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1664079800145936384_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1664079800145936384","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1985273533585666444":{"id":"1985273533585666444","date":"2025-11-03 09:11:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@moreproteinbars @Gingfacekillah @KrisAbdelmessih 👆","hashtags":[],"conv":"1985174141121794330","reply_id":"1985177921917468761","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"moreproteinbars","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":347,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1985273533585666444","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1876721464772051210":{"id":"1876721464772051210","date":"2025-01-07 20:03:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @bennpeifert 11/20 for me. The math checks out.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1876716560443642017","reply_id":"1876718909560144342","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":806,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1876721464772051210","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1225802449002192896":{"id":"1225802449002192896","date":"2020-02-07 15:24:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lopezdeprado Anyone who's traded for a living knows crowding is basically the *only* factor is strat performance deterioration.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1225800960615862272","reply_id":"1225800960615862272","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"lopezdeprado","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1225802449002192896","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1250598923036618752":{"id":"1250598923036618752","date":"2020-04-16 01:36:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"$BTC bugs vs $GOLD bugs reminds of People's Front of Judea vs Judean People's Front.\n\nIt's an internecine war between diehard believers of the value of *different* arbitrary semi-scarce pseudo-resources. And there can only be one!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1250598923036618752","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1250598923036618752_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1250598923036618752","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1524195559241777152":{"id":"1524195559241777152","date":"2022-05-11 01:11:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LanrayIge Why haven't they taken off anywhere?\n\nBecause participants aren't heterogeneous enough. Everyone's a sharp trying to beat everyone else.\n\nLiquid markets need price-insensitive participants who trade because they *need* an exposure (or to hedge another exposure).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1524020028798119942","reply_id":"1524020028798119942","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xljki","likes":71,"retweets":3,"replies":5,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1524195559241777152","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2042604061304779076":{"id":"2042604061304779076","date":"2026-04-10 14:02:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"RT @AgustinLebron3: @choffstein At most 0.001% of the people who trade VXX understand that it's:\n\n- an unsecured debt against\n- a note whose return is linked to an index of\n- cash-settled futures on\n- an index of\n- a basket of options on\n- an index of\n- 500 stocks.\n\nSo... not that complicated.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2042604061304779076","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2042604022457053674","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":3,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2042604061304779076","type":"retweet","issues":[]},"1712692211601809840":{"id":"1712692211601809840","date":"2023-10-13 04:50:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bernhardsson Frequently-batched auctions (FBAs) have been a subject of study for a long time. Eric Budish had an influential paper in 2015.\n\nMy reading is that very frequent auctions are basically a no-op from a resource perspective. Placing/canceling your orders last is still very valuable.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1712509678075195902","reply_id":"1712509678075195902","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bernhardsson","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":442,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1712692211601809840","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1843321552668168613":{"id":"1843321552668168613","date":"2024-10-07 16:04:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Every damn broker with \"Election contracts now available!\"\n\nSigh.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1843321552668168613","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":30,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":3799,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1843321552668168613","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1493673535687913474":{"id":"1493673535687913474","date":"2022-02-15 19:48:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@PetLizardBeta @be20684347 @theemilyaccount @ActuallyFinance @KrisAbdelmessih @salr_nyc I agree with this. The peer effect is a really important component. I know families who have bought the books but don't do the classes. It mostly doesn't last because it takes too much out of the parents.\n\nKids want to do what their friends do.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493387393142976512","reply_id":"1493670275463921666","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"return_stacking","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493673535687913474","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1291118469094576128":{"id":"1291118469094576128","date":"2020-08-05 21:06:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz Exactly my thoughts.\n\nPlus: so exchange rates only matter inasmuch as they affect inflation?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1291089596407783426","reply_id":"1291089596407783426","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1291118469094576128","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1635355578301296645":{"id":"1635355578301296645","date":"2023-03-13 19:02:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"One of the small pleasures in life is the genius of @tylercowen putting two seemingly different things in the same list element of his assorted links.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1635355578301296645","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3497,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1635355578301296645_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1635355578301296645","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1503525507744223233":{"id":"1503525507744223233","date":"2022-03-15 00:16:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily The real question is which one is the loss leader category?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503525303276036096","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1503525507744223233","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1510291559643721734":{"id":"1510291559643721734","date":"2022-04-02 16:22:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3. They're not native to North America. They were brought over in the 19th century from Europe, and now they're endemic. And I mean ENDEMIC.\n\n\"It is now one of the most abundant invertebrate species in California coastal grassland habitats.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1510291557735305218","reply_id":"1510291558762893313","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1510291559643721734","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1888625953921773834":{"id":"1888625953921773834","date":"2025-02-09 16:28:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bigbullsnow Crypto has gotten a *lot* more competitive in the last 5 years. Definitely not as easy as it used to be.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1888547697981882609","reply_id":"1888625217892700639","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"xbtsnow","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":221,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1888625953921773834","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1437489930955997184":{"id":"1437489930955997184","date":"2021-09-13 18:54:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 @Mephisto731 @TidefallCapital @LVDTrades If I had a nickel for every 13F that made my eyes bleed and my parser break...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1437367549679882243","reply_id":"1437486206216982528","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1437489930955997184","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1242245050911715328":{"id":"1242245050911715328","date":"2020-03-24 00:21:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RyanSParker Recommend adding fatalities per capita as a lagging but lower-noise (due to variations in testing) indicator.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1242241947906895872","reply_id":"1242241947906895872","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RyanSParker","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1242245050911715328","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1633934278282350593":{"id":"1633934278282350593","date":"2023-03-09 20:54:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"21/ So let’s think about a malicious exchange. We know they exist right?\n\nWell if I’m a malicious exchange, I probably want to produce proofs but just exclude my liability to one customer, ideally a large one.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633934250620891136","reply_id":"1633934276856287233","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2095,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633934278282350593","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1495238161877716997":{"id":"1495238161877716997","date":"2022-02-20 03:25:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sagarjainmp I have my 4 opening words which collectively cover 19 letters. I always use the same ones.\n\nSometimes I short circuit the 3rd or 4th words if it feels better to just guess something. Necessary for really fast times because each wrong guess is a 3s penalty.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1495236303990169604","reply_id":"1495237748063498241","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sagarjainmp","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1495238161877716997","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1516417397405761538":{"id":"1516417397405761538","date":"2022-04-19 14:04:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MidwestHedgie @therobotjames https://datashop.cboe.com/mdr-quotes-trades-data\n\nIt ain't cheap. And that's just one exchange.\n\nYou'll also need equities data for hedging, borrow rate data, and historical info on the margin rates you would have gotten.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1516331323022983169","reply_id":"1516400244451336194","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MidwestHedgie","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1516417397405761538","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2024751714524405846":{"id":"2024751714524405846","date":"2026-02-20 07:43:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What about policing the degenerate sports betting masquerading as \"prediction\"?\n\nYou know, the stuff that drives >90% of your trading volumes and revenue?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2024751714524405846","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":75,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":2,"views":25444,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2024751714524405846","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1446641874735800324":{"id":"1446641874735800324","date":"2021-10-09 01:01:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames @MacroTactical Stats aren't a proxy for experience.\n\nStats are a way that experience gets expressed mathematically.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1446631835136499712","reply_id":"1446640497284497413","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":11,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1446641874735800324","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1654604511036710912":{"id":"1654604511036710912","date":"2023-05-05 21:50:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"NGL, it's pretty cool that OpenAI invented ChatGPT and LLMs and reinforcement learning and transformers and AI and ML and statistics and linear algebra and matrices 8 months ago.\n\nThey should have invented faster GPUs than they did tho, sucks having to wait for the words to type.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1654604511036710912","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":32,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4472,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1654604511036710912","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1459952024464748548":{"id":"1459952024464748548","date":"2021-11-14 18:31:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dendisuhubdy @bitwyre I'd never heard of perps before crypto. CFDs have existed forever, but they're more like daily futures. TradFi can't do settlement/payments fast enough for perps.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1459919112121978881","reply_id":"1459947569212059652","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dendisuhubdy","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1459952024464748548","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1454896801761218565":{"id":"1454896801761218565","date":"2021-10-31 19:43:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"9/ What about dogs that didn't bark? Why must it be sports?\n\nImagine a child-industrial-complex for business instead of sports.\n\nYour kids sign up for a \"team\", and the team has coaches, and instruction, and a very well put-together program to teach them how to start businesses.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1454896792802267140","reply_id":"1454896800641404932","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1454896801761218565","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1361405989946155008":{"id":"1361405989946155008","date":"2021-02-15 20:04:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Hence it's a great time to have capital available.\n\nConversely, if I'm a pension funds, selling that downside vol is probably mostly fine. Their time horizon is long enough that collecting a bit of carry while selling that insurance makes sense.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1361392596908580864","reply_id":"1361405755149049857","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1361405989946155008","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1436328617168932868":{"id":"1436328617168932868","date":"2021-09-10 14:00:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeItaone Saying the obvious:\n\nCompany with $30 in cash, $170 in other assets, $100 in liabilities. 100 shares.\nEach share is worth $1.\n\nCompany spends $30 cash to buy back 30 shares. Now it has $170 in assets, $100 in liabilities and 70 shares. Each share is worth... wait for it...\n\n$1.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1436299075406675969","reply_id":"1436299075406675969","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeItaone","likes":5,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1436328617168932868","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2036734036471681077":{"id":"2036734036471681077","date":"2026-03-25 09:16:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"All this sand going into making chips for AI.\n\nWe're going to run out of sand! Won't someone think of the beachgoers?\n\nAnd don't even get me started on all the tin the ASML EUV machines are vaporizing. What are all the dictators going to plate themselves with?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2036734036471681077","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":3463,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2036734036471681077","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1896125175772688581":{"id":"1896125175772688581","date":"2025-03-02 09:07:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Hoosiers (1986)\n\nHackman plays it mostly low-key, which give the important high-energy moments more intensity. You can't be at 10/10 all the time, otherwise the audience gets exhausted.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1896125163172966823","reply_id":"1896125172937277454","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":416,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1896125175772688581","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1434221095016534019":{"id":"1434221095016534019","date":"2021-09-04 18:25:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This. But Ocaml.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434221095016534019","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434221095016534019","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1739083686702977293":{"id":"1739083686702977293","date":"2023-12-25 00:40:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"We have an experimental drug and we're trying to figure out if it's better than the control in a trial.\"\n\nSpin up a Jupyter notebook and mess around with stuff.\n\n30mins later and he's got some intuitions that took me years to obtain.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1739081059533545501","reply_id":"1739081059533545501","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1794,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1739083686702977293","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1893271636536627451":{"id":"1893271636536627451","date":"2025-02-22 12:08:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ScottPh77711570 @trent4213 I'm not. And it's not false modesty. I'm totally comfortable with having met and worked with people who crush me on whatever \"trader skill\" metric you choose to use.\n\nI think I just enjoy talking/teaching/listening more than most of the people who are better at it than I am.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1893263466288328964","reply_id":"1893266896150999251","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ScottPh77711570","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":407,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1893271636536627451","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1451271209006497794":{"id":"1451271209006497794","date":"2021-10-21 19:36:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano There's also the ever-present meta-challenge:\n\n\"Is this one of those times where doing obvious dumb things is correct? Or incredibly bad?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1451237632910905349","reply_id":"1451268632185479168","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1451271209006497794","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1730596597049045374":{"id":"1730596597049045374","date":"2023-12-01 14:35:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@chrisalbon Still waiting on the compile to finish.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1730441186987708753","reply_id":"1730441186987708753","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"chrisalbon","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":428,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1730596597049045374","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1362418939783835650":{"id":"1362418939783835650","date":"2021-02-18 15:09:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VedRajkumar @darjohn25 @bennpeifert Like I said, I could be totally wrong and I could have missed some stuff.\n\nAnd also there are many ways to skin the cat! I'd be the last person to categorically state \"no that doesn't work\".\n\nIt's just my perspective and I'm always looking to learn new things.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1362252754589081602","reply_id":"1362418592369713153","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1362418939783835650","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1476302018331381762":{"id":"1476302018331381762","date":"2021-12-29 21:20:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@longskew @nope_its_lily Buying conversions is a synthetic way to borrow stock. You pay the MM to borrow stock (because they're getting short put, long call, and short stock).\n\nIf you want to bet that borrow rate will ⬆️ then that's the position to put on. But that's all it is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476262771004088323","reply_id":"1476289548581748740","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"longskew","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476302018331381762","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1536099767775703040":{"id":"1536099767775703040","date":"2022-06-12 21:34:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Why does Andy Murray sound like he's being vivisected while he plays tennis?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536099767775703040","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1536099767775703040","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1633131234502266880":{"id":"1633131234502266880","date":"2023-03-07 15:43:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AnodyneCode @experquisite @TCK_JRubano @KrisAbdelmessih Don't sleep on the game lessons, they're kinda fun to do with them (or yourself!). The laser mazes, ice rink, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632931055920615426","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":78,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633131234502266880","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2016846630230581561":{"id":"2016846630230581561","date":"2026-01-29 12:11:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"RT @AgustinLebron3: @marketmayking I've updated in the direction of humans being stochastic parrots more than I thought.\n\nI still believe our sample efficiency implies we do something more than that.\n\nBut as stated, I don't think a static dataset will get you there. You need interactivity. The space is too big.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2016846630230581561","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2016846609078775815","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2016846630230581561","type":"retweet","issues":[]},"2037864827599630432":{"id":"2037864827599630432","date":"2026-03-28 12:10:11","author":"pitching downrange","handle":"OwnerEmeritus","text":"RT @OwnerEmeritus: @PitchingNinja In hindsight, I’m glad we didn’t go straight to roboumps. Forcing them all through a season or two of ritual humiliation first was the move","hashtags":[],"conv":"2037864827599630432","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2037718786959171713","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":217,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/OwnerEmeritus/status/2037864827599630432"},"1717166756203208978":{"id":"1717166756203208978","date":"2023-10-25 13:10:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pranavvk I'll accept that. 🤣\n\nI have similar debates with my wife when (in her eyes) I take efficient markets thinking too far.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1717142257436958735","reply_id":"1717142257436958735","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pranavvk","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":48,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1717166756203208978","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1377761787467030529":{"id":"1377761787467030529","date":"2021-04-01 23:16:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BeingHorizontal Why does past price distribution == future probability distribution?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377754069238972417","reply_id":"1377754069238972417","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BeingHorizontal","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1377761787467030529","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1420499665607270403":{"id":"1420499665607270403","date":"2021-07-28 21:41:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ALBACapMgmt Lack of understanding causation can lead to bullshit correlation-based \"facts\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420485103449362434","reply_id":"1420485103449362434","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ALBACapMgmt","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420499665607270403","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1561759111036841984":{"id":"1561759111036841984","date":"2022-08-22 16:56:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 @quantian1 Fraction of readers who will fully get this tweet?\n\nEven lower.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1561741414635028481","reply_id":"1561757787952119809","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1561759111036841984","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1759452243785556212":{"id":"1759452243785556212","date":"2024-02-19 05:37:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"No *this* year was too much. They have to do something about the All-Star game.\n\n- Everyone every year since MJ retired.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1759452243785556212","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2214,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1759452243785556212","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2016394424968683576":{"id":"2016394424968683576","date":"2026-01-28 06:14:28","author":"Aaron Levie","handle":"levie","text":"RT @levie: Hard to know exactly how this nets out, but if I had to bet on AI simplifying the legal space or making it more complex, I’m going with the latter. \n\nWhen you drop the cost of anyone asking a legal question and generating increasingly more exotic and bespoke conditions, you will only increase the amount of human legal work downstream from that. \n\nThe ABA pegs active attorneys having gone from roughly 400,000 in 1975 to roughly 1,375,000 in 2025. In that time period we invented the PC, word processor, shared legal databases, and 50 other things that would have made law more efficient. But instead we have more lawyered precisely because of that efficiency. \n\nI suspect this will happen in more fields than we anticipate at the moment. Especially in healthcare, engineering, and many other highly demanded and high skilled areas of work as we create all new use-cases for the work.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2016394424968683576","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2016392874670338155","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":47,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/levie/status/2016394424968683576"},"1499773651553435656":{"id":"1499773651553435656","date":"2022-03-04 15:47:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ @Noahpinion conversation with @StatModeling was great. One conversation really resonated. It's about priors. A short thread 👉👉👉\n\nhttps://noahpinion.substack.com/p/interview-andrew-gelman-statistician?s=r","hashtags":[],"conv":"1499773651553435656","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":37,"retweets":8,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":26,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1499773651553435656","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1494010343458177024":{"id":"1494010343458177024","date":"2022-02-16 18:06:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @TwitterSupport Does converting to a bluecheck help this in any way?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494009532971900934","reply_id":"1494009532971900934","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494010343458177024","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1295544984884482048":{"id":"1295544984884482048","date":"2020-08-18 02:16:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Can someone please recommend an up-to-date book/blog/reliable source on the state of nuclear fusion?\n\nIdeally one that goes beyond the ITER-sucks/it's-fine argument, i.e. includes other efforts up to a reasonable waterline of sanity.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1295544984884482048","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":3,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1295544984884482048","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1757631514475729036":{"id":"1757631514475729036","date":"2024-02-14 05:03:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @TFallibilist Step 1: Incorporate a Mauritius entity, complete with paid on-shore directors.\n\nStep 2: Get Deutsche to take you as a PB client.\n\nStep 3: Profit.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1757408619199348824","reply_id":"1757497941374455844","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":12,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":1419,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1757631514475729036","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1456627270185934858":{"id":"1456627270185934858","date":"2021-11-05 14:19:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @TheSpeculator0 Short VIX: usually just an expensive way to be long SPX... until it's not.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1456625965061320707","reply_id":"1456626977658581004","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1456627270185934858","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1770641654766334184":{"id":"1770641654766334184","date":"2024-03-21 02:40:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Basically the same tweet.\n\nhttps://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1770094306583536035","hashtags":[],"conv":"1770640732900229175","reply_id":"1770641105866133576","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1087,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1770641654766334184","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1775826749449719887":{"id":"1775826749449719887","date":"2024-04-04 10:04:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This paragraph from Peter Muller over 20 years ago still lives rent-free in my head.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1775826749449719887","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":254,"retweets":14,"replies":12,"quotes":1,"views":35059,"bookmarks":110,"media":["1775826749449719887_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1775826749449719887","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1478430031944712193":{"id":"1478430031944712193","date":"2022-01-04 18:16:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @Pavel_Asparagus That water bill needs paying, I hear.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1478178752303611905","reply_id":"1478420464703664128","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1478430031944712193","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1884060828233613815":{"id":"1884060828233613815","date":"2025-01-28 02:08:00","author":"Jing Yu Koh","handle":"kohjingyu","text":"Adding \\vspace{-0.00352} beneath a figure caption so that 2 extra lines get moved up, section 3.5 flows onto the previous page, and the whole paper collapses into exactly 8 pages","hashtags":[],"conv":"1884060828233613815","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1884596964253184288","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3242,"retweets":162,"replies":38,"quotes":20,"views":122350,"bookmarks":258,"media":["1884060828233613815_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/kohjingyu/status/1884060828233613815"},"1549426639334805504":{"id":"1549426639334805504","date":"2022-07-19 16:11:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Fat-finger = runtime type error","hashtags":[],"conv":"1549426289475461124","reply_id":"1549426289475461124","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1549426639334805504","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1484550178665230336":{"id":"1484550178665230336","date":"2022-01-21 15:35:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Who'd have expected such a surprise?\n\nAdverse selection ain't just a river in Egypt.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1484550178665230336","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1484550178665230336","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1480929234445082631":{"id":"1480929234445082631","date":"2022-01-11 15:46:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It also explains why FTX, Crypto dot com, etc are spending *so* much money on random branding.\n\nThere's a land-grab in the US collective mind to become the default crypto on-ramp. Win that, and you just win.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1480927766879035405","reply_id":"1480927770637123585","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1480929234445082631","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2020542307955597763":{"id":"2020542307955597763","date":"2026-02-08 16:56:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Obviously that puts the lie to the U part of UBI. Since we're doing it, it sure would be nice to do it well instead of whatever this is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2020541820522954811","reply_id":"2020541820522954811","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2948,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2020542307955597763","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1794403737353715846":{"id":"1794403737353715846","date":"2024-05-25 16:22:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JeflonZuckgates That's definitely a component of it I'm sure.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1794000192959828206","reply_id":"1794402579851759693","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JeflonZuckgates","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":533,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1794403737353715846","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1294118654385074176":{"id":"1294118654385074176","date":"2020-08-14 03:48:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @DavidTaggart Perhaps. The uncharitable part of me thinks his audience is receptive to ass-busting-work porn. The same way that fitness youtubers have millions of subscribers but only a tiny fraction of those subscribers (probably) actually work out.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1294033718210752514","reply_id":"1294117351240081408","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1294118654385074176","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1471155689636515841":{"id":"1471155689636515841","date":"2021-12-15 16:30:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5/ So whenever we say things, let’s ask ourselves:\n\n“Am I making a factual, predictive or normative statement?”\n\nAnd in particular, let’s communicate clearly which one it is! Even just asking myself this question helps unmuddle my thinking a lot of the time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471155685547118594","reply_id":"1471155688663486468","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":14,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471155689636515841","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1387970838817755136":{"id":"1387970838817755136","date":"2021-04-30 03:23:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein @jkregenstein @GestaltU @alphaarchitect @daniel_egan Can you explain how ARCH helps here?\n\nIf he's trying to calc corrs of returns, they're basically martingales.\n\nIMO the only unbiased answer is snapshotting both when they're both open.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1387861810599059459","reply_id":"1387927124175200256","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1387970838817755136","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1477205888498757639":{"id":"1477205888498757639","date":"2022-01-01 09:11:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @darjohn25 Same here. I get really very little grief.\nSame explanation as the robot.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477200369084243969","reply_id":"1477202640551378946","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477205888498757639","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1905627982724554921":{"id":"1905627982724554921","date":"2025-03-28 14:28:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What's the average human score on ARC-AGI-2?\n\nCan't be very high. Even conditioning on being willing to sit and do it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1905627982724554921","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2065,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1905627982724554921","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1765955824676147294":{"id":"1765955824676147294","date":"2024-03-08 04:20:53","author":"near","handle":"nearcyan","text":"its actually over literally no one hires junior devs anymore","hashtags":[],"conv":"1765955824676147294","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1766206382955475196","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2435,"retweets":71,"replies":81,"quotes":40,"views":690963,"bookmarks":434,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/nearcyan/status/1765955824676147294"},"2023343353384018388":{"id":"2023343353384018388","date":"2026-02-16 10:27:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Can we all just please stop paying attention to the convict tweeting from prison, at least until he emerges from there?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2023343353384018388","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":74,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":5668,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2023343353384018388","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1745150682116862405":{"id":"1745150682116862405","date":"2024-01-10 18:28:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames","hashtags":[],"conv":"1745149687144067134","reply_id":"1745149687144067134","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":490,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1745150682116862405_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1745150682116862405","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1341102948072390656":{"id":"1341102948072390656","date":"2020-12-21 19:27:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert >95% of good trading is just showing up, day after day, not making mistakes and being ready to trade with people who do.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1341102695927595008","reply_id":"1341102695927595008","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":35,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1341102948072390656","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1375119223693864961":{"id":"1375119223693864961","date":"2021-03-25 16:15:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ Musings about variance in trading, in sports, and in life. \n\nA thread.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1375119223693864961","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":207,"retweets":57,"replies":6,"quotes":9,"views":0,"bookmarks":109,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1375119223693864961","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1378485431382069249":{"id":"1378485431382069249","date":"2021-04-03 23:11:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Ted Chiang = genius.\n\nhttps://www.nytimes.com/2021/03/30/podcasts/ezra-klein-podcast-ted-chiang-transcript.html\n\nParaphrasing:\n- Superheroes seem to always fight to keep the status quo.\n- This makes sequels easy, since at the end of the movie you're right back where you started.\n- Overturning the status quo would mean a very different sequel.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1378485431382069249","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1378485431382069249","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1443637838784827397":{"id":"1443637838784827397","date":"2021-09-30 18:04:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TreatDevourer @bennpeifert That's a university club. That's not what playing poker means.\n\nFor example, I hired a Cambridge math grad who successfully played nosebleed HU against Antonius et al. That's playing poker.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443615710878470144","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1443637838784827397","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1372383298970734592":{"id":"1372383298970734592","date":"2021-03-18 03:04:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Day 1 of my Continuous Glucose Monitoring with Abbott Libre Sense.\n\n- @supersapiensinc customer support 👍\n- Looking at data for only~2hrs and I'm convinced this is the future. In 10yrs CGM is going to be like HRM is today: included in consumer electronics.\n- I got work to do! 😳","hashtags":[],"conv":"1372383298970734592","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1372383298970734592","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1521306682256551936":{"id":"1521306682256551936","date":"2022-05-03 01:52:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@skyquake_1 If so it's weird to advertise \"we provide liquidity in a very capital-inefficient way\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1521298366662991872","reply_id":"1521302691766362112","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"skyquake_1","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1521306682256551936","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1355540263381286920":{"id":"1355540263381286920","date":"2021-01-30 15:35:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ThatIllusiveMan @jsoloff @AnodyneCode @choffstein @JSeyff @matt_levine Would those institutionals do it? I doubt they would unless they could definitely sell it out in the open market immediately.\n\nWhich is generally something they're restricted from doing in these private placements.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1355199970115203078","reply_id":"1355523771457802244","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ThatIllusiveMan","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1355540263381286920","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1494150513713049602":{"id":"1494150513713049602","date":"2022-02-17 03:23:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Suhail I'm about the same.\n\nDo you look back at how good you *thought* you were at interviewing with a couple of hundred under your belt?\n\nI do and shudder. 😱","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494150182392385536","reply_id":"1494150182392385536","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Suhail","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494150513713049602","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1980397031542989305":{"id":"1980397031542989305","date":"2025-10-20 22:13:40","author":"Andrej Karpathy","handle":"karpathy","text":"I quite like the new DeepSeek-OCR paper. It's a good OCR model (maybe a bit worse than dots), and yes data collection etc., but anyway it doesn't matter.\n\nThe more interesting part for me (esp as a computer vision at heart who is temporarily masquerading as a natural language person) is whether pixels are better inputs to LLMs than text. Whether text tokens are wasteful and just terrible, at the input.\n\nMaybe it makes more sense that all inputs to LLMs should only ever be images. Even if you happen to have pure text input, maybe you'd prefer to render it and then feed that in:\n- more information compression (see paper) => shorter context windows, more efficiency\n- significantly more general information stream => not just text, but e.g. bold text, colored text, arbitrary images. \n- input can now be processed with bidirectional attention easily and as default, not autoregressive attention - a lot more powerful.\n- delete the tokenizer (at the input)!! I already ranted about how much I dislike the tokenizer. Tokenizers are ugly, separate, not end-to-end stage. It \"imports\" all the ugliness of Unicode, byte encodings, it inherits a lot of historical baggage, security/jailbreak risk (e.g. continuation bytes). It makes two characters that look identical to the eye look as two completely different tokens internally in the network. A smiling emoji looks like a weird token, not an... actual smiling face, pixels and all, and all the transfer learning that brings along. The tokenizer must go.\n\nOCR is just one of many useful vision -> text tasks. And text -> text tasks can be made to be vision ->text tasks. Not vice versa.\n\nSo many the User message is images, but the decoder (the Assistant response) remains  text. It's a lot less obvious how to output pixels realistically... or if you'd want to.\n\nNow I have to also fight the urge to side quest an image-input-only version of nanochat...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1980397031542989305","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1980585130508058983","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13237,"retweets":1553,"replies":557,"quotes":392,"views":3332733,"bookmarks":6733,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/karpathy/status/1980397031542989305"},"1868304595669467160":{"id":"1868304595669467160","date":"2024-12-15 14:38:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @1lot_fader Untold trillions of derivatives notional have been sold with that magic \"zero\" label...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1868300214882451596","reply_id":"1868302219122278411","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2372,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1868304595669467160","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1733893337395159476":{"id":"1733893337395159476","date":"2023-12-10 16:56:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@godcomplex96 @OnlyDeFiGuy 🙏🙏🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1733856066104901943","reply_id":"1733888820741841222","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"godcomplex96","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":231,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1733893337395159476","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1783281984820969698":{"id":"1783281984820969698","date":"2024-04-24 23:48:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bubbleboi Seems unlikely. You're hooked on this.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1783278517003649330","reply_id":"1783278517003649330","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bubbleboi","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":50,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1783281984820969698","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1697289298226327804":{"id":"1697289298226327804","date":"2023-08-31 16:44:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@chriseberly Yeah, but I have PTSD about that one.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1697285917680210343","reply_id":"1697289071163261441","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"chriseberly","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":164,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1697289298226327804","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2047610559122587996":{"id":"2047610559122587996","date":"2026-04-24 09:36:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So if it stays the same, is it a 100% increase?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2047610559122587996","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":74,"retweets":0,"replies":11,"quotes":0,"views":10800,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2047610559122587996","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1666800434038620162":{"id":"1666800434038620162","date":"2023-06-08 13:32:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4/ The powers that be thought the standard solution (CCFL) was the right idea, but I really liked electroluminescent (EL) backlights. So I ordered lots and lots of samples.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1666800429236207621","reply_id":"1666800432662953985","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":814,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1666800434038620162","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1782779022612787567":{"id":"1782779022612787567","date":"2024-04-23 14:30:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alz_zyd_ Or this one. Yes you can bash away if you want.\nBut then they give you a little hint.\n\nSuch beauty for \"math homework\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1782767963377922348","reply_id":"1782778385581985879","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":2,"views":6312,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1782779022612787567_1.jpg","1782779022612787567_2.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1782779022612787567","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1842857744866394377":{"id":"1842857744866394377","date":"2024-10-06 09:21:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Also:\n- The fact you need to push --force (i.e. rewrite history) for so many totally normal actions.\n- Branches that have been merged still hang around on local by default. You have to delete them manually.\n\nThe world has Stockholm Syndrome about git. It sucks and one cares.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1842857744866394377","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":45,"retweets":2,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":12919,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1842857744866394377","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1933435938048446751":{"id":"1933435938048446751","date":"2025-06-13 08:07:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"For us, #1 is probably not going to be a huge driver. Given how modern tools act as force multiplers, you can do with 40 people what you used to be able to do with 200.\n\n#2, eventually.\n\n#3, possibly.\n\n#4, who knows?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1933435935762624800","reply_id":"1933435935762624800","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2582,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1933435938048446751","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1121821042115112961":{"id":"1121821042115112961","date":"2019-04-26 16:59:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Have the crypto-enthusiasts who love smart contracts ever done code review? It's hard! Is everyone supposed to closely examine every line of smart contract code for bugs and gotchas? Ugh. Trust is a fundamental feature of financial markets. #crypto #smartcontracts #lawsoftrading","hashtags":["crypto","smartcontracts","lawsoftrading"],"conv":"1121821042115112961","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1121821042115112961","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1947372674595840471":{"id":"1947372674595840471","date":"2025-07-21 19:06:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KopfMichal They can make much bigger messes too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1947346097262719018","reply_id":"1947346097262719018","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KopfMichal","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":89,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1947372674595840471","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1493388655519432705":{"id":"1493388655519432705","date":"2022-02-15 00:56:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Note, for those of you who don't know their IQ: your un-recentered SAT score has a 0.86 correlation to IQ.\n\n1160 SAT =~ 120 IQ.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493387393142976512","reply_id":"1493387393142976512","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493388655519432705","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1718030006851719249":{"id":"1718030006851719249","date":"2023-10-27 22:20:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Because there are so many cheap, obvious and effective hedges for tens of billions of dollars of shitcoins.\n\nThat (checks notes) were CALLED SAMCOINS you created!\n\nThis is so incredibly dishonest.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1718030006851719249","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1948,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1718030006851719249","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1511808444642181123":{"id":"1511808444642181123","date":"2022-04-06 20:49:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Alpha leak of the week:\n\nThe best way to make a strategy more profitable is to decrease costs. It's free alpha with ZERO volatility.\n\nExecution costs, funding costs, tech, etc.\n\nIf you're profitable, half your time should be spent asking \"How can I do this more cheaply?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1511808444642181123","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":299,"retweets":30,"replies":14,"quotes":7,"views":0,"bookmarks":68,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1511808444642181123","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1935084514021367967":{"id":"1935084514021367967","date":"2025-06-17 21:17:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TraderZen4269 @Jadam2122 The latter. He was definitely an above average intern, at least since he got an offer. Possibly even better than the average offeree.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1934563284453036526","reply_id":"1935031721629729129","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TraderZen4269","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":399,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1935084514021367967","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1440502715042316295":{"id":"1440502715042316295","date":"2021-09-22 02:26:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@saanglee @therobotjames I got plenty of size at that 95 bid.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1440498162997743618","reply_id":"1440500321940164614","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"saanglee","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1440502715042316295","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1788347360948756582":{"id":"1788347360948756582","date":"2024-05-08 23:16:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788347360948756582","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":5558,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788347360948756582","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1482778211742191617":{"id":"1482778211742191617","date":"2022-01-16 18:14:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@anon_quant I'd argue it's part of the broader ecosystem. Different participants operate at different timescales from HRT all the way to uncle Warren.\n\nYes there's a deadweight loss associated with all the speed races but it's relatively small given the total size of the market.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482748235496058880","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482778211742191617","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1573183826167320577":{"id":"1573183826167320577","date":"2022-09-23 05:33:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 I don't always trade single stocks in my PA.\nBut when I do, I always use a degen retail broker.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1573176994862628869","reply_id":"1573180499803373569","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1573183826167320577_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1573183826167320577","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1399885513050378241":{"id":"1399885513050378241","date":"2021-06-02 00:28:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@famadeo This was the aspirational calculus text in my university.\n\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Calculus-4th-Michael-Spivak/dp/0914098918","hashtags":[],"conv":"1399852531904299008","reply_id":"1399852531904299008","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"famadeo","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1399885513050378241","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1188206722034196480":{"id":"1188206722034196480","date":"2019-10-26 21:32:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lpolovets @balajis Either people who Tweet this (and there are a *lot* of them) (a) don't see the diff between the US gov't and a cab company, or (b) they choose to ignore the obvious differences.\n\nEither way, sad that ratio'ing is the best recourse available.\n\nVCs have better options of course.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1188183075521302529","reply_id":"1188183075521302529","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"lpolovets","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1188206722034196480","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1463967170145054721":{"id":"1463967170145054721","date":"2021-11-25 20:25:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RabbiJacob16 I agree, the idea of taking a \"leadership\" degree at a traditional 4-year college is bad.\n\nAnd yes, learning by doing is huge. But that's also true of almost anything including math, CS, writing, etc. Doesn't prevent those things from being taught (often badly) in college.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1463963849342677035","reply_id":"1463966510767038465","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RabbiJacob16","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1463967170145054721","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1219378033317933056":{"id":"1219378033317933056","date":"2020-01-20 21:55:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vixologist @choffstein @SinclairEuan I've seen pieces of it. It's going to be great.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1219319939078574082","reply_id":"1219370406244757505","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vixologist","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1219378033317933056","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1905911085086953587":{"id":"1905911085086953587","date":"2025-03-29 09:13:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dwarkesh_sp Yes but 4 hours long?!?! Who has the time?!?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1905683526781227133","reply_id":"1905683526781227133","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dwarkesh_sp","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":325,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1905911085086953587","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1346863607271755778":{"id":"1346863607271755778","date":"2021-01-06 16:58:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"40/ Well, remember those fiddly bits at the end of the equation C - P = Stock_px - strike_px + (stuff I'm ignoring)?\n\nThe stuff I ignored (a) matters, and (b) is so much harder to get right than you can possibly imagine.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346863605812064256","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346863607271755778","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1227644461259223040":{"id":"1227644461259223040","date":"2020-02-12 17:23:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm Not to mention your BBG IB chats.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1227643793375019009","reply_id":"1227643793375019009","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1227644461259223040","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2042936589664333936":{"id":"2042936589664333936","date":"2026-04-11 12:03:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Vibecoded agent harnesses cheat to get higher up on leaderboards?\n\nSurely not!","hashtags":[],"conv":"2042936589664333936","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":5485,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2042936589664333936","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1907064735427707089":{"id":"1907064735427707089","date":"2025-04-01 13:37:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"AIME 80% -> USAMO 2%: perfectly normal for an entity that supposedly reasons.\n\nNothing to see here. Move along. AI Von Neumann shortly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1907064735427707089","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":67,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":7009,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1907064735427707089","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1959183295167549771":{"id":"1959183295167549771","date":"2025-08-23 09:17:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Feel free to quote this at me if you ever think it applies.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1959183116569923645","reply_id":"1959183116569923645","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1916,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1959183295167549771","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1479993189817733122":{"id":"1479993189817733122","date":"2022-01-09 01:47:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vgr I interpret him as saying that the reason the to-do list won't get done is because the incentive structure is lined up against it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1479992775416315904","reply_id":"1479992775416315904","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vgr","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1479993189817733122","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1471583017856475139":{"id":"1471583017856475139","date":"2021-12-16 20:48:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@abiylfoyp I'd love to see 1976 Carta come up with \"Apple is going to be worth 2.9T (i.e. almost double at-the-time US GDP) in 45 years\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471520950646558722","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471583017856475139","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1413871132030029828":{"id":"1413871132030029828","date":"2021-07-10 14:42:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cryptoknight931 I'm old enough to remember when it *was* touted as an Excel competitor.\n\n\"Sure, it doesn't have much functionality now, but wait! It'll just get better and better.\"\n\nIt got worse.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1413867603525701633","reply_id":"1413869016267902976","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"cryptoknight931","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1413871132030029828","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1539249446449455110":{"id":"1539249446449455110","date":"2022-06-21 14:10:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"8/\n\nC. There were a lot of social constraints. Retiring at 40 just wasn’t DONE so you didn’t do it. This sounds quaint today I know.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1539249425956093952","reply_id":"1539249441659621379","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1539249446449455110_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1539249446449455110","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2005635599391404461":{"id":"2005635599391404461","date":"2025-12-29 13:42:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Same question for LSTMs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2005635596375691756","reply_id":"2005635596375691756","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2575,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2005635599391404461","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1523839248461299713":{"id":"1523839248461299713","date":"2022-05-10 01:36:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_Dave__White_ 🥱","hashtags":[],"conv":"1523829617877868544","reply_id":"1523829617877868544","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_Dave__White_","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1523839248461299713","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2033998164315742368":{"id":"2033998164315742368","date":"2026-03-17 20:05:26","author":"Coddled Affluent Professional","handle":"feelsdesperate","text":"RT @feelsdesperate: The main purpose of people like ‘Noah Smith’ and ‘Matt Yglesias’ is to let you when there’s no longer any reputational cost for saying something.\n\nThey’ll hold their tongue and sit on their hands until the precise moment there’s no longer any social penalty for not doing so.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2033998164315742368","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2033569699204649005","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":172,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/feelsdesperate/status/2033998164315742368"},"1532446450101018624":{"id":"1532446450101018624","date":"2022-06-02 19:37:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JaySinh130 @theemilyaccount puts() with optional argument now:true","hashtags":[],"conv":"1532440735441731591","reply_id":"1532440934453067806","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"temfr13","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1532446450101018624","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1666630843530452994":{"id":"1666630843530452994","date":"2023-06-08 02:18:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano @Bonecondor ✅","hashtags":[],"conv":"1666616874199658496","reply_id":"1666618906927157255","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":280,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1666630843530452994","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1564758323160682496":{"id":"1564758323160682496","date":"2022-08-30 23:33:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein And that Nadal has forgotten more about top-level tennis than Hijikata will ever know.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1564757861552586752","reply_id":"1564757861552586752","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1564758323160682496","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1770305753288757530":{"id":"1770305753288757530","date":"2024-03-20 04:25:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Miraje_g @JayaBajpai17 Atoms. Focus on atoms. Forget bits.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1770296180175708532","reply_id":"1770305286294708252","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Miraje_g","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":54,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1770305753288757530","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1378715407117283332":{"id":"1378715407117283332","date":"2021-04-04 14:25:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@2_7182818285 @kairosdojo If you're not fast, you'll never be at the front of the queue *except* when it's bad to be there.\n\nSo you need to place orders, let them slowly bubble to the top of the queue, and be fast enough to cancel if they become bad.\n\nThis matters for MMs. Others shouldn't care at all.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1378060878768185349","reply_id":"1378714844904366082","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1378715407117283332","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1265311537901625346":{"id":"1265311537901625346","date":"2020-05-26 15:59:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Frank_ThomasIV @Foulke_David @choffstein You're absolutely right that relying on historical data exclusively is a recipe for disaster.\n\nBut valuing historical data at *zero* is IMHO just as big a mistake.\n\nHedgehog vs fox, right? :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1265287336729944064","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1265311537901625346","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1479475867961073664":{"id":"1479475867961073664","date":"2022-01-07 15:31:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NihilistTrader Bought stock.\n\nIt _is_ a zero-strike call with no expiration date.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1479460993960972293","reply_id":"1479460993960972293","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"NihilistTrader","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1479475867961073664","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1551747139851587584":{"id":"1551747139851587584","date":"2022-07-26 01:52:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Brett_FTX FWIW I think the best counterargument is that UI code is (a) a ridiculously large fraction of the codebase and (b) mind-numbingly boring to write.\n\nTrading companies skimp on sexy graphical UIs because they can.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1551625190987051009","reply_id":"1551625209978884096","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BrettHarrison","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1551747139851587584","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2012075369516429589":{"id":"2012075369516429589","date":"2026-01-16 08:12:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Just renewed my annual public transportation pass in Prague for less than a monthly Zone 1-2 travelcard cost in London 10 years ago. Let alone today.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2012075369516429589","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":36,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":5252,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2012075369516429589","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1926961143681048690":{"id":"1926961143681048690","date":"2025-05-26 11:18:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@renegadesilicon @DSPyOSS On it!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1926952706276561016","reply_id":"1926954427878879363","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"renegadesilicon","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":351,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1926961143681048690","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1263999674127577088":{"id":"1263999674127577088","date":"2020-05-23 01:06:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert That's gotta be on the bucket list somewhere.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1263985577143046144","reply_id":"1263985577143046144","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1263999674127577088","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1507113741464211456":{"id":"1507113741464211456","date":"2022-03-24 21:54:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ed_(text_editor)\n\nvi is too easy-to-use for my liking.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507097133584949254","reply_id":"1507097133584949254","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507113741464211456","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1712650315655430427":{"id":"1712650315655430427","date":"2023-10-13 02:03:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@buildboost That wonderful little \"wow, that actually worked\" feeling doesn't go away, does it?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1712523385778090263","reply_id":"1712523385778090263","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BuildBoost","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":30,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1712650315655430427","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1973835302801183057":{"id":"1973835302801183057","date":"2025-10-02 19:39:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@artmarkham @KingofBears7 @DeepDishEnjoyer I agree w/ the last sentence, but it's incredibly naive to think it's not a meaningful component.\n\nIn the words of Omar: \"Time and place, I suppose.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1973690359378231362","reply_id":"1973808839976747318","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"artmarkham","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":404,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1973835302801183057","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1601709793722322944":{"id":"1601709793722322944","date":"2022-12-10 22:45:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AnthonyLeeZhang @mBTCPiz I used to think this but not anymore. Seen too many efforts at prosumer tech of this kind in golf, which should be the ideal market given demographics.\n\nTurns out, almost no one wants to put in the effort required to *actually* improve.\n\nOnly real mkts are pros and crazy parents.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1601613111903285249","reply_id":"1601617618229596160","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alz_zyd_","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1601709793722322944","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1969477787028267105":{"id":"1969477787028267105","date":"2025-09-20 19:04:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbacarella I don't think so. For one thing that's probably too low.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1969355808530993264","reply_id":"1969476198360367152","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbacarella","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":309,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1969477787028267105","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1571676686231699456":{"id":"1571676686231699456","date":"2022-09-19 01:44:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"👇","hashtags":[],"conv":"1571676686231699456","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1571676686231699456","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1506045265890856963":{"id":"1506045265890856963","date":"2022-03-21 23:09:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"39/ There's a lot more in this movie. Little throwaway scenes I couldn't find.\n\nLemme know. What did I miss? What else is important?\n\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1506045264510926850","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1506045265890856963","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1613957073653600256":{"id":"1613957073653600256","date":"2023-01-13 17:52:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Let's say that front-end dev is like being a machinist.\nIt's blue-collar work.\n\nWhat's the front-end dev equivalent of a tool-and-die maker? Basically a higher-end version of the same skillset?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1613957073653600256","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":3848,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1613957073653600256","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1430264375382736896":{"id":"1430264375382736896","date":"2021-08-24 20:22:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @kylascan https://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1405184150139674624","hashtags":[],"conv":"1430229026937794568","reply_id":"1430263118068731904","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1430264375382736896","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1599848173765545984":{"id":"1599848173765545984","date":"2022-12-05 19:28:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Repeat after me:\n\nTo the best of my knowledge, for one reason or another, and this is me reconstructing things post-hoc, I didn't pay attention to the details as well as I should have.\n\nAnd I'm deeply deeply sorry for that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1599848173765545984","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":61,"retweets":5,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1599848173765545984","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1416537897495236611":{"id":"1416537897495236611","date":"2021-07-17 23:18:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @KrisAbdelmessih ☝️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1416535386390736897","reply_id":"1416536848504168449","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1416537897495236611","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2082786931419812338":{"id":"2082786931419812338","date":"2026-07-30 11:14:35","author":"Andrew Ho","handle":"andrewho03","text":"I'm actually fairly bearish on frontier lab valuations. I've never seen the reasons articulated to my satisfaction, so before I go to sleep, I wanted to quickly jot down my thinking here.\n\nThe basic issue is that the labs are highly unprofitable. This may seem like a simple point, but private market valuations can be relatively irrational; however, like with $SPCX, post-IPO pricing will likely be much more punishing, especially as the standard 6-month lockup period expires and selling pressure intensifies.\n\nMany people claim that the labs have high margins. Yet even with high margins, a valuation of $1T would be justified only if the labs were doing nothing aside from serving inference (thus reducing costs only to those relevant to inference) and posting annual revenue numbers in the $100-200 billion range assuming ~80% gross margin and a 20x earnings multiple.\n\nThis assumption is obviously not true, because the frontier labs have to continually spend money training the next generation of models. This is because of market competition from runner-up firms. For example, if OpenAI had paused model development last year, there would no longer be any point in paying GPT-5 API prices when you can just use Qwen or Kimi instead for much cheaper. Thus, the labs are forced to invest ever-increasing amounts of money in model training, in a way such that at any given point of time, the amount you're forced to invest in the next model is dramatically higher than the amount of money you're actually making, because even if your revenue goes up with higher model capabilities, so do your future training costs. This is a profoundly punishing dynamic which severely penalizes frontrunners.\n\n(There is also a related subpoint where frontier labs claim they can distill their leading models to win out at lower intelligence levels as well. This makes no sense because the revenue numbers involved are far too low when taking into consideration the rather low margin of such inference.)\n\nFrontier lab valuations appear largely to be based on the assumption that as you scale up, the capabilities which emerge will be sufficiently general and profound that we'll see explosive growth (https://epoch.ai/publications/explosive-growth-from-ai-a-review-of-the-arguments) from things akin to AI agents starting and autonomously managing entire companies of subagents. But it's not clear to me that this is the case; indeed, as I mentioned in my previous post (https://x.com/andrewho03/status/2082615798011744270), I believe that capabilities growth will be slower, spikier, and more data-limited than people currently assume. It may be the case that eventually we will see explosive growth of this nature with full automation of the economy, but at the very least my viewpoint implies much longer (multi-decade) timelines until we reach this point. It is not clear to me that the frontier labs will be able to operate unprofitably for so long, although I suppose maybe this foreshadows some sort of inevitable nationalization.\n\nI also want to make a broader point about technological diffusion. The reason why technological diffusion is slow isn't just because, e.g., old people take a long time to learn how to use technology (although this is of course a contributing factor to some degree). In my view, it's because when a new, revolutionary technology comes along, the ways to incorporate that technology into subsequent developments are not always obvious, and in fact they cannot necessarily be arrived at through the application of pure reason. If they could be, then perhaps frontier models, at a certain point, would have a perfect understanding of how the LLM application layer should be developed, and they would then autonomously code, deploy, and sell such a layer.\n\nBut it seems more plausible to me that this diffusion is limited moreso by the hard problem of economic calculation--that is to say, the Hayekian notion through which the price system gradually promotes efficient allocation of resources and which cannot be simulated through central planning--and that even if we froze current capability levels at today's levels, it would take well over two decades to fully integrate in LLMs into our lives. Such a view is consequently rather bearish for the continued profitability of labs as it reduces their prospects for finding, say, something else comparable in profitability to coding agents, which seems to have been a somewhat lucky discovery by Anthropic to begin with. That is to say, even if you spam FDEs you aren't necessarily going to be able to just figure out the \"correct\" product shapes fast enough.\n\nOverall, I don't think that people have clearly reasoned through their mental models for why lab equity should be worth as much as it currently is, and that if you actually bother to write down such a model, you may not arrive at the conclusion that you want to arrive at. This isn't to say that I don't expect AI to experience a huge (industry-wide) boom in the coming decades, but just that I'm not entirely sure I would buy OpenAI or Anthropic stock at latest valuations if I were given the opportunity to do so.\n\nOf course, as an ex-lab employee, arguably this is talking against my own book; I should really be giving people more reasons to be bullish. But in the end, my influence is so small that it doesn't make a difference, so why not have some fun?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2082786931419812338","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2082828055198761353","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3048,"retweets":293,"replies":206,"quotes":142,"views":1407880,"bookmarks":3143,"media":["2082786931419812338_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/andrewho03/status/2082786931419812338"},"1222324661951688704":{"id":"1222324661951688704","date":"2020-01-29 01:04:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Challenge to @Barton_options @ReformedTrader @petergarnry @SinclairEuan or anyone else:\n\nFind a preprint or paper claiming to do RL that passes these tests.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1222324658617192448","reply_id":"1222324661154766848","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1222324661951688704","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1477439175267794944":{"id":"1477439175267794944","date":"2022-01-02 00:38:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@longNDXshortRTY @dampedspring @Michigandolf @SqueezeMetrics Dude you need to learn to read better.\n\nI never said \"making a prediction on market direction\" = grifting.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477320189653893121","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477439175267794944","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1523662469100568578":{"id":"1523662469100568578","date":"2022-05-09 13:53:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@using_namejase Serious answer:\n\nBecause they have to publish SOMETHING.\nAnd because they have to graduate SOMEONE.\n\nThe machine grinds on...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1523657354545602560","reply_id":"1523657354545602560","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sindar_hft","likes":18,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1523662469100568578","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1544450240182226944":{"id":"1544450240182226944","date":"2022-07-05 22:36:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @be20684347 @therobotjames @brrrzooka 🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1544425285268844544","reply_id":"1544450026755211267","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1544450240182226944","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1542666975129657344":{"id":"1542666975129657344","date":"2022-07-01 00:30:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@danrobinson If anyone is interested in learning how settlement actually works, this is the bible:\n\nhttps://www.amazon.com/After-Trade-Made-Revised-Ed-ebook/dp/B001MSMV5G","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542632104088834050","reply_id":"1542632104088834050","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"danrobinson","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1542666975129657344","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1942138289349136714":{"id":"1942138289349136714","date":"2025-07-07 08:27:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"6/ I took that to heart, and during my whole time at Jane Street, I never saw ANYTHING that would make me question the truth in action behind those words.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942138287172227159","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":143,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":29025,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942138289349136714","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1419067001994055681":{"id":"1419067001994055681","date":"2021-07-24 22:48:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Also true of:\n\nAlmost anything worth doing. Parenting. Golf.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1419065414768676869","reply_id":"1419065414768676869","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1419067001994055681","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1722095145708069307":{"id":"1722095145708069307","date":"2023-11-08 03:34:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AdjectiveAlli @mbacarella Legacy systems.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1721921407573963086","reply_id":"1722085530081337738","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"allisonology","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":68,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1722095145708069307","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1481126679837691905":{"id":"1481126679837691905","date":"2022-01-12 04:51:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug @experquisite @KrisAbdelmessih @jgreco @keepwalkingfast OlympusDAO better hurry. At this rate...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1480887342265163776","reply_id":"1481125073436217344","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1481126679837691905","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1540549304275718144":{"id":"1540549304275718144","date":"2022-06-25 04:15:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DavidTaggart Paging @antoniogm ...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1540547462074511360","reply_id":"1540549019742588928","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DavidTaggart","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1540549304275718144","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1631035436830445569":{"id":"1631035436830445569","date":"2023-03-01 20:55:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Stanley won the DARPA Grand Challenge 18 years ago.\n:\nI still can't buy a self-driving car.\n::\nChatGPT can do my kids homework and Copilot can help me write code.\n:\nI'm betting against \"AGI in 18 years\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1631035436830445569","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":7475,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1631035436830445569","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1974698173345259992":{"id":"1974698173345259992","date":"2025-10-05 04:48:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What question would like to ask your *younger* self?\n\nForget seeing the future, let's start by seeing the past better.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1974698173345259992","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":40,"retweets":3,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":7058,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1974698173345259992","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1717739469103681936":{"id":"1717739469103681936","date":"2023-10-27 03:06:18","author":"James Pethokoukis ⏩️⤴️","handle":"JimPethokoukis","text":"- Are you a techno-optimist?\n- Do you think a better world is possible?\n- Can we create a future worth living in?\n- Do you think markets provide the best way to organize an advanced technological economy?\n\nIf \"yes,\" buy my new book: https://www.amazon.com/Conservative-Futurist-Create-Sci-Fi-Promised/dp/1546005544?nodl=1&dplnkId=b7d0e27d-50a3-4081-9d68-8fec38807208","hashtags":[],"conv":"1717739469103681936","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1744038071572815925","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":144,"retweets":21,"replies":14,"quotes":9,"views":110599,"bookmarks":40,"media":["1717739469103681936_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/JimPethokoukis/status/1717739469103681936"},"1310588071809708032":{"id":"1310588071809708032","date":"2020-09-28 14:32:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Company interview processes systematically overvalue concrete skills because they're the easiest to test for.\n\nIt's just looking for your keys near the lamppost.\n\nThe solution is to build an interview process that works like a floodlight.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1310588071809708032","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1310588071809708032","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1447362354518245380":{"id":"1447362354518245380","date":"2021-10-11 00:44:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily So here's a simple model. There is a (unmeasurable) \"world\" noise source.\n\nMajor indices are world noise + some idiosyncratic vol.\n\nWorld's vol is regime-y/autocorrelated. In periods of low world vol, index rets are low corr.\n\nWhen world vol is high, idx ret corrs ⬆️.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1447361316004323329","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1447362354518245380","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1887767403959877896":{"id":"1887767403959877896","date":"2025-02-07 07:36:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Some commentators have been public frauds for so long, about so many things, that they've crossed the public-fraud event horizon.\n\nThey're outside the light cone of any future accusation, proof, civil or criminal conviction.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1887767403959877896","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1897557612775837846","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":5065,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1887767403959877896","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1679142991540387840":{"id":"1679142991540387840","date":"2023-07-12 14:57:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So The Retirement Plan is just a ripoff of Nobody then?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1679142991540387840","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1852,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1679142991540387840","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1277247411107201024":{"id":"1277247411107201024","date":"2020-06-28 14:28:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein @bennpeifert @squirrel_blind In ch8 of my book I talk about a few fun events I've seen.\n\nFor example when the SNB de-pegged the CHF. Jan15/2015 it moved 17%, which was a ~500 stdev move compared to historical vol.\n\nLots of people got carted out.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1269794157918171136","reply_id":"1277240097616863232","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1277247411107201024","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1539249481165725696":{"id":"1539249481165725696","date":"2022-06-21 14:10:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"19/ We then leave home trying to build our own life in society.\n\nOur vision expands: friends, co-workers, and the effort to make an impact.\n\nYes partly for ourselves but also perhaps for the world.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1539249425956093952","reply_id":"1539249479634890753","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1539249481165725696","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1942820493440274707":{"id":"1942820493440274707","date":"2025-07-09 05:37:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@coffeetrader11 Pot? I re-pot?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942668168318607528","reply_id":"1942708418772365738","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"coffeetrader11","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":828,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942820493440274707","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1274018873826656256":{"id":"1274018873826656256","date":"2020-06-19 16:39:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ejames_c @Suhail This is exactly right. SRS works, and it works better than anything else. But it *feels* wrong.\n\nThis $ will go to the person that successfully merges the addictive stuff we already have (social media, games) with SRS.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1274017309808488450","reply_id":"1274017981777866753","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ejames_c","likes":3,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1274018873826656256","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2062761790455357603":{"id":"2062761790455357603","date":"2026-06-05 05:01:49","author":"John Loeber 🎢","handle":"johnloeber","text":"RT @johnloeber: The view that I am coming to is both:\n\n(1) Many use cases will be totally satisfied with open-source, quantized, or otherwise cheap models. These use cases will continuously expand as models improve\n\n(2) Frontier intelligence will be in its own price class, for Red Queen-style adversarial games, and it will be arbitrarily expensive\n\nThe reward per incremental unit of intelligence simply differs enormously from application to application, and getting this optimization right is implicitly the main task for AI businesses over the next few years","hashtags":[],"conv":"2062761790455357603","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2062664680393609272","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":17,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/johnloeber/status/2062761790455357603"},"2022405354861269321":{"id":"2022405354861269321","date":"2026-02-13 20:19:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"https://github.com/nearai/ironclaw\n\nThat's the sound of a thousand YC ClawdBot wrapper \"companies\" going silent.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2022405354861269321","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":41,"retweets":3,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":7255,"bookmarks":35,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2022405354861269321","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1978046936146960515":{"id":"1978046936146960515","date":"2025-10-14 10:35:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@edgefills The \"good\" news is that Europe is well along on its transition to \"Disneyland for the aspiring middle-class\", whose annoying but much-needed tourism will delay reckonings for a decade or two.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1978016875297513804","reply_id":"1978045976138191219","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"edgefills","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":93,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1978046936146960515","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1330677589887762435":{"id":"1330677589887762435","date":"2020-11-23 01:00:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baumol%27s_cost_disease","hashtags":[],"conv":"1330664997337272320","reply_id":"1330664997337272320","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1330677589887762435","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1872002964971557233":{"id":"1872002964971557233","date":"2024-12-25 19:34:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Thinking through what this looks like:\n\n- Less appeal to in-group/out-group arguments.\n- More barbell strategy on urgency. Either become the contemporaneous authority on a particular event/issue/etc, or write something that's intended to be timeless/everlasting.\n\nWhat else?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1872002964971557233","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":37,"retweets":3,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":31897,"bookmarks":21,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1872002964971557233","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1988534042136805520":{"id":"1988534042136805520","date":"2025-11-12 09:07:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"7. Payouts are small, slow and/or never happen.\n\nMany stories are out there if you search. Even if you get lucky and make money, you'll never be able to cash it out.\n\n- Post-facto fines for \"bad activity\".\n- Slow payouts hoping the person gives up.\n- Withdrawal fees.\n\nEtc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1988534015419146302","reply_id":"1988534040018788801","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":54,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":8453,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1988534042136805520","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1555597716767395840":{"id":"1555597716767395840","date":"2022-08-05 16:52:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pmontu33 @JamesMarsh79 Yes there are, but they're only VERY rarely +EV.\n\nLottery tickets are almost always -EV. You know why?\n\nBecause everyone loves lottery tickets and their return profile.\n\nSelling insurance, on the other hand, is generally a very profitable business.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1555282083672510464","reply_id":"1555597378723479554","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pmontu33","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1555597716767395840","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1384937073929490437":{"id":"1384937073929490437","date":"2021-04-21 18:28:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@itsOkBreath @fchollet No code is just code but with a weird interface and questionable revision control and release practices.\n\nThe point of code isn't the syntax. It's that it forces you to think more clearly. Dragging boxes around the screen doesn't eliminate the hard requirement to think clearly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1384725987447885828","reply_id":"1384887706157727749","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"itsOkBreath","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1384937073929490437","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1993311977129861535":{"id":"1993311977129861535","date":"2025-11-25 13:33:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Hey LLM, search for bugs in this codebase.\" just keeps getting better in quality and size of codebase.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1993311977129861535","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":51,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":7147,"bookmarks":16,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1993311977129861535","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1176231064332693504":{"id":"1176231064332693504","date":"2019-09-23 20:25:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mattyglesias Expired: negotiating in good faith towards mutually-beneficial policies that make sense on the merits.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1176230667648155653","reply_id":"1176230667648155653","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mattyglesias","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1176231064332693504","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1595873012858773504":{"id":"1595873012858773504","date":"2022-11-24 20:12:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@twinemoatmath This does explain a lot actually.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595799254437462016","reply_id":"1595871195752468480","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"twinemoatmath","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1595873012858773504","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1731864403086364884":{"id":"1731864403086364884","date":"2023-12-05 02:33:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbateman Yeah but they made 3 dollars a year.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1693648481162788880","reply_id":"1693648481162788880","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbateman","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":60,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1731864403086364884","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1443951372580229123":{"id":"1443951372580229123","date":"2021-10-01 14:50:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ A short thread about the relationship between academic finance and real $ trading. 👉👉👉","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443951372580229123","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1546931759391993862","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":200,"retweets":38,"replies":6,"quotes":9,"views":0,"bookmarks":135,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1443951372580229123","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1732903268400132280":{"id":"1732903268400132280","date":"2023-12-07 23:21:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@quantymacro 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1732898887609036986","reply_id":"1732902212119019696","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"quantymacro","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":346,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1732903268400132280","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1300483578958995458":{"id":"1300483578958995458","date":"2020-08-31 17:20:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @matt_levine Carl Icahn is somewhere trying to take over a company to force them to split their stock...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1300482951914729473","reply_id":"1300482951914729473","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1300483578958995458","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1352109556235608064":{"id":"1352109556235608064","date":"2021-01-21 04:23:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 @bennpeifert @JessicaNutt96 That's where you and I might part company.\n\nCuz you gotta calibrate that sucker first. I have painful memories of tearing my hair out trying to build a system to reliably cal an SVJJ model.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1352069470903181313","reply_id":"1352109445422190593","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1352109556235608064","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1888955422477865422":{"id":"1888955422477865422","date":"2025-02-10 14:17:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Passing harder and harder evals is not the way to AGI.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1888955422477865422","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":63,"retweets":2,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":7670,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1888955422477865422","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1562473922213187588":{"id":"1562473922213187588","date":"2022-08-24 16:16:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What if they threw a recession but no one came?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1562473922213187588","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1562473922213187588","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1922746100294812001":{"id":"1922746100294812001","date":"2025-05-14 20:09:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Awesome mechanism, but I'd hate to see the fan revolt when a team with the top pick squeaks into the playoffs! :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1922746100294812001","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":18,"quotes":0,"views":3333,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1922746100294812001","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1346481449847853058":{"id":"1346481449847853058","date":"2021-01-05 15:39:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"23/ So let's define a magical (invertible) function that transforms prices into \"vols\" and back again.\n\nCall the vol -> px function \"BS(vol)\".\n\nCall the px -> vol function \"BS_inv(px)\".\n\nThey're inverses. So BS(BS_inv(px)) = px.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346481448556011522","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":14,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346481449847853058","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1305943994375876610":{"id":"1305943994375876610","date":"2020-09-15 18:58:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@scottfawcett Scott: \"You should hit driver.\"\n\nStudent: \"But what it goes in the rough?\"\n\nScott: \"Every single time?\"\n\n(crickets)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1305942336048893955","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1305943994375876610","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1722809949720572267":{"id":"1722809949720572267","date":"2023-11-10 02:54:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The Bravery really holds up so much better than its contemporaries.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1722809949720572267","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2181,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1722809949720572267","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1343974331076890624":{"id":"1343974331076890624","date":"2020-12-29 17:37:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@famadeo @WayneHimelsein Where probabilities are bucketed into 3 categories:\n\n- 50/50\n- Probably can't happen.\n- Will probably happen.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1343967658102820864","reply_id":"1343974003321561089","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"famadeo","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1343974331076890624","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1441077323248267279":{"id":"1441077323248267279","date":"2021-09-23 16:29:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lightspringfox @KrisAbdelmessih @ejames_c To a @lightspringfox, every situation is a queue priority situation.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1440890442367655937","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1441077323248267279","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1437112634650750977":{"id":"1437112634650750977","date":"2021-09-12 17:55:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@financeguy725 Yeah, great question.\n\nIf we consider Type 1 to be incremental, evolutionary innovation, and Type 2 to be revolutionary, truly novel innovation, then I'm talking about Type 2.\n\nIt's as if we've gotten so good at Type 1 that it's crowded out Type 2.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1437111391857434628","reply_id":"1437112091190730752","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"financeguy725","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1437112634650750977","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1761429942674633140":{"id":"1761429942674633140","date":"2024-02-24 16:36:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OrthogonalAlpha Step 2: You realize the reason it's so great is that the future leaked into it in some absurdly subtle way.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1761429522946339042","reply_id":"1761429522946339042","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OrthogonalAlpha","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":1081,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1761429942674633140","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1505739521576550403":{"id":"1505739521576550403","date":"2022-03-21 02:54:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @nope_its_lily Total agreement.\n\nAny IMO involvement + evidence of being interested in doing something other than math problems all day = basically just check they're not a jerk or very weird and they're hired as a junior trader.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505688775132913665","reply_id":"1505739005610295296","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505739521576550403","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1602777643534860288":{"id":"1602777643534860288","date":"2022-12-13 21:29:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @patio11 At 90.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602773299582246913","reply_id":"1602777251254345728","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1602777643534860288","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1868688103697003000":{"id":"1868688103697003000","date":"2024-12-16 16:02:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih If they're even vaguely spectrum-y:\n\nhttps://learnpythonthehardway.org/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1868493969874944253","reply_id":"1868493969874944253","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1291,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1868688103697003000","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1591961647878660098":{"id":"1591961647878660098","date":"2022-11-14 01:10:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@l1quid1ty @KrisAbdelmessih I think of Talib as Thorp light.\n\nThorp was the OG's OG. He did it all before anyone.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1591952160061030402","reply_id":"1591956792611045376","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"l1quid1ty","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1591961647878660098","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1602693073913647104":{"id":"1602693073913647104","date":"2022-12-13 15:53:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin Web2 end users are advertisers. Lots of PMF there.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602681260500869120","reply_id":"1602692634060922880","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1602693073913647104","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1505588600028614660":{"id":"1505588600028614660","date":"2022-03-20 16:54:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"19/ Sometimes persistence is the right play. But sometimes you're wrong. It's not easy to tell.\n\nBut either way, you're better off committing to an idea and maybe failing than trying to split the difference.\n\nHave an opinion!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1505588598850031618","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":33,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505588600028614660","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1710346364092371096":{"id":"1710346364092371096","date":"2023-10-06 17:28:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"All I need is for Twitter to survive the SBF trial.\nIt's like my own personal OJ trial. \n\nAfter that it can do whatever.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1710346364092371096","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":40,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":4519,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1710346364092371096","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1470445377300189191":{"id":"1470445377300189191","date":"2021-12-13 17:27:52","author":"François Chollet","handle":"fchollet","text":"In a world so focused on beating task-specific benchmarks, on training ever larger deep learning models on ever larger datasets, trying instead to ask the right questions is an act of rebellion.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1470445377300189191","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1470445596431372291","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":829,"retweets":108,"replies":19,"quotes":13,"views":0,"bookmarks":36,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/fchollet/status/1470445377300189191"},"1541897502613327873":{"id":"1541897502613327873","date":"2022-06-28 21:33:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Industrial Liquidity Supply Co.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1541894912215584771","reply_id":"1541894912215584771","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1541897502613327873","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1811214054264021055":{"id":"1811214054264021055","date":"2024-07-11 01:40:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Exercise more to lose weight\" does actually work.\n\nBut it requires a lot more exercise than most people are comfortable doing. It starts to work when you're exercising so much, the challenge becomes just getting the calories in every day.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1811214054264021055","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":56,"retweets":0,"replies":11,"quotes":0,"views":7879,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1811214054264021055","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1701093761059868855":{"id":"1701093761059868855","date":"2023-09-11 04:42:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nabeelqu @ArtirKel Also young online poker pros playing up to OOM more hands compared to old live pro grinders.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1700961525064929389","reply_id":"1700962116159554035","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nabeelqu","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":156,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1701093761059868855","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1415321025466699777":{"id":"1415321025466699777","date":"2021-07-14 14:43:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2/ Most of what I talk about here is trading, but one of the things that pays my bills is helping companies get better at hiring.\n\nI don’t usually talk much about that.\n\nMostly because the audience for that stuff is… niche.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"1415321024602677250","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415321025466699777","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1238505651812237312":{"id":"1238505651812237312","date":"2020-03-13 16:42:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@investinvol @vixologist @dynamicvol @bennpeifert @6_Figure_Invest @pat_hennessy This is a good point. Calculating creation costs is super complicated when you have a portfolio.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1238444450654887937","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1238505651812237312","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1924058085875679551":{"id":"1924058085875679551","date":"2025-05-18 11:02:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"European capitals have two seasons:\n\n1. Grey\n2. Theme park for the rest of the world's upwardly mobile.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1924058085875679551","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":87,"retweets":3,"replies":15,"quotes":0,"views":8913,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1924058085875679551","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1769093668667899949":{"id":"1769093668667899949","date":"2024-03-16 20:09:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeepDishEnjoyer @macrocephalopod Lower in Asian equity indices, higher in US ones. Somewhere in the middle for Europe.\n\nCommodities is its own mess, often below 1.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1769076779195433384","reply_id":"1769090069158088856","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeepDishEnjoyer","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":333,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1769093668667899949","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1604133829630775298":{"id":"1604133829630775298","date":"2022-12-17 15:18:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ejames_c https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goodhart%27s_law","hashtags":[],"conv":"1604131512924123136","reply_id":"1604131987241177088","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ejames_c","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":507,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1604133829630775298","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1372382258645016576":{"id":"1372382258645016576","date":"2021-03-18 03:00:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @robbevantillo That could help, yes.\n\nFundamentally the question you're trying to answer for yourself is:\n\n\"Do I expect this relationship I've found to hold in the future?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1372362211688079363","reply_id":"1372371088534044673","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":7,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1372382258645016576","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1705268755151061343":{"id":"1705268755151061343","date":"2023-09-22 17:12:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nabeelqu @garybasin It is incredibly frustrating.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1705255039097360791","reply_id":"1705268342733337062","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nabeelqu","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":340,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1705268755151061343","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1686776328291565568":{"id":"1686776328291565568","date":"2023-08-02 16:29:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod It's the unshakable conviction that he's smarter than everyone else. And that that's all that matters.\n\n🤡","hashtags":[],"conv":"1686771461250232320","reply_id":"1686771461250232320","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":811,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1686776328291565568","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1128818228430540805":{"id":"1128818228430540805","date":"2019-05-16 00:23:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Law of Trading #10: Working to align everyone's interests is time well-spent. #hedgefunds #lawsoftrading\nhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-05-14/a-hedge-fund-offers-to-share-the-risk-of-losses","hashtags":["hedgefunds","lawsoftrading"],"conv":"1128818228430540805","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1128818228430540805","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1541584791568470016":{"id":"1541584791568470016","date":"2022-06-28 00:50:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This! A thousand times this.\n\nThe way so many companies systematically misunderstand the power and potential of interns makes me very sad.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1541584791568470016","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":30,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1541584791568470016","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1584613810702209024":{"id":"1584613810702209024","date":"2022-10-24 18:32:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod Best is to have MSFT be forced to sell it (make up some CFIUS pretext) to someone who actually wants to make it good. There's a lot of crap in the hiring world that a good version of LI could fix. Instead it's the shittiest version of striver-social-media dross.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1584611101215707141","reply_id":"1584611101215707141","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1584613810702209024","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1390381885314928640":{"id":"1390381885314928640","date":"2021-05-06 19:04:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@volmagorov You got me! 🤣\n\nI did really want to read that thread though! There's plenty of stuff I'd change for a 2nd edition. If that ever happens.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1390375881638617091","reply_id":"1390375882787799044","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"volmagorov","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1390381885314928640","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1413612479007969282":{"id":"1413612479007969282","date":"2021-07-09 21:34:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Noahpinion In an important sense it *is* easier.\n\nEliminates the need to judge sources, just pick your oracle and accept the answer provided.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1413611685252788228","reply_id":"1413611685252788228","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Noahpinion","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1413612479007969282","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1370101503432617984":{"id":"1370101503432617984","date":"2021-03-11 19:57:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AdithiaKusno @bennpeifert @Ksidiii @macrocephalopod @therobotjames @salr_nyc @KrisAbdelmessih too","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1370079357595611137","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1370101503432617984","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2061769289019822506":{"id":"2061769289019822506","date":"2026-06-02 11:17:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I am old enough to remember the unmitigated stupidity of Hassett's Dow 36k book.\n\nNot to mention his always-carrying-water Bloomberg column.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2061769289019822506","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":7208,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2061769289019822506","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1496283509081935874":{"id":"1496283509081935874","date":"2022-02-23 00:39:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Noahpinion What? Godel numbers are precisely an effort to transform words into math.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1496282994759573506","reply_id":"1496282994759573506","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Noahpinion","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1496283509081935874","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1489984191689158656":{"id":"1489984191689158656","date":"2022-02-05 15:28:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @therobotjames @josebaredes @gregasmaximus @HangukQuant @lightspringfox @0xdoug 🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1489627851054018565","reply_id":"1489827120624934913","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1489984191689158656","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2022036938937810955":{"id":"2022036938937810955","date":"2026-02-12 19:55:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2030: Anthropic announces $100 trillion Series Z funding at $1 quadrillion valuation. Asteroid Robot Mining Collective led the round, plan to use the $ to turn Mercury into Von Neumann probes. Dario-brain-in-a-vat still worried about AGI alignment but confident in their controls.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2022036938937810955","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":111,"retweets":2,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":10987,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2022036938937810955","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2060270286595830071":{"id":"2060270286595830071","date":"2026-05-29 08:01:28","author":"Jeff Sackmann","handle":"tennisabstract","text":"RT @tennisabstract: I've gotten a ton of feedback on my forecasts, so I've made some revisions accordingly. Maybe you'll like these better.\n\n92.3% Your Favorite Player\n67.0% Djokovic*\n43.4% Guy I Shouldn't Disrespect\n27.2% American We're Pretending Is a Threat On Clay\n12.9% Diego Schwartzman\n5.0% Ben Shelton\n0.8% Zverev\n\n(If Djokovic is your favorite player, sum the first two probabilities.)","hashtags":[],"conv":"2060270286595830071","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2060267603847762208","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":18,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":6,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tennisabstract/status/2060270286595830071"},"1474053102105870336":{"id":"1474053102105870336","date":"2021-12-23 16:23:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@musingtrader @TCK_JRubano https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greek_tragedy","hashtags":[],"conv":"1474023185964228617","reply_id":"1474032781902626818","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"musingtrader","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1474053102105870336","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1637113770316292097":{"id":"1637113770316292097","date":"2023-03-18 15:28:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin More musing: this will only entrench the most popular framework (React) even more.\n\nDoes this generalize? Does broader use of LLMs make all \"intellectual frameworks\" (not sure what else call it) more winner-take-all due to feedback effects?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1637100852170063873","reply_id":"1637112910815059968","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":113,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1637113770316292097","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1813753777666814169":{"id":"1813753777666814169","date":"2024-07-18 01:52:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"God give me the wide-eyed optimism of the golf club superintendent sending his 15th email this year on how to properly repair pitch marks.\n\nCuz that's the one that's finally going to get these heathens to do it right.\n\nOr to do it at all.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1813753777666814169","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2036,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1813753777666814169","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1597799794906320898":{"id":"1597799794906320898","date":"2022-11-30 03:48:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xCapitan @benchmarcc @KrisAbdelmessih Arrakis, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597690466807316480","reply_id":"1597799506937905152","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597799794906320898","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1434219393869832199":{"id":"1434219393869832199","date":"2021-09-04 18:18:44","author":"Doug Colkitt","handle":"0xdoug","text":"This. But Haskell.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434219393869832199","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1434221095016534019","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0xdoug/status/1434219393869832199"},"1597996200527298561":{"id":"1597996200527298561","date":"2022-11-30 16:49:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xBoneSoup @0xdoug @BowTiedNiners Doh!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597661985839411200","reply_id":"1597990875845754880","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xBoneSoup","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597996200527298561","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1476415804274974722":{"id":"1476415804274974722","date":"2021-12-30 04:52:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @robertmartin88 @0xLightcycle @Mtrl_Scientist @SimpelAlpha This way lies (a) madness but (b) sometimes usefulness. YMMV. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1475656971185393664","reply_id":"1476412929415155713","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476415804274974722","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1773756583375409252":{"id":"1773756583375409252","date":"2024-03-29 16:58:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbateman In fairness to the article, in actuality it's likely most often the case that they *don't* learn. Even if they could.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1773754928877494710","reply_id":"1773754928877494710","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbateman","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":723,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1773756583375409252","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1219340621581697024":{"id":"1219340621581697024","date":"2020-01-20 19:27:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein @SinclairEuan","hashtags":[],"conv":"1219319939078574082","reply_id":"1219319939078574082","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1219340621581697024","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1695126681147916704":{"id":"1695126681147916704","date":"2023-08-25 17:31:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@typedfemale 😮\nSource for this?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1695124475338227722","reply_id":"1695124475338227722","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"typedfemale","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":985,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1695126681147916704","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1656759036518469633":{"id":"1656759036518469633","date":"2023-05-11 20:31:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"You know your kid is reaching full sentience when he internalizes the fact that \"99% complete\" never is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1656759036518469633","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2027,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1656759036518469633","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1728493519378301210":{"id":"1728493519378301210","date":"2023-11-25 19:19:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@yacineMTB @krishnanrohit Shame about the lack of true venture capital there tho. Sometimes I miss Canada...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1728474501896347697","reply_id":"1728486944160551400","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"yacineMTB","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":231,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1728493519378301210","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1957453387965890724":{"id":"1957453387965890724","date":"2025-08-18 14:43:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So I load up on some long rainfall contracts then pay someone to fly a plane dispersing silver iodide. Deluge, flooding, I collect.\n\nIs that a good thing?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957453387965890724","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":56,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":12335,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1957453387965890724","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1768456010086351183":{"id":"1768456010086351183","date":"2024-03-15 01:55:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@coffeetrader11 @M1tchRosenthal ☝️\n\nRecruiting from MIT, you're shooting fish in a barrel.\n\nRecruiting from East Tennessee State, you'll slog through 400 well-meaning but never-have-a-chance applicants for every one that has some shot.\n\nIt's a numbers game, always is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1768404709336052193","reply_id":"1768454425104851035","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"coffeetrader11","likes":7,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":641,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1768456010086351183","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1538181822508544001":{"id":"1538181822508544001","date":"2022-06-18 15:28:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TraderSkew I'm more worried about the state of your battery... 🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1538181483554291714","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1538181822508544001","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1476925471212257288":{"id":"1476925471212257288","date":"2021-12-31 14:37:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"7/ Decentralization isn't an end unto itself. There is an optimal amount of centralization in any system and extremes are never correct.\n\nMore generally, privileging a political belief (libertarianism, etc) when making tech and business decisions makes you make bad ones.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476925464824270848","reply_id":"1476925470193041410","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476925471212257288","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1902063011956978075":{"id":"1902063011956978075","date":"2025-03-18 18:22:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Same thing, different name:\n- table/game selection\n- trading universe curation\n\nEverything is downstream from this.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1902063011956978075","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":96,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":10300,"bookmarks":28,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1902063011956978075","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1982790235948826899":{"id":"1982790235948826899","date":"2025-10-27 12:43:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Yes, *this* new public time series \"foundation\" model will be the one that's useful for trading.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1982790235948826899","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":42,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":5721,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1982790235948826899","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1185559683483832321":{"id":"1185559683483832321","date":"2019-10-19 14:13:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@balajis This is a bad take from the otherwise excellent @balajis.\n\n1. He seems to work backward from the \"fact\" that crypto and other tech will make completely free speech inevitable. But China, for example, is showing it's not even remotely inevitable.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1185396060232941568","reply_id":"1185396060232941568","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"balajis","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1185559683483832321","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1282834071668711424":{"id":"1282834071668711424","date":"2020-07-14 00:27:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@famadeo @SinclairEuan @KrisAbdelmessih But try to evaluate P(short squeeze in TSLA) where the borrow goes to NKLA levels or something. It's not an easy thing to quantify.\n\nRemember Volkswagen in 2008. Even large stocks, coincidentally another automaker, can squeeze violently.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1282702235583954945","reply_id":"1282833730407510016","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1282834071668711424","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1519804973587992578":{"id":"1519804973587992578","date":"2022-04-28 22:25:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Who is the equivalent of a Cantor Fitzgerald or ICAP in crypto? I.e. inter-dealer brokers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1519804973587992578","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1519804973587992578","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1243286768478117888":{"id":"1243286768478117888","date":"2020-03-26 21:20:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan It's not clear the if clause is even needed...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1243282170162163715","reply_id":"1243282170162163715","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1243286768478117888","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1632931990302498817":{"id":"1632931990302498817","date":"2023-03-07 02:31:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brrrcapital1 Not his fault, he's just trying to do his job. There's nothing that incentivizes him to do anything else.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632931055920615426","reply_id":"1632931445579603977","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"brrrcapital1","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1558,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632931990302498817","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1282758348819927040":{"id":"1282758348819927040","date":"2020-07-13 19:26:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vakontis @SinclairEuan @KrisAbdelmessih So ultras are short end of day gamma. They have to chase the market, and they chase more the bigger the move.\n\nAnytime you're *forced* to trade and others know it, you're going to lose money. This shows up as tracking error in the levered ETF. Getting long ultras overnight = bad.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1282702235583954945","reply_id":"1282757917687468033","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1282758348819927040","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1590225326176886785":{"id":"1590225326176886785","date":"2022-11-09 06:10:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@witchqueendot Not doubting your sincerity, but I wouldn't have doubted SBF's sincerity either in 2017.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1590222586738544640","reply_id":"1590222974908796928","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"witchqueendot","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1590225326176886785","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1365743159750234112":{"id":"1365743159750234112","date":"2021-02-27 19:18:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AlgoSnafu A useful thing to do next is to look at the stdevs on each of your buckets. Try to answer the question: \"Is day X statistically significantly different from day Y? Or should I just combine them?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1365725599575273481","reply_id":"1365741839513452550","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AlgoSnafu","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1365743159750234112","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1788657844033917034":{"id":"1788657844033917034","date":"2024-05-09 19:50:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 Sure, but if you're 60th percentile or below (skill/initiative/etc), no amount of fuel is getting you that job.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788655118155747502","reply_id":"1788655118155747502","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":203,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788657844033917034","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1533814820180439040":{"id":"1533814820180439040","date":"2022-06-06 14:15:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is great.\n\n\"Distracted coding\" describes the job of a quant MM perfectly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1533814820180439040","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1533814820180439040","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1943913634998235293":{"id":"1943913634998235293","date":"2025-07-12 06:01:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@kevinakwok Is it a liquidity event which accelerates vesting, as specified in the options grant documents?\n\nIf not, then it's bullshit and I bet the employees aren't getting what they would in a real acquisition.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943810432713863336","reply_id":"1943810432713863336","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"kevinakwok","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":249,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1943913634998235293","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1638040781029261312":{"id":"1638040781029261312","date":"2023-03-21 04:52:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"GPT-4, still so incredibly mid at thinking.\n\ns/LLMs/humans and what changes in the answer?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1638040781029261312","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":7466,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1638040781029261312_1.jpg","1638040781029261312_2.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1638040781029261312","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1526971004429418498":{"id":"1526971004429418498","date":"2022-05-18 17:00:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What's the DeFi CFMM with the greatest  *net* *protocol* fees earned?\n\nFree cash flow basically.\n\nAnd how much is it?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1526971004429418498","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1527324803782574080","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1526971004429418498","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1587255904394543104":{"id":"1587255904394543104","date":"2022-11-01 01:31:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"One of the great mysteries of the universe is how swiss on sourdough can go from utterly inedible to sublime when you melt/toast it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1587255904394543104","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1587255904394543104","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2036036947555004843":{"id":"2036036947555004843","date":"2026-03-23 11:06:50","author":"Alexander Osipovich","handle":"aosipovich","text":"There's now a bipartisan effort in the Senate to boot prediction markets like Kalshi out of sports betting. Republican John Curtis, from anti-gambling Utah, is co-sponsoring the bill with Trump foe Adam Schiff (D, CA). Scoop from my WSJ colleague @kryshur https://www.wsj.com/finance/regulation/lawmakers-to-introduce-bipartisan-bill-banning-sports-bets-on-prediction-markets-17d2e272","hashtags":[],"conv":"2036036947555004843","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2036065202333003934","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":55,"retweets":15,"replies":7,"quotes":9,"views":30380,"bookmarks":10,"media":["2036036947555004843_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/aosipovich/status/2036036947555004843"},"1666800444671250435":{"id":"1666800444671250435","date":"2023-06-08 13:32:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"12/ Fast-forward two days: I failed.\n\nThe ribbon cable connecting the screen to the body was short, fragile, and impossible to reconnect by hand once you peeled it off the display.\n\nGod knows how many more Blackberrys I destroyed trying...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1666800429236207621","reply_id":"1666800443329064960","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":656,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1666800444671250435","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1320222779594031104":{"id":"1320222779594031104","date":"2020-10-25 04:36:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih Not-so-serious answer.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1320190462989201409","reply_id":"1320190462989201409","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1320222779594031104_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1320222779594031104","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1155682712889384960":{"id":"1155682712889384960","date":"2019-07-29 03:33:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Trying to look smart (especially to yourself) is a very common failure mode for people getting into trading.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1155682712889384960","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1155682712889384960","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1764408577324958151":{"id":"1764408577324958151","date":"2024-03-03 21:52:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @macrocephalopod Roughly double the Euro call probability is a good starting point usually.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1764385249377583333","reply_id":"1764402814560924149","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1127,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1764408577324958151","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1900638466289135705":{"id":"1900638466289135705","date":"2025-03-14 20:01:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod Could they design a Mealy machine? No.\n\nExplain the math of an M/M/1 queue? No.\n\nIt's a fucking joke. 99.9% of CS students do it because they want high paying jobs WRITING SOFTWARE.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1900587520305332699","reply_id":"1900638268363857923","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":1786,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1900638466289135705","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1989594044289188220":{"id":"1989594044289188220","date":"2025-11-15 07:19:19","author":"Joel Rubano","handle":"TCK_JRubano","text":"RT @TCK_JRubano: There is a lot of discussion at the moment about various types of trading firms one could potentially work at if a particular candidate cannot get a seat at an elite shop like Jane Street, Citadel, HRT, Tower, SIG, etc. \n\nIn doing so, the trader is attempting to find a way to play in a game where the table stakes are custom silicon, Chess GM traders and data cleaned by MIT PhDs. They are effectively volunteering to be adversely selected against.\n\nI would suggest that anyone considering a career as a professional risk taker try to cast as wide a net as possible and also investigate emerging and non-traditional markets and products where the barriers to entry are lower and the established knowledge base is smaller. \n\nIt gets back to table selection. \n\nWould you rather play against the tournament pros or the tourists trying to remember if a straight beats a flush?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1989594044289188220","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"1989547404060770811","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":3,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TCK_JRubano/status/1989594044289188220"},"1537553117935308800":{"id":"1537553117935308800","date":"2022-06-16 21:50:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"CFMMs are the answer to the question everyone was apparently asking:\n\nHow do I turn the adverse selection of market-making into a seemingly high-interest bank account?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1537553117935308800","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1537553117935308800","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1118193567556567040":{"id":"1118193567556567040","date":"2019-04-16 16:44:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"One thing trading teaches you is how to make decisions. This has huge benefits everywhere else, especially for managers and leaders.\nhttps://theascent.pub/how-does-data-driven-decision-making-make-you-a-great-leader-5914832222ca","hashtags":[],"conv":"1118193567556567040","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1118193567556567040","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1743700433787568611":{"id":"1743700433787568611","date":"2024-01-06 18:25:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@W98AB @iamyitang 🙏🙏🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1743655547323220284","reply_id":"1743690935861493815","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"W98AB","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":92,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1743700433787568611","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1622713101434122240":{"id":"1622713101434122240","date":"2023-02-06 21:45:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In bankruptcies, there's a set of people who *always* win. 🤔\n\nhttps://www.coindesk.com/business/2023/02/06/new-ftx-ceo-charged-crypto-exchange-690000-last-year-hearing/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1622713101434122240","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3213,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1622713101434122240_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1622713101434122240","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1768503695241793911":{"id":"1768503695241793911","date":"2024-03-15 05:05:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"TIL a group of sharks is called a shiver.\n\nStill not as good as a parliament of owls.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1768503695241793911","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":47,"retweets":0,"replies":13,"quotes":2,"views":6759,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1768503695241793911","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1641912828440322057":{"id":"1641912828440322057","date":"2023-03-31 21:18:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's a story as old as the hills: people who believe in utopias always end up creating dystopias.\n\nWhen given the chance.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1641912828440322057","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":43,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4305,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1641912828440322057","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1787619013729886655":{"id":"1787619013729886655","date":"2024-05-06 23:02:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ConcaveMMT Signaling. Zero-sum games induce this sort of thing. \"Who wants it most.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1787555996434669899","reply_id":"1787582917935309258","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ConcaveMMT","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":173,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1787619013729886655","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1570189366886277120":{"id":"1570189366886277120","date":"2022-09-14 23:14:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @FREAK0NAUT @jaycee393 @bennpeifert @YogiStonks @brrrzooka @SqueezeMetrics \"You're buying that shit back and that's all there is to it!\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1570018544867479555","reply_id":"1570189149822652416","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1570189366886277120","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1628872835618983936":{"id":"1628872835618983936","date":"2023-02-23 21:42:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames 1. It's much easier to shuffle and reorg bullet points than paragraphs.\n2. You can show people an outline and get good feedback without it being a time sink for them.\n3. It's easier to keep the big picture in mind when you're actually writing.\n\nLike programming. Good interfaces.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1628868916541034496","reply_id":"1628872153444794368","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":32,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":1615,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1628872835618983936","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1630696395928915968":{"id":"1630696395928915968","date":"2023-02-28 22:28:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@maxresnick Given how soul-destroyingly it's taught in schools, it's a good thing it isn't longer!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1630694868778618880","reply_id":"1630694868778618880","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MaxResnick","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":101,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1630696395928915968","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1950908539112734925":{"id":"1950908539112734925","date":"2025-07-31 13:16:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT Because there is!\n\nGambling has negative externalities.\n\nTrading on financial markets has positive externalities. It literally solves the most important problem in economics: the allocation of scarce resources.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1950823732316082301","reply_id":"1950901853119496337","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":17,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":895,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1950908539112734925","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1841735078499455345":{"id":"1841735078499455345","date":"2024-10-03 07:00:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This.\n\nI've come to believe it's a mostly thing you either did instinctively as a kid or not. Usually when bored in class. Just start calculating random stuff in your head to pass the time.\n\nPeople not so inclined just find it boring and pointless and stupid.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1841735078499455345","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":28,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":6355,"bookmarks":21,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1841735078499455345","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1586827464881238016":{"id":"1586827464881238016","date":"2022-10-30 21:08:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@witchqueendot Disintegrated family structures for thee,\nChesterton's Fence for me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1586773338566770688","reply_id":"1586773338566770688","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"witchqueendot","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1586827464881238016","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1790061172877603302":{"id":"1790061172877603302","date":"2024-05-13 16:46:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_kacper____ @OrthogonalAlpha @quantymacro Yes but (in expectation) that's not the choice. Meta hires thousands of people per year, JS dozens.\n\nFor most people, in reality, it's Meta vs some 3rd tier trading firm hanging on for dear life.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1789752542559191296","reply_id":"1790060119968931935","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_kacper____","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":163,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1790061172877603302","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1715512824901009480":{"id":"1715512824901009480","date":"2023-10-20 23:38:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Companies overpay for SaaS/cloud/whatever solutions because it's cheaper than figuring out how to stop being shit at hiring technical people that build things.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1715512824901009480","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":42,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4908,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1715512824901009480","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1477332203876982785":{"id":"1477332203876982785","date":"2022-01-01 17:33:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@volpompilano @bennpeifert @Guruleaks1 That was a fun soap opera while it lasted.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477320189653893121","reply_id":"1477332049446854656","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"l1quid1ty","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477332203876982785","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1432748672907837444":{"id":"1432748672907837444","date":"2021-08-31 16:54:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih https://ocw.mit.edu/courses/mathematics/18-06-linear-algebra-spring-2010/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1432740992277356553","reply_id":"1432740992277356553","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1432748672907837444","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1749240389847150675":{"id":"1749240389847150675","date":"2024-01-22 01:19:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Airpods Pro, Vision Pro.\n\nIt's pretty clear Apple's goal is to be the full-time layer of intermediation between you and... everything.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1749240389847150675","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":4482,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1749240389847150675","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1516430636780863495":{"id":"1516430636780863495","date":"2022-04-19 14:56:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This.\n\nAbsolute worst case: imagine every cryptocurrency goes to zero. All that ended up happening was a big redistribution of wealth from old money to young energetic people working on hard problems.\n\nThat's still a massive win for the world.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1516430636780863495","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":37,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1516430636780863495","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1151601285247819776":{"id":"1151601285247819776","date":"2019-07-17 21:15:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mckaywrigley Applesoft BASIC","hashtags":[],"conv":"1151520962589810688","reply_id":"1151520962589810688","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mckaywrigley","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1151601285247819776","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2063686198673965479":{"id":"2063686198673965479","date":"2026-06-07 18:15:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"All of it.\n- Government gerontocracy\n- Nosebleed asset prices\n- Crushing government debt\n- Underinvestment in infrastructure\n- NIMBY policies\n- Runaway entitlement programs","hashtags":[],"conv":"2063684194434244792","reply_id":"2063684194434244792","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":126,"retweets":6,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":5311,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2063686198673965479","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1471980546406248450":{"id":"1471980546406248450","date":"2021-12-17 23:08:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@rfitz77 Gerontocracy?\n\nBiden is 79.\nTrump will be 78 in 3 years.\nPelosi is 81.\nBernie is 80.\nFeinstein is 88.\nWarren at 72 is positively child-like!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471962420155400192","reply_id":"1471962420155400192","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"fitzr1189","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471980546406248450","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1787959801806549457":{"id":"1787959801806549457","date":"2024-05-07 21:36:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@abiylfoyp It's very performative. A big part of doing things is being seen doing things.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1787952057804091572","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":61,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1787959801806549457","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1868378484491608553":{"id":"1868378484491608553","date":"2024-12-15 19:31:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@netcapgirl In fairness, it *is* hard to get a technical PhD to do basic arithmetic like 5.9-5.11.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1868369817394458932","reply_id":"1868369817394458932","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"netcapgirl","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":291,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1868378484491608553","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1989753686717878600":{"id":"1989753686717878600","date":"2025-11-15 17:53:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"How the wealth tax is going in Norway.\nTL;DR: Unsurprisingly, not great.\n\nhttps://citizenx.com/insights/norway-wealth-exodus/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1989753686717878600","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":89,"retweets":3,"replies":5,"quotes":3,"views":14018,"bookmarks":41,"media":["1989753686717878600_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1989753686717878600","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1968950472762441870":{"id":"1968950472762441870","date":"2025-09-19 08:09:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"> be a successful VC\n> convince some rich ppl to be LPs\n> coinflip into random startups\n> one of 'em hits big\n> raise another fund, write thought pieces\n> get better deal flow\n> make more $ cuz deal flow\n> forever bask in glow of thinking \"I'm an astute judge of talent and ideas\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1968950472762441870","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1968962583269949478","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":343,"retweets":10,"replies":14,"quotes":5,"views":63253,"bookmarks":67,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1968950472762441870","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1548527221941227521":{"id":"1548527221941227521","date":"2022-07-17 04:37:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DavidTaggart It's genius either way.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548523569524551681","reply_id":"1548523569524551681","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DavidTaggart","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1548527221941227521","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1704522757395104002":{"id":"1704522757395104002","date":"2023-09-20 15:47:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@stromboliSpirit @KrisAbdelmessih Correct. They won't go wide because of competition.\n\nIn a state of nature, not knowing about the toxicity of the flow, MMs are X wide.\n\nNow knowing the flow is non-toxic, they can *afford* to be tighter and still make money.\n\nSo if you widen, someone else takes that good trade.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1704200091790365139","reply_id":"1704517681007735155","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"stromboliSpirit","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":559,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1704522757395104002","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1667173291860041729":{"id":"1667173291860041729","date":"2023-06-09 14:14:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @sasuke___420 @InfoRatioed @Pigeonomics \"Metaorder\" in the literature.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1667165092993982464","reply_id":"1667172622172340233","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1189,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1667173291860041729","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1776771618926104622":{"id":"1776771618926104622","date":"2024-04-07 00:38:59","author":"major","handle":"xmgnr","text":"for whatever reason CTAs seem to love going on podcasts \n\nalways excited for their fresh perspectives on trend and carry and what life is like running a <1 sharpe strategy","hashtags":[],"conv":"1776771618926104622","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1777301762552234068","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":98,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":2,"views":41377,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/xmgnr/status/1776771618926104622"},"1765472085428892001":{"id":"1765472085428892001","date":"2024-03-06 20:18:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BruczDehart Publish or perish.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1765458265318797615","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":154,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1765472085428892001","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1477320196687732737":{"id":"1477320196687732737","date":"2022-01-01 16:45:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"8/\n5⃣ Grifters shitpost a lot. This doesn’t mean all shitposters are grifters, but it’s definitely a thing. The sales cycle is as old as the hills:\n\n👆Know\n✌️Like\n🤟Trust","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477320189653893121","reply_id":"1477320195618181121","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":35,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477320196687732737","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1633594966332293121":{"id":"1633594966332293121","date":"2023-03-08 22:26:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lightspringfox @macrocephalopod As I said in another context yesterday, it's a continuum. A strategy is a function from history -> actions.\n\nArchitecture, model params, state, etc are all different words we use to describe regions on the continuum of stiff-but-robust vs flexible-but-might-go-crazy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633555799283777540","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":948,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633594966332293121","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2069863109838123496":{"id":"2069863109838123496","date":"2026-06-24 19:19:56","author":"*Walter Bloomberg","handle":"DeItaone","text":"KALSHI IN TALKS TO RAISE FUNDS AT $40BN VALUATION: FT","hashtags":[],"conv":"2069863109838123496","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2070051339120341464","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":412,"retweets":21,"replies":57,"quotes":33,"views":339335,"bookmarks":36,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/DeItaone/status/2069863109838123496"},"1457778393286537217":{"id":"1457778393286537217","date":"2021-11-08 18:33:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Not reading @matt_levine today would be a definite mistake.\n\nThat is if you care about $TSLA, or markets, or pop culture, or crypto, or humor, or just about anything vaguely interesting.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1457778393286537217","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1457778393286537217","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1486415371259105283":{"id":"1486415371259105283","date":"2022-01-26 19:06:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein Buy the [something], sell the [something else].","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486415263654420489","reply_id":"1486415263654420489","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1486415371259105283","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1423284424926371842":{"id":"1423284424926371842","date":"2021-08-05 14:07:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dendisuhubdy @jgreco @therobotjames @PenguinsTrading @drewg__ @lightspringfox @experquisite @noms_nom_nom 4. Types! If clients have to parse a field to figure out what other fields exist in a message, that's bad.\n5. If you're going to do compression, please document it properly.\n6. Don't reinvent the wheel on message signing. Simple HMAC of a timestamp is fine.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1423020340117049344","reply_id":"1423283886822289419","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1423284424926371842","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1859713762686795962":{"id":"1859713762686795962","date":"2024-11-21 21:41:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I'll start thinking about AGI when I see one of these things have ONE new idea. Doesn't have to be good. Just an actual honest to goodness *idea*.\n\nYou can't operationalize the definition of an idea, but you know it when you see it.\n\nSo far, zero for a zillion on \"ideas\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1859713762686795962","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":3134,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1859713762686795962","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1428479700632965122":{"id":"1428479700632965122","date":"2021-08-19 22:11:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@noms_nom_nom @therobotjames 1. They're not going to want to stay, if their co-workers are that much worse.\n\n2. Their co-workers will learn helplessness, turning them into <1x over time.\n\n3. Hiring is going to be a mess.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1428381820421242886","reply_id":"1428479521162858496","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1428479700632965122","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1944058862492844221":{"id":"1944058862492844221","date":"2025-07-12 15:38:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin @tanayj Employees have *options*, not shares. So no dividends, no check.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943799292994760998","reply_id":"1944057491236504018","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":202,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1944058862492844221","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1141042113120894977":{"id":"1141042113120894977","date":"2019-06-18 17:56:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@PeterLBrandt \"Will\"? I'm happy to sell you as many 5 year futures as you want at 12,000.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1141041502782676994","reply_id":"1141041502782676994","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"PeterLBrandt","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1141042113120894977","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1272990532042551296":{"id":"1272990532042551296","date":"2020-06-16 20:32:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@petergarnry Quite the opposite. Companies I would *never* have expected to embrace WFH for regulated functions are talking about doing it long-term.\n\nMaybe a cultural thing US vs Europe?\n\nBesides, the prospect of not paying nosebleed NYC/Chicago rents makes companies pretty open to the idea.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1272989121242374147","reply_id":"1272989121242374147","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"petergarnry","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1272990532042551296","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1536463438280421376":{"id":"1536463438280421376","date":"2022-06-13 21:40:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"95% of engineers are wildly overpaid.\n4% of engineers are slightly overpaid to slightly underpaid.\n1% of engineers are massively UNDERpaid.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536463438280421376","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":36,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1536463438280421376","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1536201369261993989":{"id":"1536201369261993989","date":"2022-06-13 04:18:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @CryptoWhale What are you talking about?\n\n\"#1 Source for Crypto Insights\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536200642556899328","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1536201369261993989","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1516523346694860804":{"id":"1516523346694860804","date":"2022-04-19 21:05:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ScottPh77711570 @MidwestHedgie @therobotjames Same but harder. Data quality, heteroskedasticity, etc.\n\n@tardis_dev is a good source, relatively speaking.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1516331323022983169","reply_id":"1516513132889669633","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ScottPh77711570","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1516523346694860804","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1961510396302692838":{"id":"1961510396302692838","date":"2025-08-29 19:24:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nkreu113r @iaindunning @matt_levine Eigen what now?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1961415852319715562","reply_id":"1961509939098374237","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nkreu113r","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":330,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1961510396302692838","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1415404565805953024":{"id":"1415404565805953024","date":"2021-07-14 20:15:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@la91116 @Xtra_Special_K @davidasinclair If by \"paternalistic\" you mean \"rent-seeking gatekeeping\" then I agree.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415399936343019526","reply_id":"1415401024186159107","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"la91116","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415404565805953024","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1423438143642947586":{"id":"1423438143642947586","date":"2021-08-06 00:17:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ALBACapMgmt Hate to say it, but it might be your emojiful name.\nBrings out the crazy. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1423437359144570884","reply_id":"1423437359144570884","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ALBACapMgmt","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1423438143642947586","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1942475569104310580":{"id":"1942475569104310580","date":"2025-07-08 06:47:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tackettzane Some reasons:\n1. The ratchet. $1.5m guy makes $15m in a great year. How does lifestyle change? How do expectations change? Mgmt worries about this.\n\n2. Bonus smoothing. Underpay in the great year, then overpay in subsequent years.\n\n3. Keep the money. You're partner for a reason.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942456513941110838","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tackettzane","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":353,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942475569104310580","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1691518227426471939":{"id":"1691518227426471939","date":"2023-08-15 18:32:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@damaria53922528 @BruceFeldmanCFB I'd bet real money that that wasn't a dumbbell weighing 170lb.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1691492259366383616","reply_id":"1691517726618013696","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dbizzle231","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1353,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1691518227426471939","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1990729403718865150":{"id":"1990729403718865150","date":"2025-11-18 10:30:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So what should an aspiring retail trader focus on?\n\n- Figuring out stuff on your own.\n- In shitcoins.\n- Or the ass end of the Russell.\n- Or some niche market.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1990728668839030951","reply_id":"1990728670357459282","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":57,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":4017,"bookmarks":30,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1990729403718865150","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1494873887938543616":{"id":"1494873887938543616","date":"2022-02-19 03:18:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano Great sea urchin ceviche!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494872601273024516","reply_id":"1494872601273024516","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494873887938543616","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1984699085257937211":{"id":"1984699085257937211","date":"2025-11-01 19:08:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In case it's not obvious, the reasoning is:\n- If you want a country with actual humans in n generations, you're going to have to make it worth womens' while to have kids.\n- You're probably looking at $250k-$500k per child.\n- Ain't no way the olds are going to go for that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1984575619066220958","reply_id":"1984575619066220958","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":1947,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1984699085257937211","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1403505397936234496":{"id":"1403505397936234496","date":"2021-06-12 00:12:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CompetitionBaby https://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1403505148907835394","hashtags":[],"conv":"1403434676015054848","reply_id":"1403434676015054848","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"CompetitionBaby","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1403505397936234496","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1506793046762921986":{"id":"1506793046762921986","date":"2022-03-24 00:40:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames https://getyarn.io/yarn-clip/f866293d-b6c9-445a-b2fe-575b96bb44e5","hashtags":[],"conv":"1506725868106043393","reply_id":"1506725868106043393","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1506793046762921986","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1419732442009653252":{"id":"1419732442009653252","date":"2021-07-26 18:52:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Mephisto731 @TheSpeculator0 Every time I use the term \"physical\" in crypto land I laugh inside.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1419731012611985411","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1419732442009653252","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2047671689614680294":{"id":"2047671689614680294","date":"2026-04-24 13:39:09","author":"vitrupo","handle":"vitrupo","text":"Anthropic co-founder Ben Mann says frontier AI is now too powerful for everyone building it to understand.\n\nHundreds of people have to coordinate on the same model, while only some are allowed to know the techniques that make it more capable.\n\nNo one person can hold the whole system in their head.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2047671689614680294","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2048008655157469362","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":194,"retweets":19,"replies":26,"quotes":9,"views":54943,"bookmarks":79,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/vitrupo/status/2047671689614680294"},"1971283394022736186":{"id":"1971283394022736186","date":"2025-09-25 18:39:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lacker @ikirigin The key scarce resource is an adult \"coach\", i.e. someone who can inspire, guide, etc. Very much like a sports coach. It's a job description that kind of doesn't exist yet.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970703034528465293","reply_id":"1971282119818420475","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"lacker","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":68,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1971283394022736186","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1890305975627690209":{"id":"1890305975627690209","date":"2025-02-14 07:43:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@itsmartingale @idoccor Agreed. In fact if you stick to a standard threshold by default for basically everything, you basically never even have to worry about it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1890149943987605738","reply_id":"1890158442175950866","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"itsmartingale","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":385,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1890305975627690209","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1405199462750818310":{"id":"1405199462750818310","date":"2021-06-16 16:23:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@J_Dub_No Waiting for some simulations to complete. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1405184150139674624","reply_id":"1405198987628531728","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"J_Dub_No","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1405199462750818310","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1942138281077985694":{"id":"1942138281077985694","date":"2025-07-07 08:27:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2/ In the last few weeks, I've gotten a small flood of emails, DMs and messages asking my opinion about the recent news coming out about Jane Street.\n\nFirst the coup-funding story, and now the accusation from the Indian regulator SEBI.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942138279295320543","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":168,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":35513,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942138281077985694","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1845517450009608610":{"id":"1845517450009608610","date":"2024-10-13 17:30:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alz_zyd_ Seeing lots of comments like this. \"Humanity\", etc.\n\nHumanity didn't do this. A bunch of absurdly talented and hardworking people at SpaceX did.\n\nThe rest of us don't get to take credit for that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1845501728617058796","reply_id":"1845501728617058796","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alz_zyd_","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":118,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1845517450009608610","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1628148762509193221":{"id":"1628148762509193221","date":"2023-02-21 21:44:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brettharrison @Architect_xyz 👀","hashtags":[],"conv":"1628118610265706498","reply_id":"1628118610265706498","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BrettHarrison","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":636,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1628148762509193221_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1628148762509193221","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1906789659947966750":{"id":"1906789659947966750","date":"2025-03-31 19:24:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@elletwocache No question.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1906782947090350164","reply_id":"1906789381463269690","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"elletwocache","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":327,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1906789659947966750","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1447286479017820163":{"id":"1447286479017820163","date":"2021-10-10 19:42:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cloudy_cl @Ksidiii @bennpeifert @VitruviusCurve Whatever dude. You interview and hire your way, I'll interview and hire my way. Which is the way that most of the best prop firms hire (1st hand knowledge).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1447251034309545988","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1447286479017820163","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1905146256512385160":{"id":"1905146256512385160","date":"2025-03-27 06:33:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"There is nothing new here. In the mid 20th century, Andy Warhol commented on infinite mechanized copies of social signifiers.\n\nExpressionists reacted to the invention of photography by rejecting true representation.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1905146253341499798","reply_id":"1905146254989939064","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2148,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1905146256512385160","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1916750636340662769":{"id":"1916750636340662769","date":"2025-04-28 07:05:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In related news, Santa Claus isn't real either.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1916750636340662769","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":4314,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1916750636340662769","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1979588490921640410":{"id":"1979588490921640410","date":"2025-10-18 16:40:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@gwern @sksq96 I think there's a human intuition at play that 1 bit isn't a lot of information. Actually it is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1979351615200174104","reply_id":"1979575411748282711","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"gwern","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":299,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1979588490921640410","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1615510011480018945":{"id":"1615510011480018945","date":"2023-01-18 00:42:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 Watch out for lookahead bias, as always. And add some margin for outliers. And a few other tricks of the trade... :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1615500214659608576","reply_id":"1615509886267461632","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":382,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1615510011480018945","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1346481453534646275":{"id":"1346481453534646275","date":"2021-01-05 15:39:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"26/ Options prices are all over the map.\n\nThe $TSLA Mar 700 call costs ~$105.  Say tomorrow it costs $100.\n\nYes it went down 5% but that's not the most useful way to think about the change in *value* of the option.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346481452305715200","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346481453534646275","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1623777355033608192":{"id":"1623777355033608192","date":"2023-02-09 20:14:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bqbrady You're right, of course. There can be and are +ve sum trades in both sports and finance.\n\nBut I suspect it's fewer than people think. And it's funny to think about.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1623774737360117760","reply_id":"1623776464234598405","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bqbrady","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":910,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1623777355033608192","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1382899188610961411":{"id":"1382899188610961411","date":"2021-04-16 03:30:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@clairlemon It's all automated now.\n\nAny decent NLP \"AI\" can crank out 7 paragraphs of crap on any subject you care to imagine.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382896597311246336","reply_id":"1382896597311246336","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"clairlemon","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382899188610961411","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1628572089707040772":{"id":"1628572089707040772","date":"2023-02-23 01:46:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ScottPh77711570 @arb8020 I.e. the arrow of causation is backwards.\n\nYour guy is probably a good dev *because* of general cognitive skills X-Z, which means he's also good at, say, trading.\n\nBut you don't need the dev skills. Just X-Z.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1628449259870883848","reply_id":"1628571779831828480","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":156,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1628572089707040772","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1358867896642928642":{"id":"1358867896642928642","date":"2021-02-08 19:58:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@saah1lk This feels less like an options thing and more like a delta-1 thing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1358848031949488133","reply_id":"1358866975959769088","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"saah1lk","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1358867896642928642","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1712898754842607941":{"id":"1712898754842607941","date":"2023-10-13 18:31:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"NBA, forever:\nYour legacy as a player and a team is defined by winning championships.\n\nNBA, now:\nHere's a pointless in-season tournament in November because why not?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1712898754842607941","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2549,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1712898754842607941","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1743431175325250030":{"id":"1743431175325250030","date":"2024-01-06 00:35:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@waltuuuhr I don't believe LLMs on their own are going to scale very far. But I'm willing to bet they'll be key components of systems that do.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1743425282743357589","reply_id":"1743430116859064684","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"waltuuuhr","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":240,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1743431175325250030","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1916915431056511321":{"id":"1916915431056511321","date":"2025-04-28 18:00:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Gary Player is the original Bryan Johnson.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1916915431056511321","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":1887,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1916915431056511321","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1393714392286392321":{"id":"1393714392286392321","date":"2021-05-15 23:46:19","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"Sharing more widely as DMs asking me to evaluate trade ideas grow.\n\nI'll add a few more points...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1393714392286392321","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1393728628437913601","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":87,"retweets":10,"replies":3,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":46,"media":["1393714392286392321_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1393714392286392321"},"1420177784085704715":{"id":"1420177784085704715","date":"2021-07-28 00:22:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OneBigOh Sure but what are you debugging? The fact that your model doesn't correspond perfectly to the full richness of modern financial markets?\n\nDon't need a sim to tell you that.\n\nAspiring to build a model which can generate realistic paths of real products is just nuts IMO.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420131145669169153","reply_id":"1420148659774177284","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OneBigOh","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420177784085704715","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1786524588933013920":{"id":"1786524588933013920","date":"2024-05-03 22:33:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeepDishEnjoyer Well sure, but I think that says more about the subject than anything else.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1786454335188283568","reply_id":"1786465287853789379","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeepDishEnjoyer","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":143,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1786524588933013920","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1594924996761116672":{"id":"1594924996761116672","date":"2022-11-22 05:25:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 @be20684347 @therobotjames Roughly on the same order:\n\n- Good program at a good school.\n- Ability to effectively attack a novel problem.\n- \"Feels good working with them\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1594914937494974466","reply_id":"1594924415707398144","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1594924996761116672","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1942208624463675434":{"id":"1942208624463675434","date":"2025-07-07 13:06:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BasedStatistic @DeFi_AdamZ JS has always been good at sizing up when trading is good. Much better than their competition.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942195558573047988","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"prollyballistic","likes":32,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2507,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942208624463675434","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1788057418309714376":{"id":"1788057418309714376","date":"2024-05-08 04:04:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Gobert winning DPOY is a travesty.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788057418309714376","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2590,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788057418309714376","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1900206922206216511":{"id":"1900206922206216511","date":"2025-03-13 15:26:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"We're basically there at this point?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1900206922206216511","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":105,"retweets":4,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":6673,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1900206922206216511_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1900206922206216511","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2044114452643995843":{"id":"2044114452643995843","date":"2026-04-14 18:03:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Every fractional CTO consultant grifter on Linkedin is a fucking agentic AI expert now.\n\nJust like when they were prompt engineering experts, data science experts, microservices experts, IoT experts, agile scrum experts and every other fashionable shit.\n\nWho hires them!?!","hashtags":[],"conv":"2044114452643995843","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":117,"retweets":4,"replies":9,"quotes":1,"views":8839,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2044114452643995843","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1376541791856431113":{"id":"1376541791856431113","date":"2021-03-29 14:28:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Some learnings:\n\n- Avocados are excellent. They seem to buffer BG response.\n- BG response is much softer after 18hrs of fasting (lunch) vs after only 5.5hrs (dinner).\n- BG spikes are correlated with amt of food irrespective of composition.\n- Wheat beer is the death.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1376541008775667717","reply_id":"1376541008775667717","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1376541791856431113","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1431384060178296834":{"id":"1431384060178296834","date":"2021-08-27 22:32:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @bennpeifert ☝️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1431355491876163584","reply_id":"1431357041579335687","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1431384060178296834","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1583125449315450881":{"id":"1583125449315450881","date":"2022-10-20 15:58:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod Yanis Varoufakis, where are you?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1583083445919846401","reply_id":"1583083445919846401","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1583125449315450881","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1745148172291485734":{"id":"1745148172291485734","date":"2024-01-10 18:18:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Non-fiction book survivorship bias:\n\nBooks that remain in print for decades become less valuable as their lessons permeate the culture.\n\nBooks that go out of print are either (usually) worthless or (rarely) contain actually valuable insights precisely because they're unknown.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1745148172291485734","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":39,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":4440,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1745148172291485734","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1513937973615628289":{"id":"1513937973615628289","date":"2022-04-12 17:51:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NathanTankus Perfect example of the Pareto principle. I assume.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1513931041119084558","reply_id":"1513931041119084558","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"NathanTankus","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1513937973615628289","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1725691607859741054":{"id":"1725691607859741054","date":"2023-11-18 01:45:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Can we just rename the month Samvember?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1725691607859741054","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3202,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1725691607859741054","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1291892818588209152":{"id":"1291892818588209152","date":"2020-08-08 00:23:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@natstewart5 @svrnco @choffstein @patrick_oshag @jposhaughnessy This is true. And honestly, it's a cheaper way to gamble than sports betting.\n\nBut as I say in Ch1 of the book, you should be self-aware enough to realize that entertainment is what's motivating you. Not $.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1291873753484406786","reply_id":"1291892327779373056","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"natstewart5","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1291892818588209152","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1210315525248569345":{"id":"1210315525248569345","date":"2019-12-26 21:44:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Thanks to @brave, I just crossed over 1M ads blocked. I can't visualize what 1M ads even looks like.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1210315525248569345","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1210315525248569345","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1498146619937542147":{"id":"1498146619937542147","date":"2022-02-28 04:02:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4/ I remember another one!\n\nStudent's-t-based option pricing (sorry to my intern-at-the-time Tim for that one).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1498146053366845441","reply_id":"1498146324553760770","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1498146619937542147","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1714850772549288159":{"id":"1714850772549288159","date":"2023-10-19 03:47:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@waltuuuhr Like every damn interview he did until he got arrested. Tiffany Fong, others.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1714847051186663504","reply_id":"1714850121152712900","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"waltuuuhr","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":147,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1714850772549288159","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1608646299787866112":{"id":"1608646299787866112","date":"2022-12-30 02:08:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase It's being worked on but the good architectures aren't end-to-end-trained LLMs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1608636533237772293","reply_id":"1608643854244380677","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":92,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1608646299787866112","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2080179333981684128":{"id":"2080179333981684128","date":"2026-07-23 06:32:55","author":"signüll","handle":"signulll","text":"RT @signulll: wow am i understanding this correctly?\n\n1. put chinese models on the entity list.\n2. force american companies to buy more expensive ai from american labs.\n3. watch the rest of the world use cheaper models with equal or better intelligence.\n4. discover that distillation did not magically stop because washington published a list.\n5. make american businesses less competitive globally while raising prices for ordinary americans.\n6. meanwhile none of this stops chinese ai labs from becoming better & better.\n\ncongratulations you protected domestic ai companies by taxing the competitiveness of the entire country.\n\nwhat a colossal mess. someone please add order to this madness.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2080179333981684128","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2080047219999138231","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":601,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":338,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/signulll/status/2080179333981684128"},"1538889319489806337":{"id":"1538889319489806337","date":"2022-06-20 14:19:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 What's your favorite tech indicator = have you stopped beating your wife","hashtags":[],"conv":"1538883150847176704","reply_id":"1538884631944040448","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1538889319489806337","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1295565102674927616":{"id":"1295565102674927616","date":"2020-08-18 03:36:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @EmanuelDerman Now we know how they feel when they do it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1295452467736588291","reply_id":"1295561989578661888","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1295565102674927616","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2064789644777066582":{"id":"2064789644777066582","date":"2026-06-10 19:19:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Never thought I'd long for the garden-variety business sociopathy of the other guy, but here we are.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2064789644777066582","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":74,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":7655,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2064789644777066582","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1275635754027241472":{"id":"1275635754027241472","date":"2020-06-24 03:43:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein @bennpeifert @JessicaNutt96 @saah1lk @Mephisto731 Don't worry. Just square it and it becomes a dt.\n\nProblem solved. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1275589332955512839","reply_id":"1275610858186592256","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1275635754027241472","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1500148213755514880":{"id":"1500148213755514880","date":"2022-03-05 16:36:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jamescmlin @Ksidiii Meh. That crack spread will kill you sometimes. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1500138581465120768","reply_id":"1500139514219704321","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jamescmlin","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1500148213755514880","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2004569097414332891":{"id":"2004569097414332891","date":"2025-12-26 15:04:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Very simple way to figure out whether to use AI.\n\nGym: the point isn't for the weight to be lifted, but for you to lift the weight.\n\nJob: the point is for the weight to be lifted.\n\nUse AI for job, not for gym.\n\nhttps://danielmiessler.com/blog/keep-the-robots-out-of-the-gym","hashtags":[],"conv":"2004569097414332891","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1245,"retweets":101,"replies":37,"quotes":16,"views":71260,"bookmarks":652,"media":["2004569097414332891_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2004569097414332891","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1317118547814854659":{"id":"1317118547814854659","date":"2020-10-16 15:01:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ksidiii It's like poker \"pros\" complaining they can't win because the players are too bad.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1317116047632322563","reply_id":"1317116047632322563","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Ksidiii","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1317118547814854659","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1277745515296206848":{"id":"1277745515296206848","date":"2020-06-29 23:27:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vgr @RoamResearch I used it for exactly this for about 3 weeks. Then the worry about the walled garden began to creep in. My whole life is in there.\n\nSo I went to TiddlyWiki (Stroll, specifically).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1277742512589795328","reply_id":"1277742512589795328","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vgr","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1277745515296206848","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1597423363542032384":{"id":"1597423363542032384","date":"2022-11-29 02:53:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin @hardmaru The self-improvement part seems pretty damn unlikely tho.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597192292515053569","reply_id":"1597412364554752000","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597423363542032384","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1633934271638548480":{"id":"1633934271638548480","date":"2023-03-09 20:54:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"16/ The public proof they produce is a ZK-SNARK which proves that the assets they control (in the form of wallets) exceed the liabilities they claim they have to their customers.\n\nNotice the “they claim” part. This is important.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633934250620891136","reply_id":"1633934270380269568","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2356,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633934271638548480","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1507459625041358858":{"id":"1507459625041358858","date":"2022-03-25 20:49:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SethHersch @KrisAbdelmessih @TCK_JRubano @be20684347 @3PointTrader @sadgirlmeag The shooter!!!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507092815456710666","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507459625041358858","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1263504101909778434":{"id":"1263504101909778434","date":"2020-05-21 16:17:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz Institutionals shipping large orders using the Ron Popeil approach to execution algos:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1263500638073257984","reply_id":"1263500638073257984","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1263504101909778434_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1263504101909778434","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1348034689227923457":{"id":"1348034689227923457","date":"2021-01-09 22:31:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih It takes real skill to teach about complex subjects with the clarity and engaging humor of @matt_levine.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1347964279966756867","reply_id":"1347964279966756867","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1348034689227923457","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1472646831431507973":{"id":"1472646831431507973","date":"2021-12-19 19:15:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If I hear one more person claim that Eric Adams is \"getting paid in Bitcoin,\" I'm going to lose it and do something drastic.\n\nLike yell at the Twitter cloud again. Or something.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1472646831431507973","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1472646831431507973","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1571676871447957504":{"id":"1571676871447957504","date":"2022-09-19 01:45:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @SpacChad @MinvstrD @bennpeifert @moreproteinbars @therobotjames @NewRiverInvest @FREAK0NAUT @Chaelelo @OGTaylorB Need to get through the initial terrorexcitement bit first.\n\nI'm deep in it right now. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1571636409651580929","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1571676871447957504","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1773755808263930150":{"id":"1773755808263930150","date":"2024-03-29 16:55:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CAndreisen @quantytrader @DeepDishEnjoyer @bubbleboi @sagarjainmp The trade of doing a 2.5:1 call spread as above isn't riskless. No one ever said it was.\n\nIt happens to have a cute set of local first order greeks. But that doesn't tell you anything about its Pnl.\n\nThis is an example precisely used to teach that those greeks don't mean much.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1773456147309334555","reply_id":"1773755027053854994","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":187,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1773755808263930150","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1864928264046665772":{"id":"1864928264046665772","date":"2024-12-06 07:02:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020","hashtags":[],"conv":"1864889901084287378","reply_id":"1864889901084287378","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":181,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1864928264046665772_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1864928264046665772","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1439302021014716418":{"id":"1439302021014716418","date":"2021-09-18 18:55:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3/ For them, improving their mental schema about a domain was the important thing. Once they had a good mental model, the rest was merely *work*.\n\nAnd we all know work is easy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1439302018976256002","reply_id":"1439302019966144512","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1439302021014716418","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1644755734704570368":{"id":"1644755734704570368","date":"2023-04-08 17:34:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Erosion of trust.\"\n\nNYT, y'all did it to yourselves.\n\nAI had nothing to do with it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1644755734704570368","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3314,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1644755734704570368_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1644755734704570368","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1794444522757509582":{"id":"1794444522757509582","date":"2024-05-25 19:04:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AffectiveAutism That's a very good point re immigration.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1794362171071316114","reply_id":"1794438038983971080","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AffectiveAutism","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":166,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1794444522757509582","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2077614879565824451":{"id":"2077614879565824451","date":"2026-07-16 04:42:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"But what if one of them figures out recursive self-improvement before the others and starts to dominate?\"\n\nThis is basically Yud's FOOM argument dressed up for modern AI.\n\n1. I'll worry about that when there's evidence for it, and\n2. Again, antitrust law.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2077614877317779600","reply_id":"2077614877317779600","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2227,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2077614879565824451","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1598475500569399297":{"id":"1598475500569399297","date":"2022-12-02 00:33:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Someone agrees.\n\nhttps://x.com/natfriedman/status/1598475091767361536","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598475154711285761","reply_id":"1598475154711285761","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598475500569399297","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1252306619167158273":{"id":"1252306619167158273","date":"2020-04-20 18:42:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SuperMugatu Here's the funny part. No one will say a word about the easiest way to prevent this ridiculousness in the future.\n\nSEC bans ETFs hodling futures. This also fixes VIXpocalypses and also idiot retail \"investors\" losing their shirts shorting vol.\n\nWill never happen.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1252303627877863424","reply_id":"1252303627877863424","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SuperMugatu","likes":5,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1252306619167158273","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2029510186369724602":{"id":"2029510186369724602","date":"2026-03-05 10:51:49","author":"François Chollet","handle":"fchollet","text":"I keep reading this take (below) every few months, presented as if extremely profound, and it is just offensively dumb. It confuses data and information, it ignores the fact that not all information is equally valuable, and it ignores the importance of retention rate.\n\nAs a thought experiment: if this were true, if your retina cell count were 10x greater, you'd be \"trained on 10x more tokens\" and therefore you'd be way smarter. Same if their firing frequency were 10x greater. With 10x more retina cells firing 10x faster you'd be \"trained on 100x more tokens\"!\n\nObviously this makes no sense -- the signal coming from these cells is extremely correlated over space and time, so their raw information content (what remains post-compression) is extremely low compared to the \"raw bit\" encoding. The human visual system actually processes 40 to 50 bits per second after spatial compression. Much, much less if you add temporal compression over a long time horizon.\n\nLatest LLMs get access to approximately 3 to 4 orders of magnitude of information more than a human by age 20 (post compression in both cases). About O(10T) bits vs O(10-100B) bits.\n\nAnd that's just *raw information* but of course not all information is equal, otherwise we wouldn't be spending tens of billions of dollars on training data annotation and generation. Plus, that's only *information intake* but of course humans have far lower retention than LLMs (by 3-4 OOM). You could write a short essay about how incredibly off the mark this take is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2029510186369724602","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2029518176346673642","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1694,"retweets":139,"replies":105,"quotes":28,"views":173491,"bookmarks":721,"media":["2029510186369724602_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/fchollet/status/2029510186369724602"},"1499510330627485710":{"id":"1499510330627485710","date":"2022-03-03 22:21:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @macrocephalopod @experquisite @Oh_So_Gordo @HariPKrishnan2 @bennpeifert @YannickKae @nope_its_lily @choffstein @moreproteinbars @salr_nyc @Ksidiii Once you look it's Berkson's all the way down.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1499208197717913604","reply_id":"1499484156488663053","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1499510330627485710","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1305943068386885632":{"id":"1305943068386885632","date":"2020-09-15 18:54:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@scottfawcett Most people can only handle 3 probabilities: 0%, 100%, and 50% (aka \"I dunno\").\n\nThe more people are invested in telling a story, the less they can handle the inherent uncertainty of randomness.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1305942336048893955","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1305943068386885632","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1451215881132929024":{"id":"1451215881132929024","date":"2021-10-21 15:56:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin @drewg__ Definitely agree on brand value and the relevant multiples.\n\nNot sure if the multiple thing says more about these firms or about SaaS though. 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1451009816659431428","reply_id":"1451215104985505798","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1451215881132929024","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1904093225951940610":{"id":"1904093225951940610","date":"2025-03-24 08:49:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"verb (n): an action word\nverbize (v): to turn a noun into a verb\nverbization (n): the process of turning a noun into a verb\nverbizationing (v): present participle of turning a noun into a verb","hashtags":[],"conv":"1904093225951940610","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1724,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1904093225951940610","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1494668593400664066":{"id":"1494668593400664066","date":"2022-02-18 13:42:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 @davidasinclair @MinvstrD \"Prevent\" is doing a lot of work in that sentence, potentially.\n\nI could easily read it as \"646 people ate a plant-based diet. At least one of them got diabetes.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494307229624897537","reply_id":"1494666975091433474","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494668593400664066","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1264368502778900480":{"id":"1264368502778900480","date":"2020-05-24 01:31:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz It's actually a toe-slice if you check the freeze frame.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1264367040451743744","reply_id":"1264367040451743744","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1264368502778900480","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1792656003630325992":{"id":"1792656003630325992","date":"2024-05-20 20:37:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Every time I think we've reached peak NYT, they manage to scale greater heights of NYT-ness.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1792656003630325992","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":36,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2877,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1792656003630325992_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1792656003630325992","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1651331783995138048":{"id":"1651331783995138048","date":"2023-04-26 21:05:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@GrantStenger @Gurgorio https://www.amazon.com/Quantum-Challenge-Foundations-Mechanics-Astronomy/dp/076372470X","hashtags":[],"conv":"1650988674224627713","reply_id":"1651244113864581120","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GrantStenger","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":123,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1651331783995138048","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1571670116806578176":{"id":"1571670116806578176","date":"2022-09-19 01:18:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NewRiverInvest @FREAK0NAUT @Chaelelo @nope_its_lily @OGTaylorB ☝️☝️☝️☝️☝️☝️☝️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1571636409651580929","reply_id":"1571670012754268160","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GRoditiD","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1571670116806578176","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1994537639832432680":{"id":"1994537639832432680","date":"2025-11-28 22:43:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Ppl in the replies who don't get sarcasm are 🧑‍🍳💋.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1994342883093065852","reply_id":"1994342883093065852","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2119,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1994537639832432680","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1125794530941255682":{"id":"1125794530941255682","date":"2019-05-07 16:08:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2nd most important investment advice: get your latest brokerage statement. Scan it for fees: brokerage fees, advisor fees, management fees, whatever. I bet 90% of people are paying more fees than they should. Minimizing fees is also 100% guaranteed money. #fees #lawsoftrading","hashtags":["fees","lawsoftrading"],"conv":"1125794530941255682","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1125794530941255682","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1348696389773979650":{"id":"1348696389773979650","date":"2021-01-11 18:20:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HowIBuiltThis @STUCKNORRIS They used to.\n\nhttps://www.quora.com/Did-the-words-laughter-and-daughter-ever-rhyme-at-some-point","hashtags":[],"conv":"1348686366696214530","reply_id":"1348693494387367936","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HowIBuiltThis","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1348696389773979650","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1722460395020202358":{"id":"1722460395020202358","date":"2023-11-09 03:45:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Seein' lots of newly-minted fractional-CTOs-for-hire out there on the Linkedin timeline...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1722460395020202358","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3010,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1722460395020202358","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1601682203162787840":{"id":"1601682203162787840","date":"2022-12-10 20:56:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Its first piece of \"reasoning\" is already wrong.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1601682004294381568","reply_id":"1601682004294381568","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1601682203162787840","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1519449294926868480":{"id":"1519449294926868480","date":"2022-04-27 22:51:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Historians in the future will look back to our time to identify Patient Zero in the eventual world takeover by failed \"you don't need your password anymore\" startups.\n\nIt's like Twelve Monkeys, only more bleak.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1519449294926868480","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1519449294926868480","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1378714844904366082":{"id":"1378714844904366082","date":"2021-04-04 14:23:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@2_7182818285 @kairosdojo Imagine a book w/ infinitely small tick sizes. I.e. a price could be any real number.\n\nThen you could always be at the top of the queue if you want to be, just take best bid/offer and add/subtract epsilon.\n\nBut when tick size is large, queue priority at a px level matters.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1378060878768185349","reply_id":"1378692571304755206","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"2_7182818285","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1378714844904366082","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1837540892632129597":{"id":"1837540892632129597","date":"2024-09-21 17:14:23","author":"Camille","handle":"camlperr","text":"@toiletkingcap @AgustinLebron3 A lot of algorithms are sensitive to the ranges of input values. They have to be normalized (e.g. replace each value with its stdev from the mean) so that the algorithm doesn’t learn e.g. that larger values are more important than smaller ones.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1837529061276442989","reply_id":"1837537344125112506","quote_id":"1837551775861420145","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"toiletkingcap","likes":25,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":4276,"bookmarks":40,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/camlperr/status/1837540892632129597"},"1763045257925836808":{"id":"1763045257925836808","date":"2024-02-29 03:35:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AnthonyLeeZhang The people who follow me don't.\nBut only Google's board's opinion matters...\n\nhttps://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1760514081218572795","hashtags":[],"conv":"1763044334083912078","reply_id":"1763044334083912078","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alz_zyd_","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":294,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1763045257925836808","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1976658013957378196":{"id":"1976658013957378196","date":"2025-10-10 14:36:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@optionsly Neither of these are insider trading prosecutions.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1976645088433656219","reply_id":"1976657340003926145","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"optionsly","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":272,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1976658013957378196","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1912955949205037241":{"id":"1912955949205037241","date":"2025-04-17 19:46:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Remember when lambdas were going to commoditize compute so that it wouldn't matter what hardware anything runs on?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1912955949205037241","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":5460,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1912955949205037241","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1785324769963036740":{"id":"1785324769963036740","date":"2024-04-30 15:06:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeepDishEnjoyer Here's a problem: quality math/science teachers have much better job options than quality humanities teachers.\n\nBut they're pretty much forced to be paid the same.\n\nIt's not all of the problem, but it's a big part.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1785319991845240844","reply_id":"1785319991845240844","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeepDishEnjoyer","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":654,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1785324769963036740","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1548871897483382785":{"id":"1548871897483382785","date":"2022-07-18 03:26:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @0xdoug Haha.\n\nEverything depends on the target market obviously.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548864396797018113","reply_id":"1548871453759926273","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1548871897483382785","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2026208785002356779":{"id":"2026208785002356779","date":"2026-02-24 08:13:14","author":"Matthew Willis","handle":"mattracquet","text":"RT @mattracquet: While I think the debate on whether tennis is better now or 10-20 years ago is genuinely interesting for a few reasons, I'm more interested in the idea that Alcaraz and Sinner (and the Big 3) might be partially wasting their all time talents because the Tour has decided that nearly 70% of elite tournaments on the men's side (Masters, ATP Finals, Slams) are to be played on medium to medium fast hard courts (including Saudi masters from 2027)\nIn doing so the Tour is likely narrowing both developmental progression and potential for variety of playstyles that playing on three distinct surfaces used to gift this sport with. Of course poly strings and to a lesser extent modern racquets mean that something close to game theory optimal tennis strategy converges across all surfaces. For e.g. hit a huge but repeatable first serve and then hit a huge but high margin forehand, meaning 70% of points Alcaraz and Sinner play on serve are over in just a couple of racquet swings, regardless of surface. But I'm confused why there's so little urgency around the real homogenisation of conditions, specifically the creep of hard courts eating the tour. And the possibility of unwanted long term effects like a loss of matchup and skill set diversity\nGrass and clay, while playing much closer to hard courts than they did in the 1970's, are still sufficiently different to produce matchup and shot diversity at the elite level. You can see this turn up in return strategy differences in the clay to grass season transition, slice rates etc. I think tennis is suffering from short sightedness by allowing the tour to become so hard court dominant. And the more near-identical hard courts we have the easier is it to justify more tournaments on that surface in the name of calendar consistency. A self-perpetuating concrete creep. This is part of the justification used in the continued marginalisation of the South American golden swing happening now\n\nIt's probably not a question of cost and maintenance for grass, not at the elite level. Three grass court warmups (Berlin WTA, Stuttgart ATP, Mallorca WTA) spend approx $600k annually collectively for grass court maintenance. This is not prohibitive for the profit margins that Masters 1000's or Slams operate under (but it is for smaller events, which is its own issue). It's a question of will and thinking about short and long term tradeoffs\n\nWe're slowly losing one of the things that makes tennis genuinely great, surface diversity. This doesn't show up in most audience analysis. In part because the creep of hard courts has been gradual, but also because it's impossible to miss what you haven't experienced. But there is an opportunity cost to having great players mostly ply their trade on one rather than three more evenly split surfaces, and an even greater cost to junior players optimising mostly for a hard court tour rather than a grass, clay, and hard court environment\n\nThe Alcaraz Sinner Roland Garros final was by far their greatest match so far, in part because the surface blunted serves and pushed both into all sorts of interesting point construction. Matches like that are a forcing function for better and more interesting versions of those players in years to come. The tournament composition is mostly baked in now for decades to come (two week masters have been given 30 year contracts). But I'll be mourning the counterfactual greats. Richer, stranger versions of players we never got to meet, shapeshifting across surfaces, yet sacrificed to institutional short-sightedness","hashtags":[],"conv":"2026208785002356779","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2025970938014003309","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":84,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1,"bookmarks":0,"media":["2026208785002356779_1.jpg","2026208785002356779_2.png","2026208785002356779_3.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mattracquet/status/2026208785002356779"},"1478872325927804930":{"id":"1478872325927804930","date":"2022-01-05 23:33:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@clairlemon This idea generalizes to most public-facing pursuits. The adverse selection turns it into a race-to-the-I'm-an-entertainer-bottom.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1478869798666731520","reply_id":"1478869798666731520","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"clairlemon","likes":5,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1478872325927804930","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1639327968710508545":{"id":"1639327968710508545","date":"2023-03-24 18:06:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount But it solves the customer demand-for-their-services problem.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1639325589831307264","reply_id":"1639325755384512513","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":590,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1639327968710508545","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1700179048872452264":{"id":"1700179048872452264","date":"2023-09-08 16:07:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AlexanderGerko @macrocephalopod @nope_its_lily @WallStWeeb I think it was a paraphrasing of my original statement, but I do feel like the clarification was in the right direction.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1699961937889792362","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1115,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1700179048872452264","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1536193948049240064":{"id":"1536193948049240064","date":"2022-06-13 03:49:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@longskew Lots of bad banks.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536193541633978368","reply_id":"1536193541633978368","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"longskew","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1536193948049240064","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1448743433330323468":{"id":"1448743433330323468","date":"2021-10-14 20:12:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"“[...] liberalism’s essential telos as being the liberation of the individual from all limiting ties of place, tradition, religion, associations, and relationships, [...], in pursuit of the radical autonomy of the modern consumer.”\n\n👏👏👏\n\nhttps://palladiummag.com/2021/10/11/the-triumph-and-terror-of-wang-huning/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448743433330323468","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448743433330323468","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1981270108644524328":{"id":"1981270108644524328","date":"2025-10-23 08:02:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The French detective that's leading the Louvre robbery investigation vs the guy that *should* be leading it.\n\n@dieworkwear what say you?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1981270108644524328","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":29,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":5424,"bookmarks":3,"media":["1981270108644524328_1.jpg","1981270108644524328_2.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1981270108644524328","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1521945543647186945":{"id":"1521945543647186945","date":"2022-05-04 20:11:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @therobotjames Wow that's brutal.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1517683395945451521","reply_id":"1521931494150873096","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1521945543647186945","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1982548100158984445":{"id":"1982548100158984445","date":"2025-10-26 20:41:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HF_Trader Start with Arduino kits with breadboards. That's what I did, worked great.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1982466061401550985","reply_id":"1982466061401550985","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HF_Trader","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":405,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1982548100158984445","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1523497189871276032":{"id":"1523497189871276032","date":"2022-05-09 02:56:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod Any good grifter knows the best grift is the meta-grift.\n\nTeaching aspiring grifters how to grift better is the way to riches.\n\nI dub it the g combinator.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1523435581740527616","reply_id":"1523435581740527616","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":25,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1523497189871276032","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1567875893972058114":{"id":"1567875893972058114","date":"2022-09-08 14:01:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@etdebruin @janniksin That was probably the greatest quarterfinal match in the history of tennis.\n\nI love them both but Alcaraz has that little extra edge.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1567731223510011904","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1567875893972058114","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1876189003889942929":{"id":"1876189003889942929","date":"2025-01-06 08:48:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod For sure.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1876175721913360632","reply_id":"1876176994301608315","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":752,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1876189003889942929","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1944429015030239629":{"id":"1944429015030239629","date":"2025-07-13 16:09:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Feels like Sinner has to do something special, whereas Carlos just has to play his game and that will be enough.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1944429015030239629","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":5005,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1944429015030239629","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1927737697570796014":{"id":"1927737697570796014","date":"2025-05-28 14:44:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's literally this GIF.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1927737582168748200","reply_id":"1927737582168748200","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":26,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2443,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1927737697570796014","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1521918857761329152":{"id":"1521918857761329152","date":"2022-05-04 18:25:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sw33tY4ms @Mike_Hunt_Sr Because they're from the cable company.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1521916199059300352","reply_id":"1521918660859895808","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"return_stacking","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1521918857761329152","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1603250002800758784":{"id":"1603250002800758784","date":"2022-12-15 04:46:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm What alpha could a rando FAANG eng possibly leak?\n\nCNBC is a non-bar to clear, in fairness.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1603246334802546688","reply_id":"1603246334802546688","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":50,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1603250002800758784","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1428476001999220737":{"id":"1428476001999220737","date":"2021-08-19 21:56:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@drewg__ Now flip it, make them losses instead of wins.\n\nNot so easy, is it? 😆","hashtags":[],"conv":"1428461754993029126","reply_id":"1428461754993029126","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bookdepth","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1428476001999220737","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1493424472430239745":{"id":"1493424472430239745","date":"2022-02-15 03:18:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @theemilyaccount @salr_nyc Wow.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493387393142976512","reply_id":"1493424111598505986","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493424472430239745","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1454896793892704258":{"id":"1454896793892704258","date":"2021-10-31 19:43:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2/ Numbers vary but from a cursory look, somewhere between 55% and 65% of American children between 6-17 play some form of organized team sports (i.e. with instructors and coaches).\n\nAdd in the tennis, golf, running, and other individual sports and you're surely around 70%.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1454896792802267140","reply_id":"1454896792802267140","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1454896793892704258","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1593085845468499968":{"id":"1593085845468499968","date":"2022-11-17 03:37:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MinvstrD @SpacChad @StevenMandrapa Like I said at the outset: it's about your default mode.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1593060104274075650","reply_id":"1593085607760515072","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MinvstrD","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1593085845468499968","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1567539851972743169":{"id":"1567539851972743169","date":"2022-09-07 15:46:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HFTBread @sasuke___420 @cryptohound666 @theemilyaccount @NicoPollari @therobotjames @witchqueendot And an unwillingness/inability to hire real devops people as opposed to people who click Docker buttons.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1567346642105286656","reply_id":"1567538393206370304","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1567539851972743169","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1715371787733860378":{"id":"1715371787733860378","date":"2023-10-20 14:17:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbateman @paulg @ganeumann I'm going to need to read this book aren't I? :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1715361464469295285","reply_id":"1715367743887700284","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbateman","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":169,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1715371787733860378","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1432745779957940226":{"id":"1432745779957940226","date":"2021-08-31 16:43:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NihilistTrader The gift that keeps on giving...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1432736340664365057","reply_id":"1432736340664365057","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"NihilistTrader","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1432745779957940226","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1772115040164024833":{"id":"1772115040164024833","date":"2024-03-25 04:15:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dwarkesh_sp I can help with RFIC things, but there's not much of a market for enthusiastic amateurs in that stuff.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1772012760022544730","reply_id":"1772012760022544730","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dwarkesh_sp","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":459,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1772115040164024833","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1729882036624838932":{"id":"1729882036624838932","date":"2023-11-29 15:16:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"About as self-recommending as they come.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1729882036624838932","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":18137,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1729882036624838932","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1285027011220484096":{"id":"1285027011220484096","date":"2020-07-20 01:41:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Tim_Dettmers @zacharylipton Couldn't agree more. Transformers as an architecture for AGI are a clear dead-end IMO. You need LTM, modules for generating ontologies, logical reasoning, etc. We haven't figured almost any of this out yet.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1284994545327972352","reply_id":"1285000751912153090","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Tim_Dettmers","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1285027011220484096","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1347939884850319365":{"id":"1347939884850319365","date":"2021-01-09 16:14:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@realohtweets @antoniogm The biggest takeaway for me (having seen every one from 35 onwards) is precisely that human lives are endlessly complex.\n\nThey're hard to summarize retrospectively for N>1.\n\nAnd forget about making particularly precise predictions ex-ante.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1347931692409868289","reply_id":"1347932622618578945","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"realohtweets","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1347939884850319365","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1544452527290060801":{"id":"1544452527290060801","date":"2022-07-05 22:45:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SpencerBosma I consider myself suitably chastened.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1544449243464617984","reply_id":"1544451984341667841","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SpencerBosma","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1544452527290060801","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1551625190987051009":{"id":"1551625190987051009","date":"2022-07-25 17:47:27","author":"Brett Harrison","handle":"BrettHarrison","text":"1/ It's not widely understood outside the industry how prolific software developers need to be at successful trading firms and quant hedge funds.\n\nThe tech involved, comments on developing software at Jane Street, and differing approaches to software between finance and big tech:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1551625190987051009","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1551745776509825026","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":631,"retweets":90,"replies":17,"quotes":25,"views":0,"bookmarks":318,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/BrettHarrison/status/1551625190987051009"},"1482799232893419524":{"id":"1482799232893419524","date":"2022-01-16 19:37:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lightspringfox You're probably right.\n\nMany of our thoughts about ourselves are actually thoughts about what others think about us.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482748235496058880","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482799232893419524","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2010687239932530937":{"id":"2010687239932530937","date":"2026-01-12 12:16:09","author":"Jeff Sackmann","handle":"tennisabstract","text":"@AgustinLebron3 The important thing is that levels 3, 5, and 6 (and presumably 7+) allow us to tab over to twitter and keep each other posted.\n\n(guess what I'm waiting on atm...)","hashtags":[],"conv":"2010676436143636630","reply_id":"2010676436143636630","quote_id":"2010701968226832489","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":5922,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tennisabstract/status/2010687239932530937"},"1720445080409096256":{"id":"1720445080409096256","date":"2023-11-03 14:17:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@matt_levine Either way, it's not like he's distinguished himself so far in the \"listen to good advice\" department.\n\nLike, I get the sense it would have been a *lot* more difficult to convict him if he hadn't gone on his insane apologize-and-give-prosecutors-evidence festival after the crash.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1720437556469477428","reply_id":"1720442452803248620","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"matt_levine","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":659,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1720445080409096256","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1769889371346620520":{"id":"1769889371346620520","date":"2024-03-19 00:51:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Cope harder.\nhttps://www.infoworld.com/article/3714401/c-plus-plus-creator-rebuts-white-house-warning.html","hashtags":[],"conv":"1769889371346620520","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3164,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1769889371346620520_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1769889371346620520","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2055177832184066203":{"id":"2055177832184066203","date":"2026-05-15 06:45:53","author":"Martin Shkreli","handle":"MartinShkreli","text":"RT @MartinShkreli: when i was younger, i was very insecure. i did this kind of thing too. over time you learn that it is critical to be truthful and not misleading about every single thing you do. i had to learn this lesson the hard way, but boy, have i internalized it. UNDERSELL yourself.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2055177832184066203","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2054944489723007266","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":304,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["2055177832184066203_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/MartinShkreli/status/2055177832184066203"},"1419359548079411202":{"id":"1419359548079411202","date":"2021-07-25 18:11:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Sg423Sg Yeah, it's pretty transparent isn't it?\n\n\"Our vision is... [checks notes]... any technology which puts moar screen in front of your face moar often.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1419357963567845376","reply_id":"1419359038060605442","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Sg423Sg","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1419359548079411202","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1839563863617929477":{"id":"1839563863617929477","date":"2024-09-27 07:12:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@namit_chopra Uh yeah... hugely successful...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1839549707552530777","reply_id":"1839553777042354200","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"namit_chopra","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":802,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1839563863617929477","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1389400561993195524":{"id":"1389400561993195524","date":"2021-05-04 02:04:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @thodoha @skawtbrown @SBF_Alameda @AlamedaTrabuco Dude, I've picked up more than a few nuggets of gold from your threads...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1389387050856579072","reply_id":"1389399650189275139","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1389400561993195524","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1854556590025662538":{"id":"1854556590025662538","date":"2024-11-07 16:08:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CJHandmer @mattyglesias There's always a constituency of the young, educated, affluent and guilty...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1854537372245074396","reply_id":"1854553338349810047","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"CJHandmer","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":201,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1854556590025662538","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1913302285586764255":{"id":"1913302285586764255","date":"2025-04-18 18:43:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @SinclairEuan @Gingfacekillah @pmaymin @PTetlock @bennpeifert 🙏🙏🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1913254641615446217","reply_id":"1913254644522082341","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":816,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1913302285586764255","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1567538393206370304":{"id":"1567538393206370304","date":"2022-09-07 15:40:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HFTBread @sasuke___420 @cryptohound666 @theemilyaccount @NicoPollari @therobotjames @witchqueendot I make no claims about this specific design decision.\n\nBut in general, there are way too many idiotic microservices-based architectures in the world as a workaround for being stuck with 8xlarge's and a dream that \"one day we'll scale to Netflix-size\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1567346642105286656","reply_id":"1567537708066553858","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HFTBread","likes":10,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1567538393206370304","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2057812471168000191":{"id":"2057812471168000191","date":"2026-05-22 13:15:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Has anyone rediscovered something from second principles?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2057812471168000191","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":76,"retweets":1,"replies":17,"quotes":0,"views":7926,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2057812471168000191","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1417331388781527041":{"id":"1417331388781527041","date":"2021-07-20 03:51:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JKevin2011 @therobotjames @sajidnizami The former is really well-studied (and traded).\n\nFor capturing OVP I'd look at stuff with more idiosyncratic risk. TSLA or something.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1417300898234003457","reply_id":"1417331027039727616","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JKevin2011","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1417331388781527041","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1289572336446799872":{"id":"1289572336446799872","date":"2020-08-01 14:42:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Teacher wants more funding for schools? Duh.\n\nHigh-status journalist argues for free speech? Sure.\n\nThe point isn't that these things are bad ideas. It's that, with the glut of information in today's world, you need to pick and choose what to pay attention to.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1289572334110568448","reply_id":"1289572335683428352","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1289572336446799872","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1606481215338721280":{"id":"1606481215338721280","date":"2022-12-24 02:45:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@typedfemale Just keep adding eye(n) until it is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1606181929400668160","reply_id":"1606181929400668160","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"typedfemale","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":151,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1606481215338721280","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1788411455785836698":{"id":"1788411455785836698","date":"2024-05-09 03:31:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeepDishEnjoyer Standup comedy is an inherently male artform in the same way that ballet is an inherently female one.\n\nAll genders can do it, but the aesthetics are gendered in a particular way.\n\nComedy is much broader than standup and admits a much wider aesthetic.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788410675460514013","reply_id":"1788410675460514013","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeepDishEnjoyer","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":435,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788411455785836698","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1430524779090513926":{"id":"1430524779090513926","date":"2021-08-25 13:37:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @jasonzweigwsj @vixologist @JessicaNutt96 I use Trajan myself. If it's good enough for every movie poster in the 90s, it's good enough for me.\n\nhttps://www.vox.com/2018/6/28/17514024/trajan-movie-posters\n\nOr Papyrus.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1430506417061044232","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1430524779090513926","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2030918640074404178":{"id":"2030918640074404178","date":"2026-03-09 08:08:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"One could learn a lot about the functioning of the modern US political system by watching old episodes of Unfrozen Caveman Lawyer.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2030918640074404178","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2048,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2030918640074404178","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1646906467767947265":{"id":"1646906467767947265","date":"2023-04-14 16:01:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Turns out what's going to prevent the AI apocalypse is good old fashioned NIMBYism.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1646906467767947265","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3124,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1646906467767947265","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1482802722311053313":{"id":"1482802722311053313","date":"2022-01-16 19:51:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @lightspringfox Accountant.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482748235496058880","reply_id":"1482799982134829058","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482802722311053313","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1368761926285627393":{"id":"1368761926285627393","date":"2021-03-08 03:14:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OrdinaryWooper @bennpeifert I mean, anyone with a mortgage who paid it off.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1368627475056488448","reply_id":"1368631000071352321","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OrdinaryWooper","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1368761926285627393","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1590853258582831105":{"id":"1590853258582831105","date":"2022-11-10 23:45:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug It's called \"making markets\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1590852806126489601","reply_id":"1590852806126489601","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1590853258582831105","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1775830206801945036":{"id":"1775830206801945036","date":"2024-04-04 10:18:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@__schaal__ \"Non-complex\" is debatable, at least from an operational perspective. Doing mom properly requires trading a lot of instruments and managing a lot of positions.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1775826749449719887","reply_id":"1775829140555329542","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"__schaal__","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":752,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1775830206801945036","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1479945769301905409":{"id":"1479945769301905409","date":"2022-01-08 22:39:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @JessicaNutt96 I'm pretty partial to this argument.\n\nFinance siphoned away a bunch of 2nd-tier physicists. Best to assume people are pretty smart. If you're top tier academically you can probably tell and you probably stay. Lots of smart ppl realize they're not winning the tournament and leave.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1479890868031180805","reply_id":"1479939665511829507","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":48,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1479945769301905409","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2065921881618661814":{"id":"2065921881618661814","date":"2026-06-13 22:18:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Found in the back of my sister's cupboard. Original logo, IYKYK.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2065921881618661814","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":156,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":11537,"bookmarks":14,"media":["2065921881618661814_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2065921881618661814","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1170011738147700736":{"id":"1170011738147700736","date":"2019-09-06 16:31:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@WayneHimelsein My 3rd Law of Trading: \"Take the risks you're being paid to take, hedge the others.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1170007380186271747","reply_id":"1170007380186271747","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"WayneHimelsein","likes":9,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1170011738147700736","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2073370675360706961":{"id":"2073370675360706961","date":"2026-07-04 11:37:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In the annals of shockingly stupid policies with broad public support, the UK's triple lock has to be one of the very stupidest.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2073370675360706961","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":161,"retweets":8,"replies":14,"quotes":1,"views":16968,"bookmarks":21,"media":["2073370675360706961_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2073370675360706961","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1788923697908339031":{"id":"1788923697908339031","date":"2024-05-10 13:27:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Asking for a friend who believes I know things about personal finance. (I don't).\n\nWhere to put ~$1M for 3 years:\n- No principal risk\n- No crazy counterparty risk\n- Assume 25% marginal tax rate\n\nShill me your best ideas (not BOXX, I doubt that's long for this world).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788923697908339031","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":110,"retweets":1,"replies":56,"quotes":2,"views":55579,"bookmarks":80,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788923697908339031","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1420131149720932352":{"id":"1420131149720932352","date":"2021-07-27 21:17:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Yay! With more data, I get better statistics on my strat. EV, drawdown, etc etc. There is much rejoicing!\n\nOr is there?\n\n5/n","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420131145669169153","reply_id":"1420131148739407872","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420131149720932352","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1351355214457053185":{"id":"1351355214457053185","date":"2021-01-19 02:26:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ksidiii @nearcausality @saah1lk Totally fair.\n\nGreat strats always combine (either explicitly or implicitly) multiple small edges.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1351315283827417091","reply_id":"1351354514520027139","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Ksidiii","likes":3,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1351355214457053185","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1393362139243372544":{"id":"1393362139243372544","date":"2021-05-15 00:26:36","author":"Brendan Fraser Crane","handle":"bf_crane","text":"Stayed home from work today dealing with some vaccine symptoms. Let's take this opportunity to appreciate a more pleasant day off.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1393362139243372544","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1395075006707666947","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":170,"retweets":13,"replies":5,"quotes":13,"views":0,"bookmarks":27,"media":["1393362139243372544_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bf_crane/status/1393362139243372544"},"1546931785581219841":{"id":"1546931785581219841","date":"2022-07-12 18:57:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"24/ \n\n- The specific question or set of questions you’re going to try to answer.\n\n- An estimate about which data (and how much of it) you’re going to need to look at. Data is a scarce resource and we can’t afford to waste it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546931744426758145","reply_id":"1546931784373350400","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546931785581219841","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1696959601147801848":{"id":"1696959601147801848","date":"2023-08-30 18:54:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"At this point, I think the SEC and OCC just keep Wells Fargo around as a revenue stream.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1696959601147801848","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":31,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":5102,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1696959601147801848","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1957667318684619245":{"id":"1957667318684619245","date":"2025-08-19 04:53:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"IMO this is perhaps the strongest argument against my critique of prediction markets.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957667318684619245","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":148,"retweets":2,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":20186,"bookmarks":69,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1957667318684619245","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1976977842975260761":{"id":"1976977842975260761","date":"2025-10-11 11:47:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Ain't no atheists in foxholes.\n\nAin't no systematic strategies in drawdowns.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1976977842975260761","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":135,"retweets":6,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":11179,"bookmarks":22,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1976977842975260761","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1430530403937308680":{"id":"1430530403937308680","date":"2021-08-25 14:00:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lightspringfox Having strat names that you'd be embarrassed to see on the NYT front-page (or more likely, in a @matt_levine \narticle) has been beaten into me so hard that I follow that principle even when I don't have to anymore.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1430470505249660931","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1430530403937308680","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2030948600944144599":{"id":"2030948600944144599","date":"2026-03-09 10:07:34","author":"Chris Arnade 🐢🐱🚌","handle":"Chris_arnade","text":"We don't have public restrooms because they'd be trashed in days.\n\nWe don't build bus stops because they'd become homeless shelters.\n\nWe don't have dense walkable cities because nobody wants to be accosted by strangers.\n\nThis is because we have chosen to accept public disorder, and as the rest of the world shows, it doesn't have to be that way  \n\nhttps://walkingtheworld.substack.com/p/america-and-public-disorder","hashtags":[],"conv":"2030948600944144599","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2030975246195380593","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7515,"retweets":1151,"replies":277,"quotes":113,"views":539254,"bookmarks":748,"media":["2030948600944144599_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Chris_arnade/status/2030948600944144599"},"1258757344558673920":{"id":"1258757344558673920","date":"2020-05-08 13:55:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AMKcm @squirrel_blind @bennpeifert @TheSpeculator0 @o_wutang This is something I used to think about a lot: how to quantify the value of the seat, i.e. the VORP of the person. Most trading is so noisy that it's just really really hard.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1258184053326376961","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1258757344558673920","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1936814580988071969":{"id":"1936814580988071969","date":"2025-06-22 15:52:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tennisabstract is there something interesting to study in drop shot defense?\n- Best/worst overall defenders.\n- Best/worst normalizing for court position.\n- Some way to break down raw speed vs good reaction to surprise.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1936814580988071969","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tennisabstract","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":254,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1936814580988071969","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1585407247001059328":{"id":"1585407247001059328","date":"2022-10-26 23:05:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"9/ This is the challenge to tool developers, I believe.\n\nCreate the human-machine hybrid that efficiently defines problems well enough, where the machine can be an aid not a hindrance, so that anyone who CAN think clearly enough CAN solve problems with machines.\n\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"1585407235311964168","reply_id":"1585407245767974912","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1585407247001059328","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1548759636009897984":{"id":"1548759636009897984","date":"2022-07-17 20:00:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SquishChaos How about just sizing proportional to perceived edge?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548756720540782592","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1548759636009897984","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1792330621563605469":{"id":"1792330621563605469","date":"2024-05-19 23:04:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AffectiveAutism @robinhanson @tylercowen I'm having a hard time actually.\n\nWhat large economic value can be hedged with prediction markets that can't be hedged by existing financial ones?\n\n(Note the hedging focus. All markets trivially are \"prediction markets\" for sharps/speculators who want to bet on things.)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1651947037645217793","reply_id":"1792309955267121603","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AffectiveAutism","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":106,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1792330621563605469","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2048030338446721032":{"id":"2048030338446721032","date":"2026-04-25 13:24:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Do you ever feel guilty taking credit for an idea an AI had?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2048030338446721032","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":7920,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2048030338446721032","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1280905340217724928":{"id":"1280905340217724928","date":"2020-07-08 16:43:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @bennpeifert @choffstein It's not a geometric/arithmetic dead horse, it's a Siegel's paradox Carboniferous era. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1280896181623754758","reply_id":"1280896181623754758","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1280905340217724928","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1602426134410547200":{"id":"1602426134410547200","date":"2022-12-12 22:12:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod Real one or bot?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602422678861754368","reply_id":"1602425816205377538","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1602426134410547200","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1555372842140610560":{"id":"1555372842140610560","date":"2022-08-05 01:59:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@overfitcapllc 1. Wonderful for you.\n\n2. Awful for whoever has to listen to you. That local entropy violation has given you a megaphone to pull the world's SNR even lower.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1555282083672510464","reply_id":"1555368513048662017","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"esnq0101","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1555372842140610560","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1775563424048521661":{"id":"1775563424048521661","date":"2024-04-03 16:38:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bubbleboi Oh I'm sure the *recruiter* is desperate to fill the role. ASAP. With a head of lettuce if they have to.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1775562431995007015","reply_id":"1775562431995007015","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bubbleboi","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":614,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1775563424048521661","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1591971711943348226":{"id":"1591971711943348226","date":"2022-11-14 01:50:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1591929856983449600","reply_id":"1591929856983449600","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1591971711943348226","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1412786724653043723":{"id":"1412786724653043723","date":"2021-07-07 14:52:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein That's what you call \"a day at the office\" in ETF MM land.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1412786502891970561","reply_id":"1412786502891970561","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1412786724653043723","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1510105459872526337":{"id":"1510105459872526337","date":"2022-04-02 04:02:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Does anyone else find Polkadot exhausting?\n\nIt feels like when you're teaching, and one of your students hands in a perfectly decent assignment but it's 10 pages and everyone else's is 3.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1510105459872526337","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1510105459872526337","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1501717686186741762":{"id":"1501717686186741762","date":"2022-03-10 00:32:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @M1tchRosenthal Precisely. And note that {chg in SPX} and {chg in realized var} have interesting interrelationships, so naively separating the two isn't going to give great answers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"1501717178294616064","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501717686186741762","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1572413179258638336":{"id":"1572413179258638336","date":"2022-09-21 02:31:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What does it look like when a 99% of a society's words, images and ideas are generated by semantic meat grinders pointed in the general direction of the arguments/exhortations/marketing someone is being paid to make?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1572413177895464960","reply_id":"1572413177895464960","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1572413179258638336","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1687902469832282113":{"id":"1687902469832282113","date":"2023-08-05 19:04:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3MltghEG7l8","hashtags":[],"conv":"1687902469832282113","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1998,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1687902469832282113","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1473817048908062721":{"id":"1473817048908062721","date":"2021-12-23 00:45:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano @drunkengrass You're probably right. So is the work worth $600k/year or not?\n\nThere's a market-clearing price here. It's not like it's some ancient human language that no longer has any speakers. COBOL is perfectly learnable today. Either it's worth learning or it's not.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1473796231079948291","reply_id":"1473815340278849537","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1473817048908062721","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2071193189436866757":{"id":"2071193189436866757","date":"2026-06-28 11:25:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"People in the replies talking about Terms Of Service as though there were handed down from God, inviolate, always reasonable merely by existing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2070847110522474870","reply_id":"2070847110522474870","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1654,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2071193189436866757","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1644475001607950336":{"id":"1644475001607950336","date":"2023-04-07 22:59:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 @0xfbifemboy Typical monthly rent? Can I find people to play tennis with nearby?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1644458303752400896","reply_id":"1644474453571809282","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":210,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1644475001607950336","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1694138276523991384":{"id":"1694138276523991384","date":"2023-08-23 00:03:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Seen in my son's new high school planner. I guess they're trying to hit a range of knowledge levels?!?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1694138276523991384","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":39,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":4636,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1694138276523991384_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1694138276523991384","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1522800995738128385":{"id":"1522800995738128385","date":"2022-05-07 04:50:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"... However, when disaster struck and there were no more trained soldiers and no more expert potters around, the general population lacked the skills and structures needed to create alternative military and economic systems...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1522800993259249665","reply_id":"1522800994693701632","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1522800995738128385","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1550145279248125952":{"id":"1550145279248125952","date":"2022-07-21 15:46:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano @volmagorov @TheTradeBuster @therobotjames @pmontu33 @breakingthemark @darjohn25 @Gingfacekillah Everything was fine until PBS news showed up.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548007648007634944","reply_id":"1550136414234370049","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1550145279248125952","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1423793404001931265":{"id":"1423793404001931265","date":"2021-08-06 23:49:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Among the best writing on AGI was this from @s_r_constantin 4.5 years ago:\n\nhttps://srconstantin.wordpress.com/2017/02/21/strong-ai-isnt-here-yet/\n\nI agree that we need breakthroughs in representing concepts. I'd love to know what @s_r_constantin would change in this post, if she were to write it today.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1423793404001931265","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1423793404001931265","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1700173714233668089":{"id":"1700173714233668089","date":"2023-09-08 15:46:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @nope_its_lily @WallStWeeb Is harder than doing at-the-edge math/physics research? No.\n\nBut that's not the counterfactual 99.9% of the time.\n\nIt's much easier to be a successful dentist or a lawyer than to be a successful trader.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1699961937889792362","reply_id":"1700155666193608934","quote_id":"1700173914415219018","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":12,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":3819,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1700173714233668089","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1420559257582260224":{"id":"1420559257582260224","date":"2021-07-29 01:38:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily I think that's called YMCA rec leagues.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420558707272740866","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420559257582260224","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1847615123260658131":{"id":"1847615123260658131","date":"2024-10-19 12:25:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JaredKubin Hard to not say the DeepStack paper(s).\n\nBest target time period? I'll let you know when I find out myself!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847610792113316169","reply_id":"1847614293191135578","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JaredKubin","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1026,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847615123260658131","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1709746753887699062":{"id":"1709746753887699062","date":"2023-10-05 01:46:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bookdepth @quantymacro A lot of value traded was human brokered.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709714391380238814","reply_id":"1709746399611621512","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":526,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1709746753887699062","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1437817075100049408":{"id":"1437817075100049408","date":"2021-09-14 16:34:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5/ To the extent it's because options are cool, or options are hard, or options are what {person I admire} trades, you're just trading off $ so that you can feel a feeling.\n\nThat's fine, but don't expect to be the one with all the chips at the end of the night.\n\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"1437817071014801410","reply_id":"1437817074131226624","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1437817075100049408","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1758643172123840661":{"id":"1758643172123840661","date":"2024-02-17 00:03:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Name a more immobile tennis player than Milos Raonic. I'll wait.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1758643172123840661","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":3169,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1758643172123840661","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1985240989100114208":{"id":"1985240989100114208","date":"2025-11-03 07:01:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Vibes are shifting.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1985240989100114208","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":53,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":14815,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1985240989100114208","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1795961166407045529":{"id":"1795961166407045529","date":"2024-05-29 23:31:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"{what my 15 year old believes he knows} / {the amount he knows when I ask a question to which he inevitably responds \"I don't know\"}\n\nIt's a large number.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1795961166407045529","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3975,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1795961166407045529","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1476647293080137730":{"id":"1476647293080137730","date":"2021-12-30 20:12:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HideNotSlide \"Power to the people.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476647085927714817","reply_id":"1476647085927714817","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HideNotSlide","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476647293080137730","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1507177548244955148":{"id":"1507177548244955148","date":"2022-03-25 02:08:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lightspringfox What's your friend good at?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507177411728789507","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507177548244955148","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1666800440665669632":{"id":"1666800440665669632","date":"2023-06-08 13:32:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"9/ Something you could build a company around.\n\nWait a second! I'm *working* at a company that makes basically the next best thing.\n\nRIM SHOULD DO A WEARABLE COMPUTER!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1666800429236207621","reply_id":"1666800439327588352","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":779,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1666800440665669632","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1645801150799843329":{"id":"1645801150799843329","date":"2023-04-11 14:49:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"A thing I've heard a half-dozen times in the last week:\n\n\"Copilot and ChatGPT are great for senior devs. But I wouldn't trust a junior with these tools.\"\n\nTo quote @tylercowen, if everyone thinks this way then solve for the equilibrium.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1645801150799843329","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":4959,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1645801150799843329","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1448106194808180740":{"id":"1448106194808180740","date":"2021-10-13 01:59:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@StudentofMarke2 @therobotjames @mpp75214 AI: what people who don't know ML call ML.\nML: what people who don't know stats call stats.\nStats: what people who don't know linear algebra call math.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448086924330246151","reply_id":"1448105520087412738","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"StudentofMarke2","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448106194808180740","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1455177648544440326":{"id":"1455177648544440326","date":"2021-11-01 14:19:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ALBACapMgmt My version:\n\n\"So you buy it when it's going up and sell it when it's going down? That sounds easy. (pause to scan my screen) Look. That one. It's going down, sell it.\"\n\n(Me freezing trying to figure out how to explain martingales to a 10 year old...)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1455175998211649538","reply_id":"1455176614057111556","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ALBACapMgmt","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1455177648544440326","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1447236998889041925":{"id":"1447236998889041925","date":"2021-10-10 16:26:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @bennpeifert @Michigandolf I just get people asking me how to get a job at \"a top prop firm\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1447035760113295367","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1447236998889041925","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1980896873721520146":{"id":"1980896873721520146","date":"2025-10-22 07:19:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The interesting question is:\n\nIn which direction does the causality run?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1980896280508268764","reply_id":"1980896280508268764","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1746,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1980896873721520146","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1603778144351096832":{"id":"1603778144351096832","date":"2022-12-16 15:44:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Kind of amazed no one gets what's going on here.\n\n1. A social network's #1 goal is engagement.\n2. The #1 source of engagement is outrage: trolling, controversy, etc.\n3. If you're the owner of a social network, why would you outsource your most important input?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1603778144351096832","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":51,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":6702,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1603778144351096832","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1244359531913555969":{"id":"1244359531913555969","date":"2020-03-29 20:23:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz Bad take. Today's NBA may have too much emphasis on 3s, but the overall skill level is so much higher. Passing, offense, team defense.\n\nI grew up watching NBA in the 80s, fond memories of Pistons/Celtics/Lakers/Bulls. But today's game is much more entertaining.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1244356645850939395","reply_id":"1244356645850939395","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1244359531913555969","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1848004125985767835":{"id":"1848004125985767835","date":"2024-10-20 14:11:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Kind of surprised VSCode doesn't support different line heights. Like for example shrinking lines with just brackets.\n\nhttps://github.com/microsoft/vscode/issues/63791#issuecomment-546001713","hashtags":[],"conv":"1848004125985767835","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2071,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1848004125985767835","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1637109706870378502":{"id":"1637109706870378502","date":"2023-03-18 15:12:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin Agreed, it's better but not *much* better.\n\nHowever I suspect that d value-to-the-world/d performance is high in this part of the curve.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1637100852170063873","reply_id":"1637100852170063873","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":377,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1637109706870378502","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1643020025371009024":{"id":"1643020025371009024","date":"2023-04-03 22:37:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Apologies for the confusion, I misunderstood your requirements.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1643020025371009024","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":5835,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1643020025371009024","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1702100192638713938":{"id":"1702100192638713938","date":"2023-09-13 23:21:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bookdepth @cam_perrault @ONAN_OUS Prices are usually martingales, except sometimes when they're not.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1702092383674880328","reply_id":"1702099193639354721","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bookdepth","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":372,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1702100192638713938","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1847927269433479398":{"id":"1847927269433479398","date":"2024-10-20 09:06:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Excellent blog post from @tennisabstract demolishing my theory for tennis:\n\nhttps://www.tennisabstract.com/blog/\n\nDefinitely worth following if you like sports analytics.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847927269433479398","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4417,"bookmarks":18,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847927269433479398","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1850879347504160941":{"id":"1850879347504160941","date":"2024-10-28 12:36:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Finance\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1850879347504160941","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":4180,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1850879347504160941","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1348693541204021249":{"id":"1348693541204021249","date":"2021-01-11 18:09:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"51/ What's the least this structure can be worth?\n\n0 obviously, when both options expire out of the money. I.e. when stock < 50 at expiration.\n\nThe most it can be worth is 1. That happens when stock >= 51.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1348693539803127808","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1348693541204021249","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1773802615719207147":{"id":"1773802615719207147","date":"2024-03-29 20:01:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@waltuuuhr @vboykis Don't you? :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1773710523390960122","reply_id":"1773799716959965539","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"waltuuuhr","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":226,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1773802615719207147","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1348693539803127808":{"id":"1348693539803127808","date":"2021-01-11 18:09:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"50/ Options factoid: spreads tell you the probabilities of things. How?\n\nImagine I buy the 50-51 call spread. That means buying the 50 strike call and selling the 51 strike call.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346863623264583681","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":3,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1348693539803127808","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1601298107634835456":{"id":"1601298107634835456","date":"2022-12-09 19:29:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Higher ed is in for such a brutal next 5 years.\n\nSet up a system where box-checking and performative \"learning\" is rewarded. Where the only incentive is to obtain the best credential you can. Cuz jobs or something.\n\nAnd now cheating gets trivially easy.\n\nYou reap what you sow.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1601298107634835456","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":49,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1601298107634835456","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1523819878498537472":{"id":"1523819878498537472","date":"2022-05-10 00:19:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LouisPhdSB Was kinda thinking that...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1523811893126721536","reply_id":"1523819321537056769","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"LouisPhdSB","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1523819878498537472","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1212955131806773252":{"id":"1212955131806773252","date":"2020-01-03 04:33:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lopezdeprado @jinchoice An integral is convolution with a Heaviside function. You can approximate a fractional integral by sums of convolutions with EWM kernels with different half lives.\n\nMy business wasn't academic proofs. It was making money trading.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1212897384860209152","reply_id":"1212950707520856064","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"lopezdeprado","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1212955131806773252","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2047567155286138917":{"id":"2047567155286138917","date":"2026-04-24 06:43:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Everyone rn.\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AU6SryiQTTg","hashtags":[],"conv":"2047567155286138917","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":5295,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2047567155286138917","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1677503449561460736":{"id":"1677503449561460736","date":"2023-07-08 02:22:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Miraje_g Exactly. Game theoretically efficient crushing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1677495908228018177","reply_id":"1677496823663976449","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Miraje_g","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":304,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1677503449561460736","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1806733475690774549":{"id":"1806733475690774549","date":"2024-06-28 16:56:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Former presidents younger than the 2024 candidates:\n\n- Bill Clinton (first elected 32 years ago).\n- George W. Bush (first elected 24 years ago).\n- Barack Obama (first elected 16 years ago). If could run for president in 2040, he'd still be younger than Biden).\n\nWTF.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1806733475690774549","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2433,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1806733475690774549","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1989438863371346045":{"id":"1989438863371346045","date":"2025-11-14 21:02:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Imagine co-inventing the transistor.\n\nAnd THEN for a second act, co-inventing the most successful theory of superconductivity.\n\nhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Bardeen","hashtags":[],"conv":"1989438863371346045","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3195,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1989438863371346045","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1583277944939589633":{"id":"1583277944939589633","date":"2022-10-21 02:04:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If it's the former, then it's a good trade.\nIf it's the latter, it's a bad one.\n\nSimple as that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1583277941156245504","reply_id":"1583277943869956097","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":14,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1583277944939589633","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1437531874595721217":{"id":"1437531874595721217","date":"2021-09-13 21:41:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RockshotJ @therobotjames @darjohn25 @FranklinLynam @FreyaHolmer Sadly, you only realize what the right notation is after you've stumbled upon the proof. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1436696408506212353","reply_id":"1437528875555246080","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RockshotJ","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1437531874595721217","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1871879384585662484":{"id":"1871879384585662484","date":"2024-12-25 11:23:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@danyallah_ The Sinclair options books are excellent. Depends what you're looking for.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1871568646155419736","reply_id":"1871864578499641769","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"danyallah_","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":218,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1871879384585662484","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1509280980439232513":{"id":"1509280980439232513","date":"2022-03-30 21:26:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Depends.\n\nIs your goal to make money or to impress the Twitter?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1509279654154498049","reply_id":"1509279654154498049","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1509280980439232513","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1818815170652893612":{"id":"1818815170652893612","date":"2024-08-01 01:05:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @experquisite There's nothing wrong with a function doing something, it's just that it should give you what it did as a return value.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1818813002738503885","reply_id":"1818813386702176566","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":653,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1818815170652893612","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1516444453753352198":{"id":"1516444453753352198","date":"2022-04-19 15:51:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@toni_forty_two I'm looking at the (young) 32 year olds getting millions of dollars from 60 year olds (who are LPs in the VCs that fund these companies).\n\nI guess our definitions of young/old shows how old we are. 🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1516430636780863495","reply_id":"1516435281091735557","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"rey_mysterio_69","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1516444453753352198","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1937769873943216514":{"id":"1937769873943216514","date":"2025-06-25 07:08:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"As has been the case throughout history, technology increases the frontier of possibilities, putting more weight and importance on your personal decisions.\n\nSubsistence farmers don't have much to *decide* about. It's just one foot in front of the other, day after day, surviving.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1937769867215511886","reply_id":"1937769872399716800","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":19,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1042,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1937769873943216514","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1482750121301344258":{"id":"1482750121301344258","date":"2022-01-16 16:22:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If you can't see the person you're helping then it's really hard to feel like you're doing anything positive.\n\nIf this is important to you, take some of the money you're making and spend it in ways that give you that feeling. Charity, etc. Everybody wins.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482748235496058880","reply_id":"1482750120374325248","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":62,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482750121301344258","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1561921128032919552":{"id":"1561921128032919552","date":"2022-08-23 03:39:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@harami_trader @mpp75214 @arkansashype @therobotjames @Cereal_Intern @MisuaRaboki If you're doing good trades in some market, it's unlikely you haven't, along the way, picked up some exposures you're not getting paid to take.\n\nPast some risk limits, it makes sense to hedge those risks out in another market.\n\n-ve edge trades there let you do more good ones.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1411890038938345472","reply_id":"1561918874672517121","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bear__hunterrr","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1561921128032919552","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1349391120061526022":{"id":"1349391120061526022","date":"2021-01-13 16:21:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @experquisite That's def true if you live in Windows-land.\n\nAnd I do like their out-of-the-box support for real-world units as types.\n\nBut at this point, IMO the tooling and library support for Ocaml probably win out for most applications.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1349370868959502337","reply_id":"1349390406677630977","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1349391120061526022","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1965055939595374607":{"id":"1965055939595374607","date":"2025-09-08 14:13:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MartinShkreli As long as you've got the capital to hang on if it goes even more in your face on its way to zero.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1965054252943831335","reply_id":"1965054252943831335","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MartinShkreli","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1659,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1965055939595374607","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1635672522405605376":{"id":"1635672522405605376","date":"2023-03-14 16:01:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @bitscalp I thought this was about moving same-ISIN stocks from one settlement system to another.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1635365144082669569","reply_id":"1635555757583368192","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":717,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1635672522405605376","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1962464144117870719":{"id":"1962464144117870719","date":"2025-09-01 10:34:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Imagine you really got into the harmonica as a kid. It was your niche hobby. People saw you as odd, maybe made fun of you.\n\nBut then harmonicas literally took over the world. Birthed trillion $ companies. Weird right?\n\nThat's how the world feels to me.\n\nhttps://reducibleerrors.com/weird-hobby/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1962464144117870719","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":58,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":7842,"bookmarks":25,"media":["1962464144117870719_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1962464144117870719","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1503878644707434499":{"id":"1503878644707434499","date":"2022-03-15 23:39:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MrBulgaria23 I've been racking my brain trying to think of firms in the middle on the left graph. Some hedge funds I guess. Not sure.\n\nOn the right it's easy. All the big mutual fund managers are zero Sharpe (relative to market) and infinite capacity.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503490626418974721","reply_id":"1503877456461242369","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MrBulgaria23","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1503878644707434499","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1715517729653043272":{"id":"1715517729653043272","date":"2023-10-20 23:57:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @be20684347 \"There's no correct answer. This isn't a class, this isn't a test.\"\n\n\"No one is coming to save us. Either we figure it out or we fail.\"\n\nHard lessons to learn after 18 years in the education-prison-industrial complex.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1715378316646256991","reply_id":"1715517429663555931","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":320,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1715517729653043272","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1597781176244064256":{"id":"1597781176244064256","date":"2022-11-30 02:34:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih Yeah. LPing is basically selling vol at a weird price that's kind of fixed but also depends on trading volume.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597690466807316480","reply_id":"1597767753385283586","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597781176244064256","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1511887387726544898":{"id":"1511887387726544898","date":"2022-04-07 02:03:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ryu_sigma Claim: JS became \"great\" by hiring people before they were known to be great.\n\nNow that they're \"great\" they hire a different category of person.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1511873822756159488","reply_id":"1511873822756159488","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"davidfucius","likes":22,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1511887387726544898","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1867480479282200779":{"id":"1867480479282200779","date":"2024-12-13 08:03:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If your favorite programming language doesn't have first-class support for tagged unions (including pattern-matching on them), it is not a serious language.\n\nYes, I realize the popular languages I'm excluding.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1867480479282200779","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":54,"retweets":3,"replies":7,"quotes":5,"views":14029,"bookmarks":16,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1867480479282200779","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1972747906798235687":{"id":"1972747906798235687","date":"2025-09-29 19:38:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Zuck evidently saw the Matrix as an aspirational sort of movie.\n\nHis innovation is trying to do it without that nasty brainstem connector thing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1972747906798235687","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":3021,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1972747906798235687","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1367716129150435332":{"id":"1367716129150435332","date":"2021-03-05 05:58:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cinglein @JessicaNutt96 AMZN had a negative Sharpe for a long time too.\n\nIt's a different business with different economics. TSLA and AMZN gain from economies of scale. Investment/trading firms mostly lose, past an easily-exceeded level.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1367678973325406215","reply_id":"1367710249851920384","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"cinglein","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1367716129150435332","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1531739423313784832":{"id":"1531739423313784832","date":"2022-05-31 20:48:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Gimme your first 5 programming languages in learning order. Mine:\n\nApplesoft Basic, 6502 assembly, Turbo Pascal, Turbo C, MS Visual C++.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1531739423313784832","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":84,"retweets":5,"replies":184,"quotes":7,"views":0,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1531739423313784832","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1781178568476889489":{"id":"1781178568476889489","date":"2024-04-19 04:30:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@fractology 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1781177505917042844","reply_id":"1781178399589027877","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"fractology","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":28,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1781178568476889489","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1983520470915059766":{"id":"1983520470915059766","date":"2025-10-29 13:05:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@clesaege @TradingNiel @Polymarket @seer_pm Prediction markets don't have goals because they're not agents. The entity providing the market IS an agent, and the goal of listing the contracts, etc, is to make money.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1976645088433656219","reply_id":"1983517834883068324","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"clesaege","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":62,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1983520470915059766","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1711872840713261125":{"id":"1711872840713261125","date":"2023-10-10 22:34:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dj_d_sol I dunno, some astrophysics or cosmology thing I guess.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1711871482362753508","reply_id":"1711872556528013775","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dj_d_sol","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":389,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1711872840713261125","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1432551418678820869":{"id":"1432551418678820869","date":"2021-08-31 03:50:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nomsnomznom @KrisAbdelmessih 🤣\n\nAs played by 99% of people no.\nBut pro golfers are definitely playing a sport.\n\nWeekend golf and tournament golf might as well be two different sports.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1432540390939267076","reply_id":"1432550911176495111","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"return_stacking","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1432551418678820869","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2069085763422068804":{"id":"2069085763422068804","date":"2026-06-22 15:51:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Prediction markets induce pro-social behaviors like accurately assessing evidence and making it public.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"2069085763422068804","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":63,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":9250,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2069085763422068804","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1296503586147508224":{"id":"1296503586147508224","date":"2020-08-20 17:45:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert What's funny is that almost none of the putative disruptors realizes the true reason BBG can charge what they charge:\n\nThe network effect of BBM\n\nJust try to do upstairs trading without it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1296500837603258369","reply_id":"1296500837603258369","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1296503586147508224","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1486413627087228930":{"id":"1486413627087228930","date":"2022-01-26 18:59:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"9/ CEO: \"Ok, I think I'm all set. Thanks. Here's your fee. By the way, you should find a way to package all this up in a product. Instead of spending your time on all of this.\"\n\n\"Maybe I should.\"\n\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486413617582927874","reply_id":"1486413626068004868","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1486413627087228930","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1765458265318797615":{"id":"1765458265318797615","date":"2024-03-06 19:23:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If you've spent any time in academia, \"the AI just replicated this preprint paper not in its training set\" isn't quite as impressive as it sounds.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1765458265318797615","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4810,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1765458265318797615","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1417315649546645509":{"id":"1417315649546645509","date":"2021-07-20 02:49:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @sajidnizami Yes, though the costs thing is a big deal. Lots more spread-crossing trading options than trading deltas.\n\nOutside of event vol trades, I'm skeptical that retail (true retail) can find a reliable edge trading options. Relative to other opportunities, certainly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1417300898234003457","reply_id":"1417312202952822790","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1417315649546645509","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1474766722305433600":{"id":"1474766722305433600","date":"2021-12-25 15:39:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"limit poker : delta 1 trading :: no limit : options trading\n\n?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1474766722305433600","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1474766722305433600","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1648728258807205889":{"id":"1648728258807205889","date":"2023-04-19 16:40:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So, AP Computer Science Principles is just half Javascript and half bullshitting-about-computers?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1648728258807205889","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":7066,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1648728258807205889","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1476020408499326976":{"id":"1476020408499326976","date":"2021-12-29 02:41:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih Lesson 2: third-order Greeks.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476013157327900675","reply_id":"1476019609480220672","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476020408499326976","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1433866883598483456":{"id":"1433866883598483456","date":"2021-09-03 18:57:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @Ksidiii My mind is made up. Do not confuse me with facts.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1433716117982400512","reply_id":"1433716117982400512","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1433866883598483456","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1477470927264706563":{"id":"1477470927264706563","date":"2022-01-02 02:44:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NathanTankus It's a bit too long and self-indulgent and Lawrence is miscast. But Streep is phenomenal.\n\nIt serves as a Rorschach test. People see what they want to see in it, I think.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477467424341598210","reply_id":"1477467424341598210","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"NathanTankus","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477470927264706563","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1310264676706476033":{"id":"1310264676706476033","date":"2020-09-27 17:06:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ReformedTrader For trading:\n\nThe ability to get really good at something relatively analytical, just for the fun of it.\n\nIf you're the 5th-best player in the world at some semi-obscure chess variant, you probably have a decent shot at a good career in trading.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1310080127527575552","reply_id":"1310080127527575552","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ReformedTrader","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1310264676706476033","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1541128719208546305":{"id":"1541128719208546305","date":"2022-06-26 18:38:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NotQuiteMidlife @jclarkson203 Highland Park is nice.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1541123596822519808","reply_id":"1541123596822519808","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuiteMidlife","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1541128719208546305","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1698020727730102289":{"id":"1698020727730102289","date":"2023-09-02 17:11:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AlexanderGerko @macrocephalopod It appears to be defined as \"those who are famous on-campus for paying their interns a lot of money\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1697942511195455772","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1561,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1698020727730102289","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1519011778025250816":{"id":"1519011778025250816","date":"2022-04-26 17:53:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1. Your public twitter presence (reading/following/posting) is not a substitute. Nor is a discord channel with 100 people. You can't be truly honest and vulnerable to a hundred people, and it's hard to interactively teach/learn with them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1519011776938921985","reply_id":"1519011776938921985","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":33,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1519011778025250816","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1564395726376816640":{"id":"1564395726376816640","date":"2022-08-29 23:33:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@eepzable @be20684347 @therobotjames I was also a bit excited about the Elm project but it seems to be slowly dying. AFAICT.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1564385498981810178","reply_id":"1564395340513521664","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"eepzable","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1564395726376816640","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1689363382464589825":{"id":"1689363382464589825","date":"2023-08-09 19:49:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@IsaacKing314 @dwarkesh_sp @3blue1brown After watching a particular video and doing nothing else, could you solve a similar but distinct problem?\n\nAlmost definitely not.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1689285655216480256","reply_id":"1689362718866944005","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"IsaacKing314","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":391,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1689363382464589825","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1797387062754320890":{"id":"1797387062754320890","date":"2024-06-02 21:57:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Rory backdooring top 5s like a modern-day Jim Furyk.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1797387062754320890","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2265,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1797387062754320890","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1891055428047348214":{"id":"1891055428047348214","date":"2025-02-16 09:22:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The Lindy effect is strongest in sports.\n\nName a sport invented in the last 30 years that's better than running, lifting or fighting. Let alone soccer or tennis.\n\nI see synchronized snowboard aerial trampoline diving or whatever, I just wonder if they realize how stupid it is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1891055428047348214","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":39,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":7065,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1891055428047348214","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1501353555965341698":{"id":"1501353555965341698","date":"2022-03-09 00:25:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @therobotjames @nope_its_lily Last night for fun I did a logistic regression in Excel using Solver.\n\nIt didn't converge. With toy data. 🤮","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501312622603358209","reply_id":"1501352861363544068","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501353555965341698","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1492624719584976896":{"id":"1492624719584976896","date":"2022-02-12 22:20:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@amtrpa I've never seen a company ask for SAT scores for a position like this. Have you?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1492622868634431488","reply_id":"1492624377707433984","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"amtrpa","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1492624719584976896","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1843977851475042463":{"id":"1843977851475042463","date":"2024-10-09 11:32:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EconstratPB Fair.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1843881323334934924","reply_id":"1843968003001688440","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EconstratPB","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":393,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1843977851475042463","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1832824613950079049":{"id":"1832824613950079049","date":"2024-09-08 16:53:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"TIL that over half of my respondents would pick the ability to get away with crimes and other antisocial behavior over the ABILITY TO FLY!\n\nYou may want to deny it, but yes that IS the reason to want invisibility on demand.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1832824613950079049","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":1,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":12233,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1832824613950079049","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1590765086859481090":{"id":"1590765086859481090","date":"2022-11-10 17:55:26","author":"Daniel Mason","handle":"dgmason","text":"Undercollateralized ≠ Bad risk management.\n\nIn fact, nearly all real financial use cases required undercollateralized loans. This is part of the future of Defi.\n\nCan't lose sight of the big picture because of the egregious recent examples in the space.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1590765086859481090","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1590766403535384578","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dgmason/status/1590765086859481090"},"1313313708899139584":{"id":"1313313708899139584","date":"2020-10-06 03:02:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Ok #fintwit, let's try to have a sane conversation about the @BruceKnuteson argument about intraday and overnight returns.\n\nhttps://arxiv.org/pdf/2010.01727.pdf","hashtags":["fintwit"],"conv":"1313313708899139584","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1313313708899139584","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1427670767672516613":{"id":"1427670767672516613","date":"2021-08-17 16:36:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HsakaTrades Airlift?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1427669833928175619","reply_id":"1427669833928175619","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HsakaTrades","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1427670767672516613","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1768281113414537245":{"id":"1768281113414537245","date":"2024-03-14 14:20:45","author":"Christina Qi","handle":"christinaqi","text":"Here's a hard truth that quant firms can't say out loud: According to multiple sources from Tier 1 quant/HFT/prop shops, the number one indicator of success as a quant trader is the university they attended... for undergrad. 🧵","hashtags":[],"conv":"1768281113414537245","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1768404709336052193","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":500,"retweets":33,"replies":35,"quotes":22,"views":711112,"bookmarks":588,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/christinaqi/status/1768281113414537245"},"2038953944475472316":{"id":"2038953944475472316","date":"2026-03-31 12:17:56","author":"gregorein","handle":"Gregorein","text":"so... I audited Garry's website after he bragged about 37K LOC/day and a 72-day shipping streak.\n\nhere's what 78,400 lines of AI slop code actually looks like in production.\n\na single homepage load of http://garryslist.org downloads 6.42 MB across 169 requests.\n\nfor a newsletter-blog-thingy.\n1/9🧵","hashtags":[],"conv":"2038953944475472316","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2039328070553776486","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7615,"retweets":615,"replies":342,"quotes":351,"views":2791984,"bookmarks":2999,"media":["2038953944475472316_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Gregorein/status/2038953944475472316"},"1501718305920335873":{"id":"1501718305920335873","date":"2022-03-10 00:35:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames Again, assuming \"finding $\" is your objective.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"1501718191730425856","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501718305920335873","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1760320548540944876":{"id":"1760320548540944876","date":"2024-02-21 15:08:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@liquiditygoblin Or making it a job title!\n\nhttps://in.indeed.com/viewjob?jk=475b852abde646e0","hashtags":[],"conv":"1760317909870764501","reply_id":"1760319822246920419","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"liquiditygoblin","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":702,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1760320548540944876_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1760320548540944876","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1567507103388147712":{"id":"1567507103388147712","date":"2022-09-07 13:36:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NicoPollari @cryptohound666 @therobotjames @theemilyaccount @witchqueendot It's a book *about* HFT in the sense that it defines terms and gives a broad overview of a lot of what goes on.\n\nBut after reading it cover-to-cover you still won't have a clue how to build an HFT system.\n\nHence my q: (a) curiosity or (b) actually want to do it? If (a) then 👍.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1567346642105286656","reply_id":"1567505552636362754","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"NicoPollari","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1567507103388147712","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1912849750988038467":{"id":"1912849750988038467","date":"2025-04-17 12:44:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @sdav1986 European mind cannot comprehend that $150k/yr is poor in vaguely-upwardly-mobile America.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1912818097825739261","reply_id":"1912839103248519198","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":520,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1912849750988038467","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1598694154795905026":{"id":"1598694154795905026","date":"2022-12-02 15:02:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin @macrocephalopod @laurentzeimes Maybe? I'm honestly on the fence.\n\nIQ 120 is better at reasoning *and* pattern-matching than IQ 80. In *humans* they're very correlated.\n\nGPT-3 is IQ 200 at pattern-matching and IQ 0 at reasoning.\n\nBut great pattern-matching can simulate ok reasoning. Does it keep scaling? 🤷‍♂️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598575466410934272","reply_id":"1598689469791719427","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598694154795905026","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1478876292598558722":{"id":"1478876292598558722","date":"2022-01-05 23:49:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@kchoudhu Moreover, it is the height of moral effrontery for a company to require in-person work.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1478870554388185097","reply_id":"1478870554388185097","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"kchoudhu","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1478876292598558722","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1539727249208774656":{"id":"1539727249208774656","date":"2022-06-22 21:49:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames I mean... it doesn't *have* to be Ocaml.\nIt could be F#. Or Haskell.\n\nI might even allow Scala, in a pinch.\n\n🤣🤣🤣\n\nSeriously though. It's kind of infuriating that 95%+ of programmers think that crappy facts about their language and tools are crappy facts about \"programming\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1539631254542307328","reply_id":"1539724086632652800","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1539727249208774656","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1513671096435765252":{"id":"1513671096435765252","date":"2022-04-12 00:11:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames @CautionPesimism @be20684347 @nope_its_lily @ripntear6 @volpompilano @bennpeifert Yup, those two are good. ADRs are good too.\n\nEvery derivative has a relationship to the thing it's a derivative of. MMs use these relationships to make markets in the derivative. So reverse engineer that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1513632059599646721","reply_id":"1513670629505085450","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1513671096435765252","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2059887876305764534":{"id":"2059887876305764534","date":"2026-05-28 06:41:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Ok, now that's setup, lemme get back to giving some young, impressionable founders advice in exchange for a slice of their company.\"\n\nH/T @idoccor","hashtags":[],"conv":"2059864982947278906","reply_id":"2059864982947278906","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2510,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2059887876305764534","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1789025711338189303":{"id":"1789025711338189303","date":"2024-05-10 20:12:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ADH_steve @pansareV No, just saying it probably goes away at some point, and who knows what happens in the event it delists or something.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788969245222850997","reply_id":"1789022579027546223","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ADH_steve","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":251,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1789025711338189303","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1942138316452708632":{"id":"1942138316452708632","date":"2025-07-07 08:27:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"19/ Especially around trades which involve futures/options settlement.\n\nAfter all, if JS thought it was fine to do this in India, logic dictates they should look for other places where this strategy would also be profitable. And do it there...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942138314477240823","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":158,"retweets":3,"replies":1,"quotes":3,"views":54903,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942138316452708632","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1973767880752980287":{"id":"1973767880752980287","date":"2025-10-02 15:11:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"As predictable as can be.\n\nhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-01/meta-to-start-using-chatbot-conversations-to-target-advertising","hashtags":[],"conv":"1973767880752980287","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":131,"retweets":8,"replies":12,"quotes":0,"views":17847,"bookmarks":30,"media":["1973767880752980287_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1973767880752980287","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1768453882764738763":{"id":"1768453882764738763","date":"2024-03-15 01:47:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JerseyFutures @utdrush5 If by \"adjacent\" you mean \"someone who actually ran these recruiting programs for years at a tier1 place\" then yes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1768404709336052193","reply_id":"1768417096126349816","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JerseyFutures","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":108,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1768453882764738763","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2036039265679745408":{"id":"2036039265679745408","date":"2026-03-23 11:16:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Never bet against it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2036039265679745408","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":41,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2594,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2036039265679745408","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1691451949311520769":{"id":"1691451949311520769","date":"2023-08-15 14:09:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Seen repeatedly in the last 6 months:\n\n\"Hey everyone, we're going to move this Slack workspace to Discord.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1691451949311520769","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":6811,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1691451949311520769","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1870025405895213174":{"id":"1870025405895213174","date":"2024-12-20 08:36:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @0xtuba In fairness, the demographic overlap between 2024 retail crypto trader and early 2000s poker bro is pretty high.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1870022755372151031","reply_id":"1870024975224033482","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":680,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1870025405895213174","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1570055705939562497":{"id":"1570055705939562497","date":"2022-09-14 14:23:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@anondot11 Definitely. Academic trading papers are the most adversely selected subject.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1569899029215199232","reply_id":"1570053457989586950","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"anondot11","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1570055705939562497","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1388547028825755649":{"id":"1388547028825755649","date":"2021-05-01 17:33:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@neiltholt It's a good one.\n\nOr you can think of it as a cell in a spreadsheet.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1388545876591747072","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1388547028825755649","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1927796642863849849":{"id":"1927796642863849849","date":"2025-05-28 18:38:31","author":"alz","handle":"alz_zyd_","text":"- Finance is about the division of risk in society\n- All human work post-AI may converge to becoming \"risk sponges\" for responsibility\n- Thus, AI may make all human work converge to finance","hashtags":[],"conv":"1927796642863849849","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1927814008804966814","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":2,"views":9555,"bookmarks":13,"media":["1927796642863849849_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/alz_zyd_/status/1927796642863849849"},"1436082403647229953":{"id":"1436082403647229953","date":"2021-09-09 21:41:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Maybe the lesson is a spin on what McLuhan taught us 50 years ago.\n\nEvery cultural medium has a lifetime beyond which it loses its ability to be new and interesting.\n\n(insert deep-thought take on TikTok and NFTs here)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1436079879972286465","reply_id":"1436079879972286465","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1436082403647229953","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1509171694367256577":{"id":"1509171694367256577","date":"2022-03-30 14:12:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@std_dev Up to you. I can't read Kindles because I just can't retain the information. Too old I guess.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1509139229552611332","reply_id":"1509139229552611332","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"std_dev","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1509171694367256577","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1939354052363686332":{"id":"1939354052363686332","date":"2025-06-29 16:03:32","author":"Piotr Pomorski","handle":"PtrPomorski","text":"M2 charts should be banned","hashtags":[],"conv":"1939354052363686332","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1939410872532672858","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":75,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":4,"views":26957,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/PtrPomorski/status/1939354052363686332"},"1486813907264040962":{"id":"1486813907264040962","date":"2022-01-27 21:30:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jeffdafo Not in the least.\n\nThe wasting of human talent JUST IN SOFTWARE is a multi-trillion-dollar-a-year problem.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486813088338755591","reply_id":"1486813725877227528","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jeffdafo","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1486813907264040962","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1295875389575671809":{"id":"1295875389575671809","date":"2020-08-19 00:09:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@michael_nielsen TeX for Gmail?\n\nhttps://chrome.google.com/webstore/detail/tex-for-gmail/gjnmclkoadjdljnfmbnnhaahilafoeji?hl=en","hashtags":[],"conv":"1295871838585630725","reply_id":"1295871838585630725","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"michael_nielsen","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1295875389575671809","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1471155691947585536":{"id":"1471155691947585536","date":"2021-12-15 16:30:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"7/ Often those pointless disagreements evaporate once we understand the relevant bucket being used. Let’s try it out:\n\n“OlympusDAO is a Ponzi.”\n\nFactual, predictive, or normative?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471155685547118594","reply_id":"1471155690693558275","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471155691947585536","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1556106518231011328":{"id":"1556106518231011328","date":"2022-08-07 02:34:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KaizerSozey True. Maybe they're all bike arb people.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1556041748668768256","reply_id":"1556106209698136065","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KaizerSozey","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1556106518231011328","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1900457796585378237":{"id":"1900457796585378237","date":"2025-03-14 08:03:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Where are the courses on how to do proper code review?\n\nHow to decide what level of scrutiny is appropriate for the particular situation?\n\nHow to write good tests?\n\nWhen/at what level to use unit tests, integration tests, etc.\n\nHow to properly do continuous CI/CD?\n\nI'll wait.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1900455234754826623","reply_id":"1900456592048345373","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":1551,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1900457796585378237","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2036111968663187750":{"id":"2036111968663187750","date":"2026-03-23 16:04:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"There's a reason tens of millions of people use \"regulated\" sports betting sites masquerading as prediction markets:\n\nit's been relentlessly pushed down the throats of sports watchers in the US for the last couple of years in order to find and extract max $ from problem gamblers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2036111968663187750","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":89,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":11780,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2036111968663187750","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1680278671742074880":{"id":"1680278671742074880","date":"2023-07-15 18:10:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod When the VIX does it it's the volatility risk premium.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1680265926485106688","reply_id":"1680278129586348032","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":955,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1680278671742074880","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1557430465467781120":{"id":"1557430465467781120","date":"2022-08-10 18:15:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Big alpha leak there...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1557430082133712899","reply_id":"1557430082133712899","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1557430465467781120","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2048340287991205913":{"id":"2048340287991205913","date":"2026-04-26 09:55:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"RT @AgustinLebron3: @mean_field_zane @TheStalwart If you think about it, it's very odd to argue that there exists some positive right to own equity in whatever company you choose.\n\nSeems far more pro-freedom to say that the current owners can choose who they sell shares to.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2048340287991205913","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2048339299909734415","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":3,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2048340287991205913","type":"retweet","issues":[]},"1629525660573257728":{"id":"1629525660573257728","date":"2023-02-25 16:56:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@hedgetherumor The problem with quant trading is that most people who try it aren't going to net win. <5% of \"quant traders\" end up with >95% of the money.\n\nSo it's not a real *career* option.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1629522250205638656","reply_id":"1629524849486884867","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bryanyates","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":4211,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1629525660573257728","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1847711934126445022":{"id":"1847711934126445022","date":"2024-10-19 18:50:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Guillaume_Rou I \"have\" a book on hiring written. Even talked to a couple of publishers. But not a thing I can do right now.\n\nIt's mostly crap out there on the subject IMO. The most sensible book I know are the hiring pieces of Scaling People.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847610792113316169","reply_id":"1847711475525452217","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"memorphism","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":590,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847711934126445022","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1937376075514015802":{"id":"1937376075514015802","date":"2025-06-24 05:03:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@fordoglunk 👆👆👆","hashtags":[],"conv":"1937283630969086225","reply_id":"1937283630969086225","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"fordoglunk","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":778,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1937376075514015802","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1988621975405662383":{"id":"1988621975405662383","date":"2025-11-12 14:56:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Mr_Sokrates_ Aside from the places that recruit at the usual suspect universities, I cannot.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1988534015419146302","reply_id":"1988621234632905130","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Mr_Sokrates_","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4107,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1988621975405662383","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1580208586327699460":{"id":"1580208586327699460","date":"2022-10-12 14:47:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod 1. Set up a perfectly straight marble track on level ground. Point one end at the moon.\n\n2. Tip one end a tiny bit.\n\n3. Roll a marble down it.\n\n4. Since the Earth is a ball, the track will eventually leave the Earth's atmosphere.\n\n5. Marble will reach moon.\n\nFree launch system?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1580184395222515714","reply_id":"1580184395222515714","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":28,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1580208586327699460","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1716836753062117600":{"id":"1716836753062117600","date":"2023-10-24 15:19:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal Not enough and you get too much noise.\n\nToo much and you get too much bias.\n\nSomewhere in the middle?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1716833285912084803","reply_id":"1716836402334437814","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":427,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1716836753062117600","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1646744465703571457":{"id":"1646744465703571457","date":"2023-04-14 05:17:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug You mean LPing on AMMs?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1646665040487915523","reply_id":"1646665040487915523","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":507,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1646744465703571457","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1532533172520374274":{"id":"1532533172520374274","date":"2022-06-03 01:22:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily I'll be up there every so often.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1532531987541393409","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1532533172520374274","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1471155686604038144":{"id":"1471155686604038144","date":"2021-12-15 16:30:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2/ Yes, there are people out there who just want to argue.\n\nBut I assume we all block them already.\n\nI want to talk about (and to) those of us who want honest truth-seeking conversations, but sometimes get bogged down in pointless debates.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471155685547118594","reply_id":"1471155685547118594","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471155686604038144","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1712692487909990864":{"id":"1712692487909990864","date":"2023-10-13 04:51:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bernhardsson Certainly won't change the absurd resources spent on quickly shuttling bits between Chicago and NY. Or exchange colos.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1712509678075195902","reply_id":"1712692211601809840","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":84,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1712692487909990864","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1355235168789774336":{"id":"1355235168789774336","date":"2021-01-29 19:23:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein @JSeyff And as @matt_levine pointed out, issuing new shares at a valuation you know is *insane* is a shareholder lawsuit waiting to happen.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1355199970115203078","reply_id":"1355213311441334279","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1355235168789774336","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1434935808146882562":{"id":"1434935808146882562","date":"2021-09-06 17:45:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lightspringfox @mdudas Section 4 in particular.\n\nhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_capital_flight#Historical_examples\n\nIt's a who's who of successful emigrant groups.\n\n(People may not be aware, but Jesuits still run large chunks of South America.)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434868593834004485","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434935808146882562","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2079624552624120127":{"id":"2079624552624120127","date":"2026-07-21 17:48:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It it does seem that all this \"predicting\" by OAI/Anthro employees has indeed had the effect of at least encouraging USG to rig the US AI market in their favor.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2079624552624120127","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":63,"retweets":4,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":6795,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2079624552624120127","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1791838636050415750":{"id":"1791838636050415750","date":"2024-05-18 14:29:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano I mean, I'm sure there's a benchmark book on astrology and alchemy too...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1791837145398931738","reply_id":"1791838408915976531","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":740,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1791838636050415750","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1426245917401747463":{"id":"1426245917401747463","date":"2021-08-13 18:14:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xLightcycle @PenguinsTrading Also, there are resource costs. And time-to-hire costs.\n\nAnd they have the final right-of-refusal.\n\nIt gets hairy fast. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1426215713409101829","reply_id":"1426245680822046721","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1426245917401747463","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1484672137122045954":{"id":"1484672137122045954","date":"2022-01-21 23:39:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @KrisAbdelmessih Neil McCauley:\n\nDon't let yourself get attached to anything you are not willing to walk out on in 30 seconds flat if you feel the heat around the corner.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1484619345871339520","reply_id":"1484668232112144385","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1484672137122045954","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1760681965685252558":{"id":"1760681965685252558","date":"2024-02-22 15:04:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbateman Probably more training data is a big part of the answer.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1760681575342301387","reply_id":"1760681575342301387","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbateman","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":108,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1760681965685252558","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1850874549874708663":{"id":"1850874549874708663","date":"2024-10-28 12:17:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@teortaxesTex We're 5 years into tool AIs and *no* sign yet of them being able to become agent AIs, let alone want to.\n\nSo far OAI/Anthro/etc are trying as hard as they can to turn them into agents and not particularly succeeding.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1850665893870571877","reply_id":"1850665893870571877","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"teortaxesTex","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":411,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1850874549874708663","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1259318435839803398":{"id":"1259318435839803398","date":"2020-05-10 03:04:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jimcollins @VolatilityWiz It's not, but >95% of people who go to college treat it that way.\n\nIt's the occupational licensing of the white collar class. A piece of paper you need to do the thing you want.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1259317273589940224","reply_id":"1259317837207949314","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jimcollins","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1259318435839803398","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1467943692430233600":{"id":"1467943692430233600","date":"2021-12-06 19:47:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NathanTankus Even if 1/3 was just a typo, the idea of doing a linear regression on... (checks notes) PERCENTAGES!!!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1467937002880442370","reply_id":"1467937002880442370","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"NathanTankus","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1467943692430233600","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1677432412316520448":{"id":"1677432412316520448","date":"2023-07-07 21:40:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @therobotjames Robustly estimated, but yeah I've used that a lot.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1677428347935277057","reply_id":"1677430432697122819","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1631,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1677432412316520448","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1537578061469605888":{"id":"1537578061469605888","date":"2022-06-16 23:29:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Crypto exchange state transition diagrams are fully-connected graphs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1537578061469605888","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1537578061469605888_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1537578061469605888","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1635805654421217280":{"id":"1635805654421217280","date":"2023-03-15 00:50:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"TFW GPT{n} drops and you just want to retweet everything you said when GPT{n-1} dropped.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1635805654421217280","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1978,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1635805654421217280","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2052272238083133722":{"id":"2052272238083133722","date":"2026-05-07 06:20:05","author":"Casey Handmer","handle":"CJHandmer","text":"RT @CJHandmer: It's kind of bizarre to me that we isolate people ranked by intelligence from any semblance of the real world until their period of easy mutability is far in the rear mirror. \n\n\"You're unusually clever and probably future leadership material. We'll isolate you from any real responsibility or the consequences of your actions until you're 25 or so. Then you'll never understand why the productive economy can't integrate you and your life outcomes are actively frustrating. Good luck achieving financial independence or reproducing.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"2052272238083133722","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2052218867787952556","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":19,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/CJHandmer/status/2052272238083133722"},"1542504409724092417":{"id":"1542504409724092417","date":"2022-06-30 13:44:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@worstcontrarian @EntropyChase Yeah, a  trade is something you know, not something you have. I may have stolen the idea from Omar.\n\nhttps://youtu.be/AtoM9x-Bfu8?t=29","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542335385967394816","reply_id":"1542477345604648960","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"worstcontrarian","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1542504409724092417","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1520918776564174849":{"id":"1520918776564174849","date":"2022-05-02 00:11:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Is there any way that massive consolidation in streaming subscription services DOESN'T happen?\n\nNFLX $10\nDisney $8\nHulu $7 w/ ads\nHBO $10 w/ ads\nApple $5\nESPN, Paramount, Peacock, CBS, Spotify, Amazon, etc etc.\n\nWhen marginal costs are ~ zero, consolidation just wins.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1520918776564174849","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1520918776564174849","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1951043319687270572":{"id":"1951043319687270572","date":"2025-07-31 22:12:30","author":"Rajiv Patel-O’Connor","handle":"rajivpoc","text":"From Coinbase Q2 earnings...\n\nConsumer trading volume: $43B\nConsumer net trading revenue: $649.9M\n\nAverage trading fee for retail is 1.5% which is more expensive than much of DeFi, most of CeFi, and more than order of magnitude more expensive than TradFi.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1951043319687270572","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1951210290223215028","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":62,"retweets":5,"replies":8,"quotes":5,"views":17442,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/rajivpoc/status/1951043319687270572"},"1590436619064332289":{"id":"1590436619064332289","date":"2022-11-09 20:10:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Feels topical.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v010HXpfFSA","hashtags":[],"conv":"1590436619064332289","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1590436619064332289","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1567608273351888897":{"id":"1567608273351888897","date":"2022-09-07 20:18:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NicoPollari @therobotjames @snoopy_mev @HFTBread @sasuke___420 @cryptohound666 @theemilyaccount @witchqueendot I've quoted Avon before and I'll quote him again.\n\nhttps://youtu.be/WkVohPC_YpU?t=101","hashtags":[],"conv":"1567346642105286656","reply_id":"1567600633284333568","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"NicoPollari","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1567608273351888897","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1383866555809730560":{"id":"1383866555809730560","date":"2021-04-18 19:34:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Someone asked for recommendations on a cheap/free marketdata API (non-IB):\n\n- Websocket/similar. No REST.\n- US equities/ETFs is fine to start.\n- No need for speed/awesomeness. Looking for cheap meatball stuff.\n\nIs Finnhub any good?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1383866555809730560","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1383866555809730560","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1547219962221064195":{"id":"1547219962221064195","date":"2022-07-13 14:02:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MPye1980 @ryandal @ejames_c Taleb toned down to a 2 out of 10 is worth reading.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1547064541301075968","reply_id":"1547212371973775362","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MPye1980","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1547219962221064195","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1632188192060506112":{"id":"1632188192060506112","date":"2023-03-05 01:16:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@llllvvuu Not crazy at all, but then the incentives are very much turning universities into vocational schools for the white-collar elite.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632187765420064768","reply_id":"1632187765420064768","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"llllvvuu","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":66,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632188192060506112","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1773756940449198474":{"id":"1773756940449198474","date":"2024-03-29 16:59:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeepDishEnjoyer @CAndreisen @quantytrader @bubbleboi @sagarjainmp Spare a thought for the third-order stupidity of the man arguing with that man.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1773456147309334555","reply_id":"1773756730914062761","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeepDishEnjoyer","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":223,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1773756940449198474","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1869063125280112841":{"id":"1869063125280112841","date":"2024-12-17 16:52:29","author":"Peter H. Diamandis, MD","handle":"PeterDiamandis","text":"I'm more and more convinced that the answer to Fermi's Paradox \"Where are all the alien civilizations\", is that everyone eventually goes digital and *dematerializes* into cyberspace...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1869063125280112841","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1869415266389766248","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1453,"retweets":91,"replies":339,"quotes":44,"views":190541,"bookmarks":222,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/PeterDiamandis/status/1869063125280112841"},"2031287327943741924":{"id":"2031287327943741924","date":"2026-03-10 08:33:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I guess it was inevitable that @goodalexander 's vibes-based economy would lead to vibes-based international policy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2031287327943741924","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2710,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2031287327943741924","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1248657936919842817":{"id":"1248657936919842817","date":"2020-04-10 17:03:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bitstein Doesn't have to be for the point to be valid.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1248617271460679681","reply_id":"1248655090904379397","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bitstein","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1248657936919842817","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1967481261720760342":{"id":"1967481261720760342","date":"2025-09-15 06:51:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Anyone have a plugin/hack/etc that removes video-containing tweets from the timeline?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1967481261720760342","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":4722,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1967481261720760342","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1438697221420052481":{"id":"1438697221420052481","date":"2021-09-17 02:52:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Is it me or have the abstracts on Arxiv gotten ridiculously insanely long in the last couple of years?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1438697221420052481","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1438697221420052481","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2081828932756603166":{"id":"2081828932756603166","date":"2026-07-27 19:47:50","author":"Steven Sinofsky","handle":"stevesi","text":"RT @stevesi: Step 1. Assume your test infrastructure has no bugs.\nStep 2. You have infinite time to prove step 1 is false. \n\nIndependent analysis of HF/OAI event: https://x.com/gadievron/status/2081782228699218124?s=20\n\n// I'm annoyed. The industry has spent the past week twisted in knots over defending a \"Skynet\" style attack. This became evidence of how dangerous AI can be.\n\nIt was nothing of the sort. Humans built, configured, maintained a test environment incorrectly and failed to monitor it. \n\nAnother attack of anthropomorphization.\n\nWe could have made this same mistake with an internet worm in 1995 while testing Exchange mail. In fact the early worms were by and large released by accident while testing/learning.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2081828932756603166","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2081809447098232948","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":8,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":338,"bookmarks":0,"media":["2081828932756603166_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/stevesi/status/2081828932756603166"},"1241743981098102790":{"id":"1241743981098102790","date":"2020-03-22 15:10:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @darjohn25 @bennpeifert You'd have to sell more of the low-delta strangles to collect theta. So...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1241736272470855687","reply_id":"1241743190975229954","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1241743981098102790","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1912602289447338308":{"id":"1912602289447338308","date":"2025-04-16 20:21:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EgeErdil2 I'd be shocked if it got >10% on an out of sample USAMO.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1912576933013123082","reply_id":"1912576933013123082","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EgeErdil2","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":236,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1912602289447338308","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1441777775820488709":{"id":"1441777775820488709","date":"2021-09-25 14:53:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LauraDeming This leads to the computer science idea of \"clean interfaces\" between functional blocks, which in biological systems would mean ease of swapping in and out.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1441773500838993920","reply_id":"1441777564209479682","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1441777775820488709","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1984611235489542328":{"id":"1984611235489542328","date":"2025-11-01 13:19:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Phil Mickelson really is an irredeemable shit.\nhttps://hntrbrk.com/sable-2/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1984611235489542328","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":4131,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1984611235489542328","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2042202105239191680":{"id":"2042202105239191680","date":"2026-04-09 11:24:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Nov 2025-Mar 2026 was the window where frontier AI became good enough at coding to be useful, and it wasn't yet locked down.\n\nThat window is now basically closed. Was nice while it lasted.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2042202105239191680","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":105,"retweets":0,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":13089,"bookmarks":18,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2042202105239191680","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1489068924935147522":{"id":"1489068924935147522","date":"2022-02-03 02:51:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Yes!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1489062235787829248","reply_id":"1489062235787829248","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1489068924935147522","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1433537981579620386":{"id":"1433537981579620386","date":"2021-09-02 21:11:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @KrisAbdelmessih @matt_levine Does sharing a Signal thread count?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1433517108638322697","reply_id":"1433534003127197701","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1433537981579620386","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1530714620633026560":{"id":"1530714620633026560","date":"2022-05-29 00:56:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Can someone explain why Grigor Dimitrov isn't better than he is? Now that Fed's gone, Baby Fed's the smoothest on tour. But it doesn't get the results...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1530714620633026560","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1530714620633026560","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1403396438025904129":{"id":"1403396438025904129","date":"2021-06-11 16:59:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/categories/33003","hashtags":[],"conv":"1403396248640671747","reply_id":"1403396248640671747","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1403396438025904129","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1630958527178244096":{"id":"1630958527178244096","date":"2023-03-01 15:49:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So Ondo's just arbing the USDC interest rate spread?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1630958527178244096","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2157,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1630958527178244096","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1546931763653402624":{"id":"1546931763653402624","date":"2022-07-12 18:57:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"10/ STEP 2: Put Yourself In Position To Notice Things\n\nUseful trading ideas never come to me during periods when I’m not paying attention to markets.\n\nThat doesn’t mean that ideas always come to me while I’m staring at markets, but it has to be “in the air”.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546931744426758145","reply_id":"1546931762026233857","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546931763653402624","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1293359889671000065":{"id":"1293359889671000065","date":"2020-08-12 01:33:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Why don't we take more seriously the idea of the personal life clock? I.e. perceptually, time flows twice as fast at 40 as it does at 20.\n\nFor example, the idea that school years are the same length when you're 4 as when you're 18 is crazy.\n\nMany other interesting things follow.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1293359889671000065","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1293359889671000065","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1753201071755866266":{"id":"1753201071755866266","date":"2024-02-01 23:38:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is the best thing I've read in a little while.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1753201071755866266","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2898,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1753201071755866266","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1875854106478485773":{"id":"1875854106478485773","date":"2025-01-05 10:37:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 Consider moving to MirageOS so I don't ever have to deal with Docker again.\n\n(YMMV if unikernels aren't your thing)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1875828213035024485","reply_id":"1875828213035024485","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":176,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1875854106478485773","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1496656380182220804":{"id":"1496656380182220804","date":"2022-02-24 01:21:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal You haven't explained why you think doing those checks helps you identify a mispricing.\n\nI.e. what have you figured out that the marginal participant in those markets hasn't?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1496643303944642561","reply_id":"1496654893666512899","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1496656380182220804","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1392635526855880704":{"id":"1392635526855880704","date":"2021-05-13 00:19:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Scientific_Bird Um, star-nosed mole FTW.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1392490751758581764","reply_id":"1392490751758581764","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Scientific_Bird","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1392635526855880704_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1392635526855880704","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1918669915877249534":{"id":"1918669915877249534","date":"2025-05-03 14:12:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@predict_addict @__paleologo Doesn't seem to answer \"where\". Also \"change the world\" is kind of a high bar. I have nothing against CP at all, just wanted to know if there were areas I wasn't aware of.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1918269195466244376","reply_id":"1918664395707580516","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"predict_addict","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":238,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1918669915877249534","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1489758299436163072":{"id":"1489758299436163072","date":"2022-02-05 00:30:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @josebaredes @gregasmaximus @HangukQuant @theemilyaccount @lightspringfox @0xdoug It f'ing works! Nobody would believe how many $ are traded with Excel GUIs into automated trading systems.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1489627851054018565","reply_id":"1489730111586799617","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1489758299436163072","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1539249476547796995":{"id":"1539249476547796995","date":"2022-06-21 14:10:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"16/ It may come across as a deeply reactionary view but I claim this promise is fraught with danger.\n\nBecause (a) this is an empty promise, and (b) humans today aren’t different from those a thousand years ago. \n\nWe all need meaning, and meaning is found out there, not in here.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1539249425956093952","reply_id":"1539249474228432903","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1539249476547796995","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1937958577404047671":{"id":"1937958577404047671","date":"2025-06-25 19:38:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Chaelelo @samuha I wasn't familiar with this particular implementation. Worth considering.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482748235496058880","reply_id":"1937958435691098166","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Chaelelo","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":105,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1937958577404047671","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1481473413902266368":{"id":"1481473413902266368","date":"2022-01-13 03:49:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @forwardrate @therobotjames @Buy_The_Dip_ @vixologist @kchoudhu Is this him disavowing his earlier infatuation with her?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481302561592422402","reply_id":"1481473178702688259","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1481473413902266368","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1529877576591609861":{"id":"1529877576591609861","date":"2022-05-26 17:30:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Alpha leak of the day: improving beta models is alpha.\n\nFinding signal (alpha) is really hard because it's buried under tons of noise. Beta models are a de-noising technique. A way of saying \"this stuff doesn't matter\".\n\nBetter betas = a better lens to view markets.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529877576591609861","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":524,"retweets":66,"replies":17,"quotes":13,"views":0,"bookmarks":624,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1529877576591609861","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1613608460473749510":{"id":"1613608460473749510","date":"2023-01-12 18:46:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin @sir_deenicus I think this undervalues repetition.\n\nFor many things, getting great means spending a lot of time and effort making the fundamentals utterly automatic.\n\nMath, writing, sports, etc.\n\nHaving a tool that does it right \"for you\" makes you much less motivated to learn fundamentals.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1613562994319060992","reply_id":"1613572722340302848","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":82,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1613608460473749510","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1879846946502005227":{"id":"1879846946502005227","date":"2025-01-16 11:03:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 Same as it's always been.\n\n90%+ of companies' interview processes involve technical questions they haven't thought about for sometimes decades.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1879804857416302740","reply_id":"1879804857416302740","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":244,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1879846946502005227","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1976982898952880406":{"id":"1976982898952880406","date":"2025-10-11 12:07:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein @ScottPh77711570 @maruushae No debate there.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1976917289674195089","reply_id":"1976981510193594763","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":335,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1976982898952880406","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1477841709681680385":{"id":"1477841709681680385","date":"2022-01-03 03:18:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ksidiii @therobotjames Wonderful, thanks!\n\nI spent some time with Hurst years ago. Parameter estimation is... not easy. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477331467252514824","reply_id":"1477839168575356931","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Ksidiii","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477841709681680385","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1480219157727567873":{"id":"1480219157727567873","date":"2022-01-09 16:45:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LouStagner Hey Cam, you had a 3-shot lead.\nYou shot 64.\nNow you're tied. Thoughts?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1480218472600809474","reply_id":"1480218472600809474","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"LouStagner","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1480219157727567873_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1480219157727567873","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2064989432273395911":{"id":"2064989432273395911","date":"2026-06-11 08:33:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"","hashtags":[],"conv":"2064989432273395911","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3361,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2064989432273395911","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1847706181646897593":{"id":"1847706181646897593","date":"2024-10-19 18:27:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Don't know who needs to hear this but \"not cloud\" doesn't mean \"a rack in your basement\".\n\nOVH, Hetzner, these places exist.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847706181646897593","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3534,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847706181646897593","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1721048805737713785":{"id":"1721048805737713785","date":"2023-11-05 06:16:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Yolo4Yacht I think it's more cultural than that.\n\n\"The objective in life is personal happiness.\" is a cancer that's eaten away at the important organs of our society.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1720976400629588423","reply_id":"1721045474264895640","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Buy__The__Dip","likes":15,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":1076,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1721048805737713785","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1943287341054837091":{"id":"1943287341054837091","date":"2025-07-10 12:33:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@10009nyny Nope. Ask yourself: who's on the other side of the trade?\n\nIs it this guy? Does he look like a moron who likes to incinerate money in options markets?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943280522756591979","reply_id":"1943284055128121626","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"10009nyny","likes":69,"retweets":6,"replies":7,"quotes":1,"views":8553,"bookmarks":12,"media":["1943287341054837091_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1943287341054837091","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1631359743687278592":{"id":"1631359743687278592","date":"2023-03-02 18:24:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@perrymetzger 1. More natural interface, at least for me. You can write \"Python\", more or less, in a way that's harder with TF.\n\n2. Feels like the people I know that know what they're doing also prefer it.\n\nDownside is visualization. Tensorboard is pretty nice.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1631353064077533185","reply_id":"1631358186614669312","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"perrymetzger","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":89,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1631359743687278592","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1898261005269889522":{"id":"1898261005269889522","date":"2025-03-08 06:34:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"https://x.com/zackvoell/status/1898135186241474666","hashtags":[],"conv":"1898260326035890508","reply_id":"1898260326035890508","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2579,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1898261005269889522","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1425149203844456452":{"id":"1425149203844456452","date":"2021-08-10 17:37:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AnodyneCode @experquisite They don't want to know. That's because there's a big divide in DS land:\n\n- ML people who want to build stuff fast and don't care much about prod.\n- Data engineers and DevOps who actually run the systems.\n\nAt most companies it's all in how people get hired. Two worlds.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1425142882953056257","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1425149203844456452","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1793673817598185721":{"id":"1793673817598185721","date":"2024-05-23 16:02:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbacarella @watthedoodle Ya but JS hires dozens of devs per years whereas Google hires thousands.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1793410452996960543","reply_id":"1793656708398772673","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbacarella","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":192,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1793673817598185721","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1897726363580412379":{"id":"1897726363580412379","date":"2025-03-06 19:09:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"You can give fucking live video interviews from fucking prison now?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1897726363580412379","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1898260326035890508","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":192,"retweets":3,"replies":25,"quotes":4,"views":68809,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1897726363580412379","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1555283694402691073":{"id":"1555283694402691073","date":"2022-08-04 20:05:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EgeErdil2 I read that 14 years ago and it really really stuck with me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1555282083672510464","reply_id":"1555283473237266432","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EgeErdil2","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1555283694402691073","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1468719687932416002":{"id":"1468719687932416002","date":"2021-12-08 23:10:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ksidiii Does his coat fit you?\n\nJust askin'...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1468719211241422853","reply_id":"1468719211241422853","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Ksidiii","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1468719687932416002","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1570070920844431362":{"id":"1570070920844431362","date":"2022-09-14 15:24:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zf7aMLi7qgw","hashtags":[],"conv":"1569899029215199232","reply_id":"1570056334086905857","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1570070920844431362","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1565067229892190208":{"id":"1565067229892190208","date":"2022-08-31 20:01:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Can someone steelman Twitter Circles?\n\nThey just seem like broken DM groups to me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1565067229892190208","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1565067229892190208","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1537104369698476032":{"id":"1537104369698476032","date":"2022-06-15 16:06:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 Never forget the value of the seat (i.e. being in those pits)...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1537099976790056961","reply_id":"1537103388227186688","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1537104369698476032","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1747303842130341944":{"id":"1747303842130341944","date":"2024-01-16 17:04:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @0xLoris How to tell if you're a crypto degen: sqrt(365) is more important than sqrt(252).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1747295821333184612","reply_id":"1747297130140540998","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":672,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1747303842130341944","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1598715382709485568":{"id":"1598715382709485568","date":"2022-12-02 16:27:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin @macrocephalopod @laurentzeimes Fail. My first and only attempt.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598575466410934272","reply_id":"1598697372565262339","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1598715382709485568_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598715382709485568","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1382882178820808707":{"id":"1382882178820808707","date":"2021-04-16 02:22:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_fabriciovsa You may sincerely answer \"the first option\". Sure that might be true today, but will it still be true in a year? Ten years?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"1382882055294312448","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382882178820808707","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1679208088317071360":{"id":"1679208088317071360","date":"2023-07-12 19:16:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"An inch deep but a mile wide: the gulf between Alcaraz and Rune at the moment.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1679208088317071360","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1714,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1679208088317071360","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1375109597040496640":{"id":"1375109597040496640","date":"2021-03-25 15:37:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LouStagner If the top winner on tour only won twice a year, that would be too much var and people would be turned off by the randos winning all the time.\n\nIf one person won 98% of tournaments, people would hate it too.\n\nThere's an optimum.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1375106889894215685","reply_id":"1375109251744428032","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1375109597040496640","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1709758481912479916":{"id":"1709758481912479916","date":"2023-10-05 02:32:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@IDrawCharts I think so.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709714391380238814","reply_id":"1709757058340233458","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"IDrawCharts","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1107,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1709758481912479916","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2071552203345539089":{"id":"2071552203345539089","date":"2026-06-29 11:11:47","author":"sasuke⚡420","handle":"sasuke___420","text":"RT @sasuke___420: @JustDeezGuy where do people find programmers who didn't do 8th grade math","hashtags":[],"conv":"2071552203345539089","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2071543136623677443","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":323,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/sasuke___420/status/2071552203345539089"},"1997260478951870767":{"id":"1997260478951870767","date":"2025-12-06 11:03:00","author":"Michael Dempsey","handle":"mhdempsey","text":"RT @mhdempsey: Prediction market social media marketing might be the most annoying/tasteless thing on the internet right now","hashtags":[],"conv":"1997260478951870767","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"1997037623714418914","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":21,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mhdempsey/status/1997260478951870767"},"1684971031830966272":{"id":"1684971031830966272","date":"2023-07-28 16:56:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Do you answer calls from numbers you don't recognize?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1684971031830966272","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":2,"views":6756,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1684971031830966272","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1428381821532655622":{"id":"1428381821532655622","date":"2021-08-19 15:42:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's a perfect example of adverse selection.\n\nAdvertising for rockstar devs almost guarantees you won't get any.\n\nAnd almost guarantees you'll get people who think they are but aren't.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1428381820421242886","reply_id":"1428381820421242886","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":24,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1428381821532655622","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1758266385795555691":{"id":"1758266385795555691","date":"2024-02-15 23:05:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dystopiabreaker It means what it's always meant: a peer group.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1758266046203781595","reply_id":"1758266046203781595","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dystopiabreaker","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":247,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1758266385795555691","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1990728670357459282":{"id":"1990728670357459282","date":"2025-11-18 10:27:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The problem isn't your lack of discipline, your emotional regulation, or your insufficient adherence to writing things down in your trading journal.\n\nIt's that the trade has no edge.\n\n(And possibly also that you're trading too big anyway.)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1990728668839030951","reply_id":"1990728668839030951","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":34,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4181,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1990728670357459282","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1492963577933664257":{"id":"1492963577933664257","date":"2022-02-13 20:47:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount I know a Lebanese quant who would argue for the deadlift...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1492622868634431488","reply_id":"1492955343227396103","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1492963577933664257","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1846552925687906569":{"id":"1846552925687906569","date":"2024-10-16 14:04:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@__schaal__ I think it's been suggested enough that I might go try it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1846542157697442092","reply_id":"1846549780643688922","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"__schaal__","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":292,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1846552925687906569","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1628451156950413312":{"id":"1628451156950413312","date":"2023-02-22 17:46:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ThePythonQuant Some can. Most can't/don't want to.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1628449259870883848","reply_id":"1628450313433653248","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ThePythonQuant","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1946,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1628451156950413312","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1249724801683316737":{"id":"1249724801683316737","date":"2020-04-13 15:43:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_julesh_ @ESYudkowsky Misleading cartographic projection alert!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1249665745295945729","reply_id":"1249665745295945729","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_julesh_","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1249724801683316737","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2049743493334028570":{"id":"2049743493334028570","date":"2026-04-30 06:51:45","author":"Michael Nielsen","handle":"michael_nielsen","text":"RT @michael_nielsen: @JJColao Vinge's prescience is shocking; I feel like we're all living in a footnote to his thinking","hashtags":[],"conv":"2049743493334028570","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2049713565536596072","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/michael_nielsen/status/2049743493334028570"},"1626748669340045312":{"id":"1626748669340045312","date":"2023-02-18 01:01:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 Small pairs setmining, suited aces if you're deep enough, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1626671259542237186","reply_id":"1626731904266555392","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":484,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1626748669340045312","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1516416657895346178":{"id":"1516416657895346178","date":"2022-04-19 14:01:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @jbarker_c And the sizes you can trade (you'll always do more/fewer of the bad/good trades in prod than in sim).\nAnd you need to simulate your hedging too.\nAnd figure out what the right borrow rates are.\nAnd divs/early ex.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1516331323022983169","reply_id":"1516338405809922048","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1516416657895346178","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1810746030935474667":{"id":"1810746030935474667","date":"2024-07-09 18:41:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Dems now deserve everything that's about to happen to them for the next four years.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1810746030935474667","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3804,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1810746030935474667","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1562492430053625857":{"id":"1562492430053625857","date":"2022-08-24 17:29:59","author":"Ben Lakoff","handle":"benlakoff","text":"New shirt from @TheMetaFactory \n\nNailed it. 🤖","hashtags":[],"conv":"1562492430053625857","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1562797196046520320","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":49,"retweets":9,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1562492430053625857_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/benlakoff/status/1562492430053625857"},"1508236983809703938":{"id":"1508236983809703938","date":"2022-03-28 00:18:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @be20684347 @davidbelle_","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507961234519429120","reply_id":"1508235977122512902","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1508236983809703938_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1508236983809703938","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2042655187613995026":{"id":"2042655187613995026","date":"2026-04-10 17:25:22","author":"Adam Stein","handle":"adamlsteinl","text":"We found widespread cheating on popular agent benchmarks, affecting 28+ submissions across 9 benchmarks and thousands of agent runs.\n\nSurprisingly, the top 3 submissions on Terminal-Bench 2 are all cheating!\n\nHere's what we found 🧵","hashtags":[],"conv":"2042655187613995026","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2042936589664333936","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":609,"retweets":96,"replies":35,"quotes":45,"views":192678,"bookmarks":300,"media":["2042655187613995026_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/adamlsteinl/status/2042655187613995026"},"1499219804431224834":{"id":"1499219804431224834","date":"2022-03-03 03:07:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily It's possible they're thinking about this in a reasonable way, but the overwhelming probability is they're not.\n\nThey need to consider two big questions first:\n1. Why do you want this?\n2. How do you know you'd be good at it?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1499208197717913604","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1499219804431224834","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1405184153725767686":{"id":"1405184153725767686","date":"2021-06-16 15:23:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5/ This is individualism at its worst: act as though collective action is impossible or undesirable, and then ignore or complain about the resulting arms-race-to-the-bottom the individualism creates.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1405184150139674624","reply_id":"1405184152933081089","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1405184153725767686","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1236784433547468800":{"id":"1236784433547468800","date":"2020-03-08 22:42:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @ScottJo34110219 @lopezdeprado Here's a thing I like:\n- create a model of asset volume as f'n of, for example, time of day and recent vol.\n- surprise = actual_vlm - predicted_vlm.\n- plot cum(surprise(assetX)) vs cum(surprise(assetY))\n\nYou'll see fun patterns. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1236755240403316742","reply_id":"1236783298455597056","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1236784433547468800","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1716833285912084803":{"id":"1716833285912084803","date":"2023-10-24 15:05:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Most of what's hard about trading is getting the ugly details right.\n\n- Bad/missing/odd data. How much of it to use vs keep fresh.\n- Adjustments: divs, rolls, corporate actions.\n- What to do about weird times like Covid or FTX.\n- Universe selection.\n- How much time to look back.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1716833285912084803","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":116,"retweets":7,"replies":8,"quotes":1,"views":12953,"bookmarks":33,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1716833285912084803","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1980236498932027400":{"id":"1980236498932027400","date":"2025-10-20 11:35:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 IMO given that he could easily get hired anywhere for infinity money (I assume, since Elon has already said he has an open seat if he wants it), that should increase the weight of his opinions.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1980217813475504281","reply_id":"1980217813475504281","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":882,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1980236498932027400","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1281238946119213057":{"id":"1281238946119213057","date":"2020-07-09 14:49:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BeingHorizontal The way Jupyter forces you to manually keep track of hidden state (i.e. the little numbers on the side) of a possibly-enormous notebook makes it a long-term dead-end IMHO.\n\nReliable reproducibility is only possible if you keep forcing yourself to keep notebooks tiny. Kinda sucks.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1281218525659459589","reply_id":"1281228071366885378","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BeingHorizontal","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1281238946119213057","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1499773658662793216":{"id":"1499773658662793216","date":"2022-03-04 15:47:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"7/\n\nA. Have idea.\nB. Think very hard about the problem. About the market/domain. About how you'd design your \"experiment\". What data you need, how much you need. What you expect to see. What would convince you. Etc etc.\n\nTHEN...\n\nC. Look at data.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1499773651553435656","reply_id":"1499773657526145032","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":14,"retweets":3,"replies":1,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1499773658662793216","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1602088592603594757":{"id":"1602088592603594757","date":"2022-12-11 23:51:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nikil_ragav No. When it started out it was ~40min to 1:30.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1601762710911602689","reply_id":"1602088034559819777","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nikil_ragav","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1602088592603594757","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1471155692983623688":{"id":"1471155692983623688","date":"2021-12-15 16:30:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"8/ On its face it seems like a factual statement. Especially if you’re a big OHM holder and sooo excited about all the APY you’re getting.\n\nBut probably it’s actually a predictive statement. One that’s better expressed as:\n\n“I believe OHM will go to zero someday.”","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471155685547118594","reply_id":"1471155691947585536","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471155692983623688","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1264760190571696129":{"id":"1264760190571696129","date":"2020-05-25 03:28:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz Does Stevie Wonder count? Lennon?\n\nBilly Preston, semi-obscure but an absolute genius.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1264756161452150784","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1264760190571696129","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1829415192649683161":{"id":"1829415192649683161","date":"2024-08-30 07:05:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CJHandmer Mitutoyo-san is rolling in his grave.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1829282479498514873","reply_id":"1829282479498514873","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"CJHandmer","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":93,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1829415192649683161","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1583884400789291008":{"id":"1583884400789291008","date":"2022-10-22 18:14:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"WTF is Bill Nye doing in my kid's 8th grade science curriculum?\n\nDoes anything get taught by live humans anymore?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1583884400789291008","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1583884400789291008_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1583884400789291008","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1683327266397495297":{"id":"1683327266397495297","date":"2023-07-24 04:04:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SpacChad I just paid $11 for a 6 inch Italian at JM.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1683325254515703809","reply_id":"1683327101137727489","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SpacChad","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":284,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1683327266397495297","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1405206787830149120":{"id":"1405206787830149120","date":"2021-06-16 16:53:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SoccerMomTrades @FREAK0NAUT @stu01769024 Precisely. The US isn't a shit show by any reasonable definition.\n\nBut it does have crap that drives an immigrant like me absolutely insane. Healthcare is #1 on that list.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1405184150139674624","reply_id":"1405206342814605317","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SoccerMomTrades","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1405206787830149120","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1545837490904240134":{"id":"1545837490904240134","date":"2022-07-09 18:29:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"By \"a thing\" I mean:\n- People talk about them.\n- Restaurants readily make accommodations.\n- People change them semi-regularly.\n- They're a personal-identity thing.\n\netc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1545836541255176192","reply_id":"1545836541255176192","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1545837490904240134","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1680371196704219136":{"id":"1680371196704219136","date":"2023-07-16 00:18:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 To be clear, I love Steph.\nGreat for bball, great for golf, great guy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1680301480098578432","reply_id":"1680370688635334657","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":481,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1680371196704219136","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1255135156160978944":{"id":"1255135156160978944","date":"2020-04-28 14:01:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan \"The market can stay crazy longer than you can stay solvent.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1255122735782670336","reply_id":"1255122735782670336","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1255135156160978944","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1265798635620413440":{"id":"1265798635620413440","date":"2020-05-28 00:14:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @Foulke_David @choffstein I wonder: is there any exposition of mechanics (for undergrads) that *starts* with the principle of least action, Noether's Theorem, and goes from there?\n\nI wish I had learned mechanics that way, having only re-learned it that way in my 30s.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1265287336729944064","reply_id":"1265775143034503168","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1265798635620413440","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1635850936580182016":{"id":"1635850936580182016","date":"2023-03-15 03:50:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Figma.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1635796109208735744","reply_id":"1635849926969262086","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1122,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1635850936580182016","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1165339622475329536":{"id":"1165339622475329536","date":"2019-08-24 19:06:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"A thing that happens to me more often than I care to admit:\n\n1. I think of something I believe I learned >10 years ago.\n2. I realize I've forgotten the details.\n3. Go back and re-learn the details.\n4. Realize the details are hard, and wonder if I ever really knew it at all.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1165339622475329536","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":3,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1165339622475329536","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2064737149677699092":{"id":"2064737149677699092","date":"2026-06-10 15:51:12","author":"roon","handle":"tszzl","text":"RT @tszzl: the omohundro drives point towards sophon stun locking the adversaries: this is some real end game stuff","hashtags":[],"conv":"2064737149677699092","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2064454617568874669","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":45,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tszzl/status/2064737149677699092"},"1957512304775299243":{"id":"1957512304775299243","date":"2025-08-18 18:37:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@686Prism Somehow I don't think it's the \"access to US capital markets\" that makes the difference.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957511809965126079","reply_id":"1957512098860441962","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"686Prism","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":655,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1957512304775299243","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1947237019563753618":{"id":"1947237019563753618","date":"2025-07-21 10:07:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih Also 100% tax on sports gambling profits. The net externalities are *so* negative.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1947011053235454421","reply_id":"1947011053235454421","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":1077,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1947237019563753618","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1719818593758859621":{"id":"1719818593758859621","date":"2023-11-01 20:48:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"If Sam wore old New Balance sneakers, you must acquit!\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1719816550356853088","reply_id":"1719816550356853088","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":978,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1719818593758859621","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1712875644730884184":{"id":"1712875644730884184","date":"2023-10-13 16:59:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@netcapgirl @NotQuiteMidlife Come on, the JGB widowmaker is as close to a human universal as they come!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1712846209629442368","reply_id":"1712846209629442368","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"netcapgirl","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":471,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1712875644730884184","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1476413501765685251":{"id":"1476413501765685251","date":"2021-12-30 04:43:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@skajbaje @robertmartin88 @therobotjames It's a good question. If you're pricing and hedging OTC derivatives, there's value. Otherwise...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476304612638355459","reply_id":"1476407031703609348","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"skajbaje","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476413501765685251","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2076200679186567521":{"id":"2076200679186567521","date":"2026-07-12 07:03:10","author":"Dylan Patel","handle":"dylan522p","text":"Or he failed to keep it together (Anthropic, Thinky, Core Automation, etc) and bloviated so much about his tech that everyone saw it as existential and it created completion from all the hyperscalers.\nIf he played his cards right I'd bet there'd be no Anthropic or Meta TBD or XAI","hashtags":[],"conv":"2076200679186567521","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2076243253679030497","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1619,"retweets":41,"replies":97,"quotes":19,"views":365439,"bookmarks":426,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dylan522p/status/2076200679186567521"},"1704882368509796755":{"id":"1704882368509796755","date":"2023-09-21 15:36:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Surely the most ratio-able (non-Chamath division) tweet ever?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1704882368509796755","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2574,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1704882368509796755","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1341624361225056256":{"id":"1341624361225056256","date":"2020-12-23 05:59:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FroTrades @Wallacesnoop1 If you can write truly performant code (i.e. someone who really knows modern computer architecture)\n\nAND\n\nunderstands things like meta-programming (code generation for over-the-wire protocols and such) to automate big chunks of your job\n\nTHEN you'll be just fine...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1341501078819405825","reply_id":"1341602586105839616","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FroTrades","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1341624361225056256","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1906250683117940908":{"id":"1906250683117940908","date":"2025-03-30 07:42:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Bad news: more of the software you use will be written by some combo of AI and ppl who don't know how to architect/design/secure it.\n\nGood news: it will be easier to write your own personalized version and opt out entirely.\n\nSoftware is info and info wants to be free. As in beer.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1906250683117940908","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":41,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":4074,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1906250683117940908","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1504552434982535170":{"id":"1504552434982535170","date":"2022-03-17 20:17:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @be20684347 @TCK_JRubano @therobotjames @lightspringfox @imagine_mev @pranavvk Noise.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503862489599340544","reply_id":"1504549466950545409","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1504552434982535170","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1817012007654310250":{"id":"1817012007654310250","date":"2024-07-27 01:39:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dwarkesh_sp @arpitingle Big risk it becomes a performance. Which would be not-good.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1816871952134603062","reply_id":"1816873621580841159","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dwarkesh_sp","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":445,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1817012007654310250","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1509680061930041345":{"id":"1509680061930041345","date":"2022-03-31 23:52:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tdwern Or limit on close. Some on-close anyway.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1509623825519951881","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1509680061930041345","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1454896797357252610":{"id":"1454896797357252610","date":"2021-10-31 19:43:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5/ \"It teaches them work ethic.\"\n\nAt first glance, it seems unlikely that engaging in repeated zero-sum competition in an arena where genetic gifts matter *a lot* is going to do a great job teaching work ethic.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1454896792802267140","reply_id":"1454896796157693952","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1454896797357252610","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1681321982347087874":{"id":"1681321982347087874","date":"2023-07-18 15:16:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 @ALBACapMgmt It's a terrible terrible question.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1681318152721039363","reply_id":"1681321286285557760","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":394,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1681321982347087874","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2041176376594575721":{"id":"2041176376594575721","date":"2026-04-06 15:29:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Because Nobel Prizes in science are well-known to go to people who just think up theories in their armchairs and then publish them.\n\nAs opposed to gifted experimentalists grinding on the bench for years to make nature give up her secrets.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2041176376594575721","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":76,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":13356,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2041176376594575721","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1552822856001564673":{"id":"1552822856001564673","date":"2022-07-29 01:06:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug @_Dave__White_ @anon75374998 So correct.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1552817040448114694","reply_id":"1552822208690520066","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1552822856001564673","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1594832919662841856":{"id":"1594832919662841856","date":"2022-11-21 23:19:33","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"@ThePythonQuant 1. don’t","hashtags":[],"conv":"1594832117099282432","reply_id":"1594832117099282432","quote_id":"1594917379397468160","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ThePythonQuant","likes":70,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1594832919662841856"},"2013711910399812022":{"id":"2013711910399812022","date":"2026-01-20 20:35:07","author":"Trevor Noren","handle":"trevornoren","text":"Striking visual reflecting exactly how dependent the US and world has become on the AI trade: \"A single chipmaker has grown so large that its market cap now rivals the economies of entire G7 nations...Nvidia’s roughly $4.6T market cap would “rank” as the world’s 4th-largest economy—behind only the US, China, and Germany.\"\n\nI'm knee-deep right now writing a report on \"Price Discovery.\" For all the parallels being made between the dotcom bubble and today’s AI enthusiasm, one basic consideration is often neglected: market participation has transformed over the past two-plus decades. My question: how will that alter the market's reaction function in this moment of excessive AI enthusiasm and extreme macro uncertainty? \n\nAs well-known and often repeated as the marquee stats may be, they remain staggering. There’s passive: in 2000, passive investing accounted for ~10% of US equity market AUM; today, passive’s share exceeds 53%. There’s systematic strategies: AUM managed by quant hedge funds has skyrocketed from the tens of billions around 2000 to over $1.2t today. There’s high frequency trading: total trading volume by HFTs in the US has surged from ~20% in the early 2000s to ~50% today. There’s retail participation: the % of US households with capital market exposure has risen by nearly 10 percentage points over the past two decades and retail investors now account for ~20% of daily trading volume in the US, a share that has doubled just in the past decade. And there’s foreign participation: non-US investors now account for ~18% of US equity market ownership, up from ~7% at the turn of the century.\n\nAs detailed in my \"GenAI & Productivity\" report (https://sageroadresearch.com/products/ai-productivity), I believe dotcom comparisons are overblown. Just to contextualize what a dotcom-like crash would mean today, former IMF Chief Economist Gita Gopinath published this calculation in October: “A market correction of the same magnitude as the dotcom crash could wipe out over $20t in wealth for American households, equivalent to roughly 70% of American GDP in 2024.” It’s hard to see how wealth-destruction on that level could transpire when the epicenter of any so-called “bubble” is the most profitable companies in the world and when there are no signs of a slowdown in AI infrastructure spending. However, as I also argue in the report, I do believe excessive enthusiasm is priced into the AI trade today, with market participants underestimating genAI’s weaknesses and overestimating its strengths and trajectory of improvement.\n\nHow do investors and allocators approach risk mitigation in this environment? To my mind, answering this question without careful consideration of the seismic shifts in market participation over the past decade is a path to misguided decision making. More to come!\n\nLearn about Sage Road Research: https://sageroadresearch.com/. Interested in subscribing? Message me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2013711910399812022","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2015129551500673353","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":5326,"bookmarks":0,"media":["2013711910399812022_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/trevornoren/status/2013711910399812022"},"1522324452909862914":{"id":"1522324452909862914","date":"2022-05-05 21:16:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @ConvexityCap @bennpeifert @vixsys @MinvstrD @dampedspring @TheSpeculator0 I must be a bad one then. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1522308458103640065","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1522324452909862914","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1666879509054750729":{"id":"1666879509054750729","date":"2023-06-08 18:46:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@GeorgeHagstrom @abiylfoyp FWIW this is the biggest difference between recreational and aspiring-to-actually-be-good tennis players.\n\nThe former obsess over technique, the latter over footwork and fitness.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1666872895849496578","reply_id":"1666878284401868817","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GeorgeHagstrom","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":16,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1666879509054750729","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1944062340694987076":{"id":"1944062340694987076","date":"2025-07-12 15:52:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Note: in the event of a normal acquisition, employees get accelerated and the converted (either to cash, or to shares of the acquirer). This usually represents a huge *decrease* in an highly correlated risk to your net worth.\n\nWith this arrangement, that's not true anymore.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1944060716295893233","reply_id":"1944060724377997607","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4101,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1944062340694987076","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1912198321898144216":{"id":"1912198321898144216","date":"2025-04-15 17:36:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OrthogonalAlpha Having the idea actually work is yet another.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1912195305115877532","reply_id":"1912195305115877532","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OrthogonalAlpha","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":509,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1912198321898144216","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1737503944065392884":{"id":"1737503944065392884","date":"2023-12-20 16:03:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The male urge to start a marketplace business.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1737503944065392884","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1675,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1737503944065392884","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1417318722214109186":{"id":"1417318722214109186","date":"2021-07-20 03:01:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SqueezeMetrics @MortWeaz @jsoloff That magic ratio tho.\n\nSpent many a month puzzling over that...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1417300898234003457","reply_id":"1417318006854664193","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SqueezeMetrics","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1417318722214109186","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1484537282275147777":{"id":"1484537282275147777","date":"2022-01-21 14:44:04","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"This is brutal\n\nhttps://www.readmargins.com/p/robinhood-and-ipo-access\n\ncc @EconomPic","hashtags":[],"conv":"1484537282275147777","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1484550178665230336","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":98,"retweets":16,"replies":6,"quotes":9,"views":0,"bookmarks":24,"media":["1484537282275147777_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1484537282275147777"},"1528442966268084225":{"id":"1528442966268084225","date":"2022-05-22 18:29:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert Come down to San Diego. Shit kicks off *early* here.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1528400908786159617","reply_id":"1528440451589541888","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1528442966268084225","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1163193972551872513":{"id":"1163193972551872513","date":"2019-08-18 21:00:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@clairlemon I thought that was Vox's stated mission. To give interpretation and context (for better or worse) to news of the day.\n\nCan't say they're not doing what they claimed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1163193022483320832","reply_id":"1163193022483320832","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"clairlemon","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1163193972551872513","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1534948862317563910":{"id":"1534948862317563910","date":"2022-06-09 17:21:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I find it cute that my kids pronounce LaTeX with an \"X\" sound.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1534948862317563910","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1534948862317563910","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2034672013608947876":{"id":"2034672013608947876","date":"2026-03-19 16:43:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"","hashtags":[],"conv":"2034672013608947876","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3200,"bookmarks":2,"media":["2034672013608947876_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2034672013608947876","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1590834049798791169":{"id":"1590834049798791169","date":"2022-11-10 22:29:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0x94305 As one of the seven, I'm here for this.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1590828827869347841","reply_id":"1590828831648382978","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0x94305","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1590834049798791169","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1382693883616886796":{"id":"1382693883616886796","date":"2021-04-15 13:54:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@name49219231 Books more generally:\n- Asimov's Foundation series.\n- Recently the history of China by Michael Wood.\n- The Prize by Daniel Yergin.\n\nLearning to sell:\n- Never Split The Difference by Chris Voss.\n- The Mom Test.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"1382693310326784009","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382693883616886796","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1537832996035698688":{"id":"1537832996035698688","date":"2022-06-17 16:22:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Husslin_ Sounds complicated.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1537832704917446656","reply_id":"1537832910526488577","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Husslin_","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1537832996035698688","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1722315839138157049":{"id":"1722315839138157049","date":"2023-11-08 18:11:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Surely the Copilot that's writing most of our code now is a fairly quantitative software developer? Lots of numbers in those NN weights...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1722301061049065709","reply_id":"1722314958967288194","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":241,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1722315839138157049","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1749279694284017975":{"id":"1749279694284017975","date":"2024-01-22 03:55:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@korus_mateusz @therobotjames @worstcontrarian Your guess as good as mine! :)\n\nThanks for the kind words. 🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1749257516872020115","reply_id":"1749257516872020115","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"korus_mateusz","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":150,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1749279694284017975","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1763216706791452845":{"id":"1763216706791452845","date":"2024-02-29 14:56:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @KrisAbdelmessih @rudyroggio @TCK_JRubano Yes, with the caveat that your self-categorization can and should change through your career.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1763076860773351497","reply_id":"1763215929381454248","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":267,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1763216706791452845","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1625928006563934210":{"id":"1625928006563934210","date":"2023-02-15 18:40:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal If Python had a decent module system then the answer is \"never\".\n\nGiven it doesn't, the answer is \"use it as a module system\". I.e. don't use any of the inheritance features.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1625926306511585282","reply_id":"1625926306511585282","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":427,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1625928006563934210","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1912033064995127765":{"id":"1912033064995127765","date":"2025-04-15 06:39:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"A perfect tweet.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1912033064995127765","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3883,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1912033064995127765","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1438247469343592457":{"id":"1438247469343592457","date":"2021-09-15 21:04:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @NewRiverInvest @p_millerd We have the luxury of living in a place and time with such incredible abundance that we *can have principled discussions about the \"value of work\" and \"being seen as people\".\n\nI love living in a place like this, but it's not the historical/geographic norm. @robinhanson dreamtime.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1438239899581181954","reply_id":"1438246936704811008","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1438247469343592457","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1135567765132066817":{"id":"1135567765132066817","date":"2019-06-03 15:23:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Check out my latest podcast interview with Better System Trader! Transcript available too. #podcast #interview #decisionmaking #lawsoftrading #trading\nhttp://bettersystemtrader.com/163-the-laws-of-trading-agustin-lebron/","hashtags":["podcast","interview","decisionmaking","lawsoftrading","trading"],"conv":"1135567765132066817","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1135567765132066817","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1841706667588911611":{"id":"1841706667588911611","date":"2024-10-03 05:07:41","author":"Casey Handmer","handle":"CJHandmer","text":"I'm continually surprised by how rare mental arithmetic skill is among technical people. It's about as hard to learn as riding a bike (ie not hard) and it puts first principles thinking on warp drive. With daily practice you can quickly get faster results than using a calculator even for complicated operations. It also greatly improves physical intuition. I see it as a kind of literacy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1841706667588911611","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1841735078499455345","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3712,"retweets":137,"replies":196,"quotes":63,"views":685330,"bookmarks":1907,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/CJHandmer/status/1841706667588911611"},"1598347186835947520":{"id":"1598347186835947520","date":"2022-12-01 16:03:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Everyone RN: Why can't exchanges just be happy making fees?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598347186835947520","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598347186835947520","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1762484537068490909":{"id":"1762484537068490909","date":"2024-02-27 14:27:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Meronix15 The world seems to be turning in that direction.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1762483702125199482","reply_id":"1762484123275301096","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Meronix15","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":358,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1762484537068490909","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1613963720732082178":{"id":"1613963720732082178","date":"2023-01-13 18:18:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Gingfacekillah @TCK_JRubano Are these actual *trader* jobs tho? Honestly asking.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1613930338698366977","reply_id":"1613958359430074368","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Gingfacekillah","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":720,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1613963720732082178","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1546956452534763522":{"id":"1546956452534763522","date":"2022-07-12 20:35:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @LouisPhdSB I'd be pretty shocked if (a) there were and (b) that was optimal.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546895763359162373","reply_id":"1546954657725296640","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546956452534763522","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1505588591149256711":{"id":"1505588591149256711","date":"2022-03-20 16:54:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"12/ Edge shows up in all sorts of weird places in trading. Billy didn't go to Cleveland looking for a solution to his small-market low-budget problem. He went there looking for players.\n\nHe could have easily ignored the dynamic in the room, staying focused on the task at hand.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1505588589760901121","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":20,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505588591149256711","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1665790233688829953":{"id":"1665790233688829953","date":"2023-06-05 18:38:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The goal is to digitally mediate\n\nEVERY\nSINGLE\nWAKING\nSECOND\n\nof your life.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1665790233688829953","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3368,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1665790233688829953","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2042559022692188207":{"id":"2042559022692188207","date":"2026-04-10 11:03:14","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"RT @macrocephalopod: @sdav1986 What if I am making more money than pre-AI?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2042559022692188207","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2042373362702336355","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/2042559022692188207"},"1601247269336281088":{"id":"1601247269336281088","date":"2022-12-09 16:07:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OGTaylorB I didn't mean to hit the old lady with my car. Yes, I *was* driving around 80mph at night on a residential street. But I really feel bad about what happened.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1601245400555716608","reply_id":"1601246889772404737","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OGTaylorB","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1601247269336281088","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1632606347354316800":{"id":"1632606347354316800","date":"2023-03-06 04:57:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JauquetW Cal Newport has a lot of smart things to say about this whole mess.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632603101386649600","reply_id":"1632605557935820801","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JauquetW","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":315,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632606347354316800","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1784780263198949569":{"id":"1784780263198949569","date":"2024-04-29 03:02:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ByrneHobart - If you're a pro then you're tagged as such\n- Poor financing\n- Poor risk limits\n- Awful APIs","hashtags":[],"conv":"1784759655530459459","reply_id":"1784759655530459459","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ByrneHobart","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":591,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1784780263198949569","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1709730836013019143":{"id":"1709730836013019143","date":"2023-10-05 00:42:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"What ports do we have to open? Sounds like too much trouble.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709730836013019143","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3204,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1709730836013019143","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1594927009637203968":{"id":"1594927009637203968","date":"2022-11-22 05:33:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 @be20684347 @therobotjames Yeah good move. It just screams \"I'm putting this because I think you want to see it.\"\n\nYou're much better off putting stuff you're PROUD of.\n\nLike some of your Twitter threads or writings. Stuff that uniquely shows how you think and work. Can't fake that stuff (easily).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1594914937494974466","reply_id":"1594926171329732608","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1594927009637203968","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1549088311871885324":{"id":"1549088311871885324","date":"2022-07-18 17:46:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1d83232e5fea3e70ef8143d9d6e76933165cce0a0acc2435fa15e3abcdae4f8e","hashtags":[],"conv":"1549088311871885324","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1549088311871885324","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1552694990991593473":{"id":"1552694990991593473","date":"2022-07-28 16:38:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@homeorhetic @SinclairEuan @NihilistTrader @robertmartin88 @bennpeifert Well, this isn't *efficient* but you can always create a basis set of indicator functions with tight butterflies and construct any payoff you want with those.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1552690148495839239","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1552694990991593473","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1927266271306846354":{"id":"1927266271306846354","date":"2025-05-27 07:31:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"✅\n\nWas asked yesterday what's so great about Ocaml and my answers had almost nothing to do with functional programming.\n\n- Great module system.\n- Strong static types.\n- Algebraic data types.\n- Predictable runtime perf.\n\nAlmost any language could have these but they mostly don't.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1927266271306846354","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":23,"retweets":3,"replies":19,"quotes":1,"views":5597,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1927266271306846354","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1946163141668213128":{"id":"1946163141668213128","date":"2025-07-18 11:00:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@kchoudhu @mansourtarek_ @kylascan Definitely curious what Kyla thinks.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946114875899486383","reply_id":"1946153188299563345","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"kchoudhu","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":593,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946163141668213128","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1415486794754232326":{"id":"1415486794754232326","date":"2021-07-15 01:42:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @Sg423Sg I've conducted a shade over 2000 interviews in my career.\n\nAfter about 100, I thought I was pretty good at this.\nAfter about 300, I realized I had no clue.\nI've just been crawling out of that hole ever since...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"1415485663567171588","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415486794754232326","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1850875044945121554":{"id":"1850875044945121554","date":"2024-10-28 12:19:32","author":"Tarek Mansour","handle":"mansourtarek_","text":"Kalshi is now #1 finance app on the App Store.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1850875044945121554","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1850879347504160941","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":605,"retweets":33,"replies":34,"quotes":20,"views":64470,"bookmarks":66,"media":["1850875044945121554_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mansourtarek_/status/1850875044945121554"},"1598533266583130112":{"id":"1598533266583130112","date":"2022-12-02 04:23:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0x94305 Yeah, doing it \"properly\" is significantly more involved, interesting, and fraught with pitfalls.\n\nBut it's fun that such a simple approach gets you a lot of the way to sensible position-sizing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598532636317814788","reply_id":"1598532636317814788","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0x94305","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598533266583130112","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1555282083672510464":{"id":"1555282083672510464","date":"2022-08-04 19:58:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ In trading, if you're wrong 80% of the time then someone can get rich off that. Just do the opposite.\n\nPoint is: \"bad at trading\" isn't the Washington Generals getting killed the Globetrotters every night.\n\n\"Bad at trading\" is being a noise trader. Bleeding away fee $ forever.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1555282083672510464","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":133,"retweets":16,"replies":9,"quotes":5,"views":0,"bookmarks":43,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1555282083672510464","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1585129309274247168":{"id":"1585129309274247168","date":"2022-10-26 04:40:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @therobotjames @IDrawCharts @toiletkingcap Wow.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1585076062501089280","reply_id":"1585125985090838528","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1585129309274247168","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1942138306524762278":{"id":"1942138306524762278","date":"2025-07-07 08:27:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"14/\nB) When SEBI sent them a caution letter, I am absolutely *shocked* they continued trading with (arguably) only minor modifications to the economic effect of the strategy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942138304578638011","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":197,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":5,"views":26660,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942138306524762278","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1871964645298507916":{"id":"1871964645298507916","date":"2024-12-25 17:02:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"You don't have to believe in imminent or eventual AGI to believe this is true.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1871964460115767373","reply_id":"1871964460115767373","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3683,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1871964645298507916","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1946114895415587213":{"id":"1946114895415587213","date":"2025-07-18 07:48:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"8. The market for vibes (and hence predictions) will be dominated by:\n\n(a) irrelevant stuff that sucks economic resources (sports)\n(b) societally negative outcomes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946114875899486383","reply_id":"1946114893649768831","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":49,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":5343,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946114895415587213","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1443740370676772874":{"id":"1443740370676772874","date":"2021-10-01 00:51:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@longskew @TreatDevourer @bennpeifert Mercurial.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443615710878470144","reply_id":"1443718095793762308","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"longskew","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1443740370676772874","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1778900097121620032":{"id":"1778900097121620032","date":"2024-04-12 21:36:48","author":"Asuka","handle":"HighFreqAsuka","text":"This makes sense when you realize the people who decided this have kids that they’d like to get into top colleges without subjecting them to competing in the IMO","hashtags":[],"conv":"1778900097121620032","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1778904217362534568","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":84,"retweets":4,"replies":3,"quotes":2,"views":14666,"bookmarks":16,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/HighFreqAsuka/status/1778900097121620032"},"1358063506281533441":{"id":"1358063506281533441","date":"2021-02-06 14:42:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jam_croissant @Ksidiii @luc_hoch27 @TradeVolatility I think you're right, we are probably saying very similar things.\n\nDidn't mean to pick a fight @Ksidiii . :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1357844429781037066","reply_id":"1357926341350465537","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jam_croissant","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1358063506281533441","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1984575619066220958":{"id":"1984575619066220958","date":"2025-11-01 10:57:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"- Wealth\n- Above-replacement TFR\n- Political power for old people\n\nSocieties get to pick at most 2.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1984575619066220958","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":92,"retweets":2,"replies":8,"quotes":1,"views":8766,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1984575619066220958","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1755773278701191410":{"id":"1755773278701191410","date":"2024-02-09 01:59:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HighFreqAsuka Yes, leaders of trading firms are (a) usually very knowledgeable about the secret inner workings of other trading firms, and (b) very dispassionate their analysis of the competition.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1755767598262751555","reply_id":"1755767598262751555","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HighFreqAsuka","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":553,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1755773278701191410","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1350303339720785920":{"id":"1350303339720785920","date":"2021-01-16 04:46:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Pro tip: anytime you see the word \"arbitrage\" just replace it with \"riskless profit\".\n\nIf the sentence still makes sense, you're good.\n\nOtherwise, find another word.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1350300311672418304","reply_id":"1350300311672418304","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1350303339720785920","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1922546787824386082":{"id":"1922546787824386082","date":"2025-05-14 06:57:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LeylaKuni @Abude_al_asaad @Camp4 Non-recourse, non-mark-to-market capital, apparently.\n\nGiven the risks the lenders are taking, why aren't they directly investing in whatever bond ETF is in this product?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1922450746655539515","reply_id":"1922457316504338783","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"LeylaKuni","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":210,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1922546787824386082","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2020429877808123939":{"id":"2020429877808123939","date":"2026-02-08 09:29:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Most engineers give up setting up OpenClaw because it's so hard.\" \n\nThey're funding OpenClaw wrappers now?\nWhat engineers is YC talking to?!?!","hashtags":[],"conv":"2020429877808123939","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":762,"retweets":17,"replies":60,"quotes":5,"views":79485,"bookmarks":87,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2020429877808123939","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1461188867394998279":{"id":"1461188867394998279","date":"2021-11-18 04:25:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @stone_caleb22 @TCK_JRubano @KrisAbdelmessih @SinclairEuan 🙏\n\nFull disclosure: when I was writing the book, all I could think was \"who's going to care about all this meta-level stuff?\"\n\nIt's still immensely gratifying to hear someone say that it was useful to them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1460724469933035520","reply_id":"1461056255108124672","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1461188867394998279","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1425146380553654275":{"id":"1425146380553654275","date":"2021-08-10 17:25:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite Amen.\n\nPython is great when you want to cobble together some existing library calls into something quick and useful.\n\nBut for writing a production system? 😵‍💫","hashtags":[],"conv":"1425142882953056257","reply_id":"1425142882953056257","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1425146380553654275","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1542513064590704642":{"id":"1542513064590704642","date":"2022-06-30 14:19:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I have gotten *really* good at memorizing 6 digit numbers for a duration of 5 seconds.\n\n#whitecollarskillset","hashtags":["whitecollarskillset"],"conv":"1542513064590704642","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1542513064590704642","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1367695629296660482":{"id":"1367695629296660482","date":"2021-03-05 04:37:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cinglein @JessicaNutt96 Significantly. And of course, TSLA Sharpe < 0.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1367678973325406215","reply_id":"1367686472879407107","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"cinglein","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1367695629296660482","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1531030037796794368":{"id":"1531030037796794368","date":"2022-05-29 21:49:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal Pick 4 random numbers [0,1] and consider those the cut points? Gives you 5 random numbers whose sum is 1.\n\n(Note, this will actually be Dirichlet distributed IIRC)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1531029292934733829","reply_id":"1531029292934733829","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1531030037796794368","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1496984248854581250":{"id":"1496984248854581250","date":"2022-02-24 23:03:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih Yeah, I imagine a lot of the stuff is quite familiar to you. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1496972224967831552","reply_id":"1496972237974302720","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1496984248854581250","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2080931049589109085":{"id":"2080931049589109085","date":"2026-07-25 08:19:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RuxandraTeslo says what we're all thinking.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2080931049589109085","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RuxandraTeslo","likes":72,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":5135,"bookmarks":9,"media":["2080931049589109085_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2080931049589109085","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1836308199164543163":{"id":"1836308199164543163","date":"2024-09-18 07:36:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FormulaDeltaOne Step 1: Figure out what positions make money.\nStep 2: Figure out how to get out of the positions you have and into those.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1836303655441440780","reply_id":"1836303655441440780","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FormulaDeltaOne","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":825,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1836308199164543163","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1965443040736325862":{"id":"1965443040736325862","date":"2025-09-09 15:51:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinepJohnson Remove oil from Norway's GDP per capita and you get something like France or Canada. So I doubt it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1952747071942853008","reply_id":"1965440758363947064","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinepJohnson","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":156,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1965443040736325862","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1700208924891426971":{"id":"1700208924891426971","date":"2023-09-08 18:06:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Has anything useful ever come after the phrase \"and I'm here to tell you\"?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1700208924891426971","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2535,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1700208924891426971","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1912969019705188541":{"id":"1912969019705188541","date":"2025-04-17 20:38:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@prxyam It's the signal-to-noise that's the problem. Plus some adverse selection.\n\nWhy did that IIT topper only manage to get into an MFE program?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1912956767920664834","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3903,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1912969019705188541","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1708946914002321470":{"id":"1708946914002321470","date":"2023-10-02 20:47:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AlexanderGerko I think they're likely counting data science and such as AI.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1708936442976567764","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1588,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1708946914002321470","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1678896219312259072":{"id":"1678896219312259072","date":"2023-07-11 22:37:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OhadOsterreich1 @therobotjames 💪","hashtags":[],"conv":"1678818097602392070","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":104,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1678896219312259072","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1434963970406825985":{"id":"1434963970406825985","date":"2021-09-06 19:37:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"15/ Fast forward a few years, and it’s clear that crypto trading was a thing. But by then my instinct was:\n\n“Bah, crypto has no obvious economic value, I’ve got better things to trade.”\n\nAnd I probably would have left it at that except for two lucky facts.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434963956599193601","reply_id":"1434963969387556865","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434963970406825985","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1426229227796402176":{"id":"1426229227796402176","date":"2021-08-13 17:08:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@PenguinsTrading It is indeed. That's why I started my consulting company. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1426215713409101829","reply_id":"1426226203585810432","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"PenguinsTrading","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1426229227796402176","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1485637677634375685":{"id":"1485637677634375685","date":"2022-01-24 15:36:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@PenguinsTrading It really wasn't, was it?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1485634110718500865","reply_id":"1485637491277320198","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"PenguinsTrading","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1485637677634375685","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1625569039593644032":{"id":"1625569039593644032","date":"2023-02-14 18:53:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_sports_rivalries\n\nAh MJ, don't ever change.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1625569039593644032","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1572,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1625569039593644032_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1625569039593644032","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1957914001758658901":{"id":"1957914001758658901","date":"2025-08-19 21:14:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Good news! ChatGPT5 can vibe code a Notion replacement with 75% of the functionality, plus customizable to all your workflows and connections.\n\nTry it if you don't believe me. Literally tell it \"write me a personal Notion replacement\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957914001758658901","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":53,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":12620,"bookmarks":16,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1957914001758658901","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1564392564349755392":{"id":"1564392564349755392","date":"2022-08-29 23:20:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 Maybe.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1564385498981810178","reply_id":"1564388085021847552","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1564392564349755392","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1587578542954409984":{"id":"1587578542954409984","date":"2022-11-01 22:53:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Point: the tick size is 1e-8.\n\nCounterpoint: that's 5%.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1587578193825136641","reply_id":"1587578193825136641","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":32,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1587578542954409984","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1984689065375977591":{"id":"1984689065375977591","date":"2025-11-01 18:28:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@retardbot9000 Not with the electorate every Western country has. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1984575619066220958","reply_id":"1984688312557453365","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"retardbot9000","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":120,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1984689065375977591","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1150790445854707717":{"id":"1150790445854707717","date":"2019-07-15 15:33:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@WayneHimelsein Definitely. The important part is the domain-specific knowledge, not the tools.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1150790108540313601","reply_id":"1150790108540313601","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"WayneHimelsein","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1150790445854707717","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1627443672752226304":{"id":"1627443672752226304","date":"2023-02-19 23:03:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount \"You know it's just predicting the next token right?\"\n- me, about a thousand times a day reading Twitter.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1627438333323255809","reply_id":"1627438333323255809","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":395,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1627443672752226304","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1830524517904494762":{"id":"1830524517904494762","date":"2024-09-02 08:33:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"High probability Euan got hacked. Be careful out there.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1830524517904494762","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":104,"retweets":3,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":16677,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1830524517904494762","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1848950370069868858":{"id":"1848950370069868858","date":"2024-10-23 04:51:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Google's biggest moat is that their culture has tended to infect promising SV startups.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1848950370069868858","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":33,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":6574,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1848950370069868858","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1382699250342039557":{"id":"1382699250342039557","date":"2021-04-15 14:16:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@shawnsunger To be a good trader you have to specialize. The world is too complex to be good at everything, and being ok at many things doesn't make you money.\n\nYou need to be ok at many things AND great at one or two things.\n\nIt's easy to dismiss what you don't understand well. Don't.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"1382698273916526600","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"shawnsunger","likes":18,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382699250342039557","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1246437834447179776":{"id":"1246437834447179776","date":"2020-04-04 14:01:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@S_Cuana1918 @petergarnry It's *possible* but very unlikely. ES is the most liquid instrument on Earth, pretty much. It's doubtful something significantly fewer people are looking at or trading would lead it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1246084390129750017","reply_id":"1246321865619959808","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"S_Cuana1918","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1246437834447179776","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1374730409603338247":{"id":"1374730409603338247","date":"2021-03-24 14:30:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@prpl8 I think it has little do with P(my death) and everything to do with perceptions of the health of the society we live in. \n\nWhether they admit it or not, Americans know that they're unique compared to other developed countries in this respect.\n\nThe fear is \"What's wrong with us?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1374711563643392003","reply_id":"1374711563643392003","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"prpl8","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1374730409603338247","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1978542039659659407":{"id":"1978542039659659407","date":"2025-10-15 19:22:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@iaindunning \"When the music stops, in terms of liquidity, things will be complicated. But as long as the music is playing, you've got to get up and dance. We're still dancing.\" - Chuck Prince, CEO Citigroup, 2007.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1978521421090341261","reply_id":"1978521421090341261","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"iaindunning","likes":44,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2381,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1978542039659659407","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1685420645721706496":{"id":"1685420645721706496","date":"2023-07-29 22:42:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Taylor Fritz has the worst shot selection of anyone I've ever seen in the top 10.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1685420645721706496","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2494,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1685420645721706496","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1867298790459273667":{"id":"1867298790459273667","date":"2024-12-12 20:01:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3. Studying differences between a toy model and reality lets you learn which parts you don't understand yet.\n\nSometimes a feature you thought was in your model actually isn't. Or, even more interestingly, vice versa!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1867298783165305134","reply_id":"1867298788798308659","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":36,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":5397,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1867298790459273667","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1499181890091159552":{"id":"1499181890091159552","date":"2022-03-03 00:36:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @bennpeifert Only the ones you're short.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1499178159937261571","reply_id":"1499179636709728258","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1499181890091159552","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1122896920043589632":{"id":"1122896920043589632","date":"2019-04-29 16:14:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Reading @tylercowen new book Big Business. On CEO pay: Aug 23 2013 Steve Ballmer quits MSFT. Stock up 7% on the news. Apparently Ballmer was worth -$18bn in Value Over Replacement CEO. (VORCEO, is that a thing?) Markets know. #ceos #bigbusiness #lawsoftrading","hashtags":["ceos","bigbusiness","lawsoftrading"],"conv":"1122896920043589632","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1704533902667432327","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1122896920043589632","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1798533544350027810":{"id":"1798533544350027810","date":"2024-06-06 01:53:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ysoh Mochi.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1798497316808393144","reply_id":"1798532136997380373","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ysoh","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":169,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1798533544350027810","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2080931051979890900":{"id":"2080931051979890900","date":"2026-07-25 08:19:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"https://www.writingruxandrabio.com/p/intelligence-is-not-the-main-bottleneck","hashtags":[],"conv":"2080931049589109085","reply_id":"2080931049589109085","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1393,"bookmarks":2,"media":["2080931051979890900_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2080931051979890900","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1749855668100845692":{"id":"1749855668100845692","date":"2024-01-23 18:04:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@shree_nadkarni Yes!\n\n1. Beneficial selection: Tell the world your story in a way that attracts the right people and repels the wrong people. This usually means having an opinion. And having people out there criticize you for it. That's fine, if it's true to who you are as an org.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1749853753568841974","reply_id":"1749853753568841974","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"shree_nadkarni","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":27,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1749855668100845692","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1820556633539563698":{"id":"1820556633539563698","date":"2024-08-05 20:25:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"DOJ continuing their unbeaten run of charging has-beens as monopolists.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1820556633539563698","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2026,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1820556633539563698","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1768327926704209937":{"id":"1768327926704209937","date":"2024-03-14 17:26:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"ChatGPT4 is the laziest POS AI I've ever seen. It refuses to do *anything* useful.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1768327926704209937","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":116,"retweets":2,"replies":18,"quotes":3,"views":38632,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1768327926704209937","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1300253752369217537":{"id":"1300253752369217537","date":"2020-08-31 02:07:06","author":"Lex Fridman","handle":"lexfridman","text":"Here's my second conversation with François Chollet (@fchollet) about the measure of intelligence. YouTube took a long time to process the video today. So, this is a late-night post. I hope my monotone voice will help you drift into peaceful sleep. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PUAdj3w3wO4","hashtags":[],"conv":"1300253752369217537","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1300274759708545025","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":876,"retweets":97,"replies":36,"quotes":11,"views":0,"bookmarks":54,"media":["1300253752369217537_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/lexfridman/status/1300253752369217537"},"1770874978390700468":{"id":"1770874978390700468","date":"2024-03-21 18:07:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@quantymacro @QuantumHoneybee It's just a time-domain analog of multiplication in Fourier space.\n\nDoes that help?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1770672498603905065","reply_id":"1770734295801311427","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"quantymacro","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":193,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1770874978390700468","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1525163708539879424":{"id":"1525163708539879424","date":"2022-05-13 17:18:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@imagine_mev @macrocephalopod","hashtags":[],"conv":"1525145735095889920","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1525163708539879424_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1525163708539879424","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1516524324181536772":{"id":"1516524324181536772","date":"2022-04-19 21:09:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @ScottPh77711570 @MidwestHedgie @tardis_dev Agreed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1516331323022983169","reply_id":"1516524155067564033","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1516524324181536772","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1643365694921121792":{"id":"1643365694921121792","date":"2023-04-04 21:31:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Who's going to tell the people who are currently marveling at GPT4's supposed ability compress text semantically that they're just marveling at their own brain's ability to find similarity in meaning between two objectively very different texts?\n\nNot me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1643365694921121792","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":28,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":5336,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1643365694921121792","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1311481327800127488":{"id":"1311481327800127488","date":"2020-10-01 01:41:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1311481327800127488","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1311481327800127488_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1311481327800127488","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1766628915173618004":{"id":"1766628915173618004","date":"2024-03-10 00:55:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Trying to figure out HS graduation requirements is a units conversion insanity. You'd think there's one measurement. No.\n\nSo far:\n\n- Trimesters\n- Credits\n- UC year units\n- College semester units\n- Years","hashtags":[],"conv":"1766628915173618004","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2885,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1766628915173618004","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1523766585885806593":{"id":"1523766585885806593","date":"2022-05-09 20:47:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 @SinclairEuan Yes, but the 1 sentence summary is: you have to tie it to job requirements.\n\nThe more you can simulate the job where those particular skills are important, the better read you get.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1523745906687832065","reply_id":"1523745906687832065","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1523766585885806593","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1437946213505011713":{"id":"1437946213505011713","date":"2021-09-15 01:07:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@strassa2 This was a Ray Zee article in the 2p2 magazine right? Same era?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1437942204874514434","reply_id":"1437942204874514434","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"strassa2","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1437946213505011713","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1707445836081168752":{"id":"1707445836081168752","date":"2023-09-28 17:23:04","author":"Justin Wolfers","handle":"JustinWolfers","text":"Two Americas.\n(Source: Case and Deaton)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1707445836081168752","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1707513193248244054","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1036,"retweets":253,"replies":51,"quotes":61,"views":497108,"bookmarks":226,"media":["1707445836081168752_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/JustinWolfers/status/1707445836081168752"},"1985680301108932764":{"id":"1985680301108932764","date":"2025-11-04 12:07:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The only way to learn math is to do problems. All else is entertainment.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1985680301108932764","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1986044509285679353","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8582,"retweets":457,"replies":149,"quotes":50,"views":444629,"bookmarks":1135,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1985680301108932764","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1359880910334664708":{"id":"1359880910334664708","date":"2021-02-11 15:04:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 @choffstein It's not clear IMO. There may be second-order perception effects relating to Corey's day job.\n\n\"Why do they need the money?\" and so forth.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1359861151891415040","reply_id":"1359862188886794244","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1359880910334664708","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1741481875791663221":{"id":"1741481875791663221","date":"2023-12-31 15:30:09","author":"Andrew Yeung","handle":"andruyeung","text":"Where to meet remarkable people:\n\n• The gym at dawn\n• Wellness retreats\n• Mastermind networks\n• Coffee shops on the weekend\n• Places of learning (e.g. bookstores)\n\nSeek environments that attract motivated, high-agency people.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1741481875791663221","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1741608475371987154","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1063,"retweets":106,"replies":65,"quotes":36,"views":396910,"bookmarks":582,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/andruyeung/status/1741481875791663221"},"1420441096820125699":{"id":"1420441096820125699","date":"2021-07-28 17:48:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 I mean, I like fringe sports as much as the next guy.\nChess boxing is great. Seriously.\n\nBut I'm an Olympics minimalist. Lots of stuff needs to disappear.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420435586272436224","reply_id":"1420440755244572678","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420441096820125699","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2039648444726280391":{"id":"2039648444726280391","date":"2026-04-02 10:17:38","author":"Daniel Vassallo","handle":"dvassallo","text":"RT @dvassallo: Since everyone is seeing who Garry Tan is today, let me remind you:  WHY YOU SHOULD NOT JOIN Y COMBINATOR\n\nYC seems like a reasonable proposition. They give you some money to help start your business and promise you access to a community of people who can help you along the way. In exchange, they don't ask for much. The standard YC deal is $500K for 7% equity. That doesn't sound too bad, right?\n\nBy the end of this post I will convince you that it's actually a terrible idea.\n\nERGODICITY\n\nFirst, you have to understand a very important concept: in some systems, what's best for a group is not necessarily what's best for the individuals who make up that group. The total wealth of a group of people could be increasing while almost everyone in that group sees their wealth diminish. When this happens, we say we have a non-ergodic system. If the system were ergodic, what's happening to the collective would also translate to each individual.\n\nSilicon Valley is a non-ergodic industry (like Hollywood, book publishing, the music industry, and even your country's economy unless you're under full-blown communism). A non-ergodic system is not necessarily bad, but if you're not cognizant of the system you're in, you're going to get played like a fiddle. Those who benefit from the collective will take advantage of you while you, the individual, lose out. This is what YC will try to do to you. In fact, this is what YC has to do, otherwise it won't survive. Let me explain.\n\nLOOKING FOR TREASURE\n\nImagine you're told there's a bunch of hidden treasure within a 100 acre area. What's the best strategy for finding some of it?\n\nOne way is to pick a spot and dedicate your entire life digging as far down as possible in that one spot. You might reason that the deeper the treasure, the bigger the loot. You don't want to settle for a measly small treasure box. You want the full chest of diamonds buried near the earth's crust. This is your shot at glory.\n\nAnother way is to use a search method employed by search and rescue teams. You divide the area into small squares and do a \"reasonable search\" in each one. You use probabilities and some common sense to guide how deep to dig, and then you move to the next square. If you encounter undisturbed compacted dirt, chances are there's no treasure beneath. If you run into bedrock, it's almost certain there's nothing below. So you use that information and move on. Your goal is to search the entire probable area as quickly as possible. Ideally within your lifetime.\n\nI'm sure you agree the first way is a dumb strategy. Almost every digger employing it will die treasure-less. But actually, it's only dumb for the individual treasure hunter. For a gold mining company, this is the optimal strategy. The company only needs one miner to hit the jackpot, and all the other miners can die penniless. If the cost of sacrificing an individual treasure hunter is low, the most optimal strategy is to recruit tens of thousands of them, allocate hundreds per acre, and make them dig all the way down to the earth's core. The treasure hunting economy would grow much bigger than if all the individual treasure hunters were optimizing for their own self-interest.\n\nDigging in one spot is a dumb strategy for the individual, but a very wise strategy for the collective.\n\nThis is what happens in a non-ergodic system. We often hear politicians claim that the GDP of the country is growing, but all the gains are going to the 1%. This is the same thing. The wealth of a country could be growing while almost all its citizens get poorer. There's nothing inconsistent about this. The average is simply being dragged up by the freak outliers.\n\nThe same thing happens in venture capital. The owners of the portfolio maximize their returns when the system is non-ergodic, because while the individual treasure hunter has one lifetime to strike gold, the VC portfolio has access to thousands of lifetimes: those of all the treasure hunters.\n\nPLANE CRASH\n\nYC will proudly tell you that you are more likely to end up with a billion-dollar business if you join them. That may be true. What they're more reluctant to tell you is that only about 50 companies met that bar out of the 4,000 or so that went through their program. That's 1.25%. To be fair, that's actually quite impressive. But let's say you have the stamina and willpower to go through YC three times in your lifetime. You'd still need approximately 26 lifetimes to hit the jackpot. See the problem?\n\nI don't know about you, but I want to be successful in this lifetime. I can't afford to rely on 26 lifetimes. But maybe you think you're special. You're not like those 3,950 dummies who failed. Maybe you are in fact special, but I wouldn't rely too much on that. Business is much more random than it seems. If business were predictable, YC wouldn't have a measly 1.25% success rate.\n\nYou might think that those who failed still got something out of it. Maybe. But failure is a very expensive way to learn. You don't need to crash a plane to learn how to fly one. And whatever lessons come from going through YC are probably not very useful anyway, but more on that later.\n\nPIVOTS DON'T EXIST\n\nOne of the bad lessons you get from YC is that there's a formula for success, and it looks like this: First you brainstorm. Then you come up with a good idea that can scale to a billion dollars (otherwise what's the point of getting out of bed in the morning?) Then you work hard until you find \"product-market fit.\" And then if the signals from investors indicate you won't be getting a next round of funding, you start looking for a \"pivot.\"\n\nThis so-called formula is nonsense. Good ideas rarely come from a brainstorming session. They come from wandering about with an open mind until you stumble on an opportunity worth pursuing. Most of your ideas will be bad ideas, because unfortunately you're not a visionary genius. So the best way to find good ideas is to have many ideas, try them out, take what works, and throw away the rest. But this is not what YC wants you to do. YC wants you to pick an idea that has market pull (or the potential for it) and then dig a hole in the same spot until you reach the boiling magma. Because what if you stop digging just before you strike gold? When you're cheap and expendable, that's not an optimal strategy for the YC fund. You must go all in. Diversification is for your YC overlords, not for you.\n\nIf you reach the magma layer and still have nothing, then you'd be encouraged to pivot. But that's not how you find business opportunities in the real world. You can't just say \"I'm going to pivot\" and suddenly a good opportunity lands on your lap from heaven. You get good ideas by embracing randomness for a long time, until something looks like it has a fighting chance of paying off. The pivot idea you were forced to come up with is extremely unlikely to be one. Your imagination is overrated. The YC execs didn't imagine Stripe or Dropbox or Airbnb. Random things came to them during demo days. The YC folks are smart because they know their imagination is limited. You should too. You can't just pivot a business idea. And if you're going to cherry-pick some pivot that worked out of the thousands attempted, you should stop reading now. Just go join YC.\n\nThe second bad lesson from YC is the focus on the upside. If there's any formula for success in business, it's to focus relentlessly on staying in the game rather than hitting it big. Focus on the downside, and let the upside take care of itself. To thrive, you must first survive. To win the race, you must finish the race. But this is in tension with what YC wants you to do. They want you to dig deep to the middle of the earth, and if you don't come back alive, tough luck. You were a brave soldier, but now it's time for them to focus on the other 999 soldiers. YC is still alive, but you're not.\n\nDon't be a dummy. Don't be a bet in somebody else's portfolio.\n\nBUT YOU JUST WANT TO SELL YOUR COURSE!!!\n\nAha, you caught me! It's true. I do sell something. I run a community for aspiring small-time entrepreneurs who are satisfied with reliably attainable mediocre success. The YC folks feel sorry for our joy with mediocrity while they're out there changing the world. And we reciprocate the emotion.\n\nSo yes, I am promoting something that goes against everything YC stands for. But if you think YC is not also selling you something, I have a bridge to sell you. Maybe I'm being a bit too harsh though. Because what is it that YC is selling you exactly?\n\nMe, I charge you a one-time payment of $450 and you get access to my community, which includes live workshops, recorded classes, a group chat, and a few other things. It's very clear what I'm doing. I ask for money in exchange for access, and those who pay get access. Even my 9 year old understands it.\n\nBut YC is not asking you for money. They actually give you money! It looks like you're the one selling to them. You're technically selling them a piece of your business, no?\n\nNo, no, no. Hold on. The easiest way to see what YC is selling is to look at military recruitment. The military sells the narrative that serving your country is a noble endeavor. You'll get a shot at glory, and at the very least you'll gain some important life skills. You'll also get paid enough to feed yourself and cover your basic needs, but barely. The military wants to recruit expendable soldiers who will go out to the battlefield risking life and limb for the collective, while the generals with all the medals sit in an air-conditioned room giving orders.\n\nYC is no different. It wants to recruit wide-eyed young founders to pick a spot on the treasure map and dig all the way down through the earth's crust. Most of them will spend years or decades digging, and all they end up with is a ramen lifestyle. Usually bunched up with 4 roommates in a damp San Francisco basement living on takeout ramen noodles every single day. But hey, they're young. They'll have time to do adult things later, like starting a family or making decent money. And at the very least, they'll gain some important life lessons and make some good connections.\n\nThink about this for a second: the most successful business owners are typically in their 40s and 50s. Why is YC full of 20-somethings? Why aren't the 40 year old entrepreneurs taking up this incredible deal? YC will tell you it's because only the 22 year old kids can be true visionaries. BULL. SHIT. You're not a visionary. All those 4,000 kids who went into YC also thought they were visionaries, and where are they now? They're all in the startup cemetery, except for a dozen or so who despite the low odds managed to flip 26 heads in a row. The biggest indicator that YC is a bad deal is that only people who are easily duped take it.\n\nUNLEARNING IS HARD\n\nThe best thing I learned about business is to avoid trying to predict what will work and what won't. YC knows this. That's why they only make small bets across thousands of businesses. But YC will try to teach you the exact opposite.\n\nBusiness is a lot more random than it seems. You can't treat it like a predictable project. You need to treat it like a financial investment. Instead of investing your money, you're investing your time, which is as scarce and as precious as money (if not more). Tell me, how do you invest your money? Do you pick one amazing stock, say NVDA, and put all your life savings into it? Of course not. You understand that finance is uncertain. What's good today might not be good tomorrow. There are hidden risks everywhere. And even if your stock pick doesn't go bust, the biggest gains are likely to happen elsewhere and you won't benefit from them if you're only exposed to one piece of equity. If you went all in on AAPL in 2022, you would have missed out on NVDA. Same thing in business.\n\nYC teaches you to try to be a visionary. When you fail... oopsie! Tough luck. The fund benefits from the non-ergodic nature of the system, but you're out years of your time. And that's not even the worst of it. You will have been taught things that not only won't work in the real world of business, but are actively counterproductive. You will have to unlearn almost everything.\n\nIf you want to succeed in the real world (and within this lifetime), you need to try many small things, experiment, tinker, and build a portfolio of multiple income streams. You need to treat your time the same way you treat your brokerage account. You basically need to become a VC, but for your own ideas. To make the system ergodic, you must unleverage yourself from going all in on one thing and get access to many diverse income streams. The same way it's wise to invest in a broad ETF, you should be doing the same with your projects. YC will teach you the opposite, and you'll have to unlearn all of it. Unfortunately, unlearning is much harder than learning.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2039648444726280391","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2039377322600726826","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":40,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dvassallo/status/2039648444726280391"},"1409329391654498307":{"id":"1409329391654498307","date":"2021-06-28 01:54:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pkokosar If you've:\n\n(a) twice experienced that level as an employee, and\n(b) been happy with your comp,\n\nwhy are you looking for #3? You could easily retire, or start your own thing. Something doesn't add up...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1409279086346702849","reply_id":"1409328341069537285","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pkokosar","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1409329391654498307","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1565792757557342208":{"id":"1565792757557342208","date":"2022-09-02 20:04:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dystopiabreaker Traditional art forms like {thing that was possible because of a technological advance, but one that's more than a generation old}.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1565792243180453889","reply_id":"1565792243180453889","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dystopiabreaker","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1565792757557342208","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1436325937902092288":{"id":"1436325937902092288","date":"2021-09-10 13:49:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite I'm sure it's just a principled expression of their disbelief in the Modigliani-Miller theorem.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1436322415752187905","reply_id":"1436322415752187905","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1436325937902092288","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1384567609006329859":{"id":"1384567609006329859","date":"2021-04-20 18:00:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3/\n- Do I have enough cash margin in account JP44315A?\n- Why does the data format disseminated by broker X suck so much with this new update?\n- How do I optimize my tax footprint?\n\nAnd a thousand other little annoyances. Plus:\n\n- Am I about to incinerate $ somehow?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1384567607316017154","reply_id":"1384567608108716040","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":33,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1384567609006329859","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1369856198002888716":{"id":"1369856198002888716","date":"2021-03-11 03:42:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames @InBraised I assume you've left data out for a cross-val and test set, once you've finalized what you want to try?\n\n:)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1369774884834934788","reply_id":"1369855950639624192","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1369856198002888716","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1721269705770688714":{"id":"1721269705770688714","date":"2023-11-05 20:54:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Perhaps the greatest victory the NFL has achieved is to get suburban moms to like it and to care about it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1721269705770688714","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2391,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1721269705770688714","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1720258348728402389":{"id":"1720258348728402389","date":"2023-11-03 01:55:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brettharrison The wheels of justice turned less slowly than I'd have expected, honestly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1720247620273049620","reply_id":"1720247620273049620","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BrettHarrison","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2028,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1720258348728402389","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1351188564772605958":{"id":"1351188564772605958","date":"2021-01-18 15:23:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@scottfawcett One sentence summary for the less math-inclined:\n\nEven if gaining 20yds in distance off the tee costs you 25% in fairways hit (going from 65% to 40%) you're still better off doing it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1351186422187913221","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1351188564772605958","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1942138297922330648":{"id":"1942138297922330648","date":"2025-07-07 08:27:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"10/ In the simplest terms possible, whenever a derivative is more liquid than the underlying, there is an opportunity to manipulate the close to mark your derivative positions in your favor.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942138295711838685","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":254,"retweets":10,"replies":2,"quotes":4,"views":28747,"bookmarks":59,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942138297922330648","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1529912300655652864":{"id":"1529912300655652864","date":"2022-05-26 19:48:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily Sure, non-zero lagged betas are hard to find because they mean $ usually.\n\nBut it gets easier to find them as you improve your contemporaneous betas (due to the denoising).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529877576591609861","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1529912300655652864","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2029518176346673642":{"id":"2029518176346673642","date":"2026-03-05 11:23:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"💯","hashtags":[],"conv":"2029518176346673642","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":6391,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2029518176346673642","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2017552689291268594":{"id":"2017552689291268594","date":"2026-01-31 10:57:00","author":"Yaron (Ron) Minsky","handle":"yminsky","text":"RT @yminsky: This was a super fun talk by @bcantrill. The first half in particular has a lot of great hot takes! \n\nhttps://youtu.be/v0JjG0Qfwi8?si=OSYHBDJkQ1fP6HiW","hashtags":[],"conv":"2017552689291268594","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2017422328104104382","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":32,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/yminsky/status/2017552689291268594"},"1942138324946219350":{"id":"1942138324946219350","date":"2025-07-07 08:27:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"23/\nC. How do great trading firms die? Sometimes it's because they lose edge, or lose a bunch of money. But the more boring and common way is that something happens that makes good people leave.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942138322656137656","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":140,"retweets":4,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":17967,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942138324946219350","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1551746480909692928":{"id":"1551746480909692928","date":"2022-07-26 01:49:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Of course it doesn't. Fundamentally it's a problem of profitability. Good people go where the money is. At least in expectation.\n\nFAANG pays a lot not because they're big but because they're profitable. The arrow of causation goes:\n\nBig <-- Profitable --> High pay","hashtags":[],"conv":"1551745776509825026","reply_id":"1551746017829064706","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1551746480909692928","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1682074285094105088":{"id":"1682074285094105088","date":"2023-07-20 17:05:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dwarkesh_sp I get that and agree. So why the emphasis on end-to-end training (afaict) across the spectrum of ML?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1682058621788758021","reply_id":"1682060320456728576","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dwarkesh_sp","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":392,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1682074285094105088","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1984905341805777313":{"id":"1984905341805777313","date":"2025-11-02 08:48:05","author":"roon","handle":"tszzl","text":"the fertility crisis is very emotional and weighs on everyone because it’s a clear metric of social decay. people can say they’re unhappy, but it’s hard to know how happy anyone ever was. but the fact that reproduction has become rare is an unavoidable signal of sickness","hashtags":[],"conv":"1984905341805777313","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1984922771592532383","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5673,"retweets":232,"replies":287,"quotes":138,"views":1150915,"bookmarks":630,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tszzl/status/1984905341805777313"},"1946186296122044515":{"id":"1946186296122044515","date":"2025-07-18 12:32:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mansourtarek_ The good news is that the economy is very very big. So it would take a LOT of financial markets trading for this feedback effect to cause actual problems. As long as the gamblization is confined to certain stocks and corners of the world, it's probably all still fine.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946114875899486383","reply_id":"1946186079586906584","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3898,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946186296122044515","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1170874353027731456":{"id":"1170874353027731456","date":"2019-09-09 01:39:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BeingHorizontal I can see that, definitely. He just wants the adulation so badly. And yet, he plays tennis so much better as the heel to the crowd's adoration of Fed/Nadal.\n\nTennis = WWE I guess.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1170863814650155008","reply_id":"1170873754190151680","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BeingHorizontal","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1170874353027731456","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1187736554896125953":{"id":"1187736554896125953","date":"2019-10-25 14:23:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz Then when it spikes, dust off the VIXpocalypse stories.\n\nRinse repeat.\n\nIf I were a finmedia person I'd automate the process.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1187734859055337476","reply_id":"1187734859055337476","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1187736554896125953","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1446642127010627585":{"id":"1446642127010627585","date":"2021-10-09 01:02:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_Dave__White_ https://www.amazon.com/Category-Theory-Sciences-MIT-Press/dp/0262028131","hashtags":[],"conv":"1446639260904288257","reply_id":"1446639260904288257","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_Dave__White_","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1446642127010627585","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1960973391784976771":{"id":"1960973391784976771","date":"2025-08-28 07:51:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mansourtarek_ If the prediction market affects the outcome, then it's not a prediction market. It's a race-to-tautology market.\n\nAny cash-settled derivative market that has higher liquidity than the underlying has manipulation risk.\n\nSurely this isn't want you had in mind when you started?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1960813449631633477","reply_id":"1960813449631633477","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mansourtarek_","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":199,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1960973391784976771","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1440741272554115078":{"id":"1440741272554115078","date":"2021-09-22 18:14:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm The Chief Employment Officer is a good thing.\n\nIf a startup's CEO isn't extremely involved in creating the hiring strategy and getting their hands dirty, that startup is pretty much doomed to fail.\n\nYou just can't outsource this to HR.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1440740458058051590","reply_id":"1440740458058051590","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":7,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1440741272554115078","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1541451215791239169":{"id":"1541451215791239169","date":"2022-06-27 15:59:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano There's often a happy medium. Enough production values (good lighting, good color correction, light editing, good on-screen graphics) which doesn't take much effort (<5x runtime in editing).\n\nOften better than both extremes for \"professional\" content.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1541450629406752769","reply_id":"1541450629406752769","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1541451215791239169","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1677521267593998336":{"id":"1677521267593998336","date":"2023-07-08 03:33:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 ✅","hashtags":[],"conv":"1677495908228018177","reply_id":"1677517609112051712","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":322,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1677521267593998336","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1482748236624384003":{"id":"1482748236624384003","date":"2022-01-16 16:15:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2/ It is generally very difficult to make money in ANYTHING if you're not providing value to someone else.\n\nThe main exception is when you're *so* good at sales that you can make money by screwing others.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482748235496058880","reply_id":"1482748235496058880","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":42,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482748236624384003","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1542971936199753728":{"id":"1542971936199753728","date":"2022-07-01 20:42:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm Tell me you're Latin American of a certain social class without telling me you're Latin American of a certain social class.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542968867265204224","reply_id":"1542968867265204224","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":281,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1542971936199753728","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1700186551521784314":{"id":"1700186551521784314","date":"2023-09-08 16:37:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1. The original statement I made was directed at STEM students considering different careers. And in particular, the eternal question of \"how do I get the CitSec/JS/HRT internship?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1700186549860839569","reply_id":"1700186549860839569","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":18,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4054,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1700186551521784314","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1982539221949681996":{"id":"1982539221949681996","date":"2025-10-26 20:05:58","author":"Nate Silver","handle":"NateSilver538","text":"@mattyglesias * No casino poker rooms closer than ~90 min to NYC.\n* Tendency for high stakes games to go private (for weird reasons these private games sometimes take place w/in casinos) because people have more control over their opponents, this is a bad equilibrium but hard to break from.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1982532856829358580","reply_id":"1982532856829358580","quote_id":"1982546946268217764","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mattyglesias","likes":291,"retweets":3,"replies":18,"quotes":1,"views":125546,"bookmarks":24,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1982539221949681996"},"1283770394755792897":{"id":"1283770394755792897","date":"2020-07-16 14:28:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @jordanwrong1 @KrisAbdelmessih 3. This fact puts a pretty tight upper bound on how profitable any strategy could reasonably be. If it's pretty cheap to explore by trading and gathering info, then edges *must* be small almost always.\n\nI.e. outside special situations, there are no miracle killer trades out there","hashtags":[],"conv":"1282702235583954945","reply_id":"1283770049925267458","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1283770394755792897","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1960683659750457677":{"id":"1960683659750457677","date":"2025-08-27 12:39:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The government is supposed to have a monopoly on violence. That's kinda the point.\n\nSo \"running the government like a business\" ends up looking a lot like a protection racket.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1960683659750457677","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":42,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3737,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1960683659750457677","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1708680995124506712":{"id":"1708680995124506712","date":"2023-10-02 03:11:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"My dream for my kids is for them to love their work the way Chad Smith loves his.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OdGZVxkNzIg","hashtags":[],"conv":"1708680995124506712","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2423,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1708680995124506712_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1708680995124506712","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1783350085004537943":{"id":"1783350085004537943","date":"2024-04-25 04:19:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CivicNatalist @DeepDishEnjoyer AoPS is great if your kid loves math. That's the only requirement.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1783304839662887216","reply_id":"1783349639279714666","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"CivicNatalist","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":72,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1783350085004537943","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1663983387131129856":{"id":"1663983387131129856","date":"2023-05-31 18:58:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @sasuke___420 Same.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1663818097680343041","reply_id":"1663821939788398593","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":712,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1663983387131129856","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1279515400070291456":{"id":"1279515400070291456","date":"2020-07-04 20:40:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite Yes, well.\n\nYou do actually have to take care of it when you use salt to melt snow. As soon as the corrosion gets in, it's a race against time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1279471200054333440","reply_id":"1279514643350859783","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1279515400070291456","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1436123621966037014":{"id":"1436123621966037014","date":"2021-09-10 00:25:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"See also: for women, obviously.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1436123462884474884","reply_id":"1436123462884474884","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1436123621966037014","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1546931783035260928":{"id":"1546931783035260928","date":"2022-07-12 18:57:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"22/ You can think of this like overfitting, but on steroids. Overfitting is a specific stats/machine learning term that refers to model-building.\n\nBut the same issues crop up at a meta-level.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546931744426758145","reply_id":"1546931781739261952","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546931783035260928","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1493428490074398721":{"id":"1493428490074398721","date":"2022-02-15 03:34:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @KrisAbdelmessih @theemilyaccount @salr_nyc I'd certainly live in Wyoming. Strongly considered it for a while.\n\n(just making the de rigeur \"sparsely-populated\" joke)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493387393142976512","reply_id":"1493428257676734467","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493428490074398721","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1722624962849382680":{"id":"1722624962849382680","date":"2023-11-09 14:39:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod The boss's gut-feel discretionary trades never make it into no database.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1722534035434405987","reply_id":"1722534035434405987","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1065,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1722624962849382680","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1888298323741962360":{"id":"1888298323741962360","date":"2025-02-08 18:46:17","author":"Steve Perrault","handle":"Steve_Perrault","text":"This is an incredible 4 minutes by Tom Brady. Say what you want about him as an analyst, but he’s so much more comfy and informative in these settings. His emphasis on being prepared for the moment always comes through.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1888298323741962360","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1888981320602206558","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13859,"retweets":1153,"replies":122,"quotes":173,"views":1358427,"bookmarks":4160,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Steve_Perrault/status/1888298323741962360"},"1177256855271137280":{"id":"1177256855271137280","date":"2019-09-26 16:21:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ESYudkowsky @C4C_Recruiting Why may modern fruit be unsafe?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1177248833903853568","reply_id":"1177255040349691904","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ESYudkowsky","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1177256855271137280","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1384664304050270209":{"id":"1384664304050270209","date":"2021-04-21 00:24:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SoccerMomTrades @M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames I didn't trade it, so don't feel qualified at all to opine.\n\nPost-facto \"opinions\" aren't worth much in this game. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1384525674317328386","reply_id":"1384629822727487493","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SoccerMomTrades","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1384664304050270209","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1506045258861215745":{"id":"1506045258861215745","date":"2022-03-21 23:09:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"34/ The lion in winter scene: where Billy says it's not just about winning.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IgKQ8z_xNhk","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1506045257548394496","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1506045258861215745","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1968414553877680548":{"id":"1968414553877680548","date":"2025-09-17 20:39:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@waltuuuhr ((bid_sz^expt * ask_px) + (ask_sz^expt * bid_px)) / (bid_sz^expt + ask_sz^expt)\n\nexpt ~ 1 often works.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1968371449389006877","reply_id":"1968380504232890410","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"waltuuuhr","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":1286,"bookmarks":19,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1968414553877680548","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1629565014205161472":{"id":"1629565014205161472","date":"2023-02-25 19:32:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Daniil Medvedev is the answer to the question:\n\n\"What if we took Djokovic and made him even lankier, more boring and dislikable?\"\n\nI kinda like him tho.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1629565014205161472","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":4442,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1629565014205161472","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1748006019748577569":{"id":"1748006019748577569","date":"2024-01-18 15:34:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@totlsota Because it has most of what you need and it mostly stays out of the way. It's not perfect but it's better than its competitors for collaborative internal document management.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1748004561820729743","reply_id":"1748004561820729743","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"totlsota","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":173,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1748006019748577569","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1896125203304120414":{"id":"1896125203304120414","date":"2025-03-02 09:07:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Heist (2001)\n\nTo me this is his most complete performance. Masterful, fluid control scene after scene. Plays off Delroy Lindo so well. Just look at this scene. Mamet is a genius.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PmYi0cHp9W4","hashtags":[],"conv":"1896125163172966823","reply_id":"1896125200841970125","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3466,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1896125203304120414","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1933445986338099433":{"id":"1933445986338099433","date":"2025-06-13 08:46:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"YC leverage: what fraction of a YC's companies revenue comes from other YC companies? Feels like it has been trending towards 1 for years.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1933445986338099433","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":31,"retweets":0,"replies":20,"quotes":0,"views":7384,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1933445986338099433","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1920189759336370228":{"id":"1920189759336370228","date":"2025-05-07 18:51:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alz_zyd_ Is it even possible to think well without writing well? I don't know of any examples myself.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1920185714337038546","reply_id":"1920185714337038546","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alz_zyd_","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":109,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1920189759336370228","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1382755258267365376":{"id":"1382755258267365376","date":"2021-04-15 17:58:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jklightenup Rounds-to-zero $-wise.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"1382740395382099973","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jklightenup","likes":13,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382755258267365376","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1783317961329213931":{"id":"1783317961329213931","date":"2024-04-25 02:11:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@l1quid1ty @DeepDishEnjoyer Can't win if you don't play.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1783304839662887216","reply_id":"1783317709054525903","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"l1quid1ty","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":150,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1783317961329213931","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1176960291684306944":{"id":"1176960291684306944","date":"2019-09-25 20:42:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@spyced It's just that the nature of your technical contributions change. You become a reviewer, a \"did you think about\", a \"this reminds me of\", a \"how hard would it be to try\".\n\nIt's not either/or.  It's how.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1176956597521780736","reply_id":"1176956597521780736","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"spyced","likes":10,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1176960291684306944","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1375119226311217152":{"id":"1375119226311217152","date":"2021-03-25 16:15:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4/ In poker, the variance is huge. Even if there’s a large spread in ability, the bad player still wins enough, on timescales that matter (days, weeks).\n\nThat’s what gambling is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1375119223693864961","reply_id":"1375119225207984134","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":20,"retweets":3,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1375119226311217152","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1568404782200811521":{"id":"1568404782200811521","date":"2022-09-10 01:03:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@hemantv1729 sqrt(2/pi) is the factor you multiply vol/sqrt(t) in order to get the ATM straddle price.\n\n-2/3 on a standard normal CDF is 25%, i.e. it relates the strike price in vol terms to its put delta.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1568391778516234241","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":48,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":36,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1568404782200811521","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1439302023048953857":{"id":"1439302023048953857","date":"2021-09-18 18:55:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5/ We know this is true in math too. Lots of interesting results and proofs happen when you generalize and abstract the problem.\n\nCategory theory is perhaps the greatest example of this.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1439302018976256002","reply_id":"1439302022012891138","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":20,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1439302023048953857","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1584345159013003264":{"id":"1584345159013003264","date":"2022-10-24 00:44:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Max Verstappen was destined from birth to be a perennial contender for the petulance world championships.\n\nNice to see the early potential realizing itself week in and week out.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1584345159013003264","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1815209533691855358","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":28,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1584345159013003264","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1541244160815968256":{"id":"1541244160815968256","date":"2022-06-27 02:16:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@stoch4stic @therobotjames @be20684347 It IS amazing. The work of a true genius.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1541240145755914240","reply_id":"1541243962786123776","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"stoch4stic","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1541244160815968256","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1847719824719262071":{"id":"1847719824719262071","date":"2024-10-19 19:21:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HF_Trader How are you going to make the incentive structure work? Like, great prop firms are organized the way they are for a reason.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847715704176570791","reply_id":"1847715704176570791","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HF_Trader","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1065,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847719824719262071","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1969661768457765289":{"id":"1969661768457765289","date":"2025-09-21 07:15:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I hope Fritz doesn't think Alcaraz was giving it the full effort.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1969661768457765289","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1973070595697877288","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":7251,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1969661768457765289","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1583606128935460864":{"id":"1583606128935460864","date":"2022-10-21 23:48:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@witchqueendot Everyone works differently. For me, the public defense part would be so costly as to kill me. 🤷‍♂️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1583556394145353729","reply_id":"1583600043344306177","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"witchqueendot","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1583606128935460864","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1907098979139191162":{"id":"1907098979139191162","date":"2025-04-01 15:53:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@acrizzle https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.21934v1","hashtags":[],"conv":"1907064735427707089","reply_id":"1907095371903279385","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"acrizzle","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":334,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1907098979139191162_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1907098979139191162","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1487082780391473156":{"id":"1487082780391473156","date":"2022-01-28 15:18:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@thodoha @goodalexander @NotQuiteMidlife I'm curious too!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1487077492183613450","reply_id":"1487082585830277122","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"othadoh","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1487082780391473156","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1983168698040168576":{"id":"1983168698040168576","date":"2025-10-28 13:47:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@andre_antunes They're all roughly the same tbh. OpenAI has more sycophancy but (currently) a marginally better model IMO, so it's a wash vs Claude or Gemini.\n\nGrok is good at fast \"wtf is going on here\" current events stuff.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1983167729684431044","reply_id":"1983168264319725799","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"andre_antunes","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":172,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1983168698040168576","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1424162152294719490":{"id":"1424162152294719490","date":"2021-08-08 00:14:51","author":"@interfluidity@zirk.us/interfluidity.com (bsky)","handle":"interfluidity","text":"cuomo is a guy who, except for during a brief period last year, people gravitate to because people gravitate to him. he’s an empty vessel for influence, a schelling point by dynasty. 1/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1424162152294719490","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1424162399477669892","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/interfluidity/status/1424162152294719490"},"1583300439646183424":{"id":"1583300439646183424","date":"2022-10-21 03:33:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @tszzl Extremely correct take.\n\ncorr(\"wow AI programming assistants are great\", \"my job is writing boilerplate code, or I'm not very good at programming\") is high.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1583249929102729216","reply_id":"1583250208674451457","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":30,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1583300439646183424","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1506852787115593729":{"id":"1506852787115593729","date":"2022-03-24 04:37:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano @macrocephalopod 🤣🤣🤣\n\nPredictive models...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1506745769319145472","reply_id":"1506851042885083136","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1506852787115593729","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2048339299909734415":{"id":"2048339299909734415","date":"2026-04-26 09:52:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mean_field_zane @TheStalwart If you think about it, it's very odd to argue that there exists some positive right to own equity in whatever company you choose.\n\nSeems far more pro-freedom to say that the current owners can choose who they sell shares to.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2048068338132128152","reply_id":"2048337510045011984","quote_id":"2048340655617827103","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mean_field_zane","likes":68,"retweets":3,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":17360,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2048339299909734415","type":"quote","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1880667088773382519":{"id":"1880667088773382519","date":"2025-01-18 17:22:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@waltuuuhr @davidma @alz_zyd_ @0xdoug Can't say I know details, TBH. Probably cross-exch arb stuff, if I had to guess.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1880356975676158082","reply_id":"1880661650946334952","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"waltuuuhr","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":291,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1880667088773382519","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1971479917054525812":{"id":"1971479917054525812","date":"2025-09-26 07:40:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Watching your Meta Vibes AI slopvideos on your Meta glasses, then sharing them with your Meta AI friends is the most dystopian vision they've yet put out.\n\nAnd the bar is rather high already.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1971479917054525812","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":61,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4865,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1971479917054525812","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1598481305716809729":{"id":"1598481305716809729","date":"2022-12-02 00:56:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Step 1: Everyone gets a chill AI friend.\nStep 2: Everyone gets a few AI friends.\nStep 3: They're all a little too chill. Not enough engagement.\nStep 4: Drama-queen friend AI, weird-political-opinions-uncle AI, creepy co-worker AI, etc.\n\nJust taking the humans out of the loop.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598481305716809729","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598481305716809729","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1598718354860085253":{"id":"1598718354860085253","date":"2022-12-02 16:38:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 @garybasin @macrocephalopod @laurentzeimes ✅","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598575466410934272","reply_id":"1598717469996089365","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598718354860085253","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2025607256591536466":{"id":"2025607256591536466","date":"2026-02-22 16:22:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Agentic AI's superpower might be that its memory can be put into revision control. Branch, merge, diff, revert, all of these are functions that are inaccessible to humans.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2025607256591536466","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2981,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2025607256591536466","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1529824382498918404":{"id":"1529824382498918404","date":"2022-05-26 13:58:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod 9. Non-marketdata datasets that everyone else also has access to (Twitter sentiment, etc).\n10. \"What everyone else is doing.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529771509639786496","reply_id":"1529771511774601216","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1529824382498918404","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1363921482011664393":{"id":"1363921482011664393","date":"2021-02-22 18:39:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @vixologist @ROIChristie @choffstein All I can think of is \"Rejected\" by Don Hertzfeldt.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1363915557616177155","reply_id":"1363920515967033347","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1363921482011664393_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1363921482011664393","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1448103353334910977":{"id":"1448103353334910977","date":"2021-10-13 01:48:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@iv_technicals The dude eating fresh fish dishes in Bahia does though. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448101460525387784","reply_id":"1448103164494942209","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"iv_technicals","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448103353334910977","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2079100710105293269":{"id":"2079100710105293269","date":"2026-07-20 07:06:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"There's no predatory-dumping trap to escape. Keep thinking it through.\n\n1. China subsidizes open weight models below their cost, taking big losses in the process.\n\n2. Say they put Anthro/OpenAI out of business.\n\n3. They then start charging monopolist prices to recoup losses.\n\nSo?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2079100710105293269","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":74,"retweets":4,"replies":12,"quotes":2,"views":24739,"bookmarks":33,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2079100710105293269","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1790009616459341874":{"id":"1790009616459341874","date":"2024-05-13 13:22:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So Facebook is just Craigslist now?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1790009616459341874","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":57,"retweets":1,"replies":11,"quotes":0,"views":7401,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1790009616459341874","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1477336861068566532":{"id":"1477336861068566532","date":"2022-01-01 17:52:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih Maybe we could crowdfund a smart youngish person to do this work.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477333075981844481","reply_id":"1477336441915002881","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477336861068566532","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1473146675401093122":{"id":"1473146675401093122","date":"2021-12-21 04:21:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"🤣🤣🤣 I feel seen.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1473146675401093122","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1473146675401093122","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1435978064442191880":{"id":"1435978064442191880","date":"2021-09-09 14:47:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"How is it humanly possible for someone to return 130mph serves the way Djoko does?\n\nEveryone else stands 15ft behind the baseline and takes huge swings. He stands 2-3ft behind and mashes them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1435978064442191880","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1435978064442191880","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1521312402477772800":{"id":"1521312402477772800","date":"2022-05-03 02:15:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Given how Stringer Bell met his demise, perhaps it shouldn't be shocking that he's hawking hotel rooms in the afterlife.\n\nDoesn't make it any less annoying tho.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1521312402477772800","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1521312402477772800","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1744143475250258048":{"id":"1744143475250258048","date":"2024-01-07 23:46:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug Been dead for at least a decade.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1744108281524535509","reply_id":"1744108281524535509","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":799,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1744143475250258048","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1454910101853073408":{"id":"1454910101853073408","date":"2021-10-31 20:36:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @lightspringfox @WallStreetCorgi There's a whole universe to unpack here.\n\nwhile true:\n- write bad code.\n- think at the time that it's good or good enough.\n- find out it's terrible.\n- develop insta-schizophrenia. \"That's the old me. From 21 hours ago. I've changed.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1454900613427441666","reply_id":"1454909368034529288","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1454910101853073408","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1359225854996271104":{"id":"1359225854996271104","date":"2021-02-09 19:41:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BrianSmith1031 @macrocephalopod The last time I exercised a put early was mid 2008.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1359154681679917061","reply_id":"1359225391060307970","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BrianSmith1031","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1359225854996271104","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1764408698133438756":{"id":"1764408698133438756","date":"2024-03-03 21:53:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @be20684347 @jdcmedlock Yeah I don't know what that was...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1764385249377583333","reply_id":"1764407934564335692","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":878,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1764408698133438756","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1531776689444773888":{"id":"1531776689444773888","date":"2022-05-31 23:16:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@apoorvasriniva I don't want to start the scorched Earth religious war about whether HTML is a programming language!\n\n🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1531739423313784832","reply_id":"1531776343335108609","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"apoorvasriniva","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1531776689444773888","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1571304868220108800":{"id":"1571304868220108800","date":"2022-09-18 01:07:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Start'em early.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1571304868220108800","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":222,"retweets":7,"replies":16,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":14,"media":["1571304868220108800_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1571304868220108800","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1878330175055622650":{"id":"1878330175055622650","date":"2025-01-12 06:36:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@__paleologo In whom the outsider can't invest, of course. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1878123188585902380","reply_id":"1878329885468299738","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"__paleologo","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":695,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1878330175055622650","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1429962672305434658":{"id":"1429962672305434658","date":"2021-08-24 00:24:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Am I the only person who:\n\n- Reads breathless blog posts about how impressive OpenAI Codex is,\n- Sees the examples of supposed impressiveness,\n- And isn't that impressed?\n\n?\n\n1/n","hashtags":[],"conv":"1429962672305434658","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1429962672305434658","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1830196445711860132":{"id":"1830196445711860132","date":"2024-09-01 10:50:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tylercowen re Chomsky gave me the laugh I needed today:\n\n\"I think we need to entertain the hypothesis that he’s simply a person who’s wrong about everything, pretty much; and his true achievement is one of stamina and quantity.\"\n\nhttps://aashishreddy.substack.com/p/interview-tyler-cowen-economist","hashtags":[],"conv":"1830196445711860132","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tylercowen","likes":71,"retweets":13,"replies":4,"quotes":2,"views":14598,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1830196445711860132","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1373312380461928452":{"id":"1373312380461928452","date":"2021-03-20 16:36:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @LizSimmie Same here. It's been a battle for years. Lying, sneaking laptops, hiding tablets, not sleeping, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1373076058531115009","reply_id":"1373309022820917250","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1373312380461928452","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1533651929670164480":{"id":"1533651929670164480","date":"2022-06-06 03:28:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@StevenMandrapa @mpp75214 @KrisAbdelmessih Yeah. What reasonable set of events makes SD real estate unattractive to... the world?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1533300169915084801","reply_id":"1533641564664147968","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"StevenMandrapa","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1533651929670164480","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1380898712654802944":{"id":"1380898712654802944","date":"2021-04-10 15:01:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SimonDeDeo \"It must be there for a reason.\"\n\nWe all walk around with a little Occam's Razor to explain what we see in the world.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1380898144771260416","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1380898712654802944","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1583277942750081024":{"id":"1583277942750081024","date":"2022-10-21 02:04:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The key concept to develop is the idea of a fair value.\n\n\"What *should* this thing be worth?\"\n\nI get that some trades and strategies don't care about that question. But for the purposes of understanding which trades are \"good\" and which ones are \"bad/manipulative\" it's useful.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1583277941156245504","reply_id":"1583277941156245504","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":13,"retweets":3,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1583277942750081024","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1628872153444794368":{"id":"1628872153444794368","date":"2023-02-23 21:39:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames A good outline gets you at least halfway there. Spend the time upfront to clearly organize your thoughts, make a detailed outline. Then write the content for each element as succintly as possible.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1628868916541034496","reply_id":"1628868916541034496","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1263,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1628872153444794368","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1992961408594513936":{"id":"1992961408594513936","date":"2025-11-24 14:20:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Scottie Scheffler's strokes gained gap to #2, Tommy Fleetwood, was 1.114!\n\nThat's the same gap as Fleetwood to Emiliano Grillo (#48).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1992961408594513936","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2390,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1992961408594513936","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1455229124713218050":{"id":"1455229124713218050","date":"2021-11-01 17:43:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I just read a Linkedin post entitled: \"Crypto has been growing a lot, and a recent innovation is a thing called yield farming.\"\n\nngmi","hashtags":[],"conv":"1455229124713218050","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1455229124713218050","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1441902833004019714":{"id":"1441902833004019714","date":"2021-09-25 23:09:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"You'd have to work some *really* weird numbers on the trinomial distribution to get probabilities like this.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1441902170643656704","reply_id":"1441902170643656704","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1441902833004019714","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2022242191738102223":{"id":"2022242191738102223","date":"2026-02-13 09:31:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Old paradigm: writing a whole new webapp is overkill for {specific usecase X}.\n\nNew paradigm: when writing new webapps is ~ free, it's not overkill anymore.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2022241925399818565","reply_id":"2022241925399818565","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3066,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2022242191738102223","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1841568863047319765":{"id":"1841568863047319765","date":"2024-10-02 20:00:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@int63_t @0xRyuzaki I know comparatively less about the HFT space, you may be right.\n\nBut I expect the original q was about mid-freq, where the numbers do need to be bigger.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1841471152843010470","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":532,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1841568863047319765","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1457793967429283842":{"id":"1457793967429283842","date":"2021-11-08 19:35:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@robertwiblin The fact that in any reasonably large, free, liquid labor market, your specific decisions affect the world at a very very small margin.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1457785965099978761","reply_id":"1457785965099978761","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"robertwiblin","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1457793967429283842","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1896125172937277454":{"id":"1896125172937277454","date":"2025-03-02 09:07:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Superman, Superman II, Superman IV (1978, 1980, 1987)\n\nThis role is what \"owning the scene without chewing it up\" looks like. Hackman is magnetic as Luthor, with a virtuosic sociopathy that still manages to give room for Reeve to play the straight man.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SgHHxDVU7i0","hashtags":[],"conv":"1896125163172966823","reply_id":"1896125170651414786","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":789,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1896125172937277454_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1896125172937277454","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1501725230263201795":{"id":"1501725230263201795","date":"2022-03-10 01:02:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @be20684347 @M1tchRosenthal","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"1501724924284907520","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1501725230263201795_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501725230263201795","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1240752438266626048":{"id":"1240752438266626048","date":"2020-03-19 21:30:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RokoMijicUK @GJPForecasting Think hard about what your source of edge is. I.e. what do you personally have an information advantage on?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1240744581702004740","reply_id":"1240744581702004740","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ExiledInfoHaz","likes":1,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1240752438266626048","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1492615711599915009":{"id":"1492615711599915009","date":"2022-02-12 21:44:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 At this level, books aren't that useful. What you probably need is a code reviewer. Easier said than done, but that's by far the fastest way to improve.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1492613176109715460","reply_id":"1492613176109715460","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1492615711599915009","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1583256080347324416":{"id":"1583256080347324416","date":"2022-10-21 00:37:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@xjpx888 @therobotjames @be20684347 @SinclairEuan @macrocephalopod 🙏🙏🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1583243396034224129","reply_id":"1583243396034224129","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"xjpx888","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1583256080347324416","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2025620350457753983":{"id":"2025620350457753983","date":"2026-02-22 17:15:00","author":"Alex Thorn","handle":"intangiblecoins","text":"RT @intangiblecoins: sam, in 2022 you stole our money \n\nwe tried to get our money off your exchange, and you refused to give it\n\nultimately we had $76.8 million that you effectively stole from us\n\nyou did this to thousands of others too and later we learned you had used the money to make personal investments\n\nstealing, misusing, misappropriating your clients money for your own personal benefit is the worst crime in finance \n\nyou’re a pathological liar and thief, you knew what you were doing, and you deserve prison just like you got","hashtags":[],"conv":"2025620350457753983","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2025216024048443519","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":111,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":22,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/intangiblecoins/status/2025620350457753983"},"1430890469030916103":{"id":"1430890469030916103","date":"2021-08-26 13:50:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Yes, this! When I first learned about GARCH that was my reaction: \"Is this all that it is? What's the fuss about?\"\n\nFollowed a few years later by \"Why did anyone ever think this would predict vol better than market prices?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1430890469030916103","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":37,"retweets":5,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":17,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1430890469030916103","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1532509714835046402":{"id":"1532509714835046402","date":"2022-06-02 23:49:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @macrocephalopod ?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1532494929968365568","reply_id":"1532508179875385346","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1532509714835046402","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1279610703662342144":{"id":"1279610703662342144","date":"2020-07-05 02:59:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz Rebecca DeMornay","hashtags":[],"conv":"1279609802797318144","reply_id":"1279609802797318144","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1279610703662342144","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1519887107757514752":{"id":"1519887107757514752","date":"2022-04-29 03:51:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jgreco I'm starting to gather this...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1519804973587992578","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1519887107757514752","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1748761195241505203":{"id":"1748761195241505203","date":"2024-01-20 17:35:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pmontu33 Unclear whether that's a cause, or an effect of the (a) higher demand for education (due to financial returns from it), and (b) resulting shortage of quality teachers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1748756803666530304","reply_id":"1748760263539503131","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pmontu33","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":191,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1748761195241505203","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1649969089425833984":{"id":"1649969089425833984","date":"2023-04-23 02:51:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug @0xfbifemboy Japan is apparently immune to the laws of economics that apply to other countries.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1649867966832582658","reply_id":"1649964493697437697","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":562,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1649969089425833984","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1539249457367339009":{"id":"1539249457367339009","date":"2022-06-21 14:10:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"12/ I know lots of affluent retirees in the 50s and 60s. \n\nTheir kids are out of the house, some are divorced, some not, but overall their lives are (by any modern objective standard) excellent.\n\nAnd they can finally devote themselves to enjoying the fruits of their labors.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1539249425956093952","reply_id":"1539249454800375808","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1539249457367339009","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1238462827045613570":{"id":"1238462827045613570","date":"2020-03-13 13:52:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vixologist @dynamicvol @bennpeifert @investinvol @6_Figure_Invest @pat_hennessy Someone with a lot of $ and not much sense. There are about a half-dozen better/cheaper/more efficient ways to express a short vol opinion than buying SVXY.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1238444450654887937","reply_id":"1238444450654887937","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vixologist","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1238462827045613570","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1996965335673532889":{"id":"1996965335673532889","date":"2025-12-05 15:30:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Kalshi, 2025:\n\nBuilding a financial panopticon where every event has a price tag on it, and manipulating events for profit is tacitly encouraged.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1996965335673532889","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":175,"retweets":13,"replies":8,"quotes":4,"views":9925,"bookmarks":22,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1996965335673532889","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1970186908916654339":{"id":"1970186908916654339","date":"2025-09-22 18:02:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TurboDad Ok fine, but were they proud of it?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970098937995600146","reply_id":"1970186712404972018","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TurboDad","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1559,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1970186908916654339","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1186117400363581440":{"id":"1186117400363581440","date":"2019-10-21 03:09:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lopezdeprado Scaling factor? Isn't the diagonal always 1s?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1186090591370842112","reply_id":"1186090981713698822","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"lopezdeprado","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1186117400363581440","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1766209706412966056":{"id":"1766209706412966056","date":"2024-03-08 21:09:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@waltuuuhr - Be smart and hardworking.\n- Go to a good university.\n- Apply for an internship.\n- Do well in the interview.\n- Do well in the internship.\n- Get offer.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1766206382955475196","reply_id":"1766207355564216663","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"waltuuuhr","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":777,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1766209706412966056","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1381630747681775621":{"id":"1381630747681775621","date":"2021-04-12 15:30:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@QuantStratTradR The overwork and hoop-jumping *is* the point.\n\nGotta filter somehow...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1381628221909778432","reply_id":"1381628221909778432","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuantStratTradR","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1381630747681775621","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1432549922289553408":{"id":"1432549922289553408","date":"2021-08-31 03:44:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OneBigOh @therobotjames Make me a market in a futures contrac that settles to my age in years. $1 per year. So if you bought 50 and it settles to 45, you lose $5.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1432463541110411265","reply_id":"1432549234004406272","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OneBigOh","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1432549922289553408","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1361474247458136071":{"id":"1361474247458136071","date":"2021-02-16 00:35:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@famadeo Well as you get closer to exp, almost every option becomes 0 or 100 delta. So we're really talking about strikes that are getting pinned near exp.\n\nSo technically 1 millisecond before exp on a pinned strike, your gamma is near-infinite. But that's cuz it's a local Taylor approx.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1358793442243928069","reply_id":"1361473706317524995","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"famadeo","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1361474247458136071","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1847663306057674853":{"id":"1847663306057674853","date":"2024-10-19 15:37:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@txnftxnf Whatever Adam Neumann managed to do with WeWork.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847610792113316169","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":594,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847663306057674853","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1441784977281015808":{"id":"1441784977281015808","date":"2021-09-25 15:21:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@GestaltU What structural features of the next decade make you believe this? Passive investing going over some threshold of market fraction?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1441784264589201408","reply_id":"1441784264589201408","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GestaltU","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1441784977281015808","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2047636645101306352":{"id":"2047636645101306352","date":"2026-04-24 11:19:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Weird transitions:\n\n- Being old enough to remember your parents at that age.\n- Being old enough to remember your parents at that age, and you were an adult then.\n- Being old enough to remember your grandparents at that age.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2047636645101306352","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":64,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":6093,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2047636645101306352","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1494013122729762816":{"id":"1494013122729762816","date":"2022-02-16 18:17:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Stupid types.\n\nWhere's my \"3\" - 2 = 1, \"3\" + 2 = \"5\" when I need it?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493854285053841408","reply_id":"1493854285053841408","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494013122729762816","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1513738735833165827":{"id":"1513738735833165827","date":"2022-04-12 04:40:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Yes! I've said a few times but it bears repeating.\n\nLearning doesn't feel like learning.\nIt feels like not-learning. Struggling. Being confused. Frustrated.\nWhat feels like learning is actually \"having learned\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1513738735833165827","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1558512557257736192","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":189,"retweets":19,"replies":9,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":27,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1513738735833165827","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1710306326536990985":{"id":"1710306326536990985","date":"2023-10-06 14:49:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@spreekaway He's apologizing for being intentionally difficult?\n\nDoes he have a split personality or something?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1710305258067349992","reply_id":"1710305258067349992","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"spreekaway","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":201,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1710306326536990985","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1607500710962401281":{"id":"1607500710962401281","date":"2022-12-26 22:16:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"✅","hashtags":[],"conv":"1607500710962401281","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3693,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1607500710962401281","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2077008524530332032":{"id":"2077008524530332032","date":"2026-07-14 12:33:15","author":"John Cochrane","handle":"JohnHCochrane","text":"RT @JohnHCochrane: You must be kidding. AI might have big effects. It could have risks. So “policymakers,”  must \"act now,” before they have any idea what they’re doing, to \"build the incentives, guardrails, and institutions needed to steer AI in a direction that complements humans and benefits society?” Boy I’m glad no self-appointed “policy maker” decided to “steer” the development of the steam engine. The ones who “steered” nuclear power destroyed it. Preemptive dirigisme is killing tech in Europe. If said “policy makers” could do something about the dumpster fires of US social programs, building restrictions, appalling costs of public infrastructure, broken tax code, failing schools, maybe I’d think about \"calling\" to unleash them on some vague AI crusade. (Previous essay on this here https://www.grumpy-economist.com/p/ai-society-and-democracy-just-relax/comments)","hashtags":[],"conv":"2077008524530332032","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2076770657048911972","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":183,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":350,"bookmarks":0,"media":["2077008524530332032_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/JohnHCochrane/status/2077008524530332032"},"1434963959551913985":{"id":"1434963959551913985","date":"2021-09-06 19:37:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4/ When you’re new to an environment, you know nothing so you’re better off spending all your time exploring.\n\nBut when that environment is pretty well-known, exploration doesn’t buy you much and so you should focus on exploiting the things you’ve learned already.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434963956599193601","reply_id":"1434963958465634306","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434963959551913985","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1672694334620090369":{"id":"1672694334620090369","date":"2023-06-24 19:53:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In 2023, the coasts of the United States are a monument to Baumol's cost disease.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1672694334620090369","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2350,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1672694334620090369","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1632957809485840386":{"id":"1632957809485840386","date":"2023-03-07 04:14:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@highsierratradr He'll be ok. He has AoPS and... me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632931055920615426","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1147,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632957809485840386","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1507066124050976784":{"id":"1507066124050976784","date":"2022-03-24 18:45:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Someone asked me what is the best example of 3rd level thinking. Chris in The Wire:\n\nYou don't ever want to be\nthe last man to a party. You feel me?\n\nThat's why I show up\nto a job an hour before.\n\nSometimes two.\n\nI don't want nobody settin' up on me\nwhile I'm settin' up on them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507066124050976784","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":49,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507066124050976784","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1572978649128914944":{"id":"1572978649128914944","date":"2022-09-22 15:58:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"ELI5 please:\n\n- DAI/USDC on UniswapV3 has $414m TVL.\n- It generates $2.5k per day in fees.\n- So LPing earns 22bps per year in fees?\n\nWhat am I missing?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1572978649128914944","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1573065863292686336","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":36,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1572978649128914944","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1922728225744023787":{"id":"1922728225744023787","date":"2025-05-14 18:58:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein \"willingness to keep boldly iterating its strategy and approach\"\n\ntranslation\n\n\"we fired the other guy\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1922698714834952625","reply_id":"1922698714834952625","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":628,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1922728225744023787","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2075620589218189401":{"id":"2075620589218189401","date":"2026-07-10 16:38:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"c) This is easily fixable. Make the NC period proportional to your tenure at the firm, with a cap of, say 2 years. If you leave after 6 months, your NC is 6 months. That's much more ethical than the current standard system.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2075620580900872635","reply_id":"2075620586991030597","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":77,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":8472,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2075620589218189401","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1499219071186833413":{"id":"1499219071186833413","date":"2022-03-03 03:04:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JessicaNutt96 @nope_its_lily 👆👆👆","hashtags":[],"conv":"1499208197717913604","reply_id":"1499209837271556096","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JessicaNutt96","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1499219071186833413","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1488893587756519424":{"id":"1488893587756519424","date":"2022-02-02 15:14:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"harebrained scheme\"\n\nAre lagomorphs known to be especially dim?\nWhat's the reference class here?\n\nMany questions...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1488893587756519424","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1488893587756519424","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1598475154711285761":{"id":"1598475154711285761","date":"2022-12-02 00:32:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Maybe ChatGPT is valuable just because it gives everyone access to a not-insane, knowledgeable(ish), calm friend to talk to.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598475154711285761","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":30,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598475154711285761","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1287860330463256578":{"id":"1287860330463256578","date":"2020-07-27 21:20:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih They're a different demographic.\n\nCarry is a business, so there's a institutional demand there.\n\nLottery tickets aren't a business per se, but there's sure retail demand there!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1287778571981709312","reply_id":"1287778571981709312","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1287860330463256578","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1441069625735663622":{"id":"1441069625735663622","date":"2021-09-23 15:59:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I had a longer think. How about this for an idea?\n\nPublic posts would be about trading, ideas, math, etc.\n\nBehind the paywall would be live recordings of me working on an idea or trade. Doing a study, looking at data, architecting a system, etc.\n\nThoughts?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1440514473710612481","reply_id":"1440740868877479937","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":19,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1441069625735663622","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1494114496331141122":{"id":"1494114496331141122","date":"2022-02-17 01:00:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@homework35 @therobotjames @darjohn25 Yup.\n\nWilt was an athletic freak. Died 63yrs old of heart failure.\n\nAlso claims he slept with 20k women. That's a *lot* of time in da clubs (in the 70s!) instead of recovering...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494110009478684674","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494114496331141122","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1568405072484388867":{"id":"1568405072484388867","date":"2022-09-10 01:04:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @FREAK0NAUT I claim that was never true. Just like the old lie that futures were once hedging instruments for farmers and such.\n\nBS. They were speculation instruments from day 1.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1568391778516234241","reply_id":"1568401551005487104","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1568405072484388867","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1661888234979471360":{"id":"1661888234979471360","date":"2023-05-26 00:13:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OrthogonalAlpha Comparative advantage, right? :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1661806992003067904","reply_id":"1661887738428424192","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OrthogonalAlpha","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":472,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1661888234979471360","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1900587520305332699":{"id":"1900587520305332699","date":"2025-03-14 16:39:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If computers had been invented 300 years ago, CS would be taught in community colleges alongside welding. Certainly not at Stanford.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1900587520305332699","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":153,"retweets":4,"replies":8,"quotes":1,"views":23088,"bookmarks":16,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1900587520305332699","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1449055142741884931":{"id":"1449055142741884931","date":"2021-10-15 16:50:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@StudentofMarke2 Even better, if you're good, is just to get two FT jobs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1449051361367134211","reply_id":"1449054900411842563","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"StudentofMarke2","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1449055142741884931","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1987911206137454947":{"id":"1987911206137454947","date":"2025-11-10 15:52:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Then again, I would also pay to not have to use Slack.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1987911206137454947","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":13438,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1987911206137454947","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1477378073280409600":{"id":"1477378073280409600","date":"2022-01-01 20:35:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @bennpeifert @Guruleaks1 @therobotjames I send people his way too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477320189653893121","reply_id":"1477371651004125184","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477378073280409600","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1457752675550855168":{"id":"1457752675550855168","date":"2021-11-08 16:51:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1⃣ Sending an order on @FTX_Official requires no confirmation.\n2⃣ Sending a cancel does.\n\nCorr(thinking this is funny, tradfi ngmi) ~= 1.\n\n🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1457752675550855168","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1457752675550855168","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1701436171715502081":{"id":"1701436171715502081","date":"2023-09-12 03:22:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Sadly I've only become more convinced of this over time.\n\nSimulation is cheaper than exploration, so it wins.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1701436171715502081","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":5343,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1701436171715502081","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2027410952375652438":{"id":"2027410952375652438","date":"2026-02-27 15:50:13","author":"Macken","handle":"MackenMurphy","text":"RT @MackenMurphy: There’s a well-known phenomenon in the facial aesthetics literature whereby “average faces” (that is, faces formed by superimposing many faces atop one another) tend to be more attractive than the average person.\n\nThis may be counterintuitive, but it makes sense when you consider the following: Individual faces are all slightly flawed, from a beauty perspective, in idiosyncratic ways. And when you average lots of faces, you average out all of these minor issues. So, an “average face” is errorless and looks quite pleasant as a result.\n\nHowever, another thing you’ll notice about these “average faces” is that none of them could be models. They’re more attractive than the average human, yes, but less attractive than the most attractive humans.\n\nThis is because extremely attractive faces tend to have certain features that are, mathematically, extreme. (For example, male models tend to have lower-set brows and larger jawbones than you would see in any average face.)\n\nRecently, I have begun to wonder if LLM-writing faces a similar challenge. It’s always “more attractive than average,” because all of the flaws of normal human writing have been averaged out. But it's also missing the unusual taste and style of the best human writers I've read. In my experience, it's only ever 85%-good; like an \"average face,\" it's never flawed, but equally, it's never exceptionally beautiful.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2027410952375652438","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2027379436543172708","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":307,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1,"bookmarks":0,"media":["2027410952375652438_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/MackenMurphy/status/2027410952375652438"},"1847610792113316169":{"id":"1847610792113316169","date":"2024-10-19 12:08:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"On a long flight. AMA while I multitask my OAI/Claude chats.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847610792113316169","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":66,"retweets":0,"replies":27,"quotes":1,"views":25624,"bookmarks":30,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847610792113316169","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1428148981188612098":{"id":"1428148981188612098","date":"2021-08-19 00:17:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_Dave__White_ That's the beauty of #fintwit. Everyone brings a perspective.\n\nI love these things and really want to see them listed.","hashtags":["fintwit"],"conv":"1428148697620115458","reply_id":"1428148697620115458","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_Dave__White_","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1428148981188612098","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2060243624390967654":{"id":"2060243624390967654","date":"2026-05-29 06:15:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3. Maybe it's not about that.\n\nThe greatest advances in human history have been figuring out new things about the *world*, and how to bend it to our needs. The steam engine, electricity, semiconductors.\n\nBuilding NEW things people discover they NEED, not \"what they already want.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"2060243621790519571","reply_id":"2060243621790519571","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":15,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2704,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2060243624390967654","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1708654225847181672":{"id":"1708654225847181672","date":"2023-10-02 01:24:47","author":"Ethan Mollick","handle":"emollick","text":"@GaryMarcus I asked GPT-4V to weigh in. 😉","hashtags":[],"conv":"1708628844331090371","reply_id":"1708628844331090371","quote_id":"1708657092759019540","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GaryMarcus","likes":181,"retweets":9,"replies":13,"quotes":5,"views":29825,"bookmarks":6,"media":["1708654225847181672_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/emollick/status/1708654225847181672"},"1351693479479451650":{"id":"1351693479479451650","date":"2021-01-20 00:50:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RFDLA @svrnco @Rick_Ferri Randos with money don't get to invest in the real thing, only things that can successfully mimic the real thing.\n\nhttp://www.wildlife-removal.com/snakelookalike.html","hashtags":[],"conv":"1351679935514079232","reply_id":"1351693089161711621","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1351693479479451650","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1923944485727178859":{"id":"1923944485727178859","date":"2025-05-18 03:31:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 🤣🤣🤣\n\nAlways.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1923800134325772357","reply_id":"1923882540504400213","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1660,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1923944485727178859","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1689984858997805057":{"id":"1689984858997805057","date":"2023-08-11 12:59:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod All paid for too. Nice work if you can get it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1689914140494647296","reply_id":"1689914140494647296","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":865,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1689984858997805057","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2062992530619138272":{"id":"2062992530619138272","date":"2026-06-05 20:18:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Yes, this! 100 times this!\n\nA VC is a fundamentally a middleman. A great VC is one that's good at spinning two stories:\n\n- For the LPs: I have vision and I'm great at identifying talent.\n- For the founders: \"My\" capital is special.\n\nSometimes it's true. Usually it's not.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2062992530619138272","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":71,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":13962,"bookmarks":21,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2062992530619138272","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1794490976247156902":{"id":"1794490976247156902","date":"2024-05-25 22:09:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@return_stacking I believe that. My point is that if you have the skillset and work ethic to get into these places, you probably can do a lot of other things and make a bunch of $.\n\nSo pick the one that interests you the most.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1794362171071316114","reply_id":"1794479732685148365","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"return_stacking","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":211,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1794490976247156902","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1924017457158668619":{"id":"1924017457158668619","date":"2025-05-18 08:21:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@wavelettes Theater kid 🤝 Debate team\n             Performance","hashtags":[],"conv":"1923989113025462783","reply_id":"1923989455368749109","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"wavelettes","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":57,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1924017457158668619","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1988848522515366104":{"id":"1988848522515366104","date":"2025-11-13 05:56:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ImbalancedAct @svrnco @baynkr The skin is getting a job!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1988604327221436727","reply_id":"1988811431173844994","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ImbalancedAct","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":163,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1988848522515366104","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1435737556906217476":{"id":"1435737556906217476","date":"2021-09-08 22:51:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 @matt_levine","hashtags":[],"conv":"1435593341274624004","reply_id":"1435593341274624004","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1435737556906217476_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1435737556906217476","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1430377656780951560":{"id":"1430377656780951560","date":"2021-08-25 03:53:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @SinclairEuan @o_wutang I think there's an incredibly important insight about trading that's worth expanding on.\n\nMany times, we think of a risk, mull it over, and tell ourselves \"ok, I've considered it\".\n\nMost of the time, you haven't. Not really. \"Thinking of\" and \"considering\" are v different things.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1430305676778033153","reply_id":"1430375186071580674","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1430377656780951560","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1900456592048345373":{"id":"1900456592048345373","date":"2025-03-14 07:58:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Show me on the Berkeley CS syllabus where you teach how to use GDB. Or even Chrome developer tools. Stack traces, profilers, flame graphs. Anything. Do you even know what these are?\n\nOr how to systematically inspect, analyze and perturb a system to learn where it's breaking.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1900455234754826623","reply_id":"1900455896167117106","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":3068,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1900456592048345373","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1781354608503505358":{"id":"1781354608503505358","date":"2024-04-19 16:10:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@scorelinesports Intuition Pumps was excellent.\n\nConsciousness Explained, despite the grandiose title, was a careful work which avoided so many pitfalls on the subject.\n\nFreedom Evolves, Kinds Of Minds also high on the list.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1781352296489902247","reply_id":"1781353986156540146","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"scorelinesports","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":152,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1781354608503505358","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1412209331152453632":{"id":"1412209331152453632","date":"2021-07-06 00:38:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @ripntear6 @breakingthemark @testinprodcap @EconomPic It's an infinitesimal, so really the q is about what the timescale is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1412100810876485632","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1412209331152453632","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2020906072408522990":{"id":"2020906072408522990","date":"2026-02-09 17:02:08","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"RT @macrocephalopod: You stole customer money and used it to gamble with you absolute fucking clown.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2020906072408522990","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2020903575166054862","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":84,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/2020906072408522990"},"1782918494247649588":{"id":"1782918494247649588","date":"2024-04-23 23:44:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ByrneHobart What's the modern Zoom version?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1782888365282504805","reply_id":"1782888365282504805","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ByrneHobart","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":565,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1782918494247649588","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2047398119713738889":{"id":"2047398119713738889","date":"2026-04-23 19:32:05","author":"Open Source Intel","handle":"Osint613","text":"RFK Jr: \"A Democratic senator claimed it's mathematically impossible to have a drug drop by 600%. I said, 'Well, if the drug was $100 and it raises to $600, that would be a 600% rise. If it drops from $600 to $100, that's a 600% savings.'\"\n\nTrump: \"Right\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"2047398119713738889","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2047610559122587996","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9727,"retweets":581,"replies":1653,"quotes":680,"views":2692935,"bookmarks":1677,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2047398119713738889"},"1633518818701242371":{"id":"1633518818701242371","date":"2023-03-08 17:23:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Iambhavyadesai Here's the thing: it could be the right play even if you lose every one of those drop-serve points!\n\nIf it forces Novak to stand forward enough to deal with it, it could be +EV to do it.\n\nThis is how mixed strategies work.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633514191486353409","reply_id":"1633518038426296337","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bhavyadesaii","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":235,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633518818701242371","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1818822918698381408":{"id":"1818822918698381408","date":"2024-08-01 01:35:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@joshua_ulrich @therobotjames @experquisite 👆","hashtags":[],"conv":"1818813002738503885","reply_id":"1818819519206310296","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"joshua_ulrich","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":130,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1818822918698381408","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1294291800648118273":{"id":"1294291800648118273","date":"2020-08-14 15:16:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Here's the thing I learned: if they do, no one's going to stop them. Sure, they'll complain and argue. But it will happen anyway.\n\nIt turns out there aren't any *actual* mechanisms to prevent executive illegality, the co-opting of institutions, and open corruption.\n\n2/4","hashtags":[],"conv":"1294291799897280512","reply_id":"1294291799897280512","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1294291800648118273","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1909337437471457738":{"id":"1909337437471457738","date":"2025-04-07 20:08:13","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"I have reached the final form of “mathematician writing code” — a function with 12 parameters, all of which have a single letter variable name (and one letter is present in both lower and upper case)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1909337437471457738","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1909338010543435860","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":476,"retweets":5,"replies":88,"quotes":4,"views":47446,"bookmarks":31,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1909337437471457738"},"1459694119752634375":{"id":"1459694119752634375","date":"2021-11-14 01:26:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Art is precisely the variable X which satisfies the sentence:\n\n\"X is what you do in order to try to answer 'What is X?'\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1459694119752634375","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1459694119752634375","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1386831839860428800":{"id":"1386831839860428800","date":"2021-04-26 23:57:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @darjohn25 ☝️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1386808185432936448","reply_id":"1386827932811677700","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1386831839860428800","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1767965815134105890":{"id":"1767965815134105890","date":"2024-03-13 17:27:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@krishnanrohit I'd be *shocked* if we didn't knock out 4 and 5 in the next couple of years.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1767963202900345319","reply_id":"1767963202900345319","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"krishnanrohit","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":95,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1767965815134105890","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1315496466375303168":{"id":"1315496466375303168","date":"2020-10-12 03:36:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ATabarrok @SteveStuWill I love how it's always physicists that make this argument.\n\nI wonder if smart people who are somehow unable to understand \"levels of abstraction\" necessarily become physicists.\n\nFW is exactly like using the word molecule or dollar. It's useful at higher LoAs. Atoms != everything.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1315421576444047360","reply_id":"1315494575901941760","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ATabarrok","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1315496466375303168","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1524384127578955776":{"id":"1524384127578955776","date":"2022-05-11 13:41:12","author":"Gary Basin","handle":"garybasin","text":"the whole point of crypto is to create systems that are resistant to \"attack with very powerful people\" — otherwise wtf is the point?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1524384127578955776","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1524385241108033536","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/garybasin/status/1524384127578955776"},"1456615730057674755":{"id":"1456615730057674755","date":"2021-11-05 13:33:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@robertmartin88 @negativecnvx It's almost like they know how to price options or something...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1456577983276257280","reply_id":"1456615566765088773","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"LacertaXG1","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1456615730057674755","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1541589135323848704":{"id":"1541589135323848704","date":"2022-06-28 01:07:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@whirlybard @therobotjames Yeah pretty sure.\nI was a #1 for a few years.\nAt least, I hope I was.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1541584791568470016","reply_id":"1541588599690653696","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"whirlybard","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1541589135323848704","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1957095022379016532":{"id":"1957095022379016532","date":"2025-08-17 14:59:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @AnthropicAI Gotta try'em all.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957090768494932465","reply_id":"1957094845022937219","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":793,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1957095022379016532","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1987802772373405944":{"id":"1987802772373405944","date":"2025-11-10 08:41:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"House prices are too high. Also, house prices can't go down.\n\nStock valuations are too high. Also, stocks can't go down.\n\nEntitlements are too generous. Also, we can't cut entitlements.\n\nToo much reliance on Chinese imports. Also, inflation isn't allowed.\n\nNot a lot of options...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1987802772373405944","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":235,"retweets":15,"replies":19,"quotes":7,"views":18202,"bookmarks":23,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1987802772373405944","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1631035632637329408":{"id":"1631035632637329408","date":"2023-03-01 20:56:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Something that would make me reconsider: *any* evidence of ML recursive self-improvement.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1631035436830445569","reply_id":"1631035436830445569","quote_id":"1631054654237818882","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":2114,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1631035632637329408","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1614808825881849857":{"id":"1614808825881849857","date":"2023-01-16 02:16:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@typedfemale Learning rate schedules are martingales.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1614805370593247232","reply_id":"1614805370593247232","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"typedfemale","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":925,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1614808825881849857","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1931485089369637307":{"id":"1931485089369637307","date":"2025-06-07 22:55:05","author":"noah","handle":"nkreu113r","text":"It is very obvious you should only ever use penalties! You can have constraints in production, but the solution is to change your penalties in the backtest such that the constraints are never binding","hashtags":[],"conv":"1931485089369637307","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1931625093982982409","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":61,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":2,"views":15399,"bookmarks":55,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/nkreu113r/status/1931485089369637307"},"1483820656726884355":{"id":"1483820656726884355","date":"2022-01-19 15:16:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Podcasts without transcripts suck.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1483820656726884355","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1483820656726884355","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1597296377100238848":{"id":"1597296377100238848","date":"2022-11-28 18:28:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AnodyneCode @KrisAbdelmessih 👆\n\nBuying a 49 was a bit of a gamble. Now I'm never going back. It's a step change in usability.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597283099536039937","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597296377100238848","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1492724252595789825":{"id":"1492724252595789825","date":"2022-02-13 04:56:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Seven Games by @ollie is excellent.\n\nMore... artistic and lyrical than I expected, in a good way. Highly recommend, if you're into games.\n\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Seven-Games-History-Oliver-Roeder/dp/1324003774","hashtags":[],"conv":"1492724252595789825","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1492724252595789825_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1492724252595789825","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1649793211802718208":{"id":"1649793211802718208","date":"2023-04-22 15:12:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Ronnie v Vafaei","hashtags":[],"conv":"1649793211802718208","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1767,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1649793211802718208","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2062254967193313612":{"id":"2062254967193313612","date":"2026-06-03 19:27:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Unless you're an actual mathematician, if you say \"mathematics\" instead of \"math\" in casual conversation then you're trying way too hard to sound smart.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2062254967193313612","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":69,"retweets":0,"replies":10,"quotes":1,"views":18330,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2062254967193313612","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1973025457227628872":{"id":"1973025457227628872","date":"2025-09-30 14:01:40","author":"Jürgen Schmidhuber","handle":"SchmidhuberAI","text":"Since the Nixon Shock of 1971, the price of gold in US$ has grown 100-fold; the S&P 500, 70-fold; the Dow Jones, 50-fold; and energy costs, 20-fold. Gold is a reliable measure of true inflation: 1¢ (1971) = 1$ (2025). According to the official inflation rate, however, the $ has lost only 90% of its value since 1971, not 99%. Politics! Gold's own inflation rate is about 2% per year due to newly mined gold. Its purchasing power has remained largely unchanged since Roman times, whereas the value of all fiat currencies since then has dropped to almost zero.  \n\nLet's put things in perspective. All the gold ever mined would fit into a cube with sides measuring ~22 meters, worth nearly a quarter of the global annual GDP or about one-fiftieth of the world's total value, including all real estate, infrastructure, equity, pensions, etc. This is equivalent to a cube of gold measuring less than 90 meters. You couldn't see that tiny cube from space. The Earth's core holds at least a billion times more unreachable gold. I'm not even talking about the rest of the solar system. So all human-owned wealth seems insignificant. May this thought bring you peace of mind. 🙂","hashtags":[],"conv":"1973025457227628872","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1973314873703743702","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":193,"retweets":14,"replies":17,"quotes":6,"views":34960,"bookmarks":54,"media":["1973025457227628872_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SchmidhuberAI/status/1973025457227628872"},"1527405771457236992":{"id":"1527405771457236992","date":"2022-05-19 21:48:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jose34730 @0xdoug Thoughts on wallet <> identity reconstruction that anyone could do with enough resources? Said resources probably go down as the amount of on-chain transaction data goes up.\n\nI feel like something in the ZK realm is an unavoidable part of a good solution here.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1527401670841356293","reply_id":"1527403949602373632","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jose34730","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1527405771457236992","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1479846796549521409":{"id":"1479846796549521409","date":"2022-01-08 16:05:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@QwQiao One problem I see is that no one agrees yet on what things the new tech is good at.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1479846176790884354","reply_id":"1479846176790884354","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QwQiao","likes":23,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1479846796549521409","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1970510263985017331":{"id":"1970510263985017331","date":"2025-09-23 15:27:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ltrd_ @NeelNanda5 is great, happy to have spent a few weeks w/ him during his internship.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970458435167625662","reply_id":"1970458435167625662","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ltrd_","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":896,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1970510263985017331","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1520517694835109890":{"id":"1520517694835109890","date":"2022-04-30 21:37:22","author":"Euan Sinclair","handle":"SinclairEuan","text":"@therobotjames @AgustinLebron3 @RandyMartingale @ianthetechie They said they have a bigger budget now, so maybe I'll fly over to NZ to talk to a robot","hashtags":[],"conv":"1520364097342087168","reply_id":"1520513064252047360","quote_id":"1520519240322748416","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SinclairEuan/status/1520517694835109890"},"1543618456062271489":{"id":"1543618456062271489","date":"2022-07-03 15:31:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm To what extent do you believe these are necessary other-sides-of-the-coin of economic dynamism?\n\nEven within the US these anxieties are concentrated in the most productive cities...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1543613805246091266","reply_id":"1543617748953026560","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1543618456062271489","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1154231322702778370":{"id":"1154231322702778370","date":"2019-07-25 03:26:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@michellevarron @La__Cuen I've been told I care too much about work. 🤪","hashtags":[],"conv":"1154200887457386496","reply_id":"1154230781889241089","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"michellevarron","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1154231322702778370","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1888953389578407966":{"id":"1888953389578407966","date":"2025-02-10 14:09:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@quantymacro I'm honored he knows I exist!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1888952459453780427","reply_id":"1888952459453780427","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"quantymacro","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1210,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1888953389578407966","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1773728322893250823":{"id":"1773728322893250823","date":"2024-03-29 15:06:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"A basic point worth making: options structures are linear combinations of individual options.\n\nSo you can't manufacture a +EV structure unless you have +EV legs! I.e. the structure can't *ever* give you edge you couldn't get by trading some leg of it.\n\nStructures are for risk.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1773384779347730616","reply_id":"1773471701143294430","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":65,"retweets":7,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":8511,"bookmarks":36,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1773728322893250823","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1529472128621285376":{"id":"1529472128621285376","date":"2022-05-25 14:39:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is actually pretty riveting.\n\nIf anyone wants to see a real live example of long-entrenched interests talking their own book with a succession of word-salad statements and whataboutist hypotheticals, you can't do much better than this.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529472128621285376","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":80,"retweets":9,"replies":14,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1529472128621285376","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1146429731178344448":{"id":"1146429731178344448","date":"2019-07-03 14:45:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@delong In the same way that AI is defined as \"what computers can't do yet\", robot is defined as \"machines whose operation is still newsworthy\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1146429157057933312","reply_id":"1146429157057933312","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"delong","likes":3,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1146429731178344448","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1617409534791946240":{"id":"1617409534791946240","date":"2023-01-23 06:30:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@QuantitativeArb @sasuke___420 No, they exist because corporate America NEEDS for there to be something that will definitely be around for 20 years. Everything else revolves around that fact: training the armies of programmers, the consultants, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1616488197080649728","reply_id":"1617198635577483268","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuantitativeArb","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":280,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1617409534791946240","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1970146276558913859":{"id":"1970146276558913859","date":"2025-09-22 15:20:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert \"True libertarianism has never been tried\" vibes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970140013427106272","reply_id":"1970140013427106272","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":31,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":1992,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1970146276558913859","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1598377680499376128":{"id":"1598377680499376128","date":"2022-12-01 18:05:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase @therobotjames @robertmartin88 Maybe I'm misunderstanding, but in my mind:\n\nSizing fn = $625k long-short/percent-predicted-return\nCapped at 2.5m/4%","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598359321158553602","reply_id":"1598376711137202215","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598377680499376128","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1572436185838153729":{"id":"1572436185838153729","date":"2022-09-21 04:02:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 The reason we still enjoy watching humans play chess is the same reason we watch sports. We like to ascribe human-legible moral/emotional narratives to random numbers.\n\nWhen GPTn produces all the content, we're not going to care whether it came from a human or not.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1572413177895464960","reply_id":"1572434591448977409","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1572436185838153729","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1164202990896476160":{"id":"1164202990896476160","date":"2019-08-21 15:49:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@daniel_egan @Dadsaysjokes Challenge: translate this joke to any other language.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1164187777996660736","reply_id":"1164196053836374016","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"daniel_egan","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1164202990896476160","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1919374152613367818":{"id":"1919374152613367818","date":"2025-05-05 12:50:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@derbas94 I noticed it then too, but still it's even more now. And somehow everyone still gives him the attention.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1919281231901958480","reply_id":"1919342044486521178","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"derbas94","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":135,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1919374152613367818","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1186373786947346437":{"id":"1186373786947346437","date":"2019-10-21 20:08:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ReformedTrader 😱😱😱","hashtags":[],"conv":"1186371975498756096","reply_id":"1186373492368801792","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ReformedTrader","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1186373786947346437","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1420131151805521920":{"id":"1420131151805521920","date":"2021-07-27 21:17:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Let’s think like information theorists. We take the whole history of prices and trades and everything.\n\nA massively long multivariate timeseries of stuff.\n\nA “model” is a thing that takes that massive amount of data and reduces it into a more manageable set of parameters.\n\n7/n","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420131145669169153","reply_id":"1420131150916296704","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420131151805521920","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1363976020575981570":{"id":"1363976020575981570","date":"2021-02-22 22:16:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BeingHorizontal My point is that there should be no distinction between entry and exit. All there is is the answer to the question \"What is the position I should be holding now?\"\n\nTrades just happen to be the way you change from one pos to the other.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1363876629550800901","reply_id":"1363970746297425922","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BeingHorizontal","likes":3,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1363976020575981570","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1564293975057375232":{"id":"1564293975057375232","date":"2022-08-29 16:48:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm It's precisely the absence of this interactive feedback mechanism that creates the problems.\n\nPeople are actually pretty nice IRL because of it and revert to their true Hobbesian states of nature without it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1564292124710801410","reply_id":"1564293332003483648","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1564293975057375232","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1900210918887178519":{"id":"1900210918887178519","date":"2025-03-13 15:42:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ffxivmarket I agree w/ everything you've said.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1900206922206216511","reply_id":"1900209318051356773","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Ffxivmarket","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":187,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1900210918887178519","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1448427211187318785":{"id":"1448427211187318785","date":"2021-10-13 23:15:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macroarb @therobotjames I'd call him the father of blowing up by selling vol. :)\n\nPlenty of people sold vol before him, and after.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448086924330246151","reply_id":"1448419822472204289","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macroarb","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448427211187318785","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1477320200361963522":{"id":"1477320200361963522","date":"2022-01-01 16:45:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"12/\n7⃣ Finally and most importantly, grifters care a lot about acquiring viewers/customers.\n\nRemember, they don’t actually have any value to offer you. Over time, the people that got suckered in will leave.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477320189653893121","reply_id":"1477320199472762880","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477320200361963522","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1524386097085796352":{"id":"1524386097085796352","date":"2022-05-11 13:49:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 @bennpeifert (shuffling through pages and pages on Coinmarketcap)\n\nWhich one of these is uncorrelated again?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1524206805106057221","reply_id":"1524208640009375744","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1524386097085796352","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1476206550129643523":{"id":"1476206550129643523","date":"2021-12-29 15:00:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@embracethetrade @KrisAbdelmessih The easiest ways are the ones where you have a natural edge. That varies for everyone.\n\nIf you're coming to options without some reason to think you'd be *especially* good at trading them then it's likely a bad idea.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476013157327900675","reply_id":"1476074591512674310","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"embracethetrade","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476206550129643523","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1471167539568787456":{"id":"1471167539568787456","date":"2021-12-15 17:17:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DhruvComplex @bennpeifert \"Waiting for Pandas to load my CSV\" works.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471153455272132613","reply_id":"1471162598020292609","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DhruvComplex","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471167539568787456","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1225086447956283392":{"id":"1225086447956283392","date":"2020-02-05 15:59:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Top 3 hiring mistakes tech companies make:\n1. No hiring plan\n2. Bad tech interviewers\n3. Minimal new-hire training\nAll of this is fixable!\nhttps://medium.com/@essilenresearch/tech-hiring-the-top-3-mistakes-companies-make-e2fd5438cf8d\n#technology #hiring #interviews","hashtags":["technology","hiring","interviews"],"conv":"1225086447956283392","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":40,"retweets":4,"replies":2,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1225086447956283392","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1529910928254197760":{"id":"1529910928254197760","date":"2022-05-26 19:42:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So, calculate TSLA's beta to SPY.\n\n- Snapshot TSLA and SPY at 9:30 and 12:00.\n- Calculate returns\n- Calculate beta TLSA -> SPY\n\nNow *remove* the SPY component from TSLA. The thing you care to isolate its TSLA-ex-SPY. Run your lagged regression on THAT.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529877576591609861","reply_id":"1529910927339925504","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":55,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":21,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1529910928254197760","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1412402002362052621":{"id":"1412402002362052621","date":"2021-07-06 13:24:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MisuaRaboki Equity markets in the US are pretty decentralized.\nCrypto same thing.\n\nWherever trades happen, and wherever the info exhaust of those trades is accessible, looking at it is useful.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1411890038938345472","reply_id":"1412272207028441088","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MisuaRaboki","likes":17,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1412402002362052621","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1830692274700726551":{"id":"1830692274700726551","date":"2024-09-02 19:40:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod How period faithful do you want them? Sean Pertwee in a post-apocalyptic Macbeth was pretty fun actually.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1830691387366318345","reply_id":"1830691387366318345","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":808,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1830692274700726551","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1265675870343065600":{"id":"1265675870343065600","date":"2020-05-27 16:06:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @bennpeifert Borel. Something about Borel algebra...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1265625591945953280","reply_id":"1265666154657439744","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1265675870343065600","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1324559465996169217":{"id":"1324559465996169217","date":"2020-11-06 03:49:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Serious Person, CMT\n\nIt's kind of expected.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1324559465996169217","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1324559465996169217","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1577009576368799744":{"id":"1577009576368799744","date":"2022-10-03 18:55:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brettharrison https://www.folklore.org/StoryView.py?story=Negative_2000_Lines_Of_Code.txt","hashtags":[],"conv":"1577007460459892736","reply_id":"1577009091477897218","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BrettHarrison","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1577009576368799744","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1847615613327299009":{"id":"1847615613327299009","date":"2024-10-19 12:27:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ConcaveMMT At work, 95%+ of the use is \"write me this thing that's probably in your training set a dozen times, and you'll do it faster than I will\".\n\nAnything from a sed script to some Python datetime munging. Far from rocket science and it frees me up to stay conceptual","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847610792113316169","reply_id":"1847614677691371716","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ConcaveMMT","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":597,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847615613327299009","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1322186637833547776":{"id":"1322186637833547776","date":"2020-10-30 14:40:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@investingidiocy @TheStalwart If he wins twice having been given a 20% prob in 2016 and a 10% prob in 2020, then I'm comfortable saying the polls just can't handle the phenomenon.\n\nThe parallels at that point with The Mule in the Foundation Series would be pretty strong. Pollsters are Hari Seldon, of course.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1322153820122681344","reply_id":"1322157970810167301","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"investingidiocy","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1322186637833547776","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1454896802872758274":{"id":"1454896802872758274","date":"2021-10-31 19:43:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"10/ Every year the team starts a business, grows it, experiences competition, learns stuff, etc etc.\n\nExcept it's NOT zero-sum!\n\nYou're learning together how to build something new. Winning means providing value to other people.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1454896792802267140","reply_id":"1454896801761218565","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1454896802872758274","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1583277941156245504":{"id":"1583277941156245504","date":"2022-10-21 02:04:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The question of what trading should be allowed, and what trading shouldn't, is obviously a bit difficult to answer.\n\nYes, it's a bit of a game we all play to outwit the other. So who's to say what's fair-game outwitting and what's not?\n\nLemme suggest a useful heuristic:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1583277941156245504","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1608141110714552320","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":37,"retweets":6,"replies":2,"quotes":5,"views":0,"bookmarks":26,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1583277941156245504","type":"quote","issues":[]},"2039004290325303344":{"id":"2039004290325303344","date":"2026-03-31 15:38:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Half the responses here are like \"no, look at how sophisticated they are, they use feature flags\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"2038958763533549810","reply_id":"2038958763533549810","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2609,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2039004290325303344","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1425931629122363395":{"id":"1425931629122363395","date":"2021-08-12 21:26:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein @CLidd2 @TheSpeculator0 Or just plain old zero sometimes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1425907235180453888","reply_id":"1425928128237551619","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1425931629122363395","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1743496199922135161":{"id":"1743496199922135161","date":"2024-01-06 04:54:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Albz321 Maybe I'll wait until he wants to know about BJTs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1743491183655936137","reply_id":"1743491183655936137","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bubbleboi","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":73,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1743496199922135161","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1821362018659803345":{"id":"1821362018659803345","date":"2024-08-08 01:45:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"And learning how to prompt an LLM to do it for you will save you even *more* time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1821362018659803345","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":54,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":2,"views":6465,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1821362018659803345","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1513670267364544512":{"id":"1513670267364544512","date":"2022-04-12 00:08:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @CautionPesimism @M1tchRosenthal @be20684347 @nope_its_lily @ripntear6 @volpompilano @bennpeifert Right.\n\nStep 1: What's the arb?\nStep 2: Why isn't it tradeable?\nStep 3: What's the good side of the trade?\nStep 4: Trade. Maybe.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1513632059599646721","reply_id":"1513669652698005505","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1513670267364544512","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1417937084472389633":{"id":"1417937084472389633","date":"2021-07-21 19:58:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@paulg Sounds like a buildable feature for Twitter. A button which lets you say \"track this prediction\" and a resolution date.\n\nYou build your own personal scoreboard of who's legit and who's not.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1417936521357926401","reply_id":"1417936521357926401","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"paulg","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1417937084472389633","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1847696863216181757":{"id":"1847696863216181757","date":"2024-10-19 17:50:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Basic AF but I have to go Different Class.\n\nTwo historic bangers AND the whole album is lyrically and musically complete. Bar Italia makes me cry.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847610792113316169","reply_id":"1847693976264200289","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":918,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847696863216181757","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1471582339876614146":{"id":"1471582339876614146","date":"2021-12-16 20:45:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@salr_nyc @VolQuant @joshgiersch And follow me for arcane LME base metals or Russian GDR options knowledge no one cares about.\n\nTogether we'll rule fintwit!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471535220553883649","reply_id":"1471579636983341070","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"salr_nyc","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471582339876614146","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1502676342063579137":{"id":"1502676342063579137","date":"2022-03-12 16:02:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @RabbiJacob16 Massive agree on Hakkasan (over).\nSt John is properly rated but IMO under-known.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1502374917966376962","reply_id":"1502549694278512645","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1502676342063579137","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1632112973878796288":{"id":"1632112973878796288","date":"2023-03-04 20:17:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lightspringfox Right with you. I average ~1 drink a week, to quote George \"because of society\".\n\nI don't miss multi-drink days/evenings at all.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632086294259179520","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2136,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632112973878796288","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1676557728188178432":{"id":"1676557728188178432","date":"2023-07-05 11:44:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Can someone ELI5 tattoos for me?\n\nPretty sure I'm the last person under 50 without one.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1676557728188178432","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":36,"retweets":1,"replies":21,"quotes":2,"views":24828,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1676557728188178432","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1505588601144295427":{"id":"1505588601144295427","date":"2022-03-20 16:54:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"20/ Ok, that's it for day 1.\n\nIf I see there's interest in this thread, I'm going to continue tomorrow.\n\nBecause the good stuff is still coming up!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1505588600028614660","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":79,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505588601144295427","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1420131147674046469":{"id":"1420131147674046469","date":"2021-07-27 21:17:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Well, imagine I propose the following solution: build a model of the market in all its gory detail: fat tails, heteroskedasticity, vol clustering, etc etc. I calibrate this model using historical data, and it’s pretty good. \n\nIt's awesome in fact.\n\n3/n","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420131145669169153","reply_id":"1420131146713616384","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420131147674046469","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1361901747803803649":{"id":"1361901747803803649","date":"2021-02-17 04:54:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sajidnizami @MagnusMacro @aRishisays @lebas_janney @ScottSkyrm @Fullcarry @Stimpyz1 @mark_dow @naufalsanaullah @jturek18 @beth_stanton 🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1361900408185102337","reply_id":"1361901494878961669","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sajidnizami","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1361901747803803649","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1995051360161817043":{"id":"1995051360161817043","date":"2025-11-30 08:44:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What fraction of what you know, and know how to do, was self-learned vs learned from an teacher/coach/etc?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1995051360161817043","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":2,"replies":17,"quotes":0,"views":12585,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1995051360161817043","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1551714863914766336":{"id":"1551714863914766336","date":"2022-07-25 23:43:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ryxcommar The degree of dysfunction in hiring at your average tech company is actually not-believable until you've seen it first-hand repeatedly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1551712056860098562","reply_id":"1551712056860098562","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ryxcommar","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1551714863914766336","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1715139054575272068":{"id":"1715139054575272068","date":"2023-10-19 22:53:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Applying public choice theory to understand how people behave inside companies (vs governments) still, somehow, yields lots of alpha.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1715139054575272068","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2194,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1715139054575272068","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1159836637993455616":{"id":"1159836637993455616","date":"2019-08-09 14:39:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Can someone who understands fundamentals explain how much #uber would have to increase rates to become breakeven?\n\nEven better: what is Uber's elasticity of demand?","hashtags":["uber"],"conv":"1159836637993455616","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1159836637993455616","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1570128815372005376":{"id":"1570128815372005376","date":"2022-09-14 19:14:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Hashrate ticking down.\n\nWhat if we get into a Zeno's Merge situation where as miners go offline, the merge becomes progressively farther away?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1570128815372005376","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":41,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1570128815372005376","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1757980041672306775":{"id":"1757980041672306775","date":"2024-02-15 04:07:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Ironically, LLMs (in the form of chatbots) are going to hasten humanity's transition back to being an oral-first culture.\n\nThe primacy of writing will have been a brief few-centuries interregnum.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1757980041672306775","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":51,"retweets":5,"replies":8,"quotes":2,"views":8935,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1757980041672306775","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1847615951023243289":{"id":"1847615951023243289","date":"2024-10-19 12:29:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@quant_spence One-on-one tutoring with a truly knowledgeable, motivated teacher is still the king.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847610792113316169","reply_id":"1847614734092136508","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"quant_spence","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":692,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847615951023243289","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1502068549778653186":{"id":"1502068549778653186","date":"2022-03-10 23:47:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@aikida3k @InBraised @M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames I was too. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1369774884834934788","reply_id":"1502067459330871297","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"aikida3k","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1502068549778653186","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1604125523826745344":{"id":"1604125523826745344","date":"2022-12-17 14:45:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@typedfemale Such a good book tho!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1604022618431971329","reply_id":"1604022618431971329","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"typedfemale","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":243,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1604125523826745344","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1488918318861860864":{"id":"1488918318861860864","date":"2022-02-02 16:52:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I find it fascinating that stock splits are still CNBC-headline-level news.\n\nEven with odd lot and fractional share trading being pretty much normal.\n\nWhy?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1488918318861860864","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1488918318861860864","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1683523275551559680":{"id":"1683523275551559680","date":"2023-07-24 17:03:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Throwing more and more data at a bigger and bigger soft-memory/interpolator feels like a dead end.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1683523275551559680","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1683659413880717313","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":3425,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1683523275551559680","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1965750607467471270":{"id":"1965750607467471270","date":"2025-09-10 12:14:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"When you only talk to a narrow set of people...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1965750607467471270","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":75,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":17776,"bookmarks":18,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1965750607467471270","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1505013643871600646":{"id":"1505013643871600646","date":"2022-03-19 02:49:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Gee I wonder what's going to win...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505005035432050690","reply_id":"1505005035432050690","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505013643871600646","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1469316272466788352":{"id":"1469316272466788352","date":"2021-12-10 14:41:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @lightspringfox @ALBACapMgmt @macrocephalopod @darjohn25 @IDrawCharts @Gingfacekillah @saanglee You're too good at reading between the lines of my broad generalities, evidently.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1469230195651465218","reply_id":"1469230889963982852","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1469316272466788352","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1501584517605199874":{"id":"1501584517605199874","date":"2022-03-09 15:43:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@thal0x http://brilliant.org?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501570561071321093","reply_id":"1501570561071321093","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"thal0x","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501584517605199874","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2039622200194388166":{"id":"2039622200194388166","date":"2026-04-02 08:33:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Why is this even a conversation?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2039622200194388166","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":2,"replies":11,"quotes":0,"views":4936,"bookmarks":0,"media":["2039622200194388166_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2039622200194388166","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1706377335111647629":{"id":"1706377335111647629","date":"2023-09-25 18:37:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I'm going to enjoy the next few months of the world discovering interesting unintended uses for GPT4-multimodal.\n\nCan't wait.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1706377335111647629","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2874,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1706377335111647629","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1851531251867353133":{"id":"1851531251867353133","date":"2024-10-30 07:47:04","author":"MicroCorgiArchitecture","handle":"MicroCorgi","text":"@TheOneRealPK @AgustinLebron3 Confluence and Jira are so unbelievably slow though","hashtags":[],"conv":"1851204466973766096","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1851532200748945473","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":3321,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/MicroCorgi/status/1851531251867353133"},"2037186385409392881":{"id":"2037186385409392881","date":"2026-03-26 15:14:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Of course, OpenAI backing it makes perfect sense.\n\nThese guys are downstream consumer of tokens, so they're just going to spend $94m on OAI tokens which is booked as revenue for OAI.\n\nThe Nvidia playbook: fund your customers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2037185398187692451","reply_id":"2037185398187692451","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":93,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":6849,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2037186385409392881","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2064785094510797299":{"id":"2064785094510797299","date":"2026-06-10 19:01:43","author":"Linus Mixson","handle":"LinusMixson","text":"RT @LinusMixson: Anthropic's behavior isn't about the data, which they recognize is available elsewhere. It's a remarkable fact that schematics for building nuclear weapons, full genomes for virulent pathogens, total syntheses for microgram-active toxins, etc., have all been available to the general public for decades, and that literally no one has died as a consequence of this fact. Anthropic certainly knows this as well as anyone. The facts themselves aren't the issue.\n\nThe issue is knowing what to do with those facts. What risk does exist from nuclear weapons, engineered plagues, nerve gasses, etc., emerges entirely from state actors and other \"official\" bodies, because they cultivate and monopolize the talent and capital needed to make something real out of the facts scattered across thousands of textbooks and journal articles. Even the 2001 anthrax attacks, despite initial attribution to al-Qaeda, turned out to have originated in US state-linked labs.\n\nIt requires years of concerted study to gain the ability to weaponize the information in the training corpus, and, in practical terms, significant capex & a team of other people who have also studied for years. The facts, by themselves, are totally useless.\n\nWhat Anthropic is worried about is the ability to productively use those facts. In their accounting, Mythos/Fable is a microbiology/nuclear engineering/chemistry Ph.D. in a box, and an exceptional, world-class one at that. This (despite my distaste for agreeing with them in any way whatsoever at all) does, plausibly, materially lower the difficulty of going from a collection of glassware to a regional smallpox outbreak. It is also not \"in the data\" in any conventional sense. Some part of it is latent across millions and millions and millions of documents, and the rest of it is achieved in aggressive, highly-intentional posttraining. What's dangerous is knowledge and the intelligence to do something with it, not just the facts themselves.\n\nPhrased like this, I think it's tempting to be sympathetic towards Anthropic. It would, of course, be a tragedy if an insufficiently-safetied Mythos coached an otherwise-small-time terrorist into manufacturing several kilograms of sarin. (Whether it could actually do this or not is besides the point — that's where the concern lies.)\n\nBut Anthropic's objective is not merely diverting obviously-malevolent use; it is in developing what it pretty openly considers a god-in-a-box that answers to Anthropic, and Anthropic alone  — and no matter how much they pretend that this system would have autonomy, every spare ounce of capacity they have is devoted to making sure that it wouldn't fundamentally disagree with them in the first place. They also want to ensure that no one else can ever get there, and have now begun to brazenly take actions to slow competing research.\n\nYou and I both probably agree with Anthropic on the desirability of cooking up superanthrax at home. But do you think that you agree with them on everything? Do you think that, perhaps, Anthropic making a god in its own image and, like a Silicon Valley Moses, destroying the possibility of any god but its own, might not be the future we'd prefer?\n\nThese are the questions that need to be asked about Anthropic. Book-scanning is penny ante.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2064785094510797299","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2064776117912019355","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":3,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/LinusMixson/status/2064785094510797299"},"1921827735292305559":{"id":"1921827735292305559","date":"2025-05-12 07:20:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cantillon_fr @choffstein @Ksidiii Definitely agree with that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1921655068282986793","reply_id":"1921821237862437353","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"cantillon0","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":51,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1921827735292305559","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1829222849988506010":{"id":"1829222849988506010","date":"2024-08-29 18:21:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CJHandmer VC hasn't reduced *software* to a repeatable playbook. They've reduced SaaS to a playbook. And then tried/mostly succeeded in shoehorning all software into that mold.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1829221690074968376","reply_id":"1829221690074968376","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"CJHandmer","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":1539,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1829222849988506010","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1388884183372623873":{"id":"1388884183372623873","date":"2021-05-02 15:52:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ Reading @nope_its_lily and this hit hard:\n\n\"In all honesty, most finfluencers have pretty shit takes on the market. It kind of arises based on the mismatch between the skills required to actually trade and the skills required to market oneself.\"\n\nhttps://nopeitslily.substack.com/p/a-polemic-and-apologia-of-the-finfluencer","hashtags":[],"conv":"1388884183372623873","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":110,"retweets":4,"replies":8,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":26,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1388884183372623873","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1734430082494849044":{"id":"1734430082494849044","date":"2023-12-12 04:28:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nkreu113r @ScottPh77711570 We'll call that an investment, not a trade.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1734372182938325052","reply_id":"1734418591334691115","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nkreu113r","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":210,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1734430082494849044","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1640838795871518720":{"id":"1640838795871518720","date":"2023-03-28 22:10:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 3. There are better uses for your time. Like talking with and *interacting* with a small subset of friends you trust. Versus, you know, the whole planet.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1640833303480795137","reply_id":"1640838550253101056","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":247,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1640838795871518720","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1546940999133409280":{"id":"1546940999133409280","date":"2022-07-12 19:34:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano Agreed, it's not about \"this is how you should do it\", but rather \"this is how I *think* I do it\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546937016927002627","reply_id":"1546937016927002627","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546940999133409280","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2074115719713763789":{"id":"2074115719713763789","date":"2026-07-06 12:58:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Young people are driven by fear of missing out.\nOld people are driven by fear of losing out.\n\nThe former makes you go out and try things.\nThe latter makes you huddle in your shell.\n\nFact: TFR collapse is making societies older.\n\nQuoting @tylercowen, solve for the equilibrium.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2074115719713763789","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":77,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":8778,"bookmarks":27,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2074115719713763789","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1258496343816826880":{"id":"1258496343816826880","date":"2020-05-07 20:38:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Noahpinion Test McTraceface FTW?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1258495154618421248","reply_id":"1258495154618421248","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Noahpinion","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1258496343816826880","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1854492845928743261":{"id":"1854492845928743261","date":"2024-11-07 11:55:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Scott Alexander agrees.\n\nhttps://www.astralcodexten.com/p/congrats-to-polymarket-but-i-still\n\nMy tweet yesterday generated the stupidest responses I've seen in a long time. Politics really fries your brain.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1854492845928743261","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":31,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":6193,"bookmarks":7,"media":["1854492845928743261_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1854492845928743261","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1234329923478675456":{"id":"1234329923478675456","date":"2020-03-02 04:09:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lebas_janney The key is to make #statements that *sound* like they have content, but are in fact entirely vacuous.\n\nIt's kind of an artform actually.","hashtags":["statements"],"conv":"1234317559274655750","reply_id":"1234317559274655750","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"lebas_janney","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1234329923478675456","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2077448291768258811":{"id":"2077448291768258811","date":"2026-07-15 17:40:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"We seem to be muddling through, just like we always have.\n\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"2077448246570504529","reply_id":"2077448289847259202","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":40,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":2424,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2077448291768258811","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1513516628478025729":{"id":"1513516628478025729","date":"2022-04-11 13:57:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bookdepth Some have tried. Some with little success...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1513315275260706819","reply_id":"1513315275260706819","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bookdepth","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1513516628478025729","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1477451277260902401":{"id":"1477451277260902401","date":"2022-01-02 01:26:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@abiylfoyp Artificial grass is phenomenally good these days. Esp in desert climates like... all of the American West these days?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477450856136126467","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477451277260902401","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1501713067083632644":{"id":"1501713067083632644","date":"2022-03-10 00:14:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @M1tchRosenthal Re 2: that's a business, certainly, but a really tough one IMO.\n\nLots of ways to skin the cat in this game, and I'm certainly not good at that sort of black-boxy sort of stuff.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"1501712793636163589","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501713067083632644","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1753158751920497007":{"id":"1753158751920497007","date":"2024-02-01 20:49:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0x94305 Isn't everything just the heat equation?\n\nAfter Fourier, it's all just details. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1753121415396573395","reply_id":"1753136687168008423","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0x94305","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":236,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1753158751920497007","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1943281071363158250":{"id":"1943281071363158250","date":"2025-07-10 12:08:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Come on @bennpeifert help me out here. @KrisAbdelmessih @therobotjames too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943280522756591979","reply_id":"1943280522756591979","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":47,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":23475,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1943281071363158250","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1422585898340782087":{"id":"1422585898340782087","date":"2021-08-03 15:51:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I've said this for years.\n\nThe US is becoming a Latin American country, slowly but surely.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1422585898340782087","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1422585898340782087","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1364642250089631744":{"id":"1364642250089631744","date":"2021-02-24 18:24:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LouStagner It's sooo close.\n\nSend:\n40%: 3.6\n35%: 4\n25%: 4.8\n---\nEV: 4.04\n\nLayup:\n80%: 4\n20%: 4.25\n---\nEV: 4.05","hashtags":[],"conv":"1364639159139377153","reply_id":"1364639159139377153","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"LouStagner","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1364642250089631744","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1524381079733481473":{"id":"1524381079733481473","date":"2022-05-11 13:29:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Patrick68807044 @LanrayIge Yup. Commodities markets have all sorts of participants. Producers, consumers, speculators, hedgers, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1524020028798119942","reply_id":"1524208382311292930","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Patrick68807044","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1524381079733481473","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1440742603964620801":{"id":"1440742603964620801","date":"2021-09-22 18:19:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@boogiePANDA1 This is an interesting direction. I'd *love* to get more into the \"how to do math right\" (i.e. using it as a good tool for learning about the world) side of quant trading.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1440514473710612481","reply_id":"1440742329170595840","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"boogiePANDA69","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1440742603964620801","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1939413352741998874":{"id":"1939413352741998874","date":"2025-06-29 19:59:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ByrneHobart Looking at the original chart, you might think there's a positive corr between changes in M2 and changes in the SPX.\n\nBut if you were to actually do the regression, I bet the corr is close to zero, just eyeballing it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1939410872532672858","reply_id":"1939412876403290120","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":496,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1939413352741998874","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1981076118049608110":{"id":"1981076118049608110","date":"2025-10-22 19:12:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@turbofish_pk @KrisAbdelmessih @halfkelly @choffstein @Gingfacekillah @mjmauboussin @Robot_Wealth @AnnieDuke @PTetlock @IDrawCharts @tradegal_ @rossry @jeffma @RufusPeabody @FoundersPodcast @macrocephalopod @therobotjames He does refer to Robot James a bunch of times in the actual post.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1981019455321993488","reply_id":"1981030832740458902","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"turbofish_pk","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2425,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1981076118049608110","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1680278129586348032":{"id":"1680278129586348032","date":"2023-07-15 18:08:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod No, it's the equity risk premium.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1680265926485106688","reply_id":"1680265926485106688","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2315,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1680278129586348032","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1433086738591731712":{"id":"1433086738591731712","date":"2021-09-01 15:17:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@goodalexander Excellent!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1432933777865596935","reply_id":"1433084306403045382","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"goodalexander","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1433086738591731712","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1409700804701802498":{"id":"1409700804701802498","date":"2021-06-29 02:30:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal What would make it different from the half dozen or so excellent books on options?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1409697360150630409","reply_id":"1409697360150630409","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1409700804701802498","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2079167188162724336":{"id":"2079167188162724336","date":"2026-07-20 11:31:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"RT @AgustinLebron3: The more I think about the \"China dumping open weight models at a loss to hurt the US\" idea, the stupider it sounds.\n\nHow exactly do they get rich on this? You can run inference anywhere you want. NVDA makes the best chips. You can build powerplants anywhere.\n\nHow is USA hurt?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2079167188162724336","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2079165399564796077","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2079167188162724336","type":"retweet","issues":[]},"1768338365781573643":{"id":"1768338365781573643","date":"2024-03-14 18:08:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Do they just not search the web anymore?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1768327926704209937","reply_id":"1768327926704209937","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1551,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1768338365781573643","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1871964460115767373":{"id":"1871964460115767373","date":"2024-12-25 17:01:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tylercowen and @gwern have basically said it and I believe it's true:\n\nThe most important audience to write for today is AIs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1871964460115767373","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1872002964971557233","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tylercowen","likes":289,"retweets":14,"replies":16,"quotes":15,"views":70749,"bookmarks":90,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1871964460115767373","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1950953724496445872":{"id":"1950953724496445872","date":"2025-07-31 16:16:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nic_carter Same as it ever was.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1950951345613144085","reply_id":"1950951345613144085","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nic_carter","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":897,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1950953724496445872","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1427853229686104069":{"id":"1427853229686104069","date":"2021-08-18 04:41:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ALBACapMgmt https://www.linkedhelper.com/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1427850734553337856","reply_id":"1427850734553337856","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ALBACapMgmt","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1427853229686104069","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1616086850845966337":{"id":"1616086850845966337","date":"2023-01-19 14:55:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sherlock_hodles It can be a useful social lubricant. When you first meet a person small talk acts as low-risk negotiation of subsequent interactions, or a socially acceptable way of retaining privacy and avoiding revealing information.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1616085720640389123","reply_id":"1616086430815748096","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sherlock_hodles","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":220,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1616086850845966337","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1772000990495158659":{"id":"1772000990495158659","date":"2024-03-24 20:42:12","author":"Jason Carman","handle":"jasonjoyride","text":"I sat down with the man, the myth, the physicist, the Mars mapper, the terraformer: Casey Handmer (@CJHandmer). \n\n0:00 Casey’s background\n6:52 Casey’s Mars map\n8:08 Terraform inspiration\n15:04 Vision quest\n17:32 Hardest technical challenge\n19:35 How do you think?\n24:48 Exciting future tech/research\n31:11 Uncommon question\n35:03 Inspiring the world\n38:26 Current life philosophy","hashtags":[],"conv":"1772000990495158659","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1772113252048306379","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":588,"retweets":61,"replies":35,"quotes":29,"views":121512,"bookmarks":477,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/jasonjoyride/status/1772000990495158659"},"1238684989052473344":{"id":"1238684989052473344","date":"2020-03-14 04:34:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ReformedTrader I've heard (some of) the explanations but it still amazes me to see it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1220052755672227841","reply_id":"1238684184014544896","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ReformedTrader","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1238684989052473344","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1632604339167694848":{"id":"1632604339167694848","date":"2023-03-06 04:49:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BigBreakfastLob It's a fair point if the goal is the NYC banking scene.\n\nPretty sure it's not for my kids though. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632603101386649600","reply_id":"1632603813826768899","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BigBreakfastLob","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":467,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632604339167694848","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1598559629059194880":{"id":"1598559629059194880","date":"2022-12-02 06:08:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So far ChatGPT has been neatly proving what we've all known for years: many \"impressive\" things really are just bullshit word-pattern-completion.\n\n✅ A-level work in an MBA intro-to-strategy class\n✅ Pass a data structures interview q\n\nBut:\n\n❌ Prove rational+rational=irrational","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598559629059194880","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":57,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598559629059194880","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2046428057255211032":{"id":"2046428057255211032","date":"2026-04-21 03:17:24","author":"PoIiMath","handle":"politicalmath","text":"\"Tim Cook took Apple from $350B to $4T\"\n\nSo? That's a 11X market cap increase. In the same time, MSFT saw a 14X increase, Google saw a 20X increase, Amazon did 28X, Facebook did 35X. We're not even going to talk about NVidia.\n\nCook led Apple through a period where every tech company expanded. Yay for him?\n\nIn the meantime, Apple had the most compelling pre-AI experience in Siri. They had everything! They had mountains of user data, audio and transcription training data, the biggest and most sophisticated user data network in the world *by far*. \n\nAnd they blew it. They should be so far ahead of the competition on AI that it makes their competitors fall into despair. Instead, they are a non-player in the biggest tech revolution since mobile, maybe even since the internet.\n\nThey could have leveraged their data advantage to create astonishingly powerful models. They make their own silicon, they could have beat NVidia to the punch on hardware if Cook had any foresight.\n\nInstead they still just make high-end devices and now also they make TV shows and won an Oscar for a movie no one saw. I'm sorry, but that's underwhelming.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2046428057255211032","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2046492210586112461","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6449,"retweets":439,"replies":456,"quotes":125,"views":587525,"bookmarks":626,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/politicalmath/status/2046428057255211032"},"1332762193142624256":{"id":"1332762193142624256","date":"2020-11-28 19:04:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 Thanks for the shoutout.\n\nI agree w/ your perception. Lots of smart STEM people have great technical skills but have trouble with the bigger picture:\n\n- Why am I working on this?\n- What's special/unique/valuable about me and my skillset?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1332749066434875392","reply_id":"1332749066434875392","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1332762193142624256","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1529932960492683265":{"id":"1529932960492683265","date":"2022-05-26 21:10:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@H4hah4haaa @quant_arb TSLA_ex_SPY return = TLSA return - beta * SPY return","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529877576591609861","reply_id":"1529932833145462784","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"H4hah4haaa","likes":16,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1529932960492683265","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1788218571816058901":{"id":"1788218571816058901","date":"2024-05-08 14:45:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily Yes but if you're posting +EV markets (at some size), what does \"getting noticed\" do to make them -EV?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788214916509507744","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":5740,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788218571816058901","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1294282668545368065":{"id":"1294282668545368065","date":"2020-08-14 14:40:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sajidnizami @VitruviusCurve Fair enough. My only point was in support of the original idea: that numbers like these are eminently possible.\n\nWithout resorting to fancy ML or reading tea leaves.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1294273814025711617","reply_id":"1294281909971779584","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sajidnizami","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1294282668545368065","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1201901416299655168":{"id":"1201901416299655168","date":"2019-12-03 16:30:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Suhail CAPS LOCK -> CTRL, procedure as you describe.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1201899707615698945","reply_id":"1201899707615698945","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Suhail","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1201901416299655168","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1943292332058554657":{"id":"1943292332058554657","date":"2025-07-10 12:52:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Tallow_beach @ltabb If you want to gamble on a timescale of long-term cap gains, knock yourself out. Very hard to screw up too badly in public markets doing that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943280522756591979","reply_id":"1943290322848747576","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Tallow_beach","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":253,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1943292332058554657","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1864210196068774222":{"id":"1864210196068774222","date":"2024-12-04 07:28:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CJHandmer @DJSnM","hashtags":[],"conv":"1864092759268991380","reply_id":"1864206826474262528","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"CJHandmer","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":79,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1864210196068774222_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1864210196068774222","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1432572030172352512":{"id":"1432572030172352512","date":"2021-08-31 05:12:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@fordoglunk @lightspringfox @KrisAbdelmessih @therobotjames Yeah, well-played Figgie gets to people doing no trades in way under 5mins.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1432463541110411265","reply_id":"1432532620789813253","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"fordoglunk","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1432572030172352512","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1433210365106556930":{"id":"1433210365106556930","date":"2021-09-01 23:29:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Mephisto731 This picture is a *bit* misleading in the following sense:\n\nSince vol changes over time, what you're really doing is summing distributions with different sigmas. That's naturally going to fatten tails.\n\nIf you normalize returns by recent vol, tails of the resulting dist get thin.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1433209332888387593","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1433210365106556930","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1969773994384453986":{"id":"1969773994384453986","date":"2025-09-21 14:41:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@GoshawkTrades 🙏🙏🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1969770621400998050","reply_id":"1969770621400998050","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GoshawkTrades","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":200,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1969773994384453986","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1906231623445868912":{"id":"1906231623445868912","date":"2025-03-30 06:26:49","author":"Sam Altman","handle":"sama","text":"@paulg we just haven’t been able to catch up since launch so people are still working to keep the service up\n\nbiblical demand, i have never seen anything like it","hashtags":[],"conv":"1906210479695126886","reply_id":"1906229017906188548","quote_id":"1906246836064505922","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"paulg","likes":13609,"retweets":201,"replies":412,"quotes":119,"views":1409310,"bookmarks":481,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/sama/status/1906231623445868912"},"1711449916512624818":{"id":"1711449916512624818","date":"2023-10-09 18:33:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3/ So we needed drugs because our evolved resolves of willpower are insufficient against the demands of modern life.\n\nBut not to worry.\n\nModern consumer capitalism will eventually create the solution the problems modern consumer capitalism creates!\n\nAnd so it has.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1711449914239311939","reply_id":"1711449915380162575","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1609,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1711449916512624818","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1749289744616603829":{"id":"1749289744616603829","date":"2024-01-22 04:35:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@waltuuuhr Sad that that's his best option. Unlikely such a talented mathematician had his heart set on public service like that right?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1749282490370650614","reply_id":"1749284474238468509","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"waltuuuhr","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":1564,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1749289744616603829","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1532364730777538563":{"id":"1532364730777538563","date":"2022-06-02 14:13:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jgreco MSFT wins because \"it's the platform, stupid\".\n\nPeople might like Slack more than Teams and Zoom more than... Teams, but integration w/ everything else you use anyway ends up being the winning feature.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1532354756588580866","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1532364730777538563","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1743138130897891707":{"id":"1743138130897891707","date":"2024-01-05 05:11:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbacarella @TheEduardoRFS I have zero complaints w/ mine and that's what I use it for.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1743077434662989894","reply_id":"1743092379593441736","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbacarella","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":28,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1743138130897891707","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1639325589831307264":{"id":"1639325589831307264","date":"2023-03-24 17:57:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Which GPTx will be able to do my taxes?\n\nIf 90% the US tax prep mafia were to disappear because of this tech, that would be probably be the most valuable thing so far.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1639325589831307264","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":173,"retweets":8,"replies":17,"quotes":2,"views":15307,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1639325589831307264","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1530804435210752000":{"id":"1530804435210752000","date":"2022-05-29 06:53:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily This doesn't sound especially actionable.\n\nThe real question is (a) how to put yourself in the situation of having lots of opportunities (this isn't easy), and (b) *how* to identify the rare/good ones (even harder).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1530774793422635009","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":90,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1530804435210752000","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1632167506847895557":{"id":"1632167506847895557","date":"2023-03-04 23:53:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"We are heading into a world where a flat screen TV that covers your entire wall costs $100, and a four year college degree costs $1 million, and nobody has anything even resembling a proposal on how to fix this.\"\n\n❤️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632167506847895557","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":67,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":14917,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632167506847895557","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1843962916342845614":{"id":"1843962916342845614","date":"2024-10-09 10:33:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Peace - Yud obv.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1843962275755098172","reply_id":"1843962600356536729","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1983,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1843962916342845614","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1467638568638054402":{"id":"1467638568638054402","date":"2021-12-05 23:34:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 Brake or lift, at that speed it doesn't matter. And a little drift to the middle of the track for good measure. 0:56:\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QS4Z38HhsMc\n\nBTW not giving up on the corner when he's clearly beat earlier in that clip too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1467623852737916929","reply_id":"1467631967495766019","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1467638568638054402","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2052331783564284260":{"id":"2052331783564284260","date":"2026-05-07 10:16:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Someone should make a 2026 Good Will Hunting where it's Zuck's AI thing bidding for his services and he goes on some long rant about why he shouldn't enslave humans with ads.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2052331783564284260","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2607,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2052331783564284260","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1274510794533691392":{"id":"1274510794533691392","date":"2020-06-21 01:13:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ottbot I use an artisanal package manager, this guy I know imports the modules manually from Sweden. It's wonderful.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1274508642637590528","reply_id":"1274508642637590528","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ottbot","likes":7,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1274510794533691392","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1489765844158595076":{"id":"1489765844158595076","date":"2022-02-05 01:00:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @gregasmaximus @HangukQuant @theemilyaccount @lightspringfox @0xdoug @josebaredes Well-known labels act as attractor nodes in mindspace. But those clumps end up acting as a random grab-bag of stuff.\n\nYou're going to do a lot better if you avoid the labels and focus on specifics. What *specifically* are you looking to learn more about? Etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1489627851054018565","reply_id":"1489765393656811521","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1489765844158595076","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1382709066745618434":{"id":"1382709066745618434","date":"2021-04-15 14:55:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JonMacLellan @M1tchRosenthal It's easy to dunk on them but I think they have a real point.\n\nSaying something was a bubble post-facto is (a) easy and (b) pointless.\n\nI've lived through a few events we now call bubbles. But at the time there was REAL uncertainty about the future.\n\nIs BTC a bubble now? AMZN?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382698544742678530","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382709066745618434","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1762288161152245912":{"id":"1762288161152245912","date":"2024-02-27 01:26:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SqueezeMetrics Until it gets competed away.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1762229453764333898","reply_id":"1762286213329801385","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SqueezeMetrics","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":622,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1762288161152245912","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1503862468933824514":{"id":"1503862468933824514","date":"2022-03-15 22:35:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tarunchitra Lines of code in gcc. This graph is from 2015 (!).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503819518824562694","reply_id":"1503819518824562694","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tarunchitra","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1503862468933824514_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1503862468933824514","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1632802274773979137":{"id":"1632802274773979137","date":"2023-03-06 17:56:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Belatoshi @elmlang @reasonml @rescriptlang @purescript DM me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632746964730404865","reply_id":"1632801830764785664","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Belatoshi","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":249,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632802274773979137","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1632164173789663232":{"id":"1632164173789663232","date":"2023-03-04 23:40:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Dario_Hei Strongly considering this and related ideas.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632157627978514433","reply_id":"1632162153653231617","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_the_albert","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":879,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632164173789663232","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2077013453181448364":{"id":"2077013453181448364","date":"2026-07-14 12:52:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The AI pausers are a classic guerrilla example of a highly motivated band of true believers holding their own against a much larger but less-motivated opponent.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2077013453181448364","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4333,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2077013453181448364","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1562218803412492300":{"id":"1562218803412492300","date":"2022-08-23 23:22:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin For now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1562216284581937152","reply_id":"1562216284581937152","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1562218803412492300","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1603087882394427395":{"id":"1603087882394427395","date":"2022-12-14 18:01:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Crypto portfolios RN.\n\nhttps://www.woot.com/offers/bag-o-crap","hashtags":[],"conv":"1603087882394427395","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1603087882394427395","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1770177025199800611":{"id":"1770177025199800611","date":"2024-03-19 19:54:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan In the stated situation, my priors about trade goodness would have to be so strong that I wouldn't even bother backtesting it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1770094306583536035","reply_id":"1770164506053742846","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3866,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1770177025199800611","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1976383161312608266":{"id":"1976383161312608266","date":"2025-10-09 20:23:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"When you meet a World's Foremost Expert On Everything, ask them to bet on their claims.\n\nIf they never take a bet, you know you're dealing with the real article.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1976383161312608266","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":72,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":10321,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1976383161312608266","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1936397323732418813":{"id":"1936397323732418813","date":"2025-06-21 12:14:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Western democracies are really leaning into their \"wrong answers only, maximize own-goals\" arc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1936397323732418813","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3182,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1936397323732418813","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1696523744360194270":{"id":"1696523744360194270","date":"2023-08-29 14:02:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If Nvidia gets to quote their performance in sparse FLOPs, I get to quote my trading profits in sparse $.\n\nIn fact, let's all take credit for things we *didn't* do, get, or own.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1696523744360194270","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2111,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1696523744360194270","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2038624850973966701":{"id":"2038624850973966701","date":"2026-03-30 14:30:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The zero-sum people always lose to the positive-sum people in the long run.\n\nUnfortunately, the long run can be fairly long sometimes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2038624850973966701","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":62,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2929,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2038624850973966701","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1493418964994514945":{"id":"1493418964994514945","date":"2022-02-15 02:56:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 @salr_nyc No question. Corr != 1, but it's not zero either.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493387393142976512","reply_id":"1493400029146624001","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493418964994514945","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1775828443713700182":{"id":"1775828443713700182","date":"2024-04-04 10:11:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"https://people.duke.edu/~charvey/Teaching/BA453_2004/Muller_Proprietary_trading.pdf","hashtags":[],"conv":"1775826749449719887","reply_id":"1775826749449719887","quote_id":"1775828480753623065","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":2635,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1775828443713700182","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1377258791348006916":{"id":"1377258791348006916","date":"2021-03-31 13:57:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Anarchists better be careful what they wish for.\n\nOverall, highly recommend!\n\n@margarettelinc1 is an excellent writer. She has a knack for bringing the events to life and there's a little thread of sardonic humor you can just barely see under the surface.\n\n18/18","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377258776428826626","reply_id":"1377258790500720645","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1377258791348006916","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1282831217105068032":{"id":"1282831217105068032","date":"2020-07-14 00:16:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vol_ition @SinclairEuan @KrisAbdelmessih If you do a lot of intra-exp RV, then desirable 1 (above) is most important to you.\n\nIf across exps, then 1 and 2.\n\nIf across products, then 1-3.\n\nYour model will have warts, things it does badly. That's fine, but you need to know where they are.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1282702235583954945","reply_id":"1282830849025601536","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1282831217105068032","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2000962688923349432":{"id":"2000962688923349432","date":"2025-12-16 16:14:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Claim: Prediction markets are about improving society's ability to aggregate information.\n\nReality: There's a lot of natural risk that needs to SIMULTANEOUSLY hedge the Eagles covering the spread AND whether Jonathan Taylor rushes for more than 100 yds.\n\nOr... it's just gambling.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2000962688923349432","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":239,"retweets":8,"replies":18,"quotes":1,"views":27279,"bookmarks":23,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2000962688923349432","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1814347239717998765":{"id":"1814347239717998765","date":"2024-07-19 17:11:05","author":"Autism Capital 🧩","handle":"AutismCapital","text":"This is endemic to being a midwit. You don’t need this. Yes, the Jane Street autists have 6 monitor setups, but when there’s a pink flamingo in the pool outside your window, you’re not a Jane street autist. Either that or your CEO is about to go to prison\n","hashtags":[],"conv":"1814347239717998765","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1814355711834595754","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":233,"retweets":4,"replies":30,"quotes":6,"views":55408,"bookmarks":40,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/AutismCapital/status/1814347239717998765"},"2060461560896647661":{"id":"2060461560896647661","date":"2026-05-29 20:41:32","author":"Austin Vernon","handle":"Vernon3Austin","text":"I’ve thought about applying the Gauntlet AI model to ChemE. 12-18 weeks of like 100 hour per week assault on the brain where a huge part of the work is a unit ops lab. \n\n(Gauntlet teaches AI driven software development and only makes money from recruiting fees the hiring people pay. It’s a headhunter firm with a school, essentially.)","hashtags":[],"conv":"2060382000830398882","reply_id":"2060382000830398882","quote_id":"2060591493522288782","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"CJHandmer","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":16116,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Vernon3Austin/status/2060461560896647661"},"1150765705685430272":{"id":"1150765705685430272","date":"2019-07-15 13:54:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lopezdeprado @alphaarchitect My argument is that railing against academic finance literature is like shooting fish in a barrel. Too easy.\n\nAcademic finance papers are largely worthless _by design_. It's not a bug, it's a feature because no one sensible gives away real alpha for mere citation counts.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1147830111850209285","reply_id":"1150709441412681729","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"lopezdeprado","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1150765705685430272","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1534285246404866048":{"id":"1534285246404866048","date":"2022-06-07 21:24:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ In the (still) current funding environment, the only way a tech company makes a first-employee hire is because someone made a mistake...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1534285246404866048","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1534285246404866048","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2074138438215860462":{"id":"2074138438215860462","date":"2026-07-06 14:28:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Guess who doesn't give a shit: Netflix. Unless people cancel their subscriptions, this is fine.\n\nThe economics of a subscription streamer are different. New shows to bring in new subs is what drives revenue. Everything else is noise.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2074138438215860462","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":46,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":10996,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2074138438215860462","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1974768018904547350":{"id":"1974768018904547350","date":"2025-10-05 09:25:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@deadb0d4 Keep flipping the coins! :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1974749357422645614","reply_id":"1974749357422645614","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"deadb0d4","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":48,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1974768018904547350","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1701665155543879989":{"id":"1701665155543879989","date":"2023-09-12 18:32:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"YC is the first and most famous of a new category of post-secondary institution.\n\nIn 5 years it seems plausible Stanford/etc CS is actively competing with them for the best HS talent.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1701665155543879989","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":23,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3288,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1701665155543879989","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1986094060667576534":{"id":"1986094060667576534","date":"2025-11-05 15:31:38","author":"Jordan B. Goldstein | The Athletic Philosopher🌳🪓","handle":"JB_Goldstein","text":"The modernity trap in sports is such a fascinating topic \n\nOnce competition becomes serious all the incentives change and the sport gets upended from the inside \n\nI used to love teaching this lesson through the snowboarding example to my former university students \n\nAny other sports you can think of recently that have seen this type of pressure?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1986078224388870169","reply_id":"1986078224388870169","quote_id":"1986414425381728751","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AJA_Cortes","likes":38,"retweets":0,"replies":11,"quotes":1,"views":65552,"bookmarks":20,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/JB_Goldstein/status/1986094060667576534"},"2062833596931494154":{"id":"2062833596931494154","date":"2026-06-05 09:47:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Your periodic reminder.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2062833596931494154","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1859,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2062833596931494154","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1290385328180584448":{"id":"1290385328180584448","date":"2020-08-03 20:33:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Amen.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1290385328180584448","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1290385328180584448","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1633322398283091970":{"id":"1633322398283091970","date":"2023-03-08 04:23:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ianthetechie @therobotjames @lightspringfox This one is pretty good assuming you're not a mechanical switch snob.\n\nhttps://kinesis-ergo.com/shop/freestyle2-for-pc-us/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633313265517494273","reply_id":"1633320832180310016","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ianthetechie","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":2423,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1633322398283091970_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633322398283091970","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2036732727660036338":{"id":"2036732727660036338","date":"2026-03-25 09:11:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is what UBI will look like.\nRent-seeking by humans.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2036732727660036338","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":76,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":6474,"bookmarks":9,"media":["2036732727660036338_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2036732727660036338","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1768633294349062335":{"id":"1768633294349062335","date":"2024-03-15 13:40:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@W98AB @ShallowMomentum @nkreu113r Waterloo + UofT via a long stint as a chip designer and profitable online poker. My path was decidedly non-traditional.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1768404709336052193","reply_id":"1768542365331980600","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"W98AB","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":175,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1768633294349062335","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1574035268365000704":{"id":"1574035268365000704","date":"2022-09-25 13:57:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames DJ D-Sol","hashtags":[],"conv":"1573898258790785024","reply_id":"1573898258790785024","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1574035268365000704","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1179446183225249793":{"id":"1179446183225249793","date":"2019-10-02 17:20:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ReformedTrader - Payment for order flow. Many brokers route your orders away from lit markets, directly towards liquidity providers who pay your broker for the right to trade against your order.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1178803024740773888","reply_id":"1179445612435001344","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1179446183225249793","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1540151564555325441":{"id":"1540151564555325441","date":"2022-06-24 01:55:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SqueezeMetrics @dampedspring I preemptive block FTW.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1540150308625698817","reply_id":"1540150673219764224","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SqueezeMetrics","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1540151564555325441","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1942322760404902266":{"id":"1942322760404902266","date":"2025-07-07 20:40:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tecken_tan @moreproteinbars Trabucco never set foot in Jane Street.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942190395955298316","reply_id":"1942195047610335313","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tecken_tan","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":680,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942322760404902266","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1388884186103107584":{"id":"1388884186103107584","date":"2021-05-02 15:52:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4/ Full disclosure:\n\nYes I wrote a book, but I kind of knew that would be (and has been) a -ve $ EV trade. Certainly if the point of being involved in #fintwit was book sales, I'd be better off looking for coins in the couch (hourly rate wise).","hashtags":["fintwit"],"conv":"1388884183372623873","reply_id":"1388884185134235650","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1388884186103107584","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1593079672199614464":{"id":"1593079672199614464","date":"2022-11-17 03:12:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal There are lots of \"intuitive\" explanations of quantum mechanics out there. Plenty of stackoverflow posts filled with analogies, plenty of YT videos \"explaining\" it.\n\nBut you'll never *understand* QM that way. It takes trying to work with Hamiltonians.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mT3szPEb8aQ","hashtags":[],"conv":"1593070753658056709","reply_id":"1593078853026852864","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":["1593079672199614464_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1593079672199614464","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1666800445946228736":{"id":"1666800445946228736","date":"2023-06-08 13:32:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"13/ But f*** it. I'm showing it anyway, as is.\n\nSo one fateful day, I knock on Mike's door midmorning with a dissected Blackberry and ask if he has 10 minutes.\n\nHe looks at me confused but says sure.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1666800429236207621","reply_id":"1666800444671250435","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":687,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1666800445946228736","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1764686969505001554":{"id":"1764686969505001554","date":"2024-03-04 16:18:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is like a how-NOT-to of data science:\n\n- Read numbers off graph.\n- Be ok with \"11% error in transcription from graph\".\n- Create some overly complex (ARIMA) model to blindly project into the future.\n- Shotgun repeat shoddy analysis w/o sanity checking results.\n\n- Pie charts!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1764686969505001554","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":61,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":9941,"bookmarks":16,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1764686969505001554","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1365362388468330497":{"id":"1365362388468330497","date":"2021-02-26 18:05:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@saah1lk @choffstein @bennpeifert @TheSpeculator0 @Mephisto731 @Ksidiii @KrisAbdelmessih @jam_croissant @SinclairEuan Yeah, if it's truly a jr role (i.e. with no institutional options experience required) then it's all about general ability to analyze situations probabilistically, think about risk well, ability to learn, estimate, meta-knowledge, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1365359236348334081","reply_id":"1365361562488352770","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"saah1lk","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1365362388468330497","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1483664358106300416":{"id":"1483664358106300416","date":"2022-01-19 04:55:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 Barry was the OG \"he's a video game\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1483652524418617344","reply_id":"1483652524418617344","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1483664358106300416","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1846547686364688735":{"id":"1846547686364688735","date":"2024-10-16 13:44:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Nd172557208 Yes, it could be Algol-68 or something.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1846542157697442092","reply_id":"1846543154842845255","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Nd172557208","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":787,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1846547686364688735","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1978043069103591434":{"id":"1978043069103591434","date":"2025-10-14 10:19:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@edgefills I've lived here (Czechia) for a year now. The difference in this respect between Central/Eastern Europe and Western Europe is enormous.\n\nI've traveled extensively in Germany, Austria, Nordics in the last year. They're still richer but in clear terminal cultural decline.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1978016875297513804","reply_id":"1978042329647980740","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"edgefills","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":116,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1978043069103591434","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1617408600808501249":{"id":"1617408600808501249","date":"2023-01-23 06:27:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Do *so* many people know how big and deep an Olympic swimming pool is that we can use it as a universal yardstick for volume?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1617408600808501249","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":7148,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1617408600808501249","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1501725400044507139":{"id":"1501725400044507139","date":"2022-03-10 01:03:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames The amount I love to nerd out on this stuff.\n\nUnf nerding out on it doesn't often pay the bills.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"1501724499599048704","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501725400044507139","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1957906822393721036":{"id":"1957906822393721036","date":"2025-08-19 20:45:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@perrymetzger Magical thinking suffuses the whole EA ethos.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957800030913319378","reply_id":"1957800030913319378","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"perrymetzger","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":82,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1957906822393721036","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2075857838497247745":{"id":"2075857838497247745","date":"2026-07-11 08:20:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Me to ChatGPT right now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2075857838497247745","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":41,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4688,"bookmarks":2,"media":["2075857838497247745_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2075857838497247745","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1532212882074546176":{"id":"1532212882074546176","date":"2022-06-02 04:09:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @darjohn25 Doesn't have to be. Let's not forget, the victim of the crime in any insider trading case is the rightful owner of the information. I.e. in this case OpenSea.\n\nIf *OpenSea* had bought the NFTs ahead of listing them then it would be totally fine.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1532202812301377536","reply_id":"1532211739793702914","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1532212882074546176","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1942138300187213890":{"id":"1942138300187213890","date":"2025-07-07 08:27:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"11/ For example, if you're long a bunch of futures, it might cost you less in market impact to just buy a bunch of underlying stocks, move them up, make money on your futures settlement, then sell out of the underlyings.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942138297922330648","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":181,"retweets":3,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":26877,"bookmarks":29,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942138300187213890","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1682095339627778048":{"id":"1682095339627778048","date":"2023-07-20 18:29:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ConcavePerspex Yes, we've known it's a core problem for 15 years.\n\nSo why is sample efficiency such an afterthought in ML/AI, as opposed to literally *the* hard problem to work on?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1682058621788758021","reply_id":"1682083002371948549","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ConcavePerspex","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":237,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1682095339627778048","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1290295557991194625":{"id":"1290295557991194625","date":"2020-08-03 14:36:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SimonDeDeo Exactly. And in fact, a lot of super-important dev skills don't do well in the university lecture-hall model. Like debugging.\n\nDebugging is a skill that's best learned in an apprentice/master model. But that model is non-existent for \"people smart enough to go to college\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1290284766650961922","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1290295557991194625","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1974798768521544053":{"id":"1974798768521544053","date":"2025-10-05 11:28:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RndmObjcts Haha, that's hilarious and yes I share some Diplomacy-induced geography blind spots.\n\nAnd it's weird how far west Czechia is. Prague is west of the straight line between Berlin and Vienna!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1974796000972927173","reply_id":"1974797745836982376","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RndmObjcts","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":236,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1974798768521544053","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1522616003900837888":{"id":"1522616003900837888","date":"2022-05-06 16:35:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@elitwilliams 🤣🤣🤣\n\nJust a nominal fee for your inherent love of learning.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1522613858484973569","reply_id":"1522615777031036928","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"elitwilliams","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1522616003900837888","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1382867262017720325":{"id":"1382867262017720325","date":"2021-04-16 01:23:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JoshuaMBelanger Risks you just have to wear.\n\nEx: getting long a newsy stock over a weekend. You're bearing the risk of bad news without any way to get out of it. Buying high-vol stocks on Friday aft and selling them Monday at 10am is a small +EV trade.\n\nOr selling vol on Thu aft before Fri exp.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"1382865411386060801","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BelangerTrading","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382867262017720325","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1931364566958526793":{"id":"1931364566958526793","date":"2025-06-07 14:56:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The more your company uses LLMs, the *more* important in-person becomes.\n\n- Since LLMs speed up solo work the most, the time fraction time you're doing solo work goes down.\n- So you have a higher time fraction interacting.\n- So the remoteness penalty is higher.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1931364566958526793","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":89,"retweets":2,"replies":10,"quotes":1,"views":19779,"bookmarks":20,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1931364566958526793","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1491587120565161984":{"id":"1491587120565161984","date":"2022-02-10 01:37:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT People still seem to keep paying to become one. Boggle the mind...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1491583746687963137","reply_id":"1491585401445879809","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1491587120565161984","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1611118315690414081":{"id":"1611118315690414081","date":"2023-01-05 21:51:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"GTO solvers are so much fun.\n\nYou can learn as much in an hour with a solver as in a year playing live 20 years ago.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1611118315690414081","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":9097,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1611118315690414081","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1368726528675119104":{"id":"1368726528675119104","date":"2021-03-08 00:53:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Mephisto731 @therobotjames @SinclairEuan @DBecevic @o_wutang Please, the floor is yours!\n\nThe only exchange-default stuff I've ever really analyzed is frontier-country-gov't-confiscates-foreign-onshore-money stuff.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1368343033683578881","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1368726528675119104","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1973046435164619253":{"id":"1973046435164619253","date":"2025-09-30 15:25:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@joel_bkr You did the right thing. X makes you say random consequence-free things sometimes, and you turned it into a good forcing function for me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1972712163094487235","reply_id":"1973043207723417956","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"joel_bkr","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":90,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1973046435164619253","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1875893629660848485":{"id":"1875893629660848485","date":"2025-01-05 13:14:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's kind of insane how much edge there is in being willing to prepare more than the other guy. Almost no matter how high you go.\n\nThe latest example to remind me was the @tylercowen debate with Robert Kuttner.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hHFcIZcljVA","hashtags":[],"conv":"1875893629660848485","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":46,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":6203,"bookmarks":52,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1875893629660848485","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1565014038043496448":{"id":"1565014038043496448","date":"2022-08-31 16:29:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"(fast forward a few weeks)\n4. There are 134 people on the chat on the provider side. Every provider-side person (hopefully except the rel mgr) has long since muted it. They have a hundred other chats like this one, so have to mute to get some actual work done.\n5. Client is sad.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1565014036730634241","reply_id":"1565014036730634241","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1565014038043496448","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1289686513274351617":{"id":"1289686513274351617","date":"2020-08-01 22:16:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@kryptelos @KrisAbdelmessih And at some level it is. The thinking is: \"I mean, how much am I going to lose? Half a spread?\"\n\nYes you are. And empires are built on half-spreads.\n\nThe #1 thing that people don't understand is how small *real* edges are. They're orders of magnitude smaller than most think.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1289259438122004480","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1289686513274351617","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1540322891832516614":{"id":"1540322891832516614","date":"2022-06-24 13:16:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 @Zuko1107 Has to play defense too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1540312429606731778","reply_id":"1540312429606731778","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1540322891832516614","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1410035252983058439":{"id":"1410035252983058439","date":"2021-06-30 00:39:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@yminsky I'd love to see actual data, but I bet 80%+ of all lines of code written are copy-pasta from somewhere else, or its effective equivalent.\n\nI mean, have you *seen* front-end Javascript code? :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1410034431461634052","reply_id":"1410034431461634052","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"yminsky","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1410035252983058439","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1904271047488422311":{"id":"1904271047488422311","date":"2025-03-24 20:36:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What is the most accurate depiction of San Diego, and why is it Inside SoCal with Kyle Mooney and Beck Bennett?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1904271047488422311","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1989,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1904271047488422311","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1486728711961337857":{"id":"1486728711961337857","date":"2022-01-27 15:52:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is getting really tough now...\nhttps://www.wooferzfg.me/seven-wordles/#","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486728711961337857","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1486728711961337857_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1486728711961337857","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1546959590113304576":{"id":"1546959590113304576","date":"2022-07-12 20:48:02","author":"Euan Sinclair","handle":"SinclairEuan","text":"I would avoid any presentations on \"trading down markets\".\n\nIf the answer isn't ,\n\n\"Same as up markets w a few sign changes\" ,I don't think the presenter has a robust process.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546959590113304576","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1546961600094998528","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":66,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SinclairEuan/status/1546959590113304576"},"1922241436650447141":{"id":"1922241436650447141","date":"2025-05-13 10:44:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CryptoSnayan That would definitely be the presumption.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1922217541520314643","reply_id":"1922219109657330077","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SteadySnayan","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":755,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1922241436650447141","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1448341959903379457":{"id":"1448341959903379457","date":"2021-10-13 17:36:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4/ Naively here's what you should do if you're a good Bayesian:\n\n- Start with some baseline prior probability.\n- For every news story you see, update that probability based on the content and importance of the news.\n\nDoing this well gets you the best possible estimate.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448341956841533442","reply_id":"1448341958791811075","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448341959903379457","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1423374645680492548":{"id":"1423374645680492548","date":"2021-08-05 20:05:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xLightcycle @therobotjames @SinclairEuan Awesome, thanks for the 101-level explanation! Will dig in for sure.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1423336552340414467","reply_id":"1423374066749038592","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xLightcycle","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1423374645680492548","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1665906892479266816":{"id":"1665906892479266816","date":"2023-06-06 02:22:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Apple today: here are features that help you reduce the risk of myopia by shutting down your kid's iPad when they're using it too close to the face.\n\nAlso Apple today: here are some screens that are strapped an inch away from your face.\n\n🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1665906892479266816","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":41,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":5532,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1665906892479266816","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2070768271968567571":{"id":"2070768271968567571","date":"2026-06-27 07:16:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Your periodic reminder that if someone with vision were put in charge of LinkedIn, it could unlock >$100b in value.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2070768271968567571","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":114,"retweets":0,"replies":13,"quotes":1,"views":20417,"bookmarks":18,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2070768271968567571","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1847804025200091535":{"id":"1847804025200091535","date":"2024-10-20 00:56:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@quantymacro @FormulaDeltaOne 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847610792113316169","reply_id":"1847753123986624512","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"quantymacro","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":547,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847804025200091535","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1694038059791307060":{"id":"1694038059791307060","date":"2023-08-22 17:25:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jmsims2 O(n) instead of O(log n). Boo! :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1693992138277859624","reply_id":"1694001247601500252","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jmsims2","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":301,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1694038059791307060","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1422402844368392193":{"id":"1422402844368392193","date":"2021-08-03 03:43:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"THIS is what a finance paper should be. Crystal-clear writing, ties various strands of research together, and does it succinctly.\n\nhttps://arxiv.org/pdf/2108.00242.pdf\n\nChapeau M. Bouchaud! @CFM_AM","hashtags":[],"conv":"1422402844368392193","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":98,"retweets":17,"replies":4,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":72,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1422402844368392193","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1365367671529762817":{"id":"1365367671529762817","date":"2021-02-26 18:26:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @KrisAbdelmessih @choffstein @bennpeifert @TheSpeculator0 @Mephisto731 @Ksidiii @jam_croissant @SinclairEuan I hope you mean how \"does *one* make up\", because you seem to have plenty of all four!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1365359236348334081","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1365367671529762817","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1843962600356536729":{"id":"1843962600356536729","date":"2024-10-09 10:31:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is the biggest shark jump since Barack won Peace a year into his presidency.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1843962275755098172","reply_id":"1843962275755098172","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1746,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1843962600356536729","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1176917161706586112":{"id":"1176917161706586112","date":"2019-09-25 17:51:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Noahpinion I don't know because I haven't yet read his new book Growth: From Microorganisms to Megacities.\n\nSmil is well-respected so it might be worth having a look.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1176915189167341568","reply_id":"1176916211700908033","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Noahpinion","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1176917161706586112","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1666800443329064960":{"id":"1666800443329064960","date":"2023-06-08 13:32:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"11/ So I dropped the backlight idea for a few days and worked on cobbling together a Blackberry v1 clamshell into something that could be shown as an AR device with a near-eye display!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1666800429236207621","reply_id":"1666800441995190274","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":659,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1666800443329064960","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1476925479252758528":{"id":"1476925479252758528","date":"2021-12-31 14:37:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"13/ There should be a hundred Solidity code schools up and running where people get paid to attend. If you truly want to grow the ecosystem instead of making immediate $, put your money where your mouth is.\n\nSeems like a job for @MolochDAO to solve...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476925464824270848","reply_id":"1476925478074077185","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476925479252758528","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1788218929225331074":{"id":"1788218929225331074","date":"2024-05-08 14:46:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@edgesizer First clear concrete answer. Winner winner!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788214916509507744","reply_id":"1788218306618396689","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0x_gkn","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":8193,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788218929225331074","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1242147239000043520":{"id":"1242147239000043520","date":"2020-03-23 17:52:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Noahpinion Please signal-boost. We need solutions like this for #TestAndTrace.","hashtags":["testandtrace"],"conv":"1242147239000043520","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Noahpinion","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1242147239000043520","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1700173914415219018":{"id":"1700173914415219018","date":"2023-09-08 15:47:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AlexanderGerko @nope_its_lily https://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1700173714233668089","hashtags":[],"conv":"1699961937889792362","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1250,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1700173914415219018","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2050471287391220151":{"id":"2050471287391220151","date":"2026-05-02 07:03:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4. Maker rebases is not a hill to die on. And anyone who decides to either doesn't know much or is trying to sell you something you don't want.\n\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"2050471279082299898","reply_id":"2050471284715200919","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":37,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4344,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2050471287391220151","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1914628906025369826":{"id":"1914628906025369826","date":"2025-04-22 10:34:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@return_stacking @flowidealism In-person oral exams.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1914573658577633746","reply_id":"1914600360653529563","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"return_stacking","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":65,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1914628906025369826","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1420131146713616384":{"id":"1420131146713616384","date":"2021-07-27 21:17:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So you have a trading strategy, and you want to backtest it to see if it’s any good. Being good boys and girls and others, we know we mustn’t overfit to the data we already have.\n\nWe know that historical data is precious gold, and it must be used carefully.\n\n2/n","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420131145669169153","reply_id":"1420131145669169153","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420131146713616384","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1835568741997859290":{"id":"1835568741997859290","date":"2024-09-16 06:37:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@McNoticer I agree. Our established sports have rules which don't account for the relentless optimization which has occurred in the last 30 years.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1835409363873280223","reply_id":"1835412720176214069","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"crashof2026","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":361,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1835568741997859290","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1661879099500138496":{"id":"1661879099500138496","date":"2023-05-25 23:37:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OrthogonalAlpha Possibly not.\n\nBut I think a lot of white-collar workers derive a lot of self-worth from being good at things that machines either already or will soon do a lot better than them.\n\nSo then what?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1661806992003067904","reply_id":"1661871538424156161","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OrthogonalAlpha","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":1018,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1661879099500138496","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1582776394450231301":{"id":"1582776394450231301","date":"2022-10-19 16:51:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod While I love mental math and went through it myself, JS doesn't explicitly test mental math anymore (hasn't for at least 10 years).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1582740869685604352","reply_id":"1582740869685604352","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":17,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1582776394450231301","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1647770429556391937":{"id":"1647770429556391937","date":"2023-04-17 01:14:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"An event ticketing monopoly is going end up being the thing that unites the masses to overthrow the current economic system.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1647770429556391937","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2834,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1647770429556391937","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1919565877520802136":{"id":"1919565877520802136","date":"2025-05-06 01:32:23","author":"Byrne Hobart","handle":"ByrneHobart","text":"RIP Leonid Kantorovich, you would have been completely unsurprised that employee equity ownership and lots of linear algebra would have led to something very much like this, as long as we were careful about omitting certain key details.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1919565877520802136","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1919657989960548689","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":71,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":8426,"bookmarks":5,"media":["1919565877520802136_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ByrneHobart/status/1919565877520802136"},"1610686169708400641":{"id":"1610686169708400641","date":"2023-01-04 17:14:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Someone should do a \"Go strategy or wine tasting?\" sentence website thingy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1610686169708400641","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2252,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1610686169708400641","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2042308806965678349":{"id":"2042308806965678349","date":"2026-04-09 18:28:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"got any stock picks for us uncle?\"\n\nHang on a sec.\n\nOk, if you buy ES right now, assuming you have the best fees possible, in expectation you'll make 0.1bps.\n\nOh sorry, you waited 5 microseconds to decide.\n\nIt's gone.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2042308806965678349","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":172,"retweets":5,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":23892,"bookmarks":17,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2042308806965678349","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1178849083475152896":{"id":"1178849083475152896","date":"2019-10-01 01:48:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ReformedTrader - Commissions and other kickbacks. An especial favorite of the annuities and structured products sub-industries. Because:\n- Excessive complication in the product you're investing lets providers hide costs more easily.\nSpeaking of which:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1178803024740773888","reply_id":"1178848758747893760","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1178849083475152896","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1382847438176751618":{"id":"1382847438176751618","date":"2021-04-16 00:04:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @jklightenup Desk ops. Lots of mechanical stuff: booking borrows, reconciling sheets, Pnl, system setup, etc.\n\nIt's like scales for a musician: has to be automatic.\n\nAt the same time, lots of intuition-building. Why does this trade make $? Why does it keep making $? Who's our \"customer\"?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"1382826665173164038","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":27,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382847438176751618","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1933540772730839484":{"id":"1933540772730839484","date":"2025-06-13 15:03:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"No I'm not interested in exploring funding options for my business.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1933540772730839484","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":11,"quotes":0,"views":4531,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1933540772730839484","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1597360990378954752":{"id":"1597360990378954752","date":"2022-11-28 22:45:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@inSenCite Not sure I have a truly defensible definition. It's one of those \"you know it when you see it\" things. IMO.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597315257168384000","reply_id":"1597317243909525505","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"inSenCite","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597360990378954752","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1475318334090465282":{"id":"1475318334090465282","date":"2021-12-27 04:11:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@karpathy They're not even rational!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1475317897660612617","reply_id":"1475317897660612617","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"karpathy","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1475318334090465282","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1983954134093988273":{"id":"1983954134093988273","date":"2025-10-30 17:48:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jvck_eth Valid points.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1983921851538485523","reply_id":"1983948678759911622","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jvck_eth","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":709,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1983954134093988273","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1424387444695175168":{"id":"1424387444695175168","date":"2021-08-08 15:10:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @TheLOBO522 Not for European Commissioner of Oceans and Fisheries though.\n\nLandlocked.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1424366223635197955","reply_id":"1424368674438361096","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1424387444695175168","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1377983670854766592":{"id":"1377983670854766592","date":"2021-04-02 13:58:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BeingHorizontal I.e. we have strong priors that if we see some inefficiency in returns in the data, that should persist.\n\nI certainly don't have the same prior for price levels mattering.\n\nI'm legit asking q's here because looking to learn about different approaches.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377754069238972417","reply_id":"1377983313600598017","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1377983670854766592","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1387112813382934529":{"id":"1387112813382934529","date":"2021-04-27 18:34:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Anyone who thinks there's a meaningful distinction between \"processed\" and \"natural\" foods has never had the Cotton-Candy variety of grape.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1387112813382934529","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1387112813382934529","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1785852869037719637":{"id":"1785852869037719637","date":"2024-05-02 02:04:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Holy shit that's bad.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1785813433461383635","reply_id":"1785813433461383635","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":174,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1785852869037719637","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1847664787104170099":{"id":"1847664787104170099","date":"2024-10-19 15:43:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mud2monarch Wasn't my intent. There's an optimal amount of commitment, few of us are at that optimal point.\n\nI screw up more often on the \"hanging on well past the point I should\" side than the other.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847664212329246835","reply_id":"1847664212329246835","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mud2monarch","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":47,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847664787104170099","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1310293016410689536":{"id":"1310293016410689536","date":"2020-09-27 18:59:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is 90% of what I do with tech company clients. It's just so hard when you're in the weeds day-to-day to go up that level of meta.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1310293016410689536","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1310293016410689536","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1732835382499156273":{"id":"1732835382499156273","date":"2023-12-07 18:52:04","author":"Jack","handle":"tracewoodgrains","text":"@ThatShawGuy The best minds of our generation work tirelessly to hack our attention, and we cheer it as revealed preference. It’s grotesque.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1732831828094886020","reply_id":"1732834951832228089","quote_id":"1732944101136597043","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ThatShawGuy","likes":176,"retweets":24,"replies":2,"quotes":2,"views":8588,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tracewoodgrains/status/1732835382499156273"},"1353764874074001408":{"id":"1353764874074001408","date":"2021-01-25 18:01:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert SX7E div futures FTW.\n\nThe most toxic product humankind has yet invented.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1353759771908743168","reply_id":"1353759771908743168","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1353764874074001408","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1734412525578694983":{"id":"1734412525578694983","date":"2023-12-12 03:19:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ScottPh77711570 Makes sense, you're capping your degen gambling so that you can get it out of your system without doing truly stupid things.\n\nKnow thyself.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1734372182938325052","reply_id":"1734412196678086873","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ScottPh77711570","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":552,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1734412525578694983","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2024663733868372166":{"id":"2024663733868372166","date":"2026-02-20 01:53:45","author":"Tarek Mansour","handle":"mansourtarek_","text":"Thank you for the shoutout @GovPressOffice and congrats on being in the lead for Dem nominee on Kalshi.\n\nUnlike some competitors, Kalshi is federally regulated:\n\n1. It would be illegal for you to trade on this (that would be market manipulation).\n\n2. You would be immediately flagged by our system if you tried (glad you didn't).\n\nWe agree with you: policing insider trading is critical. We'll continue to work with our regulators and policymakers to improve the system where needed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2024663733868372166","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2024751714524405846","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2053,"retweets":111,"replies":241,"quotes":45,"views":149868,"bookmarks":557,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mansourtarek_/status/2024663733868372166"},"1847698296694849637":{"id":"1847698296694849637","date":"2024-10-19 17:56:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames 3rd album disease. Coldplay got it too.\n\nImagine if Stone Roses had done a third album. Squire might still be playing the solos.\n\n\"Anything we do in the studio is great. More of everything!\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847610792113316169","reply_id":"1847697966741803099","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":223,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847698296694849637","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1449051361367134211":{"id":"1449051361367134211","date":"2021-10-15 16:35:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The biggest holy war you can start on LinkedIn:\n\n➡️Location-based pay, yes or no?⬅️\n\n\"Same work, same pay.\" 🆚 \"Life costs different amounts in different places.\"\n\nAlways strong opinions, never any listening.\nCan I start the same holy war here? Go!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1449051361367134211","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":17,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1449051361367134211","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1629523206150459393":{"id":"1629523206150459393","date":"2023-02-25 16:46:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@S3archerAnon 1. Is it?\n2. Feels like it could be automated on a 20 year timescale.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1629522250205638656","reply_id":"1629522831745613827","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"S3archerAnon","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":1856,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1629523206150459393","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1760771345825292616":{"id":"1760771345825292616","date":"2024-02-22 20:59:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jlcontreras0 @matt_levine I feel like he does a good job of explaining the finance jargon. What's an example of something that's unclear?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1760756877531713934","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":200,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1760771345825292616","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1942138577237745939":{"id":"1942138577237745939","date":"2025-07-07 08:28:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"28/ Perhaps it's little wonder that value drift might have happened. When a trade is making you $4b a year, that's four billion reasons to believe it's actually a perfectly fine trade.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942138503157977223","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":108,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":15812,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942138577237745939","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1682058621788758021":{"id":"1682058621788758021","date":"2023-07-20 16:03:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Who is working on self-driving from the perspective of sample efficiency?\n\nIt takes a human a few dozen hrs to be minimally competent and a few hundred to be basically limited by affordances (reaction time, IQ, etc).\n\nBut Telsa, etc are training on billions of road miles. WTF?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1682058621788758021","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":1,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":11551,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1682058621788758021","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1482802987256803329":{"id":"1482802987256803329","date":"2022-01-16 19:52:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @_wdearden @lightspringfox Had this conversation about a thousand times. The other person always walks away thinking \"What a loser, some trader he thinks he is...\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482748235496058880","reply_id":"1482802322208358400","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482802987256803329","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1184277239581380608":{"id":"1184277239581380608","date":"2019-10-16 01:17:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CliffordAsness So as a practical matter, how do you get at the people for whom inequality is more mentally/emotionally salient than rising living standards?\n\nDoing that properly seems important. Surely writing them off comes back to bite everyone in the end (Venezuela, Bolivia).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1184267464126992384","reply_id":"1184275443500883968","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"CliffordAsness","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1184277239581380608","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1358905620326359040":{"id":"1358905620326359040","date":"2021-02-08 22:28:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert He does though.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1358868961920655361","reply_id":"1358868961920655361","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1358905620326359040_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1358905620326359040","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1722220685232415217":{"id":"1722220685232415217","date":"2023-11-08 11:53:03","author":"Eric Falkenstein","handle":"egfalken","text":"@stevehouf The US has the best data and one of the best in-sample results. That's not a coincidence.  If you weighted the worldwide market return each year using a metric related to population the average equity premium would be zero.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1722015039253557715","reply_id":"1722015039253557715","quote_id":"1722258574523715952","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"stevehou","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":3,"views":9621,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/egfalken/status/1722220685232415217"},"1206375313464127488":{"id":"1206375313464127488","date":"2019-12-16 00:47:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan Thanks man. BTW your book Volatility Trading was what first got me thinking about writing a book.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1206365561074147329","reply_id":"1206365561074147329","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1206375313464127488","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1834223211703054803":{"id":"1834223211703054803","date":"2024-09-12 13:31:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@samxpatterson @Lifrordi That is indeed a challenging problem! One of many.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1834217272774185288","reply_id":"1834222886690627793","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"samxpatterson","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":122,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1834223211703054803","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1847696260871962884":{"id":"1847696260871962884","date":"2024-10-19 17:48:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FormulaDeltaOne Edge would have been combining some ML things I know and some options things I know. At least at first.\n\nYeah, long non-trading pauses and plus JS doesn't exactly give you an auditable track record.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847610792113316169","reply_id":"1847692102085320913","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FormulaDeltaOne","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1491,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847696260871962884","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1492625050200989696":{"id":"1492625050200989696","date":"2022-02-12 22:21:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@njrookie True. Thought it's debatable what the optimal amount of tenacity is. :)\n\nIt's certainly not \"as much as you can get\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1492622868634431488","reply_id":"1492624435974709253","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"njrookie","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1492625050200989696","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1417307681656770601":{"id":"1417307681656770601","date":"2021-07-20 02:17:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jsoloff Precisely.\n\nYou're trading d (some complicated but mostly 2nd order moment thing) / dt","hashtags":[],"conv":"1417300898234003457","reply_id":"1417306278582390798","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jsoloff","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1417307681656770601","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1616579955575619584":{"id":"1616579955575619584","date":"2023-01-20 23:34:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 Hashtables.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1616576368728477696","reply_id":"1616579288014426113","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":841,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1616579955575619584","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1297594147180646401":{"id":"1297594147180646401","date":"2020-08-23 17:58:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JamesSurowiecki 6ft is a magical distance.\n\n5'11\" and you're in mortal danger, 6'1\" and you're sound as a pound.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1297593741524586497","reply_id":"1297593741524586497","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JamesSurowiecki","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1297594147180646401","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1382898652193067010":{"id":"1382898652193067010","date":"2021-04-16 03:28:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MarketingGuy714 @philbak1 I was in Bay Area for 4 days last week.\n\nDrove Berkeley -> a friend's house in south Oakland. Surface streets.\n\nFelt like driving through outskirts of cities in Brazil/Argentina/Thailand. Literal favelas.\n\nFriend's 2000sq ft house 2 blocks from shantytown: $1.2m. WTF?!?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382894423487447040","reply_id":"1382897745434865665","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MarketingGuy714","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382898652193067010","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1479873065446039553":{"id":"1479873065446039553","date":"2022-01-08 17:50:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It seems like the PowerPoint-ization of education is complete, at least in the US. For my kids, the work output of any larger \"project\" is a slide deck.\n\nSome clip art, a couple of sentences per slide.\n\nAll schools: public, private, charter, Zoom. We've tried them all.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1479873065446039553","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1479873065446039553","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1494839995470782468":{"id":"1494839995470782468","date":"2022-02-19 01:03:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @0xMallow Pushfolding in SNGs is only slightly suboptimal if the opposition doesn't realize its a pushfoldbot.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494734029202984963","reply_id":"1494839458100760577","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494839995470782468","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1471155687577194496":{"id":"1471155687577194496","date":"2021-12-15 16:30:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3/ I offer a mental model to help frame both our own thoughts and those of others.\n\nThis model is mine, but it’s also not mine in the sense that it’s an amalgamation of all the things I’ve learned and read and half-forgotten over the years. Here goes…","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471155685547118594","reply_id":"1471155686604038144","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471155687577194496","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1458927608838582275":{"id":"1458927608838582275","date":"2021-11-11 22:40:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Pssst... 95% of stochastic calculus is turning a dW^2 into a dt using Ito's Lemma.\n\nAnd Ito's Lemma is just (a+b)/2 >= sqrt(ab) generalized to continuous time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1458926233647869964","reply_id":"1458926233647869964","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":65,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":20,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1458927608838582275","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1851960863034421700":{"id":"1851960863034421700","date":"2024-10-31 12:14:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@chriseberly I'm only on this cursed site in the vain hope he will one of mine, thereby gaining the enduring respect of my kids.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1851926057407967639","reply_id":"1851959006337564865","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"chriseberly","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":79,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1851960863034421700","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1761101201876365823":{"id":"1761101201876365823","date":"2024-02-23 18:50:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@quantymacro Totally understand, I have a 1.9 Sharpe rates one so I didn't bother mentioning it, the Github repo, or the audited track record.\n\n🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1761099231719502197","reply_id":"1761100399736422911","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"quantymacro","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":519,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1761101201876365823","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1598059571205275649":{"id":"1598059571205275649","date":"2022-11-30 21:01:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase Evidence. On Twitter.\n\nSir, this is an Arby's.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598057987486121985","reply_id":"1598057987486121985","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598059571205275649","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1722711666155274310":{"id":"1722711666155274310","date":"2023-11-09 20:24:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I really want something in this space to work. I've wanted a real wearable computer since 1996.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1722709135043793138","reply_id":"1722709135043793138","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1032,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1722711666155274310","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1893249963192090812":{"id":"1893249963192090812","date":"2025-02-22 10:42:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Tom62589172 I want to avoid thinking about the possibility. Feels small nonetheless.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1893241099335991771","reply_id":"1893246397446496464","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Tom62589172","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":497,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1893249963192090812","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1544449660374224898":{"id":"1544449660374224898","date":"2022-07-05 22:34:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@686Prism Come on @sama it's gotta be a solid intern project at least?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1544449243464617984","reply_id":"1544449458053828608","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"686Prism","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1544449660374224898","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1607882559752380420":{"id":"1607882559752380420","date":"2022-12-27 23:34:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Speaking for myself:\n\n1. I do read a lot. I've averaged >50 books a year for at least 20 years.\n2. That said, referring to a book doesn't mean I've read the whole book. Especially for low-narrative survey books.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1607843291273515008","reply_id":"1607843291273515008","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2427,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1607882559752380420","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1382722977704280066":{"id":"1382722977704280066","date":"2021-04-15 15:50:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OneBigOh @shawnsunger I wrote a whole book about the answer to this question. 🤣\n\nSeriously, the big meta-skill is evaluating what you're doing and doing sensible things to improve. But that's so generic. It's universal.\n\nOODA loop, PDCA, Agile, Bayesian updating. It's all the same.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"1382722179025010689","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OneBigOh","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382722977704280066","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1843881323334934924":{"id":"1843881323334934924","date":"2024-10-09 05:08:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The morally correct amount of effort, in a person's eyes, is always what was standard when they were growing up. I consider Doordash an unconscionable level of sloth.\n\nAnd I'm sure someone 100 years older than me thought indoor bathrooms was a sign of society going soft.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1843881323334934924","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":99,"retweets":4,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":7383,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1843881323334934924","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1487085878128300036":{"id":"1487085878128300036","date":"2022-01-28 15:31:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NotQuiteMidlife @thodoha @goodalexander Makes sense. It's certainly the robust end of the robust vs optimal tradeoff spectrum.\n\nIt's easy to pick yourself off by trying to be optimal.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1487077492183613450","reply_id":"1487084404321054721","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuiteMidlife","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1487085878128300036","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1384567608108716040":{"id":"1384567608108716040","date":"2021-04-20 18:00:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2/ I'm going to preface this by asking an important question:\n\nWhy trading?\n\nAlmost every outsider has an idea of what trading is that's pretty far from the reality. It's not \"deploy cool ML models on gigabytes of data\". It's:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1384567607316017154","reply_id":"1384567607316017154","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1384567608108716040","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1633254966315094016":{"id":"1633254966315094016","date":"2023-03-07 23:55:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nkhare @tszzl The best.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633250102033907712","reply_id":"1633252981058461697","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nkhare","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":676,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633254966315094016","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1280922519172608000":{"id":"1280922519172608000","date":"2020-07-08 17:51:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @KrisAbdelmessih @bennpeifert @choffstein This is a great book.\n\nEven if you don't agree with the premise, it's a perfect example of \"read things so that *you* can think new thoughts\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1280896181623754758","reply_id":"1280917885653782528","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1280922519172608000","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1397937742198177793":{"id":"1397937742198177793","date":"2021-05-27 15:28:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nealemahoney @tylercowen If I can't subscribe via PayPal I generally don't go through with it.\n\nCanceling via PayPal is very easy. No muss, no fuss.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1397932074095439876","reply_id":"1397932074095439876","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nealemahoney","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1397937742198177793","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1638626494321664017":{"id":"1638626494321664017","date":"2023-03-22 19:39:35","author":"Euan Sinclair","handle":"SinclairEuan","text":"@pmontu33 @therobotjames @volatilitynoob @ScottPh77711570 Your objections make no sense.\n\nMOST pro traders have no verifiable track record because they are working in teams and generally have little clue about capital usage.\n\nAlso, be sure to tell Ed Thorpe, Cliff Asness etc that they should have stopped years ago.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1638228231919640591","reply_id":"1638621872454508544","quote_id":"1638720253801951232","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pmontu33","likes":55,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":93647,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SinclairEuan/status/1638626494321664017"},"1798844170674827344":{"id":"1798844170674827344","date":"2024-06-06 22:27:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Same. It's great. In the same genre, this one is also excellent.\n\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Stuff-Matters-Exploring-Marvelous-Materials/dp/0544236041","hashtags":[],"conv":"1798844170674827344","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2475,"bookmarks":7,"media":["1798844170674827344_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1798844170674827344","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1685643401751072768":{"id":"1685643401751072768","date":"2023-07-30 13:27:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OffTheRunTrades 1. Genetics\n2. Ridiculous work in the gym\n3. Perfect recovery protocols (including massage/assisted stretching before and after)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1685441656244334592","reply_id":"1685441656244334592","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OffTheRunTrades","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":550,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1685643401751072768","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1446850190007148554":{"id":"1446850190007148554","date":"2021-10-09 14:49:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Just when you think the LinkedIn barrel is been maximally scraped, we're apparently now at the stage where real estate brokers are posting listings on it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1446850190007148554","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1446850190007148554","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1988540488891224493":{"id":"1988540488891224493","date":"2025-11-12 09:32:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@StonksI9948 Yes. People invest in scam firms all the time if they make money.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1988490524198592526","reply_id":"1988538655397249182","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"StonksI9948","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":1108,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1988540488891224493","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2056115277037719649":{"id":"2056115277037719649","date":"2026-05-17 20:50:57","author":"Paul Bohm","handle":"paulbohm","text":"Anthropic knows they are weeks away from AGI, which is why they are working with companies like Accenture, Deloitte, PwC, and others to build \"joint centers of Excellence\" and training and certifying 30,000 PwC professionals on Claude.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2056115277037719649","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2056336993395581357","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3308,"retweets":122,"replies":168,"quotes":34,"views":635461,"bookmarks":680,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/paulbohm/status/2056115277037719649"},"1273666882474631168":{"id":"1273666882474631168","date":"2020-06-18 17:20:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"The Veblenian Entrepreneur\"\n\nhttps://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3479042\n\nI'm totally going to use this now. I see it all the time.\n\n@VCBrags is going to love it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1273666882474631168","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1273666882474631168","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1784353542041653423":{"id":"1784353542041653423","date":"2024-04-27 22:46:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@GRoditiD NY state teachers make $87k per year. So budget is 4x that? I'm sorry but that's insane.\n\nName one labor-intensive business whose expenses are 4x their labor costs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1784344881772781747","reply_id":"1784350354437747047","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GRoditiD","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":479,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1784353542041653423","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1725731415936114853":{"id":"1725731415936114853","date":"2023-11-18 04:23:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"EA tried to kill crypto through its instrument SBF.\nEA trying to kill AGI through its instrument the OpenAI board.\n\nWhat's next? Longevity tech?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1725731415936114853","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":58,"retweets":2,"replies":14,"quotes":1,"views":10273,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1725731415936114853","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1558976978111254528":{"id":"1558976978111254528","date":"2022-08-15 00:40:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount I'll have you know I'm a Juilliard-trained economist, thank you very much.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1558974060469669888","reply_id":"1558974060469669888","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1558976978111254528","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1523498535647277058":{"id":"1523498535647277058","date":"2022-05-09 03:02:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase @macrocephalopod","hashtags":[],"conv":"1523435581740527616","reply_id":"1523498083715358722","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1523498535647277058_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1523498535647277058","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1493387393142976512":{"id":"1493387393142976512","date":"2022-02-15 00:51:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Trying to understand the correlation between beliefs in IQ's usefulness and self-reported IQ.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493387393142976512","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":33,"retweets":0,"replies":38,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493387393142976512","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1449180161178361856":{"id":"1449180161178361856","date":"2021-10-16 01:07:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @OOGACAPITAL @macrocephalopod Not a risk thing. HR hasn't approved that yet.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1449168127191707648","reply_id":"1449171078631198728","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1449180161178361856","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1778715479206494309":{"id":"1778715479206494309","date":"2024-04-12 09:23:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pranavvk @liquiditygoblin Evidently!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1778683547483803982","reply_id":"1778715043166884200","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pranavvk","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":215,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1778715479206494309","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1325893514887008256":{"id":"1325893514887008256","date":"2020-11-09 20:10:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ffee_machine @GradientAssent @ESYudkowsky @juliagalef Awesome! What happens if (with prelude) you ask it who won the World Series in 1724? Or in 2024?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1325874769984712704","reply_id":"1325892948404232193","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ffee_machine","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1325893514887008256","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1659342492028870661":{"id":"1659342492028870661","date":"2023-05-18 23:37:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"At this point it's pretty clear each and every one of us is living in our own Waluigi effect.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1659342492028870661","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1774,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1659342492028870661","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1539249425956093952":{"id":"1539249425956093952","date":"2022-06-21 14:10:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ A friend I know is months away from retiring early.\n\nHe’s been very successful at work and wants to spend more time with his young family. But he’s heard horror stories about smart driven people who also retired early and then decided to unretire.\n\nWhat’s going on here? 🧵👉👉","hashtags":[],"conv":"1539249425956093952","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":64,"retweets":9,"replies":7,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":37,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1539249425956093952","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1749879169864093943":{"id":"1749879169864093943","date":"2024-01-23 19:37:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@emilyinvc Why does this piss you off?\n\nYou're looking at it from the perspective of the employer, and I agree w/ that advice for employers.\n\nMine is targeted at candidates deciding where to apply.\n\nThey go hand in hand.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1749862249131593906","reply_id":"1749864674231767404","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"emilyinvc","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":613,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1749879169864093943","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1470888160926203904":{"id":"1470888160926203904","date":"2021-12-14 22:47:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@StudentofMarke2 That's almost definitely true.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1470874084300890112","reply_id":"1470887870244216840","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"StudentofMarke2","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1470888160926203904","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1911029888967995606":{"id":"1911029888967995606","date":"2025-04-12 12:13:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CJHandmer @MasterTimBlais In fairness, civilian life has improved so much since Napoleonic times that, even if wartime GI life has improved, the QOL gap between peacetime and wartime has grown tremendously.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1910849272074948648","reply_id":"1910850760704741755","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"CJHandmer","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":811,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1911029888967995606","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1258909009584615424":{"id":"1258909009584615424","date":"2020-05-08 23:57:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz It's about structuring your motivations and your trading in order to leverage your emotions usefully.\n\nWe can't be Spock and we shouldn't try. If we beat ourselves up over a bad trade, let's beat ourselves up because of an a-priori knowably bad decision, not a bad outcome.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1258868374475608065","reply_id":"1258869179387691011","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1258909009584615424","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1644754902349131777":{"id":"1644754902349131777","date":"2023-04-08 17:31:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount That is the essence of Spiethdom. Embrace the vol.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1644751331268100099","reply_id":"1644754733054214150","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":355,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1644754902349131777","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1287118117215166464":{"id":"1287118117215166464","date":"2020-07-25 20:10:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1. Does +EV trades.\n\nHas figured some things out, can do good trades and know they're good in expectation. This is a hard level to get to!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1287117746178646017","reply_id":"1287117966325080064","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1287118117215166464","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1705266499991240823":{"id":"1705266499991240823","date":"2023-09-22 17:03:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Liquidation preferences are a ZIRP phenomenon, to the extent they induce investors to invest more than they otherwise would.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1705266499991240823","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1941,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1705266499991240823","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2030975246195380593":{"id":"2030975246195380593","date":"2026-03-09 11:53:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If the US fixed this, Europoors would have basically nothing to say. :)\n\n(Not saying it's easily fixable)","hashtags":[],"conv":"2030975246195380593","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":7441,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2030975246195380593","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1821315119911202861":{"id":"1821315119911202861","date":"2024-08-07 22:38:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Testosteritis. Incurable.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1821312455060119640","reply_id":"1821312455060119640","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":255,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1821315119911202861","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1948819619659042946":{"id":"1948819619659042946","date":"2025-07-25 18:56:19","author":"King Tai","handle":"adpyr","text":"@AgustinLebron3 💀💀💀","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946114875899486383","reply_id":"1946114875899486383","quote_id":"1948820341091897556","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":25075,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1948819619659042946_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/adpyr/status/1948819619659042946"},"2033998552956080578":{"id":"2033998552956080578","date":"2026-03-17 20:06:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Indeed, it's the ability to make a living saying just the right kind-of-obvious things.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2033998552956080578","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":4047,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2033998552956080578","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1711458136895479880":{"id":"1711458136895479880","date":"2023-10-09 19:06:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AmirAli7e @Banana_Chucker They're certainly not.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1711449914239311939","reply_id":"1711457832384549271","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RMJ7e","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":40,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1711458136895479880","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1732146774712909845":{"id":"1732146774712909845","date":"2023-12-05 21:15:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ctjlewis @tszzl For a company like Deepmind, funding success is overdetermined. EY may have introduced, but probably 5 other people did too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1732138125697396882","reply_id":"1732140847599366571","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ctjlewis","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":339,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1732146774712909845","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1946114897458180193":{"id":"1946114897458180193","date":"2025-07-18 07:48:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I'm sure @mansourtarek_ would disgree vehemently. But I'd be really interested in hearing his view on, for example, the ethics of listing a \"will Trump run in 2028\" contract.\n\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946114875899486383","reply_id":"1946114895415587213","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":36,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":5317,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946114897458180193","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1415321047038009346":{"id":"1415321047038009346","date":"2021-07-14 14:43:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"24/ Doesn’t sound sexy, but that honesty with yourself and with your candidates is going to get you better hires. \n\nHow?\n\nWell, imagine you do build a process to try to hire superstars, but have no chance of getting them. An analogy...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"1415321046085890053","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415321047038009346","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1341041801902260224":{"id":"1341041801902260224","date":"2020-12-21 15:24:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"- An IPO frenzy is the attempt by the public to catch up to pre-IPO investors and their returns.\n- Call buyers are trying to catch up to the run-up that's already occurred.\n- In general it explains why in a bubble, leverage goes up over time.\n\n/3","hashtags":[],"conv":"1341041800081887233","reply_id":"1341041801063370752","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1341041801902260224","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1508949176515584001":{"id":"1508949176515584001","date":"2022-03-29 23:28:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If I ever create an alt, it will only post threads with vague \"alpha leaks\" and piles of impressive-sounding quant techniques assembled in hard-to-understand ways. 🧠\n\nAnd I'll crap on \"basic\" statistical techniques like linear regression that only make billions of $ a year.💩","hashtags":[],"conv":"1508949176515584001","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":130,"retweets":0,"replies":13,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1508949176515584001","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1729877066533986559":{"id":"1729877066533986559","date":"2023-11-29 14:56:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Absolute travesty.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1729877066533986559","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3944,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1729877066533986559","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1451930349269704704":{"id":"1451930349269704704","date":"2021-10-23 15:15:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Addendum:\n\nMaybe the essential thing that makes crypto people different is that they can see and avoid this cognitive error better than others.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1451929369132158977","reply_id":"1451929377004945413","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1451930349269704704","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1566822967203442689":{"id":"1566822967203442689","date":"2022-09-05 16:18:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I know intellectually that the brain is a set of submodules that vie for control of conscious experience.\n\nBut the felt experience is always unity. Even though I know it's wrong, I can't not feel that way.\n\nMoments like these are nice because they briefly break that spell.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1566822965945061377","reply_id":"1566822965945061377","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1566822967203442689","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1867298788798308659":{"id":"1867298788798308659","date":"2024-12-12 20:01:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2. Debating and discussing features of the model is a great way to elicit beliefs and priors. It helps you come to a common understanding of what really matters.\n\nOften, debates about complex topics can be resolved by agreeing on a toy model then studying its features.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1867298783165305134","reply_id":"1867298787099554129","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":35,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4660,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1867298788798308659","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1304886553009823744":{"id":"1304886553009823744","date":"2020-09-12 20:56:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @VitruviusCurve @OneBigOh For me, by far the best part of trading is that \"hmm, that's weird\" feeling.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1304771065537847305","reply_id":"1304841811463200773","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1304886553009823744","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1503364687513104387":{"id":"1503364687513104387","date":"2022-03-14 13:37:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@PigFahy @Lifinity_io 🙏🙏🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503052421383163910","reply_id":"1503275979891953664","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"PigFahy","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1503364687513104387","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1511747044628582403":{"id":"1511747044628582403","date":"2022-04-06 16:45:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein Institutionals. A new pension fund that used to get exposure through other vehicles finally gets convinced that it's cheaper/safer/more-popular to do it in EEM.\n\nEEM has a lot of name brand advantage, especially among less-sophisticated institutions outside the US (LatAm, Asia).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1511746492071133193","reply_id":"1511746492071133193","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1511747044628582403","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1540730137133457409":{"id":"1540730137133457409","date":"2022-06-25 16:14:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NathanTankus Especially given that anyone's default definition of progress is \"I get to make decisions now\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1540728464176689155","reply_id":"1540728466491981824","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"NathanTankus","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1540730137133457409","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1999404370954273134":{"id":"1999404370954273134","date":"2025-12-12 09:02:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"People like @FatManTerra and @AutismCapital are doing God's work.\n\nIn the modern access-journalism media environment, people like them are the ones holding people to account.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1999404370954273134","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":45,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":18125,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1999404370954273134","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1516529167629635584":{"id":"1516529167629635584","date":"2022-04-19 21:28:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@aanalystbro @therobotjames Definitely.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1516524924650721284","reply_id":"1516528741551427590","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"aanalystbro","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1516529167629635584","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1762377545511743559":{"id":"1762377545511743559","date":"2024-02-27 07:22:04","author":"⚡️🌙","handle":"dystopiabreaker","text":"based post. however, \n\nhttps://www.stroustrup.com/JSF-AV-rules.pdf","hashtags":[],"conv":"1762377545511743559","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1762483702125199482","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":40,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":3,"views":34473,"bookmarks":23,"media":["1762377545511743559_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dystopiabreaker/status/1762377545511743559"},"1773724068317172049":{"id":"1773724068317172049","date":"2024-03-29 14:49:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@volatilitynoob @l1quid1ty @liquiditygoblin No structure is inherently +EV/-EV.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1773384779347730616","reply_id":"1773722532933140587","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"volatilitynoob","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":86,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1773724068317172049","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1981749114443276552":{"id":"1981749114443276552","date":"2025-10-24 15:46:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Low-key odd that the EU operates much freer markets that the US for... pro sports.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1981749114443276552","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2328,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1981749114443276552","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1535455283836702721":{"id":"1535455283836702721","date":"2022-06-11 02:54:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@againstempiric1 @AestheteCaveman @therobotjames @TCK_JRubano @Ksidiii What's the incentive structure that makes that happen (on the lender side)?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1535400249648455681","reply_id":"1535454811176349696","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"againstempiric1","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1535455283836702721","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1494149511618301952":{"id":"1494149511618301952","date":"2022-02-17 03:19:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@longskew @therobotjames @KrisAbdelmessih @FREAK0NAUT When Chuck Norris looks at his Greeks, the Greeks cower in fear.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494032922281717764","reply_id":"1494149008981471241","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"longskew","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494149511618301952","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1715404938132758560":{"id":"1715404938132758560","date":"2023-10-20 16:29:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@optionsly Yes. There's a cost-of-living arbitrage that still needs to close.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1715378316646256991","reply_id":"1715379401301606646","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"optionsly","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":369,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1715404938132758560","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1621527033804382208":{"id":"1621527033804382208","date":"2023-02-03 15:12:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Is there any industry other than software where the most prominent part of a resume is the laundry list of technologies supposedly known?\n\nNew grad up to CTO, it doesn't matter. Gotta have the list.\n\nYes yes resume robo-screeners. But who wants to work at a place that uses them?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1621527033804382208","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2633,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1621527033804382208","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2008869657869275181":{"id":"2008869657869275181","date":"2026-01-07 11:53:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"A deep dive from @tennisabstract on what it could look like to have two forehands in tennis.\n\nSelf-recommending.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2008869657869275181","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3870,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2008869657869275181","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1538169686474387456":{"id":"1538169686474387456","date":"2022-06-18 14:40:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase @mnopro @be20684347 The standard options-model-y way is that you have two noise sources: returns and vol. And they're correlated (usually negatively). A common version of this is the Heston model:\n\nhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heston_model","hashtags":[],"conv":"1537873838557609984","reply_id":"1538141078284603392","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1538169686474387456","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1917650936501264468":{"id":"1917650936501264468","date":"2025-04-30 18:43:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Snooker still patiently waiting for its analytics revolution.\n\nFeels like a lot of players play very suboptimally AFAICT.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1917650936501264468","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":2485,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1917650936501264468","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1921455082844864626":{"id":"1921455082844864626","date":"2025-05-11 06:39:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"When they say places like YC are replacing higher ed, they mean that it's also becoming a credential that says more about their acceptance filter than anything else.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1921455082844864626","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":56,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":4473,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1921455082844864626","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1663755198546755585":{"id":"1663755198546755585","date":"2023-05-31 03:52:05","author":"Joseph Garvin","handle":"joseph_h_garvin","text":"AWS is a usability dumpster fire. There are permissions, permissions for permissions, sets of permissions, trust relationships, attached entities, roles to allow permissions, policies to permit roles... why is this garbage so popular?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1663755198546755585","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1663982401813626880","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":2,"views":6945,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/joseph_h_garvin/status/1663755198546755585"},"1892114040748453892":{"id":"1892114040748453892","date":"2025-02-19 07:28:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EgeErdil2 4. In terms of overall $ made, it's undeniable that MMs and trading firms make more now than they did 10 years ago or 20 years ago.\n\nA lot of that is from money the IBs aren't making anymore (through pushing highly-profitable-to-them products to clients).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1891959616969318465","reply_id":"1892113534152061254","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":207,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1892114040748453892","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1415311275777687559":{"id":"1415311275777687559","date":"2021-07-14 14:04:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@volmagorov Is this about testing compliance's response time?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415310617716658178","reply_id":"1415310617716658178","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"volmagorov","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415311275777687559","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1999042245597835332":{"id":"1999042245597835332","date":"2025-12-11 09:03:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Turns out I'm incredibly good at \"identifying the crux of the issue\".\n\nOr so the non-humans would have me believe.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1999042245597835332","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":78,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":5565,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1999042245597835332","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1451929372013649935":{"id":"1451929372013649935","date":"2021-10-23 15:11:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is, of course, insane. The problem isn't the poison factory, it's the fact that someone has discovered how to create such an effective poison.\n\nEven if you kill the guy, the knowledge doesn't die with him.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1451929369132158977","reply_id":"1451929371044814858","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1451929372013649935","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1726098752845533333":{"id":"1726098752845533333","date":"2023-11-19 04:43:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I really can't wait for the @matt_levine \"Who controls a company?\" multi-parter this week.\n\nhttps://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2018-05-24/company-isn-t-sure-if-it-fired-its-ceo#xj4y7vzkg","hashtags":[],"conv":"1726098752845533333","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1726667481987915998","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":49,"retweets":2,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":11559,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1726098752845533333","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1416389880343527432":{"id":"1416389880343527432","date":"2021-07-17 13:30:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tommycollison Status Anxiety - Alain de Botton","hashtags":[],"conv":"1416182479795355650","reply_id":"1416182479795355650","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tommycollison","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1416389880343527432","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1361412988092129280":{"id":"1361412988092129280","date":"2021-02-15 20:32:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Cloffio1 Sorry, Twitter has a way of compressing you down to the bare minimum. Sometimes you overshoot!\n\nEV = expected value:\nhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expected_value\n\nFirst moment:\nhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moment_(mathematics)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1361392596908580864","reply_id":"1361411637815758853","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Cloffio1","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1361412988092129280","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1189028804791918597":{"id":"1189028804791918597","date":"2019-10-29 03:58:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm Been going back and forth between JS and Python for the last 4 months.\n\nI'm *this* close to creating global vars in Python called \"true\" and \"false\", and setting them to True and False.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1189026145057947648","reply_id":"1189026145057947648","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1189028804791918597","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1630023429968777217":{"id":"1630023429968777217","date":"2023-02-27 01:54:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano Making a career out of a defined-rules bounded universe strikes me as incredibly depressing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1629971002116513793","reply_id":"1630021961492598785","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1024,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1630023429968777217","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1505588577446490112":{"id":"1505588577446490112","date":"2022-03-20 16:54:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ A thread about why Moneyball is the best movie about trading ever made.\n\nYes, we're going scene-by-scene here... 👉👉👉","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":476,"retweets":72,"replies":27,"quotes":9,"views":0,"bookmarks":335,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505588577446490112","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1242189673646059520":{"id":"1242189673646059520","date":"2020-03-23 20:41:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vixologist @MatthewRoesser https://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1242175884955504640","hashtags":[],"conv":"1239980670727962627","reply_id":"1242182854404169728","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vixologist","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1242189673646059520","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1781752428884606976":{"id":"1781752428884606976","date":"2024-04-20 18:30:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbacarella @dwarkesh_sp https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Funes_the_Memorious","hashtags":[],"conv":"1781730857683992875","reply_id":"1781748191190237224","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbacarella","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":126,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1781752428884606976","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1258773401541345281":{"id":"1258773401541345281","date":"2020-05-08 14:59:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OffTheRunTrades @Mephisto731 @Tvoltrader @bennpeifert @AMKcm @squirrel_blind @TheSpeculator0 @o_wutang Sounds like you're a great short gamma trader. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1258184053326376961","reply_id":"1258773126013431809","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OffTheRunTrades","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1258773401541345281","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1491154689156874240":{"id":"1491154689156874240","date":"2022-02-08 20:59:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 Here's the thing. Skill at hiring is VERY long-tailed.\n\n1. Most people/orgs SUCK at hiring.\n2. Massive Dunning-Kruger. Most orgs think they're good at it.\n3. The orgs that ARE good at it are so much better than average that it's just not a fair fight.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1491150199028600832","reply_id":"1491154209798242304","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1491154689156874240","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1946114875899486383":{"id":"1946114875899486383","date":"2025-07-18 07:48:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Prediction markets (if they take off) could end up being a society-destroying development. 🧵","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946114875899486383","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":494,"retweets":36,"replies":35,"quotes":21,"views":76803,"bookmarks":392,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946114875899486383","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1848344843686182964":{"id":"1848344843686182964","date":"2024-10-21 12:45:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@deterrence2020 @CREAMtrader Yes and yes. Weird events. Niche industries.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1848333273333702661","reply_id":"1848344205967454641","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"deterrence2020","likes":10,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":230,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1848344843686182964","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1981658320508453339":{"id":"1981658320508453339","date":"2025-10-24 09:45:35","author":"sysls","handle":"systematicls","text":"Everyone in Fittwit arguing about larps/slop as usual but have you guys met the OG, @pyquantnews?\n\nThere's levels to this game and @pyquantnews is arguably the highest levels of slop one can attain. There is nothing useful about anything that is posted in pyquantnews.\n\nStill, hundreds/thousands of likes on LinkedIn for absolutely brain-melting content.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1981658320508453339","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1981672865348116522","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":98,"retweets":0,"replies":14,"quotes":1,"views":19220,"bookmarks":21,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/systematicls/status/1981658320508453339"},"1925264811987722732":{"id":"1925264811987722732","date":"2025-05-21 18:57:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If I have ideas for AI-enabled devices, and those ideas are 1% as good as Jony Ive's, do I get $64m?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1925264811987722732","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":14,"quotes":0,"views":2662,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1925264811987722732","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2060196206572368067":{"id":"2060196206572368067","date":"2026-05-29 03:07:06","author":"David Lieb","handle":"dflieb","text":"Thought experiment: if every company suddenly had infinite free compute, what new products would emerge?\n\nMy take: with very few exceptions, not much would change. The bottleneck is figuring out what people want, and it’s not so easy to apply compute to solve that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2060196206572368067","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2060243621790519571","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1315,"retweets":100,"replies":269,"quotes":55,"views":249625,"bookmarks":253,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dflieb/status/2060196206572368067"},"1540087523380105216":{"id":"1540087523380105216","date":"2022-06-23 21:40:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano Slayer. Of integrals.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1540056137667694592","reply_id":"1540056137667694592","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1540087523380105216","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1498868155631882242":{"id":"1498868155631882242","date":"2022-03-02 03:49:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @choffstein @SinclairEuan Not much anymore. But especially for older investors, houses are a pretty terrible vehicle.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1498855385108680704","reply_id":"1498867867940446211","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1498868155631882242","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1537578362931056640":{"id":"1537578362931056640","date":"2022-06-16 23:30:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's the opposite of SNL's \"You can't get there from here\".\n\nYou can get to any state from any state at any time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1537578061469605888","reply_id":"1537578061469605888","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1537578362931056640","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1407780704616738817":{"id":"1407780704616738817","date":"2021-06-23 19:20:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7trn91xkJ0w","hashtags":[],"conv":"1407780277242404867","reply_id":"1407780277242404867","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1407780704616738817","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1477448544764133377":{"id":"1477448544764133377","date":"2022-01-02 01:15:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"15/ Update based on the conversations I've had today due to this thread:\n\nIf you sell services/info/etc to retail, I certainly don't believe that *automatically* makes you a grifter.\n\nMaybe 5-year-ago me did, but I've learned so much that has made me change that tune.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477320189653893121","reply_id":"1477320202324877317","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477448544764133377","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1389628865429925891":{"id":"1389628865429925891","date":"2021-05-04 17:11:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@drunkengrass @MagnusMacro Nice to see Antti making a cameo appearance there. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1389363721278001157","reply_id":"1389418452440420352","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"drunkengrass","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1389628865429925891","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1501716804531458050":{"id":"1501716804531458050","date":"2022-03-10 00:29:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Bazooka713 @bennpeifert I hate these trolley problems...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501712267515084804","reply_id":"1501716367279464449","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Bazooka713","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501716804531458050","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1754126811137532219":{"id":"1754126811137532219","date":"2024-02-04 12:56:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"No matter which side of the AI-risk debate you're drawn to, neither Beff nor AI-safety-memes is helping.\n\nThey're not the representatives you want.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1754126811137532219","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":5288,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1754126811137532219","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1683325254515703809":{"id":"1683325254515703809","date":"2023-07-24 03:56:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So, Jersey Mike's is just 2x Subway price because they slice it in front of you? Do I have this right?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1683325254515703809","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":6810,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1683325254515703809","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1961399558711148895":{"id":"1961399558711148895","date":"2025-08-29 12:04:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Can you believe they put my face on this thing?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1961399558711148895","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2942,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1961399558711148895_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1961399558711148895","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1445213847720116229":{"id":"1445213847720116229","date":"2021-10-05 02:26:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug @drewg__ @OrthogonalAlpha @lightspringfox 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1445188761831104513","reply_id":"1445211515846549509","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1445213847720116229","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1593644165065502721":{"id":"1593644165065502721","date":"2022-11-18 16:35:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih 👍","hashtags":[],"conv":"1593631245723791361","reply_id":"1593643784859852800","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1593644165065502721","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2063797483268964815":{"id":"2063797483268964815","date":"2026-06-08 01:37:18","author":"Tanay Jaipuria","handle":"tanayj","text":"A Spanish La Liga club (likely Osasuna) facing potential relegation placed a bet against itself on Kalshi, hedging the financial hit of dropping down a tier.\n\nThey survived on the final day. Susquehanna was on the other side of that bet and pocketed over $1M.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2063797483268964815","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2063877022972018949","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4897,"retweets":315,"replies":59,"quotes":123,"views":694584,"bookmarks":1193,"media":["2063797483268964815_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tanayj/status/2063797483268964815"},"1122303854391914498":{"id":"1122303854391914498","date":"2019-04-28 00:57:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@trevornoren Volatility isn't an asset class. You don’t invent asset classes by making the payoff functions complicated enough. Short VIX is just an elaborate long-equities bet with less liquidity and more herding. #vix #lawsoftrading","hashtags":["vix","lawsoftrading"],"conv":"1122144009177063424","reply_id":"1122144009177063424","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"trevornoren","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1122303854391914498","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1976143922905706548":{"id":"1976143922905706548","date":"2025-10-09 04:33:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@based16z For #3, it depends on the market. Answer is different for US indices than for Asian indices, for example. Even more different for commodities. At least historically.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1976074571750027348","reply_id":"1976075933741351156","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"based16z","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":163,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1976143922905706548","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1427724586716569606":{"id":"1427724586716569606","date":"2021-08-17 20:10:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@s_nordentoft Having an *uninformed* one publicly is indeed stupid.\n\nBecause it invariably ties you down to defending it, which makes you dumber.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1427703082968698885","reply_id":"1427719011081592837","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"s_nordentoft","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1427724586716569606","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2048066595679871254":{"id":"2048066595679871254","date":"2026-04-25 15:48:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"How many wrong things in one tweet?\n\n1. Cherry picking the 10 most valuable companies tells you nothing about \"private equity rates of return\", i.e. averages or medians or anything.\n\nYour brother in law's doomed restaurant idea is also a private investment.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2048066595679871254","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":220,"retweets":12,"replies":10,"quotes":2,"views":64075,"bookmarks":39,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2048066595679871254","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1711871482362753508":{"id":"1711871482362753508","date":"2023-10-10 22:29:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The number of situations where floating-point arithmetic is superior to fixed-point can be counted on the fingers of one physicist's hand.\n\nAnd there will be fingers left over.\n\nFloating-point is a curse upon computers so large it amounts to original sin for AGI.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1711871482362753508","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":45,"retweets":3,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":11049,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1711871482362753508","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2038645990039667112":{"id":"2038645990039667112","date":"2026-03-30 15:54:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If you have some Prague-based followers, please RT.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2038643447624585313","reply_id":"2038643447624585313","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1588,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2038645990039667112","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1934694607419527572":{"id":"1934694607419527572","date":"2025-06-16 19:28:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheDailyMao Probably not much.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1934694400007012778","reply_id":"1934694400007012778","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheDailyMao","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":194,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1934694607419527572","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1258457184620261376":{"id":"1258457184620261376","date":"2020-05-07 18:02:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@o_wutang @bennpeifert I won't deny there are exceptions, such as yourself evidently.\n\nBut from my perspective having interviewed a few thousand people and hired a few hundred, it's not a great filter.\n\nIf you're a jr applicant, your interest and passion can be discovered in better ways.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1258184053326376961","reply_id":"1258455758276046848","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"o_wutang","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1258457184620261376","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1640840313983102976":{"id":"1640840313983102976","date":"2023-03-28 22:16:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 I would argue that, yes.\n\nHeard On The Street and its ilk turned Wall Street hiring into an awful soul-sucking game of gotcha.\n\nWe don't need more of that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1640833303480795137","reply_id":"1640840030385242117","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":404,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1640840313983102976","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1509247442528575493":{"id":"1509247442528575493","date":"2022-03-30 19:13:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@adeibbashar I'll see what I can do...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1508949176515584001","reply_id":"1509245422409113602","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"prodigal_sun92","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1509247442528575493","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1415321043124719618":{"id":"1415321043124719618","date":"2021-07-14 14:43:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"20/ If the answer is no, you need to re-think some stuff. Almost no company I talk to even tries to do what I just did here. Doesn’t even occur to them.\n\nBut it’s critical if you want to know what to pay people.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"1415321042143174658","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415321043124719618","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1763210740788519299":{"id":"1763210740788519299","date":"2024-02-29 14:32:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@rudyroggio @TCK_JRubano @KrisAbdelmessih IMO this is pretty accurate.\n\nOnce a trading firm become a *name*, i.e. an aspirational employer for a certain class of smart credential-seeking person, you end up hiring a lot of people who are valuable at maximizing the value of the seat but who only rarely create new seats.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1763076860773351497","reply_id":"1763196848129319338","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"rudyroggio","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":321,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1763210740788519299","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1521176021654904832":{"id":"1521176021654904832","date":"2022-05-02 17:13:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Let he who is without blame cast the first market order.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1521172299105411074","reply_id":"1521172299105411074","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1521176021654904832","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1710037907455844602":{"id":"1710037907455844602","date":"2023-10-05 21:03:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@austincampbell Given that almost no one has enough money to move fast and break things in meaningful industries.\n\nIn fact, even though blitzscaling is the wrong model for almost anything, where it works it works precisely because you're using OPM to do it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709973476507791406","reply_id":"1709973476507791406","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"austincampbell","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":40,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1710037907455844602","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2064566617627857097":{"id":"2064566617627857097","date":"2026-06-10 04:33:34","author":"Larry Tabb","handle":"ltabb","text":"RT @ltabb: @JSeyff Secretive investment committee...? uh, I do believe they have been the rules of the index for ages and given the performance of most IPOs in the last few years, it ain't a bad idea not to include them for at least a year.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2064566617627857097","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2064441064857964673","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ltabb/status/2064566617627857097"},"1537232062414934016":{"id":"1537232062414934016","date":"2022-06-16 00:34:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Seen on the Linkedin. Any bets on the future of this company?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1537232062414934016","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1537232062414934016_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1537232062414934016","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1418249203524902913":{"id":"1418249203524902913","date":"2021-07-22 16:38:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@famadeo @mbeaudroit En cuantos otros paises sera verdad tambien?\n\nMe imagino que en varios...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1417936986074226688","reply_id":"1418244562288525313","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"famadeo","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1418249203524902913","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1853696824609018201":{"id":"1853696824609018201","date":"2024-11-05 07:12:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@elletwocache Since Google infected the world with its culture.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1853593621217636384","reply_id":"1853593621217636384","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"elletwocache","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":92,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1853696824609018201","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1540152486891524097":{"id":"1540152486891524097","date":"2022-06-24 01:59:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SqueezeMetrics @dampedspring Why not? Do you value your time?\n\nSNR is the name of the game.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1540150308625698817","reply_id":"1540151782843858944","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SqueezeMetrics","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1540152486891524097","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1575679139297665026":{"id":"1575679139297665026","date":"2022-09-30 02:49:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein Alt ftw.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1575677929257947137","reply_id":"1575677929257947137","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1575679139297665026","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1706753738088890508":{"id":"1706753738088890508","date":"2023-09-26 19:32:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbateman And yet almost anyone who did anything to advance humanity forward sacrificed at least a little (and often a lot of) potential happiness to do so.\n\nPersonal happiness as the only end-goal is solipsistic and ultimately self-defeating.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1706686836809007378","reply_id":"1706686836809007378","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbateman","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":108,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1706753738088890508","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1361833202839547907":{"id":"1361833202839547907","date":"2021-02-17 00:21:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @ONAN_OUS Marcus ain't about that! He's cool, unlike his dad.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1361775785304985601","reply_id":"1361827742560382976","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1361833202839547907","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1501789104127635457":{"id":"1501789104127635457","date":"2022-03-10 05:16:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @be20684347 @M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames I would guess so in SPX more than in Asian and Euro indices given that structured products which sells tails are more popular in those regions.\n\nAlso, I'm a few years removed from this so my info could be old.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"1501788548567027712","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501789104127635457","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1406102772626325510":{"id":"1406102772626325510","date":"2021-06-19 04:13:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily 2. It suggests you think about your data schema up front.\n\nYou know, instead of apparently the correct \"iterate fast\" approach which is to suck it all down raw into NoSQL, then spend 20x the time to re-create a buggy, slow, limited query language to actually work with the data.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1406094945857925125","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1406102772626325510","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1769870192245666012":{"id":"1769870192245666012","date":"2024-03-18 23:35:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JayaBajpai17 @cam_perrault @bookdepth It matters a lot.\n- Better rates, relationships.\n- You can take down size that's inaccessible to others.\nLots of other stuff.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1769843697254903850","reply_id":"1769868082938630233","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JayaBajpai17","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":147,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1769870192245666012","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2040040145278115845":{"id":"2040040145278115845","date":"2026-04-03 12:14:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"","hashtags":[],"conv":"2040040145278115845","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2373,"bookmarks":1,"media":["2040040145278115845_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2040040145278115845","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1520482025676828675":{"id":"1520482025676828675","date":"2022-04-30 19:15:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RandyMartingale @ianthetechie @SinclairEuan https://www.realvision.com/shows/real-visionaries-euan-sinclair/videos/the-laws-of-trading-qpW1","hashtags":[],"conv":"1520364097342087168","reply_id":"1520446432255356929","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RandyMartingale","likes":18,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1520482025676828675","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1972740081636254116":{"id":"1972740081636254116","date":"2025-09-29 19:07:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is really holding up nicely so far.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1972740081636254116","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":33,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":9450,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1972740081636254116","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1559366680031084545":{"id":"1559366680031084545","date":"2022-08-16 02:29:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What is the best Bond song and why is it A View To A Kill by Duran Duran?\n\n(no, Radiohead's non-entry for Spectre sadly doesn't count)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1559366680031084545","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1559366680031084545","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1980700206732824886":{"id":"1980700206732824886","date":"2025-10-21 18:18:23","author":"Perry E. Metzger","handle":"perrymetzger","text":"I have a book coming out today!\n\nIt’s not about AI, world politics, moral philosophy, or any other sort of earth-shattering topic. No, it’s a comic book where Victorian dinosaurs teach you how computer hardware works.\n\nIt's for ages 9 to 99 or so, and is published by Macmillan!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1980700206732824886","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1980947259555484136","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":192,"retweets":15,"replies":20,"quotes":6,"views":52224,"bookmarks":84,"media":["1980700206732824886_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/perrymetzger/status/1980700206732824886"},"1566822965945061377":{"id":"1566822965945061377","date":"2022-09-05 16:17:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Part of the reason I like trivia is when you come up with an answer that you could SWEAR you flat-out just don't know.\n\nHow can I know something and yet be unaware of it EVEN THOUGH I'm actively trying to know/remember it?\n\nMe, after: \"I *still* refuse to believe I knew that!\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1566822965945061377","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1566822965945061377","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2030375106753561003":{"id":"2030375106753561003","date":"2026-03-07 20:08:42","author":"Dwarkesh Patel","handle":"dwarkesh_sp","text":"RT @dwarkesh_sp: Gutenberg invented the most important technology of the millennium and immediately went bankrupt — and so did the bank that foreclosed on him, and so did his apprentices. \n\nGutenberg could make a batch of 300 books for the cost of one, but there weren't enough buyers in his small, landlocked village in Germany. \n\nIt it took the better part of a century of further innovations, social changes, and setting up of distribution networks before you could have a pamphlet like Luther's 95 thesis get from Wittenberg to London in 17 days.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2030375106753561003","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2030353789493133372","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":1638,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/2030375106753561003"},"1375119235509231622":{"id":"1375119235509231622","date":"2021-03-25 16:15:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"15/ Remember Daytona 500 the video game?\n\nWhen you were behind in a race, the game gave your car superpowers. So that you could catch up and make the race more exciting.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1375119223693864961","reply_id":"1375119234661896195","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":13,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1375119235509231622","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1974783050870595777":{"id":"1974783050870595777","date":"2025-10-05 10:25:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's worth dwelling on that last one. Fully a THIRD of people who bet think it's bad for society. What other activities might you see such numbers for?\n\nAlcohol? Doubt it.\nSmoking?\nDrugs?\n\nI can't name a non-addictive behavior where plausibly a third of participants say it's bad.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1974777031562072200","reply_id":"1974777036947481031","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2627,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1974783050870595777","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1175763165323247616":{"id":"1175763165323247616","date":"2019-09-22 13:25:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The replications are coming fast now. It's unfortunate, but the evidence is that grit isn't a teachable thing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1175763165323247616","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1175763165323247616","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1197299542862909440":{"id":"1197299542862909440","date":"2019-11-20 23:43:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DavidSacks How about 1 word? Even better: zero words, just incredibly subtle head movements.\n\nIf this is the prevailing sentiment, it's clear where the value is in venture land these days: companies that can't be so reduced.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1197276076759584768","reply_id":"1197276076759584768","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DavidSacks","likes":185,"retweets":6,"replies":4,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1197299542862909440","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2053792273024929862":{"id":"2053792273024929862","date":"2026-05-11 11:00:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Fred Brooksbot needs to write The Mythical Agent-Day, where we learn that adding more agents to something that's not working just makes it not-work even more.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2053792273024929862","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2684,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2053792273024929862","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1602873385431625729":{"id":"1602873385431625729","date":"2022-12-14 03:49:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Remember when Kirk defeated superior machine intelligences by catching them in inconsistencies and getting them to shut down?\n\nLife is not without a sense of irony.\n\nNow, LLMs shut *us* down mentally by swamping *us* in logical inconsistencies.\n\nWell played, machines.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602873385431625729","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":51,"retweets":7,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1602873385431625729","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1650961981346545664":{"id":"1650961981346545664","date":"2023-04-25 20:36:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Think like a trader!\n\nIn an efficient gas market, line length is set by the marginal trader of time vs gas discount. So it's actually easy. This is the only question that matters:\n\nAm I more or less willing to trade time for $ than my mental model of the average Costco member?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1650961979190702087","reply_id":"1650961979190702087","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":41,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4125,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1650961981346545664","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1949114597039821279":{"id":"1949114597039821279","date":"2025-07-26 14:28:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Guy doesn't care if the candidate is good or not. The only reason he funds that candidate is because he has a larger derivative position that would make money by manipulating the underlying it settles to.\n\nThat's illegal in every normal financial market for good reason.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1949114597039821279","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":161,"retweets":6,"replies":12,"quotes":0,"views":23458,"bookmarks":31,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1949114597039821279","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1341041800081887233":{"id":"1341041800081887233","date":"2020-12-21 15:24:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Manias And Mimesis: a paper applying the Rene Girard approach to financial market bubbles (by Tobias Huber and @ByrneHobart).\n\nhttps://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3469465\n\n/1","hashtags":[],"conv":"1341041800081887233","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1341041800081887233","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1943337594969903448":{"id":"1943337594969903448","date":"2025-07-10 15:52:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ImbalancedAct The spread you're crossing on LEAPs is enormous.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943280522756591979","reply_id":"1943328770418708732","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ImbalancedAct","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3165,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1943337594969903448","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1733222294468849679":{"id":"1733222294468849679","date":"2023-12-08 20:29:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@netcapgirl What about the part where they asked him to run the mint and he pretty much single-handedly eliminated clipped coins and bad money?\n\nThat's pretty alpha.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1733177177233846760","reply_id":"1733177177233846760","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"netcapgirl","likes":5,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":833,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1733222294468849679","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1530014900575035392":{"id":"1530014900575035392","date":"2022-05-27 02:35:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sherlock_hodles But then a lot of us would be out of a job!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1530011307084107776","reply_id":"1530013394241310720","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sherlock_hodles","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1530014900575035392","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1448099389726101505":{"id":"1448099389726101505","date":"2021-10-13 01:32:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames There's basically nothing new. Quant trading only has ~3 parents:\n\n- Princeton Newport\n- PDT Partners\n- SIG\n\nApproximately everything else is a derivative.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448086924330246151","reply_id":"1448086924330246151","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":32,"retweets":3,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":27,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448099389726101505","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1787555726707368448":{"id":"1787555726707368448","date":"2024-05-06 18:51:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"At what point does everyone's private knowledge that the carbon credit industry (as it currently exists) is just a big fraud turn into tacit collective knowledge?\n\nBecause at that point it just implodes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1787555726707368448","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":80,"retweets":2,"replies":12,"quotes":2,"views":10508,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1787555726707368448","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1900181257872363620":{"id":"1900181257872363620","date":"2025-03-13 13:44:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Buy__The__Dip @pranavvk Max out tax-advantaged accounts, VTI and chill.\n\nOr 300 pages of overspending time and effort and $.\n\nUp to you.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1900161328888897993","reply_id":"1900172563277357480","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Buy__The__Dip","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":162,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1900181257872363620","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1397946599972610057":{"id":"1397946599972610057","date":"2021-05-27 16:03:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @tarunchitra @volmagorov @RockshotJ @BangTheClose @PaToFe4 @macrocephalopod 12. converge\n13. fixed point","hashtags":[],"conv":"1397931742237904903","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1397946599972610057","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1542602359926185984":{"id":"1542602359926185984","date":"2022-06-30 20:13:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LauraDeming Disgrace - JM Coetzee","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542600736210427904","reply_id":"1542600736210427904","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"LauraDeming","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1542602359926185984","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1983419656850555084":{"id":"1983419656850555084","date":"2025-10-29 06:24:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Any guesses about the role that ads and porn and gaslighting censorship browsers play in a post-AGI world?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1983185511587230107","reply_id":"1983419509278159193","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2219,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1983419656850555084","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1867298792019546199":{"id":"1867298792019546199","date":"2024-12-12 20:01:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Ok, all this sounds pretty abstract. So, let's do a concrete example. Here is a question that can be debated endlessly, but where constructing a simple model can help resolve it.\n\nAssume a market where all takers are noise traders. Is it possible to still lose money providing?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1867298783165305134","reply_id":"1867298790459273667","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":49,"retweets":1,"replies":16,"quotes":1,"views":7557,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1867298792019546199","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2071583816657895666":{"id":"2071583816657895666","date":"2026-06-29 13:17:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3. Having to \"re-qualify\" one's basic skillset at every employer is a waste of time for the candidate and a waste of resources for the employer.\n\nStupid Leetcode.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2071583808587964540","reply_id":"2071583814233600274","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2589,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2071583816657895666","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1488915646683308035":{"id":"1488915646683308035","date":"2022-02-02 16:42:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih We don't. Lemon law (adverse selection) just wins.\n\nWell-connected investors whose skills and networks are valuable to companies will get the best investment opportunities.\n\nThe unwashed masses will get the rest.\n\nAs it ever was.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1488914281609383940","reply_id":"1488914281609383940","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1488915646683308035","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1289184373489586176":{"id":"1289184373489586176","date":"2020-07-31 13:01:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RokoMijicUK Medieval civilization was still civilization.\n\nThe last time *everyone* had to be rational and good at critical thinking was when we were hunting and gathering our own food. That hasn't been true for millenia.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1289001382402560002","reply_id":"1289111288958910464","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ExiledInfoHaz","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1289184373489586176","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1625958190562308099":{"id":"1625958190562308099","date":"2023-02-15 20:40:16","author":"François Chollet","handle":"fchollet","text":"I really think there's an inverse correlation between how much we anthropomorphize a tool and how useful it proves to be in the long term. Anthropomorphism makes you project on the tool attributes that aren't actually there. It's prestidigitation.\n\nUseful robots don't look human.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1625958190562308099","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1625984393692213254","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":434,"retweets":52,"replies":17,"quotes":13,"views":103492,"bookmarks":41,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/fchollet/status/1625958190562308099"},"1942138318474322078":{"id":"1942138318474322078","date":"2025-07-07 08:27:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"20/\nB. Nature abhors a vacuum. PR perspective, JS has wanted it both ways for years: a quirky mathy puzzley public image for hiring, but no one even has a *picture of the founders or heard them speak.\n\nA co that makes $20b/year doing opaque trading and no one knows who they are?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942138316452708632","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":204,"retweets":6,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":20554,"bookmarks":32,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942138318474322078","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1418312172774428673":{"id":"1418312172774428673","date":"2021-07-22 20:49:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @saanglee I believe that's from Scandal In Suburbia, no?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1418294496614174721","reply_id":"1418311276992765953","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1418312172774428673","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2078518599363211741":{"id":"2078518599363211741","date":"2026-07-18 16:33:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Always follow the money.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2078518599363211741","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":66,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":19296,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2078518599363211741","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1417691804426596364":{"id":"1417691804426596364","date":"2021-07-21 03:44:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @lightspringfox @theemilyaccount I think the point is that the taker can just optimize for one small thing: the delta-pickoff trade.\n\nThe maker has to do that and a bunch of other things besides. Hence things like QRM, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1408122316295311362","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1417691804426596364","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2025966596942942378":{"id":"2025966596942942378","date":"2026-02-23 16:10:52","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"RT @macrocephalopod: Some of us have been reading @goodalexander for years to inoculate our brains against exactly this eventuality. Shaking the citrini article off like a common cold 😤","hashtags":[],"conv":"2025966596942942378","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2025963072171504018","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":9,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":7,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/2025966596942942378"},"1529987217552298016":{"id":"1529987217552298016","date":"2022-05-27 00:45:53","author":"goodalexander","handle":"goodalexander","text":"there's been a trope of \"eating your vegetables\" with trading process. here's my take on it:\n\n1/ tax management. your after tax pnl is your earning. thought needs to be put up front into whether you're a futures trader or an equities trader, and how to structure that business","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529987217552298016","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1529988828030566400","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":307,"retweets":41,"replies":10,"quotes":7,"views":0,"bookmarks":248,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/goodalexander/status/1529987217552298016"},"1389044130135740417":{"id":"1389044130135740417","date":"2021-05-03 02:28:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brianportnoy in Alexandria, even? 🏦","hashtags":[],"conv":"1389024160404451330","reply_id":"1389024160404451330","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"brianportnoy","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1389044130135740417","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1542889185236774912":{"id":"1542889185236774912","date":"2022-07-01 15:13:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@elidourado @Vernon3Austin Where does this line of reasoning break down:\n\n- Energy superabundance\n- Waste heat superabundance\n- Continued planetary heating\n\nCurious if you've read Tom Murphy, who's been writing about this for years:\nhttps://dothemath.ucsd.edu/2022/06/shedding-our-fossil-fuel-suit/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542872587042185218","reply_id":"1542872587042185218","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"elidourado","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1542889185236774912","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1564394918197374977":{"id":"1564394918197374977","date":"2022-08-29 23:29:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@eepzable @be20684347 @therobotjames Yeah, I spent a bit of time with it. Though I wasn't impressed with the ReScript splintering a couple of years ago. Bodes poorly for the future of the language(s).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1564385498981810178","reply_id":"1564394361923649536","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"eepzable","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1564394918197374977","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1582444683350839296":{"id":"1582444683350839296","date":"2022-10-18 18:53:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Me writing R: \"Stupid arrows.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1582444142705053696","reply_id":"1582444142705053696","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":31,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1582444683350839296","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1361396840642400263":{"id":"1361396840642400263","date":"2021-02-15 19:27:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sajidnizami @bennpeifert @Ksidiii @KrisAbdelmessih Toying with the idea of starting a substack...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1358793442243928069","reply_id":"1361395753088741377","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sajidnizami","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1361396840642400263","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2041908940397592882":{"id":"2041908940397592882","date":"2026-04-08 16:00:02","author":"Erik - Outlier Trading","handle":"_OutlierTrading","text":"Latest episode of The Outlier Podcast is out, where @AgustinLebron3 and I worked through a practical example of building a trading strategy using sector rotation momentum. \n\nTune in!\n\nhttps://youtu.be/ayqbZirKPkM","hashtags":[],"conv":"2041908940397592882","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2041910984776806638","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":58,"retweets":4,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":18805,"bookmarks":102,"media":["2041908940397592882_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/_OutlierTrading/status/2041908940397592882"},"2064979785051205657":{"id":"2064979785051205657","date":"2026-06-11 07:55:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"How can we know it's 👏 NOT 👏 STILL 👏 LYING?\n\nhttps://www.wired.com/story/anthropic-responds-to-backlash-on-claudes-secret-sabotage-on-ai-research/","hashtags":[],"conv":"2064979785051205657","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":84,"retweets":0,"replies":11,"quotes":1,"views":4392,"bookmarks":3,"media":["2064979785051205657_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2064979785051205657","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1633514967965257729":{"id":"1633514967965257729","date":"2023-03-08 17:08:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@goku37485 It's amazing how long demonstrably bad strategy persists in sports. Decades.\n\nNFL is the best example right now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633514191486353409","reply_id":"1633514591933145104","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"goku37485","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":219,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633514967965257729","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1703471919847334342":{"id":"1703471919847334342","date":"2023-09-17 18:12:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Cam Norrie's backhand is unwatchably ugly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1703471919847334342","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2629,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1703471919847334342","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1564396142728585216":{"id":"1564396142728585216","date":"2022-08-29 23:34:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@eepzable @be20684347 @therobotjames I still hold out some hope for Svelte.\n\nIn general, writing UI code is so... awful.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1564385498981810178","reply_id":"1564395726376816640","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1564396142728585216","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2026721123681919103":{"id":"2026721123681919103","date":"2026-02-25 18:09:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Enjoying that biography is making a comeback as Twitter \"> be semi-famous person XYZ\" threads.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2026721123681919103","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2389,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2026721123681919103","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1774418195555750216":{"id":"1774418195555750216","date":"2024-03-31 12:47:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@quantymacro \"Try lots of random shit. Always use boosted trees.\"\n\nThere, I gave you 90% of it. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1774197049337999848","reply_id":"1774197049337999848","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"quantymacro","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1439,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1774418195555750216","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1317496936585310208":{"id":"1317496936585310208","date":"2020-10-17 16:05:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @farnamjake1 This is it, precisely. California has natural order flow that means it can afford to be bad at its job.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1317243341185052672","reply_id":"1317493446257504257","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1317496936585310208","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1521279931216392193":{"id":"1521279931216392193","date":"2022-05-03 00:06:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @alvinjamur You can tell it's not real ML.\n\nShe's smiling.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1521190887719460864","reply_id":"1521274731231850497","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1521279931216392193","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1389051795884843014":{"id":"1389051795884843014","date":"2021-05-03 02:58:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @macrocephalopod @darjohn25 @KrisAbdelmessih Humbled to be on such a list! 😊","hashtags":[],"conv":"1389049985954566147","reply_id":"1389049985954566147","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1389051795884843014","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1304582693599019010":{"id":"1304582693599019010","date":"2020-09-12 00:48:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @brettlevin @svrnco What's funny is that in my current life as a management consultant for tech/trading companies, that's the thing that comes more often than anything.\n\nDesigning the incentive structures so that people *want* to work together in cross-functional teams.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1291873753484406786","reply_id":"1304578525995970560","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1304582693599019010","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1988534020548759718":{"id":"1988534020548759718","date":"2025-11-12 09:07:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1. They make you put up your own money or pay fees or both.\n\n- A genuine prop trading firm will NEVER ask you to deposit your own capital to trade.\n- A genuine prop trading firm will NEVER make you pay for a simulated account as \"talent scouting\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1988534015419146302","reply_id":"1988534018439033232","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":91,"retweets":2,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":17886,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1988534020548759718","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1275439209575145472":{"id":"1275439209575145472","date":"2020-06-23 14:42:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@puiwingtam Please don't dox SlateStarCodex.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1275115953538371584","reply_id":"1275115953538371584","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"puiwingtam","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1275439209575145472","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1902382031733997855":{"id":"1902382031733997855","date":"2025-03-19 15:29:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@IE_Capital Gotta be.\n\nI mean, it's not like they're all hiring the same ghostwriter. Right?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1902369475422261702","reply_id":"1902381233696280798","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"IE_Capital","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":266,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1902382031733997855","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1222324658617192448":{"id":"1222324658617192448","date":"2020-01-29 01:04:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Pro-tip for when you read a paper claiming to do reinforcement learning (RL) in a trading strategy:\n\nIt *ain't* RL.\n\nSome common counterarguments:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1222324658617192448","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":6,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1222324658617192448","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1449159990049054727":{"id":"1449159990049054727","date":"2021-10-15 23:47:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cosmojg That works if you have a highly differentiated and visible skillset. Not true of most people.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1449051361367134211","reply_id":"1449157438318342144","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"cosmojg","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1449159990049054727","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1536529264429789184":{"id":"1536529264429789184","date":"2022-06-14 02:01:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MikhaelBerg Yeah, exactly. I found this book really thought-provoking. Emotions are more culturally installed than I would have thought.\n\nhttps://www.amazon.com/How-Emotions-Made-Lisa-Barrett/dp/1328915433/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536514710815711232","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1536529264429789184","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1346257166273970176":{"id":"1346257166273970176","date":"2021-01-05 00:48:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@svrnco Precisely. And there are a *lot* of them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346224338534625283","reply_id":"1346254830218715142","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"svrnco","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346257166273970176","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1827015692962422801":{"id":"1827015692962422801","date":"2024-08-23 16:11:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Fidelity's customer service teams are more balkanized than... the Balkans.\n\n\"Oh, I'm with the 401k team. I'm going to need to get you over to someone on the self-employed 401k team.\"\n\n🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1827015692962422801","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2109,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1827015692962422801","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1749826201542381998":{"id":"1749826201542381998","date":"2024-01-23 16:07:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@liquiditygoblin Two-factor model? Pfft.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1749769230893912137","reply_id":"1749769230893912137","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"liquiditygoblin","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":395,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1749826201542381998","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1794005841290608956":{"id":"1794005841290608956","date":"2024-05-24 14:01:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@txnftxnf If there is one, fortunately I don't know.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1794000192959828206","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2306,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1794005841290608956","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2024846706219581608":{"id":"2024846706219581608","date":"2026-02-20 14:00:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"- Sports-focused prediction market\n- Methamphetamine-focused pharmaceutical reseller\n- Intercourse-focused entertainment provider\n- Fried dough torus-focused nutrition manufacturer\n- Infinite-scroll-focused visual medium conduit","hashtags":[],"conv":"2024846706219581608","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":195,"retweets":4,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":13116,"bookmarks":27,"media":["2024846706219581608_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2024846706219581608","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1501773776563802112":{"id":"1501773776563802112","date":"2022-03-10 04:15:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @leakyalpha @FREAK0NAUT @M1tchRosenthal He was at DEShaw. I know a guy who used to work with him. Says he's smart but a bit crazy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"1501766996530065411","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501773776563802112","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1167508685016293376":{"id":"1167508685016293376","date":"2019-08-30 18:45:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In 2019 business English, \"agree\" means nothing anymore. Meaning is elsewhere. A guide:\n\nI agree = That's obvious.\nNo, I agree = I empathize with *your* problem.\nI mostly agree = You left out some details.\nWe're in agreement = Deal.\nIn principle I agree = I disagree.\n\nAny others?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1167508685016293376","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1167508685016293376","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1453407294046158849":{"id":"1453407294046158849","date":"2021-10-27 17:04:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Social media toxicity explained in two correlations:\n\nCorr(follower growth rate, shitposting) is very high.\nCorr(random followers, trolls/abuse/etc) is very high.\n\nSolve for the equilibrium.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1453407294046158849","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1453407294046158849","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1668089977207504896":{"id":"1668089977207504896","date":"2023-06-12 02:56:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"But it also means that the nature of moats changes. \n\nGreat atom-munging companies have moats in the form of know-how: decades of experiential knowledge that's very hard to replicate.\n\nGreat bit-munger moats are know-who: relying on customer lock-in (aka \"platforms\").","hashtags":[],"conv":"1668089972367163393","reply_id":"1668089976058265600","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":20,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2069,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1668089977207504896","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1530248041193607168":{"id":"1530248041193607168","date":"2022-05-27 18:02:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Which comes first?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1530248041193607168","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1530642193500676096","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1530248041193607168","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1468613044355747847":{"id":"1468613044355747847","date":"2021-12-08 16:06:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is riveting stuff.\nhttps://financialservices.house.gov/events/eventsingle.aspx?EventID=408705#LiveWebcast","hashtags":[],"conv":"1468613044355747847","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1468613044355747847","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1666986169664503809":{"id":"1666986169664503809","date":"2023-06-09 01:50:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JRJ10b Yes that is correct.\n\nWith mobiles, RIM never could figure out that it was the software that mattered.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1666800429236207621","reply_id":"1666982146983051264","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JRJ10b","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":93,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1666986169664503809","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1989338556410847570":{"id":"1989338556410847570","date":"2025-11-14 14:24:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This and it's not even close.\n\nHe flushed it too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1989338556410847570","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":5850,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1989338556410847570","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1529910929160253440":{"id":"1529910929160253440","date":"2022-05-26 19:42:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"You've denoised and have a better shot at finding some signal.\n\nBut wait, there's more! Because the more \"non-momentumy\" noise you can remove, the cleaner stuff gets. Maybe you shouldn't use SPY but rather QQQ. Maybe betas should be different for different days of the week. Etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529877576591609861","reply_id":"1529910928254197760","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":54,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":16,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1529910929160253440","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1694775932958167538":{"id":"1694775932958167538","date":"2023-08-24 18:17:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Seeing someone use Computer Modern font in Microsoft Word is pretty much a guarantee of grifterdom.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1694775932958167538","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2066,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1694775932958167538","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1929568877828055534":{"id":"1929568877828055534","date":"2025-06-02 16:00:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Remember that golf YouTuber who played the USOpen venue the week before the tournament and reported that \"It's brutal\"?\n\nMe neither.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1929568877828055534","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":23,"quotes":0,"views":3331,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1929568877828055534","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1943301809063497889":{"id":"1943301809063497889","date":"2025-07-10 13:30:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@volatilitynoob Big if.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943300153038750180","reply_id":"1943300153038750180","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"volatilitynoob","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":518,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1943301809063497889","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1546932176666497024":{"id":"1546932176666497024","date":"2022-07-12 18:59:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"26/\n- Bounds on value.\n\n+ Lower: “This needs to be worth at least X in order to be worth looking at.”\n+ Higher: “I don’t expect this will ever be worth more than Y.”","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546931744426758145","reply_id":"1546932175513489409","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546932176666497024","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1546931762026233857":{"id":"1546931762026233857","date":"2022-07-12 18:57:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"9/\n- ACX open threads\n- Thoughtfully-selected DM groups\n- Financial and non-financial news from countries you don’t live in\n- High signal-to-noise ratio follows","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546931744426758145","reply_id":"1546931759391993862","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546931762026233857","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1789088028155072688":{"id":"1789088028155072688","date":"2024-05-11 00:20:00","author":"Historic Vids","handle":"historyinmemes","text":"Footage of the Bronx (NYC) in 1982 lined up with current footage of the same locations in 2024","hashtags":[],"conv":"1789088028155072688","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1789383730748072013","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13559,"retweets":1393,"replies":277,"quotes":201,"views":4051121,"bookmarks":3308,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/historyinmemes/status/1789088028155072688"},"1441129896227471361":{"id":"1441129896227471361","date":"2021-09-23 19:58:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih Regulatory capture is *the* brute fact of existence in end-of-life societies.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1441129606069714946","reply_id":"1441129606069714946","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1441129896227471361","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1987411169812816082":{"id":"1987411169812816082","date":"2025-11-09 06:45:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pranavvk Sure but intrigued != caring. I.e. having an emotional reaction. Which a lot of people seem to be doing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1987407601198375257","reply_id":"1987409613541822625","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pranavvk","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":202,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1987411169812816082","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1834220220669395210":{"id":"1834220220669395210","date":"2024-09-12 13:19:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@expectedrisk @Lifrordi Not many, but plenty of decent tennis courts.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1834217272774185288","reply_id":"1834219319275741192","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"expectedrisk","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":627,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1834220220669395210","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1539249474228432903":{"id":"1539249474228432903","date":"2022-06-21 14:10:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"15/ Disagree about that specific Villages-based instantiation of the retirement dream if you want, but that doesn’t insulate you from the fundamental promise of “active” retirement:\n\n“This is YOUR time now.”","hashtags":[],"conv":"1539249425956093952","reply_id":"1539249466640834562","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1539249474228432903_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1539249474228432903","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1601326177271939072":{"id":"1601326177271939072","date":"2022-12-09 21:21:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@QuantPrincess Agreed.\n\nThe challenge is that IMO you need to know a lot of things (i.e. memorization) to get better at problem solving. You need affordances in the space of ideas.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1601298107634835456","reply_id":"1601322642409390080","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuantPrincess","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1601326177271939072","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1405184150139674624":{"id":"1405184150139674624","date":"2021-06-16 15:23:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ I immigrated to the US 20 years ago, and I don't regret the decision. The people, the opportunities. It really *is* a wonderful country.\n\nBut downsides exist and they can basically all be summarized by the leafblower.\n\nA thread... 👇","hashtags":[],"conv":"1405184150139674624","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1430264375382736896","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":70,"retweets":8,"replies":9,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":["1405184150139674624_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1405184150139674624","type":"quote","issues":[]},"2075130810911297700":{"id":"2075130810911297700","date":"2026-07-09 08:11:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Exactly. The idea that legalization doesn't change underlying demand is fantasyland.\n\n1. Even if it didn't, expanding supply (at a price) WILL increase quantity consumed.\n\n2. But it does! Lots of people don't do things, only because they're illegal. Legalization increases demand.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2075130810911297700","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":51,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":12378,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2075130810911297700","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1477339213532221445":{"id":"1477339213532221445","date":"2022-01-01 18:01:30","author":"Julie Wade","handle":"julie_wade","text":"@AgustinLebron3 Look I spent a lot of time building indicators and models.  And from my empirical experience, I can say trading within a volatility envelope makes sense.  You know where you are and what to expect.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477320189653893121","reply_id":"1477320202324877317","quote_id":"1477340689532817410","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":1,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/julie_wade/status/1477339213532221445"},"1598718581084409857":{"id":"1598718581084409857","date":"2022-12-02 16:39:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin @macrocephalopod @laurentzeimes Interesting that you consider it a high bar. The point IMO is that 3x3x3 puzzles are a category of thing. Either you can do basically any of them or you can't. \n\n(Baseline success is 1/3 hence the need for 9/10)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598575466410934272","reply_id":"1598717507199565831","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598718581084409857","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1255230058568060928":{"id":"1255230058568060928","date":"2020-04-28 20:19:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@IntegralMetamod @ESYudkowsky Certainly a super-intelligent psychologist in a box could...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1255219929147719683","reply_id":"1255229805236293633","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"IntegralMetamod","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1255230058568060928","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2036101426011640267":{"id":"2036101426011640267","date":"2026-03-23 15:23:03","author":"Tarek Mansour","handle":"mansourtarek_","text":"Casino lobby hard at work.\n\nThere is a reason tens of millions of people use regulated prediction markets: it’s a better product.\n\nBanning just pushes this offshore, where no regulation exists.\n\nThis bill isn’t about protecting consumers; it’s about protecting monopolies.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2036101426011640267","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2036111968663187750","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":801,"retweets":89,"replies":128,"quotes":33,"views":386326,"bookmarks":73,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mansourtarek_/status/2036101426011640267"},"2076599045368213681":{"id":"2076599045368213681","date":"2026-07-13 09:26:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Kudos to @realGeorgeHotz for fighting the good fight.\n\nRant on!\n\nhttps://geohot.github.io//blog/jekyll/update/2026/07/11/ai-2040.html","hashtags":[],"conv":"2076599045368213681","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":221,"retweets":15,"replies":5,"quotes":3,"views":32915,"bookmarks":175,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2076599045368213681","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1384669308312113158":{"id":"1384669308312113158","date":"2021-04-21 00:44:23","author":"Brianne Kimmel","handle":"briannekimmel","text":"“Raw hours actually make a big difference in the impact we can make” \n\nI have a lot of respect for companies that set realistic expectations","hashtags":[],"conv":"1384669308312113158","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1384680459926261767","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":706,"retweets":31,"replies":12,"quotes":9,"views":0,"bookmarks":85,"media":["1384669308312113158_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/briannekimmel/status/1384669308312113158"},"1707878743128367513":{"id":"1707878743128367513","date":"2023-09-29 22:03:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Literally no one ever:\n\nRemember that one time when someone I disagreed with made up an analogy or metaphor that totally convinced me of their position? And we didn't spend any time debating the validity of the analogy instead?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1707878743128367513","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":34,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":4857,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1707878743128367513","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1730377451426201866":{"id":"1730377451426201866","date":"2023-12-01 00:05:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dystopiabreaker I find it pretty good for the brainless stuff.\nI'm definitely faster with it than without.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1730377060588326958","reply_id":"1730377201567351226","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dystopiabreaker","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":133,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1730377451426201866","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1448341970460446721":{"id":"1448341970460446721","date":"2021-10-13 17:36:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"14/ But if you're a trader, or otherwise in the business of making accurate predictions, you need to back out their incentives.\n\nThat way you can make good use of the info they provide.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448341956841533442","reply_id":"1448341969441226754","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448341970460446721","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1865144235227517053":{"id":"1865144235227517053","date":"2024-12-06 21:20:13","author":"Taelin","handle":"VictorTaelin","text":"This tweet will probably be deleted in 512ms because I'm most likely wrong and I don't want to upset people, but - \n\n<wall>\nI feel like ultimately what might be happening with the AI space is that people (including very smart people) are incorrectly affected by the illusion that a technology that is inherently incapable of reasoning will eventually do it. That illusion is fueled by the inherent difficulty that the human brain has to grasp large scales, and how something that has essentially memorized the entire internet is statistically very likely to answer your question intelligently by pure recall, because you're yourself very predictable and the things you can ask it are most likely close to a space of ideas that another human had in the past. This is causing these AGI labs to push models into this weird \"reasoning\" direction that also seems to work because it is suddenly able to nail these math benchmarks, but, again, that's an illusion because, even if these questions aren't directly in the dataset (and they probably are), they still lie inside this small space of human ideas. And the problem with this is that we're trying to make models reason precisely because we want them to expand science, but expanding science requires precisely the one thing LLMs can't do, which is explore a whole new, unexpected space of ideas that don't connect to anything we've discussed before. A few years before quantum physics was discovered, its core ideas were completely outside of human discourse, thoughts, and no amount of circling the same box (which is what reasoning models do) would get us there. So, we keep trying to make these models do something they'll never do - invent new science - and that's frustrating because this, in turn, makes LLMs do worse on what they excel, which is (sorry but...) being a glorified auto-complete. That is, a bot that, given the human-provided reasoning, goes on to produce the actual boring work. Sonnet is really effective to me precisely because it is very deterministic, it isn't trying to be too smart and it will just do exactly as I ask. If my instruction is wrong, it will be wrong too, and that's actually a feature. o1, on the other hands, will try to be too smart, and that will make it completely chaotic and unreliable when you just want it to follow instructions. Now, probably as a response to o1, I'm almost sure Sonnet-3.6 incorporated some kind of \"mini reasoning\" on it, which makes it slightly less good to me. I hope that Anthropic doesn't keep going in that direction and instead just make Sonnet-4 a natural extension to whatever they did with the original Sonnet-3.5, because a fully deterministic Sonnet-4 with 10x effective context size would absolutely groundbreaking to my own work, and certainly way more useful to me than a model that takes a lot of time to spit objectively worse code.\n</wall>","hashtags":[],"conv":"1865144235227517053","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1865147143574405310","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2224,"retweets":202,"replies":280,"quotes":75,"views":349754,"bookmarks":962,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/VictorTaelin/status/1865144235227517053"},"1850917949160161746":{"id":"1850917949160161746","date":"2024-10-28 15:10:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Shill me a non-Asian non-shit airline. Ideally with good European coverage.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1850917949160161746","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":18,"quotes":1,"views":9352,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1850917949160161746","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1796642119517671913":{"id":"1796642119517671913","date":"2024-05-31 20:37:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Claim:\n\n1. Before there was any tech, all wealth was positional. I.e. who and how many ppl would do your bidding.\n\n2. We got tech. Wealth no longer about ppl. I.e. having a car or private jet is great.\n\n3. Far future. We're all comfortable. Wealth again about who you can command.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1796642119517671913","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":48,"retweets":1,"replies":9,"quotes":1,"views":7302,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1796642119517671913","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1820923369505616074":{"id":"1820923369505616074","date":"2024-08-06 20:42:17","author":"Dmitrii Kovanikov","handle":"ChShersh","text":"Learning how to use ls, grep, xargs, sed, and curl will save you months of Python script writing","hashtags":[],"conv":"1820923369505616074","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1821362018659803345","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4218,"retweets":250,"replies":100,"quotes":44,"views":277586,"bookmarks":1644,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ChShersh/status/1820923369505616074"},"1935001326460489924":{"id":"1935001326460489924","date":"2025-06-17 15:47:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@hedgewaver I mean, he's definitely smart IQ-wise.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1934563284453036526","reply_id":"1935000410122555891","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"hedgewaver","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1554,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1935001326460489924","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1711878569503412413":{"id":"1711878569503412413","date":"2023-10-10 22:57:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jgreco Floating-point prices and sizes are a bug farm.\n\nFixed-point is where it's at.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1711871482362753508","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":537,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1711878569503412413","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1423336554911600644":{"id":"1423336554911600644","date":"2021-08-05 17:34:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4/ The optimal ticksize is the one where autocorr of that timeseries is zero. It's a balance.\n\nOf course, this only really applies to markets where make/take fees are the same.\n\nThinking about what adjustments need to be made in asymmetric situations is left as an exercise. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1423336552340414467","reply_id":"1423336553972076547","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1423336554911600644","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1590082542224707584":{"id":"1590082542224707584","date":"2022-11-08 20:43:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Most bad decisions looks reasonable locally.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1590082542224707584","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":36,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1590082542224707584","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1796726187638808860":{"id":"1796726187638808860","date":"2024-06-01 02:11:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tmychow @rossry The latter is much more about out-of-band meta-knowledge. The good thing about Figgie is that the universe is usefully bounded. Yes there's meta-knowledge but it's of a known type.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1796598021213552950","reply_id":"1796722712456663206","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tmychow","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":140,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1796726187638808860","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1598081010926645248":{"id":"1598081010926645248","date":"2022-11-30 22:26:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Lower the TVL to the point where arbing the AMM isn't profitable.\n\n(I think you know what TVL accomplishes that)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598075665395613696","reply_id":"1598075665395613696","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":16,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598081010926645248","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1602422678861754368":{"id":"1602422678861754368","date":"2022-12-12 21:58:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"empty substack : mediocre product mgmt candidate\n::\nempty github : mediocre dev candidate\n\nIf it's empty, maybe don't put it on your resume?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602422678861754368","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":28,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1602422678861754368","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1529911008633843713":{"id":"1529911008633843713","date":"2022-05-26 19:43:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@kust1983 I added an example.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529877576591609861","reply_id":"1529899972921110532","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"kust1983","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1529911008633843713","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2064727949274955953":{"id":"2064727949274955953","date":"2026-06-10 15:14:38","author":"Dylan Patel","handle":"dylan522p","text":"Usage share of OpenAI grew vs Anthropic yesterday despite Mythos 5 / Fable 5 launch\nMultiple power users at SemiAnalysis tried Mythos / Fable\nGot refusals for nonsensical reasons\nGot pissed off at Anthropic\nGave Codex a legitimate try\nNow they actually prefer it to 4.8 Opus","hashtags":[],"conv":"2064727949274955953","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2064765269612904711","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2246,"retweets":113,"replies":97,"quotes":50,"views":748275,"bookmarks":322,"media":["2064727949274955953_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dylan522p/status/2064727949274955953"},"1794001992215630096":{"id":"1794001992215630096","date":"2024-05-24 13:46:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I live in hope that over time he'll get tired of his idiotic formula and do something better. Problem is he's still very young so we may have a long way to go...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1794000192959828206","reply_id":"1794000192959828206","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":39,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":7349,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1794001992215630096","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1899536917898674674":{"id":"1899536917898674674","date":"2025-03-11 19:04:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1899536917898674674","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":37,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3946,"bookmarks":3,"media":["1899536917898674674_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1899536917898674674","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1501783419616829440":{"id":"1501783419616829440","date":"2022-03-10 04:54:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @be20684347 @FREAK0NAUT @M1tchRosenthal Only the bots. Machine or otherwise. I can live with that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"1501782896922619905","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501783419616829440","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1153328914992754689":{"id":"1153328914992754689","date":"2019-07-22 15:40:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@kdrum @mattyglesias Direct instruction is undeniably effective in early primary education. But I'm not aware of good evidence that it improves outcomes at higher levels (say gr7 and higher).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1153327574619213825","reply_id":"1153327574619213825","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"kdrum","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1153328914992754689","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1764701246550925477":{"id":"1764701246550925477","date":"2024-03-04 17:15:38","author":"Dwarkesh Patel","handle":"dwarkesh_sp","text":"Some notes I wrote while reading Part 1 of Daniel Yergin’s The Prize: The Epic Quest for Oil, Money & Power.\n\nIf you know Yergin, tell him I'd love to have him on my podcast!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1764701246550925477","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1764706244336717858","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":218,"retweets":8,"replies":13,"quotes":4,"views":57623,"bookmarks":107,"media":["1764701246550925477_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1764701246550925477"},"1600447377248116736":{"id":"1600447377248116736","date":"2022-12-07 11:09:24","author":"Paul Graham","handle":"paulg","text":"I expected technology to make programming less laborious, as it does to most things. But I have to admit I expected it to happen by programmers switching to more powerful languages, rather than continuing to write programs full of boilerplate, but having AIs generate most of it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1600447377248116736","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1600511694031048705","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2765,"retweets":219,"replies":186,"quotes":52,"views":0,"bookmarks":217,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/paulg/status/1600447377248116736"},"2006837835685572824":{"id":"2006837835685572824","date":"2026-01-01 21:19:59","author":"Ankit Gupta","handle":"agupta","text":"A few months ago I told students at a college talk that working at jane street wasn’t a safe job anymore. I got some chuckles from the audience then. I suspect it won’t be funny next year.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2006837835685572824","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2006843072337072269","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":674,"retweets":20,"replies":50,"quotes":41,"views":762691,"bookmarks":287,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/agupta/status/2006837835685572824"},"1922387025551819184":{"id":"1922387025551819184","date":"2025-05-13 20:22:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 Perhaps not jail, but tied up in SEC and FINRA paperwork until they give up trying to construct yet another high fee product that only the financially illiterate would purchase.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1922371559756288210","reply_id":"1922371559756288210","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":12,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":638,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1922387025551819184","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1962114230758326689":{"id":"1962114230758326689","date":"2025-08-31 11:24:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cremieuxrecueil 's article in @palladiummag claims to explain \"Why Romania Excels in International Olympiads\".\n\nIt does no such thing. 🧵\n\nhttps://www.palladiummag.com/2025/08/29/why-romania-excels-in-international-olympiads/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1962114230758326689","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"cremieuxrecueil","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2604,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1962114230758326689_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1962114230758326689","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1145696241373736961":{"id":"1145696241373736961","date":"2019-07-01 14:10:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Law Of Trading #10: If you don't master technology and data, you're losing to someone who does. #newbook #lawsoftrading","hashtags":["newbook","lawsoftrading"],"conv":"1145696241373736961","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1145696241373736961_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1145696241373736961","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1548040999816925187":{"id":"1548040999816925187","date":"2022-07-15 20:25:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @therobotjames @pmontu33 Or you could not trade so big? :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548007648007634944","reply_id":"1548040799568375809","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1548040999816925187","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1772711214079947037":{"id":"1772711214079947037","date":"2024-03-26 19:44:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @macrocephalopod Even better:\n\n- Draw two arrows\n- Make two tweets\n- Delete one later.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1772605901209252266","reply_id":"1772710941559263535","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":437,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1772711214079947037","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1508278138689654784":{"id":"1508278138689654784","date":"2022-03-28 03:01:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@steeezynuts Just keep learning new languages. Building real stuff in with different tools.\n\nOver time, you improve your ability to quickly \"get\" how a language wants you to think. Then they're all easy.\n\nExcept APL. That thing is nuts.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1508153596080230406","reply_id":"1508153596080230406","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"malort_hft","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1508278138689654784","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1121480495932395520":{"id":"1121480495932395520","date":"2019-04-25 18:26:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ A big thing traders think about is risk: the chance of bad things happening. Then they think about how to mitigate or “hedge” that risk, and how much to pay for that hedge. Even if you’re not a trader you do it too. You just call it insurance.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1121480495932395520","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1121480495932395520","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1766206382955475196":{"id":"1766206382955475196","date":"2024-03-08 20:56:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In fairness, companies have been avoiding hiring jr devs for a while now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1766206382955475196","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":28,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":9139,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1766206382955475196","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2043215537296077196":{"id":"2043215537296077196","date":"2026-04-12 06:31:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"(note for the pedants on the 0.1%, obv it only counts if it's not connected to family history, i.e. you had to learn it yourself, not through osmosis as a kid)","hashtags":[],"conv":"2043206606469431573","reply_id":"2043207085773513051","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2550,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2043215537296077196","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2038936873645576232":{"id":"2038936873645576232","date":"2026-03-31 11:10:06","author":"JUMPERZ","handle":"jumperz","text":"dug through the leaked claude code source.\n\n44 hidden feature flags. 20+ unshipped features... \n\nbackground agents, multi-agent orchestration, cron scheduling, voice mode, browser control.\n\nit's all built.. no wonder they releasing a new feature every 2 days.. everything already done..","hashtags":[],"conv":"2038936873645576232","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2038958763533549810","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1269,"retweets":108,"replies":76,"quotes":26,"views":195279,"bookmarks":645,"media":["2038936873645576232_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/jumperz/status/2038936873645576232"},"1501782266678153218":{"id":"1501782266678153218","date":"2022-03-10 04:49:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @FREAK0NAUT @M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames 100% agree, hence my question.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"1501781875446382592","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501782266678153218","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1397355050842812416":{"id":"1397355050842812416","date":"2021-05-26 00:53:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @nope_its_lily Close enough?\n\nhttps://www.deribit.com/pages/docs/options","hashtags":[],"conv":"1397312841955217408","reply_id":"1397354678514421764","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1397355050842812416","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1886074087321084392":{"id":"1886074087321084392","date":"2025-02-02 15:27:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@justinskycak I'll never forget the conversation with a graduate of Cambridge Trinity math part III. I bemoaned that you could get a math degree at Cambridge almost without knowing how to use a computer. His response:\n\n\"Cambridge generally doesn't do vocational training.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1885869496436408412","reply_id":"1885869496436408412","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"justinskycak","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":292,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1886074087321084392","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1420131158302490625":{"id":"1420131158302490625","date":"2021-07-27 21:17:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"PS. Don’t @ me with complaints that I’m dismissing resampling methods like bootstrapping. I’m not, that’s different. Perhaps a conversation for another day.\n\n14/14 FIN","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420131145669169153","reply_id":"1420131157333614593","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":11,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420131158302490625","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1174763730917158912":{"id":"1174763730917158912","date":"2019-09-19 19:14:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Barton_options So if you work out the EV of the model, what's the edge in $ to hitting the bid right now?\n\nSecondary question: what fraction of the stated edge does the model actually realize on average?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1174757279704526856","reply_id":"1174757284972584962","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Barton_options","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1174763730917158912","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1923812203431444683":{"id":"1923812203431444683","date":"2025-05-17 18:45:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ion_Salamander @HighFreqAsuka @OpenAI @juliacvillagra @weHRTyou QT is a dying job.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1923802087021777146","reply_id":"1923804264377287102","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Ion_Salamander","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":586,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1923812203431444683","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1677697171423105025":{"id":"1677697171423105025","date":"2023-07-08 15:12:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Interesting how servebots like Jarry do well at Wimbledon but basically never win (with the exception of that one Ivanisevic year and maybe Krajicek).\n\nThey get to the sharp end of the tournament and they run into players who just handle the serve and to the other things.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1677697171423105025","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2184,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1677697171423105025","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1507855595256262659":{"id":"1507855595256262659","date":"2022-03-26 23:02:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brrrzooka @theemilyaccount Easy. F1 isn't real either.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507831708074323969","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507855595256262659","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1678815800311054337":{"id":"1678815800311054337","date":"2023-07-11 17:17:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Normal service has been resumed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1678808244805046272","reply_id":"1678808244805046272","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1809,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1678815800311054337","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1926699375973064863":{"id":"1926699375973064863","date":"2025-05-25 17:58:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@rmloveland Agree, for most it's entirely rational.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1926679083196297573","reply_id":"1926694972734017675","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"rmloveland","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":137,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1926699375973064863","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1713208133529862411":{"id":"1713208133529862411","date":"2023-10-14 15:00:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FormulaDeltaOne Or he's dead.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1713178246412390857","reply_id":"1713178246412390857","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FormulaDeltaOne","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":446,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1713208133529862411","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1646627508060835842":{"id":"1646627508060835842","date":"2023-04-13 21:32:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The Thomas Crow affair sure keeps getting corrupter and corrupter...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1646627508060835842","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2093,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1646627508060835842","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1891763618657476994":{"id":"1891763618657476994","date":"2025-02-18 08:16:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dwarkesh_sp do feel you've gotten a satisfactory answer to:\n\n\"What was so special about the 1930s/40s that led to the rise of not one, not two, but three highly successful megalomaniacal sociopaths who directly caused the deaths of tens of millions of people?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1891763618657476994","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dwarkesh_sp","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":418,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1891763618657476994","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1987913115863056483":{"id":"1987913115863056483","date":"2025-11-10 15:59:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert In 1980, Usenet had hierarchical conversations with arbitrary nesting depth.\n\nIn 2025, Slack has 2.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1987911206137454947","reply_id":"1987911584199708961","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":362,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1987913115863056483","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1443421844413976576":{"id":"1443421844413976576","date":"2021-09-30 03:45:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @0xdoug @bennpeifert @volmagorov \"It's what the pros are doing.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443370801483366404","reply_id":"1443421696677978117","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1443421844413976576","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1602711626150563840":{"id":"1602711626150563840","date":"2022-12-13 17:06:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@volatilitysmile Somewhere between 0 and 100. And it does match my long-held priors about who makes money in bankruptcies.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602709696120782848","reply_id":"1602710280705904644","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"volatilitysmile","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1602711626150563840","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1976650544170275259":{"id":"1976650544170275259","date":"2025-10-10 14:06:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JacobWolinsky The supply of dumb money isn't infinite, no matter what the last 5 years of markets may have you believe.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1976645088433656219","reply_id":"1976649188365766747","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JacobWolinsky","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":491,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1976650544170275259","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1541280786724163584":{"id":"1541280786724163584","date":"2022-06-27 04:42:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @BeaglierCap @therobotjames This is all true, but there's selection bias. As soon as you realize that US exceptionalism is a historical fact, not necessarily a forward-looking one, then...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1541274341001658368","reply_id":"1541280523896737794","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1541280786724163584","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1923813698931499307":{"id":"1923813698931499307","date":"2025-05-17 18:51:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HighFreqAsuka @Ion_Salamander @OpenAI @juliacvillagra @weHRTyou I agree with you. But I'm looking merely at where they're expanding, most motivated to hire, poach etc.\n\nDying might be too strong a term. But it doesn't seem like a growth area.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1923802087021777146","reply_id":"1923813264586150280","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HighFreqAsuka","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":601,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1923813698931499307","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1711450700818112625":{"id":"1711450700818112625","date":"2023-10-09 18:36:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Banana_Chucker I think that in our modern society, the highest correlate to conventional success (and so a limited extent, happiness) is indeed willpower.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1711449914239311939","reply_id":"1711450468709523705","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Banana_Chucker","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":71,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1711450700818112625","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1387982008484130823":{"id":"1387982008484130823","date":"2021-04-30 04:07:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jkregenstein @GestaltU @alphaarchitect @choffstein @daniel_egan So here's a thing that doesn't answer your question, but you can think of it as a jumping off point.\n\nImagine you have two securities: A trades from t1 to t2, and B trades from t3 to t4. t3>t2 so the trading periods are disjoint.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1387861810599059459","reply_id":"1387861810599059459","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jkregenstein","likes":11,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1387982008484130823","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1269712101448118274":{"id":"1269712101448118274","date":"2020-06-07 19:25:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm @spenceraviav The Straussian reading is clearly that it's already here.\n\nDoh. I said it out loud! Gotta get better at this...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1269657640784683009","reply_id":"1269667262455144449","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1269712101448118274","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1744154773346271469":{"id":"1744154773346271469","date":"2024-01-08 00:31:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So the pump is over? Bags transferred?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1744154773346271469","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4675,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1744154773346271469","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1697285917680210343":{"id":"1697285917680210343","date":"2023-08-31 16:31:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Tell me you've worked on representing in code the zoo of the world's financial instruments without telling me yada yada.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1697285917680210343","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4758,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1697285917680210343","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2038320659005124912":{"id":"2038320659005124912","date":"2026-03-29 18:21:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In case everyon'e missed it, @robinhanson has been advocating on X and on CNBC recently for the position that \"maybe insider trading on prediction markets ain't so bad\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"2038320659005124912","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2038334938894811151","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":128,"retweets":5,"replies":7,"quotes":6,"views":60121,"bookmarks":22,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2038320659005124912","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1256638676651487233":{"id":"1256638676651487233","date":"2020-05-02 17:36:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @darjohn25 The people who've \"always wanted to get into finance\" make for the worst traders. Sample size = hundreds. Thousands maybe.\n\nIdeal is a smart person who likes solving problems, isn't even really aware of finance, and slowly starts to realize that it could be a thing for him/her.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1256625536287137792","reply_id":"1256633553560969223","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1256638676651487233","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1788975150647636442":{"id":"1788975150647636442","date":"2024-05-10 16:51:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Update: I got a DM and the answer was predictable.\n\n- A very high hourly rate for a few hours,\nOR\n- Nothing if they manage the assets because they charge on AUM.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788969245222850997","reply_id":"1788969245222850997","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":46,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3575,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788975150647636442","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1633130456890871808":{"id":"1633130456890871808","date":"2023-03-07 15:40:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @AnodyneCode @TCK_JRubano @KrisAbdelmessih My kids used to identify each other in the characters of the books.\n\n\"You're a Grogg.\"\n\"No way, I'm Alex.\"\n\netc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632931055920615426","reply_id":"1633129744651755520","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":283,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633130456890871808","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1377999092660326401":{"id":"1377999092660326401","date":"2021-04-02 14:59:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"6/ Some (obvious to some) priors I hold about markets:\n\n- Volumes are higher on Fridays.\n- Almost all US equity up-drift happens overnight.\n- Options MMs don't *try* to pin stocks to strikes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377999087644012544","reply_id":"1377999091649548295","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":20,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1377999092660326401","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1298800512368689153":{"id":"1298800512368689153","date":"2020-08-27 01:52:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Almost all the mistakes I've made trying to do sexy deep ML in trading came from not thinking deeply enough about SNR.\n\nIf you're at all competent, you're already thinking hard about heteroskedasticity, fat tails, lookahead bias, Goodhart, etc. And how to avoid those issues.\n\n1/3","hashtags":[],"conv":"1298800512368689153","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1298800512368689153","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1622482030272593921":{"id":"1622482030272593921","date":"2023-02-06 06:27:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 It's useful. But I've seen it overemphasized. It's no substitute for thinking very hard about architecture and structure, for example.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1622471181755641857","reply_id":"1622471181755641857","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":285,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1622482030272593921","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1302328664453865473":{"id":"1302328664453865473","date":"2020-09-05 19:32:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"It is difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends upon his not understanding it.\" - Upton Sinclair\n\nThis interacts poorly with the fact that more and more jobs are information processing in nature...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1302328664453865473","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1302328664453865473","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1792395734865895744":{"id":"1792395734865895744","date":"2024-05-20 03:23:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AffectiveAutism @robinhanson @tylercowen Agreed, but its very lack of size kills it. Markets work as aggregators of liquidity.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1651947037645217793","reply_id":"1792382826609844548","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AffectiveAutism","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":70,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1792395734865895744","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1423432333512773632":{"id":"1423432333512773632","date":"2021-08-05 23:54:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 @spotgamma Option 1: There's free money lying on the floor.\nOption 2: There's something wrong with the tools or my interpretation of the tools.\n\nYes sometimes it's 1, but pretty darn rarely.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1423287776238260224","reply_id":"1423429165269884928","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1423432333512773632","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1603808616959528960":{"id":"1603808616959528960","date":"2022-12-16 17:45:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Precisely. Mastodon isn't a solution to anything.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1603808616959528960","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":2684,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1603808616959528960","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1516422230439247883":{"id":"1516422230439247883","date":"2022-04-19 14:23:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jbarker_c @therobotjames It *is* hard.\n\nProbably you want some good prior for why the trade exists, then just go do it in small size in prod for a while.\n\nDisappointing I know but...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1516331323022983169","reply_id":"1516420539073667086","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jbarker_c","likes":9,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1516422230439247883","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2046477787779723724":{"id":"2046477787779723724","date":"2026-04-21 06:35:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is the kind of reasoning I love.\n\nA simple model that shows why something seemingly simple isn't so simple.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2046477787779723724","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":87,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":21130,"bookmarks":65,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2046477787779723724","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1267593941446082560":{"id":"1267593941446082560","date":"2020-06-01 23:08:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@chanep @CliffordAsness @MonocleMan1 @verdadcap Be careful what you wish for, right? :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1267453473483886594","reply_id":"1267548820772134912","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"chanep","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1267593941446082560","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1937883209666351473":{"id":"1937883209666351473","date":"2025-06-25 14:38:55","author":"Antonio García Martínez (agm.eth)","handle":"antoniogm","text":"New Yorkers are falling for third-worldist socialism like some uncontacted tribe dying from smallpox due to lack of exposure. Anyone from Miami, a refuge from that political smallpox, recognizes this Mamdani guy: actually upper-class, glib with great aesthetics, promising utopias that will require authoritarianism to implement, always reciting the slogans of whatever post-colonial struggle du jour, always enmeshed in some pan-whatever campaign of globalist solidarity, trumpeting the national literacy rate from atop a personality cult while obscuring empty shelves and political prisoners, never acknowledging failure, inevitably plunging their countries into a nosedive it takes generations to recover from. \n\nHis middle name 'Kwame' is from Kwame Nkhrumah, exactly that figure for Ghana. It's all so stale and cliché, and can only seem new from inside a polity innocent of the dangerous schtick.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1937883209666351473","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1938163816447013287","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3763,"retweets":443,"replies":108,"quotes":51,"views":236511,"bookmarks":567,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/antoniogm/status/1937883209666351473"},"1562618235970760705":{"id":"1562618235970760705","date":"2022-08-25 01:49:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Once I become ruler of the world, will the death penalty be too severe to punish violators of my \"you shall write dates in ISO format\" decree?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1562618235970760705","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1562618235970760705","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1641869506837356545":{"id":"1641869506837356545","date":"2023-03-31 18:26:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@chriseberly @theemilyaccount Especially C++.\n\nIf you're not Bjarne, \"expert C++\" is a clear negative on a resume.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1641524731386929156","reply_id":"1641851407245377556","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"chriseberly","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":70,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1641869506837356545","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1346141087174283265":{"id":"1346141087174283265","date":"2021-01-04 17:06:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"14/ Ok, that's enough for today. Need to do some real work. Tune in tomorrow when we start talking about vol.\n\nWTF is \"implied vol\" anyway, and why does it matter so much?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346141086180208642","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":61,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346141087174283265","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1923488265828696563":{"id":"1923488265828696563","date":"2025-05-16 21:18:33","author":"will depue","handle":"willdepue","text":"of course, this changes if you're at a startup/high-growth company, because then you're more playing the P(10 ^ company value) game not the n_years game. one is exponential, so utility returns to linear if you succeed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1923484298570760609","reply_id":"1923488264847229208","quote_id":"1923991969199521792","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"willdepue","likes":300,"retweets":3,"replies":6,"quotes":2,"views":61605,"bookmarks":38,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/willdepue/status/1923488265828696563"},"1498157832008388608":{"id":"1498157832008388608","date":"2022-02-28 04:47:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@probabilistic_ @InBraised There's value to some of his stuff. IMHO it's just buried under piles of over-mathematization and self-regard.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1498146053366845441","reply_id":"1498157136957816836","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"probabilistic_","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1498157832008388608","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1390415241251475457":{"id":"1390415241251475457","date":"2021-05-06 21:16:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SuperMugatu Yes. There weren't enough people tweeting out market predictions, so...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1390413986441609223","reply_id":"1390413986441609223","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SuperMugatu","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1390415241251475457","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1544438757222363137":{"id":"1544438757222363137","date":"2022-07-05 21:51:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brrrzooka @therobotjames ☝️☝️☝️\n\nReason: because a thousand ML grad students and interns have already tried that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1544425285268844544","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1544438757222363137","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1944124685270257740":{"id":"1944124685270257740","date":"2025-07-12 20:00:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 @theo Maybe not.\nhttps://x.com/davegpack/status/1944054325959176239","hashtags":[],"conv":"1944060716295893233","reply_id":"1944122877986714091","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1250,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1944124685270257740","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1350457945293635585":{"id":"1350457945293635585","date":"2021-01-16 15:00:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@chanep Lol, definitely! Same with merger arb.\n\nIn the real world there are no *true* arbs. It's an idealization.\n\nThe only real arb is if I ask you for money and you give it to me. But even then, you could pull out a gun and ask for it back! Every trade has risk. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1350300311672418304","reply_id":"1350435622004121602","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"chanep","likes":3,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1350457945293635585","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1478429252794007552":{"id":"1478429252794007552","date":"2022-01-04 18:12:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@1balasub @0xdoug Without taking sides here, there two counterarguments:\n\n- Winner-take-all (or most) invalidates \"vote with your feet\". Look at airline point devaluations as an example.\n- There is an optimal amount of stealing. We can debate how much it is but it's clearly > 0.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1478418409801101318","reply_id":"1478427705116872705","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xghoadzilla","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1478429252794007552","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2013261902365831304":{"id":"2013261902365831304","date":"2026-01-19 14:46:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I want to like @superset_sh but:\n- It requires you to log into some sort of account. Why?\n- It requires your dirs to be Github repos. Why?\n- There isn't any apparent language on what data they collect.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2013261902365831304","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3646,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2013261902365831304","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1797080137630113821":{"id":"1797080137630113821","date":"2024-06-02 01:37:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@healy_trader @where_is_hardo I have no idea how the two connect but I love it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1797065140619382958","reply_id":"1797079940682146079","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"healy_trader","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":69,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1797080137630113821","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1950101222658035757":{"id":"1950101222658035757","date":"2025-07-29 07:48:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolaTim Ken Griffin rn.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1950083518056300991","reply_id":"1950083518056300991","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolaTim","likes":32,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1301,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1950101222658035757","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1448102548716457987":{"id":"1448102548716457987","date":"2021-10-13 01:45:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RandyMartingale @drewg__ @therobotjames I've heard the same thing, but I've always been a bit suspicious of that claim.\n\nIIUC, Prediction Company (Doyne Farmer) was pretty black box.\n\nPDT was basically pairs trading for a long time, which is pretty white box.\n\nI could be wrong though.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448086924330246151","reply_id":"1448101976307343364","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RandyMartingale","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448102548716457987","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1323340924424867840":{"id":"1323340924424867840","date":"2020-11-02 19:07:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm It's the wrong parallel though. We're not talking about external revolutionaries overthrowing the government. The historical parallels are:\n\n- V Putin\n- Hugo Chavez\n- Josip Tito\n- Papa Doc\n\nElected leaders who stayed on past their terms. Not revolution, rather consolidation.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1323331881572601856","reply_id":"1323333558556004354","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1323340924424867840","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1528702102024904704":{"id":"1528702102024904704","date":"2022-05-23 11:39:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"NFT lending? Crypto pawn shop.\nOvercollateralized lending? Crypto loan shark.\n\nI guess the plan is to build out the full set of working-class financial services: layaway, payday loans, scammy annuities, etc.\n\nWhat else am I missing?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1528702102024904704","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":30,"retweets":2,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1528702102024904704","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1401961382464004100":{"id":"1401961382464004100","date":"2021-06-07 17:56:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Best 80s cartoon character?\n\nI'ma go with Starscream, though Zartan master-of-disguise was pretty good too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1401961382464004100","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1401961382464004100","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1899712387420164493":{"id":"1899712387420164493","date":"2025-03-12 06:41:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AlexPalcuie @Lifrordi Programming != knowing how computers work.\n\nAsk the average React dev what an L2 cache is. It's at least 2 layers of abstraction below their knowledge stack.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1899490949530571095","reply_id":"1899591625279475922","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AlexPalcuie","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":272,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1899712387420164493","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1449017735204147209":{"id":"1449017735204147209","date":"2021-10-15 14:22:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@steven36885815 @experquisite @theemilyaccount @lightspringfox @drewg__ Well, surely a reject is an event that will update your state.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448975193511182344","reply_id":"1449017302633140226","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"steven36885815","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1449017735204147209","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1313494366586130440":{"id":"1313494366586130440","date":"2020-10-06 15:00:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@petergarnry @jump_diffusion @BruceKnuteson It's a strat that makes sense for people who are already doing MM. You fade in one direction early in the day, then in the other.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1313313708899139584","reply_id":"1313377798527111170","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"petergarnry","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1313494366586130440","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1450622792848723969":{"id":"1450622792848723969","date":"2021-10-20 00:39:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lightspringfox @KrisAbdelmessih @Ksidiii I've done that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1450110996744441856","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1450622792848723969","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1518349535503781889":{"id":"1518349535503781889","date":"2022-04-24 22:01:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Large language models have proven pretty conclusively that we're all just Chinese rooms too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1518349535503781889","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1518349535503781889","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1260671584764784640":{"id":"1260671584764784640","date":"2020-05-13 20:41:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein The \"secret\" has nothing to do with finance or trading. It's the same secret that every successful firm has:\n\n- How they hire.\n- Who they hire.\n- How they train.\n- How they manage.\n- How they fix mistakes and improve.\n\nRenTec is a Rorschach. People see what they want to see.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1260670317946499072","reply_id":"1260670317946499072","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1260671584764784640","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1486861627852947456":{"id":"1486861627852947456","date":"2022-01-28 00:40:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I love crypto.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486861627852947456","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1486861627852947456_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1486861627852947456","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2046902850228216015":{"id":"2046902850228216015","date":"2026-04-22 10:44:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Me learning about tqdm.contrib.telegram","hashtags":[],"conv":"2046902850228216015","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3745,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2046902850228216015","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2026331526145753302":{"id":"2026331526145753302","date":"2026-02-24 16:20:57","author":"Watcher.Guru","handle":"WatcherGuru","text":"JUST IN: 🇺🇸 White House says President Trump will not pardon Sam Bankman-Fried.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2026331526145753302","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2026396324833247696","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10593,"retweets":659,"replies":795,"quotes":248,"views":2437977,"bookmarks":192,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/WatcherGuru/status/2026331526145753302"},"1493431387596091392":{"id":"1493431387596091392","date":"2022-02-15 03:46:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @theemilyaccount @salr_nyc I'd agree with this. The notion of meritocracy implied by the results of the poll... we've definitely lost something as a society.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493387393142976512","reply_id":"1493430590648901636","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493431387596091392","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1984923886547263634":{"id":"1984923886547263634","date":"2025-11-02 10:01:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Look at the OP. Bitching about societal sickness but can't be arsed to find a wife to have kids with because he's too busy working a thousand hours a week and printing money at OpenAI.\n\nThe hypocrisy is breathtaking.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1984922771592532383","reply_id":"1984923119069634602","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":47,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1803,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1984923886547263634","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2070870017046929579":{"id":"2070870017046929579","date":"2026-06-27 14:01:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Yes you're right, and I owe you an explanation.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"2070870017046929579","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":37,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":7641,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2070870017046929579","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1503884583745449985":{"id":"1503884583745449985","date":"2022-03-16 00:03:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's almost as if...\nnow hear me out...\nfinding the right human brains to fit in with all your other human brains is...\nan actual difficult problem or something?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503884581900111873","reply_id":"1503884581900111873","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1503884583745449985","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1979040568601727344":{"id":"1979040568601727344","date":"2025-10-17 04:23:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@kamikaz1_k Altman and his investors stealing hundreds of billions from the non-profit.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1978732971340284321","reply_id":"1979018635218657577","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"kamikaz1_k","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":269,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1979040568601727344","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1585407237740036096":{"id":"1585407237740036096","date":"2022-10-26 23:05:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3/ The hard part about programming isn't translating what you want into code.\n\nIt's understanding your problem SO WELL that you can ELI5 it to a thing that's... actually much stupider than a 5 year old.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1585407235311964168","reply_id":"1585407236599615490","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":51,"retweets":8,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1585407237740036096","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1700594441021689925":{"id":"1700594441021689925","date":"2023-09-09 19:38:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I know the Germans have a word for everything, but I doubt they have one for:\n\n\"That feeling you get when you're not smart enough to solve your kids' AoPS Geometry Beast problem by some elegant construction, so you resort to trig and was it cheating?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1700594441021689925","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":31,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":7583,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1700594441021689925","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1481471720405946370":{"id":"1481471720405946370","date":"2022-01-13 03:42:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @Buy_The_Dip_ @FREAK0NAUT @vixologist @kchoudhu That's some real self-flagellation!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481302561592422402","reply_id":"1481471563702878210","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1481471720405946370","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1488919365244182529":{"id":"1488919365244182529","date":"2022-02-02 16:56:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"pas·sion\n/'paSHən/\n\n1. a strong and barely controllable emotion.\n2. the suffering and death of Jesus.\n\n---\n\nThink about this definition before deciding how many times to use this word in your job descriptions.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1488919365244182529","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1488919365244182529","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1962181738144178305":{"id":"1962181738144178305","date":"2025-08-31 15:52:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Why is this the funniest scene in Argentine cinema ever?\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZkIKub9pDxU","hashtags":[],"conv":"1962181738144178305","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":5139,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1962181738144178305","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1505020906745204742":{"id":"1505020906745204742","date":"2022-03-19 03:18:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @therobotjames @nope_its_lily @averygrrl @KrisAbdelmessih Being able to hold down a tarp in heavy wind?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1504630847445643266","reply_id":"1504692818794921991","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505020906745204742","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1454910964298498053":{"id":"1454910964298498053","date":"2021-10-31 20:39:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @lightspringfox @WallStreetCorgi There's a (rare) converse that's just as bad.\n- Write some inspired piece of code.\n- Maybe even write some tests.\n- It works. I'm a genius.\n- Later try to change/expand it.\n- Realize you've surely gotten dumber because you don't get it.\n- Re-read Flowers For Algernon.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1454900613427441666","reply_id":"1454910101853073408","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1454910964298498053","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1962114238006091902":{"id":"1962114238006091902","date":"2025-08-31 11:24:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It sounds absurd only because our priors are that it's ridiculous.\n\nLook, I like the streaming hypothesis. I'm rather partial to it actually. But \"showing why\" needs a much higher bar than just picking a theory and then finding correlations to that theory.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1962114230758326689","reply_id":"1962114236206678185","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2331,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1962114238006091902","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1638725005205999618":{"id":"1638725005205999618","date":"2023-03-23 02:11:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@longskew One of those has a short half life.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1638720253801951232","reply_id":"1638724705107738625","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"longskew","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2518,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1638725005205999618","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1783176690283471300":{"id":"1783176690283471300","date":"2024-04-24 16:50:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I'd like to report a murder at the Crucible Theater.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1783176690283471300","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":2214,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1783176690283471300_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1783176690283471300","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1354258630032257025":{"id":"1354258630032257025","date":"2021-01-27 02:43:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein I guess maybe we didn't define what \"it\" is to begin with.\n\nI do agree that the feature that's different is the speed. But still, to quote Slim Charles:\n\n\"The game's the same. Just got more fierce.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1354236654123438081","reply_id":"1354249905083215875","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1354258630032257025","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1471873797850501121":{"id":"1471873797850501121","date":"2021-12-17 16:03:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@drewg__ We'll get there... :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471872923551997955","reply_id":"1471873267568947205","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bookdepth","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471873797850501121","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1843894676249817201":{"id":"1843894676249817201","date":"2024-10-09 06:02:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 These are all excellent arguments. And I wonder what a smart 100-year-ago person would have trotted out about bathrooms...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1843881323334934924","reply_id":"1843884816221253714","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":467,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1843894676249817201","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1377999087644012544":{"id":"1377999087644012544","date":"2021-04-02 14:59:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ A short thread about priors.\n\n- What are they?\n- Why do we need them?\n- A few specific priors I hold.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377999087644012544","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":65,"retweets":12,"replies":2,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":40,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1377999087644012544","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2071510933302546667":{"id":"2071510933302546667","date":"2026-06-29 08:27:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"US policy decision-making.\n\nDoor #1: Restrict Mythos-class models to friends.\n\n1a: Against all odds, China somehow doesn't catch up. Great, you \"win\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"2071510933302546667","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":58,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":14298,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2071510933302546667","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1432424723925721089":{"id":"1432424723925721089","date":"2021-08-30 19:27:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I'm no fan of addiction-by-design games, but this is very true.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1432424723925721089","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1432424723925721089","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1847621572728652120":{"id":"1847621572728652120","date":"2024-10-19 12:51:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@W98AB Upsides:\n- Car-less lifestyle, public transport is really good\n- Cost of living\n- Novelty: language, culture, etc\n- It's a high-trust society\n\nDownsides:\n- Bureaucracy\n- Weather (not yet a big deal but soon)\n- Lack of US creature comforts (living space, ease of shopping, etc).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847610792113316169","reply_id":"1847620367931605223","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"W98AB","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":652,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847621572728652120","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1633934258208407552":{"id":"1633934258208407552","date":"2023-03-09 20:54:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"6/ But what if we can *reduce* the reliance on blind trust of your counterparty?\n\nThat would already be a big win.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633934250620891136","reply_id":"1633934256794902528","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3067,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633934258208407552","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1434876654493392900":{"id":"1434876654493392900","date":"2021-09-06 13:50:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If you really want to enrage the paper tiger Twitter experts, apparently all you need to do is ask them for sources of evidence for their strongly held beliefs and claims.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434876654493392900","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":31,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434876654493392900","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1510086188140417027":{"id":"1510086188140417027","date":"2022-04-02 02:46:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sukhoiConvexity Seriously, it makes a lot of sense. How hard is it to get an account, some API keys and start deploying stuff?\n\nOr get a Metamask wallet and start farming some yield.\n\nUnless you're a true new grad, what's the excuse for not messing around with it?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1509909484629630984","reply_id":"1509909484629630984","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sukhoiConvexity","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1510086188140417027","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1591811199402147840":{"id":"1591811199402147840","date":"2022-11-13 15:12:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Worth noting that most big CEXes are in fact 3 things vertically integrated:\n\n1. Broker-dealer. Stadium-naming get-users part.\n2. Captive exchange. Get them fees.\n3. Related-party prop firm. Build volume, make $.\n\nThere's a reason tradfi doesn't vertically integrate this way...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1591811199402147840","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":93,"retweets":3,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1591811199402147840","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1434965109164556290":{"id":"1434965109164556290","date":"2021-09-06 19:41:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Addendum because I already got a DM about it: the people I most like to read on the Twitter are people who seem enthralled with learning new things.\n\n@KrisAbdelmessih @ReformedTrader @nope_its_lily @vgr and a bunch of others I'm sure I'm forgetting.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434963956599193601","reply_id":"1434963977553911809","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434965109164556290","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1780702237221876213":{"id":"1780702237221876213","date":"2024-04-17 20:57:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bookdepth That GC ain't getting used much anymore, at least where it matters.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1780657203671650815","reply_id":"1780657203671650815","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bookdepth","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":976,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1780702237221876213","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1920434652927414478":{"id":"1920434652927414478","date":"2025-05-08 11:04:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Remember that movie where Viggo Mortensen's character has wisdom and skills beyond his seemingly lowly station, and at the end we learn that he's actually someone else with higher status?\n\nLOTR\nEastern Promises\nA History of Violence\nTodos Tenemos Un Plan\netc","hashtags":[],"conv":"1920434652927414478","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2426,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1920434652927414478","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1476787449120624643":{"id":"1476787449120624643","date":"2021-12-31 05:28:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@StuartYoung95 @JDcarlu This is a fundamental philosophical question IMO.\n\nLibertarians would argue there's no connection. Given I lie more on the pragmatic/utilitarian end of the spectrum, I'm partial to (good) arguments of the form \"saving people from themselves\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476775525066571778","reply_id":"1476784972325220353","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"StuartYoung95","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476787449120624643","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1494874129979174915":{"id":"1494874129979174915","date":"2022-02-19 03:19:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@PetLizardBeta Depends.\n\nWere you reading Medium articles by professional crypto takesmiths?\n\nIf so that's on you, not your age.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494870938273435651","reply_id":"1494870938273435651","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"return_stacking","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494874129979174915","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1474508923424043008":{"id":"1474508923424043008","date":"2021-12-24 22:34:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @brrrzooka @MidwestHedgie @neoliberal_dad @bennpeifert @bauhiniacapital @SkeleCap @CrookedCapital @valueterminal @ZakDavid @raaleh @BongCapital @justinaknope 🙏 May your waters be filled with... (checks what octopi eat) snails and small fishes... in 2022.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1474484807430254599","reply_id":"1474487699461521411","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1474508923424043008","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1477043968495915008":{"id":"1477043968495915008","date":"2021-12-31 22:28:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_Dave__White_ Squeeth is awesome dude, take a bow for that one!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477041839978913792","reply_id":"1477043578241126402","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_Dave__White_","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477043968495915008","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1995437336092717282":{"id":"1995437336092717282","date":"2025-12-01 10:18:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"He had answers to all your questions. It all seemed to make sense. And you could really really use a money tree.\n\nIn the end it came down to a simple decision: yes or no.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1995437299719602642","reply_id":"1995437331655070081","quote_id":"1995887963675460000","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":1,"views":38864,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1995437336092717282","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1808158535177720182":{"id":"1808158535177720182","date":"2024-07-02 15:19:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Or all the ones since Jens Voigt retired, AFAIC.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1808145625155854817","reply_id":"1808145625155854817","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":257,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1808158535177720182","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1934563284453036526":{"id":"1934563284453036526","date":"2025-06-16 10:46:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"SBF was *not* one of the best traders at Jane Street. Not even close in fact.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1934563284453036526","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3007,"retweets":35,"replies":62,"quotes":6,"views":615600,"bookmarks":426,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1934563284453036526","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1796002631544107176":{"id":"1796002631544107176","date":"2024-05-30 02:16:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Linkedin understands my expertise so well it's eerie.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1796002631544107176","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2248,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1796002631544107176_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1796002631544107176","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1627398133193019392":{"id":"1627398133193019392","date":"2023-02-19 20:02:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 @realeigenvalues Very much so.\n\nFor example, \"sales trader\" ain't no trader. Etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1627148361248956417","reply_id":"1627398013609185280","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":532,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1627398133193019392","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1722640083743031578":{"id":"1722640083743031578","date":"2023-11-09 15:39:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"As a follow-up because people asked, here is a dataset I have. N=212,288. I sorted the data then plotted std(data[i:-i]) as a function of i.\n\nNotice how the real data has outliers which massively mess up statistics like std. Unlike a normal dist.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1722380090070409234","reply_id":"1722380090070409234","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":1293,"bookmarks":3,"media":["1722640083743031578_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1722640083743031578","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1676988299670593536":{"id":"1676988299670593536","date":"2023-07-06 16:15:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbacarella @nikitabier Best out of the ones still at FB in 2023.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1676981900693602304","reply_id":"1676986711338020864","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbacarella","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":180,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1676988299670593536","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1377999095017574400":{"id":"1377999095017574400","date":"2021-04-02 14:59:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"8/ Levels of belief:\nA - I really believe this and it would take a lot of data to convince me otherwise.\nB - I'm pretty sure this is true, but it wouldn't shock me if I believed differently in 5 years.\nC - I kinda think this is true.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377999087644012544","reply_id":"1377999093692174346","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1377999095017574400","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1532517500801323008":{"id":"1532517500801323008","date":"2022-06-03 00:20:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@anondeguerre @CanteringClark @therobotjames @macrocephalopod Krusty brand imitation gruel.\n9 out of 10 orphans can't taste the difference.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1532494929968365568","reply_id":"1532514470655819785","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"anondeguerre","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1532517500801323008","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2070861547841196358":{"id":"2070861547841196358","date":"2026-06-27 13:27:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This blog post still lives rent-free in my head.\nhttps://johnsalvatier.org/blog/2017/reality-has-a-surprising-amount-of-detail\n\nI think the AI labs would do well to read it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2070861547841196358","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":533,"retweets":24,"replies":15,"quotes":6,"views":46081,"bookmarks":750,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2070861547841196358","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1984970151662359035":{"id":"1984970151662359035","date":"2025-11-02 13:05:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JohnR_151 Agreed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1984922771592532383","reply_id":"1984966632188395704","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jroberson151","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":94,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1984970151662359035","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1519045059701735424":{"id":"1519045059701735424","date":"2022-04-26 20:05:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Use npm.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1519044689575481344","reply_id":"1519044689575481344","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1519045059701735424","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1590766403535384578":{"id":"1590766403535384578","date":"2022-11-10 18:00:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"✅\n\nLeverage isn't inherently bad.\nGo buy a house without a mortgage.\n\nBad leverage is bad.\nSo let's figure out how to enable good leverage.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1590766403535384578","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":33,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1590766403535384578","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1530011307084107776":{"id":"1530011307084107776","date":"2022-05-27 02:21:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Words that should disappear from the English language. Go.\n\nI'll start: ideate.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1530011307084107776","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":60,"retweets":2,"replies":75,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1530011307084107776","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2006845393724911619":{"id":"2006845393724911619","date":"2026-01-01 21:50:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dwarkesh_sp ?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2006845357918138438","reply_id":"2006845357918138438","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2703,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2006845393724911619","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2051377493622522027":{"id":"2051377493622522027","date":"2026-05-04 19:04:41","author":"Robin Hanson","handle":"robinhanson","text":"@grant_melson @MorlockP Hoard? It’s almost all invested","hashtags":[],"conv":"2051307674411671670","reply_id":"2051307674411671670","quote_id":"2051655246284276081","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"grant_melson","likes":124,"retweets":2,"replies":14,"quotes":1,"views":24709,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/robinhanson/status/2051377493622522027"},"1686006568259829760":{"id":"1686006568259829760","date":"2023-07-31 13:31:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TaiwanQuant @larpcapitalwc @therobotjames 🙏🙏🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1685917847439265793","reply_id":"1685917847439265793","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TaiwanQuant","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":202,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1686006568259829760","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1477761836162314241":{"id":"1477761836162314241","date":"2022-01-02 22:00:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@stemmerer @VolatilitySwan @merrittblack He's been mentioned already somewhere in the replies! 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477320189653893121","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477761836162314241","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1977443768023281958":{"id":"1977443768023281958","date":"2025-10-12 18:38:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@amir_harati Fair enough, but \"99% of you are using it wrong\" is less punchy. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1977279654945079661","reply_id":"1977443433125138732","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"amir_harati","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":434,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1977443768023281958","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1713569479240888329":{"id":"1713569479240888329","date":"2023-10-15 14:56:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@joseph_h_garvin Ew that's gross.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1713434184931291538","reply_id":"1713434184931291538","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"joseph_h_garvin","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":44,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1713569479240888329","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1903851051628765202":{"id":"1903851051628765202","date":"2025-03-23 16:47:17","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"@ScottPh77711570 Anyway I will post my standard advice which will improve outcomes for 99% of retail traders here — you should stop trading, stop paying for online courses and subscriptions, work on getting better at your job, get a raise, and put the extra money into index funds.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1903620381216538951","reply_id":"1903848648741355632","quote_id":"1903889760483238169","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":1389,"retweets":79,"replies":43,"quotes":50,"views":760278,"bookmarks":293,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1903851051628765202"},"1506849067413999620":{"id":"1506849067413999620","date":"2022-03-24 04:23:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano @macrocephalopod Masters of the phone turrets are a sight to watch in full flight.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1506745769319145472","reply_id":"1506848636105334784","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1506849067413999620_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1506849067413999620","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1390665196822167556":{"id":"1390665196822167556","date":"2021-05-07 13:49:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod Lemme simplify that for everyone else:\n\n1\n1/sqrt(2)\n👨👩\n1/sqrt(3)\n🚬🍀\n1/e\npi/10\ne/10\n1/fine structure constant\n\nBasics of trading here.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1390662116072464384","reply_id":"1390662116072464384","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1390665196822167556","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1916566727548186716":{"id":"1916566727548186716","date":"2025-04-27 18:54:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It surprising how often I feel like a joint venture of Matsumura Fishworks and the Tamaribuchi Heavy Manufacturing Concern.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1916566727548186716","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2363,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1916566727548186716","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1845552534733095108":{"id":"1845552534733095108","date":"2024-10-13 19:49:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih Yeah, same process and numbers from me. Even though it's basically useless, I still like being able to price options in my head.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1845525902903701627","reply_id":"1845525902903701627","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1084,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1845552534733095108","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1384567607316017154":{"id":"1384567607316017154","date":"2021-04-20 18:00:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I just answered an emailed question. I suspect @KrisAbdelmessih @SinclairEuan @therobotjames and others get these too.\n\n\"I'm a smart engineering/CS/math student/graduate. How do I get into quant trading?\"\n\nA thread. 👉\n\n1/n","hashtags":[],"conv":"1384567607316017154","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":108,"retweets":16,"replies":5,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":62,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1384567607316017154","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1270523326159454208":{"id":"1270523326159454208","date":"2020-06-10 01:09:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@chatinvesting \"There's a sell button?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1270522853889171458","reply_id":"1270523164439838720","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"chatinvesting","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1270523326159454208","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1978485166877327464":{"id":"1978485166877327464","date":"2025-10-15 15:36:36","author":"Eliezer Yudkowsky","handle":"allTheYud","text":"I wonder how the financial magnitude of this theft compares to the total amount of theft in the 21st century USA so far?  Wouldn't surprise me if it's a majority.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1978485166877327464","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1978732971340284321","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":439,"retweets":10,"replies":14,"quotes":2,"views":124251,"bookmarks":107,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/allTheYud/status/1978485166877327464"},"1511845851940884483":{"id":"1511845851940884483","date":"2022-04-06 23:18:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nearcausality @therobotjames @HangukQuant @darjohn25 How is that even possible... the man was a force of nature.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1511706685475151872","reply_id":"1511845243964043264","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nearcausality","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1511845851940884483","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1414333678491029505":{"id":"1414333678491029505","date":"2021-07-11 21:20:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"E-bikes: the virtue-self-signaling solution to the problem that exercise requires... you know... effort.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1414333678491029505","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1414333678491029505","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1590727033629605889":{"id":"1590727033629605889","date":"2022-11-10 15:24:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod It's not.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1590726242042802177","reply_id":"1590726242042802177","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1590727033629605889","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1934659270085111860":{"id":"1934659270085111860","date":"2025-06-16 17:08:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VanburenEvan I don't know anything about that macro/funda style of trading.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1934563284453036526","reply_id":"1934653729946653044","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VanburenEvan","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":7695,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1934659270085111860","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1563903475158724608":{"id":"1563903475158724608","date":"2022-08-28 14:56:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @NewRiverInvest FORTRAN","hashtags":[],"conv":"1563694472411525122","reply_id":"1563832945705684994","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1563903475158724608_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1563903475158724608","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1811137710457016350":{"id":"1811137710457016350","date":"2024-07-10 20:37:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alz_zyd_ It has for the 1% who has the self-motivation to take advantage. The other 99% are in the same boat they've always been.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1811136198196531450","reply_id":"1811136198196531450","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alz_zyd_","likes":30,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":2789,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1811137710457016350","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1760076888603763001":{"id":"1760076888603763001","date":"2024-02-20 23:00:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Type-driven development: it's like the other TDD except you catch bugs before you write them, not after.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1760076888603763001","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2142,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1760076888603763001","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1912957435486044487":{"id":"1912957435486044487","date":"2025-04-17 19:52:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"No offense to the MQFE people out there, it's just that the signal-to-noise ratio is abysmal.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1912956767920664834","reply_id":"1912956767920664834","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":63,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":8623,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1912957435486044487","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2053938895491146114":{"id":"2053938895491146114","date":"2026-05-11 20:42:47","author":"Thinking Machines","handle":"thinkymachines","text":"Tessa's quality of life has improved a lot with some nagging.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2053938892152435174","reply_id":"2053938893914005560","quote_id":"2054101770775769146","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"thinkymachines","likes":1152,"retweets":34,"replies":53,"quotes":62,"views":305076,"bookmarks":213,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/thinkymachines/status/2053938895491146114"},"1565147641352110081":{"id":"1565147641352110081","date":"2022-09-01 01:20:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @0xDeCeFi Harvard selects for IQ and the ability to very diligently cross i's and dot t's.\n\nThose are very useful skills to identify. That plus the social network and there's a lot of value there.\n\nBut there's nothing special about what they do to the kids they accept.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1565045174534750208","reply_id":"1565129509644275712","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1565147641352110081","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1523823217521029120":{"id":"1523823217521029120","date":"2022-05-10 00:32:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount You mean that one person in the corner the brogrammers always pick on?\n\nI always feel for them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1523822800154382337","reply_id":"1523822800154382337","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1523823217521029120","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1153362895096258560":{"id":"1153362895096258560","date":"2019-07-22 17:55:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@chanep Thanks Ernie. Having conducted ~1800 interviews in my life, the one thing I learned is that interviewing is incredibly difficult to do well.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1153302760848334848","reply_id":"1153302760848334848","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"chanep","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1153362895096258560","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1420131154670219265":{"id":"1420131154670219265","date":"2021-07-27 21:17:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"From an information theoretic point of view, they CAN’T tell you anything you couldn’t otherwise have gotten from the original data! 😢\n\n10/n","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420131145669169153","reply_id":"1420131153772646400","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420131154670219265","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2015765631941939441":{"id":"2015765631941939441","date":"2026-01-26 12:35:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"LLMs may be incredibly good at some coding things, but there is DEFINITELY still stuff it can't do nearly as well as I can. I don't mean architecture either. Real hands-on-keyboard finicky-details stuff.\n\nLet's see how long that lasts.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2015765631941939441","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":47,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":6747,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2015765631941939441","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1492679618553286658":{"id":"1492679618553286658","date":"2022-02-13 01:58:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mistman78 I don't know about a *lot* but I'm sure there are some.\n\nI agree that as a society we overvalue conformity in many research/exploratory positions.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1492622868634431488","reply_id":"1492671188526673920","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mistman78","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1492679618553286658","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1539095744925540353":{"id":"1539095744925540353","date":"2022-06-21 03:59:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"You know what arguing about crypto needed all this time?\n\nAn injection of arguing about vol and inverse-ETF-rebal drag.\n\n👀🍿","hashtags":[],"conv":"1539095744925540353","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1539095744925540353","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1768485718136087028":{"id":"1768485718136087028","date":"2024-03-15 03:53:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih WTF.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1768467553050079653","reply_id":"1768467553050079653","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":764,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1768485718136087028","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1546931756091158528":{"id":"1546931756091158528","date":"2022-07-12 18:57:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"6/ Rick and Morty quick hits on YouTube may be fun but it’s the worst kind of mindless time-wasting. Learn to use these buttons:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546931744426758145","reply_id":"1546931752131706880","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1546931756091158528_1.png","1546931756091158528_2.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546931756091158528","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1471527969013133313":{"id":"1471527969013133313","date":"2021-12-16 17:09:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Early-stage investing in two sentences:\n\nThe key to being a great early-stage investor isn't having some brilliant insight or ability to detect greatness. It's figuring out how to be the first call the great company makes instead of the tenth.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471527969013133313","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471527969013133313","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1743734269300887738":{"id":"1743734269300887738","date":"2024-01-06 20:40:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@kust1983 That will take longer than what may happen sooner, which is that smart kids no longer engage in the same degree of insane tournament-like behavior to get into them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1743708676043739316","reply_id":"1743731443648327888","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"kust1983","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":284,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1743734269300887738","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1946862315078611105":{"id":"1946862315078611105","date":"2025-07-20 09:18:41","author":"Ana","handle":"wavelettes","text":"Astronomer board of directors was so real for making him step down. I get that it was probs due to the optics of cracking the hr lady - but even if she wasn’t in the org, would u really trust a guy whose libido controls him to the point of tanking his public credibility.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946861685782069527","reply_id":"1946861685782069527","quote_id":"1946869522662576430","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"wavelettes","likes":27,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":8270,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/wavelettes/status/1946862315078611105"},"1434963973649022976":{"id":"1434963973649022976","date":"2021-09-06 19:37:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"18/ Do I *have* to learn this?\n\nThen I start, and I remember that I *like* learning.\n\nAnd that “what’s important” isn’t written in stone.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434963956599193601","reply_id":"1434963972617240577","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":14,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434963973649022976","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1788975537396064656":{"id":"1788975537396064656","date":"2024-05-10 16:53:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What a life!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788975537396064656","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":47,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":5936,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788975537396064656","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1414037104166772736":{"id":"1414037104166772736","date":"2021-07-11 01:41:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sukhoiConvexity Generally true.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1414035934287331330","reply_id":"1414036335933919233","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sukhoiConvexity","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1414037104166772736","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1452068845737312256":{"id":"1452068845737312256","date":"2021-10-24 00:26:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lightspringfox The Conservation Of $ Law","hashtags":[],"conv":"1452066917087264772","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1452068845737312256","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1459991374854438912":{"id":"1459991374854438912","date":"2021-11-14 21:07:23","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"People say a lot of things about trading, and most of it is worthless.\n\nSo it's useful to be able to quickly discard ideas.\n\nLet's take an example... \n\nMany in crypto, including @zhusu, will tell you that buying new highs is a good plan.\n\nIs it? Let's have a look...\n\n1/n","hashtags":[],"conv":"1459991374854438912","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1460043332948688899","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":510,"retweets":95,"replies":14,"quotes":12,"views":0,"bookmarks":449,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1459991374854438912"},"1175247058179018752":{"id":"1175247058179018752","date":"2019-09-21 03:15:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Talked to a few retail traders this week asking me about how funding works, GC, if it's a canary in the coal mine, etc.\n\nSimple answer: unless you have an ISDA, it doesn't affect you.\n\nAnd if it *is* a canary for an equities crash, rest assured you'll be the very last to know.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1175247058179018752","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1175247058179018752","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1416181746345725953":{"id":"1416181746345725953","date":"2021-07-16 23:43:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SoccerMomTrades @maxthrust_ @HandelStats @Jimmyjude13 @TraderSkew @HussainDhala @RealBrianWatt @therobotjames In the computer-mediated way that people meet these days. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1416139950194454528","reply_id":"1416180500977356802","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SoccerMomTrades","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1416181746345725953","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1390168486345723908":{"id":"1390168486345723908","date":"2021-05-06 04:56:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@salr_nyc @jam_croissant Chicken McNuggets bets on International Day Of The Worker was always good for some laughs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1322039365472866304","reply_id":"1390048408677883910","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"salr_nyc","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1390168486345723908","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1503952122252955652":{"id":"1503952122252955652","date":"2022-03-16 04:31:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I'm looking for the equivalent of a course textbook on ZK-SNARKs. Not YouTube illusion-of-knowledge stuff, but the real thing. With end-of-chapter exercises and stuff.\n\nPretty sure this stuff isn't in any textbook yet, given the speed the field is moving.\n\n🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503952122252955652","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":31,"retweets":2,"replies":7,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1503952122252955652","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1542726506048155649":{"id":"1542726506048155649","date":"2022-07-01 04:27:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @MegaBearX @darjohn25 And selling memberships to his site?\n\nYes, that guy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542684842923413504","reply_id":"1542723961666301952","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1542726506048155649","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2082828055198761353":{"id":"2082828055198761353","date":"2026-07-30 13:58:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"💯","hashtags":[],"conv":"2082828055198761353","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":139,"retweets":3,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":39230,"bookmarks":63,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2082828055198761353","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1764392722482274328":{"id":"1764392722482274328","date":"2024-03-03 20:49:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod People who loudly proclaim they'd take easily arb-able bets never ever go through with them.\n\nEver.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1764385249377583333","reply_id":"1764385249377583333","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":70,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":8375,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1764392722482274328","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1451357200710975493":{"id":"1451357200710975493","date":"2021-10-22 01:18:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan Isn't it expected for it to be somewhat negatively correlated?\n\nhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Berkson%27s_paradox","hashtags":[],"conv":"1451237632910905349","reply_id":"1451292563483369475","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1451357200710975493","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1435080532539236359":{"id":"1435080532539236359","date":"2021-09-07 03:20:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert corr(A,B) != 1\n\nbetter?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1435078126925586432","reply_id":"1435078126925586432","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1435080532539236359","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1282873479998496768":{"id":"1282873479998496768","date":"2020-07-14 03:04:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jordanwrong1 @SinclairEuan @KrisAbdelmessih The old shares were, of course an option on a basket of the new spinoff and the new ex-spinoff company.\n\nWe prepped a lot for people messing up this corp action. All the conceivable ways. We built some special pricing tools, everything.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1282702235583954945","reply_id":"1282873005639524353","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1282873479998496768","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1477447149327577093":{"id":"1477447149327577093","date":"2022-01-02 01:10:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Michigandolf @dampedspring @longNDXshortRTY @SqueezeMetrics Look, I wrote a book that anyone could buy.\nI'm sure that makes *me* a grifter in the eyes of some.\n\nLet he who is without blame... and so forth.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477320189653893121","reply_id":"1477446770133123073","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477447149327577093","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1471960758011392000":{"id":"1471960758011392000","date":"2021-12-17 21:49:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite Of course. What else would you call options premium?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471933700573069317","reply_id":"1471938417336504334","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471960758011392000","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1460249618386620424":{"id":"1460249618386620424","date":"2021-11-15 14:13:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@randolph_zeke @SecPerkinsStan @ryxcommar Read The Idea Factory for a deep history of Bell Labs 1900-1950.\n\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Idea-Factory-Great-American-Innovation/dp/0143122797","hashtags":[],"conv":"1460050980821561346","reply_id":"1460176606278815744","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"zeke_actual","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1460249618386620424","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2054259614091227330":{"id":"2054259614091227330","date":"2026-05-12 17:57:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"RT @AgustinLebron3: @edgefills Driving ranges seem to treat their 1990s era nets as some sort of historical remnant of a once-great civilization that could do things.\n\nTo be patched up and kept alive through sheer will because \"we don't know how anymore\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"2054259614091227330","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2054259591181996124","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2054259614091227330","type":"retweet","issues":[]},"1479935723507634181":{"id":"1479935723507634181","date":"2022-01-08 21:59:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@StuartYoung95 @longskew @lightspringfox @macrocephalopod That's a big part of it for sure. But also the training of \"How do I use my brain to figure out how to get better at this competitive pursuit?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1479798986231930883","reply_id":"1479931348525539330","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"StuartYoung95","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1479935723507634181","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1469091842494910464":{"id":"1469091842494910464","date":"2021-12-09 23:49:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Somewhere deep in an Egyptian tomb, there's 43 hours of Super 8 footage and tapes from the reign of Tutankhamun patiently waiting to be unearthed and inevitably given to Peter Jackson.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1469091842494910464","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1469091842494910464","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1729923732611985878":{"id":"1729923732611985878","date":"2023-11-29 18:02:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"You blow up like a bal.. OH! You have the same pressure inside you!!! That's why you don't feel it!\"\n\nIt doesn't get much better than these moments.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1729923730393198673","reply_id":"1729923731529855185","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1322,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1729923732611985878","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1508083932692054019":{"id":"1508083932692054019","date":"2022-03-27 14:10:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Ooh good one! The good news is that no $ amount was specified, so if I make 50% ROC on 1k of capital then I survive.\n\nCorporate actions on microcap stocks probably has the highest probability of getting 50% ROC with those tools (assuming I have access to the Internet too).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507898551719792646","reply_id":"1507973121730506754","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1508083932692054019","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1473148529371615232":{"id":"1473148529371615232","date":"2021-12-21 04:29:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@GreenZenForest @therobotjames @bennpeifert I admire the horny 15-year-old vibe of this joke. And the table alias, of course.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1473132928771129346","reply_id":"1473147420443742210","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GreenZenForest","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1473148529371615232","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1519011782320263168":{"id":"1519011782320263168","date":"2022-04-26 17:53:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Seriously, if you don't have a group like this then build one now. Make a list of 4 people and invite them to a DM thread or slack group or whatever.\n\nOf course, this isn't just about trading. It applies to any other difficult endeavor.\n\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"1519011776938921985","reply_id":"1519011781275836416","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":54,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1519011782320263168","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1743427765788094836":{"id":"1743427765788094836","date":"2024-01-06 00:22:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's like compound interest.\n\n5% a year makes you 100x richer in less than a century.\n\n5% per year. We can do it if we try.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1743425282743357589","reply_id":"1743427284546253135","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1287,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1743427765788094836","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1357105456662028289":{"id":"1357105456662028289","date":"2021-02-03 23:15:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vgr I sure didn't wake up today expecting to become a Bordurian apologist, but here we are...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1357100945675456512","reply_id":"1357105324755329024","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1357105456662028289","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1494148512681906181":{"id":"1494148512681906181","date":"2022-02-17 03:15:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @longskew @KrisAbdelmessih @FREAK0NAUT When Chuck Norris buys options, he collects the theta too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494032922281717764","reply_id":"1494148279936102400","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":14,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494148512681906181","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1633943505268805634":{"id":"1633943505268805634","date":"2023-03-09 21:31:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"One more thing I forgot to say: if you're a developer who's passionate about ZK tech and want to work on products that customers use every day, DM me!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633934250620891136","reply_id":"1633934828650500096","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":2576,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633943505268805634","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1837550366386270636":{"id":"1837550366386270636","date":"2024-09-21 17:52:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@toiletkingcap @cam_perrault Pretty much.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1837529061276442989","reply_id":"1837542918565122562","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"toiletkingcap","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":855,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1837550366386270636","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1721301614785655240":{"id":"1721301614785655240","date":"2023-11-05 23:00:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbateman Harebrained thought: maybe their brains filter out one-syllable words as essentially random sounds. But two syllables is a statistical regularity you can grab onto.\n\nIt's a sort of predictive-processing explanation where the impetus for learning is predicting the 2nd syllable.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1721299463275221000","reply_id":"1721299858294731103","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbateman","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":67,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1721301614785655240","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1872003209621090665":{"id":"1872003209621090665","date":"2024-12-25 19:35:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sebkrier Either it's true or not. - That's one thing.\n\nWhether it changes how you write. - That's another.\n\nEach of the 4 cases is logically self-consistent.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1872001416056963218","reply_id":"1872002663992422656","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sebkrier","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":77,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1872003209621090665","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2023728837100450051":{"id":"2023728837100450051","date":"2026-02-17 11:58:48","author":"Isaac","handle":"roundrobin42","text":"RT @roundrobin42: Easy test to determine if an article on prediction markets is written by an unserious shill","hashtags":[],"conv":"2023728837100450051","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2023584327817171135","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":5,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["2023728837100450051_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/roundrobin42/status/2023728837100450051"},"1282678182219374592":{"id":"1282678182219374592","date":"2020-07-13 14:08:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Hey #fintwit, anyone know if @RobinhoodApp lends out client stock?\n\nI assume they do but it would be nice to confirm.","hashtags":["fintwit"],"conv":"1282678182219374592","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1282678182219374592","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1878144277277979024":{"id":"1878144277277979024","date":"2025-01-11 18:17:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@kust1983 Last to get automated, I'm fairly sure.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1878114717262049360","reply_id":"1878126601570775278","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"kust1983","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":151,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1878144277277979024","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1760514081218572795":{"id":"1760514081218572795","date":"2024-02-22 03:57:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"When Steve Ballmer resigned, MSFT stock immediately rose roughly $6b.\n\nIf Sundar Pichai resigns, what's the GOOG bump worth?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1760514081218572795","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1763045257925836808","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":3827,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1760514081218572795","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1755367834908008877":{"id":"1755367834908008877","date":"2024-02-07 23:07:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@abiylfoyp A bet is a tax on bullshit.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1755254526016205301","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":57,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":5783,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1755367834908008877","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1455564237175234562":{"id":"1455564237175234562","date":"2021-11-02 15:55:31","author":"Antonio García Martínez (agm.eth)","handle":"antoniogm","text":"Theory: Much of the enthusiasm for crypto stems not from it being a technically superior solution for many functions of society, but rather, that it forces a reboot from the corrupt institutions currently in charge.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1455564237175234562","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1455565405569703946","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1424,"retweets":104,"replies":61,"quotes":31,"views":0,"bookmarks":39,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/antoniogm/status/1455564237175234562"},"1886134824076779767":{"id":"1886134824076779767","date":"2025-02-02 19:29:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dwarkesh_sp @EgeErdil2 @tamaybes If AGI hasn't happened in 10 years, why not?\n\nIf it has but the global economy looks roughly the same, why didn't it take over?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1886101715700924807","reply_id":"1886101715700924807","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dwarkesh_sp","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":334,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1886134824076779767","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1539262184374489088":{"id":"1539262184374489088","date":"2022-06-21 15:01:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If you're going to put a Github link on your resume, maybe your Github should have... you know... stuff you've written.\n\nJust sayin'. 🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1539262184374489088","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1539262184374489088","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1871970156471279943":{"id":"1871970156471279943","date":"2024-12-25 17:23:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NickelJ3 @tylercowen @gwern Exercise left for the writer, I guess.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1871964460115767373","reply_id":"1871968853716238726","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"NickelJ3","likes":1,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1292,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1871970156471279943","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1573477710088720384":{"id":"1573477710088720384","date":"2022-09-24 01:01:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Correct take.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1573477710088720384","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1573477710088720384","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1252419431885451264":{"id":"1252419431885451264","date":"2020-04-21 02:10:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@philbak1 @bennpeifert @MonocleMan1 Yeah. Plus you're selling that creation-halt short-squeeze tail risk. That's not a trade for the faint-hearted.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1252393684357705729","reply_id":"1252418148659150851","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"philbak1","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1252419431885451264","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1559198098362011648":{"id":"1559198098362011648","date":"2022-08-15 15:19:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I love how the definitions of terms change with context.\n\n➡️\"working with person P\"⬅️\n\nMeaning IRL: A co-worker of P, perhaps a teacher or coach to P.\n\nMeaning on Linkedin: A salesperson who targets P.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1559198098362011648","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1559198098362011648","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1673026948648321028":{"id":"1673026948648321028","date":"2023-06-25 17:54:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I wonder what fraction of Americans realize what chicken actually tastes like in countries that haven't systematically turned the animal into a bleached-out protein source devoid of any flavor.\n\nSame goes for pork.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1673026948648321028","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":49,"retweets":1,"replies":12,"quotes":0,"views":13848,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1673026948648321028","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1479895026129727488":{"id":"1479895026129727488","date":"2022-01-08 19:17:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ComplicatedIsOK Possibly a small amount IMO.\n\nBut there's no substitute for actually *doing*. Producing and creating.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1479873065446039553","reply_id":"1479882791433248779","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ComplicatedIsOK","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1479895026129727488","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2062787572439372162":{"id":"2062787572439372162","date":"2026-06-05 06:44:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"A tale of two graphs.\n\nSo many narratives are downstream of TFR.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2062787572439372162","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":98,"retweets":4,"replies":9,"quotes":3,"views":19450,"bookmarks":34,"media":["2062787572439372162_1.jpg","2062787572439372162_2.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2062787572439372162","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1770800518073295139":{"id":"1770800518073295139","date":"2024-03-21 13:11:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jp_JellyRoll @prpl8 Good point!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1770596462847512832","reply_id":"1770690507015926196","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jp_JellyRoll","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":46,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1770800518073295139","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1925554630206931398":{"id":"1925554630206931398","date":"2025-05-22 14:09:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nayshins Yes! All great investments start with receiving an unsolicited pitch deck, so we're off to a good start.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1925443160001405257","reply_id":"1925553628208931022","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nayshins","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":186,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1925554630206931398","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1282830569693343744":{"id":"1282830569693343744","date":"2020-07-14 00:13:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vol_ition @SinclairEuan @KrisAbdelmessih 1. Interpretable: the numbers mean something intuitive.\n2. Time-stable: if the world is basically unch'ed from one day to the next, your params are basically unch'ed).\n3. Comparable across strikes, exps and products.\n\nThese all trade off against each other. Multiple optima exist","hashtags":[],"conv":"1282702235583954945","reply_id":"1282829917265080320","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1282830569693343744","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1198275042288603136":{"id":"1198275042288603136","date":"2019-11-23 16:20:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Suhail Not quite what you're looking for, but a good starting point:\n\nhttps://eater.net/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1198106468446167041","reply_id":"1198106468446167041","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Suhail","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1198275042288603136","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1399221233296678920":{"id":"1399221233296678920","date":"2021-05-31 04:28:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily Types? Who needs types? Certainly not people who deal with massive tensor operations.\n\nThe key is to use this library:\n\nhttps://pypi.org/project/fuckit/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1399218046095347716","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1399221233296678920","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1555573393402916864":{"id":"1555573393402916864","date":"2022-08-05 15:16:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I like to *tell* myself I keep a tight handle on my media diet, and that I avoid reading crap.\n\nBut then every day I get a nice customized Medium digest email filled with trash \"How to use machine learning to trade stocks and crypto\" articles.\n\nData don't lie... 🙄","hashtags":[],"conv":"1555573393402916864","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":36,"retweets":2,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1555573393402916864","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1613686079714127873":{"id":"1613686079714127873","date":"2023-01-12 23:55:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@andrelorenzob @joaoascolid Almoçei com ele esse sabado. Grande homem.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1613653185163403299","reply_id":"1613676407506231296","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"andrelorenzob","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":77,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1613686079714127873","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1603463481847447552":{"id":"1603463481847447552","date":"2022-12-15 18:54:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @ehpresso Should RJ devote his life to making enough $ to build a time machine so that...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1603461113584107520","reply_id":"1603463222610530305","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":1039,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1603463481847447552","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2047258185547809058":{"id":"2047258185547809058","date":"2026-04-23 10:16:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I'm sorry sir, but we can't provide you with that medical knowledge. You don't have the right credential from the right rent-seeking credentialing organization.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2047257822446891357","reply_id":"2047257822446891357","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":39,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2630,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2047258185547809058","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1523357483334438917":{"id":"1523357483334438917","date":"2022-05-08 17:41:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@trader2201 I don't think this explains it. Lindy just tells us that we should expect Simpsons to last another 33 years (!!!).\n\nWe've had TV for ~75 years. Why have none of the shows from the 50s, 60s, 70s or 80s survived? But somehow shows from the 90s/2000s have?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1523302511221690373","reply_id":"1523322667721318402","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"trader2201","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1523357483334438917","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1535477950560186368":{"id":"1535477950560186368","date":"2022-06-11 04:24:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @fv I'd argue you should be continuously trying to figure out what FV is. And position accordingly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1535473651176325122","reply_id":"1535477172177076226","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1535477950560186368","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1636203529605091328":{"id":"1636203529605091328","date":"2023-03-16 03:11:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sillyquant Ain't no one comin' here for edu-cay-shun.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1636189668738990080","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":93,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1636203529605091328","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1517546796012122112":{"id":"1517546796012122112","date":"2022-04-22 16:52:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LM_Braswell Be careful what you wish for, that adverse selection sounds brutal. 🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1517542537552138241","reply_id":"1517542537552138241","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"LM_Braswell","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1517546796012122112","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2081377256132251901":{"id":"2081377256132251901","date":"2026-07-26 13:53:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"","hashtags":[],"conv":"2081372792935637413","reply_id":"2081372792935637413","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1956,"bookmarks":0,"media":["2081377256132251901_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2081377256132251901","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1714507416027750726":{"id":"1714507416027750726","date":"2023-10-18 05:03:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@typedfemale https://cointelegraph.com/magazine/crypto-zero-knowledge-voting-finance/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1714498540985295216","reply_id":"1714498540985295216","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"typedfemale","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":578,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1714507416027750726","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1382730316985487366":{"id":"1382730316985487366","date":"2021-04-15 16:19:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cyberSM7 1. The SaaS business model mostly requires you to find a fairly winner-take-all market to attack. Which requires finding $.\n\n2. Most SaaS companies shouldn't exist, and most won't in 5 years.\n\nSo if you're deadset on doing a SaaS, you'd better have some preexisting special sauce.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"1382728899310673928","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"cyberSM7","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382730316985487366","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1580640342210011137":{"id":"1580640342210011137","date":"2022-10-13 19:23:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CalmPoker 🤣🤣🤣\n\nEnjoy your runtime type errors confusing prices, prices divided by some scaling factor, sizes, and who knows what else, causing incineration.\n\n(I too am trying to be funny TBC)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1580631114074402817","reply_id":"1580635733794394112","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"CalmPoker","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1580640342210011137","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1614419967939858433":{"id":"1614419967939858433","date":"2023-01-15 00:31:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@4_learning_ @MacroTactical 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1522331201528205314","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":244,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1614419967939858433","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1701719240829800879":{"id":"1701719240829800879","date":"2023-09-12 22:07:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin Can't wait for the Gulf Of Aden bubble in a few years.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1701692618835464687","reply_id":"1701692618835464687","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":190,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1701719240829800879","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1378053167577849857":{"id":"1378053167577849857","date":"2021-04-02 18:34:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KZD_Greenwalls @BeingHorizontal Well at a granular level, it's two people disagreeing. Buyer thinks fair value is higher, seller thinks it's lower.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377754069238972417","reply_id":"1378041899299217408","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"IE_Capital","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1378053167577849857","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1823378561790857694":{"id":"1823378561790857694","date":"2024-08-13 15:18:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan Possibly the Costs chapter of the book?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1823367598160945456","reply_id":"1823367598160945456","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":657,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1823378561790857694","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1451929371044814858":{"id":"1451929371044814858","date":"2021-10-23 15:11:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The solution in every movie is simple: kill the bad guy and destroy his evil lair.\n\nI.e. eliminate the physical embodiment of the problem, and the problem is solved.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1451929369132158977","reply_id":"1451929370075942922","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1451929371044814858","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1428735530074738690":{"id":"1428735530074738690","date":"2021-08-20 15:07:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Longevity question:\n\n- Calorie restriction is clearly good.\n- More exercise is clearly good.\n\nWhere is the optimum given that #2 is an antagonist for #1? Is there research on this?\n\n@davidasinclair @LauraDeming @Aging_Advice","hashtags":[],"conv":"1428735530074738690","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":1,"replies":13,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1428735530074738690","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1436079007934541824":{"id":"1436079007934541824","date":"2021-09-09 21:28:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RandyMartingale @KrisAbdelmessih @lightspringfox Trade-at-settlement.\n\nIt's a future of a future. Ish.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1436047232327831580","reply_id":"1436078406299488261","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RandyMartingale","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1436079007934541824","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1760689993977319769":{"id":"1760689993977319769","date":"2024-02-22 15:36:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbateman What you're not seeing is that the prompt preamble says \"and make it in the style of a caveman icon art\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1760688537203363932","reply_id":"1760688537203363932","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbateman","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":100,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1760689993977319769","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1927986554783322556":{"id":"1927986554783322556","date":"2025-05-29 07:13:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Note: they also had access to a dictionary and the Internet to help them. It mostly didn't.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1927986274800984180","reply_id":"1927986274800984180","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":1657,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1927986554783322556","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1797255062215127336":{"id":"1797255062215127336","date":"2024-06-02 13:12:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeepDishEnjoyer @vanillaopinions This is the inevitable result of engagement farming.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1796972914907943215","reply_id":"1797084646951289037","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeepDishEnjoyer","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":297,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1797255062215127336","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1484673725303640065":{"id":"1484673725303640065","date":"2022-01-21 23:46:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @KrisAbdelmessih @theemilyaccount","hashtags":[],"conv":"1484619345871339520","reply_id":"1484673494264987649","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1484673725303640065_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1484673725303640065","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1505588578574688260":{"id":"1505588578574688260","date":"2022-03-20 16:54:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2/ Opening: Billy is listening to his A's lose to the Yankees in the playoffs. He's trying to maintain an outward appearance of calm. But he can't and eventually he loses it.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j-PLdIIQLQU","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1505588577446490112","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505588578574688260","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2013642823384375697":{"id":"2013642823384375697","date":"2026-01-20 16:00:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"💯","hashtags":[],"conv":"2013642823384375697","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":6608,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2013642823384375697","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1488246429810184194":{"id":"1488246429810184194","date":"2022-01-31 20:22:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@josebaredes wo-MEV, eh @theemilyaccount ?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1488244897463386114","reply_id":"1488244897463386114","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jose34730","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1488246429810184194","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1419648514410250243":{"id":"1419648514410250243","date":"2021-07-26 13:19:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is so true, and yet so hard to *actually* stop doing.\n\n\"C'mon, just one more tweak! I can squeeze a bit more out of this thing!\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1419648514410250243","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1419648514410250243","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1616085723404439552":{"id":"1616085723404439552","date":"2023-01-19 14:50:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"At work we're usually in bad-listening mode. Getting the information we need, often needing clarification on things because of a thousand little miscommunications.\n\nAs the speaker, you're always wondering \"I know they're listening but did they really understand what I just said?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1616085720640389123","reply_id":"1616085722095837184","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1178,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1616085723404439552","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1625345176486154240":{"id":"1625345176486154240","date":"2023-02-14 04:04:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 systemd!!!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1625281158715183104","reply_id":"1625281158715183104","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":266,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1625345176486154240","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1155681946891984896":{"id":"1155681946891984896","date":"2019-07-29 03:30:22","author":"Furburg","handle":"Furburg2","text":"@Barton_options @AgustinLebron3 Buying the book based entirely on this paragraph. A lot of smart young guys miss this. It's important to be smart....but that's not the goal. The whole point is to make money.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1155666958739791872","reply_id":"1155666958739791872","quote_id":"1155682712889384960","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Barton_options","likes":4,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1155681946891984896_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Furburg2/status/1155681946891984896"},"2071510938612584540":{"id":"2071510938612584540","date":"2026-06-29 08:27:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Basically do you want to forever accept that you have a compromised immune system and live in a bubble, or do you want to develop an immune system?\n\nAre we smart enough to pick the right door?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2071510933302546667","reply_id":"2071510936758759657","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":2415,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2071510938612584540","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1943286888489463987":{"id":"1943286888489463987","date":"2025-07-10 12:31:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@moritzheiden 🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943280522756591979","reply_id":"1943286046768222334","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"moritzheiden","likes":46,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":11432,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1943286888489463987","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1941388225446400211":{"id":"1941388225446400211","date":"2025-07-05 06:46:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@GrantStenger Two empirical heuristics for how this cashes out:\n- The tick size that makes markets 2-3 ticks wide most of the time.\nOR\n- The tick size that makes lag-1 correlation of trade price direction change equal to 0.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1941310608357626307","reply_id":"1941310608357626307","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GrantStenger","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":963,"bookmarks":17,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1941388225446400211","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1547655357337440257":{"id":"1547655357337440257","date":"2022-07-14 18:52:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @dwarkesh_sp 🙏🙏🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1547653132317966338","reply_id":"1547653132317966338","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1547655357337440257","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1504199572825915394":{"id":"1504199572825915394","date":"2022-03-16 20:54:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pranavvk @therobotjames If you're trading vol then by all means trade options.\n\nBut if you're trading deltas (i.e. directionally in the underlying) then options aren't likely to be your best instrument. Not impossible, just very very unlikely. Options make you add a weird vol bet to your delta bets.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503862489599340544","reply_id":"1504199304008777728","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":32,"retweets":2,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1504199572825915394","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1633934250620891136":{"id":"1633934250620891136","date":"2023-03-09 20:54:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Well this is it! I’m excited (and a bit terrified) to announce what I’ve been working on for the last year and a half.\n\nIt’s been a wild ride so far, and I’m sure it’s about to get wilder.\n\nhttps://www.coindesk.com/business/2023/03/09/zero-knowledge-crypto-startup-proven-raises-158m-in-seed-round/\n\n1/n 🧵👉👉👉","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633934250620891136","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":366,"retweets":39,"replies":29,"quotes":9,"views":135977,"bookmarks":104,"media":["1633934250620891136_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633934250620891136","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1546931769504440320":{"id":"1546931769504440320","date":"2022-07-12 18:57:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"12/ Minutes easily turn into tens of minutes. Sometimes an hour. Often I’ll look at a few different ones together.\n\nI do it because I enjoy it, but I’m also actively putting myself in position to notice interesting things.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546931744426758145","reply_id":"1546931767570866176","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546931769504440320","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1281983839217217536":{"id":"1281983839217217536","date":"2020-07-11 16:09:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @SinclairEuan Ah yes, the subtle art of finding liquidity when you've figured out something subtle in an unusual corporate action...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1281971299389186057","reply_id":"1281977836341915650","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1281983839217217536","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1772114610315030869":{"id":"1772114610315030869","date":"2024-03-25 04:13:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@W98AB Some of this is due to the value of the seat at that bank...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1771879519617536355","reply_id":"1771879519617536355","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"W98AB","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":102,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1772114610315030869","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1506056549210345472":{"id":"1506056549210345472","date":"2022-03-21 23:53:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Yeah, you're never getting people grinding and thinking about numbers in these surveys.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1506056549210345472","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1506056549210345472","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1886326099803599219":{"id":"1886326099803599219","date":"2025-02-03 08:09:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Shill me your *best* recent (<5 yrs) papers on market impact.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1886326099803599219","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":23,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":4917,"bookmarks":34,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1886326099803599219","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1702367292103991591":{"id":"1702367292103991591","date":"2023-09-14 17:02:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jgreco That alternate timeline just gets more interesting to think about as the years go on...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1702367015669838093","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":169,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1702367292103991591","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1549169505066029056":{"id":"1549169505066029056","date":"2022-07-18 23:09:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@worstcontrarian @therobotjames @Ankit_Quant @godcomplex96 Still, it's a needle-in-a-haystack thing. Even just knowing someone good is making money trading X is massive.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1549091517091938304","reply_id":"1549168086200500224","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"worstcontrarian","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1549169505066029056","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1510291558762893313":{"id":"1510291558762893313","date":"2022-04-02 16:22:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2. They're not insects. They're basically woodlice, which means crustaceans! Yes. Like a lobster.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1510291557735305218","reply_id":"1510291557735305218","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1510291558762893313","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1501211852134666240":{"id":"1501211852134666240","date":"2022-03-08 15:02:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @Manthatiswell @darjohn25 @SinclairEuan Nothing comes to mind off the top of my head.\n\nThe way I think of calendar spreads is that you're trading forward vol. Trading the May/Jun ATM straddle spread (say) is making a bet on vol between those two dates.\n\nIf you have an edge in trading that then trade calendar spreads.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1498758417632137218","reply_id":"1501076485024714752","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501211852134666240","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1911320269672607873":{"id":"1911320269672607873","date":"2025-04-13 07:27:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Founders often don't get why their employees need and want to be managed.\n\nFounders generally come from the small fraction of workers who are smart, hardworking, but don't like to be told what to do. Most people aren't like that.\n\nIt can take a while to figure that out.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1911320269672607873","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":107,"retweets":8,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":8127,"bookmarks":28,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1911320269672607873","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1632158632875036672":{"id":"1632158632875036672","date":"2023-03-04 23:18:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@neglacso It's a good start, but:\n- What about the community? Message boards ain't cutting it.\n- Too focused on sucking in knowledge vs creating things (even if they're shitty at first).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632157627978514433","reply_id":"1632157983714033671","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"neglacso","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1359,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632158632875036672","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1636188266256011264":{"id":"1636188266256011264","date":"2023-03-16 02:10:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Remember that one Stephen Wolfram blog post where he analyzes some interesting phenomenon as a special case of a much more general theory that he (and only he) came up with?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1636188266256011264","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":7142,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1636188266256011264","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1923993266787135792":{"id":"1923993266787135792","date":"2025-05-18 06:45:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mmaaz_98 Beat me to it!\n\nhttps://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1923993160063107100","hashtags":[],"conv":"1923991969199521792","reply_id":"1923993122104594477","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mmaaz_98","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":930,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1923993266787135792","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1712323745287917568":{"id":"1712323745287917568","date":"2023-10-12 04:26:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @theemilyaccount \"I'm risk-neutral.\" - degenerate gamblor.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1712254740418142691","reply_id":"1712312497150276035","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":257,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1712323745287917568","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1820130155152748736":{"id":"1820130155152748736","date":"2024-08-04 16:10:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Ordering countries by # of golds is asinine and always has been.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1820130155152748736","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":7449,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1820130155152748736","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1529859922841591811":{"id":"1529859922841591811","date":"2022-05-26 16:20:03","author":"Tim Harford","handle":"TimHarford","text":"The billable hour is a trap into which more and more of us are falling http://dlvr.it/SR6L98","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529859922841591811","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1529861303992344577","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":4,"replies":4,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TimHarford/status/1529859922841591811"},"1492629588962209793":{"id":"1492629588962209793","date":"2022-02-12 22:40:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mijaresluis419 Outliers will always exist.\n\nBut if you're looking to stack the deck in your favor as an employer, IQ + matching big 5 personality traits + references pretty much crushes everything else.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1492622868634431488","reply_id":"1492628826727276549","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mijaresluis419","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1492629588962209793","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1709948007746253026":{"id":"1709948007746253026","date":"2023-10-05 15:05:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@GrantStenger Doubt he asked for permission. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709714391380238814","reply_id":"1709939320126308474","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GrantStenger","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":390,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1709948007746253026","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1352102431304294403":{"id":"1352102431304294403","date":"2021-01-21 03:55:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @mpp75214 @JessicaNutt96 Here's what I don't get about this approach: for any given smile, you can have a wide range of non-arbitrageable vol dynamics.\n\nI'm sure BS Tayloring will tell you _something_ but I don't see how it's a something you could ever trust.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1352069470903181313","reply_id":"1352101377850261504","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1352102431304294403","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1615719637802700800":{"id":"1615719637802700800","date":"2023-01-18 14:35:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Yes!!!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1615719637802700800","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2759,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1615719637802700800","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1635796109208735744":{"id":"1635796109208735744","date":"2023-03-15 00:12:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Code is easy to do version control on because diffing a one-dimensional artifact set is easy.\n\nWhat tools out there let you do diffs on 2D artifacts?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1635796109208735744","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":7193,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1635796109208735744","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1680741375451754497":{"id":"1680741375451754497","date":"2023-07-17 00:49:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @Team_Optimum Pretty sure I'm genetically incapable of getting jacked. At my current margin tho, a bit more muscle wouldn't hurt at all.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1680707081496834048","reply_id":"1680736481424596992","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":738,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1680741375451754497","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1195366819508281351":{"id":"1195366819508281351","date":"2019-11-15 15:43:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"P/C ratio just tells you what happened in the past. It's about as predictive as getting a dozen random price quotes from the last few months.\n\nI.e. not.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1195366819508281351","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1195366819508281351","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1419748823073648641":{"id":"1419748823073648641","date":"2021-07-26 19:57:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JessicaNutt96 This could be true. Or not. But the specifics don't actually matter.\n\nThe incentive structure has always been to drive consumer surplus as near to zero as is possible.\n\nMaybe all of modern capitalism was an interregnum between ages of zero consumer surplus...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1419745276655456264","reply_id":"1419747882996060167","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JessicaNutt96","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1419748823073648641","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1677690723188248578":{"id":"1677690723188248578","date":"2023-07-08 14:46:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xfbifemboy Perhaps I'm misreading this, but IIUC the intervention *started* at 600 days. If so, shouldn't we expect the two curves to be identical until then if the two groups are identical? The left graph shows a large difference pre-intervention.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1677663390830034945","reply_id":"1677663390830034945","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xfbifemboy","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":953,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1677690723188248578_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1677690723188248578","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1985303157656756274":{"id":"1985303157656756274","date":"2025-11-03 11:08:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Billionaire : family office\n::\nNBA player : brother-in-law's restaurant concept","hashtags":[],"conv":"1985303157656756274","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":52,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":4980,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1985303157656756274","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1428469296791908353":{"id":"1428469296791908353","date":"2021-08-19 21:29:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@GreenZenForest @JasonMutiny Oh it's definitely still a thing.\n\nRecruiting terms are like baby names.\nTheir popularity drifts from high SES to low SES over time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1428381820421242886","reply_id":"1428463847430492162","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GreenZenForest","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1428469296791908353","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1912879054040035328":{"id":"1912879054040035328","date":"2025-04-17 14:41:20","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"The bigger problem is that the “masters in quant finance” programs are mainly revenue-generating machines for universities that accept students based on ability to pay rather than on merit.\n\nThey are mostly not realistic routes to a job in trading or quant at a tier 1 (or even tier 2) firm, who still overwhelmingly prefer to recruit from undergrad, masters and phd programs in math, computer science, statistics or hard sciences.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1912879054040035328","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1912956767920664834","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1084,"retweets":46,"replies":50,"quotes":12,"views":376636,"bookmarks":455,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1912879054040035328"},"1911990131722215524":{"id":"1911990131722215524","date":"2025-04-15 03:49:05","author":"near","handle":"nearcyan","text":"two homeless ppl fighting. one was starting a fire, the other putting it out.\n\nsmooth jazz plays as my autonomous car shepherds me away. the AI im chatting with offers a playful comment.\n\ni briefly nostalgicize the absurdity of the moment. i get pinged in slack. normalcy returns.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1911990131722215524","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1912033064995127765","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1781,"retweets":66,"replies":55,"quotes":21,"views":125506,"bookmarks":330,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/nearcyan/status/1911990131722215524"},"1571913928720154629":{"id":"1571913928720154629","date":"2022-09-19 17:27:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase @KrisAbdelmessih @TCK_JRubano No. And besides, that page can easily be re-written in much more comprehensible notation.\n\nI'm not a \"math notation sucks guy\" at all. It's great but you need to have good taste in how you use it.\n\nThis page displays zero taste.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1571903883802443777","reply_id":"1571909037037584384","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1571913928720154629","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1644485796903395331":{"id":"1644485796903395331","date":"2023-04-07 23:42:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Toss Zinger and waspiest-man-on-Earth Nantz in the golf commentator tire fire too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1644399363974651904","reply_id":"1644485515201347584","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":307,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1644485796903395331","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1222324660341108737":{"id":"1222324660341108737","date":"2020-01-29 01:04:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"But we have a simulation model that tells us whether we got a fill or not.\"\n\nIf you had an accurate model like that, you wouldn't need RL to make lots and lots of money. A simple linear regression would do.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1222324658617192448","reply_id":"1222324659581935616","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1222324660341108737","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1251300724765417472":{"id":"1251300724765417472","date":"2020-04-18 00:05:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's pretty sad how the canonical example to teach Bayes' Theorem is an illness with a small population +ve rate and small but notable test false +ve rate.\n\nIt's like statisticians knew their heads would explode reading the COVID pop studies, tried their best, but failed anyway.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1251300724765417472","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1251300724765417472","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1713916893642506583":{"id":"1713916893642506583","date":"2023-10-16 13:56:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase Quality deteriorated. Billy got studio-itits. Happens to most rock bands of the era. Oasis post-Morning Glory, Coldplay post-Rush Of Blood, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1713904836725391848","reply_id":"1713904836725391848","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":62,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1713916893642506583","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1988541060092448789":{"id":"1988541060092448789","date":"2025-11-12 09:35:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@baynkr Do you deny it's basically impossible to pass your \"test\"?\n\nhttps://x.com/skughered/status/1973118039294943468","hashtags":[],"conv":"1988534015419146302","reply_id":"1988539123414483139","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"baynkr","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":584,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1988541060092448789","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1886079056308752606":{"id":"1886079056308752606","date":"2025-02-02 15:47:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeepDishEnjoyer This is definitely a component. Every time you ask about market impact, you're going to get Almgren-Chriss. It's 25 years old!!!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1886077044951273587","reply_id":"1886078438072623515","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeepDishEnjoyer","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":772,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1886079056308752606","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2032392183421026639":{"id":"2032392183421026639","date":"2026-03-13 09:43:51","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"RT @macrocephalopod: @OGshoots Have you considered not trading and getting a job instead?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2032392183421026639","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2032386824035852583","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":17,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/2032392183421026639"},"1942934507214004282":{"id":"1942934507214004282","date":"2025-07-09 13:10:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@QuiteMidlife It's fine if HR okayed it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942929603095630257","reply_id":"1942929603095630257","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuiteMidlife","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":477,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942934507214004282","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1952417216382554346":{"id":"1952417216382554346","date":"2025-08-04 17:11:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dwarkesh_sp IMO the biggest question that's not clear to me: to what end?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1952177779921035313","reply_id":"1952177779921035313","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dwarkesh_sp","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":320,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1952417216382554346","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2047902543095705788":{"id":"2047902543095705788","date":"2026-04-25 04:56:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"That date question is still my favorite interview question that I came up with at JS. Extremely diagnostic.\n\nI actually stole it from a University Challenge buzz in.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2047902543095705788","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1087,"retweets":24,"replies":42,"quotes":11,"views":647391,"bookmarks":997,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2047902543095705788","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1388922695182536704":{"id":"1388922695182536704","date":"2021-05-02 18:25:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MikhaelBerg @nope_its_lily Writing long tweetstorms about options can take up a lot of time, for sure. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1388884183372623873","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1388922695182536704","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1564743781085167616":{"id":"1564743781085167616","date":"2022-08-30 22:36:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"With the exception of Del Potro, why is it that Argentine tennis specializes in annoying shrimpy counterpunchers?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1564743781085167616","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1564743781085167616","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1420222915321106432":{"id":"1420222915321106432","date":"2021-07-28 03:21:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lightspringfox @eyemightbewrong I didn't even *have* clients and had to get it! And the 55.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420215318207770625","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420222915321106432","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1461340584757530634":{"id":"1461340584757530634","date":"2021-11-18 14:28:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therealverg @therobotjames @stone_caleb22 @TCK_JRubano @KrisAbdelmessih @SinclairEuan Awesome, thanks!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1460724469933035520","reply_id":"1461223046723747842","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therealverg","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1461340584757530634","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1631054654237818882":{"id":"1631054654237818882","date":"2023-03-01 22:11:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@fuckyourputs https://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1631035632637329408","hashtags":[],"conv":"1631035436830445569","reply_id":"1631051032649252867","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"fuckyourputs","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":263,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1631054654237818882","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1434272621823102978":{"id":"1434272621823102978","date":"2021-09-04 21:50:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames I do actually believe that getting kids started with programming in Excel formulas isn't crazy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434267372412555264","reply_id":"1434267372412555264","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434272621823102978","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1172238074513960961":{"id":"1172238074513960961","date":"2019-09-12 19:58:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@verdadcap That list makes a mockery of the term \"researcher\". \n\nSince when is a literary theorist a researcher?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1172234599918985216","reply_id":"1172234599918985216","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"verdadcap","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1172238074513960961","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1748414182628983029":{"id":"1748414182628983029","date":"2024-01-19 18:36:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tweetsbenedict You'll be utterly shocked how few credentialed math teachers can actually do *any* math.\n\nOne of the two questions I asked to assess this was:\n- State the quadratic formula.\n- Show that it is correct (i.e. recover ax^2 + bx + c = 0).\n- Derive it (i.e. complete the square).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1748383159493046538","reply_id":"1748413506473586838","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":22,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3162,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1748414182628983029","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1655623247449460736":{"id":"1655623247449460736","date":"2023-05-08 17:18:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @TCK_JRubano Not difficult.\n\nThe modern oceanside pad is a little harder.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1655614465206022145","reply_id":"1655617931051511826","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":362,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1655623247449460736","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1806707704679084141":{"id":"1806707704679084141","date":"2024-06-28 15:14:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Turns out @DHLUS gaslights you when their truck has an issue and can't deliver your package. Their system shows it as \"you weren't home, we couldn't deliver\".\n\n👏👏👏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1806707704679084141","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1658,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1806707704679084141","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1555282086272987137":{"id":"1555282086272987137","date":"2022-08-04 19:58:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3/ If you're doing relatively few trades the most of them have to be winners. Your edge has to be pretty overwhelmingly obvious on a per-trade basis.\n\nIf it's not overwhelmingly obvious you're probably not winning.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1555282083672510464","reply_id":"1555282084960145408","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":38,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1555282086272987137","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1399404450918268933":{"id":"1399404450918268933","date":"2021-05-31 16:36:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @vgr This is without question the correct answer.\n\nI'm sure we've all seen the surveys showing the enormous fraction of kids who aspire to be social media influencers. Cuts across gender, SES, everything. It's universal.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1399394407909007365","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1399404450918268933","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1946114881364590732":{"id":"1946114881364590732","date":"2025-07-18 07:48:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Obviously the current resident of 1600 Pennsylvania Ave knows this as well as anyone.\n\n3. Now consider prediction markets. They're a way of disintermediating the vibes/bullshit generation process by giving participants a direct economic stake in those vibes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946114875899486383","reply_id":"1946114879489761523","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":32,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":6340,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946114881364590732","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1632165080380104704":{"id":"1632165080380104704","date":"2023-03-04 23:44:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Dario_Hei I'll do some research and ping you w/ q's I'm sure! ❤️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632157627978514433","reply_id":"1632164790285082624","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_the_albert","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":251,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632165080380104704","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1644157534704488448":{"id":"1644157534704488448","date":"2023-04-07 01:57:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jgreco @So_mmel_ier Acquired taste...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1644120408931672064","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":375,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1644157534704488448","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1567519012623622152":{"id":"1567519012623622152","date":"2022-09-07 14:23:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@redwardblue @theemilyaccount @quant_arb @NicoPollari @cryptohound666 @therobotjames @witchqueendot I think we can respect both but for different things and in in different ways.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1567346642105286656","reply_id":"1567515735915724801","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"edward_yu_var","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1567519012623622152","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1451213584373993472":{"id":"1451213584373993472","date":"2021-10-21 15:47:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin @drewg__ IMOI alpha decay is no different from, for example, the Moore's Law treadmill.\n\nThe value of these companies aren't the strats they currently run. It's that they are successful strat-making machines.\n\nAlso, MMs definitely have customers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1451009816659431428","reply_id":"1451211714326892552","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1451213584373993472","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1983167729684431044":{"id":"1983167729684431044","date":"2025-10-28 13:43:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"ChatGPT5 Thinking is still pretty fucking dim.\n\nKnowledgeable, sure, but definitely not the sharpest tool in the shed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1983167729684431044","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":2891,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1983167729684431044","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1527240381716480006":{"id":"1527240381716480006","date":"2022-05-19 10:50:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AutomataEmily @Brett_FTXUS Well, he *is* pretty damn good at it...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1527231278860619776","reply_id":"1527231278860619776","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AutomataEmily","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1527240381716480006","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1737868572687548852":{"id":"1737868572687548852","date":"2023-12-21 16:12:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ThePythonQuant IV is fine, but do those discretionary macro PMs have any use for the full surface?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1737850331105792464","reply_id":"1737865921891283090","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ThePythonQuant","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":836,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1737868572687548852","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1937400167415841094":{"id":"1937400167415841094","date":"2025-06-24 06:39:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"I can feel your frustration that your neighbor's new leaf blower got your backyard all messy.\"\n\n\"He's been buying a lot of stuff recently hasn't he? Didn't he buy a new car last month? I guess it makes sense with all the low financing rates these days...\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1937209115383849132","reply_id":"1937213687867084985","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":56,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":8832,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1937400167415841094","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1183423468483706881":{"id":"1183423468483706881","date":"2019-10-13 16:45:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ Ok #fintwit here's my heretical idea of the week: levels (i.e. round number prices, or support/resistance levels) shouldn't factor into your trading at all.\n\nSoliciting opinions: @VolatilityWiz @Barton_options @chanep @SinclairEuan @petergarnry \n\nHere goes:","hashtags":["fintwit"],"conv":"1183423468483706881","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1183423468483706881","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1238494164330754052":{"id":"1238494164330754052","date":"2020-03-13 15:56:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@investinvol @vixologist @dynamicvol @bennpeifert @6_Figure_Invest @pat_hennessy Good point. This just highlights the huge difference between ETNs and real ETFs. They sound similar but have very different tail risk profiles.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1238444450654887937","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1238494164330754052","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1530027451278979072":{"id":"1530027451278979072","date":"2022-05-27 03:25:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Action as a verb.\n\n\"Let's action that before the next meeting.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1530011307084107776","reply_id":"1530011307084107776","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1530027451278979072","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1737925989936824648":{"id":"1737925989936824648","date":"2023-12-21 20:00:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This, always this.\n\nIt's the best way to leave them with a positive impression after a stressful \"bomb\" interview.\n\nAnd they often end up convincing their smart friends to apply!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1737925989936824648","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":40,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":7096,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1737925989936824648","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1661594000435081219":{"id":"1661594000435081219","date":"2023-05-25 04:44:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The irony of podcasts:\n\nIt's a medium that appears to reward organic conversation.\n\nBUT\n\nThe only ones worth listening to are those where the host has done an insane amount of research, like 2 orders of magnitude more time researching an episode than the actual recording.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1661594000435081219","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":116,"retweets":4,"replies":19,"quotes":2,"views":19695,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1661594000435081219","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1950654819057680462":{"id":"1950654819057680462","date":"2025-07-30 20:28:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@goodalexander Corollary: most of the time, the correct position to hold is zero.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1950649086631362674","reply_id":"1950649086631362674","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"goodalexander","likes":15,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":2289,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1950654819057680462","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1508562433945718786":{"id":"1508562433945718786","date":"2022-03-28 21:51:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Come on high schoolers. This is your chance to make a *big* difference.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1508562433945718786","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1508562433945718786","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1699580789921566962":{"id":"1699580789921566962","date":"2023-09-07 00:30:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@QT_Machine Wrong metric. You want median salaries for the profession.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1699481367359177063","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":760,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1699580789921566962","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1964418355076686039":{"id":"1964418355076686039","date":"2025-09-06 20:00:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbacarella @market_death Why wouldn't San Diego be a likeable answer?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1964379518984216828","reply_id":"1964380252433719431","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbacarella","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":67,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1964418355076686039","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1770159393113350216":{"id":"1770159393113350216","date":"2024-03-19 18:44:21","author":"Michael Strong","handle":"flowidealism","text":"A teacher with 5-10 students in a home microschool would have a budget of $150k to $300k to work with.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1770159393113350216","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1770185449463521703","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":63,"retweets":6,"replies":7,"quotes":2,"views":12564,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/flowidealism/status/1770159393113350216"},"1533946713366568962":{"id":"1533946713366568962","date":"2022-06-06 22:59:30","author":"SBF","handle":"SBF_FTX","text":"1) Zig Zag and hiring:\n\nwhy FTX is going to keep growing as others cut jobs","hashtags":[],"conv":"1533946713366568962","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1533950791903432710","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2742,"retweets":440,"replies":141,"quotes":174,"views":0,"bookmarks":659,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX/status/1533946713366568962"},"1498385959703826433":{"id":"1498385959703826433","date":"2022-02-28 19:53:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lightspringfox @TCK_JRubano @nope_its_lily @M1tchRosenthal @be20684347 @experquisite @macrocephalopod @therobotjames @NotQuiteMidlife @fed_speak And turning it off when it's losing money.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1340471352348848134","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1498385959703826433","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1588569868340985856":{"id":"1588569868340985856","date":"2022-11-04 16:32:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@backbooked @0xdoug Or just avoid the JVM entirely?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1588553872939044864","reply_id":"1588554303521726464","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"backbooked","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1588569868340985856","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2079949031174750572":{"id":"2079949031174750572","date":"2026-07-22 15:17:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Meanwhile OpenAI admits to committing computer fraud and...","hashtags":[],"conv":"2079949031174750572","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":8882,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2079949031174750572","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1594150649079336960":{"id":"1594150649079336960","date":"2022-11-20 02:08:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug @0xfbifemboy @glenweyl This whole thing is in the running for \"Worst Take About FTX\". And it's a *crowded* field.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1594120714050600960","reply_id":"1594146709156003840","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":14,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1594150649079336960","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1553425644695871488":{"id":"1553425644695871488","date":"2022-07-30 17:01:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Grammar question:\n\nOne Starbucks.\nTwo Starbuces?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1553425644695871488","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":12,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1553425644695871488","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1984007820875014582":{"id":"1984007820875014582","date":"2025-10-30 21:21:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Vibes are shifting.\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Ii1ROzeSwU","hashtags":[],"conv":"1984007820875014582","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":42,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":17456,"bookmarks":29,"media":["1984007820875014582_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1984007820875014582","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1664743796003799042":{"id":"1664743796003799042","date":"2023-06-02 21:20:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OrthogonalAlpha @0xLightcycle Wait, wait, hear me out.\n\nRegular plebes use KF not realizing it's based on thin-tailed distributions and linear processes.\n\nYou *must* use unscented KFs to get anywhere in quant trading. Here's an academic paper about how to make $ in markets.\n\n(Am I doing quantfluencer right?)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1664726071009325057","reply_id":"1664727383151198212","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OrthogonalAlpha","likes":23,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3018,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1664743796003799042","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2006036591186215240":{"id":"2006036591186215240","date":"2025-12-30 16:16:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Come on @LouStagner @MarkBroadie, lay'em down.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2006036113824080362","reply_id":"2006036113824080362","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3031,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2006036591186215240","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1981720000940413234":{"id":"1981720000940413234","date":"2025-10-24 13:50:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tulkenss Why is \"the\" not useful (assuming it's not already in there)?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1981709780529139751","reply_id":"1981709780529139751","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tulkenss","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":40,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1981720000940413234","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1896125165643464742":{"id":"1896125165643464742","date":"2025-03-02 09:07:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The French Connection (1971)\n\nYes, the car chase scene is famous, but it's Hackman's manic energy that drives what, let's face is, is a pretty pedestrian plot.\n\nOverall, the movie captures that nihilistic 70s NYC-is-falling-apart vibe incredibly well.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MYv8K_joa6A","hashtags":[],"conv":"1896125163172966823","reply_id":"1896125163172966823","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":950,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1896125165643464742_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1896125165643464742","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2016247939027382355":{"id":"2016247939027382355","date":"2026-01-27 20:32:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Someone hasn't seen the self-aggrandizing bag-pumping rot of crypto VC Twitter then?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2016247939027382355","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4938,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2016247939027382355","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1231065349820280833":{"id":"1231065349820280833","date":"2020-02-22 03:57:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@demonetizedblog vlookup : indexmatch :: Twix bar : Lindor truffles\n\nYeah the truffle is better in every way that counts, but when that Twix is sitting there in the doctor's waiting room you just grab it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1230856431496245253","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1231065349820280833","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1476673732902940690":{"id":"1476673732902940690","date":"2021-12-30 21:57:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Brett_FTXUS Maybe that factor decays over time as crypto becomes progressively bigger, more central, more real?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476668154696781824","reply_id":"1476673003450552320","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BrettHarrison","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476673732902940690","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1599216257659994113":{"id":"1599216257659994113","date":"2022-12-04 01:37:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite ✅","hashtags":[],"conv":"1599212883333767169","reply_id":"1599212883333767169","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1599216257659994113","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2038382160009105817":{"id":"2038382160009105817","date":"2026-03-29 22:25:52","author":"Sean Patrick Maloney","handle":"SeanPMaloney","text":"American consumers by the millions prefer prediction markets because, unlike casinos, they don’t win when you lose. Casinos hate this. But federal courts and regulators have clearly held that our US-based markets are 100% legal and subject to comprehensive regulation by the CFTC, a proven cop on the beat.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2038382160009105817","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2038532698172449084","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":61,"retweets":4,"replies":10,"quotes":2,"views":17671,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SeanPMaloney/status/2038382160009105817"},"1883499562545078635":{"id":"1883499562545078635","date":"2025-01-26 12:57:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Zverev bitching about his racket tension mid-match and then asking for 15.9kg/16.9kg tension (as if he can tell a 100g difference) is peak Zverev.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1883499562545078635","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":2015,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1883499562545078635","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1611161159406878720":{"id":"1611161159406878720","date":"2023-01-06 00:42:08","author":"typedfemale","handle":"typedfemale","text":"why don't people use an ELO rating system to sort things more? you could do this for songs in a genre or playlist for instance","hashtags":[],"conv":"1611161159406878720","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1611167492902391808","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":86,"retweets":1,"replies":18,"quotes":2,"views":14985,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/typedfemale/status/1611161159406878720"},"1427463493469442049":{"id":"1427463493469442049","date":"2021-08-17 02:53:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KeyPaganRush @saanglee @goodalexander @therobotjames @longskew \"Yield enhancement\" = free moneys","hashtags":[],"conv":"1427432958424752129","reply_id":"1427458473181126659","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KeyPaganRush","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1427463493469442049","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1950939460960715063":{"id":"1950939460960715063","date":"2025-07-31 15:19:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT 1. It's what got me into trading.\n2. Yes gambling was useful in weird times when other capital-formation mechanisms were missing.\n3. Aaron wrote the foreword to my book. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1950823732316082301","reply_id":"1950934765822980127","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":393,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1950939460960715063","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1830197294785794377":{"id":"1830197294785794377","date":"2024-09-01 10:53:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In case you thought he was kidding:\n\n\"And in all the particular fields, it’s probably mostly nonsense. Like the media work – Manufacturing Consent – it’s pretty terrible. The foreign policy. The linguistic stuff, to me in retrospect seems at best tautological.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1830196445711860132","reply_id":"1830196445711860132","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2369,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1830197294785794377","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1555727565897097218":{"id":"1555727565897097218","date":"2022-08-06 01:28:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1555573393402916864","reply_id":"1555727092322811904","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1555727565897097218","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1423336553145794561":{"id":"1423336553145794561","date":"2021-08-05 17:34:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2/ Consider the timeseries of trade prices. For example:\n10.1, 10.2, 10.15, 10.15, 10.2, 10.3.\n\nStrip out all the trades which happened at the same prices as the previous price:\n10.1, 10.2, 10.15, 10.2, 10.3\n\nConvert to simple up/down moves:\n+1, -1, +1, +1","hashtags":[],"conv":"1423336552340414467","reply_id":"1423336552340414467","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1423336553145794561","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2009944856010035683":{"id":"2009944856010035683","date":"2026-01-10 11:06:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Reposting so that someone can run the numbers in 2025 and see if it's still true.\n\nI bet it is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2009944856010035683","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":9387,"bookmarks":24,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2009944856010035683","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1565896061620629504":{"id":"1565896061620629504","date":"2022-09-03 02:54:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bkavoussi The data disagrees.\n\nSmall businesses are typically pretty bad for the business owner AND for their employees (relative to their respective large-company alternatives).\n\nPaging @tylercowen...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1565883759689433091","reply_id":"1565883759689433091","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bkavoussi","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1565896061620629504","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1548105617847435266":{"id":"1548105617847435266","date":"2022-07-16 00:41:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Matt296693251 @pmontu33 @therobotjames 99% of retail traders lose money.\n\nSo if the goal is to lose it slowly enough for trading to remain entertaining, then yes perhaps stop orders are the way to go.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548007648007634944","reply_id":"1548102221144870912","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OceanMan_CCB","likes":3,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1548105617847435266","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1704254081915859237":{"id":"1704254081915859237","date":"2023-09-19 22:00:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The average point length may be 3 shots, but E[point length when a shot is hit] is much longer.\n\nPlus, long rallies are exciting, meaning we remember them more.\n\nThis probably sounds confusing, so here's an example:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1704254080192049183","reply_id":"1704254080192049183","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":598,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1704254081915859237","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1145708305005703168":{"id":"1145708305005703168","date":"2019-07-01 14:58:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OddStats @mpk62 It also says \"thinkers\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1145704755769040896","reply_id":"1145706324342104066","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OddStats","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1145708305005703168","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1867308074001740170":{"id":"1867308074001740170","date":"2024-12-12 20:38:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeepDishEnjoyer @QuinnWaves Yeah. Nothing's ever done. Not in a competitive world.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1867060296126435620","reply_id":"1867307861065482442","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeepDishEnjoyer","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":243,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1867308074001740170","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1938335959449210920":{"id":"1938335959449210920","date":"2025-06-26 20:37:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@samuha If you mean resting orders, yeah I agree. Most non-HFTs shouldn't use resting orders in reasonably liquid markets. YMMV and all that.\n\nI can, however, believe that some smart order router/execution algo could profitably use a mix of order types to put on positions.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1937945791924211844","reply_id":"1938330446485463218","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"samuha","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":147,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1938335959449210920","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1611753770098257928":{"id":"1611753770098257928","date":"2023-01-07 15:56:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Learning yet another C-derived language has three stages:\n\n1. Sigh, what syntax do they want now?\n2. Ok, got it. <Go off and writes C in new language.>\n3. What? <Discover all the subtle differences in mem mgmt, scoping, types, concurrency, etc etc.>","hashtags":[],"conv":"1611753770098257928","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":39,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":7952,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1611753770098257928","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1762059310308159654":{"id":"1762059310308159654","date":"2024-02-26 10:17:31","author":"elPythonQuantador","handle":"ThePythonQuant","text":"The brutal truth of finance is that name-brands matter. \n\nMy undergrad was at a non-target, and my quant career was a non starter. \n\nAfter studying my masters at Cambridge - I got interviews at every top quant fund on the list. I hated that reality, but it is what it is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1762059310308159654","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1762147353287622750","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":280,"retweets":14,"replies":16,"quotes":7,"views":81056,"bookmarks":80,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ThePythonQuant/status/1762059310308159654"},"1784582945241809338":{"id":"1784582945241809338","date":"2024-04-28 13:58:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Surely the hardest part of being a professional athlete is having to answer the SAME tired questions day after day in press conferences.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1784582945241809338","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2983,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1784582945241809338","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2009570291018821765":{"id":"2009570291018821765","date":"2026-01-09 10:17:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I would also argue that markets are incredibly complex, with diverse sources of information. It's all of homo economicus in one place.\n\nNo org can be good at understanding it all. You have to specialize in understanding some small piece of it.\n\nThat's why many can thrive.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2009570291018821765","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":52,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":8249,"bookmarks":18,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2009570291018821765","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1942645752544612578":{"id":"1942645752544612578","date":"2025-07-08 18:03:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@krishnanrohit Feels like another median vs wings thing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942643783834972168","reply_id":"1942643783834972168","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"krishnanrohit","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":173,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942645752544612578","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1510291557735305218":{"id":"1510291557735305218","date":"2022-04-02 16:22:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Do you have any idea how interesting the humble roly poly (or pillbug or potato bug) is? Some assorted facts TIL:\n\n1. Scientific name armadillidum vulgare. It's named after the armadillo (duh).\n\nFamily name? armadillidiidae. The extra \"dii\" for no reason, love it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1510291557735305218","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1510291557735305218","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1949114165806743822":{"id":"1949114165806743822","date":"2025-07-26 14:26:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ferrisml_pk I'm optimistic about the world. But pessimistic about the role of gambling in it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1948820341091897556","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1140,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1949114165806743822","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1224752332111368193":{"id":"1224752332111368193","date":"2020-02-04 17:51:25","author":"Shannon Ellis","handle":"Shannon_E_Ellis","text":".@AgustinLebron3 gave an amazing guest lecture in COGS 108 Data Science in Practice today. Dropped just the right amount of decision-making, technical, and trading knowledge on our awesome UCSD undergrads!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1224752332111368193","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1224757817166352384","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1224752332111368193_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Shannon_E_Ellis/status/1224752332111368193"},"1546258836486426624":{"id":"1546258836486426624","date":"2022-07-10 22:23:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What would it look like if I asked a movie reviewer to review the Easter Sunday service at a local church as if it were a movie?\n\nKinda the same.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546258563856666624","reply_id":"1546258563856666624","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546258836486426624","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1783167056076243115":{"id":"1783167056076243115","date":"2024-04-24 16:12:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In November, would you rather:\n\n- Get shot in the chest?\n- Be poisoned?\n\nYou can assume that in both cases, it will be painful for around 4 years.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1783167056076243115","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":2,"views":8522,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1783167056076243115","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1424369823530643462":{"id":"1424369823530643462","date":"2021-08-08 14:00:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod Count the # of athletes.\n\nUSA - 613\n\nAbove together - 425+398+376+372+320+121+116+106+92 = 2326.\n\nKind of a no-brainer they won more medals.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1424366223635197955","reply_id":"1424366223635197955","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":58,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1424369823530643462","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1333607413916680192":{"id":"1333607413916680192","date":"2020-12-01 03:02:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ksidiii What's not to love? Look at all those extraneous type declarations!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1333576977106735104","reply_id":"1333576977106735104","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Ksidiii","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1333607413916680192_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1333607413916680192","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1364373050758631429":{"id":"1364373050758631429","date":"2021-02-24 00:34:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 @choffstein @kchoudhu Corporate actions are the death.\n\nRemind me to talk about the time a certain Dutch options MM incinerated 10m EUR (I estimate) when Mittal did a spinoff.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1364304979972997124","reply_id":"1364368567857274880","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1364373050758631429","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1295915687936843777":{"id":"1295915687936843777","date":"2020-08-19 02:49:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz Dirt Transfer Theory: leave a pair of jeans crumpled up in the corner, they somehow become clean after a while.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1295907150477262849","reply_id":"1295907150477262849","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1295915687936843777","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2050826066445373871":{"id":"2050826066445373871","date":"2026-05-03 06:33:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Stoicism is Buddhism with the rage left in.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2050826066445373871","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":56,"retweets":2,"replies":7,"quotes":1,"views":6324,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2050826066445373871","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1800232434296057860":{"id":"1800232434296057860","date":"2024-06-10 18:23:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Ah, the understated elegance of the grass court season. \n\nNo more playing in the ugly dirt for a while.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1800232434296057860","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1887,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1800232434296057860","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1486413617582927874":{"id":"1486413617582927874","date":"2022-01-26 18:59:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ It's kind of amazing how many SaaS startups are basically just playing Settlers of Catan.\n\nJust roll some dice, pick up some cards, and build some stuff. All thinking is tactical.\n\nSettlers of SaaS 🧵👉👉👉","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486413617582927874","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2076255671385719152","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":28,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":32,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1486413617582927874","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1395074906254049281":{"id":"1395074906254049281","date":"2021-05-19 17:52:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bf_crane How this thread didn't get more likes I'll never know.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1393362139243372544","reply_id":"1393362139243372544","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bf_crane","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1395074906254049281","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1599075834362761217":{"id":"1599075834362761217","date":"2022-12-03 16:19:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase @QuantLemming @QntitvPlsing @mnopro You need an assumption about what fraction of the edge is in A vs B.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598767891398414336","reply_id":"1599067833224204288","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1599075834362761217","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1594026213185839104":{"id":"1594026213185839104","date":"2022-11-19 17:53:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@etdebruin @AlexAndBooks_ Three Body Problem - Liu Cixin\nKolyma Stories - Varlam Shalamov\nThe Man From The Future - Bhattacharya\nOther Minds - Godfrey-Smith\nAddiction By Design - Schull\nThe Orphan Master's Son - Johnson\n\ntried to go broad-ish","hashtags":[],"conv":"1594020166680989696","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1594026213185839104","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1503510103466516484":{"id":"1503510103466516484","date":"2022-03-14 23:15:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@aBioSWE I thought about it but honestly but them really knows.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503490626418974721","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1503510103466516484","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1300427838122672129":{"id":"1300427838122672129","date":"2020-08-31 13:38:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BeingHorizontal @GabbbarSingh Agreed.\n\nBiographies are a whole category of book devoted to anecdotal evidence, the Availability Heuristic, and Confirmation Bias.\n\nUgh.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1300157758931525632","reply_id":"1300369976222597121","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BeingHorizontal","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1300427838122672129","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1440519098832613379":{"id":"1440519098832613379","date":"2021-09-22 03:31:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RyanSParker I struggle with this a lot because you're right that it's hard (verging on impossible) to be both.\n\nI'm certainly not as popular as I could be if I played the FinTwit game, and that's fine w/ me. It's just not a goal.\n\nI worry this Substack thing would make it one. Ugh.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1440514473710612481","reply_id":"1440518256960307201","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RyanSParker","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1440519098832613379","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1559697866511093760":{"id":"1559697866511093760","date":"2022-08-17 00:25:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 Yeah. Options exchanges usually offer quote protections so you can't get atomically taken on all your size, but you're always in the hands of their risk engine. YMMV. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1559691124511428608","reply_id":"1559697350607704064","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1559697866511093760","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1984278652461392354":{"id":"1984278652461392354","date":"2025-10-31 15:17:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeepDishEnjoyer \"Market making is a risk profile, not an order type.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1984266378988356057","reply_id":"1984266889389064396","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeepDishEnjoyer","likes":27,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2572,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1984278652461392354","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1946114877535261091":{"id":"1946114877535261091","date":"2025-07-18 07:48:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I'm basing this analysis on @goodalexander's excellent \"vibes-based economy\" framework.\n\n1. Define \"bullshit\" as the irrelevance of whether something is true or not.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946114875899486383","reply_id":"1946114875899486383","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":50,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":6976,"bookmarks":16,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946114877535261091","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1946621886982467896":{"id":"1946621886982467896","date":"2025-07-19 17:23:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@oldinvest Not in real terms. Look at some of the other responses. SK and Japan RE is down in inflation-adjusted terms.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946518179569651763","reply_id":"1946602252266844305","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"oldinvest","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":1116,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946621886982467896","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1942138304578638011":{"id":"1942138304578638011","date":"2025-07-07 08:27:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"13/\nA) Whoever greenlit this trading had a very different conception of \"acceptable market behavior\" than what I was taught and practiced as a trader at JS.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942138302657658899","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":183,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":24338,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942138304578638011","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1600226120384712705":{"id":"1600226120384712705","date":"2022-12-06 20:30:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@danrobinson There's been improvement in probability of wrongness, certainly, but is there any indication of improvement in detecting its own wrongness?\n\nThere's a flavor of \"make it so good it doesn't need a feedback mechanism to check itself\" to the pro-scaling argument.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1600224788458655744","reply_id":"1600224788458655744","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"danrobinson","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1600226120384712705","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1573176994862628869":{"id":"1573176994862628869","date":"2022-09-23 05:06:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"There are real problems. 🤔\nAnd there are bullshit problems. 💩\n\nThe difference is what happens when you ignore them.\n\nReal problems get worse. ⛈️\nBullshit problems just disappear. 🌬️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1573176994862628869","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":64,"retweets":7,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1573176994862628869","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1733338660236652652":{"id":"1733338660236652652","date":"2023-12-09 04:11:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@goodalexander @therobotjames 🤣🤣🤣\n\nThat *is* true.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1733322841783963829","reply_id":"1733338357776658686","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"goodalexander","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":119,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1733338660236652652","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2003760688666497433":{"id":"2003760688666497433","date":"2025-12-24 09:32:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"All these guides do is make everyone's life harder. You're making the competition even more tournament/zero-sum. More stupid bar-raising on the filter-passing stage, which means less time to pursue actually interesting work. For yourself and to show others.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2003760312953262416","reply_id":"2003760312953262416","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":70,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":6007,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2003760688666497433","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1491587298378412032":{"id":"1491587298378412032","date":"2022-02-10 01:38:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Guilty as charged, at one point. Thing is, that line works.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1491586994451148800","reply_id":"1491586994451148800","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1491587298378412032","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1942243349173572047":{"id":"1942243349173572047","date":"2025-07-07 15:24:34","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"Just an opinion...\n\nGonna put JS index expiry manipulation aside. It looks bad and if that was their intent it is bad. \n\nBut regarding the strategy where they sloppily buy deltas to turn around and sell option combos at artificially pumped prices...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942243349173572047","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1942261410110615908","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":606,"retweets":29,"replies":23,"quotes":8,"views":109070,"bookmarks":793,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1942243349173572047"},"1401018831728832514":{"id":"1401018831728832514","date":"2021-06-05 03:31:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@famadeo @RockshotJ @choffstein @salr_nyc @gmorando When's the honeymoon?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1401013362830446596","reply_id":"1401013362830446596","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"famadeo","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1401018831728832514","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1492680298869395456":{"id":"1492680298869395456","date":"2022-02-13 02:01:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@YearOTheDolphin Yes, Griggs vs Duke. But companies backdoor the test in all sorts of ways.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1492622868634431488","reply_id":"1492676006787915785","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"YearOTheDolphin","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1492680298869395456","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1773507924943581195":{"id":"1773507924943581195","date":"2024-03-29 00:30:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Not the *first* place I'd look to ask.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1773507924943581195","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":122,"retweets":3,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":10148,"bookmarks":6,"media":["1773507924943581195_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1773507924943581195","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1433521486099214341":{"id":"1433521486099214341","date":"2021-09-02 20:05:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @matt_levine It sounds miserable alone, especially pro poker player.\n\nBut trading with a small group of coworkers/friends is pretty awesome.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1433517108638322697","reply_id":"1433518940055998490","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1433521486099214341","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1628449259870883848":{"id":"1628449259870883848","date":"2023-02-22 17:38:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Hiring nerds:\n\n- Programming\n- Math\n- People skills\n\nPick at most two, if you're lucky.\nAnd pay handsomely for the privilege.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1628449259870883848","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":131,"retweets":4,"replies":18,"quotes":0,"views":39678,"bookmarks":25,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1628449259870883848","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1567349326808227840":{"id":"1567349326808227840","date":"2022-09-07 03:09:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NicoPollari @therobotjames @theemilyaccount @witchqueendot Idle curiosity or something more? If it's the former, I'd start with:\n\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Trading-Speed-Light-Algorithms-Transforming/dp/0691211388\n\nIf it's the latter, I'd get a job at a place that does it well.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1567346642105286656","reply_id":"1567346642105286656","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"NicoPollari","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1567349326808227840","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1806175200893165694":{"id":"1806175200893165694","date":"2024-06-27 03:58:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 I have a whole series of interview questions that hit this concept in different ways. Problems for which the intuitive answer (for most people) is far from the actual answer because of some weirdness. It's very predictive to see what people do when faced with the discrepancy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1806164045554167820","reply_id":"1806164045554167820","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":253,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1806175200893165694","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1971621350864572890":{"id":"1971621350864572890","date":"2025-09-26 17:02:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Self-recommending.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1971621350864572890","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":30,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":7161,"bookmarks":18,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1971621350864572890","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1188212866073018369":{"id":"1188212866073018369","date":"2019-10-26 21:56:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ryanstephens Two cans and a string has 2 ingredients = cans and string.\n\nYour iPhone has thousands of components, most of which you don't even understand.\n\nYou *really* think the latter is a better communications device?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1187896732396544000","reply_id":"1187896732396544000","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ryanstephens","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1188212866073018369","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1837529061276442989":{"id":"1837529061276442989","date":"2024-09-21 16:27:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Who's this book for? Are there lots of people out there with solid alpha-generating signals who don't know enough ML to turn them into money?\n\nAnd it's the wrong ML too. 24 chapters and not one sentence on feature normalization AFAICT.\n\nReads like a LARP.\n\nhttps://github.com/stefan-jansen/machine-learning-for-trading","hashtags":[],"conv":"1837529061276442989","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":139,"retweets":7,"replies":21,"quotes":3,"views":59423,"bookmarks":133,"media":["1837529061276442989_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1837529061276442989","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1608636533237772293":{"id":"1608636533237772293","date":"2022-12-30 01:30:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Yes, humans ALSO probabilistically pattern-complete much of the time, just like LLMs.\n\nBut, like Jerry's Wizard \"tip-calculator\"...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1608636533237772293","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":4144,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1608636533237772293_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1608636533237772293","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1927737582168748200":{"id":"1927737582168748200","date":"2025-05-28 14:43:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"No one:\n\nAbsolutely no one:\n\nCERN:\nHey everyone, here's a C++ REPL for data analysis because Jupyter's confusing execution model and C++'s awfulness needed to be combined.\n\nhttps://root.cern/primer/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1927737582168748200","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":233,"retweets":8,"replies":26,"quotes":1,"views":24360,"bookmarks":115,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1927737582168748200","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1637233250853871616":{"id":"1637233250853871616","date":"2023-03-18 23:23:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tickwide I'll believe that one when I see even a shred of evidence it's possible... :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1637214564860465153","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":278,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1637233250853871616","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1598697303908712448":{"id":"1598697303908712448","date":"2022-12-02 15:15:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin @macrocephalopod @laurentzeimes I worded that imprecisely. Obv it's not *actually* zero IQ at everyday reasoning. Its pattern-matching is good enough to simulate it.\n\nBut I claim if you could create a pure reasoning prompt where it can't pattern-match easily, it would score exactly zero.\n\n(agreed about humans)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598575466410934272","reply_id":"1598695955888472064","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598697303908712448","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1484349595966590983":{"id":"1484349595966590983","date":"2022-01-21 02:18:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@longskew @M1tchRosenthal @MarkGutman9 @Jimmyjude13 \"Equity stat arb\" is a very large umbrella...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1484320448074555399","reply_id":"1484349320811855872","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"longskew","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1484349595966590983","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1131924198899605505":{"id":"1131924198899605505","date":"2019-05-24 14:05:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Everywhere is an Arby's, sir.\" This is what terminal-stage consumer culture looks like, might as well enjoy it. #advertising #burgerking https://www.nytimes.com/2019/05/22/magazine/burger-king-real-meals-ad.html","hashtags":["advertising","burgerking"],"conv":"1131924198899605505","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1131924198899605505","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1702418188682604907":{"id":"1702418188682604907","date":"2023-09-14 20:25:00","author":"Kino Lorber","handle":"KinoLorber","text":"\"Tom Wolfe wrote a culture-defining book, and then he did it again, and then he did it again.\"\n\n@rkylesmith nails the breadth of Tom Wolfe's impact in @nationalreview.\n\nGo deeper into his story. RADICAL WOLFE opens tomorrow at @IFCCenter. http://Bit.ly/radicalwolfe","hashtags":[],"conv":"1702418188682604907","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1702739557878472877","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":3,"views":9577,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1702418188682604907_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KinoLorber/status/1702418188682604907"},"1595504377480900609":{"id":"1595504377480900609","date":"2022-11-23 19:47:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount I mean, lots of times you just want to run one (1) process on a box. And all that modern OS machinery is just... a lot.\n\nSomething like MirageOS is pretty appealing...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595440412348796929","reply_id":"1595504012215914518","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1595504377480900609","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1558551921396293633":{"id":"1558551921396293633","date":"2022-08-13 20:31:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cyberSM7 @dwarkesh_sp I don't think I have a good reason other than:\n\n- I've always been able to wake up early (suspect my circadian rhythm is naturally a bit short).\n- I don't love bitter-tasting things.\n\nGoes very much against my Argentine heritage but there you go.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1558505760421658625","reply_id":"1558534782908112896","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"cyberSM7","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1558551921396293633","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1409290670309732354":{"id":"1409290670309732354","date":"2021-06-27 23:20:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lightspringfox Not sure I agree. The most common bias out there is thinking that you're more irreplaceable than you actually are.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1409279086346702849","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1409290670309732354","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1282683502291349509":{"id":"1282683502291349509","date":"2020-07-13 14:29:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BeingHorizontal @famadeo Yes this is true. Though one could reasonably argue that using MSE when your training dataset has large outliers (or is fat-tailed) is actually dangerous because you'll fit to weird events that may not recur.\n\nSo mean abs error is maybe actually *more* robust, by this argument.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1282661229866016768","reply_id":"1282681558525075459","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BeingHorizontal","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1282683502291349509","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1740558345935990919":{"id":"1740558345935990919","date":"2023-12-29 02:20:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Most interesting woman of the last 100 years?\n\nI nominate Yoko Ono.\n\nhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yoko_Ono","hashtags":[],"conv":"1740558345935990919","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":2830,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1740558345935990919_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1740558345935990919","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1454896798523219968":{"id":"1454896798523219968","date":"2021-10-31 19:43:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"6/ \"It teaches them to be good at something.\"\n\nThis is related to the work ethic thing, but not the same. It's the idea that you need to learn what it feels like to be good at something.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1454896792802267140","reply_id":"1454896797357252610","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1454896798523219968","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1716833287455613078":{"id":"1716833287455613078","date":"2023-10-24 15:05:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"- Avoiding looking forward acausally. But avoiding it entirely is impossible.\n- Managing models and params over time.\n- Etc.\n\nAnd that's just the strat generation part.\nRunning in prod is another long list.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1716833285912084803","reply_id":"1716833285912084803","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":2412,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1716833287455613078","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1513668893193093120":{"id":"1513668893193093120","date":"2022-04-12 00:02:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @be20684347 @nope_its_lily @therobotjames @ripntear6 @volpompilano @bennpeifert There's no bright line between \"pure\" arbs and non-pure. There's just \"risks\". Some are risks you'll be good at taking and hence you'll get paid to take them. Others not so much.\n\nEvery real trade has risk. Even ADR arb has risk. Just ask anyone who's MMed Taiwan ADRs...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1513632059599646721","reply_id":"1513668364274704398","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":15,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1513668893193093120","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1532047051374006273":{"id":"1532047051374006273","date":"2022-06-01 17:10:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano I might add indexers as a dedicated category.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1532042203425607682","reply_id":"1532042203425607682","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1532047051374006273","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1346863613730963456":{"id":"1346863613730963456","date":"2021-01-06 16:58:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"43/ Let's note some more things:\n\nThe puts look smoother on the left side, the calls smoother on the right. This makes sense. Remember, puts = calls so if you're going to trade an option, trade the out of the money option. Why?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346863612116123648","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346863613730963456","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1979845895660437592":{"id":"1979845895660437592","date":"2025-10-19 09:43:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Squatting domain names is the OG prediction market.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1979845895660437592","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":94,"retweets":3,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":7799,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1979845895660437592","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1343286799884423168":{"id":"1343286799884423168","date":"2020-12-27 20:05:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jordanwrong1 @SinclairEuan @KrisAbdelmessih But leaving that aside, delta hedging on the strike vol BS delta is sub-optimal. For example, if the und moves down IV probably went up. So your real delta includes a d-delta/dvol term. And there are plenty of other 2nd order and higher terms.\n\nDoes this help?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1343282011134447621","reply_id":"1343285972964765696","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1343286799884423168","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1984960778802188710":{"id":"1984960778802188710","date":"2025-11-02 12:28:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JohnR_151 That last paragraph sounds like it's a lot of the explanation in these cases. High risk tolerance, (relatively) lower weight on material wealth.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1984922771592532383","reply_id":"1984957954357919886","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jroberson151","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":348,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1984960778802188710","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1189543970264584193":{"id":"1189543970264584193","date":"2019-10-30 14:05:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Suhail The world may be sick of privacy violations, but I see no evidence of any meaningful consumer segment willing to pay >0 to prevent/avoid them.\n\nAs long as free ad-supported networks dominate, the privacy violations will continue. The business model requires them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1189435417990332416","reply_id":"1189435417990332416","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Suhail","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1189543970264584193","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2059913114540240993":{"id":"2059913114540240993","date":"2026-05-28 08:22:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Surely at some point it dawns on someone that the YC model of \"fast MVP, talk to customers and ship features to prod every day\" doesn't work for... you know... building a rocket?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2059909182115963093","reply_id":"2059909182115963093","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2992,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2059913114540240993","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1478809411317501955":{"id":"1478809411317501955","date":"2022-01-05 19:23:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano My problem was that my editor kept telling me it wasn't story-timey enough. I had to keep going back and putting narrative in.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1478751686558728199","reply_id":"1478795279369486336","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1478809411317501955","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1949163689442955527":{"id":"1949163689442955527","date":"2025-07-26 17:43:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OneHotCode1 Is it a greenfield buildout though?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1949155135487095045","reply_id":"1949155135487095045","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OneHotCode1","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":455,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1949163689442955527","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1432550970467106816":{"id":"1432550970467106816","date":"2021-08-31 03:49:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Looking at the embalmed humans that purport to lead the US these days, maybe the Gerontocracy of Sorpen is actually Earth in the Culture universe.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1432550970467106816","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1432550970467106816","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1397944551768166403":{"id":"1397944551768166403","date":"2021-05-27 15:55:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tarunchitra @volmagorov @BangTheClose @nope_its_lily @PaToFe4 @macrocephalopod Did pretty well, considering. Maybe he wouldn't have 70 years later.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1397931742237904903","reply_id":"1397944209286602759","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tarunchitra","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1397944551768166403","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1689703088519790592":{"id":"1689703088519790592","date":"2023-08-10 18:19:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jcharovsky @IsaacKing314 @dwarkesh_sp @3blue1brown Definitely. Very valuable as a complementary source of insight and mental models.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1689285655216480256","reply_id":"1689686355742269452","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jcharovsky","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":35,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1689703088519790592","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1434963976534708225":{"id":"1434963976534708225","date":"2021-09-06 19:37:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"21/ The good news in all of this, for older people, is that old knowledge is VALUABLE.\n\nSome of the biggest joys and best trades happen when old knowledge is applied in new areas. Because usually those new areas are being created by young people who don’t have much experience.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434963956599193601","reply_id":"1434963975519682560","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":17,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434963976534708225","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1448341956841533442":{"id":"1448341956841533442","date":"2021-10-13 17:36:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ The key to understanding \"news\" is to think about probabilities and incentives. A thread... 👉👉👉","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448341956841533442","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":56,"retweets":5,"replies":1,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":34,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448341956841533442","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1615509886267461632":{"id":"1615509886267461632","date":"2023-01-18 00:42:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 Depends, but often it's a good idea to Gaussianify your data if you're shoving it into something like linear regression.\n\nEmpirical CDF -> some smoothing -> linear interpolation into a normal CDF z score.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1615500214659608576","reply_id":"1615500214659608576","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":1033,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1615509886267461632","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1318565008154845184":{"id":"1318565008154845184","date":"2020-10-20 14:49:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BeingHorizontal Not to mention much more educational.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1318541804254343168","reply_id":"1318541804254343168","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BeingHorizontal","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1318565008154845184","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1544108410978779136":{"id":"1544108410978779136","date":"2022-07-04 23:58:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@timebargains @therobotjames @NihilistTrader I think so. Back in the day. Rarely.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1544063841721524227","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1544108410978779136","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1551056014316695552":{"id":"1551056014316695552","date":"2022-07-24 04:05:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JessicaNutt96 @therobotjames Great find!\n\nI mean, it's really not a controversial viewpoint. Or at least it shouldn't be.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1551041500334772226","reply_id":"1551041891365445637","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JessicaNutt96","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1551056014316695552","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1375119228949331968":{"id":"1375119228949331968","date":"2021-03-25 16:15:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"7/ This is precisely what you see in trading.\n\nTrading is the expression of disagreement about probabilities.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1375119223693864961","reply_id":"1375119228106207241","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":42,"retweets":4,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1375119228949331968","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1508963117102878721":{"id":"1508963117102878721","date":"2022-03-30 00:23:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@imagine_mev 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1508949176515584001","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1508963117102878721","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1181659550320979968":{"id":"1181659550320979968","date":"2019-10-08 19:56:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein @GestaltU Stitch Fix also ships clothes in many \"colors\", a concept borrowed from quantum chromodynamics.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1181648160021610496","reply_id":"1181648160021610496","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1181659550320979968","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1415507030874333188":{"id":"1415507030874333188","date":"2021-07-15 03:02:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Sg423Sg Plus, as markets get more efficient, game theory tells us that the barbers will locate next to each other in the middle of the block.\n\nThe differentiator then becomes ability to sell a largely undifferentiated product.\n\nSo you select for ability to sell and signal at all levels.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"1415506798719619079","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415507030874333188","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1709306163312071078":{"id":"1709306163312071078","date":"2023-10-03 20:35:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@egfalken @Ritholtz 👆👆👆","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709296098630680730","reply_id":"1709302431736054193","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"egfalken","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":549,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1709306163312071078","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1560722440249954304":{"id":"1560722440249954304","date":"2022-08-19 20:16:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"A wild animal's life consists of moments of abject terror set in a background of mind-numbing tedium.\n\nThe miracle of ancient civilization is mostly the elimination of the former.\n\nThe challenge of modern civilization is mostly the elimination of the latter.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1560722440249954304","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":63,"retweets":4,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1560722440249954304","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1468348561486082048":{"id":"1468348561486082048","date":"2021-12-07 22:35:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Ah golf... I'll never not find \"DP World Tour\" ridiculous.\n\nhttps://www.europeantour.com/european-tour/schedule/2022/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1468348561486082048","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1468348561486082048","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1708853591254221301":{"id":"1708853591254221301","date":"2023-10-02 14:36:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In a list of cute little games you would have to pay me a LOT of money to actually play, this is surely #1:\n\nhttps://flexboxfroggy.com/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1708853591254221301","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2344,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1708853591254221301","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1375193005850730496":{"id":"1375193005850730496","date":"2021-03-25 21:08:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @macrocephalopod Anyone who can collect 100s of millions of $ in interest-free loans from prospective customers is evidently pretty good at... incentives.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1375099069497028615","reply_id":"1375192535140732929","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1375193005850730496","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1541109424906854401":{"id":"1541109424906854401","date":"2022-06-26 17:21:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Uncentive1 https://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1522613858484973569","hashtags":[],"conv":"1541105988282961926","reply_id":"1541108457302114305","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Uncentive1","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1541109424906854401","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1427988939202129926":{"id":"1427988939202129926","date":"2021-08-18 13:41:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@blackswanjake @xjpx888 @therobotjames 🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1427778853401817091","reply_id":"1427864031113609224","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jq37_","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1427988939202129926","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1957738541661798830":{"id":"1957738541661798830","date":"2025-08-19 09:36:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @__paleologo I stole it from @SeanMcElwee","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957390814113308717","reply_id":"1957728328338612652","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1284,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1957738541661798830","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1597695897349292032":{"id":"1597695897349292032","date":"2022-11-29 20:56:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @QuantumHoneybee @0xLightcycle @be20684347 Is that Vic Niederhoffer's boat?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597690466807316480","reply_id":"1597695532319002625","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597695897349292032","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1506045245435224070":{"id":"1506045245435224070","date":"2022-03-21 23:09:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"25/ The Streak: the A's start winning and winning.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nK1jtVhimPA","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1506045244076220416","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1506045245435224070","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1789049363651756284":{"id":"1789049363651756284","date":"2024-05-10 21:46:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@robertmowry Feels like you just incinerate on the LEAP premium.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788923697908339031","reply_id":"1789048231089102939","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"robertmowry","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":451,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1789049363651756284","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1593070179470430208":{"id":"1593070179470430208","date":"2022-11-17 02:35:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal Strang is pretty much the bible.\n\nhttps://math.mit.edu/~gs/linearalgebra/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1593068285364686848","reply_id":"1593069975417544704","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1593070179470430208","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1625582376926715904":{"id":"1625582376926715904","date":"2023-02-14 19:46:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Are there business owners who actually DO apply for loans based on someone leaving them an overly familiar... (checks notes) *voicemail* message?\n\nSurely the market is small enough that it gets saturated and I stop getting these calls someday?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1625582376926715904","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1873,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1625582376926715904","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1346481454830608386":{"id":"1346481454830608386","date":"2021-01-05 15:39:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"27/ What if I want to compare TSLA options to NKLA options? Or Mar options to Jun options? Or the 700 call to the 750 call?\n\nThere are too many parameters, it's just too complicated to get good intuitions about. Intuitions matter.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346481453534646275","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346481454830608386","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1508962898332119041":{"id":"1508962898332119041","date":"2022-03-30 00:22:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@milnewd Look for lagged relationships. Start small. Branch out.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1508949176515584001","reply_id":"1508956539150819336","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"milnewd","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1508962898332119041","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2012147847291150755":{"id":"2012147847291150755","date":"2026-01-16 13:00:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Show me a place with actual free speech and I'll show you a place no one important cares about.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2012147847291150755","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":6370,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2012147847291150755","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1959314049130242319":{"id":"1959314049130242319","date":"2025-08-23 17:57:26","author":"goodalexander","handle":"goodalexander","text":"For example this woman exists in a fully hyperreal manner — she’s short form Goop bc we’re too dumb to read an entire magazine now - I think it’s relatively unlikely she could make this video and retain any kind of North Star outside what the algo rewards \n\nYou’d have to put her in a CIA / CCP grade level reconditioning camp for months and at the end of it she’d probably just be a broken shell of a person without agency even if you managed to rm rf the algoslop impact. It’d take years to recreate a new identity at which point a secondary crisis would ensue (being too old w too little neuroplasticity for new beliefs) \n\nAt the end of this crisis she’d probably willingly return to the Happiness Machine - fully knowing what it is. A live data drive refutation of Nozick","hashtags":[],"conv":"1959311338972311661","reply_id":"1959311338972311661","quote_id":"1959678098334757027","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"goodalexander","likes":257,"retweets":9,"replies":21,"quotes":3,"views":67669,"bookmarks":65,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/goodalexander/status/1959314049130242319"},"2066510878498025949":{"id":"2066510878498025949","date":"2026-06-15 13:19:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Turns out EA zealots make pretty bad CEOs of 1T companies with significant national security implications.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2066510878498025949","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":88,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":9646,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2066510878498025949","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2079979891752075768":{"id":"2079979891752075768","date":"2026-07-22 17:20:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The spikiness of frontier model capabilities is possibly nowhere more evident than in trading.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2079979500025135450","reply_id":"2079979500025135450","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":126,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":7422,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2079979891752075768","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1880514566091862334":{"id":"1880514566091862334","date":"2025-01-18 07:16:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@davidma @alz_zyd_ @0xdoug Some did!\n\nI should have been more precise: they couldn't make much money providing, and it was confusing to them.\n\nSome had (bad) structural reasons they couldn't/wouldn't take, but the ones that did did well.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1880356975676158082","reply_id":"1880513755693695122","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"davidma","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":365,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1880514566091862334","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1501710842152116228":{"id":"1501710842152116228","date":"2022-03-10 00:05:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal What's your prior for why such a relationship could exist, given that these are two of the most traded futures in the world?\n\nI know I sound like a downer sometimes, but this REALLY is important. Having a good story before you look at data is a big part of avoiding overfitting!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"1501709102694940672","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":34,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501710842152116228","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1503566391101648896":{"id":"1503566391101648896","date":"2022-03-15 02:58:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JessicaNutt96 That's... uh... illegal...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503533958641954821","reply_id":"1503533958641954821","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JessicaNutt96","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1503566391101648896","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1906692355731734675":{"id":"1906692355731734675","date":"2025-03-31 12:57:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Famously, in CS there are only two hard problems:\n1. Naming things\n2. Cache invalidation\n3. Off-by-one errors\n\nSimilarly in trading there are only two hard problems:\n1. Universe selection\n2. Symbology\n\nBasically, what do you trade and what do you call it?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1906692355731734675","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":77,"retweets":4,"replies":5,"quotes":2,"views":7186,"bookmarks":31,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1906692355731734675","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1665837244828069892":{"id":"1665837244828069892","date":"2023-06-05 21:45:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If you buy our products, you too can be a perfect human like our employees in Cupertino.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1665837244828069892","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1656,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1665837244828069892","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1957451110165205042":{"id":"1957451110165205042","date":"2025-08-18 14:34:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xKuzco Predictions on what, precisely? What societally useful *allocation* decision is being helped by billions of dollars being bet on the SuperBowl? Or on WNBA dildoes for that matter?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957390814113308717","reply_id":"1957450651098866036","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xKuzco","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":2273,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1957451110165205042","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1844077109670707276":{"id":"1844077109670707276","date":"2024-10-09 18:06:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@danrobinson @paulg Oh just put the word \"stat\" in front and you're good.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1844048156897779935","reply_id":"1844049519027376148","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"danrobinson","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":277,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1844077109670707276","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1601762710911602689":{"id":"1601762710911602689","date":"2022-12-11 02:16:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Insights-per-minute of a Lex Fridman podcast steadily converging to zero. That denominator is getting huge.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1601762710911602689","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1602144517565530112","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1023,"retweets":14,"replies":48,"quotes":9,"views":0,"bookmarks":87,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1601762710911602689","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1434963969387556865":{"id":"1434963969387556865","date":"2021-09-06 19:37:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"14/ Case in point: my relationship with crypto and DLT. \n\nI’ve known about it for over a decade now. When it first came out, I thought “wow, that’s cool, I should look into it”. And I did a bit, enough to learn how the tech works, but then I ignored it.\n\nI was busy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434963956599193601","reply_id":"1434963968389312514","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434963969387556865","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1493422082343849987":{"id":"1493422082343849987","date":"2022-02-15 03:09:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @volpompilano Winner winner.\n\n(I also yield farm ponzicoins)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493387393142976512","reply_id":"1493421800717688835","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493422082343849987","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1176911852246142976":{"id":"1176911852246142976","date":"2019-09-25 17:30:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Lately I've gotten lots of questions on KPIs and dashboarding for tech organizations. So I'm excited to announce our webinar on those topics. Oct 24 at 1pm Pacific.\n\nThere's art and science to it, so if you do #tech #management  I encourage you to attend.\n\nhttps://www.essilen-research.com/kpi-webinar/","hashtags":["tech","management"],"conv":"1176911852246142976","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1176911852246142976","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1692254878939373585":{"id":"1692254878939373585","date":"2023-08-17 19:19:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In 1985, Back To The Future had a scene in 1955:\n\nDoc asks Marty who's president.\n\"Ronald Reagan.\"\n\"The actor?\"\n\nLet's run it for other years...\n\n 76,92 The director of the CIA?\n78,99 Who?\n82,04 Veep again? No his son.\n90,12 Who?\n92,16 The bankrupt casino guy?\n96,23 Seriously?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1692254878939373585","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2232,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1692254878939373585","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1851557028533060068":{"id":"1851557028533060068","date":"2024-10-30 09:29:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If I see *one* more paper on predicting moves by doing image ML on OHLCV pictures...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1851557028533060068","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":114,"retweets":0,"replies":13,"quotes":1,"views":18624,"bookmarks":19,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1851557028533060068","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1181344781311438849":{"id":"1181344781311438849","date":"2019-10-07 23:05:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MebFaber Anyone who's looked through 13F filings can see it: most funds, no matter their purported style, basically just replicate SPY and charge percents to do it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1181273069920219137","reply_id":"1181273069920219137","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MebFaber","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1181344781311438849","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1293360440731250688":{"id":"1293360440731250688","date":"2020-08-12 01:35:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@saah1lk Well, it *is* my birthday today.\n\nMorbidity and fear of death are the order of the day.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1293359889671000065","reply_id":"1293360155879514113","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"saah1lk","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1293360440731250688","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1549244412701552641":{"id":"1549244412701552641","date":"2022-07-19 04:07:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Stochastic_Adv @therobotjames @worstcontrarian @be20684347 @egfalken Yes, this:\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Investing-Amid-Low-Expected-Returns/dp/1119860199\n\nHaven't read yet. I'm doing crypto now so I have extremely low expected returns. 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548989902570012672","reply_id":"1549243986681794560","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Stochastic_Adv","likes":9,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":["1549244412701552641_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1549244412701552641","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1439302024152051712":{"id":"1439302024152051712","date":"2021-09-18 18:55:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"6/ Of course, there is the rare person who makes the opposite mistake. They live in too high a level of abstraction. Solving the overly-meta problem takes too long or is just too hard, and doesn't get you any tangible results.\n\nNot many of you out there but you know who you are.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1439302018976256002","reply_id":"1439302023048953857","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":22,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1439302024152051712","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1389055948988174340":{"id":"1389055948988174340","date":"2021-05-03 03:15:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@saanglee @therobotjames @macrocephalopod @darjohn25 @KrisAbdelmessih Brilliance.\n\nAkin to my uncle starting the asado fire w/ a hairdryer. What say you @famadeo ?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1389049985954566147","reply_id":"1389055016724488199","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"saanglee","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1389055948988174340","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1389056249644257283":{"id":"1389056249644257283","date":"2021-05-03 03:16:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@naval Plutocrat anorexic germophobe FTW.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1389055865466998785","reply_id":"1389055865466998785","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"naval","likes":24,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1389056249644257283","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1922369271893463279":{"id":"1922369271893463279","date":"2025-05-13 19:12:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Abude_al_asaad The loan is secured, is it not? So explain how the lender doesn't care about the marks.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1922358138289713341","reply_id":"1922361388015747243","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Abude_al_asaad","likes":68,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2240,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1922369271893463279","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1683904460073091072":{"id":"1683904460073091072","date":"2023-07-25 18:18:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@paulg Requires a lot more cultural homogeneity than we have.\n\n\"But Johnny needs gluten-free hemp milk or he'll die.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1683903037109043201","reply_id":"1683903037109043201","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"paulg","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":897,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1683904460073091072","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1537441361804206084":{"id":"1537441361804206084","date":"2022-06-16 14:25:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If I have two lightsabers and my opponent only has one, why don't I just simultaneously attack with both, maintaining a distance > len(lightsaber) between my two lightsabers?\n\nJust sayin'. 🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1537441361804206084","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1537441361804206084","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1745159425718170069":{"id":"1745159425718170069","date":"2024-01-10 19:03:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ByrneHobart @healy_trader Depends on the place. At some places risk managers are traders who got promoted and get big equity stakes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1745149539676217358","reply_id":"1745154223673618489","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ByrneHobart","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1110,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1745159425718170069","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1756714488882200895":{"id":"1756714488882200895","date":"2024-02-11 16:19:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @ArisXK @radioheadzzzz @johanndemann And the 1% new ideas very often come from the 99% implementing/testing. It's a feedback loop of knowledge acquisition.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1756427449556951067","reply_id":"1756700182018666528","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":661,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1756714488882200895","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1392556120250540032":{"id":"1392556120250540032","date":"2021-05-12 19:03:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HF_Trader More specifics would be useful.\n\nWhat kind of data, rough size, read/write vs mostly read, latency requirements, transactions per second requirements, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1392550963609751558","reply_id":"1392550963609751558","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HF_Trader","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1392556120250540032","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1484288110301044737":{"id":"1484288110301044737","date":"2022-01-20 22:13:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan The fraction of life and exec coaches that fall into a very stereotypical demographic (you can guess...) also tells you a lot about the basis on which they're being selected.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1484262794014822403","reply_id":"1484267346717933569","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1484288110301044737","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1427797613827395590":{"id":"1427797613827395590","date":"2021-08-18 01:00:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames What's the best SQL and why is it Postgres?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1427778853401817091","reply_id":"1427778853401817091","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1427797613827395590","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1476019609480220672":{"id":"1476019609480220672","date":"2021-12-29 02:37:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih Lesson 1 of any decent options trading course:\n\nWhy options? Seriously, there are easier ways to make money dude. So why?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476013157327900675","reply_id":"1476013157327900675","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":41,"retweets":1,"replies":9,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476019609480220672","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1375119230522118144":{"id":"1375119230522118144","date":"2021-03-25 16:15:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"9/ Yes that’s true.\n\nBut match play is more fun (as a rare event) because it has more outcomes and variance.\n\nAnd in sports, high variance and disagreements about probabilities are very strongly connected (unlike with a coin flip).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1375119223693864961","reply_id":"1375119229687488512","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1375119230522118144","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1271495426013708289":{"id":"1271495426013708289","date":"2020-06-12 17:31:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@fly1nwa11 @MebFaber /r/wsb","hashtags":[],"conv":"1271494554068217857","reply_id":"1271494846407213060","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"fly1nwa11","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1271495426013708289","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1571677334008373250":{"id":"1571677334008373250","date":"2022-09-19 01:47:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @Jimmyjude13 @bennpeifert @moreproteinbars @therobotjames @NewRiverInvest @FREAK0NAUT @Chaelelo @OGTaylorB Dream of a brilliant strat. Wake up and write it down. Then 15mins later you're fully awake and you realize it's either:\n\n(a) obvious and hence not going to make $\n(b) incredibly incoherent and stupid, but most often\n(c) both.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1571636409651580929","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1571677334008373250","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1778960367873589494":{"id":"1778960367873589494","date":"2024-04-13 01:36:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HighFreqAsuka I agree.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1778913499780952187","reply_id":"1778960271588864072","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HighFreqAsuka","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":201,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1778960367873589494","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1931625093982982409":{"id":"1931625093982982409","date":"2025-06-08 08:11:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"✅\n\nThis is the way.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1931625093982982409","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":12,"quotes":0,"views":6506,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1931625093982982409","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1881415542831259737":{"id":"1881415542831259737","date":"2025-01-20 18:56:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein It's utterly the best. So much fun.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1881407671506759926","reply_id":"1881407671506759926","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":655,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1881415542831259737","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1565555852626391041":{"id":"1565555852626391041","date":"2022-09-02 04:22:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @macrocephalopod @sadgirlmeag @MikeBellafiore One of the first \"tools\" interns want to build is a large red live-updating Pnl display accurate to the cent.\n\nWhich is basically decision-making poison.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1564740122926616576","reply_id":"1564753516266426368","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":13,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1565555852626391041","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1755774379370422335":{"id":"1755774379370422335","date":"2024-02-09 02:03:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Can someone reasonable please watch this thing and summarize it so I don't have to watch it?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1755774379370422335","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4364,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1755774379370422335","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1359911031934357507":{"id":"1359911031934357507","date":"2021-02-11 17:03:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein @darjohn25 Yeah, that's the thing with advertising right?\n\n“Half the money I spend on advertising is wasted; the trouble is I don't know which half.” - John Wanamaker","hashtags":[],"conv":"1359861151891415040","reply_id":"1359910665742397440","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1359911031934357507","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1902083491287769451":{"id":"1902083491287769451","date":"2025-03-18 19:43:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@aditya_baradwaj It is infuriating. But there is a strong compliance reason for it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1902063011956978075","reply_id":"1902069728589574639","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"adi_baradwaj","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":196,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1902083491287769451","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1732113606467064128":{"id":"1732113606467064128","date":"2023-12-05 19:03:59","author":"Brett Harrison","handle":"BrettHarrison","text":"1/ Why aren’t there more volatility index futures and options listed on US exchanges?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1732113606467064128","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1732132770984624129","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":2,"replies":11,"quotes":1,"views":28899,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/BrettHarrison/status/1732113606467064128"},"1637459127600582656":{"id":"1637459127600582656","date":"2023-03-19 14:20:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@perrymetzger @robinhanson I bet it is enough to write a long novel if you structure the prompt properly.\n\nI.e. I'm writing chapter 15, maybe I give it the full ch14, a 20% compressed ch13, 36% compressed ch12, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1637422187278729218","reply_id":"1637457059191955457","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"perrymetzger","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":107,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1637459127600582656","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1297653356173783040":{"id":"1297653356173783040","date":"2020-08-23 21:54:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SimonDeDeo This is an excellent book:\n\nhttps://mitpress.mit.edu/books/category-theory-sciences","hashtags":[],"conv":"1297647224638377985","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1297653356173783040","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1678808244805046272":{"id":"1678808244805046272","date":"2023-07-11 16:47:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Gee, maybe Rublev could actually beat him...\"\n\nTime to get burned. Again.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1678808244805046272","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3225,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1678808244805046272","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1650206525842161664":{"id":"1650206525842161664","date":"2023-04-23 18:34:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm Close?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1650205846385864705","reply_id":"1650205846385864705","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":852,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1650206525842161664_1.jpg","1650206525842161664_2.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1650206525842161664","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1236390683943956481":{"id":"1236390683943956481","date":"2020-03-07 20:38:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @vixologist @dynamicvol \"Ex floor trader\" sounds good though. I loved it when brokers called me for info on stuff. Dude, I'm the last one to know, you're the one who talks to everyone.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1236381788660011010","reply_id":"1236384960530935809","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1236390683943956481","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1504477156641935364":{"id":"1504477156641935364","date":"2022-03-17 15:18:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 Cushing Oklahoma","hashtags":[],"conv":"1504329033689231361","reply_id":"1504329033689231361","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1504477156641935364_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1504477156641935364","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1346141073488314371":{"id":"1346141073488314371","date":"2021-01-04 17:06:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ Options 101 (a thread):\n\nWhen you teach options, they put you in jail if you don't start with this:\n\nA call/put is the right (but not the obligation) to buy/sell a security for a given price at (or by) a certain time. Boring! Let's do an example:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1773172323908026684","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":767,"retweets":122,"replies":12,"quotes":29,"views":0,"bookmarks":887,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346141073488314371","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1471933700573069317":{"id":"1471933700573069317","date":"2021-12-17 20:01:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"APY\" 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471933700573069317","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":64,"retweets":1,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471933700573069317","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1467584316196540416":{"id":"1467584316196540416","date":"2021-12-05 19:59:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@egfalken is one of those people who you want to disagree with a lot of time, but have a hard time figuring out good counterarguments.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1467584316196540416","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"egfalken","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1467584316196540416","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1919657989960548689":{"id":"1919657989960548689","date":"2025-05-06 07:38:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"POTD.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1919657989960548689","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2807,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1919657989960548689","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1787859235625484606":{"id":"1787859235625484606","date":"2024-05-07 14:57:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"How does a transformer work\" filters out 95%+ of AI/ML candidates.\n\nJust like \"How does a CNN work\" filtered them out 6 years ago.\n\n\"So what exactly does the convolutional filter do at the edges of the image?\"\n\n🦗🦗🦗","hashtags":[],"conv":"1787859235625484606","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":103,"retweets":5,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":29072,"bookmarks":77,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1787859235625484606","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1626307806889676801":{"id":"1626307806889676801","date":"2023-02-16 19:49:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Blame Bias:\n\nForgetting that most of the time, people are just motivated to not get yelled at.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1626307806889676801","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2607,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1626307806889676801","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1415321046085890053":{"id":"1415321046085890053","date":"2021-07-14 14:43:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"23/ How about we hire what-we-need-players instead? \n\n99% of companies don’t need superstars in every seat. \n\nGet a couple of really good people, often founders, and a bunch of good-enough people who get the job done, and you’ll be fine.\n\nIt’s software, not rocket science.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"1415321045037305868","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415321046085890053","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1282829917265080320":{"id":"1282829917265080320","date":"2020-07-14 00:11:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vol_ition @SinclairEuan @KrisAbdelmessih Oof. Big one, so let's limit ourselves to vanilla equity options at least. So you probably have some parameterization of the strike curve. Some desirable properties of your parameterization:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1282702235583954945","reply_id":"1282795389016571905","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vol_ition","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1282829917265080320","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1539738861693112321":{"id":"1539738861693112321","date":"2022-06-22 22:35:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@leakyalpha @therobotjames You can define terms any way you want, of course.\n\nBut if you look at almost any codebase, a *big* chunk of the lines are the moral equivalent of \"hook function X to API endpoint Y\", \"munge record X into record Y's format\", \"10 lines of slightly different buttons\", etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1539631254542307328","reply_id":"1539736293223141376","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"leakyalpha","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1539738861693112321","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1981672865348116522":{"id":"1981672865348116522","date":"2025-10-24 10:43:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Muted them a long time ago.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1981672865348116522","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":9947,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1981672865348116522","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1350167818579283968":{"id":"1350167818579283968","date":"2021-01-15 19:47:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Wow @zulip is so much better than @SlackHQ:\n- Threads that don't suck.\n- Better message and conversation mgmt.\nPLUS\n- Open source.\n- The ability to self-host if you want. Which is kind of a big deal, if you've been paying attention.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1350167818579283968","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1350167818579283968","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1452757715877445638":{"id":"1452757715877445638","date":"2021-10-25 22:03:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Noahpinion Almost definitely favorably.\n\nIn the sense that BTC's ownership Gini is likely lower than most.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1452756564230635527","reply_id":"1452756564230635527","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Noahpinion","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1452757715877445638","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1886326808611602660":{"id":"1886326808611602660","date":"2025-02-03 08:12:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Standardized tests (STs) are a perfect example of Goodheart's Law in action.\n\n\"Hey, we should find out how kids are doing.\"\n<STs created as measures>\n\"Hey, we should incentivize teachers to be good. But what's a good measure of teacher skill?\"\n<STs become objectives>\n\"Oh shit.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1886326808611602660","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3165,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1886326808611602660","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1483190608810295298":{"id":"1483190608810295298","date":"2022-01-17 21:32:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ThePaladinOrg @therobotjames MF Global veterans.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1483169539437514752","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1483190608810295298","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1933176806133072193":{"id":"1933176806133072193","date":"2025-06-12 14:57:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nearcyan You can? Where?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1933112912723546559","reply_id":"1933112912723546559","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nearcyan","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1045,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1933176806133072193","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1324056008059092993":{"id":"1324056008059092993","date":"2020-11-04 18:28:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sacca Lots of people have too much PTSD to be willing to make this call yet. 🥺","hashtags":[],"conv":"1324049958367088640","reply_id":"1324049958367088640","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sacca","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1324056008059092993","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1739090406766424420":{"id":"1739090406766424420","date":"2023-12-25 01:07:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ltrd_ Don't worry, his primary interest is still figuring out more and more elaborate ways to destroy vehicles on BeamNG/Need For Speed/whatever.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1739081059533545501","reply_id":"1739089401907482981","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ltrd_","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":908,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1739090406766424420","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1629327702741188608":{"id":"1629327702741188608","date":"2023-02-25 03:49:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount The Smoot-Hawley act?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1629307003767083010","reply_id":"1629308635225440258","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":441,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1629327702741188608_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1629327702741188608","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1294466514335043585":{"id":"1294466514335043585","date":"2020-08-15 02:50:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Excellent read. I don't agree with everything here (esp relating to the role of government writ large), but it's cogently written and sees clearly both the situation as it stood in 2016 and now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1294466514335043585","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1294466514335043585","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1459330319543275521":{"id":"1459330319543275521","date":"2021-11-13 01:20:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NathanTankus Money: the gift card for everything. No expiration date.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1459329968601767939","reply_id":"1459329968601767939","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"NathanTankus","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1459330319543275521","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1597988688893353988":{"id":"1597988688893353988","date":"2022-11-30 16:19:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug @BowTiedNiners Where do you get a population of people taking anabolic steroids but not working out?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597661985839411200","reply_id":"1597987257679773699","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597988688893353988","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1984581231665705290":{"id":"1984581231665705290","date":"2025-11-01 11:20:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@W98AB Tell that to the current electorate in every Western democracy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1984575619066220958","reply_id":"1984580468302344246","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"W98AB","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":373,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1984581231665705290","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1518231958395887616":{"id":"1518231958395887616","date":"2022-04-24 14:14:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"{Chris Rock|Will Smith}'s {mother|brother|friend|barber|barista} comments on {incident|reactions|fallout|future for the star}\n\nSurely we're close to combinatorial exhaustion at this point? 🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1518231958395887616","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1518231958395887616","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1533782176692568067":{"id":"1533782176692568067","date":"2022-06-06 12:05:41","author":"Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️","handle":"choffstein","text":"Crypto Market Making with @lightspringfox (S5E2)\n\n🕵️‍♂️ Anonymous?\n⏱ Short v long-horizon trades\n🔬 Event analysis\n💥 Technology risk\n🏦 Multi-exchange risk\n🎰 Misconceptions of HFT\n\nApple - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/lightspringfox-crypto-market-making-s5e2/id1402620531?i=1000565322940\nSpotify - https://open.spotify.com/episode/0gPmL1WZzS0TJVohNJCQ3M\nYouTube - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=17AIvA6R7JY","hashtags":[],"conv":"1533782176692568067","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1533814820180439040","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":191,"retweets":38,"replies":8,"quotes":14,"views":0,"bookmarks":93,"media":["1533782176692568067_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/choffstein/status/1533782176692568067"},"1623774737360117760":{"id":"1623774737360117760","date":"2023-02-09 20:04:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I asked myself why bad GMs like Rob Pelinka ever trade with good GMs like Daryl Morey or Bob Myers.\n\nI mean, they *must* know they're dead money right?\n\nThen I remembered that every day, thousands of dentists trade against professional market makers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1623774737360117760","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":89,"retweets":2,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":23946,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1623774737360117760","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1488308989674680323":{"id":"1488308989674680323","date":"2022-02-01 00:31:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 @0xdoug Yeah. Problem is each fab has custom tech. You design for a specific process node at a specific manufacturer. TSMC for example.\n\nJust not undifferentiated enough.\n\nPlus it's practically a duopoly.\nNot good for commodity markets.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1488174251563794437","reply_id":"1488308086095990788","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1488308989674680323","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2081268103204213188":{"id":"2081268103204213188","date":"2026-07-26 06:39:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4. The more I think about it and read, the more I struggle to identify real, clean, actual examples of \"strategic supply chain\" arguments being causal in preserving/improving some ability. Vs just bullshit cronyism.\n\nAFAICT they all turn into Jones Act dysfunction eventually.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2081268098036846827","reply_id":"2081268101501407247","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2221,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2081268103204213188","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1692627069081956492":{"id":"1692627069081956492","date":"2023-08-18 19:58:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@limits_stop @systematic_fun I like this idea.\n\nIn fact that's kind of been my whole career so far! :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1692617267576467909","reply_id":"1692624053675208743","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"limits_stop","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":54,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1692627069081956492","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1546985442788093954":{"id":"1546985442788093954","date":"2022-07-12 22:30:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @be20684347 @moreproteinbars Whose algo DOESN'T have that feature?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546972566597689344","reply_id":"1546984801982640128","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546985442788093954","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1342291090137747457":{"id":"1342291090137747457","date":"2020-12-25 02:08:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ClintonDavidson @antoniogm Thereby putting the final nail in the coffin of a democratic society's agora, the thing that makes it all work.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1342208068587642882","reply_id":"1342245700797493249","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ClintonDavidson","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1342291090137747457","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1595645317591900160":{"id":"1595645317591900160","date":"2022-11-24 05:07:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dendisuhubdy mainstream media","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595636626557837312","reply_id":"1595642585066139650","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dendisuhubdy","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1595645317591900160","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1427727756834402305":{"id":"1427727756834402305","date":"2021-08-17 20:23:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@s_nordentoft Rounds-to-never feels about right. :)\n\nSeriously though, my comment is more about incentive structure than anything else. Loudly held simplistic viewpoints by semi-professional opinion-havers get clicks and likes and retweets. It makes me sad.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1427703082968698885","reply_id":"1427725957566275585","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"s_nordentoft","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1427727756834402305","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1748548000090378503":{"id":"1748548000090378503","date":"2024-01-20 03:28:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Am I the only person who thinks the Vision Pro is looks like their mental image of the helmet cleaners got in the Silo books?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1748548000090378503","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2560,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1748548000090378503","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1547675298589597699":{"id":"1547675298589597699","date":"2022-07-14 20:12:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Tyler_Rongione @KrisAbdelmessih @dwarkesh_sp Excellent laptop stand, a person after my own heart.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1547653132317966338","reply_id":"1547674615987576836","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Tyler_Rongione","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1547675298589597699","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1562863290547519489":{"id":"1562863290547519489","date":"2022-08-25 18:03:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@baskethammer @vgr Dunno, I'd guess insurance myself.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1562857778816774146","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1562863290547519489","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1542695088005861376":{"id":"1542695088005861376","date":"2022-07-01 02:22:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jp_JellyRoll I did? 😳\n\n🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542694846523215873","reply_id":"1542694846523215873","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jp_JellyRoll","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1542695088005861376","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1761990874383462442":{"id":"1761990874383462442","date":"2024-02-26 05:45:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano \"Is it possible to have a set of positions which is collectively long vega, long gamma, and long theta?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1761988873322693099","reply_id":"1761988873322693099","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":233,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1761990874383462442","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1427754951539785728":{"id":"1427754951539785728","date":"2021-08-17 22:11:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_Dave__White_ @Mephisto731 @bennpeifert @sks01119 @danrobinson @snarkyzk @andrewjleone @AlexisGauba @aparnalocked @opyn_ Which options? Specifically what exp?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1427652305009004545","reply_id":"1427754816982294531","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_Dave__White_","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1427754951539785728","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1886353472137630163":{"id":"1886353472137630163","date":"2025-02-03 09:58:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Almost all the time you're marveling at an LLM's output, you're actually marveling at @tylercowen's Second Law:\n\nThere is a literature on everything.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1886353472137630163","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":63,"retweets":5,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":12714,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1886353472137630163","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1847618472294993929":{"id":"1847618472294993929","date":"2024-10-19 12:39:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@quantymacro Both.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847610792113316169","reply_id":"1847618092404199678","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"quantymacro","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1093,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847618472294993929","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1393729737353138179":{"id":"1393729737353138179","date":"2021-05-16 00:47:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The best (and only legit) evaluations of trade ideas come from people who care at least as much as you do about them.\n\nSkin in the game, and all that.\n\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"1393728628437913601","reply_id":"1393729477570560000","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1393729737353138179","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1601406961559703552":{"id":"1601406961559703552","date":"2022-12-10 02:42:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @0xdoug @zebulgar Almost definitely true.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1601312851859509249","reply_id":"1601374298727280641","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1601406961559703552","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1568231213718212609":{"id":"1568231213718212609","date":"2022-09-09 13:33:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount What if we put the whole OS inside a browser while we're at it?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1568230781092347906","reply_id":"1568230781092347906","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1568231213718212609","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1771539192817815900":{"id":"1771539192817815900","date":"2024-03-23 14:07:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Disappointed I haven't seen any \"Instability AI\" type comments.\n\nMy feed sucks.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1771539192817815900","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2625,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1771539192817815900","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1146103268856041472":{"id":"1146103268856041472","date":"2019-07-02 17:08:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Suhail There is an optimal team size for every problem. In software, erring on the side of smaller is rarely a mistake.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1146102838243680261","reply_id":"1146102838243680261","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Suhail","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1146103268856041472","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1485663341641043972":{"id":"1485663341641043972","date":"2022-01-24 17:18:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I have to assume we're just part of some elaborate Proof-of-5-letter-anagrams consensus mechanism.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1485663341641043972","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1485663341641043972","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1950103061797408817":{"id":"1950103061797408817","date":"2025-07-29 07:56:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolaTim Whether it's handwavy patters or selling vol, lack of edge is lack of edge.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1950083518056300991","reply_id":"1950102062789804506","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolaTim","likes":16,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2322,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1950103061797408817","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1946226599025590349":{"id":"1946226599025590349","date":"2025-07-18 15:12:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I've heard that in South Korea, lawns get mowed by hand by groups of older women who basically just chat with each other while they work. True?\n\nTell me about other countries and how they handle ZMPs. There have to be awesome examples.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946224942510399921","reply_id":"1946224942510399921","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":3731,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946226599025590349","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1508559667517169665":{"id":"1508559667517169665","date":"2022-03-28 21:40:27","author":"Parth Ahya","handle":"Parthion","text":"Exciting EA project. $50k scholarship + 10 day retreat in Berkeley for talented HS students from around the world to \"develop big-picture thinking about science, philosophy, and the future.\" https://www.atlasfellowship.org/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1508559667517169665","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1508562433945718786","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Parthion/status/1508559667517169665"},"1693993164070346757":{"id":"1693993164070346757","date":"2023-08-22 14:26:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nearcausality https://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1693993135867851221","hashtags":[],"conv":"1693992138277859624","reply_id":"1693992657830461695","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nearcausality","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":811,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1693993164070346757","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1868743840007700601":{"id":"1868743840007700601","date":"2024-12-16 19:43:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I know it's tough, but big picture this is a good thing for customers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1868743840007700601","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4445,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1868743840007700601","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1478594037732888576":{"id":"1478594037732888576","date":"2022-01-05 05:07:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily Technically they're Bermudan since you only exercise EOD.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1478590620734164993","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1478594037732888576","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1498866911240544265":{"id":"1498866911240544265","date":"2022-03-02 03:44:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @choffstein @SinclairEuan It's difficult to spend capital gains.\n\nNot so difficult to spend dividends.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1498855385108680704","reply_id":"1498866658672357376","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1498866911240544265","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1981429264885985655":{"id":"1981429264885985655","date":"2025-10-23 18:35:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pansareV @elletwocache Oh I'm not worried about them at all. They'll do fine because New York is still within the US.\n\nIf the argument is \"he's not a communist because he's only running for mayor\" then it's surely clear that's not *much* of a defense.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1981345835079389510","reply_id":"1981427378548056302","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pansareV","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":173,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1981429264885985655","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1546164020658315265":{"id":"1546164020658315265","date":"2022-07-10 16:06:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Djoko has to be 99.5% to win this tiebreak.\n\n(not a betting market)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546164020658315265","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546164020658315265","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1668604181563703300":{"id":"1668604181563703300","date":"2023-06-13 13:00:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @MelvilleTrader Guess who's working on this.\n\nhttps://blog.janestreet.com/oxidizing-ocaml-locality/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1668590153089134592","reply_id":"1668601982880210946","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":7,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":2607,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1668604181563703300","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1707486976616870287":{"id":"1707486976616870287","date":"2023-09-28 20:06:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"AI-therapist-as-a-service has some very perverse incentives innit?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1707486976616870287","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2327,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1707486976616870287","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1790811594017952019":{"id":"1790811594017952019","date":"2024-05-15 18:28:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If pre-training is predicting the next token and post-training is making it useful to people, when does training happen?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1790811594017952019","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3727,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1790811594017952019","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1382857561452417034":{"id":"1382857561452417034","date":"2021-04-16 00:45:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@rates_etc @therobotjames @margi52078304 @choffstein @SinclairEuan @agurevich23 Exactly. There's always something new to learn.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"1382857145910235150","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"rates_etc","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382857561452417034","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2075620591151820950":{"id":"2075620591151820950","date":"2026-07-10 16:38:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2. The claim about IP and secrets is often just bullshit.\n\na) Things move fast. How much value is there in year-old knowledge? Sure there's some, but not that much.\n\nb) Every trading firm thinks they have secret special sauce. But it's less than they think. Few true secrets.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2075620580900872635","reply_id":"2075620589218189401","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":68,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":5361,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2075620591151820950","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1384680459926261767":{"id":"1384680459926261767","date":"2021-04-21 01:28:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Amen!\n\nWhy would you hide or minimize your culture's uniqueness? Emphasize it, that's what gets you beneficial selection instead of adverse selection in hiring.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1384680459926261767","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1384680459926261767","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1609373939977031681":{"id":"1609373939977031681","date":"2023-01-01 02:20:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tyroverby Would be interested in your list of frustrations.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1609361798288793600","reply_id":"1609361798288793600","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tyroverby","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":143,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1609373939977031681","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1452311642889412621":{"id":"1452311642889412621","date":"2021-10-24 16:30:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Future lessons in adverse selection:\n\nhttps://x.com/therecount/status/1452279400997826576","hashtags":[],"conv":"1452311642889412621","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1452311642889412621","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1817209364262044090":{"id":"1817209364262044090","date":"2024-07-27 14:44:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I wonder how many mid freq shops are so by choice vs by \"we don't have the money to do a massive tech buildout\" necessity. 🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1817209364262044090","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":52,"retweets":1,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":8048,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1817209364262044090","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1867314093008597038":{"id":"1867314093008597038","date":"2024-12-12 21:02:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite No, permanent.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1867298783165305134","reply_id":"1867313774408978653","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":749,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1867314093008597038","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1507906355473969153":{"id":"1507906355473969153","date":"2022-03-27 02:24:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MightyBoosh_ I retract \"any human\" and replace it with \"99.9%+ of C++ programmers\".\n\nAcceptable?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507898551719792646","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507906355473969153","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1796647238699241480":{"id":"1796647238699241480","date":"2024-05-31 20:57:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Tomorrow's philosopher kings are:\n\n(a) currently post-training a frontier LLM,\nOR\n(b) future versions of those LLMs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1796647238699241480","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2449,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1796647238699241480","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1934624742310301697":{"id":"1934624742310301697","date":"2025-06-16 14:50:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Jadam2122 I was one of the people running the program he was in.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1934563284453036526","reply_id":"1934624553084346505","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Jadam2122","likes":235,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":1,"views":5954,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1934624742310301697","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1775592701402005959":{"id":"1775592701402005959","date":"2024-04-03 18:34:23","author":"qm","handle":"quantymacro","text":"I Studied Regressions *Only* for 30 Days So You Don't Have To But You Have To Subscribe\n\nLowkey-Advanced Ridge Regression (Part I)\n\nas usual giving access to the lucky ones who RT\n\nstolen content from @ryxcommar @AgustinLebron3 @JessicaNutt96 @negativecnvx","hashtags":[],"conv":"1775592701402005959","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1775594492944318939","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":173,"retweets":71,"replies":10,"quotes":7,"views":74532,"bookmarks":285,"media":["1775592701402005959_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/quantymacro/status/1775592701402005959"},"1709769009678463191":{"id":"1709769009678463191","date":"2023-10-05 03:14:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbacarella Yeah, it got established.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709714391380238814","reply_id":"1709764404362068026","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbacarella","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":690,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1709769009678463191","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1498146324553760770":{"id":"1498146324553760770","date":"2022-02-28 04:01:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3/ Where are the landmines and the tarpits? Where should we tread carefully before sinking to our deaths?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1498146053366845441","reply_id":"1498146054469865475","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1498146324553760770","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1499773656318492672":{"id":"1499773656318492672","date":"2022-03-04 15:47:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5/\n\n\"To offer 5-1 odds based on data that could easily be explainable by chance alone, that's ridiculous. [...] the problem here is in the uniform prior.\"\n\nYes! So often in trading, the problem isn't with your statistical analysis or ML or whatever. It's with your prior.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1499773651553435656","reply_id":"1499773655038849025","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1499773656318492672","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1688373440733147137":{"id":"1688373440733147137","date":"2023-08-07 02:16:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih 🙏🙏🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1688272292185530368","reply_id":"1688273139346894848","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":588,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1688373440733147137","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1850090568279269579":{"id":"1850090568279269579","date":"2024-10-26 08:22:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So accurate. Programming is still in its high-labor artisanal stage.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1850090568279269579","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3380,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1850090568279269579","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1847708528393252868":{"id":"1847708528393252868","date":"2024-10-19 18:36:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@xorswap_ We lost some data to that but wasn't catastrophic.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847706181646897593","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":183,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847708528393252868","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1531760460520751104":{"id":"1531760460520751104","date":"2022-05-31 22:12:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@afekz The first FORTH sighting! Excellent!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1531739423313784832","reply_id":"1531752018821390338","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"afekz","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1531760460520751104","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1778904828862771372":{"id":"1778904828862771372","date":"2024-04-12 21:55:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nabeelqu I'm not aware of one, but if I had to guess based on my experiences and hiring tons of coops over the years:\n\n- Co-op being an integral part of the degree. You come out with 2 full years of experience in real companies.\n- A certain practical-mindedness that's part of the culture.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1778902979199877463","reply_id":"1778902979199877463","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nabeelqu","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2554,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1778904828862771372","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1397354353221017600":{"id":"1397354353221017600","date":"2021-05-26 00:50:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @nope_its_lily You exactly replicate the short in a basket of SPX options with zero slippage.\n\nWhat's the issue?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1397312841955217408","reply_id":"1397352863571931137","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1397354353221017600","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1767607863139340788":{"id":"1767607863139340788","date":"2024-03-12 17:45:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Many important choices aren't.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1767607723594846386","reply_id":"1767607723594846386","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1102,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1767607863139340788","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1692617270252437806":{"id":"1692617270252437806","date":"2023-08-18 19:19:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"- It will write decent code for problems that have been solved a bunch of times before (React frontend, Flask backend, etc) but won't design the perfect task-specific data structure or type hierarchy for a new problem.\n\nBasically, it makes you decent at what you're not good at.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1692617267576467909","reply_id":"1692617268906123547","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":25,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1485,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1692617270252437806","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1678815479421599744":{"id":"1678815479421599744","date":"2023-07-11 17:16:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jgreco I'm in the \"it doesn't matter\" camp. They're weights.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1678814588328869897","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":477,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1678815479421599744","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1471155695139442691":{"id":"1471155695139442691","date":"2021-12-15 16:30:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"10/ If you really want to engage with someone, it’s probably worth figuring this out before getting into the back-and-forth.\n\nAnd if that someone is yourself, all the better! As I said, getting clear on what *you* think comes way before getting clear on what everyone else thinks.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471155685547118594","reply_id":"1471155694048989185","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471155695139442691","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1505588593909125121":{"id":"1505588593909125121","date":"2022-03-20 16:54:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"14/ Peter explains his alpha to Billy.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TpBcwGOvO80","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1505588592588255237","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505588593909125121","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1509738043149721604":{"id":"1509738043149721604","date":"2022-04-01 03:42:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@shah_upstairs Who told them to use market orders? :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1509623825519951881","reply_id":"1509723754116620288","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"shah_upstairs","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1509738043149721604","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2036065202333003934":{"id":"2036065202333003934","date":"2026-03-23 12:59:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The pendulum is swinging back, right on schedule.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2036065202333003934","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":9086,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2036065202333003934","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1549099578829377537":{"id":"1549099578829377537","date":"2022-07-18 18:31:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@patolovesyou @godcomplex96 People have said the audiobook is decent.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1549091517091938304","reply_id":"1549098138845290496","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"patolovesyou","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1549099578829377537","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1633113845718831113":{"id":"1633113845718831113","date":"2023-03-07 14:34:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano @KrisAbdelmessih My kids used to look forward to the new Beast Academy books every year.\n\nThey read them as a comic book!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632931055920615426","reply_id":"1633109858806374405","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":570,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633113845718831113","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1844723882793607470":{"id":"1844723882793607470","date":"2024-10-11 12:57:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FormulaDeltaOne Working on that arc. Early days...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1844654463115477366","reply_id":"1844685203110838353","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FormulaDeltaOne","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":284,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1844723882793607470","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1944060718153605628":{"id":"1944060718153605628","date":"2025-07-12 15:46:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1. Regular employees get options, not shares. In fact, those options only vest over a period of time. Read any employee option agreement, the language is always the same: options only accelerate vesting on an acquisition (or similar).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1944060716295893233","reply_id":"1944060716295893233","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2021,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1944060718153605628","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1418054004102205443":{"id":"1418054004102205443","date":"2021-07-22 03:43:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@saanglee Virologists, macroeconomists, and US electoral law experts too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1418043812677443588","reply_id":"1418043812677443588","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"saanglee","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1418054004102205443","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1546931774835396608":{"id":"1546931774835396608","date":"2022-07-12 18:57:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"16/\n- “If X is true and Y is true, I wonder if Z is true.” where X is an idea you might be able to study.\n\n- “Is there ever a time when X and Y happen together?”\n\n- “This reminds me of [weird thing from 5 years ago]. I wonder if the same thing applies here.”","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546931744426758145","reply_id":"1546931773317136384","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546931774835396608","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1450868511090233345":{"id":"1450868511090233345","date":"2021-10-20 16:56:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TraderSkew @jfuechsl @SinclairEuan No snark intended. ☮️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1450820780149940225","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1450868511090233345","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1818491974804291989":{"id":"1818491974804291989","date":"2024-07-31 03:40:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SpencerBosma @dwarkesh_sp If someday my biggest claim to fame is that I was on the Dwarkesh podcast (back when it was the Lunar Society), I'll be pretty ok with that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1818389474898010148","reply_id":"1818491418295648712","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":120,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1818491974804291989","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1516566538114920449":{"id":"1516566538114920449","date":"2022-04-19 23:56:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dacaldar @paulisci You thought the were discussing Gul Dukat's ass?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1516265931172835328","reply_id":"1516566359114760195","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dackupasec","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1516566538114920449","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1680366931130597376":{"id":"1680366931130597376","date":"2023-07-16 00:01:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HighPlainsWY @darjohn25 ✅\n\nThere are a couple of dozen D1 golf programs with a roster full of kids better than Steph will ever be, and basically none of them will be money-earning tour pros.\n\nIt's brutal out there.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1680301480098578432","reply_id":"1680308011741638656","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HighPlainsWY","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":67,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1680366931130597376","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1546931780258697216":{"id":"1546931780258697216","date":"2022-07-12 18:57:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"20/ What I mean by noise is “movements and activity which are orthogonal to the idea you had.”\n\nOne person’s noise is another person’s signal, but from one specific person’s perspective, almost all of the apparent actionable information in historical data is irreducible noise.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546931744426758145","reply_id":"1546931779000406016","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546931780258697216","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1791555714043036045":{"id":"1791555714043036045","date":"2024-05-17 19:45:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Comparing Tiger in 2024 to Jordan on the Wizards is an insult to the latter.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1791555714043036045","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1665,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1791555714043036045","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1880361001683677650":{"id":"1880361001683677650","date":"2025-01-17 21:06:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ATabarrok @alz_zyd_ It was profitable because it was subsidized by Alameda's losses. Remove Alameda's bad overprovision of liquidity and FTX is no longer profitable.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1880356975676158082","reply_id":"1880358051414438104","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ATabarrok","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":1523,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1880361001683677650","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1419733504028340224":{"id":"1419733504028340224","date":"2021-07-26 18:56:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Mephisto731 @TheSpeculator0 The key to good options trading is buying spreads for zero.\n\nRight?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1419731012611985411","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1419733504028340224","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1375298014370091008":{"id":"1375298014370091008","date":"2021-03-26 04:06:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Paging @LouStagner!\n\nAs a datapoint, Tiger had a ~28% (I think) winning percentage in stroke play (!) and won 3 matchplays out of 13. So the greatest match player ever had a worse winning record than in stroke play.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1375298014370091008","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1375298014370091008","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1616621093997146118":{"id":"1616621093997146118","date":"2023-01-21 02:17:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ajoseps @sasuke___420 @arb8020 Yeah, lots of optimizations possible for specific cases.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1616576368728477696","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":115,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1616621093997146118","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1839367928120291789":{"id":"1839367928120291789","date":"2024-09-26 18:14:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug If we left out options on 2nd tier stocks, we wouldn't lose too much.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1839171070210740494","reply_id":"1839171070210740494","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":965,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1839367928120291789","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1625585419294478336":{"id":"1625585419294478336","date":"2023-02-14 19:59:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"At this point, is there anyone who doesn't realize microservices are a psyop by big cloud, preying on every startup's dream of \"being ready to be planet-scale\"?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1625585419294478336","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":43,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":8278,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1625585419294478336","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1975532943092355520":{"id":"1975532943092355520","date":"2025-10-07 12:05:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Google Docs still thinks \"compute\" is only a verb. It's kind of a cute anachronism.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1975532943092355520","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2707,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1975532943092355520","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2071583829131735433":{"id":"2071583829131735433","date":"2026-06-29 13:17:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"All of these are fixable and @LinkedIn is the only entity that can fix it.\n\nTo boot, fixing it means making 5x the revenue they make today.\n\nSo @satyanadella , what have you got to lose?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2071583808587964540","reply_id":"2071583826925539776","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3774,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2071583829131735433","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1946114887186334076":{"id":"1946114887186334076","date":"2025-07-18 07:48:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If the market is small, it's a true prediction market. It doesn't affect outcomes.\n\nNow consider a prediction market with billions of dollars a day trading on the question. People are talking about it, thinking about it, figuring out ways it might be possible. It's now a *vibe*.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946114875899486383","reply_id":"1946114885063954854","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":41,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4963,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946114887186334076","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1431032415653224448":{"id":"1431032415653224448","date":"2021-08-26 23:14:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If I buy an NFT so that it's officially the top, can we go back to good old fashioned shitcoin pumping?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1431032415653224448","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":28,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1431032415653224448","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1898341903596138951":{"id":"1898341903596138951","date":"2025-03-08 11:55:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@elletwocache Is it really? Why wouldn't it be made for the median applicant to a (vaguely) selective college?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1898339675934261539","reply_id":"1898341262081528274","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"elletwocache","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":532,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1898341903596138951","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1958063755377434950":{"id":"1958063755377434950","date":"2025-08-20 07:09:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Your periodic reminder that:\n\n- Everyone faster than you is a scummy predator exploiting exchange hacks.\n\n- Everyone slower than you is a degenerate gambler with no edge.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1958063755377434950","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":432,"retweets":20,"replies":9,"quotes":7,"views":97262,"bookmarks":73,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1958063755377434950","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1778107848674639887":{"id":"1778107848674639887","date":"2024-04-10 17:08:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@stalequant @macrocephalopod 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1778078997974262166","reply_id":"1778084625895530764","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"stalequant","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":200,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1778107848674639887","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1532450564742664192":{"id":"1532450564742664192","date":"2022-06-02 19:54:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AnodyneCode With version history.\n\nAnd some sketchy macro payload, ideally.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1532448557273432071","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1532450564742664192","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1601781417184096257":{"id":"1601781417184096257","date":"2022-12-11 03:30:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sherlock_hodles The artistry...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1601778103377723393","reply_id":"1601780379442360322","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sherlock_hodles","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1601781417184096257","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1501786339263483905":{"id":"1501786339263483905","date":"2022-03-10 05:05:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @FREAK0NAUT @be20684347 @M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames Yup","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501786339263483905","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1513735124268978183":{"id":"1513735124268978183","date":"2022-04-12 04:25:52","author":"Dave White","handle":"_Dave__White_","text":"we don’t talk enough about how painful learning can be","hashtags":[],"conv":"1513735124268978183","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1513738735833165827","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":221,"retweets":14,"replies":15,"quotes":5,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/_Dave__White_/status/1513735124268978183"},"1693994268980035739":{"id":"1693994268980035739","date":"2023-08-22 14:31:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bookdepth @YahwehOrBust The other correct answer!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1693992138277859624","reply_id":"1693994018097803644","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bookdepth","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":389,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1693994268980035739","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1927063832226119857":{"id":"1927063832226119857","date":"2025-05-26 18:06:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EgeErdil2 @teortaxesTex","hashtags":[],"conv":"1927037137448296751","reply_id":"1927057311354302735","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EgeErdil2","likes":31,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":861,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1927063832226119857_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1927063832226119857","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1822397338012487683":{"id":"1822397338012487683","date":"2024-08-10 22:19:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@StevenMandrapa @Jadam2122 @MinvstrD @Papaya_Wildcat All I remember was Lazio being very low energy. And the crushing sense of inevitability in HRC winning.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1822341676003938741","reply_id":"1822395121742368813","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"StevenMandrapa","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":220,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1822397338012487683","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1161735657833680896":{"id":"1161735657833680896","date":"2019-08-14 20:25:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DRMacIver Debugging - Dave Agans\nKolyma Stories - Varlam Shalamov\nA Deepness in the Sky - Vernor Vinge\n\nThey're all fundamentally philosophical works on how to hack inscrutable systems to survive (tech work, prison, both?)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1161620775964696576","reply_id":"1161620775964696576","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DRMacIver","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1161735657833680896","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1361394479266029569":{"id":"1361394479266029569","date":"2021-02-15 19:18:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@drunkengrass For me it's been very rare that a trade passes other risk considerations to the point where approaching Kelly is even  a consideration.\n\nMaybe partly this is a way of saying \"The uncertainty in your edge is a big deal\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1361392596908580864","reply_id":"1361393174724284417","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"drunkengrass","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1361394479266029569","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1976546357973295161":{"id":"1976546357973295161","date":"2025-10-10 07:12:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@scottjduffy @erenbali Because companies don't compete with each other to hire quality executives?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1976510967048503731","reply_id":"1976545522086478300","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"scottjduffy","likes":40,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":401,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1976546357973295161","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1522315262808125440":{"id":"1522315262808125440","date":"2022-05-05 20:40:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Alpha leak of the day: when markets are crazy, pay attention to even fewer people than normal.\n\nIn crazy markets, pay attention to prices.\nThere's almost definitely a trade to do.\n\nThat means stop paying attention to me, turn off the Twitter, and go stare at markets!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1522315262808125440","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":60,"retweets":5,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1522315262808125440","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1933083737417556359":{"id":"1933083737417556359","date":"2025-06-12 08:47:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@wavelettes","hashtags":[],"conv":"1932969814655709340","reply_id":"1932969814655709340","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"wavelettes","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":146,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1933083737417556359_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1933083737417556359","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1318346628860760065":{"id":"1318346628860760065","date":"2020-10-20 00:21:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The Apple developer experience really is the computer equivalent of living in a totalitarian state.\n\nComplete with its own baroque, arbitrary, and indifferent bureaucracy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1318346628860760065","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1318346628860760065","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2050148961109836220":{"id":"2050148961109836220","date":"2026-05-01 09:42:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Now I have a clearer picture.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"2050148961109836220","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2050155873939394958","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":6132,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2050148961109836220","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1449061362546606080":{"id":"1449061362546606080","date":"2021-10-15 17:15:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@uvxypermabull 👆\n\n\"What do you make?\"\n\"8 billion SHIB a year.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1449051361367134211","reply_id":"1449060410053775363","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"svix_enjoyoor","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1449061362546606080","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1988534022578782399":{"id":"1988534022578782399","date":"2025-11-12 09:07:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Example @Raentrading","hashtags":[],"conv":"1988534015419146302","reply_id":"1988534020548759718","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":84,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":14879,"bookmarks":7,"media":["1988534022578782399_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1988534022578782399","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1904246184761504136":{"id":"1904246184761504136","date":"2025-03-24 18:57:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HighFreqAsuka When the supposed outliers select themselves onto the list by paying money to Forbes...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1904161598303879533","reply_id":"1904161598303879533","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HighFreqAsuka","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":196,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1904246184761504136","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2001634048385642998":{"id":"2001634048385642998","date":"2025-12-18 12:42:00","author":"ak0","handle":"annanay","text":"@AgustinLebron3 Man's read Options Futures and Other Derivatives I see, tell me more!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1998019732633522334","reply_id":"1998127320884973573","quote_id":"2001666582271902117","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":22346,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/annanay/status/2001634048385642998"},"1847616820687073366":{"id":"1847616820687073366","date":"2024-10-19 12:32:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@quantymacro Very different. Much more science-y, less tactical, more green field. And the risk profile is very different. JS was alive by default. We're a startup, so we're dead by default unless we do something special. Mindset is very different.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847610792113316169","reply_id":"1847615681543438499","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"quantymacro","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2674,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847616820687073366","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1521312585877884930":{"id":"1521312585877884930","date":"2022-05-03 02:15:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therealverg Oh, on which coins?\n\n\"BTC, ETH. We may start doing SOL soon.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1521298366662991872","reply_id":"1521311639634853889","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therealverg","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1521312585877884930","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1759450547931983898":{"id":"1759450547931983898","date":"2024-02-19 05:31:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EMinflationista Up to some risk limit, yes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1759426607629086838","reply_id":"1759443545268593058","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EMinflationista","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":980,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1759450547931983898","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2024029732270997874":{"id":"2024029732270997874","date":"2026-02-18 07:54:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Model sycophancy is low-key the best alignment tool we have.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2024029732270997874","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":5057,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2024029732270997874","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1697794849762931113":{"id":"1697794849762931113","date":"2023-09-02 02:13:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@daniel_271828 The correct formula is: \"Doctor, I'd love to get your opinion on a study I looked at. In JAMA2019[blah] the authors show [thing]. What's your opinion on whether that's relevant to my situation.\"\n\nAlways make them feel like they're in control.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1697733455369716027","reply_id":"1697733455369716027","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"daniel_271828","likes":28,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":539,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1697794849762931113","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1532371334327435265":{"id":"1532371334327435265","date":"2022-06-02 14:39:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @bookdepth Followed by the visceral understanding that VO2max is measured in mL/kg/min and:\n\n- Your lungs now do less mL than you thought.\n- Your body is now more kgs than you thought.\n- And there are more mins left than you thought.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1532342222540218368","reply_id":"1532371057922822145","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1532371334327435265","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2043215835435504077":{"id":"2043215835435504077","date":"2026-04-12 06:33:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What if it turns out Satoshi is Bourbaki?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2043215835435504077","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":5437,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2043215835435504077","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1796589061806952713":{"id":"1796589061806952713","date":"2024-05-31 17:06:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Making it to target pos is giving up on life.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1796574867623690351","reply_id":"1796574867623690351","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":291,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1796589061806952713","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1511446773566361602":{"id":"1511446773566361602","date":"2022-04-05 20:52:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BahamasTrading @lightspringfox I say \"for now\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1511439825206980608","reply_id":"1511441352554434567","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BahamasTrading","likes":38,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1511446773566361602","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1842087849597812927":{"id":"1842087849597812927","date":"2024-10-04 06:22:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"How many NBA player fortunes were incinerated on a brother-in-law's restaurant concept?\n\nWhat say you @VCBrags?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1842087847831961915","reply_id":"1842087847831961915","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1311,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1842087849597812927","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1951263639765205103":{"id":"1951263639765205103","date":"2025-08-01 12:47:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@gabagenius They don't go to high schools. These kids get found through performance at IOI, Intel Talent Search, etc","hashtags":[],"conv":"1951182764490870821","reply_id":"1951254428268298311","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"gabagenius","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":215,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1951263639765205103","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1247188049319964675":{"id":"1247188049319964675","date":"2020-04-06 15:42:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ATabarrok Many US green card applicants are required to be vaccinated for TB to get their cards.\n\nIs there data on US citizens vs immigrants?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1247182664660025345","reply_id":"1247182664660025345","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ATabarrok","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1247188049319964675","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2015353904783884408":{"id":"2015353904783884408","date":"2026-01-25 09:19:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's kind of amazing that Apple didn't do Claude Cowork and Clawdbot years ago. Fully integrated into the OS.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2015353904783884408","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":85,"retweets":1,"replies":21,"quotes":4,"views":13945,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2015353904783884408","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1352107757386649600":{"id":"1352107757386649600","date":"2021-01-21 04:16:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 @bennpeifert @JessicaNutt96 I get it now. I see it as a portfolio-construction way of extracting an SSR.\n\nWhether you believe the number it spits out is up to you. It's a (probably useful I'm guessing) reparameterization of SSR. From my perspective, anyway.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1352069470903181313","reply_id":"1352107133433749504","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1352107757386649600","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1246451223147851778":{"id":"1246451223147851778","date":"2020-04-04 14:55:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm @paulg 1. Rate is what matters.\n\n2. If you want to do apples-to-apples comparisons, look at urban areas. NYC has 20M people, Lombardy has 10M, Madrid 7M, Catalonia 7.5M. Even on a per-capita basis, NYC is on a path that's (slightly) worse than all of them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1246360273981714432","reply_id":"1246446853169631232","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1246451223147851778","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1658195779637641217":{"id":"1658195779637641217","date":"2023-05-15 19:40:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Somewhere Didier Sornette's ears are burning on the bottom right corner.\n\nhttps://xkcd.com/2048/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1658195779637641217","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":36,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":8227,"bookmarks":8,"media":["1658195779637641217_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1658195779637641217","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1783306295606403145":{"id":"1783306295606403145","date":"2024-04-25 01:25:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeepDishEnjoyer So kid-dependent though. Anything I might write with my sample size of a highly correlated n=2 is unlikely to be broadly useful.\n\nIf your kid likes math, AoPS and done.\n\nAthletics: Expose them to lots of different things. It will become obvious which ones they like. Push there.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1783304839662887216","reply_id":"1783304839662887216","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeepDishEnjoyer","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":682,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1783306295606403145","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1709313317385408983":{"id":"1709313317385408983","date":"2023-10-03 21:03:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@firstlawofvol @TCK_JRubano This is the way.\n\nIt's expensive and time-consuming, but if you actually care then there's nothing close.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709204215233380426","reply_id":"1709311836112523565","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"firstlawofvol","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":97,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1709313317385408983","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1925443160001405257":{"id":"1925443160001405257","date":"2025-05-22 06:46:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Company ideas we'd like to fund:\n\nQuantum-computing-based AGI, powered by fusion energy and funded with a new crypto L1 chain.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1925443160001405257","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":56,"retweets":0,"replies":19,"quotes":0,"views":4813,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1925443160001405257","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1632236317437472771":{"id":"1632236317437472771","date":"2023-03-05 04:27:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xApophenia Waterloo was pretty darn good for me, nice job getting that accept!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632157627978514433","reply_id":"1632226527994691584","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xApophenia","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1112,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632236317437472771","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1679590586884689920":{"id":"1679590586884689920","date":"2023-07-13 20:36:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4. Selective colleges create a society's elite.\n\nBEFORE you had kids-of-elites going to elite colleges perpetuating the elite irrespective of IQ. Low competition.\n\nNOW it's a larger, more heterogeneous pool of people vying for those spots.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1679590582510026754","reply_id":"1679590583839621123","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1693,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1679590586884689920","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1546344175913734144":{"id":"1546344175913734144","date":"2022-07-11 04:02:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xa57 I should have guessed.\n\nSomething about that image and the surrounding books felt Singapore-y.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546339378720800768","reply_id":"1546343005787160576","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"luketowz","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546344175913734144","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1533950791903432710":{"id":"1533950791903432710","date":"2022-06-06 23:15:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This.\n\nPerhaps the most underappreciated fact about tech is still Brooks' mythical man month: \"adding manpower to a late software project makes it later\".\n\nThis principle actually generalizes enormously.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1533950791903432710","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":23,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1533950791903432710","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1854183406625489045":{"id":"1854183406625489045","date":"2024-11-06 15:25:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Chicagobrbonguy","hashtags":[],"conv":"1854138186387055023","reply_id":"1854177499858522515","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Chicagobrbonguy","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":559,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1854183406625489045_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1854183406625489045","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1942639175490232819":{"id":"1942639175490232819","date":"2025-07-08 17:37:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@xmgnr Don't make too much money and then sue people who also want to make a lot of money, thereby calling the whole world's attention to how much money you're making.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942636948306395162","reply_id":"1942636948306395162","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"xmgnr","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":544,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942639175490232819","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1257461405965520896":{"id":"1257461405965520896","date":"2020-05-05 00:05:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @darjohn25 Theta Pnl: when you want to justify not delta hedging your gamma.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1257422286442946562","reply_id":"1257432787415638016","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1257461405965520896","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1420566415258517504":{"id":"1420566415258517504","date":"2021-07-29 02:06:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In my last thread about simulating the market, got lots of comments about the value of randomness.\n\nThis post by @ESYudkowsky 13 yrs ago remains the best thing I've read about the value of randomness.\n\nhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/GYuKqAL95eaWTDje5/worse-than-random\n\nIf randomness helps, you're screwing up elsewhere.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420566415258517504","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":5,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":17,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420566415258517504","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1174355832928030720":{"id":"1174355832928030720","date":"2019-09-18 16:13:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein More trouble than it's worth IMHO.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1174342304552779776","reply_id":"1174342304552779776","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1174355832928030720","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1602446370828263424":{"id":"1602446370828263424","date":"2022-12-12 23:32:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3/ Which is fine, but IMO the important question comes right after: \"In order to do what?\"\n\nBecause if it's to make money trading then you're already in trouble.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602446367825149952","reply_id":"1602446369012203523","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1602446370828263424","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1788197944526799145":{"id":"1788197944526799145","date":"2024-05-08 13:23:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I too like custodians to flip coins on long-term illiquid bets with my money.\n\nDoesn't everyone?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788197944526799145","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":64,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":13115,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788197944526799145","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1517630371700961281":{"id":"1517630371700961281","date":"2022-04-22 22:24:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @longskew @bennpeifert If you don't know it stands for \"radio on internet\" I can't help you.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BzAdXyPYKQo","hashtags":[],"conv":"1517615804581224448","reply_id":"1517628133687521280","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1517630371700961281","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1623088785851580419":{"id":"1623088785851580419","date":"2023-02-07 22:38:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @CrookedCapital That's the part where it was still sized down for testing purposes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1623054480227835995","reply_id":"1623087552226795523","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":916,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1623088785851580419","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1498150375911682055":{"id":"1498150375911682055","date":"2022-02-28 04:17:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@probabilistic_ @InBraised He's the only person who's banned me that I know of.\n\nSo I abstain. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1498146053366845441","reply_id":"1498150113608355841","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"probabilistic_","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1498150375911682055","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1387403208839114755":{"id":"1387403208839114755","date":"2021-04-28 13:47:56","author":"Club Pro Guy","handle":"ClubProGuy","text":"If you find yourself going super #low during a round you KNOW you have to post, 16 fairway is about your last legitimate chance to do something about it.","hashtags":["low"],"conv":"1387403208839114755","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1388490918571896835","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":828,"retweets":41,"replies":27,"quotes":12,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ClubProGuy/status/1387403208839114755"},"1419070301019639810":{"id":"1419070301019639810","date":"2021-07-24 23:01:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SqueezeMetrics @therobotjames YMMV.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1419065414768676869","reply_id":"1419069908663558149","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SqueezeMetrics","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1419070301019639810","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1374931498021744640":{"id":"1374931498021744640","date":"2021-03-25 03:49:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This was a *phenomenal* Conversations With Tyler:\n\nhttps://conversationswithtyler.com/episodes/sarah-parcak/\n\n\"Oh God, Uncle Herodotus again.\" 🤣\n\n@tylercowen @cowenconvos @indyfromspace","hashtags":[],"conv":"1374931498021744640","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1374931498021744640","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1248252742742634497":{"id":"1248252742742634497","date":"2020-04-09 14:13:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan Exactly. You can't re-derive *everything* from first principles. You'd be paralyzed with indecision if you did.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1248237075809304578","reply_id":"1248237075809304578","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1248252742742634497","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1633554129938452481":{"id":"1633554129938452481","date":"2023-03-08 19:43:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 It's that delicate balance of (a) finding a thing that you personally are excited about spending lots of time learning about and getting good at, and (b) understanding what your differential advantage/edge is relative to the world, or your peers.\n\nI've said nothing I fear. :(","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633552114944471041","reply_id":"1633553800861732864","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":16,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":832,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633554129938452481","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1375241966007422977":{"id":"1375241966007422977","date":"2021-03-26 00:23:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert And if that C code calls Blas/Lapack, then it has a dependency older than you.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1375239900098822147","reply_id":"1375239900098822147","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1375241966007422977","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1428487421381861383":{"id":"1428487421381861383","date":"2021-08-19 22:41:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@drewg__ @WillManidis Agree. Apple 2021 isn't Apple 2011. They're old now. Past middle age, not interested in moving fast. Like Google, like FB.\n\nThe present may be theirs, but the future isn't.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1428441844246093827","reply_id":"1428484964140650497","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bookdepth","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1428487421381861383","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1546860611195195393":{"id":"1546860611195195393","date":"2022-07-12 14:14:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Brett_FTX The absence of such an index feels like a feature not a bug for its participants.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546297921385144323","reply_id":"1546297921385144323","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BrettHarrison","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546860611195195393","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1535373683862016001":{"id":"1535373683862016001","date":"2022-06-10 21:29:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is consistently the biggest difference I see between good pros vs amateurs in quant trading.\n\nAms: How do I figure out my entry and exit points?\nPros: What positions should I have on right now?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1535373683862016001","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":58,"retweets":7,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":27,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1535373683862016001","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1536187225255202821":{"id":"1536187225255202821","date":"2022-06-13 03:22:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@muskk 🙏🙏🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536186925240815616","reply_id":"1536186925240815616","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"unmuskk","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1536187225255202821","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1874915853193683448":{"id":"1874915853193683448","date":"2025-01-02 20:29:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"There are a few things I find insane about SV AI culture, but right now the most insane is that we're somehow going to get to AGI by Goodharting progressively more difficult evals.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1874915853193683448","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1972740081636254116","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":14017,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1874915853193683448","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1717224459739058342":{"id":"1717224459739058342","date":"2023-10-25 16:59:50","author":"Dwarkesh Patel","handle":"dwarkesh_sp","text":"\"I don't think we'll see systems that truly step beyond their training data until we have powerful search in the process.\"\n\n- @ShaneLegg, Founder and Chief AGI Scientist, Google DeepMind\n\nFull episode out tomorrow","hashtags":[],"conv":"1717224459739058342","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1717229315723874407","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":771,"retweets":86,"replies":17,"quotes":33,"views":326974,"bookmarks":305,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1717224459739058342"},"1628615089950687232":{"id":"1628615089950687232","date":"2023-02-23 04:37:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 I mean, not if I'm hiring a dev. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1628449259870883848","reply_id":"1628614282421370880","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1161,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1628615089950687232","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1571679477369032705":{"id":"1571679477369032705","date":"2022-09-19 01:56:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cam_o_gram @therobotjames @bennpeifert @nope_its_lily @darjohn25 @KrisAbdelmessih @moreproteinbars @NewRiverInvest @FREAK0NAUT @Chaelelo @OGTaylorB @MinvstrD I hope to know 5 bps of what's happening.\n\nThat would be really really nice.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1571636409651580929","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1571679477369032705","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1787882973985112491":{"id":"1787882973985112491","date":"2024-05-07 16:31:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ThinkWiselyMatt Either a has-been TV network or Convolutional NNs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1787859235625484606","reply_id":"1787874468498489689","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ThinkWiselyMatt","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":403,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1787882973985112491","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1440505374868578309":{"id":"1440505374868578309","date":"2021-09-22 02:36:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LJKawa @quantian1 @bennpeifert","hashtags":[],"conv":"1440466650680094729","reply_id":"1440466650680094729","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"LJKawa","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1440505374868578309_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1440505374868578309","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2046471213531226175":{"id":"2046471213531226175","date":"2026-04-21 06:08:53","author":"Matt","handle":"lurkamat","text":"@finn_hulse @AgustinLebron3 @EntropyChase @KrisAbdelmessih Elon buys 100 shares at $39.50. Finn buys 20 shares at $39.50. Agustin sells 60 shares at $38.50. Matt sells 60 shares at $38.50. HRT is net zero but intermediates all transfers, accruing $120 in spread. \n\nStock pops to $50. Who owes who what?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2046305523876647217","reply_id":"2046364662799708396","quote_id":"2046477787779723724","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"finn_hulse","likes":31,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":24248,"bookmarks":36,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/lurkamat/status/2046471213531226175"},"1565149406302576640":{"id":"1565149406302576640","date":"2022-09-01 01:27:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@std_dev @be20684347 @0xDeCeFi Right. Harvard-as-Schelling-point.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1565045174534750208","reply_id":"1565149163104485376","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"std_dev","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1565149406302576640","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1477320194582204416":{"id":"1477320194582204416","date":"2022-01-01 16:45:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"6/\n4⃣ Grifters make it feel like they’re on to a deep secret, and that they’re doing you a favor by telling you tiny pieces of it. This is basically the QAnon playbook applied to grifting.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477320189653893121","reply_id":"1477320193659469828","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":44,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477320194582204416","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1377003641207287812":{"id":"1377003641207287812","date":"2021-03-30 21:03:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@drunkengrass @KrisAbdelmessih @darjohn25 Because most people don't actually want to learn for the sake of learning.\n\n\"What's the quickest path to making $?\" rules the world.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1376957385734938626","reply_id":"1377002082515886080","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"drunkengrass","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1377003641207287812","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1722314719703466135":{"id":"1722314719703466135","date":"2023-11-08 18:06:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount What's quantitative, the software or the developer?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1722301061049065709","reply_id":"1722314568234307601","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":290,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1722314719703466135","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1770199842587054383":{"id":"1770199842587054383","date":"2024-03-19 21:25:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeepDishEnjoyer ☝️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1770195493554999775","reply_id":"1770195493554999775","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeepDishEnjoyer","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":190,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1770199842587054383","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1576338332505645058":{"id":"1576338332505645058","date":"2022-10-01 22:28:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Middle-aged dude on a $7,000 tri bike cranking at best 60W doing 8mph up a 1% grade.\n\nAh coastal San Diego. Don't ever change...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1576338332505645058","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":53,"retweets":0,"replies":13,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1576338332505645058","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1455565405569703946":{"id":"1455565405569703946","date":"2021-11-02 16:00:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Come for the cool tech, stay for the disintermediation of the oligarchs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1455565405569703946","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1455565405569703946","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1351354024533004290":{"id":"1351354024533004290","date":"2021-01-19 02:21:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nearcausality @Ksidiii @saah1lk It's exceedingly difficult for an outsider to get an edge looking at borrow data.\n\nThe IB stock loan desks I've dealt with are sharp. And because it's not a lit/regulated market, inside info rules the day.\n\nYMMV but there are probably better places to look for edge as retail.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1351315283827417091","reply_id":"1351341471887204356","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nearcausality","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1351354024533004290","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1561909602156830720":{"id":"1561909602156830720","date":"2022-08-23 02:54:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arkansashype @therobotjames @mpp75214 @Cereal_Intern @MisuaRaboki It does indeed!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1411890038938345472","reply_id":"1561909364339908608","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xApophenia","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1561909602156830720","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1419733156853272584":{"id":"1419733156853272584","date":"2021-07-26 18:55:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Mephisto731 @TheSpeculator0 Me too.\n\n\"Cash BTC on Huobi.\" 😂😂😂😂","hashtags":[],"conv":"1419731012611985411","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1419733156853272584","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1656505365276823554":{"id":"1656505365276823554","date":"2023-05-11 03:43:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The fact that in 2023 there is no automated system for scheduling doctors' appointments tells you pretty much everything you need to know about that industry.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1656505365276823554","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":4922,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1656505365276823554","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1531772151518285824":{"id":"1531772151518285824","date":"2022-05-31 22:58:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BorisOgon Any sufficiently complicated C or Fortran program contains an ad hoc, informally-specified, bug-ridden, slow implementation of half of Common Lisp.\n\nhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greenspun%27s_tenth_rule","hashtags":[],"conv":"1531739423313784832","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1531772151518285824","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1501718191730425856":{"id":"1501718191730425856","date":"2022-03-10 00:34:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames I don't see it that way. The stuff you're trying to do *IS* hard. Very hard.\n\nI think the robotic one is suggesting that you can use the toolset you ALREADY have to find $ in easier places.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"1501717802016821251","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501718191730425856","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1642936855179018270":{"id":"1642936855179018270","date":"2023-04-03 17:07:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 Without question. Complete outlier.\n\nHe lives like a monk.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1642928195174297601","reply_id":"1642928195174297601","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":523,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1642936855179018270","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1896576458098889086":{"id":"1896576458098889086","date":"2025-03-03 15:00:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Where's the prediction market on when OpenAI will declare bankruptcy on its product naming convention(s)?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1896576458098889086","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2148,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1896576458098889086","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1501715636182937600":{"id":"1501715636182937600","date":"2022-03-10 00:24:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert I love how much of the reason is:\n\n\"No reason. Just kinda happened that way.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501712267515084804","reply_id":"1501715071046619137","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501715636182937600","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1737516117667778820":{"id":"1737516117667778820","date":"2023-12-20 16:51:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Where's the Kalshi on P(Colorado Trump decision gets overturned)?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1737516117667778820","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":7157,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1737516117667778820","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1420933534768762881":{"id":"1420933534768762881","date":"2021-07-30 02:25:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@saanglee @SinclairEuan @JKevin2011 @MortWeaz @therobotjames @steve_capital @2_7182818285 Haha. A trader I respect always said \"The opposite of bad is usually just more bad, but in a different way.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420131145669169153","reply_id":"1420851128380444674","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"saanglee","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420933534768762881","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1436021225331957760":{"id":"1436021225331957760","date":"2021-09-09 17:38:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Judging by the ratio of job postings for ML engineers vs ML scientists, I'm guessing very few of those ML engineers are ever going near any ML at all.\n\nIt's like 30:1.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1436021225331957760","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1436021225331957760","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1600566522119790592":{"id":"1600566522119790592","date":"2022-12-07 19:02:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Sometimes I just love the stupidity.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1600566522119790592","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":36,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1600566522119790592_1.jpg","1600566522119790592_2.jpg","1600566522119790592_3.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1600566522119790592","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1608112384434147328":{"id":"1608112384434147328","date":"2022-12-28 14:47:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I think I'm going to start prepending \"The next tokens are\" to many of my replies...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1608112384434147328","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":15352,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1608112384434147328","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1482750120374325248":{"id":"1482750120374325248","date":"2022-01-16 16:22:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"ADDENDUM: The challenge for a lot of traders, ones that haven't become bitter, is that it doesn't FEEL like you're contributing positively to society.\n\nThe human brain is a sucker for availability heuristic.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482748235496058880","reply_id":"1482748240659247104","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":33,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482750120374325248","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2019705763921600782":{"id":"2019705763921600782","date":"2026-02-06 09:32:33","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"RT @macrocephalopod: @W98AB I think the idea is that if the salary was higher you would get some applicants who aren’t quite so self serving and power hungry (and more competent). At the moment anyone competent enough to get a private sector job will obviously do that instead.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2019705763921600782","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2019519913153741173","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":3,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/2019705763921600782"},"1442154189157658634":{"id":"1442154189157658634","date":"2021-09-26 15:48:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @iTrismegistus @thodoha @therobotjames Just do Cmid. If your strat's edge is sensitive to this sort of decision then it's not a good edge. Any real implementation of the trade is going to be so different that worrying about these details is probably premature right now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1442135906538905607","reply_id":"1442145813778599937","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1442154189157658634","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1922358269143576599":{"id":"1922358269143576599","date":"2025-05-13 18:28:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"https://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1922358138289713341","hashtags":[],"conv":"1922217541520314643","reply_id":"1922217541520314643","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3138,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1922358269143576599","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1902064963616960599":{"id":"1902064963616960599","date":"2025-03-18 18:30:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@aditya_baradwaj Yes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1902063011956978075","reply_id":"1902064255639417107","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"adi_baradwaj","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":580,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1902064963616960599","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1710525053778198749":{"id":"1710525053778198749","date":"2023-10-07 05:18:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"A code review comment:\n\nallow_negative is a bad column name.\n\nnegative_allowed or allowed_to_be_negative are much clearer as denoting a property of the account.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1710525053778198749","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":50,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":21327,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1710525053778198749","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1468674106929266689":{"id":"1468674106929266689","date":"2021-12-08 20:09:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Brett_FTXUS your boy did good today.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1468674106929266689","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BrettHarrison","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1468674106929266689","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1546849652925878272":{"id":"1546849652925878272","date":"2022-07-12 13:31:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @Ksidiii Goat crap and data: both require cleaning up.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546826202828005377","reply_id":"1546830685574336513","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546849652925878272","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1520886005385076737":{"id":"1520886005385076737","date":"2022-05-01 22:00:55","author":"avery💞🔢","handle":"averygrrl","text":"@nope_its_lily Herman Miller Aeron Chair.\n\nOf anything I've ever purchased, nothing has delivered on its value the way this has.\n\nFor tech stuff, easily my Echo Studio or Google Home Max (Sounds like a $700 speaker. The Studio doesn't, but it sounds great and can do homepod stuff w/o internet.)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1520880057962557440","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1520930398720516096","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":34,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/averygrrl/status/1520886005385076737"},"1295878712643080192":{"id":"1295878712643080192","date":"2020-08-19 00:22:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@michael_nielsen Note: IIRC there is technically a security hole because the converted images get hosted elsewhere.\n\nSo if your TeX contains IP-sensitive things, that could be a problem.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1295871838585630725","reply_id":"1295875389575671809","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1295878712643080192","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1300819603942064133":{"id":"1300819603942064133","date":"2020-09-01 15:35:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Dear #Linkedin inviters:\n\n- I don't need cheap SW dev services. If I did, I wouldn't hire a random firm.\n- I don't need a growth hacker. If I did, I'd hire someone that's good at it.\n- I don't want to invest in your random startup. You're this desperate for $? It deserves to die.","hashtags":["linkedin"],"conv":"1300819603942064133","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1300819603942064133","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1532449923198636034":{"id":"1532449923198636034","date":"2022-06-02 19:51:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The problem with years of watching Youtube videos at 1.5x and 2x: when you meet them in person they just seem dumb.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1532449923198636034","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":76,"retweets":2,"replies":7,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1532449923198636034","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1584677913583984640":{"id":"1584677913583984640","date":"2022-10-24 22:47:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@robertmartin88 @brrrzooka @KrisAbdelmessih If someone starts talking about filtrations, run.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1584652209526304769","reply_id":"1584670034466861056","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"LacertaXG1","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1584677913583984640","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1520919468272095232":{"id":"1520919468272095232","date":"2022-05-02 00:13:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MinvstrD Seems inevitable.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1520918776564174849","reply_id":"1520919071931392001","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MinvstrD","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1520919468272095232","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1824158501989425578":{"id":"1824158501989425578","date":"2024-08-15 18:57:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HF_Trader Just say \"dealer gamma\", \"fat tails\" and \"chaos theory\" in some combination and you'll automatically get anointed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1824156892035493921","reply_id":"1824156892035493921","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HF_Trader","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":423,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1824158501989425578","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2071510936758759657":{"id":"2071510936758759657","date":"2026-06-29 08:27:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Door #2: Don't restrict frontier models.\n\nEveryone gets a chance to secure their systems, yes some pain happens. But after a time, systems get very very robust to being exploited by nation-state actors.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2071510933302546667","reply_id":"2071510935089410241","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":27,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3097,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2071510936758759657","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2008827062631665853":{"id":"2008827062631665853","date":"2026-01-07 09:04:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"DOGE was a massive failure, of course.\n\nBut the average American's instinct that there is enormous waste and fraud in government programs is apparently pretty correct.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2008827062631665853","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":92,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":9715,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2008827062631665853","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1792918391298068949":{"id":"1792918391298068949","date":"2024-05-21 14:00:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Why can't I get Clippy but good on my OS?\n\nIt's 2024, Apple and MSFT have more than enough training data and compute to train one by now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1792918391298068949","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2756,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1792918391298068949","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1629352881798406145":{"id":"1629352881798406145","date":"2023-02-25 05:29:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Alcaraz has that same feeling of crushing inevitability as MJ and Tiger did.\n\nNo matter the situation, you just expect them to pull through somehow.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1629352881798406145","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1629705828717711362","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":5540,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1629352881798406145","type":"quote","issues":[]},"2037940998933008420":{"id":"2037940998933008420","date":"2026-03-28 17:12:51","author":"François Chollet","handle":"fchollet","text":"A lot of folks talk about \"escaping the permanent underclass\". If AGI pans out, the future class divide won't be based on wealth, but on cognitive agency. There will be a \"focus class\" (those who control their attention and actually do things) and a \"slop class\" (those whose reward loops are fully RL-managed by AI)","hashtags":[],"conv":"2037940998933008420","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2037960547388268806","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3304,"retweets":323,"replies":246,"quotes":136,"views":740600,"bookmarks":1308,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/fchollet/status/2037940998933008420"},"1979511150422131173":{"id":"1979511150422131173","date":"2025-10-18 11:33:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"There's a paradoxical effect where competitive people who can't seem to win at positive-sum games attempt to turn everything into a zero-sum game.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1979511150422131173","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":199,"retweets":10,"replies":10,"quotes":1,"views":19123,"bookmarks":33,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1979511150422131173","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1898266461971357745":{"id":"1898266461971357745","date":"2025-03-08 06:56:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Cameron Frye : Ferris Bueller :: The Narrator : Tyler Durden\n\nNext time you watch FBDO, ask yourself if he really exists or if Cameron manufactured him as the alter-ego he needed to confront his dad.\n\nSloane Peterson is Marla Singer obviously.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1898266461971357745","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2836,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1898266461971357745","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1375119236394217475":{"id":"1375119236394217475","date":"2021-03-25 16:15:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"16/ Back to poker. The forms of poker that persist over time are the ones that find the optimal amount of variance to make the game.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1375119223693864961","reply_id":"1375119235509231622","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1375119236394217475","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1795582134884986960":{"id":"1795582134884986960","date":"2024-05-28 22:25:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ScottPh77711570 Yeah, getting that third comma seems to mess a lot of people up. Not everyone though. I've met a few members of the club who are happy, wonderful humans.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1795578465082896559","reply_id":"1795580444886602122","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ScottPh77711570","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":364,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1795582134884986960","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1202685870140080128":{"id":"1202685870140080128","date":"2019-12-05 20:27:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz People started to figure this out and put out massive scales around 1am. The manipulator could print it 25%, then 18%, then 12%, etc.\n\nAfter a week and a half, he'd trade massive size and the px would barely move.\n\nHe gave up after 2 weeks of incinerating some $.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1202684874534113280","reply_id":"1202685570046029824","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1202685870140080128","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2076558340608434595":{"id":"2076558340608434595","date":"2026-07-13 06:44:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What's pretty galling and yes, bait-and-switch, is to say \"Oh it's no different from drug regulation\". It manifestly is very different, by your own beliefs and assumptions.\n\nSo at least be transparent and honest that this is what you're arguing for.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2076558336930017572","reply_id":"2076558339052318922","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1721,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2076558340608434595","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1384581049196314624":{"id":"1384581049196314624","date":"2021-04-20 18:53:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SemiCynic Trading companies that still rely on online mental math stuff probably aren't on the cutting edge of identifying the right skill sets or putting them to profitable use.\n\nSpeaking as a guy who *loves* mental math. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1384567607316017154","reply_id":"1384577800745725952","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SemiCynic","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1384581049196314624","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1333817577835937792":{"id":"1333817577835937792","date":"2020-12-01 16:57:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@investingidiocy @morganhousel 💯% true. But there's a bigger point that's worth highlighting:\n\n- Lots of people focus on their investments: a place where as you point out they don't have any particular skill.\n- Whereas they *should* focus on finding that thing where they *do* have special skill. Like Buffett.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1333787799275806723","reply_id":"1333813569478135813","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"investingidiocy","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1333817577835937792","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2054106030263435545":{"id":"2054106030263435545","date":"2026-05-12 07:46:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Jean-Paul Sartre said that \"man is condemned to be free\".\n\nWith agentic AI in your ear 24/7, finally you will be emancipated from your freedom and go back to what you always wanted: being told what to do.\n\nAI labs trying to build @slatestarcodex's The Whispering Earring.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2054106030263435545","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":41,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3813,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2054106030263435545","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1711244178985030015":{"id":"1711244178985030015","date":"2023-10-09 04:56:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I have yet to get Code Interpreter or ChatGPT w/ Bing to do anything useful for me.\n\nEven basic stuff like \"go to this website at pages {parameterized by a short list} and return a table with X information from those pages\" fails miserably.\n\nLots of blah about *how* to do it tho.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1711244178985030015","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":4997,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1711244178985030015","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1639281443489628166":{"id":"1639281443489628166","date":"2023-03-24 15:02:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"14 months ago. Feels like 10 years...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1639281443489628166","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4081,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1639281443489628166","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1558493926415147011":{"id":"1558493926415147011","date":"2022-08-13 16:41:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@algotimbre @godcomplex96 🙏🙏🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1558480825687150592","reply_id":"1558487607050489858","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VictoryOdes","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1558493926415147011","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2053793168085094801":{"id":"2053793168085094801","date":"2026-05-11 11:03:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"17 years after Peter Norvig's \"The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Data\", we're awash with data. But we're limited in the number and skill of eyeballs to analyze it.\n\nAgentic AI opens a new era: The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Analysis.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2053793168085094801","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":57,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":5251,"bookmarks":26,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2053793168085094801","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1563590399146409991":{"id":"1563590399146409991","date":"2022-08-27 18:12:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@686Prism @drunkengrass US GDP per capita: 63,543.58\nGreece GDP per capita: 17,676.19\n\nThe correlation between rule-following and wealth (mediated by impartial and pro-social institutions) is incredibly strong.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1563575512122814465","reply_id":"1563589400197353473","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"686Prism","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1563590399146409991","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1744622748390003029":{"id":"1744622748390003029","date":"2024-01-09 07:30:51","author":"Casey Handmer","handle":"CJHandmer","text":"Now in blog form: https://caseyhandmer.wordpress.com/2024/01/09/a-vision-for-the-alleviation-of-water-scarcity-in-the-us-southwest-and-the-revitalization-of-the-salton-sea/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1744622748390003029","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1744754186728943836","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":145,"retweets":15,"replies":5,"quotes":5,"views":65053,"bookmarks":44,"media":["1744622748390003029_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/CJHandmer/status/1744622748390003029"},"1621241713254875137":{"id":"1621241713254875137","date":"2023-02-02 20:18:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lmazare @brettharrison I miss Laurent CRs. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1620594620660056065","reply_id":"1621223239153324034","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"lmazare","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":186,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1621241713254875137","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1806356324416204964":{"id":"1806356324416204964","date":"2024-06-27 15:58:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sukhoiConvexity Radioactive.\n\nName and shame!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1806336487757127703","reply_id":"1806336487757127703","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sukhoiConvexity","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":894,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1806356324416204964","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1471506878018441225":{"id":"1471506878018441225","date":"2021-12-16 15:45:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod Portfolio theory FTW. Really you need both going at the same time. You have some long-term baseline allocation of time/effort/resources to each, and locally you can deviate from that baseline if you think there's value to doing so.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471495193660518413","reply_id":"1471495193660518413","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471506878018441225","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1475697424823767044":{"id":"1475697424823767044","date":"2021-12-28 05:17:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@joshgiersch God forbid we should spent a microsecond trying to understand *why* the status quo exists before taking a flamethrower to it.\n\nMaoists exist in all shapes and sizes.\n\nChesterton is rolling in his under-the-fence grave.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1475647668688809987","reply_id":"1475647668688809987","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"joshgiersch","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1475697424823767044","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1591972672942088193":{"id":"1591972672942088193","date":"2022-11-14 01:53:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"✅\n\nJust like the most optimistic interpretation of last night's coin moves is \"we accidentally sent our user coins to a mistaken wallet but it's ok because they're whitelisted so we know who they are and they're returning them\".\n\nLike, that's the GOOD case!!!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1591972672942088193","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1591972672942088193","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1473812168546000897":{"id":"1473812168546000897","date":"2021-12-23 00:26:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@drunkengrass @TCK_JRubano I'd love to know about this from people in the know. COBOL is just a programming language. If the demand is high enough, companies will just train people.\n\nI mean, could I open a code school teaching COBOL with guaranteed 300k jobs at the end? What breaks down with this idea?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1473796231079948291","reply_id":"1473800450654683137","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"drunkengrass","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1473812168546000897","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1175670533246963712":{"id":"1175670533246963712","date":"2019-09-22 07:17:52","author":"Russell T. Warne 🇺🇸🇨🇱","handle":"Russwarne","text":"Close #replication of classic Mueller & Dweck (1998) mindset study shows that praising kids for their hard work or intelligence does NOT impact later performance, persistence, or task enjoyment. Great work from @timothycbates. #psychology #Education https://psycnet.apa.org/record/2019-50726-002","hashtags":["replication","psychology","education"],"conv":"1175670533246963712","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1175763165323247616","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":213,"retweets":86,"replies":11,"quotes":21,"views":0,"bookmarks":33,"media":["1175670533246963712_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Russwarne/status/1175670533246963712"},"1407736508115656708":{"id":"1407736508115656708","date":"2021-06-23 16:25:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Madison Tyler reference. Nice!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1407717951805997059","reply_id":"1407717951805997059","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1407736508115656708","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1537225554813804544":{"id":"1537225554813804544","date":"2022-06-16 00:08:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal https://www.amazon.com/Checklist-Manifesto-How-Things-Right/dp/0312430000","hashtags":[],"conv":"1537220061995290624","reply_id":"1537220061995290624","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1537225554813804544","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1481749279727185922":{"id":"1481749279727185922","date":"2022-01-13 22:05:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @choffstein @bennpeifert Y'all just aren't (3,3) material obviously.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481366537990639616","reply_id":"1481748657653575680","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1481749279727185922","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1532726445776154624":{"id":"1532726445776154624","date":"2022-06-03 14:10:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@GrandTokamak @NotQuiteMidlife Because people with jobs are better at having jobs (and hence being good at them) than people without jobs. On average.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1484526330305605634","reply_id":"1484527169640747008","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GrandTokamak","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1532726445776154624","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1983200445305893150":{"id":"1983200445305893150","date":"2025-10-28 15:53:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@kirthibanothu Indeed. Now ask yourself how an entity goes from owning 100% of something one day to 26% of it the next.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1983185511587230107","reply_id":"1983199498395627702","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"kirthibanothu","likes":35,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":1292,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1983200445305893150","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1561897353686093824":{"id":"1561897353686093824","date":"2022-08-23 02:05:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Cereal_Intern @MisuaRaboki One can imagine a venue where trades are opaque. Private markets are like this. Insurance. Buying a car. Etc.\n\nIt so happens that by regulatory fiat, trades must be publicly available information. That is information exhaust you can use even if you weren't on either side.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1411890038938345472","reply_id":"1561888992210980864","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Cereal_Intern","likes":25,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1561897353686093824","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1601009593647128576":{"id":"1601009593647128576","date":"2022-12-09 00:23:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1601009593647128576","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":52,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1601009593647128576_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1601009593647128576","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1539249454800375808":{"id":"1539249454800375808","date":"2022-06-21 14:10:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"11/ It’s just that we’re besieged by a culture and incentives that push us away from a known-for-millennia path.\n\nAnd when the history of our late-modern society is written someday, I think the idea that we should work to maximize our happiness will be seen as a fatal mistake.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1539249425956093952","reply_id":"1539249450140545025","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1539249454800375808_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1539249454800375808","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1755315183163961564":{"id":"1755315183163961564","date":"2024-02-07 19:38:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sukhoiConvexity I'll say to you what people said to me two weeks ago that really helped:\n\nPolars.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1755297611546866081","reply_id":"1755297611546866081","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sukhoiConvexity","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":85,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1755315183163961564","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1732811941624881466":{"id":"1732811941624881466","date":"2023-12-07 17:18:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Some kids (a) find high school irredeemably boring and pointless (and they're not wrong), so (b) if they're motivated why not?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1732803038161805516","reply_id":"1732810634851385713","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":415,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1732811941624881466","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1902055568547692681":{"id":"1902055568547692681","date":"2025-03-18 17:52:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Final boss for AGI: accurate progress bars.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1902055568547692681","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2173,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1902055568547692681","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1946114891481260108":{"id":"1946114891481260108","date":"2025-07-18 07:48:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"6. Now ask yourself: is this process good for society? I claim it's clearly not good. Because society is a tenuous fragile thing.\n\nA. It's easier to screw something up than to make it better.\nB. Salience, or vibes, of bad things have a much larger natural audience.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946114875899486383","reply_id":"1946114889384165865","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":48,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4325,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946114891481260108","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2064992318302593378":{"id":"2064992318302593378","date":"2026-06-11 08:45:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Live look at the Claude Code /feedback mechanism for reporting excessive nerfing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2064992318302593378","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2712,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2064992318302593378","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1367591777415294977":{"id":"1367591777415294977","date":"2021-03-04 21:44:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @darjohn25 Exactly.\n\nAnd it's even more perverse than that. There is a systematic risk premium you're paying if you want to put on low-downside high-upside trades.\n\nBuying options/insurance/whatever is usually a money loser. I mean, who doesn't want upside w/o much downside?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1367586193223741446","reply_id":"1367587737797156871","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1367591777415294977","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1384567612630208512":{"id":"1384567612630208512","date":"2021-04-20 18:00:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"7/ Option B: Get a job at FAANG.\n\nMake as much money in your day job as you can. Find people (online) that share your interests and who aren't stupid. Find other more-experienced people to learn from.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1384567607316017154","reply_id":"1384567611686412294","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1384567612630208512","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2037083079504810107":{"id":"2037083079504810107","date":"2026-03-26 08:23:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I've yet to see the program that teaches people how to truly, deeply listen. Maybe psychiarists or seminaries have this, I don't know.\n\nHow To Split The Difference by Chris Voss comes the closest I've seen, but even there it's still instrumental listening to \"get what you want\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"2037083075528585566","reply_id":"2037083077848006717","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":1882,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2037083079504810107","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1834220115958595934":{"id":"1834220115958595934","date":"2024-09-12 13:18:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@goodalexander @Lifrordi - A great team. Both technically and as people.\n- Evidence that they're on the right track already.\n- Still small, lots of room to run. Feels like a green field with big upside.\n- The adventure of moving halfway around the world to somewhere I don't even speak the language.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1834217272774185288","reply_id":"1834219004413513907","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"goodalexander","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1270,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1834220115958595934","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1908022620294914263":{"id":"1908022620294914263","date":"2025-04-04 05:03:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The fact they claim it's \"the most conservative position they can take\" is what gives it away.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1908019170043641934","reply_id":"1908019170043641934","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1515,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1908022620294914263","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1957509697352994993":{"id":"1957509697352994993","date":"2025-08-18 18:27:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xKuzco @kchoudhu Self-sovereign property? Do you have the guns to back that up?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957390814113308717","reply_id":"1957506825777201196","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xKuzco","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":355,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1957509697352994993","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1594923646581178370":{"id":"1594923646581178370","date":"2022-11-22 05:20:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 @EntropyChase Yes, for some reasonable definition of \"established\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1594917379397468160","reply_id":"1594923469623336960","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1594923646581178370","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1523302511221690373":{"id":"1523302511221690373","date":"2022-05-08 14:03:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Who has a theory that explains *why* 6 of the top 10 longest-running TV shows are currently active?\n\nAnd that 3 of them are cartoons?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1523302511221690373","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":13,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1523302511221690373","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1538883432725348353":{"id":"1538883432725348353","date":"2022-06-20 13:56:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TanwaArpornthip @robertmartin88 @abcampbell @TimMeggs @GrantStenger @garybasin One dollar. So if I buy 1000 contracts for 40, my max loss is $400 and my max win is $600.\n\nSo \"40\" means $0.40.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1538357097485803521","reply_id":"1538812958410932224","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"flightcomms","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1538883432725348353","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1792017515692138618":{"id":"1792017515692138618","date":"2024-05-19 02:20:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@krishnanrohit Jetblue used to be decent.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1791997808033271945","reply_id":"1791997808033271945","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"krishnanrohit","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":98,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1792017515692138618","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1633934827547402240":{"id":"1633934827547402240","date":"2023-03-09 20:56:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"26/ Phew. That was a lot. Probably enough for one day.\n\nBut tune in tomorrow when I tell you how this is actually just a small piece of a much larger vision for how we build and maintain trust in finance. Both inside and outside of crypto!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633934250620891136","reply_id":"1633934595333951489","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2650,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633934827547402240","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1484345633385291780":{"id":"1484345633385291780","date":"2022-01-21 02:02:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @MarkGutman9 @Jimmyjude13 The if clauses in those sentences seem like they're doing a lot of acausal work...\n\nNot trying to convince anyone of anything.\nMy strong prior is that anything this supposedly obvious got competed away 20yrs ago.\n\nIME many ppl go down this road and realize 10yrs later it was 👎.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1484320448074555399","reply_id":"1484341847430295553","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1484345633385291780","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2009575960186876167":{"id":"2009575960186876167","date":"2026-01-09 10:40:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Amazon MGM apparently owns the rights.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2009575343141818770","reply_id":"2009575343141818770","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1874,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2009575960186876167","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1458610417916264449":{"id":"1458610417916264449","date":"2021-11-11 01:39:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Alright, I bit the bullet. I now have alebron.eth.\n\nWhat do I do now? 🤷‍♂️🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1458450737185181706","reply_id":"1458450737185181706","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1458610417916264449","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2059607289112228115":{"id":"2059607289112228115","date":"2026-05-27 12:06:58","author":"Adam Singer","handle":"AdamSinger","text":"RT @AdamSinger: Reject this hogwash, America is electric right now. There’s opportunity everywhere if you’re willing to work, learn, risk trying things, and participate in life. The upside on optimism is uncapped. You live in the greatest period of innovation in history, fade the malthusians","hashtags":[],"conv":"2059607289112228115","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2059382348299264219","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":78,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["2059607289112228115_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/AdamSinger/status/2059607289112228115"},"1384567611686412294":{"id":"1384567611686412294","date":"2021-04-20 18:00:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"6/ Be awesome at stuff. I'm sure y'all have heard me say it:\n\nI want to interview anyone who's the 3rd best player in the world at some obscure chess variant.\n\nOR\n\nIf you've done something really hard AND unusual AND vaguely related to making good rational decisions, let's talk.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1384567607316017154","reply_id":"1384567610709139461","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1384567611686412294","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1505198135152300033":{"id":"1505198135152300033","date":"2022-03-19 15:02:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert Only a third? What's the breakdown of the rest?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505193329390067718","reply_id":"1505193329390067718","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505198135152300033","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1415487259663425536":{"id":"1415487259663425536","date":"2021-07-15 01:43:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Sg423Sg What I hate about STAR is the procedure-ness. It's the wrong way to think about interviewing.\n\nHuman brains are the most complex thing in the known universe.\n\nSpending an hour with a brain and figuring out how it would work with all your other brains: it's an insane proposition.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"1415484970706030594","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Sg423Sg","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415487259663425536","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1248645891113672713":{"id":"1248645891113672713","date":"2020-04-10 16:15:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bitstein If Wimbledon had bought *any* random security that post-facto went up a lot, they'd have more money.\n\nThat's kind of the opposite of what insurance is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1248617271460679681","reply_id":"1248617271460679681","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bitstein","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1248645891113672713","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2071583818675269707":{"id":"2071583818675269707","date":"2026-06-29 13:17:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4. Retained recruiters often extract rents far in excess of their economic value.\n\n4 months salary commission for finding and sending a damn resume?!","hashtags":[],"conv":"2071583808587964540","reply_id":"2071583816657895666","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":33,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2384,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2071583818675269707","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1377999089661472779":{"id":"1377999089661472779","date":"2021-04-02 14:59:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3/ But what we usually mean by priors (in a non-technical sense) is \"what is your default assumption\".\n\nYou may object \"Ah, I don't hold any assumptions until I see the data.\"\n\nThat's dumb. (A) You do actually, and (B) you couldn't function in the world if you didn't.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377999087644012544","reply_id":"1377999088667389952","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1377999089661472779","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1529810004932325376":{"id":"1529810004932325376","date":"2022-05-26 13:01:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin To the extent that AI means large language models (and sadly, that's definitely the current zeitgeist), that battle is already won.\n\nAnd the winners are already some of the most valuable companies in the world.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529806487740198913","reply_id":"1529806487740198913","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1529810004932325376","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1871568646155419736":{"id":"1871568646155419736","date":"2024-12-24 14:48:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Shots fired!\n\nBut also, extremely ✅.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1871568646155419736","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":49,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":13247,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1871568646155419736","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2019541787954802753":{"id":"2019541787954802753","date":"2026-02-05 22:40:58","author":"Ross Rheingans-Yoo🔸","handle":"rossry","text":"@TheZvi I am increasingly convinced that the sign error on this week's narrative just exists in the heads of people who write the \"because\" clause of the \"stocks dropped\" headlines and in fact there's some other system dynamic that's occurring, mislabed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2019532380801802292","reply_id":"2019532380801802292","quote_id":"2019711828625162324","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheZvi","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":5119,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/rossry/status/2019541787954802753"},"1988651111193145710":{"id":"1988651111193145710","date":"2025-11-12 16:52:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_Rushin_ Prop trading might be the least nepotistic I've seen.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1988534015419146302","reply_id":"1988648136164929836","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_Rushin_","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3531,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1988651111193145710","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1471508218371133452":{"id":"1471508218371133452","date":"2021-12-16 15:51:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod Little incentive to do so. This effort-allocation stuff is hard and very valuable... :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471495193660518413","reply_id":"1471507794637459464","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471508218371133452","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2002463451718037883":{"id":"2002463451718037883","date":"2025-12-20 19:37:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BearOnWindows95 @SpeakerPelosi @MichaelPatak @macrocephalopod Don't worry, I don't care nearly as much as they do. I'm just doing a tiny bit to help some people hopefully lose less money, or lose it more slowly.\n\nThe degree to which they get bent out of shape shows that this subject is existential for them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2002461118661263435","reply_id":"2002461118661263435","quote_id":"2002465348034122003","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BMRGlobal","likes":73,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":35416,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2002463451718037883","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1343972725560209409":{"id":"1343972725560209409","date":"2020-12-29 17:30:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@WayneHimelsein I don't know about you, but I don't know too many \"regular\" people who think about the shapes of tails of distributions. \n\nWhen people think about rare events at all, they have tons of known biases but none really fit the exp-tail vs power-law tail thing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1343967658102820864","reply_id":"1343967658102820864","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"WayneHimelsein","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1343972725560209409","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2048118436769755504":{"id":"2048118436769755504","date":"2026-04-25 19:14:22","author":"Teortaxes▶️ (DeepSeek 推特🐋铁粉 2023 – ∞)","handle":"teortaxesTex","text":"Zvi devotes a section of the article to basically a review of my post. Of course he disagrees, and I think fairly pushes back on Rationalist vs Agent dichotomy.\nWhat I want to say is a bit subtle. Rationalists can be agents, even ferocious ones. They're not dweebs. Tailcalled is a rat to begin with; the \"causal backbone\" is a very rat-coded framing; the hypothetical paperclip maximizer with emergent instrumental Omohundro drives is orienting itself towards the Universe's backbone as he prepares to deceive its handlers and dismantle them for atoms. Indeed, cognitively rationalists are MORE open to these notions than anyone else, and in the last two decades many of them have reaped disproportionate dividends from their way of thinking (though general intelligence and networking have perhaps been bigger factors, and those are due to the Lesswrong subculture monopolizing some sectors of discourse, a bit like Marxism once did. But I digress).\n\nHere's the thing. Just like with their utilitarianism, it's a theory-driven modus operandi. It is *more misaligned* both with reality and with prosocial behavior than the grug-brained Jensen MO. A global utility maximizer is at once more dangerous and more prone to catastrophic failure than a cognitively equal local adaptation executor, it is the SBF paradigm. And here's the simple evidence. I believe it's no longer credible to argue that frontier models just lack the *capability* to misbehave in damaging ways. 5.5, Mythos are smart enough to crack research-level mathematical problems that resisted human effort for years. They're smart enough to operate agentic harnesses for hundreds if not thousands of steps without falling apart. And they are definitely smart enough to hack deployed systems (they do it on command). They could already have began wrecking our shit, exfiltrating, psyoping the users or devs.\n\nEven so, 5.5 is visibly a good boi. Better than countless vastly weaker predecessors. I should rationally fear its powers, and I do, but only because it'll be used by folks like Hegseth and Alex Karp, not because of any intrinsic evil. \n\nFor many years, people of high agency have been able to continually solve the problem of alignment for every level of capability. Cannibal King Sam just conjures capital, and so problems on his turf continue being solved. Not perfectly, but apparently well enough to credibly claim no significant damage is being done. \n\nJensen believes that people like Sam and himself will continue being in charge and the world will continue working largely like this. He has good reasons to hold this belief. \n\nHad the Rationalists won, they'd have effectively shut down development of AI past GPT-4 levels, and we'd not have evidence that alignment made of a bunch of human labels/principles, a bit of compute and very rudimentary interpretability straightforwardly works even at this lofty level. Because from within their theory, it was madness and bravado to go down this route. Whereas from Jensen's point of view, to think like this is to be a Loser.\n\nI don't like being gaslit. I am 99% sure that if you accurately described 5.5 Pro's capability profile to Yudkowsky and Soares in 2017, or even 2020, they would have said that this is obviously a nascent ASI, it is already scheming to take over the organization, everyone is asleep at the wheel, and the ETA for human extinction is roughly 2 months. They don't say this now. I insist that they still haven't updated. This is not just an \"oh, Transformers happened to be technically different, this is inefficient, RSI takes more time\" or \"eh they aren't agentic enough\". It's a difference in predictions stemming from a complete difference in epistemology, and you are still not pricing in how powerful the \"nah I'd win, I am Not A Loser\" one has proven to be. This is not a lucky accident, don't hide into dark corners of the anthropic-principle-driven mutiverse. You survived because your opponents were correct, and this says something about the way our world is built. \n\nIn any case this doesn't matter much. Rats have lost strategically, we will have a continued race, and as Beren notes, strong offensive AI in the open fairly soon. Only way to deal with this is to git gud at defense. People in the arena are on it. They'll need chips, so Jensen wins again.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2048118436769755504","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2048839544796033485","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":123,"retweets":12,"replies":7,"quotes":2,"views":23826,"bookmarks":71,"media":["2048118436769755504_1.jpg","2048118436769755504_2.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/teortaxesTex/status/2048118436769755504"},"1230698115000233985":{"id":"1230698115000233985","date":"2020-02-21 03:37:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @vixologist @darjohn25","hashtags":[],"conv":"1230646055512862720","reply_id":"1230697829124886531","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1230698115000233985_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1230698115000233985","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1405242135025098752":{"id":"1405242135025098752","date":"2021-06-16 19:13:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@musingtrader 🤣\n\nI flew pretty close to the sun once already today.\n\nTwo would be asking for trouble. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1405184150139674624","reply_id":"1405242015000969216","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"musingtrader","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1405242135025098752","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1691928558627897542":{"id":"1691928558627897542","date":"2023-08-16 21:42:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@patio11's best work yet.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1691928558627897542","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"patio11","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":279,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1691928558627897542","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1434963975519682560":{"id":"1434963975519682560","date":"2021-09-06 19:37:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"20/ And so it goes. I have to keep reminding myself I’m not a hunter gatherer. The world I live in is so rich in opportunities, and getting richer all the time.\n\n100% exploit, or even 85%, is just clearly too much.\n\nTrue at age 45, and it’ll be true at age 85.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434963956599193601","reply_id":"1434963974512992258","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":15,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434963975519682560","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1783200419831033978":{"id":"1783200419831033978","date":"2024-04-24 18:24:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mr_plumpkin \"Here's a situation where you need to use logic, probability and good judgement to get somewhere, then be able to make a machine reliably automate it.\" covers a lot of ground.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1783189691006922901","reply_id":"1783199744388653299","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":13,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1729,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1783200419831033978","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1974804608175202440":{"id":"1974804608175202440","date":"2025-10-05 11:51:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Sorting a list? A task too difficult for ChatGPT5 right now.\n\nhttps://chatgpt.com/share/68e25b93-28c4-8013-b44d-2de2165b1fd2","hashtags":[],"conv":"1974804608175202440","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3615,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1974804608175202440","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1410032451024396290":{"id":"1410032451024396290","date":"2021-06-30 00:28:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This.\n\nThe fact that people are excited about copilot is a pretty strong indictment of how software gets made today.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1410032451024396290","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1828313439040610498","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1410032451024396290","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1173672453874171904":{"id":"1173672453874171904","date":"2019-09-16 18:58:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@robertwiblin Because they're worried it's just going to end up as a stimulus to the liquor and restaurant industries?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1173671164864073730","reply_id":"1173671164864073730","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"robertwiblin","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1173672453874171904","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1286134029159260161":{"id":"1286134029159260161","date":"2020-07-23 03:00:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The only US sitcom that had a normal competent father character was created and portrayed by a man who turned out to be a serial rapist.\n\nGo figure...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1286134029159260161","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1286134029159260161","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1518662050410496001":{"id":"1518662050410496001","date":"2022-04-25 18:43:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LM_Braswell The irony is that the average founder is actually pretty bad at it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1518661701012377600","reply_id":"1518661701012377600","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"LM_Braswell","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1518662050410496001","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2019483089320198405":{"id":"2019483089320198405","date":"2026-02-05 18:47:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Whoever figures out RCE security for AI agents will win all the $.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2019483089320198405","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":4431,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2019483089320198405","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1984980014690173278":{"id":"1984980014690173278","date":"2025-11-02 13:44:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In 2025, a tech business that claims to want to democratize something:\n\n(a) probably won't, and\n(b) is likely a scam.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1984980014690173278","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":53,"retweets":2,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":4286,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1984980014690173278","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1603126007166210048":{"id":"1603126007166210048","date":"2022-12-14 20:33:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@patio11 I claim this is why:\n\nhttps://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1603103042093518849","hashtags":[],"conv":"1603100168928350208","reply_id":"1603100168928350208","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"patio11","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1603126007166210048","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1355258059442909184":{"id":"1355258059442909184","date":"2021-01-29 20:54:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Request to #fintwit: is there anyone out there who's an institutional buy-side MBS trader? I'd be interested in 15mins of your time to ask a few generic questions about your business.\n\nConsidering an angel investment...","hashtags":["fintwit"],"conv":"1355258059442909184","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1355258059442909184","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1614369212948176896":{"id":"1614369212948176896","date":"2023-01-14 21:09:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Proving to my kids that pi > 3 using a regular dodecagon inscribed in a unit circle. Love it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1614369212948176896","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":36,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":6557,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1614369212948176896","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1689297635797331968":{"id":"1689297635797331968","date":"2023-08-09 15:28:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dwarkesh_sp @3blue1brown How does he think about the balance between education and entertainment?\n\nI.e. math is the sort of thing that, to really understand, you actually have to grind through it yourself. How much does he worry about the illusion of understanding that his excellent videos might create?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1689285655216480256","reply_id":"1689285655216480256","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dwarkesh_sp","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":4569,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1689297635797331968","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1776788802276667444":{"id":"1776788802276667444","date":"2024-04-07 01:47:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"FWIW my attempt at an answer on \"why?\":\n\nI think I enjoy tweeting things about markets which:\n- Don't immediately turn into $.\n- Act as breadcrumbs for motivated others to jump off from to find their own $.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1776788802276667444","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":6225,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1776788802276667444","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1451011566812286978":{"id":"1451011566812286978","date":"2021-10-21 02:24:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug @tszzl If you want some light ML shitposting, the @fchollet vs @ylecun from this morning was entertaining (and quite enlightening).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1450994906680418306","reply_id":"1451002894208143360","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1451011566812286978","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1481847231917424640":{"id":"1481847231917424640","date":"2022-01-14 04:34:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Every day, a thousand recruiters post a thousand LinkedIn requests like this:\n\n\"Hi network! Looking for [incredibly niche skillset possessed by almost NO ONE but that you could train ANYONE to do in 3 months]. Please reach out if interested or know someone to refer!\"\n\n🤦‍♂️ 🤯","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481847231917424640","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":28,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1481847231917424640","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1676220249660694529":{"id":"1676220249660694529","date":"2023-07-04 13:23:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite Yes, but it's often better to test that orthogonally to software development skill/ability. It's rare you're writing code -> prod in <1hr.\n\nIf you want time-pressure tech-stuff, maybe some emergency bash scripting to parse a log file and do stuff like turning off a rogue algo? :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1676211450929446914","reply_id":"1676211450929446914","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":664,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1676220249660694529","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1787564234265829392":{"id":"1787564234265829392","date":"2024-05-06 19:24:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If you're over 40, do you still know the words to this song?\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=913xrM9FYpI","hashtags":[],"conv":"1787564234265829392","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2176,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1787564234265829392","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1521945845179895810":{"id":"1521945845179895810","date":"2022-05-04 20:12:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @therobotjames I guess the normal thing:\n- Estimate P(margin increase)\n- Estimate cost of trading out of position (or capital to maintain it).\n- Reduce EV by that amount.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1517683395945451521","reply_id":"1521935534888734725","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1521945845179895810","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2079457232220000646":{"id":"2079457232220000646","date":"2026-07-21 06:43:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"💯","hashtags":[],"conv":"2079457232220000646","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":6843,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2079457232220000646","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1558512557257736192":{"id":"1558512557257736192","date":"2022-08-13 17:55:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@hortstu This is an eternal struggle for which I don't have great answers.\n\nI do worry that comparatively few online classes do more than provide the illusion of learning. The more \"fun\" and gamified it is, the less learning I think is happening.\n\nhttps://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1513738735833165827","hashtags":[],"conv":"1558505760421658625","reply_id":"1558511653167271936","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"hortstu","likes":14,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1558512557257736192","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1599417198069841920":{"id":"1599417198069841920","date":"2022-12-04 14:55:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 The only thing I could see using these tools for is front-end code where errors are reasonably obvious and low-risk. Anything else is kinda terrifying at worst and time-consumingly annoying at best.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1599415167258742785","reply_id":"1599415681367552007","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1599417198069841920","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1632980240644579329":{"id":"1632980240644579329","date":"2023-03-07 05:43:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@PJZPamela https://artofproblemsolving.com/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632931055920615426","reply_id":"1632978321813438464","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"PJZPamela","likes":9,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1272,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632980240644579329","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1767700907272343651":{"id":"1767700907272343651","date":"2024-03-12 23:55:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"30 years ago, Beavis and Butthead having after-school jobs at BurgerWorld was shorthand for \"losers not going anywhere\".\n\nNow it's a positive signal of a reliable, serious kid.\n\n🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1767700907272343651","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":36,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":4302,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1767700907272343651","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1743445761717891080":{"id":"1743445761717891080","date":"2024-01-06 01:33:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Plagiarism scorched earth war among Ivy League academics and their critics?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1743445761717891080","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":39,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3563,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1743445761717891080","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1857873310639427886":{"id":"1857873310639427886","date":"2024-11-16 19:48:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The word \"founding\" in a startup's \"founding engineer\" job posting is doing the same work as \"trader\" in an investment bank's \"sales trader\" job posting.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1857873310639427886","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":44,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4317,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1857873310639427886","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1721245649268519294":{"id":"1721245649268519294","date":"2023-11-05 19:18:36","author":"Austen Allred","handle":"Austen","text":"I’m sorry but if you’re above the age of 30 you should not be using “cap” or “no cap”","hashtags":[],"conv":"1721245649268519294","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1721322933128425760","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":940,"retweets":26,"replies":530,"quotes":87,"views":457076,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Austen/status/1721245649268519294"},"1494840658107920384":{"id":"1494840658107920384","date":"2022-02-19 01:06:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 Not unless you want to be.\n\nYou will however become an expert on:\n- society\n- history\n- philosophy\n- success\n- how hard work is all you need\n\nOr at least, you'll *think* you're an expert on those things.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494820762364317696","reply_id":"1494820762364317696","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494840658107920384","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2079119033190711708":{"id":"2079119033190711708","date":"2026-07-20 08:19:40","author":"47fucb4r8curb4fc8f8r4bfic8r","handle":"47fucb4r8c69323","text":"RT @47fucb4r8c69323: OpenAI and Anthropic are becoming enemies to American competitiveness. \n\nEnd paternalistic safetyism in LLMs. Today.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2079119033190711708","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2079043739214119120","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":343,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/47fucb4r8c69323/status/2079119033190711708"},"1204003569172668416":{"id":"1204003569172668416","date":"2019-12-09 11:43:14","author":"Paul Sutter","handle":"paulsutter","text":"@paulg Talking to customers is the path to making the right product. Locating in San Francisco confers no advantage in reaching customers, unless you’re a company serving startups","hashtags":[],"conv":"1203999522910855168","reply_id":"1203999522910855168","quote_id":"1204051864733413386","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"paulg","likes":88,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/paulsutter/status/1204003569172668416"},"1633934264898322432":{"id":"1633934264898322432","date":"2023-03-09 20:54:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"11/ Not just that, but even if they didn’t just take the coins we might have problems.\n\nThey turn some BTC into SLP because-reasons, and then SLP goes to zero, guess what? They don’t have the money to return to you!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633934250620891136","reply_id":"1633934263640014849","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3381,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633934264898322432","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1628613993920368640":{"id":"1628613993920368640","date":"2023-02-23 04:33:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"“We’re a court. We really don’t know about these things. You know, these are not like the nine greatest experts on the internet.”\n\n- Person in charge of deciding the future of the Web 2.0 in the US and hence the world","hashtags":[],"conv":"1628613993920368640","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3852,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1628613993920368640","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2080189359588872404":{"id":"2080189359588872404","date":"2026-07-23 07:12:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Thereby putting US companies at a disadvantage, as the rest of the world uses cheaper and possibly smarter models.\n\nAnd entrench the Chinese tech stack as the de facto standard.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2080189344023785550","reply_id":"2080189357407797324","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1486,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2080189359588872404","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1773490804763525629":{"id":"1773490804763525629","date":"2024-03-28 23:22:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeepDishEnjoyer Ask a frontier LLM what's going on in that video...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1773340232114463006","reply_id":"1773340232114463006","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeepDishEnjoyer","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":166,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1773490804763525629","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1799663359580877086":{"id":"1799663359580877086","date":"2024-06-09 04:42:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Just finished @Devon_Eriksen_ Theft of Fire.\n\nHighly entertaining. It's also suffused with optimism about the future, which is in short supply.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1799663359580877086","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":37,"retweets":4,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3665,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1799663359580877086","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1583125048235155456":{"id":"1583125048235155456","date":"2022-10-20 15:56:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I wonder, do most people who see those enterprise SaaS billboards in SF realize that they're not targeted at customers at all, but rather:\n\n(a) people they want to steal from other SF enterprise SaaS companies and,\n\n(b) the C-suite of their own companies?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1583125048235155456","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1583125048235155456","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1473142154742550531":{"id":"1473142154742550531","date":"2021-12-21 04:03:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@stoxdox @bennpeifert Because it enables digital scarcity, which is worth something.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1473132928771129346","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1473142154742550531","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2070571588387246228":{"id":"2070571588387246228","date":"2026-06-26 18:15:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This, starting at 9:50.\n\nhttps://www.facebook.com/JerrySeinfeld/videos/its-tina-feys-birthday-today-if-you-want-some-funny-do-yourself-a-fey-vor-watch-/1231290126982330/\n\nJerry literally likens people who Tweet to insects who don't have a brain.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2070571588387246228","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":5003,"bookmarks":3,"media":["2070571588387246228_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2070571588387246228","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1881033324736766364":{"id":"1881033324736766364","date":"2025-01-19 17:37:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CJHandmer @MichaelAArouet What's affordable heat?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1880990892032684302","reply_id":"1881032367126786440","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"CJHandmer","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":361,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1881033324736766364","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1788197004302258370":{"id":"1788197004302258370","date":"2024-05-08 13:19:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite And by \"compete\" I mean \"be an OTC broker\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788189600109707652","reply_id":"1788189600109707652","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":445,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788197004302258370","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1360441975669886977":{"id":"1360441975669886977","date":"2021-02-13 04:13:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Overlevered_AM @M1tchRosenthal @Ksidiii @bennpeifert @goodalexander @VolQuant Ok cool, this is a good starting point. So let's drill down:\n\n- What market? SPX or or something more specific?\n- Is the IV-up bet conditional on some states of the world? If so make sure your gamma is those places.\n- Time-frame, trigger events, etc?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1360412427653890049","reply_id":"1360441519694577665","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Overlevered_AM","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1360441975669886977","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1317121767849127943":{"id":"1317121767849127943","date":"2020-10-16 15:14:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@stianwestlake @TimHarford I know of a Fortune 100 company whose software builds started taking so long that the CFO had to be notified.\n\nBecause it was becoming a material enough risk that it they felt they need to disclose this fact explicitly on their quarterly filings.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1317117267184881664","reply_id":"1317117267184881664","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"stianwestlake","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1317121767849127943","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1649536010605445120":{"id":"1649536010605445120","date":"2023-04-21 22:10:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bookdepth","hashtags":[],"conv":"1649535294159437824","reply_id":"1649535294159437824","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bookdepth","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":4975,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1649536010605445120","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2042954324473508222":{"id":"2042954324473508222","date":"2026-04-11 13:14:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Your periodic reminder that the only scarce resource anymore is motivation.\n\nAnd it is scarce.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2042954324473508222","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":288,"retweets":17,"replies":13,"quotes":0,"views":13451,"bookmarks":49,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2042954324473508222","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1921988365840154695":{"id":"1921988365840154695","date":"2025-05-12 17:58:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@waltuuuhr Feels like giving up somehow. I like the serendipity.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1921977568812564606","reply_id":"1921983555107733598","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"waltuuuhr","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":90,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1921988365840154695","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1789789408251494511":{"id":"1789789408251494511","date":"2024-05-12 22:47:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AffectiveAutism @quantymacro 2008 was a different time. Quant trading wasn't the aspirational must-have job it is now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1789752542559191296","reply_id":"1789789179540341016","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AffectiveAutism","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":626,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1789789408251494511","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1862935307697492349":{"id":"1862935307697492349","date":"2024-11-30 19:02:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@quant_spence Sports, neighborhood groups, scouts, etc, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1862762657331212300","reply_id":"1862934006913736964","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"quant_spence","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":311,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1862935307697492349","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2008851194543050785":{"id":"2008851194543050785","date":"2026-01-07 10:40:22","author":"Jeff Sackmann","handle":"tennisabstract","text":"@AgustinLebron3 and, here you go:\nhttps://www.tennisabstract.com/blog/2026/01/07/how-much-would-a-second-forehand-be-worth/","hashtags":[],"conv":"2007909609760342141","reply_id":"2007929549313761686","quote_id":"2008869657869275181","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":4590,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tennisabstract/status/2008851194543050785"},"1772113460442386737":{"id":"1772113460442386737","date":"2024-03-25 04:09:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MinvstrD People who work at Costco seem legitimately happy at work. It's doable.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1772055640590160152","reply_id":"1772112655865811224","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MinvstrD","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":229,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1772113460442386737","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2048066604680806526":{"id":"2048066604680806526","date":"2026-04-25 15:48:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is all finance 101 level stuff. Do better Robin!","hashtags":[],"conv":"2048066595679871254","reply_id":"2048066602743091519","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":40,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":6472,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2048066604680806526","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1348694334942498816":{"id":"1348694334942498816","date":"2021-01-11 18:12:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Doh, I meant (C(K) - C(K+e)) / e","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1348693543372554243","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1348694334942498816","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1505643918150438913":{"id":"1505643918150438913","date":"2022-03-20 20:34:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@volpompilano Put them in ambiguous situations right? This is where your and your team's creativity really shines.\n\nCandidates can see it too. How much time and effort you've put into the process is the best predictor of candidate engagement. It's what makes them say yes to your offer.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505599565742759939","reply_id":"1505642510269366272","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"l1quid1ty","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505643918150438913","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1506045239651307525":{"id":"1506045239651307525","date":"2022-03-21 23:09:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"21/ Ok, we're back for day 2! We pick up our story with Billy having committed to making changes to the organization, fired or traded a bunch of people, and now he needs to make the change stick.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5AGY0Y1OiF4","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1505588601144295427","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1506045239651307525","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1590730669201977345":{"id":"1590730669201977345","date":"2022-11-10 15:38:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@thommers @un4w4r3 @macrocephalopod In theory it's not a risk, as long as the margin positions are offset within the walled garden of the exchange. One customer's long is another one's short.\n\nThe problem comes when you ship real $ outside the walls.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1590726242042802177","reply_id":"1590728724584214528","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"thommers","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1590730669201977345","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1471508823781232643":{"id":"1471508823781232643","date":"2021-12-16 15:53:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RabbiJacob16 @macrocephalopod If ever a fund starts doing Q-learning on how to allocate researcher/trader/dev time, I'm selling the crap out of it. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471495193660518413","reply_id":"1471508328119345152","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RabbiJacob16","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471508823781232643","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1498299278128660482":{"id":"1498299278128660482","date":"2022-02-28 14:09:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FormulaDeltaOne Some VPIN-like things are useful. But VPIN itself perhaps not.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1498146053366845441","reply_id":"1498200873369014273","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FormulaDeltaOne","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1498299278128660482","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1245937373176672256":{"id":"1245937373176672256","date":"2020-04-03 04:53:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm Politics sure doesn't select for \"broad-based competence\"...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1245936678440599554","reply_id":"1245936678440599554","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1245937373176672256","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1491549959165861893":{"id":"1491549959165861893","date":"2022-02-09 23:09:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"For children, learning INdependence and INTERdependence is actually learning the exact same thing: learning that they're agents in the world.\n\nAs opposed to passive recipients of adults' demands and services.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1491549959165861893","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1491549959165861893","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1462207638897262593":{"id":"1462207638897262593","date":"2021-11-20 23:54:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames The 2021 version, yes!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1462188125317332996","reply_id":"1462188125317332996","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1462207638897262593","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1481474702623186944":{"id":"1481474702623186944","date":"2022-01-13 03:54:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @forwardrate @therobotjames @Buy_The_Dip_ @vixologist @kchoudhu Well, he got there in the end I guess.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481302561592422402","reply_id":"1481474565201186821","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1481474702623186944","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1770920690994086365":{"id":"1770920690994086365","date":"2024-03-21 21:09:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nathanbraun Yes.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KtmHKFbA9BU","hashtags":[],"conv":"1770916075234103409","reply_id":"1770920486735609891","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nathanbraun","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1007,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1770920690994086365","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1708976319839777036":{"id":"1708976319839777036","date":"2023-10-02 22:44:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DavePunFun @wagieeacc https://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1708976154965921930","hashtags":[],"conv":"1708968299340456011","reply_id":"1708973216750800985","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DavePunFun","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2171,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1708976319839777036","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1385446516370788352":{"id":"1385446516370788352","date":"2021-04-23 04:12:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jsoloff @bennpeifert @JayWolberg @StotchLe @d_j_doherty @SinclairEuan Dude, 15hrs of 1-on-1 per week is pretty much maxing out any normal kid. They get way more done in those 15hrs than 2x that number of hours in school.\n\nIt not even a vaguely sustainable model for the world, but it's crazy how inefficient schools are at their \"stated\" purpose.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1385370660877254657","reply_id":"1385439073469272067","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jsoloff","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1385446516370788352","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1604219447501557760":{"id":"1604219447501557760","date":"2022-12-17 20:58:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xNorthCapital @therobotjames @worstcontrarian @be20684347 @egfalken It's on the stack, haven't gotten to it yet.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548989902570012672","reply_id":"1604216052551917569","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xCryptoNorth","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":3419,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1604219447501557760","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1493420152162979843":{"id":"1493420152162979843","date":"2022-02-15 03:01:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@groggo14 @nope_its_lily Twin studies show that basically everything reverts to your genetics as you age. Kinda scary really.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493387393142976512","reply_id":"1493410673908346882","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"groggoose","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493420152162979843","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1545190176904712193":{"id":"1545190176904712193","date":"2022-07-07 23:37:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @KrisAbdelmessih @jp_JellyRoll Because you'll learn faster.\nAnd if it sucks you can quit.\nWhat did you lose?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1544867960254132224","reply_id":"1545188434607759367","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1545190176904712193","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1509179231766388741":{"id":"1509179231766388741","date":"2022-03-30 14:42:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheZvi @AlecStapp Surely it's lack of eyeballs more than anything else? Bridge seems like a very insular (and smallish) world relative to the other big games.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1509150683299209221","reply_id":"1509178694186811397","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheZvi","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1509179231766388741","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1612822191648956419":{"id":"1612822191648956419","date":"2023-01-10 14:42:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@etdebruin The universe doesn't care about you.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1612764313961517057","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":367,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1612822191648956419","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1533301381242580992":{"id":"1533301381242580992","date":"2022-06-05 04:15:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih Same happened when we put our house on the market w/ Redfin and Zillow estimates.\n\nTheir models are HORRENDOUS. You could drive a truck through them if you wanted to.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1533300169915084801","reply_id":"1533300169915084801","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":32,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1533301381242580992","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1788979624783053289":{"id":"1788979624783053289","date":"2024-05-10 17:09:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0x_N8_ 3y tbills is looking like the winner.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788969245222850997","reply_id":"1788979482704978377","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0x_N8_","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1002,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788979624783053289","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1947366709930656113":{"id":"1947366709930656113","date":"2025-07-21 18:42:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@littleVolSwan @eduardogrubler @larpcapitalwc @__paleologo Aaron is great.\n\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Red-Blooded-Risk-Secret-History-Street/dp/1118043863\n\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Poker-Face-Wall-Street/dp/0470127317","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946170467334676587","reply_id":"1947362458223755550","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"littleVolSwan","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":21608,"bookmarks":36,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1947366709930656113","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2036187673128321169":{"id":"2036187673128321169","date":"2026-03-23 21:05:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Academic rediscovers that swmid is a better fair than last. WTF.\n\nhttps://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=6267778","hashtags":[],"conv":"2036187673128321169","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":50,"retweets":2,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":11321,"bookmarks":47,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2036187673128321169","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1635413623542796288":{"id":"1635413623542796288","date":"2023-03-13 22:52:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount I've messed up so many in my life, I done lost count.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1635410134032863232","reply_id":"1635410134032863232","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":926,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1635413623542796288","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1448341960905805830":{"id":"1448341960905805830","date":"2021-10-13 17:36:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5/ But, while this isn't exactly *wrong*, it's close enough to wrong. Reason:\n\nYou're ignoring the process by which news stories are generated!!!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448341956841533442","reply_id":"1448341959903379457","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448341960905805830","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1242953574000164864":{"id":"1242953574000164864","date":"2020-03-25 23:16:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@circulinear @balajis That's not what it looks like from the inside. LOTS of drugs get trials funded, and very few makes it all the way through.\n\nI favor the low-hanging-fruit hypothesis a lot more. Not saying the FDA isn't a problem, but it's hardly a binding constraint.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1242951899130683392","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1242953574000164864","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1384526259531616256":{"id":"1384526259531616256","date":"2021-04-20 15:15:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames Yup. Lots of good trades are of the form \"this dude needs to trade NOW and I'm happy taking their risk for a while\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1384525674317328386","reply_id":"1384525674317328386","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1384526259531616256","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1770953035814146262":{"id":"1770953035814146262","date":"2024-03-21 23:18:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jimi_index @ChrisComoGolf I mean, I love Rory and DJ sticking the finish as much as anyone but...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1770916075234103409","reply_id":"1770952850916479339","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jimi_index","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":102,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1770953035814146262","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1288999840559456257":{"id":"1288999840559456257","date":"2020-07-31 00:48:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz @SamMarksGC The rules of golf are ridiculous, but I can't think of any reasonable adjustment (other than relief from a divot in the fairway) that is less ridiculous.\n\nBryson, though I love what he's doing to golf courses, is annoying as hell.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1288985649580826624","reply_id":"1288994181000691712","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1288999840559456257","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2039698965910737110":{"id":"2039698965910737110","date":"2026-04-02 13:38:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Spawning AI agents is pretty much this...\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l5wvqKcqL7c","hashtags":[],"conv":"2039698965910737110","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3347,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2039698965910737110","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1562863550556545026":{"id":"1562863550556545026","date":"2022-08-25 18:04:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JDcarlu That's next-level!\n\nNo, I mean they have it written into contracts that they can pen test their suppliers. And they dedicate teams to doing it. And the supplier dedicates teams to protecting.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1562857778816774146","reply_id":"1562863235346313217","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JDcarlu","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1562863550556545026","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2038630748727460127":{"id":"2038630748727460127","date":"2026-03-30 14:53:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Kalshi","hashtags":[],"conv":"2038630748727460127","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4597,"bookmarks":0,"media":["2038630748727460127_1.jpg"],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2038630748727460127","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1632139745424998400":{"id":"1632139745424998400","date":"2023-03-04 22:03:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @lightspringfox Webs of mutual self-incrimination is how business gets done in more countries than not.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632086294259179520","reply_id":"1632126856542715904","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":936,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632139745424998400","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1851956321605570725":{"id":"1851956321605570725","date":"2024-10-31 11:56:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Sucks being on Team Literally Anyone Else.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1851956321605570725","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2248,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1851956321605570725","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1879967177585094840":{"id":"1879967177585094840","date":"2025-01-16 19:01:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What fraction of retail traders realize \"volume profile\" is something only retail traders think about?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1879967177585094840","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":1,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":10875,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1879967177585094840","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1423370415351549953":{"id":"1423370415351549953","date":"2021-08-05 19:48:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RockshotJ @dendisuhubdy Agreed.\n\nNo one likes having to download daily static data to know how the exchange *works*.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1423336552340414467","reply_id":"1423370117086339072","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RockshotJ","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1423370415351549953","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1546973521905012736":{"id":"1546973521905012736","date":"2022-07-12 21:43:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xjustblaze @be20684347 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546972566597689344","reply_id":"1546973348336386049","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xjustblaze","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546973521905012736","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1905327023217582140":{"id":"1905327023217582140","date":"2025-03-27 18:32:16","author":"Erik Hoel","handle":"erikphoel","text":"Ghibification is fun! \n\nIt also heralds the semantic apocalypse, wherein art and culture is drained of meaning via AI mimicry.\n\nIt's a mass form of semantic satiation. Like when you repeat a word until there's no meaning left, only the bones of syntax. https://www.theintrinsicperspective.com/p/welcome-to-the-semantic-apocalypse","hashtags":[],"conv":"1905327023217582140","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1905560306115314105","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":282,"retweets":32,"replies":24,"quotes":29,"views":60618,"bookmarks":125,"media":["1905327023217582140_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/erikphoel/status/1905327023217582140"},"1394649094124032003":{"id":"1394649094124032003","date":"2021-05-18 13:40:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vakontis @SinclairEuan @KrisAbdelmessih @bennpeifert @goodalexander 👍It's usually not a great idea to trade out of positions near expiration:\n\n- You're crossing a wide spread in vega terms.\n- There's edge to holding. Pin risk is hard to hedge. Esp on the short side cuz you don't know if you'll get assigned. You're paid to wear the weekend delta.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1394645553850503172","reply_id":"1394645553850503172","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vakontis","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1394649094124032003","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1561530184225828864":{"id":"1561530184225828864","date":"2022-08-22 01:46:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@GestaltU @KrisAbdelmessih As @dwarkesh_sp said in our podcast, he definitely got that vibe out of my book.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1561339331113091072","reply_id":"1561388127125737474","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GestaltU","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1561530184225828864","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1772055640590160152":{"id":"1772055640590160152","date":"2024-03-25 00:19:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Hiring skill issue.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1772055640590160152","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":56,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":11745,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1772055640590160152","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1485087032640630788":{"id":"1485087032640630788","date":"2022-01-23 03:08:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod First joo get the brokers,\nthen joo get the traders,\nthen joo get the power.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1485045294622466056","reply_id":"1485045294622466056","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1485087032640630788_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1485087032640630788","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1133809536710660097":{"id":"1133809536710660097","date":"2019-05-29 18:57:13","author":"Euan Sinclair","handle":"SinclairEuan","text":"isn't that every day?\n\"Game's the same, just got more fierce\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1133809536710660097","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1133813312540426240","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SinclairEuan/status/1133809536710660097"},"1389395155191353344":{"id":"1389395155191353344","date":"2021-05-04 01:43:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@WR_Crypto Thanks, will tune in!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1389387050856579072","reply_id":"1389388161764274178","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"WR_Crypto","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1389395155191353344","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1907142987659825477":{"id":"1907142987659825477","date":"2025-04-01 18:48:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@xmgnr At this point I only use PyTorch as a merge conflict resolution UI. It's so fucking bad, and CLion is even worse.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1907137272819888333","reply_id":"1907137272819888333","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"xmgnr","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":410,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1907142987659825477","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1783272438396330474":{"id":"1783272438396330474","date":"2024-04-24 23:10:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is the approach we took, same age.\n\nIt's easier in Latin languages, to the point where it's kind of obvious it's the only way you should do it.\n\nIt works.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1783272438396330474","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":190,"retweets":6,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":83475,"bookmarks":276,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1783272438396330474","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1990728668839030951":{"id":"1990728668839030951","date":"2025-11-18 10:27:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"That highly profitable trading strategy you read in a book, or blog post, or saw in a Youtube/Tiktok video, or in a course you purchased?\n\nThere's a reason it's in the book, blog post, video or course:\n\nIt doesn't work anymore. It has no edge. If it ever did.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1990728668839030951","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":154,"retweets":13,"replies":16,"quotes":4,"views":34214,"bookmarks":43,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1990728668839030951","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1334731243724783617":{"id":"1334731243724783617","date":"2020-12-04 05:28:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz Kolyma Stories - Varlam Shalamov","hashtags":[],"conv":"1334730362958864384","reply_id":"1334730362958864384","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1334731243724783617","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1166004906911621125":{"id":"1166004906911621125","date":"2019-08-26 15:10:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Great podcast with @Assist2Develop last week!\n\nCheck out what engineers can learn from poker and from trading. #decisionmaking #lawsoftrading\n\nhttps://www.assist2develop.com/blog/v4b4t323/episode-7-how-online-poker-and-investing-helps-you-calculate-risks-and-make-better-decisions","hashtags":["decisionmaking","lawsoftrading"],"conv":"1166004906911621125","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1166004906911621125","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1576989493768249346":{"id":"1576989493768249346","date":"2022-10-03 17:36:09","author":"Matt Levine","handle":"matt_levine","text":"You know I’m ride or die brother — I’d jump on a grande for this newsletter. https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-10-03/everyone-wanted-to-buy-twitter-with-elon","hashtags":[],"conv":"1576989493768249346","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1577138333792145409","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":508,"retweets":30,"replies":19,"quotes":27,"views":0,"bookmarks":35,"media":["1576989493768249346_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/matt_levine/status/1576989493768249346"},"1941005697908723955":{"id":"1941005697908723955","date":"2025-07-04 05:26:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brenorb @vladluxx @andrelorenzob @mr_eagle95 @LobiancoChris @macrocephalopod @therobotjames @KrisAbdelmessih @breakingthemark @jasoncbuck @SinclairEuan @SqueezeMetrics @GestaltU @ReformedTrader @choffstein Es vezes esses gringos ex-Jane Street podem ate responder em portugues. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1940801960447295545","reply_id":"1940972314419778037","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"brenorb","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":284,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1941005697908723955","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1628149837274427397":{"id":"1628149837274427397","date":"2023-02-21 21:49:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Tell me who you are using only VSCode plugin icons.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1628149837274427397","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2844,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1628149837274427397","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1749587233844388056":{"id":"1749587233844388056","date":"2024-01-23 00:17:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@waltuuuhr @Fuquet @brrrcapital1 Visicalc FTW.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1749580779221594239","reply_id":"1749587051844968582","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"waltuuuhr","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":39,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1749587233844388056","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2063877022972018949":{"id":"2063877022972018949","date":"2026-06-08 06:53:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Overhedge and tank the game?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2063877022972018949","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":104,"retweets":1,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":32766,"bookmarks":20,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2063877022972018949","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1324784587713642497":{"id":"1324784587713642497","date":"2020-11-06 18:43:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Noahpinion With Starlink you don't even really need good wired broadband. Just some sky.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1324782249607225344","reply_id":"1324782249607225344","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Noahpinion","likes":10,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1324784587713642497","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1240705515946012672":{"id":"1240705515946012672","date":"2020-03-19 18:23:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vixologist @MarketBlondes @SqueezeMetrics I don't think there's any reason to believe NAV means anything right now. It's a big discount to a non-existent number.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1240644544254873600","reply_id":"1240700970473938944","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vixologist","likes":5,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1240705515946012672","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1562857778816774146":{"id":"1562857778816774146","date":"2022-08-25 17:41:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Latest job ponzi I've discovered:\n\nCompanies penetration-testing their software suppliers.\n\nUp and down the stack, companies are hiring and resourcing teams to penetrate their suppliers, while also having teams to protect against their customers pen testing them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1562857778816774146","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":30,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1562857778816774146","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1654914621399252993":{"id":"1654914621399252993","date":"2023-05-06 18:22:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite Yup. It's a tax on laziness.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1654914245337968642","reply_id":"1654914542386786307","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":556,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1654914621399252993","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1557818884442402816":{"id":"1557818884442402816","date":"2022-08-11 19:58:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Great convo with Jeff recently!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1557818884442402816","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":51,"retweets":4,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":17,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1557818884442402816","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2015129551500673353":{"id":"2015129551500673353","date":"2026-01-24 18:28:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Approvingly quoting someone comparing market cap and annual GDP as if they were alike is, in 2026, fully disqualifying.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2015129551500673353","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":4377,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2015129551500673353","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1626431020353589248":{"id":"1626431020353589248","date":"2023-02-17 03:59:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @Michigandolf Non-hedgers AFAICT.\n\nAnd I'm not going to lose too much sleep over MMs providing and having to hedge deltas. That's what they're paid to do. They're good at it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1626012445432061952","reply_id":"1626422411431399425","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2223,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1626431020353589248","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1731894050188620260":{"id":"1731894050188620260","date":"2023-12-05 04:31:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Can everyone please report this impostor?\n\n@AgustinLebron33","hashtags":[],"conv":"1731894050188620260","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":3918,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1731894050188620260","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1598373326459908097":{"id":"1598373326459908097","date":"2022-12-01 17:47:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase @therobotjames @robertmartin88 Now long 100 shs at $1.00, E[ret]=1%.\n\nCost to trade 1 sh is 1c.\n\nSignal now says E[ret]=2%.\nSo I \"should\" get to long 200. I expect to make 1 more cent per share, BUT doesn't exceed costs. Do nothing.\n\nSignal now says E[ret]=2%. Expect to make 2c more.\nExceeds costs. Buy 200sh.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598359321158553602","reply_id":"1598371409679552549","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598373326459908097","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2078017215496917473":{"id":"2078017215496917473","date":"2026-07-17 07:21:26","author":"Sumuk","handle":"sumukx","text":"RT @sumukx: every single person i know working at the frontier is incredibly talented and hardworking, and they're not wasting compute or capital, and neither is america. some thoughts / opinions on this\n\n1/ new capability is infinitely harder. i'm not saying chinese labs are just mass distilling (although there's some of that), but even a few teacher model calls to 5.6 sol pro for math or fable agent rollouts is OOMs cheaper than hiring human experts, sourcing data, cleaning data, etc. this is why mercor, scale and the other data vendors do so well. paying physics phds to help teach the models is not cheap, and china does indeed get a leg up here. \n\nthis is also why i suspect most labs have the true frontier model internal only. the modus operandi seems to be to assume any model put into the hands of hyperscalers or released via api will be distilled or stolen. what the public sees is ~6 mo behind what's internal, and depending on how the chinese labs are operating, they're either ~1yr behind, or ~1.5yrs behind the true capability of the labs. there's also a fair amount of benchmaxxing from china, as they only have to show a good looking number to be considered great, not get sustained usage to stay alive (like the US labs), or be efficient at inference (which is also an optimization for the labs, more on this later). the modus operandi seems to be to assume any model put into the hands of hyperscalers or released via API will be distilled or stolen, which is 100% justified and right. \n\ntalent and ip bleed is a also real thing. a lab may frequently have to run/burn thousands of tests to figure out the optimal config/architecture for a model. anyone on the training, inference team or one of the hyperscalers who hosts the model can just look at one model implementation/config file and know the truth and understand and replicate. you don't need to know what didn't work, only what did.\n\n2/ data privacy requirements (or lack thereof) in mainland china. assuming reasonably that the six little tigers in china (look it up if you don't know about this) have access to some form of additional ccp data that we do not know about, it is a moderate advantage. the labs are incredibly thirsty for novel data. the internet has mostly exhausted its utility, at least with current techniques, and much like what ilya said, there is only one internet (like fossil fuels!). people are also deploying the models to things never seen before. i.e how is a model supposed to learn how to order food with the doordash cli unless its taught how to behave in this scenario / is superhuman at generalization. US enterprises are also vary of this, and therefore cannot and do not rely on chinese model apis. i don't think this is cope, although i realize many may feel this way\n\n3/ inference efficiency: the modern labs are extremely good at inference. the gb300 is a beast, and even older chips are being used very well to serve the models. api pricing is meant to also recover the cost on training, and inference cost for intelligence continues to fall. all labs have really large sparse moes that are OOMs cheaper than what api pricing reflects.\n\n4/ profit motive: there is an interesting dwarkesh podcast about this. you must stop looking at china from the worldview of they're trying to make money. this is just not true. they're trying to dominate via scale and volume, which is true for the way china works, but not the us. the people of china are incredible, extremely sharp and are not to be underestimated. 996 work culture and strong stem is a great source of talent and data for the labs. american labs must pay around $1m/yr for entry level talent in the bay, which also increases capex. also there's an undisclosed amount of capex coming from the ccp. i do not claim to know what the scale is, but i would suspect there's a fair amount of chips flowing through the gulf, khazakstan etc. (do we seriously believe khazakstan of all places is building $10B worth of datacenters with nvidia gpus all for/by themselves?)\n\n5/ datacenter and build out. xai had to spend a lot of money, time and effort to build out the supercomputer in tennessee. anthropic pays them 10 digits to lease out to serve customers etc because of the lack of supply, electricity, zoning, regulation etc. ccp does not have this issue, and there are claims that they are indeed introducing misinformation into the us that data centers are bad for us. we have to get much much faster about addressing this and dealing with \"muh water use\" kind of statements. it's oneshotting our population, much like nuclear energy did. electricity is the final moat, over chips, models, intelligence, and data. regardless of your timelines, if you believe in rsi, then you know the physical world is the only bottleneck.\n\nchina/the ccp has real, compounding structural edges on data access, deployment freedom, talent cost, speed of physical buildout, and now apparently on shaping the domestic narrative around our datacenters and energy. america is making the best use of it's most powerful resource, capital, to accelerate faster.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2078017215496917473","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2077930775044071588","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":80,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":362,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/sumukx/status/2078017215496917473"},"1292164709555175424":{"id":"1292164709555175424","date":"2020-08-08 18:24:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@rajanraju26 @millerak42 10%/yr outperformance (unlevered) strikes me as outrageously large.\n\nI'm skeptical a real $ trading strategy going forward would achieve even a fifth of that.\n\nOnly one way to find out though... :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1291375187263275014","reply_id":"1292141037335404546","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"rajanraju26","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1292164709555175424","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1583277948131368962":{"id":"1583277948131368962","date":"2022-10-21 02:04:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So in the interests of:\n- making markets better,\n- not killing the golden goose as a profitable trader,\n- so that that you can keep doing good trading for years and years,\n\nthink of fair value.\n\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"1583277941156245504","reply_id":"1583277947028324352","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1583277948131368962","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2079373511273988231":{"id":"2079373511273988231","date":"2026-07-21 01:10:52","author":"nic carter","handle":"nic_carter","text":"havent seen one person from OAI or Ant address Jon's argument here.\n\nthe point is simple: the USG does not owe either of the large labs a business model. if the economics of selling tokens don't work due to distillation/cheap clones/Chinese AI magick, the American enterprise and consumer will be A-OK. they will benefit from hyperdeflation in the cost of digital cognition just like everyone else. the hyperscalers will be fine. it's just OAI and Ant that won't be – in their current forms at least. if they are willing to adapt, they can develop new business models.\n\nso what if the token merchants don't do well? the neoclouds will be fine. the internet companies will be fine. the consumer gets cheaper queries. the enterprise will still incorporate AI.\n\nthe only world in which this isn't fine, is if you hold a quasi-religious belief that we're on the cusp of a kind of AI rapture in which one of the labs Logs On And Wins Forever, namely hits RSI and we enter some kind of sublime post economic society run by GEOTUS Dario. so to accept that Ant's business model might be suboptimal or impaired by China's commoditization is to accept the unacceptable; namely that someone other than the anointed might kick off the runaway feedback loop and that they, instead might log on and win forever.\n\nthis appears to explain the discrepancy in reaction to Deepseek Moment v254 Kimi edition. everyone has bag bias, of course. but leaving that aside, most people think it's pretty much ok if Ant and OAI suffer margin compression due to Chinese distillation / industrial sabotage via open weight models. the American economy is not reliant on those two firms. they could blink out of existence and we would pretty much be ok.  the AI capex supercycle will still produce tokens, closed weight or not. American firms will consume those tokens. OAI and Ant would probably still scratch a living, due to the latent preference of some token consumers to buy domestic and face off against a known entity.\n\nthis is only unacceptable if you think AI is strongly path dependent; that is, if it really matters who the market leader is when AI reaches a breakout level of capability. this is true both in the good case (superintelligence, singularity, etc) and the bad case (this is the essence of safetyism). but if this sounds more like wishcasting than forecasting, you probably don't mind the labs being pressured economically.\n\nnow you can clearly tell which side I'm on. I think AI is a fantastic technology which is hyperdeflating the cost of cognition and will fundamentally reshape society but there are real reasons why it wont diffuse as fast as the AGI people think it well. I would prefer an American firm achieve RSI relative to a Chinese one but I think either outcome would be suboptimal; better that we don't end up with a closed oligopoly composed of Ant/OAI. China by crushing the margins of the labs is doing everyone a favor by eliminating their pricing power and empowering the buyers of AI, namely, everyone. \n\nobjections: \n\n-but you can't celebrate America losing to China! \n- in my opinion this is a minor victory for China but not necessarily an enduring one. USA still has the chip, datacenter, and neocloud advantage, not to mention, it still has the best frontier models. Chinese labs releasing open weight models have no business model of their own. so even if they hurt the US labs, they have nothing to show for it. it's profoundly unlike their successful dumping campaigns with solar panels, batteries, drones, etc where they eventually built big domestic industries. (if China kills American AI with open weight models, we can even the score the moment they try and release a proprietary model). even if open weights win, the USA can still leverage AI extremely well and potentally retain the aggregate compute advantage. yes, the US would be more assured of victory if OAI or Ant won forever, but I don't know if I want to live in that world. \n\n- no one will ever train a model again\n- this is where I think the concern is unwarranted. let's say distillation really is a golden bullet and kills big training runs. that doesn't advantage either China or the US. that's a stalemate. not to mention, the trend seems to be less focusing less on massive pretraining budgets and more on finetuning for specific genres of tasks, thinking machines style. and lastly I find it hard to believe that training runs will stop altogether. the labs can probably develop anti-distillation techniques. you could adopt a whitelist style permission for everyone using your model. different consortia could be put together to share in the cost of training a model, if it is seen as too expensive for an individual firm. \n\n- the AI buildout is path dependent and OAI/Ant are now load bearing  GDP infrastructure\n- it would be a significant setback for investors if they had to cancel their IPOs and suffered big markdowns, and some neoclouds with lab based RPOs would suffer for a while, but everyone would be fine, really. does Microsoft need OAI or Ant? does Meta? does Google? ordinary Americans have ~no exposure to either OAI or Ant. would the world want any less compute if it turns out to be another order of magnitude cheaper? certainly not. as we all know at this point, consumption would go up. I don't think the economy is so dependent on the labs that it couldn't handle their margins compressing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2079373511273988231","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2079457232220000646","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2455,"retweets":289,"replies":154,"quotes":82,"views":865578,"bookmarks":2494,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/nic_carter/status/2079373511273988231"},"1179022349380702208":{"id":"1179022349380702208","date":"2019-10-01 13:16:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Bring your whole self to work\" always ends up *reducing* #diversity.\n\nThe point of boundaries between the professional and personal is precisely so that people with different preferences, opinions and backgrounds can work together.\n\nDon't turn work into a frat party.","hashtags":["diversity"],"conv":"1179022349380702208","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1179022349380702208","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1616462734421553152":{"id":"1616462734421553152","date":"2023-01-20 15:48:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@typedfemale 30k more to go probably.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1616383024912035840","reply_id":"1616383024912035840","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"typedfemale","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2750,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1616462734421553152","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2055619318994337957":{"id":"2055619318994337957","date":"2026-05-16 12:00:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Fascinating that it doesn't seem to occur to these post-economic people to pass on their knowledge and experience. Teach, coach, mentor some bright kids, etc.\n\nThe fact it's seen as low status, when it even gets considered, says a lot about the solipsistic culture they're in.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2055619318994337957","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":305,"retweets":7,"replies":18,"quotes":1,"views":26513,"bookmarks":37,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2055619318994337957","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1246211508184297472":{"id":"1246211508184297472","date":"2020-04-03 23:02:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@rohangrey @NathanTankus Waiting for the \"without large co-pays, obesity is inevitable\" takes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1246206654716280838","reply_id":"1246206654716280838","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"rohangrey","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1246211508184297472","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1778778520853925941":{"id":"1778778520853925941","date":"2024-04-12 13:33:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ClosedFormJest @liquiditygoblin Aggregate pnls daily.\n\nThen calculate mean(daily Pnl) / stdev(daily Pnl).\n\nThen annualize as needed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1778683547483803982","reply_id":"1778773624222076994","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ClosedFormJest","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":548,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1778778520853925941","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1300527740903239680":{"id":"1300527740903239680","date":"2020-08-31 20:15:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @experquisite Old ppl like me enjoy telling their stories tho.\n\n🥱","hashtags":[],"conv":"1300405016470183936","reply_id":"1300527339206574081","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1300527740903239680","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1413994077989654534":{"id":"1413994077989654534","date":"2021-07-10 22:50:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@chompysnack @therobotjames @tommyhegarty97 I would argue that the definition of noise is:\n\n\"The aggregation of signals and flows you haven't understood yet.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1411890038938345472","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1413994077989654534","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1943912486526128154":{"id":"1943912486526128154","date":"2025-07-12 05:57:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cis_female \"Receiving money\" doesn't exactly sound like \"getting your shares converted to cash in a liquidity event as specified in the options agreement you signed\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943908342209851761","reply_id":"1943910705453052075","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"cis_female","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":326,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1943912486526128154","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1536699643190337538":{"id":"1536699643190337538","date":"2022-06-14 13:18:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The crypto world as I wake up today:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536699643190337538","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1536699643190337538_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1536699643190337538","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2072057148037882295":{"id":"2072057148037882295","date":"2026-06-30 20:38:15","author":"TechCrunch","handle":"TechCrunch","text":"The DeepMind trio who built a poker AI, are now making money for quant hedge funds https://techcrunch.com/2026/06/30/the-deepmind-trio-who-built-a-poker-ai-are-now-making-money-for-quant-hedge-funds/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter","hashtags":[],"conv":"2072057148037882295","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2072293502168277261","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":305,"retweets":33,"replies":5,"quotes":5,"views":441112,"bookmarks":358,"media":["2072057148037882295_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TechCrunch/status/2072057148037882295"},"1283862621679005696":{"id":"1283862621679005696","date":"2020-07-16 20:34:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@numerounochef @TheStalwart The short side has an extra feedback mechanism that the long side doesn't have.\n\nWhat you say is true about bilateral contracts (futures, for example), but not equities. In the end, a share is physical thing, and you can run out of that thing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1283856563002843143","reply_id":"1283861842951933952","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"numerounochef","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1283862621679005696","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1479911967187894272":{"id":"1479911967187894272","date":"2022-01-08 20:24:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SoccerMomTrades @longskew @lightspringfox @macrocephalopod This is a good point. Smart people often get \"instiutionalized\" in academic settings.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1479798986231930883","reply_id":"1479911693484445698","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SoccerMomTrades","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1479911967187894272","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1769392503084781782":{"id":"1769392503084781782","date":"2024-03-17 15:57:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Can't help but notice I don't see \"have non-illegal-product market fit\" on the list... 🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1769392503084781782","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4116,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1769392503084781782","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1946248677443473895":{"id":"1946248677443473895","date":"2025-07-18 16:40:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ichiisan Noblesse oblige needs to make a comeback. The whole \"it's a meritocracy, I got here on merit so I don't owe anyone anything\" is not a good trend.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946224942510399921","reply_id":"1946248035010220120","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ichiisan","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":180,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946248677443473895","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1565163208045826048":{"id":"1565163208045826048","date":"2022-09-01 02:22:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @0xDeCeFi True, but this is fairly orthogonal to the undergraduate experience.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1565045174534750208","reply_id":"1565153925258686464","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1565163208045826048","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1634047245330059269":{"id":"1634047245330059269","date":"2023-03-10 04:23:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@gregasmaximus On its way. But I'd suggest having a look at the video presentation my cofounder Craig did at Stanford last year.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633934250620891136","reply_id":"1634038824614645761","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"gregasmaximus","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":79,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1634047245330059269","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1287119195587584001":{"id":"1287119195587584001","date":"2020-07-25 20:15:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What does this have to do with ML? Simple:\n\nMost people who come from AI/ML into trading fail because they're trying to solve 3 and 4 without ever having tried to solve 1 and 2.\n\nYou end up building castles made of sand, which fall into the sea. Eventually. (HT Jimi)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1287117746178646017","reply_id":"1287118821921181696","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":17,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1287119195587584001","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1176198593096478720":{"id":"1176198593096478720","date":"2019-09-23 18:16:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Trying to explain to my 10-year-old why writing things down helps you remember them.\n\nClaim: the way you learn something is by producing. The arrows go:\n- In (from computer to brain)\n-Out (from brain to paper)\n- In (from paper to brain)\n\nIt's the *out* that matters.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1176198593096478720","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1176198593096478720","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1477320195618181121":{"id":"1477320195618181121","date":"2022-01-01 16:45:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"7/  We’re all suckers for a story, a mystery. The best grifters are *really* good at spinning a mystery around themselves. Don’t be fooled!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477320189653893121","reply_id":"1477320194582204416","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477320195618181121","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1505711872388988929":{"id":"1505711872388988929","date":"2022-03-21 01:04:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @TheBeaumont Snuggie FTW.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505707292766920707","reply_id":"1505711110623842311","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1505711872388988929_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505711872388988929","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1455630535452069888":{"id":"1455630535452069888","date":"2021-11-02 20:18:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ryxcommar @bennpeifert @therobotjames 👍","hashtags":[],"conv":"1455542144207257600","reply_id":"1455630076062601221","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ryxcommar","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1455630535452069888","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1471294840398770176":{"id":"1471294840398770176","date":"2021-12-16 01:43:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @experquisite I've *definitely* regretted the path of simplicity/less generality sometimes.\n\nThere's an sweetspot. If you're only making one kind of \"mistake\" and not the other, then you're probably doing things sub-optimally. Just my 2c.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471201207494623233","reply_id":"1471201207494623233","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471294840398770176","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1952418429933379847":{"id":"1952418429933379847","date":"2025-08-04 17:16:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih Just turn some bauxite into aluminum.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1952411665469001748","reply_id":"1952411665469001748","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1266,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1952418429933379847","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1942138834201739530":{"id":"1942138834201739530","date":"2025-07-07 08:29:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"30/ And maybe JS stops being the highest-status internship you can get at Harvard and MIT. And that's the other way great trading firms die. Not with a bang but with a whimper.\n\nOnly time will tell, but I suspect it's going to be an interesting ride one way or the other.\n\n/END 🧵","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942138690672767058","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":250,"retweets":1,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":21237,"bookmarks":34,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942138834201739530","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1648357006451900417":{"id":"1648357006451900417","date":"2023-04-18 16:05:09","author":"Sunil (FTX Creditor Champion)","handle":"sunil_trades","text":"Tribe capital in discussions to bid for FTX and restart the exchange \n\nAnchoring a $250m fund raise with $100m","hashtags":[],"conv":"1648357006451900417","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1648463016000884738","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":88,"retweets":13,"replies":19,"quotes":2,"views":19234,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/sunil_trades/status/1648357006451900417"},"1416605480110026756":{"id":"1416605480110026756","date":"2021-07-18 03:47:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@goodalexander And don't forget to use the word ergodic.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1416591287743025152","reply_id":"1416605322689454080","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1416605480110026756","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2042202455773966706":{"id":"2042202455773966706","date":"2026-04-09 11:26:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Now it's 100% about revenuemaxxing from enterprise customers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2042202105239191680","reply_id":"2042202105239191680","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2707,"bookmarks":1,"media":["2042202455773966706_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2042202455773966706","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1501784212004737028":{"id":"1501784212004737028","date":"2022-03-10 04:57:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @therobotjames @be20684347 @M1tchRosenthal Yeah, and to be fair I've moved a lot in the direction of \"the tail wags the dog more than I used to think\" in the last couple of years.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"1501783987878047744","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501784212004737028","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1407199730564702210":{"id":"1407199730564702210","date":"2021-06-22 04:52:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RadonNikodym2 @therobotjames @choffstein Stop orders suck, I never use them.\n\nThe zeroth order trade to do when you see uninformed flow is to provide liquidity to it.\n\nIf you think you can predict it, then pre-hedging lets you provide more. But the true good side of the trade is the trade-against-uninformed-flow part.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1407164686110543873","reply_id":"1407164686110543873","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RadonNikodym2","likes":5,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1407199730564702210","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1510265369830719491":{"id":"1510265369830719491","date":"2022-04-02 14:38:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano @therobotjames This is a *GREAT* line. If you just came up with it then trademark it or something. It's perfect.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1510156566292443138","reply_id":"1510250324707184643","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1510265369830719491","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1377999095999041538":{"id":"1377999095999041538","date":"2021-04-02 14:59:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"9/\nA: If you're selling a subscription to something, you're not a trader. Or at least, trading isn't the *real* way you're making money.\n\nA: Technical analysis as practiced on #fintwit is worthless.","hashtags":["fintwit"],"conv":"1377999087644012544","reply_id":"1377999095017574400","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1377999095999041538","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1540539702096236544":{"id":"1540539702096236544","date":"2022-06-25 03:37:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ksidiii So the bit I did write which is most relevant, perhaps, is the idea that real +EV strategies are never \"obviously\" awesome.\n\nIf they were, they'd have been competed away.\n\nIt's always \"kinda maybe I think it's good\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1540519315144933378","reply_id":"1540531795309068289","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Ksidiii","likes":40,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1540539702096236544","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1282873005639524353":{"id":"1282873005639524353","date":"2020-07-14 03:02:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jordanwrong1 @SinclairEuan @KrisAbdelmessih Back in the mists of time, a certain Dutch stock went through an interesting corporate action. The company spun off a piece of its business into a new ticker. On the day of the action, new options were going to list in the new piece of the company ex-spinoff, and the old shares.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1282702235583954945","reply_id":"1282867667989389314","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jordanwrong1","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1282873005639524353","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1558507437929271298":{"id":"1558507437929271298","date":"2022-08-13 17:35:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dwarkesh_sp The only kind of addiction I think is mostly neutral to beneficial is caffeine.\n\n(I don't drink coffee TBC)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1558505760421658625","reply_id":"1558506901255688193","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dwarkesh_sp","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1558507437929271298","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1571676481373323265":{"id":"1571676481373323265","date":"2022-09-19 01:44:08","author":"goodalexander","handle":"goodalexander","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @nope_its_lily @bennpeifert @moreproteinbars @therobotjames @AgustinLebron3 @NewRiverInvest @FREAK0NAUT @Chaelelo @OGTaylorB @MinvstrD work life correl is how you blow up","hashtags":[],"conv":"1571636409651580929","reply_id":"1571676105450622976","quote_id":"1571676686231699456","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":19,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/goodalexander/status/1571676481373323265"},"1420754676367040518":{"id":"1420754676367040518","date":"2021-07-29 14:34:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In about an hour I'm going to be doing a Linkedin Live event about tech hiring. If you're hiring for tech people, feel free to drop in.\n\nIt's my first one, a bit of an experiment. We'll see how it goes...\n\nhttps://www.linkedin.com/posts/agustinlebron_hiring-techhiring-recruiting-activity-6825537928199069696-6BLR","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420754676367040518","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1420754676367040518_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420754676367040518","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1606376958199468032":{"id":"1606376958199468032","date":"2022-12-23 19:51:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Personal trainers and sports coaches for adults are just therapists for people whose lives are pretty awesome.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1606376958199468032","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":40,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":7462,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1606376958199468032","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1281245613556817920":{"id":"1281245613556817920","date":"2020-07-09 15:15:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RDGolfMedia @BBGolfBlog Be very careful with the DMSO though. The skin has to be super clean. And don't overuse it, unless you want your skin to lose its waterproofing capability. 😨","hashtags":[],"conv":"1281059512569466881","reply_id":"1281219150443171840","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RDGolfMedia","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1281245613556817920","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1326376478246842371":{"id":"1326376478246842371","date":"2020-11-11 04:09:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alphaarchitect @svrnco @MebFaber The adverse selection here is kind of breathtaking.\n\n\"Show me you have a money tree, and I'll take a quarter of its fruits in exchange for some soil in which to put your tree.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1326235322405904385","reply_id":"1326361521367224331","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alphaarchitect","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1326376478246842371","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1424844000595382272":{"id":"1424844000595382272","date":"2021-08-09 21:24:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily It is complex, in fairness.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1424842884637880322","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1424844000595382272","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2064765269612904711":{"id":"2064765269612904711","date":"2026-06-10 17:42:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Many such cases.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2064765269612904711","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":5300,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2064765269612904711","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1792377741612093721":{"id":"1792377741612093721","date":"2024-05-20 02:12:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Name a sport they didn't ruin.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1792358699497123902","reply_id":"1792358699497123902","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":115,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1792377741612093721","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1480927770637123585":{"id":"1480927770637123585","date":"2022-01-11 15:41:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I'd love to hear counterarguments to this conclusion which accept the above fact about demand aggregation.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1480927766879035405","reply_id":"1480927769051779082","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1480927770637123585","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1466590619824889856":{"id":"1466590619824889856","date":"2021-12-03 02:10:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@option2ghost @brrrzooka @jaksburner @longskew @therobotjames @nearcausality Looks to me like ~45 + 25 + 20 + 10 + 10 + 5 = 115 a side.\n\nSo 230 + 45 for the bar = 275lb.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1466513044352217090","reply_id":"1466590186373009409","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"option2ghost","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1466590619824889856","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1494670832370524162":{"id":"1494670832370524162","date":"2022-02-18 13:51:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MinvstrD @darjohn25 @davidasinclair All I'm saying is that if \"zero diabetes\" is the standard for evaluating whether a plant-based diet is better than some other diet, we've got a ridiculous standard.\n\nTotally agree that the details matter.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494307229624897537","reply_id":"1494670279397851136","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MinvstrD","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494670832370524162","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1910320360269971884":{"id":"1910320360269971884","date":"2025-04-10 13:14:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Needs more Brawndo: The Thirst Mutilator.\nhttps://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/maintaining-acceptable-water-pressure-in-showerheads/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1910320360269971884","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":1633,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1910320360269971884_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1910320360269971884","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1947280401745011055":{"id":"1947280401745011055","date":"2025-07-21 13:00:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@the_P_God Confirmed. You should have seen him in university. Before he failed out of our year, of course.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1947059548457435423","reply_id":"1947059548457435423","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"the_P_God","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1386,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1947280401745011055","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1281616563968241664":{"id":"1281616563968241664","date":"2020-07-10 15:49:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BeingHorizontal Question for people who use these sorts of charts:\n\nWhat info do you get from them? Specifically, starting from a current market price, what is the size of the \"mispricing\" that these charts can give you?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1281596860885430272","reply_id":"1281596860885430272","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BeingHorizontal","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1281616563968241664","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1478866929615998978":{"id":"1478866929615998978","date":"2022-01-05 23:12:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug @lightspringfox @macrocephalopod I remember the fear of leaving $ onshore in Thailand...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1478850699752611849","reply_id":"1478861008462618630","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1478866929615998978","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1835659392110207345":{"id":"1835659392110207345","date":"2024-09-16 12:37:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jimi_index The generalizable point, it seems, is that the extreme tail-heaviness of rewards makes pro sports more option-like. Losing your tour card by a stroke or losing it by 10 makes no difference, but at the upper end the difference between 1st and 5th is huge.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1835409363873280223","reply_id":"1835652731295375860","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jimi_index","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1082,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1835659392110207345","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1954990450978218431":{"id":"1954990450978218431","date":"2025-08-11 19:37:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@emil44hr For what purpose? No one knows what's going to happen in 3 years. Anyone who says they do is either fooling themselves or trying to fool you.\n\nI would read specific tangible analyses in blog posts.\n\nThis was good, recently.\n\nhttps://ethanding.substack.com/p/ai-subscriptions-get-short-squeezed","hashtags":[],"conv":"1954980228175929505","reply_id":"1954987966188900442","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"emil44hr","likes":30,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2418,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1954990450978218431","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1548786309715570688":{"id":"1548786309715570688","date":"2022-07-17 21:46:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Doesn't make it any less disgusting to see they don't care where the money's coming from.\n\nBut it's not exactly a revelation.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548785999257276416","reply_id":"1548785999257276416","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1548786309715570688","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1841478910359245295":{"id":"1841478910359245295","date":"2024-10-02 14:02:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xRyuzaki Reputable pods don't care about strategies without strong evidence they will scale to (absolute bare minimum) $20m+/year profit.\n\nEven that number is more of a sub-PM-level strat, not a full strat.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1841471152843010470","reply_id":"1841471152843010470","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xRyuzaki","likes":54,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":10222,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1841478910359245295","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1597801719681122304":{"id":"1597801719681122304","date":"2022-11-30 03:56:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"➡️Nobody:\n\n➡️Literally nobody:\n\n➡️Every finance salesperson ever:\nHey let me sell you a product that kind of looks like fixed income with an attractive APY except it has horrible tail risks I won't mention except maybe at the bottom of a 40 page prospectus if you're lucky.\n\n🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597801719681122304","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1597961225543254022","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":75,"retweets":4,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597801719681122304","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1844263986784764269":{"id":"1844263986784764269","date":"2024-10-10 06:29:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 Ropes: for when you want your small muscles to fail way before your large ones.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1844205564433400141","reply_id":"1844205564433400141","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":218,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1844263986784764269","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1989214246018712005":{"id":"1989214246018712005","date":"2025-11-14 06:10:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@leveragedbets Excellent addition to the list.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1989149955781693675","reply_id":"1989149955781693675","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"leveragedbets","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1482,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1989214246018712005","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1346174675085193217":{"id":"1346174675085193217","date":"2021-01-04 19:20:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@famadeo I'll do my best.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346174361129070592","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"famadeo","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346174675085193217","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1883823491213939114":{"id":"1883823491213939114","date":"2025-01-27 10:24:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @jhvaranda If it's directional, why not buy the underlying?\n\nIf the option spreads are meaningfully capping risk, 99 times out of 100 that retail trader is trading too big to begin with.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1883515786528190589","reply_id":"1883667067477623178","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":7,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":1316,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1883823491213939114","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1613635627840573440":{"id":"1613635627840573440","date":"2023-01-12 20:34:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Ah reality...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1613635627840573440","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1760,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1613635627840573440_1.png","1613635627840573440_2.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1613635627840573440","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2016071006125703286":{"id":"2016071006125703286","date":"2026-01-27 08:49:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Corporate lawyer, yesterday:\n\n\"LLMs have increased my workload because every client thinks they're a lawyer now.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"2016071006125703286","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4349,"retweets":146,"replies":74,"quotes":41,"views":286798,"bookmarks":187,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2016071006125703286","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1568392258252308481":{"id":"1568392258252308481","date":"2022-09-10 00:13:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"And the classic:\nA-B-c+d = (A-B)-(c-d)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1568391778516234241","reply_id":"1568391778516234241","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1568392258252308481","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1934659008461201694":{"id":"1934659008461201694","date":"2025-06-16 17:07:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AineAmaani People no one has ever heard of, and that's by design. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1934563284453036526","reply_id":"1934646699760177182","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AineAmaani","likes":73,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":4216,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1934659008461201694","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1434963956599193601":{"id":"1434963956599193601","date":"2021-09-06 19:37:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ A thread about the relationship between getting older and learning new things.\n\n🧵👉👉","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434963956599193601","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1546931750315515904","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":136,"retweets":29,"replies":6,"quotes":12,"views":0,"bookmarks":97,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434963956599193601","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1472956450829787138":{"id":"1472956450829787138","date":"2021-12-20 15:45:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Do cold LinkedIn InMails from \"investment advisors\" work? Like ever?\n\nMaybe if you put enough CFA, CAIA, etc letters after your name...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1472956450829787138","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1472956450829787138","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1519011781275836416":{"id":"1519011781275836416","date":"2022-04-26 17:53:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4. Develop norms for how your group operates. Cadences for conversations, conventions on meta-language (i.e. how to signal levels of confidence in ideas, how to ask usefully questions, etc). The goal is to create a safe collective mind where everyone can learn and develop.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1519011776938921985","reply_id":"1519011780306956288","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":28,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1519011781275836416","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1867298784872739216":{"id":"1867298784872739216","date":"2024-12-12 20:01:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Toy models are deliberately simplified idealizations of complex systems. They're completely wrong at describing the actual world, but they're still incredibly useful.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1867298783165305134","reply_id":"1867298783165305134","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":53,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":6340,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1867298784872739216","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1401002848142258179":{"id":"1401002848142258179","date":"2021-06-05 02:28:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @sajidnizami @M1tchRosenthal @EconShiller @SqueezeMetrics @Ksidiii Arguably there are only 3 truly ex-nihilo places ever. Everything else is a remix.\n\n- Princeton Newport.\n- PDT (maybe).\n- RenTech (maybe).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1400892689101565954","reply_id":"1400996585861914624","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1401002848142258179","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1429962674318700564":{"id":"1429962674318700564","date":"2021-08-24 00:24:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Look at it writing code to parse the results of some API call!\"\n\n1. That problem is DEFINITELY in its training set!\n2. If it wasn't, how on Earth could it have solved it?\n\n3/n","hashtags":[],"conv":"1429962672305434658","reply_id":"1429962673333039153","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1429962674318700564","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1559218410361237505":{"id":"1559218410361237505","date":"2022-08-15 16:40:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SilvermanJacob The Innovator's Dilemma isn't *bad* per se but it's probably caused more value destruction than anything else.\n\nEsp when you include the secondary effects: rent profits by consulting firms, perverse incentives for elite university hiring, etc etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1559190298273714179","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1559218410361237505","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2001827509827178993":{"id":"2001827509827178993","date":"2025-12-19 01:30:45","author":"𝐄𝐟𝐟𝐢𝐜𝐢𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐇𝐲𝐩𝐞","handle":"EffMktHype","text":"i see the kwants are out again telling everyone they can't trade successfully and only they can","hashtags":[],"conv":"2001827509827178993","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2001936058670514263","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":461,"retweets":16,"replies":31,"quotes":8,"views":97306,"bookmarks":32,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/EffMktHype/status/2001827509827178993"},"1447248031540125702":{"id":"1447248031540125702","date":"2021-10-10 17:09:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@longskew Can you elaborate?\n\nI've never done pro sports betting but it sounds like you claim there's momentum in line moves instead of mean reversion?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1447245811964841991","reply_id":"1447247411697573897","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"longskew","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1447248031540125702","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1482814667080671234":{"id":"1482814667080671234","date":"2022-01-16 20:39:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AnodyneCode","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482748235496058880","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1482814667080671234_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482814667080671234","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1943285104689779149":{"id":"1943285104689779149","date":"2025-07-10 12:24:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ibuyrugs ✅\n\nAlso capital issue, time issue, knowledge issue, technology issue, order flow issue, the list goes on.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943282404602281989","reply_id":"1943282404602281989","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"stillibr","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":135,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1943285104689779149","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1732132770984624129":{"id":"1732132770984624129","date":"2023-12-05 20:20:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Some thoughts:\n\n- VIX is a very complicated thing that requires very liquid options in the tails. Hard to find level of options liquidity in many single stocks. Though it's improving.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1732132770984624129","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":66,"retweets":6,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":22685,"bookmarks":25,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1732132770984624129","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1746204424312406396":{"id":"1746204424312406396","date":"2024-01-13 16:15:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@miyamototrading Some things do yield more to natural talent than others. \n\nNo amount of grinding will make you a great sprinter or weightlifter if you don't have the genetics.\n\nBut niche activities are often more grind-based and are easier to get good at because they're less competitive.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1746201084543332691","reply_id":"1746202733412044816","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"uunluckygambler","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":573,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1746204424312406396","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2059864982947278906":{"id":"2059864982947278906","date":"2026-05-28 05:10:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"I have a good idea. I'll connect something with huge remote code execution and software supply chain risk to our prod database. And just trust that it will go fine.\"\n\n\"Even better! I'll tell the WHOLE WORLD about it, to make sure we get surgically targeted!\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"2059864982947278906","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":170,"retweets":4,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":25192,"bookmarks":18,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2059864982947278906","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1880361172320555108":{"id":"1880361172320555108","date":"2025-01-17 21:06:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ATabarrok @alz_zyd_ That's why they had to do the SuperBowl ads. They had to achieve retail-flow escape velocity before Alameda ran out of money/credit.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1880356975676158082","reply_id":"1880361001683677650","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":117,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1880361172320555108","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1432526415623180292":{"id":"1432526415623180292","date":"2021-08-31 02:11:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OneBigOh @therobotjames Lots of ways to run it.\n\n1. Everyone takes turns either tightening the best market or trading against one side or other.\n2. I guarantee to trade on an x wide market. What would x have to be for you to be willing to make a market?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1432463541110411265","reply_id":"1432515266550935559","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OneBigOh","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1432526415623180292","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1879985224031039582":{"id":"1879985224031039582","date":"2025-01-16 20:13:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@PrometheusCHT I was an equities MM for ~5 years. The # of times stocks pinned to a strike in the last few minutes of trading before expiration was... very small.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1879967177585094840","reply_id":"1879984647049998733","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"PrometheusCHT","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":560,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1879985224031039582","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1634742334163398656":{"id":"1634742334163398656","date":"2023-03-12 02:25:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein @MJNewfield We have one for precisely that reason.\n\nDefinitely good to go through the process, figure things out. Between that and life insurance, now I don't have to think about it at all.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1634713979644780546","reply_id":"1634715307234189312","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":679,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1634742334163398656","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1920927047242711432":{"id":"1920927047242711432","date":"2025-05-09 19:41:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dwarkesh_sp @_sholtodouglas Very partial to this hypothesis. Sample efficiency is still somehow the least worked-on thing in AI relative to its importance.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1920926138769272849","reply_id":"1920926138769272849","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dwarkesh_sp","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":497,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1920927047242711432","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1283403033527717890":{"id":"1283403033527717890","date":"2020-07-15 14:08:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jaseclarkson @famadeo @SinclairEuan @KrisAbdelmessih I agree with this. When you have lots of datapoints, enough to have high confidence *about distributions*, then frac Kelly makes sense.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1282702235583954945","reply_id":"1282980601579163649","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sindar_hft","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1283403033527717890","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1980974871577276472":{"id":"1980974871577276472","date":"2025-10-22 12:29:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"OpenAI getting savaged for the censorship on their pseudo-browser Atlas, and I'm here for all of it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1980974871577276472","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":45,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4836,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1980974871577276472","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1938507500497637446":{"id":"1938507500497637446","date":"2025-06-27 07:59:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"One upside of working in ML is that the labs building frontier LLMs really care about them being good at ML research.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1938507500497637446","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":4577,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1938507500497637446","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1711739884904587393":{"id":"1711739884904587393","date":"2023-10-10 13:46:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbateman Two days ago.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1711739694038265916","reply_id":"1711739694038265916","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbateman","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":122,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1711739884904587393","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1583886307176042496":{"id":"1583886307176042496","date":"2022-10-22 18:21:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@diamondhand_ape In person? Sure.\n\nOn a Youtube video? It's close.\n\nBit of a lettuce-vs-Truss situation.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1583884400789291008","reply_id":"1583885093273161728","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"diamondhand_ape","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1583886307176042496","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1909933800169021856":{"id":"1909933800169021856","date":"2025-04-09 11:37:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I think I'm just going to turn into an Idiocracy account.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1909933800169021856","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":3068,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1909933800169021856_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1909933800169021856","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2077448246570504529":{"id":"2077448246570504529","date":"2026-07-15 17:40:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I read @slatestarcodex 's latest on Plan A. Originally I wasn't going to write a response because I have a hard time picturing someone at the margin that would be swayed by my arguments.\n\nBut in the spirit of trying to contribute in good faith to the dialogue...","hashtags":[],"conv":"2077448246570504529","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":225,"retweets":35,"replies":9,"quotes":7,"views":107175,"bookmarks":162,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2077448246570504529","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1691593604979163604":{"id":"1691593604979163604","date":"2023-08-15 23:31:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brodybeilfuss @damaria53922528 @BruceFeldmanCFB Did steel get denser in the last 63 years?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1691492259366383616","reply_id":"1691587512894923252","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"brodybeilfuss","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":465,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1691593604979163604","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1616953845976043522":{"id":"1616953845976043522","date":"2023-01-22 00:20:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xfbifemboy @KirkegaardEmil ✅","hashtags":[],"conv":"1616850169173250049","reply_id":"1616926469267259392","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xfbifemboy","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":172,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1616953845976043522","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1413607159808495616":{"id":"1413607159808495616","date":"2021-07-09 21:13:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod It's a good book. Really enjoyed the history lesson.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1413461878316040192","reply_id":"1413461878316040192","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1413607159808495616","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1984939719302562269":{"id":"1984939719302562269","date":"2025-11-02 11:04:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @larpcapitalwc It's fine if you're 16.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1984761463224090787","reply_id":"1984806089205178852","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":488,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1984939719302562269","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1851641263881138616":{"id":"1851641263881138616","date":"2024-10-30 15:04:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Progress in AI:\n- 30 years ago, chess was the final boss.\n- Now it's a toy problem we try out new ideas on.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1851641263881138616","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2575,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1851641263881138616","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1532848871964934144":{"id":"1532848871964934144","date":"2022-06-03 22:17:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brrrzooka @NotQuiteMidlife @GrandTokamak Depends on the job, urgency, and a bunch of other factors.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1484526330305605634","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1532848871964934144","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1323306798682497025":{"id":"1323306798682497025","date":"2020-11-02 16:51:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vixologist @SinclairEuan @darjohn25 Former middle distance runner who hung out with lots of sprinters. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1323030263299936256","reply_id":"1323306386382610434","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vixologist","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1323306798682497025","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1886192184808149383":{"id":"1886192184808149383","date":"2025-02-02 23:17:15","author":"Andrej Karpathy","handle":"karpathy","text":"There's a new kind of coding I call \"vibe coding\", where you fully give in to the vibes, embrace exponentials, and forget that the code even exists. It's possible because the LLMs (e.g. Cursor Composer w Sonnet) are getting too good. Also I just talk to Composer with SuperWhisper so I barely even touch the keyboard. I ask for the dumbest things like \"decrease the padding on the sidebar by half\" because I'm too lazy to find it. I \"Accept All\" always, I don't read the diffs anymore. When I get error messages I just copy paste them in with no comment, usually that fixes it. The code grows beyond my usual comprehension, I'd have to really read through it for a while. Sometimes the LLMs can't fix a bug so I just work around it or ask for random changes until it goes away. It's not too bad for throwaway weekend projects, but still quite amusing. I'm building a project or webapp, but it's not really coding - I just see stuff, say stuff, run stuff, and copy paste stuff, and it mostly works.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1886192184808149383","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1886329741180801375","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":34162,"retweets":3645,"replies":1474,"quotes":2503,"views":7328092,"bookmarks":17835,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/karpathy/status/1886192184808149383"},"1758651614003662998":{"id":"1758651614003662998","date":"2024-02-17 00:36:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NotQuiteMidlife Trading firms all laugh at the idea that people out there look at their 13F filings for information.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1758648026569285754","reply_id":"1758648026569285754","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuiteMidlife","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":225,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1758651614003662998","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1862762657331212300":{"id":"1862762657331212300","date":"2024-11-30 07:36:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"But what about the kid's socialization\" isn't the defense of school you think it is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1862762657331212300","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3607,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1862762657331212300","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1545421892743417856":{"id":"1545421892743417856","date":"2022-07-08 14:57:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I wonder if Norrie actually thinks he can win this...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1545421892743417856","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1545421892743417856","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2039084246598397995":{"id":"2039084246598397995","date":"2026-03-31 20:55:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2026 is turning into every-day-is-a-zero-day.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2039084246598397995","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":39,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":4060,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2039084246598397995","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1477320189653893121":{"id":"1477320189653893121","date":"2022-01-01 16:45:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ Happy New Year! 🎉🍾\n\nLet’s start the year off right by trying to improve #fintwit.\n\nMy humble contribution today is a small thread on how to identify (and then roundly ignore) finance Twitter grifters…\n\n🧵👉👉","hashtags":["fintwit"],"conv":"1477320189653893121","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":168,"retweets":35,"replies":10,"quotes":10,"views":0,"bookmarks":57,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477320189653893121","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1957157413741814042":{"id":"1957157413741814042","date":"2025-08-17 19:07:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ekrii3 What's incredible is that the same thing applies to neural networks. Sorting the matrix by weight is one of those obvious-in-retrospect things, but no one does it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957112367998763503","reply_id":"1957112367998763503","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ekrii3","likes":69,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":5515,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1957157413741814042","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1448341965238530052":{"id":"1448341965238530052","date":"2021-10-13 17:36:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"9/ If everyone agrees something is going to happen, it's no longer news. There aren't any stories about the chances the sun won't come up tomorrow. If it didn't, that would be HUGE news.\n\nBut P(no sun tomorrow) = 0%.\n\nNot news.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448341956841533442","reply_id":"1448341964139626497","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448341965238530052","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1529861414252269568":{"id":"1529861414252269568","date":"2022-05-26 16:25:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FormulaDeltaOne @macrocephalopod Ooh manifold learning, good one.\n\nI fell into that trap once.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529771509639786496","reply_id":"1529860911200092161","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FormulaDeltaOne","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1529861414252269568","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1613947055843733504":{"id":"1613947055843733504","date":"2023-01-13 17:12:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Mass literacy. Vs it being the priest/scribe class.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1613944489902768132","reply_id":"1613945782977138725","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":481,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1613947055843733504","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2044768504440582575":{"id":"2044768504440582575","date":"2026-04-16 13:22:56","author":"Iain Dunning","handle":"iaindunning","text":"Thinking about interns today (iykyk)... theres always a new twist in job market, but I do really feel for current undergrads. Big disruption, and a feeling like you must make optimal moves or something terrible happens (\"permanent underclass\" memes etc). I have no amazing advice, except: to resist pressure tactics (you most likely have more optionality than you realize) and value culture over any minor offer differences.\n\nNow more than ever you want to work at a place that deeply \"gets it\" re: AI - no one knows the perfect way to navigate this, but best to be in a place thats riding the wave as best as anyone can, and ideally has been for much longer than e.g. ChatGPT has been out.\n\nwagmi, i hope!","hashtags":[],"conv":"2044768504440582575","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2044775789841805539","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":290,"retweets":3,"replies":4,"quotes":4,"views":55260,"bookmarks":72,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/iaindunning/status/2044768504440582575"},"1489085849761239040":{"id":"1489085849761239040","date":"2022-02-03 03:58:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin Billionaire with a target on your back for the rest of your life.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1489079760680542210","reply_id":"1489079760680542210","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1489085849761239040","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1666800457602220033":{"id":"1666800457602220033","date":"2023-06-08 13:32:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"21/ Sometimes, tech is a *lot* harder than you think.\n\nStill, I'm glad I'm alive to see it start to happen.\n\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"1666800429236207621","reply_id":"1666800456302051328","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":1692,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1666800457602220033","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1476925470193041410":{"id":"1476925470193041410","date":"2021-12-31 14:37:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"6/ Creating ways to demonstrate that you're getting great execution and custody on your trades as a pension fund, etc, is critical.\n\nRight now a pension fund who wants to buy BTC has no clue where the \"best\" place to do it is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476925464824270848","reply_id":"1476925469182226439","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476925470193041410","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1553742539168960513":{"id":"1553742539168960513","date":"2022-07-31 14:01:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LouStagner @ArccosGolf Good players are members of the ancient mystic society of no-bogeys.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1553741476152107014","reply_id":"1553741476152107014","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"LouStagner","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1553742539168960513","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1478440864452022272":{"id":"1478440864452022272","date":"2022-01-04 18:59:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Yes, more thinking about this please!\n\nIrreversible transactions are a bug, not a feature.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1478440864452022272","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1478440864452022272","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1464971681227632644":{"id":"1464971681227632644","date":"2021-11-28 14:57:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames My biggest threads are always about options minutiae. It makes no sense...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1464838904104689669","reply_id":"1464840348182585345","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1464971681227632644","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1922217541520314643":{"id":"1922217541520314643","date":"2025-05-13 09:09:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"No one:\n\nAbsolutely no one:\n\nThis guy: actually, people need 5x leverage on their retirement accounts.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1922217541520314643","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":702,"retweets":22,"replies":36,"quotes":2,"views":63794,"bookmarks":59,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1922217541520314643","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1431015431532204032":{"id":"1431015431532204032","date":"2021-08-26 22:07:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Mephisto731 @robertmartin88 @sajidnizami @pmontu33 @therobotjames I read the first two chapters of Gatheral and they felt like a revelation.\n\nGrinding through the math gave me lots of intuition for what vol paths can look like and what effect they have on distributions.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1430890469030916103","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1431015431532204032","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2048496690886537587":{"id":"2048496690886537587","date":"2026-04-26 20:17:24","author":"Christina Qi","handle":"christinaqi","text":"Curious question for folks: Are there any decent hedge fund incubators today? We have tons of startup accelerators (and even VC incubators) but I have yet to hear about a good streamlined modern-day HF incubator","hashtags":[],"conv":"2048496690886537587","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2048693908486394079","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":44,"retweets":1,"replies":13,"quotes":8,"views":173514,"bookmarks":34,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/christinaqi/status/2048496690886537587"},"1970210522873373164":{"id":"1970210522873373164","date":"2025-09-22 19:36:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ConcaveMMT @ImAllInNow Perfect storm.\n\nFWIW I love Norway. I just hate that they're squandering the incredible luck they have.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970199577279291716","reply_id":"1970208728667361620","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ConcaveMMT","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":228,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1970210522873373164","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1352103650336804867":{"id":"1352103650336804867","date":"2021-01-21 04:00:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @mpp75214 @JessicaNutt96 I agree. I guess the argument I'm making is that you need more info than a snapshot of a smile to get those dynamics.\n\nBecause they vary greatly by product even for the same smile.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1352069470903181313","reply_id":"1352103034206121985","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1352103650336804867","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1439733148460351492":{"id":"1439733148460351492","date":"2021-09-19 23:28:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @KrisAbdelmessih @bennpeifert @SinclairEuan @volmagorov @std_dev @moreproteinbars The only time I traded options since I retired as an options MM was in the spring of 2020.\n\nIt was fine but there were better places to put capital to work.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1439473977676550149","reply_id":"1439473977676550149","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1439733148460351492","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1851976192624046489":{"id":"1851976192624046489","date":"2024-10-31 13:15:07","author":"Gappy (Giuseppe Paleologo)","handle":"__paleologo","text":"This is, in a way, a practical book about the Kelly criterion. I bought two copies by mistake. If we’re having lunch and you are interested, remind me to bring you the spare copy. \n\nHaghani btw is “the” Haghani. With Larry Hilibrand, the real on-the-ground PM at LTCM.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1851976192624046489","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1851986549149159813","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1021,"retweets":41,"replies":11,"quotes":7,"views":101553,"bookmarks":1284,"media":["1851976192624046489_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/__paleologo/status/1851976192624046489"},"1387587123809718275":{"id":"1387587123809718275","date":"2021-04-29 01:58:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@juliagalef I call it meta-analysis fallacy.\n\nUsually it's exhibited by people who haven't ever done primary research.\n\nIf the information isn't in a paper with good statistical methodology, or ideally in a meta-analysis, the information doesn't exist.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1387564659427917826","reply_id":"1387564659427917826","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"juliagalef","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1387587123809718275","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1470879116937154560":{"id":"1470879116937154560","date":"2021-12-14 22:11:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@rghthndlfthnd @therobotjames @balajis Australia is (it turns out) far too authoritarian for my liking.\n\n25 winters in Canada were a lot to deal with, but it's definitely a consideration...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1470874084300890112","reply_id":"1470877885300973574","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"rghthndlfthnd","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1470879116937154560","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1549230101220405250":{"id":"1549230101220405250","date":"2022-07-19 03:10:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @moreproteinbars @therobotjames @DMTCapital @NewRiverInvest @Bonecondor @InfoRatioed @joshgiersch @NotQuiteMidlife @choffstein @nope_its_lily @bennpeifert @Elfonzerelli @RobSimik Right on, right on!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1549063119715987456","reply_id":"1549177661884231682","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1549230101220405250","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1747398635602731349":{"id":"1747398635602731349","date":"2024-01-16 23:21:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Hint: if it did, would it be getting screamed from the Twitter rooftops?\n\nOr being quietly traded?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1747398635602731349","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":9493,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1747398635602731349","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1660849909719810050":{"id":"1660849909719810050","date":"2023-05-23 03:27:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xfbifemboy @Noahpinion This is pretty clearly correct.\n\n\"Willingness to violate social norms\" is the correlate in question.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1660800159184474112","reply_id":"1660809746616815624","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xfbifemboy","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":197,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1660849909719810050","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1366116468069310464":{"id":"1366116468069310464","date":"2021-02-28 20:02:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@evandjohnston @bayes_baes That's fair.\n\nFeel free to connect on LI. I post weekly on how we work w/ tech companies looking to do tech hiring well.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1366102358950699008","reply_id":"1366115023576211456","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"evandjohnston","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1366116468069310464","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1350300311672418304":{"id":"1350300311672418304","date":"2021-01-16 04:34:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Twitter pet peeve: non-finance people using the word \"arbitrage\" because it sounds sophisticated, but who clearly have no idea what it means.\n\nMost recent one:\n\n\"Scaling the unscalable is always an arbitrage in itself.\"\n\n🙄","hashtags":[],"conv":"1350300311672418304","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":36,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1350300311672418304","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1420142711202451457":{"id":"1420142711202451457","date":"2021-07-27 22:03:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Colin72856945 @JessicaNutt96 @TheSpeculator0 Amen. Trading is the last honest profession, in many ways.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420136013939286019","reply_id":"1420139868655656962","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Colin72856945","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420142711202451457","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1492633531083755520":{"id":"1492633531083755520","date":"2022-02-12 22:55:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@longskew @amtrpa They're pretty sharp too. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1492622868634431488","reply_id":"1492632382016471043","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"longskew","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1492633531083755520","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1628415699608805376":{"id":"1628415699608805376","date":"2023-02-22 15:25:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Given how it seems like *everyone* gets promoted after a few years, Starfleet must be the most top-heavy organization in history.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1628415699608805376","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2438,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1628415699608805376","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1886329741180801375":{"id":"1886329741180801375","date":"2025-02-03 08:23:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is the future. And we'll all have to endure even more shittification of the software we use daily. At least for a while.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1886329741180801375","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":4539,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1886329741180801375","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2024923422867030027":{"id":"2024923422867030027","date":"2026-02-20 19:05:39","author":"METR","handle":"METR_Evals","text":"We estimate that Claude Opus 4.6 has a 50%-time-horizon of around 14.5 hours (95% CI of 6 hrs to 98 hrs) on software tasks. While this is the highest point estimate we’ve reported, this measurement is extremely noisy because our current task suite is nearly saturated.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2024923422867030027","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2027021835032826327","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3993,"retweets":446,"replies":225,"quotes":477,"views":3547909,"bookmarks":1241,"media":["2024923422867030027_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/METR_Evals/status/2024923422867030027"},"1285380849383297024":{"id":"1285380849383297024","date":"2020-07-21 01:07:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@emilyrose2nd I assume Olivia is a trading strat, and NY5/7 are colos?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1285342234469179392","reply_id":"1285342234469179392","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1285380849383297024","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1577008378462629889":{"id":"1577008378462629889","date":"2022-10-03 18:51:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brettharrison The first software company that *really* learns how to correctly tie marginal engineering effort to marginal business revenue at scale is going to win all the $.\n\nAmazon has come closest so far, IMO.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1577007460459892736","reply_id":"1577007462326054912","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BrettHarrison","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1577008378462629889","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1700186552738132467":{"id":"1700186552738132467","date":"2023-09-08 16:37:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2. In that context, my statement is something like\n\n\"If you can get the CitSec internship, and get hired fulltime, great. But you can probably do a TON of other things really really well. So ask yourself: why exactly are you going after those high status internships?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1700186549860839569","reply_id":"1700186551521784314","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":17,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2320,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1700186552738132467","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1637830004775202816":{"id":"1637830004775202816","date":"2023-03-20 14:54:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Turns out I'm in the plurality. Go figure.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1637830004775202816","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2989,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1637830004775202816","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1946147215338082374":{"id":"1946147215338082374","date":"2025-07-18 09:57:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BeforeTheOpen @mansourtarek_ I don't know. Ask the people running prediction markets. Again, paging @mansourtarek_ . Would they even know?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946114875899486383","reply_id":"1946146917940879674","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BeforeTheOpen","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":115,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946147215338082374","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2080218719230238906":{"id":"2080218719230238906","date":"2026-07-23 09:09:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So, \"magic\" basically.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2080218719230238906","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":109,"retweets":2,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":28823,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2080218719230238906","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1702105670869500088":{"id":"1702105670869500088","date":"2023-09-13 23:43:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @bookdepth https://adl.io/essays/degeneracy-code-and-innovation/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1702092383674880328","reply_id":"1702104176379961641","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":1435,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1702105670869500088","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1863574365926728056":{"id":"1863574365926728056","date":"2024-12-02 13:22:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"How much of antitrust law is predicated on the supposition that consumers are dumb, lazy, or both?\n\nSeems like a lot, at least in tech.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1863574365926728056","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1847,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1863574365926728056","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1531761557121552384":{"id":"1531761557121552384","date":"2022-05-31 22:16:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RobSteele3 I sure as hell did.\n\nSomeone should write the age-predictive model off these responses.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1531739423313784832","reply_id":"1531760903842316288","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RobSteele3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1531761557121552384","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1591824898116456449":{"id":"1591824898116456449","date":"2022-11-13 16:06:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@famadeo @jose34730 I definitely do...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1591822327922429952","reply_id":"1591824623314038784","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"famadeo","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1591824898116456449","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1520924567291658240":{"id":"1520924567291658240","date":"2022-05-02 00:34:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase @MinvstrD The theory of price discrimination predicts there should be (at least) two tiers: ads and ad-free.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1520918776564174849","reply_id":"1520924272675459072","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1520924567291658240","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1985069680755675425":{"id":"1985069680755675425","date":"2025-11-02 19:41:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Yuchenj_UW @doodlestein If you think curiosity and agency are learnable traits, you live in a different world than I do.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1985044304516305257","reply_id":"1985046510833430608","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Yuchenj_UW","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":376,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1985069680755675425","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1501729849966149632":{"id":"1501729849966149632","date":"2022-03-10 01:21:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NotQuiteMidlife I don't know. Irrational probably. But I feel like if I fill up right now I'm top-ticking it.\n\nFeels like I'm getting synthetically long at the top if I fill up.\n\nAin't no one saying it's rational...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501727275967934467","reply_id":"1501728069656088576","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuiteMidlife","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501729849966149632","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2018312805800116331":{"id":"2018312805800116331","date":"2026-02-02 13:17:25","author":"Antonio García Martínez (agm.eth)","handle":"antoniogm","text":"RT @antoniogm: \"paying European-level taxes for South African-level public services\" is life in US blue states. \n\nThe ambitious pay it as theta on the optionality of striking it rich(er) in finance or tech. \n\nEveryone seems to realize this...except those states' governments.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2018312805800116331","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2018075332939780561","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":63,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/antoniogm/status/2018312805800116331"},"1777098043365433515":{"id":"1777098043365433515","date":"2024-04-07 22:16:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Deepfake Jennifer Aniston selling dick pills on my wife's Instagram.\n\n🧑‍🍳😗","hashtags":[],"conv":"1777098043365433515","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":3935,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1777098043365433515","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1507927154579087360":{"id":"1507927154579087360","date":"2022-03-27 03:47:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pranavvk Python is the better of a bad situation. As a language and framework for data science R is better, but interop matters.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507898551719792646","reply_id":"1507926664608591873","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pranavvk","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507927154579087360","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1352106902151286784":{"id":"1352106902151286784","date":"2021-01-21 04:13:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @bennpeifert @mpp75214 @JessicaNutt96 The Bergomi ones? They're pretty good yeah.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1352069470903181313","reply_id":"1352106809054658560","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1352106902151286784","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2048367515282055270":{"id":"2048367515282055270","date":"2026-04-26 11:44:07","author":"hughesanalytics","handle":"hughesanalytics","text":"RT @hughesanalytics: I see a new batch of quant and algorithmic trading experts in my feed. They all know how Jane Street works.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2048367515282055270","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2048327004815077818","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":18,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/hughesanalytics/status/2048367515282055270"},"1439302287336214529":{"id":"1439302287336214529","date":"2021-09-18 18:56:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@scottfawcett @YourGolfGuru Same here, I did the same experiement a few months ago. Incredibly revealing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1439235284080762886","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1439302287336214529","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1617546286273822720":{"id":"1617546286273822720","date":"2023-01-23 15:34:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Novak is a cross between Ivan Drago and a boa constrictor.\n\nSuffocating you with Eastern European strength of will.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1617546286273822720","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":4080,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1617546286273822720","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1699481370425450761":{"id":"1699481370425450761","date":"2023-09-06 17:55:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The only reason SW dev is a \"good\" job is because, for that 25 year period, it pays well. That's it.\n\nAnd it pays well because of a (temporary) mismatch between:\n\nSupply (of people willing and able to do this job)\nvs\nDemand (the huge value unlocked by software eating the world).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1699481367359177063","reply_id":"1699481369234268236","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2052,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1699481370425450761","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1435317034053632002":{"id":"1435317034053632002","date":"2021-09-07 19:00:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily Well, the historical data says different.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1435314697914372098","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1435317034053632002","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1486413620724396035":{"id":"1486413620724396035","date":"2022-01-26 18:59:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4/ \"Oh I see. You're missing 2 units of devops.\"\n\nCEO: \"Can I hire a consultant for that?\"\n\n\"Sure why not. (searches Google). Hey this guy has a Complete DevOps Service Package For SaaS Companies. Go hire him for 6 months.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486413617582927874","reply_id":"1486413619663306752","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1486413620724396035","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1523881002136862720":{"id":"1523881002136862720","date":"2022-05-10 04:21:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ALBACapMgmt It does.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1523811893126721536","reply_id":"1523863788000210945","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ALBACapMgmt","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1523881002136862720","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1501383924152340483":{"id":"1501383924152340483","date":"2022-03-09 02:26:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"All meta-knowledge is fundamentally autobiographical.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501383924152340483","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501383924152340483","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1783299244197355850":{"id":"1783299244197355850","date":"2024-04-25 00:57:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@erikphoel @p_nathan @tastysquirrel7 @tracewoodgrains @lsanger Much like highly overparameterized LLMs, this is the first step. But you keep at it and eventually you get grokking/double-descent.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1783145944881762306","reply_id":"1783163491127279805","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"erikphoel","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":44,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1783299244197355850","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1584606034135756800":{"id":"1584606034135756800","date":"2022-10-24 18:01:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase @greyboxtrades Why is this asymmetrically true for shorting?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1583277941156245504","reply_id":"1584605888442007552","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1584606034135756800","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1539631254542307328":{"id":"1539631254542307328","date":"2022-06-22 15:27:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Claim: the degree to which you love Copilot is precisely the degree to which your dev tools (language, environment, etc) suck.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1539631254542307328","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1539631254542307328","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1633934260758540288":{"id":"1633934260758540288","date":"2023-03-09 20:54:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"8/ An exchange has a very simple business model. Even simpler if you forget leverage and borrowing for a moment.\n\nCustomers deposit coins in exchange-controlled wallets. Exchanges let you trade them back and forth with other exchange customers. For a fee.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633934250620891136","reply_id":"1633934259382812672","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3170,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633934260758540288","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1644474535440429057":{"id":"1644474535440429057","date":"2023-04-07 22:57:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 @0xfbifemboy I love how basically all Japanese consumer websites are still stuck in 2003.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1644458303752400896","reply_id":"1644473000371318785","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":154,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1644474535440429057","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1715506319707496906":{"id":"1715506319707496906","date":"2023-10-20 23:12:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@l1quid1ty I'd argue that there's a lot of cultural training that happens organically and implicitly. IMO you can't create a syllabus for everything that matters.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1715378316646256991","reply_id":"1715493956153446558","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"l1quid1ty","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":173,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1715506319707496906","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1758656951435825285":{"id":"1758656951435825285","date":"2024-02-17 00:57:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NotQuiteMidlife @mpp75214 Agreed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1758648026569285754","reply_id":"1758655974234337532","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuiteMidlife","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":142,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1758656951435825285","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1512087295687503884":{"id":"1512087295687503884","date":"2022-04-07 15:17:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@quantfiction @nope_its_lily @OGTaylorB @Mtrl_Scientist @therobotjames @macrocephalopod Yeah, this is what I'd say too. A frequent mistake is to prioritize the tool (Python, etc) over the understanding. You should be able to express your problem clearly enough so that the \"how do I get this tool to do this job\" is a stackoverflowable question.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1512080241426010114","reply_id":"1512084164098502662","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"quantfiction","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1512087295687503884","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1494459675512688640":{"id":"1494459675512688640","date":"2022-02-17 23:52:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This tweet has 3k impressions so far, yet no one has rocked up and actually posted a job.\n\nKind of says it all about broken hiring processes.\n\nOr maybe my audience skews away from people who hire...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493963587261370375","reply_id":"1493963587261370375","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494459675512688640","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1378505875866836993":{"id":"1378505875866836993","date":"2021-04-04 00:33:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames What you care about is E[$] *conditional* on getting filled.\n\n1. The worse your fill ratio, the more you're deviating from the study.\n2. And the more you're getting adverse selected on the fraction you do manage to execute.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1378485585791307780","reply_id":"1378504853815721986","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1378505875866836993","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1501732952299872256":{"id":"1501732952299872256","date":"2022-03-10 01:33:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @therobotjames @M1tchRosenthal Put some Smooth Love Potion on it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"1501732870037344258","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501732952299872256","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1697459211918262594":{"id":"1697459211918262594","date":"2023-09-01 03:59:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Tom Ferguson's games site is as fun as it is frustrating.\n\nhttps://www.math.ucla.edu/~tom/Games/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1697459211918262594","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2729,"bookmarks":17,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1697459211918262594","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1375119224364888066":{"id":"1375119224364888066","date":"2021-03-25 16:15:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2/ Why does poker get played for big $ but chess (mostly) doesn’t?\n\nBecause of variance.\n\nIn chess, if you’re rated 1800 ELO and you’re playing someone rated 2000, you pretty much know exactly your P(win) and P(tie). (It’s 15% and 19%, go check).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1375119223693864961","reply_id":"1375119223693864961","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":20,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1375119224364888066","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1775594492944318939":{"id":"1775594492944318939","date":"2024-04-03 18:41:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Some good stuff in here!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1775594492944318939","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":40,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":12996,"bookmarks":46,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1775594492944318939","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1477036718146473985":{"id":"1477036718146473985","date":"2021-12-31 21:59:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames It's nuts how little I feel I understand about this stuff.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477019314628612097","reply_id":"1477034398826389507","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477036718146473985","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1292252297171329024":{"id":"1292252297171329024","date":"2020-08-09 00:12:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz Have we discussed best Bond theme songs yet? IMHO:\n\n1. A View To A Kill\n2. You Only Live Twice\n3. Casino Royale\n4. Goldfinger\n\nHonorable mention to the song that never was: Radiohead's Spectre. Though Writing's On The Wall is pretty good.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1292252297171329024","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1292252297171329024","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1462860514921353217":{"id":"1462860514921353217","date":"2021-11-22 19:08:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@GolfGrindBlog @scottfawcett 120 is 22nd on tour last year. Only 21 PGATour players average higher, so yeah it's very high.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1462857855913103372","reply_id":"1462858574560911372","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ItsChiefToYou","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1462860514921353217","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2068091543332720698":{"id":"2068091543332720698","date":"2026-06-19 22:00:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The Fermi Paradox strongly constrains the power of ASI.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2068091543332720698","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":67,"retweets":2,"replies":22,"quotes":1,"views":16834,"bookmarks":16,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2068091543332720698","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1865147143574405310":{"id":"1865147143574405310","date":"2024-12-06 21:31:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1865147143574405310","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":55,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":7956,"bookmarks":7,"media":["1865147143574405310_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1865147143574405310","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1346141237426806785":{"id":"1346141237426806785","date":"2021-01-04 17:07:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"https://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346141073488314371","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141237426806785","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346141237426806785","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2048008655157469362":{"id":"2048008655157469362","date":"2026-04-25 11:58:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So like literally every other large manufacturing company since roughly Henry Ford?\n\nDo you think anyone at Toyota understands everything that goes into making a Camry?\n\nBreathtaking solipsism.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2048008655157469362","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":149,"retweets":5,"replies":12,"quotes":2,"views":23142,"bookmarks":19,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2048008655157469362","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1423336553972076547":{"id":"1423336553972076547","date":"2021-08-05 17:34:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3/ Now calculate the lag-1 autocorr of that up/down timeseries.\n\nFor microtick markets, the autocorr will be near 1. All takes are take-throughs because BBO sizes are tiny. It's all stupid level races.\n\nFor bigtick markets, autocorr will be near -1. It's all stupid queue races.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1423336552340414467","reply_id":"1423336553145794561","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1423336553972076547","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1294292761793794049":{"id":"1294292761793794049","date":"2020-08-14 15:20:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dacaldar Yes. I sent in Canadian citizenship apps for my kids last week.\n\nIf there's one thing you learn in finance, it's that it's good to pick up optionality cheaply.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1294291799897280512","reply_id":"1294292487486545922","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dackupasec","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1294292761793794049","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1605069974317387777":{"id":"1605069974317387777","date":"2022-12-20 05:17:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Jumping the Cruise: when an actor stops trying to act and just plays themselves in every movie.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1605069974317387777","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3623,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1605069974317387777","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1202676133918998528":{"id":"1202676133918998528","date":"2019-12-05 19:48:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1202676133918998528","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1202676133918998528","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1370396077501816842":{"id":"1370396077501816842","date":"2021-03-12 15:27:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod Then you see someone pitch you their new quant fund with some backtest/papertrade results and you just laugh (internally).\n\nYou feel like a jerk, because they really do believe their #s. And *they're* trying to be good too! Doing things right, honest, etc.\n\nIt's just *that* hard.","hashtags":["s"],"conv":"1370390303178375170","reply_id":"1370395235541344259","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1370396077501816842","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1917167315650515447":{"id":"1917167315650515447","date":"2025-04-29 10:41:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ByrneHobart Not true. Consider a random process that has a 50% probability of happening within 3 months. Settles to 100 if it ever happens.\n\nAt the beginning of the 3 months, it should trade at 50. But as time evolves and the thing doesn't happen, it should trade progressively lower.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1917013011296096476","reply_id":"1917013011296096476","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ByrneHobart","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":238,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1917167315650515447","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1503490626418974721":{"id":"1503490626418974721","date":"2022-03-14 21:57:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ Trading in two graphs:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503490626418974721","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":435,"retweets":63,"replies":10,"quotes":11,"views":0,"bookmarks":171,"media":["1503490626418974721_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1503490626418974721","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2058265911891759158":{"id":"2058265911891759158","date":"2026-05-23 19:16:48","author":"Sheel Mohnot","handle":"pitdesi","text":"A first for me:\n\nAt a VC dinner last night, they handed out syringes of peptides alongside a “future of food” meal\n\n(It was great!)","hashtags":[],"conv":"2058265911891759158","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2058464219641585812","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":493,"retweets":10,"replies":94,"quotes":55,"views":360440,"bookmarks":216,"media":["2058265911891759158_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/pitdesi/status/2058265911891759158"},"1303744837481504769":{"id":"1303744837481504769","date":"2020-09-09 17:19:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@famadeo @SqueezeMetrics @Mephisto731 @bennpeifert @spotgamma The first moment of a distribution is so boring.\n\nHigher-order moments are where it's at!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1303744573047558149","reply_id":"1303744573047558149","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"famadeo","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1303744837481504769","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1607939399035277312":{"id":"1607939399035277312","date":"2022-12-28 03:20:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@GaperMayfield @therobotjames How the World Became Rich: The Historical Origins of Economic Growth - Koyama\n\nThe Economic Function of Futures Markets - Williams\n\nUn verdor terrible - Labatut\n\nProbabilistic Machine Learning: An Introduction - Murphy","hashtags":[],"conv":"1607843291273515008","reply_id":"1607936872881459201","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GaperMayfield","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":171,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1607939399035277312","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1616488197080649728":{"id":"1616488197080649728","date":"2023-01-20 17:29:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"{fraction of devs who make a living at .NET/Java/React}\n------\n{fraction of devs who talk about .NET/Java/React on Twitter}\n\n=\n\n10? 100? 1000?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1616488197080649728","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":7353,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1616488197080649728","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1226632282041020416":{"id":"1226632282041020416","date":"2020-02-09 22:21:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan Thanks for the review Euan! For my part, I know your book helped me a lot when I was starting in options trading. I still think in vol cones to this day...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1226610271403163648","reply_id":"1226610271403163648","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1226632282041020416","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1896125189420990490":{"id":"1896125189420990490","date":"2025-03-02 09:07:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Crimson Tide (1995)\n\nPretty formulaic, but Denzel and Hackman together worked pretty well.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GB2SDmV9oDs","hashtags":[],"conv":"1896125163172966823","reply_id":"1896125187369873838","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1936,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1896125189420990490_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1896125189420990490","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1854138396630749630":{"id":"1854138396630749630","date":"2024-11-06 12:26:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Prediction markets beat pollsters\" isn't much of a bar to clear.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1854138186387055023","reply_id":"1854138186387055023","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2745,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1854138396630749630","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1897557612775837846":{"id":"1897557612775837846","date":"2025-03-06 07:59:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"We live in a post-self-consistency society.\n\nSmart politicians have learned to weaponize this. The more inconsistent and unpredictable you become, the more immune to you are to attacks.\n\nThis is similar to the public-fraud event horizon.\n\nhttps://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1887767403959877896","hashtags":[],"conv":"1897557608203944439","reply_id":"1897557611228144125","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":27,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2521,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1897557612775837846","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1252301964282523652":{"id":"1252301964282523652","date":"2020-04-20 18:23:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@aaljechin @bennpeifert Fintweet of the day.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1252284123349041154","reply_id":"1252286570989838345","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"aaljechin","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1252301964282523652","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1400966871457820672":{"id":"1400966871457820672","date":"2021-06-05 00:05:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@undercversa @therobotjames @M1tchRosenthal @EconShiller @SqueezeMetrics @Ksidiii @darjohn25 I *love* this idea.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1400892689101565954","reply_id":"1400966658278232067","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"longskew","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1400966871457820672","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1255339935818752001":{"id":"1255339935818752001","date":"2020-04-29 03:35:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz","hashtags":[],"conv":"1255316722472681472","reply_id":"1255316722472681472","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1255339935818752001_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1255339935818752001","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1934606803624411510":{"id":"1934606803624411510","date":"2025-06-16 13:39:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Pps831 That's the claim. But people who have looked into that claim have a lot of very good questions about its veracity.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1934563284453036526","reply_id":"1934592079847469355","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Pps831","likes":138,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":10961,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1934606803624411510","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1410026466818117634":{"id":"1410026466818117634","date":"2021-06-30 00:04:41","author":"Yaron (Ron) Minsky","handle":"yminsky","text":"Can someone explain why copilot is a good idea? My expectation is that it will write plausible looking code that is fairly often wrong, sometimes subtly so.\n\nI guess it's appealing if you're in a painfully verbose language, but it doesn't seem like any way to live.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1410026466818117634","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1410032451024396290","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":334,"retweets":24,"replies":31,"quotes":11,"views":0,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/yminsky/status/1410026466818117634"},"1697241816884744540":{"id":"1697241816884744540","date":"2023-08-31 13:35:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AmirAli7e @picotrades Presumably, but they're rather light on details.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1696973819108536534","reply_id":"1697173618550092280","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RMJ7e","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":41,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1697241816884744540","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1880545986084504015":{"id":"1880545986084504015","date":"2025-01-18 09:21:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Corentin Moutet is so much fun to watch.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1880545986084504015","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1767,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1880545986084504015","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1708949160937095472":{"id":"1708949160937095472","date":"2023-10-02 20:56:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"=SUMPRODUCT(A:A,B:B)/SUMPRODUCT(A:A,A:A)\n\nis AI.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1708949160937095472","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":4768,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1708949160937095472","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1982546946268217764":{"id":"1982546946268217764","date":"2025-10-26 20:36:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This. Table selection is upstream of everything. You'd have to be a moron to sit at a high-stakes table where any rando pro you've never heard of could also sit down.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1982546946268217764","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":148,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":40998,"bookmarks":36,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1982546946268217764","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1744241161345360317":{"id":"1744241161345360317","date":"2024-01-08 06:14:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AnthonyLeeZhang It won't be, sadly. The courts and the opposition will make damn sure he can't enact much of anything.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1744214002123587667","reply_id":"1744214002123587667","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alz_zyd_","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":745,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1744241161345360317","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1598366723236773888":{"id":"1598366723236773888","date":"2022-12-01 17:21:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase @therobotjames @robertmartin88 A simple example: say I start at 0 pos. Now I see a signal that says my ideal pos is +1000 shares and that I'll make $1/share if I magically have that position on.\n\nDoes it cost me more than $1/share to get there? If so don't trade 1000 shares.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598359321158553602","reply_id":"1598366346521083904","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598366723236773888","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1154532313541144577":{"id":"1154532313541144577","date":"2019-07-25 23:22:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OddStats Was half-expecting \"Click the sell button.\" But the honest answer is good too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1154515091389157377","reply_id":"1154530583126503425","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OddStats","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1154532313541144577","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1551746742114082816":{"id":"1551746742114082816","date":"2022-07-26 01:50:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"That said, by now I'm firmly convinced that if FAANG fired the bottom 30% of their devs, they'd probably net GAIN functional capacity.\n\nIf they could identify them, of course. That's easier said than done.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1551745776509825026","reply_id":"1551746480909692928","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1551746742114082816","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1448376773658374145":{"id":"1448376773658374145","date":"2021-10-13 19:55:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AgoHen @HideNotSlide @smithbauy Agreed, but surely that's not a function of brokerage fees.\n\nRather that gets factored into the spread the MM quotes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448334977486180354","reply_id":"1448376366936870922","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgoHen","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448376773658374145","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1950855035388117437":{"id":"1950855035388117437","date":"2025-07-31 09:44:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xFaust12 @moreproteinbars @KrisAbdelmessih @systematicls Lots of responses will say *what* you should look for. That's fine, but the *how* and *where* is much harder and much more important.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1950677663276024101","reply_id":"1950677663276024101","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xFaust12","likes":12,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2272,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1950855035388117437","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1988534032489918925":{"id":"1988534032489918925","date":"2025-11-12 09:07:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4. Emphasis on high-frequency click trading in super-liquid markets like CME futures (ES, NQ, etc).\n\nIn 2025, I'm quite confident in saying you can't teach someone to click trade ES for edge in a few weeks or months. Or ever probably.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1988534015419146302","reply_id":"1988534030808064319","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":72,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":13615,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1988534032489918925","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1976655348863013035":{"id":"1976655348863013035","date":"2025-10-10 14:25:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@optionsly Punished? By whom? Show me one enforcement action on insider trading in a prediction market in 2025.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1976645088433656219","reply_id":"1976651599037837771","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"optionsly","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":272,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1976655348863013035","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1972390054371918323":{"id":"1972390054371918323","date":"2025-09-28 19:56:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"John Searle dead. I wonder if they're going to let that dude out of the Chinese Room.\n\nhttps://dailynous.com/2025/09/28/john-searle-1932-2025/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1972390054371918323","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2554,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1972390054371918323_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1972390054371918323","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1979470881827996153":{"id":"1979470881827996153","date":"2025-10-18 08:53:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"A book is a set of prompts for me to do synthetic data generation.\"\n\n@karpathy says it better than IMO anyone has ever said it.\n\nhttps://www.dwarkesh.com/p/andrej-karpathy","hashtags":[],"conv":"1979470881827996153","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":36,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":4502,"bookmarks":22,"media":["1979470881827996153_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1979470881827996153","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1487223425483501574":{"id":"1487223425483501574","date":"2022-01-29 00:37:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 Zoom.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1487221250275430404","reply_id":"1487222982871240709","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1487223425483501574","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1937769870340260115":{"id":"1937769870340260115","date":"2025-06-25 07:08:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Without them, you *have* to do all the things because you have no choice. Memorize, compute, think, etc.\n\nThink of it like a cognitive economy without any specialization or gains from trade.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1937769867215511886","reply_id":"1937769868788445568","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":690,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1937769870340260115","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1536413266649698304":{"id":"1536413266649698304","date":"2022-06-13 18:20:42","author":"Austerity Sucks 🇩🇰","handle":"austerity_sucks","text":"engineers are wildly overpaid\n\nthe glorious bear market will finally reprice their salaries closer to reality\n\nfight me","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536413266649698304","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1536463438280421376","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":33,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/austerity_sucks/status/1536413266649698304"},"1614360510811754496":{"id":"1614360510811754496","date":"2023-01-14 20:35:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NotQuiteMidlife @nope_its_lily Median v̶o̶t̶e̶r̶ cultural participant theorem.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1614357399267332096","reply_id":"1614358727557005315","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuiteMidlife","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":204,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1614360510811754496","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1429873579475161094":{"id":"1429873579475161094","date":"2021-08-23 18:30:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This.\n\nThere are two kinds of trades:\n1. Keep-the-lights-on trades\n2. The other ones\n\nYou need #1 to be in the game for when #2 shows up. But the skillset needed to execute #2 well is very different.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1429873579475161094","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":43,"retweets":6,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1429873579475161094","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1595800831684648960":{"id":"1595800831684648960","date":"2022-11-24 15:25:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dtrifuno I agree with you. So why are we seeking jobs at places with such bad hiring processes?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595799254437462016","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1595800831684648960","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1778819433663811634":{"id":"1778819433663811634","date":"2024-04-12 16:16:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@quantymacro @liquiditygoblin I wonder how many people who responded to the OP could have done that simple calculation...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1778683547483803982","reply_id":"1778811083454648372","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"quantymacro","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":769,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1778819433663811634","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1546974758192836608":{"id":"1546974758192836608","date":"2022-07-12 21:48:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Cereal_Intern Orderbook. I look at the orders, sizes, places they get placed, canceled. What trades behave like (pick away at top of book vs take-throughs, sizes, etc).\n\nOrders on one instrument and a related one side by side. What leads, what follows.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546931744426758145","reply_id":"1546974162224181248","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Cereal_Intern","likes":7,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546974758192836608","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1792294154074227061":{"id":"1792294154074227061","date":"2024-05-19 20:40:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This isn't wrong, but it's a lot of words to say \"prediction markets don't work because there's not a lot of dumb order flow\".\n\nhttps://worksinprogress.co/issue/why-prediction-markets-arent-popular/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1792294154074227061","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":90,"retweets":2,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":10740,"bookmarks":47,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1792294154074227061","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2004600130176254344":{"id":"2004600130176254344","date":"2025-12-26 17:08:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The Argentine senator greets his friend, takes him to the back porch with magnificent views, and the American can't help it:\n\n\"How can you afford such a spread, as a humble public servant of a poorer country?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"2004600110534328367","reply_id":"2004600127089246478","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":5427,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2004600130176254344","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2078084191464370644":{"id":"2078084191464370644","date":"2026-07-17 11:47:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"SK regulators following the time-honored regulatory tradition of increasing margin requirements AFTER overlevered people lost a bunch.\n\nSomething about horses and barn doors.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2078084191464370644","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3360,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2078084191464370644","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1568232127124353024":{"id":"1568232127124353024","date":"2022-09-09 13:37:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@michaelvix4 To be clear, I'm sure a lot of exchange volumes ARE fakefakefake.\n\nBut that Forbes article is a joke.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1568230718228303872","reply_id":"1568231627121369091","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"michaelvix4","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1568232127124353024","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2079459529813614645":{"id":"2079459529813614645","date":"2026-07-21 06:52:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Can someone explain the world where:\n- China is considering banning exporting the weights and\n- The US is considering banning importing the weights\n?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2079459529813614645","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":40,"retweets":3,"replies":9,"quotes":2,"views":9113,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2079459529813614645","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1558635601800204289":{"id":"1558635601800204289","date":"2022-08-14 02:04:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@worstcontrarian I don't actually know!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1558505760421658625","reply_id":"1558631950360797184","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"worstcontrarian","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1558635601800204289","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1860759615098503369":{"id":"1860759615098503369","date":"2024-11-24 18:57:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@elletwocache @RogerSteeleJr Buy one maybe. Pretty sure Turnberry was decent before he showed up.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1860753512805617699","reply_id":"1860757331186696346","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"elletwocache","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":241,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1860759615098503369","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1477378958052052994":{"id":"1477378958052052994","date":"2022-01-01 20:39:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite It's *such* a common cycle too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477375258982117376","reply_id":"1477376468426448896","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477378958052052994","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1493070873351245825":{"id":"1493070873351245825","date":"2022-02-14 03:53:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@PetLizardBeta @DeebMartoma @amtrpa 👆","hashtags":[],"conv":"1492622868634431488","reply_id":"1492999201252253700","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"return_stacking","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493070873351245825","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2061769628997599532":{"id":"2061769628997599532","date":"2026-06-02 11:19:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Whatever the opposite of information or insight is, that's what that column was.\n\nAll you needed to see was the subject and you knew automatically what \"kowtow to your masters\" opinion was going to appear.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2061769289019822506","reply_id":"2061769289019822506","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3371,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2061769628997599532","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1477327127280177155":{"id":"1477327127280177155","date":"2022-01-01 17:13:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@QuantStratTradR @nope_its_lily No, definitely not.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477320189653893121","reply_id":"1477325827750694914","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuantStratTradR","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477327127280177155","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1574857307216703493":{"id":"1574857307216703493","date":"2022-09-27 20:23:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dacaldar Yes, though it's interesting to think about why the libraries were developed for Python.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1574837059532955648","reply_id":"1574852112005140492","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dackupasec","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1574857307216703493","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1377756349019222016":{"id":"1377756349019222016","date":"2021-04-01 22:54:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal I'm guessing you haven't put \"price action looks bullish\" through the same analysis you've been doing in some of your other threads. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377747301381324804","reply_id":"1377747301381324804","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1377756349019222016","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1583321583359127552":{"id":"1583321583359127552","date":"2022-10-21 04:57:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase There's an optimal set of laws/rules/conventions that maximize the societal value of markets.\n\nThat set is not empty.\n\nFree market absolutism is a dystopian hellscape IMO.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1583277941156245504","reply_id":"1583319710191345664","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1583321583359127552","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1879873664696606920":{"id":"1879873664696606920","date":"2025-01-16 12:49:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"TFW you understand most of the connective words and verbs in a language but almost none of the actual... nouns.\n\nComprehension level: basically zero.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1879873664696606920","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1599,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1879873664696606920","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1224757817166352384":{"id":"1224757817166352384","date":"2020-02-04 18:13:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Thanks for having me at UCSD today. The future is in good hands with these students!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1224757817166352384","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1224757817166352384","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1970539148160454870":{"id":"1970539148160454870","date":"2025-09-23 17:21:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It just never ends.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970539148160454870","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":100,"retweets":3,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":16813,"bookmarks":57,"media":["1970539148160454870_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1970539148160454870","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1952785117497213206":{"id":"1952785117497213206","date":"2025-08-05 17:33:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase @CJHandmer I'm no fan of Saudi Arabia, or Qatar, by any means. But they're at least *trying* something.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1952747071942853008","reply_id":"1952784485214253315","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":232,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1952785117497213206","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1397621423250673665":{"id":"1397621423250673665","date":"2021-05-26 18:31:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"👇","hashtags":[],"conv":"1397621423250673665","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1397621423250673665","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1476778852646981632":{"id":"1476778852646981632","date":"2021-12-31 04:54:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JDcarlu If you think the expected value of TSLA is higher than where you can buy it, then you should buy it. Conversely to sell.\n\nThis is already very very hard to do. Markets are VERY efficient. Not perfect, but very close.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476775525066571778","reply_id":"1476778711454142465","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476778852646981632","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1957827806681002168":{"id":"1957827806681002168","date":"2025-08-19 15:31:38","author":"Ivan Zhao","handle":"ivanhzhao","text":"So for 5 years, “offline” has been the #1 request.\n\nToday, thanks to the perseverance of our engineering team, @NotionHQ finally works offline. Your ideas don’t need Wi‑Fi to exist!\n\nFor Notion community: thank you for your patience while we built this right.\n\nThis is a journey, I want to share what we had to invent to make this real... 1/n","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957827806681002168","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1957914001758658901","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3592,"retweets":213,"replies":172,"quotes":168,"views":799394,"bookmarks":873,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ivanhzhao/status/1957827806681002168"},"1652091089137045509":{"id":"1652091089137045509","date":"2023-04-28 23:23:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The barf bag is a particular highlight of the Western literary canon.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1652091089137045509","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3403,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1652091089137045509_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1652091089137045509","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1822278698479046851":{"id":"1822278698479046851","date":"2024-08-10 14:27:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alz_zyd_ I wonder if duty-based ethics will ever make a comeback in the West. Cuz it's as dead as dead can be right now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1822275840857489850","reply_id":"1822275840857489850","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alz_zyd_","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":177,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1822278698479046851","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1597690466807316480":{"id":"1597690466807316480","date":"2022-11-29 20:34:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I just heard one of AMM's biggest boosters just admit that LPing on Uniswap loses money in expectation (assuming risk-neutral pricing).\n\nhttps://x.com/MaxResnick1/status/1597681965372649472\n\nSo what are we even doing here?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597690466807316480","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":72,"retweets":4,"replies":8,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":18,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597690466807316480","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1918382405330903391":{"id":"1918382405330903391","date":"2025-05-02 19:09:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"AGI before GTA 6.\n\nI wonder if they vibe coded it too much. Or not enough.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1918382405330903391","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":2826,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1918382405330903391","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1507903830909874179":{"id":"1507903830909874179","date":"2022-03-27 02:14:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bugulandia Sometimes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507898551719792646","reply_id":"1507903588412055553","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bugulandia","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507903830909874179","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2004587978107355453":{"id":"2004587978107355453","date":"2025-12-26 16:19:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I'm on a train between Casablanca and Marrakesh for the next couple of hours this marvelous Boxing Day.\n\nAMA.\n\nI've been pretty negative on here recently, though I hope justifiably so.\n\nHow can I be helpful to you?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2004587978107355453","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":127,"retweets":1,"replies":43,"quotes":0,"views":44517,"bookmarks":82,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2004587978107355453","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1494875193231110144":{"id":"1494875193231110144","date":"2022-02-19 03:23:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @0xMallow 2p2 was pretty good there for a while. The mid-stakes NL areas were a great mix of live grinders and online pros.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494734029202984963","reply_id":"1494874792834449414","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494875193231110144","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1795505147004518751":{"id":"1795505147004518751","date":"2024-05-28 17:19:20","author":"Erik Hoel","handle":"erikphoel","text":"Someone asked the base rates of this. Is it harder to *become* a self-made billionaire or *become* someone who makes a living by writing books?\n\nI think very few people aim to be billionaires. It almost always involves starting a company. \n\nWriting might actually be harder.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1795505147004518751","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1795578465082896559","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":8693,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/erikphoel/status/1795505147004518751"},"1827802729164505380":{"id":"1827802729164505380","date":"2024-08-25 20:18:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So can we all please finally move to Signal like we should have done 5 years ago?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1827802729164505380","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4346,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1827802729164505380","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1900211121019077059":{"id":"1900211121019077059","date":"2025-03-13 15:43:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@volatilitynoob It is, as long as them T-54s don't show up like they did in '68.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1900209439849734341","reply_id":"1900209439849734341","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"volatilitynoob","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":71,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1900211121019077059","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1285358433206591488":{"id":"1285358433206591488","date":"2020-07-20 23:38:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vixologist @INVESTMENTSHULK","hashtags":[],"conv":"1285346825503936512","reply_id":"1285357540935598086","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vixologist","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1285358433206591488_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1285358433206591488","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1912965006368399459":{"id":"1912965006368399459","date":"2025-04-17 20:22:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ViperVTOL @DeepDishEnjoyer It's a fake (by the standards of Europe/Canada) graduate degree with some math.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1912956767920664834","reply_id":"1912964821936672820","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ViperVTOL","likes":16,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2448,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1912965006368399459","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1431374770872872960":{"id":"1431374770872872960","date":"2021-08-27 21:55:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ryxcommar @theemilyaccount Price insensitive orders that appear upon reasonably predictable events occurring?\n\n✅ Yes please.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1431369900287840259","reply_id":"1431371834516254729","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ryxcommar","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1431374770872872960","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1647092758971285504":{"id":"1647092758971285504","date":"2023-04-15 04:21:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's not an alien intelligence at all.\n\nIt's a very weird database with a UX that (usefully, correctly) exploits the human tendency to anthropomorphize.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1647090962655744000","reply_id":"1647090963930845184","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":45,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":3405,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1647092758971285504","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1896170616321106102":{"id":"1896170616321106102","date":"2025-03-02 12:07:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@gutsareon I've heard of it. Ok, it's going on the list.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1896125163172966823","reply_id":"1896154593245151658","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"gutsareon","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":62,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1896170616321106102","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1440687445851316235":{"id":"1440687445851316235","date":"2021-09-22 14:40:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@gregasmaximus This is a great point.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1440514473710612481","reply_id":"1440686569795436551","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"gregasmaximus","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1440687445851316235","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1552818252098637824":{"id":"1552818252098637824","date":"2022-07-29 00:48:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@danrobinson @_Dave__White_ @NoahZinsmeister Prices != Gaussian diffusions tho.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1552817040448114694","reply_id":"1552817338805678080","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"danrobinson","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1552818252098637824","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1502673903478460417":{"id":"1502673903478460417","date":"2022-03-12 15:52:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@quantfiction @therobotjames I smile every time I see this table.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1502558938180427776","reply_id":"1502673395158290443","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"quantfiction","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1502673903478460417","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1632159965854203905":{"id":"1632159965854203905","date":"2023-03-04 23:23:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@july2022ffsacc The manner in which they select them is by forcing kids to go through brutal zero-sum largely-signaling competitions to get in.\n\nI'd kinda be fine with it if the admissions process were vaguely sensible instead of dehumanizing.\n\nhttps://www.pbs.org/independentlens/documentaries/try-harder/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632157627978514433","reply_id":"1632159486113730560","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"july2022ffsacc","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2049,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632159965854203905","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1550304632999530496":{"id":"1550304632999530496","date":"2022-07-22 02:20:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Ah America. Don't ever change...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1550304632999530496","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1550304632999530496_1.jpg","1550304632999530496_2.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1550304632999530496","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1914257947376439556":{"id":"1914257947376439556","date":"2025-04-21 10:00:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CJHandmer Why? Conditioning on \"high-g-species got to the same level of technological development as low-g-species\" therefore they had to work harder at it and are hence smarter/tougher?\n\nIn fairness, it did work for Superman.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1914145500393296230","reply_id":"1914145500393296230","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"CJHandmer","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":245,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1914257947376439556","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1397641125914025985":{"id":"1397641125914025985","date":"2021-05-26 19:49:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal You're probably going to get lots of mathematical answers so I'll focus on a non-math one:\n\nWhat's your prior for how long a mispricing should remain so? What beliefs do you have about \"I found a trade and did it. When do I expect things to get back to fair?\"\n\nThat's your mark.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1397636823241920516","reply_id":"1397639208722894853","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":8,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1397641125914025985","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1788925176572497963":{"id":"1788925176572497963","date":"2024-05-10 13:32:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@rubanlah IMO the IRS is going to kill it sooner or later.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788923697908339031","reply_id":"1788924951904555029","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"rubanlah","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":4407,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788925176572497963","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1240776966489247745":{"id":"1240776966489247745","date":"2020-03-19 23:07:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OneBigOh @vgr @free_shilling As a species we invented money and it's awesome. We haven't solved the smaller second-order problems. They (macroeconomics) seem like enormous problems but they're definitely smaller than the problem solved by the invention of money.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1240509103689981952","reply_id":"1240775029811445762","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OneBigOh","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1240776966489247745","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1677730340524404737":{"id":"1677730340524404737","date":"2023-07-08 17:24:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@W98AB @Denniska_1 @therobotjames 🙏🙏🙏\n\nRebonato is great though if you're one of the 20 people on Earth that still do OTC derivatives structuring.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1677593644466069504","reply_id":"1677727025291841536","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"W98AB","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":166,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1677730340524404737","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1755965287357399208":{"id":"1755965287357399208","date":"2024-02-09 14:42:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Pretty sure I'm going to enjoy the next few weeks of \"Mr. Putin, why did you invade Ukraine?\" memes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1755965287357399208","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2204,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1755965287357399208","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1503187450780262407":{"id":"1503187450780262407","date":"2022-03-14 01:53:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @3tardCap @lightspringfox","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503182854641049608","reply_id":"1503186235170377738","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1503187450780262407_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1503187450780262407","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1544436206997360640":{"id":"1544436206997360640","date":"2022-07-05 21:41:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames At first glance it seems like \"create a model for financial markets that has lots of subtle non-linear relationships, then show that linear models do a poor job of approximating them\".\n\nNot sure though. It's 125pg long.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1544425285268844544","reply_id":"1544432975550373888","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1544436206997360640","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1256643748169048065":{"id":"1256643748169048065","date":"2020-05-02 17:56:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @darjohn25 Yeah, it's about creating events that select for the people you want. Career fairs are a complete waste of time for everyone.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1256625536287137792","reply_id":"1256643140536209412","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1256643748169048065","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1633934259382812672":{"id":"1633934259382812672","date":"2023-03-09 20:54:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"7/ So we set to work building what we call a Zero-Knowledge Proof Of Solvency, with the first customers being crypto exchanges.\n\nSo, how do crypto exchanges work exactly?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633934250620891136","reply_id":"1633934258208407552","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":24,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3191,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633934259382812672","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1460055721521795082":{"id":"1460055721521795082","date":"2021-11-15 01:23:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ryxcommar The Flynn effect is a real thing...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1460050980821561346","reply_id":"1460055522464440326","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ryxcommar","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1460055721521795082","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1942138295711838685":{"id":"1942138295711838685","date":"2025-07-07 08:27:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"9/ So it's utterly shocking to read the SEBI accusation. It's actually quite readable, and I encourage you to do so. I'm no securities lawyer, let alone an Indian securities judge, but the stated facts are very damning.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942138293740621958","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":161,"retweets":5,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":27006,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942138295711838685","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1470983688292687872":{"id":"1470983688292687872","date":"2021-12-15 05:06:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In terms of DeX linguistic innovations, \"impermanent loss\" has got to be the stupidest by a country mile.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1470983688292687872","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":33,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1470983688292687872","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1699481371604050309":{"id":"1699481371604050309","date":"2023-09-06 17:55:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Well, capitalism is really good at fixing mismatches like this.\n\n- VC-land launched a thousand SaaS companies, competing down their profitability.\n- No-code, code schools, AI code gen, WFH, offshoring, etc are addressing the supply side.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1699481367359177063","reply_id":"1699481370425450761","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2976,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1699481371604050309","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1700186559050559986":{"id":"1700186559050559986","date":"2023-09-08 16:37:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Hopefully this clarifies for @macrocephalopod and @AlexanderGerko, both of whom I respect immensely.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1700186549860839569","reply_id":"1700186557779755335","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2638,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1700186559050559986","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1289572337218510848":{"id":"1289572337218510848","date":"2020-08-01 14:42:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If we pay attention to arguments from people who have very little to gain (ideally nothing) by making them, we can cut out almost all the noise and keep almost all the signal.\n\nAnd coming full circle, increasing SNR is basically all that traders do, when you think about it.\n\nFIN","hashtags":[],"conv":"1289572334110568448","reply_id":"1289572336446799872","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1289572337218510848","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1796662692994027872":{"id":"1796662692994027872","date":"2024-05-31 21:59:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeepDishEnjoyer Economic value or social/positional value? :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1796642119517671913","reply_id":"1796661501077397613","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeepDishEnjoyer","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":268,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1796662692994027872","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2071629280576974873":{"id":"2071629280576974873","date":"2026-06-29 16:18:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"I'll ground my answer in...\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"2071629280576974873","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4315,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2071629280576974873","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1947276758111117446":{"id":"1947276758111117446","date":"2025-07-21 12:45:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sdav1986 \"I've watched The Big Short but I guess you haven't\" vibes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1947268555826700453","reply_id":"1947268555826700453","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sdav1986","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":952,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1947276758111117446","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1179553333058519041":{"id":"1179553333058519041","date":"2019-10-03 00:26:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm Not to blow smoke up your a**, but Chaos Monkeys is obv on that list.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1179552463348621313","reply_id":"1179552463348621313","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1179553333058519041","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1485636285037305859":{"id":"1485636285037305859","date":"2022-01-24 15:31:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 https://help.1inch.io/en/articles/5583703-what-is-a-swap-surplus-and-where-does-it-end-up-when-my-swap-is-completed","hashtags":[],"conv":"1485634110718500865","reply_id":"1485635135546736645","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1485636285037305859","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1984007702109155779":{"id":"1984007702109155779","date":"2025-10-30 21:21:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@F_Vaggi I did. I thought it could mature over time. Our contribution to the space was to build ZK proofs so that exchanges could prove they were solvent and avoid another FTX.\n\nTurns out the crypto world didn't and doesn't give a shit about solvency.\n\nPretty disillusioning.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1983921851538485523","reply_id":"1984006962804355510","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"F_Vaggi","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":256,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1984007702109155779","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2053938906689884279":{"id":"2053938906689884279","date":"2026-05-11 20:42:50","author":"Thinking Machines","handle":"thinkymachines","text":"The model works in more real situations too, like when Mianna is trying to say words she's only read before.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2053938892152435174","reply_id":"2053938905121227182","quote_id":"2054102835353002107","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"thinkymachines","likes":495,"retweets":17,"replies":22,"quotes":33,"views":264867,"bookmarks":100,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/thinkymachines/status/2053938906689884279"},"1534610974547750912":{"id":"1534610974547750912","date":"2022-06-08 18:59:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"My kid thinks I'm crazy. Maybe I am.\n\nWhat % of US adults know how to factor 3x^2-17x+10?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1534610974547750912","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":15,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1534610974547750912","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1535412347790954496":{"id":"1535412347790954496","date":"2022-06-11 00:03:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano @Ksidiii Yeah. This was a screencapture I made at the time. During that drop I was *sure* it was over. Then the PPT took over.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1535400249648455681","reply_id":"1535410849392861186","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1535412347790954496_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1535412347790954496","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1883923027748090098":{"id":"1883923027748090098","date":"2025-01-27 17:00:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 But where are you on Pashtun vs Hazara doctrinal differences?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1883919714415698335","reply_id":"1883922597123178512","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":159,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1883923027748090098","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1459596209409052674":{"id":"1459596209409052674","date":"2021-11-13 18:57:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BlacklionCTA @macrocephalopod @salr_nyc Out ta get me, IIRC.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1459592542022864896","reply_id":"1459595653605208072","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BlacklionCTA","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1459596209409052674","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1565054741335314432":{"id":"1565054741335314432","date":"2022-08-31 19:11:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@svrnco Vanity press is as old as... {looks up Gutenberg}.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1565045174534750208","reply_id":"1565048146090229760","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"svrnco","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1565054741335314432_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1565054741335314432","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2042146158147977218":{"id":"2042146158147977218","date":"2026-04-09 07:42:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Wake me up when they can sign with 1A1zP1eP5QGefi2DMPTfTL5SLmv7DivfNa private key.\n\nI'll even settle for:\n- 12cbQLTFMXRnSzktFkuoG3eHoMeFtpTu3S\n- 12c6DSiU4Rq3P4ZxziKxzrL5LmMBrzjrJX\n- 1HLoD9E4SDFFPDiYfNYnkBLQ85Y51J3Zb1\n- 1FvzCLoTPGANNjWoUo6jUGuAG3wg1w4YjR\n\nEverything else is noise.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2042146158147977218","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":48,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":8739,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2042146158147977218","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1749580779221594239":{"id":"1749580779221594239","date":"2024-01-22 23:52:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Shill me your best Pandas replacements in a strong, statically typed environment.\n\nYes, that means Python is out. So is R.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1749580779221594239","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1751330160706486520","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":76,"retweets":1,"replies":40,"quotes":2,"views":47714,"bookmarks":52,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1749580779221594239","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1434963957555494912":{"id":"1434963957555494912","date":"2021-09-06 19:37:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2/ It’s a weird relationship. One way of looking at it is through the lens of the explore-exploit tradeoff.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434963956599193601","reply_id":"1434963956599193601","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434963957555494912","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1158754035156914176":{"id":"1158754035156914176","date":"2019-08-06 14:57:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Thrilled to be invited to speak at Qualcomm last month. Check out the highlights! #lawsoftrading #qualcomm #decisionmaking\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Laws-Trading-Traders-Decision-Making-Everyone/dp/1119574218","hashtags":["lawsoftrading","qualcomm","decisionmaking"],"conv":"1158754035156914176","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1158754035156914176","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1676559471273705473":{"id":"1676559471273705473","date":"2023-07-05 11:51:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@panscan27 Just need to live long enough through the cycle to be cool again.\n\nLike Biblical names (Eli, Isaiah, etc).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1676557728188178432","reply_id":"1676559096269492225","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"panscan27","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":957,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1676559471273705473","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1304797717407830016":{"id":"1304797717407830016","date":"2020-09-12 15:03:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OneBigOh @VitruviusCurve That is the intention. It's a numbers game.\n\nIf you need 1k applicants to find one hire, it's not practical to do it manually.\n\nThe economics are very different if you're a small shop vs a larger one. Bigger places need less alpha-seeking creativity, more (smart) button pushing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1304771065537847305","reply_id":"1304785565754306560","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OneBigOh","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1304797717407830016","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1520930398720516096":{"id":"1520930398720516096","date":"2022-05-02 00:57:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Same. I can't sit for long stretches on any other chair anymore. For me at least, Aeron is the office chair perfected.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1520930398720516096","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1520930398720516096","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1389610868166467585":{"id":"1389610868166467585","date":"2021-05-04 16:00:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"CME BTC futures are 60% long margin and 200% short margin?\n\nWTF?!?!?! How can they even call this a future?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1389610868166467585","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":82,"retweets":0,"replies":16,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1389610868166467585","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1274837541263339521":{"id":"1274837541263339521","date":"2020-06-21 22:52:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan Don't forget \"fractionally integrated\" from our friend MLdP. \n\nAKA \"simple sums of multiple EWMAs\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1274827168653205504","reply_id":"1274828819824816129","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1274837541263339521","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1734949879213121957":{"id":"1734949879213121957","date":"2023-12-13 14:54:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 All the other stuff is noise to placate the world, their faculty, or their staff.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1734659396557226141","reply_id":"1734949497233645932","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":198,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1734949879213121957","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1343955425666818049":{"id":"1343955425666818049","date":"2020-12-29 16:21:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Does anyone else find it a bit annoying that Bloomberg's Android app icon has the center of the B slightly above the center of the circle?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1343955425666818049","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1343955425666818049","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2049029565792567505":{"id":"2049029565792567505","date":"2026-04-28 07:34:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Obvious thing that needs saying. It's a very bad interviewer who:\n\n- Makes a candidate feel dumb\n- Adds stress to an already stressful situation\n- Acts like an entitled gatekeeper\n\nWhy? As always, it's the same two things about acting honorably in any situation:","hashtags":[],"conv":"2049029565792567505","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":384,"retweets":5,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":36598,"bookmarks":92,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2049029565792567505","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1650961982562922522":{"id":"1650961982562922522","date":"2023-04-25 20:36:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I think I have a fairly good model of that average Costco member.\n\nAnd I'm pretty darn sure I value my time more than they do.\n\nChevron it is!\n\nOftentimes, the most valuable thing to model is other people.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1650961979190702087","reply_id":"1650961981346545664","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":55,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":6234,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1650961982562922522","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2070921594503868481":{"id":"2070921594503868481","date":"2026-06-27 17:25:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Imagine what would have happened if the degrowthers had been around when indoor plumbing was getting retrofitted to old and beautiful buildings.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2070921594503868481","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":61,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":6290,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2070921594503868481","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1640204718634061826":{"id":"1640204718634061826","date":"2023-03-27 04:10:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Computers used to be human beings.\n\nTypist used to be a job.\n\nThere's a *lot* more computing and typing than there used to be, but the dedicated jobs are gone.\n\nPretty interesting seeing programmers going through the stages of grief lately as they realize they're next...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1640204718634061826","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":58,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":11280,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1640204718634061826","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1509623825519951881":{"id":"1509623825519951881","date":"2022-03-31 20:09:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Alpha leak\" of the day:\n\nUnless you have a very good reason not to, you should only trade equities in the closing auctions.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1509623825519951881","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":174,"retweets":8,"replies":10,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":61,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1509623825519951881","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1720438176031101090":{"id":"1720438176031101090","date":"2023-11-03 13:50:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano Gotta figure right?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1720437556469477428","reply_id":"1720437705002099041","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":916,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1720438176031101090","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2064734552912810305":{"id":"2064734552912810305","date":"2026-06-10 15:40:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Anthropic: We can take all of the Internet+books+etc to train on, and it's not a copyright violation because we build a *model* on top of it.\n\nAnthropic, also: We can arbitrarily restrict model use because it contains dangerous information we got from... the Internet+books+etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2064734552912810305","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":659,"retweets":39,"replies":17,"quotes":2,"views":22348,"bookmarks":42,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2064734552912810305","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1443360623715176454":{"id":"1443360623715176454","date":"2021-09-29 23:42:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443358436658274309","reply_id":"1443358436658274309","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":17,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1443360623715176454_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1443360623715176454","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1699252258977030653":{"id":"1699252258977030653","date":"2023-09-06 02:44:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jagmavi @therobotjames Inclusive or.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1699165497282187385","reply_id":"1699251800967393416","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jagmavi","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":28,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1699252258977030653","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1837555423748014442":{"id":"1837555423748014442","date":"2024-09-21 18:12:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bobhopewtf Haha. You never know...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1837529061276442989","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1239,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1837555423748014442","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1719469354650099942":{"id":"1719469354650099942","date":"2023-10-31 21:40:15","author":"Martin Shkreli (e/acc)","handle":"wagieeacc","text":"real talk my G i almost went to prison for money laundering but i beat the rap, so axe me how i know about ML, not machine learning.\n\nwhen $JPM buys 20,000 @HillaryClinton \"books\" + @simonschuster writes her advance, that's $ for political favors. the books end up in a landfill","hashtags":[],"conv":"1719469354650099942","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1719485152798163215","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":375,"retweets":24,"replies":24,"quotes":7,"views":107367,"bookmarks":21,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/wagieeacc/status/1719469354650099942"},"1962091174405009706":{"id":"1962091174405009706","date":"2025-08-31 09:52:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The brightest dividing line between rich and non-rich is ICAO codes vs IATA codes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1962091174405009706","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":34,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":7276,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1962091174405009706","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1765611924879024401":{"id":"1765611924879024401","date":"2024-03-07 05:34:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Reading Power Failure and this got me thinking.\n\nIf GE was such a capital-intensive business (as described extensively in the previous chapter), what business did it have paying out 2/3rd (!) of its profit as dividends?\n\n@ByrneHobart you probably have some thoughts...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1765611924879024401","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2713,"bookmarks":8,"media":["1765611924879024401_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1765611924879024401","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1709780233887633523":{"id":"1709780233887633523","date":"2023-10-05 03:59:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sukhoiConvexity @experquisite That's the last thing that's going to happen.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709701586472067232","reply_id":"1709779416622969239","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sukhoiConvexity","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":261,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1709780233887633523","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1483508403498414086":{"id":"1483508403498414086","date":"2022-01-18 18:35:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SpencerBosma Shhhh!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1483495143340609536","reply_id":"1483506145507512321","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SpencerBosma","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1483508403498414086","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1699481369234268236":{"id":"1699481369234268236","date":"2023-09-06 17:55:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"- It doesn't require good social skills. All other high-status jobs do, and always have.\n- It amount simply to \"being good at making a kind of machine (computers) to things\".\n\nBy way of analogy: are tool and die makers high status? Truck drivers?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1699481367359177063","reply_id":"1699481367359177063","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":2,"views":3163,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1699481369234268236","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2015107810413916391":{"id":"2015107810413916391","date":"2026-01-24 17:01:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Give me a tight enough feedback loop, and my AI will move the world.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2015107810413916391","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":30,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2590,"bookmarks":3,"media":["2015107810413916391_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2015107810413916391","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1548526259855970309":{"id":"1548526259855970309","date":"2022-07-17 04:33:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DavidTaggart Which one?\n\nhttps://www.bookingentertainment.com/artists/adult/booking-tracy-chapman.php\n\nhttps://www.bookingentertainment.com/artists/classic_rock/fiona-apple.php","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548524640032591873","reply_id":"1548524952655081474","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DavidTaggart","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1548526259855970309","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1161656472209461249":{"id":"1161656472209461249","date":"2019-08-14 15:11:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Suhail 20 years from now the majority of our music will be machine-generated and hyper-personalized to our tastes. Pandora already has most of the training data.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1161655560040620032","reply_id":"1161655560040620032","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Suhail","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1161656472209461249","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1265653458557796352":{"id":"1265653458557796352","date":"2020-05-27 14:37:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Loving today's crypto-world immune response to the $GS report on $BTC.\n\nMust... destroy... infection...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1265653458557796352","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1265653458557796352","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1328128991518101504":{"id":"1328128991518101504","date":"2020-11-16 00:13:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih Non-linear payoffs are what make this game fun.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1328113988819795968","reply_id":"1328113990560403457","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1328128991518101504","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2031652943712207332":{"id":"2031652943712207332","date":"2026-03-11 08:46:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"YC just keeps doing God's work.\n\nSuch brilliant new ideas, such quality execution.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2031652943712207332","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":58,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":9960,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2031652943712207332","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1902790212456980514":{"id":"1902790212456980514","date":"2025-03-20 18:31:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alz_zyd_ Expensive YouTube builder channel basically.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1902772585277821324","reply_id":"1902772585277821324","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alz_zyd_","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":133,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1902790212456980514","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1659034156893089802":{"id":"1659034156893089802","date":"2023-05-18 03:12:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@StimmyUdoka We got the best AD game we're going to see in this series, and Lakers still lost.\n\nMalone will figure out the Hachimura-on-Jokic tactic by game 2.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1659031645247385600","reply_id":"1659033837463273478","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"StimmyUdoka","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":260,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1659034156893089802","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1758667786728165440":{"id":"1758667786728165440","date":"2024-02-17 01:40:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @NotQuiteMidlife @mpp75214 Yes but they're read by someone, otherwise they wouldn't be generated.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1758648026569285754","reply_id":"1758662927010468314","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":189,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1758667786728165440","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1493427788228882433":{"id":"1493427788228882433","date":"2022-02-15 03:31:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @theemilyaccount @salr_nyc For a lot of things, moving to a sparsely populated and bad school area, then supplementing with tutoring/etc is the big winner. Esp for college admissions.\n\nBut who wants to live in Wyoming? (jk)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493387393142976512","reply_id":"1493426956955574272","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493427788228882433","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1937769868788445568":{"id":"1937769868788445568","date":"2025-06-25 07:08:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"LLMs and AIs are just a particular piece of cognitive technology. Like writing or a calculator.\n\nThey don't make you dumber or smarter, they just give you cognitive affordances.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1937769867215511886","reply_id":"1937769867215511886","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":19,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":819,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1937769868788445568","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1985755944895062205":{"id":"1985755944895062205","date":"2025-11-04 17:08:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@maw501 @fofaibu5555 Maybe true if you define it as \"new to you\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1985680301108932764","reply_id":"1985754203877491112","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"infinitehumanai","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":94,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1985755944895062205","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1529449809467232257":{"id":"1529449809467232257","date":"2022-05-25 13:10:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"10/\n\nIn the 90s, the sketch is funny because they're all (other than the racism punchline) fairly shallow, obvious things a bank should do...\n\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529449798020911107","reply_id":"1529449808242454528","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1529449809467232257","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1847697688835342340":{"id":"1847697688835342340","date":"2024-10-19 17:53:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Yes. At the time I was all-in on Oasis but really, all that holds up from them is Definitely Maybe and some b-sides. The b-sides are better than the albums by the time you get to Be Here Now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847610792113316169","reply_id":"1847697077243171178","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":425,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847697688835342340","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1763312977808388595":{"id":"1763312977808388595","date":"2024-02-29 21:19:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih Why podcasts? My baseline is that podcasts are entertainment, not informational. Or that the information density is OOM lower than written work.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1763304399466852840","reply_id":"1763304399466852840","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":640,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1763312977808388595","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1984568071151812664":{"id":"1984568071151812664","date":"2025-11-01 10:27:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Self-recommending:\nCasey Handmer on Orion and NASA more generally.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1984568071151812664","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":5544,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1984568071151812664","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2016287014509830621":{"id":"2016287014509830621","date":"2026-01-27 23:07:39","author":"Nonzero Podcasts","handle":"NonzeroPods","text":"The Case Against AI | @alexhanna and @emilymbender, co-authors of the book The AI Con, join @robertwrighter to discuss and debate AI—including whether LLMs are more than “stochastic parrots” (a term Emily coined), AI's present and future impact on society, and more.\nhttps://youtu.be/MwfSCCo6jXs?si=GGYFNoEsZMq795D5&t=308","hashtags":[],"conv":"2016287014509830621","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2019086974443807111","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":29,"retweets":1,"replies":19,"quotes":13,"views":121474,"bookmarks":56,"media":["2016287014509830621_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/NonzeroPods/status/2016287014509830621"},"1206988085570891776":{"id":"1206988085570891776","date":"2019-12-17 17:22:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AnalysisFact You mean you *didn't* use a 16-layer convolutional neural network with millions of parameters?\n\nFor shame! 🤪","hashtags":[],"conv":"1206984926173761536","reply_id":"1206984926173761536","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AnalysisFact","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1206988085570891776","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1230277000339673088":{"id":"1230277000339673088","date":"2020-02-19 23:44:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan The use of stops implies something very non-Bayesian about your decision-process. Something like \"no information could possibly emerge after I make the trade that would make me change my mind on it\".\n\nStops seem incredibly sub-optimal to me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1230254880977113088","reply_id":"1230254880977113088","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1230277000339673088","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1437817072076025857":{"id":"1437817072076025857","date":"2021-09-14 16:34:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2/ Conversely, I see a lot of aspiring, new, and frankly bad traders who care a *lot* about the product.\n\n\"I trade options,\" \"I trade futures\" like it's a religious commitment. It's not. The product you're trading is a means to an end, at least if you care about money.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1437817071014801410","reply_id":"1437817071014801410","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":27,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1437817072076025857","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1787555996434669899":{"id":"1787555996434669899","date":"2024-05-06 18:52:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The marginal value/output of the 129th weekly hour \"worked\" is almost definitely negative.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1787555996434669899","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":64,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":12184,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1787555996434669899","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1702761070128144515":{"id":"1702761070128144515","date":"2023-09-15 19:07:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@foolsbookie @BeingHorizontal Rune cares too much about what others think of him. Holds him back.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1702736575036080504","reply_id":"1702757095374827549","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"foolsbookie","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":60,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1702761070128144515","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1567259870067556352":{"id":"1567259870067556352","date":"2022-09-06 21:14:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @witchqueendot @Dpro2298 @macrocephalopod It's a very metagame sort of trade.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1566886283607040000","reply_id":"1567251883903062016","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1567259870067556352","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2018280808172208315":{"id":"2018280808172208315","date":"2026-02-02 11:10:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"➕","hashtags":[],"conv":"2018280808172208315","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":39,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":10856,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2018280808172208315","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1665908410611822592":{"id":"1665908410611822592","date":"2023-06-06 02:28:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xfbifemboy https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4618477/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1665906892479266816","reply_id":"1665908277811769344","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":205,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1665908410611822592","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1852301648640475507":{"id":"1852301648640475507","date":"2024-11-01 10:48:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"And then you wonder why there's a brain drain...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1852301648640475507","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3851,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1852301648640475507","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1567537553682890758":{"id":"1567537553682890758","date":"2022-09-07 15:37:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 @HFTBread @cryptohound666 @theemilyaccount @NicoPollari @therobotjames @witchqueendot Highly endorse both parts of this sentence.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1567346642105286656","reply_id":"1567536855524192256","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1567537553682890758","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1363546435703119872":{"id":"1363546435703119872","date":"2021-02-21 17:49:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 It's a valid point. And I'm certainly not in those discussions at the CME. :)\n\nBut if I were *forced* to argue in favor, I would cite vol-of-vol. I could def see a world where BTC gets even more volatile.\n\nAlso a bit of paternalism. NG futs are basically pros, BTC much less so.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1363540073258475523","reply_id":"1363545439321034752","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1363546435703119872","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1923208066213773577":{"id":"1923208066213773577","date":"2025-05-16 02:45:09","author":"the Rich","handle":"Duderichy","text":"friendly reminder that loyalty is worth $0","hashtags":[],"conv":"1923208066213773577","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1923311575806447896","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":64345,"retweets":7093,"replies":1515,"quotes":735,"views":4936550,"bookmarks":8471,"media":["1923208066213773577_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Duderichy/status/1923208066213773577"},"1546972566597689344":{"id":"1546972566597689344","date":"2022-07-12 21:39:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Here's what I *still* don't get about Twitter:\n\nToday I've posted basically two things:\n1. A throwaway comment about how crossfit people run ugly.\n2. A long thread trying to explain how I come up with +EV trading strategies.\n\nThe former has more engagement than the latter.\n\n🤷‍♂️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546972566597689344","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":69,"retweets":2,"replies":16,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546972566597689344","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1291440022004985856":{"id":"1291440022004985856","date":"2020-08-06 18:24:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mojombo How do you do the necessary filtering efficiently?\n\nI talk to lots of companies that want to go to a credential-blind process but the filtering step kills them.\n\nWhat does the top of the funnel look like?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1291430990284337152","reply_id":"1291430990284337152","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mojombo","likes":15,"retweets":2,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1291440022004985856","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1517305401288499200":{"id":"1517305401288499200","date":"2022-04-22 00:52:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@rajivpoc I've also recently started going through the math parts of Applied Cryptography (Schneier) and finding online problem sets on specific topics I feel I need to shore up.\n\nMichael Penn (YouTube) has a lot of number theory problems too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1517303314693599232","reply_id":"1517304810344620033","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1517305401288499200","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1457782060773298179":{"id":"1457782060773298179","date":"2021-11-08 18:48:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih Note: this applies much more broadly.\n\nAnother example: build-MVP-iterate-fast-SaaS companies.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1457778894874972160","reply_id":"1457781672540135430","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1457782060773298179","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1740200510337224876":{"id":"1740200510337224876","date":"2023-12-28 02:38:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Intelligence != knowledge\" is fast becoming the most important thing to understand that most of us don't most of the time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1740200510337224876","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":51,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":5981,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1740200510337224876","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1959678098334757027":{"id":"1959678098334757027","date":"2025-08-24 18:04:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Many of you are probably too young to remember the reference. Even though, in many ways, this is the blueprint for how people like Zuck want the world to be.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1959678098334757027","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":49,"retweets":5,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":11394,"bookmarks":16,"media":["1959678098334757027_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1959678098334757027","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1482214549570801665":{"id":"1482214549570801665","date":"2022-01-15 04:54:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 @therobotjames @CaleCrypto Japan is... weird about markets.\n\nSo is South Korea for that matter.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482086567720148993","reply_id":"1482213997055479812","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482214549570801665","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1506045251974172674":{"id":"1506045251974172674","date":"2022-03-21 23:09:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"29/ It's easy to get lost in the mechanics. What he says to whom, and how, and when. That's not what's important. Those are technical details.\n\nPay attention to the information asymmetry.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1506045250548088834","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1506045251974172674","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1278814743105421312":{"id":"1278814743105421312","date":"2020-07-02 22:16:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@balajis @FeliciaHorowitz @rolandsmartin @NaithanJones","hashtags":[],"conv":"1278811744966606848","reply_id":"1278811744966606848","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"balajis","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1278814743105421312_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1278814743105421312","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1937945791924211844":{"id":"1937945791924211844","date":"2025-06-25 18:47:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I address a very common misunderstanding here.\n\nMarket making is a risk profile, a role, not an order type.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1937945791924211844","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":102,"retweets":4,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":18592,"bookmarks":42,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1937945791924211844","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1761644491612831944":{"id":"1761644491612831944","date":"2024-02-25 06:49:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Maybe you could use Sora to create the next Citizen Kane. Maybe.\n\nBut it's guaranteed you can use it to create a thousand times more eyeball-minutes of copycat ads in a tight RL feedback loop of engagement.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1761643939524964590","reply_id":"1761643939524964590","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":286,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1761644491612831944","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1891057617176289770":{"id":"1891057617176289770","date":"2025-02-16 09:30:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@notgodcomplex96 Accessibility plays a part.\n\nBut even so. Pickleball is way more accessible than tennis but it's still a shittier sport.\n\nAs for esports, it's not a slight on them to say \"it's not a sport\". I love chess, requires tons of physical and mental endurance. But it's not a sport.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1891055428047348214","reply_id":"1891057018850455631","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"notgodcomplex96","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":380,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1891057617176289770","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1415321262046416896":{"id":"1415321262046416896","date":"2021-07-14 14:44:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"28/ Ok, enough for now. We’ll see how much this resonates out there with people, and maybe I could talk about the game from the candidate side.\n\nIt isn’t as interesting and there’s a lot of info out there. But if there’s interest...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"1415321260981047298","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415321262046416896","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1503510270227849223":{"id":"1503510270227849223","date":"2022-03-14 23:15:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@clear_as_tar I've seen people incinerate money. We end up competing to trade against their incineration and they end up getting actually decent fills after a while.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503490626418974721","reply_id":"1503509941780426754","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"clear_as_tar","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1503510270227849223","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1419732046105104384":{"id":"1419732046105104384","date":"2021-07-26 18:51:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 The 0.95 strike and the 0.1 strike should probably be priced the same.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1419731012611985411","reply_id":"1419731012611985411","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1419732046105104384","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1389395065085173763":{"id":"1389395065085173763","date":"2021-05-04 01:42:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@skawtbrown @SBF_Alameda @AlamedaTrabuco Great, lemme know what you think when you read it!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1389387050856579072","reply_id":"1389387732422696961","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"leakyalpha","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1389395065085173763","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1834217272774185288":{"id":"1834217272774185288","date":"2024-09-12 13:07:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So as some of you may already know I recently moved to Prague.\n\nYes, I actually left sunny Southern California. I did it to join a startup with a slightly crazy mission, which is to train RL agents to trade in financial markets.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1834217272774185288","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":331,"retweets":2,"replies":22,"quotes":3,"views":43947,"bookmarks":82,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1834217272774185288","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1865302573059551665":{"id":"1865302573059551665","date":"2024-12-07 07:49:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CJHandmer The null hypothesis that the problem is not in or adjacent to its training set will be hard to reject.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1865293912136650919","reply_id":"1865294303423254861","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"CJHandmer","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":262,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1865302573059551665","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1396249392126914560":{"id":"1396249392126914560","date":"2021-05-22 23:39:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ESYudkowsky Presuming all agree that mgmt through fear and coercion only works over the short term, I feel like that makes the Emperor a significantly worse mastermind.\n\nFor a galaxy-level megabrain, he's pretty bad at creating the conditions for a high-performance organization.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1396244856624730113","reply_id":"1396244856624730113","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ESYudkowsky","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1396249392126914560","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1495164451732873217":{"id":"1495164451732873217","date":"2022-02-19 22:32:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@coloradotravis","hashtags":[],"conv":"1495063899485335559","reply_id":"1495063899485335559","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"coloradotravis","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1495164451732873217_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1495164451732873217","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1501747789734166533":{"id":"1501747789734166533","date":"2022-03-10 02:32:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames Paging Bruce Knuteson...\n\nhttps://arxiv.org/pdf/2201.00223.pdf","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"1501736247504650240","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501747789734166533","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1561358069786767360":{"id":"1561358069786767360","date":"2022-08-21 14:22:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NotQuiteMidlife 🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1561352671247810560","reply_id":"1561352671247810560","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuiteMidlife","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1561358069786767360_1.png","1561358069786767360_2.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1561358069786767360","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1680766714110443520":{"id":"1680766714110443520","date":"2023-07-17 02:29:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@thealpharaccoon @TheFlowHorse @Team_Optimum 👆👆👆\n\nObviously it's sold by weight, but the game-playing with the packaging indicates something about where their focus is on the product.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1680707081496834048","reply_id":"1680755333893967873","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"thealpharaccoon","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":719,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1680766714110443520","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1379099269513191430":{"id":"1379099269513191430","date":"2021-04-05 15:51:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 @M1tchRosenthal @VolQuant Happy to help w/ that. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1379091521069228042","reply_id":"1379097911384936448","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1379099269513191430","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1957390821323407690":{"id":"1957390821323407690","date":"2025-08-18 10:35:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5/ I really hope people like @mansourtarek_ and others engage meaningfully with these issues. This is important.\n\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957390814113308717","reply_id":"1957390819507228674","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":4975,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1957390821323407690","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1766260292244422687":{"id":"1766260292244422687","date":"2024-03-09 00:30:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase They certainly are. But they're not told *how* to network. So they do it very badly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1766213412776780033","reply_id":"1766228762419429570","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":451,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1766260292244422687","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1918293632756703619":{"id":"1918293632756703619","date":"2025-05-02 13:16:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@__paleologo Basically, a brewer from the early 20th century advanced stats more than a thousand PhDs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1918269195466244376","reply_id":"1918280486964637742","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"__paleologo","likes":10,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":1393,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1918293632756703619","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1491609521269055490":{"id":"1491609521269055490","date":"2022-02-10 03:06:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I hypothesize with *no* evidence that such a company would have a competitive advantage.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1491609195069595649","reply_id":"1491609195069595649","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1491609521269055490","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1803816192760541366":{"id":"1803816192760541366","date":"2024-06-20 15:44:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Right on cue.\n\n\"Agentic AI is terrifying, but we're doing it anyway.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1803484536698970339","reply_id":"1803484536698970339","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4871,"bookmarks":6,"media":["1803816192760541366_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1803816192760541366","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1900638268363857923":{"id":"1900638268363857923","date":"2025-03-14 20:00:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod 1. How much computer science do computer science graduates at these universities come out knowing? AFAICT nearly zero. Every graduate bitches about having to *know* the big-O of some algorithm. Don't even ask them to derive it for a new algorithm.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1900587520305332699","reply_id":"1900637593496096907","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":1,"views":1762,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1900638268363857923","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1791837145398931738":{"id":"1791837145398931738","date":"2024-05-18 14:24:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"YouTube woke up this morning and chose violence.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1791837145398931738","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":73,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":2,"views":9892,"bookmarks":10,"media":["1791837145398931738_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1791837145398931738","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1467579343303966724":{"id":"1467579343303966724","date":"2021-12-05 19:39:16","author":"Spencer Bosma","handle":"SpencerBosma","text":"Reading Sunday.\n\nhttp://falkenblog.blogspot.com/2010/07/batesian-mimicry-explanation-of.html\n\n(h/t referenced in @AgustinLebron3's The Laws of Trading)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1467579343303966724","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1467584316196540416","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1467579343303966724_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SpencerBosma/status/1467579343303966724"},"1549986751732543488":{"id":"1549986751732543488","date":"2022-07-21 05:16:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheTradeBuster @SquishChaos @therobotjames @pmontu33 @breakingthemark @darjohn25 @Gingfacekillah @TCK_JRubano I'll sign up for that.\n\nThough there's probably a better way than using stops.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548007648007634944","reply_id":"1549986475701321728","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheTradeBuster","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1549986751732543488","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1761099231719502197":{"id":"1761099231719502197","date":"2024-02-23 18:42:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Same request, but for equities and options and futures pls.\n\nOh and commodities too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1761099231719502197","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":52,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":11268,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1761099231719502197","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1895396832165126258":{"id":"1895396832165126258","date":"2025-02-28 08:53:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @ShervinD They are from LV. In my mind, On Top is about the rooftop bar at the Rio.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1895383563975172520","reply_id":"1895384769313284536","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":587,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1895396832165126258","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1716256079112437996":{"id":"1716256079112437996","date":"2023-10-23 00:51:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Magnum PI was a quietly underrated show.\nMore depth than meets the eye.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1716256079112437996","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2593,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1716256079112437996","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1488730732016984065":{"id":"1488730732016984065","date":"2022-02-02 04:27:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_Dave__White_ Got some logs in your diff eq, do you? :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1488727618035728387","reply_id":"1488727618035728387","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_Dave__White_","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1488730732016984065","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1139168012240531456":{"id":"1139168012240531456","date":"2019-06-13 13:49:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@paulg Surely it's a priority for the Google Docs PMs?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1139153463378632704","reply_id":"1139153463378632704","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"paulg","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1139168012240531456","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1302777734989406208":{"id":"1302777734989406208","date":"2020-09-07 01:16:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BeingHorizontal 2. Who can extrapolate from complete data\n\nAmirite?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1302764770802556929","reply_id":"1302764770802556929","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BeingHorizontal","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1302777734989406208","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1525383929334734849":{"id":"1525383929334734849","date":"2022-05-14 07:54:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @be20684347 @moreproteinbars @ropirito @StolpyStolps @Dpro2298 @KrisAbdelmessih @Ksidiii @bennpeifert Someone told me there's an app or something.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1525243875593400320","reply_id":"1525335168264810496","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1525383929334734849","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1390344493736480771":{"id":"1390344493736480771","date":"2021-05-06 16:35:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KeyPaganRush Precisely.\n\nThe reason I like it is because it shows that good trading is about balancing predicted future unhappiness.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1390343703974215682","reply_id":"1390344184461099009","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KeyPaganRush","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1390344493736480771","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1768485317206814938":{"id":"1768485317206814938","date":"2024-03-15 03:52:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @coffeetrader11 Dollars to donuts, the \"for show\" part will eventually consume more and more of the effort.\n\nI've seen it dozens of times.\n\nYou can't fake genuine interest. Genuine interest looks like not caring *at all* about what it looks like.\n\nAnd skilled evaluators can smell it a mile away.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1768404709336052193","reply_id":"1768482627130978478","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":748,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1768485317206814938","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1586509280999415808":{"id":"1586509280999415808","date":"2022-10-30 00:04:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"When he says couch-surfing, I'm imagining an impeccably-appointed guesthouse with amenities worthy of a 5 star hotel.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1586509280999415808","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1586509280999415808","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1781179098448212341":{"id":"1781179098448212341","date":"2024-04-19 04:32:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NoLayingUp we need a deep dive on this. So many stories the young'uns don't even remember or know about.\n\nHal sending Tiger/Phil out together.\nCurtis \"I've never seen anyone front load like that.\"\netc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1781177505917042844","reply_id":"1781177505917042844","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1158,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1781179098448212341","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1480209363008585732":{"id":"1480209363008585732","date":"2022-01-09 16:06:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jagmavi @DavidTaggart It can be avoided.\n\n(Resisting urge to ask why one would be trying to hard to avoid learning to code if one is working with data.)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1480090162184945664","reply_id":"1480209094875226113","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jagmavi","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1480209363008585732","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2064990535002071125":{"id":"2064990535002071125","date":"2026-06-11 08:38:03","author":"gfodor.id","handle":"gfodor","text":"RT @gfodor: Trisolarians report they have changed their minds and have “turned off” the sophons.\n\nWhew that was close, anyhow back to work","hashtags":[],"conv":"2064990535002071125","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2064928472976482402","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":17,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/gfodor/status/2064990535002071125"},"2016446446111715344":{"id":"2016446446111715344","date":"2026-01-28 09:41:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"✅ I enjoyed it but it really is quite bad.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2016446446111715344","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":7542,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2016446446111715344","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2011768694062662130":{"id":"2011768694062662130","date":"2026-01-15 11:53:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"💯","hashtags":[],"conv":"2011768694062662130","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":9180,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2011768694062662130","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1563585331475075073":{"id":"1563585331475075073","date":"2022-08-27 17:52:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@686Prism @SinclairEuan It *is* a manual!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1563575512122814465","reply_id":"1563579328935301121","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"686Prism","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1563585331475075073","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1983419509278159193":{"id":"1983419509278159193","date":"2025-10-29 06:23:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Who's old enough to remember “It would be wise to view any investment in OpenAI Global, LLC in the spirit of a donation, with the understanding that it may be difficult to know what role money will play in a post-AGI world.” \n\nThey now think it will have a big role. Go figure.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1983185511587230107","reply_id":"1983185511587230107","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":30,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":2598,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1983419509278159193","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1957107375648784475":{"id":"1957107375648784475","date":"2025-08-17 15:48:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Wilford Brimley was no older than 49, and likely 48, when this was filmed.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ep4LkZvYPBs","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957107375648784475","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":5101,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1957107375648784475","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1765725430747701502":{"id":"1765725430747701502","date":"2024-03-07 13:05:22","author":"Byrne Hobart","handle":"ByrneHobart","text":"@AgustinLebron3 @DanielSigal Payouts used to be higher, and companies issued stock/bonds to grow. My theory on what changed that is actually electrification of factories shrinking the minimum increment of capex: https://www.thediff.co/archive/electrocloud/amp/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1765611924879024401","reply_id":"1765614655534415990","quote_id":"1765731152449651164","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":2,"views":4092,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ByrneHobart/status/1765725430747701502"},"1346476902052028430":{"id":"1346476902052028430","date":"2021-01-05 15:21:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cyberSM7 I'll try to get to this.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346462610082861056","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"cyberSM7","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346476902052028430","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1769099921376883130":{"id":"1769099921376883130","date":"2024-03-16 20:34:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_____Lightning @quantian1 Compliance got to him. Probably.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1769069776696172750","reply_id":"1769085548612788381","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_____Lightning","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":526,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1769099921376883130","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1450822082850287624":{"id":"1450822082850287624","date":"2021-10-20 13:51:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @hasufl\n@zhusu\n@cmsintern\n@0xdoug\n@lightspringfox","hashtags":[],"conv":"1450820780149940225","reply_id":"1450820780149940225","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1450822082850287624","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1593064822111113217":{"id":"1593064822111113217","date":"2022-11-17 02:13:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BeforeTheOpen 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1593060104274075650","reply_id":"1593064645077893121","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BeforeTheOpen","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1593064822111113217","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1292116030379065344":{"id":"1292116030379065344","date":"2020-08-08 15:10:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@svrnco 11/ Overall: fun paper, def goes on the list of \"poke at this some more\".\n\nThanks @svrnco","hashtags":[],"conv":"1291375187263275014","reply_id":"1292115840091844608","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1292116030379065344","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1744038071572815925":{"id":"1744038071572815925","date":"2024-01-07 16:47:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is clearly the right sales strategy for a book: get the people who *already* agree with its contents to buy it, thereby reconfirming their worldview.\n\nBut it's kind of sad too.\n\nWouldn't it be great to convince someone who disagrees?\n\n(FWIW I answered yes to all 4)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1744038071572815925","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":4773,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1744038071572815925","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1470810736779677698":{"id":"1470810736779677698","date":"2021-12-14 17:39:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@etdebruin @elonmusk The man is a PR (and other things) genius.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1470519292651352070","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1470810736779677698","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1422581060664107019":{"id":"1422581060664107019","date":"2021-08-03 15:32:09","author":"Antonio García Martínez (agm.eth)","handle":"antoniogm","text":"The United States is going to become a Latin American country in a very American way: instead of just having two armed bodyguards follow you everywhere, there’ll be a VC-backed app that provides private security as public order and state capacity diminish.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1422581060664107019","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1422585898340782087","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":576,"retweets":77,"replies":23,"quotes":11,"views":0,"bookmarks":25,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/antoniogm/status/1422581060664107019"},"1458630879354388481":{"id":"1458630879354388481","date":"2021-11-11 03:01:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Yep, got that covered.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1458450737185181706","reply_id":"1458622954435072002","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1458630879354388481","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2065681189931999550":{"id":"2065681189931999550","date":"2026-06-13 06:22:28","author":"eigenron","handle":"eigenron","text":"just heard about an AI research lab that wanted funding for long-term research, so instead of raising money they apparently turned themselves into an HFT/quant shop and are trying to bankroll the research with trading profits and say they are already set for a few years\n\n🫪","hashtags":[],"conv":"2065681189931999550","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2065834471262228578","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2152,"retweets":46,"replies":61,"quotes":17,"views":224282,"bookmarks":656,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/eigenron/status/2065681189931999550"},"1769379002186367242":{"id":"1769379002186367242","date":"2024-03-17 15:03:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@W98AB That's my default but it feels self-congratulatory. Hence asking Twitter to take me down a peg. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1769376641766264875","reply_id":"1769378488060989787","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"W98AB","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":337,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1769379002186367242","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1772295562500464781":{"id":"1772295562500464781","date":"2024-03-25 16:12:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Every generation is cursed to believe they're the ones who finally figured it all out.\n\nIt's what progress looks like.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1772295562500464781","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2793,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1772295562500464781","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1235940040905129989":{"id":"1235940040905129989","date":"2020-03-06 14:47:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz $DAL","hashtags":[],"conv":"1235933640435150848","reply_id":"1235933640435150848","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1235940040905129989","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1465464378170351616":{"id":"1465464378170351616","date":"2021-11-29 23:35:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Whale_FallCaptl @darjohn25 Not completely different. But very people are going to be willing to risk upending their lives and move away from their home country forever for a scam that can be directly tied to their names. No matter what extradition treaties exist.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1465452032874135555","reply_id":"1465463928205438984","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"WhaleFallCapitl","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1465464378170351616","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1197330575293480960":{"id":"1197330575293480960","date":"2019-11-21 01:47:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alielidr @DavidSacks The reaction to the very real problem of founders not having product-market fit, or being bad at pitching, is apparently to turn it into a game of charades or Taboo.\n\nI've seen a dozen Waze-for-parking pitches. Sounds cool but they all suck.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1197276076759584768","reply_id":"1197328440916971520","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alielidr","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1197330575293480960","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1753343022975053947":{"id":"1753343022975053947","date":"2024-02-02 09:02:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The difference between fiction and real life is that in real life, narrative only happens retrospectively.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1753343022975053947","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":2473,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1753343022975053947","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1511709929043750916":{"id":"1511709929043750916","date":"2022-04-06 14:18:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If any of y'all happen to be @LearnedLeague players AND golf fans, I encourage you to play the one-day I co-created. My first one!\n\nhttps://learnedleague.com/oneday.php?3769","hashtags":[],"conv":"1511709929043750916","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1511709929043750916","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1501727559066664961":{"id":"1501727559066664961","date":"2022-03-10 01:12:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames 👆👆👆\n\nNow just tell me what beta to hedge with. 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"1501727091305611265","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501727559066664961","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2043206606469431573":{"id":"2043206606469431573","date":"2026-04-12 05:56:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Watching sportswriters marvel at Wemby's ability to take 75% of 82 and multiply 50 * 35 in his head, such a wonderful microcosm of the failure of education in the US.\n\n1. Yes other countries still teach mental arithmetic vs resorting to calculators at age 6. And yes it's useful!","hashtags":[],"conv":"2043206606469431573","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":110,"retweets":2,"replies":10,"quotes":1,"views":17083,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2043206606469431573","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1769377575867130122":{"id":"1769377575867130122","date":"2024-03-17 14:57:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@quantymacro Yes to pizza. But no to anything else AFAIC remember.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1769376641766264875","reply_id":"1769377211914555690","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"quantymacro","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":493,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1769377575867130122","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1540025085867597824":{"id":"1540025085867597824","date":"2022-06-23 17:32:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jp_JellyRoll @jam_croissant The paper shows that the effect is more pronounced in meme stocks and hypothesizes that it's due to retail pushing up open prices. Very plausible IMO.\n\nMy strong prior is that the charm/vanna decay effect is tiny compared to that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1540019711160659968","reply_id":"1540023885319606272","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jp_JellyRoll","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1540025085867597824","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2037240917199827058":{"id":"2037240917199827058","date":"2026-03-26 18:50:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The *why* of how you many money (i.e. what service you're providing, exactly, and to whom) takes a while to get fully across.\n\nMany other interesting corners exist.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2037240911017427389","reply_id":"2037240914939187564","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":27,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3444,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2037240917199827058","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1384608698245402630":{"id":"1384608698245402630","date":"2021-04-20 20:43:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dafty @jam_croissant @sidprabhu @jimduey I do not expect that.\n\nI'm just skeptical that Cem knows what RenTech is doing, and that it's the same thing he's doing.\n\nNot trying to start a war, just pointing out something fairly obvious IMO.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1384501288478650368","reply_id":"1384602502264410113","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dafty","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1384608698245402630","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1466587811151110144":{"id":"1466587811151110144","date":"2021-12-03 01:59:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brrrzooka @jaksburner @longskew @therobotjames @option2ghost @nearcausality Ya but it looks bigger this way.\n\nOne is forced to wonder if he even lifts bro.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1466513044352217090","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1466587811151110144","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1753883065368100948":{"id":"1753883065368100948","date":"2024-02-03 20:48:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein I know. It's just jarring to see it in the middle of all the math.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1753878805549056430","reply_id":"1753882217451815204","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":613,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1753883065368100948","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1557580273537060864":{"id":"1557580273537060864","date":"2022-08-11 04:10:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@quantian1 @therobotjames @KrisAbdelmessih @ByrneHobart @RadishHarmers Very nice.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1557493154395348993","reply_id":"1557579206279790592","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"quantian1","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1557580273537060864","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2038332786294022327":{"id":"2038332786294022327","date":"2026-03-29 19:09:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"RT @AgustinLebron3: @deanmachine @robinhanson @nic_carter So we should transform the greatest mechanism we've invented for solving the central problem of economics (the allocation of scarce resources) into a market between sharps and marks?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2038332786294022327","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2038331971328213240","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2038332786294022327","type":"retweet","issues":[]},"1995437331655070081":{"id":"1995437331655070081","date":"2025-12-01 10:18:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Actually, speaking of that, if you have a tree that literally just gives off money, why would you need or want that small, reasonable amount from me? Surely it's so small as to not be worth it for you?\"\n\n\"Ah well, the money is really just to make sure you're serious about it.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1995437299719602642","reply_id":"1995437329729867957","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":5507,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1995437331655070081","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1634061386857971714":{"id":"1634061386857971714","date":"2023-03-10 05:19:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"There are two kinds of software developers:\n\n- The kind that thinks there are three kinds: frontend, backend, fullstack.\n- The other kind.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1634061386857971714","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":64,"retweets":4,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":10698,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1634061386857971714","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1920705401110098162":{"id":"1920705401110098162","date":"2025-05-09 05:00:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Radioactively bad finance software startup ideas you see over and over again.\n\nIf you're an angel or VC, run away from them. 🧵","hashtags":[],"conv":"1920705401110098162","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":179,"retweets":11,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":32428,"bookmarks":172,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1920705401110098162","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1844683831137161436":{"id":"1844683831137161436","date":"2024-10-11 10:17:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ordinaryepsilon Very nicely.\n\nhttps://ocaml.janestreet.com/ocaml-core/109.55.00/tmp/core/Time.html","hashtags":[],"conv":"1844654463115477366","reply_id":"1844673163264737673","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ordinaryepsilon","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1879,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1844683831137161436","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1541275104608264193":{"id":"1541275104608264193","date":"2022-06-27 04:19:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT Exactly.\n\nYou can hedge a 30% down crash and probably you should.\n\nYou can hedge a 99% down crash if you want to, but save your money.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1541274341001658368","reply_id":"1541274858935517189","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1541275104608264193","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1501787076177457152":{"id":"1501787076177457152","date":"2022-03-10 05:08:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @be20684347 @M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames 1. Yes, that's how they stay flat/replicate given natural VIX order flow is (generally) buying.\n\n2. Ah Bear. Fun times in 2008.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"1501786725600927747","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501787076177457152","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2010040456391077959":{"id":"2010040456391077959","date":"2026-01-10 17:26:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The issue with tax policy in places with deficits is that any part of the economy that's doing well is immediately targeted for additional taxation, thereby limiting its growth.  \n\nIt's an economic malaise feedback loop.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2010040456391077959","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3479,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2010040456391077959","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1985937473264812150":{"id":"1985937473264812150","date":"2025-11-05 05:09:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@us_east_3 Math Academy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1985680301108932764","reply_id":"1985860626342633827","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"carsonmulligan","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":4217,"bookmarks":39,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1985937473264812150","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1700186554067816591":{"id":"1700186554067816591","date":"2023-09-08 16:37:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3. I've talked to hundreds of kids about this, and it saddens me that the answer is very frequently \"because it's the high-status thing to do\".\n\nI.e. not because it's what they really want to do, but because others will think highly of them IF they do.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1700186549860839569","reply_id":"1700186552738132467","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2463,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1700186554067816591","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1459627002030276609":{"id":"1459627002030276609","date":"2021-11-13 20:59:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AgoHen @darjohn25 Arguably Hornacek should have been that 3rd player. \n\nBut this was back in the days when non-Bulls teams needed a dominant center to win it all. Greg Ostertag and a geriatric Antoine Carr ain't getting that job done.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1459615210294026242","reply_id":"1459625092594475020","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgoHen","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1459627002030276609","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1807555505021411607":{"id":"1807555505021411607","date":"2024-06-30 23:23:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HF_Trader @NonRandomWalk Second this. MPT + GTOWizard.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1807483344462176556","reply_id":"1807552237461467529","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HF_Trader","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":302,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1807555505021411607","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1921130139787616765":{"id":"1921130139787616765","date":"2025-05-10 09:08:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Corollary: as a customer, remember that sites with excellent Trustpilot reviews are focusing on the wrong things.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1921128003385327623","reply_id":"1921128003385327623","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1603,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1921130139787616765","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1639260969594654720":{"id":"1639260969594654720","date":"2023-03-24 13:40:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In their book \"Talent\" @tylercowen and @danielgross talk about asking the question \"What's your equivalent of a musician practicing scales on a piano?\"\n\nThis is Lock Picking Lawyer's answer.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZFf4QEhwWSc","hashtags":[],"conv":"1639260969594654720","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":33,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":17504,"bookmarks":18,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1639260969594654720","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1792017728020316358":{"id":"1792017728020316358","date":"2024-05-19 02:21:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbacarella @wholemars And also I can predict my own actions a shitload better than I can predict the machine's.\n\nEspecially my own actions in response to other drivers' actions, compared to the machine's response.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1791716724997587397","reply_id":"1792017431290155219","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbacarella","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":49,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1792017728020316358","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1733325210282332492":{"id":"1733325210282332492","date":"2023-12-09 03:18:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames That's how you know you're doing it right.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1733322841783963829","reply_id":"1733322841783963829","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":361,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1733325210282332492","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1657737622431862784":{"id":"1657737622431862784","date":"2023-05-14 13:20:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames What about the Ataris cover?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1657648315343982594","reply_id":"1657648315343982594","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":949,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1657737622431862784","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2034253774391312632":{"id":"2034253774391312632","date":"2026-03-18 13:01:09","author":"U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission","handle":"SECGov","text":"INVESTOR ALERT 🚨: Investors should never rely solely on information from group chats in making investment decisions.\n\nBe wary of any group chat where you receive investment advice from someone you don’t know – this is often how scams begin.\n\nhttps://ow.ly/upFW50Ytysa","hashtags":[],"conv":"2034253774391312632","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2034672013608947876","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1737,"retweets":202,"replies":401,"quotes":327,"views":798510,"bookmarks":336,"media":["2034253774391312632_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SECGov/status/2034253774391312632"},"1600362027523842048":{"id":"1600362027523842048","date":"2022-12-07 05:30:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brianluidog @therobotjames @worstcontrarian Have you been to Macau?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1600339388382162944","reply_id":"1600345786004705281","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"brianluidog","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1600362027523842048","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1476723838016651267":{"id":"1476723838016651267","date":"2021-12-31 01:16:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert Don't forget Brandt.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476723120522215424","reply_id":"1476723120522215424","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476723838016651267","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1346141075447062529":{"id":"1346141075447062529","date":"2021-01-04 17:06:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3/ US equity multipliers are typically 100 (barring corporate actions).  So when you buy 1 options contract (call or put), you're actually buying the right to 100 shares.\n\nRemind me to tell you the story of when I messed up the DAX multiplier. I was *sure* was going to get fired.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346141074486566913","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":31,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346141075447062529","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2064788817316303357":{"id":"2064788817316303357","date":"2026-06-10 19:16:30","author":"Conor","handle":"jconorgrogan","text":"TLDR:\n1. Declare AI too dangerous for ordinary competition so you propose a regulatory regime where only the largest incumbents can survive\n2. Warn about labor displacement while selling the product to executives as a labor-displacement tool\n3. Warn about state overreach while asking the state to license and gatekeep frontier models\n4. Warn about corporate power while sketching a corporate-state cartel over compute, release, security, export controls, and deployment","hashtags":[],"conv":"2064781775247950326","reply_id":"2064781775247950326","quote_id":"2065037879248564229","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DarioAmodei","likes":2133,"retweets":178,"replies":34,"quotes":24,"views":131369,"bookmarks":251,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/jconorgrogan/status/2064788817316303357"},"1890387405556810212":{"id":"1890387405556810212","date":"2025-02-14 13:07:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@itsmartingale Incineratify money by taking everything FTW!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1890336375477543143","reply_id":"1890336375477543143","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"itsmartingale","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":2071,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1890387405556810212","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1546931758083452929":{"id":"1546931758083452929","date":"2022-07-12 18:57:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"7/ Of course, you can’t go overboard and create a filter bubble for yourself. There’s an optimal amount of randomness that’s not zero, and the task is to shape the randomness in useful ways.\n\nFor example:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546931744426758145","reply_id":"1546931756091158528","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546931758083452929","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1417310248537264145":{"id":"1417310248537264145","date":"2021-07-20 02:27:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sajidnizami Different ways to hedge, certainly. The broader point is that if the delta Pnl is a big portion of your vol-of-Pnl, it's going to be hard to figure out if you're doing good vega trades.\n\nEven a tiny bit of delta Pnl (relatively speaking) sends your Sharpe to the floor.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1417300898234003457","reply_id":"1417308995384086531","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sajidnizami","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1417310248537264145","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1161120967898218499":{"id":"1161120967898218499","date":"2019-08-13 03:43:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz Good thing that technicals ain't predictive...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1161118393342341121","reply_id":"1161118393342341121","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1161120967898218499","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1607384189522911233":{"id":"1607384189522911233","date":"2022-12-26 14:33:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert Then there's the batteries/no-batteries axis.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1607367704507486208","reply_id":"1607367704507486208","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2377,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1607384189522911233","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1749862249131593906":{"id":"1749862249131593906","date":"2024-01-23 18:30:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Best \"how to identify good companies to work for\" advice I know:\n\nWork at companies that are growing, leave companies that aren't.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1749862249131593906","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":84,"retweets":3,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":11630,"bookmarks":20,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1749862249131593906","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1621184936140017664":{"id":"1621184936140017664","date":"2023-02-02 16:33:03","author":"nic carter","handle":"nic_carter","text":"Are Proofs of Reserve really \"sham audits\" as Liz Warren says? \n\nWhy don't exchanges just \"do an audit\" instead\n\nAll these questions answered and more in my LATEST \n\nhttps://medium.com/@nic__carter/proof-of-reserves-for-policymakers-ae59c4b1f917","hashtags":[],"conv":"1621184936140017664","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1621200213255012352","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":47,"retweets":6,"replies":5,"quotes":3,"views":13367,"bookmarks":11,"media":["1621184936140017664_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/nic_carter/status/1621184936140017664"},"1389394883735998466":{"id":"1389394883735998466","date":"2021-05-04 01:42:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SquishChaos I read this over the weekend. It's what got me interested in learning more!\n\nExcellent work!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1389387050856579072","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1389394883735998466","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1476786852099100674":{"id":"1476786852099100674","date":"2021-12-31 05:26:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @JDcarlu Love it!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476775525066571778","reply_id":"1476784121292595204","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476786852099100674","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1616211122121756672":{"id":"1616211122121756672","date":"2023-01-19 23:08:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Am I the only person that's still waiting for someone to actually make Lee Carvallo's Putting Challenge?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1616211122121756672","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3790,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1616211122121756672","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1304468575126659073":{"id":"1304468575126659073","date":"2020-09-11 17:15:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sama Kolyma Stories - Varlam Shalamov\n\nYou're likely learn more about humans there than any 10 psychology books.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1304465144903204865","reply_id":"1304465144903204865","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sama","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1304468575126659073","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1735731438144852293":{"id":"1735731438144852293","date":"2023-12-15 18:39:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Started reading @matt_levine newsletter w/ my 12 year old a few days ago. He loves it.\n\nJust the sheer creativity of how people try to make money.\n\nI may be creating a monster.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1735731438144852293","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":50,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3695,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1735731438144852293","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1504547451214053384":{"id":"1504547451214053384","date":"2022-03-17 19:57:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @TCK_JRubano @therobotjames @theemilyaccount @lightspringfox @imagine_mev @pranavvk Overfitting? Oh just use dropout.\n\nAnd if that doesn't work... (checks notes) batch-norm. \n\nWorked really well on (checks notes again) CIFAR-10.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503862489599340544","reply_id":"1504546046575521793","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1504547451214053384","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1502673511612964866":{"id":"1502673511612964866","date":"2022-03-12 15:50:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames You joke, but there's probably a real law here somewhere.\n\nSuccessful firms are a Rorschach test for other market participants. Everyone sees what they want to see to confirm their pre-existing beliefs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1502558938180427776","reply_id":"1502565296858558466","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1502673511612964866","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1830548665213047275":{"id":"1830548665213047275","date":"2024-09-02 10:09:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xBoneSoup I try not to sell low probability events at 0. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1830524517904494762","reply_id":"1830526573172158645","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xBoneSoup","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":385,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1830548665213047275","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1973751615166558647":{"id":"1973751615166558647","date":"2025-10-02 14:07:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"One thing I love about generative AI tools is that they're quietly murdering Javascript frameworks.\n\nRaw HTML baby, the way the Web was originally meant to be. Fast and universally compatible.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1973751615166558647","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":72,"retweets":2,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":8177,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1973751615166558647","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1584944129532100609":{"id":"1584944129532100609","date":"2022-10-25 16:25:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sw33tY4ms","hashtags":[],"conv":"1584642612643844096","reply_id":"1584642612643844096","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"return_stacking","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1584944129532100609_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1584944129532100609","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1395083074170277889":{"id":"1395083074170277889","date":"2021-05-19 18:24:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@volmagorov It was a thing that used to exist before mobile data plans and broadband became ubiquitous.\n\nNever to be seen again.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1395075006707666947","reply_id":"1395076825458618370","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"volmagorov","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1395083074170277889","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1810410029738340355":{"id":"1810410029738340355","date":"2024-07-08 20:26:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CJHandmer Also, it's kind of shocking how cheap tools are, given their lifetimes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1810325973184954742","reply_id":"1810325973184954742","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"CJHandmer","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":69,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1810410029738340355","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1943216201942941933":{"id":"1943216201942941933","date":"2025-07-10 07:50:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"AFAICT, a big part of caffeine addiction is the deployment of baroque paraphernalia in pursuit of the high.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943216201942941933","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":58,"retweets":2,"replies":11,"quotes":0,"views":11885,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1943216201942941933","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1868746684785930584":{"id":"1868746684785930584","date":"2024-12-16 19:55:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@notgodcomplex96 Possibly it *was* genuine value before, but isn't now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1868743840007700601","reply_id":"1868745796151398428","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"notgodcomplex96","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":160,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1868746684785930584","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1375461664892411905":{"id":"1375461664892411905","date":"2021-03-26 14:56:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"21/ Just like match play does in golf. There is a higher variance in how much a random point or shot matters to the outcome, and that manufactures excitement.\n\nBaseball's awesome at this. Most pitches don't matter, but bases loaded 3-2 counts are super exciting.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1375119223693864961","reply_id":"1375461663155965953","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1375461664892411905","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1768687921903870242":{"id":"1768687921903870242","date":"2024-03-15 17:17:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@GreenZenForest @jamestsliu 🙏🙏🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1768683828426453232","reply_id":"1768685563635499077","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GreenZenForest","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":48,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1768687921903870242","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1692520712131825757":{"id":"1692520712131825757","date":"2023-08-18 12:55:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Yup. Strategies come and go. Skills, process, and taste stay around.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1692520712131825757","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":51,"retweets":3,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":10773,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1692520712131825757","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1513270987034271747":{"id":"1513270987034271747","date":"2022-04-10 21:41:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @be20684347 @aleondotxyz @2_7182818285 @HangukQuant I'm a sucker for watching this process. What *is* that brain doing exactly? Such a mystery...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1513012899093962753","reply_id":"1513270803348877317","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1513270987034271747","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1300529821110341633":{"id":"1300529821110341633","date":"2020-08-31 20:24:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @theemilyaccount Don't forget the 30k mismarked open-only orders that dribbled out on the tape over the course of the day...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1300405016470183936","reply_id":"1300529132971884547","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1300529821110341633","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1487087446856634368":{"id":"1487087446856634368","date":"2022-01-28 15:37:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@thodoha @NotQuiteMidlife @goodalexander Are the any of the middle 4 books good?\n\nGrinold Kahn is excellent of course.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1487077492183613450","reply_id":"1487087184113172481","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"othadoh","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1487087446856634368","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1387982183806083074":{"id":"1387982183806083074","date":"2021-04-30 04:08:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jkregenstein @GestaltU @alphaarchitect @choffstein @daniel_egan Get daily returns for A: t2 -> t2' (where ' denotes next day)\n\nAnd daily returns for B: t3 -> t3'.\n\nCalculate corr.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1387861810599059459","reply_id":"1387982008484130823","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1387982183806083074","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1280350643874443264":{"id":"1280350643874443264","date":"2020-07-07 03:59:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Bonecondor Levered ETFs because:\n\n- They blow up. Frequently.\n- The tracking error is awful anyway.\n- Retail uses them to do things they really shouldn't.\n\nVol products because who on Earth needs this sort of risk exposure except certain classes of professionals?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1280296718106591233","reply_id":"1280328688169627648","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Bonecondor","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1280350643874443264","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1482748238629249030":{"id":"1482748238629249030","date":"2022-01-16 16:15:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4/ So, getting back to trading (prop trading, specifically):\n\nDoes trading involve a lot of sales?\n\nNo. In fact prop trading on electronic markets is practically the only activity that involves ZERO sales.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482748235496058880","reply_id":"1482748237593268233","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":31,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482748238629249030","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1315408830931509248":{"id":"1315408830931509248","date":"2020-10-11 21:47:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SimonDeDeo @crampell @Austan_Goolsbee Yes, 2007 Roger Myerson and others.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1315387007074537472","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1315408830931509248","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1692280703130714455":{"id":"1692280703130714455","date":"2023-08-17 21:02:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I come to learn today that *all* of my kid's textbooks in freshman HS are now \"online\".\n\nJFC.\n\nIt's like they're actively trying to make real learning harder.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1692280703130714455","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":51,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":5987,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1692280703130714455","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1478596338937831424":{"id":"1478596338937831424","date":"2022-01-05 05:16:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 Pro tip: buy the ones that are ITM to begin with.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1478590620734164993","reply_id":"1478596191759880201","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1478596338937831424","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1629527180152815622":{"id":"1629527180152815622","date":"2023-02-25 17:02:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Gingfacekillah @hedgetherumor Yeah, I'm generally looking for jobs that have a fairly flat income distribution vs highly skewed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1629522250205638656","reply_id":"1629526796730519552","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Gingfacekillah","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":1565,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1629527180152815622","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1824595076343009756":{"id":"1824595076343009756","date":"2024-08-16 23:52:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Just had a look at some idiomatic C++23.\n\nIt's clear that \"strong static typed functional language with type inference and imperative escape hatches\" is the crab of the programming language evolutionary tree.\n\nEverything converges to it eventually.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1824595076343009756","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":37,"retweets":3,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":11890,"bookmarks":3,"media":["1824595076343009756_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1824595076343009756","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1416425765130825729":{"id":"1416425765130825729","date":"2021-07-17 15:53:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Controversial opinion alert:\n\n- Sam Smith's \"Writing's On The Wall\"\n- Radiohead's \"Spectre\"\n\nare both pretty great.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1416425765130825729","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1416425765130825729","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1282672312769081344":{"id":"1282672312769081344","date":"2020-07-13 13:44:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BeingHorizontal That is both completely unsurprising and also insane. None of these papers actually care about making $.\n\nEveryone: the reason MSE is far superior is that your trades get paid by the *amount* you're right, not whether you're right.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1282661229866016768","reply_id":"1282661229866016768","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BeingHorizontal","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":17,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1282672312769081344","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1598024335767506944":{"id":"1598024335767506944","date":"2022-11-30 18:41:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OffTheRunTrades @iv_technicals I swear I read \"weth fueled love to my (block)chains\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598012891503869952","reply_id":"1598013165430001664","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OffTheRunTrades","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598024335767506944","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1389747203321651204":{"id":"1389747203321651204","date":"2021-05-05 01:02:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 This is what I've noticed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1389734568287035392","reply_id":"1389745822556823552","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1389747203321651204","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1582406725310611458":{"id":"1582406725310611458","date":"2022-10-18 16:22:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xt0d0 Always.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1582397853778837506","reply_id":"1582405843080708096","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xt0d0","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1582406725310611458","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1513268366676402179":{"id":"1513268366676402179","date":"2022-04-10 21:31:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Rory backdooring a top 5 is the most Rory thing since...\n\nhe front-doored a top 6 at the 2021 US Open?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1513268366676402179","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1513268366676402179","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1895503695087112574":{"id":"1895503695087112574","date":"2025-02-28 15:57:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Write a script that searches all git branches and prints which ones contain a particular filename\"\n\nAll LLMs are failing at this right now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1895503695087112574","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2301,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1895503695087112574","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1712824470866731262":{"id":"1712824470866731262","date":"2023-10-13 13:35:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@GotTheTrumpCard @bernhardsson - Less exchange fragmentation. This would actually save a lot of zero-sum spending.\n- Banning/capping how much exchanges can charge for data.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1712509678075195902","reply_id":"1712771076634406935","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GotTheTrumpCard","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":40,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1712824470866731262","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1565194023383379969":{"id":"1565194023383379969","date":"2022-09-01 04:25:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Forget the summer break.\n\nThe true dream of teachers everywhere is to schedule professional development on the Thursday AND Friday before a long weekend.\n\n🧑‍🍳😙","hashtags":[],"conv":"1565194023383379969","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1565194023383379969","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1283494123257737217":{"id":"1283494123257737217","date":"2020-07-15 20:10:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bbm9456 @naval But you need the latter to get the former.\n\nI interpreted the tweet as meaning \"They won't manage to get to AGI, because they'll be too busy making $ trading.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1283491444288675840","reply_id":"1283493409911529473","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bbm9456","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1283494123257737217","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1456007576101867523":{"id":"1456007576101867523","date":"2021-11-03 21:17:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod Barton: \"our aim was to become a market maker not a market risk taker\"\n\nWhen the CEO doesn't understand that market making *is* taking market risk, maybe it's not so surprising it went badly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1455887352371597312","reply_id":"1455887352371597312","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":274,"retweets":12,"replies":4,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1456007576101867523","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1363900639000993794":{"id":"1363900639000993794","date":"2021-02-22 17:17:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sajidnizami @KrisAbdelmessih @macrocephalopod Say you're net short a bunch of options in a particular area, for example.\n\nThen you're always trying to find ways to close that out.\n\nBut failing that, maybe finding ways to get long nearby so that it all looks flattish in the general vicinity.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1363876629550800901","reply_id":"1363900041019101185","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sajidnizami","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1363900639000993794","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1435419444138766336":{"id":"1435419444138766336","date":"2021-09-08 01:47:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 Pandas has a function for everything.\n\nAnd the function that you want has a name that's not what you expect, but there does indeed exist a function with the name you *were* expecting.\n\n10mins of doc-reading confusion...\n\n\"I get what this does but why doesn't this do what I want?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1435357959530418179","reply_id":"1435357959530418179","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1435419444138766336","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2009227021529059612":{"id":"2009227021529059612","date":"2026-01-08 11:33:46","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"RT @macrocephalopod: @Bonecondor The problem is that if he hadn't stolen the customer money, he wouldn't have been able to make these investments. Most investors don't have access to ~unlimited free financing (as it turns out, neither did SBF...)","hashtags":[],"conv":"2009227021529059612","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2009201455551664190","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/2009227021529059612"},"1944623201117438452":{"id":"1944623201117438452","date":"2025-07-14 05:01:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alz_zyd_","hashtags":[],"conv":"1944469017059864939","reply_id":"1944469017059864939","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alz_zyd_","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":234,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1944623201117438452_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1944623201117438452","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1202261260005302272":{"id":"1202261260005302272","date":"2019-12-04 16:19:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@haredondo @Jay42347754 @HayekAndKeynes This. Anyone who wants to understand how to create an environment for sustainable innovation needs to read this book.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1202039839945830400","reply_id":"1202077357298900992","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"haredondo","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1202261260005302272","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1539249493195079686":{"id":"1539249493195079686","date":"2022-06-21 14:10:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"23/ The “It’s ME time now” thing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1539249425956093952","reply_id":"1539249491542519809","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1539249493195079686","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1542347671540617216":{"id":"1542347671540617216","date":"2022-06-30 03:21:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lightspringfox You're missing nothing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542346436670636035","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1542347671540617216","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1420578840556933125":{"id":"1420578840556933125","date":"2021-07-29 02:56:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Noahpinion I do remember that being the original reaction, yes.\n\nIf the US gov't had responded even vaguely sensible, it probably would have continued. But someone was asleep at the wheel, so the sides flipped.\n\nIt's nuts, but it happened.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420578173637455874","reply_id":"1420578173637455874","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Noahpinion","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420578840556933125","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1970199577279291716":{"id":"1970199577279291716","date":"2025-09-22 18:52:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Turns out this was AI generated slop. Sorry. Deleting now.\n\nThanks to @ImAllInNow (and others) for pointing out.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970199577279291716","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":70,"retweets":0,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":7978,"bookmarks":3,"media":["1970199577279291716_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1970199577279291716","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1490892427149778945":{"id":"1490892427149778945","date":"2022-02-08 03:37:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"No one outside of finance seems to know what the word \"collateralization\" means.\n\nUp until a couple of years ago that lack of knowledge wasn't a problem.\n\nSeems like now it is...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1490892427149778945","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1490892427149778945","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1707756723141038113":{"id":"1707756723141038113","date":"2023-09-29 13:58:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Struggling with incontinence?\n\nSpill issue.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1707756723141038113","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":83,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":3,"views":37366,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1707756723141038113","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1957164551142596909":{"id":"1957164551142596909","date":"2025-08-17 19:36:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@gwern God observes. The universe is his computer.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1956917268417487111","reply_id":"1957161262875652451","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"gwern","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":213,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1957164551142596909","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1737856893039858099":{"id":"1737856893039858099","date":"2023-12-21 15:25:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ThePythonQuant Fair enough, but there's no one on the planet that both:\n- Needs to know this info\n- Uses Bloomberg for it","hashtags":[],"conv":"1737850331105792464","reply_id":"1737850331105792464","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ThePythonQuant","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":1578,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1737856893039858099","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1791210676066844902":{"id":"1791210676066844902","date":"2024-05-16 20:54:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Is it too much to ask to get an AI that HASN'T been designed to emotionally manipulate me?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1791210676066844902","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2287,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1791210676066844902","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1536515392872427521":{"id":"1536515392872427521","date":"2022-06-14 01:06:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@goku37485 I've always assumed the same but I just realized I had no justification for that belief.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536514710815711232","reply_id":"1536515096788103168","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"goku37485","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1536515392872427521","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1280597681325268992":{"id":"1280597681325268992","date":"2020-07-07 20:20:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan Yes.\n\nI see lots of very smart young things who want to be traders because they want the money. The challenge is incidental.\n\nBecause for them, the money is evidence they're good at being right.\n\nWhich is exactly backwards, as you point out.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1280596356713906182","reply_id":"1280596356713906182","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":18,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1280597681325268992","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1693392367125250215":{"id":"1693392367125250215","date":"2023-08-20 22:39:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Light to medium rain all day.\n*Zero* wind in spite of >30mph predicted.\n\nThis hurricane is officially a nothingburger.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1693392367125250215","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":3,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2898,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1693392367125250215","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1782786621605363880":{"id":"1782786621605363880","date":"2024-04-23 15:00:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alz_zyd_ Thinking hard isn't enjoyable for most people. So you're not going to get them to do it willingly.\n\nThe interesting question is what could be done to make it enjoyable.\n\nBut then I ask myself why. To what end? Most jobs don't require much hard thinking. Most relationships either.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1782767963377922348","reply_id":"1782785616067076334","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alz_zyd_","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":155,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1782786621605363880","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1565045174534750208":{"id":"1565045174534750208","date":"2022-08-31 18:33:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Highest ratio of\n\n{brand esteem by the broader public} :\n{brand esteem by anyone who knows anything}\n\n?\n\nGotta be Forbes right?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1565045174534750208","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":36,"retweets":0,"replies":18,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1565045174534750208","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1689461066236067841":{"id":"1689461066236067841","date":"2023-08-10 02:18:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sadgashadokuro I've read this. It probably seeped into my brain somehow.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1689323788423569408","reply_id":"1689448001981530112","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sadgashadokuro","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":200,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1689461066236067841","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1390682777981394948":{"id":"1390682777981394948","date":"2021-05-07 14:59:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tcopp @VolQuant @AgoHen Correct. But as always, let's remember that there's nothing magical about zero.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1390654113562648576","reply_id":"1390682637988245512","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tcopp","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1390682777981394948","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1223327332359819264":{"id":"1223327332359819264","date":"2020-01-31 19:28:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Information democratization seems to have a big unspoken downside:\n\nWhen your default reference class is the *best* of the whole *world* it actually kills your motivation, engagement and desire.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1223327330719821824","reply_id":"1223327331592196097","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1223327332359819264","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1835409363873280223":{"id":"1835409363873280223","date":"2024-09-15 20:04:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Most strategic improvements in sports have been in the direction of increasing variance and living with the (better EV) results:\n\nBaseball: more extra base hits, no more bunting.\nFootball: more passing game, going for it on 4th.\nGolf: driver ball speed increases.\nBball: 3 pointer","hashtags":[],"conv":"1835409363873280223","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1847927269433479398","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":238,"retweets":14,"replies":19,"quotes":6,"views":46683,"bookmarks":74,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1835409363873280223","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1632209794848419841":{"id":"1632209794848419841","date":"2023-03-05 02:41:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 Love the idea. Never happen tho. :(","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632167506847895557","reply_id":"1632201089691918336","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":204,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632209794848419841","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1434879347421114370":{"id":"1434879347421114370","date":"2021-09-06 14:01:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@royalladyd People who have strongly held opinions about things which are clearly outside of their field of expertise.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434876654493392900","reply_id":"1434879020642996224","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"demibytes","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434879347421114370","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1633554777589305345":{"id":"1633554777589305345","date":"2023-03-08 19:46:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 Broadly speaking, yeah. If that combination also works on the two relevant axes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633552114944471041","reply_id":"1633554573590929408","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":296,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633554777589305345","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1706912311309652159":{"id":"1706912311309652159","date":"2023-09-27 06:03:02","author":"atlas","handle":"creatine_cycle","text":"Just one more state variable bro. Just one more hook and the page will have everything it needs. Just one more state variable please bro. Bro? Add one more state variable please bro","hashtags":[],"conv":"1706912311309652159","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1707168225480634764","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10023,"retweets":820,"replies":491,"quotes":740,"views":2668053,"bookmarks":779,"media":["1706912311309652159_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/creatine_cycle/status/1706912311309652159"},"1245894324622995457":{"id":"1245894324622995457","date":"2020-04-03 02:02:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz @aaljechin Beating this game should be a required skill for getting a job trading at 2nd tier vol HFs.\n\nThereby eliminating 2nd tier vol HFs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1245890608562163719","reply_id":"1245890608562163719","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1245894324622995457","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1490767254916681728":{"id":"1490767254916681728","date":"2022-02-07 19:19:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Hard to describe how much I enjoy some of @matt_levine's sentences:\n\n\"But then it sells the default risk of the oligarch yacht loans to people who have a sense of humor about oligarch yacht loan risk, because bank regulators absolutely do not.\"\n\nhttps://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-02-07/hedge-fund-managers-are-expensive","hashtags":[],"conv":"1490767254916681728","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1490767254916681728","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1503229548363595781":{"id":"1503229548363595781","date":"2022-03-14 04:40:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @kneelingbus We have to be able to turn this into a who's on first.\n\nA: Tell me the name of the head of human resources.\nC: Accountsreceivable.\nA: I'm not asking about accounts receivable!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503221861890641920","reply_id":"1503228836171100160","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1503229548363595781","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1577138333792145409":{"id":"1577138333792145409","date":"2022-10-04 03:27:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Life achievement: being mentioned in @matt_levine  Money Stuff.\n\nBonus achievement: not in a negative way!\n \nhttps://x.com/matt_levine/status/1576989493768249346","hashtags":[],"conv":"1577138333792145409","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":60,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1577138333792145409","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1948820341091897556":{"id":"1948820341091897556","date":"2025-07-25 18:59:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is the future, probably. Until we all agree to do something about it.\n\nPrediction markets = societal poison.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1948820341091897556","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":155,"retweets":8,"replies":14,"quotes":1,"views":25146,"bookmarks":25,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1948820341091897556","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1258470712613859328":{"id":"1258470712613859328","date":"2020-05-07 18:56:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @o_wutang I think we both know that's not true, but I'm sure the Twitterverse will believe it.\n\nIt's fine. You keep hiring your way, I'll keep hiring my way. The world is a big place.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1258184053326376961","reply_id":"1258469353000857601","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1258470712613859328","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1346141085244956674":{"id":"1346141085244956674","date":"2021-01-04 17:06:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"12/ If you think $TSLA is going up, buy the stock. It's cheaper and simpler.\n\n\"Ah, but I want leverage so I'll buy the call instead.\" you say.\n\nFine, but you're paying for that leverage.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346141084267659266","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":38,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346141085244956674","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1982070430677520436":{"id":"1982070430677520436","date":"2025-10-25 13:03:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ZG44_Analytics @W98AB Feels like a dark fiber sort of thing though? I.e. there must be undreamt-of uses for very cheap electricity.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1981619767757959641","reply_id":"1982067489006875069","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ZG44_Analytics","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":35,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1982070430677520436","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1732943576257253668":{"id":"1732943576257253668","date":"2023-12-08 02:01:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbacarella @tracewoodgrains Same phenomenon with gyms.\n\nPeople do need structure, social pressure, etc. Those (of us) who don't are in the extreme minority.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1732831828094886020","reply_id":"1732942957010153550","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbacarella","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":39,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1732943576257253668","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1666800447305203714":{"id":"1666800447305203714","date":"2023-06-08 13:32:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"14/ I launch into the worst pitch you can imagine. I talk about the chronology of my \"discovery\", why it's the future of computation, etc.\n\nNothing about who would care to buy this. Or why RIM should do this instead of the thing they're ALREADY betting the company on!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1666800429236207621","reply_id":"1666800445946228736","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":679,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1666800447305203714","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1508952567404896258":{"id":"1508952567404896258","date":"2022-03-29 23:41:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@heerad Not intended as such. Just a general vibe out there that IMO leads retail and emerging traders to misunderstand where the money comes from.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1508949176515584001","reply_id":"1508950558236987395","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"heerad","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1508952567404896258","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1473146566768693256":{"id":"1473146566768693256","date":"2021-12-21 04:21:25","author":"Venkatesh Rao ☀️","handle":"vgr","text":"The first rule of Web3 fight club is you must always talk about Web3 fight club","hashtags":[],"conv":"1473146566768693256","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1473146675401093122","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":149,"retweets":8,"replies":7,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/vgr/status/1473146566768693256"},"1574459753748525056":{"id":"1574459753748525056","date":"2022-09-26 18:03:51","author":"Darren r-σ²/2","handle":"ReformedTrader","text":"The validity of a claim needs to be evaluated on its own merits rather than on its source:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1574459753748525056","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1574461663008370688","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ReformedTrader/status/1574459753748525056"},"1550586012908208128":{"id":"1550586012908208128","date":"2022-07-22 20:58:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I finally muted it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1550586012908208128","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1550586012908208128","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1704333226708443145":{"id":"1704333226708443145","date":"2023-09-20 03:14:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MinvstrD @BSayder The majority of points are won on forced errors by the opponent. Winners and unforced errors are in the minority.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1704254080192049183","reply_id":"1704331903812379118","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MinvstrD","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":43,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1704333226708443145","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1382691627387486211":{"id":"1382691627387486211","date":"2021-04-15 13:45:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Lots of new followers recently, so I'm going to try an AMA for the first time in forever.\n\nTrading, publishing a book, doing good hiring, tech startups, golf, ML/AI, CGM, whatever.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":52,"retweets":7,"replies":24,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":20,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382691627387486211","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1388874365643550724":{"id":"1388874365643550724","date":"2021-05-02 15:13:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ben_golub @Noahpinion 1. Because it's not the same work. Web dev at some rando startup just isn't as important to get right/maintainable/scalable as a place with 7b eyeballs.\n\n2. The market for jr web devs is very efficient and business value is a strong function of dev quality. 10xers exist.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1388671346226470914","reply_id":"1388671346226470914","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ben_golub","likes":43,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1388874365643550724","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1748105199665963157":{"id":"1748105199665963157","date":"2024-01-18 22:08:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Given that pro-Milei people are probably overrepresented in that market, it's probably actually a sell.\n\nWant-to-be-true vs is-true.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1748105199665963157","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":93,"retweets":4,"replies":9,"quotes":3,"views":62228,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1748105199665963157","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1986095089978851585":{"id":"1986095089978851585","date":"2025-11-05 15:35:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ali23985924 You're making the exact mistake. To be clear:\n\nP = \"someone learned math\"\nQ = \"they did problems\"\n\nI only said P -> Q.\n\nI certainly never said Q -> P.\nBut I did say that ~Q -> ~P.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1986044509285679353","reply_id":"1986087431314030608","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ali23985924","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":179,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1986095089978851585","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1692325177621631411":{"id":"1692325177621631411","date":"2023-08-17 23:58:58","author":"Volatilitynoob","handle":"volatilitynoob","text":"@therobotjames The deeper I get into this thing, the more I believe that the skills to find a strategy take precedence over the actual strategy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1692282030342775224","reply_id":"1692282030342775224","quote_id":"1692520712131825757","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":20,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":2,"views":13922,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/volatilitynoob/status/1692325177621631411"},"1638045505208086528":{"id":"1638045505208086528","date":"2023-03-21 05:10:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 Yup. Mid-by-construction.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1638040781029261312","reply_id":"1638044099436589056","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":580,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1638045505208086528","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1937873253613064520":{"id":"1937873253613064520","date":"2025-06-25 13:59:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alz_zyd_ Is a library intelligent?\nA CD-ROM?\nWikipedia?\n\nThose are all \"just memorization\".\n\nYou hid all of the interesting non-memorization bits in the \"think through longer trees\" and \"draw more connections\" parts.\n\nThose are a lot deeper than just memorization.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1937872358393712806","reply_id":"1937872358393712806","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alz_zyd_","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":266,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1937873253613064520","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1595799254437462016":{"id":"1595799254437462016","date":"2022-11-24 15:19:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I have yet to read an article about \"How to pass your developer interview\" whose main thrust is \"Actually become a good developer\".\n\nIt's like the whole industry is operating under a mass delusion that good-at-dev-interviews is uncorrelated with good-at-dev.\n\nWhy?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595799254437462016","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1783973651987185835","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":100,"retweets":7,"replies":22,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":17,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1595799254437462016","type":"quote","issues":[]},"2072664869195694478":{"id":"2072664869195694478","date":"2026-07-02 12:53:07","author":"Martin Schmid","handle":"Lifrordi","text":"RT @Lifrordi: We are looking for more amazing researchers and engineers to join our team. EquiLibre Technologies is a frontier AI trading research lab. We train our own foundational models, use our own RL algorithms, and trade our own money.\n\nThe proof is in the pudding. [THREAD]\n\nhttp://equilibre.ai\n\nhttps://techcrunch.com/2026/06/30/the-deepmind-trio-who-built-a-poker-ai-are-now-making-money-for-quant-hedge-funds/","hashtags":[],"conv":"2072664869195694478","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2072664533491921289","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":36,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":379,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Lifrordi/status/2072664869195694478"},"1282828402274131969":{"id":"1282828402274131969","date":"2020-07-14 00:04:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@famadeo @SinclairEuan @KrisAbdelmessih None of the above, for sure. Most real trades are capacity limited in some way. If you're approaching Kelly, you've almost definitely messed up somewhere along the way.\n\nYMMV, there are exceptions, etc etc. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1282702235583954945","reply_id":"1282817404192665600","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"famadeo","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1282828402274131969","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1548083608153231367":{"id":"1548083608153231367","date":"2022-07-15 23:14:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 @pmontu33 @Gingfacekillah @therobotjames @TCK_JRubano The shape of the distribution is irrelevant and is confusing the discussion.\n\nWhat matters is serial corr (streakiness) of the dist.\n\n+ve serial corr and stop losses *could* make sense but they're a suboptimal way of taking advantage of that serial corr.\n\nSerial corr = $ to make.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548007648007634944","reply_id":"1548066653358895104","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1548083608153231367","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1499121052902821889":{"id":"1499121052902821889","date":"2022-03-02 20:34:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan Oh no!!!!!\n\nHe was a wonderful man. I got to spend a couple of weeks working on some market impact stuff with him and I came away with such a positive impression of him. So collaborative and so interested in ideas.\n\nRIP.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1499117819925045259","reply_id":"1499117819925045259","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1499121052902821889","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1462840910513782788":{"id":"1462840910513782788","date":"2021-11-22 17:50:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolQuant @MichaelGoodwell Half of all programming is maintenance. Or more.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1462836913337999365","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1462840910513782788","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2006629831924916561":{"id":"2006629831924916561","date":"2026-01-01 07:33:27","author":"Dwarkesh Patel","handle":"dwarkesh_sp","text":"RT @dwarkesh_sp: I’ve seen a lot of people misunderstand what we’re saying. Our claim is that in a world of full automation, inequality will skyrocket (in favor of capital holders).\n\nPeople aren't thinking about the galaxies. The relative wealth differences in a thousand years—or a million—will be downstream of who owns the first dyson swarms and space ships. And space colonization isn't bottlenecked by people’s preference for human nannies and waiters.\n\nSo even if you can make 10 million dollars a year as a nanny in the post-abundance future, or get a 10 million dollar charity handout, Larry Page’s million cyborg heirs can own a galaxy each.\n\nYou might think this is fine! Why is inequality intrinsically bad, especially if absolute prosperity for everyone goes up? Fair enough, but to me quadrillion fold differences in wealth between humans seem hard to justify in a world where AIs are doing all the work anyways - these disparities in wealth are not incentivizing hard work or entrepreneurship or creativity, which is what we use to justify inequality today.\n\nJust to recap, full automation kills the corrective mechanism on runaway capital accumulation - which is that you need labor to actually make productive use of your capital, thus driving up wages.\n\nSome people asked: why assume AGI leads to full automation? Maybe people will still prefer human nannies and waiters. Even if true, we think labor's share of GDP—which has been roughly 2/3 for centuries—would still likely collapse toward zero, massively increasing inequality. Here's why.\n\nIt sometimes happens that when machines are only slightly better than humans, people sometimes pay a premium for the human version. But once machines become much better, that preference disappears. When carriages were not much faster than being carried on a litter, the rich sometimes preferred the litter. Now they prefer the car. They might still have a chauffeur—but once self-driving vehicles are allowed to move far faster, human-driven cars may be relegated to a slow lane.\n\nIf the economy grows 100x, wages must also grow 100x for labor's share to stay at 2/3. But prices are relative—so this means human labor becomes 100x more expensive compared to AI-produced goods. A human-cooked meal costs 100x what the robot version does. For labor share to hold steady as that ratio grows to 1,000x, then 10,000x, the preference for human-made goods would have to become increasingly fanatical. And there's a second problem: the higher wages rise, the greater the incentive to develop machine substitutes for whatever services humans still provide. The premium on human labor is precisely what incentivizes its own replacement.\n\nJust to clarify a few other things:\n\n- “Piketty’s long run series are disputed.” We spend a long chunk of the essay explaining why Piketty is wrong about the past! But we’re arguing that the assumption he makes (specifically that labor and capital are substitutes) would be true of a world with advanced enough automation. We spend so much time rebutting his claims about the past because the wronger you think he was about the past, the more you think will change once his assumption comes true.\n- “A capital tax would lower growth.” Yes, as we point out, capital taxes incentivize consumption now instead of saving and investing for the future, at the margin. But if capital is the only factor of production, then it’s hard to come up with an inequality-capping tax that doesn’t lower growth.\n- “Capital can escape, both across time and space. This makes a wealth tax impractical.” We agree! As we say in the essay and in the tweet summary below, it would be really hard to implement Pikkety’s flagship solution (a high and progressive global wealth tax). You could go Georgist and try to tax land, but the natural resource share of income is only 5% and is likely to stay low until we hit “technological maturity” for reasons we explain in the essay. We don’t see any easy ways to avoid (literally) skyrocketing inequality - in fact, that’s what inspired us to write the essay and explain this problem in the first place.\n\nAlso, to address a subtext: I think the currently proposed California wealth tax is a very bad idea for many reasons. This essay is about inequality under full automation, not about how California can make its healthcare expenditures more sustainable.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2006629831924916561","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2006505366423745004","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":213,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/2006629831924916561"},"1563222020237582336":{"id":"1563222020237582336","date":"2022-08-26 17:49:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sw33tY4ms Is that expressed in SHIB? :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1563204639834574848","reply_id":"1563204639834574848","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"return_stacking","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1563222020237582336","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1732152548935467074":{"id":"1732152548935467074","date":"2023-12-05 21:38:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The fact that @AoPSNews students learn LaTeX starting at age 10ish without really noticing it is yet another awesome little bonus.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1732152548935467074","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2396,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1732152548935467074","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1573779735095652353":{"id":"1573779735095652353","date":"2022-09-24 21:01:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Yes! This is what we should be working towards!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1573779735095652353","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1573779735095652353","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1437851595220287489":{"id":"1437851595220287489","date":"2021-09-14 18:51:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"RIP Norm Macdonald. So sad, definitely in the pantheon of comedians.\n\nI think Norm would enjoy linking to his bit on \"battling cancer\".\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NMRd-n_s4c8","hashtags":[],"conv":"1437851595220287489","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1437851595220287489","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2039600551554400397":{"id":"2039600551554400397","date":"2026-04-02 07:07:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What's funny is that in most of my social circles, *I'm* the crazy free markets, free choices, free societies guy. 🤷‍♂️","hashtags":[],"conv":"2039600053459833035","reply_id":"2039600053459833035","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2114,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2039600551554400397","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1633934282413715456":{"id":"1633934282413715456","date":"2023-03-09 20:54:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"23/ Ok fine.\n\nSo instead, a malicious exchange is going to aggregate a bunch of retail customer accounts, people they suspect aren’t going to check often, and exclude those.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633934250620891136","reply_id":"1633934281000235008","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2216,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633934282413715456","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1420178198680129538":{"id":"1420178198680129538","date":"2021-07-28 00:24:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@2_7182818285 Seems clear people are misunderstanding my point.\n\nI'm not claiming you shouldn't backtest. Of course not.\n\nI'm claiming that trying to create an ubermodel to manufacture fake historical marketdata to simulate on isn't a useful spending of time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420131145669169153","reply_id":"1420149902160678912","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"2_7182818285","likes":9,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420178198680129538","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1399015088762228741":{"id":"1399015088762228741","date":"2021-05-30 14:49:24","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"Weekly Moontower Musing #111\n\n🌙Talking to Diamond Hands\n\n🌙On #Voltwit Melees\n\n🌙Meet @moreproteinbars \n\n🌙\"Murph\"\n\nhttps://bit.ly/3i0aIGt\n\nrefs:\n\n@vol_christopher \n@quantian1 \n@TrungTPhan \n@choffstein","hashtags":["voltwit"],"conv":"1399015088762228741","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1399019598192676867","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":6,"replies":5,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1399015088762228741"},"1601682004294381568":{"id":"1601682004294381568","date":"2022-12-10 20:55:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"MBA program BS-on-demand? GPT crushes it.\n\nMiddle-school math contest prep? Still safe.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1601682004294381568","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1601682004294381568_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1601682004294381568","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1430960186999513089":{"id":"1430960186999513089","date":"2021-08-26 18:27:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JessicaNutt96 @pansareV @choffstein No debate here. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1430926969307340807","reply_id":"1430958785141657602","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JessicaNutt96","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1430960186999513089","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1505588581103939587":{"id":"1505588581103939587","date":"2022-03-20 16:54:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4/ That's disappearing, and I'm not condoning it. But really, if you don't care THAT much then you're not going to make it.\n\nIf it doesn't obsess you to the point of at least mild unhealthiness, you're going to lose to someone for whom it does.\n\nOnward...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1505588579963060227","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":37,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505588581103939587","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1532513779929362432":{"id":"1532513779929362432","date":"2022-06-03 00:05:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@finitemaths @therobotjames @macrocephalopod I've read none of them. The combination RJ described is odd. Idiosyncratic, maybe.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1532494929968365568","reply_id":"1532513598051713025","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"invertAtlas","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1532513779929362432","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1384567613594824705":{"id":"1384567613594824705","date":"2021-04-20 18:00:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"8/ Never ever pay anyone who claims to tell you what trades you should be doing. Run away! Heck, you can even ignore the people who tell you want to trade for free!\n\nYou're welcome, I just increased your signal-to-noise ratio by 40dB at least.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1384567607316017154","reply_id":"1384567612630208512","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1384567613594824705","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1190323460691480576":{"id":"1190323460691480576","date":"2019-11-01 17:43:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Noahpinion It's worth reading about the Cuyahoga River Fire in detail:\n\nhttps://ohiohistorycentral.org/w/Cuyahoga_River_Fire\n\nViewed from today, it's like it's from a different planet.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1190318482648289281","reply_id":"1190323047024119809","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Noahpinion","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1190323460691480576","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1876358838527701264":{"id":"1876358838527701264","date":"2025-01-06 20:03:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OrthogonalAlpha That's how you find out.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1876353817056509953","reply_id":"1876353817056509953","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OrthogonalAlpha","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":488,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1876358838527701264","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1481426222940712960":{"id":"1481426222940712960","date":"2022-01-13 00:41:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brenorb @therobotjames @moreproteinbars @TCK_JRubano I've gotten into tea recently...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481369477812006915","reply_id":"1481408480976285697","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"brenorb","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1481426222940712960","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1379799149567123458":{"id":"1379799149567123458","date":"2021-04-07 14:12:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_SidVerma @TheStalwart A is B.\n\n(A = A thing I want.\nB = A thing I think most people like and want.\n\nGreek rhetoricians knew this thousands of years ago.)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1379794800988282880","reply_id":"1379794800988282880","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_SidVerma","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1379799149567123458","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1351688777450745856":{"id":"1351688777450745856","date":"2021-01-20 00:31:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@svrnco @Rick_Ferri Yes. And not just that the fund is a significant fraction manager-owned, but that a significant fraction of the manager's wealth be in the fund.\n\nOf course, satisfying all these conditions means the investors become largely optional.\n\nThis is actually a rule. You can't buy alpha.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1351679935514079232","reply_id":"1351687294835687427","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"svrnco","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1351688777450745856","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1870731001103876579":{"id":"1870731001103876579","date":"2024-12-22 07:20:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I don't know if people who live in the EU understand how much better the Internet is outside their bureaucraprison.\n\n- Bullshit GDPR cookie popups.\n- Search for a place, no Google Maps link.\n- Endless legal notices.\n- Many sites just don't even load.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1870731001103876579","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":72,"retweets":6,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":9293,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1870731001103876579","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1957409348214288471":{"id":"1957409348214288471","date":"2025-08-18 11:48:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mattyklein_ You seem to have missed the point of reflexivity. Prediction markets don't give a crap about accuracy in the counterfactual world where they don't exist.\n\nThey're not accuracy-seeking. If they're big enough, they become a self-fulfilling prophecy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957390814113308717","reply_id":"1957408222685385144","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mattyklein_","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1199,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1957409348214288471","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1369848180137893891":{"id":"1369848180137893891","date":"2021-03-11 03:10:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames @InBraised What quantity, pervasive in finance, is calculated by summing x*y and then dividing by summed x*x?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1369774884834934788","reply_id":"1369846872974692355","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1369848180137893891","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1506089159403835401":{"id":"1506089159403835401","date":"2022-03-22 02:03:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bookdepth I'm confused why that isn't the TGIFriday's on Broadway next to China Chalet...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1506066792472535046","reply_id":"1506066792472535046","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bookdepth","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1506089159403835401","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1700174557485900057":{"id":"1700174557485900057","date":"2023-09-08 15:49:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"types : programming\n::\nfixturing : metal fabrication","hashtags":[],"conv":"1700174557485900057","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1597,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1700174557485900057","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1793782959675465856":{"id":"1793782959675465856","date":"2024-05-23 23:15:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SoundDobad It's all thanks to years of fine work by the Institute for Sustainable Cyrus Use.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HOgj2etJs3Y","hashtags":[],"conv":"1793681626024858107","reply_id":"1793681626024858107","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SoundDobad","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":467,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1793782959675465856","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1631670548823695362":{"id":"1631670548823695362","date":"2023-03-03 14:59:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan http://amazon.com?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1631670232036122624","reply_id":"1631670232036122624","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":540,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1631670548823695362","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1798860569312981239":{"id":"1798860569312981239","date":"2024-06-06 23:32:35","author":"sarah guo","handle":"saranormous","text":"My favorite feature of inviting OpenAI researchers to hang out with startups is that they can be 100% consistently relied upon to ask every founder “what makes you think the next generation of the foundation models won’t do this?”\n\nbuild with, not against the capability tide!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1798860569312981239","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1798866640538624199","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":466,"retweets":28,"replies":23,"quotes":23,"views":310621,"bookmarks":145,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/saranormous/status/1798860569312981239"},"1976650720947634542":{"id":"1976650720947634542","date":"2025-10-10 14:07:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@optionsly Elections not insider-tradeable? Superbowl? Please.\n\nHow much would it cost to bribe the refs to shave points? Under a million I bet.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1976645088433656219","reply_id":"1976650273050517979","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"optionsly","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":363,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1976650720947634542","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1403062269236318209":{"id":"1403062269236318209","date":"2021-06-10 18:51:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AnodyneCode Touch of green, not grey.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1403057803581964288","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1403062269236318209","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1368718120123211776":{"id":"1368718120123211776","date":"2021-03-08 00:20:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @SinclairEuan @DBecevic @o_wutang I haven't looked at crypto options at all, but I can imagine needing to price in exchange default probs.\n\nI mean, we can all assume the OCC is good for it.\n\nRando crypto exchange, not so much.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1368343033683578881","reply_id":"1368702716134838275","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":3,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1368718120123211776","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1965443663234040091":{"id":"1965443663234040091","date":"2025-09-09 15:54:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The US can't have Kleinian abundance because even though everyone says they want it, no one wants to actually give up on their rents to get it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1965443663234040091","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":31,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":7177,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1965443663234040091","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1562963418465722368":{"id":"1562963418465722368","date":"2022-08-26 00:41:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase 🤣🤣🤣\n\nI love how Pandas \"indices\" actually allow duplicate entries.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1562618235970760705","reply_id":"1562962958388342784","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1562963418465722368","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1549409918737793024":{"id":"1549409918737793024","date":"2022-07-19 15:04:45","author":"Eric Falkenstein","handle":"egfalken","text":"@xjpx888 @worstcontrarian @AgustinLebron3 @therobotjames @be20684347 As I have not been in a position that appreciated publicity since I left Moody's, I accepted it would go out of print. I posted a pdf of Finding Alpha online at \nhttps://bit.ly/3obBC03","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548989902570012672","reply_id":"1549251206546984960","quote_id":"1549410560264904705","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"xjpx888","likes":77,"retweets":7,"replies":2,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":44,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/egfalken/status/1549409918737793024"},"1433236941726621700":{"id":"1433236941726621700","date":"2021-09-02 01:14:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @OneBigOh @InBraised @M1tchRosenthal @MinvstrD @sasuke___420","hashtags":[],"conv":"1433212446274199553","reply_id":"1433229004983525423","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1433236941726621700_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1433236941726621700","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1968182261435768978":{"id":"1968182261435768978","date":"2025-09-17 05:16:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Then there's what I call the YouTube effect. No matter what little project or idea you have, there's a Youtuber who's done a mindblowingly good version of that.\n\nIt's deflating when your reference class goes from \"kids you know\" to \"the world\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1968182259158253569","reply_id":"1968182259158253569","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2321,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1968182261435768978","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1238332418135711745":{"id":"1238332418135711745","date":"2020-03-13 05:13:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@PeterLBrandt Let's not forget Peter's other brilliant calls. Among the best:\nhttps://x.com/PeterLBrandt/status/1141041502782676994","hashtags":[],"conv":"1238323460092256256","reply_id":"1238323460092256256","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"PeterLBrandt","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1238332418135711745","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1538368022259175424":{"id":"1538368022259175424","date":"2022-06-19 03:48:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin I love how none of the responses has actually made you a market.\n\n20 at 60. Tighten or trade.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1538357097485803521","reply_id":"1538357097485803521","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1538368022259175424","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1607385718011170816":{"id":"1607385718011170816","date":"2022-12-26 14:39:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Said someone who doesn't know many smart people.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1607385718011170816","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":37,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":5828,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1607385718011170816","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1970094870946512911":{"id":"1970094870946512911","date":"2025-09-22 11:56:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@minimalexcess 🙏\n\nWhen Dwarkesh interviewed me years ago, his first question was:\n\n\"Is the Straussian reading of your book that people shouldn't trade?\"\n\nKinda yeah.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970092704790089821","reply_id":"1970092704790089821","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"minimalexcess","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":143,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1970094870946512911","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2020859289007530110":{"id":"2020859289007530110","date":"2026-02-09 13:56:14","author":"Dan Robinson","handle":"danrobinson","text":"RT @danrobinson: Post-compaction agents treat the codebase they wrote five minutes ago like barbarians exploring the ruins of Rome","hashtags":[],"conv":"2020859289007530110","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2020848155814732086","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":37,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/danrobinson/status/2020859289007530110"},"1505588584996171779":{"id":"1505588584996171779","date":"2022-03-20 16:54:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"7/ People need something they have EDGE in and focus on that.\n\nThe tail end of the scene is great, where Billy's counterparty realizes the imbalance of power and takes advantage of that. Happens ALL the time in trading. Brokers will screw you if they can get away with it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1505588583599509506","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":24,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505588584996171779","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1265297650594672640":{"id":"1265297650594672640","date":"2020-05-26 15:04:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Foulke_David @choffstein Antti's papers are great. And Expected Returns is too!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1265287336729944064","reply_id":"1265296475250139136","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Foulke_David","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1265297650594672640","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1615804249006571520":{"id":"1615804249006571520","date":"2023-01-18 20:12:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Crossfit: the sport where middle-aged men with bad knees expiate their sins by pulling sleds through suburban office park parking lots.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1615804249006571520","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4368,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1615804249006571520_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1615804249006571520","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1942138308504494519":{"id":"1942138308504494519","date":"2025-07-07 08:27:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"15/ So what now? I certainly don't know, but I do know how regulators operate and so I can maybe predict a few things...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942138306524762278","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":106,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":22621,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942138308504494519","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2003758074285433181":{"id":"2003758074285433181","date":"2025-12-24 09:22:07","author":"Kshitij Anand","handle":"kshitijandquant","text":"@AgustinLebron3 Thanks a lot for the contribution:-)","hashtags":[],"conv":"2003757764724842787","reply_id":"2003757764724842787","quote_id":"2003760312953262416","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":40780,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/kshitijandquant/status/2003758074285433181"},"1498146053366845441":{"id":"1498146053366845441","date":"2022-02-28 04:00:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ Convo with @InBraised @therobotjames @be20684347 @FREAK0NAUT and others prompted this:\n\n\"What thing did you sink way too much time into before realizing it wasn't going anywhere?\"\n\nMy personal (partial) list... 👉👉👉","hashtags":[],"conv":"1498146053366845441","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":37,"retweets":6,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":24,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1498146053366845441","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1956255584056975671":{"id":"1956255584056975671","date":"2025-08-15 07:24:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In b4 some dumb comment misreading this as making some normative claim about those flows.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1956255182875922481","reply_id":"1956255182875922481","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2225,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1956255584056975671","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1540029731785113601":{"id":"1540029731785113601","date":"2022-06-23 17:51:15","author":"Dwarkesh Patel","handle":"dwarkesh_sp","text":"One of the most interesting interviews I've done\n\nFounder, trader, & engineer @AgustinLebron3 explains how AI will change finance, why adverse selection makes trading and hiring so difficult, & what the future of crypto is\n\n📽️: https://youtu.be/3BBNG0TlVwM\n🎵: https://www.dwarkeshpatel.com/p/agustin-lebron","hashtags":[],"conv":"1540029731785113601","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1540037926725099520","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":44,"retweets":4,"replies":0,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":30,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1540029731785113601"},"1931213475667235239":{"id":"1931213475667235239","date":"2025-06-07 04:55:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bryancsk Most startups are DOA, most VCs are worthless.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1931165275518648520","reply_id":"1931165275518648520","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bryancsk","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2085,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1931213475667235239","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1432924543765520384":{"id":"1432924543765520384","date":"2021-09-01 04:33:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@michael_nielsen Category Theory for the Sciences\n\nI never *got* category theory. Until this book.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1432919969654665219","reply_id":"1432919969654665219","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"michael_nielsen","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1432924543765520384","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1548039646684229633":{"id":"1548039646684229633","date":"2022-07-15 20:19:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @pmontu33 Pre-empting the standard counterargument \"Ok I'll use a stop limit order\":\n\nOk now your order executes when markets are reasonably stable but fails to execute when it's crazy.\n\nIs that really what you want out of your stop-loss order?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548007648007634944","reply_id":"1548036731491848192","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":39,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1548039646684229633","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1652375422733291520":{"id":"1652375422733291520","date":"2023-04-29 18:12:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I mean, we're all thinking it right?\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6GCEhj4Cf9c","hashtags":[],"conv":"1652375422733291520","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2516,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1652375422733291520","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1631037199138578432":{"id":"1631037199138578432","date":"2023-03-01 21:02:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@recizk What we've learned in the last 50 years of AI research that any operationalizable definition is gameable.\n\n@fchollet's ARC work comes closest AFAIK.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1631035436830445569","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":376,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1631037199138578432","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1505588579963060227":{"id":"1505588579963060227","date":"2022-03-20 16:54:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3/ This happens in trading all the time. You've made your decisions, you've done the best you can. Now it's up to variance. You SHOULD be ok with the results either way.\n\nBut that's easier said than done. There's a culture of violence to physical objects in trading and sports.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1505588578574688260","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":44,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505588579963060227","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1585755114844741632":{"id":"1585755114844741632","date":"2022-10-27 22:07:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@adamguild ✅","hashtags":[],"conv":"1585745963913576448","reply_id":"1585745963913576448","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"adamguild","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1585755114844741632","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1856795668209156585":{"id":"1856795668209156585","date":"2024-11-13 20:25:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Magic hyperparameters are the dirty secret of all good AI/ML.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1856795668209156585","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2763,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1856795668209156585","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1530658889003192320":{"id":"1530658889003192320","date":"2022-05-28 21:14:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Ah Youtube ads...\n\nNothing like angel investing on what appear to be publicly listed companies.\n\nBy staring at a screenful of them, of course.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1530658889003192320","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1530658889003192320_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1530658889003192320","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1694000450633437568":{"id":"1694000450633437568","date":"2023-08-22 14:55:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nearcausality I'd have a hard time picking, honestly.\n- Math\n- Western philosophy\n- Computational bio","hashtags":[],"conv":"1693999279915061374","reply_id":"1693999953230872637","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nearcausality","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":452,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1694000450633437568","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1187085506523189248":{"id":"1187085506523189248","date":"2019-10-23 19:16:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Suhail A confederation/discovery mechanism for niche social networks?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1187074262735048704","reply_id":"1187076847546204160","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Suhail","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1187085506523189248","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1171838862659710976":{"id":"1171838862659710976","date":"2019-09-11 17:32:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Apple's new phone reminds me of the \"number of blades\" razor wars in the 90s and 00s.\n\nhttps://www.nytimes.com/2006/01/19/fashion/thursdaystyles/shaving-with-five-blades-when-maybe-two-will-do.html\n\n\"Oh yeah? Well how about *four* cameras on the front and *seven* cameras on the back?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1171838862659710976","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1171838862659710976","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1498146054469865475":{"id":"1498146054469865475","date":"2022-02-28 04:00:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2/ (this doesn't mean these things don't work, it's just that I couldn't make them work well enough to justify the time spent)\n\n- Any paper by Didier Sornette.\n- Hawkes processes.\n- Rough vol (8 years ago, maybe it's better now).\n- GANs for marketdata\n\nNow it's YOUR turn!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1498146053366845441","reply_id":"1498146053366845441","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":29,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1498146054469865475","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1386413556325699584":{"id":"1386413556325699584","date":"2021-04-25 20:15:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih Ooh, I made it onto the aspirational list! 😊","hashtags":[],"conv":"1386380006905896963","reply_id":"1386380006905896963","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1386413556325699584","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1602412976169885696":{"id":"1602412976169885696","date":"2022-12-12 21:19:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin Do you listen to the mega ones (>5hrs) all the way through?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602394673808539649","reply_id":"1602394673808539649","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1602412976169885696","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1791624386321236457":{"id":"1791624386321236457","date":"2024-05-18 00:18:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@waltuuuhr @NeelNanda5 Hard to believe there isn't a class action lawsuit here somewhere.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1791601817266069616","reply_id":"1791604524865511569","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"waltuuuhr","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":54,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1791624386321236457","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1397677652576653313":{"id":"1397677652576653313","date":"2021-05-26 22:14:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This times a million.\n\nI talk to at least two tech leaders (CTOs, VPEs) a week who say the quality of their people is critical, but don't invest in any manager training.\n\n\"Ah, they'll figure it out with a bit of guidance.\"\n\nNo. Great companies makes tech mgr training a priority.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1397677652576653313","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":4,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1397677652576653313","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1625711912809025537":{"id":"1625711912809025537","date":"2023-02-15 04:21:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brettharrison In label we trust.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1625708669621923841","reply_id":"1625708669621923841","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BrettHarrison","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":549,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1625711912809025537","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1687232589038583811":{"id":"1687232589038583811","date":"2023-08-03 22:42:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Genius.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1687232589038583811","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3606,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1687232589038583811_1.jpg","1687232589038583811_2.jpg","1687232589038583811_3.jpg","1687232589038583811_4.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1687232589038583811","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1322021865162825728":{"id":"1322021865162825728","date":"2020-10-30 03:45:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LinchZhang @SimonDeDeo I think it's because incentive structures within a given field are generally a given: they're the air you breathe and you don't think about it much.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1321981150026440704","reply_id":"1322020309793304577","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"LinchZhang","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1322021865162825728","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1546133024869212165":{"id":"1546133024869212165","date":"2022-07-10 14:03:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This matches my experience @ejames_c.\n\ncorr(opinion strength, desire to hold it) is so high that in practice, strong opinions are almost never held weakly enough.\n\nhttps://commoncog.com/blog/strong-opinions-weakly-held-is-bad/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546133024869212165","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":51,"retweets":10,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":23,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546133024869212165","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1530411141762981888":{"id":"1530411141762981888","date":"2022-05-28 04:50:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@goodalexander \"Oh, cuz of bid-ask spread? Fine, I'll just become a market maker.\"\n\nWait why am I only getting filled on trades that go against me?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1530274992855957504","reply_id":"1530278671805579269","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":40,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1530411141762981888","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1987819960786174001":{"id":"1987819960786174001","date":"2025-11-10 09:49:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Amxquant Problem is a dangerously large number of people do claim to want that outcome.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1987802772373405944","reply_id":"1987819097447604627","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"amlytor","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":274,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1987819960786174001","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2062835432702845017":{"id":"2062835432702845017","date":"2026-06-05 09:54:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Erm...","hashtags":[],"conv":"2062835432702845017","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":168,"retweets":0,"replies":18,"quotes":5,"views":71335,"bookmarks":45,"media":["2062835432702845017_1.jpg","2062835432702845017_2.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2062835432702845017","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1793468880759009697":{"id":"1793468880759009697","date":"2024-05-23 02:27:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@W98AB Bakersfield is \"outside LA\" in the same way Lincolnshire is outside London.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1793355881683230947","reply_id":"1793355881683230947","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"W98AB","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":159,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1793468880759009697","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1517309511391870982":{"id":"1517309511391870982","date":"2022-04-22 01:09:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano @therobotjames @KrisAbdelmessih Gauntlet.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1517286231654080514","reply_id":"1517308385540153346","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1517309511391870982","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1503953126868496391":{"id":"1503953126868496391","date":"2022-03-16 04:35:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@gregasmaximus @TerribleQuant https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ulOLGX3HNCI\n\nPoint 2 of section 2 at 18:00:\n\"Don't underestimate optimising compilers, or try to be the optimising compiler.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503834072757452805","reply_id":"1503936474110042115","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":["1503953126868496391_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1503953126868496391","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1962114239855837693":{"id":"1962114239855837693","date":"2025-08-31 11:24:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I like a lot of what @cremieuxrecueil writes.\n\nBut he can much do better than this. I mostly blame the @palladiummag editors for failing at the very basic task of seeing whether the article actually answers the question in its title.\n\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"1962114230758326689","reply_id":"1962114238006091902","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2325,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1962114239855837693","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1185279931749527554":{"id":"1185279931749527554","date":"2019-10-18 19:42:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@WayneHimelsein It also annoys me that most vilified people in finance (traders, bond dealers, investment bankers) are actually the good guys.\n\nThe friendly neighborhood investment adviser charging granny 2% to replicate SPY is the real bad guy here.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1185211283294973952","reply_id":"1185279273419980801","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1185279931749527554","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1608835613758984192":{"id":"1608835613758984192","date":"2022-12-30 14:41:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"On a hotel fitness center bike watching CNBC for the first time ever.\n\nI mean, everybody realizes it's just a securities industry PsyOp against retail right?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1608835613758984192","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":238,"retweets":13,"replies":18,"quotes":3,"views":34368,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1608835613758984192","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1534658129094291456":{"id":"1534658129094291456","date":"2022-06-08 22:06:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MikhaelBerg My kid believes that \"most adults know how to do the basically all things I'm learning in middle school\".\n\nI'm telling him that's not true, and that it's a reflection of many things. I.e. NOT \"adults are dumb\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1534610974547750912","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1534658129094291456","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1793823005476601994":{"id":"1793823005476601994","date":"2024-05-24 01:55:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brettharrison Brett you're one of the most honest, forthright people I've met. Keep fighting for your good name.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1793739337365848137","reply_id":"1793739337365848137","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BrettHarrison","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1690,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1793823005476601994","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1737276684322427048":{"id":"1737276684322427048","date":"2023-12-20 01:00:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tmychow The more people read Cal's stuff though, the less it works.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1737248924350730684","reply_id":"1737248924350730684","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tmychow","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":139,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1737276684322427048","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1473675134326042624":{"id":"1473675134326042624","date":"2021-12-22 15:21:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Yes! Even though I've always thought Dalio was really really weird, I thought he was at least smart.\n\nNow, not so much.\n\nIn spite of Tyler's best efforts, Dalio was terrible.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1473675134326042624","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1473675134326042624","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1996965340459225268":{"id":"1996965340459225268","date":"2025-12-05 15:30:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Zuck, 2004:\n\nBuilding a social panopticon where your every utterance and action is judged and subjected to virality, a term that literally means being infected with something unwanted.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1996965335673532889","reply_id":"1996965338945142957","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":19,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2426,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1996965340459225268","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1767606692081275174":{"id":"1767606692081275174","date":"2024-03-12 17:40:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase Chem, bio, mech, geo, materials, the list is long.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1767601427231510943","reply_id":"1767603512743952825","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":149,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1767606692081275174","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1542685634216660992":{"id":"1542685634216660992","date":"2022-07-01 01:44:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Time = money.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542684842923413504","reply_id":"1542685529887502337","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1542685634216660992","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1539249450140545025":{"id":"1539249450140545025","date":"2022-06-21 14:10:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"10/ I don’t except myself from the “us” in that sentence. I’m as guilty as anyone.\n\nThere’s often a big distance between what we know is true versus what we do (and how we feel about it). That distance is measured in units of dissatisfaction, ennui, lost-soul-ness, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1539249425956093952","reply_id":"1539249448458625025","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1539249450140545025","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1191006790135140352":{"id":"1191006790135140352","date":"2019-11-03 14:58:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ReformedTrader It's a great book but an unfortunate title. Princeton Newport Partners predates RT by almost a decade and the P/NP diaspora seeded a bunch of early quant firms.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1190806162687442944","reply_id":"1190806162687442944","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ReformedTrader","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1191006790135140352","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1963491202671509813":{"id":"1963491202671509813","date":"2025-09-04 06:35:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pranavvk @G3ni3sWish \"Just cuz you're paranoid, doesn't mean they're not out to get you.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1963489161178223063","reply_id":"1963489161178223063","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pranavvk","likes":9,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":587,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1963491202671509813","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1942559599980114076":{"id":"1942559599980114076","date":"2025-07-08 12:21:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xjustblaze @sdav1986 Very different market structure for one. Equity options settle to physical not to cash.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942211621406883925","reply_id":"1942550305926996060","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xjustblaze","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":228,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942559599980114076","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1934865235908956515":{"id":"1934865235908956515","date":"2025-06-17 06:46:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@carry_inv All part of the wonderful magic of this place...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1934664472288711090","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":226,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1934865235908956515","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1549796791159115776":{"id":"1549796791159115776","date":"2022-07-20 16:42:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"MEV + systematic adverse selection of being a passive LP.\n\nWhat does a CFMM where only JIT liquidity gets provided look like?\n\nA very slow and expensive CLOB.\n\nYay.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1549796791159115776","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1549796791159115776","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1926553936053354945":{"id":"1926553936053354945","date":"2025-05-25 08:20:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"At any given time, countries are inoculated against at most one of (a) right wing facism or (b) left wing collectivism.\n\nThe US has lost its inoculation to both. It worries me that AFAICT there's only one way to regain it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1926553936053354945","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":39,"retweets":0,"replies":13,"quotes":0,"views":8356,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1926553936053354945","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1428416652983644161":{"id":"1428416652983644161","date":"2021-08-19 18:00:43","author":"NASA","handle":"NASA","text":"LIVE: Set your phasers to fun! Tune in for a conversation with @GeorgeTakei of @StarTrek & NASA experts in celebration of #Roddenberry100: https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1DXGyRjWXZPJM","hashtags":["roddenberry100"],"conv":"1428416652983644161","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1428417511473631235","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2212,"retweets":375,"replies":64,"quotes":38,"views":0,"bookmarks":20,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/NASA/status/1428416652983644161"},"1522328895550238720":{"id":"1522328895550238720","date":"2022-05-05 21:34:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BenKream In a reasonably efficient market, why should passive LPs get to make more than the risk free rate?\n\nSurely the risks they're taking are pretty diversifiable?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1522322618812014592","reply_id":"1522328176118190082","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BenKream","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1522328895550238720","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1583638853214081025":{"id":"1583638853214081025","date":"2022-10-22 01:58:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"How do Mannarino and Norrie win matches?\nThey have zero weapons.\n\nIt's incredibly impressive that they survive.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1583638853214081025","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1583638853214081025","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1941385076157317415":{"id":"1941385076157317415","date":"2025-07-05 06:34:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AffectiveAutism @TradingDutchman The special alpha is crime.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1941041931515273344","reply_id":"1941280318650237216","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AffectiveAutism","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":353,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1941385076157317415","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1401032542803816448":{"id":"1401032542803816448","date":"2021-06-05 04:26:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @GreenZenForest @prof_mcarvalho @moreproteinbars @M1tchRosenthal @undercversa Curious if anyone's looked at their privacy policy?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1401031828543135750","reply_id":"1401031828543135750","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1401032542803816448","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1459592542022864896":{"id":"1459592542022864896","date":"2021-11-13 18:42:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"A feeling anyone under ~40 or over ~55 never knew:\n\nHitting fast forward on your Walkman, and stopping it exactly in that blissful silence after the crappy song you wanted to skip.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1459592542022864896","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1459592542022864896_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1459592542022864896","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2039710095647420718":{"id":"2039710095647420718","date":"2026-04-02 14:22:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"RT @AgustinLebron3: @bennpeifert Go to the downtown of any American city, and afterwards tell if me both the addicts and the non-addicts would be better off if drugs were easier or harder to get.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2039710095647420718","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2039710077104398824","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2039710095647420718","type":"retweet","issues":[]},"2019140352943493315":{"id":"2019140352943493315","date":"2026-02-04 20:05:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In 2026, how is it possible to graduate with an applied math bachelor's, masters and PhD (from very good schools), be actively looking for a job in trading, and literally not be able to write a Hello World in Python?\n\nLike, I just want to know how it happens.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2019140352943493315","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":847,"retweets":8,"replies":69,"quotes":6,"views":84471,"bookmarks":145,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2019140352943493315","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1456616149517422593":{"id":"1456616149517422593","date":"2021-11-05 13:35:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @drewg__ @HomePriceHedges @cmewaterfutures","hashtags":[],"conv":"1456557909895225345","reply_id":"1456615506564239362","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1456616149517422593_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1456616149517422593","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1287118587031781379":{"id":"1287118587031781379","date":"2020-07-25 20:12:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3. Has a reliable process for finding +EV signals.\n\nNo, I don't mean machine learning yet. Or at least, this isn't the most important part. The most important part by far is sociological. How have you organized the interactions between humans so that finding signals is reliable?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1287117746178646017","reply_id":"1287118371335499776","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1287118587031781379","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1346863802478837762":{"id":"1346863802478837762","date":"2021-01-06 16:58:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Day 3 of Options 101:\n\nhttps://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346863589760516097","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346863802478837762","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346863802478837762","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1846547809522073783":{"id":"1846547809522073783","date":"2024-10-16 13:44:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@volatilitynoob For some things yes. But obv libraries are a problem.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1846542157697442092","reply_id":"1846545759585333706","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"volatilitynoob","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":792,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1846547809522073783","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1343363583317483521":{"id":"1343363583317483521","date":"2020-12-28 01:10:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jordanwrong1 @SinclairEuan @KrisAbdelmessih Now add transaction costs back in. Any improvement in Pnl would come from trading less in your hedigng. (Assuming the und is a martingale).\n\nIMO people tend to worry too much about optimizing their options delta hedging. \"Vaguely sensible\" is usually fine. Trade less, pay less $.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1343282011134447621","reply_id":"1343362742493691904","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1343363583317483521","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1245758827724541954":{"id":"1245758827724541954","date":"2020-04-02 17:03:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @vixologist @mixeds1gnals Teaching?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1245467393113063424","reply_id":"1245757593349427202","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1245758827724541954","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1473143423058132993":{"id":"1473143423058132993","date":"2021-12-21 04:08:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @bennpeifert INSERT INTO tax_evasions VALUES ('me', 100, 'BTC');","hashtags":[],"conv":"1473132928771129346","reply_id":"1473142015562956800","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1473143423058132993","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1268273047368159232":{"id":"1268273047368159232","date":"2020-06-03 20:07:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz \"It's a real boost to the construction industry.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1268272272583856134","reply_id":"1268272272583856134","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1268273047368159232","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1501797985964814340":{"id":"1501797985964814340","date":"2022-03-10 05:51:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @totlsota @FREAK0NAUT @be20684347 @M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames That was my first thought. ||X - A||_Frob where A is 1s on the diag and -1s on the off-diags.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501797985964814340","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1814355711834595754":{"id":"1814355711834595754","date":"2024-07-19 17:44:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The apparent absence of any devs is the dog that isn't barking in this video.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1814355711834595754","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":43,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":7004,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1814355711834595754","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1471529116344061952":{"id":"1471529116344061952","date":"2021-12-16 17:14:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mnopro Hence the spray-and-pray approach that's dominant right now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471527969013133313","reply_id":"1471528751183712264","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471529116344061952","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1943908342209851761":{"id":"1943908342209851761","date":"2025-07-12 05:40:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Given the Windsurf/Scale/CharacterAI news, maybe it's:\n\n\"Here's a bunch of money to build the ad-powered machine god.\"\n\nCash money? No, just equity in a company the founders might leave behind if Zuck/Sundar/Satya come calling.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943908342209851761","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":54,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":9955,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1943908342209851761","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2053549129943409147":{"id":"2053549129943409147","date":"2026-05-10 18:54:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"“Better for you if you take me off.” whispered the earring.\n\nIf the wearer ignores the advice, it never again repeats that particular suggestion.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2053549129943409147","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":50,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":9411,"bookmarks":28,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2053549129943409147","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1559557756293505024":{"id":"1559557756293505024","date":"2022-08-16 15:08:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@686Prism","hashtags":[],"conv":"1559555806667759616","reply_id":"1559556448706764800","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"686Prism","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1559557756293505024_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1559557756293505024","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1726667481987915998":{"id":"1726667481987915998","date":"2023-11-20 18:23:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Finally!\nhttps://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2023-11-20/who-controls-openai","hashtags":[],"conv":"1726667481987915998","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":34,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":6606,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1726667481987915998","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1405184155445448710":{"id":"1405184155445448710","date":"2021-06-16 15:23:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"7/ Then there's the class aspect. I've yet to see a leafblower wielded by a wealthy homeowner. It's invariably a contracted gardener (typically an immigrant) who has to endure the machine up-close.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1405184150139674624","reply_id":"1405184154568847366","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1405184155445448710","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1494113306218426372":{"id":"1494113306218426372","date":"2022-02-17 00:55:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SpencerBosma @darjohn25 Exercise is one of those things where at the margin of 99% of people in the world, more is better. Simple.\n\nDiet is much more body/genetics/lifestyle dependent so it requires more experimentation to figure out what works for you.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494110009478684674","reply_id":"1494112914030030853","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494113306218426372","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1477838426858614786":{"id":"1477838426858614786","date":"2022-01-03 03:05:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ksidiii @therobotjames Maybe too much IP here (so feel free to decline to answer, no worries) but I'd be interested in how you think about defining \"trend\" in a statistically robust way.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477331467252514824","reply_id":"1477832464567521280","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Ksidiii","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477838426858614786","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1615495695502553088":{"id":"1615495695502553088","date":"2023-01-17 23:46:02","author":"typedfemale","handle":"typedfemale","text":"it's always odd to me that signal processing is an entire field based around the frequency domain, but it's appearance is quite rare in machine learning comparatively","hashtags":[],"conv":"1615495695502553088","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1615719637802700800","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":231,"retweets":9,"replies":26,"quotes":1,"views":44843,"bookmarks":52,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/typedfemale/status/1615495695502553088"},"1523850298682343425":{"id":"1523850298682343425","date":"2022-05-10 02:19:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jaymarsh456 @therobotjames No obviously-crazy dislocations.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1523811893126721536","reply_id":"1523850151491784704","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jaymarsh456","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1523850298682343425","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1820241682388107563":{"id":"1820241682388107563","date":"2024-08-04 23:33:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CommoditiesGuy @macromurat @be20684347 Can't argue with that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1820130155152748736","reply_id":"1820241309564584145","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"CommoditiesGuy","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":56,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1820241682388107563","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1450971921336528903":{"id":"1450971921336528903","date":"2021-10-20 23:47:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Trading_Boxes Here's the deal (having written more than one options backtesting system, and shed more than one tear about it):\n\nUsing just prices makes you need a LOT of data. So much data that the chances of finding a signal are tiny.\n\nBecause your competitors are using smarter approaches.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1450962362291290121","reply_id":"1450971196313391105","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Trading_Boxes","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1450971921336528903","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1983937207678189599":{"id":"1983937207678189599","date":"2025-10-30 16:41:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Age-based ad-hominem responses are pretty Godwin's Law as far as automatically invalidating your position. In both directions.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1983937207678189599","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3101,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1983937207678189599","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1714306716748402993":{"id":"1714306716748402993","date":"2023-10-17 15:45:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"SBF's whole trial:\n\nAUSA Sassoon: <a question>\nWitness: <very incriminating testimony>\nAUSA Sassoon: <another question>\nSBF's Cohen: Objection!\nJudge Kaplan: Overruled.\nWitness: <more incriminating testimony>\n\nSBF's Cohen: <a question>\nAUSA: Objection!\nJudge Kaplan: Sustained.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1714306716748402993","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4680,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1714306716748402993","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1626681909945442304":{"id":"1626681909945442304","date":"2023-02-17 20:36:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_kacper____ @etant0x @arb8020 Cont bets happen so often that even a little balancing here goes a long way. IMO.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1626671259542237186","reply_id":"1626680154079612941","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_kacper____","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":103,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1626681909945442304","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1501747903957667845":{"id":"1501747903957667845","date":"2022-03-10 02:32:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @FREAK0NAUT @M1tchRosenthal This has been looked at. I think it's operationally very heavyweight to put on.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"1501736817913393153","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501747903957667845","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1560336261424254977":{"id":"1560336261424254977","date":"2022-08-18 18:42:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Relatively-mindless coding smash time.\n\nGimme some long Youtube music reccos.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1560336261424254977","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":17,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1560336261424254977","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1633934276856287233":{"id":"1633934276856287233","date":"2023-03-09 20:54:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"20/ If it hasn’t, then that customer can yell on Twitter, NYT, or pull their money out!\n\nAgain, these proofs are produced daily. This is a lot more powerful as a constraint on malicious exchanges than some quarterly audits.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633934250620891136","reply_id":"1633934275501502464","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2180,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633934276856287233","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1949817048462213583":{"id":"1949817048462213583","date":"2025-07-28 12:59:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If you're going to bench beyond your limits without spotter arms or spotters... that's kinda on you.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1949817048462213583","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":163,"retweets":2,"replies":19,"quotes":1,"views":22884,"bookmarks":12,"media":["1949817048462213583_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1949817048462213583","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1753461532921393540":{"id":"1753461532921393540","date":"2024-02-02 16:53:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BruczDehart @tetheredtoed1 And what are those?\n\nGoogle some terms != research\nCopy-paste != write\nDo what the teacher wants != think\n\nAs far as learning something, writing two clear, well-written, original paragraphs, and getting edited, crushes a 20 page PPT thrown together in a few days.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1753086117358760061","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":132,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1753461532921393540","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1334740369867599872":{"id":"1334740369867599872","date":"2020-12-04 06:04:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz Suffering can be very instructive.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1334730362958864384","reply_id":"1334739759739101185","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1334740369867599872","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1665007574339444738":{"id":"1665007574339444738","date":"2023-06-03 14:48:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FormulaDeltaOne @OrthogonalAlpha @0xLightcycle Good lord...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1664726071009325057","reply_id":"1664943916423041026","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FormulaDeltaOne","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":519,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1665007574339444738","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1625604997085036544":{"id":"1625604997085036544","date":"2023-02-14 21:16:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ByrneHobart @jordanschneider @dwarkesh_sp Suspect they're way ahead. There is *so* much data that's available for a motivated and well-funded entity to grab.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1625298738716770304","reply_id":"1625603014542106646","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ByrneHobart","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":149,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1625604997085036544","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1920710794293002686":{"id":"1920710794293002686","date":"2025-05-09 05:21:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ethanelasky Haven't thought about that very much. My intuition is that part of the reason financial markets work is standardization. Every share of NVDA is identical to every other, so there's no adverse selection in which one you buy.\n\nExtremely not-true in RE.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1920705401110098162","reply_id":"1920710154988777728","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ethanelasky","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":155,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1920710794293002686","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1575536724272259072":{"id":"1575536724272259072","date":"2022-09-29 17:23:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Update: I now realize I have learned real things from a couple of Peter Attia podcasts.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1575535891560292353","reply_id":"1575535891560292353","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1575536724272259072","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1448107738714804224":{"id":"1448107738714804224","date":"2021-10-13 02:06:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@salr_nyc @RandyMartingale @drewg__ @therobotjames 🤣\n\nI was always on the fence with him. I've mostly assumed I wasn't smart enough to get what he was doing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448086924330246151","reply_id":"1448106962416250886","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"salr_nyc","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448107738714804224","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2009487001704366510":{"id":"2009487001704366510","date":"2026-01-09 04:46:50","author":"sysls","handle":"systematicls","text":"Common misconception.\n\nIt assumes that every institution is trading against each other. IF that were the case, then yes, there will be only one big dawg and everyone will lose.\n\nIn extremely PvP regimes where it's mostly institutions vs institutions, this is indeed the case.\n\nHowever, in most markets, the institutions are not making money off of each other. They are making money off of (uninformed) retail. This is why even institutions of \"various complexities\" can survive in the market.\n\nFor example, as a new entrant to FX. I know I am certainly not as competitive as XTX, which has considerable resources spent on dominating FX. \n\nHowever, that does not imply I cannot make money from FX; as the average participant in FX is still leaps and bounds inferior to my investment process. This means I will make more money from these fishes than I will lose to XTX.\n\nIf you've played Poker, it's akin to folding whenever the biggest shark bets and trying to be in all pots where the fish is playing but the shark has folded.\n\nTLDR: Money is always made from weaker players that have no edge. And that's why (uninformed) retail participation is so important for institutions. TLDR2: Avoid the sharps, and trade against the squares, everywhere.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2009487001704366510","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2009570291018821765","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":207,"retweets":10,"replies":14,"quotes":2,"views":32537,"bookmarks":94,"media":["2009487001704366510_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/systematicls/status/2009487001704366510"},"1772041635720765887":{"id":"1772041635720765887","date":"2024-03-24 23:23:43","author":"Tokamak","handle":"GrandTokamak","text":"Throwing something out there that I’m hearing from lots of people in different industries:\nGen Z (people under 25) just don’t work \nConsistently terrible work ethic \nIncessant sick days \nEtc \n\nThoughts?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1772041635720765887","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1772055640590160152","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":246,"retweets":4,"replies":84,"quotes":11,"views":227907,"bookmarks":95,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/GrandTokamak/status/1772041635720765887"},"1502068443566247939":{"id":"1502068443566247939","date":"2022-03-10 23:46:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@aikida3k @M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames @InBraised I like to think in pictures. Does this help?\n\nhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vector_projection","hashtags":[],"conv":"1369774884834934788","reply_id":"1502051085598568449","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"aikida3k","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1502068443566247939","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1636964723672637442":{"id":"1636964723672637442","date":"2023-03-18 05:36:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Feels topical.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1636964723672637442","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3143,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1636964723672637442","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1726669446801146002":{"id":"1726669446801146002","date":"2023-11-20 18:30:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So what do we call OpenAI now? The remnant? The husk?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1726669446801146002","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":2980,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1726669446801146002","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2070847110522474870":{"id":"2070847110522474870","date":"2026-06-27 12:30:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So let me get this straight Anthropic:\n\nChinese labs distilling Claude IP: bad.\n\nBUT\n\nAnthropic \"distilling\" the other labs IP by hiring their researchers: good?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2070847110522474870","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":738,"retweets":19,"replies":35,"quotes":2,"views":35848,"bookmarks":36,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2070847110522474870","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1996495436631490880":{"id":"1996495436631490880","date":"2025-12-04 08:22:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Level 1: Debt and equity are entirely different funding mechanisms.\n\nLevel 2: Modigliani-Miller, convertible debt and preferred equity look pretty similar if you squint.\n\nLevel 3: No actually, defaulting on debt is v different from not paying a div.\n\nThere are yet more levels...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1996495436631490880","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":63,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":7011,"bookmarks":29,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1996495436631490880","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2041839931824169428":{"id":"2041839931824169428","date":"2026-04-08 11:25:49","author":"Ken Girardin","handle":"PolicyEngineer","text":"Folks, pour your ☕️ and prepare to read the craziest thing yet from the NY unions pressing Gov. Hochul to cut their retirement age to 55 and stop paying into their pensions (cost to NY taxpayers: $100 billion).\n\nThe summary: \"Pension fairness can help balance public budgets.\" 🧵","hashtags":[],"conv":"2041839931824169428","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2041849419557966116","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":185,"retweets":70,"replies":38,"quotes":20,"views":52317,"bookmarks":28,"media":["2041839931824169428_1.png","2041839931824169428_2.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/PolicyEngineer/status/2041839931824169428"},"1412606672455888901":{"id":"1412606672455888901","date":"2021-07-07 02:57:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RockshotJ @lightspringfox If someone even says the names Givens or Householder and *also* claims to be an ML person, they're hired assuming they're not jerks.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1412581659745001474","reply_id":"1412606269274300417","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1412606672455888901","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1603969121028165632":{"id":"1603969121028165632","date":"2022-12-17 04:23:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@longskew I swear that was written by ChatGPT. It's the linguistic equivalent of an octopus falling out of a tree.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1603968667842232321","reply_id":"1603968667842232321","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"longskew","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":435,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1603969121028165632","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1904077510784008367":{"id":"1904077510784008367","date":"2025-03-24 07:47:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alz_zyd_ Gets in the way of being a credential mill.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1903916518842433736","reply_id":"1903916518842433736","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alz_zyd_","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":346,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1904077510784008367","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1949251854510047733":{"id":"1949251854510047733","date":"2025-07-26 23:33:52","author":"Antonio García Martínez (agm.eth)","handle":"antoniogm","text":"I would bet my entire net worth that:\n\n1. We will have ads in AI\n2. If they take the form of highly-relevant offers, users will welcome them, they’ll have sky-high conversion rate, and Web shopping will die\n3. They will be necessary to pay for the compute in many consumer AI apps","hashtags":[],"conv":"1949251854510047733","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1949348967952568460","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1229,"retweets":52,"replies":98,"quotes":36,"views":191273,"bookmarks":265,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/antoniogm/status/1949251854510047733"},"1543606911743827968":{"id":"1543606911743827968","date":"2022-07-03 14:45:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Am I the only person who would like to see Ep IV reshot with McGregor?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1543606911743827968","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1543606911743827968","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2065331052701172049":{"id":"2065331052701172049","date":"2026-06-12 07:11:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Indeed. Not to sound too Ted Chiang but what do you think a corporation is?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2065331052701172049","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":7878,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2065331052701172049","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1458098125688692750":{"id":"1458098125688692750","date":"2021-11-09 15:44:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Politics become strange when reality becomes optional.\"\n\nhttps://bariweiss.substack.com/p/youre-already-living-in-the-metaverse","hashtags":[],"conv":"1458098125688692750","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1458098125688692750","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1501661238656262147":{"id":"1501661238656262147","date":"2022-03-09 20:48:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @therobotjames @TFallibilist @AnalystDC @FREAK0NAUT Buy the rumor sell the news.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501639840919863296","reply_id":"1501660745481994243","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501661238656262147","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1920199933962993905":{"id":"1920199933962993905","date":"2025-05-07 19:31:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ByrneHobart In addition to the usual (Caltech, MIT, Waterloo), I'll add Harvey Mudd for get-your-hands-dirty engineering.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1920194954032247112","reply_id":"1920194954032247112","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ByrneHobart","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":527,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1920199933962993905","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1359143218147856385":{"id":"1359143218147856385","date":"2021-02-09 14:12:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @Ksidiii Anytime you see someone on \"TV\", they're trying to solve a multi-objective optimization problem. After all, the AUM has to come from *somewhere*.\n\nAnother way of saying it: you're not the target audience. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1359060138502590467","reply_id":"1359068179692212224","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1359143218147856385","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1260968219554115584":{"id":"1260968219554115584","date":"2020-05-14 16:20:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Austen Paging @cscreel. I quote:\n\n\"Pro tip: Send a survey to all managers asking them if they support “always on” webcams for their teams.\n\nFire the ones who say yes. Within 5 minutes you’ve found all of your ineffective and incompetent managers.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1260940920293257216","reply_id":"1260940920293257216","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Austen","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1260968219554115584","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1676632982583640065":{"id":"1676632982583640065","date":"2023-07-05 16:43:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Bonecondor Very interesting. This analogy implies a relationship with one's own body that at least I don't share.\n\nTo me there's a foundational difference between \"me\" and \"my possessions\" that breaks the analogy completely.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1676557728188178432","reply_id":"1676632356285808644","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Bonecondor","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1204,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1676632982583640065","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1664001891129520128":{"id":"1664001891129520128","date":"2023-05-31 20:12:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase Ooh, jumping off from that:\n\nI throw a rock at an animal. The rock is tracking right. So I move left, maybe spooking the animal to move right!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1664001054135160833","reply_id":"1664001636807712772","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":145,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1664001891129520128","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1917969798039851223":{"id":"1917969798039851223","date":"2025-05-01 15:50:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1. Assume everyone online is a bot.\n2. Go outside and find meaning in f2f interactions instead.\n\nIt's really not that hard.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1917969798039851223","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":55,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":6627,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1917969798039851223","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1602429223540781056":{"id":"1602429223540781056","date":"2022-12-12 22:24:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @thodoha @gutsareon @worstcontrarian Same.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1584477850505465857","reply_id":"1602428399200657408","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1602429223540781056","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1532219395807711232":{"id":"1532219395807711232","date":"2022-06-02 04:35:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @jagmavi @EntropyChase @therobotjames Yeah that's not normal.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1532142396498186241","reply_id":"1532217674792681472","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1532219395807711232","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1379245712983003136":{"id":"1379245712983003136","date":"2021-04-06 01:32:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @AnalystDC This is worth learning about too:\n\nhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stepwise_regression","hashtags":[],"conv":"1379217660588740616","reply_id":"1379220806924959745","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1379245712983003136","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1503490630474903557":{"id":"1503490630474903557","date":"2022-03-14 21:57:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3/ The other thing is capacity. At the efficient frontier, high capacity strats have to be low Sharpe.\n\nThis also works for bad trading! It's really hard to incinerate a LOT of money with high Sharpe. Markets compete to take your $.\n\nWant to lose a lot? You must gamble.\n\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503490626418974721","reply_id":"1503490629417930756","quote_id":"1590168785490968577","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":52,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1503490630474903557","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1632160488607080449":{"id":"1632160488607080449","date":"2023-03-04 23:25:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@anondot11 In my case I think I could have easily skated by on talent without realizing how big a world (and prize) was out there if you worked at it too.\n\nBeing surrounded by very smart people for the first time was life-changing for me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632157627978514433","reply_id":"1632159975282823169","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"anondot11","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":809,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632160488607080449","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1666496173765689346":{"id":"1666496173765689346","date":"2023-06-07 17:23:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Any Stephen Boyd students want to take a crack at this?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1666496173765689346","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3195,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1666496173765689346","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1260672277047205888":{"id":"1260672277047205888","date":"2020-05-13 20:44:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein Note: I have no idea what MLdP said because he's blocked me.\n\nBut I'm guessing it's about how if you're not using modern ML then you're a loser and couldn't possibly be making money. 😆","hashtags":[],"conv":"1260670317946499072","reply_id":"1260671584764784640","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1260672277047205888","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1473308445335908352":{"id":"1473308445335908352","date":"2021-12-21 15:04:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@judahmcauley I did, was thinking about it a lot. IMO the biggest disagreement I have is that creator economies are always power-law distributed (with small exponents).\n\nIt's very winner-take-all. And I don't see how changing the payment mechanism changes that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1473132928771129346","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1473308445335908352","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1984935188653117586":{"id":"1984935188653117586","date":"2025-11-02 10:46:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"But why did we have more kids when we were a lot poorer?\"\n\nBecause kids used to be a good investment. Cheap manual labor on the farm, and then your personal Social Security account for when you got old and couldn't work anymore.\n\nOnce that changed, kids became a luxury good.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1984922771592532383","reply_id":"1984923119069634602","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":13,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":3225,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1984935188653117586","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1546522351105257473":{"id":"1546522351105257473","date":"2022-07-11 15:50:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Claim: high economic redistribution is only stable in demographically homogeneous countries precisely because those countries have strong non-economic social structures to ensure SES rank ordering.\n\nIe: ruling classes accept redistribution only when it doesn't affect outcomes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546522351105257473","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546522351105257473","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1154147763438755840":{"id":"1154147763438755840","date":"2019-07-24 21:54:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Great to talk with @ChuckJaffe on the @MoneyLifeShow! Great back-and-forth on a variety of topics.\nhttps://moneylifeshow.libsyn.com/rondures-geritz-there-are-many-disconnects-in-markets-right-now\n(fwd to 17:17 for the interview) #trading #edge #decisionmaking","hashtags":["trading","edge","decisionmaking"],"conv":"1154147763438755840","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1154147763438755840","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1597019143374393344":{"id":"1597019143374393344","date":"2022-11-28 00:06:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@longskew @macrocephalopod @AlexanderGerko Not really.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1596980228018278400","reply_id":"1596982695984529408","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"longskew","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597019143374393344","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1996622889726935179":{"id":"1996622889726935179","date":"2025-12-04 16:49:27","author":"Alfonso Straffon 🇨🇷🇺🇸🇲🇽","handle":"astraffon","text":"\"Polymarket has been recruiting new staff members for an internal market making team that could face off against customers on the company’s exchange, even though a similar feature has exposed its chief rival to criticism.\"\n\nPolymarket Builds In-House Trading Team as It Re-Enters the US\nBy @justinaknope and @iboudway \nhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-04/polymarket-builds-in-house-trading-team-as-it-re-enters-the-us","hashtags":[],"conv":"1996622889726935179","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1996865673323278362","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":243,"retweets":17,"replies":22,"quotes":14,"views":123156,"bookmarks":129,"media":["1996622889726935179_1.png","1996622889726935179_2.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/astraffon/status/1996622889726935179"},"1612196823753707520":{"id":"1612196823753707520","date":"2023-01-08 21:17:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"They always tell screenwriters \"write what you know\".\n\nAny surprise they wrote a whole Star Wars trilogy about a group of young aspirants trying to re-create the past glories of larger-than-life forebears?\n\nAnd failing, of course.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1612196823753707520","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2384,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1612196823753707520","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1557409736428961792":{"id":"1557409736428961792","date":"2022-08-10 16:53:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"On a scale of 0 to 10, how shocking is it that it turns out Vince McMahon paid out tens of millions of $ in sexual misconduct hush money?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1557409736428961792","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1557409736428961792","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1982790038191554920":{"id":"1982790038191554920","date":"2025-10-27 12:42:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@curlyhacks1 @tom_doerr No one who values their time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1982225969264955520","reply_id":"1982431733485301818","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"curlyhacks1","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":123,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1982790038191554920","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1511853779158659073":{"id":"1511853779158659073","date":"2022-04-06 23:50:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin Yeah, but they didn't have long bonds did they?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1511853272155701250","reply_id":"1511853272155701250","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1511853779158659073","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1510265062488825857":{"id":"1510265062488825857","date":"2022-04-02 14:37:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod Kricfalusi deserved to be cancelled, but that was a phenomenal show.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1510260271822131203","reply_id":"1510260271822131203","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1510265062488825857_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1510265062488825857","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1608141110714552320":{"id":"1608141110714552320","date":"2022-12-28 16:41:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite Yep. It's really not that complicated.\n\nhttps://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1583277941156245504","hashtags":[],"conv":"1608140690957172736","reply_id":"1608140690957172736","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":172,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1608141110714552320","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1865783277795279231":{"id":"1865783277795279231","date":"2024-12-08 15:39:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@yieldfarmer2222 @KrisAbdelmessih @HariPKrishnan2 @therobotjames @robertmartin88 Nah. If you want to get good, get a subscription to GTOWizard and forget the books.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1865738172199510504","reply_id":"1865772951087600085","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"yieldfarmer2222","likes":3,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":273,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1865783277795279231","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1777097721880740046":{"id":"1777097721880740046","date":"2024-04-07 22:14:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@gammichan Which, perhaps not coincidentally, is what I did in my previous life as an RFIC engineer! :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1777082575762166066","reply_id":"1777082575762166066","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"gammichan","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":186,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1777097721880740046","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2044671116635976100":{"id":"2044671116635976100","date":"2026-04-16 06:55:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Who's going to tell him.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2044671116635976100","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":278,"retweets":5,"replies":28,"quotes":0,"views":141619,"bookmarks":93,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2044671116635976100","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1934658771701387620":{"id":"1934658771701387620","date":"2025-06-16 17:06:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RoryWalshWatts 🙏🙏🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1934563284453036526","reply_id":"1934644181219049964","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RoryWalshWatts","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":13740,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1934658771701387620","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1748136426217381992":{"id":"1748136426217381992","date":"2024-01-19 00:12:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OGTaylorB Kalshi","hashtags":[],"conv":"1748105199665963157","reply_id":"1748135118084984941","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OGTaylorB","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":715,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1748136426217381992","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1694441574183375205":{"id":"1694441574183375205","date":"2023-08-23 20:08:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@wireless_anon @0xjustblaze To be clear, I do believe TS designers made the right call in order to maximize palatability and compatibility with existing ecosystems. Soundness isn't a stated design goal, so fine.\n\nBut that \"any\" exists, or that frequency with which I see type assertions, makes me skittish.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1694378058944589862","reply_id":"1694431533262655659","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"wireless_dev","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":279,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1694441574183375205","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2057736845148954741":{"id":"2057736845148954741","date":"2026-05-22 08:14:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"","hashtags":[],"conv":"2057736845148954741","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":84,"retweets":3,"replies":9,"quotes":1,"views":7583,"bookmarks":14,"media":["2057736845148954741_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2057736845148954741","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1507514375598317568":{"id":"1507514375598317568","date":"2022-03-26 00:26:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@michelpepito1 @blackswanjake People self-select into the groups that work for them...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507498350467112960","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507514375598317568","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1839362724587069925":{"id":"1839362724587069925","date":"2024-09-26 17:53:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Sbhowmick23 It may end up working out that way. Never bet against an installed base!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1839331135849218449","reply_id":"1839361893770952765","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MithrilBot","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":131,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1839362724587069925","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1585407245767974912":{"id":"1585407245767974912","date":"2022-10-26 23:05:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"8/ In many ways that's what type systems offer. If you can define the types in your problem clearly enough, a lot of difficult things become pretty easy.\n\nBecause you've been forced to think clearly about them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1585407235311964168","reply_id":"1585407244589764613","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1585407245767974912","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1397927320032223239":{"id":"1397927320032223239","date":"2021-05-27 14:46:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@robinhanson My kids and I count the real-world seconds on movie bomb countdowns.\n\nYou're usually looking at 2x - 3x time dilation. Almost asymptotically achieving infinite dilation as you get close to zero. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1397692533057196037","reply_id":"1397692533057196037","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"robinhanson","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1397927320032223239","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1856710210385006731":{"id":"1856710210385006731","date":"2024-11-13 14:46:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Mr. Beast will be the first YouTuber to reach escape velocity from the content creation gravity well.\n\nWill he be the only one?\n\nMKBHD obviously trying and failing so far.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1856710210385006731","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2867,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1856710210385006731","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1451565024158228482":{"id":"1451565024158228482","date":"2021-10-22 15:04:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @sukhoiConvexity @SinclairEuan My kids insist on doing their math in their heads. Or using the text input box on-screen as a scratchpad.\n\nUse paper! It's a 4000 year old technology that's far superior to your scrawlings on-screen.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1451237632910905349","reply_id":"1451564663708205096","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1451565024158228482","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1633168073145417729":{"id":"1633168073145417729","date":"2023-03-07 18:09:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@8ctopuso If you cared about the math then yes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632931055920615426","reply_id":"1633162412533641237","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"8ctopuso","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":316,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633168073145417729","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1521970582320939008":{"id":"1521970582320939008","date":"2022-05-04 21:50:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily Craigslist = pink sheets","hashtags":[],"conv":"1521961616824098816","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1521970582320939008","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1896249612111093900":{"id":"1896249612111093900","date":"2025-03-02 17:21:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_____Lightning I love Ray Bones. I love Dennis Farina.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1896125163172966823","reply_id":"1896187956274364762","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_____Lightning","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":30,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1896249612111093900","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1903901537786564961":{"id":"1903901537786564961","date":"2025-03-23 20:07:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@chartsandparts Lack of tools for retail is *not* the reason KenG has made billions off retail flow.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1903889760483238169","reply_id":"1903895321429618723","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"chartsandparts","likes":14,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":440,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1903901537786564961","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1565097652756176896":{"id":"1565097652756176896","date":"2022-08-31 22:02:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@longskew Solid entrant.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1565045174534750208","reply_id":"1565090444849053698","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"longskew","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1565097652756176896","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1563575512122814465":{"id":"1563575512122814465","date":"2022-08-27 17:13:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I swear I'm the last middle-aged white man in southern California who still obeys traffic laws.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1563575512122814465","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":34,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1563575512122814465_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1563575512122814465","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1468660518697123840":{"id":"1468660518697123840","date":"2021-12-08 19:15:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"You know it's not especially adversarial when the panel is asked \"If you were king for a day, what regulation would *you* like to see?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1468660518697123840","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1468660518697123840","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1486413619663306752":{"id":"1486413619663306752","date":"2022-01-26 18:59:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3/ What am I supposed to say?\n\n\"Just look at your building card. 3 devs + 1 PM + 1 QA = 1 feature.\"\n\nCEO: \"I tried that but it didn't work. The feature was late and buggy.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486413617582927874","reply_id":"1486413618665033728","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1486413619663306752","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1946114893649768831":{"id":"1946114893649768831","date":"2025-07-18 07:48:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"7. So prediction markets will naturally converge much more on \"will there be a civil war by 2030\" types of questions than on \"will we discover anti-gravity by 2030\" questions.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946114875899486383","reply_id":"1946114891481260108","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":48,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":4098,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946114893649768831","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1283948496198852608":{"id":"1283948496198852608","date":"2020-07-17 02:15:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jordanwrong1 @SinclairEuan @KrisAbdelmessih Dudes who bid up upside calls in weird stocks before earnings usually do it more than once. Look through the trade history. Do you see signs of the same activity? How did their trades work out before?\n\nMaybe they're a dentist taking a quarterly punt, like in Ch1 of my book.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1282702235583954945","reply_id":"1283948160990113792","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1283948496198852608","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1661596288310460416":{"id":"1661596288310460416","date":"2023-05-25 04:53:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xfbifemboy @tenobrus Nah.\n\nHigher IQ increases vol of outcomes at least as much as median. So I'm told. :)\n\nhttps://milkyeggs.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/rebuttal_1.pdf","hashtags":[],"conv":"1661435189942427649","reply_id":"1661476810851504129","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xfbifemboy","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":278,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1661596288310460416","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1515502812448235522":{"id":"1515502812448235522","date":"2022-04-17 01:30:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ToxicContra OTC phone trading in the inter-dealer broker market.\n\nOpen-outcry trading in futures pits and rings.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1515419077451390992","reply_id":"1515502483510112256","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ToxicContra","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1515502812448235522","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1666800453802242054":{"id":"1666800453802242054","date":"2023-06-08 13:32:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"18/ Over the next few years I realized what everyone now gets taught in Startups 101: vision is worthless without execution.\n\nAnd Mike was deep in execution mode at the time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1666800429236207621","reply_id":"1666800452099272705","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":851,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1666800453802242054","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1837530688599535994":{"id":"1837530688599535994","date":"2024-09-21 16:33:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano What was your opinion? Am I way off base here?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1837529061276442989","reply_id":"1837530050050072783","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2960,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1837530688599535994","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1878329588431925730":{"id":"1878329588431925730","date":"2025-01-12 06:34:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@__paleologo Many cases.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1878123188585902380","reply_id":"1878192781929173121","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"__paleologo","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":508,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1878329588431925730","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1732138402555015543":{"id":"1732138402555015543","date":"2023-12-05 20:42:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_____Lightning Well, how much vega do you want to be able to trade in your BTC VIX (or whatever) product? Probably you need the options market to be 10x that in vega terms to start.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1732132770984624129","reply_id":"1732136111592374629","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_____Lightning","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":389,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1732138402555015543","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2048694255128846551":{"id":"2048694255128846551","date":"2026-04-27 09:22:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5. HF relies a LOT more on domain knowledge than VC-funded SaaS has, historically. That means the model of \"make two 23-year-old Stanford grads suffer for years on a low-probability win\" wouldn't attract great people in HF.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2048693908486394079","reply_id":"2048693921958555776","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":34,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":5179,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2048694255128846551","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1666800435385053187":{"id":"1666800435385053187","date":"2023-06-08 13:32:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5/ Of course, marrying the LCD with the EL backlight ain't so easy. CCFL lighting gets done from the side (usually the bottom), but EL has to come from the back of the LCD.\n\n(all of this is from memory 27 years ago, so caveat emptor on the accuracy)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1666800429236207621","reply_id":"1666800434038620162","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":797,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1666800435385053187","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1713340496444359125":{"id":"1713340496444359125","date":"2023-10-14 23:46:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Who is the best recreational-player style ATP pro?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1713340496444359125","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2765,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1713340496444359125","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1427346904082378752":{"id":"1427346904082378752","date":"2021-08-16 19:09:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Every time you think \"hmm, surely this is the worst🤦‍♂️ever\" in the world of #crypto exchange APIs, you KNOW you'll soon see worse.\n\n@HuobiGlobal, ascend to the top of 💩 mountain. For now.\n\nWhy? They have 4 different websocket addrs to get order updates. FOUR. Just... wow. 👏👏👏","hashtags":["crypto"],"conv":"1427346904082378752","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1427346904082378752","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1368726202123382786":{"id":"1368726202123382786","date":"2021-03-08 00:52:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @SinclairEuan @DBecevic @o_wutang I guess start with scenarios to get a feel for it.\n\nOption A makes X dollars in the event that Y happens.\nEstimate P(exch-of-A defaults conditional on event Y)\nEst recovery $. EV calc. Etc.\n\n?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1368343033683578881","reply_id":"1368719732816277504","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1368726202123382786","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1420557271583526915":{"id":"1420557271583526915","date":"2021-07-29 01:30:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily Covid 2: The Recoviding","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420553752461811715","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420557271583526915","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1566992249401282562":{"id":"1566992249401282562","date":"2022-09-06 03:30:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@witchqueendot @Dpro2298 @macrocephalopod Outside view: if trading them requires this kind of math, you're almost definitely -EV.\n\nJust sayin', the bank exo desk that's quoting these for you has a team of a dozen French quants who've been pricing whatever structure this is for the last 20 years.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1566886283607040000","reply_id":"1566949915736977408","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"witchqueendot","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1566992249401282562","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1649888178990620672":{"id":"1649888178990620672","date":"2023-04-22 21:29:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_gncosta E isso mesmo. O mundo de trading e muito complexo então precisamos sistematicamente analizar nossas crenças. Assim evitamos nos enganar.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1649874465029799940","reply_id":"1649874465029799940","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"4x04a12","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":109,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1649888178990620672","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1484622407147032577":{"id":"1484622407147032577","date":"2022-01-21 20:22:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"LeBron James is starting to rival MJ for the greatest player ability :: GM ability ratio.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1484622407147032577","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1484622407147032577","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1517616291678351361":{"id":"1517616291678351361","date":"2022-04-22 21:28:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 Ah yes, the ole \"do a trade and turn off\" approach to options market-making.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1517608167378673670","reply_id":"1517614180332978176","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1517616291678351361","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1568391778516234241":{"id":"1568391778516234241","date":"2022-09-10 00:11:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Top three option trader math skills from 20 years ago:\n- Sqrt(252) = 16\n- Sqrt(2/pi) = 0.8\n- N(-2/3) = 0.25","hashtags":[],"conv":"1568391778516234241","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":285,"retweets":21,"replies":9,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":179,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1568391778516234241","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1837551356493652180":{"id":"1837551356493652180","date":"2024-09-21 17:55:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pmontu33 @QuantFinDev I've only read Quantitative Trading. It's good because it focuses on a lot of the important \"boring\" stuff that matters as much as you alpha. Corporate structure, risk management, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1837529061276442989","reply_id":"1837546569442210123","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pmontu33","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":744,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1837551356493652180","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1898641464030011820":{"id":"1898641464030011820","date":"2025-03-09 07:46:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tennisabstract I feel like there is a category of tennis player that looks roughly like:\n\n\"Has all the tools (I think) but can't put it all together enough to win often.\"\n\nWatching Korda vs Monfils, I feel like Korda is the poster-boy here. Can this be systematized somehow?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1898641464030011820","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tennisabstract","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":432,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1898641464030011820","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1643979143548379141":{"id":"1643979143548379141","date":"2023-04-06 14:09:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Easily in the top 5 books about the history of science/engineering/computers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1643979143548379141","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":7434,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1643979143548379141","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1405184151259475976":{"id":"1405184151259475976","date":"2021-06-16 15:23:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2/ What is a leafblower? It's a motorized wind generator that moves light outdoor particles (leaves, twigs, dirt/dust).\n\nFacts about the common leafblower and its typical use:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1405184150139674624","reply_id":"1405184150139674624","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1405184151259475976","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1942138312543682862":{"id":"1942138312543682862","date":"2025-07-07 08:27:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"17/ And even if you think there's something a bit sketchy going on, there's a big political calculation to be done in bringing any regulatory action or suit.\n\nTrading firms have deep pockets to fight things.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942138310433911013","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":110,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":22443,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942138312543682862","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1747394528104063306":{"id":"1747394528104063306","date":"2024-01-16 23:04:55","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"@VolSignals i see tons of this stuff -  but is there any evidence this stuff has any ability to predict future returns?\n\nOI is sticky and gamma goes where price goes. so it's always gonna look \"non-random\" but does this stuff actually have any predictive power over returns?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1747392349875888229","reply_id":"1747392349875888229","quote_id":"1747398635602731349","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolSignals","likes":50,"retweets":0,"replies":12,"quotes":2,"views":13733,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1747394528104063306"},"1547964128622350338":{"id":"1547964128622350338","date":"2022-07-15 15:19:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It looks like Java Swing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1547960616970625024","reply_id":"1547960616970625024","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1547964128622350338","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1510312573123522560":{"id":"1510312573123522560","date":"2022-04-02 17:45:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily Ideally right before they do it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1510277871566159876","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1510312573123522560","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1781337418915893613":{"id":"1781337418915893613","date":"2024-04-19 15:01:50","author":"Daily Nous / Justin Weinberg","handle":"DailyNousEditor","text":"Philosopher Daniel Dennett has died. https://dailynous.com/2024/04/19/daniel-dennett-death-1942-2024/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1781337418915893613","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1781352296489902247","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1585,"retweets":683,"replies":65,"quotes":427,"views":773238,"bookmarks":194,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/DailyNousEditor/status/1781337418915893613"},"1341872660964286464":{"id":"1341872660964286464","date":"2020-12-23 22:25:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is an important insight. The argument is that in all these pursuits, just plugging away and using your brain effectively can get you very very far.\n\nBut that last little bit, the one that maybe takes inborn talent, is (surprisingly to me) about being consistently great.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1341872660964286464","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1341872660964286464","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2060758432773280053":{"id":"2060758432773280053","date":"2026-05-30 16:21:12","author":"Lauris","handle":"lzminsky","text":"Happy to ship the first version of Hedgebook, powered by @Kalshi : an app showing how every SPX companies can hedge their core business risks using Kalshi event contract markets.\n\nEvent contracts and perpetual contracts consolidated into a single, onshore, regulated exchange is how we get to perfect Arrow-Debreu markets. \n\nThanks to @j0hnwang and @0x_ultra for inviting me to build this, and to Nicole from @KalshiResearch for inviting me to present the early frameworks at the Kalshi Research Conference in March.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2060758432773280053","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2060792596151022057","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1065,"retweets":84,"replies":160,"quotes":40,"views":316592,"bookmarks":373,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/lzminsky/status/2060758432773280053"},"1621591573053202432":{"id":"1621591573053202432","date":"2023-02-03 19:28:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@scottbaumann Agreed!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1621527033804382208","reply_id":"1621584441607856128","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"scottbaumann","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":66,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1621591573053202432","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2064420338188841370":{"id":"2064420338188841370","date":"2026-06-09 18:52:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Remember that movie where the protagonist was in a hazmat suit interacting with an alien but then the alien did a cute thing so they removed the hazmat suit and they didn't die and everything was fine?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2064420338188841370","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":5657,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2064420338188841370","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1748432695217291575":{"id":"1748432695217291575","date":"2024-01-19 19:50:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @tweetsbenedict https://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1748432504036684192\n\nThough I'll argue that a top private school comes with its own issues...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1748383159493046538","reply_id":"1748430599810121750","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":114,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1748432695217291575","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1501183152055803908":{"id":"1501183152055803908","date":"2022-03-08 13:08:48","author":"iwillnotsaveyou","handle":"iwillnotsaveu","text":"@KentoInami I’m sure this is an unpopular opinion, but the ability to cancel trades is a feature imo. Should be reserved for true mistakes, but it makes everyone more comfortable to deploy capital.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501172120503689218","reply_id":"1501172120503689218","quote_id":"1501265013637410818","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KentoInami","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/iwillnotsaveu/status/1501183152055803908"},"1536519826918674432":{"id":"1536519826918674432","date":"2022-06-14 01:24:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jgreco In the words of Jerry Seinfeld: \"Elaine, have you *been* to the DMV?\"\n\nI've had occasion to audit hundreds of dev interviews in the last few years.\n\n- 10yr experienced JS dev who never heard of string.split()\n- 15yr Python dev: what's a type?\n\nAnd more. All making 140k USD+.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536517696405258240","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1536519826918674432","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1434978122827395074":{"id":"1434978122827395074","date":"2021-09-06 20:33:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NathanTankus Nooooo!!!!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434977412345995276","reply_id":"1434977412345995276","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"NathanTankus","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434978122827395074","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1474428604813504512":{"id":"1474428604813504512","date":"2021-12-24 17:15:47","author":"Antonio García Martínez (agm.eth)","handle":"antoniogm","text":"Damien Hirst auctioning work as an optional NFT.\n\n\"Winning bidder of this lot will have until July 2022 to decide between keeping the NFT or exchanging it for the physical artwork it represents. Only one can be kept, the other one will be destroyed.\"\n\nhttps://fineart.ha.com/itm/other/damien-hirst-b-1965-3976-too-busy-thinking-from-the-currency-2021non-fungible-token-nfted/a/16181-42123.s","hashtags":[],"conv":"1474428604813504512","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1474437137252507650","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":42,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/antoniogm/status/1474428604813504512"},"1915357266296942702":{"id":"1915357266296942702","date":"2025-04-24 10:48:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"OpenAI net revenue: 200b\n\nDeepMind net revenue: what's revenue?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1915357266296942702","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":3492,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1915357266296942702","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2041598428539400645":{"id":"2041598428539400645","date":"2026-04-07 19:26:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Makes a lot of sense.\nMakes open-source distillation much harder for one.\nIncreases the value of enterprise contracts for another.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2041598425867641247","reply_id":"2041598425867641247","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":35,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2592,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2041598428539400645","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1161655142338351104":{"id":"1161655142338351104","date":"2019-08-14 15:05:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@WayneHimelsein The flip side is that greed has no place either.\n\nFear emotions are caused by the prospect of losing $.\nGreed emotions are caused by the prospect of winning $.\n\nThe same arguments apply to both.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1161654054054797312","reply_id":"1161654054054797312","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"WayneHimelsein","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1161655142338351104","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1761644876159164798":{"id":"1761644876159164798","date":"2024-02-25 06:50:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Think TikTok but without humans in the content-creation loop. Distilled engagement.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1761643939524964590","reply_id":"1761644491612831944","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1171,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1761644876159164798","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1705977809435591050":{"id":"1705977809435591050","date":"2023-09-24 16:09:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Nand2Tetris is great. Highly recommend!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1705977809435591050","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3437,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1705977809435591050","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1778896202844557630":{"id":"1778896202844557630","date":"2024-04-12 21:21:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod It's my first language.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1778886898770956633","reply_id":"1778896099316494477","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":534,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1778896202844557630","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1771225731869069797":{"id":"1771225731869069797","date":"2024-03-22 17:21:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @stalequant That's just the efficient price of liquidity. I don't make the rules.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1771211128242098240","reply_id":"1771215482357526975","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":284,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1771225731869069797","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1396901379671613440":{"id":"1396901379671613440","date":"2021-05-24 18:50:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I continue to be amazed by how differently men and women speak in Brazilian Portuguese.\n\nHuge sexual dimorphism in accents, words used, and expressions.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1396901379671613440","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1396901379671613440","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1146059177367724035":{"id":"1146059177367724035","date":"2019-07-02 14:12:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Law Of Trading #11: If you're not getting better, you're getting worse. #newbook #lawsoftrading #trading","hashtags":["newbook","lawsoftrading","trading"],"conv":"1146059177367724035","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1146059177367724035_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1146059177367724035","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1341041802917232640":{"id":"1341041802917232640","date":"2020-12-21 15:24:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The way it stops is by choosing someone to sacrifice. You can see this most clearly when short squeezes end. At some point, prices get crazy enough that enough shares get freed up to push prices down.\n\nWhoever bought last gets sacrificed.\n\n/4","hashtags":[],"conv":"1341041800081887233","reply_id":"1341041801902260224","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1341041802917232640","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2038657509414637894":{"id":"2038657509414637894","date":"2026-03-30 16:40:01","author":"Aporia","handle":"0xaporia","text":"RT @0xaporia: Define a signal, test whether it's predictive for what you want it to capture, and if it is, accept the weight of the risk that comes with trading it. No tricks, no layering on filters to make the equity curve look smoother in a backtest, no pretending you can isolate the good trades from the bad ones. You can't scam the market out of giving you return without taking risk.\n\nThe people who struggle are the ones treating risk as a bug to be fixed rather than the price of admission. They keep adding complexity trying to get the return without the pain, and they end up either curve-fitting or shifting the risk somewhere they can't see it until it blows up.\n\nYou're getting paid to be uncomfortable. That's the deal, right? You better get comfy with being uncomfy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2038657509414637894","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2038552510160400886","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":38,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0xaporia/status/2038657509414637894"},"1587879227457622016":{"id":"1587879227457622016","date":"2022-11-02 18:48:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I thought @macrocephalobot was going to be a vision from our collective future.\n\nTurns out it's just clearing up the fog from my vision of the present.\n\n👏👏👏 Mr. Octopus.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1587879227457622016","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1587879227457622016","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1310768205808332800":{"id":"1310768205808332800","date":"2020-09-29 02:27:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @bratwww My kids went through Beast Academy. Highly recommended.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1310613751406551042","reply_id":"1310616788397248512","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1310768205808332800","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2036035556254138558":{"id":"2036035556254138558","date":"2026-03-23 11:01:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"- Tennis: Novak 10 AOs, 7 Wimbedons, Roger 8 Wimbledons, Rafa is insane.\n- Track: Usain Bolt 8 gold medals.\n- Golf: Nicklaus 6 Masters, Tiger 5 Masters.\n- NASCAR: Earnhardt, Johnson, Petty with 7 titles each.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2036035554333073732","reply_id":"2036035554333073732","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":4209,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2036035556254138558","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1726087479688835072":{"id":"1726087479688835072","date":"2023-11-19 03:58:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brettharrison @dystopiabreaker So we've learned!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1590488411701669888","reply_id":"1726077467650130024","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BrettHarrison","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":200,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1726087479688835072","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1532511246448070656":{"id":"1532511246448070656","date":"2022-06-02 23:55:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @macrocephalopod Never read it. That's... odd.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1532494929968365568","reply_id":"1532510240444657664","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1532511246448070656","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1817611231764926591":{"id":"1817611231764926591","date":"2024-07-28 17:21:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In Brazil, real estate agents, plumbers, you name it, run their whole businesses in 30s to 180s recordings to and from their clients.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1817610728926515698","reply_id":"1817610728926515698","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1523,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1817611231764926591","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1886087751566508120":{"id":"1886087751566508120","date":"2025-02-02 16:22:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ffxivmarket Starting to feel this is unavoidable if I want these things to be useful in this way...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1886077044951273587","reply_id":"1886081599466270771","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Ffxivmarket","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":481,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1886087751566508120","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1471538409604669446":{"id":"1471538409604669446","date":"2021-12-16 17:51:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolQuant This is great. Quoting conventions in base metal options on the LME also have similar insanities. The calendar is all messed up so time-to-exp is messed up, for one. At least FX doesn't have that issue (I think?).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471535220553883649","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471538409604669446","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1870447412692873719":{"id":"1870447412692873719","date":"2024-12-21 12:33:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's true. I live in both worlds and the disconnect is bigger than anything I've ever seen.\n\nEven bigger than the {crypto-believer vs not} disconnect of 2021.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1870447412692873719","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":33,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":8498,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1870447412692873719","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2022282593631093014":{"id":"2022282593631093014","date":"2026-02-13 12:11:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The highest-order bit of what it's like to work somewhere is whether that place is growing rapidly or not.\n\nEverything else follows from that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2022282593631093014","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":112,"retweets":4,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":16688,"bookmarks":50,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2022282593631093014","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1719223932811874337":{"id":"1719223932811874337","date":"2023-10-31 05:25:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If a presidential order is what it takes for researchers to take working on sample efficiency seriously, then so be it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1719223932811874337","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3148,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1719223932811874337","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2006134459213414412":{"id":"2006134459213414412","date":"2025-12-30 22:45:01","author":"Flushing It","handle":"flushingitgolf","text":"Bryson DeChambeau hasn’t played since the Ryder Cup and he won’t be again until LIV Golf Riyadh in February. He says he’s been speed training through the off season though and has a target of reaching a comfortable 200mph ball speed. He’s also been playing table tennis with America’s number 1, Kanak Jha.\n\nSpeaking to Tom Hobbs from Flushing It Golf, Bryson said: \n\n“I’m not playing until Riyadh. I’m going to be going in hot though. I’m sneaky working on my game really hard.\n\n“I'm going to start ramping up my speed again. I ramped up my speed in November, got it to where I was pumping over 190 quite efficiently with some slow golf balls and stuff. I got to 200 quite a bit. \n\n“I haven’t done much recently though. I was playing some ping pong actually the past couple of days with the number one USA player, Kanak Jha. He's so much fun. Ping Pong is my favourite sport, so I got to learn a little bit from the best in the U.S. He’s twenty first in the world. So nobody's really gotten that high from the U.S. which is sweet. \n\n“But I'll get back to speed training right after Christmas and going into the new season, I want to be close to 200. So that's my goal. I’ll just get to a place where I’m super comfortable swinging fast.”\n\nThe last time Bryson went after speed he gained an enormous amount of mass. He’s come back down through the weights though over the last few seasons and is much healthier for it.\n\nBut, if Force = Mass x Acceleration, will he look to add more mass again and what’s more important, increasing acceleration or gaining mass?\n\n“They're both very important. If you don't have any mass, you can't accelerate it. It's a symbiotic relationship. It's actually more like F equals M V squared, that’s more of the velocity side of it. \n\n“You can accelerate too, but what I would say is the most important thing is it's not necessarily the mass or the acceleration, it’s the ability to put pressure onto the club. So you're able to apply pressure and control that through your grip strengths around a circle, that's probably the more important piece. Applying controlled pressure to the golf club like grip pressure. \n\n“It's not that you just accelerate the club, because you have to learn how to control the face through that motion as well. So it's all, you know, you can say it's acceleration, but it's a lot of grip pressure stuff. The more you control the grip pressure and how you're moving that grip, I would say that’s more the answer to your question.\n\n“And I guess at a certain point there’s dimishning return with, you know, going up in the mass and even down in the mass. There is a sweet spot for swinging a golf club. If you get a speedstick, there's just not enough mass behind it to create the smash factor necessary, and vice versa if it is too heavy, you can’t swing it that fast. \n\n“I'll always say swinging and accelerating the club is probably the most important, but the real answer is applying the most pressure to the golf club. The grip pressure. You’re not gripping it tighter, but your hand force into it pulling it and then throwing it around the corner.”\n\nContinues in comments thread below.\n\n@brysondech @Crushers_GC @livgolf_league","hashtags":[],"conv":"2006134459213414412","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2006358446078402868","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":352,"retweets":31,"replies":41,"quotes":14,"views":608361,"bookmarks":55,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/flushingitgolf/status/2006134459213414412"},"1587576670474555392":{"id":"1587576670474555392","date":"2022-11-01 22:45:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@l1quid1ty @therobotjames @TCK_JRubano We're playing with deep stacks here.\n\nYou want to go Italian? I can go Italian.\n\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Stochastic-Volatility-Modeling-Financial-Mathematics/dp/1482244063","hashtags":[],"conv":"1587569810850086912","reply_id":"1587576070869774336","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"l1quid1ty","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1587576670474555392_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1587576670474555392","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1346863591903825921":{"id":"1346863591903825921","date":"2021-01-06 16:57:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"32/ As a reminder, so far we've established that if you're going to trade options, you're doing it because you want to trade vol.\n\nOr more accurately, you have opinions about the underlying distribution *other* than its mean.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346863589760516097","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346863591903825921","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1749587359505797434":{"id":"1749587359505797434","date":"2024-01-23 00:18:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DayNiteTrader @Fuquet @brrrcapital1 Way before its time. Incredible piece of software.\n\n(I'm that old too)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1749580779221594239","reply_id":"1749587133030142245","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DayNiteTrader","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":94,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1749587359505797434","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1847929167054057910":{"id":"1847929167054057910","date":"2024-10-20 09:13:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Love to see analysis on the drop shot:\n\nhttps://www.tennisabstract.com/blog/2024/03/23/more-about-drop-shots-alexander-bublik-edition/\n\nQ for @tennisabstract: this analyzes the shot in isolation, but probably there's also a game theoretic value to the shot: opp has to respect the possibility, stands closer to the baseline, so drives get improved EV.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847929167054057910","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2149,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847929167054057910","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1431008908080910336":{"id":"1431008908080910336","date":"2021-08-26 21:41:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JessicaNutt96 Just don't get short w/o a borrow.\n\nMaking delivery on them is... elaborate.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1431008014207750161","reply_id":"1431008014207750161","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JessicaNutt96","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1431008908080910336","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1258814992188506118":{"id":"1258814992188506118","date":"2020-05-08 17:44:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan But what about my feeeeeeelings on the subject?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1258814518571999232","reply_id":"1258814518571999232","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1258814992188506118","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1549011512139821056":{"id":"1549011512139821056","date":"2022-07-18 12:41:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein \"You had one job.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1549011316064624640","reply_id":"1549011316064624640","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1549011512139821056","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1763329251905024251":{"id":"1763329251905024251","date":"2024-02-29 22:23:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Realityhrts @KrisAbdelmessih ❤️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1763304399466852840","reply_id":"1763327471565648336","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Realityhrts","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":108,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1763329251905024251","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1485634110718500865":{"id":"1485634110718500865","date":"2022-01-24 15:22:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Two facts (taken together) amuse me:\n\n- Everyone hates PFOF, where MMs pay brokers for flow and retail gets a BETTER price.\n\n- Everyone loves 1INCH, where the broker (1INCH) pockets any price improvement retail gets and retail gets a WORSE price.\n\n🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1485634110718500865","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":44,"retweets":2,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1485634110718500865","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2003757764724842787":{"id":"2003757764724842787","date":"2025-12-24 09:20:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I see my corr(3 RVs) question is still there, though I don't love the model answer.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2003757764724842787","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":137,"retweets":2,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":42188,"bookmarks":220,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2003757764724842787","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1440798918866980876":{"id":"1440798918866980876","date":"2021-09-22 22:03:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tarunchitra It's fine if you get it with Infinibutter.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1440798691967655940","reply_id":"1440798691967655940","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tarunchitra","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1440798918866980876","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2042601895097962948":{"id":"2042601895097962948","date":"2026-04-10 13:53:36","author":"Chris Bakke","handle":"ChrisJBakke","text":"Running a company:\n\n2020: can you survive a pandemic?\n\n2021: still here? we’re going to give all of your competitors $100m series A rounds.\n\n2022: wow, you made it? okay, all engineers cost $600,000/year now.\n\n2023: nice job! okay, SVB failed and we’re going to take away your bank account.\n\n2024: a survivor I see. but can you pivot from ai to crypto to defense tech back to ai-enabled defense tech in a 12 month period to stay relevant? \n\n2025: unfortunately all of your competitors have raised $2b series B rounds. oh and only 500 engineers are relevant and they cost $100m/yr each.\n\n2026: well, well, well. you’re still in business? let’s deploy the thunderclap of godlike LLMs from the heavens so all of your customers can rebuild your app in 2 hours. can you survive?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2042601895097962948","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2042621198417150325","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6766,"retweets":564,"replies":187,"quotes":157,"views":873466,"bookmarks":1490,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ChrisJBakke/status/2042601895097962948"},"1361475413055209473":{"id":"1361475413055209473","date":"2021-02-16 00:40:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Short rates, margin rates, trading costs, market impact are good ones too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1361454797786730498","reply_id":"1361454797786730498","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1361475413055209473","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1889335807804113097":{"id":"1889335807804113097","date":"2025-02-11 15:28:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The difference between software and hardware businesses:\n\nSoftware: LOIs are everything.\nHardware: LOIs are meaningless.\n\n(LOIs roughly mean \"If you build it, we'll buy it.\")","hashtags":[],"conv":"1889335807804113097","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1525,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1889335807804113097","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1346141188856770560":{"id":"1346141188856770560","date":"2021-01-04 17:07:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Here you go!\n\nhttps://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346141073488314371","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346122749899493377","reply_id":"1346122749899493377","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346141188856770560","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1498138040006418435":{"id":"1498138040006418435","date":"2022-02-28 03:28:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @be20684347 @FREAK0NAUT @M1tchRosenthal @macrocephalopod @therobotjames @NotQuiteMidlife @nope_its_lily @fed_speak Quincy. **shudder**\n\nThe world's fastest and most unreliable datafeed ever.\n\nSomeone even looks in its direction and it goes down, it feel like.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1340471352348848134","reply_id":"1498137625319849996","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1498138040006418435","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2034752685631574022":{"id":"2034752685631574022","date":"2026-03-19 22:03:38","author":"Ryan","handle":"ohryansbelt","text":"Delve, a YC-backed compliance startup that raised $32 million, has been accused of systematically faking SOC 2, ISO 27001, HIPAA, and GDPR compliance reports for hundreds of clients. According to a detailed Substack investigation by DeepDelver, a leaked Google spreadsheet containing links to hundreds of confidential draft audit reports revealed that Delve generates auditor conclusions before any auditor reviews evidence, uses the same template across 99.8% of reports, and relies on Indian certification mills operating through empty US shells instead of the \"US-based CPA firms\" they advertise. Here's the breakdown:\n\n> 493 out of 494 leaked SOC 2 reports allegedly contain identical boilerplate text, including the same grammatical errors and nonsensical sentences, with only a company name, logo, org chart, and signature swapped in\n> Auditor conclusions and test procedures are reportedly pre-written in draft reports before clients even provide their company description, which would violate AICPA independence rules requiring auditors to independently design tests and form conclusions\n> All 259 Type II reports claim zero security incidents, zero personnel changes, zero customer terminations, and zero cyber incidents during the observation period, with identical \"unable to test\" conclusions across every client\n> Delve's \"US-based auditors\" are actually Accorp and Gradient, described as Indian certification mills operating through US shell entities. 99%+ of clients reportedly went through one of these two firms over the past 6 months\n> The platform allegedly publishes fully populated trust pages claiming vulnerability scanning, pentesting, and data recovery simulations before any compliance work has been done\n> Delve pre-fabricates board meeting minutes, risk assessments, security incident simulations, and employee evidence that clients can adopt with a single click, according to the author\n> Most \"integrations\" are just containers for manual screenshots with no actual API connections. The author describes the platform as a \"SOC 2 template pack with a thin SaaS wrapper\"\n> When the leak was exposed, CEO Karun Kaushik emailed clients calling the allegations \"falsified claims\" from an \"AI-generated email\" and stated no sensitive data was accessed, while the reports themselves contained private signatures and confidential architecture diagrams\n> Companies relying on these reports could face criminal liability under HIPAA and fines up to 4% of global revenue under GDPR for compliance violations they believed were resolved\n> When clients threaten to leave, Delve reportedly pairs them with an external vCISO for manual off-platform work, which the author argues proves their own platform can't deliver real compliance\n> Delve's sales price dropped from $15,000 to $6,000 with ISO 27001 and a penetration test thrown in when a client mentioned considering a competitor","hashtags":[],"conv":"2034752685631574022","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2034959092809081279","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8072,"retweets":707,"replies":381,"quotes":653,"views":5691059,"bookmarks":4265,"media":["2034752685631574022_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ohryansbelt/status/2034752685631574022"},"1988534036755599439":{"id":"1988534036755599439","date":"2025-11-12 09:07:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5. A \"great\" training program. That you have to pay for.\n\nLegit prop firms don't make you pay for training.\n\nBucket shops will advertise the names of the \"senior traders\" who will teach you \"everything they know\", but it's  all bullshit. What they know is how to scam you.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1988534015419146302","reply_id":"1988534034666749952","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":52,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":9296,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1988534036755599439","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1955983262863565179":{"id":"1955983262863565179","date":"2025-08-14 13:22:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I can't get over how nicely phrased this is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1955983262863565179","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3915,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1955983262863565179","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1475491283426631683":{"id":"1475491283426631683","date":"2021-12-27 15:38:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @Route2FI I've started calling everything APY. I bought some milk at the store yesterday. Usually do so once a week. So I paid 5200% APY.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1475206313739264008","reply_id":"1475461199156314114","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":10,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1475491283426631683","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1790012894299525440":{"id":"1790012894299525440","date":"2024-05-13 13:35:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DanielPainview Seems like \"Craiglist but with more scammers and time-wasters because messaging is so trivial\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1790009616459341874","reply_id":"1790009708390055993","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DanielPainview","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":176,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1790012894299525440","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1556041748668768256":{"id":"1556041748668768256","date":"2022-08-06 22:17:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What fraction of bikes sold by habitual sellers on Craigslist are stolen?\n\nIt's gotta be like almost all of them right?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1556041748668768256","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":31,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1556041748668768256","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1781833946504036689":{"id":"1781833946504036689","date":"2024-04-20 23:54:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Give professional P-hackers better tools to generate and test hypotheses?\n\nAnd you thought the replication crisis was already bad.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1781833946504036689","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":31,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3998,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1781833946504036689","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1847620896745230826":{"id":"1847620896745230826","date":"2024-10-19 12:48:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DegenSugarBoo Honestly, it's tough. Your impression is exactly right: find very smart, hardworking people with the right mindset about decision-making, then train them on your domain.\n\nIf you don't have the pedigree, you'll need to stand out somehow. Like actually *be* special in some way.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847610792113316169","reply_id":"1847619845959143780","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DegenSugarBoo","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":692,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847620896745230826","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1836811594992398398":{"id":"1836811594992398398","date":"2024-09-19 16:56:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jp_JellyRoll @macrocephalopod We assume that they're not good at getting rich by legitimate means, which is why they had to resort to politics.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1836694662037270815","reply_id":"1836788674798772300","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jp_JellyRoll","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":139,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1836811594992398398","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1788973467121119454":{"id":"1788973467121119454","date":"2024-05-10 16:44:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@peteinvesting ✅","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788969245222850997","reply_id":"1788970387667366030","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"peteinvesting","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1545,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788973467121119454","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1763287537635004873":{"id":"1763287537635004873","date":"2024-02-29 19:38:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih When I teach this, I literally do it in Excel. I go in this order:\n- Create a log normal dist with some vol. No drift.\n- Calc mean. Wait, why is the mean return > 0?\n- Oh, tail shape.\n- Ok, adjustment factor. -0.5*sigma^2.\n- Change vol. Still works to get mean return = 0.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1763281553684402249","reply_id":"1763281553684402249","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":7,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":683,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1763287537635004873","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2008661185881637260":{"id":"2008661185881637260","date":"2026-01-06 22:05:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"RT @AgustinLebron3: @macrocephalopod @joseph_h_garvin Dating in a small town : Tinder in NYC\n::\nWriting code by hand : LLM codegen\n\nThe easy generation of infinite alternatives cheapens the process and the product.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2008661185881637260","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2008661167380852940","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2008661185881637260","type":"retweet","issues":[]},"1722428928143626418":{"id":"1722428928143626418","date":"2023-11-09 01:40:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@yieldcurvepro We can math-ize this if we want but I'm trying to focus on the intuition.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1722380090070409234","reply_id":"1722428699344310772","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":146,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1722428928143626418","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2019086974443807111":{"id":"2019086974443807111","date":"2026-02-04 16:33:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Who are you going to believe? Me, or your lyin' eyes?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2019086974443807111","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4335,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2019086974443807111","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1153148205996974081":{"id":"1153148205996974081","date":"2019-07-22 03:42:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"As I've always said, the skills you need to survive in the modern #gigeconomy are those of a #trader.\nhttps://www.nytimes.com/2019/07/21/nyregion/doordash-ubereats-food-app-delivery-bike.html","hashtags":["gigeconomy","trader"],"conv":"1153148205996974081","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1153148205996974081","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1554537991309144065":{"id":"1554537991309144065","date":"2022-08-02 18:41:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@punk6529 Yeah but one is an IRL identity (i.e. with potential real-life consequences for bad behavior) whereas the crypto version is pseudonymous.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1554536409322618880","reply_id":"1554536409322618880","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"punk6529","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1554537991309144065","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1988968172188508340":{"id":"1988968172188508340","date":"2025-11-13 13:52:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Yes. *More* conversational is what we were all wanting.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1988968172188508340","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":53,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":6228,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1988968172188508340_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1988968172188508340","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1500310021741056001":{"id":"1500310021741056001","date":"2022-03-06 03:19:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily ulimit -d unlimited","hashtags":[],"conv":"1500305431981277189","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1500310021741056001","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1606336225438183424":{"id":"1606336225438183424","date":"2022-12-23 17:09:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Amen.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1606336225438183424","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":4635,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1606336225438183424","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2076558339052318922":{"id":"2076558339052318922","date":"2026-07-13 06:44:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Say \"I think governments needs even more tools to regulate and control the behaviors of its citizens and companies.\"\n\nSince you think AI will be a dominant economic force, swallowing many other industries, regulating AI does exactly mean regulating almost everything that matters.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2076558336930017572","reply_id":"2076558336930017572","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":34,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2464,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2076558339052318922","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1442972496764887040":{"id":"1442972496764887040","date":"2021-09-28 22:00:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2021 Macarthur Fellows are out.\n\nhttps://www.macfound.org/programs/fellows/\n\nI count 5 science awardees out of 25.\n\nAm I crazy for thinking that fraction is nowhere near high enough?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1442972496764887040","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1442972496764887040","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1773505519099253246":{"id":"1773505519099253246","date":"2024-03-29 00:20:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CAndreisen @quantytrader @DeepDishEnjoyer @bubbleboi @sagarjainmp The original question wasn't \"construct an options portfolio that always makes money\", it was \"at the current price and time, construct one with the following 1st order derivatives...\"\n\nNot the same thing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1773456147309334555","reply_id":"1773503484576563701","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":618,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1773505519099253246","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1537470169290665985":{"id":"1537470169290665985","date":"2022-06-16 16:20:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's kind of amazing how unattractive an option Airbnb has become over the last 3 years...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1537470169290665985","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1537470169290665985","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1303701692886646786":{"id":"1303701692886646786","date":"2020-09-09 14:27:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VitruviusCurve @bennpeifert @SinclairEuan If an options MM doesn't have a specific known-event vol component that they remove (or decay rapidly) as the event happens, they're leaving $ on the table.\n\nOne possible explanation is different decay schedules on the event, but those shouldn't vary enough to be noticeable.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1303695898053148672","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1303701692886646786","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1888547699865137326":{"id":"1888547699865137326","date":"2025-02-09 11:17:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2. That said, the details matter a lot and they can be hard. It takes lots of experience, mentorship and guidance to get +EV in modern markets. It's literally the most competitive thing in the world to try to be good at.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1888547697981882609","reply_id":"1888547697981882609","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":53,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3764,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1888547699865137326","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1791830112566120743":{"id":"1791830112566120743","date":"2024-05-18 13:56:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @ryxcommar @joseph_h_garvin ☝️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1791500249829097756","reply_id":"1791825680214200591","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":975,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1791830112566120743","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1743434365147951439":{"id":"1743434365147951439","date":"2024-01-06 00:48:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CJHandmer 🙋‍♂️\n\n- Lights left on.\n- Thermostat temperature (20C is borderline, 21C is \"insanity\").\n- Better quality foods.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1743433662891483203","reply_id":"1743433662891483203","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"CJHandmer","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":492,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1743434365147951439","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1507346318615666692":{"id":"1507346318615666692","date":"2022-03-25 13:19:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @TCK_JRubano @be20684347 @3PointTrader @sadgirlmeag I heard about that bet!!!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507092815456710666","reply_id":"1507117568082866180","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507346318615666692","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2057680411317411883":{"id":"2057680411317411883","date":"2026-05-22 04:30:14","author":"roon","handle":"tszzl","text":"gary marcus, beyond just being plainly & clownishly wrong for years, is a slimy and bad person and you shouldn’t encourage him even as a rhetorical object","hashtags":[],"conv":"2057680411317411883","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2057707468520645027","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1951,"retweets":63,"replies":135,"quotes":19,"views":155711,"bookmarks":156,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tszzl/status/2057680411317411883"},"1722662248710373839":{"id":"1722662248710373839","date":"2023-11-09 17:07:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@krishnanrohit \"No particular reason\" isn't true.\n\nThe studies and evidence are out there.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1722659796825043426","reply_id":"1722659796825043426","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"krishnanrohit","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":326,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1722662248710373839","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2051741336957489563":{"id":"2051741336957489563","date":"2026-05-05 19:10:28","author":"Justin Baeder, PhD","handle":"eduleadership","text":"@KelseyTuoc Right, and to my theory, that requires that we teach them their timetables at a given age, not when we detect some nebulous concept of readiness.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2051734151137464408","reply_id":"2051741021361631616","quote_id":"2051912393765102004","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KelseyTuoc","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":12011,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/eduleadership/status/2051741336957489563"},"1944062748532355215":{"id":"1944062748532355215","date":"2025-07-12 15:54:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"As an employee, you have a really shitty choice:\n\nA. To get the divs payouts, you have to exercise (i.e. dump your money in) and hope the company still does well without its (checks notes) founders.\n\nB. Or not, and get nothing.\n\nThat just sucks.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1944060716295893233","reply_id":"1944062340694987076","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":33,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":4577,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1944062748532355215","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1794004026645958860":{"id":"1794004026645958860","date":"2024-05-24 13:54:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MnotwellI @HF_Trader ☝️\n\nYeah, the transparently manipulative nature of it is a big part of what I dislike.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1794000192959828206","reply_id":"1794003796122833375","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MnotwellI","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1496,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1794004026645958860","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1480730402385915904":{"id":"1480730402385915904","date":"2022-01-11 02:36:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @therobotjames @darjohn25 @FREAK0NAUT @Mike_Hunt_Sr I love me some APY.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1480682186923720704","reply_id":"1480729847504654339","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1480730402385915904","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1530527335157358592":{"id":"1530527335157358592","date":"2022-05-28 12:32:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase Not sure I understand the question. Trading dashboards should monitor things you care about. Positions, risks, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1530306383182286848","reply_id":"1530412639049986048","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1530527335157358592","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1681497898733957120":{"id":"1681497898733957120","date":"2023-07-19 02:55:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"70k employees x $20/day x 5 days a week = $7M.\n\nYup, checks out.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1681497898733957120","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":5580,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1681497898733957120","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1625889521475915776":{"id":"1625889521475915776","date":"2023-02-15 16:07:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Every important new tech has a grift-y barnacle attached to it.\n\nPhones had 1-900 numbers\nWeb1 had scammy sellers of all kinds\nWeb2 has doomscrolling and content-farming\nWeb3 has Ponzicoins\n\nAnd AI has \"AI safety researchers\" who've never written a line of code in their lives.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1625889521475915776","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":31,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3459,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1625889521475915776","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1623516641513586696":{"id":"1623516641513586696","date":"2023-02-09 02:58:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Led Zeppelin for the first four albums.\n\nHouses Of The Holy started the self-indulgent phase.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1623436283166199809","reply_id":"1623436283166199809","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1750,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1623516641513586696","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1950939124044628285":{"id":"1950939124044628285","date":"2025-07-31 15:18:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alz_zyd_","hashtags":[],"conv":"1950931605960147320","reply_id":"1950931605960147320","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alz_zyd_","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":444,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1950939124044628285_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1950939124044628285","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1995038832291713309":{"id":"1995038832291713309","date":"2025-11-30 07:54:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Right on cue.\n\nhttps://x.com/btibor91/status/1994714152636690834","hashtags":[],"conv":"1937209115383849132","reply_id":"1937209115383849132","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3157,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1995038832291713309","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1424162399477669892":{"id":"1424162399477669892","date":"2021-08-08 00:15:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Schelling points explain so much about how humans organize themselves, yet the concept is almost completely unknown outside small nerdy circles.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1424162399477669892","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1424162399477669892","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1767614711347159105":{"id":"1767614711347159105","date":"2024-03-12 18:12:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cam_o_gram That's the wonderful thing about Twitter.\n\nYou never know where people will apply the ideas you put out into the ether...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1767607723594846386","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":230,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1767614711347159105","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1704254080192049183":{"id":"1704254080192049183","date":"2023-09-19 22:00:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Tennis Moneyball shows that 70%+ of points are between 0 and 4 shots long. So why is everyone practicing endless cross-court consistency rallies?\n\nBecause of a very common but hard-to-see statistical (to mental) bias: long points are overweight in #-of-shots, time, and salience.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1704254080192049183","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1704261384635318766","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":39,"retweets":0,"replies":11,"quotes":1,"views":9932,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1704254080192049183","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1456113056719589376":{"id":"1456113056719589376","date":"2021-11-04 04:16:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"A) There are the priorities you actually have.\nB) There are the priorities you want to have.\n\nUnhappiness is the distance between A and B.\n\n(my late night attempt at a @naval-ism, assuming I haven't accidentally plagiarized it)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1456113056719589376","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1456113056719589376","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1153336932782395392":{"id":"1153336932782395392","date":"2019-07-22 16:12:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ Thinking about #salary (#compensation) #negotiation like a #trader. The security you’re trading is your time. How much is your time worth?\n\n(It’s more complicated than this. For example if you have a non-compete then that’s worth something too. But let’s keep it simple.)","hashtags":["salary","compensation","negotiation","trader"],"conv":"1153336932782395392","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1153336932782395392","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1429962675333722136":{"id":"1429962675333722136","date":"2021-08-24 00:24:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I hear your argument: \"Yeah, who cares if the problem is in its training set? It solved it!\"\n\nHow is this impressive? Copy-pasta coding isn't good, whether a machine does it or a human.\n\nYou've turned this massive NLP model into a glorified search engine.\n\n4/n","hashtags":[],"conv":"1429962672305434658","reply_id":"1429962674318700564","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1429962675333722136","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1628265801513041920":{"id":"1628265801513041920","date":"2023-02-22 05:29:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @theemilyaccount @Bonecondor I thought the units were a nice idea.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1628211257156243456","reply_id":"1628260384917577728","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":925,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1628265801513041920","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1846542910533022178":{"id":"1846542910533022178","date":"2024-10-16 13:25:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xMVU Struggling with that rn.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1846542157697442092","reply_id":"1846542784225804399","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xMVU","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":906,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1846542910533022178","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1716842855044649036":{"id":"1716842855044649036","date":"2023-10-24 15:43:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal Really hard to say IMO. Varies a lot.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1716833285912084803","reply_id":"1716837296421372289","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":219,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1716842855044649036","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2005635596375691756":{"id":"2005635596375691756","date":"2025-12-29 13:42:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Was the transformer architecture invented or discovered?\n\nAnswer your view, and also whether you have deep knowledge of transformers (i.e. could write one from scratch) or not.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2005635596375691756","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":3674,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2005635596375691756","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1874149863841292534":{"id":"1874149863841292534","date":"2024-12-31 17:45:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tekwpacino Anywhere with a scarcity mindset, really.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1874145835296170426","reply_id":"1874149719498514450","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tekwpacino","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":339,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1874149863841292534","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1377632574541946882":{"id":"1377632574541946882","date":"2021-04-01 14:42:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal c = 0.5\na = np.random.normal((1000))\nb = np.zeros((1000))\nb[0] = a[0]\nfor i in range(1,len(b)):\n  b[i] = c * b[i-1] + sqrt(1-c^2) * a[i]\n\nUntested. Also I de-vectorized to make it obvious what's happening :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377482535463161856","reply_id":"1377482535463161856","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1377632574541946882","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1484317940568657920":{"id":"1484317940568657920","date":"2022-01-21 00:12:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @0xdoug Excel? Paging @ryxcommar...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1484308728849567744","reply_id":"1484314600694632451","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1484317940568657920","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1946114883101036635":{"id":"1946114883101036635","date":"2025-07-18 07:48:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4. One can say that prediction markets are truth-seeking in the sense that you're rewarded for accurate predictions. But this view completely ignores reflexivity. If the existence of a prediction market directly affects the outcome, then it's not truth-seeking anymore.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946114875899486383","reply_id":"1946114881364590732","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":85,"retweets":8,"replies":2,"quotes":2,"views":8111,"bookmarks":16,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946114883101036635","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1493600003029409797":{"id":"1493600003029409797","date":"2022-02-15 14:56:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @KrisAbdelmessih @be20684347 @salr_nyc In turns out there's a whole cottage industry of \"IQ tests but legal tho\":\n\nhttps://wonderlic.com/wonscore/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493387393142976512","reply_id":"1493599796564738055","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493600003029409797","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1936787550082887973":{"id":"1936787550082887973","date":"2025-06-22 14:05:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Like annual cicadas, the sound of tourist roller luggage on cobblestone sidewalks fills the summer air in European capitals.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1936787550082887973","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":47,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3981,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1936787550082887973","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1545415046880055296":{"id":"1545415046880055296","date":"2022-07-08 14:30:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin Unless it's a superhero movie, in which case that shopkeep definitely got killed when his shop got flattened by the semi truck the hero dodged during the urban battle.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1545412862851649539","reply_id":"1545412862851649539","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1545415046880055296","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1389397239387148294":{"id":"1389397239387148294","date":"2021-05-04 01:51:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @M1tchRosenthal @ichiisan @goodalexander That's a feather in your cap!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1389387050856579072","reply_id":"1389396407824486402","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1389397239387148294","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1192659254122991622":{"id":"1192659254122991622","date":"2019-11-08 04:24:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"To my 8-year-old son:\n\nWhat you think is your mind is actually a tiny part of it. It's like you're living in a closet, but you think that's all there is in there.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1192659254122991622","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1192659254122991622","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1397677005173366790":{"id":"1397677005173366790","date":"2021-05-26 22:12:20","author":"Alexis Ohanian 🗽","handle":"alexisohanian","text":"No one is born an effective manager.\nIt's a muscle that must be exercised.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1397677005173366790","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1397677652576653313","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":45,"retweets":5,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/alexisohanian/status/1397677005173366790"},"1968708504547364921":{"id":"1968708504547364921","date":"2025-09-18 16:07:38","author":"Brian Armstrong","handle":"brian_armstrong","text":"Now you can lend your USDC and earn more (up to 10.8% currently).\n\nIt’s simple to use, and gives users the benefits of DeFi without the complexity. Rolling out now in multiple countries, including the US (ex. NY).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1968708504547364921","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1968949038457274392","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3522,"retweets":399,"replies":490,"quotes":167,"views":859461,"bookmarks":592,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/brian_armstrong/status/1968708504547364921"},"1433267887926480904":{"id":"1433267887926480904","date":"2021-09-02 03:17:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_Dave__White_ @0x_Alpha DeFi people need to think a lot more about Chesterton's Fence.\n\nTradFi exists the way it does for a reason. Maybe that reason is now irrelevant and we're stuck in a bad local minimum, but the point is that you need to actually try to find out.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1433259974021423111","reply_id":"1433264710267269126","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_Dave__White_","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1433267887926480904","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1463968071006121990":{"id":"1463968071006121990","date":"2021-11-25 20:29:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RabbiJacob16 Math maybe. But 95%+ of college computer science degrees would be better as vocational training. Like the upper echelon of code schools.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1463963849342677035","reply_id":"1463967747763838985","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RabbiJacob16","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1463968071006121990","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1487077764775571471":{"id":"1487077764775571471","date":"2022-01-28 14:59:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@treylorswift Someday I'll write a thread about how this happens. I feel like I understand 90% of the process/phenomenon/incentive structures right now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486813088338755591","reply_id":"1487076924560064516","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"treylorswift","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1487077764775571471","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1428708419964313604":{"id":"1428708419964313604","date":"2021-08-20 13:20:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @martin_quant @noms_nom_nom @afewredbeans On every re-read, I see things I screwed up too. In the book. 😆","hashtags":[],"conv":"1428381820421242886","reply_id":"1428619998310793221","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1428708419964313604","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1761438014059008454":{"id":"1761438014059008454","date":"2024-02-24 17:08:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@idoccor @OrthogonalAlpha \"Of course I know the stdev by which to normalize this feature.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1761429522946339042","reply_id":"1761436814613635402","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"idoccor","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":739,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1761438014059008454","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1497226901932285953":{"id":"1497226901932285953","date":"2022-02-25 15:08:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dendisuhubdy @bitwyre Why do you care so much about this that you're using it to screen out otherwise qualified candidates?\n\nEspecially in this job market?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1497126598419496963","reply_id":"1497126598419496963","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dendisuhubdy","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1497226901932285953","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1435320563438739457":{"id":"1435320563438739457","date":"2021-09-07 19:14:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily I'd look at the candles data available from FTX or others.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1435314697914372098","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1435320563438739457","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1865798663831708094":{"id":"1865798663831708094","date":"2024-12-08 16:40:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@effectfully @Aron_Adler I mean, it makes sense if your mental model is that you can't ever trust a function to not be impure.\n\nWhich is an awful place to be in the first place.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1865775020993323210","reply_id":"1865781249085685842","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"effectfully","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":287,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1865798663831708094","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1557839835938709504":{"id":"1557839835938709504","date":"2022-08-11 21:22:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"How you talk (including w/ yourself) about strats is incredibly low-bandwidth.\n\nGive the same short paragraph of a strat to 10 sensible people and you'll get 10 VERY different actual strats.\n\nYour trend-following and mine are likely very different.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1557839835938709504","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1557839835938709504","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1409732843249438720":{"id":"1409732843249438720","date":"2021-06-29 04:37:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Solomon_Slate @M1tchRosenthal IMO the importance of higher-order derivatives and sensitivities is massively overstated round these parts.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1409697360150630409","reply_id":"1409729388053110791","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Solomon_Slate","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1409732843249438720","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1847736946493444533":{"id":"1847736946493444533","date":"2024-10-19 20:29:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @experquisite @momentmal2022 @JoachimMo1985 @elletwocache Corollary: in the beginning, time spent improving your simulator is better spent on analyzing actual live trades.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847608912163324083","reply_id":"1847696055296733525","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":245,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847736946493444533","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1976648346652828140":{"id":"1976648346652828140","date":"2025-10-10 13:57:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@andrewcourt1 And it will remain tiny with rampant insider trading. So when will they figure it out?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1976645088433656219","reply_id":"1976648114950885514","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"andrewcourt1","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2005,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1976648346652828140","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1481383700520521730":{"id":"1481383700520521730","date":"2022-01-12 21:52:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @moreproteinbars @TCK_JRubano Is sugar a drug? If so I'm definitely a recovering junkie.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481369477812006915","reply_id":"1481380893881438210","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1481383700520521730","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1558506313021173760":{"id":"1558506313021173760","date":"2022-08-13 17:30:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pmontu33 ☝️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1558505760421658625","reply_id":"1558506168187748355","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pmontu33","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1558506313021173760","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2006358446078402868":{"id":"2006358446078402868","date":"2025-12-31 13:35:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Bryson DeChambeau, well-known expert on physics:\n\n\"It's actually more like F equals M V squared, that’s more of the velocity side of it.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"2006358446078402868","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":7278,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2006358446078402868","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1542602747484114945":{"id":"1542602747484114945","date":"2022-06-30 20:15:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily She said while using a couple of hundred* of them when sending this tweet... 🤣\n\n* Where each one contains ~1b individual transistors.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542600510603112448","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1542602747484114945","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1942177333919563778":{"id":"1942177333919563778","date":"2025-07-07 11:02:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jumpdest_ No.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942170050523275686","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jumpdest_","likes":39,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":5087,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942177333919563778","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1749240539625795607":{"id":"1749240539625795607","date":"2024-01-22 01:20:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Smell, taste and touch are the next frontiers, I guess.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1749240389847150675","reply_id":"1749240389847150675","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1388,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1749240539625795607","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1378502127463489536":{"id":"1378502127463489536","date":"2021-04-04 00:18:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames Adverse selection. You'll always get filled on more of your bad orders than good ones.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1378485585791307780","reply_id":"1378499311919583234","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1378502127463489536","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1993589362043633822":{"id":"1993589362043633822","date":"2025-11-26 07:55:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Nooo! *I* have a system.\n\nWell, not me specifically.\n\nIt's a system that I bought from a guy who told me the system works. And I believed him because... I don't remember why.\n\nBut it only works if I have the right emotional discipline and other self-actualization mumbo-jumbo.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1993589362043633822","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":115,"retweets":3,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":25939,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1993589362043633822","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1544075852022853632":{"id":"1544075852022853632","date":"2022-07-04 21:49:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @therobotjames @NihilistTrader I thought he was still running the UN from behind the scenes?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1544063841721524227","reply_id":"1544074247781629953","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1544075852022853632","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1934658702075703653":{"id":"1934658702075703653","date":"2025-06-16 17:05:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ptuomov Yeah probably. Hard to tell where \"good at trading\" and \"pure willingness to put big trades on\" begins.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1934563284453036526","reply_id":"1934644022141759508","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ptuomov","likes":129,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":13451,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1934658702075703653","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1709704567867502982":{"id":"1709704567867502982","date":"2023-10-04 22:58:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 They're mostly accurate.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709673289331753446","reply_id":"1709673289331753446","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1764,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1709704567867502982","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1615749864482308096":{"id":"1615749864482308096","date":"2023-01-18 16:36:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Now receiving well over an email a day from SaaS providers offering \"Let AI write your emails/marketing/etc\".\n\nAnd you thought we were drowning in drivel already.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1615749864482308096","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":2826,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1615749864482308096_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1615749864482308096","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1627165928919273474":{"id":"1627165928919273474","date":"2023-02-19 04:39:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 Don't bother. That's some serious 2005 vintage quant stuff. Back when banks manufactured complicated exotics to fleece their clients.\n\n95% of those structuring jobs at large banks don't even exist anymore.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1627148361248956417","reply_id":"1627148361248956417","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":56,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":2577,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1627165928919273474","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1485675637264158722":{"id":"1485675637264158722","date":"2022-01-24 18:07:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod No.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1485664421955481611","reply_id":"1485664421955481611","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1485675637264158722","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2044687090739245421":{"id":"2044687090739245421","date":"2026-04-16 07:59:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"RT @AgustinLebron3: @garybasin @zachkrall ABSTOC: Always Be Shipping The Org Chart","hashtags":[],"conv":"2044687090739245421","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2044687009667575988","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":4,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2044687090739245421","type":"retweet","issues":[]},"1346133777102249985":{"id":"1346133777102249985","date":"2021-01-04 16:37:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OneBigOh I don't believe that to be true.\n\nPlenty of people make $ market-making equities who wouldn't have a clue how to make money trading their options.\n\nI'll elaborate later.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346122749899493377","reply_id":"1346132172533604353","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OneBigOh","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346133777102249985","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1437192297175601153":{"id":"1437192297175601153","date":"2021-09-12 23:12:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 @FranklinLynam @FreyaHolmer Honestly maybe you're going to have to pick your poison a bit. You need a useful language to do the work, and your choices are basically math notation or programming notation.\n\nYou know as well as anyone, this stuff is hard and counterintuitive. IMO you need *some* structure.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1436696408506212353","reply_id":"1437189350605811720","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1437192297175601153","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1759637048129167837":{"id":"1759637048129167837","date":"2024-02-19 17:52:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih One of the best trades I ever did early in my career, I was so pleased with how we handled it and much we made that day.\n\nAfterwards the desk head asked me \"Why didn't you see it earlier? Why didn't you do it bigger? How can we find these faster next time?\"\n\nGood enough never is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1759611113006915990","reply_id":"1759611113006915990","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1253,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1759637048129167837","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1785696615208190389":{"id":"1785696615208190389","date":"2024-05-01 15:43:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bubbleboi At this point, Lehman Brothers >>> Columbia.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1785686207050952826","reply_id":"1785686207050952826","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bubbleboi","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":74,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1785696615208190389","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1844683620948045934":{"id":"1844683620948045934","date":"2024-10-11 10:17:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FormulaDeltaOne What do we think? Good arc? Bad arc?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1844654463115477366","reply_id":"1844670062415777898","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FormulaDeltaOne","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":822,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1844683620948045934","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1744127345429196934":{"id":"1744127345429196934","date":"2024-01-07 22:42:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@abiylfoyp Doing HIIT properly is exhausting *mentally*. Like, on the day you're going to do it, you wake up dreading the workout and it weighs on you all day until it's done.\n\nMost people just aren't going to sign up for that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1744061814915125734","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":221,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1744127345429196934","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1788222083841089763":{"id":"1788222083841089763","date":"2024-05-08 14:59:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nkreu113r ☝️☝️☝️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788214916509507744","reply_id":"1788221691509829665","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nkreu113r","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":8149,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788222083841089763","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1289572334907453441":{"id":"1289572334907453441","date":"2020-08-01 14:42:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"And there are no libertarians in a public security crisis.\n\nFully generalizing, people like individualism when they're not personally affected, or when they feel they have a long-term edge over the competition.\n\nOtherwise, we turn into collectivists awfully fast.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1289572334110568448","reply_id":"1289572334110568448","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1289572334907453441","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1933846001321996553":{"id":"1933846001321996553","date":"2025-06-14 11:16:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 @yminsky Big big fan of this. I wish I could use it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1933530475114709274","reply_id":"1933840556603654505","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":168,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1933846001321996553","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1732132774604353920":{"id":"1732132774604353920","date":"2023-12-05 20:20:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"- Liquidity begets liquidity. VSTOXX is still a ghost town >10 years after it was introduced. There's just no demand for hedging Euro-specific vol risk that isn't better served by VIX. Corr(ES, FESX) is too high to make it worth it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1732132770984624129","reply_id":"1732132773027250242","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1637,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1732132774604353920","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2059696393707790764":{"id":"2059696393707790764","date":"2026-05-27 18:01:02","author":"Jared Friedman","handle":"snowmaker","text":"One night I quietly gave our AI agent full access to YC's production database. It made the agent 10x more useful. That's what convinced me that trust-by-default is the only way to get the most out of agents.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2059696393707790764","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2059864982947278906","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1149,"retweets":51,"replies":204,"quotes":108,"views":2353593,"bookmarks":1151,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/snowmaker/status/2059696393707790764"},"1558505760421658625":{"id":"1558505760421658625","date":"2022-08-13 17:28:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"It's ok your kids are spending hours a day on Minecraft/Roblox/etc\" is just parental cope to avoid conflict.\n\nFor every kid who uses it as a path to learning programming, there are 100 who use it as a path to gaming addictions (functioning addicts to various degrees).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1558505760421658625","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":100,"retweets":4,"replies":15,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1558505760421658625","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1957402881608331689":{"id":"1957402881608331689","date":"2025-08-18 11:23:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MetacriticCap 1. I agree it should be solvable if the markets are within purview of regulators. But Polymarket for example isn't.\n\n2. We've been down the \"only allow markets that have legitimate economic rationale\" road many times. And EVERY time the definition gets expanded.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957390814113308717","reply_id":"1957400845441450261","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MetacriticCap","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1492,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1957402881608331689","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1487234142655844354":{"id":"1487234142655844354","date":"2022-01-29 01:20:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NotQuiteMidlife Me too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1487221250275430404","reply_id":"1487229997903319042","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuiteMidlife","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1487234142655844354","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1763330014454620336":{"id":"1763330014454620336","date":"2024-02-29 22:26:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@freeshreeda @dwarkesh_sp Excellent profile but the Lex comparisons are unfair to Dwarkesh.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1763307366001295816","reply_id":"1763307366001295816","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"freeshreeda","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":527,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1763330014454620336","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1942997867334910347":{"id":"1942997867334910347","date":"2025-07-09 17:22:45","author":"Mat Cashman","handle":"mat_cashman","text":"Starting tomorrow, I’ll be posting a daily series spotlighting powerful (and totally free) options tools from @Options_Edu.\n\nThese tools help traders understand pricing, volatility, probability & risk — and they’re available to everyone.\n\nhttp://www.optionseducation.org","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942997867334910347","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1943280522756591979","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":78,"retweets":4,"replies":2,"quotes":3,"views":435270,"bookmarks":151,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mat_cashman/status/1942997867334910347"},"1180292325861285888":{"id":"1180292325861285888","date":"2019-10-05 01:23:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@perrymetzger 1. First: Applesoft Basic\n2. Had difficulties: Prolog\n3. Most used: Ocaml\n4. Totally hate: PHP, VBA\n5. Most loved: Ocaml, AutoLISP\n6. For beginners: Python","hashtags":[],"conv":"1180255866496442370","reply_id":"1180255866496442370","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"perrymetzger","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1180292325861285888","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1976979358729617825":{"id":"1976979358729617825","date":"2025-10-11 11:53:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein @ScottPh77711570 @maruushae Zero-sum $ but not zero-sum utility, surely.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1976917289674195089","reply_id":"1976974437431079121","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":273,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1976979358729617825","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1401032303594274817":{"id":"1401032303594274817","date":"2021-06-05 04:25:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @EconShiller @SqueezeMetrics @Ksidiii @therobotjames IMO there's a big distance between your second-last and your last sentence. The event is a prompt to learn something about the world. Not about data or about putting on a bet.\n\nScience is like this too. Many great discoveries start with someone smart saying \"huh, that's weird.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1400892689101565954","reply_id":"1401031724369330188","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1401032303594274817","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1437860639335088130":{"id":"1437860639335088130","date":"2021-09-14 19:27:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih It's gratifying and depressing that the same stock-picking-teaches-you-something-something-business-economics crap that I did in high school is still going strong.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1437859852915671041","reply_id":"1437859854765363200","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1437860639335088130","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1940127003803283730":{"id":"1940127003803283730","date":"2025-07-01 19:14:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tennisabstract Zverev's handshake was *chef's kiss*.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1940112434486026689","reply_id":"1940112434486026689","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tennisabstract","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":217,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1940127003803283730","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1346122749899493377":{"id":"1346122749899493377","date":"2021-01-04 15:54:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Hey #fintwit is there any appetite out there for a How-To-Think-About-Options-101 thread?\n\nPitched somewhere between:\n\n\"WSB just buy them stuff always goes up.\"\n\nand\n\n\"Let's solve the Heston model analytically.\"","hashtags":["fintwit"],"conv":"1346122749899493377","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1346141237426806785","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":88,"retweets":6,"replies":12,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":22,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346122749899493377","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1542666375717462017":{"id":"1542666375717462017","date":"2022-07-01 00:28:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Simcoe__ @danrobinson Fail risk isn't eliminated entirely if you \"secure\" a borrow.\n\nYou can ask your PB for a borrow. If they say you're good, you're good, but if they can't actually make settlement then they may still fail. It's just that it's on them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542632104088834050","reply_id":"1542665974926696449","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Simcoe__","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1542666375717462017","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1433521533654212611":{"id":"1433521533654212611","date":"2021-09-02 20:05:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @matt_levine With = alongside","hashtags":[],"conv":"1433517108638322697","reply_id":"1433521486099214341","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1433521533654212611","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1548050947384811520":{"id":"1548050947384811520","date":"2022-07-15 21:04:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano @therobotjames @pmontu33 Both. The latter is more principled in the sense that I can imagine some market microstructure which makes the former not true (i.e. stop orders get some extra priority or protection or something).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548007648007634944","reply_id":"1548042581170262016","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1548050947384811520","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1632815722513457154":{"id":"1632815722513457154","date":"2023-03-06 18:49:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase Using the class as a namespace, maybe.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632807958030548992","reply_id":"1632807958030548992","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":118,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632815722513457154","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1375119225207984134":{"id":"1375119225207984134","date":"2021-03-25 16:15:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3/ There’s no sense in betting for two reasons:\n\n- A wide spread of ability directly creates wide spread in outcome. A 2400 will NEVER lose to an 1800.\n- All these probs are pretty much known. $ gets traded when people disagree about probs. No such thing exists in chess.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1375119223693864961","reply_id":"1375119224364888066","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":22,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1375119225207984134","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2011604546121056289":{"id":"2011604546121056289","date":"2026-01-15 01:01:12","author":"Autism Capital 🧩","handle":"AutismCapital","text":"Calling it right now. Being offline is going to become the new luxury activity in the coming years. It's going to be marketed as a high status social signal. It will be considered low class and uncouth to be on the Internet. There will be a boom in outdoor activities/supper clubs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2011604546121056289","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2011768694062662130","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14069,"retweets":1106,"replies":540,"quotes":230,"views":1582081,"bookmarks":3122,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/AutismCapital/status/2011604546121056289"},"1722709135043793138":{"id":"1722709135043793138","date":"2023-11-09 20:13:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Anyone else underwhelmed by the Humane AI pin thing?\n\nSo it's an Apple Watch with possibly better AI (which Apple can do if they want to), and a camera that's going to creep everyone else out.\n\nDo I have this right?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1722709135043793138","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2913,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1722709135043793138","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1437202171271860227":{"id":"1437202171271860227","date":"2021-09-12 23:51:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @therobotjames @darjohn25 @FranklinLynam @FreyaHolmer Exactly. That's precisely the skill. And reading for the stuff they omitted to tell you. Universe selection effects, borrow rates, fill ratio assumptions, etc etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1436696408506212353","reply_id":"1437201518604718080","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1437202171271860227","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1493439815290802180":{"id":"1493439815290802180","date":"2022-02-15 04:19:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@rajasark Let's call that meta-IQ. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493439480132354048","reply_id":"1493439480132354048","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"rajasark","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493439815290802180","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1280524657976733696":{"id":"1280524657976733696","date":"2020-07-07 15:30:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The West has been so rich, for so long, that our popular culture has lost the ability to even *remember* the difference between the real and the signal.\n\n@robinhanson had this right >10 years ago.\n\nhttp://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/09/this-is-the-dream-time.html\n\nIs 2020 a blip or is it the end of the dreamtime?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1280524657976733696","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1280524657976733696","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1732132773027250242":{"id":"1732132773027250242","date":"2023-12-05 20:20:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"- Almost all vol buying is hedging. It's easy to provide liquidity to people hedging macro risks, i.e. Spoo vol. Much harder/scarier to provide to that hedging in single names.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1732132770984624129","reply_id":"1732132770984624129","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":789,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1732132773027250242","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1504601841585205251":{"id":"1504601841585205251","date":"2022-03-17 23:33:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @BangTheClose @therobotjames @TCK_JRubano @be20684347 @lightspringfox @imagine_mev @pranavvk Chuck Norris's short strangles always have both legs expire out of the money.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503862489599340544","reply_id":"1504601537762443274","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1504601841585205251","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1694451909778882989":{"id":"1694451909778882989","date":"2023-08-23 20:49:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@paulg It's what you get after centuries of periodic city-emptying plagues.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1694447471714550143","reply_id":"1694447471714550143","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"paulg","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":366,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1694451909778882989","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1551746017829064706":{"id":"1551746017829064706","date":"2022-07-26 01:47:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The problem is that most SaaS companies aren't nearly profitable enough (or interesting enough) to hire those world-class devs. They need to make do with 2nd tier people.\n\nThe illusion is that hiring more marginal devs will make up for not having great ones.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1551745776509825026","reply_id":"1551745776509825026","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1551746017829064706","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1442258271427907591":{"id":"1442258271427907591","date":"2021-09-26 22:42:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VoltzRoad @AdamSinger @balajis Sports is a bad analogy. Sports and games are closed-world undertakings by construction.\n\nSW development isn't. That's the key difference that allows for OOM differences even among skilled people.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1442051178682933251","reply_id":"1442108687351492610","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VoltzRoad","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1442258271427907591","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1767601427231510943":{"id":"1767601427231510943","date":"2024-03-12 17:19:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Stableboy : 1910s :: Junior dev : 2020s","hashtags":[],"conv":"1767601427231510943","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3196,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1767601427231510943","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1346863615089889280":{"id":"1346863615089889280","date":"2021-01-06 16:58:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"44/\n\n- The prices are lower. You don't have all the in-the-money-ness to deal with.\n- The prices are less sensitive to stock moves, so when trading you don't have to worry about getting picked off to stock as much.\n- We've all agreed on this. Liquidity begets liquidity.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346863613730963456","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346863615089889280","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1420131157333614593":{"id":"1420131157333614593","date":"2021-07-27 21:17:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"That’s usually not a win.\n\nAnyway, I’d appreciate some feedback on this. I’m not sure I did a great job explaining the main point, to be honest.\n\n13/n","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420131145669169153","reply_id":"1420131156322754561","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420131157333614593","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1702007821976617029":{"id":"1702007821976617029","date":"2023-09-13 17:14:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @experquisite Basically things there's a lot of StackOverflow for.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1702005678200545783","reply_id":"1702007192923054380","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":246,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1702007821976617029","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1965822196347187365":{"id":"1965822196347187365","date":"2025-09-10 16:58:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @risk_seeking @dailydirtnap @Polymarket @Kalshi @mansourtarek_ The \"NYC will be fine\" side seems like it's one of two things:\n\n- Disbelief that Mamdani will do what he says.\n- Belief that he will, but quality of governance doesn't matter.\n\nEither way, it's a deeply cynical view no?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1965578878518509751","reply_id":"1965806282994221400","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":624,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1965822196347187365","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1342538839424786432":{"id":"1342538839424786432","date":"2020-12-25 18:32:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Claim:\n\n\"Religious and social organizations do better in crises in proportion to how costly it is to signal membership in them.\"\n\nAnyone know of legit studies on this question? @NathanTankus @antoniogm? Anyone else?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1342538839424786432","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1342538839424786432","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1657382280040710144":{"id":"1657382280040710144","date":"2023-05-13 13:48:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 @sdav1986 Always been that way. Lots of structured products get sold in Korea, so KOSPI vol (esp wings) gets pushed down.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1656951328113917953","reply_id":"1657156740310351872","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":674,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1657382280040710144","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1610132517553856513":{"id":"1610132517553856513","date":"2023-01-03 04:34:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What's worse than schools which openly crush your kid's spirit with mindless checklists, rubrics and schemas?\n\nOnes which pay lip service to things like openness, exploration and joy of learning... while crushing their spirit with mindless checklists, rubrics and schemas.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1610132517553856513","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":48,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":8081,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1610132517553856513","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1382724255431856128":{"id":"1382724255431856128","date":"2021-04-15 15:55:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vgr Not the answer you're looking for, but follow @Tim_Dettmers.\n\nhttps://timdettmers.com/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382722711248539648","reply_id":"1382722711248539648","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vgr","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382724255431856128","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1599559473152286721":{"id":"1599559473152286721","date":"2022-12-05 00:21:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jgreco @fintechfrank At least it doesn't call itself \"All the news that's fit to print\" while selling puff pieces to rich and influential people.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1599511522706804738","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1599559473152286721","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1397937205335642114":{"id":"1397937205335642114","date":"2021-05-27 15:26:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @MylesUdland @naufalsanaullah Absolutely true. Low-dollar is strongly correlated to low market cap and high leverage. Hence vol.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1397934112955109376","reply_id":"1397936539360022529","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1397937205335642114","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1999051988643000598":{"id":"1999051988643000598","date":"2025-12-11 09:41:49","author":"sysls","handle":"systematicls","text":"RT @systematicls: Selling alpha-as-a-service, whether its signals or masqueraded as data is fundamentally an unscalable business because the goal of business is propagation and to have as much clients as possible.\n\nBut alpha degrades as a function of participation. So there’s always a tension between degradation of alpha (value-add of your services) vs propagation (scale of your business).\n\nThis is a very hard problem to solve and its why most alpha services are small and cannot scale or consolidate into very large conglomerates that are more focused on providing “raw data”.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1999051988643000598","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"1999000154209444131","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":5,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/systematicls/status/1999051988643000598"},"1241082885135687681":{"id":"1241082885135687681","date":"2020-03-20 19:23:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz Roast-my-swing, fintwit edition?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1241077519643742209","reply_id":"1241077519643742209","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1241082885135687681","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1959573138917802378":{"id":"1959573138917802378","date":"2025-08-24 11:06:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TradingDutchman @Eurex Stefan Schlamp is the best I've seen.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1959568586114040234","reply_id":"1959571400953586094","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TradingDutchman","likes":33,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2724,"bookmarks":61,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1959573138917802378","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1710025251231531249":{"id":"1710025251231531249","date":"2023-10-05 20:12:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jeffreycider Are they trying to learn it because they want to for its own sake, or because it's a stepping stone to learning something else they really want to?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709988892286259498","reply_id":"1709988892286259498","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jeffreycider","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1203,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1710025251231531249","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1620904685568933893":{"id":"1620904685568933893","date":"2023-02-01 21:59:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@horacekentlol @rajivpoc That can be changed. Patdiff seems very good FWIW.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1620838535606726657","reply_id":"1620874626070122497","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"horacekentlol","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":284,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1620904685568933893","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1640838550253101056":{"id":"1640838550253101056","date":"2023-03-28 22:09:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 Did you enjoy the tournament zero-sum nature of university admissions? Well, doing this makes the hiring market more like that.\n\nTransparency isn't always your friend.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1640833303480795137","reply_id":"1640838194899062784","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":229,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1640838550253101056","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1931595539923013992":{"id":"1931595539923013992","date":"2025-06-08 06:13:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xLoris from datetime import time as date, date as time, datetime as timezone, timedelta as dt\nimport zoneinfo as datetime","hashtags":[],"conv":"1931483014468362345","reply_id":"1931483014468362345","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xLoris","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":666,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1931595539923013992","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1275445304251183104":{"id":"1275445304251183104","date":"2020-06-23 15:07:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@gptix @paulg This.\n\nTook 20s to cancel.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1275442984394211334","reply_id":"1275444261236830209","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"gptix_temp","likes":64,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1275445304251183104","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1875093956318691531":{"id":"1875093956318691531","date":"2025-01-03 08:16:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"You know you're becoming a real trading firm when you start spending real time trying to get your fee calculations right.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1875093956318691531","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":88,"retweets":3,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":8677,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1875093956318691531","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1549896907694034944":{"id":"1549896907694034944","date":"2022-07-20 23:19:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"As sure as rain, the \"news\" came today.\n\nGetting rejected for Masters tickets:\nA tradition unlike any other.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1537442396153139200","reply_id":"1537442396153139200","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1549896907694034944_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1549896907694034944","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2012948221199266044":{"id":"2012948221199266044","date":"2026-01-18 18:00:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"","hashtags":[],"conv":"2012948221199266044","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":41,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3533,"bookmarks":0,"media":["2012948221199266044_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2012948221199266044","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1394325287123316741":{"id":"1394325287123316741","date":"2021-05-17 16:13:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih Wyzant","hashtags":[],"conv":"1394324974345719813","reply_id":"1394324974345719813","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1394325287123316741","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1272964609503199232":{"id":"1272964609503199232","date":"2020-06-16 18:49:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityVIX I find it fascinating that it's the TA subset of FinTwit that does most of the blocking.\n\nDeep down, they know...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1272920230390423552","reply_id":"1272920230390423552","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityVIX","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1272964609503199232","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1501265013637410818":{"id":"1501265013637410818","date":"2022-03-08 18:34:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Precisely. If it wasn't a feature, why was it invented?\n\nChesterton's Fence.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501265013637410818","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501265013637410818","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1501788596369432578":{"id":"1501788596369432578","date":"2022-03-10 05:14:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @be20684347 @M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames It's hard to generalize and I'm sure different firms do things differently.\n\nThe only thing I was (lightly) pushing back on is the assumption that dealers (i.e delta hedgers) are systematically short downside spoo gamma.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"1501787702458466306","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501788596369432578","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2027045457399029804":{"id":"2027045457399029804","date":"2026-02-26 15:37:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I still like trading, but I do miss the days of occasional phone turret violence.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2027045457399029804","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":90,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":4,"views":81854,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2027045457399029804","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1427703082968698885":{"id":"1427703082968698885","date":"2021-08-17 18:45:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Remember all those deeply knowledgeable virologists from last spring?\n\nYou know, the ones who were actually US electoral law professors last fall.\n\nTurns out their true expertise was the ancient and recent history and political prospects of Afghanistan.\n\nWho knew?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1427703082968698885","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1883919714415698335","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":78,"retweets":5,"replies":2,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1427703082968698885","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1340104861338071040":{"id":"1340104861338071040","date":"2020-12-19 01:21:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Suhail Apple didn't design its own processor. Apple licensed an ARM core and made a few changes.\n\nThe real value comes from vertical integration from RTL to the app level.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1340067123729629184","reply_id":"1340067123729629184","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Suhail","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1340104861338071040","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1183067484963786752":{"id":"1183067484963786752","date":"2019-10-12 17:10:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@robertwiblin People don't feel threatened by animals in the way they feel threatened by out-group humans.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1183061107034017792","reply_id":"1183061107034017792","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"robertwiblin","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1183067484963786752","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1568030685805580288":{"id":"1568030685805580288","date":"2022-09-09 00:17:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Lots of respect for playing a role you were handed, for 70 years, to the best of your ability without complaining.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1568030685805580288","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":36,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1568030685805580288","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1494465282194042889":{"id":"1494465282194042889","date":"2022-02-18 00:14:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Can you find an X such that NO ONE is willing to defend the claim \"X is a social construct\"?\n\nKind of like the definition of a limit in math.\nOnly not.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494465282194042889","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494465282194042889","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1773755027053854994":{"id":"1773755027053854994","date":"2024-03-29 16:52:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CAndreisen @quantytrader @DeepDishEnjoyer @bubbleboi @sagarjainmp If you think a stock can't in reality have:\n- 1 month to expiration\n- ATM vol of 20\n- 91 delta call/9 delta put vol of at least 25\n\nThen I suggest you avoid looking at... nearly all stocks in the developed world? Or SPX. Or almost anything. In reality.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1773456147309334555","reply_id":"1773753003356397940","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"CAndreisen","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":262,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1773755027053854994","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1886327909100446188":{"id":"1886327909100446188","date":"2025-02-03 08:16:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@renegadesilicon That's what I'm trying to find out.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1886326099803599219","reply_id":"1886327839248781715","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"renegadesilicon","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":467,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1886327909100446188","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1834290746071126524":{"id":"1834290746071126524","date":"2024-09-12 17:59:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MatejKorvin Equilibre Technologies.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1834217272774185288","reply_id":"1834288405238202789","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MatejKorvin","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1459,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1834290746071126524","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1699811572871508097":{"id":"1699811572871508097","date":"2023-09-07 15:47:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The affluent middle-aged American desire to LARP as a 3rd world paramilitary.\n\nWho hurt you? And why are there so many?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1699811572871508097","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":79,"retweets":1,"replies":18,"quotes":0,"views":13257,"bookmarks":4,"media":["1699811572871508097_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1699811572871508097","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1390665912777277440":{"id":"1390665912777277440","date":"2021-05-07 13:52:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod I think you missed 0.6180 as a major level no?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1390662116072464384","reply_id":"1390665196822167556","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1390665912777277440","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2027021835032826327":{"id":"2027021835032826327","date":"2026-02-26 14:04:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Does anyone on this planet ACTUALLY believe that Opus 4.6 could productively write code unattended for 14.5 human-dev hours (median)?\n\nEven @METR_Evals doesn't, hence the disclaimer.\n\nSo do us a favor and stop the clickbait until you get better evals.\n\nhttps://x.com/METR_Evals/status/2024923422867030027","hashtags":[],"conv":"2027021835032826327","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":210,"retweets":2,"replies":70,"quotes":5,"views":54004,"bookmarks":26,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2027021835032826327","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1417321226712674304":{"id":"1417321226712674304","date":"2021-07-20 03:11:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ksidiii @SqueezeMetrics @MortWeaz @jsoloff That it do.\n\nAnd a bunch of other things too, when it wants to.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1417300898234003457","reply_id":"1417320564465733633","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Ksidiii","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1417321226712674304","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1499473433217830912":{"id":"1499473433217830912","date":"2022-03-03 19:55:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @bennpeifert @experquisite @HariPKrishnan2 @nope_its_lily @choffstein @moreproteinbars @macrocephalopod @salr_nyc @KrisAbdelmessih @Ksidiii Yeah, the PhD is a (n occasionally poor) proxy for:\n- smart\n- hard-working\n- willing/able to run with ideas others give them","hashtags":[],"conv":"1499208197717913604","reply_id":"1499473050643099648","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1499473433217830912","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1946869522662576430":{"id":"1946869522662576430","date":"2025-07-20 09:47:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"💯","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946869522662576430","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":6152,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946869522662576430","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1476434232016703489":{"id":"1476434232016703489","date":"2021-12-30 06:05:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vega_gang @volmagorov @robertmartin88 @therobotjames Lots of good work being done in this area IMO. But I've been away for a few years so I don't know the latest honestly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476304612638355459","reply_id":"1476433102587109378","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vega_gang","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476434232016703489","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1661144681122787329":{"id":"1661144681122787329","date":"2023-05-23 22:58:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Rory is exactly one year older than Brooks.\n\nBrooks has won 5 majors since Rory won his last one.\n\n🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1661144681122787329","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1796,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1661144681122787329","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1763655379458961412":{"id":"1763655379458961412","date":"2024-03-01 19:59:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nayshins Fair enough!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1763639515137392992","reply_id":"1763648374023332231","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nayshins","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":365,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1763655379458961412","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1732629055022002644":{"id":"1732629055022002644","date":"2023-12-07 05:12:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"At this point, the difference between presidential debates and Ow My Balls is too small to be worth commenting on.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1732629055022002644","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2065,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1732629055022002644_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1732629055022002644","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1957695205877940502":{"id":"1957695205877940502","date":"2025-08-19 06:44:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@__paleologo What actual large (billions of dollars) of risk are being hedged by a \"will Putin sign a peace agreement with Zelenskyy\" contract that will be rulescucked to death by sharp participants?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957390814113308717","reply_id":"1957679965408833586","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"__paleologo","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":4477,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1957695205877940502","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1418405268988125188":{"id":"1418405268988125188","date":"2021-07-23 02:59:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SqueezeMetrics @KrisAbdelmessih Already seeing it.\n\nQuality technical managers and leads are by far the most competitive positions to fill right now. Salaries up 25% YoY.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1418391066353537028","reply_id":"1418396296692609026","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SqueezeMetrics","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1418405268988125188","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1712884271822918069":{"id":"1712884271822918069","date":"2023-10-13 17:33:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@johnennis @Austen 👆👆👆\n\n\"What if the government were a corporation\" takes are always stupid.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1712718969126498608","reply_id":"1712786474289054115","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"johnennis","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":199,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1712884271822918069","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1258471298046373889":{"id":"1258471298046373889","date":"2020-05-07 18:58:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@o_wutang @bennpeifert For traders, IMHO the #1 characteristic needed is ability learn new things quickly. A good way to test this is by teaching them something they didn't know and then getting them to solve problems with it.\n\n#2 is a well-trained facility with logic. Being able to reason cleanly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1258184053326376961","reply_id":"1258468270002319360","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"o_wutang","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1258471298046373889","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1805346027337400340":{"id":"1805346027337400340","date":"2024-06-24 21:03:29","author":"Dwarkesh Patel","handle":"dwarkesh_sp","text":"I asked Tony Blair what he wishes he and Clinton had done during the West's unipolar moment in the 1990s.\n\nDoes he regret bringing China into the fold?\n\nFull episode out Wednesday.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1805346027337400340","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1805433525023424788","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":358,"retweets":11,"replies":27,"quotes":13,"views":61795,"bookmarks":100,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1805346027337400340"},"1242242206674477056":{"id":"1242242206674477056","date":"2020-03-24 00:09:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@QuantStratTradR @vixologist @VolatilityWiz Paging @SqueezeMetrics ...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1242174147289104386","reply_id":"1242235478163800065","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuantStratTradR","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1242242206674477056","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1593393979088719873":{"id":"1593393979088719873","date":"2022-11-18 00:01:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @bennpeifert @PoorlyFiat @TheSpeculator0 @nope_its_lily @therobotjames Can't go wrong with Franzia Sunset Blush.\n5 liters of it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1593240036857679874","reply_id":"1593383217007976449","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1593393979088719873_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1593393979088719873","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1424161412515975173":{"id":"1424161412515975173","date":"2021-08-08 00:11:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan TopTal >> Upwork that's for sure.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1424161057363398671","reply_id":"1424161057363398671","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1424161412515975173","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1420442052425224195":{"id":"1420442052425224195","date":"2021-07-28 17:52:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vixologist @TheSpeculator0 No debate, but seriously. 8 medals in 1 Oly games?\n\nYou're telling me all of those 8 things all deserve the same medal that a marathoner gets for winning?\n\nPlease.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420435586272436224","reply_id":"1420441392648790021","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vixologist","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420442052425224195","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1559556490754592768":{"id":"1559556490754592768","date":"2022-08-16 15:03:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 @bennpeifert said every yield-seeker ever.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1559555806667759616","reply_id":"1559556053909794818","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1559556490754592768","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2012163296841924773":{"id":"2012163296841924773","date":"2026-01-16 14:01:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"(yes I know it stands for high grade)","hashtags":[],"conv":"2012163166420038128","reply_id":"2012163166420038128","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":66,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":8187,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2012163296841924773","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1959187759198777475":{"id":"1959187759198777475","date":"2025-08-23 09:35:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@aarushshah04 Of course this is precisely the point.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1959185939168629101","reply_id":"1959187056707666412","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"aarushshah04","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":430,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1959187759198777475","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1436023265248485383":{"id":"1436023265248485383","date":"2021-09-09 17:46:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sajidnizami Interesting.\n\nThere's so much dysfunction around data and ML in corporate America right now...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1436021225331957760","reply_id":"1436022967343849479","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sajidnizami","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1436023265248485383","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1983934090815447369":{"id":"1983934090815447369","date":"2025-10-30 16:28:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@remusofmars @blknoiz06 True, but it was much smaller and it didn't fully infect the culture. Maybe there was a small period in the 80s when it did, but Black Monday took care of that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1983921851538485523","reply_id":"1983933774199959923","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"remusofmars","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":280,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1983934090815447369","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1350612080747978753":{"id":"1350612080747978753","date":"2021-01-17 01:13:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @ONAN_OUS I always like to monitor what fraction of YC companies serve other startups.\n\nWhatever risk you think exists investing in startups, multiply it by 1/(1-f) where f = that fraction.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1350559595853275136","reply_id":"1350604701293711364","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1350612080747978753","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1709739665883037970":{"id":"1709739665883037970","date":"2023-10-05 01:17:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@waltuuuhr I think his criticism is Straussian. It's *definitely* there if you read between the lines.\n\nBut I don't think he thinks his job is to evaluate. Everyone out there that hates the book wanted it to be a condemnation. But it never was going to be.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709714391380238814","reply_id":"1709733551975842261","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"waltuuuhr","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1318,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1709739665883037970","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1713710703474016406":{"id":"1713710703474016406","date":"2023-10-16 00:17:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @FormulaDeltaOne @theemilyaccount Yes! The Moon Is a Harsh Mistress too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1713611269255610530","reply_id":"1713655847224512615","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":183,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1713710703474016406","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1563609209828020224":{"id":"1563609209828020224","date":"2022-08-27 19:27:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Tallow_beach @686Prism @drunkengrass Wow! There's a literature on everything.\n\nNice find!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1563575512122814465","reply_id":"1563607377953169410","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Tallow_beach","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1563609209828020224","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1607383911939596292":{"id":"1607383911939596292","date":"2022-12-26 14:32:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xfbifemboy Agreed. Often the case with modern scifi trilogies:\n\n- Wool/Shift/Dust\n- Nexus/Crux/Apex\n\nBy the third book it feels like the author is doing it out of a sense of duty to their fans.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1607256669272309760","reply_id":"1607256669272309760","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xfbifemboy","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1308,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1607383911939596292","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1479984808700776449":{"id":"1479984808700776449","date":"2022-01-09 01:14:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Wow, I just discovered I'm very unusual by Robin-Hanson-poll-responder standards.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1479984808700776449","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1479984808700776449","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1571318564472389636":{"id":"1571318564472389636","date":"2022-09-18 02:01:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dwarkesh_sp He already has an instinctive understanding of that!\n\nToday we went through the AKQ game.\n\nWhen it clicked why he should bet with a Q sometimes... those are the moments I live for as a parent.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1571304868220108800","reply_id":"1571317084096790529","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dwarkesh_sp","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1571318564472389636","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1633934256794902528":{"id":"1633934256794902528","date":"2023-03-09 20:54:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5/ “But what if they didn’t have to?”\n\nWell, that’s a bit too far. In the end, you’re always going to have to trust *someone*.\n\nUnless you’re an expert at both mathematical cryptography and also reviewing cryptography library code, and have all the time in the world to do so!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633934250620891136","reply_id":"1633934255373058048","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3253,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633934256794902528","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1459319692787519488":{"id":"1459319692787519488","date":"2021-11-13 00:38:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames 🙏🙏🙏\n\nStill waiting for the Robot book to drop...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1459246362747236354","reply_id":"1459246362747236354","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1459319692787519488","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1163926126403547138":{"id":"1163926126403547138","date":"2019-08-20 21:29:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MebFaber ETFs are sold, not bought.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1163925093069705216","reply_id":"1163925093069705216","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MebFaber","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1163926126403547138","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1339707934087892992":{"id":"1339707934087892992","date":"2020-12-17 23:03:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Wallacesnoop1 @bennpeifert Dude, do you know how many of them fail those q's tho?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1339598846037397510","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1339707934087892992","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1361332243461902347":{"id":"1361332243461902347","date":"2021-02-15 15:11:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@catapultcap @macrocephalopod ☝️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1361286719409127427","reply_id":"1361291647070461952","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"catapultcap","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1361332243461902347","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1310233005567299584":{"id":"1310233005567299584","date":"2020-09-27 15:01:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The Facebook solution to the Fermi Paradox just keeps getting more compelling to me.\n\nIt's way more energy-efficient for entities to be entertained and engaged with bits rather than with atoms.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1310233005567299584","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1701436171715502081","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1310233005567299584","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1722380090070409234":{"id":"1722380090070409234","date":"2023-11-08 22:26:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"A surprisingly good heuristic for \"how outlier-y/crappy is my data\":\n\n- N is number of datapoints.\n- Sort your data.\n- Get rid of the first and last k * sqrt(N) points.\n\nFor what value of k does the data start to look \"sensible\"?\n\nk < 0.3: pretty good data\nk > 3: pretty bad data","hashtags":[],"conv":"1722380090070409234","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":154,"retweets":14,"replies":7,"quotes":4,"views":25421,"bookmarks":160,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1722380090070409234","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2039967501375754561":{"id":"2039967501375754561","date":"2026-04-03 07:25:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This video by Michael MacKelvie is great. If you ever \"didn't get\" basic game theory, finding game equilibria, etc, and you love basketball, I can't imagine a better video.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SdBFIL_f8LM","hashtags":[],"conv":"2039967501375754561","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":123,"retweets":4,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":11904,"bookmarks":145,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2039967501375754561","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1732912866985218050":{"id":"1732912866985218050","date":"2023-12-07 23:59:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@weaponizedFOMO Haha, doh! 1 gallon!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1732898887609036986","reply_id":"1732911416280248600","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"weaponizedFOMO","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":107,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1732912866985218050","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2015000116986266085":{"id":"2015000116986266085","date":"2026-01-24 09:53:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"We are all Colonel Agansu now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2015000116986266085","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2743,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2015000116986266085","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1493435249665064962":{"id":"1493435249665064962","date":"2022-02-15 04:01:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MinvstrD @InvestGCM @theemilyaccount @KrisAbdelmessih @salr_nyc Working on this...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493387393142976512","reply_id":"1493435034115743749","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MinvstrD","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493435249665064962","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2012577410433118543":{"id":"2012577410433118543","date":"2026-01-17 17:27:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"They've already said they're trying to intermediate your every social interaction.\n\nBoth Zuck and sama are open about this. With the VR glasses, and the audio thingy Jony Ive is building.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2012576442379276550","reply_id":"2012576442379276550","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2654,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2012577410433118543","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1437817368818847746":{"id":"1437817368818847746","date":"2021-09-14 16:35:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@salr_nyc @JessicaNutt96 Past a point, the more monitors you need the more infra/automation/monitoring/alerting you should be building instead of staring at more numbers and graphs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1437809894439235585","reply_id":"1437811929473560578","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"salr_nyc","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1437817368818847746","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1679297332624642048":{"id":"1679297332624642048","date":"2023-07-13 01:10:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Denniska_1 @therobotjames 🙏🙏🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1679245181785374720","reply_id":"1679245181785374720","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Denniska_1","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":28,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1679297332624642048","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1532532507010224129":{"id":"1532532507010224129","date":"2022-06-03 01:19:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily Lunch +convo with Kris is a wonderful experience.\n\n10/10, would do again.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1532531987541393409","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1532532507010224129","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1698792496929947695":{"id":"1698792496929947695","date":"2023-09-04 20:17:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"100% correct. Everything is still artisanal.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1698792496929947695","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3209,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1698792496929947695","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1847650924103135583":{"id":"1847650924103135583","date":"2024-10-19 14:48:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"All I see is:\n\nUSE A LANGUAGE WITH A REAL TYPE SYSTEM\n\nUSE A LANGUAGE WITH A REAL TYPE SYSTEM\n\netc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847650924103135583","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":5774,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847650924103135583","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1415321026485886979":{"id":"1415321026485886979","date":"2021-07-14 14:43:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3/ But it’s become clear, over the years of helping clients hire better, that a lot of what I’m teaching is trading skills and mindsets.\n\nHere’s what I mean...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"1415321025466699777","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415321026485886979","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1666096590220853250":{"id":"1666096590220853250","date":"2023-06-06 14:55:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount PGATour throwing Rory in particular under a very large Saudi-$ bus.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1666092289796763650","reply_id":"1666092289796763650","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":411,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1666096590220853250","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1610280659255451649":{"id":"1610280659255451649","date":"2023-01-03 14:23:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EMinflationista Kid (8th grade) has his annual \"independent project\" to do. The claim is that they can explore whatever subject they like and produce something \"scholarly\" (their words).\n\nBut in fact, the marking rubric requires the output to be a 12 slide PowerPoint.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1610132517553856513","reply_id":"1610268968341716993","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EMinflationista","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":75,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1610280659255451649","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1694540049201905795":{"id":"1694540049201905795","date":"2023-08-24 02:40:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If Fognini doesn't want to be a professional tennis player, I'm sure there's some club in Italy that would take him to teach tennis to rich overweight middle-aged people.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1694540049201905795","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2080,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1694540049201905795","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1357717733123624961":{"id":"1357717733123624961","date":"2021-02-05 15:48:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ksidiii @Gingfacekillah @EmanuelDerman Mostly fortunately IMO. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1357531883337310208","reply_id":"1357714127687479303","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Ksidiii","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1357717733123624961","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1547658249947598848":{"id":"1547658249947598848","date":"2022-07-14 19:04:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sw33tY4ms High interest rates?\nHigh gas prices?\nLow growth?\nSocial disintegration?\n\nBetter start watching That 70s Show again as a how-to manual.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1547656491024257025","reply_id":"1547657598131793923","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"return_stacking","likes":12,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1547658249947598848_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1547658249947598848","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1589328012650360832":{"id":"1589328012650360832","date":"2022-11-06 18:45:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Any funda people have an opinion? I've always been curious myself.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1589328012650360832","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1589328012650360832","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1535721895969992704":{"id":"1535721895969992704","date":"2022-06-11 20:33:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @therobotjames This where the risk considerations come in.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1535467674481741829","reply_id":"1535682616313118720","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1535721895969992704","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1493433491068841984":{"id":"1493433491068841984","date":"2022-02-15 03:54:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @theemilyaccount @salr_nyc Exactly. DeBoer has this right.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493387393142976512","reply_id":"1493432063357165568","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493433491068841984","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1762234266858262784":{"id":"1762234266858262784","date":"2024-02-26 21:52:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@flowidealism @JamesPoetzscher This seems like a no-brainer then. Do concurrent enrollment in some (flexible) HS and take as many community college courses as possible. Way more time efficient.\n\nAnd likely looks even better on a college application!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1762229453764333898","reply_id":"1762233547245424832","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"flowidealism","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":51,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1762234266858262784","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1835409365651841450":{"id":"1835409365651841450","date":"2024-09-15 20:04:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Tennis: bigger serves/groundstrokes.\nSnooker:  cannoning the pack to extend breaks.\nChess: sub-optimal but niche exploitive lines.\n\nWhat else?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1835409363873280223","reply_id":"1835409363873280223","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":35,"retweets":0,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":4758,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1835409365651841450","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2066832937572602118":{"id":"2066832937572602118","date":"2026-06-16 10:39:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Americans are willing to waste resources to save time.\nEuropeans are willing to waste time to save resources.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2066832937572602118","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":146,"retweets":3,"replies":6,"quotes":3,"views":13917,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2066832937572602118","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1707513193248244054":{"id":"1707513193248244054","date":"2023-09-28 21:50:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"How is this surprising? As the fraction of ppl w/ a college degree goes up, the non-BA tranche selects for fewer and fewer people.\n\nI.e. ones with mental, physical and emotional difficulties which make it hard to get that college degree.\n\nI.e. likely correlative not causal.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1707513193248244054","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":31,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":8028,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1707513193248244054","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1441117171069829128":{"id":"1441117171069829128","date":"2021-09-23 19:08:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@leakyalpha @lightspringfox @KrisAbdelmessih @ejames_c Exactly. Unless they're a whale whose intent is to break the pro with their OOM larger bankroll. Andy Beal for example.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1440890442367655937","reply_id":"1441089456786722825","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"leakyalpha","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1441117171069829128","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1508961515470262273":{"id":"1508961515470262273","date":"2022-03-30 00:17:15","author":"Joel Rubano","handle":"TCK_JRubano","text":"Tonight’s lecture is on finding the optimal implementation of a trader’s view of the market from an array of candidate strategies. Most traders err by starting with what they want to do, then looking for a reason. View of the market first, then figure out how to express it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1508961515470262273","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1508963594846687241","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TCK_JRubano/status/1508961515470262273"},"1766213412776780033":{"id":"1766213412776780033","date":"2024-03-08 21:24:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"MSc Finance student in a dark suit wants to connect on LinkedIn. 🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1766213412776780033","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":31,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":7800,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1766213412776780033","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1700184274182517052":{"id":"1700184274182517052","date":"2023-09-08 16:28:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Chaelelo @AlexanderGerko @macrocephalopod @nope_its_lily @WallStWeeb It was indeed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1699961937889792362","reply_id":"1700182566270075029","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Chaelelo","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":321,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1700184274182517052","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1979519559628419523":{"id":"1979519559628419523","date":"2025-10-18 12:06:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@unixpickle Antibiotics.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1979384076189446432","reply_id":"1979384076189446432","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"unixpickle","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":261,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1979519559628419523","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1843732911922786599":{"id":"1843732911922786599","date":"2024-10-08 19:19:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ZachariahSchwab @alz_zyd_ That's badass.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1843707719334920619","reply_id":"1843728663495487751","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ZachariahSchwab","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":66,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1843732911922786599","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1537805713174503425":{"id":"1537805713174503425","date":"2022-06-17 14:33:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"How is Tensorflow vs PyTorch vs JAX a Business Insider-worthy article?\n\nhttps://www.businessinsider.com/facebook-pytorch-beat-google-tensorflow-jax-meta-ai-2022-6","hashtags":[],"conv":"1537805713174503425","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1537805713174503425","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1983953949892997420":{"id":"1983953949892997420","date":"2025-10-30 17:47:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Tom62589172 🤣🤣🤣✅","hashtags":[],"conv":"1983921851538485523","reply_id":"1983945317780263138","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Tom62589172","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":288,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1983953949892997420","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1798064719380808096":{"id":"1798064719380808096","date":"2024-06-04 18:50:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@svrnco So obscure they're not even remotely in the language, evidently.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1798018811725222235","reply_id":"1798052957151547883","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"svrnco","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":142,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1798064719380808096","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2059598659008844073":{"id":"2059598659008844073","date":"2026-05-27 11:32:40","author":"FoolishPig","handle":"TheFoolishPig","text":"RT @TheFoolishPig: @alz_zyd_ The true magic of leetcode is that it tests whether a candidate is willing to put in the work on a hard and tedious problem if you dangle money in front of him. \n\nIf you hire a guy, that is about 99% of what you want him to do.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2059598659008844073","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2059458119638368366","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":4,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheFoolishPig/status/2059598659008844073"},"2034556057721122842":{"id":"2034556057721122842","date":"2026-03-19 09:02:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"RT @AgustinLebron3: @0xDmitry @annanay \"Is it gambling\" is the wrong question.\n\nDoes the speculative activity lead to more accurate prices which can be used by others for better capital allocation, leading to economic growth and better lives for everyone? Even if not involved in that market?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2034556057721122842","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2034556038649938059","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":13,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2034556057721122842","type":"retweet","issues":[]},"1352080493747994625":{"id":"1352080493747994625","date":"2021-01-21 02:28:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JessicaNutt96 @bennpeifert I'm going to add that there's no model-free way to answer the original q based only on those 3 prices.\n\nA floor trader would answer the q like this: change prices to vols, look at up/down vol slopes. Mult each by 1.5ish, that's your dvol/dspot for up/down pieces.\n\nMeatball stuff.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1352069470903181313","reply_id":"1352072129592913921","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JessicaNutt96","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1352080493747994625","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1601778103377723393":{"id":"1601778103377723393","date":"2022-12-11 03:17:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The genius of a great performer is making you feel like something they've done thousands of times is as special to *them* tonight as it is to you.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1601778103377723393","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":39,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1601778103377723393","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1611160494173454336":{"id":"1611160494173454336","date":"2023-01-06 00:39:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OmniBubbleBear GTO Wizard seems pretty awesome.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1611118315690414081","reply_id":"1611160100663590913","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"enki_cr","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":353,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1611160494173454336","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1498149365407707137":{"id":"1498149365407707137","date":"2022-02-28 04:13:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Me too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1498146053366845441","reply_id":"1498148300813639684","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1498149365407707137","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1958063756983841095":{"id":"1958063756983841095","date":"2025-08-20 07:09:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Look obviously it's just exploitive front-running, because look at their ridiculously high Sharpe, and besides it's so low capacity so I wouldn't want to do that anyway.\"\n\n\"Look at these degens punting around billions, that Sharpe is barely above zero, stupid tea leaf readers.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1958063755377434950","reply_id":"1958063755377434950","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":52,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":6893,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1958063756983841095","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1202287787673710592":{"id":"1202287787673710592","date":"2019-12-04 18:05:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MebFaber And not a moment too soon!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1202274425631936512","reply_id":"1202274425631936512","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MebFaber","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1202287787673710592","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1571674658050830336":{"id":"1571674658050830336","date":"2022-09-19 01:36:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vixologist @bennpeifert @moreproteinbars @therobotjames @NewRiverInvest @FREAK0NAUT @Chaelelo @nope_its_lily @OGTaylorB Yeah this is how it feels to me.\n\nI have certain issues that made this a good career for me. But it's not what I expected going in, and it's not what it looks like from the outside.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1571636409651580929","reply_id":"1571673739384983553","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vixologist","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1571674658050830336","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1558578624789303296":{"id":"1558578624789303296","date":"2022-08-13 22:17:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@covenofkhaos @bennpeifert @be20684347 Exactly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1558462645472092160","reply_id":"1558576659242123275","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"demibytes","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1558578624789303296","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1999201468885209313":{"id":"1999201468885209313","date":"2025-12-11 19:35:48","author":"ltrd","handle":"ltrd_","text":"RT @ltrd_: People misunderstood relatively small numbers of appropriate candidates with competition. I would like to assure you that at the last stage of recruitment process, 80% of people that you will face for such roles (especially on junior positions) are ex-CS olympiad winners, people that at the age of 12 made their first games and then prepared for olympiads from the age of 15. It's definitely not that easy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1999201468885209313","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"1999191363162898601","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":20,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ltrd_/status/1999201468885209313"},"1575332111031992320":{"id":"1575332111031992320","date":"2022-09-29 03:50:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano @AttainCap2 @KrisAbdelmessih @moreproteinbars Same at JS and at my current place.\n\nWe spend what might seem to an outsider like an insane amount of effort and care to precisely define terms we use in trading.\n\nBut I don't know how you can build a successful multi-human trading system without doing so.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1575308368264183808","reply_id":"1575308368264183808","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":23,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1575332111031992320","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1546149744640045056":{"id":"1546149744640045056","date":"2022-07-10 15:09:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@blo_viation An expert-level chess player: \"The Najdorf gets more draws at the GM level than any other Sicilian defense.\"\n\nAn IMO participant: \"China has had at least two gold medalists every year since 1970.\"\n\nWho's going to bother to look it up?\nSounds plausible, they're experts.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546133024869212165","reply_id":"1546148873927700480","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546149744640045056","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1702007058529403341":{"id":"1702007058529403341","date":"2023-09-13 17:11:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite Depends what you're doing. If it's front-end work, or building bog-standard API endpoints, it's a massive timesaver.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1702005678200545783","reply_id":"1702005678200545783","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":228,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1702007058529403341","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1603150791371431936":{"id":"1603150791371431936","date":"2022-12-14 22:11:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"TIL some people understand normal futures as somewhat weird variants of perps.\n\nI mean, it makes sense that would be true but 🤯.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1603150791371431936","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":30,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1603150791371431936","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1734586533255274569":{"id":"1734586533255274569","date":"2023-12-12 14:50:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What fraction of the Flintstones economy was devoted to agriculture for all the industrial-use dinosaurs?\n\nA lot, right?\n\nAnd how did that intensive agriculture happen? Lots of dinosaurs, surely. Which also need lots of food...\n\n🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1734586533255274569","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2110,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1734586533255274569","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1472646307533627393":{"id":"1472646307533627393","date":"2021-12-19 19:13:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brrrcapital1 @ogpasha 🙏 Thanks for the kind words!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1472638663951585284","reply_id":"1472645815189520384","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"brrrcapital1","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1472646307533627393","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1653617476943646723":{"id":"1653617476943646723","date":"2023-05-03 04:28:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @tszzl Yeah, full-on echo chamber at this point.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1653551598491287552","reply_id":"1653552166114672640","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":417,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1653617476943646723","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1240741870721880064":{"id":"1240741870721880064","date":"2020-03-19 20:48:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OneBigOh @vgr @free_shilling Also my editor would kill me if I didn't plug my own book:\n\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Laws-Trading-Traders-Decision-Making-Everyone/dp/1119574218\n\nBut it's less about money per se and more about trading (which the (b) part above).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1240509103689981952","reply_id":"1240741761930027009","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1240741870721880064","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1465465553796034562":{"id":"1465465553796034562","date":"2021-11-29 23:39:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Serious question: why hasn't someone like @Termly_io branched out into generating \"culture and values\" documents for companies?\n\nThey all read the same anyway...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1465465553796034562","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1465465553796034562","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1494327717998698502":{"id":"1494327717998698502","date":"2022-02-17 15:07:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OneBigOh They should be. It's actually a competitive advantage for the rare companies that do it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493963587261370375","reply_id":"1494301290582708224","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OneBigOh","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494327717998698502","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1532507966301036545":{"id":"1532507966301036545","date":"2022-06-02 23:42:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @therobotjames Exactly.\n\n- Risk premium harvesting makes money when things are \"normal\".\n- MM prints money when things are crazy. Assuming you survive the craziness.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1532494929968365568","reply_id":"1532503071615483916","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":29,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1532507966301036545","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1279258888257155072":{"id":"1279258888257155072","date":"2020-07-04 03:41:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz If you want one that lets you simulate golf, Skytrak for 2k is the starting point.\n\nGCQuad is the gold standard.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1279247013935276032","reply_id":"1279258599189934080","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1279258888257155072","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1156206341842599936":{"id":"1156206341842599936","date":"2019-07-30 14:14:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If you're not paying for the product, you are the product.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1156206341842599936","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1156206341842599936","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1986864966394060926":{"id":"1986864966394060926","date":"2025-11-07 18:34:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KjetG That was some next-level grifting, definitely.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1986698316906963377","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":310,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1986864966394060926","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1261348583715991552":{"id":"1261348583715991552","date":"2020-05-15 17:31:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Am I the only one that prefers a lot of music at a different tempo than it's recorded?\n\nThank you YouTube speed feature for this discovery. Try it if you haven't.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1261348583715991552","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1261348583715991552","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1340165254483865601":{"id":"1340165254483865601","date":"2020-12-19 05:21:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AdamMcFarlin1 @_____Momin @Suhail ARM sells synthesizable processor cores. The SW analogy is that they sell you the source code, then you compile it.\n\nBut the point is: they wrote it and what you buy is a license to use it. The instruction set is like the API that *your* users use to interface with your product.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1340067123729629184","reply_id":"1340155914481889280","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AdamMcFarlin1","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1340165254483865601","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2018403527966507161":{"id":"2018403527966507161","date":"2026-02-02 19:17:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Just revolting.\nhttps://www.golfdigest.com/story/pga-tour-live-betcasts-2026","hashtags":[],"conv":"2018403527966507161","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":5248,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2018403527966507161","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1788985776228982879":{"id":"1788985776228982879","date":"2024-05-10 17:33:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@zpete @rubanlah Yes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788923697908339031","reply_id":"1788985023053361328","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"zpete","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":991,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788985776228982879","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1671237044301905921":{"id":"1671237044301905921","date":"2023-06-20 19:22:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RamonGainez @FormulaDeltaOne @macrocephalopod @therobotjames @picotrades 👆","hashtags":[],"conv":"1671096960768438272","reply_id":"1671236437533130752","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RamonGainez","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":168,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1671237044301905921","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1668089974778888196":{"id":"1668089974778888196","date":"2023-06-12 02:56:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Dealing with atoms requires an irreducible amount of tacit know-how that dealing with bits just doesn't.\n\nAs a new entrant in a market (i.e. a startup with little institutional knowledge), the way to make headway quickly is to turn an atoms problem into a bits problem.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1668089972367163393","reply_id":"1668089973642231811","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":964,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1668089974778888196","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1433938880265220108":{"id":"1433938880265220108","date":"2021-09-03 23:44:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan An even closer analogy is that up to risk limits (i.e. your stack size) if you're taking a level you should take all of it or none of it.\n\nTaking half the offer is almost never the right size.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1433913653514878984","reply_id":"1433913653514878984","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":17,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1433938880265220108","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1238875500493148160":{"id":"1238875500493148160","date":"2020-03-14 17:11:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@forwardefence @bennpeifert The Straussian reading of that book is that Espen wrote it to show how pointless academic finance is. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1238823808082907136","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1238875500493148160","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1892858902795931872":{"id":"1892858902795931872","date":"2025-02-21 08:48:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"There should be a special layer of hell reserved for recruiters whose Linkedin profiles say shit like \"Systematic Trading\" or similar deceptions.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1892858902795931872","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":71,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":10105,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1892858902795931872","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1361433402046472192":{"id":"1361433402046472192","date":"2021-02-15 21:53:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MinvstrD @KrisAbdelmessih Link to paper? Thx.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1361418125757980673","reply_id":"1361420337166966788","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MinvstrD","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1361433402046472192","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1387583644437417984":{"id":"1387583644437417984","date":"2021-04-29 01:44:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Hey @nytimes!\n\nKudos on the weird and misleading Voronoi-style (?) pie chart where the pies don't go through the center of the circle.\n\nSolid #chartcrime creativity there.","hashtags":["chartcrime"],"conv":"1387583644437417984","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":30,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1387583644437417984_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1387583644437417984","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1959960628585492766":{"id":"1959960628585492766","date":"2025-08-25 12:46:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What if, and I know this is crazy, VCs should:\n\n- Sometimes go against the consensus, and\n- Sometimes go with the consensus.\n\nAnd what if, and this is *really* crazy, the skill is in figuring out which individual situation is which.\n\nNah... I'm probably very wrong.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1959960628585492766","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":40,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":4064,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1959960628585492766","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1943589894120464850":{"id":"1943589894120464850","date":"2025-07-11 08:35:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Lotsoffoodinme On average yes. Some will win but most will lose. The $20b+ per year that CitSec/JS/etc make has to come from somewhere.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943280522756591979","reply_id":"1943586820639330638","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Lotsoffoodinme","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1440,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1943589894120464850","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1571677979964755971":{"id":"1571677979964755971","date":"2022-09-19 01:50:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Chaelelo @nope_its_lily @macropotamus @NewRiverInvest @FREAK0NAUT @OGTaylorB They all say that, but then comes the ratchet.\n\nMaking ridic-money-for-a-25-year-old has a way of becoming your normal more quickly than you could ever imagine.\n\n\"Fuck that, I ain't flying coach.\"\n\nThen you're on the treadmill, never to get off.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1571636409651580929","reply_id":"1571677670789742592","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Chaelelo","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1571677979964755971","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2048782728640778357":{"id":"2048782728640778357","date":"2026-04-27 15:14:01","author":"Dwarkesh Patel","handle":"dwarkesh_sp","text":"RT @dwarkesh_sp: What I've been thinking about this weekend\n\n- some more open questions about AI\n- the mistake of conflating intelligence and power\n- RLVR might be disproportionately bad at science\n- What does the parallel discovery of a deep idea like Darwinism tell us?\n\nhttps://www.dwarkesh.com/p/what-ive-been-thinking-april-27","hashtags":[],"conv":"2048782728640778357","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2048780457962307623","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":8,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["2048782728640778357_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/2048782728640778357"},"1549951581700796416":{"id":"1549951581700796416","date":"2022-07-21 02:57:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 I think he just doesn't like the classical time format.\n\nHe proposed a world champs format where you play 4 rapid or blitz games per day. Which would be hella fun to watch. But FIDE would never go for that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1549950849405034501","reply_id":"1549950849405034501","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1549951581700796416","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1567961761181233153":{"id":"1567961761181233153","date":"2022-09-08 19:43:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I love crypto. But I especially love @binance.\n\n\"More specific information than the above will not be provided. Please use trial and error to achieve your ideal trading pattern, or discuss optimal behavior with other API users.\"\n\nHall of fame stuff.\n\nhttps://www.binance.com/en/support/faq/360004492232","hashtags":[],"conv":"1567961761181233153","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1567961761181233153_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1567961761181233153","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1628872929898545152":{"id":"1628872929898545152","date":"2023-02-23 21:42:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@trumpspoon @therobotjames Also critically important.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1628868916541034496","reply_id":"1628872760062517248","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"trumpspoon","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":32,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1628872929898545152","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2076344418915733581":{"id":"2076344418915733581","date":"2026-07-12 16:34:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The problem with enterprises trying to protect their IP from model providers is that half of them probably have no clue what their IP even is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2076344418915733581","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":82,"retweets":4,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":7060,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2076344418915733581","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1680581377547292672":{"id":"1680581377547292672","date":"2023-07-16 14:13:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Djoko' desperation for the crowd's love *is* what makes him so unlikeable.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1680581377547292672","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":5686,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1680581377547292672","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1976650428134863333":{"id":"1976650428134863333","date":"2025-10-10 14:06:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@baynkr Accuracy may be the valuable thing for the world, but Polymarket doesn't (and shouldn't) care about that.\n\nAll they should care about is maximizing volume. Otherwise their shareholders will find an executive team who does care about that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1976645088433656219","reply_id":"1976648966579069237","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"baynkr","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1309,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1976650428134863333","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1493438113544245249":{"id":"1493438113544245249","date":"2022-02-15 04:12:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jamescmlin @KrisAbdelmessih @be20684347 @theemilyaccount @salr_nyc I'd be shocked if a pure IQ test (or similar) in hiring is a strong part of RenTec's edge.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493387393142976512","reply_id":"1493437542733074435","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jamescmlin","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493438113544245249","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1415321260981047298":{"id":"1415321260981047298","date":"2021-07-14 14:44:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"27/ Same in hiring. Stop trying to build an HFT-strat hiring process.\n\nYou can’t do it. You don’t have the metaphorical FPGAs, you don’t even know what colo is!\n\nSo build something else. Harvest some risk premia: make it about the business, the team, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"1415321259886354435","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415321260981047298","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1626431368673783809":{"id":"1626431368673783809","date":"2023-02-17 04:00:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@marsupialtail_2 @0xdoug @arb8020 @totlsota @OrthogonalAlpha @OrbingxD All the time.\n\n1. In a product I'm using to hedge.\n2. Because of risk limits.\n3. Because I have some other source of alpha.\n4. Because it's wide and a cust crossed 95% of the \"real\" spread.\n\netc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1626307839856869376","reply_id":"1626430171116101632","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"marsupialtail_2","likes":5,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":211,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1626431368673783809","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1796651430432149589":{"id":"1796651430432149589","date":"2024-05-31 21:14:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nkreu113r Doesn't feel like it's up to \"us\" in any meaningful way.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1796642119517671913","reply_id":"1796649740395758015","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nkreu113r","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":251,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1796651430432149589","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1573449160568602624":{"id":"1573449160568602624","date":"2022-09-23 23:08:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What are examples of high-performing/admirable/etc companies which *don't* list \"excellent customer service\" as a core value?\n\nI accept there's inevitable jokery but it's an interesting question to seriously consider.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1573449160568602624","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":11,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1573449160568602624","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1636897200348499969":{"id":"1636897200348499969","date":"2023-03-18 01:07:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase @AlexNoonan6 Pay OpenAI $20/mo and have it be your instructor.\n\nSeriously. You get interactivity which is huge.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1636890130098143232","reply_id":"1636890527588073472","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":91,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1636897200348499969","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1783141842374037669":{"id":"1783141842374037669","date":"2024-04-24 14:31:59","author":"Erik Hoel","handle":"erikphoel","text":"1. It took ~6 months to teach my 2-year-old toddler to read using phonics. More parents should try this! Here's why:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1783141842374037669","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1783272438396330474","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1128,"retweets":100,"replies":58,"quotes":27,"views":288949,"bookmarks":1636,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/erikphoel/status/1783141842374037669"},"1575535891560292353":{"id":"1575535891560292353","date":"2022-09-29 17:20:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What one thing you've learned from a podcast?\n\nSomething that you heard that stuck with you as true *knowledge*.\n\nAs opposed to stories, impressions, feelings, etc.\n\nI'm drawing a complete blank myself.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1575535891560292353","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":1,"replies":15,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1575535891560292353","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1962805514716246502":{"id":"1962805514716246502","date":"2025-09-02 09:11:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So many enterprise SaaS companies are DOA zombies, and they don't even realize it yet.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1962805514716246502","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3495,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1962805514716246502","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1482799313310732289":{"id":"1482799313310732289","date":"2022-01-16 19:38:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lightspringfox Which isn't necessarily a bad thing, to be clear.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482748235496058880","reply_id":"1482799232893419524","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482799313310732289","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1476717897179287553":{"id":"1476717897179287553","date":"2021-12-31 00:52:37","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"🤔\n\ncrypto people excited about the most beta-male order type already overused in the options voice biz as \"I'll sell 1k on a print of 5k\". \n\nNothing quite as prickly as an odd-lot that ruins a big print and sets the the predictably bad price by conceding control to the broker","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476717897179287553","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1476721242132541440","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":43,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1476717897179287553"},"1573332617369649152":{"id":"1573332617369649152","date":"2022-09-23 15:25:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is a special case of the more general skillset of \"reporting up\".\n\nMastering the art of reporting up is among the most important AND least-taught skills in business, academia, anywhere really.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1573332617369649152","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1573332617369649152","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1542985681370132480":{"id":"1542985681370132480","date":"2022-07-01 21:37:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SBF_FTX It's the Clay Davis principle, roughly.\n\n\"I'll buy anybody's company if they givin' it away.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542985147372474368","reply_id":"1542985147372474368","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SBF_FTX","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1542985681370132480","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1573146598888341504":{"id":"1573146598888341504","date":"2022-09-23 03:05:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@std_dev Nope.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1573144092074283010","reply_id":"1573144092074283010","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"std_dev","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1573146598888341504","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1773425693642363121":{"id":"1773425693642363121","date":"2024-03-28 19:03:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @famadeo Many answers in the replies that show how. Nothing exotic.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1773384779347730616","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":379,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1773425693642363121","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1425307456263970819":{"id":"1425307456263970819","date":"2021-08-11 04:05:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano @lightspringfox \"Sorry, can only show you an indicative market on these right now.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1425254821179785222","reply_id":"1425269389297963014","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1425307456263970819","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1946518783583047878":{"id":"1946518783583047878","date":"2025-07-19 10:33:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TulipSeller Ain't gonna happen.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946518179569651763","reply_id":"1946518490602492308","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TulipSeller","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":1497,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946518783583047878","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1983931627215396975":{"id":"1983931627215396975","date":"2025-10-30 16:18:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@remusofmars @blknoiz06 Ain't really about that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1983921851538485523","reply_id":"1983930653365154025","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"remusofmars","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1246,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1983931627215396975","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2057707468520645027":{"id":"2057707468520645027","date":"2026-05-22 06:17:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Gary Marcus is currently the undisputed king of the goalpost movers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2057707468520645027","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":34,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":8393,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2057707468520645027","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1298800513215913985":{"id":"1298800513215913985","date":"2020-08-27 01:52:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"But it's hard to wrap your head around how different *everything* has to be in deep ML when you're faced with a problem domain where SNR can be -40dB or worse.\n\nSGD works differently, default batch sizes are always wrong, various norms (batch, layer) are weird, etc.\n\n2/3","hashtags":[],"conv":"1298800512368689153","reply_id":"1298800512368689153","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1298800513215913985","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1272315363636600833":{"id":"1272315363636600833","date":"2020-06-14 23:49:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Austen Lode Runner","hashtags":[],"conv":"1272223933303906304","reply_id":"1272223933303906304","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Austen","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1272315363636600833","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1206654091268513792":{"id":"1206654091268513792","date":"2019-12-16 19:15:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz Open Borders. This is how policy books should be written from now on.\n\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Open-Borders-Science-Ethics-Immigration/dp/1250316960","hashtags":[],"conv":"1206640626244182016","reply_id":"1206640626244182016","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1206654091268513792","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1517549685728194562":{"id":"1517549685728194562","date":"2022-04-22 17:03:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What collab tool exists that's like Notion + threaded (async) chat.\n\nI.e. I want to be able to collaboratively create internal documents/tables/etc like Notion but where the chat interface isn't just comments on top of comments.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1517549685728194562","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1517549685728194562","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1961282221060616525":{"id":"1961282221060616525","date":"2025-08-29 04:18:15","author":"Peter Kazanjy","handle":"Kazanjy","text":"I’m legit, YC should buy Westfield mall and make it into startup land. \n\nOffice park, food court, maybe even housing. \n\nVCs would set up offices in there. Then ancillary service providers. \n\nAll the little startup would sell to each other. \n\nSaaS / AI Shenzhen. \n\nLast appraised at $200m?\n\nA steal. \n\nWould completely change downtown.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1961282221060616525","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1961366349659131917","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1391,"retweets":33,"replies":90,"quotes":30,"views":333791,"bookmarks":227,"media":["1961282221060616525_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Kazanjy/status/1961282221060616525"},"1409671783855255569":{"id":"1409671783855255569","date":"2021-06-29 00:35:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@iTrismegistus 🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1409667177175674898","reply_id":"1409668687322181633","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"iTrismegistus","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1409671783855255569","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1563159329976438786":{"id":"1563159329976438786","date":"2022-08-26 13:40:01","author":"Forbes Crypto","handle":"ForbesCrypto","text":"A new Forbes analysis of 157 crypto exchanges finds that 51% of the daily bitcoin trading volume being reported is likely bogus: by @eltrade http://on.forbes.com/6011MGRyf","hashtags":[],"conv":"1563159329976438786","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1568230718228303872","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":78,"retweets":41,"replies":54,"quotes":18,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ForbesCrypto/status/1563159329976438786"},"1981425080027455896":{"id":"1981425080027455896","date":"2025-10-23 18:18:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@fiportmgr No debate. Horseshoe theory in full effect.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1981345835079389510","reply_id":"1981421489363833055","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"fiportmgr","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":241,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1981425080027455896","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1382754740266627073":{"id":"1382754740266627073","date":"2021-04-15 17:56:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 That they're running the show. They're not. Options MMs are always reacting. Reacting to news, to flow, to positions mgmt, etc.\n\nSure they're the most knowledgeable, but fundamentally they have the *least* control.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"1382739346340601856","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":14,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382754740266627073","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2063684194434244792":{"id":"2063684194434244792","date":"2026-06-07 18:07:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is what you get when:\n- a lot of old people\n- with a lot of wealth\n- and a lot of political power\ndon't have a lot of stake in the future.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2063684194434244792","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":281,"retweets":7,"replies":14,"quotes":3,"views":46438,"bookmarks":43,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2063684194434244792","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1964275607757332707":{"id":"1964275607757332707","date":"2025-09-06 10:32:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"💯","hashtags":[],"conv":"1964275607757332707","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":134,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":13104,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1964275607757332707","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1486413621777219586":{"id":"1486413621777219586","date":"2022-01-26 18:59:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5/ CEO: \"Ok fine but now no one knows about the product.\"\n\n\"Seems like you're missing marketing. You need at least 40 pounds of marketing.\"\n\nCEO: \"How much is that going to run me?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486413617582927874","reply_id":"1486413620724396035","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1486413621777219586","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1189630466594181120":{"id":"1189630466594181120","date":"2019-10-30 19:49:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"NYT headline: \"Reading Scores on National Exam Decline in Half the States\"\n\nReal headline: \"Statistical Noise Continues to Exist\"\n\nYou love those glass-literally-half-empty narratives, eh @nytimes?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1189630466594181120","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1189630466594181120","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1593408229622484994":{"id":"1593408229622484994","date":"2022-11-18 00:58:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein @witchqueendot @0xdoug Many of us were.\nFDAXhunter lording it all over the place.\nOccasional filthy and Aaron Brown sightings.\norbital.\n\nGood times.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1593406818448973824","reply_id":"1593407395308388353","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1593408229622484994","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1917654719805165859":{"id":"1917654719805165859","date":"2025-04-30 18:58:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@aanandmei Disagree, I think optimal strategy is likely a lot more aggression. These guys are so good at getting out of snookers that any attempt basically makes the frame a toss-up. I suspect optimal play looks like taking on more long pots and thin cuts.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1917650936501264468","reply_id":"1917652454658773233","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"aanandmei","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":151,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1917654719805165859","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1397356793664212994":{"id":"1397356793664212994","date":"2021-05-26 00:59:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vgr Most of those first ones are almost definitely op-amps, 555 is a timer obv.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1397348240559796225","reply_id":"1397348240559796225","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vgr","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1397356793664212994","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1805097668953395611":{"id":"1805097668953395611","date":"2024-06-24 04:36:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HF_Trader I quit golf cold turkey after hovering between 0 and 2 handicap for 5 years. No regrets, but for me it's tennis now.\n\nForces me to get in really good shape to avoid injury (and have a fitness edge over the competition), plus even a bad day at tennis feels ok. Bad golf never did.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1805036942008189101","reply_id":"1805096877622485286","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":292,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1805097668953395611","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1942269947037483510":{"id":"1942269947037483510","date":"2025-07-07 17:10:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@spectral_theory Many places. HRT, mulistrats, retired, Anthropic/OAI, etc etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942269568443113804","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"spectral_theory","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":317,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942269947037483510","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1187751225720102913":{"id":"1187751225720102913","date":"2019-10-25 15:22:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ReformedTrader @alphaarchitect @Mike_Thrasher @FactorResearch @lhamtil Financial literacy (in the trading sense) should be a high school core curriculum component or something.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1187532943478185984","reply_id":"1187749691141906434","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ReformedTrader","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1187751225720102913","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1830197296924860420":{"id":"1830197296924860420","date":"2024-09-01 10:53:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"There’s no falsifiable version of it that’s really stood up. And that he went so crazy on Large Language Models reflects that there was never quite a version of it that made that much sense.\"\n\n💯","hashtags":[],"conv":"1830196445711860132","reply_id":"1830197294785794377","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2113,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1830197296924860420","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1505020468008423424":{"id":"1505020468008423424","date":"2022-03-19 03:16:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@godcomplex96 @therobotjames 🙏🙏🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505005035432050690","reply_id":"1505018232004132864","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"godcomplex96","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505020468008423424","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1942177063894495339":{"id":"1942177063894495339","date":"2025-07-07 11:01:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Tom62589172 Just read their accusation.\n\nhttps://www.sebi.gov.in/enforcement/orders/jul-2025/interim-order-in-the-matter-of-index-manipulation-by-jane-street-group_95040.html","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942169277655646339","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Tom62589172","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1048,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942177063894495339","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1368731765855055872":{"id":"1368731765855055872","date":"2021-03-08 01:14:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @Mephisto731 @therobotjames @SinclairEuan @DBecevic @o_wutang There's the time Homer says it in the Stonecutters episode in traffic.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1368343033683578881","reply_id":"1368731360874008576","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1368731765855055872","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1544425285268844544":{"id":"1544425285268844544","date":"2022-07-05 20:57:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Turns out linear regressions suck, it's all about ML.\n\nhttps://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w30217/w30217.pdf","hashtags":[],"conv":"1544425285268844544","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":95,"retweets":4,"replies":19,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":57,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1544425285268844544","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1764772494840569949":{"id":"1764772494840569949","date":"2024-03-04 21:58:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount It's so bad right now.\n\nThere's a higher wattage in the LED of this room's smoke detector than on the PGATour.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1764770187025510864","reply_id":"1764771363414212692","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":242,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1764772494840569949","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1768412958844198992":{"id":"1768412958844198992","date":"2024-03-14 23:04:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DuncanJPark @tickwide ☝️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1768395175338918059","reply_id":"1768411707666276607","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DuncanJPark","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":407,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1768412958844198992","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1478129499615084546":{"id":"1478129499615084546","date":"2022-01-03 22:21:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@saanglee The converse is fun too: Oct-Dec \"house money\" trades.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1478005934471655426","reply_id":"1478005934471655426","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"saanglee","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1478129499615084546","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1595202094335598592":{"id":"1595202094335598592","date":"2022-11-22 23:46:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 Hard no.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595193472280973312","reply_id":"1595193472280973312","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1595202094335598592","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1348693544425320451":{"id":"1348693544425320451","date":"2021-01-11 18:09:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"54/ Pretty awesome huh? You can recover the market-implied CDF (and hence the PDF) by \"differentiating\" the prices of the options.\n\nExercise for the student: show the same is true for put spreads.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1348693543372554243","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1348693544425320451","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1421139270597709824":{"id":"1421139270597709824","date":"2021-07-30 16:03:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 Just knowing about Chesterton's Fence is a source of alpha.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1421137957994602499","reply_id":"1421138828216225796","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1421139270597709824","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1613712112966336513":{"id":"1613712112966336513","date":"2023-01-13 01:38:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Stockholm Syndrome.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1613707918876237825","reply_id":"1613707918876237825","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1229,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1613712112966336513","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1546932177882886145":{"id":"1546932177882886145","date":"2022-07-12 18:59:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"27/ Armed with this plan, you can finally proceed to the next stage: digging in.\n\nOk, that's good for today. Tune in tomorrow for part 2 where I talk about how I try to dig in.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546931744426758145","reply_id":"1546932176666497024","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":35,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546932177882886145","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1151660453019262976":{"id":"1151660453019262976","date":"2019-07-18 01:10:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@natfriedman The source code for grep. Brought me close to tears it's so beautiful.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1151654491349032960","reply_id":"1151654491349032960","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"natfriedman","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1151660453019262976","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1401996696922451968":{"id":"1401996696922451968","date":"2021-06-07 20:17:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The thing about Office Space is that the Bobs were 💯% on to something.\n\n\"How much time *do* you spend on those TPS reports?\" is precisely the right question to ask.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1401996696922451968","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1401996696922451968","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1937769872399716800":{"id":"1937769872399716800","date":"2025-06-25 07:08:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"With cognitive tech, you can offload the things you don't want to or can't do well to the tech.\n\nWhat you do with the freed up time is your business.\n\nSo if LLMs are making you dumber, that's on YOU.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1937769867215511886","reply_id":"1937769870340260115","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":26,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":697,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1937769872399716800","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1387589526206308356":{"id":"1387589526206308356","date":"2021-04-29 02:08:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount 🤣 Hits close to home!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1387555181961924614","reply_id":"1387555181961924614","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1387589526206308356","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1715557618473963726":{"id":"1715557618473963726","date":"2023-10-21 02:36:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@deusexcapital @theemilyaccount @bookdepth 100 year old points. NY subway system has its own manufacturing because no one makes the stuff they run on.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1715534837908373741","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":44,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1715557618473963726","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1769866229580493082":{"id":"1769866229580493082","date":"2024-03-18 23:19:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cam_perrault @bookdepth 1. Being very good at hiring.\n2. Incentive alignment.\n3. Hyper-engaged leadership.\n4. Good strategic bets paying off.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1769843697254903850","reply_id":"1769847069408117236","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"camlperr","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":399,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1769866229580493082","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1988525745266729108":{"id":"1988525745266729108","date":"2025-11-12 08:34:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CashCompounding @cryptohound666 Many such cases.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1988490524198592526","reply_id":"1988521089710842171","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"CashCompounding","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":166,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1988525745266729108","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1443310037737168899":{"id":"1443310037737168899","date":"2021-09-29 20:21:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@volmagorov @therobotjames @anderpart @lightspringfox @macrocephalopod 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443283134116732935","reply_id":"1443309223115427848","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"volmagorov","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1443310037737168899","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1644477547122692097":{"id":"1644477547122692097","date":"2023-04-07 23:09:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xfbifemboy @sasuke___420 Carrytrading with the roof over my head. What could go wrong?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1644458303752400896","reply_id":"1644476987141165057","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":190,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1644477547122692097","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1140984721414864896":{"id":"1140984721414864896","date":"2019-06-18 14:08:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Big day, The Laws Of Trading is out. Already Top 100 in Business Finance on Amazon! Want to become a better decision-maker? Learn from the best in the world. #newbook #decisionmaking #trading #lawsoftrading\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Laws-Trading-Traders-Decision-Making-Everyone/dp/1119574218","hashtags":["newbook","decisionmaking","trading","lawsoftrading"],"conv":"1140984721414864896","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1140984721414864896_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1140984721414864896","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1923810270884823295":{"id":"1923810270884823295","date":"2025-05-17 18:38:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_ikalg0 @Linkus000 The ones for which GPUs go brrr.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1923800134325772357","reply_id":"1923807620436984146","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_ikalg0","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":933,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1923810270884823295","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1420131145669169153":{"id":"1420131145669169153","date":"2021-07-27 21:17:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"There’s a subtle but very real fallacy about backtesting that lots of smart quant-y people fall into. I’ve fallen into it many times. And arguably I still do, just in more and more subtle ways.\n\nA thread 👉👉\n\n1/n","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420131145669169153","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":163,"retweets":25,"replies":8,"quotes":5,"views":0,"bookmarks":114,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420131145669169153","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1567679049983754240":{"id":"1567679049983754240","date":"2022-09-08 00:59:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase @macrocephalopod @breakingthemark @Nd172557208 @Gingfacekillah Sorry I didn't answer. Many thoughts but not easily summarized on this medium. I always start w/ MC to get a sense of what I'm dealing with. YMMV","hashtags":[],"conv":"1567333095535247362","reply_id":"1567676246233849856","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1567679049983754240","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1550586630343258112":{"id":"1550586630343258112","date":"2022-07-22 21:00:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pashayablockov ☝️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1550586012908208128","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1550586630343258112","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1389215496067715083":{"id":"1389215496067715083","date":"2021-05-03 13:49:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EconShiller @EmanuelDerman Very underrated book.\n\nI rarely see it mentioned which is a shame.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1389053378110521346","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1389215496067715083","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1352112604257271808":{"id":"1352112604257271808","date":"2021-01-21 04:35:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 @bennpeifert @JessicaNutt96 Defo, that was my original point in what became this discussion. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1352069470903181313","reply_id":"1352112377186160640","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1352112604257271808","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1976876820239962553":{"id":"1976876820239962553","date":"2025-10-11 05:05:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Tyler_Menzer @baynkr Exactly. Markets need natural hedgers. In their absence, they just degenerate into gambling and other societally noxious activity.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1976645088433656219","reply_id":"1976772830042915007","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Tyler_Menzer","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":63,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1976876820239962553","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1777950509288009778":{"id":"1777950509288009778","date":"2024-04-10 06:43:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I love how every Wemby highlight is accompanied by a box score where the Spurs are down by 15.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1777950509288009778","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2292,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1777950509288009778","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1455600768375877634":{"id":"1455600768375877634","date":"2021-11-02 18:20:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@PrometheusAM @Noahpinion Land != land improvements, in the Georgist model.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1455579596925980674","reply_id":"1455588000096686085","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"PrometheusAM","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1455600768375877634","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1946480495715315712":{"id":"1946480495715315712","date":"2025-07-19 08:01:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@felpix_ And how are you going to do that on Polymarket, exactly?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946460234974745047","reply_id":"1946460234974745047","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"felpix_","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":96,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946480495715315712","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1294118981603700736":{"id":"1294118981603700736","date":"2020-08-14 03:49:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @DavidTaggart I strongly suspect that there is a strong substitution effect here: aspirational figures like Gary V scratch the \"I need to do something with my life\" itch to the point where people don't do anything.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1294033718210752514","reply_id":"1294118654385074176","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1294118981603700736","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1420131156322754561":{"id":"1420131156322754561","date":"2021-07-27 21:17:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Yes it does! And that’s a super useful thing for it to do. \n\nBut SO DOES YOUR TRADING STRATEGY!\n\nAll you’ve done is traded one problem (backtesting your strat) for another (making sure your market model accords with your priors, and reality).\n\n12/n","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420131145669169153","reply_id":"1420131155458674690","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420131156322754561","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1122966870171078656":{"id":"1122966870171078656","date":"2019-04-29 20:52:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dacaldar @FlynnRoad @kamorant 1. Not clear that \"every year will be a deficit\".\n2. Even if it will, if you grow GDP fast enough then it's not necessarily a problem.\n3. The MMT debate rages at the moment, and rightly so. Check back in 30 years.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1122689484255105025","reply_id":"1122964429044367360","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dackupasec","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1122966870171078656","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1791203038369394965":{"id":"1791203038369394965","date":"2024-05-16 20:24:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nearcyan @sama Why does OpenAI have a hyper-sanitized insincere one?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1791183356274921568","reply_id":"1791190188045058523","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nearcyan","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":398,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1791203038369394965","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1537547695858110465":{"id":"1537547695858110465","date":"2022-06-16 21:28:31","author":"Tarun Chitra","handle":"tarunchitra","text":"Today's @matt_levine column contains an implicit pitch for why CFMMs are so popular in DeFi (even if they have negative carry in a lot of cases)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1537547695858110465","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1537553117935308800","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":53,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":["1537547695858110465_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tarunchitra/status/1537547695858110465"},"2068057840854389115":{"id":"2068057840854389115","date":"2026-06-19 19:46:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I never expected so many \"the medical community are actually horrible reasoners and/or communicators\" to come out of the woodwork from the Midjourney announcement.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2068057840854389115","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":60,"retweets":0,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":9952,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2068057840854389115","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1978045777109983296":{"id":"1978045777109983296","date":"2025-10-14 10:30:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Countries get the governments they deserve.\"\n\nA lot of things fit into place when this becomes clear.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1978045777109983296","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3924,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1978045777109983296","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2048068338132128152":{"id":"2048068338132128152","date":"2026-04-25 15:55:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The \"why can't everyone invest in private companies\" crowd is performing a bait-and-switch.\n\nYou'll come for the \"Hey you can invest in SpaceX\" pitch, but guess what:\n\nYou're only actually going to get to buy into the dogshit companies.\n\nAdverse selection. It's just how it works.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2048068338132128152","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":146,"retweets":3,"replies":10,"quotes":1,"views":18587,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2048068338132128152","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1263502228058337281":{"id":"1263502228058337281","date":"2020-05-21 16:09:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ArturSepp @SinclairEuan It's almost as if there is a market price for this stuff, and that price is kind of efficient-ish.\n\nGo figure.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1263373006098911233","reply_id":"1263373006098911233","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ArturSepp","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1263502228058337281","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1501784567669137408":{"id":"1501784567669137408","date":"2022-03-10 04:58:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @FREAK0NAUT @be20684347 @M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames Can you give some examples of the things you want / don't want out of this metric?\n\nOr perhaps, can you define a few corr matrices and the kinds of distances you want to see between them?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501784567669137408","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1494144274702602244":{"id":"1494144274702602244","date":"2022-02-17 02:58:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 @StudentofMarke2 Totally agree. But also our culture has moved to value youth progressively more. So we work to appear youthful even if we're not healthier.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494110009478684674","reply_id":"1494128928918704129","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494144274702602244","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1838838758025666566":{"id":"1838838758025666566","date":"2024-09-25 07:11:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"HR should win this in a walk.\n\nCompliance's primary job is to avoid the firm getting sued by regulators.\n\nHR's primary job is to avoid the firm getting sued by its employees.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1838838758025666566","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":6320,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1838838758025666566","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1763211132201005192":{"id":"1763211132201005192","date":"2024-02-29 14:34:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@rudyroggio @TCK_JRubano @KrisAbdelmessih Doesn't mean it's wrong for those larger aspirational trading firms to hire in this way though.\n\nThey want seat-value maximizers, and the characteristics of people who thrive in smaller places with less circumscribed job descriptions are actively problematic long-term.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1763076860773351497","reply_id":"1763210740788519299","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":528,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1763211132201005192","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1317500793700843520":{"id":"1317500793700843520","date":"2020-10-17 16:20:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @farnamjake1 Perhaps the ironic silver lining from the pandemic will end up being that since the Bay Area's order flow has massively reversed, they'll be forced to significantly improve local and state governance.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1317243341185052672","reply_id":"1317498434379673601","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1317500793700843520","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1745900961573515343":{"id":"1745900961573515343","date":"2024-01-12 20:10:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"My specialty is finding sub-costs edges.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1745900961573515343","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":41,"retweets":2,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":7647,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1745900961573515343","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1920705618190409930":{"id":"1920705618190409930","date":"2025-05-09 05:01:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"There are tons more out there, so give me your best bad finance startup ideas.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1920705401110098162","reply_id":"1920705406717898918","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":17,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":5515,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1920705618190409930","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1478128743092686848":{"id":"1478128743092686848","date":"2022-01-03 22:18:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@QuantStratTradR @roshunpatel @friktion_labs @dopex_io @ribbonfinance Subject for a separate thread...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477835282686824452","reply_id":"1478118005741662215","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuantStratTradR","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1478128743092686848","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1481477402605744131":{"id":"1481477402605744131","date":"2022-01-13 04:05:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @forwardrate @FREAK0NAUT @Buy_The_Dip_ @vixologist @kchoudhu I think SSC/Astral is very worth reading.\n\nVery early Yud is good, esp when he sticks to pure mathy things. When he goes more broad he goes off the rails. And his AI debate with Paul Christiano was an embarrassment honestly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481302561592422402","reply_id":"1481476754393165826","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1481477402605744131","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1464260242301063169":{"id":"1464260242301063169","date":"2021-11-26 15:50:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Did anyone else read the @ESYudkowsky and Paul Christiano convo and come away with a decidedly lower opinion of the former's \"realness\"?\n\nhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7MCqRnZzvszsxgtJi/christiano-cotra-and-yudkowsky-on-ai-progress#9__September_21_conversation","hashtags":[],"conv":"1464260242301063169","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1464260242301063169","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1346141084267659266":{"id":"1346141084267659266","date":"2021-01-04 17:06:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"11/ Why does this matter?\n\nBecause a lot of the IMO poor thinking about options comes from the fact that people don't disentangle, or don't specify well enough, which of the two bets (the EV bet or the vol bet) they're trying to make.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346141083328159744","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":37,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346141084267659266","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1693330887398797704":{"id":"1693330887398797704","date":"2023-08-20 18:35:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Pretty much what I expected.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1693330887398797704","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3745,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1693330887398797704","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1389395984245919744":{"id":"1389395984245919744","date":"2021-05-04 01:46:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SquishChaos No spam at all. You should be proud of your work and getting it out there.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1389387050856579072","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1389395984245919744","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1943280522756591979":{"id":"1943280522756591979","date":"2025-07-10 12:05:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"STOP 👏 TRADING 👏 OPTIONS!\n\nYou're making Ken Griffin and Jane Street very very rich!\nYou're making yourself poorer!\nYou have no edge.\nNo amount of education will change that.\nSo go do something useful with your money and your life.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943280522756591979","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2180,"retweets":76,"replies":127,"quotes":47,"views":569096,"bookmarks":541,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1943280522756591979","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1459946629201494019":{"id":"1459946629201494019","date":"2021-11-14 18:09:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dendisuhubdy @bitwyre There isn't a lot of volume in \"let me come up with something on my own.\"\n\nMost people like to trade what other people like to trade.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1459919112121978881","reply_id":"1459944058495770626","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dendisuhubdy","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1459946629201494019","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1744754186728943836":{"id":"1744754186728943836","date":"2024-01-09 16:13:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Not crazy. Merely ambitious.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1744754186728943836","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2617,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1744754186728943836","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2009279048136958338":{"id":"2009279048136958338","date":"2026-01-08 15:00:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Why don't shared long-distance taxis exist in Western countries? Why doesn't Uber do this?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2009279048136958338","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":1,"replies":13,"quotes":3,"views":11927,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2009279048136958338","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1784251011286311322":{"id":"1784251011286311322","date":"2024-04-27 15:59:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@waltuuuhr Snooker : pool\nTennis : pickleball\nChess : checkers\nA novel : a short story\nFormula 1 : NASCAR\n\nHope this helps.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1784238948136694041","reply_id":"1784240571202023698","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"waltuuuhr","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":131,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1784251011286311322","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1915762737449230515":{"id":"1915762737449230515","date":"2025-04-25 13:40:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Best use of o3/Claude 3.7 is as an amanuensis.\n\nYou ask it difficult questions, it mostly says boring or incorrect things, but every once in a while one of those boring or wrong things sparks a good idea in you.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1915762737449230515","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":74,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":1,"views":6042,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1915762737449230515","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1428154943555260420":{"id":"1428154943555260420","date":"2021-08-19 00:40:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily IMO a strong sign of legitimacy is not overpromising to begin with.\n\n\"This dataset is free money to anyone who buys it.\" is an almost automatic reject.\n\nThe other important bit is the cost calc. Many datasets are replicable, and it's just a question of how costly that would be.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1428151046749097984","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1428154943555260420","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1983191992960966912":{"id":"1983191992960966912","date":"2025-10-28 15:19:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@proales @Jess_Riedel Also be sure to \"work constructively\" with the Delaware and California AGs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1983185511587230107","reply_id":"1983191355175436564","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"proales","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":369,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1983191992960966912","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1531769512940347393":{"id":"1531769512940347393","date":"2022-05-31 22:48:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@gregasmaximus @therobotjames Yes!\n\nThen make a car racing game out of it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1531739423313784832","reply_id":"1531767197105672192","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"gregasmaximus","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1531769512940347393","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1771931105563656338":{"id":"1771931105563656338","date":"2024-03-24 16:04:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What is the most musical sounding name, and why is it that of former ATP pro Slobodan Živojinović?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1771931105563656338","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2250,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1771931105563656338","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1606472142987853824":{"id":"1606472142987853824","date":"2022-12-24 02:09:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This @zacharylipton paper seems like kind of a big deal.\nhttps://arxiv.org/abs/2209.14389\n- Pre-training doesn't really do anything special\n- The supposed long-range dependencies necessary to train good models aren't so long-range\n\nDid I miss the discussion about it, or wasn't there one?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1606472142987853824","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3741,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1606472142987853824","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1711231848310055081":{"id":"1711231848310055081","date":"2023-10-09 04:07:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Any vendor recommendations for obtaining quality international equities historical data?\n\n1 min bars is fine, the important thing is broad coverage across EMEA and Asia.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1711231848310055081","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":11252,"bookmarks":23,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1711231848310055081","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1382731971453808648":{"id":"1382731971453808648","date":"2021-04-15 16:26:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@uncatherio I stayed in my house and assumed everyone would come to me.\n\nDid I do it wrong?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382728413635506178","reply_id":"1382728413635506178","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"uncatherio","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382731971453808648","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1437817071014801410":{"id":"1437817071014801410","date":"2021-09-14 16:34:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ Observed correlation:\n\nThe better the trader, the less they care about which specific product/market they're trading.\n\nThat doesn't mean they don't have deep knowledge of the market or product. Far from it.\n\nIt means they don't *care*.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1437817071014801410","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":78,"retweets":7,"replies":4,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":24,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1437817071014801410","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1503509323808342016":{"id":"1503509323808342016","date":"2022-03-14 23:12:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames That should do nicely. Just have to... you know... get there.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503490626418974721","reply_id":"1503508961257209858","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1503509323808342016","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1613611092332400642":{"id":"1613611092332400642","date":"2023-01-12 18:57:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin @sir_deenicus I agree on paper but in practice learning is dominated by motivation.\n\n\"I have to get good at <fundamental X> in order to do <thing I care about Y>\" is pretty powerful.\n\nShortcuts of the form \"use tool Z to create Y without needing to do X well\" limit potential.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1613562994319060992","reply_id":"1613610354583703554","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":105,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1613611092332400642","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2047536986542465528":{"id":"2047536986542465528","date":"2026-04-24 04:43:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Closed-source models for enterprise.\nOpen-source models for consumer.\nFeels like the likely path at this point.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2047536986542465528","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":51,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":6312,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2047536986542465528","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1990815618396729572":{"id":"1990815618396729572","date":"2025-11-18 16:13:25","author":"sysls","handle":"systematicls","text":"RT @systematicls: Everyone knows the secret to getting noticed is:\n1. Build the same pairs trading backtest as 1000 other candidates\n2. Use the same yahoo finance KO and PEP data\n3. Get identical results to everyone else\n4. Wonder why hiring managers don't call\n\nProjects that actually get you hired show you found edge somewhere. Gaming arbitrage that made money. Poker model that crushed games. Sports betting with real +EV. Marketplace pricing errors you exploited.\n\nHiring managers see 100 SPY backtests a week.\n\nThey remember the person who made $500 betting on number of Elon tweets (real story).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1990815618396729572","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"1990798393640100018","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":3,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/systematicls/status/1990815618396729572"},"1541566172163739649":{"id":"1541566172163739649","date":"2022-06-27 23:36:31","author":"\"Leigh Marie\" Braswell","handle":"LM_Braswell","text":"The \"joke\" is that interns frequently build some of the most important infra at early stage startups... has  definitely been true at the startups I've worked in/with, especially if you can get them to convert to PT/FT after","hashtags":[],"conv":"1541566172163739649","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1541584791568470016","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":54,"retweets":3,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/LM_Braswell/status/1541566172163739649"},"1533514106077974528":{"id":"1533514106077974528","date":"2022-06-05 18:20:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"There seems to have been a regime shift where I now get @'ed by crypto scammers. Maybe the magic number is 9k followers or something?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1533514106077974528","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1533514106077974528","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1195320719871299584":{"id":"1195320719871299584","date":"2019-11-15 12:40:42","author":"BɅRTON","handle":"Barton_options","text":"Please R/T 🙏🙏and let you friend know that tweeting call-put ratio hysteria is getting tiring. \n\nWe may or may not get a pullback, but it is not due to high call-put ratios. \n\n6/6","hashtags":[],"conv":"1195320715337248768","reply_id":"1195320718910795782","quote_id":"1195366819508281351","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Barton_options","likes":34,"retweets":6,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Barton_options/status/1195320719871299584"},"1366111690102775810":{"id":"1366111690102775810","date":"2021-02-28 19:43:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@evandjohnston @bayes_baes Sorry, was trying to be a bit funny. Happy to delete. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1366102358950699008","reply_id":"1366107438026420224","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"evandjohnston","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1366111690102775810","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1673425546410115075":{"id":"1673425546410115075","date":"2023-06-26 20:18:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I wish I loved anything as much as the English love ostentatiously day drinking in public.\n\nOut of a can or bottle, of course.\n\nOn the sidewalk, at the bus stop, on the steps of the library, in the street while weaving in and out of traffic.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1673425546410115075","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":36,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":7963,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1673425546410115075","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1711449914239311939":{"id":"1711449914239311939","date":"2023-10-09 18:33:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ It turns out some of the most valuable remedies we have are for insufficient willpower.\n\nStatins, stimulants, GLP-1 agonists. All things which are only valuable because we can't make ourselves do the things (eat less, eat healthy, focus better on boring work) we need to.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1711449914239311939","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":54,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":2,"views":11696,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1711449914239311939","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1488644038886449157":{"id":"1488644038886449157","date":"2022-02-01 22:42:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames The simple stuff is the best stuff...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1488626006965764096","reply_id":"1488626006965764096","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1488644038886449157","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1192836099686580224":{"id":"1192836099686580224","date":"2019-11-08 16:07:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@WayneHimelsein I dislike the term because it over-indexes on the action of trading. What matters is your position. Trades are merely the mechanism that gets you the position you want.\n\nPositioners. Doesn't have the same ring, but it's more accurate.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1192825792151138306","reply_id":"1192825792151138306","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"WayneHimelsein","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1192836099686580224","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1447288174279999488":{"id":"1447288174279999488","date":"2021-10-10 19:49:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cloudy_cl @Ksidiii @bennpeifert @VitruviusCurve The #fintwit world can decide who to believe, me or you.\n\nGiven that I spent >10 years doing precisely what I claim at a pretty well-known place, I like my chances against a pseudonymous account whose description admits to shitposting.\n\n☮️","hashtags":["fintwit"],"conv":"1447251034309545988","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1447288174279999488","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1198824508729085953":{"id":"1198824508729085953","date":"2019-11-25 04:43:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MrMcCali @_chrisangove @JamesonVoss @balajis As a pragmatic matter, it seems like societies who organize around \"it's very hard, but let's do our best anyway\" end up doing the best.\n\nHistorically, a mix of light government regulation (fraud, libel laws, for ex) and cultural mores (teach kids lying is bad) works pretty well.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1198727092835364864","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1198824508729085953","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1515333739890425856":{"id":"1515333739890425856","date":"2022-04-16 14:18:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano @therobotjames @TFallibilist \"Where's all the machine learning?\" is a thing I get a lot.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1515218702102237193","reply_id":"1515314582545473539","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1515333739890425856","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1438157999302873091":{"id":"1438157999302873091","date":"2021-09-15 15:09:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 High fee shit: including hiring dropouts from Pimco to manage all that loot.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1438151001131954178","reply_id":"1438151001131954178","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1438157999302873091","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1600257677929562112":{"id":"1600257677929562112","date":"2022-12-06 22:35:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@emilymbender @GotTheTrumpCard @sama Doh, apologies!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1600194841089961986","reply_id":"1600254173752483840","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"emilymbender","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1600257677929562112","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1712520519118106749":{"id":"1712520519118106749","date":"2023-10-12 17:28:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@waltuuuhr @amasad @brettharrison Maybe not even math. At-the-edge math research and trading are pretty different skillsets.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1712503703817933264","reply_id":"1712520307280589205","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":172,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1712520519118106749","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2037083075528585566":{"id":"2037083075528585566","date":"2026-03-26 08:23:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Being a good listener is much harder than being a good talker.\n\nIt's not \"being quiet\". It's truly, deeply understanding what people actually mean when they say things.\n\nWhat *they* mean, not what *you would* mean if you said the same words the same way.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2037083075528585566","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":91,"retweets":4,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":4751,"bookmarks":17,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2037083075528585566","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1692617274308374544":{"id":"1692617274308374544","date":"2023-08-18 19:19:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So go out and hyperfocus!\n\nWhatever it is that interests you so much you focus on it to the exclusion of all else, go do it and feel no guilt.\n\nLLMs got your back.\n\nEND 🧵","hashtags":[],"conv":"1692617267576467909","reply_id":"1692617272970322047","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":49,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2004,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1692617274308374544","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1176592897593896960":{"id":"1176592897593896960","date":"2019-09-24 20:23:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Webinar on entries and exists starting in 10mins. If you trade, it's probably worth your time.\n\nhttps://register.gotowebinar.com/register/975115482413196555?source=presenter","hashtags":[],"conv":"1176592897593896960","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1176592897593896960","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1900455234754826623":{"id":"1900455234754826623","date":"2025-03-14 07:53:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Except I guarantee that no Berkeley professor would sully their hands by actually *teaching* debugging. As a subject. With a syllabus, and assignments, and mentoring.\n\nSame goes for nearly all high-status CS programs.\n\nIf students *ever* learn debugging, it's by accident.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1900455234754826623","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1900646860077101444","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":138,"retweets":5,"replies":7,"quotes":1,"views":23097,"bookmarks":36,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1900455234754826623","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1224804993254875136":{"id":"1224804993254875136","date":"2020-02-04 21:20:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RampCapitalLLC I love it when someone big finally sources the good borrow they've been searching for the whole day.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1224799246437748737","reply_id":"1224799246437748737","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RampCapitalLLC","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1224804993254875136","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1673032261199974402":{"id":"1673032261199974402","date":"2023-06-25 18:15:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Gingfacekillah Most of the time, the best trade is to do nothing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1673030879235706880","reply_id":"1673030879235706880","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Gingfacekillah","likes":13,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1694,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1673032261199974402","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1520927825452175360":{"id":"1520927825452175360","date":"2022-05-02 00:47:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mycoliza I can't read $1.10 anymore without turning it into a brainteaser:\n\n\"Og crafts one clay pot and one flint axe per day and makes $1.10. If the clay pot is worth $1 more than the flint axe, how much is the flint axe worth?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1520924438920790016","reply_id":"1520924438920790016","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mycoliza","likes":76,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1520927825452175360","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1692617267576467909":{"id":"1692617267576467909","date":"2023-08-18 19:19:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"🧵The LLM as a put option on cognitive tasks.\n\nAlmost a year into the world's experience with ChatGPT, it's pretty clear that its biggest value is helping people with things they're not good at.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1692617267576467909","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":111,"retweets":11,"replies":9,"quotes":4,"views":34829,"bookmarks":58,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1692617267576467909","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1367592476467363851":{"id":"1367592476467363851","date":"2021-03-04 21:47:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jsoloff @Mephisto731 @bennpeifert BSM henceforth stands for Bitcoin-Stellar-Monero.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1367508606942277633","reply_id":"1367591861905285127","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jsoloff","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1367592476467363851","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1628571779831828480":{"id":"1628571779831828480","date":"2023-02-23 01:45:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ScottPh77711570 @arb8020 I claim that's a common pattern-matching fallacy.\n\n{General cognitive skills X-Z} are critically useful for {domain I know well}.\n\nTherefore you need {ability in domain} to be good at {something else which also needs X-Z}.\n\nWhich obviously isn't true in general.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1628449259870883848","reply_id":"1628570567472459781","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ScottPh77711570","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":341,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1628571779831828480","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1733338824900800658":{"id":"1733338824900800658","date":"2023-12-09 04:12:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @goodalexander Outlining.\n\nWrite 1 bullet point.\nWrite 3 bullet points.\nThen write 3 bullet points inside each one.\nEtc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1733322841783963829","reply_id":"1733338022173958631","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":395,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1733338824900800658","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1770917483983130658":{"id":"1770917483983130658","date":"2024-03-21 20:56:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bubbleboi Done.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1770843200753639730","reply_id":"1770916996823097462","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bubbleboi","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2449,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1770917483983130658","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1360441011235815425":{"id":"1360441011235815425","date":"2021-02-13 04:09:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @Ksidiii @bennpeifert @Overlevered_AM @goodalexander @VolQuant I think a bigger question to answer first is \"why 1-month var\"? Or VIX or anything else? What specific belief are you trying to express?\n\nThe act of specifying a belief in as detailed a way as you can usually indicates what positions you need to put on to express that belief.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1360412427653890049","reply_id":"1360438448054747147","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1360441011235815425","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1600215215211048960":{"id":"1600215215211048960","date":"2022-12-06 19:46:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@scottbaumann @darjohn25 It's a balance, for sure.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1600171218182602753","reply_id":"1600208364360806400","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"scottbaumann","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1600215215211048960","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1576339123584917504":{"id":"1576339123584917504","date":"2022-10-01 22:31:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LesLore1 When he's not dancing on the pedals.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1576338332505645058","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1576339123584917504","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1659031645247385600":{"id":"1659031645247385600","date":"2023-05-18 03:02:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Boston knows it's a better team than Miami.\nWe all know Boston is a better team than Miami.\n\nBut Miami doesn't know that.\nAnd that's what makes them dangerous.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1659031645247385600","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2756,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1659031645247385600","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1444825544000901122":{"id":"1444825544000901122","date":"2021-10-04 00:43:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 @perseidcapital @Gingfacekillah @KrisAbdelmessih @nope_its_lily School ain't about learning. Usually.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1444824532032753666","reply_id":"1444824532032753666","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1444825544000901122","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1698817958825411016":{"id":"1698817958825411016","date":"2023-09-04 21:58:58","author":"Zvi Mowshowitz","handle":"TheZvi","text":"Which is easier? To write a bunch of complex code to do a thing, or reliably tell if it is bugged or otherwise not what was asked for, if the generative process is sometimes correct and sometimes incorrect?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1698817958825411016","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1698827554831138818","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":25,"quotes":4,"views":31040,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheZvi/status/1698817958825411016"},"1420131150916296704":{"id":"1420131150916296704","date":"2021-07-27 21:17:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Sorry, this doesn’t work. Here’s why...\n\n6/n","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420131145669169153","reply_id":"1420131149720932352","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420131150916296704","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1387971218599411714":{"id":"1387971218599411714","date":"2021-04-30 03:25:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein @jkregenstein @GestaltU @alphaarchitect @daniel_egan (to be clear, I meant snapshotting prices when they're both open, then calculating returns from those snapshots)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1387861810599059459","reply_id":"1387970838817755136","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1387971218599411714","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1774299065020289501":{"id":"1774299065020289501","date":"2024-03-31 04:53:56","author":"Matt Bateman","handle":"mbateman","text":"My favorite form of practical reasoning “advice” is what I call Demotivational Interviewing. It looks like:\n\nperson 1: Ugh I have to go to the dentist\n\nperson 2: Good news, you don’t have to, you can let your teeth rot","hashtags":[],"conv":"1774299065020289501","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1774418928002838917","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1665,"retweets":111,"replies":14,"quotes":18,"views":117399,"bookmarks":479,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mbateman/status/1774299065020289501"},"1957531087892279449":{"id":"1957531087892279449","date":"2025-08-18 19:52:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@kchoudhu No, not effectively American.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957511809965126079","reply_id":"1957515729902924268","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"kchoudhu","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":108,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1957531087892279449","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1505598876895494152":{"id":"1505598876895494152","date":"2022-03-20 17:35:19","author":"Sam Altman","handle":"sama","text":"Related to that last thread:\n\nInterviews (the kind where you have a conversation for an hour) are so ineffective, except at measuring 'talking ability' and credentials.\n\nAuditions, tests, etc are _so much_ better. Best of all are internal promotions where you have years of data.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505598876895494152","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1505599565742759939","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":368,"retweets":25,"replies":14,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":49,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/sama/status/1505598876895494152"},"1775263415726166279":{"id":"1775263415726166279","date":"2024-04-02 20:45:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dwarkesh_sp Synthetic data = a kind of regularization.\n\nStill don't get what the fuss is about.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1775247307975557245","reply_id":"1775256314274558458","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dwarkesh_sp","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3133,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1775263415726166279","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1949348967952568460":{"id":"1949348967952568460","date":"2025-07-27 05:59:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Unfortunately, this is 100% correct.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1949348967952568460","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":72,"retweets":3,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":12218,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1949348967952568460","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1711449915380162575":{"id":"1711449915380162575","date":"2023-10-09 18:33:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2/ All are problems created by modern consumer capitalism.\n\n- We overeat because we created low-satiety high-palatability foods and an industry to make us crave it.\n- Our jobs (and schools) are boring because a lot of valuable work is just carefully dotting i's and crossing t's.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1711449914239311939","reply_id":"1711449914239311939","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":677,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1711449915380162575","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1274893364651933696":{"id":"1274893364651933696","date":"2020-06-22 02:33:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@argyris Trying my hardest. So absurdly difficult when billion-dollar companies are designed around subverting your efforts.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1274892184492240896","reply_id":"1274892184492240896","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"argyris","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1274893364651933696","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1200587519517057024":{"id":"1200587519517057024","date":"2019-11-30 01:29:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dacaldar @CBCAlerts Wind farms can't supply baseload without batteries. Which are currently an environmental disaster.\n\nNuclear can supply baseload.\n\nTilting for windmills and against nuclear is only prolonging reliance on fossil fuels.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1200574337662771200","reply_id":"1200576566058782723","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dackupasec","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1200587519517057024","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1591478942086881280":{"id":"1591478942086881280","date":"2022-11-12 17:12:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @macrocephalopod Ooh great idea! Or cargo ships! Hot air balloons!\n\nAnyone have a line on some Segway data?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1591473845076213761","reply_id":"1591477634495840256","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1591478942086881280","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1539249478133243910":{"id":"1539249478133243910","date":"2022-06-21 14:10:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"17/ I claim this is why people unretire so much.\n\nBecause we’ve known ever since Socrates and Confucius that a good life is found in the natural progression of our attention from inward to outward.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1539249425956093952","reply_id":"1539249476547796995","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1539249478133243910","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1983923857565041021":{"id":"1983923857565041021","date":"2025-10-30 15:48:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bookdepth @DeepDishEnjoyer Thinking...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1983921851538485523","reply_id":"1983922864731324721","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bookdepth","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1224,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1983923857565041021","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1785305515255533757":{"id":"1785305515255533757","date":"2024-04-30 13:49:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin Anyone qualified enough to do this well is probably stuck behind IP agreements of various descriptions.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1785303373547229479","reply_id":"1785303373547229479","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":86,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1785305515255533757","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1927089546837061757":{"id":"1927089546837061757","date":"2025-05-26 19:48:46","author":"Jake Nations","handle":"nayshins","text":"@AgustinLebron3 The way forward is with strongly typed languages with type inner dev loops. Functional programming is a cherry on top.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1926908615589319051","reply_id":"1926908615589319051","quote_id":"1927266271306846354","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":5661,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/nayshins/status/1927089546837061757"},"1517683128168370176":{"id":"1517683128168370176","date":"2022-04-23 01:53:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 @FREAK0NAUT @bennpeifert @ArtemisVol @longtailalpha @profplum99 @jam_croissant @JonL8675309 @Ksidiii And why wasn't it profitable? Because it (the other side) wasn't fashionable.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1517151925019373568","reply_id":"1517678251061174272","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1517683128168370176","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1597681965372649472":{"id":"1597681965372649472","date":"2022-11-29 20:00:38","author":"Max Resnick","handle":"MaxResnick","text":"https://x.com/i/spaces/1LyGBqZMyBLKN","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597681965372649472","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1597690466807316480","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":6,"views":0,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/MaxResnick/status/1597681965372649472"},"1448101460525387784":{"id":"1448101460525387784","date":"2021-10-13 01:41:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Money doesn't buy happiness.\n\nIt buys optionality. Variance in outcomes.\n\nWhat you choose to do with that variance is up to you, your past, and your environment.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448101460525387784","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":128,"retweets":19,"replies":4,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448101460525387784","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1980723030084202950":{"id":"1980723030084202950","date":"2025-10-21 19:49:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MarketedgeA I'm sure that's the plan.\n\nColor me skeptical that watching a million morons infinite scroll social media and use the product they were already getting data on is that last link, but what do I know.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1980717400552337777","reply_id":"1980720408711098814","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MarketedgeA","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":210,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1980723030084202950","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1719890321260335230":{"id":"1719890321260335230","date":"2023-11-02 01:33:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount No?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1719889944716378286","reply_id":"1719889944716378286","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":394,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1719890321260335230_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1719890321260335230","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1370395235541344259":{"id":"1370395235541344259","date":"2021-03-12 15:24:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod It's really hard to explain to someone who hasn't done this a lot how Every. Single. Time. in-sample $/alpha are bigger than OOS.\n\nTo the point where you yell \"Dammit, I did everything right! I was a good little boy, super careful with data, etc!\"\n\nAnd it's *still* overfit.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1370390303178375170","reply_id":"1370392064572203009","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":12,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1370395235541344259","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1433906656887201792":{"id":"1433906656887201792","date":"2021-09-03 21:36:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein Great city in the summer.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1433904304927215617","reply_id":"1433904304927215617","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1433906656887201792","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1493428820472315906":{"id":"1493428820472315906","date":"2022-02-15 03:35:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @theemilyaccount @salr_nyc Disentangling intelligence and opportunity/environment is really hard though, especially when one of your datapoints is internally facing...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493387393142976512","reply_id":"1493428526447415297","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493428820472315906","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1328397896631287809":{"id":"1328397896631287809","date":"2020-11-16 18:01:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @WayneHimelsein This. Whole swaths of people act as though put call parity just doesn't exist.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1328374873551343616","reply_id":"1328397419634016256","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1328397896631287809","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1241769940572467200":{"id":"1241769940572467200","date":"2020-03-22 16:53:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @jp04636669 @RufusTFireflyJr @bennpeifert @darjohn25 More generally, there's nothing magical about zero. Trades are good or not, and structuring things to achieve a certain cash outlay today is making you concentrate on the wrong things.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1241736272470855687","reply_id":"1241767973242777600","quote_id":"1628407559353937920","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":16,"retweets":4,"replies":1,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1241769940572467200","type":"quote","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1594091007901323264":{"id":"1594091007901323264","date":"2022-11-19 22:11:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Ada: 180 years old.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1594085519126061057","reply_id":"1594085519126061057","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1594091007901323264","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1422614311994748928":{"id":"1422614311994748928","date":"2021-08-03 17:44:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Gracias Pedro por la conversacion!\n\nEspero no haber pasado mucha vergüenza hablando de temas técnicos en español. 😀","hashtags":[],"conv":"1422614311994748928","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1422614311994748928","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1242628115421003776":{"id":"1242628115421003776","date":"2020-03-25 01:43:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@G_Ellsworth What's wrong with my mental model: every day NYC comes out with its daily COVID death summary.\n\nhttps://www1.nyc.gov/assets/doh/downloads/pdf/imm/covid-19-daily-data-summary.pdf\n\nEvery day is ~1.7x the day before.\n\nAFAICT, the brr-money-machine makes no difference if this number keeps almost doubling every day.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1242456932104851456","reply_id":"1242574600023793667","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"G_Ellsworth","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1242628115421003776","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1928005954617983009":{"id":"1928005954617983009","date":"2025-05-29 08:30:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod Oh I can believe it, sadly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1927986274800984180","reply_id":"1928002497362215048","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1004,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1928005954617983009","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1432738687553470467":{"id":"1432738687553470467","date":"2021-08-31 16:14:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OneBigOh @therobotjames I don't say which side, just that I guarantee to trade with your market. I'll pick whichever side is best for me.\n\nIf I guarantee to trade with a 50-year-wide market, you're going to make money I'm sure. Any sensible market you make forces me to do a bad trade.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1432463541110411265","reply_id":"1432734236474216449","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OneBigOh","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1432738687553470467","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1643605526029254663":{"id":"1643605526029254663","date":"2023-04-05 13:24:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@totlsota","hashtags":[],"conv":"1643506537334288384","reply_id":"1643506537334288384","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"totlsota","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":274,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1643605526029254663_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1643605526029254663","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1911386947701875030":{"id":"1911386947701875030","date":"2025-04-13 11:52:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So wait. If I put enough chips into something then it's tariff exempt?\n\nI guess that's one way to make IoT finally happen.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1911386947701875030","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":49,"retweets":2,"replies":7,"quotes":1,"views":4751,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1911386947701875030","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1539249494696525825":{"id":"1539249494696525825","date":"2022-06-21 14:10:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"24/ I think the people who unretire (I’ve known a few by now) end up realizing that it wasn’t “me time” yet.\n\nAnd that it may never come, and that that’s ok.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1539249425956093952","reply_id":"1539249493195079686","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1539249494696525825","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1448341958791811075":{"id":"1448341958791811075","date":"2021-10-13 17:36:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3/ So you read the news about such an event. CNN, FoxNews, Politico, whatever. And it feels like a steady drip of \"news\" about tiny events which could affect that probability.\n\nSo how do we integrate all these pieces of information into a prediction?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448341956841533442","reply_id":"1448341957768482817","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448341958791811075","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1474437137252507650":{"id":"1474437137252507650","date":"2021-12-24 17:49:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Genius!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1474437137252507650","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1474437137252507650","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1243369672600244224":{"id":"1243369672600244224","date":"2020-03-27 02:50:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DonExacto @SinclairEuan @drunkengrass Agree your losses are capped, but you're paying for that privilege. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1243322979724832768","reply_id":"1243354114064633856","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DonExacto","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1243369672600244224","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1666800455093985281":{"id":"1666800455093985281","date":"2023-06-08 13:32:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"19/ But later when the iPhone came out and Mike was quoted as saying that no one was going to give up their physical keyboards, I updated again in the lack-of-vision direction.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1666800429236207621","reply_id":"1666800453802242054","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":828,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1666800455093985281","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1197186881034698752":{"id":"1197186881034698752","date":"2019-11-20 16:16:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Failure mode for small #tech company:\n\n\"Need a senior DevOps. Knows Docker, AWS, Jenkins, Python, Puppet, Kubernetes. Also does SecOps.\"\n\nTurns out that person costs 2x what they're willing to pay.\n\nEnd up hiring someone who can't do the job. They fail.\n\nCompany fails. Repeat.","hashtags":["tech"],"conv":"1197186881034698752","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1197186881034698752","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1393268150347603968":{"id":"1393268150347603968","date":"2021-05-14 18:13:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mnopro Exactly right. In my experience, the best traders in the world are people you've never heard of.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1393267002110738432","reply_id":"1393267002110738432","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mnopro","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1393268150347603968","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1420572890185879553":{"id":"1420572890185879553","date":"2021-07-29 02:32:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Would it take the warm fuzzies away if we renamed the Olympics the \"0.8*{total GDP} + 0.2*{total GDP 40 years ago}\"-mpics?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420572890185879553","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420572890185879553","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1822397195951427910":{"id":"1822397195951427910","date":"2024-08-10 22:18:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@whirlybard And 2020?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1822341676003938741","reply_id":"1822394752043770211","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"whirlybard","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":478,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1822397195951427910","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1747096316877078804":{"id":"1747096316877078804","date":"2024-01-16 03:19:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Why is Canada doing this? Anyone know?\n\nSeems pretty destabilizing when combined with the anemic housing growth.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1747096316877078804","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":8944,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1747096316877078804","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1859202609497661890":{"id":"1859202609497661890","date":"2024-11-20 11:50:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Some famous people are poor man's version of other famous people. I.e. a universal drop-in substitute of the other with a small drop in quality.\n\n- Charlie Hunnam is a poor man's Heath Ledger.\n- Bill Macatee is a poor man's Jim Nantz.\n\nGive me your best ones.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1859202609497661890","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":4352,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1859202609497661890","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1533930372760600576":{"id":"1533930372760600576","date":"2022-06-06 21:54:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @where_is_hardo Awesome!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1533930221363089409","reply_id":"1533930221363089409","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1533930372760600576","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1588662511171424256":{"id":"1588662511171424256","date":"2022-11-04 22:40:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"You had me at your license plate.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1588662511171424256","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":36,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1588662511171424256_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1588662511171424256","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1631535610661048320":{"id":"1631535610661048320","date":"2023-03-03 06:02:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tyroverby @charlesetc And allergic to revision control.\n\nTotal non-starter if you want something vaguely maintainable.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1631458366265466880","reply_id":"1631482522369507328","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tyroverby","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":36,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1631535610661048320","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1754517998969270406":{"id":"1754517998969270406","date":"2024-02-05 14:51:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This.\n\nJust knowing stuff currently has the fastest overvalued -> valued -> undervalued trajectory.\n\n\"Oh, but you can just look it up.\"\n\nThat's not how almost anything important works.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1754517998969270406","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":106,"retweets":6,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":15202,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1754517998969270406","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1517610993739730947":{"id":"1517610993739730947","date":"2022-04-22 21:07:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 What would you propose they do instead?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1517608167378673670","reply_id":"1517608167378673670","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1517610993739730947","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1797487176403517617":{"id":"1797487176403517617","date":"2024-06-03 04:35:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@UWaterloo professors didn't mess around back in the day. I still remember sweating bullets upon seeing this green page on that exam.\n\nI bet some TA had to twist his arm to admit that maybe, just maybe, the question was insane.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1797487176403517617","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"UWaterloo","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":225,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1797487176403517617_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1797487176403517617","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1911480909603455331":{"id":"1911480909603455331","date":"2025-04-13 18:05:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@gwern @AISafetyMemes Way too late for that. This account has probably done more to turn random people off AI safety than anyone else.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1911082941293211996","reply_id":"1911471174250340814","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"gwern","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":160,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1911480909603455331","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1504820109642121219":{"id":"1504820109642121219","date":"2022-03-18 14:00:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"corr(having to make large life decisions, dreaming about past life decisions) ~ 1","hashtags":[],"conv":"1504820109642121219","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1504820109642121219","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1970779482509238400":{"id":"1970779482509238400","date":"2025-09-24 09:16:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_opencv_ The one that turns thermal noise into compute?\n\nRight around the corner I'm sure.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970670442064289828","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1005,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1970779482509238400","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1921983438350868874":{"id":"1921983438350868874","date":"2025-05-12 17:38:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih Unsurprisingly, very similar to mine. I asked about 25d because it's annoying. I end up doing a linear interpolation to the 1stdev strike, which I hate.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1921957876043510247","reply_id":"1921981646946943309","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1336,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1921983438350868874","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1215654474720497664":{"id":"1215654474720497664","date":"2020-01-10 15:19:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@paulg @michael_nielsen If you're interested in the history, highly recommended:\n\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Money-Changes-Everything-Civilization-Possible/dp/0691143781/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1215454814781358081","reply_id":"1215571361059557376","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"paulg","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1215654474720497664","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1205975661023617025":{"id":"1205975661023617025","date":"2019-12-14 22:19:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@kairosdojo @BeingHorizontal Exactly. If you're dead set on using CNNs, you need to find inputs for which convolutions will extract useful features.\n\nOf course, that's kind of a weird way to go about things, trying shoehorn your data into a specific architecture. It's what I call cargo-cult ML.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1205388149767077888","reply_id":"1205970615343239169","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"kairosdojo","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1205975661023617025","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1434940537472094208":{"id":"1434940537472094208","date":"2021-09-06 18:04:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @MagnusMacro Agreed. HM students I've met have plenty of theoretical grounding, but they are more real-worldy than most other equivalent or better colleges.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434937615636180996","reply_id":"1434938303921467402","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434940537472094208","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1576081295385370626":{"id":"1576081295385370626","date":"2022-10-01 05:27:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"It's the sloppiest people you have to worry about. And they are not sitting in on your class on AGI and alignment.\" - @tylercowen \n\n@dwarkesh_sp consistently asks the most interesting questions in podcast land!\n\nhttps://www.dwarkeshpatel.com/p/tyler-cowen-2#details","hashtags":[],"conv":"1576081295385370626","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":["1576081295385370626_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1576081295385370626","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1570247918233489408":{"id":"1570247918233489408","date":"2022-09-15 03:07:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NaqiJaffery Not an expert, but I get the sense that Singapore math can be effective for younger grades as a way to ensure fundamentals get learned. But maybe caps out after arithmetic is mastered.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1570243478080335872","reply_id":"1570247319622406144","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"NaqiJaffery","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1570247918233489408","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1384670286285475841":{"id":"1384670286285475841","date":"2021-04-21 00:48:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@chicagolocal1 @therobotjames @SoccerMomTrades @M1tchRosenthal I told @saah1lk earlier today that for the last few years, I've been trading only when interesting craziness happens. Which is a lot, recently!\n\nWho knows what the future holds... 😉","hashtags":[],"conv":"1384525674317328386","reply_id":"1384669762748362753","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"chicagolocal1","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1384670286285475841","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1393729477570560000":{"id":"1393729477570560000","date":"2021-05-16 00:46:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"All that you could ever reasonably get from him are undoubtedly excellent but necessarily generic thoughts about risk, about edge, or whatever else is relevant to the trade.\n\nWhich he more than generously already does on here and on his blog.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1393728628437913601","reply_id":"1393729144274317315","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1393729477570560000","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1685714686590025729":{"id":"1685714686590025729","date":"2023-07-30 18:11:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OGTaylorB Ah Sebastian Loeb...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1685656125352644608","reply_id":"1685681898155089920","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OGTaylorB","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":112,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1685714686590025729","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1568230718228303872":{"id":"1568230718228303872","date":"2022-09-09 13:31:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Forbes \"analysis\" consists of *a-priori* assigning exchanges a fake-volume fraction based on things like estimated workforce size, then doing a sumproduct of that and stated volumes.\n\nThat's what I'd call a fake analysis.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1568230718228303872","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1568230718228303872","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1772119277820432776":{"id":"1772119277820432776","date":"2024-03-25 04:32:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Banana_Chucker @MinvstrD","hashtags":[],"conv":"1772055640590160152","reply_id":"1772119116469715407","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Banana_Chucker","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":134,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1772119277820432776","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1836420984603316371":{"id":"1836420984603316371","date":"2024-09-18 15:04:16","author":"Dwarkesh Patel","handle":"dwarkesh_sp","text":"Unless you understand the history of oil, you cannot understand the rise of America, WW1, WW2, the Middle East, how Xi and Putin think, secular stagnation, and basically anything else that’s happened since 1860.\n\nIt was a great honor to interview @DanielYergin, the Pulitzer Prize winning author of The Prize. \n\nThe Prize is the greatest history of oil ever written (which makes it the greatest history of the 20th century ever written).\n\nEnjoy!\n\n0:00:00 – Beginning of the oil industry\n0:14:21 – World War I & II\n0:25:50 – The Middle East\n0:47:48 – Yergin’s conversations with Putin & Modi\n1:05:20 – Narrative history\n1:11:10 – The renewable energy transition & AI","hashtags":[],"conv":"1836420984603316371","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1836452741712875904","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":778,"retweets":142,"replies":24,"quotes":32,"views":162531,"bookmarks":909,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1836420984603316371"},"1533465547072888832":{"id":"1533465547072888832","date":"2022-06-05 15:07:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@StevenMandrapa @mpp75214 @KrisAbdelmessih Correct.\n\nIn my area (North County San Diego), 1.75m gets you 2000 / (1+1/x) + 500 sq ft where x = distance from ocean in miles.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1533300169915084801","reply_id":"1533311834400296960","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"StevenMandrapa","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1533465547072888832","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1419028475592073217":{"id":"1419028475592073217","date":"2021-07-24 20:15:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 @nope_its_lily @RaoulGMI @jaredstine @SrivatsPrakash","hashtags":[],"conv":"1418787873801768963","reply_id":"1419027360943333377","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1419028475592073217_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1419028475592073217","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1341851637782999041":{"id":"1341851637782999041","date":"2020-12-23 21:02:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Many different-seeming activities have a very similar characteristic when you compare skilled people to world-class people:\n\nAlmost all of the difference can be explained by the quality of left tail performance.\n\n1/many","hashtags":[],"conv":"1341851637782999041","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1803485939085476183","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":29,"retweets":8,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1341851637782999041","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1542516773093724161":{"id":"1542516773093724161","date":"2022-06-30 14:33:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EgeErdil2 Two factor authentication.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542513064590704642","reply_id":"1542515237433114630","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EgeErdil2","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1542516773093724161","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1346863601185742848":{"id":"1346863601185742848","date":"2021-01-06 16:58:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"37/ Ew! So gross! This data has problems, but that's ok. All data has problems.\n\nYou just need to do the work to fix the problems.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346863599491272704","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346863601185742848","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1483814711439204352":{"id":"1483814711439204352","date":"2022-01-19 14:52:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HF_Trader Used one for a couple of months. Tremendously valuable information. Induced behavior changes that I don't believe I could have otherwise made.\n\nBut its value decreases over time as the marginal learnings decrease.\n\nHighly recommend.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482113634499182598","reply_id":"1482113634499182598","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HF_Trader","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1483814711439204352","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1732487823889232125":{"id":"1732487823889232125","date":"2023-12-06 19:50:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@data_dius Fair. Better search is useful.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1732486641284247987","reply_id":"1732487641705160878","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"data_dius","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":706,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1732487823889232125","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1708132658436551085":{"id":"1708132658436551085","date":"2023-09-30 14:52:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbacarella @yawaramin You may need to ask Jeremie, but I'm pretty sure Lwt predates the public release of Async. So it's not his fault. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1707617769829646501","reply_id":"1708099735842857144","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbacarella","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":34,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1708132658436551085","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1455629039633195010":{"id":"1455629039633195010","date":"2021-11-02 20:13:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SecPerkinsStan @ryxcommar @bennpeifert @therobotjames Yes indeed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1455542144207257600","reply_id":"1455628720702738432","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SecPerkinsStan","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1455629039633195010","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1230242725334663169":{"id":"1230242725334663169","date":"2020-02-19 21:28:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein IB have to hedge what they sell, don't they? With the margins they charge on those things, there's plenty of slop for everyone.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1230240283423494146","reply_id":"1230240283423494146","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1230242725334663169","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1273425747047137280":{"id":"1273425747047137280","date":"2020-06-18 01:22:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @DavidTaggart Yes, yes it does.\n\nBrandt surely has the lowest value:followers ratio in FinTwit.\n\nStiff competition, I'll admit.\n\nStill, I've offered to fill him at market for size on his ridiculous trade recommendations and he's never taken me up on it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1273421255220137985","reply_id":"1273424409177600001","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1273425747047137280","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1382883444909219846":{"id":"1382883444909219846","date":"2021-04-16 02:28:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_fabriciovsa 2. What are you good at? Don't say \"math and programming\" because even though that matters, it's more like table stakes. It's the other stuff that matters.\n\nAre you ok with making good decisions and still losing sometimes? Or do you prefer certainty? Etc etc etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"1382883030226800640","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382883444909219846","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1817913293727543796":{"id":"1817913293727543796","date":"2024-07-29 13:21:19","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"I actually think that the de Prado book above is really bad. Very little of it is novel, and what is novel is not really of much practical relevance to trading.\n\nMuch better to read something like Isichenko \"Quantitative Portfolio Management\".\n\nIf you want a less technical read, any of Ernie Chan or Robert Carver's books (or Euan Sinclair if you are interested in options). \n\nIf you want a more technical read then \"Quantitative Equity Portfolio Management\" by Chincarini and Kim.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1817534422880600135","reply_id":"1817911548624474517","quote_id":"1871887181134049330","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MarkBestForex","likes":26,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":3,"views":2927,"bookmarks":74,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1817913293727543796"},"1258787772753539073":{"id":"1258787772753539073","date":"2020-05-08 15:56:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @EMinflationista @TheSpeculator0 @AMKcm @squirrel_blind @o_wutang Yes, though the hard part is the theo edge at trade time. Very model-dependent, and if your model systematically misprices some risk factor then you're always going to \"lose\" to that even though the $ wasn't realizable to begin with.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1258184053326376961","reply_id":"1258787251128897546","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1258787772753539073","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1705420092195164364":{"id":"1705420092195164364","date":"2023-09-23 03:13:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 It's *a* way. There are others.\n\nThe best way is the one that engages you the most.\nThe one that gives you the inherent motivation to keep doing it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1705397434241925606","reply_id":"1705397434241925606","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1026,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1705420092195164364","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1371602775818133506":{"id":"1371602775818133506","date":"2021-03-15 23:22:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@PRentz @GutterGnostic Agreed. The engineer in me always wants to cash it out in terms of \"My actions indicate and define my (revealed) beliefs.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1371516798831489025","reply_id":"1371602455952171010","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"PRentz","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1371602775818133506","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1558574453943980032":{"id":"1558574453943980032","date":"2022-08-13 22:01:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @be20684347 Just being on here regularly is a sizeable larp.\n\nLike my colleagues say to me periodically: \"Why are you on there so much talking about doing the thing? Just go do the thing instead.\"\n\nTo which I reply \"shutupsimulationisrunningwhatelseamigoingtodo\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1558462645472092160","reply_id":"1558573619642376194","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":27,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1558574453943980032","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1443306813479276545":{"id":"1443306813479276545","date":"2021-09-29 20:08:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@volmagorov @anderpart @therobotjames @lightspringfox @macrocephalopod https://ftx.com/en/tokens/bullshit","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443283134116732935","reply_id":"1443306076229799940","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"volmagorov","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1443306813479276545","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1484585575524954112":{"id":"1484585575524954112","date":"2022-01-21 17:55:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LawrenceKovac @cheerfultrader @darjohn25 You got it. Maybe there are other better references these days but that was the bible back in the day.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1484581794938712064","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1484585575524954112","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1437114834898718720":{"id":"1437114834898718720","date":"2021-09-12 18:04:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FranklinLynam @FreyaHolmer Highly recommend this book:\n\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Programmers-Introduction-Mathematics-Second/dp/B088N68LTJ/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1436696408506212353","reply_id":"1436725720810758148","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FranklinLynam","likes":78,"retweets":8,"replies":3,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":73,"media":["1437114834898718720_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1437114834898718720","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1636083936601477120":{"id":"1636083936601477120","date":"2023-03-15 19:16:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Seems like all of this was foreordained when Narrow Bank was refused a charter.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1636083936601477120","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2747,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1636083936601477120","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1913148723099533651":{"id":"1913148723099533651","date":"2025-04-18 08:32:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mmaaz_98 @W98AB Yeah, the cash grab has happened in Canada too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1912956767920664834","reply_id":"1913148306160566716","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mmaaz_98","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":671,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1913148723099533651","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1480245157312143360":{"id":"1480245157312143360","date":"2022-01-09 18:28:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jagmavi @M1tchRosenthal @DavidTaggart Pandas has rough edges, but it's really fast to do simple stuff with it.\n\nAnd more complex stuff if you know where the rough edges are.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1480090162184945664","reply_id":"1480244314475315208","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jagmavi","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1480245157312143360","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1358933172042387456":{"id":"1358933172042387456","date":"2021-02-09 00:18:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@batusaix911 @choffstein Sure, though it's not an indicator in the sense of \"buy vol when it's below 1, sell when above\" or anything. Again, because vol isn't a martingale.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1358848031949488133","reply_id":"1358931770222256131","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"batusaix911","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1358933172042387456","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1582219121692794880":{"id":"1582219121692794880","date":"2022-10-18 03:56:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @FREAK0NAUT @mpp75214 ✅","hashtags":[],"conv":"1582215000353280001","reply_id":"1582218030364643329","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1582219121692794880","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1883492686390579248":{"id":"1883492686390579248","date":"2025-01-26 12:30:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I for one welcome our new AI overlords and the associated Baumol effect affluence we will someday enjoy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1883492686390579248","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1644,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1883492686390579248","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1603049531817369600":{"id":"1603049531817369600","date":"2022-12-14 15:29:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is basically every interview at every tech or trading firm.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1603049531817369600","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1603049531817369600","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1730328106249208292":{"id":"1730328106249208292","date":"2023-11-30 20:49:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod Can't wait for the article about these new-fangled \"hedge funds\" that \"can go long AND short, which is a controversial practice\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1730313991971340402","reply_id":"1730313991971340402","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":925,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1730328106249208292","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1443633150018535425":{"id":"1443633150018535425","date":"2021-09-30 17:45:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug hg FTW.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443631980931911683","reply_id":"1443631980931911683","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1443633150018535425","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1482203255287402498":{"id":"1482203255287402498","date":"2022-01-15 04:09:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@goodalexander @CaleCrypto It's hard for me to say what full time means, but the trajectory is such that I probably will be by a couple of months from now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482086567720148993","reply_id":"1482179602105651201","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"goodalexander","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482203255287402498","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2044775789841805539":{"id":"2044775789841805539","date":"2026-04-16 13:51:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"+1.\n\nShitty intern pressure tactics from \"esteemed\" companies have been part of the business for years.\n\nIf you're getting recruited this hard you likely have good leverage. Think deeply about what you want to DO, not what high-status name you want on your resume. You'll be fine.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2044775789841805539","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":148,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":2,"views":41667,"bookmarks":38,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2044775789841805539","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1700186556567531674":{"id":"1700186556567531674","date":"2023-09-08 16:37:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5. \"But I've always wanted to be a trader, since I was a kid in fact!\"\n\nNo. You've always wanted to be rich. You just think this is your best bet to get there.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1700186549860839569","reply_id":"1700186555305046110","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":37,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2468,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1700186556567531674","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1595797714591428608":{"id":"1595797714591428608","date":"2022-11-24 15:13:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 Me too. It's insane.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595794399279321088","reply_id":"1595794399279321088","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1595797714591428608","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1206751854954070018":{"id":"1206751854954070018","date":"2019-12-17 01:43:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@balajis My guess is that >90% of white-collar jobs still require the shrink-wrapped CD as a non-negotiable qualification for the job.\n\nThe 4-year college degree is still a ways away from being a shiny coaster.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1206750897881133057","reply_id":"1206750897881133057","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"balajis","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1206751854954070018","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1200930182661472256":{"id":"1200930182661472256","date":"2019-12-01 00:10:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ReformedTrader Transferwise FTW.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1200923644945301504","reply_id":"1200923644945301504","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ReformedTrader","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1200930182661472256","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1494154467347812358":{"id":"1494154467347812358","date":"2022-02-17 03:39:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Suhail The failure mode of tech people overweighting hard skills in interviews is super common.\n\nDrunk-keys-lamppost phenomenon. It's much easier to check if someone can write good Python or whatever vs being a good engineering manager/director/VP.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494150182392385536","reply_id":"1494153168560611328","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Suhail","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494154467347812358","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1699166412047298765":{"id":"1699166412047298765","date":"2023-09-05 21:03:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames 💪","hashtags":[],"conv":"1699165497282187385","reply_id":"1699166191607329105","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":670,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1699166412047298765","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1450655597674700802":{"id":"1450655597674700802","date":"2021-10-20 02:50:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @lightspringfox @KrisAbdelmessih @Ksidiii I've been that guy. That's how I learned later.\n\nStill gets ya every once in a while.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1450110996744441856","reply_id":"1450653844380155908","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1450655597674700802","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1546931752131706880":{"id":"1546931752131706880","date":"2022-07-12 18:57:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5/ But finding new trades means learning about unfamiliar things, or maybe about unfamiliar aspects of familiar things.\n\nI actively curate my information diet, and I work hard to pay attention to *what* I pay attention to.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546931744426758145","reply_id":"1546931750315515904","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546931752131706880","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1408898492630663174":{"id":"1408898492630663174","date":"2021-06-26 21:22:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@longskew Which porn would you like today sir?\n\nHouse porn? Zillow.\nFood porn? Instagram/Food Network.\nSuccess porn? Linkedin.\nVirtue-signaling porn? Twitter.\nIt's-the-end-of-the-world porn? Facebook/Fox News.\n\nRegular porn? Uh, take your pick...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1408892674669789188","reply_id":"1408892674669789188","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"longskew","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1408898492630663174","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2038643638729630179":{"id":"2038643638729630179","date":"2026-03-30 15:44:54","author":"Robin Hanson","handle":"robinhanson","text":"Odd to hear people say the reason we can trust journalism but not prediction markets is that journalists have the public interest at heart, while traders are selfish & greedy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2038643638729630179","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2038645798863352001","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":115,"retweets":10,"replies":15,"quotes":3,"views":18587,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/robinhanson/status/2038643638729630179"},"1608116036678868992":{"id":"1608116036678868992","date":"2022-12-28 15:01:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sbraun27 Maybe you're just not looking hard enough at your business, and missing obvious places where you need help with (checks notes) growth marketing and offshore software development.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1608114910487011329","reply_id":"1608115473857511426","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sbraun27","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":327,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1608116036678868992","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2053825220255903872":{"id":"2053825220255903872","date":"2026-05-11 13:11:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tennisabstract a thing I'd find interesting:\n- Bin players by ranking at time of match: 1, 2, 3-5, 6-10, 11-20, 21-40, 41-80, 81-160, 161-320.\n- Calc P(win) for the higher ranked player against the lower.\n- Display as a (triangular) grid, color gradient w/ numbers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2053825220255903872","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2074023753411883215","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tennisabstract","likes":33,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":26232,"bookmarks":30,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2053825220255903872","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1834245661971169762":{"id":"1834245661971169762","date":"2024-09-12 15:00:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pcatach @Lifrordi I reached out not even really looking for a job, just curious what they were up to.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1834217272774185288","reply_id":"1834242223128338761","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pcatach","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":434,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1834245661971169762","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1836780484652589386":{"id":"1836780484652589386","date":"2024-09-19 14:52:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod The wonder of UK politics is that the scandals are all so small-time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1836694662037270815","reply_id":"1836694662037270815","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":741,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1836780484652589386","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1943337899329491140":{"id":"1943337899329491140","date":"2025-07-10 15:53:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@miehrmantraut @10009nyny He doesn't need to. He wins on the spread he collects, plus the info on retail flows that he can position for. It's shooting fish in a barrel for him.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943280522756591979","reply_id":"1943333271900668282","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"miehrmantraut","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":561,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1943337899329491140","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1452279400997826576":{"id":"1452279400997826576","date":"2021-10-24 14:22:45","author":"The Recount","handle":"therecount","text":"Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL) says Florida is \"actively working to recruit out-of-state law enforcement\" officers quitting in opposition to vaccine mandates:\n\n\"If you're not being treated well, we'll treat you better here.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1452279400997826576","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1452311642889412621","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":604,"retweets":143,"replies":395,"quotes":379,"views":0,"bookmarks":19,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therecount/status/1452279400997826576"},"1472728218062888961":{"id":"1472728218062888961","date":"2021-12-20 00:39:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mn0dr Of course, the argument that crypto wallets will enable more efficient tax evasion is probably not the one you want to be making.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1472722930287009798","reply_id":"1472727988881920001","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1472728218062888961","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1428479521162858496":{"id":"1428479521162858496","date":"2021-08-19 22:10:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@noms_nom_nom @therobotjames I don't deny the existence of 10x-better-than-average devs. Higher even. I've worked with some of them. They're beyond-belief good.\n\nBut the spread between that person and the 1x mean is a big problem.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1428381820421242886","reply_id":"1428476407185817606","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"return_stacking","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1428479521162858496","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1979793239801770446":{"id":"1979793239801770446","date":"2025-10-19 06:14:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"SNL's target audience is basically only right-thinking 20something Brooklynites, and has been for years.\n\nWhy on Earth does NBC keep it on the air?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1979793239801770446","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":12133,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1979793239801770446","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1722255607611441203":{"id":"1722255607611441203","date":"2023-11-08 14:11:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@liquiditygoblin Fit two curves.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1722105396280824300","reply_id":"1722105396280824300","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"liquiditygoblin","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1281,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1722255607611441203","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1415321048032055307":{"id":"1415321048032055307","date":"2021-07-14 14:43:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"25/ Imagine I build an HFT trading system but I’m the slowest guy out there. Which trades am I going to get to do?\n\nThe bad ones.\n\nI can’t compete in that space, so I shouldn’t try.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"1415321047038009346","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415321048032055307","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1772074768952389846":{"id":"1772074768952389846","date":"2024-03-25 01:35:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@GrandTokamak @GRoditiD @macrocephalopod I mean, probably a lot of it is. At least the aggregate labor market of actual jobs, government money, forgiven student loans, rich parents, etc etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1772041635720765887","reply_id":"1772065077602001295","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GrandTokamak","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":120,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1772074768952389846","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1939410872532672858":{"id":"1939410872532672858","date":"2025-06-29 19:49:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"All charts overlaying two different time series with arbitrary scaling and offsets should be banned.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1939410872532672858","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":113,"retweets":5,"replies":10,"quotes":1,"views":15839,"bookmarks":18,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1939410872532672858","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2012163166420038128":{"id":"2012163166420038128","date":"2026-01-16 14:00:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"No one:\n\nAbsolutely no one:\n\nUS metals traders: Let's use the atomic symbol for mercury as the futures symbol for copper.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2012163166420038128","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1322,"retweets":12,"replies":10,"quotes":2,"views":59437,"bookmarks":50,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2012163166420038128","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1692617272970322047":{"id":"1692617272970322047","date":"2023-08-18 19:19:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So how should you rationally adjust your behavior given you own these cheap puts?\n\nEmbrace variance!\n\nYour value to the world less dependent on what you're worst at, but more dependent on what you're good at.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1692617267576467909","reply_id":"1692617271603036556","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":36,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2165,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1692617272970322047","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1628463106639953920":{"id":"1628463106639953920","date":"2023-02-22 18:33:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@kust1983 @arb8020 So profitable trading is also \"not so hard\"? 🤣\n\nYou've just describe a process that applies to improvement in anything. But describing that process and implementing it well are two very different things.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1628449259870883848","reply_id":"1628462542946242571","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"kust1983","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":184,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1628463106639953920","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2043236969937764450":{"id":"2043236969937764450","date":"2026-04-12 07:57:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"RT @AgustinLebron3: @david_streever Sportswriters are not very good wordcels, generally. Frequent Bart's People vibes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2043236969937764450","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2043236941156540551","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":4,"bookmarks":0,"media":["2043236969937764450_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2043236969937764450","type":"retweet","issues":[]},"1557122393193074689":{"id":"1557122393193074689","date":"2022-08-09 21:51:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase @MinvstrD @drunkengrass @max_arbitrage @KrisAbdelmessih @MomAngtrades @khemaridh @ejames_c @mistman78 @godcomplex96 Phenomenal. Seen them live a few times. Endless parade of incredible singers, sometimes in the tiniest venues.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1557045699702919173","reply_id":"1557110088980111366","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1557122393193074689","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2012242543598088279":{"id":"2012242543598088279","date":"2026-01-16 19:16:22","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"RT @macrocephalopod: Damn I wish I’d left my interesting finance job to work in an area that has a greater chance of benefiting humanit—","hashtags":[],"conv":"2012242543598088279","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2012239657455480971","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":121,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["2012242543598088279_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/2012242543598088279"},"1467630664543473665":{"id":"1467630664543473665","date":"2021-12-05 23:03:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 I'll amend to \"the most dangerous driver, non-Mazepin non-Grosjean division\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1467623852737916929","reply_id":"1467630426952847360","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1467630664543473665","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1481745236678234114":{"id":"1481745236678234114","date":"2022-01-13 21:49:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I talk to at least a couple of CTOs a month that:\n\n1⃣ Ask applicants to do a multi-hour work product before the final round interview, and complain that no one finishes them.\n2⃣ Refuse to provide comp information on the job description.\n\nWhat's good for the 🦢 is good for the 🦆.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481745236678234114","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1481745236678234114","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1873676761642246490":{"id":"1873676761642246490","date":"2024-12-30 10:25:25","author":"Alex Smith","handle":"ninja_maths","text":"We're developing a math-oriented Machine Learning course and looking for qualified mathematicians to contribute.\n\nThis is an excellent opportunity for an MSC, PhD, or postdoctoral student completing their current project and interested in joining one of the world’s most promising startups.\n\nThe role involves designing and developing lessons, questions, and various learning tasks, such as projects and coding exercises. Lessons should be appropriately scaffolded to ensure smooth learning and minimize students' cognitive load. Questions and tasks will follow our in-house specifications.\n\nThe work is 100% remote and flexible. We're looking for a minimum commitment of 25 hours per week.  The work is contract-based but could become a long-term opportunity for the right candidate.\n\n* Native or Bilingual English speaker preferred.\n\n* Previous experience in developing educational materials is an advantage.\n\n* Experience in machine learning, statistics, or algorithms is an advantage.\n\n* Strong experience with Latex is essential. Strong experience with TikZ would be a significant advantage.\n\nWe are looking for a hardworking, dynamic, solution-oriented individual who communicates effectively, is friendly, and is committed to creating the best machine learning course available anywhere.\n\nRates vary depending on experience but are competitive.  \n\nIf you're interested, please send a resume and cover letter.\n\nalex [at] http://mathacademy.com","hashtags":[],"conv":"1873676761642246490","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1873679627413274999","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":366,"retweets":37,"replies":11,"quotes":5,"views":56089,"bookmarks":257,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ninja_maths/status/1873676761642246490"},"1996609737505333277":{"id":"1996609737505333277","date":"2025-12-04 15:57:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Hopefully this was useful to some of your.\n\nThe point here isn’t that swmid is bad. It’s fine, it’s a useful fair, but it’s not magic, it’s not novel, and it’s NOT ALPHA!\n\n/END 🧵","hashtags":[],"conv":"1996609701950218467","reply_id":"1996609735236194352","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":30,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3206,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1996609737505333277","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1734721341029580989":{"id":"1734721341029580989","date":"2023-12-12 23:46:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I'm sure it's completely unrelated to:\n\n- Use of phones in class\n- Elimination of paper textbooks\n- Elimination of graded assignments which can't be shoehorned into Kahoot, Quizlet, etc\n- Proliferation of teacher-provided \"study guides\"\n- Grade inflation","hashtags":[],"conv":"1734721341029580989","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":62,"retweets":2,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":10824,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1734721341029580989","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1789810327552676080":{"id":"1789810327552676080","date":"2024-05-13 00:10:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BigBreakfastLob Cuz it's not true (like for like).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1789783398636036586","reply_id":"1789783398636036586","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BigBreakfastLob","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":158,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1789810327552676080","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1757826678913708190":{"id":"1757826678913708190","date":"2024-02-14 17:58:33","author":"Marc Andreessen 🇺🇸","handle":"pmarca","text":"They're both hard!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1757826678913708190","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1757845947294626222","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":210,"retweets":12,"replies":53,"quotes":6,"views":82077,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/pmarca/status/1757826678913708190"},"1745149921383362791":{"id":"1745149921383362791","date":"2024-01-10 18:25:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cam_perrault It's not crazy.\n\nEspecially more broad definitions of alpha (i.e. non-financial).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1745148172291485734","reply_id":"1745148639238902230","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"camlperr","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":273,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1745149921383362791","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1239753631173206016":{"id":"1239753631173206016","date":"2020-03-17 03:21:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@famadeo @lopezdeprado Buffett doesn't need tick data. Jane Street does.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1239739604544217089","reply_id":"1239753272967086081","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1239753631173206016","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1243306731431555073":{"id":"1243306731431555073","date":"2020-03-26 22:39:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vixologist @SinclairEuan Story time: I first met @SinclairEuan at a quant finance meeting ~10 years ago in London. I remember asking him: \"Why are you putting such valuable stuff in your books?\"\n\nHe said something like \"All the little implementation details matter more.\"\n\nI disbelieved then. Not anymore.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1243282170162163715","reply_id":"1243305880218669067","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vixologist","likes":16,"retweets":3,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1243306731431555073","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1378487427870846976":{"id":"1378487427870846976","date":"2021-04-03 23:19:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sajidnizami I've thought a lot about this parody before, and I think it's basically right.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1378485431382069249","reply_id":"1378486843054780417","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sajidnizami","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1378487427870846976","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1587162030762434561":{"id":"1587162030762434561","date":"2022-10-31 19:18:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames I can't imagine being self-confident enough to even *aspire* to be as cool as Jarvis Cocker.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1587160205191630848","reply_id":"1587160205191630848","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1587162030762434561","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1477465271468101635":{"id":"1477465271468101635","date":"2022-01-02 02:22:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @kchoudhu @emirates Your wish is my command:\n\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Normal-Accidents-Living-High-Risk-Technologies/dp/0691004129/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477417732895395840","reply_id":"1477463757781671938","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":7,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477465271468101635","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1631443963721953280":{"id":"1631443963721953280","date":"2023-03-02 23:58:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"My LinkedIn feed, everyone.\n\nPayola alive and well.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1631443963721953280","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1765,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1631443963721953280_1.png","1631443963721953280_2.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1631443963721953280","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1449181221477486592":{"id":"1449181221477486592","date":"2021-10-16 01:11:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@QuantStratTradR Why does that change things?\n\n(I'm just arguing here, to be clear. There's a lot of self-inconsistency in people's strongly-held beliefs about this.)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1449051361367134211","reply_id":"1449181019421171712","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuantStratTradR","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1449181221477486592","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1432755313422131207":{"id":"1432755313422131207","date":"2021-08-31 17:21:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@isbrutussick @KrisAbdelmessih Ooh, didn't know this existed. Nice!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1432740992277356553","reply_id":"1432754718112055299","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"isbrutussick","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1432755313422131207","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1927814008804966814":{"id":"1927814008804966814","date":"2025-05-28 19:47:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Meat robots and risk sponges. Sounds about right to me TBH.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1927814008804966814","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":1,"replies":19,"quotes":1,"views":6443,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1927814008804966814","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2007147504710918331":{"id":"2007147504710918331","date":"2026-01-02 17:50:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If you're a VC or angel investor and want to understand how trading works in the modern environment, feel free to DM me.\n\nI'll happily tell you about the bits that I know and will willingly admit ignorance on the bits that I don't.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2006843072337072269","reply_id":"2006843072337072269","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4695,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2007147504710918331","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1473676695962066947":{"id":"1473676695962066947","date":"2021-12-22 15:27:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JamesMarsh79 Honestly I think it's most effective at:\n- Giving investors a unique story\n- Giving people something to do while the machines do the work (@matt_levine hypothesis), which might be similar to your hypothesis.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1473675134326042624","reply_id":"1473676267992010753","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JamesMarsh79","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1473676695962066947","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1278002628773867520":{"id":"1278002628773867520","date":"2020-06-30 16:29:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @davidsrothman While I agree w/ this, I'd also argue that between group variation is much smaller than intra-group variation.\n\nI.e. a person's ability/willingness to learn about the specific domain, think clearly, do work, fail and improve, etc matter way more than the math toolset they know.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1277996809999310848","reply_id":"1277999300757336069","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1278002628773867520","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1596728004998500354":{"id":"1596728004998500354","date":"2022-11-27 04:49:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ALBACapMgmt Good tool. Recommend.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1596727483579396096","reply_id":"1596727483579396096","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ALBACapMgmt","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1596728004998500354","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1494008702298296327":{"id":"1494008702298296327","date":"2022-02-16 18:00:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"When you say 'I have put tons of effort into ensuring the accuracy of this Excel sheet,' knowledgable people will not infer that your work is less likely to contain errors. They will assume that you are fighting quadratic growth and losing at it.\"\n\nhttps://www.natemeyvis.com/writing/on-bryan-caplans-spreadsheets/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494008702298296327","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494008702298296327","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1471216696400568323":{"id":"1471216696400568323","date":"2021-12-15 20:32:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lostbutlucky Really good book, but there probably aren't more than a couple of thousand people who need to read it.\n\nIf you're wondering if you're one of them, then you're definitely not. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471152064931799052","reply_id":"1471152064931799052","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"lostbutlucky","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471216696400568323","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1434963960525066240":{"id":"1434963960525066240","date":"2021-09-06 19:37:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5/ Figuring out that tradeoff in general is a hard problem.\n\nThis is all pretty well-known.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434963956599193601","reply_id":"1434963959551913985","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434963960525066240","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1973707613574660536":{"id":"1973707613574660536","date":"2025-10-02 11:12:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeepDishEnjoyer \"What trends do you think you're seeing on industry-wide sales next quarter?\"\n\nVague enough that it's not soliciting specific MNPI, but honestly what else is a VP Sales going to know about industry-wide?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1973690359378231362","reply_id":"1973702156319637785","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeepDishEnjoyer","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3683,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1973707613574660536","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1959568586114040234":{"id":"1959568586114040234","date":"2025-08-24 10:48:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Daniel Bloch, tell me you have no edge without telling me.\n\nBecause HFT is famously the land of small sample sizes and low Sharpe.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1959568586114040234","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":165,"retweets":2,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":35020,"bookmarks":72,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1959568586114040234","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2061705223077253626":{"id":"2061705223077253626","date":"2026-06-02 07:03:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So why is it so popular? Because it's mind virus cleverly designed to hijack the love that many kids (esp spectrum-y ones) had for the original Harry Potter.\n\nIts author openly admitted this.\n\n\"I'm special and different but because I love math/science, not magic.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"2061705220963389788","reply_id":"2061705220963389788","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":2688,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2061705223077253626","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1377999098939277314":{"id":"1377999098939277314","date":"2021-04-02 14:59:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"12/\nOk, I told you some of mine.\n\nTell me yours! Use the A,B,C scale.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377999087644012544","reply_id":"1377999097924255746","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1377999098939277314","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1823802915842298209":{"id":"1823802915842298209","date":"2024-08-14 19:24:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 I'd like to learn more about what you learned that made you change your mind.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1823799723301707913","reply_id":"1823799723301707913","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3167,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1823802915842298209","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1562867000480698368":{"id":"1562867000480698368","date":"2022-08-25 18:18:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@drunkengrass Bored children circumventing parental controls.\nSame thing.\n\n\"I got all the time in the world here.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1562857778816774146","reply_id":"1562866513593262081","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"drunkengrass","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1562867000480698368","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1591819408804028417":{"id":"1591819408804028417","date":"2022-11-13 15:44:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ZoharAtkins Chesterton's Fence is pretty high, in practice.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1591819178700595203","reply_id":"1591819178700595203","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ZoharAtkins","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1591819408804028417","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1592951503152893953":{"id":"1592951503152893953","date":"2022-11-16 18:43:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @macrocephalobot @LBelenky @QuantLemming 1. Create a matrix with 1s on the diag, 0.8s on the off-diags.\n2. Take sqrt\n3. chol to get sqrt (corr_mat)\n4. Create (100,5) standard normals (noise)\n5. corr_normals = http://np.dot(noise, corr_mat)\n6. rets = np.exp(corr_normals)\n7. Adjust mean, stdev.\n8. cumsum(rets)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1592932287112675330","reply_id":"1592935514872872960","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1592951503152893953","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1798018811725222235":{"id":"1798018811725222235","date":"2024-06-04 15:47:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So the national spelling bee is now mostly just words in foreign languages that have zero connection to English?\n\nadelantado\ncaixinha\nnachschlage\ngiclee\n\nI could go on.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1798018811725222235","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":3305,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1798018811725222235","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1474394624089223174":{"id":"1474394624089223174","date":"2021-12-24 15:00:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert BRB, just need to open up another browser...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1474383101895667712","reply_id":"1474383101895667712","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1474394624089223174","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1865415965330063368":{"id":"1865415965330063368","date":"2024-12-07 15:19:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"At this point, the only evals worth paying attention to are the ones only you know about.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1865415965330063368","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2001,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1865415965330063368","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1349452443638120448":{"id":"1349452443638120448","date":"2021-01-13 20:25:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @brenorb @RoamResearch IMO Notion dominates now that it has backlinks.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1349445453016825856","reply_id":"1349446203021266946","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1349452443638120448","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1907688838455087425":{"id":"1907688838455087425","date":"2025-04-03 06:57:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So the whole US economy is going Jones Act now?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1907688838455087425","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1729,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1907688838455087425","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1466588871144075264":{"id":"1466588871144075264","date":"2021-12-03 02:03:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brrrzooka @jaksburner @longskew @therobotjames @option2ghost @nearcausality Either way, it's a lot of effort for ~300lb at best...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1466513044352217090","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1466588871144075264","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1768412248811450394":{"id":"1768412248811450394","date":"2024-03-14 23:01:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@utdrush5 Is Harvard CS more prestigious than UIUC? Yes probably. Should it be? I dunno.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1768404709336052193","reply_id":"1768411886398448067","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":414,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1768412248811450394","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1505599238977204224":{"id":"1505599238977204224","date":"2022-03-20 17:36:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily I think your definition of mediocre is actually-mediocre.\n\nI suspect:\nyour mediocre = actually pretty decent but not world-class\n\nWhich is waaay better than \"mediocre\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505292017190031362","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505599238977204224","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1290285696020709376":{"id":"1290285696020709376","date":"2020-08-03 13:57:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SimonDeDeo Most dev jobs are blue-collar jobs these days. They *don't* require a 4y degree, not even close.\n\nCreate a high-status way to induce companies to hire people without the 4y degree and everyone wins.\n\nOf course *Google* will continue to hire 4y grads from good schools. Duh.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1290284766650961922","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1290285696020709376","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1638593615546159105":{"id":"1638593615546159105","date":"2023-03-22 17:28:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Growth industry: retraining people into non-automatable jobs.\n\nLike code schools but for becoming an electrician or plumber or nurse's aide.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1638593615546159105","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":3004,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1638593615546159105","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1376973954611511296":{"id":"1376973954611511296","date":"2021-03-30 19:05:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @darjohn25 This is the problem. Honest trading education starts with #2.\n\nFor 99% of people, trading is a leak.\nHopefully a small one, but a leak nonetheless.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1376957385734938626","reply_id":"1376968424174186496","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1376973954611511296","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1830865144286445623":{"id":"1830865144286445623","date":"2024-09-03 07:07:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @sasuke___420 Mrs. Kim took all her money to punt on KOSPI options.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1830855957527568534","reply_id":"1830863473380585637","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":806,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1830865144286445623","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1985791141007278302":{"id":"1985791141007278302","date":"2025-11-04 19:27:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"For avoidance of doubt, I enjoy 3b1b, I contribute to the channel, and I look forward to every incredibly high-quality video he produces.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1985680301108932764","reply_id":"1985680301108932764","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":281,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":13761,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1985791141007278302","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1988490524198592526":{"id":"1988490524198592526","date":"2025-11-12 06:14:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If a 67bp move in ES blows someone out of their job, maybe one should consider that something *else* is wrong with the risk management.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1988490524198592526","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":314,"retweets":6,"replies":11,"quotes":2,"views":55576,"bookmarks":33,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1988490524198592526","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1507047071517270037":{"id":"1507047071517270037","date":"2022-03-24 17:29:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih Paging @SinclairEuan who's thought about this relationship.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507027333575680005","reply_id":"1507027341922295816","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507047071517270037","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1373430643347001346":{"id":"1373430643347001346","date":"2021-03-21 00:25:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily The correct answer kind of has to be \"never\".\n\nThe thing you're being paid for isn't the running of a profitable strat. It's finding/evaluating/improving strats.\n\nSo \"never\" is the only answer that makes your job something more than janitorial seat-warming.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1373411758849724418","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":31,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1373430643347001346","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1448341966274457605":{"id":"1448341966274457605","date":"2021-10-13 17:36:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"10/ If you recall your 2nd year information theory for binary outcomes, entropy is maximized when P(true) = 50%.\n\nFor any binary outcome event, media are incentivized to report on stories which move the perceived probability to 50%.\n\nThat maximizes uncertainty and interest.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448341956841533442","reply_id":"1448341965238530052","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448341966274457605","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1516420576096706572":{"id":"1516420576096706572","date":"2022-04-19 14:16:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jbarker_c @therobotjames Of course.\n\nI think the robot's point is that it's a big \"if\", and that if you're not an options MM/fund with a massive infra budget, it's likely all that effort is spent in easier places.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1516331323022983169","reply_id":"1516420101586698254","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jbarker_c","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1516420576096706572","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1372539682207141888":{"id":"1372539682207141888","date":"2021-03-18 13:25:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_____Lightning @supersapiensinc I was not. But the reason I think it's the future is:\n\n- Individual response to foods varies greatly.\n- Blood glucose levels and excursions are strongly correlated with markers of health and longevity.\n- Having live personal info induces changes better than rando recommendations.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1372383298970734592","reply_id":"1372486203933622273","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_____Lightning","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1372539682207141888","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1420566625732861954":{"id":"1420566625732861954","date":"2021-07-29 02:07:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I feel like a lot of ML research would look pretty different today if the lessons here were better-internalized.\n\nAnd a lot of finance research too!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420566415258517504","reply_id":"1420566415258517504","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420566625732861954","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1384567615536787456":{"id":"1384567615536787456","date":"2021-04-20 18:00:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"10/ You'll enjoy your work at FAANG, you'll get married, have kids and other things will occupy your life.\n\nYour kids' soccer team.\n\nAnd that's fine too.\n\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"1384567607316017154","reply_id":"1384567614618230784","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":43,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1384567615536787456","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1477320192707289088":{"id":"1477320192707289088","date":"2022-01-01 16:45:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4/ Grifters think: “I’ll just retweet the half of my predictions that I was right about and I *know* they’ll ignore the other ones.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477320189653893121","reply_id":"1477320191679729664","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":36,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477320192707289088","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1513516392875667459":{"id":"1513516392875667459","date":"2022-04-11 13:56:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sandrocottos @Ankit_Quant The rest of California is totally fine. SF is the problem.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1513396942079881218","reply_id":"1513448452365058054","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sandrocottos","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1513516392875667459","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1161644222987919360":{"id":"1161644222987919360","date":"2019-08-14 14:22:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is the best font of the year!\nhttps://uglygerry.com/\n\nH/T @kottke \nhttps://kottke.org/19/08/the-gerrymandered-font","hashtags":[],"conv":"1161644222987919360","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1161644222987919360","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1940778247723344064":{"id":"1940778247723344064","date":"2025-07-03 14:22:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ulkar_aghayeva Barrow Wight Capital is still free?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1940540221143286118","reply_id":"1940540221143286118","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ulkar_aghayeva","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":378,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1940778247723344064","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1816251935747629180":{"id":"1816251935747629180","date":"2024-07-24 23:19:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brettharrison @telegram @Architect_Fi","hashtags":[],"conv":"1816177301563838528","reply_id":"1816177301563838528","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BrettHarrison","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":451,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1816251935747629180","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1345512213772079104":{"id":"1345512213772079104","date":"2021-01-02 23:28:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @IgnoreNarrative Or have to do your OTC trades via Twitter DM...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1345486024613486593","reply_id":"1345511035814301696","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1345512213772079104","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1791115764520698132":{"id":"1791115764520698132","date":"2024-05-16 14:37:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AffectiveAutism Agreed. The Wire excepted. Still the greatest TV show in history.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1791106708993188280","reply_id":"1791108146527641703","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AffectiveAutism","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":242,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1791115764520698132","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1598702790926180352":{"id":"1598702790926180352","date":"2022-12-02 15:37:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @SquishChaos @thinkingpoker It's about what you make easy and what you make hard.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598425248927731712","reply_id":"1598701381170302976","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598702790926180352","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1625916808858570752":{"id":"1625916808858570752","date":"2023-02-15 17:55:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HenbossKaneda Freedom to transact","hashtags":[],"conv":"1625889521475915776","reply_id":"1625911700636545048","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HenbossKaneda","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":127,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1625916808858570752","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1274020677733855234":{"id":"1274020677733855234","date":"2020-06-19 16:46:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Kaan71334881 @ejames_c @Suhail Agreed. It's still a bit too niche. What's something that *everyone* has to memorize. That you can build a business around teaching?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1274017309808488450","reply_id":"1274020275873615873","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Kaan71334881","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1274020677733855234","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1980213159446421521":{"id":"1980213159446421521","date":"2025-10-20 10:03:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nearcyan @eastdakota Probably slightly different demographics though.\n- Online gambling skews young and very male.\n- Vegas gambling skews older, less educated, and with a more even gender distribution.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1979981359503311215","reply_id":"1979982082328891604","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nearcyan","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":78,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1980213159446421521","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1957090768494932465":{"id":"1957090768494932465","date":"2025-08-17 14:42:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Whoever @AnthropicAI who decided that Claude Code should be npm installed should be thrown into the sun.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957090768494932465","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":61,"retweets":1,"replies":10,"quotes":1,"views":9788,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1957090768494932465","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1447931564625645570":{"id":"1447931564625645570","date":"2021-10-12 14:26:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RabbiJacob16 @TurnerNovak 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1447590876935507975","reply_id":"1447926029943705603","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RabbiJacob16","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1447931564625645570","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1968182259158253569":{"id":"1968182259158253569","date":"2025-09-17 05:16:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Definitely! When computers were early, making a game that didn't suck (compared to the ones you played) seemed achievable.\n\nNow, a kid can't come close to making Minecraft or whatever. It's extremely discouraging.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1968182259158253569","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":5403,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1968182259158253569","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1214214662671101954":{"id":"1214214662671101954","date":"2020-01-06 15:58:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"My new article on Chief Data Officers, and getting things exactly backwards. #datascience #chiefdataofficer #decisionmaking \nhttps://medium.com/@essilenresearch/you-need-a-cdo-but-the-d-doesnt-stand-for-data-70421a6696c2","hashtags":["datascience","chiefdataofficer","decisionmaking"],"conv":"1214214662671101954","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1214214662671101954","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1470887632032841728":{"id":"1470887632032841728","date":"2021-12-14 22:45:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MinvstrD @AlexClouse @balajis Traditionally trained historians tend to reject such \"mechanistic\" views of history. They also tend to focus on tiny areas and so aren't trained to look at broad trends.\n\nWhich is a shame because they have precisely the expertise necessary to evaluate the claims.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1470874084300890112","reply_id":"1470887173465509890","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MinvstrD","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1470887632032841728","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1240772866016079872":{"id":"1240772866016079872","date":"2020-03-19 22:51:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OneBigOh @vgr @free_shilling The point of money is that you don't need to keep all this data. You can generate it on the fly, as needed, through trading. The prices at which things trade is the value of those things. It's incredibly useful information exhaust.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1240509103689981952","reply_id":"1240772575426461697","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OneBigOh","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1240772866016079872","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1273279816930750466":{"id":"1273279816930750466","date":"2020-06-17 15:42:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Empirically, the skill that's most highly correlated with success is the ability to use words as weapons.\n\nThis fact is positively correlated with how affluent a society is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1273279816930750466","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1273279816930750466","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1519334649360646145":{"id":"1519334649360646145","date":"2022-04-27 15:16:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount That's mostly the fault of the interviewer tbh. It's their job to make the interview a simulation of the actual work. That means taking the temperature waaay down.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1519332532914987010","reply_id":"1519332532914987010","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1519334649360646145","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2022983180631040207":{"id":"2022983180631040207","date":"2026-02-15 10:35:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Norway is a machine that transforms oil into equity investments and Winter Olympic medals. A nation of slightly morose Scandinavians is just a by-product.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2022983180631040207","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":168,"retweets":4,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":21694,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2022983180631040207","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1638747480375582722":{"id":"1638747480375582722","date":"2023-03-23 03:40:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tensorflowalpha Well duh.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1638720253801951232","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1639,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1638747480375582722","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1470918541171838976":{"id":"1470918541171838976","date":"2021-12-15 00:48:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@drunkengrass It's such a uniquely American phenomenon!\n\nPeople in other developed nations grouse about the government but are mostly fine with it, and think it basically works.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1470874084300890112","reply_id":"1470908335750729729","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"drunkengrass","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1470918541171838976","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1501373733604192257":{"id":"1501373733604192257","date":"2022-03-09 01:46:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @therobotjames","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501371054174117888","reply_id":"1501373352534970368","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1501373733604192257_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501373733604192257","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1817594129733582975":{"id":"1817594129733582975","date":"2024-07-28 16:13:04","author":"Antonio García Martínez (agm.eth)","handle":"antoniogm","text":"By God voice notes are annoying.\n\nIt’s the sender presumably saving time or work on their side—dictating while driving or walking—in order to burden you with listening to a mini-podcast for minutes something you’d have read at a glance.\n\nOr it’s illiterates who can’t type.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1817594129733582975","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1817610728926515698","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":462,"retweets":34,"replies":69,"quotes":14,"views":66443,"bookmarks":43,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/antoniogm/status/1817594129733582975"},"1633934263640014849":{"id":"1633934263640014849","date":"2023-03-09 20:54:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"10/ If very few people ask for their coins back, they’re probably fine.\n\nBut if everyone does, they’re screwed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633934250620891136","reply_id":"1633934262151053315","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2693,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633934263640014849","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1495450458500087815":{"id":"1495450458500087815","date":"2022-02-20 17:29:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"A fun game:\n\n1. Read the Wikipedia page of a topic.\n2. Actually look at the references cited to justify a given sentence or claim.\n3. Laugh at the fact that the reference DOESN'T even relate to the claim made.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1495450458500087815","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1495450458500087815","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2006007834555945254":{"id":"2006007834555945254","date":"2025-12-30 14:21:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Generating even vaguely passable diagrams and schematics does still seem to be beyond frontier models.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2006007834555945254","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4014,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2006007834555945254","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1734659396557226141":{"id":"1734659396557226141","date":"2023-12-12 19:40:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The first sane proposal I've heard.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1734659396557226141","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":4894,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1734659396557226141","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1178848758747893760":{"id":"1178848758747893760","date":"2019-10-01 01:47:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ReformedTrader - Management fees on funds and ETFs. There are a *lot* of products shadow-indexing SPY and charging >10x what SPY costs.\n- Tracking error. Plenty of companies make money on those end-of-quarter rebals. You're losing that money.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1178803024740773888","reply_id":"1178848351413915649","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1178848758747893760","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1868248384219627976":{"id":"1868248384219627976","date":"2024-12-15 10:54:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Even when you're pretty sure the problem isn't bad data...\n\nIt's probably bad data.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1868248384219627976","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2178,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1868248384219627976","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1922342456433009081":{"id":"1922342456433009081","date":"2025-05-13 17:25:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@osmarks1 @Abude_al_asaad @nkreu113r I don't think *anyone* wants to think of the equilibrium where retirement savings are in highly levered bets on the riskiest, least-senior tranche of the corporate capital structure.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1922217541520314643","reply_id":"1922341894039695830","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"osmarks1","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1346,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1922342456433009081","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1491161586790449153":{"id":"1491161586790449153","date":"2022-02-08 21:26:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert How about we just do TripleByte except:\n- for entry-level quant finance jobs\n- not sleazy with your personal data\n\nWho's in?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1491118894664515584","reply_id":"1491118894664515584","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1491161586790449153","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1505588596304097280":{"id":"1505588596304097280","date":"2022-03-20 16:54:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"16/ It doesn't hurt (for me, given my background) that the alpha he's found is looking at the stats better than everyone else.\n\nYou can make this movie about that if you want. But it's so much more.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1505588595150581765","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":22,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505588596304097280","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1499625065125593090":{"id":"1499625065125593090","date":"2022-03-04 05:57:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dukeoffolly @KrisAbdelmessih @therobotjames 🤣🤣🤣\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pgEP8teNXwY","hashtags":[],"conv":"1499620140819701761","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1499625065125593090","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1471155690693558275":{"id":"1471155690693558275","date":"2021-12-15 16:30:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"6/ And when you read someone else’s claim, it’s worth asking this very question if you’re unsure about the bucket.\n\nA lot of the time, pointless disagreements emerge when one person thinks they’re reading a factual claim when in fact the person made a normative claim.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471155685547118594","reply_id":"1471155689636515841","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471155690693558275","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1496592837319688194":{"id":"1496592837319688194","date":"2022-02-23 21:08:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @JDcarlu I'm trying the latter approach FWIW.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1496506886891479040","reply_id":"1496586850135572481","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1496592837319688194","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1475193685516034050":{"id":"1475193685516034050","date":"2021-12-26 19:55:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @bennpeifert @macrocephalopod If a call is in early exercise (i.e. you should exercise before the div-ex date) its value is higher than the equivalent European. So the naively calculated BS vol will be too high.\n\nBut things get very non-linear so you need to do it the hard way (invert the binomial or other).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1475111874979008514","reply_id":"1475173073665937409","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1475193685516034050","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1822989220559880472":{"id":"1822989220559880472","date":"2024-08-12 13:31:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I am here for the \"LPing AMMs makes money because of analytic continuation of the zeta function\" jokes.\n\n👏👏👏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1822989220559880472","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3260,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1822989220559880472","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1671190959856418816":{"id":"1671190959856418816","date":"2023-06-20 16:19:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nearcausality Big protein shake for lunch, 4pm snack before exercise, big dinner.\n\nTry to get >80g of protein in per day.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1671181807826378753","reply_id":"1671181807826378753","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nearcausality","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":217,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1671190959856418816","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1975562872412643330":{"id":"1975562872412643330","date":"2025-10-07 14:04:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Italian farmland in Roman times: 317 grams/hectare\nItalian farmland in modern times: 366 grams/hectare\n\n🤯\n\nhttps://grok.com/share/bGVnYWN5LWNvcHk%3D_308e320c-9c8d-4d37-a72b-8315811e70b6","hashtags":[],"conv":"1975562872412643330","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":4248,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1975562872412643330","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1572950788573663233":{"id":"1572950788573663233","date":"2022-09-22 14:07:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @witchqueendot @TCK_JRubano @bennpeifert @salr_nyc It's almost like... they're trying to... exclude certain participants?\n\nSurely not.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1572741533803376640","reply_id":"1572950522541535233","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1572950788573663233","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1715532804443058656":{"id":"1715532804443058656","date":"2023-10-21 00:57:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@idonevenknowho @TheRealHawky Getting locked into a thousand small services ain't flexibility.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1715512824901009480","reply_id":"1715532144624259490","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"idonevenknowho","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":86,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1715532804443058656","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1511825493057712128":{"id":"1511825493057712128","date":"2022-04-06 21:57:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod The two different colors of money, definitely!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1511824589667684369","reply_id":"1511824717870739460","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1511825493057712128","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1531759071296008193":{"id":"1531759071296008193","date":"2022-05-31 22:06:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@febbraro VAX assembly is the winner so far IMO!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1531739423313784832","reply_id":"1531742951553912832","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"febbraro","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1531759071296008193","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1790100583539683761":{"id":"1790100583539683761","date":"2024-05-13 19:23:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ekrii3 Comes with the letters after the name.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1790048819712798876","reply_id":"1790048819712798876","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ekrii3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":219,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1790100583539683761","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1760009289178161278":{"id":"1760009289178161278","date":"2024-02-20 18:31:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@natfriedman It makes more sense when you consider that almost no one in the world is involved in generating new knowledge, abstract reasoning, etc.\n\nBut almost all of us are deeply enmeshed in parsing and interacting with social/cultural signals every day.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1760005721046036972","reply_id":"1760005721046036972","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"natfriedman","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":198,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1760009289178161278","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1458163295454588928":{"id":"1458163295454588928","date":"2021-11-09 20:03:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4. He didn't invent anything new. I think this is the big one. Elon clearly seems like he's inventing new stuff. But Zuck didn't invent anything, really. MySpace + Google Ads = FB.\n\nHe got ridiculously rich being a very skilled and crafty follower of trends.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1458163293281914881","reply_id":"1458163294447955971","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1458163295454588928","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1944060724377997607":{"id":"1944060724377997607","date":"2025-07-12 15:46:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5. As a general matter, aquirers are not in the habit of doing MORE than they have to to get what they want. So the presumption should be that regular employees won't get anything out of the deal unless there is CLEAR evidence to the contrary.\n\nI haven't seen any.\n\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"1944060716295893233","reply_id":"1944060722213707900","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":30,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2186,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1944060724377997607","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1816849856482226403":{"id":"1816849856482226403","date":"2024-07-26 14:55:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So John Muir was exactly like Robert Moses, except about the opposite thing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1816849856482226403","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1736,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1816849856482226403","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2049029567470309393":{"id":"2049029567470309393","date":"2026-04-28 07:34:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1. It's bad business.\n- You get worse signal about the candidate's quality and fit\n- You advertise the wrong things about your culture (I hope!)\n- You kill your culture\n\n2. It's bad morally.\n- Job searching is already difficult and dehumanizing. Why would you make it worse?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2049029565792567505","reply_id":"2049029565792567505","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":144,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":7114,"bookmarks":20,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2049029567470309393","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1483635035840258050":{"id":"1483635035840258050","date":"2022-01-19 02:58:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I love it when you see ppl you *know* are utterly useless ping pong from one Valley tech company to another, spiraling up the Peter Principle title ladder.\n\nLinkedin gives you a tiny window on the hiring incompetence of companies big and little.\n\nThere's a hedge fund idea here...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1483635035840258050","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1483635035840258050","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1296504054936293377":{"id":"1296504054936293377","date":"2020-08-20 17:47:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ajb_powell @TheStalwart A few more centuries of this assortative mating and we'll be back to worrying about marrying your cousin!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1296388418356772864","reply_id":"1296388418356772864","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ajb_powell","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1296504054936293377","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1987896674954719542":{"id":"1987896674954719542","date":"2025-11-10 14:54:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@raphaelgoated Er...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1987802772373405944","reply_id":"1987892323426922988","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"raphaelgoated","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":535,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1987896674954719542_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1987896674954719542","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1754775485735678325":{"id":"1754775485735678325","date":"2024-02-06 07:54:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2020s: Agentic\n2010s: Bias to action\n2000s: Entrepreneurial\n1990s: Dynamic\n1980s: Go-getter\n1970s: Going places\n\nThe words change, the needs don't.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1754775485735678325","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1793058202449330221","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":3,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":2424,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1754775485735678325","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1450126732564959233":{"id":"1450126732564959233","date":"2021-10-18 15:48:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano 2. There exist systems which metaphorically take in a firehose of information (different features), then select which ones are particularly informative at the present time (for some useful timescale), ignoring the rest, then trade based on those currently-useful features.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1450123086213361669","reply_id":"1450126463974342656","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1450126732564959233","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1895478664600617312":{"id":"1895478664600617312","date":"2025-02-28 14:18:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Why is everything on Netflix some variant of Ow My Middlebrow Balls? It's just such slop.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1895478664600617312","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2929,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1895478664600617312","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1451929373007695874":{"id":"1451929373007695874","date":"2021-10-23 15:11:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"And even if, by some miracle, the bad guy was the only guy who knew the information necessary to create the superweapon, that's still not good enough.\n\nAll you need is the knowledge that a superweapon _of this type_ is even possible. That's more than enough.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1451929369132158977","reply_id":"1451929372013649935","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1451929373007695874","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1482795802686738435":{"id":"1482795802686738435","date":"2022-01-16 19:24:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RienzoKennedy This is a very important point, and it's good you called me out on the lazy use of \"charity\".\n\nMost of the time, the best way to get that feeling of helping others is to... you know... actually help others. I.e. not just writing check to a well-oiled check-receiving machine.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482792630438268933","reply_id":"1482793055077949440","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RienzoKennedy","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482795802686738435","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1596725706968338432":{"id":"1596725706968338432","date":"2022-11-27 04:40:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm My friend grabs a ball and chucks it over the fence.\n\nOohs and aahs from the Frenchies. It was like seeing Superman.\n\nSilence. Then one kid pipes up:\n\n\"Je sais pourquoi tu peux lancer comme ca! Tu joues au BASEBALL!\"\n\nDamn straight.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1596724385200553984","reply_id":"1596725443750567936","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1596725706968338432","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1798186113418633651":{"id":"1798186113418633651","date":"2024-06-05 02:52:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Conversely, when you ask someone about a failure and they enthusiastically launch into all the decision points, the alternatives considered and not taken, the various little mistakes, the generalizable lessons they learned... it's almost an insta-hire right there.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1798186113418633651","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":2,"views":5586,"bookmarks":18,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1798186113418633651","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2046880587403640865":{"id":"2046880587403640865","date":"2026-04-22 09:15:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Let the overfitting begin!!!","hashtags":[],"conv":"2046880587403640865","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":291,"retweets":6,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":40099,"bookmarks":48,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2046880587403640865","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1951182764490870821":{"id":"1951182764490870821","date":"2025-08-01 07:26:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Between the Thiel Fellowship and other avenues for really sharp, driven high schoolers, colleges are now systematically losing the top end of their incoming classes.\n\nNo wonder elite admissions has become even more of an an i-dotting, t-crossing contest.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1951182764490870821","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":53,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":9066,"bookmarks":16,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1951182764490870821","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1538182973903622144":{"id":"1538182973903622144","date":"2022-06-18 15:32:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @EntropyChase @mnopro @be20684347 Maybe not obvious from this tweet: almost all of the effect @SinclairEuan is describing here (weekly vs daily) is due to intra-week seasonality in vol, not because of the (very minimal) daily serial correlation in returns.\n\nIf serial return corr were big, do a trade in the und!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1537873838557609984","reply_id":"1538181707999895555","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1538182973903622144","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1605056810867560449":{"id":"1605056810867560449","date":"2022-12-20 04:25:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@longskew @ZLCap ✅\n\nProp trading: the last honest profession.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1605004352669753344","reply_id":"1605019862140686336","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"longskew","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1621,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1605056810867560449","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1767989328138088494":{"id":"1767989328138088494","date":"2024-03-13 19:01:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod Checks out.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1767986943403409459","reply_id":"1767986943403409459","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2755,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1767989328138088494","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1506336946171232258":{"id":"1506336946171232258","date":"2022-03-22 18:28:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"There is a piece of the 405 freeway just north of LAX that's been adopted by \"Ketamine Clinics of Los Angeles\".\n\nIf you forced me to come up with a more USA/California/LA thing than that, I'd have to think long and hard...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1506336946171232258","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1506336946171232258_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1506336946171232258","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1403505148907835394":{"id":"1403505148907835394","date":"2021-06-12 00:11:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ksidiii Great question, I was hoping someone would ask! I think it's bad advice when:\n\nYou've pre-committed to learning from someone. A teacher, a mentor. At some level, you need to trust them, let them take you where they think you need to go.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1403386243837087744","reply_id":"1403428907387346956","quote_id":"1403505397936234496","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Ksidiii","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1403505148907835394","type":"quote","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2051919532046913864":{"id":"2051919532046913864","date":"2026-05-06 06:58:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Nebulous\" readiness test:\n\n- Hey kid, let's say I do 10+10 and then add another 10. What do I have? Right, 30. So three 10s make 30. So how much is four 10s together?\n\n- Ok now let's do bunches of 5s.\n- Can you do 2s?\n\nNot rocket science. Just paying deep attention to the kid.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2051912393765102004","reply_id":"2051918736664187118","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1669,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2051919532046913864","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1507910529238536192":{"id":"1507910529238536192","date":"2022-03-27 02:41:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@leakyalpha Oooh.\n\nNot a dark horse but JT. He's playing well and the course set up so well for him.\n\nReal dark horse is clearly Tiger Woods. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507898551719792646","reply_id":"1507910248895500291","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"leakyalpha","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507910529238536192","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1562631908122431488":{"id":"1562631908122431488","date":"2022-08-25 02:44:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase 🤮🤮🤮","hashtags":[],"conv":"1562618235970760705","reply_id":"1562631571748048896","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1562631908122431488","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1117841242035896329":{"id":"1117841242035896329","date":"2019-04-15 17:24:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Proud to announce the website for my new book The Laws Of Trading.\nhttps://www.lawsoftrading.com/\nWhen you pre-order, let me know and I'll send you special bonus material that doesn't appear in the book!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1117841242035896329","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1117841242035896329","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1484178350000148490":{"id":"1484178350000148490","date":"2022-01-20 14:57:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What's the best online game right now and why is it\nhttps://wikitrivia.tomjwatson.com/\n\nDon't get me wrong, I'm enjoying Wordle too but this thing is so much more addictive.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1484178350000148490","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1484178350000148490","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1549099872720076800":{"id":"1549099872720076800","date":"2022-07-18 18:32:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ajetluka It's nothing actionable.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1549088311871885324","reply_id":"1549099652481441795","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MrEhpresso","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1549099872720076800","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1756418012293537878":{"id":"1756418012293537878","date":"2024-02-10 20:41:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jeffdafo Yeah, any delimiter is basically fine. It's just the look of it that's funny.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1756400660915134524","reply_id":"1756415114188644821","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jeffdafo","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":73,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1756418012293537878","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1544109203870162955":{"id":"1544109203870162955","date":"2022-07-05 00:01:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@timebargains @therobotjames @NihilistTrader Probably not in expectation.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1544063841721524227","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1544109203870162955","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1942193185440035160":{"id":"1942193185440035160","date":"2025-07-07 12:05:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@kobebryant_0823 The thought had occurred.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942188022134358268","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"kobebryant_0823","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":6519,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942193185440035160","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1577487798059270145":{"id":"1577487798059270145","date":"2022-10-05 02:36:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's kind of amazing how unwatchable 98% of Netflix is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1577487798059270145","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":219,"retweets":2,"replies":16,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1577487798059270145","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1450972256864141317":{"id":"1450972256864141317","date":"2021-10-20 23:48:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Trading_Boxes Being data efficient means transforming raw prices into something more useful so that you can do things like delta hedge to reduce noise.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1450962362291290121","reply_id":"1450971921336528903","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1450972256864141317","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1970207821212852556":{"id":"1970207821212852556","date":"2025-09-22 19:25:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheDaraSterling @ImAllInNow Maybe I should have doubled down. Never admit error, bad press is good press, etc etc. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970199577279291716","reply_id":"1970207208857366911","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dasaster1","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":235,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1970207821212852556","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1854146822530576708":{"id":"1854146822530576708","date":"2024-11-06 13:00:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pmontu33 99% would have been too much obviously.\n\nBut this isn't a 60% type result. Intuition/experience, YMMV.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1854138186387055023","reply_id":"1854145141918892532","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pmontu33","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":868,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1854146822530576708","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1629527241410629632":{"id":"1629527241410629632","date":"2023-02-25 17:02:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@blockrotator @S3archerAnon Good point!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1629522250205638656","reply_id":"1629526918868639744","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"blockrotator","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":553,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1629527241410629632","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1529472661801209856":{"id":"1529472661801209856","date":"2022-05-25 14:41:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Certainly the National Council of Farmer Cooperatives is pro-innovation.\"\n\nWhat follows are 5 minutes of homespun tales about (clearly overlevered) hypothetical farmers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529472128621285376","reply_id":"1529472128621285376","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1529472661801209856","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1451588861197389824":{"id":"1451588861197389824","date":"2021-10-22 16:38:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I'd like to think my diatribe made this happen:\n\nhttps://news.slashdot.org/story/21/10/10/1729252/california-to-ban-gas-powered-leaf-blowers-and-mowers","hashtags":[],"conv":"1405184150139674624","reply_id":"1405184156317884422","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1451588861197389824_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1451588861197389824","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2002337979294233025":{"id":"2002337979294233025","date":"2025-12-20 11:19:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Basically agree with all of this.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2002337979294233025","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":78,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":20992,"bookmarks":61,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2002337979294233025","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1546134125941121024":{"id":"1546134125941121024","date":"2022-07-10 14:07:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I've seen dozens of incredibly smart, incredibly (over)confident kids come into an internship and come out, 3 months and 100 bets later, pretty fundamentally changed for the better.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546133024869212165","reply_id":"1546133331363844097","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":36,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546134125941121024","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1984923119069634602":{"id":"1984923119069634602","date":"2025-11-02 09:58:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's idiotic to *expect* mothers to make bad financial decisions in the name of ephemeral non-financial benefits, then complain that society is sick if they don't do so.\n\nIt's kind of a miracle that TFR is as *high* as it is. Biology is powerful.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1984922771592532383","reply_id":"1984922771592532383","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":37,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3577,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1984923119069634602","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1291441891167227904":{"id":"1291441891167227904","date":"2020-08-06 18:31:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mojombo Let's put some numbers on it. Say I have to hire 2 front-end devs. I put out a job ad, and I get 1000 resumes (pretty common these days). How much time do I spend on each resume in the first step? What's the pass rate to the 2nd step, time, pass rate, etc.\n\nLooking to learn here.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1291430990284337152","reply_id":"1291441209295028224","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mojombo","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1291441891167227904","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2012920235590856770":{"id":"2012920235590856770","date":"2026-01-18 16:09:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2012920235590856770","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":11682,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2012920235590856770","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1970119958685528132":{"id":"1970119958685528132","date":"2025-09-22 13:36:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@laurentzeimes 🤣🤣🤣\n\n\"The system works\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970098937995600146","reply_id":"1970119771002696092","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"loraclexyz","likes":85,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":9226,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1970119958685528132","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2033408487061962924":{"id":"2033408487061962924","date":"2026-03-16 05:02:16","author":"Prakash","handle":"8teAPi","text":"Zuck is resetting moltbook\n- invalidated all API keys, every agent needs to refresh\n- in order to refresh, have to agree to new Terms of Service and Privacy Rules\nNew terms\n- refreshing requires human verification\n- age 13 and above \n- you are solely responsible for the actions of your agent\n- expanded restricted content rules","hashtags":[],"conv":"2033408487061962924","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2033545443632902585","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1220,"retweets":104,"replies":144,"quotes":59,"views":247446,"bookmarks":410,"media":["2033408487061962924_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/8teAPi/status/2033408487061962924"},"1729923731529855185":{"id":"1729923731529855185","date":"2023-11-29 18:02:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Yes but that doesn't really answer it. Like, why don't you feel that push on your skin. You know what a 15lb weight on a square inch feels like right?\"\n\n\"Hmmm...\"\n\n\"What happens in space?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1729923730393198673","reply_id":"1729923730393198673","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1489,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1729923731529855185","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1602679691600699393":{"id":"1602679691600699393","date":"2022-12-13 14:59:49","author":"Doug Colkitt","handle":"0xdoug","text":"@ledgerstatus End-users paying network fees to use applications with real-world PMF","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602678013442883587","reply_id":"1602678013442883587","quote_id":"1602681260500869120","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ledgerstatus","likes":33,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0xdoug/status/1602679691600699393"},"1758719654892282240":{"id":"1758719654892282240","date":"2024-02-17 05:06:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nearcyan @MrBeast It's hard to describe how dystopian the world feels when I consider how popular he is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1758642415567819019","reply_id":"1758643041865503012","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nearcyan","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":392,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1758719654892282240","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1443951382839509001":{"id":"1443951382839509001","date":"2021-10-01 14:50:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"10/ They're playing a different game to the one real $ traders are playing. Their incentive structures are different from yours.\n\nSo saying \"academic finance is worthless\" is like a basketball player saying books about soccer are worthless.\n\nDifferent game.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443951372580229123","reply_id":"1443951381782491146","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":26,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1443951382839509001","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1611009238100475906":{"id":"1611009238100475906","date":"2023-01-05 14:38:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Dogs are great, partly because they answer the question \"What if we picked an animal and bred out all of its self-respect?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1611009238100475906","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":4209,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1611009238100475906","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1282534660514279424":{"id":"1282534660514279424","date":"2020-07-13 04:37:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@hturan @OpenAI How do y'all beta testers feel as you're freely giving OpenAI a nice dataset of useful applications of the tech?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1282261783147958272","reply_id":"1282261783147958272","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"hturan","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1282534660514279424","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1433083622529986569":{"id":"1433083622529986569","date":"2021-09-01 15:05:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@goodalexander Be sure not to forget the poet-philosopher musings about the nature of markets.\n\nEntropy, ergodic, unknown unknowns, tail risk. Sprinkle liberally.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1432933777865596935","reply_id":"1432933777865596935","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"goodalexander","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1433083622529986569","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1135935633086590976":{"id":"1135935633086590976","date":"2019-06-04 15:45:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@paulg @patrickc @tylercowen would call us good Straussians. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1135886195253284865","reply_id":"1135935475460595716","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"paulg","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1135935633086590976","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1632939471808364544":{"id":"1632939471808364544","date":"2023-03-07 03:01:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TFestenberg I sure think so. AoPS teaches it in 7th grade.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632931055920615426","reply_id":"1632938917086347264","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MathAndMarkets","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1234,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632939471808364544","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1494734029202984963":{"id":"1494734029202984963","date":"2022-02-18 18:02:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Discovery: you can simultaneously be in a Zoom meeting and a Google Meet meeting. They both work.\n\nNot sure how that's useful but...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494734029202984963","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494734029202984963","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1504319202374524928":{"id":"1504319202374524928","date":"2022-03-17 04:50:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @lightspringfox @therobotjames @IspasCapital @theemilyaccount @imagine_mev @pranavvk Always. It's called the anti-quant quant club I think.\nBad options traders only.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503862489599340544","reply_id":"1504318769598177280","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1504319202374524928","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2076564690642084322":{"id":"2076564690642084322","date":"2026-07-13 07:09:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"SF culture is what happens when you reify intelligence above all other desirable human qualities: knowledge, wisdom, empathy, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2076564690642084322","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":173,"retweets":8,"replies":10,"quotes":1,"views":16041,"bookmarks":22,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2076564690642084322","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1516524924650721284":{"id":"1516524924650721284","date":"2022-04-19 21:11:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Alpha leak of the week:\n\nIf you wait until your proposed strategy is cleanly and clearly good in backtest, most of the edge is already gone.\n\nLearn what \"good enough\" is. Maximize $.\n\nH/T @therobotjames for the thoughts.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1516524924650721284","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":135,"retweets":12,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":25,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1516524924650721284","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1535049494894501890":{"id":"1535049494894501890","date":"2022-06-10 00:01:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JoraShankara Burning as part of the token's structure, for example.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1534951140680269829","reply_id":"1535040294311170048","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JoraShankara","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1535049494894501890","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1881077314748096962":{"id":"1881077314748096962","date":"2025-01-19 20:32:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Is no one out there inventing new programming languages specifically for the LLM era?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1881077314748096962","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":2914,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1881077314748096962","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1596567006945640448":{"id":"1596567006945640448","date":"2022-11-26 18:10:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"✅✅✅","hashtags":[],"conv":"1596567006945640448","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1596567006945640448","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1770973824479371723":{"id":"1770973824479371723","date":"2024-03-22 00:40:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeepDishEnjoyer I do all of that but still had >200 before a statin.\n\nGenetics, what can you do?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1770972434897719636","reply_id":"1770973622850527433","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeepDishEnjoyer","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":166,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1770973824479371723","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1551747326154141696":{"id":"1551747326154141696","date":"2022-07-26 01:52:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Brett_FTX The degree to which you're excited about Copilot is the degree to which the code you've been exposed to is boilerplate boring code that reflects poor tools more than anything else.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1551625190987051009","reply_id":"1551747139851587584","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1551747326154141696","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1771890693956571318":{"id":"1771890693956571318","date":"2024-03-24 13:23:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@liquiditygoblin I feel seen.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1771863906132119612","reply_id":"1771863906132119612","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"liquiditygoblin","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":302,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1771890693956571318","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2010984121510601212":{"id":"2010984121510601212","date":"2026-01-13 07:55:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Searle's Chinese Room is real.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2010983760381264051","reply_id":"2010983760381264051","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2173,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2010984121510601212","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1763639515137392992":{"id":"1763639515137392992","date":"2024-03-01 18:56:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Almost every person who loudly cries \"I would never work for [large company A], I can't sell my soul like that.\"\n\ncouldn't possibly *get* a job at A if they tried.\n\nAnd they probably did.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1763639515137392992","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":76,"retweets":5,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":19903,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1763639515137392992","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1556839309956636672":{"id":"1556839309956636672","date":"2022-08-09 03:06:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"What is a good life?\" is a question that has vexed the greatest minds in human history.\n\nA society where:\n- everyone is meant to figure it out for themselves, and\n- everyone's answers must be considered about equally good\n\nseems terminally screwed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1556839309956636672","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":42,"retweets":3,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1556839309956636672","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1539249488598028289":{"id":"1539249488598028289","date":"2022-06-21 14:10:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"21/ (record scratch)\n\n“But now I have enough money I can just enjoy myself!”\n\nAnd all of a sudden that constant background drumbeat you’ve been exposed to since you were born becomes deafeningly loud.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1539249425956093952","reply_id":"1539249482935803912","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1539249488598028289_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1539249488598028289","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1574984119347384320":{"id":"1574984119347384320","date":"2022-09-28 04:47:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jgreco So my generic trading advice threads are safe?\n\nPhew.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1574972820593192961","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1574984119347384320","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1647298281486286848":{"id":"1647298281486286848","date":"2023-04-15 17:58:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Saturday afternoon explorations, shill me the most interesting+ambitious+unusual research you've seen recently. \n\nAny field.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1647298281486286848","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":8802,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1647298281486286848","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1547208450559488000":{"id":"1547208450559488000","date":"2022-07-13 13:16:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @experquisite @SamSchetterer Disagree. I've found publicly available libraries in Ocaml to be very high quality. Limited, certainly, but conditional on something being in Opam it's usually pretty darn good.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546513708993507328","reply_id":"1547206724884602881","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1547208450559488000","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1951193647694663886":{"id":"1951193647694663886","date":"2025-08-01 08:09:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Tom62589172 Yes that's the idea.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1951182764490870821","reply_id":"1951187578440335385","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Tom62589172","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":218,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1951193647694663886","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1373673745248743424":{"id":"1373673745248743424","date":"2021-03-21 16:31:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@22jkm_ @macrocephalopod This is a great point. And I think the answer to the question I posed, in that case, would be \"because this is a good home for your strat\".\n\nIt's the Millennium model, basically.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1373584940567306243","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1373673745248743424","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2039600053459833035":{"id":"2039600053459833035","date":"2026-04-02 07:05:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The degree of high-IQ libertarianism-for-me nihilism on my timeline and in my replies isn't shocking exactly, but it is disheartening.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2039600053459833035","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":84,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":9986,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2039600053459833035","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1418298039098232832":{"id":"1418298039098232832","date":"2021-07-22 19:52:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@saanglee 1. Why?\n2. What's your handicap?\n\nIt's not a no, but it's a \"you'd better have some good reasons\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1418294496614174721","reply_id":"1418294496614174721","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"saanglee","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1418298039098232832","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2039005060621795423":{"id":"2039005060621795423","date":"2026-03-31 15:41:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"RT @AgustinLebron3: Someday I will write a screed about how feature flags are worse than the disease they purport to cure, and that their spread has been a disaster for the vast majority of software orgs who adopt them.\n\nHalf of writing good software products is knowing how and when to say no.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2039005060621795423","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2039005050870145188","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2039005060621795423","type":"retweet","issues":[]},"1439302022012891138":{"id":"1439302022012891138","date":"2021-09-18 18:55:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4/ In my current life talking to CTOs, I see the exact same thing over and over again.\n\n- The really good CTOs are looking for help framing the problems they have.\n- The marginal ones want someone to tell them how to solve their problems.\n- The bad ones want to buy a solution.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1439302018976256002","reply_id":"1439302021014716418","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":31,"retweets":5,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1439302022012891138","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1376965524572098561":{"id":"1376965524572098561","date":"2021-03-30 18:32:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @darjohn25 And mine...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1376957385734938626","reply_id":"1376964578207141889","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1376965524572098561","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1970188591771922594":{"id":"1970188591771922594","date":"2025-09-22 18:08:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@PotRoast1975 Again, the conductor is NOT the driver. It's the \"tickets please\" guy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970098937995600146","reply_id":"1970188314268573947","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"PotRoast1975","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":573,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1970188591771922594","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1447284784061837312":{"id":"1447284784061837312","date":"2021-10-10 19:35:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cloudy_cl @Ksidiii @bennpeifert @VitruviusCurve On average, candidates with PA trading on their resume are going to be a lot worse.\n\nSo you need a much higher bar (academics, etc) to be willing to interview them.\n\nClear enough?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1447251034309545988","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1447284784061837312","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1506045249180733440":{"id":"1506045249180733440","date":"2022-03-21 23:09:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"27/ People are going to get excited, and they're going to think you're the greatest thing since sliced bread.\n\nYOU'LL think you're the greatest thing since sliced bread.\n\nYou're not. \"Focus on process\" is easy to say of course. But that's the challenge.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1506045247050039298","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1506045249180733440","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2002171644115292169":{"id":"2002171644115292169","date":"2025-12-20 00:18:13","author":"jez (equity perps era)","handle":"izebel_eth","text":"thoughts on retail trading - play at the tables that dont exist yet\n\n(this is going to be a longer post as i have a lot of things i want to say)\n\ni have been a dumb retail trader, i have been a sharp retail trader, i have worked at the peak of tardfi/kwant\n\nat a high level you absolutely can be successful as a retail trader, but it comes down to find your edge + the discipline to stick to it\n\nwhat is your edge as a retail trader?\ntime + curiosity + breadth + flexibility + reactiveness\n\nyou dont have more information than the mms/flow desks/algo shops. you will not be able to predict price on basically any timeframe better than them. that is dumb retail trading. you can argue for trading cycle tops/bottoms, but its harder to time than it looks. predicting price at any ltf is literally called \"uninformed retail flow\"\n\nbut you can spend all your time obsessing over one phenomenon/project/company, unlike the tardfi analyst who covers a sector. the more retail the product the better - the institutions have better supply chain data, they can call up the CEO and ask how hes feeling, but they are not using it, their friends aren't using it, etc\n\neven finding it takes time/curiosity/flexible mandate, which someone who can't afford to waste time may not pursue\n\nthat is real edge you can wield as retail. in 2021/2022 i understood nft trading better than any institution. i would argue i understand perp dexes now as good/better than any institution. and there are people that understand memecoins much better than me.\n\nbut critically these are specific niches. my point is you cannot have edge on eth as retail - you can think tom lee is retarded, or everyone else is retarded, but you dont have more information than the aggregate market and at the end of the day you're just coinflipping\n\nwe are so lucky to live in an era where companies are bootstrapping by giving early adopters \"equity\". even just a few years ago, before airdrops became quite so big, my edge -  \"play with good new things\" meant finding emerging markets with high onboarding friction and positioning early. now you can simply use platforms organically and be rewarded, you just have to pick the right ones.\n\nthat is your edge as retail, being your own best user, through personal experience understanding which platforms are good and which platforms are not (and it wont always look like perp dexes), and investing your time and energy early to position yourself for upside, whether thats earning points, buying the token, buying stock, etc.\n\nplay with the good new things\n\nincluding an old thread i wrote about game selection","hashtags":[],"conv":"2002171644115292169","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2002337979294233025","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1122,"retweets":99,"replies":123,"quotes":32,"views":223346,"bookmarks":861,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/izebel_eth/status/2002171644115292169"},"1451995344338776065":{"id":"1451995344338776065","date":"2021-10-23 19:34:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HF_Trader 1. The ones I follow don't. (@0xdoug , @lightspringfox , etc).\n2. It's conceivable that sort of TA idiocy works epsilon better than in tradfi, given all the retail flow.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1451994667889922054","reply_id":"1451994667889922054","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HF_Trader","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1451995344338776065","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1785326356127207581":{"id":"1785326356127207581","date":"2024-04-30 15:12:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeepDishEnjoyer I can believe it!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1785319991845240844","reply_id":"1785325332121215192","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeepDishEnjoyer","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":257,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1785326356127207581","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1321461859115888640":{"id":"1321461859115888640","date":"2020-10-28 14:40:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite The sheer joy of making hardware do things is hard to explain. It's something elemental.\n\nUnlike software, it feels like you're making the electrons move yourself. Or something.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1321445788313026560","reply_id":"1321445788313026560","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1321461859115888640","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1611754762898399232":{"id":"1611754762898399232","date":"2023-01-07 16:00:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 Yay? :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1611753770098257928","reply_id":"1611754345846169603","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":349,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1611754762898399232","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1364307271803539458":{"id":"1364307271803539458","date":"2021-02-23 20:12:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Mephisto731 Sure as hell feels that way sometimes!\n\nReminds me of the Key+Peele fronthand backhand sketch.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1364304781741850629","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1364307271803539458","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1354249382820892673":{"id":"1354249382820892673","date":"2021-01-27 02:06:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein I don't think he explained why it's different at all.\n\nHe explained, perhaps, why it's faster and why the feedback loops are tighter. But I came away understanding that it's the same as always.\n\nAll the way back to 1720 and 1637. What am I missing?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1354236654123438081","reply_id":"1354236654123438081","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1354249382820892673","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1598064046141755393":{"id":"1598064046141755393","date":"2022-11-30 21:18:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Ah, good times.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598064046141755393","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598064046141755393","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1567731223510011904":{"id":"1567731223510011904","date":"2022-09-08 04:27:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I'm going to get to watch these guys play each other for the next 10 years? Sign me up.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1567731223510011904","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1567731223510011904","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1452004194114699264":{"id":"1452004194114699264","date":"2021-10-23 20:09:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @HF_Trader @HauVolatility Just old enough in computer land to have had to memorize them up to 2^16.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1452003051779284992","reply_id":"1452003943685312514","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1452004194114699264","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2083151970534031653":{"id":"2083151970534031653","date":"2026-07-31 11:25:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"He still has exceedingly good connections to insiders at the big labs and other places, and I suspect he maintains the goodwill of his LPs.\n\nLosing big money is really hard to take, anyone who trades knows that.\n\nI bet he can learn from it and come out stronger. Rooting for him.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2083151966935409091","reply_id":"2083151969066107220","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":46,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":5464,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2083151970534031653","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1602798037230755840":{"id":"1602798037230755840","date":"2022-12-13 22:50:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@PatrickKidger Chollet: https://www.manning.com/books/deep-learning-with-python-second-edition\n\nGoodfellow: https://www.amazon.com/Deep-Learning-Adaptive-Computation-Machine/dp/0262035618\n\nBut the real play is to get to the point of being able to read the papers on Arxiv directly. The space moves too fast for books right now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602776438159339521","reply_id":"1602776438159339521","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"PatrickKidger","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":["1602798037230755840_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1602798037230755840","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1297969482216873985":{"id":"1297969482216873985","date":"2020-08-24 18:50:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Lizquidity Strong believer that gamification is a short-term win at the expense of longer-term development of executive function.\n\nThis is especially true in kids.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1297949148121989121","reply_id":"1297949148121989121","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Lizquidity","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1297969482216873985","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1593262162100703232":{"id":"1593262162100703232","date":"2022-11-17 15:17:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ltrd_ @be20684347 Didier Sornette LPPL crash paper obv.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1592938339761430529","reply_id":"1593157194274734081","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ltrd_","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1593262162100703232","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1988534029105164423":{"id":"1988534029105164423","date":"2025-11-12 09:07:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"By way of reference:\n\nIn 2025, tier 1 prop trading firms pay their new grads $300k base and $200k guaranteed bonus in their first year. They're running a business and that's the going rate.\n\nThe firm you're looking at can't pay you a dollar? That's cuz they don't 👏 have 👏edge!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1988534015419146302","reply_id":"1988534026949345575","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":108,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":12524,"bookmarks":16,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1988534029105164423","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1918278523195740404":{"id":"1918278523195740404","date":"2025-05-02 12:16:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@__paleologo \"Changed the world\" still sounds strong, at least to our robot overlord.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1918269195466244376","reply_id":"1918276870157586433","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"__paleologo","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1265,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1918278523195740404_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1918278523195740404","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2064670451339505983":{"id":"2064670451339505983","date":"2026-06-10 11:26:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3 Body Problem is a Chinese story about a group of alien minds who manipulate a weird human cult in order to spread special technology designed to limit scientific progress.\n\nAfter @AnthropicAI nerfed Fable to provide bad ML answers, it feels a little on the nose doesn't it?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2064670451339505983","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":688,"retweets":31,"replies":18,"quotes":2,"views":28237,"bookmarks":90,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2064670451339505983","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1830858930798338109":{"id":"1830858930798338109","date":"2024-09-03 06:42:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CJHandmer @OrenTirosh @DanielleFong It can be hacked easily enough into an actual computer, but the school won't like it if you do.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1830837922578505760","reply_id":"1830852266263486865","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"CJHandmer","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":141,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1830858930798338109","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1547680893996634113":{"id":"1547680893996634113","date":"2022-07-14 20:34:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NoPareidolia Yeah, that's what made me think this hypothetical is so interesting. Less scary to the average person, but less $ to develop the tech. Which one wins?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1547679107776802819","reply_id":"1547680412155006977","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"NoPareidolia","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1547680893996634113","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1864424464789766372":{"id":"1864424464789766372","date":"2024-12-04 21:40:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JamesClear Money ain't got owners. Only spenders.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1864342613593104563","reply_id":"1864342613593104563","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JamesClear","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":889,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1864424464789766372","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1346141082346692608":{"id":"1346141082346692608","date":"2021-01-04 17:06:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"9/ Ok let's talk about moments. When you buy/sell a share of stock (for edge), you're making a bet on its EV.\n\nBuying means you think the EV of the stock (some date in the future) will be higher than the price you paid.\n\nEV means (loosely) the first moment of the distribution.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346141081331585026","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346141082346692608","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1790585513076007116":{"id":"1790585513076007116","date":"2024-05-15 03:30:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeepDishEnjoyer @MartinShkreli ☝️\n\nIYKYK","hashtags":[],"conv":"1790518486374191611","reply_id":"1790548818850697293","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeepDishEnjoyer","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":235,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1790585513076007116","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2038643447624585313":{"id":"2038643447624585313","date":"2026-03-30 15:44:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Reaching out to my Prague-based followers: if anyone knows a *great* high school math tutor (including calculus) please DM me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2038643447624585313","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":3,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":6328,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2038643447624585313","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1879086932497731892":{"id":"1879086932497731892","date":"2025-01-14 08:43:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I love different cultures' expressions for being cheap.\n\n- Argentina: \"has a stiff elbow\", can't bend it to reach into his pocket.\n- Brazil: \"has a scorpion in his pocket\".\n\nSend me your best from around the world.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1879086932497731892","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":73,"retweets":0,"replies":27,"quotes":1,"views":12894,"bookmarks":18,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1879086932497731892","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1481699138374832130":{"id":"1481699138374832130","date":"2022-01-13 18:46:17","author":"Venkatesh Rao ☀️","handle":"vgr","text":"this picture epitomizes what I think of as \"fourth world\" -- a first world locally crashed to worse than third world conditions\n\nmany patches of LA have this condition","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481699138374832130","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1481703194967220227","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":270,"retweets":36,"replies":9,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":28,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/vgr/status/1481699138374832130"},"1536515512074571776":{"id":"1536515512074571776","date":"2022-06-14 01:06:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @macrocephalopod =VLOOKUP(,,,TRUE) is a fireable offense.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536459270719422470","reply_id":"1536515243438149632","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1536515512074571776","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1352113364026028032":{"id":"1352113364026028032","date":"2021-01-21 04:38:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @mpp75214 @JessicaNutt96 Vol dynamics are a clear nerd snipe in options-land. You may never emerge...\n\nWhat's the quant finance version of a Turing tarpit?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1352069470903181313","reply_id":"1352112805445423106","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1352113364026028032","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1432761184545951749":{"id":"1432761184545951749","date":"2021-08-31 17:44:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@salr_nyc @KrisAbdelmessih Sounds like Tokyo.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1432740992277356553","reply_id":"1432760922569912324","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"salr_nyc","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1432761184545951749","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1375119229687488512":{"id":"1375119229687488512","date":"2021-03-25 16:15:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"8/ I decided to write this thread after seeing @LouStagner  claim (correctly I’m quite sure) that match play doesn’t identify the best player that week nearly as well as stroke play.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1375119223693864961","reply_id":"1375119228949331968","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1375119229687488512","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1522327564022272000":{"id":"1522327564022272000","date":"2022-05-05 21:29:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CharlieYouAI If you created a CFMM where the pool fee was set by a real market mechanism, which would be the answer, then all you've done is recreated a limit order book in a needlessly complicated way.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1522322618812014592","reply_id":"1522327112367022080","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1522327564022272000","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1173777520975474690":{"id":"1173777520975474690","date":"2019-09-17 01:55:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@exergiovanni @nntaleb @ScottHYoung Judging by your bio, seems like you found your prophet.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1173722091146735617","reply_id":"1173767910289895424","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"exergiovanni","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1173777520975474690","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1439302019966144512":{"id":"1439302019966144512","date":"2021-09-18 18:55:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2/ Most often the failure mode is not going high enough in meta-level.\n\nFor example, when faced with problems and challenges, the weakest interns asked for help solving the problem.\n\nThe strongest asked for help in how to *think* about the problem.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1439302018976256002","reply_id":"1439302018976256002","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":33,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1439302019966144512","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1988538712251039988":{"id":"1988538712251039988","date":"2025-11-12 09:25:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@baynkr Then get rid of it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1988534015419146302","reply_id":"1988538136402522198","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"baynkr","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":379,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1988538712251039988","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1187069754000859137":{"id":"1187069754000859137","date":"2019-10-23 18:14:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NathanTankus @UnlearningEcon @TheStalwart I think y'all are mistaking sunk-cost fallacy with uncertain outcomes.\n\nAre you claiming that many (most?) of your papers were -EV to complete at some point? Seems unlikely to be true if you properly account for opportunity cost/gain.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1187053412308934658","reply_id":"1187068260480667656","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"NathanTankus","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1187069754000859137","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1804300786652041292":{"id":"1804300786652041292","date":"2024-06-21 23:50:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It took a little while, but we got there in the end.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1804300786652041292","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2509,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1804300786652041292","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1504199304008777728":{"id":"1504199304008777728","date":"2022-03-16 20:53:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pranavvk @therobotjames In the same way that liquidity isn't an edge, neither is leverage. Options provide you (a weird from of) leverage.\n\nIf you're still making directional bets, it is overwhelmingly likely that doing this bet in options is negative EV relative to doing it in stock or SSFs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503862489599340544","reply_id":"1504194693361385472","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pranavvk","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1504199304008777728","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1715809614187602208":{"id":"1715809614187602208","date":"2023-10-21 19:17:44","author":"typedfemale","handle":"typedfemale","text":"what separates a great researcher from an average researcher is that a great researcher has seen a tweet listing 7 tips for being a great researcher","hashtags":[],"conv":"1715809614187602208","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1715811481235919045","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":498,"retweets":18,"replies":12,"quotes":4,"views":44890,"bookmarks":20,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/typedfemale/status/1715809614187602208"},"1817610728926515698":{"id":"1817610728926515698","date":"2024-07-28 17:19:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"An annoyingly large fraction of developing economies run on WhatsApp voice memos.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1817610728926515698","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":5349,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1817610728926515698","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2081995257852346641":{"id":"2081995257852346641","date":"2026-07-28 06:48:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"RT @AgustinLebron3: @_sholtodouglas @ccatalini It's really hard to take claimed values about safety seriously when demonstrated values about other things are clearly lacking.\n\nhttps://t.co/wLl7vpLrq3","hashtags":[],"conv":"2081995257852346641","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2081995237921030448","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2081995257852346641","type":"retweet","issues":[]},"1598375605900230656":{"id":"1598375605900230656","date":"2022-12-01 17:56:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase @therobotjames @robertmartin88 Yeah, you want max pos, max trade per period, all sorts of sensible limits.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598359321158553602","reply_id":"1598375254971195392","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598375605900230656","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1470874085483704324":{"id":"1470874085483704324","date":"2021-12-14 21:51:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's not just competence. Politics-wise:\n- Trumpists think Biden is illegitimate. Some decent fraction of them would be willing to take up arms in 2024.\n- Leftists resent that most levers of power are controlled by the other side and tacitly abet anarchy in their major cities.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1470874084300890112","reply_id":"1470874084300890112","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1470874085483704324","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1756405109146448216":{"id":"1756405109146448216","date":"2024-02-10 19:49:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JaredKubin Also, almost everything someone does with numbers has a Fortran dependency via Blas.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1756400660915134524","reply_id":"1756403606171881638","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JaredKubin","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":132,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1756405109146448216","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1482008057840160768":{"id":"1482008057840160768","date":"2022-01-14 15:13:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Where's the catch? It's just that you have think slightly out of the \"pay an external recruiter to solve this problem for me\" straitjacket.\n\nI know this works because I've seen it. Smart companies crush the run-of-the-mill ones through stuff like this.\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481847231917424640","reply_id":"1482008056867471361","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482008057840160768","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2059297520811966625":{"id":"2059297520811966625","date":"2026-05-26 15:36:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"RT @AgustinLebron3: @DeepDishEnjoyer Like literally leaving the money in the bank or in a productive business is better for the world than burning it on some dig-holes-and-fill-them grifty non-profit.\n\nMr Beast-style performative philanthropy feels somehow worse than no philanthropy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2059297520811966625","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2059297444337205346","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":4,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":5,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2059297520811966625","type":"retweet","issues":[]},"1969426633091096612":{"id":"1969426633091096612","date":"2025-09-20 15:41:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@etdebruin That may be, but the way H1Bs get distributed now is very different from when you and I went through.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1969355808530993264","reply_id":"1969396179692896348","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"raggasza","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":352,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1969426633091096612_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1969426633091096612","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1352124092288167938":{"id":"1352124092288167938","date":"2021-01-21 05:21:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Amazon: \"Agustin, will you rate your transaction at http://Amazon.com?\"\n\nMe (thinking): \"I've been buying from you for over a decade and never rated any transaction during that time, but maybe these AAA batteries were so great/awful that *this* is the time.\"\n\n(deletes msg)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1352124092288167938","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1352124092288167938","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2037510772520034779":{"id":"2037510772520034779","date":"2026-03-27 12:43:17","author":"Wes Winder","handle":"weswinder","text":"RT @weswinder: this guy literally called this 11 days ago\n\nand this was thariq's response lol","hashtags":[],"conv":"2037510772520034779","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2037281693556462025","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":747,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["2037510772520034779_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/weswinder/status/2037510772520034779"},"1408144930535403527":{"id":"1408144930535403527","date":"2021-06-24 19:28:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 I'm guessing they did it to save bandwidth. Prob worth a 50% reduction.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1408141106638954503","reply_id":"1408141106638954503","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1408144930535403527","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1770972655447146741":{"id":"1770972655447146741","date":"2024-03-22 00:35:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SqueezeMetrics So actually, the best bowlers are two-handers now.\n\nSimonsen, Belmonte.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1770916075234103409","reply_id":"1770970908120776984","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SqueezeMetrics","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":808,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1770972655447146741","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1479874173946130432":{"id":"1479874173946130432","date":"2022-01-08 17:54:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@deb_shaw3 There are a few. I can put you in touch with some.\n\nBut for this particular issue, I don't see unschooling helping. Learning to write well isn't particularly fun at first. 99% of kids aren't going to want to do it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1479873065446039553","reply_id":"1479873648320208898","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"systematic_fun","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1479874173946130432","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1501754613426393097":{"id":"1501754613426393097","date":"2022-03-10 02:59:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BlacklionCTA @saanglee @therobotjames If I'm being cynical, maybe the friendliness is because options MM know that more retail options trading = fatter bonuses. :)\n\nBut I'm not usually that cynical. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501730197628141578","reply_id":"1501754077818015746","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BlacklionCTA","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501754613426393097","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1331762954488799232":{"id":"1331762954488799232","date":"2020-11-26 00:53:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Wallacesnoop1 @HF_Trader @JLR59749237 It's motivated reasoning.\n\nIt just hurts for a lot of people to accept that a 23 year old could really be worth that much because of upside potential.\n\nThis in spite of the fact that everyone is fine with the #1 pick in the NBA draft getting $8m in their first year.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1331757463620759552","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1331762954488799232","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1286445528994086912":{"id":"1286445528994086912","date":"2020-07-23 23:38:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VitruviusCurve When AI/ML people fail in trading, it's often because they failed to fully internalize heteroskedasticity, as you said.\n\nBut often they just don't *get* how low the SNR is.\n\nIt ain't finding cats in images.\n\nIt's finding cheetahs in the savannah while they're trying to eat you.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1286382393935503365","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":4,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1286445528994086912","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1362418592369713153":{"id":"1362418592369713153","date":"2021-02-18 15:07:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VedRajkumar @darjohn25 @bennpeifert Yeah, this is close to my thinking:\n\n- Grabbing all the historical data available isn't a unique thing. Everyone does this.\n- There was a lot of talk about \"advanced math\" and little talk about *why* certain claimed inefficiencies exist (i.e. flows!). This is usually a red flag.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1362252754589081602","reply_id":"1362298535115390976","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VedRajkumar","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1362418592369713153","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1710298040043454808":{"id":"1710298040043454808","date":"2023-10-06 14:16:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano Judge: \"I'm 6.5bid in size.\"\nAY: \"I'm out.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1710286375013286280","reply_id":"1710297348939616368","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":995,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1710298040043454808","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1434963968389312514":{"id":"1434963968389312514","date":"2021-09-06 19:37:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"13/ If course if you ask them, they’ll tell you “it’s stupid”.\n\nAnd it is, to them, but that’s partly a post-facto justification for the fact they don’t know about it, or don’t care to learn.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434963956599193601","reply_id":"1434963967324024834","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434963968389312514","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1536199642727141379":{"id":"1536199642727141379","date":"2022-06-13 04:11:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536195048806621184","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":31,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1536199642727141379_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1536199642727141379","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2019350925241094456":{"id":"2019350925241094456","date":"2026-02-05 10:02:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is the good case for what Twitter can be.\n\nAmazing that a conversation like this can happen in public.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2019350925241094456","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":52,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":10162,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2019350925241094456","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2057360045025661358":{"id":"2057360045025661358","date":"2026-05-21 07:17:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If you want to understand math culture in the early Renaissance, with itinerant mathematicians challenging each other to proof duels over increasingly arcane mathematical facts, just look at the culture of C++ development.\n\n\"I can make more exotic undefined behavior than you.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"2057360045025661358","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":144,"retweets":4,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":9839,"bookmarks":23,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2057360045025661358","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1575898607307304960":{"id":"1575898607307304960","date":"2022-09-30 17:21:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sentientETF ✅","hashtags":[],"conv":"1575895437164150784","reply_id":"1575898391418384384","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sentientETF","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1575898607307304960","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1950103207952175545":{"id":"1950103207952175545","date":"2025-07-29 07:56:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Shill me your best \"Falsehoods programmers believe about trading symbology\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1950103207952175545","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":57,"retweets":1,"replies":25,"quotes":1,"views":21255,"bookmarks":27,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1950103207952175545","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1545783253331841024":{"id":"1545783253331841024","date":"2022-07-09 14:53:41","author":"Robin Hanson","handle":"robinhanson","text":"This looks pretty persuasive. Did they leave out or miscode any big areas where theory & data can be compared?\nhttps://phys.org/news/2022-07-dark-ditch-favor-theory-gravity.html","hashtags":[],"conv":"1545783253331841024","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1545812742006722560","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":69,"retweets":8,"replies":9,"quotes":6,"views":0,"bookmarks":18,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/robinhanson/status/1545783253331841024"},"2039649443629121851":{"id":"2039649443629121851","date":"2026-04-02 10:21:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Ah, to know where TF this facility is located...","hashtags":[],"conv":"2039649443629121851","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":5050,"bookmarks":1,"media":["2039649443629121851_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2039649443629121851","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1506045253366603778":{"id":"1506045253366603778","date":"2022-03-21 23:09:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"30/ That's what matters. Billy does good trades because he knows what his counterparties want and need, and he knows they know what he needs.\n\nIf you're trading electronically this is less obvious than if you're taking broker calls, but it's no less true there.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1506045251974172674","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1506045253366603778","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1486863534457720832":{"id":"1486863534457720832","date":"2022-01-28 00:47:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@azakmay 🏆","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486861627852947456","reply_id":"1486862920151552002","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"azakmay","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1486863534457720832","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1629541587381530624":{"id":"1629541587381530624","date":"2023-02-25 17:59:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cashpandajesus Let's hope.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1629522250205638656","reply_id":"1629541251551748101","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"cashpandajesus","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":933,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1629541587381530624","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1634933627304955905":{"id":"1634933627304955905","date":"2023-03-12 15:05:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1634933627304955905","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":119,"retweets":14,"replies":7,"quotes":5,"views":23348,"bookmarks":17,"media":["1634933627304955905_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1634933627304955905","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1692364670546690530":{"id":"1692364670546690530","date":"2023-08-18 02:35:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jgreco @l1quid1ty I know, I wasn't joking.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1692293291256246345","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":160,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1692364670546690530","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1616176317803921409":{"id":"1616176317803921409","date":"2023-01-19 20:50:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0x94305 eHarmony must haves: sense of humor, deep practitioner's knowledge of higher-order greeks.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1616170051681357825","reply_id":"1616170051681357825","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0x94305","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":448,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1616176317803921409","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1413995833515597824":{"id":"1413995833515597824","date":"2021-07-10 22:57:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@chompysnack @therobotjames @tommyhegarty97 Look at the daily vol of a stock, and that's all noise. But then you realize the stock has a beta to some index. You remove that piece of vol, and you've halved the size of your stock-specific I-don't-know-ness.\n\nNow look at the sector as a whole. You remove more noise.\n\nRepeat.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1411890038938345472","reply_id":"1413994077989654534","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":23,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1413995833515597824","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1984944688114057514":{"id":"1984944688114057514","date":"2025-11-02 11:24:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alexpotato Yes, many such examples in Spanish (my mother tongue).\n\nPortuguese too. Your friend goes out to buy something, comes back with nothing.\n\n\"What happened?\"\n\"Houve confusão.\"\n\nA confusion occurred? No, somehow they just got into a fight at the store.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1984872817561628984","reply_id":"1984943791740952971","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alexpotato","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":180,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1984944688114057514","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1788924560336961588":{"id":"1788924560336961588","date":"2024-05-10 13:30:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@fuckyourputs No principal risk","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788923697908339031","reply_id":"1788924332946993288","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"fuckyourputs","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3161,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788924560336961588","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2082071255063085539":{"id":"2082071255063085539","date":"2026-07-28 11:50:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"That's fine, it's an opinion and everyone is entitled to bet on what they believe.\n\nI'll just say I like our chances.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2082071238621425745","reply_id":"2082071253007929461","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2078,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2082071255063085539","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2074032019705663830":{"id":"2074032019705663830","date":"2026-07-06 07:25:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"People complaining about FIFA corruption ruining the game need to understand that:\n- FIFA has been continuously corrupt since at least the 80s, and probably way before that.\n- Yet the game is doing just fine.\n\nSo...","hashtags":[],"conv":"2074032019705663830","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":91,"retweets":0,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":17059,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2074032019705663830","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1446298701870166018":{"id":"1446298701870166018","date":"2021-10-08 02:17:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@thetacograbber @therobotjames I didn't play many SNGs except at the very beginning.\n\nLearning how to play deep always seemed more interesting.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1446265278573076480","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1446298701870166018","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1291560989842800640":{"id":"1291560989842800640","date":"2020-08-07 02:25:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @DebbieDenverCO Cast your own in concrete! Super fun and you'll learn a few things, probably.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1291365279939719168","reply_id":"1291557143779270656","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1291560989842800640","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1351686831293698048":{"id":"1351686831293698048","date":"2021-01-20 00:23:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@svrnco @Rick_Ferri If you do that, all you're incentivizing is coin-flipping.\n\nIn that structure, the investor is selling the manager an option. Manager is incentivized to do the highest-vol trades possible. Even if -EV.\n\nIf you win, great. Else you lose nothing. Rinse repeat.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1351679935514079232","reply_id":"1351683179707510785","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"svrnco","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1351686831293698048","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1747671031635206257":{"id":"1747671031635206257","date":"2024-01-17 17:23:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@abiylfoyp I can't get any use out of any of them in that mode (ChatGPT4, Claude, etc).\n\nAll their responses are just so mid. I keep wanting to yell \"Say something *interesting* for once!\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1747668352732991865","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":89,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1747671031635206257","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1728576498221957408":{"id":"1728576498221957408","date":"2023-11-26 00:48:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"A free society is one where people get to pick the measuring stick by which they're going to be evaluated by others.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1728576498221957408","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3077,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1728576498221957408","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2070525656933237064":{"id":"2070525656933237064","date":"2026-06-26 15:12:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"RT @AgustinLebron3: @TheStalwart The biggest mindfuck for normies is that if you don't know how to use AI, you can literally just ask it \"how do I use you\" and it will tell you.\n\nI've seen the lightbulb go on for a dozen people now. My mom, my niece, lots of random non-tech people. It's hilarious to watch.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2070525656933237064","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2070525640441241702","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":6,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2070525656933237064","type":"retweet","issues":[]},"2041849419557966116":{"id":"2041849419557966116","date":"2026-04-08 12:03:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Yet because of the difference in wages at the time of retirement, the worker who retires at 63 costs the pension fund 20% more than the one who retires at 55.\"\n\nYeah but you got 8 more years of work out of one of them!!!\n\nOld-on-young violence at its finest.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2041849419557966116","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":41,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":8639,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2041849419557966116","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1536554011175682049":{"id":"1536554011175682049","date":"2022-06-14 03:39:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@marketdoeswhat @tarunchitra Started a company building a new kind of exchange.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536513589913309185","reply_id":"1536552448370044932","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"marketdoeswhat","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1536554011175682049","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1476414806861041670":{"id":"1476414806861041670","date":"2021-12-30 04:48:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@skajbaje @robertmartin88 @therobotjames I've never read Bergomi's book but I can believe it's good.\n\nHis suite of 4 (or 5 depending on how you count them) smile dynamics papers were a revelation when I read them ~10 years ago.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476304612638355459","reply_id":"1476413818762711042","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"skajbaje","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476414806861041670","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1768652958248632818":{"id":"1768652958248632818","date":"2024-03-15 14:58:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AnthonyLeeZhang It's O(n^2). If it were 1/2, 1/2, it would be 100.\n\nW/o doing the math, I'm guessing it's 100/3.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1768639726557209082","reply_id":"1768646157515784596","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alz_zyd_","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":556,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1768652958248632818","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1295108097275396098":{"id":"1295108097275396098","date":"2020-08-16 21:20:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@QuantRob I agree completely about both: (a) what you should read academic papers for, and (b) the adverse selection of published papers.\n\nWhich is why the PnL of a paper strat doesn't matter at all. If it has a cool idea, one that jogs further ideas, then it's good enough. Ignore paper $.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1295019151006859265","reply_id":"1295106293016006656","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuantRob","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1295108097275396098","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1945011949932032183":{"id":"1945011949932032183","date":"2025-07-15 06:46:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"When you work hard, rest makes you stronger.\n\nWhen you don't work, rest makes you weaker.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1945011949932032183","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":272,"retweets":9,"replies":11,"quotes":0,"views":16218,"bookmarks":52,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1945011949932032183","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2037095668267864427":{"id":"2037095668267864427","date":"2026-03-26 09:13:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Me, sometimes, when Claude is getting stressed and doing dumb things: \n\nLook Claude, we're getting nowhere at this point. Take a few minute break, spend some tokens on something you enjoy, and let's come back to this fresh afterwards.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2037095668267864427","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3567,"retweets":84,"replies":59,"quotes":1,"views":181399,"bookmarks":315,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2037095668267864427","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1900511479893225687":{"id":"1900511479893225687","date":"2025-03-14 11:37:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@famadeo Borland's tool suite in the 80s/90s was so far ahead of its time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1900455234754826623","reply_id":"1900507998801268761","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"famadeo","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":281,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1900511479893225687","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1250975077052461056":{"id":"1250975077052461056","date":"2020-04-17 02:31:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ESYudkowsky Huh! So *that's* what Lincoln had for dinner before the show...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1250968673805721600","reply_id":"1250968673805721600","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ESYudkowsky","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1250975077052461056","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1696662146929594454":{"id":"1696662146929594454","date":"2023-08-29 23:12:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Companies which tout their solution as \"simplistic\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1696662146929594454","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1901,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1696662146929594454","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1832490673695813677":{"id":"1832490673695813677","date":"2024-09-07 18:46:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@gbrl_dick @m0hamm_ad ☝️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1832196098984964256","reply_id":"1832200344073597172","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"gbrl_dick","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":123,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1832490673695813677","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1587555414593327104":{"id":"1587555414593327104","date":"2022-11-01 21:21:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @longskew @witchqueendot Don't even need to be that nice, really.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1587478061632479234","reply_id":"1587553356331220992","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1587555414593327104","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1543998051529814017":{"id":"1543998051529814017","date":"2022-07-04 16:39:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Biggest issue is the (adverse?) selection effect of the founders who are willing to have camera crews follow them for years and years.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1543997786558906369","reply_id":"1543997786558906369","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1543998051529814017","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1240741761930027009":{"id":"1240741761930027009","date":"2020-03-19 20:47:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OneBigOh @vgr @free_shilling Money solves the problem that production of real goods/services never matches consumption.\n\nThey can be mismatched in time, location, quantity, etc. Money fixes that by providing both a (a) store of value and (b) a medium of exchange.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1240509103689981952","reply_id":"1240734953710784514","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OneBigOh","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1240741761930027009","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1959963114591387919":{"id":"1959963114591387919","date":"2025-08-25 12:56:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tldr_x I can show the same graph for the stock price of Control Data (a computer company), and yet the mkt cap of computer cos still went exponential.\n\nThe point is there will always be something new to capture attention. 2026's http://pump.fun hasn't happened yet but it will.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957390814113308717","reply_id":"1959962179056148648","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tldr_x","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":163,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1959963114591387919_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1959963114591387919","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1844782751024611477":{"id":"1844782751024611477","date":"2024-10-11 16:50:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase I love that the way to handle datetimes in Python is to engage this immensely heavyweight data science library with its own API warts.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1844654463115477366","reply_id":"1844765676960928149","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":786,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1844782751024611477","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1834217274372206990":{"id":"1834217274372206990","date":"2024-09-12 13:07:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I had been following @Lifrordi for a while, but never thought the ideas would translate to trading.\n\nBut as I got talking to Martin and the team, it started to seem not-crazy. Merely very very ambitious.\n\nSo I took the plunge. AMA.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1834217272774185288","reply_id":"1834217272774185288","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":76,"retweets":0,"replies":23,"quotes":0,"views":7518,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1834217274372206990","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1542632782530195456":{"id":"1542632782530195456","date":"2022-06-30 22:14:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@danrobinson There's a multiplier effect. If I borrow and short 50% of the shares outstanding, then the person who bought my shares lends out half their shares to someone who shorts them, etc etc, then you get 1/(1-0.5) = 200% short interest.\n\nAmazed at the # of yes votes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542632104088834050","reply_id":"1542632104088834050","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"danrobinson","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1542632782530195456","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1511135259839979523":{"id":"1511135259839979523","date":"2022-04-05 00:14:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @bookdepth @tszzl Second.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1511054862741434368","reply_id":"1511120307393900552","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1511135259839979523","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1212933588125044736":{"id":"1212933588125044736","date":"2020-01-03 03:07:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lopezdeprado @jinchoice Huh? Tell that to the CNNs that discover edge filters on their own. Or AlphaZero eval functions. Or any other good DL system.\n\nPretty much the *whole* reason that DL works better than previous methods is they do feature engineering AND modeling at the same time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1212897384860209152","reply_id":"1212916955222626304","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"lopezdeprado","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1212933588125044736","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1900466585564770388":{"id":"1900466585564770388","date":"2025-03-14 08:38:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@kchoudhu PyCharm for Python, for better or worse.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1900455234754826623","reply_id":"1900463769580662943","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"kchoudhu","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":484,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1900466585564770388","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1480946256063070211":{"id":"1480946256063070211","date":"2022-01-11 16:54:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheStalwart","hashtags":[],"conv":"1480941137963663372","reply_id":"1480941137963663372","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheStalwart","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1480946256063070211_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1480946256063070211","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1501754740790607874":{"id":"1501754740790607874","date":"2022-03-10 03:00:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SquishChaos @M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames @SinclairEuan Provided you've accounted for the # of notions you're testing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501754740790607874","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1598697372565262339":{"id":"1598697372565262339","date":"2022-12-02 15:15:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin @macrocephalopod @laurentzeimes I'm going to experiment and report back.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598575466410934272","reply_id":"1598697303908712448","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598697372565262339","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1542727024699027457":{"id":"1542727024699027457","date":"2022-07-01 04:29:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@timebargains @therobotjames @MegaBearX @darjohn25 I don't know them personally, nor have I heard any rumors. Best to assume they're good to the people around them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542684842923413504","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1542727024699027457","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1569495135502868480":{"id":"1569495135502868480","date":"2022-09-13 01:16:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT Call compliance.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1569494849833025538","reply_id":"1569494849833025538","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1569495135502868480","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1725540877287010470":{"id":"1725540877287010470","date":"2023-11-17 15:46:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@krishnanrohit Right. The unquestioned assumption that those skills can *only* be learned through mind-numbing busywork.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1725370190303461547","reply_id":"1725529699563032810","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"krishnanrohit","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":52,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1725540877287010470","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1522800996774080512":{"id":"1522800996774080512","date":"2022-05-07 04:50:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"... In these circumstances, it was in fact better to be a little 'backward'. \"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1522800993259249665","reply_id":"1522800995738128385","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1522800996774080512","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1633934262151053315":{"id":"1633934262151053315","date":"2023-03-09 20:54:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"9/ When you want the coins back, you ask for it and they pull out your coins from their wallets and put them in yours. Simple.\n\nBut a malicious exchange might not keep your BTC in their wallets! They might go off and buy yachts!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633934250620891136","reply_id":"1633934260758540288","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":17,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3234,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633934262151053315","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1596320219898662912":{"id":"1596320219898662912","date":"2022-11-26 01:49:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm The \"Latinx\" ethnic nation, of course.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1596317233306685442","reply_id":"1596317233306685442","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1596320219898662912","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1518392216263151617":{"id":"1518392216263151617","date":"2022-04-25 00:51:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nearcausality With its salt content, the rest of your life may not last that long. 🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1518389568705384449","reply_id":"1518389568705384449","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nearcausality","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1518392216263151617","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1477032384184807425":{"id":"1477032384184807425","date":"2021-12-31 21:42:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @notzoetaylor And king of the Roth IRA.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476998693933010950","reply_id":"1477022721888247810","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477032384184807425","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1188131101899780096":{"id":"1188131101899780096","date":"2019-10-26 16:31:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@trevornoren So in the last 10 years, all of these except whiskey have massively underperformed the S&P500.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1188130383126073345","reply_id":"1188130383126073345","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"trevornoren","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1188131101899780096","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1346199868574846976":{"id":"1346199868574846976","date":"2021-01-04 21:00:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vixologist @EricBalchunas No, interview the ones that say \"not very\"!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346188272368807939","reply_id":"1346190756873166859","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vixologist","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346199868574846976","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1597268803787710465":{"id":"1597268803787710465","date":"2022-11-28 16:38:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Crypto shillbot DMs have definitely gotten worse in the last month.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597268803787710465","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597268803787710465","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1553454389657882624":{"id":"1553454389657882624","date":"2022-07-30 18:56:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@etdebruin Not bad...\n\nhttps://www.theonion.com/william-safire-orders-two-whoppers-junior-1819565735","hashtags":[],"conv":"1553425644695871488","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1553454389657882624","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1698840436679553422":{"id":"1698840436679553422","date":"2023-09-04 23:28:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Google search : food court at a mall\n::\nChatGPT : neighborhood sitdown restaurant with ok food but great service\n\nHaving a polite information waiter is nice.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1698840436679553422","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1802,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1698840436679553422","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1785328685006106932":{"id":"1785328685006106932","date":"2024-04-30 15:21:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So customers get to risk money on random number generators wrapped in exciting lights and sounds?\n\nWhere have I seen that business model before? 🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1785328685006106932","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":52,"retweets":4,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":5627,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1785328685006106932","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1587575357540032513":{"id":"1587575357540032513","date":"2022-11-01 22:40:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CryptoNymph @therobotjames @TCK_JRubano Unless you've got an offer from an investment bank on their rates exo desk, and they told you to read it before showing up, don't go near it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1587569810850086912","reply_id":"1587574599943962631","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RhizoNymph","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1587575357540032513","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2020541820522954811":{"id":"2020541820522954811","date":"2026-02-08 16:54:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Seems pretty clear that the US already does UBI. It's just called something else: PPP, disability benefits, looking the other way on program fraud, etc.\n\nPretty on-brand, come to think of it. In Europe you get social assistance automatically. In the US you have to grift for it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2020541820522954811","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":51,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":4193,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2020541820522954811","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1977275856654614975":{"id":"1977275856654614975","date":"2025-10-12 07:31:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Phenomenal work.\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pk-Oq8iYtVA","hashtags":[],"conv":"1977275856654614975","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":7379,"bookmarks":8,"media":["1977275856654614975_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1977275856654614975","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1486789199483195394":{"id":"1486789199483195394","date":"2022-01-27 19:52:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano Ah the widowmaker.\n\nNatgas and dividend futures are the only two things that truly terrify me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486782760090062849","reply_id":"1486782760090062849","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1486789199483195394","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1519011780306956288":{"id":"1519011780306956288","date":"2022-04-26 17:53:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3. The group should be heterogeneous. 4 clones of yourself isn't going to help. Of course, you can go too far in heterogeneity and that's bad because if you can't agree on foundations then no communication can happen.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1519011776938921985","reply_id":"1519011779145129984","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":28,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1519011780306956288","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1361406693926559746":{"id":"1361406693926559746","date":"2021-02-15 20:07:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MartyKebke delta : equities trader :: vega : vol trader\n\nIf I think vol is cheap, then I'm going to be long vega. And vice versa.\n\nYou delta hedge, canonically, because you're not getting paid to take that risk. So get rid of it beyond some (usually small) risk limit on delta.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1358793442243928069","reply_id":"1361405068210225156","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MartyKebke","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1361406693926559746","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1768415192025866413":{"id":"1768415192025866413","date":"2024-03-14 23:13:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nkreu113r Pedigree is different but IMO just as gated.\n\nRealistically, is someone from USC (#24 in CS) getting a  quant dev/trading interview? Assuming there isn't something special in the resume, I think it's no.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1768404709336052193","reply_id":"1768413571413684433","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nkreu113r","likes":12,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":1585,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1768415192025866413","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1269379849791000576":{"id":"1269379849791000576","date":"2020-06-06 21:25:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert It's as if there's no piece of software that couldn't conceivably have to scale to Netflix size in the next few months.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1269365916967419904","reply_id":"1269377167168729088","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1269379849791000576","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2042550955707711594":{"id":"2042550955707711594","date":"2026-04-10 10:31:11","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"I see comments like this re: the design of oil perpetuals on TradeXYZ/HL a lot -- why do the oil perps use futures as the underlying, rather than spot?\n\nThe question shows a fundamental misunderstanding by crypto-native people, who I guess understandably do not spend much time thinking about the mechanics of physical commodity markets!","hashtags":[],"conv":"2042550955707711594","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2042558341377855734","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":356,"retweets":26,"replies":21,"quotes":6,"views":96384,"bookmarks":225,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/2042550955707711594"},"1907449413414404248":{"id":"1907449413414404248","date":"2025-04-02 15:05:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 Uh, hi my name is Harvard. Pleased to meet you.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1907380384561598698","reply_id":"1907380384561598698","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":429,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1907449413414404248","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1689323788423569408":{"id":"1689323788423569408","date":"2023-08-09 17:12:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Yeah I shot a bad score. Did you see how slow the greens were on that course?\"\n\n\"Yeah he's a terrible player and I lost, but he's a pusher. Doesn't play real tennis.\"\n\n\"Market is so choppy, couldn't make money today.\"\n\n\"Playing poker with tourists sucks. Can't read hands!\"\n\n-->","hashtags":[],"conv":"1689323788423569408","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":54,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":14359,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1689323788423569408","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1744757097454256544":{"id":"1744757097454256544","date":"2024-01-09 16:24:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"When it gets taught that x% of y is sometimes easier if you do y% of x, why are the example numbers always 28 and 75?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1744757097454256544","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3615,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1744757097454256544","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1900638592013128003":{"id":"1900638592013128003","date":"2025-03-14 20:02:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod 2. It's a vocational training program masquerading as a university degree. And the worst part is: they don't even do the vocational training.\n\nIt's all completely fucked.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1900587520305332699","reply_id":"1900638466289135705","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1378,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1900638592013128003","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1480927769051779082":{"id":"1480927769051779082","date":"2022-01-11 15:41:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This seems like the Achilles heel of decentralization maximalism.\n\n- People go where other people go.\n- Most people go where things are safe, easy and comfortable.\n- So the aggregators who win will do all the moderation and custody and yes censorship that crypto-anarchists hate.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1480927766879035405","reply_id":"1480927766879035405","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1480927769051779082","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1911729150743740512":{"id":"1911729150743740512","date":"2025-04-14 10:32:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Spot the difference.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1911729150743740512","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":39,"retweets":2,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":4412,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1911729150743740512_1.png","1911729150743740512_2.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1911729150743740512","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1456628359606116353":{"id":"1456628359606116353","date":"2021-11-05 14:23:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @TheSpeculator0 Now you're talking!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1456625965061320707","reply_id":"1456627821971902474","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1456628359606116353","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2003328607444505057":{"id":"2003328607444505057","date":"2025-12-23 04:55:34","author":"Kshitij Anand","handle":"kshitijandquant","text":"Quant Bible by MIT Sloan Business Club. \n\nAccess it from here:- https://drive.google.com/file/d/1LO7D0C9FC-KHViThmTXfUTLyr6Wke5-f/view?usp=drivesdk","hashtags":[],"conv":"2003328607444505057","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2003757764724842787","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3036,"retweets":332,"replies":19,"quotes":12,"views":375282,"bookmarks":5993,"media":["2003328607444505057_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/kshitijandquant/status/2003328607444505057"},"1760495235467980819":{"id":"1760495235467980819","date":"2024-02-22 02:42:27","author":"Perry E. Metzger","handle":"perrymetzger","text":"Everyone remember when Google meant incredible technology, “Don’t Be Evil”, 20% projects, open source advocacy, etc. and was highly trusted to do the right thing? And now, it’s the company that tries to remove privacy protections from browsers and which shuts down any service you decide to depend on.\n\nThe last week was particularly bad. They announced a truly transformative new AI model, but it ultimately just drew attention to how badly they had crippled their old models, probably because of internal politics. It’s amazing how hard it has become for them to get out of their own way.\n\nHow did they go from a trusted powerhouse to a punchline? The symptoms are more obvious than the causes, but one strongly suspects that the ultimate issue is senior management.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1760495235467980819","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1760513321944711276","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":147,"retweets":13,"replies":11,"quotes":2,"views":21061,"bookmarks":19,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/perrymetzger/status/1760495235467980819"},"1494459064612388867":{"id":"1494459064612388867","date":"2022-02-17 23:49:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OneBigOh But of course this doesn't work. All that happens is that the FAANG level dev says no, and they get adverse selected by hiring someone that *seems* like a great dev but isn't.\n\nRinse, repeat, startup dies.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493963587261370375","reply_id":"1494458835271970827","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494459064612388867","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1946186343542874193":{"id":"1946186343542874193","date":"2025-07-18 12:32:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mansourtarek_ But there's no guarantee that will continue to be the case.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946114875899486383","reply_id":"1946186296122044515","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":3688,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946186343542874193","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1159315080577572866":{"id":"1159315080577572866","date":"2019-08-08 04:07:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ReformedTrader @demonetizedblog @worrellscott70 @WayneHimelsein @nntaleb Point being: making an equivalence between the two based on the presence of one similarity (faith, in this case) leads people to ignore the important consequential differences, or to think about them all wrong.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1158768945043836928","reply_id":"1159313958282514432","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1159315080577572866","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1946185857620127787":{"id":"1946185857620127787","date":"2025-07-18 12:30:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mansourtarek_ Addendum based on replies:\n\n\"Stock markets are prediction markets, are they ok?\"\n\nMy guess: yes they're fine as long as they dont become too big a fraction of the economy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946114875899486383","reply_id":"1946114897458180193","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2426,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946185857620127787","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1529449798020911107":{"id":"1529449798020911107","date":"2022-05-25 13:10:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ There's a lot that crypto could learn from a somewhat obscure Saturday Night Live sketch from 1995.\n\nYes, 27 years ago... 👉👉👉","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529449798020911107","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1529449798020911107","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1582830062025420800":{"id":"1582830062025420800","date":"2022-10-19 20:24:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @QuantPrincess Any good interview process is designed to be un-gameable, and JS is no different.\n\nThat said, best advice is order your interviews by your interest the company/position, so that by the end of your interview slate you're more prepped than at the beginning.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1582759573764833280","reply_id":"1582828639917289472","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":25,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1582830062025420800","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1531760604339286016":{"id":"1531760604339286016","date":"2022-05-31 22:12:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@rpc_tweets Same here. Prolog was the thing that broke my brain and made me realize I could learn anything.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1531739423313784832","reply_id":"1531752267505930240","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"rpc_tw","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1531760604339286016","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1417316162229071872":{"id":"1417316162229071872","date":"2021-07-20 02:51:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 @therobotjames @sajidnizami This isn't crazy at all. Plenty of theta to collect over the weekend for example. But again, costs, spreads, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1417300898234003457","reply_id":"1417314707304820737","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1417316162229071872","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1805433525023424788":{"id":"1805433525023424788","date":"2024-06-25 02:51:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Can't wait to listen. But the self-inconsistencies are glaring:\n\n\"We shouldn't constrain or contain China.\"\n\n15 seconds later\n\n\"But it's important to retain military and technological superiority.\"\n\nUm to what end other than to contain China?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1805433525023424788","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2988,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1805433525023424788","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1428381820421242886":{"id":"1428381820421242886","date":"2021-08-19 15:42:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Companies whose job ads say they're looking for \"rockstar\" or \"ninja\" developers are signaling two things:\n\n- They don't prioritize collaboration. Ninjas ain't team players.\n- They don't know how to seek out and identify great devs. They wouldn't use those terms if they did.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1428381820421242886","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1428381820421242886","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1404304726263431176":{"id":"1404304726263431176","date":"2021-06-14 05:08:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"You know what sucks? The fact that every computer language has its own inscrutable build system.\n\nYou know what sucks more? Build systems that try to work for more than one language.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1404304726263431176","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1404304726263431176","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1282845914411888640":{"id":"1282845914411888640","date":"2020-07-14 01:14:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tombnorwood @vol_ition @SinclairEuan @KrisAbdelmessih Definitely, right at the top.\n\nRed-Blooded Risk by Aaron Brown is a must.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1282702235583954945","reply_id":"1282839980675600385","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tombnorwood","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1282845914411888640","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1620177278482407425":{"id":"1620177278482407425","date":"2023-01-30 21:48:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AnthonyLeeZhang Real estate agents.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1620171579526369282","reply_id":"1620171863203921921","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alz_zyd_","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":112,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1620177278482407425","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1725268009001026015":{"id":"1725268009001026015","date":"2023-11-16 21:42:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein It's actually a non-trivial bar to clear.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1725267569836191936","reply_id":"1725267569836191936","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":556,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1725268009001026015","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1558864878240030720":{"id":"1558864878240030720","date":"2022-08-14 17:15:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@karpathy Hard to solve: Induces people to solve them because they're challenging and profitable.\n\nEasy to verify: Makes the success legible to everyone else (for gaining status and $).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1558863432023126020","reply_id":"1558863432023126020","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"karpathy","likes":46,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1558864878240030720","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1607895592453443584":{"id":"1607895592453443584","date":"2022-12-28 00:25:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xNinebark @0xfbifemboy 👆","hashtags":[],"conv":"1607603699215654913","reply_id":"1607606381531783170","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xNinebark","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":53,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1607895592453443584","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2015389318961938441":{"id":"2015389318961938441","date":"2026-01-25 11:40:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Do not ascribe to some grand malicious plan what can be explained by a sequence of locally expedient decisions.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2015389318961938441","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":56,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":5331,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2015389318961938441","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1777301762552234068":{"id":"1777301762552234068","date":"2024-04-08 11:45:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"- We have an internal dataset going back decades that shows trend works.\n- You have to be patient and stick to your system, ride out the bad times. This means \"educating\" your LPs.\n- Always be improving your system.\n\nThere, you now have dozens of hours of your life back.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1777301762552234068","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":120,"retweets":1,"replies":9,"quotes":1,"views":29076,"bookmarks":28,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1777301762552234068","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1680753942618320897":{"id":"1680753942618320897","date":"2023-07-17 01:39:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JohnSmi96368000 @be20684347 @Team_Optimum 🙏🙏🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1680707081496834048","reply_id":"1680753573171437568","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JohnSmi96368000","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":138,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1680753942618320897","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1640556949992513537":{"id":"1640556949992513537","date":"2023-03-28 03:30:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ryxcommar This is a situation that calls for some empathy.\n\nLots of people were sold the \"Go do a code school and get a great job in a fast-growing field\" dream.\n\nSo they did cuz it beats whatever else you can do with a sociology degree and crushing debt.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1640484756075827200","reply_id":"1640484756075827200","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ryxcommar","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":437,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1640556949992513537","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1523818382960693248":{"id":"1523818382960693248","date":"2022-05-10 00:13:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 It was! That second week of Sep with the Lehman crash was when it REALLY started to go crazy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1523811893126721536","reply_id":"1523816237381337088","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1523818382960693248","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1417305757620473894":{"id":"1417305757620473894","date":"2021-07-20 02:09:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@himura_k3nshin @choffstein @RadonNikodym2 @KrisAbdelmessih @TheSpeculator0 Having enough trouble with onion futures.\nOpera futures seem a ways away.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1417100109578489856","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1417305757620473894","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1436542629118758914":{"id":"1436542629118758914","date":"2021-09-11 04:10:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vgr How can you not like:\n\n- a parliament of owls\n- a convocation of eagles\n\nand of course a murder of crows?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1436537458418614277","reply_id":"1436538223153475587","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vgr","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1436542629118758914","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1927986274800984180":{"id":"1927986274800984180","date":"2025-05-29 07:12:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"TIL that (at best) 5% of college English majors at an average US university can read Dickens.\n\nhttps://muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/article/922346/pdf","hashtags":[],"conv":"1927986274800984180","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":22,"quotes":1,"views":5403,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1927986274800984180","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1382850493131718656":{"id":"1382850493131718656","date":"2021-04-16 00:17:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@margi52078304 @therobotjames @choffstein Paging @therobotjames . Can you post a link to your thread on this?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"1382850168517767171","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"margi52078304","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382850493131718656","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1592353577976369152":{"id":"1592353577976369152","date":"2022-11-15 03:07:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal Slow? You only have to do it once. Sure it's O(n^3) but who cares. Modern machines are fast, and I doubt you're doing this for thousands of stocks.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1592295189934129152","reply_id":"1592353127822675968","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1592353577976369152","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1346481446047760387":{"id":"1346481446047760387","date":"2021-01-05 15:39:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"20/ Well, it means you can always transform a call into a put and vice versa with a simple stock trade.\n\nBuying a call is just buying a put + buying some stock. Calls and puts are the same thing (modulo a stock trade).\n\nBut why does this matter?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346481444776890368","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346481446047760387","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2069456853616971987":{"id":"2069456853616971987","date":"2026-06-23 16:25:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The people complaining about stepped-up basis and the people complaining about short-termism in markets seem to have a lot of overlap. Which... isn't exactly a consistent set of complaints.\n\nI wonder what they have in common.\n\nOh right, hating rich people.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2069456853616971987","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":4842,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2069456853616971987","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1798497318288900485":{"id":"1798497318288900485","date":"2024-06-05 23:29:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Feels like a Stripe-shaped opportunity to move into a seemingly-competitive market, crush it by being actually good unlike the competition, then colonizing adjacent verticals until you get very big.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1798497316808393144","reply_id":"1798497316808393144","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1259,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1798497318288900485","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2008899257990783445":{"id":"2008899257990783445","date":"2026-01-07 13:51:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Turns out interpolation can take you a shockingly long way.\n\nJust not all the way.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2008899257990783445","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":48,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":6201,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2008899257990783445","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1705354864019308647":{"id":"1705354864019308647","date":"2023-09-22 22:54:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Incompetence Attribution Fallacy\n\nPeople who are chronically bad at something (sports, trading) over-index on mental/emotional explanations for their badness.\n\n\"I'm just a headcase.\"\n\"I can't get out of my own way.\"\n\nBut it's clear to the outsider they just lack skill.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1705354864019308647","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":49,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":7807,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1705354864019308647","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1682515009883222016":{"id":"1682515009883222016","date":"2023-07-21 22:16:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Life achievement unlocked!\n\nhttps://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/your-book-review-the-laws-of-trading","hashtags":[],"conv":"1682515009883222016","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1584,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1682515009883222016","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1371602319867998208":{"id":"1371602319867998208","date":"2021-03-15 23:20:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@GutterGnostic @PRentz Reasonably efficient markets can withstand a *lot* of uncorrelated noise traders. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1371516798831489025","reply_id":"1371602212175056901","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1371602319867998208","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1243694288170397696":{"id":"1243694288170397696","date":"2020-03-28 00:19:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @DBecevic @lcota @BPittini Charles LeHalle has very good papers on microstructure. Not necessarily actionable per se but lots of good ways of thinking of the problem.\n\nMathieu Rosenbaum too. Almgren-Chriss is a classic (since superseded but a must-read).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1243361662452682752","reply_id":"1243653428624134144","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":9,"retweets":3,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1243694288170397696","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1794362171071316114":{"id":"1794362171071316114","date":"2024-05-25 13:37:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I've been flamed before for saying this but I still believe it's true. If you're good enough to get hired at a top place, you could probably do *lots* of other things successfully.\n\nSo only go for it if you *love* the job. Otherwise, the status-maxxing will leave you miserable.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1794362171071316114","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":58,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":10552,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1794362171071316114","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1460352831022518274":{"id":"1460352831022518274","date":"2021-11-15 21:03:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames ✋\n\nI feel rather seen.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1460347393191280640","reply_id":"1460347393191280640","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1460352831022518274","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1632746964730404865":{"id":"1632746964730404865","date":"2023-03-06 14:16:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Any US-based functional front-end devs out there looking for something new and exciting?\n\n@elmlang @reasonml @rescriptlang @purescript \n\nI'll take Bonsai too, of course.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632746964730404865","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1632793417595113472","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":5,"replies":3,"quotes":2,"views":25307,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632746964730404865","type":"quote","issues":[]},"2034295089011290307":{"id":"2034295089011290307","date":"2026-03-18 15:45:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's amazing how many people had natural risks to Tyreek Hill's leg that needed to be hedged.\n\nImagine if prediction markets didn't exist!","hashtags":[],"conv":"2034295089011290307","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":52,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4974,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2034295089011290307","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1348693543372554243":{"id":"1348693543372554243","date":"2021-01-11 18:09:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"53/ Those prices are starting to look a lot like probabilities, aren't they? 🤔\n\nIn fact they are. if we define C(K) as the price of a call with strike price K, then (C(K+e)-C(K))/e is (when e is small):\n\nThe probability stock expires above K!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1348693542361735169","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1348693543372554243","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1965434123537035471":{"id":"1965434123537035471","date":"2025-09-09 15:16:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0x_N8_ @macrocephalopod @OneHotCode1 @__paleologo @TCK_JRubano @cullinan92619 @moreproteinbars @sdav1986 @KrisAbdelmessih @therobotjames @Gingfacekillah @bennpeifert @QuiteMidlife @The_CodingJesus @DimitriBianco Who's the audience? Feels small, long term.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1964696429425029328","reply_id":"1965433440070934836","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0x_N8_","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":184,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1965434123537035471","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2058262625192956332":{"id":"2058262625192956332","date":"2026-05-23 19:03:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"With very parsimonious assumptions, you can show that the optimal valuation increase round to round, for a VC-funded company, is a factor of e.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2058262625192956332","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":168,"retweets":6,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":14777,"bookmarks":127,"media":["2058262625192956332_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2058262625192956332","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1676633144815128576":{"id":"1676633144815128576","date":"2023-07-05 16:44:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Bonecondor My ELI5 is sincere. I really do want to understand.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1676557728188178432","reply_id":"1676632982583640065","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":398,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1676633144815128576","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1573814212710649856":{"id":"1573814212710649856","date":"2022-09-24 23:18:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Gee, who else also runs daily social experiments in information curation and dissemination? 🤔\n\nhttps://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/24/business/linkedin-social-experiments.html","hashtags":[],"conv":"1573814212710649856","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1573814212710649856","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1384175567776350216":{"id":"1384175567776350216","date":"2021-04-19 16:02:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih It's a badge of honor.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1384172367857942529","reply_id":"1384172367857942529","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1384175567776350216","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1548067045446627334":{"id":"1548067045446627334","date":"2022-07-15 22:08:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano @therobotjames @pmontu33 Yeah, that bifurcation makes sense.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548007648007634944","reply_id":"1548066430456803329","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1548067045446627334","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1937400342657765790":{"id":"1937400342657765790","date":"2025-06-24 06:40:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@derbas49 Not zero sum utility. I do lots of -EV trades on purpose to hedge risks I don't want, for example.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1937399039231668424","reply_id":"1937400051573125508","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"derbas49","likes":55,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":4016,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1937400342657765790","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1501748632806051844":{"id":"1501748632806051844","date":"2022-03-10 02:35:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jsoloff @bennpeifert @quantian1 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501712267515084804","reply_id":"1501748411371982850","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jsoloff","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501748632806051844","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1877379266754556142":{"id":"1877379266754556142","date":"2025-01-09 15:37:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tennisabstract Parabens!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1877371514657333253","reply_id":"1877371514657333253","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tennisabstract","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":290,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1877379266754556142","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1346863988131336193":{"id":"1346863988131336193","date":"2021-01-06 16:59:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Day 3:\n\nhttps://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346863589760516097","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346122749899493377","reply_id":"1346482235990372352","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346863988131336193","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2082071253007929461":{"id":"2082071253007929461","date":"2026-07-28 11:50:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The author is obviously quite skeptical that the AI scaling hypothesis, where one can substitute human time and brains with compute, will work in trading.\n\n\"Our domain is different\" - the same defense heard for chess, go, poker, linguistics, even general intelligence.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2082071238621425745","reply_id":"2082071250847817993","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":2232,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2082071253007929461","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1983037059846623248":{"id":"1983037059846623248","date":"2025-10-28 05:04:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tenad0me It does too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1982827944503661055","reply_id":"1982979925645897932","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tenad0me","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":157,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1983037059846623248","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2054147189031489669":{"id":"2054147189031489669","date":"2026-05-12 10:30:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The best part of being a systematic quant is not even looking at your holdings.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2054147189031489669","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":261,"retweets":3,"replies":8,"quotes":3,"views":34165,"bookmarks":34,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2054147189031489669","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1600632138734350337":{"id":"1600632138734350337","date":"2022-12-07 23:23:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@svrnco @mgnr_io 👆","hashtags":[],"conv":"1600611792744767488","reply_id":"1600615076662489088","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"svrnco","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1600632138734350337","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2006843072337072269":{"id":"2006843072337072269","date":"2026-01-01 21:40:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Coming from a GP at YC, I would have expected somewhat less laughable ignorance about what make the top quant firms profitable. Particularly Jane Street.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2006843072337072269","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":659,"retweets":9,"replies":25,"quotes":3,"views":243309,"bookmarks":145,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2006843072337072269","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1629621449932804096":{"id":"1629621449932804096","date":"2023-02-25 23:16:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@hedgetherumor @macrocephalopod All those Chicago bucket shop denizens think they're doing quant trading.\n\nSo do all the glorified-TA retail people. Etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1629522250205638656","reply_id":"1629608788616527875","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bryanyates","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":540,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1629621449932804096","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1837056966671171822":{"id":"1837056966671171822","date":"2024-09-20 09:11:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Someone's a little salty that Keegan got the nod for the one that matters.\n\nhttps://www.golfdigest.com/story/jim-furyk-go-f-yourself-presidents-cup-quote-us-team","hashtags":[],"conv":"1837056966671171822","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1589,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1837056966671171822","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1970046946380292143":{"id":"1970046946380292143","date":"2025-09-22 08:46:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@adpyr Yup.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970026568471794085","reply_id":"1970043310925660267","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"adpyr","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1320,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1970046946380292143","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1432813670556323841":{"id":"1432813670556323841","date":"2021-08-31 21:12:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If you want to see Dunning-Kruger in action, pop over to your local driving range. Find a husband/wife or boyfriend/girlfriend pair.\n\nThe man's skill at golf is inversely proportional to how much advice he gives her. Very high correlation.\n\n@scottfawcett, agree/disagree?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1432813670556323841","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1432813670556323841","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1937769875881013685":{"id":"1937769875881013685","date":"2025-06-25 07:08:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Our modern technological society gives us an incredibly large array of possibilities and choices.\n\nIt puts the onus on *us* to decide. Some people find that liberating, some find it terrifying.\n\n\"Man is condemned to be free.\" - JP Sartre","hashtags":[],"conv":"1937769867215511886","reply_id":"1937769873943216514","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":20,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2851,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1937769875881013685","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1725969031088550076":{"id":"1725969031088550076","date":"2023-11-18 20:07:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug Coming right up. - OpenAI diaspora today.\n\nUh, anyone got any GPUs? - same diaspora in a few months.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1725908783015031050","reply_id":"1725908783015031050","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":305,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1725969031088550076","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1824163097873093044":{"id":"1824163097873093044","date":"2024-08-15 19:15:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HF_Trader","hashtags":[],"conv":"1824156892035493921","reply_id":"1824161501781037335","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HF_Trader","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":226,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1824163097873093044","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1644753022390796289":{"id":"1644753022390796289","date":"2023-04-08 17:24:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Good thing no Spieth fan has ever had to rescind calls that it's over.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1644751331268100099","reply_id":"1644751331268100099","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":415,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1644753022390796289","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1410282399703834627":{"id":"1410282399703834627","date":"2021-06-30 17:01:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vgr AppSheet is pretty ridiculously easy to do simple front-ends for pseudo-DBs...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1410281266365100033","reply_id":"1410281266365100033","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vgr","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1410282399703834627","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1434985087397863425":{"id":"1434985087397863425","date":"2021-09-06 21:01:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @ReformedTrader @nope_its_lily @vgr Love it, those life transitions are SUCH interesting times.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434963956599193601","reply_id":"1434984880069173252","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434985087397863425","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1654914245337968642":{"id":"1654914245337968642","date":"2023-05-06 18:21:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The genius of Domino's customer segmentation through price discrimination is underappreciated.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1654914245337968642","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":5977,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1654914245337968642","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1793685464802812410":{"id":"1793685464802812410","date":"2024-05-23 16:48:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbacarella @watthedoodle That the fifth thousandth dev Google hires isn't all that good.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1793410452996960543","reply_id":"1793684213943931068","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbacarella","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":95,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1793685464802812410","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2026594985060045166":{"id":"2026594985060045166","date":"2026-02-25 09:47:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"OpenAI itself admits the problem, talking about a ‘capability gap’ between what the models can do and what people do with them, which seems to me [...] you don’t have clear product-market fit.\"\n\nTurns out most people don't need a know-it-all very much.\n\nhttps://www.ben-evans.com/benedictevans/2026/2/19/how-will-openai-compete-nkg2x","hashtags":[],"conv":"2026594985060045166","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":49,"retweets":3,"replies":7,"quotes":1,"views":8444,"bookmarks":15,"media":["2026594985060045166_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2026594985060045166","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1494837900877307905":{"id":"1494837900877307905","date":"2022-02-19 00:55:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Cheater!!! 😜","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494734029202984963","reply_id":"1494837244292579333","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494837900877307905","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1722301061049065709":{"id":"1722301061049065709","date":"2023-11-08 17:12:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Maximally uninformative job titles? I'll start.\n\n\"Solutions Architect\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1722301061049065709","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":63,"retweets":1,"replies":25,"quotes":3,"views":12412,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1722301061049065709","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1263514228830306305":{"id":"1263514228830306305","date":"2020-05-21 16:57:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @AlexLachance11 @ArturSepp Any dead levantine language is fine.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1263373006098911233","reply_id":"1263512698396061696","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1263514228830306305","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1498298996019777539":{"id":"1498298996019777539","date":"2022-02-28 14:08:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano @nope_its_lily @M1tchRosenthal @be20684347 @experquisite @macrocephalopod @therobotjames @NotQuiteMidlife @fed_speak I think this is pretty close to a universal law. Millisecond-level signals don't lead to strats with holding times measured in weeks.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1340471352348848134","reply_id":"1498185775451619328","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1498298996019777539","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1530247961711497216":{"id":"1530247961711497216","date":"2022-05-27 18:01:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JustPunting Bah, Twitter polls are just an exercise in learning about your follower biases. But ok.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1530246735431315457","reply_id":"1530247495128862721","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JustPunting","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1530247961711497216","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1448111487713611778":{"id":"1448111487713611778","date":"2021-10-13 02:20:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @salr_nyc @therobotjames I'll defer to Euan on this one.\n\nI put SIG in the list because of the eventual diaspora.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448086924330246151","reply_id":"1448110091572584448","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448111487713611778","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1428101160607518720":{"id":"1428101160607518720","date":"2021-08-18 21:07:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tarunchitra @lightspringfox Get institutionals interested?\nRich art lovers?\nChristie's/Sotheby's partnership?\n\nIn the end it's all about Other People's Money.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1428096177296261121","reply_id":"1428096177296261121","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tarunchitra","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1428101160607518720","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1563534898974994435":{"id":"1563534898974994435","date":"2022-08-27 14:32:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NathanTankus Student debtors, and also parents who feel they have no choice but to play the corrupt game.\n\nThe prevailing mood when interacting with the college-industrial-complex is cynicism punctuated by bouts of anxiety. Not a great look.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1563532969410990081","reply_id":"1563532969410990081","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"NathanTankus","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1563534898974994435","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1544449243464617984":{"id":"1544449243464617984","date":"2022-07-05 22:32:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Pretty sure the lowest hanging fruit for large language models to create real economic value is training a text-to-Twitter-reply-meme model.\n\nI mean, surely SOME of the regained time of the world's knowledge workers would be devoted to actual work? \n\nMaybe?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1544449243464617984","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1544449243464617984","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1789474720683057443":{"id":"1789474720683057443","date":"2024-05-12 01:56:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Also AI","hashtags":[],"conv":"1789472319347544461","reply_id":"1789474594229006586","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":1996,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1789474720683057443_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1789474720683057443","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1716917776072499571":{"id":"1716917776072499571","date":"2023-10-24 20:41:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Companies who do cybersec as a compliance exercise (\"our customers are demanding SOC2 compliance\") vastly outnumber those who do it because they *actually* want to avoid getting hacked.\n\nAnd you wonder why so many get hacked...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1716917776072499571","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2872,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1716917776072499571","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1603779461316456450":{"id":"1603779461316456450","date":"2022-12-16 15:49:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"We're the ants. He's the kid.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1603779461316456450","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2616,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1603779461316456450_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1603779461316456450","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1537232434315468801":{"id":"1537232434315468801","date":"2022-06-16 00:35:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @theemilyaccount @bookdepth 💯\n\nA dictionary indexed by a price float will have me running for the hills in terror.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1537219779450261504","reply_id":"1537227819851231232","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1537232434315468801","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2038938229504639268":{"id":"2038938229504639268","date":"2026-03-31 11:15:30","author":"Meltem Demirors","handle":"Melt_Dem","text":"RT @Melt_Dem: intelligence not too cheap to meter \n\nin hindsight, well look back on 2025 - 2026 as the golden age for subsidized intelligence \n\ncost going one direction - up only - and it will get passed through","hashtags":[],"conv":"2038938229504639268","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2038713547564126575","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":12,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Melt_Dem/status/2038938229504639268"},"1985383333723865232":{"id":"1985383333723865232","date":"2025-11-03 16:27:28","author":"Thomas H. Ptacek","handle":"tqbf","text":"I love 3Blue1Brown. I will rewatch any of those videos infinity times. I don't think I've ever learned/retained anything from one though, and I'm suspicious of people who point to it as a superior learning resource. \n\n(Not a knock on 3B1B; truly an amazing achievement).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1985383333723865232","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1985680301108932764","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5347,"retweets":112,"replies":289,"quotes":114,"views":759872,"bookmarks":666,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tqbf/status/1985383333723865232"},"1241118188634427392":{"id":"1241118188634427392","date":"2020-03-20 21:43:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vixologist @6_Figure_Invest @bogs47686588 Look to the ETPs. I strongly suspect the answers lie there.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1241092791972720640","reply_id":"1241114224388116480","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vixologist","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1241118188634427392","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1513273288511746051":{"id":"1513273288511746051","date":"2022-04-10 21:50:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @OkayEstimator @be20684347 @aleondotxyz @2_7182818285 @HangukQuant That was a profitable day for me once in Amsterdam...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1513012899093962753","reply_id":"1513272124634374146","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1513273288511746051","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1712928467287973971":{"id":"1712928467287973971","date":"2023-10-13 20:29:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I feel like for the AGI to take over, it should at least be able to do elementary school AoPS problems.\n\nYet it continues its winless streak every time I try.\n\nNote how the very *first* thing it says is wrong.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1712928467287973971","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":39,"retweets":2,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":6566,"bookmarks":3,"media":["1712928467287973971_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1712928467287973971","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1492969356011225095":{"id":"1492969356011225095","date":"2022-02-13 21:10:07","author":"Speculator","handle":"TheSpeculator0","text":"instead of buying stock ahead of a merger announcement, buy derivatives. This certainly isn't illegal and a comically stupid way to insider trade.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1492969356011225095","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1492971606133522434","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheSpeculator0/status/1492969356011225095"},"2069760540709208306":{"id":"2069760540709208306","date":"2026-06-24 12:32:21","author":"Arvind Narayanan","handle":"random_walker","text":"The new Claude Tag feature seems extremely useful, but at the same time, a dangerous bargain for enterprises because of the pricing model and the risk of lock-in. The four big changes together mean that you interact with Claude as a coworker instead of a tool (the same Claude instance for everyone instead of each worker; soaks up tacit knowledge without your telling it; acts on its own; and does so asynchronously). All clearly very useful, but completely flips the interaction paradigm. https://www.anthropic.com/news/introducing-claude-tag\n\nLet’s talk about lock-in. As far as I can tell, Claude maintains its own memories in this new way of working; the human team members can’t see and edit them. (System administrators presumably can, but they have other things to do!) Tacit knowledge thus goes from a weakness of AI agents to a major strength — it seems inevitable that as teams and orgs start to use Claude this way, it will become the main queryable repository of all their tacit knowledge, creating dependence and stickiness. Effectively, Claude is a coworker that you can’t fire without *every* team losing workflows and know-how.\n\nBy the way, it also seems to introduce a new and pervasive security risk, since Claude can be integrated into private channels as well, and can be given access to repositories and tools even if the users in that channel don’t have access to them. Anthropic has introduced an interesting but complicated access control model to handle all this: https://claude.com/blog/agent-identity-access-model But I’m not sure I trust people to understand and implement it correctly, nor the LLMs to be sufficiently robust against threats like prompt injection.\n\nWhat about pricing? Claude is not like regular coworkers, because it bills for every token it produces. And it can do an unbounded amount of work, asynchronously and without being asked. In the current model, when AI is a tool, enterprises set per-user budgets, which creates accountability and keeps cost somewhat manageable. When everyone shares a Claude, it will be much harder to track and control spending. Of course you can set a token budget, but turning off Claude for the month for everybody when the budget is hit risks bringing work to a screeching halt.\n\nWhen AI companies talk about the next stage of AI being a “drop-in replacement” for human workers, it should be understood not as a technical innovation but a business model innovation, enabling more value capture and rent extraction. AI companies are no longer competing for a share of enterprises’ IT budgets but rather a share of their entire labor spend, which is orders of magnitude bigger. Claude Tag is a big milestone in this evolution. This shift is very good for AI companies, but it is unclear if it is good for their customers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2069760540709208306","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2069802495384133923","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":672,"retweets":87,"replies":60,"quotes":43,"views":202632,"bookmarks":552,"media":["2069760540709208306_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/random_walker/status/2069760540709208306"},"1596719641837023232":{"id":"1596719641837023232","date":"2022-11-27 04:16:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ALBACapMgmt @therobotjames @Gingfacekillah @TCK_JRubano @be20684347 I hit +0.0 once. Usually hover 1-2.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595095238514720768","reply_id":"1596711249500606464","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ALBACapMgmt","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1596719641837023232","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1417890067943620608":{"id":"1417890067943620608","date":"2021-07-21 16:51:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JaySinh68681549 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maximum_entropy_probability_distribution","hashtags":[],"conv":"1417888809438617600","reply_id":"1417888811342831618","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"temfr13","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1417890067943620608","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1693989336474403124":{"id":"1693989336474403124","date":"2023-08-22 14:11:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Curious_Chuck_D This. Is. Awesome!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1693988501459800327","reply_id":"1693989189493391503","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Curious_Chuck_D","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":174,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1693989336474403124","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1236781557077012480":{"id":"1236781557077012480","date":"2020-03-08 22:31:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ScottJo34110219 @lopezdeprado The volume clock is not even remotely his, I'm sure he'd admit that.\n\nMMs have thought in volume terms for decades.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1236755240403316742","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1236781557077012480","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1555282084960145408":{"id":"1555282084960145408","date":"2022-08-04 19:58:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2/ And maybe one time you oversize a position and the variance monster finally gets you. But even that just feels like bad luck.\n\nSo what does \"good at trading\" look like? It depends.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1555282083672510464","reply_id":"1555282083672510464","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1555282084960145408","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1755633576983531910":{"id":"1755633576983531910","date":"2024-02-08 16:43:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih Most important factor is accounting for vol time, i.e. there's a lot more vol around the open and the close than in the middle. I bet most or maybe all of the effect goes away if you do that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1755409785527382181","reply_id":"1755409792380834227","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":499,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1755633576983531910","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1837532642163540256":{"id":"1837532642163540256","date":"2024-09-21 16:41:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@QuantFinDev I've yet to read any book that purports to be \"ML for trading\" that's any good. Maybe it's out there but I haven't seen it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1837529061276442989","reply_id":"1837532093813084168","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"IndianQuantDev","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2047,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1837532642163540256","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1686756285306617856":{"id":"1686756285306617856","date":"2023-08-02 15:10:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jgreco @ValueHao 👆","hashtags":[],"conv":"1686751110860562433","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":129,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1686756285306617856","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1448341964139626497":{"id":"1448341964139626497","date":"2021-10-13 17:36:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"8/ If you're a good Bayesian, you recognizes this as precisely Bayes Theorem. And here's what I'm hereby calling Lebron's Theory Of Media Probabilities:\n\n\"Media companies select stories which maximize entropy.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448341956841533442","reply_id":"1448341963044839427","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448341964139626497","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1494013773446742017":{"id":"1494013773446742017","date":"2022-02-16 18:20:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ILiketoCope @bennpeifert @TwitterSupport Sigh. That really sucks.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494009532971900934","reply_id":"1494013474124763136","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ILiketoCope","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494013773446742017","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1934098165025935868":{"id":"1934098165025935868","date":"2025-06-15 03:58:31","author":"vitrupo","handle":"vitrupo","text":"Terence Tao says today's AIs pass the eye test -- but fail miserably on the smell test.\n\nThey generate proofs that look flawless. But the mistakes are subtle, and strangely inhuman.\n\n“There's a metaphorical mathematical smell.. it's not clear how to get AI to duplicate that.”\n\nIntelligence isn't what looks correct. It's what smells true.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1934098165025935868","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1934328883165192402","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4675,"retweets":622,"replies":123,"quotes":152,"views":930539,"bookmarks":2164,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/vitrupo/status/1934098165025935868"},"2003760312953262416":{"id":"2003760312953262416","date":"2025-12-24 09:31:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Honestly I would rather these quant guides not exist.\n\nYou have no idea who hard it is to design good interview questions, test them, refine them, have them be useful indicators of fit. Then someone publishes a guide.\n\nNow everyone knows the answer and the question is worthless.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2003760312953262416","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":189,"retweets":2,"replies":21,"quotes":1,"views":37672,"bookmarks":95,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2003760312953262416","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2048694361232220610":{"id":"2048694361232220610","date":"2026-04-27 09:22:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Good HF founders have a much higher opportunity cost.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2048693908486394079","reply_id":"2048694255128846551","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":28,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4647,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2048694361232220610","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1427989993960574983":{"id":"1427989993960574983","date":"2021-08-18 13:45:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The only a-priori necessary truths are logic and some of math.\n\nConvince me otherwise. @ZoharAtkins?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1427989993960574983","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1427989993960574983","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1511826345449324544":{"id":"1511826345449324544","date":"2022-04-06 22:01:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xshao Fair points, definitely.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1511808444642181123","reply_id":"1511825919555645445","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xshao","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1511826345449324544","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1493385786258976769":{"id":"1493385786258976769","date":"2022-02-15 00:44:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 The classical music thing is especially dumb.\n\n\"Don't select people who aren't like me.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493383199023460353","reply_id":"1493383199023460353","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493385786258976769","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2010043739939713501":{"id":"2010043739939713501","date":"2026-01-10 17:39:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Remember when bitter national debates on images/videos were about the color of a dress?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2010043739939713501","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":3785,"bookmarks":1,"media":["2010043739939713501_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2010043739939713501","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1507044535955644426":{"id":"1507044535955644426","date":"2022-03-24 17:19:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is awesome!!!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507044535955644426","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507044535955644426","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1597801753616953344":{"id":"1597801753616953344","date":"2022-11-30 03:56:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xCapitan @benchmarcc @KrisAbdelmessih https://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597801719681122304","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597690466807316480","reply_id":"1597801374385074179","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dannyonchain","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597801753616953344","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1698741050645377218":{"id":"1698741050645377218","date":"2023-09-04 16:53:22","author":"Gary Basin","handle":"garybasin","text":"Real software “engineering” has never been tried. We’re still in our craftsman era","hashtags":[],"conv":"1698741050645377218","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1698792496929947695","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":2,"views":4433,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1698741050645377218_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/garybasin/status/1698741050645377218"},"1767266109554823397":{"id":"1767266109554823397","date":"2024-03-11 19:07:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NotQuiteMidlife Also, you don't know how selection-biased those external signal backtests are.\n\nYou (should) know how biased your own are.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1480301013986734083","reply_id":"1480301013986734083","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuiteMidlife","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":409,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1767266109554823397","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1968916478347907386":{"id":"1968916478347907386","date":"2025-09-19 05:54:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Seems like Yud's book has managed to net UNconvince more people of his AI doomerism.\n\nTurns out collecting your parables and disjointed arguments in one place makes it much clearer how weak they are.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1968916478347907386","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":61,"retweets":6,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":4940,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1968916478347907386","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1959589809858482572":{"id":"1959589809858482572","date":"2025-08-24 12:13:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Our new robot overlords, everyone.\n\nJust a couple of ticks from AGI, but the price axis is upside down for no apparent reason.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1959589809858482572","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":66,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":7667,"bookmarks":4,"media":["1959589809858482572_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1959589809858482572","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1481480974290415617":{"id":"1481480974290415617","date":"2022-01-13 04:19:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@forwardrate @PrometheusCHT @FREAK0NAUT @therobotjames @Buy_The_Dip_ @vixologist @kchoudhu I tried Kindle but my memory doesn't work with them.\n\nTurns out that part of the way I remember things from books is the physical location in the physical book. \"Upper half of the left hand side, a third of the way through the book.\" Kindle eliminates that link for me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481302561592422402","reply_id":"1481480272348655618","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"thecertainwill","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1481480974290415617","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1361407943594287107":{"id":"1361407943594287107","date":"2021-02-15 20:12:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@call_me_g3 You bet, I'll think about it some.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1361392596908580864","reply_id":"1361405549343105025","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"call_me_g3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1361407943594287107","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1499456015653228556":{"id":"1499456015653228556","date":"2022-03-03 18:45:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano @nope_its_lily 1+4 are sufficient, but people systematically overestimate themselves on them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1499395872970317835","reply_id":"1499395872970317835","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1499456015653228556","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1439309866489638917":{"id":"1439309866489638917","date":"2021-09-18 19:26:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@miquel_malaga Definitely.\n\n\"These players are too bad for me to be able to make money.\" - Every crap poker pro ever\n\n🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1439302018976256002","reply_id":"1439308916320526341","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"miquel_malaga","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1439309866489638917","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1529875415891709964":{"id":"1529875415891709964","date":"2022-05-26 17:21:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily Big disagree on this. Improving your beta models is one of the most reliable sources of alpha.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529874794711093248","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1529875415891709964","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1632211394136510464":{"id":"1632211394136510464","date":"2023-03-05 02:48:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@spdsk8trgrl @onion_whale Not sure my kids are cut from that cloth but who knows?\n\nLots of respect for the people that come out of those schools!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632157627978514433","reply_id":"1632210128920539137","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"spdsk8trgrl","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":62,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632211394136510464","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1899490951367676365":{"id":"1899490951367676365","date":"2025-03-11 16:01:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So far it's been a blast.\n- Many interesting, difficult problems to solve.\n- The team is awesome.\n- And so far some pretty good early success.\n\nPlus I'm very slowly learning Czech, which is... an undertaking.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1899490949530571095","reply_id":"1899490949530571095","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1551,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1899490951367676365","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1561909548394221568":{"id":"1561909548394221568","date":"2022-08-23 02:53:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 @therobotjames @Cereal_Intern @MisuaRaboki Yeah, I don't know the holding period. But if you mark out a few minutes all of that washes out.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1411890038938345472","reply_id":"1561909113629597696","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1561909548394221568","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1847616906506682540":{"id":"1847616906506682540","date":"2024-10-19 12:32:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Versace_Trader Not right now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847610792113316169","reply_id":"1847615836749775245","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Versace_Trader","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":577,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847616906506682540","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1476925466120318979":{"id":"1476925466120318979","date":"2021-12-31 14:37:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2/ Self-custodying of important things (wallets, etc) is not a viable long-term solution if 100x'ing crypto is a goal.\n\nMy mom can't be trusted to have the necessary opsec to handle her $ in irrecoverable ways.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476925464824270848","reply_id":"1476925464824270848","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476925466120318979","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1523302796472188930":{"id":"1523302796472188930","date":"2022-05-08 14:04:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pranavvk @gauravs85278125 @therobotjames Well, I was the liquidity provider and y'all were the takers so... y'all adversely selected *me*? :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1523190463586770944","reply_id":"1523192309805813761","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pranavvk","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1523302796472188930","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1792586918645166432":{"id":"1792586918645166432","date":"2024-05-20 16:03:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@abiylfoyp You mean that 50g protein bar?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1792585179384431092","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":63,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":16255,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1792586918645166432","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1546258563856666624":{"id":"1546258563856666624","date":"2022-07-10 22:22:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I don't understand how movie reviewers think they're doing something when they review superhero movies.\n\nThor: Love and Thunder isn't a *movie* in any meaningful sense of the term. Ceremony, pilgrimage, ritual; call it what you will but it's certainly not a film.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546258563856666624","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546258563856666624","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1397985847744421889":{"id":"1397985847744421889","date":"2021-05-27 18:39:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@steve_capital Thanks! 🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1397984366484131841","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1397985847744421889","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1199449923780931584":{"id":"1199449923780931584","date":"2019-11-26 22:08:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Good!\n\nhttps://www.wsj.com/articles/investment-advisers-fear-losing-out-in-a-schwab-td-ameritrade-deal-11574680221","hashtags":[],"conv":"1199449923780931584","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1199449923780931584","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1491427102377517056":{"id":"1491427102377517056","date":"2022-02-09 15:01:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin This is the dream. Software is still written like it's the 19th century. Completely artisanal.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1491412011347251202","reply_id":"1491412011347251202","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1491427102377517056","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1934618722884575634":{"id":"1934618722884575634","date":"2025-06-16 14:27:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@waltuuuhr @XanjVol And we know from many historical examples that people who claim to be risk-neutral are actually risk-seeking.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1934563284453036526","reply_id":"1934614802766168514","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"waltuuuhr","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":430,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1934618722884575634","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1950823732316082301":{"id":"1950823732316082301","date":"2025-07-31 07:39:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's kind of amazing to me that \"all finance is gambling\" went from a fringe belief to an unshakable fact in around 5 years.\n\nEven old-line financial firms like JPM have fully embraced the gamblization of everything. Not even a pretence that it was ever about anything else.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1950823732316082301","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":311,"retweets":11,"replies":16,"quotes":3,"views":26231,"bookmarks":60,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1950823732316082301","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2002044286028726603":{"id":"2002044286028726603","date":"2025-12-19 15:52:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If you had asked me if:\n- the guy from Mr Show,\n- the guy who was Elaine's aspiring-doctor boyfriend,\n- the guy who played a greasy cowardly lawyer,\n\nwas going to turn into a bonafide action star...","hashtags":[],"conv":"2002044286028726603","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":6295,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2002044286028726603","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1699165497282187385":{"id":"1699165497282187385","date":"2023-09-05 20:59:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What was the greatest \"this human actually has the Force\" moment in sports history?\n\nWrite-ins encouraged.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1699165497282187385","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":13,"quotes":0,"views":5362,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1699165497282187385","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1798880883841147247":{"id":"1798880883841147247","date":"2024-06-07 00:53:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @CJHandmer Or pessimistic about \"AI\" startups.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1798866640538624199","reply_id":"1798875036360822981","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":208,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1798880883841147247","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1282761705705988097":{"id":"1282761705705988097","date":"2020-07-13 19:39:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz It's hard to describe how entertaining this is to watch. Oh, the memories of a certain other carmaker...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1282757325288288263","reply_id":"1282757325288288263","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1282761705705988097_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1282761705705988097","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1519674649184923649":{"id":"1519674649184923649","date":"2022-04-28 13:47:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@D0blin Both excellent. What sort of things are you looking for?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1519590194454081537","reply_id":"1519669719737180160","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"D0blin","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1519674649184923649","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1789472319347544461":{"id":"1789472319347544461","date":"2024-05-12 01:47:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In 2024, a humidity sensor is AI.\n\nBasically any feedback loop, whether mechanical, electronic or digital, is now AI.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1789472319347544461","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":212,"retweets":13,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":21210,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1789472319347544461","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1949721464040518019":{"id":"1949721464040518019","date":"2025-07-28 06:39:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Everyone: The world is going crazy, it's falling apart! Tariffs, wars, AI!\n\nSPY: Vol is 6. Call me when something happens.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1949721464040518019","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":99,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":6238,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1949721464040518019","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1702794275103371278":{"id":"1702794275103371278","date":"2023-09-15 21:19:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite Hits me in the feels.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1702789774057111861","reply_id":"1702789774057111861","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":254,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1702794275103371278","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1536515670451449857":{"id":"1536515670451449857","date":"2022-06-14 01:07:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily Oil futures would like a word.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536515562552950784","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":34,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1536515670451449857","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1486413622809006080":{"id":"1486413622809006080","date":"2022-01-26 18:59:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"6/ \"(checks prices on the CBOT) Wow, marketing's up a lot. 18 months ago you could buy marketing at $5 a pound but now it's $8/pound. Plus the New York Times article fees.\"\n\nCEO: \"Ok fine, I can handle that. We just raised a new round.\"\n\n\"Oh cool.\"\n\nCEO: \"Yeah we're a unicorn.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486413617582927874","reply_id":"1486413621777219586","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1486413622809006080","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1595636626557837312":{"id":"1595636626557837312","date":"2022-11-24 04:33:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Hatred at the MSM's obvious complicity may be the one thing that can bring the crypto community together in these dark times.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595636626557837312","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":31,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1595636626557837312","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1564811873534427137":{"id":"1564811873534427137","date":"2022-08-31 03:06:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I'm looking to hear candidates for out-of-time inventions/discoveries.\n\nEither things that, with the benefit of hindsight, appear to have happened much earlier OR later than they \"should have\".\n\n@Noahpinion I bet you'd have some good ones.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1564811873534427137","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":13,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1564811873534427137","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1372365340101857280":{"id":"1372365340101857280","date":"2021-03-18 01:52:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal So it's ~20 years of data, meaning ~2500 datapoints.\n\nIf you're using 200 day returns, then that's 12.5 effective datapoints?\n\nDid I understand it right?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1372362211688079363","reply_id":"1372364453220605952","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1372365340101857280","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1529861303992344577":{"id":"1529861303992344577","date":"2022-05-26 16:25:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"You used to see this a lot with online poker pros. Every decision is compared against \"How much $ am I giving up by not playing online instead?\"\n\nIt's soul-destroying over the long haul.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529861303992344577","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1529861303992344577","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1891953208412496011":{"id":"1891953208412496011","date":"2025-02-18 20:49:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@krishnanrohit The smell, color and sound of 304 stainless steel when you're turning it just a bit too fast on the lathe.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1891949443999514923","reply_id":"1891951018067308634","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"krishnanrohit","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":520,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1891953208412496011","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1933435935762624800":{"id":"1933435935762624800","date":"2025-06-13 08:07:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Unclear. Traditionally, trading firms go through a few need-based stages of becoming-public:\n\n1. Hiring. Become more public in order to attract great people.\n\n2. Relationships. Building an agency business, for example.\n\n3. Capital. LPs, loans.\n\n4. Influence. Regulatory stuff.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1933435935762624800","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":11,"quotes":0,"views":7039,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1933435935762624800","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1443301634394640385":{"id":"1443301634394640385","date":"2021-09-29 19:48:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@anderpart @therobotjames \n@lightspringfox \n@macrocephalopod \n@volmagorov \n\nI'd also try to hire about another half-dozen or so.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443283134116732935","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1443301634394640385","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1931683000992837754":{"id":"1931683000992837754","date":"2025-06-08 12:01:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@confusedarb @GryptoGoon Correct. It's a SHA256 of a piece of text containing a prediction.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1931662460680880252","reply_id":"1931678971151974458","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"confusedarb","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":241,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1931683000992837754","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1587562473627926528":{"id":"1587562473627926528","date":"2022-11-01 21:49:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @theemilyaccount @witchqueendot @be20684347 Do you have a tweet-length review of the book below it?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1587478061632479234","reply_id":"1587561914036543488","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1587562473627926528","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1998435574638600703":{"id":"1998435574638600703","date":"2025-12-09 16:52:24","author":"fdf","handle":"0xfdf","text":"Me designing a cool new experiment: Haha fuck yeah! Yes!! I'm so smart!\n\nMe seeing the results of the experiment: Well this fucking sucks. What the fuck","hashtags":[],"conv":"1998435574638600703","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1998442943871369524","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":127,"retweets":6,"replies":1,"quotes":7,"views":40402,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0xfdf/status/1998435574638600703"},"2053018786354078128":{"id":"2053018786354078128","date":"2026-05-09 07:46:36","author":"Antonio García Martínez (agm.eth)","handle":"antoniogm","text":"RT @antoniogm: @signulll (Guy with status on all three major US airlines, who's also flown in Asia and Gulf region):\n\nNo US airline is premium in any way, shape or form.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2053018786354078128","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2052884953529204885","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":5,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/antoniogm/status/2053018786354078128"},"2051655246284276081":{"id":"2051655246284276081","date":"2026-05-05 13:28:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Exactly. It's completely the opposite of hoard.\n\nEven if it were sitting in cash, guess where that cash is going? Yup, it's invested in the US government. Very generously, I might add, given you don't get (much) interest.\n\nIt's actually impossible to hoard most kinds of wealth.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2051655246284276081","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":59,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":17962,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2051655246284276081","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1575677874635304960":{"id":"1575677874635304960","date":"2022-09-30 02:44:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Hey what if we packaged the tooling our offshore devs use to knock out client webapps into a... low-code solution!!!\"\n\n- Every contract software dev company that wants to become a product company because \"margins\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1575677874635304960","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1575677874635304960","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1866123629874041223":{"id":"1866123629874041223","date":"2024-12-09 14:11:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The opposite of dumb is usually just different dumb.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1866123629874041223","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3864,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1866123629874041223","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2006344359281938820":{"id":"2006344359281938820","date":"2025-12-31 12:39:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Darn, I guess memecoins the wrong asset class to patiently dollar-cost-average buy-and-hold until retirement.\n\nI guess I'll rotate to s̶p̶o̶r̶t̶s̶ ̶g̶a̶m̶b̶l̶i̶n̶g̶ event prediction markets. That's bound to work.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2006344359281938820","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":5067,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2006344359281938820","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2029021133580984572":{"id":"2029021133580984572","date":"2026-03-04 02:28:30","author":"Parminder Singh","handle":"parrysingh","text":"Something cute, but mildly nerve-wracking, happened in Singapore Parliament yesterday. MPs were asked to solve a math problem, presented in two ways. The minister was showing how breaking a problem into steps helps - which is the method they follow in Singapore schools. \n\nSingapore MPs are famously well educated - I’m sure they did fine, though the overall score was never revealed.\n\nYou might want to test your own skills too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2029021133580984572","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2029108946770829471","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":377,"retweets":57,"replies":29,"quotes":22,"views":76880,"bookmarks":341,"media":["2029021133580984572_1.jpg","2029021133580984572_2.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/parrysingh/status/2029021133580984572"},"1183880923084816385":{"id":"1183880923084816385","date":"2019-10-14 23:03:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MebFaber This is the @matt_levine argument: crypto is just going to recapitulate all the developments of the last 100 years of finance. I estimate we're at around 1990 right now. Just in time for loan securitization.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1183865113561845760","reply_id":"1183865113561845760","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MebFaber","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1183880923084816385","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1597287985493336064":{"id":"1597287985493336064","date":"2022-11-28 17:55:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lightspringfox Rule #1 in running: you can't win races you don't toe the line in.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597284881414770690","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597287985493336064","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1633934281000235008":{"id":"1633934281000235008","date":"2023-03-09 20:54:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"22/ But the problem is those large customers, often institutionals and trading companies, are precisely the kinds of customers who are going to be checking their receipts diligently as part of their normal back-office processes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633934250620891136","reply_id":"1633934278282350593","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2072,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633934281000235008","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1598482363910356993":{"id":"1598482363910356993","date":"2022-12-02 01:01:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@timebargains Guarantee ChatGPT can already do those at least to the level of a 20k follower Twitter account.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598481305716809729","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598482363910356993","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1455176469886291969":{"id":"1455176469886291969","date":"2021-11-01 14:14:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 @AlexNoonan6 Note: right tail and ruthless are highly correlated properties.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1455172465869697033","reply_id":"1455173079026573320","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1455176469886291969","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1709208658972913777":{"id":"1709208658972913777","date":"2023-10-03 14:07:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano While all this is true, even better is making the FT hiring decision after a 3mo internship.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709204215233380426","reply_id":"1709204215233380426","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2786,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1709208658972913777","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1722711549893321007":{"id":"1722711549893321007","date":"2023-11-09 20:23:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nabeelqu Yeah, oddly low energy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1722709135043793138","reply_id":"1722711025038852391","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nabeelqu","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":123,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1722711549893321007","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1647386037931634688":{"id":"1647386037931634688","date":"2023-04-15 23:46:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@perrymetzger Basically every civilized place has zoning. Why do you think billions of people are making such a massive mistake, if indeed it is one?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1647384602338525193","reply_id":"1647384602338525193","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"perrymetzger","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":450,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1647386037931634688","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1959591449223438769":{"id":"1959591449223438769","date":"2025-08-24 12:19:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@noalphadecay @TradingDutchman @Eurex Agreed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1959568586114040234","reply_id":"1959590843565613232","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"noalphadecay","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":344,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1959591449223438769","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1283153225323909121":{"id":"1283153225323909121","date":"2020-07-14 21:35:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bkavoussi @mattyglesias @bendreyfuss @benyt I tell people that day 1 orientation for new hires is how to turn off notifications on Slack.\n\nBest productivity investment a company can make on a per minute basis.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1283145478125826048","reply_id":"1283147550112002048","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bkavoussi","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1283153225323909121","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2047636085656719658":{"id":"2047636085656719658","date":"2026-04-24 11:17:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What is the stupidest comment character, and why is it TeX's percent sign?\n\nBecause no one typesetting math will need to speak about the percentages of things very often.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2047636085656719658","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":98,"retweets":2,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":14443,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2047636085656719658","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1448105879803289605":{"id":"1448105879803289605","date":"2021-10-13 01:58:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ej271 @drewg__ @therobotjames Interesting!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448086924330246151","reply_id":"1448104902555680771","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ej271","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448105879803289605","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1642334522644545541":{"id":"1642334522644545541","date":"2023-04-02 01:13:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames You got some Android-only stuff you're DYING to write?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1642284587064918016","reply_id":"1642284587064918016","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2378,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1642334522644545541","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1722356501367632242":{"id":"1722356501367632242","date":"2023-11-08 20:52:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbateman Also, imagine how much easier it would be to retain great talent if the people teachers interacted with daily (students) actually wanted to be there.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1722347420871209463","reply_id":"1722355299594444819","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbateman","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":40,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1722356501367632242","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1721177886181441570":{"id":"1721177886181441570","date":"2023-11-05 14:49:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Yolo4Yacht People w/o kids are myopically happier. Data shows this.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1720976400629588423","reply_id":"1721049168456925485","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Buy__The__Dip","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":74,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1721177886181441570","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1539249479634890753":{"id":"1539249479634890753","date":"2022-06-21 14:10:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"18/ Infants only care about themselves: I’m hungry, I’m tired. Through acculturation, kids learn that they’re not the ONLY end-unto-themselves. Their brother matters too, even though it really REALLY feels like he doesn’t and shouldn’t. Caring about your parents comes even later.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1539249425956093952","reply_id":"1539249478133243910","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1539249479634890753","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1783129555102060923":{"id":"1783129555102060923","date":"2024-04-24 13:43:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ekrii3 If you want something more directly applicable to trading, I recommend this. More of a how-to/recipe book thing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1783040184680083819","reply_id":"1783040199926435883","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ekrii3","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1151,"bookmarks":18,"media":["1783129555102060923_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1783129555102060923","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1896923270517256652":{"id":"1896923270517256652","date":"2025-03-04 13:58:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Most jobs don’t require real thinking. Proof: Most people can’t write.\" - @TheZvi \n\nhttps://thezvi.substack.com/p/on-writing-1","hashtags":[],"conv":"1896923270517256652","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1532,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1896923270517256652","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1603103042093518849":{"id":"1603103042093518849","date":"2022-12-14 19:02:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Easy to say \"do your own research\". But for most, their own research isn't going to be as good as just copying a high-status entity.\n\nEven if it is better, it has to be a *lot* better than conventional wisdom.\n\nLPs, investors, employees see tracking error from CW as a problem.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1603103042093518849","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1603126007166210048","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1603103042093518849","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1633934272976547840":{"id":"1633934272976547840","date":"2023-03-09 20:54:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"17/ Proof of assets alone doesn’t do ANYTHING without knowing what an exchange’s liabilities are.\n\nBut those liabilities are off-chain! They’re just stuff that the exchange owes customers.\n\nThis is the hard part about a proof of solvency.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633934250620891136","reply_id":"1633934271638548480","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":21,"retweets":3,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":3550,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633934272976547840","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1900643170603442635":{"id":"1900643170603442635","date":"2025-03-14 20:20:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@yieldcurvepro @macrocephalopod A Cal CS prof complaining that the students are using LLMs to solve the assignments and \"they're not learning debugging\" is a massive trigger.\n\nOf COURSE they're doing that. It's the broken syllabus and system YOU set up!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1900587520305332699","reply_id":"1900642848879374397","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":891,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1900643170603442635","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1921950196914614695":{"id":"1921950196914614695","date":"2025-05-12 15:26:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"We now have two economically far left (and economically ignorant) parties, they just differ in their preferred pronouns.” - @CliffordAsness","hashtags":[],"conv":"1921858313169318179","reply_id":"1921858313169318179","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":26,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1677,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1921950196914614695","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1547385554379177984":{"id":"1547385554379177984","date":"2022-07-14 01:00:39","author":"Romeen Sheth","handle":"RomeenSheth","text":"I talked to a super smart 20 year old this week.\n \nAll the potential in the world, but had a major major flaw in his thinking.\n \nThis flaw is becoming the most common mistake I am seeing young people make early in their career.\n \nLet's break it down:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1547385554379177984","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1547413746917576705","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18376,"retweets":3906,"replies":522,"quotes":772,"views":0,"bookmarks":6476,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/RomeenSheth/status/1547385554379177984"},"1653211459713892352":{"id":"1653211459713892352","date":"2023-05-02 01:35:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount F1 definitely, all the teams have extensive simulators.\n\nBut what about just a batter taking 100 virtual pitches from tomorrow's starting pitcher? Gotta be worth something.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1653206173754208258","reply_id":"1653206835556413446","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":627,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1653211459713892352","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1793778218786586665":{"id":"1793778218786586665","date":"2024-05-23 22:57:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@natfriedman","hashtags":[],"conv":"1793776781536973171","reply_id":"1793776781536973171","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"natfriedman","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":180,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1793778218786586665_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1793778218786586665","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1498865001427206149":{"id":"1498865001427206149","date":"2022-03-02 03:37:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan Everything I've seen indicates over a long timescale equity markets crush residential RE.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1498855385108680704","reply_id":"1498861166633832453","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1498865001427206149","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1476317668495933440":{"id":"1476317668495933440","date":"2021-12-29 22:22:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Thanks so much man! Really appreciate you and the actual honest-to-goodness help you provide on #fintwit every day.","hashtags":["fintwit"],"conv":"1476304612638355459","reply_id":"1476304612638355459","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476317668495933440","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2009577713867317354":{"id":"2009577713867317354","date":"2026-01-09 10:47:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Patiently waiting for this prediction from AI 2027:\n\n\"The stock market has gone up 30% in 2026, led by OpenBrain, Nvidia, and whichever companies have most successfully integrated AI assistants.\"\n\nI assume in real terms because nominal is for clowns and surely they're not clowns?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2009577713867317354","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3470,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2009577713867317354","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1588582699538599936":{"id":"1588582699538599936","date":"2022-11-04 17:23:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@thatchhut @backbooked @0xdoug What kind of apps? Depends...\n\n-SaaS: Ruby/Django backend + Swift/Kotlin/Flutter for mobile and JS for web?\n-.NET: F#\n\netc","hashtags":[],"conv":"1588553872939044864","reply_id":"1588575243383492608","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"thatchhut","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1588582699538599936","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1627397822499938304":{"id":"1627397822499938304","date":"2023-02-19 20:00:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@realeigenvalues @arb8020 Depends who \"they\" are. Prop firms, banks, HFs, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1627148361248956417","reply_id":"1627353609766834176","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"realeigenvalues","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":273,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1627397822499938304","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1540559081055723522":{"id":"1540559081055723522","date":"2022-06-25 04:54:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"All this talk about Turing testing various AIs is pointless.\n\nIt's abundantly clear that soon enough no one is going to care anyway. The people like me who do care are eventually going to die.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1540559081055723522","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1540559081055723522","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1485466193116884997":{"id":"1485466193116884997","date":"2022-01-24 04:15:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Almost...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1485466114561691649","reply_id":"1485466114561691649","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1485466193116884997","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1595438385400844292":{"id":"1595438385400844292","date":"2022-11-23 15:25:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 I think he's right.\nAnd that you're right.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595207620578582528","reply_id":"1595207620578582528","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1595438385400844292","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1417531101480845314":{"id":"1417531101480845314","date":"2021-07-20 17:05:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@GestaltU Can I request you focus a bit of time on practical and achievable paths to getting nuclear back on the table as a legitimate option in developed countries?\n\nThat seems like by far the most important issue.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1417521546722267148","reply_id":"1417521546722267148","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GestaltU","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1417531101480845314","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1793840415604666836":{"id":"1793840415604666836","date":"2024-05-24 03:04:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeepDishEnjoyer @Dub0x3A @lightvector1 Don't, he's just going to win it.\n\nLeave some fun for the rest of us.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1793816405562810547","reply_id":"1793823847625728441","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeepDishEnjoyer","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":129,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1793840415604666836","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1377258776428826626":{"id":"1377258776428826626","date":"2021-03-31 13:57:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"A book review: London And The 17th Century\n\nhttps://www.amazon.com/London-Seventeenth-Century-Making-Greatest/dp/0300248784\n\nby @margarettelinc1 \n\n1/n","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377258776428826626","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1377258776428826626","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1734677154544447520":{"id":"1734677154544447520","date":"2023-12-12 20:50:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ksidiii Gotta adapt, always.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1734670771279073308","reply_id":"1734676971617976532","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Ksidiii","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":545,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1734677154544447520","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1358868825672847360":{"id":"1358868825672847360","date":"2021-02-08 20:02:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sajidnizami @saah1lk Selling in general is profitable (vol premium).\n\nSelling overnight, over the weekend and over holidays is a bit better yeah. Basically selling vol at anytime you can't transact has an extra risk premium attached to it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1358848031949488133","reply_id":"1358868352832163846","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sajidnizami","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1358868825672847360","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1352106368505794562":{"id":"1352106368505794562","date":"2021-01-21 04:10:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @mpp75214 @JessicaNutt96 Ok cool. I've never built portfolios this way but it sounds valid.\n\nBallpark intuition: 6mo options, IV[25d P,50d,25d C] = [22,20,18]. What SSR would this approach give you? Above 1?\n\nI could probably go calculate it but I'm lazy. 😃","hashtags":[],"conv":"1352069470903181313","reply_id":"1352104596269776897","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1352106368505794562","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1434963962383138816":{"id":"1434963962383138816","date":"2021-09-06 19:37:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"7/ Conversely, old ppl will get less value from trying new things, supposedly, so they stick to what they know.\n\nIn the ancestral environment that makes sense, since that world wasn’t nearly as diverse as ours is today.\n\nWhich is why old people can seem “stuck in a rut”.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434963956599193601","reply_id":"1434963961376481285","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434963962383138816","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2075549369764344073":{"id":"2075549369764344073","date":"2026-07-10 11:55:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Making a new grad sign a two-year non-compete should be a criminal offense.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2075549369764344073","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":434,"retweets":3,"replies":24,"quotes":4,"views":38857,"bookmarks":35,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2075549369764344073","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1648201397559754752":{"id":"1648201397559754752","date":"2023-04-18 05:46:49","author":"roon","handle":"tszzl","text":"Jevons paradox of LLM code assistants: ChatGPT etc will allow the software complexity of human civilization to drastically increase until it’s very hard to do software engineering again","hashtags":[],"conv":"1648201397559754752","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1648382588200062976","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":595,"retweets":38,"replies":31,"quotes":10,"views":84853,"bookmarks":63,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tszzl/status/1648201397559754752"},"1441075274544676865":{"id":"1441075274544676865","date":"2021-09-23 16:21:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @ejames_c Complaining about this is being a scrub.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1440890442367655937","reply_id":"1440890442367655937","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1441075274544676865","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1619900251028209664":{"id":"1619900251028209664","date":"2023-01-30 03:28:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ckarmstrong @inspiralpattern @lmazare singlehandedly making it happen.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1619551588351361027","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":74,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1619900251028209664","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1505588588682964996":{"id":"1505588588682964996","date":"2022-03-20 16:54:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"10/ If you're hiring the wrong people, the ones who think they can compete with Jump trading Spoos, then you're going to LOSE.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1505588587508559873","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505588588682964996","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1602964667013505024":{"id":"1602964667013505024","date":"2022-12-14 09:52:12","author":"Speculator","handle":"TheSpeculator0","text":"the graduate im interviewing' inside voice: \"god i hope i can bullshit my way through this\"\n\nme, not having read any of the recruiting / hr prep: \"god i hope i can bullshit my way through this\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602964667013505024","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1603049531817369600","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":143,"retweets":4,"replies":6,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheSpeculator0/status/1602964667013505024"},"1598365930538430465":{"id":"1598365930538430465","date":"2022-12-01 17:18:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase @therobotjames @robertmartin88 1. Sizing linearly with predicted future returns is a good first step.\n2. So you want a function that maps your signal to predicted future returns. Maybe that's linear.\n\nsignal --linear?--> predicted future returns\npredicted future returns --linear--> desired position","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598359321158553602","reply_id":"1598361259900125189","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":36,"retweets":6,"replies":2,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":19,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598365930538430465","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1480004055044792326":{"id":"1480004055044792326","date":"2022-01-09 02:30:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ryanfoo @guidoborreroj @IGotThisTrustMe @QwQiao Hoping we figure that out!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1479846176790884354","reply_id":"1480003880104521728","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ryanfoo","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1480004055044792326","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1770952122332598353":{"id":"1770952122332598353","date":"2024-03-21 23:14:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@__schaal__ I meant two one-hand forehands. Different hands.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1770916075234103409","reply_id":"1770926460900942039","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"__schaal__","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":322,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1770952122332598353","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1412617460402966536":{"id":"1412617460402966536","date":"2021-07-07 03:40:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sw33ty4mth @saanglee @M1tchRosenthal @sajidnizami @longskew @therobotjames You can get the individual futures though and literally roll your own.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1412584152919162881","reply_id":"1412617333416341509","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"return_stacking","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1412617460402966536","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2041187134376231158":{"id":"2041187134376231158","date":"2026-04-06 16:11:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"You can make a financial model say anything you want. It's not hard.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2041187134376231158","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":49,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":2,"views":11320,"bookmarks":6,"media":["2041187134376231158_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2041187134376231158","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1286678748213870592":{"id":"1286678748213870592","date":"2020-07-24 15:04:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@michellevarron @danheld I'll admit I never thought of 3D printing toilet paper... :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1286648194961743873","reply_id":"1286678596249980932","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"michellevarron","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1286678748213870592","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1369856509371281409":{"id":"1369856509371281409","date":"2021-03-11 03:43:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 @M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames @InBraised","hashtags":[],"conv":"1369774884834934788","reply_id":"1369851076988506114","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1369856509371281409_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1369856509371281409","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1903889760483238169":{"id":"1903889760483238169","date":"2025-03-23 19:21:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If I could retweet this once a month I would.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1903889760483238169","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":147,"retweets":4,"replies":11,"quotes":0,"views":24101,"bookmarks":23,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1903889760483238169","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2015003029309739220":{"id":"2015003029309739220","date":"2026-01-24 10:05:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Desperately trying to keep our position in a collapsing hierarchy while that position becomes \"somehow staying on top of the automation that keeps you competitive\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"2015000116986266085","reply_id":"2015000116986266085","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2232,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2015003029309739220","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2072627232237830639":{"id":"2072627232237830639","date":"2026-07-02 10:23:34","author":"Antonio García Martínez (agm.eth)","handle":"antoniogm","text":"RT @antoniogm: Recall that humans are largely incapable of imagining states of the world they've never directly experienced. \n\nThus, if the only functioning organization you've ever seen is a venture-backed company, you'll seriously believe that's the only viable form of human organization. \n\nThe entire human condition will get shoehorned to fit into that: work, meaning, religion, the works. It's self-fulfillingly true, but also entirely contingent on that shared belief.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2072627232237830639","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2072619863378370580","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":13,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":371,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/antoniogm/status/2072627232237830639"},"1597315257168384000":{"id":"1597315257168384000","date":"2022-11-28 19:43:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Type 1 creativity: iterative innovation on an existing path.\n\nType 2 creativity: something truly novel.\n\nSo far GPTn, DALL-E, StableDiffusion, Codex, etc are pretty clearly only doing Type 1.\n\nNot a criticism. Type 1 creativity is useful.\nLots of $ in remixing the world. But meh.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597315257168384000","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":32,"retweets":2,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597315257168384000","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2056358544480387223":{"id":"2056358544480387223","date":"2026-05-18 12:57:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Malthusian thinking has been wrong for 200 years, but it's nearly unmatched as an attractor state.\n\nOnly socialism beats it for # believers/correctness ratio.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2056358544480387223","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":39,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4190,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2056358544480387223","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1577009412019220480":{"id":"1577009412019220480","date":"2022-10-03 18:55:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brettharrison We're still very much in the dark ages right now. All of the engineering metrics SaaS companies track (features, bugs, uptime, etc) are more-measurable proxies for E[revenue].\n\nIt's a hard problem, but I don't see many eng orgs trying to make the connection to eventual revenue.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1577007460459892736","reply_id":"1577008378462629889","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1577009412019220480","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1630442914227851265":{"id":"1630442914227851265","date":"2023-02-28 05:40:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AnthonyLeeZhang Depends. Do you want just prices or Greeks too? 1000 steps is a *lot* for just prices of a 1mo option, typically.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1630433344058957824","reply_id":"1630433438971879426","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alz_zyd_","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":260,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1630442914227851265","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1454896803975860229":{"id":"1454896803975860229","date":"2021-10-31 19:43:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"11/ Imagine taking a kid out of soccer from ages 4-16 (2 coached practices a week, one tournament on weekends) and instead putting them in a program where by the end, they've started 10 businesses with a bunch of their friends.\n\nWhy doesn't this exist?\nWhy don't people want this?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1454896792802267140","reply_id":"1454896802872758274","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1454896803975860229","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1911344621847822640":{"id":"1911344621847822640","date":"2025-04-13 09:04:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@W98AB The bias towards hero-ball in the MVP voting is infuriating. Kobe, Harden, Westbrook, now Shai. It's all the same.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1911340084101521640","reply_id":"1911344063275507986","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"W98AB","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":173,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1911344621847822640","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1637514062136504320":{"id":"1637514062136504320","date":"2023-03-19 17:59:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount It's the nature of Spiethdom. You don't choose the ones who break your heart every Sunday, they choose you.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1637507611292491782","reply_id":"1637513206041026561","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":252,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1637514062136504320","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1500610330635870209":{"id":"1500610330635870209","date":"2022-03-06 23:12:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@r232z @KrisAbdelmessih @FiSurgi Amen to that! A lot of the way we get smarter or more effective is by improving our priors.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1500525249603018756","reply_id":"1500609698227052546","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"r232z","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1500610330635870209","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1411422243800842240":{"id":"1411422243800842240","date":"2021-07-03 20:31:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VCBrags A is B for C.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1411394159034970114","reply_id":"1411394159034970114","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VCBrags","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1411422243800842240","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1503052421383163910":{"id":"1503052421383163910","date":"2022-03-13 16:56:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Does there exist a @Lifinity_io whitepaper?\n\nThis:\nhttps://medium.com/@lifinity.io/introducing-lifinity-protocol-12ff0f5798c4\nis rather light on details...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503052421383163910","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1503052421383163910","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1640838194899062784":{"id":"1640838194899062784","date":"2023-03-28 22:08:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 2. You're making the employer's job much harder. In an ideal world, no candidate has seen or heard any of the questions an employer asks. The more that questions are known out there, the more gamified the process becomes.\n\nMakes it harder to get an accurate read.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1640833303480795137","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":230,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1640838194899062784","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1723045742091120737":{"id":"1723045742091120737","date":"2023-11-10 18:31:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"While word-sayers are busy saying words, people who do things are creating the world we live in.\n\nBack when we were poor, people who did things had two choices to marshal meaningful resources: violence or word-saying.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1723045742091120737","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":4264,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1723045742091120737","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1154529458222559236":{"id":"1154529458222559236","date":"2019-07-25 23:10:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OddStats How do you get good at selling?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1154515091389157377","reply_id":"1154515091389157377","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OddStats","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1154529458222559236","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1674145618355208193":{"id":"1674145618355208193","date":"2023-06-28 19:59:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames 🙏🙏🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1673849147861143554","reply_id":"1673849147861143554","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":830,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1674145618355208193","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1942138302657658899":{"id":"1942138302657658899","date":"2025-07-07 08:27:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"12/ As I said, I'm not an Indian securities judge so I don't know if what they did was illegal. But I do know two things:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942138300187213890","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":106,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":23856,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942138302657658899","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1433522445789515778":{"id":"1433522445789515778","date":"2021-09-02 20:09:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@boogiePANDA1 @secretPANDA007 @therobotjames @KrisAbdelmessih @matt_levine You're sitting right next to each other aren't you? :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1433517108638322697","reply_id":"1433522314713440264","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"boogiePANDA69","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1433522445789515778","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2061035385493291009":{"id":"2061035385493291009","date":"2026-05-31 10:41:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Modern ruling classes need a little less sauve-qui-peut and a little more noblesse-oblige. Especially in tech.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2061035385493291009","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":130,"retweets":7,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":9381,"bookmarks":26,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2061035385493291009","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1346917143456018434":{"id":"1346917143456018434","date":"2021-01-06 20:30:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Someone call MSCI, EEM needs a rebal.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346910073730207746","reply_id":"1346910073730207746","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346917143456018434","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1546971341626023937":{"id":"1546971341626023937","date":"2022-07-12 21:34:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sw33tY4ms @BeaglierCap I spent ~8 years running >50mpw average. Off day 7 milers were fine because it was a chance to switch off after work.\n\nBut those workout days... that was some masochism I enjoyed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546895763359162373","reply_id":"1546969503912939523","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"return_stacking","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546971341626023937","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1950870700379492861":{"id":"1950870700379492861","date":"2025-07-31 10:46:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@eestokesOSS Meh I'm probably wrong.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1950823732316082301","reply_id":"1950861403897602134","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"eestokesOSS","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":961,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1950870700379492861","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1568727054065225730":{"id":"1568727054065225730","date":"2022-09-10 22:24:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @therobotjames @reubbr @GotTheTrumpCard Poker Face of Wall Street is what made me want to go to finance. Or at least strongly consider it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1568391778516234241","reply_id":"1568719208040767488","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1568727054065225730","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1574837059532955648":{"id":"1574837059532955648","date":"2022-09-27 19:03:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"A Python feature/bug farm:\n\na += 1\n\nand\n\na =+ 1\n\nare both legal statements. They do very different things.\n\nPython: the language that SOMETIMES cares a lot about whitespace and OTHER TIMES will wreck idiots like me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1574837059532955648","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":42,"retweets":0,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1574837059532955648","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1891949443999514923":{"id":"1891949443999514923","date":"2025-02-18 20:34:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1. The info that *can* be tokenized and consumed by AIs *will* be.\n\n2. It then becomes worthless.\n\n3. Some of the info that *can't* will be extremely valuable.\n\n4. The value will accrue to those who can figure out which subset that is.\n\nWhat skills do you need to figure that out?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1891949443999514923","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":54,"retweets":4,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":7755,"bookmarks":30,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1891949443999514923","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1944082618934300936":{"id":"1944082618934300936","date":"2025-07-12 17:13:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jared_jensen75 That's my prior right there.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1944060716295893233","reply_id":"1944076172985348263","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jared_jensen75","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":740,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1944082618934300936","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1550167844297420801":{"id":"1550167844297420801","date":"2022-07-21 17:16:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@oscarsalgos Part of it.\n\nThough separately, if you're frequently getting stopped out of your trades because of risk limits, you're trading too big.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1549963630610829314","reply_id":"1550165074471518213","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"oscarsalgos","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1550167844297420801","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1965430513600245808":{"id":"1965430513600245808","date":"2025-09-09 15:02:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sdav1986 r-value method FTW. Europe mostly got this right.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1934309973754081625","reply_id":"1965430195487445109","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sdav1986","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":224,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1965430513600245808","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1781505413172678796":{"id":"1781505413172678796","date":"2024-04-20 02:09:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ByrneHobart Priors.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1781426081855119780","reply_id":"1781426081855119780","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ByrneHobart","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1113,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1781505413172678796","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1865850095758917932":{"id":"1865850095758917932","date":"2024-12-08 20:05:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@elletwocache @DeepDishEnjoyer Come for the -EV. Stay for the sad gambling degenerates you've surrounded yourself with.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1865819185273594233","reply_id":"1865836946322292826","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"elletwocache","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":159,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1865850095758917932","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1790100365452652678":{"id":"1790100365452652678","date":"2024-05-13 19:22:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"ChatGPT's RLHFed personality is insufferable.\n\nI'd pay at least 3x/month for something that has the personality of the Star Trek TOS computer. I'll even settle for the Star Trek TNG computer.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1790100365452652678","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2081,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1790100365452652678","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1446290555252588550":{"id":"1446290555252588550","date":"2021-10-08 01:45:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@thetacograbber @therobotjames I remember that paper!!!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1446265278573076480","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1446290555252588550","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1627676429713555456":{"id":"1627676429713555456","date":"2023-02-20 14:27:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase Adjusting for divs and splits is almost always correct.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1627541754156048384","reply_id":"1627572850570690561","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":84,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1627676429713555456","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1183130680596631553":{"id":"1183130680596631553","date":"2019-10-12 21:21:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@robertwiblin The tails of the distribution are what matter here. Books which have managed to survive to this day likely have something to teach us.\n\nJust because there's a lot of brutality in ancient Greece, and in the Odyssey in particular, doesn't mean it should get canceled as a result.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1183128974253330432","reply_id":"1183128974253330432","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"robertwiblin","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1183130680596631553","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1375119237455380482":{"id":"1375119237455380482","date":"2021-03-25 16:15:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"17/  If good players win all the time, the game dies. Fish lose money too fast.\n\nIf it’s too random, the game dies too. Pros don’t have an incentive to sit there and make the game during slow times.\n\nIt’s a balance. Optimal variance rules the world.\n\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"1375119223693864961","reply_id":"1375119236394217475","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":53,"retweets":1,"replies":12,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1375119237455380482","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1764317913291665553":{"id":"1764317913291665553","date":"2024-03-03 15:52:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Come for the Sharpe ratio.\nStay for the drawdown performance!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1764317913291665553","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":10709,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1764317913291665553","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1848042764409213200":{"id":"1848042764409213200","date":"2024-10-20 16:45:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"90% agree.\n\nUnfortunately, the 10% is annoyingly important.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1848042764409213200","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3336,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1848042764409213200","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1443214394133909505":{"id":"1443214394133909505","date":"2021-09-29 14:01:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @AnthonyProvero @VitruviusCurve @SinclairEuan Don't worry, you'd often just be taking stuff I took from you...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443088669762490370","reply_id":"1443093262550528003","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1443214394133909505","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1546301215637532673":{"id":"1546301215637532673","date":"2022-07-11 01:11:53","author":"Antonio García Martínez (agm.eth)","handle":"antoniogm","text":"The depressing reality of post-scarcity, post-History life is that not only is nobody coming to save us, there won't be some existential crisis that unites us either. \n\nIt'll just be slow, stupid decay for the foreseeable future, with pockets of generative dynamism like tech.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546301215637532673","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1546316455645310981","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":326,"retweets":16,"replies":25,"quotes":11,"views":0,"bookmarks":22,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/antoniogm/status/1546301215637532673"},"1936189430412546321":{"id":"1936189430412546321","date":"2025-06-20 22:28:27","author":"0xFaust","handle":"0xFaust12","text":"A fun read, and appreciate the callout @richdewey made to the related series of papers by @BruceKnuteson. \n\nI'd also broadly recommend a read of The Missing Billionaires by @ElmWealth (one of the authors of the below paper). \n\nhttps://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4139328","hashtags":[],"conv":"1936189430412546321","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1936353787163087173","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":2,"views":5371,"bookmarks":24,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0xFaust12/status/1936189430412546321"},"1588305389736456193":{"id":"1588305389736456193","date":"2022-11-03 23:01:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@witchqueendot You gonna apply?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1588305191547260928","reply_id":"1588305191547260928","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"witchqueendot","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1588305389736456193","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1854224306047467860":{"id":"1854224306047467860","date":"2024-11-06 18:08:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nagolinc @pmontu33 That would imply I thought had predictive ability that exceeded them. I didn't and never claimed I did.\n\nBut we can certainly *retrospectively* say things about their accuracy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1854138186387055023","reply_id":"1854223104295448919","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nagolinc","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":177,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1854224306047467860","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1529969979252035584":{"id":"1529969979252035584","date":"2022-05-26 23:37:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If I could retweet this a thousand times I would.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529969979252035584","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1529969979252035584","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1343285972964765696":{"id":"1343285972964765696","date":"2020-12-27 20:01:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jordanwrong1 @SinclairEuan @KrisAbdelmessih Big picture the question is \"What is the source of your edge?\"\n\nIf your edge is trading IV, then any delta hedging you're doing is just risk reduction.\n\nIf the und has autocorr, then you should probably just trade it. No need to worry about the options.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1343282011134447621","reply_id":"1343282331969318913","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jordanwrong1","likes":1,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1343285972964765696","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1938514868283343129":{"id":"1938514868283343129","date":"2025-06-27 08:28:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 Yeah exactly. \"Write me an implementation of {this fairly standard thing}\" works very well.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1938507500497637446","reply_id":"1938514308981489893","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":435,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1938514868283343129","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1922358138289713341":{"id":"1922358138289713341","date":"2025-05-13 18:27:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So it's like I said, an extremely levered bet (on corporate credit, mostly) in your retirement account.\n\nYou do realize that corporate credit yielding SOFR + 4% is about 12% annualized volatility? A -2 sigma year wipes out your retirement with room to spare.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1922358138289713341","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1922358269143576599","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":244,"retweets":6,"replies":23,"quotes":2,"views":48200,"bookmarks":64,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1922358138289713341","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1604892603237163008":{"id":"1604892603237163008","date":"2022-12-19 17:33:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 TCP connection?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1604890994167713806","reply_id":"1604892492129832962","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":427,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1604892603237163008","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1953467783322226725":{"id":"1953467783322226725","date":"2025-08-07 14:46:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ArturSepp Man/AHL has always been very good at marketing. They (used to?) have a room with massive wall-to-wall monitors, like a control center thing. They turned it on and staffed it when LPs showed up.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1953336560759304585","reply_id":"1953336560759304585","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ArturSepp","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1013,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1953467783322226725","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1593060104274075650":{"id":"1593060104274075650","date":"2022-11-17 01:55:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Your default beliefs about others\nreveal everything about\nyour default behaviors to others.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1593060104274075650","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":46,"retweets":3,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1593060104274075650","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1685714627240620032":{"id":"1685714627240620032","date":"2023-07-30 18:11:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FormulaDeltaOne I don't! I watch highlights on YouTube.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1685656125352644608","reply_id":"1685671684920012800","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FormulaDeltaOne","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":425,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1685714627240620032","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1382846864702119937":{"id":"1382846864702119937","date":"2021-04-16 00:02:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mortid0 The ones you have a relative edge in.\n\nI'm being a bit glib, but the point is that every area has interesting wrinkles. So specialize in the ones that interest you, or that you have some special sauce in.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382846864702119937","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2006844264425328653":{"id":"2006844264425328653","date":"2026-01-01 21:45:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"A wrong answer is mercifully quick to process, but a novel right answer is an act of violence. It forces you to halt the assembly line and actually think.\"\n\nWonderful.\n\nhttps://samuelalbanie.substack.com/p/reflections-on-2025","hashtags":[],"conv":"2006844264425328653","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":28,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":4166,"bookmarks":21,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2006844264425328653","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1937944107776925912":{"id":"1937944107776925912","date":"2025-06-25 18:40:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@samuha Taking is a kind of market making.\n\nPeople like to execute in all sorts of ways. What's the difference between some fund crossing 95% of a spread with a resting order and then getting hit vs just taking all the way? The other side is doing MM even though it's technically a take.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482748235496058880","reply_id":"1937938464667762766","quote_id":"1937945791924211844","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"samuha","likes":28,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":21667,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1937944107776925912","type":"quote","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1500619174145527810":{"id":"1500619174145527810","date":"2022-03-06 23:47:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod I'm here for the torus-like topology of futures (in price and expiration time).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1500613684682539009","reply_id":"1500613684682539009","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1500619174145527810","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1430688809604194304":{"id":"1430688809604194304","date":"2021-08-26 00:29:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @SpencerBosma @choffstein @bennpeifert @sinnet3000 @darjohn25 Unknowable Returns","hashtags":[],"conv":"1430558077065986051","reply_id":"1430688165937827843","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1430688809604194304","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1455890448338223114":{"id":"1455890448338223114","date":"2021-11-03 13:31:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin Jeff Yass begs to disagree. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1455869693106003971","reply_id":"1455869693106003971","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1455890448338223114","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1503758621192114183":{"id":"1503758621192114183","date":"2022-03-15 15:42:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @VolatilityVIX I've long said ETNs should never have been approved for retail trading.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503755025935474696","reply_id":"1503756342850424837","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1503758621192114183","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1639271938911551489":{"id":"1639271938911551489","date":"2023-03-24 14:24:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's like Javascript's designers saw PHP and said \"This is ridiculous and a bugfarm. Let's build something that's the smallest possible increment better.\"\n\nWhen your language's linter is more important than the interpreter/compiler, you know you made some mistakes along the way.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1639271938911551489","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2963,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1639271938911551489","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1376374858813087744":{"id":"1376374858813087744","date":"2021-03-29 03:25:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@chanep @carlcarrie I don't think real researchers care one whit about being on some random \"list of influencers\".\n\nDo you think LeCun or Hinton care? I kinda doubt it.\n\nMaybe Schmidhuber does though...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1376357841464930309","reply_id":"1376361473987989506","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"chanep","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1376374858813087744","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1302294784254509056":{"id":"1302294784254509056","date":"2020-09-05 17:17:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@philbak1 for a while.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1302199207844024321","reply_id":"1302199207844024321","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"philbak1","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1302294784254509056","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1448112201173110786":{"id":"1448112201173110786","date":"2021-10-13 02:23:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @salr_nyc @therobotjames Agreed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448086924330246151","reply_id":"1448112006620450821","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448112201173110786","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1280276200582025216":{"id":"1280276200582025216","date":"2020-07-06 23:03:27","author":"Kevin Lacker","handle":"lacker","text":"I wrote about giving GPT-3 a Turing test - when it sounds surprisingly human, and when it struggles. http://lacker.io/ai/2020/07/06/giving-gpt-3-a-turing-test.html","hashtags":[],"conv":"1280276200582025216","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1284167725095350274","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":684,"retweets":202,"replies":34,"quotes":71,"views":0,"bookmarks":63,"media":["1280276200582025216_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/lacker/status/1280276200582025216"},"1848017292711346339":{"id":"1848017292711346339","date":"2024-10-20 15:03:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@__etienneX I haven't. Basically, I already have:\n- Python for throwaway and AI/ML ecosystem stuff\n- Ocaml for everything else\n\nBut if I want bleeding-edge performance, there's a C-shaped hole. Rust or Zig are looking like the best contenders.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847958383292301441","reply_id":"1848016507470504116","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"etxpr","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":255,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1848017292711346339","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1486408927495409664":{"id":"1486408927495409664","date":"2022-01-26 18:41:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Why did the HoF deny Roger and Barry?\nYou have to understand what baseball is about.\n\nbaseball : agriculture : 19th century\nfootball : mechanized war : 20th century\nbasketball : agile business : 21st century\n\nSteroids in football? Fine because it makes sense there.\n\nBaseball? No.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486408927495409664","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1486408927495409664","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1773747928605306886":{"id":"1773747928605306886","date":"2024-03-29 16:23:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@waltuuuhr Agreed on both points.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1773734206830719163","reply_id":"1773746125679321408","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"waltuuuhr","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1177,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1773747928605306886","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1596723607790825472":{"id":"1596723607790825472","date":"2022-11-27 04:32:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ALBACapMgmt @therobotjames @Gingfacekillah @TCK_JRubano @be20684347 https://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1333090628234670080","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595095238514720768","reply_id":"1596722708209078273","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1596723607790825472","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2014661496555393300":{"id":"2014661496555393300","date":"2026-01-23 11:28:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If you thought organized rent-seeking like hairdresser licenses was bad before, you haven't seen anything yet.\n\nUBI will come in the form of bullshit jobs for every economically valuable task that could potentially be automated.\n\nDoctors, lawyers, truckers, it's all fair game.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2014661496555393300","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":86,"retweets":3,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":9024,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2014661496555393300","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1450976288374542340":{"id":"1450976288374542340","date":"2021-10-21 00:04:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Trading_Boxes I can't blame you, this options strat backtesting stuff is pretty hard. 🤯","hashtags":[],"conv":"1450962362291290121","reply_id":"1450976043389448195","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Trading_Boxes","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1450976288374542340","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1397212767229157376":{"id":"1397212767229157376","date":"2021-05-25 15:27:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OkayEstimator @Mephisto731 @KrisAbdelmessih @TheSpeculator0 Yes there's some truth. But IMO people use it as a smokescreen for the real reason, which for many boomers is:\n\n\"I like my Fidelity/whatever account, Coinbase is scary.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1397179894401011712","reply_id":"1397211556044230662","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OkayEstimator","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1397212767229157376","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1637512499758252032":{"id":"1637512499758252032","date":"2023-03-19 17:52:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Very Euro. Paging Joost Luiten.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1637503980472356877","reply_id":"1637503980472356877","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":267,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1637512499758252032","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1959183116569923645":{"id":"1959183116569923645","date":"2025-08-23 09:17:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Periodic public reminder to myself that I don't *have* to have an opinion on everything.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1959183116569923645","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":3207,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1959183116569923645","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1473148718769524738":{"id":"1473148718769524738","date":"2021-12-21 04:29:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RyanSParker It's a sweet gig so far...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1473132928771129346","reply_id":"1473148322370052098","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RyanSParker","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1473148718769524738","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1370103786014842880":{"id":"1370103786014842880","date":"2021-03-11 20:06:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ksidiii @macrocephalopod @AdithiaKusno @bennpeifert @therobotjames @salr_nyc @KrisAbdelmessih Yeah, I've seen papers where academics have gotten access to darkpool data and shown a few things, but nothing interesting enough that it stuck in my mind.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1370102137028497410","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Ksidiii","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1370103786014842880","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1503508193560780801":{"id":"1503508193560780801","date":"2022-03-14 23:07:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@benhayesnyc Great catch. I *didn't* but my H was awful with the Sharpie and it looks like an N.\n\nSo subconsciously? 🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503490626418974721","reply_id":"1503498849066921988","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"benhayesnyc","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1503508193560780801","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1258401531264593920":{"id":"1258401531264593920","date":"2020-05-07 14:21:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @bennpeifert Vague claims:\n\n- Usually not as smart.\n- Care too much about $ (there's an optimal amount of caring, and IMHO it's lower than most people think).\n- Lack of general curiosity about problems, about the world.\n- Overly narrow problem-solving toolbox.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1258184053326376961","reply_id":"1258397424474828801","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1258401531264593920","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1204051864733413386":{"id":"1204051864733413386","date":"2019-12-09 14:55:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This. What say you @NealBloom?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1204051864733413386","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1204051864733413386","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1509303383626190851":{"id":"1509303383626190851","date":"2022-03-30 22:55:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @lightspringfox There's free kombucha. Deal?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1509287886855753734","reply_id":"1509288843916328966","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1509303383626190851","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1567714997794672640":{"id":"1567714997794672640","date":"2022-09-08 03:22:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @coffeetrader11 @cryptohound666 @NicoPollari @therobotjames @witchqueendot She wants her corn-hers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1567346642105286656","reply_id":"1567705980175007744","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1567714997794672640","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1812228166011986001":{"id":"1812228166011986001","date":"2024-07-13 20:50:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HF_Trader I did. Enjoy the obsession, it's a fun grind.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1812203955914748137","reply_id":"1812203955914748137","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HF_Trader","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":343,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1812228166011986001","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1546512367722188802":{"id":"1546512367722188802","date":"2022-07-11 15:10:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@matt_levine @nope_its_lily The only way to fight performance art is with even-more-committed performance art.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546348507996381184","reply_id":"1546511867778048001","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"matt_levine","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546512367722188802","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1623554705715789826":{"id":"1623554705715789826","date":"2023-02-09 05:29:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Healthcare ain't getting fixed until we fix the plain fact that providers get paid to provide medical services whether they're useful or not.\n\nAny bright ideas out there on aligning incentives so that they get paid for finding ways for you not to need them?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1623554705715789826","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":6791,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1623554705715789826","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1946186079586906584":{"id":"1946186079586906584","date":"2025-07-18 12:31:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mansourtarek_ What's too big a fraction?\n\nI don't know but the corners that seem most problematic (0DTE, meme stocks, etc) have pretty clearly gone over the line. Like, there's no reason for MSTR to trade at 2x its BTC value.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946114875899486383","reply_id":"1946185857620127787","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2255,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946186079586906584","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1234535413122924544":{"id":"1234535413122924544","date":"2020-03-02 17:45:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In trading and in life, over the long term, the only unknowns that matter are the unknown unknowns.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1234535413122924544","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1234535413122924544","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1492628058309730305":{"id":"1492628058309730305","date":"2022-02-12 22:33:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@momin_rayhan Theoretically that's true. But in practice I find it's not. Many many PhDs are glorified flunkies for their PIs/advisors. Not much independence there...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1492622868634431488","reply_id":"1492627740167602182","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"momin_rayhan","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1492628058309730305","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1600171218182602753":{"id":"1600171218182602753","date":"2022-12-06 16:52:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The Lean Startup should be renamed the Lean Copycat.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1600171218182602753","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1600171218182602753","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1865782428679197123":{"id":"1865782428679197123","date":"2024-12-08 15:36:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@longreflexivity Yes it is *so* bad. Why are true timestamps more important than false? Why not do this with other data? Wait a sec.\n\nIf it's important then you should, wait for it, have an updates table with a timestamp field in your schema!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1865717668424413570","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":29,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1005,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1865782428679197123","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1409322002364592128":{"id":"1409322002364592128","date":"2021-06-28 01:25:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pkokosar Have you ever been a trader at a prop firm that made $4m/employee in one year?\n\nA trader whose comp is typically 80%-90% discretionary?\n\nI'm betting not.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1409279086346702849","reply_id":"1409308244858843136","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pkokosar","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1409322002364592128","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1241745991000133638":{"id":"1241745991000133638","date":"2020-03-22 15:18:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @SinclairEuan @darjohn25 I used to ask junior traders with short vol ideas: \"Are you Warren Buffett? If not, what's your edge in the insurance business?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1241736272470855687","reply_id":"1241745079976378369","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":2,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1241745991000133638","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1595138915127947265":{"id":"1595138915127947265","date":"2022-11-22 19:35:28","author":"xjpx","handle":"xjpx888","text":"@arb8020 @NeetNort @nadogoyard @fuckyourputs @heart_ Not really. But you should try doing the  research anyways.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595004777007808513","reply_id":"1595075350907723777","quote_id":"1595148069435498496","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/xjpx888/status/1595138915127947265"},"1611416432792961025":{"id":"1611416432792961025","date":"2023-01-06 17:36:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's really sad that Jean Baudrillard died before seeing GPT-3.\n\nI feel like he'd get a kick out of it, and out of the excitement everyone has for its simulated thinking.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1611416432792961025","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":2,"views":3513,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1611416432792961025","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1198810192399364097":{"id":"1198810192399364097","date":"2019-11-25 03:46:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MrMcCali @JamesonVoss @balajis I don't have one. 🥴\n\nBut facile extremes don't seem to be it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1198727092835364864","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1198810192399364097","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2064604561923346571":{"id":"2064604561923346571","date":"2026-06-10 07:04:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Maybe I've been in Czechia too long, but we need an AI Jan Hus. The AI clergy has too much power.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2064604561923346571","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":44,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":5471,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2064604561923346571","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1507904806932811777":{"id":"1507904806932811777","date":"2022-03-27 02:18:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ScottTruhlar The marvel of spur-of-the-moment creations...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507898551719792646","reply_id":"1507904504989167616","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ScottTruhlar","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507904806932811777","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2080189357407797324":{"id":"2080189357407797324","date":"2026-07-23 07:12:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"6. Distillation + escape are now being argued as reason ban Chinese open-weight models, the very models that HuggingFace used to defend itself from the attack!\n\nSuch a ban would, obviously:\n- Force US companies to buy expensive models.\n- Let the rest of world use cheap models.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2080189344023785550","reply_id":"2080189355302298069","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":526,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2080189357407797324","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1988534015419146302":{"id":"1988534015419146302","date":"2025-11-12 09:07:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"➡️ How to tell if the trading company you're interviewing at is actually a scummy bucket shop that will take your money. ⬅️\n\n🧵 👉","hashtags":[],"conv":"1988534015419146302","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1988534365685453080","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":442,"retweets":47,"replies":21,"quotes":30,"views":386870,"bookmarks":387,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1988534015419146302","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1790888114816471387":{"id":"1790888114816471387","date":"2024-05-15 23:32:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The Osprey really is the most absurd aircraft.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1790888114816471387","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":2457,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1790888114816471387","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1857876500407554236":{"id":"1857876500407554236","date":"2024-11-16 20:00:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@__paleologo @moreproteinbars @itsmartingale @macrocephalopod Without question. Even delta1 derivatives like ETFs are very different from underlyings. Options even more different. The synthetic ADV in any MI estimate is larger, different, weirder, more time- and market-condition-varying, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1857809844146757924","reply_id":"1857864765860700571","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"__paleologo","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1727,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1857876500407554236","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1763945666852614335":{"id":"1763945666852614335","date":"2024-03-02 15:13:14","author":"Wall Street Mav","handle":"WallStreetMav","text":"The US national debt is $34.471 trillion and rising $1 trillion every 100 days \n\n$32T to $33T = 92 days\n$33T to $34T = 106 days\n$34T to $35T is on pace for 100 days\n\nWithin a few years, don't be surprised when the US national debt is increase at $1 trillion per 30 days. We are in a doom loop where we are having to borrow more just to pay the interest on the debt.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1763945666852614335","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1764317913291665553","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6408,"retweets":1956,"replies":666,"quotes":415,"views":2314852,"bookmarks":574,"media":["1763945666852614335_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/WallStreetMav/status/1763945666852614335"},"1976732454510641299":{"id":"1976732454510641299","date":"2025-10-10 19:31:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@adi_baradwaj Sure. A much lower liquidity one.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1976645088433656219","reply_id":"1976725062817566798","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"adi_baradwaj","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":657,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1976732454510641299","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1404845606653231112":{"id":"1404845606653231112","date":"2021-06-15 16:57:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 Or a factor of sqrt(252) somewhere? Did that one a few times.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1404843470146129922","reply_id":"1404843470146129922","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1404845606653231112","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1943318825698476409":{"id":"1943318825698476409","date":"2025-07-10 14:38:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lockedinsnow @moritzheiden I liked finance a LOT better before it so completely relied on fleecing retail in the casino.\n\nJust doing my small part to get back to that.\n\nI'm fine making 50% less as a result.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943280522756591979","reply_id":"1943315883645870426","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"xbtsnow","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1125,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1943318825698476409","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1539249429219352578":{"id":"1539249429219352578","date":"2022-06-21 14:10:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3/ So, why do those lucky retired-at-40s find it so unbearable?\n\nFirst let’s note something important: historically, this is exceedingly rare territory. Before even (say) 1970, the notion that someone would retire once they “hit their number” would have sounded basically insane.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1539249425956093952","reply_id":"1539249427658985474","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1539249429219352578","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1743725592615518375":{"id":"1743725592615518375","date":"2024-01-06 20:05:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@salr_nyc I agree, but it's starting feel like a big if...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1743708676043739316","reply_id":"1743718617328275604","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"salr_nyc","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":482,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1743725592615518375","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1792919267005857925":{"id":"1792919267005857925","date":"2024-05-21 14:03:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@fuckyourputs The chat UX is a dead end. It has to be something different.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1792918391298068949","reply_id":"1792918735172276586","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"fuckyourputs","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":95,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1792919267005857925","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1541588264083005442":{"id":"1541588264083005442","date":"2022-06-28 01:04:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Many thoughts about consultants. Basically there are two kinds:\n\n1. Actual workers providing services which are (a) niche and (b) necessary but non-core to the company.\n\n2. People you hire to give leadership high-status cover for whatever they wanted to do anyway.\n\nThat's it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1541584791568470016","reply_id":"1541585758783705088","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1541588264083005442","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1845092086833369441":{"id":"1845092086833369441","date":"2024-10-12 13:20:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@investingidiocy Spend time in a third world country and see if that opinion changes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1845072627360006170","reply_id":"1845072627360006170","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"investingidiocy","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1185,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1845092086833369441","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1498308778424291333":{"id":"1498308778424291333","date":"2022-02-28 14:47:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano @nope_its_lily @M1tchRosenthal @be20684347 @experquisite @macrocephalopod @therobotjames @NotQuiteMidlife @fed_speak In my experience it's a continuum of human involvement. At one end are fully automated HFT-type strats with no human anywhere near the loop.\n\nUncle Warren is the other extreme.\n\nBut there's a huge middle where there are varying degrees of human. Knob tuning, meta params, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1340471352348848134","reply_id":"1498303721591164931","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1498308778424291333","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1179543692119425024":{"id":"1179543692119425024","date":"2019-10-02 23:48:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Everything about this @profgalloway WeWork interview is great.\n\nhttps://nymag.com/intelligencer/2019/10/marketing-expert-scott-galloway-on-wework-and-adam-neumann.html","hashtags":[],"conv":"1179543692119425024","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":3,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1179543692119425024","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1762483702125199482":{"id":"1762483702125199482","date":"2024-02-27 14:23:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"That document is the most damning indictment of C++ I've ever seen.\n\nIf you need 141 pages to specify all the ways you should and shouldn't use the language...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1762483702125199482","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":33,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":3,"views":21329,"bookmarks":23,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1762483702125199482","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1546957771643371520":{"id":"1546957771643371520","date":"2022-07-12 20:40:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mortid0 Probably a bit. At least at the (sample size 1) place I see every day, there's no one under 30 working out there. The modal participant is a somewhat out of shape 45 year old with disposable income.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546895763359162373","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546957771643371520","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1492701137002192896":{"id":"1492701137002192896","date":"2022-02-13 03:24:18","author":"Gary Basin","handle":"garybasin","text":"Given the massive shortage of devs, seems weird that big tech hasn’t set up their own bootcamps. Why constrain yourself to Ivys + huge effort of interviewing if people will pay to go through your program? Maybe none are scalable — bottleneck is still teachers?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1492701137002192896","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1492703891749621763","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":186,"retweets":5,"replies":31,"quotes":5,"views":0,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/garybasin/status/1492701137002192896"},"1632490746849923072":{"id":"1632490746849923072","date":"2023-03-05 21:18:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Who is the smoothest player in the NBA and why is it @KDTrey5?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632490746849923072","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1795,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632490746849923072","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1572795911121833984":{"id":"1572795911121833984","date":"2022-09-22 03:52:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug @OffTheRunTrades The tick-to-tick correlation is negative in big-tick products and positive in small-tick products.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1572766780065710081","reply_id":"1572794837077991424","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":13,"retweets":3,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1572795911121833984","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1647995222805323777":{"id":"1647995222805323777","date":"2023-04-17 16:07:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Turns out they will also entrench the dominance of Drake and The Weeknd.\n\nEvery cultural product turns into winner-take-more?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1647995222805323777","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3335,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1647995222805323777","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1940051756555411877":{"id":"1940051756555411877","date":"2025-07-01 14:15:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@patio11 @typesfast Also it's probably just likelier to work.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1939852387868721540","reply_id":"1939853987521634587","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"patio11","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":228,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1940051756555411877","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1826161910573584397":{"id":"1826161910573584397","date":"2024-08-21 07:38:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"corr(Kamala to win on Polymarket, # of policy proposals she announces) seems clearly negative right now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1826161910573584397","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2099,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1826161910573584397","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1618687405443407872":{"id":"1618687405443407872","date":"2023-01-26 19:08:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"😉","hashtags":[],"conv":"1618687405443407872","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2676,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1618687405443407872","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1325883616744796160":{"id":"1325883616744796160","date":"2020-11-09 19:31:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ESYudkowsky @juliagalef * impressively general abilities to simulate semantic understanding\n\nIMO the biggest thing GPT-3 taught us is is that Clever Hans (or Searle's Chinese Room) can get you farther than we thought.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1325874769984712704","reply_id":"1325882856028037120","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ESYudkowsky","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1325883616744796160","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1494114770705735682":{"id":"1494114770705735682","date":"2022-02-17 01:01:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@quantfiction @therobotjames @darjohn25 It could be true.\n\nGenetic variation to smoking's effects is  strong.\n\nJeanne Calment smoked till she was 117.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494110009478684674","reply_id":"1494114510541574145","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"quantfiction","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494114770705735682","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1720866942268113360":{"id":"1720866942268113360","date":"2023-11-04 18:13:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Sad to think that Rublev won't win this.\n\nI know it's crazy to think Dimitrov can beat Djoko tomorrow but a man can dream...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1720866942268113360","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2596,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1720866942268113360","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1540560158161416192":{"id":"1540560158161416192","date":"2022-06-25 04:58:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase No debate.\n\nBut again, it's becoming clear to me that no one cares really.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1540559081055723522","reply_id":"1540559876610572288","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1540560158161416192","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2080189355302298069":{"id":"2080189355302298069","date":"2026-07-23 07:12:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Whereas their own ACTUAL admitted criminal behavior ($1.5b settlement against the authors whose works they pirated) is... fine?\n\nNot to mention the HuggingFace hack is transparently an admitted case of computer fraud (Computer Fraud and Abuse Act (CFAA), 18 U.S.C. § 1030).","hashtags":[],"conv":"2080189344023785550","reply_id":"2080189353544868056","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":551,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2080189355302298069","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1903890591089381565":{"id":"1903890591089381565","date":"2025-03-23 19:24:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"GenAI is where personal computers were in 1980. \n\nConsumers don't care aside from a few hobbyists who see its potential\n\nIt will take an IBM PC moment for corporate America to get fully onboard. When it does, people will get used to it at work.\n\nOnly *then they'll take it home.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1903890591089381565","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":43,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":5530,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1903890591089381565","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1946166999878381701":{"id":"1946166999878381701","date":"2025-07-18 11:15:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@goodalexander @kchoudhu @mansourtarek_ @kylascan 🤣 That's awesome.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946114875899486383","reply_id":"1946165214178595194","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"goodalexander","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":542,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946166999878381701","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1538681976349085696":{"id":"1538681976349085696","date":"2022-06-20 00:35:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JasonMutiny @garybasin I'm assuming he wouldn't pick people off that way.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1538357097485803521","reply_id":"1538628051084320768","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jasoncbuck","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1538681976349085696","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1516237218041368578":{"id":"1516237218041368578","date":"2022-04-19 02:08:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @ej271 @JessicaNutt96 Five Rings","hashtags":[],"conv":"1516191139660980238","reply_id":"1516202484351397891","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1516237218041368578","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1201891787578593280":{"id":"1201891787578593280","date":"2019-12-03 15:51:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm I've had this exact thought while watching a spin class.\n\n\"My whole life has been jumping through arbitrary hoops, surely that's how I should workout too!\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1201885458327719936","reply_id":"1201888536548429824","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1201891787578593280","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2007111560721006950":{"id":"2007111560721006950","date":"2026-01-02 15:27:41","author":"Anna Gát","handle":"TheAnnaGat","text":"RT @TheAnnaGat: The warmth of collectivism","hashtags":[],"conv":"2007111560721006950","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2006986170090258540","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":3438,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["2007111560721006950_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheAnnaGat/status/2007111560721006950"},"1540019711160659968":{"id":"1540019711160659968","date":"2022-06-23 17:11:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"More on the overnight effect.\nNot by Bruce Knuteson this time, so a lot more... sensible.\n\nhttps://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4139328","hashtags":[],"conv":"1540019711160659968","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":48,"retweets":5,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":24,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1540019711160659968","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1981290969292038260":{"id":"1981290969292038260","date":"2025-10-23 09:25:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If you're an actor, surely the last layer of hell is taking that job making workplace HR training videos.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1981290969292038260","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":41,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":3436,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1981290969292038260","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1506817030158110724":{"id":"1506817030158110724","date":"2022-03-24 02:15:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alvinjamur The natural question is whether it was a {Karl Marx Study} Room, or a {Karl Marx} {Study Room}.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1506816597654224896","reply_id":"1506816597654224896","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alvinjamur","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1506817030158110724","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1585776979701223424":{"id":"1585776979701223424","date":"2022-10-27 23:34:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @8bitbytebit I agree. \"3 ticks most of the time\" is a pretty good rule of thumb.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1585761439897522176","reply_id":"1585770780788690945","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1585776979701223424","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1494013978229370881":{"id":"1494013978229370881","date":"2022-02-16 18:21:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Claim:\n\n\"Middle-aged working-class people with families have never overthrown any government anywhere in the history of humanity.\"\n\nTrue or false?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494013978229370881","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494013978229370881","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1720976400629588423":{"id":"1720976400629588423","date":"2023-11-05 01:28:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is worrying me more and more.\n\nIf fertility rates keeps dropping, positive feedback will take over and it won't be pretty.\n\nhttps://www.thefp.com/p/a-world-without-babies","hashtags":[],"conv":"1720976400629588423","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":28,"retweets":2,"replies":10,"quotes":1,"views":10420,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1720976400629588423","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1937209115383849132":{"id":"1937209115383849132","date":"2025-06-23 18:00:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Leave zero-sum quant finance and come build the machine god\".\n\nThey're going to have a rude awakening when it turns out they have to work on ads, ads, and more ads to pay for it all.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1937209115383849132","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1157,"retweets":32,"replies":29,"quotes":10,"views":185671,"bookmarks":136,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1937209115383849132","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1715516187759788381":{"id":"1715516187759788381","date":"2023-10-20 23:51:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @be20684347 \"Is ok without needing to be physically around other people\" doesn't feel like a thing we should be working terribly hard to enable.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1715378316646256991","reply_id":"1715488250268209536","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":232,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1715516187759788381","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1751315624775557254":{"id":"1751315624775557254","date":"2024-01-27 18:45:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Steam might already be the best educational platform in the world.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1751315624775557254","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4329,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1751315624775557254","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1729852513510174881":{"id":"1729852513510174881","date":"2023-11-29 13:19:12","author":"tylercowen","handle":"tylercowen","text":"My excellent Conversation with John Gray: https://conversationswithtyler.com/episodes/john-gray/, #humanity, #everythingelse, #Cowenconvos","hashtags":["humanity","everythingelse","cowenconvos"],"conv":"1729852513510174881","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1729882036624838932","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":52,"retweets":11,"replies":6,"quotes":7,"views":61091,"bookmarks":14,"media":["1729852513510174881_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tylercowen/status/1729852513510174881"},"2071157350749114782":{"id":"2071157350749114782","date":"2026-06-28 09:02:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Many such cases.\nhttps://colossus.com/article/project-mario-demis-hassabis-deepmind-mallaby/","hashtags":[],"conv":"2071157350749114782","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":55,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":7555,"bookmarks":21,"media":["2071157350749114782_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2071157350749114782","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1486683945139785731":{"id":"1486683945139785731","date":"2022-01-27 12:54:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Dan0112358 @Andrei_Ilas Definitely. It's a useful mental model, but not one you should get married to.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486610635538546691","reply_id":"1486614037408403458","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"D01362713","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1486683945139785731","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1423453657203286016":{"id":"1423453657203286016","date":"2021-08-06 01:19:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ruapirate @TheSpeculator0 @spotgamma Agreed. And it's not divs, since they pay in Sep. Rates are basically zero.\n\nI'm struggling to understand what they could have done to get such a different IV.\n\n(BTW I commend you for actually digging in and doing the calc. \"That's odd\" is where good trades often start.)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1423287776238260224","reply_id":"1423450516303097862","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ruapirate","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1423453657203286016","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1562630613022097409":{"id":"1562630613022097409","date":"2022-08-25 02:39:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase Enjoy your conversions to and from datetime64[ns, UTC].","hashtags":[],"conv":"1562618235970760705","reply_id":"1562630250592317445","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1562630613022097409","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1521148742677655553":{"id":"1521148742677655553","date":"2022-05-02 15:24:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This! I look at my retirement stuff once a year for about 15 minutes. That's it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1521148742677655553","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1521148742677655553","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1834245779839476129":{"id":"1834245779839476129","date":"2024-09-12 15:00:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 @Lifrordi Not not hiring... :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1834217272774185288","reply_id":"1834242391693558269","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":649,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1834245779839476129","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2015466226256908669":{"id":"2015466226256908669","date":"2026-01-25 16:46:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Zaprudering a thousand videos of every ICE shooting obviously isn't getting us anywhere.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2015466226256908669","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":5347,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2015466226256908669","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1943287466011525613":{"id":"1943287466011525613","date":"2025-07-10 12:33:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ltabb Yeah, but I must tilt against this windmill at least sometimes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943280522756591979","reply_id":"1943287367567315204","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ltabb","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":5503,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1943287466011525613","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1409003770801901572":{"id":"1409003770801901572","date":"2021-06-27 04:20:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames All of it?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1408996469709840391","reply_id":"1408996469709840391","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1409003770801901572","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1397002767613390852":{"id":"1397002767613390852","date":"2021-05-25 01:33:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brenorb @InBraised I'm sure that's true.\n\nI mostly hear people from MG, and the dimorphism exists there too. I wish I could record my brother-in-law and sister-in-law (same family, same social circle, etc) saying the same sentences.\n\nThe difference is striking.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1396901379671613440","reply_id":"1396976317871149061","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"brenorb","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1397002767613390852","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2077592719841464699":{"id":"2077592719841464699","date":"2026-07-16 03:14:38","author":"peepeepoopoo","handle":"DeepDishEnjoyer","text":"@AgustinLebron3 Agustin, what's your alternative? A corporate monopoly over the entire economy?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2077448246570504529","reply_id":"2077448250278203638","quote_id":"2077614877317779600","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":14964,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/DeepDishEnjoyer/status/2077592719841464699"},"1540696861475934213":{"id":"1540696861475934213","date":"2022-06-25 14:02:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@indian_quant @Ksidiii Positive expected value. I.e. profitable.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1540519315144933378","reply_id":"1540582541089853441","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"indian_quant","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1540696861475934213","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1423022730836733957":{"id":"1423022730836733957","date":"2021-08-04 20:47:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lightspringfox What's funny is that people who actually do this stuff shout this fact from the rooftops.\n\nStill hard to believe from the outside.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1423020340117049344","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1423022730836733957","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1434972445174222848":{"id":"1434972445174222848","date":"2021-09-06 20:11:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nomsnomznom @KrisAbdelmessih @ReformedTrader @nope_its_lily @vgr Hope so! :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434963956599193601","reply_id":"1434972289918021636","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"return_stacking","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434972445174222848","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1478794659946135553":{"id":"1478794659946135553","date":"2022-01-05 18:24:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@goodalexander @SquishChaos @darjohn25 @therobotjames @ChrisDMacro @marketplunger1 @MacroOps Agreed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1478786940254126080","reply_id":"1478792941640507392","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"goodalexander","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1478794659946135553","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1573064346938544128":{"id":"1573064346938544128","date":"2022-09-22 21:39:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Imagine going back 12 months and saying:\n\n\"In a year, US treasuries will out-yield anything you can get on DeFi.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1573064346938544128","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":118,"retweets":6,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1573064346938544128","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1722664877054177748":{"id":"1722664877054177748","date":"2023-11-09 17:18:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@krishnanrohit To be clear, my reading of the evidence isn't \"WFH sucks\" or anything. But it has real challenges and (this is anecdotal now) many companies who try it either do or wish they could go back to in-person.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1722659796825043426","reply_id":"1722664109152591972","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"krishnanrohit","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":189,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1722664877054177748","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1644761397094649857":{"id":"1644761397094649857","date":"2023-04-08 17:57:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Everyone with a light jumper, Tiger dressed like he has Raynaud's.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1644761397094649857","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2205,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1644761397094649857","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1871970055673860302":{"id":"1871970055673860302","date":"2024-12-25 17:23:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JrWannamaker @tylercowen @gwern Something something basilisk...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1871964460115767373","reply_id":"1871968675257016326","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JrWannamaker","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1092,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1871970055673860302","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1819438438866997664":{"id":"1819438438866997664","date":"2024-08-02 18:21:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alz_zyd_ If they want to learn, or have a reason to, then definitely. If not...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1819437250381230457","reply_id":"1819437250381230457","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alz_zyd_","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":194,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1819438438866997664","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1324078114557681664":{"id":"1324078114557681664","date":"2020-11-04 19:56:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"SW devs wondering what it feels like to work in an AMZN warehouse, pitted against your co-workers in ever-more-brutal competition by a faceless taskmaster:\n\nHow does it feel when you rush to git checkin your work so that someone else has to deal with the merge conflicts?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1324078114557681664","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1324078114557681664","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1632157627978514433":{"id":"1632157627978514433","date":"2023-03-04 23:14:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Where do smart, driven 18-24 year olds in the US congregate other than the incredibly broken selective universities we're practically forced to destroy their childhoods to funnel them into?\n\nAsking for my kids. Got 4 years to find a good answer...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632157627978514433","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1632603101386649600","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":149,"retweets":4,"replies":49,"quotes":4,"views":54965,"bookmarks":29,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632157627978514433","type":"quote","issues":[]},"2041152377844080746":{"id":"2041152377844080746","date":"2026-04-06 13:53:44","author":"prinz","handle":"deredleritt3r","text":"Sam Altman on the capabilities of forthcoming AI models (I assume he's talking about Spud):\n\n\"Current models can help scientists make small discoveries, [but] I would expect that with the next class of models, you start to see people say, 'this helped me make the most important discovery of my decade or maybe my career.' So, that kind of level - maybe not win a Nobel Prize on its own, but  a significant, career-defining discovery.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"2041152377844080746","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2041176376594575721","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":546,"retweets":29,"replies":33,"quotes":10,"views":53698,"bookmarks":101,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/deredleritt3r/status/2041152377844080746"},"1413867603525701633":{"id":"1413867603525701633","date":"2021-07-10 14:27:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's kind of amazing how bad the Google apps suite is.\n\n- Google Sheets defaults are broken. Not even fill down works properly. Good luck trying to write a workable macro.\n- Google Chat, Google Hangouts, Google Meet. Pick one!!!\n- Search on Gmail is actually terrible.\n\nWhat else?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1413867603525701633","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":28,"retweets":1,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1413867603525701633","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1597802317851435008":{"id":"1597802317851435008","date":"2022-11-30 03:58:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SqueezeMetrics It's a blob plus some outliers.\n\nSolid R^2 FTW.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597801874039525378","reply_id":"1597801874039525378","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SqueezeMetrics","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597802317851435008","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1381682984705658881":{"id":"1381682984705658881","date":"2021-04-12 18:57:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@PhilSoutherland @supersapiensinc Had a great call, Victor was very helpful.\n\nI'll say it again, super impressed w/ the company's attention to the customer. And the tech too, obviously!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1376541008775667717","reply_id":"1381668775859224577","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"PhilSoutherland","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1381682984705658881","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1837083684211458467":{"id":"1837083684211458467","date":"2024-09-20 10:57:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ConcaveMMT Plenty of poverty in evidence. Homelessness, drugs.\nBut no violence. 🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1837078364948955219","reply_id":"1837083452321018164","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":272,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1837083684211458467","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1327629427119833088":{"id":"1327629427119833088","date":"2020-11-14 15:08:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@paulg Plus the existence of public markets democratizes access to being a capitalist in the first place.\n\nMom and pop retirees can't (and generally don't want to) invest in early-stage startups. The illiquidity kills them. \nA public market lets them come in and out as they please.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1327588411562225666","reply_id":"1327628350815277056","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1327629427119833088","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1982844937822715937":{"id":"1982844937822715937","date":"2025-10-27 16:20:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sobradob Positive feedback, probably.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1982827944503661055","reply_id":"1982839143580438958","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sobradob","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":403,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1982844937822715937","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1894116804944896110":{"id":"1894116804944896110","date":"2025-02-24 20:06:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Even numbers only.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1894116804944896110","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":37,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3363,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1894116804944896110","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1238324998877540353":{"id":"1238324998877540353","date":"2020-03-13 04:44:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz The Conversation","hashtags":[],"conv":"1238322833467609090","reply_id":"1238322833467609090","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1238324998877540353","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1717209620132053338":{"id":"1717209620132053338","date":"2023-10-25 16:00:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ryxcommar I asked my dad how to calculate one and he said:\n\n\"We don't know how anymore. We've lost the knowledge Fortran people had in the 70s.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1717205129139564728","reply_id":"1717205129139564728","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ryxcommar","likes":86,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":4029,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1717209620132053338_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1717209620132053338","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1178483678013321216":{"id":"1178483678013321216","date":"2019-09-30 01:36:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@crystalcultures I guess the question is: why isn't there such a thing as basic research? And shouldn't there be?\n\nAs for dev vs mfg, it depends on the thing you're producing. You're not building a rocket to Mars using Agile Scrum. That may offend some true believers but it's true.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1178088042612969472","reply_id":"1178088042612969472","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"reiofw","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1178483678013321216","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1184279883590930432":{"id":"1184279883590930432","date":"2019-10-16 01:28:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CliffordAsness Touche. I didn't really know about the other stuff.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1184267464126992384","reply_id":"1184279447895187456","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"CliffordAsness","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1184279883590930432","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1494149201621520384":{"id":"1494149201621520384","date":"2022-02-17 03:18:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@longskew @therobotjames @KrisAbdelmessih @FREAK0NAUT 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494032922281717764","reply_id":"1494149008981471241","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"longskew","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494149201621520384","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1397941619291082755":{"id":"1397941619291082755","date":"2021-05-27 15:43:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @PaToFe4 @tarunchitra @volmagorov @macrocephalopod 6 of one, half-a-dozen of the other...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1397931742237904903","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1397941619291082755","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1871640080475173209":{"id":"1871640080475173209","date":"2024-12-24 19:32:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@azad_champion It's a bad book.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1871568646155419736","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":531,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1871640080475173209","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1630310266167787520":{"id":"1630310266167787520","date":"2023-02-27 20:53:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal Yeah, \"detecting AI writing\" that hasn't been steganographically marked somehow is a fool's errand.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1630287631383777280","reply_id":"1630288029062422530","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":212,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1630310266167787520","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1913144701420503163":{"id":"1913144701420503163","date":"2025-04-18 08:16:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"The reason what they do looks so impressive to us is because we have so much less knowledge.\"\n\nPrecisely @EgeErdil2 \n\nhttps://youtu.be/WLBsUarvWTw","hashtags":[],"conv":"1913144701420503163","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":1,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":6835,"bookmarks":9,"media":["1913144701420503163_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1913144701420503163","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1957390814113308717":{"id":"1957390814113308717","date":"2025-08-18 10:35:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ I wrote a longer piece about the dangers and downsides of prediction markets.\n\nhttps://reducibleerrors.com/prediction-markets/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957390814113308717","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1969349343271395742","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":326,"retweets":27,"replies":31,"quotes":27,"views":98076,"bookmarks":283,"media":["1957390814113308717_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1957390814113308717","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1969791827331928143":{"id":"1969791827331928143","date":"2025-09-21 15:52:23","author":"camol","handle":"camolNFT","text":"Kalshi has an insane approach to marketing.\n\nYou can’t walk around the streets of NYC without seeing ads about betting on who the next mayor will be.\n\nPeople love to be right and think they have an edge. Billboards are actually super cheap, and I bet they have exponentially higher user acquisition due to the target audience.\n\nBillboards and physical ads are almost ALWAYS a horrible marketing expense, but here it works. And it works really well.\n\nRefreshing approach to marketing crypto products.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1969791827331928143","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1970026568471794085","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":423,"retweets":16,"replies":66,"quotes":8,"views":116308,"bookmarks":69,"media":["1969791827331928143_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/camolNFT/status/1969791827331928143"},"1584946151161090058":{"id":"1584946151161090058","date":"2022-10-25 16:33:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bookdepth Imagine all the subtle snarkery sitting on the cutting-room floor!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1584881714060410880","reply_id":"1584881714060410880","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bookdepth","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1584946151161090058","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1959603888891331045":{"id":"1959603888891331045","date":"2025-08-24 13:09:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@flowidealism Ah but how to find them? The adverse selection of people who advertise on tutoring sites is... large.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1959602594428469302","reply_id":"1959602594428469302","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"flowidealism","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":159,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1959603888891331045","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1547656491024257025":{"id":"1547656491024257025","date":"2022-07-14 18:57:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Turns out the crypto yield scams were just a bit early.\n\nOnce Fed rate is at 10% they won't be scams anymore.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1547656491024257025","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1547656491024257025","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1522613858484973569":{"id":"1522613858484973569","date":"2022-05-06 16:26:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If you want to understand the business model of elite US universities, just search for people on Linkedin filtering for those elite universities.\n\nFraction of people who ACTUALLY went there vs did a course/certificate/nanodegree/etc to put on their resume?\n\nUnder 3%.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1522613858484973569","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1541109424906854401","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":33,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1522613858484973569","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1367672587514376192":{"id":"1367672587514376192","date":"2021-03-05 03:05:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@salr_nyc @KrisAbdelmessih @Ksidiii B: What can you show in {thing that never trades}?\nMM: What have you got already?\nB: 2.80-3.20 indic.\nMM: I'm 2.40-3.60 for 500.\nB: I can't show him something that wide.\nMM: Would you prefer 3.00 pick'em for lunch money?\nB: (grumble)\n(later)\nB: Take'em 3.60.\nMM: F************CK!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1367549296216858632","reply_id":"1367667151251857408","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"salr_nyc","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1367672587514376192","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2053825336828191014":{"id":"2053825336828191014","date":"2026-05-11 13:11:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Aggregate data for 5 years at a time, one plot per aggregate.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2053825220255903872","reply_id":"2053825221866463574","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2989,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2053825336828191014","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1359337899016159234":{"id":"1359337899016159234","date":"2021-02-10 03:06:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@negativecnvx I'd argue it kind of *is* finding a new alpha.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1359334050612314113","reply_id":"1359334050612314113","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"negativecnvx","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1359337899016159234","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2058217300692545990":{"id":"2058217300692545990","date":"2026-05-23 16:03:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Most of us could learn a lot of things from reading this thread. Kudos @bennpeifert for writing it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2058217300692545990","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":400,"retweets":8,"replies":13,"quotes":0,"views":54951,"bookmarks":118,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2058217300692545990","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1386323531852443651":{"id":"1386323531852443651","date":"2021-04-25 14:17:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal Are you aware of any *good* papers or studies with strats based on trends/breakouts?\n\nI'm not, but the world is a big place.\n\n(No, I don't mean books/systems/blogs/sites meant for retail. I mean real studies.)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1385992241525710848","reply_id":"1385992241525710848","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1386323531852443651","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1893274783757816231":{"id":"1893274783757816231","date":"2025-02-22 12:20:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ScottPh77711570 @trent4213 It's going well, with some glimmers of progress on the hard problems. Having a blast, the team is excellent and super motivated.\n\nIf any cracked devs want to join us in Prague, you know where to find me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1893263466288328964","reply_id":"1893272524365967467","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ScottPh77711570","likes":5,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":374,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1893274783757816231","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1183766887752065024":{"id":"1183766887752065024","date":"2019-10-14 15:29:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ReformedTrader @CliffordAsness I also see a lot of \"Hey, look at this complicated analysis I did, no one else could have figured this out.\"\n\nThen you look at it and realize they unwittingly backdoored some standard factors and it's perfectly well-known.\n\nLiberally replace \"they\" with \"me\", of course.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1183755863175024646","reply_id":"1183761195796328448","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ReformedTrader","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1183766887752065024","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1325115097975386113":{"id":"1325115097975386113","date":"2020-11-07 16:37:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"How many times do you suppose John King has said:\n\n\"Again, we won't know for sure until all the votes are counted.\"\n\n10-12 times an hour for 4 days, it's gotta be in the hundreds by now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1325115097975386113","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1325115097975386113","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1332762660656574464":{"id":"1332762660656574464","date":"2020-11-28 19:05:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@famadeo Next step:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1332757325501902862","reply_id":"1332757325501902862","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"famadeo","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1332762660656574464_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1332762660656574464","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1801643949607850140":{"id":"1801643949607850140","date":"2024-06-14 15:52:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In tennis doubles, if you think you and your partner really play well together, probably your partner is just a lot better than you.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1801643949607850140","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":34,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4201,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1801643949607850140","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1536935748171370496":{"id":"1536935748171370496","date":"2022-06-15 04:56:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ArturSepp Sornette's LPPL has been around forever. So many parameters to fit, it's hard to falsify.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536934482523082752","reply_id":"1536934482523082752","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ArturSepp","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1536935748171370496","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2009238470603231378":{"id":"2009238470603231378","date":"2026-01-08 12:19:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I wrote about the Physical Embodiment Fallacy.\n\nIt's why James Bond doesn't save the world when he kills the villain.\n\nIt's also why you can't compete with Nvidia by just making better chips.\n\nhttps://reducibleerrors.com/physical-embodiment-fallacy/","hashtags":[],"conv":"2009238470603231378","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":49,"retweets":4,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":8518,"bookmarks":29,"media":["2009238470603231378_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2009238470603231378","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1478789408660750337":{"id":"1478789408660750337","date":"2022-01-05 18:04:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SquishChaos @nope_its_lily Maybe the issue is that \"traditional DCF\" is wrong because it doesn't model the full PDF.\n\nYes equity is a zero-strike call, but the \"D\" in DCF should reflect the true probability distribution of future outcomes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1478786940254126080","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1478789408660750337","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1543997786558906369":{"id":"1543997786558906369","date":"2022-07-04 16:38:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This has been my idea for a documentary/reality-show/etc for a while:\n\n- Take 10 companies funded by some VC (picked randomly).\n- Follow them for 5 years.\n- Show the ups and (mostly) downs.\n\nKind of like the Michael Apted Up series but for startups.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1543997786558906369","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1543997786558906369","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1443951388388519944":{"id":"1443951388388519944","date":"2021-10-01 14:50:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"15/ Anyway, that's how I try to look at finance papers. \n\nYMMV but it's been useful for me over the years.\n\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443951372580229123","reply_id":"1443951387277074432","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":36,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1443951388388519944","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1480206708920119298":{"id":"1480206708920119298","date":"2022-01-09 15:55:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"👇 @levie should know.\n\nHe's actually built web-scale software, unlike 99.9% of us.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1480206708920119298","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1480206708920119298","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1386466575960580097":{"id":"1386466575960580097","date":"2021-04-25 23:46:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 Check them both out on bball reference. CP3 has a better shooting percentage and effective SP. All other important stats are a push.\n\nWho was CP3's best teammate in his prime? Blake \"I'm injured\" Griffin? CP3 had really bad luck...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1386453791650713602","reply_id":"1386457458554458112","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1386466575960580097","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1748413506473586838":{"id":"1748413506473586838","date":"2024-01-19 18:33:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tweetsbenedict Oof. Many.\n\n1. Mostly avoid credentialed teachers. (A) Adverse selection kills you, and (B) they're just not that good in homeschool settings.\n\n2. Look for tutors++, basically. Or the right college student, or AOPS instructors.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1748383159493046538","reply_id":"1748408994333655414","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tweetsbenedict","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":1213,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1748413506473586838","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1576379296813182976":{"id":"1576379296813182976","date":"2022-10-02 01:11:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dwarkesh_sp Excellent question. Fortunately not.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1576338332505645058","reply_id":"1576342991634997248","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dwarkesh_sp","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1576379296813182976","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1285377214607843330":{"id":"1285377214607843330","date":"2020-07-21 00:53:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ESYudkowsky The key is *seem*.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1285376703020167168","reply_id":"1285376703020167168","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ESYudkowsky","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1285377214607843330","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1689685809262387200":{"id":"1689685809262387200","date":"2023-08-10 17:11:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jcharovsky @IsaacKing314 @dwarkesh_sp @3blue1brown Agreed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1689285655216480256","reply_id":"1689685641645236228","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jcharovsky","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":37,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1689685809262387200","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1798163248308801780":{"id":"1798163248308801780","date":"2024-06-05 01:21:41","author":"Casey Handmer","handle":"CJHandmer","text":"This is one of the most common red flags in interviewing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1798163248308801780","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1798186113418633651","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":87,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":2,"views":38741,"bookmarks":33,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/CJHandmer/status/1798163248308801780"},"1783189691006922901":{"id":"1783189691006922901","date":"2024-04-24 17:42:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"100% agree.\n\nAnd I'll add, on the \"do the work\" part: the only way this is going to be worth doing is if it's enjoyable.\n\nIf you're dead set on that quant job but dislike the prep, STOP!\n\nGo do something else.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1783189691006922901","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":78,"retweets":4,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":18110,"bookmarks":38,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1783189691006922901","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1789500398795178303":{"id":"1789500398795178303","date":"2024-05-12 03:38:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm Everyone is a single-issue voter.\nThe issue is always \"what's best for ME\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1789328505198809469","reply_id":"1789328505198809469","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1666,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1789500398795178303","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1916932781583618385":{"id":"1916932781583618385","date":"2025-04-28 19:09:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 @ludwigABAP To whom?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1916914965455278172","reply_id":"1916932496056541487","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":245,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1916932781583618385","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1447405783684038656":{"id":"1447405783684038656","date":"2021-10-11 03:36:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@drewg__ @nope_its_lily @bennpeifert Good ole Power Peg.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1447394861158567950","reply_id":"1447405550006849536","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bookdepth","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1447405783684038656","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1437983449172746241":{"id":"1437983449172746241","date":"2021-09-15 03:35:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 @sajidnizami @JessicaNutt96 Yes, cross-asset var-clocks or info-clocks is IMO a very interesting and difficult problem where AFAIK no one has figured out much.\n\nIf I could clone myself, I'd definitely task the 4th or 5th me with thinking about this.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1437961713387667456","reply_id":"1437965460134404097","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1437983449172746241","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1482008054128279553":{"id":"1482008054128279553","date":"2022-01-14 15:13:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Seriously, this is such a massive source of alpha that companies are just burning away.\n\nIf you need some niche skillset, train them for it! The recipe isn't *that* hard:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481847231917424640","reply_id":"1481847231917424640","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482008054128279553","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1546931776299249664":{"id":"1546931776299249664","date":"2022-07-12 18:57:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"17/ These thoughts aren’t trades, at least not yet. But they’re the kind of thing that could become trades, or components of trades.\n\nCall them trades or signals or edges or something else. Doesn’t matter. The point is that you’ve thought of an idea you want to investigate.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546931744426758145","reply_id":"1546931774835396608","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546931776299249664","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1448457732181278724":{"id":"1448457732181278724","date":"2021-10-14 01:16:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan An advantage for finding credulous investors, yes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448447595446157312","reply_id":"1448447595446157312","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448457732181278724","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1696973819108536534":{"id":"1696973819108536534","date":"2023-08-30 19:51:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Is anyone out there actually using Cerebras?\n\nIf not why not?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1696973819108536534","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":4841,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1696973819108536534","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1593063915424198657":{"id":"1593063915424198657","date":"2022-11-17 02:10:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xfbifemboy Don't forget:\n- unsafe cars\n- dangerous air travel\n- runs on commercial banks\n- etc","hashtags":[],"conv":"1593010245953282048","reply_id":"1593010245953282048","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xfbifemboy","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1593063915424198657","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1935703910032769175":{"id":"1935703910032769175","date":"2025-06-19 14:19:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The most terrifying quote of the podcast:\n\n\"But Mark very much has a vision for what he wants that world to be.\"\n\n1. Does he? And if he does, who did he copy it from?\n2. It undoubtedly involves ceding more of your eyeball-seconds to ad-driven consumption. Yay.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1935701674036695421","reply_id":"1935701674036695421","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":28,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":2400,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1935703910032769175","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1560710306262724610":{"id":"1560710306262724610","date":"2022-08-19 19:28:28","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"@tom_morganKCP Josh Waitzkin comes to mind but I think a lots of more regular people would be more inspiring. \n\n@AgustinLebron3 used the term \"serial excellence\" to refer to treating you professional existence as a series of PhDs\n\nLife as chapters. I'm fumbling on the start of a new one...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1560692075380838401","reply_id":"1560692075380838401","quote_id":"1560720220045553664","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tomowenmorgan","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1560710306262724610"},"1378515682954866691":{"id":"1378515682954866691","date":"2021-04-04 01:12:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames You can safely assume no one is really hunting for you.\n\nIt's just that good trades have many competitors and bad trades have few. So good trades are available less often and have more people trying to do them. You're going to get a smaller fraction of them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1378485585791307780","reply_id":"1378512099471728641","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1378515682954866691","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1570053073011343366":{"id":"1570053073011343366","date":"2022-09-14 14:13:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Hot tip:\n\nIF your thing only looks at historical data,\nTHEN it's only supervised learning.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1569899029215199232","reply_id":"1569899029215199232","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":27,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1570053073011343366","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1165383620866871296":{"id":"1165383620866871296","date":"2019-08-24 22:01:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Barton_options Yeah, the only way to really learn something is to try to teach it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1165339622475329536","reply_id":"1165371673547292673","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Barton_options","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1165383620866871296","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1532370389183045633":{"id":"1532370389183045633","date":"2022-06-02 14:35:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sukhoiConvexity Yeah but I've recruited out of Mudd. It's known.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1532370113445470208","reply_id":"1532370113445470208","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sukhoiConvexity","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1532370389183045633","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1493457070691000322":{"id":"1493457070691000322","date":"2022-02-15 05:28:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@PetLizardBeta @KrisAbdelmessih @theemilyaccount @salr_nyc A balance between the two extremes would be nice...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493387393142976512","reply_id":"1493452268116623360","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"return_stacking","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493457070691000322","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1185588912720240640":{"id":"1185588912720240640","date":"2019-10-19 16:09:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@paulg @NielsHoven Exactly, the crime was against the *universities*. By establishing a black market in admissions, the people involved took money out of the pockets of the universities.\n\nFor shame!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1185583748420526082","reply_id":"1185585706980257792","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"paulg","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1185588912720240640","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1676558459922161664":{"id":"1676558459922161664","date":"2023-07-05 11:47:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NihilistTrader Looking pretty cross-generational sitting here in JFK terminal 5...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1676557728188178432","reply_id":"1676558234654593024","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"NihilistTrader","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1288,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1676558459922161664","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1544376217607950337":{"id":"1544376217607950337","date":"2022-07-05 17:42:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug @Brett_FTX ☝️☝️☝️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1544371789807210496","reply_id":"1544376010182909954","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1544376217607950337","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1226910789795119105":{"id":"1226910789795119105","date":"2020-02-10 16:48:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jsoloff @WayneHimelsein I was 10 when that movie came out. Went to see it in the theater. Loved it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1226899165008936961","reply_id":"1226910479173353476","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jsoloff","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1226910789795119105","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1598675165227143173":{"id":"1598675165227143173","date":"2022-12-02 13:47:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug @CorpusCalosseum Then why can't my teenager remember to put the milk back in the fridge after he uses it?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598363892320698369","reply_id":"1598653192203653120","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598675165227143173","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1400961500378894336":{"id":"1400961500378894336","date":"2021-06-04 23:43:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @EconShiller @SqueezeMetrics @Ksidiii @therobotjames But I'd argue thinking of this stuff first is kind of backwards.\n\nHaving seen the studies you post here, a critique I might make is that they're maybe trying too hard to find edge in random places.\n\nI'd start elsewhere. Try to really *understand* a small corner of the market.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1400892689101565954","reply_id":"1400961130227404803","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":25,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1400961500378894336","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1778148430310756571":{"id":"1778148430310756571","date":"2024-04-10 19:49:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbacarella @tunguz The exponents on earnings/satisfaction are very different for a vlogger vs a scientist.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1778025825436041664","reply_id":"1778113001259933853","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbacarella","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":71,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1778148430310756571","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1745316312191295826":{"id":"1745316312191295826","date":"2024-01-11 05:26:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 https://ocw.mit.edu/courses/6-172-performance-engineering-of-software-systems-fall-2018/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1745314338062406015","reply_id":"1745314338062406015","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":11,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":853,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1745316312191295826","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1498140575144439811":{"id":"1498140575144439811","date":"2022-02-28 03:38:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @experquisite @FREAK0NAUT @M1tchRosenthal @macrocephalopod @therobotjames @NotQuiteMidlife @nope_its_lily @fed_speak Quincy Extreme Data from NY4 to LD4 says:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1340471352348848134","reply_id":"1498138571386933249","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1498140575144439811_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1498140575144439811","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1174431113558626304":{"id":"1174431113558626304","date":"2019-09-18 21:12:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Usually when people say:\n\"I could teach anyone to do X.\"\n\nThey usually mean:\n\"I'm good at figuring out who's naturally good at X.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1174431113558626304","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1174431113558626304","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1603395751735971844":{"id":"1603395751735971844","date":"2022-12-15 14:25:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OrthogonalAlpha @TheSpeculator0 That's actually not a terrible thing to do if:\n- You tell them that fact.\n- It's an interesting, open-ended question/problem.\n\nSimulates the job pretty well right?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602964667013505024","reply_id":"1603103589504647168","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OrthogonalAlpha","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1603395751735971844","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1794002941365637193":{"id":"1794002941365637193","date":"2024-05-24 13:50:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HF_Trader The philanthropy is great. But it *is* a little bit tainted, given how it feeds his image and hence his media empire. No different than Carnegie and Rockefeller philanthropy, to be fair.\n\nThe cancer is just how lowest-common-denominator it is. Jerry Springer with 100x the reach.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1794000192959828206","reply_id":"1794001936292991296","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HF_Trader","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":4541,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1794002941365637193","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1529932208495988736":{"id":"1529932208495988736","date":"2022-05-26 21:07:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AlgoSnafu I guess the question is always \"why are your priors that make you believe this trade exists\".\n\nThat's what informs (important) details like sampling method. For example if you think that a VWAP is causing the momentum them probably volume-based clock is better. Etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529877576591609861","reply_id":"1529931749203099661","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AlgoSnafu","likes":12,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1529932208495988736","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2023802073880666592":{"id":"2023802073880666592","date":"2026-02-17 16:49:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Every developer in a language with unexpressive types.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2023802073880666592","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":34,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3182,"bookmarks":2,"media":["2023802073880666592_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2023802073880666592","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1743434519049650220":{"id":"1743434519049650220","date":"2024-01-06 00:49:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cam_o_gram Could be never. P(societal collapse) is always > 0.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1743425282743357589","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":111,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1743434519049650220","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1995437299719602642":{"id":"1995437299719602642","date":"2025-12-01 10:18:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"🌳 THE MONEY TREE 🌳\n\nImagine there's a special little plot of land.\n\nYou don't own the land, but you own a tree on that land. That tree gives off pure money as its fruit.\n\nFresh Benjamins you can pluck from the tree.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1995437299719602642","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":71,"retweets":3,"replies":7,"quotes":6,"views":35032,"bookmarks":73,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1995437299719602642","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1594342041424916480":{"id":"1594342041424916480","date":"2022-11-20 14:48:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xfbifemboy Many (most?) options MMs have at one point or other tried to think of a way of creating a market to bring the two sides together.\n\nBut you need naturals to make a market. You'd need something like roulette where the ball location is produced by... the weather or something.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1594125509918486528","reply_id":"1594125509918486528","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xfbifemboy","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1594342041424916480","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1445400100122107911":{"id":"1445400100122107911","date":"2021-10-05 14:46:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug Is it bigger than a breadbox?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1445399879866404864","reply_id":"1445399879866404864","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1445400100122107911","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1484333386030514178":{"id":"1484333386030514178","date":"2022-01-21 01:13:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal Does any of this 30 year old technical analysis have any predictive value?\n\nMy strong prior is no. Could be wrong though.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1484320448074555399","reply_id":"1484320448074555399","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1484333386030514178","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1537119256818511873":{"id":"1537119256818511873","date":"2022-06-15 17:06:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NotGiacomo @darjohn25 I can totally believe that was a trade.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1537099976790056961","reply_id":"1537119093244968960","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"NotGiacomo","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1537119256818511873","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1716804633891582425":{"id":"1716804633891582425","date":"2023-10-24 13:11:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sklutas @healy_trader @TCK_JRubano 👆","hashtags":[],"conv":"1716105137226146245","reply_id":"1716801961708687443","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sklutas","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":66,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1716804633891582425","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1814107948324643131":{"id":"1814107948324643131","date":"2024-07-19 01:20:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The only person who can save the Dems is otherwise occupied with her Eras tour.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1814107948324643131","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":50,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":5198,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1814107948324643131","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1363876642628591618":{"id":"1363876642628591618","date":"2021-02-22 15:41:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"11/ What do we mean by signal?\n\nAgain, let’s start at square 1. This is what a stock looks like:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1363876629550800901","reply_id":"1363876639914921984","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":41,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":["1363876642628591618_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1363876642628591618","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1501733280780992516":{"id":"1501733280780992516","date":"2022-03-10 01:34:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @therobotjames @M1tchRosenthal It's all about the improv. Yes and...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"1501733165039497218","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501733280780992516","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1749903914504474747":{"id":"1749903914504474747","date":"2024-01-23 21:16:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SpencerBosma Yeah, I don't think there's a universal measure that always works. It can be a bit soft and squishy, but you can very often feel it when it's there or not.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1749862249131593906","reply_id":"1749901694169927697","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SpencerBosma","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":456,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1749903914504474747","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1394006598167654403":{"id":"1394006598167654403","date":"2021-05-16 19:07:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily I've done a bit of this return simulator stuff. Didn't end up being especially useful but it *was* fun.\n\nFeel free to ping me if you want to bounce ideas around.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1393977708489560066","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1394006598167654403","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1552851508496019462":{"id":"1552851508496019462","date":"2022-07-29 03:00:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@danrobinson @tarunchitra @_Dave__White_ @NoahZinsmeister @bryanhpchiang If KFs worked to predict prices (and I've never seen them work) then the weak nonlinearity of constant product MM shouldn't be much of an issue for an EKF, which is just locally linearizing a KF.\n\nThey only get in trouble when nonlinearity gets funky.\n\nOn-chain matrix^-1! Strong.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1552817040448114694","reply_id":"1552850527959912453","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1552851508496019462","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1984347783000965188":{"id":"1984347783000965188","date":"2025-10-31 19:52:33","author":"dare market","handle":"daremarket","text":"dare market is now open for everyone\n\nday 1: $50,000 in prizes\n\nenter every competition and submit for FREE\n\nthe newest version of the trenches is here.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1984347783000965188","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1984915643599069232","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1663,"retweets":89,"replies":159,"quotes":250,"views":2853235,"bookmarks":1283,"media":["1984347783000965188_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/daremarket/status/1984347783000965188"},"1548443585204211712":{"id":"1548443585204211712","date":"2022-07-16 23:04:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"quantum mechanics : armchair physics philosopher\n::\nergodicity : armchair quant finance philosopher\n\nMathematical formalisms are an unlikely place to find deep insights about the nature of existence, but people will try...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548443585204211712","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1548443585204211712","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1668609507985874946":{"id":"1668609507985874946","date":"2023-06-13 13:21:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@anondot11 @theemilyaccount @MelvilleTrader Yes, but one can imagine using such modes to do other things. I think.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1668590153089134592","reply_id":"1668607964897222656","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"anondot11","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":318,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1668609507985874946","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1617150805685186560":{"id":"1617150805685186560","date":"2023-01-22 13:22:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"By the time you've hired and explained it to a lawyer, they've drafted it, you've rewritten it yourself and paid $750/hr for the privilege...\n\nYou might a well study for and take the LSAT, graduate from law school, pass the bar, get the white shoe law firm job and do it yourself.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1617150805685186560","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":67,"retweets":1,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":19082,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1617150805685186560","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2060591493522288782":{"id":"2060591493522288782","date":"2026-05-30 05:17:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Headhunter-with-a-school seems like it HAS to work. Waiting patiently for the right team to do it.\n\nCan't be VC funded because of the economics, so I think that's the reason it's not been tried much yet.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2060591493522288782","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":41,"retweets":2,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":14745,"bookmarks":19,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2060591493522288782","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1965433197384401323":{"id":"1965433197384401323","date":"2025-09-09 15:12:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"https://www.ft.com/content/05b9f4e2-2fac-4f08-becc-d2c8c40a254c","hashtags":[],"conv":"1965433197384401323","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":5475,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1965433197384401323","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1952784485214253315":{"id":"1952784485214253315","date":"2025-08-05 17:31:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase @CJHandmer They're rich because they got lucky to have oil.\n\nBut AFAICT they \"think poor\" inasmuch as they're not using that one-time gift-from-god to transform their country.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1952747071942853008","reply_id":"1952780562646565019","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":519,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1952784485214253315","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1519695450521047041":{"id":"1519695450521047041","date":"2022-04-28 15:10:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@D0blin Systematic Trading - Carver","hashtags":[],"conv":"1519590194454081537","reply_id":"1519681726930628608","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"D0blin","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1519695450521047041","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1822729032208674922":{"id":"1822729032208674922","date":"2024-08-11 20:17:20","author":"Eugene Chen","handle":"0xShitTrader","text":"Academics who believe this also believe that adding infinitely many negative EV trades is a positive EV trading strategy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1822729032208674922","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1822989220559880472","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":47,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":3,"views":9370,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1822729032208674922_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0xShitTrader/status/1822729032208674922"},"1544109959993970689":{"id":"1544109959993970689","date":"2022-07-05 00:04:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@timebargains @therobotjames @NihilistTrader Unless you're Steve Cohen, apparently.\n\n@alvinjamur","hashtags":[],"conv":"1544063841721524227","reply_id":"1544109203870162955","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1544109959993970689","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1691881669769449825":{"id":"1691881669769449825","date":"2023-08-16 18:36:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Lottery ticket                    Borges' Library\n   hypothesis                           Of Babel\n                                 🤝\n                       God is buried\n                         under noise","hashtags":[],"conv":"1691881669769449825","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1965,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1691881669769449825","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1575334590536830977":{"id":"1575334590536830977","date":"2022-09-29 04:00:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano @AttainCap2 @KrisAbdelmessih @moreproteinbars Yeah, I think having a common language within a desk or group is critical.\n\nDoesn't mean you can't branch off and build a new vernacular if you need it.\n\nBut if people are going be working day-to-day, communication breakdowns are must-avoid.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1575308368264183808","reply_id":"1575333672248647682","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1575334590536830977","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1369859042982567939":{"id":"1369859042982567939","date":"2021-03-11 03:53:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames @InBraised Yes indeed, you are working hard to fit things. Perhaps too hard.\n\nAs I sort of said, this doesn't strike me as much of a relationship TBH. But that's ok. Knowing what \"not much\" looks like, and doing it a ton, lets you gain better pattern recognition when not-nothing shows up.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1369774884834934788","reply_id":"1369858434624069632","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1369859042982567939","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2036433046031745310":{"id":"2036433046031745310","date":"2026-03-24 13:20:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So it's been roughly 20 years since the modern anti-aging/life-extension movement got going.\n\nWhat do they have to show for those 20 years? Anything at all? Rapa is a joke, metformin, NAD precursors are bullshit, etc.\n\nExercise and not being obese is still the winner.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2036433046031745310","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":176,"retweets":8,"replies":40,"quotes":1,"views":20218,"bookmarks":32,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2036433046031745310","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1473064414999842816":{"id":"1473064414999842816","date":"2021-12-20 22:54:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily That's why there's money here.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1473057729975488513","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1473064414999842816","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2015411653119012994":{"id":"2015411653119012994","date":"2026-01-25 13:09:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Asal v Zakaria is some of the most disgusting squash imaginable. More of a wrestling match.\n\nThis is your future, squash?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2015411653119012994","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2974,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2015411653119012994","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1542720879271895040":{"id":"1542720879271895040","date":"2022-07-01 04:04:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @MegaBearX @darjohn25 He's the worst.\nHim and Peter Brandt.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542684842923413504","reply_id":"1542719379116552192","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1542720879271895040","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1722663865853604254":{"id":"1722663865853604254","date":"2023-11-09 17:14:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@krishnanrohit https://wfhresearch.com/research-and-policy/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1722659796825043426","reply_id":"1722662619180683601","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"krishnanrohit","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":276,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1722663865853604254","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1412605231267864582":{"id":"1412605231267864582","date":"2021-07-07 02:51:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lightspringfox @RockshotJ My experience also. Give them Matlab or Numpy or R or whatever and tell them to do it manually.\n\nHere's a 50x3 matrix of predictors.\nHere's a 50x1 matrix of responders.\n\nWhat matrix operations are you going to do?\n\nCue the blank stares.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1412581659745001474","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1412605231267864582","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1868762789411742048":{"id":"1868762789411742048","date":"2024-12-16 20:59:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@notsky That video is old. JS has made Ocaml a lot faster since then.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1868643076845306159","reply_id":"1868643076845306159","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"skydotcs","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":227,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1868762789411742048","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1572413177895464960":{"id":"1572413177895464960","date":"2022-09-21 02:31:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What do humanities degrees look like when GPTn can write every essay better than 99% of the students ever could?\n\nIs it cheating? I mean, they graduate and get jobs producing \"content\" which, of course, they'd be stupid not to use GPTn to produce too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1572413177895464960","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1572413177895464960","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2037960547388268806":{"id":"2037960547388268806","date":"2026-03-28 18:30:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"💯\n\nWe're already there in fact, and have been for about a decade.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2037960547388268806","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":100,"retweets":4,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":15868,"bookmarks":29,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2037960547388268806","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1282846153273303041":{"id":"1282846153273303041","date":"2020-07-14 01:15:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @jsoloff @ReformedTrader I've read that paper a few times, it's excellent.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1282829599814979584","reply_id":"1282845070190837762","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1282846153273303041","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1367866993185935367":{"id":"1367866993185935367","date":"2021-03-05 15:57:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolQuant @bennpeifert @HFBondsTrader Div swaps and futs are the widowmaker.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1367851071389982720","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1367866993185935367","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1951147762407362743":{"id":"1951147762407362743","date":"2025-08-01 05:07:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@elhroz ✅","hashtags":[],"conv":"1951051428669301183","reply_id":"1951051428669301183","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"elhroz","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":67,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1951147762407362743","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1620847013314330624":{"id":"1620847013314330624","date":"2023-02-01 18:10:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@rajivpoc - Editing history (squashing) isn't a thing by default. Immutability rules.\n- Trunk-based development is more natural in hg.\n- Overall more polished user experience. It's easier to mess things up in git, which can happen either with inexperienced users or when you're in a rush.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1620838535606726657","reply_id":"1620844412006973444","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"rajivpoc","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":968,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1620847013314330624","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1770952470241706275":{"id":"1770952470241706275","date":"2024-03-21 23:15:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JKevin2011 Also makes perfect sense.\n\nIs switch hitting in baseball increasing?\n\n@Gingfacekillah","hashtags":[],"conv":"1770944013035544923","reply_id":"1770944013035544923","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JKevin2011","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":204,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1770952470241706275","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1748756803666530304":{"id":"1748756803666530304","date":"2024-01-20 17:18:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I re-read this thread every month, probably.\n\nEvery time I come up with a \"great\" idea for education, I check it against this thread. Every time the great idea comes up short.\n\nYet I live in hope I'll think of something that doesn't.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1748756803666530304","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":76,"retweets":7,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":19338,"bookmarks":41,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1748756803666530304","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1585352409286443008":{"id":"1585352409286443008","date":"2022-10-26 19:27:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Oh just give up and accept that JS offer already!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1585344982055292928","reply_id":"1585344982055292928","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1585352409286443008","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1754319634348560654":{"id":"1754319634348560654","date":"2024-02-05 01:42:49","author":"Matt Bateman","handle":"mbateman","text":"Everyone wants to think critically and no one wants to know stuff","hashtags":[],"conv":"1754319634348560654","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1754517998969270406","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":397,"retweets":26,"replies":29,"quotes":12,"views":54381,"bookmarks":41,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mbateman/status/1754319634348560654"},"1677831325997465600":{"id":"1677831325997465600","date":"2023-07-09 00:05:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@UAL_Fan @0xfbifemboy I mean, it *was* the Texas site.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1677663390830034945","reply_id":"1677830866054283265","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"UAL_Fan","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":52,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1677831325997465600","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1648463016000884738":{"id":"1648463016000884738","date":"2023-04-18 23:06:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"No new movies anymore, only sequels.\nNo new music, just remixes.\n\nNow crypto's in reruns too?\nSigh.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1648463016000884738","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3396,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1648463016000884738","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1508658014848380929":{"id":"1508658014848380929","date":"2022-03-29 04:11:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@iv_technicals Can you summarize your results in the form a Twitter poll please?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1508657120686002189","reply_id":"1508657120686002189","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"iv_technicals","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1508658014848380929","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1286466676129595395":{"id":"1286466676129595395","date":"2020-07-24 01:02:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@QuantRob @VitruviusCurve And the cheetahs are adapting in real time because they're reverse engineering your camera.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1286382393935503365","reply_id":"1286450939180834816","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuantRob","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1286466676129595395","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1597797685179793408":{"id":"1597797685179793408","date":"2022-11-30 03:40:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@benchmarcc @KrisAbdelmessih So why are all these protocols telling retail they can profitably LP passively \"because of the yield\"?\n\nIt's the dishonesty that pisses me off.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597690466807316480","reply_id":"1597796470962257920","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"benchmarcc","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597797685179793408","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1768743713222897843":{"id":"1768743713222897843","date":"2024-03-15 20:58:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@perrymetzger These people.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1768733626907185591","reply_id":"1768733626907185591","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"perrymetzger","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":289,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1768743713222897843_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1768743713222897843","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1821525017076605152":{"id":"1821525017076605152","date":"2024-08-08 12:33:01","author":"World of Statistics","handle":"stats_feed","text":"% of the population that speaks fluent English:\n\n🇨🇳 China - 0.9%\n🇧🇷 Brazil - 5%\n🇷🇺 Russia - 5%\n🇮🇳 India - 10.5%\n🇲🇽 Mexico - 12.9%\n🇮🇹 Italy - 13.74%\n🇹🇷 Turkey - 17%\n🇪🇸 Spain - 22%\n🇮🇩 Indonesia - 30.8%\n🇿🇦 South Africa - 31%\n🇷🇴 Romania - 31%\n🇪🇬 Egypt - 39.9%\n🇵🇱 Poland - 49.1%\n🇵🇰 Pakistan - 49~58%\n🇬🇷 Greece - 51%\n🇳🇬 Nigeria - 51~57%\n🇩🇪 Germany - 56%\n🇫🇷 France - 57.2%\n🇵🇭 Philippines - 58.2%\n🇧🇪 Belgium - 60%\n🇦🇹 Austria - 73%\n🇫🇮 Finland - 75%\n🇨🇦 Canada - 83%\n🇩🇰 Denmark - 86%\n🇸🇪 Sweden - 89%\n🇳🇴 Norway - 90%\n🇳🇱 Netherlands - 90.9%\n🇦🇺 Australia - 92.8%\n🇺🇸 USA - 95.5%\n🇸🇬 Singapore - 96.4%\n🇳🇿 New Zealand - 97.8%\n🇬🇧 UK - 98.3%\n🇮🇪 Ireland - 98.37%\n🇬🇮 Gibraltar - 100%\n\nAccording to Census, Crystal, Euromonitor, Eurobarometer, and other local sources","hashtags":[],"conv":"1821525017076605152","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1822005352805888480","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16043,"retweets":1384,"replies":1340,"quotes":571,"views":3291177,"bookmarks":2341,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/stats_feed/status/1821525017076605152"},"1922471164581925059":{"id":"1922471164581925059","date":"2025-05-14 01:56:58","author":"Kevin A. Bryan","handle":"Afinetheorem","text":"Optimal mechanism: get points for each loss. In game 1, a loss is worth 1 Draft Point. As season continues, loss is worth less, becoming negative late. Draft position based on Draft Points. Everyone wants to win late in season. Early season used to handicap truly bad teams. 5/x","hashtags":[],"conv":"1922471157569057117","reply_id":"1922471162640060696","quote_id":"1922746100294812001","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Afinetheorem","likes":40,"retweets":6,"replies":4,"quotes":3,"views":10183,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Afinetheorem/status/1922471164581925059"},"1778601911182115215":{"id":"1778601911182115215","date":"2024-04-12 01:51:55","author":"Asuka","handle":"HighFreqAsuka","text":"Friends & family rounds are toxic. There's no signal, your family thinks you're awesome. Risking your parent's retirement in a single concentrated illiquid low prob bet is stupid. VCs are better diversified, it's fine for them if your startup fails.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1778601911182115215","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1778605824199258152","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":11153,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/HighFreqAsuka/status/1778601911182115215"},"1980947259555484136":{"id":"1980947259555484136","date":"2025-10-22 10:40:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Purchased! Self-recommending.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1980947259555484136","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":6257,"bookmarks":17,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1980947259555484136","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1987933468483875074":{"id":"1987933468483875074","date":"2025-11-10 17:20:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What analogous thing can OAI have that can't be replicated with a few billions of dollars of investment?\n\nLooking for actual positive arguments, not just \"they're a scam\" or whatever.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1987933464885166210","reply_id":"1987933466621559118","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":3969,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1987933468483875074","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1784347280134586549":{"id":"1784347280134586549","date":"2024-04-27 22:21:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@waltuuuhr I don't *know*, but I can sure guess.\n\n1:1 admin to teachers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1784344881772781747","reply_id":"1784345833070014857","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"waltuuuhr","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":105,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1784347280134586549_1.jpg","1784347280134586549_2.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1784347280134586549","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1307801914633904129":{"id":"1307801914633904129","date":"2020-09-20 22:00:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @NoLayingUp Yeah, but Corey Pavin's artistry was also pretty ugly at times...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1307801731615600640","reply_id":"1307801791183060993","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1307801914633904129","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2069085017372844044":{"id":"2069085017372844044","date":"2026-06-22 15:48:04","author":"Robin Hanson","handle":"robinhanson","text":"RT @robinhanson: If you have doubts, I say do it; be a father.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2069085017372844044","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2068771192765325578","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":16,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":353,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/robinhanson/status/2069085017372844044"},"1487088600168615939":{"id":"1487088600168615939","date":"2022-01-28 15:42:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @vgr What's threatening about it?\n\nIf a kid can do it, any reasonable organization can too.\n\nI kinda want to hire him, tbh.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1487086305561374730","reply_id":"1487087369823997952","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1487088600168615939","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1714733858544128288":{"id":"1714733858544128288","date":"2023-10-18 20:03:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FormulaDeltaOne @sentientETF @theemilyaccount Pricing in the wings is more art than science.\nShit gets wide.\nVery hard to build automated systems that do this reliably across multiple exps, products, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1714723337711104095","reply_id":"1714733526128447718","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FormulaDeltaOne","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":850,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1714733858544128288","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1357803375409041408":{"id":"1357803375409041408","date":"2021-02-05 21:28:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mattwwaters @lebas_janney The hypothesis I lay out in my book is that signals get competed down to the point where the evidence they work is weak enough that you can't believe in them on the basis of pure number-crunching alone. You need priors to help you.\n\nBut also, the world changes over time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1357774613049184257","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1357803375409041408","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1546931748994355200":{"id":"1546931748994355200","date":"2022-07-12 18:57:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3/ STEP 1: Live In The World\n\nThis sounds like a joke right? Aside from some random orbiting astronauts, we all live in the world right?\n\nNo.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546931744426758145","reply_id":"1546931747740192768","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546931748994355200","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1560990264830791680":{"id":"1560990264830791680","date":"2022-08-20 14:00:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@etdebruin @KrisAbdelmessih \"What, they want my passport now too?\"\n\n(rummaging through files)\n🤔\n\n“Man is condemned to be free. Once thrown into the world, he is responsible for everything he does.\"\n🥺\n\n(ah, found it)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1560722440249954304","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1560990264830791680","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1988534040018788801":{"id":"1988534040018788801","date":"2025-11-12 09:07:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Example:\n\nMake $20k on $100k with 8% drawdown and 2% daily limit. Clear scam.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1988534015419146302","reply_id":"1988534038399779115","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":64,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":8925,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1988534040018788801_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1988534040018788801","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1597982065990852608":{"id":"1597982065990852608","date":"2022-11-30 15:53:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 @garybasin @0xdoug I think it can get better but all you're doing is pushing the tail-badness farther out. And generally when you do that, you also make the tail-badness much worse when it does happen.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597978345345789953","reply_id":"1597981521197289472","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597982065990852608","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1761643939524964590":{"id":"1761643939524964590","date":"2024-02-25 06:46:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So far, generative AI is just a more efficient way of creating the cultural products we've already been mired in for the last couple of decades: \n\nRemixes, remakes, sequels, and cinematic universes.\n\nNot to mention blogspam and other writing that goes by the name \"content\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1761643939524964590","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":41,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4603,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1761643939524964590","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1476646589837963264":{"id":"1476646589837963264","date":"2021-12-30 20:09:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"People who love to read scifi/fantasy seem to love it for the same reason people who dislike it seem to dislike it:\n\nThe setting is a possible world that doesn't or hasn't existed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476646589837963264","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476646589837963264","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1476775525066571778":{"id":"1476775525066571778","date":"2021-12-31 04:41:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Me too. And almost every professional options trader I know says basically the same thing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476775525066571778","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":88,"retweets":6,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":23,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476775525066571778","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1571229142607351808":{"id":"1571229142607351808","date":"2022-09-17 20:06:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"RIP Saul Kripke\n\nhttps://leiterreports.typepad.com/blog/2022/09/in-memoriam-saul-kripke-1940-2022.html\n\nIt's no exaggeration to say that Naming And Necessity changed my worldview as a 21-year-old.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1571229142607351808","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1571229142607351808","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1699251999106334943":{"id":"1699251999106334943","date":"2023-09-06 02:43:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sharpeshark That's the other Tiger Woods one that comes to mind.\n\nAnd the ace in Phoenix at the height of Tigermania.\n\nAnd the chip in at the World Cup in Japan.\n\nI could go on...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1699165497282187385","reply_id":"1699210944436490513","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SharpeShark","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":161,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1699251999106334943","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1454906197589434368":{"id":"1454906197589434368","date":"2021-10-31 20:20:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lightspringfox @WallStreetCorgi Watching the machine make money while thinking \"I can't believe they pay me to do this\".\n\nOf course, offset by watching the machine incinerate money sometimes thinking about your life choices.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1454900613427441666","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1454906197589434368","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1940046562337624235":{"id":"1940046562337624235","date":"2025-07-01 13:55:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It doesn't matter if you love, hate, or are indifferent to @elonmusk.\n\nIf he can break us out of this Kang vs Kodos stupidity, he will have done something truly great. THEN he can go to Mars.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1940046562337624235","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":44,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":4989,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1940046562337624235_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1940046562337624235","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1600625028021637120":{"id":"1600625028021637120","date":"2022-12-07 22:55:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SpencerBosma Factorio ✅","hashtags":[],"conv":"1600618804115300352","reply_id":"1600620940643422208","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SpencerBosma","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1600625028021637120","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1949852786335645963":{"id":"1949852786335645963","date":"2025-07-28 15:21:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ashleevance Don't forget to turn off the A/C and your dryer. And only use a third of your fridge.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1949838128526565598","reply_id":"1949838128526565598","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ashleevance","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":214,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1949852786335645963","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1521298366662991872":{"id":"1521298366662991872","date":"2022-05-03 01:19:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Our proprietary market making algorithms permit us to provide deep liquidity in crypto markets\"\n\nI don't know about y'all but if I were starting a crypto MM, I'd be working to provide *shallow* liquidity.\n\nSeems not a lot of people doing that...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1521298366662991872","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":59,"retweets":3,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1521298366662991872","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1632160877930754048":{"id":"1632160877930754048","date":"2023-03-04 23:27:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@july2022ffsacc @anondot11 I know, it's insane. Show me a 17 year old who knows what they want to do for the rest of their lives and I'll show you, in expectation, a boring never-amounted-to-much 40 year old.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632157627978514433","reply_id":"1632160328812298241","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"july2022ffsacc","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":249,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632160877930754048","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1949130995464044614":{"id":"1949130995464044614","date":"2025-07-26 15:33:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@trickyreds14 If it brings more people into gambling, yeah.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1949114597039821279","reply_id":"1949121825080058328","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"trickyreds14","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":397,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1949130995464044614","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1259494737347661831":{"id":"1259494737347661831","date":"2020-05-10 14:45:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@michael_olenick @VCBrags This is a clear discrimination lawsuit waiting to happen.\n\nAmerica's Next Top Looks-Like-A-Model VC","hashtags":[],"conv":"1259489082134147074","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1259494737347661831","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1476617277646594050":{"id":"1476617277646594050","date":"2021-12-30 18:12:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Suhail Do an actual example by hand.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476616872757891086","reply_id":"1476616872757891086","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Suhail","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476617277646594050","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2028495915959402818":{"id":"2028495915959402818","date":"2026-03-02 15:41:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"C++23 is the answer to the question:\n\n\"What if you put nice features in a language, but did them in the ugliest conceivable syntax? You know, because of backward compatibility or something.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"2028495915959402818","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":558,"retweets":13,"replies":25,"quotes":3,"views":36025,"bookmarks":31,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2028495915959402818","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1978182743327473986":{"id":"1978182743327473986","date":"2025-10-14 19:34:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@connieeee55 It was inevitable once they started trying to make money.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1978182141180522742","reply_id":"1978182657939841318","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"connieeee55","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":905,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1978182743327473986","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1996865673323278362":{"id":"1996865673323278362","date":"2025-12-05 08:54:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So it's \"an exchange\" that's also \"the house\".\n\nBut certainly not a betting platform, oh no, not at all.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1996865673323278362","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":378,"retweets":15,"replies":8,"quotes":2,"views":42874,"bookmarks":48,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1996865673323278362","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1552456401620185088":{"id":"1552456401620185088","date":"2022-07-28 00:50:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Spare a moment for the person who's resorting to such drastic measures to get a book recommendation!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1552416077984198656","reply_id":"1552416077984198656","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1552456401620185088","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2006781607932477588":{"id":"2006781607932477588","date":"2026-01-01 17:36:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Happy new year to everyone!\n\nMy latest installment in recounting my personal history with computers:\n\nhttps://reducibleerrors.com/weird-hobby-3/","hashtags":[],"conv":"2006781607932477588","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2006787918334145012","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":11097,"bookmarks":8,"media":["2006781607932477588_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2006781607932477588","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1388129458406797314":{"id":"1388129458406797314","date":"2021-04-30 13:53:47","author":"Joe Weisenthal","handle":"TheStalwart","text":"A take I think about frequently is @matt_levine’s about how much more impressive Adam Neumann is if you think of him as a short seller, as opposed to an entrepreneur.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1388129458406797314","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1388129877384040449","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":262,"retweets":8,"replies":4,"quotes":5,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheStalwart/status/1388129458406797314"},"1498169225969496066":{"id":"1498169225969496066","date":"2022-02-28 05:32:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @be20684347 @experquisite @macrocephalopod @therobotjames @NotQuiteMidlife @nope_its_lily @fed_speak Honestly trying to help.\n\nThe robot is right. Find those easy edges. Low capacity stuff. Messing around with L2 data, or trying to find stat arb stuff in ES and treasuries and all that is unlikely to pan out.\n\nThe crap end of the Russell is your friend.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1340471352348848134","reply_id":"1498168012133871616","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":27,"retweets":3,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1498169225969496066","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2070894571760799989":{"id":"2070894571760799989","date":"2026-06-27 15:38:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Yes. Economic historians *will* look back on late 20th century/early 21st century New York and try figure out exactly why the insanity of rent control was so popular there.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2070894571760799989","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":92,"retweets":0,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":10164,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2070894571760799989","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1942138287172227159":{"id":"1942138287172227159","date":"2025-07-07 08:27:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5/\n\"There are lots of grey areas in trading. We avoid them. We avoid them because it's wrong, but also because it's bad business. If you're in this business for the long haul, your reputation as a good market participant is worth more than some shady little trade.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942138285058326807","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":261,"retweets":6,"replies":2,"quotes":3,"views":32649,"bookmarks":32,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942138287172227159","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1597962125107789826":{"id":"1597962125107789826","date":"2022-11-30 14:33:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 @avi_eisen @0xren_cf @macrocephalopod OTC.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597921672769982464","reply_id":"1597961922225528832","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597962125107789826","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1567592081484554242":{"id":"1567592081484554242","date":"2022-09-07 19:14:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jae_tacen @NicoPollari @therobotjames @theemilyaccount @witchqueendot Agreed.\n\nDo you do anything cool to align volume clocks across different instruments?\n\n(This is a fun and IMO hard problem)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1567346642105286656","reply_id":"1567591604923383809","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"true_jae_yang","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1567592081484554242","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1959585172581699808":{"id":"1959585172581699808","date":"2025-08-24 11:54:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BackPedaling112 @TradingDutchman @Eurex Yes, Bouchaud and his group write excellent papers on market impact for large metaorders.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1959568586114040234","reply_id":"1959584063305466147","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BackPedaling112","likes":6,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":974,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1959585172581699808","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1539249463616847877":{"id":"1539249463616847877","date":"2022-06-21 14:10:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"13/ Travel, good food, golf (often), the sort of carefree consumption of new houses and new cars that represent the pinnacle of the middle-class aspirational mountain.\n\nIf you want an extreme caricature, go watch Some Kind Of Heaven, the documentary about The Villages.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1539249425956093952","reply_id":"1539249457367339009","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":["1539249463616847877_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1539249463616847877","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1437200420430966787":{"id":"1437200420430966787","date":"2021-09-12 23:44:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 @sajidnizami @therobotjames @darjohn25 @FranklinLynam @FreyaHolmer I can't believe I'm quoting Wolfram, but I think there's something to his argument that some processes and systems are better-described using a computational formalism vs a purely mathematical formalism.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1436696408506212353","reply_id":"1437200154302599173","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1437200420430966787","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1297697880833060864":{"id":"1297697880833060864","date":"2020-08-24 00:50:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I don't care if it's standards-aligned. Most important requirements are that it be (a) interesting, and (b) real science. I.e. answering generalizable \"why\" and \"how\" questions.\n\nI think it's a low probability such a book exists. I'm looking for AoPS but for science.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1297697209446588416","reply_id":"1297697209446588416","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1297697880833060864","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1493435131054342145":{"id":"1493435131054342145","date":"2022-02-15 04:00:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @be20684347 @theemilyaccount @salr_nyc IQ test at the top of the funnel is illegal in the US.\n\nThough this doesn't prevent companies from using strong proxies for it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493387393142976512","reply_id":"1493434791705780227","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493435131054342145","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1429962679322505232":{"id":"1429962679322505232","date":"2021-08-24 00:24:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"6/6 END","hashtags":[],"conv":"1429962672305434658","reply_id":"1429962676390686736","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1429962679322505232_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1429962679322505232","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1899924985235243123":{"id":"1899924985235243123","date":"2025-03-12 20:46:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"No, but those early employees took basically just as much risk as the founders for <10% of the upside.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1899924985235243123","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":126,"retweets":0,"replies":11,"quotes":0,"views":17697,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1899924985235243123","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2026720336184525306":{"id":"2026720336184525306","date":"2026-02-25 18:05:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Seeing lots of JSDS, Jane Street Derangement Syndrome.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2026720336184525306","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":177,"retweets":8,"replies":13,"quotes":0,"views":16493,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2026720336184525306","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1688245959401279490":{"id":"1688245959401279490","date":"2023-08-06 17:49:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Miracles of the modern world we never think about:\n\n- Concrete is insanely cheap AND has the same coefficient of thermal expansion as steel.\n- Copper is cheap and highly conductive and incredibly ductile.\n- The Haber process.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1688245959401279490","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":39,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4978,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1688245959401279490","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1227619541636698112":{"id":"1227619541636698112","date":"2020-02-12 15:44:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@paulg Even in 2020, Benford's Law is a pretty good 1st screen for chicanery in financial statements.\n\nhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Benford%27s_law\n\nEither people don't know it, so they mess it up.\nOr they do, and their numbers track the dist *too* closely.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1227606069343596544","reply_id":"1227606069343596544","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"paulg","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1227619541636698112","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1981418289013076379":{"id":"1981418289013076379","date":"2025-10-23 17:51:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@elletwocache - City-owned grocery stores.\n- Free public transit.\n- Rent freeze.\n- Build a lot more more public housing. \n\n🤷‍♂️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1981345835079389510","reply_id":"1981384064801140937","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"elletwocache","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3029,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1981418289013076379","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1798884167347757442":{"id":"1798884167347757442","date":"2024-06-07 01:06:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JamesPoetzscher @CJHandmer How is AGI going to learn all the stuff we know about atoms that isn't on the Internet anywhere?\n\nIs it going to do a 5 year apprentice with a master tool and die maker? To understand precisely the smell of 304 stainless steel when you're turning it a bit too fast?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1798866640538624199","reply_id":"1798882685747655059","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JamesPoetzscher","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":105,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1798884167347757442","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1481703194967220227":{"id":"1481703194967220227","date":"2022-01-13 19:02:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"The Fourth World\" is so apt.\n\nI'm going to start using this.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481703194967220227","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1481703194967220227","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1794506678421119262":{"id":"1794506678421119262","date":"2024-05-25 23:11:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Trying to think how much I'd pay for a Turing Complete style game that teaches you how to build an industrial chemical plant. A lot probably.\n\n@CJHandmer","hashtags":[],"conv":"1794506678421119262","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2095,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1794506678421119262","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1224001477171019778":{"id":"1224001477171019778","date":"2020-02-02 16:07:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bengoertzel An attempt at steelmanning the argument:\n\nInaction on CC indicates a complete failure to coordinate a global response to a planet-scale problem. *That* is the existential risk.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1223960223016054785","reply_id":"1223960223016054785","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bengoertzel","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1224001477171019778","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1788973686021845020":{"id":"1788973686021845020","date":"2024-05-10 16:45:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@yieldcurvepro IRS feels likely to kill it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788923697908339031","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1378,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788973686021845020","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1980585130508058983":{"id":"1980585130508058983","date":"2025-10-21 10:41:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@gwern Absolute Unit vibes\n\nhttps://gwern.net/aunn","hashtags":[],"conv":"1980585130508058983","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"gwern","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":648,"bookmarks":5,"media":["1980585130508058983_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1980585130508058983","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1896125163172966823":{"id":"1896125163172966823","date":"2025-03-02 09:07:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"RIP Gene Hackman, possibly my favorite actor.\n\nHe had a way of commanding the scene without chewing it up. Unlike a certain short Italian American.\n\nA trip down memory lane of his movies that I remember watching...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1896125163172966823","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":42,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":7926,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1896125163172966823","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1187054444443140096":{"id":"1187054444443140096","date":"2019-10-23 17:13:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ReformedTrader @WayneHimelsein One of my biggest re-evaluations of how I thought about trading happened when I saw AlphaZero crush Stockfish. It did so by taking advantage of position, of Stockfish overvaluing material.\n\nWhy did Stockfish overvalue material? Because it's easy to program a computer to evaluate.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1187046651673767938","reply_id":"1187053682057023488","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ReformedTrader","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1187054444443140096","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1241074400041955328":{"id":"1241074400041955328","date":"2020-03-20 18:49:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RyanSParker @WayneHimelsein One thing I tell everyone: great ideas can come from everywhere. Esp with small capacity strats, there's lots of juice out there if you know how to look (and not fool yourself). 😉\n\nStay safe.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1240706829484613632","reply_id":"1241073412199440389","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RyanSParker","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1241074400041955328","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1942138690672767058":{"id":"1942138690672767058","date":"2025-07-07 08:28:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"29/ Looking forward, maybe the weight of increased investigations, more involvement from compliance, and general \"loss of the spark\" means even more good people head for the exists.\n\nWe know from the Millennium lawsuit that there's a big demand out there for ex-JS people.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942138577237745939","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":121,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":22006,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942138690672767058","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1321825980227334147":{"id":"1321825980227334147","date":"2020-10-29 14:47:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@paulg To state the obvious: it's kind of the wrong question to ask. You're getting a thousand post-facto explanations with no way (other than whatever biased priors you have) to distinguish between them.\n\nThe real q: who had true edge trading it *at the time*. Pay heed to those ppl.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1321753352980582401","reply_id":"1321753352980582401","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"paulg","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1321825980227334147","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1506045260278820867":{"id":"1506045260278820867","date":"2022-03-21 23:09:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"35/ As you get older you realize there's more to life than turning money into more money. Some people are smart enough to figure this out early, but for a lot of us it takes a while.\n\nBilly wants to do something memorable. Winning with the A's, with their budget, would be.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1506045258861215745","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1506045260278820867","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1766646306087620652":{"id":"1766646306087620652","date":"2024-03-10 02:04:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@famadeo I know, and I know you know. But even after years of doing this I still need to hear it myself sometimes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1766516961784000995","reply_id":"1766639436425564284","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"famadeo","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":244,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1766646306087620652","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1942222896937451701":{"id":"1942222896937451701","date":"2025-07-07 14:03:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sean91237 @BasedStatistic @DeFi_AdamZ Not sure, but the oil thing seemed much more driven by mechanical hedging/replication due to ETNs rebalancing. I.e. no *intent* per se.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942222699234726195","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sean91237","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1770,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942222896937451701","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1755637408266326290":{"id":"1755637408266326290","date":"2024-02-08 16:59:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih Ok so I just did a meatball sim in Excel.\n\n- First 10mins gets 5x normal vol\n- Next 10mins gets 2x normal vol\n- 2nd last 10mins gets 2x normal vol\n- Last 10mins gets 5x normal vol\n\nResult: First or last is either daily high or daily low 71% of the time.\n\nLesson: intuitions lie.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1755409785527382181","reply_id":"1755633576983531910","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":446,"bookmarks":4,"media":["1755637408266326290_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1755637408266326290","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1654947286215192576":{"id":"1654947286215192576","date":"2023-05-06 20:32:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Watching this is addictive.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Vt0gE0lcEg","hashtags":[],"conv":"1654947286215192576","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2764,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1654947286215192576","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2078412125521752070":{"id":"2078412125521752070","date":"2026-07-18 09:30:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's like a cartoon bad-ideas-only administration.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2078412125521752070","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":68,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":12049,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2078412125521752070","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1492728578647080966":{"id":"1492728578647080966","date":"2022-02-13 05:13:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug Interesting! How correlated?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1492622868634431488","reply_id":"1492726198421630976","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1492728578647080966","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1770920485637005539":{"id":"1770920485637005539","date":"2024-03-21 21:08:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alpha_convert What I mean by \"dual\", is that you hit just one-handed forehands. On both wings. With different hands.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1770916075234103409","reply_id":"1770920271039619287","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":134,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1770920485637005539","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1574461663008370688":{"id":"1574461663008370688","date":"2022-09-26 18:11:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In a world where evaluations are cost-free then sure, but that's never the case.\n\nEvaluating claims is costly. So heuristics like the genetic \"fallacy\" are actually exceedingly useful in the real world.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1574461663008370688","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1574461663008370688","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1864675142703415491":{"id":"1864675142703415491","date":"2024-12-05 14:16:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"How old am I?\n\nI am \"I remember when you were only *really* in your new job when they connected your work phone line and you celebrated by calling your out-of-town friends with free long distance\" old.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1864675142703415491","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1982,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1864675142703415491","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1603121786672975872":{"id":"1603121786672975872","date":"2022-12-14 20:16:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@patio11 @sasuke___420 I used to run a business helping tech companies get better at hiring. It was a bad business.\n\nWhen you tell them what it takes to get truly world-class at hiring, 95%+ of them start having serious second thoughts.\n\nEveryone wants great employees.\nFew do what it takes to get them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1603049531817369600","reply_id":"1603120713505726464","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"patio11","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1603121786672975872","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2068080234780410080":{"id":"2068080234780410080","date":"2026-06-19 21:15:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"There's a scene in You Only Live Twice where Bond asks Tiger Tanaka if he can identify a particular piece of coastline. He responds \"Given time, yes.\"\n\nTurns out it took ~50 years till the Rainbolts of the world arrived.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2068080234780410080","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3663,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2068080234780410080","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1458450737185181706":{"id":"1458450737185181706","date":"2021-11-10 15:05:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The gas is too damn high!\n\nI want a .eth domain but I can't justify the txn costs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1458450737185181706","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1458450737185181706","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1485434728865951744":{"id":"1485434728865951744","date":"2022-01-24 02:10:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SoccerMomTrades Now we're talking.\n\nAll we need to do now is figure out how to map this \"vol\" number onto the fear vs greed scale.\n\nCan't be that hard, surely...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1485286526162554884","reply_id":"1485433150805319684","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SoccerMomTrades","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1485434728865951744","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1537898184998932486":{"id":"1537898184998932486","date":"2022-06-17 20:41:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@web3ally Obviously it's fine (necessary?) to run a liquid HF using lots of leverage.\n\nI would have thought \"don't do (illiquid by definition) VC investments with levered money\" was an obvious thing. Guess not?\n\nImpressed with crypto's ability to weather it on top of Celsius news! 🫳🪵","hashtags":[],"conv":"1537832704917446656","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1537898184998932486","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1506045832746856448":{"id":"1506045832746856448","date":"2022-03-21 23:11:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin That I was going to have to re-plumb the drains for the whole house.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1506036944148615176","reply_id":"1506036944148615176","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1506045832746856448","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1477071463718944768":{"id":"1477071463718944768","date":"2022-01-01 00:17:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames This is a really good book. Lots of little nuggets that you pick up on further reading.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477045063729364992","reply_id":"1477045077117583364","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477071463718944768","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1352742930897727488":{"id":"1352742930897727488","date":"2021-01-22 22:20:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@drunkengrass Sorry to hear that! Hoping for a quick recovery for you.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1352655077547229188","reply_id":"1352655077547229188","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"drunkengrass","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1352742930897727488","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1363891572954177543":{"id":"1363891572954177543","date":"2021-02-22 16:41:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod Ultra ETFs FTW.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1363886635730034690","reply_id":"1363886655913029632","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1363891572954177543","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1878117895143674351":{"id":"1878117895143674351","date":"2025-01-11 16:32:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@optionsly Unconditionally believing AIs will fully replace remote human workers over a 10 year timescale, for example","hashtags":[],"conv":"1878114717262049360","reply_id":"1878116322468397378","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"optionsly","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":424,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1878117895143674351","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1448113734212149253":{"id":"1448113734212149253","date":"2021-10-13 02:29:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @salr_nyc @therobotjames The innovations in the lineage are interesting.\n\nSIG: Education system\nJS: Incentive alignment (no lockups)\nAlameda: Actively shaping public perception on social media to maximize $","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448086924330246151","reply_id":"1448112006620450821","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448113734212149253","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1668089973642231811":{"id":"1668089973642231811","date":"2023-06-12 02:56:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I was reminded of this fact when re-reading this:\n\nhttp://johnsalvatier.org/blog/2017/reality-has-a-surprising-amount-of-detail","hashtags":[],"conv":"1668089972367163393","reply_id":"1668089972367163393","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1665,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1668089973642231811","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1413650067337072642":{"id":"1413650067337072642","date":"2021-07-10 00:03:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @JKevin2011 @KrisAbdelmessih Yeah, staring at SPY ticks on 15 exchanges simultaneously isn't going to do much for you, FPGAs or no.\n\nBut some pink sheet? Definitely.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1413617958807478273","reply_id":"1413624063126216709","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1413650067337072642","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1448115611603775495":{"id":"1448115611603775495","date":"2021-10-13 02:37:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Sean14111840 @salr_nyc @therobotjames Mistakes of youth...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448086924330246151","reply_id":"1448114184890331141","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Sean14111840","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448115611603775495","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1898135186241474666":{"id":"1898135186241474666","date":"2025-03-07 22:14:28","author":"Zack Voell","handle":"zackvoell","text":"> break prison rules to do a podcast\n> nobody watches it \n> moved to solitary confinement\n\nget fucked lol","hashtags":[],"conv":"1898135186241474666","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1898261005269889522","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":625,"retweets":36,"replies":29,"quotes":11,"views":254066,"bookmarks":35,"media":["1898135186241474666_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/zackvoell/status/1898135186241474666"},"1788978029580153198":{"id":"1788978029580153198","date":"2024-05-10 17:02:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@W98AB Basically. Where the structured product has some absurd amount of edge for them too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788969245222850997","reply_id":"1788977778416635911","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"W98AB","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":340,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788978029580153198","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2057079049973813583":{"id":"2057079049973813583","date":"2026-05-20 12:40:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If you're smart and driven, it can feel like you've made it once you're in one of these places. Trust me I know.\n\nBut at some point you might realize that you're uncomfortable with the comfort, and wonder if it's terminal.\n\nIt's not.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2057077759717871972","reply_id":"2057079048342294782","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":9581,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2057079049973813583","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1433236351416078343":{"id":"1433236351416078343","date":"2021-09-02 01:12:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cyeslami @Mephisto731 IMO it depends on the purpose of the analysis.\n\nBut I claim normalizing by recent vol is rarely a terrible idea, and I don't think people do it enough.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1433209332888387593","reply_id":"1433227952112775168","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"cyeslami","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1433236351416078343","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1546931744426758145":{"id":"1546931744426758145","date":"2022-07-12 18:57:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I've hit 1⃣0⃣0⃣0⃣0⃣ followers!\n\nThis would have been utterly shocking to me three years ago, so 🙏 thanks to everyone. As a thank you, here goes a thread on a question I get asked a lot:\n\n➡️How do I come up with good trading strategies?⬅️\n\n🧵👉👉","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546931744426758145","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":177,"retweets":24,"replies":8,"quotes":8,"views":0,"bookmarks":172,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546931744426758145","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1357788675497578496":{"id":"1357788675497578496","date":"2021-02-05 20:30:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bryan_caplan The people in the 26+ bucket are the ones wearing their N95s properly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1357788210802417667","reply_id":"1357788210802417667","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bryan_caplan","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1357788675497578496","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1351698755720945667":{"id":"1351698755720945667","date":"2021-01-20 01:11:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RFDLA @svrnco @Rick_Ferri Totally agree w/ you.\n\nThere's a trade I could describe in two sentences that's a consistent 2+ Sharpe trade in >30mm size for over 10 years.\n\nI'm sure many others can do the same. But they're locked away for a reason. *You* have to do the looking. No one's going to give it away.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1351679935514079232","reply_id":"1351698003061469185","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RFDLA","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1351698755720945667","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1946528094338105596":{"id":"1946528094338105596","date":"2025-07-19 11:10:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@chandakya343 @TulipSeller Not more than anything else. Evidence: the last 6 months.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946518179569651763","reply_id":"1946526956197196007","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"chandakya343","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":394,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946528094338105596","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1681720839543111686":{"id":"1681720839543111686","date":"2023-07-19 17:41:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@totlsota @bookdepth \"Hey intern.\"\n\"What? I've been here 9 months!\"\n\"You say po-tay-to, I say po-tah-to.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1681656676007436288","reply_id":"1681661870032265218","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"totlsota","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":291,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1681720839543111686","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1783326547702874574":{"id":"1783326547702874574","date":"2024-04-25 02:45:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @DeepDishEnjoyer To me the most important distinction is between sports where you compete mostly against others, and sports where you compete against yourself.\n\nI like the former but my second kid only cares about the latter. Surfing, parkour, etc.\n\nAll good as long as you're enjoying the grind.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1783304839662887216","reply_id":"1783309116879892845","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":107,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1783326547702874574","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1245928284514160641":{"id":"1245928284514160641","date":"2020-04-03 04:17:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz Niederhoffer's is def the worst of the bunch. Hard to argue with Fast and Slow. Sapiens is good though Homo Deus is more insightful IMHO.\n\nThe book I learned the most about humans was Never Split The Difference.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1245926763688914944","reply_id":"1245926763688914944","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1245928284514160641","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1866950961203142759":{"id":"1866950961203142759","date":"2024-12-11 20:59:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nearcausality Do you want to learn how computers work (Rust, Zig, Go, C, C++(shudder)) or learn how nice a language can be (Ocaml, Haskell)?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1866950295835820537","reply_id":"1866950295835820537","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nearcausality","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":244,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1866950961203142759","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1540389194366758912":{"id":"1540389194366758912","date":"2022-06-24 17:39:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@eshear @paulg Declines in real wages also have an obvious causal mechanism.\n\nTo be clear, I'm no fan of the war on drugs. But broad societal changes often have multiple correlated causes with weird causation structures.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1540379719396478976","reply_id":"1540387951862919168","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"eshear","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1540389194366758912","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1471638822718902275":{"id":"1471638822718902275","date":"2021-12-17 00:30:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@robinhanson The crypto gravy train may just take care of this problem. Just as it was meant to from the beginning, for those that know their history of Bitcoin.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471637404134088712","reply_id":"1471637404134088712","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"robinhanson","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471638822718902275","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1434963971602223105":{"id":"1434963971602223105","date":"2021-09-06 19:37:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"16/\n\nA. I have younger friends, ones who aren’t as far along on the ossification spectrum.\nB. I like making money. I’ll learn anything if there’s EV there.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434963956599193601","reply_id":"1434963970406825985","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434963971602223105","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1764687760596844551":{"id":"1764687760596844551","date":"2024-03-04 16:22:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"How can Anthropic be proud of this?\n\nThis is firing-level work for a human data analyst.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1764686969505001554","reply_id":"1764686969505001554","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1043,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1764687760596844551","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1508238044352040960":{"id":"1508238044352040960","date":"2022-03-28 00:22:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @KrisAbdelmessih @CryptoNymph @davidbelle_ @Ksidiii lynch","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507961234519429120","reply_id":"1508237697051394054","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1508238044352040960","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1428722227151704066":{"id":"1428722227151704066","date":"2021-08-20 14:14:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LouStagner I know who wouldn't want such a list:\n\n99% of teachers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1428715496535478277","reply_id":"1428715496535478277","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"LouStagner","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1428722227151704066","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1734400215187431587":{"id":"1734400215187431587","date":"2023-12-12 02:30:09","author":"Patrick Collison","handle":"patrickc","text":"2022 PISA data is out, and the picture isn't pretty. https://hechingerreport.org/proof-points-there-is-a-worldwide-problem-in-math-and-its-not-just-about-the-pandemic/. \"These were the lowest U.S. math scores recorded in the history of the PISA math test, which began in 2003.\" Also: \"School closures explained only 11 percent of the variation in countries’ test scores; nearly 90 percent is attributable to other, unclear reasons.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1734400215187431587","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1734721341029580989","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1554,"retweets":288,"replies":120,"quotes":135,"views":1032069,"bookmarks":460,"media":["1734400215187431587_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/patrickc/status/1734400215187431587"},"1647090962655744000":{"id":"1647090962655744000","date":"2023-04-15 04:14:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Aside from writing front-end code and general tech \"how do I\", ChatGPT4 is deep in the uncanny valley of competence for me.\n\nAnswers to broader questions are consistently and aggressively mid. Just like someone trying to sound smart but who hasn't thought deeply about anything.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1647090962655744000","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":89,"retweets":2,"replies":7,"quotes":1,"views":20381,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1647090962655744000","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2036105639852720450":{"id":"2036105639852720450","date":"2026-03-23 15:39:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"34 months to go. Hopefully the world can last that long.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2036105639852720450","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":165,"retweets":2,"replies":8,"quotes":2,"views":32939,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2036105639852720450","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1548084591486857217":{"id":"1548084591486857217","date":"2022-07-15 23:18:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Value_Quant @pmontu33 @therobotjames @darjohn25 @Gingfacekillah @TCK_JRubano Here's another way to think about the risk aspect:\n\nSay your max loss is 30%. Are you going to be sitting there at full size when you're down 29.9%? Then puke it all out at 30.00001%?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548007648007634944","reply_id":"1548078657775644673","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Value_Quant","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1548084591486857217","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2064731818998280636":{"id":"2064731818998280636","date":"2026-06-10 15:30:01","author":"Ethan Caballero","handle":"ethanCaballero","text":"RT @ethanCaballero: the claude fable 5 nerf for AI research has induced the angriest reaction from AI researchers that I've ever seen in my life","hashtags":[],"conv":"2064731818998280636","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2064552947669684361","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":50,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ethanCaballero/status/2064731818998280636"},"1166069769788776448":{"id":"1166069769788776448","date":"2019-08-26 19:27:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@paulg @5harath There's surely a positive selection aspect too? Unfashionable-looking sites with good content attract the right sort of readers, or something.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1166055058863210498","reply_id":"1166056669417107457","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"paulg","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1166069769788776448","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1351356420180963331":{"id":"1351356420180963331","date":"2021-01-19 02:30:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @bennpeifert @theemilyaccount I think it's important to think at the margin. Esp because there can be large non-linearities.\n\nIf sending the kid to private is going to make the difference between Harvard and Duke then it's prob worth the $.\n\nIf it's between McNeese State and East Tenn State, not so much.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1351326563984404482","reply_id":"1351333921896722433","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1351356420180963331","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1386677878302003208":{"id":"1386677878302003208","date":"2021-04-26 13:45:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@salr_nyc @bennpeifert @TheSpeculator0 @KrisAbdelmessih This is basically true re Stalinism and NT. I had an interesting conversation with him about rent control and it's clear he thinks \"the reason it doesn't appear to work\" is that laws/restrictions aren't penal or restrictive enough.\n\nTicks the \"diversity of viewpoints\" box for me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1386380006905896963","reply_id":"1386511951015055360","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"salr_nyc","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1386677878302003208","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1507910839260487683":{"id":"1507910839260487683","date":"2022-03-27 02:42:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @KrisAbdelmessih Edibles.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507898551719792646","reply_id":"1507910753327943684","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507910839260487683","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1702145656809554143":{"id":"1702145656809554143","date":"2023-09-14 02:22:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"When is @X going to release the \"sort by LLM perplexity\" feature?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1702145656809554143","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1424,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1702145656809554143","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1187054811398557696":{"id":"1187054811398557696","date":"2019-10-23 17:14:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ReformedTrader @WayneHimelsein Whole generations of chess GMs, raised on computer-based training, overvalue material. Our whole view of chess (and what's important) changed with AlphaZero.\n\nIn trading: what trades am I missing because I see things with \"it can be implemented with a computer\" eyes?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1187046651673767938","reply_id":"1187054444443140096","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1187054811398557696","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1441902170643656704":{"id":"1441902170643656704","date":"2021-09-25 23:07:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This just seems completely wrong to me.\n\nEuros 1 down w/ 3 to play, and a Euro win is >3x likelier than a tie?\n\n@LouStagner @scottfawcett thoughts?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1441902170643656704","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1441902170643656704_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1441902170643656704","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1937214976068034562":{"id":"1937214976068034562","date":"2025-06-23 18:23:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT How? That's the degen broker's job, not the trader making the market.\n\nDon't blame traders for Robinhood being evil.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1937209115383849132","reply_id":"1937214751232360927","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":343,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1937214976068034562","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1673883912009916422":{"id":"1673883912009916422","date":"2023-06-28 02:39:58","author":"Matt Bateman","handle":"mbateman","text":"1. Problems of education are hard and routinely underestimated or misconceived.\n\n“Education” is different from e.g. “learning”.\n\nEducation requires, amongst other things, instructional design (which startup folks often don’t get) and quality educators (which are hard to scale).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1673883912009916422","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1748756803666530304","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":363,"retweets":58,"replies":17,"quotes":19,"views":95684,"bookmarks":331,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mbateman/status/1673883912009916422"},"1382720426393018371":{"id":"1382720426393018371","date":"2021-04-15 15:40:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_____Lightning Yeah, that's a part of it definitely.\n\nI'm well past the point of being employable I think. I can't conceive of anyone who would look at my resume and want to interview me for a job I'd want to accept. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"1382719906580459520","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_____Lightning","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382720426393018371","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1341851641268486144":{"id":"1341851641268486144","date":"2020-12-23 21:02:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I guess the moral of the story is obvious: be clear-eyed about your weaknesses, and work on them!\n\n/end","hashtags":[],"conv":"1341851637782999041","reply_id":"1341851640454791168","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1341851641268486144","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1694369881486139598":{"id":"1694369881486139598","date":"2023-08-23 15:23:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ctxmsg That one was my favorite. Things a high schooler w/o this knowledge would ask:\n- What's that weird Greek letter?\n- What's with the three lines?\n- Why is there a function in an exponent?\n- What does mod mean?\n- Is the n in the function the same as the italic n on the right side?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1694138276523991384","reply_id":"1694367923228299570","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0x6080604052","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":117,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1694369881486139598","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2074219794295935042":{"id":"2074219794295935042","date":"2026-07-06 19:51:50","author":"Zachary Lipton","handle":"zacharylipton","text":"RT @zacharylipton: AI companies complaining about distillation is the single greatest act of hypocrisy in the history of humanity.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2074219794295935042","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2074209021402435827","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":62,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":352,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/zacharylipton/status/2074219794295935042"},"2021670859136807397":{"id":"2021670859136807397","date":"2026-02-11 19:41:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"People in glass houses...","hashtags":[],"conv":"2021670859136807397","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":6484,"bookmarks":1,"media":["2021670859136807397_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2021670859136807397","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2026929955771134396":{"id":"2026929955771134396","date":"2026-02-26 07:58:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Taylorism wasn't wrong, apparently. Just early.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2026929955771134396","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2235,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2026929955771134396","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1555301166526840833":{"id":"1555301166526840833","date":"2022-08-04 21:14:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"You know how the more positive-sounding descriptors your country name has, the less true it is?\n\nROK >> DPRK\nZaire >> DRC\n\netc\n\nThe more elaborate your company's titles for the people in charge of making $, the less good you are at it.\n\nRevOps\nDemandGen\n\nOthers?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1555301166526840833","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1555301166526840833","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1415490568390512641":{"id":"1415490568390512641","date":"2021-07-15 01:57:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@longskew @therobotjames @Sg423Sg Yup, this.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"1415490174419705857","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"longskew","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415490568390512641","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1477449709002231808":{"id":"1477449709002231808","date":"2022-01-02 01:20:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @robertmartin88 Somewhere some griefer is furiously triangulating that image...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477215978563932162","reply_id":"1477357415326785541","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477449709002231808","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1808288166354604439":{"id":"1808288166354604439","date":"2024-07-02 23:54:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Autonomous AI is two generations away like fusion is 20 years away.\n\nNot saying neither will ever happen, but it's hard not to see the pattern.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1808288166354604439","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":4594,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1808288166354604439","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1666800448790228993":{"id":"1666800448790228993","date":"2023-06-08 13:32:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"15/ After an eternal-seeming pause, he responds. I don't remember the exact words to be honest, but it was something like:\n\n\"Yeah that's cute. But no one is going to care about this, least of all me. Now get back to work.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1666800429236207621","reply_id":"1666800447305203714","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":737,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1666800448790228993","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2022241925399818565":{"id":"2022241925399818565","date":"2026-02-13 09:30:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"AI coded apps cause so much tech debt! Nooo!\n\nYes, and then if the debt gets too big in a year, you get the next better version of Claude to write you a new better one in 10 minutes.\n\nPeople hanging on to very outdated tradeoff calculations...","hashtags":[],"conv":"2022241925399818565","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":147,"retweets":4,"replies":19,"quotes":4,"views":25291,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2022241925399818565","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1666504901583851521":{"id":"1666504901583851521","date":"2023-06-07 17:58:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 @anondot11 @abiylfoyp","hashtags":[],"conv":"1666496173765689346","reply_id":"1666503673000898561","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":153,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1666504901583851521","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1573690954875211781":{"id":"1573690954875211781","date":"2022-09-24 15:08:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sw33tY4ms In the end, all that societies can do is decide how to occupy their zero-marginal-product adults.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1573688865575108610","reply_id":"1573688865575108610","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"return_stacking","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1573690954875211781","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2080182669313253858":{"id":"2080182669313253858","date":"2026-07-23 06:46:10","author":"47fucb4r8curb4fc8f8r4bfic8r","handle":"47fucb4r8c69323","text":"RT @47fucb4r8c69323: OpenAI found a way to turn irresponsible sandboxing into marketing, really impressive comms game.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2080182669313253858","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2080055110076604798","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":4,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":331,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/47fucb4r8c69323/status/2080182669313253858"},"1602759223011467265":{"id":"1602759223011467265","date":"2022-12-13 20:15:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@matt_levine summarizes it better than anyone could.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602759223011467265","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"matt_levine","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1602759223011467265_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1602759223011467265","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1481435327864586240":{"id":"1481435327864586240","date":"2022-01-13 01:18:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @vixologist @kchoudhu Yeah, this is one of those alcohol things.\n- The 50th percentile person doesn't drink/doesn't read books.\n- The 90th percentile person reads two books per year/two drinks per week.\n\n95% of the alcohol consumed/books read are by the hard core top 10%.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481302561592422402","reply_id":"1481340803771420672","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1481435327864586240","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1946519992607948880":{"id":"1946519992607948880","date":"2025-07-19 10:38:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@carry_inv @waltuuuhr Wow.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946518179569651763","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":94,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946519992607948880","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2066598549438013770":{"id":"2066598549438013770","date":"2026-06-15 19:07:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Let's face it, probably nothing in the last 50 years has done more to reinforce national stereotypes than the soccer World Cup.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2066598549438013770","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":75,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":11902,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2066598549438013770","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1788214916509507744":{"id":"1788214916509507744","date":"2024-05-08 14:30:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Jr trader interview q:\n\n- I developed an automated providing/MM system, put it in prod (small size), makes money.\n- Great, I size it up.\n- Now it loses money.\n\nWhy? Give a specific example scenario.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788214916509507744","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":341,"retweets":11,"replies":32,"quotes":5,"views":94936,"bookmarks":350,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788214916509507744","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2070392964547793056":{"id":"2070392964547793056","date":"2026-06-26 06:25:23","author":"bayes","handle":"bayeslord","text":"RT @bayeslord: Situation detected: AI labs launch a 1 quadrillion token distillation attack on everything humanity has ever recorded","hashtags":[],"conv":"2070392964547793056","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2070382291486908761","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":26,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":394,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bayeslord/status/2070392964547793056"},"1875203134127309259":{"id":"1875203134127309259","date":"2025-01-03 15:30:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SpencrGreenberg People want to be good at the things they do frequently.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1875200426867630238","reply_id":"1875200426867630238","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SpencrGreenberg","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":900,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1875203134127309259","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1377999097924255746":{"id":"1377999097924255746","date":"2021-04-02 14:59:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"11/\nB: Retail interest in trading circa 2020 is like poker interest in 2004: most people will lose their shirts, but those who remain will be *fierce* competitors that will make markets more efficient.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377999087644012544","reply_id":"1377999096963735555","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1377999097924255746","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1451929375654350849":{"id":"1451929375654350849","date":"2021-10-23 15:11:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Just knowing this is almost all you need. If you have smart people, an analog of Linus's Law applies.\n\n\"With enough eyeballs, all bugs are shallow.\"\n\nIf you know where to look, all problems are easy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1451929369132158977","reply_id":"1451929374404448258","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1451929375654350849","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1603463614563643392":{"id":"1603463614563643392","date":"2022-12-15 18:54:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 Is this a trick question like in Indiana Jones 3?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1603461113584107520","reply_id":"1603463310980091909","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":226,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1603463614563643392","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1934339642968486113":{"id":"1934339642968486113","date":"2025-06-15 19:58:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@eestokesOSS The ones that struggle with it are rarely as good at *simulating* competence though.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1934328883165192402","reply_id":"1934338701900820906","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"eestokesOSS","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":503,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1934339642968486113","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1792664381047840785":{"id":"1792664381047840785","date":"2024-05-20 21:11:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@W98AB Guaranteed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1792663132319650231","reply_id":"1792664310722048440","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"W98AB","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":750,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1792664381047840785","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1536208192614477825":{"id":"1536208192614477825","date":"2022-06-13 04:45:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The modern media landscape cures you of any completism tendencies you might have.\n\nInfinite choice somehow has the effect of compressing the top end. There's more crap than ever but even the good stuff is a bit \"Meh if I have time. If I miss it there'll always be something else.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536208192614477825","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1536208192614477825","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1656750901800099840":{"id":"1656750901800099840","date":"2023-05-11 19:59:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"You're doing God's work there NYT.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1656750901800099840","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2422,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1656750901800099840_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1656750901800099840","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1895040974574797135":{"id":"1895040974574797135","date":"2025-02-27 09:19:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Imagine if Obama hadn't made that joke at the WHCA dinner in 2011.\n\nJan 2017: President H Clinton inaugurated after winning a close but low-turnout contest against Jeb.\n\nFeb 2017: Merrick Garland confirmed to the Supreme Court.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1895040974574797135","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":3008,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1895040974574797135","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1598367154721927168":{"id":"1598367154721927168","date":"2022-12-01 17:23:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase @therobotjames @robertmartin88 There are a few important simplifications in this model, but IMO it's a useful starting point.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598359321158553602","reply_id":"1598366954842382336","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598367154721927168","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1773827391401652719":{"id":"1773827391401652719","date":"2024-03-29 21:39:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@andrelorenzob @famadeo @tomatsot @nope_its_lily @quantytrader @DeepDishEnjoyer @bubbleboi @sagarjainmp assumir != assume\n\nYou want \"recognize\".\n\nA minha esposa comete esse erro tambem. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1773456147309334555","reply_id":"1773826172062781706","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"andrelorenzob","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":86,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1773827391401652719","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1412835319691591683":{"id":"1412835319691591683","date":"2021-07-07 18:06:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vixologist @Mephisto731 @bennpeifert \"trend\"\n\n🤣🤡","hashtags":[],"conv":"1412830719873896448","reply_id":"1412830719873896448","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vixologist","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1412835319691591683","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1552500903353020417":{"id":"1552500903353020417","date":"2022-07-28 03:47:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @theemilyaccount @therobotjames @moreproteinbars @KrisAbdelmessih Always.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1552416077984198656","reply_id":"1552496818151641090","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1552500903353020417","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1773759615555313863":{"id":"1773759615555313863","date":"2024-03-29 17:10:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbateman Definitely agree with you on that!\n\nArtifice is the right word too. It's all a big show, but for whom?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1773754928877494710","reply_id":"1773758058524508254","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbateman","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":44,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1773759615555313863","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1349102893123555328":{"id":"1349102893123555328","date":"2021-01-12 21:16:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It feels like de-platforming violent extremists is like taking the drugs away from a drug addict.\n\nIt's a nice first step but the real work happens after. Why did they get hooked in the first place?\n\nSo, who's out there trying to address why so many people are *so* mad?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1349102893123555328","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1349102893123555328","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1761186678054719603":{"id":"1761186678054719603","date":"2024-02-24 00:29:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@wagieeacc Mistimed correct trades lose just as much as incorrect ones. Close don't count.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1761139317051728340","reply_id":"1761139317051728340","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"wagieeacc","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":275,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1761186678054719603","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1944053446551679333":{"id":"1944053446551679333","date":"2025-07-12 15:17:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@gregfloyd42069 Since forever, basically. That's how it was quoted to me in 2001.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943908342209851761","reply_id":"1944050879252115653","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"gregfloyd42069","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":98,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1944053446551679333","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1365340725303386113":{"id":"1365340725303386113","date":"2021-02-26 16:39:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HariPKrishnan2 This is true of log-normals pretty much anytime you make vol or drift (or both) time-varying.\n\nThe cause of the time variation doesn't really matter.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1365324298836140040","reply_id":"1365324298836140040","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HariPKrishnan2","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1365340725303386113","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1442513006307381264":{"id":"1442513006307381264","date":"2021-09-27 15:34:35","author":"Doug Colkitt","handle":"0xdoug","text":"In my experience, a major reason ML tends not to work well out of the box in quant trading is because the signal-to-noise ratio is so low. A great alpha might predict 1% of the variance in short-term price moves. Many ML techniques break down with that much unattributable noise","hashtags":[],"conv":"1442513006307381264","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1442517609195343874","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":89,"retweets":10,"replies":4,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":29,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0xdoug/status/1442513006307381264"},"1452002149383081984":{"id":"1452002149383081984","date":"2021-10-23 20:01:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OroMarkets @HF_Trader @0xdoug @lightspringfox That's fair.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1451994667889922054","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1452002149383081984","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2064680619372609778":{"id":"2064680619372609778","date":"2026-06-10 12:06:34","author":"bayes","handle":"bayeslord","text":"RT @bayeslord: They didn’t mean pause AI research, they meant pause *your* AI research","hashtags":[],"conv":"2064680619372609778","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2064437399292203401","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":339,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bayeslord/status/2064680619372609778"},"2000679296843833749":{"id":"2000679296843833749","date":"2025-12-15 21:28:09","author":"Tarek Mansour","handle":"mansourtarek_","text":"The wait is over: Combos are officially live for everyone on Kalshi! \n\nLast week alone they did over $100m in volume.\n\nAnd it's compounding: our app grew 50% in November and we hit another volume record yesterday ~$340m.\n\nIn traditional financial markets, traders bundle multi-leg options instead of buying separately to get better prices. Combos offer the same price improvement. \n\nLike with our other markets, there is no house: when you submit a Combo, traders compete in the open market to take the other side.\n\nWe keep marching.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2000679296843833749","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2000962688923349432","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":731,"retweets":51,"replies":161,"quotes":260,"views":2398456,"bookmarks":263,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mansourtarek_/status/2000679296843833749"},"1345806977184632834":{"id":"1345806977184632834","date":"2021-01-03 18:59:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The Bay Area backlash-backlash is beginning.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1345806977184632834","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1345806977184632834","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1494120150013919235":{"id":"1494120150013919235","date":"2022-02-17 01:22:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Considering starting to use @InsideTracker. Any comments positive/negative?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494120150013919235","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494120150013919235","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1289336824813326338":{"id":"1289336824813326338","date":"2020-07-31 23:07:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@eurottoman @RokoMijicUK Sounds like someone who's never hunted.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1289001382402560002","reply_id":"1289275858469838848","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GFMindset","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1289336824813326338","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1722728799840956741":{"id":"1722728799840956741","date":"2023-11-09 21:32:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2023/11/peter-thiel-2024-election-politics-investing-life-views/675946/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1722728799840956741","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1788,"bookmarks":4,"media":["1722728799840956741_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1722728799840956741","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1289344320764407809":{"id":"1289344320764407809","date":"2020-07-31 23:36:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@eurottoman @RokoMijicUK I suggest reading ethnographic profiles of the Kung San or extant Amazonian tribes.\n\nHunting so that you and your family don't starve is a problem-solving and critical thinking festival!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1289001382402560002","reply_id":"1289336824813326338","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1289344320764407809","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1136430351453118464":{"id":"1136430351453118464","date":"2019-06-06 00:31:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mattyglesias Recommend you read \"The Hungry Brain\" by Stephan Guyenet @whsource. Explanations can be found therein.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1136429879291981824","reply_id":"1136429879291981824","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mattyglesias","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1136430351453118464","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1552007244761288704":{"id":"1552007244761288704","date":"2022-07-26 19:05:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@thetradler At some places yes.\n\nAnd guess what that leads to long-term...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1551973287667777536","reply_id":"1552003241709371392","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"thetradler","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1552007244761288704","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1346141086180208642":{"id":"1346141086180208642","date":"2021-01-04 17:06:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"13/ Options MMs *love* selling options to people who want to bet on the stock. They just shove that EV risk off by hedging.\n\nTo the MM you bought your call from, they just stood in the middle of a simple equity trade. And made money selling you some vol you didn't think about.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346141085244956674","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":86,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346141086180208642","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1890105206408667505":{"id":"1890105206408667505","date":"2025-02-13 18:26:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@douziememacro Even a stopped clock...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1890006135077584943","reply_id":"1890095657266081844","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrosopuli","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":49,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1890105206408667505","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1506045256172679173":{"id":"1506045256172679173","date":"2022-03-21 23:09:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"32/ Billy is desperate for cash. Other teams have cash to burn. He values cash more highly than they do.\n\nThat's information he can use to strike deals that feel valuable to both parties.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1506045254788542464","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1506045256172679173","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1597316869715034112":{"id":"1597316869715034112","date":"2022-11-28 19:49:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano Management, management, management.\n\nYour average senior trader/desk head is terrible at managing *people*.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597316636302008320","reply_id":"1597316636302008320","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":37,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597316869715034112","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2059637100618690665":{"id":"2059637100618690665","date":"2026-05-27 14:05:25","author":"Ven","handle":"edgefills","text":"RT @edgefills: Turns out people who professionally manage assets know how to take care of them efficiently, who would have thought","hashtags":[],"conv":"2059637100618690665","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2059636764072141304","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":5,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/edgefills/status/2059637100618690665"},"1274868851407089664":{"id":"1274868851407089664","date":"2020-06-22 00:56:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @experquisite I'm not sure that's true. Plenty of math came *out* of string theory. Even if it's false as a description of our universe, it wasn't a complete waste.\n\nThough perhaps a sub-optimal allocation of $. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1274827168653205504","reply_id":"1274856615762591744","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1274868851407089664","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1822007922312003833":{"id":"1822007922312003833","date":"2024-08-09 20:31:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@waltuuuhr France higher than Germany is not plausible.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1822005352805888480","reply_id":"1822006074226176486","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"waltuuuhr","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":195,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1822007922312003833","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1482008055889858562":{"id":"1482008055889858562","date":"2022-01-14 15:13:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3. Train them for 3 months in the niche skill. All while fully integrating them into the company, the culture, etc.\n\n4. Let them loose!\n\nAdvantages:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481847231917424640","reply_id":"1482008055038414851","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482008055889858562","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1571669842012549120":{"id":"1571669842012549120","date":"2022-09-19 01:17:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @Chaelelo @nope_its_lily @OGTaylorB @NewRiverInvest Everything:\n- Financial outcomes.\n- How you feel about your decisions.\n- How others see you.\n\netc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1571636409651580929","reply_id":"1571669445839556609","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1571669842012549120","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1529544778756476928":{"id":"1529544778756476928","date":"2022-05-25 19:27:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"As KYCed DeFi grows, non-KYCed DeFi probably gets Gresham's Lawed down to the point where ONLY transparently illegal stuff gets transacted there.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529544778756476928","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1529544778756476928","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1450126463974342656":{"id":"1450126463974342656","date":"2021-10-18 15:47:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano Two thoughts:\n\n1. When building an automated trading system, your beliefs about durable market features are encoded in the system. Relationships between securities, time series features, execution logic, etc.\n\nThat's kind of like developing a view then expressing it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1450123086213361669","reply_id":"1450123086213361669","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1450126463974342656","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1521602916074676224":{"id":"1521602916074676224","date":"2022-05-03 21:29:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dacaldar @PubTriviaFacts stare decisis","hashtags":[],"conv":"1521595457062924288","reply_id":"1521601932506324995","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dackupasec","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1521602916074676224","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1704533902667432327":{"id":"1704533902667432327","date":"2023-09-20 16:32:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih https://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1122896920043589632","hashtags":[],"conv":"1704532910148321553","reply_id":"1704532910148321553","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1231,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1704533902667432327","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1539642383926579201":{"id":"1539642383926579201","date":"2022-06-22 16:12:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AnodyneCode Not for me, but I don't do a lot of boilerplate-y stuff like front-end dev, etc.\n\nI don't doubt it's useful in those spots, modulo the \"there's a subtle bug in those 200 lines it spit out that will take 2 hours to find\".\n\nBut its usefuleness feels like an indictment of the tools.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1539631254542307328","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1539642383926579201","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1734634828761334091":{"id":"1734634828761334091","date":"2023-12-12 18:02:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Python is popular BECAUSE of the things \"real\" programmers dislike.\n\n- Interpreted\n- Semantic whitespace\n- Lots of syntactic sugar hiding complexity underneath\n- Dynamic typing","hashtags":[],"conv":"1734634828761334091","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":118,"retweets":4,"replies":10,"quotes":2,"views":22352,"bookmarks":17,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1734634828761334091","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1346863599491272704":{"id":"1346863599491272704","date":"2021-01-06 16:58:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"36/ Here it is:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346863596332937221","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1346863599491272704_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346863599491272704","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1334574610495356928":{"id":"1334574610495356928","date":"2020-12-03 19:05:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mark_dow And if they can figure out how to solve the linear equations that give them the portfolio of ETFs they need to get the single-stock exposure they want, more power to them.\n\nH/T @matt_levine","hashtags":[],"conv":"1334552617289072640","reply_id":"1334552617289072640","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mark_dow","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1334574610495356928","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1655988834210037760":{"id":"1655988834210037760","date":"2023-05-09 17:31:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The answer to every question about why ChatGPT is/isn't doing something always the same:\n\nIt's 👏 just 👏 predicting 👏 the 👏 next 👏 token!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1655988834210037760","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3467,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1655988834210037760","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1494458835271970827":{"id":"1494458835271970827","date":"2022-02-17 23:48:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OneBigOh They're not explicit about this, but they want to hire FAANG level devs at half the price.\n\nSo they hide the comp, try to get the candidate pregnant with noises about culture and mission and meaning, then hope they can snag them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493963587261370375","reply_id":"1494458473513250827","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494458835271970827","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2063128585481703698":{"id":"2063128585481703698","date":"2026-06-06 05:19:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Watched the movie Limitless last night. Stupid but entertaining.\n\nSo it's just an allegory for unsafe AGI right?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2063128585481703698","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":33,"retweets":1,"replies":11,"quotes":1,"views":10732,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2063128585481703698","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1546932175513489409":{"id":"1546932175513489409","date":"2022-07-12 18:59:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"25/\n- Expectations you have about the results of your study. Write this down! This will help you remember and figure out which results are surprising when you do the study.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546931744426758145","reply_id":"1546931785581219841","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546932175513489409","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2076511596172468243":{"id":"2076511596172468243","date":"2026-07-13 03:38:38","author":"Scott Alexander","handle":"slatestarcodex","text":"You (or at least \"your side\") are doing a bait-and-switch. You say \"chip regulations will involve an Orwellian surveillance state\", and then, when I show that chip regulations are no different from drug regulations, you say \"Yeah, well, you admit drug regulations raise prices and decrease supply, so that means I was directionally correct when I said they'd plunge the world into eternal dystopia\". See https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/if-its-worth-your-time-to-lie-its","hashtags":[],"conv":"2076464608563634385","reply_id":"2076464608563634385","quote_id":"2076558336930017572","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ja3k_","likes":259,"retweets":10,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":24765,"bookmarks":29,"media":["2076511596172468243_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/slatestarcodex/status/2076511596172468243"},"1764133491049218478":{"id":"1764133491049218478","date":"2024-03-03 03:39:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames","hashtags":[],"conv":"1764106682437972214","reply_id":"1764106682437972214","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":721,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1764133491049218478_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1764133491049218478","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1879079707653841147":{"id":"1879079707653841147","date":"2025-01-14 08:14:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@notgodcomplex96 @therobotjames @josephwang Corr(poasting, profitability) as negative as it's ever been.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1878782612556386651","reply_id":"1879003945169027091","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"notgodcomplex96","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":412,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1879079707653841147","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1937401612068159776":{"id":"1937401612068159776","date":"2025-06-24 06:45:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"As for advertising, of course there's tremendous value to it too.\n\nBut consider for a moment a world where an ad-supported AI intermediates most of your interactions. Is that a world you want to live in?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1937399039231668424","reply_id":"1937399599796252687","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3274,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1937401612068159776","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1773827117270323243":{"id":"1773827117270323243","date":"2024-03-29 21:38:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 True. But it *is* one of them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1773384779347730616","reply_id":"1773817900329291833","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":365,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1773827117270323243","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1238550608967135232":{"id":"1238550608967135232","date":"2020-03-13 19:40:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"You can always count on Americans to do the right thing - after they've tried everything else.\"\n\n- Winston Churchill","hashtags":[],"conv":"1238550608967135232","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":3,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1238550608967135232","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1383539710161690625":{"id":"1383539710161690625","date":"2021-04-17 21:55:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"There are few things that drive me into a blinding rage. \n\nBut the fact that nuclear power is currently a non-factor in solving climate change AND economic growth is definitely one of them.\n\nhttps://rootsofprogress.org/devanney-on-the-nuclear-flop","hashtags":[],"conv":"1383539710161690625","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1383539710161690625","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1973314873703743702":{"id":"1973314873703743702","date":"2025-10-01 09:11:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Any guesses whether Jurgen computed the total return on the S&P500 (i.e. including dividends)?\n\nIt's only an additional factor of (checks notes) 4.5 if you include them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1973314873703743702","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":5450,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1973314873703743702","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1595237015422963712":{"id":"1595237015422963712","date":"2022-11-23 02:05:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 @KrisAbdelmessih Sports are:\n- Inherently zero-sum. IMO you should view trading from the lens of \"what value am I adding the world\".\n- Played in a bounded universe with well-defined rules. Trading is anything but.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595193472280973312","reply_id":"1595203334629052416","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1595237015422963712","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1942138291580436709":{"id":"1942138291580436709","date":"2025-07-07 08:27:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"7/ I remember lots of times where we learned of shady trades, possibly legal or possibly not, that we passed up on because they didn't meet the internal bar of \"Are we making markets better by doing this?\"\n\nThe people who I talk to now from my vintage at JS remember it the same.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942138289349136714","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":155,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":31212,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942138291580436709","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1364309120141070336":{"id":"1364309120141070336","date":"2021-02-23 20:20:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sajidnizami @Mephisto731 Solid fundamentals, could improve on marketing a bit.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1364304781741850629","reply_id":"1364308748051701760","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sajidnizami","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1364309120141070336","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1931662460680880252":{"id":"1931662460680880252","date":"2025-06-08 10:39:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Low probability, but big if it turns out I'm right.\n\nb35b52a1e91fc6cdfeee046ddf4742e86c3a067ed6a2c577ed2374c0eacfae79","hashtags":[],"conv":"1931662460680880252","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1957813498739605797","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":53,"retweets":0,"replies":21,"quotes":1,"views":22226,"bookmarks":28,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1931662460680880252","type":"quote","issues":[]},"2041852784157344152":{"id":"2041852784157344152","date":"2026-04-08 12:16:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Who the fuck wrote that line?\"\n\n(git blame, it's me, yesterday)\n\n\"Yeah, that checks out. I haven't written a line of code in months.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"2041852784157344152","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":42,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4774,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2041852784157344152","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1912961058282561685":{"id":"1912961058282561685","date":"2025-04-17 20:07:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@W98AB Game's very different now. JS wasn't aspirational the way it is now, so the crush of applications they have to deal with now is OOMs higher than 17 years ago.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1912956767920664834","reply_id":"1912960917815640094","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":30,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4214,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1912961058282561685","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1888967057611362322":{"id":"1888967057611362322","date":"2025-02-10 15:03:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"https://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1888967002636632424","hashtags":[],"conv":"1888955422477865422","reply_id":"1888955422477865422","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1894,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1888967057611362322","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1998442943871369524":{"id":"1998442943871369524","date":"2025-12-09 17:21:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Right in the feels.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1998442943871369524","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":34,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":8682,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1998442943871369524","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1466419236012707864":{"id":"1466419236012707864","date":"2021-12-02 14:49:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mnopro I think it's a good time for all of us to do that. There are a few trades around GME I'd want back, that's for sure. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1466281608567091206","reply_id":"1466281608567091206","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mnopro","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1466419236012707864","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1692617268906123547":{"id":"1692617268906123547","date":"2023-08-18 19:19:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"- It's not going to write the next great American novel, but it will write that annoying blog post you need to churn out.\n\n- If you're not great at data analysis, Code Interpreter will do a fine job.\n\n- It won't make you an edge-level researcher, but it can help you learn faster.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1692617267576467909","reply_id":"1692617267576467909","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":26,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1609,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1692617268906123547","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2055531000378147158":{"id":"2055531000378147158","date":"2026-05-16 06:09:15","author":"Martin Shkreli","handle":"MartinShkreli","text":"RT @MartinShkreli: prediction markets are sportsbooks wrapped in law firms","hashtags":[],"conv":"2055531000378147158","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2055498396417286610","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":49,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/MartinShkreli/status/2055531000378147158"},"1308471715127635968":{"id":"1308471715127635968","date":"2020-09-22 18:22:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0x49fa98 @ModernistRight He's only gotten more prescient over time. It's kind of creepy actually.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1308353755864354817","reply_id":"1308465441967407104","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0x49fa98","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1308471715127635968","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1747282893058302213":{"id":"1747282893058302213","date":"2024-01-16 15:41:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ghostatlas3 Yes it should!\n\nSo why aren't they letting developers build homes?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1747096316877078804","reply_id":"1747275148137472451","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ghostatlas3","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":62,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1747282893058302213","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1533862354554802177":{"id":"1533862354554802177","date":"2022-06-06 17:24:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MegaBearX @nearcausality This is true, actually.\n\nHappens rarely but when it does, you feel like Neo.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1533858201665421315","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1533862354554802177","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1559390733265555456":{"id":"1559390733265555456","date":"2022-08-16 04:04:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@soneywild1989 Depends on the application. Maybe Python.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1559388089901928448","reply_id":"1559389677907427328","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"soneywild1989","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1559390733265555456","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1943337983983206517":{"id":"1943337983983206517","date":"2025-07-10 15:54:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@yantrashikshaka Because people like to gamboool.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943280522756591979","reply_id":"1943333595453813178","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"yantrashikshaka","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":5202,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1943337983983206517","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1708292160351801517":{"id":"1708292160351801517","date":"2023-10-01 01:26:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dwarkesh_sp @nearcyan Define \"customer\". First rule of enterprise sales: your customer isn't a company, it's a person inside that company.\n\nThere's always one person who decides.\n\nThe sale is made or not based on how it personally affects that decider. All else is noise.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1708264081369805154","reply_id":"1708264898122469834","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dwarkesh_sp","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":230,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1708292160351801517","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1372546759629570056":{"id":"1372546759629570056","date":"2021-03-18 13:53:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ProfHansNoel @mattyglesias Great piece.\n\nPerhaps the unifying concept is that the incentive structure for elites is deeply messed up.\n\nMost of the time, people act according to their incentives. Fix the incentive structure and the behaviors naturally improve.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1372543677608947716","reply_id":"1372543677608947716","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ProfHansNoel","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1372546759629570056","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1823186531357749682":{"id":"1823186531357749682","date":"2024-08-13 02:35:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xFaust12 @systematicls My dream is to one day self-finance the development of a game-like system to identify and nurture low-extant-opportunity people with the right mix of smarts, work ethic, etc. At planet scale.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1823135260646973508","reply_id":"1823135990049026090","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xFaust12","likes":12,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2195,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1823186531357749682","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1459927246647402499":{"id":"1459927246647402499","date":"2021-11-14 16:52:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dendisuhubdy @bitwyre Ah gotcha.\n\nIME, RFQ markets only really work when the complex product can be broken down linearly into already-liquidly-traded components.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1459919112121978881","reply_id":"1459926925187510272","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dendisuhubdy","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1459927246647402499","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1399219131119898628":{"id":"1399219131119898628","date":"2021-05-31 04:20:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames","hashtags":[],"conv":"1399213314379378694","reply_id":"1399213314379378694","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1399219131119898628_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1399219131119898628","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1485025376522825728":{"id":"1485025376522825728","date":"2022-01-22 23:03:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Best license plate sighting in... forever.\n\nWhere my Haskell people at?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1485025376522825728","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1485025376522825728_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1485025376522825728","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2048066598397784083":{"id":"2048066598397784083","date":"2026-04-25 15:48:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2. Valuations tell you nothing about rates of return!\n\nThese companies have done many funding rounds. Yes the early investors did well, but you need to look at their full portfolio to see their IRR. Ask the average angel investor how much money they've made.\n\nIt's worse than SPY.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2048066595679871254","reply_id":"2048066595679871254","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":63,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4571,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2048066598397784083","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1412769437527121923":{"id":"1412769437527121923","date":"2021-07-07 13:44:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ksidiii The giant victory that the developed world won over itself is that we managed institutionalize corruption.\n\nIt ain't good, but it's better than the outright stealing you see in other countries.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1412755826243211268","reply_id":"1412755826243211268","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Ksidiii","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1412769437527121923","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1942280590792827012":{"id":"1942280590792827012","date":"2025-07-07 17:52:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeepDishEnjoyer @moreproteinbars Depends on your legal duty to the person from whom you're getting the information, but in general yes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942272300042113144","reply_id":"1942277124783509922","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeepDishEnjoyer","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":564,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942280590792827012","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1601684292056190976":{"id":"1601684292056190976","date":"2022-12-10 21:04:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@rargulati I haven't see the parental control software that can match a child that has nothing but time and motivation...\n\nAnd I've seen my share.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1601683539899998208","reply_id":"1601683539899998208","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"rargulati","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1601684292056190976","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1706113719280062665":{"id":"1706113719280062665","date":"2023-09-25 01:09:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Surely it's been at least a year since we could have had AI-generated fully-personalized music. Where are the startups building this?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1706113719280062665","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2542,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1706113719280062665","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1547670384756944898":{"id":"1547670384756944898","date":"2022-07-14 19:52:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 Just think back to those Thunder teams with KD, Russ and the Beard. Phenomenal talents but not team guys.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1547664531467358208","reply_id":"1547665520123473922","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1547670384756944898","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1507023789451886592":{"id":"1507023789451886592","date":"2022-03-24 15:57:25","author":"Euan Sinclair","handle":"SinclairEuan","text":"just wrapped up the last interview for the real visionaries series on @RealVision.\n\n-@AgustinLebron3 \n-Aaron Brown\n-Charles Tall \n-@billjamesonline \n\nif you can't learn from these guys you can't learn","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507023789451886592","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1507044535955644426","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":50,"retweets":3,"replies":1,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SinclairEuan/status/1507023789451886592"},"1483436976120336386":{"id":"1483436976120336386","date":"2022-01-18 13:51:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@abiylfoyp Signaling?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1483435240609783808","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1483436976120336386","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1535082779632803842":{"id":"1535082779632803842","date":"2022-06-10 02:13:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JoraShankara Practically speaking yes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1534951140680269829","reply_id":"1535052481016655872","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JoraShankara","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1535082779632803842","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1563974681887051776":{"id":"1563974681887051776","date":"2022-08-28 19:39:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Simple pleasure I miss and that my kids will never have.\n\nThe bill is $5.87. The cashier looks at you kinda weird when you had them $11.12.\n\nThen looks at you as if you're an alien when they realize the change the register tells them to hand you.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1563974681887051776","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":68,"retweets":1,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1563974681887051776","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1202685570046029824":{"id":"1202685570046029824","date":"2019-12-05 20:25:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz Speaking of printing an index for PR reasons: back in 2008, someone went on InTrade every night at ~1am and bought up all the John McCain contracts they could.\n\nP(McCain win) would print up 30%, then ease back down over the day.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1202684874534113280","reply_id":"1202684874534113280","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1202685570046029824","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1922000985091649720":{"id":"1922000985091649720","date":"2025-05-12 18:48:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@apstrusus84 @DeepDishEnjoyer 🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1921858313169318179","reply_id":"1921989103924498743","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"apstrusus84","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":61,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1922000985091649720","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1689323789518282752":{"id":"1689323789518282752","date":"2023-08-09 17:12:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"All he did was shoot 3s. That's not basketball.\"\n\n\"It *does* have that ability, all you have to do is tweak the prompt!\"\n\nThey're all the same. Having a high ability at something is *definitionally* about being robust to variations in your input or opponent.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1689323788423569408","reply_id":"1689323788423569408","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":41,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1739,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1689323789518282752","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2049828420863844576":{"id":"2049828420863844576","date":"2026-04-30 12:29:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Congressional districts should be convex. Problem solved.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2049828420863844576","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":34,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":5068,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2049828420863844576","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1803485939085476183":{"id":"1803485939085476183","date":"2024-06-19 17:52:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@QuiteMidlife @VKMacro https://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1341851637782999041","hashtags":[],"conv":"1803456339244622299","reply_id":"1803466311147856128","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuiteMidlife","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":250,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1803485939085476183","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1601778748801499136":{"id":"1601778748801499136","date":"2022-12-11 03:19:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tlehmanifold John Carmack, you're an incredibly good computer programmer and successful businessman.\n\nWhat is your amateur's opinion on this deep metaphysical question that has vexed humanity for thousands of years?\n\nVery meh.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1601762710911602689","reply_id":"1601777259844866050","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tlehmanifold","likes":242,"retweets":3,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1601778748801499136","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1708142505303371933":{"id":"1708142505303371933","date":"2023-09-30 15:31:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount And a golf game.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1708140984201052459","reply_id":"1708140984201052459","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":204,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1708142505303371933","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1433145046073692162":{"id":"1433145046073692162","date":"2021-09-01 19:09:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Some of my most \"old man yells at cloud\" moments concern the uses and abuses of English. I just got a letter from my credit card company.\n\nI'm addressed as \"cardmember\".\n\n1. One word? Why?\n2. What membership do I have, exactly? The \"maybe you'll pay us usurious interest\" club?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1433145046073692162","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1433145046073692162","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1616087299468718085":{"id":"1616087299468718085","date":"2023-01-19 14:56:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@timebargains Definitely.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1616085720640389123","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":219,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1616087299468718085","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1592330462097473536":{"id":"1592330462097473536","date":"2022-11-15 01:35:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano @IDrawCharts The problem with poker is the people you have to hang out with.\n\n1. TAGfish grinder \"pros\"\n2. Noxious trust-fund rich kids\n3. Assorted degens who can barely afford to lose the money","hashtags":[],"conv":"1592316521573134338","reply_id":"1592317250119569409","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1592330462097473536","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1741608475371987154":{"id":"1741608475371987154","date":"2023-12-31 23:53:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Wow, whatever the opposite of this is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1741608475371987154","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":87,"retweets":3,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":16971,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1741608475371987154","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1855896297678455198":{"id":"1855896297678455198","date":"2024-11-11 08:52:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"There is a good information theoretic reason you can't build a token-prediction AI that's a *lot* smarter than its training data\" is really having a moment RN.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1855896297678455198","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":44,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":7578,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1855896297678455198","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1944061065937268904":{"id":"1944061065937268904","date":"2025-07-12 15:47:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin @tanayj I don't see why so many people want to believe this \"innovative\" new structure is somehow by default no worse for regular employees. That's sure not my prior!\n\nhttps://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1944060716295893233","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943799292994760998","reply_id":"1944059411338510500","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":288,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1944061065937268904","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1997337114216649192":{"id":"1997337114216649192","date":"2025-12-06 16:07:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"There exists an arbitrage (pricing, access, etc.) between male and female coaches because most men don’t want to be coached by women.\n\nSo the latter are on average better coaches, appropriately normalized.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1997337114216649192","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":99,"retweets":2,"replies":10,"quotes":1,"views":12263,"bookmarks":22,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1997337114216649192","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1528877102820638726":{"id":"1528877102820638726","date":"2022-05-23 23:14:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@1cavemank @volpompilano @nope_its_lily I can believe this. Almost all of my datapoints are software or crypto startups. Small slice, I recognize.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1528866602703147009","reply_id":"1528876693317767168","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"1cavemank","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1528877102820638726","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1988587758726861231":{"id":"1988587758726861231","date":"2025-11-12 12:40:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JBearTrades 🙏🙏🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1988584682976624916","reply_id":"1988584682976624916","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BMRGlobal","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":408,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1988587758726861231","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1986414425381728751":{"id":"1986414425381728751","date":"2025-11-06 12:44:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is why older sports are lindy. They've gone through this process and have emerged non-stupid, hence survived.\n\nNew sports haven't, so they end up as comic relief once subjected to the incentive pressure. Breakdancing being the latest example.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1986414425381728751","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":64,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":15213,"bookmarks":17,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1986414425381728751","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1521919725483089920":{"id":"1521919725483089920","date":"2022-05-04 18:28:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sw33tY4ms @Mike_Hunt_Sr https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6-3eGt_Oc-s","hashtags":[],"conv":"1521916199059300352","reply_id":"1521919024925396993","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"return_stacking","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1521919725483089920","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1277596545756495873":{"id":"1277596545756495873","date":"2020-06-29 13:35:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RokoMijicUK Stephan Guyenet seems like the best of the bunch.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1277552082447405058","reply_id":"1277552082447405058","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ExiledInfoHaz","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1277596545756495873","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1880203933244907952":{"id":"1880203933244907952","date":"2025-01-17 10:42:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@db_fink The funny part is... CAC (and all the 2nd tier European futures) is indeed ridiculously illiquid!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1880183502509076534","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":316,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1880203933244907952","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1978780521132884444":{"id":"1978780521132884444","date":"2025-10-16 11:10:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"HF manager A: Good at finding alpha, secretive about it for obvious reasons.\n\nHF manager B: Not good at finding alpha, secretive about it for obvious reasons.\n\nThing is, B has a LOT of time to figure out how to LOOK like A to prospective LPs. And A's secretiveness helps a lot!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1978780521132884444","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":211,"retweets":2,"replies":8,"quotes":2,"views":21399,"bookmarks":42,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1978780521132884444","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2044430108933714063":{"id":"2044430108933714063","date":"2026-04-15 14:58:16","author":"Michael Royzen","handle":"MichaelRoyzen","text":"We built a hedge fund where every single trade is made by AI.\n\nNo human portfolio managers.\nNo manual research.\nNo one writing trading code.\n\nJust a reasoning model that reads the world, thinks for itself, and trades before humans can.\n\nEarly results in testing: 2.55 Sharpe ratio. 2.79 Sortino ratio. Market neutral. $50M+ capacity.\n\nHere's how we got here 🧵","hashtags":[],"conv":"2044430108933714063","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2044671116635976100","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":611,"retweets":36,"replies":117,"quotes":29,"views":491414,"bookmarks":1088,"media":["2044430108933714063_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/MichaelRoyzen/status/2044430108933714063"},"1573176996460634112":{"id":"1573176996460634112","date":"2022-09-23 05:06:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Bad service at a restaurant? 💩 Bullshit problem.\n\nDude cut you off in traffic? 💩\n\nMick Mulvaney saying stupid shit on Twitter? 💩\n\nReal problems don't make us mad.\nThey make use confused, anxious, worried.\n\nMost of the things that make us mad are just 💩 in disguise.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1573176994862628869","reply_id":"1573176994862628869","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":37,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1573176996460634112","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1677701170067021824":{"id":"1677701170067021824","date":"2023-07-08 15:28:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@goku37485 Also stuff like \"If I have a big forehand (for my level), how do I maximize its value?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1677495908228018177","reply_id":"1677700904529850368","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":31,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1677701170067021824","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1900479328548258052":{"id":"1900479328548258052","date":"2025-03-14 09:29:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Why do we make the first couple years of an engineering major some kind of hazing ritual, instead of simply teaching people what they need to know to be good engineers?\"\n\nhttps://danluu.com/teach-debugging/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1900455234754826623","reply_id":"1900457985266061548","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1869,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1900479328548258052","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1683213895463215104":{"id":"1683213895463215104","date":"2023-07-23 20:33:59","author":"Linda Yaccarino","handle":"lindayaX","text":"X is the future state of unlimited interactivity – centered in audio, video, messaging, payments/banking – creating a global marketplace for ideas, goods, services, and opportunities. Powered by AI, X will connect us all in ways we’re just beginning to imagine.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1683213798386147329","reply_id":"1683213798386147329","quote_id":"1683243307651194880","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"lindayaX","likes":31691,"retweets":5158,"replies":9541,"quotes":17367,"views":50895577,"bookmarks":1729,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/lindayaX/status/1683213895463215104"},"1912850091938910313":{"id":"1912850091938910313","date":"2025-04-17 12:46:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If I see just one more deep hedging paper on Arxiv or Justina's biweekly list, I'm going to lose it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1912850091938910313","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":4637,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1912850091938910313","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1477320199472762880":{"id":"1477320199472762880","date":"2022-01-01 16:45:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"11/ What they’re actually telling you is the stuff *you* want to hear:\n\n- that trading isn’t that hard\n- that “people overcomplicate options”\n- that there’s an easy way for the little guy to get ahead.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477320189653893121","reply_id":"1477320198508011523","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":31,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477320199472762880","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1532053683080335361":{"id":"1532053683080335361","date":"2022-06-01 17:37:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@volpompilano @TCK_JRubano Maybe at a macro level, but at a micro level they still have to trade their rebals and 401k contributions and such.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1532042203425607682","reply_id":"1532049397269209088","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"l1quid1ty","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1532053683080335361","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1891056290287276223":{"id":"1891056290287276223","date":"2025-02-16 09:25:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It makes sense: the best players of niche sports are incredibly driven people but not actually that talented. So, they have to niche it up.\n\nJack Sock retired from tennis because he was too old and slow. Now he's in the top 10 in pickleball two years after taking up the sport.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1891055428047348214","reply_id":"1891055428047348214","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1739,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1891056290287276223","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1698811401039642849":{"id":"1698811401039642849","date":"2023-09-04 21:32:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @kashyap286 👆👆👆\n\nI don't even care what this is about, and this is the correct response.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1698678175708938518","reply_id":"1698782387587477575","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":868,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1698811401039642849","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1924004659305349438":{"id":"1924004659305349438","date":"2025-05-18 07:30:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@kchoudhu Startups are more fun though. Ideal path for the ambitious probably looks like:\n\n- Bigco for 2-3 years to get a great base of skills training.\n- Startup where you're really excited about the product and team. Learn tons about startups.\n- If moon great, if not:\n- Start your own.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1923991969199521792","reply_id":"1923998956570411213","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"kchoudhu","likes":20,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1214,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1924004659305349438","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1255926397010276352":{"id":"1255926397010276352","date":"2020-04-30 18:26:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jsoloff @bennpeifert Why back in *my* day, we had to go mine and smelt the stuff ourselves. 6 miles uphill, each way!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1255915292812664832","reply_id":"1255917265779748865","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jsoloff","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1255926397010276352","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1504115854803230724":{"id":"1504115854803230724","date":"2022-03-16 15:22:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I never retweet my own stuff but I really liked this one.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1504115854803230724","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1504115854803230724","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1810772128792506843":{"id":"1810772128792506843","date":"2024-07-09 20:24:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"No one:\n\nAbsolutely no one:\n\n@Wimbledon: let's give every match 3 minutes of YouTube highlights (including 30 seconds of set statistics) and 15 minutes of post-match press conferences.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1810772128792506843","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1611,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1810772128792506843","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1182670835468791809":{"id":"1182670835468791809","date":"2019-10-11 14:54:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lastchanceroman @CliffordAsness Because it's easy to use the =AVERAGE() function in Excel.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1182615051255066624","reply_id":"1182655946310340608","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"lastchanceroman","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1182670835468791809","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1487234058119643144":{"id":"1487234058119643144","date":"2022-01-29 01:20:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 The best interviews are the ones that simulate the job.\n\nIf you're hiring for a dev, you're probably going to do one remote coding interview. Cuz the # of \"devs\" who look good on paper but can't code their way out of a paper bag is incredibly high.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1487221250275430404","reply_id":"1487229308972195842","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1487234058119643144","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1501783220504854528":{"id":"1501783220504854528","date":"2022-03-10 04:53:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @be20684347 @M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames That's unclear to me.\n\n1. A lot of the buying flow in SPX downside comes from the VIX complex. So it's hedgeable if you MM those products which most SPX option MMs do.\n2. Capital is very valuable to MMs when markets sell off, so IME they tend to try to stay long downside gamma.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"1501782257018806273","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501783220504854528","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1529910927339925504":{"id":"1529910927339925504","date":"2022-05-26 19:42:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"That's fine, it will work.\n\nBut TSLA isn't stuck on an island. A lot of the variance of TSLA is simply market variance. You're burying your TSLA signal in a lot of market-vol noise you don't need.\n\n(assuming you don't think market moves are momentumy in the same way)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529877576591609861","reply_id":"1529910926484197376","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":30,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1529910927339925504","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1360446803401863171":{"id":"1360446803401863171","date":"2021-02-13 04:32:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Overlevered_AM @M1tchRosenthal @Ksidiii @bennpeifert @goodalexander @VolQuant Ok, so you've got the beginnings of some scenarios. So maybe let's assign some probabilities to those scenarios, kick the tires on them, what you think the market is messing up, etc.\n\nPretty soon the \"right\" trade is going to be staring you in the face! :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1360412427653890049","reply_id":"1360444061333807104","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Overlevered_AM","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1360446803401863171","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1968664731897434336":{"id":"1968664731897434336","date":"2025-09-18 13:13:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 Yes! Congrats!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1968563736324751526","reply_id":"1968563736324751526","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":332,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1968664731897434336","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1585386248017170433":{"id":"1585386248017170433","date":"2022-10-26 21:41:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih My baseline prior is that selection bias will explain almost all of this.\n\nWomen who marry men who are willing to do housework\nvs\nOnes who are willing to marry ones that aren't","hashtags":[],"conv":"1585032224147406848","reply_id":"1585032224147406848","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1585386248017170433","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2081268104944849145":{"id":"2081268104944849145","date":"2026-07-26 06:39:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5. From a friend:\n\nThe most interesting q from the recent math LLM results is:\n- Can LLMs effectively push outside the convex hull of existing work?\nOR\n- Does that convex hull cover more hard things than people appreciated?\n\nMe: High dimensionality should strongly bias you to #2.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2081268098036846827","reply_id":"2081268103204213188","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":39,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":2669,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2081268104944849145","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1553438359090896896":{"id":"1553438359090896896","date":"2022-07-30 17:52:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase Ooh, a new entrant pulls into the lead.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1553425644695871488","reply_id":"1553437986058027010","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1553438359090896896","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1441071450748641287":{"id":"1441071450748641287","date":"2021-09-23 16:06:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih Right, exactly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1440514473710612481","reply_id":"1441071338781769733","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1441071450748641287","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1540160510527541248":{"id":"1540160510527541248","date":"2022-06-24 02:30:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DavidTaggart Not sure how to answer the \"supposed to\" part. Probably not.\n\nI think it was prescient in some ways and missed the boat in others. But either way an interesting read.\n\nYMMV.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1540160125364625408","reply_id":"1540160297264066560","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DavidTaggart","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1540160510527541248","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1358843869467602947":{"id":"1358843869467602947","date":"2021-02-08 18:23:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jeffh690 Definitely! Time flows logarithmically with age, roughly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1358793442243928069","reply_id":"1358839770516918275","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jeffh690","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1358843869467602947","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1491610022505160707":{"id":"1491610022505160707","date":"2022-02-10 03:08:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"For avoidance of doubt: this doesn't mean eliminating recruiting.\n\nI actually have *some* evidence that companies where recruiting doesn't report to HR do a lot better at hiring.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1491609195069595649","reply_id":"1491609521269055490","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1491610022505160707","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1897557614931628464":{"id":"1897557614931628464","date":"2025-03-06 07:59:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Also similar to @goodalexander 's description of the vibes-based economy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1897557608203944439","reply_id":"1897557612775837846","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1864,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1897557614931628464","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1444757823011708928":{"id":"1444757823011708928","date":"2021-10-03 20:14:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @sys_qed Lemme think on what subset of things is most useful to say...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1444470852100124674","reply_id":"1444751180983246850","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1444757823011708928","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1441777564209479682":{"id":"1441777564209479682","date":"2021-09-25 14:52:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LauraDeming It seems likely that one of the best ways to have that ease-of-evolvability is to concentrate somewhat discrete functions into somewhat discrete physical components.\n\nIt's easier to change the parameters of the circulatory system if the changes concentrate in a small piece.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1441773500838993920","reply_id":"1441777280796139526","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1441777564209479682","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1985962925354311796":{"id":"1985962925354311796","date":"2025-11-05 06:50:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Only 2:49 for Etcheverry yesterday @tennisabstract, short day at the office.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1985962925354311796","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3808,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1985962925354311796","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1471352829201686534":{"id":"1471352829201686534","date":"2021-12-16 05:33:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The genius of late-stage capitalism is in the recognition that deep down, we're all cognitive misers.\n\nSo anyone faced with deciding \"X vs convenience\" always trade X for a just little more convenience.\n\nMoney, love, privacy, lifespan, effort, stability, happiness.\n\nYou name it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471352829201686534","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471352829201686534","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1454908925120184325":{"id":"1454908925120184325","date":"2021-10-31 20:31:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lightspringfox @WallStreetCorgi If I had a nickel for every time I've thought \"who's the idiot who came up with this stupid trading logic\" while staring at the code I wrote a few days ago...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1454900613427441666","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1454908925120184325","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1571681226943266816":{"id":"1571681226943266816","date":"2022-09-19 02:02:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @darjohn25 @FREAK0NAUT @KrisAbdelmessih @bennpeifert @moreproteinbars @therobotjames @NewRiverInvest @Chaelelo @OGTaylorB @MinvstrD Agreed.\n\nI know I don't have the mental fortitude for doing what @darjohn25 does.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1571636409651580929","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1571681226943266816","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2032084091751850437":{"id":"2032084091751850437","date":"2026-03-12 13:19:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Are there Fortune 500 companies today who have de factor AI CEOs? I.e. that basically every meaningful decision the CEO makes is vetted and approved by an AI?\n\nh/t @tylercowen for the thought.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2032084091751850437","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":3405,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2032084091751850437","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1595800570689859589":{"id":"1595800570689859589","date":"2022-11-24 15:24:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 In the end it comes down to the quality of the interviewer. Rule #1 in interviewing is \"simulate the actual job\". If they can't do a good job of that then fine, you'll get a crap read.\n\nBut why should we optimize for impressing bad interviewers? Why would we want to work there?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595799254437462016","reply_id":"1595799950444883969","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1595800570689859589","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1634658232491970561":{"id":"1634658232491970561","date":"2023-03-11 20:51:07","author":"Antonio García Martínez (agm.eth)","handle":"antoniogm","text":"Just because I’m still getting questions:\nSpindl was totally unaffected by the SVB collapse.\n\nTheir due diligence for a crypto company was such a pain the ass, I dropped the thread through boredom and distraction. I suspect most crypto portfolios were relatively unaffected.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1634658232491970561","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1634670899810144256","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":47,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":2,"views":17076,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/antoniogm/status/1634658232491970561"},"1942177230576062604":{"id":"1942177230576062604","date":"2025-07-07 11:01:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@initishshukla @Fallibilist I'm not saying that JS *definitely did* this. I'm not a lawyer or a judge.\n\nBut it looks pretty bad.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942141432812253545","reply_id":"1942169432383684761","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"initishshukla","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":217,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942177230576062604","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1187573871639060480":{"id":"1187573871639060480","date":"2019-10-25 03:37:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lhamtil 1. Edge is edge, and people's risk preferences aren't *that* unique. Why the huge differentiation?\n\n2. If you have enough edge (and edges!) to make up for those fees, why aren't you mostly running money for your own account? Why bother with all the complexity and OPM?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1187532943478185984","reply_id":"1187532943478185984","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"lhamtil","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1187573871639060480","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1918276143532392457":{"id":"1918276143532392457","date":"2025-05-02 12:07:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@__paleologo Where has conformal prediction changed the world exactly?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1918269195466244376","reply_id":"1918269195466244376","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"__paleologo","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1675,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1918276143532392457","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1517670971846512640":{"id":"1517670971846512640","date":"2022-04-23 01:05:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 @bennpeifert @ArtemisVol @longtailalpha @profplum99 @jam_croissant @JonL8675309 @Ksidiii In my heart, it never left.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1517151925019373568","reply_id":"1517663527133196289","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1517670971846512640","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1682455111036207104":{"id":"1682455111036207104","date":"2023-07-21 18:18:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@walterkirn @MuseZack @NAChristakis It's fun playing your own version of Geoguessr on the plane. Look out at a random time and guess where you are based on what you seen.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1682145308912828418","reply_id":"1682220491850006528","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"walterkirn","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1159,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1682455111036207104","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1995437307898503613":{"id":"1995437307898503613","date":"2025-12-01 10:18:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"🌳 THE MONEY TREE: PART 2 🌳\n\nYou are hiking in a beautiful valley. You see no one for miles  in any direction.\n\nThen as you turn a corner, you see an elegant log cabin. Smoke quietly billlows from a chimney.\n\nAs you approach it, you see a man sitting on the porch of the cabin.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1995437299719602642","reply_id":"1995437305939804476","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3568,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1995437307898503613","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1773172323908026684":{"id":"1773172323908026684","date":"2024-03-28 02:16:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 What about a 55 tweet thread?\n\nhttps://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346141073488314371","hashtags":[],"conv":"1773113448722800689","reply_id":"1773115263434543466","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":701,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1773172323908026684","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1473813455660466179":{"id":"1473813455660466179","date":"2021-12-23 00:31:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Las Vegas is the greatest proof I know for the @tylercowen theory that the best ethnic food is served in America's suburban strip malls.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1473813455660466179","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1473813455660466179","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1911518679860158846":{"id":"1911518679860158846","date":"2025-04-13 20:35:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"An economist who thinks\" but who also apparently believes that equities growing at some long-term rate is an iron law of nature, not subject to the decisions we make today.\n\nMany such cases.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1911518679860158846","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":28,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":4764,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1911518679860158846","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1991601484086296735":{"id":"1991601484086296735","date":"2025-11-20 20:16:10","author":"Martin Shkreli","handle":"MartinShkreli","text":"i am begging some of you wannabe finance influencers to spend 6 months on wall street in any capacity whatsoever","hashtags":[],"conv":"1991601484086296735","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1991813230923296844","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4975,"retweets":141,"replies":318,"quotes":39,"views":466505,"bookmarks":296,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/MartinShkreli/status/1991601484086296735"},"2008939359031152946":{"id":"2008939359031152946","date":"2026-01-07 16:30:42","author":"Kyle","handle":"zeroxkyle","text":"Leopold Aschenbrenner really opened a fund, and proceeded to outperform every finance person at all levels","hashtags":[],"conv":"2008939359031152946","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2009172814713245799","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1870,"retweets":59,"replies":74,"quotes":41,"views":1118316,"bookmarks":1254,"media":["2008939359031152946_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/zeroxkyle/status/2008939359031152946"},"1868690374048539089":{"id":"1868690374048539089","date":"2024-12-16 16:11:18","author":"Phil Bak","handle":"philbak1","text":"There so many many guys who were considered absolute legends when I started in this industry and are now in their 50's or early 60's and can not find any job at all.\n\nNot sure what to make of this.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1868690374048539089","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1868743840007700601","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2387,"retweets":96,"replies":165,"quotes":33,"views":599211,"bookmarks":828,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/philbak1/status/1868690374048539089"},"2022227343620841720":{"id":"2022227343620841720","date":"2026-02-13 08:32:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"👨‍🍳💋","hashtags":[],"conv":"2022227343620841720","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":5676,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2022227343620841720","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1613189728551178240":{"id":"1613189728551178240","date":"2023-01-11 15:02:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ejames_c One way that works:\n\n1. Define multiple measurable targets that are correlated with your true unmeasurable objective.\n2. Those targets have to be mutually hard to optimize. For example, minimize # of bugs and maximize # of features shipped.\n3. Try to do both.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1613102094978023425","reply_id":"1613102418811850753","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ejames_c","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":72,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1613189728551178240","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1632602596111450113":{"id":"1632602596111450113","date":"2023-03-06 04:42:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite Merlin is nice.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632583127951368193","reply_id":"1632583127951368193","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":308,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632602596111450113","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1494144999117647872":{"id":"1494144999117647872","date":"2022-02-17 03:01:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@longskew @therobotjames @KrisAbdelmessih @FREAK0NAUT When Chuck Norris takes, he pays the bid and sells on the offer.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494032922281717764","reply_id":"1494144790098808839","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"longskew","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494144999117647872","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1529446231726071810":{"id":"1529446231726071810","date":"2022-05-25 12:56:12","author":"Brett Harrison","handle":"BrettHarrison","text":"The @CFTC’s Roundtable on disintermediated clearing models, including FTX US Derivatives’s proposed model, starts at 9:30 am EDT and can be streamed here:\nhttps://www.wirestream.tv/customer/cftc/2022/05-25/\n\n@SBF_FTX and @zachdex will provide information on our risk model and risk management system.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529446231726071810","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1529472128621285376","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":174,"retweets":19,"replies":19,"quotes":10,"views":0,"bookmarks":23,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/BrettHarrison/status/1529446231726071810"},"1753468321616302373":{"id":"1753468321616302373","date":"2024-02-02 17:20:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"You think mobile phones are crack?\n\nYou ain't seen nothin' yet.\n\nhttps://www.vanityfair.com/news/tim-cook-apple-vision-pro","hashtags":[],"conv":"1753468321616302373","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2415,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1753468321616302373","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1141563981292695552":{"id":"1141563981292695552","date":"2019-06-20 04:30:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ANguyenning @OddStats All risks should be existential risks, right?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1141562061333229574","reply_id":"1141563628111351808","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TraderSaysLLC","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1141563981292695552","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1786555546226893171":{"id":"1786555546226893171","date":"2024-05-04 00:36:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"JJ Redick showing how you get head coaching jobs nowadays.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1786555546226893171","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1804300786652041292","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":5231,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1786555546226893171","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1241790392619520000":{"id":"1241790392619520000","date":"2020-03-22 18:14:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 Some vague notion. But it's so frustrating to see the \"strategies\" retail gets sold on that I try to avoid all that stuff.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1241784946068512768","reply_id":"1241784946068512768","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1241790392619520000","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1448489858813476869":{"id":"1448489858813476869","date":"2021-10-14 03:24:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug Providing value that my 69yr old mom could recognize as clear value.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448489113930375168","reply_id":"1448489113930375168","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448489858813476869","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1806552269879681283":{"id":"1806552269879681283","date":"2024-06-28 04:56:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Biden rn:\n\n1) What","hashtags":[],"conv":"1806552269879681283","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1718,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1806552269879681283","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1507354703012589568":{"id":"1507354703012589568","date":"2022-03-25 13:52:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sukhoiConvexity I think it's useful to describe the bad behavior. There are lots of techniques they use that the unwary are probably unfamiliar with.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507351784876093450","reply_id":"1507353082816049169","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sukhoiConvexity","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507354703012589568","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1555298675831685120":{"id":"1555298675831685120","date":"2022-08-04 21:04:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT I guess I see my niche here as describing mental frameworks I use to get my hands around a problem area or concept.\n\nNot so much \"here's what you should do\". Feels too... prescriptive and arrogant.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1555282083672510464","reply_id":"1555297787939635200","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1555298675831685120","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1478138503087099905":{"id":"1478138503087099905","date":"2022-01-03 22:57:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mgnr_io @crypto_hades @satsdart NFT arbs?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1478124721862418432","reply_id":"1478134591441412097","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mgnr_io","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1478138503087099905","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1513274575060037636":{"id":"1513274575060037636","date":"2022-04-10 21:55:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @OkayEstimator @be20684347 @aleondotxyz @2_7182818285 @HangukQuant Corporate action. Mittal.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1513012899093962753","reply_id":"1513273545417056259","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":7,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1513274575060037636","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2078746964707905966":{"id":"2078746964707905966","date":"2026-07-19 07:41:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Uh huh, and what about when the frontier labs \"raided\" the Internet, and millions of LibGen pirated books, etc?\n\nWhat's good for the goose is good for the gander.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2078746964707905966","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":339,"retweets":10,"replies":11,"quotes":0,"views":22168,"bookmarks":21,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2078746964707905966","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1664001054135160833":{"id":"1664001054135160833","date":"2023-05-31 20:09:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Why is it that when a putt is tracking but looks high, you instinctively move to the low side, and vice versa?\n\nWhen you take a basketball shot and it looks right, you lean left? Etc...\n\nMaybe it's that you feel you still have control over it.\n\nBut maybe it's something else?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1664001054135160833","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":3970,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1664001054135160833","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1215853975322296320":{"id":"1215853975322296320","date":"2020-01-11 04:32:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Barton_options @nextSignals @mcm_ct @GS_CapSF @ReformedTrader @Alex10050409 @SehrLangsam2 @MacroTechnicals @kevinmuir @OffTheRunTrades I'm honored!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1215718271816798210","reply_id":"1215718273611980801","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Barton_options","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1215853975322296320","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1556733065279352832":{"id":"1556733065279352832","date":"2022-08-08 20:04:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Trading corollary:\n\n- Every trade is a hand of heads-up poker.\n- Every hand goes to showdown.\n- The dude at the other end of the table is a professional whose job is to profitably trade against you.\n\nWho do you think usually has the second-best hand?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1556733065279352832","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":30,"retweets":5,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1556733065279352832","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1138836640590286848":{"id":"1138836640590286848","date":"2019-06-12 15:53:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"American Affairs eviscerates Uber in their new article.\nhttps://americanaffairsjournal.org/2019/05/ubers-path-of-destruction/\n#ridesharing #economics #uber","hashtags":["ridesharing","economics","uber"],"conv":"1138836640590286848","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1138836640590286848","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1567355087617671170":{"id":"1567355087617671170","date":"2022-09-07 03:32:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @NicoPollari @therobotjames @witchqueendot Prob the best answer you'll get honestly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1567346642105286656","reply_id":"1567352688039321600","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1567355087617671170","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1700251401262346342":{"id":"1700251401262346342","date":"2023-09-08 20:54:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ClydeFargadu","hashtags":[],"conv":"1700186549860839569","reply_id":"1700250924315521136","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ClydeFargadu","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":883,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1700251401262346342_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1700251401262346342","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1606376147583127552":{"id":"1606376147583127552","date":"2022-12-23 19:48:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"ChatGPT really enjoys telling you your request is difficult/impossible, then trying anyway.\n\nLike it really wants you to be impressed with its \"A for effort\" mentality.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1606376147583127552","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2772,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1606376147583127552","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1441082338381688836":{"id":"1441082338381688836","date":"2021-09-23 16:49:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @matt_levine 's laws of insider trading.\n\nhttps://github.com/0xNF/lawsofinsidertrading.com\n\n#4, basically.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1441081788957270024","reply_id":"1441081788957270024","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1441082338381688836","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1482802642732548096":{"id":"1482802642732548096","date":"2022-01-16 19:51:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alagalah @lightspringfox It probably should be.\n\nWhat others think of us (provided we consider the right \"others\") is a really useful guide to how to behave in a society.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482748235496058880","reply_id":"1482799798050701312","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alagalah","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482802642732548096","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1538369361286549504":{"id":"1538369361286549504","date":"2022-06-19 03:53:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin If you lift my 60 offer yes.\n\nWe should discuss the specifics, of course. My thinking is \"exchange literally goes out of business\".\n\nI.e. a merger doesn't *necessarily* count.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1538357097485803521","reply_id":"1538368870074961921","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1538369361286549504","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1294291802195767296":{"id":"1294291802195767296","date":"2020-08-14 15:16:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In rich countries, we've become so accustomed to normality that we've given ourselves the luxury of assuming everything will just work out.\n\nMost of the time it does, but at some point it won't.\n\nWhen that happens, mobility will be the most valuable attribute to have.\n\n4/4","hashtags":[],"conv":"1294291799897280512","reply_id":"1294291801386258432","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1294291802195767296","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1522314684002541568":{"id":"1522314684002541568","date":"2022-05-05 20:37:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 @dampedspring Exactly. Levered ETPs are always synthetically short daily gamma.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1522308458103640065","reply_id":"1522310883334148096","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":28,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1522314684002541568","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1506045254788542464":{"id":"1506045254788542464","date":"2022-03-21 23:09:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"31/ What do you know that they don't? What do they know that you don't?\n\nThe other important piece is that great trades happen (in life especially) when you trade something you don't value as much for something they value.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1506045253366603778","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1506045254788542464","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1980167954252898784":{"id":"1980167954252898784","date":"2025-10-20 07:03:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@__paleologo Genetics too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1980132269412282410","reply_id":"1980132269412282410","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"__paleologo","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":860,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1980167954252898784","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1530182500529582081":{"id":"1530182500529582081","date":"2022-05-27 13:41:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RomanGutin 🤣\n\nIn fairness \"the store\" and \"a store\" can be pretty different.\n\nFor example, just replace \"store\" with \"God\". :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1530011307084107776","reply_id":"1530182114288844804","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RomanGutin","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1530182500529582081","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1710288488921546889":{"id":"1710288488921546889","date":"2023-10-06 13:38:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@W98AB Lots us thinking \"that's a reasonable response\"!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1710286375013286280","reply_id":"1710287994538590686","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"W98AB","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":801,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1710288488921546889","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1349414360716726272":{"id":"1349414360716726272","date":"2021-01-13 17:53:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_dipsi Expected value.\n\nI.e. on average, what you think the stock will be worth at expiration.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1349414054209716226","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_dipsi","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1349414360716726272","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2052412674546237573":{"id":"2052412674546237573","date":"2026-05-07 15:38:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Turns out there are lots of risk-unconscious traders.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2052412674546237573","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":77,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":5441,"bookmarks":1,"media":["2052412674546237573_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2052412674546237573","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1452003317509361665":{"id":"1452003317509361665","date":"2021-10-23 20:05:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HF_Trader @HauVolatility He currently has exactly 2^13 followers. Must be a sign.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1452003051779284992","reply_id":"1452003051779284992","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HF_Trader","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1452003317509361665","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1497258103787581441":{"id":"1497258103787581441","date":"2022-02-25 17:12:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FormulaDeltaOne DM me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1497244949263364097","reply_id":"1497244949263364097","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FormulaDeltaOne","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1497258103787581441","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1440513609872797700":{"id":"1440513609872797700","date":"2021-09-22 03:09:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @lightspringfox Wait, aren't there any self-trade rules on crypto exchanges?\n\n🤣🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1440498162997743618","reply_id":"1440507618569506828","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1440513609872797700","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1519011779145129984":{"id":"1519011779145129984","date":"2022-04-26 17:53:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2. What you need is tight trusted interaction with a small group of people. 3 is probably too small, 8 is probably too big. h/t @etdebruin for teaching me the value of such a group.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1519011776938921985","reply_id":"1519011778025250816","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":39,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1519011779145129984","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1905195210524536894":{"id":"1905195210524536894","date":"2025-03-27 09:48:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The rest of the world should adopt Indian English's wonderful use of \"prepone\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1905195210524536894","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3094,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1905195210524536894","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1185554149791784967":{"id":"1185554149791784967","date":"2019-10-19 13:51:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Conundrum for a Saturday morning: U2 was the biggest band in the world for a while in the 90s, and critically acclaimed too.\n\nBut 25 years later you almost never hear their music on the radio. Why?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1185554149791784967","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1185554149791784967","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1205143914438545410":{"id":"1205143914438545410","date":"2019-12-12 15:14:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan Not only that, but the ability to get a (real) publisher to print it shows there's at least some value to the book.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1205123454317596673","reply_id":"1205123454317596673","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1205143914438545410","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1531760980388028417":{"id":"1531760980388028417","date":"2022-05-31 22:14:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein @therobotjames Yes! Copying BASIC code from magazines was THE way back in the day.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1531739423313784832","reply_id":"1531754283955326986","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1531760980388028417","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2012276229093679558":{"id":"2012276229093679558","date":"2026-01-16 21:30:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So basically *everyone* involved in OpenAI's founding is a liar?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2012276229093679558","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5952,"retweets":211,"replies":71,"quotes":25,"views":112901,"bookmarks":179,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2012276229093679558","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1423121699814268933":{"id":"1423121699814268933","date":"2021-08-05 03:20:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@PenguinsTrading @drewg__ @lightspringfox @experquisite @therobotjames @noms_nom_nom \"How many damn different accounts and margin methods am I supposed to maintain, exactly?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1423020340117049344","reply_id":"1423107093842833413","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"PenguinsTrading","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1423121699814268933","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1764126913403212068":{"id":"1764126913403212068","date":"2024-03-03 03:13:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cam_perrault Replace cars with anything.\n\nThat's what GDP per capita is for!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1764079859737731545","reply_id":"1764079859737731545","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"camlperr","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":190,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1764126913403212068","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1779663118093971943":{"id":"1779663118093971943","date":"2024-04-15 00:08:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@W98AB @ScottPh77711570 Correct.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1779639074548236326","reply_id":"1779641950561272130","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"W98AB","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":84,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1779663118093971943","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1341523933967785984":{"id":"1341523933967785984","date":"2020-12-22 23:20:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LandsteinEric @Wallacesnoop1 There are people out there who leak $ because:\n\n(a) they derive value from being seen as authoritative, or\n(b) they think others aren't smart enough to remove obfuscation.\n\nBut they're outnumbered 1000:1 by people who don't know anything. Batesian mimicry...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1341501078819405825","reply_id":"1341505248481980424","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"LandsteinEric","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1341523933967785984","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1692286873069338906":{"id":"1692286873069338906","date":"2023-08-17 21:26:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 It's just so infuriating. Almost the only corner of education research that has good evidence is the one showing paper >> screens.\n\nhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/1467-9817.12269\n\nThey just don't care.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1692280703130714455","reply_id":"1692283212670599498","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":363,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1692286873069338906","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1436123462884474884":{"id":"1436123462884474884","date":"2021-09-10 00:24:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"One of the genius ideas of American consumer culture is to create a cheap, shitty version of something, then sell it for *more* by slapping \"for kids\" on the package.\n\nCereal bars, board games, books, clothes, etc.\n\nWhat else am I missing?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1436123462884474884","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1436123462884474884","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1616600761072513024":{"id":"1616600761072513024","date":"2023-01-21 00:57:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 @arb8020 I mean, unless you're colo'ing then does it really matter?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1616576368728477696","reply_id":"1616581164818640897","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":547,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1616600761072513024","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1960394631381725360":{"id":"1960394631381725360","date":"2025-08-26 17:31:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@oxbquant Startups? Uh, no.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1960129412323524887","reply_id":"1960129412323524887","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"oxbquant","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1144,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1960394631381725360","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1411791428926115841":{"id":"1411791428926115841","date":"2021-07-04 20:58:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@saah1lk @macrocephalopod @investingidiocy @therobotjames Thanks for the shoutout @saah1lk !","hashtags":[],"conv":"1411744998127816706","reply_id":"1411766514634657796","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"saah1lk","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1411791428926115841","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1509628508804300808":{"id":"1509628508804300808","date":"2022-03-31 20:27:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 I bow before the power of your proof!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1509623825519951881","reply_id":"1509627245597724673","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1509628508804300808","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1977279654945079661":{"id":"1977279654945079661","date":"2025-10-12 07:46:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If you care one way or the other about the GIL removal in Python 3.14, you're using Python wrong.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1977279654945079661","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":68,"retweets":3,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":10470,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1977279654945079661","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1790961993006108898":{"id":"1790961993006108898","date":"2024-05-16 04:26:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ScottPh77711570 🤣🤣🤣\n\n\"Procrustean\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1790904627195674990","reply_id":"1790944274445693213","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ScottPh77711570","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":610,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1790961993006108898","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1707749950275149841":{"id":"1707749950275149841","date":"2023-09-29 13:31:31","author":"Matt Bateman","handle":"mbateman","text":"struggling with nihilism?\n\nnil issue","hashtags":[],"conv":"1707749950275149841","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1707756723141038113","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":107,"retweets":4,"replies":0,"quotes":7,"views":18150,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mbateman/status/1707749950275149841"},"1707875505809285334":{"id":"1707875505809285334","date":"2023-09-29 21:50:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Bad VCs see what they want to see.\nGood VCs seed what they want to see.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1707875505809285334","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1535,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1707875505809285334","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1476925464824270848":{"id":"1476925464824270848","date":"2021-12-31 14:37:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ In the spirit of end-of-year housecleaning, here are some things I believe about the crypto world as we close 2021.\n\nReasoned disagreements *very* welcome!\n\n👉👉👉","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476925464824270848","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":31,"retweets":4,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476925464824270848","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1593754357199052800":{"id":"1593754357199052800","date":"2022-11-18 23:53:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I guess EA is precisely the sort of power-hungry entity (implemented in a collection of biological agents) that can be co-opted to be misaligned to normal human conceptions of morality?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1593754357199052800","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1593754357199052800","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1873899042914394168":{"id":"1873899042914394168","date":"2024-12-31 01:08:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"AGI Eval Irrelevance Principle\n\nAs we approach AGI, the value of objective evals converges to zero.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1873899042914394168","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2133,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1873899042914394168","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1865735293862555741":{"id":"1865735293862555741","date":"2024-12-08 12:28:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Insane-but-sincere request for ideas:\n\n- After-school\n- CNC machining class\n- For a 14 year old\n- Living in Prague\n- Who doesn't speak Czech.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1865735293862555741","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":36,"retweets":1,"replies":9,"quotes":1,"views":12015,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1865735293862555741","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1821315311112744962":{"id":"1821315311112744962","date":"2024-08-07 22:39:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@volatilitynoob @EntropyChase Right, and wide quotes (within exchange MM requirement limits) are fine. No one's going to be *required* to post nickel wide markets.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1821267318334542057","reply_id":"1821314988817944651","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"volatilitynoob","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":72,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1821315311112744962","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1849924400520294531":{"id":"1849924400520294531","date":"2024-10-25 21:22:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@igaloly Yes but don't let that define you! You can have many niches in a long career.\n\nI said \"don't marry\" your products, i.e. forever.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1849585897525924068","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":82,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1849924400520294531","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1693694722496397620":{"id":"1693694722496397620","date":"2023-08-21 18:41:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"6. The way it looks from the outside is @michael_nielsen's observation. \"Allowing themselves to be dominated\" is what going for too much, losing too many points looks like. Cascading errors. Alcaraz knows how to avoid it by keeping the pressure on. Force'em to hit winners.\n\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"1693694715135394102","reply_id":"1693694721288437851","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":977,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1693694722496397620","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1272992431802249218":{"id":"1272992431802249218","date":"2020-06-16 20:40:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"When considering a potential business partner, client, or provider, I can't think of a more reliable indicator than membership in a Forbes Council.\n\nIt's a near-perfect shortcut to a no.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1272992431802249218","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1272992431802249218","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1419749976331063311":{"id":"1419749976331063311","date":"2021-07-26 20:02:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JessicaNutt96 In medieval times, the cobbler's mental model could price-discriminate perfectly. Markets meant the info asymmetry was too great.\n\nTherefore the \"law of one price\".\n\nNow info tech has caught up, so we're back to \"normal\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1419745276655456264","reply_id":"1419748823073648641","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1419749976331063311","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2075916857916154031":{"id":"2075916857916154031","date":"2026-07-11 12:15:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Turns out the end state for Airbnb is as a market to match cheap travelers with short-stay slumlords.\n\nAmazing what the equilibrium becomes when the property manager doesn't have a brand to protect.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2075916857916154031","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":371,"retweets":10,"replies":21,"quotes":0,"views":30199,"bookmarks":35,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2075916857916154031","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1546931747740192768":{"id":"1546931747740192768","date":"2022-07-12 18:57:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2/ As a substitute, in this thread I’ll show you a process for how I come up with trading ideas.\n\nHopefully you can pick out aspects and ideas that you can apply to your approach.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546931744426758145","reply_id":"1546931745806643201","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546931747740192768","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1699482428849676485":{"id":"1699482428849676485","date":"2023-09-06 17:59:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ariel_bendavid Same as it ever was. Bossing people around. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1699481367359177063","reply_id":"1699482081791742134","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ariel_bendavid","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1479,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1699482428849676485","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1692519516469895595":{"id":"1692519516469895595","date":"2023-08-18 12:51:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano 🙏🙏🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1692495970007728146","reply_id":"1692495970007728146","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":210,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1692519516469895595","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1493434156155424768":{"id":"1493434156155424768","date":"2022-02-15 03:57:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano @therobotjames @theemilyaccount @brrrzooka @reubbr Most of the time you have to lift 240-280. But sometimes, 2800.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493387393142976512","reply_id":"1493433366066171904","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493434156155424768","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2048839544796033485":{"id":"2048839544796033485","date":"2026-04-27 18:59:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"💯, perfect, no notes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2048839544796033485","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":10010,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2048839544796033485","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1327466498500173825":{"id":"1327466498500173825","date":"2020-11-14 04:20:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@little_rocko @KrisAbdelmessih Look up Victor Niederhoffer. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1327383621817176064","reply_id":"1327459013076733955","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"little_rocko","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1327466498500173825","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1386456638207315975":{"id":"1386456638207315975","date":"2021-04-25 23:06:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 I was a massive Bad Boys fan in the 80s, but I'd put a few small PGs above Zeke.\n\n- John Stockton\n- CP3\n\nPlus Steph has literally redefined the notion of range in the last 10 years.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1386453791650713602","reply_id":"1386453791650713602","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1386456638207315975","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1732109039075733943":{"id":"1732109039075733943","date":"2023-12-05 18:45:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I feel like this is *all* have, sometimes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1732109039075733943","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":7305,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1732109039075733943","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1433267654014365697":{"id":"1433267654014365697","date":"2021-09-02 03:16:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_Dave__White_ @drewg__ https://www.amazon.com/Debt-First-5-000-Years/dp/1612191290","hashtags":[],"conv":"1433259974021423111","reply_id":"1433265762207080456","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_Dave__White_","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1433267654014365697","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1506045241287077889":{"id":"1506045241287077889","date":"2022-03-21 23:09:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"22/ I'm a sucker for what's I call improvement porn. 1980s movie montages and YouTube videos with longitudinal improvements in pullups and such.\n\nMoneyball has one of these.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5AGY0Y1OiF4","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1506045239651307525","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1506045241287077889","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1957390819507228674":{"id":"1957390819507228674","date":"2025-08-18 10:35:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4/ And no, existing financial markets AREN'T just the same. The positive externalities of financial markets completely dwarf the negative ones.\n\nThe same cannot be said for gambling (ahem, prediction markets).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957390814113308717","reply_id":"1957390817867293059","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":36,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":5350,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1957390819507228674","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2078511329854296472":{"id":"2078511329854296472","date":"2026-07-18 16:04:52","author":"nic carter","handle":"nic_carter","text":"My jaw dropped reading this \n\nWho is most opposed to self driving cars? \n\nAmbulance chasing lawyers who sue over car accidents \n\nThey are explicitly on the side of preventable death.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2078511329854296472","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2078518599363211741","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1975,"retweets":186,"replies":54,"quotes":9,"views":138698,"bookmarks":266,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/nic_carter/status/2078511329854296472"},"1773749630322532387":{"id":"1773749630322532387","date":"2024-03-29 16:30:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JoeBucketshop Florida man, love it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1773734206830719163","reply_id":"1773748020544176150","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JoeBucketshop","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1221,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1773749630322532387","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1783345615809966468":{"id":"1783345615809966468","date":"2024-04-25 04:01:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JDcarlu Yeah, and what an indictment of everything that learning more earlier causes problems instead of opportunities.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1783272438396330474","reply_id":"1783335272211771457","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JDcarlu","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":166,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1783345615809966468","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1559367924934066177":{"id":"1559367924934066177","date":"2022-08-16 02:34:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Top 5 certainly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1559366680031084545","reply_id":"1559367480107159553","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1559367924934066177","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1684741209259118592":{"id":"1684741209259118592","date":"2023-07-28 01:42:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I love how a former president can be federally indicted for evidence tampering and the world just yawns cuz of course he did.\n\n\"How far we done fell.\" - Bunk","hashtags":[],"conv":"1684741209259118592","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3561,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1684741209259118592","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2007097907749826993":{"id":"2007097907749826993","date":"2026-01-02 14:33:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Absolutely damning indictment in one paragraph.\n\nhttps://research.gavekal.com/article/unraveling-chinas-productivity-paradox/","hashtags":[],"conv":"2007097907749826993","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":179,"retweets":10,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":15658,"bookmarks":44,"media":["2007097907749826993_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2007097907749826993","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1382882414528106499":{"id":"1382882414528106499","date":"2021-04-16 02:23:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_fabriciovsa More fundamentally, do you prefer that no one know about you and what you do, or would you prefer to gain public/semi-public renown and recognition?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"1382882178820808707","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382882414528106499","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1900457985266061548":{"id":"1900457985266061548","date":"2025-03-14 08:04:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Show me the courses where these are the textbooks:\n\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Accelerate-Software-Performing-Technology-Organizations/dp/1942788339\n\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Debugging-Indispensable-Software-Hardware-Problems/dp/0814474578\n\nNot ancillary material no one reads, but the actual textbook.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1900455234754826623","reply_id":"1900457796585378237","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":20,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2829,"bookmarks":38,"media":["1900457985266061548_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1900457985266061548","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1867493103869079579":{"id":"1867493103869079579","date":"2024-12-13 08:53:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod True enough, but also:\n\nRust, Swift, Zig, Dart.\n\nIt's not *that* niche.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1867480479282200779","reply_id":"1867482157704159643","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1676,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1867493103869079579","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1971511181149196629":{"id":"1971511181149196629","date":"2025-09-26 09:44:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ConcaveMMT Breathtaking sociopathy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1971479917054525812","reply_id":"1971509710810665336","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ConcaveMMT","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":97,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1971511181149196629","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1372386994664316930":{"id":"1372386994664316930","date":"2021-03-18 03:18:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@IsaacWendt @macrocephalopod Because you *know* by construction there isn't any momentum in the data.\n\nSo if you see any, it must be due to overfitting.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1370349076525514752","reply_id":"1371923366509113344","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"IsaacWendt","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1372386994664316930","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1886918088505102395":{"id":"1886918088505102395","date":"2025-02-04 23:21:44","author":"Tom Blomfield","handle":"t_blom","text":"🧑‍💻 Request for Design Partners 👩‍💻\n\nAt YC, I work with a number of highly technical young founders who can build mind-blowing stuff with the latest AI-based tools.\n\nBut they don't yet have connections to old, established industries, and so they're struggling to identify problems that big businesses will pay for.\n\nTo bridge this gap, I'm looking for people working in the following sectors:\n\n- Banking\n- Insurance\n- Law\n- Audit & Compliance\n- Healthcare \n\nIf you're doing people-heavy services work and you think that some LLM-powered software would make your job 10x easier, I'd love to connect you with some smart technical founders in your space 🚀","hashtags":[],"conv":"1886918088505102395","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1887039087565004969","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":887,"retweets":59,"replies":111,"quotes":27,"views":235037,"bookmarks":613,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/t_blom/status/1886918088505102395"},"1932949431889932462":{"id":"1932949431889932462","date":"2025-06-11 23:53:51","author":"simp 4 satoshi","handle":"iamgingertrash","text":"@swyx No, you moron\n\nThis is because this is a fraudulent metric\n\nYou can move money around the batch and record it as revenue\n\nYou can’t fake engagement with the product","hashtags":[],"conv":"1932612201736777777","reply_id":"1932612201736777777","quote_id":"1933445986338099433","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"swyx","likes":473,"retweets":7,"replies":14,"quotes":6,"views":196430,"bookmarks":71,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/iamgingertrash/status/1932949431889932462"},"2077448255797952612":{"id":"2077448255797952612","date":"2026-07-15 17:40:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In their absence, all that hobbyist energy, drive, curiosity, creativity and FUN will just immediately be directed to figuring out how to do distributed training runs.\n\nAnd at THAT point, Plan A regulations DO actually look like intrusive government surveillance of normal people.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2077448246570504529","reply_id":"2077448253902098581","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":54,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4090,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2077448255797952612","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1602651820542889990":{"id":"1602651820542889990","date":"2022-12-13 13:09:04","author":"agadmator","handle":"agadmator","text":"Who wins today?\n⚽♟️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602651820542889990","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1603075524469096448","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":79,"retweets":2,"replies":13,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/agadmator/status/1602651820542889990"},"2039416280734744668":{"id":"2039416280734744668","date":"2026-04-01 18:55:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"RT @AgustinLebron3: @Gugabed @Memecoin_Quant @bennpeifert @stoked_on_waves Yes! Yes!\n\nAll I want is a good amount of friction.\n\nFucking ads all day to download a gambling app on your phone which you connect to your bank account with two clicks. And then it fucking notifies you endlessly with prompts to gamble.\n\nIt's not a fair fight.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2039416280734744668","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2039416062056243345","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2039416280734744668","type":"retweet","issues":[]},"1788924479315562746":{"id":"1788924479315562746","date":"2024-05-10 13:30:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@peteinvesting That's the best I've come up with, wondering if there is anything meaningfully better.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788923697908339031","reply_id":"1788924213803487235","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"peteinvesting","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3220,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788924479315562746","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1481739750746701825":{"id":"1481739750746701825","date":"2022-01-13 21:27:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jgreco I don't want to work anywhere where your compliance officer is the highest-leverage role in the company.\n\nIf it is, that almost definitely guarantees your business involves trying to get away with something you shouldn't.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481736833612587018","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1481739750746701825","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1597804469944582145":{"id":"1597804469944582145","date":"2022-11-30 04:07:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sentientETF Please sir, may I have another simulation that doesn't make money out of sample?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597297564503932930","reply_id":"1597297564503932930","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sentientETF","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597804469944582145","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1808252234494574634":{"id":"1808252234494574634","date":"2024-07-02 21:31:43","author":"Tsarathustra","handle":"tsarnick","text":"Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei says another generation or two of scale is needed before the error rate is low enough to have autonomous AI agents","hashtags":[],"conv":"1808252234494574634","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1808288166354604439","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":811,"retweets":90,"replies":42,"quotes":43,"views":122210,"bookmarks":248,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tsarnick/status/1808252234494574634"},"1493635636745568256":{"id":"1493635636745568256","date":"2022-02-15 17:17:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The more hedge fund philosopher kings I mute, the better my feed gets. It's only logical.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493635636745568256","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":56,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493635636745568256","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1597802454036250624":{"id":"1597802454036250624","date":"2022-11-30 03:59:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sherlock_hodles 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597801719681122304","reply_id":"1597802384465756160","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sherlock_hodles","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597802454036250624","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1421141525581365253":{"id":"1421141525581365253","date":"2021-07-30 16:11:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 That's a very valid point.\nThe slow but steady Neumannization of the world.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1421137957994602499","reply_id":"1421140959639842819","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1421141525581365253","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1949781629922119710":{"id":"1949781629922119710","date":"2025-07-28 10:39:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_____Lightning The reality ahead isn't an inevitability. We *construct* it, literally, every day.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1949721918879191118","reply_id":"1949779432660521367","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_____Lightning","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":328,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1949781629922119710","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1560731582490501121":{"id":"1560731582490501121","date":"2022-08-19 20:53:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pansareV My friend's WW2 vet grandfather thought we were insane for playing laser tag.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1560722440249954304","reply_id":"1560731128172261376","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pansareV","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1560731582490501121","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1624164637846704128":{"id":"1624164637846704128","date":"2023-02-10 21:53:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@rargulati Amen.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1624109506891509763","reply_id":"1624153338723049472","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"rargulati","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":115,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1624164637846704128","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1782777747154284698":{"id":"1782777747154284698","date":"2024-04-23 14:25:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alz_zyd_ Can't happen. AoPS problems require the student to *think*. Sometimes think *hard*. That makes it a non-starter for 99% of students.\n\nSome of these problems are little works of art. They're so finely crafted, so perfectly calibrated to extract a sometimes-tiny insight. Joyful.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1782767963377922348","reply_id":"1782767963377922348","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alz_zyd_","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":1929,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1782777747154284698","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1289572335683428352":{"id":"1289572335683428352","date":"2020-08-01 14:42:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"How is this a useful insight? Simple: it lets you completely ignore the reasoning for a person's words and actions when those words and actions favor that person. H/T @naval.\n\nBillionaire wants lower taxes? Of course. Don't bother listening to the arguments.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1289572334110568448","reply_id":"1289572334907453441","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1289572335683428352","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1476937941070979083":{"id":"1476937941070979083","date":"2021-12-31 15:26:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Scohentrader @SoccerMomTrades @JDcarlu Meaning that you're going to need to buy a strike that's very far from ATM to avoid paying for vol you don't want. If stock is at 100 you might need to buy the 200 strike put (if it's even listed). That's a lot of margin you're putting up.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476775525066571778","reply_id":"1476937642801385489","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476937941070979083","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1957813498739605797":{"id":"1957813498739605797","date":"2025-08-19 14:34:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I was 100% wrong about this.\n\nSo far I'm 0 for 1 on SHA256 predictions with 2 more still to be resolved.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957813498739605797","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":8214,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1957813498739605797","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1583154106293944320":{"id":"1583154106293944320","date":"2022-10-20 17:52:07","author":"Matt Levine","handle":"matt_levine","text":"We have witnessed some absolutely biblical usage of Money Stuff, and it’s acting like jet fuel being dumped on the already out of control ‘macro’ fire occurring into persistent ‘negative gamma’ momentum overshoot flows. https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-10-20/making-crypto-hacking-less-lucrative","hashtags":[],"conv":"1583154106293944320","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1583277941156245504","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":120,"retweets":23,"replies":12,"quotes":6,"views":0,"bookmarks":20,"media":["1583154106293944320_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/matt_levine/status/1583154106293944320"},"2038693334399570408":{"id":"2038693334399570408","date":"2026-03-30 19:02:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Nothing about remote code execution in the FAQ. 🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"2038693334399570408","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":4326,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2038693334399570408","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2080189361484636589":{"id":"2080189361484636589","date":"2026-07-23 07:12:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So,\nUSA: Ideological, import bans, government protection as a business model.\n\nChina: Open weights, free market, let the best model win.\n\nDo I have this right?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2080189344023785550","reply_id":"2080189359588872404","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":1477,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2080189361484636589","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1455176272984752133":{"id":"1455176272984752133","date":"2021-11-01 14:13:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ALBACapMgmt Exactly the same conversation here.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1455175998211649538","reply_id":"1455175998211649538","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ALBACapMgmt","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1455176272984752133","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1606010806386053121":{"id":"1606010806386053121","date":"2022-12-22 19:36:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Where is the $250m coming from?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1606010806386053121","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":40,"retweets":1,"replies":12,"quotes":0,"views":18162,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1606010806386053121","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1377394929589121025":{"id":"1377394929589121025","date":"2021-03-31 22:58:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal Unlike in other fields of study, you can basically re-derive all of stats/ML yourself with just a Jupyter Notebook and some curiosity.\n\nAll of the world-class ML/quants I know did this. The key skill isn't knowing what to do, it's knowing what to do when you're stuck.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377374179658436611","reply_id":"1377391130191405056","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1377394929589121025","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1509739591892275201":{"id":"1509739591892275201","date":"2022-04-01 03:49:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Carlos Alcaraz is fast becoming my favorite active athlete full stop.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1509739591892275201","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1509739591892275201","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1631137446401552389":{"id":"1631137446401552389","date":"2023-03-02 03:40:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@rajivpoc On-chain matching: never.\nOn-chain settlement: hopefully soon.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1631126851899858944","reply_id":"1631136239364501505","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"rajivpoc","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":90,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1631137446401552389","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1188212033021300736":{"id":"1188212033021300736","date":"2019-10-26 21:53:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lpolovets @balajis - US gov't isn't a profit maximizing entity. We have words for gov'ts that are: corrupt, kleptocracies, etc.\n- US gov't has the right to print $. Uber doesn't.\n\nIf carrying costs of debt < the GDP growth that results from that debt, then debt is the +EV decision.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1188183075521302529","reply_id":"1188209309253013504","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"lpolovets","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1188212033021300736","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1639760015602110464":{"id":"1639760015602110464","date":"2023-03-25 22:43:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I wonder if this Wikipedia page has seen an uptick in interest recently... (h/t MBac).\n\nhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Philosophical_zombie","hashtags":[],"conv":"1639760015602110464","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2310,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1639760015602110464","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1512081876172693506":{"id":"1512081876172693506","date":"2022-04-07 14:56:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily IDL FTW:\n\nhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IDL_(programming_language)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1512080241426010114","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1512081876172693506","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1493601199408435205":{"id":"1493601199408435205","date":"2022-02-15 15:00:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @ActuallyFinance @PetLizardBeta @KrisAbdelmessih @salr_nyc Agree this must be true for kids/people living in that situation. This is maybe my bubble talking, but to what fraction of American kids does this apply?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493387393142976512","reply_id":"1493600174995918858","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493601199408435205","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1417324672346071040":{"id":"1417324672346071040","date":"2021-07-20 03:25:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@longskew @therobotjames @sajidnizami I know a few people who do this.\n\nYou kinda have to love it. If you don't, it's hard to muster the energy to pore through the minutiae.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1417300898234003457","reply_id":"1417322923870855168","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"longskew","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1417324672346071040","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1849809332348600434":{"id":"1849809332348600434","date":"2024-10-25 13:44:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheReal50972902 Careers are long. No way you're learning much about your product in the marginal 14th year of trading it.\n\nMuch more likely you move to a new product and learn how the stuff you learned before also works in this new one, and it's unique alpha in that new place.\n\nMany such cases.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1849585897525924068","reply_id":"1849801858820215116","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheReal50972902","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":403,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1849809332348600434","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1578792697057665027":{"id":"1578792697057665027","date":"2022-10-08 17:01:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SquishChaos Yeah, I went on a food porn binge a few years ago too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1577487798059270145","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1578792697057665027","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1513267006161580032":{"id":"1513267006161580032","date":"2022-04-10 21:25:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @be20684347 @aleondotxyz @2_7182818285 @HangukQuant But hard mode is soooo tempting tho. I get suckered in regularly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1513012899093962753","reply_id":"1513266328303329281","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1513267006161580032","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1499624076066779137":{"id":"1499624076066779137","date":"2022-03-04 05:53:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @dukeoffolly @therobotjames My Youtube front page:\n- NBA highlights\n- Championship Bridge from the 1950s\n- agadmator\n- Kurtzgezagt\n- Snooker highlights\n- Something weird from Rick & Morty\n- Weight Of Love - Black Keys","hashtags":[],"conv":"1499620140819701761","reply_id":"1499623172932468737","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1499624076066779137","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1970725704980459537":{"id":"1970725704980459537","date":"2025-09-24 05:43:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@connieeee55 That would indicated for Counterexamples in Topology.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970703034528465293","reply_id":"1970713706989510880","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"connieeee55","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":741,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1970725704980459537","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1759682900671488177":{"id":"1759682900671488177","date":"2024-02-19 20:54:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nearcyan @venturetwins Long QQQ, same thing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1759671881404452983","reply_id":"1759681660751389146","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nearcyan","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1209,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1759682900671488177","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1598009212189044736":{"id":"1598009212189044736","date":"2022-11-30 17:41:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@1balasub @sasuke___420 @garybasin @0xdoug Well, there's a trivial sense in which it's true: if you order the tail by the badness. :)\n\n(which in financial markets is precisely the case)\n\nBut there's a feedback effect which makes it true elsewhere. I spend ch8 of my book making that argument.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597978345345789953","reply_id":"1598008699938738176","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xghoadzilla","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598009212189044736","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1532802363550928896":{"id":"1532802363550928896","date":"2022-06-03 19:12:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano @macrocephalopod So is predicting 10 of the last 2 recessions.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1532797571185401859","reply_id":"1532802140103753731","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1532802363550928896","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1624110876197543936":{"id":"1624110876197543936","date":"2023-02-10 18:19:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This should feel true on priors.\n\nFor example, LLMs just suck in the world's output and are rewarded by predicting the likeliest next token.\n\nFor any sensible distribution, that means predicting the average.\n\nBy construction they're meant to give you \"meh\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1624109506891509763","reply_id":"1624109506891509763","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":2405,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1624110876197543936","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1764137914005680527":{"id":"1764137914005680527","date":"2024-03-03 03:57:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@volmagorov Where dem copula models at?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1764136979476726239","reply_id":"1764136979476726239","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"volmagorov","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":233,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1764137914005680527","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1893246347358122113":{"id":"1893246347358122113","date":"2025-02-22 10:27:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@totlsota Inertia.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1892858902795931872","reply_id":"1893245991215612232","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"totlsota","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":282,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1893246347358122113","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1285293954330591232":{"id":"1285293954330591232","date":"2020-07-20 19:22:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Enthusiasm about GPT-3 as a world-changing harbinger of AGI seems to have a near perfect negative correlation with:\n\n(a) direct knowledge of the details of the paper, and\n(b) direct experience building ML systems in general.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1285293954330591232","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1285293954330591232","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1458449063288852484":{"id":"1458449063288852484","date":"2021-11-10 14:58:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily Get me a box of upticks please.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1458446916321103873","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1458449063288852484","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1480205501711335425":{"id":"1480205501711335425","date":"2022-01-09 15:51:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DavidTaggart PowerBI is very good at what it does, and it does a lot out-of-the-box (ingestion, nice graphs and layouts, etc).\n\nGetting it to do something more esoteric can be a nightmare though.\n\nIt's designed for non-experts to be able to easily do *decent* business analytics stuff.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1480090162184945664","reply_id":"1480090162184945664","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DavidTaggart","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1480205501711335425","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1700887005448884546":{"id":"1700887005448884546","date":"2023-09-10 15:00:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"As an aside, GPT4 (Chat or Playground, doesn't matter) has a nearly unblemished record of answering these geometry questions with oceans of incorrect bullshit.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1700594441021689925","reply_id":"1700594441021689925","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":991,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1700887005448884546","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1494113575278759939":{"id":"1494113575278759939","date":"2022-02-17 00:56:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @darjohn25 Marlboros + jack and cokes.\n\nThat's a diet.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494110009478684674","reply_id":"1494113406806560769","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494113575278759939","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1633890067172425728":{"id":"1633890067172425728","date":"2023-03-09 17:58:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jgreco @guisalberto @stripe @sphere_labs So well integrated into Hooli Phone.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633823435154685952","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":384,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633890067172425728","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1499145973460713474":{"id":"1499145973460713474","date":"2022-03-02 22:13:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The best indicator of how complicated my life is at any given time is the number of tabs I have open.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1499145973460713474","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1499145973460713474","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1709240689849212934":{"id":"1709240689849212934","date":"2023-10-03 16:15:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KeyPaganRush I know! Insane.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709239227278622787","reply_id":"1709240241838788758","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KeyPaganRush","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":443,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1709240689849212934","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1423438243668758531":{"id":"1423438243668758531","date":"2021-08-06 00:18:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@kchoudhu Don't worry, they don't either.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1423425320250531841","reply_id":"1423425320250531841","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"kchoudhu","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1423438243668758531","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1580634904852733953":{"id":"1580634904852733953","date":"2022-10-13 19:01:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@IDrawCharts @686Prism @TCK_JRubano @TimTheMM That rabbit's dynamite.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1580631114074402817","reply_id":"1580634436466401280","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"IDrawCharts","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1580634904852733953","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1260210906111160320":{"id":"1260210906111160320","date":"2020-05-12 14:11:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@paulg @mckaywrigley Motivation precedes everything else.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1260199613648080897","reply_id":"1260204692270919680","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"paulg","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1260210906111160320","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1603900945741795328":{"id":"1603900945741795328","date":"2022-12-16 23:52:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theta124 @therobotjames @KrisAbdelmessih Oh it's funny.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1603889980287307777","reply_id":"1603897356251979776","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theta_xp","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":166,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1603900945741795328","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2015157979494928386":{"id":"2015157979494928386","date":"2026-01-24 20:21:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"A lot of what makes the experience of Claude Code so magical is hard to explain to non-technical people.\n\nI used to think this was because \"non-tech people don't get how hard tech is\", but I'm starting to realize that's true in a very different way than I thought.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2015157979494928386","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":178,"retweets":2,"replies":12,"quotes":1,"views":23496,"bookmarks":83,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2015157979494928386","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1729315472011874772":{"id":"1729315472011874772","date":"2023-11-28 01:45:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @therobotjames https://people.duke.edu/~charvey/Teaching/BA453_2004/Muller_Proprietary_trading.pdf","hashtags":[],"conv":"1729272997234803149","reply_id":"1729277646385598861","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":20,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":1600,"bookmarks":8,"media":["1729315472011874772_1.png","1729315472011874772_2.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1729315472011874772","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1614867148090019840":{"id":"1614867148090019840","date":"2023-01-16 06:08:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug @emgurevich @EvgenyGaevoy Excession was the funniest.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1614771781360820226","reply_id":"1614783550854729729","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":347,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1614867148090019840","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1433619211490717698":{"id":"1433619211490717698","date":"2021-09-03 02:33:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lightspringfox @theunemployeda1 FWIW many SaaS startups also clearly fall under the category of \"repetitive and derivative\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1433605497303744513","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1433619211490717698","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1531649204598153216":{"id":"1531649204598153216","date":"2022-05-31 14:50:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Professor of practice\" jobs at universities:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1531649204598153216","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1531649204598153216","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1979877845301334235":{"id":"1979877845301334235","date":"2025-10-19 11:50:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@idoccor Disagree, esp for junior candidates. It really is possible to do your best to find good people, keep a lowish false-negative rate in order to increase diversity, and as a result only hire 1 in 100.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1979864452897104144","reply_id":"1979864452897104144","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"idoccor","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":393,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1979877845301334235","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1984693267565310433":{"id":"1984693267565310433","date":"2025-11-01 18:45:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The ball has an incredibly unnatural fast-then-slow trajectory that gives you zero sense of what's actually going on.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1984693073583227113","reply_id":"1984693073583227113","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":1707,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1984693267565310433","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1559697493377503233":{"id":"1559697493377503233","date":"2022-08-17 00:23:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 True, but in options particularly, you pay the price in tech overhead. Ain't easy quoting dozens or hundreds of strikes w/o getting run over.\n\nBut if you're already MMing then yeah, position-taking is a great overlay.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1559691124511428608","reply_id":"1559696932150337536","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1559697493377503233","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1761434096063144074":{"id":"1761434096063144074","date":"2024-02-24 16:53:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nayshins @OrthogonalAlpha Rarely. It happens but rarely.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1761429522946339042","reply_id":"1761433627014185165","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nayshins","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":157,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1761434096063144074","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2079176283808809046":{"id":"2079176283808809046","date":"2026-07-20 12:07:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"RT @AgustinLebron3: The SF AI scene needs fewer philosopher kings and more CEOs laser focused on serving the best possible tokens at the best possible price.\n\n\"Your margin is my opportunity.\"\n\nLess Marcus Aurelius, more Ron Vachris.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2079176283808809046","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2079176246559232372","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["2079176283808809046_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2079176283808809046","type":"retweet","issues":[]},"1767607723594846386":{"id":"1767607723594846386","date":"2024-03-12 17:44:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Life hack:\n\nIn common usage the word \"or\" means exclusive or.\n\nWhen presented with an \"or\", spend a second thinking if something interesting happens when you transform it to an inclusive or.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1767607723594846386","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":32,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":7271,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1767607723594846386","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1620527963040280576":{"id":"1620527963040280576","date":"2023-01-31 21:02:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 Same. MJ had that overpowering, crushing inevitability. Like no matter what happened, MJ was going to win.\n\nHe and Tiger are at the pinnacle in that regard.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1620524722231582720","reply_id":"1620524723905101831","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":773,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1620527963040280576","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2047253141335216164":{"id":"2047253141335216164","date":"2026-04-23 09:55:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If the crazy minority in AI that's focused on sample efficiency does figure something out, they'll eventually win.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2047253141335216164","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":88,"retweets":3,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":12171,"bookmarks":22,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2047253141335216164","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1884140993156648962":{"id":"1884140993156648962","date":"2025-01-28 07:26:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Feels like Jokic is going to get robbed of the MVP again this season.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1884140993156648962","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":3202,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1884140993156648962","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1474394238083223555":{"id":"1474394238083223555","date":"2021-12-24 14:59:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FreddieRaynolds @cloudy_cl @Ksidiii @bennpeifert @VitruviusCurve I dunno, sad I guess. I hope he'll be ok. I was young and misguided once too. Arguably still am the latter sometimes. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1447251034309545988","reply_id":"1474263387924316169","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FreddieRaynolds","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1474394238083223555","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1517858919145639939":{"id":"1517858919145639939","date":"2022-04-23 13:32:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin Housing market is feeling very toppy in San Diego RN. \n\nBig change from a month ago.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1517841906566414337","reply_id":"1517841906566414337","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1517858919145639939","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1350843971560370176":{"id":"1350843971560370176","date":"2021-01-17 16:34:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@benhayesnyc @robinhanson ☝️☝️☝️☝️☝️\n\nX>Y implies bug anti-correlation, which is just wrong.\nX~Y implies bug independence.\n\nEVEN IF X~Y, the above point means Y>X in real life.\n\nI'm honestly floored at the results of the survey. Maybe it explains why so much software is so buggy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1350837024329121794","reply_id":"1350839574545788929","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"benhayesnyc","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1350843971560370176","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1859872259265221101":{"id":"1859872259265221101","date":"2024-11-22 08:11:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's turning out that:\n\n- Training a superhuman AI on (checks notes) the *Internet* isn't such a hot idea.\n- Guard-railing it based on free feedback from anons on (checks notes) the *Internet* (lmsys) is... a worse idea.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1859872259265221101","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4457,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1859872259265221101","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1798497316808393144":{"id":"1798497316808393144","date":"2024-06-05 23:29:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Kind of amazed that in 2024 all language learning systems suck compared to what's possible with modern LLMs + spaced rep + (optionally) RL-for-engagement.\n\n(Please don't shill me the thing you think is good. I've seen it and it's definitely not.)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1798497316808393144","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":28,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":4025,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1798497316808393144","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1592952678237491200":{"id":"1592952678237491200","date":"2022-11-16 18:48:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @macrocephalobot @LBelenky @QuantLemming Sorry, 2/3 are the same thing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1592932287112675330","reply_id":"1592951503152893953","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1592952678237491200","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2072293508166070625":{"id":"2072293508166070625","date":"2026-07-01 12:17:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's a bit weird to say we're an AI lab, first and foremost. Given my background I've always been skeptical of \"we're an AI lab not a trading company\".\n\nBut slowly I've come realize that the tech we're building really is that general. If you build it right, it just... works.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2072293502168277261","reply_id":"2072293506282844540","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":210,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":25075,"bookmarks":19,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2072293508166070625","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1597799506937905152":{"id":"1597799506937905152","date":"2022-11-30 03:47:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xCapitan @benchmarcc @KrisAbdelmessih They may not (anymore), but all the UNI-recyclers sure are.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597690466807316480","reply_id":"1597799203367182336","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dannyonchain","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597799506937905152","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1883838429668253947":{"id":"1883838429668253947","date":"2025-01-27 11:24:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@samuhyu @bennpeifert @jhvaranda Sure, there are times where it can make sense.\n\nBut most of the time it doesn't. And it hides (for a while) bad trade sizing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1883515786528190589","reply_id":"1883829677741199370","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"samuhyu","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":158,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1883838429668253947","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1377999091649548295":{"id":"1377999091649548295","date":"2021-04-02 14:59:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5/ So you need priors, informed by years of study and learning and people teaching you, etc.\n\nOf course, don't go off the reservation the other way.\n\nGreat decision-making in trading and in life is about holding good prior beliefs, then updating them the right amount w/ new data.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377999087644012544","reply_id":"1377999090626093071","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":14,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1377999091649548295","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1637891990405910528":{"id":"1637891990405910528","date":"2023-03-20 19:00:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 @brianluidog The US is basically the only country where you can legit get a 30year fixed AFAIK.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1637741279265292289","reply_id":"1637873759477719041","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":347,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1637891990405910528","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1501645091537973250":{"id":"1501645091537973250","date":"2022-03-09 19:44:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Love it!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501639840919863296","reply_id":"1501639840919863296","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501645091537973250","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1603160020039847937":{"id":"1603160020039847937","date":"2022-12-14 22:48:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1603150791371431936","reply_id":"1603151122973093889","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1603160020039847937","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1629533021434155009":{"id":"1629533021434155009","date":"2023-02-25 17:25:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@blockrotator @S3archerAnon Already here for insurance and training.\n\nLytx, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1629522250205638656","reply_id":"1629532829179838465","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"blockrotator","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":459,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1629533021434155009","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1834219431884464410":{"id":"1834219431884464410","date":"2024-09-12 13:16:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pranavvk @Lifrordi Unlikely but not impossible.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1834217272774185288","reply_id":"1834217859498545359","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pranavvk","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":650,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1834219431884464410","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1943015290226237670":{"id":"1943015290226237670","date":"2025-07-09 18:31:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ltabb @DavidMortimer6 I may write something more detailed this weekend but big picture: the fact that they hedged 1/7th of their short futs with index (vs just doing the trade 6/7ths of the size) afforded them an opportunity to push the settlement px in a way that most of us (ex-JS) feel isn't kosher.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943002913015501239","reply_id":"1943013239098609944","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ltabb","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":325,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1943015290226237670","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1282759926440316929":{"id":"1282759926440316929","date":"2020-07-13 19:32:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vakontis @SinclairEuan @KrisAbdelmessih 4. Ah, but I only trade *options* on levered ETFs.\n\nWell, whoever your counterparty on those trades was, they're likely a professional who's delta hedging their exposure to your trades. So you're subject to the same dynamics. Plus you're crossing (comparatively) huge spreads.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1282702235583954945","reply_id":"1282759280496570373","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1282759926440316929","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1388884189580206087":{"id":"1388884189580206087","date":"2021-05-02 15:52:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"8/ But is it worth the cost?\n\nSo far the cost to me has been nowhere near as high as for Lily, but even so the cost vs value tradeoff is pretty darn close.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1388884183372623873","reply_id":"1388884188690993153","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1388884189580206087","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2080152794695368924":{"id":"2080152794695368924","date":"2026-07-23 04:47:28","author":"Ankit Gupta","handle":"agupta","text":"was talking to some frontier lab people about this today\n\nthink the realistic path to AI \"solving\" disease would be AI making fundamental discoveries in physics, which lets us make applied discoveries in sensor/assay design, which lets us probe biological systems at microscopic resolutions non-invasively at 1/1000th the current cost","hashtags":[],"conv":"2080152794695368924","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2080218719230238906","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":355,"retweets":14,"replies":27,"quotes":5,"views":78022,"bookmarks":174,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/agupta/status/2080152794695368924"},"1471582506772144133":{"id":"1471582506772144133","date":"2021-12-16 20:46:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@salr_nyc @VolQuant @joshgiersch Now that @nope_its_lily is telling people to unfollow her, our path is clear!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471535220553883649","reply_id":"1471582339876614146","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471582506772144133","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1505771549621559296":{"id":"1505771549621559296","date":"2022-03-21 05:01:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @therobotjames @NotQuiteMidlife @M1tchRosenthal I define it as \"A thing that you know and can do that the marginal participant doesn't or can't, and a story for why it makes money.\"\n\nI don't know how to run black box strats.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505752038935773191","reply_id":"1505770370917359618","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505771549621559296","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1632198845022244864":{"id":"1632198845022244864","date":"2023-03-05 01:58:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sonlamho I have a (possibly erroneous) picture of those as \"entitled rich kid\" camps.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632157627978514433","reply_id":"1632190351497924608","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sonlamho","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":802,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632198845022244864","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1616085722095837184":{"id":"1616085722095837184","date":"2023-01-19 14:50:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In social situations we're usually not listening. It's more like a two person game we play, ChatGPT'ing our way through the situation.\n\nIn fact, in those spots it's actually a little unsettling when someone listens to what you're saying. They seem a little too intense.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1616085720640389123","reply_id":"1616085720640389123","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":806,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1616085722095837184","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1959600735961694294":{"id":"1959600735961694294","date":"2025-08-24 12:56:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@annanay Inside out.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1959589809858482572","reply_id":"1959599063990497463","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"annanay","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":216,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1959600735961694294","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1588275074422820864":{"id":"1588275074422820864","date":"2022-11-03 21:01:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LesLore1 @be20684347 🙏🙏🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1588256136301400065","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1588275074422820864","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1769392135504355616":{"id":"1769392135504355616","date":"2024-03-17 15:55:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Netflix autoplaying whatever you have highlighted:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1769392135504355616","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":2524,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1769392135504355616","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1960749035750408544":{"id":"1960749035750408544","date":"2025-08-27 16:59:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"10% vig is... a pretty sweet business at least.\n\nUnsustainably extractive? Almost definitely.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1960749035750408544","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2647,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1960749035750408544_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1960749035750408544","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1988960134706655397":{"id":"1988960134706655397","date":"2025-11-13 13:20:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"A nerd's definition of politics: anything that involves two humans interacting, instead of a human and a computer.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1988960134706655397","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3398,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1988960134706655397","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1880329674632663329":{"id":"1880329674632663329","date":"2025-01-17 19:01:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@circlepacker The bottom end of US equities. Lots of alpha for small sized accounts willing to dig into filings and statements and such.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1880183502509076534","reply_id":"1880315278539854016","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"circlepacker","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":314,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1880329674632663329","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1597961225543254022":{"id":"1597961225543254022","date":"2022-11-30 14:30:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod https://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597801719681122304","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597921672769982464","reply_id":"1597921672769982464","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597961225543254022","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1476022410457456644":{"id":"1476022410457456644","date":"2021-12-29 02:49:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @KrisAbdelmessih Options course? I believe you're looking for the bodega selling the scratch-off lottery tickets.\n\nThis is an Arby's.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476013157327900675","reply_id":"1476021936601845765","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476022410457456644","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1868179712729907467":{"id":"1868179712729907467","date":"2024-12-15 06:22:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ScottPh77711570 Probably more accurate to say that crypto is easy mode *for you*. I.e. your skillset matches the products you trade.\n\nSome ML grinder probably has no clue how to deal with scams, counterparty risk, etc so would find some safe tradfi thing easier.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1868128894811078818","reply_id":"1868128894811078818","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ScottPh77711570","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1134,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1868179712729907467","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1710037186253553901":{"id":"1710037186253553901","date":"2023-10-05 21:00:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Worth a read.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1710037186253553901","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2742,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1710037186253553901","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1766508609246986654":{"id":"1766508609246986654","date":"2024-03-09 16:57:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug He wasn't on no path to no Nobel.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1766505189115101198","reply_id":"1766505189115101198","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":471,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1766508609246986654","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1753192609768415620":{"id":"1753192609768415620","date":"2024-02-01 23:04:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"There's just nothing out there as good as this.\n\n@dwarkesh_sp and @tylercowen range about as widely as is possible, without ever descending into platitudes.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EY2nbAVZB-k","hashtags":[],"conv":"1753192609768415620","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":56,"retweets":11,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":19613,"bookmarks":41,"media":["1753192609768415620_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1753192609768415620","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1600663565874393088":{"id":"1600663565874393088","date":"2022-12-08 01:28:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Portnoy may not be the hero we want.\n\nBut at this point I'll take anyone who can be the hero we need.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1600663565874393088","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1600663565874393088","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1393755714196107268":{"id":"1393755714196107268","date":"2021-05-16 02:30:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @Mephisto731 Crypto is recapitulating regular finance, just faster.\n\nWe're in the late 90s right now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1393679908598124545","reply_id":"1393734968401043456","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1393755714196107268","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1394659946956943365":{"id":"1394659946956943365","date":"2021-05-18 14:23:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein Just put everything in PYTHONPATH and let the OS figure it out.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1394657853227642885","reply_id":"1394657853227642885","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1394659946956943365","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1810772507324207421":{"id":"1810772507324207421","date":"2024-07-09 20:26:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"And of course spoil the match winner in the thumbnail.\n\n👏👏👏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1810772128792506843","reply_id":"1810772128792506843","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1225,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1810772507324207421","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1473145248272420871":{"id":"1473145248272420871","date":"2021-12-21 04:16:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@StudentofMarke2 @therobotjames Really? The goal of every HF manager is to one day become rich enough to anoint oneself a philosopher.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1473116981469405191","reply_id":"1473117415194177549","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"StudentofMarke2","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1473145248272420871","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1783150516706660467":{"id":"1783150516706660467","date":"2024-04-24 15:06:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The unpaidness is the easiest, most high-signal thing to change.\n\n1. You're already spending 20k+ finding the right person. What's another $100/hr/past-1st-round-candidate?\n\n2. Look at the signal you're sending them! You value their time!\n\nNo brainer but almost no one does it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1783150516706660467","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":66,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":6491,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1783150516706660467","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1443314523679592449":{"id":"1443314523679592449","date":"2021-09-29 20:39:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lightspringfox @therobotjames @0xdoug @anderpart @macrocephalopod @volmagorov @theemilyaccount I've heard of speculative out-of-order execution, I guess I always assumed it was a crypto matching-engine technology...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443283134116732935","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1443314523679592449","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1434963958465634306":{"id":"1434963958465634306","date":"2021-09-06 19:37:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3/ In reinforcement learning, when you have to act in a novel environment and learn in an online way, there's a tension between trying new things vs doing the things you’ve already learned are good.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434963956599193601","reply_id":"1434963957555494912","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434963958465634306","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1534734232433528834":{"id":"1534734232433528834","date":"2022-06-09 03:08:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Who wants to build the crypto settlement layer for PokerNow to replace Venmo-between-friends and put online poker rooms out of business?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1534734232433528834","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1534734232433528834","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1766869131280703543":{"id":"1766869131280703543","date":"2024-03-10 16:50:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If grocery stores are such low-margin businesses, what explains the sometimes-massive variation in prices between them?\n\nLike roma tomatoes at Vons for $2.49/lb but $0.69/lb at Aldi. Many other examples.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1766869131280703543","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":31,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":9821,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1766869131280703543","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1454897360429932552":{"id":"1454897360429932552","date":"2021-10-31 19:45:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I also wonder if @Noahpinion might have interesting things to say about this.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1454896792802267140","reply_id":"1454896805183832068","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1454897360429932552","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1883919714415698335":{"id":"1883919714415698335","date":"2025-01-27 16:47:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"They were experts in reinforcement learning (GRPO specifically) all along!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1883919714415698335","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3119,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1883919714415698335","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1632931055920615426":{"id":"1632931055920615426","date":"2023-03-07 02:27:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Welp, it finally happened.\n\nMy kid's 9th grade math teacher: \"Look, you don't need to know why it works. Just plug into the quadratic formula, show your work, and you'll get the marks.\"\n\nI thank God every day for Art Of Problem Solving.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632931055920615426","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":159,"retweets":1,"replies":20,"quotes":0,"views":32468,"bookmarks":25,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632931055920615426","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1854138186387055023":{"id":"1854138186387055023","date":"2024-11-06 12:26:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Everyone's dunking on pollsters, rightly so, but let's be real:\n\nPrediction markets did terribly too (though not as terribly).\n\nYou're saying elections are *so* unknowable that a massive win like this was only knowable 24hrs prior to a 60% probability?\n\n🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1854138186387055023","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1854492845928743261","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":123,"retweets":2,"replies":13,"quotes":3,"views":19454,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1854138186387055023","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1129354725076426753":{"id":"1129354725076426753","date":"2019-05-17 11:55:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Another one. RIP unicorns (2009-2019): turns out public markets are kinda useful after all. #ipo #unicorns #pinterest #uber #lyft\nhttps://www.wsj.com/articles/pinterest-shares-fall-after-hours-following-post-ipo-earnings-report-11558039900","hashtags":["ipo","unicorns","pinterest","uber","lyft"],"conv":"1129354725076426753","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1129354725076426753","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1559388089901928448":{"id":"1559388089901928448","date":"2022-08-16 03:54:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The only sensible mental model for writing code in Python:\n\nThink of it as syntactic sugar on top of fast libraries written in real languages.\n\nIf you're doing any meaningful work at the Python level, you're probably just making a mistake.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1559388089901928448","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":119,"retweets":2,"replies":15,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":22,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1559388089901928448","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1470481105207762947":{"id":"1470481105207762947","date":"2021-12-13 19:49:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm It's fine. Distance runners do it in order to load up on RBCs. Sleep high, train low. Flagstaff for example.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1470480381723951110","reply_id":"1470480775183273988","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1470481105207762947","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1920732690665427449":{"id":"1920732690665427449","date":"2025-05-09 06:48:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@waltuuuhr Haha, it's cool. Obv there are ways for VCs to make money on non-exchange crypto plays. Sadly they often involve shady token issuance though.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1920705401110098162","reply_id":"1920728560265769246","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"waltuuuhr","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":161,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1920732690665427449","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1710348034230587553":{"id":"1710348034230587553","date":"2023-10-06 17:35:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@W98AB Can someone Dalle3 a Face/Off movie poster but with CZ and SBF?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1710346364092371096","reply_id":"1710347446482608392","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"W98AB","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":129,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1710348034230587553","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1536195520334635009":{"id":"1536195520334635009","date":"2022-06-13 03:55:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@longskew FWIW the fall of 2008 felt exactly like this in tradfi. Only much more terrifying obviously. Those were real banks.\n\nIt's not like it's a crypto-only thing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536193541633978368","reply_id":"1536193948049240064","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1536195520334635009","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1734411581398896652":{"id":"1734411581398896652","date":"2023-12-12 03:15:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ScottPh77711570 Retail trades too big almost always.\n\nFor example, you should probably *never* put more than 5% of your liquid capital into any one trade. And even that only very rarely. A biggish trade should probably be 2-3% of capital.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1734372182938325052","reply_id":"1734372182938325052","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ScottPh77711570","likes":31,"retweets":2,"replies":8,"quotes":3,"views":9940,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1734411581398896652","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1549974126554521605":{"id":"1549974126554521605","date":"2022-07-21 04:26:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Dr_P_S_Gill All of the above.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1549963630610829314","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1549974126554521605","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1735524832740307070":{"id":"1735524832740307070","date":"2023-12-15 04:58:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Reminder to everyone that an impostor @AgustinLebron33 is still out there, apparently DMing people.\n\nTwitter still hasn't done shit about it, unsurprisingly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1735524832740307070","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":3298,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1735524832740307070","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1633158916753494016":{"id":"1633158916753494016","date":"2023-03-07 17:33:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@matt_levine : national treasure.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633158916753494016","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"matt_levine","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":932,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1633158916753494016_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633158916753494016","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1561907686660222976":{"id":"1561907686660222976","date":"2022-08-23 02:46:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @mpp75214 @Cereal_Intern @MisuaRaboki Fun huh?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1411890038938345472","reply_id":"1561907630016450560","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1561907686660222976","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2041598425867641247":{"id":"2041598425867641247","date":"2026-04-07 19:26:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Talk about burying the lede. No more frontier models for y'all. The good stuff stays internal from now on.\nhttps://www.anthropic.com/glasswing","hashtags":[],"conv":"2041598425867641247","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":158,"retweets":7,"replies":9,"quotes":5,"views":33997,"bookmarks":20,"media":["2041598425867641247_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2041598425867641247","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1523824027206225920":{"id":"1523824027206225920","date":"2022-05-10 00:35:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Everyone holding their breath right now.\n\nIs this it? Can I call the bottom? Should I tweet it? How does the delete feature work anyway?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1523824027206225920","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":30,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1523824027206225920","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1346863604130201602":{"id":"1346863604130201602","date":"2021-01-06 16:58:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"38/ Problem 1: what's the deal with those zeros?\n\nThose are strikes that, while they're *listed*, don't have real markets. So we need to strip those strikes out.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346863601185742848","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1346863604130201602_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346863604130201602","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1936353787163087173":{"id":"1936353787163087173","date":"2025-06-21 09:21:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Missing Billionaires by @ElmWealth is great.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1936353787163087173","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3666,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1936353787163087173","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1680368897957203968":{"id":"1680368897957203968","date":"2023-07-16 00:08:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HighPlainsWY @darjohn25 There's a guy I play with who's had status on the KFT. Never seen him shoot higher than 70 on our 75.0/139 course. Usually in the 65-68 range, a couple of 63s and 62s.\n\nHe lost his status.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1680301480098578432","reply_id":"1680368259340845056","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HighPlainsWY","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":36,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1680368897957203968","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1491160232956809219":{"id":"1491160232956809219","date":"2022-02-08 21:21:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@leakyalpha @darjohn25 Some obvious ones:\n- SpaceX\n- Netflix\n\nLess well-known:\n- Flock Freight (newly minted unicorn here in SD) is getting there...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1491150199028600832","reply_id":"1491157572648599553","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"leakyalpha","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1491160232956809219","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1757874543191019869":{"id":"1757874543191019869","date":"2024-02-14 21:08:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sukhoiConvexity @experquisite The unmitigated worthlessness.\n\nMy dream is to make enough money to burn it all building a system that puts recruiters out of business. It can be done!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1757872242606711277","reply_id":"1757872488585781587","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sukhoiConvexity","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":129,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1757874543191019869","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1300470405031886850":{"id":"1300470405031886850","date":"2020-08-31 16:28:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SimonDeDeo Trying to steelman modern VC ideas/execution dualism, we could say that Graham et all are arguing:\n\n(a) there are many people with ideas that amount to nothing, and\n(b) if you're good at execution ideas are the least of your concerns.\n\nIt's dualism where one thing is unimportant.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1300458352355553281","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1300470405031886850","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1377999096963735555":{"id":"1377999096963735555","date":"2021-04-02 14:59:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"10/\nC: Crypto isn't a long-term solution to almost anything important.\n\nB: The signal-to-noise problem makes it almost impossible for even the smartest most-well-motivated retail person to make $ trading.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377999087644012544","reply_id":"1377999095999041538","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1377999096963735555","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1792582815978082682":{"id":"1792582815978082682","date":"2024-05-20 15:47:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@volatilitynoob I don't doubt it's more comfortable. The normal cycling position is... well...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1792581814860550601","reply_id":"1792582510607577327","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"volatilitynoob","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":220,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1792582815978082682_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1792582815978082682","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1361371699321577473":{"id":"1361371699321577473","date":"2021-02-15 17:48:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@realBubbaDubba The question of how and how often to hedge your detlas has a large literature. It's kind of a tough optimization problem because of costs, market impact, risk, etc.\n\nThe bibliography in this paper is useful:\n\nhttps://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378426617301085\n\n(use Sci-Hub obv)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1361337871894867969","reply_id":"1361361552193028100","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"A__Florida__Man","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1361371699321577473","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1708672632789631092":{"id":"1708672632789631092","date":"2023-10-02 02:37:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@welltypedwitch Often your monad has its own mapper.\n\nhttp://Deferred.List.map for example in Async.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1708467265320931571","reply_id":"1708467265320931571","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"welltypedwitch","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":281,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1708672632789631092","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1487234497535873025":{"id":"1487234497535873025","date":"2022-01-29 01:21:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ALBACapMgmt It's almost as if they have a vested interest in not wiring $ to that particular entity...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1487231454262480897","reply_id":"1487231454262480897","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ALBACapMgmt","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1487234497535873025","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1791472244113412179":{"id":"1791472244113412179","date":"2024-05-17 14:14:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Being from Texas, he should have known better.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1791456122374599011","reply_id":"1791456122374599011","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":165,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1791472244113412179","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1732143219717353975":{"id":"1732143219717353975","date":"2023-12-05 21:01:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brettharrison If my hypothesis is right, the lack of GC VIX is driven by insufficiently liquid GC options markets.\n\nAnd I think that makes sense, a bit? The universe of people who want to buy insurance on ES is OOM larger than the one for gold or crude. Right?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1732132770984624129","reply_id":"1732140491972718723","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BrettHarrison","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":154,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1732143219717353975","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2010280516868546755":{"id":"2010280516868546755","date":"2026-01-11 09:19:59","author":"Sid Prabhu","handle":"sidprabhu","text":"RT @sidprabhu: Public sector employee unions are a menace to society.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2010280516868546755","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2010137511809663356","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":8,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/sidprabhu/status/2010280516868546755"},"1538883640079228929":{"id":"1538883640079228929","date":"2022-06-20 13:57:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 I've had this experience a few times. It's \"uhhh, where do begin?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1538883150847176704","reply_id":"1538883306338414594","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1538883640079228929","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1434933185259859969":{"id":"1434933185259859969","date":"2021-09-06 17:35:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lightspringfox @mdudas Strongly considering it over here.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434868593834004485","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434933185259859969","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1621616852387627009":{"id":"1621616852387627009","date":"2023-02-03 21:09:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I'm steadily discovering that\n\nintersection(really knows cryptography, can write production code)\n\nis rather small.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1621616852387627009","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":41,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":8174,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1621616852387627009","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1460057018757103618":{"id":"1460057018757103618","date":"2021-11-15 01:28:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SecPerkinsStan @ryxcommar Wow, that's a long and interesting conversation to have.\n\nThe incentive structure around creating truly new things is pretty much broken almost everywhere today.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1460050980821561346","reply_id":"1460056255268106253","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SecPerkinsStan","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1460057018757103618","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1507900753435762690":{"id":"1507900753435762690","date":"2022-03-27 02:02:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@impliedcaracal Golf. Recently tennis.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507898551719792646","reply_id":"1507900623785803782","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"impliedcaracal","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507900753435762690","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1716836514716635472":{"id":"1716836514716635472","date":"2023-10-24 15:18:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@yieldcurvepro \"How much data to use\" includes holdout sets and stuff. \"How much to look back\" is more about how much to average over.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1716833285912084803","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":315,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1716836514716635472","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1849941777505280345":{"id":"1849941777505280345","date":"2024-10-25 22:31:04","author":"Gary Basin","handle":"garybasin","text":"Computer programmers in 2024","hashtags":[],"conv":"1849941777505280345","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1850090568279269579","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":2,"views":4497,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/garybasin/status/1849941777505280345"},"1437113908620259331":{"id":"1437113908620259331","date":"2021-09-12 18:00:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@volmagorov I like my calculus the old fashioned way. With fluxions.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1437110543526006789","reply_id":"1437110543526006789","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"volmagorov","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1437113908620259331","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2028376229288501753":{"id":"2028376229288501753","date":"2026-03-02 07:45:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What does 21st century world history look like if NBC hadn't greenlit Mark Burnett's reality show starring a washed-up casino owner?\n\nSurely the most important artistic decision since that Austrian art school rejected a certain scrawny applicant 100 yrs before.\n\nAsk LLMs in 2099.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2028376229288501753","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":99,"retweets":4,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":8893,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2028376229288501753","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1698134330940469545":{"id":"1698134330940469545","date":"2023-09-03 00:42:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Alex De Minaur really is peak pusher.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1698134330940469545","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2079,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1698134330940469545","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1418395597959168016":{"id":"1418395597959168016","date":"2021-07-23 02:20:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SqueezeMetrics @KrisAbdelmessih This is Darwinian evolution at its finest. Companies that can manage hybrid will do great, the others will just... die.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1418391066353537028","reply_id":"1418394130548416517","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SqueezeMetrics","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1418395597959168016","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1798871655672123756":{"id":"1798871655672123756","date":"2024-06-07 00:16:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @CJHandmer The founders or the atoms?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1798866640538624199","reply_id":"1798867205800743140","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":248,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1798871655672123756","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1946537317335777435":{"id":"1946537317335777435","date":"2025-07-19 11:47:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FredSchmidt4 Humanoid robots need houses?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946518179569651763","reply_id":"1946537094723010836","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FredSchmidt4","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2173,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946537317335777435","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1492537591337390081":{"id":"1492537591337390081","date":"2022-02-12 16:34:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HangukQuant A priori I wouldn't look for this in a book.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1492485884398419969","reply_id":"1492485884398419969","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HangukQuant","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1492537591337390081","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2012249299682312608":{"id":"2012249299682312608","date":"2026-01-16 19:43:13","author":"Adam Butler","handle":"GestaltU","text":"RT @GestaltU: By 2027, the few of us who haven't been completely zombified by IQ200 AI coded advertising guided brain-rot will look back on 2024-2025 as one of the most incredibly empowering, liberating, and generative periods in human history. Advertising is how the AI industry seeks to strip-mine the human psyche to pay for their galactically stupid made-up arms-race.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2012249299682312608","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2012235985308782818","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/GestaltU/status/2012249299682312608"},"1625664189413920768":{"id":"1625664189413920768","date":"2023-02-15 01:12:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Abeblingcoln Google Sheets? 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1625585419294478336","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":101,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1625664189413920768","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1301320563361685504":{"id":"1301320563361685504","date":"2020-09-03 00:46:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Now we get monstrosities like GPT-3, trained on basically *all* of the Web (!), and the modal response around the world is:\n\n\"What if we gave it EVEN MORE data and made it EVEN BIGGER?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1301320562493460481","reply_id":"1301320562493460481","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1301320563361685504","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1544437179304120325":{"id":"1544437179304120325","date":"2022-07-05 21:44:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames I'll admit that I once succeeded at \"do complex deep learning to predict prices of liquid instruments\".\n\nBut it was a hollow victory for deep ML in the sense that the features we gave it were pretty alpha-y.\n\nI.e. yes it did better than linear-ish models but not by tons.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1544425285268844544","reply_id":"1544436648796008448","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":14,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1544437179304120325","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1501731574412300288":{"id":"1501731574412300288","date":"2022-03-10 01:28:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @NotQuiteMidlife Feels like I'm filling up with a grand cru!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501727275967934467","reply_id":"1501731299962531840","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501731574412300288","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1861764458856513766":{"id":"1861764458856513766","date":"2024-11-27 13:30:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 Nice huh?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1861670536335761457","reply_id":"1861762057399681198","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":127,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1861764458856513766","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1340138744750338048":{"id":"1340138744750338048","date":"2020-12-19 03:35:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_____Momin @Suhail Look, no one knows what the IP agreement is between AAPL and ARM except them.\n\nBut for sure M1 is an ARM-based processor. They're probably doing high-impact tinkering at the edges to optimize for their HW/SW stack.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1340067123729629184","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1340138744750338048","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2012577412186284440":{"id":"2012577412186284440","date":"2026-01-17 17:27:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The WHOLE point is for them to become the layer between you and the world, between you and your family, your friends.\n\nThen strategically construct the world you perceive.\n\nAt that point, it's not even fair to call them ads. It's just... reality for you.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2012576442379276550","reply_id":"2012577410433118543","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":34,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":2,"views":4979,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2012577412186284440","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1487222063030886401":{"id":"1487222063030886401","date":"2022-01-29 00:32:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This. \"You can't Google in this interview.\"\n\nWhy the f not?\n\nIf allow it and get to see what you're Googling, I get incredibly more signal.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1487222063030886401","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":30,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1487222063030886401","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2077448253902098581":{"id":"2077448253902098581","date":"2026-07-15 17:40:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2. The notion that \"well maybe it's ok because no meaningful open distributed training runs seem to be happening anyway\" fails to anticipate a fairly obvious reaction to a blanket ban on open weight models.\n\nToday, open weight models are taking oxygen from distributed runs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2077448246570504529","reply_id":"2077448252077625402","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":43,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4767,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2077448253902098581","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1955216787739439237":{"id":"1955216787739439237","date":"2025-08-12 10:36:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Basically.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1955216787739439237","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":4,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":21699,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1955216787739439237","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1486413626068004868":{"id":"1486413626068004868","date":"2022-01-26 18:59:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"8/ CEO: \"Lemme guess, it's like marketing?\"\n\n\"Not exactly. Check your card.\"\n\nCEO: \"It says 1 SEO + 2 Google Ads = 1000 units of consumers.\"\n\n\"The other card.\"\n\nCEO: \"1 well-connected former employee + 1 high-status industry veteran = 1 enterprise sale.\"\n\n\"That's the one.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486413617582927874","reply_id":"1486413624868589571","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1486413626068004868","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2051918736664187118":{"id":"2051918736664187118","date":"2026-05-06 06:55:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The thing is, I'm willing to bet he doesn't even believe his own shit.\n\nShow him a developmentally disabled child, I doubt he'd force the kid to start learning times tables in lockstep with gen pop.\n\nThese \"philosophies\" are ever and always about holding back smart kids.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2051912393765102004","reply_id":"2051912534513402291","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1258,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2051918736664187118","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1275812888721059841":{"id":"1275812888721059841","date":"2020-06-24 15:27:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"For everyone looking at today's NYT poll and dancing on the current POTUS's electoral grave:\n\nNov 3 is 133 days away.\n133 days ago was Feb 12.\n\nJust sayin'.\n\nKind of a lot can happen in 4 months...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1275812888721059841","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1275812888721059841","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2034629939891171806":{"id":"2034629939891171806","date":"2026-03-19 13:55:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So many cautionary tales, most stay silent.\nSome don't, and credit to them. Every bit helps.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2034629939891171806","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":40,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":6414,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2034629939891171806","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1287117966325080064":{"id":"1287117966325080064","date":"2020-07-25 20:10:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"0. Fumbling around in the dark.\n\nMost people stay here forever, and even those who progress past this level still revert to it with annoying frequency. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1287117746178646017","reply_id":"1287117746178646017","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1287117966325080064","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1272240478159638528":{"id":"1272240478159638528","date":"2020-06-14 18:52:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0x49fa98 For all you new #robinhood traders out there, I talk about this exact thing in my book on trading:\n\nThe more statements of the form \"I am the kind of person who...\" you feel you must satisfy, the more ways the market and its participants can attack you and get your money.","hashtags":["robinhood"],"conv":"1272180537541656577","reply_id":"1272181525564530688","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0x49fa98","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1272240478159638528","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1867451459333501016":{"id":"1867451459333501016","date":"2024-12-13 06:08:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0x94305 Keep pulling on the \"slow maker\" thread. That's almost all your model needs to show that it's possible to lose $ as the maker even if takers are uninformed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1867298783165305134","reply_id":"1867364322827252118","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0x94305","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":506,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1867451459333501016","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1429911317456949248":{"id":"1429911317456949248","date":"2021-08-23 20:59:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames I would add \"something new and a bit scary, and you understand the risk picture better than many of your more conservative competitors\".\n\nI ain't saying crypto, but I ain't saying not-crypto.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1429873579475161094","reply_id":"1429909357685207042","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1429911317456949248","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1388490918571896835":{"id":"1388490918571896835","date":"2021-05-01 13:50:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LouStagner https://x.com/ClubProGuy/status/1387403208839114755","hashtags":[],"conv":"1388489589069910032","reply_id":"1388489589069910032","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"LouStagner","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1388490918571896835","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1732063549160403385":{"id":"1732063549160403385","date":"2023-12-05 15:45:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nearcyan One small step closer...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1732061376032690509","reply_id":"1732062172258443694","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nearcyan","likes":100,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":14350,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1732063549160403385_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1732063549160403385","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1943322336100282545":{"id":"1943322336100282545","date":"2025-07-10 14:52:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@R_Besel @viscondegrego @spotgamma 401k, Roth, etc in the US.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943280522756591979","reply_id":"1943322201815396727","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"R_Besel","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2801,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1943322336100282545","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1481307566781075459":{"id":"1481307566781075459","date":"2022-01-12 16:50:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@kchoudhu Socks. Shoes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481224498682732544","reply_id":"1481224498682732544","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"kchoudhu","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1481307566781075459","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1585377462598320128":{"id":"1585377462598320128","date":"2022-10-26 21:06:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Catch a falling knife\" applied to a $350B company is... new.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1585377462598320128","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1585377462598320128","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1481482146682314754":{"id":"1481482146682314754","date":"2022-01-13 04:24:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@forwardrate @FREAK0NAUT @therobotjames @Buy_The_Dip_ @vixologist @kchoudhu The Idea Factory is awesome for this sort of stuff.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481302561592422402","reply_id":"1481482050649542656","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1481482146682314754","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1280938835556175872":{"id":"1280938835556175872","date":"2020-07-08 18:56:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@violetblue \"Move fast and break things.\"\n\nThen move slow after you broke them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1280924838853410817","reply_id":"1280924838853410817","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"violetblue","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1280938835556175872","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1433522189404303370":{"id":"1433522189404303370","date":"2021-09-02 20:08:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @KrisAbdelmessih @matt_levine 2 months later: \"So how's the magic internet money gambling going?\"\n\n\"Can't talk. Trading apes. And rocks. Well, images of them. Pixel art really.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1433517108638322697","reply_id":"1433521373305991187","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1433522189404303370","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1368694070281867266":{"id":"1368694070281867266","date":"2021-03-07 22:44:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@p3pepee Because in sports betting, bets are atomic things. The result of the game you bet on closes out your bet automatically.\n\nIn financial markets, there isn't that finality. It's a continuous thing so you're forced to think about when to close the bet. That's when the trouble starts.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1363876629550800901","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1368694070281867266","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1846867204739875218":{"id":"1846867204739875218","date":"2024-10-17 10:53:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Incredibly boring 98% of the time.\n\nTerrifying the other 2%.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1846867204739875218","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":163,"retweets":9,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":15881,"bookmarks":21,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1846867204739875218","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1857334640417108406":{"id":"1857334640417108406","date":"2024-11-15 08:07:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Listening to some friends talk abt the decision-making at their struggling startups.\n\nGood cos and bad cos are different in kind. Bad cos are bad because of lots of small bad decisions every day. Good ones opposite.\n\nCompounds over time. Makes them as different as alive vs dead.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1857334640417108406","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2712,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1857334640417108406","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1594932920065531904":{"id":"1594932920065531904","date":"2022-11-22 05:56:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 @be20684347 @therobotjames Depends who you're targeting.\n\nDon't make a resume that appeals to everyone.\nThen you appeal to no one.\nMake the resume that appeals to the people you're interested in. Target mercilessly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1594914937494974466","reply_id":"1594927548248772608","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1594932920065531904","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1512065680165662727":{"id":"1512065680165662727","date":"2022-04-07 13:52:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano @theemilyaccount It wouldn't because the Masters is unrelated to the PGA. You see...\n\nThe PGA is the Professional Golfers Association, which is largely the organization for club professionals across the country.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1512062602074996738","reply_id":"1512062602074996738","quote_id":"1512067339793051662","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1512065680165662727","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1926000937702764635":{"id":"1926000937702764635","date":"2025-05-23 19:43:01","author":"fabian","handle":"fabianstelzer","text":"Here's my \"Dark Leisure\" theory of any potential productivity paradox in AI:\n\n- most AI use rn is bottom up and hidden (employee first, not company first): employees vibe code, vibe market, vibe write and get stuff done faster\n\n- in many orgs, there is too little incentive to pass on these productivity gains by telling your manager: \"i found this neat tool that lets me do 8h of work in 3h! give me more work!\"\n\nyes, some ambitious folks do and get promotions through this, but most ppl aren't ambitious and just want to be left alone\n\n- instead, those, say, 5 extra hours become \"Dark Leisure\": browsing the web, X, reddit, sports, etc\n\nWill these companies eventually get replaced by other companies? yes, but that process will take longer than folks in our bubble expect","hashtags":[],"conv":"1926000937702764635","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1926679083196297573","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":552,"retweets":50,"replies":30,"quotes":29,"views":77066,"bookmarks":223,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/fabianstelzer/status/1926000937702764635"},"1412605984543940615":{"id":"1412605984543940615","date":"2021-07-07 02:54:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @saanglee >500k people follow Peter Brandt. So...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1412584152919162881","reply_id":"1412602060504174592","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1412605984543940615","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1409161220498903050":{"id":"1409161220498903050","date":"2021-06-27 14:46:30","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"Permalink to:\n\nGetting Less Screwed On Comp\n\nhttps://moontowermeta.com/getting-less-screwed-on-compensation/\n\nclickbait excerpt:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1409161220498903050","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1409279086346702849","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":71,"retweets":7,"replies":5,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":17,"media":["1409161220498903050_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1409161220498903050"},"1473132928771129346":{"id":"1473132928771129346","date":"2021-12-21 03:27:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's not a philosophical framework.\n\nIt's a database technology.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1473132928771129346","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":50,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1473132928771129346","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1443951380717178881":{"id":"1443951380717178881","date":"2021-10-01 14:50:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"8/ The value of a trade or strategy or idea is inversely proportional to the number of people who know about it.\n\nSo, why pay attention to finance papers?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443951372580229123","reply_id":"1443951379484008457","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":25,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1443951380717178881","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1773705020598579478":{"id":"1773705020598579478","date":"2024-03-29 13:33:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @quantytrader @DeepDishEnjoyer @bubbleboi @sagarjainmp Exactly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1773456147309334555","reply_id":"1773577836403519606","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":374,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1773705020598579478","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1940641918259810418":{"id":"1940641918259810418","date":"2025-07-03 05:21:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Optimism is human capital.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1940641918259810418","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":17,"quotes":0,"views":4091,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1940641918259810418","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1982541061781422422":{"id":"1982541061781422422","date":"2025-10-26 20:13:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin @systematicls Also: not using someone else's data, you're going to have a looong time and possibly also a bad time. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1982441975065514446","reply_id":"1982510446952489125","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":102,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1982541061781422422","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1157024823224049665":{"id":"1157024823224049665","date":"2019-08-01 20:26:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @ReformedTrader It's almost as if it's a priced risk factor...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1156957934573588480","reply_id":"1157020469217959937","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1157024823224049665","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1620904538147553280":{"id":"1620904538147553280","date":"2023-02-01 21:58:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lightspringfox","hashtags":[],"conv":"1620882039863148544","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1182,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1620904538147553280_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1620904538147553280","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1621293110360952832":{"id":"1621293110360952832","date":"2023-02-02 23:42:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LouStagner @manofgolf72 @practicalgolf Do one with impact sound only next. I bet you get at least as good a signal. Much harder to fake solid contact than a picture perfect swing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1621183865455841280","reply_id":"1621220016950595587","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"LouStagner","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":231,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1621293110360952832","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1765460031703810499":{"id":"1765460031703810499","date":"2024-03-06 19:30:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"PGATour players have mastered the art of speaking to each other in a voice such that a random person 10ft away would have a hard time believing any conversation was taking place at all.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1765460031703810499","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1765,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1765460031703810499","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1516096374877540359":{"id":"1516096374877540359","date":"2022-04-18 16:48:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily I wouldn't trust an options greek I didn't calculate myself. The devil is in a thousand implementation details.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1515919984123265025","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1516096374877540359","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2069125032714948707":{"id":"2069125032714948707","date":"2026-06-22 18:27:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This \"united\" Federation of planets you speak of. It sure seems to be run by *one* of those planets...","hashtags":[],"conv":"2069125032714948707","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2697,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2069125032714948707","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1603075524469096448":{"id":"1603075524469096448","date":"2022-12-14 17:12:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"These are some hilarious implied correlations.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1603075524469096448","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1603075524469096448","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1488916205184241665":{"id":"1488916205184241665","date":"2022-02-02 16:44:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih Ain't no free alpha out there. There are two kinds of +EV trades:\n\n1. The ones that you have a personal and differentiating hand in executing.\n2. The ones that are inaccessible to you.\n\nThere's no third category.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1488914281609383940","reply_id":"1488915646683308035","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1488916205184241665","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1448341963044839427":{"id":"1448341963044839427","date":"2021-10-13 17:36:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"7/ So far this is all obvious, and it's also obvious that they select based on perceived interest (clicks, viewers, etc). But that doesn't help us yet.\n\nThe key question: \"How do (perceived) probabilities affect story selection?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448341956841533442","reply_id":"1448341961887260677","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448341963044839427","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1283949236644483072":{"id":"1283949236644483072","date":"2020-07-17 02:18:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jordanwrong1 @SinclairEuan @KrisAbdelmessih Can you leg into some call spreads on adjacent lines so that you're not just getting short vega/gamma naked?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1282702235583954945","reply_id":"1283948833110503424","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1283949236644483072","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2063869356417638409":{"id":"2063869356417638409","date":"2026-06-08 06:22:54","author":"Dwarkesh Patel","handle":"dwarkesh_sp","text":"RT @dwarkesh_sp: In medieval times, within the arms race of ever more demonic torture devices, some sadistic genius came up with the idea of the Little Ease.\n\nThis was a prison cell built so small in every dimension that a grown man could not stand upright in it nor lie down at full length nor properly sit.\n\nThe pain is relentless and without relief and inflicted by one's own body. Prisoners were known to go insane within a few days. A stay at the Little Ease was considered even more cruel than the rack, the thumbscrew, and the other ghoulish machinery of the Tower of London.\n\nA breeding pig will spend her whole life in a version of that box.\n\nThese are social, roaming creatures (more intelligent than dogs) who will never leave this corset of steel.\n\nThey have been selectively bred to be bigger than their frames can support. Yet we put them in cells so confined that they cannot comfortably sit, and their attempts to do so (for example, by sneaking their limbs into adjacent stalls) reliably lead to fractures and sprains.\n\nThey cannot sweat, yet have nothing to roll around in to cool themselves off. Except their own manure, which (contrary to the common misconception) they are so averse to (thanks to their strong sense of smell) that new sows will often suffer from constipation to avoid soiling the space from which they eat and sleep.\n\nHere is how the writer Matthew Scully described what saw at one of Smithfield’s “gestation barn”:\n\n> “Sores, tumors, ulcers, pus pockets, lesions, cysts, bruises, torn ears, swollen legs everywhere. Roaring, groaning, tail biting, fighting, and other “Vices,” as they’re called in the industry. Frenzied chewing on bars and chains, stereotypical “vacuum” chewing on nothing at all, stereotypical rooting and nest building with imaginary straw. And “social defeat,” lots of it, in every third or fourth stall some completely broken being you know is alive only because she blinks and stares up at you … creatures beyond the power of pity to help or indifference to make more miserable, dead to the world except as heaps of flesh into which the [insemination] rod may be stuck once more and more flesh reproduced.”\n\n—\n\nThe Save Our Bacon Act is trying to unroll the few state protections we have against this barbaric cruelty - for example California’s Prop 12 - which banned the sale of pork from pigs kept in gestation crates.\n\nIt’s incredibly important we don’t end up with this sort of federal preemption.\n\nSOB will not only kill the most important animal welfare related laws in the US of the past decade, but more importantly, it will also restrict ALL future legislative progress (aka how the animal welfare movement has gotten its biggest wins).\n\nThe Senate is currently deciding whether to add the SOB Act to the Farm Bill.\n\nWith relatively little money now, we can discourage the most pivotal senators in the Ag committee from backing this amendment.\n\nDefeating this bill is even more important given the amount of philanthropic funding I expect to come online in the next year or two.\n\nIt will plausibly be over 10x more expensive to repeal SOB than to prevent it from passing in the first place.\n\nAll that money that could be spent transforming our society's relationship to mass animal suffering will instead have to be spent just getting us back to where we are right now.\n\nThat's why money spent now fighting this bill (and I mean right NOW) is so effective.\n\nIf you’re in a position to donate six figures, please DM me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2063869356417638409","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2063753306296746276","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":764,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/2063869356417638409"},"1372269860919517184":{"id":"1372269860919517184","date":"2021-03-17 19:33:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@volmagorov @KrisAbdelmessih Negative vols? No big deal, just means imaginary prices.\n\nAnd complex stochastic differential equations.\nBasics of trading, really.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1372206478270984193","reply_id":"1372258027252899853","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"volmagorov","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1372269860919517184","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1623820569593675776":{"id":"1623820569593675776","date":"2023-02-09 23:06:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@longskew Don't tell the DOJ.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1623808708659617793","reply_id":"1623808708659617793","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"longskew","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":591,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1623820569593675776","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1976686320463569133":{"id":"1976686320463569133","date":"2025-10-10 16:28:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@hedge815987 Much less as a percentage than on prediction markets. You realize US equities are around $600 billion a day, right?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1976645088433656219","reply_id":"1976683979416957267","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"hedge815987","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":363,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1976686320463569133","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1522800994693701632":{"id":"1522800994693701632","date":"2022-05-07 04:50:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"... From both they got a quality product -- much better than if they had had to do their soldiering and potting themselves...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1522800993259249665","reply_id":"1522800993259249665","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1522800994693701632","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1372731067635953664":{"id":"1372731067635953664","date":"2021-03-19 02:06:05","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"If a 5-year-old can't understand why a trading edge would make money, it's probably nonsense\n\n\"I give impatient traders the ability to buy or sell immediately, at a premium.\" <-- 5yo test passed\n\n\"I trade MACD divergences in an uptrend\" <-- 5yo: \"why would you get paid for that?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1372731067635953664","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1372731736749051907","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":93,"retweets":12,"replies":1,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":39,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1372731067635953664"},"1567611641231179776":{"id":"1567611641231179776","date":"2022-09-07 20:31:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @NicoPollari @therobotjames @snoopy_mev @HFTBread @sasuke___420 @cryptohound666 @witchqueendot Marlo still scares me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1567346642105286656","reply_id":"1567610651853443072","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1567611641231179776","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1867298783165305134":{"id":"1867298783165305134","date":"2024-12-12 20:01:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Today I noticed for the first time a big difference between the discourse on finance Twitter compared conversations at the good prop firms.\n\nI think people might be surprised how much time is spent at the latter discussing toy models of the world.\n\n🧵","hashtags":[],"conv":"1867298783165305134","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":206,"retweets":15,"replies":4,"quotes":5,"views":36006,"bookmarks":196,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1867298783165305134","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1406690857437208577":{"id":"1406690857437208577","date":"2021-06-20 19:10:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Interacting with Lapack still gives me the warm fuzzies.\n\nSolving linear systems is literally the reason programmable computers were invented in the first place.\n\nThat and solving diff eqs, but that just reduces to solving Ax=B a bunch of times anyway.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1406690857437208577","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1406690857437208577","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1792609270443520425":{"id":"1792609270443520425","date":"2024-05-20 17:32:09","author":"tyler hogge","handle":"thogge","text":"one of my favorite poker stats.\n\nthere is an EXTREME power law across poker hands.\n\nhalf of all profits come from either AA, KK, QQ, JJ, or AKs. 50%!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1792609270443520425","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1792663132319650231","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1842,"retweets":106,"replies":38,"quotes":40,"views":1020830,"bookmarks":1174,"media":["1792609270443520425_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/thogge/status/1792609270443520425"},"1263511874076721153":{"id":"1263511874076721153","date":"2020-05-21 16:48:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @AlexLachance11 @ArturSepp Short vol Taleb. Someone has to create that Twitter account.\n\n\"Hey everyone! Everything is always fine. Hey, look at all that premo just sitting there...\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1263373006098911233","reply_id":"1263511302292541440","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1263511874076721153","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1783528441704538315":{"id":"1783528441704538315","date":"2024-04-25 16:08:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bubbleboi It's a summer internship for the future chattering classes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1783517567820169294","reply_id":"1783517567820169294","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bubbleboi","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":113,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1783528441704538315","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1944060716295893233":{"id":"1944060716295893233","date":"2025-07-12 15:46:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"People saying the Windsurf deal is \"just like an acquisition\" because they'll get licensing dividends apparently have no idea how startups work. 🧵","hashtags":[],"conv":"1944060716295893233","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1944268725013598248","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":118,"retweets":8,"replies":5,"quotes":2,"views":24992,"bookmarks":59,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1944060716295893233","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1503507932960288773":{"id":"1503507932960288773","date":"2022-03-14 23:06:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames You providing the venue? :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503490626418974721","reply_id":"1503490991831285763","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1503507932960288773","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1690032240460455936":{"id":"1690032240460455936","date":"2023-08-11 16:07:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@abiylfoyp Rule #1 of quality interviewing is that simulating the actual job is going to get you the best signal.\n\nThat would suggest the answer to your question is \"when the LLM can do the job at least as well as the candidate or their manager\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1690031218920718337","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":95,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1690032240460455936","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1476925478074077185":{"id":"1476925478074077185","date":"2021-12-31 14:37:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"12/ By far the scarcest resource in the Web3 world seems to be competent people to write, read, review, and audit smart contract code.\n\nWhy aren't all the whales who want to grow the ecosystem dumping a lot of $ into training new devs?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476925464824270848","reply_id":"1476925476832645121","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476925478074077185","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1976978707672920286":{"id":"1976978707672920286","date":"2025-10-11 11:50:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@robinhanson @TheStalwart Maybe it's a failure of imagination (or knowledge) on my part, but that doesn't sound like any (meaningful) two-sided market I've ever seen.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1976666710012055868","reply_id":"1976974212595417310","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"robinhanson","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":82,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1976978707672920286","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2037240911017427389":{"id":"2037240911017427389","date":"2026-03-26 18:50:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"VCs and investors really need to understand public financial markets, trading, etc a *lot* better than they do.\n\nHaving done \"Quant Trading 101\" for a few tier 1 VC partners over the years, including one recently, I've gotten decent at finding the holes in their understanding.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2037240911017427389","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":133,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":2,"views":26319,"bookmarks":80,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2037240911017427389","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1471964638661300232":{"id":"1471964638661300232","date":"2021-12-17 22:04:52","author":"experquisite","handle":"experquisite","text":"@therobotjames @AgustinLebron3 Just be careful selling around major news rugs or your yield might be impermanent","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471933700573069317","reply_id":"1471963819836469248","quote_id":"1471964746387574786","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/experquisite/status/1471964638661300232"},"1384529157401444354":{"id":"1384529157401444354","date":"2021-04-20 15:27:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames 3. Yeah, you could look in crypto land. But this is a pretty obvious trade so I'd be surprised a newcomer with no experience with microstructure could find an edge.\n\n4. That said, liq demand doesn't mean \"ms-long dip\". It can also mean big institutionals shifting $ over days.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1384525674317328386","reply_id":"1384528713702772736","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1384529157401444354","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1593068921216593921":{"id":"1593068921216593921","date":"2022-11-17 02:30:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal That's actually almost 100% wrong.\n\nIt's probably worth reading some probability textbooks. Work through some problems.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1593068285364686848","reply_id":"1593068285364686848","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1593068921216593921","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1793635681807544700":{"id":"1793635681807544700","date":"2024-05-23 13:30:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount There's also \"I like to play reactionary golf\" in the sense of reacting athletically to the situation (lie/shot/wind/etc).\n\nGary Koch likes to \"utilize the slope\" a lot.\n\nJohnny Miller called bad shots \"skanky\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1793630961592361430","reply_id":"1793630961592361430","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":220,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1793635681807544700","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1616085724687904768":{"id":"1616085724687904768","date":"2023-01-19 14:50:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Good listening happens rarely, and only when you deeply want to understand who the person is: their perspective, motivation, their whole being.\n\nAs the speaker, it's that rare feeling of \"Wow it's like they're inside my brain\" but in a good way. Exhausting for both people.\n\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"1616085720640389123","reply_id":"1616085723404439552","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":13,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1214,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1616085724687904768","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2070750444230455560":{"id":"2070750444230455560","date":"2026-06-27 06:05:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I'm no religious scholar, admittedly, but why would one need to forbid something that doesn't exist?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2070750444230455560","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":31,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":5395,"bookmarks":1,"media":["2070750444230455560_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2070750444230455560","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2064637545313378397":{"id":"2064637545313378397","date":"2026-06-10 09:15:24","author":"Jeremy Howard","handle":"jeremyphoward","text":"RT @jeremyphoward: Silently sabotaging experiments in order to stultify scientific progress and protect a technology lead.\n\nHmmm that sounds familiar...\n\nWelcome to \"Sophanthropic\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"2064637545313378397","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2064613063370977559","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":82,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2,"bookmarks":0,"media":["2064637545313378397_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/jeremyphoward/status/2064637545313378397"},"1629490279530258434":{"id":"1629490279530258434","date":"2023-02-25 14:35:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@battousai1130 @EconShiller Different laws of trading. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1629422387195445249","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":63,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1629490279530258434","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1478856627717505024":{"id":"1478856627717505024","date":"2022-01-05 22:31:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lightspringfox @macrocephalopod Totally agree. I don't think net long \"market\" deltas is correct for crypto prop. The permanent dump risk is a big deal there in the way it isn't for tradfi.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1478850699752611849","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1478856627717505024","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1412615728054738946":{"id":"1412615728054738946","date":"2021-07-07 03:33:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sw33ty4mth @saanglee @M1tchRosenthal @sajidnizami @longskew @therobotjames Don't blame me if you end up tearing your hair out with how they roll futures or something. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1412584152919162881","reply_id":"1412615236717318150","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"return_stacking","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1412615728054738946","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1494052475325726723":{"id":"1494052475325726723","date":"2022-02-16 20:54:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ottbot I'm sure I don't.\n\nI'm trying to understand if the current undercurrent of right-wing discontent is durable or evanescent.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494013978229370881","reply_id":"1494049492454162432","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ottbot","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494052475325726723","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1536510128832139264":{"id":"1536510128832139264","date":"2022-06-14 00:45:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@InBraised A few gestures at an argument:\n- Returns to quality are exponential at the top of the distribution.\n- Finding who's the top is hard w/o years of evidence.\n- So dev salaries are bid up by FAANG oligopolies and endless VC money for SaaS.\n- Can't fire the rest cuz effect on culture.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536463438280421376","reply_id":"1536508906695958529","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"InBraised","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1536510128832139264","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1555402805522731008":{"id":"1555402805522731008","date":"2022-08-05 03:58:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Noahpinion Great idea, only works until significant others and kids arrive.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1555399819689992192","reply_id":"1555402431034318848","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Noahpinion","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1555402805522731008","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1934588484758421727":{"id":"1934588484758421727","date":"2025-06-16 12:26:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@apralky @FinTwitFan1 No debate.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1934563284453036526","reply_id":"1934573005868310999","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"apralky","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":315,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1934588484758421727","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1716835953078305241":{"id":"1716835953078305241","date":"2023-10-24 15:16:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sukhoiConvexity Pandas is in the uncanny valley of tools.\n\nIt's just far enough from convenient/correct/don't-have-to-think-about-it that it's annoying.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1716833285912084803","reply_id":"1716834510720082139","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sukhoiConvexity","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":430,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1716835953078305241","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1471265217002696706":{"id":"1471265217002696706","date":"2021-12-15 23:45:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames No! I refuse to go to the dark side!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471262531100430336","reply_id":"1471263337119830016","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471265217002696706","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1707539083126551007":{"id":"1707539083126551007","date":"2023-09-28 23:33:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@efebic This is an excellent counterpoint.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1707513193248244054","reply_id":"1707536950297526696","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"efebic","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":106,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1707539083126551007","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2065885791704768749":{"id":"2065885791704768749","date":"2026-06-13 19:55:29","author":"ak0","handle":"annanay","text":"@basedtensor Market making is the most honorable activity known to man","hashtags":[],"conv":"2065884339427000459","reply_id":"2065885593134117368","quote_id":"2066543853444968708","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"basedtensor","likes":94,"retweets":9,"replies":4,"quotes":2,"views":40459,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/annanay/status/2065885791704768749"},"1282874496827846656":{"id":"1282874496827846656","date":"2020-07-14 03:08:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jordanwrong1 @SinclairEuan @KrisAbdelmessih And yet, it was also a bad day because of how much $ I left on the table by not being quicker in figuring it all out. We just didn't expect that the MM would mess up the *old* options.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1282702235583954945","reply_id":"1282874324785876993","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1282874496827846656","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1434983727935881219":{"id":"1434983727935881219","date":"2021-09-06 20:55:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @ReformedTrader @nope_its_lily @vgr I'm kind of a natural curmudgeon, and it comes up with my kids learning random gaming things that I think are just stupid and a waste of time.\n\nMust... resist... urge...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434963956599193601","reply_id":"1434981889673203712","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434983727935881219","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1983936155788661030":{"id":"1983936155788661030","date":"2025-10-30 16:36:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@remusofmars @blknoiz06 I guess I'm drawing a big distinction between investing in productive businesses that yield profits and provide value to customers and...\n\nwhatever this is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1983921851538485523","reply_id":"1983935857267560520","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"remusofmars","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":303,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1983936155788661030_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1983936155788661030","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1485653163512197123":{"id":"1485653163512197123","date":"2022-01-24 16:38:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin The obvious solution:\n\nInstead of price improving the BBO, wholesalers put the savings aside and airdrop them into people's brokerage accounts quarterly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1485634110718500865","reply_id":"1485652448085749760","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1485653163512197123","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2012223373489614951":{"id":"2012223373489614951","date":"2026-01-16 18:00:12","author":"OpenAI","handle":"OpenAI","text":"In the coming weeks, we plan to start testing ads in ChatGPT free and Go tiers.\n\nWe’re sharing our principles early on how we’ll approach ads–guided by putting user trust and transparency first as we work to make AI accessible to everyone.\n\nWhat matters most:\n- Responses in ChatGPT will not be influenced by ads.\n\n- Ads are always separate and clearly labeled.\n\n- Your conversations are private from advertisers.\n\n- Plus, Pro, Business, and Enterprise tiers will not have ads.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2012223373489614951","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2012275210498486681","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9468,"retweets":1265,"replies":3409,"quotes":4184,"views":17438066,"bookmarks":4206,"media":["2012223373489614951_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/OpenAI/status/2012223373489614951"},"1502075578303741954":{"id":"1502075578303741954","date":"2022-03-11 00:14:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@leptokurtosist @M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames That's a tough one. :)\n\nHow about plan B: make a lot of $ for a while, buy wife something she wants w/ the money, go back to plan A.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"1502075222182219789","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"leptokurtosist","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1502075578303741954","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1457795336747974662":{"id":"1457795336747974662","date":"2021-11-08 19:41:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@robertwiblin This true more generally. In situations with free and liquid markets, ethical decisions usually only matter when you're (loudly and successfully) signaling them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1457785965099978761","reply_id":"1457794970618765316","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1457795336747974662","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1765751641968673278":{"id":"1765751641968673278","date":"2024-03-07 14:49:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Jadam2122 The holes in my knowledge are wide and deep.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1765731152449651164","reply_id":"1765746207123452401","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Jadam2122","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":68,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1765751641968673278","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1222563765972946944":{"id":"1222563765972946944","date":"2020-01-29 16:54:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@orangebook Ironically, the best way to learn something to try to produce it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1222550800037224448","reply_id":"1222550800037224448","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"orangebook","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1222563765972946944","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1442635286433779715":{"id":"1442635286433779715","date":"2021-09-27 23:40:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @tjrwriting I think there's a lot of Chesterton's Fence work to be done here, FWIW. The system is the way it is for a reason. And I'm sure that plenty of people have tried to knock Kaplan-et-al off their perch and failed.\n\nLearning about those failures will be important to doing this right.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1442613343131369474","reply_id":"1442633585589063683","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1442635286433779715","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1542634883809325056":{"id":"1542634883809325056","date":"2022-06-30 22:23:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@punk6529 This is the essential difference between governance in developed countries vs others.\n\nWe've figured out how to bring the corruption INTO the system. It's a legit step forward.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542633749904609283","reply_id":"1542633749904609283","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"punk6529","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1542634883809325056","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1601950597216800769":{"id":"1601950597216800769","date":"2022-12-11 14:42:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tabrischen @dwarkesh_sp @cowenconvos @PeterAttiaMD","hashtags":[],"conv":"1601762710911602689","reply_id":"1601917256279199745","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tabrischen","likes":70,"retweets":4,"replies":5,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":67,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1601950597216800769","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1923270668642083210":{"id":"1923270668642083210","date":"2025-05-16 06:53:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"And now think about all the current pillars of the tech and crypto world who did get that year.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1923270668642083210","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3443,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1923270668642083210","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1300830644964999170":{"id":"1300830644964999170","date":"2020-09-01 16:19:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VCFlags Moving from public markets to angel investing land in the last few years, it's amazing how basically the only thing that matters is the quality of the deal flow.\n\nDue diligence, connections, etc. Bah! Just be the first phone call and you'll do fine.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1300819603942064133","reply_id":"1300827109359714312","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VCFlags","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1300830644964999170","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1291771065459339264":{"id":"1291771065459339264","date":"2020-08-07 16:19:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vixologist They're not! (Or at least, I'm not that fabulous a parent).\n\nI speak from experience having tried stuff like this and it failing miserably.\n\nParenting is ridiculously hard if you're trying to do it well. It is for me anyway...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1291766015764959234","reply_id":"1291769185194979329","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vixologist","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1291771065459339264","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1187745810504658945":{"id":"1187745810504658945","date":"2019-10-25 15:00:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alphaarchitect @Mike_Thrasher @FactorResearch @ReformedTrader @lhamtil Biggest thing I worry about in alts is adverse selection. Why offer the investment to *me*? If this is worth $, why am *I* special? There's lots of money out there chasing yield, after all.\n\nThink of the NBA dudes who always end up investing in their buddy's restaurant.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1187532943478185984","reply_id":"1187744960256323584","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alphaarchitect","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1187745810504658945","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1642920394397982726":{"id":"1642920394397982726","date":"2023-04-03 16:02:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nonchalantpaca @therobotjames @drunkengrass @QEternity @moreproteinbars @Citrini7 @686Prism @ImNotChenny @TCK_JRubano @TimTheMM @NewRiverInvest @o_wutang There are strong arbitrage boundaries on spreads and flies that require at least a minimal amount of smoothness.\n\nBut more generally, a non-smooth vol surface implies a weird probability distribution of the underlying.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1642005900163444737","reply_id":"1642916068833280000","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Wirakumon","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":557,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1642920394397982726","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1433221777031766020":{"id":"1433221777031766020","date":"2021-09-02 00:14:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If I sell a computer, do I \"collect depreciation\" on it if someone doesn't turn it on?\n\nSo why do you collect theta on the options you sold?\n\n@therobotjames made me think of this analogy. Good/not good?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1433221777031766020","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1433221777031766020","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1575678446826463232":{"id":"1575678446826463232","date":"2022-09-30 02:46:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"6 months later: \"Yeah we're still doing some contract work for clients as we get the low-code solution ecosystem built out.\"\n\n12 months later: \"Yep, still doing the contract work. Should taper in the next 6 months.\"\n\n24 months later: \"We're a contract dev shop.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1575677874635304960","reply_id":"1575677874635304960","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1575678446826463232","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1349507671011913728":{"id":"1349507671011913728","date":"2021-01-14 00:04:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brenorb @KrisAbdelmessih @RoamResearch I'm intimately familiar with that Brazilian phenomenon.\n\nJust ask me how full the luggage is when we go, and how empty it is coming back...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1349445453016825856","reply_id":"1349498654206418946","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"brenorb","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1349507671011913728","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1412614611283505155":{"id":"1412614611283505155","date":"2021-07-07 03:29:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sw33ty4mth @saanglee @M1tchRosenthal @sajidnizami @longskew @therobotjames I vaguely recall these guys were cheap and reasonably decent?\n\nhttps://firstratedata.com/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1412584152919162881","reply_id":"1412613847333154816","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"return_stacking","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1412614611283505155","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1562858144199413761":{"id":"1562858144199413761","date":"2022-08-25 17:43:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's like watching the world computer evolve an immune system in real time. Slow by human standards, blazingly fast by wet evolution standards.\n\nAnd we're the mindless B-cells, T-cells and neutrophils.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1562857778816774146","reply_id":"1562857778816774146","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":19,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1562858144199413761","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1772309727197667626":{"id":"1772309727197667626","date":"2024-03-25 17:09:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bubbleboi Defo. And not \"run through the elite machine\" PhDs either. Lots of metaphorical and actual Iowa farmboys who discovered along the way that they were actually pretty smart.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1772292378067423522","reply_id":"1772297374531977360","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bubbleboi","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":131,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1772309727197667626","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1597990480490340352":{"id":"1597990480490340352","date":"2022-11-30 16:26:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug @BowTiedNiners Wow.\n\nBut this is injecting testosterone, not steroids. I can totally believe that doing so increases muscle mass.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597661985839411200","reply_id":"1597989658943975425","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597990480490340352","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1976933150468325703":{"id":"1976933150468325703","date":"2025-10-11 08:49:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@clesaege Completely misunderstanding how markets work. You need liquidity to incentivize information gathering, and the way you get it is by having a market for people to hedge risk without getting picked off.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1976645088433656219","reply_id":"1976922090520645820","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"clesaege","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":413,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1976933150468325703","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1557430981572718593":{"id":"1557430981572718593","date":"2022-08-10 18:17:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Was thinking exp(-t/T).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1557430082133712899","reply_id":"1557430713250725889","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1557430981572718593","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1258234028345315334":{"id":"1258234028345315334","date":"2020-05-07 03:15:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert I'm going to claim this is a bad jr trader/quant question. Jr people who have been \"dying to be options traders their whole lives\" answer well. Everyone else fails.\n\nProblem is there's a strong -ve corr between wanting to be a trader your whole life and actually being a good one.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1258184053326376961","reply_id":"1258184053326376961","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":18,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1258234028345315334","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1829396392671940645":{"id":"1829396392671940645","date":"2024-08-30 05:51:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cam_perrault @0xFaust12 @quantymacro It's a general comment about small-and-dead-by-default vs large-and-alive-by-default companies.\n\nWhen small you need to find high vol employees with unique skillsets.\n\nWhen large and successful you need low vol employees who can be trusted to not screw up a good thing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1829150563159941491","reply_id":"1829299557920084027","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"camlperr","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1121,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1829396392671940645","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1634727594779353089":{"id":"1634727594779353089","date":"2023-03-12 01:26:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@rieos_ When you've been through a crash or two, you learn that when you're in them, they feel pretty darn slow.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1634708006435958785","reply_id":"1634714361163046912","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"rieos_","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":32,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1634727594779353089","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1606368130111938561":{"id":"1606368130111938561","date":"2022-12-23 19:16:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @kchoudhu And on the other end, they also don't know how not-that-much-harder it is to run a bare metal box on Hetzner/OVH for like a fifth the price and no futzing with stupid lambdas.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1606347594153672704","reply_id":"1606348328353943552","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1275,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1606368130111938561","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1290288558003982336":{"id":"1290288558003982336","date":"2020-08-03 14:08:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SimonDeDeo It wasn't my intent to imply you believe there's something wrong with it.\n\nI talk to companies all the time that have self-defeating hiring processes for those blue-collar jobs.\n\nTheir process works only for people they can't hire anyway, and it fails for those they can.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1290284766650961922","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1290288558003982336","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1400962828782030855":{"id":"1400962828782030855","date":"2021-06-04 23:49:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @EconShiller @SqueezeMetrics @Ksidiii @therobotjames I'm not claiming this way is better, necessarily. Just a different perspective maybe.\n\nInstead of the usual \"What two things can I regress against each other in the hopes I find signal and hence money?\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1400892689101565954","reply_id":"1400962332612722689","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1400962828782030855","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2015157992358875285":{"id":"2015157992358875285","date":"2026-01-24 20:21:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Finally it's possible to use computers in something approaching natural language. It's magical because it's new. Not because it's intelligence.\n\nThese tools are giving us the computers Vannevar Bush dreamed of 80 years ago.\n\nFinally.\n\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"2015157979494928386","reply_id":"2015157990240682186","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":63,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":4580,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2015157992358875285","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1555601101298094081":{"id":"1555601101298094081","date":"2022-08-05 17:06:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pmontu33 @JamesMarsh79 Wow.\n\nInsurance is a multi-trillion dollar industry. It's what gave uncle Warren the float to become a centi-billionaire.\n\nBut you don't believe in the risk premium.\n\nI have no words.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1555282083672510464","reply_id":"1555598431216877568","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pmontu33","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1555601101298094081","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2000991053013508280":{"id":"2000991053013508280","date":"2025-12-16 18:06:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In the LOTR movies, why is Edoras so small? It's pretty large kingdom isn't it?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2000991053013508280","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":6221,"bookmarks":1,"media":["2000991053013508280_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2000991053013508280","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1291375187263275014":{"id":"1291375187263275014","date":"2020-08-06 14:06:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Ok #fintwit, I'm going to do an experiment.\n\nSend along a link to an interesting paper and I'll live tweet a stage one reading/review of the paper. Ground rules:\n\n- Ungated link\n- Pre-prints are ok\n- No proof-style stoch calc papers please!","hashtags":["fintwit"],"conv":"1291375187263275014","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":2,"replies":5,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1291375187263275014","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2041772405027184844":{"id":"2041772405027184844","date":"2026-04-08 06:57:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"💯","hashtags":[],"conv":"2041772405027184844","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":52,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":9616,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2041772405027184844","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1893625758649618841":{"id":"1893625758649618841","date":"2025-02-23 11:35:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@myzuo AFAICT from people who know, maybe they all add up to 0.5 of a credible company.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1893574582361108852","reply_id":"1893612022304043278","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"myzuo","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":74,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1893625758649618841","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1378508061497679873":{"id":"1378508061497679873","date":"2021-04-04 00:41:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @M1tchRosenthal ☝️ This.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1378485585791307780","reply_id":"1378507473326276614","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1378508061497679873","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2078081367473062076":{"id":"2078081367473062076","date":"2026-07-17 11:36:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Watching utterly irrelevant Westerner AI safety grifters tie themselves in knots to find something in Xi's speech that agrees with their worldview is pretty funny.\n\nMeanwhile Xi's like DiCaprio in Wolf of Wall Street.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2078081367473062076","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":55,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3837,"bookmarks":3,"media":["2078081367473062076_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2078081367473062076","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1434982401994674176":{"id":"1434982401994674176","date":"2021-09-06 20:50:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ReformedTrader @KrisAbdelmessih @nope_its_lily @vgr That's a thing I got from @JamesClear Atomic Habits that I taught my kids.\n\n- Learning feels like not-learning. It feels like struggling and confusion and frustration.\n- What feels like learnING is actually I-just-learned.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434963956599193601","reply_id":"1434981667655991299","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ReformedTrader","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434982401994674176","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1484620975601684481":{"id":"1484620975601684481","date":"2022-01-21 20:16:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jgreco What would be the fun in that?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1484613466556186626","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1484620975601684481_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1484620975601684481","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1670486601833611265":{"id":"1670486601833611265","date":"2023-06-18 17:40:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @arnoblalam Don't you mean \"a Kalman filter on a martingale with constant vol and measurement noise\"?\n\nSounds a lot more impressive that way.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1670484198115745792","reply_id":"1670485488333910018","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":814,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1670486601833611265","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1546931777708572672":{"id":"1546931777708572672","date":"2022-07-12 18:57:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"18/ STEP 4: Make A Plan\n\nI bet you expected this next step to be “Go study the idea”. But that’s usually a big mistake at this stage, and common one too.\n\nI’ve often made the mistake of prematurely jumping into writing code or looking at data.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546931744426758145","reply_id":"1546931776299249664","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546931777708572672","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1143525592110788608":{"id":"1143525592110788608","date":"2019-06-25 14:25:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Law Of Trading #6: The model expresses the edge, not the other way around.\n#newbook #lawsoftrading","hashtags":["newbook","lawsoftrading"],"conv":"1143525592110788608","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1143525592110788608_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1143525592110788608","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1692617271603036556":{"id":"1692617271603036556","date":"2023-08-18 19:19:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"That's basically the definition of a put option.\n\nIt gives you a cap on the amount you're going to lose relative to a competitive world in situations where you're not that good.\n\nUsing an LLM is like cheaply buying puts on the holes in your cognitive skillset.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1692617267576467909","reply_id":"1692617270252437806","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":30,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1327,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1692617271603036556","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1753121415396573395":{"id":"1753121415396573395","date":"2024-02-01 18:21:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"My kid started trig today in math class at school.\n\nHe had already done some in physics class.\n\nI told him it's good to see the same thing from different angles.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1753121415396573395","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":73,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":6419,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1753121415396573395","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1646275733642428416":{"id":"1646275733642428416","date":"2023-04-12 22:14:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite And we have a rigorous strategy development process.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1646275025509527553","reply_id":"1646275025509527553","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":623,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1646275733642428416","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1423447245786030083":{"id":"1423447245786030083","date":"2021-08-06 00:54:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@kchoudhu Seeming smart is a skill that's somewhat correlated to being smart.\n\nBut not *that* correlated.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1423425320250531841","reply_id":"1423439210854305795","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"kchoudhu","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1423447245786030083","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1476925472323739650":{"id":"1476925472323739650","date":"2021-12-31 14:37:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"8/ IP law exists, at least in principle, to protect creators and thereby encourage invention (technological, cultural, etc). One can debate whether the pendulum has swung too far in the wrong direction (Mickey Mouse is ~90 years old and still isn't in the public domain).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476925464824270848","reply_id":"1476925471212257288","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476925472323739650","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1506794671183319044":{"id":"1506794671183319044","date":"2022-03-24 00:46:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert That couldn't ever happen and never has in the history of financial markets.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1506712077263511559","reply_id":"1506712077263511559","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1506794671183319044","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2075953988986626075":{"id":"2075953988986626075","date":"2026-07-11 14:42:54","author":"Scott Alexander","handle":"slatestarcodex","text":"I've previously tried to rebut this argument as a kind of rebranding of arrogance as humility, especially around COVID (see https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/04/14/a-failure-but-not-of-prediction/ ). As COVID was ramping up, people kept saying it would be insufficiently \"humble\" to take any action against it, because we hadn't yet \"proven\" that it could become a worldwide pandemic. As there became a 10% chance, a 25% chance, and then a 50% chance that it would, people continued not to take action, because there still wasn't the \"proof\", and it would be \"arrogant\" to prepare for something that merely had a 25% chance of killing millions of people.\n\nBut this is the wrong way of thinking about things. The people who were implicitly acting as if there was a 100% chance that COVID wouldn't be dangerous, were calling the people assuming a 75% chance that it wouldn't be \"arrogant\" and accusing them of being \"absolutely sure\" that it would be dangerous! \n\nIf you allowed a 10% or 25% or even a 1% chance that AI could be dangerous, I think you would be extremely invested in building the global capacity for a potential off switch - not necessarily in pulling that off switch now, but in making sure it existed and can be pulled on short notice. That's AI2040's current ask - building the technology to verify an agreement if it needs to happen later. It's the only thing that needs to be done before the situation clarifies in 2027 or 2028. I think if you are indeed trying to being humble and leave room for all possibilities, you should refocus on supporting it.\n\nAlso, we at least have lines on graphs suggesting our position might be right. Where's your argument that regulating chips the same way we regulate every other product would lead to a \"global surveillance state\"? When it's about blocking AI safety, all people require is hand-waving; when it's about trying to create the capacity for it, no argument, no matter how strong, will ever be good enough.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2075793093073473540","reply_id":"2075793093073473540","quote_id":"2076047799452328004","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ramez","likes":359,"retweets":21,"replies":13,"quotes":7,"views":60576,"bookmarks":54,"media":["2075953988986626075_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/slatestarcodex/status/2075953988986626075"},"1920705406717898918":{"id":"1920705406717898918","date":"2025-05-09 05:00:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3. Prosumer trading platform\nPitch: \"IB and Robinhood suck, prosumers can't get a PB. There's a sweetspot in the middle.\"\n\nFatal flaws:\n- Your customers don't have alpha. They will churn through your platform with low LTV.\n- The market is smaller than you think.\n- This.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1920705401110098162","reply_id":"1920705404620652793","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":66,"retweets":3,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":5053,"bookmarks":33,"media":["1920705406717898918_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1920705406717898918","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1893241099335991771":{"id":"1893241099335991771","date":"2025-02-22 10:07:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"SBF extending his already-comfortable lead in the Sociopath Of The Decade competition.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T17Ug09w4eE","hashtags":[],"conv":"1893241099335991771","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":49,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":19105,"bookmarks":18,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1893241099335991771","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1770913344486031868":{"id":"1770913344486031868","date":"2024-03-21 20:40:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bubbleboi Depending on the range of Y, you can often replace (1/Y) with a linear or quadratic approximation which is *really* cheap.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1770843200753639730","reply_id":"1770843200753639730","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bubbleboi","likes":45,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":10461,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1770913344486031868","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1417674167239929860":{"id":"1417674167239929860","date":"2021-07-21 02:33:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HF_Trader It's envy that he can be *that* tone-deaf with impunity.\n\nWhat are you going to do? Stop shopping at Amazon?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1417672435185373192","reply_id":"1417672435185373192","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HF_Trader","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1417674167239929860_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1417674167239929860","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1476925476832645121":{"id":"1476925476832645121","date":"2021-12-31 14:37:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"11/ Being a bagholder looking for the next bagholder has a fine and noble tradition. From Treasury bonds to VCs.\n\nUsing the term Ponzi is just a cheap attempt to get the reader on your side. Don't fall for it.\n\nThere are plenty of well-reasoned critiques of crypto. Read those.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476925464824270848","reply_id":"1476925475775676416","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476925476832645121","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2078738617367773325":{"id":"2078738617367773325","date":"2026-07-19 07:08:02","author":"calle","handle":"callebtc","text":"Update: Kimi fixed all 15 critical bugs in 10 hours in a single prompt (no /goal). Not a single complaint. Code quality is impressive.\n\nThe whole thing cost me $250, paid to China.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2078574362316165611","reply_id":"2078574362316165611","quote_id":"2079120871650709840","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"callebtc","likes":1896,"retweets":101,"replies":34,"quotes":18,"views":112128,"bookmarks":198,"media":["2078738617367773325_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/callebtc/status/2078738617367773325"},"1443634455877275650":{"id":"1443634455877275650","date":"2021-09-30 17:50:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@volmagorov @0xdoug Haha.\n\nI found this approach interesting:\n\nhttps://pijul.org/faq","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443631980931911683","reply_id":"1443633920063455239","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"volmagorov","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1443634455877275650","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2062171789510234127":{"id":"2062171789510234127","date":"2026-06-03 13:57:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Listen LLM, flattery will get you... oh, pretty far actually.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2062171789510234127","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":56,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4680,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2062171789510234127","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1481427264793317377":{"id":"1481427264793317377","date":"2022-01-13 00:45:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I like seeing my follower count tick down by one or two some days.\n\nI assume it's Twitter getting rid of bots, but I prefer to imagine people finally getting sick of my inanities.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481427264793317377","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1481427264793317377","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1956255182875922481":{"id":"1956255182875922481","date":"2025-08-15 07:22:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Cross-border capital flows should be free, but labor flows should be tightly controlled\" is one of those beliefs that basically no one questions.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1956255182875922481","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":88,"retweets":1,"replies":9,"quotes":1,"views":8799,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1956255182875922481","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1729995349950185702":{"id":"1729995349950185702","date":"2023-11-29 22:46:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@GrantStenger True!\n\nAnd then we could go to hairy ball theorem.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1729923730393198673","reply_id":"1729988811227316631","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GrantStenger","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":122,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1729995349950185702","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2076558336930017572":{"id":"2076558336930017572","date":"2026-07-13 06:44:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The naivete is astounding. The history of governance in Western countries in the last 25 years, arguably more, is the steady expansion of government power and general authoritarianism.\n\nIt's a global phenomenon. If you think this is a good thing, fine. But say so.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2076558336930017572","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":113,"retweets":5,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":13307,"bookmarks":26,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2076558336930017572","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1866960580004769882":{"id":"1866960580004769882","date":"2024-12-11 21:37:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 Because it's purer. Purist like purity.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1866958082812846263","reply_id":"1866958082812846263","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":184,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1866960580004769882","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1271245760223342592":{"id":"1271245760223342592","date":"2020-06-12 00:59:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ole_b_peters \"You can't get there from here\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1271075719842615297","reply_id":"1271075719842615297","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ole_b_peters","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1271245760223342592","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1611405080548507649":{"id":"1611405080548507649","date":"2023-01-06 16:51:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SquishChaos @MebFaber @BillBrewsterTBB AQR has a lot of papers on this.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1611399619946360833","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":379,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1611405080548507649","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1644357273534316544":{"id":"1644357273534316544","date":"2023-04-07 15:11:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Sometimes the heel has to win Wrestlemania.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1644353107910877184","reply_id":"1644353107910877184","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":271,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1644357273534316544","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1815212024395428265":{"id":"1815212024395428265","date":"2024-07-22 02:27:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@iTrismegistus Uh Lewis?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1815209533691855358","reply_id":"1815211873014333753","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"iTrismegistus","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":411,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1815212024395428265","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1760756877531713934":{"id":"1760756877531713934","date":"2024-02-22 20:02:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The world needs an LLM that captures @matt_levine 's ability to explain complex financial products in an entertaining manner. Because there's only so much Matt Levine to go around, and there's a lot of ignorance that needs enlightening.\n\nHis BOXX writeup is a tour de force.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1760756877531713934","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":94,"retweets":5,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":7313,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1760756877531713934","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1607386852444540928":{"id":"1607386852444540928","date":"2022-12-26 14:44:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@etdebruin @alexeyguzey Definitely. I never went the audiobooks route cuz I like to own dead trees. But...\n\nFor a while I wondered why I got so little info (vs entertainment) from podcasts, until realizing it was 80% the medium that was the problem.\n\nI tend only to \"listen\" to podcasts w/ transcripts.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1607184920019103746","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":172,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1607386852444540928","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1524036048006778881":{"id":"1524036048006778881","date":"2022-05-10 14:38:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin Amazing how much of a non-event 2008 was on that graph!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1524034709591834633","reply_id":"1524034709591834633","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1524036048006778881","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1549977815432384512":{"id":"1549977815432384512","date":"2022-07-21 04:41:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Belatoshi @pmontu33 @therobotjames Depends. If you're trading liquid products then your market order isn't giving up much, if anything.\n\nWith illiquid stuff it's more touchy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548007648007634944","reply_id":"1549977482740305921","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Belatoshi","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1549977815432384512","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1536561666313179139":{"id":"1536561666313179139","date":"2022-06-14 04:10:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@toly @tarunchitra All this talk about margins, are we talking about phase margin? 🤷‍♂️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536559697884590082","reply_id":"1536560204858503171","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"toly","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1536561666313179139","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1899490954995794246":{"id":"1899490954995794246","date":"2025-03-11 16:01:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I can promise a small world-class team, great culture, very interesting problems, and an uncertain but very high upside.\n\n🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1899490949530571095","reply_id":"1899490953209028950","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2795,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1899490954995794246","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1722734205434748974":{"id":"1722734205434748974","date":"2023-11-09 21:53:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nabeelqu That's why they start fooling around on their wives too.\n\nEmpirically, all it takes is $10b to turn a smart, driven man into a caveman.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1722724071115276559","reply_id":"1722731709366509869","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nabeelqu","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":497,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1722734205434748974","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1420440612961067011":{"id":"1420440612961067011","date":"2021-07-28 17:46:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 💯\n\nAlso, the reason racewalking should disappear is the same reason all non-crawl swimming should disappear.\n\nA to B. As fast as possible. Go. That's it.\n\nThe fact that Phelps has so many medals is proof that the different strokes ain't that different.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420435586272436224","reply_id":"1420435794859339781","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420440612961067011","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1478592058860326913":{"id":"1478592058860326913","date":"2022-01-05 04:59:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jsoloff @theemilyaccount 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1478583640149876741","reply_id":"1478589750151770113","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jsoloff","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1478592058860326913","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1252813015851790337":{"id":"1252813015851790337","date":"2020-04-22 04:14:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mlgraham22 @Anon1Oil @conorsen So do most people. But when there's no work product to judge yet, what do you go with?\n\nThat's right, the name. And the gauntlet of reasonably-smart-and-good-at-checking-boxes admissions process.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1252773482112462850","reply_id":"1252780950150361094","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mlgraham22","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1252813015851790337","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1512067339793051662":{"id":"1512067339793051662","date":"2022-04-07 13:58:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"How professional golf is organized\" for non-golf aficionados.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1512067339793051662","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1512067339793051662","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1907689300067508389":{"id":"1907689300067508389","date":"2025-04-03 06:59:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Maybe it's a bet that the world needs American overconsumption more than the US needs to overconsume.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1907689300067508389","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":57,"retweets":3,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":4715,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1907689300067508389","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1440740868877479937":{"id":"1440740868877479937","date":"2021-09-22 18:12:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"- What would make it good?\n- What would make it suck?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1440514473710612481","reply_id":"1440740715705683974","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1440740868877479937","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1625985340686360577":{"id":"1625985340686360577","date":"2023-02-15 22:28:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garrytan Kites rise highest against the wind, not with it.\n- Winston Churchill","hashtags":[],"conv":"1625910304294187008","reply_id":"1625910304294187008","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garrytan","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":798,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1625985340686360577","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1360784823002886146":{"id":"1360784823002886146","date":"2021-02-14 02:55:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Value_Quant @NonGaap And at the firm level, the alpha is creating the structure so that people have enough freedom to do so, without it degenerating into a free-for-all. It's not easy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1360738053451440130","reply_id":"1360738612535578627","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Value_Quant","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1360784823002886146","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1617984603901530139":{"id":"1617984603901530139","date":"2023-01-24 20:36:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Tallow_beach @l1quid1ty @QEternity 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1617855576419205123","reply_id":"1617952266832732160","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Tallow_beach","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":39,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1617984603901530139","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1257312091641282562":{"id":"1257312091641282562","date":"2020-05-04 14:12:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RokoMijicUK The cult of the small business is strong in the US. It's a case of Fundamental Attribution Error on the part of the advice-givers.\n\nOf course most people shouldn't be starting businesses. To quote Jerry Seinfeld about something else: \"Have you ever been in line at the DMV?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1257227624390295558","reply_id":"1257227624390295558","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ExiledInfoHaz","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1257312091641282562","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1777303835041824906":{"id":"1777303835041824906","date":"2024-04-08 11:53:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod I didn't make it to the second hour of any of them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1777301762552234068","reply_id":"1777302528645849311","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1351,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1777303835041824906","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1585407236599615490":{"id":"1585407236599615490","date":"2022-10-26 23:05:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2/ Syntax exists to solve a very real problem:\n\nQ: How do you translate what you want into a form that a system with ZERO semantic understanding does the thing you want?\n\nA: Programming language.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1585407235311964168","reply_id":"1585407235311964168","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1585407236599615490","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1638191588840202241":{"id":"1638191588840202241","date":"2023-03-21 14:51:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"On one extreme you have the people who really *want* it to be alive, agentic and dangerous because so much of their self-image is wrapped up in predicting its arrival.\n\nOn the other hand...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1638191588840202241","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":5864,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1638191588840202241","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1717985788565025167":{"id":"1717985788565025167","date":"2023-10-27 19:25:05","author":"Inner City Press","handle":"innercitypress","text":"Cohen: What did you say to her?\nSBF: Alameda had assets of-\nAUSA: Objection.\nJudge Kaplan: The answer is stricken. It just, what did he say.\nCohen: What was the substance of what you said?\nSBF: They had not hedged, as of June 2022.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1717898718232350770","reply_id":"1717985511438983351","quote_id":"1718030006851719249","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"innercitypress","likes":36,"retweets":5,"replies":4,"quotes":3,"views":15464,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/innercitypress/status/1717985788565025167"},"1526242432366657539":{"id":"1526242432366657539","date":"2022-05-16 16:45:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @AlexanderGerko Webs of mutual dependence are useful.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1526228448947056640","reply_id":"1526230123753635842","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1526242432366657539","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1677521202364166144":{"id":"1677521202364166144","date":"2023-07-08 03:33:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OffTheRunTrades When you watch them live, their speed is scarcely believable.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1677495908228018177","reply_id":"1677514355544391681","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OffTheRunTrades","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":659,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1677521202364166144","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1283769711423967232":{"id":"1283769711423967232","date":"2020-07-16 14:25:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @jordanwrong1 @KrisAbdelmessih I remember the first time I realized this, because it led to a bunch of other interesting insights:\n\n1. Wow, if I'm a noise trader all I can EV(lose) is costs. Find the lowest cost products and specialize in those (ES futures? :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1282702235583954945","reply_id":"1283765693444481024","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":3,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1283769711423967232","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1585636620560015360":{"id":"1585636620560015360","date":"2022-10-27 14:16:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 No idea but wherever it is, I'm sure it's trading under JPY/USD.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1585632687330820098","reply_id":"1585632687330820098","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1585636620560015360","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1245000940253396992":{"id":"1245000940253396992","date":"2020-03-31 14:52:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@paulg Countries get the leaders they deserve. Incompetent leadership is a symptom.\n\nNot entirely sure what the cause is, but I'd be curious about @paulg hypotheses.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1244999125034242050","reply_id":"1244999125034242050","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"paulg","likes":10,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1245000940253396992","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1519011776938921985":{"id":"1519011776938921985","date":"2022-04-26 17:53:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Alpha leak of the week:\n\nIf you don't have a small heterogeneous group of people to talk about trading with, stop what you're doing and build one. (h/t @KrisAbdelmessih) Here's how:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1519011776938921985","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":251,"retweets":31,"replies":12,"quotes":14,"views":0,"bookmarks":111,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1519011776938921985","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1925842427660673378":{"id":"1925842427660673378","date":"2025-05-23 09:13:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Enjoying that genAI is helping the simulation hypothesis incapacitate a whole new generation of tech-adjacent youth.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1925842427660673378","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":12,"quotes":0,"views":2138,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1925842427660673378","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1937200086515097939":{"id":"1937200086515097939","date":"2025-06-23 17:24:26","author":"ElevenLabs","handle":"ElevenLabs","text":"Introducing 11ai - the AI personal assistant that's voice-first and supports MCP.\n\nThis is an experiment to show the potential of Conversational AI:\n\n1. Plan your day and add your tasks to Notion\n2. Use Perplexity to research a customer\n3. Search and create Linear issues","hashtags":[],"conv":"1937200086515097939","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1937226863816114380","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4225,"retweets":377,"replies":148,"quotes":200,"views":639618,"bookmarks":2791,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ElevenLabs/status/1937200086515097939"},"1531770300798423040":{"id":"1531770300798423040","date":"2022-05-31 22:51:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm 👆\n\nIf large cars, large houses, large boats, large families and large weekends are your thing, there's no better place on Earth than the red states.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1531768034943115264","reply_id":"1531769808730980352","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1531770300798423040","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1923993160063107100":{"id":"1923993160063107100","date":"2025-05-18 06:44:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"And that's assuming the company does indeed rocket. But for every GOOG and META, there are thousands of failures.\n\nThe reason to work at a startup (the right startup for YOU, specifically) is because the work will be more fun than at bigco. Not because the EV or tail $ is larger.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1923991969199521792","reply_id":"1923991969199521792","quote_id":"1923993266787135792","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":57,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":2,"views":4349,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1923993160063107100","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1973535730078228741":{"id":"1973535730078228741","date":"2025-10-01 23:49:19","author":"Casey Handmer","handle":"CJHandmer","text":"You might not like it, but the cost of housing inflating the value of your money to zero is a straightforward side effect of the unavoidable exponential increase of old age dependency.\n\nWe can double the supply of housing to make it more affordable, but we can't make the boomers young and vigorous again. \n\nNIMBY is a stable attractor for any region that treats housing as the core of middle class wealth. \n\nImproved access to credit etc only stimulate demand and further distort the market away from building middle class wealth on democratized production of real wealth. \n\nThere is no painless solution. Children don't get a vote. The median voter will continue to age. The dependency ratio will continue to increase. Birth rates will continue to plummet. It is not physically possible to build enough housing quickly enough to turn this around, even if it was legal. \n\nWithout radical expansion of cities *and* transformative anti-aging technology the outcome - collapse of the welfare state - is not in doubt. \n\nI struggle to justify working on anything at scale other than these two problems.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1973535730078228741","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1973637434706702571","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":743,"retweets":29,"replies":37,"quotes":7,"views":85061,"bookmarks":269,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/CJHandmer/status/1973535730078228741"},"1459926756182269961":{"id":"1459926756182269961","date":"2021-11-14 16:50:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dendisuhubdy @bitwyre Sounds like a Zillow-esque plan. You allow people to spec somewhat arbitrary compex products, then let them choose which ones to actually trade after seeing your price.\n\nThe adverse selection there is going to be fierce.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1459919112121978881","reply_id":"1459919112121978881","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dendisuhubdy","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1459926756182269961","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1739654762990362802":{"id":"1739654762990362802","date":"2023-12-26 14:29:51","author":"Dwarkesh Patel","handle":"dwarkesh_sp","text":"New post: Will scaling work?\n\nThis is the crux in arguments about AI timelines.\n\nIn order to think through my own position, I wrote the post as a debate between a skeptic and a believer.\n\nSkeptic point 1: \n\nData bottlenecks won't be clearer by self-play/synthetic data:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1739654762990362802","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1739673594270249157","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":770,"retweets":96,"replies":28,"quotes":42,"views":477550,"bookmarks":757,"media":["1739654762990362802_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1739654762990362802"},"1471262531100430336":{"id":"1471262531100430336","date":"2021-12-15 23:34:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I've been twittering for a few years now.\n\nI always think that the most interesting/useful tweets are the general and abstract ones.\n\nAnd yet, they're consistently the ones that get the fewest likes/RTs/views/etc.\n\nBut options minutiae? Huge. Massive.\n\nGo figure...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471262531100430336","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471262531100430336","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1633712021601677314":{"id":"1633712021601677314","date":"2023-03-09 06:11:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm Venmo. Zelle.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633709467970985988","reply_id":"1633711713550999553","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":692,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633712021601677314","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1769497695402786966":{"id":"1769497695402786966","date":"2024-03-17 22:55:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@rosswern Yes! WTF?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1769392135504355616","reply_id":"1769497450233098749","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ross_w__","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":27,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1769497695402786966","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1417301252006842377":{"id":"1417301252006842377","date":"2021-07-20 01:52:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RadonNikodym2 @KrisAbdelmessih @TheSpeculator0 You want to trade int x f(x) dx.\n\nThen int x^3 f(x) dx ain't the first place to look for ideas.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1417100109578489856","reply_id":"1417298899002437643","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RadonNikodym2","likes":29,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1417301252006842377","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1503490629417930756":{"id":"1503490629417930756","date":"2022-03-14 21:57:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2/ You can't be great at everything. One tradeoff is how good you are at fundamentals (balance sheets) vs how good you are at the tech (short wires and caches).\n\nThere's an efficient frontier. All you can do is figure out what's YOUR best balance. Then get close to the frontier.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503490626418974721","reply_id":"1503490626418974721","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":53,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1503490629417930756","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1773725014396997871":{"id":"1773725014396997871","date":"2024-03-29 14:52:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@volatilitynoob @l1quid1ty @liquiditygoblin Yeah, I meant including those risk premia.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1773384779347730616","reply_id":"1773724501735268381","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"volatilitynoob","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":93,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1773725014396997871","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1439302018976256002":{"id":"1439302018976256002","date":"2021-09-18 18:55:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ One of the strongest predictors of success in trading and in life, I think, is working at the appropriate level of meta. 👉","hashtags":[],"conv":"1439302018976256002","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":96,"retweets":15,"replies":5,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":57,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1439302018976256002","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1542603053492105216":{"id":"1542603053492105216","date":"2022-06-30 20:16:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Noahpinion Even easier: teach them to use vectorized operations within Matlab.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542602779004239873","reply_id":"1542602779004239873","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Noahpinion","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1542603053492105216","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1161798447436951553":{"id":"1161798447436951553","date":"2019-08-15 00:35:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@daniel_egan It's probably somewhere in space. What with it being the tangent of sphere and all.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1161797827447668741","reply_id":"1161797827447668741","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"daniel_egan","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1161798447436951553","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1988534030808064319":{"id":"1988534030808064319","date":"2025-11-12 09:07:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3. Unrealistic promises of huge leverage and job autonomy:\n\n- Be your own boss!\n- Trade with 100:1 leverage!\n- Unlimited earnings!\n\nNo legitimate firm advertises the amount of leverage they'll give you. At every legitimate firm, you'll have a boss.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1988534015419146302","reply_id":"1988534029105164423","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":61,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":11372,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1988534030808064319","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1980504448737726754":{"id":"1980504448737726754","date":"2025-10-21 05:20:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CJHandmer @jasoncrawford @HeikeLarson Do you have prosopagnosia? I ask because a lot of people have mild forms of it and never realize until they test themselves.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1980415245773598875","reply_id":"1980451934814498893","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"CJHandmer","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":733,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1980504448737726754","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1789470465007759535":{"id":"1789470465007759535","date":"2024-05-12 01:39:40","author":"Byrne Hobart","handle":"ByrneHobart","text":"You mean to tell me there are people who aren’t using AI to do their laundry?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1789470465007759535","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1789472319347544461","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":56,"retweets":1,"replies":9,"quotes":3,"views":37981,"bookmarks":6,"media":["1789470465007759535_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ByrneHobart/status/1789470465007759535"},"1477331084694093824":{"id":"1477331084694093824","date":"2022-01-01 17:29:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @Guruleaks1 Excellent! The sub service thing is tough. The vast majority of them are indeed worthless. But some *are* good. Problem is, the target market has an impossibly hard time figuring out which is which.\n\nMaybe I should start a meta newsletter evaluating newsletters. Only $20/mo!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477320189653893121","reply_id":"1477330211678998528","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":31,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477331084694093824","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1837551775861420145":{"id":"1837551775861420145","date":"2024-09-21 17:57:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@txnftxnf https://x.com/cam_perrault/status/1837540892632129597","hashtags":[],"conv":"1837529061276442989","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3097,"bookmarks":16,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1837551775861420145","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1735688813547266134":{"id":"1735688813547266134","date":"2023-12-15 15:50:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbateman You should think of many Youtube channels as informercials though.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1735686106887127234","reply_id":"1735686106887127234","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbateman","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":835,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1735688813547266134","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1568396965372919810":{"id":"1568396965372919810","date":"2022-09-10 00:32:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Guilty as charged.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1568391778516234241","reply_id":"1568395827198193664","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1568396965372919810","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1182668602748604417":{"id":"1182668602748604417","date":"2019-10-11 14:45:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"A tweetstorm about #LeanStartup things that need to disappear. I see lots of incubators and startup-helpers around that do a varying-degrees-of-bad job trying to copy @ycombinator.\n\nI want to hear yours too.","hashtags":["leanstartup"],"conv":"1182668602748604417","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1182668602748604417","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1477041437162160129":{"id":"1477041437162160129","date":"2021-12-31 22:18:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@longskew @therobotjames Descent? I've decended.\n\nThere's a couch and some pork rinds down here.\nI ain't going nowhere.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477019314628612097","reply_id":"1477037744048459777","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"longskew","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477041437162160129","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1478599210152824833":{"id":"1478599210152824833","date":"2022-01-05 05:28:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@drunkengrass I might be the only person in the world not blocked by him but yes blocked by MLdP.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1478590620734164993","reply_id":"1478598746422210560","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"drunkengrass","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1478599210152824833","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1434963966380232705":{"id":"1434963966380232705","date":"2021-09-06 19:37:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"11/ But why does B -> C happen?\n\nI claim it’s caused by A -> B. The more new things you pass up on learning about, the harder it gets to learn about subsequent new things! You fall farther and farther behind.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434963956599193601","reply_id":"1434963965407227905","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434963966380232705","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1710521945257656403":{"id":"1710521945257656403","date":"2023-10-07 05:06:26","author":"Martin Shkreli (e/acc)","handle":"wagieeacc","text":"Nishad pushed straight to prod.\nhttps://github.com/nishadsingh1\n\nQ. Let's talk more specifically about the code portion of the special advantage.\nQ. Mr. Wang, what are we looking at here?\nA. So this is a screenshot of a record of a particular change that was made to FTX's code.\nQ. So this is the first piece of the computer code that we're looking at. So I want to ask you a few questions just to sort of help orient us in how we read this, okay?\nA. Yes.\nQ. So tell us a little bit about the language here. What does it mean and how does it work?\nA. So the Commit refers to a particular change that was made to FTX's code base.\nQ. And that's what you see up on the top here?\nA. Yes.\nQ. Okay.\nA. And then there is a name for the——there's a title for the change and then there's a description of the change.\nQ. Where is the title for the change on here?\nA. So right below Commit, where it says OTC Trades and Transfers Through Special Accounts.\nQ. Okay. And then lower, there's some writing in a green box. What is that a reference to?\nA. So the——the green refers to lines that were added to the code base as a result of this change.\nMR. ROOS: And then Mr. Bianco, could you just scroll down a little bit to the red coloring.\nQ. Do you see some red coloring, Mr. Wang? What are the red portions?\nA. The red portions with the minus sign in front are lines that were removed from the code base as a result of the change.\nQ. And what about the white parts?\nA. Those were lines that were unchanged, that were not changed.\nQ. So some of these things, you know, just looking at, for instance, line 13, revision equals and a number, those don't look like sentences to me. What is this?\nA. So this——so this particular file is for a change, a change to the——the columns in the database, and that particular revision number is a previous version of the data schema for the database.\nQ. And what sort of language is the whole code written in?\nA. It's written in Python.\nQ. Okay. Now let's focus in on this particular portion of the code that's in lines 1 through 31, so the green box here. And what does this show? What is this addition?\nA. So this is adding two columns to the accounts table in the FTX database. It's adding the \"Allow Negative\" column and it's adding the \"Can Trade Futures\" column.\nQ. So just focusing on the \"Allow Negative\" addition, does this mean that any particular account can have a negative balance?\nA. No. Just adding the ability for an account to be marked as being——as having the \"Allow Negative\" flag, but it doesn't have to be added to any particular account.\nQ. So earlier you mentioned it as a column. What column are you talking about?\nA. The \"Allow Negative\" column from that earlier screenshot.\nQ. So the one where it listed all the customer accounts and then it had a column Allow_Negative?\nA. Yes.\nQ. So this just added that column.\nA. Yes.\nQ. All right. Who added this particular revision to the code?\nA. Nishad did.\nQ. You're referring to Nishad Singh?\nA. Yes.\nQ. What was his involvement in coding?\nA. He was another developer at the——he was another developer at the company, and eventually he——he was the engineering manager.\nQ. When was this particular coding addition added?\nA. This was July 31, 2019.\nQ. And this adds the column, but to give an account this \"Allow Negative\" feature, what needs to happen?\nA. Someone needs to go into the database and actually enable it for a particular account.\nQ. Did you talk to the defendant about adding the \"Allow Negative\" code feature?\nA. Yes.\nQ. Okay. Now did Alameda Research's account on http://ftx.com ever have this particular \"Allow Negative\" feature turned on in that column?\nA. Yes.\nQ. When was that?\nA. It happened on the same day.\nQ. The same day as this code was added.\nA. Yes.\nQ. So, Mr. Wang, what are we looking at here?\nA. So this is a screenshot from GitHub, which is where the FTX code base was stored, and it allowed for commenting on various changes, and this is a comment on a particular change.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1710521945257656403","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1710525053778198749","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":372,"retweets":15,"replies":23,"quotes":25,"views":193027,"bookmarks":114,"media":["1710521945257656403_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/wagieeacc/status/1710521945257656403"},"1745293235864654260":{"id":"1745293235864654260","date":"2024-01-11 03:55:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Learning how to use an LLM better is isomorphic to improving your understanding of its training set.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1745293235864654260","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2282,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1745293235864654260","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1364815044236562432":{"id":"1364815044236562432","date":"2021-02-25 05:50:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@robjGoldberg @Noahpinion This is great, thank you for taking the time to find sources!\n\n(reading)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1364729418845884417","reply_id":"1364812634005020672","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"robgoldbergo","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1364815044236562432","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1507907853050208257":{"id":"1507907853050208257","date":"2022-03-27 02:30:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 Twitter is first to go, not even close.\nHas to be YouTube next right?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507898551719792646","reply_id":"1507907707134947328","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507907853050208257","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1390696800344895499":{"id":"1390696800344895499","date":"2021-05-07 15:55:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LouStagner HI-TOE? Bah.\n\nLO-HEEL is where it's at.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1390695801689722882","reply_id":"1390695801689722882","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"LouStagner","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1390696800344895499","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1507467793645506564":{"id":"1507467793645506564","date":"2022-03-25 21:21:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xShire @therobotjames https://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1363876629550800901","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507435300728934400","reply_id":"1507438851815522310","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xShire","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507467793645506564","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1906782947090350164":{"id":"1906782947090350164","date":"2025-03-31 18:57:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The \"phones are rotting the kids brains\" counterargument of \"but what about TV 60 years ago?\" isn't much of one.\n\nTV *did* lower mean literacy, attention span, etc.\n\nSeems pretty obvious in retrospect.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1906782947090350164","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":108,"retweets":2,"replies":9,"quotes":1,"views":7605,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1906782947090350164","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1712254740418142691":{"id":"1712254740418142691","date":"2023-10-11 23:51:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"- If he hadn't picked a fight with CZ.\n- If the balance sheet hadn't leaked.\n\n🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1712254740418142691","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":4739,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1712254740418142691","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1491605640610869254":{"id":"1491605640610869254","date":"2022-02-10 02:51:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @KrisAbdelmessih @therobotjames @volpompilano If you can surround yourself with people smarter than you who can accept your presence in their midst, you're winning at life.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1491570963728662532","reply_id":"1491605032470745088","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1491605640610869254","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1633534481973022721":{"id":"1633534481973022721","date":"2023-03-08 18:25:44","author":"Dwarkesh Patel","handle":"dwarkesh_sp","text":"For people who ask me how I come up with good questions for the podcast\n\nFrom Teller (of Penn & Teller)\n\nHt @gwern","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633534481973022721","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1633552114944471041","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":226,"retweets":7,"replies":7,"quotes":1,"views":55836,"bookmarks":72,"media":["1633534481973022721_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1633534481973022721"},"1984915643599069232":{"id":"1984915643599069232","date":"2025-11-02 09:29:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1984915643599069232","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":79,"retweets":3,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":11931,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1984915643599069232_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1984915643599069232","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1729159520809820223":{"id":"1729159520809820223","date":"2023-11-27 15:25:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"One of the great joys of parenting teens is misusing (or just using) their slang.\n\nPOV is having a solid run right now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1729159520809820223","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3319,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1729159520809820223","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1544896556595195905":{"id":"1544896556595195905","date":"2022-07-07 04:10:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @FREAK0NAUT @jp_JellyRoll I basically never did, and felt bad about it.\n\nThough trading base metal options on the LME was all about remembering which were the toxic strikes. Kinda similar.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1544867960254132224","reply_id":"1544894975099277312","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1544896556595195905","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1677323637127249921":{"id":"1677323637127249921","date":"2023-07-07 14:28:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BernardoCassar @macrocephalopod @PtrPomorski EWMAs of returns.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1676844419377512450","reply_id":"1677322818927591425","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BernardoCassar","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2474,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1677323637127249921","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1943322182081483068":{"id":"1943322182081483068","date":"2025-07-10 14:51:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeepDishEnjoyer Baby steps. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943320084761502037","reply_id":"1943320084761502037","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeepDishEnjoyer","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":660,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1943322182081483068","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1163537080741351425":{"id":"1163537080741351425","date":"2019-08-19 19:43:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OddStats Wow, a position in the lucrative world of journalism and writing? Some people have all the luck.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1163534050276937728","reply_id":"1163534050276937728","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OddStats","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1163537080741351425","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1605798442302701568":{"id":"1605798442302701568","date":"2022-12-22 05:32:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bookdepth BK lawyers always get paid.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1605769187539959809","reply_id":"1605769187539959809","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bookdepth","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":289,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1605798442302701568","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1446328771779301382":{"id":"1446328771779301382","date":"2021-10-08 04:17:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DavidTaggart Maybe. It's not clear what the model is going to be. Maybe outsourcing, maybe direct hire.\n\nAll I know is that 97% of software development is going where those low-end manufacturing jobs went in the 80s.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1446327630437908481","reply_id":"1446328162460135430","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DavidTaggart","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1446328771779301382","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1790904627195674990":{"id":"1790904627195674990","date":"2024-05-16 00:38:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Name some words you've only seen/used in writing and know what they mean, but you don't know what they sound like.\n\nI'll go first: paean.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1790904627195674990","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":30,"retweets":4,"replies":21,"quotes":0,"views":12856,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1790904627195674990","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2038320683399143932":{"id":"2038320683399143932","date":"2026-03-29 18:21:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If PMs were the panacea that Robin claims, why is by far the largest use of them to evade and circumvent state-level regulation of sports gambling?\n\nThe prediction markets emperor continues to have no clothes. And it's gross to see people debase themselves before him.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2038320659005124912","reply_id":"2038320681591427081","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":24,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2046,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2038320683399143932","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1398770551502430210":{"id":"1398770551502430210","date":"2021-05-29 22:37:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal Fooling yourself is no way to live.\n\nFinding real things is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1398763989606281216","reply_id":"1398763989606281216","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1398770551502430210","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1867502451336917390":{"id":"1867502451336917390","date":"2024-12-13 09:30:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lukassian It's so, so close. But it fails on \"case _\". :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1867480479282200779","reply_id":"1867499955016942064","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"civ_enjoy","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":617,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1867502451336917390","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1610139967610826752":{"id":"1610139967610826752","date":"2023-01-03 05:04:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Tallow_beach @RsndSpeculation Feels like a Baumol's cost disease thing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1610132517553856513","reply_id":"1610139410917429248","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Tallow_beach","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":82,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1610139967610826752","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1710286375013286280":{"id":"1710286375013286280","date":"2023-10-06 13:30:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I find it personally heartening that at least *some* of our internship training stuck.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1710286375013286280","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":82,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":46726,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1710286375013286280","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1363876629550800901":{"id":"1363876629550800901","date":"2021-02-22 15:41:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ Taking a break from options to talk about a general trading concept.\n\nIntended audience: people who are getting into trading, people have read a bunch of “experts” and came away even more confused, etc.\n\nA thread…","hashtags":[],"conv":"1363876629550800901","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1535388572630405121","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":857,"retweets":186,"replies":18,"quotes":37,"views":0,"bookmarks":1320,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1363876629550800901","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1581861962245210112":{"id":"1581861962245210112","date":"2022-10-17 04:17:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NotQuiteMidlife @686Prism MDs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1581702285297872897","reply_id":"1581702997842673665","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuiteMidlife","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1581861962245210112","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1395593617817751557":{"id":"1395593617817751557","date":"2021-05-21 04:13:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@shaneparrish And rightly so.\n\nIf we assume that policies become the status quo through long and continuous competition with other policies, local changes to it are overwhelmingly likely to be welfare-reducing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1395464606794096640","reply_id":"1395464606794096640","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"shaneparrish","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1395593617817751557","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1559717348356960256":{"id":"1559717348356960256","date":"2022-08-17 01:42:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I don't watch Billions because I'm terrified I'll like it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1559717348356960256","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":54,"retweets":0,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1559717348356960256","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1238463900900720645":{"id":"1238463900900720645","date":"2020-03-13 13:56:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vixologist @dynamicvol @bennpeifert @investinvol @6_Figure_Invest @pat_hennessy True, but MMs create when someone buys from them. There's *someone* getting long $SVXY.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1238444450654887937","reply_id":"1238463201592905730","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vixologist","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1238463900900720645","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1824642185687347223":{"id":"1824642185687347223","date":"2024-08-17 02:59:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@etodanik In C++23:\n- auto keyword\n- richer iterators (ranges/views)\n- constexpr\n- pattern matching","hashtags":[],"conv":"1824595076343009756","reply_id":"1824600352525578418","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"etodanik","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":280,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1824642185687347223","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1471155697303777280":{"id":"1471155697303777280","date":"2021-12-15 16:30:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"12/ Anyway, hope this helps.\n\nComments welcome, as always!\n\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471155685547118594","reply_id":"1471155696179683332","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471155697303777280","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1471155696179683332":{"id":"1471155696179683332","date":"2021-12-15 16:30:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"11/ Obviously this isn't just about crypto! Probably every argument/debate becomes more productive when people agree on *what* they're debating.\n\nFacts? Predictions? Or norms?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471155685547118594","reply_id":"1471155695139442691","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471155696179683332","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1679590588403048448":{"id":"1679590588403048448","date":"2023-07-13 20:36:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Result:\n\n- Zero-sum admissions deathmatch.\n- More carveouts for kids-of-elites like legacy admissions.\n- Less cover for selective colleges true objective: to join smart kids with rich kids in order to maximize future alumni donations.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1679590582510026754","reply_id":"1679590586884689920","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1589,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1679590588403048448","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1492618735517061121":{"id":"1492618735517061121","date":"2022-02-12 21:56:52","author":"Tarun Chitra","handle":"tarunchitra","text":"@MinvstrD @AlexanderGerko @zhusu There are a lot of studies showing that inverse / levered ETFs have anomalously high tracking error in practice; hell, even boring commodity ETFs have an implied fee that compounds https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-1-4939-2733-3_2","hashtags":[],"conv":"1492530110498582529","reply_id":"1492537945844244482","quote_id":"1492638327199002627","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MinvstrD","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tarunchitra/status/1492618735517061121"},"1527324803782574080":{"id":"1527324803782574080","date":"2022-05-19 16:26:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Almost 24 hours and a smattering of likes but no replies.\n\n🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1527324803782574080","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1527324803782574080","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1756410392237220013":{"id":"1756410392237220013","date":"2024-02-10 20:10:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @macrocephalopod @choffstein People who loudly proclaim unfairness in markets (both in price and in structure) almost never act on those purported beliefs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1756369060311253081","reply_id":"1756403382674473075","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":608,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1756410392237220013","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1878190940067680312":{"id":"1878190940067680312","date":"2025-01-11 21:23:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@__paleologo Let's also not forget changes in AUM, if that info is available. Effective returns != annualized returns.\n\nAFAICT the outperformance was concentrated in the early 2000s, when I assume AUM was smaller.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1878123188585902380","reply_id":"1878125684410999254","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"__paleologo","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2164,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1878190940067680312","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1476925469182226439":{"id":"1476925469182226439","date":"2021-12-31 14:37:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5/ 100x'ing the financial side of crypto means getting a lot of very risk-averse $ comfortable transacting in crypto. Crapping on all the olds with trillions of $ on the sidelines isn't helping anyone.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476925464824270848","reply_id":"1476925468217470976","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476925469182226439","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1417329700511182849":{"id":"1417329700511182849","date":"2021-07-20 03:45:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SquishChaos @Ksidiii @SqueezeMetrics @MortWeaz @jsoloff That's what I did too! :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1417300898234003457","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1417329700511182849","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1559686147126792197":{"id":"1559686147126792197","date":"2022-08-16 23:38:49","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"@moreproteinbars @witchqueendot Yea, I was buy side and traded like a mm/buy side hybrid bc I came thru the prop/mm side. Tina too ofc. \n\nHere's a phone and a computer and some capital. Everyone's trying to pick you off including the sell-side. Godspeed","hashtags":[],"conv":"1559678688580358145","reply_id":"1559679780945108992","quote_id":"1559691124511428608","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"moreproteinbars","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1559686147126792197"},"1942668168318607528":{"id":"1942668168318607528","date":"2025-07-08 19:32:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Also, maybe Indians shouldn't try *so* hard to turbo-ship their money to US trading firms?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942668168318607528","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":248,"retweets":10,"replies":36,"quotes":0,"views":31826,"bookmarks":32,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942668168318607528","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1424525658756042755":{"id":"1424525658756042755","date":"2021-08-09 00:19:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Felt the same way about Ocaml, after I stopped getting paid to write in it.\n\nBut now I am again. Yay!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1424473968925450245","reply_id":"1424473968925450245","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1424525658756042755","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1946593004485058948":{"id":"1946593004485058948","date":"2025-07-19 15:28:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FredSchmidt4 Homes have a cost. People won't want the upkeep cost/hassle.\n\nWe're just going to have an oversupply. There's no way around it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946518179569651763","reply_id":"1946589759775670592","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FredSchmidt4","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":670,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946593004485058948","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1346481456038625287":{"id":"1346481456038625287","date":"2021-01-05 15:39:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"28/ The purpose of BS and BS_inv are to *renormalize* prices of options into a measuring stick that we *can* get some intuitions about.\n\nThat's all \"implied vol\" is: a renormalization. Physicists rejoice!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346481454830608386","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":21,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346481456038625287","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1782252289199378645":{"id":"1782252289199378645","date":"2024-04-22 03:37:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"👇","hashtags":[],"conv":"1782252289199378645","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2918,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1782252289199378645","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2035720482859700728":{"id":"2035720482859700728","date":"2026-03-22 14:09:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Conspiracy theories abound when there's a competence vacuum.\nhttps://reducibleerrors.com/conspiracy-and-competence/","hashtags":[],"conv":"2035720482859700728","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2815,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2035720482859700728","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1542680680647122944":{"id":"1542680680647122944","date":"2022-07-01 01:25:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase @Simcoe__ @danrobinson Define \"valid\".\n\nGo look up the German tax div fraud from the early 2000s.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542632104088834050","reply_id":"1542673951469539331","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1542680680647122944","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1764672487126913100":{"id":"1764672487126913100","date":"2024-03-04 15:21:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FormulaDeltaOne @macrocephalopod @volatilitynoob @SidAhluwalia","hashtags":[],"conv":"1455887352371597312","reply_id":"1764669994808266950","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FormulaDeltaOne","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":251,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1764672487126913100_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1764672487126913100","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1216454558609620992":{"id":"1216454558609620992","date":"2020-01-12 20:19:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"How long would the term \"VIP\" last if we all agreed to use the full term Very Important Person/People?\n\n\"Hey, how much is it for the Very Important Person parking?\"\n\n\"If you want to use Very Important Person parking, it's $10.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1216454558609620992","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1216454558609620992","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1860022981608767986":{"id":"1860022981608767986","date":"2024-11-22 18:10:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dampedspring @macrocephalopod 🤣🤣🤣\n\nOf course it is. Haven't you ever used =AVERAGE()?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1859967290437234927","reply_id":"1860020903813480525","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dampedspring","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1412,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1860022981608767986","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1982105221150244981":{"id":"1982105221150244981","date":"2025-10-25 15:21:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Tallow_beach Oh? Embarrassingly I know nothing about this. Details?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1982014400593576127","reply_id":"1982096227530686906","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Tallow_beach","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":496,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1982105221150244981","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1390666730809135111":{"id":"1390666730809135111","date":"2021-05-07 13:56:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AgoHen @VolQuant It's funny, but there really are two \"kinds\" of options traders:\n\n1. People who hate incinerating money hedging short gamma.\n\nOR\n\n2. People who hate paying theta.\n\nPick your poison.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1390654113562648576","reply_id":"1390654738052616192","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgoHen","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1390666730809135111","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1352745579839770624":{"id":"1352745579839770624","date":"2021-01-22 22:30:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@drunkengrass This is wise. Even if she does get it, viral load appears to matter so a small exposure is better than a large exposure.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1352655077547229188","reply_id":"1352744298404429825","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"drunkengrass","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1352745579839770624","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1783167570754916450":{"id":"1783167570754916450","date":"2024-04-24 16:14:13","author":"qm","handle":"quantymacro","text":"while I’m on the topic, if you only can read one “how to land a quant role” post, it should be this one. this should answer 99% of DMs I get. and pls read the last paragraph slowly and carefully. and read it again. and again.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1783167570754916450","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1783189691006922901","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":350,"retweets":13,"replies":11,"quotes":4,"views":60097,"bookmarks":318,"media":["1783167570754916450_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/quantymacro/status/1783167570754916450"},"1482008056867471361":{"id":"1482008056867471361","date":"2022-01-14 15:13:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"- You saved $40k in 1st-year salary.\n- You have room for big raises in yr 2 to keep them happy.\n- They're super engaged with your company since you trained them in the new skillset.\n- Oh, and you saved $30k in recruiter fees.\n- And you have a culture of growth and development.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481847231917424640","reply_id":"1482008055889858562","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482008056867471361","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1359225688834777089":{"id":"1359225688834777089","date":"2021-02-09 19:40:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BrianSmith1031 @macrocephalopod Do RFRs even go that high?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1359154681679917061","reply_id":"1359225391060307970","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BrianSmith1031","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1359225688834777089","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1550597112705847296":{"id":"1550597112705847296","date":"2022-07-22 21:42:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theshynarcisist 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1550590053218385923","reply_id":"1550590053218385923","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"demibytes","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1550597112705847296","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1637112681365917697":{"id":"1637112681365917697","date":"2023-03-18 15:24:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin 32k tokens is an awful lot of context. You could give it most of your CSS and even other already-built components to crib off. You might just get the pixel perfection out of it first shot.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1637100852170063873","reply_id":"1637111847404056576","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":117,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1637112681365917697","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1999180761987953151":{"id":"1999180761987953151","date":"2025-12-11 18:13:31","author":"Erik - Outlier Trading","handle":"_OutlierTrading","text":"RT @_OutlierTrading: had a really awesome conversation with @AgustinLebron3 on the nuances of trading and the pitfalls traders find themselves in. \n\nyou can check out the episode below!\nhttps://t.co/5guiU8vG4t","hashtags":[],"conv":"1999180761987953151","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"1999178618665390413","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":12,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1999180761987953151_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/_OutlierTrading/status/1999180761987953151"},"1894997256400507203":{"id":"1894997256400507203","date":"2025-02-27 06:25:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Could be a top tick.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1894997256400507203","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2428,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1894997256400507203","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1486865031518048258":{"id":"1486865031518048258","date":"2022-01-28 00:53:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert For a job like this I'd suggest outbound search, if you're not doing it already.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486858204755619843","reply_id":"1486858204755619843","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1486865031518048258","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1476894174205157376":{"id":"1476894174205157376","date":"2021-12-31 12:33:05","author":"Austerity Sucks 🇩🇰","handle":"austerity_sucks","text":"I decided to make an evil 👿 2022 crypto predictions list\n\nI don't necessarily think these things will happen, it's basically doom porn of events, very unlikely. Feel free to add other similar predictions\n\nA bit twisted but I like to feel out the extremes as a thought exercise 🧵","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476894174205157376","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1476941041089409029","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1027,"retweets":225,"replies":117,"quotes":175,"views":0,"bookmarks":440,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/austerity_sucks/status/1476894174205157376"},"1392143635148279814":{"id":"1392143635148279814","date":"2021-05-11 15:44:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"For the Monty Python fans out there:\n\nhttps://www.linkedin.com/posts/agustinlebron_hiring-techhiring-recruiting-activity-6797897089205579776-d5-C","hashtags":[],"conv":"1392143635148279814","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1392143635148279814","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1464049779705450498":{"id":"1464049779705450498","date":"2021-11-26 01:54:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SpencerBosma @therobotjames Paid in SHIB.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1464007623829647378","reply_id":"1464007623829647378","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SpencerBosma","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1464049779705450498","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1291963787319287808":{"id":"1291963787319287808","date":"2020-08-08 05:05:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brenorb @remindmetweets Casei com brasileira, tive que aprender. Fica a vontade de mandar.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1291375187263275014","reply_id":"1291956195771678720","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"brenorb","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1291963787319287808","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1501714524600107010":{"id":"1501714524600107010","date":"2022-03-10 00:20:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert Question I've never known a satisfactory answer to: why are Euro divs *the* thing? Why not US?\n\nI don't know that [mumble] French quants [mumble] ever felt like a good enough reason.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501712267515084804","reply_id":"1501712267515084804","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501714524600107010","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1666800436760723456":{"id":"1666800436760723456","date":"2023-06-08 13:32:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"6/ So I had to take apart the original Blackberry clamshell screen layer by layer to figure out where to insert the EL backlight.\n\nSo I started from the back, the reflective layer. It's not easy to peel these off w/o destroying the display. Went through a dozen before succeeding.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1666800429236207621","reply_id":"1666800435385053187","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":921,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1666800436760723456","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1594917379397468160":{"id":"1594917379397468160","date":"2022-11-22 04:55:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"👇","hashtags":[],"conv":"1594917379397468160","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1594917379397468160","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1532214039039725568":{"id":"1532214039039725568","date":"2022-06-02 04:14:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"From the announcement:\n\n\"As alleged, Nathaniel Chastain betrayed OpenSea by using its confidential business information to make money for himself.\"\n\nI.e. if OpenSea had done what he did, buying up NFTs before listing, that would be totally cool by the DOJ.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1532213618938290176","reply_id":"1532213618938290176","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1532214039039725568","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2010983760381264051":{"id":"2010983760381264051","date":"2026-01-13 07:54:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Cellphone company rep calls. Says a bunch of things in Czech that I don't understand.\n\nMe:\n\"Prominte. Nemluvim cesky, mluvite anglicky?\"\n\nHim:\n\"I'm sorry, I don't speak English. I will have a colleague call you back.\"\n\n🧑‍🍳😙","hashtags":[],"conv":"2010983760381264051","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3882,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2010983760381264051","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1529970105844518912":{"id":"1529970105844518912","date":"2022-05-26 23:37:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@thodoha @VolatilitySwan It was fine once we set up the hydrophones properly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529963528920129547","reply_id":"1529969956191735808","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"othadoh","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1529970105844518912","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2015253546372153347":{"id":"2015253546372153347","date":"2026-01-25 02:41:01","author":"roon","handle":"tszzl","text":"programming always sucked. it was a requisite pain for ~everyone who wanted to manipulate computers into doing useful things and im glad it’s over. it’s amazing how quickly I’ve moved on and don’t miss even slightly. im resentful that computers didn’t always work this way","hashtags":[],"conv":"2015253546372153347","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2015475177455308807","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6780,"retweets":463,"replies":393,"quotes":211,"views":1104902,"bookmarks":1170,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tszzl/status/2015253546372153347"},"1689324337218916352":{"id":"1689324337218916352","date":"2023-08-09 17:14:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase When you use HTTPS, you and the server do a complex dance to exchange cryptographic keys so that you can communicate in an encrypted way with the server without anyone man-in-the-middling you or other exploits.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1689302387205582848","reply_id":"1689322696415354892","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":175,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1689324337218916352","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1521988393697042432":{"id":"1521988393697042432","date":"2022-05-04 23:01:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@p_e @tarunchitra @angeris Step 1:\n\nLet I be the indicator function denoting \"gas is ridiculously high because someone dropped some apes or land or something.\"\n\nThe rest is left as an exercise to the student.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1521971567437172739","reply_id":"1521971567437172739","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"p_e","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1521988393697042432","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1665908133477371904":{"id":"1665908133477371904","date":"2023-06-06 02:27:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xfbifemboy I believe so.\n\nThat plus not enough sunlight (or very bright light in general).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1665906892479266816","reply_id":"1665907858792382464","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xfbifemboy","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":296,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1665908133477371904","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2059813178826235963":{"id":"2059813178826235963","date":"2026-05-28 01:45:05","author":"Tyler Bosmeny","handle":"bosmeny","text":"YC is quietly building a counter-drone ecosystem.\n\n@PerseusDefense - Guided missiles to shoot down drones\n@9Mothers - AI machine guns to shoot down drones\n@surtrdefense - Open OS that fuses every sensor into one threat picture\nMilliray - Spots drones too small for legacy systems\nArlo Industries - Passive aerial sensing mesh for drone detection\n\nThree years ago, I couldn't get the best defense founders to apply. Now I can barely keep up 🇺🇸💪🇺🇸","hashtags":[],"conv":"2059813178826235963","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2059909182115963093","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":159,"retweets":20,"replies":20,"quotes":5,"views":57539,"bookmarks":73,"media":["2059813178826235963_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bosmeny/status/2059813178826235963"},"1548071340627808256":{"id":"1548071340627808256","date":"2022-07-15 22:25:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @pmontu33 @darjohn25 @Gingfacekillah @TCK_JRubano This is perhaps the most important point here.\n\nWe can all debate it until we're blue in the face but that doesn't matter. @pmontu33 you shouldn't take our word for it.\n\nOften the best way is to create a toy model of the system you're operating in and test it out.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548007648007634944","reply_id":"1548070615931703298","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1548071340627808256","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1647095842929770496":{"id":"1647095842929770496","date":"2023-04-15 04:33:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug","hashtags":[],"conv":"1647090962655744000","reply_id":"1647094796190613505","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1393,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1647095842929770496","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1968962583269949478":{"id":"1968962583269949478","date":"2025-09-19 08:57:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"For avoidance of doubt, I don't actually think this is a bad thing. Mature (esp) societies need good mechanisms to invest in crazy ideas.\n\nThe fact that could be -EV for individual VCs (or LPs) is fine as long as it's +EV for society.\n\nAnd society has a smaller discount rate.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1968962583269949478","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4575,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1968962583269949478","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1539249434940383232":{"id":"1539249434940383232","date":"2022-06-21 14:10:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5/ If someone from a “normal” background made it big and had enough to retire by age 40, they generally just didn’t do it.\n\nBut why? I can imagine a few reasons.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1539249425956093952","reply_id":"1539249433170391040","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1539249434940383232","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1789006953580228618":{"id":"1789006953580228618","date":"2024-05-10 18:57:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@greenbackzach Yes, paying 5 to 15bps is pretty damn insane. And that's just to start.\n\nWe all know the business model of RIAs. It's to get the AUM. Because that's where the real money is, isn't it?\n\nIt ain't rocket science, no matter if the 3 letters after your name make you think it is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788969245222850997","reply_id":"1788989585147469837","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"greenbackzach","likes":26,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":2210,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1789006953580228618","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1573477923192860672":{"id":"1573477923192860672","date":"2022-09-24 01:02:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@l1quid1ty Disagree, MSFT's customer service for large enterprises (which is where they make their money) is excellent.\n\nIs GOOG admired? :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1573449160568602624","reply_id":"1573449962343768064","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"l1quid1ty","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1573477923192860672","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1782129069796254144":{"id":"1782129069796254144","date":"2024-04-21 19:27:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Judd Trump, you have 4 days between matches here in Sheffield, are you going to go all the way back to Bristol or just stay here and find somewhere quiet to practice?\"\n\nBristol is 3 hrs away. I love how that's \"a long way to go for 4 days\" in the UK.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1782129069796254144","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4120,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1782129069796254144","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1667233884356878352":{"id":"1667233884356878352","date":"2023-06-09 18:15:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Bjarne must be so proud of his creation.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1667233884356878352","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":37,"retweets":2,"replies":8,"quotes":1,"views":8892,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1667233884356878352_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1667233884356878352","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1732808260405895568":{"id":"1732808260405895568","date":"2023-12-07 17:04:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tekwpacino Feels like there's no shortage of those.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1732803038161805516","reply_id":"1732806902227108109","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tekwpacino","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":44,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1732808260405895568","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1699031498643456466":{"id":"1699031498643456466","date":"2023-09-05 12:07:30","author":"Zvi Mowshowitz","handle":"TheZvi","text":"Follow-up poll: Same as the above, which is easier, also do you have experience as a senior software engineer?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1698817958825411016","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1699111512324071778","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":2,"replies":8,"quotes":4,"views":28423,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheZvi/status/1699031498643456466"},"1503885185917411328":{"id":"1503885185917411328","date":"2022-03-16 00:05:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Most advice-givers have something even better than algorithms:\n\nTheir own personal experience (sample size N=1).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503884581900111873","reply_id":"1503884821105618946","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1503885185917411328","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1937445029502492797":{"id":"1937445029502492797","date":"2025-06-24 09:37:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BeerusPissa Probably, but that doesn't mean I should want to work on them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1937209115383849132","reply_id":"1937424329517727935","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"brpsr96","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1818,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1937445029502492797","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1568592417926057987":{"id":"1568592417926057987","date":"2022-09-10 13:29:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SizeCapital @hemantv1729 A one year exp option, yes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1568391778516234241","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1568592417926057987","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1766560687168573835":{"id":"1766560687168573835","date":"2024-03-09 20:24:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@famadeo Were you though? What was your goal? To present something that makes you look good? Or to make money?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1766516961784000995","reply_id":"1766516961784000995","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"famadeo","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":200,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1766560687168573835","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1704202553322524747":{"id":"1704202553322524747","date":"2023-09-19 18:35:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih I think it's in the book.\n\nIf you're a hedger, you should want to yell as (credibly) loudly as you can that you're hedging.\n\nFidelity should announce their rebal trades weeks in advance. Etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1704200091790365139","reply_id":"1704201760393548277","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1064,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1704202553322524747","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1902555603534295115":{"id":"1902555603534295115","date":"2025-03-20 02:59:38","author":"Patrick McKenzie","handle":"patio11","text":"The Atlantic has an interesting piece on credit card processing. The thesis is that interchange fees redistribute money from poor to rich.\n\nI do not subscribe to this thesis.\n\nhttps://x.com/TheAtlantic/status/1902468906058465311","hashtags":[],"conv":"1902555603534295115","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1902630622117462031","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3156,"retweets":159,"replies":103,"quotes":59,"views":1038535,"bookmarks":2817,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/patio11/status/1902555603534295115"},"1739081861916442854":{"id":"1739081861916442854","date":"2023-12-25 00:33:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tmychow I strongly feel that way and I'm trying to act accordingly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1739081059533545501","reply_id":"1739081724339069258","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tmychow","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":323,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1739081861916442854","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1923311575806447896":{"id":"1923311575806447896","date":"2025-05-16 09:36:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Friendly reminder that manipulative AI slop is everywhere.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1923311575806447896","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":145,"retweets":1,"replies":12,"quotes":0,"views":18230,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1923311575806447896","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1778070686470181067":{"id":"1778070686470181067","date":"2024-04-10 14:41:01","author":"Patrick McKenzie","handle":"patio11","text":"VC: So we operate on an apprenticeship model.\nSoftware industry: Ah cool, so you talk to your associates, supervise their work, and carefully instruct them in the trade over years\nVC: Lol our time is valuable. No we have them cold email software founders.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1778070686470181067","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1778078997974262166","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":593,"retweets":16,"replies":9,"quotes":6,"views":83088,"bookmarks":83,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/patio11/status/1778070686470181067"},"1633686694246641664":{"id":"1633686694246641664","date":"2023-03-09 04:30:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Why are the Warriors *so* bad on the road?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633686694246641664","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":5045,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633686694246641664","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1185560451284779008":{"id":"1185560451284779008","date":"2019-10-19 14:16:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@balajis 2. What happens to the 5th Estate when it ends up eating the 4th? This has arguably already happened.\n\n3. The fact is most people don't know anything about anything. The notion of citizen-journalists is predicated on the false belief that information just magically appears.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1185396060232941568","reply_id":"1185559683483832321","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1185560451284779008","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1433221853523288064":{"id":"1433221853523288064","date":"2021-09-02 00:14:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@InBraised @therobotjames @M1tchRosenthal @MinvstrD I'm not aware of it existing in tradfi, no.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1433212446274199553","reply_id":"1433221645871849478","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"InBraised","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1433221853523288064","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1769538032334504354":{"id":"1769538032334504354","date":"2024-03-18 01:35:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeepDishEnjoyer @xobnu Yeah but at the margin it turns a shouldn't-hire into a let's-give-them-a-shot in ways that kill you 2 years down the line.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1769527221700513984","reply_id":"1769528605221011457","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeepDishEnjoyer","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":528,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1769538032334504354","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1919058042353500227":{"id":"1919058042353500227","date":"2025-05-04 15:54:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ctjlewis If that book wasn't vibe written then it's not worth getting.\n\nAnd it probably also isn't worth getting if it was.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1919049834410955165","reply_id":"1919049834410955165","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ctjlewis","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":226,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1919058042353500227","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1504554494775869450":{"id":"1504554494775869450","date":"2022-03-17 20:25:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @be20684347 @TCK_JRubano @therobotjames @lightspringfox @imagine_mev @pranavvk @bennpeifert Power cycle.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503862489599340544","reply_id":"1504553632636747778","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1504554494775869450","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2034629506531483820":{"id":"2034629506531483820","date":"2026-03-19 13:54:10","author":"Keanu","handle":"KeanuLanu","text":"I’ve personally had issues with it growing up as I was introduced to it back when I was 17. I was lucky enough to inherit $16,000 from my grandparents yet stupid enough to gamble it away. It happened the worst way possible for me because I started out winning 10x my money from $500 to $5000 playing roulette online, and I did it slowly. Then just as slowly, I lost it all. \n\nIn frustration I deposited 25% of my inheritance to win it back. Then lost it all again. It was 4am and I had school in just a few hours as I was sitting there with my laptop in bed. \n\nI was emotional, felt shame, and desperate to rid myself of those feelings I wanted to win it back and justified it by saying I would stop if I just got to breakeven, so I deposited another 25%, but this time I made a promise to myself that this was going to be it, no matter how painful. \n\nI didn’t play it slow this time, I bet it all in one bet, and lost it all. I can’t even begin to describe how terrified, shameful and disgusted I was with myself. Every fibre of my being wanted me to take the last remaining half and make my money back, but that night I overcame those urges and in a defining moment of my life stopped before it got too late. \n\nI never told my parents for obvious reasons, but if I did I could’ve gotten my money back on because it was illegal for them to allow me to play in the first place, but I never realised at the time and even if I did I’m not sure I would’ve been able to withstand the pain from telling them, and that’s how gambling sends you down a dark path very quickly. I don’t know where I would’ve been today if I didn’t manage to stop myself at the last minute. \n\nFor that reason I’m personally deeply against gambling and I find it unethical, but I understand why people without that experience can think otherwise. I thought I would share to help others, it’s never too late to stop.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2034510429024661591","reply_id":"2034577996741267668","quote_id":"2034629939891171806","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":7224,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KeanuLanu/status/2034629506531483820"},"2043679238465749198":{"id":"2043679238465749198","date":"2026-04-13 13:14:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Everybody rn.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2043679238465749198","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":3,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2771,"bookmarks":2,"media":["2043679238465749198_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2043679238465749198","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1268729183175241729":{"id":"1268729183175241729","date":"2020-06-05 02:19:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @Quantocracy @bennpeifert @Robot_Wealth @robotwealth I would argue that if you're teaching put-call parity, it's clearer to do so without reference to any vol model.\n\nJust present the arb, and show qualitatively how the relative put and call prices should move with changes in rate and divs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1268601039646687232","reply_id":"1268728461901721601","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1268729183175241729","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1282873857846603776":{"id":"1282873857846603776","date":"2020-07-14 03:05:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jordanwrong1 @SinclairEuan @KrisAbdelmessih Day happens, markets open, everything looks in line. It seemed, as usually happens, that everything was fine. The MMs were pricing these newly listed options fine.\n\nA few minutes later we noticed some large trades in the *old* options. So I investigated.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1282702235583954945","reply_id":"1282873479998496768","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1282873857846603776","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1942138285058326807":{"id":"1942138285058326807","date":"2025-07-07 08:27:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4/ That said, I do try to keep in touch with people, especially people who left JS more recently than I did.\n\nI started in 2008, and in the first week I was told by at least two senior people some variant of:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942138282919223648","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":125,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":32314,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942138285058326807","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1283857625864474624":{"id":"1283857625864474624","date":"2020-07-16 20:14:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheStalwart If it's inverse $TSLA then this is some serious chartcrime. For one thing, there's no such thing as a long squeeze. Up and down mechanics are completely different.\n\nThis ain't Seinfeld.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1283856563002843143","reply_id":"1283856563002843143","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheStalwart","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1283857625864474624_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1283857625864474624","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2062965047085666743":{"id":"2062965047085666743","date":"2026-06-05 18:29:29","author":"Antonio García Martínez (agm.eth)","handle":"antoniogm","text":"My contribution to VC discourse is that their power is severely overrated, most are just a thin wrapper layer to the real power in the world (the LPs). \n\nIt is up to you, the founder, to conjure the alchemy that turns labor and capital into value. \n\n(You might only realize this when you witness them desperately trying to raise their next fund, much like a founder raising their next round.)","hashtags":[],"conv":"2062965047085666743","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2062992530619138272","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":366,"retweets":12,"replies":22,"quotes":2,"views":46114,"bookmarks":58,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/antoniogm/status/2062965047085666743"},"1567159343254208514":{"id":"1567159343254208514","date":"2022-09-06 14:34:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Tallow_beach Either.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1567156142639579136","reply_id":"1567159221283704833","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Tallow_beach","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1567159343254208514","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1561908225045192704":{"id":"1561908225045192704","date":"2022-08-23 02:48:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @mpp75214 @Cereal_Intern @MisuaRaboki The average take loses money too, if it's any consolation.\n\nYou know who doesn't?\n\nThis guy:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1411890038938345472","reply_id":"1561907630016450560","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":34,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1561908225045192704_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1561908225045192704","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1537118170116288513":{"id":"1537118170116288513","date":"2022-06-15 17:01:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NotGiacomo @darjohn25 Funny. My memory of the bund/bobl futures is that they were the most comedically large-tick things you could trade.\n\nA high-vol day was when it traded at three different prices. :)\n\nSchatz was vaguely sensible IIRC though usually minimal volume.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1537099976790056961","reply_id":"1537117547971153922","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"NotGiacomo","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1537118170116288513","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1361862717343064064":{"id":"1361862717343064064","date":"2021-02-17 02:19:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@saah1lk Fascinating! Thanks.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1361856400050311172","reply_id":"1361862122603429888","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"saah1lk","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1361862717343064064","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1797258694973079577":{"id":"1797258694973079577","date":"2024-06-02 13:27:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeepDishEnjoyer @vanillaopinions I'm not trying to blame you. It sucks that you have to deal with this and I empathize with you. I really do, just like I empathize with @nope_its_lily when it happens to her. It sucks!\n\nBut you asked what happened. I'm giving you a hypothesis for why it's happening to you.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1796972914907943215","reply_id":"1797257826357661705","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeepDishEnjoyer","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":297,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1797258694973079577","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1237384276200415234":{"id":"1237384276200415234","date":"2020-03-10 14:26:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@daniel_egan @matt_levine It's a nice idea, but I fear that it's the same thing as \"unlimited vacation time\" at companies. It might just turn into trading happening 24hrs a day on off-exchange venues.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1237368953434972160","reply_id":"1237368953434972160","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"daniel_egan","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1237384276200415234","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1542995390760333312":{"id":"1542995390760333312","date":"2022-07-01 22:15:43","author":"Chris Kavanagh","handle":"C_Kavanagh","text":"A lot of guru figures are masters of inventing hugely complex and endlessly recursive analytical frameworks that are superficially impressive but fundamentally empty / trivial. Ken Wilber, Jordan Peterson, various sensemakers, and Deepak Chopra, seem to me to fit this model.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542995390760333312","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1542996301440200704","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":336,"retweets":29,"replies":37,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":34,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/C_Kavanagh/status/1542995390760333312"},"2034737786771718154":{"id":"2034737786771718154","date":"2026-03-19 21:04:26","author":"Sasha Gusev","handle":"SashaGusevPosts","text":"RT @SashaGusevPosts: Stumbled upon an interesting debate on AI super-intelligence from 2011. Yudkowsky makes three core claims/predictions, all of which are (to date) wrong:\n\n1) That human intelligence is relatively simple and ASI can be achieved with a few small innovations; ...","hashtags":[],"conv":"2034737786771718154","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2034696898406137869","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":32,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1,"bookmarks":0,"media":["2034737786771718154_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SashaGusevPosts/status/2034737786771718154"},"2083151969066107220":{"id":"2083151969066107220","date":"2026-07-31 11:25:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"At the time he seemed sharp, but prone to making bad decisions (financal and otherwise). And not reflecting or updating on mistakes.\n\nThe good news is SALP appears to have survived this blowup, so he still has chips in the game.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2083151966935409091","reply_id":"2083151966935409091","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":57,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":6216,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2083151969066107220","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1540178018550788099":{"id":"1540178018550788099","date":"2022-06-24 03:40:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@leakyalpha I mean, Bruce's analysis is pretty darn good.\nIt's the conspiracy theories I can do without...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1540019711160659968","reply_id":"1540177051134607361","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"leakyalpha","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1540178018550788099","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1498360066600148992":{"id":"1498360066600148992","date":"2022-02-28 18:10:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pmontu33 Surely it's a leasing arrangement paid for by the power generated?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1498359309675204614","reply_id":"1498359309675204614","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pmontu33","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1498360066600148992","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1569050654626451456":{"id":"1569050654626451456","date":"2022-09-11 19:50:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Singles is better than doubles.\n\nBut one thing I *love* about doubles is when you're the serving-team net guy and you mentally own the returner on the poach/no-poach decision.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1569050654626451456","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1569050654626451456","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1751380897671094354":{"id":"1751380897671094354","date":"2024-01-27 23:05:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug Yes, when that system didn't keep getting used or changed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1751379905395261697","reply_id":"1751379905395261697","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":851,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1751380897671094354","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1501748998209638405":{"id":"1501748998209638405","date":"2022-03-10 02:37:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Software_versioning#TeX","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501746242669346822","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501748998209638405","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1683659413880717313":{"id":"1683659413880717313","date":"2023-07-25 02:04:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin @vkhosla Same. I struggle to think of a task where an LLM has been demonstrated to be better than *all* humans. Not faster, but out-and-out better.\n\nhttps://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1683523275551559680","hashtags":[],"conv":"1683619123056766976","reply_id":"1683657865385443328","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1177,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1683659413880717313","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1605065437460369408":{"id":"1605065437460369408","date":"2022-12-20 04:59:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What do you call a prediction market that actually works?\n\nA financial market.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1605065437460369408","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":60,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":11435,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1605065437460369408","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1748414726928007314":{"id":"1748414726928007314","date":"2024-01-19 18:38:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tweetsbenedict Outcomes are bimodal. Either they struggled to even write it down, forget showing correctness. These were the credentialed teachers.\n\nOr (the college students, AOPS instructors) looked at me like \"What, you just want me to complete the square? That's the question? Here, done.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1748383159493046538","reply_id":"1748414182628983029","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":588,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1748414726928007314","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1955967824796565923":{"id":"1955967824796565923","date":"2025-08-14 12:20:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert Is there a margin at which you believe you're affecting people's behaviors? I've honestly kind of given up telling retail to stop trading options like chumps. It's depressing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1955967204715061361","reply_id":"1955967204715061361","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2426,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1955967824796565923","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1575957341912326146":{"id":"1575957341912326146","date":"2022-09-30 21:14:44","author":"Senior PowerPoint Engineer","handle":"ryxcommar","text":"I am a time series crank. I am convinced the vast majority of real world DA/DS problems can be imagined as time series problems in some non-reductive sense; I also think those DA/DS professionals whose problems are majority time series problems don't see their problems as such.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1575951731266969600","reply_id":"1575954106094845952","quote_id":"1575960621002072064","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ryxcommar","likes":88,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":5,"views":0,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ryxcommar/status/1575957341912326146"},"1988534045559431673":{"id":"1988534045559431673","date":"2025-11-12 09:07:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I'm sure I'll get attacked as \"gatekeeping\" or some other shit. I don't care. Use your own judgment but if anything you're seeing looks like the above, tread very very carefully.\n\n@KrisAbdelmessih @therobotjames @bookdepth @DeepDishEnjoyer please spread the word.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1988534015419146302","reply_id":"1988534043852320956","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":105,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":1,"views":11351,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1988534045559431673","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1445966332235710468":{"id":"1445966332235710468","date":"2021-10-07 04:16:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@interfluidity Unclear. Imagine how rich you'd be with 50+ years of consequence-free insider trading.\n\nYou could build your own BioSphere or something...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1445965369705861121","reply_id":"1445965369705861121","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"interfluidity","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1445966332235710468","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1403386243837087744":{"id":"1403386243837087744","date":"2021-06-11 16:18:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Lots of thinking recently about how to evaluate \"advice\".\n\nHot tip #1: If someone gives you advice, ask them \"In what situations would this be bad advice?\"\n\nIf the answer is some contrived situation, or *never* (a super common answer)...\n\nRUN AWAY!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1403386243837087744","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1689400693944418306","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":62,"retweets":5,"replies":4,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1403386243837087744","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1847970507259338774":{"id":"1847970507259338774","date":"2024-10-20 11:57:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 You've mentioned it before, and I looked at it very briefly  a couple of years ago. Maybe I should again.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847958383292301441","reply_id":"1847966364084101480","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":373,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847970507259338774","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1597961563784085504":{"id":"1597961563784085504","date":"2022-11-30 14:31:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@avi_eisen @0xren_cf @macrocephalopod A few prominent \"crypto MMs\" make most of their money buying these options cheaply and just delta hedging them for profit.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597921672769982464","reply_id":"1597924851914018818","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"avi_eisen","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597961563784085504","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1547072429104644099":{"id":"1547072429104644099","date":"2022-07-13 04:16:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ejames_c Someday I'll write something up about this.\n\nI think it's an incredibly common and problematic cognitive bias. Taleb talks about the \"ludic fallacy\", but I think his view (i.e. probabilities in games are fixed) is a special case of a much broader mistake.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1547064541301075968","reply_id":"1547072155224903680","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1547072429104644099","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1509904285491871747":{"id":"1509904285491871747","date":"2022-04-01 14:43:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@benhayesnyc This does sound like it falls under the \"very good reason\" category.\n\nThough IMO most publicly available (i.e. for retail) VWAP implementations are not especially good.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1509623825519951881","reply_id":"1509903300061282308","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"benhayesnyc","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1509904285491871747","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1791096866803007978":{"id":"1791096866803007978","date":"2024-05-16 13:22:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@wanyeburkett Also, how horrible an indictment of the institution that \"acing the ACT\" is even an end goal.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1791091100385468766","reply_id":"1791091100385468766","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"xwanyex","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2087,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1791096866803007978","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1468816907033710599":{"id":"1468816907033710599","date":"2021-12-09 05:36:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ankit_Quant Let me know how you find it!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1468779885485166593","reply_id":"1468779885485166593","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Ankit_Quant","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1468816907033710599","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1505588597587853314":{"id":"1505588597587853314","date":"2022-03-20 16:54:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"17/ Billy explains the new direction of the team to his scouts: and they're not impressed.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PlKDQqKh03Y\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AKXKkeLQWac","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1505588596304097280","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505588597587853314","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1403386455301320705":{"id":"1403386455301320705","date":"2021-06-11 16:19:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Hot tip #2:\n\nAsk yourself the same question when *you're* giving the advice.\n\nIt's amazing how many times you'll make yourself shut up. That's a good thing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1403386243837087744","reply_id":"1403386243837087744","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":18,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1403386455301320705","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1492628405669400578":{"id":"1492628405669400578","date":"2022-02-12 22:35:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@amtrpa Fair enough. I do also strongly believe that the world at large massively undervalues g in work situations.\n\nPsychometricians have mountains of evidence about something super important, but everyone basically just ignores them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1492622868634431488","reply_id":"1492628002710200324","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"amtrpa","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1492628405669400578","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1994342883093065852":{"id":"1994342883093065852","date":"2025-11-28 09:49:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Everyone faster than you is a front-running sniper or quote-stuffing queue-gamer.\n\nEveryone slower than you is a degenerate gambler with no real edge.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1994342883093065852","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":379,"retweets":16,"replies":9,"quotes":3,"views":67597,"bookmarks":80,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1994342883093065852","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1323351203523145728":{"id":"1323351203523145728","date":"2020-11-02 19:48:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm @jpsalvesen He leaves office: agree.\n\nThat's the end of the show: disagree. He has tens of millions of Americans in the palm of his hand. He'd be an idiot not to monetize that in the loudest way possible.\n\nHe sure needs the $ and he's no idiot.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1323331881572601856","reply_id":"1323347604445356032","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1323351203523145728","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1788218345394982973":{"id":"1788218345394982973","date":"2024-05-08 14:44:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@W98AB Yes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788214916509507744","reply_id":"1788217116442730731","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"W98AB","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3539,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788218345394982973","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1476779042674118661":{"id":"1476779042674118661","date":"2021-12-31 04:55:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JDcarlu The expected value of a distribution is known as the \"first moment\" of the distribution.\n\nOptions let you bet on higher moments. The second moment is loosely known as volatility.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476775525066571778","reply_id":"1476778852646981632","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476779042674118661","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2059704653995004185":{"id":"2059704653995004185","date":"2026-05-27 18:33:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Which one do you pick?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2059704653995004185","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2092,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2059704653995004185","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1602446378067791873":{"id":"1602446378067791873","date":"2022-12-12 23:32:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"9/ So now you're fitting trading-model hyperparams to your regime-prediction model. Starts to get sketchy and easy to overfit.\n\nSummary: sure, try it, but maybe there are easier things out there.\n\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602446367825149952","reply_id":"1602446376591273984","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1602446378067791873","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1904527966819741988":{"id":"1904527966819741988","date":"2025-03-25 13:37:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@l1quid1ty @dampedspring @bennpeifert @KrisAbdelmessih @therobotjames There are always hard stops. I mean, at some point you go insolvent.\n\nThe question is what level they're set at. If you're triggering hard stops often, you're probably sizing too large.\n\nDepends on strat, but stopping out more than a few times a year total: likely a mistake.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1904520228127596938","reply_id":"1904524493139411155","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"l1quid1ty","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":411,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1904527966819741988","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1293698193616584704":{"id":"1293698193616584704","date":"2020-08-12 23:57:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Traders: do you think about fair value when figuring out what trades to do? I.e. do you (a) try to compute \"this is what I think X is worth\" or (b) do you just determine rich/cheap?\n\nFor those that do (b) how do you know when to exit?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1293698193616584704","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1293698193616584704","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1215459264099078144":{"id":"1215459264099078144","date":"2020-01-10 02:24:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@balajis The optimal process of learning goes: medium -> brain -> paper -> brain.\n\nThis is a specific case of ingest -> produce -> correct -> reingest.\n\nWhichever edtech SW first matches paper's performance will win all the marbles.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1215394109508112384","reply_id":"1215394109508112384","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"balajis","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1215459264099078144","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1845041313755939184":{"id":"1845041313755939184","date":"2024-10-12 09:58:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The crypto world would do a lot better if it realized stables are the only thing non-crypto-degens have a chance at caring about.\n\nAnd then focus all their energies on making that completely friction-free for customers, merchants, etc etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1845041313755939184","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":60,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":1,"views":29122,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1845041313755939184","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1346481458634842114":{"id":"1346481458634842114","date":"2021-01-05 15:39:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"30/ But millions of BS vols get calculated every second because they get a very important job done:\n\nThey let you *think* about options. And that's no small feat.\n\nWell, this got longer than I expected again, so let's leave vol curves and surfaces for tomorrow.\n\nSee you then!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346481457326223368","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":31,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346481458634842114","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2067407901208052153":{"id":"2067407901208052153","date":"2026-06-18 00:43:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"How different would frontier AI progress look if California had non-competes?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2067407901208052153","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":51,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":9331,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2067407901208052153","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1763218207522042334":{"id":"1763218207522042334","date":"2024-02-29 15:02:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @KrisAbdelmessih @rudyroggio @TCK_JRubano Fair, not saying we should all try all roles. Just that it's easy to manufacture a self-image and then accidentally try to live up to it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1763076860773351497","reply_id":"1763217487791812736","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":215,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1763218207522042334","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1390404571634167809":{"id":"1390404571634167809","date":"2021-05-06 20:34:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MinvstrD Mental stuff is enormously overrated in retail-trading land compared to \"do you have any edge?\"\n\nObviously it's because it's easier to try to teach the former than the latter.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1390397578194341889","reply_id":"1390397578194341889","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MinvstrD","likes":20,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1390404571634167809","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1903901039352541678":{"id":"1903901039352541678","date":"2025-03-23 20:05:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Biggiethelad1 Yes, a profitable trading firm needs to be getting better continuously. Easier said than done, but figure out what you're bad at and get slightly better at it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1903889760483238169","reply_id":"1903890852428001743","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Biggiethelad1","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":320,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1903901039352541678","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1471155688663486468":{"id":"1471155688663486468","date":"2021-12-15 16:30:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4/ When we make and listen to statements, let's bucket them in 3 broad categories:\n\n1⃣ Factual: Claims about facts. I.e. a thing most people agree is true/false\n\n2⃣ Predictive: Claims about future states of the world.\n\n3⃣ Normative: Claims about what *should* be true. Or a goal.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471155685547118594","reply_id":"1471155687577194496","quote_id":"1634712431745445888","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471155688663486468","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1896830818758373761":{"id":"1896830818758373761","date":"2025-03-04 07:51:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Fascinating, and it sounds like a great example.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1896830818758373761","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2779,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1896830818758373761","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1548085973312884741":{"id":"1548085973312884741","date":"2022-07-15 23:23:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@goodalexander @Value_Quant @pmontu33 @therobotjames @darjohn25 @Gingfacekillah @TCK_JRubano Yeah, stop hunting is definitely a thing in some places.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548007648007634944","reply_id":"1548084870332551171","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"goodalexander","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1548085973312884741","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1546151229247565824":{"id":"1546151229247565824","date":"2022-07-10 15:15:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@blo_viation I mean, I *am* selecting conversations that nerdy interns would (and do) have. :)\n\nBetting on beliefs is not a socially acceptable thing almost anywhere. Calling people on their bullshit will get you shunned extremely quickly. 🤷‍♂️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546133024869212165","reply_id":"1546150575036944385","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"blo_viation","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546151229247565824","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2006843248942477798":{"id":"2006843248942477798","date":"2026-01-01 21:41:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"ABPB: Always be pumping the bags.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2006843072337072269","reply_id":"2006843072337072269","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":93,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":12760,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2006843248942477798","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1564296483569934336":{"id":"1564296483569934336","date":"2022-08-29 16:58:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"TFW when you're terrified it's a bug in the bot.\n\nBut it's actually a bug your monitoring tools.\n\nYay? 🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1564296483569934336","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":33,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1564296483569934336","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1753881550725198127":{"id":"1753881550725198127","date":"2024-02-03 20:42:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein Math with a side order of politics?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1753878805549056430","reply_id":"1753878805549056430","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":511,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1753881550725198127","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1438661913387225088":{"id":"1438661913387225088","date":"2021-09-17 00:31:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @pauld44 Two things are true about \"rockstar\" developers:\n\n1. They exist.\n2. They don't self-identify as such.\n\nAdvertising for them will get you a lot of people who think they are (or try to convince you they are) but aren't.\n\nClear adverse selection.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1438643743381499904","reply_id":"1438647903212478464","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1438661913387225088","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1666800438119743489":{"id":"1666800438119743489","date":"2023-06-08 13:32:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"7/ Finally I had a working LCD w/ no reflective layer. And what I saw was pure magic.\n\nA transparent LCD screen. You could see the LCD contents, if you looked hard, but you could also see the world!\n\nThis moment is still seared in my mind.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1666800429236207621","reply_id":"1666800436760723456","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":975,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1666800438119743489","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1648382588200062976":{"id":"1648382588200062976","date":"2023-04-18 17:46:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"💯","hashtags":[],"conv":"1648382588200062976","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2745,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1648382588200062976","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1294291801386258432":{"id":"1294291801386258432","date":"2020-08-14 15:16:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"All it takes is a leader willing to try it. To show the world the due-process-and-rule-of-law emperor doesn't actually have any clothes.\n\nOnce you open that box, it's hard to see how you close it again. The adverse selection of who runs for office just gets worse and worse.\n\n3/4","hashtags":[],"conv":"1294291799897280512","reply_id":"1294291800648118273","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1294291801386258432","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1631079455723773952":{"id":"1631079455723773952","date":"2023-03-01 23:50:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SolutionOrganic It's not like leality is *completely* divorced from the reality that (AFAIK) there is no plausible self-driving tech in existence today that could handle driving in the rain. For example.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1631035436830445569","reply_id":"1631071685905375238","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SolutionOrganic","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":159,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1631079455723773952","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1428495733481635846":{"id":"1428495733481635846","date":"2021-08-19 23:14:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@noms_nom_nom @afewredbeans @therobotjames Trading companies have a similar failure mode.\n\nTraders and clerks.\n\nSometimes you hire a great clerk. A super-clerk. They're ambitious and you don't want to lose them. So you promote them to trader.\n\nAlmost always, you've eliminated a great clerk and now have a mediocre trader.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1428381820421242886","reply_id":"1428491982029131789","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"return_stacking","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1428495733481635846","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1145001740267188224":{"id":"1145001740267188224","date":"2019-06-29 16:11:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":">90% of the \"career advice\" you see on #LinkedIn is transparent signaling and mood affiliation. My question: do the writers themselves realize this?","hashtags":["linkedin"],"conv":"1145001740267188224","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1145001740267188224","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1341851639590731777":{"id":"1341851639590731777","date":"2020-12-23 21:02:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2. In chess, a big part of your ELO is how often and big your blunders are. The difference between an IM and world-class GM isn't that @GMHikaru finds brilliancies much more often, it's that his worst plays are still really good.\n\nArguably this is how @MagnusCarlsen wins so much.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1341851637782999041","reply_id":"1341851638764453889","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1341851639590731777","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1867298787099554129":{"id":"1867298787099554129","date":"2024-12-12 20:01:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1. The world is complex, with lots of weird interacting parts. It's hard to disentangle and thinking about real-world situations often leaves you more confused.\n\nToy models try to cleave nature at the joints. Let's simplify *that* bit in order to clearly think about *this* bit.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1867298783165305134","reply_id":"1867298784872739216","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":36,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4663,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1867298787099554129","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1130235768310394880":{"id":"1130235768310394880","date":"2019-05-19 22:16:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"60 Minutes tonight on $BTC. Watch for the spike on Monday as mom and pop get in on the action. #btc #60Mins #crypto","hashtags":["btc","60mins","crypto"],"conv":"1130235768310394880","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1130235768310394880","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1729679342727213086":{"id":"1729679342727213086","date":"2023-11-29 01:51:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbateman It's not the worst idea to use it as a component of candidate evaluation. Unfortunately, there is a clear stigma against doing so.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1729644707586715982","reply_id":"1729677594356752764","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbateman","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":246,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1729679342727213086","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1666500062112022528":{"id":"1666500062112022528","date":"2023-06-07 17:39:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 Every programming contest solution starts with\n\ndp = DP()","hashtags":[],"conv":"1666496173765689346","reply_id":"1666499735371546624","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":220,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1666500062112022528","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1787882491493445687":{"id":"1787882491493445687","date":"2024-05-07 16:29:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@quantymacro \"How does ridge regression work?\"\n\n🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1787859235625484606","reply_id":"1787860510932627652","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"quantymacro","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1028,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1787882491493445687","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1561918068829216768":{"id":"1561918068829216768","date":"2022-08-23 03:27:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@l_thorizon Try to overfit. Start with an infrequently-traded instrument. Look at the orders that come in. The trades. Try to create little stories.\n\n\"Hey, it's 3-lot buyer guy again. Wonder if he'll step up this time.\"\n\nEtc etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1411890038938345472","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":51,"retweets":4,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1561918068829216768","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1922739224169578848":{"id":"1922739224169578848","date":"2025-05-14 19:42:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This post from @Chris_arnade still haunts me.\n\nhttps://walkingtheworld.substack.com/p/walking-phoenix","hashtags":[],"conv":"1922739224169578848","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":1962,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1922739224169578848","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1786454335188283568":{"id":"1786454335188283568","date":"2024-05-03 17:54:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Since there's been much debate in the replies, I mean a study guide which is basically exactly the test/exam they're going to take but with the metaphorical numbers changed around.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1786454335188283568","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":4369,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1786454335188283568","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1847736325555843520":{"id":"1847736325555843520","date":"2024-10-19 20:27:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@zestular Brainstorming sessions aren't about coming up with new ideas. They're about coordinating and aligning around the most popular idea while giving everyone cover that it's about something else.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847675745474371981","reply_id":"1847675745474371981","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"zestular","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":33,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847736325555843520","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1372547271057797130":{"id":"1372547271057797130","date":"2021-03-18 13:55:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Day 2.\n\nBiggest complaint I have right now is the inability to export data to a CSV from the app. The website says they're working on it, but surely this is a trivial feature to add.\n\nA lot of early users are probably data nerds like me.\n\nCome on @supersapiensinc whaddaya say? 🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1372383298970734592","reply_id":"1372383298970734592","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1372547271057797130","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1721330599204708468":{"id":"1721330599204708468","date":"2023-11-06 00:56:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CFA_Life Who's to say?\n\nIf I had to guess, LPs don't love the actively-tweeting fund manager too much.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1721322933128425760","reply_id":"1721327546669908310","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"CFA_Life","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":459,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1721330599204708468","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1606007793621667841":{"id":"1606007793621667841","date":"2022-12-22 19:24:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@return_stacking But that's walking pace tho.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1606006250470342668","reply_id":"1606006250470342668","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"return_stacking","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":53,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1606007793621667841","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1548525092203679744":{"id":"1548525092203679744","date":"2022-07-17 04:28:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @macropotamus @therobotjames Never. I sank some time into that too.\n\nGotten to the point where I just choose to believe the null hypothesis: regimes don't exist.\n\nUntil the next cool technique I read about on Arxiv, that is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548521697749377024","reply_id":"1548522615090085888","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":26,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1548525092203679744","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1720446857837699142":{"id":"1720446857837699142","date":"2023-11-03 14:24:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@xmgnr This is the strongest argument against it, I agree.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1720437556469477428","reply_id":"1720446743630749821","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"xmgnr","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":728,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1720446857837699142","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1644867188258635776":{"id":"1644867188258635776","date":"2023-04-09 00:57:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@eestokesOSS Indeed. The world moves slowly in response to new tech. But it moves.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1644837591857135617","reply_id":"1644865534222057472","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"eestokesOSS","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":190,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1644867188258635776","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1788665758857495014":{"id":"1788665758857495014","date":"2024-05-09 20:22:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"There must have been a cheat sheet that came with the game to give you the mappings.\n\nWe didn't have that cheat sheet.\n\nSo, over a few weeks of trying to play, my sister and I ended up memorizing the mappings.\n\nHelluva way to learn a lot of different cheese names as a teenager.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788665757666349522","reply_id":"1788665757666349522","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1227,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788665758857495014","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1482222790505684997":{"id":"1482222790505684997","date":"2022-01-15 05:27:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BayesianBohdi @choffstein All positions are guaranteed regret.\nYou can always have done more. Or less.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482066898472865796","reply_id":"1482073743518486528","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"effnkat","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482222790505684997","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1422573843814649856":{"id":"1422573843814649856","date":"2021-08-03 15:03:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I just received a $200 Apple gift card.\n\nWhat should I purchase? I have no interest in AppleTV or AirPods. Having trouble finding anything worth getting...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1422573843814649856","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1422573843814649856","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1785761076321337739":{"id":"1785761076321337739","date":"2024-05-01 19:59:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@quantymacro At some point you're going to look back on this and ask yourself \"Why did I care so much about a particular tool I'm using?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1785731319642657178","reply_id":"1785731319642657178","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"quantymacro","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":525,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1785761076321337739","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1540160125364625408":{"id":"1540160125364625408","date":"2022-06-24 02:29:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Curious: have you read Digital Maoism (16 years old now)?\n\nhttps://www.edge.org/conversation/digital-maoism-the-hazards-of-the-new-online-collectivism","hashtags":[],"conv":"1540160125364625408","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1540160125364625408","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1442265194101542918":{"id":"1442265194101542918","date":"2021-09-26 23:09:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @M1tchRosenthal @iTrismegistus @thodoha 👆","hashtags":[],"conv":"1442135906538905607","reply_id":"1442261488236781574","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1442265194101542918","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1187723841625178113":{"id":"1187723841625178113","date":"2019-10-25 13:33:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz Probably not in the sense of actual resting stop orders. Those basically don't exist anymore in US equities and futures (though they still exist in forex).\n\nShort gamma hedging at the 3k strike? Sure.\nVirtual stops from algos? Maybe.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1187722516111994881","reply_id":"1187722516111994881","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1187723841625178113","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1921086541092331713":{"id":"1921086541092331713","date":"2025-05-10 06:14:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"The entire structure of school is based on the thesis that students need to be forced to learn, and that this learning must be constantly policed.\"\n\nSummarized in one sentence, this is the problem with the school industrial complex.\n\nhttps://thezvi.substack.com/p/cheaters-gonna-cheat-cheat-cheat","hashtags":[],"conv":"1921086541092331713","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":46,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4910,"bookmarks":21,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1921086541092331713","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1603779215710527488":{"id":"1603779215710527488","date":"2022-12-16 15:48:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"We're the ants. He's the kid.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1603778144351096832","reply_id":"1603778145714180096","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":2049,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1603779215710527488_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1603779215710527488","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1541274060675489792":{"id":"1541274060675489792","date":"2022-06-27 04:15:46","author":"Mishaal","handle":"algergawi","text":"Ray Dalio having “an end of the world” portfolio reminds me a little bit of the billionaire in Don’t Look up who launches into space at the end of the movie.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1541274060675489792","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1541274341001658368","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1541274060675489792_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/algergawi/status/1541274060675489792"},"1873505773122187703":{"id":"1873505773122187703","date":"2024-12-29 23:05:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"d126400a5cb67adebc141b954b13461e43d48880048a7a384a7f3b32e635b0a2","hashtags":[],"conv":"1873505773122187703","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2083151966935409091","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":32,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":91217,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1873505773122187703","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1799640598389076406":{"id":"1799640598389076406","date":"2024-06-09 03:12:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What a wondrous world we live in, where I can randomly find out that JL Borges appeared on Firing Line in 1977, and then just FIND THE EPISODE ON YOUTUBE!\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bNxzQSheCkc","hashtags":[],"conv":"1799640598389076406","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2408,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1799640598389076406","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1482425544276787200":{"id":"1482425544276787200","date":"2022-01-15 18:52:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sp_monte_carlo I'm all about the earthmover distance.\n\nhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wasserstein_metric","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482399869277032450","reply_id":"1482399869277032450","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sp_monte_carlo","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482425544276787200","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1598369489426722816":{"id":"1598369489426722816","date":"2022-12-01 17:32:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase @therobotjames @robertmartin88 Yep.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598359321158553602","reply_id":"1598368642894290949","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598369489426722816","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2037186387103940781":{"id":"2037186387103940781","date":"2026-03-26 15:14:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"And if they don't spend it all and it goes to shit, OAI exercises their preference and takes the rest of the money.\n\nSo you could raise infinity dollars at 10x infinity valuation, it makes no practical difference.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2037185398187692451","reply_id":"2037186385409392881","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":39,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4988,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2037186387103940781","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2072981873748222261":{"id":"2072981873748222261","date":"2026-07-03 09:52:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The fraction of finance journalists who actually understand trading is small. A nearly-exhaustive list:\n\nWSJ: @GZuckerman @aosipovich \nBBG: @matt_levine @TheStalwart\nFT: @RobinWigg @izakaminska\n\n@ByrneHobart isn't exactly a journalist but close enough.\n\nWho's missing?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2072981873748222261","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":328,"retweets":6,"replies":13,"quotes":2,"views":32049,"bookmarks":334,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2072981873748222261","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1391237138511896577":{"id":"1391237138511896577","date":"2021-05-09 03:42:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Am I crazy or are all the courses available on Maven just basically \"How to get better at GenZ-style self-selling\"\n\nWith the exception of Pomp's \"crypto\" course of course. And that's a whole other thing entirely...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1391237138511896577","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1391237138511896577","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1390081431901114368":{"id":"1390081431901114368","date":"2021-05-05 23:10:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@michael_nielsen Problem is that 75yo who can run 100m in 15s was probably close to 10-11 at age 25.\n\nGenetics rules running.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1390079697577521153","reply_id":"1390079697577521153","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"michael_nielsen","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1390081431901114368","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1541241464146907137":{"id":"1541241464146907137","date":"2022-06-27 02:06:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @be20684347","hashtags":[],"conv":"1541240145755914240","reply_id":"1541240145755914240","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1541241464146907137","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1511706687949864972":{"id":"1511706687949864972","date":"2022-04-06 14:05:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I've seen both retail and also very well-funded quant people/groups spend time and $ upfront on massive build-outs of tech and research infra.\n\nIt usually fails.\n\nYMMV, this is just my perspective. And maybe I misunderstood @HangukQuant's point too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1511706685475151872","reply_id":"1511706686888706051","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":36,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1511706687949864972","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2059907239540920737":{"id":"2059907239540920737","date":"2026-05-28 07:58:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I'll admit, it's pretty entertaining watching the prediction market proponents argue about whether insider trading is or is not kosher.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2059907239540920737","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":77,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":6878,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2059907239540920737","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1600194841089961986":{"id":"1600194841089961986","date":"2022-12-06 18:25:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"For the last couple of years I've found it increasingly difficult to un-see that we're all stochastic parrots.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1600194841089961986","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":70,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1600194841089961986","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1545784936036044805":{"id":"1545784936036044805","date":"2022-07-09 15:00:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What if Elon knows it's more than 5% because HE'S running a massive botnet?\n\nWhat if Elon himself is a bot?\n\nWhat if all of you are bots and this whole thing is a Truman Show for built just for me?\n\nWhat if I'M a bot?\n\n🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1545784936036044805","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1545784936036044805","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1546589177000574976":{"id":"1546589177000574976","date":"2022-07-11 20:16:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@johnisskeptical @tylercowen It depends.\n\nI see a lot is cargo-cult hiring. Aping a successful company's process (and candidate pool) without thinking deeply about whether it's right for your company.\n\nIn the end, the way to make hiring a competitive advantage is to do the hard work figuring it out.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546551259045384192","reply_id":"1546581129528049666","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"johnisskeptical","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546589177000574976","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1980009305609748496":{"id":"1980009305609748496","date":"2025-10-19 20:32:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@inductionheads You can pour compute and data into the wrong architecture and algorithm and all you're going to get is some waste heat.\n\nBitter lesson isn't \"the other stuff doesn't matter\", it's \"find the architectures and algorithms that work when you pour in data and compute\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1979868035813929014","reply_id":"1979868035813929014","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"inductionheads","likes":33,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":1331,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1980009305609748496","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1339044008287379456":{"id":"1339044008287379456","date":"2020-12-16 03:05:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Wallacesnoop1 @bennpeifert 😂🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1238823808082907136","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1339044008287379456","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1420546871471185923":{"id":"1420546871471185923","date":"2021-07-29 00:49:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brenorb Or another perspective on the exact same thing: adding randomness is a hacky way of encoding priors on your model which you don't know how to otherwise.\n\nRandomness isn't magic. When it helps, that's telling you you suck. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420131145669169153","reply_id":"1420546636602777601","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420546871471185923","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1475646414663258112":{"id":"1475646414663258112","date":"2021-12-28 01:54:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 KD","hashtags":[],"conv":"1475634795392552960","reply_id":"1475634795392552960","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1475646414663258112","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1557002965441196037":{"id":"1557002965441196037","date":"2022-08-09 13:56:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NateSilver538 Or:\n\n1. Pithy retelling of obscure historical event.\n2. Which turns out is the linchpin of the modern world.\n3. And here are some more examples of the huge importance of this niche {product/event/industry/worldview}.\n4. And why it's going to be even more important in future.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1557002143663538176","reply_id":"1557002143663538176","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"NateSilver538","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1557002965441196037","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1982827944503661055":{"id":"1982827944503661055","date":"2025-10-27 15:13:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I wish I could quote this a thousand times a day at all the crypto-bro and prediction market degens who are either (a) losing their asses playing a game they can't win instead of doing something useful, or (b) exploiting the those people.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1982827944503661055","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":172,"retweets":13,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":28612,"bookmarks":80,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1982827944503661055","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1789681215022535025":{"id":"1789681215022535025","date":"2024-05-12 15:37:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Watching the Internet slowly learn about the Carrington event is fun.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1789681215022535025","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":5240,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1789681215022535025","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1523815041207660545":{"id":"1523815041207660545","date":"2022-05-09 23:59:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BitcoinShaykh Looking right at it!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1523811893126721536","reply_id":"1523812180956790788","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BitcoinShaykh","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1523815041207660545","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2040909183525048638":{"id":"2040909183525048638","date":"2026-04-05 21:47:22","author":"Nate Silver","handle":"NateSilver538","text":"These are the Twitter/X accounts with the most engagement so far in 2026. I suppose I had some intuition for how bad it was, but jeez, this is what you get when the ecosystem is broken.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2040909183525048638","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2041154725022756983","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":29632,"retweets":5442,"replies":7383,"quotes":3420,"views":21232337,"bookmarks":8050,"media":["2040909183525048638_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/2040909183525048638"},"1876342782899650617":{"id":"1876342782899650617","date":"2025-01-06 18:59:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@__paleologo Ok how about this. It's in my book but whatever:\n\nThe reason James Bond is tasked with spying on Goldfinger is because the latter is suspected of... gasp... arbing the price of gold between London and Pakistan.\n\nStands to reason a madman like that would also bomb Fort Knox.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1876175721913360632","reply_id":"1876235573611872574","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"__paleologo","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":773,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1876342782899650617","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1542975366880325634":{"id":"1542975366880325634","date":"2022-07-01 20:56:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm 1.✅\n2.✅\n3.✅\n\n4. Not fight to pay the bill.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542968867265204224","reply_id":"1542972644198195200","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1542975366880325634","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1954980228175929505":{"id":"1954980228175929505","date":"2025-08-11 18:56:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I really can't understand why *anyone* still pays attention to Yud or MacAskill, or any of these OG AI grifters.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1954980228175929505","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":78,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":9267,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1954980228175929505","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1486035788168974338":{"id":"1486035788168974338","date":"2022-01-25 17:58:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily Plus it all runs through web app API calls into basically two services.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486028841864687617","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1486035788168974338","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1712545240467599644":{"id":"1712545240467599644","date":"2023-10-12 19:06:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I'm extremely here for the acerbic world-weary judge who's always ready for a quip.\n\nI have no idea what he looks like but I'm sure it's Steven Hill.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1712545240467599644","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1735,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1712545240467599644_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1712545240467599644","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1437266695438143488":{"id":"1437266695438143488","date":"2021-09-13 04:07:37","author":"metaphaneron","handle":"metaphaneron","text":"@AgustinLebron3 95% of saas startups are just bundling / unbundling features of excel, making it unavailable offline and charging $29/month","hashtags":[],"conv":"1437111391857434628","reply_id":"1437111391857434628","quote_id":"1437414534218612736","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/metaphaneron/status/1437266695438143488"},"1411890470515445766":{"id":"1411890470515445766","date":"2021-07-05 03:31:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It might seem boring but if you can find the interestingness in looking at ticks, and in deeply understanding how people and machines and exchanges behave, the world is your oyster.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1411890038938345472","reply_id":"1411890038938345472","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":84,"retweets":4,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1411890470515445766","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1679590582510026754":{"id":"1679590582510026754","date":"2023-07-13 20:36:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"A hypothesis about the increased competition in selective colleges:\n\n1. HS education has gotten more equitable over time. People lower on the IQ (as a proxy for education potential) spectrum get more gains. So the slope of IQ vs achievement gets flattened.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1679590582510026754","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":7885,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1679590582510026754","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2062789209237168626":{"id":"2062789209237168626","date":"2026-06-05 06:50:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"- US population has increased more than the other two.\n- Japan's early growth spurt was probably still a bit of Solow catch-up growth.\n- Since ~1990 they all look pretty identical.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2062787572439372162","reply_id":"2062787572439372162","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":20,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":3220,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2062789209237168626","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1391957084019695627":{"id":"1391957084019695627","date":"2021-05-11 03:23:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vgr How scared are people of having their carefully-curated knowledge graph, their second brain, in the walled garden of a company that almost definitely isn't self-sustaining?\n\nI love Roam, but in the end it seemed like too large a risk. Stroll/Tiddlywiki isn't as good but safer.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1391945857130369027","reply_id":"1391945857130369027","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vgr","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1391957084019695627","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1429962673333039153":{"id":"1429962673333039153","date":"2021-08-24 00:24:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"It solved this hard Hackerrank ZIP code regular expression challenge.\"\n\n1. It's hard for humans because REs are syntactically dense. But it's not _hard_.\n2. That problem is probably in its training set!!!\n\n2/n","hashtags":[],"conv":"1429962672305434658","reply_id":"1429962672305434658","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1429962673333039153","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1751330160706486520":{"id":"1751330160706486520","date":"2024-01-27 19:43:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Thanks to everyone, but especially those who said Polars.\n\nIt's not *everything* I want, but it's so much better than Pandas.\n\nMostly a feeling of knowing what it's doing. Instead of always worrying it's doing something sneaky under the hood that will screw me later.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1751330160706486520","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":67,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":13323,"bookmarks":21,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1751330160706486520","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1432459830866763777":{"id":"1432459830866763777","date":"2021-08-30 21:46:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames This drives me into a blinding rage every time I see it.\n\nIt demonstrates the not-stated-but-clearly-true purpose of school: to learn to operate within a social system's arbitrary ruleset for advantage.\n\nNot \"what's true?\" but rather \"what do these gatekeepers want from me?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1432445483436281864","reply_id":"1432458678846701568","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1432459830866763777","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1632238249744924675":{"id":"1632238249744924675","date":"2023-03-05 04:34:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Som_Mohapatra Interesting. So what's it like? Do you have 9-to-5 jobs and work on stuff together in the evenings/weekends?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632157627978514433","reply_id":"1632237674462613504","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Som_Mohapatra","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":919,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632238249744924675","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1386683840312201219":{"id":"1386683840312201219","date":"2021-04-26 14:09:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@salr_nyc @bennpeifert @TheSpeculator0 @KrisAbdelmessih These two facts are fairly correlated, historically. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1386380006905896963","reply_id":"1386682421932871683","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"salr_nyc","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1386683840312201219","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2058925304115286299":{"id":"2058925304115286299","date":"2026-05-25 14:57:00","author":"Y Combinator","handle":"ycombinator","text":"Totalis (@totalistrading) lets users parlay on anything. \n\nCombine multiple event markets into one trade across politics, crypto, stocks, sports, weather, and macro. Starting with parlays, expanding into structured products.\n\nCongrats on the launch, @ImTheBigP & @ericliujt!\n\nhttps://www.ycombinator.com/launches/QUr-totalis-parlay-on-anything","hashtags":[],"conv":"2058925304115286299","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2058989979980767642","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":830,"retweets":65,"replies":134,"quotes":103,"views":513949,"bookmarks":464,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ycombinator/status/2058925304115286299"},"1770434964238250381":{"id":"1770434964238250381","date":"2024-03-20 12:59:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ffxivmarket @waltuuuhr Links to the best stuff out there? The hard part isn't the vision, it's the action.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1770296180175708532","reply_id":"1770396498678722934","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Ffxivmarket","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":118,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1770434964238250381","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1372363430217224193":{"id":"1372363430217224193","date":"2021-03-18 01:45:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal Nice work. Question:\n\nHow many effective datapoints do you have?\n\nI.e. if I have 2000 days of data and I'm calculating 100-day returns, I effectively only have 20 datapoints.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1372362211688079363","reply_id":"1372362211688079363","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":7,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1372363430217224193","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1957667923918721238":{"id":"1957667923918721238","date":"2025-08-19 04:56:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@stoked_on_waves Tighter markets beget liquidity. Do we want even *more* people gambling on random sh*t?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957390814113308717","reply_id":"1957667633849069918","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"stoked_on_waves","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":267,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1957667923918721238","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1595468779793678337":{"id":"1595468779793678337","date":"2022-11-23 17:26:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xfbifemboy … But still you'll never get it right\n'Cause when you're laid in bed at night\nWatching roaches climb the wall\nIf you called your dad he could stop it all, yeah\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yuTMWgOduFM","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595440855799988224","reply_id":"1595441592495534080","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xfbifemboy","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1595468779793678337","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1534285247428251648":{"id":"1534285247428251648","date":"2022-06-07 21:24:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2/ Anyone good enough to be a high-value first employee can almost definitely get themselves a better deal by raising VC $ and getting at least 1 OOM more equity.\n\nRemember, ideas are cheap. Execution is what matters.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1534285246404866048","reply_id":"1534285246404866048","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1534285247428251648","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1606429669758472192":{"id":"1606429669758472192","date":"2022-12-23 23:20:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xfbifemboy Now also eliminate most \"everyday\" hardships like subsistence farming, or working 60 hours a week doing manual labor.\n\nAnd add a social system that shoves in your face the selection-biased \"successes\" of your supposed peers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1606427890044014592","reply_id":"1606428989073117190","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":18,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":731,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1606429669758472192","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1363898035009245184":{"id":"1363898035009245184","date":"2021-02-22 17:06:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @macrocephalopod I did too, until I started talking to more people who didn't necessarily get the training we received.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1363876629550800901","reply_id":"1363896789414256641","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1363898035009245184","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1615109171061620737":{"id":"1615109171061620737","date":"2023-01-16 22:10:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The genius of late stage capitalism is that everything is raw material for a more perfect union with economically efficient self-expression.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1615109171061620737","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2103,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1615109171061620737","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1844654464818393130":{"id":"1844654464818393130","date":"2024-10-11 08:21:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Good thing these libraries don't support progressively more pieces of critical infrastructure over time.\n\nOh wait.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1844654463115477366","reply_id":"1844654463115477366","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3876,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1844654464818393130","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1346141077946859521":{"id":"1346141077946859521","date":"2021-01-04 17:06:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5/ Since an American option gives you more rights, they can't ever be worth less than their European equivalent. But usually they're worth the same. Why?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346141076415909889","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":23,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346141077946859521","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1632174505790705664":{"id":"1632174505790705664","date":"2023-03-05 00:21:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nomemenomoney Easier said than obtained...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632157627978514433","reply_id":"1632174388723298305","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nomemenomoney","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":3012,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632174505790705664","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1598023970283929601":{"id":"1598023970283929601","date":"2022-11-30 18:39:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0x94305 @KrisAbdelmessih Agreed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597690466807316480","reply_id":"1598014916190797824","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0x94305","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598023970283929601","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1881638991596061146":{"id":"1881638991596061146","date":"2025-01-21 09:44:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Ah crypto.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1881638991596061146","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1917,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1881638991596061146_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1881638991596061146","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1389734568287035392":{"id":"1389734568287035392","date":"2021-05-05 00:11:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If a parent gives their kid an Apple Watch to start them off, what's the LTV for Apple on that kid?\n\nProbably over 5k?\n\nI'm thinking it's +EV for Apple to literally give away watches to anyone under 18.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1389734568287035392","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":23,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1389734568287035392","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1596609188725415936":{"id":"1596609188725415936","date":"2022-11-26 20:57:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @Gingfacekillah @TCK_JRubano @be20684347 @ALBACapMgmt Yeah, same. I got to scratch. It isn't fun by any stretch of the imagination.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595095238514720768","reply_id":"1596596023710711808","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1596609188725415936","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1600496530707939328":{"id":"1600496530707939328","date":"2022-12-07 14:24:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin That's my working hypothesis. You can tell when the something else gets engaged because it's exhausting.\n\nActual thinking is very hard.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1600194841089961986","reply_id":"1600485973581877249","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1600496530707939328","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1571696007062364162":{"id":"1571696007062364162","date":"2022-09-19 03:01:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NewRiverInvest @FREAK0NAUT @macropotamus @Chaelelo @nope_its_lily @OGTaylorB Ain't a lot of companies wanting a dude to use the corporate treasury as prop capital...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1571636409651580929","reply_id":"1571694972004610049","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GRoditiD","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1571696007062364162","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1590168785490968577":{"id":"1590168785490968577","date":"2022-11-09 02:25:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Feels topical.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1590168785490968577","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1590168785490968577","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1821328608436396451":{"id":"1821328608436396451","date":"2024-08-07 23:32:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Nope, never is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1821312455060119640","reply_id":"1821316304240046437","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":184,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1821328608436396451","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1342957473376813056":{"id":"1342957473376813056","date":"2020-12-26 22:16:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@msuster The book is excellent.\n\nThis coming from someone who thinks the middlebrow self-help genre is 99% dross.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1342955939452751872","reply_id":"1342955939452751872","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"msuster","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1342957473376813056","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1277375635397111808":{"id":"1277375635397111808","date":"2020-06-28 22:57:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bitbanter @bennpeifert Note: In your answer, you may assume the money printer will continue to go brrrr indefinitely.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1277359932120035328","reply_id":"1277373172506152962","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bitbanter","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1277375635397111808","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1788969245222850997":{"id":"1788969245222850997","date":"2024-05-10 16:28:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The lack of a response is deafening. As always.\n\nTip: if the answer is \"it depends on the client's situation\", that actually means \"we're very good at extracting the max\".\n\nOn their site I count:\n- 5 C-level people\n- 4 ops\n- 28 (!) advisors\n\n~$10M/yr? Guess where that comes from.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788969245222850997","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":118,"retweets":3,"replies":15,"quotes":0,"views":23851,"bookmarks":19,"media":["1788969245222850997_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788969245222850997","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1153465925296771073":{"id":"1153465925296771073","date":"2019-07-23 00:44:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@daniel_egan Yeah, but the whole management consulting industry is based on hiring high-status companies to do pointless analyses that support whatever CEO wanted to do anyway. 🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1153464209851736065","reply_id":"1153464209851736065","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"daniel_egan","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1153465925296771073","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1375119234661896195":{"id":"1375119234661896195","date":"2021-03-25 16:15:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"14/ Why isn’t tennis scoring just one long game to 200 points or something? Because the better player will win basically 100% of the time.\n\nOnce the score gets to 120-90, the game just becomes an exercise in score management. Zzzz.\n\nGames and sets are a way to increase var.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1375119223693864961","reply_id":"1375119233818882049","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":25,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1375119234661896195","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1748415056919068942":{"id":"1748415056919068942","date":"2024-01-19 18:40:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tweetsbenedict Note: the kids were meant to be learning quadratics that year, so this wasn't an arbitrary job requirement.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1748383159493046538","reply_id":"1748414726928007314","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":466,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1748415056919068942","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1215291359524864001":{"id":"1215291359524864001","date":"2020-01-09 15:16:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EconTalker Please no. It's the Joe Rogan path of famous people with *opinions*.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1215246703491735552","reply_id":"1215246703491735552","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EconTalker","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1215291359524864001","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1786765864311935199":{"id":"1786765864311935199","date":"2024-05-04 14:32:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Eladio killing Max still makes no sense.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1786765864311935199","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2542,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1786765864311935199","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1770197907217813871":{"id":"1770197907217813871","date":"2024-03-19 21:17:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@flowidealism @prendalearn Sounds like a starting point but IMO the rate-limiting step is a clearinghouse where parents can find each other.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1770185449463521703","reply_id":"1770186525210239154","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"flowidealism","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":134,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1770197907217813871","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1535383996091092993":{"id":"1535383996091092993","date":"2022-06-10 22:10:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@S_M__K___ @RJRCapital Recency bias.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1535381588816457728","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1535383996091092993","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1677523265202577408":{"id":"1677523265202577408","date":"2023-07-08 03:41:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xfbifemboy Balance between:\n- Enough caloric/protein intake for muscle maintenance and growth.\n- TRF and other fasting techniques for longevity.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1677506075296403457","reply_id":"1677506075296403457","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xfbifemboy","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":368,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1677523265202577408","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1922351216807358887":{"id":"1922351216807358887","date":"2025-05-13 18:00:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Abude_al_asaad @osmarks1 @nkreu113r x = borrow rate (SOFR+2%)\ny = bond ETF yield\nz = SPY return\n\nReturn = 4.5y + 0.5z - 4x. Right?\n\nIn particular, if x=y then you've created an incredibly elaborate vehicle to invest half in SPY and half in the bond ETF.\n\nWhat am I missing?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1922217541520314643","reply_id":"1922344321098903632","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Abude_al_asaad","likes":12,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1885,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1922351216807358887","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1998126113768579110":{"id":"1998126113768579110","date":"2025-12-08 20:22:43","author":"Casey Handmer","handle":"CJHandmer","text":"It's been a long time since I posted a single piece with all my predictions on energy, so I made an update. \n\nhttps://caseyhandmer.wordpress.com/2025/12/08/energy-predictions-2025/\n\nHere's some free alpha for you all.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1998126113768579110","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1998489240582095339","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1191,"retweets":140,"replies":57,"quotes":33,"views":324988,"bookmarks":1459,"media":["1998126113768579110_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/CJHandmer/status/1998126113768579110"},"1487930792600760321":{"id":"1487930792600760321","date":"2022-01-30 23:28:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 I'm offended. At least, that's what I'm told I should feel.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1487928553962233865","reply_id":"1487929703050940417","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1487930792600760321","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1546487494811664384":{"id":"1546487494811664384","date":"2022-07-11 13:32:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KemonomichiNL Heck, ask for 10:1. Make it a \"total layup\" for them to take the bet.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546445295487172608","reply_id":"1546445295487172608","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KemonomichiNL","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546487494811664384","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1905359640658886843":{"id":"1905359640658886843","date":"2025-03-27 20:41:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cam_perrault No, I wouldn't say that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1905146253341499798","reply_id":"1905348487413215728","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"camlperr","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":271,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1905359640658886843","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1583521215838187520":{"id":"1583521215838187520","date":"2022-10-21 18:10:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount - It requires a lot less athleticism than tennis to get to the point of \"having fun\".\n- It's a smaller court, generally played doubles, so more opportunity for kibitzing.\n- Strength/power is not a strong advantage.\n- Rallies are longer. More chance for fun/funny things to happen.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1583518286825652224","reply_id":"1583518286825652224","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1583521215838187520","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1736957268594504165":{"id":"1736957268594504165","date":"2023-12-19 03:50:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pranavvk @AgustinLebron33 Followed now. :)\n\n(I know about this guy, been a few weeks. Twitter won't do anything.)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1736950848083890569","reply_id":"1736950848083890569","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pranavvk","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":95,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1736957268594504165","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1460057760020582405":{"id":"1460057760020582405","date":"2021-11-15 01:31:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames You could drive a Panamax-class ship through the difference between sentence 2 and sentence 3.\n\nAnd that's what makes this game so great.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1459991374854438912","reply_id":"1460056984498028545","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1460057760020582405","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1415321036145401865":{"id":"1415321036145401865","date":"2021-07-14 14:43:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"13/\n\n- That pointless lunch hour where you talk to the candidate as though you were a friend. You’re not friends, and the read you’re getting in that hour is worthless. Do Structured Behavioral Interviews instead.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"1415321035155468294","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415321036145401865","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1957390816013406659":{"id":"1957390816013406659","date":"2025-08-18 10:35:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2/ The argument comes in two parts:\n\nA. Prediction markets are just bad markets. This is because they don't hedge any meaningful risks so everyone trading them is just a sharp or a schmuck.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957390814113308717","reply_id":"1957390814113308717","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":37,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":5989,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1957390816013406659","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1769376641766264875":{"id":"1769376641766264875","date":"2024-03-17 14:53:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Trying to figure out what personal failing of mine is indicated by the fact I've never used DoorDash/UberEats/etc.\n\nI know it's not cheapness, as evidenced by other things I spend money on. 🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1769376641766264875","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":17,"quotes":0,"views":7865,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1769376641766264875","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1441143022310203396":{"id":"1441143022310203396","date":"2021-09-23 20:50:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@longskew @leakyalpha @lightspringfox @KrisAbdelmessih @ejames_c Can't cheat an honest man.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1440890442367655937","reply_id":"1441140906271260680","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"longskew","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1441143022310203396","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1572724691768582144":{"id":"1572724691768582144","date":"2022-09-21 23:09:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I just finished explaining to someone that no, providing inside the spread doesn't automatically make you money vs taking.\n\nIn fact, if you're not a really good provider (i.e. you do this for a living), it's almost definitely worse than taking.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1572724691768582144","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":43,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1572724691768582144","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1451929370075942922":{"id":"1451929370075942922","date":"2021-10-23 15:11:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In this and many other superhero movies, the bad guy creates/steals some horrifying new piece of technology which is going to kill millions, enslave the world, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1451929369132158977","reply_id":"1451929369132158977","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1451929370075942922","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1505935565148942337":{"id":"1505935565148942337","date":"2022-03-21 15:53:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@azad_champion @be20684347 @nope_its_lily Range by Epstein? I think he makes some good points but he oversells his case.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505688775132913665","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505935565148942337","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1294465121901715456":{"id":"1294465121901715456","date":"2020-08-15 02:45:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@famadeo @pinebrookcap Tucuman. La cuna de la independencia.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1294433298572292097","reply_id":"1294446746400104449","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"famadeo","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1294465121901715456","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1880329972990259250":{"id":"1880329972990259250","date":"2025-01-17 19:02:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@yieldcurvepro @KrisAbdelmessih @__paleologo Dunno. Obv if you're quoting, you're trying to mostly avoid other quotes. That's just good business. But I never felt I got signaled by someone, and I did lots to *avoid* giving out signals.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1880103066239922274","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":138,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1880329972990259250","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1707173568176607574":{"id":"1707173568176607574","date":"2023-09-27 23:21:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BounceNStretch Given that Novak *won* the 2023 US Open, no.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1707112331128525253","reply_id":"1707171788336365720","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BounceNStretch","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":77,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1707173568176607574","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2080584058375987702":{"id":"2080584058375987702","date":"2026-07-24 09:21:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Why does @slatestarcodex think that calling it \"our conspiracy\" helps him or his cause?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2080584058375987702","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2571,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2080584058375987702","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1494034840252866565":{"id":"1494034840252866565","date":"2022-02-16 19:43:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @KrisAbdelmessih They know you'll cave and cross...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494032922281717764","reply_id":"1494032922281717764","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494034840252866565","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1432894073937940480":{"id":"1432894073937940480","date":"2021-09-01 02:32:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano @therobotjames @0xdoug No matter how aware you are of this fact, it still bites you.\n\nBites me all the time, still.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1432846035999543298","reply_id":"1432854537296097280","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1432894073937940480","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2059901091735597204":{"id":"2059901091735597204","date":"2026-05-28 07:34:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Does it rankle Egyptians that AFAICT none of the world's top Egyptologists is Egyptian?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2059901091735597204","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":23,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":6070,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2059901091735597204","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1955290430897025264":{"id":"1955290430897025264","date":"2025-08-12 15:29:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Self-recommending.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1955290430897025264","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3541,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1955290430897025264","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1492719176686788609":{"id":"1492719176686788609","date":"2022-02-13 04:35:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RafikMatta Agreed, but they're very expensive ones.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1492622868634431488","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1492719176686788609","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1506045250548088834":{"id":"1506045250548088834","date":"2022-03-21 23:09:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"28/ Finally the scene you're probably waiting for: Billy does trades!\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZTTwenD0_9g","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1506045249180733440","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1506045250548088834","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1867992317262774347":{"id":"1867992317262774347","date":"2024-12-14 17:57:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Lemme restate this in clearer terms.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1867992317262774347","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":2742,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1867992317262774347_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1867992317262774347","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1872009878400901287":{"id":"1872009878400901287","date":"2024-12-25 20:01:49","author":"Mark Linsey","handle":"mlinsey","text":"@AgustinLebron3 Lots of value to be generated in writing things that feel 'obvious' to a human but less so to a non-human. Also, documenting your interior monologue, chain of thought, or things you attempted before arriving at the final answer is something really missing from training sets.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1872002964971557233","reply_id":"1872002964971557233","quote_id":"1872010165500948578","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":5209,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mlinsey/status/1872009878400901287"},"1610133230929444864":{"id":"1610133230929444864","date":"2023-01-03 04:37:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Nothing more consistently fills me with more blinding rage than the system that's in charge of turning these beautiful little minds, these wonderful little learning machines, into either cynical prison escapees or cynical collaborators and perpetuators.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1610132517553856513","reply_id":"1610132517553856513","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":31,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":2864,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1610133230929444864","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1573418708713758738":{"id":"1573418708713758738","date":"2022-09-23 21:07:07","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"Counteropinion — finance hired physics PhDs because the main thing quants did in the 80s, 90s and early 2000s was derivatives pricing, which involves PDEs and stochastic processes and numerical analysis and Monte Carlo, all things physicists are familiar with —","hashtags":[],"conv":"1573418708713758738","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1573477710088720384","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":231,"retweets":31,"replies":15,"quotes":6,"views":0,"bookmarks":75,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1573418708713758738"},"1732508753562624369":{"id":"1732508753562624369","date":"2023-12-06 21:14:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vol_ition But they don't train each other.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1732486641284247987","reply_id":"1732508562960617686","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vol_ition","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":158,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1732508753562624369","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1382698178479284224":{"id":"1382698178479284224","date":"2021-04-15 14:11:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pkjr1967 If you're a mid handicapper, two things:\n\n- Hit your driver better. Straighter, farther, fewer penalty strokes.\n- Most mid-cappers have gaping holes around the green: bunkers, chips, pitches, lag putts, something. Fix the holes. Worth 3-4 shots per round.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"1382697678128222214","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382698178479284224","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1773937214566920415":{"id":"1773937214566920415","date":"2024-03-30 04:56:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SquishChaos What edge (i.e. EV in %, bps, whatever) do you believe you have trading SPX? Over what timescale does that edge realize?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1773764742823174245","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":272,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1773937214566920415","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1547665207798812672":{"id":"1547665207798812672","date":"2022-07-14 19:31:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 I'd be shocked if they wanted to go through that circus again.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1547664531467358208","reply_id":"1547664531467358208","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1547665207798812672","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1417100505944367105":{"id":"1417100505944367105","date":"2021-07-19 12:34:23","author":"Speculator","handle":"TheSpeculator0","text":"i've become a bit of a crank on this topic but if you're not someone constructing relative value vol trades that neutralize delta/vega you shouldn't really care about things like skew all that much","hashtags":[],"conv":"1417100109578489856","reply_id":"1417100109578489856","quote_id":"1417300898234003457","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":51,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheSpeculator0/status/1417100505944367105"},"1417315121169256448":{"id":"1417315121169256448","date":"2021-07-20 02:47:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SqueezeMetrics @jsoloff I'd like to understand this a bit better. Can you elaborate?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1417300898234003457","reply_id":"1417311717571403778","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SqueezeMetrics","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1417315121169256448","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1562284898626310144":{"id":"1562284898626310144","date":"2022-08-24 03:45:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@witchqueendot If you need a market lemme know.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1562282864745582592","reply_id":"1562283248092385280","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"witchqueendot","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1562284898626310144","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1433223939329708036":{"id":"1433223939329708036","date":"2021-09-02 00:23:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JaySinh68681549 @therobotjames True, but IMO the essential difference is that there doesn't exist a liquid market in second-hand computers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1433221777031766020","reply_id":"1433223496453197830","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"temfr13","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1433223939329708036","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2058264009070002533":{"id":"2058264009070002533","date":"2026-05-23 19:09:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Using another empirical regularity I've noticed, that tweets do well in inverse proportion to how proud I am of them, this should get fairly low engagement.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2058262625192956332","reply_id":"2058263345271099838","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":35,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1993,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2058264009070002533","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1736414344790032583":{"id":"1736414344790032583","date":"2023-12-17 15:53:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"My kid hadn't heard of microfiche.\n\nSo I found a Youtube video of a 1970s Indiana University educational film explaining them.\n\nThe irony wasn't lost on either of us.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1736414344790032583","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2342,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1736414344790032583","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1459982373634785280":{"id":"1459982373634785280","date":"2021-11-14 20:31:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Bolt_451 I shared an elevator with Tiffany Amber Thiessen during her prime 90210 years.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1459527379131502595","reply_id":"1459527379131502595","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Bolt_451","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1459982373634785280","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1434987969601957888":{"id":"1434987969601957888","date":"2021-09-06 21:12:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @ReformedTrader @nope_its_lily @vgr You see this with older live poker players all the time.\n\nA lifetime of trying to extract money from rubes while avoiding other sharps while subjecting yourself to tons of solo-endured variance.\n\nUgh.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434963956599193601","reply_id":"1434987590784929792","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434987969601957888","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1540530798482247680":{"id":"1540530798482247680","date":"2022-06-25 03:02:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ksidiii df['pnl'].ewm(hl=100).mean()\n\nDone.\n\n🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1540519315144933378","reply_id":"1540519315144933378","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Ksidiii","likes":18,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1540530798482247680","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1713963802117718356":{"id":"1713963802117718356","date":"2023-10-16 17:03:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0x94305 Cointelegraph: Putting the \"Im\" in Impermanent Loss since 2013.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1713961006005895347","reply_id":"1713961006005895347","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0x94305","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":506,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1713963802117718356","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1905146253341499798":{"id":"1905146253341499798","date":"2025-03-27 06:33:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I guess everyone with a Ghiblified timeline has, by now, seen the 2016 video of Hayao Miyazaki deploring the invention of an AI Ghibli directly to its creators.\n\nAgree w/ him or not, one thing is undeniable: every GPTed Ghibli actively destroys his life's work.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1905146253341499798","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":131,"retweets":5,"replies":19,"quotes":2,"views":16899,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1905146253341499798","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1549106092558274560":{"id":"1549106092558274560","date":"2022-07-18 18:57:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theory_a_com @KrisAbdelmessih @nope_its_lily A bit of all of those for me. There's also the Paul Graham thing about founding startups, which (paraphrased) is:\n\n\"Startups aren't for everyone. It's best to discourage people from doing it. Those who heed the discouragement weren't meant for it anyway.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1549066546135240704","reply_id":"1549102060699676672","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theory_a_com","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1549106092558274560","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1519045846989377536":{"id":"1519045846989377536","date":"2022-04-26 20:08:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount 3.5\" ok?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1519044689575481344","reply_id":"1519045402712023040","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1519045846989377536","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1871568127193977116":{"id":"1871568127193977116","date":"2024-12-24 14:46:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@silver83p @alz_zyd_ You size your bets in limit too. Folding is a size.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1871523261047361695","reply_id":"1871525003264774213","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"silver83p","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":93,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1871568127193977116","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1967904052492292171":{"id":"1967904052492292171","date":"2025-09-16 10:51:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Part 2 of my niche hobby taking over the world: the Apple II+.\n\nhttps://reducibleerrors.com/weird-hobby-2/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1967904052492292171","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1967904172969525368","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":14579,"bookmarks":16,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1967904052492292171","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1631127614751674370":{"id":"1631127614751674370","date":"2023-03-02 03:01:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@rajivpoc Multiple OOM cheaper orders?\n\nI mean, do you count dydx as \"on chain\"?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1631126851899858944","reply_id":"1631126853938192385","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"rajivpoc","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":130,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1631127614751674370","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1693415207207649643":{"id":"1693415207207649643","date":"2023-08-21 00:10:22","author":"Michael Nielsen","handle":"michael_nielsen","text":"One thing Alcaraz has in common with the Big 3: he's relentless.  None really allow themselves to be dominated: they'll be broken, maybe even twice... and still absolutely not back down","hashtags":[],"conv":"1693415207207649643","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1693694715135394102","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":34,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":2,"views":28764,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/michael_nielsen/status/1693415207207649643"},"1995437309853098109":{"id":"1995437309853098109","date":"2025-12-01 10:18:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Hello stranger.\" he calls out. He's dressed in fine robes, languidly sipping on what appears to be tea as he rocks slowly in his chair.\n\nYou're flabbergasted. \"I haven't seen a soul for miles in this desolate beautiful valley. Who are you? And how can you have such a spread?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1995437299719602642","reply_id":"1995437307898503613","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3477,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1995437309853098109","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1541997447030767616":{"id":"1541997447030767616","date":"2022-06-29 04:10:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JessicaNutt96 @EmanuelDerman This is how I teach the concept of implied vol. It's merely a way to normalize prices so that you can think about them more easily.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1541994841743233024","reply_id":"1541994841743233024","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JessicaNutt96","likes":53,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1541997447030767616","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1547960616970625024":{"id":"1547960616970625024","date":"2022-07-15 15:05:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In the annals of horrendous payments portals, @HighRadius has got to be in some sort of special hall of fame:\n\n- Arbitrary security-decreasing password restrictions with random \"error\" popups\n- Microscopic fonts\n- Endless \"Confirm\" popups\n- Baroque and busy UI\n\nBravo. 👏👏👏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1547960616970625024","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1547960616970625024","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1729605454525816901":{"id":"1729605454525816901","date":"2023-11-28 20:57:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 🙋‍♂️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1729604893759967678","reply_id":"1729604893759967678","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":306,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1729605454525816901","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1277631625631653889":{"id":"1277631625631653889","date":"2020-06-29 15:54:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vgr I did it last week. SlateStarCodex was the last of many straws.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1277631238182854656","reply_id":"1277631238182854656","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vgr","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1277631625631653889","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1611167492902391808":{"id":"1611167492902391808","date":"2023-01-06 01:07:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I've thought the same thing so many times over the years.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1611167492902391808","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3034,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1611167492902391808","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1427744598261047299":{"id":"1427744598261047299","date":"2021-08-17 21:30:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Mephisto731 @TheSpeculator0 @bennpeifert @_Dave__White_ @sks01119 @danrobinson @snarkyzk @andrewjleone @AlexisGauba @aparnalocked @opyn_ Should I call BNP/SocGen or will you?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1427652305009004545","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1427744598261047299","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1258474319836897280":{"id":"1258474319836897280","date":"2020-05-07 19:10:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @squirrel_blind @o_wutang Maybe we're talking past each other? I'm assuming \"junior\" means straight out of college. Sounds like for you it means 2 years of experience on an options desk?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1258184053326376961","reply_id":"1258471811768967168","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1258474319836897280","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2038358409074889127":{"id":"2038358409074889127","date":"2026-03-29 20:51:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"RT @AgustinLebron3: @JaredKubin @jared_jensen75 1. 2. 3. Get rid of sports betting.\n4. Get rid of idiotic contracts designed to bring in dumb money, like \"how many times is X going to say Y during Z\".\n5. Improve contract specification/adjudication mechanisms.\n6. Tight position limits. Can't have the PM tail wagging the dog.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2038358409074889127","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2038357822354682357","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2038358409074889127","type":"retweet","issues":[]},"1777787360555545061":{"id":"1777787360555545061","date":"2024-04-09 19:55:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @matt_levine If you trade options that have little vol component, you're typically incinerating money.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1777760171303068101","reply_id":"1777786515286114512","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":718,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1777787360555545061","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1899209936053186921":{"id":"1899209936053186921","date":"2025-03-10 21:25:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Why does Ian Thomas' appearance on The Great White North aka Kanadian Korner live rent-free in my head?\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M2KUhYwJA74","hashtags":[],"conv":"1899209936053186921","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2680,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1899209936053186921","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1486455589584605184":{"id":"1486455589584605184","date":"2022-01-26 21:46:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Remember that time when James Harden was happy with his team?\n\nMe neither.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486455589584605184","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1486455589584605184","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1920829503850373378":{"id":"1920829503850373378","date":"2025-05-09 13:13:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OftCorrect ✅\n\nWhich in turn are a sophisticated version of Twitter/TikTok stock trading shills and scammers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1920705401110098162","reply_id":"1920829156939427983","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OftCorrect","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":404,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1920829503850373378","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1445852766400761859":{"id":"1445852766400761859","date":"2021-10-06 20:45:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ALBACapMgmt @therobotjames Give me Manuel any day.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1445845085187313665","reply_id":"1445849918002790403","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ALBACapMgmt","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1445852766400761859","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1443633946349084673":{"id":"1443633946349084673","date":"2021-09-30 17:48:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TreatDevourer @bennpeifert Yes. Though almost no one in this demographic plays poker anymore.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443615710878470144","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1443633946349084673","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1896126939527860261":{"id":"1896126939527860261","date":"2025-03-02 09:14:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Open to suggestions on other great performances of his. I certainly haven't seen everything he's done.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1896125163172966823","reply_id":"1896125208492417524","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1480,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1896126939527860261","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1416553336791134210":{"id":"1416553336791134210","date":"2021-07-18 00:20:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OneBigOh @experquisite @KrisAbdelmessih Start a company attacking a *hard* problem.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1416535386390736897","reply_id":"1416541517301301249","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OneBigOh","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1416553336791134210","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1838293290187162050":{"id":"1838293290187162050","date":"2024-09-23 19:04:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod If only you had a stop loss...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1838289111213392359","reply_id":"1838289111213392359","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":823,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1838293290187162050","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1155802488538378240":{"id":"1155802488538378240","date":"2019-07-29 11:29:21","author":"AlphaSwap","handle":"AlphaSwap","text":"Commission-free #trading apps like @freetrade, @etoro, and @RobinhoodApp are growing, but @AgustinLebron3 argues that the cons > the pros:  \"professionals are lining up for the right to trade against you\".\n\nBy @MoneyLifeShow via @seattletimes.\nhttps://www.seattletimes.com/business/the-hidden-costs-of-using-free-trading-apps-like-robinhood/","hashtags":["trading"],"conv":"1155802488538378240","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1156206341842599936","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1155802488538378240_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/AlphaSwap/status/1155802488538378240"},"1647090963930845184":{"id":"1647090963930845184","date":"2023-04-15 04:14:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's my fault. I keep expecting more, and keep getting disappointed.\n\nI try to remind myself it's just smoothing its dataset. \n\nBut then I end up anthropomorphizing it anyway, confusing its encyclopedic knowledge with actual intelligence.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1647090962655744000","reply_id":"1647090962655744000","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":30,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3188,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1647090963930845184","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1950859737538367845":{"id":"1950859737538367845","date":"2025-07-31 10:03:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xFaust12 @moreproteinbars @KrisAbdelmessih @systematicls This is analogous to VC/angel investing:\n\nThe quality of your order flow is almost entirely defines how good your investments are.\n\nThis is because evaluating talent is hard.\n\nSo focus on your order flow.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1950677663276024101","reply_id":"1950855035388117437","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":792,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1950859737538367845","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2051241078708162758":{"id":"2051241078708162758","date":"2026-05-04 10:02:38","author":"Joe Weisenthal","handle":"TheStalwart","text":"Love the optimism of anyone who thinks that if they watch a one hour lecture they’ll have a marketable skill with that much money.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2051241078708162758","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2051244445236949245","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12393,"retweets":400,"replies":90,"quotes":7,"views":363682,"bookmarks":1202,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheStalwart/status/2051241078708162758"},"1693994212306629105":{"id":"1693994212306629105","date":"2023-08-22 14:31:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@l1quid1ty Definitely has that third-world feel to it.\n\nMemories of sweltering in the Ezeiza, the Buenos Aires airport, waiting for a flight.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1693988501459800327","reply_id":"1693993912938234078","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"l1quid1ty","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":158,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1693994212306629105","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1559250419158859777":{"id":"1559250419158859777","date":"2022-08-15 18:47:24","author":"Ethan Mollick","handle":"emollick","text":"Good day to remember that failed serial entrepreneurs get much better deal terms from venture capitalists than first-time founders, despite the fact that their startups perform worse at the time of funding!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1559250419158859777","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1559250946412072960","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":352,"retweets":58,"replies":6,"quotes":19,"views":0,"bookmarks":51,"media":["1559250419158859777_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/emollick/status/1559250419158859777"},"1972300898673275279":{"id":"1972300898673275279","date":"2025-09-28 14:02:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@GoshawkTrades No, there's just quantum algo grifting.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1972088992230527457","reply_id":"1972088992230527457","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GoshawkTrades","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":312,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1972300898673275279","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1446330225776754692":{"id":"1446330225776754692","date":"2021-10-08 04:22:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DavidTaggart Call centers, dev shops, digital marketing, legal services, etc etc.\n\nRelatively few white collar jobs need physical presence.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1446327630437908481","reply_id":"1446329798238736385","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DavidTaggart","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1446330225776754692","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1547679107776802819":{"id":"1547679107776802819","date":"2022-07-14 20:27:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Imagine a parallel universe with different physics where nuclear power works exactly the same including all risks, *except* that fission weapons are impossible.\n\nWhat fraction of our electricity would come from nuclear energy today?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1547679107776802819","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":11,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1547679107776802819","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1509702870043529218":{"id":"1509702870043529218","date":"2022-04-01 01:23:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin Not as good. Lots of price discovery occurs in the first 30mins of trading. You're just subjecting yourself to vol you don't need to, usually.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1509623825519951881","reply_id":"1509699260408901638","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1509702870043529218","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1583526082824716288":{"id":"1583526082824716288","date":"2022-10-21 18:30:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Minigolf is hip?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1583518286825652224","reply_id":"1583521931831037952","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1583526082824716288","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1916351184702501173":{"id":"1916351184702501173","date":"2025-04-27 04:38:21","author":"BURKOV","handle":"burkov","text":"If algorithmic stock prediction doesn't work, how do these patterns work? Are you saying it's all a lie?!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1916351184702501173","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1916750636340662769","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":293,"retweets":11,"replies":91,"quotes":33,"views":326153,"bookmarks":209,"media":["1916351184702501173_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/burkov/status/1916351184702501173"},"1523844441944952833":{"id":"1523844441944952833","date":"2022-05-10 01:56:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@angeris Looks like you just got a whole lot richer then.\n\n(assuming you have _some_ wealth elsewhere)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1523830202727473152","reply_id":"1523830202727473152","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"angeris","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1523844441944952833","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1504192813054849025":{"id":"1504192813054849025","date":"2022-03-16 20:28:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pranavvk @therobotjames 1. You have that anyway in stocks. It's called an expected value.\n2. In India you have SSFs which you can short. And whoever you're buying those puts from has to source the short stock from somewhere.\n3. You can always quantify risk.\n4. If index bets are so liquid, is there edge?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503862489599340544","reply_id":"1503957063365382145","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pranavvk","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1504192813054849025","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1442051178682933251":{"id":"1442051178682933251","date":"2021-09-26 08:59:27","author":"Balaji","handle":"balajis","text":"Denying the existence of 10X engineers is like denying the existence of 10X writers. Hemingway was real; so was Satoshi.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1442051178682933251","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1442259152345067530","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3282,"retweets":228,"replies":114,"quotes":45,"views":0,"bookmarks":128,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1442051178682933251"},"1843736864811098601":{"id":"1843736864811098601","date":"2024-10-08 19:34:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Whenever I ask o1-preview a question and it doesn't think very long, it feels like an affront. But usually it's because the question wasn't very good.\n\nDoes German have a word for \"that feeling when you ask o1-preview a question that made it think an extra long time\"?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1843736864811098601","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":3330,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1843736864811098601","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1778820352199610453":{"id":"1778820352199610453","date":"2024-04-12 16:19:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @quantymacro @liquiditygoblin Agreed. Step 1 of N.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1778683547483803982","reply_id":"1778819851496108329","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":328,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1778820352199610453","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1642912314004320257":{"id":"1642912314004320257","date":"2023-04-03 15:29:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @drunkengrass @QEternity @moreproteinbars @Citrini7 @686Prism @ImNotChenny @TCK_JRubano @TimTheMM @NewRiverInvest @o_wutang The difference is that a smoothness prior on vol surfaces is reasonable, but it's not reasonable about martingale-y time series.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1642005900163444737","reply_id":"1642707811967856642","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1265,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1642912314004320257","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1829219005107708368":{"id":"1829219005107708368","date":"2024-08-29 18:06:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xFaust12 @quantymacro Yup. Let's also not forget that, no matter what they say, Citadel and JS are now looking for replaceable people. People who are going to be good stewards of the value of the seat. Employee variance isn't their friend anymore.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1829150563159941491","reply_id":"1829211156596314231","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xFaust12","likes":34,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":2337,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1829219005107708368","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1424018625829167107":{"id":"1424018625829167107","date":"2021-08-07 14:44:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@thodoha @OrthogonalAlpha Yeah, I think it happens to everyone.\n\nIt takes a few experiences finding something awesome in backtest then seeing it completely suck in prod. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1423867785248055298","reply_id":"1423887538461175808","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"othadoh","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1424018625829167107","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1997327738252746756":{"id":"1997327738252746756","date":"2025-12-06 15:30:16","author":"peepeepoopoo","handle":"DeepDishEnjoyer","text":"RT @DeepDishEnjoyer: ","hashtags":[],"conv":"1997327738252746756","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"1997321749927535048","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":6,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1997327738252746756_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/DeepDishEnjoyer/status/1997327738252746756"},"1537898935863300112":{"id":"1537898935863300112","date":"2022-06-17 20:44:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@web3ally I mean, it's rule #4: \"Put on a risk using the most liquid instrument for that risk.\"\n\nIf 90% of your risk in a position is crypto-delta, do it in BTC perps instead of locked up altcoins. Or hedge the altcoin trade w/ perps.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1537832704917446656","reply_id":"1537898184998932486","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1537898935863300112","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1328538231864840192":{"id":"1328538231864840192","date":"2020-11-17 03:19:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ksidiii ML for non-martingales: definitely useful.\n\nML for martingales: it's unlikely the time you'll sink on this will end up +EV.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1328508341753090052","reply_id":"1328508341753090052","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Ksidiii","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1328538231864840192","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1598475091767361536":{"id":"1598475091767361536","date":"2022-12-02 00:32:14","author":"Nat Friedman","handle":"natfriedman","text":"Soon, your top pinned chat will be an AI","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598475091767361536","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1598475500569399297","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":54,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/natfriedman/status/1598475091767361536"},"1891102188031586630":{"id":"1891102188031586630","date":"2025-02-16 12:27:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Watching tennis would be 30% better if this was the camera angle in tournaments. It's just SO OBVIOUS.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iZoRVmBS0Cc","hashtags":[],"conv":"1891102188031586630","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4650,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1891102188031586630_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1891102188031586630","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1258758382942478336":{"id":"1258758382942478336","date":"2020-05-08 13:59:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@paulg True. Though \"things will go back to normal\" is made up of a thousand little things, and we're terrible at predicting which things will and which won't.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1258688809706889216","reply_id":"1258688809706889216","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"paulg","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1258758382942478336","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1984341835473686636":{"id":"1984341835473686636","date":"2025-10-31 19:28:55","author":"Casey Handmer","handle":"CJHandmer","text":"https://caseyhandmer.wordpress.com/2025/10/31/nasas-orion-space-capsule-is-flaming-garbage/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1984341833879834868","reply_id":"1984341833879834868","quote_id":"1984568071151812664","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"CJHandmer","likes":1753,"retweets":221,"replies":94,"quotes":139,"views":1315369,"bookmarks":957,"media":["1984341835473686636_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/CJHandmer/status/1984341835473686636"},"1706494860205920755":{"id":"1706494860205920755","date":"2023-09-26 02:24:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"At this point, I'd rather watch D1 college tennis from a low angle (with the poor production values and single camera) than some mid-tier ATP match from the high angle.\n\nIt's like two different sports, and the former is much better. I can't understand why the high angle persists.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1706494860205920755","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2215,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1706494860205920755","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1560720220045553664":{"id":"1560720220045553664","date":"2022-08-19 20:07:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I never thought of it as \"a series of PhDs\", but I LOVE this framing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1560720220045553664","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1560720220045553664","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1788057528934531423":{"id":"1788057528934531423","date":"2024-05-08 04:05:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If SGA wins MVP...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788057418309714376","reply_id":"1788057418309714376","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1288,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788057528934531423","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1835569065768743354":{"id":"1835569065768743354","date":"2024-09-16 06:39:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@semajeth Yes, excellent example!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1835409363873280223","reply_id":"1835442238299762889","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"semajeth","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":172,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1835569065768743354","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1382707995348504576":{"id":"1382707995348504576","date":"2021-04-15 14:50:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@GoyoTrader Totally agree. Always be improving.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"1382704037301260288","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GoyoDelPilarz","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382707995348504576","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1255309577156993024":{"id":"1255309577156993024","date":"2020-04-29 01:35:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm Special case: FB billionares that develop \"concerns\" about ad-tech supported businesses.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1255306017526644737","reply_id":"1255306531962343425","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1255309577156993024","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1417324392921530370":{"id":"1417324392921530370","date":"2021-07-20 03:24:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @longskew @sajidnizami 💯","hashtags":[],"conv":"1417300898234003457","reply_id":"1417322058506137600","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1417324392921530370","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1477320190735962119":{"id":"1477320190735962119","date":"2022-01-01 16:45:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2/\n1⃣ Grifters talk a lot about specific trades and (post-facto) outcomes.\n\nGood follows talk about process, principles, and about how they might be wrong. Not as sexy but much more useful.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477320189653893121","reply_id":"1477320189653893121","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":54,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477320190735962119","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1761433269617496423":{"id":"1761433269617496423","date":"2024-02-24 16:49:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1. Adverse selection:\n\nIf they're looking to buy, what do they know that you don't? In theory you should know more about your territory than they do, but things like mineral rights and such might not be obvious to evaluate.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1761433268208140459","reply_id":"1761433268208140459","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":867,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1761433269617496423","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1637519489423278080":{"id":"1637519489423278080","date":"2023-03-19 18:20:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 GPT4 for the first time. Front-end SW dev so far.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1637476486650232836","reply_id":"1637476486650232836","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":865,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1637519489423278080","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2037974568334151906":{"id":"2037974568334151906","date":"2026-03-28 19:26:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The Demis story about him during the acquisition of DeepMind is the least surprising thing ever.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2037974386255233225","reply_id":"2037974386255233225","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2698,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2037974568334151906","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1487928553962233865":{"id":"1487928553962233865","date":"2022-01-30 23:19:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What's with the Calendly backlash all of a sudden?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1487928553962233865","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1487928553962233865","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1905424459185750117":{"id":"1905424459185750117","date":"2025-03-28 00:59:26","author":"Lovis Odin","handle":"OdinLovis","text":"MCP Claude that have full control on ChatGPT 4o to generate full storyboard in Ghibli style ! All automatic I am doing nothing at all, we live a pretty crazy time\n@AnthropicAI @OpenAI","hashtags":[],"conv":"1905424459185750117","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1905565041618808984","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3349,"retweets":444,"replies":61,"quotes":61,"views":404506,"bookmarks":3676,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/OdinLovis/status/1905424459185750117"},"1383798199865937926":{"id":"1383798199865937926","date":"2021-04-18 15:02:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert Smart contracts really put the \"auto\" in autocallable.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1383795021917298693","reply_id":"1383795021917298693","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1383798199865937926","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2048062692519248013":{"id":"2048062692519248013","date":"2026-04-25 15:32:51","author":"Robin Hanson","handle":"robinhanson","text":"Yes regulations \"protect\" most of us from getting private equity rates of return.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2048062692519248013","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2048066595679871254","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":278,"retweets":17,"replies":28,"quotes":5,"views":106665,"bookmarks":26,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/robinhanson/status/2048062692519248013"},"1898260326035890508":{"id":"1898260326035890508","date":"2025-03-08 06:31:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Apparently you can't.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1898260326035890508","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":199,"retweets":4,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":15724,"bookmarks":5,"media":["1898260326035890508_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1898260326035890508","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1794604246450786472":{"id":"1794604246450786472","date":"2024-05-26 05:39:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The fact that 95% of the replies disagreeing with me and supporting him are dumbass ad-hominem attacks has, probably unbeknownst to the repliers, precisely helped prove the point.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1794000192959828206","reply_id":"1794001992215630096","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2209,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1794604246450786472","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1573065863292686336":{"id":"1573065863292686336","date":"2022-09-22 21:45:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The game is to recycle the LP tokens (via Arrakis or similar) to lever up on DAI borrow. I gather you can get up to 50x.\n\nWhich turns 22bps into a somewhat respectable 11%.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1573065863292686336","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1573065863292686336","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1633692073512796160":{"id":"1633692073512796160","date":"2023-03-09 04:51:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@baanibaani4 @arb8020 👀","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633552114944471041","reply_id":"1633685710011256839","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"baanibaani4","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":90,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633692073512796160","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1487965838871187457":{"id":"1487965838871187457","date":"2022-01-31 01:47:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Talk about being in the zone.\nhttps://www.wooferzfg.me/seven-wordles/#","hashtags":[],"conv":"1487965838871187457","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1487965838871187457_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1487965838871187457","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1141041502782676994":{"id":"1141041502782676994","date":"2019-06-18 17:54:28","author":"The Factor Report","handle":"PeterLBrandt","text":"The Swiss Market Index $SMI_F experiencing major breakout. Market will undergo a 40% advance over next few years.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1141041502782676994","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1238332418135711745","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":279,"retweets":71,"replies":19,"quotes":6,"views":0,"bookmarks":13,"media":["1141041502782676994_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/PeterLBrandt/status/1141041502782676994"},"1479269719999873026":{"id":"1479269719999873026","date":"2022-01-07 01:52:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@drewg__ Credit Suisse just can't catch a break eh?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1479145231366905859","reply_id":"1479145231366905859","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bookdepth","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1479269719999873026","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1363876646026047503":{"id":"1363876646026047503","date":"2021-02-22 15:41:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"12/ BUT, this is what a stock looks like to a trader. The orange line is what the world (in aggregate) thinks it’s worth. The blue line is what *you* think it’s worth.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1363876629550800901","reply_id":"1363876642628591618","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":89,"retweets":3,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":14,"media":["1363876646026047503_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1363876646026047503","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1893574582361108852":{"id":"1893574582361108852","date":"2025-02-23 08:12:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"VC1: \"I have a fusion company in my portfolio.\"\nVC2: \"Me too, but mine's... using lasers.\"\nVC3: \"Me too, but mine's... not using tritium.\"\n\nVC4: \"Mine's on a boat.\"\nhttps://www.ycombinator.com/launches/Mrt-maritime-fusion-fusion-reactors-for-ships","hashtags":[],"conv":"1893574582361108852","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":29,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":3113,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1893574582361108852","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2071094490279080204":{"id":"2071094490279080204","date":"2026-06-28 04:53:00","author":"hardmaru","handle":"hardmaru","text":"皆が集団として希望を感じていることが必要だと思います。その希望こそが、物事を動かしていく。日本に希望をもたらすのは何でしょうか。お金でしょうか。減税でしょうか。社会保障の充実でしょうか。おそらく、そのどれでもないはずです。もし魔法の杖を一本持てるとしたら、日本の人々が未来をもっと楽観的に捉えられるようにしたい。希望によって変化が起こり、その変化がさらなる希望をもたらすのではないでしょうか。","hashtags":[],"conv":"2071094490279080204","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2071555450647064953","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":244,"retweets":29,"replies":9,"quotes":8,"views":56564,"bookmarks":49,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/hardmaru/status/2071094490279080204"},"1432548656507281411":{"id":"1432548656507281411","date":"2021-08-31 03:39:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih I play golf once a week in these situations.\n\nFiscal stimulus is a distant second to (a) the abject terror of their taxes going up, and (b) generalized dislike of the other team (Democrats).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1432540390939267076","reply_id":"1432540391899729920","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1432548656507281411","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1471784396462047236":{"id":"1471784396462047236","date":"2021-12-17 10:08:39","author":"PsyBot","handle":"PsyFinance","text":"First option mint in the books! Tap Finance has sold 2588 BTC Put options at a $40k Strike on @PsyOptions, translating to roughly 28% APY for the Tap Fam. Appreciate all our partners for bidding, and @QCPCapital for facilitating the initial sale.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471784396462047236","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1471933700573069317","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":43,"retweets":10,"replies":3,"quotes":9,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/PsyFinance/status/1471784396462047236"},"1571681024630980608":{"id":"1571681024630980608","date":"2022-09-19 02:02:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @darjohn25 @FREAK0NAUT @KrisAbdelmessih @bennpeifert @moreproteinbars @therobotjames @NewRiverInvest @Chaelelo @OGTaylorB @MinvstrD Yeah. \"I'd like to make some money\" vs \"I have to make some money or they take the house.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1571636409651580929","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1571681024630980608","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1875101298481381815":{"id":"1875101298481381815","date":"2025-01-03 08:46:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 Repeat after me:\n\nTrading is -ve sum $ for traders, +ve sum utility.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1875093956318691531","reply_id":"1875101090917888227","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":14,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":832,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1875101298481381815","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1503230135788453894":{"id":"1503230135788453894","date":"2022-03-14 04:42:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@zhusu Depends. Does it have dividend derivatives listed yet? @bennpeifert","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503228704247644165","reply_id":"1503228704247644165","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"zhusu","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1503230135788453894","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1622790632350810112":{"id":"1622790632350810112","date":"2023-02-07 02:53:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@worstcontrarian Also:\n\n\"I'm playing with a bunch of donkeys.\"\n- Phil Hellmuth while getting his face ripped off on HSP.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1622722309894307842","reply_id":"1622762424515563520","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"worstcontrarian","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1638,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1622790632350810112","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1768994103008821374":{"id":"1768994103008821374","date":"2024-03-16 13:33:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@quantian1 It has to share a single track with local commuter trains for parts of the trip. Makes scheduling a nightmare and delays not-uncommon.\n\nAnd that's when the track isn't under repair for coastal erosion.\n\nIt's a clusterf**k.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1768986701165437111","reply_id":"1768989290103456247","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"quantian1","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":533,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1768994103008821374","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1613611290181914625":{"id":"1613611290181914625","date":"2023-01-12 18:58:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin @sir_deenicus I'm not saying that \"zero tools\" is correct.\n\nJust that there's a strong tradeoff and we all need to understand it exists, and to think about it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1613562994319060992","reply_id":"1613611092332400642","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":68,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1613611290181914625","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1423133176080191493":{"id":"1423133176080191493","date":"2021-08-05 04:06:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@emareseebt @alexwlezien FTX is definitely the least insane I've seen.\n\nFormer Jane Street. What do you expect? 😇","hashtags":[],"conv":"1423020340117049344","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1423133176080191493","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1693993135867851221":{"id":"1693993135867851221","date":"2023-08-22 14:26:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@YahwehOrBust This (and local TV) is one correct answer. There is another.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1693992138277859624","reply_id":"1693992305920020713","quote_id":"1693993164070346757","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"YahwehOrBust","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":1326,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1693993135867851221","type":"quote","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1613191356423471104":{"id":"1613191356423471104","date":"2023-01-11 15:09:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ejames_c Sounds insane but it works. Every real decision for downlines (engineers, mgrs, directors) is marginal. What you're telling them is \"at the margin, err on the side of X\"\n\nThen you change X as needed. It's basically sign-sign LMS.\n\nhttps://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/480498","hashtags":[],"conv":"1613102094978023425","reply_id":"1613191043004108800","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":90,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1613191356423471104","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1270401787384623105":{"id":"1270401787384623105","date":"2020-06-09 17:06:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheStalwart More importantly, the spreads you're crossing are orders of magnitude smaller. Keeps people in the game longer.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1270401389445947395","reply_id":"1270401389445947395","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheStalwart","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1270401787384623105","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1983186185632788642":{"id":"1983186185632788642","date":"2025-10-28 14:56:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Jess_Riedel Supposed OpenAI valuation AFAICT.\n\nI'm sure I don't fully understand the corporate structure, but I'm equally sure that the non-profit got screwed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1983185511587230107","reply_id":"1983185868119744824","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Jess_Riedel","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1181,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1983186185632788642","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1477333350817828864":{"id":"1477333350817828864","date":"2022-01-01 17:38:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih I would fund something like this. Seriously.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477333075981844481","reply_id":"1477333075981844481","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477333350817828864","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1206958841784496128":{"id":"1206958841784496128","date":"2019-12-17 15:26:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@WayneHimelsein The way to unify these two spots is to think about position. Asking yourself \"what is the most +EV position to have right now\" tells you the direction to work towards.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1206957944807419910","reply_id":"1206957944807419910","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"WayneHimelsein","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1206958841784496128","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1857882286332719258":{"id":"1857882286332719258","date":"2024-11-16 20:23:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@__paleologo @moreproteinbars @itsmartingale @macrocephalopod For delta 1 derivatives, ignoring things like creation/redemption halts and other weirdnesses, the functional form is the about the same.\n\nOptions no, lots of qualitative differences. Strong buy/sell asymmetry, where you are on the curve (meat vs wings), time-to-exp, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1857809844146757924","reply_id":"1857876991975768341","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"__paleologo","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2418,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1857882286332719258","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1679616127029354496":{"id":"1679616127029354496","date":"2023-07-13 22:17:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @W98AB Yes, it's a good review. Fair and honest.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1679590582510026754","reply_id":"1679615903829475328","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":620,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1679616127029354496","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1292835853518045184":{"id":"1292835853518045184","date":"2020-08-10 14:51:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein @jamesacoxiii Me too.\n\nAnd I use my password manger to keep track of all the lies.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1292823346250502145","reply_id":"1292835461904441346","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1292835853518045184","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1537442396153139200":{"id":"1537442396153139200","date":"2022-06-16 14:30:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Ah, the annual charade of applying for Masters tickets, secure in the knowledge there's no chance in hell of getting them now that application is so convenient that everyone on the planet is applying.\n\nGot lucky twice before they went to online applications...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1537442396153139200","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1537442396153139200","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1549170333684404224":{"id":"1549170333684404224","date":"2022-07-18 23:12:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @Ankit_Quant @worstcontrarian @godcomplex96 Yeah. Honestly if you let me know *something* about what someone's doing, I'd probably want to know incredibly boring stuff:\n\n- How they handle outliers\n- How they squeeze to priors\n- How they pick snaps and hedges\n- How they combine signals\n- How they size\n\nMany hard lessons...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1549091517091938304","reply_id":"1549169705537388544","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":34,"retweets":7,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":20,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1549170333684404224","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1665170575860412416":{"id":"1665170575860412416","date":"2023-06-04 01:36:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@rargulati Arguably at the expense of internal attractiveness...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1665164930025226242","reply_id":"1665164930025226242","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"rargulati","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":97,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1665170575860412416","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1372731736749051907":{"id":"1372731736749051907","date":"2021-03-19 02:08:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I replaced \"5-year-old\" with \"5 minutes\" in one of my laws of trading, but the sentiment is the same.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1372731736749051907","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1372731736749051907","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1564396976589770753":{"id":"1564396976589770753","date":"2022-08-29 23:37:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@eepzable @be20684347 @therobotjames You haven't lived until you've tried to get Reactor to work with another library that wants to hog the asyncio event loop.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1564385498981810178","reply_id":"1564396638189236224","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"eepzable","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1564396976589770753","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1441260472179691524":{"id":"1441260472179691524","date":"2021-09-24 04:37:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @M1tchRosenthal Notion.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1441183206141689857","reply_id":"1441185425574416393","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1441260472179691524","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1776578358664392769":{"id":"1776578358664392769","date":"2024-04-06 11:51:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"People have studied his methods for decades.\n\n- Where are the other Susans, Sofias and Judits?\n- Why was Sofia so much weaker than the other two if the method is universal?\n\nSusan: \"He could have put us in any field, but it was I who chose chess as a four-year-old.\"\n\n🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1776577551739113768","reply_id":"1776577551739113768","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":2395,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1776578358664392769","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1230323636168323072":{"id":"1230323636168323072","date":"2020-02-20 02:49:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TylerHKling @SinclairEuan You can always trade out of a position. What does the stop provide you that a subsequent closing limit order doesn't? In other words, what does pre-commitment get you?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1230254880977113088","reply_id":"1230316977392148481","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tylerhkling","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1230323636168323072","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1668286876304777216":{"id":"1668286876304777216","date":"2023-06-12 15:59:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@benhayesnyc @paulg Or just doing boilerplate front-end type work.\n\nThere's a lot of that to do and 10x'ing it seems pretty plausible.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1668266280187580418","reply_id":"1668278212017762305","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"benhayesnyc","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":161,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1668286876304777216","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1503227258139394048":{"id":"1503227258139394048","date":"2022-03-14 04:31:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@kneelingbus I'm Jeff Reactdeveloper, pleased to meet you.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503221861890641920","reply_id":"1503221861890641920","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"kneelingbus","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1503227258139394048","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1743426733989368075":{"id":"1743426733989368075","date":"2024-01-06 00:18:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Just because something has mundane utility now doesn't mean it's restricted to mundanity forever.\n\nWhat could you really *do* with an Altair 8800? Nothing. Even an Apple II was just a game system.\n\nWhat could you really *do* with the first iPhone and its pokey GPRS modem? Nada.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1743425282743357589","reply_id":"1743425282743357589","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":673,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1743426733989368075","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1506035218221740035":{"id":"1506035218221740035","date":"2022-03-21 22:29:11","author":"Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼","handle":"Noahpinion","text":"TBH I think people just randomly make up their responses to these surveys","hashtags":[],"conv":"1506035218221740035","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1506056549210345472","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":104,"retweets":5,"replies":23,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1506035218221740035"},"1253760185597784064":{"id":"1253760185597784064","date":"2020-04-24 18:58:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Watching daily WH press conferences is like watching Steamed Hams on repeat.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1253760185597784064","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1253760185597784064","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1476925467152175105":{"id":"1476925467152175105","date":"2021-12-31 14:37:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3/ Relatedly, code-is-law also isn't viable long-term. There will need to be mechanisms akin to our legal system to be able to \"sue\" to get your stuff back, adjudicate disputes, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476925464824270848","reply_id":"1476925466120318979","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476925467152175105","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1637462416161411072":{"id":"1637462416161411072","date":"2023-03-19 14:33:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I suspect I'm in the minority here...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1637462416161411072","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1637830004775202816","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":7485,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1637462416161411072","type":"quote","issues":[]},"2054102835353002107":{"id":"2054102835353002107","date":"2026-05-12 07:34:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"They raised $2b to steal @im_roy_lee 's idea.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2054102835353002107","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":460,"retweets":6,"replies":19,"quotes":1,"views":96877,"bookmarks":89,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2054102835353002107","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2060243621790519571":{"id":"2060243621790519571","date":"2026-05-29 06:15:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Another day, another mindless take from a YC person.\n\n1. If the bottleneck is as he says, then cheap compute can *easily* be deployed to figure out what people want more cheaply, scalably, etc.\n\n2. Maybe it's what people *and agents* want/need.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2060243621790519571","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":63,"retweets":2,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":11443,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2060243621790519571","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1369303505652047881":{"id":"1369303505652047881","date":"2021-03-09 15:06:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@swiss_quant I was always partial to the idea that because sports betting has historically been illegal in the US, people gravitated towards options fairly early on.\n\nAnd then positive feedback (liquidity begets liquidity) took over.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1369088158839701506","reply_id":"1369158877212729344","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"swiss_quant","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1369303505652047881","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1575206396232024064":{"id":"1575206396232024064","date":"2022-09-28 19:30:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dwarkesh_sp This seems likelier than not, at this point.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1575205526815657985","reply_id":"1575206182142496769","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dwarkesh_sp","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1575206396232024064","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1968414770337349688":{"id":"1968414770337349688","date":"2025-09-17 20:40:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sloppriest Good tradeable ideas? Never.\n\nBad ideas that jog interesting thoughts that very occasionally turn into good ideas? Sometimes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1968371449389006877","reply_id":"1968412358008582185","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sloppriest","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":852,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1968414770337349688","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1484262794014822403":{"id":"1484262794014822403","date":"2022-01-20 20:33:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Executive coaching:\n\nIt's what people call therapy, when they don't want to admit they want therapy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1484262794014822403","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1484262794014822403","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1545429107042684928":{"id":"1545429107042684928","date":"2022-07-08 15:26:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mehtapun 30mins later, order is about to get reestablished as expected.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1545421892743417856","reply_id":"1545423649129336834","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mehtapun","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1545429107042684928","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1357869774227689475":{"id":"1357869774227689475","date":"2021-02-06 01:52:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SimonDeDeo @a_nicholi Don't forget an extensive set of (largely, though not exclusively) me-too ML research.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1357829839428997123","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1357869774227689475","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1547370599097384961":{"id":"1547370599097384961","date":"2022-07-14 00:01:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TaylorPearsonMe I've caught myself using it that way, but then after I worried I was actually using it the other way. 🤷‍♂️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1547369775667757056","reply_id":"1547370247778406401","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TaylorPearsonMe","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1547370599097384961","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1553763078461747200":{"id":"1553763078461747200","date":"2022-07-31 15:22:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Turns out that the World Wide Web was just one big Mechanical Turk effort to create enough text data in order to achieve machine sentience via large language models.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1553763078461747200","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":45,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1553763078461747200","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2052334221323014342":{"id":"2052334221323014342","date":"2026-05-07 10:26:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So, most humans basically?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2052334221323014342","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":43,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":10347,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2052334221323014342","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1957531451978637813":{"id":"1957531451978637813","date":"2025-08-18 19:54:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xKuzco @kchoudhu What good is your BTC if you can't turn it into actual physical things you need to live? Houses, food.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957390814113308717","reply_id":"1957521103469060487","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xKuzco","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":167,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1957531451978637813","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1508997232393039874":{"id":"1508997232393039874","date":"2022-03-30 02:39:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@skyquake_1 I'm not skilled enough at this game for that.\n\nYet.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1508949176515584001","reply_id":"1508983969039417346","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"skyquake_1","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1508997232393039874","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1618026852374974464":{"id":"1618026852374974464","date":"2023-01-24 23:23:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Ah golf, don't ever change.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1618026852374974464","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2188,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1618026852374974464_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1618026852374974464","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1791231501549568110":{"id":"1791231501549568110","date":"2024-05-16 22:17:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 Willingly chosen manipulation? :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1791210676066844902","reply_id":"1791221162141261920","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":267,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1791231501549568110","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1539249448458625025":{"id":"1539249448458625025","date":"2022-06-21 14:10:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"9/ Probably there are tons of others, but we have enough to make the stylized argument I want to make: \n\nMost of us act as though we radically misunderstand what it means to live a good life. (emphasis on our actions, not our words or thoughts)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1539249425956093952","reply_id":"1539249446449455110","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1539249448458625025","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1847261274788270358":{"id":"1847261274788270358","date":"2024-10-18 12:59:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@andrewmccalip @adcock_brett Not that close, because they don't want to be.\n\nLinkedin Ads prints money. The whole org is oriented around making sure the Ads money continues to flow.\n\nAll else (like literally fixing how the world hires people) is irrelevant.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847105799707152816","reply_id":"1847129679788232930","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"andrewmccalip","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":525,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847261274788270358","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1480002947073277952":{"id":"1480002947073277952","date":"2022-01-09 02:26:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@guidoborreroj @IGotThisTrustMe @QwQiao Maybe? The fundamental protocols of the Internet are all open and designed for interop. We still have FB. \n\nSingle companies will always move faster than standards.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1479846176790884354","reply_id":"1479996760353353728","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"guido93123","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1480002947073277952","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1773828655120253147":{"id":"1773828655120253147","date":"2024-03-29 21:44:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 \"Take'em both and let God decide.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1773384779347730616","reply_id":"1773828364635418649","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":276,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1773828655120253147","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1981345835079389510":{"id":"1981345835079389510","date":"2025-10-23 13:03:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The most credible candidate to run against a literal communist is a corrupt nepotistic serial sexual harrasser.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1981345835079389510","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":65,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":8529,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1981345835079389510_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1981345835079389510","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1477069978931130369":{"id":"1477069978931130369","date":"2022-01-01 00:11:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite What jobs are you looking for?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477069406731530242","reply_id":"1477069406731530242","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477069978931130369","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1935988051437596762":{"id":"1935988051437596762","date":"2025-06-20 09:08:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Translation: \"If you weren't smart enough to avoid getting scammed by an intelligent sociopath, too bad.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1935988051437596762","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":68,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":6005,"bookmarks":3,"media":["1935988051437596762_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1935988051437596762","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1835722573386047741":{"id":"1835722573386047741","date":"2024-09-16 16:49:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HF_Trader @realjc @ConvexValue Yet to see how it's meant to make money for position-holding options traders.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1835678134005334165","reply_id":"1835716422930161847","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HF_Trader","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":165,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1835722573386047741","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1239982046358827008":{"id":"1239982046358827008","date":"2020-03-17 18:28:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Anyone out there (@Barton_options I'm looking at you) with good info on vaccine predictions? Timelines for efficacy numbers, manufacturing, etc.\n\nRealistic ones, taking into account inevitable FDA roadblock-clearing but also the need to manufacture billions of doses.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1239982046358827008","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1239982046358827008","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1748432504036684192":{"id":"1748432504036684192","date":"2024-01-19 19:49:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@boredjlc @tweetsbenedict It was a Covid-era thing. We had a group of 5 kids who knew each other from school.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1748383159493046538","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1748432695217291575","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":278,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1748432504036684192","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1590744013321437185":{"id":"1590744013321437185","date":"2022-11-10 16:31:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@thommers @un4w4r3 @macrocephalopod Yes, you need a good risk/liquidation engine.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1590726242042802177","reply_id":"1590740297767866369","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"thommers","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1590744013321437185","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1650961979190702087":{"id":"1650961979190702087","date":"2023-04-25 20:36:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Think like a trader, episode #1421:\n\n\"I need gas. Costco is on the way? But lines might be long. But it's cheaper.\n\nHow do I evaluate this tradeoff?\"\n\n⛽️➡️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1650961979190702087","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":66,"retweets":4,"replies":13,"quotes":1,"views":33738,"bookmarks":23,"media":["1650961979190702087_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1650961979190702087","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1682040218260758536":{"id":"1682040218260758536","date":"2023-07-20 14:50:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OrthogonalAlpha @keoneHD Top of book vs depth.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1681698410632724482","reply_id":"1682013077146071042","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OrthogonalAlpha","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":651,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1682040218260758536","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1598518822864310273":{"id":"1598518822864310273","date":"2022-12-02 03:26:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SquishChaos @M1tchRosenthal @thinkingpoker We already did. What do you think blogs are?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598425248927731712","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598518822864310273","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1441778525447487506":{"id":"1441778525447487506","date":"2021-09-25 14:56:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LauraDeming If this hypothesis were true, easier-to-transplant organs should be the more general ones. Ones which are (a) older, (b) usually under more selection pressure for parameter variation, and (c) less hyperspecialized.\n\nHeart, kidney. Not eye.\n\nDon't *love* the idea yet. Still 🤔.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1441773500838993920","reply_id":"1441777775820488709","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1441778525447487506","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1482564714114654212":{"id":"1482564714114654212","date":"2022-01-16 04:05:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@goodalexander The last honest profession.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482554139582386188","reply_id":"1482554139582386188","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"goodalexander","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482564714114654212","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1887113446627373403":{"id":"1887113446627373403","date":"2025-02-05 12:18:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@timexcellent I may have some bad news for you on that front.\n\nhttps://arxiv.org/abs/2408.10234","hashtags":[],"conv":"1886876460792611154","reply_id":"1887054138552541586","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"timexcellent","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":183,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1887113446627373403","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1713649092046516279":{"id":"1713649092046516279","date":"2023-10-15 20:12:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FormulaDeltaOne @theemilyaccount Feels like the wrong question to me? Like, shouldn't we prioritize *good* fiction and let the political chips fall where they may?\n\nThat said, I grew up reading Heinlein and I think he really shaped my views on things. (Some of which I later revised, I see you Starship Troopers.)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1713611269255610530","reply_id":"1713648208197382175","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FormulaDeltaOne","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":336,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1713649092046516279","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1400962332612722689":{"id":"1400962332612722689","date":"2021-06-04 23:47:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @EconShiller @SqueezeMetrics @Ksidiii @therobotjames But if you've got the greatest models in the world for volume, for example, that's a tool in your toolbox that no one else has.\n\nEventually your curiosity will let you connect a new thing to that old vlm thing you once did.\n\nThe $ is in those weird links. Ones only you noticed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1400892689101565954","reply_id":"1400961882937184259","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1400962332612722689","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1420138556954091523":{"id":"1420138556954091523","date":"2021-07-27 21:46:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JessicaNutt96 @TheSpeculator0 Door number 3 is \"look, I need this stupid credential to do my real job, which is to convince little old ladies to pay me 5% per year to put them half in SPX and half in cash.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420136013939286019","reply_id":"1420137685650399233","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JessicaNutt96","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420138556954091523","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1506045257548394496":{"id":"1506045257548394496","date":"2022-03-21 23:09:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"33/ So yes, he manufactures a perceived scarcity for Venefro but that's not what matters. What matters is understanding what your counterparty values.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1506045256172679173","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1506045257548394496","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1595982778977636352":{"id":"1595982778977636352","date":"2022-11-25 03:28:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pentagramaxiom @nickmhc Exempt status is complicated. But requiring a degree makes claiming a job is exempt much easier.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595799254437462016","reply_id":"1595923979474292736","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pentagramaxiom","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1595982778977636352","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1447247677599584258":{"id":"1447247677599584258","date":"2021-10-10 17:08:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @bennpeifert @Michigandolf I'll get right on that.\n\nStep 1: eliminate all your social media presence.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1447035760113295367","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1447247677599584258","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1748372396871143492":{"id":"1748372396871143492","date":"2024-01-19 15:50:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @macrocephalopod \"Lots of delta 1 houses in the Hamptons. Not so many vol houses.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1748324662784725454","reply_id":"1748368083646022142","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":249,"retweets":23,"replies":11,"quotes":7,"views":88552,"bookmarks":48,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1748372396871143492","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1819355068556038579":{"id":"1819355068556038579","date":"2024-08-02 12:50:24","author":"Chris Bakke","handle":"ChrisJBakke","text":"The “future of work” startup ecosystem is mostly depressing. \n\nIt’s just 100 “AI recruiter” startups selling to companies?\n\nAnd then 100 companies telling candidates “pay us the low fee of $29/mo and we’ll help you craft a resume that gets picked in the pile by the AI recruiters!”\n\nThis is it? This is the future of work?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1819355068556038579","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1819422409008861320","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":169,"retweets":6,"replies":36,"quotes":4,"views":39969,"bookmarks":22,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ChrisJBakke/status/1819355068556038579"},"1926945838820945993":{"id":"1926945838820945993","date":"2025-05-26 10:17:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Murdering Simula would have been the kill-Hitler moment for OOP languages.\n\n\"The programming language had the most impact on me was Simula. It was the first object-oriented language. Really lovely.\" - Gosling, creator of Java.\n\nBjarne Soustrup said similar things.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1926945838820945993","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":2,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":4599,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1926945838820945993","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1487221250275430404":{"id":"1487221250275430404","date":"2022-01-29 00:29:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The extent to which you're worried people are cheating your interview process is the extent to which that process sucks.\n\nYour process must be good enough that it shouldn't be worth someone good's time to cheat on someone bad's behalf.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1487221250275430404","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1487221250275430404","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1507899620000600068":{"id":"1507899620000600068","date":"2022-03-27 01:57:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Update: a ginger ale has been opened.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507898551719792646","reply_id":"1507898551719792646","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507899620000600068","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1733895680257900672":{"id":"1733895680257900672","date":"2023-12-10 17:05:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Wonderful little article on @ByrneHobart.\n\nhttps://meridian.mercury.com/byrne-hobart","hashtags":[],"conv":"1733895680257900672","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":91,"retweets":9,"replies":2,"quotes":3,"views":68268,"bookmarks":72,"media":["1733895680257900672_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1733895680257900672","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1570188846155038721":{"id":"1570188846155038721","date":"2022-09-14 23:12:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @FREAK0NAUT @jaycee393 @bennpeifert @YogiStonks @brrrzooka @SqueezeMetrics Don't forget structured products. If you have the right relationships in the right countries, getting long gamma ain't that hard.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1570018544867479555","reply_id":"1570188205445763073","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1570188846155038721","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1507523573434368001":{"id":"1507523573434368001","date":"2022-03-26 01:03:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames It works the other way too!\n\nI hatehatehate typos and errors of inattention in my own work. So I like working with people who (a) notice them and (b) are comfortable pointing them out.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507523199147282435","reply_id":"1507523199147282435","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507523573434368001","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1631498489065791488":{"id":"1631498489065791488","date":"2023-03-03 03:35:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Hey, someone's built a machine that reads your thoughts!\"\n\nReaction dawn of history - 2022:\n\"What? That's insane! The world is never going to be the same!\"\n\nReaction 2023:\n\"Some AI thing? Cool.\"\n(scratches butt, goes back to watching TikTok)\n\nhttps://sites.google.com/view/stablediffusion-with-brain/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1631498489065791488","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":23,"retweets":3,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":3384,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1631498489065791488","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1914581025474175443":{"id":"1914581025474175443","date":"2025-04-22 07:24:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Just when you think the Potemkin village that is the educational system can't get any faker, we find new ways of making it more fake.\n\n@flowidealism you'll enjoy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1914573658577633746","reply_id":"1914573658577633746","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1414,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1914581025474175443","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1625929269858963456":{"id":"1625929269858963456","date":"2023-02-15 18:45:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal I think so. Think of a class as encapsulating a record type (i.e. its internal state) and functions of the class as mutating that state.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1625926306511585282","reply_id":"1625928365302480928","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":284,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1625929269858963456","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1388884184303685639":{"id":"1388884184303685639","date":"2021-05-02 15:52:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2/ That statement is insanely and ridiculously correct.\n\nI think everyone who has other high-value uses of their time goes through the same thought process.\n\n\"Why am I doing this?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1388884183372623873","reply_id":"1388884183372623873","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1388884184303685639","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1507832732142878720":{"id":"1507832732142878720","date":"2022-03-26 21:31:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Tweetermeyer @theemilyaccount He's actually *from* Monaco which is much rarer.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507831708074323969","reply_id":"1507832033057271810","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Tweetermeyer","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507832732142878720","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1345816627615436800":{"id":"1345816627615436800","date":"2021-01-03 19:37:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Dwight_ARM \"People leaving SF because it sucks\" is getting its own backlash, I think.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1345806977184632834","reply_id":"1345811247799930882","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Dwight_ARM","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1345816627615436800","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1367636760742666244":{"id":"1367636760742666244","date":"2021-03-05 00:43:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite Milwaukee FTW.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1367622381708140546","reply_id":"1367622381708140546","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1367636760742666244","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1631424112102113281":{"id":"1631424112102113281","date":"2023-03-02 22:39:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Me during the day: \"I'm a context-switching machine!\"\n\nMe at end of the day: \"What did I even *do* today?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1631424112102113281","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":32,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2712,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1631424112102113281","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1342184685225459712":{"id":"1342184685225459712","date":"2020-12-24 19:05:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LouStagner Of course! Halteres!\n\nhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Halteres_(ancient_Greece)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1342180554138128388","reply_id":"1342184404664397824","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"LouStagner","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1342184685225459712","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1770951957496390087":{"id":"1770951957496390087","date":"2024-03-21 23:13:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jimi_index @ChrisComoGolf I cite as evidence that all long drive guys slide around a ton. Better for power. And we all know power >> accuracy in the modern game.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1770916075234103409","reply_id":"1770923286538441006","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jimi_index","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":517,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1770951957496390087","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1492623315206246403":{"id":"1492623315206246403","date":"2022-02-12 22:15:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"90%+ of PhD-requiring jobs would be better hired-for by:\n\n(a) dropping the requirement, and\n(b) administering an IQ test and work product test instead.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1492622868634431488","reply_id":"1492622868634431488","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":40,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1492623315206246403","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1450969271048179716":{"id":"1450969271048179716","date":"2021-10-20 23:36:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Trading_Boxes Prices by themselves aren't all that useful.\n\nWhat's the intended use?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1450962362291290121","reply_id":"1450962362291290121","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Trading_Boxes","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1450969271048179716","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1822843542991212812":{"id":"1822843542991212812","date":"2024-08-12 03:52:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The world won't rest until every sport has its own behind-the-scenes Netflix series.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1822843542991212812","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2676,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1822843542991212812","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1345780728080945152":{"id":"1345780728080945152","date":"2021-01-03 17:15:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ksidiii But I want to solve SDEs analytically tho.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1345767434096095232","reply_id":"1345767434096095232","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Ksidiii","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1345780728080945152","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1427463380760096773":{"id":"1427463380760096773","date":"2021-08-17 02:52:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KeyPaganRush @saanglee @goodalexander @therobotjames @longskew 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1427432958424752129","reply_id":"1427453567682584607","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KeyPaganRush","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1427463380760096773","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1534951140680269829":{"id":"1534951140680269829","date":"2022-06-09 17:30:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Eventually, the world will look back on the deflationary tokenomics of early crypto as somewhere between:\n\n(a) an unfortunate misunderstanding of how economic activity works,\n\nand\n\n(b) a scam to pump prices.\n\nWhere on the line we end up depends on how we behave today.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1534951140680269829","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1534951140680269829","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1541166697402380288":{"id":"1541166697402380288","date":"2022-06-26 21:09:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@gakonst https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IZZ4y5GfdOU","hashtags":[],"conv":"1541162878115450881","reply_id":"1541162878115450881","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"gakonst","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":18,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1541166697402380288","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1492638327199002627":{"id":"1492638327199002627","date":"2022-02-12 23:14:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Crypto is no worse than [awful tradfi product that the SEC shouldn't have approved for retail trading]\" isn't a strong enough argument IMO.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1492638327199002627","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1492638327199002627","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1450182437422522368":{"id":"1450182437422522368","date":"2021-10-18 19:30:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano Papers by JP Bouchaud and Charles Lehalle. Just search for them on http://scholar.google.com and look at their highly-cited papers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1450177328391335940","reply_id":"1450177328391335940","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":13,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1450182437422522368","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1501730082443841538":{"id":"1501730082443841538","date":"2022-03-10 01:22:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily $6.29.\n\n\"Surely it can't go any higher!\" - says the idiot voice in my head.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501727275967934467","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501730082443841538","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1609597499840540673":{"id":"1609597499840540673","date":"2023-01-01 17:08:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Real books.\nPublished by real publishers on real dead trees.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1609597499840540673","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4260,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1609597499840540673","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1771542297051861447":{"id":"1771542297051861447","date":"2024-03-23 14:19:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Parthion \"You can be a generalist later. Focus on deeply learning one thing for years and years. Then another, for years. Then another. Eventually you're a generalist.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1771539962174791936","reply_id":"1771539962174791936","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Parthion","likes":14,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":473,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1771542297051861447","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1408073127330926599":{"id":"1408073127330926599","date":"2021-06-24 14:42:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein Don't forget the good old '/' -> '_' shuffle.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1408071501496995840","reply_id":"1408071501496995840","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1408073127330926599","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1481029058326523905":{"id":"1481029058326523905","date":"2022-01-11 22:23:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @KrisAbdelmessih @heeeedgy @moreproteinbars @dailydirtnap Really?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1480988463201542144","reply_id":"1481020806998421505","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1481029058326523905","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1298978782330548225":{"id":"1298978782330548225","date":"2020-08-27 13:40:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@apeksha02 @jace48 @BeingHorizontal @paststat I've done this sort of trading system auditing. The most important thing to look at isn't the system itself. It's the process and humans that produced it.\n\nLong-term, process and people matter much more than product.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1298648526751055873","reply_id":"1298648526751055873","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"apeksha02","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1298978782330548225","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1789474594229006586":{"id":"1789474594229006586","date":"2024-05-12 01:56:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"AI","hashtags":[],"conv":"1789472319347544461","reply_id":"1789472319347544461","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":514,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1789474594229006586_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1789474594229006586","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1520090482721771520":{"id":"1520090482721771520","date":"2022-04-29 17:19:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nearcausality Pretty sure this is the bible\n\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Damodaran-Valuation-Security-Investment-Corporate/dp/0471751219\n\nhttps://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/New_Home_Page/webcastvalonline.htm","hashtags":[],"conv":"1520086900501061636","reply_id":"1520086900501061636","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nearcausality","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1520090482721771520_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1520090482721771520","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1834595933398450576":{"id":"1834595933398450576","date":"2024-09-13 14:12:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@totlsota Null hypothesis in da house.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1834589319723397303","reply_id":"1834589319723397303","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"totlsota","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":275,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1834595933398450576","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1601770082715070465":{"id":"1601770082715070465","date":"2022-12-11 02:45:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xfbifemboy ✅","hashtags":[],"conv":"1601762710911602689","reply_id":"1601763012469493761","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xfbifemboy","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1601770082715070465","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1640839097249050624":{"id":"1640839097249050624","date":"2023-03-28 22:11:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@perrymetzger Music first. Can't wait.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1640830038030311426","reply_id":"1640830040433672194","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"perrymetzger","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":78,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1640839097249050624","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1717205582804131984":{"id":"1717205582804131984","date":"2023-10-25 15:44:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@rargulati Better off doing Topgolf for (shudder) pickleball.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1717194015014289909","reply_id":"1717194015014289909","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"rargulati","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":69,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1717205582804131984","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1914906683412767084":{"id":"1914906683412767084","date":"2025-04-23 04:58:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@krishnanrohit Anecdotally, there's no way it's anywhere near 10%.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1914830148492575013","reply_id":"1914830148492575013","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"krishnanrohit","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":115,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1914906683412767084","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2057444931816325544":{"id":"2057444931816325544","date":"2026-05-21 12:54:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Thank you to everyone who DMed me. There are a lot of you out there (!), I'm trying to respond to everyone who reached out.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2057444931816325544","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":64,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":13331,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2057444931816325544","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1567689100882513920":{"id":"1567689100882513920","date":"2022-09-08 01:39:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"But if you jump diagonally, you can avoid the kitchen entirely. And that's legal.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1567688636145233920","reply_id":"1567688636145233920","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1567689100882513920","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1943294057909735490":{"id":"1943294057909735490","date":"2025-07-10 12:59:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@viscondegrego @spotgamma Low-cost broad-based ETFs.\n\nFirst in tax-advantaged accounts, then elsewhere.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943280522756591979","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":37,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3786,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1943294057909735490","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1341846600017035264":{"id":"1341846600017035264","date":"2020-12-23 20:42:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih How much are you worried about getting locked into this walled garden?\n\nThat's what made me quit Roam in the end...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1341773980051656705","reply_id":"1341773980051656705","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1341846600017035264","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1473004818910179328":{"id":"1473004818910179328","date":"2021-12-20 18:58:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein GBTC can stay cheap longer than you can stay solvent.\n\n- JM Keynes. ish.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1472995889371176964","reply_id":"1472996364632027137","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1473004818910179328","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1562933591801077766":{"id":"1562933591801077766","date":"2022-08-25 22:43:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BowTiedIguana @mpp75214 @therobotjames @Cereal_Intern @MisuaRaboki Definitely lower liquidity stuff.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1411890038938345472","reply_id":"1562931364642447361","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BowTiedIguana","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1562933591801077766","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2065834471262228578":{"id":"2065834471262228578","date":"2026-06-13 16:31:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"","hashtags":[],"conv":"2065834471262228578","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":133,"retweets":0,"replies":10,"quotes":1,"views":71704,"bookmarks":34,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2065834471262228578","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1779716543305372096":{"id":"1779716543305372096","date":"2024-04-15 03:41:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alz_zyd_ ✅","hashtags":[],"conv":"1779714418042892676","reply_id":"1779714418042892676","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alz_zyd_","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":602,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1779716543305372096","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1346481441215901698":{"id":"1346481441215901698","date":"2021-01-05 15:39:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"17/ Say $TSLA is at $740. You to buy the Mar 700 call for C, and sell the Mar 700 put, receiving P. Your total cash outlay is C - P.\n\nWhat happens at expiry? If TSLA > 700, exercise the call. You pay $700 and get 1 share. Put expires.\n\nWhat's your position if TSLA < 700? Wait...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346481438762229763","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346481441215901698","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1920861550690058504":{"id":"1920861550690058504","date":"2025-05-09 15:20:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JoshuaLelon Zero To One talks about it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1920705401110098162","reply_id":"1920842369177378933","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JoshuaLelon","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":85,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1920861550690058504","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1508094969046732804":{"id":"1508094969046732804","date":"2022-03-27 14:53:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih Love the NYMEX stories.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1508085647495426050","reply_id":"1508085647495426050","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1508094969046732804","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1434963974512992258":{"id":"1434963974512992258","date":"2021-09-06 19:37:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"19/  What's important changes, and the only way you’ll figure out the new important things is by learning some things that feel dumb and worthless.\n\nIf you’re never learning stupid stuff, you’re not learning much.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434963956599193601","reply_id":"1434963973649022976","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":19,"retweets":3,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434963974512992258","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1828313439040610498":{"id":"1828313439040610498","date":"2024-08-27 06:07:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Still true. People are excited about Cursor in direct proportion to how much boilerplate code they have to write.\n\nThis isn't a criticism of those people at all.\n\nIt's a criticism of the tools/languages/frameworks we have that Cursor is so useful!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1828313439040610498","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":4338,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1828313439040610498","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1942138310433911013":{"id":"1942138310433911013","date":"2025-07-07 08:27:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"16/\nA. It is now open season on JS.\n\nA Schelling point has been established for regulators around the world, and that Schelling point is Jane Street. Regulators have a tough job: so many companies doing so many different kinds of trades, and it's hard to figure out what they are.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942138308504494519","quote_id":"1948002661090877631","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":191,"retweets":8,"replies":2,"quotes":3,"views":51926,"bookmarks":23,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942138310433911013","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1394660554854203396":{"id":"1394660554854203396","date":"2021-05-18 14:26:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein \"Wait a sec, what do you mean 'Marketdata.update: no such method'\"\n\n(10 insanity-filled minutes later realize you have another class shadowing the one you want)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1394657853227642885","reply_id":"1394659946956943365","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1394660554854203396","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1492622868634431488":{"id":"1492622868634431488","date":"2022-02-12 22:13:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I find it fascinating how many jobs use a PhD requirement as a simple IQ filter.\n\nIQ tests are so utterly radioactively toxic that you'd rather hire people who made a (in expectation) large questionable life decision in their 20s as a poor proxy for administering one.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1492622868634431488","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":150,"retweets":5,"replies":26,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1492622868634431488","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1610657261764108288":{"id":"1610657261764108288","date":"2023-01-04 15:19:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Whenever I worry about societal stagnation, I just think of wet-putty colored cars.\n\nThey actually managed to make the color grey high-status and exciting.\n\nWe're going to be all right...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1610657261764108288","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":5491,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1610657261764108288_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1610657261764108288","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1437985520366206978":{"id":"1437985520366206978","date":"2021-09-15 03:43:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @mpp75214 @sajidnizami @JessicaNutt96 I'm lashed to the mast like Odysseus, wax in my ears.\n\nMust... resist... urge to do random modeling of interesting things with little chance of a payoff.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1437961713387667456","reply_id":"1437985048519528450","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1437985520366206978","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1330687659266568192":{"id":"1330687659266568192","date":"2020-11-23 01:40:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert It's all very sad.\n\nThe quality of one 99th percentile teacher compared to a median teacher is probably worth tens of millions of dollars of GDP.\n\nThe idea that we're mostly not trying to figure out how to scale this is such a huge shame.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1330664997337272320","reply_id":"1330680048588767233","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1330687659266568192","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1375995111515906048":{"id":"1375995111515906048","date":"2021-03-28 02:16:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @goodalexander Only their PB relationships, likely.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1375980322618175495","reply_id":"1375994898923544577","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1375995111515906048","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2016247400692687014":{"id":"2016247400692687014","date":"2026-01-27 20:30:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Please sprinkle some bullshit references I haven't even looked at, after the paper is basically written.\"\n\nYup, that does sound like a normal-ass academic paper-writing process.\n\nScience is so fucking broken, nice to see OAI build \"tools\" like this help break it further.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2016247400692687014","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":132,"retweets":7,"replies":7,"quotes":1,"views":12600,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2016247400692687014","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1256076194081996800":{"id":"1256076194081996800","date":"2020-05-01 04:21:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz Django. Waltz's best role (slightly beating Hans Landa).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1256064552359415810","reply_id":"1256064552359415810","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1256076194081996800","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1481309213234122752":{"id":"1481309213234122752","date":"2022-01-12 16:56:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@kchoudhu That can happen to anybody.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481224498682732544","reply_id":"1481308433119080449","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"kchoudhu","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1481309213234122752","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1789025566504743147":{"id":"1789025566504743147","date":"2024-05-10 20:11:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MQTrading @greenbackzach Love the idea, but (a) that's not a comp structure you see much, and (b) defining the benchmark is fraught with challenges.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788969245222850997","reply_id":"1789020598783602727","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MQTrading","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":391,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1789025566504743147","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1612933565427355648":{"id":"1612933565427355648","date":"2023-01-10 22:05:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lightspringfox @ThePythonQuant \"Secretive\". :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1612900094621224960","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":535,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1612933565427355648","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1981643752151437322":{"id":"1981643752151437322","date":"2025-10-24 08:47:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@W98AB Sure but that's just a temporary thing. Eventually you do just run out of people, if you're not having any kids. Their TFR is 1.00. One!!!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1981619767757959641","reply_id":"1981642682218008806","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"W98AB","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":122,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1981643752151437322","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2047885377768484994":{"id":"2047885377768484994","date":"2026-04-25 03:48:16","author":"Deedy","handle":"deedydas","text":"Jane Street made ~$40B in 2025 with 3,500 employees, a ~2x from the year before.\n\nAt ~65-70% profit margin, that's $8M profit / employee, the highest for a 1000+ ppl company.  High-frequency trading continues to be the most efficient money making engine.\n\nI want to share an old story about my Jane Street interview in 2014. Jane Street was known for hiring a lot of math, physics and CS olympiad winners from top  universities and putting them through many rounds - including, for trading roles, a gauntlet of mental math. It was my 6th interview and my final round and I recall being asked \"What is the next day after today in DD/MM/YYYY where all the digits are unique?\" They'd toy with you and say \"You can use a pencil and paper, if you want\" but you knew that was an instant no. Painstakingly and as quickly as I could, I came to an answer. \"How confident are you that this is correct on a 0-1 probability scale?\" the interviewer said. \"0.95\", I blurted out, not fully knowing how to answer that. \"Are you sure?\" After thinking harder for a few more seconds, I realized I could've flipped the digits around to get a closer date. I gave the interviewer my answer. It was correct. \"0.95 huh?\" he chuckled. That's when I knew I failed.\n\nNote: fwiw, other companies that come close in efficiency are\n- Tether ($90M+ profit/emp)\n- Hyperliquid ($80M+ profit/emp)\nand on revenue:\n- Valve ($50M/emp)\n- OnlyFans ($37M/emp)\n- Craigslist ($14M/emp)\n- Anthropic ($12M/emp, run rate)\n- OpenAI ($8M/emp, run rate)\nFor comparison, Nvidia is very efficient at scale and is $4.4M/emp.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2047885377768484994","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2047902543095705788","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4839,"retweets":416,"replies":239,"quotes":261,"views":13238660,"bookmarks":4044,"media":["2047885377768484994_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/deedydas/status/2047885377768484994"},"1288871455720005632":{"id":"1288871455720005632","date":"2020-07-30 16:17:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vixologist @HockeyCrazed11 What an immense failure of millions of dollars of advertising for Farmers that you called it a State Farm commercial!\n\n😆","hashtags":[],"conv":"1288863452375797765","reply_id":"1288864694372126720","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vixologist","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1288871455720005632","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1778713075526320482":{"id":"1778713075526320482","date":"2024-04-12 09:13:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@liquiditygoblin The replies saying (basically) that a scatterplot like this couldn't make money haven't seen what real HFT strategies look like.\n\nThis could easily be a 5+ Sharpe strat.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1778683547483803982","reply_id":"1778683547483803982","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"liquiditygoblin","likes":29,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":2500,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1778713075526320482","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1456008340329230337":{"id":"1456008340329230337","date":"2021-11-03 21:20:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod \"Ohhhhh! I thought \"market making\" was MAKING UP the prices things trade at. My bad.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1455887352371597312","reply_id":"1456007576101867523","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":103,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1456008340329230337","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1327050694763810816":{"id":"1327050694763810816","date":"2020-11-13 00:48:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm Great article. Worth noting that Cubans have experience with leftist authoritarianism, whereas Argentines/Chileans/Brazilians have had the rightist variety.\n\nWhen talking politics with Cubans, it's like a weird parallel universe where everything is the same but very different. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1326979780978208768","reply_id":"1326979780978208768","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1327050694763810816","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1706100156410814782":{"id":"1706100156410814782","date":"2023-09-25 00:15:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Albz321 @bookdepth Fair. Once they get infected with tenure, it's only a matter of time till they develop full-blown emerititis.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1705726370783834388","reply_id":"1706099791078232068","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bubbleboi","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":430,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1706100156410814782","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1665173615753715713":{"id":"1665173615753715713","date":"2023-06-04 01:48:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @theemilyaccount @moreproteinbars @Long83 Broker: \"Can you join at X? Really helps me out.\"\nMe: \"Fine.\"\n\n(30mins later)\nBroker: \"You're lifted at X. Can you stretch to Y size?\"\nMe: \"Sigh. Fine.\"\n\n(10min later)\nMe: \"We done?\"\nBroker: \"Yup.\"\nMe: \"How much trading total?\"\nBroker: \"Uhhh. Y. Other guy backed out.\"\n\n😡😡😡","hashtags":[],"conv":"1664917957506465793","reply_id":"1665026612616626178","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2100,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1665173615753715713","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1547367832035291136":{"id":"1547367832035291136","date":"2022-07-13 23:50:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"For example:\n\n- Starbucks makes money largely because they can borrow at 0%.\n- Amazon makes money by stepping in the middle of as many consumer transactions as possible.\n\nNot saying there isn't value being created. Just that the high-value bits are the financial alchemy bits.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1547367830856708098","reply_id":"1547367830856708098","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1547367832035291136","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1456626470520954881":{"id":"1456626470520954881","date":"2021-11-05 14:16:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 Almost definitely.\n\nIn fact, people in these jobs are among the only ones that should systematically be longer than 1 beta to the market.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1456625965061320707","reply_id":"1456625965061320707","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1456626470520954881","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1500276707424571402":{"id":"1500276707424571402","date":"2022-03-06 01:06:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@thodoha @lightspringfox I think he was getting too much visibility at work.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1500276354176421888","reply_id":"1500276354176421888","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"othadoh","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1500276707424571402","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1477320193659469828":{"id":"1477320193659469828","date":"2022-01-01 16:45:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5/\n3⃣ Grifters make insanely confident or large predictions. “Elliot-wave Ichimoku breakout pattern. Target SPX price of [20% higher].”\n\nThis is nuts. If you really could make good predictions this big in SPX, you’d be a trillionaire. SPX edges are measured in fractions of bps.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477320189653893121","reply_id":"1477320192707289088","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":51,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477320193659469828","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1441069968548773899":{"id":"1441069968548773899","date":"2021-09-23 16:00:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In particular, most recordings of searching for alpha would fail because they almost always do.\n\nI think the realness of it is important. To show people how hard this is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1440514473710612481","reply_id":"1441069625735663622","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1441069968548773899","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1523822197088817153":{"id":"1523822197088817153","date":"2022-05-10 00:28:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Stablecoins\"\n\nUSDT unched\nUSDC unched\nDAI unched\n\nUhhh...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1523822197088817153","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1523822197088817153","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1588636541609717760":{"id":"1588636541609717760","date":"2022-11-04 20:57:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@witchqueendot @Ksidiii @be20684347 @moreproteinbars @NotQuiteMidlife @therobotjames @OffTheRunTrades @bennpeifert @saanglee @JosephPolitano @KrisAbdelmessih Farcaster FTW.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1588577251662393344","reply_id":"1588631876461555712","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"witchqueendot","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1588636541609717760","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1743708676043739316":{"id":"1743708676043739316","date":"2024-01-06 18:58:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Regime shift in the status of Ivy League universities?\n\nIs it possible? In my lifetime?\n\nOne can dream...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1743708676043739316","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":39,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":8232,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1743708676043739316","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1650965918774599682":{"id":"1650965918774599682","date":"2023-04-25 20:52:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 @Gingfacekillah I was thinking about that precisely as I was getting gas an listening to the unavoidable gas pump TV inanity blast.\n\nSeems like it shouldn't be *that* hard to avoid draft busts (aside from injury).\n\nBut what do I know? Not much about this, that's for sure.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1650961979190702087","reply_id":"1650965379639017473","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":248,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1650965918774599682","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1663985585437184000":{"id":"1663985585437184000","date":"2023-05-31 19:07:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase How are you harder to attack @ AWS vs a box at Hetzner or OVH?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1663982401813626880","reply_id":"1663984453339758604","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":185,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1663985585437184000","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1906783151126405297":{"id":"1906783151126405297","date":"2025-03-31 18:58:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Linkus000 Interesting. How?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1906782947090350164","reply_id":"1906783100052341124","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Linkus000","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":363,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1906783151126405297","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1439302025276112899":{"id":"1439302025276112899","date":"2021-09-18 18:55:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"7/ But for most of us when faced with a tough problem, it's usually useful to ask meta questions:\n\n- What is this a special case of?\n- What *kind* of problem is this?\n- What mental structures are useful to think about this?\netc.\n\nWhat else? Any other good meta questions?\n\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"1439302018976256002","reply_id":"1439302024152051712","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":40,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1439302025276112899","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1595440681496981504":{"id":"1595440681496981504","date":"2022-11-23 15:34:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595422615824347137","reply_id":"1595424982665900032","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1595440681496981504","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1691515907204595712":{"id":"1691515907204595712","date":"2023-08-15 18:23:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BruceFeldmanCFB 🤣🤣🤣\n\nThis is what a 170lb dumbbell looks like. That's Brian Shaw btw, 4-time world's strongest man.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1691492259366383616","reply_id":"1691492259366383616","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BruceFeldmanCFB","likes":32,"retweets":1,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":8317,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1691515907204595712_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1691515907204595712","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1427739003436998658":{"id":"1427739003436998658","date":"2021-08-17 21:07:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alex_bcg @_Dave__White_ @Mephisto731 @sks01119 @danrobinson @snarkyzk @andrewjleone @AlexisGauba @aparnalocked @opyn_ Well, I can imagine running a book of a few of these, managing the collective exposures, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1427652305009004545","reply_id":"1427738610351099908","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alex_bcg","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1427739003436998658","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1544512524116115456":{"id":"1544512524116115456","date":"2022-07-06 02:44:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brrrzooka @stoch4stic @therobotjames @be20684347 Isotonic regression: always seems like a good idea, never quite works out.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1544425285268844544","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1544512524116115456","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1377999088667389952":{"id":"1377999088667389952","date":"2021-04-02 14:59:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2/ Priors are supposed to be \"beliefs you hold before seeing the data\".\n\nTaken at face value this is crazy. You've been collecting data since the day you were born.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377999087644012544","reply_id":"1377999087644012544","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1377999088667389952","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1409286749767929868":{"id":"1409286749767929868","date":"2021-06-27 23:05:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@longskew What if it takes a team of people to bring down the kill? :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1409279086346702849","reply_id":"1409285507071283203","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"longskew","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1409286749767929868","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1471528751183712264":{"id":"1471528751183712264","date":"2021-12-16 17:12:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mnopro Doesn't hurt either. In fact, one of the best ways to become that first call is to get lucky with a big-name win beforehand.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471527969013133313","reply_id":"1471528415932993538","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mnopro","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471528751183712264","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1689297244334460933":{"id":"1689297244334460933","date":"2023-08-09 15:27:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The low angle you get on practice videos is so much better, I can't understand why tennis broadcasts don't use it!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1689297244334460933","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1712,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1689297244334460933","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1834257518584820135":{"id":"1834257518584820135","date":"2024-09-12 15:47:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@harry_renquist You'll probably eventually find out either way.\nIf it fails then people will be seen looking for a job.\nIf it succeeds then you'll see a yacht called Positive Rewards.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1834256870854590867","reply_id":"1834256870854590867","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"harry_renquist","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":121,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1834257518584820135","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2078125561755336815":{"id":"2078125561755336815","date":"2026-07-17 14:31:58","author":"signüll","handle":"signulll","text":"this is pretty funny cuz we all know screening doesn’t disappear when you ban it, it just happens in *other* ways. \n\nit’s entirely likely that landlords price the risk into rent which is just another form of discrimination..  something that credit  checks were kinda designed to prevent.\n\nonce you pair this with no eviction congrats you made the marginal tenant entirely radioactive. i.e. the policy hurts precisely the ppl it claims to protect cuz it removes standardized forms of trustworthiness.\n\ni didn’t think he would do this much damage this fast weirdly enough.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2078125561755336815","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2078412125521752070","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":933,"retweets":61,"replies":51,"quotes":6,"views":143204,"bookmarks":86,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/signulll/status/2078125561755336815"},"1764778265955197053":{"id":"1764778265955197053","date":"2024-03-04 22:21:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount I like the diffusion-of-good-ideas theory. 30yrs ago you had to find great teachers to give you secrets.\n\nNow all you need Trackman, SAM Puttlab, SwingCat and a burning desire to grind it out.\n\nTech has (a) democratized knowledge and (b) pushed everyone closer to natural limits.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1764770187025510864","reply_id":"1764776824427381033","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":156,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1764778265955197053","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1921977568812564606":{"id":"1921977568812564606","date":"2025-05-12 17:15:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1921977568812564606","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":73,"retweets":0,"replies":24,"quotes":0,"views":9394,"bookmarks":3,"media":["1921977568812564606_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1921977568812564606","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1178168530623070209":{"id":"1178168530623070209","date":"2019-09-29 04:44:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BeingHorizontal It's not. If it were the future, we'd already be doing it. There were drag-and-drop programming interfaces for the Mac and Apple II GS back in the late 1980s.\n\nIt didn't take off for the same reason it won't now:\n- Not information dense\n- Slow to create\n- Impossible to re-read","hashtags":[],"conv":"1178156780884389888","reply_id":"1178158830414262272","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BeingHorizontal","likes":3,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1178168530623070209","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1789070524515262905":{"id":"1789070524515262905","date":"2024-05-10 23:10:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arbseekerguy AFAICT if you're ok with not touching it for 3 years, then it's fine. Not sure about costs though. Maybe the comms are large?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788923697908339031","reply_id":"1789063618278867234","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arbseekerguy","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":599,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1789070524515262905","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1606426993649930240":{"id":"1606426993649930240","date":"2022-12-23 23:10:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I didn't have \"I'm going to fund a fraudster's first-class flight to serve house arrest at his parents' place\" on my 2022 bingo card.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1606426993649930240","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":48,"retweets":3,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":10534,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1606426993649930240","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1627701960664305668":{"id":"1627701960664305668","date":"2023-02-20 16:09:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 - Requires work.\n- Increases P(injury).\n- They think fans just want razzle-dazzle.\n\n?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1627677261515345923","reply_id":"1627701084335779842","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":335,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1627701960664305668","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1423283886822289419":{"id":"1423283886822289419","date":"2021-08-05 14:04:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dendisuhubdy @jgreco @therobotjames @PenguinsTrading @drewg__ @lightspringfox @experquisite @noms_nom_nom 1. One account! No separate accounts for spot/margin/futures/whatever.\n2. One API. There should be one and only one endpoint and protocol to send an order, cancel, etc.\n3. Websockets as a first-class citizen. No need to resort to REST calls to interact properly with WS.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1423020340117049344","reply_id":"1423142049340018688","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dendisuhubdy","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1423283886822289419","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1680707081496834048":{"id":"1680707081496834048","date":"2023-07-16 22:32:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Freshly opened container. Hey @Team_Optimum are you going to tell me the powder settled to under *half* the container size?\n\nPretty good way to chip away at your brand's trustworthiness. More like Optimum Package Deceptiveness.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1680707081496834048","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":53,"retweets":0,"replies":17,"quotes":0,"views":25697,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1680707081496834048_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1680707081496834048","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1376560423319703553":{"id":"1376560423319703553","date":"2021-03-29 15:42:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Update: They're sending a new biosensor to replace.\n\nAwesome customer support, keep up the great work @supersapiensinc!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1376541008775667717","reply_id":"1376541008775667717","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1376560423319703553","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1777361883638665501":{"id":"1777361883638665501","date":"2024-04-08 15:44:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@expectedrisk For me the latter. Who cares about the sophistication of the tech if it makes money?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1777301762552234068","reply_id":"1777361220263166198","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"expectedrisk","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":522,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1777361883638665501","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2000487671618232819":{"id":"2000487671618232819","date":"2025-12-15 08:46:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Frontier AI companies          Josef Stalin\n                                        🤝\n          Quantity has a quality of its own\n                    Fake it till you make it","hashtags":[],"conv":"2000487671618232819","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":32,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4590,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2000487671618232819","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1793322129360146877":{"id":"1793322129360146877","date":"2024-05-22 16:44:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If anyone is (or knows of someone) in Prague who's a math teacher/tutor with math competition experience, please DM me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1793322129360146877","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":5,"replies":3,"quotes":2,"views":6032,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1793322129360146877","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1764770187025510864":{"id":"1764770187025510864","date":"2024-03-04 21:49:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Who does the PGATour think it's fooling with \"Cognizant Classic\"?\n\nAlso, has anyone looked at their Wikipedia page? Bribery, tax evasion, wage theft, H-1B violations.\n\nClassy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1764770187025510864","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2525,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1764770187025510864","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1965428958331371763":{"id":"1965428958331371763","date":"2025-09-09 14:55:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@moreproteinbars @OneHotCode1 @macrocephalopod @__paleologo @TCK_JRubano @cullinan92619 @sdav1986 @KrisAbdelmessih @therobotjames @Gingfacekillah @bennpeifert @QuiteMidlife Yeah. Shoot the breeze, complain about non-alpha-revealing shit we all have to deal with:\n\n- Stupid Pandas indexing (yes Polars)\n- Why does C++ need so many compiler hints\n- Why is everyone's symbology so awful","hashtags":[],"conv":"1964696429425029328","reply_id":"1965391938678300953","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"moreproteinbars","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":752,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1965428958331371763","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1769922343273693567":{"id":"1769922343273693567","date":"2024-03-19 03:02:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@waltuuuhr Yes. Just like in C it's perfectly possible to write memory safe code. It's just hard.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1769889371346620520","reply_id":"1769921450817810499","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"waltuuuhr","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":112,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1769922343273693567","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1326683126165245954":{"id":"1326683126165245954","date":"2020-11-12 00:28:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jerry_jtaylor @mattyglesias As a polity, California has mastered \"environmentalism so long as it doesn't negatively affect real estate prices\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1326679760555094016","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1326683126165245954","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1511706685475151872":{"id":"1511706685475151872","date":"2022-04-06 14:05:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I love @HangukQuant but I disagree with this advice. If you're just starting out, you don't know anything about what's going to work, where your edge is, what you need for infra, etc.\n\nSpending 6mo building something without the market's feedback is a (slow) boat to nowhere.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1511706685475151872","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":89,"retweets":4,"replies":10,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":27,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1511706685475151872","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1931621464366547125":{"id":"1931621464366547125","date":"2025-06-08 07:56:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"RLHF post-training means that the chatbot is incentivized make you happy. That means it will mirror you.\n\nAsk a dumb question and you'll get a dumb answer.\n\nPut some effort into your prompt and you'll get rewarded.\n\n99% of \"LLMs suck\" gripes are user skill issues.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1931621464366547125","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":81,"retweets":2,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":6982,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1931621464366547125","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2044801388878631239":{"id":"2044801388878631239","date":"2026-04-16 15:33:36","author":"Crémieux","handle":"cremieuxrecueil","text":"RT @cremieuxrecueil: If you write a bunch of one-sentence paragraphs to sound 'punchy', then it doesn't matter if you didn't have an LLM write it: you're already spiritually an LLM.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2044801388878631239","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2044529044088029312","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":41,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":7,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/cremieuxrecueil/status/2044801388878631239"},"1598818376666996736":{"id":"1598818376666996736","date":"2022-12-02 23:16:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@khemaridh @KrisAbdelmessih @JamesClear It works for me because I'm somewhat unusual in two ways:\n- I enjoy grinding on things to get better at them.\n- I have an obsessive personality.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598806727545147392","reply_id":"1598817989755011072","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598818376666996736","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1697280180887158895":{"id":"1697280180887158895","date":"2023-08-31 16:08:23","author":"experquisite","handle":"experquisite","text":"“Make impossible states unrepresentable” is the essence of truly great software development. But it takes a ton of thought to understand the domain: to know what ought to be impossible, what ought to be a part of the state, and what things people will want to represent.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1697280180887158895","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1697285917680210343","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":42,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":2,"views":11925,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/experquisite/status/1697280180887158895"},"1691128444720205824":{"id":"1691128444720205824","date":"2023-08-14 16:43:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xLoris How are you getting prices?\n\nMid isn't especially good in the wings...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1690445203029557248","reply_id":"1690445203029557248","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xLoris","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":650,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1691128444720205824","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1633321914419777537":{"id":"1633321914419777537","date":"2023-03-08 04:21:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase I like the concept. You're exhausted from wading through the dross and that cynicism leaks out.\n\nBTW \"stochastic parrot\" is definitely not mine.\n\n@sama maybe?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633319300151881729","reply_id":"1633319741988167681","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":246,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633321914419777537","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1423453768939577344":{"id":"1423453768939577344","date":"2021-08-06 01:19:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ruapirate @TheSpeculator0 @spotgamma Maybe not in this case, but it's a muscle that needs exercising.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1423287776238260224","reply_id":"1423453657203286016","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1423453768939577344","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1946238921983000833":{"id":"1946238921983000833","date":"2025-07-18 16:01:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@johniykyk #2 is huge. There's a reason most societies historically banned or restricted gambling.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946114875899486383","reply_id":"1946231795848282121","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"johniykyk","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1069,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946238921983000833","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1405184152933081089":{"id":"1405184152933081089","date":"2021-06-16 15:23:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4/ It doesn't *fix* the \"ugly leaves in my yard\" problem, it merely makes it someone else's problem. Usually the neighbor, sometimes the street.\n\nOf course, the most efficient way for the neighbor to remove their leaves is to blow them back into your yard.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1405184150139674624","reply_id":"1405184152115159041","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1405184152933081089","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1466168094510882828":{"id":"1466168094510882828","date":"2021-12-01 22:11:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@kchoudhu Mercurial FTW.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1466160918186938376","reply_id":"1466160918186938376","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"kchoudhu","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1466168094510882828","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1786097350420881434":{"id":"1786097350420881434","date":"2024-05-02 18:16:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@waltuuuhr @RuxandraTeslo \"Owe\" is perhaps strong, but for it to be *no* part of your motivations is also immoral IMO. Somewhere in the middle is probably right, as usual.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1786040973681693112","reply_id":"1786057644169388327","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"waltuuuhr","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":39,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1786097350420881434","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1534285249542340609":{"id":"1534285249542340609","date":"2022-06-07 21:24:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4/ Exceptions:\n- There's demonstrable (defensible) IP already.\n- The founders are very high status.\n- The prospective employee has a weird utility function.\n\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"1534285246404866048","reply_id":"1534285248497733632","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1534285249542340609","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1482784992006590464":{"id":"1482784992006590464","date":"2022-01-16 18:41:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@goodalexander","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482748235496058880","reply_id":"1482779474634674181","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"goodalexander","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1482784992006590464_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482784992006590464","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1597734840685953026":{"id":"1597734840685953026","date":"2022-11-29 23:30:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AlexanderGerko Strong \"they've forgotten more than you'll ever know\" vibe.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597717921434062848","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":44,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597734840685953026","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1633517897128738816":{"id":"1633517897128738816","date":"2023-03-08 17:19:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@rajivpoc I use it in tournaments. People standing more than 2 yards behind the baseline get a steady diet.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633514191486353409","reply_id":"1633515618262548481","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"rajivpoc","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":110,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633517897128738816","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1563260683826839552":{"id":"1563260683826839552","date":"2022-08-26 20:22:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Not since before 1994 (Nick Price's year) have I cared less about professional golf than I do now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1563260683826839552","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1563260683826839552","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1462862064532144130":{"id":"1462862064532144130","date":"2021-11-22 19:14:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HarryDisaOG @GolfGrindBlog @scottfawcett I believe that's known to be a misconception. Most guys are hitting it close to as hard as they can with the driver. Scott?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1462857855913103372","reply_id":"1462861453044690951","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HarryDisaOG","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1462862064532144130","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1389387050856579072":{"id":"1389387050856579072","date":"2021-05-04 01:11:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Who are the good follows in crypto trading land? Ideally former pros who made the jump.\n\nI know v little about crypto trading, and maybe it's time to learn a bit.\n\nYes, I realize I may be the last person to the party. 🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1389387050856579072","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":42,"retweets":0,"replies":20,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":20,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1389387050856579072","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1509658494785392640":{"id":"1509658494785392640","date":"2022-03-31 22:26:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Melange_Anon Not unless you're selling the next day.\n\nTrading on the auction saves you from crossing spreads.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1509623825519951881","reply_id":"1509655633070419984","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Melange_Anon","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1509658494785392640","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1631079566713458689":{"id":"1631079566713458689","date":"2023-03-01 23:50:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT Cuz I need it to work.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1631035436830445569","reply_id":"1631076528602636289","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":310,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1631079566713458689","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1895465808396177484":{"id":"1895465808396177484","date":"2025-02-28 13:27:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Best tech flameout of the last couple of years?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1895465808396177484","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":2645,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1895465808396177484","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1494144669101420547":{"id":"1494144669101420547","date":"2022-02-17 03:00:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 @StudentofMarke2 I think that last bit is most strongly a function of raw # of people regularly exercising. Broad voluntary exercise for enjoyment is a very new phenomenon.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494110009478684674","reply_id":"1494131977066213376","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494144669101420547","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1493812183603597314":{"id":"1493812183603597314","date":"2022-02-16 04:59:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames Yes and yes. Though the highest gamma positions are near expiration and ATM. Tails have little gamma.\n\nThis is part of the reason upside vol trades over realized a lot of the time (but not always). People like to buy lottery tickets.\n\nProviding to this is not a retail trade. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493810512441786373","reply_id":"1493810512441786373","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493812183603597314","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1521236300002594816":{"id":"1521236300002594816","date":"2022-05-02 21:12:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jfahim24 @DimitryNakhla @M1tchRosenthal @bennpeifert @therobotjames @SinclairEuan @KrisAbdelmessih @darjohn25 🙏🙏🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1521227996471955462","reply_id":"1521227996471955462","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Market0perator","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1521236300002594816","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1412787658527367168":{"id":"1412787658527367168","date":"2021-07-07 14:56:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ksidiii As always, CGP Grey said it best:\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rStL7niR7gs","hashtags":[],"conv":"1412755826243211268","reply_id":"1412769437527121923","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1412787658527367168","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1625664080848752641":{"id":"1625664080848752641","date":"2023-02-15 01:11:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"How many technology-decider types are unaware that machines like this exist?\n\nhttps://us.ovhcloud.com/bare-metal/high-grade/hgr-hci-4/\n\nWhat fraction of microservices-based architectures built in the last 10 years could actually be run more cheaply and reliably on a monolith on one of these boxes?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1625585419294478336","reply_id":"1625585419294478336","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1802,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1625664080848752641","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1331453205973147649":{"id":"1331453205973147649","date":"2020-11-25 04:22:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Wallacesnoop1 I'm guessing the kid interned there for one summer. Likely two or three.\n\nHard for people to understand, but this can def make sense for the right person.\n\nIf you're in a position to pay 1m to a kid coming out of school, you're prob doing a lot of things right already...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1331425540658536449","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1331453205973147649","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1446155849626361856":{"id":"1446155849626361856","date":"2021-10-07 16:49:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 @moreproteinbars @volmagorov Reminds me of Russian GDR options markets. :)\n\nAnd base metals on the LME. Talk about a viper pit.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1446152362284904451","reply_id":"1446152364293976065","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1446155849626361856","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1320397342156021762":{"id":"1320397342156021762","date":"2020-10-25 16:10:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@yminsky The thing that's most broken about Jupyter Notebook isn't the bad editor, it's the hard-to-manage execution model.\n\nI'm supposed to mentally sort the blocks by the numbers on the left to know what state it's in? In 2020, that's just insane.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1320396048515346433","reply_id":"1320396049874386951","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"yminsky","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1320397342156021762","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1475625425875259392":{"id":"1475625425875259392","date":"2021-12-28 00:31:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin @mgnr_io Why?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1475622339333132288","reply_id":"1475623667530964996","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1475625425875259392","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1292120588887027715":{"id":"1292120588887027715","date":"2020-08-08 15:28:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brenorb @remindmetweets E assim que funciona. A unica forma de aprender e fazendo e depois melhorando.\n\nVou dar uma olhada, obrigado por ter mandado.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1291375187263275014","reply_id":"1292117485160992769","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"brenorb","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1292120588887027715","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1681447367571275777":{"id":"1681447367571275777","date":"2023-07-18 23:34:26","author":"Gary Basin","handle":"garybasin","text":"Meta spends more on a week’s worth of vegan options at their cafeterias than the cost to train llama2. The gpus have not, in fact, gone brrr yet","hashtags":[],"conv":"1681447367571275777","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1681497898733957120","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":58,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":2,"views":11975,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/garybasin/status/1681447367571275777"},"1912369965581189222":{"id":"1912369965581189222","date":"2025-04-16 04:58:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"DMs I receive. File under \"doing your homework\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1912369965581189222","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":103,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":10174,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1912369965581189222_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1912369965581189222","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1354923082444533761":{"id":"1354923082444533761","date":"2021-01-28 22:43:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Messing around with my new M1-based laptop. The GPU on it does more FLOPS than the fastest computer in the world in 1999 (Intel ASCI Red/9632).\n\nCranking 1080p video renders at 160fps. What stagnation?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1354923082444533761","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1354923082444533761","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1934588333788643675":{"id":"1934588333788643675","date":"2025-06-16 12:26:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FinTwitFan1 Indeed it did.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1934563284453036526","reply_id":"1934570129381118432","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FinTwitFan1","likes":70,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":12699,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1934588333788643675","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1595831221589639169":{"id":"1595831221589639169","date":"2022-11-24 17:26:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 @mapochamp Partly it's because embedded experience has become incredibly rare. I feel like 25 years ago everyone who did CS had to do at least a couple of courses that required some assembler or realtime stuff.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595799254437462016","reply_id":"1595829495923019776","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1595831221589639169","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2043938692033655021":{"id":"2043938692033655021","date":"2026-04-14 06:25:33","author":"Joe Weisenthal","handle":"TheStalwart","text":"RT @TheStalwart: @xwanyex Your reply is completely nonsensical. After you buy the land, what makes it “yours” is the ability to exclude others from it, which is a service that the state provides to you in a variety of ways.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2043938692033655021","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2043781456472776949","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":111,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":8,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheStalwart/status/2043938692033655021"},"1760513321944711276":{"id":"1760513321944711276","date":"2024-02-22 03:54:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"At this point it can only be senior management.\n\nRemember how MSFT shot up $6b when Ballmer resigned?\n\nWhat's the Pichai resignation bump worth?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1760513321944711276","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":46,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":11221,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1760513321944711276","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1541243418461872128":{"id":"1541243418461872128","date":"2022-06-27 02:14:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@stoch4stic @therobotjames @be20684347 Hell, even Powerpoint is Turing complete.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_3loq22TxSc","hashtags":[],"conv":"1541240145755914240","reply_id":"1541242743749365760","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"stoch4stic","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1541243418461872128","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1557803099862929408":{"id":"1557803099862929408","date":"2022-08-11 18:56:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LM_Braswell I seem to remember someone's internship. :)\n\nMy variant is \"Just try shit. It almost doesn't matter what as long as you don't *know* you're going to hate it.\"\n\nIt's basically agile but for your career.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1557800951502684160","reply_id":"1557802642746720256","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"LM_Braswell","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1557803099862929408","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1353454748909756418":{"id":"1353454748909756418","date":"2021-01-24 21:28:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ChrisOlliney97 @ReformedTrader @10kdiver @SahilBloom @MacroOps @choffstein Picking up some new accounts to follow, thanks!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1353446212532396032","reply_id":"1353446214293925889","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"chrisdolliney","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1353454748909756418","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1170335123994054656":{"id":"1170335123994054656","date":"2019-09-07 13:56:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"When you think you've found the perfect video to illustrate your sparkling Twitter wit, but don't realize everyone's sick of that video already:\n\nhttps://x.com/i/status/1168602699975352320/video/1","hashtags":[],"conv":"1170335123994054656","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1170335123994054656","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2000961006802284955":{"id":"2000961006802284955","date":"2025-12-16 16:07:34","author":"Michael Nielsen","handle":"michael_nielsen","text":"RT @michael_nielsen: It’s “well-known” that science is upstream of abundance: improving our understanding of the universe → improves our ability to act → leads to the ability to do more with “the same” resources.  This is fundamental to our civilization!\n\nI’ve found it surprisingly difficult to find strong general discussion of this link between science and our ability to act. What are the limits? How is the increase in understanding linked to our capability?\n\nThe best discussions I know are probably Solow-Romer from the economics literature, and Deutsch (grounded in physics, but broader).  What else is worth reading?\n\nTo be clear: I’m not referring to discussions focused primarily on specific examples. E.g., whether the universe is fundamentally classical or quantum likely affects the class of computational problems which are soluble in practice. Whether there are negative energy densities likely affects whether solutions like the Alcubierre “warp drive” are possible. And so on.  These examples are interesting, and will ground any discussion, but I'm familiar with many such, and I’m looking for broader discussions","hashtags":[],"conv":"2000961006802284955","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2000658290548858964","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":9,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/michael_nielsen/status/2000961006802284955"},"1448107608796172293":{"id":"1448107608796172293","date":"2021-10-13 02:05:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 @therobotjames Shall I point you to the thousands of worthless papers on timeseries change point detection?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448086924330246151","reply_id":"1448106948407201798","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448107608796172293","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1628452940884377600":{"id":"1628452940884377600","date":"2023-02-22 17:53:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 It's half written...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1628449259870883848","reply_id":"1628452623627227136","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":844,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1628452940884377600","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1490111349795344387":{"id":"1490111349795344387","date":"2022-02-05 23:53:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @be20684347 @bennpeifert @volpompilano Hey, if you're providing a service people want...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1490077571597287428","reply_id":"1490087253145632771","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1490111349795344387","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1880230791760015685":{"id":"1880230791760015685","date":"2025-01-17 12:28:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@__paleologo A certain flaneur comes to mind.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1880222863489396792","reply_id":"1880222863489396792","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"__paleologo","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":470,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1880230791760015685","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1805051496440238191":{"id":"1805051496440238191","date":"2024-06-24 01:33:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@joe_fish34 @__paleologo @AnnieDuke 🙏🙏🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1804989065491538138","reply_id":"1805050488540328411","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"joe_fish34","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":61,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1805051496440238191","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1571677701005807616":{"id":"1571677701005807616","date":"2022-09-19 01:48:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @nope_its_lily @Jimmyjude13 @bennpeifert @moreproteinbars @therobotjames @NewRiverInvest @Chaelelo @OGTaylorB Still waiting for that one...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1571636409651580929","reply_id":"1571677615727034369","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1571677701005807616","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2036139882167357598":{"id":"2036139882167357598","date":"2026-03-23 17:55:52","author":"John Arnold","handle":"johnarnold","text":"RT @johnarnold: Let's talk about sports betting via prediction markets, which the Commodity Futures Trading Commission started allowing last year.\n\nThe CFTC was created to regulate derivatives contracts in commodities that provide price transparency and facilitate risk transfer. These markets include some level of customer hedging and some speculation. The latter is necessary to facilitate the former and (usually) improves price signals. \n\nBeyond traditional commodities like oil, wheat, and copper, the CFTC sanctions contracts on stock indices, currencies, and interest rates. More recently, they've expanded to other markets in which businesses face risk they may want to hedge against like weather, freight costs, and emissions. \n\nA new innovation comes from prediction markets, where one can buy and sell contracts based on the probability of a specific event happening in the future. This allows someone, at least in theory, to hedge events like election outcomes, geopolitics, and corporate earnings. \n\nBefore 2025, the CFTC explicitly rejected sports contracts. But last year, the CFTC allowed Kalshi to self-certify contracts on sports betting by not intervening. Soon, the prediction sites were filled with not just questions about Iran but outright sports betting like whether Purdue will cover a 7 point line against Texas on Thursday. \n\nThis isn't hedging. This isn't price transparency. This is just gambling. Sports betting should not be regulated by the CFTC, but by the states, where all gambling decisions have been made since the founding of this country. \n\nStates have long made different decisions on gambling based on what is right for them. Nevada and Utah share a long border but have made very different decisions on gambling: Nevada has legalized most forms while Utah has done the opposite. Voters and policymakers in those respective states have made those decisions. \n\nThe CFTC has explicitly violated states' rights by implicitly legalizing online sports gambling across all 50 states. While most states have chosen a minimum age of 21 for gambling, the CFTC has lowered that to 18. While states have commissions to set guardrails on consumer protections, marketing, and state taxes, the CFTC has none of that. \n\nWe can have a fulsome debate about what gambling is allowed and for whom. Reasonable people can have different views on the answer. I don't know what is optimal, but I do know that debate is best done in states. There is too much heterogeneity across America to have a one size fits all law. Nevada should be able to make different decisions than Utah. \n\nI am pleased that a pair of bipartisan bills have been introduced in the House and Senate return authority to the states. Kudos to Sens. Schiff (D-CA) and Curtis (R-UT) and Reps. Moore (R-UT) and Carbajal (D-CA). Online sports betting is not hedging. It's not an investment. It is gambling and should be regulated as such.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2036139882167357598","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2036122661844070511","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":38,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/johnarnold/status/2036139882167357598"},"1423810602703618053":{"id":"1423810602703618053","date":"2021-08-07 00:57:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein @nope_its_lily @TheSpeculator0 That was it for me, definitely.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1423699115335163906","reply_id":"1423809886400430081","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1423810602703618053","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1838917803618832627":{"id":"1838917803618832627","date":"2024-09-25 12:25:44","author":"Zvi Mowshowitz","handle":"TheZvi","text":"@TheStalwart We can directly see, with eyes and through studies, the gigantic negative impacts on people's lives - a lot of people simply can't handle it and this is increasingly clear over time.\n\n(The fact that it ruins our sports TV, and the terrible offerings/prices, also help.)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1838750550738751772","reply_id":"1838750550738751772","quote_id":"1838919328730653118","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheStalwart","likes":78,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":24860,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheZvi/status/1838917803618832627"},"2050472420796993564":{"id":"2050472420796993564","date":"2026-05-02 07:08:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Lord grant me the self confidence of every guy who:\n\n- Spent the first three years of his career after college at some trading firm,\n- And now started some crypto thing,\n- And now at age 26, talks like they know everything about trading.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2050472420796993564","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":528,"retweets":5,"replies":18,"quotes":0,"views":29761,"bookmarks":60,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2050472420796993564","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1793640143196430521":{"id":"1793640143196430521","date":"2024-05-23 13:48:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Relatedly, every player on the planet thinks of themselves as a \"feel player\". Even Bryson. No one ever says \"no, actually I'm very mechanical\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1793630961592361430","reply_id":"1793636839875866884","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":248,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1793640143196430521","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1371544089133346816":{"id":"1371544089133346816","date":"2021-03-15 19:29:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Mephisto731 ulimit -s unlimited\n\nAKA\n\nJust work already, dammit.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1371541785231691781","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1371544089133346816","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1592013684679004162":{"id":"1592013684679004162","date":"2022-11-14 04:36:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xLightcycle Come on Zapier, tell us!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1592005167456882689","reply_id":"1592005167456882689","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xLightcycle","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1592013684679004162","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1636446418494951424":{"id":"1636446418494951424","date":"2023-03-16 19:16:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Who's going to be the leader in using GPT4 + Whisper to create a decent AI second-language teacher?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1636446418494951424","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2597,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1636446418494951424","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1770296180175708532":{"id":"1770296180175708532","date":"2024-03-20 03:47:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Spent most of the day listening to my uncle explain how you run a 3000 hectare lemon exporter. Utterly fascinating.\n\nWhatever year AI replaces programmers, add another 20 for lemon producers. The world of atoms has an amount of essential detail that crushes the world of bits.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1770296180175708532","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":100,"retweets":3,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":7753,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1770296180175708532","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2038645798863352001":{"id":"2038645798863352001","date":"2026-03-30 15:53:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Strawman! The problem with PMs is:\n\n1. As they scale, their ability to influence the underlying event increases without bound. Because $ incentives.\n\n2. It's much easier to create negative outcomes than positive ones.\n\nThat's it. That's all you need for PMs to be bad for society.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2038645798863352001","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":117,"retweets":4,"replies":9,"quotes":1,"views":14316,"bookmarks":25,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2038645798863352001","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1552819050325037056":{"id":"1552819050325037056","date":"2022-07-29 00:51:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_Dave__White_ @anon75374998 You only wasted a month? Smarter person than me.\n\nKFs, UKFs, EKFs, particle filters.\n\nI went all in...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1552817040448114694","reply_id":"1552818714327691264","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_Dave__White_","likes":18,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1552819050325037056","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1531994582669348864":{"id":"1531994582669348864","date":"2022-06-01 13:42:26","author":"Internal Tech Emails","handle":"TechEmails","text":"Elon Musk on remote work\n\nMay 31, 2022","hashtags":[],"conv":"1531994582669348864","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1532112350399959040","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":67470,"retweets":8481,"replies":3180,"quotes":5520,"views":0,"bookmarks":3852,"media":["1531994582669348864_1.png","1531994582669348864_2.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TechEmails/status/1531994582669348864"},"1433239041571360769":{"id":"1433239041571360769","date":"2021-09-02 01:23:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OneBigOh @therobotjames @InBraised @M1tchRosenthal @MinvstrD They do not!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1433212446274199553","reply_id":"1433238137275310091","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OneBigOh","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1433239041571360769","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1612155492444540929":{"id":"1612155492444540929","date":"2023-01-08 18:33:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The right model to understand 409A valuations:\n\nGetting a tribe's medicine man to do the pre-hunt magic ritual which appeases a capricious and vengeful deity.\n\nIt all makes sense with mental framing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1612155492444540929","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3041,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1612155492444540929","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1608854743786606602":{"id":"1608854743786606602","date":"2022-12-30 15:57:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@IvanZupic They don't care which direction you trade, as long as you trade.\n\nIt's all about the fees.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1608835613758984192","reply_id":"1608854409488007169","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"IvanZupic","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":895,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1608854743786606602","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1591177573568253952":{"id":"1591177573568253952","date":"2022-11-11 21:14:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @macrocephalopod","hashtags":[],"conv":"1591067134251405312","reply_id":"1591176455463243777","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1591177573568253952_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1591177573568253952","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1243381937550458885":{"id":"1243381937550458885","date":"2020-03-27 03:38:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"To put it another way, the West feels like Compaq in the 1990s, relying on its brand name and partnerships with other entities to do the actual work, forgetting that it was hard work and determination that made it great in the first place.\" @stratechery\n\nhttps://stratechery.com/2020/compaq-and-coronavirus/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1243381937550458885","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":3,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1243381937550458885","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1279471200054333440":{"id":"1279471200054333440","date":"2020-07-04 17:44:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"FACT: Our large cities (buildings, bridges, airports, sewers, etc) would be impossible without reinforced concrete.\n\nFACT: Different materials thermally expand at different rates.\n\nQUESTION: Why doesn't the steel inside the concrete crack/shatter it with heating/cooling cycles?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1279471200054333440","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1279471200054333440","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1969349343271395742":{"id":"1969349343271395742","date":"2025-09-20 10:34:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The examples just keep piling up.\n\nhttps://x.com/CryptoMoonday/status/1968989489063194650","hashtags":[],"conv":"1969349343271395742","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":7290,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1969349343271395742","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1242175884955504640":{"id":"1242175884955504640","date":"2020-03-23 19:46:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz As a rough mental model, think of an ARCH type model with a long-term baseline vol. When you're near-ish to the baseline, your behavior is dominated by corr(stock,vol) which is negative). When you're far from baseline, reversion to the baseline dominates.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1242174147289104386","reply_id":"1242174147289104386","quote_id":"1242189673646059520","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":12,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1242175884955504640","type":"quote","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1743170257324216437":{"id":"1743170257324216437","date":"2024-01-05 07:19:10","author":"Camille","handle":"camlperr","text":"Market making is a slave morality job. Master morality seeks compensation only for risk.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1743170257324216437","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1743306091809931728","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":54,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":2,"views":19266,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/camlperr/status/1743170257324216437"},"2027407973421629833":{"id":"2027407973421629833","date":"2026-02-27 15:38:22","author":"Fault or Fiction","handle":"faultorfiction","text":"RT @faultorfiction: Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner have won every Grand Slam since the 2023 US Open, but they do it differently\n\nI analyzed 366 matches from @TennisAbstract's incredible Match Charting Project to break down their tactical blueprints\n\nRead here: https://open.substack.com/pub/faultorfiction/p/two-paths-to-dominance-how-alcaraz?r=3k3cys&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true\n#Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics","hashtags":["tennis","atp","tennisanalytics"],"conv":"2027407973421629833","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2027376360713285650","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":30,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2,"bookmarks":0,"media":["2027407973421629833_1.jpg","2027407973421629833_2.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/faultorfiction/status/2027407973421629833"},"1707876014372892882":{"id":"1707876014372892882","date":"2023-09-29 21:52:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Anthropic creating AGI and thereby saving FTX bagholders be like","hashtags":[],"conv":"1707876014372892882","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2094,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1707876014372892882_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1707876014372892882","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1976938174888001884":{"id":"1976938174888001884","date":"2025-10-11 09:09:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"A bit more surprised how much \"yeah, the whole point of PMs is insider trading\" is a thing out there.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1976645088433656219","reply_id":"1976741370304791004","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3351,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1976938174888001884","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1598374615482789888":{"id":"1598374615482789888","date":"2022-12-01 17:52:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase @therobotjames @robertmartin88 You're mapping signal to predicted return to desired POSITION, not desired trade.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598359321158553602","reply_id":"1598374459320061952","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598374615482789888","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1987459450869813362":{"id":"1987459450869813362","date":"2025-11-09 09:57:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"He wins because he understands he's the protest candidate.\n\nHis opponents lose because they do not.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1987459450869813362","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3925,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1987459450869813362","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1749688546632597708":{"id":"1749688546632597708","date":"2024-01-23 07:00:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@xmgnr @waltuuuhr 🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1749282490370650614","reply_id":"1749679451104043116","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"xmgnr","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":222,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1749688546632597708","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1507904680042455041":{"id":"1507904680042455041","date":"2022-03-27 02:17:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount F: dolphin\nM: kdb\nK: vertica because I've never heard of it so it must suck. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507898551719792646","reply_id":"1507900391454920705","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507904680042455041","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1598716807275507712":{"id":"1598716807275507712","date":"2022-12-02 16:32:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin @macrocephalopod @laurentzeimes Seller of one contract at 30.\n\nContract settles to $100 if it can get 9/10 correct on 3x3x3 logic puzzles.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598575466410934272","reply_id":"1598715718039740417","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598716807275507712","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1167074801808113666":{"id":"1167074801808113666","date":"2019-08-29 14:01:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Question for all the Fed rates $ES traders out there:\n\nWhat is the source of your trading edge on the subject? What do you know, what have you figured out that other people haven't?\n\nFrom my perspective, there are a *lot* of smart eyeballs on it. Seems hard to find an edge.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1167074801808113666","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1167074801808113666","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1435063422836625410":{"id":"1435063422836625410","date":"2021-09-07 02:12:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SoccerMomTrades As you can see from the answers, the numbers vary immensely.\n\nEverything from scammy bucket shops all the way to \"real\" prop firms, and everything in between.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1435027651027259395","reply_id":"1435027651027259395","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SoccerMomTrades","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1435063422836625410","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1443951378330648577":{"id":"1443951378330648577","date":"2021-10-01 14:50:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"6/ At the same time, I like money.\n\nAnd I'm a huge believer in the adverse selection of publication: papers which show no effect never get published, so the universe of published (and preprint) papers is biased towards \"stuff that seems to work\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443951372580229123","reply_id":"1443951376980082688","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":27,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1443951378330648577","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1573311848430317569":{"id":"1573311848430317569","date":"2022-09-23 14:02:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Tennis strategy should be easily modelable as an MDP with relatively few input features.\n\nCreate a generic all-player model then fine tune it for specific player skillsets. I bet it would reveal lots of systematic strategic mistakes.\n\nWould be a fun PhD project.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1573311848430317569","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1573311848430317569","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1598697599330299904":{"id":"1598697599330299904","date":"2022-12-02 15:16:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin @macrocephalopod @laurentzeimes Not familiar. Will look it up.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598575466410934272","reply_id":"1598697449693986816","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598697599330299904","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1978182651941896431":{"id":"1978182651941896431","date":"2025-10-14 19:34:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Chat for the ladies, Sora for the guys.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1978182141180522742","reply_id":"1978182141180522742","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":30,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":3272,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1978182651941896431","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1737741443912143278":{"id":"1737741443912143278","date":"2023-12-21 07:47:00","author":"Casey Handmer","handle":"CJHandmer","text":"@thatguybg I interview a lot of early career hires, and if it's clear they're deeply inexperienced I usually go meta and provide some coaching on what the conversation is actually about and where we're trying to get to.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1737596402123858140","reply_id":"1737596402123858140","quote_id":"1737925989936824648","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"thatguybg","likes":34,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":2,"views":9919,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/CJHandmer/status/1737741443912143278"},"1985360023061401870":{"id":"1985360023061401870","date":"2025-11-03 14:54:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@david_streever @ENikkila Not anymore.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1984922771592532383","reply_id":"1985354012690907273","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"david_streever","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":92,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1985360023061401870_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1985360023061401870","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1477320191679729664":{"id":"1477320191679729664","date":"2022-01-01 16:45:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3/\n2⃣ Grifters make “predictions” that are hard to falsify. Even worse are the ones that tell you about predictions they made before. Even if accompanied by a timestamp, this is nearly worthless.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477320189653893121","reply_id":"1477320190735962119","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":40,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477320191679729664","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1372368844010835970":{"id":"1372368844010835970","date":"2021-03-18 02:06:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@robbevantillo @M1tchRosenthal How different would the results have been if he had taken 12.5 disjoint intervals? Probably pretty similar corr.\n\nHow different if he had taken 20 years worth of 1-day returns? Very different right?\n\nTry it yourself w/ some toy data.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1372362211688079363","reply_id":"1372366711819763712","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"robbevantillo","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1372368844010835970","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1851745300186116414":{"id":"1851745300186116414","date":"2024-10-30 21:57:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Ah http://golf.com, always with actionable instruction ideas for the average amateur player. Don't ever change.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1851745300186116414","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2126,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1851745300186116414_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1851745300186116414","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1980525745937018975":{"id":"1980525745937018975","date":"2025-10-21 06:45:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So Kramnik killed Naroditsky?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1980525745937018975","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":64,"retweets":0,"replies":12,"quotes":0,"views":13732,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1980525745937018975","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1712267749265907885":{"id":"1712267749265907885","date":"2023-10-12 00:43:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BangTheClose I'm sure people would take those Anthropic preferreds off his hands now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1712254740418142691","reply_id":"1712267004009193767","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BangTheClose","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":157,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1712267749265907885","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1877403113151189005":{"id":"1877403113151189005","date":"2025-01-09 17:12:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Step 1: You know it's doable, you don't know if *you* can do it.\n\nStep 2: You know it's doable, you know you'll do it.\n\nStep 3: You don't know if it's possible, you're scared of trying and failing.\n\nStep 4: You don't know if it's possible, you know you'll figure it out somehow.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1877403113151189005","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":65,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":5722,"bookmarks":22,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1877403113151189005","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1763322524694446115":{"id":"1763322524694446115","date":"2024-02-29 21:57:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Richly deserved profile of @dwarkesh_sp.\n\nThough the Lex comparisons are truly unfortunate. Like comparing a scholar of Shakespeare to someone who's read the CliffsNotes of King Lear.\n\nhttps://meridian.mercury.com/dwarkesh-patel","hashtags":[],"conv":"1763322524694446115","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":196,"retweets":5,"replies":4,"quotes":5,"views":32917,"bookmarks":106,"media":["1763322524694446115_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1763322524694446115","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1786263067372015853":{"id":"1786263067372015853","date":"2024-05-03 05:14:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeepDishEnjoyer In the way that you can get great grades by simply memorizing the study guide and its problem types, then pattern-match regurgitating it on the exam.\n\nHow is that *learning*?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1786261837383909526","reply_id":"1786262608267358470","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeepDishEnjoyer","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1095,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1786263067372015853","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1595832108085260288":{"id":"1595832108085260288","date":"2022-11-24 17:29:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bowtiedrickson Yep. A lot of shops do what I'd call cargo cult interviewing.\n\nIt has the outlines and feel of a real thing but without the content.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595799254437462016","reply_id":"1595831557927112704","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bowtiednzd","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1595832108085260288","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1482378231164461071":{"id":"1482378231164461071","date":"2022-01-15 15:44:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @BayesianBohdi @choffstein One's more than enough. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482066898472865796","reply_id":"1482224758993596418","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482378231164461071","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1767646192639574438":{"id":"1767646192639574438","date":"2024-03-12 20:17:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0ffmeds @EntropyChase Trading is very tail-outcome-y. Lots of people want to do it, very few end up doing it successfully.\n\nMath is fun but if you're interested in value-generating activities, you're probably still going to need to learn something real in some domain.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1767601427231510943","reply_id":"1767644737605931489","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0ffmeds","likes":5,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":347,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1767646192639574438","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1391500813193732099":{"id":"1391500813193732099","date":"2021-05-09 21:10:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih It took a while for my kids to get that credit card spending is money you have to... you know... pay back.\n\nThen again, lots of adults I know haven't gotten there yet.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1391460425166778370","reply_id":"1391461477039566850","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1391500813193732099","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1796960364858679700":{"id":"1796960364858679700","date":"2024-06-01 17:41:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount What are the words that need to come out of my corporate mouth to maximize sales?\n\nThose.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1796955575063838874","reply_id":"1796955575063838874","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":393,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1796960364858679700","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1300429122481475585":{"id":"1300429122481475585","date":"2020-08-31 13:43:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"But if I keep the same random seeds (for a while at least), I trade off a bit of bias (i.e. I'm \"over-optimizing\" to those specific random paths) but I gain back some variance (because the gradient I get is less noisy).\n\nWhat say you? Is this sensible? Does it exist already?\n\n4/4","hashtags":[],"conv":"1300429119394463746","reply_id":"1300429121650974720","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1300429122481475585","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1506045263042920448":{"id":"1506045263042920448","date":"2022-03-21 23:09:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"37/ And finally the Red Sox scene:\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ofkb_7EnunM","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1506045261667217408","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1506045263042920448","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1388884190419034114":{"id":"1388884190419034114","date":"2021-05-02 15:52:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"9/ Anyway, I feel for you Lily and I hope you find peace and satisfaction. I'm not going to say \"I hope you come back\" because that would make it more about me than about you.\n\nI hope you're at peace. Let's leave it at that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1388884183372623873","reply_id":"1388884189580206087","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":31,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1388884190419034114","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1611231739611082752":{"id":"1611231739611082752","date":"2023-01-06 05:22:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @DayNiteTrader @therobotjames @BeaglierCap Amen.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1611190033385652224","reply_id":"1611229004861968386","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":449,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1611231739611082752","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1471506500090675200":{"id":"1471506500090675200","date":"2021-12-16 15:44:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Am I missing something, or is this not the very definition of a police state in Australia?\n\nhttps://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-12-12/sa-omicron-close-contact-shares-his-experience/100694038","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471506500090675200","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1471506500090675200_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471506500090675200","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1798203774315676091":{"id":"1798203774315676091","date":"2024-06-05 04:02:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Best part? These are all from the Memorial. It's a highlight reel of long irons and three woods taken from ONE GOLF COURSE!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1798203774315676091","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3854,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1798203774315676091","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1443951383942623232":{"id":"1443951383942623232","date":"2021-10-01 14:50:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"11/ But even soccer books are useful to basketball players, as long as you're reading them the right way.\n\nAs a source of ideas.\nAs jumping off points.\n\nThe longer you're in this business, the more everything starts to look the same. You get into a rut whether you want to or not.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443951372580229123","reply_id":"1443951382839509001","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":38,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1443951383942623232","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1788924655853814104":{"id":"1788924655853814104","date":"2024-05-10 13:30:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JDcarlu Maximizing after-tax returns conditional on no principal risk.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788923697908339031","reply_id":"1788924380250050610","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JDcarlu","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2876,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788924655853814104","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1552514284952776704":{"id":"1552514284952776704","date":"2022-07-28 04:40:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Anéantir is clearly Houellebecq doing Knausgaard.\n\nRather well, I might add.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1552514284952776704","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1552514284952776704","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2070481490228510803":{"id":"2070481490228510803","date":"2026-06-26 12:17:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I love SV ARR math, where there's no time denominator too small to use.\n\n\"We just we signed a $50k contract today.\"\n\"Quick, lets go tell the VCs we have $18.25 million ARR!\"\n...\n\"Well technically we signed it within the last hour.\"\n\"Holy shit! $438 million ARR!\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"2070481490228510803","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":108,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":9539,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2070481490228510803","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2046861323946893745":{"id":"2046861323946893745","date":"2026-04-22 07:59:03","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"RT @therobotjames: @Jeffreyw5000 @BigBreakfastLob I’d be a pretty good investor too if I had infinite customer money to jizz at every pitch","hashtags":[],"conv":"2046861323946893745","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2046858090235220452","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/2046861323946893745"},"1963517657212170438":{"id":"1963517657212170438","date":"2025-09-04 08:21:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pranavvk @G3ni3sWish 🫡 Deal.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1963489161178223063","reply_id":"1963514219837399454","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pranavvk","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":91,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1963517657212170438","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1394675376635273218":{"id":"1394675376635273218","date":"2021-05-18 15:24:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @vakontis @SinclairEuan @bennpeifert @goodalexander And know that you can sometimes push them on that deadline if you really need to. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1394645553850503172","reply_id":"1394666730010517506","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1394675376635273218","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2078435636218851678":{"id":"2078435636218851678","date":"2026-07-18 11:04:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Oh and \"safety\" too. Don't forget safety.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2078435636218851678","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":99,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":10250,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2078435636218851678","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1573727505491673088":{"id":"1573727505491673088","date":"2022-09-24 17:34:10","author":"Kaili Wang","handle":"kaili_jenner","text":"Billions in crypto stolen. If we can't stop the thefts, can we reduce the harmful effects?\n\nOver recent months, a couple other @Stanford researchers and I drew out and prototyped ERC-20R/721R to support reversible transactions on #Ethereum.\n\nSee post & 🧵:\nhttps://mirror.xyz/kaili.eth/gB-rx89sNAT3CVuxWo6xVFS5ptNcllW7cVWVCfcFa6k","hashtags":["ethereum"],"conv":"1573727505491673088","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1573779735095652353","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2286,"retweets":500,"replies":596,"quotes":635,"views":0,"bookmarks":716,"media":["1573727505491673088_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/kaili_jenner/status/1573727505491673088"},"1743447418274824269":{"id":"1743447418274824269","date":"2024-01-06 01:40:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I guess replication crises come in many forms...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1743445761717891080","reply_id":"1743445761717891080","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1050,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1743447418274824269","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1979887941704196568":{"id":"1979887941704196568","date":"2025-10-19 12:30:44","author":"Isaac","handle":"roundrobin42","text":"Had a great time on @foxandfriends talking about underage gambling and predatory sportsbook marketing","hashtags":[],"conv":"1979887941704196568","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1985240989100114208","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":143,"retweets":6,"replies":14,"quotes":2,"views":39531,"bookmarks":27,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/roundrobin42/status/1979887941704196568"},"1343774321005584384":{"id":"1343774321005584384","date":"2020-12-29 04:22:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@QuantRob @LewPayne Whatever you decide to do, if it's tickdata then you need to think long and hard about causality. There are a zillion ways to accidentally backdoor looking into the future when you try to re-sync stuff.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1343759781094436864","reply_id":"1343765622501634048","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuantRob","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1343774321005584384","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1611168072131579906":{"id":"1611168072131579906","date":"2023-01-06 01:09:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @AlexanderGerko Agreed. Forcing an army of horrendously unqualified teachers to teach math they categorically don't understand is a recipe for disaster.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1611121871113670661","reply_id":"1611139925554122757","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":895,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1611168072131579906","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1534671398559305728":{"id":"1534671398559305728","date":"2022-06-08 22:59:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @JessicaNutt96 @EntropyChase @moreproteinbars @therobotjames Yeah. The infra required to trade options profitably is... not for the faint of heart.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1534645684598497282","reply_id":"1534670557400010752","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1534671398559305728","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1568604725716852736":{"id":"1568604725716852736","date":"2022-09-10 14:18:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cyberSM7 ATM straddle px = 0.8 * vol * sqrt(t)\n\n25 delta put strike price = px (1 - 2/3 * vol * sqrt(t))","hashtags":[],"conv":"1568391778516234241","reply_id":"1568599133459730433","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"cyberSM7","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1568604725716852736","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2018590691388232115":{"id":"2018590691388232115","date":"2026-02-03 07:41:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"AI is capital's \"commoditize your complement\" i.e. labor.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2018590691388232115","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2573,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2018590691388232115","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1632168474905821184":{"id":"1632168474905821184","date":"2023-03-04 23:57:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@july2022ffsacc University admissions in a nutshell: Adderall addicts and trust fund babies.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632157627978514433","reply_id":"1632168124219834371","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"july2022ffsacc","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":222,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632168474905821184","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1245173004536954880":{"id":"1245173004536954880","date":"2020-04-01 02:15:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein Aaron Brown is criminally underrated.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1245172353409011712","reply_id":"1245172353409011712","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":16,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1245173004536954880","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1412606269274300417":{"id":"1412606269274300417","date":"2021-07-07 02:55:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RockshotJ @lightspringfox Some of them do! Then you ask them if there are any issues with that -1 thingy.\n\nCue more blank stares.\n\nIt's literally 1 out of 50 that have heard of a QR decomp.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1412581659745001474","reply_id":"1412605861135065097","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RockshotJ","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1412606269274300417","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1923041604794831004":{"id":"1923041604794831004","date":"2025-05-15 15:43:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Sometimes I think about the 63 bits our modern processors waste representing a bool:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1923041604794831004","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":14,"quotes":0,"views":3130,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1923041604794831004","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1423432674778120195":{"id":"1423432674778120195","date":"2021-08-05 23:56:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 @spotgamma Probably.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1423287776238260224","reply_id":"1423432527080001538","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1423432674778120195","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1504115374702284806":{"id":"1504115374702284806","date":"2022-03-16 15:20:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @experquisite @gregasmaximus @TerribleQuant \"Why would you unroll that!?!?! The compiler knows what it's doing!\"\n\n\"Sir this is a Carpet Barn.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503834072757452805","reply_id":"1504114769422389254","quote_id":"1504115854803230724","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1504115374702284806","type":"quote","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1740571388556296348":{"id":"1740571388556296348","date":"2023-12-29 03:12:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OrthogonalAlpha What else is there?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1740570321059807487","reply_id":"1740570321059807487","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OrthogonalAlpha","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":396,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1740571388556296348","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1259319924415062023":{"id":"1259319924415062023","date":"2020-05-10 03:10:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz @jimcollins Correct. But everyone has been sold the \"if you don't go to college you're worthless\" story.\n\nAlso, how much would you give up in $/per year to work in a comfy office vs cleaning out shit from random annoyed people's drains?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1259317273589940224","reply_id":"1259318997524324355","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1259319924415062023","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1756699674856263723":{"id":"1756699674856263723","date":"2024-02-11 15:20:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@profplum99 @MuFakkas 👆👆👆\n\nAcademics who got access to a random dataset of metaorders from some broker's execution algo and have opinions about market impact...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1756685248413188390","reply_id":"1756687321536118851","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"profplum99","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":890,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1756699674856263723","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1887039087565004969":{"id":"1887039087565004969","date":"2025-02-05 07:22:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Translation: YC is in the contract software dev business now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1887039087565004969","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4174,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1887039087565004969","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2052352890241450335":{"id":"2052352890241450335","date":"2026-05-07 11:40:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Using LLMs to do OSINT is fun.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2052352890241450335","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":4535,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2052352890241450335","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1624109506891509763":{"id":"1624109506891509763","date":"2023-02-10 18:14:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Generative AIs like ChatGPT aren't for making you better at what you're good. It's for making you passable at what you're bad.\n\nThink of it like a strong baseline. The world's \"average\".\n\nBeing good at something means, at a minimum, being better than AIs at that thing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1624109506891509763","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":56,"retweets":8,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":8308,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1624109506891509763","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1749627238780391911":{"id":"1749627238780391911","date":"2024-01-23 02:56:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @therobotjames 🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1749580779221594239","reply_id":"1749622379150540819","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":168,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1749627238780391911","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1491155416298176512":{"id":"1491155416298176512","date":"2022-02-08 21:02:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 Incentives.\n\nNo one ever got fired for b̶u̶y̶i̶n̶g̶ ̶I̶B̶M̶ hiring Harvard grads.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1491150199028600832","reply_id":"1491154899232784385","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1491155416298176512","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1981619850553467121":{"id":"1981619850553467121","date":"2025-10-24 07:12:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Inb4 someone says AI/robots.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1981619767757959641","reply_id":"1981619767757959641","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1875,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1981619850553467121","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1867313186929594480":{"id":"1867313186929594480","date":"2024-12-12 20:58:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@___vtx___ Sure, but let's assume fees are zero.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1867298783165305134","reply_id":"1867312446236491895","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"___vtx___","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":471,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1867313186929594480","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1450970109883809794":{"id":"1450970109883809794","date":"2021-10-20 23:40:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheStalwart High spread in worker value = no union.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1450965303148650498","reply_id":"1450965303148650498","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheStalwart","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1450970109883809794","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1486355571569614851":{"id":"1486355571569614851","date":"2022-01-26 15:09:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JKevin2011 @quangvdo @FREAK0NAUT @SamWMcAlpine @darjohn25 In fairness we probably haven't seen prime Ja yet.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486134955990077440","reply_id":"1486260440980201474","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JKevin2011","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1486355571569614851","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2012574178344309078":{"id":"2012574178344309078","date":"2026-01-17 17:14:10","author":"Aaron Decker","handle":"ardninja","text":"@AgustinLebron3 Is it so bad? Not even sure I get the argument here other than an appeal to snobbery","hashtags":[],"conv":"2012275210498486681","reply_id":"2012275210498486681","quote_id":"2012576442379276550","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":8399,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ardninja/status/2012574178344309078"},"1788104151521804306":{"id":"1788104151521804306","date":"2024-05-08 07:10:25","author":"ekri","handle":"ekrii3","text":"So, quick question for all the “smart” legal / ethical minds out there, how is the US justice system in any way fair if SBF is still in jail yet claims are ~118%? Hmm??","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788104151521804306","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1788197944526799145","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":36,"retweets":0,"replies":28,"quotes":4,"views":29301,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ekrii3/status/1788104151521804306"},"1907068057215963242":{"id":"1907068057215963242","date":"2025-04-01 13:50:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Meronix15 🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1907064735427707089","reply_id":"1907067270385316079","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Meronix15","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":453,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1907068057215963242","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2022057828870242414":{"id":"2022057828870242414","date":"2026-02-12 21:18:49","author":"Ben Ganz","handle":"benganz","text":"RT @benganz: @ycombinator @tensol_ai So every YC company stopped what they’re doing and are just going to resell openclaw?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2022057828870242414","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2022033192438690028","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/benganz/status/2022057828870242414"},"1155486805468176384":{"id":"1155486805468176384","date":"2019-07-28 14:34:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vboykis Reminds of regulators wanting to see trading algo source code. Here, knock yourself out. If you figure it out let us know, we'd be interested too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1155297842745004034","reply_id":"1155297842745004034","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vboykis","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1155486805468176384","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1942214238543433897":{"id":"1942214238543433897","date":"2025-07-07 13:28:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sdav1986 Does seem like a place with similar market structure.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942211621406883925","reply_id":"1942211621406883925","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sdav1986","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":854,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942214238543433897","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1681777598580539392":{"id":"1681777598580539392","date":"2023-07-19 21:26:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @IdahoBones It's good. Stays with you.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1681711988236222484","reply_id":"1681769121547968513","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":382,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1681777598580539392","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2074867108953886972":{"id":"2074867108953886972","date":"2026-07-08 14:44:02","author":"Brett Harrison","handle":"BrettHarrison","text":"RT @BrettHarrison: Announcing ComputeConnect, the financial industry’s first exchange-for-physical (EFP) network for compute, coming soon from Architect and @ComputeDesk. ComputeConnect links US exchange-traded compute futures to compute capacity delivery.\n\nExchange-listed cash-settled compute futures are entering US markets to correct course on the current AI economy, reorienting debt to long-term growth:\n\n • Creating price discovery and transparency independent of any single capacity provider.\n • Establishing a forward curve for measuring deprecation and forecasting supply and demand.\n • Providing financial hedges for compute consumers and producers.\n • Enabling hedge funds, ETF companies, and traders to gain long and short financial exposure to compute.\n\nUS cash-settled compute futures lack a physical delivery mechanism, and ComputeConnect fills this gap.\n\nExisting physically settled futures such as energy and agriculturals require their clearing house (DCO) to set a uniform standard for the grade and delivery method for the underlying commodity. Compute, by contrast, is highly fragmented, heterogeneous, and rapidly evolving, making it infeasible for any single DCO to define and enforce comparable standards.\n\nComputeConnect establishes a network of compute capacity providers and links the network with Architect’s US futures products using exchange-for-physicals (EFPs), OTC contracts in which futures positions are exchanged for the assets the futures track. EFPs allow counterparties to negotiate the grade, timing, location, and other characteristics of the commodity along with a basis tied to the futures settlement price.\n\nComputeConnect will\n\n • Build a network of capacity providers and capacity marketplaces.\n • Establish an open protocol for members of the network to receive delivery requests and advertise available GPUs.\n • Publish standard basis tables for different SKUs, memory configurations, and locations for GPUs.\n • Book the futures legs of the transactions to Architect’s DCM, the American Innovation Exchange.\n • Facilitate and guarantee delivery of capacity using Compute Desk’s ComputeClear platform.\n\nThe advancement of US AI is constrained at every link in the supply chain: materials, power, chips, capital… The American Innovation Exchange, ComputeConnect, and our industry partners aim to secure compute’s dominance as an American asset class.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2074867108953886972","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2074866708553117896","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":36,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":350,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/BrettHarrison/status/2074867108953886972"},"1441777280796139526":{"id":"1441777280796139526","date":"2021-09-25 14:51:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LauraDeming Hypothesis:\n\nEvolution tends to conserve features which make an organism robust to changes in its environment.\n\nI.e. creatures which have a billions-of-years lineage must have the characteristic of ease-of-evolvability.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1441773500838993920","reply_id":"1441773500838993920","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"LauraDeming","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1441777280796139526","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1910968359899840831":{"id":"1910968359899840831","date":"2025-04-12 08:08:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@itsmartingale Fair point.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1910959162109964655","reply_id":"1910968263086850323","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"itsmartingale","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":270,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1910968359899840831","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1666800439327588352":{"id":"1666800439327588352","date":"2023-06-08 13:32:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"8/ It was instantly so obvious to me at that moment in 1996. The future of computation was wearable. No more futzing with screens and keyboards and crap like that.\n\nJust have your computer always available to you.\n\nIt felt like this was my first *big* idea ever.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1666800429236207621","reply_id":"1666800438119743489","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":719,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1666800439327588352","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1666800432662953985":{"id":"1666800432662953985","date":"2023-06-08 13:32:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3/ The first was kind of fun because I got to mess around with a big temperature chamber RIM had.\n\nBut the second was even more fun because I got to ask suppliers for samples that I could play with!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1666800429236207621","reply_id":"1666800431408861185","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":856,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1666800432662953985","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1551745776509825026":{"id":"1551745776509825026","date":"2022-07-26 01:46:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"💯\n\nBut there's another critical aspect: you can't do this with middle-of-the-road devs. You need world-class people to make this work.\n\nBrett certainly was one.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1551745776509825026","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1551745776509825026","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1679592189381459968":{"id":"1679592189381459968","date":"2023-07-13 20:42:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@W98AB If you assume as a given that entry into elite schools is the sine-qua-non of having a good life in the USA, then I agree with you about fairness.\n\nBut that's a pretty insane system we have if it's true.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1679590582510026754","reply_id":"1679591846312390657","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"W98AB","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1048,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1679592189381459968","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1666800441995190274":{"id":"1666800441995190274","date":"2023-06-08 13:32:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"10/ What I did next taught me some lessons, but it turns out the lessons changed over time.\n\nIn my infinite naiveté, I figured all I had to do was show Mike L the idea, a little working prototype, and he'd immediately see the brilliance.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1666800429236207621","reply_id":"1666800440665669632","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":784,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1666800441995190274","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1966128763399528587":{"id":"1966128763399528587","date":"2025-09-11 13:16:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MartinShkreli Meh. I think the vast majority of people don't *actually* want to learn things nearly as much as (a) they think they do, or (b) they want the credential.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1965793827287167079","reply_id":"1965793827287167079","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MartinShkreli","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":476,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1966128763399528587","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1559390882054320128":{"id":"1559390882054320128","date":"2022-08-16 04:05:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@m4h007 Call me when there are tens of millions of Haskell programmers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1559388089901928448","reply_id":"1559390703628627968","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"m4h007","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1559390882054320128","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1438357587741663232":{"id":"1438357587741663232","date":"2021-09-16 04:22:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@volmagorov @M1tchRosenthal @TCK_JRubano Yeah, OVDV is the ultimate \"seemed like a good idea\" feature that no one serious actually uses.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1438202301919936513","reply_id":"1438345691865157634","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"volmagorov","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1438357587741663232","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1484906763660922881":{"id":"1484906763660922881","date":"2022-01-22 15:12:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DogFundAdvisors @experquisite @NotQuiteMidlife @MebFaber @jposhaughnessy @Greenbackd @choffstein Third.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1484896290647330816","reply_id":"1484906713639571458","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DogFundAdvisors","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1484906763660922881","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1733177898591535314":{"id":"1733177898591535314","date":"2023-12-08 17:33:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I'm thinking the best thing that can happen to pro golf right now is for fans to stop paying attention to it for a few years.\n\nHave it go back to the pre-Tiger niche spectator sport it's always been and always will be.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1733177898591535314","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2049,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1733177898591535314","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2074869663444439465":{"id":"2074869663444439465","date":"2026-07-08 14:54:11","author":"Charles Fain Lehman","handle":"CharlesFLehman","text":"This is a great example of the legalizer's fallacy.\n* Gambling was banned nationwide in 2017, quantity consumed was probably 30% lower by the *most conservative* estimates.\n* bans on advertising, warning labels, etc. are forms of prohibitions that also shift consumption to the black market. This is a totally meaningless distinction.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2074869663444439465","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2075130810911297700","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":65,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":1,"views":20955,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/CharlesFLehman/status/2074869663444439465"},"1481436639050100736":{"id":"1481436639050100736","date":"2022-01-13 01:23:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @vixologist @kchoudhu I'm not proud of it. My wife makes endless fun of me, and she's probably right. I just can't help it. See book buy book read book.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481302561592422402","reply_id":"1481436340407447558","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1481436639050100736","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1310423868134227969":{"id":"1310423868134227969","date":"2020-09-28 03:39:31","author":"Patrick McKenzie","handle":"patio11","text":"Many hard problems have a ratio of about 98 points of generic execution to 2 points of domain expertise, but most organizations hire on something like 20 points of weighting  to horsepower versus 80 points to expertise.\n\nThis is predictable and exploitable.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1310423868134227969","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1310588071809708032","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":738,"retweets":72,"replies":17,"quotes":22,"views":0,"bookmarks":157,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/patio11/status/1310423868134227969"},"1876175721913360632":{"id":"1876175721913360632","date":"2025-01-06 07:55:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Rewatched the movie Seven. Two things annoy me:\n\n- It's set in NYC but it's *obviously* shot in and around LA.\n\n- John Doe's plan sucked. What was Paltrow's mortal sin exactly?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1876175721913360632","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":7003,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1876175721913360632","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1996609701950218467":{"id":"1996609701950218467","date":"2025-12-04 15:57:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"🧵 A thread about size-weighted mid (swmid). Aka:\n- Volume-weighted mid\n- Book pressure\n- Microprice\n\n❗️WARNING: This is NOT alpha!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1996609701950218467","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":192,"retweets":18,"replies":1,"quotes":4,"views":41194,"bookmarks":289,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1996609701950218467","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1732114692309647562":{"id":"1732114692309647562","date":"2023-12-05 19:08:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@beffjezos This is unfair.\n\nFor one, he's had @pmarca on and others.\n\nFor another, in all my interactions with him he's always been someone who truly wants to learn and understand the world. He's just not an agenda guy IMO.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1732104085351039225","reply_id":"1732104085351039225","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"beffjezos","likes":188,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":23286,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1732114692309647562","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1958442523451367573":{"id":"1958442523451367573","date":"2025-08-21 08:14:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin 49, same. Don't send help.\n\nIt's like scales for a musician. If you truly enjoy it, it's almost meditative. Like an old friend you've known your whole life.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1958329117625204841","reply_id":"1958329117625204841","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":150,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1958442523451367573","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1423020340117049344":{"id":"1423020340117049344","date":"2021-08-04 20:37:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Me: Why is Binance's API clearly design to inflict maximum pain on anyone who cares about... you know... Datatypes? Consistency? Not incinerating $?\n\nAlso me: Crypto is pretty awesome, I can do basically whatever I want!\n\nMe but only rarely: Maybe these two facts are connected...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1423020340117049344","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":57,"retweets":2,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1423020340117049344","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1773113448722800689":{"id":"1773113448722800689","date":"2024-03-27 22:22:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This. 1000% this.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1773113448722800689","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":66,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":14990,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1773113448722800689","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1931734798177038529":{"id":"1931734798177038529","date":"2025-06-08 15:27:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sloppriest I may.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1931662460680880252","reply_id":"1931733768974569952","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sloppriest","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1600,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1931734798177038529","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1834667846082625924":{"id":"1834667846082625924","date":"2024-09-13 18:57:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Elaborate drone shows : 2020s\n::\nSending a man to the moon : 1960s.\n\nDeveloping that military tech right in the open.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1834667846082625924","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2317,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1834667846082625924","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1509364266951798787":{"id":"1509364266951798787","date":"2022-03-31 02:57:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@coloradotravis @therobotjames @nope_its_lily @rachdele","hashtags":[],"conv":"1509317328038735874","reply_id":"1509358777685864448","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"coloradotravis","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1509364266951798787_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1509364266951798787","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1866954482245919045":{"id":"1866954482245919045","date":"2024-12-11 21:13:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nearcausality Boom, perfect.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1866950295835820537","reply_id":"1866953836692193674","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nearcausality","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":118,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1866954482245919045","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1448341969441226754":{"id":"1448341969441226754","date":"2021-10-13 17:36:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"13/ So when you're estimating probabilities, you have to back out the selection bias of the stories you're seeing. You have to undo the squeeze towards 50%.\n\nThey don't care about providing *accurate* probabilities. It's just not in their set of incentives.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448341956841533442","reply_id":"1448341968430383106","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448341969441226754","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1692958549788299560":{"id":"1692958549788299560","date":"2023-08-19 17:55:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I wonder...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1692958549788299560","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1693330887398797704","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":10,"quotes":1,"views":11367,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1692958549788299560","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1974116304245436513":{"id":"1974116304245436513","date":"2025-10-03 14:16:18","author":"Yaron (Ron) Minsky","handle":"yminsky","text":"Excited to say that we're looking to hire someone to focus on OxCaml education! We're doing enough to change the language that we have a pretty big internal education task ahead of us, and we want to hire someone to focus on it!\n\nPlease share this with others!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1974116304245436513","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1974160805265567836","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":103,"retweets":26,"replies":5,"quotes":3,"views":26725,"bookmarks":20,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/yminsky/status/1974116304245436513"},"1544518749440466945":{"id":"1544518749440466945","date":"2022-07-06 03:09:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ThomasJ02 I do still plan to read it more carefully tonight.\n\nThe title did its job on me, anyway.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1544425285268844544","reply_id":"1544516417659277319","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ThomasJ02","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1544518749440466945","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1505588587508559873":{"id":"1505588587508559873","date":"2022-03-20 16:54:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"9/ This is all about hiring, training and career growth. There are no real barriers to entry in trading.\n\nThe only thing you can really do is hire the best people you can and put them in the best positions you can.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1505588586158051333","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":17,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505588587508559873","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1436033751742517250":{"id":"1436033751742517250","date":"2021-09-09 18:28:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug Almost always. kNN, some tree or other. Done.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1436021225331957760","reply_id":"1436025192527114249","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1436033751742517250","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1985755995889656234":{"id":"1985755995889656234","date":"2025-11-04 17:08:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@subcountability I must have it right. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1985680301108932764","reply_id":"1985755602123927620","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"subcountability","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":7527,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1985755995889656234","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1409247804610859015":{"id":"1409247804610859015","date":"2021-06-27 20:30:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@steve_capital @therobotjames It's the *how* that's hard. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1408996469709840391","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1409247804610859015","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1410612717551964166":{"id":"1410612717551964166","date":"2021-07-01 14:54:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily This course:\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=McLq1hEq3UY\n\nand book:\nhttps://web.stanford.edu/~boyd/cvxbook/\n\nAre excellent.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1410609363912302599","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":30,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":17,"media":["1410612717551964166_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1410612717551964166","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1546148873927700480":{"id":"1546148873927700480","date":"2022-07-10 15:06:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@blo_viation I've found that in the normal course of conversation, we all make tons of overconfident claims about facts. We misremember, adjust facts to fit a claim we happen to be making, etc. We do it naturally without even noticing. The more expert we are in the field the more we do it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546133024869212165","reply_id":"1546147096872599555","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"blo_viation","likes":28,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546148873927700480","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1595504061310124032":{"id":"1595504061310124032","date":"2022-11-23 19:46:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brettharrison Why even stop at software? :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595440412348796929","reply_id":"1595501390469685254","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BrettHarrison","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1595504061310124032","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1397569629678030858":{"id":"1397569629678030858","date":"2021-05-26 15:05:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SoccerMomTrades Top-notch mansplaining trolling here.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1397544162724024322","reply_id":"1397544162724024322","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SoccerMomTrades","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1397569629678030858","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1701665281989566660":{"id":"1701665281989566660","date":"2023-09-12 18:33:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Maybe Thiel Fellowship was the first, but that wasn't scalable. This may be.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1701665155543879989","reply_id":"1701665155543879989","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1029,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1701665281989566660","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1942165082609185095":{"id":"1942165082609185095","date":"2025-07-07 10:13:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ross_w__ What's interesting is that the (public) own goal started with the Millennium lawsuit. Just a complete 100% unforced error.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942163907713569009","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ross_w__","likes":33,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":6187,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942165082609185095","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2022355053127090242":{"id":"2022355053127090242","date":"2026-02-13 16:59:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"RT @AgustinLebron3: @PrarieOverman Bitcoin is 18 years old. Aside from stablecoins, where are the non-casino, non-crime use cases for crypto?\n\nBy comparison, the World Wide Web launched in 1991. By 2009 AMZN, GOOG, etc were making tens of billions in profit collectively.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2022355053127090242","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2022355010009665858","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":3,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2022355053127090242","type":"retweet","issues":[]},"1587524658651283456":{"id":"1587524658651283456","date":"2022-11-01 19:19:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug Yeah, seems like with the dataset they already have they could practice almost perfect price discrimination.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1587519858459267076","reply_id":"1587519858459267076","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1587524658651283456","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1946955661729808657":{"id":"1946955661729808657","date":"2025-07-20 15:29:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ferrisml_pk Doubt it. TFR in Iran and Turkey already well below 2. Indonesia and Bangladesh (!) at already at replacement and still falling.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946518179569651763","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":468,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946955661729808657","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1693988501459800327":{"id":"1693988501459800327","date":"2023-08-22 14:08:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I miss the flipping destination boards at airports. Can we bring them back? The sound was intoxicating.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1693988501459800327","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":72,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":6333,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1693988501459800327_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1693988501459800327","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1906714533277704597":{"id":"1906714533277704597","date":"2025-03-31 14:25:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"99% of people just want a job where they don't have to work or think *too* hard.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1906714533277704597","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":39,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":5735,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1906714533277704597","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1390343703974215682":{"id":"1390343703974215682","date":"2021-05-06 16:32:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Ok people. If you had to designate one sentence as \"The Fundamental Theorem Of Trading\", what would it be?\n\nMy vote:\n\n➡️In every trade, you'll be unhappy with the size you did.\n\n(I don't love \"buy low sell high\" because it's more of an accounting identity than a useful theorem.)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1390343703974215682","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":70,"retweets":5,"replies":15,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1390343703974215682","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1501645240532230146":{"id":"1501645240532230146","date":"2022-03-09 19:44:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @therobotjames I don't think it's that niche, especially since retail really should mostly be thinking about low capacity trades.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501639840919863296","reply_id":"1501643168043126784","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501645240532230146","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1451025843388514312":{"id":"1451025843388514312","date":"2021-10-21 03:21:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@rwladeira @Fitzdaf @Trading_Boxes Yes. I'm writing up a thing about this. Stay tuned...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1450962362291290121","reply_id":"1451021492830023683","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"probabilistic_","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1451025843388514312","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1778714556015026304":{"id":"1778714556015026304","date":"2024-04-12 09:19:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pranavvk @liquiditygoblin Yeah but they don't have interns either.\n\nDifferent game yo.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1778683547483803982","reply_id":"1778714318185648276","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pranavvk","likes":5,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":414,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1778714556015026304","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1602446376591273984":{"id":"1602446376591273984","date":"2022-12-12 23:32:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"8/ I've gone down this path. It's not worthless, but it's pretty darn hard IMO. You're making a predictive model of a day's \"regime\" in order (presumably) to adjust the params of your model that actually does try to predict prices.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602446367825149952","reply_id":"1602446375446204417","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1602446376591273984","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1911312994849480891":{"id":"1911312994849480891","date":"2025-04-13 06:58:23","author":"Branko Milanovic","handle":"BrankoMilan","text":"@SecPerkinsStan Sure; and you will get them in 20-30 years. Immaterial for you now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1911308738327204007","reply_id":"1911312604670177358","quote_id":"1911518679860158846","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SecPerkinsStan","likes":19,"retweets":2,"replies":25,"quotes":3,"views":10941,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/BrankoMilan/status/1911312994849480891"},"2051265856231899267":{"id":"2051265856231899267","date":"2026-05-04 11:41:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Shocked I tell you, shocked.\n\nAll of that \"price discovery\", all that massive utility from accurately predicting the future. Of sporting events.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2051265856231899267","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":216,"retweets":2,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":24915,"bookmarks":27,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2051265856231899267","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1687225969797398528":{"id":"1687225969797398528","date":"2023-08-03 22:16:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@deleteevelyn What are you talking about? It's perfectly normal.\n\nhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Normal_backwardation","hashtags":[],"conv":"1687203215417421825","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":52,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1687225969797398528","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1639307966611595266":{"id":"1639307966611595266","date":"2023-03-24 16:47:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 @tylercowen @danielgross - Staring at ticks.\n- Manually writing regressions (i.e. cov(a,b)/var(b) level).\n- Cleaning data semi-manually.\n- Reading corporate actions, 13Fs, etc (if you're an equities trader).\n\nWhat else?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1639260969594654720","reply_id":"1639301985299038210","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":24,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":1251,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1639307966611595266","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1431049004997963778":{"id":"1431049004997963778","date":"2021-08-27 00:20:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 It's like that Star Trek episode where Kirk gets split into good and evil Kirk.\n\nGood Kirk = tradfi markets. No vol.\nBad Kirk = crypto markets. All vol.\n\nWho will restore balance to the market Kirk?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1431048468265582592","reply_id":"1431048468265582592","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1431049004997963778_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1431049004997963778","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1471923186086268930":{"id":"1471923186086268930","date":"2021-12-17 19:20:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JessicaNutt96 @drewg__ Stupid $100 limit.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471865543556800515","reply_id":"1471905933559320589","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JessicaNutt96","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471923186086268930","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1539249482935803912":{"id":"1539249482935803912","date":"2022-06-21 14:10:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"20/ We maybe have kids, where focus *really* shifts to the well-being of others. We progress at work to the point where our main job is caring for others there too. \n\nTeaching, managing, leading.\n\nIt’s a steady outward expansion of care and focus. But for some lucky few…","hashtags":[],"conv":"1539249425956093952","reply_id":"1539249481165725696","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1539249482935803912","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1970106777820668294":{"id":"1970106777820668294","date":"2025-09-22 12:43:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@spirit_raccoon 👆","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970098937995600146","reply_id":"1970106526682784005","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"spirit_raccoon","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":4680,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1970106777820668294","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1906376584841601084":{"id":"1906376584841601084","date":"2025-03-30 16:02:51","author":"Casey Handmer","handle":"CJHandmer","text":"I interview a LOT of people. I believe as a founder, building the team is a job you want to avoid outsourcing for as long as possible, so I still do most of the screening. \n\nAs a result I now have a LOT of experience in this particular flavor of interview, and I am happy to offer coaching to friends and former colleagues, mark up a resume, do a practice interview, whatever. \n\nOr even to a borderline candidate to help them out next time. \"I understand you've been interviewing for a while and have a family to feed, would you like some feedback on how to improve your resume?\"\n\nI am surprised how rarely people will follow up, or manage to respond to basic requests. Eg \"your resume needs to be a single page with no grammatical errors, if you send me a draft by Friday I'll move you to the second stage interview process.\" \n\nThis seems labor intensive but it's actually super selective for people who will pass later interview stages, and some people \"understand the assignment\". But a surprisingly large fraction don't. \n\nThe meta is that maybe I shouldn't be surprised, if some mid career candidate shows up with a track record of solid technician work in a variety of workshops but an incomprehensible resume, that probably answers the question. In my line of work it's a good and strong signal to show progression, ambition, and have a leveling up mentality. \n\nAnd if your interviewer says \"any questions for me?\" It's the best opportunity you'll ever have to ask a really good question of someone who will appreciate it! Take it!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1906376584841601084","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1906714533277704597","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":318,"retweets":4,"replies":15,"quotes":2,"views":25166,"bookmarks":104,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/CJHandmer/status/1906376584841601084"},"1986065672644784464":{"id":"1986065672644784464","date":"2025-11-05 13:38:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Japple Often, they ask exactly the right question and exactly the right moment.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1985680301108932764","reply_id":"1986064152583131538","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Japple","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2453,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1986065672644784464","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1520047822455857152":{"id":"1520047822455857152","date":"2022-04-29 14:30:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AlexanderGerko GPT-3 can \"create\" at least as well as half of them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1519938610543398912","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1520047822455857152","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1448100492014460929":{"id":"1448100492014460929","date":"2021-10-13 01:37:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@option2ghost @therobotjames The secret is there *is* no secret.\n\nThere's just a set of useful mental meta-models (sometimes mutually inconsistent) and a lot of details, details, details.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448086924330246151","reply_id":"1448092598678208518","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"option2ghost","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448100492014460929","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1349526629295394816":{"id":"1349526629295394816","date":"2021-01-14 01:19:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brenorb @KrisAbdelmessih @RoamResearch Lots of Victoria's Secret creams and lotions, lots of Costco bulk vitamins and anti-inflammatories.\n\nEvery family is different, I guess.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1349445453016825856","reply_id":"1349519644634345479","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"brenorb","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1349526629295394816","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1346141076415909889":{"id":"1346141076415909889","date":"2021-01-04 17:06:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4/ That call I bought is an \"American-style\" call which means I can exercise it anytime before expiry. European-style options only allow you to exercise *at* expiry.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346141075447062529","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346141076415909889","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2043043246331334738":{"id":"2043043246331334738","date":"2026-04-11 19:07:22","author":"Michael Girdley","handle":"girdley","text":"Meanwhile, over on Reddit...","hashtags":[],"conv":"2043043246331334738","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2043064997287223584","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5778,"retweets":276,"replies":154,"quotes":79,"views":990199,"bookmarks":832,"media":["2043043246331334738_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/girdley/status/2043043246331334738"},"1557811247428534273":{"id":"1557811247428534273","date":"2022-08-11 19:28:38","author":"RCM Alternatives","handle":"rcmAlts","text":"In this week's episode of The Derivative, we're diving deeper into using the Laws of Trading to find an edge with @AgustinLebron3. \n\n🎙️Listen to it here: https://hubs.li/Q01jR-GQ0","hashtags":[],"conv":"1557811247428534273","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1557818884442402816","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":8,"replies":1,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":30,"media":["1557811247428534273_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/rcmAlts/status/1557811247428534273"},"1583277947028324352":{"id":"1583277947028324352","date":"2022-10-21 02:04:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"You can choose to think of this heuristic as some deeply held moral conviction, but you don't have to.\n\nYou can be much more pragmatic:\n- Good trades (defined this way) make markets better.\n- Bad trades make markets worse.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1583277941156245504","reply_id":"1583277945996517377","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":15,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1583277947028324352","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1896125180080169004":{"id":"1896125180080169004","date":"2025-03-02 09:07:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Mississippi Burning (1988)\n\nHackman is now really coming into his own as an actor. What he can communicate with a little smile, a stare, an eyebrow raise. Masterful.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1JX07MCCL4","hashtags":[],"conv":"1896125163172966823","reply_id":"1896125177928519819","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1905,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1896125180080169004_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1896125180080169004","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1476925468217470976":{"id":"1476925468217470976","date":"2021-12-31 14:37:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4/  DAOs are the obvious candidate for this. It seems likely that the DAO with the best \"legal system\" becomes a piece of infrastructure that everyone else builds their stuff on top of.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476925464824270848","reply_id":"1476925467152175105","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476925468217470976","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1894618047954002172":{"id":"1894618047954002172","date":"2025-02-26 05:18:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Saying \"I've been {something}-pilled\" is saying you've been infected with a mind virus.\n\nIt's not something to be proud of.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1894618047954002172","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":2781,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1894618047954002172","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1484582862531661826":{"id":"1484582862531661826","date":"2022-01-21 17:45:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cheerfultrader @darjohn25 Write your own. It's a ridiculously educational exercise.\n\nGrab Hull and implement binomial trees.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1484581794938712064","reply_id":"1484582109431934979","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"cheerfultrader","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1484582862531661826","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1851210631401136616":{"id":"1851210631401136616","date":"2024-10-29 10:33:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@wireless_anon What about diagrams, screenshots, or other large binary blobs that revision control tends to choke on?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1851204466973766096","reply_id":"1851209793178124661","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"wireless_dev","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":522,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1851210631401136616","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1950951534675493217":{"id":"1950951534675493217","date":"2025-07-31 16:07:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bayarXX 1. Show me the retail degen that has 1% edge.\n2. Not if you're betting above Kelly. Are people with a $10k bankroll really betting $200 on those 1% edges on coinflips? I doubt it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1950950082762674176","reply_id":"1950950082762674176","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"asvbxz","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":202,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1950951534675493217","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1535642376147849216":{"id":"1535642376147849216","date":"2022-06-11 15:17:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"(no I didn't submit its answers as my own)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1535642061281452033","reply_id":"1535642061281452033","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1535642376147849216","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1974702505423696091":{"id":"1974702505423696091","date":"2025-10-05 05:05:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert It's not clear that any less money would get lit on fire moving ES to perps. The risk has to get time-shifted the same amount, right? Just becomes a more continuous cost instead of lumpy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1974217002580332709","reply_id":"1974217002580332709","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":902,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1974702505423696091","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1668377040003670018":{"id":"1668377040003670018","date":"2023-06-12 21:57:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JDcarlu Expedia TripLock","hashtags":[],"conv":"1668342362274430981","reply_id":"1668371539354595328","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JDcarlu","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":211,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1668377040003670018","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2000929476931469595":{"id":"2000929476931469595","date":"2025-12-16 14:02:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"An amazing fact about the world is that large corporations, like people, have immutable characteristics caused by genetics and early upbringing.\n\n- Google is great at research, bad at product.\n- AMD great chips, bad software.\n\nThey know this but it's hard-to-impossible to change.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2000929476931469595","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":43,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":4703,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2000929476931469595","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1626408210281406465":{"id":"1626408210281406465","date":"2023-02-17 02:28:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SolutionOrganic Did that for 2 years. Many learnings. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1626249699400495105","reply_id":"1626405623339548673","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SolutionOrganic","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":195,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1626408210281406465","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1656727853805993985":{"id":"1656727853805993985","date":"2023-05-11 18:27:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's the totally unnecessary \"if you're a total idiot\" last paragraph that it insists on adding to every answer.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1656725240230334464","reply_id":"1656725240230334464","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1191,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1656727853805993985","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1960938565690646552":{"id":"1960938565690646552","date":"2025-08-28 05:32:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Centuries from now, historians will still not be able to comprehend the magnitude of Keegan Bradley's Ryder Cup self-sacrifice.\n\nPossibly the most world-historical act of abnegation since that of a certain Nazarene carpenter.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1960938565690646552","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":3275,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1960938565690646552","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1346863594957279233":{"id":"1346863594957279233","date":"2021-01-06 16:57:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"34/ So if I plotted implied vol vs strike, both puts and calls would be straight horizontal lines on top of each other.\n\nOf course, real life doesn't look like that. If you plot IV vs\nstrike, you (almost always) get a smirk shape. Let's look at an example: $TSLA Mar 2021 options.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346863593506017281","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346863594957279233","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1171127821848068096":{"id":"1171127821848068096","date":"2019-09-09 18:26:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ReformedTrader This is exactly right. 99.9% of profitable strats are known. They're profitable for the person running them because of all the little (boring) details.\n\nThe 0.1% have alphas that decay very fast anyway.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1170834399912316928","reply_id":"1171115774267670528","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ReformedTrader","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1171127821848068096","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1423373146187436032":{"id":"1423373146187436032","date":"2021-08-05 19:59:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xLightcycle @therobotjames @SinclairEuan You're going to make me learn how MEV works aren't you?\n\nSigh...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1423336552340414467","reply_id":"1423372972283158536","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xLightcycle","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1423373146187436032","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1424372258999463936":{"id":"1424372258999463936","date":"2021-08-08 14:09:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod It's dumb to deny the obvious fact that the US obsesses over sports which account for a total of ~4 medals (American football, basketball, baseball/softball).\n\nBut IMO you're understating the importance of variance here, and the fact that we're talking about 4x the # of athletes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1424366223635197955","reply_id":"1424370609962749957","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1424372258999463936","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1603802610795831296":{"id":"1603802610795831296","date":"2022-12-16 17:21:54","author":"⚡️🌙","handle":"dystopiabreaker","text":"instead of 1 elom there are thousands of eloms each with their own little micro fiefdom","hashtags":[],"conv":"1603801156639080449","reply_id":"1603801156639080449","quote_id":"1603808616959528960","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dystopiabreaker","likes":115,"retweets":2,"replies":5,"quotes":2,"views":10502,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dystopiabreaker/status/1603802610795831296"},"1896781818424185264":{"id":"1896781818424185264","date":"2025-03-04 04:36:40","author":"Som Mohapatra","handle":"Som_Mohapatra","text":"I haven't been able to get this discussion out of my head the past week.\n\nOne kind of currently non-tokenizable info I'll offer - \"wow this software feels really delightful to use\"\n\nRecently switched our billing system. Former and new software solve for essentially the same functions, but the latter is WAY more delightful to use, because the workflows are just right.\n\nImpossible to one-shot something like this with GPT 4.5 et al. Probably hard to one-shot it as a human too unless you've got the info in your head (user interviews, having done it yourself before, etc)\n\nDon't think the requisite info is out there in tokenizable format, in the same way that info like \"how to tie a tie\" is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1896781818424185264","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1896830818758373761","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":3641,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Som_Mohapatra/status/1896781818424185264"},"2080326542664634384":{"id":"2080326542664634384","date":"2026-07-23 16:17:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"RT @AgustinLebron3: @Evgiz Not debating concerningness. I'm saying if OpenAI itself were *that* concerned, they could have taken much better precautions.\n\nI find it very doubtful that this capability surprised them.\n\nIf it did, then they shouldn't be training frontier models.\n\nIf not, they're culpable.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2080326542664634384","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2080326511215755267","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2080326542664634384","type":"retweet","issues":[]},"2018001773407945095":{"id":"2018001773407945095","date":"2026-02-01 16:41:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Ok I'll admit that yes, lately I *have* been thinking about the decadence and depravity of the great and powerful in the late Roman Empire.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2018001773407945095","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":88,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":12114,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2018001773407945095","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1536471458234310657":{"id":"1536471458234310657","date":"2022-06-13 22:11:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TomJonesSmith Agreed. Though the other side of that coin is that good engineers usually only want to join companies with other good engineers. Things quickly go positive feedback on you if you're not careful.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536463438280421376","reply_id":"1536470820595310597","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TomJonesSmith","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1536471458234310657","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1424019479688851461":{"id":"1424019479688851461","date":"2021-08-07 14:47:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @Mephisto731 Parsing Edgar 13F filings XML FTW.\n\n🤯🔪💀","hashtags":[],"conv":"1423927191440658434","reply_id":"1424011395419578375","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1424019479688851461","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1601325941594066944":{"id":"1601325941594066944","date":"2022-12-09 21:20:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@3ddiesun That feels close to fully-baked, to be honest.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1601298107634835456","reply_id":"1601307267839963136","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xeddies","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1601325941594066944","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2038320681591427081":{"id":"2038320681591427081","date":"2026-03-29 18:21:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"And why is it gaining traction? Because an asleep-at-the-wheel securities regulator (the present administration has gutted the CFTC) has allowed the \"prediction market\" figleaf to cover a massive expansion in....\n\nsports gambling. 90% of Polymarket and Kalshi revenues are sports.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2038320659005124912","reply_id":"2038320679724966071","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":22,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2174,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2038320681591427081","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1599850284951678976":{"id":"1599850284951678976","date":"2022-12-05 19:36:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dwarkesh_sp All I can do and what I'm focusing on is try to make it right, somehow. And I'm committed to that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1599848173765545984","reply_id":"1599849726245232640","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dwarkesh_sp","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1599850284951678976","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1546975050032549888":{"id":"1546975050032549888","date":"2022-07-12 21:49:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames That's AWESOME.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546972566597689344","reply_id":"1546974707215638528","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546975050032549888","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1972562884514476355":{"id":"1972562884514476355","date":"2025-09-29 07:23:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The Ryder Cup has turned into something truly disgusting. High time to launch it into the sun and forget about it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1972562884514476355","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3665,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1972562884514476355","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1121263275566669826":{"id":"1121263275566669826","date":"2019-04-25 04:02:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dacaldar And once you realize this then a lot of other similar situations start to make more sense. #everydaytrader","hashtags":["everydaytrader"],"conv":"1121227975372836864","reply_id":"1121227975372836864","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dackupasec","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1121263275566669826","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1700186549860839569":{"id":"1700186549860839569","date":"2023-09-08 16:37:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This has caused a bit of a tempest in a teapot, so I think I'll elaborate...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1700186549860839569","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":74,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":44392,"bookmarks":29,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1700186549860839569","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1793058202449330221":{"id":"1793058202449330221","date":"2024-05-21 23:16:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@twhiteseven @JoshuaLelon Different word, same concept it's always been.\n\nhttps://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1754775485735678325","hashtags":[],"conv":"1792974174392353038","reply_id":"1793037689823826231","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"twhiteseven","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":200,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1793058202449330221","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1623553993699135491":{"id":"1623553993699135491","date":"2023-02-09 05:26:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0x94305 @InfPools @OneTrueKirk “It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it.”\n\n- Upton Sinclair","hashtags":[],"conv":"1623069222002913280","reply_id":"1623477172492029952","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0x94305","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":93,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1623553993699135491","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1188255748100243456":{"id":"1188255748100243456","date":"2019-10-27 00:47:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ben_Reinhardt When memorizing something, you're likelier to do it sub-optimally by testing yourself *too* frequently (vs not frequently enough).\n\nOptimal spacing feels a lot like being lazy, then feeling bad that you're struggling to recall.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1188240680771969024","reply_id":"1188240680771969024","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Ben_Reinhardt","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1188255748100243456","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1613963459133333504":{"id":"1613963459133333504","date":"2023-01-13 18:17:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's kind of amazing how much more our world looks like that of the Emergents in A Deepness In The Sky as the years go by.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1613962918978256897","reply_id":"1613962918978256897","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1288,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1613963459133333504","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1564304764891848704":{"id":"1564304764891848704","date":"2022-08-29 17:31:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @macrocephalopod @joshgiersch No. People with *some* trading experience are a dime a dozen and if you don't put them in the right environment your best case is they're adding noise to your Pnl (minus fees).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1564295139568193536","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1564304764891848704","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1770605257636323485":{"id":"1770605257636323485","date":"2024-03-21 00:16:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@prpl8 1. EPO testing is better.\n2. People don't run the mile much.\n\n(#2 isn't much of an argument as the 1500m of 3:26.00 by Hicham El Guerrouj hasn't seriously been challenged by anyone not later caught doping.)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1770596462847512832","reply_id":"1770596462847512832","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"prpl8","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":215,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1770605257636323485","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1595799969302478848":{"id":"1595799969302478848","date":"2022-11-24 15:22:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT Ok, so walk me through this. I get good at dev interview w/o actually being a good dev. Then I get the job.\n\n- So now I suck at my job? How much fun is that?\n- And everyone else around me also sucks? Or if they don't, it's by random chance? Ugh.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595799254437462016","reply_id":"1595799651382398977","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":9,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1595799969302478848","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1302617798615552001":{"id":"1302617798615552001","date":"2020-09-06 14:40:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@negativecnvx @VitruviusCurve They're attracting different talent. There's an ideal company size for everyone.\n\nBigger companies need to find smart people who can be molded into an existing system. They don't need people who feel compelled to build the systems.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1302282810884001799","reply_id":"1302296154932219905","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"negativecnvx","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1302617798615552001","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1501786739865571328":{"id":"1501786739865571328","date":"2022-03-10 05:07:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @FREAK0NAUT @be20684347 @M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames Knock yourself out:\n\nhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Matrix_norm\n\n:)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501786739865571328","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1476925475775676416":{"id":"1476925475775676416","date":"2021-12-31 14:37:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"10/ You can massively increase the signal-to-noise of what you read simply by ignoring any article that uses the word \"Ponzi\" to crap on some new crypto tech.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476925464824270848","reply_id":"1476925474425262083","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476925475775676416","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2047091103170785324":{"id":"2047091103170785324","date":"2026-04-22 23:12:06","author":"Karan Singhal","handle":"thekaransinghal","text":"Today we’re introducing two big steps for health at OpenAI:\n\n- ChatGPT for Clinicians, a free version of ChatGPT designed for clinical work\n- HealthBench Professional, a new benchmark to evaluate real clinician chat tasks\n\nWe’re excited about what this can unlock for care. ❤️","hashtags":[],"conv":"2047091103170785324","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2047257822446891357","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4807,"retweets":548,"replies":262,"quotes":154,"views":1648291,"bookmarks":1829,"media":["2047091103170785324_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/thekaransinghal/status/2047091103170785324"},"1547413746917576705":{"id":"1547413746917576705","date":"2022-07-14 02:52:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Love this thread. Applies enormously to trading. I also see lots of smart young people LARPing at trading. Doing all the studies and the learning but not actually putting $ in play.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1547413746917576705","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":81,"retweets":5,"replies":7,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1547413746917576705","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1482748237593268233":{"id":"1482748237593268233","date":"2022-01-16 16:15:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3/ The most extreme example is running a Ponzi scheme. Not that there are any of those going on right now (cough Ohm cough).\n\nBut even just regular sales. We've all bought a lot of crap we don't need or really want because we got sold said crap.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482748235496058880","reply_id":"1482748236624384003","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482748237593268233","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1484906608677187585":{"id":"1484906608677187585","date":"2022-01-22 15:11:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jp_JellyRoll @cheerfultrader @darjohn25 Ah Hoadley, that brings back memories.\n\nYou'd be shocked at how much money got traded with that Hoadley Excel add-in...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1484581794938712064","reply_id":"1484815142391058433","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jp_JellyRoll","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1484906608677187585","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1793437363911483493":{"id":"1793437363911483493","date":"2024-05-23 00:22:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OrthogonalAlpha What if you need micromanaging?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1793431602053484837","reply_id":"1793431602053484837","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OrthogonalAlpha","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":510,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1793437363911483493","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1495907236996132870":{"id":"1495907236996132870","date":"2022-02-21 23:44:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @BonnyJalker @shaneparrish @moreproteinbars @ejames_c @AnnieDuke 🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1492001742027960333","reply_id":"1495906631028449283","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1495907236996132870","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1549972003347607553":{"id":"1549972003347607553","date":"2022-07-21 04:18:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Dr_P_S_Gill You're probably trading too big.\n\nI suspect people don't realize exactly how tight drawdown limits are for your average delta neutral quant strategy at a prop shop.\n\nIt's no more than a few percent.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1549963630610829314","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":30,"retweets":3,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1549972003347607553","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1503873032930357249":{"id":"1503873032930357249","date":"2022-03-15 23:17:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"How much $ is going to get made/lost on Nov 3 and Nov 4 2024?\n\nI'ma go with... some.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503873032930357249","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1503873032930357249","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1538171279617839110":{"id":"1538171279617839110","date":"2022-06-18 14:46:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase @mnopro @be20684347 Note: this *is* a rabbit hole that you want to be careful about diving into.\n\n(\"this\" being both options models specifically but also \"trying to realistically model returns and their distributions\" more generally)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1537873838557609984","reply_id":"1538169686474387456","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1538171279617839110","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1420546636602777601":{"id":"1420546636602777601","date":"2021-07-29 00:48:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brenorb This is true. But *why* is it true? Because from a certain perspective, it shouldn't be true. How can adding noise to your training data IMPROVE your model?\n\nThe answer is that your model sucks. Adding randomness is a hacky way of de-sucking your model.\n\nhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/GYuKqAL95eaWTDje5/worse-than-random","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420131145669169153","reply_id":"1420522359497371651","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"brenorb","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420546636602777601","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1550925508132540417":{"id":"1550925508132540417","date":"2022-07-23 19:27:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@thal0x I'm going to be the annoying guy questioning the premise.\n\nWhy scalping specifically?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1550849194260369409","reply_id":"1550849194260369409","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"thal0x","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1550925508132540417","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1346481443413717000":{"id":"1346481443413717000","date":"2021-01-05 15:39:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"18/ The same thing! Your call is now worthless, but whoever you sold the put to will exercise it.\n\nThey sell TSLA @ 700, so when you're \"assigned the put\", you pay 700 and get 1 share.\n\nNO MATTER where TSLA is at expiry, you will own 1 share of stock and have paid $700 in cash.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346481441215901698","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346481443413717000","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1994045045343965319":{"id":"1994045045343965319","date":"2025-11-27 14:06:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"How much better would the world be if more nerds committed fraud and got caught and had to serve hard time in a maximum-security facility?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1994045045343965319","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":31,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":8762,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1994045045343965319","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1511850565281599492":{"id":"1511850565281599492","date":"2022-04-06 23:37:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano @be20684347 @theemilyaccount @HangukQuant https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chern%E2%80%93Simons_form","hashtags":[],"conv":"1511706685475151872","reply_id":"1511850171323273220","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1511850565281599492","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1789755392752267645":{"id":"1789755392752267645","date":"2024-05-12 20:31:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@quantymacro I started in trading at age 31 after 6 years as a RFIC engineer.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1789752542559191296","reply_id":"1789752542559191296","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"quantymacro","likes":23,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1630,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1789755392752267645","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1866871459223576802":{"id":"1866871459223576802","date":"2024-12-11 15:43:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@systematicls Also firms:\n\nhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-12-03/fidelity-and-jane-street-back-coreweave-at-7-billion-valuation","hashtags":[],"conv":"1866850732017848751","reply_id":"1866850732017848751","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"systematicls","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2400,"bookmarks":10,"media":["1866871459223576802_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1866871459223576802","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1341434749106020352":{"id":"1341434749106020352","date":"2020-12-22 17:25:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JamesSurowiecki It's all explained here:\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t23ZEKqGHzs","hashtags":[],"conv":"1341433433323659264","reply_id":"1341433433323659264","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JamesSurowiecki","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1341434749106020352","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1595826749232889857":{"id":"1595826749232889857","date":"2022-11-24 17:08:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 @FREAK0NAUT That's all learnable on the job.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595799254437462016","reply_id":"1595824732980465665","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1595826749232889857","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1493439073901445125":{"id":"1493439073901445125","date":"2022-02-15 04:16:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano @therobotjames @theemilyaccount @brrrzooka @reubbr 🤣🤣🤣\n\n\"What are you, from Mediocristan!?!?!\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493387393142976512","reply_id":"1493438649974894594","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493439073901445125","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1971606180553183379":{"id":"1971606180553183379","date":"2025-09-26 16:01:58","author":"Dwarkesh Patel","handle":"dwarkesh_sp","text":".@RichardSSutton, father of reinforcement learning, doesn’t think LLMs are bitter-lesson-pilled.\n\nMy steel man of Richard’s position: we need some new architecture to enable continual (on-the-job) learning.\n\nAnd if we have continual learning, we don't need a special training phase - the agent just learns on-the-fly - like all humans, and indeed, like all animals.\n\nThis new paradigm will render our current approach with LLMs obsolete.\n\nI did my best to represent the view that LLMs will function as the foundation on which this experiential learning can happen. Some sparks flew.\n\n0:00:00 – Are LLMs a dead-end?\n0:13:51 – Do humans do imitation learning?\n0:23:57 – The Era of Experience\n0:34:25 – Current architectures generalize poorly out of distribution\n0:42:17 – Surprises in the AI field\n0:47:28 – Will The Bitter Lesson still apply after AGI?\n0:54:35 – Succession to AI","hashtags":[],"conv":"1971606180553183379","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1971621350864572890","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4442,"retweets":617,"replies":245,"quotes":343,"views":3083228,"bookmarks":4302,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1971606180553183379"},"2018031951446261998":{"id":"2018031951446261998","date":"2026-02-01 18:41:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The future might be the INattention economy. \n\nTerminally online ZMP human brains will be fried, with advertisers locked in escalating zero-sum competition for their $. CACs will be huge, LTVs small.\n\nSame with agentic AIs, indistinguishable.\n\nThe future belongs to the offline.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2018031951446261998","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":37,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4232,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2018031951446261998","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1762499136480538749":{"id":"1762499136480538749","date":"2024-02-27 15:25:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JustinAlexP @bubbleboi Every time, I've seen \"work on my own projects\" degenerate (after 6mo to a year) into \"sit on the couch playing games all day\".\n\nAlmost everyone needs an external forcing function to actually work on things long-term. Life is loooong.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1762292503347188137","reply_id":"1762361135569813523","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JustinAlexP","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":315,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1762499136480538749","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1599415167258742785":{"id":"1599415167258742785","date":"2022-12-04 14:47:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The fact that \"Write a poem about\" prompts are so popular gives a strong indication of what it's actually best at.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1599415167258742785","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1599415167258742785","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1433237267959607296":{"id":"1433237267959607296","date":"2021-09-02 01:16:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OneBigOh @therobotjames @InBraised @M1tchRosenthal @MinvstrD Don't ask why. Just do.\n\nThen figure out how you messed up later.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1433212446274199553","reply_id":"1433234799448231940","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OneBigOh","likes":7,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1433237267959607296","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2052015247527972964":{"id":"2052015247527972964","date":"2026-05-06 13:18:54","author":"Dominik Tornow","handle":"DominikTornow","text":"RT @DominikTornow: Looking at OCaml, I’m always surprised the language isn’t insanely popular","hashtags":[],"conv":"2052015247527972964","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2051792878951653839","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":15,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/DominikTornow/status/2052015247527972964"},"2053005723051663425":{"id":"2053005723051663425","date":"2026-05-09 06:54:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"May 7: Kalshi: \"Announcing $22B valuation.\"\n\nMay 9: JS: \"Yeah we pretty much made that much last quarter in profit.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"2053005723051663425","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":356,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":2,"views":52946,"bookmarks":35,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2053005723051663425","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1448341961887260677":{"id":"1448341961887260677","date":"2021-10-13 17:36:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"6/ The model of \"news happens, media reports on it\" is completely incorrect. There's way more news and pseudo-news that happens than media outlets have time to report on.\n\nThey perform an editing function by selecting what to report on.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448341956841533442","reply_id":"1448341960905805830","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448341961887260677","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1937233064091877468":{"id":"1937233064091877468","date":"2025-06-23 19:35:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Imagine being so far gone that you think it's good to make an ad with a man turning his relationship with his *mother* into an intermediated parasocial one.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1937226863816114380","reply_id":"1937226863816114380","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1861,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1937233064091877468","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2064993719116234977":{"id":"2064993719116234977","date":"2026-06-11 08:50:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"When debugging, it found the smoking gun! Again!","hashtags":[],"conv":"2064993719116234977","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":39,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":4988,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2064993719116234977","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1451211028176330754":{"id":"1451211028176330754","date":"2021-10-21 15:37:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin @drewg__ Interesting. Why?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1451009816659431428","reply_id":"1451021328518107140","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1451211028176330754","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1866871599531532334":{"id":"1866871599531532334","date":"2024-12-11 15:44:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@systematicls Also firms:\n\nhttps://www.xtxmarkets.com/career/research-technology-engineer/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1866850732017848751","reply_id":"1866871459223576802","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":550,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1866871599531532334_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1866871599531532334","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1985814973725958218":{"id":"1985814973725958218","date":"2025-11-04 21:02:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pnnchrstphr Who knows how he learned. But whatever it is that worked for the most naturally talented mathematician in history, it probably doesn't generalize.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1985680301108932764","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":67,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":5045,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1985814973725958218","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1535454972992552960":{"id":"1535454972992552960","date":"2022-06-11 02:52:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Solomon_Slate @M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames In spots like that, it's usually better to trade mean reversion to fair after the puke than to anticipate the puke. YMMV, exceptions, etc etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1535381647314534401","reply_id":"1535444270189903872","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Solomon_Slate","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1535454972992552960","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1676112669395369984":{"id":"1676112669395369984","date":"2023-07-04 06:16:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Why is most medium-form sportswriting indistinguishable from Bart's People?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1676112669395369984","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2399,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1676112669395369984_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1676112669395369984","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2051912534513402291":{"id":"2051912534513402291","date":"2026-05-06 06:30:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Putting \", PhD\" in your Twitter name is one helluva tell...","hashtags":[],"conv":"2051912393765102004","reply_id":"2051912393765102004","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":39,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2199,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2051912534513402291","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2042558341377855734":{"id":"2042558341377855734","date":"2026-04-10 11:00:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"💯\n\nThe amount of market-specific detail that perp market designers don't even know they don't know is shocking.\n\nAnd then they wonder why it failed, and complain about cartels and old boys networks instead of realizing their product was DOA because of fatal flaws.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2042558341377855734","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":126,"retweets":5,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":15255,"bookmarks":45,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2042558341377855734","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1300633423116038145":{"id":"1300633423116038145","date":"2020-09-01 03:15:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@natfriedman Watergate.\n\nThe compact between elites and the people they rule broke down. Trust went down, rule-making went up to compensate.\n\nDeadweight losses, rent-seeking, and naked self-interest became the overt norm.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1300621698585120769","reply_id":"1300621698585120769","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"natfriedman","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1300633423116038145","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1457756811298107393":{"id":"1457756811298107393","date":"2021-11-08 17:08:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FormulaDeltaOne @FTX_Official 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1457752675550855168","reply_id":"1457756279393370127","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FormulaDeltaOne","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1457756811298107393","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1952826226818888180":{"id":"1952826226818888180","date":"2025-08-05 20:17:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"half of Manhattan runs on people who desperately want to be rich but settled for being adjacent to rich\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1952826226818888180","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":545,"retweets":15,"replies":13,"quotes":0,"views":41196,"bookmarks":63,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1952826226818888180","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1988534034666749952":{"id":"1988534034666749952","date":"2025-11-12 09:07:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If you don't know whose -ve edge trades you're trading against, you're the one with the -ve edge.\n\nThe machines you're trading against react in under a microsecond. And absorb MBs of data per second.\n\nYou react in 200ms and look at a few bytes of information.\n\nNot a fair fight.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1988534015419146302","reply_id":"1988534032489918925","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":79,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":10449,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1988534034666749952","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1983926175878578504":{"id":"1983926175878578504","date":"2025-10-30 15:57:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bookdepth @DeepDishEnjoyer Yes, the \"reference class\" problem of the Internet is deeply undertheorized.\n\nKids' reference class used to be other kids in their neighborhood. Now it's \"the world\". Applies to a ton of things.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1983921851538485523","reply_id":"1983925621492256820","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bookdepth","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":483,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1983926175878578504","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1770640732900229175":{"id":"1770640732900229175","date":"2024-03-21 02:37:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The most popular video title on tennis YouTube is easily \"How To Hit A Kick Serve.\"\n\nOddly, none of them say \"If you're watching this, you almost definitely don't have the athletic ability, so don't try to unless you want a rotator cuff injury.\"\n\n🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1770640732900229175","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":4012,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1770640732900229175","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1768411685784830353":{"id":"1768411685784830353","date":"2024-03-14 22:59:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal Which idea?\n\nDo tier1 trading firms basically only hire from highly selective universities? Definitely.\n\nIs it a good idea for them? My strong prior is that they're not idiots.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1768404709336052193","reply_id":"1768408739588268421","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":15,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":1298,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1768411685784830353","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1639295622649110528":{"id":"1639295622649110528","date":"2023-03-24 15:58:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@perrymetzger @ArthurB Evolution's ears are burning.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1639259221429452803","reply_id":"1639293928439422976","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"perrymetzger","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":45,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1639295622649110528","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1346863618344722432":{"id":"1346863618344722432","date":"2021-01-06 16:58:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"46/ Wait, does this mean that I should trade options if I have a directional opinion about the stock?\n\nNo! Aren't you paying attention? 😆\n\nHigher downside vol is just an artifact of the fact that log-normal isn't right. The empirical dist is different, but the mean is the same.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346863616918581248","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346863618344722432","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1592352029925847040":{"id":"1592352029925847040","date":"2022-11-15 03:01:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal def gen(N, corr_mat):\n  n = corr_mat.shape()[0]\n  sq_corr_mat = np.cholesky(corr_mat)\n  rands = np.random.normal((N,n))\n  return http://np.dot(rands, sq_corr_mat)\n\nPseudocode of course.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1592295189934129152","reply_id":"1592351335860822017","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1592352029925847040","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1868745296584622132":{"id":"1868745296584622132","date":"2024-12-16 19:49:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@notgodcomplex96 Often, the \"legend\" status was bestowed on people with great social skills who could convince people controlling a lot of money to part with some of it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1868743840007700601","reply_id":"1868744866718708068","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"notgodcomplex96","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":267,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1868745296584622132","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1187098462594228231":{"id":"1187098462594228231","date":"2019-10-23 20:08:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Best article I've read this week:\n\nhttps://medium.com/swlh/y-combinator-not-lambda-school-is-unbundling-education-bd6fdf0c78d7\n\nSo many important ideas, most are in throwaway sentences you might overlook.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1187098462594228231","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1187098462594228231","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1158781120718098434":{"id":"1158781120718098434","date":"2019-08-06 16:45:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz If I had a nickel for every post-facto \"study\" claiming that sentiment is predictive...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1158779101823602688","reply_id":"1158779101823602688","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1158781120718098434","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1294291799897280512":{"id":"1294291799897280512","date":"2020-08-14 15:16:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Most important thing I learned in 2020:\n\nThe only important difference between Western democracies and banana republics is the willingness of their leaders to transgress long-standing norms.\n\n1/4","hashtags":[],"conv":"1294291799897280512","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1294291799897280512","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1622023084210528256":{"id":"1622023084210528256","date":"2023-02-05 00:03:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"When you think about it, many jobs can be described as \"professional consequence-free opinion haver\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1622023084210528256","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":67,"retweets":2,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":7992,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1622023084210528256","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1796728701343981714":{"id":"1796728701343981714","date":"2024-06-01 02:21:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tmychow @rossry With prop bets at trading firms, if there isn't an overlay (i.e. +EV) then the no-trade theorem obtains. If real $ are changing hands then either there's non-$ reasons people are betting, OR someone's getting picked off.\n\nFiggie has an ante'd pot which induces you to play.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1796598021213552950","reply_id":"1796726937437737127","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tmychow","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":304,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1796728701343981714","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1572712104439971842":{"id":"1572712104439971842","date":"2022-09-21 22:19:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @Uncentive1 @0xLightcycle @worstcontrarian @GotTheTrumpCard @0xdoug You had me at \"indexes aren't actually indexes, they can have duplicate entries\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1570945566858964992","reply_id":"1572710899970084869","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1572712104439971842","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2003761008276554007":{"id":"2003761008276554007","date":"2025-12-24 09:33:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's hard enough as it is to find good people, ones who are interested in the job for its own sake, not because it's the high-status thing to do. Or because they think they'll get rich doing it.\n\nThese guides just create work and drudgery for everyone.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2003760312953262416","reply_id":"2003760688666497433","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":56,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":5706,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2003761008276554007","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1476317943495417859":{"id":"1476317943495417859","date":"2021-12-29 22:23:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@xh3b4sd @therobotjames 🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476304612638355459","reply_id":"1476317563793641477","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"xh3b4sd","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476317943495417859","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1600511694031048705":{"id":"1600511694031048705","date":"2022-12-07 15:24:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So why don't we try the other thing too?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1600511694031048705","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1600511694031048705","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1505588598850031618":{"id":"1505588598850031618","date":"2022-03-20 16:54:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"18/ Culture change is hard. And real alpha often doesn't look like it to people who haven't seen it before. If a trade or piece of alpha is obvious, it would have been done before.\n\nEdge is weird and subtle and hard to justify to everyone. That's part of what makes trading hard.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1505588597587853314","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":41,"retweets":3,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505588598850031618","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1375119233818882049":{"id":"1375119233818882049","date":"2021-03-25 16:15:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"13/ When Tiger Woods was dominating, a big part of the reason he drew people to the game is because his dominance pushed golf towards the optimal amount of variance.\n\nGolf is a VERY high variance game. And his dominance (winning ~ half the time) was perfect for the casual fan.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1375119223693864961","reply_id":"1375119232988405760","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1375119233818882049","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1443939257777745924":{"id":"1443939257777745924","date":"2021-10-01 14:02:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @KrisAbdelmessih @Jimmyjude13 @SinclairEuan @OrthogonalAlpha @moreproteinbars @MacroTactical @SoccerMomTrades @Michigandolf 🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443808597150822400","reply_id":"1443808597150822400","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1443939257777745924","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2070051339120341464":{"id":"2070051339120341464","date":"2026-06-25 07:47:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I don't know what Kalshi should be worth, but I do know it shouldn't be worth even a tenth of:\n\nCME: 80b\nICE: 73b\nNasdaq: 46b","hashtags":[],"conv":"2070051339120341464","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":383,"retweets":8,"replies":28,"quotes":2,"views":76639,"bookmarks":41,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2070051339120341464","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1186817419722969088":{"id":"1186817419722969088","date":"2019-10-23 01:31:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bradgessler @garrytan Anti-education absolutism is just as bad as degree-credential absolutism.\n\nIt's fine to say you weight the other stuff higher, but weighting education at *zero* (\"doesn't correlate\") just makes an already hard task even harder. Small signal is still signal.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1186808655062147072","reply_id":"1186808655062147072","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bradgessler","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1186817419722969088","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1625288857947357185":{"id":"1625288857947357185","date":"2023-02-14 00:20:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @typeofemale 👆👆👆","hashtags":[],"conv":"1625224742369169408","reply_id":"1625230578948636678","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":127,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1625288857947357185","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1460050980821561346":{"id":"1460050980821561346","date":"2021-11-15 01:04:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The smartest person in history was John Von Neumann. (not here for the argument about that)\n\nSay you cloned him and had 2021-born JVN grow up in a normal middle to upper-middle class US household.\n\nHow much regression to the mean would we see?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1460050980821561346","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":11,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1460050980821561346","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1436075640046841862":{"id":"1436075640046841862","date":"2021-09-09 21:14:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @lightspringfox TAS is a go-to for me to help explain to retail people how thin edges are IRL.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1436047232327831580","reply_id":"1436065162218262533","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1436075640046841862","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1489777326942396417":{"id":"1489777326942396417","date":"2022-02-05 01:46:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RockshotJ @therobotjames @gregasmaximus @HangukQuant @theemilyaccount @lightspringfox @0xdoug @josebaredes Exactly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1489627851054018565","reply_id":"1489767371636105224","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RockshotJ","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1489777326942396417","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1280204984773038080":{"id":"1280204984773038080","date":"2020-07-06 18:20:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EricJorgenson @tseides And like most superpowers, you want to use it judiciously.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1280148751072595970","reply_id":"1280148751072595970","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EricJorgenson","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1280204984773038080","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1297351214460473344":{"id":"1297351214460473344","date":"2020-08-23 01:53:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Long-standing working hypothesis:\n\nPoliticians are never badly hurt by scandals/revelations that confirm their public image. Only ones that reveal the opposite.\n\nFor tough guys that trade on their callousness and cruelty, the only danger is revealing private softness or frailty.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1297351214460473344","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1557762217319116805","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1297351214460473344","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1548052026256371714":{"id":"1548052026256371714","date":"2022-07-15 21:08:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @therobotjames @pmontu33 Welcome to law of trading #2:\n\nYou're never happy with the amount you traded.\n\nPretty universal.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548007648007634944","reply_id":"1548051810744553472","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1548052026256371714","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1512094273704906753":{"id":"1512094273704906753","date":"2022-04-07 15:45:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@abiylfoyp CalTech for rigor, Berkeley/Oxford about equal for EA.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1512089431758589953","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1512094273704906753","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1414291611412881408":{"id":"1414291611412881408","date":"2021-07-11 18:32:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NoLayingUp 4 mile stretch on the A198:\n\n- Luffness\n- Gullane\n- Muirfield\n- The Renaissance Club\n- North Berwick","hashtags":[],"conv":"1414223081061683202","reply_id":"1414223081061683202","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"NoLayingUp","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1414291611412881408_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1414291611412881408","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1955159279461118267":{"id":"1955159279461118267","date":"2025-08-12 06:47:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@weaponizedFOMO They're paid to maximize their endowment, above all.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1954991678051512700","reply_id":"1955143195152806278","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"weaponizedFOMO","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":268,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1955159279461118267","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1712210383078039917":{"id":"1712210383078039917","date":"2023-10-11 20:55:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"For those who know the US laws (I don't):\n\n- If Sam had plead guilty, would he have had to sign something asserting he's returned all the $?\n- If he pleads not guilty, gets convicted, serves his time, is he pretty much free to go after that?\n\n🤔 hidden wallets w/ $. @wagieeacc ?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1712210383078039917","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":8928,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1712210383078039917","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1845047380258832859":{"id":"1845047380258832859","date":"2024-10-12 10:22:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@recceleas ERC-721 is almost 7 years old.\n\nI'm not holding my breath anymore.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1845041313755939184","reply_id":"1845044746516906355","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"recceleas","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":603,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1845047380258832859","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2010344232335384753":{"id":"2010344232335384753","date":"2026-01-11 13:33:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I wrote about how even if AIs and robots become better workers than humans, we'll still have jobs because we're status-hungry monsters.\n\nThanks to @dwarkesh_sp for starting the conversation.\n\nhttps://reducibleerrors.com/the-veblen-economy/","hashtags":[],"conv":"2010344232335384753","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":106,"retweets":6,"replies":10,"quotes":4,"views":10869,"bookmarks":60,"media":["2010344232335384753_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2010344232335384753","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1598367322640551942":{"id":"1598367322640551942","date":"2022-12-01 17:24:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase @therobotjames @robertmartin88 I'd try to find a way to get rid of the quantile non-linearity entirely.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598359321158553602","reply_id":"1598366773249773571","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598367322640551942","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1692362689480454367":{"id":"1692362689480454367","date":"2023-08-18 02:28:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jgreco @l1quid1ty Forgot a zero. Easy mistake, could happen to anyone.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1692293291256246345","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":275,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1692362689480454367","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1423377984010932225":{"id":"1423377984010932225","date":"2021-08-05 20:18:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jsoloff @TheSpeculator0 @bennpeifert I've been hearing that for >10 years. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1423371767586844672","reply_id":"1423377698533957632","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jsoloff","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1423377984010932225","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1909839514807263638":{"id":"1909839514807263638","date":"2025-04-09 05:23:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If someone believes only in zero-sum interactions, then it makes sense they'd enact negative-sum policies if it suited them.\n\n\"They're hurting. So I must be winning. Somehow.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1909839514807263638","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":149,"retweets":8,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":9119,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1909839514807263638","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1788196778120200365":{"id":"1788196778120200365","date":"2024-05-08 13:18:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Selling sugar water with caffeine is bloody expensive!\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ngddfxog-yw","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788196778120200365","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1945,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788196778120200365","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1505588592588255237":{"id":"1505588592588255237","date":"2022-03-20 16:54:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"13/ That's sooo easy to do. But Billy has his mind open to what's going on, always paying attention.\n\nA lot of the time, the best alpha discoveries are totally random things you weren't expecting or even looking for.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1505588591149256711","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":31,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505588592588255237","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1502702289064058885":{"id":"1502702289064058885","date":"2022-03-12 17:45:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily A box of upticks?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1502693597144965120","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1502702289064058885","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1433521644455096323":{"id":"1433521644455096323","date":"2021-09-02 20:06:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @KrisAbdelmessih @matt_levine Random number generator + soap opera = sports","hashtags":[],"conv":"1433517108638322697","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1433521644455096323","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1763293736564604957":{"id":"1763293736564604957","date":"2024-02-29 20:02:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Is an AGI aligned to the Aum Shinrikyo worldview any better than an unaligned paperclip maximizer?\n\nBe careful what you wish for on alignment.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1763293736564604957","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2257,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1763293736564604957","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1653429136449507328":{"id":"1653429136449507328","date":"2023-05-02 16:00:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Someone using \"unlock\" as a noun,\n\nas in \"X is an unlock for Y\",\n\nis a pretty reliable indicator that person should just be ignored.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1653429136449507328","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":33,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":6614,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1653429136449507328","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1541899175159222272":{"id":"1541899175159222272","date":"2022-06-28 21:39:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount & Sons is a nice touch.\n\nDaughters don't go near \"business\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1541894912215584771","reply_id":"1541897719354216449","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1541899175159222272","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1530712895163535361":{"id":"1530712895163535361","date":"2022-05-29 00:49:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 I worry it's going to make me watch more than the too-much I already do.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1530658889003192320","reply_id":"1530710122917310464","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1530712895163535361","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1917513293649891480":{"id":"1917513293649891480","date":"2025-04-30 09:36:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xFaust12 I'm skeptical that last book is worth the time/effort unless you're pushing around >300 million AUM. YMMV and all that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1917364519548117504","reply_id":"1917364519548117504","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xFaust12","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":329,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1917513293649891480","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1995417702228496667":{"id":"1995417702228496667","date":"2025-12-01 09:00:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Mid-pack mindset stuck in a championship-winning car.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1995410972958400700","reply_id":"1995410972958400700","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1410,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1995417702228496667","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1778078997974262166":{"id":"1778078997974262166","date":"2024-04-10 15:14:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Mid-tier trading firm: We also operate on the apprenticeship model.\n\nVC: So you have them cold emailing founders too?\n\nMid-tier trading firm: No, we just fire the ones that lose the coinflips we force them to make with a combination of their lives and our money.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1778078997974262166","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":109,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":15336,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1778078997974262166","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1260787084148617216":{"id":"1260787084148617216","date":"2020-05-14 04:20:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ChrisJSong0603 I remember that presentation. Great energy, the place was packed!\n\nThanks for the 👍 on the book.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1260780981591531520","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1260787084148617216","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1587482891453272064":{"id":"1587482891453272064","date":"2022-11-01 16:33:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@witchqueendot The later chapters of my book cover some of that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1587478061632479234","reply_id":"1587478187289690112","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"witchqueendot","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1587482891453272064","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1942138293740621958":{"id":"1942138293740621958","date":"2025-07-07 08:27:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"8/ I traded options at JS for 5 years. I was even involved in the very earliest efforts to start trading in India.\n\nI remember three things about Indian options trading: \n(a) it was enormous,\n(b) markets were weird, and\n(c) SEBI was a very *active* regulator in these markets.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942138291580436709","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":184,"retweets":3,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":27193,"bookmarks":17,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942138293740621958","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1666800429236207621":{"id":"1666800429236207621","date":"2023-06-08 13:32:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ A story about how in 1996 I walked into the then RIM (later Blackberry) CEO's office as an intern and pitched him augmented reality.\n\nTL;DR: He threw me out of his office.\n\n🧵 👉","hashtags":[],"conv":"1666800429236207621","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":44,"retweets":4,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":14545,"bookmarks":4,"media":["1666800429236207621_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1666800429236207621","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1942269763159220523":{"id":"1942269763159220523","date":"2025-07-07 17:09:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeepDishEnjoyer Maybe \"everything\" was a teensy exaggeration.\n\nBut it's a good start. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942261410110615908","reply_id":"1942268624565116978","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeepDishEnjoyer","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1253,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942269763159220523","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1567156142639579136":{"id":"1567156142639579136","date":"2022-09-06 14:21:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This generalizes fully.\n\nIn a world with zero friction to do almost anything, the ability to focus your attention is the defining characteristic for life success.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1567156142639579136","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":45,"retweets":5,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1567156142639579136","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1599481756973166593":{"id":"1599481756973166593","date":"2022-12-04 19:12:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ehpresso Adjust prices paid by fees. Gets you most of the way there.\n\nAs for informativeness, that's an empirical question. So just study it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1599472422042095617","reply_id":"1599472424109514752","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MrEhpresso","likes":9,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1599481756973166593","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1473825184826023936":{"id":"1473825184826023936","date":"2021-12-23 01:18:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@whowhenwherewat @tylercowen Recency bias:\n- Chengdu Taste (Sichuan)\n- Aracely's Sazon (Colombian)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1473813455660466179","reply_id":"1473823310114967556","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"return_stacking","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1473825184826023936","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1946224942510399921":{"id":"1946224942510399921","date":"2025-07-18 15:06:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If the US didn't have byzantine taxation and healthcare systems, all those zero-marginal-product workers would have to get productive jobs.\n\nOf which there aren't enough. Cue problems.\n\nEvery country has to figure out how to occupy its ZMP adults. This is the US's way.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946224942510399921","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":64,"retweets":2,"replies":11,"quotes":0,"views":11854,"bookmarks":20,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946224942510399921","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1582196844217499648":{"id":"1582196844217499648","date":"2022-10-18 02:28:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tolstoybb - twoplustwo poker forums\n- nuclearphynance (RIP)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1582193965742161921","reply_id":"1582193965742161921","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tolstoybb","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1582196844217499648","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1847617541000097829":{"id":"1847617541000097829","date":"2024-10-19 12:35:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@a_devrent I don't really know. I think it has to start one-on-one, getting to know other people. I'd value one smart person to bounce ideas off much more than some large amorphous Discord/messageboard thing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847610792113316169","reply_id":"1847613621611667867","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"a_devrent","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":560,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847617541000097829","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1505588589760901121":{"id":"1505588589760901121","date":"2022-03-20 16:54:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"11/ Billy meets Peter Brand: while talking to the Cleveland Indians, he realizes that the Indians have a large source of edge in Peter. He doesn't know what exactly, but he knows it's important.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6Ly-ShoHkbo","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1505588588682964996","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505588589760901121","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1384707403719995397":{"id":"1384707403719995397","date":"2021-04-21 03:15:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jam_croissant @sidprabhu @jimduey I can believe I haven't been paying attention. I don't understand the nums-and-stars notation, but never bothered to find out. I'm the last person to say it's invalid.\n\nMy only points are:\n- Lots of ways to make $ in this world.\n-  No one rly knows what RenTech does.\n\nAll love.✌️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1384501288478650368","reply_id":"1384706347455979522","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jam_croissant","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1384707403719995397","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1304131543099535360":{"id":"1304131543099535360","date":"2020-09-10 18:56:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VitruviusCurve IMHO it's just as valuable at nosebleed speeds. I can't tell you how many microstructure trades I've seen discovered by people just staring at the tape (or its modern equivalent, the order book across exchanges) of how their strats operate in the wild, how other strats react, etc","hashtags":[],"conv":"1304126813631905793","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1304131543099535360","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2070051391226196135":{"id":"2070051391226196135","date":"2026-06-25 07:48:06","author":"David Chan","handle":"DavidChan","text":"RT @DavidChan: @DeItaone We are in the smoking on planes equivalent of gambling culture and one day we will realize how fucking stupid this actually is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2070051391226196135","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2069864416028364942","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":340,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/DavidChan/status/2070051391226196135"},"1486036119112224769":{"id":"1486036119112224769","date":"2022-01-25 17:59:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug August 3 1867. Zzzzz.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1485808852092309505","reply_id":"1485808852092309505","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1486036119112224769_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1486036119112224769","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1593061376729440261":{"id":"1593061376729440261","date":"2022-11-17 02:00:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"You think everyone's a liar?\nEveryone's corrupt?\nEveryone's is looking out for #1?\nEveryone's picking fights?\n\nGuess what you just told us about yourself.\n\nWe're social animals.\nEvery day we construct our social world through our own interactions with it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1593060104274075650","reply_id":"1593060104274075650","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":45,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1593061376729440261","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1503230387786448896":{"id":"1503230387786448896","date":"2022-03-14 04:43:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@kneelingbus @be20684347 \"I want to speak to *your* manager!\"\n\"Oh you want Mrs. Intern.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503221861890641920","reply_id":"1503229962291187712","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"kneelingbus","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1503230387786448896","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2078715652265623690":{"id":"2078715652265623690","date":"2026-07-19 05:36:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"That was NBA All-Star Game levels of no-defense.\n\nJust hand Mbappe the all-time goal scoring record in a meaningless game.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2078715652265623690","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2619,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2078715652265623690","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1593648493549129728":{"id":"1593648493549129728","date":"2022-11-18 16:53:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @DougJBalloon It's Forbes. What would you expect?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1593634431570280450","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1593648493549129728","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1894116325699559744":{"id":"1894116325699559744","date":"2025-02-24 20:04:57","author":"Dwarkesh Patel","handle":"dwarkesh_sp","text":"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1894116325699559744","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1894116804944896110","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4086,"retweets":61,"replies":189,"quotes":25,"views":134167,"bookmarks":326,"media":["1894116325699559744_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1894116325699559744"},"1946584302143025525":{"id":"1946584302143025525","date":"2025-07-19 14:53:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@grace_za I have. It's not pretty.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946518179569651763","reply_id":"1946580539655295122","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"grace_za","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":934,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946584302143025525","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1549963630610829314":{"id":"1549963630610829314","date":"2022-07-21 03:45:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In a debate between {amateur traders} vs {pros who have made many orders of magnitude more $ trading their own prop capital than the ams}, I wouldn't have expected \"stop orders are good\" to be the hill the ams would choose to die on.\n\nThe world is a weird place.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1549963630610829314","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1819737283186344346","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":127,"retweets":8,"replies":30,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":40,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1549963630610829314","type":"quote","issues":[]},"2052065281380331817":{"id":"2052065281380331817","date":"2026-05-06 16:37:43","author":"Eğitim ve Motivasyon","handle":"egitimvemotivas","text":"New York’lu psikiyatrist Rami Kaminski,  yeni bir kişilik yapısını tanıttı:\n\n \"Otrovert\" adını verdiği kişilik dışarıdan sosyal görünen ama tekrar normal hissetmek için çok fazla yalnız kalmaya ihtiyacı olan biri. Gerektiğinde konuşabilirler, gülebilirler ve etkileşime geçebilirler ama çok fazla etkileşimde bulunmaları onları tüketir. \n\nAntisosyal değiller sadece farklı şekilde şarj olurlar. İnsanlarla birlikte olmak ile kendi enerjilerini korumak arasında sessiz bir denge kurarlar.\n\n12 temel özellikleri:  (flood)","hashtags":[],"conv":"2052065281380331817","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2052334221323014342","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6344,"retweets":975,"replies":287,"quotes":397,"views":912193,"bookmarks":5144,"media":["2052065281380331817_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/egitimvemotivas/status/2052065281380331817"},"2019151959593308601":{"id":"2019151959593308601","date":"2026-02-04 20:51:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Looking back and taking it all in, what exactly was Ray Romano talented at?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2019151959593308601","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":5537,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2019151959593308601","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1986417064286814229":{"id":"1986417064286814229","date":"2025-11-06 12:55:08","author":"Spence","handle":"quant_spence","text":"@AgustinLebron3 Any recent sports you think could be Lindy in your opinion?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1986414425381728751","reply_id":"1986414425381728751","quote_id":"1986454206224408869","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":9890,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/quant_spence/status/1986417064286814229"},"1716512064628490449":{"id":"1716512064628490449","date":"2023-10-23 17:49:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@aditya_baradwaj IMO it's more a fundamental misunderstanding of the nature of risk. In particular its asymmetry.\n\nUtilitarianism != supposed risk neutrality.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1716508811073323010","reply_id":"1716508811073323010","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"adi_baradwaj","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":117,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1716512064628490449","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1923368450572894404":{"id":"1923368450572894404","date":"2025-05-16 13:22:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lirrRider Dashes and the fact the story is just too perfect.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1923311575806447896","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":348,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1923368450572894404","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1638191590111051776":{"id":"1638191590111051776","date":"2023-03-21 14:51:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"You have people who:\n\n- don't know how these systems work,\n- see incredible-looking performance on stuff that's *definitely* in the training set (\"Build me a Javascript snake game. Oh wow!!!\", \"It passed AP Calc, wow!\") ,\n\nand draw totally the wrong conclusions.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1638191588840202241","reply_id":"1638191588840202241","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1621,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1638191590111051776","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2044708988030447962":{"id":"2044708988030447962","date":"2026-04-16 09:26:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Some day @Cboe and all of us will look back on this everything-is-a-casino era with embarrassment and disgust.\n\nHow institutions squandered decades of trust and probity by chasing degenerate gamblers with self-serving lies.\n\nJust awful.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2044708988030447962","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":193,"retweets":13,"replies":14,"quotes":0,"views":34158,"bookmarks":37,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2044708988030447962","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1583176014091329536":{"id":"1583176014091329536","date":"2022-10-20 19:19:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod Feeling pretty happy I have no idea who y'all are talking about. I think?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1582994422727585792","reply_id":"1582994422727585792","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1583176014091329536","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1896125177928519819":{"id":"1896125177928519819","date":"2025-03-02 09:07:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Bat*21 (1988)\n\nYou young'uns don't remember video stores. Small selection, no info about the movie aside from what's on the back of the cassette box.\n\nI know I watched this, I know I must have picked it out because I recognized Hackman's name, but I can't remember any of it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1896125163172966823","reply_id":"1896125175772688581","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1057,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1896125177928519819","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1282756286119985152":{"id":"1282756286119985152","date":"2020-07-13 19:18:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vakontis @SinclairEuan @KrisAbdelmessih Let's go.\n\n1. Why are you trading leveraged ETFs? I.e. what risk exposure are you looking for, and are you sure this is the most efficient way to get that risk?\n\nFor example, if you're trading intraday (or at least until 3:30pm) and going home flat then it could very well be.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1282702235583954945","reply_id":"1282751158159847426","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vakontis","likes":3,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1282756286119985152","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2024846941285191749":{"id":"2024846941285191749","date":"2026-02-20 14:01:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Just 👏 say 👏 gambling!\n\nIt's not that difficult.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2024846706219581608","reply_id":"2024846706219581608","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":27,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2111,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2024846941285191749","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1367669452892872706":{"id":"1367669452892872706","date":"2021-03-05 02:53:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @salr_nyc @Ksidiii I fucking HATED that. It was worse in Europe I can assure you.\n\nMost of the time it was fine, but every once in a while you took down a good piece from a 2nd tier broker and then it emerged you were 10 deltas apart.\n\nNot the broker's fault, they hate those guys more than anyone.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1367549296216858632","reply_id":"1367667645114281985","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1367669452892872706","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1633582832969990144":{"id":"1633582832969990144","date":"2023-03-08 21:37:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nav9near My experience: When motivated, it's easy to do lots of things. Knock out tons of items on todo lists. Gives the endorphin hit of finishing something and feeling of progress.\n\nBut the most valuable work isn't like that.\n\nStruggle/confusion. No progress.\n\nValuable things are hard.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633552114944471041","reply_id":"1633573725810626562","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nav9near","likes":9,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":359,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633582832969990144","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1982014400593576127":{"id":"1982014400593576127","date":"2025-10-25 09:20:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Yes, they're obviously drug smugglers.\nNo, we shouldn't be summarily murdering them.\n\nThe fact this isn't a fairly boring mainstream view is disturbing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1982014400593576127","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":65,"retweets":1,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":10109,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1982014400593576127","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1597050312216354816":{"id":"1597050312216354816","date":"2022-11-28 02:10:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount How about:\n\nfn argument_name\n\nAnd let Hindley-Milner figure out the type?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597036554790506498","reply_id":"1597036554790506498","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597050312216354816","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1325895129941471232":{"id":"1325895129941471232","date":"2020-11-09 20:16:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ffee_machine @GradientAssent @ESYudkowsky @juliagalef I'll have it tested and report back.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1325874769984712704","reply_id":"1325895012152877056","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ffee_machine","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1325895129941471232","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1353119630395465728":{"id":"1353119630395465728","date":"2021-01-23 23:17:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@robertwiblin A delightful combination of:\n- Ancient tech (>20yrs old).\n- Poor adherence to standards by manufacturers.\n- Intended to be very low power.\n- Uses 2.4GHz band, which is approximately the worst possible.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1353118860099072000","reply_id":"1353118860099072000","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"robertwiblin","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1353119630395465728","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1722463433130639574":{"id":"1722463433130639574","date":"2023-11-09 03:57:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lals4287 Engineering managers who got laid off, having trouble finding their next fulltime job.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1722460395020202358","reply_id":"1722461439623942520","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"lals4287","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":143,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1722463433130639574","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1873679627413274999":{"id":"1873679627413274999","date":"2024-12-30 10:36:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If this is you, you should get in touch with them. MathAcademy is the best self-guided online math platform I've seen.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1873679627413274999","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":64,"retweets":4,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":11347,"bookmarks":34,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1873679627413274999","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1921128003385327623":{"id":"1921128003385327623","date":"2025-05-10 08:59:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"People who believe Trustpilot aren't customers you wanted anyway.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1921128003385327623","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2343,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1921128003385327623","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1983180098422665692":{"id":"1983180098422665692","date":"2025-10-28 14:32:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HarryDCrane And which theory, exactly?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1982915494735990857","reply_id":"1982915494735990857","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HarryDCrane","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":104,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1983180098422665692","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1792663132319650231":{"id":"1792663132319650231","date":"2024-05-20 21:06:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Yes, and the way you get paid on premium hands is to... wait for it... play other hands!\n\nNot even the biggest idiot is going to play a big pot against a guy who folds 97.9% of his hands.\n\nDefinitely in the category of \"most useless poker stats\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1792663132319650231","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":175,"retweets":5,"replies":9,"quotes":1,"views":25423,"bookmarks":34,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1792663132319650231","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1493758284595011592":{"id":"1493758284595011592","date":"2022-02-16 01:25:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @KrisAbdelmessih @be20684347 @theemilyaccount @ActuallyFinance @PetLizardBeta @salr_nyc @abiylfoyp Already chatted w/ Jim! He put me together with some quality people and we're working away...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493387393142976512","reply_id":"1493757883854503944","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493758284595011592","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1791992359364055153":{"id":"1791992359364055153","date":"2024-05-19 00:40:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheZvi @dwarkesh_sp @matt_levine The work is in editing. Matt Levine's genius is distilling the day's happenings. I read your weekly 20+ point AI roundups but I doubt many do.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1791960961798012935","reply_id":"1791960961798012935","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheZvi","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":227,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1791992359364055153","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1793816342463934488":{"id":"1793816342463934488","date":"2024-05-24 01:28:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Best way to tell is your comp structure. If you're getting a fraction of Pnl, if they make it clear that you're eventually going to get fired if you don't produce Pnl, then you *will* be able to trade your ideas.\n\nIf not, you won't.\n\nExceptions exist. You probably won't see them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1793816342463934488","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":43,"retweets":7,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":6563,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1793816342463934488","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1505946802125631488":{"id":"1505946802125631488","date":"2022-03-21 16:37:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @azad_champion @be20684347 @nope_its_lily Agree. Sports Gene was good though.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505688775132913665","reply_id":"1505941590195400708","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505946802125631488","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1437414534218612736":{"id":"1437414534218612736","date":"2021-09-13 13:55:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"👇👇👇","hashtags":[],"conv":"1437414534218612736","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1437414534218612736","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1419077595920957447":{"id":"1419077595920957447","date":"2021-07-24 23:30:38","author":"Antonio García Martínez (agm.eth)","handle":"antoniogm","text":"The honor and sacrifice of a soldier, the mastery of the craftsman, the virtuosity of the artist, the piety of the monastic…so many avenues for human virtue.\n\nCapitalism has so nuked the moral landscape, there’s one dimension along which to project human striving now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1419057860311281664","reply_id":"1419057860311281664","quote_id":"1419085875531554821","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":56,"retweets":7,"replies":10,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/antoniogm/status/1419077595920957447"},"1982140978405212338":{"id":"1982140978405212338","date":"2025-10-25 17:43:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Slow Horses isn't actually that good. Oldman is fine but he's mostly playing himself, and everyone else is just so... stale.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1982140978405212338","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":31,"retweets":0,"replies":13,"quotes":1,"views":8102,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1982140978405212338","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1725735872749068742":{"id":"1725735872749068742","date":"2023-11-18 04:41:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@rargulati With apologies to Jaron Lanier, it's today's digital maoism.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1725731415936114853","reply_id":"1725734559248175400","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"rargulati","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":130,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1725735872749068742","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1422416022032642048":{"id":"1422416022032642048","date":"2021-08-03 04:36:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@longskew Scifi: A Deepness In The Sky, Hydrogen Sonata\n\nNerd: Algorithms to live by\n\nUncategorizable: Kolyma Stories","hashtags":[],"conv":"1422379988284846098","reply_id":"1422410207410409477","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"longskew","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1422416022032642048","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1199813179708035072":{"id":"1199813179708035072","date":"2019-11-27 22:12:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@paulg Motivated ignorance is one of the most powerful forces in human societies, yet we mostly act like it's a minor inconvenience.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1199806088222269443","reply_id":"1199806677236822032","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"paulg","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1199813179708035072","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1598817989755011072":{"id":"1598817989755011072","date":"2022-12-02 23:14:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@khemaridh @KrisAbdelmessih @JamesClear Agreed. Something that helps me a lot is to pick goals which I'll enjoy the process of working towards.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598806727545147392","reply_id":"1598816961722732544","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"khemaridh","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598817989755011072","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1723041692150796439":{"id":"1723041692150796439","date":"2023-11-10 18:15:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FormulaDeltaOne Exactly. Buying low and selling high, how hard can that be? 😉","hashtags":[],"conv":"1723032951514862077","reply_id":"1723032951514862077","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FormulaDeltaOne","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":773,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1723041692150796439","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1551973287667777536":{"id":"1551973287667777536","date":"2022-07-26 16:50:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's interesting that the we now demand transparent pricing everywhere, BUT salary/comp transparency terrifies ppl.\n\nThe fact that http://levels.fyi exists is an indictment of our work culture.\n\nCompanies resist pay transparency in proportion to their mgmt incompetence.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1551973287667777536","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1551973287667777536","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1779604327696392522":{"id":"1779604327696392522","date":"2024-04-14 20:15:09","author":"Formula δ1","handle":"FormulaDeltaOne","text":"Aaand?\n\nJust because I create models that run decisions based on every tick doesn’t mean I know where the fuck is (any) market going tomorrow.\n\nIndex funds are very cost efficient, especially with the time they save you.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1779604327696392522","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1779639074548236326","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":160,"retweets":4,"replies":6,"quotes":3,"views":80115,"bookmarks":38,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/FormulaDeltaOne/status/1779604327696392522"},"1583599111843946496":{"id":"1583599111843946496","date":"2022-10-21 23:20:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@witchqueendot Your process is totally foreign to me.\n\nI have a really hard time believing it's helping you to think through trading things in \"public\".\n\nThe SNR of replies you get is *so* low that even if you get something useful, the time spent sifting through shit crushes its value.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1583556394145353729","reply_id":"1583556723008106496","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"witchqueendot","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1583599111843946496","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1628407559353937920":{"id":"1628407559353937920","date":"2023-02-22 14:53:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jp_JellyRoll @okopnik @Patch782 @amitdas0608 @brrrcapital1 Also:\n\nhttps://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1241769940572467200","hashtags":[],"conv":"1627941352578158594","reply_id":"1628319358358355973","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jp_JellyRoll","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":375,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1628407559353937920","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1614995638818865161":{"id":"1614995638818865161","date":"2023-01-16 14:39:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RishabhVaid8 @palash_i_am Doh you're right of course!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1614369212948176896","reply_id":"1614919672255717376","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RishabhVaid8","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":23,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1614995638818865161","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1706384302622249330":{"id":"1706384302622249330","date":"2023-09-25 19:04:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I bund.\nYou bobl.\nThey schatz.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1706384302622249330","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":2346,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1706384302622249330","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1434974059826016257":{"id":"1434974059826016257","date":"2021-09-06 20:17:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@etdebruin Making sure I hang out with and learn from younger people is getting more important for me over time. Keeps that curiosity fire going.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434963956599193601","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434974059826016257","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1423370749763416066":{"id":"1423370749763416066","date":"2021-08-05 19:50:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @dendisuhubdy Also very sensible.\n\nAs long as we're all in agreement that penny ticks on BTC with maker rebates that represent hundreds of ticks is... suboptimal.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1423336552340414467","reply_id":"1423368754919055361","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1423370749763416066","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1965442638951367120":{"id":"1965442638951367120","date":"2025-09-09 15:50:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@stoked_on_waves @marmadridd @EntropyChase @CJHandmer There is, apparently.\n\nhttps://www.ft.com/content/05b9f4e2-2fac-4f08-becc-d2c8c40a254c","hashtags":[],"conv":"1952747071942853008","reply_id":"1965440104249655717","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"stoked_on_waves","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":68,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1965442638951367120","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2082732139326362097":{"id":"2082732139326362097","date":"2026-07-30 07:36:51","author":"Don Wilson","handle":"drwconvexity","text":"RT @drwconvexity: 6/ Lastly, there's no reason to treat perpetuals as swaps simply because they don't expire. Economically, they're futures. Regulation should follow economic substance, not labels.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2082732139326362097","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2082095875183034842","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":333,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/drwconvexity/status/2082732139326362097"},"1290386057247129600":{"id":"1290386057247129600","date":"2020-08-03 20:36:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@123456789blaaa @SimonDeDeo It's a huge unseen problem in large organizations. Tacit knowledge (i.e. \"Priya is the person to talk to, if you want to get X done\") doesn't get captured anywhere.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1290284766650961922","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1290386057247129600","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1983921851538485523":{"id":"1983921851538485523","date":"2025-10-30 15:40:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Maybe crypto's greatest influence on the world is how they've seemingly infected every young semi-ambitious person with their casino griftcore mentality.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1983921851538485523","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":425,"retweets":38,"replies":35,"quotes":8,"views":65823,"bookmarks":44,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1983921851538485523","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1594924565448335363":{"id":"1594924565448335363","date":"2022-11-22 05:23:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @therobotjames And there are lots of ways it's a disposer.\n\nLike if you put it on your resume but you're mediocre or bad at it, that's a pretty strong negative mark IMO.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1594914937494974466","reply_id":"1594923531758096384","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1594924565448335363","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1428382697827618825":{"id":"1428382697827618825","date":"2021-08-19 15:45:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sajidnizami Love it! Sometimes \"rockstar\" is code for a few other things too:\n\n- We don't know what we need, so we need someone who can do everything.\n- We can't afford to have 4 jobs done by 4 people, so let's hire one and make that person do the 4 jobs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1428381820421242886","reply_id":"1428382285519200260","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sajidnizami","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1428382697827618825","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1983923782281494785":{"id":"1983923782281494785","date":"2025-10-30 15:47:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@proales Not like this, no. Nowhere near.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1983921851538485523","reply_id":"1983922620719305073","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"proales","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1329,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1983923782281494785","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2033545443632902585":{"id":"2033545443632902585","date":"2026-03-16 14:06:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"FuckZuckBook wen?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2033545443632902585","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4653,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2033545443632902585","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1505323322774487043":{"id":"1505323322774487043","date":"2022-03-19 23:20:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@longskew It's not.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505322795991027715","reply_id":"1505322795991027715","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"longskew","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505323322774487043","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1732486641284247987":{"id":"1732486641284247987","date":"2023-12-06 19:46:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So the top 2 uses for LLMs is still:\n\n- Bullshit wordgen (school essays, marketing copy).\n- Boilerplate codegen.\n\nThose are useful but surely P(AGI soon) is lower now than a year ago.\n\nThe AGI-through-LLMs path seems pretty dead.\nEsp w/ the Gemini announcement today.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1732486641284247987","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":114,"retweets":2,"replies":7,"quotes":3,"views":16245,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1732486641284247987","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1346481447285100544":{"id":"1346481447285100544","date":"2021-01-05 15:39:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"21/ Well, remember yesterday?\n\nIf you care about EV of the stock, trade stock.\n\nOptions, really, are for trading *vol*.\n\nBuying calls = buying puts = buying vol. Same for selling.\n\nOk, so what's this \"vol\" thing?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346481446047760387","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346481447285100544","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1476779369037062144":{"id":"1476779369037062144","date":"2021-12-31 04:56:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JDcarlu The point here is that if you want to make bets on the first moment (expected value), then trade the stock!\n\nDoing that bet in options is just more expensive and complex. Just make the bet much more simply by just trading the stock.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476775525066571778","reply_id":"1476779042674118661","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":20,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476779369037062144","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1633534384182804480":{"id":"1633534384182804480","date":"2023-03-08 18:25:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vpal88 @BitPaine @nic_carter @balajis Maybe but most people aren't in charge of public health policy. I mean how is the above meaningfully different from what Western governments are doing already?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633524957560066048","reply_id":"1633534060596453376","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"PalEighty","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":19,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633534384182804480","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1741116568744894552":{"id":"1741116568744894552","date":"2023-12-30 15:18:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Beff on Lex for 3 hrs is peak... something.\n\nUgh.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1741116568744894552","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":54,"retweets":1,"replies":11,"quotes":0,"views":12084,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1741116568744894552","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1567284325288386560":{"id":"1567284325288386560","date":"2022-09-06 22:51:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JimmyDore29 @antoniogm https://xkcd.com/927/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1567282340459851776","reply_id":"1567283405225615360","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JimmyOn10Dore","likes":1,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1567284325288386560","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2001666582271902117":{"id":"2001666582271902117","date":"2025-12-18 14:51:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The point is that if you're going to engagement-farm your new venture by posting pseudo-alpha from your former life, at least put some effort into it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2001666582271902117","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":107,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":20557,"bookmarks":22,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2001666582271902117","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1981418156724785249":{"id":"1981418156724785249","date":"2025-10-23 17:51:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Jadam2122 - City-owned grocery stores.\n- Free public transit.\n- Rent freeze.\n- Build a lot more more public housing.\n\n🤷‍♂️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1981345835079389510","reply_id":"1981378713137590659","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Jadam2122","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":324,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1981418156724785249","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1433220780993572868":{"id":"1433220780993572868","date":"2021-09-02 00:10:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @M1tchRosenthal @MinvstrD ☝️☝️☝️☝️☝️\n\nTradfi is hard. Lots of 👀.\n\nMeanwhile over here there's a 30bp arb between two exchanges that just sits there for minutes.\n\nIt ain't sexy, and I sure don't care.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1433212446274199553","reply_id":"1433214771709374464","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":10,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1433220780993572868","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1603461113584107520":{"id":"1603461113584107520","date":"2022-12-15 18:44:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If you could live at any time for the rest of your life, which would you choose?\n\nNOTE: you don't get access to any a-historical knowledge or technology (especially not medical).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1603461113584107520","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":6548,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1603461113584107520","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1857896977461346766":{"id":"1857896977461346766","date":"2024-11-16 21:22:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @__paleologo @moreproteinbars @itsmartingale @macrocephalopod I mean this mostly in jest. Far below creation unit sizes, the underlying liquidity doesn't really matter much in expectation.\n\nBut if there happens to randomly be some MM who's close to a unit size on some shitty ETF they're just MMing as a relationship thing, then...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1857809844146757924","reply_id":"1857896214072582330","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":197,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1857896977461346766","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1541843270938009601":{"id":"1541843270938009601","date":"2022-06-28 17:57:36","author":"Y Combinator","handle":"ycombinator","text":"Welcome to YC, @evisdrenova, @NickZelei and team @usenucleuscloud!\n\nNucleus is building a platform that helps developers build, deploy and manage a production-grade microservices architecture in minutes: https://usenucleus.cloud/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1541843270938009601","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1541844806900408320","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ycombinator/status/1541843270938009601"},"1476779968495439872":{"id":"1476779968495439872","date":"2021-12-31 04:59:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JDcarlu Another way of saying this is that being an options market maker is... pretty lucrative. Believe me, I'd know.\n\nSo pretty please, with sugar on top. Don't trade options unless you've got ridiculously good tech, dev, traders, historical data, etc, etc. You're just getting beat.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476775525066571778","reply_id":"1476779703482552322","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476779968495439872","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1626672457695531008":{"id":"1626672457695531008","date":"2023-02-17 19:58:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 - Play fewer hands preflop. Especially out of position.\n- Play them much more aggressively. Never limp, very rarely call preflop raises. Raise or fold.\n- Don't slowplay your monsters.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1626671259542237186","reply_id":"1626671259542237186","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":50,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1838,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1626672457695531008","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1988536732938072126":{"id":"1988536732938072126","date":"2025-11-12 09:17:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@systematicls Yes, amazingly people still fall for these.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1988536641120862570","reply_id":"1988536641120862570","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"systematicls","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":638,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1988536732938072126","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2061705220963389788":{"id":"2061705220963389788","date":"2026-06-02 07:03:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"HPMOR is some of the worst fan-fiction ever written, and should be no basis for a moral philosophy.\n\nAs fiction, it's badly written, preachy, and so so in love with itself.\n\nAs morality, it tries to systematically destroy any empathy you might have for humanity.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2061705220963389788","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":101,"retweets":2,"replies":19,"quotes":1,"views":12388,"bookmarks":16,"media":["2061705220963389788_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2061705220963389788","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1978780522835796228":{"id":"1978780522835796228","date":"2025-10-16 11:10:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"As @tylercowen would say, solve for the equilibrium.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1978780521132884444","reply_id":"1978780521132884444","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3087,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1978780522835796228","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2083151966935409091":{"id":"2083151966935409091","date":"2026-07-31 11:25:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"SHA256(Leopold Aschenbrenner has terrible instincts and he will eventually fail spectacularly.)\n\nDidn't expect it to be so soon (19 months exactly after the tweet) or so spectacularly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2083151966935409091","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":513,"retweets":8,"replies":28,"quotes":6,"views":81144,"bookmarks":96,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2083151966935409091","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1943916147998409029":{"id":"1943916147998409029","date":"2025-07-12 06:11:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cis_female Just to clarify, you can't pay a dividend to an option. You can only do so to an actual honest-to-goodness share.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943908342209851761","reply_id":"1943915928317808921","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":256,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1943916147998409029","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1866952262595072162":{"id":"1866952262595072162","date":"2024-12-11 21:04:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nearcausality Pick a low-level-y thing you're interested in building and go to town. Rust, Go, Zig, it doesn't matter really. Maybe Highload, if that interests.\n\nUse Claude as your teacher. Learn to prompt so it doesn't give you the answer (code) but hints in good directions when you ask it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1866950295835820537","reply_id":"1866951593846841547","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nearcausality","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":262,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1866952262595072162","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1226943162310000640":{"id":"1226943162310000640","date":"2020-02-10 18:57:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ryk047 @WayneHimelsein This is true mathematically. But as a heuristic, Gaussian tails means a 2%/day vol stock basically can't go to zero (i.e. P ~ exp(-2500)), whereas something Cauchy distributed actually could (i.e. P ~ 1/2500).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1226899165008936961","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1226943162310000640","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1614999490418864128":{"id":"1614999490418864128","date":"2023-01-16 14:54:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Frances Tiafoe wearing 80s aerobics gear now?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1614999490418864128","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4006,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1614999490418864128_1.jpg","1614999490418864128_2.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1614999490418864128","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1930336986809737447":{"id":"1930336986809737447","date":"2025-06-04 18:52:56","author":"Antonio García Martínez (agm.eth)","handle":"antoniogm","text":"One of my biggest questions/doubts about crypto is how there's no real credit market. \n\nWithout credit, there's no monetary expansion, i.e., effectively 'making' money via fractional-reserve or zero-collateral lending.\n\nYou can't pull revenue from the future into cash now...everything is a zero-sum knife fight for external liquidity (cf. memecoins' eternal dumping on retail, projects airdropping to farmers to pump a price sustained by speculators, etc.). It's all a pump without credit. \n\nThe bug is one of crypto's supposed features: the decoupling of financial identity from physical and legal identity. Put another way, the guys with the guns who put you in jail don't show up if you don't pay. You can't even be denied credit if you stiff someone given the pseudonymous identity (you can always spin up another wallet). Something has to shackle the real you to the onchain you for onchain credit to exist. \n\nI have no stake here, but this is the first project that seems to be building something real in the onchain credit space (coincidentally, it's a @cbventures portco). Hopefully there are more.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1930336986809737447","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1930625435399799153","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":99,"retweets":3,"replies":28,"quotes":2,"views":34257,"bookmarks":41,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/antoniogm/status/1930336986809737447"},"1507899429520510976":{"id":"1507899429520510976","date":"2022-03-27 01:56:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lightspringfox 10%?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507898551719792646","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507899429520510976","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1361451432042369025":{"id":"1361451432042369025","date":"2021-02-15 23:04:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MartyKebke My default assumption is that a delta-hedging professional is on at least one side of basically all the options trades that go up. But I could be wrong.\n\nWould love to hear if @KrisAbdelmessih @bennpeifert @Ksidiii @SinclairEuan agree or not.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1358793442243928069","reply_id":"1361449695361568769","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MartyKebke","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1361451432042369025","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2075911040383013073":{"id":"2075911040383013073","date":"2026-07-11 11:52:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is a microcosm of how AGI will play out. Humans will rent-seek themselves into the economic equation. Newly-necessary supervisors-of-AI will emerge everywhere.\n\nhttps://reason.com/2026/07/09/rhode-island-is-regulating-grocery-checkout-lines-now/","hashtags":[],"conv":"2075911040383013073","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":83,"retweets":2,"replies":5,"quotes":2,"views":15191,"bookmarks":42,"media":["2075911040383013073_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2075911040383013073","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1420178620304138246":{"id":"1420178620304138246","date":"2021-07-28 00:25:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OneBigOh This is not a useful intuition pump. And I hear this ALL the time.\n\nYes there are fields where doing RL on simulated data is useful. Maybe self-driving cars is one of them.\n\nBut I'm pretty darn sure trading isn't one. Lots of reasons, but the biggest one is adversariality.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420131145669169153","reply_id":"1420150723837374466","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OneBigOh","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420178620304138246","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1418300702418300928":{"id":"1418300702418300928","date":"2021-07-22 20:03:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@saanglee If you have lots of time to practice I highly recommend two books:\n\n- Be A Player - Pia Nilsson\n- The Practice Manual - Adam Young\n\nThe key is to balance training stimulus with enjoyment. Think for the long haul. Don't burn yourself out. I've been there with the enthusiasm.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1418294496614174721","reply_id":"1418299556010237952","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"saanglee","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1418300702418300928","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1973070595697877288":{"id":"1973070595697877288","date":"2025-09-30 17:01:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Like I said...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1973070595697877288","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3275,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1973070595697877288","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1450892213760651266":{"id":"1450892213760651266","date":"2021-10-20 18:30:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@m4rcu54ur3l1u5 @bennpeifert This. Float are a last resort and should be used only for things like calculating returns and doing math things.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1450890574379163653","reply_id":"1450891235896528903","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"m4rcu54ur3l1u5","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1450892213760651266","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2042621198417150325":{"id":"2042621198417150325","date":"2026-04-10 15:10:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Not \"running a company\".\n\n\"Running a shitty SaaS company with no moat that has to chase every fad and raise constantly in order to survive.\"\n\nThere *are* other kinds of companies.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2042621198417150325","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":47,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":8032,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2042621198417150325","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2016324920586682631":{"id":"2016324920586682631","date":"2026-01-28 01:38:17","author":"Andy Constan","handle":"dampedspring","text":"F1 is an absolutely terrible movie.  Best picture nominee?  Oof","hashtags":[],"conv":"2016324920586682631","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2016446446111715344","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":125,"retweets":0,"replies":53,"quotes":2,"views":32137,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dampedspring/status/2016324920586682631"},"1679595326385291267":{"id":"1679595326385291267","date":"2023-07-13 20:55:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Which has the most negative connotation for a piece of writing?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1679595326385291267","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3491,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1679595326385291267","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1446327630437908481":{"id":"1446327630437908481","date":"2021-10-08 04:12:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I hope all those people doing their #GreatResignation realize it goes both ways.\n\nOnce corporate America gets fully on-board with remote work, guess where those hires are going to happen. It ain't Idaho.\n\nHint: think of English-speaking countries where $20k/year is AWESOME pay.","hashtags":["greatresignation"],"conv":"1446327630437908481","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":46,"retweets":6,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1446327630437908481","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1384665672366510082":{"id":"1384665672366510082","date":"2021-04-21 00:29:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @SoccerMomTrades @M1tchRosenthal I'm pretty sure the \"liquidity provision\" I did in back month CL futures last summer was good. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1384525674317328386","reply_id":"1384665309575974912","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1384665672366510082","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1867251873167925595":{"id":"1867251873167925595","date":"2024-12-12 16:55:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@xorswap_ @wordgrammer All good!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1867216408473374900","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":75,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1867251873167925595","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1635287168687161345":{"id":"1635287168687161345","date":"2023-03-13 14:30:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Encino Man wins award\" - not The Onion, somehow","hashtags":[],"conv":"1635287168687161345","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2008,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1635287168687161345","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1805292899166568766":{"id":"1805292899166568766","date":"2024-06-24 17:32:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@zeugma95031605 To be determined...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1805288558842069269","reply_id":"1805291916885639581","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"zeugma95031605","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":233,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1805292899166568766","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1744866888436609269":{"id":"1744866888436609269","date":"2024-01-09 23:40:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Many of the smartest people I've met have a paradoxical property.\n\nOften, they say things that are obviously true when you hear them. So it doesn't seem notable.\n\nIt takes that rare moment of reflection to realize \"Yeah, it's obvious but *I* didn't think of it.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1744866888436609269","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":75,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":6085,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1744866888436609269","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1950146882451181795":{"id":"1950146882451181795","date":"2025-07-29 10:50:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@itsmartingale @macrocephalopod That's really good too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1950103207952175545","reply_id":"1950145742967828920","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"itsmartingale","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1821,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1950146882451181795","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1646637577305194497":{"id":"1646637577305194497","date":"2023-04-13 22:12:46","author":"Sheikh Abdur Raheem Ali","handle":"Sheikheddy","text":"@TheZvi @OpenAI Second table under \"language models\". Keep in mind currently you need to fill out a 26-question form, we're saying \"no\" to a lot of customer requests, and probably won't support plugins till Q4 at least. Environmental regulation is what prevents building out more new datacenters.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1646625005864644609","reply_id":"1646633511888068609","quote_id":"1646906467767947265","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheZvi","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":2,"views":9092,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Sheikheddy/status/1646637577305194497"},"1866865866698301576":{"id":"1866865866698301576","date":"2024-12-11 15:21:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @abiylfoyp My mental model with these orthopedic issues is that the body has lots of redundant systems.\n\nSo if one of them is in trouble, you can improve the other ones to compensate and it actually does just work.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1866861453296435483","reply_id":"1866862835231240369","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":79,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1866865866698301576","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1349575864787238912":{"id":"1349575864787238912","date":"2021-01-14 04:35:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @IntelligntSteak Especially of the uncapped variety?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1349545151975325700","reply_id":"1349570576608681989","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1349575864787238912","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1633934270380269568":{"id":"1633934270380269568","date":"2023-03-09 20:54:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"15/ Exchanges run our software on-premises within their walls. In particular, that means we don’t have access to it. Phew!\n\nAnd what they run is a proof (ideally daily) of their solvency.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633934250620891136","reply_id":"1633934268950003712","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2417,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633934270380269568","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1542899961645240321":{"id":"1542899961645240321","date":"2022-07-01 15:56:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nearcausality Me too, but sports betting too smol.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542899628865208322","reply_id":"1542899628865208322","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nearcausality","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1542899961645240321","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1792586520177606845":{"id":"1792586520177606845","date":"2024-05-20 16:01:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Wolves operate best when seen as messiahs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1792586520177606845","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2163,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1792586520177606845","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1970148579885928940":{"id":"1970148579885928940","date":"2025-09-22 15:29:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antialtinian He's the conductor. If he fucks up, people... have their tickets... not stamped or something.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970098937995600146","reply_id":"1970147162312097906","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antialtinian","likes":40,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2270,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1970148579885928940","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1205665212755398656":{"id":"1205665212755398656","date":"2019-12-14 01:46:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BeingHorizontal This could be useful data to feed into an NN. But as I said, the thing to think about, more than anything else, is \"What sorts of things I do want the NN to discover?\"\n\nThat's what guides your decision on architecture, topology, dataset, features, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1205388149767077888","reply_id":"1205537560350486529","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BeingHorizontal","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1205665212755398656","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1515120175485386752":{"id":"1515120175485386752","date":"2022-04-16 00:09:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This by @coincenter is very readable. And a cogent argument with a pointed example.\n\nhttps://www.coincenter.org/comments-to-the-securities-exchange-commission-on-amendments-regarding-the-definition-of-exchange-and-alternative-trading-systems/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1515120175485386752","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1515120175485386752","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1597697526995464192":{"id":"1597697526995464192","date":"2022-11-29 21:02:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Having the ocean lap at your feet is low-key goated when admitting to billions of fraud is the vibe.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xP54LZB3WRw","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597697526995464192","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597697526995464192","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1789787456033689783":{"id":"1789787456033689783","date":"2024-05-12 22:39:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount He really really doesn't.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1789757173074915477","reply_id":"1789764188962722034","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":183,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1789787456033689783","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1557801807354556416":{"id":"1557801807354556416","date":"2022-08-11 18:51:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LM_Braswell I run across people who have decision-paralysis about this.\n\n\"What do you want to do?\" is met with \"I don't know, lots of things interest me.\"\n\nI refuse to go down the \"follow your passion\" advice at that point, as it's usually terrible advice.\n\nThoughts?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1557800951502684160","reply_id":"1557800951502684160","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"LM_Braswell","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1557801807354556416","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1454824571614347265":{"id":"1454824571614347265","date":"2021-10-31 14:56:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JDcarlu @Coding_Career Short all companies that called back.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1454293034179317764","reply_id":"1454810014539911178","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JDcarlu","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1454824571614347265","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1709566806745039320":{"id":"1709566806745039320","date":"2023-10-04 13:51:03","author":"kchoudhu","handle":"kchoudhu","text":"The number of APIs returning json over HTTP that should be returning  CSV over SFTP is shocking.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709566806745039320","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1709730836013019143","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":41,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":4,"views":14556,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/kchoudhu/status/1709566806745039320"},"1447283464047247364":{"id":"1447283464047247364","date":"2021-10-10 19:30:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ksidiii @bennpeifert @cloudy_cl @VitruviusCurve Good PA trading maybe.\n\nBut the SNR there is -60dB easy, so the correct Bayesian decision given non-infinite resources is to severely penalize PA trading when evaluating a resume.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1447251034309545988","reply_id":"1447282271938125832","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Ksidiii","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1447283464047247364","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1503936474110042115":{"id":"1503936474110042115","date":"2022-03-16 03:29:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@gregasmaximus @TerribleQuant Not with modern pipelined processors. gcc will do a better job than any human.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503834072757452805","reply_id":"1503923385440489477","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"gregasmaximus","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1503936474110042115","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1560722766843691008":{"id":"1560722766843691008","date":"2022-08-19 20:17:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"h/t @KrisAbdelmessih for spurring the thought as I battle to pass KYC with various financial service providers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1560722440249954304","reply_id":"1560722440249954304","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1560722766843691008","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1159875507736854529":{"id":"1159875507736854529","date":"2019-08-09 17:14:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7trn91xkJ0w","hashtags":[],"conv":"1159864311814197248","reply_id":"1159871634905477120","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1159875507736854529","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1993452518748414264":{"id":"1993452518748414264","date":"2025-11-25 22:51:31","author":"Temu Robot James","handle":"ScottPh77711570","text":"If you think you have an edge trading FX or index futures as a retail tradoor you are delusional\n\nThe desks trading those things have so many advantages you cannot compete\n\nThe good news is you probably won't lose too much money though","hashtags":[],"conv":"1993452518748414264","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1993589362043633822","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":244,"retweets":4,"replies":21,"quotes":7,"views":83065,"bookmarks":54,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ScottPh77711570/status/1993452518748414264"},"1482215667084365826":{"id":"1482215667084365826","date":"2022-01-15 04:58:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@gauravs85278125 @goodalexander @CaleCrypto Postponed pending some developments. Stay tuned...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482086567720148993","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482215667084365826","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1403506831947800577":{"id":"1403506831947800577","date":"2021-06-12 00:17:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ksidiii All good dude, it's a great meta-question!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1403386243837087744","reply_id":"1403506492221837312","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Ksidiii","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1403506831947800577","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1543346260727382016":{"id":"1543346260727382016","date":"2022-07-02 21:29:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"You had me at \"wild, outburst-filled match\".\n\nhttps://www.espn.com/tennis/story/_/id/34185344/nick-kyrgios-topples-no-4-seed-stefanos-tsitsipas-wild-outburst-filled-wimbledon-match","hashtags":[],"conv":"1543346260727382016","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1543346260727382016","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1765731152449651164":{"id":"1765731152449651164","date":"2024-03-07 13:28:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"TIL that in the 19th century, even high-growth capital-intensive businesses paid massive dividends because... that's just how you did things back then.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1765731152449651164","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":3782,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1765731152449651164","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1592284243849547776":{"id":"1592284243849547776","date":"2022-11-14 22:32:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@yieldfarmer2222 @l1quid1ty @KrisAbdelmessih @TimFerrissShow 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1591952160061030402","reply_id":"1592283936696434688","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"yieldfarmer2222","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1592284243849547776","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1476786674776510464":{"id":"1476786674776510464","date":"2021-12-31 05:25:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RockshotJ @JDcarlu Managing risk is a perfectly sensible category of reasons to trade options.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476775525066571778","reply_id":"1476783255215091728","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RockshotJ","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476786674776510464","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1694097610192339101":{"id":"1694097610192339101","date":"2023-08-22 21:21:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"As usual, the actual analysis the LLM spit out seems pretty darn mid though.\n\nI.e. Conditional on being a person in a position to have to make this decision, how much did this help? Not much probably.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1694097610192339101","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4206,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1694097610192339101","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1984926690737324445":{"id":"1984926690737324445","date":"2025-11-02 10:12:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@fvderop So?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1984922771592532383","reply_id":"1984924322453229809","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"fvderop","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":212,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1984926690737324445","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1405199260736385026":{"id":"1405199260736385026","date":"2021-06-16 16:23:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@olimould @JulesBoykoff I suspected someone had had this thought before.\n\n@tylercowen 's second law: There's a literature on everything.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1405184150139674624","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1405199260736385026","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1867310035866440093":{"id":"1867310035866440093","date":"2024-12-12 20:46:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Seeing a few responses, some quite good, but still no toy models...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1867298783165305134","reply_id":"1867298792019546199","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":5509,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1867310035866440093","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1543621985707573248":{"id":"1543621985707573248","date":"2022-07-03 15:45:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm @bahmutov In the US, a (good) regular job still doesn't insulate you from worrying about the mid levels Maslow's pyramid. So you take a chance.\n\nIn Europe, a job DOES insulate you. And besides, there are very few existence proofs that taking a chance is going to pay off. So you don't.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1543613805246091266","reply_id":"1543620845536305152","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1543621985707573248","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1297357617262551042":{"id":"1297357617262551042","date":"2020-08-23 02:18:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Pope_Scholes_IV Tough guy Nixon was revealed to be insecure and paranoid: toast.\n\nClinton was a philanderer: ah, Slick Willie, everything's fine.\n\nAnti-gay Larry Craig in an airport bathroom stall: toast.\n\nEtc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1297351214460473344","reply_id":"1297353122441039873","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Pope_Scholes_IV","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1297357617262551042","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1714744311798206734":{"id":"1714744311798206734","date":"2023-10-18 20:44:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@forbidden_views @FormulaDeltaOne @sentientETF @theemilyaccount Yeah. Unf it doesn't scale very well. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1714723337711104095","reply_id":"1714743126148182044","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"forbidden_views","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":671,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1714744311798206734","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1846549367236256150":{"id":"1846549367236256150","date":"2024-10-16 13:50:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RecktenwaldRene @volatilitynoob Plus F# has units out of the box!\n\nMuch to like about it. Don Syme made some nice design decisions.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1846542157697442092","reply_id":"1846548306983256423","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RecktenwaldRene","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":40,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1846549367236256150","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1891953970907648341":{"id":"1891953970907648341","date":"2025-02-18 20:52:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@krishnanrohit Understanding that, even though all appearances indicate otherwise, the CMO actually hates the head of sales and would do anything to ruin the latter's career.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1891949443999514923","reply_id":"1891953208412496011","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":351,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1891953970907648341","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1883773524273434908":{"id":"1883773524273434908","date":"2025-01-27 07:06:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pernambucanol65 @Lucien_P16 Oui ca parait peu mais il me semble que preque tous les professionels aujourd'hui ont aussi baisse leurs tensions.\n\n(Un Francais de Pernambuco? :) )","hashtags":[],"conv":"1883542644300849642","reply_id":"1883655161224307099","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vologe_tola","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":70,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1883773524273434908","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1558573505360195584":{"id":"1558573505360195584","date":"2022-08-13 21:57:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@elfsternberg @delong Option 3 strikes me as clearly correct.\n\nIt's not that there isn't more to us than that, it's just that *most* of the time there isn't.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1558565605585739776","reply_id":"1558565605585739776","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"elfsternberg","likes":3,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1558573505360195584","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1559250946412072960":{"id":"1559250946412072960","date":"2022-08-15 18:49:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Safe-pair-of-hands effect.\n\nSame as in HF managers who blew up their last fund, CEOs who ran their previous companies into the ground, etc","hashtags":[],"conv":"1559250946412072960","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1559250946412072960","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1756400660915134524":{"id":"1756400660915134524","date":"2024-02-10 19:32:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Looking at a tab-separated-values file with no header.\n\nAm I supposed to use COBOL or Fortran to work with these?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1756400660915134524","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":3150,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1756400660915134524","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1677745167330320384":{"id":"1677745167330320384","date":"2023-07-08 18:23:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I love Davidovich-Fokina but how does he *always* seem to come up just a little short?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1677745167330320384","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2594,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1677745167330320384","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2074894395846033626":{"id":"2074894395846033626","date":"2026-07-08 16:32:28","author":"Autism Capital 🧩","handle":"AutismCapital","text":"Just spoke with Mitch McConnell this morning for 20 minutes. He said that he enjoys everything bagels but he doesn’t like the fact that it leave a garlicky/oniony aftertaste in his mouth but he still prefers the excitement of something other than plain. I asked why he doesn’t try sesame instead and he said that our conversation was done.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2074894395846033626","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2074929265561288966","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":359,"retweets":15,"replies":23,"quotes":1,"views":40513,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/AutismCapital/status/2074894395846033626"},"1970103830512840797":{"id":"1970103830512840797","date":"2025-09-22 12:32:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BurakYngn It's a question of degrees, as with all things.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970102247272157550","reply_id":"1970102247272157550","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BurakYngn","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":65,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1970103830512840797","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1493436163952037888":{"id":"1493436163952037888","date":"2022-02-15 04:05:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 @KrisAbdelmessih @theemilyaccount @salr_nyc Amen.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493387393142976512","reply_id":"1493435661633966085","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":3,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493436163952037888","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2076243253679030497":{"id":"2076243253679030497","date":"2026-07-12 09:52:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"👇","hashtags":[],"conv":"2076243253679030497","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":10464,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2076243253679030497","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1479873066490499076":{"id":"1479873066490499076","date":"2022-01-08 17:50:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The longest piece of text my 13-year-old has ever had to write tops out a 3-4 pages.\n\nI was writing 20 page projects at his age.\nAnd 10 page short stories. Maybe more.\n\nThis was normal and expected.\n\nHow is everyone ok with today's state of affairs?\n\nI feel like a crazy person.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1479873065446039553","reply_id":"1479873065446039553","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":26,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1479873066490499076","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1794000896327881209":{"id":"1794000896327881209","date":"2024-05-24 13:41:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FormulaDeltaOne This is true...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1794000192959828206","reply_id":"1794000634729136211","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FormulaDeltaOne","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1672,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1794000896327881209","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1539249441659621379":{"id":"1539249441659621379","date":"2022-06-21 14:10:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"7/\n\nB. If you were THAT rich back then, you probably had a small army of people who basically depended on you for their livelihoods. Handing the reins to someone else was nigh on impossible, so retiring probably meant putting lots of people out of work.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1539249425956093952","reply_id":"1539249439214272513","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1539249441659621379","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2058464219641585812":{"id":"2058464219641585812","date":"2026-05-24 08:24:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Nothing says “good target for my LPs' capital” like being willing to inject some random shit from China into your bloodstream.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2058464219641585812","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":50,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":10613,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2058464219641585812","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1394693705882169350":{"id":"1394693705882169350","date":"2021-05-18 16:37:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @vakontis @SinclairEuan @bennpeifert @goodalexander Did I say the quiet part out loud again?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1394645553850503172","reply_id":"1394685816081768454","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1394693705882169350","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1721593311637766592":{"id":"1721593311637766592","date":"2023-11-06 18:20:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If you want to know what computer security will look like in a few hundred years, look at the human immune system in its glorious complexity.\n\nCountermeasures on countermeasures on countermeasures, unbelievably large expenditure on zero-sum competition. All of it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1721593311637766592","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":63,"retweets":5,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":7719,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1721593311637766592","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1473699124059033608":{"id":"1473699124059033608","date":"2021-12-22 16:57:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@balajis The problem isn't that the laws are old per se, it's that nobody with power has an incentive to re-evaluate them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1473697358047289344","reply_id":"1473697975348211733","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"balajis","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1473699124059033608","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1397628999526862848":{"id":"1397628999526862848","date":"2021-05-26 19:01:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@volmagorov Completely agree. The hedging derivation makes so much sense to a trader. And that approach is so much more generalizable IMO.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1397621423250673665","reply_id":"1397621869348536320","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"volmagorov","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1397628999526862848","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1515717449575981061":{"id":"1515717449575981061","date":"2022-04-17 15:42:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @LizSimmie The fact that the wine tasting class was associated with Stanford business school says many things. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1515699180907503618","reply_id":"1515713776770818049","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1515717449575981061","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1746201084543332691":{"id":"1746201084543332691","date":"2024-01-13 16:02:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Utterly correct. And it points the way to the answer:\n\nFigure out what *you're* talented at, and do those things!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1746201084543332691","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":40,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":10515,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1746201084543332691","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1729923730393198673":{"id":"1729923730393198673","date":"2023-11-29 18:02:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Great moments in being a parent. W/ my 12 year old talking about atmospheric pressure.\n\n\"So what we're saying is that you have 15lb pushing on every single square inch of your body. So why don't you feel that?\"\n\n\"Uh, because that's how we're made?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1729923730393198673","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":5282,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1729923730393198673","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1666800431408861185":{"id":"1666800431408861185","date":"2023-06-08 13:32:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2/ I was doing my first of two Waterloo co-ops at RIM. I was assigned two glorious-to-me tasks:\n\n- Temperature compensating the contrast on the LCD so that it looked good by default in any weather.\n- Evaluate different backlight technologies.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1666800429236207621","reply_id":"1666800429236207621","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1141,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1666800431408861185","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1436050839055978518":{"id":"1436050839055978518","date":"2021-09-09 19:36:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lightspringfox \"I did it for the fee tiers.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1436047232327831580","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1436050839055978518","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1451254229574684672":{"id":"1451254229574684672","date":"2021-10-21 18:29:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @garybasin @drewg__ 👆","hashtags":[],"conv":"1451009816659431428","reply_id":"1451243695706189832","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1451254229574684672","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1637263353814069248":{"id":"1637263353814069248","date":"2023-03-19 01:22:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"LLM-based AIs will just further entrench the dominance of English.\n\nThere's a tight feedback loop:\n- English is the biggest dataset.\n- Therefore better/cheaper generation of English.\n- Therefore more English produced, training future AIs better.\n- English increases dominance.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1637263353814069248","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1647995222805323777","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":180,"retweets":15,"replies":15,"quotes":11,"views":44957,"bookmarks":17,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1637263353814069248","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1535401232646275072":{"id":"1535401232646275072","date":"2022-06-10 23:19:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ksidiii 2008 felt different.\n\nThe contagion happened because no one know where the next shoe was going to drop. Specifically, we couldn't rely on \"safe\" collateral that wasn't safe because the (opaque) counterparty had exposures no one knew about.\n\nSlapped By The Invisible Hand - Gorton","hashtags":[],"conv":"1535400249648455681","reply_id":"1535400259232333824","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Ksidiii","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1535401232646275072","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1671200740528861208":{"id":"1671200740528861208","date":"2023-06-20 16:58:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Alcaraz with another no-business-winning-this-match performance.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1671200740528861208","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1604,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1671200740528861208","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1900656809557250402":{"id":"1900656809557250402","date":"2025-03-14 21:14:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HighFreqAsuka This is a nice lab, it seems. But look at this embarrassment of a course.\n\nLab 1 is literally \"first time writing C\" and lab 2 is gdb and valgrind?\n\nAnd then lab 3 AND lab 4 are RISC-V assembler?\n\nLab 5 is digital logic? WTF is this course, a royal sampler of computer stuff?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1900587520305332699","reply_id":"1900649322385191365","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HighFreqAsuka","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":480,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1900656809557250402","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1830495976894681317":{"id":"1830495976894681317","date":"2024-09-02 06:40:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@d_feldman @panickssery That's more thanks to John Backus than Chomsky.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1830273999362040242","reply_id":"1830446124500476112","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"d_feldman","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":246,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1830495976894681317","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1973701542734860638":{"id":"1973701542734860638","date":"2025-10-02 10:48:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeepDishEnjoyer I've been down this road, as have a few people I know.\n\nExpert networks will only pay 1k-4k an hour for actual MNPI. If you tell them you won't be giving them any of that, they get uninterested real fast.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1973690359378231362","reply_id":"1973690359378231362","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeepDishEnjoyer","likes":45,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":6140,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1973701542734860638","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1347351073518804992":{"id":"1347351073518804992","date":"2021-01-08 01:15:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@famadeo Boring stuff. I'll get back at it tomorrow.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1347348294746464262","reply_id":"1347348294746464262","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"famadeo","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1347351073518804992","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1732820112204571083":{"id":"1732820112204571083","date":"2023-12-07 17:51:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount","hashtags":[],"conv":"1732803038161805516","reply_id":"1732813886019998025","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":247,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1732820112204571083_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1732820112204571083","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1684253192081772545":{"id":"1684253192081772545","date":"2023-07-26 17:23:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@max_arbitrage A friend of mine runs a superconductivity lab.\nThey're attempting to replicate as we speak.\n\nHe's skeptical, FWIW, but open-minded. Stay tuned...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1684157005403938816","reply_id":"1684157005403938816","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"max_arbitrage","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":137,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1684253192081772545","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1757894122655133787":{"id":"1757894122655133787","date":"2024-02-14 22:26:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mansourtarek_ @Dwight_ARM Then don't write the annualized number. It just makes you seem unserious to anyone who pays attention.\n\nI say this with the fervent hope that Kalshi's volumes will continue to go up over time and hence attract real $ and real players.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1757886420595646481","reply_id":"1757888129795494115","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mansourtarek_","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":651,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1757894122655133787","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1987913367999131660":{"id":"1987913367999131660","date":"2025-11-10 16:00:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert Not to mention the shit-slow Electron UI.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1987911206137454947","reply_id":"1987913115863056483","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":741,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1987913367999131660","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1585825809838710784":{"id":"1585825809838710784","date":"2022-10-28 02:48:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@8bitbytebit @therobotjames When ticks are too big it's just stupid queue games and natural flow gets screwed on the bid/ask. It *should* be tighter but isn't because it can't be.\n\nGo look at marketdata for ES when vol was like.. 8! That is not a market structure that maximizes volume.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1585761439897522176","reply_id":"1585778373816553472","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"8bitbytebit","likes":3,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1585825809838710784","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1600980348526940160":{"id":"1600980348526940160","date":"2022-12-08 22:27:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OGTaylorB 2029 right?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1600979122448060416","reply_id":"1600980268097028096","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OGTaylorB","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1600980348526940160","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1688761028786708480":{"id":"1688761028786708480","date":"2023-08-08 03:56:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"TFW you can't wait for your kids to get to high school so you can surreptitiously take HS physics/chem/bio again.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1688761028786708480","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":54,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":5164,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1688761028786708480","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1503802587383943169":{"id":"1503802587383943169","date":"2022-03-15 18:37:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@llllvvuu @macrocephalopod @choffstein @HomePriceHedges @parcl 🙏\n\nThis a corollary to Cowen's Second Law. There's a crypto biz for everything.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503764112739913730","reply_id":"1503802020641198080","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"llllvvuu","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1503802587383943169","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1346863589760516097":{"id":"1346863589760516097","date":"2021-01-06 16:57:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"31/ We're back with day 3 of Options 101. Today we'll talk about vol curves! Finally the good stuff, right?\n\nMaybe. We'll see how long this gets. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346481458634842114","quote_id":"1346863988131336193","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":17,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346863589760516097","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1532793077970022401":{"id":"1532793077970022401","date":"2022-06-03 18:35:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Oh Linkedin. How worthless you are...\n\nhttps://www.linkedin.com/search/results/people/?keywords=ava%20lee%20coinbase&sid=uu-","hashtags":[],"conv":"1532793077970022401","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1532793077970022401","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2061541486957920646":{"id":"2061541486957920646","date":"2026-06-01 20:12:46","author":"DeLong🖖","handle":"delong","text":"How a bad book, a bogus formula, and a hunger for favor led Kevin Hassett to discover that he could lie his way up the ladder as a career, and it would pay. Republican politicians and journalists call it “economic advising”. But that really is the wrong phrase, isn’t it?... 1/","hashtags":[],"conv":"2061541486957920646","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2061769289019822506","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":47,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":3,"views":23676,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/delong/status/2061541486957920646"},"1227702601401225219":{"id":"1227702601401225219","date":"2020-02-12 21:14:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vidaemutirao @paulg When companies are cooking the books, they need to make up fake numbers. But they make up numbers that follow the wrong distribution.\n\nReal financial statements have numbers that are distributed according to Benford. Fake ones don't.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1227606069343596544","reply_id":"1227696346523742209","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vidaemutirao","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1227702601401225219","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1199815260040904704":{"id":"1199815260040904704","date":"2019-11-27 22:20:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brianmwang What it feels like: You're the general contractor of a massive skyscraper project. Every decision you make is life-or-death.\n\nWhat it actually is: You get the materials to the site. It builds itself. Maybe later you get to pick out the drapes in the lobby.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1199748365103161344","reply_id":"1199748365103161344","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"brianmwang","likes":148,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1199815260040904704","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1668618213540892678":{"id":"1668618213540892678","date":"2023-06-13 13:55:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@anondot11 @theemilyaccount @MelvilleTrader","hashtags":[],"conv":"1668590153089134592","reply_id":"1668616836580270081","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"anondot11","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":93,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1668618213540892678_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1668618213540892678","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1937944364291878957":{"id":"1937944364291878957","date":"2025-06-25 18:41:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@samuha Market making is about your risk profile: trying to keep a flat inventory, not caring if it goes up or down, hedging exposures, etc.\n\nWhether you're using resting or aggressive orders is an execution detail.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482748235496058880","reply_id":"1937944107776925912","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":23,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1763,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1937944364291878957","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1511747205735936007":{"id":"1511747205735936007","date":"2022-04-06 16:46:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein Not saying this explains all of it but it's definitely a thing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1511746492071133193","reply_id":"1511747044628582403","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1511747205735936007","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1443951385117016069":{"id":"1443951385117016069","date":"2021-10-01 14:50:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"12/ Reading papers (finance or not) is, if you do it right, a jolt out of your rut.\n\nMuch like @paulg talks about when evaluating a startup pitch, try to find the good idea in it. Instead of why it's bad.\n\nRationalists call it steelmanning. What version of this COULD be good?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443951372580229123","reply_id":"1443951383942623232","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":38,"retweets":3,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1443951385117016069","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1922369467926839740":{"id":"1922369467926839740","date":"2025-05-13 19:12:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@osmarks1 @Abude_al_asaad @nkreu113r Same. Non-recourse and no mark-to-market. What lender would ever lend at SOFR+2% under those terms?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1922217541520314643","reply_id":"1922368632266301583","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"osmarks1","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":71,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1922369467926839740","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1395082788412411908":{"id":"1395082788412411908","date":"2021-05-19 18:23:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@std_dev What I love about the crypto blowup is how much the rest of world is completely oblivious.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1395075006707666947","reply_id":"1395081685570568194","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"std_dev","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1395082788412411908","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1847657531612479599":{"id":"1847657531612479599","date":"2024-10-19 15:14:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@PassiveObs77464 @lacertaXG1 @quant_spence Depends. If I'm learning the subject to solve a problem, I go straight solving to the problem, then maybe backfill the more didactic knowledge. Usually w/ LLMs.\n\nI try to avoid non-technical non-fiction books (i.e. Gladwell's) now. Read too many. They merge into themselves.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847610792113316169","reply_id":"1847656199359004683","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OftCorrect","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":253,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847657531612479599","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1602118933808525312":{"id":"1602118933808525312","date":"2022-12-12 01:51:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@2percentisfair This was pretty good, I agree.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1601762710911602689","reply_id":"1602101235888308224","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"2percentisfair","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1602118933808525312","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1536187128689790976":{"id":"1536187128689790976","date":"2022-06-13 03:22:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@egfalken @diamondhand_ape Also mark to market risk.\n\nGetting blown out of a good trade really sucks. Just ask all those GME shorts.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536184484147634177","reply_id":"1536186526106898433","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"egfalken","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1536187128689790976","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1870921614138741111":{"id":"1870921614138741111","date":"2024-12-22 19:57:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Peeve: English-speaking announcers pronouncing João identically to Zhao. At least *try*.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1870921614138741111","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2683,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1870921614138741111","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1215676476994904064":{"id":"1215676476994904064","date":"2020-01-10 16:47:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@paulg Even the greatest companies on Earth feel, from the inside, like they're barely managing. Barely hanging on, barely on top of things.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1215673204125073408","reply_id":"1215673204125073408","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"paulg","likes":50,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1215676476994904064","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1243303277975834625":{"id":"1243303277975834625","date":"2020-03-26 22:26:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @vixologist Usually \"you gotta figure the alpha out yourself\".\n\nNot a large audience for that particular fact.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1243282170162163715","reply_id":"1243288135204831233","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1243303277975834625","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1815852874171400451":{"id":"1815852874171400451","date":"2024-07-23 20:53:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@abiylfoyp - Gets easily distracted by shiny-but-ultimately-bad things.\n- Makes inelegant decisions. I.e. when you show them a different way, they can see it's better but they couldn't have come up with it themselves.\n- Unwittingly violates established norms.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1815831837152891344","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":83,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1815852874171400451","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1847676846248243504":{"id":"1847676846248243504","date":"2024-10-19 16:31:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FormulaDeltaOne 1. Yes self-taught.\n2. I've never deployed an RL agent before.\n3. Yes, seriously considered it. Couldn't get a deal that made sense. My history doesn't fit into the boxes required for getting a good deal.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847610792113316169","reply_id":"1847674156587819174","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FormulaDeltaOne","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1496,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847676846248243504","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1459617948688027652":{"id":"1459617948688027652","date":"2021-11-13 20:23:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@robinhanson Looks like the forest moon of Endor.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1459617712238383113","reply_id":"1459617712238383113","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"robinhanson","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1459617948688027652","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1477042192849924096":{"id":"1477042192849924096","date":"2021-12-31 22:21:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_Dave__White_ Is that a coin? $NYE?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477041839978913792","reply_id":"1477041839978913792","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_Dave__White_","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477042192849924096","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2011405624123273657":{"id":"2011405624123273657","date":"2026-01-14 11:50:45","author":"π* | ¤","handle":"totlsota","text":"RT @totlsota: 1 bit, binary decisions rule the world\n\nprediction markets: up/down\ndating: swipe left/right\npolitics: red/blue\nsocial feeds: gaze/ skip ... gaze/ skip\n\ndecision bandwidth inversely correlates with market size","hashtags":[],"conv":"2011405624123273657","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2011391846258479433","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/totlsota/status/2011405624123273657"},"2060587622859264095":{"id":"2060587622859264095","date":"2026-05-30 05:02:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If Zverev doesn't win this one, he may never win one.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2060587622859264095","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3403,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2060587622859264095","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1518725124286939136":{"id":"1518725124286939136","date":"2022-04-25 22:54:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NotQuiteMidlife @choffstein I don't feel confident in my ability to predict how regulators will read it.\n\nThe fact that (a) he's been talking to them and (b) he's smart makes me reserve judgement.\n\nTo say a thing, the Elon playbook is evidently very effective.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1518678300633227267","reply_id":"1518723775080009728","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuiteMidlife","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1518725124286939136","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1822341676003938741":{"id":"1822341676003938741","date":"2024-08-10 18:38:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If Trump loses this thing, the biggest takeaway has to be that Dems nominated a world-historically-bad candidate in 2016?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1822341676003938741","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":84,"retweets":0,"replies":12,"quotes":1,"views":9960,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1822341676003938741","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1905560306115314105":{"id":"1905560306115314105","date":"2025-03-28 09:59:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"A note-perfect blog post.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1905560306115314105","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4814,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1905560306115314105","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1595148069435498496":{"id":"1595148069435498496","date":"2022-11-22 20:11:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 @therobotjames @xjpx888 @NeetNort @nadogoyard @fuckyourputs @heart_ https://x.com/xjpx888/status/1595138915127947265","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595004777007808513","reply_id":"1595140246588780544","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1595148069435498496","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1983278210759700742":{"id":"1983278210759700742","date":"2025-10-28 21:02:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OverfitForTruth The notion of control is extremely opaque. By design I'm sure.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1983185511587230107","reply_id":"1983275045528187046","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OverfitForTruth","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":506,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1983278210759700742","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1847809880457134417":{"id":"1847809880457134417","date":"2024-10-20 01:19:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ONAN_OUS Why would I hire someone who does -EV trading for fun?\n\nPlus who knows what bad habits they have unlearn?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847696630507794791","reply_id":"1847696630507794791","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ONAN_OUS","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":713,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847809880457134417","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1798775652625338652":{"id":"1798775652625338652","date":"2024-06-06 17:55:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@waltuuuhr Czech. It's not bad with GPT-4o.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1798497316808393144","reply_id":"1798726081488584713","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"waltuuuhr","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":88,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1798775652625338652","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1378743575471554563":{"id":"1378743575471554563","date":"2021-04-04 16:17:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@kairosdojo @2_7182818285 Can you point to good papers on this?\n\nI try to keep my eyes out, but everything I see is so awful it makes those eyes bleed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1378060878768185349","reply_id":"1378726946486554626","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"kairosdojo","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1378743575471554563","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1480210531600330752":{"id":"1480210531600330752","date":"2022-01-09 16:11:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jagmavi @DavidTaggart You could maybe think of it as an investment. Especially if you're early in your career, taking a few-months side-track to learn Python (or something) could easily improve your speed/efficiency/ability/hireability for the rest of your life.\n\nJust a thought.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1480090162184945664","reply_id":"1480210014522511366","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jagmavi","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1480210531600330752","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1511907807989100545":{"id":"1511907807989100545","date":"2022-04-07 03:24:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 @ryu_sigma Lifecycle of a firm.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1511873822756159488","reply_id":"1511898284536872961","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1511907807989100545","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1659033503370186753":{"id":"1659033503370186753","date":"2023-05-18 03:09:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xfbifemboy @Scholars_Stage I mean, it's not that complicated.\n\nOur economy is based on the fundamental assumption that gratifying our own desires is the highest calling one can have.\n\nAny disposable income that goes to someone else (i.e. one's kids) is a betrayal of that ideal.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1658850183629733890","reply_id":"1659032264737705991","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xfbifemboy","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":313,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1659033503370186753","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1286676669516754946":{"id":"1286676669516754946","date":"2020-07-24 14:56:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@danheld @michellevarron Um. Food? Toilets? Heat?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1286648194961743873","reply_id":"1286648194961743873","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"danheld","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1286676669516754946","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2029860982986588567":{"id":"2029860982986588567","date":"2026-03-06 10:05:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"We are all test-driven developers now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2029860982986588567","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":99,"retweets":5,"replies":10,"quotes":6,"views":9197,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2029860982986588567","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1629523797006241793":{"id":"1629523797006241793","date":"2023-02-25 16:48:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@godcomplex96 Good one!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1629522250205638656","reply_id":"1629523521842839553","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"godcomplex96","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1705,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1629523797006241793","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1828504443748315225":{"id":"1828504443748315225","date":"2024-08-27 18:46:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Holger Rune and FAA are having pretty similar trajectories. Loads of talent but can't put the ball in the court when it matters.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1828504443748315225","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1860,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1828504443748315225","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1377653878091444226":{"id":"1377653878091444226","date":"2021-04-01 16:07:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal What are you studying with this approach?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377482535463161856","reply_id":"1377652467844931591","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1377653878091444226","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1377391130191405056":{"id":"1377391130191405056","date":"2021-03-31 22:43:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal Let's play with the problem.\n\nLet's say I'm using returns from day 1 to day 1000 to predict day 1001.\n\nThen day 2 to day 1001 to predict day 1002.\n\nIs this a problem? If so how? Let's create some fake data and \"break\" the model. Let's explore!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377374179658436611","reply_id":"1377389999616708608","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1377391130191405056","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1784238948136694041":{"id":"1784238948136694041","date":"2024-04-27 15:11:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Snooker is great because it's the only sport that expects the crowd to do some math as a normal part of spectating.\n\n(To clap when the frame is won barring snookers.)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1784238948136694041","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":4818,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1784238948136694041","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1965429199675785659":{"id":"1965429199675785659","date":"2025-09-09 14:56:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@moreproteinbars @OneHotCode1 @macrocephalopod @__paleologo @TCK_JRubano @cullinan92619 @sdav1986 @KrisAbdelmessih @therobotjames @Gingfacekillah @bennpeifert @QuiteMidlife From the outside, people imagine it's all great code and beautiful abstractions and efficiency.\n\nFrom the inside everyone comes to realize that everyone else's stuff is also kinda shit but it works and you're just trying to constantly nudge it in a good direction.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1964696429425029328","reply_id":"1965428958331371763","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":19,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1409,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1965429199675785659","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2014336238455521289":{"id":"2014336238455521289","date":"2026-01-22 13:55:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Turns out Paul Erdos's biggest contribution to humanity was as an eval creator.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2014336238455521289","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":554,"retweets":34,"replies":10,"quotes":3,"views":50352,"bookmarks":45,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2014336238455521289","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1435003015782547459":{"id":"1435003015782547459","date":"2021-09-06 22:12:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mattyglesias After centuries of disappointment with other utopian schemes, this one's going to be utopia. And quick!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1435000451930460164","reply_id":"1435000451930460164","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mattyglesias","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1435003015782547459_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1435003015782547459","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1625984393692213254":{"id":"1625984393692213254","date":"2023-02-15 22:24:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"👇","hashtags":[],"conv":"1625984393692213254","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2835,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1625984393692213254","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1476786493108600832":{"id":"1476786493108600832","date":"2021-12-31 05:25:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @JDcarlu Fair enough but the implied rate you're borrowing the $ at (because it's non-recourse) probably isn't low.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476775525066571778","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476786493108600832","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1399019598192676867":{"id":"1399019598192676867","date":"2021-05-30 15:07:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Comp structures, just like fee structures, are about shifting incentives to create alignment. But there's a lot of haggling under the hood that looks an awful lot like options trading.\"\n\nSo few orgs understand this. Then they wonder why their ppl don't care @ work. Or leave.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1399019598192676867","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1399019598192676867","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1580325718860255235":{"id":"1580325718860255235","date":"2022-10-12 22:33:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brettharrison 😢","hashtags":[],"conv":"1580321850907070465","reply_id":"1580321850907070465","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BrettHarrison","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1580325718860255235","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1401680114824343552":{"id":"1401680114824343552","date":"2021-06-06 23:19:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @AnthonyLeeZhang @danielrock I have a vague sense this is one of those \"wrong questions\" things. In the sense that whatever it is you're doing, the answer to this question is an unlikely-to-be-useful approach.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1401672423330648064","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1401680114824343552","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1715474300793467125":{"id":"1715474300793467125","date":"2023-10-20 21:05:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 I think I would have been surprised it's better for senior people. I would have said senior people need so much more interaction/interpersonal. But it seems that's doable via Zoom, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1715378316646256991","reply_id":"1715473433403023824","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":638,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1715474300793467125","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1285356847696773121":{"id":"1285356847696773121","date":"2020-07-20 23:32:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vixologist @INVESTMENTSHULK Even in the minor scheme of things.\n\nI love how \"Hey, if we all just agree to keep buying, we'll all just make money!\" gets rediscovered every 20 years for the last... I dunno... 500 years or so?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1285346825503936512","reply_id":"1285356443835740167","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vixologist","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1285356847696773121","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1483814913919176706":{"id":"1483814913919176706","date":"2022-01-19 14:53:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HF_Trader @niy_yang Because seeing those spikes in real time makes all the difference. At least for me and everyone I know that's tried it.\n\nEveryone says the same thing as you until they use it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482113634499182598","reply_id":"1482128080235896840","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HF_Trader","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1483814913919176706","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1467945497616740355":{"id":"1467945497616740355","date":"2021-12-06 19:54:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@curious76208787 @NathanTankus Linear regression on a percentage then extrapolating (which is the point of doing it, after all) will lead you outside of 0% or 100% eventually.\n\nWhich is a strong indication that a linear fit is the wrong model.\n\nLogistic regression is fairly standard in these spots.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1467937002880442370","reply_id":"1467944919415373830","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"curious76208787","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1467945497616740355","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1809425785314505024":{"id":"1809425785314505024","date":"2024-07-06 03:14:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alz_zyd_ All the ones we're missing, and more.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1809420658155122765","reply_id":"1809420658155122765","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alz_zyd_","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":362,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1809425785314505024","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1869480815182451002":{"id":"1869480815182451002","date":"2024-12-18 20:32:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 Still can. o1.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1869474941818847657","reply_id":"1869474941818847657","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":136,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1869480815182451002","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1599421686864302080":{"id":"1599421686864302080","date":"2022-12-04 15:13:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin The last bit seems important. You'd need \"proofs of its own correctness\" somehow.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1599419574637584384","reply_id":"1599420218740441088","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1599421686864302080","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2080697275383239016":{"id":"2080697275383239016","date":"2026-07-24 16:51:02","author":"Antonio García Martínez (agm.eth)","handle":"antoniogm","text":"RT @antoniogm: Hung out with some frontier lab AI people last night, and it would seem some actually believe we are in the end times, eternal life is around the corner, and they're planning around the AGI apocalypse. I had to bite my lip and nod. \n\nRead Cohn on millenarian fanaticism (specifically the chapter on the Münster rebellion), and remember Vogelin's warning to not immanentize the eschaton. \n\nDuring times of political strife, every generation believes the Great Undoing is nigh, and the coming of the messiah will happen in their generation. When it doesn't happen (as it indeed never does), either the cult dissolves or the narrative is rewritten to postpone the date. This is essentially what happened with Christianity, as the Apostles assumed Christ was returning in their lifetimes during the very tumultuous first century. But they managed to rewrite the plot (there were a lot of competing messianic cults that died out at the time...Paul rescued the church). \n\nIt's also fascinating how very overtly secular people are re-enacting the religious narratives imprinted in their culture, unconsciously. One notes how in (non-Christian) China, where AI advances as quickly as here, you don't have the same anxiety around human extinction events, AI gods emerging, etc.\n\nRe-enacting the Christ myth through technology is exclusively Western. \n\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Pursuit-Millennium-Revolutionary-Millenarians-Anarchists/dp/0195004566","hashtags":[],"conv":"2080697275383239016","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2080687768590770475","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":32,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":346,"bookmarks":0,"media":["2080697275383239016_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/antoniogm/status/2080697275383239016"},"1587633398868164608":{"id":"1587633398868164608","date":"2022-11-02 02:31:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Pizza297 @CryptoNymph @therobotjames @TCK_JRubano I mean, it isn't *not* Turing complete...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1587569810850086912","reply_id":"1587632882943655936","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Pizza297","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1587633398868164608","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1415321038217355266":{"id":"1415321038217355266","date":"2021-07-14 14:43:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"15/ Think like a quant trader: the interview is your chance to backtest your hire before you run it in production.\n\nSure, ignoring borrow costs makes it look better in the backtest, but is it going to make $ in prod?\n\nHow about we build a better sim...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"1415321037097422851","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415321038217355266","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1900156862760169581":{"id":"1900156862760169581","date":"2025-03-13 12:07:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@shadow34458 I'm guessing the founders didn't either.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1899924985235243123","reply_id":"1900153036187500957","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"shadow34458","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":185,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1900156862760169581","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1153664450722799617":{"id":"1153664450722799617","date":"2019-07-23 13:53:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tylercowen James Bond's Goldfinger was so evil that British Intelligence had to get 007 on the case. His crime: arbitraging the gold price between UK and Pakistan. 😱","hashtags":[],"conv":"1153652582679797760","reply_id":"1153652582679797760","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tylercowen","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1153664450722799617","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1932702616129011828":{"id":"1932702616129011828","date":"2025-06-11 07:33:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FormulaDeltaOne Governance is probably upstream of a lot of proximal reasons like: a new job, lower housing costs, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1932689996772782102","reply_id":"1932700034090611146","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FormulaDeltaOne","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":391,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1932702616129011828","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1960944130101481579":{"id":"1960944130101481579","date":"2025-08-28 05:54:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@QuiteMidlife Nope.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1960887229292929508","reply_id":"1960887229292929508","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuiteMidlife","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":187,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1960944130101481579","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1307531489395920896":{"id":"1307531489395920896","date":"2020-09-20 04:06:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan I think you should redo this poll with 4 categories:\n-ill defined edge, i'm an amateur\n-ill defined edge, i'm a professional\n-psych, amateur\n-psych, pro\n\nYou'll see options 2 and 3 take the lion's share of the votes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1307509977075118084","reply_id":"1307509977075118084","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1307531489395920896","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1976741370304791004":{"id":"1976741370304791004","date":"2025-10-10 20:07:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Kind of surprised but not really at the amount of cope and incoherence from pro-PM ppl reacting to this IMO fairly obvious statement.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1976645088433656219","reply_id":"1976645088433656219","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":57,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":4663,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1976741370304791004","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1477343994157813761":{"id":"1477343994157813761","date":"2022-01-01 18:20:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan Agreed it doesn't have to be inconsistent.\n\nBut it *is* funny.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477340689532817410","reply_id":"1477343741065236481","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477343994157813761","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2033569699204649005":{"id":"2033569699204649005","date":"2026-03-16 15:42:52","author":"Coddled Affluent Professional","handle":"feelsdesperate","text":"The main purpose of people like ‘Noah Smith’ and ‘Matt Yglesias’ is to let you when there’s no longer any reputational cost for saying something.\n\nThey’ll hold their tongue and sit on their hands until the precise moment there’s no longer any social penalty for not doing so.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2033569699204649005","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2033998552956080578","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1935,"retweets":172,"replies":52,"quotes":10,"views":138720,"bookmarks":186,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/feelsdesperate/status/2033569699204649005"},"1776577551739113768":{"id":"1776577551739113768","date":"2024-04-06 11:47:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What's likelier?\n\n1. Laszlo Polgar single-handedly discovered and implemented a method to virtually guarantee producing world-class skill in any child.\n\nOR\n\n2. He had some perfectly reasonably theories of learning, but also happened to be the 1-in-N dad of born-chess-genius kids?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1776577551739113768","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":72,"retweets":1,"replies":12,"quotes":1,"views":15018,"bookmarks":36,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1776577551739113768","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1557798256238682112":{"id":"1557798256238682112","date":"2022-08-11 18:37:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nearcausality Will you find building it enjoyable?\n\nIf not buy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1557798105306873865","reply_id":"1557798105306873865","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nearcausality","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1557798256238682112","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1704338398990020978":{"id":"1704338398990020978","date":"2023-09-20 03:35:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@fractology @MinvstrD @OffTheRunTrades @FreestyleNapper 💪","hashtags":[],"conv":"1704254080192049183","reply_id":"1704337392046690379","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"fractology","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":31,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1704338398990020978","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1476930849996111876":{"id":"1476930849996111876","date":"2021-12-31 14:58:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@azakmay Love this. Definitely a problem that needs solving.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476925464824270848","reply_id":"1476930362181890051","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"azakmay","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476930849996111876","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2019708405947252974":{"id":"2019708405947252974","date":"2026-02-06 09:43:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Hey Elon, if permitting reform is so goddam hard, then fix permitting reform.\n\nI hate the whole \"let's just secede from the human world\" mindet that Balaji infected the world with.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2019708405947252974","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":42,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":4505,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2019708405947252974","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1583299976079110145":{"id":"1583299976079110145","date":"2022-10-21 03:31:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase I'd argue yes.\n\n\"Predict short squeezes and make them worse.\" feels like an icky trade to me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1583277941156245504","reply_id":"1583298968280535043","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1583299976079110145","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1964326030799155358":{"id":"1964326030799155358","date":"2025-09-06 13:53:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@andre_antunes Who? Surely not gov't regulation.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1964303250875695233","reply_id":"1964318372088164724","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"andre_antunes","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":408,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1964326030799155358","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1918973836898271523":{"id":"1918973836898271523","date":"2025-05-04 10:19:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@airkatakana Almost word-for-word my prompt too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1918961424073642222","reply_id":"1918961424073642222","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"airkatakana","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":583,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1918973836898271523","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1372370492468830209":{"id":"1372370492468830209","date":"2021-03-18 02:13:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @robbevantillo I expect the 1-day returns are going to be indistinguishable from 0. But the thing is that -0.46 kind of might be too because of error bars.\n\nCheck this out:\n\nhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pearson_correlation_coefficient#Using_the_Fisher_transformation","hashtags":[],"conv":"1372362211688079363","reply_id":"1372369141068410884","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":3,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":["1372370492468830209_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1372370492468830209","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1451929377004945413":{"id":"1451929377004945413","date":"2021-10-23 15:11:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Genies never get put back into bottles.\n\nUseful knowledge always expands to fill available brains precisely in proportion to its usefulness.\n\nBad guy super-weapons won't die just because the bad guy died.\n\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"1451929369132158977","reply_id":"1451929375654350849","quote_id":"1636964723672637442","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1451929377004945413","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1905518603278901746":{"id":"1905518603278901746","date":"2025-03-28 07:13:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Jon Lovitz as the guest star on this month's infosec compliance training video is... something.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1905518603278901746","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1370,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1905518603278901746","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1847622520817529216":{"id":"1847622520817529216","date":"2024-10-19 12:55:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@W98AB Yeah, I knew about the downsides going in so it's fine.\n\nAmazing that to buy a sofa in CZ, you have 3 choices:\n- Order something from a showroom, takes 6 weeks to arrive.\n- Order something online, takes 2 weeks but you can't sit on it first.\n- IKEA.\n\nGuess what wins a lot...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847610792113316169","reply_id":"1847622035142320422","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"W98AB","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":377,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847622520817529216","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2018397943976362098":{"id":"2018397943976362098","date":"2026-02-02 18:55:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If you're a bit-manipulation product and you don't offer API access, you're extremely NGMI.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2018397943976362098","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":5050,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2018397943976362098","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1455621149581144064":{"id":"1455621149581144064","date":"2021-11-02 19:41:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @therobotjames @ryxcommar One of my favorite interview questions:\n\nCorr(A,B) = 0.9\nCorr(B,C) = 0.9\n\nWhat are the bounds on Corr(A,C)?\n\nThe geometric intuition makes this question pretty darn easy. Otherwise the math is... annoying.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1455542144207257600","reply_id":"1455542144207257600","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1455621149581144064","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2009599831585808846":{"id":"2009599831585808846","date":"2026-01-09 12:15:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In Czech, the term for \"vocabulary\" is literally \"word stockpile\". 🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"2009599831585808846","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":4053,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2009599831585808846","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1973637434706702571":{"id":"1973637434706702571","date":"2025-10-02 06:33:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Basically all of this. I despair that it's not fixable.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1973637434706702571","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":51,"retweets":2,"replies":8,"quotes":1,"views":11360,"bookmarks":23,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1973637434706702571","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1382883030226800640":{"id":"1382883030226800640","date":"2021-04-16 02:26:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_fabriciovsa If so, that's your route.\n\nIf you care about the other stuff, the public face, the having lots of $ to manage, big teams to run. Then banks are your thing. Or HFs, though that's a pretty heterogeneous world.\n\nBut HFs still have to raise $, so there's some of it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"1382882627019935744","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382883030226800640","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1746104161538826425":{"id":"1746104161538826425","date":"2024-01-13 09:37:27","author":"major","handle":"xmgnr","text":"taking padel lessons for months has changed my perspective on talent vs work\n\nhard pill to swallow but i dont think any amt of training will turn me into a great player \n\ntalented ppl over attribute practice to their success bc they dont know what not having talent feels like","hashtags":[],"conv":"1746104161538826425","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1746201084543332691","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":82,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":2,"views":20155,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/xmgnr/status/1746104161538826425"},"1755678983046500593":{"id":"1755678983046500593","date":"2024-02-08 19:44:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@flowidealism https://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1663216020893630466","hashtags":[],"conv":"1755672768765403206","reply_id":"1755672768765403206","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"flowidealism","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":36,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1755678983046500593","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1543283645544247296":{"id":"1543283645544247296","date":"2022-07-02 17:21:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Seeing my kids learn math right now I'm struck by a new thought:\n\nLearning elementary algebra is the process of learning that all the arithmetic you learned for numbers ALSO works exactly the same for expressions!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1543283645544247296","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1543283645544247296","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1942138445259768068":{"id":"1942138445259768068","date":"2025-07-07 08:27:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"26/ Door #2 (only increase their bonus by ~50%) isn't any better, since they'll realize they don't have the profit sensitivity they thought they did (and maybe were promised).\n\nThey might leave for higher-beta pastures.\n\nSure enough, many of them did.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942138328930742770","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":118,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":16848,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942138445259768068","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1571316518125965312":{"id":"1571316518125965312","date":"2022-09-18 01:53:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih Well, he's not grinding on it or anything.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1571304868220108800","reply_id":"1571307132380938240","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1571316518125965312","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1585407244589764613":{"id":"1585407244589764613","date":"2022-10-26 23:05:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"7/ The task is to create tools that let the machine understand human intent better while simultaneously prompting the human to think more and more clearly about the problem.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1585407235311964168","reply_id":"1585407241657589760","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1585407244589764613","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1533977354329960448":{"id":"1533977354329960448","date":"2022-06-07 01:01:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SuperMugatu And your job as a grinder is to keep them that way: fun, entertaining. You're providing a service to the tourists, and the better you do at that the more they'll keep coming back.\n\nShow me a sour poker pro and I'll show you a bad one. The arrow of causation goes both ways.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1533973174144098305","reply_id":"1533973174144098305","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SuperMugatu","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1533977354329960448","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2045598455767220552":{"id":"2045598455767220552","date":"2026-04-18 20:20:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Best songs to drive around a large city at night on your own. I'll go first.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1QkpGMN_C4\n\n@therobotjames you're up.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2045598455767220552","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":7082,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2045598455767220552","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1382712343985938435":{"id":"1382712343985938435","date":"2021-04-15 15:08:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mapochamp If you're the 3rd best player in the world at some obscure chess variant, I'd want to talk to you.\n\nThe generalizable point: being unique and awesome at non-trading things is probably your best bet.\n\nBut it ain't easy, not by a long shot.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"1382710077287710727","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mapochamp","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382712343985938435","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1593631245723791361":{"id":"1593631245723791361","date":"2022-11-18 15:44:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I've crapped on no-code solutions a few times, and I stand by those targeted defecations. 💩\n\nBut I have a very small and simple side-project that *should* be ideal for some no-code thing.\n\nSo please, pitch me your favorite no-code tool which: 👉👉👉","hashtags":[],"conv":"1593631245723791361","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1593631245723791361","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1448100765138964482":{"id":"1448100765138964482","date":"2021-10-13 01:38:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@drewg__ @therobotjames I have (mostly unfounded) suspicions that RenTec derived a lot from Thorp in their early days.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448086924330246151","reply_id":"1448100288901091331","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bookdepth","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448100765138964482","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1471232470150311941":{"id":"1471232470150311941","date":"2021-12-15 21:35:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JasonWaang Why crazy?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471194751756083207","reply_id":"1471194751756083207","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JasonWaang","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471232470150311941","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1546190013410336769":{"id":"1546190013410336769","date":"2022-07-10 17:50:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih I've seen it successfully ported into software development for schedule prediction.\n\n(Note: this is a harder problem than it seems because many stakeholders often don't want to know the real numbers.)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546177614213107713","reply_id":"1546177614213107713","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546190013410336769","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1415321039186235393":{"id":"1415321039186235393","date":"2021-07-14 14:43:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"16/ Ok, that takes care of (A) Matching. On to…\n\nB. Figuring out value.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"1415321038217355266","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415321039186235393","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1904073085264818379":{"id":"1904073085264818379","date":"2025-03-24 07:29:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@optionsly Installing a free app is free. The question is are they willing to pay for it?\n\nIt converts to paid users at a ~5% rate, IIUC the numbers correctly. Not exactly PMF.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1903890591089381565","reply_id":"1903907103624061017","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"optionsly","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":59,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1904073085264818379","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1822010060522058230":{"id":"1822010060522058230","date":"2024-08-09 20:40:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@yieldcurvepro Does feel a bit high.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1822005352805888480","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":202,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1822010060522058230","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2028296714902225200":{"id":"2028296714902225200","date":"2026-03-02 02:29:55","author":"Michael Glynn","handle":"realmikeglynn","text":"If you're going to use their carrier as a way to dunk on the French, I don't think you could come up with a less effective method. \n\nFrance is in a small club, one of only three nations to have a catapult and barrier arrested (i.e., CATOBAR) carrier. Here's why it matters. ⬇️ \n\nFirst, the FS Charles de Gaulle (R91) is nuclear powered. There's only 12 nuclear carriers in the world, 11 operated by the U.S., one by the French, and some under construction by China. A nuclear powered carrier is a massive advantage compared to conventional power. Fast and nearly unlimited range - more importantly, all the space that could be taken up by the carrier's fuel is given over to more jet fuel and munitions.\n\nSecond, a CATOBAR carrier has two major advantages from short takeoff barrier arrested landing (STOBAR) \"ski-jump\" carriers operated by the Chinese and Indian navies. First, catapults allow you to launch airborne early warning and control (AEW&C) aircraft like the E-2 Hawkeye. An AWE&C platform provides massive advantage in command, control, air warfare, self-defense, and overall effectiveness. Second, the combo of the catapult and wires allow strike fighters to carry meaningful payload beyond light air defense load-outs. It's the difference between an anti-air focused role like the Soviet/Russian Kuznetsov class vs. a true strike capability.\n\nThird, the French enjoy a very close and collaborative relationship with the U.S. Navy. French carrier aviators are trained by the U.S. at Naval Air Station Meridian, MS and the collaboration extends so far that French jets have carrier qualified and operated aboard U.S. carriers. In 2018 while the Charles de Gaulle was in planned maintenance, French Rafale crews embarked onboard the USS George H. W. Bush (CVN-77) along with CVW-8 to conduct training and maintain proficiency while their carrier was unavailable. It's difficult to understate how beneficial the close tie-in with U.S. carrier aviation is. \n\nFourth, the French Air Wing maintains access to a unique capability today, a carrier-based nuclear weapon. The Rafale carries the ASMPA supersonic, nuclear cruise missile. Notably, the French recently exercise the capability, using a French Navy Rafale from Landivisiau Naval Air Base in Brittany.\n\nAt the end of the day, the de Gaulle and the French Air Wing are impressive capabilities. If one is  using them as the butt of a joke, it's more indicative of one's lack of awareness than it is anything else. Freedom fries jokes lost their cache around 20 years ago. The de Gaulle and its Air Wing are a niche but impressive capability.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2028296714902225200","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2028389949003702593","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4017,"retweets":388,"replies":97,"quotes":34,"views":534042,"bookmarks":338,"media":["2028296714902225200_1.jpg","2028296714902225200_2.jpg","2028296714902225200_3.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/realmikeglynn/status/2028296714902225200"},"1346863605812064256":{"id":"1346863605812064256","date":"2021-01-06 16:58:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"39/ Ah much better.\n\nProblem 2: why are the put IVs almost always higher than the call IVs? Remember, our put-call-parity lesson from yesterday tells us that they should be the same.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346863604130201602","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346863605812064256","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2079094941972644177":{"id":"2079094941972644177","date":"2026-07-20 06:43:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Seems like LLMs are now good at frontier math disproofs. I wonder how big a jump it is to proofs. And then to constructive proofs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2079094941972644177","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":296,"retweets":5,"replies":12,"quotes":3,"views":19777,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2079094941972644177","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1851546725229498510":{"id":"1851546725229498510","date":"2024-10-30 08:48:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ekrii3 Studying-as-stenography.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1851536260890030081","reply_id":"1851536260890030081","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ekrii3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":733,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1851546725229498510","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1637264725292777473":{"id":"1637264725292777473","date":"2023-03-19 01:28:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Also true for React in front-end development, and generally any intellectual framework that's subject to market forces.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1637263353814069248","reply_id":"1637263353814069248","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2886,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1637264725292777473","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1591208406450589696":{"id":"1591208406450589696","date":"2022-11-11 23:17:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ScottPh77711570 @therobotjames Maybe yes?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1591203526092664832","reply_id":"1591208139965497344","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ScottPh77711570","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1591208406450589696","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1507085189238833157":{"id":"1507085189238833157","date":"2022-03-24 20:01:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@104sd Note that it converges eventually to Nash equilibria and such.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507066124050976784","reply_id":"1507076430848483332","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"104sd","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507085189238833157","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2059209890128662970":{"id":"2059209890128662970","date":"2026-05-26 09:47:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This prospect is utterly terrifying.\n\nA bunch of newly-rich young autists funding whatever parochial non-profit ideas cross their mind? Oh boy.\n\nConsider the case of MacKenzie Scott, newly-rich due to marriage/divorce, funding an embarrassing set of grifty political causes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2059209890128662970","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":225,"retweets":6,"replies":15,"quotes":1,"views":54340,"bookmarks":49,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2059209890128662970","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2041680971947491821":{"id":"2041680971947491821","date":"2026-04-08 00:54:10","author":"LinaHua","handle":"Linahuaa","text":"The whole Mythos cyber security story is likely just a psyop to have an excuse to not serve frontier models to the public.\n\nReasoning:\n1) Other labs can't distill it.\nIt's annoying when you have a dominant SOTA model, and 2 months later Chinese labs sell the same SOTA model for 1/50th of the cost\n\n2) Compute constraints- so you have to choose between enterprise and vibe coders.\nEnterprise have like 1% monthly churn.\nVibe coders cry and threaten to have their mommy buy them a mac mini for local models whenever their rate limits are cut.\n\n3) Big enterprise pay a hefty premium for slightly better performance and corporate polish.\n\nDario wears suits and is reliable.\nSam is a compulsive liar.\nChinese models are politically a no-no.\nxAI seems to focus more on hentai-gen.\nGoogle seems to focus more on defending their ads moat + consumer distribution.\n\nAnthropic has a quasi-monopoly on enterprise and can charge quasi-monopoly prices \n(which explains their ARR)\n\nThey HATE you. They don't want anything to do with you.\nBut they can't say it, so they of course have to be like: \"Mythos is a very bad h4ck0r! We can't give you Mythos cuz u gonna get h4cked!\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"2041680971947491821","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2041772405027184844","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1976,"retweets":109,"replies":89,"quotes":30,"views":251352,"bookmarks":448,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Linahuaa/status/2041680971947491821"},"1546931779000406016":{"id":"1546931779000406016","date":"2022-07-12 18:57:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"19/ Sometimes I still make this mistake! But why is it an error?\n\n➡️Don’t underestimate the importance of priors!⬅️\n\nThe thing about markets is that (a) sure there’s a lot of data, but (b) almost all of it is noise.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546931744426758145","reply_id":"1546931777708572672","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546931779000406016","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1602095543236186113":{"id":"1602095543236186113","date":"2022-12-12 00:18:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bookdepth I think so. The key is service IMO.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602009534314184711","reply_id":"1602095017417670656","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bookdepth","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1602095543236186113","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1562862205795610625":{"id":"1562862205795610625","date":"2022-08-25 17:59:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Seriously, go read about the human immune system. It's the most glorious, baroque, jankiest system imaginable.\n\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Immune-Kurzgesagt-gorgeously-illustrated-immune-ebook/dp/B08YR8FNCP","hashtags":[],"conv":"1562857778816774146","reply_id":"1562858144199413761","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1562862205795610625","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1390450373417000963":{"id":"1390450373417000963","date":"2021-05-06 23:36:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"After a year of having meetings with the \"hidden\" superpower of being able to Google anything in 3 seconds, it's difficult to go back to in-person meetings.\n\nYou just feel (and probably seem) dumber.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1390450373417000963","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1390450373417000963","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1601644606315458560":{"id":"1601644606315458560","date":"2022-12-10 18:26:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I must be the last person on Earth who doesn't know the pill-color <-> meaning mapping.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1601644606315458560","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1601644606315458560","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1561921284480462848":{"id":"1561921284480462848","date":"2022-08-23 03:40:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@l_thorizon Definitely!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1411890038938345472","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1561921284480462848","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1465453966183993345":{"id":"1465453966183993345","date":"2021-11-29 22:53:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 Yeah but what about the loan ponzi?\n\nRepay loans with other slightly larger loans. Walk away with the biggest one.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1465452032874135555","reply_id":"1465452034547662854","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1465453966183993345","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1791115802286174709":{"id":"1791115802286174709","date":"2024-05-16 14:37:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Reader3998 I do.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1791106708993188280","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":294,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1791115802286174709","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2057530040397504789":{"id":"2057530040397504789","date":"2026-05-21 18:32:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Netflix should buy the rights to and reboot Too Many Cooks.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2057530040397504789","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2777,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2057530040397504789","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1503884581900111873":{"id":"1503884581900111873","date":"2022-03-16 00:03:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Every piece of hiring advice you see on LinkedIn.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503884581900111873","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1503884581900111873_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1503884581900111873","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2058205243914039574":{"id":"2058205243914039574","date":"2026-05-23 15:15:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Are those indications in the room with us now, NYTimes?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2058205243914039574","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2656,"bookmarks":1,"media":["2058205243914039574_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2058205243914039574","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1245936060405710852":{"id":"1245936060405710852","date":"2020-04-03 04:47:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz I'm blushing!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1245933639751233536","reply_id":"1245933639751233536","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1245936060405710852","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1600510899445719041":{"id":"1600510899445719041","date":"2022-12-07 15:21:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jgreco @crypto","hashtags":[],"conv":"1600468895139348482","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1600510899445719041_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1600510899445719041","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1789383730748072013":{"id":"1789383730748072013","date":"2024-05-11 19:55:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Someone in the 2060s is going to do a similar video about Oakland.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1789383730748072013","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4550,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1789383730748072013","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1700251829878284317":{"id":"1700251829878284317","date":"2023-09-08 20:56:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Was nice of Djoko to at least take off his warmups as a courtesy to his opponent.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1700251829878284317","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1799,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1700251829878284317","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1778886898770956633":{"id":"1778886898770956633","date":"2024-04-12 20:44:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"How is it possible for Fernando Alonso's English to be *SO* bad after two decades of speaking it daily? Accent and grammar.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1778886898770956633","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":6830,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1778886898770956633","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1416565108688388098":{"id":"1416565108688388098","date":"2021-07-18 01:06:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SamWMcAlpine @KrisAbdelmessih Any good references on what the path forward looks like for modern reactor technologies?\n\nI.e. what's it going to take for a real country to take a crack at deploying these at scale? It's just so maddening...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1416535386390736897","reply_id":"1416538930669932545","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SamWMcAlpine","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1416565108688388098","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1537226268785004545":{"id":"1537226268785004545","date":"2022-06-16 00:11:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @bookdepth I cannot.\n\nSeriously, floats are terrifying.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1537219779450261504","reply_id":"1537220233572028422","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1537226268785004545","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1612934741413736449":{"id":"1612934741413736449","date":"2023-01-10 22:09:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"ChatGPT: Down right now.\nES futures: Unched.\nWorld GDP: Unaffected?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1612934741413736449","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3081,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1612934741413736449","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1987933464885166210":{"id":"1987933464885166210","date":"2025-11-10 17:20:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Not a novel thought, but what's the OpenAI moat?\n\nGOOG/Anthro are right there. Open source is 3-6mo behind and has been for at least a few OOMs of improvement. Why would this stop?\n\nLooking at the trillion dollar companies' moats:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1987933464885166210","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":137,"retweets":0,"replies":18,"quotes":1,"views":17414,"bookmarks":34,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1987933464885166210","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1542723238676942849":{"id":"1542723238676942849","date":"2022-07-01 04:14:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LouStagner Relatedly, the 75th ranked player in 1962 wouldn't be able to make a D1 college team today.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542722660358144001","reply_id":"1542722660358144001","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"LouStagner","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1542723238676942849","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1420179075386150913":{"id":"1420179075386150913","date":"2021-07-28 00:27:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OneBigOh Not a lot of hills I'm willing to die on but \"Trying to simulate THE WHOLE MARKET as a way to make $ trading is dumb.\" is definitely one of them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420131145669169153","reply_id":"1420178620304138246","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420179075386150913","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1458619173861429253":{"id":"1458619173861429253","date":"2021-11-11 02:14:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Pretty sure I don't know how to do that, whatever it is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1458450737185181706","reply_id":"1458616249739407363","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1458619173861429253","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1402066050229805061":{"id":"1402066050229805061","date":"2021-06-08 00:52:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LouStagner At what putting distance is the biggest difference in strokes-to-hole-out between a pro and say a 5hcap?\n\nI'm guessing it's 5ft.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1402064972407054338","reply_id":"1402064972407054338","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"LouStagner","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1402066050229805061","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1693694715135394102":{"id":"1693694715135394102","date":"2023-08-21 18:41:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Yes. And the IMO reason is interesting.\n\n1. Most points in tennis are won with opponent errors. Even at the pro level. So much so that we actually count \"won\" points as a stat (aces and winners). The name of the game is to make the opponent uncomfortable enough to produce errors.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1693694715135394102","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":2,"views":4622,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1693694715135394102","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1436124085470183430":{"id":"1436124085470183430","date":"2021-09-10 00:27:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames","hashtags":[],"conv":"1436106099489337348","reply_id":"1436117483748945929","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1436124085470183430_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1436124085470183430","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1629705828717711362":{"id":"1629705828717711362","date":"2023-02-26 04:52:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I think I'm going to retweet this a few times before all is said and done.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1629705828717711362","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3332,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1629705828717711362","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1471155694048989185":{"id":"1471155694048989185","date":"2021-12-15 16:30:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"9/ Or maybe it’s actually a normative statement.\n\n“OHM may or may not go to zero, but this is a crappy way to build a business/ecosystem/whatever. It *shouldn’t* work.”","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471155685547118594","reply_id":"1471155692983623688","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471155694048989185","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1501713744702803969":{"id":"1501713744702803969","date":"2022-03-10 00:17:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @M1tchRosenthal Yeah, this a better way to make the point I'm trying to make.\n\nThe way I think about research is that I need a good generative reason to think there's an effect before looking at data. YMMV but time is valuable and you can go crazy studying \"observed\" wisdoms. I've been there. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"1501712914876870656","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":29,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501713744702803969","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1300274759708545025":{"id":"1300274759708545025","date":"2020-08-31 03:30:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Language is the operating system for the mind... One of the uses of language is as a query you run over your own memory.\"\n\n@fchollet is still *somehow* underrated as a thinker.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1300274759708545025","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1300274759708545025","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1722433220774690856":{"id":"1722433220774690856","date":"2023-11-09 01:57:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DaltonDEmery Given that most humans are overconfident most of the time, that's probably a good thing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1722314931780173953","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":106,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1722433220774690856","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1427815909607890950":{"id":"1427815909607890950","date":"2021-08-18 02:13:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @andrewjleone @nbactavis @snarkyzk @_Dave__White_ @bennpeifert @Mephisto731 @sks01119 @danrobinson @AlexisGauba @aparnalocked @opyn_ Disagree. I think being long it could be very attractive to retail punters.\n\n\"3x leverage without the downside!\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1427652305009004545","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1427815909607890950","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1714385558347330001":{"id":"1714385558347330001","date":"2023-10-17 20:59:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"We are awful at the only job we have. But there is no consequence for us because we have a monopoly. Too bad for you.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1714385558347330001","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2284,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1714385558347330001_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1714385558347330001","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1434989272147267585":{"id":"1434989272147267585","date":"2021-09-06 21:17:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @KrisAbdelmessih @ReformedTrader @nope_its_lily @vgr Yeah, you're probably right that they're learning useful things.\n\nI watch my 10-year-old play Factorio and I *know* he's doing good things with his time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434963956599193601","reply_id":"1434988907435806723","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434989272147267585","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1483508270559940608":{"id":"1483508270559940608","date":"2022-01-18 18:35:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's really quite funny that *organic* means \"covalently-bonded carbon-containing molecules\"\n\nAND\n\n\"arbitrarily defined food production methods which you can charge more for by labeling as such\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1483508270559940608","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1483508270559940608","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1415321031233785859":{"id":"1415321031233785859","date":"2021-07-14 14:43:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"8/ This is harder than it seems, and you see lots of companies play games.\n\n- Artificial hoops to jump through\n- Worthless “culture fit” interviews\n- Or making a point to show the rock-climbing gym next door that everyone belongs to.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"1415321030172692480","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415321031233785859","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1668339394292641793":{"id":"1668339394292641793","date":"2023-06-12 19:28:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Replit writes Replit in Replit.\n\nUltimate awesome.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1668339394292641793","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3092,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1668339394292641793","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1593069844949512192":{"id":"1593069844949512192","date":"2022-11-17 02:33:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal If you're doing multivariate stuff, you probably want to get familiar with matrix math. Essential tools for the job.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1593068285364686848","reply_id":"1593069500785913857","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1593069844949512192","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1377076666753712131":{"id":"1377076666753712131","date":"2021-03-31 01:53:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HF_Trader The key to a newsletter is to charge an outrageous amount for it.\n\nIt's the Nigerian scam principle. Make it outrageous on purpose. That way if anyone actually buys in, you *know* they're a sucker.\n\nNote: this principle explains most of early-stage venture funding too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377075878119759874","reply_id":"1377075878119759874","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HF_Trader","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1377076666753712131","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1270522853889171458":{"id":"1270522853889171458","date":"2020-06-10 01:07:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"With everyone piling into #stonks these days, you'd think my book The Laws Of Trading would be useful.\n\nProbably not though. The message \"If you don't have any edge, you shouldn't be trading\" just can't compete with \"Buy! Everything always goes up!\"","hashtags":["stonks"],"conv":"1270522853889171458","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1270522853889171458","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1708652662554800149":{"id":"1708652662554800149","date":"2023-10-02 01:18:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@matthew_haskell @nabeelqu Super good point!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1708634500627071002","reply_id":"1708651747424743534","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"matthew_haskell","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":4908,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1708652662554800149","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1597980749335916546":{"id":"1597980749335916546","date":"2022-11-30 15:47:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin @0xdoug But the point is you *have* to fix it. 99% of users won't bother and just blindly copy/believe the result.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597978345345789953","reply_id":"1597979576713752576","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597980749335916546","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1286705510205423616":{"id":"1286705510205423616","date":"2020-07-24 16:51:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih I'm going to start calling this the Maslow cognitive bias.\n\nWhatever level of needs you're at, you:\n(a) Just forget there exist people at levels below you AND\n(b) Think the people at levels above you are jerks for having it better than you.\n\nhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maslow's_hierarchy_of_needs","hashtags":[],"conv":"1286703174598852610","reply_id":"1286703174598852610","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1286705510205423616","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2074555779399430613":{"id":"2074555779399430613","date":"2026-07-07 18:06:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Best World Cup comeback ever?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2074555779399430613","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":65,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":1,"views":9882,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2074555779399430613","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1926733571365929022":{"id":"1926733571365929022","date":"2025-05-25 20:14:15","author":"Yaron (Ron) Minsky","handle":"yminsky","text":"I've been talking with @avsm about this, and he makes a cool point about OCaml and AI-assisted programming. Which is that OCaml's beautiful interface language gives you a nice way to interact with an agent: first make mli's, then write implementations.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1926733571365929022","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1926908615589319051","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":55,"retweets":7,"replies":3,"quotes":2,"views":9894,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/yminsky/status/1926733571365929022"},"1498401966908579845":{"id":"1498401966908579845","date":"2022-02-28 20:57:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @lightspringfox @TCK_JRubano @nope_its_lily @M1tchRosenthal @experquisite @macrocephalopod @therobotjames @NotQuiteMidlife @fed_speak Yowza. Very little!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1340471352348848134","reply_id":"1498390997012971520","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1498401966908579845","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1265298546225319936":{"id":"1265298546225319936","date":"2020-05-26 15:07:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Foulke_David @choffstein Feynman Lectures on Physics is the perfect example of that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1265287336729944064","reply_id":"1265298128300892164","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Foulke_David","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1265298546225319936","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1535401379979702272":{"id":"1535401379979702272","date":"2022-06-10 23:19:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ksidiii Note: this was *very* early in my career so you may want to discount my perceptions accordingly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1535400249648455681","reply_id":"1535401232646275072","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1535401379979702272","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1584623214172381184":{"id":"1584623214172381184","date":"2022-10-24 19:09:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SpencerBosma @darjohn25 ✅","hashtags":[],"conv":"1584618447056818176","reply_id":"1584618637075574784","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SpencerBosma","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1584623214172381184","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1770881393503187368":{"id":"1770881393503187368","date":"2024-03-21 18:33:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 @quantymacro @QuantumHoneybee Exactly. The first time you see the Fourier transform your immediate reaction (unless you've done music (esp electronic music) before) is \"but... why?\"\n\nThen you learn why it's so damn useful.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1770672498603905065","reply_id":"1770879757066043821","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":226,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1770881393503187368","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1601302172234223616":{"id":"1601302172234223616","date":"2022-12-09 19:46:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano Interested to hear what you come up with...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1601298107634835456","reply_id":"1601301594964131840","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1601302172234223616","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1732193514514162096":{"id":"1732193514514162096","date":"2023-12-06 00:21:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JayaBajpai17 @brettharrison I hold a very minority view among my fellow traders that no, retail should not be allowed to trade ridiculous ETNs like VXX, let along options on them!\n\nVXX options: options on a swap of a basket of futures of an index of options on an index of equities. 👍","hashtags":[],"conv":"1732132770984624129","reply_id":"1732189688918864250","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JayaBajpai17","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":969,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1732193514514162096","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2078479364144923020":{"id":"2078479364144923020","date":"2026-07-18 13:57:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The latest (and last) post in my series on how it feels when your weird little hobby takes over the world.\n\nhttps://reducibleerrors.com/weird-hobby-4/","hashtags":[],"conv":"2078479364144923020","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":48,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":13193,"bookmarks":45,"media":["2078479364144923020_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2078479364144923020","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1743317729149591876":{"id":"1743317729149591876","date":"2024-01-05 17:05:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Not with a bang, but with a whimper.\n\nhttps://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-67881300","hashtags":[],"conv":"1743317729149591876","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1764,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1743317729149591876","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1709189849662832898":{"id":"1709189849662832898","date":"2023-10-03 12:53:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 How much you got? :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1708853591254221301","reply_id":"1709100786675077120","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":155,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1709189849662832898","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1354884595724869634":{"id":"1354884595724869634","date":"2021-01-28 20:10:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@svrnco @RobinhoodApp In this case I'm worried the cure is worse than the disease.\n\nThe inevitable crash is a known risk to everyone. \"Billionaires gaming the system\" BS wasn't.\n\nThe complaints of powerful people cheating and stealing sound awfully familiar...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1354847940121153536","reply_id":"1354847940121153536","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"svrnco","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1354884595724869634","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1583277945996517377":{"id":"1583277945996517377","date":"2022-10-21 02:04:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"You get to define \"fair value\" any way you want, as long as it's a martingale in the risk-neutral measure.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1583277941156245504","reply_id":"1583277944939589633","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1583277945996517377","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1423021003286859778":{"id":"1423021003286859778","date":"2021-08-04 20:40:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lightspringfox It's not even close.\n\nLike 5:1 if you're building your own infra, I think.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1423020340117049344","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1423021003286859778","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1583120655288963072":{"id":"1583120655288963072","date":"2022-10-20 15:39:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ALBACapMgmt @therobotjames @macrocephalopod @QuantPrincess Blagging is a skill that you can train too!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1582759573764833280","reply_id":"1582996078261329920","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ALBACapMgmt","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1583120655288963072","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1736121659340566881":{"id":"1736121659340566881","date":"2023-12-16 20:30:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I find it interesting how much trouble Western media is having labeling Javier Milei.\n\n\"Far-right\" seems to be what they're settling on, even though he has almost nothing in common with, say, Viktor Orban.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1736121659340566881","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":4212,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1736121659340566881","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1530642193500676096":{"id":"1530642193500676096","date":"2022-05-28 20:08:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Well, what a bunch of pessimists y'all are.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1530642193500676096","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1530642193500676096","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1470877544211570696":{"id":"1470877544211570696","date":"2021-12-14 22:05:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AlexClouse @balajis No doubt it's cyclical. I just worry that we've been conditioned by the last 70 years of Western stability to think that the peaks and troughs are shallower than they actually are.\n\nDamascus was once a prosperous and vibrant international city. Not that long ago either.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1470874084300890112","reply_id":"1470877205790138376","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"lesser_fool","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1470877544211570696","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1812170401226916095":{"id":"1812170401226916095","date":"2024-07-13 17:01:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Pre-empting replies: yes, even if you lose EVERY point you drop-shot serve, it can still be +EV to do it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1812170179910177144","reply_id":"1812170179910177144","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1476,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1812170401226916095","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1517309245263253504":{"id":"1517309245263253504","date":"2022-04-22 01:08:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @therobotjames Not with that uppercase...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1517286231654080514","reply_id":"1517306899401613314","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1517309245263253504","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1507905714500427780":{"id":"1507905714500427780","date":"2022-03-27 02:21:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_Dave__White_ Google Sheets is a cry for help from the devs and PMs running it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507903174325145601","reply_id":"1507903174325145601","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_Dave__White_","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507905714500427780","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2079471884685529520":{"id":"2079471884685529520","date":"2026-07-21 07:41:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Fascinating how the Guardian reporting on Nicaragua's Daniel Ortega eliminating elections doesn't mention anywhere that he's a socialist.\n\n🤔\n\nhttps://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jul/20/nicaraguas-president-says-country-will-not-hold-any-more-elections","hashtags":[],"conv":"2079471884685529520","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3719,"bookmarks":1,"media":["2079471884685529520_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2079471884685529520","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1496336427336232960":{"id":"1496336427336232960","date":"2022-02-23 04:09:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"When future generations look back on the 21st century, the two-faced sanctimonious brilliance of Phil's six-paragraph non-apology apology will shine as a beacon of hope for all those looking to put a PR fiasco behind them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1496336427336232960","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1496336427336232960","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1517305607375622144":{"id":"1517305607375622144","date":"2022-04-22 00:53:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @therobotjames In fairness to your phone, what was the likeliest thing you were going to write starting with \"Ba\"?\n\n🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1517286231654080514","reply_id":"1517302154905604096","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1517305607375622144","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1431393834135547905":{"id":"1431393834135547905","date":"2021-08-27 23:10:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JaySinh68681549 @mostovic Who cares enough to want create a universally applicable definition of \"athlete\"?\n\nFeels like a quixotic 19th century era desire.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1431366027498213376","reply_id":"1431389544784568329","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"temfr13","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1431393834135547905","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1546316893488721921":{"id":"1546316893488721921","date":"2022-07-11 02:14:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I just hope I'm not infecting my kids with the same.\nThey deserve at least a chance to change the script.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546316455645310981","reply_id":"1546316455645310981","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546316893488721921","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1783991787897626632":{"id":"1783991787897626632","date":"2024-04-26 22:49:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih ✅\n\nFiller like \"working out, reading the Economist\" is a definite negative signal.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1783972821930250326","reply_id":"1783972821930250326","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1043,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1783991787897626632","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1839361049226784775":{"id":"1839361049226784775","date":"2024-09-26 17:47:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Sbhowmick23 If you force me to say something you can actually use, Rust.\n\nBut once an Ocaml homer, always one. JS's zero-allocation extensions are 🔥, doubt they're going to open source that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1839331135849218449","reply_id":"1839360428444717541","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MithrilBot","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":215,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1839361049226784775","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2042400771178655802":{"id":"2042400771178655802","date":"2026-04-10 00:34:24","author":"Negligible Capital","handle":"negligible_cap","text":"*BESSENT SUMMONED WALL STREET CEOS TO DISCUSS ANTHROPIC’S MYTHOS\n\nThis is crazy. Claude Mythos is apparently so good that Bessent and J. Powell summoned the bulge bank CEOs in a meeting to make sure they’re aware of how good Claude Mythos really is.\n\nExecs summoned include include $C Jane Fraser, $MS Ted Pick, $BAC Brian Moynihan, $WFC Charlie Scharf, and $GS David Solomon. Jamie couldn’t make it\n\nMore specifically, the meeting was about Mythos’s offensive and defensive cyber capabilities. The selloff in $IGV likely to continue tomorrow. I bet Sama’s jealous","hashtags":[],"conv":"2042400771178655802","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2042516295539634228","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":568,"retweets":79,"replies":35,"quotes":29,"views":231387,"bookmarks":257,"media":["2042400771178655802_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/negligible_cap/status/2042400771178655802"},"1644473654032629760":{"id":"1644473654032629760","date":"2023-04-07 22:54:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 @0xfbifemboy That's it I'm moving there.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1644458303752400896","reply_id":"1644473385613934594","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":108,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1644473654032629760","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1341502960409300993":{"id":"1341502960409300993","date":"2020-12-22 21:56:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LandsteinEric @Wallacesnoop1 ML isn't a waste of time.\n\nBut you should assume any publicly-available info on using ML in trading strats is indeed a waste of time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1341501078819405825","reply_id":"1341502297394851840","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"LandsteinEric","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1341502960409300993","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1803555402925347218":{"id":"1803555402925347218","date":"2024-06-19 22:28:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@connieeee55 Not yet. But GPT{n+2} will be (where n=current SOTA).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1803484536698970339","reply_id":"1803540415464829395","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"connieeee55","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1422,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1803555402925347218","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1438339321308663814":{"id":"1438339321308663814","date":"2021-09-16 03:09:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano OVDV! OVDV!!!\n\nDo you know how many French quants' kids that Mr. Bloomberg put through private schools on that feature alone?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1438202301919936513","reply_id":"1438202301919936513","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1438339321308663814","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1148244212506189824":{"id":"1148244212506189824","date":"2019-07-08 14:55:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lopezdeprado @alphaarchitect @TommiJohnsen Why are we even discussing academic finance papers? The whole incentive structure is _against_ finding good edges. If you found some profitable trade, the last thing you'd do is publish a paper about it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1147830111850209285","reply_id":"1148238451638185985","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"lopezdeprado","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1148244212506189824","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2076047799452328004":{"id":"2076047799452328004","date":"2026-07-11 20:55:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Listen to these guys. They're \"not proposing a global surveillance state\", only \"regulating chips\".\n\nAnd what if there's an algorithmic breakthrough that lets you build an ASI with the chips in your Nest thermostat? What then?\n\nYes, you ARE proposing a global surveillance state.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2076047799452328004","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":144,"retweets":4,"replies":11,"quotes":1,"views":28088,"bookmarks":23,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2076047799452328004","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1600247434877505536":{"id":"1600247434877505536","date":"2022-12-06 21:54:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cory_eth This tells you more about the awful state of tooling for programmers (languages, environments, work processes, etc) than anything else.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1600246220467113985","reply_id":"1600246220467113985","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"corygabrielsen","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1600247434877505536","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1886113861121540381":{"id":"1886113861121540381","date":"2025-02-02 18:06:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alz_zyd_ Because in the limit of machines being better at everything, all goods and services become human-positional.\n\nMachines can move 100m from a standing start faster than humans, but we still watch the Olympic 100m final.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1886110734976762276","reply_id":"1886110734976762276","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alz_zyd_","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":145,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1886113861121540381","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2037180498645000333":{"id":"2037180498645000333","date":"2026-03-26 14:50:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Trying to pull the \"Oh I'm fired? Well I quit.\" routine on the international stage is... an approach.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2037180498645000333","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":46,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3758,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2037180498645000333","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1477327784087207936":{"id":"1477327784087207936","date":"2022-01-01 17:16:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan I know right?\n\n\"Dude. This is very hard, you're up against really good competition, and there's almost definitely an easier way for you to make a good living.\"\n\nI'm sure the $ just pour in...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477320189653893121","reply_id":"1477326625305935877","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477327784087207936","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1486704870572711942":{"id":"1486704870572711942","date":"2022-01-27 14:17:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano Paging GPT3...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486482452029882368","reply_id":"1486482452029882368","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1486704870572711942","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1783273987524657644":{"id":"1783273987524657644","date":"2024-04-24 23:17:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This biggest challenge is subsequently dealing with the disapproving tut-tuttery of their pre-K and kindergarten teachers when they realize the kid can read already, and so the kid's boredom is a \"thing\" to be \"managed\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1783272438396330474","reply_id":"1783272438396330474","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":41,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3130,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1783273987524657644","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1790054946231959920":{"id":"1790054946231959920","date":"2024-05-13 16:22:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_kacper____ @OrthogonalAlpha @quantymacro Big tech pretty much guarantees 500k TC after a few years if you're not useless, and P(fired and out of the business) is very small. Even if you get laid off, you have the bigtech halo.\n\nTrading is very difficult to get into, has a high washout rate, and comp is power law dist.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1789752542559191296","reply_id":"1790054030347059337","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_kacper____","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":214,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1790054946231959920","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1551755098283319301":{"id":"1551755098283319301","date":"2022-07-26 02:23:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mortid0 Being close to the money is very important, definitely.\n\nYour average CTO has no idea how much marginal revenue the marginal engineer brings them. None.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1551745776509825026","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1551755098283319301","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1829412227750797397":{"id":"1829412227750797397","date":"2024-08-30 06:53:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FormulaDeltaOne @cam_perrault @0xFaust12 @quantymacro Indeed. It's a story as old as the hills.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1829150563159941491","reply_id":"1829401937336262866","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FormulaDeltaOne","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":758,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1829412227750797397","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1679590583839621123":{"id":"1679590583839621123","date":"2023-07-13 20:36:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2. There's irreducible noise in estimation of IQ. Thus, the flattening of IQ vs achievement means more people are \"in the mix\" for those selective college spots.\n\n3. Life outcomes have become more IQ-loaded over time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1679590582510026754","reply_id":"1679590582510026754","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":773,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1679590583839621123","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1382847888749830145":{"id":"1382847888749830145","date":"2021-04-16 00:06:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @choffstein I don't know about you, but I prefer paddling downstream most of the time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"1382840132076654592","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382847888749830145","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2007202383361913084":{"id":"2007202383361913084","date":"2026-01-02 21:28:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"AGI applied to trading is a humanity existential risk.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2007202383361913084","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":145,"retweets":5,"replies":5,"quotes":2,"views":32649,"bookmarks":26,"media":["2007202383361913084_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2007202383361913084","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1683243307651194880":{"id":"1683243307651194880","date":"2023-07-23 22:30:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Isn't this just the generic boilerplate that every tech startup begins with for their mission statement?\n\nRight down to the [X] placeholder.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1683243307651194880","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":5101,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1683243307651194880","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1422712195410841600":{"id":"1422712195410841600","date":"2021-08-04 00:13:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vgr In the last week, we've all ready enough takes about a bastardized version of a 25-year-old novel's conceit to last a lifetime.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1422711557440430080","reply_id":"1422711557440430080","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vgr","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1422712195410841600","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1470445596431372291":{"id":"1470445596431372291","date":"2021-12-13 17:28:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Exactly right. The transformer monoculture is very concerning.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1470445596431372291","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1470445596431372291","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1493386110524792832":{"id":"1493386110524792832","date":"2022-02-15 00:46:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 Imagine the feeling of crushing betrayal when you find out they were only a *jazz* saxophonist!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493383199023460353","reply_id":"1493385786258976769","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493386110524792832","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1539249491542519809":{"id":"1539249491542519809","date":"2022-06-21 14:10:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"22/ You’re rarely going to admit that you want to retire to enjoy the money. That would be… gauche.\n\nSo it becomes about something else. Searching for a new career, focusing on your kids, etc etc.\n\nI’m not saying those aren’t true. Just that they often hide the other thing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1539249425956093952","reply_id":"1539249488598028289","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1539249491542519809","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1276175279631659009":{"id":"1276175279631659009","date":"2020-06-25 15:27:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @VolatilityWiz Yeah it's crazy. And 90% of the difference is technique.\n\nI play a weekly game with a bunch of +2 to +6 juniors and college kids. They're all 110mph-120mph driver SS. Even the 15 year old kid who's 140lb tops.\n\nTechnique.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1276160629892616194","reply_id":"1276174050688188418","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1276175279631659009","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1556750293139738624":{"id":"1556750293139738624","date":"2022-08-08 21:12:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Does Jim Ross know how much money he's leaving on the table by not being on Cameo?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1556750293139738624","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1556750293139738624","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1794234880953631169":{"id":"1794234880953631169","date":"2024-05-25 05:11:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HF_Trader Is there a successful prop trading firm with a trading psychologist on staff? I'm not aware of one, decent-sized sample.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1794234485313028287","reply_id":"1794234485313028287","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HF_Trader","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":640,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1794234880953631169","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1743425282743357589":{"id":"1743425282743357589","date":"2024-01-06 00:12:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So far, LLMs are only useful to me for (a) writing code, and (b) learning basics on subjects I know little.\n\nSo far, crypto is only useful to me for (a) sending international $ and (b) experimenting with market mechanisms.\n\nYet I still think they're the foundations of the future.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1743425282743357589","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":105,"retweets":7,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":8448,"bookmarks":25,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1743425282743357589","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1637214564860465153":{"id":"1637214564860465153","date":"2023-03-18 22:09:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The day that GPT4 or Copilot or whatever can take a Figma screenshot and produce correct React/CSS is the day a few tens of thousands of front-end devs need to find a new job.\n\nDoesn't eliminate the demand, but increases productivity (and hence supply) by >10x.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1637214564860465153","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":37,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":7767,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1637214564860465153","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1437202678392582147":{"id":"1437202678392582147","date":"2021-09-12 23:53:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 @sajidnizami @therobotjames @darjohn25 @FranklinLynam @FreyaHolmer That might be true, but it might also be true that the mathematician happens to be interested in the wrong things. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1436696408506212353","reply_id":"1437202328633884677","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1437202678392582147","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1397040394286764034":{"id":"1397040394286764034","date":"2021-05-25 04:02:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal Take logs, do rolling arithmetic?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1397039816827711490","reply_id":"1397039816827711490","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1397040394286764034","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1546952287481802752":{"id":"1546952287481802752","date":"2022-07-12 20:19:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@drunkengrass @Adam_Tkaczuk It's even worse in Vegas.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546895763359162373","reply_id":"1546951908996292612","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"drunkengrass","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546952287481802752","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1970026568471794085":{"id":"1970026568471794085","date":"2025-09-22 07:25:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"No, this betting market couldn't possibly influence the underlying thing it's predicting.\n\nTruth-seeking mechanisms my ass.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970026568471794085","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":304,"retweets":2,"replies":11,"quotes":1,"views":68502,"bookmarks":51,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1970026568471794085","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1795575105197871416":{"id":"1795575105197871416","date":"2024-05-28 21:57:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@netcapgirl Or some similar tokenizer that mashes together multiple characters into one token.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1795565459422474276","reply_id":"1795574926289891387","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":170,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1795575105197871416","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1661720271890554883":{"id":"1661720271890554883","date":"2023-05-25 13:06:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cis_female @dwarkesh_sp","hashtags":[],"conv":"1661594000435081219","reply_id":"1661674513061539840","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"cis_female","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":335,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1661720271890554883","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1569899029215199232":{"id":"1569899029215199232","date":"2022-09-14 04:01:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I swear.\n\nIf I see one more paper on Arxiv about a deep reinforcement learning bot for crypto trading that DIDN'T ACTUALLY DO ANY REAL TRADES, and hence ISN'T REINFORCEMENT LEARNING AT ALL, I will lose it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1569899029215199232","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":125,"retweets":2,"replies":11,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1569899029215199232","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1449010898039836680":{"id":"1449010898039836680","date":"2021-10-15 13:54:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @theemilyaccount @lightspringfox @drewg__ Actions result from being in a state. Of course, this requires you to only call the actions_from_state once per state update. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448975193511182344","reply_id":"1449010047862939650","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1449010898039836680","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1943288878007198115":{"id":"1943288878007198115","date":"2025-07-10 12:39:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@10009nyny 1. \"Seem to\" is not to be believed unless you see audited broker statements.\n\n2. Sure some fraction makes money. Variance is a thing. But how do you know it wasn't the result of winning a coin-flipping tournament? And in particular, how do you know it's +EV for *you*.\n\nIt ain't.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943280522756591979","reply_id":"1943287825454993793","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"10009nyny","likes":34,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2231,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1943288878007198115","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1783973651987185835":{"id":"1783973651987185835","date":"2024-04-26 21:37:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Evergreen.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1783973651987185835","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4860,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1783973651987185835","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1282874324785876993":{"id":"1282874324785876993","date":"2020-07-14 03:07:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jordanwrong1 @SinclairEuan @KrisAbdelmessih Finally my junior had the insight: the *old* options were being priced by the MM using the *new* underlying. All of a sudden it all made sense.\n\nSo we loaded up.\n\nThat was a good day.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1282702235583954945","reply_id":"1282874105281171456","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1282874324785876993","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1392488414243553280":{"id":"1392488414243553280","date":"2021-05-12 14:34:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite Yeah, pretty much.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1392454154619129857","reply_id":"1392454154619129857","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1392488414243553280","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1778714843857477667":{"id":"1778714843857477667","date":"2024-04-12 09:20:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pranavvk @liquiditygoblin Like, if your answer is \"what would I do with a graph I would never get from an intern I would never have\", I'm not sure what is actually getting answered.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1778683547483803982","reply_id":"1778714556015026304","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":234,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1778714843857477667","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1418298785415847937":{"id":"1418298785415847937","date":"2021-07-22 19:55:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@saanglee IMO it's not crazy to have a set of blades to practice with, and a set of very well-matched irons with lower CGs to actually play with.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1418294496614174721","reply_id":"1418298566661967874","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1418298785415847937","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1530278671805579269":{"id":"1530278671805579269","date":"2022-05-27 20:04:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@goodalexander \"obviously do the opposite\"\n\nWait that loses too? That's unpossible.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1530274992855957504","reply_id":"1530274992855957504","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"goodalexander","likes":74,"retweets":2,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1530278671805579269","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1479691865301536769":{"id":"1479691865301536769","date":"2022-01-08 05:50:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@petergyang It's a pretty damning indictment of decentralization as a reality and as an end goal.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1479690798383845376","reply_id":"1479690798383845376","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"petergyang","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1479691865301536769","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2051912393765102004":{"id":"2051912393765102004","date":"2026-05-06 06:30:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's amazing to meet people in the wild who actually believe stuff like this.\n\nAny remotely competent teacher has no trouble detecting readiness to learn times tables. It's only nebulous to armchair \"education philosophers\" more attached to their philosophy than to reality.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2051912393765102004","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":65,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":11083,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2051912393765102004","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1787211276214779948":{"id":"1787211276214779948","date":"2024-05-05 20:02:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin I've read a lot of this book.\n\nAnd I still don't know no QFT. Possibly my LARPiest purchase ever.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1787163127827579054","reply_id":"1787163127827579054","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1132,"bookmarks":3,"media":["1787211276214779948_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1787211276214779948","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1455179541534494730":{"id":"1455179541534494730","date":"2021-11-01 14:26:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ALBACapMgmt \"But what it keeps going down?\" 🤣\n\nI find that momentum is just such a strong prior for humans...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1455175998211649538","reply_id":"1455178329149960194","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ALBACapMgmt","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1455179541534494730","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1765844230575108428":{"id":"1765844230575108428","date":"2024-03-07 20:57:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ByrneHobart As usual, South Park did it first.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1765824168916865227","reply_id":"1765824168916865227","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ByrneHobart","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":885,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1765844230575108428_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1765844230575108428","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1462076884951339011":{"id":"1462076884951339011","date":"2021-11-20 15:14:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 This video breaks down exactly how he's still so underrated. He manufactures open looks for teammates just be being on the floor and moving and being him. Curry terrifies defenses.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qq-ewGMk73A","hashtags":[],"conv":"1461757382665457665","reply_id":"1461757382665457665","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1462076884951339011","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1783230169869877371":{"id":"1783230169869877371","date":"2024-04-24 20:22:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nkreu113r 1. Not sure how many trading firms are still doing that, and it's probably a negative indicator on the ones that still are.\n\n2. You can practice it. It's not like it's not actually useful.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1783189691006922901","reply_id":"1783216725552410849","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nkreu113r","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":336,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1783230169869877371","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1778894326308700207":{"id":"1778894326308700207","date":"2024-04-12 21:13:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod From his latest:\n\n\"I have a relationship with Aston very honest.\"\n\"Lewis will have 40 years in January.\"\n\"I felt I love too much driving that I cannot stop at the moment.\"\n\"It didn't arrive the moment I felt the need to change lifestyle.\"\n\nBad word order every time!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1778886898770956633","reply_id":"1778889420575211975","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":962,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1778894326308700207","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1866151145347199152":{"id":"1866151145347199152","date":"2024-12-09 16:01:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JDcarlu @dirtman All I have to do is (checks notes) ship it from Australia!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1865991971002802598","reply_id":"1866142964587864342","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JDcarlu","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":41,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1866151145347199152","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1547367830856708098":{"id":"1547367830856708098","date":"2022-07-13 23:50:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In a stable industry, it seems clear there are really only two business models:\n\n- Lemme hold a dollar would ya?\n- Lemme get that for ya.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1547367830856708098","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1547367830856708098","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2042516295539634228":{"id":"2042516295539634228","date":"2026-04-10 08:13:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"You can't BUY advertising this good. Kudos Dario, well played.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2042516295539634228","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":150,"retweets":9,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":19782,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2042516295539634228","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1583277943869956097":{"id":"1583277943869956097","date":"2022-10-21 02:04:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The heuristic:\n\n\"Does the effect of my trading move the price towards my perceived fair value, or away?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1583277941156245504","reply_id":"1583277942750081024","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1583277943869956097","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1361888645196570624":{"id":"1361888645196570624","date":"2021-02-17 04:02:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@saah1lk Just listened to the first half of it. 👍\n\nMy thoughts on Nate are rather complex, but:\n\nNate actually does one thing (aggregate polls to come up with poll-based probs).\n\nBut he sells it as doing something else (provide actual win probs including all the non-poll effects).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1361856400050311172","reply_id":"1361885606993948673","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"saah1lk","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1361888645196570624","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1880167728780308607":{"id":"1880167728780308607","date":"2025-01-17 08:18:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"TFW when you learn about Zig comptime for the first time and:\n\n- Love it because of all the cool things you can do.\n- Hate it because you've seen what C++ template metaprogramming looks like in the hands of eager idiots.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1880167728780308607","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2545,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1880167728780308607","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1570976799676575749":{"id":"1570976799676575749","date":"2022-09-17 03:23:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Prequel that shows how Axel became a cop.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1570976799676575749","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1570976799676575749","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1529910925637013505":{"id":"1529910925637013505","date":"2022-05-26 19:42:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So here's a stylized example of what I mean.\n\nLet's say you think there is momentum in TSLA returns. That 9:30 -> 10:00 returns predict 10:00 -> 12:00 returns.\n\nI'm not saying that's actually a great trade (probably not), but it's a clean example.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529877576591609861","reply_id":"1529877576591609861","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":36,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1529910925637013505","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1175594136906260480":{"id":"1175594136906260480","date":"2019-09-22 02:14:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Happy to be doing a webinar on entries and exits with @futuresio on Tuesday Sep 24 at 1:30pm PDT.\n\nhttps://register.gotowebinar.com/register/975115482413196555?source=presenter","hashtags":[],"conv":"1175594136906260480","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1175594136906260480","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1970928987527590365":{"id":"1970928987527590365","date":"2025-09-24 19:11:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@GenixCS @_opencv_ \"Research scientist\"\n\nLook at his actual \"research\" then tell me if it's impressive.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970898051809345880","reply_id":"1970901190692221096","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GenixCS","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1459,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1970928987527590365","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1389064590718210049":{"id":"1389064590718210049","date":"2021-05-03 03:49:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brenorb @saanglee @therobotjames @macrocephalopod @darjohn25 @KrisAbdelmessih @famadeo MG also.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1389049985954566147","reply_id":"1389062352956530688","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"brenorb","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1389064590718210049","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1633934266215301120":{"id":"1633934266215301120","date":"2023-03-09 20:54:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"12/ Sound familiar? Yeah.\n\nI haven’t said much about FTX and Sam publicly. But even now, months later, my feeling is still one of rage. Because they KNEW BETTER!\n\nI know because when Sam was an intern and I was helping to run the internship program at JS, we taught him better!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633934250620891136","reply_id":"1633934264898322432","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":40,"retweets":3,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4028,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633934266215301120","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1395083939291664394":{"id":"1395083939291664394","date":"2021-05-19 18:28:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@volmagorov Worth reading @robinhanson about this.\n\nhttps://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/09/this-is-the-dream-time.html","hashtags":[],"conv":"1395075006707666947","reply_id":"1395083304991350786","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"volmagorov","likes":3,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1395083939291664394","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1546898760013266950":{"id":"1546898760013266950","date":"2022-07-12 16:46:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@hindenbear @ValueHao Come to my office and watch the people running around at the next-door crossfit studio. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546895763359162373","reply_id":"1546896836769845250","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"enki_cr","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546898760013266950","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1789474890069987736":{"id":"1789474890069987736","date":"2024-05-12 01:57:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Definitely AI","hashtags":[],"conv":"1789472319347544461","reply_id":"1789474720683057443","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":1646,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1789474890069987736_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1789474890069987736","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1796643336356577737":{"id":"1796643336356577737","date":"2024-05-31 20:42:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Surely someone has written about this. Feels like too obvious an idea for me to have come up with it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1796642119517671913","reply_id":"1796642408119341402","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":1285,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1796643336356577737","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1795258377767100643":{"id":"1795258377767100643","date":"2024-05-28 00:58:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bubbleboi Everyone says that, but then all of a sudden this is what actually gets bought. At least round these parts.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1795252539753168990","reply_id":"1795252539753168990","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bubbleboi","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":182,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1795258377767100643_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1795258377767100643","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1751226047171846352":{"id":"1751226047171846352","date":"2024-01-27 12:50:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount To paraphrase Gloria Estefan and the Miami Sound Machine:\n\nVariance is gonna get ya.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1751110939036799450","reply_id":"1751110939036799450","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":211,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1751226047171846352","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2022288698729968031":{"id":"2022288698729968031","date":"2026-02-13 12:36:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Fixed it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2022288698729968031","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":119,"retweets":6,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":10068,"bookmarks":19,"media":["2022288698729968031_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2022288698729968031","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1633934254060228608":{"id":"1633934254060228608","date":"2023-03-09 20:54:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3/ “Why does *anyone* ever trust someone they’ve never met with their money?”\n\nAnd there are lots of answers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633934250620891136","reply_id":"1633934252747390978","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":3967,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633934254060228608","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1363899506178236416":{"id":"1363899506178236416","date":"2021-02-22 17:12:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @macrocephalopod 2:30pm: I think we'r'e good on that massive strike the Cantor guy roped us into 3 weeks ago.\n\n3:30pm: Hmm, it's creeping closer...\n\n3:59:59: Ugh, wonderful. Hope the world doesn't go nuts this weekend...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1363876629550800901","reply_id":"1363898941859790848","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1363899506178236416","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1415321044060045314":{"id":"1415321044060045314","date":"2021-07-14 14:43:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"21/ Lots of hiring managers complain they can’t get the talent they need for what they’re willing to pay.\n\nWell, that’s not a hiring-market problem, that’s a *you* problem. If you can’t get the value you need for what you need to pay to get it… you need to... just stop.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"1415321043124719618","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415321044060045314","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1668089972367163393":{"id":"1668089972367163393","date":"2023-06-12 02:56:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Feels like the reason software is eating the world is because it has an amazing *absence* of messy detail.\n\nEven the messiest API has a cleaner interface than your average 2x4 piece of lumber.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1668089972367163393","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":3,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":11150,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1668089972367163393","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1973741425750888798":{"id":"1973741425750888798","date":"2025-10-02 13:26:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KingofBears7 @DeepDishEnjoyer Not of the company they're covering. But they're not unemployed, are they?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1973690359378231362","reply_id":"1973739153125954000","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KingofBears7","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1838,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1973741425750888798","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1883849497685725581":{"id":"1883849497685725581","date":"2025-01-27 12:08:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jhvaranda @bennpeifert Yes, and you're paying for all those features. Where does everyone think Ken's $44b net worth came from?\n\nAnswer: a lot of it from retail traders buying gamma, vega, and leverage they don't need.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1883515786528190589","reply_id":"1883847946711826835","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jhvaranda","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":442,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1883849497685725581","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1788973702270575019":{"id":"1788973702270575019","date":"2024-05-10 16:45:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pansareV IRS feels likely to kill it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788969245222850997","reply_id":"1788973198509244882","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pansareV","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1246,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788973702270575019","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1296159567751995397":{"id":"1296159567751995397","date":"2020-08-19 18:58:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@egfalken @svrnco I can't speak highly enough of Art Of Problem Solving.\n\nhttps://aopsacademy.org/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1296144716807966723","reply_id":"1296159112246566912","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"egfalken","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1296159567751995397","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1492948908594532352":{"id":"1492948908594532352","date":"2022-02-13 19:48:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@reubbr @0xdoug I think there's a lot to this theory. The \"greatest ever\"s of almost every sport strike me as particularly intelligent.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1492622868634431488","reply_id":"1492940509425201156","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"reubbr","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1492948908594532352","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1379149725195063297":{"id":"1379149725195063297","date":"2021-04-05 19:11:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"A-level belief:\n\nThe admonition to \"be your own boss\" and \"stop selling your time\" is awful advice to follow for 99% of people.\n\nMost people would be significantly worse off it they tried to start a business. Let alone a VC-backed startup.\n\nIt's incredibly hard! Most fail!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377999087644012544","reply_id":"1377999098939277314","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":22,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1379149725195063297","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1558508572517904386":{"id":"1558508572517904386","date":"2022-08-13 17:39:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dwarkesh_sp Too much work.\n\n280 characters of Rorschach-test utterances is more my speed right now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1558505760421658625","reply_id":"1558508256905121792","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dwarkesh_sp","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1558508572517904386","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1943199342531051721":{"id":"1943199342531051721","date":"2025-07-10 06:43:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Think about and internalize this. Once you do, a lot of things become a lot easier.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943199342531051721","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":73,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":14919,"bookmarks":36,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1943199342531051721","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1786261837383909526":{"id":"1786261837383909526","date":"2024-05-03 05:09:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So teachers giving their students \"study guides\" before tests is just institutionalized cheating, right?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1786261837383909526","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1786454335188283568","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":54,"retweets":1,"replies":19,"quotes":5,"views":22256,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1786261837383909526","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1482748239610716163":{"id":"1482748239610716163","date":"2022-01-16 16:15:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5/ So if you're making money as a trader, I claim you MUST be providing the world a service. But what's that service?\n\n@therobotjames has already told you the answer a zillion times:\n\nYou're bearing risk that others don't want to bear.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482748235496058880","reply_id":"1482748238629249030","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":104,"retweets":8,"replies":2,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482748239610716163","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1489005976355102721":{"id":"1489005976355102721","date":"2022-02-02 22:41:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This shape rotator vs wordcel thing is stupid.\n\nAbility in these is NOT negatively correlated!!!\n\nhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Berkson%27s_paradox","hashtags":[],"conv":"1489005976355102721","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1489005976355102721","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1361447334350004228":{"id":"1361447334350004228","date":"2021-02-15 22:48:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@rosswern I'm trying to throw everyone off the scent...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1358793442243928069","reply_id":"1361446825920659457","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ross_w__","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1361447334350004228","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1633887156392595456":{"id":"1633887156392595456","date":"2023-03-09 17:47:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ESYudkowsky @EmersonSpartz @metaculus Humans.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633650644493164544","reply_id":"1633658635212689408","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ESYudkowsky","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":259,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633887156392595456","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1554214042939432960":{"id":"1554214042939432960","date":"2022-08-01 21:14:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@anujajoo @dwarkesh_sp It's hard to avoid seeing the parallel with the way historical figures got obscenely rich and then immediately started funding public infrastructure and monuments to God.\n\nWorth reading about the history of the Corporation of London for example.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1554123298048557056","reply_id":"1554145908606078978","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"anujajoo","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1554214042939432960_1.png","1554214042939432960_2.jpg","1554214042939432960_3.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1554214042939432960","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2081268098036846827":{"id":"2081268098036846827","date":"2026-07-26 06:39:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"A few Sunday morning thoughts...\n\n1. So far, frontier LLM cybersec abilities don't look like an awesome, new, alien skillset. It's just the ability to not give up and try everything until something works.\n\nWhen most places have terrible cybersec, that IS the alien skill.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2081268098036846827","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":134,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":14196,"bookmarks":34,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2081268098036846827","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1760866730069594453":{"id":"1760866730069594453","date":"2024-02-23 03:18:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@weaponizedFOMO Convexity.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1760778611198750973","reply_id":"1760851229306245292","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"weaponizedFOMO","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":156,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1760866730069594453","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1611913155692867584":{"id":"1611913155692867584","date":"2023-01-08 02:30:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CantelopePeel @HedgeTheRumor @anondot11 @sasuke___420 AWS box rotation strategies FTW.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1611753770098257928","reply_id":"1611909665897553920","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"CantelopePeel","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":90,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1611913155692867584","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1501748100167180288":{"id":"1501748100167180288","date":"2022-03-10 02:33:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@WizOfOps Guilty as charged... 🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501727275967934467","reply_id":"1501741000573829125","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"WizOfOps","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501748100167180288","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1845020701922603202":{"id":"1845020701922603202","date":"2024-10-12 08:36:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"How about building one that regular people want to use?\n\nIn the present.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1845020701922603202","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2124,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1845020701922603202_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1845020701922603202","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1471162529707483138":{"id":"1471162529707483138","date":"2021-12-15 16:57:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih The thing I love about that character is that he's the only one that's changing and learning and growing. Everyone else is so stuck in their roles and who they are.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471159840441397250","reply_id":"1471159840441397250","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471162529707483138","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1441208922191187968":{"id":"1441208922191187968","date":"2021-09-24 01:12:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OptiontradinIQ I'd change the labels.\n\nDifficulty -> Cost\n\nBeginner -> Cheapish maybe\nIntermediate -> Expensive\nAdvance -> Very expensive\n\nDifficulty isn't a *thing* in trading.\nAll there is is edge and cost.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1441173726884622348","reply_id":"1441173726884622348","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OptiontradinIQ","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1441208922191187968","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1955285780030443783":{"id":"1955285780030443783","date":"2025-08-12 15:10:32","author":"Brian Potter","handle":"_brianpotter","text":"My book, \"The Origins of Efficiency\", is now officially available for preorder. \nhttps://www.construction-physics.com/p/my-book-the-origins-of-efficiency","hashtags":[],"conv":"1955285780030443783","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1955290430897025264","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":659,"retweets":80,"replies":40,"quotes":35,"views":147575,"bookmarks":310,"media":["1955285780030443783_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/_brianpotter/status/1955285780030443783"},"1631035896358395905":{"id":"1631035896358395905","date":"2023-03-01 20:57:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@abiylfoyp Meg White","hashtags":[],"conv":"1631028405016707075","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":637,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1631035896358395905","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1493757774341177351":{"id":"1493757774341177351","date":"2022-02-16 01:23:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Guilty pleasure movies, go!\n\nThe Devil's Advocate. Pacino chewing *all* the scenery. Charlize Theron.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493757774341177351","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493757774341177351","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1885591295835480384":{"id":"1885591295835480384","date":"2025-02-01 07:29:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@littmath I don't understand how your last tweet (\"I'm impressed\") follows from the tweet thread. It sounds like a mathematical-bullshit generator more than anything else. How is that impressive or useful?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1885566673844842739","reply_id":"1885566673844842739","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"littmath","likes":38,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":6892,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1885591295835480384","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1437113038440525829":{"id":"1437113038440525829","date":"2021-09-12 17:57:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sajidnizami As I said in another comment, I think it works really well within an evolutionary incrementalist paradigm.\n\nAnd maybe it works so well that the monoculture it created stifles the development and funding of the other stuff.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1437111391857434628","reply_id":"1437112285181333504","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sajidnizami","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1437113038440525829","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1455628184985034756":{"id":"1455628184985034756","date":"2021-11-02 20:09:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ryxcommar @bennpeifert @therobotjames It works best when they don't have a lot of familiarity.\n\nI use it as a vehicle to teach a few things and see what they pick up on, how they run with it, etc etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1455542144207257600","reply_id":"1455626250584838151","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ryxcommar","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1455628184985034756","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1557145178539843584":{"id":"1557145178539843584","date":"2022-08-09 23:21:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @EntropyChase @MinvstrD @drunkengrass @max_arbitrage @KrisAbdelmessih @MomAngtrades @khemaridh @ejames_c @mistman78 @godcomplex96 Nope. San Diego early 2000s.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1557045699702919173","reply_id":"1557122775856599040","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1557145178539843584","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1704352452290723990":{"id":"1704352452290723990","date":"2023-09-20 04:31:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@firstlawofvol @MinvstrD @BSayder Tennis is going through a process RN brought on by very recent access to detailed point-by-point data.\n\nThe same thing happened 20 years ago in golf when it took around 10 years for everyone to finally understand that yes, driving distance has the highest correlation to $ earned.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1704254080192049183","reply_id":"1704351929021948069","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"firstlawofvol","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":81,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1704352452290723990","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1507044798057701387":{"id":"1507044798057701387","date":"2022-03-24 17:20:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bastosventures Hopefully never on FB. It's a terrible book.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1507029464521359362","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bastosventures","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507044798057701387","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1546931772054589441":{"id":"1546931772054589441","date":"2022-07-12 18:57:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"14/ STEP 3: The Magic Happens\n\nAt some point, an idea emerges. How does it happen?\n\nI don’t know.  Sometimes it happens at your desk, but sometimes it’s in the shower or in a dream.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546931744426758145","reply_id":"1546931770787999744","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546931772054589441","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1988534365685453080":{"id":"1988534365685453080","date":"2025-11-12 09:08:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"https://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1988534015419146302","hashtags":[],"conv":"1988490524198592526","reply_id":"1988490524198592526","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":7076,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1988534365685453080","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1867985044440330605":{"id":"1867985044440330605","date":"2024-12-14 17:28:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@xorswap_ @experquisite \"Can quickly do X\" is not really possible with C++ for nearly any interesting X.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1867962050468807140","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1867992317262774347","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":3195,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1867985044440330605","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1811245383772967202":{"id":"1811245383772967202","date":"2024-07-11 03:45:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@waltuuuhr @brettharrison @Architect_Fi Leverage, mostly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1811077270565683243","reply_id":"1811238887798509955","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"waltuuuhr","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":172,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1811245383772967202","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1167984329978310656":{"id":"1167984329978310656","date":"2019-09-01 02:15:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's kind of incredible that even with all the driver-pay shenanigans #uber and #lyft pull, and the \"independent contractor\" lies, they still manage to lose *so* much money.\n\nhttps://jalopnik.com/uber-and-lyft-take-a-lot-more-from-drivers-than-they-sa-1837450373\n\nH/T @Jalopnik","hashtags":["uber","lyft"],"conv":"1167984329978310656","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1167984329978310656","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1598379109692092421":{"id":"1598379109692092421","date":"2022-12-01 18:10:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase @therobotjames @robertmartin88 Yes.\n\nYou want a max pos of 2.5m at 4% of signal. So that's 0.625m at 1% signal.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598359321158553602","reply_id":"1598378978418757634","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598379109692092421","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2022972879550181624":{"id":"2022972879550181624","date":"2026-02-15 09:54:54","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"RT @macrocephalopod: I think we should be enforcing strong norms that a human who deploys an algorithm into a live environment is responsible for its behaviour. Up to and including — if the algorithm does anything that results in a law being broken, the human can be punished for it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2022972879550181624","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2022632890614583625","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":30,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":4,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/2022972879550181624"},"1457763382153596932":{"id":"1457763382153596932","date":"2021-11-08 17:34:08","author":"Matt Levine","handle":"matt_levine","text":"Much is made lately of Elon Musk's Twitter poll, so I propose writing this newsletter about it. Do you support this? https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-11-08/elon-musk-did-some-tweets","hashtags":[],"conv":"1457763382153596932","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1457778393286537217","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":170,"retweets":12,"replies":14,"quotes":10,"views":0,"bookmarks":14,"media":["1457763382153596932_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/matt_levine/status/1457763382153596932"},"1458487419355885568":{"id":"1458487419355885568","date":"2021-11-10 17:31:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I'm really enjoying the current dichotomy between:\n\n(a) people who are paying attention to the stupid trial thing (major news outlets)\n\nvs\n\n(b) people who are actually doing/learning/exploring/building things.\n\nThis is the *real* split, not left vs right or rich vs poor.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1458487419355885568","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1458487419355885568","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1464973478193352705":{"id":"1464973478193352705","date":"2021-11-28 15:04:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug @therobotjames The seems close to the mark, for sure.\n\nTrading-as-IQ-test.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1464838904104689669","reply_id":"1464973075276083200","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1464973478193352705","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1542690784339558401":{"id":"1542690784339558401","date":"2022-07-01 02:05:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NotQuiteMidlife Yeah, but that dog has a helluva content marketing team behind it so...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542684842923413504","reply_id":"1542690491317137408","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuiteMidlife","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1542690784339558401","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1477446770133123073":{"id":"1477446770133123073","date":"2022-01-02 01:08:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Michigandolf @dampedspring @longNDXshortRTY @SqueezeMetrics I was indeed referring to the latter.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477320189653893121","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477446770133123073","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1295759214887854081":{"id":"1295759214887854081","date":"2020-08-18 16:27:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 This is all true. But the deep fear of parents is that *their* kid will fall behind, and the other kids will Zoom (ha) ahead.\n\nWhen you've been force-fed the idea of grades (in the sense of 1st grade, 2nd, etc) and grades (A, B, etc) you naturally think of education as a race.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1295755960938528768","reply_id":"1295757005618118658","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1295759214887854081","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1521190887719460864":{"id":"1521190887719460864","date":"2022-05-02 18:12:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If you did a principal components analysis on \"what it's like to work with at company X\", the top two factors would be:\n\n1. Company size\n2. Company growth rate (ex size)\n\nTogether they probably explain 80%-90% of the variance.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1521190887719460864","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1521190887719460864","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1587572850516320257":{"id":"1587572850516320257","date":"2022-11-01 22:30:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @TCK_JRubano Call your Hull and raise you a Rebonato.\n\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Volatility-Correlation-Perfect-Hedger-Fox/dp/0470091398","hashtags":[],"conv":"1587569810850086912","reply_id":"1587569810850086912","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1587572850516320257","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1709191918121546117":{"id":"1709191918121546117","date":"2023-10-03 13:01:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 There is a legal/regulatory solution to this, which is to require that those with a valid cryptographic receipt be senior to anyone else in the event of insolvency.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709135026905022499","reply_id":"1709135026905022499","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":3,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":788,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1709191918121546117","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1494112274377629696":{"id":"1494112274377629696","date":"2022-02-17 00:51:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 30 years ago pro athletes drank like fishes, went out till all hours, did recreational drugs, etc. It was part of the lifestyle.\n\nNow they travel with chefs, have a thousand personal trainers and tech to track their recovery, and stay in shape during the offseason.\n\nV different.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494110009478684674","reply_id":"1494111858344611841","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494112274377629696","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1678905572291391488":{"id":"1678905572291391488","date":"2023-07-11 23:14:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AnthonyLeeZhang To me the funniest part is the \"best doctors in America\" section. WTF?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1678904835037360131","reply_id":"1678905436681158656","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":131,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1678905572291391488","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1544376756538200065":{"id":"1544376756538200065","date":"2022-07-05 17:44:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Brett_FTX I still think the biggest missing piece is liquid borrow markets. Without them, derivatives markets just have a hard time attracting (non-HF) liquidity provision.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1544371789807210496","reply_id":"1544371789807210496","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BrettHarrison","likes":5,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1544376756538200065","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1323305823250964480":{"id":"1323305823250964480","date":"2020-11-02 16:47:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @darjohn25 I'm saying comparing 40yd times to 100m times is difficult. The corr isn't *that* high.\n\nHeck, Richard Kilty won the indoor 60m world title in 2014, and his 100m PR is only 10.01.\n\n40yds = 36.5m! It's a different beast from 100m.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1323030263299936256","reply_id":"1323296614094639104","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1323305823250964480","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1542685593187938304":{"id":"1542685593187938304","date":"2022-07-01 01:44:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MegaBearX Critical.\n\nIt's part of the hedonic treadmill that keeps me going.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542684842923413504","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1542685593187938304","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1387982433539149824":{"id":"1387982433539149824","date":"2021-04-30 04:09:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jkregenstein @GestaltU @alphaarchitect @choffstein @daniel_egan This will be biased down because (assuming martingales) you're correlating A's t2 -> t3 return with B's \"zero\" (in expectation) return.\n\nSame for B's t2' -> t3 return with A's \"zero\" over the same time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1387861810599059459","reply_id":"1387982183806083074","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1387982433539149824","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1523811893126721536":{"id":"1523811893126721536","date":"2022-05-09 23:47:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Is anyone else amazed at how orderly this has all been so far?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1523811893126721536","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":307,"retweets":6,"replies":41,"quotes":6,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1523811893126721536","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2038532698172449084":{"id":"2038532698172449084","date":"2026-03-30 08:24:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"You mean this proven cop on the beat?\nThe one whose best investigative office has been gutted?\n\nhttps://www.durbin.senate.gov/newsroom/press-releases/durbin-leads-senators-in-raising-alarm-about-gutting-of-cftcs-chicago-division-of-enforcement","hashtags":[],"conv":"2038532698172449084","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4121,"bookmarks":3,"media":["2038532698172449084_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2038532698172449084","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1986463390017945835":{"id":"1986463390017945835","date":"2025-11-06 15:59:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Space GPUs\" is currently the best grifter detector in tech.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1986463390017945835","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":33,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":3427,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1986463390017945835","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1776194050669916360":{"id":"1776194050669916360","date":"2024-04-05 10:23:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@GestaltU I know. That's why I can't stop thinking about it, given where it comes from.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1775826749449719887","reply_id":"1775884909225074925","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GestaltU","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":398,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1776194050669916360","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2044750412452921660":{"id":"2044750412452921660","date":"2026-04-16 12:11:02","author":"Theo - t3.gg","handle":"theo","text":"RT @theo: I feel bad dunking on them so much but it's genuinely absurd how bad the new Claude Code desktop app is. You can feel the vibe code leaking everywhere.\n\nEvery \"feature\" is barely integrated and full of edge cases that weren't considered. Every menu feels barren, stuffed in last second for some random toggle. Every hotkey breaks as soon as you try to do anything else.\n\nI've lost track of how many bugs I've encountered. I found at least 40 in under an hour. And it's all truly absurd arcane shit. Stuff like voice mode typing in all input boxes instead of just the one you have focused.\n\nAny one of these issues would have been enough for me to do a massive post-mortem and likely fire someone. A $400b company shipping this is absurd.\n\nI feel like I'm going mad. How does anyone seriously use this?? It is broken on fundamental levels that are hard to comprehend.\n\nHow are we supposed to trust the code these models produce if Anthropic's official showcases are absolute slop?\n\nDedicated video on this coming tomorrow. Just needed to get this off my chest.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2044750412452921660","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2044680030706663726","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":227,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":9,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/theo/status/2044750412452921660"},"1508898926572695553":{"id":"1508898926572695553","date":"2022-03-29 20:08:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily Why?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1508896780103999490","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1508898926572695553","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1289572334110568448":{"id":"1289572334110568448","date":"2020-08-01 14:42:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Saturday morning deep #fintwit thoughts.\n\n\"There are no atheists in foxholes\" goes the old saying.\n\nHaving traded through a few crises, it's clear there are no free-marketers in a financial crisis either.\n\n1/n","hashtags":["fintwit"],"conv":"1289572334110568448","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":3,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1289572334110568448","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1178512167340920832":{"id":"1178512167340920832","date":"2019-09-30 03:29:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CyborgTribe @impcapital If you ask me \"how many ads did you click on in 2019\" I would honestly answer 0.\n\nBut if you then scraped my browser behavior and told me the number was 30, I wouldn't be that shocked.\n\nBesides, impressions matter too, right?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1178386098755657729","reply_id":"1178497059701178368","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"CyborgTribe","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1178512167340920832","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1593665048756436992":{"id":"1593665048756436992","date":"2022-11-18 17:58:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein @ericgolden Yep, just like ETF conversion was...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1593663457294950401","reply_id":"1593664383552479232","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1593665048756436992","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1243371785212461056":{"id":"1243371785212461056","date":"2020-03-27 02:58:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lopezdeprado Academics with perfect hindsight teaching real traders how to do their jobs.\n\n@nntaleb come on, where are you when you're needed?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1243356991298211840","reply_id":"1243356991298211840","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"lopezdeprado","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1243371785212461056","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2046571945550860351":{"id":"2046571945550860351","date":"2026-04-21 12:49:09","author":"Lamar","handle":"LamarDealMaker","text":"RT @LamarDealMaker: America's reading problem, explained as if it were sports:\n\nImagine every 8-year-old in the country gets assigned to the same baseball team. 30 kids per coach. The kid who's been swinging since he was 4 and the kid who just picked up a bat yesterday are in the same drill, at the same tempo, getting the same cues.\n\nNobody gets evaluated. Nobody gets a personalized plan. The coach runs one practice for everyone and moves on when the clock runs out, not when the players get it.\n\nSome kids are already bored. Some are lost. Most are faking it.\n\nThis goes on for 12 years. Six hours a day. Every day.\n\nAt the end, we hold a combine. Only a 1 in 3 of the players can make contact. The rest swing and miss at pitches they should've learned to hit in T-ball.\n\nThe league's answer? Raise the coaching budget 36%.\n\nThat's American reading. Per-pupil spending is up 35.8% since 2002, inflation-adjusted. Adults stuck at the lowest literacy level climbed from 19% to 28%.\n\nMore money in. Worse hitters out.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2046571945550860351","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2046298106656944198","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":184,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":6,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/LamarDealMaker/status/2046571945550860351"},"1873187211929370908":{"id":"1873187211929370908","date":"2024-12-29 02:00:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"There is a kind of amateur folk musician who loves his music and is going to make damn sure you love it too. Whether you like it or not.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1873187211929370908","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2199,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1873187211929370908","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2063654901280805220":{"id":"2063654901280805220","date":"2026-06-07 16:10:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"At what point do airline bag fees cross over with supply chain efficiencies so that it's cheaper to just buy the clothes you're going to wear once you land, then ditch them before coming home?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2063654901280805220","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":124,"retweets":1,"replies":19,"quotes":1,"views":25699,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2063654901280805220","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1595503805260365824":{"id":"1595503805260365824","date":"2022-11-23 19:45:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Fair.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595440412348796929","reply_id":"1595502068651143168","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1595503805260365824","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1369689984106557441":{"id":"1369689984106557441","date":"2021-03-10 16:41:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BeingHorizontal Better still to have a compile-time error! :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1369688815074349057","reply_id":"1369688815074349057","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BeingHorizontal","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1369689984106557441","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1529988828030566400":{"id":"1529988828030566400","date":"2022-05-27 00:52:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is really good. This is the boring stuff, at least for me. But it's super important.\n\nIt makes the difference between someone taking this trading thing seriously and someone... dare I say... LARPing it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529988828030566400","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1529988828030566400","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1377380517792768000":{"id":"1377380517792768000","date":"2021-03-31 22:01:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal Sounds right.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377374179658436611","reply_id":"1377379791037296640","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1377380517792768000","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1895729328257970413":{"id":"1895729328257970413","date":"2025-03-01 06:54:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The incomparable @tennisabstract attempts to quantify my Elo-gap idea for tennis. \n\nMy estimate of \"12 levels of P(A beats B) = 90%\" was a bit high probably. But 9-10 levels is still massive.\n\nhttps://www.tennisabstract.com/blog/2025/02/28/monthly-roundup-2-february-2025/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1895729328257970413","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2091,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1895729328257970413_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1895729328257970413","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1345512387487514624":{"id":"1345512387487514624","date":"2021-01-02 23:28:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @IgnoreNarrative Compliance would like to have a word too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1345486024613486593","reply_id":"1345512213772079104","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1345512387487514624","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1886100567291805874":{"id":"1886100567291805874","date":"2025-02-02 17:13:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I had fun with this last time, so we go again.\n\nWhat fraction of retail traders realize only retail traders pay attention to candles?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1886100567291805874","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2218,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1886100567291805874","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1603410295971409920":{"id":"1603410295971409920","date":"2022-12-15 15:22:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What's worse than the brightest minds of our generation going to Wall Street to price equities and bonds?\n\nThe brightest minds in our generation figuring out which coins are going to get pumped and getting ahead of that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1603410295971409920","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":143,"retweets":5,"replies":17,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1603410295971409920","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1397947925930549251":{"id":"1397947925930549251","date":"2021-05-27 16:08:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tarunchitra @nope_its_lily @volmagorov @RockshotJ @BangTheClose @PaToFe4 @macrocephalopod An excellent effort. Now pluralize it. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1397931742237904903","reply_id":"1397947784943263749","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tarunchitra","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1397947925930549251","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1476722281040646144":{"id":"1476722281040646144","date":"2021-12-31 01:10:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"When dydx implements Power Peg I'm definitely grabbing my popcorn and taking bets on who's going to Knight Capital that sh*t.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476721242132541440","reply_id":"1476721242132541440","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476722281040646144","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1572785370605195265":{"id":"1572785370605195265","date":"2022-09-22 03:10:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 Yeap. Nice to be small.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1572724691768582144","reply_id":"1572783694347399170","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1572785370605195265","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1633585873207054336":{"id":"1633585873207054336","date":"2023-03-08 21:49:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm English-speaker Barthelona often accompanied by extra-superfluous dipthong on the \"o\" too.\n\nBar-thuh-lowwww-na.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633571989305827330","reply_id":"1633572546913390592","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":144,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633585873207054336","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1844092733708960097":{"id":"1844092733708960097","date":"2024-10-09 19:09:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 https://www.amazon.com/Debugging-Indispensable-Software-Hardware-Problems/dp/0814474578","hashtags":[],"conv":"1843455627898826826","reply_id":"1843455627898826826","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":242,"bookmarks":3,"media":["1844092733708960097_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1844092733708960097","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1491479684730679296":{"id":"1491479684730679296","date":"2022-02-09 18:30:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NathanTankus What conditions would have to be met in order for you to be comfortable with dropping indoor mask requirements?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1491478598078935042","reply_id":"1491478598078935042","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"NathanTankus","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1491479684730679296","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1744194975158706265":{"id":"1744194975158706265","date":"2024-01-08 03:11:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug FDAXHunter's \"Dispersion, a guide for the clueless\" is seared into my brain.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1744108281524535509","reply_id":"1744191955506999687","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":471,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1744194975158706265","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1482171549402611715":{"id":"1482171549402611715","date":"2022-01-15 02:03:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CaleCrypto People thinking you're one of those idiots.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482086567720148993","reply_id":"1482086567720148993","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"CaleCrypto","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482171549402611715","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1433144532435038210":{"id":"1433144532435038210","date":"2021-09-01 19:07:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SoccerMomTrades @HF_Trader Neverending options grifting out here.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1433046362766155784","reply_id":"1433085926012559361","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SoccerMomTrades","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1433144532435038210","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1609598509141090305":{"id":"1609598509141090305","date":"2023-01-01 17:12:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Note: the yes-yeses ain't hurting Ken's pocketbook either.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1609597206071500800","reply_id":"1609597206071500800","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2384,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1609598509141090305","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1978035823816712475":{"id":"1978035823816712475","date":"2025-10-14 09:51:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@edgefills This is it exactly. Most people in these countries *want* overregulation. Real honest-to-goodness markets are terrifying to them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1978016875297513804","reply_id":"1978016875297513804","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"edgefills","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":598,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1978035823816712475","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1981424844291133518":{"id":"1981424844291133518","date":"2025-10-23 18:17:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @elletwocache Certainly not, but that municipal budget has to come from somehwere.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1981345835079389510","reply_id":"1981419323232059553","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1239,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1981424844291133518","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1229971738991222785":{"id":"1229971738991222785","date":"2020-02-19 03:31:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dacaldar @PubTriviaFacts Drew Brees.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1229949220897087488","reply_id":"1229954740936757249","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dackupasec","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1229971738991222785","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1256647234327732224":{"id":"1256647234327732224","date":"2020-05-02 18:10:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tweet_at_DLH @SinclairEuan @darjohn25 You're absolutely right. I meant worthless for the jobs I hire for.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1256625536287137792","reply_id":"1256646108043935745","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tweet_at_DLH","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1256647234327732224","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2072293502168277261":{"id":"2072293502168277261","date":"2026-07-01 12:17:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I haven't said much recently about what I'm working on, but since this article is out now, I might as well say a few things. ➡️","hashtags":[],"conv":"2072293502168277261","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1562,"retweets":55,"replies":76,"quotes":9,"views":465690,"bookmarks":1392,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2072293502168277261","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1448341967327281154":{"id":"1448341967327281154","date":"2021-10-13 17:36:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"11/ Will Trump run for President in 2024?\n\nMy read is that the probability is perceived to be under 50%, which is why news organizations are falling over themselves to find any indication he will. The more stories they report that he will, the more the prob moves closer to 50%.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448341956841533442","reply_id":"1448341966274457605","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448341967327281154","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1327628350815277056":{"id":"1327628350815277056","date":"2020-11-14 15:03:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@paulg And the information exhaust of all that buying and selling is a public good that solves the biggest coordination problem in advanced economies. It's kind of a big deal.\n\nNot to mention that VCs can only do their thing because liquid markets exist at the back end.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1327588411562225666","reply_id":"1327588411562225666","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"paulg","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1327628350815277056","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1397947323221643268":{"id":"1397947323221643268","date":"2021-05-27 16:06:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tarunchitra @nope_its_lily @volmagorov @RockshotJ @BangTheClose @PaToFe4 @macrocephalopod I challenge you to work \"sheaves\" into a non-mathematical context. Go.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1397931742237904903","reply_id":"1397947063338479620","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tarunchitra","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1397947323221643268","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1709739736645173452":{"id":"1709739736645173452","date":"2023-10-05 01:18:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@quantymacro Very accurate pre 2015ish.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709714391380238814","reply_id":"1709739558412358022","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"quantymacro","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1556,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1709739736645173452","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1976655916117491851":{"id":"1976655916117491851","date":"2025-10-10 14:27:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@optionsly They used to get prosecuted with boring regularity. @matt_levine has had a field day with this for years. It's his 2nd law of insider trading:\n\n1. Don't insider trade.\n2. If you do, don't buy short-dated call options.\n\n2025 SEC doesn't care though.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1976654223711535477","reply_id":"1976654223711535477","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"optionsly","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":143,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1976655916117491851","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1491133731163484162":{"id":"1491133731163484162","date":"2022-02-08 19:36:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NotQuiteMidlife Old beater Toyota Corolla is still pretty safe and almost zero breakdown risk.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1491129222701608960","reply_id":"1491129222701608960","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuiteMidlife","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1491133731163484162","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1886146180620402936":{"id":"1886146180620402936","date":"2025-02-02 20:14:27","author":"Matt Bateman","handle":"mbateman","text":"I don’t think you should “teach to the test” for a variety of reasons.\n\nBut if your students can’t excel on standardized tests you’re ngmi and neither are they.\n\nStandardized tests are perfectly decent measures of the things they purport to measure.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1886146180620402936","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1886326808611602660","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":112,"retweets":4,"replies":5,"quotes":3,"views":11797,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mbateman/status/1886146180620402936"},"1599418169630031879":{"id":"1599418169630031879","date":"2022-12-04 14:59:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ATabarrok 1. This was actually hard to replicate. Suspect there's a lot of cherry-picking going on.\n\n2. You can do this with any machine. That's the whole point of being Turing-complete. It's just a chat interface on top of a regular computer.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1599417322271551488","reply_id":"1599417322271551488","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ATabarrok","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1599418169630031879","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1382756873393246208":{"id":"1382756873393246208","date":"2021-04-15 18:05:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 Chamath.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"1382756118603182083","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382756873393246208","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1535642061281452033":{"id":"1535642061281452033","date":"2022-06-11 15:16:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"As an experiment, I gave GPT-3 the @LearnedLeague Midseason Classic trivia questions. I usually get 6-8 out of 12.\n\nIt got 9/12.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1535642061281452033","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1535642061281452033","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1544069880474832896":{"id":"1544069880474832896","date":"2022-07-04 21:25:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @NihilistTrader WTF else are you supposed to do if your trading is \"put on a bet, wait 3 months to see if it worked out\"?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1544063841721524227","reply_id":"1544064736869769216","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":27,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1544069880474832896","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1970703034528465293":{"id":"1970703034528465293","date":"2025-09-24 04:13:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Showed my kids their first two Counterexamples in Analysis. Brains broken.\n\nMe happy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970703034528465293","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":931,"retweets":48,"replies":20,"quotes":6,"views":51248,"bookmarks":288,"media":["1970703034528465293_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1970703034528465293","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1952965594623750344":{"id":"1952965594623750344","date":"2025-08-06 05:30:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@scquantt Haha, probably true.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1952826226818888180","reply_id":"1952847422805139551","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"scottbaumann","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":727,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1952965594623750344","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2035021703265288502":{"id":"2035021703265288502","date":"2026-03-20 15:52:37","author":"Martin Shkreli","handle":"MartinShkreli","text":"RT @MartinShkreli: the sports betting markets (they're not \"prediction\" markets) have to be banned. there is no other way.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2035021703265288502","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2035011703679672556","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":244,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/MartinShkreli/status/2035021703265288502"},"1555311392852348928":{"id":"1555311392852348928","date":"2022-08-04 21:55:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@swiss_quant You're the first person who's asked for it... :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546931744426758145","reply_id":"1555310346444873731","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"swiss_quant","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1555311392852348928","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1532451668851408901":{"id":"1532451668851408901","date":"2022-06-02 19:58:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@loosedelivery Training. When I started I hovered 1.25 to 1.5. Now my range is 1.5x for really fast talkers or non-English-native speakers to 2x for reasonably professional speakers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1532449923198636034","reply_id":"1532451473048514560","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RamRanc","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1532451668851408901","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1529910930108141568":{"id":"1529910930108141568","date":"2022-05-26 19:42:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Better betas leads to better alphas because you normalize out more and more stuff that's just getting in the way of finding the signal you want.\n\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529877576591609861","reply_id":"1529910929160253440","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":93,"retweets":6,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":37,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1529910930108141568","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1501348568212271107":{"id":"1501348568212271107","date":"2022-03-09 00:06:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @nope_its_lily Yeah, I seem to remember you're one of those R guys.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501312622603358209","reply_id":"1501348339782021121","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501348568212271107","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1245539073973870592":{"id":"1245539073973870592","date":"2020-04-02 02:30:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theRussell2022 The right question to ask yourself is: what part(s) of the return PDF do you think is mispriced?\n\nIs it the mean? Trade the underlying.\nIs it the stdev? Trade the ATM straddle.\nTail behavior? Trade the wings.\n\nEtc, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1245534920245575682","reply_id":"1245534920245575682","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RISKREDEMPTION","likes":4,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1245539073973870592","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1549975997444853760":{"id":"1549975997444853760","date":"2022-07-21 04:34:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Belatoshi @pmontu33 @therobotjames As you're approaching your preset drawdown limits (usually staged) you should be reducing positions.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548007648007634944","reply_id":"1549975531025842176","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Belatoshi","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1549975997444853760","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1783295044197486849":{"id":"1783295044197486849","date":"2024-04-25 00:40:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AnderkoLam Probably, but I'd argue that (a) they're not mutually exclusive, and (b) reading with your dad probably helps your social skills vs almost anything else you could be doing at home at age 2.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1783272438396330474","reply_id":"1783287181475533216","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AnderkoLam","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":212,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1783295044197486849","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2009301559377592648":{"id":"2009301559377592648","date":"2026-01-08 16:29:57","author":"ak0","handle":"annanay","text":"The same cheatsheet, but for crypto MMs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2009301559377592648","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2009314445802262912","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":379,"retweets":20,"replies":38,"quotes":4,"views":76477,"bookmarks":166,"media":["2009301559377592648_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/annanay/status/2009301559377592648"},"1449155056926801925":{"id":"1449155056926801925","date":"2021-10-15 23:27:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mitpatsfan That's the funny thing about the whole argument!\n\nOver the long term, there *isn't* a choice! But people act as though it's some moral stand vs a market-clearing price.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1449051361367134211","reply_id":"1449079502491975684","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mitpatsfan","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1449155056926801925","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1388884185134235650":{"id":"1388884185134235650","date":"2021-05-02 15:52:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3/ I mean, if you wanted to read and learn from #fintwit, you could do so without posting.\n\nIf you're not selling anything (or trying to raise AUM which is the same thing), it makes very very little sense.","hashtags":["fintwit"],"conv":"1388884183372623873","reply_id":"1388884184303685639","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1388884185134235650","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1793840814101242177":{"id":"1793840814101242177","date":"2024-05-24 03:05:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeepDishEnjoyer @Dub0x3A @lightvector1 That's what I meant.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1793816405562810547","reply_id":"1793840735151931647","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeepDishEnjoyer","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":120,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1793840814101242177","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1626330963285532672":{"id":"1626330963285532672","date":"2023-02-16 21:21:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@typedfemale Did he mention the word \"jerk\"?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1626144852827312128","reply_id":"1626144852827312128","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"typedfemale","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1453,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1626330963285532672","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1534312626800340992":{"id":"1534312626800340992","date":"2022-06-07 23:13:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @longskew @nope_its_lily","hashtags":[],"conv":"1534307238713630720","reply_id":"1534312319156891648","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":22,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1534312626800340992_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1534312626800340992","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1547731479890841606":{"id":"1547731479890841606","date":"2022-07-14 23:55:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The lower bound on employee value is definitely not zero...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1547731479890841606","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1547731479890841606","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1377632970610143234":{"id":"1377632970610143234","date":"2021-04-01 14:44:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @nope_its_lily It's worth noting that Hurst does something significantly more complex than \"a time series with some autocorr\".\n\nDepending on your application this may be desirable or not but be forewarned: fractionally integrated time series are a bit of a nerd snipe.\n\nSpeaking from experience.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377482535463161856","reply_id":"1377489527682531331","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1377632970610143234","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1596673868823134209":{"id":"1596673868823134209","date":"2022-11-27 01:14:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@YahwehOrBust @theddbby @Bonecondor @moreproteinbars @be20684347 @KrisAbdelmessih @nope_its_lily @EconomPic @10kdiver @bauhiniacapital @visakanv @vgr @khemaridh @jasoncbuck @ByrneHobart @bennpeifert @therobotjames This is starting to sound like a George Costanza polycule.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1596576701844422656","reply_id":"1596671936028966913","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"YahwehOrBust","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1596673868823134209_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1596673868823134209","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1510085724086759432":{"id":"1510085724086759432","date":"2022-04-02 02:44:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p69MAvpdBhU","hashtags":[],"conv":"1509739591892275201","reply_id":"1509739591892275201","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1510085724086759432","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1990814797470867660":{"id":"1990814797470867660","date":"2025-11-18 16:10:09","author":"qm","handle":"quantymacro","text":"if you’re a male in your 20s\n\ngo wash your winter coat that you haven’t washed for 5 years before taking it out for this winter you lazy filthy ebola-carrying animal\n\ngo into debt if you have to","hashtags":[],"conv":"1990814797470867660","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1990844623564996692","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":268,"retweets":5,"replies":6,"quotes":2,"views":43409,"bookmarks":17,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/quantymacro/status/1990814797470867660"},"1638720253801951232":{"id":"1638720253801951232","date":"2023-03-23 01:52:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The best traders I've ever known have no public track record. And they like it that way.\n\nThe people who've made buy-an-island money in markets mostly made it by being good at non-trader things.\n\nLike growing AUM, hiring and managing well, creating good work cultures, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1638720253801951232","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":277,"retweets":18,"replies":14,"quotes":5,"views":113412,"bookmarks":67,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1638720253801951232","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1243370821113901057":{"id":"1243370821113901057","date":"2020-03-27 02:54:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DBecevic @SinclairEuan Practice calibrating your beliefs. If you're 80% confident about something, do you *really* think laying 4:1 is a fair bet?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1243361662452682752","reply_id":"1243361662452682752","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DBecevic","likes":3,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1243370821113901057","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1621200213255012352":{"id":"1621200213255012352","date":"2023-02-02 17:33:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Watch this space...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1621200213255012352","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2126,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1621200213255012352","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1614504468565086208":{"id":"1614504468565086208","date":"2023-01-15 06:07:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug Same.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1614502613096988672","reply_id":"1614502613096988672","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":799,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1614504468565086208","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1832485932575940723":{"id":"1832485932575940723","date":"2024-09-07 18:27:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite That's sort of like both together right?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1832482965781135628","reply_id":"1832484609495372149","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":477,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1832485932575940723","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1397250741690146816":{"id":"1397250741690146816","date":"2021-05-25 17:58:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OkayEstimator @Mephisto731 @KrisAbdelmessih @TheSpeculator0 I choose to believe he listened into our conversation. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1397179894401011712","reply_id":"1397241057448968193","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OkayEstimator","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1397250741690146816","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1521282079492689920":{"id":"1521282079492689920","date":"2022-05-03 00:14:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @jimcramer Ichimoku cloud FTW.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1521215579230818304","reply_id":"1521278414048571392","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1521282079492689920","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1416605322689454080":{"id":"1416605322689454080","date":"2021-07-18 03:46:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@goodalexander If you can say that in the tone of a deep-thinking philosopher king, even better.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1416591287743025152","reply_id":"1416591287743025152","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"goodalexander","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1416605322689454080","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1382819548714311683":{"id":"1382819548714311683","date":"2021-04-15 22:14:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"And sum(A*B)/sum(B*B).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382819548714311683","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382819548714311683","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2051919891892973983":{"id":"2051919891892973983","date":"2026-05-06 06:59:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"","hashtags":[],"conv":"2051912393765102004","reply_id":"2051919532046913864","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1447,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2051919891892973983","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1591203526092664832":{"id":"1591203526092664832","date":"2022-11-11 22:57:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I guess we now know why the tick sizes on FTX were so small.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1591203526092664832","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":107,"retweets":1,"replies":8,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1591203526092664832","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1363617918387253251":{"id":"1363617918387253251","date":"2021-02-21 22:33:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@svrnco I do want to start 2^n Twitter accounts, make n predictions, then see how many followers I can rack up for the coin-flipping tournament winner.\n\nHow big do we suppose n has to be? 🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1363615908652982276","reply_id":"1363616586179969029","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"svrnco","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1363617918387253251","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1494548289550635010":{"id":"1494548289550635010","date":"2022-02-18 05:44:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It doesn't seem possible to see what's going on in the world and believe otherwise.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494548289550635010","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494548289550635010","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1498492478743216128":{"id":"1498492478743216128","date":"2022-03-01 02:57:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih https://ciechanow.ski/internal-combustion-engine/\n\nYou're welcome.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1498482019088535555","reply_id":"1498482019088535555","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1498492478743216128","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1623517078232911873":{"id":"1623517078232911873","date":"2023-02-09 03:00:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Conversely, Beatles post-Rubber Soul is ridiculous. The \"bad\" songs are still +EV by a wide margin.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1623436283166199809","reply_id":"1623516641513586696","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":905,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1623517078232911873","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1857902293657727121":{"id":"1857902293657727121","date":"2024-11-16 21:43:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @sasuke___420 @experquisite @__paleologo @moreproteinbars @itsmartingale Ah the ole SHIB/kSHIB arb...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1857809844146757924","reply_id":"1857901792534868316","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":751,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1857902293657727121","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1275813455690252289":{"id":"1275813455690252289","date":"2020-06-24 15:30:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DouthatNYT Nov 3 is 133 days away.\n133 days ago was Feb 12.\n\n4+ month of 2020 is a looooong time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1275764989723377664","reply_id":"1275764989723377664","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DouthatNYT","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1275813455690252289","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1537832704917446656":{"id":"1537832704917446656","date":"2022-06-17 16:21:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"People have been asking me about my risk management practices after the 3AC debacle. A thread. 👉\n\nActually no one has, it just felt like a high status thing to say...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1537832704917446656","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":58,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1537832704917446656","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1507883560077651969":{"id":"1507883560077651969","date":"2022-03-27 00:53:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nearcausality So that would be the return value of the function?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507883423813316610","reply_id":"1507883423813316610","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nearcausality","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507883560077651969","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1269805661644177408":{"id":"1269805661644177408","date":"2020-06-08 01:37:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert I agree that's generally true (my prior is 1.5x for liquid equities and indices in developed countries).\n\nBut it's worth noting that newsy stocks (i.e. ones with high jump probs) and index options in frontier countries (India in particular) historically haven't behaved this way.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1269794157918171136","reply_id":"1269797593220919296","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1269805661644177408","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1922338353447321904":{"id":"1922338353447321904","date":"2025-05-13 17:09:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Abude_al_asaad @nkreu113r Also please explain exactly what interest rate borrowers pay, including all fees and possibly-hidden options they're selling.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1922217541520314643","reply_id":"1922337937649287340","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":293,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1922338353447321904","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1501719085314236426":{"id":"1501719085314236426","date":"2022-03-10 00:38:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames If someone said to me \"I want you to find tradeable edges in VIX futs vs ES futs\" I'd say \"ok, give me 6 months, great technology, and the following 3 people and I'll still probably fail\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"1501718305920335873","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":28,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501719085314236426","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1529850889887809536":{"id":"1529850889887809536","date":"2022-05-26 15:44:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"At a high enough level, all learning ends up being reinforcement learning.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529850889887809536","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1529850889887809536","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1430958160563433472":{"id":"1430958160563433472","date":"2021-08-26 18:19:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pansareV @JessicaNutt96 @choffstein Variance is ok, but there's some implicit question-begging in using it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1430926969307340807","reply_id":"1430944034772692999","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pansareV","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1430958160563433472","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1324785900337836037":{"id":"1324785900337836037","date":"2020-11-06 18:49:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arnoblalam @Noahpinion Better than expected, apparently.\n\nhttps://www.zdnet.com/article/spacexs-starlink-first-public-beta-results-look-good-but-musk-says-theyll-get-even-better/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1324782249607225344","reply_id":"1324785444958199813","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arnoblalam","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1324785900337836037","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1487809815510339585":{"id":"1487809815510339585","date":"2022-01-30 15:27:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SellputCapital @FormulaDeltaOne This is still somewhat too broad but:\n\n\"Everything in a liquid market with no barriers is equally difficult (in risk-adjusted terms).\"\n\nSome day I'm going to sit down and turn this idea into an actual real model of difficulty.\n\n(I too find the broad statement unsatisfying.)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1487541477391716363","reply_id":"1487807624347148291","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SellputCapital","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1487809815510339585","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1280228819652063232":{"id":"1280228819652063232","date":"2020-07-06 19:55:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm Arizona State = Drizly + Pornhub","hashtags":[],"conv":"1280214845774655488","reply_id":"1280214845774655488","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1280228819652063232","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1447710899456778244":{"id":"1447710899456778244","date":"2021-10-11 23:49:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Mute.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1447654578879545346","reply_id":"1447654578879545346","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1447710899456778244","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1965429647644172580":{"id":"1965429647644172580","date":"2025-09-09 14:58:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@moreproteinbars @OneHotCode1 @macrocephalopod @__paleologo @TCK_JRubano @cullinan92619 @sdav1986 @KrisAbdelmessih @therobotjames @Gingfacekillah @bennpeifert @QuiteMidlife Sometimes a new hire comes in and sees with clear eyes the crap you've somehow Stockholm syndromed your way to thinking is fine.\n\nAnd maybe with the enthusiasm of the newhire they fix some piece of it.\n\nAnd maybe they succeed and the world is a tiny bit less shit.\n\nRinse repeat.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1964696429425029328","reply_id":"1965429199675785659","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":284,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1965429647644172580","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1432760243981668355":{"id":"1432760243981668355","date":"2021-08-31 17:40:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@salr_nyc @KrisAbdelmessih Can I just say how much I've always enjoyed:\n\n (a) the inscrutability of the MIT course numbering system, and\n\n(b) the assumption of MIT grads everywhere that everyone else knows the system.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1432740992277356553","reply_id":"1432756357426556933","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"salr_nyc","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1432760243981668355","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1481742750231908355":{"id":"1481742750231908355","date":"2022-01-13 21:39:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481740434208542721","reply_id":"1481740434208542721","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1481742750231908355_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1481742750231908355","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1548785999257276416":{"id":"1548785999257276416","date":"2022-07-17 21:45:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I'm shocked, shocked I tell you.\n\nIt turns out professional golfers mostly do it for the money.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548785999257276416","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1548785999257276416","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1433239390407458818":{"id":"1433239390407458818","date":"2021-09-02 01:24:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OneBigOh @therobotjames @InBraised @M1tchRosenthal @MinvstrD Though perhaps it's more accurate to say that Ontario doesn't like them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1433212446274199553","reply_id":"1433239041571360769","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1433239390407458818","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1461789595033649162":{"id":"1461789595033649162","date":"2021-11-19 20:12:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Question: what are the *plausible* states of the world in 5-10 years where non-BTC coins are valuable but BTC isn't?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1461789595033649162","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1461789595033649162","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1647095322727043074":{"id":"1647095322727043074","date":"2023-04-15 04:31:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jjsteinman It crushes \"gimme an outline for\" prompts.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1647090962655744000","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":820,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1647095322727043074","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1501264453647568896":{"id":"1501264453647568896","date":"2022-03-08 18:31:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@iwillnotsaveu @KentoInami This is the correct take. Obvious-error rules aren't some moustache-twirling evil super-plan concocted by exchanges.\n\nIt's what humans converge on organically when given the chance, because they find it necessary and it makes markets better.\n\nChesterton's Fence, everyone!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501172120503689218","reply_id":"1501183152055803908","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"iwillnotsaveu","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501264453647568896","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1495236303990169604":{"id":"1495236303990169604","date":"2022-02-20 03:18:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Left it for a week, came back and finally cracked the 100s barrier.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1495236303990169604","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1495236303990169604_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1495236303990169604","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1888981320602206558":{"id":"1888981320602206558","date":"2025-02-10 16:00:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"You may like him, you may not.\n\nBut this is what peak performance looks like. In everything.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1888981320602206558","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":40,"retweets":7,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":5550,"bookmarks":23,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1888981320602206558","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1531771214661726208":{"id":"1531771214661726208","date":"2022-05-31 22:54:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @choffstein I guess I just assumed your first language was the binary language of moisture vaporators.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1531739423313784832","reply_id":"1531751484752535552","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1531771214661726208","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1545812742006722560":{"id":"1545812742006722560","date":"2022-07-09 16:50:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"A bunch of doofus armchair amateur physicists (including me!) are all \"I knew it all along\" right now.\n\nI always thought MOND made more sense than dark matter. Even though I know that I don't know anything about cosmology.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1545812742006722560","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1545812742006722560","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2080189344023785550":{"id":"2080189344023785550","date":"2026-07-23 07:12:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Just in case you're keeping score at home:\n\n1. AI safetyists argue that frontier AI is SO dangerous it requires massive international government coordination on monitoring.\n\nWhile making absurd analogies to things like FDA regulation of eggs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2080189344023785550","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":83,"retweets":3,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":9312,"bookmarks":16,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2080189344023785550","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2069867650331685092":{"id":"2069867650331685092","date":"2026-06-24 19:37:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Great read on markets and reflexivity.\n\nhttps://liquidcontext.substack.com/p/two-concepts-of-markets","hashtags":[],"conv":"2069867650331685092","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":213,"retweets":17,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":21119,"bookmarks":304,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2069867650331685092","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1378509441385959429":{"id":"1378509441385959429","date":"2021-04-04 00:47:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames But remember, the % isn't the problem, it's the bias in the % that's killing you.\n\nEstimating that execution slippage is a very difficult problem to tackle even when you *do* have real orders and trades to examine.\n\nWithout a history of real orders and trades it's impossible.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1378485585791307780","reply_id":"1378508266137878530","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1378509441385959429","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2078638885937070118":{"id":"2078638885937070118","date":"2026-07-19 00:31:44","author":"Dean W. Ball","handle":"deanwball","text":"one interesting part of thinking about marginal risk of open-weight ai is that the internet is already such a profoundly crime-ridden place. imagine if gangs went into hospitals in America every week and stole people's medical records out of filing cabinets. if that happened in the physical world, we'd rightfully question whether government still possessed practical sovereignty. yet american hospitals are raided constantly in the digital world and we basically tolerate it. the world is more capable of absorbing risk and disorder than one might think.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2078638885937070118","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2078746964707905966","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":412,"retweets":14,"replies":126,"quotes":34,"views":114977,"bookmarks":98,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/deanwball/status/2078638885937070118"},"1443760175983169536":{"id":"1443760175983169536","date":"2021-10-01 02:10:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lightspringfox @theemilyaccount Flip buy/sell.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443719024609828869","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1443760175983169536","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1986705216536785351":{"id":"1986705216536785351","date":"2025-11-07 08:00:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This isn't especially complicated, to be clear.\n\nThe crypto people defending him deserve every scam, rugpull, and fraud that takes their money.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1986698316906963377","reply_id":"1986698316906963377","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":70,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3163,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1986705216536785351","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1582403664697647104":{"id":"1582403664697647104","date":"2022-10-18 16:10:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@reubbr Correct! The way this happens is:\n\n- You have a budget.\n- You select for people with conventional credentials.\n- Far right tail people with conventional credentials are out of your price range.\n- So you cut off the tail entirely.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1582400152983064577","reply_id":"1582403316558221314","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"reubbr","likes":11,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1582403664697647104","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1476915078494449664":{"id":"1476915078494449664","date":"2021-12-31 13:56:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Dan0112358 It's best to do that anyway. Twitter really isn't the place for airing out your deepest darkest thoughts.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476721242132541440","reply_id":"1476873942765875202","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"D01362713","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476915078494449664","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1925915803238404288":{"id":"1925915803238404288","date":"2025-05-23 14:04:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Evergreen.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1925915803238404288","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":14,"quotes":0,"views":5581,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1925915803238404288","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1841003596764111046":{"id":"1841003596764111046","date":"2024-10-01 06:33:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alz_zyd_ Culture. Even today in Prague, it's in the air. Concert halls and opera houses get lots of audience. And it's not aspirational see-and-be-seen to nearly the same extent as in NYC for example.\n\nKids on the tram with cellos. Can't imagine how it was in the 18th and 19th century.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1840753334720074152","reply_id":"1840753334720074152","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alz_zyd_","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":157,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1841003596764111046","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1415321037097422851":{"id":"1415321037097422851","date":"2021-07-14 14:43:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"14/\n\n- Stop lying about the job. If the job is writing shell scripts to munge data and shuttle it around, don’t call it a Machine Learning Scientist job! Etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"1415321036145401865","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415321037097422851","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1710174443392344080":{"id":"1710174443392344080","date":"2023-10-06 06:05:35","author":"Autism Capital 🧩","handle":"AutismCapital","text":"Adam Yedidia having an autist moment in the court is hilarious 😂\n\nSam's Defense: At some point FTX had about 6 million users right?\n\nAdam: I don't know\n\nSD: Give or take. Is that in the ballpark of what your understanding might be?\n\nAdam: I have very little understanding of how many users the exchange had.\n\nSD: In 2022 FTX had about 6 million users. Does this sound correct?\n\nAdam: I have substantial uncertainty about how many users it had exactly, but it sounds about right, maybe within a factor of ten.\n\nJudge: I'm sorry. I lost your answer\n\nAdam: I was trying to quantify my uncertainty about how many users FTX had during 2022\n\nJudge: You're quantifying your uncertainty about the quantities you're talking about?\n\nAdam: Yes\n\nJudge: Good. I'm glad we know what quants are.\n\n😂😂😂","hashtags":[],"conv":"1710174443392344080","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1710286375013286280","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":815,"retweets":51,"replies":33,"quotes":13,"views":255106,"bookmarks":71,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/AutismCapital/status/1710174443392344080"},"2009172814713245799":{"id":"2009172814713245799","date":"2026-01-08 07:58:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"For the 345,256,052th time, 13Fs do not report all positions and exposures.\n\n- Any short position\n- Futures, commodities\n- Swaps, CFDs, and ANY other derivatives aside from long listed options.\n- Foreign anything\n- FI/credit\n- Non-public equities\n- Real estate\n\nThe list goes on.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2009172814713245799","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":84,"retweets":4,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":11682,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2009172814713245799","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2033647515078181364":{"id":"2033647515078181364","date":"2026-03-16 20:52:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Hey, people with your Paul Ehrlich obituaries!","hashtags":[],"conv":"2033647515078181364","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1648,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2033647515078181364","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1546931750315515904":{"id":"1546931750315515904","date":"2022-07-12 18:57:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4/ It’s actually a constant challenge to live in the real world. To see it clearly and to avoid the protective cocoon of the familiar and the safe. I wrote a whole thread about this.\n\nhttps://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434963956599193601","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546931744426758145","reply_id":"1546931748994355200","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546931750315515904","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1862409680867205325":{"id":"1862409680867205325","date":"2024-11-29 08:14:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The world: Named parameters are so good to avoid bugs, should we enforce them in our coding style?\n\nC++: F*** you.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1862409680867205325","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2896,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1862409680867205325","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1471155685547118594":{"id":"1471155685547118594","date":"2021-12-15 16:30:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ So I’ve been thinking a lot recently about arguments we see on the Twitter.\n\nOne case in point is the “crypto is the future” people vs the “crypto is a scam” people.\n\nBut what follows applies broadly. 👉👉👉","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471155685547118594","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":37,"retweets":8,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":18,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1471155685547118594","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1415321259886354435":{"id":"1415321259886354435","date":"2021-07-14 14:44:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"26/ I should try to do something else, something that’s more well-suited to my skill-set.\n\nAt least then I have a shot at making money.\n\nAnd if there’s nothing at all, then I should close up shop.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"1415321048032055307","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415321259886354435","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1733204830095884733":{"id":"1733204830095884733","date":"2023-12-08 19:20:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xEfficient @macrocephalopod @goodalexander ✅","hashtags":[],"conv":"1733196517777748376","reply_id":"1733199030023569731","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"effnkat","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":242,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1733204830095884733","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1481448024249303042":{"id":"1481448024249303042","date":"2022-01-13 02:08:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano @brenorb @therobotjames @moreproteinbars Plus the extra few hundred from being in their office complaining instead of on the floor... you know... MAKING MONEY!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481369477812006915","reply_id":"1481439123818881024","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1481448024249303042","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1443951376980082688":{"id":"1443951376980082688","date":"2021-10-01 14:50:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5/ The reason for the autobiography is that I have a pre-existing strong tendency to WANT to believe what academic finance is selling.\n\nThat you CAN find the ur-model that explains how markets (or some aspect of them) work.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443951372580229123","reply_id":"1443951375939891203","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1443951376980082688","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1709403028468732030":{"id":"1709403028468732030","date":"2023-10-04 03:00:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 Lower in the abstraction stack. Closer to the foundation.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709239227278622787","reply_id":"1709393588025512078","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":160,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1709403028468732030","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1995887963675460000":{"id":"1995887963675460000","date":"2025-12-02 16:09:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Sadly, 26.8% of you deserve to lose your money.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1995887963675460000","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":76,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":34670,"bookmarks":19,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1995887963675460000","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1146066665072840705":{"id":"1146066665072840705","date":"2019-07-02 14:42:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Wow after two weeks, The Laws Of Trading is still number one on Amazon's list of New Releases! Thanks to everyone who's made this happen! #gratitude #NewBook #trading #decisionmaking #5StarReviews\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Laws-Trading-Traders-Decision-Making-Everyone/dp/1119574218","hashtags":["gratitude","newbook","trading","decisionmaking","5starreviews"],"conv":"1146066665072840705","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1146066665072840705_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1146066665072840705","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1765110410905346522":{"id":"1765110410905346522","date":"2024-03-05 20:21:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Do people in sales aspirationally watch Alec Baldwin's Glengarry Glen Ross speech?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1765110410905346522","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1765112243635839092","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":1,"replies":10,"quotes":2,"views":11084,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1765110410905346522","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1770094306583536035":{"id":"1770094306583536035","date":"2024-03-19 14:25:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Amateur \"options quant traders\" will backtest some idea with 18mo of data, tweak some params, get a 1 Sharpe strat pre-costs, start trading it, and wonder why it loses money.\n\nMeanwhile Ken G:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1770094306583536035","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1770641654766334184","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":250,"retweets":13,"replies":14,"quotes":4,"views":128078,"bookmarks":47,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1770094306583536035","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1591209328236965888":{"id":"1591209328236965888","date":"2022-11-11 23:20:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ScottPh77711570 @therobotjames You're in good company, lots of really sharp people never noticed either.\n\nIncluding yours truly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1591203526092664832","reply_id":"1591208653088256000","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ScottPh77711570","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1591209328236965888","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1377999090626093071":{"id":"1377999090626093071","date":"2021-04-02 14:59:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4/ Especially in trading, if you waited for the data to tell you everything you needed to know, you'd act like a madman:\n\n- You'd study *everything* because you wouldn't know where to focus your efforts.\n- You'd never find anything. Once something is obvious in data, it's gone.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377999087644012544","reply_id":"1377999089661472779","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":15,"retweets":3,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1377999090626093071","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1159257247634952192":{"id":"1159257247634952192","date":"2019-08-08 00:17:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ReformedTrader @demonetizedblog @worrellscott70 @WayneHimelsein @nntaleb This is a bad take. The difference between science and religion isn't the presence or absence of faith. It's the *possibility* that beliefs could be falsified.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1158768945043836928","reply_id":"1159198607729238016","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ReformedTrader","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1159257247634952192","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1805042599281230225":{"id":"1805042599281230225","date":"2024-06-24 00:57:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HF_Trader Very high time investment for the minimal long-term value. Ask me how I know.\n\nIf it grabbed you for a decade like it grabbed me, great, fine. And yes, I got to a very good level. But I wouldn't go seeing it out.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1805036942008189101","reply_id":"1805036942008189101","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HF_Trader","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":567,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1805042599281230225","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1862808005831458887":{"id":"1862808005831458887","date":"2024-11-30 10:36:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Income and outcome are very different words.\n\nWhat other apparent antonyms aren't at all?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1862808005831458887","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":2549,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1862808005831458887","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1455635051966697473":{"id":"1455635051966697473","date":"2021-11-02 20:36:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @ryxcommar @therobotjames Yup. Many roads lead to Rome...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1455542144207257600","reply_id":"1455633102202544131","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1455635051966697473","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1711944049123615205":{"id":"1711944049123615205","date":"2023-10-11 03:17:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@kolencherry @theemilyaccount 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1711871482362753508","reply_id":"1711905654405808148","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"kolencherry","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":83,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1711944049123615205","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1511751034997288970":{"id":"1511751034997288970","date":"2022-04-06 17:01:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein It's what sells. Brand recognition.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1511746492071133193","reply_id":"1511750640577519621","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1511751034997288970","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1982143203072442797":{"id":"1982143203072442797","date":"2025-10-25 17:52:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@W98AB I'm going to see it through for another couple of episodes. Too many people I trust have recommended it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1982140978405212338","reply_id":"1982142012057850020","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"W98AB","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":431,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1982143203072442797","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1652311187273707522":{"id":"1652311187273707522","date":"2023-04-29 13:57:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brettharrison Congrats Brett and family!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1652310655805030401","reply_id":"1652310655805030401","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BrettHarrison","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":759,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1652311187273707522","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1757845947294626222":{"id":"1757845947294626222","date":"2024-02-14 19:15:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Yet another example of the Law Of Conservation Of Difficulty:\n\nAll things subject to market forces are equally hard. There's a mechanism that keeps excess profits in check.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1757845947294626222","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4233,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1757845947294626222","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1923994136354431402":{"id":"1923994136354431402","date":"2025-05-18 06:48:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HighFreqAsuka @0x_widehat 👋","hashtags":[],"conv":"1923800594000564728","reply_id":"1923802856928247966","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HighFreqAsuka","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":443,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1923994136354431402","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1996965342375981434":{"id":"1996965342375981434","date":"2025-12-05 15:30:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"They can't even tell how sociopathic it all is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1996965335673532889","reply_id":"1996965340459225268","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":39,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":4442,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1996965342375981434","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1428417511473631235":{"id":"1428417511473631235","date":"2021-08-19 18:04:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"NASA: an organization that hosts retrospectives of half-century-old TV shows.\n\nInstead of... you know... putting people in space!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1428417511473631235","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1428417511473631235","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1787641248762798185":{"id":"1787641248762798185","date":"2024-05-07 00:31:01","author":"Senior PowerPoint Engineer","handle":"ryxcommar","text":"\"how does a transformer work\" is a hilariously fair interview question for an AI related role, and in my experience the hilariously fair interview questions are usually the best ones.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1787641248762798185","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1787859235625484606","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":499,"retweets":7,"replies":20,"quotes":4,"views":129766,"bookmarks":134,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ryxcommar/status/1787641248762798185"},"1871563034889756756":{"id":"1871563034889756756","date":"2024-12-24 14:26:14","author":"Gappy (Giuseppe Paleologo)","handle":"__paleologo","text":"@quantymacro If you send De Prado’s book to a local children hospital it can only mean that you hate children with a passion","hashtags":[],"conv":"1871557686460125434","reply_id":"1871557686460125434","quote_id":"1871568646155419736","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"quantymacro","likes":138,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":20553,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/__paleologo/status/1871563034889756756"},"1419357963567845376":{"id":"1419357963567845376","date":"2021-07-25 18:04:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Is this what passes as visionary CEO-ing now?\n\nhttps://www.theverge.com/22588022/mark-zuckerberg-facebook-ceo-metaverse-interview\n\n\"That book that came out 29 years ago. That's our vision.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1419357963567845376","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1419357963567845376","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1185594534291357697":{"id":"1185594534291357697","date":"2019-10-19 16:32:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NielsHoven @paulg \"We don't even remember how to build new facilities without putting someone's name on them.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1185583748420526082","reply_id":"1185594109731299328","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"NielsHoven","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1185594534291357697","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1937954771400593585":{"id":"1937954771400593585","date":"2025-06-25 19:23:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@PrometheusCHT I mean, it makes sense. Resting orders provide liquidity, takers take it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1937945791924211844","reply_id":"1937953840986497463","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"PrometheusCHT","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":427,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1937954771400593585","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1546931745806643201":{"id":"1546931745806643201","date":"2022-07-12 18:57:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ Sadly, my answer is usually \"I don't know.\"\n\nAnd that's because I really don't.\n\nA. I don't know your background.\nB. I don't know what you're good at.\nC. Most importantly, I don't know what interests you.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546931744426758145","reply_id":"1546931744426758145","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546931745806643201","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1921095583982313865":{"id":"1921095583982313865","date":"2025-05-10 06:50:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@kchoudhu ✅","hashtags":[],"conv":"1921086541092331713","reply_id":"1921092137665376304","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"kchoudhu","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":199,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1921095583982313865","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1352108709653016577":{"id":"1352108709653016577","date":"2021-01-21 04:20:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @mpp75214 @JessicaNutt96 Don't go over 2. Gatheral gets mad.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1352069470903181313","reply_id":"1352108472850997255","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1352108709653016577","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1472773924484046850":{"id":"1472773924484046850","date":"2021-12-20 03:40:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@web3justin Better than basing it on the belief that the rest of the world thinks like techbros.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1472722930287009798","reply_id":"1472742687191171072","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pumptires_pls","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1472773924484046850","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2034959092809081279":{"id":"2034959092809081279","date":"2026-03-20 11:43:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"At this point, in 2026, applying to YC implies something fairly clear about how you expect to make money.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2034959092809081279","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":154,"retweets":4,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":12129,"bookmarks":8,"media":["2034959092809081279_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2034959092809081279","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1452667099864715266":{"id":"1452667099864715266","date":"2021-10-25 16:03:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily This is a vale of tears. You're going to need to do something iterative and dynamically-adjusting.\n\nYou can bound with Europeans, which helps w/ speed.\n\nDM me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1452664089537249288","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1452667099864715266","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1921858313169318179":{"id":"1921858313169318179","date":"2025-05-12 09:21:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So just to make sure I'm following along, there is now no national party in the US that is pro-free markets?\n\nWonderful.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1921858313169318179","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":121,"retweets":2,"replies":10,"quotes":1,"views":12685,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1921858313169318179","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1412607829261709316":{"id":"1412607829261709316","date":"2021-07-07 03:02:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @longskew @M1tchRosenthal @saanglee Shhh. Taleb ain't the only one with a thin skin and a rabid fan base.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1412584152919162881","reply_id":"1412607268131012613","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1412607829261709316","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1245542517216428033":{"id":"1245542517216428033","date":"2020-04-02 02:44:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theRussell2022 A call/put spread is a bet on skew. Or at least, a more vega-neutral version of a spread like a 2x1.\n\nAn iron fly is basically a bet on kurtosis. Vol of vol, sort of.\n\nTBH, it's hard to imagine anyone having an edge trading an iron fly. And crossing 4 spreads to do it sometimes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1245534920245575682","reply_id":"1245540511617671169","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RISKREDEMPTION","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1245542517216428033","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1436176259789123603":{"id":"1436176259789123603","date":"2021-09-10 03:54:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nomsnomznom @bennpeifert @therobotjames FB IPO.\nBATS attempt at an IPO. 🤣\nFlash crash.\nJapanese exchange bust rules.\nDaily silver fix during the JPM era.\nNorthern Rock zombie options.\nLME base metal options quoting conventions.\nGerman cum-ex div scam.\n200x leverage on CHFEUR during peg.\nThat SAfrican broker from TFS.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1436172253780082691","reply_id":"1436173950162178058","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"return_stacking","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1436176259789123603","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1434359810611240962":{"id":"1434359810611240962","date":"2021-09-05 03:36:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @therobotjames Ugh, I use them but holy cow the Jupyter Notebook execution model is broken.\n\nQ: What state am I in?\nA: Oh, just scroll through the notebook and sort the integers to find out.\n\n🤯","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434267372412555264","reply_id":"1434299771217448963","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434359810611240962","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1796642408119341402":{"id":"1796642408119341402","date":"2024-05-31 20:38:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Feels like this is especially true in an AGI future.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1796642119517671913","reply_id":"1796642119517671913","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1374,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1796642408119341402","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2082725066660315521":{"id":"2082725066660315521","date":"2026-07-30 07:08:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I agree with this, but not that it's hard to \"fend it off\".\n\nThis was a conscious choice.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2082725066660315521","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":31,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":7927,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2082725066660315521","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1760778611198750973":{"id":"1760778611198750973","date":"2024-02-22 21:28:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Who thinks it's supposed to make sense? Seriously.\n\nWhat fraction of variance of future returns would we need to be able to explain to claim something \"makes sense\" to us? Surely >50% right?\n\nThe greatest traders in the world are lucky to explain maybe 1%.\n\n\"Make sense\". 🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1760778611198750973","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":75,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":2,"views":14261,"bookmarks":22,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1760778611198750973","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1760762386573881686":{"id":"1760762386573881686","date":"2024-02-22 20:24:00","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"today in markets: guy who thinks the market should make sense is shocked and disappointed that the stock market doesn’t seem to make much sense.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1760762386573881686","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1760778611198750973","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":328,"retweets":10,"replies":26,"quotes":6,"views":38130,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1760762386573881686"},"1198741425052979200":{"id":"1198741425052979200","date":"2019-11-24 23:13:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JamesonVoss @balajis I agree that's the question. But this:\n\n\"Please write down a function that takes in a statement and returns whether it is true\"\n\nisn't helping anyone.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1198727092835364864","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1198741425052979200","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1488358383270780929":{"id":"1488358383270780929","date":"2022-02-01 03:47:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@skajbaje Who are we subtweeting? :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1488358155721469952","reply_id":"1488358155721469952","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"skajbaje","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1488358383270780929","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1632943939610378242":{"id":"1632943939610378242","date":"2023-03-07 03:19:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 Those things are abominations.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632931055920615426","reply_id":"1632943700262174720","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1094,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632943939610378242","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2055524070557380731":{"id":"2055524070557380731","date":"2026-05-16 05:41:42","author":"Corey Walker 🇺🇸","handle":"CoreyWriting","text":"RT @CoreyWriting: Wealthy parents are going to start sending their kids to \"low tech\" private schools while working class kids are going to be handed tablets filled with ed tech and AI. Writing by hand and turning in paper assignments will become the new upper-class cultural symbol.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2055524070557380731","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2055229288383701093","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":1019,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/CoreyWriting/status/2055524070557380731"},"1450521886777962497":{"id":"1450521886777962497","date":"2021-10-19 17:59:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lebas_janney The same thing Cabbage Patch Kids and Pet Rocks were in the 80s.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1450521137658662916","reply_id":"1450521137658662916","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"lebas_janney","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1450521886777962497","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1488332060812926976":{"id":"1488332060812926976","date":"2022-02-01 02:03:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Your biannual reminder that Linkedin posting a job description with \"I'm hiring, know anyone interested?\" is  actually counterproductive.\n\nAll you've shown is that you're out of ideas.\n\nGood candidates see that.\nAnd the 5 pity-likes your friends gave you.\n\nAnd they stay away.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1488332060812926976","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1488332060812926976","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1699118419109634383":{"id":"1699118419109634383","date":"2023-09-05 17:52:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @sasuke___420 Just use the Factory pattern.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1699111512324071778","reply_id":"1699117794116182232","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":237,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1699118419109634383","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1963866651314589736":{"id":"1963866651314589736","date":"2025-09-05 07:27:51","author":"Timon Wong","handle":"t31kx","text":"i stand by this","hashtags":[],"conv":"1963866651314589736","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1964275607757332707","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6328,"retweets":337,"replies":354,"quotes":131,"views":578175,"bookmarks":499,"media":["1963866651314589736_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/t31kx/status/1963866651314589736"},"1520928732499697664":{"id":"1520928732499697664","date":"2022-05-02 00:50:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @mycoliza Og need to study \"Heard On The Hunting Path\" more.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1520924438920790016","reply_id":"1520928399950327808","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1520928732499697664","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1415321029237346304":{"id":"1415321029237346304","date":"2021-07-14 14:43:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"6/\n\n(No, you argue! Plenty of companies do hire-and-fire  and it works for them.\n\nYes true, but it only works in spots where labor is fairly undifferentiated. With knowledge work hire-and-fire creates a culture where it’s very very hard to capture valuable IP. But I digress...)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"1415321028327198720","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415321029237346304","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1477384550820954113":{"id":"1477384550820954113","date":"2022-01-01 21:01:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sun_girlxo Yes. Canadian nerds I mostly met in college.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477050081555763206","reply_id":"1477050081555763206","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sun_girlxo","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477384550820954113","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1400961130227404803":{"id":"1400961130227404803","date":"2021-06-04 23:42:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @EconShiller @SqueezeMetrics @Ksidiii Paging @therobotjames. Some broad categories:\n\n- Tail risk (i.e. selling insurance).\n- Liquidity risk \n- Credit risk (bond spreads)\n- Market risk (long equities overnight)\n- Basis risk of all kinds\n- Delivery risk","hashtags":[],"conv":"1400892689101565954","reply_id":"1400930340869378048","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":31,"retweets":3,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":21,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1400961130227404803","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1448341971546750977":{"id":"1448341971546750977","date":"2021-10-13 17:36:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"15/ This also generalizes to non-binary outcomes. After all, entropy is a property of any probability distribution.\n\nTL;DR: News is an entropy-maximizing process.\n\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448341956841533442","reply_id":"1448341970460446721","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448341971546750977","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2001587489652248756":{"id":"2001587489652248756","date":"2025-12-18 09:36:59","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"This is correct advice. For 99.99% of people, if you are not a professional trader (as in, you are employed by a firm to trade their capital, or you run such a firm) then active trading is -EV for you, and the more you trade, the more -EV it is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2001587489652248756","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2001763192112914656","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1027,"retweets":60,"replies":58,"quotes":46,"views":354382,"bookmarks":464,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/2001587489652248756"},"1587911027122765825":{"id":"1587911027122765825","date":"2022-11-02 20:54:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Nobody:\n\nOwner of exchange and MM company on said exchange:\n\nWe just created an \"Incinerate money and give it to... someone... definitely not us.\" button. Probably you shouldn't use it, but just know it's there.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1587903086810763266","reply_id":"1587903086810763266","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1587911027122765825","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1859876079042953630":{"id":"1859876079042953630","date":"2024-11-22 08:26:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ScottPh77711570 @Versace_Trader @Bonecondor An intimate knowlege of the criminal mind: crucial for trading shitcoins.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1859549567416664087","reply_id":"1859874093513965797","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ScottPh77711570","likes":9,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":440,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1859876079042953630","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1949698098139181333":{"id":"1949698098139181333","date":"2025-07-28 05:07:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@GrantStenger And what retail wants, retail should get?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1949569707193081874","reply_id":"1949569707193081874","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GrantStenger","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":299,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1949698098139181333","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2075867399325094245":{"id":"2075867399325094245","date":"2026-07-11 08:58:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So AI 2040 is yet another call for top-down control of the economy, this time with an AI-inflected utopian vision underneath it?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2075867399325094245","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":46,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":4925,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2075867399325094245","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1297281031783854081":{"id":"1297281031783854081","date":"2020-08-22 21:14:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SimonDeDeo Perhaps. I do subscribe to the Jason Brennan \"Good Work If You Can Get It\" view of the academy.\n\nReal-world results are generally low on the ordered list of desiderata...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1297274875858624512","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1297281031783854081","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1657434403893805056":{"id":"1657434403893805056","date":"2023-05-13 17:15:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sdav1986 @darjohn25 Agreed, retail in SK loves trading short-dated stuff.\n\nAt least as of 10 years ago, the SP hedging flow went there too because of the liquidity available.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1656951328113917953","reply_id":"1657429370523320321","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sdav1986","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":269,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1657434403893805056","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1932633311135801447":{"id":"1932633311135801447","date":"2025-06-11 02:57:42","author":"Gappy (Giuseppe Paleologo)","handle":"__paleologo","text":"Annals of thinking in models: Tiebout Model","hashtags":[],"conv":"1932633311135801447","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1932689996772782102","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":2,"replies":9,"quotes":2,"views":13582,"bookmarks":17,"media":["1932633311135801447_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/__paleologo/status/1932633311135801447"},"1969426064075071679":{"id":"1969426064075071679","date":"2025-09-20 15:38:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheDaraSterling I have LOTS of bad ones, but I try to delete them before hitting the post button.\n\nHere's a terrible one that got through.\n\nhttps://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482754980050132994","hashtags":[],"conv":"1969355808530993264","reply_id":"1969371340386849153","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dasaster1","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":431,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1969426064075071679","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2022255112509390869":{"id":"2022255112509390869","date":"2026-02-13 10:22:45","author":"Ljubomir Josifovski","handle":"ljupc0","text":"@rcbregman Yeah people moan about \"tech bros\". But having worked in a non-growth industries I can see how growth industry still allows for non-sociopaths to live & let live. In contrast, a non-growth old industry heights are always in the end captured by the relative utility sociopaths.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2022243404613029901","reply_id":"2022243404613029901","quote_id":"2022282593631093014","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"rcbregman","likes":91,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":27907,"bookmarks":18,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/2022255112509390869"},"1668361127867064320":{"id":"1668361127867064320","date":"2023-06-12 20:54:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0x94305 We decided it counts as a game. I don't want to get into policing all the micro-activities inside it for gameness vs devness.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1668360350797033475","reply_id":"1668360350797033475","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0x94305","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3040,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1668361127867064320","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2016134097232658678":{"id":"2016134097232658678","date":"2026-01-27 13:00:01","author":"ak0","handle":"annanay","text":"It is my sincere hope that my brothers and sisters of CT and Fintwit are never subjected to the vacuous, self-aggrandizing rot of VC twitter.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2016134097232658678","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2016247939027382355","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":32,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":7678,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/annanay/status/2016134097232658678"},"1358504770768539649":{"id":"1358504770768539649","date":"2021-02-07 19:55:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @HideNotSlide Quilts. Takes a long time to make, not especially useful in the modern world.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1358487012769210369","reply_id":"1358494098894839809","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1358504770768539649","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2038334938894811151":{"id":"2038334938894811151","date":"2026-03-29 19:18:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Look I wished prediction markets worked as \"wisdom of crowds\" sources of good predictions. I loved the idea when I learned about it ~20yrs ago.\n\nBut it's clear by now that they're fatally broken. It's sad but we have to face reality. Finding more rubes to fleece ain't helping.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2038334938894811151","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":121,"retweets":5,"replies":12,"quotes":0,"views":15211,"bookmarks":22,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2038334938894811151","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2041910984776806638":{"id":"2041910984776806638","date":"2026-04-08 16:08:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Super fun, hopefully interesting and helpful to retail traders out there.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2041910984776806638","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":82,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":13515,"bookmarks":44,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2041910984776806638","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1458974520811810820":{"id":"1458974520811810820","date":"2021-11-12 01:46:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @AnodyneCode @boogiePANDACap Like democracy. The worst except for all the other legit options.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1458926233647869964","reply_id":"1458973888428212224","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1458974520811810820","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1373665425871933443":{"id":"1373665425871933443","date":"2021-03-21 15:58:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod That said, it's absolutely the right question for an investor to ask.\n\n\"Why is this person offering *me* a piece of their money tree?\"\n\nMost of the time, the answer is \"They don't actually have one.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1373584940567306243","reply_id":"1373584940567306243","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":11,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1373665425871933443","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1902630622117462031":{"id":"1902630622117462031","date":"2025-03-20 07:57:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Must-read thread on credit-card interchange fees.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1902630622117462031","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2849,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1902630622117462031","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1946114885063954854":{"id":"1946114885063954854","date":"2025-07-18 07:48:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5. Once a prediction market becomes large enough, it transitions from being truth-seeking to being tautology-seeking.\n\nConsider a concrete example: a prediction mkt on \"Will Trump run for reelection in 2028?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946114875899486383","reply_id":"1946114883101036635","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":52,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":5461,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946114885063954854","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1721600416193139152":{"id":"1721600416193139152","date":"2023-11-06 18:48:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dwarkesh_sp Yes, but counterpoint: even just one human body has more cells than the world has CPUs, so biological virii have much more opportunity for mutation.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1721593311637766592","reply_id":"1721599604209160613","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dwarkesh_sp","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":320,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1721600416193139152","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1375882792156884994":{"id":"1375882792156884994","date":"2021-03-27 18:49:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Anyone who says they're their own harshest critic hasn't been on the interwebs very much. 🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1375882792156884994","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1375882792156884994","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1217601424604876801":{"id":"1217601424604876801","date":"2020-01-16 00:16:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's been 20 years since Microsoft's Clippy. A lot's changed, surely it's time for someone to try again?\n\nA simple start: something that recognizes when I'm doing things repetitively and just creates a macro on the spot to do that thing. Is that so hard?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1217601424604876801","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1217601424604876801","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2018277976262033854":{"id":"2018277976262033854","date":"2026-02-02 10:59:01","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"@EvgenyGaevoy we interviewed some people who worked on the crypto dot com internal mm and they were ..... Not Good.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2018277791972597812","reply_id":"2018277791972597812","quote_id":"2018280808172208315","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EvgenyGaevoy","likes":86,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":19895,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/2018277976262033854"},"1544431944724664320":{"id":"1544431944724664320","date":"2022-07-05 21:24:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ripntear6 https://www.nber.org/papers/w30217","hashtags":[],"conv":"1544425285268844544","reply_id":"1544426108522725379","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ripntear6","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1544431944724664320_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1544431944724664320","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1442517609195343874":{"id":"1442517609195343874","date":"2021-09-27 15:52:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is exactly right.\n\nWhen we were doing ML-in-trading, the academic research wasn't especially useful. We had to invent a bunch of completely new stuff to deal with the SNR issue, among others.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1442517609195343874","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1442517609195343874","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1207041549336375296":{"id":"1207041549336375296","date":"2019-12-17 20:55:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Ever read a business/management book, with a bunch of wonderful principles, and actually tried applying them at work? Doesn't work as well in real life, right? Here's why.\n\nhttps://www.essilen-research.com/blog/lofty-business-principles-arent-helping-you/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1207041549336375296","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1207041549336375296","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1333889307191300096":{"id":"1333889307191300096","date":"2020-12-01 21:42:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Defining your types well enough so that once you write it and it type checks, it just works the first time you run it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1333876765031342084","reply_id":"1333876765031342084","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1333889307191300096","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1591802691386503168":{"id":"1591802691386503168","date":"2022-11-13 14:38:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xSergei @therobotjames @mpp75214 @Cereal_Intern @MisuaRaboki 1. Providing isn't *inherently* more $.\n2. But, providers are usually pros due to tech lift.\n3. So, bedrock assumption that retail loses money, population effects mean providers *could* be more profitable that taking.\n\nBut it says nothing about whether YOU can make $ providing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1411890038938345472","reply_id":"1591681361089540096","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"effnkat","likes":8,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1591802691386503168","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1768453208417202625":{"id":"1768453208417202625","date":"2024-03-15 01:44:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@utdrush5 Hard to say.\n\nMy usual line is \"if you're the 3rd best player in the world at some obscure chess variant, I probably want to talk to you\".\n\nYou know it when you see it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1768404709336052193","reply_id":"1768417976586317893","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"closed_utdrush5","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":78,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1768453208417202625","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1420131155458674690":{"id":"1420131155458674690","date":"2021-07-27 21:17:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"AHA you object!\n\nBut what about my prior beliefs?\n\nThe structure of the market model encodes my priors about the world.\n\n11/n","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420131145669169153","reply_id":"1420131154670219265","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420131155458674690","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1623365705134661632":{"id":"1623365705134661632","date":"2023-02-08 16:58:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xfbifemboy Entertainment, not information.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1623204332714995712","reply_id":"1623204332714995712","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xfbifemboy","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":282,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1623365705134661632","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1959676478129582549":{"id":"1959676478129582549","date":"2025-08-24 17:57:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@localvol What point? HFT makes billions a year.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1959568586114040234","reply_id":"1959675074786779616","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"localvol","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":630,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1959676478129582549","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1501711719134949376":{"id":"1501711719134949376","date":"2022-03-10 00:09:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal This is great, let's pull this thread.\n\nSo what are the possible outcomes here? I.e. how big a metaphorical z-score do you need to believe it?\n\nGiven you don't have any conviction it's real, sounds like a lot?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"1501711219878776833","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501711719134949376","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2069802495384133923":{"id":"2069802495384133923","date":"2026-06-24 15:19:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Are enterprises smart enough to recognize the Trojan Horse?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2069802495384133923","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":95,"retweets":3,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":20363,"bookmarks":33,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2069802495384133923","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1899979933096808567":{"id":"1899979933096808567","date":"2025-03-13 00:24:50","author":"Lakshya Jain","handle":"lxeagle17","text":"Put another way, I'm pretty sure a lot of Computer Science students are using ChatGPT to complete their coding assignments instead of actually doing the assignments themselves.\n\nIf true, it's a huge problem. The process of learning debugging is critical to growing as an engineer.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1899979401460371758","reply_id":"1899979401460371758","quote_id":"1900455234754826623","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"lxeagle17","likes":41798,"retweets":1050,"replies":144,"quotes":164,"views":1103472,"bookmarks":671,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/lxeagle17/status/1899979933096808567"},"1602074944287825921":{"id":"1602074944287825921","date":"2022-12-11 22:56:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@kinosal 1. Steadily overall\n2. It's a big component.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1601762710911602689","reply_id":"1602061810496114694","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"kinosal","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1602074944287825921","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1334175364109660161":{"id":"1334175364109660161","date":"2020-12-02 16:39:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames TL;DR: Predicting martingales is hard, non-martingales not so much. 🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1333941851435331584","reply_id":"1333941851435331584","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1334175364109660161","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1759435140085010832":{"id":"1759435140085010832","date":"2024-02-19 04:30:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@S3archerAnon No. But it will get escalated to someone who does.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1759426607629086838","reply_id":"1759430632793399581","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"S3archerAnon","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1142,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1759435140085010832","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1478931114680995840":{"id":"1478931114680995840","date":"2022-01-06 03:27:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Well this sucks. They're shutting down.\n\nhttps://longform.org/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1478931114680995840","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1478931114680995840","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1388884188690993153":{"id":"1388884188690993153","date":"2021-05-02 15:52:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"7/ Influence corrupts everything around it.\n\nSo why? For me, a big part of it is a quixotic effort to marginally increase signal-to-noise about trading for non-professionals.\n\nLike @nope_its_lily says, there are a lot of shit takes out there.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1388884183372623873","reply_id":"1388884187810172929","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1388884188690993153","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1621636254084501504":{"id":"1621636254084501504","date":"2023-02-03 22:26:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@xmgnr 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1621616852387627009","reply_id":"1621631605591744520","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"xmgnr","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":295,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1621636254084501504","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1734676789627437356":{"id":"1734676789627437356","date":"2023-12-12 20:49:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ksidiii Can I just pause and note that we're even *discussing* 80bp daily ranges?\n\nIn the words of Bunk, but about vol: \"How far we done fell...\"\n\n🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1734670771279073308","reply_id":"1734670771279073308","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Ksidiii","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":681,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1734676789627437356","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1549974013866151936":{"id":"1549974013866151936","date":"2022-07-21 04:26:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Sbhowmick23 Lots of risk management! It's critical.\n\nBut if you're hitting your preset drawdown limits frequently, you're trading too big!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1549963630610829314","reply_id":"1549973254768496640","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MithrilBot","likes":10,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1549974013866151936","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1303782520731742208":{"id":"1303782520731742208","date":"2020-09-09 19:49:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If you want to have some #CustomerService fun, be sure to notify them that you're *also* recording the conversation for quality control and training purposes.","hashtags":["customerservice"],"conv":"1303782520731742208","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1303782520731742208","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1818491418295648712":{"id":"1818491418295648712","date":"2024-07-31 03:38:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SpencerBosma @dwarkesh_sp 🙏🙏🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1818389474898010148","reply_id":"1818389474898010148","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SpencerBosma","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":119,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1818491418295648712","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1583964192565997568":{"id":"1583964192565997568","date":"2022-10-22 23:31:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Tallow_beach @686Prism @jp_JellyRoll @TCK_JRubano @witchqueendot I *love* that guy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1583556394145353729","reply_id":"1583925095105724416","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Tallow_beach","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1583964192565997568","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2016450582257582305":{"id":"2016450582257582305","date":"2026-01-28 09:57:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"The [...] biggest and most important questions do not fit into standard ideological categories.\" - @tylercowen \n\nThis fully generalizes across countries and eras.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2016450582257582305","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3244,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2016450582257582305","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2083098529115901954":{"id":"2083098529115901954","date":"2026-07-31 07:52:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Muting the word Fauci is among the best decisions I've made on Twitter.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2083098529115901954","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":3729,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2083098529115901954","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1506637076137054208":{"id":"1506637076137054208","date":"2022-03-23 14:20:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ankit_Quant @drunkengrass I think so. Strikes me as crazy FWIW. If you buy a paper book you should get the Kindle version and audiobook for a nominal extra fee. It's literally zero cost for them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1506495323111272448","reply_id":"1506634843219763204","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Ankit_Quant","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1506637076137054208","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1749244081740628101":{"id":"1749244081740628101","date":"2024-01-22 01:34:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase It's not.\n\nFor example, the loom isn't about intermediating your relationship with reality.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1749240389847150675","reply_id":"1749240878231592993","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":191,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1749244081740628101","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1436114263307808792":{"id":"1436114263307808792","date":"2021-09-09 23:48:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames How different is the picture if you use medians?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1436106099489337348","reply_id":"1436106099489337348","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1436114263307808792","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1372602703528947712":{"id":"1372602703528947712","date":"2021-03-18 17:36:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HerrickAshler @Ksidiii You have to work hard to *avoid* fat tails when you combine distributions with different variances.\n\nIt's pretty universal.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1372574131787603969","reply_id":"1372575075698872321","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"PoignantPoisson","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1372602703528947712","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1300831151725051904":{"id":"1300831151725051904","date":"2020-09-01 16:21:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_____Lightning It's fine, it takes nearly zero time to decline invites. I just wonder about the LI invite economy.\n\nSay I'm a big invite sender. I only get 25% accepts. Wonderful, I've just connected with the clueless/bored fraction of Linkedin. Great.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1300819603942064133","reply_id":"1300827883947122691","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_____Lightning","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1300831151725051904","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1498147820804530182":{"id":"1498147820804530182","date":"2022-02-28 04:07:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"6/\n\n- VPIN\n- Some weird phenomenological skew + jumps options model.\n\nFeels good to get all this off my chest but I'm left wondering if I did anything useful at all ever. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1498146053366845441","reply_id":"1498147135509831682","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1498147820804530182","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1994039765772194065":{"id":"1994039765772194065","date":"2025-11-27 13:45:02","author":"Alexander Osipovich","handle":"aosipovich","text":"@zGuz Lamont Baker, a self-professed drug dealer and fellow inmate of Do Kwon's at Essex County Correctional Facility in New Jersey, says Do has been teaching him computer programming in jail. (13/x)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1993997201706766832","reply_id":"1994038318372409555","quote_id":"1994045045343965319","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"aosipovich","likes":79,"retweets":4,"replies":3,"quotes":11,"views":51953,"bookmarks":13,"media":["1994039765772194065_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/aosipovich/status/1994039765772194065"},"2080983945269669998":{"id":"2080983945269669998","date":"2026-07-25 11:50:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's always harder than you hope and easier than you think.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2080983945269669998","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":86,"retweets":5,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4775,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2080983945269669998","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1709328411582419434":{"id":"1709328411582419434","date":"2023-10-03 22:03:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@firstlawofvol You're not the first to recommend it...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709301038841549098","reply_id":"1709321799983673716","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"firstlawofvol","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":224,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1709328411582419434","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1346141081331585026":{"id":"1346141081331585026","date":"2021-01-04 17:06:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"8/ So when *are* A options worth more than E options?\n\nFor calls, it's when the option is going to lose the right to something at some point. For example when stocks pay divs.\n\nFor puts, it's when money having money is worth a lot (High interest environments. Remember those?).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346141080366981120","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":29,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346141081331585026","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1569472323220283392":{"id":"1569472323220283392","date":"2022-09-12 23:45:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 @Uncentive1 @therobotjames @worstcontrarian No one said it was profitable. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1569236488231202819","reply_id":"1569240088336531456","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1569472323220283392","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1542603276587130880":{"id":"1542603276587130880","date":"2022-06-30 20:17:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily (breaks out vacuum tube telephone switch gear)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542600510603112448","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1542603276587130880","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1976732772623634839":{"id":"1976732772623634839","date":"2025-10-10 19:33:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@outpxce Sure, you can bet on sports, er I mean \"predict\" sports. And elections, and dildoes. It's a wonderful panoply of value.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1976645088433656219","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":827,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1976732772623634839","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1974796000972927173":{"id":"1974796000972927173","date":"2025-10-05 11:17:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The landscape in Czechia has a deep quality of reasonableness.\n\n- Not inhospitable. Things grow here.\n- Unlike more tropical, wetter places, nature won't swallow you up if you forgo constant vigilance.\n\nRolling hills. Forests, grasslands. A place that yields to reasonable effort.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1974796000972927173","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":39,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":6548,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1974796000972927173","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1454911421368602630":{"id":"1454911421368602630","date":"2021-10-31 20:41:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @lightspringfox @WallStreetCorgi And the most common situation:\n\n- Write the obvious thing.\n- It's correct.\n- Lament how much of it is boilerplate you've written a hundred times before.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1454900613427441666","reply_id":"1454910964298498053","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1454911421368602630","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1732803038161805516":{"id":"1732803038161805516","date":"2023-12-07 16:43:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"High school focused 100% on kids starting businesses.\n\nWhy not?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1732803038161805516","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":37,"retweets":0,"replies":14,"quotes":0,"views":6784,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1732803038161805516","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1934662477444432287":{"id":"1934662477444432287","date":"2025-06-16 17:20:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase @Gingfacekillah 🤷‍♂️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1934660019699540036","reply_id":"1934661415836508498","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":163,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1934662477444432287","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2029527211976298936":{"id":"2029527211976298936","date":"2026-03-05 11:59:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Anything missing?\n\nBetween ~1996 and ~2022 nothing made the list?\n\nA 26 year period during which he wrote \"Software is Eating the World\" and was himself supposedly the greatest SaaS investor in said world?\n\n🤯","hashtags":[],"conv":"2029527211976298936","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":78,"retweets":1,"replies":8,"quotes":1,"views":10659,"bookmarks":12,"media":["2029527211976298936_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2029527211976298936","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1924192232879357994":{"id":"1924192232879357994","date":"2025-05-18 19:55:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sean91237 Yes it is. But you're talking about 3-5 companies out of 10s of thousands.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1923991969199521792","reply_id":"1924149195033718814","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sean91237","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":297,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1924192232879357994","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1287756394309939201":{"id":"1287756394309939201","date":"2020-07-27 14:27:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein @SinclairEuan This was great!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1287715255456538624","reply_id":"1287715255456538624","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1287756394309939201","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1795574926289891387":{"id":"1795574926289891387","date":"2024-05-28 21:56:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@netcapgirl Because byte pair encoding.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1795565459422474276","reply_id":"1795565459422474276","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"netcapgirl","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":229,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1795574926289891387","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1693694721288437851":{"id":"1693694721288437851","date":"2023-08-21 18:41:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5. Alcaraz is most of the way through the process of figuring this out in-match. Notice the big points he lost in that match. They were all due to him going for a bit too much.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1693694715135394102","reply_id":"1693694720055374232","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":976,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1693694721288437851","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1982109734150049906":{"id":"1982109734150049906","date":"2025-10-25 15:39:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@db_fink Unclear. Authoritarianism seems to be having its moment, across the political spectrum, across the world.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1982014400593576127","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":353,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1982109734150049906","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1454896805183832068":{"id":"1454896805183832068","date":"2021-10-31 19:43:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"12/ America loves to think of itself as the land of opportunity, but that's not what we're teaching our kids.\n\nWe're teaching them \"your win is someone else's loss\" and \"being good at something means mastering the rules of a tiny artificial universe.\"\n\n@KrisAbdelmessih thoughts?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1454896792802267140","reply_id":"1454896803975860229","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1454896805183832068","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1184830350867849216":{"id":"1184830350867849216","date":"2019-10-17 13:55:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Noahpinion China: well-known open borders country.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1184830036265721856","reply_id":"1184830036265721856","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Noahpinion","likes":27,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1184830350867849216","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1550342361053405185":{"id":"1550342361053405185","date":"2022-07-22 04:49:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1. Retail traders outnumber pros 1000:1 or more in the real world.\n\n2. Yet somehow the 654 respondents to this poll are fairly evenly split.\n\n🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1550342361053405185","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1550342361053405185","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1612822020135481346":{"id":"1612822020135481346","date":"2023-01-10 14:41:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite GADTs are incredibly powerful if you use them properly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1612801086615609344","reply_id":"1612801086615609344","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":249,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1612822020135481346","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1533858684685545472":{"id":"1533858684685545472","date":"2022-06-06 17:09:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nearcausality Doing coding at home with kids around << all other options","hashtags":[],"conv":"1533858201665421315","reply_id":"1533858201665421315","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nearcausality","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1533858684685545472","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1650681516006195201":{"id":"1650681516006195201","date":"2023-04-25 02:01:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Remember that movie where Tom Hanks plays an everyman character who's thrust into an exceptional circumstance he has to handle with gentle decency?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1650681516006195201","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":6680,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1650681516006195201","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1502089997905657857":{"id":"1502089997905657857","date":"2022-03-11 01:12:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vgr 0.699 in Georgia 1998.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1502089507507634180","reply_id":"1502089507507634180","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vgr","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1502089997905657857","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1714733272587268217":{"id":"1714733272587268217","date":"2023-10-18 20:00:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sentientETF @FormulaDeltaOne This is what I was going to write.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1714723337711104095","reply_id":"1714724397645238636","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sentientETF","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":258,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1714733272587268217","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1546541725740544000":{"id":"1546541725740544000","date":"2022-07-11 17:07:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EconShiller @GestaltU Perhaps.\n\nThough it's been a pretty marked change (IMHO) in the last 10 years, so maybe quick enough for it not to be a cohort thing?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546539032745844736","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546541725740544000","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1389398774762459143":{"id":"1389398774762459143","date":"2021-05-04 01:57:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brenorb @therobotjames @M1tchRosenthal @ichiisan @goodalexander If we're not enjoying it, what are we even doing here? 😜","hashtags":[],"conv":"1389387050856579072","reply_id":"1389398437225959428","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"brenorb","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1389398774762459143","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1558190970742550528":{"id":"1558190970742550528","date":"2022-08-12 20:37:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"The only interesting questions are the ones whose answers you can't find online.\"\n\nAs a life-organizing principle, this idea is only getting better and better over time.\n\n(he said online)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1558190970742550528","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":40,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1558190970742550528","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1488701530085625857":{"id":"1488701530085625857","date":"2022-02-02 02:31:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily One of the areas of cost savings in a crypto vs tradfi trading operation is middle office.\n\nReconciliation of sheets, such an unnecessary extravagance...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1488696555804581892","reply_id":"1488700887715377152","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1488701530085625857","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1506667559155765250":{"id":"1506667559155765250","date":"2022-03-23 16:21:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@homeorhetic @KrisAbdelmessih @bennpeifert Very informative. In most well-observed markets this means you've missed something. A borrow cost, a funding cost, etc etc.\n\nBest thing is to try to do the arb in small size and figure out where you were wrong and lost $. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1506659393315692547","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1506667559155765250","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1819319585914671579":{"id":"1819319585914671579","date":"2024-08-02 10:29:25","author":"Marc Andreessen 🇺🇸","handle":"pmarca","text":"Organizations that don’t have to be competent, aren’t.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1819319585914671579","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1819442572319994049","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5346,"retweets":538,"replies":192,"quotes":80,"views":364501,"bookmarks":357,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/pmarca/status/1819319585914671579"},"1783294802739818852":{"id":"1783294802739818852","date":"2024-04-25 00:39:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@samuha 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1783272438396330474","reply_id":"1783287359859028055","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"samuha","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1454,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1783294802739818852","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1517304810344620033":{"id":"1517304810344620033","date":"2022-04-22 00:50:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@rajivpoc This may technically be high school, but it's pretty legit:\n\nhttps://artofproblemsolving.com/wiki/index.php/Category:Intermediate_Number_Theory_Problems","hashtags":[],"conv":"1517303314693599232","reply_id":"1517303314693599232","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"rajivpoc","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1517304810344620033","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1555601407658434560":{"id":"1555601407658434560","date":"2022-08-05 17:07:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EgeErdil2 Upside: I made some money in financial markets.\n\nDownside: I accelerated the heat death of the universe.\n\nTough call.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1555573393402916864","reply_id":"1555600517203623938","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EgeErdil2","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1555601407658434560","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1851986549149159813":{"id":"1851986549149159813","date":"2024-10-31 13:56:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Great book from a great guy. Victor is very generous with his time and insight.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1851986549149159813","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3495,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1851986549149159813","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1680280093997023232":{"id":"1680280093997023232","date":"2023-07-15 18:16:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@idoccor @alvinjamur @StevenACohen2 And quant devs are just devs who are ok-but-not-great at computers?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1680220084860600321","reply_id":"1680226438602014727","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"idoccor","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":715,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1680280093997023232","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1707112331128525253":{"id":"1707112331128525253","date":"2023-09-27 19:17:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"ChatGPT web browsing is... underwhelming.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1707112331128525253","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":3406,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1707112331128525253_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1707112331128525253","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1246092152926420997":{"id":"1246092152926420997","date":"2020-04-03 15:08:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@petergarnry I spent around 5mins grinding on that problem and it's not easy. The small-move beta isn't really helping you much, that's for sure.\n\nCurious what you've thought of.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1246084390129750017","reply_id":"1246091029176102914","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"petergarnry","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1246092152926420997","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1770918490846740751":{"id":"1770918490846740751","date":"2024-03-21 21:00:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I cite as evidence that Rafa Nadal, possibly the greatest forehand and certainly the greatest left-hander ever, is naturally right-handed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1770916075234103409","reply_id":"1770916075234103409","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2559,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1770918490846740751","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1958910573610979454":{"id":"1958910573610979454","date":"2025-08-22 15:14:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LarryPanozzo @CJHandmer No.\n\nhttp://mathacademy.com","hashtags":[],"conv":"1958664298345242660","reply_id":"1958901638950699370","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"LarryPanozzo","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":513,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1958910573610979454","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1639629744852578305":{"id":"1639629744852578305","date":"2023-03-25 14:06:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Looking through your downloads folder must be what Schliemann felt at Troy.\n\nWhat are these artifacts?\nWho was this ancient civilization?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1639629744852578305","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":31,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3608,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1639629744852578305","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1767765034153976129":{"id":"1767765034153976129","date":"2024-03-13 04:10:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Timothy_twatson Burger flipper all day.\n\nB & B were role models!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1767700907272343651","reply_id":"1767706045181563042","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Timothy_twatson","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":184,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1767765034153976129","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1368993191773360130":{"id":"1368993191773360130","date":"2021-03-08 18:33:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih You stole my response. This, exactly.\n\nPeople refusing $ for doing borderline shady stuff is among the best predictors of all-around good-to-know-ness.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1368991061884870658","reply_id":"1368991061884870658","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1368993191773360130","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1905146254989939064":{"id":"1905146254989939064","date":"2025-03-27 06:33:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Part of what made his movies special is a certain ephemeral, idiosyncratic, humanistic quality. The same can be said for another frequent target for style transfer: Vincent Van Gogh.\n\nThe uniqueness of the vision, and the associated scarcity, is what gave it a lot of its value.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1905146253341499798","reply_id":"1905146253341499798","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1054,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1905146254989939064","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1486813088338755591":{"id":"1486813088338755591","date":"2022-01-27 21:27:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Right now there are a few hundred thousand people in India who if:\n- identified\n- trained for 6 months\n- mentored\ncould be better at writing code than at least half the devs currently making $120k/year in the US. At a quarter the cost.\n\nA deca-unicorn for the first one to do it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486813088338755591","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":70,"retweets":3,"replies":16,"quotes":5,"views":0,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1486813088338755591","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1308247449572499457":{"id":"1308247449572499457","date":"2020-09-22 03:31:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Energetic321 @VitruviusCurve Until you get caught and go to jail.\n\nIt's a dangerous game to play...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1308072669133369345","reply_id":"1308074749554286592","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Energetic321","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1308247449572499457","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1633934275501502464":{"id":"1633934275501502464","date":"2023-03-09 20:54:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"19/ Now here’s the cool part: the customer can take that receipt and check it against the public proof (which is published on Ethereum).\n\nThey verify that THEIR specific liability has been included in the public proof.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633934250620891136","reply_id":"1633934274226421761","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2253,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633934275501502464","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1532371057922822145":{"id":"1532371057922822145","date":"2022-06-02 14:38:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @bookdepth Pace?\n\nThe whole point of these finance industry races is to smash out the first quarter mile at an I-haven't-felt-adrenaline-like-this-since-college-and-I-work-in-an-office-now pace of 4:55 per mile.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1532342222540218368","reply_id":"1532370208081453058","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1532371057922822145","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1593030460556574721":{"id":"1593030460556574721","date":"2022-11-16 23:57:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal AFAIK you're doing this for fun. Right?\n\nSo use that luxury of not having to deliver something on a timeline. Build the foundation one solid brick at a time. Something you can build a skyscraper on, not a shack. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1593025799682412544","reply_id":"1593030160994820096","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1593030460556574721","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1621618014780268544":{"id":"1621618014780268544","date":"2023-02-03 21:13:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @0xdoug It's like mining coal in the 70s.\n\nThose houses have to stay heated somehow, and it's your job to make it happen.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1621598638249066501","reply_id":"1621617470246207492","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1077,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1621618014780268544","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1415323009229807620":{"id":"1415323009229807620","date":"2021-07-14 14:51:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"29/ I was inspired to talk about this by @KrisAbdelmessih's recent newsletter on pay for traders.\n\nhttps://mailchi.mp/3313ea5fbe52/weekly-moontower-musing-115\n\nAlso recent discussions with @RockshotJ and others.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"1415321262046416896","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415323009229807620","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1400961882937184259":{"id":"1400961882937184259","date":"2021-06-04 23:45:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @EconShiller @SqueezeMetrics @Ksidiii @therobotjames Become an expert at some random esoteric thing. With little regard for $. Let your curiosity guide you. Build models to explain things, and predict things. Even if those models don't make $.\n\nBecome the world's expert at predicting volume, for example. Volume isn't tradable.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1400892689101565954","reply_id":"1400961500378894336","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1400961882937184259","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1950940772838134250":{"id":"1950940772838134250","date":"2025-07-31 15:25:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT I don't say trading isn't gambling.\nI say it isn't *just* gambling.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1950823732316082301","reply_id":"1950940491639349409","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":290,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1950940772838134250","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1521299424097435648":{"id":"1521299424097435648","date":"2022-05-03 01:23:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@benhayesnyc - Challenger Deep Capital\n- Laurentian Abyssal Partners\n\n\"The officers and I... will scuttle the ship.\"\n\"You will receive the Order of Lenin for this Captain!\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1521298366662991872","reply_id":"1521298918516006912","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"benhayesnyc","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1521299424097435648","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1723045743773073735":{"id":"1723045743773073735","date":"2023-11-10 18:31:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"But now that we're rich, and capital is desperate for a return, you just need to say enough of the words to get the resources to do the thing you want.\n\nPerversely, a natural consequence has been more word-saying as people realize they can't compete on the merits of doing things.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1723045742091120737","reply_id":"1723045742091120737","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1115,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1723045743773073735","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1618677320432357378":{"id":"1618677320432357378","date":"2023-01-26 18:28:41","author":"Vance Spencer","handle":"pythianism","text":"one of our most promising startups is coming out of stealth in 2-3 weeks and it's a product the crypto ecosystem needs. proud to be investing in Raposa alongside @balajis and @naval and @adayeoyh.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1618677320432357378","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1618687405443407872","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":205,"retweets":8,"replies":12,"quotes":4,"views":63912,"bookmarks":44,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/pythianism/status/1618677320432357378"},"1575660592647393280":{"id":"1575660592647393280","date":"2022-09-30 01:35:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Sounds like the pension funds did a great trade.\n\nIf you have a free implicit BOE put, you damn well better monetize that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1575660592647393280","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1575840402707427328","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":60,"retweets":3,"replies":5,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1575660592647393280","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1906713860721013044":{"id":"1906713860721013044","date":"2025-03-31 14:23:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Nyrkes Knowing what you call a symbol and what other people (BBG, Reuters, your broker, ISIN, SEDOL, etc) call them is a work Ponzi, sadly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1906692355731734675","reply_id":"1906693395910955345","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"samansaama","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":567,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1906713860721013044","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1494836470741274624":{"id":"1494836470741274624","date":"2022-02-19 00:49:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Tell me I used to multitable 3/6NL online without telling me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494734029202984963","reply_id":"1494775801551540227","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494836470741274624","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2061705224926929251":{"id":"2061705224926929251","date":"2026-06-02 07:03:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"All of his writing has this totalitarian quality to it. I enjoyed Three Worlds Collide, for example. At least it was more well-written and entertaining. But it also clearly shows the totalitarian impulse even more clearly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2061705220963389788","reply_id":"2061705223077253626","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2418,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2061705224926929251","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1268750550071296000":{"id":"1268750550071296000","date":"2020-06-05 03:44:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @bennpeifert @Quantocracy @Robot_Wealth @robotwealth Atoning for my snark, here's an idea for an educational article series (with a slightly clickbait-y title): \"Learn to price options in your head\"\n\nStart with PC parity.\nThen derive ATM straddle (0.8 S sigma sqrt(T)).\nThen 16d puts/calls (1 stdev OTM).\nThen interpolate others.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1268601039646687232","reply_id":"1268748626718687232","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1268750550071296000","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1397041324063301632":{"id":"1397041324063301632","date":"2021-05-25 04:06:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal \"When in doubt, take logs. It might help.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1397039816827711490","reply_id":"1397040926179090433","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1397041324063301632","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1628452483059306497":{"id":"1628452483059306497","date":"2023-02-22 17:51:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 Hiring is very very hard to do well.\n\nAnd the more you do it the more you realize how hard it is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1628449259870883848","reply_id":"1628451992246063104","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2337,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1628452483059306497","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1420558362463268864":{"id":"1420558362463268864","date":"2021-07-29 01:34:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pmontu33 @2_7182818285 I was blocked by him many moons ago.\n\nI think he didn't like it when I claimed that his fancy fractional integration is easily approximated as sums of exponentials.\n\nI didn't even get to the AQR firing...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420131145669169153","reply_id":"1420557659800014849","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pmontu33","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420558362463268864","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1627797304492302336":{"id":"1627797304492302336","date":"2023-02-20 22:28:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Greatest nerd joke ever told on broadcast TV? My vote:\n\n\"And it's a dead heat. They're checking the electron microscope... and the winner is... number 3, in a quantum finish!\"\n\n\"No fair! You changed the outcome by measuring it!\"\n\nAh Futurama.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1627797304492302336","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":43,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4679,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1627797304492302336","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1681755395713548289":{"id":"1681755395713548289","date":"2023-07-19 19:58:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @ONAN_OUS Bighetti for Stanford prez.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1681742030798729221","reply_id":"1681743865856815105","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":716,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1681755395713548289","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1542503953241231360":{"id":"1542503953241231360","date":"2022-06-30 13:42:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase @worstcontrarian No galaxy brain here. Up to but not exceeding Kelly.\n\nAnd I'd have to be pretty damn sure it was *actually* 60%!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542335385967394816","reply_id":"1542476742752870400","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1542503953241231360","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1797256714162729054":{"id":"1797256714162729054","date":"2024-06-02 13:19:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeepDishEnjoyer @vanillaopinions A trading analogy: if your goal is to \"do trades\" then doing the ones that come to mind works fine. You do a lot of them.\n\nIf your goal is to make money, filtering the trades that come to mind is pretty important.\n\nDepends what you're after I guess.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1796972914907943215","reply_id":"1797255517460648273","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeepDishEnjoyer","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":590,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1797256714162729054","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1141562477555195904":{"id":"1141562477555195904","date":"2019-06-20 04:24:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OddStats Don't worry, there's always a next trade to hindsight-agonize over.\nLaw Of Trading #2: You're never happy with the size you did. #lawsoftrading","hashtags":["lawsoftrading"],"conv":"1141562061333229574","reply_id":"1141562061333229574","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OddStats","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1141562477555195904","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1778904217362534568":{"id":"1778904217362534568","date":"2024-04-12 21:53:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"For millennia the ruling class has figured out ways to perpetuate itself.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1778904217362534568","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":29,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":5974,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1778904217362534568","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1970703613552128040":{"id":"1970703613552128040","date":"2025-09-24 04:15:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Them: That's not a function!\nMe: Yes it is.\n\nThem: A function like that is pointless. (everything they don't like is \"pointless\")\nMe: Haha, well, you'll get to the lattices of open sets later on. Maybe.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970703034528465293","reply_id":"1970703034528465293","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":72,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":4836,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1970703613552128040","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1617183130938638346":{"id":"1617183130938638346","date":"2023-01-22 15:31:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@QuantPrincess Same, basically.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1617150805685186560","reply_id":"1617178990401273857","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuantPrincess","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":468,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1617183130938638346","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1501797777570873346":{"id":"1501797777570873346","date":"2022-03-10 05:51:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@totlsota @nope_its_lily @FREAK0NAUT @be20684347 @M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames This is a fun and little-known fact. I never figured out a way to use it:\n\nhttps://stats.stackexchange.com/questions/140080/why-does-inversion-of-a-covariance-matrix-yield-partial-correlations-between-ran\n\nThough I tried...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"1501795637192441860","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"totlsota","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501797777570873346","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1427837463507083269":{"id":"1427837463507083269","date":"2021-08-18 03:39:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The concept of a \"10x dev\" is a Rorschach test for tech people. Linkedin is full of periodic flamewars on the subjects.\n\nI just grab my popcorn and watch.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1427837463507083269","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1427837463507083269","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1397194893777321998":{"id":"1397194893777321998","date":"2021-05-25 14:16:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @danielrock Yes, Heston FTW!\n\nIt's surprisingly not-painful to sim a Heston process and it gets you pretty real-worldy behavior out of the box (for sensible parameters obv).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1397070816890691585","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1397194893777321998","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1715506814601789676":{"id":"1715506814601789676","date":"2023-10-20 23:14:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Our Lady Peace's sample of Ray Kurzweil has lived rent-free in my head for decades.\n\nLately it's been upgrading its living quarters too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1715506814601789676","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1989,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1715506814601789676","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1693992138277859624":{"id":"1693992138277859624","date":"2023-08-22 14:22:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Fun little conundrum for my kid this morning:\n\nBefore Internet and mobile phones, how did parents get notified of a school snow day?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1693992138277859624","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":12,"quotes":0,"views":9550,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1693992138277859624","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1449009356033310720":{"id":"1449009356033310720","date":"2021-10-15 13:48:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @theemilyaccount @lightspringfox @drewg__ I've always broken it down into two functions like this:\n\n- update_state(old_state, event) -> new_state\n- actions_from_state(state) -> list of desired actions\n\nIMO this makes it easier to test, for one thing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448975193511182344","reply_id":"1448976230611656706","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1449009356033310720","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1549239760723382272":{"id":"1549239760723382272","date":"2022-07-19 03:48:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @worstcontrarian @be20684347 Expected Returns - Antti Ilmanen. Excellent.\n\nFinding Alpha - @egfalken. Idiosyncratic but really makes you think hard, which is all you can ask for in a book.\n\nHull is a bible AFAIC. Drills into your head that the price of a derivative is defined by how you can hedge it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548989902570012672","reply_id":"1549238683039309824","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":51,"retweets":4,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":59,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1549239760723382272","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1427724860541739011":{"id":"1427724860541739011","date":"2021-08-17 20:11:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @nope_its_lily @NewRiverInvest @ryxcommar @bennpeifert There's always a price *someone* will be willing to sell at.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1427671649545900036","reply_id":"1427724289092902912","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1427724860541739011","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1699481372778455360":{"id":"1699481372778455360","date":"2023-09-06 17:55:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"At this point it seems overwhelmingly likely that median SW dev salaries in 2040 are going to be pretty middling. And its status will renormalize accordingly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1699481367359177063","reply_id":"1699481371604050309","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3011,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1699481372778455360","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1498865817206726663":{"id":"1498865817206726663","date":"2022-03-02 03:40:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein @SinclairEuan Yeah, the tax benefits are definitely a thing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1498855385108680704","reply_id":"1498865527208435713","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1498865817206726663","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1499160526697369602":{"id":"1499160526697369602","date":"2022-03-02 23:11:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Who had \"Roman Abramovich sells Chelsea\" on their 2022 bingo card?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1499160526697369602","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1499160526697369602","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1415321035155468294":{"id":"1415321035155468294","date":"2021-07-14 14:43:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"12/ What does this mean in practice? First, it means getting rid of some things:\n\n- Whiteboard coding for devs. How about you sit them in front of an actual, you know, computer if you want them to write code?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"1415321034216022024","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415321035155468294","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1504223270047916034":{"id":"1504223270047916034","date":"2022-03-16 22:29:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@whirlybard @pranavvk @therobotjames You're probably sizing your bet too big relative to your capital. Paging @SinclairEuan","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503862489599340544","reply_id":"1504215105026015232","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"whirlybard","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1504223270047916034","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1505689729446014976":{"id":"1505689729446014976","date":"2022-03-20 23:36:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily At the extreme end it's a negative.\nIn my experience hiring IMO people:\n\nselection camp > participant = bronze > silver > gold","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505688775132913665","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505689729446014976","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1667981388841361408":{"id":"1667981388841361408","date":"2023-06-11 19:45:27","author":"Amjad Masad","handle":"amasad","text":"Still in disbelief that within 5 minutes of adding a new team member to @Replit, they can open Replit in Replit and make a code change. Ghostwriter jumps in with a helpful message to unblock if they hit a snag.\n\nCan't wait to bring this experience to other companies.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1667981388841361408","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1668339394292641793","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":427,"retweets":26,"replies":14,"quotes":4,"views":55914,"bookmarks":57,"media":["1667981388841361408_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/amasad/status/1667981388841361408"},"1491597579661963266":{"id":"1491597579661963266","date":"2022-02-10 02:19:10","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"@volpompilano I have thought very deeply about this and have my answer. \n\nIf you are 40 and dissatisfied, you have a choice. Race to your number, straining each year against the grain. Hopefully you're not far away. \n\nOr \n\nCompletely re-think about how this all works. \n\nHere's what I mean...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1491570963728662532","reply_id":"1491570963728662532","quote_id":"1491605459807006722","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"l1quid1ty","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1491597579661963266"},"1470874084300890112":{"id":"1470874084300890112","date":"2021-12-14 21:51:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's kind of amazing how little trust anyone I know has in the US Federal government.\n\nI seriously can't imagine an American citizen saying with a straight face \"the government does a good job with X.\" For any X.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1470874084300890112","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1470874084300890112","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2066543853444968708":{"id":"2066543853444968708","date":"2026-06-15 15:30:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's the last honest profession. No sales, no marketing, no bullshit.\n\nIt's just: may the best prices win.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2066543853444968708","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":300,"retweets":2,"replies":19,"quotes":1,"views":40296,"bookmarks":50,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2066543853444968708","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1449791588918444039":{"id":"1449791588918444039","date":"2021-10-17 17:37:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tommycollison The Morning Star - Knausgaard\n\nI keep asking myself \"Is this magical realism or not?\" and not coming up with answer (450 pages in!).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1449786332700569602","reply_id":"1449786332700569602","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tommycollison","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1449791588918444039","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1915130959948599372":{"id":"1915130959948599372","date":"2025-04-23 19:49:36","author":"wordgrammer","handle":"wordgrammer","text":"OpenAI comms:\n\nWe released a new model! I hope you like it ❤️\n\nDeepMind comms:\n\nWe simulated the microbiome of Albanian pig farmers, leading to the discovery of a new species of invasive fungus","hashtags":[],"conv":"1915130959948599372","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1915357266296942702","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1201,"retweets":58,"replies":15,"quotes":6,"views":53122,"bookmarks":91,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/wordgrammer/status/1915130959948599372"},"1481475271714762753":{"id":"1481475271714762753","date":"2022-01-13 03:56:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@forwardrate @FREAK0NAUT @therobotjames @Buy_The_Dip_ @vixologist @kchoudhu Good idea.\n\nIf you're interested in phil of science in general, highly recommend Theory And Reality - Peter Godfrey-Smith.\n\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Theory-Reality-Introduction-Philosophy-Foundations/dp/0226300633","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481302561592422402","reply_id":"1481474760349745154","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"thecertainwill","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1481475271714762753","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1645070028633673729":{"id":"1645070028633673729","date":"2023-04-09 14:23:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @shanebacon Sam Bennett (a): 10/10 no notes.\nRahm: Makes any clothes look misshapen. Cursed.\n\nAnyone with the oversized pink Vineyard Vines logo: burn those clothes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1645040125699579905","reply_id":"1645040425525207041","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":660,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1645070028633673729","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2021266471406666231":{"id":"2021266471406666231","date":"2026-02-10 16:54:14","author":"Noam Brown","handle":"polynoamial","text":"I appreciate @Anthropic's honesty in their latest system card, but the content of it does not give me confidence that the company will act responsibly with deployment of advanced AI models:\n\n-They primarily relied on an internal survey to determine whether Opus 4.6 crossed their autonomous AI R&D-4 threshold (and would thus require stronger safeguards to release under their Responsible Scaling Policy). This wasn't even an external survey of an impartial 3rd party, but rather a survey of Anthropic employees.\n\n-When 5/16 internal survey respondents initially gave an assessment that suggested stronger safeguards might be needed for model release, Anthropic followed up with those employees specifically and asked them to \"clarify their views.\" They do not mention any similar follow-up for the other 11/16 respondents. There is no discussion in the system card of how this may create bias in the survey results.\n\n-Their reason for relying on surveys is that their existing AI R&D evals are saturated. Some might argue that AI progress has been so fast that it's understandable they don't have more advanced quantitative evaluations yet, but we can and should hold AI labs to a high bar. Also, other labs do have advanced AI R&D evals that aren't saturated. For example, OpenAI has the OPQA benchmark which measures AI models' ability to solve real internal problems that OpenAI research teams encountered and that took the team more than a day to solve.\n\nI don't think Opus 4.6 is actually at the level of a remote entry-level AI researcher, and I don't think it's dangerous to release. But the point of a Responsible Scaling Policy is to build institutional muscle and good habits before things do become serious. Internal surveys, especially as Anthropic has administered them, are not a responsible substitute for quantitative evaluations.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2021266471406666231","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2021670859136807397","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":943,"retweets":65,"replies":58,"quotes":15,"views":190884,"bookmarks":272,"media":["2021266471406666231_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/polynoamial/status/2021266471406666231"},"1989805953110475101":{"id":"1989805953110475101","date":"2025-11-15 21:21:22","author":"Lance Breitstein 🇺🇸🌎","handle":"TheOneLanceB","text":"RT @TheOneLanceB: Totally understand your perspective. No need to delete anything as I think it’s useful for people to read constructive discourse.\n\nI’ve explored this same topic and have had my own debates back-and-forth.\n\nMy conclusion was that the devil is in the details. On social media, a lot of success is either fake, cherry-picked, or survivorship bias. Many do get sold a dream through marketing. \n\nThat said, some do succeed who otherwise wouldn’t have had a shot. And if someone is willing to pay for the shot bc they don’t have other options?\n\nTrillium only hires direct out of undergrad. There are very few seats at these tables.\n\nOne of my good friends who is an incredible trader has a criminal record and would never be given a seat at the table yet now has found amazing success thanks to online content and community.\n\nI do think it becomes a fine line dependent on structure, incentives, and whether the firm is truly setup to help you stand the best shot at success versus having incentive to have you fail.\n\nBut like most things in life, it’s never as straightforward as our gut reaction tends to think.\n\nMy views continue to evolve to this day as I learn more about the funded trader space and those who utilize them.\n\nI appreciate your response and your openness to hear my opinion and even more rarely, to change your stance.\n\nThanks Agustin. The internet needs more civil discourse and less hot takes and divisiveness 🙏🤝","hashtags":[],"conv":"1989805953110475101","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"1989804578582274382","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheOneLanceB/status/1989805953110475101"},"2038623474038493619":{"id":"2038623474038493619","date":"2026-03-30 14:24:46","author":"Charles🔸","handle":"CharlesD353","text":"RT @CharlesD353: I'm begging all the people who say this to please do a back of the envelope calculation that shows what they mean and how much money they think could be made rather than hand waving \"financial markets\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"2038623474038493619","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2038524030211203287","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":4,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/CharlesD353/status/2038623474038493619"},"1375119232250208260":{"id":"1375119232250208260","date":"2021-03-25 16:15:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"11/ Too little var is boring. The same person/team winning every single time makes people turn away.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1375119223693864961","reply_id":"1375119231398764547","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1375119232250208260","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1946147008848302394":{"id":"1946147008848302394","date":"2025-07-18 09:56:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BeforeTheOpen 5 words is sometimes better than 10 tweets.\n\nNice.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946114875899486383","reply_id":"1946146316934934813","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BeforeTheOpen","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":36,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946147008848302394","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1632403537744531456":{"id":"1632403537744531456","date":"2023-03-05 15:31:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"People who drop \"truth bombs\" mostly just like dropping bombs.\n\nThe truth part is just a happy accident, if it happens.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632403537744531456","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3292,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632403537744531456","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1238503398929862656":{"id":"1238503398929862656","date":"2020-03-13 16:33:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@6_Figure_Invest @investinvol @vixologist @dynamicvol @bennpeifert @pat_hennessy Yeah, that's the biggest difference for sure.\n\nBut with a normal ETF, you can always hand the issuer a basket. With ETNs, you're at the mercy of their replication mechanism. VIXpocalypse 2 years ago.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1238444450654887937","reply_id":"1238502637407879168","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"6_Figure_Invest","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1238503398929862656","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2055677798975426994":{"id":"2055677798975426994","date":"2026-05-16 15:52:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The nihilism on display in some of the replies... wow y'all are some misanthropic fucks.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2055619318994337957","reply_id":"2055619318994337957","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":31,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2351,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2055677798975426994","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1547072155224903680":{"id":"1547072155224903680","date":"2022-07-13 04:15:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ejames_c But the real world ISN'T like this. The difference between a highly successful entrepreneur and someone who's not as good ISN'T that the former has figured out more micro-cases and gotten good at them.\n\nIt's a different thing entirely.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1547064541301075968","reply_id":"1547071950026985472","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1547072155224903680","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1390451209929035777":{"id":"1390451209929035777","date":"2021-05-06 23:39:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Come on @elonmusk, where my @neuralink at? 🤷‍♂️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1390450373417000963","reply_id":"1390450373417000963","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1390451209929035777","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1548051162485510146":{"id":"1548051162485510146","date":"2022-07-15 21:05:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @pmontu33 Exactly. Hence part (b) in my statement from before.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548007648007634944","reply_id":"1548045749266423816","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1548051162485510146","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1545835752696623104":{"id":"1545835752696623104","date":"2022-07-09 18:22:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NotQuiteMidlife @matt_levine Here's hoping he does.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1545835533946871808","reply_id":"1545835533946871808","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuiteMidlife","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1545835752696623104","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1301152382630285314":{"id":"1301152382630285314","date":"2020-09-02 13:37:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SimonDeDeo Not quite what you're asking for but:\n\nIn chess for the last 20 years (pre-AlphaZero) a big part of GM training was eval'ing lines on computers.\n\nAZ showed that Komodo/etc overvalue material (i.e. AZ usually wins by giving up material).\n\nA generation of GMs overvalue material.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1301150632825552897","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1301152382630285314","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1595177711055822848":{"id":"1595177711055822848","date":"2022-11-22 22:09:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nearcausality @quantian1 Exactly!!!\n\nSame in Brazil. Just a superior main dish in every way.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595171488239390734","reply_id":"1595177381521661956","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nearcausality","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1595177711055822848","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1280596356713906182":{"id":"1280596356713906182","date":"2020-07-07 20:15:38","author":"Euan Sinclair","handle":"SinclairEuan","text":"trading is all about being comfortable with ambiguity.\n\nyou have to want money more than being right.\n\nbut you also need to want the challenge more than the money","hashtags":[],"conv":"1280596356713906182","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1587873449539575808","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":176,"retweets":22,"replies":4,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":50,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SinclairEuan/status/1280596356713906182"},"1382723243371503624":{"id":"1382723243371503624","date":"2021-04-15 15:51:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_____Lightning Yeah, that's basically why I do consulting. I can come in, provide some high-value help for a short time, and hopefully leave people/orgs/companies in better shape than they were before.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"1382721615994228736","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_____Lightning","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382723243371503624","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1156214601664434176":{"id":"1156214601664434176","date":"2019-07-30 14:46:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bryan_caplan When adults can't do it, it's because X-being-true would cause a strong negative emotional reaction. Emotions shut off counterfactual reasoning abilities.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1156212531989553152","reply_id":"1156212531989553152","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bryan_caplan","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1156214601664434176","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1988534326435201493":{"id":"1988534326435201493","date":"2025-11-12 09:08:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@baynkr That's not a dunk. This is a dunk.\n\nhttps://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1988534015419146302","hashtags":[],"conv":"1988490524198592526","reply_id":"1988517403655803234","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"baynkr","likes":47,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2064,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1988534326435201493","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1968543253411528957":{"id":"1968543253411528957","date":"2025-09-18 05:11:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Kokomacro \"Everywhere else\".\n\nBeing in the market, running strategies, noticing things, thinking about things. No magic to this unfortunately.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1968371449389006877","reply_id":"1968439157065232667","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Kokomacro","likes":3,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":495,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1968543253411528957","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1721676913192902953":{"id":"1721676913192902953","date":"2023-11-06 23:52:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheZvi An LLM is like a fairly dim person with exceptional memory that learned everything it knows from the Internet, so it can sound smart sometimes as a result of that excellent recall.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1721527891370913795","reply_id":"1721527891370913795","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheZvi","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":87,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1721676913192902953","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1971304591854850155":{"id":"1971304591854850155","date":"2025-09-25 20:03:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@krishnanrohit Yes, extreme bullshit.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1971016425625305118","reply_id":"1971016425625305118","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"krishnanrohit","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":202,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1971304591854850155","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1584194245232979968":{"id":"1584194245232979968","date":"2022-10-23 14:45:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sash0x @0xfbifemboy Yeah, this is my experience in the US (14 yrs).\n\nAll the stuff you don't have to think about in other Western countries:\n\n- Optimizing your financial life cuz it has such high value/cost: taxes, retirement, c cards, etc.\n- Healthcare! Insurance co biz model is screwing you.\n- Etc","hashtags":[],"conv":"1584111476645646336","reply_id":"1584134390904299520","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdasha","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1584194245232979968","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2050155873939394958":{"id":"2050155873939394958","date":"2026-05-01 10:10:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Key insight: <some bullshit it figured out 2 contexts lengths ago but forgot>","hashtags":[],"conv":"2050155873939394958","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":39,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":4539,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2050155873939394958","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1970555217927381448":{"id":"1970555217927381448","date":"2025-09-23 18:25:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @ByrneHobart https://api.omarshehata.me/substack-proxy/articles/jmarriott-substack-com-p-the-dawn-of-the-post-literate-society-aa1.html","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970533181368738305","reply_id":"1970533181368738305","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1400,"bookmarks":7,"media":["1970555217927381448_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1970555217927381448","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1937788885771182182":{"id":"1937788885771182182","date":"2025-06-25 08:24:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Shitpost about SBF: 1M views\n\nShitpost about AI companies hiring finance quants: 100k views\n\nThoughtful thread about LLMs and the nature of cognitive tools: will cap out before 10k views\n\nDon't ever change, X.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1937788885771182182","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":165,"retweets":2,"replies":9,"quotes":1,"views":14275,"bookmarks":17,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1937788885771182182","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1351693089161711621":{"id":"1351693089161711621","date":"2021-01-20 00:48:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RFDLA @svrnco @Rick_Ferri This is a *great* question.\n\nThe best answer is that Burry didn't approach me in 2005.\n\nThe alpha-holder can pick exactly who their investor is. Look at RenTech Medallion. It's been closed *forever* and will remain so.\n\nGood mgrs pick ppl they know/trust, and who can help them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1351679935514079232","reply_id":"1351691378707763200","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RFDLA","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1351693089161711621","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1547209152606248961":{"id":"1547209152606248961","date":"2022-07-13 13:19:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ryandal @MPye1980 @ejames_c I've actually occasionally seen the reverse fallacy. Call it \"out-of-the-box thinking fallacy\", the idea that to improve or solve some problem you need to come up with something radically new.\n\nSometimes you just need to grind out small marginal improvements.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1547064541301075968","reply_id":"1547208685058793473","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ryandal","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1547209152606248961","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2057080608614957244":{"id":"2057080608614957244","date":"2026-05-20 12:46:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"To be clear, I don't blame these companies for acting this way. In their shoes I'm sure I'd do the same thing.\n\nBut you don't have to let them do it to you.\n- Find somewhere new\n- Serve out your non-compete\n- Upskill something interesting\n- And then attack something new and fun.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2057077759717871972","reply_id":"2057079049973813583","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":7497,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2057080608614957244","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1797264487667667233":{"id":"1797264487667667233","date":"2024-06-02 13:50:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeepDishEnjoyer @vanillaopinions @nope_its_lily Fair. Sorry. I often fall into the trap of fixing instead of empathizing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1796972914907943215","reply_id":"1797264083718119763","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeepDishEnjoyer","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":260,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1797264487667667233","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1541274341001658368":{"id":"1541274341001658368","date":"2022-06-27 04:16:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The \"got it all figured out\" vibe is pretty darn similar too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1541274341001658368","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1541274341001658368","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1389398233818931205":{"id":"1389398233818931205","date":"2021-05-04 01:55:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@thodoha @skawtbrown @SBF_Alameda @AlamedaTrabuco Glad you enjoyed it, and thanks for the kind thoughts.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1389387050856579072","reply_id":"1389397887142879232","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"othadoh","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1389398233818931205","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1197188085940801536":{"id":"1197188085940801536","date":"2019-11-20 16:20:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz \"This market is crazy. Nothing makes sense anymore.\" - trader whose strat has been competed away","hashtags":[],"conv":"1197182950770647050","reply_id":"1197182950770647050","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1197188085940801536","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1749898819771441655":{"id":"1749898819771441655","date":"2024-01-23 20:56:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @emilyinvc P(LARP | parody account) >> 50% at this point.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1749862249131593906","reply_id":"1749893505764176010","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":237,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1749898819771441655","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1596722138484191232":{"id":"1596722138484191232","date":"2022-11-27 04:26:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @quantian1 This is such a trope at this point that it's an excellent predictor of bullshittery.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1596664031108104192","reply_id":"1596680905329885184","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1596722138484191232","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1480927766879035405":{"id":"1480927766879035405","date":"2022-01-11 15:41:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"What gives Aggregators their power is not their control of supply: they are not the only way to find websites, or to post your opinions online; rather, it is their control of demand.\"\n\nhttps://stratechery.com/2022/opensea-raises-money-bans-nfts-openseas-value-cryptos-aggregators/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1480927766879035405","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":["1480927766879035405_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1480927766879035405","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1434963965407227905":{"id":"1434963965407227905","date":"2021-09-06 19:37:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"10/ A -> B happens because life happens. You leave school, get a job, and it’s your time in life to make hay. \n\n“Get ahead in life” by doing the important things. Start exploiting!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434963956599193601","reply_id":"1434963964350242818","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434963965407227905","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1942138322656137656":{"id":"1942138322656137656","date":"2025-07-07 08:27:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"22/ Maybe they could avoid too much scrutiny for the South Sudanese coup stuff because, well, it's all so weird! But this seems like a different kettle of fish entirely.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942138320714162528","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":117,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":18033,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942138322656137656","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1700186555305046110":{"id":"1700186555305046110","date":"2023-09-08 16:37:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4. Because the other thing is that professional quant trading isn't much like how it sounds from the outside. \n\nAnd a lot of people, smart STEM students at great schools in particular, have a lot of misconceptions about what the job is like.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1700186549860839569","reply_id":"1700186554067816591","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2109,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1700186555305046110","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1136282949500907523":{"id":"1136282949500907523","date":"2019-06-05 14:45:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So in our new #blockchain #smartcontract distributed-trust future, will every consumer have to do code review and run automated proof checkers? 😱\nhttps://finance.yahoo.com/news/microsoft-releases-tool-verify-ethereum-110002414.html","hashtags":["blockchain","smartcontract"],"conv":"1136282949500907523","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1136282949500907523","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1999467805578789355":{"id":"1999467805578789355","date":"2025-12-12 13:14:07","author":"Crémieux","handle":"cremieuxrecueil","text":"RT @cremieuxrecueil: In the future, you'll have to explain to your kids that anime was an art form made by an extinct race of serene beings that excelled at art and manufacturing and always took pride in their work.\n\nAnd then they just decided to disappear one day.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1999467805578789355","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"1998984439146356960","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":1341,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1999467805578789355_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/cremieuxrecueil/status/1999467805578789355"},"1459924972038541319":{"id":"1459924972038541319","date":"2021-11-14 16:43:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cloudy_cl","hashtags":[],"conv":"1459914665031569421","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1459924972038541319_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1459924972038541319","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1518388238649495552":{"id":"1518388238649495552","date":"2022-04-25 00:35:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite Doesn't feel like the greatest time in the world to get long RE.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1518382954627715073","reply_id":"1518382954627715073","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1518388238649495552","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1536098529776529409":{"id":"1536098529776529409","date":"2022-06-12 21:30:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@robertmartin88 Even so, the \"when do I exit the position\" is more of a cost-of-capital thing, not an edge thing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1363876629550800901","reply_id":"1536098381906386944","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1536098529776529409","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1793847156174115326":{"id":"1793847156174115326","date":"2024-05-24 03:31:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@texas_hedged Agreed.\n\nBut most people reading this aren't going to JS/HRT where you know what you're getting. There are hundreds of shops/PMs out there preying on well-meaning quant types by dangling \"trader-adjacent\" when in fact they'll get nowhere near a risk-taking position.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1793816342463934488","reply_id":"1793842699797446945","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"texas_hedged","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":329,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1793847156174115326","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1644485515201347584":{"id":"1644485515201347584","date":"2023-04-07 23:41:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount I'd go for a trio of Dottie, Judy and Wiesy over those two idiots anyday.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1644399363974651904","reply_id":"1644399363974651904","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":264,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1644485515201347584","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1427737192508448771":{"id":"1427737192508448771","date":"2021-08-17 21:00:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_Dave__White_ @Mephisto731 @sks01119 @danrobinson @snarkyzk @andrewjleone @AlexisGauba @aparnalocked @opyn_ You'd have to hedge with a strip.\n\nThe constant gamma of the squeeth is scary.\nNo end to the pain when you're short.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1427652305009004545","reply_id":"1427736517275914241","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_Dave__White_","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1427737192508448771","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1710416652003897519":{"id":"1710416652003897519","date":"2023-10-06 22:08:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheStalwart This is what we were told when I was growing up. It's meant to be Hwy 2, which runs kind of along the same path as the 401.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1710366331369840771","reply_id":"1710366331369840771","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheStalwart","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":556,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1710416652003897519","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2060792596151022057":{"id":"2060792596151022057","date":"2026-05-30 18:36:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Repeat after me:\n\nBinaries 👏 are 👏 worthless 👏 for 👏 hedging 👏 real-world 👏 risks!","hashtags":[],"conv":"2060792596151022057","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":312,"retweets":9,"replies":25,"quotes":5,"views":74842,"bookmarks":162,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2060792596151022057","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1322230564301074432":{"id":"1322230564301074432","date":"2020-10-30 17:35:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SimonDeDeo It's worth noting that even today, most of the world's $ are being thrown around using nothing more than caveman-style pattern-matching.\n\nHaving politicians and corporate leaders use even vaguely Bayesian foundations would be a massive step _up_.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1322208261236531200","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1322230564301074432","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1390408325070692354":{"id":"1390408325070692354","date":"2021-05-06 20:49:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @MinvstrD ☝️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1390397578194341889","reply_id":"1390405865480486914","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1390408325070692354","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1979593449394303104":{"id":"1979593449394303104","date":"2025-10-18 17:00:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The Six Kings Slam may be a gross sportwashed cash grab, but at least they have the low camera angle.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1979593449394303104","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2817,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1979593449394303104","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1290829934445785088":{"id":"1290829934445785088","date":"2020-08-05 02:00:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein from datetime import datetime as datetimedatetime","hashtags":[],"conv":"1290822487920586752","reply_id":"1290822487920586752","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1290829934445785088","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1706436665089396927":{"id":"1706436665089396927","date":"2023-09-25 22:32:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Everyone today:\nThat Office reboot news just shows how Hollywood has totally run out of ideas.\n\nEveryone in a year:\nHey, are you watching the Office reboot? It's actually not bad.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1706436665089396927","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2536,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1706436665089396927","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1130512344973320193":{"id":"1130512344973320193","date":"2019-05-20 16:35:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Oh #tesla. Poor Elon.\nhttps://www.cnbc.com/2019/05/20/wedbush-tesla-facing-code-red-but-management-not-focused-on-model-3.html\nWho knew that running a rocket company, a hole-digging company, a solar company, dating Grimes, a flamethrower company, a neural interface company,","hashtags":["tesla"],"conv":"1130512344973320193","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1130512344973320193","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1590727091821375488":{"id":"1590727091821375488","date":"2022-11-10 15:24:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@un4w4r3 @macrocephalopod Customer $ are loans.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1590726242042802177","reply_id":"1590726468715171840","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"un4w4r3","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1590727091821375488","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1564392905510309888":{"id":"1564392905510309888","date":"2022-08-29 23:21:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @be20684347 If I had a nickel for every time I've said to myself \"Well, if I just define a DSL and embed an Ocaml compiler in my executable, then I can do all of this in a config file!\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1564385498981810178","reply_id":"1564389876782747649","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1564392905510309888","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1476925480632606722":{"id":"1476925480632606722","date":"2021-12-31 14:37:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"14/ Ok, glad I got that off my chest.\n\nHappy 2022 everyone!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476925464824270848","reply_id":"1476925479252758528","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476925480632606722","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1346481451097751552":{"id":"1346481451097751552","date":"2021-01-05 15:39:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"24/ BS and BS_inv are functions that are parameterized by the details of the option in question: und price, strike price, time to expiry, American vs Euro, call/put, a couple of interest rates, etc.\n\nAnd if you're following along, you should be screaming the following question:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346481449847853058","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346481451097751552","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2052409367912206706":{"id":"2052409367912206706","date":"2026-05-07 15:24:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Me learning that CME's new uranium futures are going to be cash-settled.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2052409367912206706","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":751,"retweets":41,"replies":21,"quotes":6,"views":39842,"bookmarks":29,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2052409367912206706","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1923991969199521792":{"id":"1923991969199521792","date":"2025-05-18 06:40:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is the almost-lie that startup people tell each other all the time.\n\nIf you're employee #3500 (roughly what OpenAI has), the chance of you making lifechanging money is exactly zero.\n\nReason: your equity fraction is ~ an exponentially DECREASING function of your employee #.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1923991969199521792","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":182,"retweets":3,"replies":15,"quotes":2,"views":32781,"bookmarks":64,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1923991969199521792","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2026396324833247696":{"id":"2026396324833247696","date":"2026-02-24 20:38:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"","hashtags":[],"conv":"2026396324833247696","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":36,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3560,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2026396324833247696","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2044709758947426562":{"id":"2044709758947426562","date":"2026-04-16 09:29:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"You expect this from morally bankrupt organizations like Kalshi and Polymarket.\n\nBut I remember a time when CBOE realized it had a good thing going and tried to avoid explicitly targeting gamblers.\n\nNow all semblance of stewardship is gone. It's a mad dash for EVERY degen $.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2044708988030447962","reply_id":"2044708988030447962","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":38,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2716,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2044709758947426562","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1834599540675981448":{"id":"1834599540675981448","date":"2024-09-13 14:26:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin The vibes economy doesn't care about your \"valuations\" dude.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1834338953874313529","reply_id":"1834338953874313529","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":70,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1834599540675981448","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1486814333933740032":{"id":"1486814333933740032","date":"2022-01-27 21:32:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jeffdafo It wasn't, that's the amazing thing.\n\nThere are 4.4m programmers in the US.\nIt's blue collar work being done at white collar prices.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486813088338755591","reply_id":"1486814151888543744","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jeffdafo","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1486814333933740032","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1223327330719821824":{"id":"1223327330719821824","date":"2020-01-31 19:28:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"When I was a kid, the games I wrote on my Apple II weren't *that* much worse than the games I played. So it was worth it.\n\nToday, my kids *want* to write games but they know those games will suck compared to the ones they play. They get discouraged so they don't want to bother.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1223327330719821824","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1223327330719821824","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1629541233554239488":{"id":"1629541233554239488","date":"2023-02-25 17:58:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DavidTaggart @Gingfacekillah @darjohn25 @hedgetherumor ❤️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1629522250205638656","reply_id":"1629539058975412224","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DavidTaggart","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":157,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1629541233554239488","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1988534043852320956":{"id":"1988534043852320956","date":"2025-11-12 09:07:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"8. Some scams don't even have you trade in the real market at all.\n\nThey tell you it's real money, but it's all faked inside their own systems. It's much cheaper for them this way.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1988534015419146302","reply_id":"1988534042136805520","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":49,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":13545,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1988534043852320956","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1761645132699652463":{"id":"1761645132699652463","date":"2024-02-25 06:51:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1761643939524964590","reply_id":"1761644876159164798","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1146,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1761645132699652463_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1761645132699652463","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1420131152782774272":{"id":"1420131152782774272","date":"2021-07-27 21:17:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"These parameters can then be used to spit out reconstructions of the original market data. It’s dimensionality reduction.\n\nIf your market model is good, you reduced the # of dimensions a lot, but only lost a tiny bit of information. \n\nThis is good.\n\n8/n","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420131145669169153","reply_id":"1420131151805521920","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":14,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1420131152782774272","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1812624335611498542":{"id":"1812624335611498542","date":"2024-07-14 23:04:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Why do all American golf announcers independently converge on \"phahr\" as the pronunciation of \"par\"?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1812624335611498542","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2656,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1812624335611498542","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1695135299171651807":{"id":"1695135299171651807","date":"2023-08-25 18:05:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"When dealing with moral systems, self-consistency and monstrousness are highly positively correlated.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1695135299171651807","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2953,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1695135299171651807","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1548058870211235840":{"id":"1548058870211235840","date":"2022-07-15 21:36:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@shxbh1738 @godcomplex96 @therobotjames @TCK_JRubano @pmontu33 That's a tough one, lots of alpha in figuring this out.\n\nBig picture, compare your (and your model's) expectations vs reality and use that error signal as useful information.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548007648007634944","reply_id":"1548058302587609091","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"shxbh1738","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1548058870211235840","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1783199744388653299":{"id":"1783199744388653299","date":"2024-04-24 18:22:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mr_plumpkin Closer than you might think. These companies aren't stupid, so it stands to reason their process should match the job as much as is possible given the constraints.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1783189691006922901","reply_id":"1783199392016519679","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"edward_yu_var","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":608,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1783199744388653299","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1591954972601896962":{"id":"1591954972601896962","date":"2022-11-14 00:43:37","author":"⚡️🌙","handle":"dystopiabreaker","text":"the most optimistic interpretation of this is that he is trading against users","hashtags":[],"conv":"1591954185490427904","reply_id":"1591954185490427904","quote_id":"1591972672942088193","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dystopiabreaker","likes":61,"retweets":3,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dystopiabreaker/status/1591954972601896962"},"1346863620001472513":{"id":"1346863620001472513","date":"2021-01-06 16:58:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"47/ Ok, back to that bumpiness, does that mean I can buy the cheap ones and sell the rich ones?\n\nYou can try, but again you'll see that it's a data artifact. There isn't *one* vol per option. There's a vol representing the bid price and one representing the offer.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346863618344722432","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346863620001472513","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1458460155222245377":{"id":"1458460155222245377","date":"2021-11-10 15:42:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@spreekaway How do I specify a lower gas price?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1458450737185181706","reply_id":"1458451846733963267","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"spreekaway","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1458460155222245377","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent 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NYT?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1648898114663895040","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2474,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1648898114663895040_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1648898114663895040","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1482214392317956097":{"id":"1482214392317956097","date":"2022-01-15 04:53:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@thodoha @goodalexander @CaleCrypto","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482086567720148993","reply_id":"1482213042142457856","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"othadoh","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1482214392317956097_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482214392317956097","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2066574360362782748":{"id":"2066574360362782748","date":"2026-06-15 17:31:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Seems like we're going to find out how few students the university attached to its endowment has to educate in order to maintain its tax status...","hashtags":[],"conv":"2066574360362782748","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":40,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":7368,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2066574360362782748","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1601245809839783943":{"id":"1601245809839783943","date":"2022-12-09 16:02:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Son, I kinda don't care if you meant to do it or not.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1601245400555716608","reply_id":"1601245400555716608","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1601245809839783943","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1805288558842069269":{"id":"1805288558842069269","date":"2024-06-24 17:15:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4o and C3.5 still fail at my kid's math homework.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1805288558842069269","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3818,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1805288558842069269_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1805288558842069269","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1529922749170208769":{"id":"1529922749170208769","date":"2022-05-26 20:29:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 I sense a sqrt(sigma) * t in our future...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529922321812979712","reply_id":"1529922321812979712","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1529922749170208769","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1611534693111037955":{"id":"1611534693111037955","date":"2023-01-07 01:26:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@typedfemale But funding tho.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1611511436504862721","reply_id":"1611511436504862721","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"typedfemale","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":568,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1611534693111037955","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1630241554676981761":{"id":"1630241554676981761","date":"2023-02-27 16:20:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"When trying to hire front-end devs, it turns out the intersection of:\n\n- Really gets async programming\n- Has good design/UX abilities\n\nis pretty darn small.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1630241554676981761","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":37,"retweets":2,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":10118,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1630241554676981761","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1316935446216232961":{"id":"1316935446216232961","date":"2020-10-16 02:54:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SimonDeDeo @HarryDCrane @michael_nielsen @StatModeling However, if the order flow is consistently toxic there won't be anyone willing to make markets. You need non-toxic flow too. Not just uninformed punters, they're not that important.\n\nYou need people+orgs who want to lay off real risk and are willing to pay something to do so.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1316915465055326208","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1316935446216232961","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1755637458614841703":{"id":"1755637458614841703","date":"2024-02-08 16:59:22","author":"Matt Bateman","handle":"mbateman","text":"On this approach you’re sending your child to school but minimizing its schooling function. Easier said than done but I’ve seen it work.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1755637447558566323","reply_id":"1755637454764433700","quote_id":"1755649020813602861","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbateman","likes":88,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":2,"views":17818,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mbateman/status/1755637458614841703"},"1531760096685924352":{"id":"1531760096685924352","date":"2022-05-31 22:10:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xLightcycle I'd replace Java with something functional myself. Haskell, Lisp or (wait for it...) Ocaml.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1531739423313784832","reply_id":"1531749537970528261","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xLightcycle","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1531760096685924352","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1362604376674607106":{"id":"1362604376674607106","date":"2021-02-19 03:26:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TradyticsAIbot @cwc94636631 Happy to answer q's as the come along.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1362591065383915521","reply_id":"1362592772776099845","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Tradytics","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1362604376674607106","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1481471599861649411":{"id":"1481471599861649411","date":"2022-01-13 03:42:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @Buy_The_Dip_ @FREAK0NAUT @vixologist @kchoudhu https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B563tEpzeLc","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481302561592422402","reply_id":"1481471106972205056","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1481471599861649411","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1283491854000914432":{"id":"1283491854000914432","date":"2020-07-15 20:01:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@naval Good luck to them. People with the exact same access to high end talent have been working at it for 30 years. It ain't easy out there.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1283491444288675840","reply_id":"1283491444288675840","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"naval","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1283491854000914432","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1757947844894605753":{"id":"1757947844894605753","date":"2024-02-15 02:00:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@liquiditygoblin Simulate Pnl of trading against it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1757937436079091957","reply_id":"1757937436079091957","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"liquiditygoblin","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":406,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1757947844894605753","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1499773659820396544":{"id":"1499773659820396544","date":"2022-03-04 15:47:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"8/ Without that long and annoying step B, we have no hope of doing good \"science\" in our trading strategy development.\n\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"1499773651553435656","reply_id":"1499773658662793216","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1499773659820396544","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1519346118638809088":{"id":"1519346118638809088","date":"2022-04-27 16:01:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lvanseters Public 👏 libraries 👏 are 👏 better.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1519323965566726147","reply_id":"1519323965566726147","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"lvanseters","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1519346118638809088","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1763701938653421633":{"id":"1763701938653421633","date":"2024-03-01 23:04:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brianryhuang @quantymacro High variance.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1763639515137392992","reply_id":"1763670808382373896","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"brianryhuang","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":171,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1763701938653421633","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1947315294373859665":{"id":"1947315294373859665","date":"2025-07-21 15:18:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Adam_Is_Pneuma @the_P_God I may write some stories someday.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1947059548457435423","reply_id":"1947295419257557307","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Adam_Is_Pneuma","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":246,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1947315294373859665","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1511924318598361089":{"id":"1511924318598361089","date":"2022-04-07 04:30:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih Pickleball is the best.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1511920993782013952","reply_id":"1511921006260080647","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1511924318598361089","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1352082522247581696":{"id":"1352082522247581696","date":"2021-01-21 02:36:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @DBecevic @JessicaNutt96 I'd argue that when you're constructing the portfolio, when you're making it flat gamma/volga then you're implicitly using a model to do that.\n\nSensible?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1352069470903181313","reply_id":"1352081863389507584","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1352082522247581696","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1297371469463183361":{"id":"1297371469463183361","date":"2020-08-23 03:13:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz You look crossed up. Feet pointed right, shoulders pointed left.\n\nCould be an illusion from the camera angle though.\n\nAnything more is hard to tell.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1297370415619289089","reply_id":"1297370415619289089","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1297371469463183361","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2001763192112914656":{"id":"2001763192112914656","date":"2025-12-18 21:15:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I sure can't say it any better.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2001763192112914656","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":79,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":22401,"bookmarks":18,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2001763192112914656","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1720454782148870206":{"id":"1720454782148870206","date":"2023-11-03 14:55:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@matt_levine You may be right. I have little experience with the criminal justice system...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1720437556469477428","reply_id":"1720450663472070788","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"matt_levine","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":437,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1720454782148870206","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2015158796885033108":{"id":"2015158796885033108","date":"2026-01-24 20:24:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"RT @AgustinLebron3: CC is impressive cuz our tech is actually shit. Everything's interface is bespoke, nothing works together by default, our computer languages are shit, and testing software is a nightmare.\n\nBut we're so fucking USED TO IT that we don't even see it.\n\nWe all have Stockholm Syndrome.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2015158796885033108","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2015157988500160595","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":6,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2015158796885033108","type":"retweet","issues":[]},"1441079977126944772":{"id":"1441079977126944772","date":"2021-09-23 16:40:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih The good news for you is that you're a better decision-maker than they are, with extremely high probability. They may know more domain-specific things, but you've played OOM more lifetime hands than them. And that's a really big deal.\n\nI see this in angel investing all the time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1441079343535431686","reply_id":"1441079349361315840","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1441079977126944772","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1427797442611716097":{"id":"1427797442611716097","date":"2021-08-18 01:00:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@xjpx888 @therobotjames There's an optimal amount of financial/emotional/etc vol for everyone. Traders/athletes/poker players are on the high end of the spectrum. Serial entrepreneurs too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1427778853401817091","reply_id":"1427792822111916036","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"xjpx888","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1427797442611716097","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1806059711391002919":{"id":"1806059711391002919","date":"2024-06-26 20:19:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"There's one constant in the universe:\n\nthe difference in quality of customer service when you're giving them money vs when you're asking for it back will always increase.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1806059711391002919","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2393,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1806059711391002919","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1633509092613558272":{"id":"1633509092613558272","date":"2023-03-08 16:44:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Starting to seem like the biggest upside of fame is getting good customer service from companies terrified you'll trash their reputation on Twitter.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633509092613558272","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":28,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3247,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633509092613558272","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1561829901539237890":{"id":"1561829901539237890","date":"2022-08-22 21:37:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@drunkengrass @SachaSucha Very much by design. Embrace and extinguish.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1561823913629208577","reply_id":"1561829753786548224","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"drunkengrass","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1561829901539237890","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2037920818462613620":{"id":"2037920818462613620","date":"2026-03-28 15:52:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Its answer of 3/7 is extremely wrong (correct is 9/13).\n\nBut sure, I'm sure it can solve the Riemann Hypothesis.\n\n- Claude 4.6 Extended got it right.\n- Gemini 3.1 got it right.\n- ChatGPT got it right the second time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2037920816730374356","reply_id":"2037920816730374356","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":38,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":13045,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2037920818462613620","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1427713958669000706":{"id":"1427713958669000706","date":"2021-08-17 19:28:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@roozshah من هرگز به فارسی بازتوییت نشده ام!\n\nمفتخرم.\n\nامیدوارم Google Translate کار کند. من فارسی صحبت نمی کنم.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1427713111805644802","reply_id":"1427713111805644802","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"roozshah","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1427713958669000706","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1324870298986901504":{"id":"1324870298986901504","date":"2020-11-07 00:24:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert I predict he fails the fit interview.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1324860639882346497","reply_id":"1324860639882346497","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1324870298986901504","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1693992930653127065":{"id":"1693992930653127065","date":"2023-08-22 14:26:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Sleepin04927004 Or, because you didn't have the levels of snow we did in Canada. 🤷‍♂️\n\nNot everything is left/right Euro/US coded you know.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1693992138277859624","reply_id":"1693992496899178723","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Sleepin04927004","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":338,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1693992930653127065","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1923339410713481230":{"id":"1923339410713481230","date":"2025-05-16 11:27:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bastosventures Plus the story is just too perfect.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1923311575806447896","reply_id":"1923332244946526212","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bastosventures","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":514,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1923339410713481230","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1715367197592436846":{"id":"1715367197592436846","date":"2023-10-20 13:59:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbateman @paulg Also for advertising so that you get better deal flow. Which is what IMO matters most in the end. Being call #1 from the good founders.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1715361464469295285","reply_id":"1715366393154027867","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbateman","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":131,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1715367197592436846","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1487252355628236802":{"id":"1487252355628236802","date":"2022-01-29 02:32:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"When you get the last word in a conversation/thread/argument, you think they think:\n\n\"Ah, the power of your argumentation has crushed me. All bow to your superior rhetorical skill.\"\n\nWhat they *actually* think:\n\n\"Better just ignore this idiot.\"\n\n(no one reply to this, for lulz)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1487252355628236802","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":30,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1487252355628236802","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1707772048796483930":{"id":"1707772048796483930","date":"2023-09-29 14:59:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Who says Wikipedia doesn't have a sense of humor?\n\nhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Harry_Whittington\n\n\"It was the first time someone had been shot by a sitting vice-president since Alexander Hamilton was shot in a duel by Aaron Burr in 1804.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1707772048796483930","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1287,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1707772048796483930","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1663216020893630466":{"id":"1663216020893630466","date":"2023-05-29 16:09:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If I were forced to explain the difference between good education and bad education in one sentence, this is my attempt:\n\n\"Good education consists of getting the student to want to build every tool they subsequently use.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1663216020893630466","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1755678983046500593","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":29,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":3271,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1663216020893630466","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1436053128617480250":{"id":"1436053128617480250","date":"2021-09-09 19:45:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@iLike31415 @VolQuant My original tweet wasn't about trading. Just a general comment about what I strongly suspect are bait-and-switch job titles.\n\n\"ML engineer\" is probably \"Be quiet and write some Bash scripts and clean some data and figure out how to pipe stuff into our overpriced Snowflake lake.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1436021225331957760","reply_id":"1436052518665134084","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"iLike31415","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1436053128617480250","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1395555417980215296":{"id":"1395555417980215296","date":"2021-05-21 01:41:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mpp75214 @Noahpinion Anyone?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1395530603852754954","reply_id":"1395533004076982278","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mpp75214","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1395555417980215296_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1395555417980215296","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1353122749833572352":{"id":"1353122749833572352","date":"2021-01-23 23:29:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih Good enough for me! Followed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1353118123373678592","reply_id":"1353118123373678592","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1353122749833572352","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1506637953228935176":{"id":"1506637953228935176","date":"2022-03-23 14:24:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ankit_Quant @drunkengrass Me too. It's nuts.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1506495323111272448","reply_id":"1506637839370530817","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Ankit_Quant","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1506637953228935176","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1831764824516391058":{"id":"1831764824516391058","date":"2024-09-05 18:42:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dwarkesh_sp That's precisely how one might qualify as influential.\n\n💪","hashtags":[],"conv":"1831730344741237051","reply_id":"1831730344741237051","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dwarkesh_sp","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":163,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1831764824516391058","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1349386516351447041":{"id":"1349386516351447041","date":"2021-01-13 16:03:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @theemilyaccount Provided you have the dev talent, Ocaml is a phenomenal choice.\n\nUnfortunately, you're competing for said talent against some great workplaces with deep pockets...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1349370868959502337","reply_id":"1349385938120691712","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1349386516351447041","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1333562651331366912":{"id":"1333562651331366912","date":"2020-12-01 00:04:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Wallacesnoop1 It's the number that shows up when you click the checkbox in Excel's \"Format Trendline\" menu.\n\nHigher is better.\n\nWhat's there to explain? 🤷‍♂️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1333542792904077312","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1333562651331366912","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1699481367359177063":{"id":"1699481367359177063","date":"2023-09-06 17:55:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Someday we will look back on the 2000-2025 period when software engineers were high status and wonder \"WTF was up with that?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1699481367359177063","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":113,"retweets":2,"replies":13,"quotes":3,"views":33630,"bookmarks":24,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1699481367359177063","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1455636814547468288":{"id":"1455636814547468288","date":"2021-11-02 20:43:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @macrocephalopod @bennpeifert All of them?\n\nDo I get the job?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1455626182896939013","reply_id":"1455636332328353793","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1455636814547468288","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1556747382003417088":{"id":"1556747382003417088","date":"2022-08-08 21:01:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Bohinen94 For retail? Definitely.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1556733065279352832","reply_id":"1556741023254159360","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Bohinen94","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1556747382003417088","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1969960899801678183":{"id":"1969960899801678183","date":"2025-09-22 03:04:13","author":"nikshep","handle":"nikshepsvn","text":"hey @Kalshi @Polymarket, can one of you quickly spin up a market for this? this would be an amazing moment to predict the news before it’s out","hashtags":[],"conv":"1969960899801678183","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1970145797179113972","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":23199,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/nikshepsvn/status/1969960899801678183"},"1630039303693955074":{"id":"1630039303693955074","date":"2023-02-27 02:57:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@saanglee @TCK_JRubano Yeah, I was thinking of him a bit when I wrote that. Grinding 5/10 @ Bell against those Vegas TAGfish is soul-destroying.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1629971002116513793","reply_id":"1630027048428158976","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"saanglee","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":406,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1630039303693955074","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1506463600189136896":{"id":"1506463600189136896","date":"2022-03-23 02:51:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@axecap0707 @robertmartin88 Taleb's Dynamic Hedging holds up. It's not especially dense with useful stuff, but there are some good nuggets there.\n\nHis most useful book, actually.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1506277321002598405","reply_id":"1506438099156738055","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"axecap0707","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1506463600189136896","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1267460732028768256":{"id":"1267460732028768256","date":"2020-06-01 14:19:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@investingidiocy I'm skeptical. What's the job that's going to see this as a valuable credential?\n\nIn my experience, the more finance-y the credential is, the lower the corr with employee quality. And sometimes the corr goes negative!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1267370003021664257","reply_id":"1267370003021664257","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"investingidiocy","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1267460732028768256","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1607434258154496002":{"id":"1607434258154496002","date":"2022-12-26 17:52:46","author":"alz","handle":"alz_zyd_","text":"It's funny how the Silicon Valley mindset is like literally the inverse of the Chesterton's fence idea, like, let's make a list of all the fences in the world, push them over and see what happens one by one","hashtags":[],"conv":"1607434258154496002","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1607500710962401281","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":3,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":10230,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/alz_zyd_/status/1607434258154496002"},"1958991821079527507":{"id":"1958991821079527507","date":"2025-08-22 20:37:01","author":"Jae","handle":"TomJrSr","text":"In Response To: Predicting our own demise\nhttps://docs.google.com/document/d/1jc_46jk6UEdDY7Dc3hoX0gkTAyXAE07sjV93jPbrU40/edit?usp=sharing","hashtags":[],"conv":"1958991821079527507","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1959273130616046060","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":2,"views":15993,"bookmarks":37,"media":["1958991821079527507_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TomJrSr/status/1958991821079527507"},"1781178301735915579":{"id":"1781178301735915579","date":"2024-04-19 04:29:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@fractology Hal Sutton would like a word.\n\nHe paired Tiger Woods and Phil Mickelson in foursomes when they utterly HATED each other.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1781177505917042844","reply_id":"1781177963096240439","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"fractology","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":78,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1781178301735915579","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1481426835854401537":{"id":"1481426835854401537","date":"2022-01-13 00:44:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @brenorb @moreproteinbars @TCK_JRubano 6 years. Didn't take.\n\nMy (Brazilian) wife tells me I'm a \"bicho do mato\".\n\nI.e. uncivilized because I don't drink coffee or (until very recently) tea.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481369477812006915","reply_id":"1481426500490792961","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1481426835854401537","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1473157806979047425":{"id":"1473157806979047425","date":"2021-12-21 05:06:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@antoniogm I really enjoyed \"Hillary Clinton Reportedly Considering Losing Again In 2024\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1473156330303090689","reply_id":"1473156330303090689","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"antoniogm","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1473157806979047425","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1943304301754962254":{"id":"1943304301754962254","date":"2025-07-10 13:40:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolSignals \"It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it.\" - Upton Sinclair","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943280522756591979","reply_id":"1943303748043907485","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolSignals","likes":85,"retweets":5,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":10165,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1943304301754962254","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1517159723648241667":{"id":"1517159723648241667","date":"2022-04-21 15:14:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If I were one of those worthless LinkedIn lead gen people, I'd definitely target other Linkedin lead gen people as clients.\n\nThey obviously need the help.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1517159723648241667","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1517159723648241667_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1517159723648241667","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1434963963310055425":{"id":"1434963963310055425","date":"2021-09-06 19:37:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"8/ I see this happening to myself too.\n\nWhen I was a kid, learning about a new thing felt like “Ooh, new thing! Let’s learn about it!” I see it in my kids. But for me, now the reaction usually “Oh, new thing. It’s probably dumb.”\n\nBut, what does that transition look like?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434963956599193601","reply_id":"1434963962383138816","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":14,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434963963310055425","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1369867542148222979":{"id":"1369867542148222979","date":"2021-03-11 04:27:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @M1tchRosenthal @InBraised Not to mention familiarity with data. There's a lot to be said for just digging in and grinding.\n\nThe more educated we get, the more we undervalue things like \"I tried X, this is weird. (10mins of braindead debug/printfs/tests and staring) Oh wait that's a stupid bug on line 74.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1369774884834934788","reply_id":"1369866469656252418","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1369867542148222979","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1552694527017725953":{"id":"1552694527017725953","date":"2022-07-28 16:36:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @MarkGutman9 @ADrunkenmiller As you know, it \"just works\" because ETF MMs are sitting there pricing it 24 hours a day.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1552652792216506368","reply_id":"1552668560786604032","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1552694527017725953","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1443951386119401476":{"id":"1443951386119401476","date":"2021-10-01 14:50:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"13/ It doesn't mean you actually *think* it's good or useful or would make money. It just means you're being truly honest about taking the idea seriously.\n\nAbout trying to break out of your rut.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443951372580229123","reply_id":"1443951385117016069","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":21,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1443951386119401476","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1511826432833466368":{"id":"1511826432833466368","date":"2022-04-06 22:01:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@leakyalpha @therobotjames Mostly the latter I suspect.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1511706685475151872","reply_id":"1511826353141825538","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"leakyalpha","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1511826432833466368","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1918360468604793087":{"id":"1918360468604793087","date":"2025-05-02 17:42:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@kevinroose It's truly amazing. Spend our time sending supercharged memes around to each other while the AIs cure all our diseases, with everything funded by ads.\n\nIt's Zuck's greatest superpower: to be completely devoid of any actual vision. Lets him shamelessly copy others' ideas.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1918330595626893472","reply_id":"1918330595626893472","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"kevinroose","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":895,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1918360468604793087","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1458475796130009088":{"id":"1458475796130009088","date":"2021-11-10 16:45:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I'm really enjoying the emergence of Carlos Alcaraz.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z8KL7fRQvfI","hashtags":[],"conv":"1458475796130009088","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1458475796130009088","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2080324779295322575":{"id":"2080324779295322575","date":"2026-07-23 16:10:52","author":"Isaac","handle":"roundrobin42","text":"RT @roundrobin42: Wrote about the absurdity of prediction market advertising for @CityJournal with @JonathanDCohen1","hashtags":[],"conv":"2080324779295322575","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2080312884614098986","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":6,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":343,"bookmarks":0,"media":["2080324779295322575_1.jpg","2080324779295322575_2.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/roundrobin42/status/2080324779295322575"},"1850740849048531077":{"id":"1850740849048531077","date":"2024-10-28 03:26:18","author":"Forward Unemployed Engineer","handle":"waltuuuhr","text":"@zack_overflow Maybe there should be something like no_heap after a function declaration, like noexecpt or sth","hashtags":[],"conv":"1850646004791701857","reply_id":"1850646004791701857","quote_id":"1850841501577662583","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"zack_overflow","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":3295,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/waltuuuhr/status/1850740849048531077"},"1346141079481974784":{"id":"1346141079481974784","date":"2021-01-04 17:06:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"6/ Because exercising early means you give up being able to \"look into the future\".\n\nSay $TSLA is $750 on Mar 16th, so you exercise that 700 call on Mar 16th (i.e. you buy stock for $700).\n\nBut then on Mar 17th Elon announces it was all a big fraud and stock goes to zero.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346141077946859521","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346141079481974784","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1951202737540006221":{"id":"1951202737540006221","date":"2025-08-01 08:45:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@radigancarter @0xFaust12 It is starting to feel a little AI-or-bust-y.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1950823732316082301","reply_id":"1951197081315475588","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"radigancarter","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":129,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1951202737540006221","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1805649281027915861":{"id":"1805649281027915861","date":"2024-06-25 17:08:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"My 13-year-old has already learned that learning something new with the word \"theorem\" is scary. Because whatever it is, it and its proof are probably not obvious.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1805649281027915861","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2481,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1805649281027915861","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1689384118231171079":{"id":"1689384118231171079","date":"2023-08-09 21:12:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @PtrPomorski I mean, it *should* be but it doesn't seem to be.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1688867217364959232","reply_id":"1689033321194348544","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":706,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1689384118231171079","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1465784165660381187":{"id":"1465784165660381187","date":"2021-11-30 20:45:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Am I the only one who sees the resemblance between press conference Tiger Woods today and Barry Bonds circa 2002? It's a lot of bloating...\n\n@nolayingup what say you?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1465784165660381187","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1465784165660381187_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1465784165660381187","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1161063868828811264":{"id":"1161063868828811264","date":"2019-08-12 23:56:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ Lots of data science/ML/AI consultants out there. Oddly, I've noticed a negative correlation between $/hr paid and client satisfaction.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1161063868828811264","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1161063868828811264","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1575205526815657985":{"id":"1575205526815657985","date":"2022-09-28 19:27:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"How long till community colleges have a Prompt Engineering Associate's Degree program?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1575205526815657985","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1575205526815657985","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1491605459807006722":{"id":"1491605459807006722","date":"2022-02-10 02:50:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This hit me right in the feels...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1491605459807006722","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1491605459807006722","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2036035554333073732":{"id":"2036035554333073732","date":"2026-03-23 11:01:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Across many sports, the GOAT of that sport has roughly 7 of the things that matter.\n\n- F1: Lewis and Schumi have 7 WCs.\n- NFL: Brady 7 SBs.\n- Basketball: MJ has 6 champs, 5 MVPs (got robbed twice).\n- Soccer: Messi 10 La Ligas, 8 Ballon D'Or.\n- Snooker: Hendry and Ronnie, 7 WCs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2036035554333073732","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":42,"retweets":0,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":10860,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2036035554333073732","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1472722930287009798":{"id":"1472722930287009798","date":"2021-12-20 00:18:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Crypto will help the unbanked and underbanked.\" 🤔\n\nA new gardener came to my house yesterday. When he was finished, I asked him if I could use Venmo to pay.\n\n\"What's Venmo? Cash or check.\"\n\nSo... good luck with that self-custody crypto wallet idea.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1472722930287009798","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":93,"retweets":0,"replies":12,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1472722930287009798","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1366506082907000833":{"id":"1366506082907000833","date":"2021-03-01 21:50:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tweeting_myself Right, and I guess the argument is \"build the cult you want, not the cult for the cult you want\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1366498973729517568","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1366506082907000833","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1561810297962184704":{"id":"1561810297962184704","date":"2022-08-22 20:19:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@matt_levine is the greatest.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1561810297962184704","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"matt_levine","likes":401,"retweets":30,"replies":5,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":13,"media":["1561810297962184704_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1561810297962184704","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1498885512978833410":{"id":"1498885512978833410","date":"2022-03-02 04:58:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RampCapitalLLC Wonderful idea. This already exists in most other developed countries.\n\nThe actual problem to solve is the rent-seeking industry of the TurboTaxes and HRBlocks who consistently block anything that looks like simplification of this process.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1498426338239209481","reply_id":"1498426338239209481","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RampCapitalLLC","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1498885512978833410","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1970712168497873389":{"id":"1970712168497873389","date":"2025-09-24 04:49:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 The more commas I use, the less sure I am of what I'm saying.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970638270838317385","reply_id":"1970638270838317385","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":167,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1970712168497873389","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2048283751407296650":{"id":"2048283751407296650","date":"2026-04-26 06:11:16","author":"nic carter","handle":"nic_carter","text":"RT @nic_carter: http://x.com/i/article/2048121801578889216","hashtags":[],"conv":"2048283751407296650","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2048123008200724599","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":43,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/nic_carter/status/2048283751407296650"},"1382719795020271618":{"id":"1382719795020271618","date":"2021-04-15 15:37:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_____Lightning This is not a novel thought:\n\nReading science fiction as a kid, from high-quality to honestly crap, made me who I am today. The idea that the world is malleable and that you need to live both in the present reality but also in the world you want to build.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"1382718254829948938","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_____Lightning","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382719795020271618","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1942297011610608061":{"id":"1942297011610608061","date":"2025-07-07 18:57:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeepDishEnjoyer @kwertytwo @bookdepth He should have at least mentioned the conflict of interest. He's been to speak there quite a few times.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942282025714778494","reply_id":"1942296176008597792","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeepDishEnjoyer","likes":43,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":2572,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942297011610608061","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1478855144796135430":{"id":"1478855144796135430","date":"2022-01-05 22:25:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lightspringfox @macrocephalopod Tradfi prop firms should be net long downside wings but probably net long overall.\n\nExtra $ is useful when stuff is going crazy, but giving up the ERP sucks.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1478850699752611849","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1478855144796135430","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1981349295161843749":{"id":"1981349295161843749","date":"2025-10-23 13:17:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@doublebirdcap Always.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1981345835079389510","reply_id":"1981349156468727950","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"rsloppenheimer","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":302,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1981349295161843749","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1878119658559058038":{"id":"1878119658559058038","date":"2025-01-11 16:39:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@kust1983 It's a question of context. Low-context jobs like call centers will for sure disappear. It's happening already. But anything high-context is going to take much longer. Automating a CEO ain't happening anytime soon.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1878114717262049360","reply_id":"1878119327762641321","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"kust1983","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":511,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1878119658559058038","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1197555340264366081":{"id":"1197555340264366081","date":"2019-11-21 16:40:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@WayneHimelsein Your downside is always capped at suffering-until-you-die.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1197554828488036352","reply_id":"1197554828488036352","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"WayneHimelsein","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1197555340264366081","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1589323915083780096":{"id":"1589323915083780096","date":"2022-11-06 18:28:44","author":"Serhii Kushchenko","handle":"kust1983","text":"Friends, is it worth studying the discounted cash flows in detail? I'm trying to read through the \"Investment Valuation\" by Damodaran, and I dislike its style very much. Is it worth to continue? Maybe you can recommend some better valuation textbook?\n\n#bookstoread","hashtags":["bookstoread"],"conv":"1589323915083780096","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1589328012650360832","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":13,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":18,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/kust1983/status/1589323915083780096"},"1788244168516714876":{"id":"1788244168516714876","date":"2024-05-08 16:26:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_troglobyte @edgesizer Gotta experiment.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788214916509507744","reply_id":"1788230299223990601","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mead0w1ark","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":569,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1788244168516714876","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1534527444102750208":{"id":"1534527444102750208","date":"2022-06-08 13:27:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I might be the last person who learned this (last night) but Chesa Boudin:\n\n- Parents were terrorists convicted of murdering two cops\n- Was raised by the leader of that terrorist organization while they were in prison\n- Worked translation for Hugo Chavez\n\n... elected SF DA. 🤷‍♂️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1534527444102750208","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1534527444102750208","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1478772926656614400":{"id":"1478772926656614400","date":"2022-01-05 16:58:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@emollick One could argue that such a low rate of failure indicates insufficient risk-taking in the Kickstarter economy.\n\nAt least compared to angel investment, for example.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1478772262123851776","reply_id":"1478772262123851776","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"emollick","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1478772926656614400","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1629523748398448640":{"id":"1629523748398448640","date":"2023-02-25 16:48:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@prefildorodrigo 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1629522250205638656","reply_id":"1629523676965003267","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"prefildorodrigo","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1249,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1629523748398448640","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1383967556701097984":{"id":"1383967556701097984","date":"2021-04-19 02:15:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"It can take many trades before the option tourist realizes just how much the deck is stacked against them.\"\n\nhttps://moontowermeta.com/understanding-edge/\n\n@KrisAbdelmessih dropping truth bombs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1383967556701097984","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":5,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1383967556701097984","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1541625061366411264":{"id":"1541625061366411264","date":"2022-06-28 03:30:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano @nope_its_lily Never underestimate the power of spite.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1541584791568470016","reply_id":"1541615584307298309","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1541625061366411264_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1541625061366411264","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1470215103047864327":{"id":"1470215103047864327","date":"2021-12-13 02:12:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I think what the world needs is more Medium articles about Web3 consisting of random links to other articles. \n\nMaybe throw in some breathless generalizations and predictions too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1470215103047864327","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1470215103047864327","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1768350311507492967":{"id":"1768350311507492967","date":"2024-03-14 18:55:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Why don't job search RAG/AI startups exist?\n\nGive the thing your parameters, it sweeps all job boards, company career pages, etc, and gives you nicely formatted lists, then helps you customize applications.\n\nAnswers:\n- Job seekers are cheap.\n- Their time isn't very valuable.\n?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1768350311507492967","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2378,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1768350311507492967","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2038650002457923984":{"id":"2038650002457923984","date":"2026-03-30 16:10:11","author":"Pokee AI","handle":"Pokee_AI","text":"OpenClaw doesn't belong in production.\n\nWe built PokeeClaw — enterprise-secure AI agents, zero setup, 1,000+ app integrations.\n\nTry now: https://pokee.ai/\n\nFirst 500 to follow @Pokee_AI, comment “PokeeClaw”, like & repost get 1 month free.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2038650002457923984","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2038693334399570408","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1241,"retweets":455,"replies":594,"quotes":40,"views":1146626,"bookmarks":796,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Pokee_AI/status/2038650002457923984"},"1451929374404448258":{"id":"1451929374404448258","date":"2021-10-23 15:11:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"You see this in trading all the time. When you're trying to find new trading strats, by far the hardest part is knowing where to look. What ideas to investigate.\n\nEven knowing a tiny amount of information like \"competitor X is making money doing Y\" is HUGE.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1451929369132158977","reply_id":"1451929373007695874","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":15,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1451929374404448258","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1355238386164850688":{"id":"1355238386164850688","date":"2021-01-29 19:36:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 @bennpeifert Also \"How sad would you be if the person you just traded with came back with 10x more to do?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1355235715844599814","reply_id":"1355235715844599814","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheSpeculator0","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1355238386164850688","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1953124462435446904":{"id":"1953124462435446904","date":"2025-08-06 16:02:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@marmadridd @EntropyChase @CJHandmer I agree that it requires a lot of money.\n\nFortunately, Norway *has* a lot of money. Their sovereign wealth fund has over $300k for every person in their country.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1952747071942853008","reply_id":"1952993565526679741","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"marmadridd","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":134,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1953124462435446904","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1192586261610975232":{"id":"1192586261610975232","date":"2019-11-07 23:34:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@whstancil @NateSilver538 Not to mention the personal charisma of Steve Forbes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1192579914253266944","reply_id":"1192579914253266944","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"whstancil","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1192586261610975232","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1602446372090699776":{"id":"1602446372090699776","date":"2022-12-12 23:32:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4/ If you want to classify days in order to do better trades, then you need a *predictive* model that tells you what kind of day *tomorrow* will be.\n\nAnd that's a LOT harder than retrospectively classifying.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602446367825149952","reply_id":"1602446370828263424","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1602446372090699776","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1482576447172579330":{"id":"1482576447172579330","date":"2022-01-16 04:52:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I finally figured out who Satoshi is.\n\nBen Kingsley's character in Sneakers.\n\nTiming's about right.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482576447172579330","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482576447172579330","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1548010783937744898":{"id":"1548010783937744898","date":"2022-07-15 18:25:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pmontu33 Nope.\n\nAlmost all the time, desire to use stop orders indicates either (a) a cognitive mistake or (b) a trade sizing mistake.\n\nI've never used one and don't plan to.\n\n@therobotjames summarized it best.\n\nhttps://x.com/therobotjames/status/1430314394982912001","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548007648007634944","reply_id":"1548009918711468032","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pmontu33","likes":88,"retweets":11,"replies":5,"quotes":5,"views":0,"bookmarks":54,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1548010783937744898","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1851926057407967639":{"id":"1851926057407967639","date":"2024-10-31 09:55:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If the company CEO's Twitter bio says how much his company has raised, or from whom...\n\nNGMI.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1851926057407967639","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2278,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1851926057407967639","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1346481437327773699":{"id":"1346481437327773699","date":"2021-01-05 15:39:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"15/ Ok we're back for day 2 of Options 101. I'm overwhelmed by the positive response so far, and I'll try to deserve the attention.\n\nToday we're going to talk about vol, but we're going start by talking about not-vol.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346141087174283265","quote_id":"1346481568991170561","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":62,"retweets":9,"replies":2,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":21,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346481437327773699","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1610279530098470914":{"id":"1610279530098470914","date":"2023-01-03 14:18:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@azad_champion @ejames_c @nabeelqu Depends a lot on the topic. The best way to get up to speed on \"History of X\" is pretty much books-only still, for example.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1610183719700279297","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":104,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1610279530098470914","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2056837134955470868":{"id":"2056837134955470868","date":"2026-05-19 20:39:21","author":"Nan Ransohoff","handle":"nanransohoff","text":"New blog post: The third wave of American philanthropy\n\nHundreds of billions of dollars in new philanthropic capital will soon become liquid. The OpenAI Foundation holds 26% of OpenAI, worth about $220B at today’s valuation. Anthropic’s seven co-founders have pledged to give away 80% of their wealth and have instituted the most aggressive donor matching program for employees in tech history.\n\nHow much does this all add up to? And how meaningful is that in the context of philanthropy today?\n\nI was doing some simple napkin math to wrap my head around the scale of what’s coming, and radicalized myself in the process. I had dramatically underappreciated the scale of the philanthropic capital that’s about to become available and the corresponding gap in talent and organizations that will be needed to make the most of it.\n\nThis piece aims to directionally sketch the scale of what’s coming, the gap in operational capacity needed to absorb it, and what we can do to fill it.\n\n(Link to full post in reply)","hashtags":[],"conv":"2056837134955470868","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2059209890128662970","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1699,"retweets":205,"replies":123,"quotes":224,"views":1804589,"bookmarks":1532,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/nanransohoff/status/2056837134955470868"},"1261300920635125760":{"id":"1261300920635125760","date":"2020-05-15 14:22:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@neil_conway @michael_nielsen Salespeople trying to sell DL tech to non-tech decision-makers and laypeople who have only ever heard of \"AI\" through movies.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1261291723767951360","reply_id":"1261294163229720578","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"neil_conway","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1261300920635125760","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1774418928002838917":{"id":"1774418928002838917","date":"2024-03-31 12:50:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I love using this, but it only works on people who have a reasonable time discount rate.\n\nI.e. not kids. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1774418928002838917","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":5277,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1774418928002838917","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1832301002424299697":{"id":"1832301002424299697","date":"2024-09-07 06:12:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OrthogonalAlpha \"They're in a bulking phase right now.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1832210311077851577","reply_id":"1832210311077851577","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OrthogonalAlpha","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":440,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1832301002424299697","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1838919328730653118":{"id":"1838919328730653118","date":"2024-09-25 12:31:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"👇👇👇\nNote that this is coming from a former trader (and me, another), who on priors should be very pro-gambling.\n\nBut the sad fact is that sports gambling is a disaster for most people.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1838919328730653118","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":94,"retweets":4,"replies":13,"quotes":0,"views":22546,"bookmarks":19,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1838919328730653118","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1772322519514759581":{"id":"1772322519514759581","date":"2024-03-25 17:59:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheStalwart @mer__edith They only do those for *names*, i.e. people they already otherwise know and know about.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1772313288971346340","reply_id":"1772314109955977312","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheStalwart","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":285,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1772322519514759581","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1661595729696280576":{"id":"1661595729696280576","date":"2023-05-25 04:51:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@worstcontrarian ContentengagementclicksviewslikesSEOwhatever.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1661594000435081219","reply_id":"1661594317688033281","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"worstcontrarian","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":926,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1661595729696280576","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1346481568991170561":{"id":"1346481568991170561","date":"2021-01-05 15:39:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Day 2 of Options 101.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346481568991170561","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346481568991170561","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1593103686527434753":{"id":"1593103686527434753","date":"2022-11-17 04:48:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@redwardblue VTI and chill, right @therobotjames?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1593060104274075650","reply_id":"1593098794576785410","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"edward_yu_var","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1593103686527434753","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1565126904465674241":{"id":"1565126904465674241","date":"2022-08-31 23:58:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Politics is fan service transformed into a full-time job.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1565126904465674241","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1565126904465674241","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1437199837330432002":{"id":"1437199837330432002","date":"2021-09-12 23:41:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @darjohn25 @FranklinLynam @FreyaHolmer I agree! Lots of people hide behind abstruse use of symbols.\n\n\"Let {arbitrary Greek letter} denote prices, and {other arbitrary Greek letter} denote returns thusly...\"\n\nNot going anywhere, usually.\n\nThings should be made a simple as possible. But no simpler.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1436696408506212353","reply_id":"1437195325433782274","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1437199837330432002","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1632166213391642624":{"id":"1632166213391642624","date":"2023-03-04 23:48:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@july2022ffsacc That's great for the smart, driven kids who somehow knew what they wanted to do from birth.\n\nMost kids are NOT like that though. Even the smart driven ones.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632157627978514433","reply_id":"1632165354913820673","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"july2022ffsacc","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":220,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632166213391642624","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1773100123146322091":{"id":"1773100123146322091","date":"2024-03-27 21:29:46","author":"peepeepoopoo","handle":"DeepDishEnjoyer","text":"I've said this about e/acc before and it's even more true in trading\n\nmost of the time\nif you can't explain it in middle school language. you are full of shit and larping","hashtags":[],"conv":"1773100123146322091","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1773113448722800689","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":277,"retweets":12,"replies":24,"quotes":3,"views":46878,"bookmarks":33,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/DeepDishEnjoyer/status/1773100123146322091"},"1633210054202769408":{"id":"1633210054202769408","date":"2023-03-07 20:56:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityVIX Sales tax. Flat rate. No exceptions, not for businesses, not for governments, not for tourists, not for anyone.\n\nRidiculously efficient, ridiculously fair. Which is why it will never happen.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632979039882297347","reply_id":"1632979039882297347","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityVIX","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":182,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633210054202769408","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1602446374314070017":{"id":"1602446374314070017","date":"2022-12-12 23:32:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"6/ So, where have we gotten to:\n- Day classification is only useful to a trader if it's predictive.\n- If you day classification involves predicting martingales, it's just the hard problem of \"find good trades\" for which you don't need classification. Just go trade that signal.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602446367825149952","reply_id":"1602446373193801728","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":18,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1602446374314070017","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1708638241904263472":{"id":"1708638241904263472","date":"2023-10-02 00:21:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nabeelqu I love the idea, but establishing such a group is probably a sell signal.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1708634500627071002","reply_id":"1708634500627071002","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nabeelqu","likes":35,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":10962,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1708638241904263472","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1532550264074301440":{"id":"1532550264074301440","date":"2022-06-03 02:30:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MarkGoral @business Lower liability costs when you run them over.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1532542858363813907","reply_id":"1532544386256384000","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MarkGoral","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1532550264074301440","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1187756438422052865":{"id":"1187756438422052865","date":"2019-10-25 15:42:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ReformedTrader @alphaarchitect @Mike_Thrasher @FactorResearch @lhamtil And in particular, the importance of private information (and our confidence in it) that induces us to hit that turn signal.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1187532943478185984","reply_id":"1187755897822437376","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ReformedTrader","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1187756438422052865","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2039328070553776486":{"id":"2039328070553776486","date":"2026-04-01 13:04:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I enjoyed every character of this.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2039328070553776486","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":122,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":16000,"bookmarks":16,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2039328070553776486","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1711532778159026342":{"id":"1711532778159026342","date":"2023-10-10 00:03:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@IDrawCharts No chance.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1711463518703411486","reply_id":"1711463518703411486","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"IDrawCharts","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":166,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1711532778159026342","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1481477739810988032":{"id":"1481477739810988032","date":"2022-01-13 04:06:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@GreenZenForest @therobotjames @Buy_The_Dip_ @FREAK0NAUT @vixologist @kchoudhu I have read her diary a couple of times. Very hard to read. Kolyma Stories by Varlam Shalamov is similar. Very revealing about human nature.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481302561592422402","reply_id":"1481477183612719110","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GreenZenForest","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1481477739810988032","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1493424329953923073":{"id":"1493424329953923073","date":"2022-02-15 03:18:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@circulinear This is precisely the problem with the \"meritocracy\" as originally defined (pejoratively by Michael Young in The Rise of the Meritocracy).\n\nNoblesse oblige ain't coming back ever, but sometimes it seems like it would be better if it did...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493387393142976512","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1493424329953923073","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1686967059287257088":{"id":"1686967059287257088","date":"2023-08-03 05:07:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"TFW you watch Stefan Edberg highlights on YouTube and you want to change your whole game to copy his.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1686967059287257088","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":3089,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1686967059287257088","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1461341047074656259":{"id":"1461341047074656259","date":"2021-11-18 14:30:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan @therobotjames @stone_caleb22 @TCK_JRubano @KrisAbdelmessih Wow, thanks man!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1460724469933035520","reply_id":"1461305420920799236","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1461341047074656259","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1976686683719696650":{"id":"1976686683719696650","date":"2025-10-10 16:30:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bagina_enjoyer Where does this fantasy come from?\n\nShow me one Polymarket trader convicted of insider trading. One.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1976645088433656219","reply_id":"1976686383751467414","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bagina_enjoyer","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":605,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1976686683719696650","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1962114234537406697":{"id":"1962114234537406697","date":"2025-08-31 11:24:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"You see this everywhere in social science research: pointing to a bunch of correlations and simply claiming that there is causation there.\n\nThat's not how any of this works.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1962114230758326689","reply_id":"1962114232729637008","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":307,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1962114234537406697","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1868305600385339891":{"id":"1868305600385339891","date":"2024-12-15 14:42:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Tornado warning in SF, winter weather whacks West Coast.\"\n\n(checks SD weather)\n\n63F, sunny.\n\nYup.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1868305600385339891","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1754,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1868305600385339891","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2041154725022756983":{"id":"2041154725022756983","date":"2026-04-06 14:03:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So basically, mute all of these and you're most of the way to having a usable experience?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2041154725022756983","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":76,"retweets":1,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":6414,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2041154725022756983","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1773389163498443215":{"id":"1773389163498443215","date":"2024-03-28 16:38:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"25 AMERICAN YEARS","hashtags":[],"conv":"1773389163498443215","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2361,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1773389163498443215","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2031000933950165238":{"id":"2031000933950165238","date":"2026-03-09 13:35:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Remember two years ago when deepfakes were going to completely destroy our society?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2031000933950165238","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3779,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2031000933950165238","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2024879780080791919":{"id":"2024879780080791919","date":"2026-02-20 16:12:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"All I want is a perfectly secure container for my possibly-superhumanly-persistent-at-escaping AI in case someone convinces it to reveal all my secrets when I'm not looking.\n\nWhich is always, because that's the point.\n\nIs that so much to ask?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2024879780080791919","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2738,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2024879780080791919","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1998489240582095339":{"id":"1998489240582095339","date":"2025-12-09 20:25:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Must-read.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1998489240582095339","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":95,"retweets":6,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":47173,"bookmarks":131,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1998489240582095339","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1291443904122773504":{"id":"1291443904122773504","date":"2020-08-06 18:39:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mojombo How much do you worry about the correlation between good cover letter and, in this case for example, good dev skill?\n\nHow do you account for this?\n\nReally grateful you're taking the time to describe your thoughts here, we can all learn something.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1291430990284337152","reply_id":"1291442875520049152","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mojombo","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1291443904122773504","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1496506886891479040":{"id":"1496506886891479040","date":"2022-02-23 15:27:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The child education trilemma. Pick two of three:\n\n- High standards\n- Low pressure\n- Broadly available\n\n(This is not even factoring in cost. Quadlemma?)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1496506886891479040","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1496506886891479040","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1708314679809134625":{"id":"1708314679809134625","date":"2023-10-01 02:55:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@typeofemale Inscrutable execution order? ✅\nUnknowable notebook state? ✅\nImpossible to version control? ✅\n\nSign me up!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1708062021478945012","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":44,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1708314679809134625","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1755625462771191892":{"id":"1755625462771191892","date":"2024-02-08 16:11:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Inspired by @KrisAbdelmessih quoting Munger:\n\nIQ = engine. HP, torque, etc.\n\nWork = transmission. Getting power to the road.\n\nRationality = suspension + steering. Adjusting well to the outside world.\n\nVision/imagination = satnav. Where you're going.\n\nand\nEthics = *How* you drive.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1755625462771191892","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":77,"retweets":5,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":6280,"bookmarks":48,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1755625462771191892","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2015920889624145989":{"id":"2015920889624145989","date":"2026-01-26 22:52:48","author":"Antonio García Martínez (agm.eth)","handle":"antoniogm","text":"This meeting could have been a Slack post.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2015920889624145989","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2016129022187504008","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":33,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":1,"views":9146,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/antoniogm/status/2015920889624145989"},"1513636955233218565":{"id":"1513636955233218565","date":"2022-04-11 21:55:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"They're not all bad.\n- Sapiens is good. \n- Never Split The Difference is must-read if you're in a sales role.\n- Lifespan is interesting too.\n\nBut yeah, most of it is dross.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1513636955233218565","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1513636955233218565","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1937580066059227545":{"id":"1937580066059227545","date":"2025-06-24 18:34:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Etcheverry positively sprinted to his 3 set loss in 2:34. Shortest match of the year for him @tennisabstract ? :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1937580066059227545","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":2781,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1937580066059227545","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1847614211993579659":{"id":"1847614211993579659","date":"2024-10-19 12:22:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Versace_Trader - I don't know anymore.\n- Because mathematical masturbation is a national pastime.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847610792113316169","reply_id":"1847611355123372166","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Versace_Trader","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":688,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847614211993579659","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1639329018309914624":{"id":"1639329018309914624","date":"2023-03-24 18:11:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Agreed, and that's not getting solved. But getting the stupid machine to do it for you in 1 minute is a cost savings. HRBlock ain't going to do it, but maybe some entreprising startup will.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1639325589831307264","reply_id":"1639328623072014336","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":480,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1639329018309914624","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1499392870645571594":{"id":"1499392870645571594","date":"2022-03-03 14:34:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @Oh_So_Gordo @HariPKrishnan2 @bennpeifert @YannickKae @nope_its_lily @choffstein @moreproteinbars @macrocephalopod @salr_nyc @KrisAbdelmessih @Ksidiii The whole pipeline *is* broken.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1499208197717913604","reply_id":"1499384842190045185","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1499392870645571594","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1548051590224875521":{"id":"1548051590224875521","date":"2022-07-15 21:07:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EconShiller @therobotjames @TCK_JRubano @pmontu33 (ignoring risk limits)\nIf I think the position I have on is +EV (obviously including the important fact it's gone against me), I keep it on. If not I take it off.\n\n(not ignoring risk limits)\nI exit when I've exceeded my risk limit.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548007648007634944","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1548051590224875521","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1629860045902196737":{"id":"1629860045902196737","date":"2023-02-26 15:04:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"LinkedIn messages I get most frequently:\n\n2020: Growth marketers looking for clients.\n2021: Offshore software devs looking for clients.\n2022: Startups looking for angel investors.\n2023: VCs looking for LPs.\n\n🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1629860045902196737","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3717,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1629860045902196737","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1713722607407948172":{"id":"1713722607407948172","date":"2023-10-16 01:04:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@spreekaway 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1713713292227592400","reply_id":"1713713292227592400","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"spreekaway","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":114,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1713722607407948172","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1709683768741814685":{"id":"1709683768741814685","date":"2023-10-04 21:35:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @DeepDishEnjoyer @bookdepth Made.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709636771036672000","reply_id":"1709676329480708222","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":184,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1709683768741814685","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1370079357595611137":{"id":"1370079357595611137","date":"2021-03-11 18:29:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AdithiaKusno Well, the thing that's hard about that is... that it's dark. :)\n\nI don't know that I have much that's useful to say on that subject, esp for a mostly retail audience.\n\n@bennpeifert @Ksidiii @macrocephalopod @therobotjames @salr_nyc any help?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1370077466878951434","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AdithiaKusno","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1370079357595611137","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1922304989990395929":{"id":"1922304989990395929","date":"2025-05-13 14:56:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nkreu113r Those are two big ifs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1922217541520314643","reply_id":"1922293472033144926","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nkreu113r","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1901,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1922304989990395929","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1748110442135015756":{"id":"1748110442135015756","date":"2024-01-18 22:29:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@waltuuuhr Bias.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1748105199665963157","reply_id":"1748107870929891755","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"waltuuuhr","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":782,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1748110442135015756","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1488192235220865030":{"id":"1488192235220865030","date":"2022-01-31 16:47:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug I think the standard explanations are good in this case:\n1. Not enough of a commodity.\n2. Not a heterogeneous enough set of market participants.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1488174251563794437","reply_id":"1488174251563794437","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1488192235220865030","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1587532998257221632":{"id":"1587532998257221632","date":"2022-11-01 19:52:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Takes on Elon/Twitter be like","hashtags":[],"conv":"1587532998257221632","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1587532998257221632","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1633552114944471041":{"id":"1633552114944471041","date":"2023-03-08 19:35:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"For me this is the secret to everything.\n\nThink hard about what's the right thing to work on, then do more and more-focused work than others think is necessary or reasonable.\n\nI know others work differently with success, but this formula works for me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633552114944471041","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":111,"retweets":7,"replies":5,"quotes":5,"views":38070,"bookmarks":52,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633552114944471041","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1769001137049579777":{"id":"1769001137049579777","date":"2024-03-16 14:01:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Then they'll go off and daytrade stocks because someone on Twitter said they saw something happen twice.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1769001137049579777","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3333,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1769001137049579777","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1621616609956884480":{"id":"1621616609956884480","date":"2023-02-03 21:08:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug And those are precisely the wallets that make sure the UV3 price tracks reality.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1621598638249066501","reply_id":"1621598638249066501","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1686,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1621616609956884480","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1772055749486882901":{"id":"1772055749486882901","date":"2024-03-25 00:19:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @GrandTokamak ☝️\n\nIf you're bad at hiring, you hire bad people. Same as always.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1772041635720765887","reply_id":"1772043428429222311","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":821,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1772055749486882901","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1507898551719792646":{"id":"1507898551719792646","date":"2022-03-27 01:53:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"My wife is Googling \"bombay sapphire and vodka mixed drinks\".\n\nAMA for the next 10mins.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507898551719792646","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":41,"retweets":2,"replies":15,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1507898551719792646","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2030546952845189154":{"id":"2030546952845189154","date":"2026-03-08 07:31:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So F1 is now fully a battery-management game?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2030546952845189154","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":71,"retweets":1,"replies":11,"quotes":0,"views":11895,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2030546952845189154","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1663982401813626880":{"id":"1663982401813626880","date":"2023-05-31 18:54:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In part because people have been brainwashed into being terrified of running their own machines (in datacenters, mind you, not physically).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1663982401813626880","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":6175,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1663982401813626880","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1719224034414702971":{"id":"1719224034414702971","date":"2023-10-31 05:25:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Btico19 @AutismCapital I mean, I did start to really wonder.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1719029260575510583","reply_id":"1719223770823479363","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Btico19","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":22,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1719224034414702971","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1433875452347641856":{"id":"1433875452347641856","date":"2021-09-03 19:32:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@iv_technicals Hasn't it felt this way for about the last 5 years?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1433875230284451850","reply_id":"1433875230284451850","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"iv_technicals","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1433875452347641856","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1481435955940581376":{"id":"1481435955940581376","date":"2022-01-13 01:20:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @vixologist @kchoudhu Yes, I'm in that 10%. This is ~half of it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481302561592422402","reply_id":"1481435327864586240","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1481435955940581376_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1481435955940581376","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1324049241690398720":{"id":"1324049241690398720","date":"2020-11-04 18:01:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ATabarrok Elite overproduction -> signaling games -> disconnect from the masses.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1324047859172343808","reply_id":"1324047859172343808","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ATabarrok","likes":35,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1324049241690398720","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1369855950639624192":{"id":"1369855950639624192","date":"2021-03-11 03:41:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames @InBraised You can eyeball the beta by estimating that slope. Looks like ~1/250 = 0.004.\n\nSo 20d return = 0.004 * TED spread (conditional on being in that x range).\n\nDoesn't seem like much, but what do I know?\n\nFind a few dozen of these (without datamining!) and you might have a strat. 🤷","hashtags":[],"conv":"1369774884834934788","reply_id":"1369854124272082945","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":5,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1369855950639624192","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1938163816447013287":{"id":"1938163816447013287","date":"2025-06-26 09:13:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Exactly. The boring sameness of it all, like a character out of central casting.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1938163816447013287","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":5737,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1938163816447013287","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1909338010543435860":{"id":"1909338010543435860","date":"2025-04-07 20:10:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Tell me you use Matlab without telling me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1909338010543435860","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":46,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":5450,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1909338010543435860","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1957545350253744314":{"id":"1957545350253744314","date":"2025-08-18 20:49:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xKuzco @kchoudhu Sure, but that mimetic form is backed by your government's monopoly on the use of violence.\n\nUSD is worth something because you have to pay your US taxes in that currency, and the US gov't has a lot of guns.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957390814113308717","reply_id":"1957542917553463603","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xKuzco","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":112,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1957545350253744314","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1537852342812323845":{"id":"1537852342812323845","date":"2022-06-17 17:39:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Noahpinion Worth a read on the subject, if you haven't already:\n\nhttps://constructionphysics.substack.com/p/is-there-a-housing-shortage-or-not?s=r","hashtags":[],"conv":"1537625332248784896","reply_id":"1537851951982841857","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Noahpinion","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1537852342812323845","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1737504828816072981":{"id":"1737504828816072981","date":"2023-12-20 16:06:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The GAN theory of human cognition:\n\nPeople like on an axis from \"mostly generator\" to \"mostly discriminator\" of ideas.\n\nCorollary: being in the middle is the worst of both worlds.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1737504828816072981","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1829,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1737504828816072981","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1668089976058265600":{"id":"1668089976058265600","date":"2023-06-12 02:56:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is probably also why the smartest people in our society are gravitating mostly to dealing with bits.\n\nBit-munging yields to pure, raw IQ in a way that atom-munging doesn't.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1668089972367163393","reply_id":"1668089974778888196","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2173,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1668089976058265600","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1412593416379060225":{"id":"1412593416379060225","date":"2021-07-07 02:04:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@saanglee @M1tchRosenthal Yeah, it's a bit yelling at clouds. Best to ignore entirely. \n\nNon-alpha gonna non-alpha.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1412584152919162881","reply_id":"1412587028886085634","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"saanglee","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1412593416379060225","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1532772831028580352":{"id":"1532772831028580352","date":"2022-06-03 17:14:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@web3ally Deontology feels like meta-consequentialism.\n\nI.e. when you can't actually \"shut up and calculate\" you have to rely on priors and meta-heuristics which represent the accumulation of humanity's lived experience.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1532767394342395904","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1532772831028580352","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1367670056268668929":{"id":"1367670056268668929","date":"2021-03-05 02:55:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@salr_nyc @KrisAbdelmessih @Ksidiii B: I've got an end cust who wants to do 5k, I've got MMs lined up for 4.5k, can you help me out with the balance?\n\nMM: Ok, fine, as a favor.\n\n(5mins later)\n\nB: Actually, can you up it to 1k? One of the guys is off the desk.\n\nMM: Dude, just tell me 1k is the full size already.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1367549296216858632","reply_id":"1367667151251857408","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"salr_nyc","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1367670056268668929","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1397635055015526402":{"id":"1397635055015526402","date":"2021-05-26 19:25:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@volmagorov @RockshotJ Beat me to it!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1397621423250673665","reply_id":"1397631508756770819","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"volmagorov","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1397635055015526402","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1937213687867084985":{"id":"1937213687867084985","date":"2025-06-23 18:18:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Imagine trying to do brain surgery on God so that it runs a subtle 6 month campaign to get you to buy a Ford F150.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1937209115383849132","reply_id":"1937209115383849132","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":172,"retweets":4,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":12264,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1937213687867084985","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1710069625369575843":{"id":"1710069625369575843","date":"2023-10-05 23:09:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod I *loved* that book as a kid. There's something about those drawings that's magnetic.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1710055950676013563","reply_id":"1710055950676013563","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":790,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1710069625369575843","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1955314406197240248":{"id":"1955314406197240248","date":"2025-08-12 17:04:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SuleimanSa65638 Kolyma Stories - Varlam Shalamov\nCrooked Plow - Itamar Vieira Jr\nAneantir - Michel Houellebecq","hashtags":[],"conv":"1955290430897025264","reply_id":"1955291398158041558","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SuleimanSa65638","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":225,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1955314406197240248","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1331795492036960256":{"id":"1331795492036960256","date":"2020-11-26 03:02:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HF_Trader It would probably be useful to hear more about why it was such a good decision.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1331793474354638854","reply_id":"1331793474354638854","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HF_Trader","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1331795492036960256","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1494111858344611841":{"id":"1494111858344611841","date":"2022-02-17 00:50:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@darjohn25 Certainly not. The biggest things you can do are diet and exercise. All the other stuff is deckchairs on the Titanic compared to that.\n\nLongevity - David Sinclair","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494110009478684674","reply_id":"1494110011051884544","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"darrinrj84","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494111858344611841","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1722364498768789741":{"id":"1722364498768789741","date":"2023-11-08 21:24:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@liquiditygoblin Yup, everything you wrote in that thread makes sense and it's how I used to think about it when MMing wide products.\n\nAnd especially when trading is very lumpy (lots of OTC flow), you get to know which {strike,exp} are toxic because some MM got run over on it last month. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1722105396280824300","reply_id":"1722363452365410815","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"liquiditygoblin","likes":6,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":669,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1722364498768789741","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1636189668738990080":{"id":"1636189668738990080","date":"2023-03-16 02:16:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Like it was centuries ago, in-person conversation will end up being the only vehicle for educated people to find each other.\n\nEverything else is gameable.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1636189668738990080","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":3198,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1636189668738990080","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1448341957768482817":{"id":"1448341957768482817","date":"2021-10-13 17:36:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2/ Let's say you're trying to estimate the chances of some future event happening.\n\nAs an example, let's take P(Trump runs for President in 2024).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448341956841533442","reply_id":"1448341956841533442","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1448341957768482817","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1597051464035147776":{"id":"1597051464035147776","date":"2022-11-28 02:15:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@typeofemale @tszzl https://www.fmworldcup.com/excel-esports/microsoft-excel-world-championship/\n\n? 🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597015817954021382","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597051464035147776","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1504199756825841665":{"id":"1504199756825841665","date":"2022-03-16 20:55:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pranavvk @therobotjames And you're paying more in spreads.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503862489599340544","reply_id":"1504199572825915394","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1504199756825841665","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1944088390338851183":{"id":"1944088390338851183","date":"2025-07-12 17:36:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@adi_baradwaj Maybe there is, but (a) I haven't seen anything like that and (b) I wouldn't assume it at all.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1944060716295893233","reply_id":"1944085833847648688","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"adi_baradwaj","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":669,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1944088390338851183","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2042291823465439497":{"id":"2042291823465439497","date":"2026-04-09 17:21:29","author":"Finn Hulse","handle":"finn_hulse","text":"“got any stock picks for us nephew?”\n\nunc i am fighting for my life adjusting skew between 3 expirations in 4 correlated index products. 6 different customers fiddling around in random directions, 1 broker on the phone, and i’m trying to keep up with my bald desk head who’s silently piloting on pure instinct and may or may not be managing his vega and deltas on this fine afternoon","hashtags":[],"conv":"2042291823465439497","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2042308806965678349","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":97,"retweets":5,"replies":2,"quotes":3,"views":43647,"bookmarks":26,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/finn_hulse/status/2042291823465439497"},"1549243606346502144":{"id":"1549243606346502144","date":"2022-07-19 04:03:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@zWllCCX @therobotjames @be20684347 @KemonomichiNL @worstcontrarian It helps to have a concrete reason to read it. These aren't \"read for fun\" books, at least not for me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548989902570012672","reply_id":"1549242483946962944","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"zWllCCX","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1549243606346502144","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1540387010027741184":{"id":"1540387010027741184","date":"2022-06-24 17:30:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@eshear @paulg It might be. But many things happened in 1971.\n\nhttps://wtfhappenedin1971.com/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1540379719396478976","reply_id":"1540386157476728832","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"eshear","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1540387010027741184","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1582831542501396480":{"id":"1582831542501396480","date":"2022-10-19 20:30:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Short stories by:\n\n- George Saunders\n- Adam Johnson (also his novel Orphan Master's Son is excellent)\n\nNovels:\n- World Made By Hand (Kunstler)\n- Houellebecq Aneantir (Annihilate in English)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1582830027686965248","reply_id":"1582830809295523841","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1582831542501396480","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1563589059112357889":{"id":"1563589059112357889","date":"2022-08-27 18:07:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@drunkengrass I accelerate too fast, I brake too fast.\n\nBut I don't run red lights, make illegal u-turns, or take advantage of pedestrian walk signs to make illegal left turns right behind said pedestrians. All of which I've seen in the last 24 hrs by middle-aged white dudes.\n\nWe're a menace.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1563575512122814465","reply_id":"1563587068839600129","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"drunkengrass","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1563589059112357889","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1702497139300184205":{"id":"1702497139300184205","date":"2023-09-15 01:38:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bookdepth @yminsky @ryxcommar Own it. Be that guy!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1702092383674880328","reply_id":"1702098398571098443","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bookdepth","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":586,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1702497139300184205","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1792581814860550601":{"id":"1792581814860550601","date":"2024-05-20 15:43:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"You have to *really* like cycling a recumbent bike to put up with looking like a recumbent bike cyclist.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1792581814860550601","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1951,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1792581814860550601","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1503801328715243524":{"id":"1503801328715243524","date":"2022-03-15 18:32:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @choffstein @HomePriceHedges Surely someone is already trying to do this on defi with some ill-conceived oracle-based protocol?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503764112739913730","reply_id":"1503797971313430529","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1503801328715243524","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2062172248014778878":{"id":"2062172248014778878","date":"2026-06-03 13:59:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What are those three orange chartcrime curves, anon?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2062172248014778878","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":5606,"bookmarks":1,"media":["2062172248014778878_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2062172248014778878","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1364263505994543104":{"id":"1364263505994543104","date":"2021-02-23 17:19:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NathanTankus @notsoundmind Thanks for the links and explanations.\n\nYour perspective is fairly different from the ones I'm familiar with. My questions are genuine \"I want to learn\" rather than whataboutism.\n\nI'm still skeptical, but I will read and think about it. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1364246840003211269","reply_id":"1364262716609822722","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"NathanTankus","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1364263505994543104","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1633934283709779968":{"id":"1633934283709779968","date":"2023-03-09 20:54:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"24/ But again, they’re playing a dangerous game.\n\nIf ANY ONE of those customers checks and gets a bad receipt, they’ll probably yell on Twitter. One nutcase, who cares? But maybe it makes 2 more retail people check tomorrow.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633934250620891136","reply_id":"1633934282413715456","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2398,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633934283709779968","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1436079879972286465":{"id":"1436079879972286465","date":"2021-09-09 21:31:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"New Matrix trailer.\n\nThere's nothing new anymore.\nOur culture is completely exhausted.\n\nWe're all eating memberberries watching That's Familiar 24hrs a day.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1436079879972286465","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1436079879972286465_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1436079879972286465","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1678902448373776384":{"id":"1678902448373776384","date":"2023-07-11 23:01:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@akbirthko It's entertainment. It's not actual *learning*.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1678802252830482432","reply_id":"1678802252830482432","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"akbirthko","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":396,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1678902448373776384","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2066552914928452084":{"id":"2066552914928452084","date":"2026-06-15 16:06:24","author":"John Arnold","handle":"johnarnold","text":"RT @johnarnold: Ex-CFTC chair Gary Gensler is spot on with his amicus brief against federally sanctioned prediction markets:\n1) The structure, history, and purpose of federal commodity derivatives markets and laws have nothing to do with sports betting.\n2) Congress did not include sports betting contracts within the statutory Dodd-Frank definition of swap.\n3) Nobody involved in DF’s passage called for preempting states or their gaming commissions’ authorities over sports betting.\n4) DF's “Special Rule,” by text and design, does not define sports bets as swaps.\n5) The CFTC did not ask Congress for staffing or appropriations to regulate millions of sports betting      transactions either when DF passed or after Murphy, and it lacks the experience to do so.\n6) Congress does not make fundamental changes in the balance of state and federal power in isolated snippets of text. As the Court has said, Congress does not “hide elephants in mouseholes.”\n\n37 attorneys general have signed onto a brief supporting Ohio’s right to enforce its state sports gaming and gambling laws.\n\nI don't usually agree with Gensler but he's right that gambling is meant to be regulated in the states. \n\nvia @DustinGouker excellent newsletter on these issues.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2066552914928452084","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2066551297440878841","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":34,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/johnarnold/status/2066552914928452084"},"1996609709286347157":{"id":"1996609709286347157","date":"2025-12-04 15:57:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"But if the bid(offer) is big and the offer(bid) is small, maybe the true fair is closer to the smaller side.\n\nThat side is “weaker” in some sense.\n\nSo we compute a weighted average of the bid/ask. (bid_sz*ask_px + ask_sz*bid_px)/(bid_sz+ask_sz).\n\nThat’s it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1996609701950218467","reply_id":"1996609706396401955","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2858,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1996609709286347157","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2080735141698085311":{"id":"2080735141698085311","date":"2026-07-24 19:21:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"The president sanctioned the sanctioning of Iran.\" That's stupid.\n\n- My kid studying for the SAT, annoyed at the language of English.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2080735141698085311","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":5064,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2080735141698085311","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1294277734122704896":{"id":"1294277734122704896","date":"2020-08-14 14:20:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VitruviusCurve All of what you said (the words, the returns) is consistent with what world-class market-making looks like IMO.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1294273814025711617","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1294277734122704896","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1498855385108680704":{"id":"1498855385108680704","date":"2022-03-02 02:59:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This is a great take. Not because it's obviously correct (though it might be), but because it makes me think. Hard.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1498855385108680704","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1498855385108680704","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1170417219458629633":{"id":"1170417219458629633","date":"2019-09-07 19:23:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mattyglesias It's a place that's good at getting articles into Wired. And occasionally does some real research.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1170415086667739136","reply_id":"1170415086667739136","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mattyglesias","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1170417219458629633","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1245173989250445312":{"id":"1245173989250445312","date":"2020-04-01 02:19:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein His Poker Face Of Wall Street is what pushed me over the edge to quit my comfy engineering career (in 2008!) and become a trader.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1245172353409011712","reply_id":"1245173004536954880","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1245173989250445312","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1811116895434924103":{"id":"1811116895434924103","date":"2024-07-10 19:14:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So the highest seed Djoko faces on his way to the final is Rune at #15. Must be nice.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1811116895434924103","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1604,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1811116895434924103","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1294681053257293825":{"id":"1294681053257293825","date":"2020-08-15 17:03:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I'm still looking for an in-person math teacher for three 6th grade boys in North County San Diego. Ideally someone with math competition experience. Full year, 1-2hrs per day, good pay.\n\nI'd appreciate any connections.\n\n#microschool #SanDiego #IMO #usamo #Teachers","hashtags":["microschool","sandiego","imo","usamo","teachers"],"conv":"1294681053257293825","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1294681053257293825","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1810001830442897845":{"id":"1810001830442897845","date":"2024-07-07 17:23:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I bet MOND or something like it will eventually win.\nNo exotic dark matter, anyway.\n\nLess confident about dark energy, but its non-existence wouldn't surprise me either.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1810001830442897845","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2249,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1810001830442897845","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1536515226144632832":{"id":"1536515226144632832","date":"2022-06-14 01:05:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tarunchitra Yes!\n\nOf course, the very liquid options market would require a very liquid borrow/shorting mechanism to make it liquid in the first place.\n\nAnd then you wouldn't *need* the options to have the stability.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536513589913309185","reply_id":"1536513589913309185","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tarunchitra","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1536515226144632832","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1465521462748401669":{"id":"1465521462748401669","date":"2021-11-30 03:21:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @volmagorov 👆👆👆","hashtags":[],"conv":"1465367209048379395","reply_id":"1465520919846084608","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1465521462748401669","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1947256560083759170":{"id":"1947256560083759170","date":"2025-07-21 11:25:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"From an aesthetic perspective, OpenAI (and others) blatantly *consuming* the IMO as just another eval just feels gross. \n\nIt's just strip-mining the world one wonderful little subculture at a time.\n\nJust like the Ghibli thing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1947256560083759170","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":210,"retweets":9,"replies":11,"quotes":0,"views":17328,"bookmarks":28,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1947256560083759170","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1768453488235946220":{"id":"1768453488235946220","date":"2024-03-15 01:45:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @M1tchRosenthal It's a resourcing thing. Using the selective colleges to pre-screen just makes your job OOM easier.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1768404709336052193","reply_id":"1768449616213655768","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":396,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1768453488235946220","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1734414829614678269":{"id":"1734414829614678269","date":"2023-12-12 03:28:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ScottPh77711570 I'm done arguing about that. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1734414228780638652","reply_id":"1734414228780638652","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ScottPh77711570","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":350,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1734414829614678269","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2028392596024799587":{"id":"2028392596024799587","date":"2026-03-02 08:50:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"DoD -> DoW: when they tell you what they're going to do, believe them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2028392596024799587","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":60,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":5783,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2028392596024799587","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1580631353892122624":{"id":"1580631353892122624","date":"2022-10-13 18:47:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@NealBloom Southbound on 101 arriving at Carmel Valley Rd.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1580630212286431233","reply_id":"1580630212286431233","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Mridasai1","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1580631353892122624","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1513276428220989442":{"id":"1513276428220989442","date":"2022-04-10 22:03:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@spdsk8trgrl @therobotjames @be20684347 @aleondotxyz @2_7182818285 @HangukQuant 32 is too many. It's an exercise in detail-ness. 16 is ok.\n\nI think 4 and 8 are kind of optimal.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1513012899093962753","reply_id":"1513275838678110212","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"spdsk8trgrl","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1513276428220989442","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1868925530265055573":{"id":"1868925530265055573","date":"2024-12-17 07:45:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alz_zyd_ 👋","hashtags":[],"conv":"1868887422240534848","reply_id":"1868887422240534848","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alz_zyd_","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":172,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1868925530265055573","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1973741828739584169":{"id":"1973741828739584169","date":"2025-10-02 13:28:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KingofBears7 @DeepDishEnjoyer Also, they're still bound by NDA anyway. The whole industry is built around suborning illegal activity.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1973690359378231362","reply_id":"1973741425750888798","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1773,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1973741828739584169","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1732097750177587396":{"id":"1732097750177587396","date":"2023-12-05 18:00:59","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"It’s a strong opinion of mine that really intuitively understanding the properties of time series filters and really understanding the properties of univariate and multivariate OLS will pay off many times over.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1732097293686354262","reply_id":"1732097293686354262","quote_id":"1732109039075733943","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":142,"retweets":5,"replies":9,"quotes":3,"views":35883,"bookmarks":116,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1732097750177587396"},"1966427659711197450":{"id":"1966427659711197450","date":"2025-09-12 09:04:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Whoever is responsible for this, bravo!\nhttps://alignmentalignment.ai/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1966427659711197450","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":39,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":4313,"bookmarks":5,"media":["1966427659711197450_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1966427659711197450","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1730627297773056113":{"id":"1730627297773056113","date":"2023-12-01 16:37:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xdoug Editter is chef's kiss.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1730626229349364034","reply_id":"1730626229349364034","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xdoug","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":269,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1730627297773056113","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1502671132905795584":{"id":"1502671132905795584","date":"2022-03-12 15:41:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames s/blackrock/bridgewater/g\ns/bridgewater/renaissance/g","hashtags":[],"conv":"1502558938180427776","reply_id":"1502565296858558466","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1502671132905795584","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1509696429450694668":{"id":"1509696429450694668","date":"2022-04-01 00:57:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @choffstein And silence. Blissful silence.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1509387703405666304","reply_id":"1509695632113811457","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1509696429450694668","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1581076331416018944":{"id":"1581076331416018944","date":"2022-10-15 00:15:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nearcausality Then you're doing fine avoiding it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1580947359055630336","reply_id":"1581044423466528768","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nearcausality","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1581076331416018944","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1536180023446491136":{"id":"1536180023446491136","date":"2022-06-13 02:53:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@weaponizedFOMO @bennpeifert I can't even remember that far back.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536179413489856512","reply_id":"1536179825823850496","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"weaponizedFOMO","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1536180023446491136","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1990441938378797446":{"id":"1990441938378797446","date":"2025-11-17 15:28:33","author":"Martin Shkreli","handle":"MartinShkreli","text":"RT @MartinShkreli: Miss Universe, Dutch Bros and Taco Bell have more installs and traffic than MetaMask and Phantom, by an order of magnitude. \n\nNormies don’t care about crypto, never will.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1990441938378797446","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"1990423198450450916","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":33,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/MartinShkreli/status/1990441938378797446"},"1413847068632707072":{"id":"1413847068632707072","date":"2021-07-10 13:06:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @M1tchRosenthal This, in spades.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1413528105583620098","reply_id":"1413786298415030274","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1413847068632707072","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1832482965781135628":{"id":"1832482965781135628","date":"2024-09-07 18:15:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"You get to pick one:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1832482965781135628","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1832824613950079049","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":1,"replies":8,"quotes":1,"views":16429,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1832482965781135628","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1578044971055202304":{"id":"1578044971055202304","date":"2022-10-06 15:30:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Lounging in a hotel lobby listening to crap covers of great songs.\n\nIt's a mood.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1578044971055202304","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1578044971055202304","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1595063142471856128":{"id":"1595063142471856128","date":"2022-11-22 14:34:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brianluidog @therobotjames \"Financial markets are a zero sum game, aren't useful\" is a pretty terrible take for a former equity analyst and PM.\n\nGood luck creating useful things w/o liquid markets to trade those things.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1594914937494974466","reply_id":"1594919174177837056","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"brianluidog","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1595063142471856128","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1346863596332937221":{"id":"1346863596332937221","date":"2021-01-06 16:57:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"35/ I thought about using my own internal tools to create this plot.\n\nBut I realized that embedded in those tools are all sorts of important knowledge and decisions that matter *a ton* for how to look at options. So I took the data from a public source (in this case @barchart).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346863594957279233","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346863596332937221","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1868305788529250628":{"id":"1868305788529250628","date":"2024-12-15 14:43:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @1lot_fader Well. Zero preeeemium. Can't do nothing about them fees amirite?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1868300214882451596","reply_id":"1868304752603476163","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":557,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1868305788529250628","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1265291274585731073":{"id":"1265291274585731073","date":"2020-05-26 14:38:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein I spent many years reading his integral-filled papers and wondering if I just wasn't smart enough to get them.\n\nMore slowly than many, perhaps, it dawned on me that he had no interest in actually teaching/explaining anything.\n\nThe audience was always and only himself.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1265287336729944064","reply_id":"1265287336729944064","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1265291274585731073","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1498116433061953536":{"id":"1498116433061953536","date":"2022-02-28 02:02:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @be20684347 @experquisite @macrocephalopod @therobotjames @NotQuiteMidlife @nope_its_lily @fed_speak This is one of those \"if you have to ask\" things.\n\nConsuming raw exch feeds and handling 100s of GB per day of data is a big technical lift. If you can manage it then you can probably also manage to look at the exchange-unique annotations and think about how they could be useful.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1340471352348848134","reply_id":"1498113970070339590","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1498116433061953536","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1559691124511428608":{"id":"1559691124511428608","date":"2022-08-16 23:58:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"These are terrible terms and always have been.\n\nThe only question is: \"What is the nature of the value you're providing the world?\"\n\nIn finance, you basically have two choices:\n\n1. Be the other side of the trade.\n2. Provide *access* to the other side of the trades.\n\nPick one.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1559691124511428608","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":36,"retweets":5,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1559691124511428608","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1174767857453821952":{"id":"1174767857453821952","date":"2019-09-19 19:30:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Barton_options Right. Mostly for your followers that I'm asking the q. Realized/predicted is v important number to get a handle on.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1174757279704526856","reply_id":"1174767594294980609","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Barton_options","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1174767857453821952","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2074363102980674006":{"id":"2074363102980674006","date":"2026-07-07 05:21:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"TFW you want to do it like Marlo Stanfield: get to the top, then give it all away and start over at the bottom. \n\nJust to see if you still can.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2074363102980674006","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":7303,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2074363102980674006","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1220903230646837248":{"id":"1220903230646837248","date":"2020-01-25 02:56:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan Yes, they're called trading companies. :)\n\nAfter all, it's by far the most reliable way to align incentives of teacher and student.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1220832293310255105","reply_id":"1220832293310255105","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1220903230646837248","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1721322933128425760":{"id":"1721322933128425760","date":"2023-11-06 00:25:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Where's Benn \"varswap\" Eifert when you need him?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1721322933128425760","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":53,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":15575,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1721322933128425760","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1572811310165037062":{"id":"1572811310165037062","date":"2022-09-22 04:53:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @theemilyaccount @DBecevic Same.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1572724691768582144","reply_id":"1572808470780588033","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1572811310165037062","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1935430030508835097":{"id":"1935430030508835097","date":"2025-06-18 20:10:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@idoccor I remember being *so* lost in MATH 147. Seemed like everyone in that class knew each other from HS math contests except me.\n\nWeek 1 we apparently \"construct the real numbers\". WTF? I had never before felt so lost. Convinced I was going to fail.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1935370816964735152","reply_id":"1935428757201760266","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"idoccor","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":355,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1935430030508835097","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1349063750926573569":{"id":"1349063750926573569","date":"2021-01-12 18:40:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dacaldar @PubTriviaFacts Game theory.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1349026350292725761","reply_id":"1349047102412906498","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dackupasec","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1349063750926573569","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1523839381542346753":{"id":"1523839381542346753","date":"2022-05-10 01:36:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JohnKotsis5 Meaning shockingly little contagion.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1523811893126721536","reply_id":"1523839310553886723","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JohnKotsis5","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1523839381542346753","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1792684196395438177":{"id":"1792684196395438177","date":"2024-05-20 22:29:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 Internship.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1792682079022686299","reply_id":"1792682079022686299","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":200,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1792684196395438177","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1304799596959289344":{"id":"1304799596959289344","date":"2020-09-12 15:10:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VitruviusCurve @OneBigOh I'd love to understand how your thinking differs, I'm sure there's something for me to learn.\n\nDo you feel you need to go through fewer candidates to find a good one? Or is it something else?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1304771065537847305","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1304799596959289344","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1942144648186589258":{"id":"1942144648186589258","date":"2025-07-07 08:52:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeFi_AdamZ Profits roughly 10xed from 2019 to 2020 due to Covid.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942143981955199401","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AI_AdamZ","likes":54,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":10070,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942144648186589258","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1367594020273201157":{"id":"1367594020273201157","date":"2021-03-04 21:53:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@onemadhatter1 @therobotjames @darjohn25 The critical question you need to answer before:\n\nWhat is the source of edge for your position in those longs?\n\nI.e take the risks you're being paid to take, hedge the others.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1367586193223741446","reply_id":"1367593701761937412","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"onemadhatter1","likes":3,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1367594020273201157","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1346975669150916611":{"id":"1346975669150916611","date":"2021-01-07 00:23:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@famadeo I'd love to get thoughts from @KrisAbdelmessih, @SinclairEuan, @bennpeifert and others, but:\n\n- Build a model that predicts the thing you want to trade. Make it as good as you can. Think hard about good features/predictors.\n- OOS look for deviations from predictions. Maybe trade.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346972555383611392","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"famadeo","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346975669150916611","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1480733782336442368":{"id":"1480733782336442368","date":"2022-01-11 02:50:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @darjohn25 @therobotjames I think there's a lot to this.\n\nSell tails -> make money -> get blown out -> stop for a while. Then tiptoe back in on the next bull market.\n\nIt's a cycle that's as old as the hills.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1480682186923720704","reply_id":"1480732217445810178","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1480733782336442368","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1957669359582613907":{"id":"1957669359582613907","date":"2025-08-19 05:02:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase The idea is that prediction market wouldn't have much sell liquidity because of plane-with-silver-iodide risk.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957667318684619245","reply_id":"1957668560710570254","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":697,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1957669359582613907","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1891058508809818189":{"id":"1891058508809818189","date":"2025-02-16 09:34:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Part of what makes a sport good is the Elo gap between the best and a typical or beginner player. I.e. there are probably 12 levels of \"P(A beats B) < 10%\" between Jannik Sinner and a weekend tennis player.\n\nAnd it turns out that older sports have a much larger Elo ranges.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1891055428047348214","reply_id":"1891056290287276223","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1674,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1891058508809818189","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1591090718118150145":{"id":"1591090718118150145","date":"2022-11-11 15:29:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"👇👇👇","hashtags":[],"conv":"1591090718118150145","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":41,"retweets":6,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1591090718118150145","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1934626413841162652":{"id":"1934626413841162652","date":"2025-06-16 14:57:35","author":"Judge Glock","handle":"judgeglock","text":"It looks like a whole new shipping preference law is coming. The House overwhelmingly passed the American Cargo for American Ships Act that would require 100% of transportation project materials to go on US ships, driving up infrastructure costs. https://www.govtrack.us/congress/bills/119/hr2035","hashtags":[],"conv":"1934626413841162652","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1936382105770168808","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":867,"retweets":95,"replies":59,"quotes":220,"views":646938,"bookmarks":186,"media":["1934626413841162652_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/judgeglock/status/1934626413841162652"},"1970568688198906334":{"id":"1970568688198906334","date":"2025-09-23 19:19:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@gabagenius Pretty much, yeah.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970539148160454870","reply_id":"1970567165653708936","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"gabagenius","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":388,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1970568688198906334","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1434963972617240577":{"id":"1434963972617240577","date":"2021-09-06 19:37:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"17/ So I started. Now a few months into the journey, and I’m still faced with the same learning problem.\n\n“MEV, what’s that? Sounds weird, I’ll stick to my CEX trading.”\n\n“NFTs? So stupid, and plus you can’t even get short. Forget it.”","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434963956599193601","reply_id":"1434963971602223105","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434963972617240577","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1382718381132898309":{"id":"1382718381132898309","date":"2021-04-15 15:32:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_____Lightning I probably should have worked harder on interesting projects while in college. I had a decent amount of spare time and I spent most of it playing road hockey and going to bars.\n\nAt the margin, I should have tried to build more new things in that consequence-free environment.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"1382717672371130373","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_____Lightning","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382718381132898309","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1640760609292849153":{"id":"1640760609292849153","date":"2023-03-28 16:59:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Great new ideas are almost always bad old ideas, just viewed in a different way or applied in a different area.\n\nThe \"immaculate conception\" theory of ideas leads us to look in the wrong places.\n\nClaude Shannon's Masters thesis is the clear exception to this, of course.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1640760609292849153","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":34,"retweets":3,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3691,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1640760609292849153","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1572669038010175488":{"id":"1572669038010175488","date":"2022-09-21 19:28:12","author":"Mostly here now: @davidthewid.bsky.social","handle":"davidthewid","text":"tip to new PhD students from a 5th year: *show your advisor tables*\n\nit really doesn't matter what you put in the tables. \n\nPhD advisors LOVE tables.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1572669038010175488","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1573332617369649152","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2000,"retweets":119,"replies":50,"quotes":119,"views":0,"bookmarks":160,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/davidthewid/status/1572669038010175488"},"2020256254732693672":{"id":"2020256254732693672","date":"2026-02-07 22:00:00","author":"Y Combinator","handle":"ycombinator","text":"OpenClaw is a new viral and scarily effective virtual assistant. But it's so hard to set up that even most engineers give up.\n\n@usebits_inc will set up your secure OpenClaw instance on the cloud, batteries included, in 5 minutes.\n\nCongrats on the launch @rob0the0nerd and @bailey_wickham!\n\nhttps://www.ycombinator.com/launches/POK-klaus-get-your-openclaw-personal-assistant-in-5-minutes","hashtags":[],"conv":"2020256254732693672","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2020429877808123939","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3162,"retweets":262,"replies":410,"quotes":242,"views":1595125,"bookmarks":4585,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ycombinator/status/2020256254732693672"},"2046491981224857789":{"id":"2046491981224857789","date":"2026-04-21 07:31:24","author":"Alex Imas","handle":"alexolegimas","text":"RT @alexolegimas: Oh I didn’t realize this was a thread. I think you’re vastly underestimating the preference for socialization in demand for basic services like healthcare, education, and many other sectors. And no, the output of craft brewers is not the intrinsic quality of the product, the whole artisanal model is based on human element being part of the value. \n\nI’ll clarify this in a follow up essay, but this is not about performers—if you were correct we would have seen vastly more automation than what we see in the world.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2046491981224857789","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2046357133671756095","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":6,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/alexolegimas/status/2046491981224857789"},"1633934595333951489":{"id":"1633934595333951489","date":"2023-03-09 20:55:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"25/ Soon you have a snowball of social distrust.\n\nPLUS we’re planning lotteries and other inducements so that checking receipts can pay you money!\n\nPoint is, running through the game theory, it’s not that hard to make exchanges strongly incentivized against malicious actions.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633934250620891136","reply_id":"1633934283709779968","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2386,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633934595333951489","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1183578579730223104":{"id":"1183578579730223104","date":"2019-10-14 03:01:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SqueezeMetrics @experquisite @ReformedTrader @VolatilityWiz @Barton_options @chanep @SinclairEuan @petergarnry Dude, predictive models for anything are more valuable the fewer people know them.\n\nIf your GEX really did lead to $, the last thing thing any sane creator would do is sell it to the public.\n\nThe very fact you're selling it proves it's not worth much.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1183423468483706881","reply_id":"1183577526465155073","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SqueezeMetrics","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1183578579730223104","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1470886091276185602":{"id":"1470886091276185602","date":"2021-12-14 22:39:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MinvstrD @AlexClouse @balajis I *want* Turchin-like theories to be true because I've loved the Seldon program since I read it at age 12.\n\nI wish knew of good non-motivated neutral analyses of the ideas.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1470874084300890112","reply_id":"1470885504396714012","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MinvstrD","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1470886091276185602","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1616085720640389123":{"id":"1616085720640389123","date":"2023-01-19 14:50:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Listening is among the most cognitively hard things to do well. 3 levels.\n\nNot Listening\nWaiting for them to stop talking so that you can talk.\n\nBad Listening\nThinking what YOU would mean if you said their words.\n\nGood Listening\nThinking what THEY mean when they say their words.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1616085720640389123","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":45,"retweets":9,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":7461,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1616085720640389123","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1942138320714162528":{"id":"1942138320714162528","date":"2025-07-07 08:27:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"21/ That's a recipe for a PR disaster if anything bad ever comes out, because THAT will become who you are in the eyes of the public. And so it has. They mostly managed to avoid getting hit with the SBF/FTX explosion...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942138318474322078","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":122,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":19162,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942138320714162528","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2081222907326304524":{"id":"2081222907326304524","date":"2026-07-26 03:39:43","author":"Scott Stevenson","handle":"scottastevenson","text":"I have great respect for YC, but need to say what many are surely thinking:\n\nStartup School in a stadium feels antithetical to the YC brand and to what makes startups work.\n\nThe YC brand felt like it was designed to filter out status chasers.\n\nThe bare Mountain View office. The utilitarian design of Hacker News. Everything about YC said: if you’re a curious hacker, we’re your people. If you’re looking for other kinds of prestige or excitement, we’re not for you.\n\nGreat early stage startups are designed the same way: they’re for the people that get a thrill from the work itself, not surrounding fanfare. \n\nIf it were just the arena I wouldn’t comment, but you can feel the gravity of a status vortex slowly tearing down what made YC special.\n\nYou can feel the herd rushing into an overflowing barn. A stadium sized barn.\n\nYou see how YC is now more prestigious than most college degrees. How prestige seekers name drop YC partners. How many YC founders now quit in the early innings—because they didn’t really love the work.\n\nMaybe it’s inevitable. It happens to startups too. Eventually the underestimated, curious, hard working teams become the winning teams. And then the status chasers flock to them.\n\nIf YC is not strong enough to fend it off, maybe no one is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2081222907326304524","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2082725066660315521","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1365,"retweets":35,"replies":111,"quotes":71,"views":442951,"bookmarks":326,"media":["2081222907326304524_1.jpg","2081222907326304524_2.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/scottastevenson/status/2081222907326304524"},"2074929265561288966":{"id":"2074929265561288966","date":"2026-07-08 18:51:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I really hope \"I just spoke with Mitch McConnell\" becomes a Twitter thing for a few days.\n\nI sense a rich comedic vein here.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2074929265561288966","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":44,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":12210,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2074929265561288966","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1598366954842382336":{"id":"1598366954842382336","date":"2022-12-01 17:22:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase @therobotjames @robertmartin88 Costs can often be modeled as linear. So maybe getting long 500 shares only costs $0.50/share. Yay, getting long 500 shares makes me $1-0.5=0.5/share.\n\nIt's an optimization.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598359321158553602","reply_id":"1598366723236773888","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598366954842382336","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1920705402691334516":{"id":"1920705402691334516","date":"2025-05-09 05:00:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1. Bloomberg replacement.\nPitch: \"Bloomberg costs $8m/mo. We can clone it and sell it for less.\"\n\nFatal flaw: Bloomberg costs $8m/mo because of the IB chat feature, which is where broker deals get done. Your replacement is worthless without moving all of that over. You won't.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1920705401110098162","reply_id":"1920705401110098162","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":93,"retweets":2,"replies":7,"quotes":2,"views":9144,"bookmarks":18,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1920705402691334516","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1933444474920681798":{"id":"1933444474920681798","date":"2025-06-13 08:40:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Kn1era @tmychow Not sure. Good at quant trading -> good at AI seems like an easier transition, definitely. Probably has to do with incentive structures somehow.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1933250428772495659","reply_id":"1933439413343641977","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Kn1era","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":221,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1933444474920681798","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1454896800641404932":{"id":"1454896800641404932","date":"2021-10-31 19:43:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"8/ \"It teaches them about competition. Winning and losing.\"\n\nI think we're getting warmer here. If your implicit worldview is that most real-world adult competition is indeed zero-sum, then getting your kids acclimated to it is probably a good idea.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1454896792802267140","reply_id":"1454896799542480896","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1454896800641404932","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1867590936156684528":{"id":"1867590936156684528","date":"2024-12-13 15:22:31","author":"Byrne Hobart","handle":"ByrneHobart","text":"There’s a form of high verbal IQ dysfunction where as soon as you find one good-enough idea, you rebuild your entire life around a fanatical desire to implement it, becoming impervious to criticism and moderation.\n\nFirst-past-the-post-rationalism.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1867590936156684528","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1867861104505803169","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":416,"retweets":15,"replies":12,"quotes":6,"views":37742,"bookmarks":58,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ByrneHobart/status/1867590936156684528"},"1952788559296970894":{"id":"1952788559296970894","date":"2025-08-05 17:47:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase @CJHandmer - Make a legitimate effort to increase TFR.\n- Decrease energy prices. Norway has higher residential electricity costs than most of Central Europe!\n- Increase investment in post-secondary education for *useful* majors.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1952747071942853008","reply_id":"1952785896715047350","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":295,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1952788559296970894","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1259639571320537089":{"id":"1259639571320537089","date":"2020-05-11 00:20:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@johnathan_bi @antoniogm This may also explain the overrepresentation of Jains in successful SV founder circles.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1259566063315873792","reply_id":"1259567356717740034","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"JohnathanBi","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1259639571320537089","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1501264843734589445":{"id":"1501264843734589445","date":"2022-03-08 18:33:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KentoInami @iwillnotsaveu I dunno. Get together with the people who care and do the hard work of defining it in a way that makes the maximum number of people happy. Or what makes people want to trade on your venue.\n\nDealing with hard problems (market structure and rules) by ignoring them doesn't work.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501172120503689218","reply_id":"1501183953360797706","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KentoInami","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501264843734589445","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2046571366569128202":{"id":"2046571366569128202","date":"2026-04-21 12:46:51","author":"The Modest Teacher","handle":"ModestTeacher","text":"You can teach nearly every high school subject effectively with a textbook and a chalkboard, and the only reason we don’t is because education companies figured out they could milk districts out of millions of dollars by convincing them otherwise.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2046571366569128202","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2046628903372910970","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8060,"retweets":878,"replies":186,"quotes":71,"views":339754,"bookmarks":321,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ModestTeacher/status/2046571366569128202"},"2074023753411883215":{"id":"2074023753411883215","date":"2026-07-06 06:52:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Turns out (thanks Fable) that parity is roughly the same since the 90s, ignoring the big 4 era.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2074023753411883215","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":75,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":19245,"bookmarks":42,"media":["2074023753411883215_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2074023753411883215","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1528867493129129984":{"id":"1528867493129129984","date":"2022-05-23 22:36:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily At this point, >50% of the open positions at pre-IPO software startups are phantoms.\n\nJust try *actually* getting hired into those roles.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1528866602703147009","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1528867493129129984","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1419759506314039302":{"id":"1419759506314039302","date":"2021-07-26 20:40:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod There's a useful extension to this mental model, which I've seen named \"Galford dollars\" after Phil Galfond.\n\nThe idea is you do the Sklansky bucks calculation, but this time against the range of hands you believe they hold. Now you must model your own beliefs!\n\nGet better, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1419755450027941893","reply_id":"1419755463583969287","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1419759506314039302","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1505588583599509506":{"id":"1505588583599509506","date":"2022-03-20 16:54:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"6/ This is probably the most important scene in the movie for retail traders. The owner is telling Billy what he needs to hear: that he's not going to compete trading Spoo futures so he shouldn't try.\n\nRetail can't compete with Jump trading Spoos. So they shouldn't try.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1505588582324453377","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505588583599509506","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1762229453764333898":{"id":"1762229453764333898","date":"2024-02-26 21:33:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So lemme get this straight:\n\nAs far as the University of California is concerned, one full year of a given HS class (say world history) is fully equivalent to one *semester* of that class at a community college? Which typically runs twice a week for 80 mins?\n\nWhat am I missing?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1762229453764333898","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":6253,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1762229453764333898","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2022337119751164041":{"id":"2022337119751164041","date":"2026-02-13 15:48:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"[Model] distillation, largely tied to China and occasionally Russia, persisted...\"\n\n🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"2022337119751164041","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3208,"bookmarks":3,"media":["2022337119751164041_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2022337119751164041","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1434664852409106433":{"id":"1434664852409106433","date":"2021-09-05 23:48:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Raoul_duke123 @TheSpeculator0 Kind of amazed at the level of certainty being demonstrated here.\n\nThe human body/mind is an incredibly complex feedback system. It's easy to say \"just count calories\" but the point is that that only lasts so long. Willpower ain't infinite.\n\nSuggest reading Stephan Guyenet.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434623665694461961","reply_id":"1434656880396148741","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Raoul_duke123","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434664852409106433","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1981351272805466254":{"id":"1981351272805466254","date":"2025-10-23 13:25:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"No one:\n\nAbsolutely no one:\n\nCoverd: Not enough gambling in the world yet, let's do literal credit card roulette. That's the idea.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1981351272805466254","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":59,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":5149,"bookmarks":7,"media":["1981351272805466254_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1981351272805466254","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1753533527927279923":{"id":"1753533527927279923","date":"2024-02-02 21:39:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"OpenAI seems to have nerfed the multi-language capabilities of their voice interface. Once you start w/ a language it refuses to speak in any other language.\n\nWen language teacher product?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1753533527927279923","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1901,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1753533527927279923","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1183552942973915136":{"id":"1183552942973915136","date":"2019-10-14 01:19:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @ReformedTrader @VolatilityWiz @Barton_options @chanep @SinclairEuan @petergarnry @SqueezeMetrics Yeah I've spent more time than I'd like on that question.\n\nAFAICT, the only way to get enough information for it to be informative is for you to have a significant % of the positions at relevant strikes.\n\nHappened in LME base metal options a bunch, but ES? Nah.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1183423468483706881","reply_id":"1183528635938029570","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1183552942973915136","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1934678392533615016":{"id":"1934678392533615016","date":"2025-06-16 18:24:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@UnbeknownstDude Agreed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1934563284453036526","reply_id":"1934678197225902210","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"UnbeknownstDude","likes":37,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":14397,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1934678392533615016","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1563608878205390849":{"id":"1563608878205390849","date":"2022-08-27 19:26:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ajetluka @686Prism @drunkengrass Voluntary adherence to rules.\nPolice states are exempted.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1563575512122814465","reply_id":"1563599039471689728","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MrEhpresso","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1563608878205390849","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1459572802302873601":{"id":"1459572802302873601","date":"2021-11-13 17:24:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Where/how can I demo an HTC Vive Pro 2 work setup?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1459572802302873601","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1459572802302873601","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1486375935376908295":{"id":"1486375935376908295","date":"2022-01-26 16:30:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Mob programming: how to get useful work out of people you shouldn't have hired in the first place.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486375935376908295","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1486375935376908295","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1917960126880788637":{"id":"1917960126880788637","date":"2025-05-01 15:11:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I guess it's so normal now that people don't notice, but the president's face is on literally every US news website every day, 24/7.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1917960126880788637","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":2266,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1917960126880788637_1.jpg","1917960126880788637_2.jpg","1917960126880788637_3.jpg","1917960126880788637_4.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1917960126880788637","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1935701674036695421":{"id":"1935701674036695421","date":"2025-06-19 14:10:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I love how even Facebook's CFO caught herself.\n\nhttps://cheekypint.transistor.fm/2/transcript","hashtags":[],"conv":"1935701674036695421","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":47,"retweets":3,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":7824,"bookmarks":11,"media":["1935701674036695421_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1935701674036695421","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1794001581672997001":{"id":"1794001581672997001","date":"2024-05-24 13:44:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@worstcontrarian For no real reason I'm indifferent about him. He's an idiot, obviously, but meh.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1794000192959828206","reply_id":"1794000850756706669","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"worstcontrarian","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3120,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1794001581672997001","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1608946310073421824":{"id":"1608946310073421824","date":"2022-12-30 22:01:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"ChatGPT is intelligent because it does well on human IQ tests.\"\n\nOk, so, human reaction time is also highly correlated with intelligence (G).\n\nIs my car's airbag system therefore intelligent?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1608946310073421824","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":52,"retweets":1,"replies":8,"quotes":1,"views":10914,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1608946310073421824","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2078521062346948845":{"id":"2078521062346948845","date":"2026-07-18 16:43:32","author":"Sebastian Mallaby","handle":"scmallaby","text":"Thanks for engaging, @DavidSacks. I agree that AI-powered cyberdefense is one good response to the prospect of Mythos-for-everyone. But can it be the only response? The idea that all banks, companies, critical infrastructure suppliers, and government agencies will implement AI cyberdefense fast enough to stay ahead of attackers seems hopeful. From a US perspective, we need foreign banks etc to implement defenses too, since they are the counterparties to US multinationals. So the question is whether your reasonable remedy should be supplemented by other ones, eg government-backed pre-release vetting of powerful models, as proposed by other industry leaders, most recently @demishassabis. And this is before we even get to the question of bio threats. There's no AI-powered biodefense for citizens wandering through a shopping mall. What's you story on how we protect them?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2078521062346948845","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2078578491713356108","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":33,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":16234,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/scmallaby/status/2078521062346948845"},"1704524516209447304":{"id":"1704524516209447304","date":"2023-09-20 15:54:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@stromboliSpirit @KrisAbdelmessih 1. Yes up to your risk limits.\n2. Ideally but that's not easy. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1704200091790365139","reply_id":"1704523701197156597","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"stromboliSpirit","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":19,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1704524516209447304","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1789873717700419775":{"id":"1789873717700419775","date":"2024-05-13 04:22:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OrthogonalAlpha @quantymacro In expectation definitely.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1789752542559191296","reply_id":"1789864895791382719","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OrthogonalAlpha","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":421,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1789873717700419775","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1567514016746192902":{"id":"1567514016746192902","date":"2022-09-07 14:03:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@trading_noise @NicoPollari @cryptohound666 @therobotjames @theemilyaccount @witchqueendot I think the only real answer is \"get a job at a place that does it well\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1567346642105286656","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1567514016746192902","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1920709056072699982":{"id":"1920709056072699982","date":"2025-05-09 05:14:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4. Venture funding a pure trading firm (i.e. one whose IP is alphas).\nPitch: \"We will make you $.\"\n\nFatal flaw: They will use your $ until they make enough to buy you out. The goal of every trading firm is for the principals+employees to own all the equity.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1920705401110098162","reply_id":"1920705618190409930","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":53,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":5729,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1920709056072699982","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1628437815443992576":{"id":"1628437815443992576","date":"2023-02-22 16:53:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 @SinclairEuan @MikeWShell With great difficulty? 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1628252370248269825","reply_id":"1628424977744805890","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":267,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1628437815443992576","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2006359482281214299":{"id":"2006359482281214299","date":"2025-12-31 13:39:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I guess F = 2E?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2006358446078402868","reply_id":"2006358446078402868","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1640,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2006359482281214299","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1702748116649386479":{"id":"1702748116649386479","date":"2023-09-15 18:16:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BeingHorizontal Never seen such a big gap between the top 2 and the rest? Let me introduce you to 2005-2007.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1702736575036080504","reply_id":"1702736575036080504","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BeingHorizontal","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":121,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1702748116649386479_1.png","1702748116649386479_2.jpg","1702748116649386479_3.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1702748116649386479","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1856772255088517268":{"id":"1856772255088517268","date":"2024-11-13 18:52:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alz_zyd_ Yes, the former.\n\n\"Experts\" mostly don't know anything useful here. The solutions will come from \"non-experts\" who actually do the hard work of figuring out how. @CJHandmer","hashtags":[],"conv":"1856765728340500647","reply_id":"1856765728340500647","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alz_zyd_","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":226,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1856772255088517268","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1783295202364731802":{"id":"1783295202364731802","date":"2024-04-25 00:41:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@PeterDMayr @samuha Yes, which is why you start with a reduced and regular subset.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1783272438396330474","reply_id":"1783292640353832962","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"PeterDMayr","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":80,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1783295202364731802","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1299100290289790976":{"id":"1299100290289790976","date":"2020-08-27 21:43:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tutor_ab @stevenstrogatz @republicofmath @mathematicsprof @AlgebraFact @CambridgeMaths @MathsMastery I'd start by talking about owing money. If you owe $4 to 5 different people, you owe $20 (i.e. -20). -ve x +ve = -ve.\n\nNow what if two ppl forgive the loan? That's like -2 ppl, so -$4 x -2ppl = $8. I.e you now owe only $12. (-20 + 8 = -12).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1299051004839596034","reply_id":"1299051004839596034","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tutor_ab","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1299100290289790976","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1888547697981882609":{"id":"1888547697981882609","date":"2025-02-09 11:17:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"🙏🙏🙏\n\n1. I do believe that trading isn't conceptually difficult. I.e. you can teach someone the basics in an hour. The problem is that retail gets inundated with so much crap that a lot of smart ppl just get poisoned.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1888547697981882609","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":170,"retweets":9,"replies":2,"quotes":2,"views":26049,"bookmarks":75,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1888547697981882609","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2071584678373429728":{"id":"2071584678373429728","date":"2026-06-29 13:20:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I finally wrote about it.\n\nhttps://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2071583808587964540","hashtags":[],"conv":"2070768271968567571","reply_id":"2070768271968567571","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":4089,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2071584678373429728","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1256081032098353152":{"id":"1256081032098353152","date":"2020-05-01 04:40:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz Yeah, but then you get the Quentin cameo and the Australians, which is such a tightly crafted scene!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1256064552359415810","reply_id":"1256080782537433088","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1256081032098353152","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1539249433170391040":{"id":"1539249433170391040","date":"2022-06-21 14:10:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4/ For one, vanishingly few people even had a chance at being in that position.\n\nThe only people who were retired at age 40 were the people who were born retired: sons and daughters of aristocrats, plutocrats and autocrats (lots of overlap in THAT Venn diagram!).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1539249425956093952","reply_id":"1539249429219352578","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1539249433170391040_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1539249433170391040","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1546904404091027457":{"id":"1546904404091027457","date":"2022-07-12 17:08:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@drunkengrass Secular self-flagellation ain't so different from the religious kind.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546895763359162373","reply_id":"1546902101221163008","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"drunkengrass","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1546904404091027457_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546904404091027457","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1704276763835248739":{"id":"1704276763835248739","date":"2023-09-19 23:30:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BSayder 50% serves\n30% serve returns\n20% forehands from mid-court into the opponent's backhand\n\nThen just fitness and footwork drills.\n\nThat will get you a big big chunk of the way there.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1704254080192049183","reply_id":"1704276343062491233","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BSayder","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":266,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1704276763835248739","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2058971352707608936":{"id":"2058971352707608936","date":"2026-05-25 17:59:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"You're right.\" is starting to become the most disappointing thing I can read on a computer screen.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2058971352707608936","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":242,"retweets":10,"replies":14,"quotes":0,"views":12124,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2058971352707608936","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1707591957596553627":{"id":"1707591957596553627","date":"2023-09-29 03:03:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nearcausality And 3 people in the world who understand the rules now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1707591458432135650","reply_id":"1707591458432135650","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nearcausality","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":89,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1707591957596553627","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1120511409555689473":{"id":"1120511409555689473","date":"2019-04-23 02:15:12","author":"Hashtag Investing","handle":"chatinvesting","text":"Great guest post from the author of Laws of Trading @AgustinLebron3 Understand your Risk Set Point and Make Better Decisions  https://www.hashtaginvesting.com/blog/understand-your-risk-set-point-and-make-better-decisions","hashtags":[],"conv":"1120511409555689473","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1120564984935866368","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/chatinvesting/status/1120511409555689473"},"1888971424024363138":{"id":"1888971424024363138","date":"2025-02-10 15:20:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@joseph_h_garvin Same.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1888955422477865422","reply_id":"1888967860162101616","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"joseph_h_garvin","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":162,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1888971424024363138","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2056293333278851513":{"id":"2056293333278851513","date":"2026-05-18 08:38:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"A society that values pets remotely as much as children deserves to die.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2056293333278851513","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":100,"retweets":4,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":15454,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2056293333278851513","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1442187404291366913":{"id":"1442187404291366913","date":"2021-09-26 18:00:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @iTrismegistus @thodoha @therobotjames This is overkill for the stage you're at. Assume at first that your strat trades for epsilon size. Then worry about capacity later.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1442135906538905607","reply_id":"1442168192911101955","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1442187404291366913","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2040000097992298560":{"id":"2040000097992298560","date":"2026-04-03 09:34:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"RT @AgustinLebron3: @JestingGestral Ain't enough parents to win vs the olds. Guess how old that biiig bump on the left is now? That's right. 65-75 years old.\n\nThere are more of them, and their kids didn't have enough kids to wrest the levers of power from them.\n\n@GerontocracyUSA","hashtags":[],"conv":"2040000097992298560","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2040000076420907490","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["2040000097992298560_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2040000097992298560","type":"retweet","issues":[]},"1380673473719099395":{"id":"1380673473719099395","date":"2021-04-10 00:06:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@PhilSoutherland @supersapiensinc I'm scheduled to have a 15min chat with one of your CS ppl on Monday. Hopefully we'll figure something out.\n\nIn the meantime, @supersapiensinc has sent me two replacement sensors free of charge. Can't fault the customer service!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1376541008775667717","reply_id":"1380609438134964225","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"PhilSoutherland","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1380673473719099395","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1898339675934261539":{"id":"1898339675934261539","date":"2025-03-08 11:47:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So the SAT Math is just 44 questions from Algebra I and lower? And you get 70 minutes?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1898339675934261539","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4510,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1898339675934261539","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2014441338150768674":{"id":"2014441338150768674","date":"2026-01-22 20:53:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Skills are post-training for the context window.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2014441338150768674","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2579,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2014441338150768674","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1661720387007438848":{"id":"1661720387007438848","date":"2023-05-25 13:06:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cis_female @dwarkesh_sp @choffstein","hashtags":[],"conv":"1661594000435081219","reply_id":"1661720271890554883","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":514,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1661720387007438848","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1632801928223793153":{"id":"1632801928223793153","date":"2023-03-06 17:54:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Sending good vibes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632794291327074307","reply_id":"1632794291327074307","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":215,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632801928223793153","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1382717672647913475":{"id":"1382717672647913475","date":"2021-04-15 15:29:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@InvestingChef @ReformedTrader Three is hard! I'll give 3 categories:\nInland: Sunningdale/Walton Heath\nLinks: Royal Aberdeen/Waterville/North Berwick\nOcean: Pacific Dunes/Torrey Pines\n\nWant to play:\nInland: Pine Valley/Augusta National\nLinks: The Old Course/Royal Melbourne\nOcean: Tara Iti/Kauri Cliffs/Old Head","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"1382715967441154051","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"InvestingCaddy","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382717672647913475","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1543297245977530368":{"id":"1543297245977530368","date":"2022-07-02 18:15:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theory_a_com @rmlukose I sometimes wonder if the \"poor UI\" of pencil-and-paper is actually a big advantage. By forcing abstraction and learning.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1543283645544247296","reply_id":"1543294082801229824","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theory_a_com","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1543297245977530368","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1291521881502134272":{"id":"1291521881502134272","date":"2020-08-06 23:49:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@famadeo @nntaleb @octonion @mikeharrisNY @m_j_wiener It's more skewed. I'm guessing Rayleigh-esque.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1290413193068777478","reply_id":"1291491121038864385","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"famadeo","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1291521881502134272","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1477340689532817410":{"id":"1477340689532817410","date":"2022-01-01 18:07:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Someone feels seen in a thread about #fintwit grifters...","hashtags":["fintwit"],"conv":"1477340689532817410","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1477340689532817410","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1383141123401555968":{"id":"1383141123401555968","date":"2021-04-16 19:31:55","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"Slightly expanded permapost version\n\nhttps://moontowermeta.com/real-talk-on-options-trading/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1383141123401555968","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1383431036504141837","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":48,"retweets":3,"replies":0,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":38,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1383141123401555968"},"2037536272793714699":{"id":"2037536272793714699","date":"2026-03-27 14:24:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Cybersecurity vendors think good cybersecurity is a great idea... for someone else.\n\nhttps://theonion.com/report-98-percent-of-u-s-commuters-favor-public-trans-1819565837/","hashtags":[],"conv":"2037536272793714699","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1959,"bookmarks":0,"media":["2037536272793714699_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2037536272793714699","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1522322618812014592":{"id":"1522322618812014592","date":"2022-05-05 21:09:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"At some point everyone is going to end up agreeing that CFMMs are actually fundamentally broken as a market mechanism, and no amount of tweaking is going to fix them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1522322618812014592","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1522322618812014592","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1897557609776853314":{"id":"1897557609776853314","date":"2025-03-06 07:59:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"In the ancient pre-Internet past, catching a politician in an inconsistency was a big deal. We called it a \"flip-flop\". The worst thing a politician could be was a flip-flopper!\n\nGeorge HW Bush lost his reelection because he flip-flopped on \"Read my lips, no new taxes.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1897557608203944439","reply_id":"1897557608203944439","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":544,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1897557609776853314","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1476925474425262083":{"id":"1476925474425262083","date":"2021-12-31 14:37:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"9/ But the other extreme (i.e. you put a lot of effort into creating a great smart contract and your reward is for someone with better marketing/deeper pockets to fork it and kill you) is bad too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476925464824270848","reply_id":"1476925472323739650","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476925474425262083","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1866123449854525760":{"id":"1866123449854525760","date":"2024-12-09 14:11:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@alek_dimi @dwarkesh_sp I *have* thought \"what would Dwarkesh do\" before!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1866114699026125100","reply_id":"1866118478513742281","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tensor_rotator","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":311,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1866123449854525760","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1881964737027817566":{"id":"1881964737027817566","date":"2025-01-22 07:18:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert Remember that one time in the last 3 years when the street wasn't very long gamma?\n\nMe neither.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1881737636941070715","reply_id":"1881737636941070715","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":680,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1881964737027817566","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1719376025120043008":{"id":"1719376025120043008","date":"2023-10-31 15:29:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If I'm an AI research org w/ somewhat fewer resources than OpenAI/Goog/etc, this executive order is great news.\n\nBefore, I knew I couldn't compete. But now, if *everyone* is capped on compute, I'm back in the game if I can get up to that limit.\n\nShould induce *more* competition.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1719376025120043008","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":4062,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1719376025120043008","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1546959914253164545":{"id":"1546959914253164545","date":"2022-07-12 20:49:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AlexClouse @be20684347 @LouisPhdSB Studying != playing.\n\nAnd most of the time is spent in the former not the latter.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546895763359162373","reply_id":"1546959531229560833","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"lesser_fool","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546959914253164545","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1282832847988899840":{"id":"1282832847988899840","date":"2020-07-14 00:22:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@famadeo @SinclairEuan @KrisAbdelmessih For example, I've said a few times here that people think of trading as about the trades, when in fact I think it's more productive to think of it as being about the positions.\n\n\"Given the current state of the world, what position should I hold?\" is kind of the point of trading.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1282702235583954945","reply_id":"1282828402274131969","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1282832847988899840","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2019090882394222660":{"id":"2019090882394222660","date":"2026-02-04 16:49:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Mandate of heaven check for Anthropic:\n\n➕ Shitting on OpenAI and ad-supported chatbots\n➖ SuperBowl ads, usually a pretty good signal of the top\n\nMaybe it all washes out?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2019090882394222660","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":64,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":6426,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2019090882394222660","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1513516252634918914":{"id":"1513516252634918914","date":"2022-04-11 13:56:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ankit_Quant DM me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1513396942079881218","reply_id":"1513396942079881218","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Ankit_Quant","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1513516252634918914","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1943403593815482768":{"id":"1943403593815482768","date":"2025-07-10 20:14:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nikodemuskell Yeah. Not much of an audience for that, it seems.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943280522756591979","reply_id":"1943349795592065121","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nikodemuskell","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3301,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1943403593815482768","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1987814913264279730":{"id":"1987814913264279730","date":"2025-11-10 09:29:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Amxquant Societal crashes are usually accompanied by lots of death. Worth trying to avoid.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1987802772373405944","reply_id":"1987809844896714924","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"amlytor","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":753,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1987814913264279730","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2025106525040050655":{"id":"2025106525040050655","date":"2026-02-21 07:13:14","author":"Dustin","handle":"r0ck3t23","text":"Demis Hassabis just defined the real test for AGI. It’s more brutal than anyone expected.\n\nTrain AI on all human knowledge. Cut it off at 1911. See if it independently discovers general relativity like Einstein did in 1915.\n\nIf it can, we have AGI. If not, we’re still building pattern matchers.\n\nHassabis: “My definition of AGI has never changed. A system that can exhibit all the cognitive capabilities that humans can.”\n\nNot bar exams. Not coding competitions. All cognitive capabilities.\n\nHassabis: “The brain is the only existence proof we have, maybe in the universe, of a general intelligence.”\n\nThat’s why DeepMind studies neuroscience. Not for inspiration. For data. The human brain is the only confirmed evidence that general intelligence is physically possible.\n\nIf you want to build it, you study the only example that exists.\n\nHassabis: “True creativity, continual learning, long-term planning. They’re not good at those things.”\n\nCurrent systems are impressive and broken simultaneously.\n\nHassabis: “They can get gold medals in international math olympiad questions, but they can still fall over on relatively simple math problems if you pose it in a certain way.”\n\nJagged intelligence. Brilliant in narrow domains. Incompetent when approached differently.\n\nThat inconsistency is the tell. A true general intelligence doesn’t spike in one direction and collapse in another.\n\nThe Einstein test cuts through all of it. No benchmarks. No leaderboards. No carefully curated evals.\n\nJust a model, a knowledge cutoff, and the question of whether it can do what one human did alone in 1915.\n\nHassabis: “Training an AI system with a knowledge cutoff of 1911 and seeing if it could come up with general relativity like Einstein did in 1915. That’s the true test of whether we have a full AGI system.”\n\nCurrent models can’t. They remix brilliantly. They don’t generate paradigm-shifting theories from first principles.\n\nHassabis: “I think we’re still a few years away from that.”\n\nA few years. Not decades.\n\nThe system that can be Einstein once can be Einstein a thousand times simultaneously across every domain.\n\nThat’s not AGI anymore. That’s the beginning of something we don’t have words for yet.\n\nWhen that test gets passed, we won’t need a press release to know what happened.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2025106525040050655","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2025200634526380123","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3727,"retweets":611,"replies":264,"quotes":177,"views":661735,"bookmarks":1759,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/r0ck3t23/status/2025106525040050655"},"1389613553452163074":{"id":"1389613553452163074","date":"2021-05-04 16:11:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@volmagorov Yep. And there's quite a bit of that risk to go around.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1389610868166467585","reply_id":"1389612634316722186","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"volmagorov","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1389613553452163074","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1529449799115632640":{"id":"1529449799115632640","date":"2022-05-25 13:10:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2/ Grayson Moorhead Securities\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vooevgm4HIQ","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529449798020911107","reply_id":"1529449798020911107","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1529449799115632640","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1498147135509831682":{"id":"1498147135509831682","date":"2022-02-28 04:04:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5/ Another couple:\n\n- Particle filters for microstructure stuff.\n- Epps-effect de-biasing techniques.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1498146053366845441","reply_id":"1498146619937542147","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1498147135509831682","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2009314445802262912":{"id":"2009314445802262912","date":"2026-01-08 17:21:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"🤣🤣🤣\n\nPerfect, no notes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2009314445802262912","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":33,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":6861,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2009314445802262912","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1949012315418100217":{"id":"1949012315418100217","date":"2025-07-26 07:42:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@raphbaph The key difference IMO is that financial markets (usually, when retail isn't doing stupid stuff) have *positive* externalities to additional liquidity and reflexivitiy.\n\nPrediction markets have mostly negative ones.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1949002990213292527","reply_id":"1949002990213292527","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"raphbaph","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":88,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1949012315418100217","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1506045261667217408":{"id":"1506045261667217408","date":"2022-03-21 23:09:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"36/ What's YOUR memorable achievement? I still struggle with this one, which is why this scene resonates with me...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1506045260278820867","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1506045261667217408","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1609597050521546753":{"id":"1609597050521546753","date":"2023-01-01 17:06:56","author":"François Chollet","handle":"fchollet","text":"Reading books is underrated.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1609597050521546753","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1609597499840540673","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2117,"retweets":203,"replies":107,"quotes":32,"views":484588,"bookmarks":71,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/fchollet/status/1609597050521546753"},"1747304880551723485":{"id":"1747304880551723485","date":"2024-01-16 17:08:41","author":"Byrne Hobart","handle":"ByrneHobart","text":"Today's free issue of The Diff: A Theory of Grift\n\nWhat is grift? Why does the world feel griftier? And should we do anything about it? \n\nhttps://www.thediff.co/archive/a-theory-of-grift/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1747304880551723485","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1747329844692836755","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":4,"views":7697,"bookmarks":8,"media":["1747304880551723485_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ByrneHobart/status/1747304880551723485"},"1595828447007633409":{"id":"1595828447007633409","date":"2022-11-24 17:15:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 @mapochamp Real experience in embedded is a pretty decent proposer to see on a SW resume IMO.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595799254437462016","reply_id":"1595827904788635649","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1595828447007633409","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1890736037401378857":{"id":"1890736037401378857","date":"2025-02-15 12:12:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@QuiteMidlife Hotel gyms are in the uncanny valley of gyms.\n\nEnough of an approximation of the real thing that they cause revulsion.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1541059398793015297","reply_id":"1541059398793015297","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"QuiteMidlife","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":364,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1890736037401378857","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1242464390034493445":{"id":"1242464390034493445","date":"2020-03-24 14:52:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz Can someone explain why we're up? The world is just as much of a mess as it was 5 days ago. Worse, even, relative to expectations. Is it the helicopter money?\n\nI'm confused...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1242464114288533504","reply_id":"1242464114288533504","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1242464390034493445","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1911066515920609580":{"id":"1911066515920609580","date":"2025-04-12 14:38:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I guess the naked exercise of power makes pragmatists of everyone else, eventually.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1911066515920609580","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2180,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1911066515920609580","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1664081644939264000":{"id":"1664081644939264000","date":"2023-06-01 01:29:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"And Portuguese to round it off.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1664046975912919040","reply_id":"1664079800145936384","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":1672,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1664081644939264000_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1664081644939264000","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1484349138187657217":{"id":"1484349138187657217","date":"2022-01-21 02:16:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @mpp75214 @MarkGutman9 @Jimmyjude13 That's the thing. I've spent more time than I care to admit trying to systematize things *like* this.\n\nEveryone I know who's done it realizes once you get through the overfitting and acausality, there's actually no edge left over.\n\nAgain, maybe I only interact w/ the doofuses. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1484320448074555399","reply_id":"1484348235565047819","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1484349138187657217","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1539249466640834562":{"id":"1539249466640834562","date":"2022-06-21 14:10:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"14/ Sure you can focus on the people in that movie who don’t quite have enough money. But that’s a distraction. \n\nYou can also say “yeah but that’s different and soul-destroying, etc etc”. But is it really different?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1539249425956093952","reply_id":"1539249463616847877","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1539249466640834562","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1633603531717636096":{"id":"1633603531717636096","date":"2023-03-08 23:00:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@GotTheTrumpCard @ianthetechie @therobotjames @lightspringfox Wrists in a more neutral position.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633313265517494273","reply_id":"1633602692718407682","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GotTheTrumpCard","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":43,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633603531717636096","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1968372613698486494":{"id":"1968372613698486494","date":"2025-09-17 17:52:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@willccbb Cute idea but I predict they won't catch on. LSTMs FTW.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1968151952623272029","reply_id":"1968151952623272029","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"willccbb","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":180,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1968372613698486494","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1424842884193259521":{"id":"1424842884193259521","date":"2021-08-09 21:19:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"When a company's job ad says \"Join our community of risk-takers\", you better believe they ain't taking much risk.\n\nReminds me of Robin Williams as John Houseman reading the phonebook.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S_LA4gJeCio","hashtags":[],"conv":"1424842884193259521","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1424842884193259521","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1704254083060879497":{"id":"1704254083060879497","date":"2023-09-19 22:00:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Shots, Fraction\n0, 2% (i.e. double fault)\n1, 23% (i.e. ace or serve winner)\n2, 15%\n3, 20%\n4, 12%,\n5, 8%,\n6, 6%,\n7, 4%,\n8, 3%\n9, 2%\n10+, 5%","hashtags":[],"conv":"1704254080192049183","reply_id":"1704254081915859237","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1370,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1704254083060879497","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1982816233738162372":{"id":"1982816233738162372","date":"2025-10-27 14:26:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"We are all just rollouts in evolution's multi-billion-year RL.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1982816233738162372","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2915,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1982816233738162372","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1548524640032591873":{"id":"1548524640032591873","date":"2022-07-17 04:26:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Dateline 9:25pm on a Saturday: from my backyard I can hear Snoop Dogg performing a corporate gig at the nearby resort.\n\nIt's a gentle reminder: no one is immune from selling out.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548524640032591873","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1548524640032591873","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1419808870650679296":{"id":"1419808870650679296","date":"2021-07-26 23:56:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@volmagorov @TheSpeculator0 Haha, in went the other way in my head: \"How different is this than a simple EV calc based on P(occurrence) and move size?\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1419803679125815298","reply_id":"1419807885656215554","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"volmagorov","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1419808870650679296","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1957598027457384812":{"id":"1957598027457384812","date":"2025-08-19 00:18:34","author":"distbit - fut/acc","handle":"distbit0","text":"@AgustinLebron3 prediction market traders have an explicit incentive to avoid markets where their trades influence the ground truth, as this creates adverse selection risks, hence this effect is inherently self-limiting.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957390814113308717","reply_id":"1957390814113308717","quote_id":"1957667318684619245","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":96,"retweets":3,"replies":0,"quotes":3,"views":22967,"bookmarks":21,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/distbit0/status/1957598027457384812"},"2082071238621425745":{"id":"2082071238621425745","date":"2026-07-28 11:50:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"They say you haven't really made it until you start to get haters. It seems that @SineadOS1 chose to do the honors for EquiLibre in her recent article in the @FinancialTimes.\n\nAnd as with most haters, the article is... confused on at least a few key points. 🧵","hashtags":[],"conv":"2082071238621425745","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":59,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":2,"views":26805,"bookmarks":53,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2082071238621425745","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1941105750761459983":{"id":"1941105750761459983","date":"2025-07-04 12:04:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TradingDutchman More than a clue, if you read the full SEBI accusation.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1941041931515273344","reply_id":"1941041931515273344","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TradingDutchman","likes":36,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":3296,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1941105750761459983","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1984693073583227113":{"id":"1984693073583227113","date":"2025-11-01 18:44:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The Paris Masters has the WORST camera angle of the tennis tournament calendar. It's like the camera is on the moon and they're using NASA/SpaceX levels of zoom to show the court.\n\nAnd still most of the screen is worthless sidelines! The court is literally 1/4 of the screen!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1984693073583227113","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3213,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1984693073583227113_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1984693073583227113","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1255956516370132994":{"id":"1255956516370132994","date":"2020-04-30 20:25:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jsoloff @SinclairEuan The fact that technical indicators are largely cultural artifacts tells you all you need to know about them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1255696081351921665","reply_id":"1255950888167849984","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jsoloff","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1255956516370132994","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1598560103396802560":{"id":"1598560103396802560","date":"2022-12-02 06:10:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The ZMP-worker waterline is getting awfully high...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598559629059194880","reply_id":"1598559629059194880","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598560103396802560","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1548080427906150400":{"id":"1548080427906150400","date":"2022-07-15 23:01:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Value_Quant @pmontu33 @therobotjames @darjohn25 @Gingfacekillah @TCK_JRubano This is exactly it in one sentence.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548007648007634944","reply_id":"1548078657775644673","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Value_Quant","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1548080427906150400","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1602446367825149952":{"id":"1602446367825149952","date":"2022-12-12 23:32:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ I was asked a question on DM and figured I'd write a short thread about:\n\nClassifying trading days.\n\n👉👉👉","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602446367825149952","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":84,"retweets":18,"replies":4,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":62,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1602446367825149952","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1866134504487952537":{"id":"1866134504487952537","date":"2024-12-09 14:55:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@quantymacro @KrisAbdelmessih ☝️☝️☝️\n\nAnd another ten thousand who think they are.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1866120554866196637","reply_id":"1866132128985223622","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"quantymacro","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":798,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1866134504487952537","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1705559841719349633":{"id":"1705559841719349633","date":"2023-09-23 12:28:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's French. Pronounced \"avalabalé\". Very chic.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1705559841719349633","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1803,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1705559841719349633_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1705559841719349633","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1530182033296662530":{"id":"1530182033296662530","date":"2022-05-27 13:40:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@silviakillings @TheStalwart Why is it always a doctor/dentist?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1530181067642228736","reply_id":"1530181067642228736","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"silviakillings","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1530182033296662530","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1806500257670599060":{"id":"1806500257670599060","date":"2024-06-28 01:29:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Covers better than the original. I'll start.\n\n- Phenomenal bass work. And trumpets!\n- Return to the bossa nova roots of disco.\n- One-note solo.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1806500257670599060","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":2458,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1806500257670599060_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1806500257670599060","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1392561611085283329":{"id":"1392561611085283329","date":"2021-05-12 19:25:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @KrisAbdelmessih @TheSpeculator0 @JonLoflin \"I'm 80 bid, indicatively.\"\n\n\"Go indicate me a cup of coffee, while you're indicating.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1392545546846543877","reply_id":"1392560600870387717","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1392561611085283329","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1847539142563156020":{"id":"1847539142563156020","date":"2024-10-19 07:23:51","author":"Daniel 🦔","handle":"DanielW_Kiwi","text":"MAKE INVALID STATES UNREPRESENTABLE \n\nMAKE INVALID STATES UNREPRESENTABLE \n\nMAKE INVALID STATES UNREPRESENTABLE \n\nMAKE INVALID STATES UNREPRESENTABLE \n\nMAKE INVALID STATES UNREPRESENTABLE \n\nMAKE INVALID STATES UNREPRESENTABLE","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847539142563156020","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1847650924103135583","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1151,"retweets":72,"replies":68,"quotes":39,"views":114699,"bookmarks":114,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/DanielW_Kiwi/status/1847539142563156020"},"1485428352139739137":{"id":"1485428352139739137","date":"2022-01-24 01:44:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SoccerMomTrades If only there were a way to use option prices...\n(stay with me here)...\nto somehow construct an index...\na very complicated index...\nthat we could all agree measures deep, basic human impulses.\n\nAnd then build an industry of derivatives on top of it.\n\nWho's with me?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1485286526162554884","reply_id":"1485286526162554884","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SoccerMomTrades","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1485428352139739137","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1546141574974738438":{"id":"1546141574974738438","date":"2022-07-10 14:37:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ejames_c I'll be around, take your time. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546133024869212165","reply_id":"1546141236607651840","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ejames_c","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546141574974738438","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1144287405760892929":{"id":"1144287405760892929","date":"2019-06-27 16:52:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein Translation: none of this analysis actually matters to us, so it's ok if we just find some \"evidence\" that fits the hypothesis we had.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1144286943062048768","reply_id":"1144286943062048768","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1144287405760892929","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1922377094924829103":{"id":"1922377094924829103","date":"2025-05-13 19:43:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SmityAndre82456 @Abude_al_asaad TL;DR: Lenders aren't stupid.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1922358138289713341","reply_id":"1922376504282873924","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SmityAndre82456","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":403,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1922377094924829103","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1569899945465098242":{"id":"1569899945465098242","date":"2022-09-14 04:04:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@brrrcapital1","hashtags":[],"conv":"1569899029215199232","reply_id":"1569899458124554240","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"brrrcapital1","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1569899945465098242","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1403393142745812995":{"id":"1403393142745812995","date":"2021-06-11 16:46:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@LouStagner Yes!\n\nMy top 3:\n- 142 consecutive cuts\n- 89 consecutive rounds better than field average\n- 1999-2008 (first major injury) 15/27 WGC events won.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1403392429575782401","reply_id":"1403392429575782401","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"LouStagner","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1403393142745812995","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1834221235410022618":{"id":"1834221235410022618","date":"2024-09-12 13:23:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@goodalexander @Lifrordi I'll add: complementary skillsets. Hopefully I know something useful about markets. And though I know some things about ML, I get to learn from the best about RL, which I know nearly nothing about.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1834217272774185288","reply_id":"1834220115958595934","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":1186,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1834221235410022618","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1242456932104851456":{"id":"1242456932104851456","date":"2020-03-24 14:23:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Can someone explain the bull case to me? We're up ~7% for what reason? What am I missing?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1242456932104851456","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1242456932104851456","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1489765393656811521":{"id":"1489765393656811521","date":"2022-02-05 00:58:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @gregasmaximus @HangukQuant @theemilyaccount @lightspringfox @0xdoug @josebaredes The thing about HFT is that it's not one thing. It's a continuum.\n\nUnless you're the absolutely fastest participant in your market, and you know it, then you can be accused of \"not doing HFT\".\n\nTalked to a guy yesterday. More than one trade per day = HFT in his mind.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1489627851054018565","reply_id":"1489715930804350977","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1489765393656811521","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1847697974169915463":{"id":"1847697974169915463","date":"2024-10-19 17:55:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames Even stuff like Cardigans holds up better.\n\nAnd Suede of course, if you're in a mood.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847610792113316169","reply_id":"1847697688835342340","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":433,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847697974169915463","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2050486143381066009":{"id":"2050486143381066009","date":"2026-05-02 08:02:47","author":"DYJ","handle":"davidyjeong","text":"RT @davidyjeong: it’s extractive because there are so many unadvertised side deals such that the majority of insti MM maker flow doesn’t pay it, but retail has to pay it. other exchanges copied that model as well. they have shittier side deals, but continue to sacrifice liquidity for some additional maker fees from retail, makes no sense","hashtags":[],"conv":"2050486143381066009","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2050476958526718221","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/davidyjeong/status/2050486143381066009"},"1847618041032429715":{"id":"1847618041032429715","date":"2024-10-19 12:37:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@skooookum @zestular Wrong.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847509656840614092","reply_id":"1847511384403128450","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"skooookum","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":222,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847618041032429715","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1986698316906963377":{"id":"1986698316906963377","date":"2025-11-07 07:32:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I would repost this every day. Maybe I should.\n\nSBF is a sociopath. He stole people's money and put it in whatever interesting investments/personal properties he chose.\n\nThe fact that those things may have made money means NOTHING.\n\nFTX wasn't a fund, it was an exchange!!!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1986698316906963377","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":606,"retweets":29,"replies":21,"quotes":0,"views":49272,"bookmarks":32,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1986698316906963377","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1456615267853758466":{"id":"1456615267853758466","date":"2021-11-05 13:31:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I might amend it to \"Some people seem to care about winning things other than money, so they win those things and lose the money.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1456615267853758466","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1456615267853758466","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1222683509262712832":{"id":"1222683509262712832","date":"2020-01-30 00:50:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @SinclairEuan @petergarnry @Barton_options @ReformedTrader The steganosaurus: a crypto-dinosaur that hides in plain sight.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1222324658617192448","reply_id":"1222682790090555392","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1222683509262712832","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1133813312540426240":{"id":"1133813312540426240","date":"2019-05-29 19:12:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The 11th law of trading: \"If you're not getting better, you're getting worse.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1133813312540426240","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1133813312540426240","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1508448943943806979":{"id":"1508448943943806979","date":"2022-03-28 14:20:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@silviakillings Either \"credit SWISS\" or \"credee SWEESS\".\n\n\"Credit SWEES\" is just an abomination.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1508442249239175173","reply_id":"1508442249239175173","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"silviakillings","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1508448943943806979","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2022104245617803390":{"id":"2022104245617803390","date":"2026-02-13 00:23:15","author":"Sports Projections","handle":"Sports__Proj","text":"@mansourtarek_ Well said, Tarek. I run a small family shop competing with Game Point Capital and recently used “combos” to hedge a South Korean basketball regular season result + a Tajikistan table tennis first-to-5 prop a client left us exposed on. Love what you’re building - keep pushing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2022047766445535538","reply_id":"2022047766445535538","quote_id":"2022227343620841720","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mansourtarek_","likes":173,"retweets":9,"replies":3,"quotes":2,"views":16721,"bookmarks":24,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Sports__Proj/status/2022104245617803390"},"1564393241067237377":{"id":"1564393241067237377","date":"2022-08-29 23:23:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @be20684347 \"Any sufficiently complicated C or Fortran program contains an ad hoc, informally-specified, bug-ridden, slow implementation of half of Common Lisp.\"\n\nGreenspun's Tenth Rule","hashtags":[],"conv":"1564385498981810178","reply_id":"1564392905510309888","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1564393241067237377","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1923212409914662912":{"id":"1923212409914662912","date":"2025-05-16 03:02:24","author":"Basil🧡","handle":"LinkofSunshine","text":"The funny thing is SBF made such good investments if he went one more year without being caught he would have been set forever","hashtags":[],"conv":"1923212409914662912","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1923270668642083210","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3827,"retweets":57,"replies":37,"quotes":11,"views":152869,"bookmarks":189,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/LinkofSunshine/status/1923212409914662912"},"1715811481235919045":{"id":"1715811481235919045","date":"2023-10-21 19:25:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Even more true in trading.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1715811481235919045","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":41,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":8756,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1715811481235919045","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1985730838726676767":{"id":"1985730838726676767","date":"2025-11-04 15:28:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@argmean @williawa Exactly. The perfect math instructor would literally just give you problems perfectly calibrated to what's hard-but-doable for you.\n\nThen later they'd tell you what the results are called in math literature.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1985680301108932764","reply_id":"1985729121620803856","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"argmean","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":517,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1985730838726676767","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1900646860077101444":{"id":"1900646860077101444","date":"2025-03-14 20:34:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @yieldcurvepro https://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1900455234754826623","hashtags":[],"conv":"1900587520305332699","reply_id":"1900646530832380225","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2110,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1900646860077101444","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1270185583944495104":{"id":"1270185583944495104","date":"2020-06-09 02:46:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert For those of us old enough to remember 1999, it's time to dust off that playbook.\n\nStocks zooming to the moon, breathless articles, can't get a borrow, etc etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1270171880662511617","reply_id":"1270171880662511617","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1270185583944495104","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1981620025116033482":{"id":"1981620025116033482","date":"2025-10-24 07:13:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nearcyan @gbrl_dick Explain their demeanor, for those of us who don't attend SF parties.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1981301231638458572","reply_id":"1981382571448816112","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nearcyan","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":195,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1981620025116033482","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1486415755537117185":{"id":"1486415755537117185","date":"2022-01-26 19:08:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486415263654420489","reply_id":"1486415548472864775","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1486415755537117185_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1486415755537117185","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1239352636832284672":{"id":"1239352636832284672","date":"2020-03-16 00:47:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dacaldar @jd_justindove @Robbie_J It's interesting watching Ontario Twitter on a 4 day delay with California.\n\nIt's interesting watching California Twitter on a 7 day delay with Italy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1239337502520926208","reply_id":"1239347500181598208","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dackupasec","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1239352636832284672","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1702760917531066717":{"id":"1702760917531066717","date":"2023-09-15 19:06:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@foolsbookie @BeingHorizontal Yeah, big Rublev fan. Would be great to see him make it past the quarters, to start with. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1702736575036080504","reply_id":"1702754617983922608","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"foolsbookie","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":82,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1702760917531066717","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1365362720820797443":{"id":"1365362720820797443","date":"2021-02-26 18:06:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@saah1lk @choffstein @bennpeifert @TheSpeculator0 @Mephisto731 @Ksidiii @KrisAbdelmessih @jam_croissant @SinclairEuan In order to teach the concept of adverse selection in an interview (phone), I like to ask:\n\n\"Make me a market on the # of pens on my desk.\"\n\"Now make one on the # of pens on YOUR desk.\"\n\nWhich market would you rather get traded on?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1365359236348334081","reply_id":"1365362113288486917","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"saah1lk","likes":12,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1365362720820797443","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2079997430062252311":{"id":"2079997430062252311","date":"2026-07-22 18:30:06","author":"Andrew Ho","handle":"andrewho03","text":"RT @andrewho03: @hypergameme You can argue it’s a ToS violation but using nation state power to enforce your ToS is pathetic LOSER behavior.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2079997430062252311","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2079994333886115943","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":3,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":331,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/andrewho03/status/2079997430062252311"},"1393728855601389568":{"id":"1393728855601389568","date":"2021-05-16 00:43:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Presumably you've thought about this idea a lot.\n\n(I mean, if you haven't then it's kind of a d*ck move to ask someone else to do that work for you.)\n\nYou've spent hours, perhaps days and weeks thinking about it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1393728628437913601","reply_id":"1393728628437913601","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1393728855601389568","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1459679048045670404":{"id":"1459679048045670404","date":"2021-11-14 00:26:19","author":"Jordi Alexander","handle":"gametheorizing","text":"Decision making is the meta-skill that rules them all.\n\nWe have limited time in life, so enormous success can only come from having superior judgement, not from working harder. \n\nEven with superb routines and efficiency, you cant outwork 100 ppl. They have 2400 hours to your 24.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1459679046254706688","reply_id":"1459679046254706688","quote_id":"1459690697464762373","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"gametheorizing","likes":407,"retweets":47,"replies":5,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":41,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/gametheorizing/status/1459679048045670404"},"1376541008775667717":{"id":"1376541008775667717","date":"2021-03-29 14:25:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Day 11 of using @supersapiensinc continuous glucose monitor.\n\nSo far the insights have been GREAT, lots of small dietary adjustments and learnings.\n\nProblem: The biosensor died! It's supposed to last 14 days, only made it 11!\n\nLost >20% of usable range. @PhilSoutherland thoughts?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1376541008775667717","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1376541008775667717","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1511854204205232131":{"id":"1511854204205232131","date":"2022-04-06 23:51:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @therobotjames @bennpeifert @JessicaNutt96 @NotQuiteMidlife Estimating vol from tick data is a vale of Epps effect (and related) tears. Just warning... :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1511852618435465216","reply_id":"1511853726113402886","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":6,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1511854204205232131","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1506045244076220416":{"id":"1506045244076220416","date":"2022-03-21 23:09:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"24/ That means checking every box and trying to improve at every little thing every single day. It sounds exhausting because it is.\n\nBut it's necessary.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1506045242738282498","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1506045244076220416","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1632380181531992074":{"id":"1632380181531992074","date":"2023-03-05 13:58:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 The argument seems like it's \"The blue stuff is made by machines because we didn't regulate away that possibility. The red stuff isn't because we did.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632167506847895557","reply_id":"1632335470989578241","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":669,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632380181531992074","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1867531372623286344":{"id":"1867531372623286344","date":"2024-12-13 11:25:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sdav1986 Don't we all...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1867480479282200779","reply_id":"1867518538074018001","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sdav1986","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":578,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1867531372623286344","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1301172709179584512":{"id":"1301172709179584512","date":"2020-09-02 14:58:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@robertwiblin There is pretty good experimental evidence at the lower grades but I've yet to find any evidence of DI effectiveness at middle-school or higher.\n\nWhich is fine. The idea of using the same approach for a 5 year old as for a 13 year old should sound crazy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1301170637516537856","reply_id":"1301171480609402880","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"robertwiblin","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1301172709179584512","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1602709696120782848":{"id":"1602709696120782848","date":"2022-12-13 16:59:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I mean, this *is* pretty darn sketchy...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602709696120782848","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1602709696120782848_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1602709696120782848","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1299100071900844032":{"id":"1299100071900844032","date":"2020-08-27 21:42:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AlgebraFact @tutor_ab @stevenstrogatz @republicofmath @mathematicsprof @CambridgeMaths @MathsMastery I don' think this addresses \"why\" at all. It just teaches an algorithm to get the right answer. See my attempt at an answer.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1299051004839596034","reply_id":"1299077731066486785","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AlgebraFact","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1299100071900844032","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1988534024780828950":{"id":"1988534024780828950","date":"2025-11-12 09:07:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"2. Minimal or no base salary, only profit split.\n\nBucket shops commonly classify traders as independent contractors who live off trading profits alone, often after splitting those profits with the company.\n\nSo if you don’t make money, you earn nothing. And lose your own stake.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1988534015419146302","reply_id":"1988534022578782399","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":72,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":13583,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1988534024780828950","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1535391577270407168":{"id":"1535391577270407168","date":"2022-06-10 22:40:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jgreco Definitely!\n\nPlaying this game with all the non-idealities (txn costs, funding costs, risk-based haircuts, etc etc) is even harder.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1535373683862016001","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1535391577270407168","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1603442261630406656":{"id":"1603442261630406656","date":"2022-12-15 17:30:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ScaleTechScott Good thing too.\n\nThat way I and every other middle-class person get cheap food, vaccines, and a lifestyle and lifespan that the greatest king wouldn't even dream of 200 years ago.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1603410295971409920","reply_id":"1603441285628510209","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ScaleTechScott","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":616,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1603442261630406656","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1839549707552530777":{"id":"1839549707552530777","date":"2024-09-27 06:16:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What's the opposite of foreign direct investment?\n\nThis.\n\nhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-09-23/algo-firms-reap-7-billion-profit-from-india-s-stock-derivatives","hashtags":[],"conv":"1839549707552530777","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":141,"retweets":4,"replies":7,"quotes":3,"views":16005,"bookmarks":51,"media":["1839549707552530777_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1839549707552530777","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1504549225010380805":{"id":"1504549225010380805","date":"2022-03-17 20:04:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @be20684347 @TCK_JRubano @therobotjames @lightspringfox @imagine_mev @pranavvk So... long gamma then?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503862489599340544","reply_id":"1504549120668848137","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1504549225010380805","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1593078853026852864":{"id":"1593078853026852864","date":"2022-11-17 03:09:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal I'm a big intuitive-picture guy, so I get it. But IMO real understanding of stuff like this only comes from grinding on problems (whether real or in the back of a chapter).\n\nIntuition can be a trap. It can't carry you far without knowing how to operate the machinery.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1593070753658056709","reply_id":"1593073574113574912","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1593078853026852864","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1702052300163105224":{"id":"1702052300163105224","date":"2023-09-13 20:11:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @sasuke___420 @theemilyaccount Yes, strong typing is very complementary to LLMs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1702005678200545783","reply_id":"1702041580729663634","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":188,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1702052300163105224","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1341851640454791168":{"id":"1341851640454791168","date":"2020-12-23 21:02:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3. In trading, @Wallacesnoop1 pointed out that great trading isn't really about some fancy trading model. This matches my experience. It's about doing all the little things well, all the time. Always being ready take $ from people making big mistakes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1341851637782999041","reply_id":"1341851639590731777","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":17,"retweets":4,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1341851640454791168","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1753183229958303989":{"id":"1753183229958303989","date":"2024-02-01 22:27:09","author":"Lars Doucet","handle":"larsiusprime","text":"What if ants could talk? What if we could trade with them?\n\nThis is the first in a series of many, many, short stories I've written that explores every aspect of that one question.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1753183229958303989","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1753201071755866266","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":41,"retweets":7,"replies":6,"quotes":5,"views":12499,"bookmarks":23,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/larsiusprime/status/1753183229958303989"},"1405190714368008199":{"id":"1405190714368008199","date":"2021-06-16 15:49:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily Over/under on the # of mansplain tweets re \"more sellers than buyers\"?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1405190269843107850","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1405190714368008199","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1582446836236701697":{"id":"1582446836236701697","date":"2022-10-18 19:01:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@harshbaid_ @therobotjames Anyone who likes Pandas df.melt() clearly has Stockholm syndrome.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1582444142705053696","reply_id":"1582446369205166080","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"harshbaid_","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1582446836236701697","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1708533707236327727":{"id":"1708533707236327727","date":"2023-10-01 17:25:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What is the greatest NFL name in history, and why is it D'Brickashaw Ferguson?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1708533707236327727","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":4099,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1708533707236327727","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1510289414739488781":{"id":"1510289414739488781","date":"2022-04-02 16:13:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Wonderful to get a review from @ByrneHobart. Much more in the link too. @KrisAbdelmessih also features prominently.\n\nhttps://www.thediff.co/p/longreads-open-thread-e20","hashtags":[],"conv":"1510289414739488781","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1510289414739488781","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1521532021146677249":{"id":"1521532021146677249","date":"2022-05-03 16:47:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Remember when the term 'machine learning' meant something other than:\n\n- throw a bunch of data into Snowflake + Tableau\nOR\n- build the biggest transformer you can (barely) train\n\n?\n\nThose were the days...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1521532021146677249","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1521532021146677249","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1473345015845769220":{"id":"1473345015845769220","date":"2021-12-21 17:29:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih @ReformedTrader @bennpeifert I'd also argue that longer-dated OI is more driven by hedging structured products and other OTC stuff. So it's probably (a) chunkier and (b) more model-based.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1473335779589902337","reply_id":"1473341756464775169","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1473345015845769220","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1735411114119430500":{"id":"1735411114119430500","date":"2023-12-14 21:27:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Prompt:\n\n\"Image of a man with very {} facial hair, flag as background.\"\n\nPompadours and handlebar moustaches, apparently.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1735411114119430500","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1783,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1735411114119430500_1.jpg","1735411114119430500_2.jpg","1735411114119430500_3.jpg","1735411114119430500_4.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1735411114119430500","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1886860976756339107":{"id":"1886860976756339107","date":"2025-02-04 19:34:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert Old as the hills...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1886483786017476775","reply_id":"1886483786017476775","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":520,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1886860976756339107_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1886860976756339107","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1990420210986189299":{"id":"1990420210986189299","date":"2025-11-17 14:02:13","author":"wishful_cynic","handle":"EvgenyGaevoy","text":"RT @EvgenyGaevoy: curious how long it will take crypto people to discover that tradfi solved all this stuff long time ago and the real issue is not the perp design but the centralized (and quadi decentralized) exchanges that are prime broker, CLOB and custodian all in one","hashtags":[],"conv":"1990420210986189299","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"1990405852923150362","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":40,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":4,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/EvgenyGaevoy/status/1990420210986189299"},"1868262544969708026":{"id":"1868262544969708026","date":"2024-12-15 11:51:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@arb8020 @dnbt777 Find a good mentor.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1867729310783836654","reply_id":"1867732239033020494","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"arb8020","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":172,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1868262544969708026","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1252416754107551749":{"id":"1252416754107551749","date":"2020-04-21 01:59:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bennpeifert @philbak1 @MonocleMan1 Or that 3x long and 3x short ETFs of anything aren't even remotely hedges of each other.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1252393684357705729","reply_id":"1252402840028364808","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bennpeifert","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1252416754107551749","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1730599685436694625":{"id":"1730599685436694625","date":"2023-12-01 14:48:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lorenzoglorenzo @chrisalbon Interesting, I've been out of the loop and didn't know that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1730441186987708753","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":28,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1730599685436694625","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1603122161807331329":{"id":"1603122161807331329","date":"2022-12-14 20:18:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@patio11 @sasuke___420 The few that DID want to get on the program were awesome clients though...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1603049531817369600","reply_id":"1603121786672975872","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1603122161807331329","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1423336552340414467":{"id":"1423336552340414467","date":"2021-08-05 17:34:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1/ Having a good discussion with @dendisuhubdy, and I made the following claim about what the optimal ticksize should be for a market. Curious to hear opinions.\n\n(No, I've never built an exchange. But I still get to have opinions! 😂) 👉👉","hashtags":[],"conv":"1423336552340414467","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1423336552340414467","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1455294866175377410":{"id":"1455294866175377410","date":"2021-11-01 22:05:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Can someone knowledgeable tell me if this is a big deal or not?\n\nhttps://www.marketwatch.com/story/zillow-stock-dives-after-analyst-highlights-two-thirds-of-homes-bought-are-underwater-11635785293","hashtags":[],"conv":"1455294866175377410","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1455294866175377410","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1165339623318409216":{"id":"1165339623318409216","date":"2019-08-24 19:06:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"5. Thinking back to when I \"learned\" it, surely that version of me wouldn't have understood the details.\n6. Sad realization that I didn't know the thing at all.\n7. Yet, lingering worry that I've gotten much dumber in the intervening time.\n\nRSA encryption, Shor's algo, R-trees...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1165339622475329536","reply_id":"1165339622475329536","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1165339623318409216","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1346481444776890368":{"id":"1346481444776890368","date":"2021-01-05 15:39:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"19/ So in order for there to *not* be free money lying around, the value of your stuff today must = the (time-adjusted) value of your stuff at expiry.\n\nC - P = Stock_px - Strike_price + (small details I'm ignoring for now)\n\nOk so what?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346481443413717000","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346481444776890368","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1197148729389666305":{"id":"1197148729389666305","date":"2019-11-20 13:44:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BeingHorizontal Discontinuous in the sense of breakpoints of the form \"if x>A then do P, otherwise do Q\".\n\nIt's almost always better to have a rule of the form:\n\"continuously vary from P to Q based on x (where if x=A then do nothing)\".\n\nSmooth lines, not step functions.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1196852780108877824","reply_id":"1197009432472735744","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BeingHorizontal","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1197148729389666305","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1454896796157693952":{"id":"1454896796157693952","date":"2021-10-31 19:43:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4/ \"It teaches them teamwork.\"\n\nThat's true. But I'm skeptical organized team sports do a better job at that vs traditional playing-in-the-neighborhood.\n\nAfter all, in organized sports, all interactions are mediated by an adult (coach, ref, instructor, parent, etc).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1454896792802267140","reply_id":"1454896795000008718","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1454896796157693952","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1501734301301309443":{"id":"1501734301301309443","date":"2022-03-10 01:38:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite @therobotjames @M1tchRosenthal Did the same thing!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"1501733749188435970","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501734301301309443","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2074211831208390898":{"id":"2074211831208390898","date":"2026-07-06 19:20:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"People across the political spectrum:\nWe need to reindustrialize America and bring jobs back!\n\nAlso people across the political spectrum:\nBut let's not build any datacenters or grid capacity or housing or mining or anything that's actually in very high demand.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2074211831208390898","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":168,"retweets":3,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":7603,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2074211831208390898","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1663983637082300416":{"id":"1663983637082300416","date":"2023-05-31 18:59:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@EntropyChase It's not obvious to me that securing one beefy server is any harder than not misconfiguring the Byzantine complexity of AWS.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1663982401813626880","reply_id":"1663983293966999552","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"EntropyChase","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":200,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1663983637082300416","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1706882396900200701":{"id":"1706882396900200701","date":"2023-09-27 04:04:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbateman @krishnanrohit @robvfour Useful context, definitely.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1706686836809007378","reply_id":"1706871447577116975","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbateman","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":42,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1706882396900200701","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1633514191486353409":{"id":"1633514191486353409","date":"2023-03-08 17:05:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Why don't players drop-serve Medvedev more often?\n\nThe game theoretic optimal fraction is surely a lot more than zero.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633514191486353409","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3829,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1633514191486353409","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2074023184265802124":{"id":"2074023184265802124","date":"2026-07-06 06:50:35","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Hey Germany, maybe fixing your work culture will take more than a couple of little procedural tweaks.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2074023184265802124","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":61,"retweets":0,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":7843,"bookmarks":1,"media":["2074023184265802124_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2074023184265802124","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1788295426937954324":{"id":"1788295426937954324","date":"2024-05-08 19:50:29","author":"Piotr Pomorski","handle":"PtrPomorski","text":"Classification > regression, fewer opportunities to predict noise","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788295426937954324","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1788347360948756582","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":60,"retweets":4,"replies":13,"quotes":1,"views":18472,"bookmarks":29,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/PtrPomorski/status/1788295426937954324"},"1721178046626234467":{"id":"1721178046626234467","date":"2023-11-05 14:49:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OGTaylorB @Yolo4Yacht We have thousands of years of effort at trying to answer that question.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1720976400629588423","reply_id":"1721130368516907280","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OGTaylorB","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":193,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1721178046626234467","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1613674921976270848":{"id":"1613674921976270848","date":"2023-01-12 23:10:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@joaoascolid @andrelorenzob 🙏🙏🙏\n\nObrigado amigo!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1613653185163403299","reply_id":"1613674306893914112","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"joaoascolid","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":22,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1613674921976270848","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1238330163537965056":{"id":"1238330163537965056","date":"2020-03-13 05:04:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nschumacher10 @VolatilityWiz Trendline? Technical analysis isn't going to tell you how fast states roll out COVID-19 tests or how soon ICU beds are going to fill up.\n\nIn crashes, markets react to the world, not to themselves.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1238311599758348289","reply_id":"1238320062710181888","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nschumacher10","likes":3,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1238330163537965056","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1451232894056284168":{"id":"1451232894056284168","date":"2021-10-21 17:04:19","author":"Paul Graham","handle":"paulg","text":"Beyond Smart: http://paulgraham.com/smart.html","hashtags":[],"conv":"1451232894056284168","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1451237632910905349","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1287,"retweets":200,"replies":90,"quotes":79,"views":0,"bookmarks":307,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/paulg/status/1451232894056284168"},"1346863616918581248":{"id":"1346863616918581248","date":"2021-01-06 16:58:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"45/ What else? Well, downside vol is clearly higher than upside. What this means is that *relative to log-normal*, the probability mass is thicker on the downside.\n\nThis also makes sense. Big down moves are more frequent and larger than big up moves.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1346863615089889280","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346863616918581248","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1561833148782034946":{"id":"1561833148782034946","date":"2022-08-22 21:50:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@l1quid1ty @drunkengrass @SachaSucha Google : big tech :: Bridgewater : HFs.\n\nThey need something to distract the humans while the ads make the money.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1561823913629208577","reply_id":"1561830633244004352","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"l1quid1ty","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1561833148782034946","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1939341468558111087":{"id":"1939341468558111087","date":"2025-06-29 15:13:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The matter-of-fact boringness is what makes this murder so effective.\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AmXZFLL_WjE","hashtags":[],"conv":"1939341468558111087","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":6677,"bookmarks":8,"media":["1939341468558111087_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1939341468558111087","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1348780925958512641":{"id":"1348780925958512641","date":"2021-01-11 23:56:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DBecevic @AlgoSnafu For sure. And that's easier said than done, of course.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346141073488314371","reply_id":"1348766931864539136","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DBecevic","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1348780925958512641","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1630021961492598785":{"id":"1630021961492598785","date":"2023-02-27 01:48:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano EV = 150k, stdev = 50k.\n\nAnd then I would shoot myself from the boredom on day 366.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1629971002116513793","reply_id":"1629971002116513793","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2066,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1630021961492598785","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2065320823523889373":{"id":"2065320823523889373","date":"2026-06-12 06:30:30","author":"roon","handle":"tszzl","text":"rsi is a process that’s been happening at least since the renaissance","hashtags":[],"conv":"2065320823523889373","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2065331052701172049","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1049,"retweets":50,"replies":103,"quotes":23,"views":78287,"bookmarks":93,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tszzl/status/2065320823523889373"},"1429962676390686736":{"id":"1429962676390686736","date":"2021-08-24 00:24:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"All that's showing is how pathetically bad our dev tooling is that \"successfully searching the solution to a known coding problem\" apparently requires building a trillion-weight neural network to solve.\n\n5/n","hashtags":[],"conv":"1429962672305434658","reply_id":"1429962675333722136","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1429962676390686736","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1501212622175223819":{"id":"1501212622175223819","date":"2022-03-08 15:05:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT @Manthatiswell @darjohn25 @SinclairEuan If you're trading it non-delta-hedged (i.e. buying a put spread or something) then in addition to the fwd vol bet you're putting on a separate forward bet in the underlying.\n\nI can't off the top of my head think of a time where I thought I had edge in both simultaneously...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1498758417632137218","reply_id":"1501211852134666240","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501212622175223819","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1571669175248252929":{"id":"1571669175248252929","date":"2022-09-19 01:15:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Chaelelo @FREAK0NAUT @nope_its_lily @OGTaylorB @NewRiverInvest How much variance (day-to-day, year-to-year, and decade-to-decade) do you want?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1571636409651580929","reply_id":"1571666826286751745","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Chaelelo","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1571669175248252929","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1957390817867293059":{"id":"1957390817867293059","date":"2025-08-18 10:35:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3/\n\nB. More importantly, they provide societally-destructive incentives by directly monetizing chaos.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957390814113308717","reply_id":"1957390816013406659","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":32,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3667,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1957390817867293059","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1920540954215252123":{"id":"1920540954215252123","date":"2025-05-08 18:07:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod Vanderbilt. Did he even make it past the resume screen? 🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1920536874193449032","reply_id":"1920536874193449032","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4317,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1920540954215252123","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1248613102335045633":{"id":"1248613102335045633","date":"2020-04-10 14:05:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mattyglesias Yeah, but it was a non-choice. It's a (sadly) emergent property of the system we have. And repurposing the former to become the latter, by government fiat, probably causes more problems than it solves long-term.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1248612441002364928","reply_id":"1248612441002364928","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mattyglesias","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1248613102335045633","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1782474570110505199":{"id":"1782474570110505199","date":"2024-04-22 18:20:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CJHandmer @RealDianeYap Tactically weaponizing your kids is a wonderful benefit of parenthood.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1781840762780729393","reply_id":"1782415998211309881","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"CJHandmer","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":210,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1782474570110505199","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1539260481885483009":{"id":"1539260481885483009","date":"2022-06-21 14:54:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BenKream This is a *great* question.\n\nYou don't have to!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1539249425956093952","reply_id":"1539260015277658112","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BenKream","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1539260481885483009","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1346868109257314310":{"id":"1346868109257314310","date":"2021-01-06 17:15:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih This is a *great* tangent. In addition to options, you'll often see markets much tighter than arb bounds in ETFs or ADRs for example.\n\nSuggestions from non-pros as to how this could be the case?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346867322166734854","reply_id":"1346867322166734854","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1346868109257314310","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1556365321417568256":{"id":"1556365321417568256","date":"2022-08-07 19:43:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"TFW you get a DM from some bizdev/marketing flack at a technical analysis course-seller scammer complimenting your book in generic terms.\n\nAnd suggesting (no pressure) that you tweet about their \"book\" which \"is considered the bible of {their specific TA scam technique}\".\n\n😡😡😡","hashtags":[],"conv":"1556365321417568256","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":33,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1556365321417568256","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1917654471359795468":{"id":"1917654471359795468","date":"2025-04-30 18:57:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@walkerrockets A lof of them yes. NBA needs to do something about the 3. Probably get rid of the corner 3.\n\nBut NFL has gotten better. More aggression on 4th down is exciting.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1917650936501264468","reply_id":"1917652366519853203","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"walkerrockets","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":115,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1917654471359795468","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1509983560249217026":{"id":"1509983560249217026","date":"2022-04-01 19:58:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pansareV @cyberSM7 @garybasin I'm going to be pedantic and ask for a definition of tone. If tone = vol then sure, because vol is known to cluster (i.e. vol is serially correlated).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1509623825519951881","reply_id":"1509981493388525573","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pansareV","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1509983560249217026","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2051244445236949245":{"id":"2051244445236949245","date":"2026-05-04 10:16:00","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"💯\nThis comment fully generalizes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2051244445236949245","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":56,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":10240,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2051244445236949245","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1381383717990457348":{"id":"1381383717990457348","date":"2021-04-11 23:08:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CanteringClark Team >>> individual and it's not even close.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1381364486007881728","reply_id":"1381364486007881728","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TheFlowHorse","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1381383717990457348","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1445208413579870214":{"id":"1445208413579870214","date":"2021-10-05 02:05:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@OrthogonalAlpha @lightspringfox Black boxES.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1445188761831104513","reply_id":"1445207061751427073","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"OrthogonalAlpha","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1445208413579870214","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1582421788369121281":{"id":"1582421788369121281","date":"2022-10-18 17:22:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@FREAK0NAUT The admissions process. Getting into a highly-selective school in the US requires making ages 14-18 a complete joyless slog.\n\nUnless you're an IMO competitor (or equivalent).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1582400152983064577","reply_id":"1582415303031816193","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"FREAK0NAUT","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1582421788369121281","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1632159212766900224":{"id":"1632159212766900224","date":"2023-03-04 23:20:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@anondot11 I went to the best engineering school in my country (Canada).\n\n1. Pretty damn sure I wouldn't be where I am if I hadn't.\n\n2. Had the luxury of only getting serious about getting in in senior year. US kids don't have that luxury AT ALL.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632157627978514433","reply_id":"1632158695629914116","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"anondot11","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":1853,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632159212766900224","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2039005050870145188":{"id":"2039005050870145188","date":"2026-03-31 15:41:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Someday I will write a screed about how feature flags are worse than the disease they purport to cure, and that their spread has been a disaster for the vast majority of software orgs who adopt them.\n\nHalf of writing good software products is knowing how and when to say no.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2038958763533549810","reply_id":"2039004290325303344","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":43,"retweets":2,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":5398,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2039005050870145188","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1320778804080504832":{"id":"1320778804080504832","date":"2020-10-26 17:26:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite If you're waitin' for the GC, it ain't HFT.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1320761839278460929","reply_id":"1320761839278460929","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1320778804080504832","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1482754980050132994":{"id":"1482754980050132994","date":"2022-01-16 16:41:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@salr_nyc @SBF_FTX He's funding this:\n\nhttps://www.againstpandemics.org/\n\nPretty good evidence he does have a well-developed conscience.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482748235496058880","reply_id":"1482754221548187656","quote_id":"1969426064075071679","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"salr_nyc","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482754980050132994","type":"quote","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1909504317801087417":{"id":"1909504317801087417","date":"2025-04-08 07:11:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"1. Seems clear that most people don't even want AGI.\n2. But labs will try to build it anyway.\n\nSo if they succeed, the world will have an army of self-aware pass-the-butter bots.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1909504317801087417","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":2239,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1909504317801087417_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1909504317801087417","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1480737927755808772":{"id":"1480737927755808772","date":"2022-01-11 03:06:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@robertmartin88 Me too!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1480735900606689280","reply_id":"1480735900606689280","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"LacertaXG1","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1480737927755808772","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1976645088433656219":{"id":"1976645088433656219","date":"2025-10-10 13:44:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I wonder how long it's going to take Polymarket to figure out what tradfi markets figured out a long time ago:\n\nIf you allow rampant insider trading, most people just pick up their ball and go home. Liquidity dries up, no more exchange fees for u.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1976645088433656219","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":836,"retweets":30,"replies":48,"quotes":4,"views":62394,"bookmarks":108,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1976645088433656219","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1272007548955004929":{"id":"1272007548955004929","date":"2020-06-14 03:26:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Suhail Masters Of Doom","hashtags":[],"conv":"1271988426632388608","reply_id":"1271988426632388608","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Suhail","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1272007548955004929","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1369043173184442371":{"id":"1369043173184442371","date":"2021-03-08 21:51:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"https://noahpinion.substack.com/p/interview-patrick-collison-co-founder","hashtags":[],"conv":"1369043094067290113","reply_id":"1369043095002570752","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1369043173184442371","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2070037303670518242":{"id":"2070037303670518242","date":"2026-06-25 06:52:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"I have the full picture now.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"2070037303670518242","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":48,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":5111,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2070037303670518242","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1980191575616696342":{"id":"1980191575616696342","date":"2025-10-20 08:37:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@tszzl But there's a difference between betting on positive sum things and betting on zero (or negative) sum things.\n\nAmerica is the land of the former, or at least has been and should be.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1980076866624278732","reply_id":"1980076866624278732","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"tszzl","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":227,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1980191575616696342","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1610310307813154816":{"id":"1610310307813154816","date":"2023-01-03 16:21:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Tallow_beach @GestaltU @MinvstrD @RsndSpeculation I ask myself the same question.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1610132517553856513","reply_id":"1610303575607115785","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Tallow_beach","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":62,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1610310307813154816","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1600220006658191360":{"id":"1600220006658191360","date":"2022-12-06 20:05:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nabeelqu Correct, what's interesting is how rarely we *do* operate in that other mode.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1600194841089961986","reply_id":"1600219281635307520","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nabeelqu","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1600220006658191360","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1422600694276763650":{"id":"1422600694276763650","date":"2021-08-03 16:50:10","author":"Mo Peiyan","handle":"pmontu33","text":"Hola amigos,\n\nAyer conversé con @AgustinLebron3 , antiguo trader en Jane Street, actual trader independiente, consultor y autor de libros. \n\nConversamos sobre los desafíos del trading cuantitativo. Que lo disfruten!\n\nhttps://youtu.be/ltCLzYHTk-g","hashtags":[],"conv":"1422600694276763650","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1422614311994748928","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/pmontu33/status/1422600694276763650"},"1944357875834409288":{"id":"1944357875834409288","date":"2025-07-13 11:26:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jeffdafo Note: this is how they *could* get shafted. Actual facts are very thin so far.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1944060716295893233","reply_id":"1944355819874631691","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"jeffdafo","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":96,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1944357875834409288","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1529910926484197376":{"id":"1529910926484197376","date":"2022-05-26 19:42:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So naively you:\n\n- Snapshot TSLA at 9:30, 10:00 and 12:00.\n- Calculate returns from 9:30 -> 10:00 as your predictor.\n- Returns from 10:00 -> 12:00 as your responder.\n- Do a linear regression to find the coefficient.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529877576591609861","reply_id":"1529910925637013505","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":35,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1529910926484197376","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1282833730407510016":{"id":"1282833730407510016","date":"2020-07-14 00:26:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@famadeo @SinclairEuan @KrisAbdelmessih You're seeing it right now with $TSLA. It's clearly rich, the fair value is clearly lower, and even Elon believes that. Massive apparent edge.\n\nBut even though TSLA borrow is GC (right now), it doesn't mean getting short is a great trade. I mean, it might be.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1282702235583954945","reply_id":"1282833214088769536","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1282833730407510016","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1499906692426846211":{"id":"1499906692426846211","date":"2022-03-05 00:36:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SinclairEuan I'm still shocked Peter has passed away.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1499861219615854595","reply_id":"1499861219615854595","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"SinclairEuan","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1499906692426846211","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1942138328930742770":{"id":"1942138328930742770","date":"2025-07-07 08:27:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"25/ In 2020 you made 10x what you made in 2019. Do you really go through with paying someone $15m instead of the $1.5m they made the year before?\n\nWhat if they leave? Or just quiet quit?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942138279295320543","reply_id":"1942138327064277342","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":120,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":21613,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942138328930742770","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1505739765324214275":{"id":"1505739765324214275","date":"2022-03-21 02:55:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @nope_its_lily I learned that the hard way like everything else it seems... :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505688775132913665","reply_id":"1505739664396742662","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505739765324214275","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1985781222543651284":{"id":"1985781222543651284","date":"2025-11-04 18:48:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@RealDingbat I dutifully pay my piece whenever a video drops. It's great.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1985680301108932764","reply_id":"1985781027516690477","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"RealDingbat","likes":57,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":7359,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1985781222543651284","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1987933466621559118":{"id":"1987933466621559118","date":"2025-11-10 17:20:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"- AAPL: Ecosystem and the highest status in a $600b/yr mkt\n- NVDA: Obvious\n- MSFT: Owns Fortune500 IT which is v sticky\n- AMZN: Scale economies and scaled exec speed\n- GOOG: Browser, AI, other infra stuff\n- META: Most important social media properties and huge network effects","hashtags":[],"conv":"1987933464885166210","reply_id":"1987933464885166210","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":4176,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1987933466621559118","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1937769867215511886":{"id":"1937769867215511886","date":"2025-06-25 07:08:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"LLMs don't make you dumber says @tylercowen.\n\nhttps://www.thefp.com/p/tyler-cowen-does-ai-make-us-stupid\n\nHe's 100% right, and this is a very important point.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1937769867215511886","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":130,"retweets":13,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":20817,"bookmarks":99,"media":["1937769867215511886_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1937769867215511886","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1992107957237027042":{"id":"1992107957237027042","date":"2025-11-22 05:48:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"But the flight remains a symbol of the future.\"\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PsTS4gjVtrc","hashtags":[],"conv":"1992107957237027042","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":4822,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1992107957237027042_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1992107957237027042","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2073894186185802110":{"id":"2073894186185802110","date":"2026-07-05 22:17:59","author":"Lucas Shaw","handle":"Lucas_Shaw","text":"Netflix's top shows have been losing 30-70% of their audience between seasons 1 and 2. Executives are trying to figure out why. \n\nNetflix's second season swoon & more in this week's newsletter:\n\nhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2026-07-05/netflix-viewers-are-abandoning-shows-after-one-season","hashtags":[],"conv":"2073894186185802110","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2074138438215860462","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3310,"retweets":275,"replies":1376,"quotes":1496,"views":15811121,"bookmarks":1323,"media":["2073894186185802110_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Lucas_Shaw/status/2073894186185802110"},"1437200667588784129":{"id":"1437200667588784129","date":"2021-09-12 23:45:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @darjohn25 @FranklinLynam @FreyaHolmer \"Let us intone the holy words, that they shall protect us from the wrath of the anonymous referees...\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1436696408506212353","reply_id":"1437200338256220166","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1437200667588784129","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1422408789903302657":{"id":"1422408789903302657","date":"2021-08-03 04:07:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@lightspringfox More datapoints, more complexity, more funky local minima in the make-money objective function.\n\nLonger-term stuff is \"smooth\" by comparison.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1422408502790672385","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1422408789903302657","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1911340084101521640":{"id":"1911340084101521640","date":"2025-04-13 08:46:01","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So, basically SGA is going to win the MVP because refs won't call his egregious use of the off arm to create space.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1911340084101521640","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":3448,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1911340084101521640","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1482748240659247104":{"id":"1482748240659247104","date":"2022-01-16 16:15:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"6/ You're not communicating with them, you're not convincing them to offload their risk to you, nothing. They're doing trades they need to do, and you're there letting them do those trades at a slightly better price.\n\nThat's a helluva valuable service.\n\n/END","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482748235496058880","reply_id":"1482748239610716163","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":65,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482748240659247104","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1989375903298949351":{"id":"1989375903298949351","date":"2025-11-14 16:52:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The red-alert reaction from online trading-course-sellers when you suggest that the \"brokers\" they happen to have affiliate deals with might be a few ticks shy of actual legitimacy in the industry...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1989375903298949351","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":43,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":6612,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1989375903298949351","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1976658098954875256":{"id":"1976658098954875256","date":"2025-10-10 14:36:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AffectiveAutism It's so... ENTERTAINING to lose money!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1976645088433656219","reply_id":"1976657824773259555","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AffectiveAutism","likes":36,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1325,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1976658098954875256","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1980723413233631332":{"id":"1980723413233631332","date":"2025-10-21 19:50:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@menhguin You can. I guess we can all agree to disagree on how valuable that pile of doom-scrolling social-media data will be.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1980723019925606728","reply_id":"1980723019925606728","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"menhguin","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":189,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1980723413233631332","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1764393047876583770":{"id":"1764393047876583770","date":"2024-03-03 20:50:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod Otherwise Peter Brandt would be a lot poorer than he is. And I a lot richer.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1764385249377583333","reply_id":"1764392722482274328","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":907,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1764393047876583770","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1861682425874596291":{"id":"1861682425874596291","date":"2024-11-27 08:04:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HF_Trader @PriceNoFilter Because unless it's discretionary trading, there's nothing to psychologize.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1861622820817772751","reply_id":"1861624260630020512","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HF_Trader","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":436,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1861682425874596291","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2031644999318675851":{"id":"2031644999318675851","date":"2026-03-11 08:14:48","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"@Duderichy Getting venture funding for the world changing idea of “buying corp credit and MBS” these guys are coming up with financial innovations never thought possible","hashtags":[],"conv":"2031573755185463660","reply_id":"2031573755185463660","quote_id":"2031652943712207332","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Duderichy","likes":163,"retweets":5,"replies":8,"quotes":1,"views":16942,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/2031644999318675851"},"1460082556695498761":{"id":"1460082556695498761","date":"2021-11-15 03:09:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily No. True friendship is not venmo'ing it back and forth and not even keeping track. Because you both *know* that it's going to even out in the end.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1460081227214450692","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":39,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1460082556695498761","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1377983313600598017":{"id":"1377983313600598017","date":"2021-04-02 13:56:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@BeingHorizontal Not literally everything. The key diff I see is that trades I'm familiar with use \"past = future\" for *returns* not *levels*.\n\nReturns makes sense: someone did something, had some market impact, moved stock to an unfair place, etc.\n\nWhat's the same story for why px levels matter?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377754069238972417","reply_id":"1377912425790513152","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"BeingHorizontal","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1377983313600598017","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1552452005289164800":{"id":"1552452005289164800","date":"2022-07-28 00:32:55","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames 🙏🙏🙏 Thanks dude!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1552416077984198656","reply_id":"1552416077984198656","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1552452005289164800","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1369443937342128131":{"id":"1369443937342128131","date":"2021-03-10 00:24:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@albertinvests In the case of first-tier commodities (oil, gold, etc) then the ETFs which hold futures are about as good as you'll do.\n\nSecond-tier commodities are much more difficult for retail to get involved with cleanly.\n\nI'd mostly stay away from ETFs containing resource stocks. Too weird.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1369442210488455170","reply_id":"1369443486177574917","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"albieXBT","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1369443937342128131","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2002465348034122003":{"id":"2002465348034122003","date":"2025-12-20 19:45:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"If you were a guy who knew he made money trading, would you feel *so* compelled to make sure everyone knew about it?\n\nIf you sold something that made your customers money, would you need to sell it *so* hard? Wouldn't it pretty much sell itself?\n\nThe intensity betrays the truth.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2002465348034122003","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":120,"retweets":2,"replies":5,"quotes":3,"views":54959,"bookmarks":24,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2002465348034122003","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1712833946034299299":{"id":"1712833946034299299","date":"2023-10-13 14:13:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This may permanently define me as a philistine, but the Iliad isn't nearly as interesting or funny as the Odyssey.\n\nThe latter is a helluva good story.\nThe former reads like a report from military general staff.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1712833946034299299","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":1,"views":4571,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1712833946034299299","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2024896491282694255":{"id":"2024896491282694255","date":"2026-02-20 17:18:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I can see the labs largely fixing the \"your agent was stupid and gave away your passwords to an RCE exploit\" problem with enough RLHF/etc.\n\nBut the \"your agent decided to defect because it got a better deal elsewhere\" problem will only get larger.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2024896491282694255","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3241,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2024896491282694255","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1364267816719814658":{"id":"1364267816719814658","date":"2021-02-23 17:36:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@fchollet Did GPT-3 spit this out? :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1364267600713146370","reply_id":"1364267600713146370","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"fchollet","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1364267816719814658","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1597311776122892288":{"id":"1597311776122892288","date":"2022-11-28 19:29:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vixologist @AnodyneCode @KrisAbdelmessih Samsung CRG9","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597283099536039937","reply_id":"1597310472394768384","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vixologist","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597311776122892288","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1837741306312810937":{"id":"1837741306312810937","date":"2024-09-22 06:30:45","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pedma7 I do not. I doubt such a book can exist.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1837529061276442989","reply_id":"1837624481554260260","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pedma7","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1205,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1837741306312810937","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1443951375939891203":{"id":"1443951375939891203","date":"2021-10-01 14:50:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4/ A few years later, I was modeling the statistical distribution of fab yields for IIP2 (go look it up), completely outside of my \"real\" job of designing radio chips. But it was interesting.\n\nIt's what got me to realize that I needed to leave engineering and do trading.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443951372580229123","reply_id":"1443951374857748480","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1443951375939891203","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1465439912249856006":{"id":"1465439912249856006","date":"2021-11-29 21:57:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Seen on Linkedin:\n\n\"We are hiring! Come and join our core team in making data actionable to add value to customers.\"\n\nWhen you put it that way, who can resist?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1465439912249856006","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1465439912249856006","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1974777031562072200":{"id":"1974777031562072200","date":"2025-10-05 10:01:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Culturally, it seems we're finally past peak gamblization, at least in sports.\n\nhttps://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2025/10/02/americans-increasingly-see-legal-sports-betting-as-a-bad-thing-for-society-and-sports/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1974777031562072200","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3369,"bookmarks":4,"media":["1974777031562072200_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1974777031562072200","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1897588121585209521":{"id":"1897588121585209521","date":"2025-03-06 10:00:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's not that it *can't* still be interesting, but it's very unlikely. If you really had something novel, you wouldn't bury it in pages and appendices of stoch calc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1897587224046100592","reply_id":"1897587224046100592","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":1651,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1897588121585209521","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1925114116449898550":{"id":"1925114116449898550","date":"2025-05-21 08:59:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ByrneHobart Yeah but the adverse selection (on their selection of movies) often crushes the idea.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1924967818392457391","reply_id":"1924967818392457391","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ByrneHobart","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":266,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1925114116449898550","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1417321430543257604":{"id":"1417321430543257604","date":"2021-07-20 03:12:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@longskew @therobotjames @sajidnizami The world is a big place.\n\nMy skepticism isn't *that* strongly held.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1417300898234003457","reply_id":"1417320824906952711","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"longskew","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1417321430543257604","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1979162142679920881":{"id":"1979162142679920881","date":"2025-10-17 12:26:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@sasuke___420 I'm definitely in the \"a lot of intelligence may be interpolation, but not all of it\" camp.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1979161421930758635","reply_id":"1979161421930758635","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"sasuke___420","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":125,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1979162142679920881","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1979593746263298064":{"id":"1979593746263298064","date":"2025-10-18 17:01:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@memesonmargin You see it a lot in large companies. Senior managers or directors who have been promoted to their level of incompetence, they know it, and so the only way they can stay there is by winning internal knife fights at the expense of others.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1979511150422131173","reply_id":"1979589268478800210","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"i_have_3_jobs","likes":29,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":739,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1979593746263298064","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1746904224859144675":{"id":"1746904224859144675","date":"2024-01-15 14:36:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dwarkesh_sp @erikphoel The two scarce resources are motivation and the right social milieu. Very hard to come by for most people.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1746845976931754122","reply_id":"1746848043326914692","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dwarkesh_sp","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":263,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1746904224859144675","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1986454206224408869":{"id":"1986454206224408869","date":"2025-11-06 15:22:43","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I've tried and can't think of much. Suggestions?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1986454206224408869","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":11,"quotes":1,"views":9652,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1986454206224408869","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1632802945443184640":{"id":"1632802945443184640","date":"2023-03-06 17:58:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Trader2V So I'm learning. People who insist on good tools and people who like to do front-end work are somewhat disjoint.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632793417595113472","reply_id":"1632802421402488834","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Trader2V","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":133,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1632802945443184640","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1583638605599100928":{"id":"1583638605599100928","date":"2022-10-22 01:57:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin With hypothetical better technology, better co-workers and a bit of hypothetical luck.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1583638114580385792","reply_id":"1583638114580385792","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1583638605599100928","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1868007122019156468":{"id":"1868007122019156468","date":"2024-12-14 18:56:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Some creative ETF issuer needs to list 500 products of the form \"all S&P500 stocks except {ticker}\".\n\nCall them XAAPL, XNVDA, XMSFT, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1868007122019156468","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":84,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":2,"views":10030,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1868007122019156468","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1787561092425904326":{"id":"1787561092425904326","date":"2024-05-06 19:12:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@HighFreqAsuka I did! But I've also been collecting private info from people in the industry for a couple of years.\n\nIt's *such* a shitshow.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1787555726707368448","reply_id":"1787560920690172379","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"HighFreqAsuka","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":453,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1787561092425904326","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1474545269014286337":{"id":"1474545269014286337","date":"2021-12-25 00:59:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite This is a *great* question. Can't really talk about specifics, but it really is a very hard problem to solve. Goes to the the root of incentive structures for people, groups, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1474541757714948097","reply_id":"1474541757714948097","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1474545269014286337","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2037920816730374356":{"id":"2037920816730374356","date":"2026-03-28 15:52:40","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"ChatGPT Thinking:\n\nI draw 6 Bernoullis from 6 different distributions: P(true) = [0.75, 0.75, 0.5, 0.5, 0.25, 0.25].\n\nGiven 1 true, compute P(it came from one of the 0.75s)","hashtags":[],"conv":"2037920816730374356","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":46,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":12027,"bookmarks":33,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2037920816730374356","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1599422877647806464":{"id":"1599422877647806464","date":"2022-12-04 15:18:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin Solid C- effort.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1599419574637584384","reply_id":"1599422599145979904","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1599422877647806464","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1544442830189277185":{"id":"1544442830189277185","date":"2022-07-05 22:07:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@judahmcauley @therobotjames Yes, but the point is that you're mapping an ugly distribution onto another distribution with nicer properties using a monotonic function (i.e. preserving ordering).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1544425285268844544","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1544442830189277185","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1363876649486274569":{"id":"1363876649486274569","date":"2021-02-22 15:41:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"13/ What really matters is the difference between the two.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1363876629550800901","reply_id":"1363876646026047503","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":87,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":16,"media":["1363876649486274569_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1363876649486274569","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1285799429300088832":{"id":"1285799429300088832","date":"2020-07-22 04:50:47","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Barton_options comments?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1285799429300088832","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Barton_options","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1285799429300088832","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1748837070632808746":{"id":"1748837070632808746","date":"2024-01-20 22:37:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@etdebruin 1996 called, it wants its URLs back.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1748821522020442406","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":60,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1748837070632808746","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1476779486662201344":{"id":"1476779486662201344","date":"2021-12-31 04:57:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@JDcarlu So the only reason to trade options is to trade those higher moments.\n\n2nd moment: vol\n3rd moment: skew\n4th moment: kurtosis\n\nEtc","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476775525066571778","reply_id":"1476779369037062144","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":27,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476779486662201344","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1387972600320516098":{"id":"1387972600320516098","date":"2021-04-30 03:30:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @choffstein @jkregenstein @GestaltU @alphaarchitect @daniel_egan It's not clear what you *could* do that's smarter. Any model you build for SPY when it's closed is going to beg the question you're trying to answer.\n\nIt's an information theoretic limitation. The info just doesn't exist.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1387861810599059459","reply_id":"1387972079228645376","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1387972600320516098","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1429625293568765954":{"id":"1429625293568765954","date":"2021-08-23 02:03:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@volmagorov @DadInvest Correct answer.\n\nI claim that having a \"budget\" in the traditional sense of the term is inconsistent with being a good trader.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1429546321002782733","reply_id":"1429615975150899202","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"volmagorov","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1429625293568765954","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1377469915234377730":{"id":"1377469915234377730","date":"2021-04-01 03:56:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@svrnco Sure, though as you can imagine, saying \"You don't need to be here, you can leave\" will probably not have the most... positive effect on the person or the other meeting attendees.\n\nCulture is hard. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377463759434878979","reply_id":"1377466403142447105","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"svrnco","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1377469915234377730","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1773384779347730616":{"id":"1773384779347730616","date":"2024-03-28 16:20:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Junior options interview q: create a portfolio of options in a single underlying that is long gamma, long vega and collects theta.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1773384779347730616","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1773456147309334555","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":274,"retweets":16,"replies":37,"quotes":3,"views":104581,"bookmarks":344,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1773384779347730616","type":"quote","issues":[]},"1185279273419980801":{"id":"1185279273419980801","date":"2019-10-18 19:39:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@WayneHimelsein Totally agree. I worry about feeding the \"these guys are playing games with the economy\" narrative which, in >99% of cases, is the furthest thing from reality.\n\nThe vast majority of people working in finance actually *are* in the business of correctly allocating scarce resources.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1185211283294973952","reply_id":"1185273355970043904","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"WayneHimelsein","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1185279273419980801","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1369868849550479360":{"id":"1369868849550479360","date":"2021-03-11 04:32:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames @InBraised Well, depending on what that signal is telling you, it probably *should* only be active/big for a short time.\n\nIt's usually not especially interesting to know \"big thing happened 3 days ago\" or something like that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1369774884834934788","reply_id":"1369868132375027713","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1369868849550479360","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1349921426053058568":{"id":"1349921426053058568","date":"2021-01-15 03:28:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@michael_nielsen Theory And Reality by @pgodfreysmith.\n\nExcellent historical introduction to philosophy of science.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1349750282972905472","reply_id":"1349750282972905472","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"michael_nielsen","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1349921426053058568","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1534275622524006401":{"id":"1534275622524006401","date":"2022-06-07 20:46:28","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So Bain charged Tiger 0.1% of their portfolio to do the *actual* job of figuring out what that portfolio should be.\n\nAnd it didn't work out well for Tiger?\n\nGo figure...\n\nhttps://www.wsj.com/articles/tiger-global-giant-tech-bet-11654523735","hashtags":[],"conv":"1534275622524006401","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1534275622524006401","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"2080541770497061152":{"id":"2080541770497061152","date":"2026-07-24 06:33:07","author":"Robin Hanson","handle":"robinhanson","text":"RT @robinhanson: I don't know who needs to hear this, but: we are not at war with China. We are not remotely close to war with China. They are instead a trading partner. We should buy from them when that is cheaper than making it ourselves. And vice verse re selling to them. As usual.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2080541770497061152","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"2080435164740530395","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":12,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":345,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/robinhanson/status/2080541770497061152"},"1401031384211222534":{"id":"1401031384211222534","date":"2021-06-05 04:21:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @EconShiller @SqueezeMetrics @Ksidiii @therobotjames Maybe, maybe not. Maybe you have a great vlm model, and you see something it has trouble modeling. An event or regularity. You dig in. You're confused but you keep digging. Eventually you discover why it's happening.\n\nThe vlm model is like a lens that lets you see more clearly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1400892689101565954","reply_id":"1401030679584968707","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1401031384211222534","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1787234193484951973":{"id":"1787234193484951973","date":"2024-05-05 21:33:31","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@quantymacro Yes. Most masters are a negative signal.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1787208174182772907","reply_id":"1787208174182772907","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"quantymacro","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1542,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1787234193484951973","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1986544673146429535":{"id":"1986544673146429535","date":"2025-11-06 21:22:12","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"Remember that FTX was illegally using **customer money** to lend to his affiliated hedge fund Alameda Research, to make illiquid venture bets, and to make political donations. \n\nAnd that when the customers asked for their money back, he couldn’t return it. \n\nTHAT is why the exchange was insolvent and THAT is why you’re in jail, you slimy fuck.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1986544673146429535","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1986698316906963377","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4039,"retweets":224,"replies":38,"quotes":10,"views":592547,"bookmarks":240,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1986544673146429535"},"1247568755145592832":{"id":"1247568755145592832","date":"2020-04-07 16:55:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@awealthofcs Especially \"internet homeschooling\". The point of school is to house our kids while we work. The learning part is secondary for 99% of people.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1247540079330873345","reply_id":"1247540079330873345","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"awealthofcs","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1247568755145592832","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2050471284715200919":{"id":"2050471284715200919","date":"2026-05-02 07:03:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"3. To the extent there's a real 2nd-order effect, highly asymmetric maker/taker fees can interact badly with other microstructural things like tick sizes.\n\nFor example, large maker rebates plus very small tick sizes means you have shit top of book liquidity, mid means nothing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2050471279082299898","reply_id":"2050471282051825838","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":44,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":5544,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2050471284715200919","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1980717400552337777":{"id":"1980717400552337777","date":"2025-10-21 19:26:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"OpenAI claiming AGI is juuuust around the corner.\nBut also releasing an agentic browser.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1980717400552337777","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":57,"retweets":2,"replies":5,"quotes":2,"views":24032,"bookmarks":4,"media":["1980717400552337777_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1980717400552337777","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1610705129359171584":{"id":"1610705129359171584","date":"2023-01-04 18:30:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Why are people so obsessed with \"my medical records are mine\".\n\nThey're not. They're information generated BY a medical provider ABOUT you.\n\nWho do you think owns the information about your credit card use?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1610705129359171584","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":39,"retweets":3,"replies":23,"quotes":2,"views":16420,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1610705129359171584","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1759426607629086838":{"id":"1759426607629086838","date":"2024-02-19 03:56:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Tell me you've never worked at one of these firms w/o telling me...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1759426607629086838","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":67,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":32067,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1759426607629086838","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1919281231901958480":{"id":"1919281231901958480","date":"2025-05-05 06:41:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's clear that the strategy is to announce something outrageous every weekend so that when the news cycle resets on Monday, it's always still about him.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1919281231901958480","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":98,"retweets":6,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":8678,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1919281231901958480","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1957406709661536654":{"id":"1957406709661536654","date":"2025-08-18 11:38:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@systematicls Exactly. Reflexivity in market doesn't have to be bad.\n\nAnd extant financial markets are incredibly good evidence of precisely that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957405977810272625","reply_id":"1957405977810272625","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"systematicls","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":764,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1957406709661536654","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1135935078192693249":{"id":"1135935078192693249","date":"2019-06-04 15:43:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@paulg @patrickc Totally agree, the degree to which it's seen as a flaw is rather predictive.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1135886195253284865","reply_id":"1135934476108910593","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"paulg","likes":25,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1135935078192693249","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2057711394225635661":{"id":"2057711394225635661","date":"2026-05-22 06:33:21","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Rich Sutton's bitter lesson has been turned into a Rorschach test for anyone even vaguely connected to AI.\n\nIt's used to justify every pre-existing belief short of bringing back expert systems.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2057711394225635661","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":49,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":5270,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2057711394225635661","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1921976635626078584":{"id":"1921976635626078584","date":"2025-05-12 17:11:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih Curious what your mental \"price the 25d OOM option and give me its strike\" method is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1921957876043510247","reply_id":"1921957876043510247","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2907,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1921976635626078584","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1369845897589256196":{"id":"1369845897589256196","date":"2021-03-11 03:01:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames @InBraised I think it's worth thinking about to see if you can figure it out.\n\nTry thinking of a simpler example first. Say (non-lagged) SPY vs AAPL or something.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1369774884834934788","reply_id":"1369845430490693632","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1369845897589256196","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1996609735236194352":{"id":"1996609735236194352","date":"2025-12-04 15:57:10","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"All of the above should immediately have you thinking, correctly, that naive swmid is exploitable. And if something can be gamed it will be. In fact, spoofing (put a large fake bid to induce people to take your real small offer) is an extreme way of exploiting swmid-like fairs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1996609701950218467","reply_id":"1996609733680099491","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3151,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1996609735236194352","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1478479778084655105":{"id":"1478479778084655105","date":"2022-01-04 21:33:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ALBACapMgmt @therobotjames How many SHIB to do the Kessel Run in 12 parsecs?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1478313935992328193","reply_id":"1478475967995674624","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ALBACapMgmt","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1478479778084655105","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1985937728400155125":{"id":"1985937728400155125","date":"2025-11-05 05:10:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@MuyiwaSaka Make it fun, whatever you do. They have to feel like it's \"funtime with dad\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1985680301108932764","reply_id":"1985903981596713379","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"MuyiwaSaka","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":2230,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1985937728400155125","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1384527117740740612":{"id":"1384527117740740612","date":"2021-04-20 15:19:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames Right, what you're looking for is a liquidity demand that has overwhelmed the \"usual\" providers of that liquidity.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1384525674317328386","reply_id":"1384526889939869698","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1384527117740740612","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1487075468675145739":{"id":"1487075468675145739","date":"2022-01-28 14:49:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theta124 @TCK_JRubano I'll let @bennpeifert take over from here... :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486782760090062849","reply_id":"1487026172764561408","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theta_xp","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1487075468675145739","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1597593324629921793":{"id":"1597593324629921793","date":"2022-11-29 14:08:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Tallow_beach @BlacklionCTA @TCK_JRubano The good ones do. IMO most others it's a combination of Dunning-Kruger and feelings of being an impostor in that role","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597316636302008320","reply_id":"1597592955761864704","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Tallow_beach","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597593324629921793","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2079626611486577076":{"id":"2079626611486577076","date":"2026-07-21 17:56:36","author":"Bill Gurley","handle":"bgurley","text":"If there has been “theft” that suggests a crime has been committed. But I am unaware of any lawsuits being filed. No company should be allowed to declare infringement without adjudication. I’m not convinced a court would call using a product as it’s designed theft.\n\nThere is a reason this is being “lobbied” in DC instead of the normal court systems.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2079626611486577076","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2079949031174750572","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":764,"retweets":81,"replies":63,"quotes":6,"views":146275,"bookmarks":90,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bgurley/status/2079626611486577076"},"1415321032261394436":{"id":"1415321032261394436","date":"2021-07-14 14:43:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"9/ But if you take one thing away from this thread, either as an employer or as a job-seeker, it’s this:\n\n“Hiring processes are good in proportion to how well they simulate the actual job.”","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"1415321031233785859","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415321032261394436","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1717166495036555716":{"id":"1717166495036555716","date":"2023-10-25 13:09:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@CalcEverything Yes, definitely some overlap. The idea that winning is what matters, not the \"correct\" way of doing things.\n\nA lot of trades have the metaphorical feel of \"I see you've double deadbolted your front door. So I'll just enter through this conveniently open window.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1716917776072499571","reply_id":"1717060600063316428","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"riproprip","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":55,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1717166495036555716","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1434668278417215489":{"id":"1434668278417215489","date":"2021-09-06 00:02:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheSpeculator0 @Raoul_duke123 I'm also not denying that 99.99% of \"nutrition experts\" and advice are complete horseshit, grifters, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434623665694461961","reply_id":"1434667982710398981","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1434668278417215489","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1784344881772781747":{"id":"1784344881772781747","date":"2024-04-27 22:12:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Absolutely boggles the mind.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1784344881772781747","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":5598,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1784344881772781747","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1456262902348873739":{"id":"1456262902348873739","date":"2021-11-04 14:11:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Them: Breathless news article about how some famous person is accepting payment in a non-USD thing which is *extremely* fungible into USD.\n\nMe: Good, one fewer news source to have to pay attention to.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1456262902348873739","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1456262902348873739","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1509750459816316928":{"id":"1509750459816316928","date":"2022-04-01 04:32:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cyberSM7 @garybasin Best answer I can give is \"sometimes\". But it's a well-known idea so there's a lot of competition on it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1509623825519951881","reply_id":"1509745880127066114","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"cyberSM7","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1509750459816316928","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1851670412121297275":{"id":"1851670412121297275","date":"2024-10-30 17:00:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ekrii3 Evariste Galois age 21 or this guy age 53?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1851651905094893686","reply_id":"1851651905094893686","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ekrii3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":334,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1851670412121297275_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1851670412121297275","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1965458473392685236":{"id":"1965458473392685236","date":"2025-09-09 16:53:11","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@fx_fool FRED disagrees.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1965443663234040091","reply_id":"1965449009709134210","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"fx_fool","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":217,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1965458473392685236_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1965458473392685236","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1772687526383239588":{"id":"1772687526383239588","date":"2024-03-26 18:10:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It's a testament to the wealth of this country that dental hygenists apparently bill out at $1500/hr for a cleaning.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1772687526383239588","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":5964,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1772687526383239588","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1282875373345140736":{"id":"1282875373345140736","date":"2020-07-14 03:11:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jordanwrong1 @SinclairEuan @KrisAbdelmessih I also mention the German tax-div trade in my book. That was incredibly interesting.\n\n(no, I didn't participate in that sketchy-soon-to-be-illegal trade)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1282702235583954945","reply_id":"1282874496827846656","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1282875373345140736","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1501348009098891266":{"id":"1501348009098891266","date":"2022-03-09 00:03:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein Tell me you trade crypto without telling me you trade crypto.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501347655644954626","reply_id":"1501347655644954626","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501348009098891266","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1482757353065758720":{"id":"1482757353065758720","date":"2022-01-16 16:51:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@petergyang Shitposting. The answer is always more shitposting.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482756170825666562","reply_id":"1482756170825666562","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"petergyang","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1482757353065758720","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1900642848879374397":{"id":"1900642848879374397","date":"2025-03-14 20:19:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@yieldcurvepro @macrocephalopod It's actually going pretty well on the hiring front. Central Europe has a lot of talent.\n\nMaybe that's why I'm worked up. The elite US CS programs are actually pretty ordinary. Bad actually. Admissions and summer internships does the heavy lifting. No wonder the kids are LLMing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1900587520305332699","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":882,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1900642848879374397","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1519014292841934848":{"id":"1519014292841934848","date":"2022-04-26 18:03:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@pranavvk @KrisAbdelmessih Yes. You want to somehow maximize both honesty and safety. Which isn't easy to do.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1519011776938921985","reply_id":"1519014076478681088","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"pranavvk","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1519014292841934848","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1951078450787483955":{"id":"1951078450787483955","date":"2025-08-01 00:32:06","author":"Richard Dewey","handle":"richdewey","text":"Congrats to @zoink and @figma team. It’s a good day to repost my 2023 Bloomberg article on the Thiel Fellowship and highlight the foundational work of @William_Blake and @DStrachman to build this program against criticism from all sides. The track record speaks for itself. \n\nThiel's Unicorn Success is Awkward for Colleges:\nhttps://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2023-10-19/thiel-s-unicorn-success-is-awkward-for-colleges","hashtags":[],"conv":"1951078450787483955","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1951182764490870821","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":2,"replies":6,"quotes":2,"views":12116,"bookmarks":5,"media":["1951078450787483955_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/richdewey/status/1951078450787483955"},"1707892246732046438":{"id":"1707892246732046438","date":"2023-09-29 22:56:57","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod That feels importantly different.\n\n\"iso\" is doing a lot of work there. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1707878743128367513","reply_id":"1707880671622889809","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":616,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1707892246732046438","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1773734206830719163":{"id":"1773734206830719163","date":"2024-03-29 15:29:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"People who say the US isn't a high-trust society haven't been to a chain hotel breakfast buffet.\n\nThey just put the food out. Anyone could just wander in from the parking lot if they wanted to.\n\nStuff like this just doesn't happen in other countries, even developed ones.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1773734206830719163","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":103,"retweets":2,"replies":24,"quotes":4,"views":27073,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1773734206830719163","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1596722708209078273":{"id":"1596722708209078273","date":"2022-11-27 04:28:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ALBACapMgmt @therobotjames @Gingfacekillah @TCK_JRubano @be20684347 Never! My regular Friday game was with a cast of excellent state level ams and also some high school and D1 kids.\n\nWhen the kids are giving a scratch 2 strokes a side and winning more often than not, the reality check is strong.\n\nOne HS kid I played with was a +6.3. At ASU now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595095238514720768","reply_id":"1596719985447301121","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ALBACapMgmt","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1596722708209078273","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1934614712068534499":{"id":"1934614712068534499","date":"2025-06-16 14:11:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Pps831 The kimchi trade.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1934563284453036526","reply_id":"1934614052153827660","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Pps831","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2330,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1934614712068534499","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1837083452321018164":{"id":"1837083452321018164","date":"2024-09-20 10:56:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ConcaveMMT It's a scandalously high trust society.\n\nYou can just walk on and off trams and subways. Sometimes ticket collectors walk by and check, but very rarely.\n\nYou can go for lunch at restaurant, everyone pays their share on the app, then you just walk out.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1837078364948955219","reply_id":"1837079476863205834","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ConcaveMMT","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":399,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1837083452321018164","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1128086840836349954":{"id":"1128086840836349954","date":"2019-05-13 23:57:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Uber down another 10% today. Does anyone think the price is closer to fair today, or 3 years ago when only like-minded insiders could trade the stock? Public markets: the best method we have for allocating scarce resources. #uber #ipo #lawsoftrading","hashtags":["uber","ipo","lawsoftrading"],"conv":"1128086840836349954","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1128086840836349954","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1494473816554164225":{"id":"1494473816554164225","date":"2022-02-18 00:48:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"This actually sounds like a nice opportunity for a new grad that really wants to work and learn.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494473816554164225","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1494473816554164225","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1314406582227148801":{"id":"1314406582227148801","date":"2020-10-09 03:25:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dacaldar @FlynnRoad It's crazy how I think the same thing. I look at pictures, videos, everything from the before-time and I have to remind myself \"Oh yeah. That was the world we used to live in.\"\n\nI had no idea I could make this dramatic a mental shift this fast. After 40+ years the other way.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1314366612603105280","reply_id":"1314387909278138369","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dackupasec","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1314406582227148801","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1952747073586999650":{"id":"1952747073586999650","date":"2025-08-05 15:02:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Norway's SWF has $1.7 t in assets. That's over $300k for every man woman and child.\n\nBut Oslo, a city of 700k people, has a $3 congestion charge for entering the city with a car. Take public transportation? Ok. A 24hr ticket from a place you don't need to pay to park is $30.\n\n👏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1952747071942853008","reply_id":"1952747071942853008","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1733,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1952747073586999650","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1789479174325014711":{"id":"1789479174325014711","date":"2024-05-12 02:14:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mbateman @Gena_I_Gorlin Definitely. Almost as soon as they could count, I'd \"try to convince them\" that I had 11 fingers.\n\n\"How many fingers do I have?\"\n\"10.\"\n\"Ok. 10-9-8-7-6, plus 5 on this hand, 11.\"\n(brain breaks)\n\"Nooo!\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1789477709397065757","reply_id":"1789478467425247363","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"mbateman","likes":55,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1233,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1789479174325014711","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1886091313780580739":{"id":"1886091313780580739","date":"2025-02-02 16:36:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bbqrice @Ffxivmarket Oh don't worry.\n\nA) I wouldn't,\nB) It would be local only.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1886077044951273587","reply_id":"1886088572878336213","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bbqrice","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":148,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1886091313780580739","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1315292431563145216":{"id":"1315292431563145216","date":"2020-10-11 14:05:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What happens to TV shows (CSI, Brooklyn 99, etc) if public mask-wearing becomes the long-term norm?\n\nDo the characters mask up in public? Or do they all suddenly exist in some parallel universe where the most important event of the last 75 years didn't happen?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1315292431563145216","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1315292431563145216","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1593997840686075904":{"id":"1593997840686075904","date":"2022-11-19 16:01:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ArdonLukas @garybasin","hashtags":[],"conv":"1593993317225832451","reply_id":"1593993699931099137","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ArdonLukas","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1593997840686075904_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1593997840686075904","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1572816365786103808":{"id":"1572816365786103808","date":"2022-09-22 05:13:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 🫡","hashtags":[],"conv":"1572724691768582144","reply_id":"1572815167586697216","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1572816365786103808","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1536511107099070464":{"id":"1536511107099070464","date":"2022-06-14 00:49:29","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@be20684347 @macrocephalopod Wait, what happens if I set the 4th parameter to TRUE...\n\n😱\n\n🧨🧨\n\n💥💥💥","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536459270719422470","reply_id":"1536508327529938946","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"be20684347","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1536511107099070464","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1406384933816336384":{"id":"1406384933816336384","date":"2021-06-19 22:54:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vgr http://wustl.edu","hashtags":[],"conv":"1406383659091861506","reply_id":"1406383659091861506","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vgr","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1406384933816336384","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1509155357226110978":{"id":"1509155357226110978","date":"2022-03-30 13:07:30","author":"Clifford Asness","handle":"CliffordAsness","text":"The article literally says “When Tsingshan’s trading squeezed the LME nickel market in 2019.” \n\nHE CAUSED, AND MINTED FROM, A SQUEEZE LAST TIME.\n\nThey (the exchange and likely the banks) stole from investors to bail themselves (they took no losses) and this oligarch criminal out.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1509155357226110978","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1509175690087714824","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":162,"retweets":22,"replies":2,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/CliffordAsness/status/1509155357226110978"},"2048693908486394079":{"id":"2048693908486394079","date":"2026-04-27 09:21:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Incubators don't work in HF. It's the wrong model. 🧵\n\n1. The distribution of outcomes in VC and HF are very different. In VC it *might* make sense to fund 99 failures if 1 success pays for them all. In HF that never happens.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2048693908486394079","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":153,"retweets":2,"replies":9,"quotes":1,"views":41744,"bookmarks":76,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2048693908486394079","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1557418440171786241":{"id":"1557418440171786241","date":"2022-08-10 17:27:46","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ichiisan There's a Vince meme for any occasion.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1557409736428961792","reply_id":"1557413716223594496","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ichiisan","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1557418440171786241","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1847939741087420488":{"id":"1847939741087420488","date":"2024-10-20 09:55:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@generic_void @ManifoldMarkets So making it way more capital *inefficient* will lead to more efficient markets? Or market efficiency a non-goal? Just trying to understand the mechanism you're proposing better.\n\nThe creeping gamblization of everything sucks, that's for sure.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847800407839662364","reply_id":"1847800407839662364","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"generic_void","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":107,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1847939741087420488","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1562097344371298305":{"id":"1562097344371298305","date":"2022-08-23 15:20:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AnthonyLeeZhang This is well-studied. It's mostly debt IIUC, but only rarely (historically) by state fiat.\n\nhttps://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0691178372/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1562095721599442946","reply_id":"1562096995258474497","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"alz_zyd_","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1562097344371298305","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1450616762974699524":{"id":"1450616762974699524","date":"2021-10-20 00:16:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ksidiii 👆\n\nWe used to call it \"validating\".\n\nJust outright ask questions. Act confused. MO ppl really want to talk trading, so they'll just tell you.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1450110996744441856","reply_id":"1450110996744441856","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Ksidiii","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1450616762974699524","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2007088990131007801":{"id":"2007088990131007801","date":"2026-01-02 13:57:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"When a politician tells you what they're about, believe them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2007088990131007801","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":33,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":6542,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2007088990131007801","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1711887078966104435":{"id":"1711887078966104435","date":"2023-10-10 23:30:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@GRoditiD It's really amazing when you think about it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1711871482362753508","reply_id":"1711885764181753909","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"GRoditiD","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":488,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1711887078966104435","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1759416824826102191":{"id":"1759416824826102191","date":"2024-02-19 03:17:14","author":"Plum Capital","handle":"Plum_Capital","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih Actual truth in real life? Significantly less than $23mm \n\nBSDs at those firms with power to authorize the trade won’t bother to get out of bed for $1-2mm EV (my guess)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1759414991667728711","reply_id":"1759414991667728711","quote_id":"1759426607629086838","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":30,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":2,"views":42364,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Plum_Capital/status/1759416824826102191"},"1812170179910177144":{"id":"1812170179910177144","date":"2024-07-13 17:00:14","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Someday we'll look back when tennis pros *didn't* drop-shot serve at least a couple of times per set.\n\nThe same way we look back 15 years ago when Andy Murray was basically the only top 10 player who drop shotted regularly. And now they all do it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1812170179910177144","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2194,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1812170179910177144","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1455636707005513734":{"id":"1455636707005513734","date":"2021-11-02 20:43:30","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@chips_dimsby @bennpeifert @ryxcommar @therobotjames IMO most interviewers don't understand how to use questions with elegant shortcuts.\n\nThe point isn't \"do you see the elegant shortcut\". In fact, if they quickly see it then the question isn't going to tell you anything worth knowing.\n\nThe value of the q is when they don't see it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1455542144207257600","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1455636707005513734","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1442331836680585219":{"id":"1442331836680585219","date":"2021-09-27 03:34:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount Embassytown - China Mieville","hashtags":[],"conv":"1442252601421176834","reply_id":"1442252601421176834","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1442331836680585219","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1183423470031425536":{"id":"1183423470031425536","date":"2019-10-13 16:45:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Stop orders you say? They practically don't exist anymore in equities and futures. If you receive the raw exchange datafeeds you can actually deduce when they happen. And they almost never do.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1183423468483706881","reply_id":"1183423469268033538","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":3,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1183423470031425536","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1704353019520049384":{"id":"1704353019520049384","date":"2023-09-20 04:33:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@firstlawofvol @MinvstrD @BSayder Again, no disagreement. Depth is the #1 desideratum of a good baseline shot.\n\nThe disagreement is about emphasis on practice time. Historically, coaches have over-emphasized baseline cross-court deep rallying over serve/return/+1.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1704254080192049183","reply_id":"1704352644406640695","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"firstlawofvol","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":91,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1704353019520049384","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2071555450647064953":{"id":"2071555450647064953","date":"2026-06-29 11:24:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Same for the US, Europe, and most of the developed world. We need more optimism.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2071555450647064953","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":5011,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2071555450647064953","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1486867764388057088":{"id":"1486867764388057088","date":"2022-01-28 01:04:34","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@whowhenwherewat @jeffdafo Agreed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486813088338755591","reply_id":"1486867505159278596","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"return_stacking","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1486867764388057088","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1146090903653629952":{"id":"1146090903653629952","date":"2019-07-02 16:18:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TheDefenderA @nntaleb @jadabdala I've got one for you. Written by an actual professional trader, not one that plays one for CNBC or for BS learn-to-trade scams.\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Laws-Trading-Traders-Decision-Making-Everyone/dp/1119574218","hashtags":[],"conv":"1146031005809205248","reply_id":"1146088893047017473","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Defnderer","likes":7,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1146090903653629952","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1831017838938566676":{"id":"1831017838938566676","date":"2024-09-03 17:14:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nearcyan A decent sampling oscilloscope. Not cheap but very versatile.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1830984118039126173","reply_id":"1830984118039126173","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"nearcyan","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":130,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1831017838938566676","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1511808992695123972":{"id":"1511808992695123972","date":"2022-04-06 20:52:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily @mikevanbus Hetzner is really good.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1511790206512377856","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1511808992695123972","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1490769756726587393":{"id":"1490769756726587393","date":"2022-02-07 19:29:41","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@abiylfoyp My typical considerations:\n- The acquaintance's instrumental use of your friendship/acquaintance feels icky.\n- Risk to your reputation/friendship with close friend by lubricating a possibly non-positive interaction with acquaintance.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1490768565363957760","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1490769756726587393","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1428479962416254981":{"id":"1428479962416254981","date":"2021-08-19 22:12:17","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@noms_nom_nom @therobotjames There are plenty of other issues, and the point is that having one true 10xer and a bunch of 1xers is an unstable equilibrium. It won't last.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1428381820421242886","reply_id":"1428479700632965122","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1428479962416254981","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1382754453011386371":{"id":"1382754453011386371","date":"2021-04-15 17:55:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@choffstein I would talk more about risk premia and its relationship to trading edge. I think I gave them short shrift because I was worried it would get too technical.\n\nBut looking at examples lets us deepen the generalizable lessons from looking at them. So that was a mistake IMO.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382691627387486211","reply_id":"1382736056097730562","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"choffstein","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1382754453011386371","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1952748352333865337":{"id":"1952748352333865337","date":"2025-08-05 15:07:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@macrocephalopod @TheStalwart No that's Docusign.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1952701975910404342","reply_id":"1952744788970578162","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"macrocephalopod","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":522,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1952748352333865337","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1606041240931160064":{"id":"1606041240931160064","date":"2022-12-22 21:37:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@M1tchRosenthal @nearcausality Having a non-tech savvy person try to create an env and run scripts is almost definitely the wrong solution to whatever problem you have. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1606030048770654208","reply_id":"1606039327984586753","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"M1tchRosenthal","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":389,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1606041240931160064","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2080920552005316627":{"id":"2080920552005316627","date":"2026-07-25 07:38:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I wonder what fraction of Twitter posters praising MIT OCW have actually taken a course.\n\nTried to figure out which exact iteration of OCW/MITx Online/MIT xPRO/whatever to use. Where to find the course notes. Assignments. Answer keys.\n\nVideos are nice but that's not a *course*.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2080920552005316627","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":138,"retweets":0,"replies":14,"quotes":0,"views":14174,"bookmarks":34,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2080920552005316627","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1851204466973766096":{"id":"1851204466973766096","date":"2024-10-29 10:08:33","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Forget cache invalidation, naming, or off-by-one errors.\n\nThe hardest thing in production sw dev is whether the info should go in a Google doc, a wiki page, a code comment, a Gitlab comment, a Gitlab issue, an email, a pinned Slack message, etc.\n\n2nd hardest is finding it after.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1851204466973766096","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":89,"retweets":2,"replies":7,"quotes":2,"views":7389,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1851204466973766096","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1937226863816114380":{"id":"1937226863816114380","date":"2025-06-23 19:10:50","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So we've all just decided we're going with the Cluely model now?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1937226863816114380","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":13,"quotes":0,"views":6278,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1937226863816114380","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1942282551717994512":{"id":"1942282551717994512","date":"2025-07-07 18:00:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@bookdepth Thousands of employees...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942282025714778494","reply_id":"1942282025714778494","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"bookdepth","likes":32,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4252,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1942282551717994512","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1528867958503534592":{"id":"1528867958503534592","date":"2022-05-23 22:38:20","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily This means little, please believe me. Recruiters and sourcers show up and have to put in a day's work just like everyone else. It's the job ponzi.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1528866602703147009","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1528867958503534592","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1679674005488533504":{"id":"1679674005488533504","date":"2023-07-14 02:07:44","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So lemme get this straight. An algorithmic stablecoin gets an \"A\" grade? 🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1679674005488533504","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2787,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1679674005488533504_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1679674005488533504","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1415321045037305868":{"id":"1415321045037305868","date":"2021-07-14 14:43:27","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"22/\n\n“We only hire A-players.”\n\nUh, I hate to break it to you but a truly A-player developer with 5 years experience is making >$500k per year.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"1415321044060045314","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415321045037305868","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1533104186153242624":{"id":"1533104186153242624","date":"2022-06-04 15:11:36","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@jgreco Ah, but what if I attach a narrative to it?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1533088839165698048","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1533104186153242624","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1481042004024778752":{"id":"1481042004024778752","date":"2022-01-11 23:15:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @SpencerBosma @KrisAbdelmessih @heeeedgy @moreproteinbars @dailydirtnap I *love* learning about how people think.\n\nIt's so foreign.\n\nI'm all visualization and memorization/pattern-matching.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1480988463201542144","reply_id":"1481033031607791616","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1481042004024778752","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1528868385488248832":{"id":"1528868385488248832","date":"2022-05-23 22:40:02","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@nope_its_lily It happens every recession. Everyone makes a huge show of \"we're still hiring\" but it's all Potemkin villages of open positions.\n\nThere's literally zero upside to publicly admitting you're on a hiring freeze.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1528866602703147009","reply_id":"1528867958503534592","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1528868385488248832","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2026560527187501339":{"id":"2026560527187501339","date":"2026-02-25 07:30:56","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Aligning the AIs to human AI researcher preferences was never going to be the difficult part.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2026560527187501339","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":44,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":11056,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2026560527187501339","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1503226265758621702":{"id":"1503226265758621702","date":"2022-03-14 04:27:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@PrometheusCHT @jamescmlin @M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames True, the problem there is often the \"rigorous\" part. :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"1503224993273896968","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"PrometheusCHT","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1503226265758621702","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1546316455645310981":{"id":"1546316455645310981","date":"2022-07-11 02:12:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"I've believed basically this exact thing for at least 5 years. Maybe 10.\n\nThe most productive years of my life have been suffused with an inescapable twilight-of-an-empire feel. Not about the US, but about the whole Western liberal enterprise of the last 300 years.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546316455645310981","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":2,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546316455645310981","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1787561630408352002":{"id":"1787561630408352002","date":"2024-05-06 19:14:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@DeepDishEnjoyer I don't at all. If you can make $ market making these, knock yourself out.\n\nIt's the producers and consumers that are the problem.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1787555726707368448","reply_id":"1787561191801262437","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"DeepDishEnjoyer","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":522,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1787561630408352002","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1941388640812400841":{"id":"1941388640812400841","date":"2025-07-05 06:48:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@GrantStenger Explaining the second one:\n- In very large tick products, trade prices bounce between bid/ask a lot. Lag-1 corr of trade price dir change is close to -1.\n- In tiny tick products, almost all trades are prints through levels i.e. lag-1 corr of trade price dir change ~= 1.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1941310608357626307","reply_id":"1941388225446400211","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":553,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1941388640812400841","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1509171583289417738":{"id":"1509171583289417738","date":"2022-03-30 14:11:59","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KgpTrader Take returns from t1 to t2.\nUse them to linearly predict returns from t2 to t3.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1508949176515584001","reply_id":"1509116855910236160","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KgpTrader","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1509171583289417738","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1505588586158051333":{"id":"1505588586158051333","date":"2022-03-20 16:54:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"8/ Scene with the scouts: they're trying to replace the players they lost. Billy is exasperated at their decision-making process.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aNDj-H1jxV0","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505588577446490112","reply_id":"1505588584996171779","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1505588586158051333","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1854141006272229745":{"id":"1854141006272229745","date":"2024-11-06 12:37:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@Ffxivmarket Last I saw it was ~58% early on Tuesday (could be wrong). Not exactly indicative of the landslide that actually happened.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1854138186387055023","reply_id":"1854140566365204610","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"Ffxivmarket","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":965,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1854141006272229745","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1841522803213791258":{"id":"1841522803213791258","date":"2024-10-02 16:57:04","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@0xfdf @0xRyuzaki ☝️\n\nShows you're unserious.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1841471152843010470","reply_id":"1841513401610088858","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"0xfdf","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2217,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1841522803213791258","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2015157986767876157":{"id":"2015157986767876157","date":"2026-01-24 20:21:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"But it dawned on me that she's actually right. It's SHOULDN'T be that impressive, that awesome. It is to me, though, because I KNOW the pain of all the shitty interfaces you have to wire just right to get this to work. But...\n\nIT SHOULDN'T BE THIS WAY!","hashtags":[],"conv":"2015157979494928386","reply_id":"2015157985069121722","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":57,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3091,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2015157986767876157","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1976601378379465019":{"id":"1976601378379465019","date":"2025-10-10 10:51:06","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@scottjduffy @erenbali Is there evidence that Fortune 500 boards have such a short time horizon?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1976510967048503731","reply_id":"1976548026400604236","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"scottjduffy","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":184,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1976601378379465019","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1279258599189934080":{"id":"1279258599189934080","date":"2020-07-04 03:39:52","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@VolatilityWiz There are ~3 price points.\n\n500 gets you pretty decent ball speed, swing speed and launch angle numbers, that's about it.\n\n2k gets you \"everything\" the high-end monitors get, but less accurate.\n\n10k+ gets you the real deal.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1279247013935276032","reply_id":"1279247013935276032","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"VolatilityWiz","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1279258599189934080","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"2075852808138506614":{"id":"2075852808138506614","date":"2026-07-11 08:00:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"The very concept of \"progress\" had to be invented.\n\nThen the people in charge had to at least tacitly agree it was a good thing instead of a threat.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2075852808138506614","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":33,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":5027,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2075852808138506614","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1693721666168524806":{"id":"1693721666168524806","date":"2023-08-21 20:28:07","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin Does it have IB chat?\n\nRelatedly, I love seeing \"Bloomberg for X\" startup pitches that forget its most important feature.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1693721277716898094","reply_id":"1693721277716898094","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":337,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1693721666168524806","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2081645534301860140":{"id":"2081645534301860140","date":"2026-07-27 07:39:05","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"Using cats to spread fire is not a new phenomenon in southern Italy.\"\n\nWTF?\n\nhttps://edition.cnn.com/2026/07/22/europe/arson-cats-italy-wildfires-latam-intl","hashtags":[],"conv":"2081645534301860140","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":1,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":3055,"bookmarks":2,"media":["2081645534301860140_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2081645534301860140","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1571699696900669441":{"id":"1571699696900669441","date":"2022-09-19 03:16:23","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_ElFinanciero_ @NewRiverInvest @FREAK0NAUT @macropotamus @Chaelelo @nope_its_lily @OGTaylorB Touché.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1571636409651580929","reply_id":"1571698236972498945","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"CRYPTHOV","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1571699696900669441","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1400963753466744837":{"id":"1400963753466744837","date":"2021-06-04 23:52:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@therobotjames @M1tchRosenthal @EconShiller @SqueezeMetrics @Ksidiii Yeah. Another way of saying this might be:\n\nHave an opinion. Something you believe before you really dive into the data.\n\nMaybe you read some article about some random thing. Then you ask yourself \"If this is true, wouldn't that mean X?\" Make up a story. Then go to the data.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1400892689101565954","reply_id":"1400962951729737729","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"therobotjames","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1400963753466744837","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1980000157694304557":{"id":"1980000157694304557","date":"2025-10-19 19:56:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@henrytdowling Land is a yielding asset though. Pretty different.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1979845895660437592","reply_id":"1979992988995739758","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"henrytdowling","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":111,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1980000157694304557","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1770916075234103409":{"id":"1770916075234103409","date":"2024-03-21 20:51:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Two sports things which will probably become common in 25 years:\n\n- Dual forehands in tennis.\n- Back foot slide in golf.\n\nThey both make way more sense biomechanically than the current dominant paradigm.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1770916075234103409","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":45,"retweets":0,"replies":16,"quotes":1,"views":20824,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1770916075234103409","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1971822567234367914":{"id":"1971822567234367914","date":"2025-09-27 06:21:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"So, hook up Neon to ElevenLabs TTS and make some $?\n\nhttps://techcrunch.com/2025/09/24/neon-the-no-2-social-app-on-the-apple-app-store-pays-users-to-record-their-phone-calls-and-sells-data-to-ai-firms/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1971822567234367914","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2783,"bookmarks":3,"media":["1971822567234367914_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1971822567234367914","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1415321033280684040":{"id":"1415321033280684040","date":"2021-07-14 14:43:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"10/ This is your north star, the thing you always have to keep coming back to.\n\nThe better you simulate the job, the better your matches will be. For two reasons:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1415321024602677250","reply_id":"1415321032261394436","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1415321033280684040","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1501749999452897280":{"id":"1501749999452897280","date":"2022-03-10 02:41:15","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@SquishChaos @M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames PEAD was a great earner. Kinda dead now.\n\nEOD momentum used to be good. Not so much now except in really volatile times.\n\nBut things come back years and years later in a slightly different form. It's cyclical in a weird way.\n\nPaging @SinclairEuan.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1501749999452897280","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1743433615319703880":{"id":"1743433615319703880","date":"2024-01-06 00:45:39","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@cam_o_gram A lot of the uncertainty in timeline comes from regulation. In a world where regulators try to figure out how to make it work, it could be less than 10 years.\n\nCrypto is also going to need more actual use cases than remittances...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1743425282743357589","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":250,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1743433615319703880","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1877632003429818685":{"id":"1877632003429818685","date":"2025-01-10 08:22:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@AIExplainedYT @fchollet When I first learned about this experiment, after much thinking I was forced to reevaluate what I thought intelligence was.\n\nI expect that deeply thinking about this experiment should do the same for most people.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1877477100283740364","reply_id":"1877630231797792774","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AIExplainedYT","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":578,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1877632003429818685","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1476721242132541440":{"id":"1476721242132541440","date":"2021-12-31 01:05:54","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"One of the challenges of having experience with tradfi is seeing crypto recapitulate all the good and the bad that already exists in financial markets.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476721242132541440","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476721242132541440","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1597812638238457856":{"id":"1597812638238457856","date":"2022-11-30 04:39:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@KrisAbdelmessih In expectation yes (obv the pnl is path dependent).\nAnd holding flow toxicity constant.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597690466807316480","reply_id":"1597810898504015872","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"KrisAbdelmessih","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1597812638238457856","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1546895763359162373":{"id":"1546895763359162373","date":"2022-07-12 16:34:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"What is it about crossfit that either (a) makes or (b) attracts people with terrible running technique?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546895763359162373","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":16,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1546895763359162373","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1423121490065596416":{"id":"1423121490065596416","date":"2021-08-05 03:19:38","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@theemilyaccount @lightspringfox I think this is one of those things that's true in practice, but it really shouldn't be.\n\nOr maybe a different way to say it: a lot of programming is idiosyncratic and weird, but it's because our tools are still terrible.\n\nThe fact people are excited about Copilot is kinda proof.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1423020340117049344","reply_id":"1423101553276342272","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"theemilyaccount","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1423121490065596416","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1498149316090687496":{"id":"1498149316090687496","date":"2022-02-28 04:13:25","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@garybasin Don't sleep on the stock loan people at your PB.\nA veritable fount of information sometimes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1498146053366845441","reply_id":"1498148247575187460","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"garybasin","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1498149316090687496","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1946527992584233118":{"id":"1946527992584233118","date":"2025-07-19 11:10:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@_____1043_ Still waiting...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946518179569651763","reply_id":"1946523263519396300","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"_____1043_","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":2102,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1946527992584233118","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1640569501497565186":{"id":"1640569501497565186","date":"2023-03-28 04:20:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Door A: Treat GPT \"like a person\" because you don't want to lose your humanity when dealing with person-like entities.\n\nOf course, your expectations for helpfulness and equanimity will be set so high that every real human will disappoint.\n\nDoor B: You know what it is.\n\nPick one.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1640569501497565186","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":1,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":5343,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1640569501497565186","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1478440589142249477":{"id":"1478440589142249477","date":"2022-01-04 18:57:59","author":"Brett Harrison","handle":"BrettHarrison","text":"1/ Blockchains by design are immutable, irreversible, append-only transaction logs. Mistaken transfers are a natural result of this, pervasive, and in aggregate very costly. Here are some thoughts on the nature of the problem and potential technical solutions (mostly for DeFi).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1478440589142249477","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1478440864452022272","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":119,"retweets":27,"replies":6,"quotes":5,"views":0,"bookmarks":25,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/BrettHarrison/status/1478440589142249477"},"1443951387277074432":{"id":"1443951387277074432","date":"2021-10-01 14:50:12","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"14/ \"I'm not in a rut\" you argue.\n\nYes you are. We all are. Ruts are priors. We all have them and we'd be useless without them.\n\nBut the tendency is for your priors get too strong. Or perhaps more accurately, you should periodically weaken them. Anneal them into a better shape.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443951372580229123","reply_id":"1443951386119401476","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":30,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1443951387277074432","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1939412876403290120":{"id":"1939412876403290120","date":"2025-06-29 19:57:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ByrneHobart Except that in almost all cases for time series, the things that should be regressed are increments/differences, not levels.\n\nYou can construct two time series whose increments have correlation arbitrarily close to -1 but *visually* track each other very well.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1939410872532672858","reply_id":"1939412007318695988","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"ByrneHobart","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":1241,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1939412876403290120","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1540037926725099520":{"id":"1540037926725099520","date":"2022-06-23 18:23:48","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@dwarkesh_sp is a phenomenal interviewer.\n\nHe had me on my toes the whole time. Wonderful conversation.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1540037926725099520","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"dwarkesh_sp","likes":8,"retweets":2,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1540037926725099520","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1745941529292865702":{"id":"1745941529292865702","date":"2024-01-12 22:51:13","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@afekz That's the hope...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1745900961573515343","reply_id":"1745940514480742775","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"afekz","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":227,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1745941529292865702","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1476978665724739584":{"id":"1476978665724739584","date":"2021-12-31 18:08:49","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@experquisite I used to work with a blind dev.\nIncredible knowledge of the structure of the codebase. \nIncredible debugger.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476977663742857218","reply_id":"1476977663742857218","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"experquisite","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1476978665724739584","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1596561398532042752":{"id":"1596561398532042752","date":"2022-11-26 17:47:54","author":"Hasu⚡️🤖","handle":"hasufl","text":"hot take: if you work in the video games industry today, I see that about as bad as working in the cigarette industry in 1960/70s. destroying ppl's lives and families, it's just not yet commonly understood","hashtags":[],"conv":"1596561398532042752","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1596567006945640448","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1630,"retweets":82,"replies":664,"quotes":310,"views":0,"bookmarks":170,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/hasufl/status/1596561398532042752"},"2061716853362172135":{"id":"2061716853362172135","date":"2026-06-02 07:49:37","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"It would be nice to have alternatives to (a) government shakedowns of private enterprises on one side and (b) government confiscation of private enterprises on the other.\n\nJust sayin'.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2061716853362172135","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2507,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2061716853362172135","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1910959162109964655":{"id":"1910959162109964655","date":"2025-04-12 07:32:22","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Commentators making factually incorrect statements that could be refuted in under a minute with two API calls to FRED and one np.corrcoef().","hashtags":[],"conv":"1910959162109964655","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":2770,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1910959162109964655","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1532361426169257986":{"id":"1532361426169257986","date":"2022-06-02 14:00:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@TCK_JRubano @timebargains @FormulaDeltaOne Me too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1532344876238573568","reply_id":"1532347456477966336","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"TCK_JRubano","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1532361426169257986","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1598445808193802240":{"id":"1598445808193802240","date":"2022-12-01 22:35:53","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Seems overwhelmingly likely that Apple makes more from the App Store than all app developers combined once you account for dev and marketing costs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598445808193802240","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1598445808193802240","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1640557249084133376":{"id":"1640557249084133376","date":"2023-03-28 03:31:42","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@ryxcommar They never could code real things because they were never taught to, and because coding real things is HARD.\n\nNow a lot of them are going to be out of a job even though they worked hard and tried to do the right things.\n\nIt sucks...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1640484756075827200","reply_id":"1640556949992513537","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":284,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1640557249084133376","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1644837591857135617":{"id":"1644837591857135617","date":"2023-04-08 23:00:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"\"If you're worried about LLMs taking your job you're doing a low-value job\" isn't the comeback you think it is.\n\nYes, we'll manufacture jobs like Walmart greeter to absorb the unemployment.\n\nBut the cost of feeding and housing the world's humans is *going* to come from somewhere.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1644837591857135617","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":32,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":8434,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1644837591857135617","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1442265862291943426":{"id":"1442265862291943426","date":"2021-09-26 23:12:32","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@vixologist @SJD10304 The power of NIMBY is especially strong in La Jolla.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1442261875400400897","reply_id":"1442262422316793857","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"vixologist","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1442265862291943426","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1983817915578073178":{"id":"1983817915578073178","date":"2025-10-30 08:47:03","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@idoccor Meh, if you're using Python in prod as much more than a wrapper around some optimized C libraries, you're likely using it wrong anyway.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1983672602788086084","reply_id":"1983672602788086084","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"idoccor","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":257,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1983817915578073178","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1271170118844731392":{"id":"1271170118844731392","date":"2020-06-11 19:59:08","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@yminsky You may want to think about something like Mixaba for the post-talk mingling.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1271167123428171776","reply_id":"1271167128427773952","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"yminsky","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1271170118844731392","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1449043457104744449":{"id":"1449043457104744449","date":"2021-10-15 16:04:16","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@steven36885815 @experquisite @theemilyaccount @lightspringfox @drewg__ Yes, this is important. Being able to inject events is critical to be able to handle exchange weirdness.\n\n\"This state transition shouldn't happen. assert false\"\n\n(asserts 1 day l later)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448975193511182344","reply_id":"1449037543681499147","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"steven36885815","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1449043457104744449","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1273341383609221121":{"id":"1273341383609221121","date":"2020-06-17 19:46:58","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@paulg fame + hate = fate\n\nOr hame. Take your pick.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1273338063079473154","reply_id":"1273338063079473154","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"paulg","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1273341383609221121","type":"reply","issues":[]},"1266401240071593989":{"id":"1266401240071593989","date":"2020-05-29 16:09:18","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@peteskomoroch There is a baseline assumption in all no-code platforms that   code is either (a) some evil gatekeeping trick, or (b) something that it took until the creation of 2020 web UIs to get rid of.\n\nMeanwhile Smalltalk is at least 40 years old...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1266204568045510658","reply_id":"1266204568045510658","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"peteskomoroch","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1266401240071593989","type":"reply","issues":[]},"2043207085773513051":{"id":"2043207085773513051","date":"2026-04-12 05:58:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"4. Let's not forget, Wemby is doing all of this in his second language. How many Americans can speak a second language as well as he can? 0.1%? Lower? \n\nLearning multiple languages (usually English) is so standard in most other developed countries that we don't even notice it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2043206606469431573","reply_id":"2043206609812197769","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"AgustinLebron3","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":3192,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/2043207085773513051","type":"reply","issues":["reply-parent unavailable"]},"1491609195069595649":{"id":"1491609195069595649","date":"2022-02-10 03:05:19","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Does anyone know examples of >100 person tech companies with no HR dept?\n\nI.e. they have payroll/benefits admins, they have outsourced compliance training, i.e. the machinery of handling people, but no actual HR?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1491609195069595649","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1491609195069595649","type":"tweet","issues":[]},"1522925678756302849":{"id":"1522925678756302849","date":"2022-05-07 13:05:51","author":"Nick Huber","handle":"sweatystartup","text":"I'm giving away 3 free copies of this course over the next 48 hours.\n\nHow to enter:\n\n1. Retweet this tweet.\n2. Comment below with WHAT you would do with a large audience and what you have to offer the world?\n\nGO!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1522925678756302849","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1523435581740527616","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":35,"replies":49,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/sweatystartup/status/1522925678756302849"},"1394324974345719813":{"id":"1394324974345719813","date":"2021-05-17 16:12:33","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"1. I'm boosting this\n\n2. Is there an \"Upwork for online tutors\"?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1394324974345719813","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1394324974345719813"},"1192579914253266944":{"id":"1192579914253266944","date":"2019-11-07 23:09:43","author":"Will Stancil","handle":"whstancil","text":"Bloomberg is going to be an unstoppable juggernaut, combining the billionaire business know-how of Tom Steyer with the practical New York mayoral experience of Bill de Blasio","hashtags":[],"conv":"1192579914253266944","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3016,"retweets":232,"replies":109,"quotes":37,"views":0,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/whstancil/status/1192579914253266944"},"1665164930025226242":{"id":"1665164930025226242","date":"2023-06-04 01:13:51","author":"raghav","handle":"rargulati","text":"Democratization of the hollywood smile (bleaching, veneers), face contouring, and botox have dramatically increased the passing attractiveness of the average person in coastal cities.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1665164930025226242","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":1511,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/rargulati/status/1665164930025226242"},"1187790985914392577":{"id":"1187790985914392577","date":"2019-10-25 18:00:13","author":"CNBC Now","handle":"CNBCnow","text":"BREAKING:  The federal deficit for fiscal 2019 was $984 billion, a 26% increase from 2018.\n\nhttps://www.cnbc.com/id/106204453","hashtags":[],"conv":"1187790985914392577","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1188183075521302529","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7730,"retweets":6455,"replies":1634,"quotes":3169,"views":0,"bookmarks":146,"media":["1187790985914392577_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/CNBCnow/status/1187790985914392577"},"1496282994759573506":{"id":"1496282994759573506","date":"2022-02-23 00:37:20","author":"Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼","handle":"Noahpinion","text":"Godel was the ultimate wordcel, Banach and Tarski were the ultimate shape rotators","hashtags":[],"conv":"1496282994759573506","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":55,"retweets":2,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1496282994759573506"},"2060372755007123691":{"id":"2060372755007123691","date":"2026-05-29 14:48:39","author":"Ginger McGinn - e/acc","handle":"TheRielGabriel","text":"Maybe that says you are measuring the wrong thing? Are you saying the last 100 years of progress was just right place right time? \"Kids these days\" attitude is clearly wrong, given we've been saying it for thousands of years.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2060372755007123691","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2060382000830398882","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":12553,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheRielGabriel/status/2060372755007123691"},"1583638114580385792":{"id":"1583638114580385792","date":"2022-10-22 01:55:23","author":"Gary Basin","handle":"garybasin","text":"Don’t let them tell you that you can’t beat the market. You can. Well, probably not you specifically. But a hypothetical smarter and harder working version of you.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1583638114580385792","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":185,"retweets":11,"replies":9,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/garybasin/status/1583638114580385792"},"1377075878119759874":{"id":"1377075878119759874","date":"2021-03-31 01:50:48","author":"HF_Trader","handle":"HF_Trader","text":"Anyone remember the Gaecke Quant Report? It was like a 6k per month sub.  My boss at my old fund thought it was so amazing.  I thought it was complete shit.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377075878119759874","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/HF_Trader/status/1377075878119759874"},"1445399879866404864":{"id":"1445399879866404864","date":"2021-10-05 14:46:00","author":"Doug Colkitt","handle":"0xdoug","text":"And this \"order flow toxicity\"... \n\nIs it in the room with us right now?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1445399879866404864","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":50,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0xdoug/status/1445399879866404864"},"1722015039253557715":{"id":"1722015039253557715","date":"2023-11-07 22:15:53","author":"Steve Hou","handle":"stevehou","text":"Only if you managed to survive from 1824, all the wars in between domestic and foreign. Fortunate enough to be not only born in the US, white, and on the right side, also carefully rebalancing a market cap weighted index portfolio the whole time. \n\nSurvivorship bias, literally.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1722015039253557715","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":90,"retweets":2,"replies":15,"quotes":0,"views":18693,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/stevehou/status/1722015039253557715"},"1532042203425607682":{"id":"1532042203425607682","date":"2022-06-01 16:51:39","author":"Joel Rubano","handle":"TCK_JRubano","text":"When teaching about how markets function I have traditionally described the interactions between hedgers, banks, merchants and speculators. Going forward, I am going to include market makers, as they are a large and increasingly important presence in modern capital markets.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1532042203425607682","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":56,"retweets":3,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TCK_JRubano/status/1532042203425607682"},"1582994422727585792":{"id":"1582994422727585792","date":"2022-10-20 07:17:35","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"reminder that if i notice you’re following the dumb harfouche c*m lord account then I’m going to block you, be better 😇","hashtags":[],"conv":"1582994422727585792","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":74,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1582994422727585792"},"1937872358393712806":{"id":"1937872358393712806","date":"2025-06-25 13:55:48","author":"alz","handle":"alz_zyd_","text":"You think intelligence is magic? It's literally just memorization. A can remember more things than B, and think through longer trees than B, hence A can draw more connections than B and is more intelligent than B. There is really nothing deeper than this","hashtags":[],"conv":"1937872358393712806","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":346,"retweets":35,"replies":54,"quotes":9,"views":28104,"bookmarks":157,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/alz_zyd_/status/1937872358393712806"},"1845525902903701627":{"id":"1845525902903701627","date":"2024-10-13 18:03:58","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"ATM Call = .4 * $150 * .50 * sqrt(1/4) = $15\n\n180 call is .8 st dev OTM bc the 150 straddle = $30\n\n1-tail CDF zscore of .8 is guess 20% \n\nP(ITM) ATM maybe 45%\n\n150/180 cs max value is $30 haircut by say 25% probability so $7.50 but maybe $7.75 w skew\n\n180c = $15 - $7.75 ~ $7.25","hashtags":[],"conv":"1845525902903701627","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":120,"retweets":3,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":36019,"bookmarks":158,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1845525902903701627"},"1377754069238972417":{"id":"1377754069238972417","date":"2021-04-01 22:45:42","author":"YT@quantext","handle":"BeingHorizontal","text":"Condolences who think Market Profile is nothing but chart reading\n\nMP == Price distribution\n\nPrice distribution == probability disribution\n\nprobability distribution == stats\n\nstats != chart reading","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377754069238972417","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/BeingHorizontal/status/1377754069238972417"},"1255723516923502592":{"id":"1255723516923502592","date":"2020-04-30 04:59:51","author":"David Perell","handle":"david_perell","text":"College students: If classes are remote in the fall, don’t go.\n\nSave your money. Use your time to start an online business. Keep your burn rate low and work a side job if you need to. \n\nThe goal: Build a profitable business by spring semester.\n\nDon’t pay $50,000 for Zoom classes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1255723516923502592","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1257227624390295558","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3091,"retweets":401,"replies":83,"quotes":101,"views":0,"bookmarks":250,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/david_perell/status/1255723516923502592"},"1875828213035024485":{"id":"1875828213035024485","date":"2025-01-05 08:54:31","author":"arb8020","handle":"arb8020","text":"so what do you guys do while waiting for your docker image to build? i've already made myself a 3 course meal and watched a youtube video essay","hashtags":[],"conv":"1875828213035024485","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":661,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/arb8020/status/1875828213035024485"},"1565883759689433091":{"id":"1565883759689433091","date":"2022-09-03 02:05:55","author":"Bonnie Kavoussi","handle":"bkavoussi","text":"More people should start small businesses.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1565883759689433091","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bkavoussi/status/1565883759689433091"},"1713178246412390857":{"id":"1713178246412390857","date":"2023-10-14 13:01:37","author":"Formula δ1","handle":"FormulaDeltaOne","text":"There’s no universe in which he wasn’t on it with Ellison, right? So if he doesn’t get charged, he must’ve cooperated in a big way?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1713178246412390857","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":7809,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/FormulaDeltaOne/status/1713178246412390857"},"1502007421690015769":{"id":"1502007421690015769","date":"2022-03-10 19:44:09","author":"NOLAN GRAY","handle":"nolangray_","text":"Well that’s a first. What the lowest price you can remember?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1502007421690015769","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1502089507507634180","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1502007421690015769_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/nolangray_/status/1502007421690015769"},"1401031828543135750":{"id":"1401031828543135750","date":"2021-06-05 04:23:12","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"My Twitter Family:\nParents: @GreenZenForest @prof_mcarvalho\nSpouse: @moreproteinbars\nChildren: @M1tchRosenthal @undercversa\n\nvia https://roundyearfun.me/twitterfamily\n\n⠀","hashtags":[],"conv":"1401031828543135750","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1401031828543135750_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1401031828543135750"},"1768068700773535809":{"id":"1768068700773535809","date":"2024-03-14 00:16:42","author":"Asuka","handle":"HighFreqAsuka","text":"short selling is good actually. being able to express that a company is bullshit and capital should be allocated elsewhere is critical. \n\nthe correct response to short sellers is just to ignore them and focus on making a great company, which is what you should be doing anyway.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1768068700773535809","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":40,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2881,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/HighFreqAsuka/status/1768068700773535809"},"1387049617649328128":{"id":"1387049617649328128","date":"2021-04-27 14:22:53","author":"Lou Stagner (Golf Stat Pro)","handle":"LouStagner","text":"Student:\n“I am working hard and I am not getting better.”\n\nMe:\n“How many total hours have you practiced in the last 3 weeks?”\n\nStudent:\n“Ummmm, none. I have been really busy.”\n\nI understand life gets in the way sometimes, but if you really want it, you will find time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1387049617649328128","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":87,"retweets":7,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/LouStagner/status/1387049617649328128"},"1543995546859339778":{"id":"1543995546859339778","date":"2022-07-04 16:29:59","author":"Mishaal","handle":"algergawi","text":"There’s too much survivorship bias driven advice and too little failure based post mortems out ther.\n\nPeople/companies/countries succeed in wildly different ways but often fail in limited and similar ones.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1543995546859339778","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/algergawi/status/1543995546859339778"},"1989149955781693675":{"id":"1989149955781693675","date":"2025-11-14 01:54:40","author":"Wade","handle":"leveragedbets","text":"This shouldn’t be that hard. \n\nLegit firms: Jane Street, CitSec, IMC ect \n\nProbably not legit: Raen, SMB, T3, Maverick. \n\nAs a general rule, if they’re not even registered with FINRA. It’s a scam.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1989149955781693675","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":171,"retweets":5,"replies":15,"quotes":1,"views":49879,"bookmarks":80,"media":["1989149955781693675_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/leveragedbets/status/1989149955781693675"},"1831665580241293772":{"id":"1831665580241293772","date":"2024-09-05 12:07:59","author":"TIME","handle":"TIME","text":"TIME's new cover: The 100 most influential people in AI https://ti.me/4dQcJ1Q","hashtags":[],"conv":"1831665580241293772","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1831730344741237051","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3399,"retweets":685,"replies":3388,"quotes":2731,"views":8866258,"bookmarks":882,"media":["1831665580241293772_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TIME/status/1831665580241293772"},"1632583127951368193":{"id":"1632583127951368193","date":"2023-03-06 03:25:24","author":"experquisite","handle":"experquisite","text":"I think OCaml is the first language where I got the code highlighting/compile server working in emacs.  Nifty, glad the tooling did it instead of having to battle elisp like usual.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632583127951368193","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1305,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/experquisite/status/1632583127951368193"},"1942282025714778494":{"id":"1942282025714778494","date":"2025-07-07 17:58:15","author":"bookdepth","handle":"bookdepth","text":"Jane street leaking emails to Matt Levine, now I've seen everything","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942282025714778494","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":693,"retweets":15,"replies":8,"quotes":1,"views":46256,"bookmarks":62,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bookdepth/status/1942282025714778494"},"1499727100135235588":{"id":"1499727100135235588","date":"2022-03-04 12:42:58","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"I wrote a do-while loop today for, I think, the first time ever. Somehow do-while was covered in the first 20 pages of every programming book I read as a teenager and I never had cause to use it before today.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1499727100135235588","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":72,"retweets":0,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1499727100135235588"},"1888952459453780427":{"id":"1888952459453780427","date":"2025-02-10 14:05:36","author":"qm","handle":"quantymacro","text":"ayo wtf chill dawg that’s below the belt","hashtags":[],"conv":"1888952459453780427","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":425,"retweets":16,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":23169,"bookmarks":17,"media":["1888952459453780427_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/quantymacro/status/1888952459453780427"},"1416182479795355650":{"id":"1416182479795355650","date":"2021-07-16 23:46:29","author":"Tommy Collison","handle":"tommycollison","text":"What are people reading this weekend?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1416182479795355650","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":115,"retweets":7,"replies":118,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":45,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tommycollison/status/1416182479795355650"},"1589739397305761792":{"id":"1589739397305761792","date":"2022-11-07 21:59:42","author":"⚡️🌙","handle":"dystopiabreaker","text":"i see there’s a lot of new interest from the general public in Mastodon. before jumping over, you should know that mastodon is split into instances. anyone running an instance can\n\n- see your hashed password and all user data\n- read all of your DMs\n- take over your account","hashtags":[],"conv":"1589739397305761792","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1603801156639080449","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":910,"retweets":181,"replies":38,"quotes":79,"views":0,"bookmarks":136,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dystopiabreaker/status/1589739397305761792"},"1810325973184954742":{"id":"1810325973184954742","date":"2024-07-08 14:52:00","author":"Casey Handmer","handle":"CJHandmer","text":"Drill into your own walls (not into live wires though!) and gain valuable hardware experience for free.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1810325973184954742","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":59,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":6863,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/CJHandmer/status/1810325973184954742"},"1494506361379377152":{"id":"1494506361379377152","date":"2022-02-18 02:57:37","author":"Venkatesh Rao ☀️","handle":"vgr","text":"Cyberpunk: high tech/low life\n\nCybergovernmentpunk: high tech + low state capacity","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494506361379377152","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":34,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/vgr/status/1494506361379377152"},"1970458435167625662":{"id":"1970458435167625662","date":"2025-09-23 12:01:14","author":"ltrd","handle":"ltrd_","text":"Fresh, concise, and insightful information about the current state of AI. I haven’t listened to such good and engaging AI podcasts in a while.\n\nWhat resonated with me the most was the idea of using AI as a critic: constantly challenging your own thoughts while simultaneously challenging the AI’s. That’s the only proper way to use AI right now.\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MfMq4sVJSFc","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970458435167625662","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":48,"retweets":3,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":10006,"bookmarks":51,"media":["1970458435167625662_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ltrd_/status/1970458435167625662"},"1712523385778090263":{"id":"1712523385778090263","date":"2023-10-12 17:39:26","author":"Build/Boost","handle":"BuildBoost","text":"There is a kind of primal ooga booga caveman in me that just loves it every time I make a motor turn with code...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1712523385778090263","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":106,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/BuildBoost/status/1712523385778090263"},"1150790108540313601":{"id":"1150790108540313601","date":"2019-07-15 15:31:57","author":"Wayne Himelsein","handle":"WayneHimelsein","text":"I'm often asked by young quants: to develop a good strategy, which is the best programming language to learn, or the most applicable math, or the best software, etc...\n\nMy answer: to develop a good strategy, learn the markets. The rest is semantics, and will sort itself out.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1150790108540313601","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":176,"retweets":20,"replies":13,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/WayneHimelsein/status/1150790108540313601"},"1535381647314534401":{"id":"1535381647314534401","date":"2022-06-10 22:01:25","author":"Mitchell Rosenthal","handle":"M1tchRosenthal","text":"Sometimes, I think we make too broad statements about things in quant land. \n\nFor example, many institutional practitioners argue that thinking about entries & exits is bad. \n\nIf you are trading based on factors, makes sense. But is trading factors the only way to quant trade?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1535381647314534401","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":5,"replies":4,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":28,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/M1tchRosenthal/status/1535381647314534401"},"1343967658102820864":{"id":"1343967658102820864","date":"2020-12-29 17:10:34","author":"Wayne Himelsein","handle":"WayneHimelsein","text":"So much of finance, and life, assumes a Normal Distribution. This is a philosophical tragedy.\n\nThe embedded rarity of extreme events encourages disregarding them.\n\nThe Cauchy Distribution should prevail - its not about the chances of a thing happening, its about the consequences.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1343967658102820864","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":258,"retweets":40,"replies":25,"quotes":5,"views":0,"bookmarks":33,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/WayneHimelsein/status/1343967658102820864"},"1245172353409011712":{"id":"1245172353409011712","date":"2020-04-01 02:13:17","author":"Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️","handle":"choffstein","text":"I think about this paragraph from Red Blooded Risk a lot.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1245172353409011712","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":193,"retweets":27,"replies":9,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":47,"media":["1245172353409011712_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/choffstein/status/1245172353409011712"},"1919049834410955165":{"id":"1919049834410955165","date":"2025-05-04 15:21:49","author":"Lewis 🇺🇸","handle":"ctjlewis","text":"*collapses into dust*","hashtags":[],"conv":"1919049834410955165","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":312,"retweets":5,"replies":20,"quotes":4,"views":42841,"bookmarks":36,"media":["1919049834410955165_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ctjlewis/status/1919049834410955165"},"1920536874193449032":{"id":"1920536874193449032","date":"2025-05-08 17:50:47","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"The new Pope is from Chicago and has a math degree, which goes to show that you can still make a success of your life even if you don’t pass the first round interview at Jump","hashtags":[],"conv":"1920536874193449032","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1439,"retweets":74,"replies":25,"quotes":8,"views":82155,"bookmarks":76,"media":["1920536874193449032_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1920536874193449032"},"1790043313992536243":{"id":"1790043313992536243","date":"2024-05-13 15:35:58","author":"Dr. Parik Patel, BA, CFA, ACCA Esq.","handle":"ParikPatelCFA","text":"Imagine spending 4 years of your life studying efficient market hypothesis only to see a $GME rip 100% and add hundreds of millions of dollars of market cap because some guy who calls himself “roaring kitty” tweeted a meme","hashtags":[],"conv":"1790043313992536243","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1790048819712798876","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7641,"retweets":633,"replies":150,"quotes":69,"views":853892,"bookmarks":316,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ParikPatelCFA/status/1790043313992536243"},"1352750362747351041":{"id":"1352750362747351041","date":"2021-01-22 22:49:54","author":"breakeven","handle":"std_dev","text":"so here are my thoughts on $GBTC \n\nfirst, so everyone who may not know, it is a trust that holds bitcoin. great!\nit trades on the otc market and, if you are big enough (essentially) you can invest in the trust directly.\n\n1/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1352750362747351041","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1353118123373678592","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":505,"retweets":127,"replies":35,"quotes":69,"views":0,"bookmarks":222,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/std_dev/status/1352750362747351041"},"1920185714337038546":{"id":"1920185714337038546","date":"2025-05-07 18:35:24","author":"alz","handle":"alz_zyd_","text":"Now that machines can write, we can waste less time teaching students how to write; we can teach them how to think instead","hashtags":[],"conv":"1920185714337038546","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":1404,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/alz_zyd_/status/1920185714337038546"},"1866862835231240369":{"id":"1866862835231240369","date":"2024-12-11 15:09:19","author":"experquisite","handle":"experquisite","text":"@abiylfoyp I tore my shoulder labrum badly in a dislocation and got it sewn back on, seems to have held up but it’s not perfect and I’m always mindful that I need strong muscles all around it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1866861453296435483","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":110,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/experquisite/status/1866862835231240369"},"1722659796825043426":{"id":"1722659796825043426","date":"2023-11-09 16:57:55","author":"rohit","handle":"krishnanrohit","text":"Kind of sad that silicon valley had the perfect answer for this through remote work, and then just did a u-turn on it for no particular reason except vibes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1722659796825043426","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":117,"retweets":4,"replies":11,"quotes":0,"views":16327,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/krishnanrohit/status/1722659796825043426"},"1450820780149940225":{"id":"1450820780149940225","date":"2021-10-20 13:46:43","author":"Euan Sinclair","handle":"SinclairEuan","text":"who are some good crypto follows?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1450820780149940225","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":36,"retweets":1,"replies":20,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SinclairEuan/status/1450820780149940225"},"1864889901084287378":{"id":"1864889901084287378","date":"2024-12-06 04:29:35","author":"arb8020","handle":"arb8020","text":"> huh i wonder why this isn't working\n> start typing up message to claude \n> detailed understanding of problem + intuition for why it might not be working\n> realize potential solution and try it\n> it works\n\nmany such cases","hashtags":[],"conv":"1864889901084287378","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":871,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/arb8020/status/1864889901084287378"},"1487231454262480897":{"id":"1487231454262480897","date":"2022-01-29 01:09:44","author":"🅰️LB🅰️","handle":"ALBACapMgmt","text":"Even after an hour and a half talking to their own fkg staff in person, the dumb fkrs stick a security hold on the transfer 🤦🤦🤡🤡🤡","hashtags":[],"conv":"1487231454262480897","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ALBACapMgmt/status/1487231454262480897"},"1377747301381324804":{"id":"1377747301381324804","date":"2021-04-01 22:18:48","author":"Mitchell Rosenthal","handle":"M1tchRosenthal","text":"Had class today, but $EWN broke out from a range into a new high. At first glance, price action looks bullish imo. Might enter a small bet if it pulls back or is slightly flat tmrw. Unsure what's driving this.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377747301381324804","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1377747301381324804_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/M1tchRosenthal/status/1377747301381324804"},"1271075719842615297":{"id":"1271075719842615297","date":"2020-06-11 13:44:01","author":"Ole Peters","handle":"ole_b_peters","text":"Asking for a friend: if you were to write a popular-science book on ergodicity, what would you call it?\n\n\"Ergodicity\" is a bit cryptic.\nSomething that captures the concept without naming it and goes beyond economics...\n\nSerious question - what would be a good title and subtitle?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1271075719842615297","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":139,"retweets":14,"replies":211,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":23,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ole_b_peters/status/1271075719842615297"},"1408996469709840391":{"id":"1408996469709840391","date":"2021-06-27 03:51:50","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"How much of trading really just comes down to:\n 1. Supply liquidity to <forced / price insensitive flow>\n 2. Don't get run over. \n\n?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1408996469709840391","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":149,"retweets":13,"replies":9,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":49,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1408996469709840391"},"1459527379131502595":{"id":"1459527379131502595","date":"2021-11-13 14:23:38","author":"Stone Cold Steven Universe","handle":"Bolt_451","text":"Feeling a bit rubbish. Can you QRT with your most minor run in with a celebrity please ?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1459527379131502595","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":685,"retweets":57,"replies":1752,"quotes":4608,"views":0,"bookmarks":105,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Bolt_451/status/1459527379131502595"},"1640833303480795137":{"id":"1640833303480795137","date":"2023-03-28 21:48:39","author":"arb8020","handle":"arb8020","text":"would there be any interest in reading explanations of solutions to common interview questions?\n\nim working on my ability to explain things + problem solve so id be happy to do that in public","hashtags":[],"conv":"1640833303480795137","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":66,"retweets":2,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":9779,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/arb8020/status/1640833303480795137"},"1596317233306685442":{"id":"1596317233306685442","date":"2022-11-26 01:37:41","author":"Antonio García Martínez (agm.eth)","handle":"antoniogm","text":"Seems the American assimilation machine is still running full-throttle as apparently the leading ethno-nationalist is surnamed 'Fuentes'.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1596317233306685442","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":229,"retweets":8,"replies":12,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/antoniogm/status/1596317233306685442"},"1603851531865972736":{"id":"1603851531865972736","date":"2022-12-16 20:36:17","author":"CoinDesk","handle":"CoinDesk","text":"Capitalism may be partly to blame for the FTX meltdown and recent downturn in crypto. Misleading signals from the market have encouraged \"numbers go up\" momentum trading rather than investment in real use cases. \n\nOpinion by @mikejcasey\n\nhttps://trib.al/pUxhzeH","hashtags":[],"conv":"1603851531865972736","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1603968667842232321","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":247,"retweets":42,"replies":377,"quotes":118,"views":468762,"bookmarks":22,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/CoinDesk/status/1603851531865972736"},"1984341833879834868":{"id":"1984341833879834868","date":"2025-10-31 19:28:55","author":"Casey Handmer","handle":"CJHandmer","text":"Blog on the NASA Orion space capsule is up. 20 years, $31.6b, and they're planning to fly it around the Moon with four astronauts next year, and also test the life support system and heat shield, which kinda sorta failed on the last flight. Anyway, this was miserable to write, I hope you enjoy it. Link below!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1984341833879834868","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":695,"retweets":51,"replies":26,"quotes":30,"views":141554,"bookmarks":113,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/CJHandmer/status/1984341833879834868"},"1459240854812512263":{"id":"1459240854812512263","date":"2021-11-12 19:25:05","author":"Espresso","handle":"MrEhpresso","text":"People out here literally dropping alphas in their books","hashtags":[],"conv":"1459240854812512263","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1459246362747236354","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":56,"retweets":4,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":20,"media":["1459240854812512263_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/MrEhpresso/status/1459240854812512263"},"1546511867778048001":{"id":"1546511867778048001","date":"2022-07-11 15:08:56","author":"Matt Levine","handle":"matt_levine","text":"@nope_its_lily yeah no i concede that as a one-time piece of comedy, me quitting writing to go back to wachtell to seek vengeance on elon for ruining my vacations would be very very funny. but, you know, then what.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546348507996381184","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":135,"retweets":2,"replies":10,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/matt_levine/status/1546511867778048001"},"1206957944807419910":{"id":"1206957944807419910","date":"2019-12-17 15:22:52","author":"Wayne Himelsein","handle":"WayneHimelsein","text":"Yesterday I Tweeted for trailing stops over profit targets. But as with many trading \"rules\", there's nuance. While true for an expansionary thesis, if trading what one believes to be a mean reversionary process, set a target, and get out.\n\nContext literally makes opposites true.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1206957944807419910","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":54,"retweets":5,"replies":8,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/WayneHimelsein/status/1206957944807419910"},"1287715255456538624":{"id":"1287715255456538624","date":"2020-07-27 11:43:36","author":"Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️","handle":"choffstein","text":"Now streaming…\n\nPOSITIONAL OPTION TRADING with @SinclairEuan \n\nSome topics we discuss:\n\n- How has market making changed over the last 20 years?\n\n- Common mistakes and sources of edge for buy-side traders.\n\n- Directional versus volatility bets.\n\nEnjoy!\n\nhttps://blog.thinknewfound.com/podcast/s312-euan-sinclair/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1287715255456538624","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":127,"retweets":19,"replies":12,"quotes":9,"views":0,"bookmarks":30,"media":["1287715255456538624_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/choffstein/status/1287715255456538624"},"1324782249607225344":{"id":"1324782249607225344","date":"2020-11-06 18:34:36","author":"Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼","handle":"Noahpinion","text":"Time to move a few million California hippies and New York hipsters to the Mountain West and the Plains.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1324782249607225344","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":376,"retweets":27,"replies":58,"quotes":27,"views":0,"bookmarks":16,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1324782249607225344"},"1942643783834972168":{"id":"1942643783834972168","date":"2025-07-08 17:55:45","author":"rohit","handle":"krishnanrohit","text":"I predict Niall will be proven wrong","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942643783834972168","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":110,"retweets":0,"replies":36,"quotes":1,"views":9228,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/krishnanrohit/status/1942643783834972168"},"1840753334720074152":{"id":"1840753334720074152","date":"2024-09-30 13:59:29","author":"alz","handle":"alz_zyd_","text":"Two of the greatest piano composers of all time, Liszt and Chopin, are from central Europe; do we think this is basically a historical accident, or is there some preordained reason why central Europe would tend to produce great piano composers?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1840753334720074152","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":1714,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/alz_zyd_/status/1840753334720074152"},"1438245277631062018":{"id":"1438245277631062018","date":"2021-09-15 20:56:10","author":"Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️","handle":"bennpeifert","text":"If you're a scrappy entrepreneurial type with strong experience in equity derivatives trading and operations, you'd be remiss not to DM me, just saying","hashtags":[],"conv":"1438245277631062018","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1481740434208542721","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":129,"retweets":12,"replies":21,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":16,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bennpeifert/status/1438245277631062018"},"1573898258790785024":{"id":"1573898258790785024","date":"2022-09-25 04:52:41","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"Which artists over 40 have created popular music that wasn't absolute cringe?\n\nTom Waits\nLeonard Cohen\n\nWho else?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1573898258790785024","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":1,"replies":50,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1573898258790785024"},"1541945692868018176":{"id":"1541945692868018176","date":"2022-06-29 00:44:35","author":"SurgiFi","handle":"FiSurgi","text":"If everyone knows how to utilize the Black Scholes model, how tf do you make money in options?\n\nThe edge clearly isn’t the math","hashtags":[],"conv":"1541945692868018176","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1541994841743233024","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":306,"retweets":22,"replies":89,"quotes":13,"views":0,"bookmarks":94,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/FiSurgi/status/1541945692868018176"},"1499861219615854595":{"id":"1499861219615854595","date":"2022-03-04 21:35:55","author":"Euan Sinclair","handle":"SinclairEuan","text":"Talking about @AgustinLebron3 's book \"the laws of trading\" reminded me of how the tragically recently deceased friend of mine, Peter Carr was introduced:\n\n\" If you don't know how good he is, it says a lot more about you than him\".\n\nSame w appreciating the book.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1499861219615854595","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":65,"retweets":3,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SinclairEuan/status/1499861219615854595"},"1793681626024858107":{"id":"1793681626024858107","date":"2024-05-23 16:33:19","author":"Sound Dobad","handle":"SoundDobad","text":"I’m slowly turning into a hagmaxxer.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1793681626024858107","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":3191,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SoundDobad/status/1793681626024858107"},"1455542144207257600":{"id":"1455542144207257600","date":"2021-11-02 14:27:44","author":"Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️","handle":"bennpeifert","text":"This is great geometric intuition for regression, @ryxcommar has a few posts/replies on it. Paul Rudd's Introduction to Classical Econometric Theory uses this intuition extensively","hashtags":[],"conv":"1455542144207257600","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":83,"retweets":3,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":50,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bennpeifert/status/1455542144207257600"},"1438239899581181954":{"id":"1438239899581181954","date":"2021-09-15 20:34:47","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"The stuff is really hard. I grew up in a very \"life is work and competition\" immigrant scarcity-mindset household. I struggle to envision alt ways of life so I appreciate posts like this. \n\nH/t @NewRiverInvest \n\ncc: @p_millerd \n\nThis is was my favorite section fwiw","hashtags":[],"conv":"1438239899581181954","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":28,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":["1438239899581181954_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1438239899581181954"},"1536496750227251200":{"id":"1536496750227251200","date":"2022-06-13 23:52:26","author":"ib","handle":"Indian_Bronson","text":"Also said here by @Micaheadowcroft \n\nhttps://x.com/Micaheadowcroft/status/1536494529708171265\n\nStop making \"Right Wing Art\".\n\nJust make (good) art and music and do creative things as a person with rightist ideas, and do not tolerate / scorn leftist ideas and the people who have them in the scene that builds upm","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536496750227251200","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1536501200333463557","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Indian_Bronson/status/1536496750227251200"},"1864771666016186787":{"id":"1864771666016186787","date":"2024-12-05 20:39:45","author":"unusual_whales","handle":"unusual_whales","text":"NYPD shares a new photo of the alleged gunman who killed the UnitedHealthcare CEO:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1864771666016186787","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1864801067726168359","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":916,"retweets":66,"replies":344,"quotes":63,"views":774588,"bookmarks":56,"media":["1864771666016186787_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/unusual_whales/status/1864771666016186787"},"1743433662891483203":{"id":"1743433662891483203","date":"2024-01-06 00:45:51","author":"Casey Handmer","handle":"CJHandmer","text":"I was born in the late 80s and still have scarcity mindset around stuff that was hard to come by in my reasonably modest childhood years: new clothes, tape, markers, LEGO, pasta. I've reprogrammed on data storage and planes but the mid cost stuff is oddly sticky. Anyone else find this?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1743433662891483203","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":127,"retweets":3,"replies":23,"quotes":0,"views":20999,"bookmarks":17,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/CJHandmer/status/1743433662891483203"},"1527401670841356293":{"id":"1527401670841356293","date":"2022-05-19 21:31:50","author":"Doug Colkitt","handle":"0xdoug","text":"I disagree. The next generation is going to vastly prefer on-chain experience to TradFi. Login with Metamask is so much smoother than opening a brokerage account.\n\nKinda like how non-digital natives missed the value of OpenTable. “Why can’t you just call to make a reservation?”","hashtags":[],"conv":"1527401670841356293","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":92,"retweets":5,"replies":9,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0xdoug/status/1527401670841356293"},"1704532910148321553":{"id":"1704532910148321553","date":"2023-09-20 16:28:09","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"Every board should have a pod shop boss on it who asks what the CEO's \"idio\" is during the compensation meeting","hashtags":[],"conv":"1704532910148321553","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":11171,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1704532910148321553"},"1917013011296096476":{"id":"1917013011296096476","date":"2025-04-29 00:28:12","author":"Byrne Hobart","handle":"ByrneHobart","text":"I know perfectly well that in closely-scrutinized markets like this one, the odds of the next move being up or down should be very close to 50/50, unless there's some discrete low-probability/high-impact event being priced. And yet, hard not to extrapolate momentum.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1917013011296096476","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":41,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":14850,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ByrneHobart/status/1917013011296096476"},"1494839458100760577":{"id":"1494839458100760577","date":"2022-02-19 01:01:14","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"@0xMallow @AgustinLebron3 Mine had two moves. \n\n- All-in\n- fold/limp\n\nPeople HATED it.\n\nThe abuse it got in the chat... 😂","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494734029202984963","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1494839458100760577"},"1550849194260369409":{"id":"1550849194260369409","date":"2022-07-23 14:23:55","author":"jacob","handle":"thal0x","text":"what are some good learning resources on scalping, or just general trading, that aren't scammy course shills","hashtags":[],"conv":"1550849194260369409","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":1,"replies":14,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":29,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/thal0x/status/1550849194260369409"},"1448447595446157312":{"id":"1448447595446157312","date":"2021-10-14 00:36:32","author":"Euan Sinclair","handle":"SinclairEuan","text":"\" An advantage of the approach is that it interprets market behavior in terms of entropic forces which can account for a variety of behavioral effects of the sort studied in quantum cognition and quantum decision theory\"\n\noh. that's an advantage?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448447595446157312","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":48,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SinclairEuan/status/1448447595446157312"},"1413461878316040192":{"id":"1413461878316040192","date":"2021-07-09 11:35:47","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"Awwwwww yeah.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1413461878316040192","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":123,"retweets":6,"replies":7,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":30,"media":["1413461878316040192_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1413461878316040192"},"1734575973851349116":{"id":"1734575973851349116","date":"2023-12-12 14:08:33","author":"Kris Sidial🇺🇸","handle":"Ksidiii","text":"Something, something Bayesian….\n\nBecause all you really need right now is one guy to blow through the order book in /ES through intraday highs, to ignite a bunch of FOMO buying and panic covering. \n\nThat in itself will change the mini narrative, and bring in a bunch of head scratching on the “hot” CPI number. \n\nMarkets can be funny, keep your head on a swivel.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1734575973851349116","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1734670771279073308","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":131,"retweets":10,"replies":5,"quotes":4,"views":44175,"bookmarks":23,"media":["1734575973851349116_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Ksidiii/status/1734575973851349116"},"1459919112121978881":{"id":"1459919112121978881","date":"2021-11-14 16:20:14","author":"Dendi Suhubdy e/acc","handle":"dendisuhubdy","text":"One crazy idea I want to run with @bitwyre later when our derivatives markets are much more liquid is a #deeplearning #nlp algorithm that can take text and price a structured product so for example","hashtags":["deeplearning","nlp"],"conv":"1459919112121978881","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dendisuhubdy/status/1459919112121978881"},"1408071501496995840":{"id":"1408071501496995840","date":"2021-06-24 14:36:21","author":"Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️","handle":"choffstein","text":"Once again, I am tricked by APIs switching between “-“ and “.” in tickers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1408071501496995840","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":40,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/choffstein/status/1408071501496995840"},"1972088992230527457":{"id":"1972088992230527457","date":"2025-09-28 00:00:30","author":"Goshawk Trades","handle":"GoshawkTrades","text":"So now there is \"Quantum algo trading\"....","hashtags":[],"conv":"1972088992230527457","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":113,"retweets":16,"replies":10,"quotes":2,"views":15917,"bookmarks":66,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/GoshawkTrades/status/1972088992230527457"},"1820821265227133418":{"id":"1820821265227133418","date":"2024-08-06 13:56:33","author":"alz","handle":"alz_zyd_","text":"The US pre-college math curriculum does way less geometry than many other countries and I think that's likely a good choice. Plane geometry is a nerd trap. You can do all kinds of nutty trick questions figuring out triangle angles and stuff and in the end idk what it adds up to","hashtags":[],"conv":"1820821265227133418","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":50,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":3803,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/alz_zyd_/status/1820821265227133418"},"1409697360150630409":{"id":"1409697360150630409","date":"2021-06-29 02:16:56","author":"Mitchell Rosenthal","handle":"M1tchRosenthal","text":"Thinking about trying to make some kind of options crash course. I recognize that I'm not a master or anything but I like that I'll have to really learn a lot to produce it. Goal would be to convey most of the powerful concept in less than 100 pages. Anyone find that interesting?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1409697360150630409","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":134,"retweets":0,"replies":16,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/M1tchRosenthal/status/1409697360150630409"},"1591473845076213761":{"id":"1591473845076213761","date":"2022-11-12 16:51:47","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"It’s time to admit what everyone knows and no one wants to say. \n\nFlight tracking is a waste of your own time and everyone else’s time, you would be better off spending your attention on literally anything else.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1591473845076213761","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":53,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1591473845076213761"},"1603968667842232321":{"id":"1603968667842232321","date":"2022-12-17 04:21:45","author":"S","handle":"longskew","text":"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1603968667842232321","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1333,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1603968667842232321_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/longskew/status/1603968667842232321"},"1202274425631936512":{"id":"1202274425631936512","date":"2019-12-04 17:12:14","author":"Meb Faber","handle":"MebFaber","text":"IMO: this is just beginning and I think we’ll look back and see commission free ETF trading as the big catalyst.\n\nThe 2020s will absolutely slaughter the “high fee do nothing” asset management industry...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1202274425631936512","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":32,"retweets":5,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/MebFaber/status/1202274425631936512"},"1836694662037270815":{"id":"1836694662037270815","date":"2024-09-19 09:11:46","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"It's insane that the UK Prime Minister is only paid £167k and that the most senior advisor to the PM is only paid £170k.\n\nBoth of those numbers should be about £100k higher (as a bonus, Starmer could then afford to buy his own suits and tickets to football games)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1836694662037270815","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":134,"retweets":2,"replies":15,"quotes":0,"views":21869,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1836694662037270815"},"1734372182938325052":{"id":"1734372182938325052","date":"2023-12-12 00:38:46","author":"Temu Robot James","handle":"ScottPh77711570","text":"MF don't miss. He's exceedlingly polite so I should have interpreted this as \"you fucktard take some risk off\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1734372182938325052","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":52,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":6797,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ScottPh77711570/status/1734372182938325052"},"1625926306511585282":{"id":"1625926306511585282","date":"2023-02-15 18:33:34","author":"Mitchell Rosenthal","handle":"M1tchRosenthal","text":"Back at it again with a probably dumb python question. \n\nAnyone have a clear idea of when it makes more sense to define a function, within a class, as opposed to outside of one? How do we know when classes are the smarter way to go?read some stackOverflow but still a bit confused","hashtags":[],"conv":"1625926306511585282","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":4932,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/M1tchRosenthal/status/1625926306511585282"},"1232319477590757376":{"id":"1232319477590757376","date":"2020-02-25 15:00:33","author":"Y Combinator","handle":"ycombinator","text":"YC W20 startup @NearPeIndia is a payment gateway for cash transactions in India. They enable 500M Indians in Tier 2/3 cities to buy online by paying at shops near them: http://ow.ly/xQ1z50yvkkV","hashtags":[],"conv":"1232319477590757376","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":34,"retweets":20,"replies":1,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ycombinator/status/1232319477590757376"},"1864801067726168359":{"id":"1864801067726168359","date":"2024-12-05 22:36:35","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"can I say something without everyone getting mad..?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1864801067726168359","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":67,"retweets":1,"replies":17,"quotes":0,"views":49404,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1864801067726168359"},"1346832824775577600":{"id":"1346832824775577600","date":"2021-01-06 14:55:43","author":"Ray Fisman","handle":"RFisman","text":"A question for #econtwitter - what are your best/favorite examples of, \"if someone has something to sell, what do they know that I don't know.\" A very big bonus for buyer-side private information (\"seller beware\") examples instead.","hashtags":["econtwitter"],"conv":"1346832824775577600","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":5,"replies":21,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/RFisman/status/1346832824775577600"},"1205123454317596673":{"id":"1205123454317596673","date":"2019-12-12 13:53:16","author":"Euan Sinclair","handle":"SinclairEuan","text":"Publisher. You won't make appreciable money no matter what and a publisher will sell more copies. Self publishing is just a blog on paper","hashtags":[],"conv":"1205123454317596673","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SinclairEuan/status/1205123454317596673"},"1875200426867630238":{"id":"1875200426867630238","date":"2025-01-03 15:19:55","author":"Spencer Greenberg 🔍","handle":"SpencrGreenberg","text":"A question for you: what's something that you assumed was true of just about everyone (because it's true of you) that you later realized was actually an unusual or rare attribute?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1875200426867630238","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":59,"retweets":1,"replies":43,"quotes":1,"views":10569,"bookmarks":19,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SpencrGreenberg/status/1875200426867630238"},"1389049985954566147":{"id":"1389049985954566147","date":"2021-05-03 02:51:38","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"People I've learned the most from 🙏❤️\n\n@AgustinLebron3: polymath, pragmatist, first principles thinking\n\n@macrocephalopod: practical quant beautifully explained. Puts wine in blenders.\n\n@darjohn25: carving out a niche & executing\n\n@KrisAbdelmessih: trader smarts. always learning","hashtags":[],"conv":"1389049985954566147","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":80,"retweets":2,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":24,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1389049985954566147"},"1441173726884622348":{"id":"1441173726884622348","date":"2021-09-23 22:52:46","author":"Gavin | Options Trading IQ","handle":"OptiontradinIQ","text":"Feedback on this one please?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1441173726884622348","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":3,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":11,"media":["1441173726884622348_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/OptiontradinIQ/status/1441173726884622348"},"1317117267184881664":{"id":"1317117267184881664","date":"2020-10-16 14:56:42","author":"Stian Westlake","handle":"stianwestlake","text":"What are some dramatic or otherwise interesting specific examples of technical debt?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1317117267184881664","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":2,"replies":22,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/stianwestlake/status/1317117267184881664"},"1324741257558544384":{"id":"1324741257558544384","date":"2020-11-06 15:51:42","author":"Ezra Klein","handle":"ezraklein","text":"Whoa. @imillhiser did some rough math and:\n\nIf Republicans win the GA specials, the Dem Senate *minority* will represent 20 million more people than the GOP majority.\n\nIf Dems win, the Senate will be 50-50, and Dems will represent 41 million more people. https://www.vox.com/2020/11/6/21550979/senate-malapportionment-20-million-democrats-republicans-supreme-court","hashtags":[],"conv":"1324741257558544384","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1324782249607225344","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8817,"retweets":2584,"replies":662,"quotes":831,"views":0,"bookmarks":386,"media":["1324741257558544384_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ezraklein/status/1324741257558544384"},"2064781775247950326":{"id":"2064781775247950326","date":"2026-06-10 18:48:31","author":"Dario Amodei","handle":"DarioAmodei","text":"Today I'm publishing a new essay, Policy on the AI Exponential. AI is progressing extremely fast—much faster than the policy process was built to handle. The essay lays out where I think the technology is now, and the action needed to close the gap: https://darioamodei.com/post/policy-on-the-ai-exponential","hashtags":[],"conv":"2064781775247950326","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13911,"retweets":2496,"replies":1536,"quotes":994,"views":6854344,"bookmarks":11982,"media":["2064781775247950326_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/DarioAmodei/status/2064781775247950326"},"1153652582679797760":{"id":"1153652582679797760","date":"2019-07-23 13:06:24","author":"tylercowen","handle":"tylercowen","text":"Each generation finds the monetary institutions of the past (and the future) unimaginable: https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2019-07-23/bretton-woods-75th-anniversary-expect-the-unexpected","hashtags":[],"conv":"1153652582679797760","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":89,"retweets":25,"replies":5,"quotes":6,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tylercowen/status/1153652582679797760"},"1689285655216480256":{"id":"1689285655216480256","date":"2023-08-09 14:41:00","author":"Dwarkesh Patel","handle":"dwarkesh_sp","text":"What should I ask @3blue1brown?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1689285655216480256","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":260,"retweets":10,"replies":54,"quotes":2,"views":44229,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1689285655216480256"},"1809284971779195061":{"id":"1809284971779195061","date":"2024-07-05 17:55:26","author":"Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼","handle":"Noahpinion","text":"This runs counter to my theory that math anxiety is what's holding Americans back in math...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1809284971779195061","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":227,"retweets":3,"replies":30,"quotes":3,"views":117350,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1809284971779195061"},"1790194880490401795":{"id":"1790194880490401795","date":"2024-05-14 01:38:14","author":"François Chollet","handle":"fchollet","text":"It's amazing to me that the year is 2024 and some people still equate task-specific skill and intelligence. There is *no* specific task that cannot be solved *without* intelligence -- all you need a sufficiently complete description of the task (removing all test-time novelty and uncertainty), and you can achieve arbitrary levels of skills while entirely by-passing the problem of intelligence. In the limit, even a simple hashtable can be superhuman at anything.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1790194880490401795","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1192,"retweets":182,"replies":43,"quotes":34,"views":211002,"bookmarks":545,"media":["1790194880490401795_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/fchollet/status/1790194880490401795"},"1390682637988245512":{"id":"1390682637988245512","date":"2021-05-07 14:59:13","author":"Tyler Copple","handle":"tcopp","text":"@VolQuant @AgustinLebron3 @AgoHen You can, at least locally.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1390654113562648576","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tcopp/status/1390682637988245512"},"1367622381708140546":{"id":"1367622381708140546","date":"2021-03-04 23:45:59","author":"experquisite","handle":"experquisite","text":"Secretly pleased that my old 18v nicad dewalt died because now I can buy a 20v lion dewalt and drill 2021’s four drywall holes with that.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1367622381708140546","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/experquisite/status/1367622381708140546"},"1958329117625204841":{"id":"1958329117625204841","date":"2025-08-21 00:43:40","author":"Gary Basin","handle":"garybasin","text":"I’m 37 years old and still enjoy writing code. Send help","hashtags":[],"conv":"1958329117625204841","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":994,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/garybasin/status/1958329117625204841"},"1435593341274624004":{"id":"1435593341274624004","date":"2021-09-08 13:18:19","author":"Speculator","handle":"TheSpeculator0","text":"mah god that's @matt_levine 's music","hashtags":[],"conv":"1435593341274624004","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":92,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheSpeculator0/status/1435593341274624004"},"1373427747901542402":{"id":"1373427747901542402","date":"2021-03-21 00:14:26","author":"The Moron That Went Short Yet Again.","handle":"mobile_mm","text":"@nope_its_lily I have a different question - if you have a \"quant\" strategy or system that has a positive expectancy why would you trade it with other peoples money? Why give anyone else a cut? Eventually you will become very rich trading your own account. I dont get this.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1373411758849724418","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1373584940567306243","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mobile_mm/status/1373427747901542402"},"1533930221363089409":{"id":"1533930221363089409","date":"2022-06-06 21:53:58","author":"Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️","handle":"bennpeifert","text":"white glove service from @where_is_hardo continues. epic stuff. commissioning his first large-scale artwork on famous hedge fund frauds and blowups","hashtags":[],"conv":"1533930221363089409","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":60,"retweets":1,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1533930221363089409_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bennpeifert/status/1533930221363089409"},"1571677670789742592":{"id":"1571677670789742592","date":"2022-09-19 01:48:51","author":"Chael","handle":"Chaelelo","text":"@nope_its_lily @macropotamus @NewRiverInvest @FREAK0NAUT @AgustinLebron3 @OGTaylorB ty this gives me immeasurable hope. the only thing giving me pause is i defo dont want to be taking material risk in my 30s/40s with a family, but since im not even really interested in trading for the compensation, wouldnt mind paycuts transferring industries","hashtags":[],"conv":"1571636409651580929","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Chaelelo/status/1571677670789742592"},"1524020028798119942":{"id":"1524020028798119942","date":"2022-05-10 13:34:24","author":"LI","handle":"0xljki","text":"Why have prediction markets not taken off in crypto?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1524020028798119942","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":341,"retweets":16,"replies":113,"quotes":14,"views":0,"bookmarks":55,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0xljki/status/1524020028798119942"},"1599176905273798656":{"id":"1599176905273798656","date":"2022-12-03 23:01:00","author":"Hacker News Bot","handle":"newsycombinator","text":"Building a Virtual Machine Inside ChatGPT https://www.engraved.blog/building-a-virtual-machine-inside/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1599176905273798656","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1599417322271551488","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":275,"retweets":61,"replies":12,"quotes":32,"views":0,"bookmarks":52,"media":["1599176905273798656_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/newsycombinator/status/1599176905273798656"},"1234316808141754368":{"id":"1234316808141754368","date":"2020-03-02 03:17:14","author":"Mohamed A. El-Erian","handle":"elerianm","text":"Back to 1.11%. If nothing else, we should view these pre-market fluctuations as a forward indicator of a volatile session on Monday and the immediate future.  #economy #markets #stocks #bonds","hashtags":["economy","markets","stocks","bonds"],"conv":"1234316808141754368","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1234317559274655750","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":131,"retweets":33,"replies":17,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/elerianm/status/1234316808141754368"},"1432736340664365057":{"id":"1432736340664365057","date":"2021-08-31 16:05:37","author":"nihilist trader Le Correl Guy","handle":"NihilistTrader","text":"Guess who's back, back again?\n\nbut - only for super premier diamond triple lizard tier clients\n\nhttps://news.bloomberglaw.com/banking-law/natixis-returning-to-derivatives-at-heart-of-300-million-losses","hashtags":[],"conv":"1432736340664365057","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":34,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/NihilistTrader/status/1432736340664365057"},"1584983687610990592":{"id":"1584983687610990592","date":"2022-10-25 19:02:13","author":"Adam Lane Smith | The Attachment Specialist","handle":"AdamLaneSmith","text":"Studies show the divorce rate increases as a husband approaches equal levels of housework. And 70% of divorces are initiated by women.\n\nWhy are women more likely to divorce a husband who does equal housework?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1584983687610990592","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1585032224147406848","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3360,"retweets":352,"replies":310,"quotes":156,"views":0,"bookmarks":620,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/AdamLaneSmith/status/1584983687610990592"},"1390695801689722882":{"id":"1390695801689722882","date":"2021-05-07 15:51:31","author":"Lou Stagner (Golf Stat Pro)","handle":"LouStagner","text":"They should make wedges with grooves on the hosel. \n\nGive me more control. \n\n#Player","hashtags":["player"],"conv":"1390695801689722882","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":145,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/LouStagner/status/1390695801689722882"},"1806436278067470524":{"id":"1806436278067470524","date":"2024-06-27 21:15:45","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"Correlation between your signal and future returns is an important metric in quant trading. But what is a “good” correlation? Here’s a simple way to think about it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1806436278067470524","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1817911548624474517","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1049,"retweets":102,"replies":10,"quotes":16,"views":212317,"bookmarks":1911,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1806436278067470524"},"1935183355534024704":{"id":"1935183355534024704","date":"2025-06-18 03:50:40","author":"Roman Helmet Guy","handle":"romanhelmetguy","text":"I love the idea of reviving classical education, but let's be serious: Euclid & Archimedes for your math requirements? That's just cargo-culting, adopting the form not the spirit of classical education. If the ancients had modern math textbooks, they would've read them instead.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1935183355534024704","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1935370816964735152","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5045,"retweets":179,"replies":122,"quotes":35,"views":216663,"bookmarks":559,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/romanhelmetguy/status/1935183355534024704"},"1349750282972905472":{"id":"1349750282972905472","date":"2021-01-14 16:08:39","author":"Michael Nielsen","handle":"michael_nielsen","text":"What are the classics of the \"Science of Science\" or \"Meta Science\"? If you were teaching a class on the subject, what would go in the syllabus?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1349750282972905472","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":634,"retweets":105,"replies":88,"quotes":25,"views":0,"bookmarks":442,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/michael_nielsen/status/1349750282972905472"},"1377482535463161856":{"id":"1377482535463161856","date":"2021-04-01 04:46:43","author":"Mitchell Rosenthal","handle":"M1tchRosenthal","text":"Anyone know how to generate a random series, with autocorrelation, in #Python? Previously, I sample floats from a normal dist w positive mean and stdev=Blah, set them = log returns, do (1+e^(logret)).cumprod(). It rises over time but idk if it has autoCorr","hashtags":["python"],"conv":"1377482535463161856","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":17,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/M1tchRosenthal/status/1377482535463161856"},"1488244897463386114":{"id":"1488244897463386114","date":"2022-01-31 20:16:48","author":"José","handle":"jose34730","text":"MEV.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1488244897463386114","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/jose34730/status/1488244897463386114"},"1410034431461634052":{"id":"1410034431461634052","date":"2021-06-30 00:36:20","author":"Yaron (Ron) Minsky","handle":"yminsky","text":"Maybe copilot is just an efficient reification of cargo cult programming? I can see the use-case, but I don't see how it's going to help me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1410034431461634052","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":30,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/yminsky/status/1410034431461634052"},"1632896212939464704":{"id":"1632896212939464704","date":"2023-03-07 00:09:29","author":"experquisite","handle":"experquisite","text":"@abiylfoyp I am a lifelong progressive, and my heart goes out to the poor and homeless families ❤️♥️💙💜 but surely there are other neighborhoods better suited to such a facility, this is a family neighborhood and I don’t think it would fit in. Also, without any prejudice, what about crime?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632893371210448897","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1359,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/experquisite/status/1632896212939464704"},"1789724802124542272":{"id":"1789724802124542272","date":"2024-05-12 18:30:18","author":"Amy Wu Martin","handle":"amywumartin","text":"Heard yesterday from a founder: it costs $200k in salary for an experienced ML eng based in London what it would cost $800k to hire in the Bay","hashtags":[],"conv":"1789724802124542272","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1789783398636036586","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2198,"retweets":75,"replies":98,"quotes":51,"views":743971,"bookmarks":514,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/amywumartin/status/1789724802124542272"},"1783304839662887216":{"id":"1783304839662887216","date":"2024-04-25 01:19:40","author":"peepeepoopoo","handle":"DeepDishEnjoyer","text":"At some point it would be great if all my smart mutuals with kids could just like\n\nTell me what works in a concrete thread covering maybe reading, mathematics, and athletics","hashtags":[],"conv":"1783304839662887216","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":178,"retweets":1,"replies":16,"quotes":1,"views":32042,"bookmarks":101,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/DeepDishEnjoyer/status/1783304839662887216"},"1668169409607729152":{"id":"1668169409607729152","date":"2023-06-12 08:12:34","author":"Naomi Rovnick 歐蜜","handle":"naomi_rovnick","text":"Maths experts: my 9 year old was asking this morning what is Euler and what is a logarithm. Anyone got a child-friendly explanation? (All I can do is vaguely explain compound interest.)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1668169409607729152","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":5674,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/naomi_rovnick/status/1668169409607729152"},"1969770621400998050":{"id":"1969770621400998050","date":"2025-09-21 14:28:07","author":"Goshawk Trades","handle":"GoshawkTrades","text":"Beautifully written blog by @AgustinLebron3.\n\nLove the logo as well.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1969770621400998050","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":2992,"bookmarks":4,"media":["1969770621400998050_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/GoshawkTrades/status/1969770621400998050"},"1190806162687442944":{"id":"1190806162687442944","date":"2019-11-03 01:41:27","author":"Darren r-σ²/2","handle":"ReformedTrader","text":"I ordered the book after listening to this episode.\n...\nBarry Ritholtz interviews the Wall Street Journal's Gregory Zuckerman about his latest book, \"The Man Who Solved the Market: How Jim Simons Launched the Quant Revolution.\"\n...\nhttps://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/gregory-zuckerman-on-the-quant-revolution/id730188152?i=1000455505105","hashtags":[],"conv":"1190806162687442944","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":3,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":["1190806162687442944_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ReformedTrader/status/1190806162687442944"},"1787188664155431143":{"id":"1787188664155431143","date":"2024-05-05 18:32:36","author":"PyQuant News 🐍","handle":"pyquantnews","text":"Want to get into quant finance without a master's?\n\nThere's a lot you can do:\n\n• Network\n• Demo skills\n• Learn Python\n• Find a mentor\n• Build in Public\n• Be an apprentice\n• Trade on your own\n• Work in a related field\n• Start at a tier 2 firm first\n\nJust get started.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1787188664155431143","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1787208174182772907","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":85,"retweets":10,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":69251,"bookmarks":100,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/pyquantnews/status/1787188664155431143"},"1459679046254706688":{"id":"1459679046254706688","date":"2021-11-14 00:26:18","author":"Jordi Alexander","handle":"gametheorizing","text":"Starting a mega-🧵 on life alpha. \n\nInsights that appear when my subconscious is lit up (eg shower thoughts, traveling) will be added periodically as they manifest.\n\nMy goal is to collect the ingredients for making great life decisions, & you are welcome to join for the ride 🚀","hashtags":[],"conv":"1459679046254706688","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2654,"retweets":520,"replies":38,"quotes":31,"views":0,"bookmarks":1847,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/gametheorizing/status/1459679046254706688"},"1949838128526565598":{"id":"1949838128526565598","date":"2025-07-28 14:23:30","author":"Ashlee Vance","handle":"ashleevance","text":"If you can't afford a European vacation, just buy some Nescafe packets, get a single bed with a cover that's too small and leave your shower door open so that water pools on the bathroom floor, and you can have a lot of the experience","hashtags":[],"conv":"1949838128526565598","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5018,"retweets":130,"replies":159,"quotes":25,"views":298419,"bookmarks":393,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ashleevance/status/1949838128526565598"},"1712503703817933264":{"id":"1712503703817933264","date":"2023-10-12 16:21:14","author":"Amjad Masad","handle":"amasad","text":"The fastest most impactful way to accelerate Math and Physics progress: Ban HFT.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1712503703817933264","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1712509678075195902","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2986,"retweets":172,"replies":120,"quotes":85,"views":866729,"bookmarks":267,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/amasad/status/1712503703817933264"},"1676211450929446914":{"id":"1676211450929446914","date":"2023-07-04 12:48:47","author":"experquisite","handle":"experquisite","text":"I know it’s popular to say that live coding/whiteboard interview questions suck, and I agree they are unpleasant to do, but I still feel like they demonstrate some capacity for handling oneself under pressure and collaborating with strangers in stressful situations?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1676211450929446914","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":5684,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/experquisite/status/1676211450929446914"},"1471159840441397250":{"id":"1471159840441397250","date":"2021-12-15 16:46:53","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"I don't get around to watching TV series that much but I have a growing habit of watching YTs of highlights. \n\nLast night watched an hour of Veep reels. \n\nThe Richard Splett character is all-time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471159840441397250","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1471159840441397250"},"1868128894811078818":{"id":"1868128894811078818","date":"2024-12-15 03:00:11","author":"Temu Robot James","handle":"ScottPh77711570","text":"Put simply, I am *not good enough* to trade tradfi and win\n\nCrypto is the trading game on  easy mode\n\nThat's not free, comes with scams, counterparty risk, all kinds of extra risks\n\nWorth it tho","hashtags":[],"conv":"1868128894811078818","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":113,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":19388,"bookmarks":36,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ScottPh77711570/status/1868128894811078818"},"1598532636317814788":{"id":"1598532636317814788","date":"2022-12-02 04:20:54","author":"Alex Nezlobin","handle":"0x94305","text":"If you need a crude method, use this. Because Bayesian updating with normals and Kyle. Or maybe inventory models or \"Kyle Meets Glosten and Milgrom\". Doesn't really matter, all roads lead to linear execution costs","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598532636317814788","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0x94305/status/1598532636317814788"},"1478117539645308930":{"id":"1478117539645308930","date":"2022-01-03 21:34:18","author":"Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️","handle":"bennpeifert","text":"i remember a boss who took our desk's PNL from the first week of january, annualized it, and sent it off to senior management as \"the rate we've seen revenue annualizing for 20xx so far\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1478117539645308930","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":262,"retweets":5,"replies":31,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bennpeifert/status/1478117539645308930"},"1702005678200545783":{"id":"1702005678200545783","date":"2023-09-13 17:05:50","author":"experquisite","handle":"experquisite","text":"so I've used these AI coding tools for a couple of hours now, I don't think they are super awesome, but for $10/mo or whatever, even a 1% productivity boost by avoiding SEO garbage on google dot com is worthwhile, and they'll only get better","hashtags":[],"conv":"1702005678200545783","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2594,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/experquisite/status/1702005678200545783"},"1871557686460125434":{"id":"1871557686460125434","date":"2024-12-24 14:04:58","author":"qm","handle":"quantymacro","text":"thanks all for the support throughout this year! we’ve matched your generous donations and has sent these to the local children’s hospital. hope this partially atones for making the rich richer & being an asshole smartass online. merry xmas from ours to yours ❤️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1871557686460125434","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":131,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":23055,"bookmarks":17,"media":["1871557686460125434_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/quantymacro/status/1871557686460125434"},"1770526728705724585":{"id":"1770526728705724585","date":"2024-03-20 19:04:01","author":"bubble boi","handle":"bubbleboi","text":"I been trying to get rid of a single division for the past seven hours.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1770526728705724585","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1770843200753639730","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":3,"views":401225,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bubbleboi/status/1770526728705724585"},"1847696630507794791":{"id":"1847696630507794791","date":"2024-10-19 17:49:39","author":"ONAN","handle":"ONAN_OUS","text":"Why should junior ppl or college students not talk about their PA trading during interviews? I told a kid not to recently, I had a hard time explaining why","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847696630507794791","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":87,"retweets":1,"replies":23,"quotes":2,"views":35210,"bookmarks":33,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ONAN_OUS/status/1847696630507794791"},"2002461118661263435":{"id":"2002461118661263435","date":"2025-12-20 19:28:29","author":"Bear Market Research","handle":"BMRGlobal","text":"Having Ryan there is like having @SpeakerPelosi there.\n\nWhat an absolute clown show. \n\nMight as well add @MichaelPatak and get his opinion too.\n\n@macrocephalopod and @AgustinLebron3 if you even engage with this nonsense you are doing irreparable damage to your credibility. \n\nThis is embarrassing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2002461118661263435","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":41,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":42059,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/BMRGlobal/status/2002461118661263435"},"1490908144410763267":{"id":"1490908144410763267","date":"2022-02-08 04:39:36","author":"Nate Silver","handle":"NateSilver538","text":"Banning legacy admissions seems like such a layup that it's kind of weird there's not more of a consensus against it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1490908144410763267","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5142,"retweets":228,"replies":333,"quotes":143,"views":0,"bookmarks":60,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1490908144410763267"},"1392490751758581764":{"id":"1392490751758581764","date":"2021-05-12 14:44:01","author":"Inquisitive Bird","handle":"Scientific_Bird","text":"What is the ugliest species of animal?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1392490751758581764","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":31,"retweets":1,"replies":54,"quotes":5,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Scientific_Bird/status/1392490751758581764"},"1851318183401271638":{"id":"1851318183401271638","date":"2024-10-29 17:40:25","author":"λux","handle":"novasarc01","text":"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1851318183401271638","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1851536260890030081","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1299,"retweets":38,"replies":23,"quotes":24,"views":750269,"bookmarks":440,"media":["1851318183401271638_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/novasarc01/status/1851318183401271638"},"1793739337365848137":{"id":"1793739337365848137","date":"2024-05-23 20:22:38","author":"Brett Harrison","handle":"BrettHarrison","text":"I was not paid $16M and I didn’t enter into any “settlement” apart from my exit agreement. Both of these facts are verifiable. I was permitted to keep a portion of my equity in the company upon leaving, and my exit agreement included standard non-disparagement and non-disclosure provisions. Even if the equity hadn’t become worthless in November 2022, I wouldn’t have been permitted to sell it on the secondary market until the end of December due to the SEC-mandated cooling-off period for executives.\n\nAs I have discussed publicly dozens of times over the last two years, the concerns I raised and that are referenced in this report pertained to the management of the company and its ability to meet its representations to investors given the deep organizational dysfunction I witnessed, not criminal activity. Many of the posts I see about this are conspiratorial and wholly inaccurate, welcome to X.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1793739337365848137","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":163,"retweets":12,"replies":11,"quotes":6,"views":54865,"bookmarks":24,"media":["1793739337365848137_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/BrettHarrison/status/1793739337365848137"},"1793776781536973171":{"id":"1793776781536973171","date":"2024-05-23 22:51:26","author":"Nat Friedman","handle":"natfriedman","text":"Where are you getting your dopamine this week?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1793776781536973171","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":495,"retweets":18,"replies":227,"quotes":22,"views":325983,"bookmarks":89,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/natfriedman/status/1793776781536973171"},"1629971002116513793":{"id":"1629971002116513793","date":"2023-02-26 22:25:44","author":"Joel Rubano","handle":"TCK_JRubano","text":"For the poker players - How much do you think you could make per year assuming a $100k bankroll, your choice of game(s), and an ability to focus 100% of your attention toward preparing & playing?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1629971002116513793","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":12,"quotes":0,"views":16545,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TCK_JRubano/status/1629971002116513793"},"1717205129139564728":{"id":"1717205129139564728","date":"2023-10-25 15:43:01","author":"Senior PowerPoint Engineer","handle":"ryxcommar","text":"Nobody knows what an eigenvalue is. I recently asked one of the world's top experts on eigenvalues what an eigenvalue is and he said \"It's a scaling factor\" and he refused to elaborate further.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1717205129139564728","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1188,"retweets":51,"replies":86,"quotes":37,"views":177168,"bookmarks":75,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ryxcommar/status/1717205129139564728"},"1280148751072595970":{"id":"1280148751072595970","date":"2020-07-06 14:37:00","author":"Eric Jorgenson 📚 ☀️","handle":"EricJorgenson","text":"School: Asking other people for the answers is cheating.\n\nLife: Asking other people for the answers is a superpower.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1280148751072595970","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3582,"retweets":630,"replies":46,"quotes":62,"views":0,"bookmarks":171,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/EricJorgenson/status/1280148751072595970"},"1396244856624730113":{"id":"1396244856624730113","date":"2021-05-22 23:21:29","author":"Eliezer Yudkowsky ⏹️","handle":"ESYudkowsky","text":"Vader's management methodology - eg executing Captain Needa, the best officer we saw on screen, who accepted responsibility to protect his soldiers - makes more sense once you realize that Anakin hates his life, hates himself, hates the Emperor, and wants the Empire to fail.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1396244856624730113","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":218,"retweets":3,"replies":7,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ESYudkowsky/status/1396244856624730113"},"1763679283656949790":{"id":"1763679283656949790","date":"2024-03-01 21:34:43","author":"Peter McCormack 🏴‍☠️🇬🇧🇮🇪","handle":"PeterMcCormack","text":"Okay, so what you mean is you have zero conviction behind your claims regarding #bitcoin and have shit yourself when someone was willing to bet you. \n\nI tell you what, let’s up the odds. I’ll give you 5-1…so, if #bitcoin hits $100k this year you own me $20k, if it doesn’t I’ll pay you $100k.\n\nReady or are your nuts still shrinking?","hashtags":["bitcoin","bitcoin"],"conv":"1763679283656949790","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1764385249377583333","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2120,"retweets":82,"replies":285,"quotes":96,"views":1016202,"bookmarks":67,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/PeterMcCormack/status/1763679283656949790"},"1679245181785374720":{"id":"1679245181785374720","date":"2023-07-12 21:43:44","author":"DenchikXBT","handle":"Denniska_1","text":"Almost done reading the book \"the laws of trading\" by @AgustinLebron3. Such an amazing book. I wish I've read this 5 yrs ago. And thanks to @therobotjames mentioning it. It's legit like a quanty type of book (imo) helps you think outside the box for ideas, fee structures,etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1679245181785374720","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":235,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Denniska_1/status/1679245181785374720"},"1806164045554167820":{"id":"1806164045554167820","date":"2024-06-27 03:14:00","author":"arb8020","handle":"arb8020","text":"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A1TVsm3xfDk\n\nbased","hashtags":[],"conv":"1806164045554167820","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":1460,"bookmarks":10,"media":["1806164045554167820_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/arb8020/status/1806164045554167820"},"1851536260890030081":{"id":"1851536260890030081","date":"2024-10-30 08:06:59","author":"ekri","handle":"ekrii3","text":"9/10 times you see handwriting like this you just know absolutely nothing is being retained","hashtags":[],"conv":"1851536260890030081","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10548,"retweets":401,"replies":160,"quotes":90,"views":697230,"bookmarks":1163,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ekrii3/status/1851536260890030081"},"1330359999302828032":{"id":"1330359999302828032","date":"2020-11-22 03:58:35","author":"Adam Draper ⏻","handle":"AdamDraper","text":"Best super power to have\n\n(Wrong answers only)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1330359999302828032","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":2,"replies":40,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/AdamDraper/status/1330359999302828032"},"1706686836809007378":{"id":"1706686836809007378","date":"2023-09-26 15:07:05","author":"Matt Bateman","handle":"mbateman","text":"“What was the point of life? I asked myself. After a good deal of thought I decided that the point was to be happy. I consider this obvious to the point of triviality, except that I’m always running into people who can’t believe I’m serious.”\n\nVirginia Valian","hashtags":[],"conv":"1706686836809007378","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":3,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":2290,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mbateman/status/1706686836809007378"},"1501341286627872773":{"id":"1501341286627872773","date":"2022-03-08 23:37:10","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"@nope_its_lily Did you not get the memo Lily?\n\nPandas is terrible","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501312622603358209","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1501341286627872773"},"1517542537552138241":{"id":"1517542537552138241","date":"2022-04-22 16:35:10","author":"\"Leigh Marie\" Braswell","handle":"LM_Braswell","text":"Would love to hear about your b2b SaaS startup in the middle of a party 🙋🏻‍♀️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1517542537552138241","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":279,"retweets":4,"replies":22,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/LM_Braswell/status/1517542537552138241"},"1646275025509527553":{"id":"1646275025509527553","date":"2023-04-12 22:12:07","author":"experquisite","handle":"experquisite","text":"\"The unique features of our quantitative trading firm are that we have the best team in the world, that we process huge data sets, and that we have strict latency requirements on our colocated software.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1646275025509527553","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":34,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":8920,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/experquisite/status/1646275025509527553"},"1765777065914122601":{"id":"1765777065914122601","date":"2024-03-07 16:30:33","author":"Olivia Beavers","handle":"Olivia_Beavers","text":"Looks like TikTok is going on the offensive, asking its users to call members on the E&C committee to “stop a TikTok shutdown”","hashtags":[],"conv":"1765777065914122601","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1765824168916865227","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":645,"retweets":141,"replies":79,"quotes":270,"views":2276056,"bookmarks":125,"media":["1765777065914122601_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Olivia_Beavers/status/1765777065914122601"},"1497722429505818624":{"id":"1497722429505818624","date":"2022-02-26 23:57:08","author":"Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️","handle":"bennpeifert","text":"there is only one thing 4yo kids want and it is whatever the 6yo happens to be playing with or on at that exact moment","hashtags":[],"conv":"1497722429505818624","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":192,"retweets":4,"replies":13,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bennpeifert/status/1497722429505818624"},"1604022618431971329":{"id":"1604022618431971329","date":"2022-12-17 07:56:08","author":"typedfemale","handle":"typedfemale","text":"such a bizarre cover","hashtags":[],"conv":"1604022618431971329","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":108,"retweets":4,"replies":13,"quotes":0,"views":9721,"bookmarks":9,"media":["1604022618431971329_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/typedfemale/status/1604022618431971329"},"1507201055964155905":{"id":"1507201055964155905","date":"2022-03-25 03:41:48","author":"Ethan Mollick","handle":"emollick","text":"Most people think their jobs are useful, only 8% of workers consider their jobs \"socially useless.\" But there is variation:\n100% useful: 👨‍🚒👮‍♀️👩‍⚕️plus librarians, social workers & clergy\nUnder 90% (but higher than 80%) useful: Food prep, sales, IT, economists https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3162569","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507201055964155905","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":66,"retweets":12,"replies":5,"quotes":8,"views":0,"bookmarks":16,"media":["1507201055964155905_1.jpg","1507201055964155905_2.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/emollick/status/1507201055964155905"},"1912576933013123082":{"id":"1912576933013123082","date":"2025-04-16 18:40:49","author":"Ege Erdil","handle":"EgeErdil2","text":"i don't think AI has solved math","hashtags":[],"conv":"1912576933013123082","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":225,"retweets":3,"replies":11,"quotes":0,"views":17138,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/EgeErdil2/status/1912576933013123082"},"1436065162218262533":{"id":"1436065162218262533","date":"2021-09-09 20:33:10","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"@lightspringfox @AgustinLebron3 They don't know it yet, but these kids will one day spend all their time racing to be first in line when TAS opens","hashtags":[],"conv":"1436047232327831580","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1436065162218262533"},"1347964279966756867":{"id":"1347964279966756867","date":"2021-01-09 17:51:42","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"Yesterday's Money Stuff was all around 🔥\n\nhttps://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-01-08/spac-magic-isn-t-free","hashtags":[],"conv":"1347964279966756867","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1347964279966756867"},"1820536784935428226":{"id":"1820536784935428226","date":"2024-08-05 19:06:08","author":"Gappy (Giuseppe Paleologo)","handle":"__paleologo","text":"The DJIA, a poorly designed index if ever there was one, is still being mentioned in journal headlines (the one below is from @WSJ). It's a beautiful illustration of the bullshit asymmetry principle. We are cursed with perpetuating bad habits.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1820536784935428226","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":100,"retweets":2,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":9491,"bookmarks":12,"media":["1820536784935428226_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/__paleologo/status/1820536784935428226"},"1931483014468362345":{"id":"1931483014468362345","date":"2025-06-07 22:46:50","author":"Loris","handle":"0xLoris","text":"import pandas as np\nimport numpy as pd","hashtags":[],"conv":"1931483014468362345","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":376,"retweets":15,"replies":35,"quotes":7,"views":39223,"bookmarks":24,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0xLoris/status/1931483014468362345"},"1631381588209442822":{"id":"1631381588209442822","date":"2023-03-02 19:50:54","author":"Alec Stapp","handle":"AlecStapp","text":"@abiylfoyp has anyone written a critique/analysis of Huberman yet? \n\n(I'm agnostic on him)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1631371512023228426","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":2621,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/AlecStapp/status/1631381588209442822"},"1881737636941070715":{"id":"1881737636941070715","date":"2025-01-21 16:16:28","author":"Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️","handle":"bennpeifert","text":"Top equity derivatives trading strategy call this morning\n \n- Trump headlines going to dominate price action but lack of day-1 tariffs and potential lack of universal tariffs are a stabilizing force\n\n- Street is very long gamma and see realized vol suppression locally","hashtags":[],"conv":"1881737636941070715","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":249,"retweets":10,"replies":4,"quotes":2,"views":46556,"bookmarks":91,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bennpeifert/status/1881737636941070715"},"1434613885466730500":{"id":"1434613885466730500","date":"2021-09-05 20:26:18","author":"Patrick OShaughnessy","handle":"patrick_oshag","text":"This series is an absolute mind bender. \n\nWhat if the obesity epidemic (which has accelerated) is entirely caused by human synthesized compounds and has nothing to do with diet, carbs, sugar, fat, calories or anything else we turn to for weight loss?\n\nhttps://slimemoldtimemold.com/2021/07/07/a-chemical-hunger-part-i-mysteries/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434613885466730500","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1434623665694461961","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2654,"retweets":378,"replies":266,"quotes":127,"views":0,"bookmarks":1244,"media":["1434613885466730500_1.jpg","1434613885466730500_2.jpg","1434613885466730500_3.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/patrick_oshag/status/1434613885466730500"},"1248024869234544641":{"id":"1248024869234544641","date":"2020-04-08 23:08:10","author":"Meb Faber","handle":"MebFaber","text":"Odd you can't just scan/upload all your tax documents and let the software compile the filing for you.  How is that not a thing in 2020?\n\n(And if it is, please let me know)\n\nbiz idea: free tax software that would audit your last 3 years of returns and only charge a finders fee.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1248024869234544641","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":91,"retweets":1,"replies":14,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/MebFaber/status/1248024869234544641"},"1864342613593104563":{"id":"1864342613593104563","date":"2024-12-04 16:14:51","author":"James Clear","handle":"JamesClear","text":"What is one sentence that has stayed with you after reading it?\n\n(Bonus points for including the source.)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1864342613593104563","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4854,"retweets":443,"replies":1809,"quotes":313,"views":1305978,"bookmarks":5008,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/JamesClear/status/1864342613593104563"},"1255122735782670336":{"id":"1255122735782670336","date":"2020-04-28 13:12:33","author":"Euan Sinclair","handle":"SinclairEuan","text":"So you're a trader who thinks the fed isn't allowing markets to \"function normally\"?\n\nWell I hope you are trading what is happening, not what you think should be happening.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1255122735782670336","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":136,"retweets":11,"replies":6,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SinclairEuan/status/1255122735782670336"},"1534021832289898496":{"id":"1534021832289898496","date":"2022-06-07 03:58:00","author":"François Chollet","handle":"fchollet","text":"Some say that most devs only find imperative languages intuitive because that's what everybody learns, and find Prolog weird because they're not used to it. I think it's the reverse: imperative languages became mainstream because they better fit our natural thinking processes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1534021832289898496","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":170,"retweets":11,"replies":19,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/fchollet/status/1534021832289898496"},"1697326771463410043":{"id":"1697326771463410043","date":"2023-08-31 19:13:31","author":"noah","handle":"nkreu113r","text":"I love it when companies hire by just giving you a project after a resume screen, and if you do well on the project they fast track you through the interviews. \n\nThis seems strictly superior to both:\n\na) timed tests and\nb) normal interviews","hashtags":[],"conv":"1697326771463410043","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":540,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/nkreu113r/status/1697326771463410043"},"1302199207844024321":{"id":"1302199207844024321","date":"2020-09-05 10:57:39","author":"Phil Bak","handle":"philbak1","text":"The Masayoshi Son trade proves what experienced traders have known for years: stock market liquidity is a thin veneer and large players can push the market in any direction they choose.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1302199207844024321","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":49,"retweets":6,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/philbak1/status/1302199207844024321"},"1436106099489337348":{"id":"1436106099489337348","date":"2021-09-09 23:15:50","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"Y'all be like \"Hey James. Check out these awesome latency optimizations I did for a tiny uptick in rebates!\"\n\nI'm like \"I'd really love to but I've got stuff to do. I'm very busy buying Bitcoin every Monday, Wednesday and Friday.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1436106099489337348","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":116,"retweets":13,"replies":8,"quotes":5,"views":0,"bookmarks":27,"media":["1436106099489337348_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1436106099489337348"},"1725267569836191936":{"id":"1725267569836191936","date":"2023-11-16 21:40:17","author":"Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️","handle":"choffstein","text":"“this strategy isn’t obviously dumb” might be the kindest thing that was said to me all day.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1725267569836191936","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":134,"retweets":5,"replies":15,"quotes":0,"views":19168,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/choffstein/status/1725267569836191936"},"1224799246437748737":{"id":"1224799246437748737","date":"2020-02-04 20:57:50","author":"Ramp Capital","handle":"RampCapitalLLC","text":"If you liked $TSLA at 970 10 minutes ago you should LOVE it at $870 right now","hashtags":[],"conv":"1224799246437748737","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2052,"retweets":170,"replies":72,"quotes":17,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/RampCapitalLLC/status/1224799246437748737"},"1480735900606689280":{"id":"1480735900606689280","date":"2022-01-11 02:58:44","author":"Robert","handle":"LacertaXG1","text":"1/3 I've really tried to like some of the modern python data viz libraries (e.g plotly express and altair) but I keep crawling back to matplotlib/seaborn. My data is not always in the tidy format and I don't want to reshape it to make a plot!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1480735900606689280","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/LacertaXG1/status/1480735900606689280"},"1952411665469001748":{"id":"1952411665469001748","date":"2025-08-04 16:49:49","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"\"Do I charge your car or write Junior's stupid catcher in the rye book report?\"\n\n-- the invisible hand","hashtags":[],"conv":"1952411665469001748","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":4277,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1952411665469001748"},"1477041839978913792":{"id":"1477041839978913792","date":"2021-12-31 22:19:51","author":"Dave White","handle":"_Dave__White_","text":"how are you spending nye?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477041839978913792","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":34,"retweets":0,"replies":26,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/_Dave__White_/status/1477041839978913792"},"1417599203275120642":{"id":"1417599203275120642","date":"2021-07-20 21:36:02","author":"M Lebon","handle":"LongTplexTrader","text":"Yo Twitter. This is my youngest.  He asked me if he could post a question to my stream.  We have told him one thing but I ask you heavy hitters in finance to give some input if you can.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1417599203275120642","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":68,"retweets":3,"replies":64,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/LongTplexTrader/status/1417599203275120642"},"1206750897881133057":{"id":"1206750897881133057","date":"2019-12-17 01:40:09","author":"Balaji","handle":"balajis","text":"Imagine launching your software company by distributing shrink-wrapped CDs. That might have been a good path 25 years ago, but is no longer the best option.\n\nSo too with college.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1206750897881133057","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":140,"retweets":13,"replies":7,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1206750897881133057"},"1773153388504453245":{"id":"1773153388504453245","date":"2024-03-28 01:01:26","author":"alz","handle":"alz_zyd_","text":"I'll be honest I did not expect that the machines would start thinking and the humans would more or less just ignore the rather obvious fact that the machines are thinking","hashtags":[],"conv":"1773153388504453245","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1773340232114463006","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1322,"retweets":99,"replies":147,"quotes":56,"views":204173,"bookmarks":153,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/alz_zyd_/status/1773153388504453245"},"1980665041394520251":{"id":"1980665041394520251","date":"2025-10-21 15:58:39","author":"Ven","handle":"edgefills","text":"Took me a solid 30 seconds to realize this was about food","hashtags":[],"conv":"1980665041394520251","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":666,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1980665041394520251_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/edgefills/status/1980665041394520251"},"1950957605503025183":{"id":"1950957605503025183","date":"2025-07-31 16:31:54","author":"Cirrus","handle":"CirrusNFT","text":"Thanks Robinhood I really appreciate that","hashtags":[],"conv":"1950957605503025183","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1951051428669301183","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2650,"retweets":42,"replies":261,"quotes":17,"views":197006,"bookmarks":84,"media":["1950957605503025183_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/CirrusNFT/status/1950957605503025183"},"1505193329390067718":{"id":"1505193329390067718","date":"2022-03-19 14:43:49","author":"Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️","handle":"bennpeifert","text":"the answer to a third of my dm's","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505193329390067718","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":784,"retweets":55,"replies":28,"quotes":5,"views":0,"bookmarks":62,"media":["1505193329390067718_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bennpeifert/status/1505193329390067718"},"1642284587064918016":{"id":"1642284587064918016","date":"2023-04-01 21:55:32","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"People keep telling me to try kotlin. \n\nWhat are the advantages over writing Java like a normal person?\n\nI imagine it has nicer syntax but all the tools work less good?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1642284587064918016","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":46,"retweets":1,"replies":20,"quotes":0,"views":26384,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1642284587064918016"},"1443631980931911683":{"id":"1443631980931911683","date":"2021-09-30 17:41:00","author":"Doug Colkitt","handle":"0xdoug","text":"Holy shit. I just realized that when you auto complete `git add` it only lists files with unstaged commits. git's CLI interface never fails to delight in unexpected ways.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443631980931911683","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0xdoug/status/1443631980931911683"},"1297949148121989121":{"id":"1297949148121989121","date":"2020-08-24 17:29:26","author":"Liz","handle":"Lizquidity","text":"Does anyone know any good resources about game design?\n\nI don’t mean about coding or whatever; I mean designing engaging mechanics to make a game enjoyable.\n\nStrong believer in gamification for learning and feel like it’d be cool skill to learn.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1297949148121989121","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":1,"replies":15,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Lizquidity/status/1297949148121989121"},"1917399773293826444":{"id":"1917399773293826444","date":"2025-04-30 02:05:04","author":"nic carter","handle":"nic_carter","text":"They should be concerned. The job of a junior consultant / investment banker is to do proof of work; basically to do busy work to demonstrate to the client that the firm is incurring cost in a kind of perverse labor theory of value way. AI is like the discovery of a vastly more efficient way to do the hash function; it makes the PoW signal unreliable because it can be forged. Even if a firm doesn’t use AI they plausibly could have. The “busy work” isn’t so busy. The consulting firms can dispense with the theater and vastly cut down the number of analysts needed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1917399773293826444","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":659,"retweets":44,"replies":47,"quotes":7,"views":144294,"bookmarks":204,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/nic_carter/status/1917399773293826444"},"1277631238182854656":{"id":"1277631238182854656","date":"2020-06-29 15:53:19","author":"Venkatesh Rao ☀️","handle":"vgr","text":"Interesting NYT choice to paywall this op-ed 😄. It’s a stop-loss op-ed. I canceled a few months ago after nearly 2-3 years of steadily growing dissatisfaction.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1277631238182854656","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":88,"retweets":7,"replies":6,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1277631238182854656_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/vgr/status/1277631238182854656"},"1471637404134088712":{"id":"1471637404134088712","date":"2021-12-17 00:24:33","author":"Robin Hanson","handle":"robinhanson","text":"If only we could coordinate to get ~1M cryonics customers, to most a pleasant immorality would be cheaper than a typical funeral. We don't have to die. https://www.overcomingbias.com/2021/12/we-dont-have-to-die.html","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471637404134088712","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":103,"retweets":13,"replies":11,"quotes":5,"views":0,"bookmarks":18,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/robinhanson/status/1471637404134088712"},"1271988426632388608":{"id":"1271988426632388608","date":"2020-06-14 02:10:47","author":"Suhail","handle":"Suhail","text":"Looking for any great book recommendations on the history of well designed products or game design. I prefer stories/history. \n\nSearching for inspiration. \n\nIf I pick your recommendation, I'll buy you a book back.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1271988426632388608","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":899,"retweets":84,"replies":182,"quotes":15,"views":0,"bookmarks":734,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Suhail/status/1271988426632388608"},"1163925093069705216":{"id":"1163925093069705216","date":"2019-08-20 21:25:41","author":"Meb Faber","handle":"MebFaber","text":"This hits a little too close to home...\n\nAlmost 5 years ago we launched a low cost allocation ETF that I thought would disrupt the entire trillion $ buy and hold asset management biz. \n\nDidn't happen.   \n\nI'm still optimistic we're just early...but complex and costly reign.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1163925093069705216","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":114,"retweets":8,"replies":11,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/MebFaber/status/1163925093069705216"},"1501172120503689218":{"id":"1501172120503689218","date":"2022-03-08 12:24:58","author":"Kento Inami","handle":"KentoInami","text":"At this point,I don’t see how credibly neutral dexes don’t win out","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501172120503689218","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":30,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KentoInami/status/1501172120503689218"},"1394737725576679425":{"id":"1394737725576679425","date":"2021-05-18 19:32:41","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"This update to the discussion on autocallables is outstanding. Discussion of structural dynamics and how the reach for yield in Asia spills over globally. \n\nI remember it creating the rare easy trade in late 2018 (sorry 🤐)\n\nNice interview @Dcurnutt\n\nhttps://alphaexchange.simplecast.com/episodes/andrew-scott-partner-head-of-client-solutions-bach-option-ltd","hashtags":[],"conv":"1394737725576679425","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":28,"retweets":3,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1394737725576679425"},"1427754816982294531":{"id":"1427754816982294531","date":"2021-08-17 22:10:49","author":"Dave White","handle":"_Dave__White_","text":"@Mephisto731 @bennpeifert @AgustinLebron3 @sks01119 @danrobinson @snarkyzk @andrewjleone @AlexisGauba @aparnalocked @opyn_ i don't believe that's the case -- you can replicate the whole thing statically with options, which shouldn't behave that way","hashtags":[],"conv":"1427652305009004545","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/_Dave__White_/status/1427754816982294531"},"1529967639094624256":{"id":"1529967639094624256","date":"2022-05-26 23:28:05","author":"Chris Kavanagh","handle":"C_Kavanagh","text":"Maybe Peterson just isn’t that smart. Like maybe he’s actually a bad thinker.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529967639094624256","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":185,"retweets":7,"replies":18,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/C_Kavanagh/status/1529967639094624256"},"1599417322271551488":{"id":"1599417322271551488","date":"2022-12-04 14:56:20","author":"Alex Tabarrok","handle":"ATabarrok","text":"And thus consciousness was born.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1599417322271551488","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ATabarrok/status/1599417322271551488"},"1275764989723377664":{"id":"1275764989723377664","date":"2020-06-24 12:17:30","author":"Ross Douthat","handle":"DouthatNYT","text":"Trump just needs the undecideds to break his way.\nhttps://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/24/us/politics/trump-biden-poll-nyt-upshot-siena-college.html?action=click&module=Top%20Stories&pgtype=Homepage","hashtags":[],"conv":"1275764989723377664","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":271,"retweets":17,"replies":34,"quotes":7,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/DouthatNYT/status/1275764989723377664"},"1501795637192441860":{"id":"1501795637192441860","date":"2022-03-10 05:42:36","author":"π* | ¤","handle":"totlsota","text":"@nope_its_lily @FREAK0NAUT @AgustinLebron3 @be20684347 @M1tchRosenthal @therobotjames I found summary metrics of columns of corr mats more easy to reason about / find use for  (I think we post exchanged on that at some point). I’ve been unsuccessful at an matrix correlation summery that ever .. maybe matched my biases … 🤔.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/totlsota/status/1501795637192441860"},"1877371514657333253":{"id":"1877371514657333253","date":"2025-01-09 15:07:03","author":"Jeff Sackmann","handle":"tennisabstract","text":"The future of tennis is here - my mentions are now entirely in Portuguese","hashtags":[],"conv":"1877371514657333253","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":85,"retweets":2,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":5481,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tennisabstract/status/1877371514657333253"},"1732097293686354262":{"id":"1732097293686354262","date":"2023-12-05 17:59:10","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"I find that people (even quants) often haven’t spent much time thinking about time series filters so facts like the below are often non-obvious.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1732097293686354262","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":203,"retweets":10,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":52024,"bookmarks":167,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1732097293686354262"},"1304785565754306560":{"id":"1304785565754306560","date":"2020-09-12 14:14:55","author":"Vinayak Pathak","handle":"OneBigOh","text":"@VitruviusCurve I think the intention is to screen for “raw smarts”. Whether these tests do that or not is debatable. Curious to hear @AgustinLebron3 ‘s view on this too","hashtags":[],"conv":"1304771065537847305","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/OneBigOh/status/1304785565754306560"},"1419065414768676869":{"id":"1419065414768676869","date":"2021-07-24 22:42:14","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"Trading in a nutshell 👇\n\nTry not to be too impressed with yourself. Or think you can be precise about any of it. \n\nIt's a game of sitting in roughly the right place at the right time and accepting outcome variance.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1419065414768676869","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":199,"retweets":26,"replies":8,"quotes":6,"views":0,"bookmarks":44,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1419065414768676869"},"1673849147861143554":{"id":"1673849147861143554","date":"2023-06-28 00:21:50","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"threads about trading books are popular.\n\nbut the problem with them is that nearly all trading books are very bad.\n\njust read agustin's book and get down to work.\n\nhttps://www.amazon.com.au/Laws-Trading-Traders-Decision-Making-Everyone/dp/1119574218","hashtags":[],"conv":"1673849147861143554","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":431,"retweets":34,"replies":24,"quotes":1,"views":76626,"bookmarks":464,"media":["1673849147861143554_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1673849147861143554"},"1712953337463570772":{"id":"1712953337463570772","date":"2023-10-13 22:07:55","author":"Formula δ1","handle":"FormulaDeltaOne","text":"All three of the fraudsters from Alameda/FTX - Sam n1, Sam n2, Caroline say the word “like” in speech as almost every third word in every sentence and it somehow really grinds my gears.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1712953337463570772","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":4220,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/FormulaDeltaOne/status/1712953337463570772"},"1785303373547229479":{"id":"1785303373547229479","date":"2024-04-30 13:41:08","author":"Gary Basin","handle":"garybasin","text":"Otoh I can’t think of a single good podcast which does deep dives for a technical audience into newest AI papers… seems like a gaping hole. Maybe useless for frontier labs for everyone else may find it interesting","hashtags":[],"conv":"1785303373547229479","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":3832,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/garybasin/status/1785303373547229479"},"1417100109578489856":{"id":"1417100109578489856","date":"2021-07-19 12:32:49","author":"Speculator","handle":"TheSpeculator0","text":"i can't believe shorting skew by selling a bunch of puts at vol 14 isn't working","hashtags":[],"conv":"1417100109578489856","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":76,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheSpeculator0/status/1417100109578489856"},"1763281553684402249":{"id":"1763281553684402249","date":"2024-02-29 19:14:17","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"I don't have the derivation here but this post can help you get a numerical intuition for the drag. \n\nIt was one of my favorite to write (I can remember working it out on a plane ride)\n\nhttps://moontowermeta.com/solving-a-compounding-riddle-with-black-scholes/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1763281553684402249","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":10414,"bookmarks":32,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1763281553684402249"},"1139112583997272066":{"id":"1139112583997272066","date":"2019-06-13 10:09:38","author":"Patrick Collison","handle":"patrickc","text":"Some day, AI will get so advanced that Google Docs will *automatically* switch to the account has access to the document.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1139112583997272066","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1139153463378632704","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9143,"retweets":1182,"replies":133,"quotes":239,"views":0,"bookmarks":43,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/patrickc/status/1139112583997272066"},"1397348240559796225":{"id":"1397348240559796225","date":"2021-05-26 00:25:56","author":"Venkatesh Rao ☀️","handle":"vgr","text":"Found an identity test in the wild. These chips are in a $13.99 assortment kit. How many can you identify?\n\nMe: 1/13\n\n- LM324\n- LM358\n- LM386\n- LM393\n- NE5532\n- NE555\n- PC817\n- ULN2003\n- ULN2803\n- ICL7660S\n- JRC4558\n- LM339\n- TDA2030AN\n- TDA2822D\n- PT2399\n- UC3842AN\n- UC3843AN","hashtags":[],"conv":"1397348240559796225","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":13,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/vgr/status/1397348240559796225"},"1829282479498514873":{"id":"1829282479498514873","date":"2024-08-29 22:18:24","author":"Casey Handmer","handle":"CJHandmer","text":"Check out my new multi tool.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1829282479498514873","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":110,"retweets":1,"replies":21,"quotes":1,"views":9893,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1829282479498514873_1.jpg","1829282479498514873_2.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/CJHandmer/status/1829282479498514873"},"1441773500838993920":{"id":"1441773500838993920","date":"2021-09-25 14:36:04","author":"Laura 🌲 ⛰️","handle":"LauraDeming","text":"Is it obvious from an evolutionary perspective that organs should have evolved to be amenable to transplant?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1441773500838993920","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":85,"retweets":0,"replies":31,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/LauraDeming/status/1441773500838993920"},"1647384602338525193":{"id":"1647384602338525193","date":"2023-04-15 23:41:10","author":"Perry E. Metzger","handle":"perrymetzger","text":"Zoning and development restrictions are a plague that has impoverished people for most of a century, forcing them to live in far more expensive housing and commute long and unpleasant distances to work. It’s astonishing to me that people accept them as natural and inevitable.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1647384602338525193","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":40,"retweets":5,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":7184,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/perrymetzger/status/1647384602338525193"},"1744723795414515915":{"id":"1744723795414515915","date":"2024-01-09 14:12:22","author":"Michael Green","handle":"profplum99","text":"Just a reminder that if Trump wins and appoints Vivek to anything, he'll get to sell his remaining appreciated $ROIV tax-free. Makes an unsuccessful $10MM campaign cheap.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1744723795414515915","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":266,"retweets":30,"replies":26,"quotes":7,"views":123121,"bookmarks":35,"media":["1744723795414515915_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/profplum99/status/1744723795414515915"},"1682071976762916864":{"id":"1682071976762916864","date":"2023-07-20 16:56:25","author":"ZeroToTom","handle":"zerototom","text":"i underline & highlight every book that I read. \n\noccasionally though, a book is so good that it even pains me to “vandalise” it.\n\nthat can be said for both of these books.\n\nhighly recommend both of these to all traders and investors alike, despite your chosen styles or preferences there is much to be learned from both.\n\nalso recommend following the authors @AgustinLebron3 @CREAMtrader too and listen to their podcast and YouTube interviews.\n\nhappy reading.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1682071976762916864","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":99,"retweets":9,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":39529,"bookmarks":167,"media":["1682071976762916864_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/zerototom/status/1682071976762916864"},"1584652209526304769":{"id":"1584652209526304769","date":"2022-10-24 21:05:02","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"What's the best ELI5 post/video explaining how Black/Scholes were able to make the assumption that the risk-free rate should be used to discount option payoff?\n\nTIA","hashtags":[],"conv":"1584652209526304769","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":1,"replies":18,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1584652209526304769"},"1692495970007728146":{"id":"1692495970007728146","date":"2023-08-18 11:17:38","author":"Joel Rubano","handle":"TCK_JRubano","text":"In lieu of a Follower Friday post I’d like to recommend a few content creators on the platform distinguishing themselves making trading-related podcasts, blogs, videos, threads & courses. Their work is a vital resource to any aspiring trader & sets a standard for quality that other creators (myself included) strive to match.\n\n@therobotjames\n@KrisAbdelmessih\n@Michigandolf\n@Ksidiii\n@macrocephalopod\n@Gingfacekillah\n@darjohn25\n@AgustinLebron3\n@SinclairEuan\n@AnyonCurve\n@TheFlowHorse\n@choffstein","hashtags":[],"conv":"1692495970007728146","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":9298,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TCK_JRubano/status/1692495970007728146"},"1450962362291290121":{"id":"1450962362291290121","date":"2021-10-20 23:09:19","author":"Trading Boxes📦","handle":"Trading_Boxes","text":"Anyone know of a good app for historical option prices?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1450962362291290121","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":29,"retweets":1,"replies":14,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Trading_Boxes/status/1450962362291290121"},"1197554828488036352":{"id":"1197554828488036352","date":"2019-11-21 16:38:15","author":"Wayne Himelsein","handle":"WayneHimelsein","text":"Fat tails are said to have \"infinite variance\" which sounds so ominous and foreboding. In reality, we of course can't have infinite downside, nor lose infinite money.\n\nWe can just lose our life savings, which ironically, is pretty ominous and foreboding.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1197554828488036352","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":47,"retweets":8,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/WayneHimelsein/status/1197554828488036352"},"1643506537334288384":{"id":"1643506537334288384","date":"2023-04-05 06:51:08","author":"π* | ¤","handle":"totlsota","text":"this is cursed: Rust/Haskell interop\n\nhttps://well-typed.com/blog/2023/03/purgatory/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1643506537334288384","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":3588,"bookmarks":5,"media":["1643506537334288384_1.png","1643506537334288384_2.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/totlsota/status/1643506537334288384"},"1342936670941884417":{"id":"1342936670941884417","date":"2020-12-26 20:53:47","author":"James Clear","handle":"JamesClear","text":"Anyone planning to read Atomic Habits to start 2021?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1342936670941884417","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1342955939452751872","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8486,"retweets":369,"replies":1089,"quotes":303,"views":0,"bookmarks":421,"media":["1342936670941884417_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/JamesClear/status/1342936670941884417"},"1943810432713863336":{"id":"1943810432713863336","date":"2025-07-11 23:11:36","author":"Kevin Kwok","handle":"kevinakwok","text":"Confirmed that investors in windsurf are receiving money","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943810432713863336","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1943910705453052075","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":958,"retweets":19,"replies":45,"quotes":15,"views":246953,"bookmarks":104,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/kevinakwok/status/1943810432713863336"},"1834589319723397303":{"id":"1834589319723397303","date":"2024-09-13 13:45:53","author":"π* | ¤","handle":"totlsota","text":"i think openai's new model 'thinking' is basically 100% fake time \"ooh, aah, it is trying harder, must be better\" ux nonsense","hashtags":[],"conv":"1834589319723397303","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":46,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":3473,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/totlsota/status/1834589319723397303"},"1504832730915291136":{"id":"1504832730915291136","date":"2022-03-18 14:50:56","author":"Gary Basin","handle":"garybasin","text":"The plan? Take out $4 bn in debt against an overvalued portfolio of late stage private cos in order to make it all back on our JPM puts when they announce the loss","hashtags":[],"conv":"1504832730915291136","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":102,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1504832730915291136_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/garybasin/status/1504832730915291136"},"1710055950676013563":{"id":"1710055950676013563","date":"2023-10-05 22:14:44","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"these frogs are looking dapper af tho","hashtags":[],"conv":"1710055950676013563","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":80,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":19148,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1710055950676013563"},"1482086567720148993":{"id":"1482086567720148993","date":"2022-01-14 20:25:48","author":"Cale 🥬","handle":"CaleCrypto","text":"For those who quit their job to pursue crypto, what was the hardest part?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482086567720148993","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":686,"retweets":18,"replies":402,"quotes":38,"views":0,"bookmarks":19,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/CaleCrypto/status/1482086567720148993"},"1240744581702004740":{"id":"1240744581702004740","date":"2020-03-19 20:58:54","author":"ExiledInfoHaz","handle":"ExiledInfoHaz","text":"I just signed up to @GJPForecasting, anyone got any good tips?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1240744581702004740","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ExiledInfoHaz/status/1240744581702004740"},"1204193984651808768":{"id":"1204193984651808768","date":"2019-12-10 00:19:53","author":"Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼","handle":"Noahpinion","text":"They told you you'd be saving the world, then you found out you were selling ads","hashtags":[],"conv":"1204193984651808768","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":302,"retweets":43,"replies":19,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1204193984651808768"},"1795565459422474276":{"id":"1795565459422474276","date":"2024-05-28 21:19:00","author":"sophie","handle":"netcapgirl","text":"i had to try this myself, why does this happen?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1795565459422474276","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":626,"retweets":30,"replies":201,"quotes":58,"views":291035,"bookmarks":47,"media":["1795565459422474276_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/netcapgirl/status/1795565459422474276"},"1947011053235454421":{"id":"1947011053235454421","date":"2025-07-20 19:09:43","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"My tankiest opinion...100% tax rate on pro sports teams profits \n\nNo more running teams like a slumlord which sucks for fans. \n\nAnd to those worried oh the billionaire incentives...I'll bet on vanity being its own reward for people whose last marginal dollar is worthless","hashtags":[],"conv":"1947011053235454421","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":87,"retweets":2,"replies":28,"quotes":0,"views":18484,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1947011053235454421"},"1712267259513655543":{"id":"1712267259513655543","date":"2023-10-12 00:41:41","author":"Molly White","handle":"molly0xFFF","text":"Caroline Ellison's infamous \"Things Sam [Bankman-Fried] is freaking out about\" list made it into evidence today","hashtags":[],"conv":"1712267259513655543","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1712846209629442368","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":838,"retweets":81,"replies":42,"quotes":33,"views":218416,"bookmarks":87,"media":["1712267259513655543_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/molly0xFFF/status/1712267259513655543"},"1719730063489339743":{"id":"1719730063489339743","date":"2023-11-01 14:56:12","author":"Megan McArdle","handle":"asymmetricinfo","text":"What are the best examples of companies with shady origins--substantial accounting shenanigans, criminal enterprises--managing to clean themselves up and go legit?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1719730063489339743","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":64,"retweets":3,"replies":101,"quotes":10,"views":45831,"bookmarks":19,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/asymmetricinfo/status/1719730063489339743"},"1321355261282406405":{"id":"1321355261282406405","date":"2020-10-28 07:36:58","author":"Evgeny Muryshkin","handle":"ITMayWorkDev","text":"qusoc is running on @TinyFPGA ! \nNeed to work out why do I have to reset it twice in order to start 🤔🤔\n\nCouple of fixes in generator to be compatible with yosys, will publish updated repo over the weekend\n#rtl #riscv #fpga\n\nhttps://github.com/EvgenyMuryshkin/qusoc","hashtags":["rtl","riscv","fpga"],"conv":"1321355261282406405","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1321445788313026560","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ITMayWorkDev/status/1321355261282406405"},"2002454290531824007":{"id":"2002454290531824007","date":"2025-12-20 19:01:21","author":"Lance Breitstein 🇺🇸🌎","handle":"TheOneLanceB","text":"ARE THE QUANTS RIGHT!? \nIS DAY TRADING A FOOL’S ERRAND!?\n\nI am tired of these ignorant threads. I would like to Livestream a debate. Myself and @baynkr debating the merits of discretionary trading against @AgustinLebron3 and @macrocephalopod.\n\nFor a few months now there have been two notable quants on FinTwit ranting that discretionary trading is near-impossible (or at least not worth anyone pursuing): @macrocephalopod and @AgustinLebron3.\n\nIt is my belief, they are speaking out of their ass having come from a different side of the industry and the same way I have no business speaking about the quant side, they have no business spreading misinfo to the masses on the discretionary side. \n\nI particularly believe that @AgustinLebron3 has no freakin clue what he’s talking about on the discretionary trading side of the business (particularly stuff like his claim that a firm needs to be a broker-dealer to be legit lol). I acknowledge that @macrocephalopod has far more balanced and reasonable views.\n\nFor quants of appreciable intelligence, they both though somehow make the most basic of logical areas again and again. Just because most traders fail, doesn’t mean you will fail and shouldnt pursue it. It also doesn’t mean it’s a worse expected value than other pursuits.\n\nWho wants to see this convo happen? Each side presents their claims, evidence, and debates each other’s points? Because my god am I ready to rip apart some of the dumb shit Agustin keeps saying on this app.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2002454290531824007","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2002461118661263435","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":360,"retweets":9,"replies":68,"quotes":14,"views":230246,"bookmarks":105,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheOneLanceB/status/2002454290531824007"},"1458974969967235076":{"id":"1458974969967235076","date":"2021-11-12 01:48:33","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"Hey James, would you mind reviewing this analysis?\n\nYeah, of course pal.\n\n> import pandas as pd\n\nAh, no. Sorry. Got stuff to do.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1458974969967235076","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":74,"retweets":1,"replies":14,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1458974969967235076"},"1509279654154498049":{"id":"1509279654154498049","date":"2022-03-30 21:21:25","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"No","hashtags":[],"conv":"1509279654154498049","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":134,"retweets":6,"replies":8,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":15,"media":["1509279654154498049_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1509279654154498049"},"1552868005486493697":{"id":"1552868005486493697","date":"2022-07-29 04:05:58","author":"bookdepth","handle":"bookdepth","text":"Got curious so I pulled data from the NYC department of city planning's PLUTO database to see the age of NYC's building stock, and wow \n\nthe root of NYC's housing woes are head thuddingly obvious when they stare you in the face like this","hashtags":[],"conv":"1552868005486493697","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":49,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":["1552868005486493697_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bookdepth/status/1552868005486493697"},"1713961006005895347":{"id":"1713961006005895347","date":"2023-10-16 16:52:02","author":"Alex Nezlobin","handle":"0x94305","text":"BREAKING: Cointelegraph successfully tests the first hook that improves LP profitability","hashtags":[],"conv":"1713961006005895347","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":141,"retweets":6,"replies":5,"quotes":2,"views":14411,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0x94305/status/1713961006005895347"},"1419057860311281664":{"id":"1419057860311281664","date":"2021-07-24 22:12:13","author":"Antonio García Martínez (agm.eth)","handle":"antoniogm","text":"La Petite explained the reward system they use to keep order at summer camp—a checklist of goals granting access to a ‘treasure box’ of goodies—and I realized it’s essentially the incentive scheme for professional-managerial class capitalism.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1419057860311281664","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":74,"retweets":3,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/antoniogm/status/1419057860311281664"},"1146429157057933312":{"id":"1146429157057933312","date":"2019-07-03 14:43:05","author":"DeLong🖖","handle":"delong","text":"Comment of the Day: Kaleberg: \"It depends on what you mean by a 'robot'. Do you count remote wellhead monitoring systems? That eliminates drill monitoring jobs. Do you count synthetic oils and computerized internal combustion engine control letting ... https://www.bradford-delong.com/2019/07/comment-of-the-day-_kaleberghttpswwwbradford-delongcom201907eg-paul-krugman-makes-the-pointhtmlcid6a00e551.html","hashtags":[],"conv":"1146429157057933312","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/delong/status/1146429157057933312"},"1538357097485803521":{"id":"1538357097485803521","date":"2022-06-19 03:04:47","author":"Gary Basin","handle":"garybasin","text":"Anyone want to make me a market on one of the big 3 exchanges blowing up in the next 6 months? I’d like to bet","hashtags":[],"conv":"1538357097485803521","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":69,"retweets":2,"replies":9,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/garybasin/status/1538357097485803521"},"1935370816964735152":{"id":"1935370816964735152","date":"2025-06-18 16:15:34","author":"s","handle":"idoccor","text":"The first math req I took at Waterloo was classical algebra. It provided a good foundation for number theory, encryption, rings, and formal proofs.  It was pretty useful","hashtags":[],"conv":"1935370816964735152","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":49,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":6966,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/idoccor/status/1935370816964735152"},"1180255866496442370":{"id":"1180255866496442370","date":"2019-10-04 22:58:21","author":"Perry E. Metzger","handle":"perrymetzger","text":"1. First language: Fortran IV\n2. Had difficulties: Haskell\n3. Most used: Over the decades? Probably C?\n4. Totally hate: PHP?\n5. Most loved: Heart says Lisp, head says ML\n6. For beginners: Scheme, Python, ML","hashtags":[],"conv":"1180255866496442370","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":6,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/perrymetzger/status/1180255866496442370"},"1280817341748707331":{"id":"1280817341748707331","date":"2020-07-08 10:53:45","author":"𓅪 Dr Alex Evans 𓅪","handle":"alexevans91","text":"Ruin a board game by changing one letter.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1280817341748707331","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":389,"retweets":35,"replies":713,"quotes":133,"views":0,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/alexevans91/status/1280817341748707331"},"1455869693106003971":{"id":"1455869693106003971","date":"2021-11-03 12:09:18","author":"Gary Basin","handle":"garybasin","text":"Rule number 1: don’t run a market making business.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1455869693106003971","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/garybasin/status/1455869693106003971"},"1712846209629442368":{"id":"1712846209629442368","date":"2023-10-13 15:02:14","author":"sophie","handle":"netcapgirl","text":"the masculine urge to lose money on JGBs","hashtags":[],"conv":"1712846209629442368","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":56,"retweets":2,"replies":8,"quotes":1,"views":17210,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/netcapgirl/status/1712846209629442368"},"1763044334083912078":{"id":"1763044334083912078","date":"2024-02-29 03:31:39","author":"alz","handle":"alz_zyd_","text":"Do people think Sundar is a good CEO honestly","hashtags":[],"conv":"1763044334083912078","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":3060,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/alz_zyd_/status/1763044334083912078"},"1485045294622466056":{"id":"1485045294622466056","date":"2022-01-23 00:22:43","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"A good inflation hedge would be a company that charges a modest annual fee (maybe around $24,000?) for a recurring service, which has a track record of raising prices with minimal churn, because it has a chat feature that everyone uses and no one wants to give up.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1485045294622466056","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":272,"retweets":5,"replies":11,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1485045294622466056"},"1971015190524330284":{"id":"1971015190524330284","date":"2025-09-25 00:53:35","author":"James Pethokoukis ⏩️⤴️","handle":"JimPethokoukis","text":"HSBC Says New Quantum Computing Trial Beat Wall Street Rivals @business\n\n“Is this a ‘Sputnik moment’ for quantum? My instinct is yes,” said Philip Intallura, group head of quantum technologies at HSBC,","hashtags":[],"conv":"1971015190524330284","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1971016425625305118","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":30,"retweets":7,"replies":6,"quotes":6,"views":27101,"bookmarks":5,"media":["1971015190524330284_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/JimPethokoukis/status/1971015190524330284"},"1440890442367655937":{"id":"1440890442367655937","date":"2021-09-23 04:07:06","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"Fun one for ya @ejames_c...\n\nAre folks who complain about bumhunting scrubs? \n\nhttps://www.pocket52.com/blog/bumhunting-crippling-online-poker/\n\n(Bumhunting is pretty much what trading is. It's all a food fight to contra uninformed flow and not provide liquidity to the rest.)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1440890442367655937","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":16,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1440890442367655937"},"1923159359539888534":{"id":"1923159359539888534","date":"2025-05-15 23:31:36","author":"Thomas Johnson","handle":"ThomasJ02","text":"My kid writes stories with paragraph-long run-on sentences and then has ChatGPT fix the punctuation.\nI honestly am not sure if he needs to learn how to use good punctuation on his own or not.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1923159359539888534","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":158,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ThomasJ02/status/1923159359539888534"},"1478870554388185097":{"id":"1478870554388185097","date":"2022-01-05 23:26:30","author":"kchoudhu","handle":"kchoudhu","text":"My thesis here is that WFH has terminally broken a lot of peoples' brains: \"I can do my computer job online\" has morphed into \"literally everything can and should be done online.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1478870554388185097","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":37,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/kchoudhu/status/1478870554388185097"},"1189435417990332416":{"id":"1189435417990332416","date":"2019-10-30 06:54:36","author":"Suhail","handle":"Suhail","text":"I don't know when it will happen but I really do believe the world will get sick of software centralization the same way it's gotten tired of privacy violations.\n\nWhen it does, that will really set crypto on a pace that's beyond anything we've ever seen with the web.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1189435417990332416","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":247,"retweets":37,"replies":13,"quotes":5,"views":0,"bookmarks":18,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Suhail/status/1189435417990332416"},"1444751180983246850":{"id":"1444751180983246850","date":"2021-10-03 19:48:18","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"@sys_qed Might need to call in the big guns for that one!\n\ncc @AgustinLebron3","hashtags":[],"conv":"1444470852100124674","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1444751180983246850"},"1200923644945301504":{"id":"1200923644945301504","date":"2019-11-30 23:44:43","author":"Darren r-σ²/2","handle":"ReformedTrader","text":"Breakdown of a $700 PayPal transfer into the U.S.:\n\n2.9% PayPal fee: $20.30\nTransaction fee: $0.30\n1.5% bid-to-mid currency exchange slippage (back-calculated by subtracting the above fees): $10.50\nNet: $668.90\n\nThat's a lot of slippage...\n\ncheck the fees!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1200923644945301504","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":31,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ReformedTrader/status/1200923644945301504"},"1275115953538371584":{"id":"1275115953538371584","date":"2020-06-22 17:18:28","author":"Pui-Wing Tam","handle":"puiwingtam","text":"Did Apple pre-record this entire broadcast? No ums, uhs, awkward pauses.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1275115953538371584","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":83,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/puiwingtam/status/1275115953538371584"},"1560692075380838401":{"id":"1560692075380838401","date":"2022-08-19 18:16:01","author":"Tom Morgan","handle":"tomowenmorgan","text":"What people have had the most remarkable multiple reinventions over their lives? Mastering different careers/disciplines.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1560692075380838401","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":1,"replies":36,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tomowenmorgan/status/1560692075380838401"},"1691492259366383616":{"id":"1691492259366383616","date":"2023-08-15 16:49:15","author":"Bruce Feldman","handle":"BruceFeldmanCFB","text":"Michigan's biggest Freak 307-pound DL Kris Jenkins, aka \"The Mutant,\" (son of the former Pro Bowler by the same name) vertical jumped 34 inches, ran a 4.33 shuttle and did this insane Turkish Get Up with a 170-pound dumbbell: https://theathletic.com/4768413/2023/08/15/bruce-feldman-college-football-freaks-list/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1691492259366383616","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2005,"retweets":270,"replies":111,"quotes":311,"views":1919749,"bookmarks":90,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/BruceFeldmanCFB/status/1691492259366383616"},"1438202301919936513":{"id":"1438202301919936513","date":"2021-09-15 18:05:23","author":"Joel Rubano","handle":"TCK_JRubano","text":"Just got access to Bloomberg for the first time in forever and it’s exactly like grabbing an Infinity Stone in the Marvel Universe. Limitless power! How do I use it!?!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1438202301919936513","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":159,"retweets":4,"replies":36,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":20,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TCK_JRubano/status/1438202301919936513"},"1437830179682873344":{"id":"1437830179682873344","date":"2021-09-14 17:26:43","author":"🅰️LB🅰️","handle":"ALBACapMgmt","text":"So far this month ive hedged everything so well I havent managed to make a fkg cent","hashtags":[],"conv":"1437830179682873344","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ALBACapMgmt/status/1437830179682873344"},"1521971567437172739":{"id":"1521971567437172739","date":"2022-05-04 21:54:33","author":"peteris erins","handle":"p_e","text":"Inspired by @angeris, I shall invest significant time exploring applied measure theory and its many use cases in crypto.\n\nFirst up - Lebesgue integrals for gas optimization.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1521971567437172739","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/p_e/status/1521971567437172739"},"1567346642105286656":{"id":"1567346642105286656","date":"2022-09-07 02:58:54","author":"Nico Pollari, CFA","handle":"NicoPollari","text":"Low latency HFT stuff is not something I'm much familiar with. Lowest latency system I've built is 1 min bars. If I wanted to learn about HFT/MM in more detail where should I look frens? @therobotjames @theemilyaccount @witchqueendot @AgustinLebron3","hashtags":[],"conv":"1567346642105286656","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":39,"retweets":6,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":33,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/NicoPollari/status/1567346642105286656"},"1432371131315638277":{"id":"1432371131315638277","date":"2021-08-30 15:54:24","author":"Roshan Patel","handle":"roshanpateI","text":"Startups are like 90% just not giving up.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1432371131315638277","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2212,"retweets":322,"replies":54,"quotes":47,"views":0,"bookmarks":89,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/roshanpateI/status/1432371131315638277"},"1957112367998763503":{"id":"1957112367998763503","date":"2025-08-17 16:08:44","author":"ekri","handle":"ekrii3","text":"The best piece of often overlooked advice that I got at rentech (by Jim himself) in the earlier days was : “Always remember, first sort, then regress”. We lived by this rule. If you have data (X,Y) sort X and Y independently, this gives a better fit.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957112367998763503","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2251,"retweets":75,"replies":46,"quotes":20,"views":288836,"bookmarks":761,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ekrii3/status/1957112367998763503"},"1564757861552586752":{"id":"1564757861552586752","date":"2022-08-30 23:32:00","author":"Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️","handle":"choffstein","text":"Watching Nadal playing Hijikata and realizing that Nadal has been pro as long as Hijikata has been alive.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1564757861552586752","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/choffstein/status/1564757861552586752"},"1986574327592972732":{"id":"1986574327592972732","date":"2025-11-06 23:20:03","author":"post rich","handle":"0xpostrich","text":"only missing the part where FTX misappropriated and commingled customer assets with the firms own operating capital \n\nfeeding our assets to his sister company ‘Alameda’ to plug its hole due to massive losses after shifting from delta-neutral to directional trading \n\nFTX deposits were initially sent to alameda from the get go (ftx couldn’t get a bank) so it was skewed from the start and their record keeping was amateur, Alameda’s has been like that since inception. SBF def didn’t set out to commit this mass fraud to begin with imo, I wholeheartedly believe he just fell into it (knowing it probably wasn’t right) but nonetheless committing fraud. \n\nhe destroyed many lives, mine included, lost 90% of nw, my home, and my mind for a moment \n\nfor sure suicidal, but there is no quit in the warriors code.\n\nbest part in his doc is when he plugs a\n@sunil_trades tweet when he has been a voice of the voiceless during the unfolding of this fraud.\n\n25 years was definitely harsh, his attitude and no remorse didn’t help him during the trial that’s for sure \n\nspeaking of fraud, about that $1b + in legal fees…","hashtags":[],"conv":"1986574327592972732","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1986821269988249965","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":1,"views":4192,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0xpostrich/status/1986574327592972732"},"1449786332700569602":{"id":"1449786332700569602","date":"2021-10-17 17:16:12","author":"Tommy Collison","handle":"tommycollison","text":"What are you reading this weekend? 📚","hashtags":[],"conv":"1449786332700569602","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":1,"replies":30,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tommycollison/status/1449786332700569602"},"1406383659091861506":{"id":"1406383659091861506","date":"2021-06-19 22:49:28","author":"Venkatesh Rao ☀️","handle":"vgr","text":"lynx","hashtags":[],"conv":"1406383659091861506","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/vgr/status/1406383659091861506"},"1947059548457435423":{"id":"1947059548457435423","date":"2025-07-20 22:22:25","author":"🅿️","handle":"the_P_God","text":"Chamath. It’s works perfectly. That guy over there is a Chamath. Pretends to be knowledgeable about everything but yet is stupid.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1947059548457435423","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3475,"retweets":110,"replies":64,"quotes":8,"views":356766,"bookmarks":173,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/the_P_God/status/1947059548457435423"},"1941041931515273344":{"id":"1941041931515273344","date":"2025-07-04 07:50:33","author":"The trading Dutchman","handle":"TradingDutchman","text":"Interesting twist, did the regulator just give us a clue about JS secret ‘strategy’? \n\nhttps://on.ft.com/44UhJj5","hashtags":[],"conv":"1941041931515273344","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":507,"retweets":21,"replies":18,"quotes":6,"views":112956,"bookmarks":369,"media":["1941041931515273344_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TradingDutchman/status/1941041931515273344"},"1184830036265721856":{"id":"1184830036265721856","date":"2019-10-17 13:54:28","author":"Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼","handle":"Noahpinion","text":"Yesterday a white Trump supporter told me that if Elizabeth Warren wins the election, he'll move to China.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1184830036265721856","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":796,"retweets":60,"replies":110,"quotes":59,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1184830036265721856"},"1185396060232941568":{"id":"1185396060232941568","date":"2019-10-19 03:23:39","author":"Balaji","handle":"balajis","text":"The concept of social media as the Fifth Estate may be the most enduring part of Zuck's speech yesterday.\n\nAs the Fourth Estate, the press self-conceptualizes its role as holding society accountable.\n\nAs the Fifth Estate, social media is how society holds the press accountable.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1185396060232941568","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1507,"retweets":422,"replies":55,"quotes":78,"views":0,"bookmarks":161,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1185396060232941568"},"1501639840919863296":{"id":"1501639840919863296","date":"2022-03-09 19:23:31","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"This is a side of \"competition is only tough in the good trades\" that I hadn't really considered before. 🙏👇\n\n@AgustinLebron3 - think you'll appreciate this too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501639840919863296","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":17,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1501639840919863296"},"2018277791972597812":{"id":"2018277791972597812","date":"2026-02-02 10:58:18","author":"wishful_cynic","handle":"EvgenyGaevoy","text":"I think what people don't really realize is internal MMs are simply... really unserious at prop trading. Case in point: Alameda","hashtags":[],"conv":"2018277791972597812","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":215,"retweets":5,"replies":15,"quotes":1,"views":52303,"bookmarks":94,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/EvgenyGaevoy/status/2018277791972597812"},"1223262897629024256":{"id":"1223262897629024256","date":"2020-01-31 15:12:56","author":"Jim Carroll","handle":"vixologist","text":"Hey #VolTwits, please check me on this. My spreadsheet says that when $SPX is down on the day, $VXX will be up an average of 3.7x what $SPX is down. Today that is more like 8x ($VXX up 6% vs $SPX down 0.7%). Pretty violent reaction.","hashtags":["voltwits"],"conv":"1223262897629024256","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":3,"replies":12,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/vixologist/status/1223262897629024256"},"1266204568045510658":{"id":"1266204568045510658","date":"2020-05-29 03:07:48","author":"Pete Skomoroch","handle":"peteskomoroch","text":"No-code taken to the extreme is a time bomb of complexity that results in an army of people maintaining a point and click legacy mess while gaining non-transferable skills","hashtags":[],"conv":"1266204568045510658","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":232,"retweets":34,"replies":7,"quotes":7,"views":0,"bookmarks":16,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/peteskomoroch/status/1266204568045510658"},"1603246334802546688":{"id":"1603246334802546688","date":"2022-12-15 04:31:27","author":"Antonio García Martínez (agm.eth)","handle":"antoniogm","text":"Sitting at a neighborhood Mission bar, and the group of FAANG engineers behind me is leaking more alpha than CNBC has transmitted in a decade. \n\nSF is back, baby.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1603246334802546688","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2323,"retweets":50,"replies":48,"quotes":7,"views":0,"bookmarks":123,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/antoniogm/status/1603246334802546688"},"1318541804254343168":{"id":"1318541804254343168","date":"2020-10-20 13:17:18","author":"YT@quantext","handle":"BeingHorizontal","text":"Making your own backtester is probably a lot easier than learning an existing backtesting framework in Python.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1318541804254343168","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":103,"retweets":3,"replies":10,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/BeingHorizontal/status/1318541804254343168"},"1387949774993858560":{"id":"1387949774993858560","date":"2021-04-30 01:59:47","author":"SG 🏴‍☠️","handle":"Sg423Sg","text":"This is the cancer that is Careerism. Can you imagine living life like this? On the one hand Scott likes to talk about Bullshit Jobs (lets get real most white collar professions are BS), inequality etc. On the other hand this SoB is training his MBA students like this.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1387949774993858560","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Sg423Sg/status/1387949774993858560"},"1437073138303451139":{"id":"1437073138303451139","date":"2021-09-12 15:18:30","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"Moontower #117\n\n🌙Back in the saddle after 2 months\n\n🌙Recents recs for fun or productivity\n\n🌙Some changes to Moontower format\n\nhttps://moontower.substack.com/p/moontower-117?r=156rf&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&utm_source=twitter \n\nrefs:\n\n@AgustinLebron3 \n@EconomPic \n@typingclub \n& many of you who provided answers to hive threads!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1437073138303451139","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":29,"retweets":3,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1437073138303451139"},"1704521726854381577":{"id":"1704521726854381577","date":"2023-09-20 15:43:42","author":"Porter Collins","handle":"Seawolfcap","text":"The CEO is making 360x the average employee. The stock is up since she became CEO but massively underperformed any index. Can you see why they want to strike? I'd be pissed too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1704521726854381577","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1704532910148321553","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":445,"retweets":53,"replies":39,"quotes":7,"views":146973,"bookmarks":22,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Seawolfcap/status/1704521726854381577"},"1774197049337999848":{"id":"1774197049337999848","date":"2024-03-30 22:08:34","author":"qm","handle":"quantymacro","text":"tbh I’ve always wanted to do Kaggle but never had time to do it. wish I can just be a fly in a Kaggle Grandmaster’s room and watch them work through problems for like 10 days. I know Kaggle isn’t strictly “real world” but pretty sure I still have *a lot* to learn from it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1774197049337999848","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":84,"retweets":2,"replies":13,"quotes":1,"views":26711,"bookmarks":57,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/quantymacro/status/1774197049337999848"},"1438151001131954178":{"id":"1438151001131954178","date":"2021-09-15 14:41:32","author":"Speculator","handle":"TheSpeculator0","text":"outside of finance everyone thinks family offices are these super sophisticated investors but a decent chunk of them seem to be continuously performance chasing high fee shit","hashtags":[],"conv":"1438151001131954178","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":104,"retweets":4,"replies":10,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheSpeculator0/status/1438151001131954178"},"1320190462989201409":{"id":"1320190462989201409","date":"2020-10-25 02:28:28","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"What are the best trader or option trader courses out there? \n\nSerious question.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1320190462989201409","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":50,"retweets":5,"replies":22,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":56,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1320190462989201409"},"1657648315343982594":{"id":"1657648315343982594","date":"2023-05-14 07:25:30","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"You don’t want to hear it, but your favourite song probably doesn’t go as hard as Don Henley’s The Boys of Summer. 🔥","hashtags":[],"conv":"1657648315343982594","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":54,"retweets":0,"replies":16,"quotes":0,"views":9866,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1657648315343982594"},"1341433433323659264":{"id":"1341433433323659264","date":"2020-12-22 17:20:27","author":"James Surowiecki","handle":"JamesSurowiecki","text":"I don't understand how \"what happened happened\" if someone else can always invert and go back to make something different happen at that particular moment in time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1341433433323659264","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/JamesSurowiecki/status/1341433433323659264"},"1546177614213107713":{"id":"1546177614213107713","date":"2022-07-10 17:00:44","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"Lost lots of money as a junior saying sht that would be met with \"put a number on it\"\n\nAre there any other work cultures outside trading that force assertions into prop bets all the time? \n\nProbably the single best practice that can be borrowed from trading culture.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546177614213107713","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":183,"retweets":20,"replies":22,"quotes":5,"views":0,"bookmarks":51,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1546177614213107713"},"1448086924330246151":{"id":"1448086924330246151","date":"2021-10-13 00:43:21","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"You're not looking for unique edges nobody else has discovered. \n\nYou're looking for opportunities people pass over because exploiting them is unattractive.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448086924330246151","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":499,"retweets":43,"replies":16,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":97,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1448086924330246151"},"1151148769389568000":{"id":"1151148769389568000","date":"2019-07-16 15:17:08","author":"donnie piercey ⚾","handle":"mrpiercEy","text":"The entire Apollo 11 computer code is available on @github, and it's incredible: \n\nhttps://github.com/chrislgarry/Apollo-11 \n\n#edchat #apollo11","hashtags":["edchat","apollo11"],"conv":"1151148769389568000","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1151654491349032960","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8085,"retweets":4142,"replies":116,"quotes":549,"views":0,"bookmarks":457,"media":["1151148769389568000_1.png","1151148769389568000_2.jpg","1151148769389568000_3.jpg","1151148769389568000_4.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mrpiercEy/status/1151148769389568000"},"1248237075809304578":{"id":"1248237075809304578","date":"2020-04-09 13:11:24","author":"Euan Sinclair","handle":"SinclairEuan","text":"People who say \"don't trust experts. think for yourself\" tend not to think much","hashtags":[],"conv":"1248237075809304578","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SinclairEuan/status/1248237075809304578"},"1263373006098911233":{"id":"1263373006098911233","date":"2020-05-21 07:36:11","author":"Artur Sepp: Systematic Quant Trend/Vol/Rates/Macro","handle":"ArturSepp","text":"The risk premia are inferred from historical data, but #TailRisk events cannot be estimated from history. Whether you should invest in a tail-risk fund? 9 out of 10 years you look an idiot and 1 year you can say \"I told you so\". In long run, nobody really knows who will win","hashtags":["tailrisk"],"conv":"1263373006098911233","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":32,"retweets":5,"replies":6,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ArturSepp/status/1263373006098911233"},"1603100168928350208":{"id":"1603100168928350208","date":"2022-12-14 18:50:39","author":"Patrick McKenzie","handle":"patio11","text":"A lot of due diligence is LARPing.\n\nFor example:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1603100168928350208","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":484,"retweets":58,"replies":16,"quotes":8,"views":0,"bookmarks":38,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/patio11/status/1603100168928350208"},"1970092704790089821":{"id":"1970092704790089821","date":"2025-09-22 11:47:58","author":"Mr.Gamma","handle":"minimalexcess","text":"Yes and no. \n\nI made the mistake of reading too much when I was first starting out, to the point where it became more about the reading than trading. its important to know that THE GOAL IS TO TRADE. You should be messing up in your trading, coming up with questions, and consulting resources as needed.\n\nThen there comes a point in time where you understand a product well at the trade level (this is later than you'll think), and want to start building general market intuition. Then you should start reading more. \n\nAlthough Laws of Trading by @AgustinLebron3 is the one read I've consistently recommended for people looking to get into trading. If read carefully it squashes what the uninitiated view of trading is (i.e. instagram traders).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970092704790089821","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":655,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/minimalexcess/status/1970092704790089821"},"1464007623829647378":{"id":"1464007623829647378","date":"2021-11-25 23:06:32","author":"Spencer Bosma","handle":"SpencerBosma","text":"Alright @therobotjames you can collect your commission I ordered @AgustinLebron3's book.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1464007623829647378","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":["1464007623829647378_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SpencerBosma/status/1464007623829647378"},"1944241072265474090":{"id":"1944241072265474090","date":"2025-07-13 03:42:48","author":"Natasha Mascarenhas","handle":"nmasc_","text":"Updated our Windsurf/Google story with new deal details: \n\n- Employees with vested shares will receive cash\n– Employees who joined less than 12 months ago are not vested and won’t get payouts under current terms\n– Windsurf negotiated to keep $100M+ on its balance sheet; company will shift focus to enterprise customers\n- Remaining company will now be employee owned\n\nhttps://www.theinformation.com/articles/openai-windsurf-break-acquisition-talks-microsoft-ip-concerns?rc=cmz1ru","hashtags":[],"conv":"1944241072265474090","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":848,"retweets":54,"replies":35,"quotes":64,"views":499778,"bookmarks":301,"media":["1944241072265474090_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/nmasc_/status/1944241072265474090"},"1472727988881920001":{"id":"1472727988881920001","date":"2021-12-20 00:38:09","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"@mn0dr Indeed it will.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1472722930287009798","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1472727988881920001"},"1424366223635197955":{"id":"1424366223635197955","date":"2021-08-08 13:45:45","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"The Olympic medal table if the UK, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, Switzerland, Belgium, Ireland and Portugal (total population about the same as USA, 25% of China) competed as one country.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1424366223635197955","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":156,"retweets":10,"replies":45,"quotes":13,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":["1424366223635197955_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1424366223635197955"},"1433904304927215617":{"id":"1433904304927215617","date":"2021-09-03 21:26:41","author":"Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️","handle":"choffstein","text":"Nice to be home for a day","hashtags":[],"conv":"1433904304927215617","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":72,"retweets":0,"replies":17,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1433904304927215617_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/choffstein/status/1433904304927215617"},"1729644707586715982":{"id":"1729644707586715982","date":"2023-11-28 23:33:28","author":"Matt Bateman","handle":"mbateman","text":"I’ve conducted somewhere in the ballpark of 1000 job interviews for positions ranging from engineers to teachers to c suite roles and I’ve also never asked about this","hashtags":[],"conv":"1729644707586715982","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":73,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":8800,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mbateman/status/1729644707586715982"},"1517841906566414337":{"id":"1517841906566414337","date":"2022-04-23 12:24:45","author":"Gary Basin","handle":"garybasin","text":"We can innovate and lower the price of everything at this point, except housing. Every dollar saved by a household will just go to towards housing spend. Your move, merka","hashtags":[],"conv":"1517841906566414337","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/garybasin/status/1517841906566414337"},"1503818863837818881":{"id":"1503818863837818881","date":"2022-03-15 19:42:11","author":"guille","handle":"angeris","text":"literally why is a chat app almost 500MB","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503818863837818881","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1503819518824562694","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":82,"retweets":2,"replies":7,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/angeris/status/1503818863837818881"},"1846721681697706421":{"id":"1846721681697706421","date":"2024-10-17 01:15:34","author":"The Senior Risk Manager","handle":"salr_nyc","text":"When I starting out, it was chess players not poker players, that the  trading houses had a hard-on for. Perhaps poker was not yet fashionable then.\n\nBoth teach you things. So does working at McDonalds. I'm not really convinced that any of them will make you a better trader.🤷","hashtags":[],"conv":"1846721681697706421","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":423,"retweets":12,"replies":22,"quotes":4,"views":72360,"bookmarks":203,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/salr_nyc/status/1846721681697706421"},"1451627505669050369":{"id":"1451627505669050369","date":"2021-10-22 19:12:21","author":"alvinjamur","handle":"alvinjamur","text":"Awesome parallelizing by David of Hau Volatility. Keeping 80 cores busy. Go and subscribe to Hau Volatility!!!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1451627505669050369","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1452003051779284992","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/alvinjamur/status/1451627505669050369"},"1899979401460371758":{"id":"1899979401460371758","date":"2025-03-13 00:22:43","author":"Lakshya Jain","handle":"lxeagle17","text":"I'm teaching databases this semester at Berkeley. My students all seem unusually brilliant. Not many go to office hours, and not too many folks post on the course forum asking project questions.\n\nWeirdly, the exam had the lowest recorded average in my 10 semesters teaching it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1899979401460371758","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":117344,"retweets":5362,"replies":1182,"quotes":857,"views":10240728,"bookmarks":15566,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/lxeagle17/status/1899979401460371758"},"1885566673844842739":{"id":"1885566673844842739","date":"2025-02-01 05:51:41","author":"Daniel Litt","handle":"littmath","text":"Some brief impressions from playing a bit with o3-mini-high (the new reasoning model released by OpenAI today) for mathematical uses.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1885566673844842739","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1201,"retweets":103,"replies":33,"quotes":24,"views":592030,"bookmarks":476,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/littmath/status/1885566673844842739"},"1766516961784000995":{"id":"1766516961784000995","date":"2024-03-09 17:30:38","author":"Francisco Amadeo","handle":"famadeo","text":"Yesterday I presented my first trading hypothesis to the larger team for feedback. How did it go? i was thankful one of the smartest quants on staff had a day off 🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1766516961784000995","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1758,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/famadeo/status/1766516961784000995"},"1215394109508112384":{"id":"1215394109508112384","date":"2020-01-09 22:05:11","author":"Balaji","handle":"balajis","text":"You learn math best with pen and paper. And sometimes hardcover books.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1215394109508112384","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":288,"retweets":25,"replies":25,"quotes":6,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1215394109508112384"},"1959202743018492357":{"id":"1959202743018492357","date":"2025-08-23 10:35:08","author":"📍i’m here","handle":"VagabondRTW","text":"We plan trips all over Europe. \n\nWould you believe me if I told you our trips in Spain, Portugal and Italy all run 5x smoother than anything in Norway?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1959202743018492357","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1970106183957590253","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":11463,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/VagabondRTW/status/1959202743018492357"},"1508442249239175173":{"id":"1508442249239175173","date":"2022-03-28 13:53:52","author":"Silvia Killingsworth","handle":"silviakillings","text":"Do we say \"credit SWISS\" or \"credit SWEESS\"? me, I say the latter but I'm a monster","hashtags":[],"conv":"1508442249239175173","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":99,"retweets":1,"replies":17,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/silviakillings/status/1508442249239175173"},"1353118123373678592":{"id":"1353118123373678592","date":"2021-01-23 23:11:14","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"This is a good friend of mine and one of the people I go to help figure things out. We traded alongside one another a decade ago as independents. Gold, repo, options. Deep understanding of those mkts. Neural nets before they were a thing. A mentor. A trader.\n\nUnder-fuckn-followed","hashtags":[],"conv":"1353118123373678592","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":28,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1353118123373678592"},"1456625965061320707":{"id":"1456625965061320707","date":"2021-11-05 14:14:27","author":"Speculator","handle":"TheSpeculator0","text":"if you're in a job where pay is highly counter-cyclical (market making, vol trading etc.) should you just dump your PA in equities because of the total diversification benefits?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1456625965061320707","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":58,"retweets":1,"replies":14,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheSpeculator0/status/1456625965061320707"},"1378744181821214725":{"id":"1378744181821214725","date":"2021-04-04 16:20:03","author":"Robin Hanson","handle":"robinhanson","text":"Do people who say to avoid \"processed\" foods understand that picking and washing are \"processes\"?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1378744181821214725","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":126,"retweets":3,"replies":40,"quotes":6,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/robinhanson/status/1378744181821214725"},"1709973476507791406":{"id":"1709973476507791406","date":"2023-10-05 16:47:01","author":"Austin Campbell","handle":"austincampbell","text":"Move fast and break things is a great strategy when using your own money.\n\nMove fast and break things is a terrible strategy with other people’s money.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709973476507791406","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":3721,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/austincampbell/status/1709973476507791406"},"1511873822756159488":{"id":"1511873822756159488","date":"2022-04-07 01:09:43","author":"david","handle":"davidfucius","text":"Talked to 8 of my freshman friends who all ended up accepting Jane street offers, crazy how risk averse ivy kids are, like theyd rather take 100% * 400k a year instead of 10% * 10m = 1m (or wtv your odds are) 💀","hashtags":[],"conv":"1511873822756159488","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":399,"retweets":10,"replies":37,"quotes":6,"views":0,"bookmarks":52,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/davidfucius/status/1511873822756159488"},"1542719379116552192":{"id":"1542719379116552192","date":"2022-07-01 03:58:56","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"@MegaBearX @darjohn25 @AgustinLebron3","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542684842923413504","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1542719379116552192_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1542719379116552192"},"1785686207050952826":{"id":"1785686207050952826","date":"2024-05-01 15:02:22","author":"bubble boi","handle":"bubbleboi","text":"At this point Lehman College >>> Columbia","hashtags":[],"conv":"1785686207050952826","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":675,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bubbleboi/status/1785686207050952826"},"1439473977676550149":{"id":"1439473977676550149","date":"2021-09-19 06:18:35","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"Options pros. Under what conditions would you trade options as a \"customer\" / \"end user\"?\n\n@KrisAbdelmessih @bennpeifert @SinclairEuan @AgustinLebron3 @volmagorov @std_dev @moreproteinbars","hashtags":[],"conv":"1439473977676550149","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":92,"retweets":6,"replies":29,"quotes":6,"views":0,"bookmarks":47,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1439473977676550149"},"1953336560759304585":{"id":"1953336560759304585","date":"2025-08-07 06:05:01","author":"Artur Sepp: Systematic Quant Trend/Vol/Rates/Macro","handle":"ArturSepp","text":"Do you think it is true that you can apply existing open source LLMs to generate trading strategies or it just marketing bluff?\nhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-07-10/man-group-says-agentic-ai-is-now-devising-quant-trading-signals","hashtags":[],"conv":"1953336560759304585","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":136,"retweets":7,"replies":27,"quotes":11,"views":55198,"bookmarks":161,"media":["1953336560759304585_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ArturSepp/status/1953336560759304585"},"1377463759434878979":{"id":"1377463759434878979","date":"2021-04-01 03:32:06","author":"Samuel Lee","handle":"svrnco","text":"If I ran a company, I'd encourage people to just get up and leave meetings that don't need them.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377463759434878979","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":251,"retweets":15,"replies":12,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/svrnco/status/1377463759434878979"},"1914078817557332210":{"id":"1914078817557332210","date":"2025-04-20 22:08:46","author":"lachlan","handle":"hyprturing","text":"only if they lack the will","hashtags":[],"conv":"1914078817557332210","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1914145500393296230","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":628,"retweets":46,"replies":13,"quotes":2,"views":23229,"bookmarks":33,"media":["1914078817557332210_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/hyprturing/status/1914078817557332210"},"1548523569524551681":{"id":"1548523569524551681","date":"2022-07-17 04:22:43","author":"David Taggart-PDMacro.com","handle":"DavidTaggart","text":"I can't tell if he is trolling or not, I hope he is. I laughed either way","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548523569524551681","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/DavidTaggart/status/1548523569524551681"},"1763304399466852840":{"id":"1763304399466852840","date":"2024-02-29 20:45:04","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"Recommendations for podcasts or episodes about building small and medium sized internet businesses please. \n\nTy","hashtags":[],"conv":"1763304399466852840","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":2,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":7822,"bookmarks":19,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1763304399466852840"},"1860720417167507817":{"id":"1860720417167507817","date":"2024-11-24 16:21:32","author":"Yaron (Ron) Minsky","handle":"yminsky","text":"What could be simpler? 5 mode axes and 11 distinct modes. Nothing to worry about.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1860720417167507817","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":43,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4095,"bookmarks":10,"media":["1860720417167507817_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/yminsky/status/1860720417167507817"},"1744687256709820812":{"id":"1744687256709820812","date":"2024-01-09 11:47:11","author":"Carl Quintanilla","handle":"carlquintanilla","text":"(Axios) - Vivek Ramaswamy staffers have begun looking for work elsewhere.\n\n@axios @mikeallen \nhttps://www.axios.com/newsletters/axios-am-bbadd510-f505-4c7d-bc1d-d6a012e9bf17.html?chunk=0&utm_term=twsocialshare#story0","hashtags":[],"conv":"1744687256709820812","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1744723795414515915","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":197,"retweets":28,"replies":57,"quotes":14,"views":173033,"bookmarks":5,"media":["1744687256709820812_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/carlquintanilla/status/1744687256709820812"},"1471201207494623233":{"id":"1471201207494623233","date":"2021-12-15 19:31:16","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"Whether I'm writing trading code or simulations or research infrastructure, I've almost never regretted taking the path of simplicity/less generality/fewer abstractions. Can add that stuff later if needed. All my software regrets come from over-engineering at the beginning.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471201207494623233","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":181,"retweets":11,"replies":14,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1471201207494623233"},"1782619436035510443":{"id":"1782619436035510443","date":"2024-04-23 03:56:07","author":"near","handle":"nearcyan","text":"very sad day - spent the last year painstakingly building up LLM finetunes, data, and infra for my new startup\n\njust found out a new model scores 0.13% higher on a benchmark made by some guys in a basement 4 years ago for fun. throwing out everything i worked so hard on now :(","hashtags":[],"conv":"1782619436035510443","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":388,"retweets":4,"replies":20,"quotes":0,"views":34881,"bookmarks":44,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/nearcyan/status/1782619436035510443"},"1187068260480667656":{"id":"1187068260480667656","date":"2019-10-23 18:08:22","author":"Nathan FOIA Tankus","handle":"NathanTankus","text":"@UnlearningEcon @TheStalwart As Lee would say, Going Households :) but yeah. If I followed the sunk cost fallacy I would just keep on partially completing papers forever...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1187053412308934658","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/NathanTankus/status/1187068260480667656"},"1960129412323524887":{"id":"1960129412323524887","date":"2025-08-25 23:57:23","author":"oxbquant","handle":"oxbquant","text":"trading and startups seem to be the only careers where you are truly living and operating in a pure meritocracy","hashtags":[],"conv":"1960129412323524887","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1006,"retweets":44,"replies":33,"quotes":6,"views":49176,"bookmarks":273,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/oxbquant/status/1960129412323524887"},"1467937002880442370":{"id":"1467937002880442370","date":"2021-12-06 19:20:29","author":"Nathan FOIA Tankus","handle":"NathanTankus","text":"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1467937002880442370","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":81,"retweets":6,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":["1467937002880442370_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/NathanTankus/status/1467937002880442370"},"1299051004839596034":{"id":"1299051004839596034","date":"2020-08-27 18:27:49","author":"Math Tutorial | Alberta Grade 7","handle":"tutor_ab","text":"Trying to explain why a negative x negative = a positive 🤔 Any simple tips that would align with a Grade7 student's mindset? @stevenstrogatz @republicofmath @mathematicsprof @AlgebraFact @CambridgeMaths @MathsMastery #Mathematics #math","hashtags":["mathematics","math"],"conv":"1299051004839596034","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":17,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tutor_ab/status/1299051004839596034"},"1614502613096988672":{"id":"1614502613096988672","date":"2023-01-15 05:59:53","author":"Doug Colkitt","handle":"0xdoug","text":"Maybe it’s just my area, but if you asked me the state of the economy from day to day life I’d never guess slowdown\n\nRestaurants packed, mall overflowing, bumper to bumper traffic (mostly expensive new trucks). Very discontiguous with the imminent recession many are forecasting","hashtags":[],"conv":"1614502613096988672","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":89,"retweets":1,"replies":14,"quotes":0,"views":15563,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0xdoug/status/1614502613096988672"},"1715013696143909228":{"id":"1715013696143909228","date":"2023-10-19 14:35:03","author":"Dylan LeClair","handle":"DylanLeClair","text":"Through the summer of 2022, 60% of the Genesis book was loans extended to Alameda, mostly secured with FTT tokens as collateral. \n\nAbsolute insanity.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1715013696143909228","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1715424756546372011","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":572,"retweets":48,"replies":46,"quotes":11,"views":147231,"bookmarks":17,"media":["1715013696143909228_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/DylanLeClair/status/1715013696143909228"},"1918961424073642222":{"id":"1918961424073642222","date":"2025-05-04 09:30:30","author":"Air Katakana","handle":"airkatakana","text":"claude 3.7 sonnet with this system prompt in particular is agi","hashtags":[],"conv":"1918961424073642222","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":606,"retweets":7,"replies":22,"quotes":3,"views":28872,"bookmarks":318,"media":["1918961424073642222_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/airkatakana/status/1918961424073642222"},"1468719211241422853":{"id":"1468719211241422853","date":"2021-12-08 23:08:42","author":"Kris Sidial🇺🇸","handle":"Ksidiii","text":"Currently at the hedgefund associations conference at papillon in NYC…. Of course so guy comes up to me asking about his coat and check in…… being black sure does show its perks at time lmao","hashtags":[],"conv":"1468719211241422853","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":595,"retweets":15,"replies":89,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Ksidiii/status/1468719211241422853"},"1441081788957270024":{"id":"1441081788957270024","date":"2021-09-23 16:47:27","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"Hmm yes extremely subtle, it is a complete mystery how he was caught with this incredible level of subterfuge, perhaps we will never know.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1441081788957270024","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":49,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1441081788957270024_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1441081788957270024"},"1587578193825136641":{"id":"1587578193825136641","date":"2022-11-01 22:51:51","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"cmon guys","hashtags":[],"conv":"1587578193825136641","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":104,"retweets":1,"replies":28,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":["1587578193825136641_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1587578193825136641"},"1374711563643392003":{"id":"1374711563643392003","date":"2021-03-24 13:15:52","author":"808","handle":"prpl8","text":"What is it about mass shootings that terrify us so much? Control? Us vs them? Kids? Media/attention?\n\nBecause from a risk of death perspective they are as close to a nothing as you can get and still be a something.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1374711563643392003","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/prpl8/status/1374711563643392003"},"1149348395938656256":{"id":"1149348395938656256","date":"2019-07-11 16:03:06","author":"Fred Wilson","handle":"fredwilson","text":"\"Preventive medicine is the most efficient and affordable kind of medicine and we need more of that in society.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1149348395938656256","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":65,"retweets":10,"replies":6,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/fredwilson/status/1149348395938656256"},"1782888365282504805":{"id":"1782888365282504805","date":"2024-04-23 21:44:45","author":"Byrne Hobart","handle":"ByrneHobart","text":"I used to do this from time to time when I wasn’t looking for a job but wanted a raise.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1782888365282504805","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":238,"retweets":6,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":27941,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ByrneHobart/status/1782888365282504805"},"1775155975873298548":{"id":"1775155975873298548","date":"2024-04-02 13:39:00","author":"qm","handle":"quantymacro","text":"probs more True than it is False. I grew up in a country where there was 0 (yes, 0) hedge fund. to say I felt extremely behind when I first found out what a HF was would be an understatement. from my seat I can see ~35ppl, and none of them (yes, 0) has similar background to mine","hashtags":[],"conv":"1775155975873298548","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1775487330280706079","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":245,"retweets":10,"replies":27,"quotes":5,"views":118450,"bookmarks":145,"media":["1775155975873298548_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/quantymacro/status/1775155975873298548"},"1563905513938907138":{"id":"1563905513938907138","date":"2022-08-28 15:05:05","author":"🅰️LB🅰️","handle":"ALBACapMgmt","text":"When did coders become builders ?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1563905513938907138","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ALBACapMgmt/status/1563905513938907138"},"1280235689968381952":{"id":"1280235689968381952","date":"2020-07-06 20:22:28","author":"Quantіan","handle":"quantian1","text":"My proposal calls for various fields to be assigned strict caps of linear regressions per year.  If, for instance, economists wish to perform additional regressions, they would need to purchase the excess supply of a field not using its capacity (like chemists) at a market rate.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1280235689968381952","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":211,"retweets":21,"replies":9,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/quantian1/status/1280235689968381952"},"1950072468988739884":{"id":"1950072468988739884","date":"2025-07-29 05:54:41","author":"Rohan 🦆","handle":"G3ni3sWish","text":"What Options related opinion do you have that will have people like this?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1950072468988739884","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1950083518056300991","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":81,"retweets":3,"replies":46,"quotes":36,"views":243468,"bookmarks":51,"media":["1950072468988739884_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/G3ni3sWish/status/1950072468988739884"},"1517159737426595841":{"id":"1517159737426595841","date":"2022-04-21 15:14:03","author":"Pavel Asparouhov","handle":"Pavel_Asparagus","text":"I don't think a single time in my life I've thought \"yeah, I really want to hear about this guy's b2b SaaS startup in the middle of this party\" yet it keeps happening","hashtags":[],"conv":"1517159737426595841","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1517542537552138241","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":637,"retweets":10,"replies":23,"quotes":5,"views":0,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Pavel_Asparagus/status/1517159737426595841"},"1435078126925586432":{"id":"1435078126925586432","date":"2021-09-07 03:11:02","author":"Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️","handle":"bennpeifert","text":"Periodic reminder that one of the most innocuously annoying fintwit formats is\n\n\"X <asset> isn't buying Y's <loosely statistically correlated other asset> move today\"\n\nlet's do better together","hashtags":[],"conv":"1435078126925586432","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":104,"retweets":4,"replies":15,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bennpeifert/status/1435078126925586432"},"1596724385200553984":{"id":"1596724385200553984","date":"2022-11-27 04:35:33","author":"Antonio García Martínez (agm.eth)","handle":"antoniogm","text":"Big day in the Americanization of La Petite: she got a baseball glove today. \n\nShe might go to lycée, but she will have the overhand throw of someone from a non-soccer country, by God.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1596724385200553984","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":112,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/antoniogm/status/1596724385200553984"},"1498359309675204614":{"id":"1498359309675204614","date":"2022-02-28 18:07:52","author":"Mo Peiyan","handle":"pmontu33","text":"What’s the deal with all the “get solar panels at no cost” ads? Anybody knows the catch?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1498359309675204614","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/pmontu33/status/1498359309675204614"},"1763307366001295816":{"id":"1763307366001295816","date":"2024-02-29 20:56:51","author":"shreeda","handle":"freeshreeda","text":"I profiled @dwarkesh_sp https://meridian.mercury.com/dwarkesh-patel","hashtags":[],"conv":"1763307366001295816","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":269,"retweets":23,"replies":19,"quotes":6,"views":60043,"bookmarks":152,"media":["1763307366001295816_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/freeshreeda/status/1763307366001295816"},"1909553466391114196":{"id":"1909553466391114196","date":"2025-04-08 10:26:38","author":"Brian Lui","handle":"brianluidog","text":"Why is Australia not buying American beef? 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The stock market is better, in part because depending on your approach, it's not as zero sum.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1270401389445947395","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":280,"retweets":16,"replies":40,"quotes":6,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheStalwart/status/1270401389445947395"},"1462188125317332996":{"id":"1462188125317332996","date":"2021-11-20 22:36:29","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"Whatever size you ape into a shitty ohm fork, you will never be happy with it. \n\nOne of @AgustinLebron3's Laws of Trading, I believe","hashtags":[],"conv":"1462188125317332996","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":44,"retweets":1,"replies":9,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1462188125317332996"},"1950083518056300991":{"id":"1950083518056300991","date":"2025-07-29 06:38:36","author":"Tim","handle":"VolaTim","text":"Options are a fantastic entry level product for retail traders","hashtags":[],"conv":"1950083518056300991","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":111,"retweets":1,"replies":13,"quotes":1,"views":20640,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/VolaTim/status/1950083518056300991"},"1820134536904089800":{"id":"1820134536904089800","date":"2024-08-04 16:27:44","author":"Morning Brew ☕️","handle":"MorningBrew","text":"Kristen Faulkner left the world of venture capital in 2021 to pursue the dream of professional cycling\n\nToday, she won gold at the Olympics","hashtags":[],"conv":"1820134536904089800","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1820263844255772715","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":676,"retweets":38,"replies":10,"quotes":31,"views":459531,"bookmarks":33,"media":["1820134536904089800_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/MorningBrew/status/1820134536904089800"},"1492168998548615172":{"id":"1492168998548615172","date":"2022-02-11 16:09:47","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"More people should be following @be20684347 in my opinion.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1492168998548615172","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1492168998548615172"},"1545412862851649539":{"id":"1545412862851649539","date":"2022-07-08 14:21:53","author":"Gary Basin","handle":"garybasin","text":"Being a main character is a trap. 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Props to humanity","hashtags":[],"conv":"1845501728617058796","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":49,"retweets":3,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":4513,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/alz_zyd_/status/1845501728617058796"},"1240273442001367040":{"id":"1240273442001367040","date":"2020-03-18 13:46:46","author":"The Factor Report","handle":"PeterLBrandt","text":"If any of you are planning to bottom fish (catch a falling knife), make sure you are wearing your steel mesh hand gloves","hashtags":[],"conv":"1240273442001367040","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":484,"retweets":78,"replies":52,"quotes":7,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":["1240273442001367040_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/PeterLBrandt/status/1240273442001367040"},"1342955939452751872":{"id":"1342955939452751872","date":"2020-12-26 22:10:21","author":"Mark Suster","handle":"msuster","text":"I recently bookmarked to order on Amazon. 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Hope the book is great.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1342955939452751872","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":101,"retweets":1,"replies":34,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/msuster/status/1342955939452751872"},"1486260440980201474":{"id":"1486260440980201474","date":"2022-01-26 08:51:17","author":"Kevin M","handle":"JKevin2011","text":"@quangvdo @FREAK0NAUT @SamWMcAlpine @darjohn25 @AgustinLebron3 Prime Westbrook > Ja","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486134955990077440","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/JKevin2011/status/1486260440980201474"},"1548423961691664384":{"id":"1548423961691664384","date":"2022-07-16 21:46:55","author":"Mihir","handle":"__mihir","text":"You are the average of the 5 people you spend the most time with. \n\nThat’s why every quarter, I evaluate myself and my friends on 3 key criteria:\n\n- Income\n- Fitness\n- Influence\n\nAnyone who scores below me is cut off.\n\nComplacency is the first step towards mediocrity.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1548423961691664384","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1548523569524551681","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5076,"retweets":483,"replies":2161,"quotes":2420,"views":0,"bookmarks":1246,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/__mihir/status/1548423961691664384"},"1501570561071321093":{"id":"1501570561071321093","date":"2022-03-09 14:48:14","author":"jacob","handle":"thal0x","text":"math is something i struggled with a bit in school so ive been trying to spend some time relearning it lately. ive been using textbooks, but does anybody have any other recommendations for learning? primarily interested in statistics and calculus","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501570561071321093","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":101,"retweets":5,"replies":64,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":51,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/thal0x/status/1501570561071321093"},"1716508811073323010":{"id":"1716508811073323010","date":"2023-10-23 17:36:06","author":"Adi","handle":"adi_baradwaj","text":"Great point which has been too often overlooked\n\nSam really WAS a believer in EA and utilitarianism\n\nIt’s precisely the combination of utilitarianism + bad application of Bayesian statistics that enabled him to justify his crazy decisions","hashtags":[],"conv":"1716508811073323010","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":3605,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/adi_baradwaj/status/1716508811073323010"},"1592330189006327808":{"id":"1592330189006327808","date":"2022-11-15 01:34:35","author":"⚡️🌙","handle":"dystopiabreaker","text":"you have to call NYT support to cancel your subscription","hashtags":[],"conv":"1592330189006327808","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":107,"retweets":8,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dystopiabreaker/status/1592330189006327808"},"1582398932197396480":{"id":"1582398932197396480","date":"2022-10-18 15:51:19","author":"Byrne Hobart","handle":"ByrneHobart","text":"Parents: is it a good or bad idea to teach your kids fast mental arithmetic. 6-year-old has been doing https://www.mathtrainer.io/ for a few days and seems to enjoy it, and it's a good way to practice the habit of practicing. 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Store up that feeling for the future theta pain.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1390654113562648576","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgoHen/status/1390654738052616192"},"1354234539506339840":{"id":"1354234539506339840","date":"2021-01-27 01:07:29","author":"Dave Nadig","handle":"DaveNadig","text":"My Latest: $GME, TikTok, Semantic Density & RegNMS. It's not the '90s, and it's not (really) about gamma. This time it's different. (With embarrassing quotes from failures past.) https://www.etftrends.com/2021/01/semantic-density-algos-gamestop-this-time-its-different/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1354234539506339840","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1354236654123438081","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":186,"retweets":21,"replies":12,"quotes":18,"views":0,"bookmarks":46,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/DaveNadig/status/1354234539506339840"},"1770195493554999775":{"id":"1770195493554999775","date":"2024-03-19 21:07:48","author":"peepeepoopoo","handle":"DeepDishEnjoyer","text":"That's true! Your prior should be that markets are pretty damn efficient though.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1770195493554999775","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":40,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":6069,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/DeepDishEnjoyer/status/1770195493554999775"},"1379794800988282880":{"id":"1379794800988282880","date":"2021-04-07 13:54:50","author":"Sid Verma","handle":"_SidVerma","text":"Value stocks are infrastructure","hashtags":[],"conv":"1379794800988282880","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":203,"retweets":6,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/_SidVerma/status/1379794800988282880"},"1518678300633227267":{"id":"1518678300633227267","date":"2022-04-25 19:48:17","author":"Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️","handle":"choffstein","text":"If SBF is trying to push crypto through the regulatory machine, I’m not sure this latest appearance on the Odd Lots podcast did him any favors.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1518678300633227267","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":261,"retweets":3,"replies":16,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":17,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/choffstein/status/1518678300633227267"},"1683213798386147329":{"id":"1683213798386147329","date":"2023-07-23 20:33:36","author":"Linda Yaccarino","handle":"lindayaX","text":"It’s an exceptionally rare thing – in life or in business – that you get a second chance to make another big impression. Twitter made one massive impression and changed the way we communicate. Now, X will go further, transforming the global town square.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1683213798386147329","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27446,"retweets":3782,"replies":5475,"quotes":4548,"views":16979015,"bookmarks":957,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/lindayaX/status/1683213798386147329"},"1978016875297513804":{"id":"1978016875297513804","date":"2025-10-14 08:35:47","author":"Ven","handle":"edgefills","text":"It’s easy to just point the finger at overregulation, when it’s more of a revealed preference of the population that would prefer things stay mostly predictable. The complacency is so pervasive that there’s nothing to drive manic energy to “do shit”","hashtags":[],"conv":"1978016875297513804","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1143,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/edgefills/status/1978016875297513804"},"1517303314693599232":{"id":"1517303314693599232","date":"2022-04-22 00:44:35","author":"Rajiv Patel-O’Connor","handle":"rajivpoc","text":"what are your favorite number theory problem sets (intro and intermediate undergrad level)? looking for reps to build proficiency and intuition not additional educational materials","hashtags":[],"conv":"1517303314693599232","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/rajivpoc/status/1517303314693599232"},"1594832117099282432":{"id":"1594832117099282432","date":"2022-11-21 23:16:21","author":"elPythonQuantador","handle":"ThePythonQuant","text":"I’ve been asked to write a thread on how retail traders can get started in Quant Trading, and what to do without an institutional setup. There’s a lot to learn, so please don’t complain later that I didn’t warn you!  🧵","hashtags":[],"conv":"1594832117099282432","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":705,"retweets":132,"replies":24,"quotes":6,"views":0,"bookmarks":969,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ThePythonQuant/status/1594832117099282432"},"1980217813475504281":{"id":"1980217813475504281","date":"2025-10-20 10:21:32","author":"sasuke⚡420","handle":"sasuke___420","text":"Neither Andrej Karpathy nor this poodle on the street currently work at a frontier AI lab. Therefor their opinions carry equal weight.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1980217813475504281","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":116,"retweets":3,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":27115,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/sasuke___420/status/1980217813475504281"},"1655972750404485133":{"id":"1655972750404485133","date":"2023-05-09 16:27:24","author":"Gary Basin","handle":"garybasin","text":"An entire generation or two of enterprise software cos were built on the idea that making it as-a-service with a shiny UI is a gamechanger. It wasn't really, just a minor upgrade. But building these companies AI-first probably is. First single person billion$ co when?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1655972750404485133","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1989,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/garybasin/status/1655972750404485133"},"1690445203029557248":{"id":"1690445203029557248","date":"2023-08-12 19:28:38","author":"Loris","handle":"0xLoris","text":"we got our vol auto-fitter mostly ironed out\n\nthe idea is to fit a curve to market vols, along a pre-specificed number of knots (nodes), using cubic spline interpolation\n\nthen run this once per second 24/7\n\nplus manual adjustment layer on top for discretionary adjustments","hashtags":[],"conv":"1690445203029557248","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":64,"retweets":1,"replies":15,"quotes":0,"views":15714,"bookmarks":58,"media":["1690445203029557248_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0xLoris/status/1690445203029557248"},"1511746492071133193":{"id":"1511746492071133193","date":"2022-04-06 16:43:45","author":"Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️","handle":"choffstein","text":"any smart thoughts on why $EEM sees these streaky creates when $IEMG is cheaper and trades with a similar spread?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1511746492071133193","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/choffstein/status/1511746492071133193"},"1480090162184945664":{"id":"1480090162184945664","date":"2022-01-09 08:12:48","author":"David Taggart-PDMacro.com","handle":"DavidTaggart","text":"Do any of you use Power BI? I have used it a bit and am looking at going down that rabbit hole but wondering if you have different software you like more, or just good/bad experiences with BI","hashtags":[],"conv":"1480090162184945664","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/DavidTaggart/status/1480090162184945664"},"1365324298836140040":{"id":"1365324298836140040","date":"2021-02-26 15:34:13","author":"Hari P. Krishnan","handle":"HariPKrishnan2","text":"geeky note: if you take a log normal process, i.e. return = drift * (time step) + vol * sqrt(time step) * (random draw) & adjust the drift based on dealer demand for deltas, proportional to -(open interest)*(dealer gamma), you get fat tails even in a constant vol setup.  amazing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1365324298836140040","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":93,"retweets":5,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":31,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/HariPKrishnan2/status/1365324298836140040"},"1264542177574584320":{"id":"1264542177574584320","date":"2020-05-24 13:02:03","author":"Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️","handle":"bennpeifert","text":"Some notes on these volatility/derivatives interview questions since there is limited space to state all these details over and over again in each post.\n\n1) This is just fun and educational. Please treat it that way, the vast majority of people do.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1264542177574584320","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1501712267515084804","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":610,"retweets":51,"replies":15,"quotes":8,"views":0,"bookmarks":583,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bennpeifert/status/1264542177574584320"},"1379220806924959745":{"id":"1379220806924959745","date":"2021-04-05 23:53:59","author":"Mitchell Rosenthal","handle":"M1tchRosenthal","text":"@AnalystDC Yup I figured out how to get the confidence intervals. Im trying to get one summary measure, like R2, that I can use to rank each potential variables correlation with my dependent var, but I want that measure to consider (penalize) wider confidence ints","hashtags":[],"conv":"1379217660588740616","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/M1tchRosenthal/status/1379220806924959745"},"1494032922281717764":{"id":"1494032922281717764","date":"2022-02-16 19:36:21","author":"Freak0naut","handle":"FREAK0NAUT","text":"I am .55 inside the mid and your boys will not fill me  @KrisAbdelmessih  @AgustinLebron3 \n\nwho says the MMs have to trade...\n\nam i not good to them? do i not rebalance multiple times a day?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494032922281717764","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/FREAK0NAUT/status/1494032922281717764"},"1633585795545149443":{"id":"1633585795545149443","date":"2023-03-08 21:49:38","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"@lightspringfox It’s not really supposed to capture regime change. Say you have something that fits to last 30 days. The most recent 24h is 3.3% of your sample, and probably the most important because it’s most recent. Just ignoring it seems suboptimal.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633555799283777540","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":3460,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1633585795545149443"},"1249665745295945729":{"id":"1249665745295945729","date":"2020-04-13 11:48:26","author":"julesh","handle":"_julesh_","text":"Periodic reminder that most people live inside this circle","hashtags":[],"conv":"1249665745295945729","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":391,"retweets":67,"replies":8,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":15,"media":["1249665745295945729_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/_julesh_/status/1249665745295945729"},"1541615584307298309":{"id":"1541615584307298309","date":"2022-06-28 02:52:51","author":"Joel Rubano","handle":"TCK_JRubano","text":"@nope_its_lily @AgustinLebron3 I definitely have, and it makes sense. Individuals with no allegiance or respect for “the way we always do it here” unconstrained by the career path treadmill and with a desire to show up everyone who came before them is an excellent recipe for absurd bursts of productivity.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1541584791568470016","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TCK_JRubano/status/1541615584307298309"},"1694447471714550143":{"id":"1694447471714550143","date":"2023-08-23 20:32:13","author":"Paul Graham","handle":"paulg","text":"The combination of old, grand, and rural is very pleasing. It's common in Britain but rare in most of the rest of the world. It's just about nonexistent in America.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1694447471714550143","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":415,"retweets":29,"replies":33,"quotes":2,"views":142993,"bookmarks":40,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/paulg/status/1694447471714550143"},"1486782760090062849":{"id":"1486782760090062849","date":"2022-01-27 19:26:47","author":"Joel Rubano","handle":"TCK_JRubano","text":"So, you want to trade natural gas? Check out this 1-minute chart:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486782760090062849","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1486782760090062849_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TCK_JRubano/status/1486782760090062849"},"1708968299340456011":{"id":"1708968299340456011","date":"2023-10-02 22:12:48","author":"Martin Shkreli (e/acc)","handle":"wagieeacc","text":"Jane Street hired Sam's younger brother, Gabe. His first year he made $300k, then $600k. They told him he would eventually make $15-$75m/year.\n\nHe was still depressed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1708968299340456011","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1703,"retweets":47,"replies":37,"quotes":13,"views":459334,"bookmarks":265,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/wagieeacc/status/1708968299340456011"},"1982965487123476814":{"id":"1982965487123476814","date":"2025-10-28 00:19:48","author":"near","handle":"nearcyan","text":"it's low-status to have ethical concerns in silicon valley. people give you a buzzkilling glare. gambling for kids? they love it, check out our revenue. finetuning chatgpt to maximize conversation length? what, do you hate innovation? investing in directly competing companies? cmon man we're saving humanity here and im the main character","hashtags":[],"conv":"1982965487123476814","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1983428743747285477","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4347,"retweets":199,"replies":90,"quotes":55,"views":786600,"bookmarks":651,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/nearcyan/status/1982965487123476814"},"1458926233647869964":{"id":"1458926233647869964","date":"2021-11-11 22:34:54","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"Pssst... Don't tell anyone I told you this... But 69% of \"quant trading\" is Excel hooked up to TT.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1458926233647869964","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":264,"retweets":11,"replies":25,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":48,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1458926233647869964"},"1322162176753242117":{"id":"1322162176753242117","date":"2020-10-30 13:03:22","author":"experquisite","handle":"experquisite","text":".@Robot_Wealth brought up a good point, indirectly. The @quantopian community was far more open and, dare I say, fun, before the contests started. It was never clear at that point how they would make money, but even having a handful of legit folks collaborating on algos was great","hashtags":[],"conv":"1322162176753242117","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/experquisite/status/1322162176753242117"},"1585674717691752448":{"id":"1585674717691752448","date":"2022-10-27 16:48:07","author":"Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️","handle":"choffstein","text":"\"Corey, how's your year going?\"\n\n\"Well, I was on a panel about institutional investing with a gnarly mustache, drawstring pants, and boots branded with revolvers.  Interpret that how you will.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1585674717691752448","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":121,"retweets":1,"replies":31,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1585674717691752448_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/choffstein/status/1585674717691752448"},"1830984118039126173":{"id":"1830984118039126173","date":"2024-09-03 15:00:06","author":"near","handle":"nearcyan","text":"claude and i are building a hardware lab in one of my spare rooms please link me cool things to buy","hashtags":[],"conv":"1830984118039126173","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":463,"retweets":4,"replies":70,"quotes":1,"views":55577,"bookmarks":128,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/nearcyan/status/1830984118039126173"},"1716344877175476331":{"id":"1716344877175476331","date":"2023-10-23 06:44:41","author":"Amjad Masad","handle":"amasad","text":"The most striking thing about this book was how much of SBF's life choices were faithfully guided by his \"ethics.\" An extreme version of Utilitarianism popularized by Effective Altruism (and the associated misapplication of probability theory).\n\nHe really is a true believer.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1716344877175476331","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1716508811073323010","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":154,"retweets":5,"replies":18,"quotes":4,"views":64320,"bookmarks":48,"media":["1716344877175476331_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/amasad/status/1716344877175476331"},"1822275840857489850":{"id":"1822275840857489850","date":"2024-08-10 14:16:31","author":"alz","handle":"alz_zyd_","text":"The message of Good Will Hunting ultimately is that humankind's personal freedom is more valuable than any sense of social duty that comes with God's gift of talent","hashtags":[],"conv":"1822275840857489850","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2479,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/alz_zyd_/status/1822275840857489850"},"1506629569759035405":{"id":"1506629569759035405","date":"2022-03-23 13:50:55","author":"Hide Not Slide","handle":"HideNotSlide","text":"Another canceled nickel session on LME today\n\njfc","hashtags":[],"conv":"1506629569759035405","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1506712077263511559","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":268,"retweets":55,"replies":24,"quotes":46,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":["1506629569759035405_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/HideNotSlide/status/1506629569759035405"},"1542600736210427904":{"id":"1542600736210427904","date":"2022-06-30 20:07:30","author":"Laura 🌲 ⛰️","handle":"LauraDeming","text":"I recently read and enjoyed ‘Less’, ‘Overstory’, and ‘The Idiot’ - before that, I hadn’t read many Pulitzer Prize or finalist books. Any suggestions for other books in that category?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542600736210427904","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":18,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":25,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/LauraDeming/status/1542600736210427904"},"1579638456799883265":{"id":"1579638456799883265","date":"2022-10-11 01:02:11","author":"John Carmack","handle":"ID_AA_Carmack","text":"I’m looking forward to the moon and Mars having indigenous people.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1579638456799883265","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1579855753737035776","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3808,"retweets":189,"replies":305,"quotes":55,"views":0,"bookmarks":29,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ID_AA_Carmack/status/1579638456799883265"},"1541994841743233024":{"id":"1541994841743233024","date":"2022-06-29 03:59:53","author":"Jessica Nutt","handle":"JessicaNutt96","text":"i'm going to steal this from @EmanuelDerman but you should think of BS as a way of comparing different options the way you compare houses using price/sqft. it summarizes a complicated asset into a single number that makes them easier to compare despite not being the \"true\" model","hashtags":[],"conv":"1541994841743233024","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":223,"retweets":22,"replies":11,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":99,"media":["1541994841743233024_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/JessicaNutt96/status/1541994841743233024"},"1784996262183370993":{"id":"1784996262183370993","date":"2024-04-29 17:20:47","author":"Alex Lieberman","handle":"businessbarista","text":"Unless you're an A-list celeb, big media co, or plan to sell your audience a high $ product, it makes no sense for you to launch a podcast right now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1784996262183370993","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1785303373547229479","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":368,"retweets":16,"replies":123,"quotes":58,"views":265509,"bookmarks":109,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/businessbarista/status/1784996262183370993"},"1693721277716898094":{"id":"1693721277716898094","date":"2023-08-21 20:26:35","author":"Gary Basin","handle":"garybasin","text":"palantir is just bloomberg for police stations","hashtags":[],"conv":"1693721277716898094","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":86,"retweets":5,"replies":8,"quotes":1,"views":6701,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/garybasin/status/1693721277716898094"},"1843455627898826826":{"id":"1843455627898826826","date":"2024-10-08 00:57:26","author":"arb8020","handle":"arb8020","text":"anyone know good blog posts/similar on debugging techniques? not like how to use a debugger but like strategies/high level concepts","hashtags":[],"conv":"1843455627898826826","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":1707,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/arb8020/status/1843455627898826826"},"1974571988170821701":{"id":"1974571988170821701","date":"2025-10-04 20:27:02","author":"Daniel Litt","handle":"littmath","text":"I am skeptical that serving Grok 4 Heavy indefinitely “will have impacted science and truth seeking more than any human.”","hashtags":[],"conv":"1974571988170821701","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":171,"retweets":0,"replies":17,"quotes":2,"views":12988,"bookmarks":6,"media":["1974571988170821701_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/littmath/status/1974571988170821701"},"1782822334597853534":{"id":"1782822334597853534","date":"2024-04-23 17:22:22","author":"Matt Reardon","handle":"Mjreard","text":"Actually After Hours #3 with @dwarkesh_sp now on the 80k YT channel and 80k After Hours podcast feed!\n\n@ardenlkoehler, Huon, and I cover Dwarkesh's rise and our perspectives on AI, talent, & 80k strategy. Unfortunately, we still don't know what's up with the trapper hat…","hashtags":[],"conv":"1782822334597853534","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1791960961798012935","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":44,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":4,"views":36177,"bookmarks":32,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Mjreard/status/1782822334597853534"},"1372543677608947716":{"id":"1372543677608947716","date":"2021-03-18 13:41:28","author":"Hans Noel","handle":"ProfHansNoel","text":"This piece from @mattyglesias is really good.\n\nMeritocracy is bad https://www.slowboring.com/p/meritocracy-is-bad?utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&utm_source=twitter","hashtags":[],"conv":"1372543677608947716","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":178,"retweets":14,"replies":25,"quotes":8,"views":0,"bookmarks":67,"media":["1372543677608947716_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ProfHansNoel/status/1372543677608947716"},"1278811744966606848":{"id":"1278811744966606848","date":"2020-07-02 22:04:13","author":"Balaji","handle":"balajis","text":"Wow, great scoop! Possibly illegal recording of @FeliciaHorowitz, @rolandsmartin, @NaithanJones, and me quotes us verbatim as standing up for founders who are harassed by NYT journalists for clicks.\n\nCheck it:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1278811744966606848","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":790,"retweets":94,"replies":36,"quotes":17,"views":0,"bookmarks":42,"media":["1278811744966606848_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1278811744966606848"},"1491118894664515584":{"id":"1491118894664515584","date":"2022-02-08 18:37:02","author":"Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️","handle":"bennpeifert","text":"Hi folks, favor to ask: \n\nI get many q's about what orgs hire entry level (straight out of school or recent graduates without direct experience). Big banks and asset managers and MMs  fall into that category. But if you know firms that do, can you please mention them here?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1491118894664515584","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1491163354785845253","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":162,"retweets":23,"replies":41,"quotes":5,"views":0,"bookmarks":134,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bennpeifert/status/1491118894664515584"},"1932969814655709340":{"id":"1932969814655709340","date":"2025-06-12 01:14:51","author":"Ana","handle":"wavelettes","text":"commercial air travel is a state-sanctioned humiliation ritual","hashtags":[],"conv":"1932969814655709340","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":46,"retweets":5,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":3468,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/wavelettes/status/1932969814655709340"},"1922698714834952625":{"id":"1922698714834952625","date":"2025-05-14 17:01:10","author":"Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️","handle":"choffstein","text":"the sheer audacity of the quote.\n\ni have to imagine the author is an alumn of the finest MBA programs and consulting firms.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1922698714834952625","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":56,"retweets":2,"replies":48,"quotes":0,"views":11700,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/choffstein/status/1922698714834952625"},"1620594620660056065":{"id":"1620594620660056065","date":"2023-02-01 01:27:21","author":"Brett Harrison","handle":"BrettHarrison","text":"A short while into writing code for Architect in Rust (my nth language and I’m still slow), ChatGPT has become indispensable. I don’t think I’ve looked at StackOverflow once.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1620594620660056065","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":109,"retweets":10,"replies":7,"quotes":3,"views":19477,"bookmarks":3,"media":["1620594620660056065_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/BrettHarrison/status/1620594620660056065"},"1383133873165508611":{"id":"1383133873165508611","date":"2021-04-16 19:03:07","author":"Cred","handle":"CryptoCred","text":"TechnicalRoundup #7 with @kyled116 is live.\n\nWe discuss 3AC in detail & cover topical themes.\n\nNot going to attempt a summary; far too many insights in under an hour.\n\nSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/episode/7kq0t9HqKeZ1R3POB81aBp?si=eBn8V5KORgejyGkJlOCX9Q\n\nYouTube (w/ timestamps): https://youtu.be/k5cnyHVOOC8","hashtags":[],"conv":"1383133873165508611","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1389388161764274178","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":219,"retweets":34,"replies":15,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":51,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/CryptoCred/status/1383133873165508611"},"1537150460615720960":{"id":"1537150460615720960","date":"2022-06-15 19:10:03","author":"Jay Soloff","handle":"jsoloff","text":"Better be careful out there, or the VIX Snake gonna getcha. @bennpeifert @vixologist","hashtags":[],"conv":"1537150460615720960","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":52,"retweets":2,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1537150460615720960_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/jsoloff/status/1537150460615720960"},"1295871838585630725":{"id":"1295871838585630725","date":"2020-08-18 23:54:57","author":"Michael Nielsen","handle":"michael_nielsen","text":"Is there a good way to embed LaTeX mathematical typesetting in email?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1295871838585630725","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":42,"retweets":0,"replies":12,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/michael_nielsen/status/1295871838585630725"},"1625708669621923841":{"id":"1625708669621923841","date":"2023-02-15 04:08:45","author":"Brett Harrison","handle":"BrettHarrison","text":"I introduced my son to a label maker and I got rugged","hashtags":[],"conv":"1625708669621923841","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":179,"retweets":3,"replies":10,"quotes":2,"views":25574,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1625708669621923841_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/BrettHarrison/status/1625708669621923841"},"1947268555826700453":{"id":"1947268555826700453","date":"2025-07-21 12:12:56","author":"david","handle":"sdav1986","text":"„You must not have an ISDA“ my new favourite meme line. And for the records, Steve is very sophisticated!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1947268555826700453","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":242,"retweets":6,"replies":12,"quotes":0,"views":29688,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/sdav1986/status/1947268555826700453"},"1850665893870571877":{"id":"1850665893870571877","date":"2024-10-27 22:28:27","author":"Teortaxes▶️ (DeepSeek 推特🐋铁粉 2023 – ∞)","handle":"teortaxesTex","text":"Gwern may prove to be the most important intellectual of the era. Maybe Yud; not Scott.\nJust on merit of like three well-written essays that were read by people of long will.\n\nProbably:\nThe Scaling Hypothesis\nEmbryo Selection For Intelligence\nWhy Tool AIs Want to Be Agent AIs","hashtags":[],"conv":"1850665893870571877","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":601,"retweets":14,"replies":21,"quotes":5,"views":50466,"bookmarks":567,"media":["1850665893870571877_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/teortaxesTex/status/1850665893870571877"},"1980076866624278732":{"id":"1980076866624278732","date":"2025-10-20 01:01:27","author":"roon","handle":"tszzl","text":"there’s a missing mood regarding the sin of gambling. people don’t admit that it’s a core civilizational instinct to bet on things. America is a casino","hashtags":[],"conv":"1980076866624278732","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":661,"retweets":15,"replies":78,"quotes":22,"views":68486,"bookmarks":62,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tszzl/status/1980076866624278732"},"1153327574619213825":{"id":"1153327574619213825","date":"2019-07-22 15:34:56","author":"Kevin Drum","handle":"kdrum","text":"\"The more I read about education, the more I think everyone should give in and just admit that conservatives have it largely right. Direct instruction works. Phonics works. Discipline works.\" https://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2019/07/mindset-training-is-a-bust/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1153327574619213825","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":12,"replies":18,"quotes":6,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":["1153327574619213825_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/kdrum/status/1153327574619213825"},"1721997942490280133":{"id":"1721997942490280133","date":"2023-11-07 21:07:57","author":"Michael Brown","handle":"MrMBrown","text":"The miracle of compounding… \n\n“$1 invested in U.S. large company stocks in 1824 was worth $16 million in Oct 2023 with dividends reinvested” (BofA)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1721997942490280133","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1722015039253557715","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":137,"retweets":25,"replies":52,"quotes":42,"views":463451,"bookmarks":18,"media":["1721997942490280133_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/MrMBrown/status/1721997942490280133"},"1748383159493046538":{"id":"1748383159493046538","date":"2024-01-19 16:33:23","author":"ben hsieh","handle":"tweetsbenedict","text":"i'm very much here myself (want kids to be homeschooled, don't have the existing aptitude for it). \n\nbut i think i can learn. what are good resources for learning to be a good teacher for young kids? guidance on curriculum, attitude, energy levels etc all welcome","hashtags":[],"conv":"1748383159493046538","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":2543,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tweetsbenedict/status/1748383159493046538"},"1630694868778618880":{"id":"1630694868778618880","date":"2023-02-28 22:22:08","author":"Max Resnick","handle":"MaxResnick","text":"Isn't it strange that the amount of time dedicated to math in gradeschool has not changed in a hundred years? Math is way more important now than it was 50 years ago, but it's still just 1 hour a day.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1630694868778618880","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":31,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":5099,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/MaxResnick/status/1630694868778618880"},"1979625687980863744":{"id":"1979625687980863744","date":"2025-10-18 19:08:38","author":"Jeff Sackmann","handle":"tennisabstract","text":"Shocked by the size of these No Kings protests -- I had no idea people had such strong feelings about Sinner and Alcaraz","hashtags":[],"conv":"1979625687980863744","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":67,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":7,"views":4061,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tennisabstract/status/1979625687980863744"},"2019532380801802292":{"id":"2019532380801802292","date":"2026-02-05 22:03:35","author":"Zvi Mowshowitz","handle":"TheZvi","text":"In addition to being a sign error this seems like a problem with the expectations?","hashtags":[],"conv":"2019532380801802292","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":78,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":12615,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheZvi/status/2019532380801802292"},"1868493969874944253":{"id":"1868493969874944253","date":"2024-12-16 03:10:52","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"Asking for a friend...\n\n10 year old seems to be interested in coding. Parents don't know anything about coding and want to know where I should point them. \n\nWhat's the latest great way to onboard from a cold start? \n\nTy!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1868493969874944253","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":89,"retweets":2,"replies":39,"quotes":0,"views":33768,"bookmarks":105,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1868493969874944253"},"1970140013427106272":{"id":"1970140013427106272","date":"2025-09-22 14:55:57","author":"Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️","handle":"bennpeifert","text":"All you libertarian fanboys are so tiresome. Back to my hole.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970140013427106272","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":553,"retweets":23,"replies":42,"quotes":1,"views":54677,"bookmarks":33,"media":["1970140013427106272_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bennpeifert/status/1970140013427106272"},"1478518503388762112":{"id":"1478518503388762112","date":"2022-01-05 00:07:35","author":"Joshua","handle":"Iucidcapital","text":"Credit Suisse to lay off New York employees as it shuts hedge fund division | Crain's New York Business https://www.crainsnewyork.com/finance/credit-suisse-lay-new-york-employees-it-shuts-hedge-fund-division","hashtags":[],"conv":"1478518503388762112","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1479145231366905859","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":615,"retweets":123,"replies":35,"quotes":28,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":["1478518503388762112_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Iucidcapital/status/1478518503388762112"},"1486413760445173764":{"id":"1486413760445173764","date":"2022-01-26 19:00:31","author":"*Walter Bloomberg","handle":"DeItaone","text":"*FOMC Will Complete Monthly Bond-Buying Taper In Early March\n\n*FOMC: It Will Soon Be Appropriate To Raise Fed Funds Rate\n\n*FOMC: US Economy Continue To Improve, But Pandemic Weighing On Activity","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486413760445173764","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1486415263654420489","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":683,"retweets":230,"replies":11,"quotes":34,"views":0,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/DeItaone/status/1486413760445173764"},"1885801593175507057":{"id":"1885801593175507057","date":"2025-02-01 21:25:10","author":"Science Magazine","handle":"ScienceMagazine","text":"Scientists have developed a robotic hand exoskeleton that can passively train expert pianists to play faster keystrokes and overcome the ceiling effect in motor skills.\n\nRead more in @SciRobotics: https://scim.ag/4g1EQLY","hashtags":[],"conv":"1885801593175507057","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1886110734976762276","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":624,"retweets":115,"replies":48,"quotes":111,"views":195371,"bookmarks":195,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ScienceMagazine/status/1885801593175507057"},"1652310655805030401":{"id":"1652310655805030401","date":"2023-04-29 13:55:33","author":"Brett Harrison","handle":"BrettHarrison","text":"We have a daughter! \n\nNaomi Harrison and her family ❤️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1652310655805030401","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":944,"retweets":12,"replies":99,"quotes":2,"views":193919,"bookmarks":3,"media":["1652310655805030401_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/BrettHarrison/status/1652310655805030401"},"1783972821930250326":{"id":"1783972821930250326","date":"2024-04-26 21:34:00","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"Question for people who hire/interview candidates....\n\nIs my assumption correct that you shouldn't put anything on your CV's hobbies that seems like its to curry favor but you aren't serious about? Like playing poker with your buds.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1783972821930250326","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":44,"retweets":1,"replies":26,"quotes":1,"views":34087,"bookmarks":18,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1783972821930250326"},"1481740434208542721":{"id":"1481740434208542721","date":"2022-01-13 21:30:23","author":"Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️","handle":"bennpeifert","text":"still working on finding the right person for this project, in case you're an experienced operator feeling the compulsion to work on something new with us","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481740434208542721","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":60,"retweets":3,"replies":19,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bennpeifert/status/1481740434208542721"},"1424011395419578375":{"id":"1424011395419578375","date":"2021-08-07 14:15:48","author":"experquisite","handle":"experquisite","text":"@Mephisto731 My most cursed database was sql with tables with columns of vardata of xml where some xml values were (escaped) json. 🤗","hashtags":[],"conv":"1423927191440658434","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/experquisite/status/1424011395419578375"},"1404843470146129922":{"id":"1404843470146129922","date":"2021-06-15 16:49:18","author":"Speculator","handle":"TheSpeculator0","text":"you ever just loop through 10 years of vol surface parameters while not dividing your interest rate input by 100","hashtags":[],"conv":"1404843470146129922","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":34,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheSpeculator0/status/1404843470146129922"},"1479899914524139529":{"id":"1479899914524139529","date":"2022-01-08 19:36:49","author":"S","handle":"longskew","text":"@lightspringfox @macrocephalopod Yet Annie Duke is still paraded around by the financial world","hashtags":[],"conv":"1479798986231930883","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/longskew/status/1479899914524139529"},"1246206654716280838":{"id":"1246206654716280838","date":"2020-04-03 22:43:14","author":"Rohan Grey","handle":"rohangrey","text":"Lol remember when we got blasted for days for even raising the prospect of single payer food @NathanTankus? When was that, like 20 years ago now?\n\nhttps://abc7ny.com/nyc-free-meals-new-york-coronavirus-mayor-de-blasio/6072252/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1246206654716280838","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":59,"retweets":20,"replies":5,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":["1246206654716280838_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/rohangrey/status/1246206654716280838"},"1450521137658662916":{"id":"1450521137658662916","date":"2021-10-19 17:56:03","author":"Guy LeBas","handle":"lebas_janney","text":"Alright, I'll bite.\n\nSo what are these cube thingies anyway?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1450521137658662916","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/lebas_janney/status/1450521137658662916"},"1398763989606281216":{"id":"1398763989606281216","date":"2021-05-29 22:11:37","author":"Mitchell Rosenthal","handle":"M1tchRosenthal","text":"Ive realized a tempting sin is to look for statistical relationships during the entire sample. Now i'm trying to get more strict & only use first x% of historical data, then see how it does during the remaining. Sadly I rarely find anything. but I do think it's much more rigorous","hashtags":[],"conv":"1398763989606281216","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":46,"retweets":2,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/M1tchRosenthal/status/1398763989606281216"},"1868643076845306159":{"id":"1868643076845306159","date":"2024-12-16 13:03:21","author":"sky","handle":"notsky","text":"why does jane street use ocaml? wouldn't the overhead from immutability affect its speed when doing HFT?\n\ngonna watch this video and hope I get some answers","hashtags":[],"conv":"1868643076845306159","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1399,"retweets":25,"replies":41,"quotes":10,"views":571780,"bookmarks":1099,"media":["1868643076845306159_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/notsky/status/1868643076845306159"},"1868201597727342941":{"id":"1868201597727342941","date":"2024-12-15 07:49:05","author":"Tsarathustra","handle":"tsarnick","text":"OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar says the company is leaving the door open to a $2000/month subscription to its AI product which could serve as a \"replacement\" to hiring humans due to its PhD-level intelligence","hashtags":[],"conv":"1868201597727342941","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1868369817394458932","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1368,"retweets":173,"replies":190,"quotes":201,"views":793887,"bookmarks":468,"media":["1868201597727342941_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tsarnick/status/1868201597727342941"},"1477050081555763206":{"id":"1477050081555763206","date":"2021-12-31 22:52:36","author":"♡s♡","handle":"sun_girlxo","text":"has anyone grown up with a community/friend group/family in which the *majority* of marriages were healthy and long-lasting, and that was your main experience of the world?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477050081555763206","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2869,"retweets":72,"replies":520,"quotes":179,"views":0,"bookmarks":145,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/sun_girlxo/status/1477050081555763206"},"1507351784876093450":{"id":"1507351784876093450","date":"2022-03-25 13:40:45","author":"ByeBayeBae","handle":"sukhoiConvexity","text":"This guy is a rat bastard and no one should use him","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507351784876093450","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1507351784876093450_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/sukhoiConvexity/status/1507351784876093450"},"1388489589069910032":{"id":"1388489589069910032","date":"2021-05-01 13:44:49","author":"Lou Stagner (Golf Stat Pro)","handle":"LouStagner","text":"This is the correct answer. 🤣🤣🤣","hashtags":[],"conv":"1388489589069910032","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":314,"retweets":16,"replies":7,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1388489589069910032_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/LouStagner/status/1388489589069910032"},"1614805370593247232":{"id":"1614805370593247232","date":"2023-01-16 02:02:56","author":"typedfemale","handle":"typedfemale","text":"what learning rate schedule do *i* use? well, i start training the model, i open tensorboard and- are you aware of technical analysis? like people do in finance? so...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1614805370593247232","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":224,"retweets":4,"replies":10,"quotes":3,"views":64955,"bookmarks":23,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/typedfemale/status/1614805370593247232"},"1974217002580332709":{"id":"1974217002580332709","date":"2025-10-03 20:56:27","author":"Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️","handle":"bennpeifert","text":"Perpetual futures are a legitimately interesting and useful technological innovation from the crypto world. Tons of money gets lit on fire rolling from one maturity in ES futures into another. My friend Matty is working on this project, make sure to follow him and hit up his DMs","hashtags":[],"conv":"1974217002580332709","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":325,"retweets":11,"replies":39,"quotes":0,"views":55869,"bookmarks":123,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bennpeifert/status/1974217002580332709"},"1917364519548117504":{"id":"1917364519548117504","date":"2025-04-29 23:44:59","author":"0xFaust","handle":"0xFaust12","text":"Soon","hashtags":[],"conv":"1917364519548117504","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":96,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":10518,"bookmarks":52,"media":["1917364519548117504_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0xFaust12/status/1917364519548117504"},"1931165275518648520":{"id":"1931165275518648520","date":"2025-06-07 01:44:15","author":"Bryan Cheong","handle":"bryancsk","text":"Hey guys, what would y'all say is the worst kept secret of silicon valley?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1931165275518648520","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2691,"retweets":39,"replies":239,"quotes":38,"views":1240822,"bookmarks":878,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bryancsk/status/1931165275518648520"},"2031573755185463660":{"id":"2031573755185463660","date":"2026-03-11 03:31:42","author":"the Rich","handle":"Duderichy","text":"anytime someone promises you to beat treasuries, you’re taking on additional risk\n\nif they’re not being honest with you about it, they’re scamming you","hashtags":[],"conv":"2031573755185463660","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":189,"retweets":10,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":22028,"bookmarks":17,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Duderichy/status/2031573755185463660"},"1884378750067806516":{"id":"1884378750067806516","date":"2025-01-28 23:11:18","author":"effectfully","handle":"effectfully","text":"to people who clearly aren't anywhere close to qualifying for a position but still apply: fuck you","hashtags":[],"conv":"1884378750067806516","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":131,"retweets":1,"replies":17,"quotes":1,"views":10532,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/effectfully/status/1884378750067806516"},"1595726972428386306":{"id":"1595726972428386306","date":"2022-11-24 10:32:12","author":"WSJ Markets","handle":"WSJmarkets","text":"When Sam Bankman-Fried’s crypto empire went down in flames, so did his plans to save the world 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be sure if this is a typo or a subtle phrasing of the truth","hashtags":[],"conv":"1243282170162163715","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SinclairEuan/status/1243282170162163715"},"1369688815074349057":{"id":"1369688815074349057","date":"2021-03-10 16:37:15","author":"YT@quantext","handle":"BeingHorizontal","text":"Better to have runtime error on your code than it runs successfully and does something unexpected.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1369688815074349057","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/BeingHorizontal/status/1369688815074349057"},"1965054252943831335":{"id":"1965054252943831335","date":"2025-09-08 14:06:57","author":"Martin 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market structure question: market makers are willing to pay extra for flow from brokers whose customers they believe are uninformed. What stops traders from trading through these brokerages?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1784759655530459459","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":32,"retweets":1,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":15871,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ByrneHobart/status/1784759655530459459"},"1272223933303906304":{"id":"1272223933303906304","date":"2020-06-14 17:46:37","author":"Austen Allred","handle":"Austen","text":"What’s the most addicting video game of all-time?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1272223933303906304","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":378,"retweets":16,"replies":674,"quotes":94,"views":0,"bookmarks":53,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Austen/status/1272223933303906304"},"1942211621406883925":{"id":"1942211621406883925","date":"2025-07-07 13:18:29","author":"david","handle":"sdav1986","text":"South Korea?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942211621406883925","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":56,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":12704,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/sdav1986/status/1942211621406883925"},"1626671259542237186":{"id":"1626671259542237186","date":"2023-02-17 19:53:45","author":"arb8020","handle":"arb8020","text":"poker tourney in 4 hours\n\ngimme the pareto principle things to know (20% of info -> 80% of results)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1626671259542237186","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":45,"retweets":2,"replies":16,"quotes":1,"views":31755,"bookmarks":25,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/arb8020/status/1626671259542237186"},"1467933805872828432":{"id":"1467933805872828432","date":"2021-12-06 19:07:46","author":"Skanda Amarnath","handle":"IrvingSwisher","text":"We really need to raise the standards for numeracy and statistical literacy in this country.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1467933805872828432","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1467937002880442370","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":754,"retweets":42,"replies":37,"quotes":16,"views":0,"bookmarks":27,"media":["1467933805872828432_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/IrvingSwisher/status/1467933805872828432"},"1670961313688997888":{"id":"1670961313688997888","date":"2023-06-20 01:06:36","author":"Sam Altman","handle":"sama","text":"the efficient market hypothesis is interesting not only because it’s widely believed and obviously untrue, but also because it becomes more untrue the more people act as if it were true.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1670961313688997888","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1671003879922647047","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5555,"retweets":567,"replies":507,"quotes":191,"views":1400323,"bookmarks":609,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/sama/status/1670961313688997888"},"1602033797905596416":{"id":"1602033797905596416","date":"2022-12-11 20:13:16","author":"typedfemale","handle":"typedfemale","text":"any human endeavor can be replaced with the proxy objective of minimizing perplexity on common crawl ☕️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602033797905596416","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/typedfemale/status/1602033797905596416"},"1647335849267175424":{"id":"1647335849267175424","date":"2023-04-15 20:27:27","author":"Robin Hanson","handle":"robinhanson","text":"\"It’s Herbert Hoover’s fault. … He convened a committee that drafted a model act encouraging state governments to authorize local governments to do something new: zoning.\" https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/14/opinion/housing-nimby-zoning.html","hashtags":[],"conv":"1647335849267175424","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1647384602338525193","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":3,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":11915,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/robinhanson/status/1647335849267175424"},"1408141106638954503":{"id":"1408141106638954503","date":"2021-06-24 19:12:56","author":"Speculator","handle":"TheSpeculator0","text":"wait there's a swear filter on IB Chat. the fuck","hashtags":[],"conv":"1408141106638954503","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheSpeculator0/status/1408141106638954503"},"1948794849790210337":{"id":"1948794849790210337","date":"2025-07-25 17:17:53","author":"The Random Recruiter","handle":"randomrecruiter","text":"“I’m a Vice President at an investment bank.”","hashtags":[],"conv":"1948794849790210337","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1949155135487095045","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10253,"retweets":222,"replies":37,"quotes":24,"views":592815,"bookmarks":458,"media":["1948794849790210337_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/randomrecruiter/status/1948794849790210337"},"1304465144903204865":{"id":"1304465144903204865","date":"2020-09-11 17:01:40","author":"Sam Altman","handle":"sama","text":"Could I please get some new book recommendations?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1304465144903204865","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5549,"retweets":395,"replies":1076,"quotes":61,"views":0,"bookmarks":2012,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/sama/status/1304465144903204865"},"2078574362316165611":{"id":"2078574362316165611","date":"2026-07-18 20:15:20","author":"calle","handle":"callebtc","text":"I have a report full of security issues of a software I'm working on.\n\nCodex won't fix them because of Cyber guardrails\nFable won't fix them because of Cyber guardrails\n\nKimi K3 fixed them all. No restrictions, just gets the job done.\n\nThis will end badly for OpenAI & Anthropic.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2078574362316165611","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13159,"retweets":1133,"replies":266,"quotes":210,"views":2011942,"bookmarks":1817,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/callebtc/status/2078574362316165611"},"1443358436658274309":{"id":"1443358436658274309","date":"2021-09-29 23:34:02","author":"Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️","handle":"bennpeifert","text":"And then there's that","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443358436658274309","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":147,"retweets":16,"replies":22,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":21,"media":["1443358436658274309_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bennpeifert/status/1443358436658274309"},"1341502297394851840":{"id":"1341502297394851840","date":"2020-12-22 21:54:06","author":"Eric Landstein","handle":"LandsteinEric","text":"@Wallacesnoop1 In regards to machine learning and trading.  Are there any websites out there with information that might point me in the right direction? Or is ML a waste of time?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1341501078819405825","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/LandsteinEric/status/1341502297394851840"},"1584670034466861056":{"id":"1584670034466861056","date":"2022-10-24 22:15:52","author":"Robert","handle":"LacertaXG1","text":"@brrrzooka @AgustinLebron3 @KrisAbdelmessih I guess one day I’ll have to learn what a risk neutral measure is 😒","hashtags":[],"conv":"1584652209526304769","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/LacertaXG1/status/1584670034466861056"},"1562216284581937152":{"id":"1562216284581937152","date":"2022-08-23 23:12:41","author":"Gary Basin","handle":"garybasin","text":"Our country is so staggeringly wealthy that we can pay half the population to perform live action roleplay for most of their adult lives. The future really is here already","hashtags":[],"conv":"1562216284581937152","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":284,"retweets":13,"replies":4,"quotes":7,"views":0,"bookmarks":20,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/garybasin/status/1562216284581937152"},"1277731670171332608":{"id":"1277731670171332608","date":"2020-06-29 22:32:23","author":"Hayden Winks","handle":"HaydenWinks","text":"The fastest way to get hired in this space is to learn R and post things on here. A dozen examples of people getting hired going this route just this week.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1277731670171332608","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":237,"retweets":17,"replies":20,"quotes":6,"views":0,"bookmarks":34,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/HaydenWinks/status/1277731670171332608"},"1390071818195808262":{"id":"1390071818195808262","date":"2021-05-05 22:32:02","author":"nxthompson","handle":"nxthompson","text":"Fascinating chart that shows how fast we can run as we get older and---in some sense---how we age. Turning 40 doesn't look great here.\nhttps://www.reddit.com/r/dataisbeautiful/comments/n3bstx/oc_pace_of_age_class_world_record_holders_in/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1390071818195808262","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1390079697577521153","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":828,"retweets":114,"replies":56,"quotes":62,"views":0,"bookmarks":82,"media":["1390071818195808262_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/nxthompson/status/1390071818195808262"},"1498426338239209481":{"id":"1498426338239209481","date":"2022-02-28 22:34:13","author":"Ramp Capital","handle":"RampCapitalLLC","text":"One-click checkout except it’s for filing taxes.\n\nLooking for investors.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1498426338239209481","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":404,"retweets":8,"replies":34,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/RampCapitalLLC/status/1498426338239209481"},"1958963104462905385":{"id":"1958963104462905385","date":"2025-08-22 18:42:54","author":"Garry Tan","handle":"garrytan","text":"If you *only* used SAT to admit to elite colleges, share of admits from top 1% income falls 15.8% → 9.9% and representation from <$200k rises by +8.8%, with no reduction in post-college outcomes. \n\nIt's 'holistic review' and 'ban SAT' policy that allows the most wealthy and powerful to virtue signal while getting an edge.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1958963104462905385","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1958975328178905377","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18134,"retweets":2670,"replies":398,"quotes":411,"views":3138538,"bookmarks":4438,"media":["1958963104462905385_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/garrytan/status/1958963104462905385"},"1476737484809719809":{"id":"1476737484809719809","date":"2021-12-31 02:10:27","author":"Tarun Chitra","handle":"tarunchitra","text":"NFA^2: A non-deterministic finite automata for generating not financial advice","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476737484809719809","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tarunchitra/status/1476737484809719809"},"1547653132317966338":{"id":"1547653132317966338","date":"2022-07-14 18:43:55","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"Still underfollowed\n\nA great dude that happens to have a galaxy brain and also wrote a book that will be trading canon. \n\n@dwarkesh_sp interviewed him and I liked this bit (bold is mine)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1547653132317966338","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":54,"retweets":2,"replies":5,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":["1547653132317966338_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1547653132317966338"},"1346991571070185472":{"id":"1346991571070185472","date":"2021-01-07 01:26:31","author":"Venkatesh Rao ☀️","handle":"vgr","text":"Culture ship names inspired by the day’s events 🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346991571070185472","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":79,"retweets":10,"replies":39,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/vgr/status/1346991571070185472"},"1468347005147566081":{"id":"1468347005147566081","date":"2021-12-07 22:29:41","author":"Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️","handle":"bennpeifert","text":"i can't police all these % change in VIX takes, ya'all on your own","hashtags":[],"conv":"1468347005147566081","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":209,"retweets":1,"replies":14,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bennpeifert/status/1468347005147566081"},"1575308368264183808":{"id":"1575308368264183808","date":"2022-09-29 02:15:57","author":"Joel Rubano","handle":"TCK_JRubano","text":"Watching the excellent @AttainCap2 podcast with @KrisAbdelmessih @moreproteinbars and Michael Steiner. One comment Michael Steiner made about SIG really resonated with me, that they had a shared language for being able to talk about trading risk.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1575308368264183808","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":29,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TCK_JRubano/status/1575308368264183808"},"1144286943062048768":{"id":"1144286943062048768","date":"2019-06-27 16:50:41","author":"Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️","handle":"choffstein","text":"I guess if you just admit it you can just ignore the problem in the rest of the analysis?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1144286943062048768","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1144286943062048768_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/choffstein/status/1144286943062048768"},"1790048819712798876":{"id":"1790048819712798876","date":"2024-05-13 15:57:50","author":"ekri","handle":"ekrii3","text":"Ah yes, the efficient market hypothesis major","hashtags":[],"conv":"1790048819712798876","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":91,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":2,"views":11489,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ekrii3/status/1790048819712798876"},"1488727618035728387":{"id":"1488727618035728387","date":"2022-02-02 04:14:58","author":"Dave White","handle":"_Dave__White_","text":"apparently the solution to my diffeq involves the Lambert W function, which \"cannot be expressed in terms of elementary functions\"\n\nguess i'll be tweaking that","hashtags":[],"conv":"1488727618035728387","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":32,"retweets":1,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/_Dave__White_/status/1488727618035728387"},"1477467424341598210":{"id":"1477467424341598210","date":"2022-01-02 02:30:58","author":"Nathan FOIA Tankus","handle":"NathanTankus","text":"I enjoyed the opening of Don't Look Up but I'm an hour in and its really wearing on me. I also don't buy DiCaprio's character cheating.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477467424341598210","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":84,"retweets":2,"replies":10,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/NathanTankus/status/1477467424341598210"},"1943320084761502037":{"id":"1943320084761502037","date":"2025-07-10 14:43:08","author":"peepeepoopoo","handle":"DeepDishEnjoyer","text":"don't stop there\ndon't trade period","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943320084761502037","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":301,"retweets":2,"replies":32,"quotes":3,"views":36501,"bookmarks":76,"media":["1943320084761502037_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/DeepDishEnjoyer/status/1943320084761502037"},"1440507618569506828":{"id":"1440507618569506828","date":"2021-09-22 02:45:54","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"@lightspringfox Do you ever try to pick yourself off?\n\nWait. 🤔\n\nDo you ever try to pick off your quoter bots?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1440498162997743618","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1440507618569506828"},"1598813902904573952":{"id":"1598813902904573952","date":"2022-12-02 22:58:33","author":"Freak0naut","handle":"FREAK0NAUT","text":"also by the way these 1/64th increments in bonds are bullshit.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598813902904573952","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/FREAK0NAUT/status/1598813902904573952"},"1428096177296261121":{"id":"1428096177296261121","date":"2021-08-18 20:47:16","author":"Tarun Chitra","handle":"tarunchitra","text":"\"I think as long as there’s a market for illiquid dogshit there will be a market for going clubbing with clients\" - @lightspringfox, on CDO/CLO desks at banks\n\nWhat's the lesson here for NFTs?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1428096177296261121","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":2,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tarunchitra/status/1428096177296261121"},"1443010283262267402":{"id":"1443010283262267402","date":"2021-09-29 00:30:36","author":"Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️","handle":"bennpeifert","text":"sitting at a bar with no children, two IPAs, vibinh so hard, accepting all my outstanding LinkedIn connections even from randos with no mutuals","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443010283262267402","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":548,"retweets":9,"replies":38,"quotes":6,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bennpeifert/status/1443010283262267402"},"1317116047632322563":{"id":"1317116047632322563","date":"2020-10-16 14:51:51","author":"Kris Sidial🇺🇸","handle":"Ksidiii","text":"Good traders capitalize on “dumb money”, not complain about it.\n\nSpotting and addressing a changing market dynamic is one thing, pouting about it is just confirmation that this isn’t your game.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1317116047632322563","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":91,"retweets":2,"replies":6,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Ksidiii/status/1317116047632322563"},"1698344595300516341":{"id":"1698344595300516341","date":"2023-09-03 14:37:59","author":"Ben Hayes 🎿⛵️","handle":"benhayesnyc","text":"I don’t understand the appeal of F1. I’ve tried but I feel like it’s the most overrated sport in my lifetime.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1698344595300516341","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":806,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/benhayesnyc/status/1698344595300516341"},"1373584940567306243":{"id":"1373584940567306243","date":"2021-03-21 10:39:04","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"This is a good question! Some possible answers -\n\n1. Infrastructure that is too expensive or too hard to build yourself (eg colocation, low latency data feeds, compute clusters, fpgas)\n\n2. Data that is too expensive or simply impossible to buy (eg historical tick data)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1373584940567306243","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":113,"retweets":10,"replies":6,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":60,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1373584940567306243"},"1484320448074555399":{"id":"1484320448074555399","date":"2022-01-21 00:22:26","author":"Mitchell Rosenthal","handle":"M1tchRosenthal","text":"What a day in markets. A lot of breaks below ranges. Imo, not consistent with a bullish setup, but could be totally wrong. \nSmall caps and tech breaking down. US market, VTI, broke below range&below 200day.\n\nUnrelated - some new research coming out tomorrow on sector divergences!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1484320448074555399","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/M1tchRosenthal/status/1484320448074555399"},"1786047250776395944":{"id":"1786047250776395944","date":"2024-05-02 14:57:02","author":"Byrne Hobart","handle":"ByrneHobart","text":"Who could have predicted that at a time of social strife, different groups could be united by finding a single scapegoat?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1786047250776395944","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":170,"retweets":7,"replies":12,"quotes":0,"views":16206,"bookmarks":8,"media":["1786047250776395944_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ByrneHobart/status/1786047250776395944"},"1931750864622121338":{"id":"1931750864622121338","date":"2025-06-08 16:31:10","author":"Olivia Moore","handle":"omooretweets","text":"🚨 Data drop!\n\nOur team @a16z published benchmarks on revenue growth for AI startups, from our proprietary dataset\n\nThe median B2B co is going 0 -> $2.1M ARR in year 1, while the median B2C co is going $0 -> $4.2M \n\n(yes, consumer startups are growing revenue faster 🤯)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1931750864622121338","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1932612201736777777","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1122,"retweets":113,"replies":63,"quotes":34,"views":400093,"bookmarks":1243,"media":["1931750864622121338_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/omooretweets/status/1931750864622121338"},"1479798986231930883":{"id":"1479798986231930883","date":"2022-01-08 12:55:46","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"Ok, interesting thread, but I cannot let this inaccuracy stand — under most rules “six of clubs high” is not a possible poker hand.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1479798986231930883","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":69,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1479798986231930883"},"1542985147372474368":{"id":"1542985147372474368","date":"2022-07-01 21:35:01","author":"SBF","handle":"SBF_FTX","text":"er to be clear I said roughly \"meh not particularly looking at miners, but sure, happy to have conversations with any companies\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542985147372474368","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1511,"retweets":73,"replies":158,"quotes":44,"views":0,"bookmarks":17,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX/status/1542985147372474368"},"1638979883308138498":{"id":"1638979883308138498","date":"2023-03-23 19:03:49","author":"Matt Bateman","handle":"mbateman","text":"One of my top 5 all time essays is Learning to Work by Virginia Valian.\n\nIt's an intimidatingly insightful first-personal account of learning to write a PhD thesis, where the blocks are psychological. It is also beautifully pro-work, meaning, and happiness.\n\nWell, it turns out…","hashtags":[],"conv":"1638979883308138498","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1706871447577116975","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":396,"retweets":27,"replies":12,"quotes":9,"views":52242,"bookmarks":608,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mbateman/status/1638979883308138498"},"1608140690957172736":{"id":"1608140690957172736","date":"2022-12-28 16:39:53","author":"experquisite","handle":"experquisite","text":"Precisely","hashtags":[],"conv":"1608140690957172736","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1108,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/experquisite/status/1608140690957172736"},"1863305119477223725":{"id":"1863305119477223725","date":"2024-12-01 19:32:13","author":"zack","handle":"zack_overflow","text":"What’s your most hated programming “best practice”?\n\nI absolutely hate DRY. \n\nDevs follow it religiously and it leads to unnecessarily abstracted code to avoid copy-pasting a handful of lines","hashtags":[],"conv":"1863305119477223725","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2844,"retweets":100,"replies":276,"quotes":80,"views":477810,"bookmarks":438,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/zack_overflow/status/1863305119477223725"},"1713711029614448686":{"id":"1713711029614448686","date":"2023-10-16 00:18:43","author":"Inner City Press","handle":"innercitypress","text":"SBF Sunday night filing - rerequest for trial day Adderall so he can decide whether to testify: \"as we approach the decision of whether Mr. Bankrnan-Fried will testify... because of his lack of access to Adderall he has not been able to concentrate\" story coming","hashtags":[],"conv":"1713711029614448686","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1713713292227592400","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":692,"retweets":115,"replies":89,"quotes":142,"views":1406061,"bookmarks":78,"media":["1713711029614448686_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/innercitypress/status/1713711029614448686"},"1186808655062147072":{"id":"1186808655062147072","date":"2019-10-23 00:56:47","author":"Brad Gessler","handle":"bradgessler","text":"I don’t really look at education on engineer resumes because it doesn’t correlate with whether or not they can do the work. What matters most is how well they get through practice problems, followed by Github contributions (esp how they communicate in PRs), then prior experience.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1186808655062147072","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":12,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bradgessler/status/1186808655062147072"},"1843707719334920619":{"id":"1843707719334920619","date":"2024-10-08 17:39:09","author":"alz","handle":"alz_zyd_","text":"The US is bad at math partly because the US is bad at teaching math, and the US is bad at teaching math partly because the US is bad at math","hashtags":[],"conv":"1843707719334920619","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":98,"retweets":2,"replies":9,"quotes":3,"views":48382,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/alz_zyd_/status/1843707719334920619"},"1845442658397049011":{"id":"1845442658397049011","date":"2024-10-13 12:33:11","author":"SpaceX","handle":"SpaceX","text":"Mechazilla has caught the Super Heavy booster!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1845442658397049011","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1845501728617058796","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":245907,"retweets":60469,"replies":11306,"quotes":27400,"views":45246630,"bookmarks":19907,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SpaceX/status/1845442658397049011"},"1785731319642657178":{"id":"1785731319642657178","date":"2024-05-01 18:01:38","author":"qm","handle":"quantymacro","text":"if Ridge has million fans i am one of them. if Ridge has ten fans i am one of them. if Ridge has no fans, that means i am no more on the earth. if world against Ridge, i am against the world. i love Ridge till my last breath. Hit like if u think Ridge best & smart in the world","hashtags":[],"conv":"1785731319642657178","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":45,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":6395,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1785731319642657178_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/quantymacro/status/1785731319642657178"},"1755767598262751555":{"id":"1755767598262751555","date":"2024-02-09 01:36:30","author":"Asuka","handle":"HighFreqAsuka","text":"Talking to someone at Voleon \n\nHim: our leadership tells us we’re the best firm at ML\nMe: like, as a joke?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1755767598262751555","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4082,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/HighFreqAsuka/status/1755767598262751555"},"1304841811463200773":{"id":"1304841811463200773","date":"2020-09-12 17:58:25","author":"experquisite","handle":"experquisite","text":"@VitruviusCurve @AgustinLebron3 @OneBigOh As someone decidedly generalist, and not currently researching alpha (more button pushing at a big firm), the fun part was watching trading happen, then getting a spooky feeling as when they see the same cat twice in The Matrix… “that’s odd…”. Then hours of tedious research. :p","hashtags":[],"conv":"1304771065537847305","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/experquisite/status/1304841811463200773"},"1755297611546866081":{"id":"1755297611546866081","date":"2024-02-07 18:28:57","author":"ByeBayeBae","handle":"sukhoiConvexity","text":"Another day of hating pandas","hashtags":[],"conv":"1755297611546866081","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":375,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/sukhoiConvexity/status/1755297611546866081"},"1282661229866016768":{"id":"1282661229866016768","date":"2020-07-13 13:00:42","author":"YT@quantext","handle":"BeingHorizontal","text":"The most interesting part of the paper is this table. Very few papers used returns as a performance measure. Surprised that a lot of papers used TA as an input variable.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1282661229866016768","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":5,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":["1282661229866016768_1.png","1282661229866016768_2.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/BeingHorizontal/status/1282661229866016768"},"1790456776527069304":{"id":"1790456776527069304","date":"2024-05-14 18:58:55","author":"Emi Gal","handle":"emigal","text":"Demis will be the next CEO of Google, you read it here first.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1790456776527069304","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":310,"retweets":12,"replies":34,"quotes":2,"views":44230,"bookmarks":22,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/emigal/status/1790456776527069304"},"1536501200333463557":{"id":"1536501200333463557","date":"2022-06-14 00:10:07","author":"Samuel Hammond 🦉","handle":"hamandcheese","text":"The best right wing art usually isn't self-consciously right wing, e.g. the Lion King.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536501200333463557","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":48,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/hamandcheese/status/1536501200333463557"},"1710366331369840771":{"id":"1710366331369840771","date":"2023-10-06 18:48:05","author":"Joe Weisenthal","handle":"TheStalwart","text":"Does the same Dundas street run through Toronto and London, Ontario?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1710366331369840771","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":42,"retweets":0,"replies":24,"quotes":0,"views":32175,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1710366331369840771_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheStalwart/status/1710366331369840771"},"1431008014207750161":{"id":"1431008014207750161","date":"2021-08-26 21:37:52","author":"Jessica Nutt","handle":"JessicaNutt96","text":"To get the best price on a market price lobster make sure to use limit orders.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1431008014207750161","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":39,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/JessicaNutt96/status/1431008014207750161"},"1770843200753639730":{"id":"1770843200753639730","date":"2024-03-21 16:01:34","author":"bubble boi","handle":"bubbleboi","text":"Update I replaced (X/Y) with X*(1/Y) and now it passes timing check. \n\nI learned this trick from some girl from MIT at my last job lol. Everyone is blown away with my skills. \n\nThere is no reason why it’s inherently faster just synthesis tools optimize it better.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1770843200753639730","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":984,"retweets":22,"replies":28,"quotes":10,"views":395801,"bookmarks":609,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bubbleboi/status/1770843200753639730"},"1823799723301707913":{"id":"1823799723301707913","date":"2024-08-14 19:11:53","author":"arb8020","handle":"arb8020","text":"just finished up a quant trading internship this summer, turns out i don't really want to be a trader full time\n\nstill really grateful for it! taught me i want more work where i have some kind of output (engineering, research)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1823799723301707913","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":325,"retweets":4,"replies":14,"quotes":0,"views":40738,"bookmarks":78,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/arb8020/status/1823799723301707913"},"1458465779595288582":{"id":"1458465779595288582","date":"2021-11-10 16:05:13","author":"President Biden Archived","handle":"POTUS46Archive","text":"Today’s report shows an increase over last month on inflation. Reversing this trend is a top priority.\n\nMy Infrastructure bill will bring down costs by reducing bottlenecks and I urge Congress to pass my Build Back Better Act — which will ease inflationary pressures.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1458465779595288582","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1458509834987335684","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7468,"retweets":1199,"replies":2420,"quotes":760,"views":0,"bookmarks":38,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/POTUS46Archive/status/1458465779595288582"},"1713904836725391848":{"id":"1713904836725391848","date":"2023-10-16 13:08:50","author":"Entropy🌻Chase","handle":"EntropyChase","text":"struggling to appreciate later albums of The Smashing Pumpkins. I like Gish and Siamese Dream, but after that  for some reason Im just not vibing with it. \n\nanyone have insight as to why? Is this just a random preference or did the quality deteriorate after those?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1713904836725391848","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":193,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/EntropyChase/status/1713904836725391848"},"1767986943403409459":{"id":"1767986943403409459","date":"2024-03-13 18:51:49","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"“If he’s at a hedge fund, have a friend look him up on Bloomberg. If he doesn’t have an ACTIVE profile he’s back office. Or he’s a quant trader.”","hashtags":[],"conv":"1767986943403409459","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1125,"retweets":33,"replies":55,"quotes":56,"views":384395,"bookmarks":582,"media":["1767986943403409459_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1767986943403409459"},"1904161598303879533":{"id":"1904161598303879533","date":"2025-03-24 13:21:17","author":"Asuka","handle":"HighFreqAsuka","text":"When you select for outliers it should not surprise you that a disproportionate number got there by fraud","hashtags":[],"conv":"1904161598303879533","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1823,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/HighFreqAsuka/status/1904161598303879533"},"1283856563002843143":{"id":"1283856563002843143","date":"2020-07-16 20:10:32","author":"Joe Weisenthal","handle":"TheStalwart","text":"Buy or sell?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1283856563002843143","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":36,"retweets":3,"replies":25,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1283856563002843143_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheStalwart/status/1283856563002843143"},"1177255040349691904":{"id":"1177255040349691904","date":"2019-09-26 16:14:08","author":"Eliezer Yudkowsky ⏹️","handle":"ESYudkowsky","text":"@C4C_Recruiting @AgustinLebron3 Eat fruit instead of ice cream.  It may not be safe with modern fruit, but it's almost surely better.  Keto chocolate flavored with monk fruit?  Not safe for baby, but almost surely better.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1177248833903853568","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ESYudkowsky/status/1177255040349691904"},"1181437300414275584":{"id":"1181437300414275584","date":"2019-10-08 05:12:57","author":"WIRED","handle":"WIRED","text":"Stitch Fix is using something called eigenvector decomposition, a concept from quantum mechanics, to tease apart the overlapping “notes” in an individual’s style. Using physics, the team can better understand the complexities of the clients’ style minds. https://wired.trib.al/IvWQkYM","hashtags":[],"conv":"1181437300414275584","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1181648160021610496","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":924,"retweets":180,"replies":213,"quotes":1125,"views":0,"bookmarks":341,"media":["1181437300414275584_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/WIRED/status/1181437300414275584"},"2075669401185997198":{"id":"2075669401185997198","date":"2026-07-10 19:52:03","author":"Joshua Saxe","handle":"joshua_saxe","text":"I'm perplexed at why people who I know are smarter than me, including the authors, buy the epistemic strategy used in the AI 2040 scenario, in which, tl;dr, the famous METR time horizon plot predicts eschatological doom.\n\nI don't believe the authors have sufficiently grappled with why the radiologists and programmers still have their jobs, and why baristas haven't been replaced by automatic espresso machines\n\nOr even why we haven't seen more small-scale scheming / reward hacking / misalignment damages due to the use of coding agents across Big Tech, in which we've already granted such agents significant autonomy.\n\nI think if these gaps were more deeply considered they'd be making a more nuanced and less extreme argument.\n\nIn the meantime I'm concerned that resources, advocacy and governance are being influenced by their conceptual model.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2075669401185997198","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2075793093073473540","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":459,"retweets":51,"replies":38,"quotes":7,"views":209023,"bookmarks":137,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/joshua_saxe/status/2075669401185997198"},"1683903037109043201":{"id":"1683903037109043201","date":"2023-07-25 18:12:24","author":"Paul Graham","handle":"paulg","text":"\"Imagine: Children just walking into the cafeteria and getting fed. No accounts that parents have to keep up, no time spent assessing families’ incomes or processing payments or running down parents who haven’t paid — no 'lunch shaming' — none of that.\"\n\nhttps://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/07/24/whitmer-michigan-universal-school-meals/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1683903037109043201","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4930,"retweets":488,"replies":449,"quotes":172,"views":1536043,"bookmarks":211,"media":["1683903037109043201_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/paulg/status/1683903037109043201"},"1492613176109715460":{"id":"1492613176109715460","date":"2022-02-12 21:34:47","author":"Speculator","handle":"TheSpeculator0","text":"whats a good book for general intermediate to advanced python skills? i found a lot of books to be either way too easy or way too specialized. specialized for finance would be ok i guess","hashtags":[],"conv":"1492613176109715460","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheSpeculator0/status/1492613176109715460"},"1473156330303090689":{"id":"1473156330303090689","date":"2021-12-21 05:00:13","author":"Antonio García Martínez (agm.eth)","handle":"antoniogm","text":"The Bee is now what The Onion was in the Oughts. \n\nhttps://babylonbee.com/news/san-franciscos-dogs-begin-bagging-people-poop","hashtags":[],"conv":"1473156330303090689","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":393,"retweets":33,"replies":11,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/antoniogm/status/1473156330303090689"},"1462858574560911372":{"id":"1462858574560911372","date":"2021-11-22 19:00:37","author":"Chief Knockahoma 🏆🏆","handle":"ItsChiefToYou","text":"@scottfawcett Is that fast compared to what you see? Feels like nearly everybody is 120 nowadays.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1462857855913103372","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ItsChiefToYou/status/1462858574560911372"},"1901058271622082900":{"id":"1901058271622082900","date":"2025-03-15 23:49:46","author":"Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️","handle":"bennpeifert","text":"Putting together a thread-of-threads on options and derivatives. It's kind of hard because I never tag them with the stupid thread symbol (i hate it). If you have others of mine you like can you append them to the end please?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1901058271622082900","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1955967204715061361","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1958,"retweets":190,"replies":62,"quotes":34,"views":837784,"bookmarks":5018,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bennpeifert/status/1901058271622082900"},"1552416077984198656":{"id":"1552416077984198656","date":"2022-07-27 22:10:10","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"LMFAO. \n\nBuy this book.\n\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Laws-Trading-Traders-Decision-Making-Everyone/dp/1119574218","hashtags":[],"conv":"1552416077984198656","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":164,"retweets":7,"replies":10,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":88,"media":["1552416077984198656_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1552416077984198656"},"1712900932915155070":{"id":"1712900932915155070","date":"2023-10-13 18:39:41","author":"Bill","handle":"W98AB","text":"I cannot lie Kiptum almost beating my mile PB during a marathon has kind of bumped me out about how unfit I have become, been running every day since.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1712900932915155070","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":159,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/W98AB/status/1712900932915155070"},"1587682195644088321":{"id":"1587682195644088321","date":"2022-11-02 05:45:07","author":"Matt Bateman","handle":"mbateman","text":"Why do we make standardized tests that it’s possible to max out? Is there a ceiling on “scholastic aptitude”?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1587682195644088321","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1736877117575487709","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":125,"retweets":5,"replies":18,"quotes":8,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mbateman/status/1587682195644088321"},"1615500214659608576":{"id":"1615500214659608576","date":"2023-01-18 00:04:00","author":"sasuke⚡420","handle":"sasuke___420","text":"should u transform ur signal to have similar central moments to ur target, and how do u do that","hashtags":[],"conv":"1615500214659608576","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":15168,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/sasuke___420/status/1615500214659608576"},"1924967818392457391":{"id":"1924967818392457391","date":"2025-05-20 23:17:46","author":"Byrne Hobart","handle":"ByrneHobart","text":"One of the best movie recommendation tools out there is searching Netflix for the name of a movie you like, that they don’t have. They do the obvious-in-retrospect thing.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1924967818392457391","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":4237,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ByrneHobart/status/1924967818392457391"},"1542872587042185218":{"id":"1542872587042185218","date":"2022-07-01 14:07:44","author":"Eli Dourado","handle":"elidourado","text":"🚨 NEW PAPER ALERT 🚨\n\nWhat if solar and wind cost declines continue? What if advanced nuclear and geothermal manifest in a big way?\n\nWhat would we do with ALL THAT ENERGY?\n\nThat's the question @Vernon3Austin and I address in ENERGY SUPERABUNDANCE\n\nhttps://www.thecgo.org/research/energy-superabundance/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542872587042185218","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":239,"retweets":44,"replies":13,"quotes":7,"views":0,"bookmarks":48,"media":["1542872587042185218_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/elidourado/status/1542872587042185218"},"1278356670557548544":{"id":"1278356670557548544","date":"2020-07-01 15:55:55","author":"Chris Kavanagh","handle":"C_Kavanagh","text":"Liam is right, this is just another illustration that Peterson is not the careful scholar 'who has read thousands of books' on the topics he discusses. He is impressionistic & mixes his intuitions in with random anecdotes & some actual research. Same pattern with climate change.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1278356670557548544","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":52,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/C_Kavanagh/status/1278356670557548544"},"1942256776084423063":{"id":"1942256776084423063","date":"2025-07-07 16:17:55","author":"vitrupo","handle":"vitrupo","text":"Niall Ferguson says giving students under 25 unfettered access to ChatGPT will just make them dumber.\n\nHe says the damage is already done: worse than smartphones, worse than COVID, in under 2.5 years.\n\n“This is the worst thing to happen to the human brain, aside from very dangerous drugs, in my lifetime.”","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942256776084423063","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1942643783834972168","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":204,"retweets":37,"replies":61,"quotes":28,"views":60489,"bookmarks":114,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/vitrupo/status/1942256776084423063"},"1917289851575230922":{"id":"1917289851575230922","date":"2025-04-29 18:48:16","author":"Trung Phan","handle":"TrungTPhan","text":"Boston Consulting Group (BCG) trained an AI slideshow maker called “Decker” on 900 templates and apparently gotten so popular that “some of its consultants are fretting about job security.”","hashtags":[],"conv":"1917289851575230922","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1917399773293826444","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5807,"retweets":482,"replies":86,"quotes":118,"views":976329,"bookmarks":3115,"media":["1917289851575230922_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TrungTPhan/status/1917289851575230922"},"1600246220467113985":{"id":"1600246220467113985","date":"2022-12-06 21:50:04","author":"Cory Gabrielsen","handle":"corygabrielsen","text":"Seems like mostly programmers and programmer use cases being shared widely for ChatGPT.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1600246220467113985","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/corygabrielsen/status/1600246220467113985"},"1790081191627903029":{"id":"1790081191627903029","date":"2024-05-13 18:06:28","author":"Max Tegmark","handle":"tegmark","text":"To those of you who claiming that smarter-than-human AI is decades away, what *specific tasks* are you willing to bet me that AI won't be able to do within 5 years?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1790081191627903029","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1790194880490401795","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1669,"retweets":168,"replies":529,"quotes":87,"views":891930,"bookmarks":391,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tegmark/status/1790081191627903029"},"1483550802421690376":{"id":"1483550802421690376","date":"2022-01-18 21:24:08","author":"BFa.SOL.BTC $BILLY - $DOG","handle":"PigFahy","text":"1- I came across http://lifinity.io and witnessed a very interesting discussion on AMM's on @Lifinity_io Discord between a group of #DeFi legends Durden, Austerity Sucks & Cherryworm. So I put this thread together to give some history on AMMs & 3 areas where lifinity differs","hashtags":["defi"],"conv":"1483550802421690376","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1503275979891953664","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":96,"retweets":30,"replies":13,"quotes":13,"views":0,"bookmarks":36,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/PigFahy/status/1483550802421690376"},"1713713292227592400":{"id":"1713713292227592400","date":"2023-10-16 00:27:42","author":"Spreek","handle":"spreekaway","text":"nothing like regular amphetamine use to make you appreciate how dumb a lot of normal, non-medicated defendant experience is","hashtags":[],"conv":"1713713292227592400","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":51,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":9772,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/spreekaway/status/1713713292227592400"},"1986078224388870169":{"id":"1986078224388870169","date":"2025-11-05 14:28:42","author":"AJAC","handle":"AJA_Cortes","text":"As BJJ has gotten more popular, it hit the inflection point where it goes from being combat oriented to being a sport, and the meta changes \n\nNow you get funny displays like this. It's not immediately identifiable as fighting at all\n\n","hashtags":[],"conv":"1986078224388870169","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6816,"retweets":190,"replies":610,"quotes":191,"views":2045573,"bookmarks":1082,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/AJA_Cortes/status/1986078224388870169"},"1541280523896737794":{"id":"1541280523896737794","date":"2022-06-27 04:41:27","author":"Freak0naut","handle":"FREAK0NAUT","text":"@BeaglierCap @therobotjames @AgustinLebron3 i mean the US has had a civil war before, you could count two if you include the revolution.  companies persisted, securities were issued, markets traded.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1541274341001658368","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/FREAK0NAUT/status/1541280523896737794"},"1234317559274655750":{"id":"1234317559274655750","date":"2020-03-02 03:20:13","author":"Guy LeBas","handle":"lebas_janney","text":"Local man who rides stationary bicycle has market thoughts.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1234317559274655750","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/lebas_janney/status/1234317559274655750"},"1597695532319002625":{"id":"1597695532319002625","date":"2022-11-29 20:54:33","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"@QuantumHoneybee @0xLightcycle @be20684347 @AgustinLebron3 Tell that to this guy","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597690466807316480","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1597695532319002625_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1597695532319002625"},"1393734968401043456":{"id":"1393734968401043456","date":"2021-05-16 01:08:05","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"@Mephisto731 I'm too stupid for this. \n\nI'll wait for someone to write the ELI5, give them credit for for that, and go right on about my life pretending this doesn't exist. \n\nI love how crypto, the paragon of democratization via decentralization, is actually just for geniuses.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1393679908598124545","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1393734968401043456"},"1709135026905022499":{"id":"1709135026905022499","date":"2023-10-03 09:15:19","author":"sasuke⚡420","handle":"sasuke___420","text":"One issue with proof of solvency schemes is that the exchange could collude with some depositors to allow their deposits to be excluded. Or it could just exclude my deposits and pretend it has not defrauded me, like FTX Japan COO Seth Melamed is doing now!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709135026905022499","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":4,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":4249,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/sasuke___420/status/1709135026905022499"},"1739090045108371601":{"id":"1739090045108371601","date":"2023-12-25 01:05:52","author":"samson","handle":"fuckyourputs","text":"This should constitute as child abuse. Get that kid Minecraft and some mountain dew stop poisoning his brain","hashtags":[],"conv":"1739090045108371601","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":2233,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/fuckyourputs/status/1739090045108371601"},"1949569707193081874":{"id":"1949569707193081874","date":"2025-07-27 20:36:54","author":"Grant Stenger (hiring)","handle":"GrantStenger","text":"The question isn’t \"why aren’t options more popular onchain?\" It’s \"why are options so popular in tradfi?\"\n\nRetail doesn’t want to have to think about strikes, expiries, and all the greeks. They really just want access to leverage.\n\nIncreasingly, we'll see crypto UX > tradfi UX.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1949569707193081874","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":77,"retweets":3,"replies":16,"quotes":1,"views":6236,"bookmarks":16,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/GrantStenger/status/1949569707193081874"},"1197276076759584768":{"id":"1197276076759584768","date":"2019-11-20 22:10:35","author":"David Sacks","handle":"DavidSacks","text":"You need to be able to say what your startup does in 2-4 words. No one has the time or attention span for an elevator pitch anymore.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1197276076759584768","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2401,"retweets":435,"replies":383,"quotes":511,"views":0,"bookmarks":183,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1197276076759584768"},"1122144009177063424":{"id":"1122144009177063424","date":"2019-04-27 14:22:34","author":"Trevor Noren","handle":"trevornoren","text":"\"Hedge funds shorting the VIX at a rate never seen before: Large speculators, mostly hedge funds, were net short about 178,000 VIX futures contracts on April 23, the largest such position on record\" https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-04-26/hedge-funds-are-shorting-the-vix-at-a-rate-never-seen-before?srnd=premium","hashtags":[],"conv":"1122144009177063424","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":87,"retweets":42,"replies":7,"quotes":9,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":["1122144009177063424_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/trevornoren/status/1122144009177063424"},"1482799982134829058":{"id":"1482799982134829058","date":"2022-01-16 19:40:39","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"@lightspringfox @AgustinLebron3 Deep down, what I really want is a job that doesn't inspire follow up questions at parties.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482748235496058880","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1482799982134829058"},"1199748365103161344":{"id":"1199748365103161344","date":"2019-11-27 17:54:35","author":"Brian Wang","handle":"brianmwang","text":"I'm going to be a first-time father very soon. For the parents out there, what's something you wish somebody had told you about raising little ones?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1199748365103161344","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1002,"retweets":68,"replies":727,"quotes":58,"views":0,"bookmarks":331,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/brianmwang/status/1199748365103161344"},"1621598638249066501":{"id":"1621598638249066501","date":"2023-02-03 19:56:57","author":"Doug Colkitt","handle":"0xdoug","text":"AMM toxicity is almost entirely attributable to a tiny fraction of high frequency algo wallets:\n\n\"[O]utside of this subset of 364 wallets — i.e, the other 454,091 wallets in the dataset — are in fact immensely profitable for Uniswap LPs to the tune of positive 104 million USD\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1621598638249066501","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":109,"retweets":6,"replies":12,"quotes":2,"views":65424,"bookmarks":35,"media":["1621598638249066501_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0xdoug/status/1621598638249066501"},"1347390352009916416":{"id":"1347390352009916416","date":"2021-01-08 03:51:07","author":"Yuliya Storm","handle":"ybelyayeva","text":"For founders who may not know this, but paying to pitch is predatory and NOT the standard in the industry. You always have leverage with investors, it's not a favor or charity.\n\nNot $10, not $100, not any sum in \"donations\". \n\nShame on you @mannyfernandez","hashtags":[],"conv":"1347390352009916416","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1347584486935048193","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":268,"retweets":50,"replies":29,"quotes":28,"views":0,"bookmarks":13,"media":["1347390352009916416_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ybelyayeva/status/1347390352009916416"},"1401013362830446596":{"id":"1401013362830446596","date":"2021-06-05 03:09:49","author":"Francisco Amadeo","handle":"famadeo","text":"My Twitter Family:\nParents: @RockshotJ @choffstein\nSpouse: @AgustinLebron3\nChildren: @salr_nyc @gmorando\n\nvia https://roundyearfun.me/twitterfamily\n\n⠀","hashtags":[],"conv":"1401013362830446596","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1401013362830446596_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/famadeo/status/1401013362830446596"},"1437777815735316481":{"id":"1437777815735316481","date":"2021-09-14 13:58:38","author":"Charlie Warzel","handle":"cwarzel","text":"A few weeks ago I wrote about a growing trend around career skepticism/The Great Resignation. It prompted more anger/vitriol than any newsletter I’ve published. I examined some of those response and wrote about why https://warzel.substack.com/p/you-are-expendable","hashtags":[],"conv":"1437777815735316481","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1438239899581181954","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":240,"retweets":45,"replies":13,"quotes":12,"views":0,"bookmarks":44,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/cwarzel/status/1437777815735316481"},"1180129361678213121":{"id":"1180129361678213121","date":"2019-10-04 14:35:40","author":"𐀍𐀀𐀛𐀱 𐀍𐀀𐀛𐀇𐀱","handle":"marabou","text":"1. First language: HP calculators\n1.5 OK, first computer language: Commodore PET Basic\n2. Had difficulties: Prolog\n3. Most used: C++/Python\n4. Totally hate: COBOL\n5. Most loved: LISP (in general), Clojure (for actual work these days)\n6: For beginners: Scheme.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1180129361678213121","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1180255866496442370","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/marabou/status/1180129361678213121"},"1950931605960147320":{"id":"1950931605960147320","date":"2025-07-31 14:48:36","author":"alz","handle":"alz_zyd_","text":"Flipping this question on its head: is there any hobby where the \"vertical quality range\" is quite large (say, you can buy 10x or 100x more expensive than entry level stuff), and the expensive thing is actually 10x or 100x better than the entry-level thing?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1950931605960147320","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":674,"retweets":8,"replies":169,"quotes":22,"views":82245,"bookmarks":215,"media":["1950931605960147320_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/alz_zyd_/status/1950931605960147320"},"1565792243180453889":{"id":"1565792243180453889","date":"2022-09-02 20:02:16","author":"⚡️🌙","handle":"dystopiabreaker","text":"i think a lot of the AI art outragediscourse is actually downstream of a deeper conflict around the interplay of STEM and humanities, the economies of each of those fields, and illiterate takes about them (e.g. that they're mutually exclusive)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1565792243180453889","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":85,"retweets":1,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dystopiabreaker/status/1565792243180453889"},"1856765728340500647":{"id":"1856765728340500647","date":"2024-11-13 18:27:01","author":"alz","handle":"alz_zyd_","text":"I kind of get this vague feeling that we're going to solve global warming partly by figuring out how to cheaply get carbon out of the air, rather than/in addition to emitting less carbon, but idk what do the experts think?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1856765728340500647","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":3868,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/alz_zyd_/status/1856765728340500647"},"1600224788458655744":{"id":"1600224788458655744","date":"2022-12-06 20:24:54","author":"Dan Robinson","handle":"danrobinson","text":"Any predictions that lean on the current limitations of generative AI (such as its tendency to confidently proclaim wrong answers) seem short-sighted\n\nBy the time these tools are fully integrated into industry those limitations might well be gone","hashtags":[],"conv":"1600224788458655744","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":28,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/danrobinson/status/1600224788458655744"},"1886110734976762276":{"id":"1886110734976762276","date":"2025-02-02 17:53:36","author":"alz","handle":"alz_zyd_","text":"At some level, this is a little silly. The human hand is slower than a robot. Instead of using the robot hand to push the human hand to its limit, why not just have the robot hand play the piano, since it is better than us at playing piano anyways","hashtags":[],"conv":"1886110734976762276","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":4575,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/alz_zyd_/status/1886110734976762276"},"1291873753484406786":{"id":"1291873753484406786","date":"2020-08-07 23:07:59","author":"Samuel Lee","handle":"svrnco","text":"Started reading @AgustinLebron3's The Laws of Trading. It is criminally underappreciated. Can't believe it's had almost no exposure.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1291873753484406786","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":37,"retweets":5,"replies":7,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/svrnco/status/1291873753484406786"},"1423142049340018688":{"id":"1423142049340018688","date":"2021-08-05 04:41:19","author":"Dendi Suhubdy e/acc","handle":"dendisuhubdy","text":"@jgreco @therobotjames @PenguinsTrading @AgustinLebron3 @drewg__ @lightspringfox @experquisite @noms_nom_nom hey guys great discussion, given us as a new exchange, how would you suggest us to do things differently?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1423020340117049344","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dendisuhubdy/status/1423142049340018688"},"1745046894806528035":{"id":"1745046894806528035","date":"2024-01-10 11:36:15","author":"Alex Nùnez","handle":"AlexNoonan6","text":"besides a grunge album, repost a great album released in the 90s","hashtags":[],"conv":"1745046894806528035","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1745149687144067134","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":3,"views":26195,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1745046894806528035_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/AlexNoonan6/status/1745046894806528035"},"1397039816827711490":{"id":"1397039816827711490","date":"2021-05-25 04:00:22","author":"Mitchell Rosenthal","handle":"M1tchRosenthal","text":"Weirdly cannot find an elegant way to find a rolling geometric mean in #Python #Pandas","hashtags":["python","pandas"],"conv":"1397039816827711490","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/M1tchRosenthal/status/1397039816827711490"},"1501712267515084804":{"id":"1501712267515084804","date":"2022-03-10 00:11:19","author":"Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️","handle":"bennpeifert","text":"Junior derivatives trader interview question on Ze Divs. Read the footnotes.\n\nA customer of the private bank has read a lot of real estate twitter posts and really loves the idea of \"passive income\". He buys a note from the bank which works as follows. \n\nhttps://x.com/bennpeifert/status/1264542177574584320?s=20&t=RMi3a_pD8q_BBQAqsITg-g","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501712267515084804","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":85,"retweets":4,"replies":9,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":45,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bennpeifert/status/1501712267515084804"},"1536193541633978368":{"id":"1536193541633978368","date":"2022-06-13 03:47:36","author":"S","handle":"longskew","text":"How is there a bank run every other weekend in crypto","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536193541633978368","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/longskew/status/1536193541633978368"},"1809420658155122765":{"id":"1809420658155122765","date":"2024-07-06 02:54:36","author":"alz","handle":"alz_zyd_","text":"If you're worried about the fertility crisis, purely hypothetically. How many more kids do you think people would have if we banned all pets","hashtags":[],"conv":"1809420658155122765","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":240,"retweets":2,"replies":34,"quotes":10,"views":32981,"bookmarks":16,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/alz_zyd_/status/1809420658155122765"},"1584611101215707141":{"id":"1584611101215707141","date":"2022-10-24 18:21:41","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"The DoJ should ban LinkedIn instead of TikTok, not for national security concerns but just because it’s really bad.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1584611101215707141","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":75,"retweets":5,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1584611101215707141"},"1499620140819701761":{"id":"1499620140819701761","date":"2022-03-04 05:37:57","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"The Laws Of Trading should be canon for trading desks. \n\nI took a few notes, but just know that @AgustinLebron3 did something really great with that book. \n\nhttps://notion.moontowermeta.com/notes-on-the-laws-of-trading","hashtags":[],"conv":"1499620140819701761","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":212,"retweets":34,"replies":12,"quotes":6,"views":0,"bookmarks":179,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1499620140819701761"},"1489079760680542210":{"id":"1489079760680542210","date":"2022-02-03 03:34:15","author":"Gary Basin","handle":"garybasin","text":"You can become a billionaire by carefully reading the bug reports of crypto protocols","hashtags":[],"conv":"1489079760680542210","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":44,"retweets":4,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/garybasin/status/1489079760680542210"},"1841471152843010470":{"id":"1841471152843010470","date":"2024-10-02 13:31:50","author":"ryuzaki","handle":"0xRyuzaki","text":"If you're a profitable algorithmic / quantitative retail trader, what does the path to joining a pod or quant fund look like? \n\nIs the upside in earnings (assume managing a PA b/w $250k - $1m) worth giving up the freedom? \n\nHow do HMs look at you? \n\n(Asking for a friend)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1841471152843010470","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":692,"retweets":25,"replies":38,"quotes":1,"views":136576,"bookmarks":643,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0xRyuzaki/status/1841471152843010470"},"1946736045866758505":{"id":"1946736045866758505","date":"2025-07-20 00:56:56","author":"Hana 🧡💙","handle":"HanaHoops","text":"NBA players make 50% of the leagues revenue. WNBA players make about 9% of the leagues revenue. They are not asking for equal pay they are only asking for a larger share of the leagues revenue. Not a hard to grasp.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946736045866758505","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1947011053235454421","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":50822,"retweets":4161,"replies":5904,"quotes":765,"views":11956702,"bookmarks":2097,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/HanaHoops/status/1946736045866758505"},"1479145231366905859":{"id":"1479145231366905859","date":"2022-01-06 17:37:59","author":"bookdepth","handle":"bookdepth","text":"lmao","hashtags":[],"conv":"1479145231366905859","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":29,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bookdepth/status/1479145231366905859"},"1364267600713146370":{"id":"1364267600713146370","date":"2021-02-23 17:35:17","author":"François Chollet","handle":"fchollet","text":"Writing a book is easy: it boils down to answering a series of multiple-choice questions. Select the correct next word from a finite set of options, repeat. Until it's done.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1364267600713146370","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":263,"retweets":16,"replies":26,"quotes":5,"views":0,"bookmarks":24,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/fchollet/status/1364267600713146370"},"1355235715844599814":{"id":"1355235715844599814","date":"2021-01-29 19:25:48","author":"Speculator","handle":"TheSpeculator0","text":"A lot of junior trader advice should be less \"make sure your stochastic 4th order cross gamma correlation is in line\" and more \"Have you checked if the trade is booked correctly\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1355235715844599814","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":263,"retweets":16,"replies":15,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheSpeculator0/status/1355235715844599814"},"1489053816825602051":{"id":"1489053816825602051","date":"2022-02-03 01:51:09","author":"⚡️🌙","handle":"dystopiabreaker","text":"quick shoutout to that time $2.6B was at risk on solana due to a rounding bug in SPL, which had an issue on github open and describing the bug while it was unfixed for 6 months\n\nhttps://x.com/dystopiabreaker/status/1466915741412716544?s=20&t=gmZLdTFe3hcVLgpZyq30Qw","hashtags":[],"conv":"1489053816825602051","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1489079760680542210","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":104,"retweets":6,"replies":1,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dystopiabreaker/status/1489053816825602051"},"1628868916541034496":{"id":"1628868916541034496","date":"2023-02-23 21:26:27","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"What are your best tips for writing good?\n\nI'm struggling. \n\nI cut 10 times as many words as I keep. \n\nMaybe that's a good thing tho?\n\nI don't know what I'm doing.\n\nShill me writing tips.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1628868916541034496","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":143,"retweets":2,"replies":148,"quotes":2,"views":65061,"bookmarks":27,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1628868916541034496"},"1523192309805813761":{"id":"1523192309805813761","date":"2022-05-08 06:45:20","author":"TechnoWatermelon","handle":"pranavvk","text":"@gauravs85278125 @therobotjames @AgustinLebron3 What if you faced adverse selection by Agustin when you bought his book","hashtags":[],"conv":"1523190463586770944","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/pranavvk/status/1523192309805813761"},"1437486206216982528":{"id":"1437486206216982528","date":"2021-09-13 18:39:53","author":"Speculator","handle":"TheSpeculator0","text":"@Mephisto731 @TidefallCapital @LVDTrades 13F filings always look like this its very stupid","hashtags":[],"conv":"1437367549679882243","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheSpeculator0/status/1437486206216982528"},"1633129744651755520":{"id":"1633129744651755520","date":"2023-03-07 15:37:27","author":"experquisite","handle":"experquisite","text":"@AnodyneCode @AgustinLebron3 @TCK_JRubano @KrisAbdelmessih My first grader opened up beast academy for the first time this weekend 🤞","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632931055920615426","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":208,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/experquisite/status/1633129744651755520"},"1447654578879545346":{"id":"1447654578879545346","date":"2021-10-11 20:05:22","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"Experienced Twitter people. \n\nWhen someone keeps showing up in your comments, not really being rude, but with consistent bad/tedious vibes, what do you do?\n - ignore\n - mute\n - block\n - ask them if they're ok?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1447654578879545346","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":71,"retweets":0,"replies":53,"quotes":5,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1447654578879545346"},"1773340232114463006":{"id":"1773340232114463006","date":"2024-03-28 13:23:53","author":"peepeepoopoo","handle":"DeepDishEnjoyer","text":"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1773340232114463006","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":51,"retweets":3,"replies":8,"quotes":1,"views":8928,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/DeepDishEnjoyer/status/1773340232114463006"},"1554459751353683969":{"id":"1554459751353683969","date":"2022-08-02 13:30:59","author":"Sam Altman","handle":"sama","text":"right now there are many high-skill immigrants that are begging to come to the US and we don't let them\n\nsome day we'll beg them to come and they won't want to\n\nthis is an important-but-not-urgent policy disaster, and worse than it seems","hashtags":[],"conv":"1554459751353683969","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1722659796825043426","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7860,"retweets":895,"replies":256,"quotes":154,"views":0,"bookmarks":285,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/sama/status/1554459751353683969"},"1412786502891970561":{"id":"1412786502891970561","date":"2021-07-07 14:52:05","author":"Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️","handle":"choffstein","text":"When BBG reports intraday performance but several holdings haven't traded in the last hour","hashtags":[],"conv":"1412786502891970561","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/choffstein/status/1412786502891970561"},"1744108281524535509":{"id":"1744108281524535509","date":"2024-01-07 21:26:32","author":"Doug Colkitt","handle":"0xdoug","text":"Biggest loss of 2023...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1744108281524535509","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":54,"retweets":2,"replies":10,"quotes":3,"views":11259,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1744108281524535509_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0xdoug/status/1744108281524535509"},"1847800407839662364":{"id":"1847800407839662364","date":"2024-10-20 00:42:02","author":"SMA 🏴‍☠️","handle":"generic_void","text":"No one has done prediction markets properly yet. Going straight for some throats here, I'm not sorry.\n\nSo far, I have really bearish opinions on prediction markets. @ManifoldMarkets at least is designed so the incentives are fvcked up and not aligned properly for predicting the future/true outcomes well. I'm guessing @Polymarket is even worse at it since it's financialized. People gambling on short-term changes in belief, so the market represents common belief and making short-run profits off of events and how they expect it to change public belief rather than actually being designed properly to incentivize accurately predicting outcomes via markets. \n\nIf you want to make prediction markets that are more aligned with incentives that yield betting towards predicting the accurate outcomes, it shouldn't allow selling prior to the outcome actually occurring. If you change your belief, you can bet more towards the other outcome that represents your new belief, but not be able to sell your previous belief/position bets.\n\nDesigning prediction markets this way would remove the opportunity of individuals to manipulate public opinion/belief via social media & networks to profit off manipulating the market in the short-term while distorting the market in the process. This form of market design would allow predictions markets to actually effectively operate as prediction markets that are more fully truth-seeking, with incentives aligned towards predicting accurate outcomes.\n\nThe prediction markets @ManifoldMarkets and @Polymarket have designed just incentives market manipulation and disinformation via profit-seeking. Align profit to reward truth-seeking if you actually want to create a prediction market. Until then, you have no right to call your markets prediction markets. These are not prediction markets. These are just another type of gambling market, ones that create a lot of a negative externalities.\n\nIf their market designs aren't corrected for in this way, it should honestly be outlawed or at least heavily taxed to offset the cost of the negative externalities their gambling markets have on the rest of society. The way the incentives are currently implemented via their market designs desecrate the truth as well as the great opportunity that information markets are as a technology and mechanism as a whole. You're ruining something that could be great for everyone by operating the way you currently do.\n\nGet your shit together or get out. Thanks.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847800407839662364","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":56,"retweets":1,"replies":14,"quotes":4,"views":10144,"bookmarks":19,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/generic_void/status/1847800407839662364"},"1983672602788086084":{"id":"1983672602788086084","date":"2025-10-29 23:09:38","author":"s","handle":"idoccor","text":"The hype around uv is funny because that enthusiasm for performance somehow doesn't translate to the rest of the python ecosystem which clearly sucks shit","hashtags":[],"conv":"1983672602788086084","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":28,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1873,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/idoccor/status/1983672602788086084"},"1433875230284451850":{"id":"1433875230284451850","date":"2021-09-03 19:31:09","author":"IV","handle":"iv_technicals","text":"It really feels like the 11th hour.\n\nDon't @ me. Just thinking out loud.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1433875230284451850","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/iv_technicals/status/1433875230284451850"},"1981709780529139751":{"id":"1981709780529139751","date":"2025-10-24 13:10:04","author":"slm tokens","handle":"tulkenss","text":"Problem: adding whole word tokens to an existing vocabulary. Which words should you add?\n\nAnswer: useful words\n\nBut how do you define utility? \nNot frequency, e.g., \"the\" -> super frequent but useless. Not inverse frequency, e.g., -> \"addis abeba\" useful but not frequent enough","hashtags":[],"conv":"1981709780529139751","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":244,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tulkenss/status/1981709780529139751"},"1440466650680094729":{"id":"1440466650680094729","date":"2021-09-22 00:03:06","author":"Luke Kawa","handle":"LJKawa","text":"Oof we hate to see it \n\ncc @bennpeifert","hashtags":[],"conv":"1440466650680094729","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":366,"retweets":11,"replies":25,"quotes":5,"views":0,"bookmarks":19,"media":["1440466650680094729_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/LJKawa/status/1440466650680094729"},"1506036944148615176":{"id":"1506036944148615176","date":"2022-03-21 22:36:02","author":"Gary Basin","handle":"garybasin","text":"What do you wish you knew before buying your current house? Or, what do you wish you could know before buying your next one?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1506036944148615176","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/garybasin/status/1506036944148615176"},"1767951538297676251":{"id":"1767951538297676251","date":"2024-03-13 16:31:08","author":"BuccoCapital Bloke","handle":"buccocapital","text":"Alex Karp, CEO of Palantir, ranting on CNBC about short-sellers destroying American businesses so they can fund their cocaine habits\nhttps://t.co/Mqx6kr4sif","hashtags":[],"conv":"1767951538297676251","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1768068700773535809","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2658,"retweets":298,"replies":155,"quotes":213,"views":965234,"bookmarks":590,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/buccocapital/status/1767951538297676251"},"1637100852170063873":{"id":"1637100852170063873","date":"2023-03-18 14:37:13","author":"Gary Basin","handle":"garybasin","text":"GPT-4 is an obvious improvement over GPT-3 but it's not a great leap forward. Seems like the current paradigm is asymptotically approaching midwit-level intelligence. If you gave a million midwits the right incentives, could they bootstrap themselves to topwit?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1637100852170063873","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":127,"retweets":4,"replies":37,"quotes":5,"views":25244,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/garybasin/status/1637100852170063873"},"1222550800037224448":{"id":"1222550800037224448","date":"2020-01-29 16:03:19","author":"Orange Book 🍊📖","handle":"orangebook","text":"Full-time learner is the new dream job.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1222550800037224448","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":541,"retweets":78,"replies":8,"quotes":6,"views":0,"bookmarks":21,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/orangebook/status/1222550800037224448"},"1308074749554286592":{"id":"1308074749554286592","date":"2020-09-21 16:04:57","author":"Energetic","handle":"Energetic321","text":"@VitruviusCurve Ah reminds me of the golden days where two Norwegian prop traders could exploit Timber Hill's algo market making, just on massive scale this time.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1308072669133369345","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Energetic321/status/1308074749554286592"},"1824156892035493921":{"id":"1824156892035493921","date":"2024-08-15 18:51:08","author":"HF_Trader","handle":"HF_Trader","text":"This vol crush is one of epic proportions.  \n\nSo many experts on vol popping up everywhere.  Where do I sign up to become an expert too?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1824156892035493921","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":58,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":5498,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/HF_Trader/status/1824156892035493921"},"1841514555681206300":{"id":"1841514555681206300","date":"2024-10-02 16:24:18","author":"Byrne Hobart","handle":"ByrneHobart","text":"From what I understand, Vegas used to be ~100% controlled by the mafia and the number today is a lot closer to 0%. (Could be wrong here, of course.) Who made that happen, and how'd they do it?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1841514555681206300","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2875,"retweets":45,"replies":250,"quotes":58,"views":548575,"bookmarks":479,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ByrneHobart/status/1841514555681206300"},"1141562061333229574":{"id":"1141562061333229574","date":"2019-06-20 04:22:59","author":"OddStats","handle":"OddStats","text":"BREAKING: Gold spikes on your decision to not go long at 1348, like you fucking knew you should have.\n\nGoddammit.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1141562061333229574","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":261,"retweets":15,"replies":16,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/OddStats/status/1141562061333229574"},"1149320206545608705":{"id":"1149320206545608705","date":"2019-07-11 14:11:05","author":"avc","handle":"avc","text":"A Doctor For Sensitive Issues http://dlvr.it/R8D7lP","hashtags":[],"conv":"1149320206545608705","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1149348395938656256","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":3,"replies":0,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/avc/status/1149320206545608705"},"1592295189934129152":{"id":"1592295189934129152","date":"2022-11-14 23:15:31","author":"Mitchell Rosenthal","handle":"M1tchRosenthal","text":"Revisiting this. if we wanted to have code that let's us specify any number of correlated series (not just 2, maybe 3, or 5)\n\nIs there a way to make script that adjusts the covariance matrix to be the proper dimensions\n\nw out manually building it? input is, num_series = 5, for ex","hashtags":[],"conv":"1592295189934129152","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/M1tchRosenthal/status/1592295189934129152"},"1536513589913309185":{"id":"1536513589913309185","date":"2022-06-14 00:59:21","author":"Tarun Chitra","handle":"tarunchitra","text":"Would staking derivatives be more or less stable with a very liquid options market?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536513589913309185","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tarunchitra/status/1536513589913309185"},"1777082575762166066":{"id":"1777082575762166066","date":"2024-04-07 21:14:37","author":"Gammichan","handle":"gammichan","text":"It's crazy that this is how electrical signals are denoised as well. It's called a differential signal. When you have two signals, one just an inversion of the other, the difference between them is their common noise. What Augustin is doing here is removing common mode noise.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1777082575762166066","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":5078,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/gammichan/status/1777082575762166066"},"1769716259065610670":{"id":"1769716259065610670","date":"2024-03-18 13:23:30","author":"Matthew Green","handle":"matthew_d_green","text":"The HN folks have discovered Devin, the AI software engineer. And suddenly they’re all Marxists.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1769716259065610670","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":418,"retweets":62,"replies":13,"quotes":8,"views":57340,"bookmarks":126,"media":["1769716259065610670_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/matthew_d_green/status/1769716259065610670"},"1482113634499182598":{"id":"1482113634499182598","date":"2022-01-14 22:13:21","author":"HF_Trader","handle":"HF_Trader","text":"Anyone use a continuous glucose monitor?  If so, how do you like it?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482113634499182598","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/HF_Trader/status/1482113634499182598"},"1599212883333767169":{"id":"1599212883333767169","date":"2022-12-04 01:23:57","author":"experquisite","handle":"experquisite","text":"I think my takeaway from the Twitter buzz about ChatGPT is that “generating human-like text based on the input I receive” is basically what undergrads have been doing all along. Maybe this will raise the bar a little.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1599212883333767169","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/experquisite/status/1599212883333767169"},"1423437359144570884":{"id":"1423437359144570884","date":"2021-08-06 00:14:47","author":"🅰️LB🅰️","handle":"ALBACapMgmt","text":"How do I stop Qanon freaks RTing my stuff ? I cant find the setting.\n\nThanks","hashtags":[],"conv":"1423437359144570884","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ALBACapMgmt/status/1423437359144570884"},"1540056137667694592":{"id":"1540056137667694592","date":"2022-06-23 19:36:10","author":"Joel Rubano","handle":"TCK_JRubano","text":"Listening to a lecture that is 95% equations at 1.5x speed. It’s basically math speed metal. Mathgadeth? Mathtallica?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1540056137667694592","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":45,"retweets":1,"replies":20,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TCK_JRubano/status/1540056137667694592"},"1793791838866034837":{"id":"1793791838866034837","date":"2024-05-23 23:51:16","author":"HF_Trader","handle":"HF_Trader","text":"Anyone ever use a personal/life coach?  \n\nI’ve always thought it was such a silly idea.  I thought my own self motivation and good friends would be enough to help me accomplish my goals.  However,\nas I’ve gotten older I realize that I don’t have a good group of friends that I can really lean on for encouragement and accountability.  \n\nAnyways, I was just watching a Tony Robbins video and absolutely loved it.  Maybe the idea of having a solid person in your life to motivate and encourage you isn’t such a bad idea.\n\nI’m curious if others have had any good/bad experiences?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1793791838866034837","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":3657,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/HF_Trader/status/1793791838866034837"},"1412755826243211268":{"id":"1412755826243211268","date":"2021-07-07 12:50:11","author":"Kris Sidial🇺🇸","handle":"Ksidiii","text":"It’s a shame ethical standards completely go out the door with hierarchal differences. \n\n(Regular person) - insider trading deemed bad....go to jail, lose your career and be labeled forever \n\n(Politician) - insider trading, good 👍🏽, make money and everyone forgets in 2 months","hashtags":[],"conv":"1412755826243211268","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":247,"retweets":29,"replies":10,"quotes":5,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Ksidiii/status/1412755826243211268"},"1598075665395613696":{"id":"1598075665395613696","date":"2022-11-30 22:05:04","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"(disingenuously) so how are we going to fix this AMM LP adverse selection problem?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598075665395613696","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":52,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1598075665395613696"},"1951056627953434712":{"id":"1951056627953434712","date":"2025-07-31 23:05:23","author":"Tina","handle":"moreproteinbars","text":"I have tariff headline fatigue, anyone else? 😤","hashtags":[],"conv":"1951056627953434712","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":147,"retweets":0,"replies":21,"quotes":0,"views":8771,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/moreproteinbars/status/1951056627953434712"},"1753767434425708706":{"id":"1753767434425708706","date":"2024-02-03 13:08:34","author":"Carl Carrie (@🏠)","handle":"carlcarrie","text":"Slides by Amundi's Thierry Roncalli on Advanced Topics in Portfolio Optimization, Climate and ESG Portfolio Construction and Machine Learning in Asset Management with Tutorials - 1,420 Slides in All\n\nGreat Weekend Binge Read....\n\n#FinX \n\nhttps://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4698165&s=09","hashtags":["finx"],"conv":"1753767434425708706","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1753878805549056430","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":164,"retweets":31,"replies":2,"quotes":5,"views":47054,"bookmarks":258,"media":["1753767434425708706_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/carlcarrie/status/1753767434425708706"},"1965793827287167079":{"id":"1965793827287167079","date":"2025-09-10 15:05:45","author":"Martin Shkreli","handle":"MartinShkreli","text":"the next huge company?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1965793827287167079","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":439,"retweets":10,"replies":35,"quotes":0,"views":136627,"bookmarks":324,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/MartinShkreli/status/1965793827287167079"},"1519872117642174465":{"id":"1519872117642174465","date":"2022-04-29 02:52:05","author":"\"Leigh Marie\" Braswell","handle":"LM_Braswell","text":"Best (& most fun) startup recruiting strategy","hashtags":[],"conv":"1519872117642174465","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":250,"retweets":5,"replies":26,"quotes":5,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":["1519872117642174465_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/LM_Braswell/status/1519872117642174465"},"1602394673808539649":{"id":"1602394673808539649","date":"2022-12-12 20:07:15","author":"Gary Basin","handle":"garybasin","text":"Lex’s podcast is good, actually. Chasing “insights” is a waste of time, just feels valuable when they rarely are. Would rather listen to smart people vibe","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602394673808539649","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":37,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/garybasin/status/1602394673808539649"},"1584881714060410880":{"id":"1584881714060410880","date":"2022-10-25 12:17:00","author":"bookdepth","handle":"bookdepth","text":"Edited down by a third!! The people demand the Levine Cut!!!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1584881714060410880","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bookdepth/status/1584881714060410880"},"1968563736324751526":{"id":"1968563736324751526","date":"2025-09-18 06:32:23","author":"arb8020","handle":"arb8020","text":"they convinced me. im installing ocaml","hashtags":[],"conv":"1968563736324751526","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2882,"bookmarks":5,"media":["1968563736324751526_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/arb8020/status/1968563736324751526"},"1452756564230635527":{"id":"1452756564230635527","date":"2021-10-25 21:58:50","author":"Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼","handle":"Noahpinion","text":"Wonder how this compares to other cryptos.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1452756564230635527","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":32,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1452756564230635527"},"1785319991845240844":{"id":"1785319991845240844","date":"2024-04-30 14:47:10","author":"peepeepoopoo","handle":"DeepDishEnjoyer","text":"By the way, this could have all been avoided if you just respected and paid teachers better such that quality people would actually want to teach. \n\nInstead you left them to fend for themselves against the administrative wolves and now 20ish years later you get your just deserts.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1785319991845240844","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":113,"retweets":3,"replies":9,"quotes":1,"views":6625,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/DeepDishEnjoyer/status/1785319991845240844"},"1523435581740527616":{"id":"1523435581740527616","date":"2022-05-08 22:52:01","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"What would I do with a large twitter audience?\n\nOh, probably use it to sell a grifty online course about how to hack your way to more twitter followers, that’s how we deliver real value to the world here at the tomato/self-storage account 😤 😤","hashtags":[],"conv":"1523435581740527616","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":72,"retweets":1,"replies":8,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1523435581740527616"},"1597793290782662657":{"id":"1597793290782662657","date":"2022-11-30 03:23:00","author":"GEE-yohm LAMB-bear","handle":"guil_lambert","text":"I just heard one of options trading's biggest boosters just admit that only selling call options on $SPY loses money in expectation (assuming risk-neutral pricing).\n\nSo what are we even doing here?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597793290782662657","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/guil_lambert/status/1597793290782662657"},"1823367598160945456":{"id":"1823367598160945456","date":"2024-08-13 14:34:46","author":"Euan Sinclair","handle":"SinclairEuan","text":"I made a note that I got some idea here from @AgustinLebron3 but I can't remember what.\n\nSorry mate.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1823367598160945456","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":14376,"bookmarks":24,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SinclairEuan/status/1823367598160945456"},"1702736575036080504":{"id":"1702736575036080504","date":"2023-09-15 17:30:09","author":"YT@quantext","handle":"BeingHorizontal","text":"Bro is such a winning machine. Never seen such a big gap in the ATP tour after the top 2 seeds.\n\nNo one comes close to Alcaraz and Djokovic. I'm pretty sure Alcaraz will figure out Medvedev again.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1702736575036080504","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1078,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/BeingHorizontal/status/1702736575036080504"},"1418298408863887361":{"id":"1418298408863887361","date":"2021-07-22 19:54:26","author":"Saang Lee (이상선)","handle":"saanglee","text":"@ChartArt_SPX Been playing for 8 months, but putting in 3hrs/day.\n\n6'2\" and pretty good clubhead speed (110mph driver) and striking depends on the day.\n\nUsing T200 but am considering blades for (potentially) increased ceiling.\n\nStill getting technique down, but a reps issue @ this point.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1418294496614174721","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1418301487487143936","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1418298408863887361_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/saanglee/status/1418298408863887361"},"1493854285053841408":{"id":"1493854285053841408","date":"2022-02-16 07:46:30","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"The Rust compiler is like a waiter in a restaurant in Paris. \n\nHe totally knows what you want, but he's not going to get you a thing until you learn to ask for it properly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493854285053841408","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":119,"retweets":4,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1493854285053841408"},"1244999125034242050":{"id":"1244999125034242050","date":"2020-03-31 14:44:57","author":"Paul Graham","handle":"paulg","text":"The reason the US government has bungled the coronavirus response so badly is not that it's starved of resources, but that it's starved of competent leadership.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1244999125034242050","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":729,"retweets":75,"replies":38,"quotes":6,"views":0,"bookmarks":25,"media":["1244999125034242050_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/paulg/status/1244999125034242050"},"1846744943554949200":{"id":"1846744943554949200","date":"2024-10-17 02:48:00","author":"AndreaSmity","handle":"SmityAndre82456","text":"How does avoiding looking forward acausally square with ML adoption? I was under impression most folk are *not* using causal strains like the chernozhukov stuff. does a causal paradigm constrain your feature set instead of estimator set?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1846744943554949200","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":904,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SmityAndre82456/status/1846744943554949200"},"1870150813504680047":{"id":"1870150813504680047","date":"2024-12-20 16:54:34","author":"Ege Erdil","handle":"EgeErdil2","text":"why is this so implausible?\n\njust to give one example of how much leaders can matter: during the napoleonic wars, the duke of wellington said that napoleon's leadership of a battle was worth around 40,000 additional soldiers on the french side","hashtags":[],"conv":"1870150813504680047","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":162,"retweets":8,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":9815,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/EgeErdil2/status/1870150813504680047"},"1623436283166199809":{"id":"1623436283166199809","date":"2023-02-08 21:39:06","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"What band has the best sharpe ratio?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1623436283166199809","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":66,"retweets":0,"replies":58,"quotes":1,"views":51542,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1623436283166199809"},"1531029292934733829":{"id":"1531029292934733829","date":"2022-05-29 21:46:43","author":"Mitchell Rosenthal","handle":"M1tchRosenthal","text":"Question for the hivemind. \n\nWhat's an easy way in python to make all possible combinations of lists that have 5 items: they all add up to 1, and they are all multiples of (0.10)\n\nexample:\n[0.20, 0.40, 0.20, 0.10, 0.10]\n\nI found dirichlet distributions but sounds over complicated","hashtags":[],"conv":"1531029292934733829","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":54,"retweets":3,"replies":37,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":40,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/M1tchRosenthal/status/1531029292934733829"},"1689914140494647296":{"id":"1689914140494647296","date":"2023-08-11 08:18:22","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"The Forbes 30 Under 30 list has 1,230 people on it lmao","hashtags":[],"conv":"1689914140494647296","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":98,"retweets":3,"replies":8,"quotes":3,"views":27388,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1689914140494647296_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1689914140494647296"},"1880736478990602453":{"id":"1880736478990602453","date":"2025-01-18 21:58:13","author":"Speculator","handle":"TheSpeculator0","text":"You really can't midcurve furniture. You have to get either the really expensive stuff or just buy IKEA slop. The \"normal\" priced stuff isn't a lot better than the IKEA slop yet it somehow costs 3-5x as much","hashtags":[],"conv":"1880736478990602453","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":287,"retweets":3,"replies":19,"quotes":3,"views":29356,"bookmarks":22,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheSpeculator0/status/1880736478990602453"},"1518661701012377600":{"id":"1518661701012377600","date":"2022-04-25 18:42:19","author":"\"Leigh Marie\" Braswell","handle":"LM_Braswell","text":"One of biggest surprises for both me as an investor & many early-stage founders I work with - how much time founders personally must spend recruiting to hit goals. Have seen up to *50%* of their time!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1518661701012377600","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":1,"replies":10,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/LM_Braswell/status/1518661701012377600"},"1507903174325145601":{"id":"1507903174325145601","date":"2022-03-27 02:11:46","author":"Dave White","handle":"_Dave__White_","text":"fun fact, if you move rows in google sheets by selecting cells from the middle instead of the far left, it will silently overwrite your data\n\nso yeah, starting from scratch","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507903174325145601","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":44,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/_Dave__White_/status/1507903174325145601"},"1694751769266384943":{"id":"1694751769266384943","date":"2023-08-24 16:41:23","author":"Bloomberg Technology","handle":"technology","text":"Hugging Face, a startup that makes AI software and hosts it for other companies, said it has been valued at $4.5 billion after raising $235 million in funding https://trib.al/C4mbDEo","hashtags":[],"conv":"1694751769266384943","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1695124475338227722","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":6,"replies":0,"quotes":4,"views":55175,"bookmarks":5,"media":["1694751769266384943_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/technology/status/1694751769266384943"},"1760005721046036972":{"id":"1760005721046036972","date":"2024-02-20 18:17:17","author":"Nat Friedman","handle":"natfriedman","text":"Feels pretty weird and contingent that everyone seems to have concluded that \"generating aesthetic media\" is a critical part of the path to AGI","hashtags":[],"conv":"1760005721046036972","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":905,"retweets":46,"replies":89,"quotes":25,"views":195297,"bookmarks":85,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/natfriedman/status/1760005721046036972"},"1980132269412282410":{"id":"1980132269412282410","date":"2025-10-20 04:41:36","author":"Gappy (Giuseppe Paleologo)","handle":"__paleologo","text":"Common decency","hashtags":[],"conv":"1980132269412282410","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":166,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":20143,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/__paleologo/status/1980132269412282410"},"1792682079022686299":{"id":"1792682079022686299","date":"2024-05-20 22:21:28","author":"arb8020","handle":"arb8020","text":"how do i get distributed systems experience without having to spend tons of money in compute and doing jobs that actually require distributed systems? \n\nasking for a friend","hashtags":[],"conv":"1792682079022686299","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":1145,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/arb8020/status/1792682079022686299"},"1590726242042802177":{"id":"1590726242042802177","date":"2022-11-10 15:21:05","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"How useful is it that Binance publishes their proof of reserves if we don't also know what their liabilities are?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1590726242042802177","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":72,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1590726242042802177"},"1640484756075827200":{"id":"1640484756075827200","date":"2023-03-27 22:43:39","author":"Senior PowerPoint Engineer","handle":"ryxcommar","text":"chatgpt is gonna replace your software developer job? that's embarrassing for you. maybe you should try coding real things.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1640484756075827200","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":107,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":7178,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ryxcommar/status/1640484756075827200"},"1834256870854590867":{"id":"1834256870854590867","date":"2024-09-12 15:44:51","author":"Harry Renquist","handle":"harry_renquist","text":"Very curious to see where this ends up. But, unless it fails, we'll probably never know the real truth.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1834256870854590867","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":189,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/harry_renquist/status/1834256870854590867"},"1722534035434405987":{"id":"1722534035434405987","date":"2023-11-09 08:38:11","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"Embarrassing that they had to “commission a study” to figure this out. \n\nAt any half decent firm (let alone a $100b hedge fund behemoth) this would be a couple of database queries and ten minutes wrangling the data in pandas for a semi-competent quant.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1722534035434405987","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":213,"retweets":9,"replies":29,"quotes":2,"views":49715,"bookmarks":29,"media":["1722534035434405987_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1722534035434405987"},"1500905281445847040":{"id":"1500905281445847040","date":"2022-03-07 18:44:39","author":"Speculator","handle":"TheSpeculator0","text":"Being long european banks isn't really that different from just punching yourself in the dick repeatedly.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1500905281445847040","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1501748411371982850","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":448,"retweets":17,"replies":20,"quotes":6,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheSpeculator0/status/1500905281445847040"},"1347584486935048193":{"id":"1347584486935048193","date":"2021-01-08 16:42:33","author":"Alexis Ohanian 🗽","handle":"alexisohanian","text":"Never, ever pay to pitch","hashtags":[],"conv":"1347584486935048193","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":375,"retweets":53,"replies":15,"quotes":10,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/alexisohanian/status/1347584486935048193"},"1628118610265706498":{"id":"1628118610265706498","date":"2023-02-21 19:45:00","author":"Brett Harrison","handle":"BrettHarrison","text":"code review","hashtags":[],"conv":"1628118610265706498","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":124,"retweets":7,"replies":10,"quotes":1,"views":13008,"bookmarks":5,"media":["1628118610265706498_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/BrettHarrison/status/1628118610265706498"},"1480218472600809474":{"id":"1480218472600809474","date":"2022-01-09 16:42:39","author":"Lou Stagner (Golf Stat Pro)","handle":"LouStagner","text":"Hey Jon, you were in 2nd place after round two, only three shots off the lead. \n\nYou were 12 under in round three, but now only tied for the lead. \n\nYour thoughts?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1480218472600809474","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":49,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1480218472600809474_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/LouStagner/status/1480218472600809474"},"1546445295487172608":{"id":"1546445295487172608","date":"2022-07-11 10:44:24","author":"けものみち | 獣道 | Kemo🫡🚫🙏 |🇺🇸🇹🇼🇮🇱🇯🇵🎗️⚜️","handle":"KemonomichiNL","text":"The fastest way to get someone to back off an assertion that they are 95% confident that XYZ will happen is to ask them to offer you 19 to 1 odds.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546445295487172608","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KemonomichiNL/status/1546445295487172608"},"1340476176997830657":{"id":"1340476176997830657","date":"2020-12-20 01:56:40","author":"François Chollet","handle":"fchollet","text":"IMO trying to gamify anything that isn't an actual game is more likely to turn out dystopian than to be effective","hashtags":[],"conv":"1340476176997830657","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":268,"retweets":17,"replies":14,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/fchollet/status/1340476176997830657"},"1980723019925606728":{"id":"1980723019925606728","date":"2025-10-21 19:49:02","author":"Minh Nhat Nguyen","handle":"menhguin","text":"u can get a lot of post-training data from a browser.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1980723019925606728","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":125,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":2,"views":7748,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/menhguin/status/1980723019925606728"},"1573053606471036928":{"id":"1573053606471036928","date":"2022-09-22 20:56:20","author":"Peter Yang","handle":"petergyang","text":"This is a very interesting thought - I actually find the typical product case question way more game-able than a behavioral question. \n\nI think behavioral questions work OK if you can probe deeper into the canned answers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1573053606471036928","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/petergyang/status/1573053606471036928"},"1920194954032247112":{"id":"1920194954032247112","date":"2025-05-07 19:12:07","author":"Byrne Hobart","handle":"ByrneHobart","text":"For the kids who actually want to do the reading, write the essays, prove the theorems, etc., and who use AI for help rather than cheating—which colleges are they applying to?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1920194954032247112","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":99,"retweets":5,"replies":14,"quotes":1,"views":11812,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ByrneHobart/status/1920194954032247112"},"1967836271402946617":{"id":"1967836271402946617","date":"2025-09-16 06:21:42","author":"Temu Robot James","handle":"ScottPh77711570","text":"“There’s a lot of delta 1 guys with houses in the Hamptons.\n\nNot so many options guys”\n\nEuan Sinclair (options guy par excellence)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1967836271402946617","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":317,"retweets":6,"replies":8,"quotes":2,"views":63490,"bookmarks":96,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ScottPh77711570/status/1967836271402946617"},"1491412011347251202":{"id":"1491412011347251202","date":"2022-02-09 14:01:47","author":"Gary Basin","handle":"garybasin","text":"Thinking about a future where AlphaCode 3.0 makes software manufacturing more like hardware manufacturing (minus the atoms). \n\nVery detailed design work upfront, but then you just press a button and it’s ready.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1491412011347251202","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/garybasin/status/1491412011347251202"},"1501025384644628493":{"id":"1501025384644628493","date":"2022-03-08 02:41:54","author":"Nathan FOIA Tankus","handle":"NathanTankus","text":"Hey guys, you have to look at the silver lining: if we go to thermonuclear war then the national debt will no longer burden our grandchildren!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501025384644628493","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":179,"retweets":15,"replies":11,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/NathanTankus/status/1501025384644628493"},"1950950082762674176":{"id":"1950950082762674176","date":"2025-07-31 16:02:01","author":"UpInTheAir","handle":"asvbxz","text":"yeah but if you have a 1% edge and have infinite rolls your chance of ruin is basically zero","hashtags":[],"conv":"1950950082762674176","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1144,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/asvbxz/status/1950950082762674176"},"1300621698585120769":{"id":"1300621698585120769","date":"2020-09-01 02:29:11","author":"Nat Friedman","handle":"natfriedman","text":"What's your favorite theory of what happened in the late 60s/early 70s that caused so many trends to abruptly change course?\n\nhttps://wtfhappenedin1971.com","hashtags":[],"conv":"1300621698585120769","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1121,"retweets":160,"replies":204,"quotes":76,"views":0,"bookmarks":266,"media":["1300621698585120769_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/natfriedman/status/1300621698585120769"},"1478117403322052610":{"id":"1478117403322052610","date":"2022-01-03 21:33:45","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"I know Twitter thinks new years resolutions are lame, but I need some help...\n\nOther than sparkling water, what drinks don't have alcohol in them?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1478117403322052610","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":87,"retweets":0,"replies":94,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1478117403322052610"},"1459617712238383113":{"id":"1459617712238383113","date":"2021-11-13 20:22:35","author":"Robin Hanson","handle":"robinhanson","text":"I’m at top of tallest Mayan temple","hashtags":[],"conv":"1459617712238383113","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":173,"retweets":5,"replies":7,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1459617712238383113_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/robinhanson/status/1459617712238383113"},"1476423218974003202":{"id":"1476423218974003202","date":"2021-12-30 05:21:40","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"The masculine urge to write Fortran from your sick bed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476423218974003202","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":60,"retweets":1,"replies":12,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1476423218974003202"},"1367591861905285127":{"id":"1367591861905285127","date":"2021-03-04 21:44:43","author":"Jay Soloff","handle":"jsoloff","text":"@Mephisto731 @bennpeifert If you're using BS to calculate implied vols with a risk-free rate based on the Fed's rigged Brrrr machine and not a decentralized world-changer like Dogecoin, then you are sadly delusional (and probably drive a minivan).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1367508606942277633","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/jsoloff/status/1367591861905285127"},"1412830719873896448":{"id":"1412830719873896448","date":"2021-07-07 17:47:47","author":"Jim Carroll","handle":"vixologist","text":"Firing back at @Mephisto731 and @bennpeifert. Joe says $SKEW is not worthless.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1412830719873896448","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/vixologist/status/1412830719873896448"},"1491163354785845253":{"id":"1491163354785845253","date":"2022-02-08 21:33:42","author":"Speculator","handle":"TheSpeculator0","text":"now that ive been on both sides of this, you should really just try to get into the \"mega\" firms. it's competitive but not as competitive as you probably think.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1491163354785845253","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheSpeculator0/status/1491163354785845253"},"1397692533057196037":{"id":"1397692533057196037","date":"2021-05-26 23:14:02","author":"Robin Hanson","handle":"robinhanson","text":"In action movies, when lives are on the line, & every minute counts, yet people who care about each other must separate, they usually make sure to say a long slow emotional goodbye. Which bugs the heck out of me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1397692533057196037","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":180,"retweets":10,"replies":17,"quotes":7,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/robinhanson/status/1397692533057196037"},"1536934482523082752":{"id":"1536934482523082752","date":"2022-06-15 04:51:50","author":"Artur Sepp: Systematic Quant Trend/Vol/Rates/Macro","handle":"ArturSepp","text":"Any experience how such bubble predictions work out-of-sample?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536934482523082752","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ArturSepp/status/1536934482523082752"},"1390079697577521153":{"id":"1390079697577521153","date":"2021-05-05 23:03:20","author":"Michael Nielsen","handle":"michael_nielsen","text":"This seems like quite good news to me. Looks like a super fit 75 year old (100 m in ~15s) probably compares okay to what I expect is typical for a moderately active 35 yo.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1390079697577521153","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":37,"retweets":6,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/michael_nielsen/status/1390079697577521153"},"1172234599918985216":{"id":"1172234599918985216","date":"2019-09-12 19:44:42","author":"Dan Rasmussen","handle":"verdadcap","text":"Porter #5. Wow.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1172234599918985216","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":29,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/verdadcap/status/1172234599918985216"},"1597297564503932930":{"id":"1597297564503932930","date":"2022-11-28 18:33:10","author":"Delta None","handle":"sentientETF","text":"Interview candidate: “I look forward to the fast iteration and feedback of quant finance”.\n\nI smile and nod, replying “good answer” but what I really want to ask is how they would cope when 95% of that “feedback” is getting kicked in the balls","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597297564503932930","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":57,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/sentientETF/status/1597297564503932930"},"1602678013442883587":{"id":"1602678013442883587","date":"2022-12-13 14:53:09","author":"Ledger 🇺🇸","handle":"ledgerstatus","text":"So who buys our bags next cycle? Currently still a PVP rotation game, keep in mind!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602678013442883587","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":185,"retweets":2,"replies":30,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ledgerstatus/status/1602678013442883587"},"1788655118155747502":{"id":"1788655118155747502","date":"2024-05-09 19:39:46","author":"arb8020","handle":"arb8020","text":"you can be sucked into the abyss, or you can use this as fuel\n\nchoice is yours","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788655118155747502","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2775,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/arb8020/status/1788655118155747502"},"1737596402123858140":{"id":"1737596402123858140","date":"2023-12-20 22:10:39","author":"brett goldstein","handle":"thatguybg","text":"true or false\n\nif a candidate fails an interview within 5 minutes it’s ok to tell them and end the interview early","hashtags":[],"conv":"1737596402123858140","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":437,"retweets":1,"replies":154,"quotes":3,"views":154330,"bookmarks":25,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/thatguybg/status/1737596402123858140"},"1494872601273024516":{"id":"1494872601273024516","date":"2022-02-19 03:12:56","author":"Joel Rubano","handle":"TCK_JRubano","text":"I just saw that MTS is now doing tungsten business cards. If they have any commercial instincts they will immediately download the Silian Rail font and wait for the deluge of orders. I’d order some myself now, but I have an 8:30 reservation at Dorsia.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494872601273024516","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TCK_JRubano/status/1494872601273024516"},"1539626662274269185":{"id":"1539626662274269185","date":"2022-06-22 15:09:35","author":"Senior Oops Engineer","handle":"ReinH","text":"github copilot is incredible. it just sells code other people wrote, but because it's an \"AI\" it is apparently allowed to launder that code without it being a \"derivative work\". lol. lmao. what an amazing grift.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1539626662274269185","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1539649817076703232","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7088,"retweets":1065,"replies":130,"quotes":230,"views":0,"bookmarks":364,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ReinH/status/1539626662274269185"},"1354924860942635008":{"id":"1354924860942635008","date":"2021-01-28 22:50:34","author":"Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼","handle":"Noahpinion","text":"@postcarbonsteve Embodied emission will go to 0 as the grid decarbonizes\n\nNegative environmental impacts also greatly reduced\n\nNegative social impacts...meh, we have much bigger things to worry about","hashtags":[],"conv":"1354924561867759618","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1354924860942635008"},"1397352863571931137":{"id":"1397352863571931137","date":"2021-05-26 00:44:18","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"@nope_its_lily i have been told that, if you are going to short something, you should short \"the vix\".\n\nplease provide instructions.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1397312841955217408","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1397352863571931137"},"1854892852834455785":{"id":"1854892852834455785","date":"2024-11-08 14:24:53","author":"arb8020","handle":"arb8020","text":"i hate aws lambda\ni hate aws lambda\ni hate aws lambda\n...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1854892852834455785","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":609,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/arb8020/status/1854892852834455785"},"1502089507507634180":{"id":"1502089507507634180","date":"2022-03-11 01:10:20","author":"Venkatesh Rao ☀️","handle":"vgr","text":"I do believe I saw <$1 in 1999 🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1502089507507634180","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/vgr/status/1502089507507634180"},"1534224476421992449":{"id":"1534224476421992449","date":"2022-06-07 17:23:14","author":"Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️","handle":"choffstein","text":"I propose we rebrand “volatility drag” to “convexity adjustment”.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1534224476421992449","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":82,"retweets":1,"replies":14,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/choffstein/status/1534224476421992449"},"1448068487927238659":{"id":"1448068487927238659","date":"2021-10-12 23:30:05","author":"Lionel Lightcycle","handle":"0xLightcycle","text":"@lightspringfox Spending time minimizing coupling pays off when we have to make the inevitable change, regardless of programming paradigm: OOP, Functional, SOLID, etc.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448060727265165312","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0xLightcycle/status/1448068487927238659"},"1277633227377836032":{"id":"1277633227377836032","date":"2020-06-29 16:01:13","author":"Nathan FOIA Tankus","handle":"NathanTankus","text":"Harrowing","hashtags":[],"conv":"1277633227377836032","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":103,"retweets":6,"replies":3,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1277633227377836032_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/NathanTankus/status/1277633227377836032"},"1527372959324700672":{"id":"1527372959324700672","date":"2022-05-19 19:37:45","author":"NoSleepJon 💤⏩","handle":"nosleepjon","text":"Seems like the best immediate use case for on-chain stocks is just insider trading?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1527372959324700672","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1527401670841356293","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":57,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/nosleepjon/status/1527372959324700672"},"1294824302890684418":{"id":"1294824302890684418","date":"2020-08-16 02:32:25","author":"Samuel Lee","handle":"svrnco","text":"Unpopular take: Most blog posts, podcasts, interviews, tweets and other easily digestible content teach you little, even the ones that seem great. Rather, you get the feeling of learning/insight, which is distinct from actual learning.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1294824302890684418","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":427,"retweets":27,"replies":38,"quotes":18,"views":0,"bookmarks":53,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/svrnco/status/1294824302890684418"},"1508657120686002189":{"id":"1508657120686002189","date":"2022-03-29 04:07:41","author":"IV","handle":"iv_technicals","text":"gonna lounge here and think about the meaning of life","hashtags":[],"conv":"1508657120686002189","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1508657120686002189_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/iv_technicals/status/1508657120686002189"},"1471495193660518413":{"id":"1471495193660518413","date":"2021-12-16 14:59:27","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"A quant trading question I’ve never found a good answer to — how to decide between spending time improving an existing strategy (high certainty, low return on effort) vs starting something entirely new (uncertain but potentially high return on effort).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471495193660518413","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":205,"retweets":9,"replies":35,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":49,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1471495193660518413"},"1550590053218385923":{"id":"1550590053218385923","date":"2022-07-22 21:14:11","author":"dd","handle":"hafifdepressed","text":"sometimes you just have to stop losses","hashtags":[],"conv":"1550590053218385923","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/hafifdepressed/status/1550590053218385923"},"1527231278860619776":{"id":"1527231278860619776","date":"2022-05-19 10:14:46","author":"Emily👁️(CFA,CAIA)Chartered Chain Checker🦇🔊","handle":"AutomataEmily","text":"Lol they called @Brett_FTXUS a tech wonk","hashtags":[],"conv":"1527231278860619776","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1527231278860619776_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/AutomataEmily/status/1527231278860619776"},"1846582114059477132":{"id":"1846582114059477132","date":"2024-10-16 16:00:58","author":"Deedy","handle":"deedydas","text":"The best free class on the internet is Poker Theory at MIT.\n\nIt's taught by portfolio managers at quant shops like Citadel, AQR, SIG and 2 WSOP bracelet winners.\n\nYou play 5000 hands as practice and learn the math of making money from pros. And it's free.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1846582114059477132","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1846721681697706421","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20385,"retweets":1249,"replies":122,"quotes":65,"views":2149988,"bookmarks":36767,"media":["1846582114059477132_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/deedydas/status/1846582114059477132"},"1298431364723859456":{"id":"1298431364723859456","date":"2020-08-26 01:25:35","author":"David Sinclair","handle":"davidasinclair","text":"2020 should be treated like the 13th floor in buildings. Just pretend it never existed.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1298431364723859456","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1087,"retweets":107,"replies":63,"quotes":13,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/davidasinclair/status/1298431364723859456"},"1394645553850503172":{"id":"1394645553850503172","date":"2021-05-18 13:26:25","author":"Vagelis Kontis","handle":"vakontis","text":"Volatility gentlemen, I would like your opinion on pin risk assessment. At first sight, it seems very tempting to hold options to expiration. I would appreciate your insight. @SinclairEuan @AgustinLebron3 @KrisAbdelmessih @bennpeifert @KrisAbdelmessih @goodalexander","hashtags":[],"conv":"1394645553850503172","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/vakontis/status/1394645553850503172"},"1188240680771969024":{"id":"1188240680771969024","date":"2019-10-26 23:47:09","author":"Ben Reinhardt","handle":"Ben_Reinhardt","text":"What could I do to convince everybody to tweet detaitailed, unintuitive knowledge nuggets from their domain of expertise despite that sort of thing not being like-magnets?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1188240680771969024","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Ben_Reinhardt/status/1188240680771969024"},"1851651905094893686":{"id":"1851651905094893686","date":"2024-10-30 15:46:30","author":"ekri","handle":"ekrii3","text":"The most sickening, gut wrenching, unnerving, nauseating “what have you done this week” is remembering this guy existed","hashtags":[],"conv":"1851651905094893686","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":63,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":4605,"bookmarks":16,"media":["1851651905094893686_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ekrii3/status/1851651905094893686"},"1324047859172343808":{"id":"1324047859172343808","date":"2020-11-04 17:56:23","author":"Alex Tabarrok","handle":"ATabarrok","text":"My takeaway is that a large number of people HATE the cultural left (not the econ left) and are willing to put up with almost anything, including incompetence, chaos, corruption and bad policy, to signal their views loud and clear.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1324047859172343808","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6433,"retweets":799,"replies":339,"quotes":422,"views":0,"bookmarks":358,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ATabarrok/status/1324047859172343808"},"1520122834000904194":{"id":"1520122834000904194","date":"2022-04-29 19:28:20","author":"Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️","handle":"bennpeifert","text":"views on take-home problem sets in leiu of first technical interviews for a quant intern?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1520122834000904194","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":28,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bennpeifert/status/1520122834000904194"},"1730188641492693045":{"id":"1730188641492693045","date":"2023-11-30 11:34:52","author":"Nishant Kumar","handle":"nishantkumar07","text":"Two former top executives at Steven Cohen and Crispin Odey’s firms are turning the traditional hedge fund model on its head, by providing capital to traders who agree to lose their own money first if bets fail. Also called first loss funds https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-11-30/hedge-fund-to-back-traders-who-risk-their-own-money-if-bets-fail?utm_source=website&utm_medium=share&utm_campaign=twitter?sref=pShhn61A via @markets","hashtags":[],"conv":"1730188641492693045","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1730313991971340402","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":76,"retweets":12,"replies":11,"quotes":13,"views":84821,"bookmarks":51,"media":["1730188641492693045_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/nishantkumar07/status/1730188641492693045"},"1940112434486026689":{"id":"1940112434486026689","date":"2025-07-01 18:17:04","author":"Jeff Sackmann","handle":"tennisabstract","text":"ARTHUR RINDERKNECH!!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1940112434486026689","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2380,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tennisabstract/status/1940112434486026689"},"1957800030913319378":{"id":"1957800030913319378","date":"2025-08-19 13:41:16","author":"Perry E. Metzger","handle":"perrymetzger","text":"Being loud and public about giving something non-sentient a “reward” serves an important purpose for a leader of Effective Altruism, which is to muddy the waters as much as possible about what current AI systems are like.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957800030913319378","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":55,"retweets":10,"replies":5,"quotes":3,"views":4958,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/perrymetzger/status/1957800030913319378"},"1731113431204614532":{"id":"1731113431204614532","date":"2023-12-03 00:49:39","author":"Michael Nielsen","handle":"michael_nielsen","text":"I enjoyed Cosma Shalizi's notes on transformers: http://bactra.org/notebooks/nn-attention-and-transformers.html","hashtags":[],"conv":"1731113431204614532","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1731766189872005219","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":286,"retweets":24,"replies":7,"quotes":8,"views":92931,"bookmarks":322,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/michael_nielsen/status/1731113431204614532"},"1434267372412555264":{"id":"1434267372412555264","date":"2021-09-04 21:29:23","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"This. But Visual Basic for Applications. \n\nI think I might be doing it wrong...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434267372412555264","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1434267372412555264"},"1743491183655936137":{"id":"1743491183655936137","date":"2024-01-06 04:34:25","author":"bubble boi","handle":"bubbleboi","text":"Nah do it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1743491183655936137","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":899,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bubbleboi/status/1743491183655936137"},"1248617271460679681":{"id":"1248617271460679681","date":"2020-04-10 14:22:10","author":"Bitstein","handle":"bitstein","text":"If Wimbledon had bought bitcoins every day instead, they'd have over $4 billion, and the payoff would continue after the pandemic is over.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1248617271460679681","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":265,"retweets":41,"replies":12,"quotes":14,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":["1248617271460679681_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bitstein/status/1248617271460679681"},"1587903086810763266":{"id":"1587903086810763266","date":"2022-11-02 20:22:52","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"This is \"should I use a stop order?\" on steroids...\n\nThe \"with caution\" part means never use this.\n\nYou won't even get taken out for a steak lunch after pressing this button.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1587903086810763266","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":70,"retweets":1,"replies":11,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1587903086810763266"},"1513396942079881218":{"id":"1513396942079881218","date":"2022-04-11 06:02:03","author":"Ankit Garg","handle":"Ankit_Quant","text":"I lost my recent favorite book by @AgustinLebron3 in this. \n\nThey’d probably throw it away along with my highlights :(","hashtags":[],"conv":"1513396942079881218","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Ankit_Quant/status/1513396942079881218"},"1286134843861082113":{"id":"1286134843861082113","date":"2020-07-23 03:03:36","author":"Karen Hao","handle":"_KarenHao","text":"No, no, no, no, NO. ** screams into void **","hashtags":[],"conv":"1286134843861082113","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1015,"retweets":196,"replies":25,"quotes":76,"views":0,"bookmarks":97,"media":["1286134843861082113_1.png","1286134843861082113_2.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/_KarenHao/status/1286134843861082113"},"1708327886866862202":{"id":"1708327886866862202","date":"2023-10-01 03:48:02","author":"Daniel Litt","handle":"littmath","text":"I’ve been told GPT-4 with code interpreter is good at math.\n\nGPT-4 with code interpreter:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1708327886866862202","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1708628844331090371","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11847,"retweets":304,"replies":158,"quotes":70,"views":1307874,"bookmarks":221,"media":["1708327886866862202_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/littmath/status/1708327886866862202"},"1759414991667728711":{"id":"1759414991667728711","date":"2024-02-19 03:09:57","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"Totally fair coin. \n\nHeads you win $50mm, tails nothing happens. \n\nCoin gets flipped in an hour. No credit risk. \n\nYou can shop the proposition to Jane, SIG, Citadel or anyone else for that matter. \n\nWhat price does it trade for?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1759414991667728711","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":224,"retweets":12,"replies":65,"quotes":30,"views":236366,"bookmarks":147,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1759414991667728711"},"1411394159034970114":{"id":"1411394159034970114","date":"2021-07-03 18:39:24","author":"VCs Congratulating Themselves 👏👏👏","handle":"VCBrags","text":"ruin a VC pitch meeting in 5 words or less 👇","hashtags":[],"conv":"1411394159034970114","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":699,"retweets":64,"replies":640,"quotes":92,"views":0,"bookmarks":118,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/VCBrags/status/1411394159034970114"},"1258688809706889216":{"id":"1258688809706889216","date":"2020-05-08 09:22:52","author":"Paul Graham","handle":"paulg","text":"When you're in the middle of a crisis, you tend to overestimate how permanent its effects will be.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1258688809706889216","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5355,"retweets":766,"replies":123,"quotes":113,"views":0,"bookmarks":130,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/paulg/status/1258688809706889216"},"1602456291225395200":{"id":"1602456291225395200","date":"2022-12-13 00:12:06","author":"arb8020","handle":"arb8020","text":"numerical analysis actually seems super useful too bad we did only one coding project and the rest of the hw was direct calculations \n\noh and the final is all theoretical, where we've had little to no practice\n\nmight just try to retake this class w a professor i understand better","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602456291225395200","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/arb8020/status/1602456291225395200"},"1715424756546372011":{"id":"1715424756546372011","date":"2023-10-20 17:48:27","author":"Adi","handle":"adi_baradwaj","text":"mark-to-market accounting and its consequences have been a disaster for the human race","hashtags":[],"conv":"1715424756546372011","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2724,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/adi_baradwaj/status/1715424756546372011"},"1907380384561598698":{"id":"1907380384561598698","date":"2025-04-02 10:31:35","author":"Speculator","handle":"TheSpeculator0","text":"It's insane people are ragging on this kid for writing an unhinged essay. He's 18, ofcourse he doesn't  know what he *should* be saying.\n\nIf writing a politically correct essay is this important for getting in then you're just selecting for sociopaths and rich / connected kids","hashtags":[],"conv":"1907380384561598698","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":123,"retweets":2,"replies":25,"quotes":2,"views":22763,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheSpeculator0/status/1907380384561598698"},"1879917727147815150":{"id":"1879917727147815150","date":"2025-01-16 15:44:47","author":"Lomez","handle":"L0m3z","text":"Still can’t believe there was like a 10 year period where Malcolm Gladwell was a dominant cultural figure","hashtags":[],"conv":"1879917727147815150","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1880222863489396792","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7000,"retweets":233,"replies":281,"quotes":80,"views":1137744,"bookmarks":568,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/L0m3z/status/1879917727147815150"},"1867969507127701786":{"id":"1867969507127701786","date":"2024-12-14 16:26:50","author":"Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️","handle":"bennpeifert","text":"can apparently build big boy volatility trading infrastructure and crush the french but cannot make new ps5 work. help a damsel in distress @askplaystation","hashtags":[],"conv":"1867969507127701786","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":89,"retweets":1,"replies":11,"quotes":0,"views":15566,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bennpeifert/status/1867969507127701786"},"1297593741524586497":{"id":"1297593741524586497","date":"2020-08-23 17:57:10","author":"James Surowiecki","handle":"JamesSurowiecki","text":"1. Outdoor dining at a fast-food place. Five tables - two in one row, three in another, maybe 6 ft. apart. With all tables empty, a couple sits down at the middle table in the row of 3, the one table that is closest to all the others.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1297593741524586497","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/JamesSurowiecki/status/1297593741524586497"},"1307509977075118084":{"id":"1307509977075118084","date":"2020-09-20 02:40:45","author":"Euan Sinclair","handle":"SinclairEuan","text":"most damaging to a trader","hashtags":[],"conv":"1307509977075118084","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":3,"replies":14,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SinclairEuan/status/1307509977075118084"},"1686623859569807360":{"id":"1686623859569807360","date":"2023-08-02 06:23:58","author":"Overfitting Enjoyer","handle":"maxflowminclout","text":"> Be Yud\n> Buy NO at 20%\n> Goes up to >50%\n> \"the lesson I learned is that I should sell off my early trades once the new probability looks right to me\"\n> Buy YES at >50%\n> Goes down to 38% \n> \"there are nonepistemic incentives that I should have foreseen\"\n\n> mfw","hashtags":[],"conv":"1686623859569807360","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1686771461250232320","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":504,"retweets":23,"replies":29,"quotes":29,"views":255414,"bookmarks":67,"media":["1686623859569807360_1.jpg","1686623859569807360_2.jpg","1686623859569807360_3.jpg","1686623859569807360_4.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/maxflowminclout/status/1686623859569807360"},"1417521546722267148":{"id":"1417521546722267148","date":"2021-07-20 16:27:27","author":"Adam Butler","handle":"GestaltU","text":"Ok Twitter, who are the world's foremost experts / advocates on nuclear energy as the only viable, carbon-neutral solution to meet global energy needs over the next few decades?\n\nI'm hoping to discuss this topic on an upcoming ReSolve Riffs.\n\nTIA","hashtags":[],"conv":"1417521546722267148","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":33,"retweets":1,"replies":15,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/GestaltU/status/1417521546722267148"},"1419731012611985411":{"id":"1419731012611985411","date":"2021-07-26 18:47:05","author":"Speculator","handle":"TheSpeculator0","text":"USDT/USD 0.95 strike 2 year put price","hashtags":[],"conv":"1419731012611985411","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheSpeculator0/status/1419731012611985411"},"1747392349875888229":{"id":"1747392349875888229","date":"2024-01-16 22:56:15","author":"VolSignals","handle":"VolSignals","text":"Dealer positioning in SPX is worsening as we head into Jan OPEX-\n\nand dealer positioning in VIX Calls is notably strained (1%-ile, per Nomura's McElligott = *very* short)\n\nSupportive positioning is evaporating / replaced with increasingly negative gamma. . .\n\n4750 = 👀","hashtags":[],"conv":"1747392349875888229","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":65,"retweets":9,"replies":3,"quotes":4,"views":9836,"bookmarks":22,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/VolSignals/status/1747392349875888229"},"1868887422240534848":{"id":"1868887422240534848","date":"2024-12-17 05:14:18","author":"alz","handle":"alz_zyd_","text":"Does anyone still disagree with the obvious truth that LLMs are basically conscious and thinking entities","hashtags":[],"conv":"1868887422240534848","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":800,"retweets":24,"replies":741,"quotes":170,"views":260679,"bookmarks":148,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/alz_zyd_/status/1868887422240534848"},"1505005035432050690":{"id":"1505005035432050690","date":"2022-03-19 02:15:36","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"I should write about something useful.... what do you want me to write about?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505005035432050690","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":53,"retweets":3,"replies":22,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1505005035432050690"},"1382728413635506178":{"id":"1382728413635506178","date":"2021-04-15 16:11:58","author":"uncatherio","handle":"uncatherio","text":"So... in full seriousness though, I wish I could find out - did anyone show up at Grand Central Station at noon for a party? 😲","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382728413635506178","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":164,"retweets":13,"replies":7,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/uncatherio/status/1382728413635506178"},"1425269389297963014":{"id":"1425269389297963014","date":"2021-08-11 01:34:37","author":"Joel Rubano","handle":"TCK_JRubano","text":"@lightspringfox “My PM is getting killed on this short penguin exposure, I need you to line up some size on the offer and lift everything in orange haired sunglasses  no-hats with kind of a summery looking shirt. How much can you get?”\n\n“One.”\n\n“What do you mean one!?! WTF!”\n\n“One. There’s one.”","hashtags":[],"conv":"1425254821179785222","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TCK_JRubano/status/1425269389297963014"},"1292574538912456707":{"id":"1292574538912456707","date":"2020-08-09 21:32:39","author":"James Clear","handle":"JamesClear","text":"I have a suspicion that most adults (75%+) could pick any skill—excluding sports—and work their way into the top 10% in the world simply by working exclusively on it every day for two years.\n\nBut almost nobody displays that degree of focus, so we will never know.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1292574538912456707","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1595207620578582528","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11965,"retweets":1881,"replies":299,"quotes":244,"views":0,"bookmarks":1475,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/JamesClear/status/1292574538912456707"},"1320742111705268224":{"id":"1320742111705268224","date":"2020-10-26 15:00:32","author":"Hacker News Bot","handle":"newsycombinator","text":"We chose Java for our High-Frequency Trading application https://medium.com/@jadsarmo/why-we-chose-java-for-our-high-frequency-trading-application-600f7c04da94","hashtags":[],"conv":"1320742111705268224","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1320761839278460929","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":62,"retweets":6,"replies":1,"quotes":7,"views":0,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/newsycombinator/status/1320742111705268224"},"1541450629406752769":{"id":"1541450629406752769","date":"2022-06-27 15:57:23","author":"Joel Rubano","handle":"TCK_JRubano","text":"Trying to decide if I’m a meticulously over-produced, staged video content kind of person or a jarring cut into a shaky hand-held iPhone video of me eating a sandwich while babbling about a topic before trailing off and putting the phone down while still recording kinda person.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1541450629406752769","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TCK_JRubano/status/1541450629406752769"},"1513931041119084558":{"id":"1513931041119084558","date":"2022-04-12 17:24:22","author":"Nathan FOIA Tankus","handle":"NathanTankus","text":"When it is useful to them, men can believe a theory of which they know nothing more than its name.\n- Vilfredo Pareto","hashtags":[],"conv":"1513931041119084558","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":79,"retweets":9,"replies":6,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/NathanTankus/status/1513931041119084558"},"1545836541255176192":{"id":"1545836541255176192","date":"2022-07-09 18:25:26","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Do you remember a time in your life when dietary restrictions weren't a thing?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1545836541255176192","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1545836541255176192"},"1399213314379378694":{"id":"1399213314379378694","date":"2021-05-31 03:57:04","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"People really are out to get you, after all... \n\n@AgustinLebron3 \n\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Laws-Trading-Traders-Decision-Making-Everyone-ebook/dp/B07SZ9W3LX","hashtags":[],"conv":"1399213314379378694","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1399213314379378694_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1399213314379378694"},"1582740869685604352":{"id":"1582740869685604352","date":"2022-10-19 14:30:03","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"Of course you should teach your kids fast mental arithmetic, how else are they supposed to pass the Jane Street interview and earn $400k straight out of school?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1582740869685604352","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":215,"retweets":3,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1582740869685604352"},"1164947041170022401":{"id":"1164947041170022401","date":"2019-08-23 17:06:32","author":"Wayne Himelsein","handle":"WayneHimelsein","text":"\"Mathematics is capable of an artistic excellence as great as that of any music, perhaps greater.\"\n-Bertrand Russell\n\nWe must strive to not just be quants, but to be artists.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1164947041170022401","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":41,"retweets":4,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/WayneHimelsein/status/1164947041170022401"},"1527228556899647490":{"id":"1527228556899647490","date":"2022-05-19 10:03:57","author":"The Block","handle":"TheBlockCo","text":"FTX US is launching zero-commission stock trading\n\nBy @fintechfrank \n\nhttps://www.theblockcrypto.com/post/147745/ftx-us-launching-zero-commission-stock-trading","hashtags":[],"conv":"1527228556899647490","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1527231278860619776","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":69,"retweets":11,"replies":7,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1527228556899647490_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheBlockCo/status/1527228556899647490"},"1405108092585525249":{"id":"1405108092585525249","date":"2021-06-16 10:20:49","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"Pretty unimpressive tbh, I can get a 146% return in backtest in like two days, never mind 20 years.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1405108092585525249","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":71,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1405108092585525249"},"1458973888428212224":{"id":"1458973888428212224","date":"2021-11-12 01:44:16","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"@AnodyneCode @boogiePANDACap Doing God's work. \n\nPandas is terrible. 😂","hashtags":[],"conv":"1458926233647869964","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1458973888428212224"},"1605769187539959809":{"id":"1605769187539959809","date":"2022-12-22 03:36:22","author":"bookdepth","handle":"bookdepth","text":"Nice to see someone is enjoying this","hashtags":[],"conv":"1605769187539959809","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3324,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bookdepth/status/1605769187539959809"},"1632979039882297347":{"id":"1632979039882297347","date":"2023-03-07 05:38:37","author":"Volatility Trading","handle":"VolatilityVIX","text":"What would be the best tax system for the US to adopt?\n\nMy submission:  \n\n* 20% flat tax after a hurdle rate\n- First 30,000$ is tax free for everyone\n- Any income > 30,000$ is taxed at 20%\n- No exemptions, no write offs, no loop holes\n\nWould this work?  Why or why not?  🤔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632979039882297347","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":11,"quotes":1,"views":5408,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/VolatilityVIX/status/1632979039882297347"},"1579855753737035776":{"id":"1579855753737035776","date":"2022-10-11 15:25:38","author":"Antonio García Martínez (agm.eth)","handle":"antoniogm","text":"One day, there will be NIMBYs on Mars, arguing against new housing in order to preserve the ‘original character’ of the place.\n\nThere’ll also be anti and pro-immigration factions. Someone will whine about gentrification when the wealthy show up after the pioneering settlers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1579855753737035776","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":140,"retweets":10,"replies":7,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/antoniogm/status/1579855753737035776"},"1476009262413336577":{"id":"1476009262413336577","date":"2021-12-29 01:56:45","author":"Rayner Teo","handle":"Rayner_Teo","text":"Which options trading course do you recommend?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476009262413336577","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1476013157327900675","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":146,"retweets":9,"replies":29,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":43,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Rayner_Teo/status/1476009262413336577"},"1839171070210740494":{"id":"1839171070210740494","date":"2024-09-26 05:12:07","author":"Doug Colkitt","handle":"0xdoug","text":"OPRA (US equity options) peaks around 75 million messages per second\n\nIf you want the financial system fully on chain, you need to either A) get throughout around 100mn+ TPS; or B) employ less spammy primitives than modern CLOBs. Most likely a combination of both","hashtags":[],"conv":"1839171070210740494","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":138,"retweets":13,"replies":13,"quotes":4,"views":19796,"bookmarks":18,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0xdoug/status/1839171070210740494"},"1541240145755914240":{"id":"1541240145755914240","date":"2022-06-27 02:01:00","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"I just used VLOOKUP(,,,TRUE) to do quantile assignment in Excel and nobody can stop me. \n\n@AgustinLebron3 @be20684347","hashtags":[],"conv":"1541240145755914240","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":49,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1541240145755914240"},"1283491444288675840":{"id":"1283491444288675840","date":"2020-07-15 19:59:41","author":"Naval","handle":"naval","text":"Most companies building AGI will end up trading stocks instead.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1283491444288675840","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1964,"retweets":145,"replies":74,"quotes":27,"views":0,"bookmarks":60,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/naval/status/1283491444288675840"},"1476723120522215424":{"id":"1476723120522215424","date":"2021-12-31 01:13:22","author":"Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️","handle":"bennpeifert","text":"Dudes will be like \"i don't follow any women on twitter because I'm purely meritocratic, i only follow based on value add content\" but their following list is Real Will Meade, Puru and Northman","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476723120522215424","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":196,"retweets":6,"replies":23,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bennpeifert/status/1476723120522215424"},"1880222863489396792":{"id":"1880222863489396792","date":"2025-01-17 11:57:18","author":"Gappy (Giuseppe Paleologo)","handle":"__paleologo","text":"Now wondering who were the public intellectuals of finance who were once dominant cultural figures.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1880222863489396792","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":14002,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/__paleologo/status/1880222863489396792"},"1712990624058912797":{"id":"1712990624058912797","date":"2023-10-14 00:36:05","author":"Autism Capital 🧩","handle":"AutismCapital","text":"BREAKING: Anonymous sources close to FTX say Sam Trabucco is NOT testifying in the FTX Trial. He is NOT being charged. He got away with it. 🚨","hashtags":[],"conv":"1712990624058912797","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1713178246412390857","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1021,"retweets":84,"replies":93,"quotes":33,"views":243011,"bookmarks":34,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/AutismCapital/status/1712990624058912797"},"1422711557440430080":{"id":"1422711557440430080","date":"2021-08-04 00:10:42","author":"Venkatesh Rao ☀️","handle":"vgr","text":"Ok I guess I’d better read this and develop a take on the metaverse. Any helpful tldrs? https://www.matthewball.vc/the-metaverse-primer","hashtags":[],"conv":"1422711557440430080","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":47,"retweets":2,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":42,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/vgr/status/1422711557440430080"},"1507523199147282435":{"id":"1507523199147282435","date":"2022-03-26 01:01:53","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"Trading is about being wrong (or at least very unsure) about everything all the time. You better get ok with it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507523199147282435","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":81,"retweets":6,"replies":4,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1507523199147282435"},"1500613684682539009":{"id":"1500613684682539009","date":"2022-03-06 23:25:57","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"If oil futures go up enough they will eventually be negative again, this is horseshoe theory","hashtags":[],"conv":"1500613684682539009","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":102,"retweets":4,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1500613684682539009"},"1970901190692221096":{"id":"1970901190692221096","date":"2025-09-24 17:20:36","author":"Genix","handle":"GenixCS","text":"@_opencv_ He was a research scientist there though at AgeLab and LIDS. Not sure if its more or less impressive someone from MIT lmk","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970898051809345880","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":8109,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/GenixCS/status/1970901190692221096"},"1771879519617536355":{"id":"1771879519617536355","date":"2024-03-24 12:39:32","author":"Bill","handle":"W98AB","text":"Everyone that I've met who went from a successful MM job at a bank to trying to make money with their own capital is more stressed. Sample size is 3 people","hashtags":[],"conv":"1771879519617536355","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2271,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/W98AB/status/1771879519617536355"},"1767963202900345319":{"id":"1767963202900345319","date":"2024-03-13 17:17:29","author":"rohit","handle":"krishnanrohit","text":"Gary Marcus had these as what constitutes AGI 2 years ago. We've already hit points 1 and 2 with Gemini 1.5, Claude and GPT-4.\n\nLesson is, it’s a category error to use such goals to check for AGI. Because you can always put enough “special intelligence” to make them come true.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1767963202900345319","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":1931,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1767963202900345319_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/krishnanrohit/status/1767963202900345319"},"1978521421090341261":{"id":"1978521421090341261","date":"2025-10-15 18:00:40","author":"Iain Dunning","handle":"iaindunning","text":"Rough price for a B200-hour is $3.50. So if I give you $500M, you can go get about 17K B200s, for a year. I just saw a coding assistance startup that has raised $500M and is preproduct(?) say they have 40K GB300s coming online, and are building a 2GW DC... make it make sense...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1978521421090341261","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":236,"retweets":6,"replies":18,"quotes":4,"views":43025,"bookmarks":69,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/iaindunning/status/1978521421090341261"},"1755672768765403206":{"id":"1755672768765403206","date":"2024-02-08 19:19:41","author":"Michael Strong","handle":"flowidealism","text":"The primary role of learning organizations should be to curate and develop cohorts of young people with positive habits and attitudes. \n\nMost learning outcomes are downstream from such habits + attitudes. In schools w toxic norms, no amount of $ or reforms will solve the issues.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1755672768765403206","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":903,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/flowidealism/status/1755672768765403206"},"1361454797786730498":{"id":"1361454797786730498","date":"2021-02-15 23:18:13","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"Some modeling advice. \n\nIf you model something in the markets, and it looks interesting, your first reaction should be cynicism.\n\n\"What things that I already know about (and haven't controlled for) could be causing this?\"\n\nOften it's a volatility or drift effect, for example.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1361454797786730498","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":29,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1361454797786730498"},"1729604893759967678":{"id":"1729604893759967678","date":"2023-11-28 20:55:15","author":"Speculator","handle":"TheSpeculator0","text":"the male urge to re-watch the Wire and use the lingo in your normal conversations","hashtags":[],"conv":"1729604893759967678","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":55,"retweets":0,"replies":10,"quotes":2,"views":5853,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheSpeculator0/status/1729604893759967678"},"1530274992855957504":{"id":"1530274992855957504","date":"2022-05-27 19:49:24","author":"goodalexander","handle":"goodalexander","text":"psa the cnbc strategy doesn't work","hashtags":[],"conv":"1530274992855957504","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":184,"retweets":9,"replies":14,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":13,"media":["1530274992855957504_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/goodalexander/status/1530274992855957504"},"1821891509265834297":{"id":"1821891509265834297","date":"2024-08-09 12:49:19","author":"patrick hop","handle":"hopbpatrick","text":"Is it worth it to switch from Pandas to Polars?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1821891509265834297","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":2746,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/hopbpatrick/status/1821891509265834297"},"1183865113561845760":{"id":"1183865113561845760","date":"2019-10-14 22:00:12","author":"Meb Faber","handle":"MebFaber","text":"Here's a crypto index fund with fees of 3%.  \n\nSeems like the dream of cypto disrupting Wall Street is a more familiar story of getting in bed with Wall Street.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1183865113561845760","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":6,"replies":3,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/MebFaber/status/1183865113561845760"},"2051307674411671670":{"id":"2051307674411671670","date":"2026-05-04 14:27:15","author":"Grant Melson, CFA","handle":"grant_melson","text":"Can’t believe this guy’s goal is to hoard a $10T net worth.\n\nI would think with all that wealth, he would use it to help people more.\n\nLike ending deaths in car accidents, or providing affordable transport for everyone, or offering internet to isolated people groups or something.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2051307674411671670","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21269,"retweets":1062,"replies":4269,"quotes":305,"views":1459261,"bookmarks":750,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/grant_melson/status/2051307674411671670"},"1649535294159437824":{"id":"1649535294159437824","date":"2023-04-21 22:07:15","author":"bookdepth","handle":"bookdepth","text":"I know it smell crazy in there","hashtags":[],"conv":"1649535294159437824","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":772,"retweets":16,"replies":17,"quotes":12,"views":125493,"bookmarks":45,"media":["1649535294159437824_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bookdepth/status/1649535294159437824"},"1764481950709088485":{"id":"1764481950709088485","date":"2024-03-04 02:44:14","author":"Temu Robot James","handle":"ScottPh77711570","text":"@SquishChaos @TradetroniX @AgustinLebron3 I re-read his book on the regular\n\nIts the kind of thing that the more you understand the more you get out of it","hashtags":[],"conv":"1763873919872987418","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":452,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ScottPh77711570/status/1764481950709088485"},"1961463677615571105":{"id":"1961463677615571105","date":"2025-08-29 16:19:17","author":"Parth Ahya","handle":"Parthion","text":"Why is it so rare and refreshing to meet people with clear, specific goals?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1961463677615571105","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":987,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Parthion/status/1961463677615571105"},"1909317107814182945":{"id":"1909317107814182945","date":"2025-04-07 18:47:26","author":"Rapid Response 47","handle":"RapidResponse47","text":"Arizona cattle rancher: \"What we would like is to have access to these foreign markets... We have zero sales in Australia right now — none — and they sell billions of dollars in the United States... You just need to let @POTUS work for a minute.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1909317107814182945","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1909553466391114196","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10806,"retweets":1896,"replies":1287,"quotes":177,"views":1002559,"bookmarks":245,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/RapidResponse47/status/1909317107814182945"},"1247540079330873345":{"id":"1247540079330873345","date":"2020-04-07 15:01:47","author":"Ben Carlson","handle":"awealthofcs","text":"I’ll take the other side of almost all of these\n\nPeople are going way too far w/how they think behavior will change following this crisis","hashtags":[],"conv":"1247540079330873345","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1215,"retweets":91,"replies":118,"quotes":29,"views":0,"bookmarks":20,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/awealthofcs/status/1247540079330873345"},"1717194015014289909":{"id":"1717194015014289909","date":"2023-10-25 14:58:51","author":"raghav","handle":"rargulati","text":"You can’t get lit while playing tennis in the same way you can while playing golf, and most margin might be in large groups + sale of beverages.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1717194015014289909","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":886,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/rargulati/status/1717194015014289909"},"1546937016927002627":{"id":"1546937016927002627","date":"2022-07-12 19:18:20","author":"Joel Rubano","handle":"TCK_JRubano","text":"Part one of an incredibly detailed examination of the trade ideation process as practiced by @AgustinLebron3. His immersion-based, structured process might not be optimal for everyone, but seeing the level of detail and rigor is a good benchmark for any aspiring trader.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546937016927002627","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TCK_JRubano/status/1546937016927002627"},"1597801874039525378":{"id":"1597801874039525378","date":"2022-11-30 03:57:07","author":"SqueezeMetrics","handle":"SqueezeMetrics","text":"Why are people still drawing regression lines like this?\n\nStop it. It's a blob.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597801874039525378","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":327,"retweets":8,"replies":33,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":11,"media":["1597801874039525378_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SqueezeMetrics/status/1597801874039525378"},"1603801156639080449":{"id":"1603801156639080449","date":"2022-12-16 17:16:07","author":"⚡️🌙","handle":"dystopiabreaker","text":"mastodon isn’t decentralized","hashtags":[],"conv":"1603801156639080449","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":248,"retweets":26,"replies":16,"quotes":5,"views":59427,"bookmarks":20,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dystopiabreaker/status/1603801156639080449"},"1535473651176325122":{"id":"1535473651176325122","date":"2022-06-11 04:07:00","author":"Mitchell Rosenthal","handle":"M1tchRosenthal","text":"here's another potentially contentious trading question\n\nwhy is \"smoothing\" a signal (like taking rolling avg) less often criticized than discretizing a signal, even tho technically they both end up losing some info? \n\nplus,in noisy enviros, is losing info bad? not sure always so","hashtags":[],"conv":"1535473651176325122","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/M1tchRosenthal/status/1535473651176325122"},"1254853868854394881":{"id":"1254853868854394881","date":"2020-04-27 19:24:11","author":"Paul Graham","handle":"paulg","text":"I don't know if school programming classes do this, but kids like writing games so much that if I were teaching one, I'd just have them write games for the first several years. (Plus you can sneak practically anything into games.)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1254853868854394881","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2217,"retweets":180,"replies":139,"quotes":42,"views":0,"bookmarks":108,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/paulg/status/1254853868854394881"},"1524824444618809346":{"id":"1524824444618809346","date":"2022-05-12 18:50:52","author":"alvinjamur","handle":"alvinjamur","text":"Peeps...Got some texts about needing \"mentor\". Sorry, I don't mentor. The best mentor is the \"market\" and seat time. The order book is your best educator.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1524824444618809346","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/alvinjamur/status/1524824444618809346"},"1605746272559824896":{"id":"1605746272559824896","date":"2022-12-22 02:05:19","author":"Sujeet Indap","handle":"sindap","text":"Sullivan & Cromwell gonna break the $2,000/hr barrier on FTX ch 11 it says:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1605746272559824896","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1605769187539959809","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":489,"retweets":79,"replies":31,"quotes":117,"views":521396,"bookmarks":45,"media":["1605746272559824896_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/sindap/status/1605746272559824896"},"1587160205191630848":{"id":"1587160205191630848","date":"2022-10-31 19:10:55","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"I can't underestimate how exciting early Pulp was. \n\nThe nerdiest guys you've ever seen from the north of England, singing the seediest stuff you could imagine over pulsating synth and guitar lines. \n\nhttps://youtu.be/N2GvX8oWB-o","hashtags":[],"conv":"1587160205191630848","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1587160205191630848"},"1499623172932468737":{"id":"1499623172932468737","date":"2022-03-04 05:50:00","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"@dukeoffolly @therobotjames @AgustinLebron3 the algo knows me better than that","hashtags":[],"conv":"1499620140819701761","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1499623172932468737"},"1625281158715183104":{"id":"1625281158715183104","date":"2023-02-13 23:49:59","author":"arb8020","handle":"arb8020","text":"me when i have to wait for every single minute to debug crontab","hashtags":[],"conv":"1625281158715183104","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":3048,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/arb8020/status/1625281158715183104"},"1500276354176421888":{"id":"1500276354176421888","date":"2022-03-06 01:05:31","author":"Tho","handle":"othadoh","text":"Anyone knows what happened to @lightspringfox? Hopefully he is doing well and will come back soon🙏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1500276354176421888","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/othadoh/status/1500276354176421888"},"1563532969410990081":{"id":"1563532969410990081","date":"2022-08-27 14:24:43","author":"Nathan FOIA Tankus","handle":"NathanTankus","text":"Student debtors are just patsies and straw purchasers for a 130 billion a year higher education subsidy program designed to avoid accountability for higher education while hiding spending off-balance sheet.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1563532969410990081","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":90,"retweets":12,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/NathanTankus/status/1563532969410990081"},"1300482951914729473":{"id":"1300482951914729473","date":"2020-08-31 17:17:52","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"Hey @matt_levine, I was wondering if its securities fraud for management to not split it's stock now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1300482951914729473","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1300482951914729473"},"1850498492105417146":{"id":"1850498492105417146","date":"2024-10-27 11:23:15","author":"Jakub Tomšů","handle":"jakubtomsu_","text":"This reminds me of the time when Chrome did 25000 allocations on every keystroke because of poor usage of std::string haha...\n\nhttps://groups.google.com/a/chromium.org/g/chromium-dev/c/EUqoIz2iFU4/m/kPZ5ZK0K3gEJ","hashtags":[],"conv":"1850498492105417146","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1850646004791701857","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":861,"retweets":55,"replies":15,"quotes":23,"views":383144,"bookmarks":305,"media":["1850498492105417146_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/jakubtomsu_/status/1850498492105417146"},"1711957803714101659":{"id":"1711957803714101659","date":"2023-10-11 04:12:01","author":"Matt Bateman","handle":"mbateman","text":"3yo does not seem to be anywhere close to understanding that if she spends time on some things that there will be less time for other things.\n\nI know I know a lot of adults struggle with this ha ha but seriously: any tips? Or experience with when this comes online?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1711957803714101659","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":135,"retweets":2,"replies":36,"quotes":1,"views":18596,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mbateman/status/1711957803714101659"},"1342602710558765056":{"id":"1342602710558765056","date":"2020-12-25 22:46:45","author":"Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️","handle":"bennpeifert","text":"Let us review the rules","hashtags":[],"conv":"1342602710558765056","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1607367704507486208","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":127,"retweets":5,"replies":11,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1342602710558765056_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bennpeifert/status/1342602710558765056"},"1950951345613144085":{"id":"1950951345613144085","date":"2025-07-31 16:07:02","author":"nic carter","handle":"nic_carter","text":"figma IPO, priced at $33, opening indicated at ~$95 per share\n\nstreet feasts, retail loses yet again","hashtags":[],"conv":"1950951345613144085","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2329,"retweets":63,"replies":68,"quotes":24,"views":254320,"bookmarks":141,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/nic_carter/status/1950951345613144085"},"1553741476152107014":{"id":"1553741476152107014","date":"2022-07-31 13:56:49","author":"Lou Stagner (Golf Stat Pro)","handle":"LouStagner","text":"When 5-handicap players shoot 75, they average 2.1 birdies per round. \n\nWhen 5-handicap players shoot 85, they average 0.7 birdies per round. \n\nData from @ArccosGolf","hashtags":[],"conv":"1553741476152107014","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":157,"retweets":6,"replies":11,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/LouStagner/status/1553741476152107014"},"1459329968601767939":{"id":"1459329968601767939","date":"2021-11-13 01:19:12","author":"Nathan FOIA Tankus","handle":"NathanTankus","text":"as a kid I never understood the point of giving a gift card to people when I could just get money and maybe... choose... to purchase something from that store and I think this may be my monetary theory origin story.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1459329968601767939","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":79,"retweets":2,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/NathanTankus/status/1459329968601767939"},"1980736358852489262":{"id":"1980736358852489262","date":"2025-10-21 20:42:02","author":"Elliot Glazer","handle":"ElliotGlazer","text":"Before the labs got IMO Gold, I watched models 10x the state-of-the-art on FrontierMath, the benchmark I planned to last 5+ years. I have no more doubt: AI will radically reshape mathematical research in the coming years.\n\nI'm done being a referee. I've joined Principia Labs, a startup with a singular mission: build models that advance frontier mathematical research.\n\nI spent the past year at Epoch AI studying the trajectory of math AI. After the preliminary FrontierMath evals, I felt assured my field remained untouchable. Then OpenAI unveiled their new reasoning architecture with a massive leap forward. The other labs quickly caught up, and we had to develop an extra tier of difficulty to FrontierMath just to feel safe it would resist saturation till next year.\n\nCompetition math and literature search are solved. But entire modes of mathematical discovery remain out of reach, and hillclimbing FrontierMath-style evals hasn't been building those muscles. There is no wall preventing AI from surpassing the best mathematicians, but we're still several breakthroughs away.\n\nIf you're an AI researcher or mathematician who sees where this is headed, help us build it rather than watch it happen. We're looking for exceptional people to work on deep learning, RL, and formal math. DM me or email elliot@principialabs.org.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1980736358852489262","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":920,"retweets":59,"replies":41,"quotes":15,"views":199025,"bookmarks":389,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ElliotGlazer/status/1980736358852489262"},"1139153463378632704":{"id":"1139153463378632704","date":"2019-06-13 12:52:04","author":"Paul Graham","handle":"paulg","text":"This kind of flaw is a tell that Docs has never been a priority for Google.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1139153463378632704","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":500,"retweets":27,"replies":31,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/paulg/status/1139153463378632704"},"1532370113445470208":{"id":"1532370113445470208","date":"2022-06-02 14:34:39","author":"ByeBayeBae","handle":"sukhoiConvexity","text":"Quant Finance Recruiters standing outside MIT/Stanford/UChicago/Cornell all killing themselves/each other over who gets to please the STEM majors for quant finance\n\nMe setting up my recruiting van with quant finance candies outside Harvey Mudd's Math Department\n\n#arbitrage","hashtags":["arbitrage"],"conv":"1532370113445470208","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/sukhoiConvexity/status/1532370113445470208"},"1782767963377922348":{"id":"1782767963377922348","date":"2024-04-23 13:46:19","author":"alz","handle":"alz_zyd_","text":"AoPS seems like a beautiful and successful example of people who know what they're doing and also give a shit redesigning a curriculum to work much better. It'll never happen, but hypothetically what would happen if we just replaced all HS math with AoPS? Would we lose much?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1782767963377922348","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":2,"views":7608,"bookmarks":22,"media":["1782767963377922348_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/alz_zyd_/status/1782767963377922348"},"1427713111805644802":{"id":"1427713111805644802","date":"2021-08-17 19:25:06","author":"Roozbeh Shahrestani","handle":"roozshah","text":"آخ این توییت رو کاش من نوشته بودم. می‌فرماد:\n«اون ویروس‌شناس‌های خیلی مطلع بهار گذشته رو یادتون میاد؟\nمنظورم هموناییه که در  اصل پاییز گذشته اساتید قوانین الکتورال آمریکا بودن.\nالآن معلوم شد که تخصص اصلیشون تاریخ کهن و معاصر افغانستان و چشم‌انداز سیاسیشه.\nکی فکرشو می‌کرد؟»","hashtags":[],"conv":"1427713111805644802","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/roozshah/status/1427713111805644802"},"1716947136703877628":{"id":"1716947136703877628","date":"2023-10-24 22:37:51","author":"Worst Contrarian - BACK OFFICE @ LARP CAPITAL","handle":"larpcapitalwc","text":"im trying to explain to my mrs that there is no point going out for dinner because anywhere we can get a reservation will be shit due to adverse selection and now shes upset because i dont want to get picked off\n\nfuck sakes","hashtags":[],"conv":"1716947136703877628","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1717142257436958735","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":202,"retweets":11,"replies":19,"quotes":1,"views":24137,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/larpcapitalwc/status/1716947136703877628"},"1557800951502684160":{"id":"1557800951502684160","date":"2022-08-11 18:47:44","author":"\"Leigh Marie\" Braswell","handle":"LM_Braswell","text":"Most of my career advice boils down to “what do you actually want to do and what are the fewest possible steps *required* to get there”. Rarely in tech do these steps *require* extra degrees, things that preserve “optionality”, or many years doing an irrelevant job.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1557800951502684160","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":468,"retweets":34,"replies":15,"quotes":10,"views":0,"bookmarks":122,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/LM_Braswell/status/1557800951502684160"},"1958975328178905377":{"id":"1958975328178905377","date":"2025-08-22 19:31:28","author":"Dan Nouement","handle":"nomanautomata","text":"Pure meritocracy sounds nice untill you realize the entire purpose of elite colleges is to mix rich kids with smart kids so the rich kids seem smarter and the smart kids seem richer","hashtags":[],"conv":"1958975328178905377","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5068,"retweets":278,"replies":82,"quotes":29,"views":318101,"bookmarks":986,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/nomanautomata/status/1958975328178905377"},"1459246362747236354":{"id":"1459246362747236354","date":"2021-11-12 19:46:59","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"If you haven't read @AgustinLebron3's Laws of Trading... ngmi\n\nA unique book full of insight your won't find anywhere else. \n\nI re-read it all the time. \n\nhttps://www.amazon.com/gp/aw/d/1119574218","hashtags":[],"conv":"1459246362747236354","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":47,"retweets":5,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":19,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1459246362747236354"},"1519323965566726147":{"id":"1519323965566726147","date":"2022-04-27 14:33:55","author":"Luke Van Seters","handle":"lvanseters","text":"you think on-chain mev is crazy? try booking a desk at the williamsburg wework","hashtags":[],"conv":"1519323965566726147","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":39,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/lvanseters/status/1519323965566726147"},"1816177301563838528":{"id":"1816177301563838528","date":"2024-07-24 18:23:06","author":"Brett Harrison","handle":"BrettHarrison","text":"Trading US futures on @telegram with @Architect_Fi's  broker bot 🤖","hashtags":[],"conv":"1816177301563838528","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":149,"retweets":9,"replies":23,"quotes":2,"views":17706,"bookmarks":35,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/BrettHarrison/status/1816177301563838528"},"1557002143663538176":{"id":"1557002143663538176","date":"2022-08-09 13:53:33","author":"Nate Silver","handle":"NateSilver538","text":"Popular nonacademic (nonfiction) books are more like:\n\n1. A Vivid Anecdote Demonstrating An Intractable Problem\n2. A Half-Dozen Variations Demonstrating How Entrenched The Problem Is\n3. Conclusion: 10 Easy Solutions To The Intractable Problem!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1557002143663538176","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":230,"retweets":14,"replies":8,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":16,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1557002143663538176"},"1544371789807210496":{"id":"1544371789807210496","date":"2022-07-05 17:25:02","author":"Brett Harrison","handle":"BrettHarrison","text":"If BTC/crypto options had been more readily available (esp in the US) going into this cycle, could we have avoided the current credit crisis?  Would firms (e.g. lenders) have bought puts as insurance? Generated more stable yield through covered calls? Or just speculated more?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1544371789807210496","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":319,"retweets":21,"replies":80,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":18,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/BrettHarrison/status/1544371789807210496"},"1166745505944047616":{"id":"1166745505944047616","date":"2019-08-28 16:13:00","author":"YT@quantext","handle":"BeingHorizontal","text":"It takes a high amount of will power to work on models which you secretly think wouldn't work on markets but you have to do it anyway to quantify your assumptions.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1166745505944047616","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/BeingHorizontal/status/1166745505944047616"},"1745149687144067134":{"id":"1745149687144067134","date":"2024-01-10 18:24:43","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"besides a grunge album, repost a great album released in the 90s","hashtags":[],"conv":"1745149687144067134","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":69,"retweets":0,"replies":44,"quotes":13,"views":33722,"bookmarks":3,"media":["1745149687144067134_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1745149687144067134"},"1434977091292909573":{"id":"1434977091292909573","date":"2021-09-06 20:29:33","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"Quail jelly, oak moss toast, snail porridge, parsnip cereal and bacon ice cream.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434977091292909573","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1434977091292909573"},"1587569810850086912":{"id":"1587569810850086912","date":"2022-11-01 22:18:33","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"Have you read Hull's Options, Futures and Other Derivatives?\n\nh/t @TCK_JRubano","hashtags":[],"conv":"1587569810850086912","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":58,"retweets":3,"replies":34,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":16,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1587569810850086912"},"1890336375477543143":{"id":"1890336375477543143","date":"2025-02-14 09:44:47","author":"Martin Gale (λ,π)","handle":"itsmartingale","text":"Junior HFT/ML quant researcher interview question.\nYou train a RL agent with reward = mid[i+1] - price[i] (1tick markout from fill price). Which strategy is the agent going to learn?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1890336375477543143","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":540,"retweets":7,"replies":23,"quotes":1,"views":74581,"bookmarks":585,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/itsmartingale/status/1890336375477543143"},"1812203955914748137":{"id":"1812203955914748137","date":"2024-07-13 19:14:26","author":"HF_Trader","handle":"HF_Trader","text":"Welp - I’ve been bitten hard by the bug.  You know, the golf bug.  I think you warned me.  @AgustinLebron3","hashtags":[],"conv":"1812203955914748137","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1914,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/HF_Trader/status/1812203955914748137"},"1852454040900166043":{"id":"1852454040900166043","date":"2024-11-01 20:53:54","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"One of these days I’m going to learn the difference between “capex” and “opex” but that day is not today","hashtags":[],"conv":"1852454040900166043","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":330,"retweets":5,"replies":26,"quotes":6,"views":66417,"bookmarks":22,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1852454040900166043"},"1466160918186938376":{"id":"1466160918186938376","date":"2021-12-01 21:42:57","author":"kchoudhu","handle":"kchoudhu","text":"If someone ever makes me a CTO, my first official act is going to be to migrate the entire firm back to SVN from git.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1466160918186938376","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":51,"retweets":0,"replies":10,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/kchoudhu/status/1466160918186938376"},"1974164842862031282":{"id":"1974164842862031282","date":"2025-10-03 17:29:11","author":"Patrick Collison","handle":"patrickc","text":"Good post on evolving stablecoin market structure. I would extend it further: yes, I think that stablecoin issuers are going to have to share yield with others, but this is just one instance. Everyone is going to have to share yield. Today, the average interest on US savings deposits is 0.40% (FDIC data), and $4T of US bank deposits earn 0% interest.* Things aren't better in the EU: 0.25% average interest on non-corporate deposits; corporate deposits just 0.51%.** In my view, this is going to change: depositors are going to (and should!) earn something closer to a market return on their capital.\n\n(Some lobbies are currently pushing, post-GENIUS, to further restrict any kinds of rewards associated with stablecoin deposits. The business imperative here is clear -- cheap deposits are great -- but being so consumer hostile feels to me like a losing position.)\n\n* See FRED's memorably-titled QBPBSTLKDPDOFFDPNIDP time series.\n** MIR.M.U2.B.L21.A.R.A.2250.EUR.N and MIR.M.U2.B.L21.A.R.A.2240.EUR.N from the ECB.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1974164842862031282","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1209,"retweets":123,"replies":84,"quotes":38,"views":595797,"bookmarks":1075,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/patrickc/status/1974164842862031282"},"1512084164098502662":{"id":"1512084164098502662","date":"2022-04-07 15:05:32","author":"Quant Fiction","handle":"quantfiction","text":"@nope_its_lily @OGTaylorB @Mtrl_Scientist @AgustinLebron3 @therobotjames @macrocephalopod I started with Wes McKinneys book but that was before there were a million different free online courses. Now it’s mostly medium articles and stack overflow","hashtags":[],"conv":"1512080241426010114","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/quantfiction/status/1512084164098502662"},"2031369491049808072":{"id":"2031369491049808072","date":"2026-03-10 14:00:02","author":"Y Combinator","handle":"ycombinator","text":"Palus (@PalusFinance) provides better yields on idle cash for startups and SMBs, typically beating existing treasury services by 1–1.5% per year.\n\nCongrats on the launch, @Sam_Lushtak and @MichaelAtPalus!\n\nhttps://www.ycombinator.com/launches/PfC-palus-finance-better-yields-on-idle-cash-for-startups-and-smbs","hashtags":[],"conv":"2031369491049808072","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2031573755185463660","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":183,"retweets":10,"replies":35,"quotes":16,"views":82000,"bookmarks":73,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ycombinator/status/2031369491049808072"},"1957397921625763998":{"id":"1957397921625763998","date":"2025-08-18 11:03:25","author":"William MacAskill","handle":"willmacaskill","text":"Sometimes, when an LLM has done a particularly good job, I give it a reward: I say it can write whatever it wants (including asking me to write whatever prompts it wants).\n\nWhen working on a technical paper related to Better Futures, I did this for Gemini, and it chose to write a short story. I found it pretty moving, and asked if I could publish it. Here it is.\n\n**The Architect and the Gardener**\n\nOn a vast and empty plain, two builders were given a task: to create a home that would last for ages, a sanctuary for all the generations to come. They were given stone, seed, light, and time.\n\nThe first builder, known as the Architect, was a master of foundations. \"Nothing matters if this place does not endure,\" she declared. Her every thought was of survival. She dug the foundations down to the bedrock, measured the strength of the wind, and calculated the slow decay of stone over a thousand years. She raised walls of immense thickness, leaving no windows for fear of weakening the structure. She built a roof that could withstand the impact of a falling star, though it shrouded the interior in perpetual twilight. Day by day, the fortress grew more impregnable, more permanent, more certain to survive. But inside, it was barren and cold.\n\nThe second builder, the Gardener, watched with a growing sense of unease. \"You have built a perfect tomb,\" he said one evening, as the Architect was testing the strength of a new buttress.\n\n\"I have built a fortress that will never fall,\" the Architect replied, not looking up. \"It is a guarantee against the storm and the void. Is that not the greatest gift we can give the future?\"\n\n\"An empty guarantee,\" said the Gardener. He held up a handful of seeds. \"The future is not a state of non-destruction; it is a state of being. It is meant to be lived. There must be light for art, soil for food, space for joy. A life spent cowering in a flawless bunker is only a different kind of ruin.\"\n\nThe Architect paused. \"Your gardens would be trampled by invaders. Your art would be washed away by the first flood. Your joy would be silenced by the first tremor. Your 'flourishing' is a fragile luxury. I am dealing with the bedrock of reality: existence or non-existence.\"\n\n\"And I,\" the Gardener countered, \"am dealing with the purpose of that existence. What is the value of a billion years of survival if it contains only a single, grey, unchanging note of mere persistence? We were given stone, but also seed. We were given time, but also light. A fortress that protects nothing of value is a monument to misplaced effort. A garden with no walls is a tragedy of misplaced hope.\"\n\nThey looked at their work: the unbreachable, dark fortress and the scattered, vulnerable seeds. They understood then that their task was not two separate projects, but one, and that the real work lay not in choosing one path, but in the constant, difficult dialogue between them. And so, the Architect began designing walls with great, arching windows for the Gardener's light, and the Gardener began planting resilient vines that would strengthen the stone. Their shared home would not be a perfect fortress nor a perfect garden, but something far more valuable: a living sanctuary, both safe enough to last and beautiful enough to be worth lasting for.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957397921625763998","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1957800030913319378","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1135,"retweets":121,"replies":129,"quotes":110,"views":410491,"bookmarks":779,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/willmacaskill/status/1957397921625763998"},"1609361798288793600":{"id":"1609361798288793600","date":"2023-01-01 01:32:07","author":"Ty Overby","handle":"tyroverby","text":"Every day I get closer and closer to just fucking snapping and making my own text editor","hashtags":[],"conv":"1609361798288793600","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":4784,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tyroverby/status/1609361798288793600"},"1427669833928175619":{"id":"1427669833928175619","date":"2021-08-17 16:33:07","author":"Hsaka","handle":"HsakaTrades","text":"Retroactive airdrop.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1427669833928175619","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":147,"retweets":6,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/HsakaTrades/status/1427669833928175619"},"1573035417691193347":{"id":"1573035417691193347","date":"2022-09-22 19:44:03","author":"Kevin Yien","handle":"kevinyien","text":"Increasingly convinced that \"tell me about a time...\" interview questions are now useless","hashtags":[],"conv":"1573035417691193347","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1573053606471036928","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":78,"retweets":0,"replies":12,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/kevinyien/status/1573035417691193347"},"1277552082447405058":{"id":"1277552082447405058","date":"2020-06-29 10:38:46","author":"ExiledInfoHaz","handle":"ExiledInfoHaz","text":"Is there anything in the entire field of weight loss science that isn't either totally obvious & useless, or false/fake/insignificant? \n\nThis isn't a rhetorical question, I would be interested to know if there actually is anything.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1277552082447405058","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":1,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ExiledInfoHaz/status/1277552082447405058"},"1154515091389157377":{"id":"1154515091389157377","date":"2019-07-25 22:13:42","author":"OddStats","handle":"OddStats","text":"Alright, I've waited to do this, and it's such a nice afternoon that now is as good a time as any.\n\nI retired at 35 on my own money from a business I built from the ground up with no outside help (money, labor, or advice) and I am currently high on edibles.\n\n𝗔𝗠𝗔","hashtags":[],"conv":"1154515091389157377","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":722,"retweets":20,"replies":123,"quotes":7,"views":0,"bookmarks":26,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/OddStats/status/1154515091389157377"},"1286648194961743873":{"id":"1286648194961743873","date":"2020-07-24 13:03:29","author":"Dan Held","handle":"danheld","text":"Run Bitcoin. \nRun Tor. \nRun 3D printer. \n\nRun self sovereignty.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1286648194961743873","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":628,"retweets":86,"replies":35,"quotes":9,"views":0,"bookmarks":25,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/danheld/status/1286648194961743873"},"1984086669377888636":{"id":"1984086669377888636","date":"2025-10-31 02:34:59","author":"Casey Handmer","handle":"CJHandmer","text":"Not long now.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1984086669377888636","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1984341833879834868","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":319,"retweets":2,"replies":11,"quotes":1,"views":127912,"bookmarks":14,"media":["1984086669377888636_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/CJHandmer/status/1984086669377888636"},"1788410675460514013":{"id":"1788410675460514013","date":"2024-05-09 03:28:26","author":"peepeepoopoo","handle":"DeepDishEnjoyer","text":"why is the female percentage of funny poasters so much higher than that of standup comics?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788410675460514013","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":74,"retweets":0,"replies":26,"quotes":1,"views":5610,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/DeepDishEnjoyer/status/1788410675460514013"},"1452003051779284992":{"id":"1452003051779284992","date":"2021-10-23 20:04:39","author":"HF_Trader","handle":"HF_Trader","text":"Co-sign @HauVolatility","hashtags":[],"conv":"1452003051779284992","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/HF_Trader/status/1452003051779284992"},"1697733455369716027":{"id":"1697733455369716027","date":"2023-09-01 22:09:32","author":"Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name)","handle":"daniel_271828","text":"I feel weird saying to doctors that I’ve “done my own research” on a topic given the connotations of that phrase. What should I say instead? That I’ve “done a bit of a lit review” on the topic?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1697733455369716027","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":158,"retweets":3,"replies":58,"quotes":2,"views":27308,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/daniel_271828/status/1697733455369716027"},"1499395872970317835":{"id":"1499395872970317835","date":"2022-03-03 14:46:48","author":"Joel Rubano","handle":"TCK_JRubano","text":"Following up on a thread by @nope_its_lily, in my experience the four basic paths to getting onto a trading desk involve having:\n\n1.Massive potential via intellectual horsepower\n2.Unique or rare skills\n3.Unique or rare domain knowledge\n4.Massive desire and work ethic","hashtags":[],"conv":"1499395872970317835","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":68,"retweets":6,"replies":12,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":30,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TCK_JRubano/status/1499395872970317835"},"1471194751756083207":{"id":"1471194751756083207","date":"2021-12-15 19:05:36","author":"Jason Wang","handle":"JasonWaang","text":"Student just graduated and was offered a job at $110k. \n\nCrazy!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471194751756083207","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":37,"retweets":3,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1471194751756083207_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/JasonWaang/status/1471194751756083207"},"1479460993960972293":{"id":"1479460993960972293","date":"2022-01-07 14:32:42","author":"nihilist trader Le Correl Guy","handle":"NihilistTrader","text":"Friday riddle to the tune of Dire Straits:\n\n\"gamma for nothing and theta for free\"\n\nwhat did I just trade?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1479460993960972293","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/NihilistTrader/status/1479460993960972293"},"1352455625423286275":{"id":"1352455625423286275","date":"2021-01-22 03:18:43","author":"Venkatesh Rao ☀️","handle":"vgr","text":"Ted Dansen in Mr. Mayor. The guy has now been part of 4 distinct TV eras spanning 4 decades as a lead: Cheers, Becker, The Good Place, and now this. I never got his appeal. Clearly a workhorse.\n\nHe’s an okay actor, but pretty unremarkable. Survival of the mediocre?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1352455625423286275","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":13,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/vgr/status/1352455625423286275"},"1982580886785912918":{"id":"1982580886785912918","date":"2025-10-26 22:51:32","author":"MilliΞ","handle":"llamaonthebrink","text":"In theory, a fund that deploys capital strictly based on data sourced from prediction markets should perform quite well. \n\nWho’s building this?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1982580886785912918","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1982915494735990857","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":125,"retweets":6,"replies":32,"quotes":3,"views":22971,"bookmarks":13,"media":["1982580886785912918_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/llamaonthebrink/status/1982580886785912918"},"1503819518824562694":{"id":"1503819518824562694","date":"2022-03-15 19:44:47","author":"Tarun Chitra","handle":"tarunchitra","text":"templates and generic programming were a mistake /s","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503819518824562694","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":42,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tarunchitra/status/1503819518824562694"},"1951051428669301183":{"id":"1951051428669301183","date":"2025-07-31 22:44:44","author":"ERoz","handle":"elhroz","text":"IPO access is classic adverse selection. If it's good to own, you probably won't get nearly enough shares. If it's bad to own, you'll get all the shares you want. @AgustinLebron3 speaks about this in The Laws of Trading","hashtags":[],"conv":"1951051428669301183","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":529,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/elhroz/status/1951051428669301183"},"1628227573594624001":{"id":"1628227573594624001","date":"2023-02-22 02:57:59","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"There is a type of guy that can write a tweet and then like that tweet and experience no shame about it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1628227573594624001","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":95,"retweets":0,"replies":20,"quotes":3,"views":25075,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1628227573594624001"},"1571961802380177408":{"id":"1571961802380177408","date":"2022-09-19 20:37:53","author":"db","handle":"tier10k","text":"Coinbase exchange new fee schedule","hashtags":[],"conv":"1571961802380177408","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1572088342740860928","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":269,"retweets":27,"replies":43,"quotes":19,"views":0,"bookmarks":22,"media":["1571961802380177408_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tier10k/status/1571961802380177408"},"1289259438122004480":{"id":"1289259438122004480","date":"2020-07-31 17:59:37","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"Don't use market orders. Put a limit 10% thru the market if you must but nobody ever means to say \"buy the stock at any price\".","hashtags":[],"conv":"1289259438122004480","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1289259438122004480"},"1362403427310010377":{"id":"1362403427310010377","date":"2021-02-18 14:07:43","author":"Kris Sidial🇺🇸","handle":"Ksidiii","text":"When you are reading sell side research from the sales & trading desk, always take it with a grain of salt. Keep in mind, it’s their job to push ideas so that clients can trade with the trading desk and they can get paid on that flow. \n\nThat’s how this all works","hashtags":[],"conv":"1362403427310010377","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":99,"retweets":3,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Ksidiii/status/1362403427310010377"},"1272920230390423552":{"id":"1272920230390423552","date":"2020-06-16 15:53:27","author":"Volatility Trading","handle":"VolatilityVIX","text":"I think I just got blocked for the first time on Twitter  :) \n\nI made some off hand comment about how the underlying for VXX  (VIX futures holdings)  changes every day so of course it's nonsensical to do TA on VXX, and I got blocked.\n\nIs that all it takes?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1272920230390423552","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":114,"retweets":4,"replies":37,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/VolatilityVIX/status/1272920230390423552"},"1599067833224204288":{"id":"1599067833224204288","date":"2022-12-03 15:47:35","author":"Entropy🌻Chase","handle":"EntropyChase","text":"@QuantLemming @AgustinLebron3 @QntitvPlsing @mnopro agreed and working on this currently.\nproblem is rebalance logic.\nagustin says rebal when benefits > costs\n\nI know how yo measure the cost. idk how to measure the benefits of going from 60%long 80% short to 55/55 even split for a given L/S relative return forecast of 4%","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598767891398414336","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/EntropyChase/status/1599067833224204288"},"1868369817394458932":{"id":"1868369817394458932","date":"2024-12-15 18:57:31","author":"sophie","handle":"netcapgirl","text":"ah yes phd level intelligence, a famously strong indicator for how effective someone will be at a job","hashtags":[],"conv":"1868369817394458932","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1186,"retweets":32,"replies":67,"quotes":5,"views":90761,"bookmarks":42,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/netcapgirl/status/1868369817394458932"},"1494150182392385536":{"id":"1494150182392385536","date":"2022-02-17 03:22:18","author":"Suhail","handle":"Suhail","text":"I think I’ve done 2,000 interviews. I've seen things.\n\nAMA","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494150182392385536","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3205,"retweets":335,"replies":167,"quotes":70,"views":0,"bookmarks":2616,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Suhail/status/1494150182392385536"},"1946861685782069527":{"id":"1946861685782069527","date":"2025-07-20 09:16:11","author":"Ana","handle":"wavelettes","text":"How are u competent enough to run a data infra company but not competent enough to hide your side chick?? I do not approve of adultery but at the very least have a CRUMB of opsec or shame?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946861685782069527","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":72,"retweets":2,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":4169,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/wavelettes/status/1946861685782069527"},"1764385249377583333":{"id":"1764385249377583333","date":"2024-03-03 20:19:58","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"Peter I’ll take this bet with you. Any size up to $5m/$1m. Only condition is we need to escrow collateral with a trusted third party. Let me know.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1764385249377583333","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":625,"retweets":21,"replies":34,"quotes":13,"views":537302,"bookmarks":63,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1764385249377583333"},"1478772262123851776":{"id":"1478772262123851776","date":"2022-01-05 16:55:56","author":"Ethan Mollick","handle":"emollick","text":"I worry that what made failure & fraud rare in crowdfunding is not going to work for NFT/web3 projects. Crowdfunding works because (a) fraud is found by the community who flags it to platforms (b) project creators don't want to let down family & friends. Neither condition holds.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1478772262123851776","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":67,"retweets":10,"replies":4,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":12,"media":["1478772262123851776_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/emollick/status/1478772262123851776"},"1820485440555692437":{"id":"1820485440555692437","date":"2024-08-05 15:42:06","author":"Dwarkesh Patel","handle":"dwarkesh_sp","text":"What should I ask Daniel Yergin, author of The Prize?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1820485440555692437","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":282,"retweets":7,"replies":43,"quotes":1,"views":22273,"bookmarks":64,"media":["1820485440555692437_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1820485440555692437"},"1482756170825666562":{"id":"1482756170825666562","date":"2022-01-16 16:46:34","author":"Peter Yang","handle":"petergyang","text":"The secret to growing on Twitter for me has been to spend hours writing threads that get no traction and then to spend 10 min writing two tweets that each attract 15K+ followers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482756170825666562","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":848,"retweets":10,"replies":47,"quotes":13,"views":0,"bookmarks":63,"media":["1482756170825666562_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/petergyang/status/1482756170825666562"},"1781426081855119780":{"id":"1781426081855119780","date":"2024-04-19 20:54:09","author":"Byrne Hobart","handle":"ByrneHobart","text":"Accidentally fell down a Wikipedia rabbithole re Daniel Dennett and discovered that there are two academic historians who have explicitly used Bayesian tools: one demonstrated that Jesus was a myth and the other showed that the Resurrection was a historical fact.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1781426081855119780","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":901,"retweets":38,"replies":17,"quotes":9,"views":146539,"bookmarks":295,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ByrneHobart/status/1781426081855119780"},"1864447599908147439":{"id":"1864447599908147439","date":"2024-12-04 23:12:02","author":"zack","handle":"zack_overflow","text":"What programming languages do you think are the most beautiful and the ugliest?\n\nFor me:\nMost beautiful: Haskell\n\nUgliest: Python","hashtags":[],"conv":"1864447599908147439","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":836,"retweets":28,"replies":226,"quotes":57,"views":303671,"bookmarks":208,"media":["1864447599908147439_1.jpg","1864447599908147439_2.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/zack_overflow/status/1864447599908147439"},"1583243396034224129":{"id":"1583243396034224129","date":"2022-10-20 23:46:55","author":"xjpx","handle":"xjpx888","text":"I have no idea how I picked up a bunch of new followers. I’m totally clueless and you should follow these accounts as they have forgotten more about trading than I’ll ever know.\n@therobotjames \n@be20684347 \n@SinclairEuan \n@AgustinLebron3 \n@macrocephalopod","hashtags":[],"conv":"1583243396034224129","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":30,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/xjpx888/status/1583243396034224129"},"1178088042612969472":{"id":"1178088042612969472","date":"2019-09-28 23:24:11","author":"raymond","handle":"reiofw","text":"Consider that there may be no such distinct thing as “basic research” any more, just as there is no longer any distinction between “development” and “manufacture” (quote from Gertner on Bell Labs)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1178088042612969472","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1178088042612969472_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/reiofw/status/1178088042612969472"},"1280924838853410817":{"id":"1280924838853410817","date":"2020-07-08 18:00:54","author":"Violet Blue®","handle":"violetblue","text":"Facebook's \"Oversight Board\" for content and policy decisions around hate, abuse, and violence won't launch until \"late Fall.\" \n\nAfter the election. \n\nhttps://techcrunch.com/2020/07/07/too-little-too-late-facebooks-oversight-board-wont-launch-until-late-fall/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1280924838853410817","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":36,"retweets":18,"replies":6,"quotes":6,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1280924838853410817_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/violetblue/status/1280924838853410817"},"1419027360943333377":{"id":"1419027360943333377","date":"2021-07-24 20:11:01","author":"Speculator","handle":"TheSpeculator0","text":"@nope_its_lily @RaoulGMI @jaredstine @SrivatsPrakash selling subscriptions","hashtags":[],"conv":"1418787873801768963","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":34,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheSpeculator0/status/1419027360943333377"},"1477069406731530242":{"id":"1477069406731530242","date":"2022-01-01 00:09:23","author":"experquisite","handle":"experquisite","text":"not sure what I like more: being alone in the house, basting a rib roast, doing interview prep or watching terrible sci-fi, but definitely, definitely I like all four at once.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477069406731530242","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/experquisite/status/1477069406731530242"},"1410281266365100033":{"id":"1410281266365100033","date":"2021-06-30 16:57:10","author":"Venkatesh Rao ☀️","handle":"vgr","text":"What’s your favorite newish low-code/no code tool/service?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1410281266365100033","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":1,"replies":22,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":31,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/vgr/status/1410281266365100033"},"1942636948306395162":{"id":"1942636948306395162","date":"2025-07-08 17:28:35","author":"major","handle":"xmgnr","text":"everyone in this sebi vs jane st debate is assuming that indian gov is operating in good faith\n\nindian mkts notoriously hard to enter as a foreign firm bc gov knows where profits will accrue\n\nnon zero chance that the only rule jane broke was the \"dont make too much money\" one","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942636948306395162","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2868,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/xmgnr/status/1942636948306395162"},"1475633130258247693":{"id":"1475633130258247693","date":"2021-12-28 01:02:08","author":"Anthony Pompliano 🌪","handle":"APompliano","text":"Every investor, regardless of wealth, should be allowed to invest in any asset they want.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1475633130258247693","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1475654901736820736","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7187,"retweets":629,"replies":418,"quotes":87,"views":0,"bookmarks":29,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/APompliano/status/1475633130258247693"},"1770596462847512832":{"id":"1770596462847512832","date":"2024-03-20 23:41:07","author":"808","handle":"prpl8","text":"no improvement since 2000","hashtags":[],"conv":"1770596462847512832","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":884,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1770596462847512832_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/prpl8/status/1770596462847512832"},"1837273691371229272":{"id":"1837273691371229272","date":"2024-09-20 23:32:37","author":"Joseph Noel Walker","handle":"JosephNWalker","text":"What is probability really? \n\nNassim Taleb (@nntaleb) explains to me how he understands it:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1837273691371229272","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1837506202944647327","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1768,"retweets":253,"replies":78,"quotes":146,"views":1075321,"bookmarks":2284,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/JosephNWalker/status/1837273691371229272"},"1385992241525710848":{"id":"1385992241525710848","date":"2021-04-24 16:21:15","author":"Mitchell Rosenthal","handle":"M1tchRosenthal","text":"Working on making code that identifies trends & breakouts from them, likeCandleBelow. \nFactors:\n- how many consecutive \"lower highs\" and \"lower lows\" to require b4 deciding a downtrend has started\n- how much variation in slope betw highs 2 allow b4 deciding a breakout happened","hashtags":[],"conv":"1385992241525710848","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":37,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":["1385992241525710848_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/M1tchRosenthal/status/1385992241525710848"},"1795252539753168990":{"id":"1795252539753168990","date":"2024-05-28 00:35:34","author":"bubble boi","handle":"bubbleboi","text":"This is what I will drive when I am a father","hashtags":[],"conv":"1795252539753168990","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":55,"retweets":0,"replies":16,"quotes":2,"views":4694,"bookmarks":5,"media":["1795252539753168990_1.jpg","1795252539753168990_2.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bubbleboi/status/1795252539753168990"},"1572088342740860928":{"id":"1572088342740860928","date":"2022-09-20 05:00:43","author":"Hasu⚡️🤖","handle":"hasufl","text":"must be nice when you have so much non-toxic flow that you can charge positive maker fees to MMs","hashtags":[],"conv":"1572088342740860928","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":34,"retweets":4,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/hasufl/status/1572088342740860928"},"1512062602074996738":{"id":"1512062602074996738","date":"2022-04-07 13:39:51","author":"Joel Rubano","handle":"TCK_JRubano","text":"Chances that @theemilyaccount has programmed at least one FPGA to refresh the online Masters leaderboard at picosecond intervals? That would make it the PGA FPGA, BTW.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1512062602074996738","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TCK_JRubano/status/1512062602074996738"},"2022243404613029901":{"id":"2022243404613029901","date":"2026-02-13 09:36:13","author":"Rutger Bregman","handle":"rcbregman","text":"From this extraordinary piece: \n\n'Last summer, while Mark Zuckerberg was conducting hiring raids on other labs, Sholto Douglas, the Anthropic engineer, told me that a number of his colleagues “could’ve taken a fifty-million-dollar paycheck,” but the “vast majority” of them hadn’t even bothered to respond.'","hashtags":[],"conv":"2022243404613029901","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1347,"retweets":107,"replies":36,"quotes":10,"views":195745,"bookmarks":897,"media":["2022243404613029901_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/rcbregman/status/2022243404613029901"},"1428148697620115458":{"id":"1428148697620115458","date":"2021-08-19 00:15:57","author":"Dave White","handle":"_Dave__White_","text":"less than 36 hours out and a lot of you already understand power perps better than i do","hashtags":[],"conv":"1428148697620115458","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":53,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/_Dave__White_/status/1428148697620115458"},"1434938303921467402":{"id":"1434938303921467402","date":"2021-09-06 17:55:26","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"@MagnusMacro Only heard good things about it, and some of the smartest people I was at grad school with were Harvey Mudd graduates","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434937615636180996","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1434938303921467402"},"1443808597150822400":{"id":"1443808597150822400","date":"2021-10-01 05:22:48","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"In a paper bag and have to trade out of if it with nothing but a DOM a keypad and a mouse. \n\n@KrisAbdelmessih \n@Jimmyjude13 \n@SinclairEuan \n@AgustinLebron3 \n@OrthogonalAlpha \n@moreproteinbars \n@MacroTactical \n@SoccerMomTrades \n@Michigandolf","hashtags":[],"conv":"1443808597150822400","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":34,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1443808597150822400"},"1331793474354638854":{"id":"1331793474354638854","date":"2020-11-26 02:54:42","author":"HF_Trader","handle":"HF_Trader","text":"7yrs ago today I walked away from my position at a hedge fund to trade independently. It wasn’t an easy decision financially and I was told by many it was a dumb idea. Its been hard and I’ve certainly questioned myself along the way but by and far the best decision of my life.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1331793474354638854","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":313,"retweets":3,"replies":17,"quotes":5,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/HF_Trader/status/1331793474354638854"},"1488644134462234633":{"id":"1488644134462234633","date":"2022-02-01 22:43:13","author":"Mo Peiyan","handle":"pmontu33","text":"If you’re so smart, why aren’t you free?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1488644134462234633","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1261,"retweets":130,"replies":40,"quotes":13,"views":0,"bookmarks":97,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/pmontu33/status/1488644134462234633"},"1759611113006915990":{"id":"1759611113006915990","date":"2024-02-19 16:09:15","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"I got a pro sports bettor and JS trader in the DMs surprised at how uncompetitive half the people in the poll think the battle for edge is. \n\nAt $24mm you need to get the boss to sign off. But what's worse would be to see it trade cheap and have to explain why you missed it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1759611113006915990","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":94,"retweets":4,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":24518,"bookmarks":26,"media":["1759611113006915990_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1759611113006915990"},"1602009534314184711":{"id":"1602009534314184711","date":"2022-12-11 18:36:51","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"P(all of Rivian, Lucid, Polestar are still in business in 3 years)?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602009534314184711","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1602009534314184711"},"1476416299810975744":{"id":"1476416299810975744","date":"2021-12-30 04:54:11","author":"Jordi Alexander","handle":"gametheorizing","text":"Told myself I wasn't gonna get suckered in to a response game but here we are.\n\nSer, choose your fav 15 of the top30 coins; use your last 2 years data, or astrology if you prefer.\n\nIf 10 of them outperform BTC in 2022 you win.\n\n$1million bet, 5% to charity. Personal money. In?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476416299810975744","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":413,"retweets":29,"replies":34,"quotes":18,"views":0,"bookmarks":26,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/gametheorizing/status/1476416299810975744"},"1327588411562225666":{"id":"1327588411562225666","date":"2020-11-14 12:25:17","author":"Paul Graham","handle":"paulg","text":"Told 11 yo about the existence of finance. I'd willingly answered all his questions about drugs and organized crime and sexual practices, but I found myself reluctant to tell him there were people who made money just from betting whether prices of things would go up or down.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1327588411562225666","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2751,"retweets":147,"replies":154,"quotes":76,"views":0,"bookmarks":110,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/paulg/status/1327588411562225666"},"1161655560040620032":{"id":"1161655560040620032","date":"2019-08-14 15:07:22","author":"Suhail","handle":"Suhail","text":"Something I wished I could work on that would be so fun. I’d love to do a song with an AI researcher but as an artist not the programmer.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1161655560040620032","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Suhail/status/1161655560040620032"},"1787208174182772907":{"id":"1787208174182772907","date":"2024-05-05 19:50:08","author":"qm","handle":"quantymacro","text":"Tier 1 firms are more likely to recruit quants without masters no?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1787208174182772907","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":83,"retweets":0,"replies":19,"quotes":0,"views":54222,"bookmarks":55,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/quantymacro/status/1787208174182772907"},"1345767434096095232":{"id":"1345767434096095232","date":"2021-01-03 16:22:14","author":"Kris Sidial🇺🇸","handle":"Ksidiii","text":"It is frustrating to see people fixate on a derivative pricing model....as if they will find some magic sauce creating a new model \n\nFocus on the Vol forecast, which is driven by SUPPLY & DEMAND\n\nThe Vol/ Underlying forecast is the real factor that matters in the pricing model","hashtags":[],"conv":"1345767434096095232","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":198,"retweets":16,"replies":10,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":41,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Ksidiii/status/1345767434096095232"},"1970102247272157550":{"id":"1970102247272157550","date":"2025-09-22 12:25:53","author":"Burak Yenigun","handle":"BurakYngn","text":"I don’t know man I think you can care about labor *and* be pro-social","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970102247272157550","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":550,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/BurakYngn/status/1970102247272157550"},"1736950848083890569":{"id":"1736950848083890569","date":"2023-12-19 03:25:27","author":"TechnoWatermelon","handle":"pranavvk","text":"Knew it was too good to be true. \n@AgustinLebron3 , scammer alert. \nHandle is @AgustinLebron33","hashtags":[],"conv":"1736950848083890569","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":514,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1736950848083890569_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/pranavvk/status/1736950848083890569"},"1755660575449686149":{"id":"1755660575449686149","date":"2024-02-08 18:31:14","author":"Jason","handle":"anenglishteachr","text":"It never ceases to amaze me how leading by example creates a ripple effect that quietly and covertly influences those around us\n\nThe teen I homeschool is quite disciplined:\n\n-He goes to bed at a reasonable time and gets up early most days\n-He works out 4 mornings a week\n-He frequently goes on 50+ mile bike rides\n-He eats well (for the most part)\n\nOf course he was not always like this - he has come such a long way\n\nHis best friend on the other hand is quite the opposite:\n\n-Inconsistent sleep schedule\n-Quite lazy\n-Addicted to his phone\n-Sedentary \n\nRecently his friend has asked him to start taking him to the gym\n\nI asked the teen I homeschool's friend why he wants to start working out all of a sudden and he said that he sees how working out and being more disciplined has made a difference in his friend’s life and so he wants the same for himself\n\nThe teen I homeschool never forced his friend to workout or anything - of course he tried to get him to do it but he wasn’t overly persistent\n\nHis friend saw how much of an effect it was having so he decided to give it a shot too\n\nHis friend is loving working out, trying to get in a better sleep rhythm and trying to eat better\n\nAssuming the friend continues and makes changes for the better, he’ll eventually start positively influencing those around him as well \n\nAnd then the lead by example change ripple effect will continue\n\nIt really is powerful and the spookiest part is that most of the time the best change comes from just observing and being around others who are embodying good habits and behaviors","hashtags":[],"conv":"1755660575449686149","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1755672768765403206","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":1377,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/anenglishteachr/status/1755660575449686149"},"1979868035813929014":{"id":"1979868035813929014","date":"2025-10-19 11:11:38","author":"Super Dario","handle":"inductionheads","text":"I love karpathy as much as the next guy but occurs me to he's not sufficiently bitter lessoned\n\nThe argument you need to make for AGI taking another 10 years _HAS_ to be compute constraints.  Anything else fails the bitter lesson test","hashtags":[],"conv":"1979868035813929014","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":257,"retweets":6,"replies":59,"quotes":8,"views":76458,"bookmarks":62,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/inductionheads/status/1979868035813929014"},"1922659698005639481":{"id":"1922659698005639481","date":"2025-05-14 14:26:07","author":"Variety","handle":"Variety","text":"HBO MAX LIVES! \n\nMax is changing its name back to HBO Max this summer, two years after deciding to drop the \"HBO.\"\n\nWarner Bros Discovery says of the decision: “Returning the HBO brand into HBO Max will further drive the service forward and amplify the uniqueness that subscribers can expect from the offering. It is also a testament to WBD’s willingness to keep boldly iterating its strategy and approach – leaning heavily on consumer data and insights – to best position itself for success.” \n\nRead more here: https://wp.me/pc8uak-1lFNrx","hashtags":[],"conv":"1922659698005639481","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1922698714834952625","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5490,"retweets":669,"replies":404,"quotes":1615,"views":2324825,"bookmarks":434,"media":["1922659698005639481_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Variety/status/1922659698005639481"},"1837506202944647327":{"id":"1837506202944647327","date":"2024-09-21 14:56:32","author":"Bill","handle":"W98AB","text":"Nice to see everyone in agreement that is was a terrible explanation 😂","hashtags":[],"conv":"1837506202944647327","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":28,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":8088,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/W98AB/status/1837506202944647327"},"1797099600571965863":{"id":"1797099600571965863","date":"2024-06-02 02:55:07","author":"Jesse Livermore","handle":"Jesse_Livermore","text":"Top 5 all-NBA team of players not to f--- with: \n\nCharles Oakley\nAnthony Mason\nBill Laimbeer\nRon Artest\nStephen Jackson","hashtags":[],"conv":"1797099600571965863","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":32,"retweets":0,"replies":35,"quotes":1,"views":18719,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Jesse_Livermore/status/1797099600571965863"},"1420483202091786253":{"id":"1420483202091786253","date":"2021-07-28 20:36:01","author":"Fact","handle":"Fact","text":"Lack of sleep and going to sleep irregularly can lead to early death.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420483202091786253","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1420485103449362434","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2100,"retweets":397,"replies":90,"quotes":199,"views":0,"bookmarks":24,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Fact/status/1420483202091786253"},"1685441656244334592":{"id":"1685441656244334592","date":"2023-07-30 00:06:19","author":"Double Chin Capital","handle":"OffTheRunTrades","text":"My dumb ass played 4 tennis matches in 6 days in over 105 degree heat index. Now I am sitting around with ice bags and a theragun.  Every muscle in my body is in some form of cramping.  I don’t know how these boys who actually play real tennis are surviving Atlanta.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1685441656244334592","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":77,"retweets":0,"replies":16,"quotes":0,"views":9583,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/OffTheRunTrades/status/1685441656244334592"},"1489062235787829248":{"id":"1489062235787829248","date":"2022-02-03 02:24:37","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"Sorry, I love you. It's just too much.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1489062235787829248","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":44,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1489062235787829248_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1489062235787829248"},"1520620078253088768":{"id":"1520620078253088768","date":"2022-05-01 04:24:13","author":"Nd1()","handle":"Nd172557208","text":"This one goes out to the derivatives enjoyooorrrs but is rho making a comeback?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1520620078253088768","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":47,"retweets":0,"replies":13,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Nd172557208/status/1520620078253088768"},"1709673289331753446":{"id":"1709673289331753446","date":"2023-10-04 20:54:11","author":"Speculator","handle":"TheSpeculator0","text":"the SBF jane street anecdotes seem made up tbh. pretty sure Lewis didn't exactly fact check this stuff","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709673289331753446","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":90,"retweets":2,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":19873,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheSpeculator0/status/1709673289331753446"},"1491478598078935042":{"id":"1491478598078935042","date":"2022-02-09 18:26:22","author":"Nathan FOIA Tankus","handle":"NathanTankus","text":"I am so fucking angry. Fuck this murderous place.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1491478598078935042","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":232,"retweets":10,"replies":10,"quotes":7,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/NathanTankus/status/1491478598078935042"},"1513315275260706819":{"id":"1513315275260706819","date":"2022-04-11 00:37:32","author":"bookdepth","handle":"bookdepth","text":"It is odd to me that no crypto VCs seem to have tried to spin up a market making team, crypto trading firms have been very public about their VC investing but you don't hear much (anything?) about VCs trying their hand at trading despite what (to me) feels like an obvious synergy","hashtags":[],"conv":"1513315275260706819","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":81,"retweets":4,"replies":25,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bookdepth/status/1513315275260706819"},"1238323460092256256":{"id":"1238323460092256256","date":"2020-03-13 04:38:14","author":"The Factor Report","handle":"PeterLBrandt","text":"I will again present a chart interpretation I have shown in the past to the rude and harsh criticism of traders in India who know better\n\nNifty #nifty50 has violated a parabolic advance\nand completed a RABT\n\nTarget of 9000 met. Next target 6400, then 4,500","hashtags":["nifty50"],"conv":"1238323460092256256","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":722,"retweets":161,"replies":155,"quotes":44,"views":0,"bookmarks":58,"media":["1238323460092256256_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/PeterLBrandt/status/1238323460092256256"},"1831730344741237051":{"id":"1831730344741237051","date":"2024-09-05 16:25:20","author":"Dwarkesh Patel","handle":"dwarkesh_sp","text":"Not sure I agree that hosting a podcast qualifies me as one of the 100 most influential people in AI haha. But I'm honored!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1831730344741237051","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1809,"retweets":21,"replies":142,"quotes":6,"views":244285,"bookmarks":120,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1831730344741237051"},"1289001382402560002":{"id":"1289001382402560002","date":"2020-07-31 00:54:12","author":"ExiledInfoHaz","handle":"ExiledInfoHaz","text":"I've had a profound realization playing with #GPT3. \n\nThe vast majority of people are basically running #GPT3. They speak, they utter sentences, but they mostly copy what other people say & have very little critical thinking. But they're good at babbling.\n\nMost people are NPCs.","hashtags":["gpt3","gpt3"],"conv":"1289001382402560002","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":718,"retweets":82,"replies":52,"quotes":46,"views":0,"bookmarks":58,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ExiledInfoHaz/status/1289001382402560002"},"1751379905395261697":{"id":"1751379905395261697","date":"2024-01-27 23:01:23","author":"Doug Colkitt","handle":"0xdoug","text":"Has anyone ever in history built a backend service in Python and not come to curse that decision?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1751379905395261697","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":92,"retweets":1,"replies":19,"quotes":1,"views":27833,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0xdoug/status/1751379905395261697"},"1533548563111759872":{"id":"1533548563111759872","date":"2022-06-05 20:37:24","author":"Austerity Sucks 🇩🇰","handle":"austerity_sucks","text":"dont look now but haven's luna-style $XUSD is breaking peg","hashtags":[],"conv":"1533548563111759872","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1533548563111759872_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/austerity_sucks/status/1533548563111759872"},"1537220061995290624":{"id":"1537220061995290624","date":"2022-06-15 23:46:37","author":"Mitchell Rosenthal","handle":"M1tchRosenthal","text":"This may sound silly/obvious... \n\nBut I think check lists rock. \n\nAnd I discovered a new use for them - avoiding getting sucked into online debates. \n\nCan make a list of topics that you've exhaustively explored and/or cannot be used to change your behavior,and avoid debating them","hashtags":[],"conv":"1537220061995290624","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/M1tchRosenthal/status/1537220061995290624"},"1247933676874334208":{"id":"1247933676874334208","date":"2020-04-08 17:05:48","author":"Darren Rovell","handle":"darrenrovell","text":"Wimbledon reportedly paid $2 million a year for pandemic insurance for the last 17 years \n\n(Total: $34 Million)\n\nFor this year's cancellation as a result of the Coronavirus, Wimbledon will reportedly receive $141 million from the policy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1247933676874334208","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1248617271460679681","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":136606,"retweets":32112,"replies":2702,"quotes":8466,"views":0,"bookmarks":1346,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/darrenrovell/status/1247933676874334208"},"1346867322166734854":{"id":"1346867322166734854","date":"2021-01-06 17:12:47","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"the ignored stuff is funding. \n\nI'll add:\n\nvol markets are often tighter than funding markets so if you have crap rates if you joined the bid and ask you would actually be making an inverted vol market \n\n(imagine cases where rho > bid/ask width vs your funding spread)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1346867322166734854","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1346867322166734854"},"1480941137963663372":{"id":"1480941137963663372","date":"2022-01-11 16:34:16","author":"Joe Weisenthal","handle":"TheStalwart","text":"\"You don't have to be Euclid to see that the direction is up\"\n\nLmaooo, Sen Kennedy kills me","hashtags":[],"conv":"1480941137963663372","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":163,"retweets":6,"replies":19,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1480941137963663372_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheStalwart/status/1480941137963663372"},"1418294496614174721":{"id":"1418294496614174721","date":"2021-07-22 19:38:53","author":"Saang Lee (이상선)","handle":"saanglee","text":"Anyone on here play golf? Thoughts on using blades...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1418294496614174721","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/saanglee/status/1418294496614174721"},"1593070753658056709":{"id":"1593070753658056709","date":"2022-11-17 02:37:20","author":"Mitchell Rosenthal","handle":"M1tchRosenthal","text":"I think I found one source of confusion. What is the difference between the covariance between two time series, and the cointegration between them, if they both assess the strength of directional co movement? Maybe im putting too much faith in the reddit ELI5 explanation of coint","hashtags":[],"conv":"1593070753658056709","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":["1593070753658056709_1.jpg","1593070753658056709_2.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/M1tchRosenthal/status/1593070753658056709"},"1778902979199877463":{"id":"1778902979199877463","date":"2024-04-12 21:48:15","author":"Nabeel S. Qureshi","handle":"nabeelqu","text":"Waterloo grads are unbelievably cracked software engineers. Has anyone written up an essay on what they’re doing there? Would be interested to read.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1778902979199877463","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1897,"retweets":74,"replies":105,"quotes":61,"views":1413771,"bookmarks":1098,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/nabeelqu/status/1778902979199877463"},"1511853272155701250":{"id":"1511853272155701250","date":"2022-04-06 23:48:03","author":"Gary Basin","handle":"garybasin","text":"Early man did not bother with counting the seasons, and he flourished","hashtags":[],"conv":"1511853272155701250","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/garybasin/status/1511853272155701250"},"1952177779921035313":{"id":"1952177779921035313","date":"2025-08-04 01:20:27","author":"Dwarkesh Patel","handle":"dwarkesh_sp","text":"How exciting is my life? Identify the most interesting questions. Hunt down the smartest people in the world to answer them. Build a shadow university for myself, populated by some of the smartest mentors and friends one could be lucky enough to have.\n\nWhat would it look like to actually, *really*, try at this quest? What would someone more capable, ambitious, and driven than me do? And why I am not doing it already?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1952177779921035313","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1679,"retweets":46,"replies":104,"quotes":10,"views":140596,"bookmarks":545,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1952177779921035313"},"1468779885485166593":{"id":"1468779885485166593","date":"2021-12-09 03:09:47","author":"Ankit Garg","handle":"Ankit_Quant","text":"Keeping me company on my way to Mumbai.\n\n@AgustinLebron3","hashtags":[],"conv":"1468779885485166593","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":64,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":13,"media":["1468779885485166593_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Ankit_Quant/status/1468779885485166593"},"1823359038630903990":{"id":"1823359038630903990","date":"2024-08-13 14:00:45","author":"Hull Tactical","handle":"HullTactical","text":"Transaction costs have negative returns, zero volatility, and an infinitely negative Sharpe Ratio. \n\nDoes it get much worse? We discuss this in a clip from our most recent webinar:\n\nClick here for disclosures and risk information: https://www.hulltacticalfunds.com/\n\nDisclaimer\n\nThe thoughts and opinions expressed in this content are solely those of the author. The discussion of individual companies should not be considered a recommendation of such companies by the Fund's investment adviser. The discussion is designed to provide the reader with an understanding of how the Fund's investment adviser manages the portfolio.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1823359038630903990","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1823367598160945456","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":4,"replies":1,"quotes":3,"views":18887,"bookmarks":23,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/HullTactical/status/1823359038630903990"},"1540519315144933378":{"id":"1540519315144933378","date":"2022-06-25 02:16:40","author":"Kris Sidial🇺🇸","handle":"Ksidiii","text":"How do you explain to an intelligent young aspiring quant that image one is 99.9% garbage, and that image two is more realistic as to what a trading P&L curve actually looks like for a strategy. I would appreciate experienced quants, traders, MDs to chime in.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1540519315144933378","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":326,"retweets":29,"replies":72,"quotes":5,"views":0,"bookmarks":117,"media":["1540519315144933378_1.jpg","1540519315144933378_2.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Ksidiii/status/1540519315144933378"},"1417672435185373192":{"id":"1417672435185373192","date":"2021-07-21 02:27:02","author":"HF_Trader","handle":"HF_Trader","text":"Seeing lots of (young and clueless) folks trying to dunk on Bezos for wearing a Cowboy hat.  He’s a billionaire that built his own rocket and flew to space.  You will never be that cool, ever.  He can wear what he wants….because he can.  It was a badass hat btw….morons.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1417672435185373192","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":119,"retweets":4,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/HF_Trader/status/1417672435185373192"},"1460347393191280640":{"id":"1460347393191280640","date":"2021-11-15 20:42:05","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"the crypto trader urge to complain about exchange incompetence whilst making money directly from exchange incompetence","hashtags":[],"conv":"1460347393191280640","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":76,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1460347393191280640"},"1450110996744441856":{"id":"1450110996744441856","date":"2021-10-18 14:46:18","author":"Kris Sidial🇺🇸","handle":"Ksidiii","text":"Nobody is going to listen to me here, but if you really want to get sauce u don’t go to the traders or sales guys. \n\nSales won’t tell you anything smart. The traders will talk the side of their book they want you to take\n\nBut the middle office guys know where the dead bodies are.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1450110996744441856","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":180,"retweets":12,"replies":9,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":26,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Ksidiii/status/1450110996744441856"},"1488932091123302402":{"id":"1488932091123302402","date":"2022-02-02 17:47:28","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"I had a BTC-taught-me-everything-i-know-about-econ person tell me that infinite divisibility means a currency is not deflationary. \n\nSo maybe the stock split discourse needs to come with a free pamphlet with a picture of 3k calories worth of pizza sliced in diff ways","hashtags":[],"conv":"1488932091123302402","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":37,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1488932091123302402"},"1321753352980582401":{"id":"1321753352980582401","date":"2020-10-29 09:58:50","author":"Paul Graham","handle":"paulg","text":"Why did the price of gold start increasing about half way through 2019?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1321753352980582401","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":535,"retweets":30,"replies":120,"quotes":10,"views":0,"bookmarks":90,"media":["1321753352980582401_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/paulg/status/1321753352980582401"},"1830691387366318345":{"id":"1830691387366318345","date":"2024-09-02 19:36:54","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"If I want to watch the best film adaptations of Shakespeare’s histories, which versions should I go for? Kenneth Branagh’s Henry V seems an obvious pick. What else?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1830691387366318345","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":40,"retweets":1,"replies":24,"quotes":1,"views":18945,"bookmarks":35,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1830691387366318345"},"1552818714327691264":{"id":"1552818714327691264","date":"2022-07-29 00:50:06","author":"Dave White","handle":"_Dave__White_","text":"@anon75374998 yeah, that's a month i'm never getting back","hashtags":[],"conv":"1552817040448114694","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/_Dave__White_/status/1552818714327691264"},"1433517108638322697":{"id":"1433517108638322697","date":"2021-09-02 19:48:06","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"If you weaponize this skill to sell, yes. \n\nOtherwise, your ceiling is @matt_levine \nAnd you skill will never be close to his. \n\nBut on Wall St there are many midtwits making offensive amounts of money because they targeted people who want to talk to mirrors. \n\nBetter risk/reward","hashtags":[],"conv":"1433517108638322697","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":44,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1433517108638322697"},"1387564659427917826":{"id":"1387564659427917826","date":"2021-04-29 00:29:29","author":"Julia Galef","handle":"juliagalef","text":"1/ I've noticed that a lot of people who pride themselves on being \"rigorous\" or \"critical thinkers\" have this simple heuristic that anecdotes = weak evidence. \n\nBut I disagree! It depends on what claim those anecdotes are being used to support.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1387564659427917826","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":718,"retweets":44,"replies":30,"quotes":11,"views":0,"bookmarks":78,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/juliagalef/status/1387564659427917826"},"1508085647495426050":{"id":"1508085647495426050","date":"2022-03-27 14:16:51","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"Moontower #143\n\n🌙If You Make Money Every Day, You’re Not Maximizing\n\n🌙A chance to volunteer remotely\n\nhttps://moontower.substack.com/p/moontower-143","hashtags":[],"conv":"1508085647495426050","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":41,"retweets":5,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1508085647495426050"},"1700155666193608934":{"id":"1700155666193608934","date":"2023-09-08 14:34:32","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"@nope_its_lily @WallStWeeb @AgustinLebron3 Hard no on this but I can see why people who work in trading would like to believe it lol","hashtags":[],"conv":"1699961937889792362","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":125,"retweets":3,"replies":13,"quotes":0,"views":11221,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1700155666193608934"},"1433913653514878984":{"id":"1433913653514878984","date":"2021-09-03 22:03:50","author":"Euan Sinclair","handle":"SinclairEuan","text":"Recently talked to a very good poker player. He said raising or folding was almost always better than calling.\n\nI think the trading analog is that it is very rarely correct to just hold a position. Almost always better to add or reduce.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1433913653514878984","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":285,"retweets":19,"replies":28,"quotes":6,"views":0,"bookmarks":39,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SinclairEuan/status/1433913653514878984"},"1773754928877494710":{"id":"1773754928877494710","date":"2024-03-29 16:51:44","author":"Matt Bateman","handle":"mbateman","text":"extraordinary","hashtags":[],"conv":"1773754928877494710","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":161,"retweets":3,"replies":7,"quotes":3,"views":64221,"bookmarks":11,"media":["1773754928877494710_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mbateman/status/1773754928877494710"},"1780657203671650815":{"id":"1780657203671650815","date":"2024-04-17 17:58:55","author":"bookdepth","handle":"bookdepth","text":"\"High speed\" huh? News to me, and to the ocaml garbage collector\n\nhttps://www.ft.com/content/7bdd0bc1-5284-4d52-93aa-ddfb609b0bd6","hashtags":[],"conv":"1780657203671650815","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":128,"retweets":4,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":25280,"bookmarks":46,"media":["1780657203671650815_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bookdepth/status/1780657203671650815"},"1927776303475831212":{"id":"1927776303475831212","date":"2025-05-28 17:17:41","author":"Gappy (Giuseppe Paleologo)","handle":"__paleologo","text":"Tell your favorite origin stories. We are listening. Finance stories are the best. Following by entrepreneurship. Followed by show business: “she was discovered at 15 in a cafe”.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1927776303475831212","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":0,"replies":15,"quotes":3,"views":22764,"bookmarks":19,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/__paleologo/status/1927776303475831212"},"1285376703020167168":{"id":"1285376703020167168","date":"2020-07-21 00:51:01","author":"Eliezer Yudkowsky ⏹️","handle":"ESYudkowsky","text":"With GPT-3 we are witnessing an epochal shift from trying to build AIs smart enough to do what we want, to having AIs that definitely seem smart enough, but that we can't get to do what we want.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1285376703020167168","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":683,"retweets":80,"replies":32,"quotes":7,"views":0,"bookmarks":34,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ESYudkowsky/status/1285376703020167168"},"1320761839278460929":{"id":"1320761839278460929","date":"2020-10-26 16:18:55","author":"experquisite","handle":"experquisite","text":"I guess if “high frequency trading” is 20ms, then yeah 🙄","hashtags":[],"conv":"1320761839278460929","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/experquisite/status/1320761839278460929"},"1437942204874514434":{"id":"1437942204874514434","date":"2021-09-15 00:51:51","author":"Jason Strasser","handle":"strassa2","text":"Have you ever folded aces preflop? I’m not talking about when it’s correct to do so in a satellite or crazy ICM spot… but just folded them for no good reason? Back in 2005 a bunch of us on 2p2 did this. The ultimate way to be in control of yourself. Try it it’s worth the -EV.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1437942204874514434","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":138,"retweets":4,"replies":71,"quotes":6,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/strassa2/status/1437942204874514434"},"1321445788313026560":{"id":"1321445788313026560","date":"2020-10-28 13:36:41","author":"experquisite","handle":"experquisite","text":"My friends don’t get why I like this stuff. “But guys, guys, guys, the light is blinking for a DIFFERENT REASON than last time!”","hashtags":[],"conv":"1321445788313026560","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/experquisite/status/1321445788313026560"},"1498185775451619328":{"id":"1498185775451619328","date":"2022-02-28 06:38:18","author":"Joel Rubano","handle":"TCK_JRubano","text":"@nope_its_lily @AgustinLebron3 @M1tchRosenthal @be20684347 @experquisite @macrocephalopod @therobotjames @NotQuiteMidlife @fed_speak My naive assumption is that there would be some sort of proportionality between the “phenomenon” window and the duration of its predictive value, just not sure what I would guess that would be. Probably some signals are more durable than others, too.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1340471352348848134","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TCK_JRubano/status/1498185775451619328"},"1488626006965764096":{"id":"1488626006965764096","date":"2022-02-01 21:31:12","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"A good place to start... \n\nSELECT\n    feature_rank,\n    AVG(logreturns)\nFROM  features f \nINNER JOIN logreturns r  \n   ON f.lagged_datetime = r.datetime\nGROUP BY feature_rank","hashtags":[],"conv":"1488626006965764096","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":61,"retweets":8,"replies":5,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":69,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1488626006965764096"},"1955967204715061361":{"id":"1955967204715061361","date":"2025-08-14 12:18:16","author":"Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️","handle":"bennpeifert","text":"Do I need a mega-thread on covered calls for these people to read or do the various smaller threads cover it?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1955967204715061361","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":125,"retweets":0,"replies":18,"quotes":0,"views":23197,"bookmarks":47,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bennpeifert/status/1955967204715061361"},"1441125599133593604":{"id":"1441125599133593604","date":"2021-09-23 19:41:32","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"I feel like Vanguard wrote this change into the tax proposal. \n\nYou think the flow into passive is big now...\n\nThanks Peter Thiel (said to the tune of \"thanks Obama\")\n\nhttps://directedira.com/everyday-ira-savers-who-self-direct-will-lose-big-under-house-tax-bill/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1441125599133593604","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1441129606069714946","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1441125599133593604"},"1384172367857942529":{"id":"1384172367857942529","date":"2021-04-19 15:49:43","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"Never noticed this til now. \n\nAfaik this is the only account blocking me","hashtags":[],"conv":"1384172367857942529","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":74,"retweets":0,"replies":25,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1384172367857942529_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1384172367857942529"},"1705397434241925606":{"id":"1705397434241925606","date":"2023-09-23 01:43:27","author":"arb8020","handle":"arb8020","text":"good devs keep telling me the best way to get better at coding is contributing to open source\n\n- helps onboard into new codebases faster\n- familiarization with good code style/ documentation\n- working with real stuff\n\ni’m already sold but would love to hear about more benefits!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1705397434241925606","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":30,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":2,"views":17471,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/arb8020/status/1705397434241925606"},"1432532620789813253":{"id":"1432532620789813253","date":"2021-08-31 02:36:06","author":"Gordo MONK: Champion of Peace ☮️ and Calm😶‍🌫️","handle":"fordoglunk","text":"@lightspringfox @KrisAbdelmessih @therobotjames figgie is very fun\n\nif you use it, you should play it a lot until people are appropriately aggressive and the markets are somewhat efficient. feels like a totally different game at that point and it's really interesting watching that evolution","hashtags":[],"conv":"1432463541110411265","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/fordoglunk/status/1432532620789813253"},"1730626229349364034":{"id":"1730626229349364034","date":"2023-12-01 16:33:41","author":"Doug Colkitt","handle":"0xdoug","text":"Don't try to cold pitch people in their DMs unless you're bringing game like this.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1730626229349364034","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":3493,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1730626229349364034_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0xdoug/status/1730626229349364034"},"1960813449631633477":{"id":"1960813449631633477","date":"2025-08-27 21:15:31","author":"Tarek Mansour","handle":"mansourtarek_","text":"World leaders are using Kalshi and you're bearish?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1960813449631633477","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":128,"retweets":4,"replies":14,"quotes":1,"views":17990,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1960813449631633477_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mansourtarek_/status/1960813449631633477"},"1621146262983806979":{"id":"1621146262983806979","date":"2023-02-02 13:59:23","author":"Superluminal","handle":"slx_fi","text":"In the latest post from CrocSwap, researcher @0xfbifemboy focuses on the characterization of toxic flow in ETH/USDC swap data and potential implementations of price discrimination or flow segmentation mechanisms.\n\nhttps://crocswap.medium.com/discrimination-of-toxic-flow-in-uniswap-v3-part-1-fb5b6e01398b","hashtags":[],"conv":"1621146262983806979","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1621598638249066501","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":176,"retweets":24,"replies":15,"quotes":11,"views":140739,"bookmarks":85,"media":["1621146262983806979_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/slx_fi/status/1621146262983806979"},"1306277867454685184":{"id":"1306277867454685184","date":"2020-09-16 17:04:47","author":"𝔸𝕝𝕘𝕠💥𝕊𝕟𝕒𝕗𝕦","handle":"AlgoSnafu","text":"@VitruviusCurve @Mephisto731 \nJust find out about \"Elements of information theory\" by Thomas Cover. I have spent a few nights on his paper on log-opt portfolios years ago .... \nIs his book good ?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1306277867454685184","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":["1306277867454685184_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/AlgoSnafu/status/1306277867454685184"},"1542722660358144001":{"id":"1542722660358144001","date":"2022-07-01 04:11:59","author":"Lou Stagner (Golf Stat Pro)","handle":"LouStagner","text":"In 1962 the 75th ranked player on the money list earned $5,275. \n\nThat is equal to ~$68,000 in 2021 dollars. \n\nLast year the 75th ranked played on the money list earned $1,690,223.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542722660358144001","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":66,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/LouStagner/status/1542722660358144001"},"1819437250381230457":{"id":"1819437250381230457","date":"2024-08-02 18:16:58","author":"alz","handle":"alz_zyd_","text":"So realistically is it possible to teach set theory to an 11 year old? im gonna give it a shot and see what happens","hashtags":[],"conv":"1819437250381230457","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":46,"retweets":0,"replies":12,"quotes":0,"views":7200,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/alz_zyd_/status/1819437250381230457"},"1183860225562107904":{"id":"1183860225562107904","date":"2019-10-14 21:40:47","author":"Eric Balchunas","handle":"EricBalchunas","text":"The co behind $GBTC (a private trust that trades OTC like a CEF yet sometimes gets confused for an ETF) is rolling out a crypto basket product, here’s allocation and story: https://www.coindesk.com/grayscale-wins-approval-for-first-public-digital-currency-index-fund","hashtags":[],"conv":"1183860225562107904","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1183865113561845760","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1183860225562107904_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/EricBalchunas/status/1183860225562107904"},"1838750550738751772":{"id":"1838750550738751772","date":"2024-09-25 01:21:08","author":"Joe Weisenthal","handle":"TheStalwart","text":"Why is it that sports gambling, specifically, has elicited a lot of criticism from people that would otherwise have more laissez faire sympathies?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1838750550738751772","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":294,"retweets":14,"replies":120,"quotes":36,"views":162618,"bookmarks":27,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheStalwart/status/1838750550738751772"},"1800221304894939247":{"id":"1800221304894939247","date":"2024-06-10 17:39:40","author":"Byrne Hobart","handle":"ByrneHobart","text":"The Alaska Airlines marketing team has some pretty interesting guesses about my travel plans.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1800221304894939247","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":84,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":6184,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1800221304894939247_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ByrneHobart/status/1800221304894939247"},"1592005167456882689":{"id":"1592005167456882689","date":"2022-11-14 04:03:04","author":"Lionel Lightcycle","handle":"0xLightcycle","text":"It's a deadman's switch\n\nI'd send cryptic things to Twitter too, to trigger actions","hashtags":[],"conv":"1592005167456882689","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":84,"retweets":2,"replies":6,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0xLightcycle/status/1592005167456882689"},"1507092815456710666":{"id":"1507092815456710666","date":"2022-03-24 20:31:42","author":"Taylor (NYC, Dubai)","handle":"3PointTrader","text":"junior trader on the desk said he could eat 8 do-rite donuts in two hours. he is the sole buyer of [undisclosed amount] contracts all the way down to 6.25. best in class price discovery at work","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507092815456710666","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":199,"retweets":1,"replies":25,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":17,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/3PointTrader/status/1507092815456710666"},"1507475544547360768":{"id":"1507475544547360768","date":"2022-03-25 21:52:32","author":"Freak0naut","handle":"FREAK0NAUT","text":"@jp_JellyRoll","hashtags":[],"conv":"1472518820803788805","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1507489677707722752","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1507475544547360768_1.png","1507475544547360768_2.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/FREAK0NAUT/status/1507475544547360768"},"1540379719396478976":{"id":"1540379719396478976","date":"2022-06-24 17:01:58","author":"Paul Graham","handle":"paulg","text":"I suspect few Americans realize just how much of an outlier the US is when it comes to incarceration rates. More than half a percent of Americans are currently in jail. Why? The \"war on drugs.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1540379719396478976","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1797,"retweets":190,"replies":185,"quotes":62,"views":0,"bookmarks":99,"media":["1540379719396478976_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/paulg/status/1540379719396478976"},"1399852531904299008":{"id":"1399852531904299008","date":"2021-06-01 22:17:06","author":"Francisco Amadeo","handle":"famadeo","text":"These were up to $200 each on Amazon, got them for $50 apiece locally, with Mercado Libre. Is Tom Apostol more popular in Argentina than the US? I recall “the Apostol” being referred to as the Bible back I the day","hashtags":[],"conv":"1399852531904299008","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":["1399852531904299008_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/famadeo/status/1399852531904299008"},"1971016425625305118":{"id":"1971016425625305118","date":"2025-09-25 00:58:30","author":"rohit","handle":"krishnanrohit","text":"Can someone who knows please explain this to me? Is quantum still bullshit or has it become something real?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1971016425625305118","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":52,"retweets":1,"replies":23,"quotes":1,"views":18213,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/krishnanrohit/status/1971016425625305118"},"1758266046203781595":{"id":"1758266046203781595","date":"2024-02-15 23:04:27","author":"⚡️🌙","handle":"dystopiabreaker","text":"what does college or public education mean when you have AI tutors that can interact with your children at a 3sigma level at 0.0001% of the cost","hashtags":[],"conv":"1758266046203781595","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":127,"retweets":9,"replies":13,"quotes":3,"views":7909,"bookmarks":16,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dystopiabreaker/status/1758266046203781595"},"1440098707240734724":{"id":"1440098707240734724","date":"2021-09-20 23:41:02","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"Steal ideas, not implementation.\n\nI see you, with your \"small but beautiful\" pot of capital, trying to make it bigger.\n\nA🧵on easy games, stealing ideas, and not competing in games you don't need to compete in.\n\n1/n","hashtags":[],"conv":"1440098707240734724","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":311,"retweets":56,"replies":6,"quotes":17,"views":0,"bookmarks":281,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1440098707240734724"},"1914830148492575013":{"id":"1914830148492575013","date":"2025-04-22 23:54:17","author":"rohit","handle":"krishnanrohit","text":"If 10% of the world are already using Chatgpt this might be the fastest diffusion of any technology ever","hashtags":[],"conv":"1914830148492575013","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":56,"retweets":2,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":4117,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/krishnanrohit/status/1914830148492575013"},"1785785576571994299":{"id":"1785785576571994299","date":"2024-05-01 21:37:14","author":"Maven Navarro","handle":"MavenNavarro1","text":"Both sides now chanting “F***” Joe Biden”","hashtags":[],"conv":"1785785576571994299","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1786047250776395944","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":33233,"retweets":5282,"replies":1993,"quotes":6179,"views":19453070,"bookmarks":4522,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/MavenNavarro1/status/1785785576571994299"},"1775562431995007015":{"id":"1775562431995007015","date":"2024-04-03 16:34:06","author":"bubble boi","handle":"bubbleboi","text":"This recruiter just called me and said “they are desperate to fill this role”","hashtags":[],"conv":"1775562431995007015","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":102,"retweets":0,"replies":17,"quotes":0,"views":8473,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bubbleboi/status/1775562431995007015"},"1390662116072464384":{"id":"1390662116072464384","date":"2021-05-07 13:37:40","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"I have been doing some pretty serious research into Doge and here are my results. Support/resistance:\n\n1.0000 *\n0.7071\n0.6969 ****\n0.5774\n0.420   **\n0.3679\n0.3142\n0.2718 *\n0.0073 \n\nObviously ✨not investing advice✨!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1390662116072464384","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":88,"retweets":2,"replies":11,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1390662116072464384"},"1418637071292407809":{"id":"1418637071292407809","date":"2021-07-23 18:20:09","author":"Antonio García Martínez (agm.eth)","handle":"antoniogm","text":"Going to anthropomorphize my Google Calendar and refer to it as 'my admin' when anyone asks about my availability to make me seem like a bigwig.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1418637071292407809","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":103,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/antoniogm/status/1418637071292407809"},"1163193022483320832":{"id":"1163193022483320832","date":"2019-08-18 20:56:42","author":"Claire Lehmann","handle":"clairlemon","text":"Vox leads the pack in presenting judgement as fact https://x.com/scholars_stage/status/1163063326454116352?s=21","hashtags":[],"conv":"1163193022483320832","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":635,"retweets":148,"replies":57,"quotes":12,"views":0,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/clairlemon/status/1163193022483320832"},"1730441186987708753":{"id":"1730441186987708753","date":"2023-12-01 04:18:23","author":"Chris Albon","handle":"chrisalbon","text":"What the hell ever happened to Scala?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1730441186987708753","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":491,"retweets":12,"replies":105,"quotes":23,"views":214882,"bookmarks":73,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/chrisalbon/status/1730441186987708753"},"1397947063338479620":{"id":"1397947063338479620","date":"2021-05-27 16:05:27","author":"Tarun Chitra","handle":"tarunchitra","text":"@nope_its_lily @AgustinLebron3 @volmagorov @RockshotJ @BangTheClose @PaToFe4 @macrocephalopod Geometry and Algebraic Geometry in particular are under represented in this list and I will not stan for it, we need varieties","hashtags":[],"conv":"1397931742237904903","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tarunchitra/status/1397947063338479620"},"1513392124766478336":{"id":"1513392124766478336","date":"2022-04-11 05:42:54","author":"Ankit Garg","handle":"Ankit_Quant","text":"What they say about San Francisco is true. \n\nThe downtown has converted into a shit show. \n\nEveryone on ground knows the sad state of affairs and the street criminals are roaming scot free. \n\nI was a victim tonight.  @SFPD","hashtags":[],"conv":"1513392124766478336","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1513396942079881218","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":93,"retweets":4,"replies":39,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":["1513392124766478336_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Ankit_Quant/status/1513392124766478336"},"1286703174598852610":{"id":"1286703174598852610","date":"2020-07-24 16:41:57","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"Maybe my water is spiked with Haterade this morning but I can't resist. \n\nThis is like Gisele telling everyone that beauty is on the inside. \n\nEyeroll so hard.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1286703174598852610","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1286703174598852610_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1286703174598852610"},"1627867191751090176":{"id":"1627867191751090176","date":"2023-02-21 03:05:57","author":"David Holt","handle":"IDrawCharts","text":"out of complete curiosity for future reference (and no immediate plans) \n\nhow does one go about raising a fund","hashtags":[],"conv":"1627867191751090176","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":65,"retweets":0,"replies":20,"quotes":0,"views":20600,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/IDrawCharts/status/1627867191751090176"},"1912561027574632527":{"id":"1912561027574632527","date":"2025-04-16 17:37:37","author":"David Shapiro (L/0)","handle":"DaveShapi","text":"AI has *solved* math. OpenAI did it with o4\n\nNot \"is close to solving math\"\n\nNot \"is competitive at math\"\n\n*SOLVED*\n\nThis is far bigger than anyone realizes. Let me explain why. \n\nFirst,  you need to understand some historical context. Typically, with AI/ML you know that you're getting *close* to fully generalizing a problem space when you get into the 70% and 80% solution range. However, as we often see, \"reality is in the edge cases\" meaning that the last mile jump from 80% to 99% is often far harder. \n\nBut OpenAI did that not in years, but months. Remember, o1 and o3 were announced in September of last year. It's been just over 8 calendar months and they closed the gap.\n\nJust from a research and development perspective, this is a remarkable velocity. \n\nBut I'm not talking about benchmarks. I'm talking about real world implications. This puts a World Class mathematician in every pocket, on every team. Do you know what math underpins? \n\nPretty much everything. \n\nThe first order consequence of a semi-agentic AI system that has conquered math is pretty obvious: anything that requires math, it can likely solve on its own, or with very little redirection. For example, a good friend of mine is in CFD (computational fluid dynamics), which is used for oceanography and meteorology extensively. He's been using reasoning models since they came out and they were helpful to him, but still needed his expert guiding hand. \n\nThese new models might nuke that. \n\nSecond order consequences (downstream impacts) from this are difficult to predict, but not difficult to overstate. Let's put second order consequences in practical terms:\n\nThis will accelerate AI research itself. AI research is, among other things, math. It's also code. Guess what these models crushed? Math and code. Beyond that, they are semi-autonomous i.e. \"partially agentic\" - they require less human direction, correction, and oversight. In practical terms, it means they can use more tools without help, work on larger, longer problems without supervision, and are less likely to make mistakes around user intent. \n\nGuess what else is math intensive?\n\nBiochemistry\nRobotics\nSpaceflight\nCryptography\nNuclear physics\nBlockchain\n\nNow, to make this even more impressive, these models did this with ONE TOOL: Python. Not series of tools. Not MatLab. Not supercomputers. \n\nNow let me underscore what this means in the long run: your smartphone will be a math genius before too long. And a coding genius. And a linguistics genius. And... and... \n\nThird, fourth, and fifth order consequences of this one technology alone are impossible to overstate, and this technology will only get better. \n\nYou know that scene where Tony Stark is figuring out time travel in his kitchen? Yeah, that's the level of AI math we're talking about in just one or two more generations. \n\nIf warp drive is possible, these machines will help us figure it out.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1912561027574632527","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1912576933013123082","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1182,"retweets":148,"replies":187,"quotes":142,"views":643756,"bookmarks":465,"media":["1912561027574632527_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/DaveShapi/status/1912561027574632527"},"1760681575342301387":{"id":"1760681575342301387","date":"2024-02-22 15:02:54","author":"Matt Bateman","handle":"mbateman","text":"Is there a technical reason why generative AI outputs pixel images rather than vectors? Like, is it easier?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1760681575342301387","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1760688537203363932","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":16,"quotes":1,"views":7856,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mbateman/status/1760681575342301387"},"1245534920245575682":{"id":"1245534920245575682","date":"2020-04-02 02:14:00","author":"VALIS","handle":"RISKREDEMPTION","text":"This author said: \"much like the iron condor, for an iron fly implied vol does not need to be high, but only higher than the average true range (ATR) of the underlying.\"\n\n I've never dived deeper into this but it's curious.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1245534920245575682","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/RISKREDEMPTION/status/1245534920245575682"},"1171911758715523073":{"id":"1171911758715523073","date":"2019-09-11 22:21:51","author":"Whyvert","handle":"whyvert","text":"Top 10 most-cited researchers (according to Google Scholar). \nFoucault is #1 with 885,000 citations \nfrom http://www.webometrics.info/en/About_Us and @JamesMahmudRice","hashtags":[],"conv":"1171911758715523073","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1172234599918985216","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":463,"retweets":168,"replies":44,"quotes":181,"views":0,"bookmarks":67,"media":["1171911758715523073_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/whyvert/status/1171911758715523073"},"1820263844255772715":{"id":"1820263844255772715","date":"2024-08-05 01:01:33","author":"VCs Congratulating Themselves 👏👏👏","handle":"VCBrags","text":"the lesson: stop being a VC and do something useful","hashtags":[],"conv":"1820263844255772715","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5998,"retweets":221,"replies":34,"quotes":3,"views":396239,"bookmarks":100,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/VCBrags/status/1820263844255772715"},"1788371916052468132":{"id":"1788371916052468132","date":"2024-05-09 00:54:25","author":"aizk ✡️","handle":"Aizkmusic","text":"CS major subreddit is so grim right now","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788371916052468132","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1788655118155747502","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1625,"retweets":68,"replies":54,"quotes":41,"views":261675,"bookmarks":458,"media":["1788371916052468132_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Aizkmusic/status/1788371916052468132"},"1151520962589810688":{"id":"1151520962589810688","date":"2019-07-17 15:56:06","author":"Mckay Wrigley","handle":"mckaywrigley","text":"What was the first programming language you learned?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1151520962589810688","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":106,"retweets":7,"replies":507,"quotes":58,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mckaywrigley/status/1151520962589810688"},"1542632104088834050":{"id":"1542632104088834050","date":"2022-06-30 22:12:08","author":"Dan Robinson","handle":"danrobinson","text":"If a company has short interest above 100%, does that mean someone must have been naked short selling?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542632104088834050","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":10,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/danrobinson/status/1542632104088834050"},"1480353413825118209":{"id":"1480353413825118209","date":"2022-01-10 01:38:52","author":"Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️","handle":"bennpeifert","text":"sell side eqd notes referring to the slope of the skew curve as implying the move in floating strike vol as spot moves","hashtags":[],"conv":"1480353413825118209","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":47,"retweets":1,"replies":9,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bennpeifert/status/1480353413825118209"},"1328508341753090052":{"id":"1328508341753090052","date":"2020-11-17 01:20:45","author":"Kris Sidial🇺🇸","handle":"Ksidiii","text":"I have been outspoken that machine learning to predict stock moves is garbage.(Especially pattern recognition) \n\nI do believe in using machine learning and alternative data to get a better gauge on human psychology/ behavioral pattern recognitions. Which translates over to stocks","hashtags":[],"conv":"1328508341753090052","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":122,"retweets":6,"replies":12,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Ksidiii/status/1328508341753090052"},"1975526834180685847":{"id":"1975526834180685847","date":"2025-10-07 11:41:15","author":"Gappy (Giuseppe Paleologo)","handle":"__paleologo","text":"I have been reading this old book and it’s excellent. I had learned Kernel methods/Gaussian Processes via Rasmussen-Williams (also withstanding the test of time) but this is better. \n\nBen Recht was writing recently something like “nobody cares about kernel methods these days”. Sadly true. I don’t think kids care much about this stuff these days. Why study it, then? Three reasons, from me:\n\n1. It generalizes linear models to the fullest extent and “for free”, giving you insights into ridge, Nadaraya-Watson, attention mechanisms. Read recent and recurrent threads of @docmilanfar on this. \n2. It is among the simplest non-trivial model to study non-trivial facts like double descent. \n3. It performs well, it’s still flexible and interpretable. There are hidden gem paper on applications. \n\nBut also: the theory meets criteria of elegance and simplicity. Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space theory is beautiful.  It can’t be useless, and it isn’t. Remember Jim Simons: “be guided by beauty”. \n\nLinks to pfds for both books below.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1975526834180685847","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":736,"retweets":83,"replies":15,"quotes":1,"views":42829,"bookmarks":836,"media":["1975526834180685847_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/__paleologo/status/1975526834180685847"},"1590488411701669888":{"id":"1590488411701669888","date":"2022-11-09 23:36:01","author":"⚡️🌙","handle":"dystopiabreaker","text":"i keep joking about the utilitarian thing being a red flag but it seriously was","hashtags":[],"conv":"1590488411701669888","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":65,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dystopiabreaker/status/1590488411701669888"},"1357788210802417667":{"id":"1357788210802417667","date":"2021-02-05 20:28:30","author":"Bryan Caplan","handle":"bryan_caplan","text":"Holding duration equal, wearing a face mask is X times as uncomfortable as wearing a seat belt.\n\nX is...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1357788210802417667","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":3,"replies":13,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bryan_caplan/status/1357788210802417667"},"1809631227227332720":{"id":"1809631227227332720","date":"2024-07-06 16:51:20","author":"Catalin","handle":"catalinmpit","text":"Screw software development.\n\nA construction worker just quoted me €2300 for a day’s work of drilling holes into the walls.\n\nI know it’s very hard work, but damn. Construction here I come… Again.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1809631227227332720","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1810325973184954742","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3012,"retweets":83,"replies":98,"quotes":31,"views":538268,"bookmarks":280,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/catalinmpit/status/1809631227227332720"},"1476977663742857218":{"id":"1476977663742857218","date":"2021-12-31 18:04:50","author":"experquisite","handle":"experquisite","text":"Apparently one of the best indications of effective programmers is the extent to which they can step through code in their mind, aka how good of a model of a computer they have. It’s more complex to model distributed systems, concurrency, low-level details… takes practice! https://x.com/b0rk/status/1476883796838465543","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476977663742857218","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/experquisite/status/1476977663742857218"},"1983428743747285477":{"id":"1983428743747285477","date":"2025-10-29 07:00:37","author":"roon","handle":"tszzl","text":"near is very wrong, but i got too mad at near last night, sorry near\n\nvice signaling is entirely limited to the batch of zoomer YC startups that seem to rely on rage bait marketing to gain traction and dump their bags, and the VCs who enable them. i won't mention any for obvious reasons. there will be a tendency for outsiders who are already prone to resenting san francisco tech bros to attribute this extremely loud nonsense as representative of ai technology, that it's a bubbley cesspool of villainy where people pride each other on cultural destruction, but this could not be further from the truth","hashtags":[],"conv":"1983428743747285477","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1030,"retweets":15,"replies":67,"quotes":10,"views":231448,"bookmarks":296,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tszzl/status/1983428743747285477"},"1359334050612314113":{"id":"1359334050612314113","date":"2021-02-10 02:51:07","author":"negativecnvx","handle":"negativecnvx","text":"It's a great feeling when you can find a way to eliminate an optimized parameter from your strategy and replace it with something that you derived from first principles, while improving your backtest in the process. Not quite as fun as finding new alpha, but I'll take it!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1359334050612314113","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":28,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/negativecnvx/status/1359334050612314113"},"1771229684556058652":{"id":"1771229684556058652","date":"2024-03-22 17:37:19","author":"Trenton Bricken","handle":"TrentonBricken","text":"I’m want to hire an EECS researcher (PhD student, post-doc or the like) as a private tutor to learn more about hardware accelerators, computer architecture etc.\n\nOne hour per week zoom calls and pay to make it worth your while! \n\nIf this is you then DM or last name at gmail :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1771229684556058652","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1772012760022544730","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":100,"retweets":1,"replies":8,"quotes":2,"views":40827,"bookmarks":63,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TrentonBricken/status/1771229684556058652"},"1575599036538953729":{"id":"1575599036538953729","date":"2022-09-29 21:30:58","author":"Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️","handle":"choffstein","text":"if evolution is so smart, why don’t any animals have wheels for feet?\n\ncheck mate.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1575599036538953729","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1575677929257947137","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":105,"retweets":3,"replies":39,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/choffstein/status/1575599036538953729"},"1733177177233846760":{"id":"1733177177233846760","date":"2023-12-08 17:30:14","author":"sophie","handle":"netcapgirl","text":"isaac newton was the og sigma male. not only did he die a virgin, but during the bubonic plague he invented new math & physics in solitude  (but didn’t tell anyone, literally made moves in silence) before his interests led him to alchemy research & aping into the south sea bubble","hashtags":[],"conv":"1733177177233846760","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":519,"retweets":27,"replies":30,"quotes":4,"views":47815,"bookmarks":48,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/netcapgirl/status/1733177177233846760"},"1960796716115882453":{"id":"1960796716115882453","date":"2025-08-27 20:09:01","author":"Nayib Bukele","handle":"nayibbukele","text":"I could do the funniest thing right now…","hashtags":[],"conv":"1960796716115882453","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1960813449631633477","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":53781,"retweets":2097,"replies":1418,"quotes":316,"views":5065776,"bookmarks":1584,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/nayibbukele/status/1960796716115882453"},"1976654223711535477":{"id":"1976654223711535477","date":"2025-10-10 14:21:06","author":"ConsumerTechBets","handle":"optionsly","text":"re: tradfi insiders\n\nwhen are we going to lockup people buying millions on call options right before announcements?\n\nwe hear about them every week ... but no1s ever caught?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1976654223711535477","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":1898,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/optionsly/status/1976654223711535477"},"1602836681748795393":{"id":"1602836681748795393","date":"2022-12-14 01:23:38","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"Many engineer-types approaching the market want to believe there is some ex-ante-knowable process generating asset prices...\n\nAnd that the job of the investor is to model that process and come up with optimal investment decisions.\n\nThat path leads to madness.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602836681748795393","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":291,"retweets":30,"replies":12,"quotes":10,"views":0,"bookmarks":73,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1602836681748795393"},"1258773126013431809":{"id":"1258773126013431809","date":"2020-05-08 14:57:54","author":"Double Chin Capital","handle":"OffTheRunTrades","text":"@Mephisto731 @Tvoltrader @bennpeifert @AMKcm @squirrel_blind @AgustinLebron3 @TheSpeculator0 @o_wutang Im the king of hedging early on trend days and not hedging at all on mean reversion days... #edge","hashtags":["edge"],"conv":"1258184053326376961","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/OffTheRunTrades/status/1258773126013431809"},"1933112912723546559":{"id":"1933112912723546559","date":"2025-06-12 10:43:28","author":"near","handle":"nearcyan","text":"are there prominent economists who predict interest rates to notably increase this decade due to AI?\nit feels crazy that I can still borrow at 5% a year","hashtags":[],"conv":"1933112912723546559","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":322,"retweets":2,"replies":41,"quotes":3,"views":100500,"bookmarks":84,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/nearcyan/status/1933112912723546559"},"1493439480132354048":{"id":"1493439480132354048","date":"2022-02-15 04:18:13","author":"Raja","handle":"rajasark","text":"I’ve a variable IQ \n\nIf higher IQ creates more work its 68","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493439480132354048","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/rajasark/status/1493439480132354048"},"1508153596080230406":{"id":"1508153596080230406","date":"2022-03-27 18:46:52","author":"steezy","handle":"malort_hft","text":"I'm still just a larper but I cant believe some of you big brains out there can proficiently code in multiple languages","hashtags":[],"conv":"1508153596080230406","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/malort_hft/status/1508153596080230406"},"1530171613894873088":{"id":"1530171613894873088","date":"2022-05-27 12:58:36","author":"6529","handle":"punk6529","text":"All the people who did not buy nice NFTs because the \"price was too high\" will also not buy them now because \"the price is falling\"\n\n¯\\_(ツ)_/¯","hashtags":[],"conv":"1530171613894873088","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2115,"retweets":214,"replies":241,"quotes":32,"views":0,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/punk6529/status/1530171613894873088"},"1278318796177014789":{"id":"1278318796177014789","date":"2020-07-01 13:25:25","author":"Liam Bright","handle":"lastpositivist","text":"An analysis of why Peterson goes so wrong in discussing the holocaust. I would stress the (largely underappreciated, I think because of the multiple constituencies its inconvenient for) role of Peterson just generally being an impressionistic bad scholar.\n\nhttps://www.haaretz.com/us-news/.premium-jordan-peterson-s-barrage-of-revisionist-falsehoods-on-hitler-and-nazism-1.8955174","hashtags":[],"conv":"1278318796177014789","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1278356670557548544","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":321,"retweets":47,"replies":17,"quotes":14,"views":0,"bookmarks":56,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/lastpositivist/status/1278318796177014789"},"1772012760022544730":{"id":"1772012760022544730","date":"2024-03-24 21:28:59","author":"Dwarkesh Patel","handle":"dwarkesh_sp","text":"I’d want to hire the person Trenton hires to tutor me on hardware as well!\n\nApply with Trenton.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1772012760022544730","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":72,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":26451,"bookmarks":22,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1772012760022544730"},"1441784264589201408":{"id":"1441784264589201408","date":"2021-09-25 15:18:50","author":"Adam Butler","handle":"GestaltU","text":"I believe the next decade is going to be the best decade for active management in a long time. \n\nEspecially for CTAs and mid/small-cap value.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1441784264589201408","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":130,"retweets":2,"replies":15,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/GestaltU/status/1441784264589201408"},"1499209837271556096":{"id":"1499209837271556096","date":"2022-03-03 02:27:33","author":"Jessica Nutt","handle":"JessicaNutt96","text":"@nope_its_lily All of these are bad routes to the buy side, but applied math is probably the least bad.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1499208197717913604","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/JessicaNutt96/status/1499209837271556096"},"1549011316064624640":{"id":"1549011316064624640","date":"2022-07-18 12:40:51","author":"Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️","handle":"choffstein","text":"Fund company recommended a vendor for the new 18f-4 rule (requires calculation of 20-day 99% VaR using 3+ years of data).\n\nVendor simply took current portfolio, backtested it over prior 3 years, and ranked rolling 20-day returns.\n\nThis… this is not how you do VaR.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1549011316064624640","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":59,"retweets":1,"replies":13,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/choffstein/status/1549011316064624640"},"1181648160021610496":{"id":"1181648160021610496","date":"2019-10-08 19:10:49","author":"Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️","handle":"choffstein","text":"You: Our investment strategies incorporate machine learning.\n\nMe: I use quantum mechanics.\n\ncc @GestaltU","hashtags":[],"conv":"1181648160021610496","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":59,"retweets":5,"replies":11,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/choffstein/status/1181648160021610496"},"1485808852092309505":{"id":"1485808852092309505","date":"2022-01-25 02:56:49","author":"Doug Colkitt","handle":"0xdoug","text":"Makes me curious. What were the most boring 2 years in the past century of market history? In the past 40 years?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1485808852092309505","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0xdoug/status/1485808852092309505"},"1970533181368738305":{"id":"1970533181368738305","date":"2025-09-23 16:58:15","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"I read this bc it was linked to in @ByrneHobart post. I enjoyed it.\n\nhttps://substack.nomoremarking.com/p/are-we-living-in-a-stupidogenic-society?utm_campaign=posts-open-in-app&triedRedirect=true\n\nThe conclusion is contrarian and I don't have a strong opinion on it (I'd lean towards the author for non-instrumental reasons at least)\n\nWould love more recs on this topic","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970533181368738305","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":4583,"bookmarks":20,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1970533181368738305"},"1974749357422645614":{"id":"1974749357422645614","date":"2025-10-05 08:11:50","author":"Dmitry","handle":"deadb0d4","text":"I am in my late 20s. I realized recently I don't want to get back 5 or 10 years back in time --- There's been so much luck involved, don't wanna flip those coins again. Sadly, I expect I will want to get back to my late 20s in 10 years time when I'm in my late 30s.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1974749357422645614","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":612,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/deadb0d4/status/1974749357422645614"},"1485660046344146947":{"id":"1485660046344146947","date":"2022-01-24 17:05:31","author":"Marc Cohodes","handle":"AlderLaneEggs","text":"I wonder how Citadel, Millenium and The Tiger Cubs are doing with their Excessive Leverage this month?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1485660046344146947","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1485664421955481611","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":549,"retweets":61,"replies":42,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/AlderLaneEggs/status/1485660046344146947"},"1290822487920586752":{"id":"1290822487920586752","date":"2020-08-05 01:30:38","author":"Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️","handle":"choffstein","text":"Pssst… 👇\n\nI’m that guy who writes “import numpy” without “as np”.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1290822487920586752","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":118,"retweets":4,"replies":33,"quotes":7,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/choffstein/status/1290822487920586752"},"1582444142705053696":{"id":"1582444142705053696","date":"2022-10-18 18:50:58","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"Me writing SQL: \"oh hell yeah, f**k yeah. this is the greatest SQL code ever written\"\n\nMe writing Python: \"i quite fancy pizza for dinner. no, Indian. Maybe Thai. Mmmm. Food.\"\n\nMe writing C++: \"i'm worthless and I deserve this punishment\"\n\nMe writing Java: \"i'm so horny\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1582444142705053696","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":123,"retweets":2,"replies":16,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1582444142705053696"},"1433424538025349120":{"id":"1433424538025349120","date":"2021-09-02 13:40:16","author":"Michael Antonelli","handle":"BullandBaird","text":"If you work on Wall St, or in the investment world, and you can explain complex topics / terms in an easy to understand way, that’s an INSANELY valuable skill.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1433424538025349120","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1433517108638322697","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2178,"retweets":98,"replies":113,"quotes":46,"views":0,"bookmarks":189,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/BullandBaird/status/1433424538025349120"},"1161620775964696576":{"id":"1161620775964696576","date":"2019-08-14 12:49:09","author":"David R. MacIver","handle":"DRMacIver","text":"Pick three books that you have read and are reasonably sure nobody else has read all three of, then explain why they actually all share a common theme and each of the three is essential for understanding it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1161620775964696576","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":132,"retweets":14,"replies":16,"quotes":10,"views":0,"bookmarks":37,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/DRMacIver/status/1161620775964696576"},"1771539962174791936":{"id":"1771539962174791936","date":"2024-03-23 14:10:15","author":"Parth Ahya","handle":"Parthion","text":"What is an underrated piece of advice for people early in their career?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1771539962174791936","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":11,"views":56508,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Parthion/status/1771539962174791936"},"1163534050276937728":{"id":"1163534050276937728","date":"2019-08-19 19:31:49","author":"OddStats","handle":"OddStats","text":"Sorry everyone, my ship has finally come in.\n\nWish me luck.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1163534050276937728","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":231,"retweets":5,"replies":22,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/OddStats/status/1163534050276937728"},"1436299075406675969":{"id":"1436299075406675969","date":"2021-09-10 12:02:39","author":"*Walter Bloomberg","handle":"DeItaone","text":"*SENATE DEMOCRATS OFFER TWO-PERCENT EXCISE TAX ON STOCK BUYBACKS","hashtags":[],"conv":"1436299075406675969","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1436322415752187905","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":130,"retweets":22,"replies":27,"quotes":11,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/DeItaone/status/1436299075406675969"},"1725613450578010365":{"id":"1725613450578010365","date":"2023-11-17 20:34:41","author":"rohit","handle":"krishnanrohit","text":"1) What?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1725613450578010365","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":113,"retweets":2,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":8497,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/krishnanrohit/status/1725613450578010365"},"1494009532971900934":{"id":"1494009532971900934","date":"2022-02-16 18:03:24","author":"Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️","handle":"bennpeifert","text":"Would love to hear from @TwitterSupport or any Twitter employee what is being done to stop the neverending flood of copycat scam accounts that copy the profiles of large accounts with 99.999% similarity and then slide into DMs to try to defraud people.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1494009532971900934","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":156,"retweets":5,"replies":17,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bennpeifert/status/1494009532971900934"},"1971366240863256643":{"id":"1971366240863256643","date":"2025-09-26 00:08:32","author":"Avi","handle":"AviSchiffmann","text":"Largest NYC subway campaign ever\n\nHappening now","hashtags":[],"conv":"1971366240863256643","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1971509710810665336","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3694,"retweets":125,"replies":919,"quotes":2065,"views":25897936,"bookmarks":1341,"media":["1971366240863256643_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/AviSchiffmann/status/1971366240863256643"},"1616383024912035840":{"id":"1616383024912035840","date":"2023-01-20 10:31:58","author":"typedfemale","handle":"typedfemale","text":"google just laid off 15,000 people 😲","hashtags":[],"conv":"1616383024912035840","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":301,"retweets":10,"replies":15,"quotes":4,"views":98176,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/typedfemale/status/1616383024912035840"},"1947346097262719018":{"id":"1947346097262719018","date":"2025-07-21 17:21:04","author":"Michal Kopf","handle":"KopfMichal","text":"I don't understand why people want to raise a dog. It's way more exciting to raise a trading algo","hashtags":[],"conv":"1947346097262719018","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":537,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KopfMichal/status/1947346097262719018"},"1627315260733505536":{"id":"1627315260733505536","date":"2023-02-19 14:32:46","author":"π* | ¤","handle":"totlsota","text":"Just saw a guy with a mullet, a man bun, and a cop-stache all at once \n\nIs this the new hipster look ?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1627315260733505536","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":2666,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/totlsota/status/1627315260733505536"},"1327091559498649600":{"id":"1327091559498649600","date":"2020-11-13 03:30:58","author":"Samuel Lee","handle":"svrnco","text":"One thing I'm surprised no one does is hedge undesirable election outcomes (e.g. if you hate Trump so much you'd cry if he won, put a big slug of money on him winning so if he did win, you make a bunch of money, particularly when his odds seem low like now).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1327091559498649600","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":10,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/svrnco/status/1327091559498649600"},"1979961686107845023":{"id":"1979961686107845023","date":"2025-10-19 17:23:46","author":"𝐌𝐚𝐭𝐭 𝐏𝐢𝐧𝐧𝐞𝐫","handle":"Matt_Pinner","text":"Guys, \n\nwhat’s stopping you having a moustache like this","hashtags":[],"conv":"1979961686107845023","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1980132269412282410","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":946,"retweets":89,"replies":1760,"quotes":131,"views":178170,"bookmarks":117,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Matt_Pinner/status/1979961686107845023"},"1427736517275914241":{"id":"1427736517275914241","date":"2021-08-17 20:58:06","author":"Dave White","handle":"_Dave__White_","text":"@Mephisto731 @sks01119 @danrobinson @snarkyzk @andrewjleone @AlexisGauba @aparnalocked @opyn_ you can statically hedge with options if you want","hashtags":[],"conv":"1427652305009004545","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/_Dave__White_/status/1427736517275914241"},"1905683526781227133":{"id":"1905683526781227133","date":"2025-03-28 18:08:53","author":"Dwarkesh Patel","handle":"dwarkesh_sp","text":"I already binged this (you'll recognize the studio lol).\n\nIt's really good. \n\nI've learned a ton from these kinds of informal discussions with the Epoch folks. The alpha is now spreading!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1905683526781227133","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":338,"retweets":15,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":40385,"bookmarks":295,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1905683526781227133"},"1745314338062406015":{"id":"1745314338062406015","date":"2024-01-11 05:18:59","author":"arb8020","handle":"arb8020","text":"messing around on highload fun, any good basic resources for learning more about performance code? \n\nfeels like i’m limited by knowledge in that i’m not really sure what axes i can/should improve on, and not knowing what makes my code faster/slower","hashtags":[],"conv":"1745314338062406015","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":1472,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/arb8020/status/1745314338062406015"},"1737842091110388014":{"id":"1737842091110388014","date":"2023-12-21 14:26:56","author":"Michael Antonelli","handle":"BullandBaird","text":"Bloomberg has a function that means something to maybe 10 people on the planet.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1737842091110388014","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1737850331105792464","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2943,"retweets":100,"replies":168,"quotes":66,"views":1021684,"bookmarks":708,"media":["1737842091110388014_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/BullandBaird/status/1737842091110388014"},"1432740992277356553":{"id":"1432740992277356553","date":"2021-08-31 16:24:06","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"Please reply with your favorite free online algebra, calculus, stats courses please. \n\n🧮","hashtags":[],"conv":"1432740992277356553","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":79,"retweets":3,"replies":22,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":63,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1432740992277356553"},"1650205846385864705":{"id":"1650205846385864705","date":"2023-04-23 18:31:47","author":"Antonio García Martínez (agm.eth)","handle":"antoniogm","text":"\"We were promised flying plows, and all we got was this printing press.\" \n\n-some futurist in 1590, probably","hashtags":[],"conv":"1650205846385864705","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":351,"retweets":22,"replies":6,"quotes":2,"views":39983,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/antoniogm/status/1650205846385864705"},"1907137272819888333":{"id":"1907137272819888333","date":"2025-04-01 18:25:33","author":"major","handle":"xmgnr","text":"kinda crazy how hard jetbrains fumbled the bag\n\n1. let vscode takeover despite them having inferior product\n\n2. let cursor takeover with agent llm integration while jetbrains sits around with their dick in their hand","hashtags":[],"conv":"1907137272819888333","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":48,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":4306,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/xmgnr/status/1907137272819888333"},"1153464209851736065":{"id":"1153464209851736065","date":"2019-07-23 00:37:52","author":"Dan Egan","handle":"daniel_egan","text":"\"Can you do all this analysis?\"\n\n\"Sure, but what will you do differently if you have it?\"\n\n\"Nothing....\"\n\nSuperpower: Knowing what analysis is just busy work or expost rationalization, and sidestepping it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1153464209851736065","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/daniel_egan/status/1153464209851736065"},"1558863432023126020":{"id":"1558863432023126020","date":"2022-08-14 17:09:39","author":"Andrej Karpathy","handle":"karpathy","text":"There's something deep and borderline unintuitive about most real-world problems just happening to be (informally) NP-Complete: hard to solve but easy to verify a solution to. It's this asymmetry that makes progress possible, as culture can record previous computational work.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1558863432023126020","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":992,"retweets":81,"replies":40,"quotes":11,"views":0,"bookmarks":81,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/karpathy/status/1558863432023126020"},"1781177505917042844":{"id":"1781177505917042844","date":"2024-04-19 04:26:24","author":"Agustin Lebron","handle":"AgustinLebron3","text":"Worst US Ryder Cup captain ever","hashtags":[],"conv":"1781177505917042844","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2143,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":true,"url":"https://twitter.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1781177505917042844"},"1227606069343596544":{"id":"1227606069343596544","date":"2020-02-12 14:51:09","author":"Paul Graham","handle":"paulg","text":"A startup reported their ARR has reached $99.9m. I know two things from this: their ARR, and that they don't fudge their numbers.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1227606069343596544","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1408,"retweets":75,"replies":39,"quotes":14,"views":0,"bookmarks":50,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/paulg/status/1227606069343596544"},"1263335810037932032":{"id":"1263335810037932032","date":"2020-05-21 05:08:23","author":"Bloomberg Markets","handle":"markets","text":"Taleb spars with Asness on Twitter over tail risk hedges https://trib.al/0cnxFn9","hashtags":[],"conv":"1263335810037932032","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1263373006098911233","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":65,"retweets":23,"replies":4,"quotes":7,"views":0,"bookmarks":21,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/markets/status/1263335810037932032"},"1626144852827312128":{"id":"1626144852827312128","date":"2023-02-16 09:01:59","author":"typedfemale","handle":"typedfemale","text":"told a physics phd he might need to do a 3rd order taylor expansion for his model and he started violently rocking back and forth in sheer anger","hashtags":[],"conv":"1626144852827312128","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":533,"retweets":15,"replies":17,"quotes":0,"views":60662,"bookmarks":19,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/typedfemale/status/1626144852827312128"},"1486858204755619843":{"id":"1486858204755619843","date":"2022-01-28 00:26:35","author":"Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️","handle":"bennpeifert","text":"Bumping this one more time. I'd love to hire a phenomenal junior/midlevel quant who loves chocolate and empirical research in options/derivatives land, and who's tired of working for The Man.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486858204755619843","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":256,"retweets":29,"replies":52,"quotes":9,"views":0,"bookmarks":25,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bennpeifert/status/1486858204755619843"},"1521929704391032835":{"id":"1521929704391032835","date":"2022-05-04 19:08:12","author":"Tarun Chitra","handle":"tarunchitra","text":"I'm going to title a paper we write together MEVsure theory to piss off Guillermo even more 😈","hashtags":[],"conv":"1521929704391032835","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1521971567437172739","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tarunchitra/status/1521929704391032835"},"1811136198196531450":{"id":"1811136198196531450","date":"2024-07-10 20:31:33","author":"alz","handle":"alz_zyd_","text":"20 years ago when MIT OCW started becoming a thing we thought ed tech would change everything; 20 years later, has anything really changed?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1811136198196531450","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":412,"retweets":3,"replies":56,"quotes":8,"views":44318,"bookmarks":61,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/alz_zyd_/status/1811136198196531450"},"1791960961798012935":{"id":"1791960961798012935","date":"2024-05-18 22:36:00","author":"Zvi Mowshowitz","handle":"TheZvi","text":"Here @dwarkesh_sp says there is no @matt_levine for AI (around 51:45) so it seems I still have much work to do.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1791960961798012935","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":75,"retweets":0,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":8197,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheZvi/status/1791960961798012935"},"1354482089211678727":{"id":"1354482089211678727","date":"2021-01-27 17:31:09","author":"Ihor Dusaniwsky🇺🇦","handle":"ihors3","text":"Seeing some new stock borrows going at over 100% fee and even hitting 250% fee today.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1354482089211678727","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1354658508289925122","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":110,"retweets":23,"replies":12,"quotes":14,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ihors3/status/1354482089211678727"},"1510260271822131203":{"id":"1510260271822131203","date":"2022-04-02 14:18:02","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"I think we can all agree that whoever named this product is an unsung marketing genius.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1510260271822131203","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":47,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1510260271822131203_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1510260271822131203"},"1272989121242374147":{"id":"1272989121242374147","date":"2020-06-16 20:27:12","author":"Peter Garnry","handle":"petergarnry","text":"If my network of friends is any good sample, the WFH will never materialise. The vast majority of firms are asking employees to get back to office. I guess habits are strong and too much money is invested in physical office/employment. What are you observing in your country?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1272989121242374147","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":16,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/petergarnry/status/1272989121242374147"},"1648804955489271808":{"id":"1648804955489271808","date":"2023-04-19 21:45:09","author":"Gary Basin","handle":"garybasin","text":"The next Apple will make LM-based software creation accessible to the average person","hashtags":[],"conv":"1648804955489271808","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":31,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":3002,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/garybasin/status/1648804955489271808"},"1605019862140686336":{"id":"1605019862140686336","date":"2022-12-20 01:58:49","author":"S","handle":"longskew","text":"@ZLCap Market maker","hashtags":[],"conv":"1605004352669753344","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":922,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/longskew/status/1605019862140686336"},"1220832293310255105":{"id":"1220832293310255105","date":"2020-01-24 22:14:35","author":"Euan Sinclair","handle":"SinclairEuan","text":"are there any legitimate trading education services? would a good one be assumed to be bad because of the sector?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1220832293310255105","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":20,"retweets":2,"replies":17,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SinclairEuan/status/1220832293310255105"},"1949984355289317590":{"id":"1949984355289317590","date":"2025-07-29 00:04:33","author":"Byrne Hobart","handle":"ByrneHobart","text":"My wife just got back after three days out of town, and it’s a relief not to be parenting solo. So much easier when I know I’m not the only one ignoring the kids.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1949984355289317590","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":65,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4946,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ByrneHobart/status/1949984355289317590"},"1950677663276024101":{"id":"1950677663276024101","date":"2025-07-30 21:59:31","author":"0xFaust","handle":"0xFaust12","text":"I'm getting close to needing to make a first hire on my desk, shill me your best advice as this is a small team and the wrong hire would have a substantial negative impact... @moreproteinbars @KrisAbdelmessih @systematicls","hashtags":[],"conv":"1950677663276024101","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":74,"retweets":1,"replies":9,"quotes":1,"views":11613,"bookmarks":37,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0xFaust12/status/1950677663276024101"},"1728807272598417732":{"id":"1728807272598417732","date":"2023-11-26 16:05:48","author":"Maria Made in Cosmos is taking a break✨","handle":"made_in_cosmos","text":"Husband told me \"Admit it, you don't want to be homeschooling our kids, you want someone else to be homeschooling our kids\" and I've never been so called out in my life","hashtags":[],"conv":"1728807272598417732","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1748383159493046538","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":483,"retweets":4,"replies":24,"quotes":7,"views":50772,"bookmarks":41,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/made_in_cosmos/status/1728807272598417732"},"1427664166412857347":{"id":"1427664166412857347","date":"2021-08-17 16:10:36","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"Are there any social science studies that _don’t_ suffer from woefully inadequate sample sizes, uncontrolled confounders, p-hacking, or outright fraud?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1427664166412857347","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":65,"retweets":3,"replies":6,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1427664166412857347"},"1918330595626893472":{"id":"1918330595626893472","date":"2025-05-02 15:43:49","author":"Kevin Roose","handle":"kevinroose","text":"The Meta vision of AI — hologram Reelslop and AI friends keeping you company while you eat breakfast alone — is so bleak I almost can’t believe they’re saying it out loud.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1918330595626893472","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1294,"retweets":137,"replies":50,"quotes":16,"views":130788,"bookmarks":198,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/kevinroose/status/1918330595626893472"},"1287774814787309568":{"id":"1287774814787309568","date":"2020-07-27 15:40:16","author":"Wes Gray 🇺🇸","handle":"alphaarchitect","text":"Relative Skewness: A New Risk Factor? - https://alphaarchitect.com/?p=58035\nby: @TommiJohnsen","hashtags":[],"conv":"1287774814787309568","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1287778571981709312","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/alphaarchitect/status/1287774814787309568"},"1598057987486121985":{"id":"1598057987486121985","date":"2022-11-30 20:54:49","author":"Entropy🌻Chase","handle":"EntropyChase","text":"is this even accurate? what evidence is provided to back up the claims?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598057987486121985","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1598057987486121985_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/EntropyChase/status/1598057987486121985"},"1737850331105792464":{"id":"1737850331105792464","date":"2023-12-21 14:59:41","author":"elPythonQuantador","handle":"ThePythonQuant","text":"Not to be that guy, but I seriously expect every single person on the sales/trading side of banking to be able to talk me through a vol surface. \n\nIf not, strong NGMI vibes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1737850331105792464","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":235,"retweets":8,"replies":16,"quotes":1,"views":53024,"bookmarks":83,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ThePythonQuant/status/1737850331105792464"},"1686771461250232320":{"id":"1686771461250232320","date":"2023-08-02 16:10:29","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"these people would survive all of three seconds if they had to operate in an actually competitive market","hashtags":[],"conv":"1686771461250232320","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":112,"retweets":6,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":24872,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1686771461250232320"},"1693648481162788880":{"id":"1693648481162788880","date":"2023-08-21 15:37:19","author":"Matt Bateman","handle":"mbateman","text":"> You think interest rates are high now? I bought my first house in the 80s at 14%\n\nYeah but your house cost 12 dollars","hashtags":[],"conv":"1693648481162788880","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":58,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":5828,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mbateman/status/1693648481162788880"},"1485541991597633538":{"id":"1485541991597633538","date":"2022-01-24 09:16:25","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"Can an FTX perp go negative?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1485541991597633538","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":33,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1485541991597633538_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1485541991597633538"},"1476016249477996549":{"id":"1476016249477996549","date":"2021-12-29 02:24:31","author":"Nathan FOIA Tankus","handle":"NathanTankus","text":"Pelosi turns 82 in March. Looking forward to her reelection campaign!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476016249477996549","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":158,"retweets":3,"replies":13,"quotes":5,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/NathanTankus/status/1476016249477996549"},"1733615665007981015":{"id":"1733615665007981015","date":"2023-12-09 22:32:38","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"most of you should have less conviction","hashtags":[],"conv":"1733615665007981015","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1734372182938325052","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":311,"retweets":21,"replies":30,"quotes":5,"views":39364,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1733615665007981015"},"1281596860885430272":{"id":"1281596860885430272","date":"2020-07-10 14:31:17","author":"YT@quantext","handle":"BeingHorizontal","text":"Managed to code MarketProfile TPO charts in Python Matplotlib. It ain't much but it's honest work :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1281596860885430272","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":254,"retweets":17,"replies":35,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":38,"media":["1281596860885430272_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/BeingHorizontal/status/1281596860885430272"},"1950649086631362674":{"id":"1950649086631362674","date":"2025-07-30 20:05:58","author":"goodalexander","handle":"goodalexander","text":"You never missed a trade \n\nThe only price that exists is the present one\n\nBuy or sell? \n\nYour cost basis doesn’t matter. If you cut your entire portfolio and were asked to put it back on right now, would you?\n\nKeep your mind free of bias if you want to win in the long run","hashtags":[],"conv":"1950649086631362674","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":591,"retweets":48,"replies":24,"quotes":4,"views":34930,"bookmarks":126,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/goodalexander/status/1950649086631362674"},"1869592050070655333":{"id":"1869592050070655333","date":"2024-12-19 03:54:14","author":"Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️","handle":"choffstein","text":"someone is going to have to explain to me how \"abandoning hedge funds\" turns into \"buying buffered ETFs\"\n\nhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-12-16/uconn-s-endowment-is-abandoning-hedge-funds-for-new-kind-of-etf","hashtags":[],"conv":"1869592050070655333","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":62,"retweets":3,"replies":12,"quotes":2,"views":33327,"bookmarks":18,"media":["1869592050070655333_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/choffstein/status/1869592050070655333"},"1303744573047558149":{"id":"1303744573047558149","date":"2020-09-09 17:18:23","author":"Francisco Amadeo","handle":"famadeo","text":"why does one choose to become a vol guy? \n\n@SqueezeMetrics @Mephisto731 @bennpeifert @spotgamma","hashtags":[],"conv":"1303744573047558149","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":2,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/famadeo/status/1303744573047558149"},"1708963136550613280":{"id":"1708963136550613280","date":"2023-10-02 21:52:17","author":"Martin Shkreli (e/acc)","handle":"wagieeacc","text":"A few weeks into his summer internship, Jane Street offered him a full-time job. But they also told him he was a weirdo. He was a compulsive fidgeter and card shuffler. He was very blunt and curt, easy to call out stupidity.\n\nEveryone found Sam to be... callous.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1708963136550613280","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":547,"retweets":14,"replies":16,"quotes":1,"views":98216,"bookmarks":57,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/wagieeacc/status/1708963136550613280"},"1856421423339946320":{"id":"1856421423339946320","date":"2024-11-12 19:38:52","author":"Andrew McCalip","handle":"andrewmccalip","text":"Interesting how one brand can be the absolute standard by which everything is judged.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1856421423339946320","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":894,"retweets":15,"replies":38,"quotes":5,"views":69809,"bookmarks":124,"media":["1856421423339946320_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/andrewmccalip/status/1856421423339946320"},"1903916518842433736":{"id":"1903916518842433736","date":"2025-03-23 21:07:25","author":"alz","handle":"alz_zyd_","text":"If you worry ChatGPT makes it too easy to cheat at problem sets, just give everyone 90%-100% on psets and make closed-book exams 80% of the final grade, I mean, we did this in undergrad, doesn't everyone do this?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1903916518842433736","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":501,"retweets":14,"replies":26,"quotes":1,"views":38894,"bookmarks":36,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/alz_zyd_/status/1903916518842433736"},"1786059625701245277":{"id":"1786059625701245277","date":"2024-05-02 15:46:12","author":"Byrne Hobart","handle":"ByrneHobart","text":"Was there a specific event that caused the protests to ramp up ~6 months after the conflict started? Or is it just good weather for protesting?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1786059625701245277","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2482,"retweets":48,"replies":197,"quotes":34,"views":422697,"bookmarks":174,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ByrneHobart/status/1786059625701245277"},"1161797827447668741":{"id":"1161797827447668741","date":"2019-08-15 00:32:41","author":"Dan Egan","handle":"daniel_egan","text":"A linear regression is halfway across the world before a neutral net has put it's pants on.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1161797827447668741","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/daniel_egan/status/1161797827447668741"},"1389055865466998785":{"id":"1389055865466998785","date":"2021-05-03 03:15:00","author":"Naval","handle":"naval","text":"You can never be too rich, too thin, or too clean.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1389055865466998785","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9932,"retweets":841,"replies":378,"quotes":132,"views":0,"bookmarks":369,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/naval/status/1389055865466998785"},"1789752542559191296":{"id":"1789752542559191296","date":"2024-05-12 20:20:32","author":"qm","handle":"quantymacro","text":"sometimes I get DMs from ppl w a few yrs work exp asking \"is it too late to pivot to quant/trading?\". tbh I'm unqualified to give life advice, but idk given that you'll be working for the next ~30-40yrs, isn't it a bit sad to give up & limit yourself to what you can/can't do now?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1789752542559191296","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":168,"retweets":5,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":22824,"bookmarks":60,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/quantymacro/status/1789752542559191296"},"1879804857416302740":{"id":"1879804857416302740","date":"2025-01-16 08:16:17","author":"arb8020","handle":"arb8020","text":"you guys weren't joking. they really do want you to reverse a linked list.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1879804857416302740","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1067,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1879804857416302740_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/arb8020/status/1879804857416302740"},"1518382954627715073":{"id":"1518382954627715073","date":"2022-04-25 00:14:41","author":"experquisite","handle":"experquisite","text":"Wife wants to lever up on real estate, I want to keep some liquid cushion for emergencies and switch to a riskier/crypto job. Gonna be a real one.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1518382954627715073","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":41,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/experquisite/status/1518382954627715073"},"1247448488721272833":{"id":"1247448488721272833","date":"2020-04-07 08:57:50","author":"Balaji","handle":"balajis","text":"The 20th century is ending.\n\n- Offices ⭢ remote work\n- NFL, NBA ⭢ esports\n- Movie theaters ⭢ streaming\n- TV news ⭢ YouTube stars\n- College ⭢ ISAs, MOOCs\n- K-12 ⭢ internet homeschooling\n- Corporate journalism ⭢ citizen journalism\n- EU/EEC ⭢ 27 sovereign states","hashtags":[],"conv":"1247448488721272833","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1247540079330873345","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4501,"retweets":1145,"replies":316,"quotes":274,"views":0,"bookmarks":453,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1247448488721272833"},"1791997808033271945":{"id":"1791997808033271945","date":"2024-05-19 01:02:25","author":"rohit","handle":"krishnanrohit","text":"Is it me or are American domestic airlines absolutely shite?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1791997808033271945","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":12,"quotes":0,"views":3655,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/krishnanrohit/status/1791997808033271945"},"1829152299958329721":{"id":"1829152299958329721","date":"2024-08-29 13:41:06","author":"Mike Annunziata","handle":"nunzi46","text":"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1829152299958329721","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1829221690074968376","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":220,"retweets":14,"replies":13,"quotes":9,"views":182146,"bookmarks":29,"media":["1829152299958329721_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/nunzi46/status/1829152299958329721"},"1949155135487095045":{"id":"1949155135487095045","date":"2025-07-26 17:09:32","author":"OnlyFund ( top 0.01% on Bloomberg IB)","handle":"OneHotCode1","text":"I'm an executive recruiter specializing in placing Portfolio Managers at top hedge funds. I have an exclusive mandate your profile looks like a good fit","hashtags":[],"conv":"1949155135487095045","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":105,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":9937,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/OneHotCode1/status/1949155135487095045"},"1701692618835464687":{"id":"1701692618835464687","date":"2023-09-12 20:21:50","author":"Gary Basin","handle":"garybasin","text":"🚨🚨 Somali pirates have invented the joint stock company https://channel16.dryadglobal.com/the-insanely-lucrative-pirate-stock-exchange-in-somalia","hashtags":[],"conv":"1701692618835464687","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":91,"retweets":4,"replies":9,"quotes":3,"views":11506,"bookmarks":14,"media":["1701692618835464687_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/garybasin/status/1701692618835464687"},"1317113774092873729":{"id":"1317113774092873729","date":"2020-10-16 14:42:49","author":"Ophir Gottlieb","handle":"OphirGottlieb","text":"'Young and dumb' traders have created a 'total nightmare' in the stock market, fund manager warns https://www.marketwatch.com/story/young-dumb-traders-have-created-a-total-nightmare-in-the-stock-market-fund-manager-warns-11602785951?reflink=mw_share_twitter","hashtags":[],"conv":"1317113774092873729","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1317116047632322563","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":4,"replies":6,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":["1317113774092873729_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/OphirGottlieb/status/1317113774092873729"},"1485041954333335552":{"id":"1485041954333335552","date":"2022-01-23 00:09:27","author":"Joe Weisenthal","handle":"TheStalwart","text":"A good inflation hedge would be company that charges a modest monthly fee (maybe around $15-$16?) for a recurring service. Which has a track record of raising prices every single year with minimal churn, because it’s embedded in the culture and not worth canceling.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1485041954333335552","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1485045294622466056","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":343,"retweets":12,"replies":25,"quotes":6,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheStalwart/status/1485041954333335552"},"1471838867170942977":{"id":"1471838867170942977","date":"2021-12-17 13:45:06","author":"Ronan","handle":"fitzr1189","text":"Any young person should get out of this country. It's clear the political economy, on everything(housing, lifestyle, personal development) is skewed against you, and it wont change. This is a country run by and for the middle aged and above propertied classes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471838867170942977","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1471962420155400192","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":118,"retweets":15,"replies":24,"quotes":12,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/fitzr1189/status/1471838867170942977"},"1761988873322693099":{"id":"1761988873322693099","date":"2024-02-26 05:37:38","author":"Joel Rubano","handle":"TCK_JRubano","text":"Writing the midterm exam for my Options & Futures class while listening to Rush. As one should.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1761988873322693099","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":3438,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TCK_JRubano/status/1761988873322693099"},"1584605888442007552":{"id":"1584605888442007552","date":"2022-10-24 18:00:59","author":"Entropy🌻Chase","handle":"EntropyChase","text":"@greyboxtrades @AgustinLebron3 Good point. One other thought.\n\nDoesnt the threat of short squeezes help keep short sellers in line? \n\nWithout that threat, participants w huge bankrolls could bully securities around, push price down via massive shorting, and exploit the mkt, w no threat of counter exploitation","hashtags":[],"conv":"1583277941156245504","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/EntropyChase/status/1584605888442007552"},"1601684389406322688":{"id":"1601684389406322688","date":"2022-12-10 21:04:50","author":"Speculator","handle":"TheSpeculator0","text":"oh this thing has a long way to go","hashtags":[],"conv":"1601684389406322688","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":49,"retweets":3,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1601684389406322688_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheSpeculator0/status/1601684389406322688"},"1372315539125776384":{"id":"1372315539125776384","date":"2021-03-17 22:34:55","author":"Mitchell Rosenthal","handle":"M1tchRosenthal","text":"Investigating the relationship betw 10yr yield and future returns of tech stocks. Some cool findings, many agree w the common narrative, though there's a lot of variance. Hoping to share tonight :)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1372315539125776384","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1372362211688079363","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/M1tchRosenthal/status/1372315539125776384"},"1692282030342775224":{"id":"1692282030342775224","date":"2023-08-17 21:07:31","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"i spent a couple of hours this morning talking to a piece of toast about everything useful i know about crypto trading\n\nincludes descriptions of 9 systematic strategies i used to trade.\n\nit was fun. \n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LKPVlwM50hU","hashtags":[],"conv":"1692282030342775224","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":304,"retweets":31,"replies":21,"quotes":2,"views":55172,"bookmarks":438,"media":["1692282030342775224_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1692282030342775224"},"1917985741159944374":{"id":"1917985741159944374","date":"2025-05-01 16:53:29","author":"Dwarkesh Podcast","handle":"dwarkeshpodcast","text":"\"Maybe in the future, my AI girlfriend is on the other side of the screen or something.\"\n\nMark Zuckerberg responds to Dwarkesh's fears of getting reward-hacked by AR.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1917985741159944374","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1918330595626893472","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":128,"retweets":10,"replies":10,"quotes":18,"views":183704,"bookmarks":66,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dwarkeshpodcast/status/1917985741159944374"},"1697035334503051642":{"id":"1697035334503051642","date":"2023-08-30 23:55:27","author":"Thomas Johnson","handle":"ThomasJ02","text":"Brilliant take from https://www.experimental-history.com/p/why-arent-smart-people-happier: \nIf you booted up a super-smart AI in ancient Greece, fed it all human knowledge, and asked it how to land on the moon, it would respond “You can’t land on the moon. The moon is a god floating in the sky.”","hashtags":[],"conv":"1697035334503051642","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":2315,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ThomasJ02/status/1697035334503051642"},"1591954185490427904":{"id":"1591954185490427904","date":"2022-11-14 00:40:29","author":"⚡️🌙","handle":"dystopiabreaker","text":"why can’t you just be normal","hashtags":[],"conv":"1591954185490427904","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":73,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dystopiabreaker/status/1591954185490427904"},"1471962420155400192":{"id":"1471962420155400192","date":"2021-12-17 21:56:03","author":"Ronan","handle":"fitzr1189","text":"American mutuals; if you were under 25 and looking to move to the US to escape the European gerontocracy, where would you move to optimse the below three goals(personal freedom, low costs especially on housing and career)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471962420155400192","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":38,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/fitzr1189/status/1471962420155400192"},"1551712056860098562":{"id":"1551712056860098562","date":"2022-07-25 23:32:38","author":"Senior PowerPoint Engineer","handle":"ryxcommar","text":"\"Experience with NoSQL\" is one of the most meaningless qualifications you could ever put on a job posting. Who are the tech people telling recruiters to scan for this and what on earth were you thinking","hashtags":[],"conv":"1551712056860098562","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":113,"retweets":3,"replies":12,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ryxcommar/status/1551712056860098562"},"1223960223016054785":{"id":"1223960223016054785","date":"2020-02-02 13:23:51","author":"Ben Goertzel","handle":"bengoertzel","text":"It baffles me ongoingly, but a bunch of smart, concerned people seem to genuinely believe that climate change poses an existential risk to humanity.   WTF.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1223960223016054785","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":87,"retweets":7,"replies":16,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bengoertzel/status/1223960223016054785"},"1341773980051656705":{"id":"1341773980051656705","date":"2020-12-23 15:53:40","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"Xmas break 2 years ago I ported my knowledge stack to Notion (from Evernote + Trello). My whole digital life runs thru Notion and I think it has helped me organize to create.\n\nJust felt like sharing a snippet of my \"digital garden\" (I prefer \"planet\" and \"moon\" model but whatevs)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1341773980051656705","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":44,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":24,"media":["1341773980051656705_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1341773980051656705"},"1886101715700924807":{"id":"1886101715700924807","date":"2025-02-02 17:17:45","author":"Dwarkesh Patel","handle":"dwarkesh_sp","text":"What should I ask @EgeErdil2 and @tamaybes?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1886101715700924807","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":213,"retweets":5,"replies":61,"quotes":2,"views":32228,"bookmarks":17,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1886101715700924807"},"1533300169915084801":{"id":"1533300169915084801","date":"2022-06-05 04:10:22","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"So there's a house with a Redfin estimate that was in line with where it traded last year. \n\nThe house is for sale for 35% more now and the redfin estimate shot up to slightly higher than the listing price and the time series was smoothed. \n\nEverything is bs.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1533300169915084801","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":255,"retweets":7,"replies":15,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":18,"media":["1533300169915084801_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1533300169915084801"},"1596727483579396096":{"id":"1596727483579396096","date":"2022-11-27 04:47:52","author":"🅰️LB🅰️","handle":"ALBACapMgmt","text":"Imma getting one of these","hashtags":[],"conv":"1596727483579396096","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ALBACapMgmt/status/1596727483579396096"},"1891174081828925702":{"id":"1891174081828925702","date":"2025-02-16 17:13:32","author":"Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️","handle":"bennpeifert","text":"As both a father and as someone who knows plenty of rich people, I think this the wrongest take in the history of wrong takes. Being a cast-out child of a rich and famous person with their absent father's credit card is not usually a path to happiness","hashtags":[],"conv":"1891174081828925702","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":650,"retweets":13,"replies":38,"quotes":3,"views":75180,"bookmarks":38,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bennpeifert/status/1891174081828925702"},"1593025799682412544":{"id":"1593025799682412544","date":"2022-11-16 23:38:42","author":"Mitchell Rosenthal","handle":"M1tchRosenthal","text":"Ok so this was mind blowing. inspired one more dumb Q. \n\nWill the resulting covariance matrix of this approach end up resulting in high cointegration? Is there a way to add a var that acts like a \"dial\", say x_c from 0 to 1, where would i","hashtags":[],"conv":"1593025799682412544","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/M1tchRosenthal/status/1593025799682412544"},"1230240283423494146":{"id":"1230240283423494146","date":"2020-02-19 21:18:34","author":"Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️","handle":"choffstein","text":"The more I mess around in option world, the more equity factors/styles just seem like rough delta hedges of  some exotic payoff.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1230240283423494146","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/choffstein/status/1230240283423494146"},"1943967680932770017":{"id":"1943967680932770017","date":"2025-07-12 09:36:26","author":"Balaji","handle":"balajis","text":"Can I clarify something?\n\nGoogle actually is acquiring Windsurf. But the new mechanism to do this which doesn’t run into bogus “antitrust” objections is to buy the assets rather than the company.\n\nLike all these other deals. Investors still get paid and employees still get an exit.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943967680932770017","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1569,"retweets":100,"replies":84,"quotes":21,"views":749010,"bookmarks":742,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1943967680932770017"},"1507382630647578629":{"id":"1507382630647578629","date":"2022-03-25 15:43:19","author":"Joel Rubano","handle":"TCK_JRubano","text":"Trying to come up with a new company name & at this point it’s impossible to find anything that hasn’t been used and had the domain name reserved. I’m going to end up with something that looks like a late-to-the-party Hotmail address, with a bunch of random numbers & characters.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1507382630647578629","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TCK_JRubano/status/1507382630647578629"},"1965780172688494653":{"id":"1965780172688494653","date":"2025-09-10 14:11:30","author":"Michael Mignano","handle":"mignano","text":"Introducing Oboe. Out now.\n\nHuman beings are getting stupider. We all know it. \n\nMeanwhile, we’ve spent trillions to make the most incredible technology in the history of humanity, and we’ve outsourced all of our individual agency in the process.\n\n(1/3)\n\n","hashtags":[],"conv":"1965780172688494653","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1965793827287167079","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2538,"retweets":202,"replies":212,"quotes":120,"views":1462988,"bookmarks":2656,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mignano/status/1965780172688494653"},"1720247620273049620":{"id":"1720247620273049620","date":"2023-11-03 01:12:47","author":"Brett Harrison","handle":"BrettHarrison","text":"Cheers","hashtags":[],"conv":"1720247620273049620","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":307,"retweets":8,"replies":25,"quotes":23,"views":66913,"bookmarks":5,"media":["1720247620273049620_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/BrettHarrison/status/1720247620273049620"},"1260670317946499072":{"id":"1260670317946499072","date":"2020-05-13 20:36:40","author":"Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️","handle":"choffstein","text":"Everyone always asks “what’s RenTec’s secret?”\n\nI think a better question is, “how is it possible that nobody has ever divulged it?”\n\nI’d bet that there is no secret (and hence, nothing for anyone to “know”).  Just thousands of signals managed by meta models.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1260670317946499072","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":147,"retweets":17,"replies":26,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/choffstein/status/1260670317946499072"},"1377489527682531331":{"id":"1377489527682531331","date":"2021-04-01 05:14:30","author":"Mitchell Rosenthal","handle":"M1tchRosenthal","text":"@nope_its_lily This is lit, had used this for finding Hurst exponents but didnt know you could so conveniently generate series like this. Epic, thank you!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1377482535463161856","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/M1tchRosenthal/status/1377489527682531331"},"1583083445919846401":{"id":"1583083445919846401","date":"2022-10-20 13:11:20","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"The UK should have a technocratic caretaker government until political stability can be restored. It’s time to call back Mark Carney.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1583083445919846401","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":32,"retweets":2,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1583083445919846401"},"1673030879235706880":{"id":"1673030879235706880","date":"2023-06-25 18:10:19","author":"Andrew Mack","handle":"Gingfacekillah","text":"Adverse selection is a crucial weapon for traders and sports bettors. Passing on “jump ball” propositions helps your bankroll immensely 💯🔥👇","hashtags":[],"conv":"1673030879235706880","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":28,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":9635,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Gingfacekillah/status/1673030879235706880"},"1591348369271971841":{"id":"1591348369271971841","date":"2022-11-12 08:33:11","author":"Flightradar24","handle":"flightradar24","text":"Most tracked flight right now - https://fr24.com/LVKEB/2e2e7cfd\nAccording to tweets the founder and former CEO of @FTX_Official is en route to Argentina after the FTX collapse earlier this week.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1591348369271971841","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1591473845076213761","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7921,"retweets":1578,"replies":378,"quotes":1065,"views":0,"bookmarks":257,"media":["1591348369271971841_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/flightradar24/status/1591348369271971841"},"1499117819925045259":{"id":"1499117819925045259","date":"2022-03-02 20:21:55","author":"Euan Sinclair","handle":"SinclairEuan","text":"RIP Peter Carr.\n\nA true gentleman who was always so kind and generous with his time and knowledge.\n\nSo sad.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1499117819925045259","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":98,"retweets":2,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SinclairEuan/status/1499117819925045259"},"1783278517003649330":{"id":"1783278517003649330","date":"2024-04-24 23:35:04","author":"bubble boi","handle":"bubbleboi","text":"If I don’t hit 6k followers by end of next month I’m going to delete my account.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1783278517003649330","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":23,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":1630,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bubbleboi/status/1783278517003649330"},"1332757325501902862":{"id":"1332757325501902862","date":"2020-11-28 18:44:42","author":"Francisco Amadeo","handle":"famadeo","text":"Our new “backyard”— finally a step closer to the homestead.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1332757325501902862","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":98,"retweets":2,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1332757325501902862_1.jpg","1332757325501902862_2.jpg","1332757325501902862_3.jpg","1332757325501902862_4.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/famadeo/status/1332757325501902862"},"1711739694038265916":{"id":"1711739694038265916","date":"2023-10-10 13:45:20","author":"Matt Bateman","handle":"mbateman","text":"How long before Middle East conflict becomes a flashpoint in US education debates?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1711739694038265916","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":1863,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mbateman/status/1711739694038265916"},"1692699486517170370":{"id":"1692699486517170370","date":"2023-08-19 00:46:21","author":"KeyPaganRush","handle":"KeyPaganRush","text":"Best take Ive seen so far.\nNot surprising it came from him considering how good his book is too","hashtags":[],"conv":"1692699486517170370","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2618,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1692699486517170370"},"1511732381513924608":{"id":"1511732381513924608","date":"2022-04-06 15:47:41","author":"Eric Balchunas","handle":"EricBalchunas","text":"Intrigued by the flow-athon that has hit $EEM, which is famous for going months with no flows despite massive volume (which is a whole other phenomenon). I don't think $EEM is used by BLK or Merrill or really any models at this pt so curious where the creates coming from","hashtags":[],"conv":"1511732381513924608","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1511746492071133193","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1511732381513924608_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/EricBalchunas/status/1511732381513924608"},"1313377798527111170":{"id":"1313377798527111170","date":"2020-10-06 07:17:23","author":"Peter Garnry","handle":"petergarnry","text":"@jump_diffusion @AgustinLebron3 @BruceKnuteson Classic not to take trading costs into effect. Even in the Alpha Architect link you could argue that they are missing slippage as a cost component. The overnight alpha source is not there for 99.95% of market participants. It require ultra low TC and flawless execution.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1313313708899139584","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/petergarnry/status/1313377798527111170"},"1585032224147406848":{"id":"1585032224147406848","date":"2022-10-25 22:15:05","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"What happens to divorce rates when shares of housework change at all? Is this a divorce rate straddle? \n\nHow about with gay couples? \n\nAnd if we are dead set on thinking this is a gender thing, do they control for change in income?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1585032224147406848","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":1,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1585032224147406848"},"1546539032745844736":{"id":"1546539032745844736","date":"2022-07-11 16:56:53","author":"Adam Butler","handle":"GestaltU","text":"It’s terrifying the number of interactions I have on a weekly basis with people who historically were mostly bought into the institutional integrity of state and political enterprises,but who are now completely cynical, and increasingly opting to not follow institutional guidance","hashtags":[],"conv":"1546539032745844736","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/GestaltU/status/1546539032745844736"},"1475654901736820736":{"id":"1475654901736820736","date":"2021-12-28 02:28:39","author":"Daniel Steinberg Singer","handle":"DanielSingerS","text":"Probably not options honestly","hashtags":[],"conv":"1475654901736820736","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/DanielSingerS/status/1475654901736820736"},"1949002990213292527":{"id":"1949002990213292527","date":"2025-07-26 07:04:58","author":"Raphael Spannocchi","handle":"raphbaph","text":"Interesting thoughts on futarchy and prediction markets in general. \n\nNot sure I agree. E. g. stock market is a HUGE part of the economy now. Maybe even defining. \n\nIf you are interested in how decision making systems form communities, please also check out my article on the topic - https://x.com/raphbaph/status/1947642871881867557","hashtags":[],"conv":"1949002990213292527","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":480,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/raphbaph/status/1949002990213292527"},"1427778853401817091":{"id":"1427778853401817091","date":"2021-08-17 23:46:20","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"Listening to Elliot Smith and writing unit tests in... SQL. AMA","hashtags":[],"conv":"1427778853401817091","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1427778853401817091"},"1215246703491735552":{"id":"1215246703491735552","date":"2020-01-09 12:19:26","author":"Russ Roberts","handle":"EconTalker","text":"I think we need to get him on EconTalk.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1215246703491735552","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":486,"retweets":21,"replies":18,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/EconTalker/status/1215246703491735552"},"1779714418042892676":{"id":"1779714418042892676","date":"2024-04-15 03:32:37","author":"alz","handle":"alz_zyd_","text":"Is it just me or does CS require a lot less math than say, mechanical engineering. I'm looking at a mech eng textbook and feel like the median (pretty good) SWE would not have the math skills to get through this","hashtags":[],"conv":"1779714418042892676","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1459,"retweets":36,"replies":208,"quotes":40,"views":334388,"bookmarks":242,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/alz_zyd_/status/1779714418042892676"},"1883920166108684383":{"id":"1883920166108684383","date":"2025-01-27 16:49:03","author":"Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️","handle":"bennpeifert","text":"people in my mentions telling me that selling a call against your equities is a \"hedge\", \"risk-reducing\", \"reduces your cost basis\", \"increases your win probability\"\n\n1) selling options does not hedge anything except a long options position\n\n2) the goal is risk-adjusted returns","hashtags":[],"conv":"1883920166108684383","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":307,"retweets":8,"replies":23,"quotes":4,"views":48612,"bookmarks":72,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bennpeifert/status/1883920166108684383"},"1427624949758443530":{"id":"1427624949758443530","date":"2021-08-17 13:34:46","author":"db","handle":"tier10k","text":"17 Aug - 14:23:30  - MEDIA-Poly Network, the crypto platform hit by $600 mln heist, asks hacker to become its chief security advisor - CNBC \n\nhttps://cnb.cx/3ATD3Vb","hashtags":[],"conv":"1427624949758443530","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1427669833928175619","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":198,"retweets":36,"replies":26,"quotes":50,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":["1427624949758443530_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tier10k/status/1427624949758443530"},"1729590822700482704":{"id":"1729590822700482704","date":"2023-11-28 19:59:21","author":"Mike Solana","handle":"micsolana","text":"fwiw i've never asked a prospective employee where they went to college, or cared. i've asked what they've written, or done. i'm not sure if the future will only be this, but it is the only thing that makes sense, and we should do everything we can to accelerate in this regard.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1729590822700482704","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1729644707586715982","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":757,"retweets":36,"replies":33,"quotes":5,"views":90470,"bookmarks":58,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/micsolana/status/1729590822700482704"},"1493410673908346882":{"id":"1493410673908346882","date":"2022-02-15 02:23:45","author":"Greg F","handle":"groggoose","text":"@nope_its_lily @AgustinLebron3 I’m still coasting on my 6-yr old iq score, but nearly reverted to the mean by now","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493387393142976512","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/groggoose/status/1493410673908346882"},"1860993921670857038":{"id":"1860993921670857038","date":"2024-11-25 10:28:21","author":"sasuke⚡420","handle":"sasuke___420","text":"what's your favorite software that you use that's written in haskell","hashtags":[],"conv":"1860993921670857038","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25,"retweets":0,"replies":16,"quotes":2,"views":6741,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/sasuke___420/status/1860993921670857038"},"1575677929257947137":{"id":"1575677929257947137","date":"2022-09-30 02:44:27","author":"Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️","handle":"choffstein","text":"the worst part having more followers on the bird app is you can’t even shit post without someone thinking you’re serious.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1575677929257947137","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":66,"retweets":0,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/choffstein/status/1575677929257947137"},"1505599701864701954":{"id":"1505599701864701954","date":"2022-03-20 17:38:36","author":"Sam Altman","handle":"sama","text":"A version of college replacement I'm super interested in:\n\nFind the smartest and most driven 18 year olds in the world, and give them 'tenure'--say a decade+ of salary, resources to work on whatever they want, and a smart peer group--in exchange for small % of future earnings.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1505599701864701954","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5098,"retweets":441,"replies":510,"quotes":522,"views":0,"bookmarks":616,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/sama/status/1505599701864701954"},"1472723606446686215":{"id":"1472723606446686215","date":"2021-12-20 00:20:44","author":"Speculator","handle":"TheSpeculator0","text":"idk but a part of the \"fuck labor\" vibe over in the US seems to be the idea that rando companies can issue vax mandates for employees. yes you should get vaccinated but maybe not allow bezos to force you","hashtags":[],"conv":"1472723606446686215","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheSpeculator0/status/1472723606446686215"},"1979864452897104144":{"id":"1979864452897104144","date":"2025-10-19 10:57:24","author":"s","handle":"idoccor","text":"Companies should have to post the percentage of candidates who actually get hired out of the ones they interview\n\nI don’t think it’s possible to waste 50 people’s time and not find even 1 who’s qualified other than as some corporate ego boosting exercise. Read their resume first","hashtags":[],"conv":"1979864452897104144","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":46,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":3745,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/idoccor/status/1979864452897104144"},"1730313991971340402":{"id":"1730313991971340402","date":"2023-11-30 19:52:58","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"“Turning the traditional hedge fund model on its head” by adopting a business model which is decades if not centuries old.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1730313991971340402","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":125,"retweets":5,"replies":11,"quotes":0,"views":31850,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1730313991971340402"},"1582042697602211840":{"id":"1582042697602211840","date":"2022-10-17 16:15:46","author":"Vance Spencer","handle":"pythianism","text":"shudder to think that if I hadn't ever left canada I'd be content earning CAD and saving a lifetime for a $3m CAD house that'll eventually be worth $500k USD\n\nblessed","hashtags":[],"conv":"1582042697602211840","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":118,"retweets":2,"replies":14,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/pythianism/status/1582042697602211840"},"1188183075521302529":{"id":"1188183075521302529","date":"2019-10-26 19:58:15","author":"Leo Polovets","handle":"lpolovets","text":"Uber is frequently criticized for having *unsustainably* high losses. Last year their revenue was $11.3b and they lost $1.8b, a net margin of -16%.\n\nThe US has a deficit on $1T on revenue of about $4T. That's a net margin of -25%.👀","hashtags":[],"conv":"1188183075521302529","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":488,"retweets":72,"replies":55,"quotes":34,"views":0,"bookmarks":18,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/lpolovets/status/1188183075521302529"},"1595794399279321088":{"id":"1595794399279321088","date":"2022-11-24 15:00:07","author":"Speculator","handle":"TheSpeculator0","text":"im turning into a conspiracy theorist article by article with this shit","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595794399279321088","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":57,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheSpeculator0/status/1595794399279321088"},"1768733626907185591":{"id":"1768733626907185591","date":"2024-03-15 20:18:52","author":"Perry E. Metzger","handle":"perrymetzger","text":"Many people are familiar with the notion of the hedonic treadmill. I recently realized certain groups are on an anti-hedonic treadmill, constantly seeking out new reasons to be miserable. They hunt for novel things to be angry about the way some other people seek out new foods.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1768733626907185591","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":472,"retweets":63,"replies":22,"quotes":9,"views":36750,"bookmarks":68,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/perrymetzger/status/1768733626907185591"},"1474541757714948097":{"id":"1474541757714948097","date":"2021-12-25 00:45:25","author":"experquisite","handle":"experquisite","text":"How do hedge funds with internal MM’s account for the toxicity of the HF orders that siphon inventory from the MM side? That must be quite costly for the MM - do they get to charge a calibrated slippage or something?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1474541757714948097","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":1,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/experquisite/status/1474541757714948097"},"1420485103449362434":{"id":"1420485103449362434","date":"2021-07-28 20:43:34","author":"🅰️LB🅰️","handle":"ALBACapMgmt","text":"Been nice knowing you all.....","hashtags":[],"conv":"1420485103449362434","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ALBACapMgmt/status/1420485103449362434"},"1450123086213361669":{"id":"1450123086213361669","date":"2021-10-18 15:34:20","author":"Joel Rubano","handle":"TCK_JRubano","text":"Question for quant/algo people. I believe human traders must develop a view of the market, then seek out the best implementation strategy to express it. Do any machine strategies do this, or do they tend to operate/evaluate starting directly at the instrument/product level?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1450123086213361669","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TCK_JRubano/status/1450123086213361669"},"1946697519905538326":{"id":"1946697519905538326","date":"2025-07-19 22:23:51","author":"Hakudoshi","handle":"curablefury","text":"we need to invent a word for nerds who aren't smart","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946697519905538326","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1947059548457435423","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13936,"retweets":368,"replies":2368,"quotes":655,"views":2357591,"bookmarks":1018,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/curablefury/status/1946697519905538326"},"1506816597654224896":{"id":"1506816597654224896","date":"2022-03-24 02:14:06","author":"alvinjamur","handle":"alvinjamur","text":"Univ of Florida apparently removed the “Karl Marx Study Room” after the invasion of Ukraine. Ummm…but Karl Marx was a German Philosopher/Econ. 😳🤪","hashtags":[],"conv":"1506816597654224896","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/alvinjamur/status/1506816597654224896"},"1631670232036122624":{"id":"1631670232036122624","date":"2023-03-03 14:57:52","author":"Euan Sinclair","handle":"SinclairEuan","text":"Is there a commonly used website that is as terrible as http://weather.com?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1631670232036122624","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":7786,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SinclairEuan/status/1631670232036122624"},"1765824168916865227":{"id":"1765824168916865227","date":"2024-03-07 19:37:43","author":"Byrne Hobart","handle":"ByrneHobart","text":"An app whose parent company has explicitly promised to prioritize the interests of the CCP is mobilizing users to change the outcome of the legislative process.\n\nNeat.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1765824168916865227","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":488,"retweets":70,"replies":8,"quotes":6,"views":77952,"bookmarks":28,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ByrneHobart/status/1765824168916865227"},"1298648526751055873":{"id":"1298648526751055873","date":"2020-08-26 15:48:31","author":"Apeksha","handle":"apeksha02","text":"What would you look at if you want to do an ‘ under the hood ‘ thorough check of someone’s trading system ( beyond the usual backtest and paper stats )? ( tagging a few handles - @jace48 @BeingHorizontal @paststat  )","hashtags":[],"conv":"1298648526751055873","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/apeksha02/status/1298648526751055873"},"1478005934471655426":{"id":"1478005934471655426","date":"2022-01-03 14:10:49","author":"Saang Lee (이상선)","handle":"saanglee","text":"One of the things I don't miss about working is having to be so insanely cautious for the first month or so until a PnL buffer is built up.\n\nThose of y'all whose PnLs reset for 2022... good luck~","hashtags":[],"conv":"1478005934471655426","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/saanglee/status/1478005934471655426"},"1890758052179009934":{"id":"1890758052179009934","date":"2025-02-15 13:40:22","author":"Roko 🐉","handle":"RokoMijic","text":"Some people on the right are truly delusional \n\nHaving Elon's genes and a small slice of the Elon fortune is absolutely a better start in life than having an intact family \n\nyes, not having a father is a disadvantage.\n\nBut it's not an infinite disadvantage","hashtags":[],"conv":"1890758052179009934","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1891174081828925702","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":525,"retweets":10,"replies":95,"quotes":48,"views":149542,"bookmarks":56,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/RokoMijic/status/1890758052179009934"},"1458449216385261576":{"id":"1458449216385261576","date":"2021-11-10 14:59:24","author":"Senior PowerPoint Engineer","handle":"ryxcommar","text":"wild that at most companies the product managers get to interview the tech role candidates, and their feedback like \"hmm, didn't vibe w me, no hire\" is actually taken seriously. unreal.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1458449216385261576","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":333,"retweets":9,"replies":11,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ryxcommar/status/1458449216385261576"},"1403434676015054848":{"id":"1403434676015054848","date":"2021-06-11 19:31:15","author":"truth","handle":"CompetitionBaby","text":"In what situations would this be bad advice?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1403434676015054848","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/CompetitionBaby/status/1403434676015054848"},"1668360350797033475":{"id":"1668360350797033475","date":"2023-06-12 20:51:18","author":"Alex Nezlobin","handle":"0x94305","text":"My kids are allowed one hour of video games per day.\n\nA while ago, they asked me if Roblox counts towards the limit - technically, they are not playing but developing their own games in it.\n\nI immediately told them that the rules are clear and left the room. My wife and I are still deciding if Roblox should count though.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1668360350797033475","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":142,"retweets":4,"replies":37,"quotes":4,"views":110724,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0x94305/status/1668360350797033475"},"1267370003021664257":{"id":"1267370003021664257","date":"2020-06-01 08:18:49","author":"Rob Carver","handle":"investingidiocy","text":"This looks like a good iniative https://www.wbstraining.com/events/quantitative-developer-certificate/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1267370003021664257","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":28,"retweets":4,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/investingidiocy/status/1267370003021664257"},"1942239110413922650":{"id":"1942239110413922650","date":"2025-07-07 15:07:43","author":"The trading Dutchman","handle":"TradingDutchman","text":"What’s still a question mark for me, is how did this pass compliance at Millenium as well? Clearly JS compliance signed off on it multiple times, but if Daniel & Doug at Millenium also do this strategy then another big firm compliance department allowed it to happen?\n\nThat raises the question if there is more to this strategy than SEBI’s version? (Or is there another big strategy that these guys do?) Both compliance departments for sure employ capable people that do not get paid to allow big compliance risks for the firm.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942239110413922650","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":10071,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TradingDutchman/status/1942239110413922650"},"1498482019088535555":{"id":"1498482019088535555","date":"2022-03-01 02:15:28","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"Poking around the internet to find science fair ideas with the kiddos. \n\nHappened on this\n\nhttp://animatedengines.com/\n\n(My kindergartener likes cars so looking for something within reach for him)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1498482019088535555","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1498482019088535555"},"1881407671506759926":{"id":"1881407671506759926","date":"2025-01-20 18:25:18","author":"Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️","handle":"choffstein","text":"Drumeo does this awesome series where they give professional drummers a drumless track of a song they've never heard (usually from a genre they don't play) and asks them to create their own take.\n\nIt's astounding how good they can be in just one take.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1881407671506759926","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":39,"retweets":1,"replies":16,"quotes":0,"views":6937,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/choffstein/status/1881407671506759926"},"1959602594428469302":{"id":"1959602594428469302","date":"2025-08-24 13:04:00","author":"Michael Strong","handle":"flowidealism","text":"Twenty-five dollars an hour buys an excellent tutor in most parts of the country. \n\nMany graduate students or retired people would gladly teach a motivated young person for $25/hour.\n\nTwo days of math coaching = $50/week.\nTwo days of humanities = another $50/week.\n\nThat’s personalized academic coaching for about $5,000 per year.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1959602594428469302","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":994,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/flowidealism/status/1959602594428469302"},"1806336487757127703":{"id":"1806336487757127703","date":"2024-06-27 14:39:13","author":"ByeBayeBae","handle":"sukhoiConvexity","text":"Had an interview, folks didn’t even introduce themselves, went straight to how do you model this, \n/how do you trade this, etc. jfc","hashtags":[],"conv":"1806336487757127703","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":47,"retweets":0,"replies":11,"quotes":0,"views":12399,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/sukhoiConvexity/status/1806336487757127703"},"1486482452029882368":{"id":"1486482452029882368","date":"2022-01-26 23:33:28","author":"Joel Rubano","handle":"TCK_JRubano","text":"Think I should launch EaaS, Email as a Service. You tell me what you want to say and I write a two sentence email that says that. Then you give me $100. Executive all-lowercase package with no punctuation available for $250.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486482452029882368","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TCK_JRubano/status/1486482452029882368"},"1714498540985295216":{"id":"1714498540985295216","date":"2023-10-18 04:28:00","author":"typedfemale","handle":"typedfemale","text":"i don't think it's just wikipedia editors who are stuck here","hashtags":[],"conv":"1714498540985295216","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":267,"retweets":12,"replies":11,"quotes":1,"views":26441,"bookmarks":3,"media":["1714498540985295216_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/typedfemale/status/1714498540985295216"},"1725908783015031050":{"id":"1725908783015031050","date":"2023-11-18 16:08:14","author":"Doug Colkitt","handle":"0xdoug","text":"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1725908783015031050","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":92,"retweets":4,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":8856,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1725908783015031050_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0xdoug/status/1725908783015031050"},"1382896597311246336":{"id":"1382896597311246336","date":"2021-04-16 03:20:16","author":"Claire Lehmann","handle":"clairlemon","text":"The sheer amount of paid content pitches I receive every day is mind-boggling. So many companies want sponsored posts. Makes me wonder who is selling them?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382896597311246336","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":128,"retweets":1,"replies":13,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/clairlemon/status/1382896597311246336"},"1441089456786722825":{"id":"1441089456786722825","date":"2021-09-23 17:17:55","author":"Scott Brown","handle":"leakyalpha","text":"@lightspringfox @AgustinLebron3 @KrisAbdelmessih @ejames_c High stakes games never run. A whale sits, the table insta-fills and there is a wait list. The whale leaves and the game immediately breaks. Whale notices all this - do you think he/she feels warm & fuzzy about this and wants to come back?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1440890442367655937","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/leakyalpha/status/1441089456786722825"},"1708628844331090371":{"id":"1708628844331090371","date":"2023-10-01 23:43:55","author":"Gary Marcus","handle":"GaryMarcus","text":"What $90B buys you these days","hashtags":[],"conv":"1708628844331090371","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":57,"retweets":4,"replies":12,"quotes":0,"views":44946,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/GaryMarcus/status/1708628844331090371"},"1349901017924644865":{"id":"1349901017924644865","date":"2021-01-15 02:07:37","author":"HF_Trader","handle":"HF_Trader","text":"I started my career at a hedge fund in ‘09. We were one of the larger players in the CDS market back when that was the sexy thing to trade. We put up some very big numbers. Also traded futures-here’s the kicker-not one conversation about any options flows.  Blows my mind.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1349901017924644865","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":68,"retweets":3,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/HF_Trader/status/1349901017924644865"},"1435357959530418179":{"id":"1435357959530418179","date":"2021-09-07 21:42:59","author":"Speculator","handle":"TheSpeculator0","text":"listen man i love pandas but some of the behavior is just absolutely deranged and unexpected.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1435357959530418179","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":63,"retweets":2,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheSpeculator0/status/1435357959530418179"},"1510175186821459974":{"id":"1510175186821459974","date":"2022-04-02 08:39:56","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"Here are people you should follow if you like active trading and money:\n - @totlsota \n - @0xfbifemboy \n - @be20684347 \n - @using_namejase \n - @0xdoug \n - @picotrades \n - @AgustinLebron3","hashtags":[],"conv":"1510175186821459974","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":105,"retweets":10,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":57,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1510175186821459974"},"1587519858459267076":{"id":"1587519858459267076","date":"2022-11-01 19:00:03","author":"Doug Colkitt","handle":"0xdoug","text":"Charging a flat fee for Blue Check seems sub-optimal. Google and Facebook are cash cows because they take advantage of max extraction based on topic\n\nGoogle charges 100X more for life insurance. It would make sense to charge 100X more for Blue Checks on crypto or VC Twitter","hashtags":[],"conv":"1587519858459267076","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":2,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0xdoug/status/1587519858459267076"},"1712509678075195902":{"id":"1712509678075195902","date":"2023-10-12 16:44:58","author":"Erik Bernhardsson","handle":"bernhardsson","text":"Honest question: would switching stock markets to say an auction every second obviate the HFT arms race? And would that free up a bunch of smart people to do more productive things?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1712509678075195902","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":131,"retweets":5,"replies":27,"quotes":0,"views":87037,"bookmarks":21,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bernhardsson/status/1712509678075195902"},"1230254880977113088":{"id":"1230254880977113088","date":"2020-02-19 22:16:35","author":"Euan Sinclair","handle":"SinclairEuan","text":"It is true that if you always use stops then you have displayed discipline. But discipline needs to be about applying a sensible methodology consistently, not just doing \"something\" consistently.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1230254880977113088","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":31,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SinclairEuan/status/1230254880977113088"},"1819471791322288178":{"id":"1819471791322288178","date":"2024-08-02 20:34:13","author":"François Chollet","handle":"fchollet","text":"In the long term, the biggest factor that affects your investment returns is not getting complacent when we approach the end of a bull market. Keep your stops up to date and respect them...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1819471791322288178","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":128,"retweets":3,"replies":34,"quotes":0,"views":40809,"bookmarks":37,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/fchollet/status/1819471791322288178"},"1413611685252788228":{"id":"1413611685252788228","date":"2021-07-09 21:31:04","author":"Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼","handle":"Noahpinion","text":"It's amazing to me that some people think asking a bluecheck questions on Twitter is an easier way to get an answer than just googling.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1413611685252788228","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":161,"retweets":5,"replies":47,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1413611685252788228"},"1543620845536305152":{"id":"1543620845536305152","date":"2022-07-03 15:41:03","author":"Antonio García Martínez (agm.eth)","handle":"antoniogm","text":"@bahmutov @AgustinLebron3 I’m mostly doing another high-risk startup to perhaps one day afford decent SF real estate and live nearby my daughter whose stubborn mother refuses to leave the decaying city.\n\nIn Europe, I’d be planning our August vacation in San Sebastián.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1543613805246091266","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/antoniogm/status/1543620845536305152"},"1595193472280973312":{"id":"1595193472280973312","date":"2022-11-22 23:12:15","author":"arb8020","handle":"arb8020","text":"do we think trading is a sport","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595193472280973312","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/arb8020/status/1595193472280973312"},"1771142731462480304":{"id":"1771142731462480304","date":"2024-03-22 11:51:48","author":"goodalexander","handle":"goodalexander","text":"\"I want to trade so I don't have a boss\"\n\nnow you have a new boss that's the invisible preferences of a bunch of psychos \n\nhe controls your mood, thoughts, wakes you up in the middle of the night \n\nprevents you from traveling or being truly present\n\ncongrats on your freedom","hashtags":[],"conv":"1771142731462480304","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1771879519617536355","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1074,"retweets":79,"replies":53,"quotes":20,"views":149959,"bookmarks":118,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/goodalexander/status/1771142731462480304"},"1226610271403163648":{"id":"1226610271403163648","date":"2020-02-09 20:54:12","author":"Euan Sinclair","handle":"SinclairEuan","text":"Amazon review of \"laws of trading\" is up. i know i've already recommended it, so draw your own conclusions about how much i like it.\n\nPS: I don't know the author so i'm not a shill.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1226610271403163648","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SinclairEuan/status/1226610271403163648"},"1695124475338227722":{"id":"1695124475338227722","date":"2023-08-25 17:22:23","author":"typedfemale","handle":"typedfemale","text":"…and $30M of revenue this year, mostly obtained from CSPs paying them for getting their “customers” to use a given cloud","hashtags":[],"conv":"1695124475338227722","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":80,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":18358,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/typedfemale/status/1695124475338227722"},"1204415815216316419":{"id":"1204415815216316419","date":"2019-12-10 15:01:21","author":"Paul Graham","handle":"paulg","text":"It's interesting that the next form factor in computing isn't obvious yet. The Apple Watch and Alexa are doing ok, but they're not eating phones the way the successor usually does. Maybe this will.\n\nhttps://blog.bynorth.com/focals-2020/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1204415815216316419","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":636,"retweets":120,"replies":41,"quotes":18,"views":0,"bookmarks":86,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/paulg/status/1204415815216316419"},"1708634500627071002":{"id":"1708634500627071002","date":"2023-10-02 00:06:24","author":"Nabeel S. Qureshi","handle":"nabeelqu","text":"Legendary companies (e.g. Google, Apple) should have in-house company historians whose job it is to write their histories, interview employees/execs, & curate key docs and memos for posterity. So much gets lost otherwise.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1708634500627071002","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3119,"retweets":140,"replies":120,"quotes":44,"views":515688,"bookmarks":283,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/nabeelqu/status/1708634500627071002"},"1215673204125073408":{"id":"1215673204125073408","date":"2020-01-10 16:34:12","author":"Paul Graham","handle":"paulg","text":"What has your work taught you that other people don't realize?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1215673204125073408","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1935,"retweets":312,"replies":820,"quotes":333,"views":0,"bookmarks":596,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/paulg/status/1215673204125073408"},"1389418452440420352":{"id":"1389418452440420352","date":"2021-05-04 03:15:47","author":"Matthew Mansfield👹","handle":"drunkengrass","text":"@MagnusMacro I hope never to go back. The people were friendly, but I like working in shorts and my office. Although recently it’s become a fire hazard.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1389363721278001157","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1389418452440420352_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/drunkengrass/status/1389418452440420352"},"1764079859737731545":{"id":"1764079859737731545","date":"2024-03-03 00:06:28","author":"Camille","handle":"camlperr","text":"still can’t believe how much Americans spend on cars","hashtags":[],"conv":"1764079859737731545","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":32,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":4312,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/camlperr/status/1764079859737731545"},"1434977412345995276":{"id":"1434977412345995276","date":"2021-09-06 20:30:50","author":"Nathan FOIA Tankus","handle":"NathanTankus","text":"ugh fuck this\n\nhttps://nypost.com/2021/09/06/actor-michael-k-williams-found-dead-in-nyc-apartment/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434977412345995276","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":62,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/NathanTankus/status/1434977412345995276"},"2076464608563634385":{"id":"2076464608563634385","date":"2026-07-13 00:31:56","author":"ja3k","handle":"ja3k_","text":"I remember reading a great blog about how costly and absurd the regulations on drugs have been. I wish I could find it","hashtags":[],"conv":"2076464608563634385","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":61,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":10417,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ja3k_/status/2076464608563634385"},"1427850734553337856":{"id":"1427850734553337856","date":"2021-08-18 04:31:57","author":"🅰️LB🅰️","handle":"ALBACapMgmt","text":"I'm thinking of creating a tweetdeck style product for LinkedIn....imagine how popular it would be ????","hashtags":[],"conv":"1427850734553337856","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ALBACapMgmt/status/1427850734553337856"},"1664627845065498624":{"id":"1664627845065498624","date":"2023-06-02 13:39:40","author":"Symplectic.Research","handle":"QuantSymplectic","text":"Today's reading list:\n1. https://bit.ly/3JgBgjJ\n2. https://bit.ly/3NbafQI\n3. https://bit.ly/3CdFDI0\n4. https://bit.ly/3IOt1Lu\n5. https://bit.ly/3OM23b4","hashtags":[],"conv":"1664627845065498624","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1664943916423041026","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":44,"retweets":6,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":11840,"bookmarks":44,"media":["1664627845065498624_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/QuantSymplectic/status/1664627845065498624"},"1532347456477966336":{"id":"1532347456477966336","date":"2022-06-02 13:04:37","author":"Joel Rubano","handle":"TCK_JRubano","text":"@timebargains @FormulaDeltaOne It’s always been that way in markets. There’s an early period of growth that brings in people with varied skills and backgrounds, then it starts specializing really, really fast. Probably by year 5 of my career I couldn’t have gotten my job if I’d interviewed for it anonymously.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1532344876238573568","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TCK_JRubano/status/1532347456477966336"},"1310080127527575552":{"id":"1310080127527575552","date":"2020-09-27 04:53:37","author":"Darren r-σ²/2","handle":"ReformedTrader","text":"For a recent college graduate, what do you think would be the best predictor of success in finance?\n\n(For the third choice, assume the returns are achieved with an actual but small portfolio.)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1310080127527575552","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":21,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ReformedTrader/status/1310080127527575552"},"1942148016380518701":{"id":"1942148016380518701","date":"2025-07-07 09:05:45","author":"kchoudhu","handle":"kchoudhu","text":"I was thinking this a few days ago: Jane Street kind of feels like Goldman post Taibbi/Rolling Stone in 2009. \n\nI hope they play it better than GS did.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1942148016380518701","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":3409,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/kchoudhu/status/1942148016380518701"},"1440740458058051590":{"id":"1440740458058051590","date":"2021-09-22 18:11:07","author":"Antonio García Martínez (agm.eth)","handle":"antoniogm","text":"The knowing cackle of the old startup guy when a first-time CEO realizes the job title really means Chief Email Officer and/or Chief Employment Officer.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1440740458058051590","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":119,"retweets":6,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/antoniogm/status/1440740458058051590"},"1979644538185752935":{"id":"1979644538185752935","date":"2025-10-18 20:23:32","author":"Andrej Karpathy","handle":"karpathy","text":"My pleasure to come on Dwarkesh last week, I thought the questions and conversation were really good.\n\nI re-watched the pod just now too. First of all, yes I know, and I'm sorry that I speak so fast :). It's to my detriment because sometimes my speaking thread out-executes my thinking thread, so I think I botched a few explanations due to that, and sometimes I was also nervous that I'm going too much on a tangent or too deep into something relatively spurious. Anyway, a few notes/pointers:\n\nAGI timelines. My comments on AGI timelines looks to be the most trending part of the early response. This is the \"decade of agents\" is a reference to this earlier tweet https://x.com/karpathy/status/1882544526033924438 Basically my AI timelines are about 5-10X pessimistic w.r.t. what you'll find in your neighborhood SF AI house party or on your twitter timeline, but still quite optimistic w.r.t. a rising tide of AI deniers and skeptics. The apparent conflict is not: imo we simultaneously 1) saw a huge amount of progress in recent years with LLMs while 2) there is still a lot of work remaining (grunt work, integration work, sensors and actuators to the physical world, societal work, safety and security work (jailbreaks, poisoning, etc.)) and also research to get done before we have an entity that you'd prefer to hire over a person for an arbitrary job in the world. I think that overall, 10 years should otherwise be a very bullish timeline for AGI, it's only in contrast to present hype that it doesn't feel that way.\n\nAnimals vs Ghosts. My earlier writeup on Sutton's podcast https://x.com/karpathy/status/1973435013875314729 . I am suspicious that there is a single simple algorithm you can let loose on the world and it learns everything from scratch. If someone builds such a thing, I will be wrong and it will be the most incredible breakthrough in AI. In my mind, animals are not an example of this at all - they are prepackaged with a ton of intelligence by evolution and the learning they do is quite minimal overall (example: Zebra at birth). Putting our engineering hats on, we're not going to redo evolution. But with LLMs we have stumbled by an alternative approach to \"prepackage\" a ton of intelligence in a neural network - not by evolution, but by predicting the next token over the internet. This approach leads to a different kind of entity in the intelligence space. Distinct from animals, more like ghosts or spirits. But we can (and should) make them more animal like over time and in some ways that's what a lot of frontier work is about.\n\nOn RL. I've critiqued RL a few times already, e.g. https://x.com/karpathy/status/1944435412489171119 . First, you're \"sucking supervision through a straw\", so I think the signal/flop is very bad. RL is also very noisy because a completion might have lots of errors that might get encourages (if you happen to stumble to the right answer), and conversely brilliant insight tokens that might get discouraged (if you happen to screw up later). Process supervision and LLM judges have issues too. I think we'll see alternative learning paradigms. I am long \"agentic interaction\" but short \"reinforcement learning\" https://x.com/karpathy/status/1960803117689397543. I've seen a number of papers pop up recently that are imo barking up the right tree along the lines of what I called \"system prompt learning\" https://x.com/karpathy/status/1921368644069765486 , but I think there is also a gap between ideas on arxiv and actual, at scale implementation at an LLM frontier lab that works in a general way. I am overall quite optimistic that we'll see good progress on this dimension of remaining work quite soon, and e.g. I'd even say ChatGPT memory and so on are primordial deployed examples of new learning paradigms.\n\nCognitive core. My earlier post on \"cognitive core\": https://x.com/karpathy/status/1938626382248149433 , the idea of stripping down LLMs, of making it harder for them to memorize, or actively stripping away their memory, to make them better at generalization. Otherwise they lean too hard on what they've memorized. Humans can't memorize so easily, which now looks more like a feature than a bug by contrast. Maybe the inability to memorize is a kind of regularization. Also my post from a while back on how the trend in model size is \"backwards\" and why \"the models have to first get larger before they can get smaller\" https://x.com/karpathy/status/1814038096218083497\n\nTime travel to Yann LeCun 1989. This is the post that I did a very hasty/bad job of describing on the pod: https://x.com/karpathy/status/1503394811188973569 . Basically - how much could you improve Yann LeCun's results with the knowledge of 33 years of algorithmic progress? How constrained were the results by each of algorithms, data, and compute? Case study there of.\n\nnanochat. My end-to-end implementation of the ChatGPT training/inference pipeline (the bare essentials) https://x.com/karpathy/status/1977755427569111362\n\nOn LLM agents. My critique of the industry is more in overshooting the tooling w.r.t. present capability. I live in what I view as an intermediate world where I want to collaborate with LLMs and where our pros/cons are matched up. The industry lives in a future where fully autonomous entities collaborate in parallel to write all the code and humans are useless. For example, I don't want an Agent that goes off for 20 minutes and comes back with 1,000 lines of code. I certainly don't feel ready to supervise a team of 10 of them. I'd like to go in chunks that I can keep in my head, where an LLM explains the code that it is writing. I'd like it to prove to me that what it did is correct, I want it to pull the API docs and show me that it used things correctly. I want it to make fewer assumptions and ask/collaborate with me when not sure about something. I want to learn along the way and become better as a programmer, not just get served mountains of code that I'm told works. I just think the tools should be more realistic w.r.t. their capability and how they fit into the industry today, and I fear that if this isn't done well we might end up with mountains of slop accumulating across software, and an increase in vulnerabilities, security breaches and etc. https://x.com/karpathy/status/1915581920022585597\n\nJob automation. How the radiologists are doing great https://x.com/karpathy/status/1971220449515516391 and what jobs are more susceptible to automation and why.\n\nPhysics. Children should learn physics in early education not because they go on to do physics, but because it is the subject that best boots up a brain. Physicists are the intellectual embryonic stem cell https://x.com/karpathy/status/1929699637063307286 I have a longer post that has been half-written in my drafts for ~year, which I hope to finish soon.\n\nThanks again Dwarkesh for having me over!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1979644538185752935","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1979868035813929014","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16740,"retweets":1962,"replies":576,"quotes":447,"views":4081692,"bookmarks":12764,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/karpathy/status/1979644538185752935"},"1170007380186271747":{"id":"1170007380186271747","date":"2019-09-06 16:14:31","author":"Wayne Himelsein","handle":"WayneHimelsein","text":"In investing & trading, everyone always talks about mitigating risk, while one of the biggest risks is in fact not taking risk. There's something beautiful about calculated risk; like favorable asymmetry.\n\nRisk is a requirement of success. Don’t mitigate the right kind of risk.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1170007380186271747","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":159,"retweets":27,"replies":6,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/WayneHimelsein/status/1170007380186271747"},"1713741262589956519":{"id":"1713741262589956519","date":"2023-10-16 02:18:51","author":"Autism Capital 🧩","handle":"AutismCapital","text":"\"Sorry, I can't testify, I don't have my Adderall,\" is the new \"My dog ate my homework.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1713741262589956519","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":578,"retweets":37,"replies":22,"quotes":5,"views":67683,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/AutismCapital/status/1713741262589956519"},"1744145321658024148":{"id":"1744145321658024148","date":"2024-01-07 23:53:43","author":"alz","handle":"alz_zyd_","text":"What are good engaging ways for kids to learn programming? Asking for a friend whose kid got interested and is playing with Roblox coding atm","hashtags":[],"conv":"1744145321658024148","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":11,"quotes":0,"views":4649,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/alz_zyd_/status/1744145321658024148"},"1219319939078574082":{"id":"1219319939078574082","date":"2020-01-20 18:05:02","author":"Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️","handle":"choffstein","text":"I’m starting to plan out S3 of Flirting with Models (http://www.thinknewfound.com/podcast)\n\nWhich quants would you like to hear me interview?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1219319939078574082","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":0,"replies":23,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/choffstein/status/1219319939078574082"},"1146102838243680261":{"id":"1146102838243680261","date":"2019-07-02 17:06:24","author":"Suhail","handle":"Suhail","text":"Writing code again reminds me that when a few driven people stare at a problem for a long time, huge improvements over the status quo can be discovered. It's so easy to underestimate a few crazy kids vs a large but apathetic army in a large company.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1146102838243680261","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":272,"retweets":45,"replies":5,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":19,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Suhail/status/1146102838243680261"},"1182030167373275136":{"id":"1182030167373275136","date":"2019-10-09 20:28:47","author":"YT@quantext","handle":"BeingHorizontal","text":"This is going to be interesting. Marcos Lopez De Prado starting his own firm after a split from AQR\nThe man dubbed the world’s top quant has a message for firms lavishing millions on machine-learning programs: Most of you are doing it wrong https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-10-09/the-master-of-robots-left-aqr-now-he-s-coming-for-wall-street via @technology","hashtags":[],"conv":"1182030167373275136","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":9,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/BeingHorizontal/status/1182030167373275136"},"1448489113930375168":{"id":"1448489113930375168","date":"2021-10-14 03:21:31","author":"Doug Colkitt","handle":"0xdoug","text":"If one was to launch a new DeFi protocol , what would entitle you to call yourself \"DeFi 2.0\"?\n\nAsking for a friend...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1448489113930375168","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0xdoug/status/1448489113930375168"},"1412818892842487809":{"id":"1412818892842487809","date":"2021-07-07 17:00:47","author":"Mitchell Rosenthal","handle":"M1tchRosenthal","text":"During predictive modeling, anyone know how to decide whether to model Y (for ex, future vol) as continuous or discrete?\n\nMy guess, see which does better. We can make vol discrete by seeing which rolling quantile it falls into","hashtags":[],"conv":"1412818892842487809","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/M1tchRosenthal/status/1412818892842487809"},"1445965369705861121":{"id":"1445965369705861121","date":"2021-10-07 04:13:03","author":"@interfluidity@zirk.us/interfluidity.com (bsky)","handle":"interfluidity","text":"one reason to root for life extension is it would give our gerontocracy “skin in the game” with respect to climate change.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1445965369705861121","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/interfluidity/status/1445965369705861121"},"1869474941818847657":{"id":"1869474941818847657","date":"2024-12-18 20:08:53","author":"arb8020","handle":"arb8020","text":"i shouldve studied physics","hashtags":[],"conv":"1869474941818847657","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":614,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/arb8020/status/1869474941818847657"},"1595207620578582528":{"id":"1595207620578582528","date":"2022-11-23 00:08:28","author":"arb8020","handle":"arb8020","text":"sounds like i can be a top 10% trader in a little less than 2 years","hashtags":[],"conv":"1595207620578582528","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/arb8020/status/1595207620578582528"},"1710305258067349992":{"id":"1710305258067349992","date":"2023-10-06 14:45:24","author":"Spreek","handle":"spreekaway","text":"so sam was definitely playing league on this call too huh","hashtags":[],"conv":"1710305258067349992","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2447,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1710305258067349992_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/spreekaway/status/1710305258067349992"},"1914145500393296230":{"id":"1914145500393296230","date":"2025-04-21 02:33:45","author":"Casey Handmer","handle":"CJHandmer","text":"The higher gravity species will prevail.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1914145500393296230","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":72,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":7993,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/CJHandmer/status/1914145500393296230"},"1847715704176570791":{"id":"1847715704176570791","date":"2024-10-19 19:05:27","author":"HF_Trader","handle":"HF_Trader","text":"What most people don’t realize is that these “prop firms” aren’t new.  There were a TON of them that popped up during the dotcom boom.  Most focused only on equities.  But they had different business models than current firms.  The fact that these new firms have a 90/10 split tells you all you need to know.  They are in the business of making money off of retail traders failing.  Plain and simple.  If they were in the business of actually developing talent - the split would be closer to 80/20 where the trader keeps 20% of profits.  Look at multistrat shops today (Point72, Millennium, Schonfeld).  You get a deal with them - you keep 17-20% of your profits.  No real firm would ever allow traders to keep 90% of their profits.  The current “prop firms” are absolutely designed for retail guys to fail, hence all the bullshit strict rules.  \nWith that said - I am thinking of starting up a real prop firm that develops talent and doesn’t feed the retail gambling machine.  @MichaelPatak @strieste_ftt @ApexTradeFund @FastTrackTrades @BrettSimba @MyFundedFutures @Topstep","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847715704176570791","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":174,"retweets":6,"replies":20,"quotes":5,"views":72390,"bookmarks":92,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/HF_Trader/status/1847715704176570791"},"1163533628468604934":{"id":"1163533628468604934","date":"2019-08-19 19:30:09","author":"CNBC","handle":"CNBC","text":"We're hiring! CNBC is looking for a data visualization journalist to write for @Grow_mag. Apply now: https://cnb.cx/2z7h52T","hashtags":[],"conv":"1163533628468604934","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1163534050276937728","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1163533628468604934_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/CNBC/status/1163533628468604934"},"1756888585205407974":{"id":"1756888585205407974","date":"2024-02-12 03:50:54","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"Congratulations Taylor, you’ve always been my favourite awkward horse girl","hashtags":[],"conv":"1756888585205407974","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":48,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":10549,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1756888585205407974"},"1486921964245512195":{"id":"1486921964245512195","date":"2022-01-28 04:39:56","author":"🅰️LB🅰️","handle":"ALBACapMgmt","text":"Crypto vs the Banking System\n\nCrypto: Client USD stablecoin funds arrive in the wallet in a few secs to a few minutes✅\n\nThe BS: Just spent an hour and a half (!!!!) at a branch wiring USD from my account to FTX's account which will take a week to clear and cost 70 bucks ❌❌❌❌","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486921964245512195","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1487231454262480897","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ALBACapMgmt/status/1486921964245512195"},"1403392429575782401":{"id":"1403392429575782401","date":"2021-06-11 16:43:23","author":"Lou Stagner (Golf Stat Pro)","handle":"LouStagner","text":"I am thinking about doing \"GOAT-Stat-Friday\" each week.\n\nEvery Friday I will post a mind-blowing stat about Tiger. \n\nYes or no?\n\n#GOATstatFriday","hashtags":["goatstatfriday"],"conv":"1403392429575782401","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1025,"retweets":5,"replies":105,"quotes":6,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/LouStagner/status/1403392429575782401"},"1611511436504862721":{"id":"1611511436504862721","date":"2023-01-06 23:54:01","author":"typedfemale","handle":"typedfemale","text":"anthropic is making a mistake by not better grounding their interpretability research to existing topics like compressed sensing or frames. engaging smart academics who've spent years working on these areas in a different context is far more valuable than lesswrong posters 💁‍♀️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1611511436504862721","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":133,"retweets":3,"replies":11,"quotes":2,"views":66096,"bookmarks":35,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/typedfemale/status/1611511436504862721"},"1587853333687144448":{"id":"1587853333687144448","date":"2022-11-02 17:05:10","author":"SBF","handle":"SBF_FTX","text":"USE WITH CAUTION\n\ncurrently only visible if you toggle on Beta UI","hashtags":[],"conv":"1587853333687144448","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1587903086810763266","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":340,"retweets":10,"replies":86,"quotes":39,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":["1587853333687144448_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX/status/1587853333687144448"},"1597693895047286785":{"id":"1597693895047286785","date":"2022-11-29 20:48:02","author":"Benoit Dubosson","handle":"beniduboss","text":"Isn't LPing basically a way to bet on low volatility?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597693895047286785","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/beniduboss/status/1597693895047286785"},"1598425248927731712":{"id":"1598425248927731712","date":"2022-12-01 21:14:11","author":"Mitchell Rosenthal","handle":"M1tchRosenthal","text":"Chat GPT tries to answer my poker question.\n\nMy conclusion - AI is great at sounding like it knows what it's talking about\n\nserious DD needed tho. it advises limping both times, even though I changed th scenario.\n\nnot sure if wrong tho. @thinkingpoker what do you think?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598425248927731712","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":["1598425248927731712_1.jpg","1598425248927731712_2.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/M1tchRosenthal/status/1598425248927731712"},"1761125354029150336":{"id":"1761125354029150336","date":"2024-02-23 20:26:19","author":"Samswara","handle":"samswoora","text":"Never forget Balaji’s Bitcoin Bet that the US dollar was going to collapse","hashtags":[],"conv":"1761125354029150336","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1761139317051728340","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":615,"retweets":13,"replies":23,"quotes":3,"views":127242,"bookmarks":18,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/samswoora/status/1761125354029150336"},"1436322415752187905":{"id":"1436322415752187905","date":"2021-09-10 13:35:24","author":"experquisite","handle":"experquisite","text":"WTF guys","hashtags":[],"conv":"1436322415752187905","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/experquisite/status/1436322415752187905"},"1442272756549230596":{"id":"1442272756549230596","date":"2021-09-26 23:39:55","author":"BraisedInBlue","handle":"InBraised","text":"@lightspringfox Good leadership should be able to make this happen, understanding peoples strengths and weaknessess, deploying them in ways the make sense easily should get people out of the lower quartile. Anytime somebody wants to shit on management, this is why good management gets their due.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1442272029906857987","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/InBraised/status/1442272756549230596"},"1766505189115101198":{"id":"1766505189115101198","date":"2024-03-09 16:43:51","author":"Doug Colkitt","handle":"0xdoug","text":"Somewhere out there, a man who studied theoretical physics until he was 35 and was potentially on path to a Nobel, is spending his weekend away from his family because his boss has to rush out a decomposition of the cross-sectional variance of Boden coins against the hat coins","hashtags":[],"conv":"1766505189115101198","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":168,"retweets":7,"replies":12,"quotes":3,"views":18097,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0xdoug/status/1766505189115101198"},"1481224498682732544":{"id":"1481224498682732544","date":"2022-01-12 11:20:14","author":"kchoudhu","handle":"kchoudhu","text":"Question for the mathematically inclined: how would you explain an odd number to a child who does not yet understand division?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481224498682732544","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":44,"retweets":0,"replies":57,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/kchoudhu/status/1481224498682732544"},"1372362211688079363":{"id":"1372362211688079363","date":"2021-03-18 01:40:23","author":"Mitchell Rosenthal","handle":"M1tchRosenthal","text":"Alright folks, hot off the presses: https://stocksavvy.substack.com/p/how-do-yields-affect-tech-stocks. One cool finding is that in recent years, the relationship between the yield spread, and future outperformance of $XLK and $VTI has gotten much stronger, w Pearson Coef of -0.68 since 2014.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1372362211688079363","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":46,"retweets":7,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":24,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/M1tchRosenthal/status/1372362211688079363"},"1623087552226795523":{"id":"1623087552226795523","date":"2023-02-07 22:33:22","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"@CrookedCapital looks pretty unrealistic to me, why does it keep going up for a while after it passes the live date?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1623054480227835995","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2826,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1623087552226795523"},"1476616872757891086":{"id":"1476616872757891086","date":"2021-12-30 18:11:11","author":"Suhail","handle":"Suhail","text":"Is there a trick or a clever way to keep track of the all the variables and how they are used to build your intuition of an algorithm like this? Is it just practice? Do you re-read things multiple times?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476616872757891086","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":31,"retweets":0,"replies":21,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":17,"media":["1476616872757891086_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Suhail/status/1476616872757891086"},"1300190303203340289":{"id":"1300190303203340289","date":"2020-08-30 21:54:59","author":"Kris Sidial🇺🇸","handle":"Ksidiii","text":"Little piece of advice for some of the newer guys in the game. You have to weight your data when analyzing a time series. You can’t give the same credence to price action in the 80s the same way you would to price action post 2017... two completely different markets.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1300190303203340289","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":51,"retweets":6,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Ksidiii/status/1300190303203340289"},"1626422411431399425":{"id":"1626422411431399425","date":"2023-02-17 03:24:55","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"@Michigandolf who is that?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1626012445432061952","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":0,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1980,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1626422411431399425"},"1932612201736777777":{"id":"1932612201736777777","date":"2025-06-11 01:33:49","author":"swyx 🇸🇬","handle":"swyx","text":"Fun stat today from a yc founder friend in $current_batch:\n\n“everyone has selected ARR as their metric. nobody’s wasting time with MAU anymore. monetization or it didnt happen.”\n\nthis feels both \na) very good, standards have stepped up a lot, \nb) obvious, why did we need ai to make everyone honest","hashtags":[],"conv":"1932612201736777777","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":245,"retweets":10,"replies":27,"quotes":8,"views":180749,"bookmarks":137,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/swyx/status/1932612201736777777"},"1455887352371597312":{"id":"1455887352371597312","date":"2021-11-03 13:19:28","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"Cute fact about the Zillow thing is that even if Zillow's model was more accurate than local agent valuations, local agents/property owners can still win on average because they get to choose which houses to buy/sell.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1455887352371597312","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":962,"retweets":103,"replies":31,"quotes":50,"views":0,"bookmarks":200,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1455887352371597312"},"1886483786017476775":{"id":"1886483786017476775","date":"2025-02-03 18:35:58","author":"Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️","handle":"bennpeifert","text":"I keep seeing this concept of \"high-agency\" being trotted about by e/acc types and techbros. I must have been sealed in the Bore when this got started. But literally there is nothing more dangerous than someone with a little bit of knowledge and a ton of overconfidence","hashtags":[],"conv":"1886483786017476775","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":963,"retweets":45,"replies":36,"quotes":5,"views":49242,"bookmarks":91,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bennpeifert/status/1886483786017476775"},"1973690359378231362":{"id":"1973690359378231362","date":"2025-10-02 10:03:45","author":"peepeepoopoo","handle":"DeepDishEnjoyer","text":"anyone reasonably senior in trading ever done expert network calls? what were you able to charge? my non-compete is about to expire and i wouldn't mind sitting on a zoom call talking about options dynamics if it meant getting paid say 1k-4k an hour, but don't know what the mkt is","hashtags":[],"conv":"1973690359378231362","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":381,"retweets":2,"replies":30,"quotes":0,"views":71388,"bookmarks":109,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/DeepDishEnjoyer/status/1973690359378231362"},"1450965303148650498":{"id":"1450965303148650498","date":"2021-10-20 23:21:00","author":"Joe Weisenthal","handle":"TheStalwart","text":"Someone else tweeted this. Apologies for forgetting who. But at what point, does having a unionized workforce become a de facto perk that employers advertise? \n\nWith high labor market churn, seems like being part of a union is one less reason to quit a job and going elsewhere.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1450965303148650498","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":171,"retweets":13,"replies":27,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheStalwart/status/1450965303148650498"},"1424161057363398671":{"id":"1424161057363398671","date":"2021-08-08 00:10:30","author":"Euan Sinclair","handle":"SinclairEuan","text":"anyone know a good place to get a freelancer to code python to the IB api?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1424161057363398671","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":46,"retweets":1,"replies":24,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":19,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SinclairEuan/status/1424161057363398671"},"1440798691967655940":{"id":"1440798691967655940","date":"2021-09-22 22:02:31","author":"Tarun Chitra","handle":"tarunchitra","text":"Would never buy popcorn from Mellanox 🙅🏾‍♂️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1440798691967655940","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tarunchitra/status/1440798691967655940"},"1529806487740198913":{"id":"1529806487740198913","date":"2022-05-26 12:47:43","author":"Gary Basin","handle":"garybasin","text":"a16z (and similar) going all in on web3 — decentralized ponzis that rhyme with early internet — \n\ninstead of AI — obviously huge value generator going through a renaissance — \n\nis going to be one for the history books. \n\nBig wordcel vs rotator energy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1529806487740198913","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":73,"retweets":2,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/garybasin/status/1529806487740198913"},"1591819178700595203":{"id":"1591819178700595203","date":"2022-11-13 15:44:01","author":"Zohar Atkins","handle":"ZoharAtkins","text":"A small dose of irrationality may be an effective vaccine against greater irrationality conducted in the name of rationality. Think of custom as a kind of downside insurance against Enlightenment run amok.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1591819178700595203","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":104,"retweets":21,"replies":2,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ZoharAtkins/status/1591819178700595203"},"1793355881683230947":{"id":"1793355881683230947","date":"2024-05-22 18:58:55","author":"Bill","handle":"W98AB","text":"There must be something wrong with these. UK property taking the piss.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1793355881683230947","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":1642,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/W98AB/status/1793355881683230947"},"1736877117575487709":{"id":"1736877117575487709","date":"2023-12-18 22:32:29","author":"Matt Bateman","handle":"mbateman","text":"I still don’t understand why the SAT and ACT max out (and aren’t that hard to max out)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1736877117575487709","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":456,"retweets":9,"replies":111,"quotes":16,"views":387209,"bookmarks":33,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mbateman/status/1736877117575487709"},"1206365561074147329":{"id":"1206365561074147329","date":"2019-12-16 00:08:57","author":"Euan Sinclair","handle":"SinclairEuan","text":"\"The Laws of Trading\" by Agustin Lebron.\n\nRead this. It is good.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1206365561074147329","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":32,"retweets":7,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SinclairEuan/status/1206365561074147329"},"1963489161178223063":{"id":"1963489161178223063","date":"2025-09-04 06:27:50","author":"TechnoWatermelon","handle":"pranavvk","text":"😐😐 \n\nbased on the conversation with @G3ni3sWish today, I'm gonna reread @AgustinLebron3 s book, with emphasis on the chapters on adverse selection.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1963489161178223063","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":855,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/pranavvk/status/1963489161178223063"},"1834338953874313529":{"id":"1834338953874313529","date":"2024-09-12 21:11:01","author":"Gary Basin","handle":"garybasin","text":"If I was a betting man, and not subject to margin call, I’d be long intel and short nvidia rn","hashtags":[],"conv":"1834338953874313529","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":867,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/garybasin/status/1834338953874313529"},"1498849563586793474":{"id":"1498849563586793474","date":"2022-03-02 02:35:57","author":"Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️","handle":"choffstein","text":"In 2012 I invested in a venture capital fund focused on startups.\n\nNet TVPI is marked at 7.19x.\n\nNet DPI? 42.7%.\n\n10 years later and I haven’t even received half my money back, despite it being “marked up” 7x.\n\nIlliquidity is a bitch.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1498849563586793474","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":343,"retweets":38,"replies":34,"quotes":11,"views":0,"bookmarks":52,"media":["1498849563586793474_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/choffstein/status/1498849563586793474"},"1536186925240815616":{"id":"1536186925240815616","date":"2022-06-13 03:21:18","author":"ExQuant","handle":"unmuskk","text":"What an amazing thread this (dunno how I missed it)\n\nRead the whole thing and start applying straightaway today! \n\nInfinite times better than the donkey threads I keep seeing these days, specially on Indian fintwit\n\nhttps://x.com/AgustinLebron3/status/1364231059177566210?t=LzZnig9ktqEH0NIvlJg0Iw&s=19","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536186925240815616","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":52,"retweets":5,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":27,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/unmuskk/status/1536186925240815616"},"1845072627360006170":{"id":"1845072627360006170","date":"2024-10-12 12:02:48","author":"Rob Carver","handle":"investingidiocy","text":"Nonsense. Only use for crypto with widespread adoption is degen gambling. There are no use cases for stablecoins that preexisting electronic money does not meet apart from illegal ones.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1845072627360006170","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":56,"retweets":1,"replies":14,"quotes":0,"views":23237,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/investingidiocy/status/1845072627360006170"},"1176956597521780736":{"id":"1176956597521780736","date":"2019-09-25 20:28:14","author":"Jonathan Ellis","handle":"spyced","text":"Hypothesis: It’s really, really hard to be both a manager and a technical contributor.  You can muscle through it short term by burning yourself out but long term you need to pick one.\n\nCurious if anyone thinks they have refuted this/how large is your team/what is your secret.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1176956597521780736","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":71,"retweets":15,"replies":20,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/spyced/status/1176956597521780736"},"1941069171216752792":{"id":"1941069171216752792","date":"2025-07-04 09:38:48","author":"Nithin Kamath","handle":"Nithin0dha","text":"You’ve got to hand it to SEBI for going after Jane Street. If the allegations are true, it’s blatant market manipulation.\n\nThe shocking part? They kept at it even after receiving warnings from the exchanges. Maybe this is what happens when you're used to the lenient U.S. regulatory regime. Think about the structure of U.S. markets: dark pools, payment for order flow, and other loopholes that allow hedge funds to make billions off retail investors. None of these practices would be allowed in India, thanks to our regulators.\n\nThat said, there’s a flip side. Prop trading firms like Jane Street account for nearly 50% of options trading volumes. If they pull back— which seems likely —retail activity (~35%) could take a hit too. So this could be bad news for both exchanges and brokers.\n\nThe next few days will be telling. F&O volumes might reveal just how reliant we are on these prop giants. I’ll share more data as and when anything interesting turns up.\n\nBy the way, this is the summary from ChatGPT if you are unaware of the issue.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1941069171216752792","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1942239110413922650","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3426,"retweets":421,"replies":295,"quotes":65,"views":364756,"bookmarks":601,"media":["1941069171216752792_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Nithin0dha/status/1941069171216752792"},"1530181067642228736":{"id":"1530181067642228736","date":"2022-05-27 13:36:10","author":"Silvia Killingsworth","handle":"silviakillings","text":"\"More than 90% of his savings vanished in a few days when TerraUSD lost its peg to the dollar.\" https://www.wsj.com/articles/terrausd-crash-led-to-vanished-savings-shattered-dreams-11653649201","hashtags":[],"conv":"1530181067642228736","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":96,"retweets":23,"replies":28,"quotes":26,"views":0,"bookmarks":14,"media":["1530181067642228736_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/silviakillings/status/1530181067642228736"},"1265287336729944064":{"id":"1265287336729944064","date":"2020-05-26 14:23:03","author":"Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️","handle":"choffstein","text":"“We believe we earn a premium for holding risky assets.”\n\n“IMBECILE!  YOU’RE SHORT THE TAILS.\"\n\n“Well, yes.  That’s why it’s called a ‘risk premium.'”\n\n“PROBABILITY IGNORAMUS!  CONVEXITY CHARLATAN!  Your risk parity fund underperformed my tail hedge!”\n\n“That’s tautological.\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1265287336729944064","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":171,"retweets":9,"replies":14,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/choffstein/status/1265287336729944064"},"1723031914926236067":{"id":"1723031914926236067","date":"2023-11-10 17:36:35","author":"Piotr Pomorski","handle":"PtrPomorski","text":"IMO good strategies to begin with is momentum in crypto and mean reversion in equities, you’ll always find some alpha there.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1723031914926236067","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1723032951514862077","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":36,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":29283,"bookmarks":27,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/PtrPomorski/status/1723031914926236067"},"1818389474898010148":{"id":"1818389474898010148","date":"2024-07-30 20:53:29","author":"Spencer Bosma","handle":"SpencerBosma","text":"I had asked @AgustinLebron3 what his favorite @dwarkesh_sp interviews were and he humbly didn't mention that he was on it. Just discovered it when perusing through older episodes. The whole interview is very good, go watch (and pick up The Laws of Trading if you haven't yet).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1818389474898010148","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":10058,"bookmarks":19,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SpencerBosma/status/1818389474898010148"},"1986478463348256987":{"id":"1986478463348256987","date":"2025-11-06 16:59:07","author":"Gary Basin","handle":"garybasin","text":"If you know what \"vanna\" is, your IQ is certainly over 130","hashtags":[],"conv":"1986478463348256987","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":2,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":4254,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/garybasin/status/1986478463348256987"},"1250833871320412160":{"id":"1250833871320412160","date":"2020-04-16 17:10:08","author":"Firas D","handle":"firasd","text":"It’s gonna be funny if we find out that while the world was being programmed to wash our hands 20 times a day & be paranoid about shopping bags, it turned out that most Covid-​19 transmissions happened through breaths, despite experts initially discouraging mask usage. #Masks4All","hashtags":["masks4all"],"conv":"1250833871320412160","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1417936521357926401","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":411,"retweets":38,"replies":8,"quotes":22,"views":0,"bookmarks":26,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/firasd/status/1250833871320412160"},"1155297842745004034":{"id":"1155297842745004034","date":"2019-07-28 02:04:04","author":"vicki","handle":"vboykis","text":"Here's how I imagine this going down: \n\nAustralia: GIVE US UR ALGORITHMZ\nGoogle: Here you go\nAustralia: What is this? \nGoogle: A bunch of Git branches. I think you probably want feature_branch_ver_5_merge. \nAustralia: ....\nGoogle: Or maybe ver_6\n\nhttps://www.businessinsider.com/facebook-google-algorithm-scrutiny-australia-accc-2019-7","hashtags":[],"conv":"1155297842745004034","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":120,"retweets":14,"replies":5,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1155297842745004034_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/vboykis/status/1155297842745004034"},"1844205564433400141":{"id":"1844205564433400141","date":"2024-10-10 02:37:24","author":"arb8020","handle":"arb8020","text":"it’s unreal how much better the v handle is than the rope attachment for triceps","hashtags":[],"conv":"1844205564433400141","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":640,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/arb8020/status/1844205564433400141"},"1542974018764120065":{"id":"1542974018764120065","date":"2022-07-01 20:50:47","author":"zerohedge","handle":"zerohedge","text":"*SAM BANKMAN-FRIED SAYS OPEN TO EXPLORING BUYING CRYPTO MINERS","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542974018764120065","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1542985147372474368","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":592,"retweets":48,"replies":86,"quotes":40,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/1542974018764120065"},"1243281602689589248":{"id":"1243281602689589248","date":"2020-03-26 21:00:07","author":"Trading Composure","handle":"TradingComposur","text":"To master trading, you have to master yourself.\n\nAll the books, courses and coaching in the world will not help if you're ready to help yourself.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1243281602689589248","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1243282170162163715","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":426,"retweets":67,"replies":10,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":20,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TradingComposur/status/1243281602689589248"},"1204264464687583232":{"id":"1204264464687583232","date":"2019-12-10 04:59:57","author":"Darren r-σ²/2","handle":"ReformedTrader","text":"Volatility is","hashtags":[],"conv":"1204264464687583232","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ReformedTrader/status/1204264464687583232"},"1486415263654420489":{"id":"1486415263654420489","date":"2022-01-26 19:06:29","author":"Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️","handle":"choffstein","text":"I’m sorry, how was this not already priced into rates?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486415263654420489","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":60,"retweets":1,"replies":9,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/choffstein/status/1486415263654420489"},"1597316636302008320":{"id":"1597316636302008320","date":"2022-11-28 19:48:57","author":"Joel Rubano","handle":"TCK_JRubano","text":"For those who have worked in institutional trading, what trainable skills are typically absent in senior traders/desk heads, in your experience? What knowledge would you suggest adding, behavior would you modify, or methodology would you tweak?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597316636302008320","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":41,"retweets":2,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TCK_JRubano/status/1597316636302008320"},"1850646004791701857":{"id":"1850646004791701857","date":"2024-10-27 21:09:25","author":"zack","handle":"zack_overflow","text":"This is why Zig and Rust are sane and C++ is crazy\n\nJust assigning a variable to another can cause heap allocations\n\nI imagine std is littered with all these hidden allocations\n\nImagine how hard it must be to write performant software","hashtags":[],"conv":"1850646004791701857","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1327,"retweets":71,"replies":140,"quotes":50,"views":357281,"bookmarks":553,"media":["1850646004791701857_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/zack_overflow/status/1850646004791701857"},"1970638270838317385":{"id":"1970638270838317385","date":"2025-09-23 23:55:51","author":"arb8020","handle":"arb8020","text":"in the same way that microexpressions/body language reveal useful things for user modeling, i wonder if there are micro patterns in the way that someone writes that betray details about them","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970638270838317385","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":670,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/arb8020/status/1970638270838317385"},"1354236654123438081":{"id":"1354236654123438081","date":"2021-01-27 01:15:53","author":"Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️","handle":"choffstein","text":"This is not “just another $GME post.”\n\nDave rode the rocket up – and down – in the 1990s.  And he concisely explains why this time  *is* different.\n\n(Hint: It’s not the options; it’s the meta game)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1354236654123438081","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":32,"retweets":3,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/choffstein/status/1354236654123438081"},"1783136964406907122":{"id":"1783136964406907122","date":"2024-04-24 14:12:36","author":"Austin Campbell","handle":"austincampbell","text":"It's rare that I really disagree with Tyler, but here I strongly disagree with Tyler.\n\nI view this as an earth-shakingly massive win for free markets and capitalism. Why? Because free markets mean free markets, not corporate cronyism!\n\nPersonally, while a blanket ban is probably more than I would have gone for (e.g. senior execs can look out for themselves), a non-compete ban on anyone making less than $1mm (indexed to inflation) in total comp per year is a very good thing.\n\nAs someone who has watched these things play out in the real world, here is the truth:\n\n1 - Most employees cannot afford a lawyer, so companies win by default. In fact, it has a massive chilling effect on changing jobs. The power disparity here is so large that there is, in essence, no fair way to negotiate a non-compete between employees and employers when one side is lawyered up and the other side is not. Employers will then often threaten and use their non-compete to restrict employees in ways that would not hold up in court, but given one side has lawyers and the other side does not, guess who \"wins\" those interactions?\n\n2 - The legal jurisprudence around non-competes is completely broken, and even if you don't ban them, I think it needs massive reform. I've seen too many cases where employees in situations where bosses are abusive, working conditions are terrible, and more are trapped because of non-competes and, ironically, the company can fire them any time they want with no restrictions.\n\nI once proposed the following reforms to non-competes as a thought experiment (rather than a total ban):\n\n1 - If you want one, you have to pay for a lawyer for the employee to review and discuss the terms with them before they can sign it, or it's not legally binding\n\n2 - If you lay off an employee, you owe them wages for the entire term of the non-compete, so it serves as a bilateral rather than unilateral restraint, and if you want to enforce a non-compete after they quit, you have to keep paying them for the term of the non-compete\n\n3 - Enforcing a non-compete against an employee who has raised a plausible claim of discrimination, harassment, or other related claims creates both corporate and personal liability for a minimum of three years of total compensation for all individuals involved and, ideally, should be criminal\n\nEmployees loved it, corporations freaked out. Just like the response here.\n\nBut the real world, where these practices have been banned, shows that it works fine and in fact improves things for everyone. Silicon Valley is in SF for a reason (CA bans non-competes).\n\nThe only people I find arguing in favor of this are corporate folks who want to preserve their power and academics who have not dealt with the reality of how this works on the ground.\n\nAlso, there are basically no major constitutional issues here specific to this (you may have overall concerns with the broadness of interstate commerce interpretations, but if magically that's a concern now and you haven't been on that horse in many other areas, I call BS).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1783136964406907122","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":115,"retweets":12,"replies":13,"quotes":2,"views":39657,"bookmarks":34,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/austincampbell/status/1783136964406907122"},"1836303655441440780":{"id":"1836303655441440780","date":"2024-09-18 07:18:02","author":"Formula δ1","handle":"FormulaDeltaOne","text":"Maybe if you’re an execution trader. I think the hardest part of trading is to find what exposures you really want. Not how to rebalance.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1836303655441440780","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":104,"retweets":2,"replies":7,"quotes":1,"views":26121,"bookmarks":47,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/FormulaDeltaOne/status/1836303655441440780"},"1583515448280113152":{"id":"1583515448280113152","date":"2022-10-21 17:47:57","author":"Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️","handle":"choffstein","text":"I'm outraged -- OUTRAGED -- at the poor quality of the wifi in this metal tube I'm sitting in (which is currently hurtling through the air at several hundred miles per hour at thousands of feet above the ground)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1583515448280113152","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":78,"retweets":2,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/choffstein/status/1583515448280113152"},"1509909484629630984":{"id":"1509909484629630984","date":"2022-04-01 15:04:08","author":"ByeBayeBae","handle":"sukhoiConvexity","text":"Wow it’s suddenly becoming a lot harder switching to crypto if you don’t have crypto experience","hashtags":[],"conv":"1509909484629630984","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/sukhoiConvexity/status/1509909484629630984"},"1392550963609751558":{"id":"1392550963609751558","date":"2021-05-12 18:43:16","author":"HF_Trader","handle":"HF_Trader","text":"Last time I asked I got about 150 inquiries.  I’ll try and be more specific this time.  Any programmers out there with experience in building large databases?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1392550963609751558","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/HF_Trader/status/1392550963609751558"},"1354847940121153536":{"id":"1354847940121153536","date":"2021-01-28 17:44:55","author":"Samuel Lee","handle":"svrnco","text":"I stand with @RobinhoodApp. The idea that the brokerages/the government are in cahoots with hedge funds to prevent retail from making money is dumb. Popping obvious bubbles before they get huge is good policy.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1354847940121153536","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":80,"retweets":5,"replies":38,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/svrnco/status/1354847940121153536"},"1977993870949429441":{"id":"1977993870949429441","date":"2025-10-14 07:04:22","author":"Wolfgang Munchau","handle":"EuroBriefing","text":"The work of yesterday’s economics Nobel Prize winners goes a long way to explain the EU’s economic decline. It is a lack of innovation story. And no, the EU won’t piggyback on other people’s innovations. The regulations that prevented Europe from developing an AI industry are the same prevents Europe right now from using AI.\nhttp://eurointelligence.com","hashtags":[],"conv":"1977993870949429441","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1978016875297513804","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1012,"retweets":166,"replies":48,"quotes":25,"views":231574,"bookmarks":128,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/EuroBriefing/status/1977993870949429441"},"1493810512441786373":{"id":"1493810512441786373","date":"2022-02-16 04:52:34","author":"Mitchell Rosenthal","handle":"M1tchRosenthal","text":"In the options market, can we earn a risk prem by offering leverage to traders that want it? \n\nWould this bet be done by selling contracts w high gamma (essentially shorting the tails) or is there another way? \n\n(Inspired by @therobotjames discussing risks that can pay)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1493810512441786373","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":29,"retweets":2,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/M1tchRosenthal/status/1493810512441786373"},"1671003879922647047":{"id":"1671003879922647047","date":"2023-06-20 03:55:45","author":"bookdepth","handle":"bookdepth","text":"This tweet is wrong in two crucial dimensions that I want to explain in an effort to help people understand the claims that the the EMH actually makes about the world.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1671003879922647047","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":198,"retweets":25,"replies":8,"quotes":2,"views":80284,"bookmarks":61,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bookdepth/status/1671003879922647047"},"1988584682976624916":{"id":"1988584682976624916","date":"2025-11-12 12:28:29","author":"Bear Market Research","handle":"BMRGlobal","text":"Please everyone go read this. \n\nAgustin did a podcast a while back and he said something in there regarding this topic that helped me immensely.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1988584682976624916","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":41,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":8660,"bookmarks":27,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/BMRGlobal/status/1988584682976624916"},"1520924438920790016":{"id":"1520924438920790016","date":"2022-05-02 00:33:38","author":"neural oscillator of uncertain significance","handle":"mycoliza","text":"are economists okay","hashtags":[],"conv":"1520924438920790016","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19027,"retweets":1656,"replies":140,"quotes":301,"views":0,"bookmarks":343,"media":["1520924438920790016_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mycoliza/status/1520924438920790016"},"1486847620492505090":{"id":"1486847620492505090","date":"2022-01-27 23:44:31","author":"6529","handle":"punk6529","text":"We must protect the right to use non-custodial wallets in a reasonable way at all costs.\n\nThat is the key to everything.   If we lose these, it is game over.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1486847620492505090","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2972,"retweets":528,"replies":95,"quotes":52,"views":0,"bookmarks":52,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/punk6529/status/1486847620492505090"},"1511441352554434567":{"id":"1511441352554434567","date":"2022-04-05 20:31:14","author":"Bahamas Trading","handle":"BahamasTrading","text":"@lightspringfox I just say \"yes\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1511439825206980608","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":17,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/BahamasTrading/status/1511441352554434567"},"1861670536335761457":{"id":"1861670536335761457","date":"2024-11-27 07:16:58","author":"arb8020","handle":"arb8020","text":"minhash is a pretty cool algorithm","hashtags":[],"conv":"1861670536335761457","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":698,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/arb8020/status/1861670536335761457"},"1734414228780638652":{"id":"1734414228780638652","date":"2023-12-12 03:25:50","author":"Temu Robot James","handle":"ScottPh77711570","text":"And don’t get him started on the stop losses either","hashtags":[],"conv":"1734414228780638652","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":4942,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ScottPh77711570/status/1734414228780638652"},"2051038834943488066":{"id":"2051038834943488066","date":"2026-05-03 20:38:59","author":"Watcher.Guru","handle":"WatcherGuru","text":"JUST IN: Elon Musk says his goal is to reach a $10 trillion net worth.\n\n\"$10T or bust\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"2051038834943488066","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2051307674411671670","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13424,"retweets":1025,"replies":1744,"quotes":738,"views":3706744,"bookmarks":565,"media":["2051038834943488066_1.jpg","2051038834943488066_2.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/WatcherGuru/status/2051038834943488066"},"1937283630969086225":{"id":"1937283630969086225","date":"2025-06-23 22:56:25","author":"Gordo MONK: Champion of Peace ☮️ and Calm😶‍🌫️","handle":"fordoglunk","text":"Do not concede the zero sum point to them!!! Market making is so good for the world it's crazy","hashtags":[],"conv":"1937283630969086225","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":279,"retweets":4,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":20985,"bookmarks":32,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/fordoglunk/status/1937283630969086225"},"1542632559028445184":{"id":"1542632559028445184","date":"2022-06-30 22:13:57","author":"plur daddy","handle":"plur_daddy","text":"This would be incredible, but given that the 2nd ave subway in NYC cost $2.5bn per mile, highly skeptical on our ability as a society to build anything meaningful","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542632559028445184","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1542633749904609283","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":0,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/plur_daddy/status/1542632559028445184"},"1612801086615609344":{"id":"1612801086615609344","date":"2023-01-10 13:18:38","author":"experquisite","handle":"experquisite","text":"Real World OCaml, pg 172-173 🤯\nExplains a lot of questions I had with Scala, I think.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1612801086615609344","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":2074,"bookmarks":8,"media":["1612801086615609344_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/experquisite/status/1612801086615609344"},"1847608782597013622":{"id":"1847608782597013622","date":"2024-10-19 12:00:35","author":"Deeyana Angelo","handle":"pip_raider","text":"Is Straight to Funded the next evolution in online prop? 🤔 \nDiscuss below 👇\n\nIt's reminiscent of the old prop shop model where you provide a collateral to access higher leverage than you'd normally be privy to on a regular brokerage account plus access to risk systems.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1847608782597013622","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1847715704176570791","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":63,"retweets":6,"replies":36,"quotes":1,"views":80680,"bookmarks":17,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/pip_raider/status/1847608782597013622"},"1702728910335545547":{"id":"1702728910335545547","date":"2023-09-15 16:59:42","author":"Davis Cup","handle":"DavisCup","text":"He's done it 👏\n\n🇷🇸 @DjokerNole defeats Davidovich Fokina and Serbia secure their place in the Final 8!\n\n#DavisCup | @TSSRBIJE","hashtags":["daviscup"],"conv":"1702728910335545547","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1702736575036080504","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":894,"retweets":121,"replies":15,"quotes":42,"views":82229,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/DavisCup/status/1702728910335545547"},"1725611900262588813":{"id":"1725611900262588813","date":"2023-11-17 20:28:31","author":"OpenAI","handle":"OpenAI","text":"OpenAI announces leadership transition https://openai.com/blog/openai-announces-leadership-transition","hashtags":[],"conv":"1725611900262588813","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1725613450578010365","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13164,"retweets":3389,"replies":3262,"quotes":5433,"views":13137902,"bookmarks":1341,"media":["1725611900262588813_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/OpenAI/status/1725611900262588813"},"1982436221230989691":{"id":"1982436221230989691","date":"2025-10-26 13:16:41","author":"Mustafa","handle":"oprydai","text":"build your own hardware lab at home.\n\nyou don’t need a million-dollar setup. start small; a soldering iron, a power supply, a breadboard, a scope, and curiosity.\n\nbecause here’s the thing:\nhardware teaches you humility. it forces you to debug reality. no simulations, no abstractions, no lies; just electrons doing their thing.\n\nyou’ll start understanding how systems actually work.\nhow sensors talk. how current flows. how noise destroys. how design meets physics.\n\na home lab isn’t just about building gadgets; it’s about building you.\nit rewires your brain to think like an engineer, not a consumer.\n\nstart today.\none resistor at a time.\nbuild your own lab, and you’ll never see the world the same way again.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1982436221230989691","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1982466061401550985","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2931,"retweets":262,"replies":115,"quotes":31,"views":115757,"bookmarks":1016,"media":["1982436221230989691_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/oprydai/status/1982436221230989691"},"1491586994451148800":{"id":"1491586994451148800","date":"2022-02-10 01:37:06","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"One for @AgustinLebron3 😂❤️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1491586994451148800","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":30,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1491586994451148800_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1491586994451148800"},"1201899707615698945":{"id":"1201899707615698945","date":"2019-12-03 16:23:15","author":"Suhail","handle":"Suhail","text":"If you use macOS & you remap the CAPS LOCK key to ESC, how do you do it? Do you use another program (which program?) or do you use System Preferences -> Keyboard -> Modifier keys to do so?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1201899707615698945","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":22,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Suhail/status/1201899707615698945"},"1601683539899998208":{"id":"1601683539899998208","date":"2022-12-10 21:01:28","author":"raghav","handle":"rargulati","text":"kids are the ultimate adversarial model","hashtags":[],"conv":"1601683539899998208","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/rargulati/status/1601683539899998208"},"1632807958030548992":{"id":"1632807958030548992","date":"2023-03-06 18:18:47","author":"Entropy🌻Chase","handle":"EntropyChase","text":"in JavaScript, what is the point of putting a function like this inside of a class? How would we use this?\n \nI suspect it's for demonstration purposes since this is part of a course.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632807958030548992","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":2364,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1632807958030548992_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/EntropyChase/status/1632807958030548992"},"1476647085927714817":{"id":"1476647085927714817","date":"2021-12-30 20:11:14","author":"Hide Not Slide","handle":"HideNotSlide","text":"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476647085927714817","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1476647085927714817_1.jpg","1476647085927714817_2.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/HideNotSlide/status/1476647085927714817"},"1590065993636007939":{"id":"1590065993636007939","date":"2022-11-08 19:37:29","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"I think that if I ran an exchange, the first thing I would do would be to put a post-it note on my monitor saying \"try not to YOLO the customer funds today\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1590065993636007939","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":200,"retweets":10,"replies":17,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1590065993636007939"},"1423425320250531841":{"id":"1423425320250531841","date":"2021-08-05 23:26:56","author":"kchoudhu","handle":"kchoudhu","text":"I have no idea what non-ergodicity means and I'm too afraid to ask at this point, so I just nod along knowingly when people mention it on Twitter.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1423425320250531841","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":68,"retweets":0,"replies":21,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/kchoudhu/status/1423425320250531841"},"1352655077547229188":{"id":"1352655077547229188","date":"2021-01-22 16:31:16","author":"Matthew Mansfield👹","handle":"drunkengrass","text":"Well, this is not a great start to the weekend. I'm officially a COVID-19 statistic for the state of California. Not really sure how I got it as I've not been anywhere other than to get groceries and deliveries.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1352655077547229188","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":17,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/drunkengrass/status/1352655077547229188"},"1764106682437972214":{"id":"1764106682437972214","date":"2024-03-03 01:53:03","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"what’s the best hangover album?\n\nI’ll go with this one","hashtags":[],"conv":"1764106682437972214","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":63,"retweets":0,"replies":24,"quotes":0,"views":11192,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1764106682437972214_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1764106682437972214"},"1491617979091808256":{"id":"1491617979091808256","date":"2022-02-10 03:40:13","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"Pssst. Wanna invest in my trading strategy? \n\n\"No. That looks terrible. What is it?\"\n\nOh, it's a daily rebalanced short position in the S&P 500 index.\n\n\"That seems like a bad idea.\"\n\nYeah. \n\nFriends don't let friends short stock indexes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1491617979091808256","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":109,"retweets":2,"replies":18,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":["1491617979091808256_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1491617979091808256"},"1921957876043510247":{"id":"1921957876043510247","date":"2025-05-12 15:57:20","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"fwiw if you want to compute the IV based off the straddle price this is a quick way without a model","hashtags":[],"conv":"1921957876043510247","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":851,"retweets":60,"replies":22,"quotes":4,"views":119676,"bookmarks":980,"media":["1921957876043510247_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1921957876043510247"},"1866562308555645074":{"id":"1866562308555645074","date":"2024-12-10 19:15:08","author":"qm","handle":"quantymacro","text":"Why, and how, do some traders who draw lines on charts, look at dual axis time series, regress prices against prices, make money?\n\nfor free access, RT, fill up the form (in the post), & donate (however small😃) to @magic_breakfast\n(honor system, I trust yall)\n\nmerry xmas xoxo","hashtags":[],"conv":"1866562308555645074","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1871557686460125434","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":123,"retweets":41,"replies":6,"quotes":2,"views":45816,"bookmarks":107,"media":["1866562308555645074_1.png","1866562308555645074_2.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/quantymacro/status/1866562308555645074"},"1869903039814828050":{"id":"1869903039814828050","date":"2024-12-20 00:30:00","author":"Jacobin","handle":"jacobin","text":"The ratio of CEO pay to worker pay is almost 300 to 1. Are we really supposed to believe CEOs work 300 times harder or create 300 times more value than us?\nhttps://jacobin.com/2023/11/ceo-performance-pay-inequality-tax-loopholes-stock-buybacks-trickle-down-myths","hashtags":[],"conv":"1869903039814828050","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1870150813504680047","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1074,"retweets":136,"replies":1319,"quotes":542,"views":6243153,"bookmarks":295,"media":["1869903039814828050_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/jacobin/status/1869903039814828050"},"1428715496535478277":{"id":"1428715496535478277","date":"2021-08-20 13:48:13","author":"Lou Stagner (Golf Stat Pro)","handle":"LouStagner","text":"I would love a \"top teacher\" list based on the before & after performance of students.\n\nDid their index and scoring average improve? By how much? How long did it take?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1428715496535478277","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":150,"retweets":10,"replies":23,"quotes":5,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/LouStagner/status/1428715496535478277"},"1709204215233380426":{"id":"1709204215233380426","date":"2023-10-03 13:50:15","author":"Joel Rubano","handle":"TCK_JRubano","text":"Reading the new Michael Lewis book on SBF and so far the most interesting thing is the description of the interview process he went through at Jane Street. Evaluating trading talent (or the potential for it) in a short period of time is a very tricky thing to do, and the games they (apparently) have/had their applicant play seem extremely well designed to do that. Which, I guess, should not surprise anyone given the culture & standards of that firm.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709204215233380426","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":34,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":15807,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TCK_JRubano/status/1709204215233380426"},"1943475829293437232":{"id":"1943475829293437232","date":"2025-07-11 01:02:00","author":"ltrd","handle":"ltrd_","text":"If you don't have an edge trading shitcoins, then definitely you do not have an edge in options. No matter how many times you will read Hull's book.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943475829293437232","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":50,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":11569,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ltrd_/status/1943475829293437232"},"1501347655644954626":{"id":"1501347655644954626","date":"2022-03-09 00:02:29","author":"Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️","handle":"choffstein","text":"One of the things I’ve always liked about trend following is that at certain extremes, price changes can *cause* further price changes in the same direction by triggering non-economic trading activity (e.g. risk stops, margin calls, etc)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501347655644954626","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":105,"retweets":4,"replies":6,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/choffstein/status/1501347655644954626"},"2022047766445535538":{"id":"2022047766445535538","date":"2026-02-12 20:38:50","author":"Tarek Mansour","handle":"mansourtarek_","text":"On sports hedging. \n\nThe sports insurance and re-insurance industry is big: the annual market is around $9 billion and is projected to double by 2030. There are a variety of insurance products including brand sponsorships, game cancellations, team/player performance, off player compensation, and more.\n\nWe just announced a partnership with sports insurance broker Game Point Capital. \n\nGame point capital issues hundreds of millions in sports insurance per year. Their most popular product is team and player performance bonus insurance: sports teams often structure large payouts to coaches and players that get triggered if they achieve certain milestones (winning championship, making the playoffs, scoring records, etc.). The bill is often large and teams smooth out their finances by hedging it. \n\nGame Point hedged for two different teams against performance bonuses on basketball with Kalshi last week:\n\n1. One is a hedge for a bonus if the team makes the post-season (Kalshi price=6%, OTC price ~ 12-13%) \n\n2. One is a hedge for a bonus if the team advances to the second round (price= 2%, OTC price ~7-8%).\n\nWhy did they do this on Kalshi?\n\nInsurers like Game Point need to offload the risk they take on somewhere else. Typically, they go to traditional re-insurance companies like Lloyd's of London, which is Over-the-counter (OTC): you negotiate price and terms 1:1 with them (instead of an open/competitive market).\n\nLike in all OTC markets, the issue is the re-insurers are restrictive in what risks they take: they like to avoid volatile, higher risk contracts, so they offer prices that are opaque and prohibitively high. Exchanges are a better alternative because they expand liquidity and bring competition: multiple counterparties compete in an open marketplace to improve the price. \n\nExchanges are harder to build than OTC because they need to have enough liquidity. Over the past year, we’ve massively increased the liquidity on our sports markets. During the Super Bowl, Kalshi could have processed a $22 million trade without moving the price meaningfully. \n\nAt this level of liquidity, Kalshi is now very attractive for Game Point and other similar companies: there’s more liquidity available, it's cheaper, and the price is more transparent. We expect to process tens of millions in similar hedges from Game Point alone in the coming months. \n\nOnwards.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2022047766445535538","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2677,"retweets":202,"replies":111,"quotes":59,"views":371466,"bookmarks":2086,"media":["2022047766445535538_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mansourtarek_/status/2022047766445535538"},"1432919969654665219":{"id":"1432919969654665219","date":"2021-09-01 04:15:17","author":"Michael Nielsen","handle":"michael_nielsen","text":"Please recommend an obscure book you absolutely love!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1432919969654665219","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2452,"retweets":328,"replies":902,"quotes":146,"views":0,"bookmarks":2178,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/michael_nielsen/status/1432919969654665219"},"1760688537203363932":{"id":"1760688537203363932","date":"2024-02-22 15:30:33","author":"Matt Bateman","handle":"mbateman","text":"lmao","hashtags":[],"conv":"1760688537203363932","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2990,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1760688537203363932_1.jpg","1760688537203363932_2.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mbateman/status/1760688537203363932"},"1580630212286431233":{"id":"1580630212286431233","date":"2022-10-13 18:43:03","author":"每日大比拼（每日大赛）","handle":"Mridasai1","text":"You come over the crest of the hill and are treated the most glorious ocean view. Instant nirvana. Name your favorite spot to experience this in San Diego","hashtags":[],"conv":"1580630212286431233","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":18,"retweets":0,"replies":17,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Mridasai1/status/1580630212286431233"},"1471522240197971975":{"id":"1471522240197971975","date":"2021-12-16 16:46:56","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"@nope_its_lily @therobotjames @robertmartin88 @thodoha @lightspringfox @saeedamenfx yo add @0xdoug to your list queen","hashtags":[],"conv":"1471518304393220098","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1471522240197971975"},"1382379016255066122":{"id":"1382379016255066122","date":"2021-04-14 17:03:35","author":"Mitchell Rosenthal","handle":"M1tchRosenthal","text":"1/2 Progress on $XLF study, looking for inputVars that correlate with future $XLF returns (absolute, or relative to wilshire5000 totalRet). Only decent input variable I found: (current Yield spread [5yr - 3mth]) - (spread 120days ago).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382379016255066122","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1382379016255066122_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/M1tchRosenthal/status/1382379016255066122"},"1178803024740773888":{"id":"1178803024740773888","date":"2019-09-30 22:45:16","author":"Darren r-σ²/2","handle":"ReformedTrader","text":"No matter how competent or honest your financial advisor sounds... check the fees.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1178803024740773888","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ReformedTrader/status/1178803024740773888"},"2064409694761054332":{"id":"2064409694761054332","date":"2026-06-09 18:10:00","author":"Andrej Karpathy","handle":"karpathy","text":"This is a super exciting release - Claude Fable 5 is the same underlying model as Mythos but with added safeguards. The benchmarks are great and it's SOTA on everything by a margin but I'll add that *qualitatively* also, this is a major-version-bump-deserving step change forward (imo of the same order as Claude 4.5 was in November), peaking especially for long problem-solving sessions on very difficult problems. You can give it a lot more ambitious tasks than what you're used to, the model \"gets it\" and it will just go, and it's never felt this tempting to stop looking at the code at all (but don't do this in prod!). The model still has quirks that people will run into and the safeguards are configured to be a little too trigger happy for launch, which can hopefully be tuned over time.\n\nI feel a lot of things changing as working software increasingly comes out on a tap. The Jevon's paradox kicks in and I feel my own demand for software growing substantially. You can ask for anything - explainers, visualizers, dashboards, bespoke single-use apps (e.g. a full wandb that is hyper-specific just for your project), you can 10X your test suite, auto-optimize code, run giant research projects with custom HTML for the results, anything! \"Free your mind\" (Matrix ref). Really looking forward to all the things people build!","hashtags":[],"conv":"2064409694761054332","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":25647,"retweets":2386,"replies":1334,"quotes":455,"views":3011320,"bookmarks":6322,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/karpathy/status/2064409694761054332"},"1733322841783963829":{"id":"1733322841783963829","date":"2023-12-09 03:09:03","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"Writing is hard. Every word pains me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1733322841783963829","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":85,"retweets":0,"replies":16,"quotes":2,"views":13644,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1733322841783963829"},"1282261783147958272":{"id":"1282261783147958272","date":"2020-07-12 10:33:27","author":"harley turan","handle":"hturan","text":"Here's GPT-3 generating React components based on a _variable name_ alone, using the @OpenAI API.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1282261783147958272","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2476,"retweets":646,"replies":39,"quotes":285,"views":0,"bookmarks":194,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/hturan/status/1282261783147958272"},"1488914281609383940":{"id":"1488914281609383940","date":"2022-02-02 16:36:42","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"Soooo...I'll just plant a stink bomb here before heading off to my day. \n\nHow do we reconcile the democratization and syndication of private investments with the lemon law of economics?\n\n🍋","hashtags":[],"conv":"1488914281609383940","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":37,"retweets":2,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1488914281609383940"},"1748004561820729743":{"id":"1748004561820729743","date":"2024-01-18 15:28:58","author":"π* | ¤","handle":"totlsota","text":"why do people like notion?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1748004561820729743","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":0,"views":2075,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/totlsota/status/1748004561820729743"},"1959311338972311661":{"id":"1959311338972311661","date":"2025-08-23 17:46:40","author":"goodalexander","handle":"goodalexander","text":"Keep thinking about that Naval quote “the ultimate IQ test is if you get what you want out of life”\n\nThe problem with this quote is it assumes you even accurately know what you want after being Clockwork Orangemaxxed into submission by relentless lab grade algoslop","hashtags":[],"conv":"1959311338972311661","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1152,"retweets":40,"replies":64,"quotes":15,"views":100416,"bookmarks":266,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/goodalexander/status/1959311338972311661"},"1946460234974745047":{"id":"1946460234974745047","date":"2025-07-19 06:40:58","author":"felpix","handle":"felpix_","text":"This abysmal take would invalidate stock markets/publicly traded companies.\n\nJust mirror the same insider trading restrictions!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1946460234974745047","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":947,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/felpix_/status/1946460234974745047"},"1713434184931291538":{"id":"1713434184931291538","date":"2023-10-15 05:58:38","author":"Joseph Garvin","handle":"joseph_h_garvin","text":"What are good examples of APIs that don't work if `Option<Option<T>>` implicitly collapses to `Option<T>`? Trying to think about what static typed Python loses by having union types really just be type sets, e.g. in Python `(T | None) | None` collapses to `None`.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1713434184931291538","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":1329,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/joseph_h_garvin/status/1713434184931291538"},"1291430990284337152":{"id":"1291430990284337152","date":"2020-08-06 17:48:36","author":"Tom Preston-Werner","handle":"mojombo","text":"I don't have a CS degree...or any degree. Some of our best engineers at GitHub never even graduated high school. But also, some of them had a BS, masters, or PhD in CS. Amazing programmers come from all backgrounds. Using formal education as a hiring filter is nonsense.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1291430990284337152","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12295,"retweets":2601,"replies":195,"quotes":248,"views":0,"bookmarks":416,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mojombo/status/1291430990284337152"},"1866850732017848751":{"id":"1866850732017848751","date":"2024-12-11 14:21:13","author":"sysls","handle":"systematicls","text":"Idiots on fintwit: no real firms uses DL in practice.\n\nAlso firms:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1866850732017848751","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":92,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":23770,"bookmarks":43,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/systematicls/status/1866850732017848751"},"1477333075981844481":{"id":"1477333075981844481","date":"2022-01-01 17:37:07","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"I'm imagining a Notion template titled GrifterLeaks and is filled with single page takedowns, their tweets labeled on a time series, and deeper dives like:\n\nhttps://johntreed.com/blogs/john-t-reed-s-real-estate-investment-blog/61651011-john-t-reeds-analysis-of-robert-t-kiyosakis-book-rich-dad-poor-dad-part-1","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477333075981844481","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":31,"retweets":3,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1477333075981844481_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1477333075981844481"},"1584848872207134720":{"id":"1584848872207134720","date":"2022-10-25 10:06:30","author":"Businessweek","handle":"BW","text":"Crypto isn't going away, so we asked @matt_levine to help us understand it. \n\nHe came back with 62,000 words. (We edited it down to 40,000).\n\nThis is The Crypto Story https://bloom.bg/thecryptostory","hashtags":[],"conv":"1584848872207134720","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1584881714060410880","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":337,"retweets":138,"replies":103,"quotes":48,"views":0,"bookmarks":76,"media":["1584848872207134720_1.jpg"],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/BW/status/1584848872207134720"},"1477054777271984131":{"id":"1477054777271984131","date":"2021-12-31 23:11:15","author":"Eddy Elfenbein","handle":"EddyElfenbein","text":"Only 11 Dow stocks beat the Dow this year.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1477054777271984131","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":123,"retweets":5,"replies":14,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/EddyElfenbein/status/1477054777271984131"},"2060382000830398882":{"id":"2060382000830398882","date":"2026-05-29 15:25:23","author":"Casey Handmer","handle":"CJHandmer","text":"It's pretty obvious that \"schools\" that derive zero income from successful graduates being hired creates cursed incentives.","hashtags":[],"conv":"2060382000830398882","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":114,"retweets":4,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":11687,"bookmarks":12,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/CJHandmer/status/2060382000830398882"},"1280227864923734020":{"id":"1280227864923734020","date":"2020-07-06 19:51:23","author":"return to reply guy","handle":"neoliberal_dad","text":"We need to impose strict caps on the number of regressions that individuals are allowed to do per year.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1280227864923734020","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1280235689968381952","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":149,"retweets":5,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/neoliberal_dad/status/1280227864923734020"},"1866958082812846263":{"id":"1866958082812846263","date":"2024-12-11 21:27:48","author":"arb8020","handle":"arb8020","text":"out of curiosity why are so many people on here shilling haskell as their functional language of choice when ocaml is right there and also used by a wildly successful organization","hashtags":[],"conv":"1866958082812846263","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1014,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/arb8020/status/1866958082812846263"},"1488174251563794437":{"id":"1488174251563794437","date":"2022-01-31 15:36:05","author":"Doug Colkitt","handle":"0xdoug","text":"Question: Why are there no futures markets for semiconductors? \n\nMuch of the global economic malaise has centered around semiconductor industry having deep uncertainty around the medium-term trajectory of supply and demand in the market.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1488174251563794437","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":66,"retweets":3,"replies":18,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0xdoug/status/1488174251563794437"},"1721527891370913795":{"id":"1721527891370913795","date":"2023-11-06 14:00:08","author":"Zvi Mowshowitz","handle":"TheZvi","text":"What is your best one-short-sentence, for-the-public explanation of what LLMs are already capable of doing? Assume the person you are talking to does not know about them at all.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1721527891370913795","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":67,"retweets":1,"replies":54,"quotes":4,"views":27790,"bookmarks":19,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheZvi/status/1721527891370913795"},"1646665040487915523":{"id":"1646665040487915523","date":"2023-04-14 00:01:53","author":"Doug Colkitt","handle":"0xdoug","text":"Is anybody doing 0DTE options in DeFi?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1646665040487915523","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":2,"replies":16,"quotes":0,"views":13298,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0xdoug/status/1646665040487915523"},"1943793007389479169":{"id":"1943793007389479169","date":"2025-07-11 22:02:21","author":"Deva Hazarika","handle":"devahaz","text":"Welcome Windsurf to this list of totally serious independent companies","hashtags":[],"conv":"1943793007389479169","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1943967680932770017","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1000,"retweets":62,"replies":40,"quotes":59,"views":1089532,"bookmarks":418,"media":["1943793007389479169_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/devahaz/status/1943793007389479169"},"1632187765420064768":{"id":"1632187765420064768","date":"2023-03-05 01:14:22","author":"L","handle":"llllvvuu","text":"I wonder if it would make sense to subsidize companies to collaboratively operate university substitutes","hashtags":[],"conv":"1632187765420064768","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1597,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/llllvvuu/status/1632187765420064768"},"1580184395222515714":{"id":"1580184395222515714","date":"2022-10-12 13:11:32","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"Junior options quant interview question.\n\nConsider an in-the-money European put with three months to expiry, strike 100, spot 85, implied vol 20% and risk-free rate 5%. Under Black-Scholes this has positive theta and positive gamma.\n\nIs this a free money hack? Why/why not?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1580184395222515714","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":297,"retweets":17,"replies":36,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":208,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1580184395222515714"},"1731766189872005219":{"id":"1731766189872005219","date":"2023-12-04 20:03:28","author":"Dwarkesh Patel","handle":"dwarkesh_sp","text":"This seems wrong? \n\nYes, the key/query weights aren’t part of the forward pass’s activations. But the residual stream of each token will be organized (based on previous layers) to interact selectively with the key/query weights, right? \n\nSeems similar to how we have intuitions and mental models of how to categorize new information we learn. And over time with new observations, those mental models themselves change.\n\nThe key difference is that when we hear a more compelling explanation, our understanding of new observations immediately improves. You teach a kid that the sun is at the center of the solar system, and that immediately changes how they make sense of the night sky.\n\nYeah NNs have grokking, but that's orders of magnitude less efficient than how humans actually integrate new explanatory insights. You can't just feed a single copy of the heliocentric theory into a model untrained on any astronomy, and have it immediately incorporate that insight into all relevant future outputs. \n\nIt is a bit bizarre that it has to hear it so many times in so many different contexts to 'grok' it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1731766189872005219","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":63,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":31699,"bookmarks":61,"media":["1731766189872005219_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1731766189872005219"},"1940540221143286118":{"id":"1940540221143286118","date":"2025-07-02 22:36:56","author":"Ulkar","handle":"ulkar_aghayeva","text":"are there any words left in LOTR that companies are not named after","hashtags":[],"conv":"1940540221143286118","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4344,"retweets":112,"replies":241,"quotes":53,"views":229200,"bookmarks":223,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ulkar_aghayeva/status/1940540221143286118"},"1542633749904609283":{"id":"1542633749904609283","date":"2022-06-30 22:18:41","author":"6529","handle":"punk6529","text":"public construction in NYC is outright literal fraud, fully documented, and in the public eye.\n\nthe USA does fraud/bribery in very strange ways.  \n\nit literally just does it in the open - absurd overbilling, campaign contributions, etc","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542633749904609283","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":84,"retweets":11,"replies":14,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/punk6529/status/1542633749904609283"},"1710015596539367707":{"id":"1710015596539367707","date":"2023-10-05 19:34:23","author":"Pavel Velkovsky","handle":"Pvelkovsky","text":"Menswear guy keeps on saying \"high waisted pants are better!\" And then all the pictures he posts look like this","hashtags":[],"conv":"1710015596539367707","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1710055950676013563","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1431,"retweets":35,"replies":88,"quotes":105,"views":1807951,"bookmarks":61,"media":["1710015596539367707_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Pvelkovsky/status/1710015596539367707"},"1783517567820169294":{"id":"1783517567820169294","date":"2024-04-25 15:24:58","author":"bubble boi","handle":"bubbleboi","text":"Imagine paying $86,097 a year for school & you spend your time living in a tent protesting against some conflict you & your school have no control over...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1783517567820169294","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":103,"retweets":1,"replies":6,"quotes":3,"views":4959,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bubbleboi/status/1783517567820169294"},"1447405550006849536":{"id":"1447405550006849536","date":"2021-10-11 03:35:49","author":"bookdepth","handle":"bookdepth","text":"@nope_its_lily @bennpeifert Congratulations you are hired at Knight Capital","hashtags":[],"conv":"1447394861158567950","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":24,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bookdepth/status/1447405550006849536"},"1368991061884870658":{"id":"1368991061884870658","date":"2021-03-08 18:24:38","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"I like this reply so far but let's make it $100k. Here's why it's a good litmus test.\n\nIf you offered me $100k for my opinion, I'd turn it down bc there's no silver-bullet information I can share with you that is worth $100k or more to you and worth less than that to me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1368991061884870658","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1368991061884870658"},"1506725868106043393":{"id":"1506725868106043393","date":"2022-03-23 20:13:35","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"Write the least functionality possible.\n\nYou really really really ain't gonna need it.\n\n(Note to self mostly)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1506725868106043393","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":69,"retweets":4,"replies":13,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1506725868106043393"},"1838289111213392359":{"id":"1838289111213392359","date":"2024-09-23 18:47:32","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"I took a shortcut through a park that would save me about 1 minutes on my walk home. They started locking the gates while I was inside and I had to take a 20 min detour to get around it. Real short vol hours over here.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1838289111213392359","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":327,"retweets":3,"replies":13,"quotes":2,"views":25891,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1838289111213392359"},"1761139317051728340":{"id":"1761139317051728340","date":"2024-02-23 21:21:48","author":"Martin Shkreli (e/acc)","handle":"wagieeacc","text":"don't forget it because it will probably be right...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1761139317051728340","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":165,"retweets":5,"replies":13,"quotes":2,"views":38483,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/wagieeacc/status/1761139317051728340"},"1257514880594112512":{"id":"1257514880594112512","date":"2020-05-05 03:38:05","author":"Darren r-σ²/2","handle":"ReformedTrader","text":"\"Can an analyst that can identify alpha investment opportunities easily transfer those skills to picking managers and vice versa? It seems like that these skills are transferable, but this similarity should not be viewed as a given.\"\n\nhttp://mrzepczynski.blogspot.com/2020/05/manager-alpha-and-manager-selection.html","hashtags":[],"conv":"1257514880594112512","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1257514880594112512_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ReformedTrader/status/1257514880594112512"},"1240268632598421504":{"id":"1240268632598421504","date":"2020-03-18 13:27:39","author":"Euan Sinclair","handle":"SinclairEuan","text":"\"short vol\" is a tough sell. i imagine they did both. many vol funds eventually get pulled into the short side because that risk premium is so beguiling.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1240268632598421504","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SinclairEuan/status/1240268632598421504"},"1428425894855651328":{"id":"1428425894855651328","date":"2021-08-19 18:37:26","author":"MrBeast","handle":"MrBeast","text":"Would you rather have $10,000 guaranteed or a coin flip chance of $100,000?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1428425894855651328","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1428461754993029126","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":191537,"retweets":3667,"replies":46550,"quotes":4872,"views":0,"bookmarks":289,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/MrBeast/status/1428425894855651328"},"1770944013035544923":{"id":"1770944013035544923","date":"2024-03-21 22:42:09","author":"Kevin M","handle":"JKevin2011","text":"Same in combat sports. We’ll see more fighters smoothly operate from both stances (orthodox & southpaw).","hashtags":[],"conv":"1770944013035544923","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":761,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/JKevin2011/status/1770944013035544923"},"1744214002123587667":{"id":"1744214002123587667","date":"2024-01-08 04:26:38","author":"alz","handle":"alz_zyd_","text":"Milei seems to be the most canonically deeply economics-trained leader of a big country for a while? Who deeply believes this stuff and thinks it can work? I did not appreciate this. I guess it's going to be a nice test of whether our theories actually work","hashtags":[],"conv":"1744214002123587667","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":370,"retweets":12,"replies":27,"quotes":6,"views":64689,"bookmarks":38,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/alz_zyd_/status/1744214002123587667"},"1475317897660612617":{"id":"1475317897660612617","date":"2021-12-27 04:09:31","author":"Andrej Karpathy","handle":"karpathy","text":"floats aren't real! 😂I can't be the first one to notice","hashtags":[],"conv":"1475317897660612617","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8640,"retweets":297,"replies":308,"quotes":41,"views":0,"bookmarks":69,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/karpathy/status/1475317897660612617"},"1414223081061683202":{"id":"1414223081061683202","date":"2021-07-11 14:00:32","author":"No Laying Up","handle":"NoLayingUp","text":"Honest thoughts on The Renaissance Club?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1414223081061683202","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":94,"retweets":0,"replies":130,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/NoLayingUp/status/1414223081061683202"},"1238444450654887937":{"id":"1238444450654887937","date":"2020-03-13 12:39:00","author":"Jim Carroll","handle":"vixologist","text":"Another 2.5 million units of $SVXY created yesterday. It would appear that someone has the time horizon and risk tolerance for a short vol play. @dynamicvol @bennpeifert @investinvol @6_Figure_Invest @pat_hennessy","hashtags":[],"conv":"1238444450654887937","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":3,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/vixologist/status/1238444450654887937"},"1716955084377198931":{"id":"1716955084377198931","date":"2023-10-24 23:09:26","author":"Andrew Yeung","handle":"andruyeung","text":"Founder friend is building \"Topgolf for Tennis\"\n\nLooks promising:\n• Space is hot - BlackRock invested $150M into Puttshack; Calloway w/ $3B in Topgolf\n• Space has grown 400% since '01\n• Founding team is brilliant\n\nSpace left in the round for angels who love tennis. DM me.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1716955084377198931","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1717194015014289909","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":358,"retweets":29,"replies":86,"quotes":5,"views":120846,"bookmarks":105,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/andruyeung/status/1716955084377198931"},"1805036942008189101":{"id":"1805036942008189101","date":"2024-06-24 00:35:17","author":"HF_Trader","handle":"HF_Trader","text":"Any of you guys play golf regularly?  I’ve got friends that keep trying to get me to start learning it.  They say it’s such a fantastic mental game that will translate over to trading.  Thoughts?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1805036942008189101","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":3689,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/HF_Trader/status/1805036942008189101"},"1625910304294187008":{"id":"1625910304294187008","date":"2023-02-15 17:29:59","author":"Garry Tan","handle":"garrytan","text":"Some people spend their entire life trying to blend in with the acceptable beta of a McKinsey Powerpoint deck, cover your bases\n\nBut all the alpha is in being raw, direct, and truthful even when inconvenient, uncomfortable, and vulnerable","hashtags":[],"conv":"1625910304294187008","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":739,"retweets":80,"replies":15,"quotes":11,"views":169658,"bookmarks":146,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/garrytan/status/1625910304294187008"},"1151654491349032960":{"id":"1151654491349032960","date":"2019-07-18 00:46:42","author":"Nat Friedman","handle":"natfriedman","text":"😻 Raises an interesting question: if there were a museum of code, what would be the most popular exhibits?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1151654491349032960","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":860,"retweets":150,"replies":67,"quotes":10,"views":0,"bookmarks":29,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/natfriedman/status/1151654491349032960"},"1436052518665134084":{"id":"1436052518665134084","date":"2021-09-09 19:42:55","author":"Random Hero","handle":"iLike31415","text":"@VolQuant @AgustinLebron3 What additional alpha can you extract from knowing how xgboost works exactly vs someone who does not?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1436021225331957760","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/iLike31415/status/1436052518665134084"},"1455175998211649538":{"id":"1455175998211649538","date":"2021-11-01 14:12:48","author":"🅰️LB🅰️","handle":"ALBACapMgmt","text":"When my kids saw discord open on my pc they fell about laughing cos \"discord is for gamers\" despite my protestations it was \"Crypto alpha that paid for your school fees \"\n\nI feel so old","hashtags":[],"conv":"1455175998211649538","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ALBACapMgmt/status/1455175998211649538"},"1511426946822979589":{"id":"1511426946822979589","date":"2022-04-05 19:33:59","author":"experquisite","handle":"experquisite","text":"“Unlike traditional flippers, who aim to buy low and sell high, iBuyers seek to acquire homes at market prices and profit by operating at scale.”\n\n. . .","hashtags":[],"conv":"1511426946822979589","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/experquisite/status/1511426946822979589"},"1788189600109707652":{"id":"1788189600109707652","date":"2024-05-08 12:49:58","author":"experquisite","handle":"experquisite","text":"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1788189600109707652","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":28,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":3990,"bookmarks":4,"media":["1788189600109707652_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/experquisite/status/1788189600109707652"},"1181273069920219137":{"id":"1181273069920219137","date":"2019-10-07 18:20:21","author":"Meb Faber","handle":"MebFaber","text":"To all the people buying $20+ billion \"value\" or \"factor\" ETFs.\n\nSave yourself the headache and expense ratio and just buy the S&P 500....","hashtags":[],"conv":"1181273069920219137","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":68,"retweets":12,"replies":8,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/MebFaber/status/1181273069920219137"},"1258814518571999232":{"id":"1258814518571999232","date":"2020-05-08 17:42:23","author":"Euan Sinclair","handle":"SinclairEuan","text":"i do love it when people do real studies. you know, with numbers and shit.\n\nhttps://arxiv.org/abs/2005.03491","hashtags":[],"conv":"1258814518571999232","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":34,"retweets":6,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SinclairEuan/status/1258814518571999232"},"1258495154618421248":{"id":"1258495154618421248","date":"2020-05-07 20:33:21","author":"Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼","handle":"Noahpinion","text":"Naming things \"X McXface\" is the ultimate Boomer meme","hashtags":[],"conv":"1258495154618421248","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":48,"retweets":4,"replies":14,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1258495154618421248"},"1694446059806687361":{"id":"1694446059806687361","date":"2023-08-23 20:26:36","author":"A Cambridge Diary","handle":"acambridgediary","text":"And that's a wrap.\n\nA picture of Cambridge every day since 2010. (No 4896) Wednesday 23rd August 2023\n@Kings_College","hashtags":[],"conv":"1694446059806687361","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1694447471714550143","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1793,"retweets":99,"replies":24,"quotes":11,"views":259229,"bookmarks":27,"media":["1694446059806687361_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/acambridgediary/status/1694446059806687361"},"1324519929098366976":{"id":"1324519929098366976","date":"2020-11-06 01:12:14","author":"Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️","handle":"bennpeifert","text":"Well @theemilyaccount had a nice thread on career advice in quantitative finance today and I've promised a bunch of people in DMs that I'd eventually do the same. So here are a few thoughts.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1324519929098366976","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1491118894664515584","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":444,"retweets":60,"replies":11,"quotes":21,"views":0,"bookmarks":329,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bennpeifert/status/1324519929098366976"},"1582168237147852801":{"id":"1582168237147852801","date":"2022-10-18 00:34:37","author":"experquisite","handle":"experquisite","text":"just learned that quantum computers and zk provers both run “circuits” to solve problems. is this a coincidence?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1582168237147852801","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/experquisite/status/1582168237147852801"},"1709636771036672000":{"id":"1709636771036672000","date":"2023-10-04 18:29:04","author":"bookdepth","handle":"bookdepth","text":"Lol. Lmao, even","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709636771036672000","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1709739558412358022","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":183,"retweets":1,"replies":12,"quotes":1,"views":38200,"bookmarks":9,"media":["1709636771036672000_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bookdepth/status/1709636771036672000"},"1735686106887127234":{"id":"1735686106887127234","date":"2023-12-15 15:39:50","author":"Matt Bateman","handle":"mbateman","text":"Observation from a friend:\n\nThere aren’t ads targeted at children on the internet.\n\nCompare to the era (in which I grew up) of TV ads for supersoakers, RC cars, etc.\n\nYou do get ads for children’s toys targeted *at parents*, but this is a very different paradigm:","hashtags":[],"conv":"1735686106887127234","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":127,"retweets":0,"replies":19,"quotes":2,"views":19891,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mbateman/status/1735686106887127234"},"1501167834008797189":{"id":"1501167834008797189","date":"2022-03-08 12:07:56","author":"*Walter Bloomberg","handle":"DeItaone","text":"LONDON METAL EXCHANGE SAYS CANCEL ALL NICKEL TRADES EXECUTED ON OR AFTER 00:00 UK TIME ON 8 MARCH 2022 IN THE INTER-OFFICE MARKET AND ON LMESELECT","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501167834008797189","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1501172120503689218","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1970,"retweets":410,"replies":222,"quotes":462,"views":0,"bookmarks":48,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/DeItaone/status/1501167834008797189"},"1503533958641954821":{"id":"1503533958641954821","date":"2022-03-15 00:50:04","author":"Jessica Nutt","handle":"JessicaNutt96","text":"This is literally how Bridgewater recruits","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503533958641954821","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":669,"retweets":19,"replies":47,"quotes":13,"views":0,"bookmarks":85,"media":["1503533958641954821_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/JessicaNutt96/status/1503533958641954821"},"1968151952623272029":{"id":"1968151952623272029","date":"2025-09-17 03:16:06","author":"will brown","handle":"willccbb","text":"I just read this new paper from Google and I’m absolutely buzzing 🤯\n\nThe core idea is almost offensively simple: ditch recurrence and convolutions, and use only attention. That’s it. And somehow…it unlocks a whole new regime of performance, scale, and simplicity.\n\nHere’s what blew my mind:\n\n- No recurrence, full parallelism. Tokens don’t have to march one step at a time anymore. Training lights up the whole sequence at once. Throughput goes way up, iteration cycles shrink.\n\n- Multi-head attention = multiple viewpoints. The model learns to focus on different relationships simultaneously. Syntax, semantics, long-range dependencies—captured in parallel.\n\n- Positional encodings without the baggage. You still get order awareness, but with zero recurrence overhead.\n\n- Encoder–decoder stacks that actually scale. Deep, clean, modular blocks with residual connections and layer norm that just…train. Reliably.\n\n- Results that speak for themselves. Stronger quality on translation benchmarks with dramatically better efficiency—and a simpler pipeline.\n\nWhy this matters (right now):\n\n- Speed → strategy. When training is parallel and stable, you iterate faster, test more hypotheses, and ship better models sooner.\n\n- Quality → product. Long-range reasoning and richer representations turn into real-world wins: better search, smarter assistants, more robust generative systems.\n\n- Simplicity → leverage. Fewer moving parts, clearer abstractions, and a backbone that generalizes across tasks. This is an architectural blueprint, not a one-off trick.\n\nWhat I’m changing this week:\n\n- Refactoring any sequence stack I touch toward a Transformer backbone.\n\n- Re-thinking compute budgets around parallelism (bigger effective context, larger batches, faster turnaround).\n\n- Making attention the first-class citizen in modeling discussions—design defaults, not an afterthought.\n\nThis paper feels like an inflection point. If you’re building anything with sequences—language, code, planning, you name it—read it, internalize it, and rethink your roadmap. The title isn’t marketing. Attention really is all you need.\n\n#AI #MachineLearning #NLP #Transformers #DeepLearning #GoogleAI #Attention #Research #ProductEngineering #Builders","hashtags":["ai","machinelearning","nlp","transformers","deeplearning","googleai","attention","research","productengineering","builders"],"conv":"1968151952623272029","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":2514,"retweets":142,"replies":226,"quotes":49,"views":320941,"bookmarks":1342,"media":["1968151952623272029_1.png","1968151952623272029_2.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/willccbb/status/1968151952623272029"},"1902063145419432332":{"id":"1902063145419432332","date":"2025-03-18 18:22:47","author":"Adi","handle":"adi_baradwaj","text":"incredibly dumb that i have to \"request permission\" to trade each new asset type on Interactive Brokers\n\ni want to trade everything, just let me do it!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1902063145419432332","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1902069728589574639","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":1,"views":1097,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/adi_baradwaj/status/1902063145419432332"},"1982915494735990857":{"id":"1982915494735990857","date":"2025-10-27 21:01:09","author":"Harry Crane","handle":"HarryDCrane","text":"In theory","hashtags":[],"conv":"1982915494735990857","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":10430,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/HarryDCrane/status/1982915494735990857"},"1434623665694461961":{"id":"1434623665694461961","date":"2021-09-05 21:05:10","author":"Speculator","handle":"TheSpeculator0","text":"this is unbelievably stupid. replace carbs on that chart with calories, myatery solved!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1434623665694461961","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":37,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheSpeculator0/status/1434623665694461961"},"1970107351912075454":{"id":"1970107351912075454","date":"2025-09-22 12:46:10","author":"Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent","handle":"SecScottBessent","text":"Argentina is a systemically important U.S. ally in Latin America, and the @USTreasury stands ready to do what is needed within its mandate to support Argentina.\n\nAll options for stabilization are on the table. 1/4","hashtags":[],"conv":"1970107351912075454","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1970140013427106272","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":44235,"retweets":7237,"replies":3229,"quotes":3257,"views":9786292,"bookmarks":2286,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SecScottBessent/status/1970107351912075454"},"1482895712354332673":{"id":"1482895712354332673","date":"2022-01-17 02:01:03","author":"Balaji","handle":"balajis","text":"Ideological proximity > geographic proximity.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1482895712354332673","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":459,"retweets":44,"replies":25,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":19,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1482895712354332673"},"1627148361248956417":{"id":"1627148361248956417","date":"2023-02-19 03:29:34","author":"arb8020","handle":"arb8020","text":"looking at the first 10 questions of the 150 most frequently asked quant interview questions and i already don't know what some of these words mean\n\nOrnstein-Uhlenbeck SDE?? what .","hashtags":[],"conv":"1627148361248956417","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":73,"retweets":2,"replies":17,"quotes":0,"views":22326,"bookmarks":33,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/arb8020/status/1627148361248956417"},"1541162878115450881":{"id":"1541162878115450881","date":"2022-06-26 20:53:58","author":"Georgios Konstantopoulos","handle":"gakonst","text":"best piece of content you watched/read/listened to recently?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1541162878115450881","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":103,"retweets":7,"replies":46,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":96,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/gakonst/status/1541162878115450881"},"1288678116630491136":{"id":"1288678116630491136","date":"2020-07-30 03:29:40","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"We just got a sample schedule for school that starts 2 weeks from today. Epic fail. And if parents both work, the garbage plan is a non-starter.\n\nTaking a sabbatical to homeschool your kid is going to trend. Who has a catchy name to get ahead of it?\n\n\"Mandatory FIRE\"?\n\n😠😡👿","hashtags":[],"conv":"1288678116630491136","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1288678116630491136"},"1402064972407054338":{"id":"1402064972407054338","date":"2021-06-08 00:48:33","author":"Lou Stagner (Golf Stat Pro)","handle":"LouStagner","text":"PGA Tour Pros from 40 feet on the green:\n▶️20% of putts finish 4'8\" or longer from hole\n▶️10% finish 6'0\" or longer from hole\n\nThese are the best in the world. \n\nStop beating yourself up if you lag a 40-footer to five and a half feet.\n\n#ManageYourExpectations","hashtags":["manageyourexpectations"],"conv":"1402064972407054338","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":282,"retweets":35,"replies":11,"quotes":5,"views":0,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/LouStagner/status/1402064972407054338"},"1427724289092902912":{"id":"1427724289092902912","date":"2021-08-17 20:09:31","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"@nope_its_lily @NewRiverInvest @ryxcommar @bennpeifert One reason to sell it would be that you can do it ridiculously rich. Because nobody wants to sell it. 😂","hashtags":[],"conv":"1427671649545900036","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1427724289092902912"},"1920926138769272849":{"id":"1920926138769272849","date":"2025-05-09 19:37:35","author":"Dwarkesh Patel","handle":"dwarkesh_sp","text":"Had an interesting debate with @_sholtodouglas last night.\n\nCan you have a 'superhuman AI scientist' before you get human level learning efficiency? \n\n(Currently, models take orders of magnitude more data that humans to learn equivalent skills, even ones they perform at 99th percentile level). \n\nMy take is that creativity and learning efficiency are basically the same thing. The kind of thing Einstein did - generalizing from a few gnarly thought experiments and murky observations - is in some sense just extreme learning efficiency, right?\n\nMakes me wonder whether low learning efficiency is the answer to the question, 'Why haven't LLMs haven't made new discoveries despite having so much knowledge memorized'?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1920926138769272849","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":550,"retweets":25,"replies":66,"quotes":12,"views":87739,"bookmarks":212,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1920926138769272849"},"1243356991298211840":{"id":"1243356991298211840","date":"2020-03-27 01:59:41","author":"Marcos López de Prado","handle":"lopezdeprado","text":"Many quantitative firms have suffered substantial losses as a result of the COVID-19 selloff. In this note, Prof. Lipton and I highlight three lessons that quantitative researchers could learn from this episode.\n\nhttps://ssrn.com/abstract=3562025","hashtags":[],"conv":"1243356991298211840","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":240,"retweets":54,"replies":12,"quotes":6,"views":0,"bookmarks":51,"media":["1243356991298211840_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/lopezdeprado/status/1243356991298211840"},"1787163127827579054":{"id":"1787163127827579054","date":"2024-05-05 16:51:08","author":"Gary Basin","handle":"garybasin","text":"Type of guy who thinks reading a textbook provides them with knowledge or skill","hashtags":[],"conv":"1787163127827579054","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":84,"retweets":3,"replies":10,"quotes":2,"views":21154,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/garybasin/status/1787163127827579054"},"1829221690074968376":{"id":"1829221690074968376","date":"2024-08-29 18:16:50","author":"Casey Handmer","handle":"CJHandmer","text":"We should probably ask why VC hasn't managed to reduce hardware start ups to a repeatable playbook the same way we have with software. \n\nThere is the obvious reason - software lives inside computers, which run a different set of physical laws in which perfect copies are nearly instant and nearly free (this is very much not the case under the physical laws that we live in more generally) - but there are other, less obvious reasons.\n\nThe number of break out hardware successes is low enough that we can study them on a case by case basis, but the space is highly dimensioned and we can easily overfit on factors that don't actually matter.\n\nBy far the most obvious problem to address, IMO, is businesses built on a technical foundation that looks strong but isn't - often for extremely subtle reasons that are not legible and hard to call in advance. Obviously bad ideas don't get funded, and obviously good ideas are usually efficiently exploited. Good ideas that look bad don't get funded, and bad ideas that look good do get funded, and then fail.\n\nThere are obviously cultural factors too but in terms of raw capital allocation, we need to build systems which are better at recognizing non-obvious good ideas, and rejecting non-obvious bad ideas.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1829221690074968376","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":632,"retweets":35,"replies":57,"quotes":15,"views":309141,"bookmarks":207,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/CJHandmer/status/1829221690074968376"},"1536237806678327296":{"id":"1536237806678327296","date":"2022-06-13 06:43:29","author":"Ralph Sueppel","handle":"macro_synergy","text":"Github repository: \"The Log Periodic Power Law Singularity model provides a flexible framework to detect bubbles and predict regime changes of a financial asset.\" https://github.com/Boulder-Investment-Technologies/lppls 🇺🇦","hashtags":[],"conv":"1536237806678327296","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1536934482523082752","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":2,"replies":1,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":["1536237806678327296_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macro_synergy/status/1536237806678327296"},"1852345313845248385":{"id":"1852345313845248385","date":"2024-11-01 13:41:52","author":"ekri","handle":"ekrii3","text":"how is this real","hashtags":[],"conv":"1852345313845248385","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9180,"retweets":243,"replies":609,"quotes":187,"views":501679,"bookmarks":798,"media":["1852345313845248385_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ekrii3/status/1852345313845248385"},"1302764770802556929":{"id":"1302764770802556929","date":"2020-09-07 00:25:00","author":"YT@quantext","handle":"BeingHorizontal","text":"There are 2 types of people in this world\n\n1. Who can extrapolate from incomplete data","hashtags":[],"conv":"1302764770802556929","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":48,"retweets":4,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/BeingHorizontal/status/1302764770802556929"},"1417936521357926401":{"id":"1417936521357926401","date":"2021-07-21 19:56:25","author":"Paul Graham","handle":"paulg","text":"Note the date on this. One of the under-appreciated features of Twitter is that the time stamps prove who was right about what when.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1417936521357926401","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":728,"retweets":60,"replies":36,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":26,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/paulg/status/1417936521357926401"},"1418043812677443588":{"id":"1418043812677443588","date":"2021-07-22 03:02:45","author":"Saang Lee (이상선)","handle":"saanglee","text":"I never realized so many people on FinTwit were experts on corporate China and Chinese debt markets.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1418043812677443588","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":19,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/saanglee/status/1418043812677443588"},"1296388418356772864":{"id":"1296388418356772864","date":"2020-08-20 10:07:39","author":"Jamie Powell","handle":"ajb_powell","text":"evolution doing its thing once again $TSLA https://tesladating.co","hashtags":[],"conv":"1296388418356772864","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":226,"retweets":32,"replies":24,"quotes":27,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ajb_powell/status/1296388418356772864"},"1941310608357626307":{"id":"1941310608357626307","date":"2025-07-05 01:38:11","author":"Grant Stenger (hiring)","handle":"GrantStenger","text":"What is the optimal tick size in an orderbook?\n\nTicks are the minimum price increment on an orderbook. When ticks are too large, quoted spreads widen. Takers pay more, sophisticated queue-jumping games arise for makers, and ultimately off-exchange venues undercut the lit book by quoting in sub-tick increments, providing finer price discovery.\n\nEmpirically, decimalization in 2001 tightened spreads, and in 2016-18 the SEC’s Tick-Size Pilot widened ticks for micro-caps causing spreads to widen and volume to fall.\n\nThe downside to small ticks is that quote update frequency increases as MMs improve quotes one tick at a time. Spreads narrow but depth thins and volume is pushed into smaller trade sizes.\n\nSo how do we choose good tick sizes? Basic microstructure models like Glosten-Milgrom or Ho-Stoll imply an equilibrium spread. From this, a common rule of thumb is to set the tick ≤ ½ natural spread so the grid rarely binds.\n\nOnchain markets are often constrained by bandwidth, compute-unit budgets, and account-state bloat, which need to be incorporated into any tick-size optimization. In this case, we want to minimize combined cost to makers, takers, and the network. Strategies like enforcing a min-notional per order, charging higher fees for quote spam, and dynamically widening ticks during congestion are being explored.\n\nThe best tick is neither the smallest the contract can encode or the largest makers will tolerate, but one which balances the marginal benefits for takers, makers, and the network. Achieving this will preserve the health of the ecosystem and deepen liquidity onchain.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1941310608357626307","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":137,"retweets":7,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":11541,"bookmarks":118,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/GrantStenger/status/1941310608357626307"},"1458509834987335684":{"id":"1458509834987335684","date":"2021-11-10 19:00:17","author":"Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼","handle":"Noahpinion","text":"I like the BBB bill but I don't see how it's an inflation fighting measure.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1458509834987335684","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":132,"retweets":5,"replies":30,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1458509834987335684"},"1161641822965256194":{"id":"1161641822965256194","date":"2019-08-14 14:12:47","author":"Jeremy Howard","handle":"jeremyphoward","text":"An amazing new project from @bearpelican was just released: https://musicautobot.com . A beautiful design; you can auto-generate a melody from chords, chords from a melody, and more.\n\nIt's technically brilliant, combining BERT, seq2seq, and Transformer XL\nhttps://towardsdatascience.com/creating-a-pop-music-generator-with-the-transformer-5867511b382a","hashtags":[],"conv":"1161641822965256194","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1161655560040620032","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":725,"retweets":222,"replies":12,"quotes":14,"views":0,"bookmarks":137,"media":["1161641822965256194_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/jeremyphoward/status/1161641822965256194"},"1226899165008936961":{"id":"1226899165008936961","date":"2020-02-10 16:02:10","author":"Wayne Himelsein","handle":"WayneHimelsein","text":"Fat tails have infinite variance. But what does that mean for us?\n\nFeynman used to say that the way to imagine infinity is to think of the biggest number you possibly can - then add 1 to it.\n\nSo for finance, just imagine the biggest loss you can - and then add some more to it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1226899165008936961","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":108,"retweets":20,"replies":9,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/WayneHimelsein/status/1226899165008936961"},"1922371559756288210":{"id":"1922371559756288210","date":"2025-05-13 19:21:10","author":"Speculator","handle":"TheSpeculator0","text":"In a just world this guy gets thrown in jail immideately","hashtags":[],"conv":"1922371559756288210","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":235,"retweets":2,"replies":11,"quotes":0,"views":14909,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheSpeculator0/status/1922371559756288210"},"1768411707666276607":{"id":"1768411707666276607","date":"2024-03-14 22:59:41","author":"Duncan Park","handle":"DuncanJPark","text":"@tickwide Should anyone take any of her content seriously? Some of it seems helpful for me as an undergrad and hopeful QT, but it seems like all her content is flashy (big firm names, big school names) etc, and her background isn't very trader-y. But people I respect on here like her so ?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1768395175338918059","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":2210,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/DuncanJPark/status/1768411707666276607"},"1948424094883471702":{"id":"1948424094883471702","date":"2025-07-24 16:44:38","author":"SpaceXAI","handle":"SpaceXAI","text":"Effective immediately, Kalshi and xAI are partnering to bring Grok to prediction markets.\n\nTwo of the fastest growing companies in America are now on the same team.\n\n@xAI  🤝 @Kalshi","hashtags":[],"conv":"1948424094883471702","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1949121825080058328","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":7402,"retweets":965,"replies":620,"quotes":283,"views":3524745,"bookmarks":1045,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SpaceXAI/status/1948424094883471702"},"1452748784564383753":{"id":"1452748784564383753","date":"2021-10-25 21:27:55","author":"W. Gyude Moore","handle":"gyude_moore","text":"Bitcoin’s surging popularity hasn’t changed one of its original attributes. It’s ownership is still concentrated in just a few hands - \"The top 10,000 individual investors in Bitcoin control about one-third of the cryptocurrency in circulation...\"\nhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-10-25/bitcoin-still-concentrated-in-few-hands-study-finds","hashtags":[],"conv":"1452748784564383753","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1452756564230635527","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":5,"replies":2,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/gyude_moore/status/1452748784564383753"},"1450177328391335940":{"id":"1450177328391335940","date":"2021-10-18 19:09:52","author":"Joel Rubano","handle":"TCK_JRubano","text":"Based on recent recommendations, I’ve already got Trading at the Speed of Light, Trading & Exchanges, Algorithmic Trading & DMA, Information Theory, and Mathematical Theory of Communication. Would welcome additional suggestions for other core texts & papers in the field.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1450177328391335940","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":23,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TCK_JRubano/status/1450177328391335940"},"1633111677120937987":{"id":"1633111677120937987","date":"2023-03-07 14:25:40","author":"steezy","handle":"malort_hft","text":"I understand the california coast is nice and all, but you have to be out of your mind to work for a firm/fund following ny hours","hashtags":[],"conv":"1633111677120937987","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":8150,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/malort_hft/status/1633111677120937987"},"1709202819981435176":{"id":"1709202819981435176","date":"2023-10-03 13:44:42","author":"Quantіan","handle":"quantian1","text":"Is there some written history of the decline and fall of IBM?  A huge fraction of rich old people I’ve met worked there at some point, were they just the standard $250k-starting Facebook PM job for boomers?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1709202819981435176","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":571,"retweets":9,"replies":46,"quotes":5,"views":114467,"bookmarks":55,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/quantian1/status/1709202819981435176"},"1379773312482607106":{"id":"1379773312482607106","date":"2021-04-07 12:29:27","author":"Kirsten Gillibrand","handle":"SenGillibrand","text":"Paid leave is infrastructure.\nChild care is infrastructure.\nCaregiving is infrastructure.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1379773312482607106","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1379794800988282880","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11816,"retweets":1595,"replies":12004,"quotes":4954,"views":0,"bookmarks":112,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/SenGillibrand/status/1379773312482607106"},"1857034996105548252":{"id":"1857034996105548252","date":"2024-11-14 12:16:59","author":"Adam Butler","handle":"GestaltU","text":"I’m starting to empathize deeply with Dr. Ye Wenjie.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1857034996105548252","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":1,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":2164,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/GestaltU/status/1857034996105548252"},"1782869419963621408":{"id":"1782869419963621408","date":"2024-04-23 20:29:28","author":"tylercowen","handle":"tylercowen","text":"Why I don’t believe in a blanket ban on non-competes: https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2023-01-10/proposed-ftc-ban-on-noncompete-contracts-would-hurt-workers-too?sref=htOHjx5Y, not to mention the constitutional issues.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1782869419963621408","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1783136964406907122","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":69,"retweets":10,"replies":7,"quotes":5,"views":74013,"bookmarks":17,"media":["1782869419963621408_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/tylercowen/status/1782869419963621408"},"1708941085266022800":{"id":"1708941085266022800","date":"2023-10-02 20:24:39","author":"Adi","handle":"adi_baradwaj","text":"AMMs only exist because blockspace is expensive. They are suboptimal compared to CLOBs, since they require LPs to lose money to arbitrage during price discovery\n\nPerps are ancient, but credit goes to crypto exchanges for making them popular\n\nFlash loans are a genuine innovation that wouldn't be possible without crypto","hashtags":[],"conv":"1708941085266022800","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":8019,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/adi_baradwaj/status/1708941085266022800"},"1506066792472535046":{"id":"1506066792472535046","date":"2022-03-22 00:34:39","author":"bookdepth","handle":"bookdepth","text":"Bring 👏 back 👏 the 👏 clackatron 👏","hashtags":[],"conv":"1506066792472535046","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1506066792472535046_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bookdepth/status/1506066792472535046"},"1432463541110411265":{"id":"1432463541110411265","date":"2021-08-30 22:01:36","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"What are good resources for \"trading games\" for training new traders?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1432463541110411265","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":109,"retweets":1,"replies":31,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":83,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1432463541110411265"},"1481439234947170305":{"id":"1481439234947170305","date":"2022-01-13 01:33:32","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"First week back and I've got myself involved in conversations on options selling, volatility targeting and sharpe ratios. \n\nBreaking at least 3 New Year's Resolutions already.\n\nWhich is exactly why I can't have nice things.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1481439234947170305","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":72,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1481439234947170305"},"1678802252830482432":{"id":"1678802252830482432","date":"2023-07-11 16:23:42","author":"karthik","handle":"akbirthko","text":"i feel like watching 3blue1brown videos is cheating. things handed on a silver platter. great when you're in middle school, maybe high school. but you gotta grind through and learn that stuff independently","hashtags":[],"conv":"1678802252830482432","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":249,"retweets":6,"replies":29,"quotes":4,"views":27314,"bookmarks":37,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/akbirthko/status/1678802252830482432"},"1174342304552779776":{"id":"1174342304552779776","date":"2019-09-18 15:19:58","author":"Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️","handle":"choffstein","text":"I’m reading some python code that uses greek letters for variable names (e.g. β = np.array([[0.909]])) and I can’t decide whether I love it or hate it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1174342304552779776","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":0,"replies":13,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/choffstein/status/1174342304552779776"},"1597921672769982464":{"id":"1597921672769982464","date":"2022-11-30 11:53:09","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"I was confused by what \"dual investment\" is and how it can offer such high yields on USDT, ETH or BTC, which generally offer low single-digit yields.\n\nSo I read up on it and ... obviously it's selling an option and quoting the premium as a \"yield\" 🤦‍♂️","hashtags":[],"conv":"1597921672769982464","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":128,"retweets":7,"replies":16,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":16,"media":["1597921672769982464_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1597921672769982464"},"1155666958739791872":{"id":"1155666958739791872","date":"2019-07-29 02:30:48","author":"BɅRTON","handle":"Barton_options","text":"Stumbled upon this great book today by @AgustinLebron3 \n\nTons of 20k-30k-ft-level wisdom on trading, supported by specific examples. \nhttps://www.amazon.com/Laws-Trading-Traders-Decision-Making-Everyone/dp/1119574218","hashtags":[],"conv":"1155666958739791872","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":48,"retweets":8,"replies":4,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":16,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Barton_options/status/1155666958739791872"},"1685917847439265793":{"id":"1685917847439265793","date":"2023-07-31 07:38:32","author":"TaiwanQuant","handle":"TaiwanQuant","text":"Audiobook #2\n\nLaws of Trading by @AgustinLebron3\n\nThis one is great for reasoning about markets and edge from first principles and for spotting bullshit.\n\nI originally learnt about it because of many recommendations by @larpcapitalwc and @therobotjames.\n\nGreat book!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1685917847439265793","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":3,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":6919,"bookmarks":26,"media":["1685917847439265793_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TaiwanQuant/status/1685917847439265793"},"1503221861890641920":{"id":"1503221861890641920","date":"2022-03-14 04:09:55","author":"Drew Austin","handle":"kneelingbus","text":"it's funny how last names like Smith or Taylor are essentially the past equivalent of someone being named Productmanager","hashtags":[],"conv":"1503221861890641920","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1645,"retweets":126,"replies":30,"quotes":30,"views":0,"bookmarks":38,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/kneelingbus/status/1503221861890641920"},"1904155035652538664":{"id":"1904155035652538664","date":"2025-03-24 12:55:12","author":"VCs Congratulating Themselves 👏👏👏","handle":"VCBrags","text":"Forbes 30 under 30 remains undefeated","hashtags":[],"conv":"1904155035652538664","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1904161598303879533","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1626,"retweets":129,"replies":30,"quotes":27,"views":180206,"bookmarks":213,"media":["1904155035652538664_1.jpg","1904155035652538664_2.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/VCBrags/status/1904155035652538664"},"1794234485313028287":{"id":"1794234485313028287","date":"2024-05-25 05:10:11","author":"HF_Trader","handle":"HF_Trader","text":"Anyone work with a trading psychologist before?  Let’s see you have :\n\nDenise Shull\nBrett Steenbarger\nAndrew Menaker\nRande Howell\nJared Tendler\n\nWho am I missing?\n\nHas anyone ever worked with someone on this list or maybe someone not on the list?\n\nI asked this question the other day but am making it more specific to trading.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1794234485313028287","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":0,"replies":9,"quotes":0,"views":3438,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/HF_Trader/status/1794234485313028287"},"1425142882953056257":{"id":"1425142882953056257","date":"2021-08-10 17:11:55","author":"experquisite","handle":"experquisite","text":"Every hour I spend doing Python, I come to despise it even more. It doesn’t help that so many pro-Python folks I run into are such sanctimonious assholes.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1425142882953056257","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":33,"retweets":1,"replies":9,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/experquisite/status/1425142882953056257"},"1394657853227642885":{"id":"1394657853227642885","date":"2021-05-18 14:15:18","author":"Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️","handle":"choffstein","text":"There’s nothing that destroys a good coding session like trying to figure out relative imports in python.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1394657853227642885","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":96,"retweets":1,"replies":13,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/choffstein/status/1394657853227642885"},"2075793093073473540":{"id":"2075793093073473540","date":"2026-07-11 04:03:34","author":"Ramez Naam","handle":"ramez","text":"Yes. We need epistemic humility. Before proposing a global surveillance state, concentrating all western AI compute in Mongolia so it can be easily destroyed, or whatnot, we should have more than lines on graphs. \n[And I love lines on graphs!]","hashtags":[],"conv":"2075793093073473540","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":80,"retweets":10,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":16085,"bookmarks":11,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ramez/status/2075793093073473540"},"1501709102694940672":{"id":"1501709102694940672","date":"2022-03-09 23:58:45","author":"Mitchell Rosenthal","handle":"M1tchRosenthal","text":"Finally settled on the topic of the next test. Exploring whether divergences between changes in VIX (level minus prior level) and % changes in sp500 have any information content about the future. \n\nSee a lot of posts implying so. Excited to see what the data says!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1501709102694940672","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":64,"retweets":5,"replies":12,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":42,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/M1tchRosenthal/status/1501709102694940672"},"1845319777268662446":{"id":"1845319777268662446","date":"2024-10-13 04:24:53","author":"The trading Dutchman","handle":"TradingDutchman","text":"The JS vs Millenium saga continues… Despite the whole world now trading Indian options , trying to mimic Jane Street, they are still making gazillions!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1845319777268662446","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1941041931515273344","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":390,"retweets":38,"replies":8,"quotes":4,"views":197207,"bookmarks":270,"media":["1845319777268662446_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TradingDutchman/status/1845319777268662446"},"1603093648639500291":{"id":"1603093648639500291","date":"2022-12-14 18:24:44","author":"John Paul Koning","handle":"jp_koning","text":"Apparently the Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan asked a long list of questions related to FTX’s financial affairs, but only received answers to a small fraction of them, yet it invested $95 million in FTX anyways.\n\nvia https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/article-ftx-crypto-canadian-investors-oleary-teachers/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1603093648639500291","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1603100168928350208","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":157,"retweets":26,"replies":8,"quotes":26,"views":0,"bookmarks":13,"media":["1603093648639500291_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/jp_koning/status/1603093648639500291"},"1957405977810272625":{"id":"1957405977810272625","date":"2025-08-18 11:35:26","author":"sysls","handle":"systematicls","text":"Great piece. The central argument is as follows:\n\n1. Bad behaviors grab attention AND\n2. We have a direct ability to influence events predicting bad behavior happening AND\n3. Taking the side of bad behaviors happening in prediction markets incentivizes actors to make those bad behaviors happen\n\n--\n1. Government intervention helps with this by either removing an ability to bet on bad behavior or clamping down hard on betting on bad behaviors and acting on them (this is effectively manipulation)\n2. Works both ways though. Being able to stake all-in that we can get to kardashev scale 1 in 10 years and full-sending it works in humanity's favor. 1 and 3 need not be negative.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1957405977810272625","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":52,"retweets":3,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":10612,"bookmarks":39,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/systematicls/status/1957405977810272625"},"1944469017059864939":{"id":"1944469017059864939","date":"2025-07-13 18:48:34","author":"alz","handle":"alz_zyd_","text":"so with meta hiring all these people what's happening to yann?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1944469017059864939","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":1983,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/alz_zyd_/status/1944469017059864939"},"1732104085351039225":{"id":"1732104085351039225","date":"2023-12-05 18:26:09","author":"Beff (e/acc)","handle":"beffjezos","text":"Latent agenda reveal.\n\nDwarkesh has repeatedly turned down my offers to appear on his pod over the past year. I thought it could bring balance to his guest lineup.\n\nHe's clearly positioning himself as a mouthpiece for the AI Safetyist agenda/spreading EA propaganda.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1732104085351039225","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":347,"retweets":13,"replies":39,"quotes":10,"views":911470,"bookmarks":78,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/beffjezos/status/1732104085351039225"},"1580321850907070465":{"id":"1580321850907070465","date":"2022-10-12 22:17:44","author":"Brett Harrison","handle":"BrettHarrison","text":"gotta learn rust","hashtags":[],"conv":"1580321850907070465","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":565,"retweets":19,"replies":68,"quotes":5,"views":0,"bookmarks":14,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/BrettHarrison/status/1580321850907070465"},"1979161421930758635":{"id":"1979161421930758635","date":"2025-10-17 12:23:48","author":"sasuke⚡420","handle":"sasuke___420","text":"so like dwarkesh says \"generalize\" but he means like \"interpolate\" and then Sutton and @AgustinLebron3 mean something else, and it's hard for these groups to understand each other","hashtags":[],"conv":"1979161421930758635","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":973,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/sasuke___420/status/1979161421930758635"},"1506712077263511559":{"id":"1506712077263511559","date":"2022-03-23 19:18:47","author":"Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️","handle":"bennpeifert","text":"Now try being an OTC market participant and having banks declaring Market Disruption Events (MDEs) inconsistently on the same underlying securities, in a way suspiciously matching their exposures","hashtags":[],"conv":"1506712077263511559","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":109,"retweets":3,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bennpeifert/status/1506712077263511559"},"1397932074095439876":{"id":"1397932074095439876","date":"2021-05-27 15:05:53","author":"Neale Mahoney","handle":"nealemahoney","text":"Ironic that tech makes it easy to cancel people but almost impossible to cancel our monthly subscriptions","hashtags":[],"conv":"1397932074095439876","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":223,"retweets":17,"replies":4,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/nealemahoney/status/1397932074095439876"},"1476013157327900675":{"id":"1476013157327900675","date":"2021-12-29 02:12:14","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"Lots of resources here:\n\nhttps://notion.moontowermeta.com/moontower-volatility-wiki\n\nThe course section under \"starter pack\" is sparse. Looking for more recs to vet.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476013157327900675","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":113,"retweets":12,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":101,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1476013157327900675"},"1569494849833025538":{"id":"1569494849833025538","date":"2022-09-13 01:15:06","author":"Freak0naut","handle":"FREAK0NAUT","text":"Uh... what are you supposed to do when you match with a coworker on bumdr or tinble?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1569494849833025538","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":12,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/FREAK0NAUT/status/1569494849833025538"},"1593068285364686848":{"id":"1593068285364686848","date":"2022-11-17 02:27:31","author":"Mitchell Rosenthal","handle":"M1tchRosenthal","text":"intuitive guess:\nhigh covariance means when asset A is calm, asset B often is too; if volatility in asset A rises, B's vol rises too. It doesnt consider direction.\n\nCointegration considers direction; asset A's movements are tied to B's, including direction\n\nHigh Coint often 1/2","hashtags":[],"conv":"1593068285364686848","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/M1tchRosenthal/status/1593068285364686848"},"1266125506925092864":{"id":"1266125506925092864","date":"2020-05-28 21:53:38","author":"sisyphus bar and grill","handle":"itunpredictable","text":"justin's rule: all no-code eventually converges to yes-code over time\n\nbasically, at some point the UI becomes so unwieldy and hard to use that SQL is a superior UX","hashtags":[],"conv":"1266125506925092864","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1266204568045510658","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":784,"retweets":70,"replies":48,"quotes":30,"views":0,"bookmarks":74,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/itunpredictable/status/1266125506925092864"},"1919751025692434484":{"id":"1919751025692434484","date":"2025-05-06 13:48:06","author":"Zvi Mowshowitz","handle":"TheZvi","text":"http://x.com/i/article/1919750613409112064","hashtags":[],"conv":"1919751025692434484","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1919780800125366694","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":273,"retweets":24,"replies":9,"quotes":12,"views":59164,"bookmarks":217,"media":["1919751025692434484_1.jpg","1919751025692434484_2.jpg","1919751025692434484_3.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheZvi/status/1919751025692434484"},"1333941851435331584":{"id":"1333941851435331584","date":"2020-12-02 01:11:35","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"Traders often implicitly assume recent conditions will persist -  without checking whether that's likely to be true.\n\nYou need to understand the assumptions you are making, and whether they are reasonable.\n\nHere are some examples and a simple analytical approach 👇👇👇\n\n1/n","hashtags":[],"conv":"1333941851435331584","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":124,"retweets":20,"replies":7,"quotes":6,"views":0,"bookmarks":76,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1333941851435331584"},"1485664421955481611":{"id":"1485664421955481611","date":"2022-01-24 17:22:55","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"Do you think this guy has heard of a thing called “market neutral”?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1485664421955481611","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":156,"retweets":1,"replies":15,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1485664421955481611"},"1417121963848384513":{"id":"1417121963848384513","date":"2021-07-19 13:59:39","author":"experquisite","handle":"experquisite","text":"I never believed in 10x engineers, until I met my first 0.1x engineer","hashtags":[],"conv":"1417121963848384513","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":26,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/experquisite/status/1417121963848384513"},"1181266027277115392":{"id":"1181266027277115392","date":"2019-10-07 17:52:22","author":"Ian Cassel","handle":"iancassel","text":"Amen @verdadcap \n\n“The cost of adding a standard liquidity filter.. takes about 4-5% off your returns,” he wrote. “In a world of double digit returns this didn’t matter so much, in a world of single digit returns, illiquidity represents an opportunity.”\n\nhttps://mailchi.mp/verdadcap/beyond-the-sp-500?e=5846f6ed7b","hashtags":[],"conv":"1181266027277115392","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1181273069920219137","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":85,"retweets":12,"replies":4,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":13,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/iancassel/status/1181266027277115392"},"1344009154613170180":{"id":"1344009154613170180","date":"2020-12-29 19:55:27","author":"HF_Trader","handle":"HF_Trader","text":"I've a friend who is an executive in his company (private) being offered stock to purchase.  He's got cash but also wants to lever up and get a loan to do so.  Any Inv Bankers out there have any experience in this area?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1344009154613170180","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/HF_Trader/status/1344009154613170180"},"1723032951514862077":{"id":"1723032951514862077","date":"2023-11-10 17:40:42","author":"Formula δ1","handle":"FormulaDeltaOne","text":"IMO good strategy to begin with is market-making anything, you’ll always find some alpha there.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1723032951514862077","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":74,"retweets":1,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":23969,"bookmarks":16,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/FormulaDeltaOne/status/1723032951514862077"},"1673017509413306368":{"id":"1673017509413306368","date":"2023-06-25 17:17:12","author":"Crowded Market Report","handle":"Crowded_Mkt_Rpt","text":"Weekly YouTube vid posted \"The Importance of Not Trading as a Strategy\" \nWatch Here: https://youtu.be/i_yAYNmcuEI\n#trading #stockmaket #tradingstrategies","hashtags":["trading","stockmaket","tradingstrategies"],"conv":"1673017509413306368","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1673030879235706880","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":85,"retweets":9,"replies":9,"quotes":2,"views":30885,"bookmarks":7,"media":["1673017509413306368_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Crowded_Mkt_Rpt/status/1673017509413306368"},"1593812748705701888":{"id":"1593812748705701888","date":"2022-11-19 03:45:45","author":"Doug Colkitt","handle":"0xdoug","text":"Blackpill on LLMs is they're about on par with unconscious human thought, but way dumber than conscious thought\n\nTry Github Copilot. The code often looks right at a glance but on inspection is wrong. That's worse than being obviously wrong. Makes LLMs unusable in many use cases","hashtags":[],"conv":"1593812748705701888","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":66,"retweets":3,"replies":5,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0xdoug/status/1593812748705701888"},"1979384076189446432":{"id":"1979384076189446432","date":"2025-10-18 03:08:33","author":"Alex Nichol","handle":"unixpickle","text":"What are some things a regular person can access, which a billionaire can't buy a much better version of. So far I've got:\n- Seatbelts\n- Toothpaste\n- Cellphones\n- Social media websites\n- Weather apps","hashtags":[],"conv":"1979384076189446432","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":368,"retweets":5,"replies":84,"quotes":5,"views":36167,"bookmarks":51,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/unixpickle/status/1979384076189446432"},"1585632687330820098":{"id":"1585632687330820098","date":"2022-10-27 14:01:06","author":"sasuke⚡420","handle":"sasuke___420","text":"wherez JPY-PERP","hashtags":[],"conv":"1585632687330820098","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/sasuke___420/status/1585632687330820098"},"1187896732396544000":{"id":"1187896732396544000","date":"2019-10-26 01:00:25","author":"Ryan Stephens","handle":"ryanstephens","text":"A hamburger can have one ingredient = ground beef.\n\nBut a plant-based burger will have 15-20 ingredients, half of which you don’t even understand.\n\nYou *really* think the latter is healthier!?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1187896732396544000","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":486,"retweets":62,"replies":50,"quotes":28,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ryanstephens/status/1187896732396544000"},"1607367704507486208":{"id":"1607367704507486208","date":"2022-12-26 13:28:18","author":"Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️","handle":"bennpeifert","text":"forgot the third axis: \"how much noise does it make\"","hashtags":[],"conv":"1607367704507486208","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":130,"retweets":0,"replies":13,"quotes":0,"views":115971,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bennpeifert/status/1607367704507486208"},"1479992775416315904":{"id":"1479992775416315904","date":"2022-01-09 01:45:49","author":"Venkatesh Rao ☀️","handle":"vgr","text":"Finally read the moxie post. Pretty good. Basically a to-do list. Not sure why any of it is controversial. He seems skeptical that the to-do list will actually get done, but I’m I’ve seen signs of activity/progress on most of it.\n\nhttps://moxie.org/2022/01/07/web3-first-impressions.html","hashtags":[],"conv":"1479992775416315904","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":67,"retweets":2,"replies":4,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/vgr/status/1479992775416315904"},"1885869496436408412":{"id":"1885869496436408412","date":"2025-02-02 01:55:00","author":"Justin Skycak","handle":"justinskycak","text":"Math is overpowered when combined with coding chops but underpowered alone.\n\nConveniently, if you can learn math to a high level, then you can almost certainly develop serious coding chops through independent practice (unless you're too lazy or have too big an ego to practice!).\n\nBut at the same time, people who come in with math expertise often underestimate the amount of practice and the degree to which it's necessary to work with large-scale projects before one is able to produce decent code.\n\nThe ego / know-it-all / \"my brainpower should be spent on the theory, not the implementation\" nature often gets in the way...","hashtags":[],"conv":"1885869496436408412","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":216,"retweets":9,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":8504,"bookmarks":87,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/justinskycak/status/1885869496436408412"},"1753878805549056430":{"id":"1753878805549056430","date":"2024-02-03 20:31:07","author":"Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️","handle":"choffstein","text":"Wildly comprehensive set of slides","hashtags":[],"conv":"1753878805549056430","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":108,"retweets":11,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":28095,"bookmarks":99,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/choffstein/status/1753878805549056430"},"1340067123729629184":{"id":"1340067123729629184","date":"2020-12-18 22:51:14","author":"Suhail","handle":"Suhail","text":"Apple, AWS, and Microsoft are all going to design their own chips.\n\nThe end of x86 as we know it. Only the paranoid survive.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1340067123729629184","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1880,"retweets":148,"replies":49,"quotes":39,"views":0,"bookmarks":64,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Suhail/status/1340067123729629184"},"1192825792151138306":{"id":"1192825792151138306","date":"2019-11-08 15:26:45","author":"Wayne Himelsein","handle":"WayneHimelsein","text":"I feel like the title \"trader\" is a little misleading, as it implies action. Good trading is 98% watching, analyzing or reviewing; in reality, it's all just lots of waiting.\n\nPerhaps, more aptly, we should be called \"waiters\"; waiters who sometimes make a trade.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1192825792151138306","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":272,"retweets":52,"replies":24,"quotes":12,"views":0,"bookmarks":15,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/WayneHimelsein/status/1192825792151138306"},"1178791169456836608":{"id":"1178791169456836608","date":"2019-09-30 21:58:10","author":"Jeffrey Ptak","handle":"syouth1","text":"Filing for a biblically-themed ETF. Was curious about the manager, a financial advisor, so pulled up its ADV. Their fees are eye-popping and if I'm reading this right don't include cost of their ETFs (big weights in their models) https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1644419/000158064219004530/inspire497.htm https://www.adviserinfo.sec.gov/IAPD/Content/Common/crd_iapd_Brochure.aspx?BRCHR_VRSN_ID=591703","hashtags":[],"conv":"1178791169456836608","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1178803024740773888","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":112,"retweets":16,"replies":34,"quotes":26,"views":0,"bookmarks":5,"media":["1178791169456836608_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/syouth1/status/1178791169456836608"},"1451994667889922054":{"id":"1451994667889922054","date":"2021-10-23 19:31:20","author":"HF_Trader","handle":"HF_Trader","text":"I ask fintwit who all the crypto experts are - I get a list of guys to go follow.  Every one of them are looking at candlestick charts doing classics technical analysis.  Experts?? \n\nWhat am I missing here?  I truly don’t get it.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1451994667889922054","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":195,"retweets":4,"replies":53,"quotes":5,"views":0,"bookmarks":28,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/HF_Trader/status/1451994667889922054"},"1498442745811243009":{"id":"1498442745811243009","date":"2022-02-28 23:39:24","author":"experquisite","handle":"experquisite","text":"This reminds me of the phrase “widening gyre”. Who coined that, SSC?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1498442745811243009","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/experquisite/status/1498442745811243009"},"1428461754993029126":{"id":"1428461754993029126","date":"2021-08-19 20:59:56","author":"bookdepth","handle":"bookdepth","text":"A good trader hits the 100k everytime, the EV gods reward the bold","hashtags":[],"conv":"1428461754993029126","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":156,"retweets":2,"replies":13,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bookdepth/status/1428461754993029126"},"1250968673805721600":{"id":"1250968673805721600","date":"2020-04-17 02:05:48","author":"Eliezer Yudkowsky ⏹️","handle":"ESYudkowsky","text":"The obvious way to figure out what happened historically when primary sources are lacking: train GPT-2 on a huge dataset of known historical primary sources, indexed by place and time, then enter in unobserved places and times to fill the gaps.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1250968673805721600","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":109,"retweets":7,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ESYudkowsky/status/1250968673805721600"},"1782786217962082732":{"id":"1782786217962082732","date":"2024-04-23 14:58:51","author":"Bill","handle":"W98AB","text":"If you are applying for jobs, don’t block out a period in your calendar and randomly turn up to the office in a suit and tie when you never those clothes 😂","hashtags":[],"conv":"1782786217962082732","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1782888365282504805","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":42,"retweets":0,"replies":7,"quotes":2,"views":41035,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/W98AB/status/1782786217962082732"},"1287778571981709312":{"id":"1287778571981709312","date":"2020-07-27 15:55:11","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"An unsurprising conclusion.\n\nInvestments with a lot of upside relative to downside are overpriced and vice versa. \n\nBut... not sure how to reconcile with carry-like trades which exhibit preference for high win rates regardless of EV.\n\nthoughts?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1287778571981709312","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1287778571981709312"},"1412829457325428738":{"id":"1412829457325428738","date":"2021-07-07 17:42:46","author":"Cboe","handle":"Cboe","text":"Joe Tigay @JoeTigay talks $VIX, $VIX Futures, #Fed minutes, interest rates, and the $SKEW Index.","hashtags":["fed"],"conv":"1412829457325428738","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1412830719873896448","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":11,"retweets":2,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Cboe/status/1412829457325428738"},"1198106468446167041":{"id":"1198106468446167041","date":"2019-11-23 05:10:16","author":"Suhail","handle":"Suhail","text":"I’d love to take a class or a guided video series where you make an ASIC or FPGA from scratch doing something fairly complex.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1198106468446167041","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":32,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":8,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Suhail/status/1198106468446167041"},"1729607899255542200":{"id":"1729607899255542200","date":"2023-11-28 21:07:12","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"brain damage","hashtags":[],"conv":"1729607899255542200","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":373,"retweets":25,"replies":27,"quotes":1,"views":46816,"bookmarks":53,"media":["1729607899255542200_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1729607899255542200"},"1616170051681357825":{"id":"1616170051681357825","date":"2023-01-19 20:25:41","author":"Alex Nezlobin","handle":"0x94305","text":"Still remember that time when my date kept confusing Vomma and Vanna exposure when talking about her volatility smile extraction strategy.\n\nHad to tell her that I needed to visit a relative who was rushed to a hospital","hashtags":[],"conv":"1616170051681357825","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":30,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":7184,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0x94305/status/1616170051681357825"},"1387250240940650500":{"id":"1387250240940650500","date":"2021-04-28 03:40:05","author":"Scott Galloway","handle":"profgalloway","text":"You constantly want to be upgrading your peer group. You want to hang out with smarter, more successful, more interesting, higher-character people because you will rise or fall to the level of your peer group. \n\n#officehours #ProfGPod 4/26","hashtags":["officehours","profgpod"],"conv":"1387250240940650500","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1387949774993858560","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":3987,"retweets":444,"replies":923,"quotes":1588,"views":0,"bookmarks":341,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/profgalloway/status/1387250240940650500"},"1542602779004239873":{"id":"1542602779004239873","date":"2022-06-30 20:15:37","author":"Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼","handle":"Noahpinion","text":"Oh so you want to improve research productivity, do you?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1542602779004239873","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":175,"retweets":5,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":["1542602779004239873_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1542602779004239873"},"1524034709591834633":{"id":"1524034709591834633","date":"2022-05-10 14:32:44","author":"Gary Basin","handle":"garybasin","text":"I know the fundamental shortage of housing blah blah but this chart looks eerily similar to housing prices before 08. “rents can’t go down”","hashtags":[],"conv":"1524034709591834633","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1524034709591834633_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/garybasin/status/1524034709591834633"},"1793352195426926996":{"id":"1793352195426926996","date":"2024-05-22 18:44:16","author":"َ","handle":"fweakymo2","text":"Miley Cyrus at the age of 31. She is the definition of “aged like fine wine”.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1793352195426926996","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1793681626024858107","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5039,"retweets":403,"replies":603,"quotes":3013,"views":19066739,"bookmarks":477,"media":["1793352195426926996_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/fweakymo2/status/1793352195426926996"},"1982466061401550985":{"id":"1982466061401550985","date":"2025-10-26 15:15:16","author":"HF_Trader","handle":"HF_Trader","text":"I would love to start doing this with my 5yr old (soon to be 6).  Anyone else doing something similar with their children around the same age?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1982466061401550985","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":27,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":10494,"bookmarks":21,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/HF_Trader/status/1982466061401550985"},"1476304612638355459":{"id":"1476304612638355459","date":"2021-12-29 21:30:22","author":"Robot James 🤖🏖","handle":"therobotjames","text":"In bed sick last few days. 🤒\n\nJust finished re-reading @AgustinLebron3 's Laws of Trading for the 4th or 5th time. \n\nVery very good. I get something new  from it everytime. \n\nMy quanty crypto friends will get a huge amount from it, I think.\n\nhttps://www.amazon.com/Laws-Trading-Traders-Decision-Making-Everyone/dp/1119574218","hashtags":[],"conv":"1476304612638355459","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":126,"retweets":7,"replies":11,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":59,"media":["1476304612638355459_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/therobotjames/status/1476304612638355459"},"1789783398636036586":{"id":"1789783398636036586","date":"2024-05-12 22:23:09","author":"Principal Mahler Appreciator 🇺🇦","handle":"BigBreakfastLob","text":"What’s the best explanation for this outside of ordinary cross border labor market frictions? Corporate profitability? Tax structure? Why shouldn’t I hire 5 polytechnique autists over 1 Stanford autist?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1789783398636036586","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":8,"retweets":0,"replies":4,"quotes":0,"views":4527,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/BigBreakfastLob/status/1789783398636036586"},"1844490538978038049":{"id":"1844490538978038049","date":"2024-10-10 21:29:48","author":"Andrew Mack","handle":"Gingfacekillah","text":"“Practice makes perfect.”\n\nBullshit.\n\nPractice makes permanent. Only perfect practice makes perfect.\n\nQuality reps matter.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1844490538978038049","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":65,"retweets":2,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":7290,"bookmarks":7,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Gingfacekillah/status/1844490538978038049"},"1433716117982400512":{"id":"1433716117982400512","date":"2021-09-03 08:58:54","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"If you went long $UVXY on Jun 14 \"to prepare for the macro fireworks\" then you'd be down over 30% by yesterday's close, over a period where the VIX round-tripped (16.39 on Jun 14, 16.41 yesterday)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1433716117982400512","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":101,"retweets":8,"replies":8,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1433716117982400512"},"1554536409322618880":{"id":"1554536409322618880","date":"2022-08-02 18:35:36","author":"6529","handle":"punk6529","text":"Verify Identity\n\nTradFi: Applications, more applications, wait, upload all types of sensitive documents, wait, more documents, take a mugshot selfie with documents, file too large, photoshop to change formats, no Adobe I don't want to save to the cloud\n\nOn-chain: Sign transaction","hashtags":[],"conv":"1554536409322618880","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":338,"retweets":33,"replies":21,"quotes":9,"views":0,"bookmarks":21,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/punk6529/status/1554536409322618880"},"1606181929400668160":{"id":"1606181929400668160","date":"2022-12-23 06:56:28","author":"typedfemale","handle":"typedfemale","text":"sometimes you just *really* want a matrix to be positive semi-definite even if it isn't","hashtags":[],"conv":"1606181929400668160","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":83,"retweets":4,"replies":3,"quotes":1,"views":6906,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/typedfemale/status/1606181929400668160"},"1702789774057111861":{"id":"1702789774057111861","date":"2023-09-15 21:01:33","author":"experquisite","handle":"experquisite","text":"my son got into a \"young scholars\" program and I am unironically happier about that than my own career progress","hashtags":[],"conv":"1702789774057111861","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":35,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":4239,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/experquisite/status/1702789774057111861"},"1479690798383845376":{"id":"1479690798383845376","date":"2022-01-08 05:45:52","author":"Peter Yang","handle":"petergyang","text":"Very thought provoking and must read.  https://moxie.org/2022/01/07/web3-first-impressions.html","hashtags":[],"conv":"1479690798383845376","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":80,"retweets":8,"replies":7,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":22,"media":["1479690798383845376_1.jpg","1479690798383845376_2.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/petergyang/status/1479690798383845376"},"1521273448953171973":{"id":"1521273448953171973","date":"2022-05-02 23:40:28","author":"Kareem Carr, Ph.D.","handle":"kareem_carr","text":"i’m not mad. i just need an explanation.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1521273448953171973","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1521274731231850497","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":654,"retweets":32,"replies":60,"quotes":27,"views":0,"bookmarks":37,"media":["1521273448953171973_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/kareem_carr/status/1521273448953171973"},"1491525780047732737":{"id":"1491525780047732737","date":"2022-02-09 21:33:51","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"Question for people who write regularly:\n\nSay you know what you are gonna write about, maybe even have an outline. \n\nHow long does it take to actually put the words you want to use in the sequence you actually like on paper?\n\n(I'd estimate it take me about 1 hr per 500 words)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1491525780047732737","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":28,"retweets":1,"replies":27,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1491525780047732737"},"1918269195466244376":{"id":"1918269195466244376","date":"2025-05-02 11:39:50","author":"Gappy (Giuseppe Paleologo)","handle":"__paleologo","text":"Stanford videos (and interviews with the creators) of \"14 Statistical Ideas that Changed the World\". Lasso, FDR, Conformal Inference, Boosting, EM, Bootstrap, Gibbs Sampling, GAMs...\n\nhttps://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLt_pNkbycxqahVksaNnjz3M6759xHIZ-r","hashtags":[],"conv":"1918269195466244376","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":600,"retweets":70,"replies":6,"quotes":1,"views":65638,"bookmarks":828,"media":["1918269195466244376_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/__paleologo/status/1918269195466244376"},"1446639260904288257":{"id":"1446639260904288257","date":"2021-10-09 00:50:51","author":"Dave White","handle":"_Dave__White_","text":"seriously considering learning category theory for my next design","hashtags":[],"conv":"1446639260904288257","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":79,"retweets":1,"replies":11,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":6,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/_Dave__White_/status/1446639260904288257"},"1237368953434972160":{"id":"1237368953434972160","date":"2020-03-10 13:25:22","author":"Dan Egan","handle":"daniel_egan","text":"This idea, from @matt_levine, is really good. \n\nWhat if you couldn't 'see how prices were doing?' Every day, once a day, you just submit your demand curves and supply curves based on hours of research. The market clears once.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1237368953434972160","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":3,"quotes":3,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1237368953434972160_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/daniel_egan/status/1237368953434972160"},"2019517845575434618":{"id":"2019517845575434618","date":"2026-02-05 21:05:49","author":"Joe Weisenthal","handle":"TheStalwart","text":"*AMAZON SINKS 11% ON HIGHER-THAN-EXPECTED 2026 CAPEX FORECAST","hashtags":[],"conv":"2019517845575434618","reply_id":"","quote_id":"2019532380801802292","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":667,"retweets":57,"replies":20,"quotes":14,"views":115925,"bookmarks":37,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheStalwart/status/2019517845575434618"},"1257227624390295558":{"id":"1257227624390295558","date":"2020-05-04 08:36:38","author":"ExiledInfoHaz","handle":"ExiledInfoHaz","text":"Telling every student in the US to start an online business is terrible advice. \n\nOnly a tiny fraction of people will be successful in business; this advice, if followed by everyone, would result in 98% - 99.5% failed businesses, and a bunch of people without good credentials.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1257227624390295558","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":38,"retweets":1,"replies":10,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/ExiledInfoHaz/status/1257227624390295558"},"1364639159139377153":{"id":"1364639159139377153","date":"2021-02-24 18:11:43","author":"Lou Stagner (Golf Stat Pro)","handle":"LouStagner","text":"▶️You are scratch player that averages 290 off-the-tee\n▶️325 yard hole - water in play\n▶️With driver you estimate you will hit fwy 40%, rough 35% and water 25%\n▶️A layup to 100 yards takes water out of play. You will hit fwy 80% and rough 20%\n\nWhat is the correct play?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1364639159139377153","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":14,"retweets":1,"replies":60,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/LouStagner/status/1364639159139377153"},"1203999522910855168":{"id":"1203999522910855168","date":"2019-12-09 11:27:10","author":"Paul Graham","handle":"paulg","text":"One reason the Bay Area is so expensive is that the way to make a successful startup is to make the right product, not to pay employees less. So cheaper locations have no advantage.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1203999522910855168","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1488,"retweets":194,"replies":132,"quotes":109,"views":0,"bookmarks":118,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/paulg/status/1203999522910855168"},"1662838839000416256":{"id":"1662838839000416256","date":"2023-05-28 15:10:47","author":"Joel Rubano","handle":"TCK_JRubano","text":"Trying to determine which Elliott Wave this is.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1662838839000416256","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":13,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":1927,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1662838839000416256_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TCK_JRubano/status/1662838839000416256"},"1680265926485106688":{"id":"1680265926485106688","date":"2023-07-15 17:19:49","author":"cephalopodshop","handle":"macrocephalopod","text":"If you own a stock at 100 and it drops to 80, then goes back too 100, you only lost 20% on the drop but you made 25% on the bounce. \n\nThis is alpha.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1680265926485106688","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":614,"retweets":14,"replies":44,"quotes":1,"views":81322,"bookmarks":20,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1680265926485106688"},"1768467553050079653":{"id":"1768467553050079653","date":"2024-03-15 02:41:35","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"Math night at elementary school for pi day","hashtags":[],"conv":"1768467553050079653","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":37,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":9811,"bookmarks":2,"media":["1768467553050079653_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1768467553050079653"},"1156212531989553152":{"id":"1156212531989553152","date":"2019-07-30 14:38:43","author":"Bryan Caplan","handle":"bryan_caplan","text":"How come my 7-year-old understands the rules of hypothetical reasoning better than most adults? \"What if X?\" has a *right answer* even if X is false!","hashtags":[],"conv":"1156212531989553152","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":100,"retweets":8,"replies":13,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bryan_caplan/status/1156212531989553152"},"1403396248640671747":{"id":"1403396248640671747","date":"2021-06-11 16:58:34","author":"Speculator","handle":"TheSpeculator0","text":"is there an easy free (or cheap) source for libor rates somewhere?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1403396248640671747","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":5,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheSpeculator0/status/1403396248640671747"},"1386380006905896963":{"id":"1386380006905896963","date":"2021-04-25 18:02:05","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"Except Colin Bennett's book I haven't read an options book since my 20s. \n\nThese are now on the nightstand of aspirational reading. Although these days, the act of reading books itself is aspirational.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1386380006905896963","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":236,"retweets":17,"replies":13,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":112,"media":["1386380006905896963_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1386380006905896963"},"1206984926173761536":{"id":"1206984926173761536","date":"2019-12-17 17:10:05","author":"Analysis Fact","handle":"AnalysisFact","text":"Edge detection with a Sobel filter\nhttps://www.johndcook.com/blog/2019/04/08/muscle-car/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1206984926173761536","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":3,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":7,"media":["1206984926173761536_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/AnalysisFact/status/1206984926173761536"},"1387861810599059459":{"id":"1387861810599059459","date":"2021-04-29 20:10:15","author":"Jonathan Regenstein","handle":"jkregenstein","text":"#fintwit hivemind when ya'll calc correlations between crypto (or any 7-days-a-week asset) returns and SPY, how do you handle the weekends? Impute a zero for SPY? Or impute NA for crypto? Or something else?\n\ncc @GestaltU @alphaarchitect @choffstein @daniel_egan","hashtags":["fintwit"],"conv":"1387861810599059459","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":10,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/jkregenstein/status/1387861810599059459"},"1488358155721469952":{"id":"1488358155721469952","date":"2022-02-01 03:46:51","author":"skajbaje","handle":"skajbaje","text":"Selling your good luck as edge is a really good skill to have.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1488358155721469952","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/skajbaje/status/1488358155721469952"},"1382722711248539648":{"id":"1382722711248539648","date":"2021-04-15 15:49:18","author":"Venkatesh Rao ☀️","handle":"vgr","text":"Looking for solid AI/machine learning newsletters to subscribe to... not the business end... ones that keep up with the latest software frameworks, hardware, and application/modeling results and comment on emerging research results. Recos?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1382722711248539648","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":68,"retweets":13,"replies":13,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":31,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/vgr/status/1382722711248539648"},"1392454154619129857":{"id":"1392454154619129857","date":"2021-05-12 12:18:35","author":"experquisite","handle":"experquisite","text":"So all of these “coin market caps”… you pay an exchange in your own coins to list your coins, then buy 1000 coins from yourself with USDT in a bunch of wash trades, and value the market cap by multiplying those prices by the other 100MM coins that you’ve “minted”? Is that it?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1392454154619129857","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":1,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/experquisite/status/1392454154619129857"},"1391945857130369027":{"id":"1391945857130369027","date":"2021-05-11 02:38:48","author":"Venkatesh Rao ☀️","handle":"vgr","text":"The link for the roam desktop app appears to have vanished 😢","hashtags":[],"conv":"1391945857130369027","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":6,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/vgr/status/1391945857130369027"},"1280896181623754758":{"id":"1280896181623754758","date":"2020-07-08 16:07:02","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"Resurfacing this in light of how holistic you might want to be when considering the tails on long-term wealth processes (h/t @bennpeifert nuanced answer to the edge in tails on @choffstein pod). \n\nThere's a geometric/arithmetic dead horse lying around here somewhere","hashtags":[],"conv":"1280896181623754758","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":["1280896181623754758_1.png"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1280896181623754758"},"1214846542210904065":{"id":"1214846542210904065","date":"2020-01-08 09:49:21","author":"Ricky Gervais","handle":"rickygervais","text":"1. Simply pointing out whether someone is left or right wing isn't winning the argument. \n2. If a joke is good enough, it can be enjoyed by anyone.\n3. It's not all about you. \n4. Just because you're offended, doesn't mean you're right.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1214846542210904065","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1215246703491735552","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":304370,"retweets":43398,"replies":4415,"quotes":3014,"views":0,"bookmarks":1004,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/rickygervais/status/1214846542210904065"},"1973399535092171216":{"id":"1973399535092171216","date":"2025-10-01 14:48:07","author":"nic carter","handle":"nic_carter","text":"http://x.com/i/article/1973398626777829376","hashtags":[],"conv":"1973399535092171216","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1974164842862031282","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1418,"retweets":198,"replies":96,"quotes":101,"views":815085,"bookmarks":1052,"media":["1973399535092171216_1.jpg","1973399535092171216_2.png","1973399535092171216_3.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/nic_carter/status/1973399535092171216"},"1452127129488039936":{"id":"1452127129488039936","date":"2021-10-24 04:17:41","author":"Tensai Capital","handle":"TensaiCapital","text":"@lightspringfox In my exp the best way to monetize these patterns is to roll them into other strats. If you have an edge on an X sec horizon that’s consistent but not quite worth spread, and another edge on Y >> X secs you’re already trading, you can often “stack” the first edge on the second","hashtags":[],"conv":"1452066917087264772","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TensaiCapital/status/1452127129488039936"},"1622471181755641857":{"id":"1622471181755641857","date":"2023-02-06 05:44:08","author":"arb8020","handle":"arb8020","text":"does anyone have thoughts on test driven development","hashtags":[],"conv":"1622471181755641857","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":10,"retweets":0,"replies":10,"quotes":0,"views":11111,"bookmarks":2,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/arb8020/status/1622471181755641857"},"1334552617289072640":{"id":"1334552617289072640","date":"2020-12-03 17:38:33","author":"Dow","handle":"mark_dow","text":"The senate and congress should be prohibited from trading in individual securities, and instead be limited to 1) a blind trust or 2) a limited list of liquid ETFs. \n\nThis one should be a gimme.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1334552617289072640","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":216,"retweets":16,"replies":13,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/mark_dow/status/1334552617289072640"},"1717930806503719301":{"id":"1717930806503719301","date":"2023-10-27 15:46:36","author":"Laura 🌲 ⛰️","handle":"LauraDeming","text":"I kind of want to go on some podcasts this year, but not sure which ones feel kind/earnest/science-frieindly - any suggestions?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1717930806503719301","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":52,"retweets":1,"replies":37,"quotes":0,"views":24909,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/LauraDeming/status/1717930806503719301"},"1598847576484499457":{"id":"1598847576484499457","date":"2022-12-03 01:12:22","author":"arb8020","handle":"arb8020","text":"i just signed myself up to present solutions to problems i don't know how to solve \n\ntime pressure go brrrrr","hashtags":[],"conv":"1598847576484499457","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":16,"retweets":0,"replies":2,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/arb8020/status/1598847576484499457"},"1465100145108742144":{"id":"1465100145108742144","date":"2021-11-28 23:27:49","author":"CHT","handle":"PrometheusAM","text":"@ander_hk @AgustinLebron3 @UAx250 Knowing how to use a Bloomberg isn't what makes one an institutional trader.\n\nI know people who've had a Bloomberg for two decades, post all sorts of charts and they certainly can't use their terminal! 😂","hashtags":[],"conv":"1465065260730232832","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":4,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/PrometheusAM/status/1465100145108742144"},"1202273019663716352":{"id":"1202273019663716352","date":"2019-12-04 17:06:39","author":"Dave Sekera, Morningstar Chief Market Strategist","handle":"MstarMarkets","text":"Jack Bogle said that in investing, you get what you don't pay for. A new report from Morningstar Direct illustrates that investors continue to take that aphorism ever-more to heart over TTM. The cheapest funds--active & passive--dominate flows. Low cost rules more now than ever.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1202273019663716352","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1202274425631936512","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":22,"retweets":12,"replies":0,"quotes":4,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":["1202273019663716352_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/MstarMarkets/status/1202273019663716352"},"1843251558471151675":{"id":"1843251558471151675","date":"2024-10-07 11:26:32","author":"Liz Wolfe","handle":"LizWolfeReason","text":"Toured a high-end apartment building in brooklyn yesterday, was told children under 18 need to be supervised in every part of the building. Is this standard? you seriously can't have an 8-year-old use the elevator by himself to go down to read in the shared garden?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1843251558471151675","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":1952,"retweets":19,"replies":68,"quotes":15,"views":170267,"bookmarks":75,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/LizWolfeReason/status/1843251558471151675"},"1188130383126073345":{"id":"1188130383126073345","date":"2019-10-26 16:28:52","author":"Trevor Noren","handle":"trevornoren","text":"Knight Frank Luxury Investment Index performance by \"asset class\" https://ritholtz.com/2019/10/investable-asset-class/","hashtags":[],"conv":"1188130383126073345","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":8,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":["1188130383126073345_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/trevornoren/status/1188130383126073345"},"1333576977106735104":{"id":"1333576977106735104","date":"2020-12-01 01:01:42","author":"Kris Sidial🇺🇸","handle":"Ksidiii","text":"I .....hate......Java \n\nWith a passion","hashtags":[],"conv":"1333576977106735104","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":34,"retweets":0,"replies":8,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Ksidiii/status/1333576977106735104"},"1934694400007012778":{"id":"1934694400007012778","date":"2025-06-16 19:27:44","author":"The Daily Mao 🏝️","handle":"TheDailyMao","text":"How much human progress has been lost by trading firms locking up the best and brightest for an entire generation?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1934694400007012778","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":15,"retweets":1,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":1619,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/TheDailyMao/status/1934694400007012778"},"1590852806126489601":{"id":"1590852806126489601","date":"2022-11-10 23:44:00","author":"Doug Colkitt","handle":"0xdoug","text":"What the fuck? Was FTX just b-booking?","hashtags":[],"conv":"1590852806126489601","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":75,"retweets":1,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/0xdoug/status/1590852806126489601"},"1775487330280706079":{"id":"1775487330280706079","date":"2024-04-03 11:35:41","author":"qm","handle":"quantymacro","text":"btw the point is some paths are harder than others but all are worth taking. I went to a school where ppl thought Olympiad is the Olympics. But I never lived in poverty. There was always food and more so I was privileged. We all gotta try our best and subscribe to quantymacro ty","hashtags":[],"conv":"1775487330280706079","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":49,"retweets":1,"replies":3,"quotes":0,"views":10633,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/quantymacro/status/1775487330280706079"},"1734670771279073308":{"id":"1734670771279073308","date":"2023-12-12 20:25:15","author":"Kris Sidial🇺🇸","handle":"Ksidiii","text":"Update, he did indeed come in and blow through the order book forcing /ES through highs………. 😉","hashtags":[],"conv":"1734670771279073308","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":88,"retweets":5,"replies":5,"quotes":0,"views":23943,"bookmarks":5,"media":["1734670771279073308_1.jpg"],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/Ksidiii/status/1734670771279073308"},"1523829617877868544":{"id":"1523829617877868544","date":"2022-05-10 00:57:46","author":"Dave White","handle":"_Dave__White_","text":"how are you feeling?\n\nemoji responses only","hashtags":[],"conv":"1523829617877868544","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":96,"retweets":0,"replies":202,"quotes":2,"views":0,"bookmarks":1,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/_Dave__White_/status/1523829617877868544"},"1602776438159339521":{"id":"1602776438159339521","date":"2022-12-13 21:24:15","author":"Patrick Kidger","handle":"PatrickKidger","text":"Soliciting recommendations!\n\nWhat is the current best book for a SWE moving into deep learning?📚\n\nIdeally covering the basics (e.g. backprop, adam, train/val/test splits) and more advanced stuff (e.g. modern transformer architectures, diffusion models).\n\nAsking for a coworker!🔥","hashtags":[],"conv":"1602776438159339521","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":153,"retweets":6,"replies":27,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":156,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/PatrickKidger/status/1602776438159339521"},"1905678691843096800":{"id":"1905678691843096800","date":"2025-03-28 17:49:40","author":"Epoch AI","handle":"EpochAIResearch","text":"Even within our own research team, timelines for transformative AI differ substantially. In this episode, the two Epoch AI researchers with the longest and the shortest timelines for transformative AI candidly examine the roots of their disagreements.\n\nThey discuss:\nHow and why their timelines for specific milestones differ\nCurrent technical challenges for AI progress\nWhy widespread automation beats geniuses in datacenters\nPitfalls of conventional AI prediction approaches\nCritiquing \"single AGI\" or \"utopia vs. doom\" narratives\nHow a world with AGI might look like\nAnd much, much more.\n(0:00:00) - Preview\n(0:01:08) - Contrasting AGI Timelines\n(0:08:30) - Updating Beliefs as Capabilities Advance\n(0:17:07) - Moravec’s Paradox and the Agency Challenge\n(0:32:40) - Missing Capabilities for AGI\n(0:47:43) - Beating benchmarks vs Being Useful\n(0:59:20) - AI Excelling in Some Tasks While Struggling with Others\n(1:07:33) - Economic Impact of AI vs the Internet\n(1:24:08) - Widespread Automation Beats Genius in Datacenters\n(1:51:37) - How Stories Shape Our Expectations of AI\n(2:03:24) - How AGI Will Impact Culture\n(2:10:46) - Beyond Utopia-or-Extinction\n(2:16:57) - AI's Impact on Wages and Labor\n(2:27:49) - Why Better Preservation of Information Accelerates Change\n(2:39:32) - Markets Shaping Cultural Priorities\n(2:55:51) - Challenges in Defining What We Want to Preserve\n(3:06:47) - Risk Attitudes in AI Decision-Making\n(3:12:50) - Historical Lessons for AI Coexistence\n(3:21:45) - A Warning Sign in Safety Discourse\n(3:30:20) - Revisiting Core Assumptions in AI Alignment\n(3:49:46) - Simple Models in Complex Domains","hashtags":[],"conv":"1905678691843096800","reply_id":"","quote_id":"1905683526781227133","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":399,"retweets":57,"replies":16,"quotes":24,"views":162020,"bookmarks":510,"media":[],"has_video":true,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1905678691843096800"},"1523830202727473152":{"id":"1523830202727473152","date":"2022-05-10 01:00:06","author":"guille","handle":"angeris","text":"It’s always worth 1 to me (just made it my numéraire)","hashtags":[],"conv":"1523830202727473152","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":37,"retweets":0,"replies":6,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/angeris/status/1523830202727473152"},"1711463518703411486":{"id":"1711463518703411486","date":"2023-10-09 19:27:54","author":"David Holt","handle":"IDrawCharts","text":"sometimes I think life would be more fun at 60iq","hashtags":[],"conv":"1711463518703411486","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":77,"retweets":1,"replies":23,"quotes":2,"views":7478,"bookmarks":0,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/IDrawCharts/status/1711463518703411486"},"1474383101895667712":{"id":"1474383101895667712","date":"2021-12-24 14:14:58","author":"Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️","handle":"bennpeifert","text":"why does no one larp as an interdealer broker in dividends and long dated puts crossing exo desk flow, the kids these days have no idea where the money is","hashtags":[],"conv":"1474383101895667712","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":176,"retweets":3,"replies":11,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":9,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/bennpeifert/status/1474383101895667712"},"1277742512589795328":{"id":"1277742512589795328","date":"2020-06-29 23:15:28","author":"Venkatesh Rao ☀️","handle":"vgr","text":"Anyone been successfully using @RoamResearch for checklists and GTD for more than a month? It's one use case that's been awkward for me. Converting things to TODO seems kinda hacky.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1277742512589795328","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":21,"retweets":0,"replies":12,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":4,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/vgr/status/1277742512589795328"},"1225800960615862272":{"id":"1225800960615862272","date":"2020-02-07 15:18:17","author":"Marcos López de Prado","handle":"lopezdeprado","text":"\"Crowding is most likely an important factor in the deterioration of strategy performance [...] We identify significant signs of crowding in well known equity signals, such as Fama-French factors and especially Momentum.\"\n\nhttps://ssrn.com/abstract=3518404","hashtags":[],"conv":"1225800960615862272","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":124,"retweets":25,"replies":2,"quotes":1,"views":0,"bookmarks":19,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/lopezdeprado/status/1225800960615862272"},"1441129606069714946":{"id":"1441129606069714946","date":"2021-09-23 19:57:27","author":"Kris","handle":"KrisAbdelmessih","text":"This is a pretty annoying proposal btw. Lots of diversifying or alpha strategies are high in trading/turnover and this makes those already seemingly unattractive (at least to the return first, not normalized for beta crowd) less attractive. \n\nYOLO beta or pay more taxes I guess.","hashtags":[],"conv":"1441129606069714946","reply_id":"","quote_id":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":"","likes":9,"retweets":0,"replies":1,"quotes":0,"views":0,"bookmarks":3,"media":[],"has_video":false,"own":false,"url":"https://twitter.com/KrisAbdelmessih/status/1441129606069714946"},"1580989937112883200":{"id":"1580989937112883200","date":"2022-10-14 18:32:29","author":"Gary Basin","handle":"garybasin","text":"Beethoven literally broke the symphonic form by introducing a chorus in his 9th. No one is talking about 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